1 00:00:00,360 --> 00:00:03,040 Speaker 1: Why from our nation's came this budget thing is going 2 00:00:03,080 --> 00:00:05,520 Speaker 1: to do nothing space forts. I still think it's interesting 3 00:00:05,559 --> 00:00:08,840 Speaker 1: President Trump not playing his cards yet. Headlines Policy and 4 00:00:09,039 --> 00:00:14,960 Speaker 1: politics colliding Floomberg Sound On, The Insiders, the influencers, the insides. 5 00:00:15,080 --> 00:00:17,360 Speaker 1: I would rather see a congressional solution. It's part of 6 00:00:17,360 --> 00:00:20,520 Speaker 1: my DNA. The Senate map in looks a lot different 7 00:00:20,520 --> 00:00:23,320 Speaker 1: than it looked in. You really have a divide within 8 00:00:23,520 --> 00:00:26,079 Speaker 1: Team Trump. The President has to do exactly what people 9 00:00:26,120 --> 00:00:27,840 Speaker 1: sent him here to do, which is to get it done. 10 00:00:28,240 --> 00:00:32,800 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg Sound On with Kevin Shirley on Bloomberg 11 00:00:34,000 --> 00:00:37,040 Speaker 1: and one oh five point seven h D two. Happy 12 00:00:37,080 --> 00:00:40,560 Speaker 1: New Year's everybody. I'm Kevin Cirelli, Chief Washington correspondent for 13 00:00:40,600 --> 00:00:43,240 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Television of Bloomberg Radio. We're taking a look back 14 00:00:43,800 --> 00:00:46,320 Speaker 1: and to look forward as we head into a new 15 00:00:46,440 --> 00:00:50,840 Speaker 1: decade of geopolitics and breaking news. On this New Year's eve, 16 00:00:50,920 --> 00:00:54,640 Speaker 1: the President just within the last hour saying that, in 17 00:00:54,840 --> 00:00:57,920 Speaker 1: his words, there will be a quote unquote threat that 18 00:00:57,960 --> 00:01:02,880 Speaker 1: has been made against a on for that protest at 19 00:01:02,920 --> 00:01:07,320 Speaker 1: the Rock Embassy in Baghdad. We are going to have 20 00:01:07,440 --> 00:01:11,320 Speaker 1: the latest developments as it relates to the escalating situation 21 00:01:11,400 --> 00:01:14,720 Speaker 1: and tensions between the US and Iron and the latest 22 00:01:15,200 --> 00:01:19,160 Speaker 1: in Iraq. Luis ky Avoni's here, journalist, Senior lecturer at 23 00:01:19,240 --> 00:01:23,840 Speaker 1: John Hopkins University, Kerry Business School, Luise, New Years. What 24 00:01:23,920 --> 00:01:27,480 Speaker 1: are you doing when the clock strikes twelve? My dog 25 00:01:27,480 --> 00:01:30,080 Speaker 1: and I will be waiting for my husband to come 26 00:01:30,120 --> 00:01:33,880 Speaker 1: home from his news anchor shift at w t OP. 27 00:01:34,040 --> 00:01:37,600 Speaker 1: Do you have any New Year's traditions? Um, We're usually 28 00:01:37,640 --> 00:01:39,520 Speaker 1: waiting for one or the other of us to reach 29 00:01:39,800 --> 00:01:46,080 Speaker 1: from our tradition. Eric Lawson, Bloomberg Congressional Reporter, Happy New Year's. 30 00:01:46,080 --> 00:01:49,080 Speaker 1: Any New Year's traditions? Uh? You know, every year is different, 31 00:01:49,120 --> 00:01:50,360 Speaker 1: and I think this year is gonna be kind of 32 00:01:50,360 --> 00:01:52,800 Speaker 1: a quiet one, just beating some friends for dinner and 33 00:01:52,960 --> 00:01:54,600 Speaker 1: hanging out and kind of doing low key. You know, 34 00:01:54,640 --> 00:01:57,920 Speaker 1: I peaked when I was a kid. My favorite memories 35 00:01:57,960 --> 00:02:00,160 Speaker 1: of New Year's I used to go in Delco to 36 00:02:00,320 --> 00:02:03,520 Speaker 1: Drexel Hill. My grandmother Mimi, she just passed away, God 37 00:02:03,520 --> 00:02:06,320 Speaker 1: bless and we used to all the cousins go stay 38 00:02:06,440 --> 00:02:08,760 Speaker 1: up till midnight, remember like the bang of pots and 39 00:02:08,800 --> 00:02:12,680 Speaker 1: pans and that the firecrackers and our parents knew how 40 00:02:12,720 --> 00:02:15,320 Speaker 1: to do New Year's went right after Trump got elected. 41 00:02:15,320 --> 00:02:18,280 Speaker 1: I was covering the transition down and and the Mara 42 00:02:18,400 --> 00:02:21,799 Speaker 1: Lago and I met Rocky Sylvester Stallone was down there. 43 00:02:21,840 --> 00:02:24,040 Speaker 1: I first bumped him. So that was kind of a highlight, 44 00:02:24,960 --> 00:02:28,560 Speaker 1: you know, but a quiet, a quiet time. It was 45 00:02:28,560 --> 00:02:30,600 Speaker 1: not a quiet day in Washington. And we're gonna begin 46 00:02:30,639 --> 00:02:33,720 Speaker 1: tonight with new developments coming from the US end of 47 00:02:33,800 --> 00:02:38,320 Speaker 1: ron on that particular front. The President tweeting out just 48 00:02:38,480 --> 00:02:40,080 Speaker 1: within the last hour or so, I just got off 49 00:02:40,120 --> 00:02:44,600 Speaker 1: Bloomberg TV talking about this, and it's it's been incredibly 50 00:02:44,639 --> 00:02:47,040 Speaker 1: a quickly moving story. Just within the last hour, the 51 00:02:47,040 --> 00:02:50,320 Speaker 1: President tweets, quote, the US embassy in Iraq is and 52 00:02:50,400 --> 00:02:54,079 Speaker 1: has been for hours safe. Many of our great war fighters, 53 00:02:54,240 --> 00:02:57,280 Speaker 1: together with the most lethal military equipment in the world, 54 00:02:57,600 --> 00:03:00,000 Speaker 1: was immediately rushed to the site. Thank you to the 55 00:03:00,040 --> 00:03:02,560 Speaker 1: President and Prime Minister of Iraq for their rapid response 56 00:03:02,639 --> 00:03:07,239 Speaker 1: upon request. Iran will be held fully responsible for lives 57 00:03:07,280 --> 00:03:10,840 Speaker 1: lost or damage incurred at any of our facilities. They 58 00:03:10,840 --> 00:03:13,239 Speaker 1: will pay a very big price. This is not a warning, 59 00:03:13,240 --> 00:03:15,919 Speaker 1: it as a threat. Happy New Year that coming from 60 00:03:15,919 --> 00:03:23,160 Speaker 1: President Donald Trump. That embassy in Baghdad was attacked by 61 00:03:23,200 --> 00:03:26,640 Speaker 1: all intents and purposes, as as a bevy of activity 62 00:03:26,680 --> 00:03:30,920 Speaker 1: and protesters that the US is saying Iran helped fuel 63 00:03:31,040 --> 00:03:34,800 Speaker 1: the furor of this facility in Baghdad in the past 64 00:03:34,840 --> 00:03:40,040 Speaker 1: twenty four hours has launched and even more escalating tension 65 00:03:40,160 --> 00:03:44,080 Speaker 1: as the administration Luis tries to get a hold on 66 00:03:44,480 --> 00:03:50,480 Speaker 1: Tehran's expansionary policies. It's really amazing how close they got. 67 00:03:50,520 --> 00:03:53,960 Speaker 1: This is the biggest embassy anywhere in the world, and 68 00:03:54,000 --> 00:03:56,880 Speaker 1: you would assume the U. S Embassy in Baghdad would 69 00:03:56,920 --> 00:04:00,400 Speaker 1: be impermeable, but they got so close, I guess using 70 00:04:00,760 --> 00:04:04,640 Speaker 1: cars to smash the barricades. They're really frightening pictures of 71 00:04:04,680 --> 00:04:08,480 Speaker 1: them using poles and pipes to crash into windows and 72 00:04:08,960 --> 00:04:15,120 Speaker 1: throw in off fiery objects. And they can't stop thinking 73 00:04:15,160 --> 00:04:19,279 Speaker 1: about Hillary Clinton and Benghazi. You know that throughout this 74 00:04:19,520 --> 00:04:23,320 Speaker 1: entire thing, they're thinking, we cannot have a ben Ghazi, right, 75 00:04:23,839 --> 00:04:27,839 Speaker 1: So uh so it is it is really a time 76 00:04:28,080 --> 00:04:31,040 Speaker 1: of testing for the United States and US foreign policy 77 00:04:31,040 --> 00:04:33,680 Speaker 1: and Mike Pompeo, who was then a big critic of 78 00:04:33,760 --> 00:04:36,520 Speaker 1: Hillary Clinton and Benghazi, and now he's the guy in 79 00:04:36,560 --> 00:04:39,320 Speaker 1: the driver's seat and they have to show up for 80 00:04:39,400 --> 00:04:43,200 Speaker 1: it interesting points. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo scheduled to 81 00:04:43,240 --> 00:04:46,360 Speaker 1: be in Ukraine over the next couple of days. He 82 00:04:46,480 --> 00:04:49,120 Speaker 1: was down at mar Lago with the President calls the 83 00:04:49,160 --> 00:04:53,880 Speaker 1: summer White House Eric laws and Bloomberg, congressional reporter, as Congress, 84 00:04:53,880 --> 00:04:56,280 Speaker 1: of course, is in recess a meeting with his team 85 00:04:56,279 --> 00:05:00,080 Speaker 1: of national security advisors. The President has been down on 86 00:05:00,200 --> 00:05:03,919 Speaker 1: there and authorizing a military strike in parts of Syria 87 00:05:04,080 --> 00:05:08,200 Speaker 1: as well as in northern Iraq on Sunday evening in 88 00:05:08,320 --> 00:05:13,839 Speaker 1: response to what the US says were attacks from Iran 89 00:05:14,120 --> 00:05:19,919 Speaker 1: on joint US Iraq military facilities. So that embassy today 90 00:05:19,960 --> 00:05:25,000 Speaker 1: in Baghdad being stormed was a response from Iran for 91 00:05:25,279 --> 00:05:29,880 Speaker 1: those dismissile strikes on Sunday night. However, the administration of 92 00:05:29,920 --> 00:05:32,080 Speaker 1: my sources at the State's Department have been adamant that 93 00:05:32,120 --> 00:05:36,280 Speaker 1: that was a responsive and and quite honestly a a 94 00:05:36,279 --> 00:05:42,760 Speaker 1: a measured response to Iran really targeting joint US Iraq 95 00:05:42,839 --> 00:05:46,240 Speaker 1: military facilities. What is leadership and saying, Eric, I know 96 00:05:46,279 --> 00:05:48,920 Speaker 1: they're on recess, but any Congressional reaction. There has been 97 00:05:48,960 --> 00:05:51,760 Speaker 1: reaction in Adam Schiff, one of the biggest critics of Trump, 98 00:05:51,839 --> 00:05:54,880 Speaker 1: Leader of the impeachment effort made the point that Trump 99 00:05:54,920 --> 00:05:57,480 Speaker 1: should be doing more to consult with Congress and also 100 00:05:57,600 --> 00:05:59,480 Speaker 1: also to consult with the Iraq I mean, the big 101 00:05:59,560 --> 00:06:03,400 Speaker 1: question you're here is was diplomacy effectively employed? Uh? This 102 00:06:03,480 --> 00:06:06,800 Speaker 1: may have taken the Iraqis by surprise and uh if 103 00:06:06,960 --> 00:06:10,039 Speaker 1: effectively in flavor situation which in any ways was trending 104 00:06:10,080 --> 00:06:12,160 Speaker 1: in the favor of the US. There were large protests 105 00:06:12,160 --> 00:06:16,039 Speaker 1: for weeks in Iraq against Iran's influence on the government. 106 00:06:16,120 --> 00:06:19,520 Speaker 1: So here, Uh, there's warning some democrats that Trump maybe 107 00:06:19,600 --> 00:06:22,640 Speaker 1: snatching uh defeat from the jaws of victory as far 108 00:06:22,680 --> 00:06:25,400 Speaker 1: as Iraqi public opinion. All right, coming up, we're gonna 109 00:06:25,440 --> 00:06:27,960 Speaker 1: hear from my interview with the U s Special Envoy 110 00:06:28,120 --> 00:06:31,640 Speaker 1: to Iran. That's Brian Hook. Download the Bloomberg On podcasts 111 00:06:31,640 --> 00:06:34,360 Speaker 1: on appleijuanes at Bloomberg dot com or by downloading the 112 00:06:34,360 --> 00:06:37,000 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Business app. You can also find us on Radio 113 00:06:37,080 --> 00:06:40,279 Speaker 1: dot com, I Heart Radio and spotify new developments from 114 00:06:40,320 --> 00:06:44,479 Speaker 1: the President on Iran. I'm Kevin silly, you're listening to Bloomberg. 115 00:06:52,800 --> 00:06:57,360 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg Sound On with Kevin Shirley on Bloomberg 116 00:06:58,480 --> 00:07:01,560 Speaker 1: and one or five point seven a MHD two. I'm 117 00:07:01,640 --> 00:07:04,800 Speaker 1: Kevin SERRILLI she fashion and correspondent for Bloomberg Television and 118 00:07:04,839 --> 00:07:08,680 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Radio. Yesterday I interviewed Brian Hook. He, of course, 119 00:07:08,800 --> 00:07:12,200 Speaker 1: is the U s Special Envoy to Iran, works at 120 00:07:12,240 --> 00:07:15,000 Speaker 1: the State's apartment, a senior advisor to Secretary of State 121 00:07:15,040 --> 00:07:17,600 Speaker 1: Mike Pompeo, and I interviewed him about those air strikes 122 00:07:17,880 --> 00:07:20,800 Speaker 1: that were carried out on Sunday, New York time evening 123 00:07:21,360 --> 00:07:26,200 Speaker 1: uh in Syria and northern Iraq after the administration says 124 00:07:26,280 --> 00:07:31,880 Speaker 1: Iran had been involved in strikes on US Iraq facilities. 125 00:07:31,960 --> 00:07:34,720 Speaker 1: Take a listen to our interview. Well, these were defensive 126 00:07:35,240 --> 00:07:38,400 Speaker 1: strikes that the President ordered. We have American troops that 127 00:07:38,440 --> 00:07:41,320 Speaker 1: are in Iraq for a very specific mission to ensure 128 00:07:41,360 --> 00:07:45,240 Speaker 1: the enduring defeat of ISIS. Those American troops are located 129 00:07:45,560 --> 00:07:49,920 Speaker 1: at Iraqi military bases, and over the last two months 130 00:07:50,120 --> 00:07:54,440 Speaker 1: there have been almost a dozen attacks by Iranian proxies 131 00:07:54,600 --> 00:07:57,320 Speaker 1: against those bases. And then a couple of days ago 132 00:07:57,360 --> 00:08:00,480 Speaker 1: when American was killed, number of American so oldiers were 133 00:08:00,520 --> 00:08:03,840 Speaker 1: injured and also some Iraqi soldiers were injured, and so 134 00:08:03,920 --> 00:08:07,360 Speaker 1: the President decided to and as an act of defense, 135 00:08:08,000 --> 00:08:11,880 Speaker 1: ordered air strikes three in Iraq to in Syria. UH. 136 00:08:11,880 --> 00:08:14,640 Speaker 1: And we're also trying to send a message to Iran 137 00:08:14,680 --> 00:08:16,560 Speaker 1: that they need to stop this, telling them to stay 138 00:08:16,600 --> 00:08:19,320 Speaker 1: in their lane. Iran should stay in Iran, not metal 139 00:08:19,360 --> 00:08:21,960 Speaker 1: in iraq R exactly. And Iran has been running an 140 00:08:21,960 --> 00:08:25,679 Speaker 1: expansionist foreign policy for forty years. This is the last 141 00:08:25,760 --> 00:08:30,960 Speaker 1: revolutionary regime on Earth. The President's made very clear that UM, 142 00:08:31,040 --> 00:08:34,000 Speaker 1: He's shown a lot of restraint UM in light of 143 00:08:34,040 --> 00:08:37,920 Speaker 1: Iranian provocations. UH. But we also made clear that we 144 00:08:37,960 --> 00:08:42,040 Speaker 1: will take decisive action UH if there is an injury 145 00:08:42,200 --> 00:08:45,440 Speaker 1: or harm to our personnel or interests. And so then 146 00:08:45,720 --> 00:08:48,160 Speaker 1: you had the military response just yesterday. You and I 147 00:08:48,200 --> 00:08:53,040 Speaker 1: have spoken previously about the maximum economic pressure campaign against Tehran, 148 00:08:53,480 --> 00:08:57,480 Speaker 1: and you you just alluded to their expansionary policies. You know. 149 00:08:57,480 --> 00:08:59,960 Speaker 1: I I hear what you're saying. I read the report. 150 00:09:00,000 --> 00:09:03,000 Speaker 1: It's and I'm curious. It would appear that more sanctions 151 00:09:03,000 --> 00:09:05,600 Speaker 1: are likely on the table, and more sanctions in the 152 00:09:05,600 --> 00:09:09,599 Speaker 1: short term. Right now, Iran is facing its worst financial 153 00:09:09,640 --> 00:09:12,679 Speaker 1: crisis in its forty year history. This is the Islamic 154 00:09:12,720 --> 00:09:17,520 Speaker 1: Republic of Iran, and as we look ahead. Unless Iran 155 00:09:17,600 --> 00:09:20,040 Speaker 1: starts behaving like a normal nation, you're gonna start seeing 156 00:09:20,040 --> 00:09:24,360 Speaker 1: many more sanctions. So we've put in place, um the 157 00:09:24,400 --> 00:09:27,360 Speaker 1: most sort of most pressure in the in the last 158 00:09:27,360 --> 00:09:30,760 Speaker 1: forty years against this regime we've put in place, and 159 00:09:30,800 --> 00:09:34,000 Speaker 1: so they're deep into a recession. We have we have 160 00:09:34,080 --> 00:09:37,840 Speaker 1: collapsed their oil exports, we have collapsed there all of 161 00:09:37,880 --> 00:09:40,880 Speaker 1: the foreign direct investment into Iran. And we're going to 162 00:09:40,920 --> 00:09:43,320 Speaker 1: continue to drive up the costs on the regime for 163 00:09:43,360 --> 00:09:46,200 Speaker 1: behaving like an outlaw country. So more more sanctions could 164 00:09:46,280 --> 00:09:50,800 Speaker 1: still happen very likely. Meanwhile, there's protests not just in Iran, 165 00:09:50,880 --> 00:09:52,920 Speaker 1: but but all throughout the region. How have they been 166 00:09:53,640 --> 00:09:58,400 Speaker 1: influencing the Shia as a proxy force in the region, 167 00:09:58,760 --> 00:10:01,480 Speaker 1: But you've seen protests now, it's an amazing phenomenon. You're 168 00:10:01,640 --> 00:10:04,800 Speaker 1: You've seen protests in Iran, Iraq, and Lebanon occurring at 169 00:10:04,840 --> 00:10:08,800 Speaker 1: the same time, and in all three countries, massive protests, 170 00:10:09,120 --> 00:10:11,560 Speaker 1: and in all three countries, the consistent thread is an 171 00:10:11,600 --> 00:10:15,560 Speaker 1: opposition to the Iranian regime. The people in each of 172 00:10:15,559 --> 00:10:20,440 Speaker 1: these countries are tired of Iran's model of corruption and 173 00:10:20,559 --> 00:10:26,800 Speaker 1: sectarian violence and also terrible economic conditions. This is a 174 00:10:26,840 --> 00:10:30,079 Speaker 1: regime that prioritizes ideology over the welfare of their own people. 175 00:10:30,440 --> 00:10:32,840 Speaker 1: And remember that whenever they go into countries like Lebanon 176 00:10:33,000 --> 00:10:36,080 Speaker 1: or Iraq, it always makes things worse for the for 177 00:10:36,120 --> 00:10:39,320 Speaker 1: the people in those countries. Meanwhile, Secretary Pompeio giving a 178 00:10:39,320 --> 00:10:41,600 Speaker 1: speech on Iran just the other week about their human 179 00:10:41,679 --> 00:10:45,120 Speaker 1: rights violations, and he mentioned that the Iranians have submitted 180 00:10:45,200 --> 00:10:49,440 Speaker 1: something like thirty six thousand tips and submissions using social 181 00:10:49,480 --> 00:10:53,440 Speaker 1: media platforms, and that the administration has been using these 182 00:10:53,520 --> 00:10:57,679 Speaker 1: submissions of violations of the Iranian regime. It's a piece 183 00:10:57,760 --> 00:11:01,320 Speaker 1: together some of these these horrific human rights violations. What's 184 00:11:01,320 --> 00:11:03,680 Speaker 1: that number up to now, It's now up to forty five. 185 00:11:05,200 --> 00:11:07,400 Speaker 1: And so there were two things we did when the 186 00:11:07,400 --> 00:11:11,160 Speaker 1: protests started. We stood with the Iranian people. The President 187 00:11:11,160 --> 00:11:15,040 Speaker 1: of the Secretary of State very clearly express their support 188 00:11:15,200 --> 00:11:17,400 Speaker 1: for the demands the Iranian people were making on their 189 00:11:17,440 --> 00:11:21,040 Speaker 1: own government. And then the Secretary also created essentially a 190 00:11:21,120 --> 00:11:26,600 Speaker 1: tip box for Iranians to submit photos, videos, and messages 191 00:11:26,960 --> 00:11:30,439 Speaker 1: of regime violence against its own people. We've had forty 192 00:11:30,480 --> 00:11:35,320 Speaker 1: five thousand submissions done through telegram and just you know, 193 00:11:35,480 --> 00:11:39,240 Speaker 1: quickly in several weeks ago, when when I spoke with 194 00:11:39,280 --> 00:11:42,800 Speaker 1: you after that exchange of prisoners and in fact a 195 00:11:42,920 --> 00:11:46,240 Speaker 1: US prisoner who was being detained by Iran, you were 196 00:11:46,480 --> 00:11:49,920 Speaker 1: you worked virtually, you know, round the clock to get 197 00:11:49,920 --> 00:11:54,120 Speaker 1: that individual release, and it appeared that maybe there was 198 00:11:54,160 --> 00:11:56,320 Speaker 1: just going to be a glimmer of hope that that 199 00:11:56,320 --> 00:11:58,800 Speaker 1: that things would be trending in a positive direction. Do 200 00:11:58,800 --> 00:12:00,880 Speaker 1: you still have that hope or as the events of 201 00:12:00,920 --> 00:12:03,520 Speaker 1: the last one in four hours just completely walked back. Well, 202 00:12:03,559 --> 00:12:06,280 Speaker 1: we made clear that there are two tracks. There's the 203 00:12:06,280 --> 00:12:08,640 Speaker 1: there's the dialogue where we try to get the Americans 204 00:12:08,679 --> 00:12:11,839 Speaker 1: who are wrongly detained in Iran, get them out of Iran, 205 00:12:11,880 --> 00:12:13,760 Speaker 1: and bring them back home to their loved ones, back 206 00:12:13,760 --> 00:12:16,439 Speaker 1: to the United States. The other track is where we're 207 00:12:16,440 --> 00:12:21,520 Speaker 1: advancing our national security objectives. And Iran presents many threats 208 00:12:21,559 --> 00:12:25,960 Speaker 1: to peace and security, the nuclear threat, missile threat, regional aggression, 209 00:12:26,280 --> 00:12:29,440 Speaker 1: and the hostage taking of Americans. So we are going 210 00:12:29,480 --> 00:12:31,480 Speaker 1: to continue these two tracks. We're going to try to 211 00:12:31,520 --> 00:12:34,520 Speaker 1: get the remaining Americans out of prison in Iran, but 212 00:12:34,559 --> 00:12:37,160 Speaker 1: we're going to continue to execute our campaign of maximum 213 00:12:37,160 --> 00:12:40,640 Speaker 1: economic pressure that was Brian hooked the U. S special 214 00:12:40,720 --> 00:12:44,760 Speaker 1: envoy to Iran speaking with me yesterday on Bloomberg Television. 215 00:12:44,800 --> 00:12:48,040 Speaker 1: Coming up a preview of the year ahead with Luis 216 00:12:48,120 --> 00:12:50,599 Speaker 1: ky Avoni and Eric Wasson. Download the Bloomberg Sound On 217 00:12:50,640 --> 00:12:53,480 Speaker 1: podcast on Apple iTunes, at Bloomberg dot com, or by 218 00:12:53,480 --> 00:12:55,599 Speaker 1: downloading the Bloomberg Business App. You can also find me 219 00:12:55,640 --> 00:12:58,679 Speaker 1: on Radio dot Com, I Heart Radio, and Spotify. I'm 220 00:12:58,760 --> 00:13:01,640 Speaker 1: Kevin SERELLI have New Year's Eve. You're listening to Bloomberg. 221 00:13:11,120 --> 00:13:15,679 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg Sound On with Kevin Shirley on Bloomberg 222 00:13:16,800 --> 00:13:19,160 Speaker 1: and one oh five point seven F M H D two. 223 00:13:19,480 --> 00:13:22,120 Speaker 1: You know, I never thought that this year would end. 224 00:13:22,960 --> 00:13:26,360 Speaker 1: Many times it felt like groundhoud Day up on Capitol Hill. 225 00:13:26,880 --> 00:13:30,560 Speaker 1: Then it felt, I don't know, like a giant ultra marathon. 226 00:13:30,679 --> 00:13:34,040 Speaker 1: I'm Kevin CURRELLI Chief Washington correspondent for Bloomberg Television and 227 00:13:34,080 --> 00:13:37,920 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Radio. And we find ourselves not at the finish line, folks, 228 00:13:38,040 --> 00:13:41,520 Speaker 1: at the starting line of a new decade. And I'm 229 00:13:41,600 --> 00:13:44,920 Speaker 1: starting this new decade off with Luisky Ivoni, journalist senior 230 00:13:44,960 --> 00:13:48,240 Speaker 1: lecturer at Johns Hopkins University, carry Business School, and Eric Lawson, 231 00:13:48,480 --> 00:13:51,040 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Congressional reporter Eric, what was the best book you 232 00:13:51,080 --> 00:13:53,280 Speaker 1: read this year? You know, I just finished a book 233 00:13:53,280 --> 00:13:55,240 Speaker 1: called The Club by Leo dam Roach and this is 234 00:13:55,400 --> 00:13:58,080 Speaker 1: I think great one for Bloomberg listeners. It talks about 235 00:13:58,679 --> 00:14:02,679 Speaker 1: these eighteenth century intellectual well Samuel Johnson, Adam Smith who 236 00:14:02,679 --> 00:14:05,520 Speaker 1: invented economics, Joshua Reynolds, greatest painter of the day. They 237 00:14:05,559 --> 00:14:07,600 Speaker 1: all would meet on a Friday night at this Turk's 238 00:14:07,600 --> 00:14:10,439 Speaker 1: Head tavern for drinks and discussed the idea that shaped 239 00:14:10,480 --> 00:14:13,360 Speaker 1: the modern world. And it's beautiful illustrations. It's a real 240 00:14:13,600 --> 00:14:15,880 Speaker 1: for anyone interested in the history of Britain, the history 241 00:14:15,920 --> 00:14:18,560 Speaker 1: of the Western world. It's wonderful, a real page turn 242 00:14:18,559 --> 00:14:21,200 Speaker 1: ill recommend His night Boat to Tangier by Kevin Barry. 243 00:14:21,440 --> 00:14:24,640 Speaker 1: It's about two aging Irish drug dealers waiting for her 244 00:14:24,880 --> 00:14:27,480 Speaker 1: to come in from Morocco, waiting for a girl to 245 00:14:27,520 --> 00:14:29,200 Speaker 1: show up. We don't know who she is, what's going 246 00:14:29,240 --> 00:14:31,520 Speaker 1: to happen. It's it's a real page turner and a 247 00:14:31,560 --> 00:14:35,040 Speaker 1: wonderful young I still haven't seen The Irishman, but I 248 00:14:35,080 --> 00:14:37,240 Speaker 1: want to read the book that it's based on. The 249 00:14:37,320 --> 00:14:40,000 Speaker 1: name escapes me before I get to it. Luis best 250 00:14:40,000 --> 00:14:42,560 Speaker 1: book you read, so I think one of the most 251 00:14:42,880 --> 00:14:47,520 Speaker 1: artistically told stories that I've read so far is A 252 00:14:47,600 --> 00:14:52,160 Speaker 1: Gentleman in Moscow by Tolls. Have you read that? It's 253 00:14:52,200 --> 00:14:57,200 Speaker 1: about the transition from Russia's aristocracy to the current grinding 254 00:14:57,480 --> 00:15:02,000 Speaker 1: UH to the grinding communism of the Soviet Union, and 255 00:15:02,520 --> 00:15:05,960 Speaker 1: told through the adventures of one person who used to 256 00:15:05,960 --> 00:15:09,000 Speaker 1: be an aristocrat and how he adapted and how it 257 00:15:09,040 --> 00:15:13,360 Speaker 1: affected his life and his family. But really brilliant, brilliant story. 258 00:15:13,360 --> 00:15:16,160 Speaker 1: Another one that I read was Beneath the Scarlet Sky 259 00:15:16,280 --> 00:15:19,280 Speaker 1: by Mark Sullivan, which is a story about World War 260 00:15:19,360 --> 00:15:22,400 Speaker 1: two Italy in the in the northern part of Italy 261 00:15:22,520 --> 00:15:28,680 Speaker 1: where uh these priests were creating pathways for safe passage 262 00:15:28,760 --> 00:15:34,640 Speaker 1: from the Nazis UH for for fugitives. Really fantastic story, 263 00:15:34,680 --> 00:15:37,120 Speaker 1: and what I love about it is the author himself 264 00:15:37,160 --> 00:15:40,440 Speaker 1: had had just one dud after another and he was 265 00:15:40,600 --> 00:15:43,440 Speaker 1: just desperate by the time he wrote this, and he 266 00:15:43,480 --> 00:15:46,840 Speaker 1: found a guy whose story this was and it is 267 00:15:46,880 --> 00:15:50,280 Speaker 1: a brilliant and successful story. And then the last thing 268 00:15:50,320 --> 00:15:55,040 Speaker 1: I read was when I just wanted to say this, 269 00:15:55,200 --> 00:15:58,680 Speaker 1: that I read in Search of Lost Time by Marcel Proust, 270 00:15:58,760 --> 00:16:02,400 Speaker 1: which was just the most massive, but I felt I 271 00:16:02,440 --> 00:16:07,000 Speaker 1: had to do that like five weeks. I mean, between 272 00:16:07,000 --> 00:16:09,080 Speaker 1: the Mueller Report and then all of these other things 273 00:16:09,080 --> 00:16:10,720 Speaker 1: that come out. It's like we're constantly having to read 274 00:16:10,760 --> 00:16:13,120 Speaker 1: this stuff. All right, Uh, well, I'm not going to 275 00:16:13,200 --> 00:16:17,080 Speaker 1: tell you what my favorite book was yet yet stay tuned. 276 00:16:17,560 --> 00:16:20,200 Speaker 1: How's that for? Christine Barada says that my that I've 277 00:16:20,200 --> 00:16:24,080 Speaker 1: gotten very good at previewing things segment. She's our executive 278 00:16:24,080 --> 00:16:26,440 Speaker 1: producer and I would not be able to be on 279 00:16:26,480 --> 00:16:30,320 Speaker 1: the air if it wasn't for Christine Veratas. But but 280 00:16:30,400 --> 00:16:32,720 Speaker 1: I'm gonna I'm gonna hold off because I'm kind of 281 00:16:32,760 --> 00:16:34,960 Speaker 1: annoyed that I didn't think of the title of this 282 00:16:35,000 --> 00:16:37,960 Speaker 1: book for my eventual memoir when I'm ninety years old. 283 00:16:38,160 --> 00:16:40,480 Speaker 1: So that's that's that's a little tease because the name 284 00:16:40,520 --> 00:16:43,240 Speaker 1: of the book could have been maybe perhaps the name 285 00:16:43,360 --> 00:16:46,560 Speaker 1: of the memoir. Ar So let's talk because as we 286 00:16:46,600 --> 00:16:50,240 Speaker 1: look ahead and the short term next week said it 287 00:16:50,280 --> 00:16:51,960 Speaker 1: comes back, they're going to vote on us m c 288 00:16:52,120 --> 00:16:54,160 Speaker 1: A Eric Well, the vote is actually going to be 289 00:16:54,160 --> 00:16:57,280 Speaker 1: delayed until the aftermath of the impeachment trial. A least 290 00:16:58,560 --> 00:17:01,360 Speaker 1: Cone is now say wow, McConnell has now said they're 291 00:17:01,360 --> 00:17:02,800 Speaker 1: not going to vote on U. S. M c A 292 00:17:02,960 --> 00:17:05,280 Speaker 1: until after the impeachment trial. That's right, but it's not 293 00:17:05,560 --> 00:17:08,160 Speaker 1: entirely clear that the impeachment trial will start next week. 294 00:17:08,480 --> 00:17:10,760 Speaker 1: You know, McConnell will come back in on Friday and 295 00:17:10,760 --> 00:17:13,400 Speaker 1: we'll have a story on all the strategizing behind this. 296 00:17:13,480 --> 00:17:16,640 Speaker 1: But at the moment, Pelosi Nanti Pelosi, the Speaker House 297 00:17:16,720 --> 00:17:18,960 Speaker 1: is not sent over the articles of impeachments. They're kind 298 00:17:18,960 --> 00:17:21,119 Speaker 1: of in a standoff over over the shape of the trial. 299 00:17:21,240 --> 00:17:24,040 Speaker 1: They need the articles of impeachment. There's that legal debate 300 00:17:24,359 --> 00:17:26,520 Speaker 1: there is under the Senate rules. They could change the 301 00:17:26,520 --> 00:17:28,679 Speaker 1: Senate rules, but they would have to nuke the filibuster 302 00:17:28,760 --> 00:17:31,640 Speaker 1: to do that. A way McConnell will do that. So yeah, 303 00:17:31,680 --> 00:17:34,639 Speaker 1: I think, you know, I think the main thing if 304 00:17:34,680 --> 00:17:36,280 Speaker 1: you look back, you know, how long is a year. 305 00:17:36,320 --> 00:17:39,120 Speaker 1: A year ago we were in a big government shutdownstead 306 00:17:39,160 --> 00:17:41,080 Speaker 1: off thirty five days. As what we were all talking 307 00:17:41,080 --> 00:17:43,159 Speaker 1: about a year ago, I did not see any fiscal 308 00:17:43,280 --> 00:17:46,480 Speaker 1: roadbumps in the year ahead. The government's funded through September 309 00:17:46,600 --> 00:17:49,119 Speaker 1: that it will not be hiccup before the election, and 310 00:17:49,160 --> 00:17:51,080 Speaker 1: we don't have another debt ceiling crisis. Like we just 311 00:17:51,119 --> 00:17:54,320 Speaker 1: had in the past year, but we will see I 312 00:17:54,320 --> 00:17:56,639 Speaker 1: think the potential for a drug pricing deal. There's a 313 00:17:56,680 --> 00:18:01,200 Speaker 1: big fist in May Pelosia mcconnells it off a fort 314 00:18:01,200 --> 00:18:04,000 Speaker 1: the fiscal deadline for health programs, and we're looking at 315 00:18:04,040 --> 00:18:07,280 Speaker 1: the possibility of a drug pricing deal, surprise billing deal 316 00:18:07,320 --> 00:18:09,880 Speaker 1: that will have big effects on health stocks and pharmaceuticals. 317 00:18:10,359 --> 00:18:13,280 Speaker 1: We're also looking at a big debate on FISA on 318 00:18:13,560 --> 00:18:15,600 Speaker 1: you know, the whole ability to to wire tap and 319 00:18:15,920 --> 00:18:19,240 Speaker 1: surveill that's going to be expiring in March. And with 320 00:18:19,400 --> 00:18:22,840 Speaker 1: the report that came out on the FBI surveillance, uh, 321 00:18:23,119 --> 00:18:24,880 Speaker 1: inflaming the debate, that's gonna be a big one too. 322 00:18:24,960 --> 00:18:28,480 Speaker 1: I'm still on January, honestly, I'm up to mid February. 323 00:18:28,520 --> 00:18:31,000 Speaker 1: Between now and Valentine's date, Luise, it's gonna be pure 324 00:18:31,000 --> 00:18:33,960 Speaker 1: political mayhem because you've got U S. M c A. 325 00:18:34,000 --> 00:18:37,240 Speaker 1: President Trump tweeting out earlier today that on January fifteenth, 326 00:18:37,280 --> 00:18:42,000 Speaker 1: did you see this market calendar? January is the date 327 00:18:42,880 --> 00:18:45,320 Speaker 1: that President Trump has said he is going to sign 328 00:18:45,720 --> 00:18:50,040 Speaker 1: that Phase one trade deal with US and China at 329 00:18:50,080 --> 00:18:54,360 Speaker 1: the White House. And this comes following more positive headlines 330 00:18:54,400 --> 00:18:56,600 Speaker 1: coming out of Beijing. So U s m c. A. 331 00:18:57,359 --> 00:19:01,840 Speaker 1: January fifteenth, you've got the US China Phase one phase 332 00:19:02,200 --> 00:19:07,200 Speaker 1: trade deal getting inked. And then January is that Democratic 333 00:19:07,240 --> 00:19:11,840 Speaker 1: presidential debate. The Iowa caucus is on February is on 334 00:19:11,880 --> 00:19:16,040 Speaker 1: February three, I believe, And the next day, February four, 335 00:19:16,200 --> 00:19:18,400 Speaker 1: is the State of the Union address in the backdrop 336 00:19:18,440 --> 00:19:21,320 Speaker 1: of the impeachment trial. Buckle up, Louise, I'm not gonna 337 00:19:21,320 --> 00:19:23,560 Speaker 1: have time to read all those books. Well, that's why 338 00:19:23,560 --> 00:19:27,280 Speaker 1: I did all my reading this year. But you know, um, 339 00:19:27,480 --> 00:19:30,400 Speaker 1: I mean we've seen what we've seen years like this, right, Um. 340 00:19:30,400 --> 00:19:34,359 Speaker 1: I mean during the during the Clinton impeachment, it was 341 00:19:34,480 --> 00:19:38,240 Speaker 1: it was equally chaos. It was never a presidential election. 342 00:19:38,800 --> 00:19:41,320 Speaker 1: There was never a The president didn't get Clinton didn't 343 00:19:41,320 --> 00:19:43,160 Speaker 1: give the State of the Union, did he during during 344 00:19:43,160 --> 00:19:46,720 Speaker 1: the impeachment trial. Think, don't you think that we have 345 00:19:47,200 --> 00:19:52,679 Speaker 1: grown so accustomed to the breakneck pace of events, especially 346 00:19:52,720 --> 00:19:57,240 Speaker 1: with this president who uh programs events and statements and 347 00:19:57,359 --> 00:20:02,840 Speaker 1: tweets and UM and beaches and UM and all of 348 00:20:02,920 --> 00:20:07,440 Speaker 1: his activities with with the with the TV programmer's hand, 349 00:20:08,400 --> 00:20:13,359 Speaker 1: we're watching this this administration is like watching an advertisement. 350 00:20:13,400 --> 00:20:17,959 Speaker 1: It's just it's just one millisecond image after another, after another, 351 00:20:18,040 --> 00:20:21,240 Speaker 1: after another after another, and that's how the whole next 352 00:20:21,280 --> 00:20:22,600 Speaker 1: year is going to be. That has made a lot 353 00:20:22,640 --> 00:20:24,639 Speaker 1: of political punditry very difficult if you look at the 354 00:20:24,640 --> 00:20:27,160 Speaker 1: predictions that we're coming out a year ago and now 355 00:20:27,200 --> 00:20:29,679 Speaker 1: we have predictions about how the impeachment vote will affect 356 00:20:29,720 --> 00:20:33,320 Speaker 1: the upcoming election, but is a lifetime away, and nobody knows, 357 00:20:33,560 --> 00:20:37,199 Speaker 1: you know, the thousands of Trump tweets, many controversies that 358 00:20:37,320 --> 00:20:40,320 Speaker 1: go on. Of course, overall, we see the economy very strong, 359 00:20:40,359 --> 00:20:42,239 Speaker 1: and that's really in the President's favor as far as 360 00:20:42,240 --> 00:20:43,919 Speaker 1: the election. But the election will be the big story. 361 00:20:44,320 --> 00:20:47,359 Speaker 1: And if you're talking about January, Kevin uh, we have 362 00:20:47,400 --> 00:20:49,959 Speaker 1: the interesting split screen of the impeachment trial going on, 363 00:20:49,960 --> 00:20:51,960 Speaker 1: and we have five senators who are running for president 364 00:20:51,960 --> 00:20:55,000 Speaker 1: who are going to be jurors in that Gardner. We've 365 00:20:55,000 --> 00:20:57,399 Speaker 1: got Gardner, We've got Michael Bennett, We've got Elizabeth Warren, 366 00:20:57,480 --> 00:21:00,719 Speaker 1: we've got Amy Klobuchar, and we've got Bernie's Sanders. All 367 00:21:00,720 --> 00:21:03,120 Speaker 1: they're going to be silent jurors in this trial, keeping 368 00:21:03,160 --> 00:21:05,239 Speaker 1: them off the campaign trail. Would they very much want 369 00:21:05,240 --> 00:21:07,000 Speaker 1: to be and would prefer to be. That's a big 370 00:21:07,080 --> 00:21:09,200 Speaker 1: dynamic that's gonna be going on in January the Senate. 371 00:21:09,320 --> 00:21:12,000 Speaker 1: How quickly are they gonna wrap that up? And how 372 00:21:12,359 --> 00:21:14,320 Speaker 1: you know quickly are were going to see Trump at Quiddy, 373 00:21:14,320 --> 00:21:16,360 Speaker 1: which is the most likely reason. And now, Susan Collins, 374 00:21:16,440 --> 00:21:19,879 Speaker 1: did you catch this? Senator Susan Collins said she's open 375 00:21:19,920 --> 00:21:22,960 Speaker 1: to having witnesses. She of course is a Republican from Maine, 376 00:21:22,960 --> 00:21:24,919 Speaker 1: a key senator. And let's take a listen to Susan 377 00:21:24,960 --> 00:21:27,880 Speaker 1: Collins when she was on main public radio earlier here, 378 00:21:27,880 --> 00:21:32,800 Speaker 1: she is, I am open to witnesses. I think it's 379 00:21:32,920 --> 00:21:38,560 Speaker 1: premature to decide who should be called until we see 380 00:21:38,680 --> 00:21:41,720 Speaker 1: the evidence that is presented and get the answers to 381 00:21:41,800 --> 00:21:46,000 Speaker 1: the questions that we senators can submit through the Chief 382 00:21:46,080 --> 00:21:50,480 Speaker 1: Justice to both sides. Eric, I just don't you know. 383 00:21:50,520 --> 00:21:55,320 Speaker 1: I hear from Lisa Murkowski, we're hear from Senator Susan Collins. 384 00:21:55,359 --> 00:21:59,720 Speaker 1: But ultimately, what Leader McConnell decides to do Friday huddled 385 00:21:59,720 --> 00:22:02,240 Speaker 1: before everybody gets back into town, that's what's going to 386 00:22:02,320 --> 00:22:04,120 Speaker 1: set the course here. Well, he certainly has the lead 387 00:22:04,200 --> 00:22:06,479 Speaker 1: role in all of this, although Democrats point out, this 388 00:22:06,520 --> 00:22:08,879 Speaker 1: is not Merrick Garland. He doesn't control the floor entirely 389 00:22:08,960 --> 00:22:12,000 Speaker 1: fifty one senators. Uh. It takes a vote of them 390 00:22:12,280 --> 00:22:14,359 Speaker 1: to set the rules on the trial. Now, I would 391 00:22:14,400 --> 00:22:17,040 Speaker 1: note with Susan Collins, she's being critical of McConnell. She 392 00:22:17,080 --> 00:22:19,320 Speaker 1: did say it was inappropriate for him to say, you know, 393 00:22:19,359 --> 00:22:21,919 Speaker 1: he's not going to be impartial, but she did not 394 00:22:22,080 --> 00:22:25,320 Speaker 1: really buck him. His strategy is basically, let's move to 395 00:22:25,359 --> 00:22:28,320 Speaker 1: a phase one without witnesses, talk about witnesses later. That's 396 00:22:28,320 --> 00:22:30,200 Speaker 1: the exact same thing that she said in that interview. 397 00:22:30,440 --> 00:22:35,080 Speaker 1: Go ahead, Louise. Susan Collins is facing a tough re 398 00:22:35,160 --> 00:22:37,960 Speaker 1: election campaign and she's got to appear to be a 399 00:22:38,040 --> 00:22:40,440 Speaker 1: moderate she was. She's got to appear to be one 400 00:22:40,480 --> 00:22:44,480 Speaker 1: of those Republicans that Joe Biden might ask to run 401 00:22:44,480 --> 00:22:49,119 Speaker 1: as his vice president. Well, I'm joking, there's no he 402 00:22:49,240 --> 00:22:51,720 Speaker 1: ever looked. That whole thing with Joe Biden saying he 403 00:22:51,800 --> 00:22:55,800 Speaker 1: might run with it with a Republican is so so crazy. 404 00:22:56,000 --> 00:22:59,359 Speaker 1: But the premise of it in his answer, it's like, 405 00:22:59,440 --> 00:23:04,119 Speaker 1: do they so did you cover the Senate? Did they still? They? 406 00:23:04,640 --> 00:23:06,399 Speaker 1: Did they still? In spite of the fact that they 407 00:23:06,440 --> 00:23:09,760 Speaker 1: hate each other, rise to give a speech and acknowledge 408 00:23:09,800 --> 00:23:12,119 Speaker 1: their a good friend from whatever state it is. They 409 00:23:12,160 --> 00:23:14,200 Speaker 1: do and sometimes they meet. There was some really moving 410 00:23:14,359 --> 00:23:17,879 Speaker 1: u comiums to Johnny Isaacson, who just retired, one of 411 00:23:17,880 --> 00:23:20,160 Speaker 1: the few that really united people. But I do say 412 00:23:20,240 --> 00:23:23,080 Speaker 1: oftentimes it is just words. Yeah, I mean, there's just 413 00:23:23,160 --> 00:23:25,879 Speaker 1: no in this climate. Take a look you mentioned by them. 414 00:23:25,920 --> 00:23:28,200 Speaker 1: We have that sound bite. Here's former Vice President Joe 415 00:23:28,200 --> 00:23:32,800 Speaker 1: Biden talking about Republicans earlier in Exeter, New Hampshire. Here 416 00:23:32,920 --> 00:23:37,640 Speaker 1: is and there's some really decent Republicans that are out 417 00:23:37,680 --> 00:23:41,320 Speaker 1: there still. But here's the problem right now, the well 418 00:23:41,359 --> 00:23:45,280 Speaker 1: known ones. They've got to step up, do you know 419 00:23:45,280 --> 00:23:48,320 Speaker 1: what I mean? But if you go to Michigan, Wisconsin, 420 00:23:48,480 --> 00:23:52,920 Speaker 1: Ohio and you look at those independent voters, they Republicans 421 00:23:52,920 --> 00:23:56,600 Speaker 1: think that the impeachment saga is an absolute farce. Democrats 422 00:23:56,600 --> 00:23:58,639 Speaker 1: think that he should have been removed from office a 423 00:23:58,680 --> 00:24:01,479 Speaker 1: while ago. But those in dependent voters are staring at 424 00:24:01,520 --> 00:24:06,560 Speaker 1: the economy and so it might play well with Bassis, 425 00:24:06,640 --> 00:24:08,880 Speaker 1: but it's it's you know, when when President Trump does 426 00:24:08,920 --> 00:24:10,680 Speaker 1: this or former Vice President Biden does this, I'm not 427 00:24:10,720 --> 00:24:12,960 Speaker 1: sure it moves the needle at all, does it, Louise Well, 428 00:24:13,280 --> 00:24:16,440 Speaker 1: I thought it was supposed to be the no malarkey tour, right, 429 00:24:16,920 --> 00:24:22,240 Speaker 1: It's just the biggest bunch of malarkey I ever. Come 430 00:24:22,320 --> 00:24:28,520 Speaker 1: on coming up. I'm staying out. Listen. I got one 431 00:24:28,560 --> 00:24:31,280 Speaker 1: more show before the end of the year, and we're 432 00:24:31,280 --> 00:24:35,320 Speaker 1: gonna not say anything coming up. No, I but I 433 00:24:35,359 --> 00:24:38,040 Speaker 1: but I think it speaks to a larger his effort. 434 00:24:38,240 --> 00:24:41,280 Speaker 1: And he's been consistent on this point former Vice President 435 00:24:41,280 --> 00:24:44,800 Speaker 1: Biden about trying to win over some of those more 436 00:24:44,880 --> 00:24:47,960 Speaker 1: independent voters and that he was the top negotiator in 437 00:24:48,000 --> 00:24:50,879 Speaker 1: the administration to Mitch McConnell. He does have a history 438 00:24:50,880 --> 00:24:53,800 Speaker 1: of bipartisanship and that's something he gets criticized from the life. 439 00:24:53,800 --> 00:24:55,760 Speaker 1: So there is some truth to it. But obviously the 440 00:24:55,800 --> 00:24:58,000 Speaker 1: idea of him running with Replican is not gonna happen. 441 00:24:58,040 --> 00:25:00,240 Speaker 1: That I would say, I would be stunned. This is 442 00:25:00,240 --> 00:25:02,360 Speaker 1: my I don't predict. But should he pick up Republican, 443 00:25:02,400 --> 00:25:05,439 Speaker 1: it would be newsworthy. Download The Bloomberg is not on 444 00:25:05,440 --> 00:25:08,000 Speaker 1: podcast on Apple, It tunes up by downloading the Bloomberg 445 00:25:08,000 --> 00:25:11,600 Speaker 1: Business app or uh Bloomberg dot com. You can also 446 00:25:11,680 --> 00:25:14,359 Speaker 1: find us on Radio, dot Com, I Heart Radio and Spotify. 447 00:25:14,480 --> 00:25:26,119 Speaker 1: I'm Kevin Sirelli. You're listening to Bloomberg. This is Bloomberg's 448 00:25:26,200 --> 00:25:30,800 Speaker 1: Sound On with Kevin Surley on Bloomberg and one oh 449 00:25:30,920 --> 00:25:36,240 Speaker 1: five point seven f m h D two, New Year's Eve, 450 00:25:36,359 --> 00:25:40,800 Speaker 1: New decade, New start. Where would you be ten years 451 00:25:40,840 --> 00:25:43,400 Speaker 1: from now? Where will you be twelve months from now? 452 00:25:43,600 --> 00:25:45,840 Speaker 1: Where's my mom says? Is it gonna matter in ten minutes, 453 00:25:45,920 --> 00:25:49,880 Speaker 1: ten days or ten years from now? Ten, ten, and ten? 454 00:25:50,359 --> 00:25:53,760 Speaker 1: I'm Kevin Sereli, Chief Washington correspondent for Bloomberg Television and 455 00:25:53,840 --> 00:25:58,280 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Radio. Luis ky Avoni's here, Eric Wasson, is here 456 00:25:58,480 --> 00:26:04,560 Speaker 1: favorite news story of the decade? Well, I don't know 457 00:26:04,600 --> 00:26:06,639 Speaker 1: if this is my favorite news story of the decade, 458 00:26:06,640 --> 00:26:09,240 Speaker 1: but it is my favorite news story of the moment, 459 00:26:09,280 --> 00:26:13,760 Speaker 1: and that is the escape of your cost cuts. Carlos going. 460 00:26:13,920 --> 00:26:15,880 Speaker 1: This is what's on your radar. This is you came 461 00:26:15,920 --> 00:26:18,200 Speaker 1: into the bureau today. Tell me that I said, yeah, 462 00:26:18,200 --> 00:26:20,760 Speaker 1: I was following it. I was following, Luise, But tell 463 00:26:20,840 --> 00:26:22,560 Speaker 1: me break it down for why why are you're so 464 00:26:22,600 --> 00:26:24,879 Speaker 1: obsessed with the story. Well, first of all, I have 465 00:26:24,960 --> 00:26:27,560 Speaker 1: been talking about Carlos going in my classes at Johns 466 00:26:27,600 --> 00:26:31,399 Speaker 1: Hopkins University Carey Business School. UM, if you never allowed 467 00:26:31,440 --> 00:26:34,000 Speaker 1: me to go to well, it seems to me you're 468 00:26:34,040 --> 00:26:38,159 Speaker 1: always busy. We can we can revisit that in the 469 00:26:38,160 --> 00:26:41,240 Speaker 1: new year. But any Loza ill be there. He is 470 00:26:41,280 --> 00:26:46,760 Speaker 1: a fascinating, fascinating, dynamic, charismatic, brilliant leader. And he was 471 00:26:46,880 --> 00:26:52,680 Speaker 1: arrested for financial irregularities. Um, and was asked by Nissan 472 00:26:52,880 --> 00:26:55,560 Speaker 1: and arrested it in Japan and in and out of 473 00:26:55,840 --> 00:26:59,399 Speaker 1: jail in Japan. But I love the latest take on 474 00:26:59,480 --> 00:27:03,760 Speaker 1: how this happened. UM that, according to The New York Post, 475 00:27:03,840 --> 00:27:08,840 Speaker 1: while awaiting trial, the sixty five year old former Nissan CEO, 476 00:27:08,920 --> 00:27:12,520 Speaker 1: the New York Post reports, was loaded into an empty 477 00:27:12,760 --> 00:27:17,199 Speaker 1: musical instrument case. I just listened to this after receiving 478 00:27:17,200 --> 00:27:20,680 Speaker 1: a visit at his home in Tokyo from a musical 479 00:27:20,800 --> 00:27:26,359 Speaker 1: band whose members turned out to be mercenaries, Lebanese TV 480 00:27:26,480 --> 00:27:30,920 Speaker 1: news channel MTV said Tuesday. I mean, first of all, 481 00:27:31,640 --> 00:27:35,480 Speaker 1: he was so closely watched in Tokyo. The notion that 482 00:27:35,560 --> 00:27:39,920 Speaker 1: these authorities in Tokyo would let these Gregorian chant banned 483 00:27:39,960 --> 00:27:43,560 Speaker 1: people into his house and talk Tokyo is so irregular 484 00:27:43,640 --> 00:27:47,320 Speaker 1: and strange anyway, didn't they think that was strange? But 485 00:27:47,520 --> 00:27:51,720 Speaker 1: according to Lebanese TV news channel MTV, they loaded him 486 00:27:51,720 --> 00:27:55,840 Speaker 1: into one of these boxes, transferred the box containing Gone 487 00:27:55,920 --> 00:27:58,480 Speaker 1: and there are other instruments onto a plan for a 488 00:27:58,520 --> 00:28:02,840 Speaker 1: local flight flown from east on Bull into Lebanon, where 489 00:28:03,160 --> 00:28:07,240 Speaker 1: he is from and his current and former wife, both 490 00:28:07,240 --> 00:28:10,040 Speaker 1: of them, all of them are from and he has 491 00:28:10,040 --> 00:28:13,359 Speaker 1: a big favorite son in Lebanon. But he arrives in 492 00:28:13,440 --> 00:28:16,960 Speaker 1: that country at a time when the country is facing 493 00:28:17,160 --> 00:28:21,080 Speaker 1: very very rough economic times, a lot of rejection of 494 00:28:21,119 --> 00:28:30,800 Speaker 1: the old, very rich. Carlos Goad, the former CEO of 495 00:28:31,000 --> 00:28:36,800 Speaker 1: Nissan Mitsubishi, arrested back in November of two thousand and 496 00:28:36,960 --> 00:28:42,560 Speaker 1: eighteen for financial misconduct, to put it mildly, then he 497 00:28:42,840 --> 00:28:45,840 Speaker 1: escapes because he was held in jail. Think about this, 498 00:28:46,120 --> 00:28:48,800 Speaker 1: Think about You can't even make this up if you 499 00:28:48,920 --> 00:28:51,320 Speaker 1: wanted to. He's held in jail for the start of 500 00:28:51,360 --> 00:28:53,800 Speaker 1: his trial, which was going to begin next year, and 501 00:28:53,800 --> 00:28:57,160 Speaker 1: then he gets shoved in a music case. He but 502 00:28:57,160 --> 00:28:58,800 Speaker 1: but he was in and out of jail, he was 503 00:28:58,840 --> 00:29:01,320 Speaker 1: at home on house rest, but he shoved in a 504 00:29:01,400 --> 00:29:05,200 Speaker 1: music case to go to Lebanon. I mean, you really 505 00:29:05,200 --> 00:29:07,040 Speaker 1: can't make it up. And I will say this, You 506 00:29:07,120 --> 00:29:09,920 Speaker 1: hear the story and it's it's fascinating. It's one that's 507 00:29:09,960 --> 00:29:13,640 Speaker 1: worth reporting on. Bloomberg has done tremendous coverage of this 508 00:29:13,680 --> 00:29:16,920 Speaker 1: story all throughout the day. My colleagues on Bloomberg Television 509 00:29:17,200 --> 00:29:19,640 Speaker 1: have really been all over this. But you hear this 510 00:29:19,680 --> 00:29:21,840 Speaker 1: story and you put it through the prism of criminal 511 00:29:21,960 --> 00:29:24,440 Speaker 1: justice reform and how this guy is going to be 512 00:29:24,480 --> 00:29:26,920 Speaker 1: able to pay to get off the hook, and you 513 00:29:27,000 --> 00:29:30,720 Speaker 1: go to to to in America, pick any pick any 514 00:29:30,760 --> 00:29:34,520 Speaker 1: town in America, and you see how folks are are 515 00:29:34,560 --> 00:29:38,920 Speaker 1: put in jail for for just you know, misdemeanors that 516 00:29:38,920 --> 00:29:41,560 Speaker 1: aren't even that that likely that that are legal. Now, 517 00:29:41,640 --> 00:29:44,640 Speaker 1: let's agree that that's let's agree that that's but there's 518 00:29:44,640 --> 00:29:48,440 Speaker 1: all there's a whole other thing, right, And uh so 519 00:29:48,560 --> 00:29:52,760 Speaker 1: Carlos Gone is saying that he was unfairly accused, and 520 00:29:52,840 --> 00:29:55,680 Speaker 1: whether or not that's true, I'm certainly not going to 521 00:29:55,680 --> 00:30:01,240 Speaker 1: weigh in. But but but but the evidence is that 522 00:30:02,040 --> 00:30:07,680 Speaker 1: the Japanese government has a case of achieving criminal convictions. 523 00:30:08,680 --> 00:30:11,600 Speaker 1: It's it's fascinating, though, I mean, by fleeing, you're not 524 00:30:11,640 --> 00:30:14,480 Speaker 1: giving yourself that trial. All right, that that isn't that's 525 00:30:14,480 --> 00:30:16,200 Speaker 1: a that's a I love this story. I can't wait 526 00:30:16,200 --> 00:30:19,680 Speaker 1: for the movie. Well, I mean there's a lot of 527 00:30:19,720 --> 00:30:23,000 Speaker 1: movies that I never I was gonna never mind anyway, Eric, 528 00:30:23,040 --> 00:30:24,720 Speaker 1: what's on your radar, buddy? Well, I think one of 529 00:30:24,720 --> 00:30:26,440 Speaker 1: the key stories for people to look at as far 530 00:30:26,440 --> 00:30:28,640 Speaker 1: as Congress is where the Senate is gonna flip? You know, 531 00:30:29,000 --> 00:30:32,400 Speaker 1: none of these uh proposals by Bernie Sanders Elizabeth Warren 532 00:30:32,880 --> 00:30:36,120 Speaker 1: that have Wall Street so concerned I really have a 533 00:30:36,120 --> 00:30:38,800 Speaker 1: prayer of getting passed unless the Senate becomes democratic, and 534 00:30:38,840 --> 00:30:41,840 Speaker 1: there's an increasing chance that it will. There's new opportunities 535 00:30:41,840 --> 00:30:44,640 Speaker 1: that have opened with the retirement of Johnny Isaacson and 536 00:30:44,720 --> 00:30:48,080 Speaker 1: Georgia that the chance that Mike Pompeio won't run in 537 00:30:48,200 --> 00:30:51,040 Speaker 1: Kansas and that goes to Chris Kobac as a GP nominee. 538 00:30:51,120 --> 00:30:54,160 Speaker 1: There's a real increasing chance that the Senate, you know, 539 00:30:54,240 --> 00:30:55,920 Speaker 1: could flip. I think that's something that we that people 540 00:30:55,960 --> 00:30:58,400 Speaker 1: should pay attention to because it could change what kind 541 00:30:58,400 --> 00:31:00,600 Speaker 1: of policies. But do you think the Senate they could flip? 542 00:31:00,840 --> 00:31:02,959 Speaker 1: It's it's an increasing chance of that, whereas a year 543 00:31:03,000 --> 00:31:05,240 Speaker 1: ago it didn't seem likely at all. So you know 544 00:31:05,240 --> 00:31:07,080 Speaker 1: that would affect a lot of policies, whether it's from 545 00:31:07,120 --> 00:31:10,400 Speaker 1: tax or or you know, healthcare, al benicare. What do 546 00:31:10,440 --> 00:31:13,440 Speaker 1: you think the driving factor is that that now makes 547 00:31:13,440 --> 00:31:16,160 Speaker 1: you question that the that the Senate could flip. Well, 548 00:31:16,200 --> 00:31:19,560 Speaker 1: Trump's continued unpopularity, I mean, impeachment didn't really increase his 549 00:31:19,600 --> 00:31:23,200 Speaker 1: unpopularity remains unpopular and underwater. And that's a big driving factor. 550 00:31:23,280 --> 00:31:25,360 Speaker 1: Despite the economy that which is not moving it up. 551 00:31:25,560 --> 00:31:27,480 Speaker 1: And then there's the fact that there's new opportunities that 552 00:31:27,520 --> 00:31:30,080 Speaker 1: are opening up, whether it's the retirement of Pat Robertson 553 00:31:30,360 --> 00:31:34,480 Speaker 1: in Kansas or to Georgia retirements as well. And also 554 00:31:34,560 --> 00:31:36,400 Speaker 1: just the dynamics that are going to play in the Senate. 555 00:31:36,400 --> 00:31:39,800 Speaker 1: We have Senate increasingly interested in challenging Trump on human rights, 556 00:31:39,800 --> 00:31:42,280 Speaker 1: to sort of establish its own track record again with 557 00:31:42,360 --> 00:31:44,760 Speaker 1: drug pricing, trying to come up with some kind of 558 00:31:45,000 --> 00:31:48,200 Speaker 1: UH deal to just the number one concern of voters, 559 00:31:48,200 --> 00:31:52,320 Speaker 1: which is the skyrocketing price of drugs in America, and 560 00:31:52,320 --> 00:31:55,440 Speaker 1: and possibly even developing infrastructure planned by the fall. So 561 00:31:55,520 --> 00:31:57,280 Speaker 1: you know, these are things I want to be watching. 562 00:31:57,520 --> 00:32:00,520 Speaker 1: It's a lot to watch lots of you know what's 563 00:32:00,520 --> 00:32:03,239 Speaker 1: on my ranar? Kim Jong n Did you see this? 564 00:32:03,600 --> 00:32:06,200 Speaker 1: North Korean leader? Reading from the Associated Press, North Korean 565 00:32:06,280 --> 00:32:10,200 Speaker 1: leader Kim Jong un called for his military and diplomats 566 00:32:10,240 --> 00:32:15,080 Speaker 1: to prepare unspecified offensive measures to protect the country's security 567 00:32:15,160 --> 00:32:19,360 Speaker 1: and sovereignty, the North Korean state media said on Monday, 568 00:32:19,360 --> 00:32:21,520 Speaker 1: before his end of the year deadline for the Trump 569 00:32:21,560 --> 00:32:26,640 Speaker 1: administration to make major concessions to salvage a fragile nuclear diplomacy. 570 00:32:26,760 --> 00:32:29,440 Speaker 1: So with tensions. We started the show off by talking 571 00:32:29,480 --> 00:32:34,600 Speaker 1: about Iran and Iraq and now this brewing North Korea situation. 572 00:32:35,200 --> 00:32:38,280 Speaker 1: It's going to be interesting. And there's the elect the election. 573 00:32:38,400 --> 00:32:41,160 Speaker 1: Don't forget about the presidential election. Okay. My favorite book 574 00:32:41,160 --> 00:32:44,080 Speaker 1: of the year can't Wait. Well, my favorite book last year, 575 00:32:44,480 --> 00:32:47,360 Speaker 1: which still is one of my all time favorite books. 576 00:32:47,360 --> 00:32:50,160 Speaker 1: It's called Daring to Drive by Minal al Sharif. It 577 00:32:50,240 --> 00:32:53,400 Speaker 1: is the memoir of one of the activists in Saudi 578 00:32:53,400 --> 00:32:58,280 Speaker 1: Arabia who posted on social media her driving a car 579 00:32:58,520 --> 00:33:00,760 Speaker 1: and back a couple of years years ago until I 580 00:33:00,760 --> 00:33:03,640 Speaker 1: believe only in the last two years. It was against 581 00:33:03,640 --> 00:33:07,520 Speaker 1: Saudi custom for women to drive cars in Saudi Arabia, 582 00:33:07,680 --> 00:33:12,560 Speaker 1: This book is a fascinating accounts of a of a 583 00:33:12,600 --> 00:33:17,560 Speaker 1: Saudi Aramco employee who posted on various social media accounts 584 00:33:17,960 --> 00:33:20,640 Speaker 1: and she was jailed and prisoned, and it's it's a 585 00:33:20,720 --> 00:33:24,840 Speaker 1: really fascinating look into Saudi Arabia and just how much 586 00:33:25,360 --> 00:33:29,920 Speaker 1: they lag behind on basic rights and and issues. But 587 00:33:30,000 --> 00:33:34,240 Speaker 1: my favorite book this year is fiction and it's called 588 00:33:35,240 --> 00:33:38,200 Speaker 1: The End of the World Running Club by Adrian Walker, 589 00:33:38,240 --> 00:33:39,960 Speaker 1: and it's about asteroid that hits the Earth and this 590 00:33:40,040 --> 00:33:43,200 Speaker 1: guy has to run across the country to save his family. 591 00:33:44,360 --> 00:33:47,480 Speaker 1: It could have been the title of my memoir why 592 00:33:48,080 --> 00:33:55,240 Speaker 1: sometimes the news feels like I'm kidding happy. Thanks for 593 00:33:55,360 --> 00:34:00,800 Speaker 1: spending it with you know, and thank you for listening. 594 00:34:00,840 --> 00:34:03,600 Speaker 1: If you're out there, Please be safe tonight. Please drive 595 00:34:03,640 --> 00:34:06,920 Speaker 1: safe tonight. Please drive safe tonight, Please drive safe to 596 00:34:08,440 --> 00:34:11,719 Speaker 1: or taken uber and just be safe. It's not worth it, everybody. 597 00:34:12,080 --> 00:34:14,480 Speaker 1: And Happy New Year. Thanks for following along. So much 598 00:34:14,480 --> 00:34:16,799 Speaker 1: news to get through next year. I have off for 599 00:34:16,800 --> 00:34:19,480 Speaker 1: the rest of the week. I will be back on Monday. 600 00:34:19,560 --> 00:34:23,319 Speaker 1: And Eric Wawson just got me alert. It looks like 601 00:34:23,360 --> 00:34:25,000 Speaker 1: there's a lot of news. Happy to hear everybody. I'm 602 00:34:25,040 --> 00:34:26,480 Speaker 1: Kevin Silli you're listening to bluebird,