WEBVTT - SHARP NFL Week 6 Bets: Ravens-Browns, Bills-Raiders and more

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to Sharper Square, presented by Polymarket. We are part

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<v Speaker 1>of the Volume Podcast Network. This is the show that

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<v Speaker 1>makes the squares sharper and makes the wise guys pay attention.

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<v Speaker 1>I am Chad Millman. I am joined, as always, by

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<v Speaker 1>my co-host, my BFF, my companion, my compadre, professional better,

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<v Speaker 1>Simon Hunter. Hello, Simon.

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<v Speaker 2>Chad, how are we doing?

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<v Speaker 1>I think we're awesome. Honestly, I think we are totally awesome.

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<v Speaker 1>I think the games this week are so ugly. There

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<v Speaker 1>are so many opportunities to embarrass ourselves. There are so

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<v Speaker 1>many opportunities to look like geniuses. That's the beauty of

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<v Speaker 1>the gambling. We don't know which way it's going to

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<v Speaker 1>go yet. Could be up, could be down, could be right,

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<v Speaker 1>could be wrong. This is our Thursday NFL Week 6 show.

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<v Speaker 1>You'll hear sharp calls, brass balls, our underdog and favorite

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<v Speaker 1>round robin parlays. We're going to get to Simon's biggest bets,

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<v Speaker 1>sharp versus square picks. That one's on a little bit

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<v Speaker 1>of a roll. Our Discord grouper of the week. You

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<v Speaker 1>can join the Discord at readthenumber.com. We're going to narrow

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<v Speaker 1>down to our final Five picks for our Sharper Square

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<v Speaker 1>Pro Football Pick'em Contest, $ 25, 000 in the prize pool. Sign up, sharpersquare.thevolume.com. Simon,

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<v Speaker 1>every week we discuss our picks on Tuesday. By Thursday,

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<v Speaker 1>you've gotten an earful about where we are right and

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<v Speaker 1>where we are wrong. So let's get to it, brother.

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<v Speaker 1>It's time for Sharp Call.

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<v Speaker 2>Who's there? I'm talking.

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<v Speaker 1>Ring, ring, telephone ring. Somebody said, baby, what you doing?

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I can start with the Thursday night game. I'm

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<v Speaker 2>once again shocked. All these pros are all over the

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<v Speaker 2>dog once again. And I just thought more people would

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<v Speaker 2>be on Seattle, especially professionals where it's two and a half.

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<v Speaker 2>It's a good number. The trend betters. I know we

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<v Speaker 2>talked last week. The trend betters are all over Tampa.

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<v Speaker 2>It was just a spot for Tampa last week. All

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<v Speaker 2>the trend guys, they saw that spot. And I heard

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<v Speaker 2>the trends. I was reading the trends on their show.

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<v Speaker 2>And I just still was just like, I can't see

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<v Speaker 2>an undrafted rookie free agent quarterback going in there and

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<v Speaker 2>beating Dallas. And boy, were the trend guys right. And

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<v Speaker 2>the same thing this week with the trends. There's a

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<v Speaker 2>bunch of ones that really favor this Denver team at home, shockingly.

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<v Speaker 2>But yeah, it's a really interesting line, right? I think

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<v Speaker 2>a plus three, there were some really respected professional money.

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<v Speaker 2>Some groups I know that came in pretty heavy. Now

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<v Speaker 2>two and a half. I know some really respected guys

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<v Speaker 2>who have been in Seattle two and a half, but

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<v Speaker 2>the number hasn't budged back to three. So very telling

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<v Speaker 2>the books taking a stand on this Denver team. Bunch

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<v Speaker 2>of pros backing them. So, yeah, if you want to

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<v Speaker 2>ride the books to professionals, we talk that crazy streak

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<v Speaker 2>right now. These primetime dogs, seven straight wins and covers outright.

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<v Speaker 2>Maybe the books are hedging that. I just I can't

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<v Speaker 2>believe this number is not three truly. So that one

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<v Speaker 2>jumped out right away. College game, really fun, close to

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<v Speaker 2>Chad's heart. This Hoosiers-Ohio State game, real hot topic in

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<v Speaker 2>the shop. I mean, the amount of really smart guys

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<v Speaker 2>I know that hammered, hammered, hammered that Ohio State team

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<v Speaker 2>when I was two and a half. And, you know,

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<v Speaker 2>went screaming up to three and a half, four at

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<v Speaker 2>some shops, got hammered back by other really smart professional groups.

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<v Speaker 2>Now it's kind of stuck at three and a half.

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<v Speaker 2>So that's, a really fun game where I can see

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<v Speaker 2>the public coming in really heavy on Ohio State in

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<v Speaker 2>the morning. And I'm assuming more pros will come in

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<v Speaker 2>and buy the hook with the three and a half

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<v Speaker 2>plus four. It's just Cignetti is a dog at home,

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<v Speaker 2>noon kickoff. I don't know if my two pro groups

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<v Speaker 2>are going to be taking the Hoosiers in that spot.

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<v Speaker 2>So those are definitely the two biggest talked about games

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<v Speaker 2>in my life the last 24 hours now. Getting to

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<v Speaker 2>Sunday's games, there's not so much guys dug in, right?

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<v Speaker 2>I think a lot of people are aligned with us

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<v Speaker 2>and a lot of our ugly dogs we like, right?

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<v Speaker 2>The Chargers. Tons of love there. Once again, trend bettors,

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<v Speaker 2>they love the Chargers in that spot. We'll get to that. Raiders,

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<v Speaker 2>same exact thing. Tons of love for the Raiders. I mean,

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<v Speaker 2>we'll get into it even more, but it's just– I

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<v Speaker 2>say it's lazy betting, but it works. And you just

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<v Speaker 2>fade these teams that are playing overtime games on short

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<v Speaker 2>weeks on the road. That's exactly what the Bills are.

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<v Speaker 2>They played in overtime on a short week, now on

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<v Speaker 2>a back-to-back road spot. It's just– I know people are

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<v Speaker 2>complaining about it. It's like, is this a feel too easy?

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<v Speaker 2>It does feel too easy. But if you just bet

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<v Speaker 2>that exact spot scenario and I'll get through the trends

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<v Speaker 2>in the spots, it's a good spot to back the Raiders.

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<v Speaker 2>So pros, they had the same view as us, right?

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<v Speaker 2>It was six. They got hammered to four and a half.

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<v Speaker 2>Now it's kind of bounced back up to five and

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<v Speaker 2>a half. So really fun line, a lot of debate

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<v Speaker 2>on that bills game. And is Josh Allen healthy? That's

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<v Speaker 2>always been the hot topic. These last two weeks, Cleveland,

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<v Speaker 2>another game we loved pros are all over it. I mean,

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<v Speaker 2>I'll get into it. It seems like Lamar will be back.

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<v Speaker 2>We've seen the line now bump up to five and

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<v Speaker 2>a half. That pretty much means Lamar will be back.

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<v Speaker 2>Same with Atlanta. Some really respected groups I know came

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<v Speaker 2>in really heavy on Atlanta. Plus three, plus three and

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<v Speaker 2>a half. All on the hedge that Penix didn't have

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<v Speaker 2>cracked or broken lungs. I mean, that was the whole thing, right?

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<v Speaker 2>We all thought he cracked his ribcage or had a,

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<v Speaker 2>you know, whatever it was. He's at practice. He's all

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<v Speaker 2>padded up. You've seen that number now come down to

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<v Speaker 2>one and a half. So that was another one where

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<v Speaker 2>Probably missed it. Probably should have took Atlanta plus three,

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<v Speaker 2>plus three and a half. I said I couldn't put

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<v Speaker 2>money on a team that could potentially have two of

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<v Speaker 2>us starting that team. So the Wise guys were definitely

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<v Speaker 2>ahead of that one. When we missed, and I would

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<v Speaker 2>say for the big favorite chalk when we talked about Patriots,

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<v Speaker 2>a lot of love from a lot of pros I know.

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<v Speaker 2>But it was really at the seven, not so much

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<v Speaker 2>the seven and a half. So that's one we can

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<v Speaker 2>definitely debate, talk about. It's values at seven. I don't

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<v Speaker 2>know if their hammering is heavy at seven and a half.

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<v Speaker 1>I did get a text this morning from Chris Feliga,

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<v Speaker 1>our good friend, the bear. He's on Fox. He hosts

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<v Speaker 1>the show Bear Bets. He's on the Fox big new

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<v Speaker 1>kickoff show. He's headed to Bloomington. His quote was, he

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<v Speaker 1>thinks the Hoosiers have a shot. I didn't want to

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<v Speaker 1>ask anymore. I don't know if that means he thinks

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<v Speaker 1>they're going to cover. He thinks they're going to win.

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<v Speaker 1>I didn't want to get into it. I'm so excited.

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<v Speaker 1>for that game. Let's get into them because a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of the games you're talking about we want to touch on,

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<v Speaker 1>including that Seattle-Denver game. It's so interesting. Talk about everything

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<v Speaker 1>you just said. Dig in a little bit more. So

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<v Speaker 1>many trends to back up taking the Broncos here. Sean

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<v Speaker 1>Payton in October. Amazing. The underdog on Thursday on the

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<v Speaker 1>primetime game this year. Amazing. But there's nothing about this

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<v Speaker 1>Broncos team that lends any confidence to making that pick,

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<v Speaker 1>especially when we're talking about Mike McDonald on the road.

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<v Speaker 1>So I get it. Like last week, I didn't have

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<v Speaker 1>any faith in the Cowboys. This week, I don't really

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<v Speaker 1>have faith in the Broncos. I have a lot more

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<v Speaker 1>faith in the capabilities and the fixing of mistakes from

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<v Speaker 1>the Seahawks point of view than I do from the

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<v Speaker 1>Broncos point of view. But I haven't bet it because

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<v Speaker 1>it's scaring me that I'm getting so much feedback from

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<v Speaker 1>About the Broncos.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I just don't get it that I can't with

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<v Speaker 2>this number is not minus three and a half. I

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<v Speaker 2>know Seattle struggled this year, right? They're not what we're

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<v Speaker 2>used to defensively. But man, it's we know that the

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<v Speaker 2>Seattle Seahawks with Mike McDonald as a head coach. I

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<v Speaker 2>think they're like 13 and three on the road against

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<v Speaker 2>the spread. Like he just covers on the road and

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<v Speaker 2>we're getting two and a half. It's mind-boggling. I just

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<v Speaker 2>can't believe the books are standing so heavy on this.

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<v Speaker 2>I got why the pros were taking the Broncos at

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<v Speaker 2>plus three. Sure, you're getting the Broncos. Like Chet said,

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<v Speaker 2>Sean Payton at home in October. The trends really favored that.

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<v Speaker 2>We've seen this Broncos team play pretty well, obviously, at home.

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<v Speaker 2>But they have so many injuries to their defense. They're

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<v Speaker 2>missing so many key guys. You're missing your number one

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<v Speaker 2>cornerback going against JSN. Patrick Sartain can maybe even out

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<v Speaker 2>a little bit and travel them on the field. Now

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<v Speaker 2>he's out. you know, that's a big deal. How is

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<v Speaker 2>that not reflected in the line? It's, it is a

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<v Speaker 2>mind bog. Like to me, it's, it's very telling why

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<v Speaker 2>the books are back in here. So yeah, it's a,

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<v Speaker 2>it's a game where I thought I'd be really heavy

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<v Speaker 2>and happy to bet the Seattle Seahawks, but you know,

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<v Speaker 2>we know more often than not, if you're taking a

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<v Speaker 2>large position on Seattle, it's a long time loser. Like

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<v Speaker 2>the books, there's a reason they're taking a stand here

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<v Speaker 2>and they're just, they're basically just telling you, this is

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<v Speaker 2>a down, a little bit of a downturn for the

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<v Speaker 2>Seattle Seahawks team that, We knew it was going to

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<v Speaker 2>be a different year and we knew that the offense

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<v Speaker 2>would look different. And maybe they have shifted too much

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<v Speaker 2>putting what we saw last year. I remember for the

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<v Speaker 2>first half of the year, they put so much on

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<v Speaker 2>Sam Darnold. Yeah, he was leading the league in turnovers

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<v Speaker 2>and they pulled it back, became a run first team,

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<v Speaker 2>a run heavy team with Kenneth Walker. And it obviously

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<v Speaker 2>all worked out. They didn't have a single turnover in

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<v Speaker 2>the playoffs and they won a Super Bowl. That looks

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<v Speaker 2>like they're going to need to get back to that

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<v Speaker 2>because Sam Darnold is just putting their defense in bad spots, right?

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<v Speaker 2>You saw that last week against the 49ers. They did

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<v Speaker 2>really well against Brock Purdy into that fourth quarter where

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<v Speaker 2>they only could handle so many short fields, and they

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<v Speaker 2>just got tired, and they broke down. So, yeah, this

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<v Speaker 2>is a really tough game to handicap here. I think

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<v Speaker 2>we both know we're supposed to take Denver, but we

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<v Speaker 2>just have so much respect for the Seattle Seahawks and

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<v Speaker 2>what they've done in past performances. We're just hesitant to

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<v Speaker 2>do it. And if it was plus three, three and

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<v Speaker 2>a half at Polymarket, I'd have no issue taking the Broncos,

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<v Speaker 2>but two and a half, I'm just not going to

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<v Speaker 2>force it. Maybe I'll do a little in-game betting here, but, um,

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<v Speaker 2>it stinks. I wanted to find a way to be

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<v Speaker 2>on Seattle and talk myself into Seattle, but I just

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<v Speaker 2>can't tell people to do that here, and I can't

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<v Speaker 2>bet it logically. There's just something a little off and

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<v Speaker 2>fishy about this line.

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<v Speaker 1>Totally agree. Houston at Jacksonville, however, game being played in London,

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<v Speaker 1>Jacksonville is a two and a half point favorite. We've

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<v Speaker 1>been talking about this all week, and this line has

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<v Speaker 1>been sitting at two and a half, basically minus 115

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<v Speaker 1>for as long as I've been looking at it this week.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm just waiting for it to get to the three.

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<v Speaker 1>I really want to take Houston, but I want to

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<v Speaker 1>get the best of the number here. You and I

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<v Speaker 1>both love Nick Giffen over at Action Network. He does

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<v Speaker 1>the luck rankings, and this is one of two luck

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<v Speaker 1>rankings picks that where the luck has been in favor

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<v Speaker 1>of the Jags and not in favor of the Texans.

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<v Speaker 1>So the Texans are the side that luck rankings likes

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<v Speaker 1>this week. I love that even more. It makes me

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<v Speaker 1>want to bet the Texans even more, but I just

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<v Speaker 1>want to get it to three. If it can get

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<v Speaker 1>to three, I'm in the Texans, no problem. If it's not,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm just kind of a pass on it.

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<v Speaker 2>Fair. We're split. I'm still on the Jags.

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<v Speaker 1>Interesting.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I just think they had such a bad game

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<v Speaker 2>last week. If they're what we think they are, which

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<v Speaker 2>is a top-tier team in the AFC, they should bounce

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<v Speaker 2>back here and win. They are the better team right now.

0:11:27.420 --> 0:11:31.030
<v Speaker 2>They're the more complete team right now. The Texans, even

0:11:31.050 --> 0:11:33.110
<v Speaker 2>their defense openly, they had guys saying it. They're like,

0:11:33.870 --> 0:11:37.630
<v Speaker 2>Beating up Tennessee's offense is nothing to rave about. We're

0:11:37.650 --> 0:11:39.850
<v Speaker 2>not proud that we just beat them. We did what

0:11:39.870 --> 0:11:43.270
<v Speaker 2>we expected to do. The Tennessee Titans are a bad team.

0:11:43.710 --> 0:11:45.630
<v Speaker 2>At least their players are being openly honest about that

0:11:45.650 --> 0:11:47.070
<v Speaker 2>because I had the same view of it where it's like,

0:11:47.670 --> 0:11:49.870
<v Speaker 2>I still don't know how to adjust this Texans defense yet.

0:11:49.990 --> 0:11:53.050
<v Speaker 2>I still have so many questions about their secondary. This

0:11:53.070 --> 0:11:55.630
<v Speaker 2>is a perfect opportunity to keep proving us that this

0:11:55.700 --> 0:11:58.300
<v Speaker 2>Texans team, those first four weeks were kind of a

0:11:58.340 --> 0:12:00.910
<v Speaker 2>fluke bad luck where they should have been 2-2. End

0:12:00.970 --> 0:12:03.760
<v Speaker 2>of the game, Zim bounced their way. They instead were 0-4.

0:12:04.330 --> 0:12:06.350
<v Speaker 2>They're not as bad as their record reflects, which we

0:12:06.390 --> 0:12:08.510
<v Speaker 2>both agree. I just need to see them do it

0:12:08.550 --> 0:12:12.290
<v Speaker 2>against a good team in a spot where the Jags,

0:12:12.840 --> 0:12:16.400
<v Speaker 2>they should play really well. We know they're a good team.

0:12:16.440 --> 0:12:19.479
<v Speaker 2>If they just cut down the penalties, the Jags are

0:12:19.500 --> 0:12:21.199
<v Speaker 2>going to be a really tough beat, especially later in

0:12:21.240 --> 0:12:24.380
<v Speaker 2>this year. That's what I'll be watching for in this game.

0:12:25.320 --> 0:12:27.520
<v Speaker 2>I totally agree. I get why even this game split

0:12:27.600 --> 0:12:30.040
<v Speaker 2>between betting pros. I think pros are the same way.

0:12:30.059 --> 0:12:30.440
<v Speaker 1>Totally split.

0:12:31.130 --> 0:12:32.490
<v Speaker 2>I think the same way as Chad is. It's just

0:12:32.530 --> 0:12:35.010
<v Speaker 2>like Jags aren't that much better of a team. This

0:12:35.030 --> 0:12:37.670
<v Speaker 2>is a neutral site. If I can get plus three,

0:12:37.750 --> 0:12:40.510
<v Speaker 2>Texas is the side I want to be on. People

0:12:40.530 --> 0:12:42.050
<v Speaker 2>have asked why this number hasn't moved much. I think

0:12:42.090 --> 0:12:44.510
<v Speaker 2>that's why. It's just as soon as any shot moves

0:12:44.570 --> 0:12:46.410
<v Speaker 2>at the three, they're just getting so much resistance for

0:12:46.450 --> 0:12:49.630
<v Speaker 2>so much money. It's just, okay, it's a 50-50 game.

0:12:50.010 --> 0:12:51.319
<v Speaker 2>We'll just skip it at two and a half, then

0:12:51.380 --> 0:12:55.000
<v Speaker 2>let the market dictate it live. But this is definitely

0:12:55.540 --> 0:12:59.309
<v Speaker 2>a unique spot in the sense that the Jaguars– Stayed

0:12:59.350 --> 0:13:02.250
<v Speaker 2>in England. They didn't travel at all. This Texans team,

0:13:02.330 --> 0:13:05.410
<v Speaker 2>this is technically a back-to-back road game. So, yeah, a

0:13:05.470 --> 0:13:07.339
<v Speaker 2>lot of data that's going to point towards this Jaguars

0:13:07.360 --> 0:13:08.220
<v Speaker 2>being our favorable spot.

0:13:09.140 --> 0:13:12.079
<v Speaker 1>All right, let's talk about the Bears visiting Atlanta. Atlanta

0:13:12.140 --> 0:13:15.119
<v Speaker 1>is down to plus one and a half. It had

0:13:15.160 --> 0:13:18.880
<v Speaker 1>gotten as high as plus three and a half. The

0:13:18.940 --> 0:13:23.780
<v Speaker 1>news is that Michael Penix is progressing towards starting. But

0:13:23.820 --> 0:13:26.020
<v Speaker 1>the news out of Chicago is also that Caleb was

0:13:26.040 --> 0:13:29.819
<v Speaker 1>a full participant in in practice on Wednesday. And even

0:13:29.860 --> 0:13:33.080
<v Speaker 1>with that news, the Pennix news kind of moved the

0:13:33.120 --> 0:13:38.580
<v Speaker 1>number more aggressively than any conversation around Caleb's Caleb did. Unfortunately,

0:13:38.600 --> 0:13:44.110
<v Speaker 1>I bet into the bears at minus three. So I've

0:13:44.150 --> 0:13:48.870
<v Speaker 1>gotten almost the worst of the number. I'll be honest.

0:13:49.010 --> 0:13:52.880
<v Speaker 1>I don't get this one. Like this is technically a

0:13:53.030 --> 0:13:57.770
<v Speaker 1>great spot for the bears, a good team, coming off

0:13:57.809 --> 0:14:03.569
<v Speaker 1>of a blowout, likely getting their quarterback back with a

0:14:03.690 --> 0:14:08.370
<v Speaker 1>coach who's a maniacal psychopath, who's going to be so angry,

0:14:08.429 --> 0:14:12.580
<v Speaker 1>he's going to scheme up something that is fascinating. Is

0:14:12.620 --> 0:14:17.040
<v Speaker 1>this just about penance to Drake London? Like the professionals

0:14:17.100 --> 0:14:21.600
<v Speaker 1>are seeing this and saying the Bears secondary is so atrocious.

0:14:22.620 --> 0:14:24.200
<v Speaker 1>And now we are seeing what they're like when they

0:14:24.220 --> 0:14:28.150
<v Speaker 1>don't get any turnovers. that Penix and Drake London will

0:14:28.170 --> 0:14:32.810
<v Speaker 1>just rip them apart. This feels like a weird move

0:14:32.850 --> 0:14:36.810
<v Speaker 1>to me considering the Bears offense and the fact Caleb

0:14:37.030 --> 0:14:39.950
<v Speaker 1>could be coming back. Yeah.

0:14:39.990 --> 0:14:41.880
<v Speaker 2>It's also tough though with the Caleb part, because we

0:14:41.890 --> 0:14:44.480
<v Speaker 2>don't know how to handicap Caleb, right? We saw one game,

0:14:44.580 --> 0:14:46.720
<v Speaker 2>he was all world against Carolina. Then the next game,

0:14:47.280 --> 0:14:49.800
<v Speaker 2>he couldn't do anything in a rainstorm against this, the

0:14:49.880 --> 0:14:52.300
<v Speaker 2>Minnesota Vikings. So maybe that's why people are a little

0:14:52.340 --> 0:14:55.430
<v Speaker 2>down on them. And, um, the viewpoint of this is

0:14:55.470 --> 0:14:58.170
<v Speaker 2>his first game back after an injury, right? So you

0:14:58.190 --> 0:15:00.550
<v Speaker 2>don't know if he's going to be totally on who

0:15:00.590 --> 0:15:03.210
<v Speaker 2>knows his running ability, right? It's a hamstring. That's what

0:15:03.270 --> 0:15:06.810
<v Speaker 2>he's coming back from. So I think the line maybe

0:15:06.830 --> 0:15:09.040
<v Speaker 2>makes total sense if it's panics, just because this is

0:15:09.100 --> 0:15:11.600
<v Speaker 2>a coin flip game. Like this is no different than

0:15:12.100 --> 0:15:17.160
<v Speaker 2>green Bay Dallas. It's two good offenses with two questionable defenses.

0:15:17.500 --> 0:15:20.250
<v Speaker 2>And again, If anything, Atlanta has the defensive edge despite

0:15:20.270 --> 0:15:23.610
<v Speaker 2>all their injuries. Yeah. You guys just lost your best

0:15:23.650 --> 0:15:25.870
<v Speaker 2>pass rusher to a PED suspension, I believe, right?

0:15:26.190 --> 0:15:28.370
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, but you could argue that it doesn't– like my

0:15:28.430 --> 0:15:31.460
<v Speaker 1>kid texted me like Montez Sweat out for two games

0:15:31.480 --> 0:15:35.359
<v Speaker 1>because of PEDs. I'm like, does it matter? It's not

0:15:35.420 --> 0:15:37.820
<v Speaker 1>like the guy would just do anything or this defense

0:15:37.860 --> 0:15:40.090
<v Speaker 1>is any good. It's about Caleb and the offense. That's it.

0:15:40.880 --> 0:15:43.280
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, but like you still need them. Like you just–

0:15:43.320 --> 0:15:46.550
<v Speaker 2>you need good– Chicago can't afford to lose players, right?

0:15:46.590 --> 0:15:51.230
<v Speaker 2>That was the whole point. Ben Johnson, we've talked these numbers,

0:15:51.270 --> 0:15:54.990
<v Speaker 2>but I'll keep reiterating it. Against the NFC North, I've

0:15:55.250 --> 0:15:58.130
<v Speaker 2>talked about this. Whatever it is, he's just bad in division.

0:15:58.170 --> 0:16:01.020
<v Speaker 2>I think in his career, he's 3-6 straight up against

0:16:01.040 --> 0:16:06.400
<v Speaker 2>the spread in nine career games against the NFC North. Okay.

0:16:06.500 --> 0:16:09.960
<v Speaker 2>Look outside the NFC North. When he plays against anyone

0:16:10.040 --> 0:16:14.110
<v Speaker 2>outside his division, he's 12-3 straight up, 12-2-1 against the spread,

0:16:14.140 --> 0:16:16.890
<v Speaker 2>Ben Johnson. So if you're looking for things to hang

0:16:16.930 --> 0:16:19.860
<v Speaker 2>your hat on, it's just– He's good outside the division,

0:16:20.080 --> 0:16:23.060
<v Speaker 2>especially against, you know, you could say inferior opponents. There's

0:16:23.080 --> 0:16:25.180
<v Speaker 2>a reason the Bears are favored right now in Atlanta.

0:16:25.400 --> 0:16:28.080
<v Speaker 2>It's clearly that we all think they're the better team

0:16:28.100 --> 0:16:31.300
<v Speaker 2>than Atlanta. And I just want to dive more into

0:16:31.340 --> 0:16:34.500
<v Speaker 2>what has been like after losses because, I mean, last

0:16:34.520 --> 0:16:36.540
<v Speaker 2>year you guys didn't lose many games. Like that really

0:16:37.080 --> 0:16:39.300
<v Speaker 2>piqued my mind too where it's just we've seen it

0:16:39.340 --> 0:16:41.720
<v Speaker 2>this year. You had that bad loss against the Vikings.

0:16:42.140 --> 0:16:43.800
<v Speaker 2>Then had the boys bounce back in a big way

0:16:43.840 --> 0:16:46.450
<v Speaker 2>against the Eagles the following week. Like that was a

0:16:46.500 --> 0:16:51.320
<v Speaker 2>big win bounce back spot. Ben Johnson, seven career games

0:16:51.500 --> 0:16:54.600
<v Speaker 2>that he's had a straight-up loss. He's 5-2, straight up

0:16:54.660 --> 0:16:58.360
<v Speaker 2>against the spread. And that just shows that he usually

0:16:58.400 --> 0:17:00.740
<v Speaker 2>gets the guys up. Like, there's no letdown after these

0:17:00.800 --> 0:17:03.760
<v Speaker 2>losses with Ben. So, small samples, but it's just stuff

0:17:04.080 --> 0:17:07.100
<v Speaker 2>I noticed with Ben Johnson. It's just, he's great outside

0:17:07.119 --> 0:17:10.129
<v Speaker 2>of division, not so much in division. So, this is

0:17:10.180 --> 0:17:12.250
<v Speaker 2>a spot where maybe I'll just wait, see where the

0:17:12.290 --> 0:17:13.709
<v Speaker 2>line goes. But I'm like you, I kind of want

0:17:13.750 --> 0:17:15.730
<v Speaker 2>to be on the Bears. I'm going to wait and

0:17:15.770 --> 0:17:17.950
<v Speaker 2>see what the Pennix news fully is. If he's fully cleared,

0:17:18.640 --> 0:17:20.429
<v Speaker 2>Maybe this line flips, and now we're getting Bears at

0:17:20.450 --> 0:17:24.050
<v Speaker 2>a plus number. Yeah. That's really the most shocking part

0:17:24.070 --> 0:17:27.150
<v Speaker 2>is that he is back this week. Like, he just–

0:17:27.530 --> 0:17:28.629
<v Speaker 2>the way he was talking to the sideline was as

0:17:28.670 --> 0:17:32.170
<v Speaker 2>if he had cracked his ribs, and he was just like, yeah,

0:17:32.190 --> 0:17:33.869
<v Speaker 2>I can't go back in there. I can't play. Whatever

0:17:33.890 --> 0:17:36.570
<v Speaker 2>it was, they held him out, and now he's practicing. Like,

0:17:36.590 --> 0:17:38.649
<v Speaker 2>he practiced on a Wednesday. That's a big deal for

0:17:38.690 --> 0:17:41.470
<v Speaker 2>someone that wants to play. So, he's at no discomfort.

0:17:41.710 --> 0:17:43.970
<v Speaker 2>He's going to wear those pads. He'll be playing Sunday,

0:17:44.010 --> 0:17:46.480
<v Speaker 2>and like I said, this number could easily flip. So–

0:17:47.109 --> 0:17:49.210
<v Speaker 2>We got the bad number on the Bears, but I

0:17:49.250 --> 0:17:51.510
<v Speaker 2>think if you're patient, maybe we'll get a plus number

0:17:51.530 --> 0:17:52.010
<v Speaker 2>on this side.

0:17:52.850 --> 0:17:56.490
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I'm going to have no choice. We've talked about

0:17:56.510 --> 0:17:59.970
<v Speaker 1>this for years on the show. I liked the Bears

0:18:00.030 --> 0:18:03.989
<v Speaker 1>at minus three, partially thinking I didn't know who was

0:18:04.010 --> 0:18:07.520
<v Speaker 1>going to be quarterbacking, but I was handicapping that Caleb

0:18:07.560 --> 0:18:10.800
<v Speaker 1>would be for sure. I'm talking about not knowing who

0:18:10.820 --> 0:18:13.919
<v Speaker 1>was going to be quarterbacking for the Falcons. But if

0:18:13.980 --> 0:18:16.750
<v Speaker 1>I liked the Bears at minus three... How am I

0:18:16.850 --> 0:18:21.169
<v Speaker 1>not going to bet the Bears at a plus number,

0:18:21.470 --> 0:18:24.220
<v Speaker 1>at pick, even at minus one? I feel like I'm

0:18:24.240 --> 0:18:27.280
<v Speaker 1>just going to have to be over-invested in the Bears

0:18:27.320 --> 0:18:33.899
<v Speaker 1>this week, both emotionally and financially. It's making me sad. Simon,

0:18:33.920 --> 0:18:38.930
<v Speaker 1>you know what else makes me a little sad? What

0:18:38.970 --> 0:18:43.149
<v Speaker 1>I have to do when I present our Brass Balls

0:18:43.390 --> 0:18:50.750
<v Speaker 1>Trade of the Week... The Los Angeles Chargers, eight and

0:18:50.770 --> 0:18:57.500
<v Speaker 1>a half trading at 52%. Los Angeles Chargers, our brass

0:18:57.600 --> 0:19:01.360
<v Speaker 1>balls trade of the week presented by Polymarket.

0:19:01.380 --> 0:19:04.680
<v Speaker 2>You know what it takes? It takes brass balls.

0:19:07.590 --> 0:19:11.390
<v Speaker 1>We both know it's ugly. We can run through everything

0:19:11.450 --> 0:19:15.460
<v Speaker 1>we've seen. We just had a squeaker of a win

0:19:15.500 --> 0:19:19.440
<v Speaker 1>with the Broncos over the Chargers at a bad number

0:19:19.840 --> 0:19:22.340
<v Speaker 1>at three and a half. And it still worked out

0:19:22.400 --> 0:19:26.719
<v Speaker 1>because Justin Herbert has been so bad in the fourth quarter.

0:19:27.570 --> 0:19:31.730
<v Speaker 1>I read this in Bill Barnwell's column today. He has

0:19:31.810 --> 0:19:36.530
<v Speaker 1>a QB rating of five in the fourth quarter. He's

0:19:36.550 --> 0:19:39.730
<v Speaker 1>thrown four picks, including that dreadful pick that sealed the

0:19:39.770 --> 0:19:41.510
<v Speaker 1>win for us last week against the Broncos in the

0:19:41.530 --> 0:19:45.300
<v Speaker 1>fourth quarter. And he's got a league high five strip sacks.

0:19:47.030 --> 0:19:48.810
<v Speaker 1>Joel will probably not be playing.

0:19:49.609 --> 0:19:49.869
<v Speaker 2>We know.

0:19:49.960 --> 0:19:52.600
<v Speaker 1>Rashawn Slater on the other side of the offensive line

0:19:52.640 --> 0:19:57.359
<v Speaker 1>will not be playing. Maybe Quentin Johnston and Ladd McConkie

0:19:57.420 --> 0:20:01.590
<v Speaker 1>both come back, but there's nothing to like about this

0:20:01.650 --> 0:20:06.290
<v Speaker 1>Chargers team, except that the number is just overinflated and

0:20:06.710 --> 0:20:10.100
<v Speaker 1>we're playing the spot and everyone knows it's overinflated. And

0:20:10.140 --> 0:20:14.119
<v Speaker 1>all the wise guys are playing an overinflated number. So

0:20:14.140 --> 0:20:14.920
<v Speaker 1>that's what we got to do.

0:20:15.660 --> 0:20:19.939
<v Speaker 2>Every year of Herbert's career, every year he's got some

0:20:19.960 --> 0:20:22.000
<v Speaker 2>type of injury. So there's something that's going on with

0:20:22.020 --> 0:20:24.869
<v Speaker 2>the Chargers. And the Chiefs are always the darling of

0:20:24.880 --> 0:20:26.790
<v Speaker 2>the league. And they've just always been a little overvalued.

0:20:26.810 --> 0:20:28.710
<v Speaker 2>This is just for Justin Herbert's career. I don't know

0:20:29.290 --> 0:20:31.810
<v Speaker 2>what it was like before Herbert. But all the numbers

0:20:31.869 --> 0:20:33.869
<v Speaker 2>back that up. If you go through it, Justin Herbert

0:20:34.350 --> 0:20:37.369
<v Speaker 2>in his career against the Chiefs, 8-2-1 against the spread.

0:20:38.130 --> 0:20:39.960
<v Speaker 2>That's not, like I just said, it's not shocking because

0:20:40.080 --> 0:20:42.700
<v Speaker 2>every time the line has just been a little inflated. Now,

0:20:43.140 --> 0:20:46.879
<v Speaker 2>the most shocking thing to me was the Harbaugh stats. Harbaugh, Jim,

0:20:46.920 --> 0:20:49.980
<v Speaker 2>in his career, he's 5-0 against the spread against Andy Reid.

0:20:50.530 --> 0:20:52.390
<v Speaker 2>That was shocking to me. I can't believe he's covered

0:20:52.510 --> 0:20:54.650
<v Speaker 2>every time against him. Now, I've said to the 49ers,

0:20:54.790 --> 0:20:56.629
<v Speaker 2>and that's when the Chargers have better teams, whatever you

0:20:56.650 --> 0:20:58.590
<v Speaker 2>want to say, but just the fact that he's 5-0

0:20:58.609 --> 0:21:02.890
<v Speaker 2>against Andy and 3-0 against Mahomes was pretty shocking to me. Like,

0:21:02.930 --> 0:21:06.250
<v Speaker 2>that's just... goes that every time they face, the Chargers

0:21:06.310 --> 0:21:08.650
<v Speaker 2>are a little undervalued. And that's when they've had pretty

0:21:08.670 --> 0:21:11.720
<v Speaker 2>good teams. This is the lowest time in our life,

0:21:11.980 --> 0:21:14.200
<v Speaker 2>our career, of betting Herbert. This is the lowest point

0:21:14.240 --> 0:21:16.820
<v Speaker 2>of history. They have not covered... I think Evan Amos

0:21:16.859 --> 0:21:19.060
<v Speaker 2>had some crazy stats. It's like week 16 of last year.

0:21:19.300 --> 0:21:21.940
<v Speaker 2>No one's left. It's over. No one's backing this team

0:21:22.030 --> 0:21:25.010
<v Speaker 2>but professionals, right? The general public is just going to

0:21:25.030 --> 0:21:28.630
<v Speaker 2>be so bitter about this team. But we've given those stats, right?

0:21:28.670 --> 0:21:33.490
<v Speaker 2>Mahomes has these big favorites... I get why people are

0:21:33.530 --> 0:21:36.290
<v Speaker 2>tempted to bet it, right? To me, money line, just

0:21:36.310 --> 0:21:39.169
<v Speaker 2>like Drake May will get to, yes, go all in

0:21:39.270 --> 0:21:43.199
<v Speaker 2>on Mahomes on the money line or you want to

0:21:43.440 --> 0:21:45.100
<v Speaker 2>take him in a teaser, sure. I got no issue

0:21:45.119 --> 0:21:48.219
<v Speaker 2>with that just because we've seen it. I think he's

0:21:48.240 --> 0:21:50.399
<v Speaker 2>16-1 in this exact spot. He's a big favorite at

0:21:50.460 --> 0:21:53.960
<v Speaker 2>home against a divisional dog. But the one that jumps

0:21:54.010 --> 0:21:56.050
<v Speaker 2>out to me is Andy Reid after a bye week.

0:21:56.430 --> 0:22:00.120
<v Speaker 2>He does win. He's 12-6 straight up. but he's 6-12

0:22:00.160 --> 0:22:03.100
<v Speaker 2>against the spread after a bye week, including playoffs. So

0:22:03.840 --> 0:22:07.600
<v Speaker 2>if there's no injuries to the Chargers, this is probably 3.5, 4.5.

0:22:07.600 --> 0:22:10.150
<v Speaker 2>You add in injuries, now it's up to 6.5. You

0:22:10.270 --> 0:22:12.450
<v Speaker 2>add in they have just been a train wreck, they're

0:22:12.470 --> 0:22:15.350
<v Speaker 2>0-5 this season, 0-4-1 against the spread, you give them

0:22:15.390 --> 0:22:18.330
<v Speaker 2>another free two points. So it's a long-term winner. That's

0:22:18.350 --> 0:22:19.810
<v Speaker 2>what I'm trying to beat over your head with these stats,

0:22:19.830 --> 0:22:24.050
<v Speaker 2>where it's disgusting, it's ugly, but we're getting free numbers,

0:22:24.290 --> 0:22:26.530
<v Speaker 2>and the trends love it. We already love this spot,

0:22:26.590 --> 0:22:29.400
<v Speaker 2>so it's gross, but... That's why it takes balls, baby.

0:22:29.540 --> 0:22:30.479
<v Speaker 2>Hold your nose and take it.

0:22:30.900 --> 0:22:33.740
<v Speaker 1>Brass balls. The number's not going to get to nine.

0:22:34.330 --> 0:22:38.869
<v Speaker 1>Some books have already moved it to eight. So if

0:22:38.910 --> 0:22:41.450
<v Speaker 1>you want to get the Chargers, it's not going to

0:22:41.510 --> 0:22:44.950
<v Speaker 1>get any better for you. You got to take the

0:22:44.970 --> 0:22:49.389
<v Speaker 1>eight and a half, the Los Angeles Chargers trading at

0:22:49.470 --> 0:22:54.020
<v Speaker 1>eight and a half at 52% on Polymarket. That is

0:22:54.200 --> 0:23:00.320
<v Speaker 1>our Brass Balls trade of the week. presented by Polymarket.

0:23:00.900 --> 0:23:03.300
<v Speaker 1>I need to tell you about this new prediction market

0:23:03.400 --> 0:23:07.680
<v Speaker 1>called Polymarket. It's the best new way to trade in sports.

0:23:07.810 --> 0:23:10.570
<v Speaker 1>In the past, if you wanted action on the game,

0:23:11.170 --> 0:23:13.330
<v Speaker 1>you'd put some money in and if your team was

0:23:13.369 --> 0:23:15.570
<v Speaker 1>doing well and you wanted to cash out, they'd lock

0:23:15.590 --> 0:23:18.149
<v Speaker 1>the trade or take a huge fee. But Polymarket is

0:23:18.190 --> 0:23:21.409
<v Speaker 1>a prediction market, a stock exchange for sports where you

0:23:21.450 --> 0:23:23.590
<v Speaker 1>can buy and sell on your teams. I've tried them

0:23:23.770 --> 0:23:27.270
<v Speaker 1>all and Polymarket is simply the best prediction market. They're

0:23:27.390 --> 0:23:30.270
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0:23:30.290 --> 0:23:33.350
<v Speaker 1>They're giving you a free $ 25 on your first trade

0:23:33.609 --> 0:23:36.889
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0:23:36.930 --> 0:23:39.709
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0:23:39.730 --> 0:23:42.450
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0:23:42.490 --> 0:23:46.070
<v Speaker 1>description to join my squad today and sweat pics together

0:23:46.130 --> 0:23:49.370
<v Speaker 1>every Sunday in the Polymarket app. So download the Polymarket

0:23:49.410 --> 0:23:52.170
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0:23:52.250 --> 0:23:57.070
<v Speaker 1>Sharp to get $ 25 free after you deposit just $ 10 dollars.

0:23:58.190 --> 0:24:01.750
<v Speaker 1>You just brought up the Patriots and the Jets. The

0:24:01.790 --> 0:24:05.169
<v Speaker 1>game is seven and a half. I've seen some sevens

0:24:05.250 --> 0:24:07.449
<v Speaker 1>out there, but every time it gets to seven, it

0:24:07.530 --> 0:24:10.989
<v Speaker 1>bounces back up to seven and a half. I think

0:24:11.030 --> 0:24:13.990
<v Speaker 1>there is entirely a contingent of people who firmly believe

0:24:15.170 --> 0:24:21.340
<v Speaker 1>the Jets are better than expected and undervalued, especially because

0:24:21.359 --> 0:24:23.800
<v Speaker 1>of what their defense has been doing. Their pass rush

0:24:23.820 --> 0:24:26.939
<v Speaker 1>has gotten better and better. David Bailey, went off the

0:24:26.980 --> 0:24:30.220
<v Speaker 1>other day against the Browns. He was amazing. The Patriots'

0:24:30.300 --> 0:24:32.740
<v Speaker 1>strength as an offensive line, believe it or not, has

0:24:32.800 --> 0:24:38.500
<v Speaker 1>been their pass protection. Only five sacks the past few weeks.

0:24:38.940 --> 0:24:41.080
<v Speaker 1>Only two sacks the past two weeks after giving up

0:24:41.160 --> 0:24:43.940
<v Speaker 1>six the first two weeks of the year. Will Campbell

0:24:43.980 --> 0:24:51.010
<v Speaker 1>was injured. But the big news, A.J. Brown looking like

0:24:51.030 --> 0:24:54.600
<v Speaker 1>it's possible he can come back this week. And Drake

0:24:54.640 --> 0:24:57.100
<v Speaker 1>May has been going off the past couple weeks without A.J.

0:24:57.140 --> 0:24:57.460
<v Speaker 2>Brown.

0:24:57.960 --> 0:25:00.180
<v Speaker 1>Something got fixed. It could be who they've been playing.

0:25:00.220 --> 0:25:03.750
<v Speaker 1>It could be the pass protection. Something got better, which

0:25:05.210 --> 0:25:07.370
<v Speaker 1>puts us in a little bit of a quandary with

0:25:07.390 --> 0:25:08.370
<v Speaker 1>the Patriots right now.

0:25:10.970 --> 0:25:13.810
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, he definitely got his confidence back, right? Even that

0:25:13.869 --> 0:25:17.670
<v Speaker 2>Bills game we talked about, he had so many big-time

0:25:17.790 --> 0:25:21.869
<v Speaker 2>throws and– those all connecting that working out for him

0:25:21.890 --> 0:25:24.609
<v Speaker 2>just you saw that immediate boost right yeah even if

0:25:24.630 --> 0:25:27.570
<v Speaker 2>you have the best game against the bills he's next

0:25:27.590 --> 0:25:31.780
<v Speaker 2>to flawless against the raiders so um yeah we expect

0:25:31.820 --> 0:25:33.859
<v Speaker 2>a little regression here obviously against the jets i don't

0:25:33.880 --> 0:25:35.760
<v Speaker 2>expect him to put up 45 points but even if

0:25:35.780 --> 0:25:38.399
<v Speaker 2>he takes a little step back i still think they

0:25:38.420 --> 0:25:41.399
<v Speaker 2>can easily outscore this jets offense who's been inconsistent they

0:25:41.420 --> 0:25:44.250
<v Speaker 2>have their own injuries they're dealing with offensively and um

0:25:45.369 --> 0:25:47.630
<v Speaker 2>I immediately want to look at all the Aaron Glenn stats.

0:25:48.150 --> 0:25:51.990
<v Speaker 2>It's like, OK, how is Aaron Glenn as a big dog?

0:25:52.020 --> 0:25:53.840
<v Speaker 2>Because I just remember last year, I feel like the

0:25:53.880 --> 0:25:55.720
<v Speaker 2>Jets were just getting steamrolled. And you could say, well,

0:25:55.740 --> 0:25:57.820
<v Speaker 2>they're a different team. They have different, you know, obviously,

0:25:57.840 --> 0:26:01.520
<v Speaker 2>Gino Smith. The underlying numbers, Gino's been all right this year.

0:26:01.540 --> 0:26:03.820
<v Speaker 2>It's not like he's letting the world on fire. He's

0:26:03.859 --> 0:26:06.580
<v Speaker 2>not been that big of a difference maker. So he's

0:26:06.640 --> 0:26:08.680
<v Speaker 2>at 11 games that he's closed as a six point

0:26:08.700 --> 0:26:11.750
<v Speaker 2>dog or more in his career. On the Jets, they're

0:26:11.770 --> 0:26:15.490
<v Speaker 2>0-10 straight up, and they're 3-6-1 against the spread. So,

0:26:17.310 --> 0:26:21.790
<v Speaker 2>I mean, he obviously struggled as a big dog. Drake

0:26:21.850 --> 0:26:24.540
<v Speaker 2>May in his career, I think he's 3-0 straight up

0:26:24.600 --> 0:26:29.400
<v Speaker 2>against the spread against the Jets. Shockingly, against AFC East,

0:26:29.580 --> 0:26:33.919
<v Speaker 2>he's 9-2 against the spread. So, Drake May, I know

0:26:33.940 --> 0:26:35.960
<v Speaker 2>it's a small sample, but he's clearly started his career

0:26:36.020 --> 0:26:38.770
<v Speaker 2>very good against his division. Takes it very serious. Even

0:26:39.359 --> 0:26:41.180
<v Speaker 2>Last year when the, you know, the books are bumping

0:26:41.220 --> 0:26:43.040
<v Speaker 2>up two or three points, it didn't matter. He was

0:26:43.060 --> 0:26:46.170
<v Speaker 2>still blowing out divisional opponents and obviously plays well against

0:26:46.210 --> 0:26:48.450
<v Speaker 2>the bills. We've seen that these last two years. So,

0:26:49.170 --> 0:26:52.450
<v Speaker 2>you know, I, I, I look at this number and

0:26:52.550 --> 0:26:54.149
<v Speaker 2>I try to get ahead of it, especially the AJ

0:26:54.170 --> 0:26:56.690
<v Speaker 2>Brown potentially coming back and grabbing the sevens where I could.

0:26:57.350 --> 0:26:59.300
<v Speaker 2>We'll probably have to make a real decision Sunday morning,

0:26:59.500 --> 0:27:02.100
<v Speaker 2>seven half dog. I mean, seven half point favorite. I

0:27:02.119 --> 0:27:03.659
<v Speaker 2>know we took one last week and it worked out

0:27:03.700 --> 0:27:06.300
<v Speaker 2>for us. We need that exact scenario to play out though.

0:27:06.320 --> 0:27:08.340
<v Speaker 2>And that's what's so tough. It's, When you take those

0:27:08.359 --> 0:27:10.859
<v Speaker 2>type of numbers, it can't be Drake May throws a

0:27:10.920 --> 0:27:13.760
<v Speaker 2>pick or has a fumble or, you know, Stevenson comes

0:27:13.800 --> 0:27:15.060
<v Speaker 2>in and fumbles the ball on the goal line. We

0:27:15.100 --> 0:27:17.520
<v Speaker 2>know at that number, it's seven and a half, probably

0:27:17.560 --> 0:27:19.770
<v Speaker 2>dead if those things happen against the Jets here. So

0:27:20.450 --> 0:27:22.310
<v Speaker 2>I know we don't love that many favorites. This one

0:27:22.330 --> 0:27:23.550
<v Speaker 2>just jumped out to me and it's nice to know

0:27:23.570 --> 0:27:26.629
<v Speaker 2>the trends backing up as well. So interesting where this

0:27:26.670 --> 0:27:28.390
<v Speaker 2>line goes. If AJ does get cleared, does it hold

0:27:28.430 --> 0:27:29.949
<v Speaker 2>at seven and a half? Does it start moving up

0:27:29.970 --> 0:27:33.879
<v Speaker 2>to eight? Like we talked about, there's, some resistance on

0:27:33.900 --> 0:27:35.719
<v Speaker 2>the jets or some respected money coming in on this

0:27:35.760 --> 0:27:38.060
<v Speaker 2>jet side. And even the public likes the jets in

0:27:38.080 --> 0:27:39.460
<v Speaker 2>this spot. They just think it's too big of a number.

0:27:39.500 --> 0:27:41.090
<v Speaker 2>So yeah, this is going to be a fun one

0:27:41.119 --> 0:27:42.410
<v Speaker 2>to track come Sunday morning.

0:27:43.130 --> 0:27:46.250
<v Speaker 1>I think the thing with Gino is the jets quarterbacks

0:27:46.290 --> 0:27:51.070
<v Speaker 1>have always been so bad that Gino and mediocre to

0:27:51.090 --> 0:27:54.580
<v Speaker 1>a little bit less than mediocre is actually such an improvement.

0:27:55.060 --> 0:27:57.600
<v Speaker 1>You know, you're as a jets fan, you're not immediately

0:27:57.820 --> 0:28:00.690
<v Speaker 1>out of the game. With Geno Smith, if you fall

0:28:00.710 --> 0:28:03.570
<v Speaker 1>behind a little bit, we've seen it in week to week.

0:28:03.609 --> 0:28:06.270
<v Speaker 1>You know, last week, he did enough. He did enough

0:28:06.290 --> 0:28:08.830
<v Speaker 1>to beat the Browns. And you normally don't get that.

0:28:09.310 --> 0:28:12.810
<v Speaker 1>And so I think that's where there's some of the

0:28:12.850 --> 0:28:15.899
<v Speaker 1>resistance is like, is he good enough, especially against a

0:28:15.930 --> 0:28:18.520
<v Speaker 1>team like the Patriots, where they do have a lot

0:28:18.560 --> 0:28:22.239
<v Speaker 1>of injuries in the secondary? So is that where they

0:28:22.260 --> 0:28:25.260
<v Speaker 1>can be vulnerable? Brees Hall, by the way, he's been

0:28:25.300 --> 0:28:26.939
<v Speaker 1>a real game changer for the Jets.

0:28:27.520 --> 0:28:27.850
<v Speaker 2>He is.

0:28:29.690 --> 0:28:33.130
<v Speaker 1>50-50 or less to play this weekend. He's been missing

0:28:33.150 --> 0:28:36.909
<v Speaker 1>the past few weeks. Really hard game. I really want

0:28:36.930 --> 0:28:39.760
<v Speaker 1>to take the Patriots. I really want the seven. And

0:28:39.840 --> 0:28:41.780
<v Speaker 1>so we're not going to get that in the contest

0:28:41.800 --> 0:28:43.780
<v Speaker 1>from a contest point of view. I think it's going

0:28:43.800 --> 0:28:46.700
<v Speaker 1>to be hard to put the... The difference between taking

0:28:46.720 --> 0:28:49.840
<v Speaker 1>the Texans last week and the Patriots this week is

0:28:49.880 --> 0:28:53.400
<v Speaker 1>that the Titans are just so bad, right? There is

0:28:53.440 --> 0:28:59.150
<v Speaker 1>something serviceable about the Jets and Versus the Titans, they

0:28:59.190 --> 0:29:04.690
<v Speaker 1>really are a level of incompetence that is reaching historic

0:29:04.710 --> 0:29:09.960
<v Speaker 1>proportions here. Baltimore at Cleveland. Cleveland is a five and

0:29:09.980 --> 0:29:13.780
<v Speaker 1>a half point underdog now. It was four and a half.

0:29:13.800 --> 0:29:17.920
<v Speaker 1>There is a, quote, realistic, unquote, chance Lamar is going

0:29:17.960 --> 0:29:22.510
<v Speaker 1>to play. Certainly feels like the market has been betting

0:29:22.680 --> 0:29:25.490
<v Speaker 1>into this game as if he'll play because the number

0:29:25.550 --> 0:29:30.620
<v Speaker 1>has moved up. My question for you, Simon, you just

0:29:30.660 --> 0:29:34.840
<v Speaker 1>mentioned Evan Abrams. Thanks to Evan for this stat. Do

0:29:34.860 --> 0:29:40.750
<v Speaker 1>people not know that Carl Sheffers is the official in

0:29:40.790 --> 0:29:46.650
<v Speaker 1>this game and that dogs cover at a 61% clip

0:29:46.710 --> 0:29:51.150
<v Speaker 1>in his games since 2020. Don't people know that that

0:29:51.170 --> 0:29:52.930
<v Speaker 1>could be reason enough to bet the Cleveland Browns.

0:29:55.120 --> 0:29:57.390
<v Speaker 2>I love it. And, uh, I think I saw another

0:29:57.430 --> 0:29:59.350
<v Speaker 2>crazy stat. I don't know if I haven't tweeted it

0:29:59.590 --> 0:30:04.260
<v Speaker 2>or maybe it wasn't his, but basically Lamar, he struggled

0:30:04.680 --> 0:30:07.780
<v Speaker 2>after the Ravens win. In his career, or not his career,

0:30:07.800 --> 0:30:10.660
<v Speaker 2>but I should say his last, whatever, his ninth and games,

0:30:11.160 --> 0:30:14.990
<v Speaker 2>he's lost seven straight games after a win, which is

0:30:15.030 --> 0:30:17.990
<v Speaker 2>just bizarre for Lamar because people forget Lamar obviously won

0:30:18.010 --> 0:30:19.710
<v Speaker 2>that game against Tennessee before he got knocked out of

0:30:19.730 --> 0:30:22.430
<v Speaker 2>the game at halftime. So I think Lamar's coming off

0:30:22.490 --> 0:30:25.080
<v Speaker 2>a win. He's actually 2-8 against the spread in this

0:30:25.120 --> 0:30:29.780
<v Speaker 2>exact spot. Whatever it is, whether it's the shops overvaluing him,

0:30:30.300 --> 0:30:33.700
<v Speaker 2>and that tends to happen, right? The Ravens win, Lamar wins,

0:30:34.420 --> 0:30:37.730
<v Speaker 2>the books bump it up, and now we're in even

0:30:37.770 --> 0:30:39.530
<v Speaker 2>more of a perfect trap where the Browns came off

0:30:39.590 --> 0:30:43.050
<v Speaker 2>an embarrassing loss, and now they're, once again, the shine's

0:30:43.130 --> 0:30:44.790
<v Speaker 2>off them. Everyone's left them for dead, even though we

0:30:44.810 --> 0:30:47.350
<v Speaker 2>said last week was the definition of a trap line

0:30:47.370 --> 0:30:49.320
<v Speaker 2>for the Browns. And that's why I love what we do,

0:30:49.340 --> 0:30:52.820
<v Speaker 2>where it's just, it's the zigzag, so. yeah, could we

0:30:52.860 --> 0:30:54.920
<v Speaker 2>get caught and get burned once again on this Browns team?

0:30:54.960 --> 0:30:56.980
<v Speaker 2>We know we're betting into. They're a bad team. The

0:30:57.020 --> 0:30:58.800
<v Speaker 2>Ravens are a more complete team in every way, you

0:30:58.820 --> 0:31:02.460
<v Speaker 2>could say, but still see weaknesses in this Ravens team

0:31:02.700 --> 0:31:06.860
<v Speaker 2>across the board. Offensively, they feel like they're inconsistent. Defensively,

0:31:06.880 --> 0:31:09.090
<v Speaker 2>I don't know if Trey Hendricks has been the guy

0:31:09.110 --> 0:31:10.730
<v Speaker 2>they really thought they were getting, and you look at

0:31:10.750 --> 0:31:13.950
<v Speaker 2>the underlying stats, he's lost a step. That's the truth,

0:31:14.090 --> 0:31:16.500
<v Speaker 2>and it really is. The NFL, that's how it is.

0:31:16.670 --> 0:31:18.370
<v Speaker 2>You have one or two bad injuries, you kind of

0:31:18.390 --> 0:31:20.890
<v Speaker 2>miss a year, you're not in the same type of groove,

0:31:20.970 --> 0:31:23.170
<v Speaker 2>and you're not the same player you were before, right?

0:31:23.230 --> 0:31:26.870
<v Speaker 2>So just looking at this matchup, I'm actually happy it's

0:31:26.910 --> 0:31:30.050
<v Speaker 2>not Snoop Huntley. Like he's actually been really good. And

0:31:30.070 --> 0:31:31.630
<v Speaker 2>you go through all the underlying numbers, he's tended to

0:31:31.670 --> 0:31:36.030
<v Speaker 2>be undervalued by most shops and bookmakers. So looking here,

0:31:37.190 --> 0:31:39.250
<v Speaker 2>I'm hoping we can get to six, but I'm still

0:31:39.290 --> 0:31:40.490
<v Speaker 2>fine taking the five and a half for the four

0:31:40.520 --> 0:31:41.880
<v Speaker 2>and a half, whatever you can get on this Browns team.

0:31:41.890 --> 0:31:44.740
<v Speaker 2>It just, this feels like a close field goal game or,

0:31:45.220 --> 0:31:48.320
<v Speaker 2>you know, Ravens are up by 10 and we get

0:31:48.340 --> 0:31:51.200
<v Speaker 2>a late touchdown or whatever it may be. It just

0:31:51.660 --> 0:31:53.660
<v Speaker 2>feels like a very close game. We've seen Deshaun Watson

0:31:53.700 --> 0:31:56.180
<v Speaker 2>play so well in these fourth quarters. So just going

0:31:56.220 --> 0:32:01.220
<v Speaker 2>through it this year, this Browns team, even last year,

0:32:01.240 --> 0:32:04.100
<v Speaker 2>we talked about they're a different team at home. We

0:32:04.140 --> 0:32:06.010
<v Speaker 2>said this year maybe it'll be different, right? Schwartz is

0:32:06.030 --> 0:32:08.350
<v Speaker 2>no longer coaching this defense. Maybe the defense will be

0:32:08.390 --> 0:32:12.370
<v Speaker 2>different home and away. I still look at this team

0:32:12.470 --> 0:32:14.770
<v Speaker 2>as they've just played better at home this year. The

0:32:14.810 --> 0:32:18.010
<v Speaker 2>offense has played better as well. We're looking at a

0:32:18.050 --> 0:32:19.950
<v Speaker 2>number here that just feels very favorable to this Browns

0:32:19.970 --> 0:32:23.209
<v Speaker 2>team in a tough divisional game. This is a game

0:32:23.230 --> 0:32:25.340
<v Speaker 2>where maybe Sunday morning we talk ourselves out of it

0:32:25.360 --> 0:32:27.540
<v Speaker 2>because there's other games we love better. This to me

0:32:27.600 --> 0:32:29.420
<v Speaker 2>is one of these bets hanging right on the edge

0:32:29.820 --> 0:32:31.920
<v Speaker 2>where I go either way on it, but it feels

0:32:31.940 --> 0:32:33.320
<v Speaker 2>like such a good number it's hard to get away

0:32:33.360 --> 0:32:34.180
<v Speaker 2>from this Browns side.

0:32:35.820 --> 0:32:37.680
<v Speaker 1>We are so locked in on the Browns. There's more

0:32:37.720 --> 0:32:40.350
<v Speaker 1>on the Browns to come. later in the show, you've

0:32:40.370 --> 0:32:44.610
<v Speaker 1>got a Simon, you've got a lot of supporters on

0:32:44.630 --> 0:32:50.330
<v Speaker 1>the Browns this week, Carolina at Philadelphia. You've been telling

0:32:50.350 --> 0:32:52.430
<v Speaker 1>me all week, the Panthers, a plus one and a

0:32:52.470 --> 0:32:55.700
<v Speaker 1>half was a sucker bat, but you also said it

0:32:55.760 --> 0:32:59.720
<v Speaker 1>was the right side. Even though most of the money

0:32:59.780 --> 0:33:03.800
<v Speaker 1>and the tickets have been on the Eagles, this line

0:33:03.840 --> 0:33:07.820
<v Speaker 1>has flipped and the Panthers are now the favorites. So I'm,

0:33:08.280 --> 0:33:10.140
<v Speaker 1>I'm glad I got the Panthers at plus one and

0:33:10.160 --> 0:33:12.980
<v Speaker 1>a half, but what gives here? What is, what is

0:33:13.000 --> 0:33:15.920
<v Speaker 1>the community saying about this game?

0:33:17.860 --> 0:33:19.300
<v Speaker 2>It's exactly what I said was going to happen. I

0:33:19.320 --> 0:33:20.810
<v Speaker 2>said that I can't believe his line hadn't flipped and

0:33:20.830 --> 0:33:23.830
<v Speaker 2>it did flip. So yeah, it's not a shocker. I also,

0:33:23.920 --> 0:33:24.979
<v Speaker 2>I said it was a sucker line, but I said

0:33:25.010 --> 0:33:27.730
<v Speaker 2>to bet Carolina in teasers. That to me was the move.

0:33:27.810 --> 0:33:30.310
<v Speaker 2>You get them at seven and a half. It just,

0:33:31.590 --> 0:33:34.630
<v Speaker 2>it's a bad spot because it's just historically the Eagles

0:33:34.670 --> 0:33:36.270
<v Speaker 2>win and cover these exact spots. That's why I felt

0:33:36.290 --> 0:33:38.970
<v Speaker 2>like a sucker bet. But, The public is obviously on

0:33:39.020 --> 0:33:40.840
<v Speaker 2>to it. The pros are on to it. I thought

0:33:40.860 --> 0:33:43.080
<v Speaker 2>the Eagles were going to get no love here, and

0:33:43.120 --> 0:33:46.260
<v Speaker 2>they are getting love. So, yeah, come Sunday morning, Chad,

0:33:46.280 --> 0:33:47.660
<v Speaker 2>if you want to take a stand on the Panthers,

0:33:47.680 --> 0:33:48.840
<v Speaker 2>I'm not going to fight you on it. We talked

0:33:48.860 --> 0:33:52.080
<v Speaker 2>about that stat. These teams coming back from England have

0:33:52.120 --> 0:33:54.200
<v Speaker 2>not performed well. I mean, just this year, Warren Sharp

0:33:54.760 --> 0:33:56.820
<v Speaker 2>came in this summer and gave us this whole rest

0:33:56.840 --> 0:33:58.040
<v Speaker 2>disparity stat.

0:33:58.080 --> 0:33:58.360
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, yeah.

0:33:58.900 --> 0:34:01.220
<v Speaker 2>I think if you just blindly bet Warren Sharp's stats,

0:34:01.660 --> 0:34:03.480
<v Speaker 2>the teams that basically are on short rest compared to

0:34:03.520 --> 0:34:06.720
<v Speaker 2>teams on favorable extended rest, they're 13-3 against the spread

0:34:06.760 --> 0:34:09.700
<v Speaker 2>this season. I didn't know that. That's crazy. You could

0:34:09.719 --> 0:34:11.680
<v Speaker 2>have been super lazy betting this year, and you'd be

0:34:11.900 --> 0:34:15.840
<v Speaker 2>very profitable. I'm trying to rethink this one. It's like, yeah,

0:34:16.050 --> 0:34:18.570
<v Speaker 2>it's a trap spot. It's a sucker bet betting the Panthers.

0:34:18.590 --> 0:34:20.290
<v Speaker 2>That's why the Eagles are getting so much love. But

0:34:21.230 --> 0:34:22.710
<v Speaker 2>the cheat code here to me was going to be

0:34:22.730 --> 0:34:26.170
<v Speaker 2>the fact they were getting Saquon back and Devontae Smith.

0:34:26.770 --> 0:34:28.739
<v Speaker 2>Now both those guys are still not practicing this week.

0:34:28.820 --> 0:34:31.980
<v Speaker 2>So I think the line also reflects that. You're still

0:34:32.000 --> 0:34:33.540
<v Speaker 2>not getting your number one running back or your number

0:34:33.560 --> 0:34:36.560
<v Speaker 2>one receiver back. you're down to your fourth or fifth

0:34:36.600 --> 0:34:38.719
<v Speaker 2>string running back now in the Eagles and they still

0:34:38.760 --> 0:34:42.940
<v Speaker 2>are down four offensive linemen. So I get it. I

0:34:43.300 --> 0:34:45.279
<v Speaker 2>get the line moving. Like I said, I didn't, I

0:34:45.320 --> 0:34:47.260
<v Speaker 2>didn't get why the Eagles were still favorite. We're on Tuesday.

0:34:47.600 --> 0:34:50.520
<v Speaker 2>The flip makes sense. The Panthers are just the healthier,

0:34:50.860 --> 0:34:54.299
<v Speaker 2>more rested team right now. It's just, it's a stinky line. That's,

0:34:54.420 --> 0:34:56.680
<v Speaker 2>that's my hesitation here with this line. It's just, it's

0:34:56.760 --> 0:35:00.360
<v Speaker 2>never that easy, but sometimes it is. So yeah, if

0:35:00.420 --> 0:35:01.920
<v Speaker 2>you want to put in the Panther Sunday, I'm not

0:35:01.940 --> 0:35:03.910
<v Speaker 2>going to fight you on. I just, try to warn

0:35:03.950 --> 0:35:07.109
<v Speaker 2>us off of it because it just never felt right.

0:35:07.190 --> 0:35:09.250
<v Speaker 2>Never felt right when they hung this number where I

0:35:09.290 --> 0:35:11.669
<v Speaker 2>didn't go to the Panthers just weren't minus three. That

0:35:11.710 --> 0:35:14.609
<v Speaker 2>would have made sense. But instead, the books had opened

0:35:14.630 --> 0:35:16.800
<v Speaker 2>this with the Eagles and now they're paying for it

0:35:16.840 --> 0:35:19.279
<v Speaker 2>now because so much money is coming on this Panthers side.

0:35:19.340 --> 0:35:20.920
<v Speaker 2>So we'll see where it ends up. But yeah, it's

0:35:20.960 --> 0:35:24.200
<v Speaker 2>just there's no Saquon, no Devontae Smith. I'm not investing

0:35:24.219 --> 0:35:25.460
<v Speaker 2>heavily in this Eagles team right now.

0:35:25.800 --> 0:35:28.360
<v Speaker 1>Well, look, the truth is if the Panthers end up

0:35:28.440 --> 0:35:31.589
<v Speaker 1>as favorites in the contest, which is what they are

0:35:31.650 --> 0:35:35.940
<v Speaker 1>right now, I can't imagine we're putting them in because

0:35:36.000 --> 0:35:39.350
<v Speaker 1>we have been allergic to putting teams into the contest

0:35:39.950 --> 0:35:42.250
<v Speaker 1>if the line has flipped. I can't think of a

0:35:42.310 --> 0:35:45.610
<v Speaker 1>single instance where that's worked out in our favor. I

0:35:47.750 --> 0:35:51.710
<v Speaker 1>don't see us bucking that trend. By the way, especially

0:35:51.750 --> 0:35:54.630
<v Speaker 1>when we have so many other games that are so enticing,

0:35:55.190 --> 0:35:59.359
<v Speaker 1>like the Arizona Cardinals visiting the Los Angeles Rams. They're

0:35:59.380 --> 0:36:04.600
<v Speaker 1>12.5-point underdogs, the Arizona Cardinals. in Los Angeles. Got a

0:36:04.640 --> 0:36:07.940
<v Speaker 1>couple of games this week that are definitions of pros

0:36:07.980 --> 0:36:10.430
<v Speaker 1>Joe's games. And this is the first one we're going

0:36:10.450 --> 0:36:13.950
<v Speaker 1>to talk about. Majority of the money in Arizona. It's

0:36:14.030 --> 0:36:15.770
<v Speaker 1>why the line has dropped from 13 and a half

0:36:16.430 --> 0:36:20.840
<v Speaker 1>down to 12 and a half. The tickets all on

0:36:20.880 --> 0:36:27.100
<v Speaker 1>the Rams. Bad team, bad losing streak that just got

0:36:27.160 --> 0:36:32.160
<v Speaker 1>blown out. That's the side you want to play. Then

0:36:32.200 --> 0:36:37.549
<v Speaker 1>you get into the matchup. This Cardinals team is particularly bad.

0:36:37.570 --> 0:36:43.390
<v Speaker 1>They've allowed 30-plus points in the past four games. Sean McVay,

0:36:43.410 --> 0:36:49.530
<v Speaker 1>14-4-1 against the spread against Arizona. Thank you, Evan Abrams.

0:36:50.650 --> 0:36:55.150
<v Speaker 1>We've both bet into Arizona, but one of these has

0:36:55.190 --> 0:37:00.739
<v Speaker 1>got to give. Either McVay won't cover because this is

0:37:00.780 --> 0:37:04.069
<v Speaker 1>a huge number, and historically a spot where you want

0:37:04.090 --> 0:37:07.340
<v Speaker 1>to back the dog. Or McVay is just so mad

0:37:07.380 --> 0:37:09.480
<v Speaker 1>that his super team is two and three, and he

0:37:09.540 --> 0:37:13.520
<v Speaker 1>is going to play on the gas the entire freaking

0:37:13.540 --> 0:37:18.880
<v Speaker 1>game against an undermanned, less talented team. We got to

0:37:18.900 --> 0:37:19.400
<v Speaker 1>make a choice.

0:37:21.440 --> 0:37:26.529
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I've come around, unfortunately, to the Rams side, Chad. Oh, boy.

0:37:27.180 --> 0:37:27.620
<v Speaker 1>Oh, boy.

0:37:28.010 --> 0:37:28.450
<v Speaker 2>I know.

0:37:29.410 --> 0:37:31.489
<v Speaker 1>At 12 and a half? I know.

0:37:32.190 --> 0:37:35.049
<v Speaker 2>And it wasn't so much we were getting– I was

0:37:35.070 --> 0:37:37.530
<v Speaker 2>getting a lot of shipper takes on taking the Cardinals

0:37:37.570 --> 0:37:39.549
<v Speaker 2>that it just didn't make sense and it feels too easy.

0:37:39.610 --> 0:37:43.890
<v Speaker 2>But definitely got pushback where the shops are telling you

0:37:43.930 --> 0:37:47.900
<v Speaker 2>kind of what their view is of this. And just

0:37:47.940 --> 0:37:51.640
<v Speaker 2>the fact that these double-digit dogs, we've talked about, they've

0:37:51.660 --> 0:37:55.319
<v Speaker 2>not hit like they used to, right? No, no. It's

0:37:55.340 --> 0:37:58.410
<v Speaker 2>definitely changed the other way. And the underlying numbers aren't great, right?

0:37:58.530 --> 0:38:03.840
<v Speaker 2>So since the start of last season, double-digit dogs, In division, Jed,

0:38:03.950 --> 0:38:06.090
<v Speaker 2>you're not going to like this one. They're 12-0 straight up.

0:38:06.110 --> 0:38:09.350
<v Speaker 2>So the Rams are 12-0 straight up in this spot,

0:38:09.370 --> 0:38:12.730
<v Speaker 2>9-2-1 against the spread in this exact spot. So double-digit

0:38:12.750 --> 0:38:15.750
<v Speaker 2>dogs in division doesn't hit like it used to. That's

0:38:15.770 --> 0:38:18.370
<v Speaker 2>what really alarmed me. And even if you go back

0:38:18.750 --> 0:38:20.150
<v Speaker 2>even further, so start of 2023, 9-2 straight up, 13-7-1

0:38:20.170 --> 0:38:22.770
<v Speaker 2>against the spread. So you finally back the favorites here.

0:38:28.630 --> 0:38:30.790
<v Speaker 2>People have been printing money this way, which I couldn't believe.

0:38:30.850 --> 0:38:33.070
<v Speaker 2>I can't believe the dogs have just been crushed in

0:38:33.090 --> 0:38:36.899
<v Speaker 2>these double digit divisional dogs. Cause you know, even five, five,

0:38:36.900 --> 0:38:39.020
<v Speaker 2>10 years ago, this was just an easy auto play.

0:38:39.040 --> 0:38:41.540
<v Speaker 2>It was like, all right, 58% of the time, the

0:38:41.580 --> 0:38:44.900
<v Speaker 2>double digit divisional dog covers. It was just a blind

0:38:44.920 --> 0:38:47.759
<v Speaker 2>easy bet because you know, we always talk about this.

0:38:47.880 --> 0:38:51.170
<v Speaker 2>It's just inflated, right? The Rams lines inflated because of teasers,

0:38:51.250 --> 0:38:53.670
<v Speaker 2>Moneyline parlays, all of that noise. They're gonna have to

0:38:53.690 --> 0:38:54.830
<v Speaker 2>bump it up. Like they had it at 13 and

0:38:54.850 --> 0:38:57.430
<v Speaker 2>a half. Like Chad said, pros immediately came and hit

0:38:57.469 --> 0:38:59.819
<v Speaker 2>this number, which I agreed with. I think that's when

0:38:59.840 --> 0:39:02.379
<v Speaker 2>we should have, but now that's coming down. It's under

0:39:02.400 --> 0:39:04.899
<v Speaker 2>the key number of 13. That's what I got calls about.

0:39:04.940 --> 0:39:07.200
<v Speaker 2>It's like, you're, you're betting into a bad number and

0:39:07.239 --> 0:39:10.390
<v Speaker 2>it's a bad trends where historically now we've seen these

0:39:11.110 --> 0:39:15.610
<v Speaker 2>big favorites at home divisionally do really well. So, Yeah,

0:39:15.750 --> 0:39:17.680
<v Speaker 2>I saw those stats too about McVay. I had no

0:39:17.739 --> 0:39:19.460
<v Speaker 2>idea he'd own the Cardinals like that. I knew he'd

0:39:19.540 --> 0:39:22.719
<v Speaker 2>own them kind of, but that's crazy. 14-4 against the

0:39:22.739 --> 0:39:25.730
<v Speaker 2>spread in his career. So I'm glad I talked myself

0:39:25.770 --> 0:39:27.109
<v Speaker 2>out of this because I made a look and it's like,

0:39:27.130 --> 0:39:29.860
<v Speaker 2>all right, there's three 4.00 PM games and we're on

0:39:29.900 --> 0:39:33.120
<v Speaker 2>all three. And that did, did jump out to me

0:39:33.160 --> 0:39:35.180
<v Speaker 2>right away where it's not just like we're on them.

0:39:35.719 --> 0:39:38.650
<v Speaker 2>Me and Chad love the chargers. We love the Raiders.

0:39:39.230 --> 0:39:41.750
<v Speaker 2>So I'm glad we're a little split here because I

0:39:41.750 --> 0:39:43.390
<v Speaker 2>thought I was gonna be able to record it as well.

0:39:43.469 --> 0:39:47.049
<v Speaker 2>But yeah, seeing that there are sharp, smart groups on

0:39:47.090 --> 0:39:49.279
<v Speaker 2>the Rams and that, I talked to a bunch of

0:39:49.300 --> 0:39:50.580
<v Speaker 2>guys who are the trend bettors, and they're the ones

0:39:50.600 --> 0:39:53.299
<v Speaker 2>giving me all those trends. It's like, okay. I knew

0:39:53.320 --> 0:39:55.550
<v Speaker 2>something was fishy about this line because I couldn't believe

0:39:55.610 --> 0:39:59.969
<v Speaker 2>it was above 10. I really couldn't. The Rams just seem...

0:39:59.930 --> 0:40:02.109
<v Speaker 2>They're a very good team, but defensively, they just seem

0:40:02.130 --> 0:40:04.859
<v Speaker 2>so lost. And we've seen this Arizona team can move

0:40:04.880 --> 0:40:08.050
<v Speaker 2>the ball. So, yeah, another game where... you know, if

0:40:08.070 --> 0:40:10.290
<v Speaker 2>you're back in this Rams team, you're going to need

0:40:10.310 --> 0:40:11.790
<v Speaker 2>a lot of luck. And that's why it's like, if

0:40:11.830 --> 0:40:13.750
<v Speaker 2>I can just stay away from it, I'm happy. But

0:40:14.770 --> 0:40:16.339
<v Speaker 2>I was shocked to see all those numbers about those

0:40:16.380 --> 0:40:18.920
<v Speaker 2>double-digit favorites. Just going forward, that's something to keep in

0:40:18.940 --> 0:40:21.520
<v Speaker 2>the back of our mind. We get these big favorites divisionally.

0:40:22.060 --> 0:40:24.040
<v Speaker 2>It's not like it used to be. And there's more

0:40:24.080 --> 0:40:24.760
<v Speaker 2>to it, obviously.

0:40:25.160 --> 0:40:26.680
<v Speaker 1>I think I read somewhere else, and I'm going to

0:40:26.719 --> 0:40:29.319
<v Speaker 1>do some research on this this week for our Tuesday show.

0:40:29.680 --> 0:40:33.169
<v Speaker 1>I think there's a sweet spot in that 7 to

0:40:33.170 --> 0:40:39.710
<v Speaker 1>10 range that you can bet into the dogs because

0:40:39.770 --> 0:40:44.830
<v Speaker 1>the overvaluing of the team that is the favorite pushes

0:40:44.870 --> 0:40:47.110
<v Speaker 1>them into a range where the team that they're playing

0:40:47.150 --> 0:40:52.870
<v Speaker 1>against isn't as bad as the perception. But I think

0:40:52.910 --> 0:40:56.410
<v Speaker 1>when you get into those double digits, the teams are

0:40:56.610 --> 0:41:03.200
<v Speaker 1>so bad that are the underdogs that the other team,

0:41:03.239 --> 0:41:05.739
<v Speaker 1>if they are exactly what they are supposed to be,

0:41:06.380 --> 0:41:08.680
<v Speaker 1>There is no real chance for them to cover. And

0:41:08.700 --> 0:41:10.779
<v Speaker 1>I wonder if that's where the sweet spot ends up being.

0:41:11.080 --> 0:41:13.880
<v Speaker 1>I'm going to look into that a little bit. I'm

0:41:13.920 --> 0:41:16.470
<v Speaker 1>kind of glad you're talking me out of it because, like,

0:41:16.860 --> 0:41:19.490
<v Speaker 1>I don't want to bet the Cardinals. I bet them, obviously,

0:41:19.510 --> 0:41:22.150
<v Speaker 1>at 13 and a half. I'm not dying to put

0:41:22.170 --> 0:41:24.170
<v Speaker 1>them in the contest. I definitely was not dying to

0:41:24.210 --> 0:41:27.489
<v Speaker 1>put them in the contest if we're leaning into the

0:41:27.550 --> 0:41:34.140
<v Speaker 1>Chargers and also leaning into the Las Vegas Raiders. The

0:41:34.160 --> 0:41:36.820
<v Speaker 1>Las Vegas Raiders, four and a half point home underdogs

0:41:37.239 --> 0:41:39.680
<v Speaker 1>against the Buffalo Bills. This is the other game that

0:41:39.739 --> 0:41:43.120
<v Speaker 1>is the massive Pro Joe split this week. Raiders are

0:41:43.660 --> 0:41:46.160
<v Speaker 1>either a good team off of a bad loss. That

0:41:46.219 --> 0:41:48.940
<v Speaker 1>covers it a 57% clip. Or the Raiders are a

0:41:49.040 --> 0:41:51.920
<v Speaker 1>bad team off of a bad loss. That covers it

0:41:51.960 --> 0:41:54.980
<v Speaker 1>a 56% clip. Any way you want to perceive the Raiders,

0:41:55.680 --> 0:41:58.060
<v Speaker 1>it's a good spot. Bills are on a short week.

0:41:58.100 --> 0:42:00.120
<v Speaker 1>They did stay on the West Coast, but they're coming

0:42:00.160 --> 0:42:04.210
<v Speaker 1>off an overtime game. road teams coming off an overtime

0:42:04.250 --> 0:42:08.049
<v Speaker 1>game off a short rest 33 straight up 40 against

0:42:08.070 --> 0:42:10.640
<v Speaker 1>the spread it might be a time to play the

0:42:10.680 --> 0:42:13.620
<v Speaker 1>raiders a little bit on the money line in addition

0:42:13.680 --> 0:42:16.100
<v Speaker 1>to taking them as underdogs.

0:42:17.660 --> 0:42:19.520
<v Speaker 2>You nailed it and we knew right away this was

0:42:19.540 --> 0:42:22.000
<v Speaker 2>going to be a spot but that that was really

0:42:22.040 --> 0:42:24.780
<v Speaker 2>the undertone of our reasoning for it honestly was just

0:42:25.520 --> 0:42:29.549
<v Speaker 2>you know This Raiders team, historically, data always shows these

0:42:29.810 --> 0:42:32.830
<v Speaker 2>type of home teams, dogs, bounce back after bad losses.

0:42:32.910 --> 0:42:36.170
<v Speaker 2>Even if they're a bad team long-term, it's technically a

0:42:36.310 --> 0:42:39.450
<v Speaker 2>nice spot, long-term winning spot. Then you factor in the

0:42:39.880 --> 0:42:43.339
<v Speaker 2>overtime stuff. It just, it supercharges this whole spot, right?

0:42:43.420 --> 0:42:45.800
<v Speaker 2>It's like giving steroids to this bet where it's like, okay,

0:42:46.180 --> 0:42:49.280
<v Speaker 2>it was already a nice spot. Now, all the trends

0:42:49.360 --> 0:42:53.770
<v Speaker 2>hate overtime teams, right? Extra snaps offensively, extra snaps defensively,

0:42:54.290 --> 0:42:57.670
<v Speaker 2>short rest. continue on the road. And just, we talk

0:42:57.690 --> 0:42:58.770
<v Speaker 2>all the time, how big of a deal is it?

0:42:58.850 --> 0:43:02.189
<v Speaker 2>All of us are all humans. We've all traveled. There's

0:43:02.210 --> 0:43:05.500
<v Speaker 2>a big difference than being on the road, missing your family,

0:43:05.540 --> 0:43:08.940
<v Speaker 2>people you love every day, five to six days, and

0:43:08.960 --> 0:43:11.859
<v Speaker 2>then going out and playing another competitive game where we've

0:43:11.900 --> 0:43:13.920
<v Speaker 2>seen it time and time again, these long road trips,

0:43:14.600 --> 0:43:17.700
<v Speaker 2>it is mentally tough on teams. Like it's just, all

0:43:17.719 --> 0:43:19.300
<v Speaker 2>you're trying to do is just get out there, survive,

0:43:19.340 --> 0:43:22.040
<v Speaker 2>get the wind, get out of there. Right. Where, you know, the,

0:43:22.239 --> 0:43:25.419
<v Speaker 2>this Raiders team, as bad as I looked in that

0:43:25.500 --> 0:43:28.460
<v Speaker 2>game against the Patriots, we talked about that was like

0:43:28.500 --> 0:43:30.299
<v Speaker 2>a game we were due for Kirk Cousins. We were

0:43:30.320 --> 0:43:34.610
<v Speaker 2>due for a stinker game. Now Bill's defense, Patriots defense,

0:43:34.750 --> 0:43:37.830
<v Speaker 2>basically the same, right? They're just two teams that, you know,

0:43:37.850 --> 0:43:40.890
<v Speaker 2>the Patriots had injuries. They're secondary. The bills, they're just

0:43:40.930 --> 0:43:43.300
<v Speaker 2>not great in the secondary. They're really not. We're up front.

0:43:43.320 --> 0:43:45.879
<v Speaker 2>They actually are pretty good overall. The spills team, like they're,

0:43:46.570 --> 0:43:48.230
<v Speaker 2>probably that's one of the bright spots of their defense.

0:43:48.270 --> 0:43:49.630
<v Speaker 2>If you can really find one, I know their defense

0:43:49.650 --> 0:43:52.410
<v Speaker 2>has been atrocious this year. It's just been all in

0:43:52.430 --> 0:43:56.550
<v Speaker 2>Josh Allen once again, but it's just a matchup here where,

0:43:57.570 --> 0:44:00.610
<v Speaker 2>you know, I look at this Raiders team that they're

0:44:00.719 --> 0:44:02.500
<v Speaker 2>always going to move the ball. Like I just feel

0:44:02.520 --> 0:44:04.080
<v Speaker 2>like offensively, they're always going to be able to move

0:44:04.120 --> 0:44:07.500
<v Speaker 2>the ball. So obviously we both wished it went up

0:44:07.540 --> 0:44:09.879
<v Speaker 2>to six. That would have been great. Cause that's really

0:44:09.920 --> 0:44:11.450
<v Speaker 2>where a lot of the pros came in and hammered it.

0:44:11.480 --> 0:44:14.060
<v Speaker 2>But like we talked about, it's just, Four and a half,

0:44:14.120 --> 0:44:15.580
<v Speaker 2>five and a half, I still think they're going to

0:44:15.640 --> 0:44:17.560
<v Speaker 2>get a great number. Anything above three and a half

0:44:17.600 --> 0:44:21.580
<v Speaker 2>to me is a great number. And I just look

0:44:21.620 --> 0:44:23.360
<v Speaker 2>at this game. I knew coming into this week, it

0:44:23.390 --> 0:44:24.489
<v Speaker 2>was just as soon as I saw it, I was like,

0:44:24.510 --> 0:44:25.610
<v Speaker 2>I knew we were both going to love it. It's

0:44:25.650 --> 0:44:27.330
<v Speaker 2>a game we're probably going to have come Sunday in

0:44:27.370 --> 0:44:29.870
<v Speaker 2>our competition. So it's nice to see all the trends

0:44:29.930 --> 0:44:32.009
<v Speaker 2>back up as well. And I see there's just so

0:44:32.030 --> 0:44:34.160
<v Speaker 2>much pro money coming on this Raiders team. We're not

0:44:34.200 --> 0:44:36.739
<v Speaker 2>alone here. We're not stepping in, as I should say. So.

0:44:37.510 --> 0:44:40.720
<v Speaker 2>uh yeah interesting game line um will this keep going

0:44:40.760 --> 0:44:42.759
<v Speaker 2>down because we talked in our last show it was

0:44:42.780 --> 0:44:44.540
<v Speaker 2>down to four and a half yeah and then some

0:44:44.580 --> 0:44:46.580
<v Speaker 2>really smart professional when it came in on the bills

0:44:46.620 --> 0:44:47.700
<v Speaker 2>and it went back to five and a half a

0:44:47.739 --> 0:44:50.430
<v Speaker 2>lot of shops so interesting where this number keeps tiling

0:44:50.450 --> 0:44:52.450
<v Speaker 2>in between or is it doesn't touch six once again

0:44:52.510 --> 0:44:54.630
<v Speaker 2>so um a game there if you didn't get to

0:44:54.690 --> 0:44:57.190
<v Speaker 2>five and a half maybe you could be patient here

0:44:57.390 --> 0:44:58.910
<v Speaker 2>i just i don't know how much more money will

0:44:58.950 --> 0:45:01.279
<v Speaker 2>come in on this Raiders team where like we talk

0:45:01.300 --> 0:45:03.770
<v Speaker 2>all the time these late afternoon games The public tends

0:45:03.810 --> 0:45:05.950
<v Speaker 2>to chase, and that's where so much money comes in late,

0:45:06.160 --> 0:45:08.700
<v Speaker 2>and you expect this Bills number could potentially get back

0:45:08.760 --> 0:45:09.300
<v Speaker 2>up to six.

0:45:10.260 --> 0:45:14.120
<v Speaker 1>To your matchup point, don't forget, listeners, the Bills rank

0:45:14.520 --> 0:45:17.580
<v Speaker 1>23rd in the league defending the tight end. That's basically

0:45:17.660 --> 0:45:20.640
<v Speaker 1>what the Raiders' offense is built around, getting the ball

0:45:20.980 --> 0:45:23.980
<v Speaker 1>from Kirk Cousins to their tight end. So we know

0:45:24.000 --> 0:45:25.299
<v Speaker 1>the Raiders are going to be on the list for

0:45:25.320 --> 0:45:29.130
<v Speaker 1>the contest. We got two more games that I want

0:45:29.150 --> 0:45:34.460
<v Speaker 1>to talk about. One of them is Green Bay hosting Dallas.

0:45:34.719 --> 0:45:37.840
<v Speaker 1>Green Bay is still a one and a half point favorite.

0:45:39.260 --> 0:45:41.640
<v Speaker 1>Lots of talk this week. Mike Tomlin has gone after

0:45:41.930 --> 0:45:48.890
<v Speaker 1>Brian Schottenheimer. Like no recent coach converted into broadcaster has done.

0:45:49.250 --> 0:45:51.810
<v Speaker 1>He went after him for that play against the Ravens.

0:45:52.150 --> 0:45:54.529
<v Speaker 1>He went after him because the defense is having a

0:45:54.590 --> 0:45:57.430
<v Speaker 1>team meeting and he's saying that's not good when Tomlin

0:45:57.469 --> 0:45:59.570
<v Speaker 1>is going on new heights and Schottenheimer is having to,

0:45:59.960 --> 0:46:05.279
<v Speaker 1>go and defend it in press conferences. Look, if you

0:46:05.320 --> 0:46:08.810
<v Speaker 1>want to back a team, the Cowboys are the side

0:46:08.830 --> 0:46:13.430
<v Speaker 1>to back here. I'm a little surprised the number has

0:46:13.530 --> 0:46:15.529
<v Speaker 1>sort of locked on at one and a half. I

0:46:15.550 --> 0:46:17.450
<v Speaker 1>thought it would have moved at least down to one

0:46:17.489 --> 0:46:20.259
<v Speaker 1>and stuck at one at some point this week, and

0:46:20.280 --> 0:46:20.640
<v Speaker 1>it hasn't.

0:46:22.840 --> 0:46:24.040
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, it's another game I thought I would get a

0:46:24.060 --> 0:46:26.360
<v Speaker 2>ton of calls about, but there's not too much love, honestly,

0:46:26.420 --> 0:46:28.400
<v Speaker 2>for Green Bay. I think a lot of guys, there's

0:46:28.420 --> 0:46:29.819
<v Speaker 2>just other games people are going to put their money

0:46:29.840 --> 0:46:32.540
<v Speaker 2>into and invest in. And I think a lot of

0:46:32.560 --> 0:46:35.180
<v Speaker 2>people have my same view of this. It's a coin

0:46:35.200 --> 0:46:37.279
<v Speaker 2>flip game. Honestly, that's what it feels like. It just

0:46:37.300 --> 0:46:39.920
<v Speaker 2>feels like that Bears-Atlanta game as well, where it's just

0:46:40.620 --> 0:46:44.239
<v Speaker 2>two teams where I think they're suspect defenses with high-powered offenses. And,

0:46:45.400 --> 0:46:49.060
<v Speaker 2>you know, all the underlying stats basically say that if

0:46:49.840 --> 0:46:52.880
<v Speaker 2>Gordon Love's defense gives up, you know, more than 24

0:46:52.880 --> 0:46:55.580
<v Speaker 2>points he's gonna lose if he can if their defense

0:46:55.620 --> 0:46:58.640
<v Speaker 2>holds the Cowboys to under 24 points Jordan Love wins

0:46:58.660 --> 0:47:00.919
<v Speaker 2>this game basically every time and it's like okay that's

0:47:01.560 --> 0:47:03.480
<v Speaker 2>basically the easy lazy trends you're gonna look at for

0:47:03.520 --> 0:47:06.830
<v Speaker 2>this week that if the Cowboys offense shows up performs

0:47:06.870 --> 0:47:09.469
<v Speaker 2>really well they're gonna win this game it's just the

0:47:09.489 --> 0:47:11.689
<v Speaker 2>way it is where Jordan Love can do a lot

0:47:11.730 --> 0:47:14.110
<v Speaker 2>for you but we know the deal like that offensive

0:47:14.150 --> 0:47:17.170
<v Speaker 2>line they're so bad it's He's going to live and

0:47:17.190 --> 0:47:20.370
<v Speaker 2>die with those 50-50 balls, Jordan Love. Watson can save them.

0:47:20.410 --> 0:47:23.410
<v Speaker 2>Golden can have incredible downfield catches. That's not going to

0:47:23.430 --> 0:47:25.750
<v Speaker 2>hit every week. That's just not the way the league is.

0:47:26.250 --> 0:47:28.320
<v Speaker 2>Will we get burned by Jordan Love this week if

0:47:28.360 --> 0:47:30.480
<v Speaker 2>you're backing him and him living and dying with these

0:47:30.500 --> 0:47:33.120
<v Speaker 2>50-50 balls? I think you do. I think the Cowboys' defense,

0:47:33.140 --> 0:47:36.960
<v Speaker 2>as bad as they've looked this year, you expect that

0:47:37.020 --> 0:47:39.400
<v Speaker 2>front line to keep getting better. They do have two

0:47:40.880 --> 0:47:43.580
<v Speaker 2>of the top five highest paid D tackles on football.

0:47:43.660 --> 0:47:45.740
<v Speaker 2>The whole thing just doesn't make sense why it's not.

0:47:46.260 --> 0:47:48.600
<v Speaker 2>working at all. They just, they went out and got guys.

0:47:48.660 --> 0:47:50.420
<v Speaker 2>I get their defense is bad, but they should be

0:47:50.500 --> 0:47:52.279
<v Speaker 2>better than they were last. And they're just simply not.

0:47:52.360 --> 0:47:54.770
<v Speaker 2>So it is tough. And I get why people are

0:47:54.810 --> 0:47:57.730
<v Speaker 2>betting into green Bay, but yeah, this was a game.

0:47:57.770 --> 0:47:59.370
<v Speaker 2>I thought it'd be way more confident and I'm kind

0:47:59.390 --> 0:48:01.230
<v Speaker 2>of waving a little bit on it where it's still

0:48:01.330 --> 0:48:03.549
<v Speaker 2>on the Cowboys, but I'm not, not loving too much

0:48:03.570 --> 0:48:06.529
<v Speaker 2>what I'm seeing on the film of this defense where

0:48:06.550 --> 0:48:08.540
<v Speaker 2>it's just, they're just bad. And it's like, man, I

0:48:08.580 --> 0:48:09.739
<v Speaker 2>don't know if I want to invest too much money

0:48:09.760 --> 0:48:11.620
<v Speaker 2>into a game that just feels like a corn toss here.

0:48:12.540 --> 0:48:16.210
<v Speaker 1>It seems like they have drafted well. You know, that

0:48:16.250 --> 0:48:19.950
<v Speaker 1>new linebacker from Michigan who took over for Overshawn Barsham,

0:48:22.070 --> 0:48:25.910
<v Speaker 1>Caleb Downs. You know, Deron Bland has just been terrible

0:48:25.969 --> 0:48:29.350
<v Speaker 1>since they signed him to that massive contract. So they're

0:48:29.750 --> 0:48:32.850
<v Speaker 1>constantly shuffling in the secondary. And you're right, those defensive

0:48:32.870 --> 0:48:35.930
<v Speaker 1>tackles just feel like they don't have any impact. It's

0:48:35.950 --> 0:48:40.430
<v Speaker 1>a hard team to bet confidently. We were basically saying

0:48:40.969 --> 0:48:44.890
<v Speaker 1>it's a coin flip game, which is... I'm glad we

0:48:44.969 --> 0:48:47.670
<v Speaker 1>won't have to make a hard decision on the Cowboys

0:48:47.930 --> 0:48:51.010
<v Speaker 1>on Sunday. We will have to make a hard decision

0:48:51.989 --> 0:48:56.810
<v Speaker 1>on the Washington Commanders as seven and a half point

0:48:56.930 --> 0:49:02.569
<v Speaker 1>underdogs at the 49ers. The Commanders are the sharp side here.

0:49:04.820 --> 0:49:10.740
<v Speaker 1>You've got a very buy low, sell high game between

0:49:10.780 --> 0:49:13.350
<v Speaker 1>these two teams. And by the way, you're going to

0:49:13.390 --> 0:49:17.160
<v Speaker 1>be betting into a defense for the 49ers that is

0:49:17.200 --> 0:49:22.379
<v Speaker 1>getting healthier because Nick Bosa is probably going to be back.

0:49:22.920 --> 0:49:28.440
<v Speaker 1>So this is an ugly, ugly thing to do. I

0:49:28.480 --> 0:49:32.380
<v Speaker 1>don't see anyone really ticket-wise coming in on the Commanders

0:49:32.420 --> 0:49:37.670
<v Speaker 1>right now. All the tickets are on San Francisco. So...

0:49:39.280 --> 0:49:41.799
<v Speaker 1>It's going to take some courage. It's going to take

0:49:41.840 --> 0:49:46.700
<v Speaker 1>some conviction. It might take blindness. It might take ignorance.

0:49:46.780 --> 0:49:49.860
<v Speaker 1>It might take stupidity to bet on the commanders at

0:49:49.880 --> 0:49:50.440
<v Speaker 1>seven and a half.

0:49:52.440 --> 0:49:53.780
<v Speaker 2>Another game where I didn't get a ton of calls,

0:49:53.820 --> 0:49:56.129
<v Speaker 2>maybe because it's the Monday night game and guys just,

0:49:56.190 --> 0:49:57.810
<v Speaker 2>they're not hitting it as hard as they would because

0:49:57.830 --> 0:50:01.470
<v Speaker 2>they're so invested in obviously the Thursday night, Saturday slate,

0:50:01.510 --> 0:50:05.190
<v Speaker 2>and then Sunday. But yeah, another game where I thought honestly,

0:50:05.210 --> 0:50:06.610
<v Speaker 2>we'd come here today and this would be at seven.

0:50:06.810 --> 0:50:08.310
<v Speaker 2>I just thought the pros were going to hammer this

0:50:08.370 --> 0:50:11.520
<v Speaker 2>commander's team because As much respect we give the 49ers,

0:50:11.560 --> 0:50:14.420
<v Speaker 2>they're technically the best team in football. They've got the

0:50:14.460 --> 0:50:19.460
<v Speaker 2>best record. Vikings, obviously, are tied with them, but we

0:50:19.480 --> 0:50:23.540
<v Speaker 2>have different views of this 49ers team compared to the Vikings.

0:50:25.239 --> 0:50:27.060
<v Speaker 2>Right now, the way we view Brock Purdy, playing at

0:50:27.100 --> 0:50:30.439
<v Speaker 2>such a high level, his Washington defense has been atrocious.

0:50:30.620 --> 0:50:33.779
<v Speaker 2>Everybody's been scoring on him. Terrible. We've joked. Dan Quinn,

0:50:33.820 --> 0:50:35.600
<v Speaker 2>we view both of them as a bottom five coach

0:50:35.660 --> 0:50:38.469
<v Speaker 2>in this league right now. He doesn't coach a defense well.

0:50:38.980 --> 0:50:42.200
<v Speaker 2>He doesn't make the right calls in the games. And, yeah,

0:50:43.120 --> 0:50:48.279
<v Speaker 2>I just– I am shocked this number hasn't moved just because,

0:50:48.320 --> 0:50:51.750
<v Speaker 2>like we've talked about, Jane Daniels, to me, he's too

0:50:51.790 --> 0:50:54.549
<v Speaker 2>good to be a 7.5-point dog. And that offense of

0:50:54.590 --> 0:50:56.969
<v Speaker 2>Washington is too good. And we've seen, as good as

0:50:57.010 --> 0:51:00.529
<v Speaker 2>this 49ers team has been this year, their defense has

0:51:00.590 --> 0:51:03.029
<v Speaker 2>also been up and down. Like some days they don't

0:51:03.070 --> 0:51:06.500
<v Speaker 2>have it defensively. I mean, you saw– Against Seattle, if

0:51:06.520 --> 0:51:08.390
<v Speaker 2>they didn't have all those horrible turnovers, they were moving

0:51:08.410 --> 0:51:11.830
<v Speaker 2>the ball pretty well against this 49ers defense. You saw

0:51:12.230 --> 0:51:14.549
<v Speaker 2>in that Cardinals game, you can say, well, they kind

0:51:14.590 --> 0:51:16.590
<v Speaker 2>of let them back in the fourth quarter. Yeah, that's fair.

0:51:16.610 --> 0:51:18.830
<v Speaker 2>But you also saw the Cardinals, for the most part,

0:51:18.850 --> 0:51:20.049
<v Speaker 2>in most of that game, were able to move the

0:51:20.070 --> 0:51:23.650
<v Speaker 2>ball against that 49ers defense. So, Commanders, I think they

0:51:23.670 --> 0:51:26.149
<v Speaker 2>have a better offense than the Cardinals. I think they

0:51:26.210 --> 0:51:29.129
<v Speaker 2>have a better offense in some ways than Seattle. So,

0:51:29.150 --> 0:51:32.259
<v Speaker 2>I am shocked this has stayed at the hook. This

0:51:32.300 --> 0:51:33.620
<v Speaker 2>is another game that's going to be a tough decision

0:51:33.660 --> 0:51:36.700
<v Speaker 2>come Sunday morning where I could see us talking ourselves

0:51:36.739 --> 0:51:40.819
<v Speaker 2>into it, but it's also tough to go against the

0:51:41.239 --> 0:51:43.950
<v Speaker 2>49ers right now. They're just so good. We both can

0:51:43.989 --> 0:51:47.630
<v Speaker 2>see it where it's just coaching-wise, Shanahan's on a different

0:51:47.690 --> 0:51:50.610
<v Speaker 2>planet than Dan Quinn. We know we're leaning into a

0:51:50.690 --> 0:51:54.469
<v Speaker 2>bad coach with a bad defense right now, but I

0:51:54.489 --> 0:51:55.910
<v Speaker 2>think we're both hanging our hats on. It's just too

0:51:55.930 --> 0:51:59.340
<v Speaker 2>many points to give Jaden Daniels. I still believe this

0:51:59.360 --> 0:52:01.080
<v Speaker 2>number comes down. I just think the pros, once I

0:52:01.100 --> 0:52:03.660
<v Speaker 2>get to it, they'll bet this number down. Obviously, if

0:52:03.700 --> 0:52:06.610
<v Speaker 2>it goes up to 8.5, Thank you. That's all I

0:52:06.610 --> 0:52:08.170
<v Speaker 2>need to know, and I can walk away from this.

0:52:08.230 --> 0:52:10.799
<v Speaker 2>I don't need to bet the Washington team. But if

0:52:10.880 --> 0:52:12.779
<v Speaker 2>it goes down, once again, it'll be really hard to

0:52:12.840 --> 0:52:16.440
<v Speaker 2>avoid this one. If it's 7-6.5 come Sunday morning, it's like,

0:52:16.460 --> 0:52:18.620
<v Speaker 2>all right, we're spot on with our take about Washington,

0:52:18.640 --> 0:52:21.759
<v Speaker 2>and we should have put the 7.5 in the contest. So, yeah,

0:52:21.780 --> 0:52:23.239
<v Speaker 2>this is going to be a really tough, debated game

0:52:23.280 --> 0:52:23.560
<v Speaker 2>for me.

0:52:24.460 --> 0:52:28.060
<v Speaker 1>It's such a classic spot to bet the Commanders. Can

0:52:28.080 --> 0:52:31.200
<v Speaker 1>there be a team that, you know, as bad as

0:52:31.239 --> 0:52:32.799
<v Speaker 1>things went for the Eagles at the end of that

0:52:32.840 --> 0:52:37.860
<v Speaker 1>game against the Jags, The commanders and their incompetence at

0:52:37.880 --> 0:52:40.880
<v Speaker 1>the end of the game has completely overshadowed that. And

0:52:40.980 --> 0:52:45.209
<v Speaker 1>so can there be a team whose perception is worse

0:52:45.250 --> 0:52:48.569
<v Speaker 1>right now? Even Micah Parsons went on his podcast and

0:52:48.590 --> 0:52:51.590
<v Speaker 1>started talking about how Jaden Daniels might have cost his man,

0:52:51.630 --> 0:52:55.430
<v Speaker 1>Dan Quinn, his job, and basically put it all on

0:52:55.469 --> 0:52:57.920
<v Speaker 1>Jaden Daniels. That he's in his third year now. He's

0:52:57.940 --> 0:53:00.780
<v Speaker 1>been to an NFC title game. He's supposed to know better.

0:53:00.840 --> 0:53:03.540
<v Speaker 1>He's supposed to understand the situation better. He needs to

0:53:03.580 --> 0:53:06.100
<v Speaker 1>know that he has to clock that ball and they

0:53:06.140 --> 0:53:09.080
<v Speaker 1>need to get to the field goal. Like it couldn't

0:53:09.160 --> 0:53:12.440
<v Speaker 1>be worse. The vibes for this team are as low

0:53:12.520 --> 0:53:15.450
<v Speaker 1>as they could possibly be in a season and a

0:53:15.489 --> 0:53:19.870
<v Speaker 1>half of low vibes. And they couldn't be higher for

0:53:19.890 --> 0:53:24.550
<v Speaker 1>the Niners. That's exactly when you bet on the interdog.

0:53:25.090 --> 0:53:27.169
<v Speaker 1>That's when you're getting the value. So I'm a little

0:53:27.190 --> 0:53:32.110
<v Speaker 1>surprised myself that it hasn't been bet down into seven.

0:53:32.570 --> 0:53:34.759
<v Speaker 1>Maybe we'll see. Maybe we'll see something by Sunday morning.

0:53:35.739 --> 0:53:38.719
<v Speaker 1>All right. So not a ton of games that we

0:53:38.739 --> 0:53:43.160
<v Speaker 1>need to debate between. I think maybe we'll have a

0:53:43.200 --> 0:53:48.700
<v Speaker 1>conversation about the Bears, the Chargers, New England, Cleveland, Las Vegas,

0:53:48.800 --> 0:53:53.089
<v Speaker 1>maybe Washington. We'll see how things continue to move over

0:53:53.110 --> 0:53:58.370
<v Speaker 1>the next 48 hours. Our Discord grouper of the week.

0:53:59.890 --> 0:54:01.029
<v Speaker 2>Buy my book.

0:54:01.430 --> 0:54:02.570
<v Speaker 1>Buy my book.

0:54:02.890 --> 0:54:04.130
<v Speaker 2>Buy my book.

0:54:05.850 --> 0:54:07.710
<v Speaker 1>Simon, you're going to love it this week. You're going

0:54:07.730 --> 0:54:10.410
<v Speaker 1>to love it. Join the Discord. Pre-order my book, The Number,

0:54:10.430 --> 0:54:13.930
<v Speaker 1>at readthenumber.com. Help us raise money for St.

0:54:13.950 --> 0:54:14.290
<v Speaker 2>Jude's.

0:54:14.330 --> 0:54:19.589
<v Speaker 1>Don't forget Chad's Book Club. You're ordering 10 books. I

0:54:19.610 --> 0:54:22.860
<v Speaker 1>might come to your town. I'll do a Zoom with

0:54:23.140 --> 0:54:28.299
<v Speaker 1>whoever you order the books for, sharp or square at

0:54:28.360 --> 0:54:32.960
<v Speaker 1>the volume. Send me your proof of purchase. Those have

0:54:32.980 --> 0:54:38.239
<v Speaker 1>been a blast. People have been donating books to friends.

0:54:38.580 --> 0:54:42.440
<v Speaker 1>I'm donating books on their behalf to libraries. If you're

0:54:42.520 --> 0:54:45.620
<v Speaker 1>ordering the 10 books, that's also a good way to

0:54:45.680 --> 0:54:50.660
<v Speaker 1>get involved. SharperSquare at thevolume.com. Simon, the winner this week

0:54:50.890 --> 0:54:55.390
<v Speaker 1>is the Cleveland Browns at plus five and a half.

0:54:56.290 --> 0:54:59.759
<v Speaker 1>I put the submissions in for ideas of what we

0:54:59.780 --> 0:55:04.490
<v Speaker 1>should vote on. On Tuesday after the show, an avalanche

0:55:04.510 --> 0:55:07.670
<v Speaker 1>of support came in for the Cleveland Browns, which I

0:55:07.690 --> 0:55:10.250
<v Speaker 1>had not initially included. The whole team wanted to go

0:55:10.290 --> 0:55:14.430
<v Speaker 1>with Simon Says, even to the point where 30 minutes

0:55:14.469 --> 0:55:19.070
<v Speaker 1>before we recorded the show, I reminded everybody, right now

0:55:19.170 --> 0:55:22.190
<v Speaker 1>we are living and dying with the Cleveland Browns. Get

0:55:22.230 --> 0:55:24.190
<v Speaker 1>your votes in if you don't like that. And more

0:55:24.230 --> 0:55:26.670
<v Speaker 1>people came in to vote for the Cleveland Browns. A

0:55:26.830 --> 0:55:30.509
<v Speaker 1>lot of support for you in the discord that you

0:55:30.530 --> 0:55:34.910
<v Speaker 1>despise on the Cleveland Browns. People want to back you, Simon.

0:55:35.410 --> 0:55:36.870
<v Speaker 1>They want to back Simon Says.

0:55:38.760 --> 0:55:40.899
<v Speaker 2>I hope it comes through. I'm with him on it.

0:55:41.340 --> 0:55:45.540
<v Speaker 2>It's always nerve-wracking, Ben, against Lamar. All right.

0:55:45.760 --> 0:55:48.460
<v Speaker 1>Underdog, round robin, parlay.

0:55:49.960 --> 0:55:52.000
<v Speaker 2>My dog likes your dog.

0:55:52.239 --> 0:55:55.940
<v Speaker 1>Your dog likes my dog. Can we do the Raiders?

0:55:57.160 --> 0:55:58.320
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I got to do the Raiders.

0:55:59.110 --> 0:55:59.879
<v Speaker 1>Was that a yawn?

0:56:00.920 --> 0:56:08.700
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I'm hurting right now. I'm hurting. Do Raiders. I mean... Cleveland? Okay.

0:56:08.940 --> 0:56:10.960
<v Speaker 2>I was going to say, that's ballsy. I was going

0:56:10.980 --> 0:56:14.100
<v Speaker 2>to get real ballsy. Should we do plus 330, take Washington?

0:56:14.920 --> 0:56:17.520
<v Speaker 1>I think we do have to do Washington or the Chargers.

0:56:18.500 --> 0:56:20.600
<v Speaker 2>Can't do Chargers. I told you, my home's a 16-1

0:56:20.780 --> 0:56:21.640
<v Speaker 2>in this exact spot.

0:56:21.660 --> 0:56:31.330
<v Speaker 1>All right. So Las Vegas, Cleveland, Washington, Houston....

0:56:28.870 --> 0:56:30.850
<v Speaker 2>We usually, I think we only do three for dogs.

0:56:31.370 --> 0:56:31.990
<v Speaker 1>We did five.

0:56:32.010 --> 0:56:34.009
<v Speaker 2>Yeah. But that's like a, that's like a week when

0:56:34.030 --> 0:56:35.310
<v Speaker 2>there's a bunch of two and a half. So we

0:56:35.350 --> 0:56:37.290
<v Speaker 2>like this. We're not, we're not too crazy about a

0:56:37.290 --> 0:56:38.049
<v Speaker 2>bunch of two and a half.

0:56:38.130 --> 0:56:39.509
<v Speaker 1>How about our favorites?

0:56:40.250 --> 0:56:43.210
<v Speaker 2>Favorites. It's actually pretty good. If you're doing like, we

0:56:43.230 --> 0:56:44.710
<v Speaker 2>don't have to do teasers like we did last week.

0:56:44.730 --> 0:56:49.600
<v Speaker 2>Like if you want to do Pittsburgh, you want to

0:56:49.620 --> 0:56:54.880
<v Speaker 2>do Chicago, Carolina, you can do the saints. Like, like

0:56:54.900 --> 0:56:57.239
<v Speaker 2>there's a bunch of really nice short favorites you can

0:56:57.280 --> 0:56:57.739
<v Speaker 2>throw in.

0:56:58.810 --> 0:57:01.609
<v Speaker 1>You could do all lines with the Rams and Chiefs.

0:57:01.630 --> 0:57:04.390
<v Speaker 2>Right, that's what I was going to say. Rams, Chiefs,

0:57:04.989 --> 0:57:09.930
<v Speaker 2>we already talked about the Colts against Tennessee. Patriots, obviously,

0:57:10.090 --> 0:57:14.070
<v Speaker 2>I gave out that stat. Drake May, a favorite of

0:57:14.710 --> 0:57:17.190
<v Speaker 2>three plus points or more. I think he's 14-0 straight

0:57:17.280 --> 0:57:20.660
<v Speaker 2>up in his career. I mean, you can't ask for much.

0:57:20.700 --> 0:57:23.160
<v Speaker 2>That's probably the best in NFL history, like someone starting

0:57:23.180 --> 0:57:25.710
<v Speaker 2>their career that way. Yeah. usually the big favorite you,

0:57:25.750 --> 0:57:27.570
<v Speaker 2>you have one or two stinkers. Drake may does not

0:57:27.650 --> 0:57:30.450
<v Speaker 2>lay eggs apparently. So, um, yeah, there's a lot of

0:57:30.490 --> 0:57:32.810
<v Speaker 2>ways you can go this week. Um, it's up to you, Chad,

0:57:32.830 --> 0:57:34.050
<v Speaker 2>you want to do a short favorites. You want to

0:57:34.070 --> 0:57:34.710
<v Speaker 2>do big favorites.

0:57:35.310 --> 0:57:39.730
<v Speaker 1>I would say, let's do a little combination. Let's do Pittsburgh. Um,

0:57:40.310 --> 0:57:44.220
<v Speaker 1>let's do Chicago. Uh, I like that number of one

0:57:44.240 --> 0:57:46.460
<v Speaker 1>and a half. And then I would say, let's do

0:57:46.500 --> 0:57:52.240
<v Speaker 1>the Rams. Uh, I don't know. My seven.

0:57:53.760 --> 0:57:56.960
<v Speaker 2>Well, you, If you're betting them down, you can't tie

0:57:56.980 --> 0:57:59.930
<v Speaker 2>in teasers, obviously. So I would either try to get

0:57:59.930 --> 0:58:00.860
<v Speaker 2>6.5 or 5.5.

0:58:00.840 --> 0:58:05.610
<v Speaker 1>All right, let's do Rams minus 5.5.

0:58:05.610 --> 0:58:07.810
<v Speaker 2>I don't know how these shops are, but back in

0:58:07.830 --> 0:58:09.890
<v Speaker 2>the day, you weren't able to push on teaser legs.

0:58:09.970 --> 0:58:11.330
<v Speaker 2>I don't know what that is now because I know

0:58:11.350 --> 0:58:13.990
<v Speaker 2>you can– it's not like teasers anymore. People can just

0:58:14.030 --> 0:58:17.610
<v Speaker 2>adjust the number and the align. So I think no

0:58:17.630 --> 0:58:19.390
<v Speaker 2>matter what, you have to do half a point no

0:58:19.410 --> 0:58:19.850
<v Speaker 2>matter what.

0:58:20.210 --> 0:58:24.110
<v Speaker 1>Let's do Pittsburgh, Chicago, Rams minus 5.5. Uh, biggest bets.

0:58:24.320 --> 0:58:26.880
<v Speaker 1>Where are we at? Pull up those pants and be

0:58:27.240 --> 0:58:27.510
<v Speaker 1>a man.

0:58:27.520 --> 0:58:30.400
<v Speaker 2>I mean, right now I'm like Raiders.

0:58:31.260 --> 0:58:31.500
<v Speaker 1>Yeah.

0:58:31.540 --> 0:58:34.780
<v Speaker 2>Like I bet having that, I mean, shockingly, my, my

0:58:34.860 --> 0:58:37.380
<v Speaker 2>biggest bet probably is the chargers right now.

0:58:37.960 --> 0:58:38.360
<v Speaker 1>Wow.

0:58:38.840 --> 0:58:40.720
<v Speaker 2>I know I hate it, but it's just, it's just,

0:58:40.840 --> 0:58:42.500
<v Speaker 2>I'm so worried about the eight and a half disappearing.

0:58:42.520 --> 0:58:43.700
<v Speaker 2>I've just been betting it really heavy.

0:58:44.240 --> 0:58:45.910
<v Speaker 1>Um, it sneaks up on you, huh?

0:58:46.430 --> 0:58:49.270
<v Speaker 2>Yeah. it's just, it's just changed where I used to

0:58:49.310 --> 0:58:51.190
<v Speaker 2>have to bet a thousand every shop and just do

0:58:51.230 --> 0:58:52.450
<v Speaker 2>a bunch of crap. Now where I can just go

0:58:52.470 --> 0:58:54.280
<v Speaker 2>on play market. If I want to bet 50 K

0:58:55.000 --> 0:58:57.140
<v Speaker 2>poly market, we'll take it. It's just times have changed now.

0:58:57.220 --> 0:59:01.480
<v Speaker 2>So yeah, just sit here right now. I guess. Yeah. My,

0:59:01.580 --> 0:59:04.320
<v Speaker 2>my two biggest bets are crazy enough for this 4pm games,

0:59:04.410 --> 0:59:08.070
<v Speaker 2>Raiders and chargers. But I can see, I can see

0:59:08.110 --> 0:59:10.520
<v Speaker 2>myself betting more into Cleveland. I've, just been waiting to

0:59:10.560 --> 0:59:12.680
<v Speaker 2>see if it does get to six. And same with

0:59:12.720 --> 0:59:14.500
<v Speaker 2>the Patriots. If it got back down to six and

0:59:14.540 --> 0:59:16.920
<v Speaker 2>a half or seven, I'll bet more in the Patriots.

0:59:16.940 --> 0:59:18.180
<v Speaker 2>But yeah, as we're sitting here right now, I've only

0:59:18.200 --> 0:59:19.459
<v Speaker 2>really bet big into two games.

0:59:19.860 --> 0:59:24.030
<v Speaker 1>Sharp versus Square. We both won last week. We had

0:59:24.090 --> 0:59:26.490
<v Speaker 1>both won the week before. No, I had won the

0:59:26.510 --> 0:59:30.320
<v Speaker 1>week before. You had lost. Last week you had Detroit.

0:59:30.380 --> 0:59:35.100
<v Speaker 1>I had Houston. So Simon says it's Cleveland. And Chad's

0:59:35.160 --> 0:59:39.700
<v Speaker 1>choice was the Raiders. Brass Balls is the Chargers. I

0:59:41.450 --> 0:59:45.330
<v Speaker 1>feel like it pains me to say it. I think

0:59:45.370 --> 0:59:47.090
<v Speaker 1>I'm going with the Bears, minus one and a half.

0:59:47.750 --> 0:59:48.210
<v Speaker 1>Who do you got?

0:59:48.230 --> 0:59:53.250
<v Speaker 2>I guess. You know what I'll do? I'll do Pittsburgh

0:59:53.270 --> 0:59:55.870
<v Speaker 2>just so I can give out this stat. Okay. Cobbles.

0:59:56.840 --> 0:59:59.860
<v Speaker 2>4-10 against the spread in his career against the NFC North.

1:00:00.680 --> 1:00:03.510
<v Speaker 2>He's 0-7 against the spread in his career as a

1:00:03.550 --> 1:00:07.350
<v Speaker 2>Bucs head coach against the AFC North. He's never covered

1:00:07.390 --> 1:00:12.050
<v Speaker 2>against the AFC North in his career. So, yeah, even better.

1:00:12.090 --> 1:00:15.650
<v Speaker 2>If the team's above. 500, Todd Bowles facing the AFC North,

1:00:15.930 --> 1:00:18.590
<v Speaker 2>he's 0-4, straight up 0-4 against the spread, failing to

1:00:18.630 --> 1:00:22.030
<v Speaker 2>cover by seven points per game. So I'll take Pittsburgh

1:00:22.050 --> 1:00:23.240
<v Speaker 2>at the minus two and a half.

1:00:23.400 --> 1:00:24.340
<v Speaker 1>I'm so glad.

1:00:24.600 --> 1:00:25.020
<v Speaker 2>I'm so glad.

1:00:25.630 --> 1:00:27.830
<v Speaker 1>I'm so glad we did not talk about that game.

1:00:27.890 --> 1:00:29.890
<v Speaker 1>Cause I, my head is twisted on that because it

1:00:29.970 --> 1:00:32.450
<v Speaker 1>feels like the bucks are the side, but I don't,

1:00:32.650 --> 1:00:34.510
<v Speaker 1>you know, I don't like Todd Bowles and I feel

1:00:34.530 --> 1:00:37.439
<v Speaker 1>like the Steelers offense is getting better. It's a tricky game.

1:00:37.760 --> 1:00:40.440
<v Speaker 1>All right. You're on, you're on the Steelers minus two

1:00:40.480 --> 1:00:44.120
<v Speaker 1>and a half. Who's our survivor. We've used Pittsburgh. We

1:00:44.240 --> 1:00:48.540
<v Speaker 1>use Tampa, Kansas city, Minnesota, Houston. We knocked ourselves out

1:00:48.580 --> 1:00:49.070
<v Speaker 1>with Tampa.

1:00:49.110 --> 1:00:51.800
<v Speaker 2>So yeah, we've, we've had a nice run with, um,

1:00:52.800 --> 1:00:54.940
<v Speaker 2>Betting against Miami teams, like in my Survivor Bowls, I

1:00:54.960 --> 1:00:57.140
<v Speaker 2>at least have. This week, no Miami. Bye, week.

1:00:57.160 --> 1:00:57.760
<v Speaker 1>No Miami.

1:00:59.180 --> 1:01:02.050
<v Speaker 2>I mean, we can die with it. We can die

1:01:02.090 --> 1:01:04.810
<v Speaker 2>with the Colts, which is just the obvious spot to

1:01:04.850 --> 1:01:08.770
<v Speaker 2>take here. At home against Tennessee, you know, after a

1:01:08.810 --> 1:01:12.220
<v Speaker 2>really bad loss against Pittsburgh, you just– Shane's not going

1:01:12.240 --> 1:01:14.460
<v Speaker 2>to save his season, right? You can't lose this game

1:01:14.680 --> 1:01:16.840
<v Speaker 2>if you have any ambition to at least finish 500

1:01:16.840 --> 1:01:20.200
<v Speaker 2>and maybe make the playoffs. So that one jumps out

1:01:20.220 --> 1:01:23.120
<v Speaker 2>to me. risky pick. If you want to go super safe,

1:01:23.280 --> 1:01:25.520
<v Speaker 2>I gave you that Drake Mays stat. Drake Mays 14

1:01:25.520 --> 1:01:28.050
<v Speaker 2>and 0 in his career as a three plus, uh,

1:01:28.120 --> 1:01:31.490
<v Speaker 2>favorite or more. So you want to take them against

1:01:31.530 --> 1:01:33.350
<v Speaker 2>the jets. It's in the, it's, if you want to

1:01:33.410 --> 1:01:36.210
<v Speaker 2>use it here, not save them at home against Miami,

1:01:36.230 --> 1:01:37.450
<v Speaker 2>you can go for it. That's the only reason I'm

1:01:37.490 --> 1:01:39.930
<v Speaker 2>not using new England. So I'm just saving them or

1:01:39.990 --> 1:01:41.360
<v Speaker 2>one of my favorite thing in the world, but against

1:01:41.390 --> 1:01:45.520
<v Speaker 2>Miami right now. So, um, yeah, Colts, Colts, the risky play,

1:01:45.540 --> 1:01:47.620
<v Speaker 2>but I think it's, I think it's safe for the spot.

1:01:47.660 --> 1:01:50.930
<v Speaker 2>It is, um, It's just a nice spot for the

1:01:50.970 --> 1:01:51.390
<v Speaker 2>Colts team.

1:01:51.930 --> 1:01:54.370
<v Speaker 1>All right, Colts are going to be our survivor. That

1:01:54.610 --> 1:01:57.850
<v Speaker 1>is our show. Simon and I will return Sunday morning

1:01:58.350 --> 1:02:04.430
<v Speaker 1>with our final NFL Week 6 bets for the $ 25, 000

1:02:04.070 --> 1:02:07.880
<v Speaker 1>Pro Football Pick'Em Contest. Sign up now at SharperSquared at

1:02:07.890 --> 1:02:13.240
<v Speaker 1>TheVolume.com to join. This has been Sharper Square presented by Polymarket.

1:02:13.260 --> 1:02:17.320
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1:02:27.460 --> 1:02:31.700
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1:02:31.740 --> 1:02:35.510
<v Speaker 1>at 11 a.m. Eastern Live. Love you.

1:02:36.850 --> 1:02:39.850
<v Speaker 2>What do you think those fans in Milwaukee are thinking

1:02:39.890 --> 1:02:43.030
<v Speaker 2>right now? They're drinking. They're drinking for sure.