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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Monday

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Speaker 1: morning edition of the Dealer Juice Podcast. My name is

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Speaker 1: mad Perrault. You can find me on Twitter at sports

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Speaker 1: Talk Matt, or on our discord channel by going to

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Speaker 1: Bendingpros dot com slash chat and going to the Daily

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Speaker 1: Juice Discord channel, both of which I am heavily active

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Speaker 1: and I am on it constant lee. All right, this

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Speaker 1: on Bettingpros dot Com every single morning untill being brought

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Speaker 1: to you by bet MGM. So a three and two

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Speaker 1: day yesterday it should have been four and one. More

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Speaker 1: on that in a second. Three and two on our

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Speaker 1: prop bets. Not horrible but decent, So up and up

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Speaker 1: and up slightly for the week last week, so ended strong.

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Speaker 1: Love that right Friday, Saturday, Sunday. It's kind of how

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Speaker 1: we've been doing it, right. We kind of scuffle a

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Speaker 1: little bit middle of the week and then we kind

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Speaker 1: of get rolling and we pick up someone met him

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Speaker 1: and you know, three and two is not horrible, but man,

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Speaker 1: I tell you what, I really thought the Chargers were

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Speaker 1: gonna win that game, and then they had two catches

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Speaker 1: and Mike Williams goes up and comes down on his

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Speaker 1: head and gets maybe knocked unconscious, can't catch the football.

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Speaker 1: And then a guy who I can't believe is not

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Speaker 1: named Keenan Allen is thrown to with the game on

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Speaker 1: the line, And I don't understand. If you're gonna put

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Speaker 1: somebody out there on an island, why not put that

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Speaker 1: person out there in Keenan Allen, like even if they

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Speaker 1: double team them. I mean, like, I just I don't know.

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Speaker 1: I get the throws. They were good, justin Herbert was great.

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Speaker 1: Herbert hit his over. Our number one prop was Herbert

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Speaker 1: over two fifty nine and a half. He blew over that.

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Speaker 1: We got Big Ben blowing over his passing totals. We

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Speaker 1: got the Kyler Murray rushing prop over fifteen and a

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Speaker 1: half yards that blew over for Kyler Murray. And then

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Speaker 1: Russell Wilson, well, he ran through a he blasted through

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Speaker 1: that under bet unders with Russell Wilson throwing the football.

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Speaker 1: But I tried and I did and I lost. And

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Speaker 1: then Alvin Kamaraica had five catches for nine yards. That's

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Speaker 1: pretty impressive. Huh, five catches for nine yards, not one.

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Speaker 1: You can't just pop one forty one and a half.

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Speaker 1: He came nowhere near hitting that prop so three and

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Speaker 1: two on the prop bets. But Herbert was great, and

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Speaker 1: just the Chargers, they just keep on finding more and

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Speaker 1: more ways to lose, and I thought that was the game.

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Speaker 1: I thought that was the time for them to win.

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Speaker 1: And I think they're gonna fire at some point, maybe

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Speaker 1: not during the year, but I do think Anthony Lynn

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Speaker 1: is done. I think that's it. And Herbert's a great talent.

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Speaker 1: It's just when you're losing, when you're finding more and

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Speaker 1: more creative ways to lose and you just can't make plays. Again.

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Speaker 1: I don't know why Keenan Allen was not used. I

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Speaker 1: don't know why you're not putting the ball in your

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Speaker 1: best or throwing the ball to your best receiver. Mike

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Speaker 1: Williams is great, okay, and he didn't make that catch,

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Speaker 1: But since he went out of the game, turn it

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Speaker 1: around and I'm to throw it to Keenan Allen, like

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Speaker 1: find a play or do a QB draw or something.

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Speaker 1: I don't know. It was a very basic play call

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Speaker 1: and it was a lot on a jump ball. It

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Speaker 1: was a fifty to fifty ball to win the game.

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Speaker 1: I just think that that wasn't very creative given the

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Speaker 1: fact that time didn't matter, you could do whatever you

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Speaker 1: wanted to do once to snap the football, time doesn't matter.

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Speaker 1: With one second left, you can do anything. You know,

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Speaker 1: it doesn't really matter if you wind up getting you know,

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Speaker 1: you're running the football even it doesn't matter. Time doesn't matter.

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Speaker 1: It's your best play. That was your best play for

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Speaker 1: the Chargers. That's why I'm a little salty today for

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Speaker 1: that one. But then we got the nightcap and everything

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Speaker 1: was writing on the New Orleans Saints, and I'll be honest,

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Speaker 1: it was a little bit of a crane worthy position,

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Speaker 1: but that was a game. That was a day really

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Speaker 1: where you know, the public and the professionals were on

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Speaker 1: the same side of the Ravens game, and we got

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Speaker 1: the Ravens right. That was a good comfort behind second

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Speaker 1: half performance for the Ravens. We got that right. And

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Speaker 1: then the teaser bet and the Saints both riding Chargers

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Speaker 1: didn't win the game, but they covered the teasers, so

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Speaker 1: that was good. So the P two team teaser goes

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Speaker 1: to six and three, and now we've gotten ourselves after

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Speaker 1: we had a little bit of a rough run there.

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Speaker 1: It was you know, four to OZH then lost two,

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Speaker 1: then one one, then lost one and we wanted again.

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Speaker 1: So we're kind of ping ponging back and forth here

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Speaker 1: with the parult two team teaser every week. But six

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Speaker 1: and three now after the Saints get a laugher of

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Speaker 1: a victory, and look, I picked New Orleans to go

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Speaker 1: to the super Bowl. I didn't bet it. I picked

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Speaker 1: New Orleans and the Titans to go into the Super Bowl.

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Speaker 1: Dave Sheripan wanted me to push along today as we

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Speaker 1: were going back and forth on my thoughts on that.

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Speaker 1: I told him what I had picked, and he said,

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Speaker 1: look it. You know, you can put put on the

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Speaker 1: juice that it's either Kansas City, Baltimore, or Pittsburgh going

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Speaker 1: to the Super Bowl from the AFC. He'd be very

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Speaker 1: surprised if it's anybody else. So he said, I wouldn't

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Speaker 1: hate putting money down future bets on those three teams

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Speaker 1: to go to the super Bowl. Obviously, Pittsburgh got a

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Speaker 1: big old scare from the Dallas Cowboys, and Gilbert out

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Speaker 1: of the AFL played really well for Dallas and they

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Speaker 1: had it. But you know, big Ben made some plays.

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Speaker 1: Big Ben's passing totals went flying over, so that was good.

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Speaker 1: So we wind up, you know, hitting a prop in

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Speaker 1: that game, but then not the cover for the Pittsburgh Steelers.

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Speaker 1: But they win, so they go eight and oh. Now undefeated.

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Speaker 1: Pittsburgh Ravens defense looked very good against Philip Rivers, who

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Speaker 1: looked very old, and then look I like the Titans personally,

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Speaker 1: but the Chiefs have been kind of scuffling here and

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs defense is not that great. And you know,

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Speaker 1: give Christian McCaffery and that Panthers team, and really Teddy

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Speaker 1: Bridgewater is a covering machine man. That guy. He's really

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Speaker 1: good at covering big spreads, and he did it again

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Speaker 1: and it came down to a couple of plays, but

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs get a victory, but a nice cover for

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Speaker 1: the Panthers. As a lot of people, including Dan Harris

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Speaker 1: and I were on the Chiefs min was ten and

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Speaker 1: a half and at the last second we switched off

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Speaker 1: of it because of McCaffery and we went to the

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Speaker 1: Ravens and that was good because we're two and two

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Speaker 1: when we're going into this with the pace tonight at

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Speaker 1: a seven point line, so two and a half points

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Speaker 1: better than what the line currently is here at the

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Speaker 1: time of taping. So that works out fairly well for

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Speaker 1: us here on that. So three and two in the props,

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Speaker 1: three and two on the day and so just you know,

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Speaker 1: a little up on Saturday, little up on Sunday, and

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Speaker 1: so we'll take it. You know, it's better than being down.

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Speaker 1: So Monday Night, New Week, Monday Night Football, let's talk

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Speaker 1: about the Patriots and the Jets. But first, you're gonna

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Speaker 1: bet one dollar at bet MGM to win one hundred

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Speaker 1: New Jersey, West Virginia, or Tennessee. But if you are

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Speaker 1: Juice one hundred on the promo code one dollar on

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Speaker 1: the money line, if a touchdown is scored in the

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Speaker 1: game to night, you will win. Although these two teams

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Speaker 1: don't score all that much, but if you have a

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Speaker 1: touchdown is scored, you will win one hundred dollars in

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Speaker 1: free bets thanks to bet MGM. Go to betmgm dot

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Speaker 1: com for terms and conditions. You must be twenty one

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Speaker 1: years or older and physically located in Colorado, Indiana, New Jersey,

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Speaker 1: West Virginia or Tennessee. Please get the responsibly gambling problem

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Speaker 1: called one hundred five to two two forty seven hundred in Colorado, Nevada,

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Speaker 1: one hundred gambler in New Jersey, in West Virginia, or

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Speaker 1: one hundred and nine with it in Indiana. All right,

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Speaker 1: Patriots on the road at the New York Jets. They

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Speaker 1: made a switch off. No Sam Darnold, so here comes

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Speaker 1: Joe Flacco. So the Jets can't score. It doesn't matter

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Speaker 1: who's playing for them, a quarterback, they can't score. They

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Speaker 1: don't have weapons, and you have a pissed off Bill

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Speaker 1: Belichick and the Patriots coming in. Cam Newton keeps on

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Speaker 1: saying they're close, they're close. I don't know what that means.

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Speaker 1: Close to what, don't I don't get that. But the

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Speaker 1: total is forty one and a half at the time

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Speaker 1: of taping, and the number is nine and a half.

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Speaker 1: It has stayed under ten because I think the professionals

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Speaker 1: will take ten points. You give them plus ten for

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Speaker 1: a home dog in the NFL, and I think they're

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Speaker 1: gonna take it. So I think that's why it stayed

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Speaker 1: at nine and a half. And it hasn't really moved

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Speaker 1: it was opened. It opened at six and a half,

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Speaker 1: seven went to seven and a half. Then the news

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Speaker 1: came down that Flacco was playing and no Sam Darnold,

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Speaker 1: so it jumped up here to nine and a half,

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Speaker 1: and it stayed steady at nine and a half and

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Speaker 1: it hasn't really moved. Okay, So that's setting off some

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Speaker 1: alarm bells for me. I'm a little concerned about that.

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Speaker 1: Road favorites in the NFL clearly difficult. Road favorites catching

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Speaker 1: double or laying double digits on the you know at home,

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Speaker 1: just impossible. So here's the thing. I don't like this game.

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Speaker 1: I actually hate this game, to be completely frank. But

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Speaker 1: since Dan Harris and I are on minus seven already

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Speaker 1: here for the DraftKings contest, and we need this for

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Speaker 1: a three and two week, so our week is writing

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Speaker 1: on this game, I'm gonna trail it now. I thought

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Speaker 1: about doing a one unit teaser, same game teaser, taking

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Speaker 1: the Patriots and teasing it down to nine and a half,

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Speaker 1: taking the total from forty one and a half and

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Speaker 1: teasing it up to forty seven and a half and

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Speaker 1: taking the under. Not gonna do that, And here's why

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Speaker 1: I'm not gonna do that. I'm not gonna do that

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Speaker 1: because I don't trust that the Patriots defense is not

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Speaker 1: going to score and the Patriots defense is not gonna

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Speaker 1: turn the football over. And this game looks a little

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Speaker 1: bit like the game we just witnessed between the Saints

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Speaker 1: and the Tampa Bay Bucks. So I'm a little concerned here.

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Speaker 1: I don't know how many points, and it's not out

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Speaker 1: yet here at the time of tape, but I wouldn't

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Speaker 1: mind betting the under on the Jets team total, whatever

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Speaker 1: that is. That might be something I sprinkle in a

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Speaker 1: little bit, or maybe even the Patriots team total taking

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Speaker 1: the over, depending on what it winds up being. The

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Speaker 1: difficulty is the total is so low. When you have

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Speaker 1: a low total and a big line. This is like

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Speaker 1: what we just saw here with the Cowboys and the Steelers,

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Speaker 1: right It was I believe forty four and a half

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Speaker 1: or forty five was the total, and it was fourteen

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Speaker 1: and a half points at one point for the Steelers

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Speaker 1: to lay it. So like, if you're a professional gambler,

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Speaker 1: you're just gonna take the Cowboys, regardless of who's that quarterback,

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Speaker 1: just because the numbers don't really matter. You get ten

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Speaker 1: points out of the Cowboys, and chances are your covering right. Well,

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Speaker 1: the same thing can be said here for the Jets.

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Speaker 1: If they score fourteen points, they might cover this line

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Speaker 1: and it might be a seven point win for the Patriots.

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Speaker 1: So I'm a little concerned about laying it. So what

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna do is this, Here's how I'm playing this game.

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Speaker 1: The Patriots run the ball a Ton, Damien Harris, James White,

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Speaker 1: Rex Burkehead, and Cam Newton. That is their offense. They're

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Speaker 1: gonna run the football. The Jets really can't stop anybody,

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Speaker 1: doesn't matter what you're doing running or passing. They're just horrible,

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Speaker 1: and I case is a horrendous head coach. They don't

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Speaker 1: want to win games, they want to lose. It's in

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Speaker 1: prime time though, at home, so maybe a little juice,

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Speaker 1: maybe possibly. The Patriots are gonna be a little bit down.

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Speaker 1: I don't know, but they should be pissed off because

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Speaker 1: of what happened. Cam Newton fumbles against Buffalo and whatnot.

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Speaker 1: So this is a chance for the Patriots to get right,

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Speaker 1: get a victory, work on some things, and get themselves

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Speaker 1: some confidence going forward for the rest of the year.

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Speaker 1: These are the games you have to win. Bellius got.

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Speaker 1: The history with the Jets is Robert Kraft. There's all

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Speaker 1: sorts of storylines to go into this game. So I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna lay the nine and a half out of half

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Speaker 1: a unit. All right, it's a big number. I don't

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Speaker 1: like it. The contrarian plays it. Take the Jets plus

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Speaker 1: nine and a half. If it was ten, I probably

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Speaker 1: would take the Jets at plus ten. So if it

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Speaker 1: goes to ten and you want to fade this and

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Speaker 1: you want to go against me and take the Jets,

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Speaker 1: I don't hate it. But I'm gonna take the more

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Speaker 1: likely of the outcomes, which is the Patriots are going

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Speaker 1: to win this game going away, because the Jets are

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Speaker 1: absolutely garbage. The strength of the Patriots is their defense, right,

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Speaker 1: That's what they're the best at. That's where they have

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Speaker 1: their best players with Stefan Gilmour and their safeties, and

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Speaker 1: you know, this is where they're really strong. So I

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Speaker 1: don't expect the Jets to move the football all that much.

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Speaker 1: I think that they will score maybe ten to fourteen points.

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Speaker 1: I expect the Patriots to be somewhere around twenty twenty

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Speaker 1: one points somewhere in there. So look at twenty one

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Speaker 1: ten type of win for New England. It's kind of

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Speaker 1: how I think this game will wind up going. So

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Speaker 1: it's a small number they're covering, so you know, one

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Speaker 1: or two plays to go against us and that's it.

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Speaker 1: So unit on that and a half a unit on

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Speaker 1: the under. Forty one and a half. The number has been.

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Speaker 1: You know, it went up to forty two and then

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Speaker 1: came back down. It was forty and a half when

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Speaker 1: it opened, and think or it was forty two and

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Speaker 1: a half when it opened. But we haven't seen too

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Speaker 1: much line movement here for this. It may dip below

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Speaker 1: forty by the time this game kicks off. I think

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Speaker 1: a lot of people are going to come in on

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Speaker 1: the under, but I'm gonna take the forty one and

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Speaker 1: a half points tonight and we're going Patriots minus nine

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Speaker 1: and a half under forty one and a half points,

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Speaker 1: both for a half a unit, so you could parlay

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Speaker 1: that together. Somebody asked me that question a couple of

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Speaker 1: days ago on I think it was Instagram. They went

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Speaker 1: and DM me on Instagram and said, when you're playing

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Speaker 1: just two picks, why don't you parlay them? And I said, look,

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Speaker 1: if I split it and I go what in one.

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Speaker 1: Let's let's just do it for easy math. If I

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Speaker 1: put one hundred dollars in play, right, and both plays

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Speaker 1: are minus one ten, all right, so you know it's

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Speaker 1: to win ninety two dollars, right, So it's one hundred

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Speaker 1: bucks to win ninety two. If I go one in one,

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Speaker 1: I'm down eight bucks, right, But if I miss on

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Speaker 1: a parlay, if I go one in one on the parlays,

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Speaker 1: I'm down one hundred. See the logic there, Why you

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Speaker 1: don't why I don't do that. If I go two

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Speaker 1: and oh, it's great, I'm up one point eight units, Okay,

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Speaker 1: so that's great. But if you're down, if you miss

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Speaker 1: one and you parlay it, then you're crushed. So that's

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Speaker 1: why I don't parlay, because I don't want If you're

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Speaker 1: wrong on one leg, you're done. So I don't like that,

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Speaker 1: so I would prefer it. I would prefer to lose

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Speaker 1: nine dollars then to lose one hundred dollars. That's why

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Speaker 1: I don't parlay two picks together. That's why I'm not

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Speaker 1: parlaying the Patriots nine and a half and the under.

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Speaker 1: I'm doing two separate plays out of half a unit.

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Speaker 1: Now there's one prop bet I like. I probably will add,

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Speaker 1: but there's one prop bet right now here at the

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Speaker 1: time of taping that I like, and that is James

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Speaker 1: White receiving yards at twenty three and a half. The

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Speaker 1: Jets cannot stop running back to catching or receiving. They

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Speaker 1: have a really rough run of it this year, and

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Speaker 1: James White has not been that big of a unit.

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Speaker 1: Then it's not been that big of a player for

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Speaker 1: this Patriot offense, and that's very surprising. James White was

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Speaker 1: a monster weapon for the Patriots. Rex Burkitt has taken

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Speaker 1: some of his carries, but Damion Harris is gonna be

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Speaker 1: the primary back, but he gets banged up so often

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Speaker 1: in the screen game, it's either burkehead or it's James White.

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Speaker 1: Twenty three and a half is basically two catches, two

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Speaker 1: screens in a game that's gonna be kind of low scoring.

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Speaker 1: Dink and dunk. We know that, you know the Pats

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Speaker 1: don't really have weapons. I'm going over at minus one

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Speaker 1: ten bet MGM's got it twenty three and a half

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Speaker 1: yards over James White at minus one ten over James

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Speaker 1: White receiving yards for a half a unit. Okay, so

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Speaker 1: We're gonna throw a half a unit on that, so

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Speaker 1: we'll have one point five units in play. I may

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Speaker 1: sprinkle in here. It's a little bit more aggressive than

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Speaker 1: I normally get with a prop bet, but I do

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Speaker 1: really like this James White prop, so I'm gonna go

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Speaker 1: a little more aggressive here with White and take him.

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Speaker 1: I thought about taking James White rushing and receiving, but again,

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Speaker 1: I don't know James White's really his big weapon really

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Speaker 1: isn't receiver is in the receiving game. So three and

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Speaker 1: a half yards we're going over that for James White

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Speaker 1: with the Patriots for a half a unit. So three plays,

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Speaker 1: half a unit for all of them Patriots minus nine

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Speaker 1: and a half under forty one and a half, and

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Speaker 1: we are going with James White over twenty three and

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Speaker 1: a half yards receiving for our three plays on Monday

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Speaker 1: Night Football for the Patriots and the Jets. You'll catch

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Speaker 1: me on the Discord channel going through everything bettingpros dot

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Speaker 1: Com slash chat for the Discord channel. If you want

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Speaker 1: to hop in during Monday Night Football, it's primetime game,

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Speaker 1: I'll be in there. I'm a Patriot fan, so you

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Speaker 1: know I'm gonna be kind of emotional, how about that?

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Speaker 1: But I want to see the team do well, but

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Speaker 1: I mean win this game. This is just a pride game.

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Speaker 1: Win this game, period. Can't lose to this hapless Jets team.

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Speaker 1: They're one and seven against the spread. They're horrible this year.

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Speaker 1: My name is Matt Peult. Follow me on Twitter at

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Speaker 1: sports Talk Matt. Every morning it's the Daily Juice Podcast, which,

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Speaker 1: by the way, coming up on Tuesday morning, we should

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Speaker 1: have a special Master's preview a with a guest looking

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Speaker 1: for guests. Haven't booked him yet or her yet, but

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Speaker 1: we're looking for a guest to come on for Tuesday's

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Speaker 1: edition of the Daily Juice Podcast. Talk about the Masters

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Speaker 1: starting this week on Thursday at Augusta National breaking it

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Speaker 1: down from a betting perspective, so stay tuned for that

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Speaker 1: coming up later this week. Here are the Daily Juice

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Speaker 1: off Betting Pros dot Com presented by BETAMGM