1 00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:03,720 Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast Podcast. 2 00:00:04,200 --> 00:00:05,920 Speaker 2: Pot all right, here we go. 3 00:00:10,960 --> 00:00:14,760 Speaker 3: Fifteen Cundy twenty five, thirty thirty five, Toty twenty five 4 00:00:14,840 --> 00:00:15,400 Speaker 3: fifty and. 5 00:00:15,520 --> 00:00:23,439 Speaker 2: The kick as block look college football ware Stunn, Oh 6 00:00:23,520 --> 00:00:24,880 Speaker 2: my goodness. 7 00:00:24,720 --> 00:00:26,200 Speaker 1: He stumbled the football. 8 00:00:27,120 --> 00:00:31,880 Speaker 4: The lateral turn counter of the jud don't you the 9 00:00:32,120 --> 00:00:35,919 Speaker 4: lad cap them off the field to night. 10 00:00:39,560 --> 00:00:42,400 Speaker 1: It's not the side of the dog in the fight, 11 00:00:42,760 --> 00:00:44,120 Speaker 1: it's the side. 12 00:00:43,720 --> 00:00:45,040 Speaker 3: Of the fight in the role. 13 00:00:49,120 --> 00:00:51,479 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast presented by 14 00:00:51,479 --> 00:00:53,599 Speaker 1: Bett MGM. This is the group of five Deep Dive. 15 00:00:53,680 --> 00:00:56,520 Speaker 1: I'm Mike Caliberys joined by Mike Ianello and Stucky. We 16 00:00:56,560 --> 00:00:59,520 Speaker 1: are breaking down the mac The Mid American is here 17 00:00:59,840 --> 00:01:03,240 Speaker 1: a conference that for the first time is divisionless, So 18 00:01:03,280 --> 00:01:05,560 Speaker 1: we're going to get into how that impacts who were 19 00:01:05,560 --> 00:01:07,759 Speaker 1: picking here to be in the title game. But when 20 00:01:07,760 --> 00:01:09,959 Speaker 1: it comes to continuity the rest of the way, it's 21 00:01:09,959 --> 00:01:12,320 Speaker 1: been the same team since twenty sixteen once they kicked 22 00:01:12,319 --> 00:01:15,600 Speaker 1: out UMass, so we like that level of continuity. Also, 23 00:01:15,600 --> 00:01:18,360 Speaker 1: eleven of the twelve head coaches back. There's tons of 24 00:01:18,440 --> 00:01:21,560 Speaker 1: roster turnover. As we've gone through all these G five previews, 25 00:01:21,560 --> 00:01:24,280 Speaker 1: so many teams get decimated, so when there is a 26 00:01:24,319 --> 00:01:27,440 Speaker 1: decent amount of top twenty five production returning. We like 27 00:01:27,480 --> 00:01:30,840 Speaker 1: to highlight that the MAC, though, has been basically the 28 00:01:30,880 --> 00:01:34,080 Speaker 1: same in terms of their postseason play for years fourteen 29 00:01:34,120 --> 00:01:36,360 Speaker 1: and fifteen, in the past five years in Bowl season, 30 00:01:36,520 --> 00:01:38,840 Speaker 1: But that's not why we love them. We love them 31 00:01:38,880 --> 00:01:42,039 Speaker 1: because of those Tuesdays and Wednesday nights, the maction, the 32 00:01:42,200 --> 00:01:45,960 Speaker 1: wild play within these this conference, the rivalries that have 33 00:01:46,040 --> 00:01:49,000 Speaker 1: built up over the years. So before we get into it, 34 00:01:49,240 --> 00:01:51,560 Speaker 1: I'm going to put this to you first, Ianello. The 35 00:01:51,600 --> 00:01:54,360 Speaker 1: fact is we've lost a little bit of the coaching luster. 36 00:01:54,480 --> 00:01:57,200 Speaker 1: This used to be a springboard to bigger jobs in 37 00:01:57,240 --> 00:02:00,680 Speaker 1: the Power conferences. You had Brian Kelly going from Central, 38 00:02:00,840 --> 00:02:03,360 Speaker 1: You had PJ. Fleck going to the Cotton Bowl then 39 00:02:03,400 --> 00:02:05,320 Speaker 1: get it. At least at the time, it seems like 40 00:02:05,520 --> 00:02:07,160 Speaker 1: it was an elevator that was only going up for 41 00:02:07,200 --> 00:02:09,840 Speaker 1: his career. He stalled out a bit at Minnesota, Lance 42 00:02:09,960 --> 00:02:13,200 Speaker 1: Leepold going to Kansas having great success there, at least 43 00:02:13,200 --> 00:02:16,640 Speaker 1: by Kansas standards. Are you surprised a little bit that 44 00:02:16,680 --> 00:02:18,720 Speaker 1: the coaching carousel has slowed down to the MAC or 45 00:02:18,800 --> 00:02:21,240 Speaker 1: you just appreciate the fact that we have continuity at 46 00:02:21,280 --> 00:02:22,320 Speaker 1: the top of these programs. 47 00:02:22,760 --> 00:02:25,200 Speaker 4: I'm not surprised because I feel like in general, the 48 00:02:25,280 --> 00:02:28,639 Speaker 4: MAC has kind of slid further and further down the 49 00:02:28,720 --> 00:02:30,960 Speaker 4: ladder in the G five rankings. You know, you think 50 00:02:31,000 --> 00:02:33,040 Speaker 4: back to some of those old MAC teams, whether it 51 00:02:33,080 --> 00:02:36,720 Speaker 4: was you know, Marshall and the Ben Roethlisberger Miami Ohio. 52 00:02:36,960 --> 00:02:38,880 Speaker 4: I feel like the talent level in the MAC is 53 00:02:38,960 --> 00:02:41,840 Speaker 4: kind of just taking a dive and stocking. If you 54 00:02:41,880 --> 00:02:45,320 Speaker 4: put the MAC in the Conference USA top to bottom 55 00:02:45,360 --> 00:02:48,320 Speaker 4: in a battle royal, Who's who's coming out on top 56 00:02:48,400 --> 00:02:48,799 Speaker 4: of this year? 57 00:02:49,560 --> 00:02:52,359 Speaker 2: What day of the week you play? So yeah, the 58 00:02:52,600 --> 00:02:54,959 Speaker 2: MAC is definitely just falling behind. It's going to continue 59 00:02:55,000 --> 00:02:57,919 Speaker 2: to fall behind. You look at a team like Ohio, 60 00:02:58,080 --> 00:03:01,240 Speaker 2: I think perfectly illustrates that the talent that they've lost. 61 00:03:01,680 --> 00:03:04,480 Speaker 2: What a couple of years ago, this team was on 62 00:03:04,560 --> 00:03:06,560 Speaker 2: top of the MAC. I mean, granted, they haven't won 63 00:03:06,600 --> 00:03:09,280 Speaker 2: a conference title since I think nineteen die was seventy 64 00:03:09,360 --> 00:03:12,400 Speaker 2: or something like that, but they were right there. They 65 00:03:12,440 --> 00:03:15,960 Speaker 2: have they've had since, they've had twenty over twenty players 66 00:03:15,960 --> 00:03:18,440 Speaker 2: that have now moved on to either the NFL or 67 00:03:18,840 --> 00:03:21,840 Speaker 2: mostly Power four teams. Look no further than Curtis or 68 00:03:21,880 --> 00:03:24,200 Speaker 2: if their quarterback who went to Indiana, like anyone who 69 00:03:24,280 --> 00:03:27,480 Speaker 2: shines in the MAC, they're gone. We talked about the 70 00:03:27,520 --> 00:03:30,960 Speaker 2: Sun Belt and some of the other better Group of 71 00:03:31,000 --> 00:03:33,720 Speaker 2: five conferences. You're able to get some of the guys 72 00:03:33,960 --> 00:03:36,960 Speaker 2: the cast offs from Power five and you're able to 73 00:03:37,240 --> 00:03:40,040 Speaker 2: kind of maintain somewhat of your talent level. With the 74 00:03:40,040 --> 00:03:42,160 Speaker 2: match just falling behind, you got to reach into more 75 00:03:42,760 --> 00:03:47,440 Speaker 2: Juco D two fcs. So yeah, you're going to start 76 00:03:47,480 --> 00:03:51,920 Speaker 2: to see the MAC fall more and more behind. Just overall, however, 77 00:03:52,040 --> 00:03:54,360 Speaker 2: as long as the MAC stays the MAC, if the 78 00:03:54,560 --> 00:03:59,160 Speaker 2: entire conference falls behind, we still have weekday football. It's 79 00:03:59,160 --> 00:04:01,040 Speaker 2: still going to be as the MAC is always going 80 00:04:01,080 --> 00:04:02,200 Speaker 2: to be the MAC. To me, I'm always going to 81 00:04:02,280 --> 00:04:03,840 Speaker 2: love it. And for what it's worth, people are saying 82 00:04:03,880 --> 00:04:07,800 Speaker 2: there's no divisions, there is still a luck element to 83 00:04:08,720 --> 00:04:12,200 Speaker 2: the schedules because there's four pods. So the way it 84 00:04:12,240 --> 00:04:14,920 Speaker 2: works is you play everyone in your pod each year 85 00:04:15,520 --> 00:04:17,839 Speaker 2: and then it's in order to maintain some of the 86 00:04:17,960 --> 00:04:21,159 Speaker 2: rivalries in the MAC, and then you know you'll play 87 00:04:21,560 --> 00:04:24,320 Speaker 2: the rest of the teams some of them each year. 88 00:04:24,760 --> 00:04:26,960 Speaker 2: So the pods are Acro in Buffalo and Kent state 89 00:04:27,360 --> 00:04:31,960 Speaker 2: got to keep the wagon wheel ball State, Miami and Ohio, 90 00:04:32,360 --> 00:04:35,040 Speaker 2: Bowling Green, Northern Illinois and Toledo, and then a directional 91 00:04:35,520 --> 00:04:40,120 Speaker 2: Michigan schools in western, Central and Eastern So keep that 92 00:04:40,160 --> 00:04:43,520 Speaker 2: in mind going forward. That'll, obviously, with no divisions, have 93 00:04:43,560 --> 00:04:47,080 Speaker 2: a major impact on who gets to the MAC Championship. 94 00:04:47,080 --> 00:04:49,520 Speaker 2: But I grew with I know a conference as a 95 00:04:49,520 --> 00:04:52,760 Speaker 2: whole definitely fallen behind, but doesn't make it any less fun. 96 00:04:53,360 --> 00:04:56,800 Speaker 2: Action will always be a special part of my heart. 97 00:04:57,720 --> 00:05:02,400 Speaker 1: Are you serious? Get out to love it? So Over 98 00:05:02,480 --> 00:05:04,880 Speaker 1: the years, I've hosted many podcasts, a lot in the 99 00:05:04,920 --> 00:05:07,120 Speaker 1: tech space, and I was lucky enough to host one. 100 00:05:07,160 --> 00:05:09,320 Speaker 1: It was called Sideline Data. It was a partnership with 101 00:05:09,360 --> 00:05:11,680 Speaker 1: the Hospital for Special Surgery in New York City and 102 00:05:11,720 --> 00:05:15,760 Speaker 1: I got to interview like the leading ACL reconstructive surgeon 103 00:05:15,800 --> 00:05:17,960 Speaker 1: in the whole country, and he was talking ins and 104 00:05:18,000 --> 00:05:21,640 Speaker 1: outs of the Adrian Peterson reconstructive surgery doctor Riley Williams 105 00:05:22,080 --> 00:05:25,200 Speaker 1: in the same light. If you're looking for expertise, there 106 00:05:25,240 --> 00:05:27,680 Speaker 1: is no one. And I've scoured the internet. I've talked 107 00:05:27,680 --> 00:05:29,440 Speaker 1: to lots of people, I've made lots of bets on 108 00:05:29,480 --> 00:05:31,760 Speaker 1: the MAC that knows more about the MAC than Sucky. 109 00:05:31,920 --> 00:05:33,520 Speaker 1: So there's two things that you need to know. First, 110 00:05:33,600 --> 00:05:35,880 Speaker 1: the MAC Manifesto comes down in the preseason, which he 111 00:05:35,920 --> 00:05:38,320 Speaker 1: writes every single year. That's the bible, and then it 112 00:05:38,320 --> 00:05:40,680 Speaker 1: gets updated. When do you usually drop that during the season? 113 00:05:40,680 --> 00:05:44,159 Speaker 2: Stuck mid season, right before the conference play starts, so 114 00:05:45,000 --> 00:05:47,600 Speaker 2: I could talk about all these teams for forever. We 115 00:05:47,640 --> 00:05:50,159 Speaker 2: don't want to be here for five hours. We record 116 00:05:50,200 --> 00:05:52,120 Speaker 2: these ahead of time. And if you're watching the YouTube, 117 00:05:52,240 --> 00:05:54,719 Speaker 2: make sure that's subscribbling. You haven't welcome to the new channel. 118 00:05:55,160 --> 00:05:57,960 Speaker 2: But with the MAC specifically, like I won't lock in 119 00:05:58,000 --> 00:06:03,760 Speaker 2: any futures un till as closer to the regular season 120 00:06:04,160 --> 00:06:06,600 Speaker 2: as I can get, and I think and it's even 121 00:06:06,640 --> 00:06:09,760 Speaker 2: more pertinent now what's always been a problem in the 122 00:06:09,800 --> 00:06:12,039 Speaker 2: MAC is depth. A lot of these teams, if you 123 00:06:12,120 --> 00:06:15,119 Speaker 2: just go look at like special Teams, Power, special Teams 124 00:06:15,120 --> 00:06:18,440 Speaker 2: adjusted efficiency, they're you know, you'll see them all. They're one, 125 00:06:18,480 --> 00:06:21,000 Speaker 2: twenty six, one twenty eight, one thirty. The reason for 126 00:06:21,040 --> 00:06:22,919 Speaker 2: that is a lack of depth. So one of the 127 00:06:22,960 --> 00:06:25,560 Speaker 2: things before I lock in any futures is you know 128 00:06:25,640 --> 00:06:29,280 Speaker 2: fall camps injuries are massive, so especially you know at 129 00:06:29,279 --> 00:06:31,880 Speaker 2: a at quarterback you lose a quarterback in camp, but 130 00:06:31,920 --> 00:06:35,440 Speaker 2: you have cluster injury on the offensive line. Basically, we'll 131 00:06:35,440 --> 00:06:37,240 Speaker 2: go into all these teams here and then in a 132 00:06:37,240 --> 00:06:39,440 Speaker 2: couple of weeks from now the MAC Manifesto, which we'll 133 00:06:39,800 --> 00:06:44,000 Speaker 2: mention any you know, fall camp injuries and any updated 134 00:06:44,040 --> 00:06:46,680 Speaker 2: information on some quarterback battles. Some of them are going 135 00:06:46,760 --> 00:06:50,359 Speaker 2: to play just horrendous non commits and then they're just 136 00:06:50,400 --> 00:06:52,640 Speaker 2: going to go get the ship beat out of them. 137 00:06:52,760 --> 00:06:55,840 Speaker 2: There's a good chance of injuries in those games. Western Michigan, 138 00:06:56,240 --> 00:06:58,760 Speaker 2: a team I'm high on, has some hopes for this year. 139 00:06:58,880 --> 00:07:01,560 Speaker 2: They start at Wisconsin out Ohio State. So those are 140 00:07:01,560 --> 00:07:03,760 Speaker 2: some of the things that hot worth mentioning that. Yeah, 141 00:07:03,800 --> 00:07:05,640 Speaker 2: Max's always been my first love. 142 00:07:07,560 --> 00:07:11,160 Speaker 1: Let's start with the defending MAC champs, the Miami Ohio 143 00:07:11,200 --> 00:07:13,440 Speaker 1: RedHawks eleven and three last year, seven and one in 144 00:07:13,480 --> 00:07:15,600 Speaker 1: conference play. They lose to app State in the Cure Bowl. 145 00:07:15,680 --> 00:07:18,560 Speaker 1: After winning it over Toledo in the MAC title game. There, 146 00:07:18,600 --> 00:07:20,720 Speaker 1: wins Altal Set at seven and a half plus two 147 00:07:20,800 --> 00:07:22,800 Speaker 1: thirty to win the conference twenty five to one to 148 00:07:22,840 --> 00:07:25,280 Speaker 1: make the College Football Playoff. As I mentioned, they break 149 00:07:25,280 --> 00:07:27,400 Speaker 1: through last year. They win their fourth MAC title in 150 00:07:27,440 --> 00:07:30,240 Speaker 1: the past twenty years, the defense was just fantastic. The 151 00:07:30,320 --> 00:07:32,720 Speaker 1: hel teams below sixteen points per game. That was good 152 00:07:32,720 --> 00:07:36,960 Speaker 1: for eighth nationally. Special teams were special. Graham Nicholson won 153 00:07:37,040 --> 00:07:39,240 Speaker 1: the Gros Award and made big kicks when they needed. 154 00:07:39,920 --> 00:07:43,920 Speaker 1: Graham Nicholson six back on defense. Brett Gabbert back for 155 00:07:44,000 --> 00:07:45,880 Speaker 1: his six year of eligibility. This is really the last 156 00:07:45,920 --> 00:07:49,880 Speaker 1: year of those like Super Senior, you know, COVID year specials. 157 00:07:50,080 --> 00:07:51,960 Speaker 1: He also has been a quarterback that when he's on 158 00:07:52,000 --> 00:07:54,840 Speaker 1: the field, he's you know, pretty high end by MAX standards. 159 00:07:54,840 --> 00:07:57,800 Speaker 1: He's very reliable, but he gets hurt. So we'll see 160 00:07:57,880 --> 00:07:59,920 Speaker 1: what they have behind him in terms of the depth chart. 161 00:08:00,000 --> 00:08:02,880 Speaker 1: What happens again when he plays The offense is good, 162 00:08:02,920 --> 00:08:05,480 Speaker 1: but I don't like. My question here is the offensive 163 00:08:05,520 --> 00:08:07,520 Speaker 1: line is a veteran unit. They got four back, but 164 00:08:07,640 --> 00:08:10,160 Speaker 1: Rashad Amos goes off to Ole Miss. They get new 165 00:08:10,160 --> 00:08:12,440 Speaker 1: full time runners in Tracy who's a big back, and 166 00:08:12,600 --> 00:08:14,920 Speaker 1: Jordan Brunson, who's even bigger at two hundred and twenty 167 00:08:14,960 --> 00:08:17,760 Speaker 1: six pounds. The other big issue in terms of the 168 00:08:17,840 --> 00:08:20,800 Speaker 1: coaching staff is their OC Jacob Bronowski is off to 169 00:08:20,880 --> 00:08:23,760 Speaker 1: Pitt as well as big play receiver Gage Larvadine off 170 00:08:23,760 --> 00:08:26,680 Speaker 1: to South Carolina. So we'll see if they take a 171 00:08:26,680 --> 00:08:28,800 Speaker 1: big step back, a half step back, if they get 172 00:08:28,840 --> 00:08:31,360 Speaker 1: twelve games instead of eight out of Gabbert. If it's 173 00:08:31,360 --> 00:08:34,559 Speaker 1: a wash, I have some questions there. You mentioned schedules. 174 00:08:34,880 --> 00:08:37,240 Speaker 1: Their schedule is tricky in that it's front loaded. They're 175 00:08:37,240 --> 00:08:40,079 Speaker 1: at Northwestern home against Cincy, at Notre Dame, at Solito, 176 00:08:40,160 --> 00:08:43,040 Speaker 1: all by October fifth. But after that, this is one 177 00:08:43,040 --> 00:08:45,040 Speaker 1: of those teams where I hope they lose those games 178 00:08:45,200 --> 00:08:47,120 Speaker 1: and people write them off as long as they're healthy, 179 00:08:47,640 --> 00:08:50,160 Speaker 1: because then they have Ohio Central, Michigan at home, at 180 00:08:50,160 --> 00:08:53,680 Speaker 1: Ball State, Kent State, and Northern Illinois at home and 181 00:08:53,800 --> 00:08:56,880 Speaker 1: at Bowling Green. Could be a hot finish for the RedHawks. 182 00:08:57,040 --> 00:08:59,760 Speaker 1: I'll bring Ianello in here first. What are your thoughts 183 00:08:59,800 --> 00:09:02,400 Speaker 1: on Gabbert saying upright for all twelve games and if 184 00:09:02,400 --> 00:09:05,320 Speaker 1: he does, are there enough playmakers around him for this 185 00:09:05,440 --> 00:09:07,880 Speaker 1: offense to, you know, fill in the holes of what 186 00:09:08,080 --> 00:09:09,959 Speaker 1: naturally is going to be at least a slight half 187 00:09:10,000 --> 00:09:11,120 Speaker 1: step back on defense. 188 00:09:11,440 --> 00:09:13,800 Speaker 4: Yeah, you mentioned the start of the schedule too, with Northwestern, 189 00:09:13,880 --> 00:09:15,880 Speaker 4: Sincy Notre Dame. About the gates. So you know, not 190 00:09:15,920 --> 00:09:17,199 Speaker 4: that I think they have much of a chance to 191 00:09:17,240 --> 00:09:19,640 Speaker 4: win those games anyway, but but Gabert better be ready 192 00:09:19,679 --> 00:09:22,120 Speaker 4: to go because they're not. There's no easing with an 193 00:09:22,160 --> 00:09:25,280 Speaker 4: FCS score. And yeah, you know, listener to this podcast. 194 00:09:25,640 --> 00:09:28,800 Speaker 4: You know, if you if you rode Miami, Ohio, with 195 00:09:28,880 --> 00:09:31,959 Speaker 4: which me and Stucky both gave out on last year's show, show, 196 00:09:32,559 --> 00:09:35,079 Speaker 4: you cashed a nice eight fifty ticket, So hopefully you 197 00:09:35,120 --> 00:09:37,920 Speaker 4: guys listen to that. You mentioned the key pieces they lost, 198 00:09:37,920 --> 00:09:41,079 Speaker 4: Amos Larva, Dane Caden Willard on the defense. I mean, 199 00:09:41,280 --> 00:09:46,120 Speaker 4: no loss bigger than gambling Heisman finalist Graham Nicholson. But yeah, 200 00:09:46,160 --> 00:09:48,280 Speaker 4: they do bring back seven stars on both sides of 201 00:09:48,320 --> 00:09:51,679 Speaker 4: the ball, Kenny Tracy, Kean Mosey at running back. They 202 00:09:51,679 --> 00:09:53,520 Speaker 4: bring in Purdue transfer Dylan Downie, so I think the 203 00:09:53,640 --> 00:09:56,720 Speaker 4: running games should be fine. Kate McDonald and Jayon Tracy 204 00:09:56,760 --> 00:09:59,719 Speaker 4: are back at receiver, They're may being four stars back 205 00:09:59,760 --> 00:10:02,439 Speaker 4: on the I think they should be good there front 206 00:10:02,480 --> 00:10:05,520 Speaker 4: seven obviously, this is what I said, But Kobe Hilton's back, 207 00:10:05,600 --> 00:10:09,360 Speaker 4: Brian Ougu's back, ty Ty Weiss back, Matt Salapick is 208 00:10:09,600 --> 00:10:12,360 Speaker 4: probably the best line is the best linebacker in the conference, 209 00:10:12,440 --> 00:10:14,520 Speaker 4: led the MAC attacks last year, so getting him back 210 00:10:14,520 --> 00:10:17,960 Speaker 4: again big secondary has some holes that need to be addressed. 211 00:10:18,000 --> 00:10:20,400 Speaker 4: But that's really the only weakness this team has, you know, 212 00:10:20,559 --> 00:10:23,880 Speaker 4: other than Gabbert's health. I still think this is the 213 00:10:23,960 --> 00:10:26,640 Speaker 4: best team in the conference, but it's just it's so 214 00:10:26,800 --> 00:10:28,960 Speaker 4: hard to repeat in the MAC. We haven't had a 215 00:10:29,040 --> 00:10:34,080 Speaker 4: repeat MAC champion since twenty twelve twenty eleven Northern Illinois. 216 00:10:34,480 --> 00:10:38,000 Speaker 4: So I feel like I'm just kind of blindly we 217 00:10:38,000 --> 00:10:41,080 Speaker 4: did it last year with Leedo. I'm just blindly not 218 00:10:41,280 --> 00:10:45,160 Speaker 4: betting the MAC champ to repeat, you know, Like I said, 219 00:10:45,200 --> 00:10:47,480 Speaker 4: we got them at plus eight point fifty last year, 220 00:10:47,520 --> 00:10:50,600 Speaker 4: and now you're getting them plus two thirty. So to me, 221 00:10:50,679 --> 00:10:52,760 Speaker 4: it's just I like them still, but there's just no 222 00:10:52,920 --> 00:10:54,920 Speaker 4: value in that number, So it's a pass for me. 223 00:10:55,760 --> 00:10:58,520 Speaker 1: Bill Conley from ESPN likes to point out that Martin 224 00:10:58,600 --> 00:11:00,880 Speaker 1: as a head coach is one of the most conservative, 225 00:11:01,080 --> 00:11:03,640 Speaker 1: risk averse coaches, and we know this. Do you have 226 00:11:03,720 --> 00:11:06,280 Speaker 1: any concerns about them trying to pull out as many 227 00:11:06,280 --> 00:11:08,840 Speaker 1: close games if the defense isn't quite as good this year? 228 00:11:09,440 --> 00:11:13,800 Speaker 2: If you thought he was conservative before after last year, oh, baby, 229 00:11:13,920 --> 00:11:16,000 Speaker 2: he was. He's now all justified. I mean he tried. 230 00:11:16,200 --> 00:11:19,120 Speaker 2: They tried to. I mean after Gabbert went down, they 231 00:11:19,120 --> 00:11:21,920 Speaker 2: were basically just trying to win with field goals and punting. Yeah, 232 00:11:21,920 --> 00:11:23,400 Speaker 2: and they did, and then he won. He won the 233 00:11:23,400 --> 00:11:25,480 Speaker 2: MAC title with the backup quarterback. I mean, they tried 234 00:11:25,480 --> 00:11:27,600 Speaker 2: to win a bowl game playing without a quarterback. He 235 00:11:27,640 --> 00:11:29,599 Speaker 2: was like he was feeling. He was like, let's go 236 00:11:29,640 --> 00:11:31,120 Speaker 2: where we can win, win any way possible, and they 237 00:11:31,120 --> 00:11:33,520 Speaker 2: almost did. One of the funniest bowl games I've ever watched, 238 00:11:33,559 --> 00:11:36,240 Speaker 2: by the way, shout out to mine Behind the Spreadhawks 239 00:11:36,440 --> 00:11:39,000 Speaker 2: who covered that game. I don't know if they threw 240 00:11:39,080 --> 00:11:41,360 Speaker 2: for I don't remember them doing anything well on off 241 00:11:41,400 --> 00:11:43,480 Speaker 2: but there was just I think there was thirteen take 242 00:11:43,480 --> 00:11:46,520 Speaker 2: eleven fumbles in that game. Hilarious. One of my favorite 243 00:11:46,520 --> 00:11:47,000 Speaker 2: bowls ever. 244 00:11:47,559 --> 00:11:51,120 Speaker 3: And your journey into the MAC Championship emotionally, what are 245 00:11:51,160 --> 00:11:54,800 Speaker 3: you dealing with? Great offense, great defense, everything special teams. 246 00:11:55,040 --> 00:11:58,040 Speaker 3: Defensive special teams relied on heavily since Krett went down 247 00:11:58,360 --> 00:12:03,200 Speaker 3: wring your quarterbacks the coldback's phone stick off his leg 248 00:12:03,240 --> 00:12:05,480 Speaker 3: four weeks ago. When Nessie Pick does is going to 249 00:12:05,520 --> 00:12:06,640 Speaker 3: get here, So just. 250 00:12:06,640 --> 00:12:07,640 Speaker 1: Brought him every question me. 251 00:12:08,360 --> 00:12:11,000 Speaker 2: You will rarely ever see me buy the favorite in 252 00:12:11,040 --> 00:12:13,600 Speaker 2: the mac not doing it this year. So if you're 253 00:12:13,600 --> 00:12:15,360 Speaker 2: gonna bet, I would say you, I wouldn't bet the over. 254 00:12:15,400 --> 00:12:16,840 Speaker 2: I mean, I project seven point five to five, but 255 00:12:16,880 --> 00:12:20,120 Speaker 2: it's tough to project because Northwestern at Northwestern and since 256 00:12:20,160 --> 00:12:23,800 Speaker 2: he are winnable games, but not if Gabert doesn't play, 257 00:12:24,000 --> 00:12:26,719 Speaker 2: and not if Gabbart isn't healthy. And Martin came out 258 00:12:26,720 --> 00:12:31,120 Speaker 2: and said he hopes doesn't know. So you know, a 259 00:12:31,200 --> 00:12:32,679 Speaker 2: couple of things we do know is gabertt has never 260 00:12:32,720 --> 00:12:35,720 Speaker 2: stayed healthy. He's he's always had injuries. That's another reason 261 00:12:35,880 --> 00:12:38,600 Speaker 2: last year I said, I remember specifically saying on this podcast, 262 00:12:38,640 --> 00:12:43,160 Speaker 2: I said, look, I'm concerned about Gabbert being healthy, which 263 00:12:43,320 --> 00:12:45,320 Speaker 2: ended up coming through. He ended up getting hurt. But 264 00:12:45,880 --> 00:12:48,600 Speaker 2: I'm willing to invest the plus eight fifty to take 265 00:12:48,640 --> 00:12:51,520 Speaker 2: a shot on this team that he does stay healthy. Now, 266 00:12:51,600 --> 00:12:53,080 Speaker 2: luckily it worked out withou him saying I've been now 267 00:12:53,120 --> 00:12:54,800 Speaker 2: you're the favorite. You gotta worry about his injuries. And 268 00:12:54,800 --> 00:12:56,760 Speaker 2: then from a window perspective, there's a couple things. He 269 00:12:56,800 --> 00:12:58,880 Speaker 2: might not be fully healthy, he might not be completely 270 00:12:58,880 --> 00:13:01,640 Speaker 2: one hundred percent ready to go, and then even if 271 00:13:01,640 --> 00:13:06,280 Speaker 2: he's like very close, my Ohio might just say like, hey, 272 00:13:06,679 --> 00:13:08,960 Speaker 2: let's really be cautious in the first couple of weeks, right, 273 00:13:10,120 --> 00:13:12,920 Speaker 2: and then so you're you're my wind. Total then would 274 00:13:12,960 --> 00:13:17,160 Speaker 2: fluctuate pretty drastically because baby On Smith's not there. The 275 00:13:17,240 --> 00:13:20,640 Speaker 2: depth of quarterback is not great, So that's something to 276 00:13:20,720 --> 00:13:22,439 Speaker 2: keep in mind. It's not like they're like, I know, 277 00:13:22,559 --> 00:13:26,160 Speaker 2: so they're not playing like, uh, you know, little Sisters 278 00:13:26,200 --> 00:13:26,720 Speaker 2: of the Poor. 279 00:13:27,120 --> 00:13:27,640 Speaker 1: Week one. 280 00:13:28,280 --> 00:13:30,640 Speaker 2: They're playing at Northwestern. I think the line last line 281 00:13:30,640 --> 00:13:34,000 Speaker 2: I saw, they're like plus four plus four and a half, 282 00:13:34,040 --> 00:13:36,800 Speaker 2: which would obviously move drastically if Gabbart is out. So 283 00:13:36,800 --> 00:13:39,200 Speaker 2: that's something to keep in mind. The schedule also much 284 00:13:39,200 --> 00:13:42,920 Speaker 2: more difficult. They replaced from last compared to last year. 285 00:13:42,960 --> 00:13:46,720 Speaker 2: They replaced Delaware State at home with a game at Northwestern. 286 00:13:47,360 --> 00:13:52,120 Speaker 2: In conference, they replace Akron, Buffalo and Western Michigan, who 287 00:13:52,120 --> 00:13:56,520 Speaker 2: had nine wins combined last year with Eastern Michigan, Northern Illinois, 288 00:13:56,600 --> 00:13:59,439 Speaker 2: and Central Michigan. Not a huge jump up, but it's 289 00:13:59,440 --> 00:14:02,520 Speaker 2: from you know, nine to eighteen wins and you're dropping 290 00:14:02,559 --> 00:14:06,800 Speaker 2: off Acron Buffalo, two of the worst in the league, 291 00:14:07,080 --> 00:14:10,680 Speaker 2: and you know, so when I look at this team, 292 00:14:10,720 --> 00:14:13,640 Speaker 2: it's I I just can't buy them at their price point. 293 00:14:13,679 --> 00:14:15,960 Speaker 2: You have to also remember there's a couple of things 294 00:14:15,960 --> 00:14:20,520 Speaker 2: that do consider me outside of Gabich's staying healthy. Tackles 295 00:14:20,520 --> 00:14:23,120 Speaker 2: are great on the offensive line. That's probably the strength 296 00:14:23,120 --> 00:14:24,480 Speaker 2: of the offense. And I am curious to see if 297 00:14:24,520 --> 00:14:26,080 Speaker 2: like a guy like Downing, if he can come in 298 00:14:26,360 --> 00:14:30,280 Speaker 2: and flash just coming down a level. But the special 299 00:14:30,280 --> 00:14:33,480 Speaker 2: teams last year were so good. I said all year 300 00:14:33,480 --> 00:14:35,480 Speaker 2: I have the number one, by far, number one rated 301 00:14:35,480 --> 00:14:39,320 Speaker 2: special teams unit. You had Nicholson who won the lu 302 00:14:39,360 --> 00:14:42,200 Speaker 2: Gros that went to Alabama. They won two games on 303 00:14:42,280 --> 00:14:45,600 Speaker 2: blocked field goals. I mean, they're they're luckily they're a 304 00:14:45,640 --> 00:14:48,000 Speaker 2: good plunder back, but can their special teams be that 305 00:14:48,120 --> 00:14:53,760 Speaker 2: dominant again? Like that? That's after losing Nicholson and their 306 00:14:53,760 --> 00:14:57,400 Speaker 2: special teams coach too. And then you hinted at this 307 00:14:57,440 --> 00:15:00,680 Speaker 2: a bit. I know, I was a defensive backfield is there? 308 00:15:00,760 --> 00:15:07,240 Speaker 2: They play pretty vanilla defense, you know, four to two, five, 309 00:15:07,840 --> 00:15:10,800 Speaker 2: not too many bells and whistles. And last year why 310 00:15:10,840 --> 00:15:14,440 Speaker 2: that defense was so good and so dominant is everyone 311 00:15:14,480 --> 00:15:18,320 Speaker 2: on the back end always knew where to be they 312 00:15:18,360 --> 00:15:22,280 Speaker 2: never missed assignments. They were such good tacklers, they were 313 00:15:22,320 --> 00:15:25,200 Speaker 2: so well schooled, and now you're going to be much 314 00:15:25,240 --> 00:15:28,160 Speaker 2: more inexperienced, like look at a position like CB two. 315 00:15:28,760 --> 00:15:32,000 Speaker 2: So I am worried that the secondary is just not 316 00:15:32,080 --> 00:15:33,920 Speaker 2: going to be as well schooled and that defense is 317 00:15:33,920 --> 00:15:36,600 Speaker 2: going to take a step back. So overall, I would 318 00:15:36,640 --> 00:15:40,480 Speaker 2: only recommend the under. You know, but I project right 319 00:15:40,480 --> 00:15:43,160 Speaker 2: around seven seven point five to five total seven and 320 00:15:43,160 --> 00:15:45,000 Speaker 2: a half twos to the over. But I would only 321 00:15:45,360 --> 00:15:47,840 Speaker 2: say so I do lean a tiny bit to the under, 322 00:15:48,160 --> 00:15:50,240 Speaker 2: but I would only recommend the under just because the 323 00:15:50,240 --> 00:15:55,040 Speaker 2: Gabbard uncertainty early Gabbert's injury history. Can the special teams 324 00:15:55,040 --> 00:15:58,840 Speaker 2: be as good again? And then I think that the secondary, 325 00:15:58,840 --> 00:16:00,400 Speaker 2: it's really got to come together because it's such a 326 00:16:00,440 --> 00:16:02,920 Speaker 2: key for how that entire defense worked. And last year 327 00:16:02,960 --> 00:16:05,120 Speaker 2: it was like an orchestra and it all came together. 328 00:16:05,160 --> 00:16:07,000 Speaker 2: But the way that I'm approached my OHIO was I 329 00:16:07,000 --> 00:16:10,520 Speaker 2: just think that, hey, not considering them for a future, 330 00:16:11,200 --> 00:16:13,280 Speaker 2: Let's look at the rest of the board to see 331 00:16:13,280 --> 00:16:14,840 Speaker 2: where we can find some value in the MAC. 332 00:16:17,040 --> 00:16:19,440 Speaker 1: All right, if there is some wiggle room for a 333 00:16:19,480 --> 00:16:21,840 Speaker 1: team outside of the favorite to win this conference. We're 334 00:16:21,840 --> 00:16:23,840 Speaker 1: going to get to a lot of good options here. 335 00:16:23,920 --> 00:16:26,600 Speaker 1: Let's start with Bowling Green seven and six last year, 336 00:16:26,640 --> 00:16:28,520 Speaker 1: five and three in conference. They lose to Minnesota in 337 00:16:28,520 --> 00:16:30,640 Speaker 1: the Quickling Bowl. Their win total set at six and 338 00:16:30,680 --> 00:16:33,080 Speaker 1: a half thirteen to two to win the MAC one 339 00:16:33,120 --> 00:16:35,480 Speaker 1: hundred and ten to one to make the College Bowl playoff. 340 00:16:35,880 --> 00:16:37,480 Speaker 1: They have two of the best players in the conference 341 00:16:37,480 --> 00:16:39,560 Speaker 1: for starters. They got Harrow Fan Junior, just a future 342 00:16:39,680 --> 00:16:42,280 Speaker 1: NFL tight ends, and they got CJ. Brown, who is 343 00:16:42,320 --> 00:16:45,440 Speaker 1: a fantastic safety with pro potential. They get four starters 344 00:16:45,480 --> 00:16:48,600 Speaker 1: back on the line protecting Connor Beazlek, Terry, and Stewart 345 00:16:48,600 --> 00:16:52,440 Speaker 1: finished with the highest Pro Football Focus offensive grade of 346 00:16:52,480 --> 00:16:54,640 Speaker 1: any running back in the country. I had a triple 347 00:16:54,720 --> 00:16:58,360 Speaker 1: check that that was correct. Above Ashton Gentz above a 348 00:16:58,400 --> 00:17:01,000 Speaker 1: lot of power for guys, he was the top one. 349 00:17:01,560 --> 00:17:04,960 Speaker 1: Both played. Both Basilac and Stewart played banged up at 350 00:17:05,000 --> 00:17:07,280 Speaker 1: times last year. Stewart is back healthy after missing the 351 00:17:07,359 --> 00:17:10,240 Speaker 1: last four games. The mission is simple early on, keep 352 00:17:10,240 --> 00:17:12,560 Speaker 1: them healthy through the Penn State and A and M 353 00:17:12,560 --> 00:17:14,359 Speaker 1: games because they're not going to win those games, but 354 00:17:14,400 --> 00:17:18,040 Speaker 1: you don't want to lose any critical contributors. Defensively, they 355 00:17:18,040 --> 00:17:20,600 Speaker 1: were a great unit by MAX standards. Obviously not in 356 00:17:20,680 --> 00:17:23,479 Speaker 1: that elite tier with Miami of Ohio, but they were 357 00:17:23,520 --> 00:17:26,200 Speaker 1: pretty good at times. They returned six starters. They certainly 358 00:17:26,240 --> 00:17:28,840 Speaker 1: need their linebackers to gel. They get some new faces there. 359 00:17:29,280 --> 00:17:31,880 Speaker 1: The schedule, to me, of all the teams we've discussed 360 00:17:31,920 --> 00:17:35,480 Speaker 1: in G five Land so far, it perfectly breaks down 361 00:17:35,520 --> 00:17:38,560 Speaker 1: into three columns. You got the wins Fordham Old Dominion, 362 00:17:38,640 --> 00:17:40,320 Speaker 1: Kent State all at home. I also think they get 363 00:17:40,320 --> 00:17:44,280 Speaker 1: Western at home, the coin flips at Akron, Northern Illinois 364 00:17:44,320 --> 00:17:46,800 Speaker 1: at home, at Central at Ball State once again, all 365 00:17:46,960 --> 00:17:48,760 Speaker 1: very winnable, but I'm not going to go ahead and 366 00:17:48,800 --> 00:17:51,640 Speaker 1: chalk those upright away. And then the clear losses at Toledo. 367 00:17:51,880 --> 00:17:53,560 Speaker 1: I'm not sure that they are going to be able 368 00:17:53,560 --> 00:17:55,360 Speaker 1: to have that in the Battle of I seventy five 369 00:17:55,600 --> 00:17:57,800 Speaker 1: Penn State A and M and versus Miami of Ohio, 370 00:17:57,840 --> 00:18:00,280 Speaker 1: but they do get them at home. So I'm pretty 371 00:18:00,320 --> 00:18:02,159 Speaker 1: bullish on this team, to be honest. I like what 372 00:18:02,200 --> 00:18:04,800 Speaker 1: they have offensively, if all the key contributors, if the 373 00:18:04,840 --> 00:18:08,639 Speaker 1: big three of baslac Fan and Junior and Stuart stay healthy, 374 00:18:08,680 --> 00:18:10,200 Speaker 1: the whole way I think they get over this six 375 00:18:10,240 --> 00:18:12,440 Speaker 1: and a half and I am interested. I'm gonna shop 376 00:18:12,480 --> 00:18:14,840 Speaker 1: around if I can get just a little bit extra value. 377 00:18:15,000 --> 00:18:16,960 Speaker 1: Let's call it seven to one on them to win 378 00:18:17,040 --> 00:18:19,080 Speaker 1: the MAC. I'm gonna throw some money on them as well. 379 00:18:19,240 --> 00:18:21,120 Speaker 1: This is one of the teams I'm interested in now 380 00:18:21,160 --> 00:18:23,720 Speaker 1: that I'm moving away from Miami Ohio. Let me start 381 00:18:23,720 --> 00:18:25,640 Speaker 1: with you, Stuck. What are your thoughts on Bowling Green? 382 00:18:26,480 --> 00:18:29,679 Speaker 1: The last caveat I'll throw in here. Don't love the coach, 383 00:18:30,080 --> 00:18:33,560 Speaker 1: never have. That's really the only thing holding me back 384 00:18:33,560 --> 00:18:36,040 Speaker 1: from being all in on the Orange this year for 385 00:18:36,080 --> 00:18:36,600 Speaker 1: Bowling Green. 386 00:18:37,960 --> 00:18:42,480 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm not a huge fan of Leffler, and I'm 387 00:18:42,480 --> 00:18:44,960 Speaker 2: also not a huge gays on that guy. I mean, 388 00:18:44,960 --> 00:18:46,760 Speaker 2: if it's going to be any time, it's now. But 389 00:18:47,680 --> 00:18:50,520 Speaker 2: i mean even they don't do they fully trust him 390 00:18:51,800 --> 00:18:54,439 Speaker 2: split some time. By the way, him and work were 391 00:18:54,480 --> 00:18:56,439 Speaker 2: both were covered Avengers. They didn't play in the spring. 392 00:18:56,960 --> 00:19:00,560 Speaker 2: And then you have this kid Anderson, this red shirt 393 00:19:00,640 --> 00:19:03,359 Speaker 2: freshman who ran the spring game. And then there was 394 00:19:03,359 --> 00:19:06,280 Speaker 2: like I saw a question out there and like a 395 00:19:06,400 --> 00:19:08,520 Speaker 2: hint that like could they use three quarterbacks? I'm like, 396 00:19:08,560 --> 00:19:12,840 Speaker 2: we're really, this is what we're doing. But yeah, I mean, look, 397 00:19:12,920 --> 00:19:16,040 Speaker 2: on one hand, Bowling Green finished very strong last year. 398 00:19:16,040 --> 00:19:17,920 Speaker 2: They finished five and won in MacPlay with a one 399 00:19:17,960 --> 00:19:20,520 Speaker 2: point loss to Toledo in the game you are arguably 400 00:19:20,520 --> 00:19:23,199 Speaker 2: should have won. And then they you know, fared okay 401 00:19:23,240 --> 00:19:25,800 Speaker 2: in the bowl game against Minnesota. Will benefit from those 402 00:19:25,800 --> 00:19:30,119 Speaker 2: bowl practices. But they also there are five wins, right, 403 00:19:30,119 --> 00:19:34,000 Speaker 2: they finished five and one. It's in MAC play to 404 00:19:34,000 --> 00:19:38,200 Speaker 2: finish seven to five on the season. They beat Ball 405 00:19:38,280 --> 00:19:42,640 Speaker 2: State by three, Buffalo, Akron, Kent State, and Western Michigan. 406 00:19:42,920 --> 00:19:45,600 Speaker 2: Those are the five worst teams in the MAC combined 407 00:19:45,680 --> 00:19:48,520 Speaker 2: fourteen and forty six. So those are their last five 408 00:19:48,560 --> 00:19:51,080 Speaker 2: wins plus eight turnovers in that game. It is an 409 00:19:51,080 --> 00:19:54,920 Speaker 2: aggressive defense that looks to create havoc. Can they you know, 410 00:19:54,960 --> 00:19:57,320 Speaker 2: they've been pretty fortunate in that department taking the ball 411 00:19:57,359 --> 00:20:00,879 Speaker 2: away plus nine turnover margin last year. Can they maintain that? 412 00:20:00,960 --> 00:20:03,359 Speaker 2: But a lot of returning production comes back on offense. 413 00:20:03,400 --> 00:20:05,640 Speaker 2: There are some good pieces to like on this defense. 414 00:20:07,560 --> 00:20:10,199 Speaker 2: You know, I think that when you're looking at the 415 00:20:10,240 --> 00:20:13,520 Speaker 2: MAC as a whole, we'll get to Taleda. But Taleda 416 00:20:13,640 --> 00:20:16,400 Speaker 2: lost a ton no interest in them at the top 417 00:20:16,440 --> 00:20:18,400 Speaker 2: of the board. We just talked about Mom in Ohio. 418 00:20:19,720 --> 00:20:22,480 Speaker 2: No interest in them at their price point. And I 419 00:20:22,480 --> 00:20:25,240 Speaker 2: think the three teams that logically make sense that I 420 00:20:25,280 --> 00:20:30,040 Speaker 2: have power rated all pretty similarly, are you know in 421 00:20:30,119 --> 00:20:35,240 Speaker 2: the same ballpark are Bowling Green, Western Michigan, Northern Illinois. 422 00:20:35,359 --> 00:20:37,760 Speaker 2: There's been some market movement there probably will still be 423 00:20:37,760 --> 00:20:40,639 Speaker 2: some more, so obviously make sure you shop around as always, 424 00:20:40,720 --> 00:20:43,160 Speaker 2: especially in the futures market. Just don't give up free 425 00:20:43,160 --> 00:20:45,920 Speaker 2: potential money. So yeah, I think they're in the discussion. 426 00:20:45,960 --> 00:20:48,680 Speaker 2: I project six point seven wins over six and a 427 00:20:48,680 --> 00:20:52,679 Speaker 2: half plus money, don't mind at all. They're definitely in 428 00:20:52,720 --> 00:20:57,800 Speaker 2: the conversation as far as MAC contenders looking to win 429 00:20:57,840 --> 00:20:59,280 Speaker 2: it for the first time in nine years. 430 00:21:00,800 --> 00:21:02,639 Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm with you Calbury's this is who I had 431 00:21:02,680 --> 00:21:05,199 Speaker 4: written down as my pick to win the conference in 432 00:21:05,240 --> 00:21:09,800 Speaker 4: my future. There are seven ones out there which I like. Yeah, well, 433 00:21:09,960 --> 00:21:12,200 Speaker 4: I'm not over the moon with Bezlac. This is a 434 00:21:12,200 --> 00:21:15,320 Speaker 4: guy who's this is a sixth season starting after three 435 00:21:15,359 --> 00:21:18,119 Speaker 4: in the SEC one in the Big Ten, and his 436 00:21:18,160 --> 00:21:20,879 Speaker 4: big issue was just turnovers, and you saw he was 437 00:21:20,920 --> 00:21:23,840 Speaker 4: able to cut down the turnovers last season twelve touchdowns, 438 00:21:23,920 --> 00:21:27,000 Speaker 4: just seven interceptions. But he threw just one interception over 439 00:21:27,040 --> 00:21:29,639 Speaker 4: the last six games. They really came early on. You 440 00:21:29,720 --> 00:21:32,439 Speaker 4: mentioned Camden North got time. He's also back, so that 441 00:21:32,480 --> 00:21:35,159 Speaker 4: does provide depth, something that the MAC always needs. I'm 442 00:21:35,200 --> 00:21:37,439 Speaker 4: not sure when the last time a Matt quarterback started 443 00:21:37,440 --> 00:21:40,199 Speaker 4: twelve games. They do lose their top two receivers, but 444 00:21:40,240 --> 00:21:42,760 Speaker 4: they bring in transfers from Kent State and Auburn to 445 00:21:42,760 --> 00:21:45,040 Speaker 4: fill those holes, so I'm not super worried about that. 446 00:21:45,680 --> 00:21:48,080 Speaker 4: And yeah, the defense was twelfth in the country in 447 00:21:48,119 --> 00:21:52,119 Speaker 4: past defense last year. They returned six starters, including cornerback 448 00:21:52,320 --> 00:21:56,280 Speaker 4: Jordan Oladokun safety Darius Lorefils, so those are two really 449 00:21:56,359 --> 00:21:59,640 Speaker 4: key pieces back on the defense. The entire defensive line 450 00:21:59,680 --> 00:22:03,080 Speaker 4: is back. Demetrius Hardiman is back at linebacker after he 451 00:22:03,119 --> 00:22:05,960 Speaker 4: missed most of the season with an injury, and Basil, 452 00:22:06,000 --> 00:22:08,159 Speaker 4: like himself, was playing through an injury for most of 453 00:22:08,200 --> 00:22:10,600 Speaker 4: the year, so we saw him kind of get into 454 00:22:10,640 --> 00:22:13,760 Speaker 4: a different zone halfway through the through the season. Yes, 455 00:22:13,840 --> 00:22:17,000 Speaker 4: the competition wasn't great, but they finished five to one 456 00:22:17,119 --> 00:22:19,280 Speaker 4: with a They had a one point loss to Toledo. 457 00:22:19,320 --> 00:22:21,679 Speaker 4: They were right there in that game. Yeah, this is 458 00:22:21,680 --> 00:22:24,399 Speaker 4: a guy with forty college starts under his belt. I 459 00:22:24,440 --> 00:22:26,760 Speaker 4: just think Bezla's the best quarterback of the bunch. Last 460 00:22:26,760 --> 00:22:29,320 Speaker 4: season was their highest scoring season for Bowling Green since 461 00:22:29,320 --> 00:22:32,119 Speaker 4: twenty fifteen, so I like what they'd bring back. They 462 00:22:32,160 --> 00:22:34,400 Speaker 4: started the year at Fordham. Yes, then they'll get fed 463 00:22:34,440 --> 00:22:36,760 Speaker 4: to Penn State and A and M, but the max 464 00:22:36,800 --> 00:22:40,240 Speaker 4: slate's pretty manageable after that. If I'm looking to fade 465 00:22:40,240 --> 00:22:42,399 Speaker 4: Miami Ohio, I'm gonna take Bowling Green to do it. 466 00:22:43,160 --> 00:22:45,959 Speaker 2: They also get to play Drew Aller week two, so 467 00:22:46,000 --> 00:22:48,240 Speaker 2: that should be good to build confidence for that defense. 468 00:22:49,000 --> 00:22:50,879 Speaker 2: Oh wow, I don't even believe that. 469 00:22:51,680 --> 00:22:53,760 Speaker 4: I thought this shifts twel Ridge. 470 00:22:54,960 --> 00:22:57,320 Speaker 2: That can't be down. I can't so that go overran 471 00:22:57,359 --> 00:23:00,480 Speaker 2: All said, I don't know. So I we're sharing a 472 00:23:00,480 --> 00:23:02,160 Speaker 2: lot of love the Bowling Green. I will say they. 473 00:23:02,440 --> 00:23:04,080 Speaker 2: I just said that that cluster teams you want to 474 00:23:04,080 --> 00:23:06,320 Speaker 2: focus on Western Michigan, Northern Illinois, bul and Green. Bowling 475 00:23:06,320 --> 00:23:08,879 Speaker 2: Green hosts both, so that could be a big topper. 476 00:23:09,160 --> 00:23:12,040 Speaker 2: But back end of the defense. Look, you lose Anders, 477 00:23:12,040 --> 00:23:15,440 Speaker 2: you lose Ferguson at Nickel, who I loved, You lose 478 00:23:15,480 --> 00:23:18,159 Speaker 2: Husky at corner, Aludicon returns he's a stud. You do 479 00:23:18,200 --> 00:23:20,800 Speaker 2: add Brown from Northern Illinois. I like their safety, but 480 00:23:21,000 --> 00:23:23,440 Speaker 2: there's some more questions in the back end and can 481 00:23:23,480 --> 00:23:26,359 Speaker 2: they keep up that you know, turnover generating ways. I 482 00:23:26,400 --> 00:23:28,520 Speaker 2: know that's like their style and they're going to go 483 00:23:28,600 --> 00:23:32,760 Speaker 2: after the quarterback tackles for loss create havoc. The wide 484 00:23:32,760 --> 00:23:34,960 Speaker 2: receiver definitely is a concern of mine. You know, you 485 00:23:35,000 --> 00:23:37,760 Speaker 2: mentioned the transfers that they brought in after losing their 486 00:23:37,760 --> 00:23:42,520 Speaker 2: top three receivers. They have twelve career starts, so there's 487 00:23:42,520 --> 00:23:46,720 Speaker 2: definitely some questions there, and I think Tron Keith is 488 00:23:47,000 --> 00:23:50,120 Speaker 2: a look starts, a stud and Keith did a great 489 00:23:50,160 --> 00:23:52,359 Speaker 2: job coming in losing Keith's big on like he was. 490 00:23:52,720 --> 00:23:55,280 Speaker 2: He was great out of the backfield on like third 491 00:23:55,359 --> 00:23:59,199 Speaker 2: downs and did so much from them on just key downs, 492 00:23:59,240 --> 00:24:03,879 Speaker 2: catching the ball well, keeping the sticks moving. So running 493 00:24:03,880 --> 00:24:06,680 Speaker 2: back death was Stork coming back from an injury, and 494 00:24:06,760 --> 00:24:09,240 Speaker 2: you know, not having Keith there on third downs that's 495 00:24:09,480 --> 00:24:12,639 Speaker 2: definitely a concern of min But wide receiver, linebacker, you know, 496 00:24:13,000 --> 00:24:15,119 Speaker 2: one of the corner spots. Just the back end, the 497 00:24:15,160 --> 00:24:19,240 Speaker 2: defense in general is something I'm worried about and not 498 00:24:20,400 --> 00:24:22,720 Speaker 2: you know, there definitely are some special teams questions too. 499 00:24:22,840 --> 00:24:25,719 Speaker 2: But I wouldn't fault anyone for taking you know, Bowling 500 00:24:25,720 --> 00:24:28,400 Speaker 2: Green seven to one of many of those three teams. 501 00:24:28,400 --> 00:24:30,560 Speaker 2: If you want to make a case for I don't hate. 502 00:24:31,840 --> 00:24:34,440 Speaker 1: The Ohio Bobcats went ten and three last year, six 503 00:24:34,480 --> 00:24:36,800 Speaker 1: and two in conference. They win over Georgia Southern and 504 00:24:36,800 --> 00:24:39,080 Speaker 1: the Myrtle Beach Bowl. Their win total set at six 505 00:24:39,119 --> 00:24:41,080 Speaker 1: and a half twelve to one to win the MAC 506 00:24:41,080 --> 00:24:42,600 Speaker 1: one hundred and ten to one to make the College 507 00:24:42,640 --> 00:24:45,280 Speaker 1: Ball Playoff. In my opinion, last year was their shot. 508 00:24:45,480 --> 00:24:47,560 Speaker 1: They won ten games, but they finished six and two 509 00:24:47,560 --> 00:24:49,320 Speaker 1: in the conference. As I mentioned, they lost by ten 510 00:24:49,359 --> 00:24:52,560 Speaker 1: at Northern Illinois and fourteen at home against Miami Ohio. 511 00:24:52,600 --> 00:24:55,040 Speaker 1: They don't get to the title game. Now they lose 512 00:24:55,200 --> 00:25:00,679 Speaker 1: without exaggeration, everyone negative twelve and then that that is 513 00:25:00,760 --> 00:25:04,240 Speaker 1: dead last in the entire country. One starter back on 514 00:25:04,320 --> 00:25:07,040 Speaker 1: each side of the ball, Spence Newinsky left of it 515 00:25:07,119 --> 00:25:09,000 Speaker 1: become the defensive coordinator at Memphis. 516 00:25:09,520 --> 00:25:10,960 Speaker 2: Like that higher for Memphis by I don't know if 517 00:25:11,480 --> 00:25:11,720 Speaker 2: that's a. 518 00:25:11,720 --> 00:25:14,280 Speaker 1: Great hire for them. Yeah, that's an interesting one that 519 00:25:14,320 --> 00:25:15,879 Speaker 1: we're going to come back to, because if the Memphis 520 00:25:15,960 --> 00:25:18,520 Speaker 1: defense makes a jump, like hold on to your hat, 521 00:25:18,560 --> 00:25:20,560 Speaker 1: that team could be you know, top fifteen by the 522 00:25:20,640 --> 00:25:23,200 Speaker 1: end of the season. Unfortunately, and this is a crazy 523 00:25:23,200 --> 00:25:24,720 Speaker 1: thing to say, you win ten games in the MAC 524 00:25:24,760 --> 00:25:26,959 Speaker 1: and then it's a year zero. I think this is 525 00:25:27,119 --> 00:25:30,760 Speaker 1: a year zero situation at Syracuse, South Alabama at home, 526 00:25:30,800 --> 00:25:35,880 Speaker 1: Akinunkie early Like, these are question marks for me, and 527 00:25:36,720 --> 00:25:39,280 Speaker 1: luckily we have the MAC expert to walk me through it, 528 00:25:39,320 --> 00:25:42,639 Speaker 1: because at this point there's just so many new faces. 529 00:25:43,119 --> 00:25:45,840 Speaker 1: And yes there's coaching continuity at the head coaching level, 530 00:25:46,000 --> 00:25:49,160 Speaker 1: but with one coordinator gone, like I just I don't 531 00:25:49,160 --> 00:25:51,199 Speaker 1: know how to handicap this team. I will not be 532 00:25:51,280 --> 00:25:54,240 Speaker 1: playing them early on because they have so many new pieces. 533 00:25:54,960 --> 00:25:56,520 Speaker 1: So just help me out a bit here, Stuck, How 534 00:25:56,520 --> 00:25:59,440 Speaker 1: do you start with a team breaking in twenty new. 535 00:25:59,280 --> 00:26:04,119 Speaker 2: Starters for this particular I mean it's it's all depends 536 00:26:04,160 --> 00:26:06,400 Speaker 2: on the team. But for this particular case, you bet 537 00:26:06,400 --> 00:26:09,280 Speaker 2: the under under six and a half minus one. You 538 00:26:09,280 --> 00:26:11,080 Speaker 2: can if I'm under six and a half minus one, 539 00:26:11,160 --> 00:26:16,760 Speaker 2: forty out there, fine, my favorite win total in the conference. 540 00:26:17,200 --> 00:26:21,480 Speaker 2: I'd be shocked if they got to seven wins. Maybe 541 00:26:21,560 --> 00:26:25,359 Speaker 2: you know, ball stayed at home finished the season. Maybe 542 00:26:25,359 --> 00:26:28,160 Speaker 2: that's to get Bowl eligible. But I wouldn't be shocked. 543 00:26:28,200 --> 00:26:30,800 Speaker 2: This team finished four and eight. You know, it's an 544 00:26:30,800 --> 00:26:32,680 Speaker 2: easy schedule, so there's win a lot of winnable games 545 00:26:32,720 --> 00:26:36,560 Speaker 2: on here. Morgan State acron at home, Buffalo at home 546 00:26:37,080 --> 00:26:40,280 Speaker 2: at Kent State, Eastern Michigan at home, Ball stayed at home. Right, 547 00:26:40,320 --> 00:26:43,040 Speaker 2: So like theoretically can win six seven games. But everything 548 00:26:43,040 --> 00:26:45,800 Speaker 2: that they're losing where I haven't power rated. They go 549 00:26:45,960 --> 00:26:49,760 Speaker 2: seven and zero in those games. Tapped it to them. 550 00:26:50,560 --> 00:26:53,639 Speaker 2: So yeah, they lose everything. They lose their stud quarterback, 551 00:26:53,720 --> 00:26:57,680 Speaker 2: they're running back, their top six receivers, three offensive linemen, 552 00:26:57,920 --> 00:27:01,320 Speaker 2: promoted the new offensive coordinator in the spring. You know 553 00:27:01,359 --> 00:27:03,760 Speaker 2: you mentioned the defensive coordinator change in the spring. Guess 554 00:27:03,760 --> 00:27:05,720 Speaker 2: how many starts to have the wide receiver and tight 555 00:27:05,800 --> 00:27:13,359 Speaker 2: end position FBS level two two two starts. They were, 556 00:27:14,200 --> 00:27:16,880 Speaker 2: you know, just absolutely crushed by the portal. They lost 557 00:27:16,960 --> 00:27:20,720 Speaker 2: nine of their top twelve tacklers. There's there's not much 558 00:27:20,760 --> 00:27:22,520 Speaker 2: to go on here. And then here's the thing that 559 00:27:22,840 --> 00:27:25,560 Speaker 2: they they're the team I think in the offseason is 560 00:27:25,680 --> 00:27:28,200 Speaker 2: going to drop the furthest and suffer the most from 561 00:27:29,119 --> 00:27:33,199 Speaker 2: the new landscape of college football, and some teams are 562 00:27:33,240 --> 00:27:37,040 Speaker 2: able to overcome that. I don't think Ohio is I 563 00:27:37,040 --> 00:27:38,720 Speaker 2: mean maybe the future I'm talking about for this year, 564 00:27:38,720 --> 00:27:40,560 Speaker 2: I don't think, like you look at who they brought in, 565 00:27:40,960 --> 00:27:42,880 Speaker 2: you look at who they're relying on the talent level 566 00:27:43,000 --> 00:27:45,520 Speaker 2: where they're bringing the guys from. There's just not a 567 00:27:45,520 --> 00:27:50,119 Speaker 2: lot here. Then you have some coaching changes. It's a mess. 568 00:27:50,920 --> 00:27:54,639 Speaker 2: The special teams also was horrendous last year, so you 569 00:27:54,680 --> 00:27:56,920 Speaker 2: know they're going to be in some some coin flip games. 570 00:27:56,920 --> 00:27:58,320 Speaker 2: A lot of those games that I mentioned, they'll be 571 00:27:58,720 --> 00:28:03,960 Speaker 2: you know, small dogs or under a touchdown favorite. So yeah, 572 00:28:04,080 --> 00:28:07,720 Speaker 2: I love the under on this team. I think that 573 00:28:07,760 --> 00:28:10,520 Speaker 2: there's a lot of downside. There's not much upside, Like 574 00:28:11,119 --> 00:28:13,680 Speaker 2: how many more wins than seven? So like that's probably 575 00:28:13,680 --> 00:28:16,360 Speaker 2: their ceiling to me. But yeah, like I said, three 576 00:28:16,440 --> 00:28:22,640 Speaker 2: or four wins, I wouldn't be surprised. Uh it's it's 577 00:28:22,720 --> 00:28:25,480 Speaker 2: it's bleak for Ohio. I feel bad because they couple 578 00:28:25,520 --> 00:28:27,960 Speaker 2: of years ago. This is a team that I thought 579 00:28:28,080 --> 00:28:33,040 Speaker 2: was finally going to get that elusive Mac title and 580 00:28:33,119 --> 00:28:36,239 Speaker 2: now it might be a while. So yeah, I mean 581 00:28:36,280 --> 00:28:38,320 Speaker 2: even even at linebacker. I mean the strength of their 582 00:28:38,360 --> 00:28:40,960 Speaker 2: team last year was there was Houston and Thompson a 583 00:28:41,000 --> 00:28:43,280 Speaker 2: linebacker too. I think they were both first team All Mac. 584 00:28:43,680 --> 00:28:49,880 Speaker 2: They're gone. Your secondary is depleted, and you look at 585 00:28:49,880 --> 00:28:52,040 Speaker 2: so like, let's look at their defensive line. You lose 586 00:28:52,080 --> 00:28:53,840 Speaker 2: everyone on the defensive line too. And by the way, 587 00:28:54,000 --> 00:28:55,360 Speaker 2: you lose two of the guys you were going to 588 00:28:55,440 --> 00:28:57,800 Speaker 2: count on in the portal after the spring on the 589 00:28:57,840 --> 00:29:00,200 Speaker 2: defensive line. That hurts too. And you lost row It, 590 00:29:00,280 --> 00:29:02,880 Speaker 2: offensive tackle, cornerback, cocks. You we're gonna rely on, Like 591 00:29:02,880 --> 00:29:04,360 Speaker 2: these are guys that left in the spring, like they 592 00:29:04,400 --> 00:29:06,400 Speaker 2: just were crushed in the spring. He gets six All 593 00:29:06,440 --> 00:29:09,880 Speaker 2: MAC players last year, they're all gone in the defensive line. 594 00:29:09,880 --> 00:29:11,240 Speaker 2: It's like, all right here you bringing in. It's like 595 00:29:11,280 --> 00:29:16,320 Speaker 2: some SCS transfers Nevada, North Dakota. There's just there's just 596 00:29:16,360 --> 00:29:21,120 Speaker 2: not not many, not much juice. So yeah, this is uh, 597 00:29:21,440 --> 00:29:23,800 Speaker 2: it's gonna be a long season for Ohio. But they 598 00:29:23,840 --> 00:29:26,680 Speaker 2: get the ball. I was pretty sure Eastern Michigan was 599 00:29:27,640 --> 00:29:31,240 Speaker 2: an absolute circus last year. That team was so bad 600 00:29:31,360 --> 00:29:33,480 Speaker 2: and they got to a bowl and then obviously lost 601 00:29:33,480 --> 00:29:36,680 Speaker 2: by one hundred and forty four. So yeah, they could 602 00:29:36,680 --> 00:29:38,720 Speaker 2: get It's still the MAC. They could win six games 603 00:29:38,720 --> 00:29:42,280 Speaker 2: and get to a bowl. Like but uh, I don't 604 00:29:42,320 --> 00:29:45,520 Speaker 2: see any upside with Ohio not worth even considering for 605 00:29:45,800 --> 00:29:49,160 Speaker 2: a long shot and under under six and a half 606 00:29:49,560 --> 00:29:51,320 Speaker 2: even yea, eat some juice. 607 00:29:51,400 --> 00:29:55,160 Speaker 1: Eastern making a bowl game. They made Lopez look like 608 00:29:55,200 --> 00:29:57,520 Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes and then Lopez followed up that bowl game 609 00:29:57,560 --> 00:29:59,720 Speaker 1: by going over thirteen at spring in the spring game. 610 00:29:59,720 --> 00:30:03,760 Speaker 1: So yea. So your point is very very well Takenello. 611 00:30:03,000 --> 00:30:04,720 Speaker 2: First worst team I've ever had power right him that 612 00:30:04,800 --> 00:30:06,080 Speaker 2: madea ble was used to miss the mess. 613 00:30:06,680 --> 00:30:09,280 Speaker 1: What are your thoughts here? Ianello on the bobs, Yeah, 614 00:30:09,360 --> 00:30:09,960 Speaker 1: you guys said it all. 615 00:30:09,960 --> 00:30:11,320 Speaker 4: I don't want to pile on too much. I do 616 00:30:11,440 --> 00:30:13,000 Speaker 4: just want to add that you guys fail to mention 617 00:30:13,120 --> 00:30:15,880 Speaker 4: that the loan starter on offense who is returning is 618 00:30:15,960 --> 00:30:20,080 Speaker 4: legendary center Parker Titsworth. So shout out to mister Tittsworth, 619 00:30:20,240 --> 00:30:22,680 Speaker 4: get to have you back in the squad. This is 620 00:30:22,720 --> 00:30:26,160 Speaker 4: also the first season Ohio will not have a Rourke 621 00:30:26,320 --> 00:30:30,720 Speaker 4: under center since twenty sixteen, so it's definitely a new era. 622 00:30:30,840 --> 00:30:35,720 Speaker 4: Parker Navarro, Yeah, I mean, whatever looks solid. And the 623 00:30:35,800 --> 00:30:37,880 Speaker 4: one nice thing I'll say about Ohio fans who want 624 00:30:37,880 --> 00:30:41,120 Speaker 4: to kill themselves right now, Ricky Hunt was awesome. In 625 00:30:41,160 --> 00:30:44,200 Speaker 4: that bowl game, he had five total touchdowns, so he 626 00:30:44,280 --> 00:30:46,440 Speaker 4: should be the best player on this team. He'll be 627 00:30:46,480 --> 00:30:49,360 Speaker 4: fun to watch if the offensive line can kind of 628 00:30:49,720 --> 00:30:53,160 Speaker 4: not get him killed. So Ricky Hunt is kind of 629 00:30:53,200 --> 00:30:56,840 Speaker 4: your your your Ohio Bobcat to watch. But yeah, Stuck, 630 00:30:56,880 --> 00:31:00,560 Speaker 4: you mentioned the guys they plugged in, you know you 631 00:31:00,640 --> 00:31:04,680 Speaker 4: got more. I'm looking three Power five guys. You have 632 00:31:04,800 --> 00:31:07,120 Speaker 4: a receiver from Illinois and receiver from Michigan who aren't 633 00:31:07,160 --> 00:31:10,280 Speaker 4: even projected to start on this team. So who cares 634 00:31:10,920 --> 00:31:13,280 Speaker 4: running back from Northwestern who should be the backup if 635 00:31:13,280 --> 00:31:15,520 Speaker 4: not the third strength. So yeah, none of them. They 636 00:31:15,520 --> 00:31:17,840 Speaker 4: didn't really bring in any pieces to fix it. Let 637 00:31:17,840 --> 00:31:20,160 Speaker 4: me start one in three. I really liked Tim Alban, 638 00:31:20,280 --> 00:31:22,320 Speaker 4: but yeah, seven wins is a big, big ask. 639 00:31:22,960 --> 00:31:26,040 Speaker 5: This podcast is presented by bet MGM used bonus code 640 00:31:26,080 --> 00:31:28,320 Speaker 5: action when signing up to get up to fifteen hundred 641 00:31:28,360 --> 00:31:30,800 Speaker 5: dollars back in bonus bets if your first bet does 642 00:31:30,840 --> 00:31:38,320 Speaker 5: not win. For new users in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, 643 00:31:38,320 --> 00:31:43,000 Speaker 5: New Jersey, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, West Virginia, 644 00:31:43,040 --> 00:31:45,880 Speaker 5: and Wyoming. Terms and conditions apply must be twenty one 645 00:31:45,880 --> 00:31:49,040 Speaker 5: plus gambling problem called one eight hundred gambler. 646 00:31:50,600 --> 00:31:53,920 Speaker 1: All right, let's speed through another cellar dweller here in 647 00:31:53,960 --> 00:31:56,400 Speaker 1: the MAC. The Kent State Golden Flashes one and eleven 648 00:31:56,520 --> 00:31:58,360 Speaker 1: zero to eight in conference. Last year, the Winter Will 649 00:31:58,400 --> 00:32:00,640 Speaker 1: said at two and a half odds to win the 650 00:32:00,680 --> 00:32:03,120 Speaker 1: MAC one hundred and twenty to one at college football playoff, 651 00:32:03,120 --> 00:32:04,800 Speaker 1: come on, three hundred to one should be one thousand 652 00:32:04,840 --> 00:32:07,600 Speaker 1: to one, ten thousand to one. Year zero is over. 653 00:32:07,880 --> 00:32:09,920 Speaker 1: It was really rough. The offense never got out of 654 00:32:09,960 --> 00:32:12,600 Speaker 1: neutral one hundred and thirtieth in scoring just a touch 655 00:32:13,000 --> 00:32:15,960 Speaker 1: over fourteen points per game. Defense gave up nearly thirty 656 00:32:16,000 --> 00:32:20,880 Speaker 1: five per game. Kenny Burns team went winless against FBS opponents. 657 00:32:20,680 --> 00:32:22,600 Speaker 1: That's all you really need to know. They lost their 658 00:32:22,640 --> 00:32:24,800 Speaker 1: MAC games by an average of nineteen points per game, 659 00:32:25,400 --> 00:32:28,760 Speaker 1: So is there any reason for optimism? They did score 660 00:32:28,800 --> 00:32:30,560 Speaker 1: a little bit down the stretch. I'll give them that. 661 00:32:30,560 --> 00:32:33,880 Speaker 1: Twenty seven against Akron nineteen, which is five points higher 662 00:32:33,880 --> 00:32:36,520 Speaker 1: than their scoring average against Bowling Green twenty seven against 663 00:32:36,560 --> 00:32:41,920 Speaker 1: Northern Illinois. Tommy Yulatowski Ulatowski had his moments four total 664 00:32:41,960 --> 00:32:44,240 Speaker 1: touchdowns against Akron two hundred and eighty four yards against 665 00:32:44,240 --> 00:32:47,080 Speaker 1: Bowling Green. They really couldn't run the ball at all. 666 00:32:47,640 --> 00:32:49,280 Speaker 1: But they do have some starters back on the line. 667 00:32:49,320 --> 00:32:53,480 Speaker 1: Will they improve to be determined. Their best position group 668 00:32:53,920 --> 00:32:56,680 Speaker 1: comes with their upgrades in the secondary Xavier Cochlee and 669 00:32:56,720 --> 00:33:01,040 Speaker 1: from James Madison, Dallas Branch and from San Diego State. Winnables. 670 00:33:01,280 --> 00:33:03,240 Speaker 1: You could argue there's three winnables on the schedule. You 671 00:33:03,280 --> 00:33:06,560 Speaker 1: get Saint Francis, PA coming in, Akron and Ohio all at. 672 00:33:06,440 --> 00:33:09,800 Speaker 2: Home, so Ball State too. Ball State's winnable. The craze 673 00:33:09,800 --> 00:33:12,680 Speaker 2: why you should like this team. Their wide receiver Kashan mccraye, 674 00:33:12,720 --> 00:33:15,600 Speaker 2: one of my favorite players to watch. You just pulled 675 00:33:15,640 --> 00:33:17,160 Speaker 2: me to the side and said, give me one over 676 00:33:17,920 --> 00:33:21,960 Speaker 2: to bet the mac, don't you say it? Ken stayed over? 677 00:33:23,560 --> 00:33:24,400 Speaker 2: Ken stayed over. 678 00:33:24,920 --> 00:33:25,240 Speaker 4: Look. 679 00:33:25,400 --> 00:33:28,200 Speaker 2: We I just talked about Ohio. How much of a 680 00:33:28,280 --> 00:33:30,240 Speaker 2: dumpsterfy I think they're gonna be? They get them at home. 681 00:33:30,840 --> 00:33:34,200 Speaker 2: Revenge against Akron at home for the wagon Wheel game 682 00:33:34,200 --> 00:33:37,000 Speaker 2: will be electric as always. Saint Francis at home, they 683 00:33:37,040 --> 00:33:39,280 Speaker 2: get to play Drew Aller. You can't tell me that's 684 00:33:39,320 --> 00:33:39,880 Speaker 2: not winnable. 685 00:33:44,320 --> 00:33:45,840 Speaker 3: I can't. I'm a mron. 686 00:33:46,640 --> 00:33:48,480 Speaker 2: Yeah, but the other ones, the other ones are winnable. 687 00:33:48,520 --> 00:33:50,720 Speaker 2: I mean they have four or five winnable games on 688 00:33:51,320 --> 00:33:54,160 Speaker 2: this schedule. You have to remember. I mean, look, could 689 00:33:54,200 --> 00:33:57,080 Speaker 2: you argue they have five? It's you gonna remember still 690 00:33:57,120 --> 00:34:00,000 Speaker 2: the MAC. I would argue they have five winnable home 691 00:34:00,240 --> 00:34:06,040 Speaker 2: games Saint Francis, EMU, Ball State, Ohio, and Akron and 692 00:34:06,080 --> 00:34:09,359 Speaker 2: then at Buffalo. But I would argue that those games 693 00:34:09,360 --> 00:34:13,480 Speaker 2: are winable. Last year was a year zero first by 694 00:34:13,840 --> 00:34:17,920 Speaker 2: far for Kenny Burns. They had five returning starts on 695 00:34:17,960 --> 00:34:21,760 Speaker 2: the offensive line. Last year they started two true freshmen 696 00:34:21,800 --> 00:34:24,480 Speaker 2: on the offensive line, three freshmen in total, got all 697 00:34:24,480 --> 00:34:27,600 Speaker 2: five starters back. You have to expect a bump there. 698 00:34:29,239 --> 00:34:31,520 Speaker 2: So I think that they're just going to be significantly 699 00:34:31,600 --> 00:34:34,440 Speaker 2: better than last year. They're still going to be a 700 00:34:34,480 --> 00:34:37,200 Speaker 2: horrendous team. But I think some of these other teams 701 00:34:37,200 --> 00:34:40,040 Speaker 2: at the bottom of the MAC and in the middle 702 00:34:40,160 --> 00:34:43,160 Speaker 2: got worse. So yeah, I think they get to three 703 00:34:43,280 --> 00:34:45,840 Speaker 2: or four wins. Call me crazy, but I do like 704 00:34:45,840 --> 00:34:48,520 Speaker 2: some of the additions that you mentioned in the secondary. 705 00:34:48,840 --> 00:34:52,320 Speaker 2: They also have. Their punting is terrible, but the Glass 706 00:34:52,400 --> 00:34:54,799 Speaker 2: is a reliable kicker, feels like he's been around forever and. 707 00:34:55,360 --> 00:34:58,160 Speaker 1: First team All MAC and also, by the way, the 708 00:34:58,280 --> 00:35:01,960 Speaker 1: very first week we did the G five deep dive, 709 00:35:02,440 --> 00:35:05,239 Speaker 1: Glass was a big part of us hitting at least 710 00:35:05,280 --> 00:35:07,440 Speaker 1: I think it was like a six or seven leg parlay. 711 00:35:07,640 --> 00:35:09,680 Speaker 1: He missed all those field goals late against A and 712 00:35:09,800 --> 00:35:12,560 Speaker 1: M he hit both uprates got to you gotta do over. 713 00:35:12,719 --> 00:35:15,359 Speaker 1: So Glass is always in my heart. I love that kid, 714 00:35:15,400 --> 00:35:18,200 Speaker 1: and I love the trajectory going from someone screwing up 715 00:35:18,239 --> 00:35:20,200 Speaker 1: in a hilarious way and making me money to now 716 00:35:20,239 --> 00:35:22,080 Speaker 1: being All Conference. I hope the kid makes the NFL. 717 00:35:22,719 --> 00:35:26,040 Speaker 2: Yeah, destal questions like you're going to pitt Tennessee and 718 00:35:26,080 --> 00:35:28,800 Speaker 2: Penn State through your first four, like can you survive? 719 00:35:29,360 --> 00:35:32,960 Speaker 2: But like the teams that I'm highest on in this conference, 720 00:35:33,600 --> 00:35:40,520 Speaker 2: you know, Miami, Ohio, Bowling, Green Western Michigan, Toledo, Northern Illinois. 721 00:35:40,600 --> 00:35:43,360 Speaker 2: I think those are the clear top five. They avoid Toledo, 722 00:35:43,440 --> 00:35:46,960 Speaker 2: Northern Illinois and then minam of Ohio, Bowling, Green, Western Michigan. 723 00:35:47,560 --> 00:35:49,360 Speaker 2: Not going to beat those three teams anywhow they're on 724 00:35:49,440 --> 00:35:52,839 Speaker 2: the road. So I think the schedule broke right for them, 725 00:35:53,280 --> 00:35:56,279 Speaker 2: and yeah, I project like three point three, So give 726 00:35:56,320 --> 00:35:59,560 Speaker 2: me the over on Ken State. You always need every 727 00:35:59,640 --> 00:36:02,920 Speaker 2: you need a fun, fun mac bet. 728 00:36:03,120 --> 00:36:05,520 Speaker 1: Yeah, we always make our fun mac bet is akron 729 00:36:05,560 --> 00:36:09,359 Speaker 1: over never fun. So I hope this one pans out 730 00:36:09,360 --> 00:36:11,000 Speaker 1: for you a lot better than the Zips did for us. 731 00:36:11,000 --> 00:36:12,560 Speaker 2: All Right, it comes down to the to the wagon 732 00:36:12,560 --> 00:36:16,000 Speaker 2: wheel game against Accer. Listen, don't lose to Saint Francis 733 00:36:16,040 --> 00:36:18,800 Speaker 2: otherwise this bet becomes very not fun very quick. 734 00:36:19,160 --> 00:36:21,399 Speaker 4: Arguing with Stucky about the Mac is like telling Ronald 735 00:36:21,480 --> 00:36:24,359 Speaker 4: McDonald how to make a cheeseburger. So I'm not gonna 736 00:36:24,360 --> 00:36:26,880 Speaker 4: say much here. I'm just gonna say I don't agree 737 00:36:27,440 --> 00:36:31,920 Speaker 4: this offense was horrific last year. Sure, maybe they've turned 738 00:36:31,960 --> 00:36:35,560 Speaker 4: three or four games into coin flip games, winnable games, 739 00:36:35,560 --> 00:36:37,399 Speaker 4: as you guys have been putting it, you need them 740 00:36:37,400 --> 00:36:40,840 Speaker 4: to win all I don't see it, not Rydan with 741 00:36:40,880 --> 00:36:41,880 Speaker 4: Stucky on that one. 742 00:36:42,480 --> 00:36:44,560 Speaker 1: I think there's a decent chance that the ad of 743 00:36:44,640 --> 00:36:48,239 Speaker 1: Kent State just googled are there any flash based nicknames 744 00:36:48,640 --> 00:36:51,480 Speaker 1: in FBS or FCS football, and then found Saint Francis 745 00:36:51,520 --> 00:36:53,600 Speaker 1: and was like, they're gonna be our opener. We're getting 746 00:36:53,640 --> 00:36:56,239 Speaker 1: this dub in the Flash Bowl. In the opener, I 747 00:36:56,280 --> 00:36:59,040 Speaker 1: agree with Stuck that it's a must win. Game one 748 00:36:59,120 --> 00:37:03,040 Speaker 1: is a must win, particular if you have the over all. Right, 749 00:37:03,080 --> 00:37:05,520 Speaker 1: let's turn to another team that lost a lot of 750 00:37:05,560 --> 00:37:07,960 Speaker 1: games last year. I like them a little bit better. 751 00:37:08,400 --> 00:37:11,560 Speaker 1: Buffalo three and nine, three and five in conference. Their 752 00:37:11,560 --> 00:37:14,560 Speaker 1: win total is two higher than Kent State at four 753 00:37:14,560 --> 00:37:16,279 Speaker 1: and a half forty two to one to win the 754 00:37:16,280 --> 00:37:18,160 Speaker 1: MAC three hundred to one to make the College Foo 755 00:37:18,160 --> 00:37:22,040 Speaker 1: Ball Playoff. Linguist left left them in the lurch. The 756 00:37:22,040 --> 00:37:24,160 Speaker 1: head coach leaves to be the co DC at Alabama. 757 00:37:24,200 --> 00:37:25,960 Speaker 1: He is the only head coach in the conference who 758 00:37:26,000 --> 00:37:29,320 Speaker 1: is not returning. New head coach Pete Lembo has plenty 759 00:37:29,320 --> 00:37:32,200 Speaker 1: of MAC experience. He won nineteen games over a two 760 00:37:32,280 --> 00:37:34,360 Speaker 1: year stretch at ball State back in the day. He 761 00:37:34,400 --> 00:37:37,640 Speaker 1: also coached at Lehigh here in Pennsylvania. He's had his 762 00:37:37,719 --> 00:37:40,240 Speaker 1: moments as a head coach. He certainly isn't somebody who's 763 00:37:40,280 --> 00:37:42,720 Speaker 1: coming in who's going to be over his head running 764 00:37:42,719 --> 00:37:45,360 Speaker 1: an entire program, but he came in late in the process. 765 00:37:45,400 --> 00:37:47,799 Speaker 1: He'll be working with a new QB running back and 766 00:37:47,840 --> 00:37:50,360 Speaker 1: wide receiver. Room. Offensive line is in good shape with 767 00:37:50,440 --> 00:37:55,160 Speaker 1: four returning starters. Offensive coordinator Dave Pannod likes to identify 768 00:37:55,200 --> 00:37:58,160 Speaker 1: a bellcal back in his previous stops at Temple Coastal 769 00:37:58,160 --> 00:38:00,759 Speaker 1: in Georgia Tech, so keep that in mind. One name 770 00:38:00,800 --> 00:38:03,400 Speaker 1: to keep an eye on out of springball. Nick McMillan. 771 00:38:03,520 --> 00:38:06,400 Speaker 1: Big spring game at wide receiver, so I like him 772 00:38:06,440 --> 00:38:08,560 Speaker 1: a lot Now of the good stuff. In my opinion, 773 00:38:08,640 --> 00:38:11,799 Speaker 1: the defense could be really good. Sean Dolak putting his 774 00:38:11,880 --> 00:38:14,239 Speaker 1: name in the portal then pulling it back out and 775 00:38:14,280 --> 00:38:17,120 Speaker 1: deciding to come back is huge. He's a tackling machine. 776 00:38:17,160 --> 00:38:19,400 Speaker 1: Two years ago, before he got hurt, he was I 777 00:38:19,440 --> 00:38:22,600 Speaker 1: believe the either leader or second leader in the MAC 778 00:38:22,640 --> 00:38:25,560 Speaker 1: in terms of overall tackles. CJ. Bazil is a great 779 00:38:25,600 --> 00:38:28,760 Speaker 1: edge rusher. Marcus Fuqua, a former third team All American, 780 00:38:28,800 --> 00:38:31,239 Speaker 1: returns at safety. Let's get to the schedule a little bit. 781 00:38:31,239 --> 00:38:32,560 Speaker 1: We're looking at four and a half. What are we 782 00:38:32,600 --> 00:38:37,799 Speaker 1: looking at? Winnables Lafayette, UMass, Western Kent's all at home, 783 00:38:38,200 --> 00:38:42,680 Speaker 1: plus Akron on the road, upsets at Yukon at Ohio, 784 00:38:42,800 --> 00:38:45,960 Speaker 1: ball State at home at Eastern. That seems to me 785 00:38:46,239 --> 00:38:49,040 Speaker 1: like a lot of opportunities. You're never drawing dead with 786 00:38:49,120 --> 00:38:51,560 Speaker 1: this schedule to be able to put together two or 787 00:38:51,560 --> 00:38:54,360 Speaker 1: three wins at the time an upset or two. I 788 00:38:54,360 --> 00:38:55,880 Speaker 1: think that they're going to get over this number. I 789 00:38:55,880 --> 00:38:58,520 Speaker 1: think they'll flirt with Bowl eligibility because the defense can 790 00:38:58,560 --> 00:39:01,319 Speaker 1: be really good. Was I in Lewens to touch by 791 00:39:01,400 --> 00:39:04,320 Speaker 1: their recent video from their social team where they recreated 792 00:39:04,320 --> 00:39:07,000 Speaker 1: the entire opening scene for Major League and he had 793 00:39:07,040 --> 00:39:09,239 Speaker 1: all the guys coming in, one guy on a motorcycle, 794 00:39:09,600 --> 00:39:12,239 Speaker 1: DOLC coming in with his golf clubs. I loved it. 795 00:39:13,239 --> 00:39:14,320 Speaker 4: Here's Jay Orlando. 796 00:39:14,800 --> 00:39:15,720 Speaker 1: Is he still playing? 797 00:39:15,920 --> 00:39:17,919 Speaker 2: Yeah, he's from Buffalo. Now he's transferred back. 798 00:39:20,719 --> 00:39:22,839 Speaker 5: John, I thought we didn't have any high priced talent 799 00:39:22,880 --> 00:39:23,399 Speaker 5: around here. 800 00:39:23,880 --> 00:39:26,239 Speaker 4: That's Sean Dolex. He let the nation and tackles two 801 00:39:26,280 --> 00:39:28,200 Speaker 4: years ago, but then last year he got hurt. 802 00:39:28,400 --> 00:39:31,720 Speaker 5: It's Mike kind of team, John, my kind of team. 803 00:39:32,120 --> 00:39:34,440 Speaker 1: I think they at least understand who they are. They 804 00:39:34,480 --> 00:39:35,959 Speaker 1: need to rebuild and you need to have some fun 805 00:39:36,000 --> 00:39:38,680 Speaker 1: with it. I think they are much better than what 806 00:39:38,760 --> 00:39:41,200 Speaker 1: they were last year at three and nine. This defense 807 00:39:41,239 --> 00:39:43,799 Speaker 1: I think could be top four in the MAC. And 808 00:39:43,840 --> 00:39:46,200 Speaker 1: if you were a top four defense in your conference, 809 00:39:46,239 --> 00:39:49,520 Speaker 1: a G five conference, particularly one that plays as many grimy, 810 00:39:49,960 --> 00:39:53,919 Speaker 1: low scoring, sloppy weather games in November. I like having 811 00:39:53,960 --> 00:39:56,359 Speaker 1: a good defense. We'll see if they can get this done. 812 00:39:56,400 --> 00:39:57,759 Speaker 1: I'm going to take a shot here in the winter. 813 00:39:57,840 --> 00:39:59,400 Speaker 1: We'll go over four and a half. I'll throw it 814 00:39:59,440 --> 00:40:01,680 Speaker 1: to you first, I what are your thoughts on the 815 00:40:01,719 --> 00:40:05,239 Speaker 1: Bulls potentially having two stars at two different levels of 816 00:40:05,280 --> 00:40:05,880 Speaker 1: their defense. 817 00:40:06,320 --> 00:40:07,799 Speaker 4: Well, first of all, I'm trying to figure out what 818 00:40:07,880 --> 00:40:10,160 Speaker 4: list you're going off for this order, because normally you 819 00:40:10,200 --> 00:40:11,760 Speaker 4: go like top to bottom, and I'm. 820 00:40:11,560 --> 00:40:13,560 Speaker 2: Like, us, this is all over the place. 821 00:40:13,640 --> 00:40:15,560 Speaker 4: I keep having to foot in my notes. I'm like, 822 00:40:15,600 --> 00:40:17,240 Speaker 4: how the hell do we get the Kent State already? 823 00:40:18,239 --> 00:40:18,479 Speaker 3: Yeah? 824 00:40:18,640 --> 00:40:20,480 Speaker 2: I over a baby, that's what Ken State on the 825 00:40:20,560 --> 00:40:21,840 Speaker 2: rise got to hit them early. 826 00:40:22,480 --> 00:40:25,040 Speaker 1: It's it's not all that complicated. It's the old East 827 00:40:25,040 --> 00:40:28,359 Speaker 1: West uh divisions because I can't let them go in 828 00:40:28,360 --> 00:40:30,560 Speaker 1: my heart. But yes, that's the way we're going, as 829 00:40:30,560 --> 00:40:33,600 Speaker 1: opposed to leaving three or four dregs to talk about 830 00:40:33,600 --> 00:40:34,040 Speaker 1: all at once. 831 00:40:34,120 --> 00:40:36,560 Speaker 4: Yeah, you mentioned the loss of linguist, and you know, 832 00:40:36,640 --> 00:40:39,839 Speaker 4: I know, hiring a special teams coordinator gets stucky, all 833 00:40:39,840 --> 00:40:41,960 Speaker 4: hot and bothered. So I'm sure he's itching to talk 834 00:40:42,000 --> 00:40:45,000 Speaker 4: about that, but you know cj Agbana, he's more of 835 00:40:45,000 --> 00:40:47,480 Speaker 4: a run first quarterback, so there's kind of unknowns with that. 836 00:40:47,560 --> 00:40:50,239 Speaker 4: He had three rushing scores last year. Running backs they 837 00:40:50,239 --> 00:40:53,160 Speaker 4: are gone. They're their top leading receiver back at thirteen 838 00:40:53,200 --> 00:40:54,799 Speaker 4: catches last year. I know you said he bawled out 839 00:40:54,800 --> 00:40:59,359 Speaker 4: in the spring game, but still pretty inexperienced. Offense. They 840 00:40:59,400 --> 00:41:00,960 Speaker 4: do have four off its of lineman backs. I think 841 00:41:00,960 --> 00:41:03,160 Speaker 4: they'll lie have you on the run game. The defense, 842 00:41:03,400 --> 00:41:05,920 Speaker 4: it was weird where they they were twenty first against 843 00:41:05,960 --> 00:41:08,920 Speaker 4: the pass last year. You mentioned bringing back Phu Kuh 844 00:41:09,360 --> 00:41:11,719 Speaker 4: and the but they did you know there were one 845 00:41:11,760 --> 00:41:14,360 Speaker 4: hundred and twelve against the runs, so that was bad. Obviously, 846 00:41:14,400 --> 00:41:16,719 Speaker 4: do loc back, you know he I don't even know 847 00:41:16,760 --> 00:41:18,960 Speaker 4: if I always know what the transport like he transferred 848 00:41:18,960 --> 00:41:21,000 Speaker 4: to you tough stay like did he go there? 849 00:41:21,120 --> 00:41:21,160 Speaker 3: Do? 850 00:41:21,239 --> 00:41:23,600 Speaker 4: Was he on campus? And I never know how that happen. 851 00:41:23,719 --> 00:41:26,120 Speaker 1: I think it's a Michael Scott situation where just yelling 852 00:41:26,160 --> 00:41:28,759 Speaker 1: I declared bankruptcy just because you say I'm going to 853 00:41:28,800 --> 00:41:32,000 Speaker 1: this place that everybody reports it like it's real news, 854 00:41:32,040 --> 00:41:34,360 Speaker 1: but like you got to be in the provost office, 855 00:41:34,360 --> 00:41:35,839 Speaker 1: you got to get your classes, you have to get 856 00:41:35,840 --> 00:41:38,759 Speaker 1: the financial lead or whatever. There's some signature required for 857 00:41:38,800 --> 00:41:41,279 Speaker 1: you to fully be at that school. So him going 858 00:41:41,280 --> 00:41:42,920 Speaker 1: out and coming back in I think is the biggest 859 00:41:43,000 --> 00:41:45,719 Speaker 1: off season story for Buffalo because he can really help 860 00:41:45,719 --> 00:41:47,400 Speaker 1: a run defense that couldn't stop anybody. 861 00:41:47,640 --> 00:41:48,960 Speaker 4: Yeah, I didn't know if they like it was like 862 00:41:48,960 --> 00:41:51,480 Speaker 4: the Simpsons gift where he like had one practice and 863 00:41:51,480 --> 00:41:53,919 Speaker 4: then change his mind. But they do lose Devin Grant 864 00:41:53,960 --> 00:41:57,839 Speaker 4: who transferred to s Syracuse. That was a big loss. Yeah, 865 00:41:57,880 --> 00:42:01,200 Speaker 4: I just don't really know to back Lembo has a 866 00:42:01,200 --> 00:42:04,040 Speaker 4: bunch of coaching experience, but I'll be honest, I think 867 00:42:04,040 --> 00:42:06,080 Speaker 4: this offense might be really bad. So to your point, 868 00:42:06,120 --> 00:42:08,840 Speaker 4: you do need the defense be really good. The schedule 869 00:42:08,920 --> 00:42:12,759 Speaker 4: is mannable manageable. So to your point, if they are 870 00:42:12,920 --> 00:42:16,400 Speaker 4: decent and the off the defense is good and Ogbona 871 00:42:16,560 --> 00:42:21,120 Speaker 4: works in this system, they could they could win five 872 00:42:21,280 --> 00:42:24,880 Speaker 4: six games. But I definitely think there's a chance. There's 873 00:42:24,880 --> 00:42:26,560 Speaker 4: also a chance for the worst team in the conference. 874 00:42:26,600 --> 00:42:29,120 Speaker 4: Like I think the bottom I think the floor of 875 00:42:29,160 --> 00:42:33,120 Speaker 4: this team down there. I think the floor of this 876 00:42:33,200 --> 00:42:36,719 Speaker 4: team is is low. So I think you need a 877 00:42:36,719 --> 00:42:38,479 Speaker 4: lot to go right, and I think there's a chance 878 00:42:38,520 --> 00:42:42,480 Speaker 4: that goes very badly, So I'm staying away. 879 00:42:43,480 --> 00:42:45,080 Speaker 2: Yeah, I can't get there on the over. I mean 880 00:42:45,400 --> 00:42:46,759 Speaker 2: four and a half. You find a four and a 881 00:42:46,800 --> 00:42:49,279 Speaker 2: half heavy juice to the over, maybe you could see that. 882 00:42:49,440 --> 00:42:53,439 Speaker 2: I project like five two five. Who's the I mean, 883 00:42:53,880 --> 00:42:56,920 Speaker 2: who's the quarterback? I was reading something about Jack Shields 884 00:42:56,960 --> 00:42:59,080 Speaker 2: from Old Dominion. They were like, yeah, he led, He 885 00:42:59,160 --> 00:43:01,439 Speaker 2: led the monarch to because he has the only FBS 886 00:43:01,480 --> 00:43:04,680 Speaker 2: starting experience on the roster. He led. I don't know 887 00:43:04,719 --> 00:43:06,480 Speaker 2: if bon actually started the game. I don't think he 888 00:43:06,520 --> 00:43:08,719 Speaker 2: ever did. But he can't throw the ball. He can't 889 00:43:08,760 --> 00:43:11,160 Speaker 2: throw the ball. He just snaps it and runs power 890 00:43:11,640 --> 00:43:16,359 Speaker 2: Power Quarterback suite or power quarterback died? And who are 891 00:43:16,360 --> 00:43:20,000 Speaker 2: they throwing through the wide or sever bleak. But I 892 00:43:20,160 --> 00:43:24,319 Speaker 2: read somewhere it was someone like Jack Shields who led 893 00:43:24,600 --> 00:43:27,600 Speaker 2: Old Dominion to a big win over Texas A and 894 00:43:27,680 --> 00:43:31,640 Speaker 2: m Commerce. They won that game ten to nine. When like, 895 00:43:32,040 --> 00:43:34,120 Speaker 2: can we slow the role on the Jack Shields? It 896 00:43:34,200 --> 00:43:36,000 Speaker 2: might be the guy I want to see Gunnard Gray, 897 00:43:36,160 --> 00:43:38,120 Speaker 2: just for his name win the job. I think he's so. 898 00:43:38,360 --> 00:43:39,719 Speaker 2: I don't know it's good. I think it's going to 899 00:43:39,760 --> 00:43:42,160 Speaker 2: be ug bonnat to start. I don't know, they might right, 900 00:43:42,320 --> 00:43:45,120 Speaker 2: but this is going to be like you're by what 901 00:43:45,239 --> 00:43:49,640 Speaker 2: looks like maybe a service Academy offense. So I mean limbo. 902 00:43:49,760 --> 00:43:51,959 Speaker 2: He he's been in the MAC before. He went thirty 903 00:43:52,000 --> 00:43:53,919 Speaker 2: three and twenty nine and five years at Ball State, 904 00:43:54,000 --> 00:43:55,840 Speaker 2: so he knows how to just take like a middling 905 00:43:55,880 --> 00:43:58,640 Speaker 2: team and get to like a bowl, which is what 906 00:43:58,719 --> 00:44:00,600 Speaker 2: you're looking here for you. But they're a hundre twentieth 907 00:44:00,600 --> 00:44:04,439 Speaker 2: and experience outside the top. On returning production, they lost 908 00:44:04,480 --> 00:44:08,040 Speaker 2: a lot. I mean the defensive line too, I'm worried about. 909 00:44:09,320 --> 00:44:11,879 Speaker 2: So yeah, the schedules with the joke, I mean they're 910 00:44:11,920 --> 00:44:15,799 Speaker 2: non conn they U MESSD Yukon and Lafayette and then 911 00:44:15,840 --> 00:44:18,040 Speaker 2: you also have Accron and Kent State on your schedule. 912 00:44:18,280 --> 00:44:21,400 Speaker 2: Not the Kent State's a free win this year. So 913 00:44:21,760 --> 00:44:24,759 Speaker 2: a lot of coin flips. I do think. I do 914 00:44:24,920 --> 00:44:27,560 Speaker 2: like the limbo higher. I wasn't a linguist guy, and 915 00:44:27,560 --> 00:44:31,160 Speaker 2: who would have known that linguist would fall victim to 916 00:44:31,200 --> 00:44:36,120 Speaker 2: the the dominoes that fell after Saban retired because he 917 00:44:36,160 --> 00:44:39,719 Speaker 2: got coached by Debor to coach the secondaries, which I 918 00:44:39,719 --> 00:44:43,960 Speaker 2: think he's better stuited for. But yeah, I like the 919 00:44:44,000 --> 00:44:46,560 Speaker 2: limbo higher he who I think have been more organized 920 00:44:46,600 --> 00:44:49,400 Speaker 2: and he knows special teams. Buffalo special teams have been disastrous, 921 00:44:49,440 --> 00:44:50,560 Speaker 2: and I just said, there's gonna be a lot of 922 00:44:50,600 --> 00:44:56,480 Speaker 2: coin flips, like, don't be disastrous on kickoffs, on coverage 923 00:44:56,560 --> 00:44:59,040 Speaker 2: units and all that. So maybe he can steal a 924 00:44:59,080 --> 00:45:03,920 Speaker 2: winner two just from special teams because over their last 925 00:45:04,880 --> 00:45:11,280 Speaker 2: I mean man, over their last eight games. Yeah, definitely 926 00:45:11,280 --> 00:45:13,520 Speaker 2: their last six. I have them all within a touchdown spread. 927 00:45:13,719 --> 00:45:16,359 Speaker 2: A couple that are just you know, true coin flip. 928 00:45:16,440 --> 00:45:18,000 Speaker 2: So there's gonna be a lot of close games here. 929 00:45:18,000 --> 00:45:21,040 Speaker 2: They're going to try to huggle it up and make 930 00:45:21,080 --> 00:45:25,480 Speaker 2: these games shorter. So special teams lembo fixing their special 931 00:45:25,480 --> 00:45:27,719 Speaker 2: teams and making sure they're buttoned up there. We've seen 932 00:45:27,760 --> 00:45:33,320 Speaker 2: Eastern Michigan win games in this conference with less talented 933 00:45:33,320 --> 00:45:36,359 Speaker 2: teams under Chris Creighton, who just don't we don't get penalized, 934 00:45:36,520 --> 00:45:39,239 Speaker 2: Our special teams are always good, we don't turn the 935 00:45:39,280 --> 00:45:42,640 Speaker 2: ball over, and we're just buttoned up. So he can 936 00:45:42,719 --> 00:45:45,000 Speaker 2: do that, then, yeah, I like this bet, so it 937 00:45:45,040 --> 00:45:47,480 Speaker 2: would be over or nothing for me. But it's just 938 00:45:47,520 --> 00:45:49,520 Speaker 2: tough for me to put my money behind this team 939 00:45:49,560 --> 00:45:52,440 Speaker 2: with the quarterback and wide receiver situation, and it's the 940 00:45:52,480 --> 00:45:54,920 Speaker 2: only team in the conference dealing with the coaching can't change, 941 00:45:55,360 --> 00:45:56,359 Speaker 2: but it could be for the better. 942 00:45:58,120 --> 00:46:00,759 Speaker 1: We close out this little mini run of teams with 943 00:46:00,960 --> 00:46:03,560 Speaker 1: very low win totals. The Akron Zips two and ten 944 00:46:03,719 --> 00:46:06,839 Speaker 1: last year, one in seven in MAC Play. Their win 945 00:46:06,920 --> 00:46:09,000 Speaker 1: total identical to Kent State at two and a half. 946 00:46:09,640 --> 00:46:12,719 Speaker 1: Is the Zips the Mac sixty five to one to win. 947 00:46:12,800 --> 00:46:15,200 Speaker 1: If you're feeling crazy, three hundred to one. Like I said, 948 00:46:15,239 --> 00:46:17,879 Speaker 1: do not bet any of these markets. They are they 949 00:46:17,960 --> 00:46:20,040 Speaker 1: like cap them for some reason, Like it's just so 950 00:46:20,239 --> 00:46:23,080 Speaker 1: lazy for some reason. It makes me quite angry. But 951 00:46:23,120 --> 00:46:24,960 Speaker 1: these should all be like three thousand to one to 952 00:46:25,000 --> 00:46:27,440 Speaker 1: make it. We're still trying to win games with Jomo 953 00:46:27,680 --> 00:46:30,319 Speaker 1: here at Akron hasn't been going well. The defense gave 954 00:46:30,400 --> 00:46:33,239 Speaker 1: up twenty eight per game last year, but was surprisingly 955 00:46:33,239 --> 00:46:35,720 Speaker 1: good in terms of yardage allowed. They finished thirty second 956 00:46:35,880 --> 00:46:39,600 Speaker 1: in total defense in twenty second against the pass. Tim 957 00:46:39,680 --> 00:46:42,080 Speaker 1: Debsser is I mean, he's proven to be a pretty 958 00:46:42,080 --> 00:46:44,200 Speaker 1: good DC and he's back with most of his front 959 00:46:44,239 --> 00:46:47,359 Speaker 1: seven returning, so it's the same question, which is can 960 00:46:47,440 --> 00:46:51,239 Speaker 1: anything work at quarterback? But let's focus more on the 961 00:46:51,280 --> 00:46:53,400 Speaker 1: defense for a second. The secondary is the issue with 962 00:46:53,480 --> 00:46:57,759 Speaker 1: four starters needing, you know, to return in their back 963 00:46:57,800 --> 00:47:00,959 Speaker 1: five David Demon or Demon Dave excuse me? A foreign 964 00:47:00,960 --> 00:47:03,840 Speaker 1: Blue Ship recruit from Oregon comes in safety Darien Lewis 965 00:47:03,840 --> 00:47:08,280 Speaker 1: returns in the slot at corner. This offense, like I tried, 966 00:47:08,440 --> 00:47:10,360 Speaker 1: I tried so hard in the last two years to 967 00:47:10,400 --> 00:47:14,120 Speaker 1: watch these games to finally like, will them over the 968 00:47:14,160 --> 00:47:16,520 Speaker 1: top with these incredibly low win totals. We have to 969 00:47:16,560 --> 00:47:17,840 Speaker 1: go back and check the tape. I think it was 970 00:47:17,880 --> 00:47:20,120 Speaker 1: like one and a half two for the win totals. 971 00:47:20,360 --> 00:47:23,640 Speaker 1: They lost three overtime games last year at Indiana twenty 972 00:47:23,719 --> 00:47:27,600 Speaker 1: nine to twenty seven, score at Buffalo thirteen to ten, 973 00:47:28,000 --> 00:47:31,360 Speaker 1: Eastern thirty to twenty seven. So they got a new 974 00:47:31,440 --> 00:47:34,000 Speaker 1: quarterback in Ben Finley, a former NC State cal QB 975 00:47:34,120 --> 00:47:36,799 Speaker 1: comes in. Alex Adams returns at wide receiver. But the 976 00:47:36,840 --> 00:47:40,080 Speaker 1: line once again work in progress. Not great for Jomo 977 00:47:40,200 --> 00:47:43,360 Speaker 1: offense to not have continuity up front. We want to 978 00:47:43,360 --> 00:47:46,000 Speaker 1: get into it. I don't because I do not want 979 00:47:46,040 --> 00:47:48,560 Speaker 1: to go on this ride again this year. But Colgate 980 00:47:48,560 --> 00:47:51,600 Speaker 1: at Ohio Eastern at home Buffalo at home at Kent. 981 00:47:52,320 --> 00:47:54,920 Speaker 1: That is one, two, three, four, five games they I 982 00:47:54,960 --> 00:47:58,440 Speaker 1: guess potentially could win. So I'll go to you first, Dianello. 983 00:48:00,080 --> 00:48:02,120 Speaker 1: Are you doing Joe Moo one more year the Penn 984 00:48:02,160 --> 00:48:04,960 Speaker 1: State love shining through? Or was your heart just broken 985 00:48:04,960 --> 00:48:07,600 Speaker 1: into a thousand pieces with those three overtime losses last year? 986 00:48:08,040 --> 00:48:11,000 Speaker 4: Yeah, we've now reached the Ilo Glazes former Penn State 987 00:48:11,040 --> 00:48:14,000 Speaker 4: assistant portion of the podcast, which we do at every show. 988 00:48:15,160 --> 00:48:18,400 Speaker 4: I'm with you, I'm less enthusiastic as I happened in 989 00:48:18,400 --> 00:48:21,040 Speaker 4: the past. I'm doing it one more year. Ackron got 990 00:48:21,120 --> 00:48:23,600 Speaker 4: Joe mo to stick around after NFL teams are sniffing 991 00:48:23,600 --> 00:48:26,759 Speaker 4: around looking for, you know, an offensive assistant, and they 992 00:48:26,760 --> 00:48:28,960 Speaker 4: got him is to stay. And they've they just they've 993 00:48:28,960 --> 00:48:31,720 Speaker 4: had bad injury luck the last few years. Dj Irons 994 00:48:31,760 --> 00:48:34,719 Speaker 4: got hurt. Last year they bringing Ben Finley to give 995 00:48:34,760 --> 00:48:37,040 Speaker 4: him some stability at quarterback. We've mentioned, you know, at 996 00:48:37,040 --> 00:48:40,120 Speaker 4: the top of the show, how these these teams can't 997 00:48:40,280 --> 00:48:44,560 Speaker 4: are having trouble bringing down the Power five talent. Somehow 998 00:48:44,640 --> 00:48:46,279 Speaker 4: Akron seems to be able to do it. And I'm 999 00:48:46,320 --> 00:48:48,120 Speaker 4: not saying any of these guys are necessarily good. But 1000 00:48:48,280 --> 00:48:50,799 Speaker 4: you know they bring in Jordan Simmons from Michigan State 1001 00:48:50,800 --> 00:48:53,120 Speaker 4: at running back. You mentioned Alex Adams back. He's a 1002 00:48:53,160 --> 00:48:55,880 Speaker 4: former LSU transfer. He was hurt all last year, but 1003 00:48:55,920 --> 00:48:59,040 Speaker 4: he was All Conference in twenty two, so he's he's 1004 00:48:59,080 --> 00:49:02,560 Speaker 4: really talented. The defense got much better as the season 1005 00:49:02,640 --> 00:49:05,200 Speaker 4: went on. They actually finished twenty first in the country 1006 00:49:05,239 --> 00:49:08,200 Speaker 4: in passing success on defense. Yes, I know they don't 1007 00:49:08,200 --> 00:49:10,600 Speaker 4: play any good quarterbacks, but they're not going to again, 1008 00:49:11,160 --> 00:49:13,960 Speaker 4: and they bring back nearly all their best players on defense. CJ. 1009 00:49:14,040 --> 00:49:16,959 Speaker 4: Newley on the defensive line, and Tavius Fish and Brian 1010 00:49:17,040 --> 00:49:20,640 Speaker 4: McCoy returned that linebacker. You mentioned Lewis in the at 1011 00:49:20,719 --> 00:49:22,640 Speaker 4: corner and David coming in from Oregon and he's a 1012 00:49:22,680 --> 00:49:26,640 Speaker 4: former four star recruit. I'm concerned about the offensive tackles, 1013 00:49:26,840 --> 00:49:29,960 Speaker 4: and I'm concerned about the lack of game changing weapons 1014 00:49:29,960 --> 00:49:34,560 Speaker 4: on offense really outside of Adams. But you know, kind 1015 00:49:34,560 --> 00:49:36,680 Speaker 4: of what I was saying about Kent State, where they 1016 00:49:36,680 --> 00:49:39,960 Speaker 4: didn't look close last year. You mentioned it as almost 1017 00:49:39,960 --> 00:49:43,000 Speaker 4: a negative, which I kind of see your point, But 1018 00:49:43,600 --> 00:49:46,760 Speaker 4: they lost five games last year by one score or less, 1019 00:49:47,360 --> 00:49:50,240 Speaker 4: so to me, They're not that far off from taking 1020 00:49:50,239 --> 00:49:54,000 Speaker 4: a step forward. And yeah, the non cons brutal Ohio State, Rutgers, 1021 00:49:54,000 --> 00:49:58,399 Speaker 4: South Carolina, but colgiate Kent State, Eastern Michigan, Buffalo all 1022 00:49:58,440 --> 00:50:02,120 Speaker 4: at home, they're probably favorite, you know, four or five games, 1023 00:50:02,840 --> 00:50:05,000 Speaker 4: So to me, like you need Kent State to win 1024 00:50:05,160 --> 00:50:08,879 Speaker 4: three or four games as coin flip, probably underdogs, Actor 1025 00:50:08,960 --> 00:50:12,040 Speaker 4: should be favored in like four games, so then you 1026 00:50:12,080 --> 00:50:14,120 Speaker 4: get a one or two coin flip. I'm gonna do 1027 00:50:14,160 --> 00:50:18,000 Speaker 4: it one more time. Call it penns date bias. I 1028 00:50:18,000 --> 00:50:20,640 Speaker 4: think this team's more talented than their results have been. 1029 00:50:20,680 --> 00:50:22,600 Speaker 4: And I still like Joe Moore as a coach, so 1030 00:50:22,760 --> 00:50:25,319 Speaker 4: I'm gonna go over for three and a half. I'm 1031 00:50:25,360 --> 00:50:26,680 Speaker 4: doing one more time with my guy. 1032 00:50:26,600 --> 00:50:30,400 Speaker 1: Jomo as someone who always watches these games stuck like 1033 00:50:30,560 --> 00:50:33,520 Speaker 1: was their defense smoking mirrors? Was it just crappy quarterback 1034 00:50:33,520 --> 00:50:35,880 Speaker 1: play or did you see some real quality and some 1035 00:50:36,000 --> 00:50:38,800 Speaker 1: high end coaching that got them into the top thirty, 1036 00:50:39,080 --> 00:50:41,640 Speaker 1: top twenty five and some of these defensive metrics. 1037 00:50:42,160 --> 00:50:44,920 Speaker 2: Yeah, I think lot some of their past defense metrics 1038 00:50:44,920 --> 00:50:50,120 Speaker 2: were a little a little overinflated for who they played. 1039 00:50:50,120 --> 00:50:52,839 Speaker 2: But I actually like their rundy and they they now 1040 00:50:52,880 --> 00:50:56,080 Speaker 2: have like adequate size in the front seven. So I 1041 00:50:56,080 --> 00:50:58,839 Speaker 2: think the run dy is you know for a MAC 1042 00:50:58,920 --> 00:51:00,800 Speaker 2: team is legit and it is going to be legit again. 1043 00:51:02,360 --> 00:51:04,760 Speaker 2: You know you did it lose Thomas, but you mentioned 1044 00:51:04,800 --> 00:51:09,160 Speaker 2: McCoy fish. They bring three back on the defensive line. 1045 00:51:09,280 --> 00:51:11,359 Speaker 2: I like some of the pieces that they added, and 1046 00:51:11,400 --> 00:51:14,400 Speaker 2: they just finally have size now. So the question is 1047 00:51:14,440 --> 00:51:16,800 Speaker 2: this defense could be sneaky underrated if the transfer is 1048 00:51:16,840 --> 00:51:20,399 Speaker 2: hitting the secondary so big if but you know that's 1049 00:51:20,440 --> 00:51:23,280 Speaker 2: the question on the defense to me is a secondary. 1050 00:51:23,280 --> 00:51:27,440 Speaker 2: But you look at the schedule like who scares you 1051 00:51:27,520 --> 00:51:30,360 Speaker 2: throwing the ball? Like, let's throw out. There're no losses 1052 00:51:30,400 --> 00:51:33,080 Speaker 2: at Ohio State, Rutgers in South Ghina. They played Colgate, 1053 00:51:33,560 --> 00:51:41,239 Speaker 2: Ohio Bowling, Green, Western Michigan, Eastern Michigan, Buffalo, Northern Illinois, 1054 00:51:41,520 --> 00:51:45,480 Speaker 2: Kent State, Toledo. Stop me, when there was a quarterback 1055 00:51:45,480 --> 00:51:49,879 Speaker 2: there that you were afraid of. There's not, so they 1056 00:51:50,120 --> 00:51:51,759 Speaker 2: might be able to get away with it. He said. 1057 00:51:51,760 --> 00:51:55,000 Speaker 2: The wind totals two and a half. Thought three and 1058 00:51:55,040 --> 00:51:58,279 Speaker 2: a half. I think that's the right number. But it's 1059 00:51:58,320 --> 00:52:00,799 Speaker 2: over nothing. I'm telling you. The back this year, these 1060 00:52:00,800 --> 00:52:05,920 Speaker 2: middle teams have come down a bunch, So yeah, I 1061 00:52:05,920 --> 00:52:07,640 Speaker 2: am worried about I'm still worried about the offensive line. 1062 00:52:07,680 --> 00:52:09,040 Speaker 2: That's the one piece that they haven't been able to 1063 00:52:09,040 --> 00:52:14,319 Speaker 2: figure out. And then you know, presumably if you're going 1064 00:52:14,320 --> 00:52:19,839 Speaker 2: with Finley, who's ahead of Bullock right now, like he's 1065 00:52:19,840 --> 00:52:23,879 Speaker 2: not a mobile guy, it's it's gonna be ugly. So 1066 00:52:23,960 --> 00:52:27,279 Speaker 2: that's what I would worry about. But uh, yeah, it's 1067 00:52:27,320 --> 00:52:30,120 Speaker 2: over nothing with Ackron. But I think brain half is 1068 00:52:30,120 --> 00:52:32,080 Speaker 2: close to right. But if you can get plus money, 1069 00:52:32,200 --> 00:52:33,399 Speaker 2: why not have some vote? 1070 00:52:35,440 --> 00:52:37,960 Speaker 1: All right, we've gone through some of the bottom teams. 1071 00:52:38,000 --> 00:52:39,560 Speaker 1: It's signed for a bit of a treat. Let's go 1072 00:52:39,640 --> 00:52:42,080 Speaker 1: back to at least the way that the conference used 1073 00:52:42,080 --> 00:52:43,600 Speaker 1: to be laid out in the West. Let's look at 1074 00:52:43,600 --> 00:52:49,040 Speaker 1: Toledo Guy Ruckets in flight. They win eleven games last 1075 00:52:49,120 --> 00:52:51,640 Speaker 1: year ago eleven and three, eight and zero. They lose 1076 00:52:51,680 --> 00:52:54,440 Speaker 1: to Wyoming in the Arizona Bowl. Their wintil this year 1077 00:52:54,480 --> 00:52:56,120 Speaker 1: said at eight and a half plus three twenty to 1078 00:52:56,160 --> 00:52:57,560 Speaker 1: win the MAC thirty to one to make the collet 1079 00:52:57,560 --> 00:52:59,160 Speaker 1: who All playoff. You're not going to believe it, but 1080 00:52:59,239 --> 00:53:03,160 Speaker 1: Jason Kandall blew it with an opportunity to perhaps leap 1081 00:53:03,400 --> 00:53:07,080 Speaker 1: over Liberty at the eleventh hour by winning the MAC 1082 00:53:07,120 --> 00:53:09,480 Speaker 1: title game, at least giving the committee something to think about. 1083 00:53:09,680 --> 00:53:11,920 Speaker 1: They go ahead and lose that game. They also lost 1084 00:53:12,239 --> 00:53:15,160 Speaker 1: a game to Illinois, blowing at twelve point second half lead. 1085 00:53:16,000 --> 00:53:17,560 Speaker 2: These fucking assholes. 1086 00:53:17,600 --> 00:53:22,680 Speaker 4: Just fuck these fucking ass holes. The fuck is that problem? 1087 00:53:22,719 --> 00:53:22,919 Speaker 1: Man? 1088 00:53:23,280 --> 00:53:25,719 Speaker 4: This is fucking tyfficult bullshit. 1089 00:53:26,440 --> 00:53:29,640 Speaker 1: So I mean, where's the falloff here? Because the entire 1090 00:53:29,680 --> 00:53:31,919 Speaker 1: offensive line is gone to Kwan Finn is gone, Penny 1091 00:53:31,960 --> 00:53:35,200 Speaker 1: Boone is gone. Tucker Gleason has experience, He's thrown for 1092 00:53:35,239 --> 00:53:37,359 Speaker 1: over a thousand career yards and twelve touchdowns. He can 1093 00:53:37,440 --> 00:53:39,919 Speaker 1: run a little bit, but he's gonna have to be 1094 00:53:39,960 --> 00:53:42,680 Speaker 1: a bigger part of this offense, probably than Finn was. 1095 00:53:42,920 --> 00:53:44,640 Speaker 1: Because of what they lost at running back and on 1096 00:53:44,680 --> 00:53:48,000 Speaker 1: the O line. The defense obviously loses Quinyon Mitchell and 1097 00:53:48,040 --> 00:53:50,960 Speaker 1: All Mac Corner Chris McDonald. They're still going to be good. 1098 00:53:51,080 --> 00:53:54,600 Speaker 1: Many publications have six Rockets on first or second team 1099 00:53:54,680 --> 00:53:57,839 Speaker 1: All Mac defense, And when you look at the trajectory 1100 00:53:58,040 --> 00:54:01,560 Speaker 1: of basically this defensive turnaround in nineteen, they were horrific. 1101 00:54:01,560 --> 00:54:03,360 Speaker 1: They were one hundred and twenty first in defensive s 1102 00:54:03,440 --> 00:54:07,160 Speaker 1: and P plus ranking. Then in twenty twenty one, they 1103 00:54:07,239 --> 00:54:10,080 Speaker 1: hired Vince Carris from Mount Union. He was a head 1104 00:54:10,120 --> 00:54:13,040 Speaker 1: coach there and won national titles. He was one of 1105 00:54:13,040 --> 00:54:15,279 Speaker 1: those rising stars. They were able to get him, and 1106 00:54:15,320 --> 00:54:17,880 Speaker 1: what does he do immediately? They bump up into the 1107 00:54:17,880 --> 00:54:20,719 Speaker 1: top eighty twenty twenty two sixty seventh, and then last 1108 00:54:20,800 --> 00:54:23,240 Speaker 1: year they were thirty second in S and P plus 1109 00:54:23,440 --> 00:54:26,080 Speaker 1: ranking on the defensive side of the ball. First two 1110 00:54:26,120 --> 00:54:29,000 Speaker 1: games are cake early and could include an upset of 1111 00:54:29,040 --> 00:54:31,279 Speaker 1: a rebuilding Misssippi State on the road. Crazier things have 1112 00:54:31,320 --> 00:54:34,440 Speaker 1: happened at Western Kentucky is tricky. They host Miami on 1113 00:54:34,480 --> 00:54:38,319 Speaker 1: October fifth and Bowling Green on October twenty sixth. So 1114 00:54:38,960 --> 00:54:42,880 Speaker 1: let's start here. You've been critical many times of kandal Sucky. 1115 00:54:44,040 --> 00:54:46,839 Speaker 1: Last year clearly was the team. They had so much 1116 00:54:46,880 --> 00:54:49,560 Speaker 1: more talent than everybody else they played in the conference. 1117 00:54:49,600 --> 00:54:52,680 Speaker 1: They had competent quarterback play, They had an NFL first 1118 00:54:52,800 --> 00:54:55,960 Speaker 1: round pick at corner and another All Mac corner on 1119 00:54:56,000 --> 00:54:58,520 Speaker 1: the other side. They should have gotten it done. That 1120 00:54:58,520 --> 00:55:01,640 Speaker 1: should have been a historic season for the Rockets. Do 1121 00:55:01,680 --> 00:55:04,520 Speaker 1: you see a big ole letdown headed up around the 1122 00:55:04,520 --> 00:55:07,000 Speaker 1: bend because this win total winning in a Kate, Yes. 1123 00:55:07,360 --> 00:55:09,960 Speaker 5: Got some unfinished business here in Toledo. 1124 00:55:10,760 --> 00:55:12,719 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, look, it's it's the MAC. There's still 1125 00:55:12,719 --> 00:55:14,560 Speaker 2: gona be one of the more talented teams. They always have. 1126 00:55:14,840 --> 00:55:18,279 Speaker 2: They're always recruiting, well, they're the they're the elite recruiters 1127 00:55:18,520 --> 00:55:20,759 Speaker 2: from in the MAC. So they're getting like the most 1128 00:55:20,800 --> 00:55:23,719 Speaker 2: talent year in and year out. But they lost a 1129 00:55:23,760 --> 00:55:25,360 Speaker 2: ton and last year was the year they had to 1130 00:55:25,360 --> 00:55:27,600 Speaker 2: win it last year, especially with Gavert hurt, and they didn't. 1131 00:55:28,040 --> 00:55:30,080 Speaker 2: But look look who they lost. I mean you mentioned 1132 00:55:30,120 --> 00:55:33,160 Speaker 2: Finn and Boone. They lose everything on the offensive line. 1133 00:55:33,400 --> 00:55:36,600 Speaker 2: I mean they have zero returning FBS starts on the 1134 00:55:36,640 --> 00:55:41,439 Speaker 2: offensive line. That is my biggest question. Stort takes over 1135 00:55:41,480 --> 00:55:43,759 Speaker 2: at running back. It is a good returner. We'll see 1136 00:55:43,760 --> 00:55:46,120 Speaker 2: if you can handle the load. I like their receivers, 1137 00:55:46,440 --> 00:55:50,480 Speaker 2: that's the strength of the Their pass catchers are the 1138 00:55:50,480 --> 00:55:52,920 Speaker 2: strength of the offense. But Police, and you know at 1139 00:55:53,000 --> 00:55:57,960 Speaker 2: least does have some experience. Still a little erratic for me. 1140 00:55:58,440 --> 00:56:00,359 Speaker 2: We'll see if you know, with him having the job 1141 00:56:00,360 --> 00:56:01,759 Speaker 2: in a full off season of work, you can take 1142 00:56:01,760 --> 00:56:05,680 Speaker 2: that next step. But a brand new offensive line, it's 1143 00:56:05,719 --> 00:56:08,880 Speaker 2: that's it's gonna be tough, and the defense like the interior. 1144 00:56:09,560 --> 00:56:12,319 Speaker 2: They're big in the interior, so they're gonna that's gonna 1145 00:56:12,320 --> 00:56:14,239 Speaker 2: help them against around. I like their safeties, they're still 1146 00:56:14,239 --> 00:56:18,279 Speaker 2: fine there, but everything else they have to replace. I 1147 00:56:18,280 --> 00:56:19,800 Speaker 2: mean there's a defense that is a mac team that 1148 00:56:19,880 --> 00:56:23,600 Speaker 2: lost four to the NFL, including one in the first round. 1149 00:56:23,640 --> 00:56:25,480 Speaker 2: At the corner and you lose your other stud corner. 1150 00:56:25,880 --> 00:56:29,799 Speaker 2: And this is a defense similar to Miami Ohio in 1151 00:56:29,840 --> 00:56:32,200 Speaker 2: that they're gonna run four two five sometimes three two six, 1152 00:56:32,320 --> 00:56:35,200 Speaker 2: and they're not They don't blitz a lot. It's you know, 1153 00:56:35,239 --> 00:56:37,759 Speaker 2: not a lot of bells and whistles. But everyone last 1154 00:56:37,840 --> 00:56:40,479 Speaker 2: year very well schooled in the back end. Everyone's always 1155 00:56:40,480 --> 00:56:42,960 Speaker 2: in the right place. You also have more flexibility with 1156 00:56:43,000 --> 00:56:45,360 Speaker 2: where everyone's gonna have two dominant corners. Like can that 1157 00:56:45,480 --> 00:56:47,960 Speaker 2: will that defense take a step back? I think yes. Uh, 1158 00:56:47,960 --> 00:56:50,120 Speaker 2: this is a team's outside the top one hundred and 1159 00:56:50,200 --> 00:56:54,000 Speaker 2: twenty in returning production, so they lose a lot. Guy 1160 00:56:54,080 --> 00:56:56,560 Speaker 2: like Perkins who transferred from Florida, he's gonna be really important. 1161 00:56:56,600 --> 00:56:59,800 Speaker 2: He left like after week one last year on the Gators. 1162 00:56:59,800 --> 00:57:02,360 Speaker 2: He's got to hit a corner. I think for them, 1163 00:57:02,520 --> 00:57:06,759 Speaker 2: depth there back there is also shaky. So yeah, I 1164 00:57:06,840 --> 00:57:09,000 Speaker 2: mean it is a pretty easy schedule. You know, Duke 1165 00:57:09,080 --> 00:57:11,359 Speaker 2: Caine and UMass to start. That helps you kind of 1166 00:57:11,840 --> 00:57:14,759 Speaker 2: get hit the ground running with all of this change 1167 00:57:14,800 --> 00:57:17,880 Speaker 2: and figure some things out. You do host my Ohio, 1168 00:57:18,320 --> 00:57:20,840 Speaker 2: you host my Bile, you host Bowling Green, and then 1169 00:57:20,880 --> 00:57:24,080 Speaker 2: you go to Northern Illinois. Speaking of the other top 1170 00:57:24,480 --> 00:57:27,200 Speaker 2: for the the other four of the five top teams 1171 00:57:27,280 --> 00:57:33,800 Speaker 2: in the MAC, your league road games, Buffalo aforementioned, n I, U, E, MU, 1172 00:57:33,840 --> 00:57:37,040 Speaker 2: and Akron. It's pretty easy. So the schedule worked right 1173 00:57:37,160 --> 00:57:38,360 Speaker 2: for them in a year where there's a lot of 1174 00:57:38,440 --> 00:57:44,400 Speaker 2: change on the roster. So yeah, I project eight what 1175 00:57:44,520 --> 00:57:47,920 Speaker 2: do I project seven point nine to five? So the 1176 00:57:48,080 --> 00:57:49,640 Speaker 2: eight and a half is heavily juiced to the under 1177 00:57:49,680 --> 00:57:56,120 Speaker 2: some close to market be under or nothing. But it's 1178 00:57:57,240 --> 00:57:59,040 Speaker 2: like I think that I have them powered as a 1179 00:57:59,040 --> 00:58:02,360 Speaker 2: second second best team in the MAC. But the gap 1180 00:58:02,920 --> 00:58:05,760 Speaker 2: between them and then the second tier of teams is 1181 00:58:05,920 --> 00:58:08,760 Speaker 2: a Bowling Green, Northern Illinois and Western Michigan. It's not 1182 00:58:09,520 --> 00:58:14,120 Speaker 2: as big as it's been. That gap is much smaller 1183 00:58:14,120 --> 00:58:16,400 Speaker 2: than it was last year. So no interest in them. 1184 00:58:16,400 --> 00:58:19,240 Speaker 2: From a future perspective, I still think EG and I 1185 00:58:19,360 --> 00:58:22,320 Speaker 2: U WMU. That's where you gotta look. 1186 00:58:22,760 --> 00:58:25,040 Speaker 1: Yeah, you're paying a big premium for the name brands. 1187 00:58:25,280 --> 00:58:27,920 Speaker 1: I mean, the fact the matter is they're half the 1188 00:58:27,960 --> 00:58:30,200 Speaker 1: price of a bowling Green at seven to one. Did 1189 00:58:30,200 --> 00:58:31,840 Speaker 1: that surprise you I and l O Or is that 1190 00:58:31,960 --> 00:58:35,439 Speaker 1: just in line with you know, basically moving away from 1191 00:58:35,440 --> 00:58:37,800 Speaker 1: betting someone with such short odds to win this conference. 1192 00:58:38,800 --> 00:58:41,240 Speaker 4: Yeah, it did surprise me. Actually, I think you said 1193 00:58:41,240 --> 00:58:43,640 Speaker 4: you're paying for the brand and the name, and you know, 1194 00:58:43,840 --> 00:58:46,280 Speaker 4: not only they lost so many players, but they lost 1195 00:58:46,760 --> 00:58:50,720 Speaker 4: seven first team All MAC players Like these weren't just 1196 00:58:50,800 --> 00:58:54,600 Speaker 4: play these were dominant, elite, top of the conference type pieces. 1197 00:58:55,680 --> 00:58:58,120 Speaker 4: You know. Gleason and Stewart We've seen plenty, so I'm 1198 00:58:58,120 --> 00:59:00,440 Speaker 4: not super worried about those two. The off the line 1199 00:59:00,560 --> 00:59:05,480 Speaker 4: is a massive question, Sack. You mentioned the receivers Jrewan, Newen, Junior, Vandross. 1200 00:59:05,480 --> 00:59:07,760 Speaker 4: They bring back tighten Anthony trus They're going to have 1201 00:59:07,800 --> 00:59:10,960 Speaker 4: the best receiving room in the conference. So that's at 1202 00:59:11,040 --> 00:59:13,360 Speaker 4: least one big positive. It's just a matter of the 1203 00:59:13,400 --> 00:59:15,640 Speaker 4: offensive line holding up and how does Gleason do with 1204 00:59:15,680 --> 00:59:18,400 Speaker 4: a full season of work, And the defense has been 1205 00:59:18,480 --> 00:59:21,560 Speaker 4: nasty so you know they do have decent pieces safety 1206 00:59:21,720 --> 00:59:24,880 Speaker 4: Max and hook is back, Darius Alexander up front. But 1207 00:59:25,080 --> 00:59:28,120 Speaker 4: I don't think we can emphasize enough how big a 1208 00:59:28,200 --> 00:59:32,000 Speaker 4: loss Qlingion Mitchell is for this defense because he basically, 1209 00:59:32,240 --> 00:59:34,520 Speaker 4: you know, it was the Sauce Gardner, you know, old 1210 00:59:34,600 --> 00:59:37,440 Speaker 4: Durell Reeves treatment where he took away half the field 1211 00:59:37,560 --> 00:59:39,120 Speaker 4: for opponents. They were you know, it got to the 1212 00:59:39,120 --> 00:59:40,960 Speaker 4: point last year where they were not even throwing it 1213 00:59:41,040 --> 00:59:43,320 Speaker 4: to his side of the field. Such a big loss. 1214 00:59:43,880 --> 00:59:46,000 Speaker 2: So and you couldn't even pick on the other corner 1215 00:59:46,000 --> 00:59:48,480 Speaker 2: though at all either like that it was couldn't do 1216 00:59:48,480 --> 00:59:49,600 Speaker 2: anything throwing against them. 1217 00:59:50,080 --> 00:59:52,880 Speaker 4: When you did this last year with Toledo, every team 1218 00:59:52,920 --> 00:59:55,880 Speaker 4: playing Toledo, you just go lost, lost loss. Where now 1219 00:59:55,920 --> 00:59:58,000 Speaker 4: they're coin flips. Now Bowling Greens a coin flip. Now 1220 00:59:58,040 --> 01:00:01,440 Speaker 4: Northern Illinois a coin flip. It's for me, they should 1221 01:00:01,440 --> 01:00:03,360 Speaker 4: be good still, but I think they take a take 1222 01:00:03,360 --> 01:00:05,400 Speaker 4: a step back and they kind of come back to 1223 01:00:05,440 --> 01:00:06,920 Speaker 4: the pack. So like you said, I'm not paying that 1224 01:00:06,960 --> 01:00:09,360 Speaker 4: three twenty. They should be in that six to one 1225 01:00:09,480 --> 01:00:10,960 Speaker 4: range with the rest of them. 1226 01:00:11,960 --> 01:00:14,160 Speaker 1: I think this inflates the value on the next team. 1227 01:00:14,160 --> 01:00:15,680 Speaker 1: We're going to talk about because you can get them 1228 01:00:15,680 --> 01:00:17,200 Speaker 1: at close to eight to one to win the MAC. 1229 01:00:17,280 --> 01:00:20,160 Speaker 1: That's the Northern Illinois Huskies seven and six last year, 1230 01:00:20,200 --> 01:00:23,240 Speaker 1: five and three in conference, a win over a surging 1231 01:00:23,360 --> 01:00:26,320 Speaker 1: Arkansas State team in the CHAMELLEA Bowle eighty to one 1232 01:00:26,360 --> 01:00:28,320 Speaker 1: to make the College Football Playoff. They got four starters 1233 01:00:28,360 --> 01:00:30,600 Speaker 1: back on this offensive line, which is their bread and butter, 1234 01:00:30,840 --> 01:00:33,920 Speaker 1: Andtario Brown is in line for a big season. Trayvon 1235 01:00:34,200 --> 01:00:37,480 Speaker 1: Rudolph can help either Ethan Hampton or my pick. If 1236 01:00:37,480 --> 01:00:39,040 Speaker 1: he can win this job, I think he'll have a 1237 01:00:39,040 --> 01:00:42,920 Speaker 1: bigger impact on their offense. Arkansas Pine Bluff transfer Jalen 1238 01:00:43,040 --> 01:00:46,480 Speaker 1: chance Making at quarterback. I want Making for two reasons. 1239 01:00:46,760 --> 01:00:48,680 Speaker 1: He can run. We saw it in the spring, and 1240 01:00:48,840 --> 01:00:51,800 Speaker 1: he's huge. He's six five, two hundred and thirty pounds. 1241 01:00:51,920 --> 01:00:54,680 Speaker 1: If you're going to replace a quarterback like Rocky Lombardi 1242 01:00:54,920 --> 01:00:56,920 Speaker 1: that you know you're able to rely on in so 1243 01:00:57,000 --> 01:01:00,240 Speaker 1: many big, close games, big moments, I would love a 1244 01:01:00,280 --> 01:01:02,400 Speaker 1: huge guy that you can run basically like a little 1245 01:01:02,400 --> 01:01:05,440 Speaker 1: wildcat with you can certainly run QB sneaks. He could 1246 01:01:05,480 --> 01:01:07,280 Speaker 1: be interesting if he wins the job. That's going to 1247 01:01:07,280 --> 01:01:09,600 Speaker 1: go into Faul Camp. They won six of their last 1248 01:01:09,640 --> 01:01:13,160 Speaker 1: eight because the defense took over against lousy teams as 1249 01:01:13,160 --> 01:01:15,520 Speaker 1: well as holding Arkansas State, who was an offense that 1250 01:01:15,600 --> 01:01:18,080 Speaker 1: was putting it together just nineteen points in that bowl game. 1251 01:01:18,160 --> 01:01:20,720 Speaker 1: That's a great sign. Three DB's are back from the 1252 01:01:20,760 --> 01:01:23,360 Speaker 1: sixth ranked pass defense in America. This is a potentially 1253 01:01:23,600 --> 01:01:27,120 Speaker 1: elite secondary and the schedule so just for sorry is 1254 01:01:27,160 --> 01:01:28,920 Speaker 1: I'm going to throw some money here on them and 1255 01:01:28,960 --> 01:01:31,080 Speaker 1: to win the conference. I think they're priced in away 1256 01:01:31,080 --> 01:01:32,960 Speaker 1: at eight to one plus seven to fifty. It would 1257 01:01:33,000 --> 01:01:35,520 Speaker 1: be my floor. That interests me. But then when you 1258 01:01:35,560 --> 01:01:38,080 Speaker 1: look at their win total, let's talk wins Western, Illinois, 1259 01:01:38,120 --> 01:01:40,919 Speaker 1: Buffalo UMAs. Akron will call Central a win at home 1260 01:01:41,040 --> 01:01:43,680 Speaker 1: as well. They get all those at home toss ups 1261 01:01:43,720 --> 01:01:46,640 Speaker 1: at Bowling Green, at ball State, at Western, and then 1262 01:01:46,680 --> 01:01:49,160 Speaker 1: the clear losses at Notre Dame, at NC State, at 1263 01:01:49,200 --> 01:01:52,160 Speaker 1: Miami of Ohio home against Toledo. I think the schedule 1264 01:01:52,200 --> 01:01:54,280 Speaker 1: breaks in a really nice way for them at home 1265 01:01:54,400 --> 01:01:57,520 Speaker 1: where you can start stacking wins. So I'm also confident 1266 01:01:57,640 --> 01:01:59,720 Speaker 1: over on this win total. I just think that this 1267 01:02:01,120 --> 01:02:03,680 Speaker 1: matches the scheme, the kind of football they want to play. 1268 01:02:03,680 --> 01:02:05,600 Speaker 1: The defense is going to be good, really good on 1269 01:02:05,640 --> 01:02:08,200 Speaker 1: the back end, and this running game should be able 1270 01:02:08,200 --> 01:02:11,320 Speaker 1: to physically overpower teams. I love Brown. I think he 1271 01:02:11,360 --> 01:02:13,480 Speaker 1: could have the kind of offensive player of the year 1272 01:02:13,560 --> 01:02:15,280 Speaker 1: kind of season here in the MAC. What do you 1273 01:02:15,280 --> 01:02:16,160 Speaker 1: think about this stuck? 1274 01:02:17,600 --> 01:02:20,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, I think that the the defense might be a 1275 01:02:20,800 --> 01:02:22,280 Speaker 2: tad over rated. I hear a lot of people talking 1276 01:02:22,320 --> 01:02:25,240 Speaker 2: about the back there, which I do like. But here 1277 01:02:25,360 --> 01:02:29,400 Speaker 2: the quarterbacks they faced last year, they played Boston College, 1278 01:02:29,440 --> 01:02:32,960 Speaker 2: they faced Morehead, they played SIUFCS team, they played at 1279 01:02:33,000 --> 01:02:37,280 Speaker 2: Harburg with Nebraska, who put up thirty five. Your boy 1280 01:02:37,320 --> 01:02:40,120 Speaker 2: Cardile Williams, I know, put up twenty two on them. 1281 01:02:41,480 --> 01:02:43,840 Speaker 2: Finn put up thirty five with Toledo. Then they played 1282 01:02:43,880 --> 01:02:48,000 Speaker 2: Akron when Bullocks started, you know Emu Smith of Warrn 1283 01:02:48,120 --> 01:02:53,400 Speaker 2: like absolutely warrant quarterback play. They played Bauer at Central 1284 01:02:53,440 --> 01:02:56,080 Speaker 2: Michigan to put up thirty seven on them. Kilef Kelly 1285 01:02:56,160 --> 01:02:59,280 Speaker 2: has moved to defense now in ball State, you know, 1286 01:02:59,320 --> 01:03:02,600 Speaker 2: they played Western Michigan's backup, they played Ken State's backup. 1287 01:03:02,960 --> 01:03:05,800 Speaker 2: But they played a ton of backups and horrendous passing 1288 01:03:05,840 --> 01:03:09,200 Speaker 2: offenses last year. I will say though that they you know, 1289 01:03:09,480 --> 01:03:12,280 Speaker 2: the offense made it they made a coordinator change after 1290 01:03:13,000 --> 01:03:16,720 Speaker 2: week four, and they went from averaging fifty sixteen points 1291 01:03:16,720 --> 01:03:18,720 Speaker 2: per game of the first four games to twenty nine 1292 01:03:19,040 --> 01:03:23,520 Speaker 2: over last nine, almost double. Still twenty four points per game, 1293 01:03:23,560 --> 01:03:25,880 Speaker 2: even if you removed the games against ACROD and Kent State. 1294 01:03:26,360 --> 01:03:28,920 Speaker 2: So I like some of the changes they made schematically 1295 01:03:28,920 --> 01:03:32,520 Speaker 2: on offense, you know. And they finished the year six 1296 01:03:32,560 --> 01:03:36,480 Speaker 2: and three with three one possession losses after that offensive 1297 01:03:36,840 --> 01:03:39,720 Speaker 2: scheme change, and they're going to play a lot of 1298 01:03:40,200 --> 01:03:42,440 Speaker 2: a lot of bad passing offenses again this year, you know. 1299 01:03:42,520 --> 01:03:44,800 Speaker 2: Not there name in NC State the exception. They're not 1300 01:03:44,800 --> 01:03:49,400 Speaker 2: winning those games anyway on the road. The others Western Illinois, Buffalo, UMass. 1301 01:03:49,640 --> 01:03:53,240 Speaker 2: You know. Ianella said he liked Bowling Green. I don't 1302 01:03:53,240 --> 01:03:55,640 Speaker 2: hate that. I'm waiting all my future. But I think, 1303 01:03:55,680 --> 01:03:58,760 Speaker 2: whoever eight to one, if that's out there, like if 1304 01:03:58,920 --> 01:04:01,080 Speaker 2: Northern Illinois eight to one, these teams are seven to one, 1305 01:04:01,520 --> 01:04:05,280 Speaker 2: like they're all in the same bunch, I'm probably going 1306 01:04:05,320 --> 01:04:08,240 Speaker 2: to take NIU depending on how the quarterback battleace. So 1307 01:04:08,480 --> 01:04:10,360 Speaker 2: this is one of my three teams that's in the 1308 01:04:10,400 --> 01:04:14,200 Speaker 2: mix for sure. And they have five really easy home games, 1309 01:04:14,200 --> 01:04:16,520 Speaker 2: which is the floor. I projects six point sixty five, 1310 01:04:17,440 --> 01:04:20,200 Speaker 2: so pretty close to the win total. But they're in 1311 01:04:20,240 --> 01:04:23,160 Speaker 2: the mix for a future very very senior laden team 1312 01:04:23,240 --> 01:04:26,520 Speaker 2: similar to Bowling Green Bowling Green Ton of seniors, but 1313 01:04:26,640 --> 01:04:29,960 Speaker 2: their top twenty five ish in the country in overall 1314 01:04:30,000 --> 01:04:32,959 Speaker 2: experience for the second year in a row. They also 1315 01:04:32,960 --> 01:04:35,160 Speaker 2: have the best depth they've had in a while, So 1316 01:04:35,960 --> 01:04:37,360 Speaker 2: you know, this is a team that definitely has the 1317 01:04:37,360 --> 01:04:38,240 Speaker 2: potential to win the MAC. 1318 01:04:39,360 --> 01:04:42,800 Speaker 4: Yeah, you know. Northern Illinois, they finally lose Rocking Lombardi 1319 01:04:42,880 --> 01:04:45,200 Speaker 4: to the fifty five in hour over community. I was 1320 01:04:45,240 --> 01:04:47,360 Speaker 4: hoping he'd be back for one more year. And the 1321 01:04:47,400 --> 01:04:50,000 Speaker 4: interesting thing about Jalen Macon coming in is they also 1322 01:04:50,120 --> 01:04:53,320 Speaker 4: brought in his top receiver from Arkansas Pine Bluff, So 1323 01:04:53,360 --> 01:04:56,320 Speaker 4: if Macon does win the job, having that continuity will 1324 01:04:56,360 --> 01:04:58,880 Speaker 4: be nice. Off withsive line has all seen playing time, 1325 01:04:58,960 --> 01:05:02,160 Speaker 4: should be a good unit. My only issue what kind 1326 01:05:02,200 --> 01:05:04,840 Speaker 4: of led me away from Northern Illinois and to Bowling 1327 01:05:04,840 --> 01:05:07,040 Speaker 4: Green is just I feel like over the last like 1328 01:05:07,320 --> 01:05:09,320 Speaker 4: how many how many years is Haamic been the coach? 1329 01:05:09,400 --> 01:05:11,919 Speaker 4: This is fourth I feel like this team just does 1330 01:05:12,040 --> 01:05:16,160 Speaker 4: dumb shit, Like they're super inconsistent, they play up and down. 1331 01:05:16,560 --> 01:05:17,880 Speaker 4: You kind of don't know what you're gonna I mean, 1332 01:05:17,880 --> 01:05:20,360 Speaker 4: look at last year's perfect example. They start the season 1333 01:05:20,600 --> 01:05:23,120 Speaker 4: meeting Boston College on the road and then lose to 1334 01:05:23,160 --> 01:05:26,640 Speaker 4: Southern Illinois the following week. I have trouble trusting this team, 1335 01:05:26,840 --> 01:05:29,760 Speaker 4: so I like them overall. I don't hate your pick Breeze, 1336 01:05:29,760 --> 01:05:31,400 Speaker 4: but that's just kind of what made me go Bowling 1337 01:05:31,440 --> 01:05:49,000 Speaker 4: Green instead of them. 1338 01:05:49,160 --> 01:05:51,840 Speaker 1: Now, when we look at the directional schools in Michigan, 1339 01:05:52,000 --> 01:05:54,360 Speaker 1: it breaks down for win total six and a half, 1340 01:05:54,440 --> 01:05:55,840 Speaker 1: five and a half, four and a half. Let's start 1341 01:05:55,880 --> 01:05:58,000 Speaker 1: at the top of that. Western Michigan four and eight 1342 01:05:58,080 --> 01:06:00,200 Speaker 1: last year three and five in conference win totals six 1343 01:06:00,240 --> 01:06:02,240 Speaker 1: and a half plus six fifty to win the MAC 1344 01:06:02,360 --> 01:06:05,720 Speaker 1: hundred and thirty to one to make the college Football Playoff. 1345 01:06:06,200 --> 01:06:10,040 Speaker 1: All right, their schedule early on, can they survive? But 1346 01:06:10,120 --> 01:06:14,520 Speaker 1: at Wisconsin at Ohio State at Marshall the martial part 1347 01:06:14,560 --> 01:06:17,360 Speaker 1: obviously being far less daunting. Then they get a huge 1348 01:06:17,360 --> 01:06:20,200 Speaker 1: break of avoiding both Miami of Ohio and Toledo, a 1349 01:06:20,200 --> 01:06:22,320 Speaker 1: pair of teams that beat him by thirty one points 1350 01:06:22,360 --> 01:06:25,160 Speaker 1: in total last year. The overall the tough forty in 1351 01:06:25,200 --> 01:06:28,000 Speaker 1: returning production, which, as we beat the drum over and 1352 01:06:28,000 --> 01:06:30,520 Speaker 1: over again in G five land very rare. But Hayden 1353 01:06:30,560 --> 01:06:33,240 Speaker 1: Wolf is back at quarterback and he does not move 1354 01:06:33,280 --> 01:06:39,280 Speaker 1: the needle for me. Mister wolf pack Wolf in the shotgun. 1355 01:06:39,480 --> 01:06:42,640 Speaker 1: He's got him asking you shall receive my friend from 1356 01:06:42,680 --> 01:06:43,320 Speaker 1: Hayden Wolf. 1357 01:06:44,920 --> 01:06:48,200 Speaker 2: Wolf Bang the wolf Bang. 1358 01:06:49,560 --> 01:06:52,800 Speaker 1: He's a C plus starter after posting just two starts 1359 01:06:52,840 --> 01:06:56,280 Speaker 1: with qbrs over fifty five last year. But he's a 1360 01:06:56,280 --> 01:06:58,880 Speaker 1: game manager and they have the rest of the pieces 1361 01:06:58,920 --> 01:07:01,240 Speaker 1: for that to be okay, be one thousand yard rusher 1362 01:07:01,280 --> 01:07:04,320 Speaker 1: Jalen Buckley's back four starters on the offensive line, they 1363 01:07:04,320 --> 01:07:06,520 Speaker 1: were one of four G five offensive lines in the 1364 01:07:06,640 --> 01:07:09,520 Speaker 1: entire country to be top thirty five in both run 1365 01:07:09,560 --> 01:07:12,560 Speaker 1: and pass block grade by Pro Football Focus. And then 1366 01:07:12,560 --> 01:07:14,640 Speaker 1: when you get into the defense, the defensive line could 1367 01:07:14,640 --> 01:07:16,960 Speaker 1: be a real strength if Louisville transfer pop By Williams 1368 01:07:17,000 --> 01:07:19,680 Speaker 1: is a big pass rushing threat, two back at linebacker, 1369 01:07:19,720 --> 01:07:22,480 Speaker 1: two back at corner off a serviceable defense, and when 1370 01:07:22,480 --> 01:07:24,840 Speaker 1: you get into Scott Power their DC, he does a 1371 01:07:24,880 --> 01:07:28,480 Speaker 1: great job with both pass defense and forcing turnovers. In 1372 01:07:28,520 --> 01:07:31,120 Speaker 1: twenty twenty two at LA Tech, his defense forced twenty 1373 01:07:31,120 --> 01:07:33,560 Speaker 1: two turnovers in twelve games. That was top twenty five 1374 01:07:33,560 --> 01:07:36,080 Speaker 1: in the country. Western. Also, when you pair it with 1375 01:07:36,080 --> 01:07:38,000 Speaker 1: the way that Western plays football, they do a really 1376 01:07:38,000 --> 01:07:40,400 Speaker 1: good job of protecting the football. They were top twenty 1377 01:07:40,600 --> 01:07:43,520 Speaker 1: in giveaways. So if you are more disruptive and you 1378 01:07:43,600 --> 01:07:46,000 Speaker 1: take chances and you take the ball away, that's going 1379 01:07:46,040 --> 01:07:49,400 Speaker 1: to basically sum up to a healthy turnover margin. And 1380 01:07:49,440 --> 01:07:52,120 Speaker 1: that's one of the quickest direct lines to winning more 1381 01:07:52,160 --> 01:07:55,040 Speaker 1: games being plus in the turnover margin. Like I said, 1382 01:07:55,040 --> 01:07:57,320 Speaker 1: if they survive, they come out healthy against Wisconsin and 1383 01:07:57,320 --> 01:07:59,720 Speaker 1: Ohio State early. I like them to be feisty down 1384 01:07:59,720 --> 01:08:01,840 Speaker 1: the stretch. This could be a team that goes from 1385 01:08:01,840 --> 01:08:04,360 Speaker 1: one to three to seven and five wouldn't shock me 1386 01:08:04,400 --> 01:08:07,680 Speaker 1: at all. Akron, Kent State, Bethune, Cookman, Eastern all at home. 1387 01:08:07,960 --> 01:08:10,120 Speaker 1: I think that gives them a lot of cushy, easy 1388 01:08:10,160 --> 01:08:12,240 Speaker 1: wins to kind of pad this and to get in 1389 01:08:12,280 --> 01:08:14,640 Speaker 1: line to go over this win total stuck. You've been 1390 01:08:14,640 --> 01:08:16,640 Speaker 1: teasing it the whole show. Is this a team that 1391 01:08:16,680 --> 01:08:19,840 Speaker 1: you're bullishan to maybe make a run from the outside 1392 01:08:19,880 --> 01:08:21,719 Speaker 1: and challenge one of the top teams in the conference. 1393 01:08:22,280 --> 01:08:24,400 Speaker 2: On one of our first college football prepots, like I 1394 01:08:24,520 --> 01:08:28,400 Speaker 2: teased my mac manifesto and said Western Michigan plus nine fifty. 1395 01:08:28,479 --> 01:08:30,439 Speaker 2: It's who I'm targeting. But I'm afraid of Walt Bell, 1396 01:08:30,960 --> 01:08:32,840 Speaker 2: and I didn't go out and bet it. I wait 1397 01:08:32,840 --> 01:08:36,400 Speaker 2: for the MAC manifesto and for our podcasts, and that 1398 01:08:36,439 --> 01:08:39,719 Speaker 2: little worm Colin I think went out and was telling 1399 01:08:39,760 --> 01:08:41,879 Speaker 2: people to bet it because now it's down the plus 1400 01:08:41,880 --> 01:08:44,879 Speaker 2: like six six fifty six to one a lot of places. 1401 01:08:44,920 --> 01:08:47,360 Speaker 2: So yeah, I liked them a lot better at plus 1402 01:08:47,439 --> 01:08:50,040 Speaker 2: nine to fifty. I like Wolf. I think that I 1403 01:08:50,080 --> 01:08:52,040 Speaker 2: don't love him, but I think he's fine. I think 1404 01:08:52,080 --> 01:08:54,160 Speaker 2: he's the best option that they had last year by far. 1405 01:08:55,080 --> 01:08:59,160 Speaker 2: They also added Nixon from Oklahoma State today or the 1406 01:08:59,200 --> 01:09:01,960 Speaker 2: other day, a running back who's a rent, like a 1407 01:09:02,000 --> 01:09:04,360 Speaker 2: thousand yards for them, little speedy guy to go along 1408 01:09:04,400 --> 01:09:06,720 Speaker 2: with Buckley, and so I really like their back that. 1409 01:09:06,880 --> 01:09:09,519 Speaker 2: I really like their offensive line. You know, you lose 1410 01:09:09,520 --> 01:09:12,519 Speaker 2: your best defensive linemen to the NFL, but I still 1411 01:09:12,600 --> 01:09:15,839 Speaker 2: like that group, and you have some experience at linebacker. 1412 01:09:15,880 --> 01:09:17,400 Speaker 2: They need to improve, but you at least have some 1413 01:09:17,479 --> 01:09:20,519 Speaker 2: experience there, and you have experience on the back end 1414 01:09:20,600 --> 01:09:23,200 Speaker 2: as well. Special teams need to be better. They've been 1415 01:09:23,240 --> 01:09:24,640 Speaker 2: one of the worst for the last three years in 1416 01:09:24,760 --> 01:09:28,120 Speaker 2: FBS and at least you got a new punter and kicker, 1417 01:09:28,200 --> 01:09:30,720 Speaker 2: so maybe there's some upside. There can't be any worse 1418 01:09:30,760 --> 01:09:33,120 Speaker 2: than they've been. And this is the team that last 1419 01:09:33,200 --> 01:09:37,040 Speaker 2: year it's like they had two returning starters and a 1420 01:09:37,080 --> 01:09:39,680 Speaker 2: new coach. It was like a year zero situation. Now 1421 01:09:39,720 --> 01:09:43,320 Speaker 2: they're top twenty five in experienced, top fifteen in returning production. 1422 01:09:44,560 --> 01:09:48,840 Speaker 2: So yeah, I like some of the additions from the 1423 01:09:48,880 --> 01:09:51,360 Speaker 2: power for level, and they have a lot of experience, 1424 01:09:51,680 --> 01:09:53,920 Speaker 2: not things that I'm used to saying. You even heard 1425 01:09:53,960 --> 01:09:57,120 Speaker 2: a say on this podcast. So I have them favored 1426 01:09:57,120 --> 01:10:00,320 Speaker 2: an eight. I project them at right around six and half, 1427 01:10:00,360 --> 01:10:02,040 Speaker 2: so I don't see a ton of value on the 1428 01:10:02,040 --> 01:10:04,000 Speaker 2: wind total, but they're a team. They're one of the 1429 01:10:04,040 --> 01:10:06,000 Speaker 2: three that I'm looking at from a future's perspective. I 1430 01:10:06,040 --> 01:10:08,760 Speaker 2: hate that the price got bet down like the way 1431 01:10:08,760 --> 01:10:10,960 Speaker 2: that the schedule breaks, assuming as you said, that they 1432 01:10:10,960 --> 01:10:14,040 Speaker 2: can just survive and stay healthy over those first two 1433 01:10:14,800 --> 01:10:18,880 Speaker 2: So yeah, they were definitely going to be my future 1434 01:10:19,040 --> 01:10:22,719 Speaker 2: at ten, close to ten to one, but price matters, 1435 01:10:23,240 --> 01:10:26,320 Speaker 2: So now getting down to six to one, it's getting 1436 01:10:26,320 --> 01:10:28,040 Speaker 2: a little dicer. That's a big jump for a team 1437 01:10:28,080 --> 01:10:30,160 Speaker 2: that finished four and eight last year. You can make 1438 01:10:30,200 --> 01:10:31,800 Speaker 2: these big jumps in the back, but they were also 1439 01:10:31,800 --> 01:10:33,720 Speaker 2: blown out in a lot of games. They only went 1440 01:10:33,720 --> 01:10:35,559 Speaker 2: they went only one in one possession games. That's all 1441 01:10:35,560 --> 01:10:37,439 Speaker 2: they played was one to one possession games, and they 1442 01:10:37,439 --> 01:10:40,160 Speaker 2: finished plus four turner margin. So I like some of 1443 01:10:40,160 --> 01:10:42,679 Speaker 2: the things, but then again, they also have two new coordinators. 1444 01:10:42,720 --> 01:10:45,560 Speaker 2: And I'm not the biggest Walt Bell fan. That was 1445 01:10:45,600 --> 01:10:46,840 Speaker 2: one of the things I told call and I said, 1446 01:10:46,920 --> 01:10:50,840 Speaker 2: Western Michigan bought Walt Bell, so they're under consideration. I 1447 01:10:50,840 --> 01:10:52,280 Speaker 2: think they're one of the three teams in the second 1448 01:10:52,280 --> 01:10:55,200 Speaker 2: tier that you should consider for a future, but prices 1449 01:10:55,240 --> 01:10:57,679 Speaker 2: definitely come down, making it a little less appealing. 1450 01:10:58,400 --> 01:11:00,559 Speaker 4: They had a weird year last year. They started three 1451 01:11:00,600 --> 01:11:03,040 Speaker 4: different qbs throughout the year. They kept kind of rotating 1452 01:11:03,080 --> 01:11:06,240 Speaker 4: him Trayson Borge and Jack Selipick both at the portal. 1453 01:11:06,320 --> 01:11:08,839 Speaker 4: So now Hayden Wolf seemingly is the guy. He probably 1454 01:11:08,920 --> 01:11:12,040 Speaker 4: was the best of the group. Stocky said he's concerned 1455 01:11:12,080 --> 01:11:15,280 Speaker 4: about Walt Bell. I'm concerned about Scott Power. They lose 1456 01:11:15,360 --> 01:11:18,120 Speaker 4: leues Posito to Memphis and they replaced him with Scott Power, 1457 01:11:18,520 --> 01:11:21,679 Speaker 4: who was just fired from law Tech, who had maybe 1458 01:11:21,760 --> 01:11:23,120 Speaker 4: the worst defense in the country. 1459 01:11:23,640 --> 01:11:26,759 Speaker 1: So personally, I'm just saying this. I liked Scott Power 1460 01:11:26,800 --> 01:11:30,160 Speaker 1: before when he had personnel. I'm circling that twenty twenty 1461 01:11:30,160 --> 01:11:33,360 Speaker 1: two season. It's he's somebody who's gonna roll the dice. 1462 01:11:34,120 --> 01:11:36,559 Speaker 1: We've talked about lo Tech on this podcast. That program 1463 01:11:36,640 --> 01:11:38,920 Speaker 1: is poverty. That program is going to get sunny Comby 1464 01:11:38,920 --> 01:11:41,599 Speaker 1: fired because there are no dudes in that locker room whatsoever. 1465 01:11:41,720 --> 01:11:44,160 Speaker 1: So I'm just throwing that out there. I'm gonna have 1466 01:11:44,200 --> 01:11:47,040 Speaker 1: a little human shield in front of Power for this conversation. 1467 01:11:47,360 --> 01:11:49,120 Speaker 2: If I got to break the tie, I would be 1468 01:11:49,360 --> 01:11:51,519 Speaker 2: I would side with Einell here. I'm not the biggest 1469 01:11:51,520 --> 01:11:53,840 Speaker 2: Scott Power. So the two new coordinators, and I'm not 1470 01:11:53,880 --> 01:11:55,120 Speaker 2: like wowed by either one. 1471 01:11:55,479 --> 01:12:01,040 Speaker 4: So he's also the third coordinator. Like this spring, like 1472 01:12:01,160 --> 01:12:04,599 Speaker 4: Esposito got poached in like March, and then they hired 1473 01:12:04,640 --> 01:12:07,040 Speaker 4: someone else to replace him, who then got poached like 1474 01:12:07,040 --> 01:12:09,479 Speaker 4: two weeks later, So it was kind of a roller 1475 01:12:09,520 --> 01:12:12,840 Speaker 4: coaster throughout the spring. I'm less bullish on them in 1476 01:12:12,960 --> 01:12:16,080 Speaker 4: terms of conference future with like with the price coming 1477 01:12:16,120 --> 01:12:19,520 Speaker 4: down now, just because I don't know that I see 1478 01:12:19,600 --> 01:12:22,760 Speaker 4: the upside potential with Hayden Wolf, who is you know? 1479 01:12:23,160 --> 01:12:26,479 Speaker 4: To me, just the guy and Scott Power in my opinion, 1480 01:12:26,479 --> 01:12:29,120 Speaker 4: holding the defense back from reaching its full potential. But 1481 01:12:29,160 --> 01:12:31,360 Speaker 4: then you mentioned the schedule. I think after they lose 1482 01:12:31,400 --> 01:12:34,759 Speaker 4: to it Alisconsin at Ohio State, but then their schedules 1483 01:12:34,840 --> 01:12:37,160 Speaker 4: at Cakewalk, they don't play Miami, they don't play Toledo. 1484 01:12:37,640 --> 01:12:41,479 Speaker 4: They start conference play with Ball State, Akron, Buffalo Kent State, 1485 01:12:41,960 --> 01:12:45,120 Speaker 4: who are, based on odds wise, the four worst teams 1486 01:12:45,120 --> 01:12:48,840 Speaker 4: in the MAC. So they realistically could rattle off six 1487 01:12:48,840 --> 01:12:52,600 Speaker 4: straight wins heading into November, and then you would just 1488 01:12:52,680 --> 01:12:55,800 Speaker 4: need one of their final four coin flip games to. 1489 01:12:55,760 --> 01:12:56,679 Speaker 2: Go over this win total. 1490 01:12:56,960 --> 01:12:59,479 Speaker 4: So I'm not as bullish on the upside of a 1491 01:12:59,560 --> 01:13:02,040 Speaker 4: MAC cham chip, but based on this schedule, I actually 1492 01:13:02,040 --> 01:13:03,679 Speaker 4: do like them to go over six and a half. 1493 01:13:03,760 --> 01:13:05,599 Speaker 4: They should be favored in like eight to nine games, 1494 01:13:05,640 --> 01:13:07,479 Speaker 4: so I'll take them over six and a half. 1495 01:13:08,800 --> 01:13:10,400 Speaker 1: All right. If Westerns at six and a half, we 1496 01:13:10,560 --> 01:13:13,400 Speaker 1: moved down one win to Central Michigan five and seven 1497 01:13:13,479 --> 01:13:15,439 Speaker 1: last year three and five in the MAC, their win 1498 01:13:15,479 --> 01:13:16,960 Speaker 1: t will set at five and a half, twelve to 1499 01:13:16,960 --> 01:13:18,840 Speaker 1: one to win the conference, three hundred to one to 1500 01:13:18,880 --> 01:13:21,680 Speaker 1: make the playoff Fire Up Chips Baby year six of 1501 01:13:21,760 --> 01:13:22,760 Speaker 1: Jim mcawain on. 1502 01:13:22,720 --> 01:13:25,800 Speaker 4: Tap Fire Up Chips, he's. 1503 01:13:25,800 --> 01:13:28,439 Speaker 1: One or tied for first place in the West on 1504 01:13:28,439 --> 01:13:31,599 Speaker 1: two occasions. He won eight games in year one and 1505 01:13:31,680 --> 01:13:34,800 Speaker 1: won nine games in year three, and then since then. 1506 01:13:34,800 --> 01:13:37,000 Speaker 1: They've been MAC mid pretty much ever since. Nine to 1507 01:13:37,000 --> 01:13:39,840 Speaker 1: fifteen overall, six and eleven in conference play in twenty 1508 01:13:39,840 --> 01:13:42,599 Speaker 1: twenty two and twenty twenty three. But there are reasons 1509 01:13:42,600 --> 01:13:46,240 Speaker 1: for excitement. Burt Emanuel Junior can be a star. Obviously, 1510 01:13:46,240 --> 01:13:47,960 Speaker 1: he was banged up last year. He still managed a 1511 01:13:48,000 --> 01:13:50,639 Speaker 1: four touchdown game and a thrilling win over New Hampshire 1512 01:13:50,640 --> 01:13:53,280 Speaker 1: that was one of the best fcs G five games 1513 01:13:53,280 --> 01:13:56,519 Speaker 1: from an entertainment standpoint last year. In twenty twenty two, 1514 01:13:56,520 --> 01:13:58,800 Speaker 1: we averaged seven point four yards per carry, including an 1515 01:13:58,800 --> 01:14:02,439 Speaker 1: all timer MAC performance against Buffalo where he ran for 1516 01:14:02,479 --> 01:14:05,120 Speaker 1: two hundred and ninety three yards and three scores. He 1517 01:14:05,160 --> 01:14:07,240 Speaker 1: gets Mary and Luke's and all his receivers back. The 1518 01:14:07,280 --> 01:14:09,959 Speaker 1: offensive line is green, but they do return both tackles, 1519 01:14:10,120 --> 01:14:11,439 Speaker 1: so we'll see what they can do in the middle 1520 01:14:11,439 --> 01:14:14,120 Speaker 1: of that O line. If he isn't an effective passer, 1521 01:14:14,360 --> 01:14:16,519 Speaker 1: which is possible, or if he gets hurt, which is 1522 01:14:16,520 --> 01:14:19,679 Speaker 1: certainly possible. Joe Lavis is in from Iowa, a former 1523 01:14:19,680 --> 01:14:23,200 Speaker 1: three star kid, gives them some decent depth. No offensive 1524 01:14:23,240 --> 01:14:26,760 Speaker 1: coordinator though, which is interesting. This is mcloayan's show. We'll 1525 01:14:26,800 --> 01:14:30,160 Speaker 1: see if he's calling plays the whole season, if he 1526 01:14:30,240 --> 01:14:33,680 Speaker 1: elevates somebody from his staff, just something to monitor. 1527 01:14:33,640 --> 01:14:35,760 Speaker 2: This tea just made a bunch of staffa. They just 1528 01:14:35,800 --> 01:14:39,559 Speaker 2: shook up their offensive staff yesterday. They've like ac wired 1529 01:14:39,600 --> 01:14:44,000 Speaker 2: the offensive. The quarterbacks coach, they moved all he's got. 1530 01:14:44,040 --> 01:14:47,200 Speaker 2: They moved some guys from like assistant to I didn't 1531 01:14:47,240 --> 01:14:48,679 Speaker 2: want to chance the review it fully. 1532 01:14:48,760 --> 01:14:53,679 Speaker 1: Yeah, basically all I was looking for there was it'sordin. Yeah, exactly. 1533 01:14:53,680 --> 01:14:55,960 Speaker 1: He hasn't so I think it's just his show. Coach 1534 01:14:56,080 --> 01:14:59,439 Speaker 1: Mack just doing everything. Basically, he's the cameraman. He's in 1535 01:14:59,479 --> 01:15:02,160 Speaker 1: the kitchen, open it up, he's doing social promotion for 1536 01:15:02,200 --> 01:15:05,519 Speaker 1: the show. He's everything to the Chips this year on offense. 1537 01:15:06,040 --> 01:15:08,599 Speaker 1: Then we get to the defense. The defense's main problem 1538 01:15:08,680 --> 01:15:10,840 Speaker 1: was simple. They couldn't take the ball away at all. 1539 01:15:11,000 --> 01:15:13,960 Speaker 1: Last season. They were the third lowest in terms of 1540 01:15:13,960 --> 01:15:17,080 Speaker 1: takeaways in the entire country. They have decent starters back 1541 01:15:17,080 --> 01:15:18,840 Speaker 1: at all three levels of the defense, and they added 1542 01:15:18,880 --> 01:15:22,320 Speaker 1: power for transfers like Notre Dames Nolan Ziegler at linebacker. 1543 01:15:22,680 --> 01:15:26,679 Speaker 1: Biggest challenge in my opinion, is there two non con games. 1544 01:15:26,720 --> 01:15:29,519 Speaker 1: Michigan State and Notre Dame last year have been replaced 1545 01:15:29,520 --> 01:15:32,519 Speaker 1: with Illinois and San Diego State. So this is like 1546 01:15:32,680 --> 01:15:35,519 Speaker 1: an opportunity for them to get a few more wins, 1547 01:15:35,560 --> 01:15:38,120 Speaker 1: to maybe come out of the non con healthier than 1548 01:15:38,160 --> 01:15:40,919 Speaker 1: they did last year. If Emmanuel gives them pop on offense. 1549 01:15:42,640 --> 01:15:45,720 Speaker 1: This is stretch, but I'll say there's potentially six or 1550 01:15:45,760 --> 01:15:49,559 Speaker 1: seven winnable games here. We got Central Connecticut State at FIU, 1551 01:15:49,640 --> 01:15:52,400 Speaker 1: Ball State at home, San Diego State, and year one 1552 01:15:52,720 --> 01:15:55,439 Speaker 1: new offense as tech fast, all that great stuff. We'll 1553 01:15:55,439 --> 01:15:58,600 Speaker 1: see what they look like Ohio at home at Eastern 1554 01:15:58,880 --> 01:16:02,559 Speaker 1: and versus Western Michigan late in the season. Five of 1555 01:16:02,560 --> 01:16:05,080 Speaker 1: those seven are at home, so I think this number 1556 01:16:05,120 --> 01:16:07,920 Speaker 1: is just about right. They're a team. I'm more intrigued 1557 01:16:08,120 --> 01:16:10,559 Speaker 1: to see what the offense looks like with noh Ci 1558 01:16:11,080 --> 01:16:13,439 Speaker 1: and a quarterback who gets banged up if he doesn't, 1559 01:16:13,720 --> 01:16:15,960 Speaker 1: could the running game really pop and is that enough 1560 01:16:15,960 --> 01:16:18,120 Speaker 1: to have an identity to be a bowl team. In 1561 01:16:18,160 --> 01:16:21,200 Speaker 1: the mac absolutely, can they do anything more on defense, 1562 01:16:21,360 --> 01:16:23,200 Speaker 1: We'll see it's gonna be wait and see time. For me, 1563 01:16:23,479 --> 01:16:26,439 Speaker 1: it's a pass purely on the win total. Not interested 1564 01:16:26,479 --> 01:16:28,960 Speaker 1: in them stealing a conference championship or going to the 1565 01:16:28,960 --> 01:16:30,760 Speaker 1: playoff or anything crazy like that. What do you think? 1566 01:16:30,760 --> 01:16:31,000 Speaker 1: I know? 1567 01:16:31,800 --> 01:16:33,559 Speaker 4: Yeah, you know, I think I thought they'd be much 1568 01:16:33,560 --> 01:16:35,800 Speaker 4: better last year, and they were five and seven, and 1569 01:16:35,880 --> 01:16:38,920 Speaker 4: even the five wins weren't convincing. They needed a game 1570 01:16:38,960 --> 01:16:41,000 Speaker 4: winning field go as time expired to beat New Hampshire, 1571 01:16:41,000 --> 01:16:43,879 Speaker 4: as you mentioned, discovered thirteen seconds left to beat South Alabama, 1572 01:16:43,920 --> 01:16:46,439 Speaker 4: scored late to be Eastern Michigan by three, beat Akrom 1573 01:16:46,479 --> 01:16:49,719 Speaker 4: by seven, beating Northern by six despite being out gained 1574 01:16:49,720 --> 01:16:51,559 Speaker 4: like they didn't have a single good win where you're like, 1575 01:16:51,600 --> 01:16:52,200 Speaker 4: they look good. 1576 01:16:52,439 --> 01:16:56,080 Speaker 2: Obviously fiven seven record five and one and one possession games. 1577 01:16:56,400 --> 01:16:59,519 Speaker 4: Yeah, you know, obviously. Burr Emanuel is an electric factory 1578 01:16:59,560 --> 01:17:02,439 Speaker 4: and when he's healthy, he's awesome. He played just six 1579 01:17:02,479 --> 01:17:04,599 Speaker 4: games last year, was only really healthy for two of them. 1580 01:17:04,600 --> 01:17:06,040 Speaker 4: He got hurt against the Hampshire in this the second 1581 01:17:06,040 --> 01:17:07,240 Speaker 4: game of the year, and then tried to gut it 1582 01:17:07,240 --> 01:17:09,599 Speaker 4: out and just couldn't do it. You mentioned I think 1583 01:17:09,600 --> 01:17:11,720 Speaker 4: it's a big loss that they lose jays Bauer over 1584 01:17:11,720 --> 01:17:14,160 Speaker 4: to Sam Houston, who Colin thanks as going to the playoffs, 1585 01:17:14,280 --> 01:17:17,000 Speaker 4: so obviously you know, not having that backup. And then yeah, 1586 01:17:17,000 --> 01:17:20,719 Speaker 4: they bringing Joey Labs from Iowa. Okay, Iowa was playing 1587 01:17:20,720 --> 01:17:23,320 Speaker 4: a defensive tackle like quarterback instead of this kid, so 1588 01:17:23,680 --> 01:17:25,439 Speaker 4: they were down to like you know, clearly they didn't 1589 01:17:25,479 --> 01:17:27,960 Speaker 4: want to put him on the field. So if he's 1590 01:17:28,120 --> 01:17:30,719 Speaker 4: worse than that guy, I'm certainly not banking on him. 1591 01:17:31,240 --> 01:17:33,760 Speaker 4: You mentioned Mary Luke's back, which obviously is big. Their 1592 01:17:33,800 --> 01:17:36,360 Speaker 4: top three leading receivers are back. They do bring back 1593 01:17:36,360 --> 01:17:38,880 Speaker 4: two offensive tackles, but the whole interior of the line 1594 01:17:38,920 --> 01:17:41,600 Speaker 4: will be new, which is concerning given Emmanuel's health. And 1595 01:17:41,640 --> 01:17:44,679 Speaker 4: then you said it just the defense can't first Forrest 1596 01:17:44,680 --> 01:17:46,400 Speaker 4: tharn of ours, they just they're so bad at it. 1597 01:17:46,880 --> 01:17:49,439 Speaker 4: Dante Kent is back, he's the best player in this defense, 1598 01:17:49,479 --> 01:17:52,280 Speaker 4: but the defense really really really needs to be better. 1599 01:17:52,920 --> 01:17:55,639 Speaker 4: And to me, this is almost just this is such 1600 01:17:55,640 --> 01:17:58,360 Speaker 4: a hard team to bet because I think they have 1601 01:17:58,439 --> 01:18:01,599 Speaker 4: the highest range of outcomes in the conference. Because if 1602 01:18:01,600 --> 01:18:04,479 Speaker 4: Bert Emanuel plays like he did against Buffalo, he's Lamar 1603 01:18:04,600 --> 01:18:07,040 Speaker 4: Jackson and then they can win the MAC. If he's 1604 01:18:07,120 --> 01:18:09,679 Speaker 4: hurt again, they could lose every game. So I also 1605 01:18:09,720 --> 01:18:11,880 Speaker 4: think the schedules did not do them any favors. They 1606 01:18:11,920 --> 01:18:13,880 Speaker 4: don't play Kent State, they don't play Accord, they don't 1607 01:18:13,880 --> 01:18:17,280 Speaker 4: play Buffalo. They end the year with the projected five 1608 01:18:17,400 --> 01:18:20,559 Speaker 4: best teams in the conference all in a row, so 1609 01:18:21,640 --> 01:18:24,479 Speaker 4: and again is a manual playing in those games. So 1610 01:18:25,800 --> 01:18:28,040 Speaker 4: they just have such a wide range of outcomes that 1611 01:18:28,400 --> 01:18:30,240 Speaker 4: to me, they're so hard to bet. I think if 1612 01:18:30,280 --> 01:18:32,599 Speaker 4: I had to, i'd lean under. But I don't want to. 1613 01:18:33,040 --> 01:18:35,360 Speaker 4: But there's the team I'm excited to watch Berta Manuel 1614 01:18:35,400 --> 01:18:37,200 Speaker 4: when he's on the field suck. 1615 01:18:37,240 --> 01:18:37,759 Speaker 1: What do you think? 1616 01:18:38,200 --> 01:18:40,360 Speaker 2: Yeah, I projected a five point three s Actually, numerically 1617 01:18:40,360 --> 01:18:42,240 Speaker 2: I would lean under. They have the hardest schedule, the MAC, 1618 01:18:42,240 --> 01:18:43,920 Speaker 2: the only team to face the project the top six. 1619 01:18:44,400 --> 01:18:47,200 Speaker 2: Don con is manageable to start at least, so that's nice. 1620 01:18:47,240 --> 01:18:50,679 Speaker 2: But yeah, I mean, if they had a reliable quarterback 1621 01:18:50,680 --> 01:18:52,880 Speaker 2: that you could count on, there's some potential With the offense. 1622 01:18:52,880 --> 01:18:54,960 Speaker 2: They have a lot of size on the offensive line. 1623 01:18:54,960 --> 01:18:56,679 Speaker 2: They actually might move their left tackle the left guard, 1624 01:18:56,720 --> 01:18:58,840 Speaker 2: which which would mean that there's a left tackle question. 1625 01:18:58,920 --> 01:19:01,599 Speaker 2: But you know, were top four receivers are back, your 1626 01:19:01,640 --> 01:19:04,840 Speaker 2: top two backs, you have a big offensive line. The 1627 01:19:04,880 --> 01:19:07,320 Speaker 2: problem is Emmanuel just can't throw it like that was 1628 01:19:07,360 --> 01:19:12,360 Speaker 2: the upside that I considered last year. But he's just 1629 01:19:12,439 --> 01:19:14,240 Speaker 2: not a consistent enough throwers. He can just load the 1630 01:19:14,280 --> 01:19:17,880 Speaker 2: box against them and you can turn their offense into mush. 1631 01:19:18,120 --> 01:19:19,760 Speaker 2: They did have a ton of injuries last year, but 1632 01:19:19,760 --> 01:19:21,799 Speaker 2: again they went five and one in one games despite 1633 01:19:21,960 --> 01:19:24,599 Speaker 2: the three of eleven when field goals beyond thirty yards, 1634 01:19:24,600 --> 01:19:27,760 Speaker 2: which is definitely a question. So yeah, you get no 1635 01:19:27,840 --> 01:19:30,160 Speaker 2: Acron kenn or Buffalo and you have to face the 1636 01:19:30,200 --> 01:19:33,120 Speaker 2: top six. You don't get the bottom three. That's tough. 1637 01:19:33,479 --> 01:19:36,880 Speaker 2: So yeah, I with his stash shakeups on offense, that's 1638 01:19:36,880 --> 01:19:39,840 Speaker 2: not a good sign. So reading some of the tea 1639 01:19:39,920 --> 01:19:42,920 Speaker 2: leaves not great. I'm not sure a low much longer? 1640 01:19:43,120 --> 01:19:44,519 Speaker 2: How much longes mack Goin want to do this? 1641 01:19:44,960 --> 01:19:46,759 Speaker 1: I mean, if anything, it sounds like he just wants 1642 01:19:46,800 --> 01:19:48,920 Speaker 1: more jobs. He's just picking up more jobs within the 1643 01:19:48,960 --> 01:19:52,120 Speaker 1: athletic department, just putting new titles on his door. The 1644 01:19:52,160 --> 01:19:56,360 Speaker 1: one thing I'll say about Emmanuel real quick is I agree. 1645 01:19:56,400 --> 01:19:59,920 Speaker 1: I mean, watching him pass it's not just purely his mechanic, 1646 01:20:00,360 --> 01:20:02,400 Speaker 1: it's it's everything in the passing game. But he did 1647 01:20:02,479 --> 01:20:05,000 Speaker 1: have that injury to his throwing shoulders, So I would 1648 01:20:05,040 --> 01:20:07,240 Speaker 1: love to know. We're not going to get clarity on this. 1649 01:20:07,680 --> 01:20:10,400 Speaker 1: Is he one hundred percent? What was the problem last year? 1650 01:20:10,880 --> 01:20:14,160 Speaker 1: And is he going to come out of fall camp 1651 01:20:14,560 --> 01:20:17,880 Speaker 1: a renewed, refreshed passer because if it can be even 1652 01:20:17,960 --> 01:20:20,439 Speaker 1: a little bit better just to keep teams honest, I agree, 1653 01:20:20,560 --> 01:20:23,479 Speaker 1: that's a huge ripple effect to benefiting their run game. 1654 01:20:23,520 --> 01:20:24,840 Speaker 1: But we just don't know what this time. 1655 01:20:25,200 --> 01:20:27,160 Speaker 2: Yeah, I might go, I'm going to take a roachri 1656 01:20:27,200 --> 01:20:29,640 Speaker 2: about the mount pleasant and watch them. So I don't know. 1657 01:20:29,800 --> 01:20:31,439 Speaker 2: I'm just not there yet right now. 1658 01:20:32,439 --> 01:20:35,400 Speaker 1: How beautiful is mation? Beautiful is maction? 1659 01:20:35,960 --> 01:20:38,120 Speaker 2: Oh man? Just when we thought we had. 1660 01:20:38,000 --> 01:20:40,720 Speaker 3: Peak maction all right? 1661 01:20:40,720 --> 01:20:43,960 Speaker 1: In the Conference USA preview, we all aligns, all three 1662 01:20:44,040 --> 01:20:46,720 Speaker 1: co hosts on and under hoping we can do the 1663 01:20:46,720 --> 01:20:49,439 Speaker 1: same thing here. Eastern Michigan six and seven last year 1664 01:20:49,640 --> 01:20:52,160 Speaker 1: four and feign conference. They lose to South Alabama in 1665 01:20:52,200 --> 01:20:55,200 Speaker 1: the sixty eight Ventures Bowl to get waxed win totals 1666 01:20:55,200 --> 01:20:56,880 Speaker 1: at four and a half thirty one to one to 1667 01:20:56,920 --> 01:20:58,759 Speaker 1: win the Mac three into to one to make the playoff. 1668 01:20:58,920 --> 01:21:01,880 Speaker 1: Cole Snyder in a quarter back, just one returning starter 1669 01:21:01,960 --> 01:21:05,439 Speaker 1: on the offensive line. This whole roster decimated negative twelve 1670 01:21:05,479 --> 01:21:07,679 Speaker 1: and then that Tarpa thanks to Colin for putting that together. 1671 01:21:07,960 --> 01:21:11,000 Speaker 1: Tied for dead last nationally. And let's look even closer 1672 01:21:11,000 --> 01:21:13,160 Speaker 1: at last year, not just the bowl game that was embarrassing. 1673 01:21:13,360 --> 01:21:17,080 Speaker 1: Six wins right Howard by ten, UMass by two, they 1674 01:21:17,160 --> 01:21:19,960 Speaker 1: beat Kent State, they beat Akron in double overtime, and 1675 01:21:20,000 --> 01:21:22,320 Speaker 1: they lose the bowl game. As I mentioned, they get 1676 01:21:22,320 --> 01:21:25,639 Speaker 1: Wax by forty nine points. I am out on these guys. 1677 01:21:25,680 --> 01:21:27,920 Speaker 1: No Samson Evans at running back to make it work. 1678 01:21:28,080 --> 01:21:30,200 Speaker 1: The back seven of their defense has far too many 1679 01:21:30,240 --> 01:21:35,160 Speaker 1: new faces at Washington Jacksonville State early the wins Saint Francis. 1680 01:21:35,240 --> 01:21:37,759 Speaker 1: I guess Saint Francis is just really interested in becoming 1681 01:21:37,800 --> 01:21:40,519 Speaker 1: a MAC member. They'll go ahead and play the Red Flashes. 1682 01:21:40,560 --> 01:21:44,559 Speaker 1: Give them a win there at Kent's Winnabowl. Sure at 1683 01:21:44,600 --> 01:21:48,040 Speaker 1: Akron winnable. Sure, that's it. I am going under on them. 1684 01:21:48,080 --> 01:21:50,200 Speaker 1: This is my favorite under in the conference. I am 1685 01:21:50,240 --> 01:21:51,839 Speaker 1: out on them, which is where. 1686 01:21:51,680 --> 01:21:53,679 Speaker 2: Ken that's at Kent's a lost baby. 1687 01:21:53,920 --> 01:21:57,040 Speaker 1: Yes, and oh I like chs K. I like Chris 1688 01:21:57,040 --> 01:22:00,679 Speaker 1: Crayon a lot. East turns water into wine many times 1689 01:22:00,720 --> 01:22:03,599 Speaker 1: over in Ipsilany not an easy place to win. Plenty 1690 01:22:03,640 --> 01:22:06,160 Speaker 1: of respect. This is not the roster. This is a 1691 01:22:06,400 --> 01:22:08,400 Speaker 1: year zero roster. Good thing. He's built up all this 1692 01:22:08,479 --> 01:22:11,720 Speaker 1: goodwill with the administration. He can go two and ten. 1693 01:22:12,080 --> 01:22:14,040 Speaker 1: No one's gonna blink. He'll be back next year. We 1694 01:22:14,040 --> 01:22:16,080 Speaker 1: can talk about him next year in a positive light. 1695 01:22:16,240 --> 01:22:18,760 Speaker 1: Cole Snyder not the guy to come in and save 1696 01:22:18,800 --> 01:22:21,439 Speaker 1: this offense. They needed a savior in the portal to 1697 01:22:21,479 --> 01:22:23,160 Speaker 1: be able to put the whole offense on their back. 1698 01:22:23,320 --> 01:22:26,240 Speaker 1: They should have swung for the fences with a JUCO kid, 1699 01:22:26,320 --> 01:22:28,160 Speaker 1: with an FCS kid moving up trying to make a 1700 01:22:28,200 --> 01:22:30,559 Speaker 1: name for himself. They did not. I am out on 1701 01:22:30,640 --> 01:22:33,840 Speaker 1: EMU stuck. Are you with me on this? Yeah? 1702 01:22:33,840 --> 01:22:37,680 Speaker 2: It's under nothing. All right, there we got they were 1703 01:22:37,720 --> 01:22:41,080 Speaker 2: so bad last year. I gotta do my. Saint Francis 1704 01:22:41,080 --> 01:22:42,320 Speaker 2: was decent last year. 1705 01:22:42,640 --> 01:22:42,920 Speaker 1: They were. 1706 01:22:43,400 --> 01:22:45,479 Speaker 2: I gotta do my. I haven't done ANYFCS work yet 1707 01:22:45,560 --> 01:22:47,519 Speaker 2: outside of just like all right, I gotta find out 1708 01:22:47,520 --> 01:22:48,320 Speaker 2: what range this team is for. 1709 01:22:48,560 --> 01:22:51,360 Speaker 1: Sinate Francis athletic department was so strong they scared the 1710 01:22:51,360 --> 01:22:53,639 Speaker 1: other Saint Francis in New York just out of college 1711 01:22:53,680 --> 01:22:56,240 Speaker 1: basketball altogether. So yeah, maybe Saint Francis is more of 1712 01:22:56,240 --> 01:22:57,120 Speaker 1: a power than I thought. 1713 01:22:57,320 --> 01:22:59,760 Speaker 2: Now I gotta dig into them. But yeah, I'm I'm 1714 01:22:59,760 --> 01:23:03,040 Speaker 2: not Kole Snyder guy. We used to take Buffalo unders 1715 01:23:03,080 --> 01:23:07,400 Speaker 2: when he was there. So now, Brannett, that offense and 1716 01:23:07,479 --> 01:23:09,880 Speaker 2: quarterback play last year was detestable. I mean, it was 1717 01:23:10,200 --> 01:23:16,040 Speaker 2: jazz beyond offensive. So it can't get much worse. But 1718 01:23:16,400 --> 01:23:19,120 Speaker 2: this team doesn't have much. I have questions about quarterback, 1719 01:23:19,200 --> 01:23:24,440 Speaker 2: running back, wide receiver, offensive line, their defensive line, linebacker. 1720 01:23:24,479 --> 01:23:27,599 Speaker 2: I like their secondary. I like this kid White, who's 1721 01:23:27,680 --> 01:23:29,240 Speaker 2: I think is good. They're gonna move him from nickel 1722 01:23:29,240 --> 01:23:30,920 Speaker 2: to corner. He was an absolute stud last years, a 1723 01:23:30,920 --> 01:23:32,880 Speaker 2: true freshman. Some of the numbers that he allowed, you know, 1724 01:23:32,960 --> 01:23:35,800 Speaker 2: yards per completion, yards per rout run. I mean, they 1725 01:23:35,800 --> 01:23:39,479 Speaker 2: were absolutely elite on a national level. He's going to 1726 01:23:39,560 --> 01:23:42,519 Speaker 2: move to cornerback. I like some of some of their 1727 01:23:42,960 --> 01:23:45,280 Speaker 2: safeties and some of their auditions there, so I think 1728 01:23:45,320 --> 01:23:48,240 Speaker 2: the secondary could be at decent. I mean, I'm reaching here. 1729 01:23:48,840 --> 01:23:50,960 Speaker 2: The only thing I will say is that they did 1730 01:23:51,040 --> 01:23:53,360 Speaker 2: have really bad injury look specifically on defense last year, 1731 01:23:53,360 --> 01:23:57,120 Speaker 2: which really hurt them. And he always being rebuilt, like 1732 01:23:57,200 --> 01:24:01,240 Speaker 2: they are close to bottom fifteen or definitely bottom twenty, 1733 01:24:01,320 --> 01:24:03,719 Speaker 2: returning production outside the top under an offense and defense. 1734 01:24:04,000 --> 01:24:06,640 Speaker 2: The offense is rebuilding, but the offense was what was 1735 01:24:06,680 --> 01:24:10,320 Speaker 2: the offense last year? It was harrass So how much 1736 01:24:10,360 --> 01:24:12,679 Speaker 2: worse can it be? The run Dey's got to get better. 1737 01:24:12,720 --> 01:24:14,160 Speaker 2: The rundee is so bad and you can just run 1738 01:24:14,160 --> 01:24:16,959 Speaker 2: all over them. That's probably part of the the secondary 1739 01:24:17,000 --> 01:24:18,800 Speaker 2: numbers is you could just run all over them whenever 1740 01:24:18,840 --> 01:24:22,719 Speaker 2: you wanted the undersized up front. I don't think Snyder's 1741 01:24:22,760 --> 01:24:25,040 Speaker 2: the answer at quarterback. The only thing I will say though, 1742 01:24:25,080 --> 01:24:26,960 Speaker 2: is that you know, if I look at the schedule, 1743 01:24:27,000 --> 01:24:29,040 Speaker 2: this is one of the ten easiest schedules in the country. 1744 01:24:29,680 --> 01:24:32,600 Speaker 2: They have three winnable non con games, which you know 1745 01:24:32,600 --> 01:24:34,439 Speaker 2: you're taking an under four and a half with a 1746 01:24:34,479 --> 01:24:37,240 Speaker 2: MAC team, and they have three winnable non coome games. 1747 01:24:37,240 --> 01:24:39,200 Speaker 2: Like part of me just wants to bet UMass in 1748 01:24:39,200 --> 01:24:42,120 Speaker 2: Week one against them, which I might do. They face 1749 01:24:42,920 --> 01:24:45,160 Speaker 2: they face kent Acker and Buffalo, so they face the 1750 01:24:45,160 --> 01:24:48,000 Speaker 2: bottom three. It's a very nice road slate and then 1751 01:24:48,000 --> 01:24:52,120 Speaker 2: I mentioned Creighton before, is that they're not gonna get 1752 01:24:52,160 --> 01:24:55,200 Speaker 2: They're not gonna beat themselves with penalties. Their special teams 1753 01:24:55,200 --> 01:24:57,760 Speaker 2: are going to be solid, They're going to be buttoned up, 1754 01:24:58,000 --> 01:24:59,600 Speaker 2: so like they can steal a couple of games. So 1755 01:24:59,600 --> 01:25:02,599 Speaker 2: that's the only that concerns me, is like they won't 1756 01:25:02,600 --> 01:25:04,839 Speaker 2: beat themselves and they'll probably steal a couple of bullshit 1757 01:25:04,920 --> 01:25:07,519 Speaker 2: games like just what Crayton does. They're well coached, like 1758 01:25:07,600 --> 01:25:11,280 Speaker 2: just from a disciplined special teams perspective. But yeah, I mean, 1759 01:25:11,280 --> 01:25:13,080 Speaker 2: I can't believe this team made a Bowl last year. 1760 01:25:13,360 --> 01:25:15,120 Speaker 2: They were so bad and they have a lot of 1761 01:25:15,120 --> 01:25:18,120 Speaker 2: work to do. It's it's it's uh, I don't hate 1762 01:25:18,120 --> 01:25:18,559 Speaker 2: your under. 1763 01:25:19,479 --> 01:25:23,920 Speaker 1: Eastern Michigan is take it off. Can make it a 1764 01:25:23,920 --> 01:25:24,880 Speaker 1: clean sweep? Please? 1765 01:25:25,040 --> 01:25:26,160 Speaker 2: No, I can't. 1766 01:25:26,200 --> 01:25:30,000 Speaker 4: You guys have said three times throughout this show that 1767 01:25:30,120 --> 01:25:33,479 Speaker 4: Chris Creighton dragged the dog shit team to a bowl. 1768 01:25:33,880 --> 01:25:36,320 Speaker 4: That's just what he does. Look, I have nothing, by 1769 01:25:36,320 --> 01:25:36,800 Speaker 4: the way, I'm. 1770 01:25:36,720 --> 01:25:38,719 Speaker 2: Not betting the under, so we can't make this consensus. 1771 01:25:38,960 --> 01:25:41,559 Speaker 4: I'm not bending over for sure, but I'm not betting. 1772 01:25:41,720 --> 01:25:43,280 Speaker 4: I'm not betting it under on a Chris Crane team 1773 01:25:43,360 --> 01:25:45,519 Speaker 4: because we've mentioned it the whole show. Yes, they sucked. 1774 01:25:45,560 --> 01:25:47,599 Speaker 4: They don't have a quarterback. Coale Snyders ask their quarterback 1775 01:25:47,640 --> 01:25:49,360 Speaker 4: last year, was asked, they don't have any like it. 1776 01:25:49,479 --> 01:25:51,280 Speaker 4: I have nothing positive written about them. 1777 01:25:51,520 --> 01:25:53,320 Speaker 2: You can bet under Chris crayon On when his wind 1778 01:25:53,320 --> 01:25:54,439 Speaker 2: totals like six and a half. 1779 01:25:54,640 --> 01:25:58,719 Speaker 4: They play We soon said it. They played Kent State, Akron, Ohio, Buffalo. 1780 01:25:58,760 --> 01:26:01,559 Speaker 4: You math, Saint Francis. That is six winnable games. And 1781 01:26:01,640 --> 01:26:05,840 Speaker 4: I blindly trust Chris Crayon to win winnable games. It's 1782 01:26:05,880 --> 01:26:07,840 Speaker 4: what he does. It's what he's always done. He showed 1783 01:26:07,880 --> 01:26:10,800 Speaker 4: it last year with a bad team. Again, I'm not 1784 01:26:10,880 --> 01:26:12,840 Speaker 4: betting him to do it, but I'm certainly not gonna 1785 01:26:12,840 --> 01:26:15,360 Speaker 4: bet him against him. You know, maybe Max Crosby, you know, 1786 01:26:15,400 --> 01:26:17,559 Speaker 4: he donated a million dollars to redo the stadium. Maybe 1787 01:26:17,560 --> 01:26:18,920 Speaker 4: he should have thrown a few bones to get a 1788 01:26:18,960 --> 01:26:21,519 Speaker 4: quarterback instead of you know, keep the track and just 1789 01:26:21,600 --> 01:26:25,160 Speaker 4: get a quarterback. But no, I'm not fading Chris Crayon. 1790 01:26:25,240 --> 01:26:28,120 Speaker 4: You're out of your mind. Yeah, this team stinks, but 1791 01:26:28,240 --> 01:26:30,280 Speaker 4: he's gonna find a way to win five games because 1792 01:26:30,280 --> 01:26:31,799 Speaker 4: that's what he's always done. 1793 01:26:32,160 --> 01:26:35,200 Speaker 1: Yeah, he doesn't have Samson Evans anymore. Look at the 1794 01:26:35,240 --> 01:26:37,439 Speaker 1: box scores for the games that they want. They win 1795 01:26:37,640 --> 01:26:40,080 Speaker 1: against UMS by two. He's got eighty nine yards. He's 1796 01:26:40,120 --> 01:26:42,760 Speaker 1: the whole offense. They beat Akron in double overtime. He 1797 01:26:42,840 --> 01:26:47,679 Speaker 1: has three touchdowns. The dude's not there anymore. They have nothing, no. 1798 01:26:47,479 --> 01:26:49,960 Speaker 2: One stopping, No one's stopping you, No one's stopping. 1799 01:26:50,080 --> 01:26:52,200 Speaker 4: They got they got JB. Smooth Mitchell. 1800 01:26:52,720 --> 01:26:54,519 Speaker 2: Like, for example, I kind of like U Mass what 1801 01:26:54,600 --> 01:26:56,240 Speaker 2: is this line sitting? I kind of like U Mass. 1802 01:26:56,240 --> 01:26:58,240 Speaker 2: Week one, there was a pick. I think I think 1803 01:26:58,240 --> 01:26:59,760 Speaker 2: they might have been plus one of their mind as well. Now, 1804 01:27:00,280 --> 01:27:05,040 Speaker 2: UMass's special teams this year are horrendous. They are undisciplined, 1805 01:27:05,360 --> 01:27:08,679 Speaker 2: they're not well coached. The kickoffs alone, like the kickoff 1806 01:27:08,720 --> 01:27:11,560 Speaker 2: coverage alone could lose in that game. That petrifies me. 1807 01:27:11,800 --> 01:27:14,360 Speaker 2: So like that game could be flipped just based on 1808 01:27:14,880 --> 01:27:18,000 Speaker 2: special teams performance against you Mass. So like those are 1809 01:27:18,000 --> 01:27:19,880 Speaker 2: the games that just scare me on the MU. But 1810 01:27:20,200 --> 01:27:23,679 Speaker 2: I digress that just self holds them back. 1811 01:27:30,560 --> 01:27:32,559 Speaker 1: We'll close out with the Ball State Cardinals four and 1812 01:27:32,600 --> 01:27:34,519 Speaker 1: eight last year, three and five in conference play. Win 1813 01:27:34,600 --> 01:27:36,320 Speaker 1: total set at four and a half thirty seven to 1814 01:27:36,320 --> 01:27:38,160 Speaker 1: one to win the Mac three hundred to one to 1815 01:27:38,200 --> 01:27:40,720 Speaker 1: make the College Well playoff. One starter back from a 1816 01:27:40,760 --> 01:27:43,920 Speaker 1: defense that finished fourteenth against the run, seventeenth in total yards, 1817 01:27:44,240 --> 01:27:46,240 Speaker 1: that kept the roof from cavan in on them. Their DC, 1818 01:27:46,439 --> 01:27:48,680 Speaker 1: Tyler Stockton, did an amazing job. He is now a 1819 01:27:48,720 --> 01:27:50,800 Speaker 1: co DC at Boise. That's one of the reasons I'm 1820 01:27:50,800 --> 01:27:52,840 Speaker 1: so high on the Broncos this year. Take a big 1821 01:27:52,880 --> 01:27:56,880 Speaker 1: step forward defensively. Kevin Lynch also out as offensive coordinator. 1822 01:27:57,240 --> 01:27:59,920 Speaker 1: Mike new will have a new quarterback, likely freshman Caden 1823 01:28:00,000 --> 01:28:02,479 Speaker 1: and Simonza. He played a little bit last year. It 1824 01:28:02,520 --> 01:28:04,760 Speaker 1: looked pretty good, especially against Kentucky, but that was with 1825 01:28:04,880 --> 01:28:07,160 Speaker 1: better weapons at tight end and receiver that are no longer. 1826 01:28:07,200 --> 01:28:09,559 Speaker 1: They are new faces across the board in terms of 1827 01:28:09,560 --> 01:28:13,240 Speaker 1: skill positions, and there's three new starters on the offensive line. 1828 01:28:13,439 --> 01:28:16,360 Speaker 1: They play both Miamis the Ohio and Florida versions at 1829 01:28:16,439 --> 01:28:19,840 Speaker 1: James Madison at Vandy. They do avoid Toledo when you 1830 01:28:19,840 --> 01:28:21,640 Speaker 1: look at the wins here with the win total of 1831 01:28:21,680 --> 01:28:24,160 Speaker 1: four and a half Missouri State and then a lot 1832 01:28:24,200 --> 01:28:26,679 Speaker 1: of their winnable games. They're on the road at Buffalo 1833 01:28:26,800 --> 01:28:29,880 Speaker 1: at Ohio. You can't slip up there if you want 1834 01:28:29,920 --> 01:28:31,680 Speaker 1: to go over this number, because then they're going to 1835 01:28:31,720 --> 01:28:34,080 Speaker 1: need to win some games that are likely they're going 1836 01:28:34,120 --> 01:28:36,360 Speaker 1: to be an underdog again, so you need some outright upsets. 1837 01:28:36,560 --> 01:28:40,599 Speaker 1: I lean under here. I used up all my Mac 1838 01:28:40,760 --> 01:28:44,760 Speaker 1: under passion for Eastern Michigan, so I'm going to basically 1839 01:28:44,800 --> 01:28:47,360 Speaker 1: pass on an under here. But I do not love 1840 01:28:47,360 --> 01:28:50,720 Speaker 1: what this team brings back offensively, and the heartbeat of 1841 01:28:50,760 --> 01:28:53,240 Speaker 1: it was their defense that I trust. They lose personnel, 1842 01:28:53,439 --> 01:28:57,040 Speaker 1: they lose the mastermind behind it, a multiple Broils nominee 1843 01:28:57,320 --> 01:28:59,400 Speaker 1: in Stockton their DC. So I and LA, what are 1844 01:28:59,439 --> 01:29:00,000 Speaker 1: your thoughts on. 1845 01:29:01,040 --> 01:29:02,439 Speaker 4: Well, First, I just want to give a shout out 1846 01:29:02,479 --> 01:29:05,599 Speaker 4: to Stocky. I know you mentioned the all powerful Mac 1847 01:29:05,640 --> 01:29:09,800 Speaker 4: Manifesto both the preseason and the mid season. I remember 1848 01:29:09,840 --> 01:29:12,880 Speaker 4: stuck the writing in his Mac mid season Mac Manifesto 1849 01:29:13,080 --> 01:29:16,200 Speaker 4: last year, calling Ball State a bye team in the 1850 01:29:16,240 --> 01:29:19,680 Speaker 4: mid season when they switched to Kyle Kelly at quarterback. Well, 1851 01:29:19,680 --> 01:29:22,160 Speaker 4: they finished the season losing by a touchdown in Toledo, 1852 01:29:22,360 --> 01:29:25,040 Speaker 4: beating Central Michigan, losing to Bowling Green by three on 1853 01:29:25,080 --> 01:29:28,559 Speaker 4: a missed game dying field goal, beating Northern Illinois, smoking 1854 01:29:28,600 --> 01:29:30,479 Speaker 4: Kent State and then losing to Miami, Ohio on a 1855 01:29:30,560 --> 01:29:33,679 Speaker 4: blocked game winning field goal. So they did really turn 1856 01:29:33,680 --> 01:29:35,599 Speaker 4: it around at the end of the year, covering machines 1857 01:29:35,640 --> 01:29:38,680 Speaker 4: I memory they covered. Yeah, that's what they covered all 1858 01:29:38,680 --> 01:29:40,920 Speaker 4: those games. I bet them every single Tuesday night. They 1859 01:29:40,960 --> 01:29:44,120 Speaker 4: covered like six games to end the year. Now you know, 1860 01:29:44,240 --> 01:29:46,479 Speaker 4: Kelly went in the portal. Then he decided to return 1861 01:29:46,520 --> 01:29:48,680 Speaker 4: the ball State. But now he's listened as a cornerback, 1862 01:29:48,720 --> 01:29:50,960 Speaker 4: which I'm not sure why. He's also going to be 1863 01:29:51,000 --> 01:29:53,400 Speaker 4: their primary kick returner. They said they're going to have 1864 01:29:53,479 --> 01:29:56,960 Speaker 4: package packages for him on offense. Don't be surprised if 1865 01:29:56,960 --> 01:29:58,479 Speaker 4: he starts a game this year because he was pretty 1866 01:29:58,520 --> 01:30:01,840 Speaker 4: good when he came in. He ment Simonza. He started 1867 01:30:01,840 --> 01:30:04,000 Speaker 4: three games last year before being benched for Kelly. So 1868 01:30:04,080 --> 01:30:05,479 Speaker 4: now you have the guy he was benched for is 1869 01:30:05,520 --> 01:30:07,599 Speaker 4: on the roster that I don't know how that's gonna work. 1870 01:30:08,680 --> 01:30:11,000 Speaker 4: But he was also rotating with like four other quarterbacks 1871 01:30:11,040 --> 01:30:14,160 Speaker 4: during the spring, so who really knows what who's gonna 1872 01:30:14,200 --> 01:30:18,840 Speaker 4: end up winning that job. Tannerkoisiole decided to return at 1873 01:30:18,920 --> 01:30:21,920 Speaker 4: tight end, so that's it. That's a huge get back 1874 01:30:22,160 --> 01:30:25,559 Speaker 4: they do lose Marcus Cooper. But this team, you know, 1875 01:30:26,400 --> 01:30:28,280 Speaker 4: they pretty much run the ball. That's all he really 1876 01:30:28,320 --> 01:30:30,960 Speaker 4: did was run the ball. So the defense was good, 1877 01:30:31,000 --> 01:30:33,320 Speaker 4: but they re turned just one starter, so that is 1878 01:30:33,360 --> 01:30:36,000 Speaker 4: a concern. I have a bunch of questions about this 1879 01:30:36,040 --> 01:30:38,240 Speaker 4: front seven, so I'm with you. I have no idea 1880 01:30:38,280 --> 01:30:40,600 Speaker 4: who the quarterback is. They have no explosive this. I 1881 01:30:40,600 --> 01:30:42,720 Speaker 4: have a ton of questions about the defense. So it 1882 01:30:42,800 --> 01:30:45,200 Speaker 4: is a pass for me. But I just wanted to 1883 01:30:45,280 --> 01:30:47,439 Speaker 4: kind of give Stucky a shout out for get me 1884 01:30:47,479 --> 01:30:50,360 Speaker 4: all those ball State covers read his mac manifesto. It 1885 01:30:50,479 --> 01:30:51,400 Speaker 4: is the Holy Grail. 1886 01:30:52,479 --> 01:30:54,439 Speaker 2: Yeah, well they can't do with that. The reason I 1887 01:30:54,479 --> 01:30:56,880 Speaker 2: was buying them is that, you know, I like the defense. 1888 01:30:57,400 --> 01:31:00,200 Speaker 2: They got some guys back from injury, Kelly taken over 1889 01:31:00,240 --> 01:31:01,599 Speaker 2: means that they were just going to run the ball 1890 01:31:01,800 --> 01:31:05,200 Speaker 2: lean on that defense, and that's what they did. And 1891 01:31:05,280 --> 01:31:07,080 Speaker 2: Kelly couldn't really throw it. I think he had more 1892 01:31:07,120 --> 01:31:10,720 Speaker 2: rushing yards than passing yards last year. But that's they 1893 01:31:10,760 --> 01:31:13,160 Speaker 2: would just grind games down to a halt rely on 1894 01:31:13,160 --> 01:31:14,840 Speaker 2: that defense, which I really like. They can't do that 1895 01:31:14,880 --> 01:31:16,960 Speaker 2: now because their defense is going to be bad. They 1896 01:31:16,960 --> 01:31:19,439 Speaker 2: lose everybody. They lose their good DC. They might be 1897 01:31:19,479 --> 01:31:21,600 Speaker 2: starting like a couple of D two guys on the 1898 01:31:21,640 --> 01:31:27,760 Speaker 2: defensive line defense, but if not the if not dead last, 1899 01:31:27,760 --> 01:31:30,479 Speaker 2: they're one of three or four teams in returning dead 1900 01:31:30,560 --> 01:31:34,320 Speaker 2: lesson close to bottom on returning production on defense. They 1901 01:31:34,320 --> 01:31:36,160 Speaker 2: want to go to a more pass heavy offense. I'm 1902 01:31:36,160 --> 01:31:40,519 Speaker 2: not sure guy like Simones is the answer there. So yeah, 1903 01:31:40,600 --> 01:31:45,439 Speaker 2: it's rough. There's not much to like here. New play 1904 01:31:45,479 --> 01:31:49,000 Speaker 2: caller on offense, not a quarterback I love. Yeah, I 1905 01:31:49,040 --> 01:31:51,000 Speaker 2: like the tight end, but everywhere else in the roster 1906 01:31:51,080 --> 01:31:54,320 Speaker 2: there's not much to really like here. Their special teams 1907 01:31:54,400 --> 01:31:57,519 Speaker 2: lest year were also horrendous. I don't see that really changing. 1908 01:31:57,800 --> 01:32:00,840 Speaker 2: Their coverage units were so bad, and their return units 1909 01:32:00,880 --> 01:32:04,880 Speaker 2: as well for that matter. So from a scheduled perspective, tough, 1910 01:32:04,920 --> 01:32:08,280 Speaker 2: non con you know at JMU at Miami, you know, 1911 01:32:08,280 --> 01:32:10,439 Speaker 2: they had to do with some winnable road games, but 1912 01:32:10,520 --> 01:32:12,960 Speaker 2: I hate the way that their schedule sets up. They 1913 01:32:12,960 --> 01:32:15,519 Speaker 2: don't get Achron and then they have three straight road 1914 01:32:15,520 --> 01:32:19,040 Speaker 2: games just you know after Missouri State too late buys 1915 01:32:19,760 --> 01:32:24,000 Speaker 2: with all this change, so don't like that. I project 1916 01:32:24,720 --> 01:32:27,719 Speaker 2: right around four and a half, but it could get ugly. 1917 01:32:28,280 --> 01:32:29,840 Speaker 2: If I had a bet, it would probably be under, 1918 01:32:29,840 --> 01:32:33,040 Speaker 2: but I'm not actually at four point four, so not 1919 01:32:33,080 --> 01:32:36,479 Speaker 2: a consideration. No thanks on ball State. Mike new will 1920 01:32:36,479 --> 01:32:39,000 Speaker 2: always have a special place in my heart, but might 1921 01:32:39,040 --> 01:32:41,320 Speaker 2: be the last year for him at this Go South. 1922 01:32:42,439 --> 01:32:44,240 Speaker 1: Double points to make before we get out of here. 1923 01:32:44,320 --> 01:32:48,360 Speaker 1: Number one, just in terms of your overall opinion on 1924 01:32:48,479 --> 01:32:51,400 Speaker 1: the MAC, don't make the mistake that most people do, 1925 01:32:51,479 --> 01:32:54,120 Speaker 1: which is in September, they get their head caved in. 1926 01:32:54,400 --> 01:32:56,840 Speaker 1: They play all these paycheck games, they lose by one 1927 01:32:56,920 --> 01:33:00,160 Speaker 1: hundred points. Care about how they play and defeat and 1928 01:33:00,240 --> 01:33:04,360 Speaker 1: if they're healthy, and just do not get over influenced 1929 01:33:04,560 --> 01:33:08,439 Speaker 1: by those non conference games. That's September, because to Dianello 1930 01:33:08,520 --> 01:33:11,160 Speaker 1: and Stuck's point, these teams can really turn a corner 1931 01:33:11,320 --> 01:33:12,920 Speaker 1: when they start to get back to the way they 1932 01:33:12,960 --> 01:33:16,040 Speaker 1: want to play football against opponents with similar talent. So 1933 01:33:16,040 --> 01:33:18,439 Speaker 1: that's just that's step one. So if you are listening 1934 01:33:18,520 --> 01:33:21,360 Speaker 1: out there in the audience or you're watching us on YouTube, 1935 01:33:21,600 --> 01:33:23,679 Speaker 1: thank you so much for going on the journey with us. 1936 01:33:23,800 --> 01:33:25,360 Speaker 1: We're going to be back before you know it. With 1937 01:33:25,400 --> 01:33:28,080 Speaker 1: a week zero action, we get some G five teams 1938 01:33:28,120 --> 01:33:32,000 Speaker 1: in action. There Bronco Mendenhall making his debut Hawaii trying 1939 01:33:32,000 --> 01:33:34,719 Speaker 1: to cover a monster spread against Delaware State. Can't wait 1940 01:33:34,760 --> 01:33:37,000 Speaker 1: to deliver that for you guys. All right, before we 1941 01:33:37,400 --> 01:33:41,599 Speaker 1: ends here, let's go around rapid fire Conference title matchup. 1942 01:33:41,680 --> 01:33:43,160 Speaker 1: Who do you have when? And it's stuck? You can 1943 01:33:43,160 --> 01:33:43,599 Speaker 1: go first? 1944 01:33:44,160 --> 01:33:46,040 Speaker 2: This is where are you? Subject to change? Because I've 1945 01:33:46,200 --> 01:33:48,599 Speaker 2: still have worked. You've got to see quarterback battles depth. 1946 01:33:48,960 --> 01:33:52,000 Speaker 2: But as of right now, the longest sids are on NIU, 1947 01:33:52,439 --> 01:33:54,560 Speaker 2: and I think that you want to take from a 1948 01:33:54,600 --> 01:33:57,320 Speaker 2: future just value perspective, you want to take either and 1949 01:33:57,439 --> 01:33:59,160 Speaker 2: I you you want to focus on that second tier 1950 01:33:59,240 --> 01:34:02,439 Speaker 2: and I you Bowling Green Western Michigan longestids right now 1951 01:34:02,439 --> 01:34:06,240 Speaker 2: our NIU subject to change, but I'll go NIU over 1952 01:34:07,040 --> 01:34:07,799 Speaker 2: Miami Ohio. 1953 01:34:08,520 --> 01:34:10,280 Speaker 4: I'm going to the net t here. I'm going to 1954 01:34:10,360 --> 01:34:14,040 Speaker 4: go with Bowling Green beating Miami Ohio and their backup quarterback. 1955 01:34:14,520 --> 01:34:16,320 Speaker 1: I think this is the year the step back for 1956 01:34:16,400 --> 01:34:18,400 Speaker 1: the top teams. I know we're living in the year chalk. 1957 01:34:18,600 --> 01:34:20,880 Speaker 1: It's just chalk, chalk, chalk across all of sports. But 1958 01:34:20,920 --> 01:34:23,920 Speaker 1: I'm going to go Bowling Green beating NIU in the 1959 01:34:23,960 --> 01:34:26,519 Speaker 1: title game. Division list football here in the MAC for 1960 01:34:26,560 --> 01:34:29,519 Speaker 1: the first time, seeing what that matchup looks like for 1961 01:34:29,760 --> 01:34:32,240 Speaker 1: Stuckey and Mike Ianello on Mike Calbery's That's been the 1962 01:34:32,240 --> 01:34:34,439 Speaker 1: Big Bets on Campus podcast, The Group of five Deep 1963 01:34:34,479 --> 01:34:37,280 Speaker 1: Dive presented by Bett MGM. Thank you so much for listening. 1964 01:34:37,479 --> 01:34:39,639 Speaker 1: If you're listening and now watching, go over to YouTube 1965 01:34:40,000 --> 01:34:43,080 Speaker 1: subscribe to our BBOC channel. If you can't find it, 1966 01:34:43,120 --> 01:34:45,439 Speaker 1: going to the episode description, there is a link there, 1967 01:34:45,680 --> 01:34:47,320 Speaker 1: Or if you'd like to search the old fashion way 1968 01:34:47,360 --> 01:34:50,680 Speaker 1: BBOC Sports Betting into the YouTube search bar, you're going 1969 01:34:50,720 --> 01:34:52,920 Speaker 1: to be able to see our beautiful faces. Go ahead, 1970 01:34:53,080 --> 01:34:56,320 Speaker 1: click subscribe comment can't wait to engage with you throughout 1971 01:34:56,320 --> 01:34:58,000 Speaker 1: this entire season. Not only are we going to have 1972 01:34:58,040 --> 01:35:00,840 Speaker 1: all the episodes you've come to know and love, We're 1973 01:35:00,840 --> 01:35:03,920 Speaker 1: gonna have new content from college Stars. We're gonna have 1974 01:35:04,000 --> 01:35:07,400 Speaker 1: video game simulations from College Football twenty five. We're gonna 1975 01:35:07,439 --> 01:35:11,000 Speaker 1: have special one offs throughout the season. We got content 1976 01:35:11,040 --> 01:35:14,479 Speaker 1: for Conference USA and midweek maction as well. No stone 1977 01:35:14,520 --> 01:35:17,719 Speaker 1: left unturned here at BBOC. Tell a friend, Tell an Enemy. 1978 01:35:17,800 --> 01:35:19,800 Speaker 1: Thanks so much for listening, and be sure to check 1979 01:35:19,840 --> 01:35:22,080 Speaker 1: out Colin and Suck as they walk you through everything 1980 01:35:22,280 --> 01:35:24,320 Speaker 1: that is happening in the Power For With all their 1981 01:35:24,360 --> 01:35:37,680 Speaker 1: conference previews, Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If 1982 01:35:37,720 --> 01:35:40,440 Speaker 1: you or someone you care about has a gambling problem, 1983 01:35:40,600 --> 01:35:43,240 Speaker 1: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight 1984 01:35:43,320 --> 01:35:44,120 Speaker 1: hundred Gambler