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Speaker 1: Yeah, we're gonna have some carnage in the show tonight.

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Speaker 1: Normally I try to be a nice guy, as the

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Speaker 1: Lado and Hart used to say, I tried to be

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Speaker 1: a nice guy. But man, there are just too many

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Speaker 1: hard truths to face out there, and we saw some

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Speaker 1: of them just flaster or in some cases splattered right

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Speaker 1: on front of our TV screens last night. We are live.

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Speaker 1: It is Tuesday, September fifth. The of our lower twenty

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Speaker 1: twenty three were jam packed high top a thoroughly confused

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Speaker 1: downtown Nashville, Tennessee. Why are we confused? We're a little

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Speaker 1: unsure of what Clemson is now and moving forward. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I saw it last night. Yeah, I've got some thoughts

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Speaker 1: on it. Duke just runs away from Clemson just just

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Speaker 1: kind of just kind of, I don't know, put him

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Speaker 1: to sleep. And that felt like a lot more changed

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Speaker 1: than just one game last night. I think some hard

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Speaker 1: truths need to be faced. I don't think it's the

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Speaker 1: end of Clemson as a program. I think it's the

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Speaker 1: end of the way they've run their program. And so

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Speaker 1: that's really in Dabos Swinny's lap. Now that's up to

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Speaker 1: him as to what he wants to do anyway, I'm

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Speaker 1: going to talk about all that. We got a brand

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Speaker 1: new JP Pole Power. Ratings are not rankings, people, and

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Speaker 1: we will for one time and one time only explain

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Speaker 1: the difference tonight, and then we'll just lay it out.

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Speaker 1: I'll tell you how the model sees the country right now.

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Speaker 1: Full week two picks Tuesday Night is about predictions. Here Texas, Bama,

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Speaker 1: we're predicting it tonight. You know, Oregon goes to Texas

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Speaker 1: Tech this week. No. A and M goes to Miami

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Speaker 1: this week. You know, Nebraska goes to Colorado. Children gather

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Speaker 1: around the campfire and let Uncle Josh tell you that

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Speaker 1: that game used to mean a whole heck of a

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Speaker 1: lot more than it has in recent years when it's

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Speaker 1: happened here we are cheapest ticket what was it, Jesse,

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Speaker 1: like four hundred bucks earlier today in this economy, four

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Speaker 1: hundred dollars to see a Colorado game, Yes, sir, And

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Speaker 1: the reason is Dion Sanders. And the takes are getting

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Speaker 1: worse and worse by the minute when it comes to Dion,

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Speaker 1: because Dion is a transcendent figure. And that's a good

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Speaker 1: news bad news thing. It's good news for people in

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Speaker 1: my line of work. But it's also bad news for

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Speaker 1: those of us who are die hard college football fans

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Speaker 1: because it attracts casuals in mass And I think casuals

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Speaker 1: like to do when they show up to the party

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Speaker 1: is they like to talk. They like to drive up

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Speaker 1: and they like to talk before they really know the scene.

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Speaker 1: And people are doing it, and they're doing it by

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Speaker 1: the truckload with Dion Sanders, and it sucks every bit

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Speaker 1: as bad as you would imagine. They're watching us in Columbus, Ohio,

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Speaker 1: hopefully Columbus Georgia. They're watching us in Leeds, Alabama. Embroun, Ontario,

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Speaker 1: Canada is tuned in, as is Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Temple squeaked

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Speaker 1: by Akron. Akron plus ten cashed, but Temple did squeak by,

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Speaker 1: So congrats to those of us up in Philly. You know,

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Speaker 1: I was thinking to myself, big weekend coming up in Tuscaloosa.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna be there. McAfee's gonna be there, College Game

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Speaker 1: Day's gonna be there. Brandon Walker and the Barstool Show

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Speaker 1: they're even fly in for a couple of hours. And

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Speaker 1: hats off to them for headed down, for heading down

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Speaker 1: look the childlice of supremacy here. I thought to myself,

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Speaker 1: a couple of years ago, we made some waves as

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Speaker 1: a people, as a show. You know, it's the day

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Speaker 1: I really think that we we formed our edge as

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Speaker 1: a brand, and some say we've gotten soft since then.

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Speaker 1: Some say that, I don't say that about you guys.

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Speaker 1: Some say that, you know, once you get over two

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Speaker 1: hundred thousand subs, they think you're a little bit too

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Speaker 1: lofty to get back into weeds and roll up your sleeves.

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Speaker 1: And so I just want to remind you, guys, any

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Speaker 1: one of you who finds ways to publicly promote this

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Speaker 1: brand and this show Saturday by any sorts of irresponsible means,

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Speaker 1: shadlive supremacy are on the line. A couple of years ago,

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Speaker 1: we got banned from certain morning shows on Saturdays because

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Speaker 1: too many of our posters showed up in the background.

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Speaker 1: And it I'm just saying, it would be a shame

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Speaker 1: if it happened again, That's all I'm saying. It would

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Speaker 1: be a shame. Would it not be a shit? Everyone

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Speaker 1: in the room, yes, nods of heads, it would be

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Speaker 1: a shame. So I'm gonna leave that in your capable hands.

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Speaker 1: I'll keep all these chali stashed over in the corner,

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Speaker 1: or you can have them. It's up to you. My

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Speaker 1: balls are in your court. Let's start the show. Duke

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Speaker 1: throttled Clemson last night twenty eight to seven, so much

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Speaker 1: so that the entire fourth quarter was mainly Tom Lougan,

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Speaker 1: Bill and Dusty and Dave Pash. The crew there did

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Speaker 1: a great job. By the way, they're talking about what

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Speaker 1: this means for the future of Clemson's program, and that's

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Speaker 1: just not the way it was supposed to be. So

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Speaker 1: you know how, we have padlocked stats on the show.

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Speaker 1: That's the stat where if we would have known this beforehand,

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Speaker 1: we wouldn't have needed to watch the game. Well, this

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Speaker 1: one had what we call a pipe bomb stat and

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Speaker 1: pipe bomb stats. I don't have a bomb on set

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Speaker 1: for obvious reasons, so I'm gonna use a paper pop instead.

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Speaker 1: The pipe bomb stat from this game sounds like this.

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Speaker 1: Clemson entered this game with fifty six four or five

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Speaker 1: star recruits on their roster. Duke entered this game with

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Speaker 1: drum roll please, two four and five star players on

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Speaker 1: their roster, and yet it was Duke that stormed the

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Speaker 1: field one hundred percent crowd participation. As far as I

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Speaker 1: could tell, Wallace Wade Stadium completely emptied and they still

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Speaker 1: had a room for extras on the field. So I

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Speaker 1: kid because I care. Congratulations. Hoops could have seen it coming. Well,

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Speaker 1: I don't want to spoil it, roll it, Colin, don't

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Speaker 1: overlook Duke. That Duke game, twelve point spread on it.

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Speaker 1: It's not just an imminent blowout in week one. I

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Speaker 1: legitimately think this would throw the entire sport into early

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Speaker 1: season chaos. I think this would be the early season

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Speaker 1: crowbar to the knees that quite frankly, this sport needs

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Speaker 1: that time of year. If Duke beats Clemson number one,

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Speaker 1: Mike Elko instantly becomes the hottest name in the head

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Speaker 1: coaching market. Number two, And this is on the Tiger

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Speaker 1: side of things. Clemson would just delve into full panic mode.

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Speaker 1: Keep an eye on this game. That's a twelve point

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Speaker 1: line and Duke has got a heck of a quarterback

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Speaker 1: and they get the whole field advantage, whatever that means.

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Speaker 1: In Durham, North Carolina, they got home field advantage. Be

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Speaker 1: really fun, be really fun to watch. Ah. So yeah,

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Speaker 1: did we roll with Clemson minus twelve of course we did.

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Speaker 1: But that's not what I want you to remember. I

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Speaker 1: want you to remember that clip from like two months ago,

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Speaker 1: when I had thought better of the situation, and then

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Speaker 1: we got into the forest and we couldn't see the

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Speaker 1: trees with there you have it. Nothing flucish about it

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Speaker 1: was there. I know some of you didn't watch this

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Speaker 1: game last night. Some of you just checked out the

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Speaker 1: final score, and you you probably thought what I would

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Speaker 1: think if I saw that final score, woo Man. Turnovers

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Speaker 1: must really have gone against Clemson, which they did. But

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Speaker 1: here's the thing. Duke turned it over a couple of

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Speaker 1: times as well. Uh, you know what I thought about

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Speaker 1: this game. I thought to myself, Well, Mike Elcho's a

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Speaker 1: rock star. That's the first thing I thought. Riley Leonard

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Speaker 1: is if he wasn't already gonna be a rock star.

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Speaker 1: But also I always think this when I see a

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Speaker 1: team that's taken over and it immediately improves. And they

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Speaker 1: won nine games last year and they're off to the

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Speaker 1: races this year at Duke. I think to myself, obviously

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Speaker 1: they got the right combination of people that came in

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Speaker 1: head coach first and foremost, but they got the right

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Speaker 1: combination of people there. I always think to myself, Man,

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Speaker 1: how many other rosters out there are technically capable of this? Like,

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Speaker 1: how many bad situations right now could be taken over

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Speaker 1: by a Mike Elko and boom just be turned around

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Speaker 1: like that. It's not easy. I know that snap of

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Speaker 1: the fingers there makes it sound easy. It's not that easy.

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Speaker 1: The real ones, the real studs, and the coaching profession,

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Speaker 1: they just make it look easy. Side note. One of

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Speaker 1: the biggest debates that raged last night, and I was

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Speaker 1: at the center of it all, was did the Duke

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Speaker 1: helmets look good? Yes? Or no? Did the Duke helmets

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Speaker 1: look good? It was the old English lettering, and I

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Speaker 1: found that's an oil and water things. That's a hard yes,

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Speaker 1: hard no. I mean that's like bananas. You either like

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Speaker 1: the texture of them or you don't. No one's indifferent

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Speaker 1: on it. It seems I was a hard no on it.

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Speaker 1: But it didn't matter because Duke won the game. So anyway,

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Speaker 1: we talk about winners first on the show. But I

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Speaker 1: know ninety eight percent of you sayists out there you

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Speaker 1: tuned in to hear me trash Clemson, and you know what,

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Speaker 1: I'm pretty much gonna do it I got immense amounts

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Speaker 1: of respect for what Dabo Swiney has accomplished there to

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Speaker 1: just blah blah blah, you know all that. Do you realize,

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Speaker 1: let me just give you some Do you realize this

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Speaker 1: is why the sport's great because it's totally unpredictable. Think

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Speaker 1: about this. Think about watching DJ uy Angila lay leave Clemson,

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Speaker 1: go to Oregon State and then realizing months later he

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Speaker 1: actually upgraded his situation. Do you realize that DJ through

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Speaker 1: one week against San Jose State. Albeit DJ's balling out

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Speaker 1: up there in Corvallis, Oregon, He's in a better situation

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Speaker 1: as a quarter. He's in a better situation on a

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Speaker 1: better team, in a more stable program, it seems like

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Speaker 1: right now, and in an offense more conducive to leveraging

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Speaker 1: and featuring his strengths. I just didn't find myself saying that.

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Speaker 1: I didn't think I was gonna be saying that, but

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Speaker 1: I am. I am saying that. So even if you

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Speaker 1: remove the turnovers from this thing last night, it would

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Speaker 1: have been a dog fight. So sometimes I was on

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Speaker 1: the canal earlier today and we were going back and

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Speaker 1: forth about this on HQ. Sometimes when you see big upsets.

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Speaker 1: My mind goes back to the Alabama Ole Miss game

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Speaker 1: in twenty was a fifteen or sixteen. It was probably

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Speaker 1: sixteen it was where or maybe fifteen. Either way, it

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Speaker 1: was where. It was minus five turnovers for Bama and

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Speaker 1: ole Miss wins. I think a one possession game. That's

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Speaker 1: what the upset normally looks like. When the big dog

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Speaker 1: goes down to an inferior roster. It's normally because of

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Speaker 1: that stuff. It's normally cause they've scored fourteen points on

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Speaker 1: special teams that they count. You never could have seen

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Speaker 1: coming this right here. Everyone's focused on, Oh, Clemson got

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Speaker 1: in the ten yard line how many times and scored

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Speaker 1: how many points? Clemson did not punt and didn't score

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Speaker 1: in the second half, which is just mind bogglingly wild.

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Speaker 1: First time I've ever said bogglingly on the show. So good,

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Speaker 1: good on me for that. Everyone's focused on that. I

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Speaker 1: want you just do a little mental exercise with me

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Speaker 1: for a second. Remove all that. Okay, let's say Clemson

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Speaker 1: plays a clean turnover game. Let's say turnover margins even

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Speaker 1: or maybe even Clemson's plus one. Dude, it's still a dogfight.

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Speaker 1: It is still the Clemson Tigers struggling to beat Duke much.

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Speaker 1: Let's pull away from him. They're struggling to beat him. Now.

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Speaker 1: I watched it just like you did. I think Duke's

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Speaker 1: got a really good team. But you need to understand something.

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Speaker 1: When you roll in there with fifty six blue Chippers

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Speaker 1: and they got two of them, I think we all

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Speaker 1: know what should be expected if both programs are operating

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Speaker 1: at or even near peak efficiency. I don't care if

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Speaker 1: they bring their A plus. I don't care if they

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Speaker 1: bring their fastball. You ought to be able to be

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Speaker 1: minus your way to a comfortable win if you've got

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Speaker 1: that kind of roster discrepancy. Now here's the follow up.

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Speaker 1: Tom Lougan Bill on the field last night, made a

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Speaker 1: really good point, and I agree with him. It didn't

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Speaker 1: really feel like there was that big a gap, did it.

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Speaker 1: So you can need to believe one of two things.

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Speaker 1: You can either believe the recruiting industry is just out

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Speaker 1: of its mind and all of these players for Clemson

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Speaker 1: were overrated even though they had offers from everywhere, and

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Speaker 1: everyone on Duke's team's underrated, Or you can believe something

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Speaker 1: different's happening with those kids once they get on campus.

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Speaker 1: Or it could be a combination of the two, or

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Speaker 1: it could just be Dukes players were put in a

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Speaker 1: better position to win, or maybe they're making the absolute

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Speaker 1: most out of what they have and Clemson's not. Any

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Speaker 1: combination of those things is unacceptable. If you're Dabo Sweny, yeah, look,

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Speaker 1: actually actually admire what they've done there. I admire what

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Speaker 1: they've done at Clemson. I'm normally the one defending Dabo Sweny.

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Speaker 1: You know, if you're new to the show, you may

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Speaker 1: think I'm some Dabo hater. I had to I had

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Speaker 1: to head over to the Noles twenty four to seven

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Speaker 1: earlier today, someone was throwing around the accusation that was

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Speaker 1: an FSU hater, like, I have no clue where that

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Speaker 1: came from. So Dabo hater. I am not Dabo realist,

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Speaker 1: I am. I'll defend the guy when he deserves defending.

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Speaker 1: He does not deserve defending tonight. He deserves a fair

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Speaker 1: amount of criticism. I helped the amount of criticism. You

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Speaker 1: guys at Clemson love to say that Tiger Paul is different.

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Speaker 1: Clemson's no different than any of the program out there.

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Speaker 1: I hate to burst the bubble. The formula to win

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Speaker 1: is no different They've got a unique culture there. I

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Speaker 1: will grant you that. But what it takes to win

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Speaker 1: is ultimately hiring right going and getting the right players,

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Speaker 1: developing them and putting them in positions to succeed. The

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Speaker 1: formula is no different. Just because you got that Tiger

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Speaker 1: Paul on the side of your helmet. You like to

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Speaker 1: think you're different because you're a fan of that program.

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Speaker 1: You're in a lum of that place. That's great. I

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Speaker 1: want you to love your program, but you need to

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Speaker 1: understand something. They win the same way at Tennessee and

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Speaker 1: Arkansas as they do it Clemson. And when you don't

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Speaker 1: do the things you're supposed to do it Clemson, the

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Speaker 1: Tiger Paul doesn't save you, does it. You lose the

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Speaker 1: same way that those programs lose when they don't do

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Speaker 1: it the right way. One of two things is about

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Speaker 1: to happen at Clemson. This is gonna sound pretty extreme.

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Speaker 1: I don't believe it is either Dabos when he's about

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Speaker 1: to dive headfirst into the transfer portal, or Dabos when

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Speaker 1: he's gonna retire. Dabos Winn's going to leave the profession.

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Speaker 1: I believe that he detests the direction the sport's going.

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Speaker 1: It's all about adapting, okay, And I think he knows that.

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Speaker 1: I don't think he's blind to what's happening. If he

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Speaker 1: doesn't know what, he's going to learn it in a

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Speaker 1: few weeks when Florida State comes to town, because that's

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Speaker 1: a place, that's a program, that's a man in Mike Norvell,

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Speaker 1: that's looked at a method of talent acquisition, and he said,

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Speaker 1: if it's afforded to us, not only am I going

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Speaker 1: to dabble in it, I'm gonna embrace it. It's my

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Speaker 1: duty to my team, or it's a dereliction of duty

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Speaker 1: to my team if I don't do it. And that's

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Speaker 1: what Dabos Whinny's guilty of right now. Now. I was

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Speaker 1: happy to sit on the sidelines and let the methodology

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Speaker 1: play out. I said, all summer we'll learn. You know,

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Speaker 1: it doesn't matter if I criticize him, because, hey, Dabos,

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Speaker 1: when he's done stuff that I thought was the wrong

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Speaker 1: move before, and it's paid off for him, So what

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Speaker 1: do I know? Right? So I was fine sitting on

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Speaker 1: the sideline. Why don't have to sit over there anymore?

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Speaker 1: Cause the results are coming in and they'll continue to

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Speaker 1: come in. Where is Clemson special? Right now? They're voluntarily

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Speaker 1: handcuffing themselves. They're not special at receiver last night, I'm

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Speaker 1: there believing in their defensive line. They didn't have a

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Speaker 1: sack last night. And while that's not the end all

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Speaker 1: be all in terms of stats, it's been forty five

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Speaker 1: games since they didn't have one. How about that? And

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Speaker 1: so I mean, I'm looking at Kaide Clubnick last night

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Speaker 1: and the dude looked like he had lived on the

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Speaker 1: streets for three weeks because his uniform was so dirty

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Speaker 1: because he had been battered all night. Where are they

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Speaker 1: healthy or not healthy? Where are they special? Will Shipley

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Speaker 1: is a wonderful player? And then I start looking elsewhere.

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Speaker 1: I used to see difference makers all over the place

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Speaker 1: for Clemson. And you know what, it's really really tough

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Speaker 1: for me, as someone who's watched that program Dominate, to

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Speaker 1: turn on my TV and watch dudes like Keyon Coleman

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Speaker 1: do what he did night down in Orlando and know

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Speaker 1: that dude didn't get recruited by and commit to FSU.

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Speaker 1: He was in East Lansing, Michigan, and went into portal

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Speaker 1: and FSU pursued him and landed him, and Clemson just

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Speaker 1: kind of turned a nose up at the portal. In general, well,

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Speaker 1: you can't do it anymore. Can't do that again. It's

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Speaker 1: a dereliction of duty. And at that point you get

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Speaker 1: even if you don't like it, this is the thing

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Speaker 1: about it. I'm not claiming Dabos when he's ever gonna

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Speaker 1: like it. Okay, we all got stuff in our line

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Speaker 1: of work that we have to hold our nose and do.

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Speaker 1: Sometimes it's not all roses. Like you don't always get

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Speaker 1: the smooth path. It's bumpy sometimes. And if you don't

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Speaker 1: believe in it, if it truly is a violation of

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Speaker 1: your value system or your principles, I'm not gonna do

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Speaker 1: like everyone else. I'm not gonna make fun of you

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Speaker 1: for that. I'm not gonna bang on you or hate

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Speaker 1: on you for that. But you're gonna have to You're

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Speaker 1: gonna have to get out of the line of work

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Speaker 1: you're in because that's the direction that's going. You don't

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Speaker 1: have to like it. I don't have to like it,

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Speaker 1: but you need to acknowledge it. And so they'll get

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Speaker 1: through this season and then Davos Whinny's gonna have some

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Speaker 1: really really tough choices to make. I'm not telling you

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Speaker 1: they're going six and six this year. I'm not even

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Speaker 1: punting on the season. Okay, canal again. He brought up

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Speaker 1: a really good point earlier today when we were talking.

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Speaker 1: He said, Hey, remember that year where Ohio State lost

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Speaker 1: to Virginia Tech at home and then they ended up

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Speaker 1: going on a magical run. I remember that. Yes, this

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Speaker 1: is college football. Crazy stuff happens all the time. Clemson

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Speaker 1: is not special enough as a roster to go on

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Speaker 1: that kind of run right now, And I don't think

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Speaker 1: it's gonna change. I said, right now, I think you've

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Speaker 1: got what you've got. And by the way, forget the

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Speaker 1: Florida State game for a second. That's in three weeks.

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Speaker 1: You got the kind of performance you had last night,

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Speaker 1: Even if you erased some of the turnover woes, you

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Speaker 1: are going to find yourself in more dog fights. It

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Speaker 1: could be Georgia Tech, it could be at NC State,

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Speaker 1: it could be at Miami. It could be a number

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Speaker 1: of teams that everyone penciled in w's against. You got

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Speaker 1: North Carolina, you got no damn on the schedule. You

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Speaker 1: got South Carolina in Columbia at the end of the

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Speaker 1: year you lost that game last year. College football doesn't

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Speaker 1: sit still. This was the message that I kept trying

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Speaker 1: to hammer home, even though I was I was down

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Speaker 1: in Columbus at the time, we had like twenty seven

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Speaker 1: people watching the shows. I kept trying to hammer this

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Speaker 1: message home. When when Dabo and Clemson had started to

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Speaker 1: have a fair amount of success and they had won

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Speaker 1: a couple of championships, which is insane to do. It's

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Speaker 1: so hard to do that. There were people after they

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Speaker 1: won a couple of championships who said there's no end

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Speaker 1: in sight. I was, I'm friends with some of them.

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Speaker 1: They won't admit it, but I'm friends with some of

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Speaker 1: them who said, dude, there's no end in sight. Hey, Alabama, man,

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Speaker 1: they got to go through the gauntlet that is the

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Speaker 1: SEC every year. Clemson is just going to be smooth

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Speaker 1: sailing and to an extent, schedule wise, it has been

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Speaker 1: because up until five minutes ago, no one had stepped

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Speaker 1: up in the ACC. That's not the only change that happens, guys.

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Speaker 1: It's not just the opponents outwardly that can take you down.

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Speaker 1: Sometimes in your own program can work against you. Hubrists

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Speaker 1: can work against you. Now, Arrogance can work against you.

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Speaker 1: Stubbornness can work against you. None of those are on

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Speaker 1: your schedule, but every one of them are dynamics that

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Speaker 1: are in play that can start to just let a

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Speaker 1: little bit of the air out of your tires. That

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Speaker 1: upset last night didn't happen last night. It happened over

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Speaker 1: the span of four years, three years, two years, one year.

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Speaker 1: You start getting comfortable and sometimes you don't even realize

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Speaker 1: it's happening. You start thinking you don't need to do

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Speaker 1: things that other folks need to do. It doesn't happen overnight.

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Speaker 1: That upset last night. It didn't happen overnight, but it

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Speaker 1: feels like it doesn't it. It feels like it happened quick.

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Speaker 1: That's why coaches are so paranoid. And that's why even

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Speaker 1: the ones like Kirby Smart is one back to back titles,

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Speaker 1: you as me, Maol would say, and she would censor herself.

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Speaker 1: There are places that you couldn't fit a tenpenny nail

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Speaker 1: with Kirby Smart on game day and a normal person

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Speaker 1: would walk by and say, dude, he's won two titles.

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Speaker 1: Why is he so paranoid? Cause this stuff right here

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Speaker 1: can happen to anyone to Nick Saban, to Kirby Smart

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Speaker 1: to Dabbos Sweeny. It can happen to anyone. It does

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Speaker 1: not matter how well resourced you are. That just sometimes

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Speaker 1: creates a new set of issues. And so it's not

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Speaker 1: the end of Clemson's program. It's not even necessarily the

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Speaker 1: end of Dabos s twenty winning big at Clemson. It

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Speaker 1: has been and now will continue to be emphatically the

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Speaker 1: end of them doing it the way they've done it,

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Speaker 1: because they have shirked a surefire additional resource that the

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Speaker 1: rest of the country is embracing. And you are not

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Speaker 1: going to be able to compete with them. If you're

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Speaker 1: happy with eight wins, if you're happy with Bowl contention,

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Speaker 1: be my guest, that's not Clemson. That's not Clemson football anymore.

390
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Speaker 1: You took them to a different level. They're going to

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Speaker 1: now expect to live along the lines of that standard.

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Speaker 1: And it is what it is. It is the consequences

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Speaker 1: of success. We talk about it all the time. All right,

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Speaker 1: let's move on. You know what, since we have such

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Speaker 1: a sizable audience, do me a favor and just like

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Speaker 1: the video, huh, you know, Jesse, I know that we

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Speaker 1: were sitting around the meeting room today and we were

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Speaker 1: trying to decide what order of the show we wanted

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Speaker 1: to go in. I think this is the right time

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Speaker 1: to do this, though. So we have a lot of

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Speaker 1: coaches out there under fire, and I just talked about Dabbo,

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Speaker 1: so let's talk about a couple more of them. I

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Speaker 1: just want to g get go ahead and get this

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Speaker 1: off my chest, and then we're going to predict a

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Speaker 1: whole lot of games later in the show. I got

406
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Speaker 1: two added best bets on the Raman Noddle Express. I

407
00:20:34,400 --> 00:20:38,440
Speaker 1: got a JP pole to drop we are we are loaded.

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Speaker 1: That's a mic pop, not even a paper pop. All right, Colin,

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Speaker 1: here's your endpoint. We got coaches under fire all over

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Speaker 1: the place, friendly fire in some cases, but they're under

411
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Speaker 1: fire all over the place. Brian Kelly. People are just selling.

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Speaker 1: They're just selling on Brian Kelly. And what's so funny

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Speaker 1: is it's the same folks who sold on him when

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Speaker 1: he got there. But there was this lull, if you'll notice,

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Speaker 1: there was this lull, and that's when people like me

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Speaker 1: started speaking up because I never really doubted him. I

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Speaker 1: still don't. I never doubted him when he got there.

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Speaker 1: In fact, I thought he was going to be a

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Speaker 1: big winner at LSU. Still do, and when he started

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Speaker 1: winning a little bit last year, the doubters silenced themselves.

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Speaker 1: But like we always say, when you start winning, when

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Speaker 1: you start succeeding in life, it's like you throw your

423
00:21:20,840 --> 00:21:23,520
Speaker 1: douters out the window. But they don't die. These people

424
00:21:23,520 --> 00:21:26,560
Speaker 1: are like cockroaches in terms of mentality. They don't die.

425
00:21:26,840 --> 00:21:29,320
Speaker 1: They're just down in the parking lot doing push ups.

426
00:21:29,400 --> 00:21:31,320
Speaker 1: They're going to run right back up the stairs, and

427
00:21:31,359 --> 00:21:34,960
Speaker 1: as soon as you trip up a little bit, there

428
00:21:35,000 --> 00:21:37,840
Speaker 1: they are again. And the Brian Kelly haters and doubters,

429
00:21:37,880 --> 00:21:42,080
Speaker 1: whichever way you want to classify yourself, they're back. Why

430
00:21:42,320 --> 00:21:44,560
Speaker 1: because he had the audacity to lose a football game,

431
00:21:44,880 --> 00:21:48,640
Speaker 1: and he lost pretty emphatically in opening weekend. I'm going

432
00:21:48,680 --> 00:21:50,520
Speaker 1: to talk about FSU at the end of the show,

433
00:21:51,560 --> 00:21:53,479
Speaker 1: And for those of you asking why I haven't done it,

434
00:21:53,520 --> 00:21:56,679
Speaker 1: we haven't had a show since the game. That's the

435
00:21:56,680 --> 00:21:59,440
Speaker 1: only reason no FSU hatred here. That's the only reason.

436
00:22:00,040 --> 00:22:04,320
Speaker 1: Stay tuned for that. Brian Kelly, how dare you? What

437
00:22:04,480 --> 00:22:07,919
Speaker 1: gives you the right? Well, the first thing I think

438
00:22:07,960 --> 00:22:11,160
Speaker 1: that happened is I think they played a really good team.

439
00:22:11,480 --> 00:22:13,880
Speaker 1: I think they played a really good team down in Orlando.

440
00:22:14,040 --> 00:22:17,399
Speaker 1: I would hesitate for just a second to start throwing

441
00:22:17,560 --> 00:22:20,520
Speaker 1: arrows Brian Kelly's way until you see what Florida State

442
00:22:20,560 --> 00:22:22,439
Speaker 1: does the rest of the way, because it could be

443
00:22:22,520 --> 00:22:24,560
Speaker 1: that they're a double digit winner in every game up

444
00:22:24,600 --> 00:22:27,479
Speaker 1: until the ACC Championship game for all we know. But

445
00:22:28,560 --> 00:22:30,760
Speaker 1: let's just capsule that for a second, because I know

446
00:22:30,800 --> 00:22:33,159
Speaker 1: what my friends in Louisiana are saying. They're saying, well,

447
00:22:33,200 --> 00:22:36,760
Speaker 1: we don't care whether Florida State beats the ACC into

448
00:22:36,840 --> 00:22:40,080
Speaker 1: a coma where LSU it's not supposed to happen to us.

449
00:22:40,320 --> 00:22:43,399
Speaker 1: That's true, You're right. I think here may have been

450
00:22:43,440 --> 00:22:46,359
Speaker 1: the mistake. A ton of stock was put into that

451
00:22:46,400 --> 00:22:49,159
Speaker 1: win over Alabama last year, a ton of stock. And

452
00:22:49,240 --> 00:22:52,080
Speaker 1: here's the thing. If Bama was rolling everyone else last

453
00:22:52,160 --> 00:22:54,880
Speaker 1: year and it was just LSU that beat them, then

454
00:22:54,880 --> 00:22:57,320
Speaker 1: that'd be one thing. Bama was in one possession games

455
00:22:57,320 --> 00:22:59,280
Speaker 1: like every week last year, and you were in one

456
00:22:59,320 --> 00:23:01,840
Speaker 1: with them too, just like Texas was just like A

457
00:23:01,960 --> 00:23:04,840
Speaker 1: and M was just like Tennessee was. Did we call

458
00:23:04,960 --> 00:23:08,119
Speaker 1: any of those teams elite? Did we thrust any of

459
00:23:08,160 --> 00:23:10,119
Speaker 1: them into the top five coming into this year. No,

460
00:23:10,200 --> 00:23:13,439
Speaker 1: we did not, but we did with LSU. Now that's fine.

461
00:23:13,720 --> 00:23:17,399
Speaker 1: I participated, not quite to that degree. I participated in

462
00:23:17,440 --> 00:23:18,840
Speaker 1: a lot of the hype with this team. I still

463
00:23:18,840 --> 00:23:21,000
Speaker 1: think they're a really good team. But when you beat

464
00:23:21,040 --> 00:23:26,480
Speaker 1: Alabama these days, it people, man, people put the equivalent

465
00:23:26,960 --> 00:23:29,520
Speaker 1: of like three wins in the bucket when you do that,

466
00:23:29,600 --> 00:23:32,760
Speaker 1: and it's a big deal. It is, but it's about it.

467
00:23:33,280 --> 00:23:34,880
Speaker 1: It's about so much more than that. It's what I'm

468
00:23:34,880 --> 00:23:37,399
Speaker 1: trying to say. So they had to portal in an

469
00:23:37,520 --> 00:23:40,920
Speaker 1: entire secondary. I think we probably should have played the

470
00:23:40,920 --> 00:23:43,360
Speaker 1: clip tonight. But I'll just tell you what happened. When

471
00:23:43,400 --> 00:23:46,800
Speaker 1: we sat down with him at SEC Media Days, we

472
00:23:46,840 --> 00:23:49,680
Speaker 1: had him on this show, and he said, I gotta

473
00:23:49,760 --> 00:23:52,080
Speaker 1: admit to you. When I asked him about it, I

474
00:23:52,240 --> 00:23:54,399
Speaker 1: asked him about that secondary. He said, I gotta admit

475
00:23:54,440 --> 00:23:56,760
Speaker 1: to you. It's a red flag. We shouldn't have to

476
00:23:56,800 --> 00:23:58,760
Speaker 1: do that. And he said, in years to come, we

477
00:23:58,800 --> 00:24:00,919
Speaker 1: won't have to do that, but we had to do

478
00:24:00,960 --> 00:24:03,280
Speaker 1: it right now. Folks just don't want to hear that.

479
00:24:04,040 --> 00:24:05,720
Speaker 1: I know how it is, guys, I know how it is.

480
00:24:05,760 --> 00:24:08,240
Speaker 1: In August. I know what practice report season is like,

481
00:24:08,520 --> 00:24:12,440
Speaker 1: we know what PMS is preview magazine syndrome for those unfamiliar,

482
00:24:12,520 --> 00:24:15,000
Speaker 1: we know how it works around here. You don't want

483
00:24:15,000 --> 00:24:18,639
Speaker 1: to hear that going and getting DBS from Syracuse and

484
00:24:18,680 --> 00:24:21,879
Speaker 1: Southeast Louisiana may end up with play in your secondary

485
00:24:22,040 --> 00:24:23,680
Speaker 1: tan them out to what you would expect from guys

486
00:24:23,680 --> 00:24:25,880
Speaker 1: who came from those places. No, you want to hear

487
00:24:26,200 --> 00:24:28,879
Speaker 1: that your staff found diamonds in the rough and that

488
00:24:29,080 --> 00:24:32,320
Speaker 1: every transfer portal kid who comes in, no matter if

489
00:24:32,320 --> 00:24:34,919
Speaker 1: they're outsized by half a foot per man in your

490
00:24:34,960 --> 00:24:37,120
Speaker 1: opening game, they're just going to be able to magically

491
00:24:37,119 --> 00:24:40,439
Speaker 1: step up. Well, this is not a fairytale world. It's

492
00:24:40,520 --> 00:24:43,840
Speaker 1: kind of like Shawshank prison. No fairytale world. Neither is

493
00:24:43,880 --> 00:24:49,200
Speaker 1: playing Florida State with giants out wide. So that happened

494
00:24:49,200 --> 00:24:51,680
Speaker 1: in week one. Now, they got blown out by Tennessee

495
00:24:51,760 --> 00:24:54,280
Speaker 1: last year and responded fine, and I think they'll respond

496
00:24:54,320 --> 00:24:57,359
Speaker 1: fine this year. I trust the mental resolve of that

497
00:24:57,400 --> 00:24:58,840
Speaker 1: team a whole lot more than that. But here's what

498
00:24:58,920 --> 00:25:02,160
Speaker 1: I would like to do. Since we've got a few

499
00:25:02,240 --> 00:25:04,760
Speaker 1: days and they play, they play a tune up game

500
00:25:04,800 --> 00:25:07,119
Speaker 1: this week, and then they're gonna they go to Mississippi

501
00:25:07,119 --> 00:25:09,280
Speaker 1: State in two weeks. Actually, since they do that in

502
00:25:09,320 --> 00:25:11,320
Speaker 1: two weeks, could I just get as many of you

503
00:25:11,400 --> 00:25:13,720
Speaker 1: on the record as possible. You know what, Colin and Jesse,

504
00:25:13,840 --> 00:25:16,640
Speaker 1: maybe we ought to redo that exercise. What is your

505
00:25:16,680 --> 00:25:19,480
Speaker 1: opinion of and we'll just get an opinion of Brian

506
00:25:19,600 --> 00:25:24,080
Speaker 1: Kelly and we'll just crystallize all that because LSU's gonna

507
00:25:24,080 --> 00:25:26,760
Speaker 1: be in the championship hunt more times than not with

508
00:25:26,880 --> 00:25:30,159
Speaker 1: him down there. I'm talking about SEC championships and the

509
00:25:30,160 --> 00:25:32,359
Speaker 1: playoff's gonna go to like forty seven teams, so probably

510
00:25:32,400 --> 00:25:35,800
Speaker 1: the playoff as well. They'll be fine. They'll I have

511
00:25:36,040 --> 00:25:39,840
Speaker 1: so little doubt about that. It's just that I'm gonna

512
00:25:39,880 --> 00:25:42,200
Speaker 1: use this quote again in like five minutes, so bear

513
00:25:42,240 --> 00:25:47,119
Speaker 1: with me. Progress is not linear. Everyone would love hold on.

514
00:25:47,200 --> 00:25:49,760
Speaker 1: Let me make a helpful chart for you here, all right,

515
00:25:49,800 --> 00:25:52,359
Speaker 1: if you're listening on podcasts, just imagine a straight line.

516
00:25:52,359 --> 00:25:55,760
Speaker 1: Everyone would love progress to look like this, but in reality,

517
00:25:56,240 --> 00:26:00,199
Speaker 1: progress sometimes kind of looks like that. And you you

518
00:26:00,240 --> 00:26:03,200
Speaker 1: are here, if you're LSU right now, you are there,

519
00:26:03,720 --> 00:26:05,560
Speaker 1: but it doesn't mean you're not still headed in the

520
00:26:05,640 --> 00:26:10,800
Speaker 1: right direction. So all I'm saying is I'm still in

521
00:26:10,840 --> 00:26:14,280
Speaker 1: the Brian Kelly camp. Ryan Day is dealing with it

522
00:26:14,440 --> 00:26:18,119
Speaker 1: in Columbus Ohio, Ryan Day, what do they have the

523
00:26:18,160 --> 00:26:21,320
Speaker 1: audacity to do win a conference game? By twenty It

524
00:26:21,359 --> 00:26:26,399
Speaker 1: was uninspiring. The offense was very, very, very tough to watch.

525
00:26:27,000 --> 00:26:31,119
Speaker 1: Kyle McCord very mixed bag of reviews, and some of

526
00:26:31,160 --> 00:26:33,920
Speaker 1: them are educated reviews, and even those are very lukewarm

527
00:26:33,960 --> 00:26:35,840
Speaker 1: on him. I don't know how the quarterback situation is

528
00:26:35,880 --> 00:26:38,399
Speaker 1: going to turn out there. I have a feeling and

529
00:26:38,480 --> 00:26:41,879
Speaker 1: this is just my own personal gut instinct, it's not

530
00:26:41,960 --> 00:26:45,040
Speaker 1: intel from the coaching staff. I think Devin Brown still

531
00:26:45,040 --> 00:26:47,439
Speaker 1: may factor heavily into that quarterback battle. And they got

532
00:26:47,520 --> 00:26:49,960
Speaker 1: Youngstown State, they got the Penguins, the old Ping's coming

533
00:26:50,000 --> 00:26:55,280
Speaker 1: to town this week. So I think that the past

534
00:26:55,320 --> 00:26:59,679
Speaker 1: two years, you've watched them play a certain style and

535
00:26:59,720 --> 00:27:03,040
Speaker 1: it's run into a brick wall against Michigan. Okay, So

536
00:27:04,320 --> 00:27:06,159
Speaker 1: part of that is you got to get better defensively,

537
00:27:06,240 --> 00:27:09,000
Speaker 1: and they absolutely have, and I think Ohio State could

538
00:27:09,000 --> 00:27:12,000
Speaker 1: win games defensively this year. But when you haven't done

539
00:27:12,080 --> 00:27:15,400
Speaker 1: that to this point under a head coach, people never

540
00:27:15,440 --> 00:27:19,080
Speaker 1: equate that to being his style. So when you win

541
00:27:19,160 --> 00:27:21,879
Speaker 1: an ugly game. Like Kirk Farrence, if he were to

542
00:27:21,880 --> 00:27:25,399
Speaker 1: beat Indiana twenty three to three, Iowa fans would love it.

543
00:27:25,400 --> 00:27:27,919
Speaker 1: It would be a typical Iowa win. But that's not

544
00:27:28,040 --> 00:27:30,960
Speaker 1: Ohio State. That's not a typical Ohio State win. The

545
00:27:31,000 --> 00:27:33,919
Speaker 1: thing is, Ohio State has much better athletes than Iowa

546
00:27:33,960 --> 00:27:37,800
Speaker 1: does any given year, this year included, but it doesn't matter.

547
00:27:38,400 --> 00:27:40,480
Speaker 1: It's like the dude on buck Nut said the other day,

548
00:27:40,600 --> 00:27:42,879
Speaker 1: if we won forty two to twenty one, would be fine,

549
00:27:43,000 --> 00:27:45,160
Speaker 1: but we won twenty three to three, so we're not fine.

550
00:27:45,760 --> 00:27:49,120
Speaker 1: I continue to be of the opinion I'd much rather

551
00:27:49,200 --> 00:27:52,600
Speaker 1: know I got a rock solid defense and its offense

552
00:27:52,760 --> 00:27:55,760
Speaker 1: that Ryan Day and his staff need to round in

553
00:27:55,800 --> 00:27:58,600
Speaker 1: the form, because I trust them to round the offense

554
00:27:58,640 --> 00:28:01,879
Speaker 1: into a good enough form. It's defense that I wouldn't

555
00:28:01,920 --> 00:28:05,640
Speaker 1: necessarily always trust him to round into form if it's

556
00:28:05,680 --> 00:28:07,720
Speaker 1: not already there. Ryan Day's got one of the best

557
00:28:07,720 --> 00:28:10,480
Speaker 1: winning percentages in college football among that active head coaches.

558
00:28:10,960 --> 00:28:14,520
Speaker 1: It's insanity some of the criticism that he takes. And

559
00:28:14,680 --> 00:28:17,719
Speaker 1: I think maybe the further away you get from Columbus Ohio,

560
00:28:17,760 --> 00:28:20,840
Speaker 1: the clearer that is, can we please just give it

561
00:28:20,880 --> 00:28:23,639
Speaker 1: to the bye week, can we see Youngstown in Western

562
00:28:23,720 --> 00:28:26,399
Speaker 1: Kentucky and Notre Dame. I think they're gonna be okay,

563
00:28:26,640 --> 00:28:32,560
Speaker 1: I really do. Dave Aranda different story. Dave Randa's at Baylor. Obviously,

564
00:28:33,359 --> 00:28:35,240
Speaker 1: they just got beat by Texas State. They were a

565
00:28:35,320 --> 00:28:38,440
Speaker 1: twenty seven and a half point favorite, and they got

566
00:28:38,440 --> 00:28:42,360
Speaker 1: beat by Texas State. And I had my DMS flooded.

567
00:28:43,000 --> 00:28:44,760
Speaker 1: I'm meant to talk about this Sunday night. I just

568
00:28:44,800 --> 00:28:48,800
Speaker 1: didn't have time. I had my DMS flooded. And those

569
00:28:48,880 --> 00:28:51,600
Speaker 1: dms said, well, how do you feel about Dave Randa? Now?

570
00:28:52,120 --> 00:28:55,960
Speaker 1: Really snippy? Dare I even say rude? I feel the

571
00:28:56,000 --> 00:28:58,840
Speaker 1: same way I've always felt about him. Me and while

572
00:28:58,880 --> 00:29:00,760
Speaker 1: used to always teach me, have your opinion move at

573
00:29:00,760 --> 00:29:03,320
Speaker 1: the speed of honey, not the speed of water. Coaches

574
00:29:03,360 --> 00:29:05,720
Speaker 1: don't change who they are over four quarters or even

575
00:29:05,720 --> 00:29:08,840
Speaker 1: one season all that much. They may learn some things,

576
00:29:08,880 --> 00:29:11,320
Speaker 1: they may change their minds on things like Dave Randa.

577
00:29:11,720 --> 00:29:14,440
Speaker 1: If you once believed he was good, he didn't get bad,

578
00:29:14,960 --> 00:29:17,360
Speaker 1: so you were either wrong about him, which I don't

579
00:29:17,400 --> 00:29:20,880
Speaker 1: think I was. Or good coaches canna have bad seasons.

580
00:29:21,320 --> 00:29:23,560
Speaker 1: Bad coaches really have good seasons. Good coaches can't have

581
00:29:23,600 --> 00:29:26,200
Speaker 1: bad seasons. You know what, I think. I think he's

582
00:29:26,240 --> 00:29:28,960
Speaker 1: still learning how to be a head coach. Folks like

583
00:29:29,040 --> 00:29:32,080
Speaker 1: Kirby Smart fool y'all into thinking that everyone is just

584
00:29:32,120 --> 00:29:34,360
Speaker 1: supposed to learn it that quick, they're supposed to adapt

585
00:29:34,400 --> 00:29:38,240
Speaker 1: that quickly. It's not normal to do that. Kirby Smart

586
00:29:38,280 --> 00:29:40,720
Speaker 1: is a I don't know if he's generational, but he

587
00:29:40,840 --> 00:29:43,720
Speaker 1: is once in uh, you know, he's like a one

588
00:29:43,720 --> 00:29:46,080
Speaker 1: in one hundred guy, or maybe one in five hundred guy.

589
00:29:46,400 --> 00:29:49,479
Speaker 1: Maybe Dave Randa's just pretty good. Maybe he's pretty good

590
00:29:49,520 --> 00:29:52,720
Speaker 1: to really good, that kind of guy of that caliber

591
00:29:52,760 --> 00:29:55,800
Speaker 1: at a program like Baylor. Do I need to pull

592
00:29:55,840 --> 00:29:57,800
Speaker 1: the chart out again? I already lost it? Do I

593
00:29:57,840 --> 00:30:00,200
Speaker 1: need to explain how progress works around here? Again? It's

594
00:30:00,200 --> 00:30:03,080
Speaker 1: not gonna be linear. It isn't even at the major programs.

595
00:30:03,160 --> 00:30:04,800
Speaker 1: It really is not going to be at Baylor. He's

596
00:30:04,840 --> 00:30:08,280
Speaker 1: twenty and seventeen. I know that sounds bad for those

597
00:30:08,320 --> 00:30:11,080
Speaker 1: of you who are I don't know, like USC fans.

598
00:30:12,000 --> 00:30:15,360
Speaker 1: That's Baylor. It's fine, it's fine. It's not good enough

599
00:30:15,560 --> 00:30:17,960
Speaker 1: because you guys won the conference championship two years ago,

600
00:30:18,000 --> 00:30:21,880
Speaker 1: so you know what's possible there? What I'm trying to

601
00:30:21,920 --> 00:30:24,640
Speaker 1: say is number one, Like I said, progress is not

602
00:30:24,640 --> 00:30:28,200
Speaker 1: always linear. And number two, it could just be that

603
00:30:28,960 --> 00:30:31,960
Speaker 1: he wasn't doing it the right way. I happen to

604
00:30:32,400 --> 00:30:35,880
Speaker 1: know that's the case in a couple of different categories

605
00:30:35,960 --> 00:30:38,760
Speaker 1: on the moral philosophical side of things. With Dave Randa,

606
00:30:39,200 --> 00:30:41,920
Speaker 1: I think he got one year, two years into his

607
00:30:42,000 --> 00:30:44,320
Speaker 1: tenure as a head coach and thought to himself, no,

608
00:30:44,440 --> 00:30:47,240
Speaker 1: I'm not doing that right. I'm not doing this right.

609
00:30:48,280 --> 00:30:50,040
Speaker 1: I don't think that they handled the portal well. I

610
00:30:50,080 --> 00:30:52,120
Speaker 1: don't think they were aggressive enough in it. I think

611
00:30:52,160 --> 00:30:55,000
Speaker 1: they realized that. But here's the thing, there's no quick

612
00:30:55,040 --> 00:30:58,760
Speaker 1: fix for that at Baylor. At Georgia, there may be

613
00:30:58,880 --> 00:31:01,920
Speaker 1: a way to at least it up. At Bama, there

614
00:31:01,960 --> 00:31:05,240
Speaker 1: could be a way where even if you have deficiencies,

615
00:31:05,240 --> 00:31:07,920
Speaker 1: you're a ten or eleven win team. That's not Baylor.

616
00:31:08,480 --> 00:31:11,440
Speaker 1: And so I think David rand is gonna be fine.

617
00:31:11,720 --> 00:31:13,239
Speaker 1: And you know what, I think you'll get it right

618
00:31:13,240 --> 00:31:15,440
Speaker 1: at Baylor, and if he doesn't, they'll end up firing

619
00:31:15,560 --> 00:31:18,160
Speaker 1: him and he'll go be a great defensive coordinator somewhere

620
00:31:18,200 --> 00:31:20,120
Speaker 1: for a couple of years, and he'll get another shot

621
00:31:20,240 --> 00:31:22,880
Speaker 1: and I'll bet on him to succeed there because I

622
00:31:22,920 --> 00:31:25,840
Speaker 1: think he's wired the right way mentally, and I think

623
00:31:25,880 --> 00:31:28,200
Speaker 1: he'll get it figured out. So I guess I just

624
00:31:28,240 --> 00:31:31,760
Speaker 1: defended everyone. Now here's a quick heads up, little spoiler

625
00:31:31,800 --> 00:31:34,320
Speaker 1: alert for you. Close your ears if you don't want

626
00:31:34,320 --> 00:31:37,240
Speaker 1: to know what's going to happen this Saturday. Either Nick

627
00:31:37,280 --> 00:31:41,040
Speaker 1: Saban or Steve Sarkisian are about to have fire incoming.

628
00:31:41,760 --> 00:31:45,360
Speaker 1: Sark if he loses Saturday, we'll really have to deal

629
00:31:45,400 --> 00:31:48,000
Speaker 1: with it because even though they're a touchdown dog on

630
00:31:48,040 --> 00:31:51,040
Speaker 1: the road against the best program in the last fifteen years,

631
00:31:51,040 --> 00:31:53,320
Speaker 1: best head coach of all time, they go in there

632
00:31:53,360 --> 00:31:55,880
Speaker 1: and lose by ten, people will view it as an

633
00:31:55,920 --> 00:31:59,600
Speaker 1: indictment on Steve Sarkusian. It'll be crazy, but they'll do

634
00:31:59,640 --> 00:32:01,480
Speaker 1: it now. They loses thirty eight to three, that's a

635
00:32:01,480 --> 00:32:05,840
Speaker 1: little bit different. Mario Crystaball and Jimbo Fisher play each

636
00:32:05,840 --> 00:32:10,000
Speaker 1: other Saturday. You talk about toxicity for the loser, and

637
00:32:10,240 --> 00:32:14,200
Speaker 1: especially if it's Jimbo, toxicity overload. They looked really good

638
00:32:14,240 --> 00:32:17,080
Speaker 1: in week one. So if they go down there and

639
00:32:17,440 --> 00:32:20,160
Speaker 1: the net result is the offense reverts back to form,

640
00:32:20,200 --> 00:32:23,480
Speaker 1: which is not a good thing. Then yeah, it's gonna

641
00:32:23,480 --> 00:32:26,240
Speaker 1: be it's gonna be really uncomfortable if Mario Christaball, if

642
00:32:26,280 --> 00:32:30,800
Speaker 1: they lose by seventeen, it'll be like people think, I

643
00:32:30,840 --> 00:32:33,200
Speaker 1: don't think these spart plugs work. I think the wood

644
00:32:33,240 --> 00:32:35,440
Speaker 1: is wet here, Like maybe we'll just never get it together.

645
00:32:35,560 --> 00:32:37,800
Speaker 1: Maybe Mario Christaball is a fraud. Maybe Jimbo Fisher is

646
00:32:37,800 --> 00:32:40,680
Speaker 1: a fraud. Hey, they're gonna be the same coaches after

647
00:32:40,760 --> 00:32:42,720
Speaker 1: four quarters this Saturday, they'll be the same coach as

648
00:32:42,720 --> 00:32:45,640
Speaker 1: they are now. So if you already doubt them, I

649
00:32:45,640 --> 00:32:48,680
Speaker 1: don't have a problem with you maintaining your doubt. But

650
00:32:48,800 --> 00:32:52,040
Speaker 1: if you don't doubt them now, there's nothing that changes

651
00:32:52,080 --> 00:32:55,600
Speaker 1: over four quarters. Your resume changes who you are on

652
00:32:55,640 --> 00:33:01,640
Speaker 1: the inside. That doesn't change. Academies outdoors the only time

653
00:33:01,640 --> 00:33:03,840
Speaker 1: they change is for the better. And so I told

654
00:33:03,880 --> 00:33:06,360
Speaker 1: you the other day, we got transition happening in our

655
00:33:06,480 --> 00:33:09,240
Speaker 1: academy sports and outdoors locations all across the country. They

656
00:33:09,320 --> 00:33:11,880
Speaker 1: make the show free. Did you know that, you know,

657
00:33:12,480 --> 00:33:14,920
Speaker 1: Once upon a time, not once upon a Saturday. Once

658
00:33:14,960 --> 00:33:17,520
Speaker 1: upon a time I was in the world where we

659
00:33:17,600 --> 00:33:22,080
Speaker 1: had to charge people for content, and I hated it

660
00:33:22,160 --> 00:33:24,600
Speaker 1: because I thought to myself, Well, I wouldn't pay to

661
00:33:24,640 --> 00:33:26,720
Speaker 1: listen to me talk, so why should I think anyone

662
00:33:26,720 --> 00:33:28,960
Speaker 1: else should. I still feel that way for the record,

663
00:33:29,240 --> 00:33:31,520
Speaker 1: and so thank the Lord. You don't have to pay

664
00:33:31,560 --> 00:33:33,600
Speaker 1: for this, because I doubt many of you would. Some

665
00:33:33,680 --> 00:33:35,440
Speaker 1: of you are too nice. Some of you would, but

666
00:33:35,560 --> 00:33:38,360
Speaker 1: many more of you wouldn't. That's okay. Academy makes it free,

667
00:33:38,680 --> 00:33:42,000
Speaker 1: and all they ask in return, humbly, is that you

668
00:33:42,160 --> 00:33:44,640
Speaker 1: just pay them a visit. And it's like I said,

669
00:33:44,680 --> 00:33:47,920
Speaker 1: it's not taking a field trimp to a nuclear waste site.

670
00:33:48,520 --> 00:33:51,080
Speaker 1: These people have it all. They've got all your outdoor

671
00:33:51,120 --> 00:33:55,080
Speaker 1: sporting goods, equipment, supplies, et cetera. They've got grills, they've

672
00:33:55,120 --> 00:33:59,680
Speaker 1: got canopies, they got chairs, they got tents, they've got scooters.

673
00:34:00,320 --> 00:34:02,880
Speaker 1: Have I ever touted the scooter selection there? No, Well,

674
00:34:02,880 --> 00:34:05,880
Speaker 1: they got them fishing equipment, et cetera, et cetera. And

675
00:34:05,920 --> 00:34:08,080
Speaker 1: if you can't get there in person, Academy dot com

676
00:34:08,160 --> 00:34:11,040
Speaker 1: is your hookup. Opening multiple new locations in September. I'll

677
00:34:11,040 --> 00:34:13,440
Speaker 1: tell you about those as the time draws closer. But

678
00:34:14,520 --> 00:34:16,879
Speaker 1: Academy Sports and Outdoors makes the show free, and we

679
00:34:16,920 --> 00:34:20,279
Speaker 1: appreciate them for having our back. You know what time

680
00:34:20,320 --> 00:34:22,600
Speaker 1: it is. It's time to do two things. Maybe three.

681
00:34:22,680 --> 00:34:27,440
Speaker 1: Let's let's put our chapstick on fall is getting closer?

682
00:34:27,560 --> 00:34:30,839
Speaker 1: Do points or lower ring outside? Number two, let's take

683
00:34:30,840 --> 00:34:36,399
Speaker 1: a sip from the challice. And number three, let's pop

684
00:34:36,440 --> 00:34:39,840
Speaker 1: the paper in front of us. To me, the biggest

685
00:34:39,880 --> 00:34:43,120
Speaker 1: out of conference game of the year has arrived. Now.

686
00:34:43,120 --> 00:34:45,799
Speaker 1: I got some disagreement on that because a lot of

687
00:34:45,800 --> 00:34:48,919
Speaker 1: you said FSU LSU was the biggest out of conference game,

688
00:34:49,080 --> 00:34:51,360
Speaker 1: and I guess in terms of like ranking versus ranking,

689
00:34:51,360 --> 00:34:54,399
Speaker 1: you're right. I just think the magnitude of this one

690
00:34:54,440 --> 00:34:56,839
Speaker 1: Saturday is bigger. Okay, so it's time to predict it.

691
00:34:57,880 --> 00:34:59,840
Speaker 1: Let's dive into it. A lot of disagreement on this

692
00:35:00,080 --> 00:35:04,440
Speaker 1: about this one. Texas at Alabama this Saturday night in

693
00:35:04,440 --> 00:35:07,680
Speaker 1: Bryant Denny Stadium. We will be on hand. I have

694
00:35:07,800 --> 00:35:09,839
Speaker 1: been looking forward to this one for a long time,

695
00:35:09,880 --> 00:35:12,239
Speaker 1: the once upon a Saturday tour headed down the road

696
00:35:12,320 --> 00:35:15,840
Speaker 1: a few hours to Tee Town. As high a pressure

697
00:35:15,880 --> 00:35:18,319
Speaker 1: a game, I think, as you'll see all season, I

698
00:35:18,320 --> 00:35:20,759
Speaker 1: would put Ohio State and Michigan up there, and I'd

699
00:35:20,800 --> 00:35:25,080
Speaker 1: put Texas Alabama up there for really different reasons. Think

700
00:35:25,120 --> 00:35:29,400
Speaker 1: about the difference in outcomes here, think about what's on individuals.

701
00:35:29,480 --> 00:35:32,759
Speaker 1: Steve Sarkesan knows he's about to be measured based off

702
00:35:32,760 --> 00:35:35,680
Speaker 1: this game. There are people who wonder if Nick Saban

703
00:35:35,800 --> 00:35:39,680
Speaker 1: still has the fastball. Like, right now, you're okay with

704
00:35:39,760 --> 00:35:43,080
Speaker 1: Alabama being ranked top three, top four where I didn't

705
00:35:43,080 --> 00:35:44,520
Speaker 1: even look at the AP today. I don't know where

706
00:35:44,520 --> 00:35:47,200
Speaker 1: they are, but I know they're top somewhere. You're okay

707
00:35:47,239 --> 00:35:50,240
Speaker 1: with that because they haven't really been tested this year yet.

708
00:35:50,280 --> 00:35:53,680
Speaker 1: But if they play Texas and they lose, and then

709
00:35:53,719 --> 00:35:55,319
Speaker 1: you're starting to go back and you're starting to say,

710
00:35:55,360 --> 00:35:57,640
Speaker 1: hold on a second, now, this is starting to be

711
00:35:57,680 --> 00:35:59,920
Speaker 1: a pattern. When they go up against high level teams,

712
00:36:00,320 --> 00:36:02,920
Speaker 1: they keep either getting pushed right to the brink or losing.

713
00:36:03,239 --> 00:36:05,719
Speaker 1: Saban used to dominate these kind of games. Saban used

714
00:36:05,760 --> 00:36:08,239
Speaker 1: to dominate these kind of teams. Does Nick Saban have

715
00:36:08,320 --> 00:36:11,880
Speaker 1: it anymore? That stuff is four quarters away from happening,

716
00:36:11,880 --> 00:36:14,960
Speaker 1: do you get that? Think about Quinn Ewers and Jalen Milroe.

717
00:36:15,719 --> 00:36:17,839
Speaker 1: Think about the pressure on those two dudes. I'd make

718
00:36:17,880 --> 00:36:21,520
Speaker 1: an argument, not as much as Milroe's been talked about,

719
00:36:22,040 --> 00:36:25,600
Speaker 1: and as much as that Bama quarterback competition is dominated headlines,

720
00:36:25,600 --> 00:36:28,200
Speaker 1: including on this show. I think there's more pressure on

721
00:36:28,280 --> 00:36:31,480
Speaker 1: quinn Ewers. Ewers is the one everyone expected to be

722
00:36:31,560 --> 00:36:34,680
Speaker 1: a transcendent star. Yours is the one that once again

723
00:36:34,800 --> 00:36:36,920
Speaker 1: looked a little shaky in Week one, even with the

724
00:36:36,920 --> 00:36:40,239
Speaker 1: new haircut. This is his shot, Like, if he gets hot,

725
00:36:40,280 --> 00:36:42,440
Speaker 1: first off, Texas gonna end up winning this game if

726
00:36:42,440 --> 00:36:44,759
Speaker 1: he gets as hot as he started last year's game.

727
00:36:45,040 --> 00:36:49,160
Speaker 1: But secondly, if he doesn't, he's the one who's got

728
00:36:49,200 --> 00:36:51,960
Speaker 1: all the proven weaponry out wide. Bama's wide receiver room

729
00:36:52,040 --> 00:36:54,400
Speaker 1: is still a question mark. Like quinn Ewers is the

730
00:36:54,400 --> 00:36:57,080
Speaker 1: one who's got to get it done. Bama can win

731
00:36:57,200 --> 00:37:00,880
Speaker 1: with Milroe playing a pretty good game. Texas not unless

732
00:37:00,920 --> 00:37:03,880
Speaker 1: Quinn you were shines, And if he doesn't, you're quickly

733
00:37:03,960 --> 00:37:08,400
Speaker 1: running out of statement opportunities in college. So that's all

734
00:37:08,440 --> 00:37:11,840
Speaker 1: we've got on the line Saturday night. The status of

735
00:37:11,880 --> 00:37:15,000
Speaker 1: Alabama's secondary is very important here. I was gonna say

736
00:37:15,080 --> 00:37:17,520
Speaker 1: very key, but one of the kids last names is Key.

737
00:37:17,840 --> 00:37:20,920
Speaker 1: So Jalen Key was the UAB transfer, really good player

738
00:37:21,400 --> 00:37:26,040
Speaker 1: banged up last Saturday. Status is questionable. Malachi Moore status

739
00:37:26,080 --> 00:37:29,200
Speaker 1: is questionable. Now I did the most digging I could

740
00:37:29,200 --> 00:37:34,200
Speaker 1: today over there and without sacrificing confidential, highly classified info.

741
00:37:34,560 --> 00:37:37,040
Speaker 1: I bet money that Malachi More plays Saturday. I don't

742
00:37:37,040 --> 00:37:40,120
Speaker 1: know about Jalen Key. I have no idea. But why

743
00:37:40,160 --> 00:37:42,680
Speaker 1: is that important? I think it's pretty obvious because when

744
00:37:42,680 --> 00:37:45,160
Speaker 1: Texas's buses arrived, not only as Quinn you were, was

745
00:37:45,200 --> 00:37:47,719
Speaker 1: getting off their eighty. Mitchell's getting off there. I know

746
00:37:48,080 --> 00:37:50,960
Speaker 1: my man, Xavier Worthy is getting off and if I'm

747
00:37:51,040 --> 00:37:53,160
Speaker 1: right immunity to that. By the way, if I'm right

748
00:37:53,400 --> 00:37:56,480
Speaker 1: about him being a dark horse Heisman guy, this is

749
00:37:56,480 --> 00:37:58,920
Speaker 1: the game where he's got to shine. They're good at

750
00:37:58,960 --> 00:38:01,560
Speaker 1: tight end at Texas, way deeper than I just listed

751
00:38:01,920 --> 00:38:06,040
Speaker 1: at wide receiver, and man, when I think back to

752
00:38:06,080 --> 00:38:08,520
Speaker 1: where Bama struggled last year, and I think back to

753
00:38:08,640 --> 00:38:11,440
Speaker 1: teams throwing the ball down the middle of the field,

754
00:38:11,560 --> 00:38:15,000
Speaker 1: mind you against them, I think about guys like Josh

755
00:38:15,120 --> 00:38:19,080
Speaker 1: Heipel finding the mismatch that day in Knoxville. We were

756
00:38:19,080 --> 00:38:21,640
Speaker 1: there for that one too. It was Jalen Hyatt and

757
00:38:21,719 --> 00:38:23,880
Speaker 1: it was against a bunch of guys mainly to Marco Hellams,

758
00:38:23,920 --> 00:38:25,759
Speaker 1: and that was it. That was all they needed. It

759
00:38:25,800 --> 00:38:29,919
Speaker 1: wasn't really overly sophisticated. It was just this dude's better

760
00:38:29,920 --> 00:38:31,279
Speaker 1: than that dude. If we can match him up, we

761
00:38:31,280 --> 00:38:33,240
Speaker 1: can win. Because we got a quarterback in Hinton Hooker,

762
00:38:33,360 --> 00:38:35,600
Speaker 1: they can get it to him. Well. If Steve Sarkisian

763
00:38:35,680 --> 00:38:38,200
Speaker 1: keys on that, and if it's there to be keyed on,

764
00:38:38,280 --> 00:38:40,960
Speaker 1: then it's going to be a problem all night long.

765
00:38:41,040 --> 00:38:43,920
Speaker 1: Line of Richie staff for Alabama. So that's the first thing,

766
00:38:44,000 --> 00:38:46,240
Speaker 1: because look, if they're healthy, if they've got those guys

767
00:38:46,280 --> 00:38:49,480
Speaker 1: ready to go, I really like Alabama secondary this year,

768
00:38:49,719 --> 00:38:52,239
Speaker 1: really like them. But those are big ifs like that

769
00:38:52,280 --> 00:38:55,840
Speaker 1: fundamentally changes this game. Think about that. That fundamentally changes

770
00:38:55,880 --> 00:38:59,960
Speaker 1: this game. The other thing about it is Steve Sarkisian

771
00:39:00,080 --> 00:39:04,520
Speaker 1: as a brilliant designer of offensive plays, but he's also

772
00:39:04,680 --> 00:39:08,399
Speaker 1: got studs. He's got studs in his wide receiver room

773
00:39:08,880 --> 00:39:12,280
Speaker 1: that he doesn't necessarily have to scheme open all the time.

774
00:39:13,120 --> 00:39:16,520
Speaker 1: If I have a d Mitchell, if I have Whittington,

775
00:39:16,880 --> 00:39:19,440
Speaker 1: if I've got Worthy, you know what I do, like

776
00:39:19,520 --> 00:39:22,040
Speaker 1: half a dozen times Saturday, I just trust them to

777
00:39:22,160 --> 00:39:24,840
Speaker 1: fight a defensive back and win. I trust them to

778
00:39:24,840 --> 00:39:28,000
Speaker 1: go and get contested balls. It doesn't always have to

779
00:39:28,040 --> 00:39:30,000
Speaker 1: be that I've got a big window to throw this

780
00:39:30,040 --> 00:39:34,279
Speaker 1: football in. It's Alabama, it's on the road. Those windows

781
00:39:34,360 --> 00:39:37,319
Speaker 1: you can't count on, at least those windows existing. What

782
00:39:37,360 --> 00:39:39,759
Speaker 1: you can count on is your guys being better than

783
00:39:39,800 --> 00:39:42,640
Speaker 1: their guys. This is why these stages are so great,

784
00:39:42,640 --> 00:39:45,359
Speaker 1: because you're playing against the best you're gonna see all year.

785
00:39:45,400 --> 00:39:48,560
Speaker 1: They won't see better athletes than this all year at Texas,

786
00:39:48,880 --> 00:39:51,200
Speaker 1: and so you go test yourself because if you win

787
00:39:51,320 --> 00:39:53,760
Speaker 1: those early in the game, you know what that feels

788
00:39:53,800 --> 00:39:55,600
Speaker 1: like on that Texas sideline. And do you know what

789
00:39:55,640 --> 00:39:57,120
Speaker 1: it feels like on the Bama sideline? Do you know

790
00:39:57,160 --> 00:39:58,640
Speaker 1: what it feels like in the stands? You know what

791
00:39:58,680 --> 00:40:02,680
Speaker 1: it feels like at home. It's fresh in everyone's mind, guys,

792
00:40:03,280 --> 00:40:08,240
Speaker 1: it's fresh watching defensive backs get burned, saying Nick Saban

793
00:40:08,320 --> 00:40:10,879
Speaker 1: coaches the dB. So it's a strength of ours, only

794
00:40:10,920 --> 00:40:13,560
Speaker 1: to see it become a weakness in pivotal moments over

795
00:40:13,600 --> 00:40:16,800
Speaker 1: the past couple of years. They've tried to talk themselves

796
00:40:16,840 --> 00:40:19,680
Speaker 1: out of that at Alabama, and I actually halfway believe them.

797
00:40:19,719 --> 00:40:21,759
Speaker 1: I think secondary is a strength for them this year.

798
00:40:22,600 --> 00:40:25,400
Speaker 1: But I've been wrong before, and if I am, and

799
00:40:25,440 --> 00:40:28,400
Speaker 1: if Steve Sarkisian starts dialing it up. If quinn Ewers

800
00:40:28,400 --> 00:40:31,840
Speaker 1: gets hot early. Down here in the stomach, there's this

801
00:40:32,120 --> 00:40:35,600
Speaker 1: knot that starts to form. It's an oh no moment

802
00:40:36,200 --> 00:40:39,439
Speaker 1: that quarterback gets hot early and we find out, ooh man,

803
00:40:39,480 --> 00:40:42,439
Speaker 1: we aren't quite as as rock solid as I thought

804
00:40:42,440 --> 00:40:45,880
Speaker 1: we were back there. That's a long night. That's reverting

805
00:40:45,920 --> 00:40:47,640
Speaker 1: back to thinking we're going to need to score thirty

806
00:40:47,640 --> 00:40:49,920
Speaker 1: eight or forty two, what's the number we're going to

807
00:40:50,000 --> 00:40:51,960
Speaker 1: need to win this one? And we ain't got Bryce,

808
00:40:52,280 --> 00:40:54,680
Speaker 1: we don't have mac Jones, we got dyaln Milroe here.

809
00:40:54,880 --> 00:40:57,359
Speaker 1: We thought we were going to pound people into submission. Well,

810
00:40:57,400 --> 00:40:59,040
Speaker 1: Texas has already got seventeen on the board at the

811
00:40:59,080 --> 00:41:01,080
Speaker 1: end of the first quarter. Oh yeah, that's a nightmare

812
00:41:01,080 --> 00:41:04,200
Speaker 1: scenario for Alabama. And so that's exactly what Steve Sarkisian

813
00:41:04,239 --> 00:41:06,600
Speaker 1: and his offensive staff are trying to key on doing

814
00:41:06,920 --> 00:41:09,520
Speaker 1: match up of the game. Though I don't think is

815
00:41:09,560 --> 00:41:11,920
Speaker 1: that matchup of the game. I think is that Texas

816
00:41:12,040 --> 00:41:16,440
Speaker 1: run defense against Alabama. Alabama's been so intentional since the

817
00:41:16,520 --> 00:41:19,400
Speaker 1: moment that Kansas State game ended and the curtain fell

818
00:41:19,719 --> 00:41:22,680
Speaker 1: on the twenty twenty two season Nick Saban pulled a

819
00:41:22,760 --> 00:41:26,279
Speaker 1: lever and they let those offensive lineman know, in no

820
00:41:26,400 --> 00:41:28,880
Speaker 1: uncertain terms, this is what we're about to do. If

821
00:41:28,920 --> 00:41:31,440
Speaker 1: you're not about this, get out of here. If you are,

822
00:41:31,560 --> 00:41:33,960
Speaker 1: get your bodies right and get your minds right. They

823
00:41:34,000 --> 00:41:37,000
Speaker 1: went and got Caden Proctor, a left tackle, true freshman,

824
00:41:37,120 --> 00:41:39,640
Speaker 1: immediately plugged him in because he was better than the

825
00:41:39,640 --> 00:41:41,320
Speaker 1: options they had, and he proved it in the spring

826
00:41:41,360 --> 00:41:45,840
Speaker 1: and then fall camp. And they are very very upfront

827
00:41:45,840 --> 00:41:47,920
Speaker 1: about the idea that they're going to lean on you.

828
00:41:47,960 --> 00:41:50,520
Speaker 1: They think they can dominate you, and when they're at

829
00:41:50,520 --> 00:41:52,399
Speaker 1: their best, they don't think anyone matches up with them

830
00:41:52,400 --> 00:41:54,240
Speaker 1: in the country. And they got a stable of running

831
00:41:54,239 --> 00:41:57,319
Speaker 1: backs along with a racehorse at quarterback that no one

832
00:41:57,320 --> 00:41:59,719
Speaker 1: can stand up to for four quarters. That's the game plan.

833
00:42:00,360 --> 00:42:03,920
Speaker 1: Here's the fun part. Texas got a really good run defense,

834
00:42:04,440 --> 00:42:08,200
Speaker 1: really good And so you want to talk about you

835
00:42:08,520 --> 00:42:10,640
Speaker 1: want to talk about one of the matchups of the

836
00:42:10,719 --> 00:42:14,200
Speaker 1: year and out of conference games, that's it. We get

837
00:42:14,200 --> 00:42:17,560
Speaker 1: to watch it Saturday night. So here's part two of

838
00:42:17,560 --> 00:42:20,160
Speaker 1: the potential pit in the stomach of an Alabama fan.

839
00:42:20,760 --> 00:42:23,200
Speaker 1: If you're just running into a brick wall and it's

840
00:42:23,239 --> 00:42:25,359
Speaker 1: first and ten, and it's second eleven, and it's third

841
00:42:25,360 --> 00:42:27,400
Speaker 1: and thirteen, and that happens a few times in that

842
00:42:27,440 --> 00:42:30,839
Speaker 1: first quarter, and you realize, uh, oh, we can't run

843
00:42:30,880 --> 00:42:34,239
Speaker 1: the ball. We're not winning, we're not moving, we're not

844
00:42:34,280 --> 00:42:37,440
Speaker 1: re establishing the line of scrimmage like I heard we

845
00:42:37,440 --> 00:42:40,200
Speaker 1: were going to do all summer and fall. That's a

846
00:42:40,320 --> 00:42:41,960
Speaker 1: not in the stomach. That means you got to throw

847
00:42:42,000 --> 00:42:44,000
Speaker 1: the ball to win. Do you trust that you can

848
00:42:44,040 --> 00:42:46,520
Speaker 1: do that? I know against Middle Tennessee State last week

849
00:42:46,800 --> 00:42:49,239
Speaker 1: there were explosive plays through the air, and there's a

850
00:42:49,239 --> 00:42:52,839
Speaker 1: formula where that happens Saturday night. But if you can't

851
00:42:52,880 --> 00:42:54,799
Speaker 1: run the ball, that intermediate passing game needs to be

852
00:42:54,840 --> 00:42:56,839
Speaker 1: there too. Do you trust that it's going to be there?

853
00:42:56,960 --> 00:42:59,600
Speaker 1: I would not trust that. Here's the other fun part

854
00:42:59,640 --> 00:43:03,719
Speaker 1: about this. Both teams think that matchup favors them. Texas's

855
00:43:03,800 --> 00:43:07,720
Speaker 1: run defense thinks that matchup favors them. Bama's offensive line,

856
00:43:08,000 --> 00:43:12,560
Speaker 1: Bama's tailbacks, Bama's quarterback, that staff offensively, they think that

857
00:43:12,600 --> 00:43:14,719
Speaker 1: matchup favors them. And what do we get to do?

858
00:43:14,800 --> 00:43:16,960
Speaker 1: We just get to stand there and watch it. Is

859
00:43:17,000 --> 00:43:20,839
Speaker 1: that not beautiful? Alabama's gonna make the margins really small

860
00:43:20,920 --> 00:43:24,680
Speaker 1: in this game. So by that, I simply mean Texas

861
00:43:24,680 --> 00:43:26,920
Speaker 1: can execute it, but nothing's going to be handed to him.

862
00:43:27,000 --> 00:43:31,000
Speaker 1: I think this defense through one game looks much improved,

863
00:43:31,040 --> 00:43:33,200
Speaker 1: and I'm just talking about the mentality they play with.

864
00:43:33,640 --> 00:43:36,360
Speaker 1: There were not a lot of mistackles last week. The

865
00:43:36,400 --> 00:43:39,400
Speaker 1: other thing about Alabama, albeit through one game, is they

866
00:43:39,400 --> 00:43:42,440
Speaker 1: didn't have a bunch of penalty issues last week and

867
00:43:42,600 --> 00:43:47,960
Speaker 1: Texas did. Texas's offensive line struggled last week. The offensive

868
00:43:47,960 --> 00:43:51,520
Speaker 1: line was the biggest question mark position for Chip Brown

869
00:43:51,560 --> 00:43:53,960
Speaker 1: and the guys and girls over at twenty horns twenty

870
00:43:53,960 --> 00:43:56,560
Speaker 1: four to seven through fall camp. And that gets me

871
00:43:56,600 --> 00:44:00,000
Speaker 1: to my prediction. The Vegas number is Bama minus seven.

872
00:44:00,280 --> 00:44:04,680
Speaker 1: Right now, what does our model think models really aggressive?

873
00:44:04,680 --> 00:44:06,959
Speaker 1: It's got Bama minus eight and a half. I had

874
00:44:07,000 --> 00:44:09,839
Speaker 1: to deflate that number a little bit because the raw

875
00:44:09,920 --> 00:44:13,600
Speaker 1: data had Bama minus double digits. Computer still sees a

876
00:44:13,600 --> 00:44:16,520
Speaker 1: gap between these teams when you factor in home field advantage.

877
00:44:16,520 --> 00:44:21,080
Speaker 1: It especially does. I think that even though players like

878
00:44:21,200 --> 00:44:25,160
Speaker 1: Will Anderson left this team, I think their defense is better.

879
00:44:25,920 --> 00:44:28,439
Speaker 1: I think it's a better matchup for Alabama this year too,

880
00:44:28,800 --> 00:44:31,640
Speaker 1: And I think the mismatch. That will be most glaring

881
00:44:32,080 --> 00:44:35,680
Speaker 1: through four quarters will be Texas's offensive line on the

882
00:44:35,800 --> 00:44:39,560
Speaker 1: road facing that pass rush and that front. I think

883
00:44:39,560 --> 00:44:41,719
Speaker 1: Mama's gonna get after them a little bit there, and

884
00:44:41,760 --> 00:44:44,120
Speaker 1: I think it's gonna lead to Quinn. You were still

885
00:44:44,120 --> 00:44:47,000
Speaker 1: making some big plays. I think it's gonna make them

886
00:44:47,040 --> 00:44:52,080
Speaker 1: inconsistent enough offensively to force some mistakes and also to

887
00:44:52,239 --> 00:44:55,120
Speaker 1: force enough not three and outs necessarily, but get off

888
00:44:55,120 --> 00:44:58,200
Speaker 1: the fields for Alabama to where they end up being

889
00:44:58,239 --> 00:45:00,719
Speaker 1: able to control clock like they want to and be

890
00:45:00,800 --> 00:45:03,040
Speaker 1: able to lean a little bit. I'm gonna take Bama

891
00:45:03,080 --> 00:45:05,360
Speaker 1: to win. I'm actually gonna take Bama to cover as well.

892
00:45:05,840 --> 00:45:08,080
Speaker 1: I don't think it's Texas's time yet. And I think

893
00:45:08,080 --> 00:45:10,840
Speaker 1: it's pure desperation mode for Alabama, which sounds crazy. I

894
00:45:10,880 --> 00:45:13,160
Speaker 1: don't think I've ever said that about them before they've

895
00:45:13,200 --> 00:45:16,360
Speaker 1: lost a game. Just think about that for a second.

896
00:45:17,000 --> 00:45:18,640
Speaker 1: What's the last time, what's the last time you saw

897
00:45:18,719 --> 00:45:20,920
Speaker 1: Bama backed into a corner? When's the last time you

898
00:45:20,960 --> 00:45:23,960
Speaker 1: saw them in wounded animal mode before they've lost a game.

899
00:45:24,160 --> 00:45:26,759
Speaker 1: The answer is you haven't, because no one ever doubts them.

900
00:45:27,160 --> 00:45:29,160
Speaker 1: Folks are doubting them. I got folks on my staff

901
00:45:29,360 --> 00:45:31,720
Speaker 1: picking Texas straight up. I got people on my staff

902
00:45:31,840 --> 00:45:34,319
Speaker 1: betting money they can't be affording to lose right now,

903
00:45:34,880 --> 00:45:38,200
Speaker 1: and I'm absolutely gonna collect if they're wrong. And that's

904
00:45:38,200 --> 00:45:40,760
Speaker 1: not relegated to just my staff. A lot of folks

905
00:45:40,760 --> 00:45:45,360
Speaker 1: out there think that Bama don't have a quarterback, Texas does,

906
00:45:45,760 --> 00:45:48,200
Speaker 1: and it Sarks time and it's Texas's time. I'm sky

907
00:45:48,320 --> 00:45:50,879
Speaker 1: high on Texas. I just think Alabama's the better team

908
00:45:50,880 --> 00:45:52,560
Speaker 1: and they're at home, and that's about the long and

909
00:45:52,560 --> 00:45:54,200
Speaker 1: short of it. So I'm gonna take Alabama to win.

910
00:45:54,360 --> 00:45:56,440
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take Alabama to end up covering. I'm not

911
00:45:56,480 --> 00:45:58,840
Speaker 1: predicting a blowout there, by the way, that's just a

912
00:45:58,960 --> 00:46:02,080
Speaker 1: fourth quarter, probably late in the game, Alabama tax on

913
00:46:02,120 --> 00:46:06,840
Speaker 1: a score, close, competitive game. Oh I'm looking forward to

914
00:46:06,920 --> 00:46:08,400
Speaker 1: it either way, though, we're gonna be down there all

915
00:46:08,440 --> 00:46:12,640
Speaker 1: day Friday in Tuscaloosa, certainly down there Saturday. Field level

916
00:46:12,680 --> 00:46:15,160
Speaker 1: for those games is unlike anything that you've ever seen.

917
00:46:15,480 --> 00:46:17,560
Speaker 1: I know some people taut European soccer even though they

918
00:46:17,560 --> 00:46:21,600
Speaker 1: hadn't been to a match, so please stop. It's unlike

919
00:46:21,640 --> 00:46:23,960
Speaker 1: anything you could ever imagine the lead up and build

920
00:46:24,000 --> 00:46:26,239
Speaker 1: up to kick off in a big college football game

921
00:46:26,280 --> 00:46:30,359
Speaker 1: and third downs in a road environment in big time

922
00:46:30,400 --> 00:46:35,200
Speaker 1: college football games at Texas Stadium at Bama Stadium, those

923
00:46:35,239 --> 00:46:38,759
Speaker 1: places are both the same. It is like it's to

924
00:46:38,800 --> 00:46:41,560
Speaker 1: the degree that you can't believe people can function in it.

925
00:46:41,719 --> 00:46:43,720
Speaker 1: Like I've been at LSU for a number of these games.

926
00:46:43,960 --> 00:46:46,279
Speaker 1: It's stunning to me that nineteen year old kids can

927
00:46:46,320 --> 00:46:49,640
Speaker 1: function in that. I'm impressed pro guys can do it,

928
00:46:49,680 --> 00:46:52,080
Speaker 1: but college guys, I cannot believe that they're able to

929
00:46:52,080 --> 00:46:55,680
Speaker 1: function in that. Remember, I don't care if your Texas

930
00:46:55,800 --> 00:46:58,719
Speaker 1: or Alabama. Peytstatemterial dot com is the place for you

931
00:46:58,840 --> 00:47:01,200
Speaker 1: right now, the once on a Saturday tour, it's headed

932
00:47:01,239 --> 00:47:04,560
Speaker 1: down to Tuscaloosa. We leave that specialty shirt in the

933
00:47:04,600 --> 00:47:07,839
Speaker 1: store for one week only, the once upon a Saturday Tour,

934
00:47:08,040 --> 00:47:12,000
Speaker 1: Bryant Denny Stadium, September ninth, twenty twenty three, Tuscaloosa, Alabama.

935
00:47:12,160 --> 00:47:15,800
Speaker 1: Once that thing's gone, once the clock strikes midnight, basically

936
00:47:15,880 --> 00:47:18,440
Speaker 1: Saturday night, that one's done and you will never be

937
00:47:18,480 --> 00:47:21,200
Speaker 1: able to get that again. I get to have them all.

938
00:47:21,320 --> 00:47:23,360
Speaker 1: That's one of the benefits of it being your store

939
00:47:23,400 --> 00:47:26,239
Speaker 1: and also the Pate State My State series. I got

940
00:47:26,239 --> 00:47:28,480
Speaker 1: one for Texas, I got one for Alabama. Over there,

941
00:47:28,640 --> 00:47:32,239
Speaker 1: those things are flying. We've kept them in stock, but

942
00:47:32,360 --> 00:47:35,080
Speaker 1: those things are flying out of the store, so thank you.

943
00:47:35,520 --> 00:47:38,000
Speaker 1: Even in Utah, I saw those shirts all over the place,

944
00:47:38,320 --> 00:47:41,680
Speaker 1: so I expect nothing less at Alabama and the rest

945
00:47:41,719 --> 00:47:44,359
Speaker 1: of the way throughout the Once Upon a Saturday tour

946
00:47:44,440 --> 00:47:46,560
Speaker 1: in this season. I appreciate you guys so much because

947
00:47:46,960 --> 00:47:48,799
Speaker 1: I love the way those things look, and apparently you

948
00:47:48,840 --> 00:47:51,040
Speaker 1: do too. Let's keep it moving. We got way way

949
00:47:51,040 --> 00:47:53,520
Speaker 1: more games to predict. I appreciate you guys being tuned

950
00:47:53,520 --> 00:47:58,319
Speaker 1: in live. Dion Sanders is one to o Colorado's want

951
00:47:58,320 --> 00:48:00,319
Speaker 1: to know and I say those in that order, and

952
00:48:00,360 --> 00:48:03,080
Speaker 1: they play Nebraska this week. Do any of you have

953
00:48:03,160 --> 00:48:07,600
Speaker 1: the slightest idea what to expect? Colorado is a favorite

954
00:48:07,680 --> 00:48:10,640
Speaker 1: in this game. Two and a half to Three's what

955
00:48:10,680 --> 00:48:15,040
Speaker 1: I see across the betting market right now. Big Oh, dude, Fox.

956
00:48:15,080 --> 00:48:17,040
Speaker 1: I don't work at Fox, and I'll probably get a

957
00:48:17,120 --> 00:48:21,239
Speaker 1: wrist slap for saying this. Fox. Whoever decides how to

958
00:48:21,440 --> 00:48:26,400
Speaker 1: market Big Noon Kickoff, whoever decides where Klatt and Gus go,

959
00:48:27,600 --> 00:48:30,120
Speaker 1: deserves a raise. Over there because they went all in

960
00:48:30,160 --> 00:48:32,600
Speaker 1: on Colorado being good and Dion being good. And if

961
00:48:32,600 --> 00:48:34,279
Speaker 1: they would have got to meet fifty six to ten

962
00:48:34,600 --> 00:48:37,360
Speaker 1: against TCU when they've already committed their Week one and

963
00:48:37,440 --> 00:48:41,520
Speaker 1: Week two spotlight games to Colorado, it would have looked

964
00:48:41,520 --> 00:48:45,200
Speaker 1: so dumb. But they chose perfectly and it's paying off.

965
00:48:45,520 --> 00:48:49,400
Speaker 1: So not my employer, but Fox College Football reaping the

966
00:48:49,400 --> 00:48:51,960
Speaker 1: benefits right now of what Dion and company are doing.

967
00:48:52,640 --> 00:48:54,640
Speaker 1: Don't be prisoner of the moment, That's what people keep

968
00:48:54,680 --> 00:48:57,239
Speaker 1: telling me, don't. I read the comments. I read all

969
00:48:57,280 --> 00:48:59,520
Speaker 1: the comments. They're telling me, don't be a prisoner of

970
00:48:59,560 --> 00:49:03,600
Speaker 1: the moment with Deon Sanders in Colorado, cause they won

971
00:49:03,680 --> 00:49:06,080
Speaker 1: the other day. Now, the same folks telling me TCU

972
00:49:06,320 --> 00:49:09,040
Speaker 1: was and I quote, the team that just played for

973
00:49:09,080 --> 00:49:11,719
Speaker 1: a national title, even though all those players left, the

974
00:49:11,880 --> 00:49:14,680
Speaker 1: team that just played for a national title, even though

975
00:49:14,760 --> 00:49:18,239
Speaker 1: folks were telling me that was TCU. Once you beat TCU,

976
00:49:18,360 --> 00:49:21,560
Speaker 1: all of a sudden, TCU is trash. You notice how

977
00:49:21,560 --> 00:49:24,520
Speaker 1: that works, moving the goalposts a little bit there. I

978
00:49:24,719 --> 00:49:26,680
Speaker 1: just think that they played a really good game, and

979
00:49:26,719 --> 00:49:29,759
Speaker 1: they were fortuitous a little bit, and they massively overachieved

980
00:49:29,760 --> 00:49:32,920
Speaker 1: relative to expectation, and they went and beat TCU, and

981
00:49:33,040 --> 00:49:35,839
Speaker 1: now there's a lot of spotlight on them. I ask

982
00:49:35,920 --> 00:49:38,160
Speaker 1: you what's worse, though, Is it worse to be prisoner

983
00:49:38,200 --> 00:49:41,120
Speaker 1: of the moment or is it worse to be a

984
00:49:41,160 --> 00:49:44,840
Speaker 1: prisoner of faulty logic? Because people keep trying to apply

985
00:49:45,200 --> 00:49:47,680
Speaker 1: data points from the past to Colorado. Let me save

986
00:49:47,719 --> 00:49:50,960
Speaker 1: you some time. There is no historical data point. No

987
00:49:50,960 --> 00:49:54,840
Speaker 1: one's done this. There is no comp from nineteen ninety

988
00:49:54,840 --> 00:49:57,440
Speaker 1: six or two thousand and three. It's totally new. It's

989
00:49:57,560 --> 00:50:00,600
Speaker 1: uncharted territory. Imagine running a sports book and trying to

990
00:50:00,600 --> 00:50:04,359
Speaker 1: put odds on Colorado games right now. Like history says this,

991
00:50:04,520 --> 00:50:07,640
Speaker 1: History says, History says. People shouldn't be paying four hundred

992
00:50:07,680 --> 00:50:10,120
Speaker 1: dollars for a ticket to a Colorado football game, but

993
00:50:10,280 --> 00:50:14,280
Speaker 1: they are. And the reason is because this ain't Colorado anymore,

994
00:50:14,400 --> 00:50:17,319
Speaker 1: or at least not your me Maw's Colorado team. Colorado

995
00:50:17,440 --> 00:50:22,200
Speaker 1: can they can be exposed and beaten by an older,

996
00:50:22,600 --> 00:50:25,920
Speaker 1: deeper roster. I just wonder as we get into this

997
00:50:25,960 --> 00:50:29,000
Speaker 1: game whether I just described Nebraska. I don't think I did.

998
00:50:29,280 --> 00:50:32,640
Speaker 1: By my estimation, Nebraska just hired a new coach five

999
00:50:32,640 --> 00:50:35,040
Speaker 1: minutes ago. Too right. Nebraska is kind of in the

1000
00:50:35,040 --> 00:50:38,040
Speaker 1: middle of a rebuild, too right. So is it really

1001
00:50:38,080 --> 00:50:41,200
Speaker 1: Nebraska like when they got when they beat TCU last week,

1002
00:50:41,520 --> 00:50:43,560
Speaker 1: I had people texting me saying, well, they won't be

1003
00:50:43,560 --> 00:50:46,120
Speaker 1: able to do this against Nebraska, And I'm like, really,

1004
00:50:46,239 --> 00:50:50,279
Speaker 1: why explain it to me? Like I'm five. Why so

1005
00:50:50,440 --> 00:50:54,720
Speaker 1: Nebraska went and they pushed Minnesota or they got pushed

1006
00:50:54,719 --> 00:50:58,640
Speaker 1: by Minnesota. But the thing about it is Minnesota ends

1007
00:50:58,680 --> 00:51:01,760
Speaker 1: up pulling out the game, but Nebraska pushed him because

1008
00:51:01,800 --> 00:51:06,680
Speaker 1: they shut the run down. Colorado really has a passing

1009
00:51:06,760 --> 00:51:09,120
Speaker 1: interest in running the ball, absolutely, but they're gonna They're

1010
00:51:09,160 --> 00:51:11,120
Speaker 1: gonna make their money one way or the other throwing

1011
00:51:11,160 --> 00:51:14,160
Speaker 1: the ball Saturday. And so the key here is to me,

1012
00:51:14,239 --> 00:51:19,080
Speaker 1: at least seeing how much pressure Colorado can withstand. Like

1013
00:51:19,120 --> 00:51:21,080
Speaker 1: Matt Rule knows what he's doing. Matt Rule knows what

1014
00:51:21,080 --> 00:51:24,600
Speaker 1: he's looking at here. Colorado's got big time edges. I

1015
00:51:24,680 --> 00:51:27,200
Speaker 1: think they've got big time edges at quarterback, and certainly

1016
00:51:27,239 --> 00:51:30,040
Speaker 1: they got massive edges at the skill positions. I got

1017
00:51:30,080 --> 00:51:31,960
Speaker 1: respect for Jeff Simms as a quarterback, but I mean,

1018
00:51:32,000 --> 00:51:36,279
Speaker 1: shuhdoor Sanders showed what he's capable of and at his peak,

1019
00:51:36,320 --> 00:51:39,360
Speaker 1: he's capable of doing really big things, and maybe he

1020
00:51:39,400 --> 00:51:42,360
Speaker 1: does it again this Saturday. But because of that, you

1021
00:51:42,520 --> 00:51:45,239
Speaker 1: just got to run at them all afternoon. You gotta

1022
00:51:45,320 --> 00:51:47,080
Speaker 1: run the ball, run the ball, run the ball, and

1023
00:51:47,120 --> 00:51:49,960
Speaker 1: then you gotta blitz shoud door Sanders all afternoon. They're

1024
00:51:50,000 --> 00:51:52,759
Speaker 1: gonna make some plays. They're gonna hit screens, they're gonna

1025
00:51:52,760 --> 00:51:54,640
Speaker 1: get the ball on the perimeter. They're gonna burn you

1026
00:51:54,719 --> 00:51:56,880
Speaker 1: a time or two. You just can't get burned a

1027
00:51:56,960 --> 00:52:01,439
Speaker 1: time or seven like TCU did. And you know your guy,

1028
00:52:01,560 --> 00:52:05,120
Speaker 1: Jeff Simms, your quarterback through three picks last week, will

1029
00:52:05,120 --> 00:52:07,440
Speaker 1: make their guide do it? You know, put your defense

1030
00:52:07,480 --> 00:52:10,200
Speaker 1: in a position to make plays. Is it played in

1031
00:52:10,239 --> 00:52:12,720
Speaker 1: a phone booth or is it played on the perimeter.

1032
00:52:13,080 --> 00:52:14,960
Speaker 1: If you told me that, I'm not sure that's a

1033
00:52:14,960 --> 00:52:17,279
Speaker 1: padlock stat. But if you told me that, that would

1034
00:52:17,320 --> 00:52:18,680
Speaker 1: go a long way and telling me which way this

1035
00:52:18,760 --> 00:52:22,000
Speaker 1: game's going. The Vegas number, as I said, is Colorado

1036
00:52:22,080 --> 00:52:25,640
Speaker 1: minus two and a half. Our model thinks the wrong

1037
00:52:25,680 --> 00:52:28,440
Speaker 1: team is favored. That's the first thing you need to know.

1038
00:52:29,360 --> 00:52:32,280
Speaker 1: Our model actually has Nebraska minus six and a half.

1039
00:52:32,640 --> 00:52:35,680
Speaker 1: So all the way across zero and the model thinks

1040
00:52:35,719 --> 00:52:39,400
Speaker 1: that Nebraska is the better team here, and that includes

1041
00:52:39,400 --> 00:52:43,520
Speaker 1: with home field advantage. I look at this model and

1042
00:52:43,600 --> 00:52:46,600
Speaker 1: I say, model, I don't think you have the slightest

1043
00:52:46,600 --> 00:52:51,239
Speaker 1: clue what Colorado is. And you hear that silence. I

1044
00:52:51,280 --> 00:52:53,719
Speaker 1: think the model agrees with me. I think Colorado is

1045
00:52:53,719 --> 00:52:55,760
Speaker 1: going to find a way to win the game. Now,

1046
00:52:56,000 --> 00:53:01,520
Speaker 1: what history says is this is a letdown spot. History says, well,

1047
00:53:01,600 --> 00:53:06,759
Speaker 1: Nebraska through three picks last week, and therefore they're more

1048
00:53:06,760 --> 00:53:09,479
Speaker 1: in a due up situation. This is a massive do

1049
00:53:09,480 --> 00:53:12,960
Speaker 1: down spot emotionally for Colorado. Surely they don't click like

1050
00:53:13,000 --> 00:53:14,759
Speaker 1: that two weeks in a row. I know all that,

1051
00:53:14,920 --> 00:53:17,200
Speaker 1: I get all that. I just don't think it's this

1052
00:53:17,320 --> 00:53:20,799
Speaker 1: Saturday like. I don't think I'm going to apply the

1053
00:53:20,800 --> 00:53:24,440
Speaker 1: book of conventional wisdom to Deon Sanders and Colorado. And

1054
00:53:24,480 --> 00:53:26,680
Speaker 1: you know what, wouldn't surprise me at all. It wouldn't

1055
00:53:26,680 --> 00:53:29,160
Speaker 1: surprise me at all if it's late in the fourth

1056
00:53:29,200 --> 00:53:31,759
Speaker 1: quarter yet again, and we're playing a game in the

1057
00:53:31,760 --> 00:53:35,200
Speaker 1: thirties of the forties yet again, and we got Gus

1058
00:53:35,280 --> 00:53:38,040
Speaker 1: Johnson's screaming at the top of his lungs yet again,

1059
00:53:38,400 --> 00:53:41,400
Speaker 1: and I'm loving it yet again. I'm taking Colorado to

1060
00:53:41,400 --> 00:53:44,480
Speaker 1: whim and I think they'll cover And if Deon Sanders

1061
00:53:44,480 --> 00:53:47,200
Speaker 1: starts to to oh, how much will tickets cost? From

1062
00:53:47,239 --> 00:53:51,200
Speaker 1: then on? Who's to monngst You invested in Colorado season

1063
00:53:51,239 --> 00:53:55,719
Speaker 1: tickets right before they hired Dion. That's the person I

1064
00:53:55,800 --> 00:53:58,000
Speaker 1: want to know, who got the inside track and how

1065
00:53:58,080 --> 00:54:01,360
Speaker 1: much money are you making because of that? Congrats whopstever

1066
00:54:01,480 --> 00:54:05,760
Speaker 1: it is congrats JP pole Time, Yes, JP pole Time

1067
00:54:06,000 --> 00:54:08,600
Speaker 1: a lot of wild fluctuation, and then JP Pole this

1068
00:54:08,680 --> 00:54:11,320
Speaker 1: time of year because we're still very early in the season.

1069
00:54:11,840 --> 00:54:15,560
Speaker 1: So sorry, I accidentally clicked on the wrong thing. Do

1070
00:54:15,719 --> 00:54:18,680
Speaker 1: me one favor if you will. Got a lot of

1071
00:54:18,680 --> 00:54:21,000
Speaker 1: new folks watching, got like eight thousand people watching live,

1072
00:54:21,440 --> 00:54:25,279
Speaker 1: so make sure if you're not already, just subscribe to

1073
00:54:25,320 --> 00:54:28,399
Speaker 1: the channel because it's free, doesn't cost you a thing,

1074
00:54:28,560 --> 00:54:31,719
Speaker 1: it doesn't lock you into anything, there's no spam mail

1075
00:54:31,840 --> 00:54:35,040
Speaker 1: you get. It just helps us make sure this show

1076
00:54:35,160 --> 00:54:37,640
Speaker 1: always remains free. And we do it all year long.

1077
00:54:38,000 --> 00:54:40,320
Speaker 1: There is no off season. We don't even say the

1078
00:54:40,360 --> 00:54:43,719
Speaker 1: word out loud. And the second thing is tell five

1079
00:54:43,719 --> 00:54:46,360
Speaker 1: of your friends about it, Like if you're like me

1080
00:54:46,680 --> 00:54:49,919
Speaker 1: candidly and you kind of got tired with the way

1081
00:54:50,440 --> 00:54:55,560
Speaker 1: national sports media entities were talking about our sport, and

1082
00:54:55,600 --> 00:54:57,359
Speaker 1: you didn't think they were doing a good enough job.

1083
00:54:57,480 --> 00:54:59,600
Speaker 1: So in my case, I went and started my own show.

1084
00:55:00,080 --> 00:55:02,520
Speaker 1: Your case, you went looking for another show. Well, hey,

1085
00:55:02,560 --> 00:55:04,719
Speaker 1: you found it. We're not the only one that does

1086
00:55:04,719 --> 00:55:06,080
Speaker 1: a good job, but we like to think we do

1087
00:55:06,120 --> 00:55:08,640
Speaker 1: a good job with it. And I'm like you, like

1088
00:55:09,080 --> 00:55:12,800
Speaker 1: we are like legit college football fans. We're not pro

1089
00:55:12,840 --> 00:55:16,400
Speaker 1: sports folks who pretend to cover and talk about it.

1090
00:55:16,400 --> 00:55:20,680
Speaker 1: We're not baseball sports writers who pretend to cover college football. Now,

1091
00:55:20,680 --> 00:55:22,520
Speaker 1: this is all we do. We don't talk about anything

1092
00:55:22,560 --> 00:55:25,000
Speaker 1: else on this channel but college football. But anyway, let

1093
00:55:25,000 --> 00:55:28,239
Speaker 1: me explain to you what the JP pole is. So

1094
00:55:28,920 --> 00:55:32,560
Speaker 1: a long time ago, I disowned the AP pole. I

1095
00:55:32,600 --> 00:55:36,440
Speaker 1: think it's laughable. It's good fodder, but it's largely laughable,

1096
00:55:36,520 --> 00:55:39,200
Speaker 1: sort of like the Farmer's Almanac. It's a cute thing

1097
00:55:39,280 --> 00:55:41,080
Speaker 1: to look at in line at the grocery store. But

1098
00:55:41,160 --> 00:55:44,480
Speaker 1: do any of us take it seriously? Do any of

1099
00:55:44,560 --> 00:55:47,319
Speaker 1: us take a magazine that tells us what it's going

1100
00:55:47,400 --> 00:55:49,920
Speaker 1: to be like in Topeak of Kansas five months from now? Seriously?

1101
00:55:50,000 --> 00:55:54,000
Speaker 1: Of course, we don't. Likewise, I don't really care where

1102
00:55:54,000 --> 00:55:56,640
Speaker 1: the AP has two lane rank, I just don't. And

1103
00:55:56,680 --> 00:55:59,840
Speaker 1: so in my world I started caring about power ratings,

1104
00:56:00,239 --> 00:56:05,440
Speaker 1: and power ratings in my world are quite simply. Let

1105
00:56:05,440 --> 00:56:07,520
Speaker 1: me go build a good computer model, and then let

1106
00:56:07,520 --> 00:56:10,000
Speaker 1: me ask that model who it would favor against who

1107
00:56:10,040 --> 00:56:12,799
Speaker 1: on a neutral field if they played tomorrow. That's not

1108
00:56:12,920 --> 00:56:16,520
Speaker 1: always slam dunk. Certainly the model would have favored Clemson

1109
00:56:16,560 --> 00:56:19,239
Speaker 1: Overduke last night, and look what happened. So it's not

1110
00:56:19,440 --> 00:56:23,280
Speaker 1: fool proof. This is football. We score in threes and sevens,

1111
00:56:23,560 --> 00:56:26,960
Speaker 1: with games featuring real human beings who make mistakes and

1112
00:56:27,840 --> 00:56:30,759
Speaker 1: sometimes get stomach viruses the night before games, and the

1113
00:56:30,800 --> 00:56:33,279
Speaker 1: balls really shaped funny and it bounces weird ways. So

1114
00:56:34,000 --> 00:56:35,960
Speaker 1: this is not fool proof, but it's a heck of

1115
00:56:36,000 --> 00:56:38,400
Speaker 1: a lot better an indicator than the AP. So what

1116
00:56:38,480 --> 00:56:40,600
Speaker 1: I'm about to show you is what we do every

1117
00:56:40,640 --> 00:56:42,560
Speaker 1: week on Tuesday. I'm just going to give you the

1118
00:56:42,560 --> 00:56:45,799
Speaker 1: top twenty, top twenty five maybe. And this is just

1119
00:56:45,880 --> 00:56:49,479
Speaker 1: neutral field favorability. So if you lose, you don't automatically drop,

1120
00:56:49,520 --> 00:56:52,120
Speaker 1: if you win, you don't automatically rise. It takes into

1121
00:56:52,120 --> 00:56:55,239
Speaker 1: account critical factors the computer weighs them the way that

1122
00:56:55,440 --> 00:56:57,680
Speaker 1: I and the person I partner with for this tell

1123
00:56:57,719 --> 00:57:00,000
Speaker 1: the computer to weigh them, even though sometimes I think

1124
00:57:00,040 --> 00:57:01,840
Speaker 1: this computer has a mind of its own. So without

1125
00:57:01,840 --> 00:57:05,400
Speaker 1: further ado, let's dive in and let's start in the twenties.

1126
00:57:05,760 --> 00:57:10,480
Speaker 1: Arkansas has cracked the top twenty five. Wisconsin looks like

1127
00:57:10,560 --> 00:57:14,480
Speaker 1: they fell. First order of business. Just because you have

1128
00:57:14,520 --> 00:57:17,480
Speaker 1: a little red arrow next to your name and your

1129
00:57:17,560 --> 00:57:20,880
Speaker 1: six spots lower than you were last week doesn't mean anything.

1130
00:57:21,760 --> 00:57:25,200
Speaker 1: Case in point, Wisconsin was up in the teens last week,

1131
00:57:25,240 --> 00:57:29,320
Speaker 1: now they're twenty four. Wisconsin actually got better. Wisconsin actually

1132
00:57:29,320 --> 00:57:32,800
Speaker 1: got some percentage points added. So if anything they improved,

1133
00:57:33,240 --> 00:57:36,240
Speaker 1: it's just that other teams improved more, and so they

1134
00:57:36,320 --> 00:57:40,080
Speaker 1: jumped them very very very much. Splitting of hairs right there.

1135
00:57:40,640 --> 00:57:43,520
Speaker 1: UCLA model loves them. I got them playing for the

1136
00:57:43,560 --> 00:57:47,920
Speaker 1: PAC twelve championship, so obviously I do. Dante Moore. Dante

1137
00:57:48,000 --> 00:57:50,200
Speaker 1: Moore got in there last week to keep an eye

1138
00:57:50,200 --> 00:57:53,440
Speaker 1: on old Dante Moore. Mississippi State we think continues to

1139
00:57:53,480 --> 00:57:56,120
Speaker 1: be one of the most underrated teams in America. We

1140
00:57:56,240 --> 00:57:58,600
Speaker 1: got Ole miss and Mississippi State twenty one and twenty two,

1141
00:57:58,640 --> 00:58:03,760
Speaker 1: respectively roll it on top twenty. Here, Gus Malzon has

1142
00:58:03,760 --> 00:58:05,960
Speaker 1: a top twenty team. Are you kidding me? Model, Yes,

1143
00:58:06,040 --> 00:58:09,240
Speaker 1: he does. UCF all the way up at number twenty.

1144
00:58:09,960 --> 00:58:12,520
Speaker 1: North Carolina made a pretty sizable jump too. Hey, if

1145
00:58:12,560 --> 00:58:16,280
Speaker 1: you tell me North Carolina's got legitimacy on their defensive line,

1146
00:58:16,600 --> 00:58:20,640
Speaker 1: will be absolutely they're there. Clemson's still number eighteen. If

1147
00:58:20,680 --> 00:58:22,600
Speaker 1: I was an AP voter, I would not have Clemson

1148
00:58:22,680 --> 00:58:25,840
Speaker 1: top twenty. But the model, it's look, I'll tell you

1149
00:58:25,960 --> 00:58:29,120
Speaker 1: what it sees. It sees the turnovers. It knows the

1150
00:58:29,200 --> 00:58:32,200
Speaker 1: variability in turnovers. It knows that wouldn't have happened. Therefore,

1151
00:58:32,200 --> 00:58:35,360
Speaker 1: it knows Clemson's not that bad a team score wise.

1152
00:58:36,560 --> 00:58:38,760
Speaker 1: I just asked the model, hey, where's the love for Duke?

1153
00:58:39,240 --> 00:58:41,920
Speaker 1: And it said Duke never heard of her. It's pathetic,

1154
00:58:42,040 --> 00:58:45,680
Speaker 1: like it's disrespectful. But anyway, Clemson is number eighteen. Washington

1155
00:58:45,720 --> 00:58:50,160
Speaker 1: at seventeen. Utah there it is again, fell three spots right,

1156
00:58:50,200 --> 00:58:52,320
Speaker 1: They didn't fall at all. They stayed right where they were.

1157
00:58:52,640 --> 00:58:57,160
Speaker 1: It's just other teams elevating moving on top fifteen. Notre

1158
00:58:57,240 --> 00:59:00,560
Speaker 1: Dame good spot right there for the Irish LSU is

1159
00:59:00,600 --> 00:59:04,280
Speaker 1: down to fourteen. LSU still a really good team. We're

1160
00:59:04,280 --> 00:59:06,600
Speaker 1: just talking about who would favor on a neutral field tomorrow.

1161
00:59:06,600 --> 00:59:10,320
Speaker 1: Here's the interesting thing. The model would favor Texas A

1162
00:59:10,400 --> 00:59:14,520
Speaker 1: and m over LSU right now. And so I pose

1163
00:59:14,600 --> 00:59:18,959
Speaker 1: this question to you. You can include Alabama here, who's

1164
00:59:19,000 --> 00:59:21,480
Speaker 1: the best team in the West, who's the second best

1165
00:59:21,480 --> 00:59:23,560
Speaker 1: team in the West, and who's the third best team

1166
00:59:23,600 --> 00:59:26,120
Speaker 1: in the West. Because as you saw, Model doesn't think

1167
00:59:26,160 --> 00:59:28,360
Speaker 1: there's a big gap between those teams in Mississippi State

1168
00:59:28,360 --> 00:59:30,720
Speaker 1: and Arkansas either, So it could be a lot of

1169
00:59:30,720 --> 00:59:33,440
Speaker 1: competitive balance over there, maybe more than people think. Oregon

1170
00:59:33,480 --> 00:59:36,080
Speaker 1: State's all the way at twelve, Oklahoma's all the way

1171
00:59:36,120 --> 00:59:38,960
Speaker 1: up at eleven. Look at these teams top ten times,

1172
00:59:40,120 --> 00:59:43,160
Speaker 1: Jonathan smith Man, what a move to get DJU. Penn

1173
00:59:43,160 --> 00:59:46,280
Speaker 1: State did not drop, Texas did not drop. It's just

1174
00:59:46,320 --> 00:59:49,280
Speaker 1: Tennessee vaulted up a little bit. USC vaulted up a

1175
00:59:49,280 --> 00:59:54,000
Speaker 1: little bit. Florida State's at six at six, Jesse, do

1176
00:59:54,040 --> 00:59:56,440
Speaker 1: you know where the AP had Florida State today? Just

1177
00:59:56,480 --> 01:00:00,640
Speaker 1: off the top of your head? Four? Okay, not too

1178
01:00:00,680 --> 01:00:03,680
Speaker 1: different there? What is our top five? Was there a

1179
01:00:03,680 --> 01:00:06,080
Speaker 1: little bit of movement here? Eh? There was one. Okay,

1180
01:00:06,120 --> 01:00:08,480
Speaker 1: so Oregon's still at five. Most underrated team in the

1181
01:00:08,480 --> 01:00:11,920
Speaker 1: country according to the model, Michigan is at four, Ohio

1182
01:00:11,960 --> 01:00:16,640
Speaker 1: State and Alabama switched places, Buckeyes three tied to dogs,

1183
01:00:16,720 --> 01:00:20,040
Speaker 1: one neutral field favorability. That's the way we see it.

1184
01:00:21,080 --> 01:00:24,400
Speaker 1: Top ten there just as a review. And it's funny

1185
01:00:24,400 --> 01:00:28,280
Speaker 1: how the transfer portal and nil was supposed to completely

1186
01:00:28,320 --> 01:00:32,120
Speaker 1: transform the college football universe, and yet that's pretty much

1187
01:00:32,200 --> 01:00:35,640
Speaker 1: like a top ten has looked for decades, with maybe

1188
01:00:35,680 --> 01:00:40,000
Speaker 1: the inclusion of Oregon more recently. I don't know. Maybe

1189
01:00:40,000 --> 01:00:42,560
Speaker 1: that's anecdotal. I think that's a little too anecdotal. Anyway,

1190
01:00:42,600 --> 01:00:45,600
Speaker 1: I'll be accepting your comments. I'm sure they'll be plentiful.

1191
01:00:48,720 --> 01:00:51,520
Speaker 1: Oh boy, I'm not gonna spend much time on this,

1192
01:00:51,600 --> 01:00:53,240
Speaker 1: I promise you, But I have to spend a couple

1193
01:00:53,280 --> 01:00:54,640
Speaker 1: of minutes on this. Let me take a sip from

1194
01:00:54,640 --> 01:01:06,600
Speaker 1: the chalice. Oh boy, here we go. Deon Sanders is

1195
01:01:06,640 --> 01:01:09,920
Speaker 1: totally transcendent to college football, Like, do you get it?

1196
01:01:09,960 --> 01:01:11,720
Speaker 1: I think the closer you may be to the sport,

1197
01:01:12,000 --> 01:01:14,080
Speaker 1: the less you may get this because you're in the weeds.

1198
01:01:14,120 --> 01:01:18,080
Speaker 1: No matter what. If you talk to a casual or

1199
01:01:18,120 --> 01:01:21,840
Speaker 1: even agnostic fan of college football. They don't even know

1200
01:01:21,920 --> 01:01:24,200
Speaker 1: anything about the sport. They couldn't tell you Michigan State's

1201
01:01:24,200 --> 01:01:27,840
Speaker 1: mascot to save their lives. He's who they're talking about.

1202
01:01:28,880 --> 01:01:31,920
Speaker 1: You may be talking about Bama play in Texas Saturday.

1203
01:01:32,320 --> 01:01:34,480
Speaker 1: You may be talking about whether Mario is gonna get

1204
01:01:34,520 --> 01:01:37,200
Speaker 1: figured out, whether Mike Norvel has arrived in the ACC.

1205
01:01:37,640 --> 01:01:41,000
Speaker 1: That's not what they're talking about. They're talking about coach Prime.

1206
01:01:41,360 --> 01:01:44,280
Speaker 1: They're talking about Deon Sanders out at Colorado. That is

1207
01:01:44,360 --> 01:01:49,240
Speaker 1: called transcending your space. He matters outside. Like Tom Brady

1208
01:01:49,280 --> 01:01:52,080
Speaker 1: did that in the NFL. Taylor Swift has done that

1209
01:01:52,120 --> 01:01:56,040
Speaker 1: in music. Deon Sanders is doing that in college football. Again,

1210
01:01:56,520 --> 01:01:59,560
Speaker 1: the further away you are from the sport, the quicker

1211
01:01:59,600 --> 01:02:01,960
Speaker 1: you are to agree with me on that. That's a

1212
01:02:02,000 --> 01:02:04,880
Speaker 1: good news bad news thing for us, those of us

1213
01:02:04,920 --> 01:02:07,880
Speaker 1: here inside the bubble. It's good news because it brings

1214
01:02:07,880 --> 01:02:10,240
Speaker 1: more attention to our sport. The bad news is it

1215
01:02:10,240 --> 01:02:12,520
Speaker 1: brings more attention to our sport, and some of that

1216
01:02:12,560 --> 01:02:15,800
Speaker 1: attention is held by the most casual minded people you

1217
01:02:15,840 --> 01:02:18,280
Speaker 1: could ever hope to run into. They are the drive

1218
01:02:18,360 --> 01:02:21,000
Speaker 1: by crowd. They're the ones who pull up know nothing

1219
01:02:21,000 --> 01:02:23,680
Speaker 1: about nothing, and they're the first to talk because, as

1220
01:02:23,720 --> 01:02:26,240
Speaker 1: Memo used to say all the time, those who know

1221
01:02:26,280 --> 01:02:28,640
Speaker 1: the least usually run their mouths the most. And she

1222
01:02:28,800 --> 01:02:32,880
Speaker 1: was right, and we're finding out again. So some of

1223
01:02:32,920 --> 01:02:35,520
Speaker 1: the things that I saw yesterday, I'm not going to

1224
01:02:35,560 --> 01:02:38,640
Speaker 1: do anyone the dignity of even putting this online or

1225
01:02:38,680 --> 01:02:41,720
Speaker 1: putting it up for you to see. You're gonna start

1226
01:02:41,760 --> 01:02:44,800
Speaker 1: hearing things, and I'm gonna beg you guys, don't get

1227
01:02:44,880 --> 01:02:48,160
Speaker 1: sucked in. There was a beat writer for the Cowboys

1228
01:02:48,240 --> 01:02:54,680
Speaker 1: yesterday who showed video of some TCU students yelling obscenities

1229
01:02:54,720 --> 01:02:56,760
Speaker 1: at Dion while he was on the field last week.

1230
01:02:56,840 --> 01:02:58,600
Speaker 1: And Dion blew a kissed to him, by the way,

1231
01:02:58,640 --> 01:03:03,360
Speaker 1: which is beautiful, And this dude says, hmmm, do you

1232
01:03:03,520 --> 01:03:06,280
Speaker 1: think that Nick Saban or Matt Brown ever have to

1233
01:03:06,320 --> 01:03:12,280
Speaker 1: deal with fans chanting fu at them? You obviously understand

1234
01:03:12,320 --> 01:03:16,840
Speaker 1: what the implication there is. And to the credit of everyone,

1235
01:03:17,160 --> 01:03:21,959
Speaker 1: regardless of affiliation, regardless of gender or race, I think

1236
01:03:22,000 --> 01:03:25,720
Speaker 1: it was virtually one hundred percent of our people, our

1237
01:03:25,760 --> 01:03:28,240
Speaker 1: college football people. They just jump down this dude's throat

1238
01:03:28,440 --> 01:03:30,840
Speaker 1: to the point where he deleted the tweet, and that's

1239
01:03:30,880 --> 01:03:32,640
Speaker 1: what you have to do with casuals. You have to

1240
01:03:32,680 --> 01:03:35,840
Speaker 1: shame them. You have to shame casual opinions until they

1241
01:03:35,960 --> 01:03:39,800
Speaker 1: completely evaporate. But that stuff's gonna start happening because a

1242
01:03:39,840 --> 01:03:41,720
Speaker 1: lot of people don't care about football, A lot of

1243
01:03:41,720 --> 01:03:44,720
Speaker 1: people care about storylines, a lot of people care about drama.

1244
01:03:45,280 --> 01:03:47,600
Speaker 1: A lot of people care about injecting it into a

1245
01:03:47,640 --> 01:03:50,840
Speaker 1: situation if it doesn't exist. So you're gonna see it.

1246
01:03:51,240 --> 01:03:53,520
Speaker 1: I'm telling you, you're gonna see it. You know it's coming.

1247
01:03:53,800 --> 01:03:57,600
Speaker 1: Just get ready for it and understand how to extinguish it,

1248
01:03:58,000 --> 01:04:00,240
Speaker 1: especially if it doesn't exist. Now, if we've got problems

1249
01:04:00,280 --> 01:04:03,560
Speaker 1: that do exist, that's a totally different conversation. So the

1250
01:04:03,640 --> 01:04:05,440
Speaker 1: other thing that I think is interesting. I saw a

1251
01:04:05,480 --> 01:04:09,120
Speaker 1: buddy Jack maguire who is doing real big numbers over

1252
01:04:09,120 --> 01:04:12,960
Speaker 1: there with unnecessary roughness and his secondary roles there in

1253
01:04:13,040 --> 01:04:16,200
Speaker 1: tertiary roles there at barstool. He did a video the

1254
01:04:16,240 --> 01:04:19,480
Speaker 1: other day and he said, hey, everyone keeps calling out

1255
01:04:19,520 --> 01:04:23,640
Speaker 1: Dion haters. Where are they? Where are the Dion haters?

1256
01:04:23,680 --> 01:04:26,720
Speaker 1: And he said, this dude's on every billboard, He's on

1257
01:04:26,840 --> 01:04:29,960
Speaker 1: every commercial, he is in He's a front page of

1258
01:04:30,000 --> 01:04:32,800
Speaker 1: every website. Right now, everyone's talking about it. Where are

1259
01:04:32,840 --> 01:04:35,000
Speaker 1: the haters? It feels like the people calling out the

1260
01:04:35,040 --> 01:04:39,360
Speaker 1: haters outnumber the haters ten to one. Oh, Dion's got haters.

1261
01:04:39,800 --> 01:04:43,760
Speaker 1: He's got them. Maybe not nearly to the quantity that

1262
01:04:43,880 --> 01:04:47,520
Speaker 1: his defenders claim that they exist, but they exist. They

1263
01:04:47,560 --> 01:04:50,040
Speaker 1: exist for a few different reasons. The first kind of

1264
01:04:50,080 --> 01:04:52,840
Speaker 1: Dion hater is just the kime that's a little more

1265
01:04:52,840 --> 01:04:56,000
Speaker 1: old school, and you don't have to think of yourself

1266
01:04:56,040 --> 01:04:57,720
Speaker 1: as a hater. So let's just say people who don't

1267
01:04:57,720 --> 01:05:01,120
Speaker 1: care for him, all right, let's anetize it a little bit.

1268
01:05:01,680 --> 01:05:03,480
Speaker 1: There are some people who just don't like the way

1269
01:05:03,520 --> 01:05:06,760
Speaker 1: he goes about his business. Totally your prerogative. That's fine.

1270
01:05:07,960 --> 01:05:10,400
Speaker 1: My stance on it is, I kind of love what

1271
01:05:10,520 --> 01:05:13,520
Speaker 1: he's doing, and I don't really even care how I

1272
01:05:13,600 --> 01:05:16,280
Speaker 1: personally feel about it. I put I'm weird about that.

1273
01:05:16,360 --> 01:05:18,960
Speaker 1: I'm the same way with politicians. I put my personal

1274
01:05:19,080 --> 01:05:22,160
Speaker 1: feelings about them and their personalities to the side. I

1275
01:05:22,320 --> 01:05:24,680
Speaker 1: just have like one thing I care about in politics,

1276
01:05:25,240 --> 01:05:27,160
Speaker 1: are you gonna make my life easier, You're gonna keep

1277
01:05:27,200 --> 01:05:29,840
Speaker 1: more money in my pocket? You got my vote? In

1278
01:05:30,000 --> 01:05:33,080
Speaker 1: college football, do you bring more interest to the sport.

1279
01:05:33,160 --> 01:05:35,600
Speaker 1: Do you inject more good into the sport than you

1280
01:05:35,640 --> 01:05:38,280
Speaker 1: take out of it? Like? Do you give to the sport?

1281
01:05:38,640 --> 01:05:41,480
Speaker 1: Are you interesting? Are you fun to watch? If you are,

1282
01:05:42,600 --> 01:05:44,680
Speaker 1: I don't really care if I like you or not.

1283
01:05:44,840 --> 01:05:47,000
Speaker 1: I happen to like Dion, but if I didn't like

1284
01:05:47,080 --> 01:05:50,160
Speaker 1: him personally, I wouldn't care. You wouldn't hear me tell you.

1285
01:05:50,360 --> 01:05:52,280
Speaker 1: If I didn't like him, you'd never hear me tell you.

1286
01:05:52,560 --> 01:05:54,960
Speaker 1: And so there are people out there who don't feel

1287
01:05:55,000 --> 01:05:57,919
Speaker 1: like that. In fact, I'm abnormal. Most normal people, if

1288
01:05:57,920 --> 01:06:00,000
Speaker 1: they don't like you, they're not gonna pull for you.

1289
01:06:00,720 --> 01:06:03,720
Speaker 1: In no shape, form or fashion. Will they ever root

1290
01:06:03,760 --> 01:06:05,800
Speaker 1: for you, or will they ever say, oh, good job.

1291
01:06:05,840 --> 01:06:09,919
Speaker 1: I'm glad Dion and Colorado pulled it out today. I've

1292
01:06:09,960 --> 01:06:15,080
Speaker 1: always been interested in how coaches feel about him. I

1293
01:06:15,160 --> 01:06:17,360
Speaker 1: told you guys once before, and I'll tell you once more.

1294
01:06:18,040 --> 01:06:20,880
Speaker 1: Very bunch of coaches who outwardly are going to claim

1295
01:06:20,880 --> 01:06:23,280
Speaker 1: to love what he's doing because they know it's horrible

1296
01:06:23,360 --> 01:06:26,120
Speaker 1: business to be seen rooting against Deon Sanders right now,

1297
01:06:26,280 --> 01:06:29,280
Speaker 1: but they are absolutely rooting against him behind the scenes.

1298
01:06:29,760 --> 01:06:32,000
Speaker 1: I know I've talked to some of them about it,

1299
01:06:32,400 --> 01:06:34,880
Speaker 1: and I certainly did never did not get permission to

1300
01:06:34,920 --> 01:06:37,120
Speaker 1: share their names on record. But I'll tell you what

1301
01:06:37,200 --> 01:06:39,800
Speaker 1: they know. They know Dion Sanders has turning the heat

1302
01:06:39,880 --> 01:06:43,439
Speaker 1: up on other coaches. They know that they've been able

1303
01:06:43,480 --> 01:06:47,240
Speaker 1: to preach patience, and they've been able to preach process

1304
01:06:47,360 --> 01:06:49,800
Speaker 1: to their boosters and their fans and their alumni network,

1305
01:06:49,840 --> 01:06:51,520
Speaker 1: and they've been able to tell them it's going to

1306
01:06:51,600 --> 01:06:54,120
Speaker 1: take a few years for us to fix this program.

1307
01:06:55,040 --> 01:06:58,720
Speaker 1: And look candidly, I think that's true ninety nine percent

1308
01:06:58,760 --> 01:07:01,240
Speaker 1: of the time. But they they got a problem. Deon

1309
01:07:01,280 --> 01:07:03,800
Speaker 1: Sanders is a problem for them because Dion just walked

1310
01:07:03,840 --> 01:07:09,080
Speaker 1: into not Georgia, not Michigan. He walked into Colorado, a

1311
01:07:09,200 --> 01:07:13,320
Speaker 1: total poverty program, one win last year and said, like

1312
01:07:13,360 --> 01:07:15,920
Speaker 1: a it's like a clapper, the lamp comes on and

1313
01:07:15,920 --> 01:07:17,880
Speaker 1: all of a sudden, all the talent's there, and all

1314
01:07:17,880 --> 01:07:20,040
Speaker 1: of a sudden, Colorado is the talk of college football,

1315
01:07:20,360 --> 01:07:23,959
Speaker 1: and voila TCUs in the National Championship one moment, they're

1316
01:07:23,960 --> 01:07:27,360
Speaker 1: getting beat by Colorado the next moment. And coaches know.

1317
01:07:28,240 --> 01:07:31,880
Speaker 1: Coaches know what their fans are thinking, coaches know what

1318
01:07:31,880 --> 01:07:35,480
Speaker 1: their ads are thinking, what their boosters are thinking, they're thinking,

1319
01:07:35,560 --> 01:07:39,040
Speaker 1: if that guy can do it at Colorado, why are

1320
01:07:39,080 --> 01:07:42,280
Speaker 1: we being told it's gonna take two or three years here. Now,

1321
01:07:42,880 --> 01:07:45,640
Speaker 1: there may be reality out there where there's only one

1322
01:07:45,680 --> 01:07:48,720
Speaker 1: Deon Sanders. That may be logic in reality. It may

1323
01:07:48,720 --> 01:07:51,520
Speaker 1: be logic in reality that you could never expect to

1324
01:07:51,600 --> 01:07:55,800
Speaker 1: duplicate what he's doing in Boulder, Colorado elsewhere, But that's

1325
01:07:55,880 --> 01:07:59,080
Speaker 1: logic in reality. There is no room for logic in

1326
01:07:59,160 --> 01:08:02,560
Speaker 1: an illogical sit situation. And you're going to find yourself

1327
01:08:02,560 --> 01:08:05,120
Speaker 1: if you're struggling as a second year head coach, especially

1328
01:08:05,120 --> 01:08:07,960
Speaker 1: in third year, fourth year, if you're struggling, you're not

1329
01:08:08,000 --> 01:08:09,960
Speaker 1: going to be able to sell what you've been able

1330
01:08:10,040 --> 01:08:12,520
Speaker 1: to sell to this point because Dion Sanders is going

1331
01:08:12,600 --> 01:08:14,760
Speaker 1: to ruin it for you, not that he cares, and

1332
01:08:14,800 --> 01:08:16,800
Speaker 1: the other thing that's going to be a problem. And

1333
01:08:16,840 --> 01:08:18,240
Speaker 1: these are the folks that are really going to come

1334
01:08:18,240 --> 01:08:20,240
Speaker 1: to hate him down the road, if they don't already,

1335
01:08:20,800 --> 01:08:22,840
Speaker 1: is a lot of folks in my profession are not

1336
01:08:22,880 --> 01:08:26,360
Speaker 1: going to like him, which is ironic because he is

1337
01:08:26,439 --> 01:08:30,640
Speaker 1: delivering ungodly numbers for you even as I speak. But

1338
01:08:30,800 --> 01:08:34,479
Speaker 1: there are a lot of people, not a lot there

1339
01:08:34,479 --> 01:08:38,439
Speaker 1: are some people in sports media who think that they're

1340
01:08:38,479 --> 01:08:43,120
Speaker 1: the story rather than their role being to cover the story.

1341
01:08:43,640 --> 01:08:46,160
Speaker 1: This exists elsewhere, but it exists in our world too.

1342
01:08:47,200 --> 01:08:50,120
Speaker 1: And the thing about Dion Sanders is he is actually

1343
01:08:50,160 --> 01:08:52,080
Speaker 1: the story and his players are the story, and his

1344
01:08:52,560 --> 01:08:54,640
Speaker 1: program right now it's the story. It's always going to

1345
01:08:54,680 --> 01:08:59,760
Speaker 1: be a story. And yeah, that alone rubs some people

1346
01:08:59,800 --> 01:09:03,479
Speaker 1: to way. But if it were just that, it'd be okay.

1347
01:09:03,760 --> 01:09:06,400
Speaker 1: I mean, these people have covered folks they didn't like before.

1348
01:09:06,560 --> 01:09:09,719
Speaker 1: Here's the problem Deon Sanders gets he can also control

1349
01:09:09,760 --> 01:09:13,559
Speaker 1: the communication of his messaging directly. He understands he can

1350
01:09:13,640 --> 01:09:17,480
Speaker 1: essentially run a production network in conjunction with his football program,

1351
01:09:17,840 --> 01:09:20,840
Speaker 1: and he can get his message out there directly. And

1352
01:09:20,880 --> 01:09:23,280
Speaker 1: therefore Deon Sanders is not really going to have to

1353
01:09:23,360 --> 01:09:26,920
Speaker 1: bend a knee to local media or regional media or

1354
01:09:26,960 --> 01:09:30,599
Speaker 1: even national media. Quite the opposite. Pissing them off and

1355
01:09:30,680 --> 01:09:33,480
Speaker 1: getting them to doubt him and getting them to criticize

1356
01:09:33,520 --> 01:09:35,760
Speaker 1: him publicly is going to be a lot of the

1357
01:09:35,760 --> 01:09:39,400
Speaker 1: fuel he uses to further his program and further his

1358
01:09:39,439 --> 01:09:42,960
Speaker 1: own goals. That's not going to go over well. Now.

1359
01:09:43,720 --> 01:09:45,760
Speaker 1: It's bad enough when he's doing it at Colorado in

1360
01:09:45,800 --> 01:09:49,080
Speaker 1: their minds. Fast forward five years. What if it's not

1361
01:09:49,120 --> 01:09:54,280
Speaker 1: Colorado anymore? What if it's a major, major program. You know,

1362
01:09:54,360 --> 01:09:56,720
Speaker 1: what if it's a place in the I don't want

1363
01:09:56,720 --> 01:09:59,280
Speaker 1: to say a specific conference, but you know, you hear things.

1364
01:10:00,080 --> 01:10:02,559
Speaker 1: If it's a place that's it's not out there in Boulder,

1365
01:10:02,720 --> 01:10:10,479
Speaker 1: that's a major media market, established, entrenched local media members

1366
01:10:10,479 --> 01:10:12,719
Speaker 1: that view themselves as institutions, And all of a sudden,

1367
01:10:12,720 --> 01:10:15,200
Speaker 1: the head coach walks in the door and says, I've

1368
01:10:15,240 --> 01:10:17,479
Speaker 1: never heard of you before, and it's really not a

1369
01:10:17,479 --> 01:10:19,200
Speaker 1: big deal. I won't need to know who you are.

1370
01:10:19,360 --> 01:10:22,320
Speaker 1: I'll control my own messaging that won't need you. It's fine,

1371
01:10:22,360 --> 01:10:24,920
Speaker 1: they already know me anyway. You know how that goes

1372
01:10:24,960 --> 01:10:27,640
Speaker 1: over You don't kind of coverage that leads to you

1373
01:10:27,680 --> 01:10:30,720
Speaker 1: know what kind of toxic environment that can lead to. So, yeah,

1374
01:10:30,760 --> 01:10:33,000
Speaker 1: there's some folks out there hating on him. I just

1375
01:10:33,040 --> 01:10:35,920
Speaker 1: don't necessarily think it's for the reasons that a lot

1376
01:10:35,960 --> 01:10:38,280
Speaker 1: of the low hanging fruit drive by crowd out there

1377
01:10:38,360 --> 01:10:42,680
Speaker 1: are alleging it to be. Because of they're watching us

1378
01:10:42,680 --> 01:10:46,040
Speaker 1: in Golden Valley, North Carolina. They're watching us in Augusta Georgia.

1379
01:10:46,439 --> 01:10:49,320
Speaker 1: Lacey Washington is tuned in. Thank you guys so much. Hey,

1380
01:10:49,360 --> 01:10:51,040
Speaker 1: I know it's a long show tonight, but we got

1381
01:10:51,040 --> 01:10:52,519
Speaker 1: a lot to talk about it. I told you there

1382
01:10:52,520 --> 01:10:54,479
Speaker 1: were some hard truths to tell on this show tonight.

1383
01:10:55,160 --> 01:10:56,880
Speaker 1: Make sure you like the video and subscribe to the

1384
01:10:56,920 --> 01:10:59,880
Speaker 1: channel while you're here, please and thank you. I'm looking

1385
01:10:59,880 --> 01:11:04,599
Speaker 1: so forward to this next game. I got a text

1386
01:11:04,680 --> 01:11:07,720
Speaker 1: message about this game from someone on one of these

1387
01:11:07,760 --> 01:11:13,120
Speaker 1: staffs at five thirty seven am this morning. Excuse me,

1388
01:11:13,560 --> 01:11:16,320
Speaker 1: and I won't tell you which one it was, but

1389
01:11:16,960 --> 01:11:18,840
Speaker 1: I actually liked both of these staffs, so it could

1390
01:11:18,840 --> 01:11:22,360
Speaker 1: have been either one. Texas A and m four point

1391
01:11:22,600 --> 01:11:26,920
Speaker 1: favorite at Miami this Saturday, three point thirty Eastern Kick.

1392
01:11:27,200 --> 01:11:31,880
Speaker 1: ABC Friendly reminder four quarters of football this Saturday is

1393
01:11:31,880 --> 01:11:33,519
Speaker 1: not really gonna change a whole heck of a lot

1394
01:11:33,680 --> 01:11:38,680
Speaker 1: about Jimbo Fisher or Morial Christobal. Reminder number two. What

1395
01:11:38,800 --> 01:11:41,040
Speaker 1: I just said is not gonna matter. It's not going

1396
01:11:41,080 --> 01:11:43,800
Speaker 1: to factor in because one of these fan bases is

1397
01:11:43,840 --> 01:11:46,120
Speaker 1: about to totally freak out and lose their minds when

1398
01:11:46,120 --> 01:11:49,960
Speaker 1: they lose this football game, and the winner will be

1399
01:11:50,120 --> 01:11:54,439
Speaker 1: hyped to the absolute moon if it's Miami, they're back.

1400
01:11:55,040 --> 01:11:58,400
Speaker 1: If it's A and M they're back again. And Bobby

1401
01:11:58,439 --> 01:12:00,920
Speaker 1: Petrino was the magic elixir. So let's dive into this.

1402
01:12:01,360 --> 01:12:06,000
Speaker 1: I watched the entire Miami versus Miami of Ohio game

1403
01:12:06,040 --> 01:12:08,439
Speaker 1: the other day because I was down there a couple

1404
01:12:08,479 --> 01:12:11,080
Speaker 1: months ago, and I know what I think my eyes saw,

1405
01:12:11,479 --> 01:12:13,800
Speaker 1: but I wanted to see it in real life. I

1406
01:12:13,800 --> 01:12:17,400
Speaker 1: wanted to see it in a football game. Now I

1407
01:12:17,439 --> 01:12:20,360
Speaker 1: know it's Miami of Ohio. Miami of Ohio, by the way,

1408
01:12:20,360 --> 01:12:22,400
Speaker 1: had a top twenty run d last year and virtually

1409
01:12:22,400 --> 01:12:24,719
Speaker 1: all those guys are back, so it wasn't a bad test.

1410
01:12:25,080 --> 01:12:28,880
Speaker 1: And Miami's offensive line looked good, total different unit. And

1411
01:12:28,960 --> 01:12:31,439
Speaker 1: so I mean, they ran the ball all over the place,

1412
01:12:31,600 --> 01:12:34,200
Speaker 1: and I really think they scaled down their offensive game

1413
01:12:34,200 --> 01:12:37,879
Speaker 1: plan and doing so. But here's the issue. As Dominant

1414
01:12:37,920 --> 01:12:41,360
Speaker 1: as I well, I'm not gonna say dominant has improved

1415
01:12:41,800 --> 01:12:44,240
Speaker 1: to this point, as I think their offensive line is

1416
01:12:44,439 --> 01:12:46,680
Speaker 1: this could be a bad matchup for them. Man Like

1417
01:12:46,760 --> 01:12:49,599
Speaker 1: A and M's got I hate saying dudes because everyone

1418
01:12:49,640 --> 01:12:51,800
Speaker 1: else says it, but they got some. They got some dudes,

1419
01:12:52,080 --> 01:12:55,200
Speaker 1: they really do, and so I think it's a bad

1420
01:12:55,200 --> 01:12:57,719
Speaker 1: matchup or is it? I know what the paper says.

1421
01:12:58,000 --> 01:13:01,519
Speaker 1: The paper says bad matchup, and on paper, A and

1422
01:13:01,680 --> 01:13:03,840
Speaker 1: M should be able to bottle that thing up, at

1423
01:13:03,920 --> 01:13:06,040
Speaker 1: least to the point where they make Tyler van Dyke

1424
01:13:06,080 --> 01:13:08,839
Speaker 1: win the game. And if they have to make Miami

1425
01:13:08,880 --> 01:13:11,920
Speaker 1: win the game through the air, it is a very

1426
01:13:12,000 --> 01:13:15,840
Speaker 1: valid question. Is that passing game where it needs to be? Yet?

1427
01:13:16,800 --> 01:13:20,320
Speaker 1: They questioned their wide receiver group throughout fall camp. They've

1428
01:13:20,320 --> 01:13:23,200
Speaker 1: got Shannon Dawson, a new offensive coordinator in there. I

1429
01:13:23,200 --> 01:13:26,400
Speaker 1: think this offense will eventually be pretty good down the road.

1430
01:13:26,479 --> 01:13:28,200
Speaker 1: Is it ready to throw the ball to win a

1431
01:13:28,240 --> 01:13:31,439
Speaker 1: game early? And that's if they have to. I know

1432
01:13:31,520 --> 01:13:33,560
Speaker 1: it was only New Mexico last week for Texas A

1433
01:13:33,640 --> 01:13:36,680
Speaker 1: and M, But I gotta ask, is the A and

1434
01:13:36,840 --> 01:13:40,679
Speaker 1: M passing experience real? Is Connor Wigman really that guy?

1435
01:13:41,360 --> 01:13:45,360
Speaker 1: Is Bobby Petrino really ready to rev the engines? Here?

1436
01:13:46,880 --> 01:13:49,559
Speaker 1: You know what I did? I shouldn't have done that.

1437
01:13:49,640 --> 01:13:53,120
Speaker 1: I apologize that is below the standard that we operate

1438
01:13:53,200 --> 01:13:56,120
Speaker 1: this show in accordance with. But since I already said it,

1439
01:13:56,800 --> 01:13:59,400
Speaker 1: vroom vroom baby, Like, if they're back, it's gonna be

1440
01:13:59,439 --> 01:14:01,320
Speaker 1: really fun to work because that's a top five talent

1441
01:14:01,439 --> 01:14:04,400
Speaker 1: roster in the sport. And if what they did against

1442
01:14:04,439 --> 01:14:06,960
Speaker 1: New Mexico or State or whichever one they played last week,

1443
01:14:07,040 --> 01:14:10,600
Speaker 1: if what they did in the passing game is what

1444
01:14:10,640 --> 01:14:13,599
Speaker 1: they're about to bottle up and do every week, they

1445
01:14:13,720 --> 01:14:16,840
Speaker 1: can win any game they play. They can be a

1446
01:14:16,840 --> 01:14:19,880
Speaker 1: playoff team. That's how good their talent roster is. Now,

1447
01:14:19,920 --> 01:14:22,479
Speaker 1: that's a long way down the road, because they could

1448
01:14:22,479 --> 01:14:24,640
Speaker 1: come crashing to Earth this Saturday, for all I know.

1449
01:14:25,439 --> 01:14:27,640
Speaker 1: The reason I didn't necessarily care about the quality of

1450
01:14:27,640 --> 01:14:32,320
Speaker 1: opponent last week was because I just wanted to see

1451
01:14:32,320 --> 01:14:35,360
Speaker 1: things in theory play out, Like I wanted to see

1452
01:14:35,400 --> 01:14:38,519
Speaker 1: an offensive coordinator willing to just press those buttons because

1453
01:14:38,560 --> 01:14:43,439
Speaker 1: they've played they've played bad competition before and struggled to

1454
01:14:43,439 --> 01:14:46,360
Speaker 1: put thirty on them. So yeah, maybe it was just

1455
01:14:46,400 --> 01:14:48,640
Speaker 1: New Mexico, but it was also fifty two points, and

1456
01:14:48,680 --> 01:14:51,519
Speaker 1: they don't do that even against bad competition nearly to

1457
01:14:51,560 --> 01:14:54,080
Speaker 1: the degree they should. If it's clicking, they got Evan

1458
01:14:54,120 --> 01:14:56,439
Speaker 1: Stewart on this team. If it's clicking, they got Noah

1459
01:14:56,479 --> 01:14:58,479
Speaker 1: Thomas on this team. They got a nice smith on

1460
01:14:58,520 --> 01:15:00,320
Speaker 1: this team, Evan Stewart. By the way, I had eight

1461
01:15:00,360 --> 01:15:03,280
Speaker 1: catches for one point fifteen and two touchdowns last week.

1462
01:15:03,720 --> 01:15:07,000
Speaker 1: This could be his breakout moment, should be, It should

1463
01:15:07,040 --> 01:15:10,160
Speaker 1: be a star already. Like Evan Stewart's the Truth, he

1464
01:15:10,280 --> 01:15:13,200
Speaker 1: just needs to be in a truth based offense. I

1465
01:15:13,240 --> 01:15:15,599
Speaker 1: don't know if anyone's running the truth offense out there,

1466
01:15:15,600 --> 01:15:17,320
Speaker 1: but they need to be running it at A and M.

1467
01:15:17,360 --> 01:15:19,920
Speaker 1: Because if they do, Evan Stewart is about as good

1468
01:15:19,920 --> 01:15:22,080
Speaker 1: as anyone out there at his position. Here's the key

1469
01:15:23,400 --> 01:15:26,479
Speaker 1: they have got to at Miami. They've got to do

1470
01:15:27,000 --> 01:15:29,960
Speaker 1: what we would call the bait and pick approach. They

1471
01:15:30,000 --> 01:15:31,960
Speaker 1: got a good pass rush at Miami. Now you got

1472
01:15:32,000 --> 01:15:33,479
Speaker 1: to earn the right to rush the passers. So you

1473
01:15:33,560 --> 01:15:35,080
Speaker 1: got to stop the run on early downs and you

1474
01:15:35,080 --> 01:15:37,000
Speaker 1: got to earn the right to have your guys get

1475
01:15:37,040 --> 01:15:39,880
Speaker 1: after it. But the old bait and pick is find

1476
01:15:39,960 --> 01:15:42,120
Speaker 1: A and M feeling a little bit too good about

1477
01:15:42,120 --> 01:15:45,080
Speaker 1: that passing game a little bit too early, and let

1478
01:15:45,120 --> 01:15:48,200
Speaker 1: those pass rushers get after Connor Wigman and let them

1479
01:15:48,200 --> 01:15:50,599
Speaker 1: force some errant throws, maybe force some fumbles, maybe force

1480
01:15:50,640 --> 01:15:53,160
Speaker 1: a pick, still a possession or two, and then play

1481
01:15:53,200 --> 01:15:57,520
Speaker 1: your game, maybe you know, then take your chances Miami's

1482
01:15:57,560 --> 01:15:59,760
Speaker 1: DB's by the way, Cam Kitchen back there is playing

1483
01:15:59,760 --> 01:16:01,880
Speaker 1: about as good as any safety in the country. That's

1484
01:16:01,880 --> 01:16:04,439
Speaker 1: why he was a preseason payate State All American. Mind you,

1485
01:16:05,320 --> 01:16:07,800
Speaker 1: So this can happen. Like I know, a lot of

1486
01:16:07,800 --> 01:16:10,400
Speaker 1: my AGGI friends think four and a half is easy money.

1487
01:16:10,439 --> 01:16:13,240
Speaker 1: It's free money, which, as we know, doesn't exist even

1488
01:16:13,280 --> 01:16:16,640
Speaker 1: on the Rama Noodle Express doesn't exist. But there's a

1489
01:16:16,680 --> 01:16:18,160
Speaker 1: reason why that line is only four and a half.

1490
01:16:18,320 --> 01:16:20,920
Speaker 1: It's still a lot to be ironed out on both sides,

1491
01:16:21,000 --> 01:16:22,880
Speaker 1: quite frankly. So let's look at the Vegas number. I

1492
01:16:23,000 --> 01:16:24,840
Speaker 1: just told you A and M minus four and a half.

1493
01:16:24,840 --> 01:16:27,200
Speaker 1: What does our model think? I actually thought our model

1494
01:16:27,200 --> 01:16:29,360
Speaker 1: would be much bigger on this, but it's not. It

1495
01:16:29,439 --> 01:16:33,920
Speaker 1: agrees our model has A and M minus four, and

1496
01:16:34,000 --> 01:16:35,760
Speaker 1: so where do I go with this? It's a pure

1497
01:16:35,800 --> 01:16:40,160
Speaker 1: gut play. Miami played fifteen true freshmen last week, as

1498
01:16:40,200 --> 01:16:42,280
Speaker 1: they should. A lot of their true freshmen are the

1499
01:16:42,280 --> 01:16:45,120
Speaker 1: best athletes on that team. But when I'm on the

1500
01:16:45,120 --> 01:16:47,400
Speaker 1: fence about a game like this, and I know I'm

1501
01:16:47,400 --> 01:16:50,400
Speaker 1: gonna have to rely on that many young kids, I

1502
01:16:50,479 --> 01:16:52,760
Speaker 1: sit there and think you're a year away, and I

1503
01:16:52,800 --> 01:16:55,240
Speaker 1: think in games like this where you've got an ultra

1504
01:16:55,360 --> 01:17:00,320
Speaker 1: physical matchup, not disadvantage, but matchup issue. I just take

1505
01:17:00,320 --> 01:17:03,040
Speaker 1: the more seasoned, veteran talented team that I think is

1506
01:17:03,040 --> 01:17:05,120
Speaker 1: figuring things out offensively. So I'm gonna take A and

1507
01:17:05,240 --> 01:17:07,240
Speaker 1: M to win. I'm gonna take A and M to cover.

1508
01:17:07,479 --> 01:17:10,679
Speaker 1: I think it could be the kind of game where Miami,

1509
01:17:11,120 --> 01:17:13,960
Speaker 1: if they win, forget everything I just said. If they lose, though,

1510
01:17:14,479 --> 01:17:16,040
Speaker 1: it could be the kind of game where they lose.

1511
01:17:16,040 --> 01:17:18,120
Speaker 1: But you say, you know what, even in a loss today,

1512
01:17:18,880 --> 01:17:22,160
Speaker 1: I'm feeling the direction we're going. Give us another year

1513
01:17:22,200 --> 01:17:23,840
Speaker 1: and let's play that game again, and I think it

1514
01:17:23,880 --> 01:17:26,120
Speaker 1: turns out different. I think that's where we're heading this game.

1515
01:17:26,800 --> 01:17:29,000
Speaker 1: All right, let's move it on. Got another game to

1516
01:17:29,040 --> 01:17:32,960
Speaker 1: pick here. Appreciate you guys being tuned in live, live viewership.

1517
01:17:33,040 --> 01:17:36,880
Speaker 1: Nothing like it. Boy, what a game we are setting

1518
01:17:36,960 --> 01:17:39,679
Speaker 1: up to watch in Lubbock, Texas. Oregon is a six

1519
01:17:39,800 --> 01:17:42,680
Speaker 1: and a half point favorite. As we speak. They're on

1520
01:17:42,760 --> 01:17:45,799
Speaker 1: the road at Texas Tech. When is this being played?

1521
01:17:45,920 --> 01:17:49,120
Speaker 1: Not at high noon? Nope? Oregon could only be so lucky.

1522
01:17:49,720 --> 01:17:54,040
Speaker 1: It is a seven o'clock Eastern kickoff on ESPN Oregon coaches.

1523
01:17:54,080 --> 01:17:56,680
Speaker 1: I guarantee you the moment Texas Tech went down to

1524
01:17:56,720 --> 01:18:01,360
Speaker 1: Wyoming said oh great, cause the looks at it and says,

1525
01:18:01,360 --> 01:18:04,880
Speaker 1: oh good, Texas Tech's vulnerable. Those of us who've been

1526
01:18:04,920 --> 01:18:08,120
Speaker 1: around this sport and watched it say, oh great, Texas

1527
01:18:08,120 --> 01:18:12,280
Speaker 1: Tech knows they're vulnerable. It's wounded animal mode. It's one

1528
01:18:12,320 --> 01:18:15,040
Speaker 1: of the most dangerous places to face a team when

1529
01:18:15,040 --> 01:18:17,640
Speaker 1: they're going back home. So you got to go to

1530
01:18:17,680 --> 01:18:21,479
Speaker 1: their building and they're in wounded animal mode that all

1531
01:18:21,520 --> 01:18:25,439
Speaker 1: those matchup advantages are rendered moot sometimes, cause crazy stuff

1532
01:18:25,479 --> 01:18:29,000
Speaker 1: happens because this is college football. I mean they lost

1533
01:18:29,120 --> 01:18:32,040
Speaker 1: in a stadium last week that had mountains painted in

1534
01:18:32,080 --> 01:18:35,719
Speaker 1: the end zone. What a beautiful sport. Anyway, the feel

1535
01:18:35,760 --> 01:18:38,439
Speaker 1: on Oregon and the feel I've told you I have

1536
01:18:38,600 --> 01:18:41,960
Speaker 1: the entire summer is I think their defensive personnel is

1537
01:18:42,040 --> 01:18:44,840
Speaker 1: much deeper and better, and they're able to be more

1538
01:18:44,960 --> 01:18:48,760
Speaker 1: versatile and packaged specific with the way that they want

1539
01:18:48,800 --> 01:18:53,160
Speaker 1: to go about attacking an offense, and they better be else.

1540
01:18:53,240 --> 01:18:56,479
Speaker 1: Texas Tech had nine guys catch passes last week, and

1541
01:18:56,720 --> 01:18:59,599
Speaker 1: all of them. All of those nine had at least

1542
01:18:59,640 --> 01:19:02,439
Speaker 1: one reception of ten or more yards. So they spread

1543
01:19:02,439 --> 01:19:04,960
Speaker 1: the ball around. It's a big week for Taj Lupoy,

1544
01:19:05,640 --> 01:19:08,759
Speaker 1: big week for him. That's the defensive coordinator at Oregon.

1545
01:19:09,040 --> 01:19:12,120
Speaker 1: You know, Dan Landing got hired there, and if I'm

1546
01:19:12,120 --> 01:19:15,160
Speaker 1: an Oregon fan, when I hire the defensive coordinator from Georgia,

1547
01:19:15,520 --> 01:19:18,160
Speaker 1: I'm thinking to myself, Oh good, we got Bo Nicks,

1548
01:19:18,400 --> 01:19:20,479
Speaker 1: but we're also going to have a dominant defense eventually.

1549
01:19:20,560 --> 01:19:24,320
Speaker 1: Right well, Lapour is the coordinator up there. Big week

1550
01:19:24,360 --> 01:19:26,720
Speaker 1: for him, really big week for him, because they got

1551
01:19:26,760 --> 01:19:29,800
Speaker 1: I think they got good enough personnel, but you know,

1552
01:19:29,880 --> 01:19:31,720
Speaker 1: personnel has got to be put in the right place

1553
01:19:31,760 --> 01:19:36,280
Speaker 1: to execute Number two. I think Oregon can choose which

1554
01:19:36,479 --> 01:19:39,360
Speaker 1: offensive style they want to feature here. They're deep and

1555
01:19:39,439 --> 01:19:42,840
Speaker 1: talented enough at wide receiver to attack Texas Tech through

1556
01:19:42,840 --> 01:19:45,000
Speaker 1: the air. They obviously got Bo Knicks at quarterback. I

1557
01:19:45,040 --> 01:19:46,680
Speaker 1: got all the confidence in the world in him. But

1558
01:19:46,720 --> 01:19:50,240
Speaker 1: also their offensive line. That offensive line that the preview

1559
01:19:50,280 --> 01:19:53,120
Speaker 1: magazine's told you maybe a weakness because they're replacing four

1560
01:19:53,160 --> 01:19:54,880
Speaker 1: guys on it, and your boy here told you is

1561
01:19:54,880 --> 01:19:57,599
Speaker 1: going to be a strength. I still believe is a strength.

1562
01:19:58,400 --> 01:20:00,719
Speaker 1: I also think that you got to unders size defensive

1563
01:20:00,720 --> 01:20:02,240
Speaker 1: front of your facing this week. I think you could

1564
01:20:02,280 --> 01:20:04,960
Speaker 1: lean on Texas Tech, or you should at least be

1565
01:20:05,000 --> 01:20:07,680
Speaker 1: able to think you can. And so I think what

1566
01:20:07,720 --> 01:20:10,280
Speaker 1: they'll do is a combination of the two. I think

1567
01:20:10,320 --> 01:20:13,960
Speaker 1: they'll open it up but ultimately revert back to leaning.

1568
01:20:14,320 --> 01:20:15,960
Speaker 1: And it's kind of the way they played the UCLA

1569
01:20:16,000 --> 01:20:17,559
Speaker 1: game last year, to be honest. They showed a little

1570
01:20:17,560 --> 01:20:19,160
Speaker 1: bit of everything in that game. Now, that was with

1571
01:20:19,280 --> 01:20:22,040
Speaker 1: Kenny Dillingham is the OC and he's off to Arizona

1572
01:20:22,040 --> 01:20:25,040
Speaker 1: State now. But philosophically, I think that's the right way

1573
01:20:25,080 --> 01:20:27,439
Speaker 1: to go about this. Field goal kicking was a problem

1574
01:20:27,479 --> 01:20:29,400
Speaker 1: for Texas Tech last week. They missed three of them.

1575
01:20:29,760 --> 01:20:31,799
Speaker 1: They need to win that. They need to win hidden yardage.

1576
01:20:31,920 --> 01:20:33,960
Speaker 1: Let's take a look at what the model thinks. Yeah,

1577
01:20:34,080 --> 01:20:36,800
Speaker 1: Oregon scored eighty one last week, so they're averaging eighty

1578
01:20:36,840 --> 01:20:40,080
Speaker 1: one points per game. The Vegas number is Oregon minus

1579
01:20:40,080 --> 01:20:42,800
Speaker 1: six and a half. The model's just a little bit

1580
01:20:42,880 --> 01:20:45,280
Speaker 1: north of that. We got Oregon minus seven and a half.

1581
01:20:45,600 --> 01:20:48,840
Speaker 1: I'm nervous. I'm nervous cause I'm gonna pick Oregon to win.

1582
01:20:49,240 --> 01:20:53,439
Speaker 1: I'm gonna pick Oregon to cover. I know, to take Lubbock,

1583
01:20:53,479 --> 01:20:58,080
Speaker 1: Texas seriously, I know to take Joey McGuire seriously. I

1584
01:20:58,160 --> 01:21:00,640
Speaker 1: know to take a quarterback in Tyler's Show who was

1585
01:21:01,160 --> 01:21:03,720
Speaker 1: essentially jettison from Oregon and now starts for the Red

1586
01:21:03,760 --> 01:21:06,840
Speaker 1: Raiders seriously. And I know to take a team in

1587
01:21:06,920 --> 01:21:10,760
Speaker 1: desperation mode, not wanting to start zero to two seriously.

1588
01:21:12,280 --> 01:21:14,519
Speaker 1: So why am I taking Oregon? I do think they're

1589
01:21:14,520 --> 01:21:17,080
Speaker 1: that much better. I do think they're that much better.

1590
01:21:17,120 --> 01:21:19,920
Speaker 1: I'm not betting a dime on this game because I am,

1591
01:21:20,040 --> 01:21:23,360
Speaker 1: like I said, very nervous about it. But we're gonna

1592
01:21:23,360 --> 01:21:25,000
Speaker 1: go Oregon to win. We're gonna go Organ to cover,

1593
01:21:25,160 --> 01:21:28,160
Speaker 1: especially at six and a half. I am adding two

1594
01:21:28,200 --> 01:21:30,840
Speaker 1: more games to the Romindel Express night. Hey there's my chart.

1595
01:21:31,200 --> 01:21:33,960
Speaker 1: Ah man did that like an hour ago? No, just

1596
01:21:34,000 --> 01:21:37,320
Speaker 1: now found it. The Romindel Express is a five hundred.

1597
01:21:37,920 --> 01:21:41,400
Speaker 1: That pesky little Clemson game last night. Don't worry that

1598
01:21:41,479 --> 01:21:43,400
Speaker 1: we got some content out of it, didn't We We'll

1599
01:21:43,400 --> 01:21:47,080
Speaker 1: be fine. We are already on four games this week.

1600
01:21:47,240 --> 01:21:50,040
Speaker 1: Quick reminders. Oklahoma State minus two and a half, that

1601
01:21:50,120 --> 01:21:53,439
Speaker 1: one's gone to three now, Charlotte plus twenty four and

1602
01:21:53,479 --> 01:21:55,519
Speaker 1: a half. We got on Liberty at minus twelve and

1603
01:21:55,560 --> 01:21:58,880
Speaker 1: a half. It's at ten now it's fine. We still

1604
01:21:58,960 --> 01:22:01,559
Speaker 1: like it. I wish what have waited. Obviously still like it.

1605
01:22:01,560 --> 01:22:03,880
Speaker 1: I know why it dropped. Should have seen it coming,

1606
01:22:04,200 --> 01:22:07,759
Speaker 1: my bab. We're still on Liberty though, Uh Tulsa plus

1607
01:22:07,760 --> 01:22:09,599
Speaker 1: thirty five and a half. That one's not thirty four

1608
01:22:09,600 --> 01:22:11,400
Speaker 1: and a half. So we got good line value there.

1609
01:22:11,560 --> 01:22:16,519
Speaker 1: We're adding two more. Yeah, I'm taking Iowa State plus

1610
01:22:16,520 --> 01:22:19,599
Speaker 1: four against Iowa. Don't worry. I didn't make this pic.

1611
01:22:19,920 --> 01:22:22,920
Speaker 1: The model did. I just got all excited, nervous and

1612
01:22:23,000 --> 01:22:25,639
Speaker 1: clappy when I saw that the model was making that pick.

1613
01:22:26,080 --> 01:22:30,800
Speaker 1: And we're going to go app state plus eighteen at

1614
01:22:30,840 --> 01:22:34,599
Speaker 1: North Carolina. So we're adding Iowa State plus four against

1615
01:22:34,600 --> 01:22:37,679
Speaker 1: Iowa at home, and we're going app State plus eighteen

1616
01:22:38,000 --> 01:22:42,680
Speaker 1: against North Carolina on the road. One more thing I

1617
01:22:42,680 --> 01:22:45,960
Speaker 1: need to talk to you about. And I'm not kidding

1618
01:22:46,560 --> 01:22:49,880
Speaker 1: when I say after we were already on air, at

1619
01:22:49,920 --> 01:22:55,040
Speaker 1: some point during this show, I texted Jesse. While we're live,

1620
01:22:55,200 --> 01:22:57,599
Speaker 1: I texted Jesse and said, Hey, I want to talk

1621
01:22:57,640 --> 01:23:02,960
Speaker 1: about Florida State in the show. Florida State just dismantled

1622
01:23:03,080 --> 01:23:05,360
Speaker 1: LSU the other night, and a lot of people are

1623
01:23:05,360 --> 01:23:08,519
Speaker 1: now asking wait a second, is this like legit is

1624
01:23:08,520 --> 01:23:13,080
Speaker 1: Florida State back. They're back, absolutely back. Florida State is

1625
01:23:13,120 --> 01:23:16,519
Speaker 1: the real deal. You were at such a disadvantage if

1626
01:23:16,560 --> 01:23:19,040
Speaker 1: you didn't watch the game, because if you didn't watch it,

1627
01:23:19,560 --> 01:23:22,200
Speaker 1: you may think it's a flucish outcome, or you may

1628
01:23:22,200 --> 01:23:24,600
Speaker 1: think LSU just wasn't all they're cracked up to be.

1629
01:23:25,479 --> 01:23:28,479
Speaker 1: If you're anti FSU, I have terrible news for you.

1630
01:23:29,000 --> 01:23:32,919
Speaker 1: It's neither of those things. LSU's good. They're good. LSU's

1631
01:23:32,920 --> 01:23:35,240
Speaker 1: gonna embarrass some people this year. LSU's gonna win a

1632
01:23:35,240 --> 01:23:37,479
Speaker 1: lot of football games. But man, so is Florida State.

1633
01:23:38,360 --> 01:23:40,960
Speaker 1: When we did our best case and worst case and

1634
01:23:41,040 --> 01:23:43,680
Speaker 1: most likely on them, and I said twelve and oh

1635
01:23:43,880 --> 01:23:45,839
Speaker 1: was the best case, I got a lot of pushback

1636
01:23:45,880 --> 01:23:50,280
Speaker 1: on that. These athletes that you're watching, if you're watching

1637
01:23:50,360 --> 01:23:53,080
Speaker 1: on YouTube, those catch right there. That's why the best

1638
01:23:53,120 --> 01:23:54,640
Speaker 1: case is twelve and oh and not eleven and one

1639
01:23:54,720 --> 01:23:58,559
Speaker 1: or ten and two. Mike Norvell is a guy who

1640
01:23:59,680 --> 01:24:02,719
Speaker 1: knows how to acquire talent, develop talent, and disperse talent.

1641
01:24:02,960 --> 01:24:06,599
Speaker 1: So if you think of a piece of toast, in

1642
01:24:06,640 --> 01:24:09,840
Speaker 1: some places, they glob the butter on the toast, but

1643
01:24:09,920 --> 01:24:11,920
Speaker 1: they don't spread it out. So what I mean by

1644
01:24:12,000 --> 01:24:16,080
Speaker 1: that is in some programs they can they recruit dB

1645
01:24:16,240 --> 01:24:19,439
Speaker 1: talent really well, but they cannot recruit linebackers to save

1646
01:24:19,479 --> 01:24:22,280
Speaker 1: their lives. Or they recruit running backs really well, but

1647
01:24:22,360 --> 01:24:25,360
Speaker 1: they're terrible out wide at receiver. Well, that is not

1648
01:24:25,640 --> 01:24:29,320
Speaker 1: well dispersed talent. And so sometimes you can be deceived

1649
01:24:29,760 --> 01:24:32,000
Speaker 1: when you're looking at maybe the blue chip ratio. Oh,

1650
01:24:32,040 --> 01:24:35,160
Speaker 1: this team's really talented, but they're not winning. Well, where's

1651
01:24:35,200 --> 01:24:37,439
Speaker 1: the talent? If it's globbed up all in one or

1652
01:24:37,479 --> 01:24:40,519
Speaker 1: two places, that's not a good football team. That's just

1653
01:24:40,560 --> 01:24:44,320
Speaker 1: good recruiting rankings. Well, Florida State's got enough talent. They

1654
01:24:44,360 --> 01:24:47,040
Speaker 1: got enough butter on that toast, but Mike Norvel spread

1655
01:24:47,040 --> 01:24:51,000
Speaker 1: it out, so there's no empty spot on that toast.

1656
01:24:51,320 --> 01:24:53,559
Speaker 1: That butter's spread all over the place. That talent is

1657
01:24:53,560 --> 01:24:55,720
Speaker 1: spread all over the place. Where was the weakness? Do

1658
01:24:55,760 --> 01:24:58,000
Speaker 1: you watch them the other night? Where was the glaring weakness?

1659
01:24:58,040 --> 01:25:02,240
Speaker 1: Where's the deficiency? Not there is it? Yeah? So our

1660
01:25:02,320 --> 01:25:06,840
Speaker 1: burning question over the summer, Ooh, is lower blue chip

1661
01:25:06,920 --> 01:25:11,520
Speaker 1: ratio going to bite Florida State? No? Not unless they

1662
01:25:11,720 --> 01:25:14,320
Speaker 1: not unless they suffer critical amounts of injuries which will

1663
01:25:14,360 --> 01:25:18,719
Speaker 1: bite anyone. Here's the other thing. Did you notice how

1664
01:25:18,760 --> 01:25:23,080
Speaker 1: confident and cool and calm and collected Mike Norvel look

1665
01:25:23,120 --> 01:25:25,439
Speaker 1: the other night. Did it almost seem to you like

1666
01:25:25,560 --> 01:25:29,080
Speaker 1: Mike Norvel was seeing what he had known was coming

1667
01:25:29,160 --> 01:25:32,120
Speaker 1: for months? Did you feel like Mike Norvel knew something

1668
01:25:32,120 --> 01:25:36,960
Speaker 1: you didn't because I did. Norvell. That's a guy who's

1669
01:25:36,960 --> 01:25:40,760
Speaker 1: been doubted significantly. That's a guy who they said the

1670
01:25:40,800 --> 01:25:42,720
Speaker 1: same things about a couple of years ago. They're saying

1671
01:25:42,760 --> 01:25:45,600
Speaker 1: about Napier right now. I know no one wants to

1672
01:25:45,640 --> 01:25:47,200
Speaker 1: fess up to that. But you know, good and well,

1673
01:25:47,200 --> 01:25:48,960
Speaker 1: a lot of you out there said, well, it's g

1674
01:25:49,120 --> 01:25:52,840
Speaker 1: five coach, this dude from Memphis. He's gonna be our

1675
01:25:52,880 --> 01:25:56,720
Speaker 1: next Bobby Bowden. He's gonna win a title here. Well,

1676
01:25:56,760 --> 01:25:59,120
Speaker 1: I'm not telling you it's your next Bobby Bowden. I'm

1677
01:25:59,120 --> 01:26:02,080
Speaker 1: telling you he's built championship contender there. And you know

1678
01:26:02,120 --> 01:26:05,400
Speaker 1: what he did. He did it the right way. And

1679
01:26:05,439 --> 01:26:07,120
Speaker 1: you may think, to yourself, what are you talking about?

1680
01:26:07,160 --> 01:26:09,360
Speaker 1: He did it the right way, Josh. He cut corners,

1681
01:26:09,600 --> 01:26:13,479
Speaker 1: he went to the portal. Newsflash, the portal's not cutting

1682
01:26:13,560 --> 01:26:18,040
Speaker 1: a corner. It's cutting a corner. It's being pennywise pound foolish.

1683
01:26:18,360 --> 01:26:20,559
Speaker 1: If you rely on the portal to be the foundation

1684
01:26:20,800 --> 01:26:24,360
Speaker 1: of your team. That's not what they did. They understood

1685
01:26:24,400 --> 01:26:26,839
Speaker 1: we need to recruit the foundation of our team. But man,

1686
01:26:27,040 --> 01:26:30,160
Speaker 1: if this mechanism's here, if this lever's here and I

1687
01:26:30,280 --> 01:26:32,479
Speaker 1: pull it and Keon Coleman falls out of it, I'm

1688
01:26:32,479 --> 01:26:34,479
Speaker 1: pulling the lever. I'm not gonna do like some other

1689
01:26:34,520 --> 01:26:37,439
Speaker 1: people in this conference and say don't need it, don't

1690
01:26:37,439 --> 01:26:40,080
Speaker 1: need it. Yeah, you do. You need it because they

1691
01:26:40,120 --> 01:26:44,040
Speaker 1: do it at Florida State. So how seriously should we

1692
01:26:44,080 --> 01:26:46,559
Speaker 1: take him? That's the number one question in my DMS.

1693
01:26:46,920 --> 01:26:50,120
Speaker 1: Very seriously. You don't need to wait, you don't need

1694
01:26:50,160 --> 01:26:52,880
Speaker 1: to see if they suffer a let down. It's not

1695
01:26:52,920 --> 01:26:55,920
Speaker 1: a guarantee they're going undefeated or anything like that. But man,

1696
01:26:56,040 --> 01:26:59,240
Speaker 1: if they don't go undefeated, it'll because someone pulled off

1697
01:26:59,280 --> 01:27:02,400
Speaker 1: a herculee task, and that in twenty twenty three is

1698
01:27:02,800 --> 01:27:05,360
Speaker 1: beat Florida State home on the road. I don't care.

1699
01:27:06,360 --> 01:27:08,000
Speaker 1: It is really good to see that brand back. It's

1700
01:27:08,000 --> 01:27:10,240
Speaker 1: really good to see that program back. It's really good

1701
01:27:10,240 --> 01:27:12,720
Speaker 1: to see it payoff for Mike Norvel This is what

1702
01:27:13,240 --> 01:27:18,000
Speaker 1: some people like me have longed for challengers to Clemson

1703
01:27:18,080 --> 01:27:20,839
Speaker 1: and the ACC because it ups the level of everyone's

1704
01:27:20,880 --> 01:27:26,080
Speaker 1: game and scaling programs in the state of Florida. I'd

1705
01:27:26,080 --> 01:27:27,760
Speaker 1: love to see Florida do it. I'd love to see

1706
01:27:27,760 --> 01:27:29,679
Speaker 1: Miami do it, but I love to see Florida State

1707
01:27:29,720 --> 01:27:32,720
Speaker 1: doing it because that means more talent stays home, and that,

1708
01:27:32,920 --> 01:27:36,160
Speaker 1: along with things happening in Texas and California, is the

1709
01:27:36,280 --> 01:27:39,360
Speaker 1: ultimate key to competitive balance in college football. It is

1710
01:27:39,400 --> 01:27:42,479
Speaker 1: not an expanded playoff. That is a fool's errand it

1711
01:27:42,560 --> 01:27:45,439
Speaker 1: is major programs in the most talent rich states in

1712
01:27:45,479 --> 01:27:48,719
Speaker 1: America being good enough to keep their talent at home

1713
01:27:48,960 --> 01:27:53,519
Speaker 1: instead of going to Athens, Georgia and Tuscaloosa, Alabama, and Columbus, Ohio.

1714
01:27:53,960 --> 01:27:55,960
Speaker 1: That's one of those programs are so good. It's not

1715
01:27:56,040 --> 01:27:58,799
Speaker 1: cause of the system. It's cause they're good and you sucked,

1716
01:27:58,800 --> 01:28:00,880
Speaker 1: and your talent's left your back and gone and played

1717
01:28:00,880 --> 01:28:02,760
Speaker 1: for them. If you're good all of a sudden and

1718
01:28:02,800 --> 01:28:05,559
Speaker 1: your talent stays home, they'll still be good too, they

1719
01:28:05,680 --> 01:28:08,200
Speaker 1: just won't be quite as good. And that's all you

1720
01:28:08,240 --> 01:28:10,479
Speaker 1: ever needed to do, Just shave a little bit off

1721
01:28:10,560 --> 01:28:14,200
Speaker 1: top and add a little bit to yourself and voila.

1722
01:28:14,360 --> 01:28:16,360
Speaker 1: Instead of two or three teams who can win the title,

1723
01:28:16,520 --> 01:28:18,920
Speaker 1: you enter a year with six or seven that can

1724
01:28:18,920 --> 01:28:20,439
Speaker 1: win the title, and then the next year nine of

1725
01:28:20,479 --> 01:28:23,320
Speaker 1: them can win the title, and you've got competitive balance.

1726
01:28:24,840 --> 01:28:27,240
Speaker 1: And it's for the reasons no one ever even thought about.

1727
01:28:27,800 --> 01:28:29,800
Speaker 1: Thank you so much for watching the show tonight. For

1728
01:28:29,960 --> 01:28:33,400
Speaker 1: producer Jesse, for director Colin, I'm Josh, babe. Take care,

1729
01:28:33,479 --> 01:28:35,439
Speaker 1: have a great rest of your evening. We'll be back

1730
01:28:35,479 --> 01:28:37,320
Speaker 1: here Thursday and filled in Gomblance