1 00:00:10,360 --> 00:00:13,080 Speaker 1: Hey guys, how are you welcome to the start of 2 00:00:13,160 --> 00:00:15,880 Speaker 1: the NCAA tournament for the Daily Juice. My name is 3 00:00:15,880 --> 00:00:18,920 Speaker 1: Matt Perrault. We are here on a Thursday morning. Thanks 4 00:00:18,920 --> 00:00:22,680 Speaker 1: to BETMGM always on Bettingpros dot com. This podcast found 5 00:00:22,760 --> 00:00:26,280 Speaker 1: wherever you guys get your podcasts, and now on YouTube 6 00:00:26,560 --> 00:00:29,040 Speaker 1: every single morning on the Betting Pros YouTube channel. 7 00:00:29,040 --> 00:00:31,080 Speaker 2: We have got a ton to get you on this 8 00:00:31,160 --> 00:00:31,880 Speaker 2: show today. 9 00:00:32,200 --> 00:00:34,400 Speaker 1: It's going to be a very busy couple of days, 10 00:00:34,440 --> 00:00:36,840 Speaker 1: all right, So I've got offers to tell you about 11 00:00:36,960 --> 00:00:39,599 Speaker 1: our bracket contest, tell you about I'm gonna give you 12 00:00:39,680 --> 00:00:44,360 Speaker 1: two plays today, one on Thursday and one on Friday. 13 00:00:44,600 --> 00:00:45,360 Speaker 2: Here's the thing. 14 00:00:45,680 --> 00:00:48,720 Speaker 1: We're doing a live stream coming up tonight at nine 15 00:00:48,760 --> 00:00:52,040 Speaker 1: pm Eastern six pm Pacific time, which is going to 16 00:00:52,159 --> 00:00:56,480 Speaker 1: serve as the Daily Juice podcast for Friday morning. Okay, 17 00:00:56,800 --> 00:00:58,560 Speaker 1: It's going to be a thirty to forty five minute 18 00:00:58,600 --> 00:01:01,600 Speaker 1: podcast live stream on our YouTube channel, and I'm going to. 19 00:01:01,640 --> 00:01:03,440 Speaker 2: Give you all the plays for Friday. 20 00:01:03,720 --> 00:01:06,760 Speaker 1: Then on Saturday morning at eleven am Eastern time eight 21 00:01:06,800 --> 00:01:09,360 Speaker 1: a m. Pacific time, I'm back on again. I'm gonna 22 00:01:09,400 --> 00:01:12,000 Speaker 1: give you all the plays coming up on Saturday. 23 00:01:12,120 --> 00:01:12,440 Speaker 2: Morning. 24 00:01:12,480 --> 00:01:15,679 Speaker 1: Okay, there's gonna be a podcast as well on Friday 25 00:01:15,760 --> 00:01:19,119 Speaker 1: night dropping Saturday morning for the Daily Juice. So it's 26 00:01:19,360 --> 00:01:23,360 Speaker 1: all kind of convoluting crazy. I am super super busy 27 00:01:23,440 --> 00:01:29,160 Speaker 1: here and I made I fired on eleven bets tonight. Okay, 28 00:01:29,200 --> 00:01:30,679 Speaker 1: I just decided I'm too busy. 29 00:01:30,800 --> 00:01:31,440 Speaker 2: I can't wait. 30 00:01:31,760 --> 00:01:34,319 Speaker 1: I like these sides. I was looking in shopping for numbers. 31 00:01:34,560 --> 00:01:37,120 Speaker 1: I just fired on a bunch. I can't give them 32 00:01:37,200 --> 00:01:39,320 Speaker 1: all to you right now because we'd be here for 33 00:01:39,360 --> 00:01:41,400 Speaker 1: like eight hours if I did that. I can't break 34 00:01:41,440 --> 00:01:44,080 Speaker 1: down every game, so I'm trying my hardest to figure 35 00:01:44,080 --> 00:01:45,800 Speaker 1: out how to give these bets out to you guys 36 00:01:46,040 --> 00:01:48,520 Speaker 1: in the right way. But we have a play tonight. 37 00:01:48,680 --> 00:01:51,520 Speaker 1: We have two already Drake plus two in Michigan State 38 00:01:51,520 --> 00:01:53,560 Speaker 1: mist one and a half. Those are already going tonight 39 00:01:53,600 --> 00:01:55,520 Speaker 1: on a Thursday. Got one more play to give you. 40 00:01:55,600 --> 00:01:58,040 Speaker 1: I'm not touching Norfolk State in app States. That game 41 00:01:58,040 --> 00:02:00,000 Speaker 1: I'm gonna avoid, but I have a play coming up 42 00:02:00,040 --> 00:02:02,720 Speaker 1: with them Mount in their game against Texas Southern. And 43 00:02:02,760 --> 00:02:06,320 Speaker 1: then I got four bets going on Friday, and I've 44 00:02:06,360 --> 00:02:09,640 Speaker 1: got five bets going on Saturday, and I'm just trying 45 00:02:09,639 --> 00:02:11,240 Speaker 1: to figure out the best way to give these bets 46 00:02:11,240 --> 00:02:12,919 Speaker 1: to you guys, so you have them all. But we're 47 00:02:12,919 --> 00:02:15,520 Speaker 1: gonna do two bets here today and then the live 48 00:02:15,560 --> 00:02:19,160 Speaker 1: stream at nine am, sorry, nine pm excuse me Eastern 49 00:02:19,200 --> 00:02:21,440 Speaker 1: time on the YouTube channel for Betting Pros six pm 50 00:02:21,440 --> 00:02:22,040 Speaker 1: Pacific time. 51 00:02:22,080 --> 00:02:22,919 Speaker 2: I'll give you the rest. 52 00:02:23,040 --> 00:02:25,120 Speaker 1: I'll make a pick on every game on the for 53 00:02:25,240 --> 00:02:27,840 Speaker 1: all sixteen games, I'll give you a pick if you 54 00:02:27,840 --> 00:02:29,440 Speaker 1: want to trail it or not. I'm gonna track it 55 00:02:29,480 --> 00:02:31,440 Speaker 1: for Friday and Saturday, but we'll do that on Friday 56 00:02:31,680 --> 00:02:34,400 Speaker 1: and Saturday morning for both, or Thursday night for end, 57 00:02:34,400 --> 00:02:37,400 Speaker 1: then Saturday morning for the live streams okay, so live 58 00:02:37,440 --> 00:02:42,120 Speaker 1: stream Thursday lot night, live stream Saturday morning. 59 00:02:42,320 --> 00:02:42,639 Speaker 2: Okay. 60 00:02:43,080 --> 00:02:46,120 Speaker 1: A couple of things. Okay, So the bracket contest is 61 00:02:46,160 --> 00:02:48,680 Speaker 1: being brought to you by our friends at Fox Bet. 62 00:02:49,480 --> 00:02:53,600 Speaker 1: There are two contests okay Bettingpros dot com slash bracket. 63 00:02:53,800 --> 00:02:56,280 Speaker 1: There is one for the Juice and there is one 64 00:02:56,400 --> 00:03:00,000 Speaker 1: for in the general contest. The general contest is five 65 00:03:00,760 --> 00:03:04,080 Speaker 1: in a shack signed jersey thanks to Pristine Auction Okay, 66 00:03:04,320 --> 00:03:06,920 Speaker 1: other gear as well. The second one is for the 67 00:03:06,960 --> 00:03:10,120 Speaker 1: Daily Juice Discord members, and that is going to be 68 00:03:10,280 --> 00:03:14,360 Speaker 1: very cool because that is a autographed Larry Bird sign, 69 00:03:14,560 --> 00:03:18,000 Speaker 1: basketball other swag as well to be given away. Okay, 70 00:03:18,639 --> 00:03:21,720 Speaker 1: so bettingpros dot Com Slash Bracket, it's where you're going 71 00:03:21,800 --> 00:03:25,000 Speaker 1: to go and do this. It's important to figure something 72 00:03:25,000 --> 00:03:28,320 Speaker 1: out or to watch here. Okay, the guys on our 73 00:03:28,400 --> 00:03:31,200 Speaker 1: tech side wanted me to pass along that this is 74 00:03:31,240 --> 00:03:34,200 Speaker 1: the first time they've done the bracket contest, and since 75 00:03:34,360 --> 00:03:37,480 Speaker 1: there has been some you know, some unique stuff going on, 76 00:03:38,040 --> 00:03:40,760 Speaker 1: there's a bug and they've discovered the bug and they 77 00:03:40,800 --> 00:03:44,400 Speaker 1: want to make sure that everyone is entered into both contests, 78 00:03:44,440 --> 00:03:46,280 Speaker 1: the Daily Juice Contest. You guys are listening to the 79 00:03:46,320 --> 00:03:49,320 Speaker 1: Daily Juice and the General Contest as well. So go 80 00:03:49,360 --> 00:03:52,520 Speaker 1: to bettingpros dot Com slash Bracket and there'll be a 81 00:03:52,560 --> 00:03:55,080 Speaker 1: message there telling you that you're in the Juice contest. 82 00:03:55,440 --> 00:03:58,680 Speaker 1: If there isn't, just re enter your bracket again. We're 83 00:03:58,720 --> 00:04:00,520 Speaker 1: sorry for that. We're gonna get all the kid out. 84 00:04:00,560 --> 00:04:02,360 Speaker 1: Want to make sure that you've entered into the Betting 85 00:04:02,400 --> 00:04:05,440 Speaker 1: Pros dot Com Slash Bracket contest. Double check it. The 86 00:04:05,480 --> 00:04:10,120 Speaker 1: message should read this. It should read that this bracket 87 00:04:10,160 --> 00:04:13,280 Speaker 1: is entered into both the main Bracket contest and the 88 00:04:13,360 --> 00:04:14,840 Speaker 1: Daily Juice Listener contest. 89 00:04:15,080 --> 00:04:17,640 Speaker 2: Good luck. Okay, it's important that you double check that 90 00:04:17,680 --> 00:04:20,320 Speaker 2: and make sure you're there thanks to our friends at 91 00:04:20,440 --> 00:04:22,440 Speaker 2: Fox bet Okay, very very cool. 92 00:04:22,800 --> 00:04:26,400 Speaker 1: Also use that bracket optimizer. It can let you optimize 93 00:04:26,480 --> 00:04:31,160 Speaker 1: your entire bracket based on scoring system, pool size, consensus, 94 00:04:31,160 --> 00:04:34,080 Speaker 1: bracket picks and whatnot. Totally customizable and totally set up 95 00:04:34,120 --> 00:04:37,680 Speaker 1: for just your own bracket contest. So check out the 96 00:04:37,680 --> 00:04:41,480 Speaker 1: bracket optimizer on the Betting Pros application that's available now. 97 00:04:41,600 --> 00:04:43,800 Speaker 1: You need to update your app by the way to 98 00:04:43,920 --> 00:04:46,760 Speaker 1: get that. Okay, there is an update you have not downloaded. 99 00:04:46,760 --> 00:04:48,440 Speaker 1: The app is downloaded once and you get it. But 100 00:04:48,480 --> 00:04:50,760 Speaker 1: if you have the Betting Pros app already, update it 101 00:04:50,920 --> 00:04:53,320 Speaker 1: and you'll get the bracket optimizer coming up here for 102 00:04:54,360 --> 00:04:57,279 Speaker 1: the bracket contest that will be starting coming up on Friday, 103 00:04:57,360 --> 00:04:59,240 Speaker 1: after we get the play in games going. 104 00:04:59,320 --> 00:05:01,440 Speaker 2: Okay, one in one. 105 00:05:01,360 --> 00:05:04,680 Speaker 1: Yesterday we wound up up a tiny, tiny bit because 106 00:05:04,720 --> 00:05:06,120 Speaker 1: the Winnipig Jets win an overtime. 107 00:05:06,160 --> 00:05:07,839 Speaker 2: They blew a three to one lead. We keep on 108 00:05:07,880 --> 00:05:11,599 Speaker 2: blowing three one leads in the third period, but overtime. 109 00:05:11,600 --> 00:05:12,680 Speaker 2: What's good to us Pegs. 110 00:05:13,080 --> 00:05:15,000 Speaker 1: The Peg wins it in money with the money line 111 00:05:15,000 --> 00:05:17,760 Speaker 1: at plus one eleven against Montreal, and then we go 112 00:05:17,800 --> 00:05:19,880 Speaker 1: to overtime with the Bucks, who played pathetically in the 113 00:05:19,920 --> 00:05:22,600 Speaker 1: first half. They win the game by four. Five and 114 00:05:22,600 --> 00:05:24,920 Speaker 1: a half points was the line that we bet. Unfortunately 115 00:05:24,920 --> 00:05:27,640 Speaker 1: they don't cover that. Philadelphia loses, Bucks don't cover. 116 00:05:28,000 --> 00:05:30,880 Speaker 2: Blah. That's stunk. That was annoying. But a one in 117 00:05:30,960 --> 00:05:32,279 Speaker 2: one night for us coming. 118 00:05:32,160 --> 00:05:34,640 Speaker 1: Up here for last night, but up just a little 119 00:05:34,640 --> 00:05:36,160 Speaker 1: bit because of the plus money we got with the 120 00:05:36,160 --> 00:05:39,599 Speaker 1: Winnipeg Jets on the money line. So tiny up, but 121 00:05:39,720 --> 00:05:42,440 Speaker 1: still up better than losing right to a tiny, tiny 122 00:05:42,440 --> 00:05:45,360 Speaker 1: margin of profit for us here on a Wednesday. So 123 00:05:45,440 --> 00:05:48,840 Speaker 1: on Thursday, Drake plus two Michigan State minus one and 124 00:05:48,880 --> 00:05:51,359 Speaker 1: a half. Okay, let's go with one more game that 125 00:05:51,440 --> 00:05:53,719 Speaker 1: we can talk about coming up here tonight, and let's 126 00:05:53,720 --> 00:05:56,760 Speaker 1: talk about Mount Saint Mary's taking on Texas Southern. 127 00:05:56,839 --> 00:05:58,320 Speaker 2: Okay, here's the thing. 128 00:05:58,960 --> 00:06:01,359 Speaker 1: I haven't watched much with Mount Saint Mary's except I 129 00:06:01,360 --> 00:06:03,840 Speaker 1: did watch the game against Bryant. Why because we were 130 00:06:03,839 --> 00:06:06,080 Speaker 1: on Bryant and we lost it. Here's the thing with 131 00:06:06,120 --> 00:06:08,160 Speaker 1: Mount Saint Mary's, with the way they've been Over the 132 00:06:08,240 --> 00:06:11,960 Speaker 1: last couple of weeks, they are on a run. They 133 00:06:11,960 --> 00:06:15,160 Speaker 1: have covered four straight games. They were catching one and 134 00:06:15,160 --> 00:06:17,480 Speaker 1: a half to Fairley Dickinson, they won by thirteen. They 135 00:06:17,480 --> 00:06:19,760 Speaker 1: were catching. There were two point favorites against Saint Francis, 136 00:06:19,800 --> 00:06:21,520 Speaker 1: they won by seven. They were four and a half 137 00:06:21,560 --> 00:06:23,960 Speaker 1: point dogs to Wagner, they won by six. There were 138 00:06:24,000 --> 00:06:25,800 Speaker 1: six and a half point dogs against Bryant, they won 139 00:06:25,839 --> 00:06:29,359 Speaker 1: by five. On the other side, Texas Southern has been 140 00:06:29,400 --> 00:06:32,040 Speaker 1: playing really well as well. They were five and a 141 00:06:32,040 --> 00:06:34,920 Speaker 1: half point favorites against Southern, they won by six. Alcorn 142 00:06:34,960 --> 00:06:36,560 Speaker 1: State eight and a half point favorites they won by 143 00:06:36,600 --> 00:06:39,040 Speaker 1: twenty three. Jackson State two and a half point favorites, 144 00:06:39,080 --> 00:06:41,760 Speaker 1: they won by three. In prayer View three point favorites, 145 00:06:41,800 --> 00:06:44,800 Speaker 1: they won by nineteen. Here's the thing, when you start 146 00:06:44,839 --> 00:06:48,200 Speaker 1: digging deep into this game. The line right now is 147 00:06:48,240 --> 00:06:52,600 Speaker 1: Mount Saint Mary's minus one. I took this alle at 148 00:06:52,640 --> 00:06:55,640 Speaker 1: a pick is when I grab this, Okay, I don't 149 00:06:55,640 --> 00:06:56,440 Speaker 1: mind minus one. 150 00:06:56,560 --> 00:06:59,039 Speaker 2: It's the same thing, basically. Okay, when you look at 151 00:06:59,040 --> 00:06:59,960 Speaker 2: the numbers. 152 00:06:59,800 --> 00:07:02,960 Speaker 1: Texas Southern averages seventy three point six points per game. 153 00:07:03,080 --> 00:07:05,920 Speaker 1: Mount Saint Mary's is giving up sixty two point three 154 00:07:06,000 --> 00:07:08,520 Speaker 1: points per game. That is fifteenth best in the country. 155 00:07:08,920 --> 00:07:11,640 Speaker 1: On the other side, Mount Saint Mary's doesn't score very much, 156 00:07:11,760 --> 00:07:14,960 Speaker 1: sixty three point seven points. That's three hundred and seventeenth 157 00:07:15,040 --> 00:07:17,840 Speaker 1: in the country. But on the other side, Texas Southern 158 00:07:17,880 --> 00:07:20,480 Speaker 1: gives up seventy point one points per game. That's one 159 00:07:20,560 --> 00:07:23,880 Speaker 1: hundred and forty six. Here's the big number that jumps 160 00:07:23,880 --> 00:07:27,240 Speaker 1: out at me. Okay, Texas Southern does not shoot the 161 00:07:27,240 --> 00:07:29,880 Speaker 1: ball well from behind the three point line. They are 162 00:07:29,960 --> 00:07:33,680 Speaker 1: twenty seven point nine percent that is three hundred and 163 00:07:33,720 --> 00:07:35,960 Speaker 1: forty second in the country. 164 00:07:36,360 --> 00:07:37,000 Speaker 2: From behind the. 165 00:07:37,000 --> 00:07:40,680 Speaker 1: Three point line, they are horrific at shooting threes. They're 166 00:07:40,720 --> 00:07:44,360 Speaker 1: okay shooting twos fifty point eight percent. That's one hundred 167 00:07:44,400 --> 00:07:48,080 Speaker 1: and twenty fourth. But three point defense for Mount Saint 168 00:07:48,080 --> 00:07:51,320 Speaker 1: Mary's is pretty good. Thirty three point seven percent is okay, 169 00:07:51,440 --> 00:07:54,640 Speaker 1: it's one hundred and seventy first. But effective field goal 170 00:07:54,640 --> 00:07:58,320 Speaker 1: percentage for Texas Southern forty eight point four. That's two 171 00:07:58,440 --> 00:08:03,600 Speaker 1: hundred and fiftieth effective fuel opposing effective field goal percentage 172 00:08:03,640 --> 00:08:06,600 Speaker 1: on defense for Mount Saint mary forty five point five. 173 00:08:06,920 --> 00:08:10,600 Speaker 1: That's fourteenth best in the country. It's hard to score 174 00:08:10,640 --> 00:08:14,840 Speaker 1: on these guys, just ask Bryant. They play a grinding style. 175 00:08:15,240 --> 00:08:18,680 Speaker 1: They're really good defensively. They've got a great point guard. 176 00:08:19,280 --> 00:08:22,080 Speaker 1: And Texas Southern plays like Bryant and all these other 177 00:08:22,160 --> 00:08:27,080 Speaker 1: teams in the NEEC, the Northeast Conference. They run up 178 00:08:27,120 --> 00:08:28,480 Speaker 1: and down, up and down uptown. They want to go 179 00:08:28,520 --> 00:08:31,440 Speaker 1: fast paced, they want to go go, go right. That's 180 00:08:31,440 --> 00:08:33,199 Speaker 1: not what you do against Mount Saint Mary's. 181 00:08:33,320 --> 00:08:35,640 Speaker 2: Sorry. So if you're a coach. 182 00:08:35,400 --> 00:08:37,240 Speaker 1: And you're going up against a team that likes to run, 183 00:08:37,320 --> 00:08:39,600 Speaker 1: you play defense and you know they can't hit threes 184 00:08:39,840 --> 00:08:41,880 Speaker 1: to say they save their life, do you know what 185 00:08:41,920 --> 00:08:42,440 Speaker 1: Mount Saint. 186 00:08:42,280 --> 00:08:44,680 Speaker 2: Mary's is gonna do. They're gonna pack the lane. 187 00:08:45,000 --> 00:08:47,920 Speaker 1: They're gonna put five guys right next to the basket 188 00:08:48,000 --> 00:08:51,040 Speaker 1: and say, shoot, we don't think you can shoot. This 189 00:08:51,160 --> 00:08:54,640 Speaker 1: game comes down to one thing to me, can Texas Southern. 190 00:08:54,440 --> 00:08:57,000 Speaker 2: Hit a three? I don't think they can. 191 00:08:57,440 --> 00:09:00,520 Speaker 1: On the other side, effective field goal percentage Mount Sat Mary's, 192 00:09:00,520 --> 00:09:04,040 Speaker 1: it's okay, forty eight point seven. Texas Southern's pretty good 193 00:09:04,080 --> 00:09:06,720 Speaker 1: at this category forty six point fours, thirty first in 194 00:09:06,800 --> 00:09:10,800 Speaker 1: the country. So they're not bad defensively either, But three 195 00:09:10,880 --> 00:09:14,640 Speaker 1: point shooting. Mount Saint Mary's is okay, thirty three point seven, 196 00:09:14,720 --> 00:09:16,920 Speaker 1: that's one hundred and seventy first in the country. For 197 00:09:17,000 --> 00:09:20,200 Speaker 1: Texas Southern thirty two point four given up so pretty 198 00:09:20,240 --> 00:09:23,000 Speaker 1: much on the same average. That's ninety ninth in the 199 00:09:23,080 --> 00:09:26,439 Speaker 1: country here. So I just think when you look at 200 00:09:26,480 --> 00:09:29,839 Speaker 1: the way that Texas Southern shoots the basketball, I mean, 201 00:09:29,880 --> 00:09:32,240 Speaker 1: I think it's pretty clear what the defensive game plan 202 00:09:32,280 --> 00:09:34,960 Speaker 1: is going to be for a defensive minded team. Take 203 00:09:34,960 --> 00:09:37,400 Speaker 1: the air out of the ball, don't let them run 204 00:09:37,880 --> 00:09:40,280 Speaker 1: and see if they can shoot in Texas Southern so 205 00:09:40,360 --> 00:09:43,439 Speaker 1: far has proven to be incapable of hitting three point shots. 206 00:09:43,760 --> 00:09:47,199 Speaker 1: For that reason, Mount Saint Mary's on the money line. 207 00:09:47,400 --> 00:09:50,679 Speaker 1: We're going with the Mount taking on Texas Southern that 208 00:09:50,720 --> 00:09:51,720 Speaker 1: game in Bloomington. 209 00:09:52,080 --> 00:09:53,840 Speaker 2: The Mount with a w Here. 210 00:09:54,679 --> 00:09:56,960 Speaker 1: I got the money line at minus one ten, it's 211 00:09:57,000 --> 00:09:59,360 Speaker 1: minus one right now for Mount Saint mary. I'm okay 212 00:09:59,400 --> 00:10:01,760 Speaker 1: with that. We're going with the Mount here, all right. 213 00:10:02,000 --> 00:10:06,120 Speaker 1: So are three plays going for Thursday. Mount Saint Mary's 214 00:10:06,160 --> 00:10:09,720 Speaker 1: on the money line. Drake plus two, Michigan State minus 215 00:10:09,760 --> 00:10:11,760 Speaker 1: one and a half, all for a half a unit 216 00:10:11,840 --> 00:10:16,920 Speaker 1: going here tonight on a Thursday. Now here's my first 217 00:10:16,960 --> 00:10:21,719 Speaker 1: play coming up on Friday, and I'm telling you, I'm 218 00:10:21,720 --> 00:10:24,120 Speaker 1: gonna get involved with a bunch of different games here. 219 00:10:24,200 --> 00:10:26,440 Speaker 1: I'm gonna have a lot of opinion on Friday. 220 00:10:26,480 --> 00:10:27,079 Speaker 2: But it's interesting. 221 00:10:27,120 --> 00:10:29,920 Speaker 1: I got four plays on Friday, and I've got five 222 00:10:29,960 --> 00:10:32,959 Speaker 1: plays on Saturday, the Saturday games. My eye is going 223 00:10:33,040 --> 00:10:35,640 Speaker 1: more on the Saturday games a little bit more here. 224 00:10:35,679 --> 00:10:38,240 Speaker 1: But I want to talk about one of these matchup 225 00:10:38,280 --> 00:10:40,160 Speaker 1: specials here, and I want to talk about one of 226 00:10:40,200 --> 00:10:45,120 Speaker 1: these deals where the world is on winthrow. Okay, there's 227 00:10:45,160 --> 00:10:49,280 Speaker 1: a couple of I'm fading the popular trendy dog coming 228 00:10:49,360 --> 00:10:54,240 Speaker 1: up for these games. Okay, Villanova without Colin Gillespie, they've 229 00:10:54,240 --> 00:10:55,119 Speaker 1: looked horrific. 230 00:10:55,640 --> 00:10:57,880 Speaker 2: They've looked awful, just absolutely awful. 231 00:10:58,640 --> 00:11:03,160 Speaker 1: And I understand that because of the last two games, 232 00:11:03,160 --> 00:11:06,120 Speaker 1: the last two times we've seen Villanova, everyone's like, man, 233 00:11:06,160 --> 00:11:08,839 Speaker 1: they lost by Providence, it's Province by two, and they 234 00:11:08,840 --> 00:11:10,360 Speaker 1: lost to Georgetown by one. 235 00:11:10,760 --> 00:11:12,240 Speaker 2: They just look awful. 236 00:11:12,520 --> 00:11:15,160 Speaker 1: They just look awful compared to where they were previously 237 00:11:15,200 --> 00:11:18,160 Speaker 1: with Colin Gillespie when they beat Crayton by twelve. 238 00:11:18,200 --> 00:11:21,360 Speaker 2: But they lost him. All right, this is Jay Wright. 239 00:11:22,160 --> 00:11:24,960 Speaker 1: Jay Wright has now had time to figure out what's 240 00:11:25,000 --> 00:11:26,480 Speaker 1: going on with his team. 241 00:11:26,960 --> 00:11:29,200 Speaker 2: Winthrop has covered their last three games. 242 00:11:29,280 --> 00:11:32,680 Speaker 1: Okay, they won by twenty seven twenty one in twenty 243 00:11:32,760 --> 00:11:35,800 Speaker 1: nine against High Point, Longwood and Campbell. 244 00:11:36,559 --> 00:11:37,360 Speaker 2: Here's the thing. 245 00:11:37,960 --> 00:11:41,840 Speaker 1: Villanova with Colin Gillespie, should be favored by twelve in 246 00:11:41,920 --> 00:11:45,439 Speaker 1: this game. I would double this spread at Villanova and 247 00:11:45,480 --> 00:11:47,600 Speaker 1: they wouldn't be a five seed either. By the way, 248 00:11:48,600 --> 00:11:52,080 Speaker 1: Villanova take it on a team that everyone's picking to 249 00:11:52,200 --> 00:11:54,079 Speaker 1: beat them and upset them. 250 00:11:54,400 --> 00:11:55,120 Speaker 2: This I think. 251 00:11:54,960 --> 00:11:59,079 Speaker 1: Plays right into Villanova's hands. Nova is going to see 252 00:11:59,080 --> 00:12:03,480 Speaker 1: a team that very similarly to them. Winthrop scores seventy 253 00:12:03,559 --> 00:12:06,680 Speaker 1: nine point five points per game. Nova scores seventy five 254 00:12:06,720 --> 00:12:09,880 Speaker 1: point five points per game. Winthrop gives up sixty six 255 00:12:09,880 --> 00:12:12,640 Speaker 1: point eight points per game. Villanova gives up seventy one 256 00:12:12,640 --> 00:12:15,240 Speaker 1: point six points per game. The big difference to me 257 00:12:15,480 --> 00:12:17,840 Speaker 1: is the level of competition that we're talking about here. 258 00:12:18,360 --> 00:12:20,880 Speaker 1: This is Villanova out of the Big East. This is 259 00:12:20,920 --> 00:12:24,679 Speaker 1: a team that's got NBA quality players on it. I 260 00:12:24,800 --> 00:12:29,000 Speaker 1: expect Villanova's best effort here and I expect Villanova to 261 00:12:29,160 --> 00:12:32,520 Speaker 1: really get after it. Effective field goal percentages fifty three 262 00:12:32,559 --> 00:12:34,560 Speaker 1: percent to fifty two point nine percent. 263 00:12:34,640 --> 00:12:35,480 Speaker 2: They're very very. 264 00:12:35,440 --> 00:12:39,439 Speaker 1: Similar Defensively, Winthrop forty nine percent effective field goal percentage, 265 00:12:39,600 --> 00:12:43,600 Speaker 1: Villanova fifty one point eight effective field goal percentage. These 266 00:12:43,679 --> 00:12:47,400 Speaker 1: numbers are all very, very similar except for one thing, 267 00:12:47,760 --> 00:12:49,440 Speaker 1: the level of athlete. 268 00:12:49,000 --> 00:12:50,199 Speaker 2: That we're talking about here. 269 00:12:50,400 --> 00:12:53,560 Speaker 1: I just think Villanova is the better team, and I 270 00:12:53,600 --> 00:12:56,480 Speaker 1: think they're going to be very angry about the way 271 00:12:56,720 --> 00:12:59,520 Speaker 1: the season ended. So before this number gets a little 272 00:12:59,520 --> 00:13:03,000 Speaker 1: bit out of here, and before this number climbs too high, 273 00:13:03,480 --> 00:13:05,920 Speaker 1: I jumped on Villanova minus six and a half because 274 00:13:05,960 --> 00:13:08,160 Speaker 1: the number opened up at six, it crept up to 275 00:13:08,200 --> 00:13:09,040 Speaker 1: six and a half. 276 00:13:09,360 --> 00:13:11,480 Speaker 2: I'm concerned that it's going to keep on climbing. 277 00:13:12,000 --> 00:13:15,440 Speaker 1: This is a very public play for Winthrop plus six 278 00:13:15,480 --> 00:13:19,319 Speaker 1: and a half. I just think that Villanova here looking 279 00:13:19,360 --> 00:13:22,360 Speaker 1: at the numbers, these teams are similar except for one 280 00:13:22,360 --> 00:13:25,480 Speaker 1: big problem Villanova and who they played. The number, the 281 00:13:25,559 --> 00:13:28,960 Speaker 1: types of teams that Villanova has faced this season, it's 282 00:13:29,280 --> 00:13:32,320 Speaker 1: much different to men who Winthrop has played. So while 283 00:13:32,360 --> 00:13:35,200 Speaker 1: the numbers might be similar, when you're playing you know, 284 00:13:35,360 --> 00:13:39,040 Speaker 1: Furman in South Carolina, upstate, it's different than when you're 285 00:13:39,080 --> 00:13:42,360 Speaker 1: playing Texas. It's different than when you're playing Creighton. It's 286 00:13:42,360 --> 00:13:45,640 Speaker 1: different than when you're playing Arizona State in Virginia Tech. Okay, 287 00:13:45,960 --> 00:13:48,880 Speaker 1: it's just a different type of schedule, different type of coach, 288 00:13:49,200 --> 00:13:49,920 Speaker 1: different type. 289 00:13:49,720 --> 00:13:50,320 Speaker 2: Of prep time. 290 00:13:50,640 --> 00:13:53,840 Speaker 1: I think this time to prep for Jay Wright is huge. 291 00:13:54,240 --> 00:13:56,520 Speaker 1: I wouldn't expect Nova to run all that much. The 292 00:13:56,559 --> 00:13:59,600 Speaker 1: total is one forty three. I could see the undercome 293 00:13:59,640 --> 00:14:02,880 Speaker 1: in here, but I'm expecting Nova to have a really 294 00:14:02,960 --> 00:14:05,559 Speaker 1: bounce back good game here against Winthrop and kind of 295 00:14:05,600 --> 00:14:07,720 Speaker 1: get away from everyone who's been saying they're. 296 00:14:07,480 --> 00:14:08,280 Speaker 2: Done, they suck. 297 00:14:08,760 --> 00:14:11,960 Speaker 1: I'm with you. Look, I don't have Nova going far here. 298 00:14:12,240 --> 00:14:14,800 Speaker 1: If Llanova wins this game, I got Purdue. 299 00:14:14,440 --> 00:14:15,640 Speaker 2: Beating them in the next round. 300 00:14:15,679 --> 00:14:17,960 Speaker 1: All right. I don't think Nova goes far up against 301 00:14:17,960 --> 00:14:19,960 Speaker 1: a really high quality high major team. 302 00:14:20,280 --> 00:14:21,440 Speaker 2: Don't think Nova goes far. 303 00:14:21,920 --> 00:14:24,520 Speaker 1: But I'm gonna take Nova mine six and a half 304 00:14:24,720 --> 00:14:26,880 Speaker 1: against Winthrop coming up on Friday. 305 00:14:27,000 --> 00:14:27,280 Speaker 2: Okay. 306 00:14:27,560 --> 00:14:30,120 Speaker 1: So those are the two plays for this edition of 307 00:14:30,160 --> 00:14:31,280 Speaker 1: the Daily Juice Podcast. 308 00:14:31,800 --> 00:14:33,400 Speaker 2: Remember the live stream coming up tonight. 309 00:14:33,480 --> 00:14:35,920 Speaker 1: I got three more plays to talk about coming up 310 00:14:35,960 --> 00:14:39,240 Speaker 1: that'll give you during the live stream heading into Friday morning, 311 00:14:39,600 --> 00:14:41,800 Speaker 1: which will serve as the Daily Juice Podcast. So you're 312 00:14:41,800 --> 00:14:44,000 Speaker 1: gonna get three more plays coming up. We'll get into 313 00:14:44,080 --> 00:14:46,000 Speaker 1: every game. I'll break them all down. It's not gonna 314 00:14:46,000 --> 00:14:47,720 Speaker 1: be a fifteen minute podcast. Give me like a forty 315 00:14:47,760 --> 00:14:50,360 Speaker 1: five minute live stream and then we'll get into it. 316 00:14:51,720 --> 00:14:54,200 Speaker 1: We'll get into the picks and plays for the games 317 00:14:54,240 --> 00:14:56,440 Speaker 1: on Friday and then on Saturday morning. They will be 318 00:14:56,440 --> 00:14:59,720 Speaker 1: a podcast for Friday night into Saturday morning, and then 319 00:15:00,000 --> 00:15:02,200 Speaker 1: I stream on Saturday morning where I'll do every game 320 00:15:02,240 --> 00:15:03,840 Speaker 1: like I'm gonna do on Thursday night, we'll do it 321 00:15:03,840 --> 00:15:08,520 Speaker 1: Saturday morning as well. So very busy, very confusing. Ad 322 00:15:08,520 --> 00:15:11,320 Speaker 1: sports Talk Matt on Twitter. Ask me any questions you 323 00:15:11,400 --> 00:15:13,880 Speaker 1: may have about what we're doing coming up here today. 324 00:15:13,920 --> 00:15:16,720 Speaker 1: So again, the two plays going for today the Mount 325 00:15:16,760 --> 00:15:19,240 Speaker 1: on the Monday line minus one ten and then on 326 00:15:19,320 --> 00:15:22,160 Speaker 1: Friday Nova minus six and a half against Winthrop. 327 00:15:22,440 --> 00:15:23,440 Speaker 2: Three more plays to go. 328 00:15:23,520 --> 00:15:25,920 Speaker 1: We'll have four plays going on Friday and five plays 329 00:15:25,960 --> 00:15:28,960 Speaker 1: going on Saturday for the first round of the NCAA tournaments. 330 00:15:29,240 --> 00:15:30,960 Speaker 2: We don't have to bet every game. 331 00:15:31,400 --> 00:15:32,920 Speaker 1: My name is Matt Paroltic. You can follow me on 332 00:15:32,920 --> 00:15:35,280 Speaker 1: Twitter at sports doc Matt. Every morning it is the 333 00:15:35,360 --> 00:15:46,920 Speaker 1: Daily Juice podcast right here on Betting pros dot com.