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Speaker 1: Good luck with the most beautiful game.

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Speaker 2: Do us proud read enough? They're a running again.

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Speaker 1: So smoothe so sweet t.

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Speaker 3: Mid sixteen, just glorious execution.

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Speaker 1: Gods, all I'm looking for is sixty percent effort, four

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Speaker 1: thousand percent of the time.

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Speaker 2: How shut with that shot with fine man, buddy, And

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Speaker 2: that's why you see your beautiful tiers. Look at his movements,

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Speaker 2: the most dangerous amount.

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Speaker 1: On the planet.

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Speaker 2: Nobody picks them.

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Speaker 1: Shut up, I'm turning.

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Speaker 3: Again the all it's left to one the wide eyed,

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Speaker 3: drilled confused.

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Speaker 2: How old earth pick that happens?

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Speaker 1: Hello everyone, Welcome back to Wonderful, the soccer betting podcast

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Speaker 1: from the Action Network. My name is Michael E. Buff

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Speaker 1: Joining me today is BJ Cunningham. Anthony A. Bundo is

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Speaker 1: somewhere on the prairie, Montana. I think it.

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Speaker 2: Couldn't await just one week, one more week, one more

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Speaker 2: week until you could add you know, all summer of vacation.

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Speaker 2: But no, I had to take it this.

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Speaker 1: Week, and what a week to miss. But before we

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Speaker 1: talk about this week, the final match week in the

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Speaker 1: Premier League season, a reminder that wonder Goal is proudly

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Speaker 1: presented to you by bet three six five, the world's

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Speaker 1: favorite sportsbook brand. Sign up with promo code Action to

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Speaker 1: get bet three six fives exclusive sign up offer. Bet

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Speaker 1: one dollar on any game and get two hundred dollars

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Speaker 1: in bonus bets. You must be twenty one or older.

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Speaker 1: The offer is available in Colorado, New Jersey, Ohio, and

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Speaker 1: Virginia in the United States. And if you have a

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Speaker 1: gambling problem, please call or text one eight hundred gambler. Okay,

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Speaker 1: let's just get right into it. The last week of

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Speaker 1: the Premier League season is one of the best betting

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Speaker 1: opportunities you'll find on the sporting calendar. In a league

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Speaker 1: where there's no playoffs, where the title usually is decided

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Speaker 1: by now, most races are decided by now. Very few

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Speaker 1: teams have anything to play for. You're going to get

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Speaker 1: some really wonky numbers and you hit it right. Like,

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Speaker 1: the upside here is significant. It is the best week

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Speaker 1: to build a lottery ticket kind of parlay around Robin.

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Speaker 1: I think that'll be the theme of this episode. But

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Speaker 1: before we get into that kind of stuff, let's talk

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Speaker 1: about the three most important matches on the slate, which

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Speaker 1: is Leads versus Tottenham, Everdon and Bournemouth Leicester and west Ham.

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Speaker 1: If you've been living under a rock, maybe you don't know.

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Speaker 1: But there's one spot remaining in next year's Premier League

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Speaker 1: between these three teams. Everdence in the driver's seat. If

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Speaker 1: they beat Bournemouth, they are into the Premier League next year.

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Speaker 1: Leads and Lester go down. Otherwise. You know, there's all

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Speaker 1: sorts of permutations, but the longest short of it is

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Speaker 1: all three of these teams need to win to basically

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Speaker 1: keep their hopes alive. Now let's get into it. We'll

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Speaker 1: start with Leads and Tottenham. Leads is plus one seventy

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Speaker 1: at home, is plus one thirty seven on the road.

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Speaker 1: The job is plus through eighty. There's very very little

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Speaker 1: for Tottenham to be playing for here. I guess like

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Speaker 1: the conference conference league conference league spot, but I get it.

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Speaker 1: The three matches with the relegation team in it. Like

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Speaker 1: we're seeing some pretty significant must win taxes. We're gonna

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Speaker 1: talk about a price in a little bit that's just

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Speaker 1: absolutely outrageous. This is the one that's kind of the

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Speaker 1: most muted of them. I still think Leeds is a

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Speaker 1: little a little expensive considering how poor they've been playing,

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Speaker 1: and that Sam Allerdyce higher hasn't seemed to spark them

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Speaker 1: at all, so it would be Tottenham or nothing for

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Speaker 1: me here. But I'm going to pass.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I do like Tottenham here. I mean, listen, Leeds

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Speaker 2: has everything to play for it, they have to go

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Speaker 2: for it, they have to win and then you help,

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Speaker 2: which is really going to play right into how Tottenham

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Speaker 2: wants to play, which is sitting deep and countering. And

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Speaker 2: here's where I'm at. If west Ham who really didn't

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Speaker 2: have much to play for and going into the match

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Speaker 2: what i' belie was a bad matchup for Leeds, well,

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Speaker 2: then Tottenham's going to be an even worse matchup for them.

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Speaker 2: In the three matches that Sam Allardyce has been in

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Speaker 2: charge of Leeds, they have conceded seven point one expected goals.

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Speaker 2: I understand they've played man City and they've played Newcastle,

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Speaker 2: but the defense since they fired Jesse Marsh just continues

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Speaker 2: to get worse and worse and worse. Because they can't

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Speaker 2: play in a little block. They can't defend in transition,

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Speaker 2: so it leaves them so open to any type of

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Speaker 2: team that wants to come in, whether build up against

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Speaker 2: them or play in transition, which Tottenham will most likely

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Speaker 2: be playing in transition this match. But I do believe

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Speaker 2: that Todham will take this one seriously because I mean, hey,

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Speaker 2: if you want to recruit people at Europa Conference League,

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Speaker 2: spot is better than not having it in my opinion,

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Speaker 2: so especially recruiting a manager as well. I mean, that's

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Speaker 2: a whole saga. That's what's going on with Tottenham. But

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Speaker 2: what I found interesting in their last match against Brentford.

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Speaker 2: I know they lost three to one, but they did

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Speaker 2: create one point eight expected goals. Ryan Mason switched them

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Speaker 2: to a four to four to two with Cain and

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Speaker 2: Lessepski up top, and then he played Son and he

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Speaker 2: brought on Dan Juma to play right mitt so he

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Speaker 2: basically gave himself a ton of attacking options to go forward,

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Speaker 2: basically because he was probably trying to break down Brentford's

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Speaker 2: low block. He plays that many attackers this time. I mean,

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Speaker 2: Tottenham is going to have so many opportunities in transition,

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Speaker 2: just like west Ham did last week. So I think

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Speaker 2: this is a way, way too cheap of a price

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Speaker 2: for Tottenham. Here best price you can find out there

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Speaker 2: right now is minus one twenty eight. I probably wouldn't

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Speaker 2: go higher than minus one thirty on the drawnavent line.

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Speaker 2: If you want to play money line, anything plus one

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Speaker 2: thirty is better. Toham has been pretty good offensively under

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Speaker 2: Ryan Mason eight point six expected goals in his five

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Speaker 2: matches in charge. So I cannot be behind this league's defense.

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Speaker 2: It's so bad, like in every sense, no matter how

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Speaker 2: they try to play, here's so bad. And plus Sinas

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Speaker 2: Terras out it looks like Bamford's going to miss this match.

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Speaker 2: It looks like Rodrigo's going to miss this match. So

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Speaker 2: now they're bare bones here with the amount of attackers

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Speaker 2: that they have going up against Tottams low block. So

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Speaker 2: Todom John Obetts one thirty here for me, and leads

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Speaker 2: is going down.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I think Also if you're going to play into

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Speaker 1: the finding the biggest prices, like an alternate spread on

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Speaker 1: Tottenham is a bad either, because let's say Leads go

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Speaker 1: down one nil, like they're just gonna have to go

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Speaker 1: for it.

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Speaker 2: I mean even playing with a lead for like they

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Speaker 2: scored first against west Ham and then they just continued

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Speaker 2: to get just dismantled and transitioning off set pieces, which

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Speaker 2: is exactly how Tottenham plays. So the matchup is terrible.

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Speaker 2: It just I hope that Tottam actually cares because they

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Speaker 2: have something to play for, but yeah, who knows. I

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Speaker 2: think it's a terrible matchup.

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Speaker 1: So this is the trickiest one I think to handicap

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Speaker 1: because Lester is way too expensive at minus one ten

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Speaker 1: on the freeway line at home. But west Ham they

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Speaker 1: might be the most on the beach team this week.

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Speaker 1: I would think, like they're on the road, they guaranteed safety,

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Speaker 1: they just had a nice win at home against Leeds

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Speaker 1: last week and now it's you know, it gets a

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Speaker 1: team in Leicester that's got everything to play for. Obviously,

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Speaker 1: you know Leicester and leads aren't thirty one point Everdence

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Speaker 1: on thirty three. Lester will have the best goal differential

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Speaker 1: almost certainly of the three teams. So like if Everton

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Speaker 1: ties Bourn, myth and Lester wins and Everdence going down.

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Speaker 1: So this is the one I don't want to get

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Speaker 1: involved with at all. Like I think the tax is

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Speaker 1: certainly baked into Leicester. They should not be odds on

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Speaker 1: to beat west Ham, even at home and even in

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Speaker 1: the spot. But I'm not playing west Ham here, so

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Speaker 1: right it's a pass, I.

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Speaker 2: Mean a couple of things here. So the Conference League

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Speaker 2: final for west Ham is not this Wednesday, it's the

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Speaker 2: next Wednesday. The Europea League Final is this upcoming Wednesday.

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Speaker 2: And something else that you know, I think kind I've

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Speaker 2: overblown is like I understand, like west Ham's on the

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Speaker 2: beach and it's what it is, is that it's it's motivation, right,

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Speaker 2: because what's happened over the last few years, very rarely,

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Speaker 2: I mean it's happened a couple times, but very rarely

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Speaker 2: you will see a manager just rotate his entire team

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Speaker 2: for a match like this and just not play any

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Speaker 2: of the starters with kind of because what's been happening

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Speaker 2: is ticket prices are so high and these players are

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Speaker 2: getting paid so much money that you know, owners obviously

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Speaker 2: want to put the best product out there. So that's

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Speaker 2: why you see you know, Declan Rice playing obviously in

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Speaker 2: his final probably his final home match for west Ham

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Speaker 2: against Leeds and everything like that. So I don't know

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Speaker 2: if you'll actually see like a fully rotated like starting

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Speaker 2: eleven from west Ham. It may be a good idea

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Speaker 2: to sit and wait for the lineups, but if like

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Speaker 2: if they play a strong lineup and Lester because what's

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Speaker 2: going to happen as we get closer to match time

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Speaker 2: is that line on Lester is going to keep climbing,

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Speaker 2: keep climbing, keep climbing, keep climbing to where if it

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Speaker 2: gets absurd, I think might have take it. You know,

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Speaker 2: even if it's just half a unit on west Ham

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Speaker 2: could be worth a sprinkle. But yeah, I agree with you.

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Speaker 2: West Ham with the Conference League final coming up is

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Speaker 2: that's where their focus is, so it's probably an easy

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Speaker 2: pass unless the price use gets so insane.

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Speaker 1: I should also note that all these matches are eleven

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Speaker 1: thirty am on Sunday. They'll kick off at the same

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Speaker 1: time to avoid any chickanery. So that means the last

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Speaker 1: of the three teams fighting to avoid relegation are my

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Speaker 1: beloved Everdon and boy, you want to see a must

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Speaker 1: win tax this is it. Like I was talking with

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Speaker 1: someone yesterday. He's like, how do you feel about Everton?

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Speaker 1: And I say, I feel sick about it. I don't

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Speaker 1: feel good about it at all. And he said, oh,

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Speaker 1: what are their odds? And he looked at his phone

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Speaker 1: and saw pulled up bat three six y five so

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Speaker 1: minus two twenty five. So they're a huge favorite. I said, yeah,

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Speaker 1: but they're a huge favorite because they have an insane

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Speaker 1: must win tax built into their price, like their minus

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Speaker 1: two twenty five at home born with six to one

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Speaker 1: on the road to draw plus three fifty. Everdon will

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Speaker 1: not have Dominic cowert Lewin, they probably won't have Nathan Patterson,

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Speaker 1: and they might not have Futalie Miklenko. They already are

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Speaker 1: without Seamus Coleman and they're already without Ruben Vinagra, so

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Speaker 1: that means they won't have their best striker and they

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Speaker 1: won't have any healthy fallbacks. Last match against Wolves, Michael

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Speaker 1: Keene was playing as a false nine. He came into

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Speaker 1: the game for Nathan Patterson, so he came in as

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Speaker 1: a right back, so he's already out of position. And

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Speaker 1: then Ditsch at the end just just threw everything he

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Speaker 1: could at the wall to see what worked. Put Mason

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Speaker 1: Holgate into that right back spot. Put Keen up front

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Speaker 1: because he's good in the air and he's actually good

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Speaker 1: in the box. Like he's got to finish on him,

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Speaker 1: as we've seen a few times. So like that's the

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Speaker 1: state of things for this team. They're already not good,

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Speaker 1: Like they're fighting to avoid relegation. So that tells you

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Speaker 1: right now that they're bad. So they're already a bad

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Speaker 1: team and they're going to be playing without any fullbacks

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Speaker 1: and without their most important attacking option. As a fan,

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Speaker 1: I would like Elis Sims to get to startup top

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Speaker 1: and Demari Gray to be worked into the lineup somehow.

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Speaker 1: I don't want to see Dwight McNeil as a wing

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Speaker 1: back anymore, just because they need to win the game.

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Speaker 1: They can't just park a bus like. They need to

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Speaker 1: find a way to get on the board. Who knows this.

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Speaker 1: It's a mess. It's an absolute proper mess. And their

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Speaker 1: minus two twenty five. I can't stomach the thought of

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Speaker 1: betting boorn with here because I'm an evident phantom not

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Speaker 1: gonna bet against my team in the game where they

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Speaker 1: if they lose or draw, they're basically sure to be relegated.

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Speaker 1: But good god, if you're betting this match, it's born with.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it's really hard not I mean, I understand you're

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Speaker 2: an Everton fan. It's really hard for me to sit

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Speaker 2: here and not take Bournmouth plus one because yeah, I mean,

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Speaker 2: like I have Everton. You know, I can't project motivation.

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Speaker 2: I only project the data that we have and I

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Speaker 2: have Everton a minus one o five, so that's essentially

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Speaker 2: the tax they're getting on it Everton, since Ditch has

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Speaker 2: taken over, they're allowing two expectacles for match. And it's

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Speaker 2: the same thing we talk about over and over again,

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Speaker 2: is that they've done an okay job at disrupting build

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Speaker 2: up play and pressing high and they've done decent against

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Speaker 2: you know, a lot of the smaller sides, born with

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Speaker 2: being one of them. But it's the same problems under lamp.

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Speaker 2: Part is Everton is bad in transition defense. When the

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Speaker 2: match becomes transitional, it's troublesome and that's how Bournemouth plays.

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Speaker 2: But the problem also is is like I don't know

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Speaker 2: where borne this head's at. I don't know if they've

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Speaker 2: already booked their vacation to Greece or whatever beautiful island

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Speaker 2: in the Mediterranean they're going to, or if they want

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Speaker 2: to play spoiler and they want Everton to be relegated.

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Speaker 2: I have no idea. And that's the hard part here

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Speaker 2: is because I'm sure about Barmin will play a pretty

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Speaker 2: normal lineup because it is the last match of the season.

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Speaker 2: After this it's obviously over. But it's just I'm just

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Speaker 2: having it. I'm struggling so hard with it because I

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Speaker 2: want to hit Born with plus one so bad. I

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Speaker 2: do like over two and a half at minus one

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Speaker 2: thirty five is essentially where I've settled that because I

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Speaker 2: do believe that, you know, like we talked about a

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Speaker 2: lot of times, is that in these type of matches

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Speaker 2: where one team has nothing to play for, obviously Everton's

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Speaker 2: gonna be playing kind of tight. Bournemouth can play loose,

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Speaker 2: they can play fast, they can play aggressive, which is

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Speaker 2: going to create an end to end open style match,

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Speaker 2: especially if they score first. So do have three point

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Speaker 2: zero five goals predicted? So I've kind of settled on

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Speaker 2: over two and a half at minus one thirty five.

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Speaker 2: But I'll post it on Twitter. I'm probably gonna make

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Speaker 2: a huge round robin throughout Europe of all the must

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Speaker 2: win like all the the lines that have been just

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Speaker 2: like inflated insanely because of must win tax and we're

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Speaker 2: going to see how it ends up, and this is

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Speaker 2: going to be included in it. So, but if you're

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Speaker 2: playing this match on an individual basis, from a data standpoint,

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Speaker 2: there is value on Bourne meth problem. Is is. I

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Speaker 2: don't know how much they care, and that's what worries.

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Speaker 1: Me, from your lips, from your lips. All right, now

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Speaker 1: let's get to the real fun parts. We'll kind of

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Speaker 1: cruise student Ningham, Forest and Palace because it doesn't really

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Speaker 1: fit the bill. Palace has mius one forty three Forrest

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Speaker 1: plus three seventy five the draw three to one. Neither

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Speaker 1: team has anything to gain from this match at all.

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Speaker 1: Forrest there on the beach after securing their safety with

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Speaker 1: a ridiculous win over Arsenal, maybe their biggest win since

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Speaker 1: you know, they won the Champions League in the seventies,

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Speaker 1: so this is a crazy letdown spot for them, but

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Speaker 1: who knows, and Palace has nothing to play for it.

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Speaker 1: They'll be at home at least, But I'm going to

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Speaker 1: be passing here. You like planned the under though.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean well, Palace does have something to play

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Speaker 2: for Michael as me and Anthony need all three points

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Speaker 2: here to hit a point in total. So somebody needs

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Speaker 2: to phone Roy and let them know that we need

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Speaker 2: to take this one seriously. Yeah, I like under three.

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Speaker 2: It's an inflated total, you know, since Roy Hodgson has

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Speaker 2: taken over like the two things that he's done very well.

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Speaker 2: Has come in at the easiest part of the schedule

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Speaker 2: and turn Palace into a force. But he's also done

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Speaker 2: a pretty good job with them defensively, and this is

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Speaker 2: something that we spoke about a few times throughout the

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Speaker 2: podcast of you Know what Happened to Crystal Palace's defense

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Speaker 2: that was fourth to non penalty expected goals last year. Well,

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Speaker 2: this year they've been really good against the bottom half

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Speaker 2: of the table. They are only allowing point nine to

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Speaker 2: three expected goals per match against the bottom ten teams

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Speaker 2: in the Premier League, but they've just sucked against all

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Speaker 2: of the good offenses. And Nottingham Forced fits the bill

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Speaker 2: of a team that I'm not so sure can really

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Speaker 2: threaten Palace and transition like they're obviously that's how they play,

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Speaker 2: and they're very good on set pieces, but again they've

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Speaker 2: secured their safety. I don't know how much they'll care

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Speaker 2: Nottingham Forced as well. Defensively, they've been bad all season long,

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Speaker 2: like they're near the bottom, but against the bottom half

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Speaker 2: the table, they're only allowing one point four expected goals

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Speaker 2: per match and they play a style that's basically going

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Speaker 2: to hand. Chrystal Palace the ball and ask them to

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Speaker 2: break them down, which is something I'm not sure Crystal

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Speaker 2: Palace is able to do so in a normal sense.

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Speaker 2: I only have two point one goals projected for this match,

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Speaker 2: so we have with an inflated total, I do like

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Speaker 2: under three at minus one twenty and if these two

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Speaker 2: teams score four goals, then congratulations. All right. It's kind

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Speaker 2: of how I feel about a lot of these tolls.

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Speaker 2: If these terrible offenses score four goals. Whatever.

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Speaker 1: Man, let's actually get through Newcastle in Chelsea next, because

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Speaker 1: I want to say I want to save the bangers

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Speaker 1: for the end, because there's I would say there's three,

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Speaker 1: maybe four bangers that I think you can have some

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Speaker 1: fun with. Like PJ said, he's going to be posting around.

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Speaker 2: Long one, it'll be.

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Speaker 1: A transcontinental round robin.

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Speaker 2: I'll just keep it to Europe's Big five leagues. But yeah,

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Speaker 2: it's going to be a long one.

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Speaker 1: But yeah, I'm the same way. I'm raning something for

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Speaker 1: our partnership with the New York Posts for the paper

332
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Speaker 1: on Sunday, just kind of at the teams you want

333
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Speaker 1: to tire get if you're trying to build a Lotto ticket.

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Speaker 1: We'll get to those. Neither one of them will be

335
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Speaker 1: in this match. Chelsea and Newcastle could guide Chelsea. What

336
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Speaker 1: is going on?

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Speaker 2: Holy moly? Yeah?

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Speaker 1: Five? What do you point?

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Speaker 2: Four expected goals today against United. That's the most ever

340
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Speaker 2: in a Premier League match since they started tracking expected

341
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Speaker 2: goals in twenty and fourteen. That's insane. I have never

342
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Speaker 2: I mean they, I mean obviously, like you know, I

343
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Speaker 2: had a bunch of tapp ins like off of rebounds,

344
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Speaker 2: That's what inflates it. But like, holy god, this team

345
00:16:28,600 --> 00:16:34,520
Speaker 2: does not care at all, and Lampard is probably given

346
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Speaker 2: himself not going to be able to be a manager

347
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Speaker 2: ever again in the Premier League. Maybe Championship, maybe League One,

348
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Speaker 2: but never in the Premier League ever again.

349
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Speaker 1: Maybe MLS maybe, maybe we'll see.

350
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Speaker 2: But Newcastle obviously as well, has secured a Champions League spot,

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Speaker 2: so they have quote unquote nothing to play for there

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Speaker 2: on the beach. But if we're handicapping motivation here, I

353
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Speaker 2: mean Newcastle finishing third versus fourth, I mean yeah, and

354
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Speaker 2: say that's a little bit of motivation.

355
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Speaker 1: They did all the right things about that too. They

356
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Speaker 1: said that they want to finish there, they would want

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Speaker 1: to finish ahead of Manchester United, right, and.

358
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Speaker 2: It's one match, right, It's not like you have three

359
00:17:10,640 --> 00:17:13,560
Speaker 2: matches left. It's one match, so they can get up

360
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Speaker 2: for one more match. And yeah, if that's the case,

361
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Speaker 2: I mean, this price is way too cheap on Newcastle

362
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Speaker 2: for a Chelsea team that does not care at all anymore.

363
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Speaker 2: I mean, it's a it's very sill. We said this before.

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Speaker 2: It's very similar to Manchester United last year where it's

365
00:17:29,600 --> 00:17:31,800
Speaker 2: interim manager. You have a bunch of players who are

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Speaker 2: going to be on their way out the door. We

367
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Speaker 2: don't know what's going to happen. And no matter whoeverhether

368
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Speaker 2: it's been Graham Potter or Frank Lampard. I mean Chelsea

369
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Speaker 2: has been so bad against the elite teams in England.

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Speaker 2: They won the expected goals battle against Liverpool if you

371
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Speaker 2: remember in this zero zero draw, with like two point

372
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Speaker 2: two to point three in every other match five other

373
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Speaker 2: matches against the top six teams minus five point six

374
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Speaker 2: expected gol differential, and they struggle building up against United.

375
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Speaker 2: Today they're going to face one of the best pressing

376
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Speaker 2: teams in the Premier League who just continually bully some

377
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Speaker 2: of the best build up teams. Newcastle's done it to Arsenal,

378
00:18:07,240 --> 00:18:10,479
Speaker 2: They've done it to Brighton recently. Yeah, it's way too

379
00:18:10,520 --> 00:18:13,280
Speaker 2: cheap of price here on Newcastle, so I like them drawing,

380
00:18:13,320 --> 00:18:14,760
Speaker 2: no bet. You know the best price you can find

381
00:18:14,800 --> 00:18:17,560
Speaker 2: is round minus one twenty. Just kind of crazy for

382
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Speaker 2: a team that's been close to point nine to x

383
00:18:20,359 --> 00:18:23,040
Speaker 2: sheep better than Chelsea this season. And it's a short

384
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Speaker 2: week for Chelsea, so just in all time, Chelsea literally

385
00:18:27,320 --> 00:18:29,480
Speaker 2: probably getting on the plane like right after this match

386
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Speaker 2: to go on vacation somewhere.

387
00:18:31,720 --> 00:18:33,800
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean he kind of talked me into Newcastle

388
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Speaker 1: here plus one forty.

389
00:18:35,040 --> 00:18:36,600
Speaker 2: I mean, they won't be in the round robin just

390
00:18:36,600 --> 00:18:39,600
Speaker 2: because it's not nearly like a lot win tax line

391
00:18:39,600 --> 00:18:41,880
Speaker 2: because obviously Chelsea has nothing to play for. But like

392
00:18:42,359 --> 00:18:44,359
Speaker 2: I know, even the last time, like it was I

393
00:18:44,359 --> 00:18:46,080
Speaker 2: remember the last time they played, it was right before

394
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Speaker 2: the World Cup, is when Chelsea was on their horrible

395
00:18:48,760 --> 00:18:50,919
Speaker 2: run under Potter and they were like, just get us

396
00:18:50,920 --> 00:18:53,760
Speaker 2: to the World Cup break and Newcastle won, won nothing,

397
00:18:53,800 --> 00:18:56,960
Speaker 2: and they just dismantled them, like Chelsea did absolutely nothing

398
00:18:57,000 --> 00:18:59,760
Speaker 2: for the entire match. So I mean, I don't know,

399
00:19:00,880 --> 00:19:04,520
Speaker 2: five point four like that's that's really hard to look

400
00:19:04,560 --> 00:19:06,720
Speaker 2: at and there's a world.

401
00:19:07,119 --> 00:19:11,040
Speaker 1: There's a world here where Chelsea finishes fourteenth. Yeah, there is.

402
00:19:11,240 --> 00:19:13,200
Speaker 2: I saw something out there that was kind of funny today.

403
00:19:13,440 --> 00:19:17,160
Speaker 2: It was basically like Lampard is probably mad at himself

404
00:19:17,200 --> 00:19:21,040
Speaker 2: because he came into Chelsea too late to get two

405
00:19:21,040 --> 00:19:26,199
Speaker 2: Premier League teams relegated in the same season. All right,

406
00:19:26,200 --> 00:19:29,359
Speaker 2: we'll never see him again, so I say that, but

407
00:19:29,920 --> 00:19:31,440
Speaker 2: Derby County might rehire him.

408
00:19:31,680 --> 00:19:35,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's true. Who knows. Villa and Brighton next. I'm

409
00:19:35,359 --> 00:19:37,600
Speaker 1: tempted by Brighton. They're plus two to fifty on the road.

410
00:19:38,160 --> 00:19:40,960
Speaker 1: Villa's even money at home. I think that's a little crazy,

411
00:19:41,560 --> 00:19:44,040
Speaker 1: draws plus two sixty. I think what you're seeing here

412
00:19:44,160 --> 00:19:47,000
Speaker 1: is that like Brighton has sixth place wrapped up. They

413
00:19:47,000 --> 00:19:49,960
Speaker 1: can't catch Liverpool for fifth, Phila can't leap frog them.

414
00:19:50,000 --> 00:19:53,040
Speaker 1: So there's nothing for Brighton here. But so Villa's got

415
00:19:53,040 --> 00:19:55,760
Speaker 1: really they've got Conference League spot to play for with

416
00:19:55,800 --> 00:19:58,679
Speaker 1: Tottenham nipping at their heels. But Brighton is just so

417
00:19:58,800 --> 00:20:01,040
Speaker 1: much better than Villa. They're just so much better than

418
00:20:01,080 --> 00:20:05,720
Speaker 1: they are. Yeah, So this is like in a vacuum,

419
00:20:05,720 --> 00:20:08,159
Speaker 1: if someone told you that you can bet Brighton not

420
00:20:08,280 --> 00:20:11,240
Speaker 1: knowing the situation on the Premier League calendar, you could

421
00:20:11,240 --> 00:20:14,360
Speaker 1: bet this Brighton team plus two to fifty against Ville.

422
00:20:14,440 --> 00:20:17,080
Speaker 1: I think I think you'll you'll take it. So I'm

423
00:20:17,080 --> 00:20:18,320
Speaker 1: gonna probably be on the Seagulls.

424
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Speaker 2: Yeah, they'll be in the round robin. And I saw

425
00:20:21,000 --> 00:20:23,080
Speaker 2: a funny tweet today that was basically like an aston

426
00:20:23,119 --> 00:20:26,560
Speaker 2: Villa sit van basically saying like I would ask Brighton

427
00:20:26,600 --> 00:20:28,440
Speaker 2: to play all the U eighteens in the final match,

428
00:20:28,480 --> 00:20:30,960
Speaker 2: but they're probably all just like South American wonder kids,

429
00:20:31,080 --> 00:20:35,920
Speaker 2: so through that it's just quite funny because obviously Brighton

430
00:20:35,960 --> 00:20:38,280
Speaker 2: has so much talent. But yeah, you know, the thing

431
00:20:38,320 --> 00:20:41,320
Speaker 2: about it is is like it's the same thing with Newcastle. Right,

432
00:20:41,440 --> 00:20:43,359
Speaker 2: it's the last match of the season. It's not like

433
00:20:43,400 --> 00:20:46,360
Speaker 2: Brighton has three matches left or a cup final left.

434
00:20:46,400 --> 00:20:48,439
Speaker 2: It's like this is it. And they did rotate some

435
00:20:48,480 --> 00:20:51,720
Speaker 2: guys against Manchester City, you know, they they started and

436
00:20:51,760 --> 00:20:54,879
Speaker 2: see So and Billy Gilmore and then they brought on

437
00:20:54,920 --> 00:20:57,080
Speaker 2: the Calister and Ferguson to finish the match. They're probably

438
00:20:57,119 --> 00:21:00,399
Speaker 2: just gonna rotate them again. And it's deserved style of

439
00:21:00,440 --> 00:21:03,600
Speaker 2: Py right, it's like uber aggressive. So if you have

440
00:21:03,720 --> 00:21:05,439
Speaker 2: nothing to play for, and you're playing loose and you're

441
00:21:05,440 --> 00:21:08,159
Speaker 2: playing aggressive, Like that's the best Brighton we're gonna see

442
00:21:08,320 --> 00:21:10,159
Speaker 2: when there's no pressure on them and they can just

443
00:21:10,720 --> 00:21:13,040
Speaker 2: build up right through aston Villa or try to break

444
00:21:13,080 --> 00:21:15,320
Speaker 2: down their little block and try to counterpress them with

445
00:21:15,359 --> 00:21:18,679
Speaker 2: an asta villain team that generally hasn't been good against

446
00:21:18,680 --> 00:21:21,480
Speaker 2: good pressing teams. So yeah, I'm gonna be on Brighton

447
00:21:21,600 --> 00:21:23,320
Speaker 2: money line. They'll be in the round robin if you

448
00:21:23,400 --> 00:21:24,720
Speaker 2: want to take a little bit of risk off it.

449
00:21:24,800 --> 00:21:26,639
Speaker 2: There's definitely value on them, plus a half if you

450
00:21:26,680 --> 00:21:29,280
Speaker 2: want to take that as well. But yeah, all for

451
00:21:29,400 --> 00:21:31,399
Speaker 2: the Seagulls this weekend, even though they have nothing to

452
00:21:31,400 --> 00:21:31,760
Speaker 2: play for.

453
00:21:32,880 --> 00:21:35,840
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Speaker 1: Arsenal Wolves Arsenals minus two seventy five, Wolves seven to one,

474
00:22:55,560 --> 00:22:57,960
Speaker 1: the draws plus four to twenty five. Like it's Wolves

475
00:22:58,040 --> 00:23:00,560
Speaker 1: or nothing, but with nothing, it's take for either of

476
00:23:00,600 --> 00:23:03,119
Speaker 1: these teams. And I think Arsenal's probably just gonna want to,

477
00:23:03,480 --> 00:23:06,080
Speaker 1: you know, put an emphasis on almost like running it up,

478
00:23:06,560 --> 00:23:09,560
Speaker 1: like let's go into the offseason. Is feeling as good

479
00:23:09,560 --> 00:23:11,320
Speaker 1: as possible because they had a great season and then

480
00:23:11,359 --> 00:23:11,919
Speaker 1: they choked it.

481
00:23:11,920 --> 00:23:14,720
Speaker 2: We did away alas, No, no, I hate that word.

482
00:23:14,800 --> 00:23:18,880
Speaker 2: Choke City won fifteen straight match. Yes, it's not a choke.

483
00:23:19,160 --> 00:23:21,560
Speaker 1: They choked by letting City win fifteen in a row. Yeah,

484
00:23:21,560 --> 00:23:23,480
Speaker 1: what I mean like they blew an opportunity.

485
00:23:23,720 --> 00:23:25,560
Speaker 2: They did, and you know, they had two goal they

486
00:23:25,560 --> 00:23:28,560
Speaker 2: had multiple two goal leads that they could have closed out. Like, yes,

487
00:23:28,600 --> 00:23:29,520
Speaker 2: they could have, but the.

488
00:23:29,600 --> 00:23:32,760
Speaker 1: Opportunity was there. They they slipped and now they've lost

489
00:23:32,760 --> 00:23:35,399
Speaker 1: two in a row, three of five. Like, I'm just

490
00:23:35,400 --> 00:23:36,960
Speaker 1: not interested in Wolves, even at the price.

491
00:23:37,000 --> 00:23:38,960
Speaker 2: So if you want to do a nice fun both

492
00:23:38,960 --> 00:23:40,960
Speaker 2: teams to score no and hope this ends in like

493
00:23:41,119 --> 00:23:43,560
Speaker 2: Arsenal one, they'll win. There's some value on that. The

494
00:23:43,600 --> 00:23:45,560
Speaker 2: price on that's a little insane. So if I was

495
00:23:45,600 --> 00:23:48,960
Speaker 2: going anywhere, that's what would go because the Wolves offense

496
00:23:49,160 --> 00:23:51,880
Speaker 2: is garbage and it's going to be garbage next year

497
00:23:51,880 --> 00:23:52,280
Speaker 2: as well.

498
00:23:52,560 --> 00:23:55,040
Speaker 1: Okay, three more to get to by my count, and

499
00:23:55,040 --> 00:23:57,200
Speaker 1: all three of them are very interesting to me. We'll

500
00:23:57,240 --> 00:24:01,719
Speaker 1: start with Saints and Liverpool. Southampton twentieth place wrapped up.

501
00:24:01,800 --> 00:24:03,760
Speaker 1: They're going back to the Championship for the first time

502
00:24:03,760 --> 00:24:07,080
Speaker 1: in a long time. They're hosting Liverpool minus two fifty.

503
00:24:07,080 --> 00:24:08,840
Speaker 1: The Reds are on the road and the draws four

504
00:24:08,840 --> 00:24:10,919
Speaker 1: to one at bet three six five. I really like

505
00:24:11,000 --> 00:24:14,200
Speaker 1: Southampton here, I did the number is you might want

506
00:24:14,200 --> 00:24:16,439
Speaker 1: a little bit more, but you're just not gonna get it.

507
00:24:16,560 --> 00:24:19,080
Speaker 1: And you just got to think about the spot. For Liverpool,

508
00:24:19,119 --> 00:24:21,440
Speaker 1: they just emptied the tank, went on a seven match

509
00:24:21,480 --> 00:24:25,240
Speaker 1: winning streak, drew Villa to blow their Champions League chance.

510
00:24:25,640 --> 00:24:29,240
Speaker 1: They just had that emotional farewell match against Villa at

511
00:24:29,320 --> 00:24:33,760
Speaker 1: anfield where formno Milner, Hata like the gang all say goodbye.

512
00:24:34,160 --> 00:24:36,359
Speaker 1: Now they have to go on the road to face

513
00:24:36,400 --> 00:24:40,320
Speaker 1: the last place team in a meaningless game for both teams.

514
00:24:40,640 --> 00:24:43,560
Speaker 1: Southampton to me, like there's so much worse than Liverpool

515
00:24:43,600 --> 00:24:47,000
Speaker 1: and there is a very very very real possibility that

516
00:24:47,040 --> 00:24:49,560
Speaker 1: Southampton doesn't show up for both teams show up and

517
00:24:49,600 --> 00:24:51,639
Speaker 1: they don't win. They just get absolutely run. They get

518
00:24:51,680 --> 00:24:53,679
Speaker 1: their show run here. But I think that at six

519
00:24:53,800 --> 00:24:56,119
Speaker 1: to one, there's more than enough of a chance that

520
00:24:56,560 --> 00:24:59,560
Speaker 1: Liverpool just throws, you know, a bunch of youngsters on

521
00:24:59,600 --> 00:25:01,520
Speaker 1: the field, guys who they want to do just like

522
00:25:01,880 --> 00:25:05,240
Speaker 1: let them break their maid in and Southampton just says

523
00:25:05,240 --> 00:25:07,399
Speaker 1: screw it. Like this is probably for some players like

524
00:25:07,480 --> 00:25:08,840
Speaker 1: James Ward prass like this is the last time we're

525
00:25:08,840 --> 00:25:11,240
Speaker 1: gonna be playing in the shirt. Go balls to the wall.

526
00:25:11,880 --> 00:25:15,240
Speaker 1: It sounds like you're kind of grasping at straws here

527
00:25:15,240 --> 00:25:17,560
Speaker 1: to like make an argument for Southampton. But that's what

528
00:25:17,640 --> 00:25:19,600
Speaker 1: happens in the last league. We're in the last leeage

529
00:25:19,600 --> 00:25:22,160
Speaker 1: of the season. This isn't February third, this is it,

530
00:25:22,240 --> 00:25:24,159
Speaker 1: Like this is the time to take the shot. So

531
00:25:24,680 --> 00:25:26,640
Speaker 1: I think the price in Southampton is so good.

532
00:25:26,880 --> 00:25:29,760
Speaker 2: I do too. I have Southampton projection at plus four

533
00:25:29,880 --> 00:25:33,919
Speaker 2: thirty seven and there's really no like mnthst win tax

534
00:25:34,080 --> 00:25:36,600
Speaker 2: in this line either. Like you said, Liverpool has nothing

535
00:25:36,600 --> 00:25:38,160
Speaker 2: to play for. They're going to finish in fifth place,

536
00:25:38,160 --> 00:25:41,040
Speaker 2: They're going to be in the Europa League. And we

537
00:25:41,080 --> 00:25:43,439
Speaker 2: see this all the time as well. Is that the

538
00:25:43,520 --> 00:25:46,639
Speaker 2: last match of the season for a team that's already relegated,

539
00:25:46,720 --> 00:25:49,760
Speaker 2: like you said, at home, with all these players who

540
00:25:49,800 --> 00:25:52,000
Speaker 2: are not going to be playing for the team, you

541
00:25:52,040 --> 00:25:55,960
Speaker 2: get a nice dead cat bounce. Southampton's gonna probably be

542
00:25:56,280 --> 00:25:59,320
Speaker 2: giving that extra effort, making that extra tackle, while Liverpool

543
00:25:59,400 --> 00:26:01,840
Speaker 2: is just going to be I'm like, eh, we're already

544
00:26:01,880 --> 00:26:04,280
Speaker 2: on the beach. We're gonna be finishing fifth disappointment, Like

545
00:26:04,320 --> 00:26:07,159
Speaker 2: you said, letdown spots. So yeah, I mean we dived

546
00:26:07,160 --> 00:26:10,520
Speaker 2: into the numbers, like a lot of numbers reporting towards Liverpool, right,

547
00:26:10,840 --> 00:26:13,760
Speaker 2: And there hasn't been much positive this year for Southampton.

548
00:26:13,840 --> 00:26:16,600
Speaker 2: But they did take bazoon and out of goal and

549
00:26:16,640 --> 00:26:19,960
Speaker 2: put McCarthy on. There's that's a positive for them. But yeah, no,

550
00:26:20,080 --> 00:26:22,600
Speaker 2: I agree with you. It's Southampton or nothing here.

551
00:26:22,520 --> 00:26:25,600
Speaker 1: All right, Brentford and City. Of course, this is the

552
00:26:25,840 --> 00:26:28,520
Speaker 1: reverse fixture of this is the nineteen to one winner

553
00:26:28,920 --> 00:26:30,760
Speaker 1: that we hit at a part of our two hundred

554
00:26:30,800 --> 00:26:33,600
Speaker 1: to one part lay right before the World Cup. You're

555
00:26:33,600 --> 00:26:36,200
Speaker 1: not getting nineteen to one on Brentford here. They're plus

556
00:26:36,240 --> 00:26:39,840
Speaker 1: two to eighty hosting the Champions Cities might as won

557
00:26:39,920 --> 00:26:43,399
Speaker 1: twenty three to one for the draw. There's no reason

558
00:26:43,400 --> 00:26:45,880
Speaker 1: for City to play anybody important in this match. They've

559
00:26:45,880 --> 00:26:48,320
Speaker 1: got the FA Cup final coming up next week, yeah,

560
00:26:48,359 --> 00:26:51,200
Speaker 1: and the Champions League final week from then. Like, give

561
00:26:51,280 --> 00:26:53,800
Speaker 1: these guys a breather. They just went on a twenty

562
00:26:53,840 --> 00:26:57,359
Speaker 1: five match on beaten streak. Play the U eighteens, do

563
00:26:57,440 --> 00:26:59,600
Speaker 1: whatever you have to do to just not let anybody

564
00:26:59,640 --> 00:27:02,920
Speaker 1: important get hurt. But we know that Pep. You know Psycho,

565
00:27:03,000 --> 00:27:05,800
Speaker 1: he's a sociopath, so it's not gonna happen. But still

566
00:27:05,880 --> 00:27:08,040
Speaker 1: even if they do address a decently good team, like

567
00:27:08,080 --> 00:27:10,360
Speaker 1: we know how good Brentford is, we know how well

568
00:27:10,359 --> 00:27:12,600
Speaker 1: they punch up. They just beat another you know, the

569
00:27:12,640 --> 00:27:15,720
Speaker 1: Big six I know is shifting, but they just demolished

570
00:27:15,720 --> 00:27:18,720
Speaker 1: Tottenham a couple days ago, like they've got wins over

571
00:27:19,240 --> 00:27:22,240
Speaker 1: City already this year. They've played well against basically anybody

572
00:27:22,240 --> 00:27:25,480
Speaker 1: better than with a bigger budget. So the Bees plus

573
00:27:25,560 --> 00:27:27,640
Speaker 1: two eighty, I think you can get him out there

574
00:27:27,680 --> 00:27:29,399
Speaker 1: three to one. It's a good number.

575
00:27:29,640 --> 00:27:31,760
Speaker 2: And we should also mention that Brentford has something to

576
00:27:31,800 --> 00:27:35,080
Speaker 2: play for. They are still alive for that final Europa

577
00:27:35,080 --> 00:27:37,800
Speaker 2: Conference League spot. I believe they are two points behind

578
00:27:37,840 --> 00:27:42,600
Speaker 2: both Tottenham and aston Villa, so if both of them

579
00:27:42,800 --> 00:27:46,840
Speaker 2: drop points, we could see the Bees in Europe potentially,

580
00:27:46,920 --> 00:27:48,480
Speaker 2: so they will be going all out. Can I just

581
00:27:48,520 --> 00:27:50,920
Speaker 2: say something? Pep snaps with Psycho for that lineup Peop

582
00:27:50,920 --> 00:27:53,040
Speaker 2: played against Brighton, I mean he started everybody, rested two

583
00:27:53,080 --> 00:27:55,560
Speaker 2: defenders and then afterwards he's like, I was really impressed

584
00:27:55,560 --> 00:27:57,640
Speaker 2: our performance because we drank all the Alcoho in Manchester

585
00:27:57,720 --> 00:28:00,080
Speaker 2: forty hours ago. Then why are you playing your best play?

586
00:28:00,480 --> 00:28:03,960
Speaker 2: It's a psychotic move. So yeah, we can sit here

587
00:28:03,960 --> 00:28:06,000
Speaker 2: and say, hey, you shouldn't play anybody. You probably should

588
00:28:06,040 --> 00:28:08,159
Speaker 2: rest guys for the Champions League in FA Cup final.

589
00:28:08,200 --> 00:28:10,560
Speaker 2: But we'll probably see Holland, we'll probably see de Bruyna,

590
00:28:10,560 --> 00:28:13,280
Speaker 2: We'll probably see Silva or probably see Maras, We'll probably

591
00:28:13,280 --> 00:28:16,680
Speaker 2: see everybody out there for Manchester City. But yeah, it's

592
00:28:16,720 --> 00:28:18,000
Speaker 2: Brentford or nothing.

593
00:28:18,119 --> 00:28:22,800
Speaker 1: Here a right, it's a triple whammy spot for man United.

594
00:28:22,840 --> 00:28:26,040
Speaker 1: Here their minus two hundred at home hosting Fulham who

595
00:28:26,080 --> 00:28:28,400
Speaker 1: are five to one, the draws plus three thirty three.

596
00:28:28,520 --> 00:28:31,199
Speaker 1: Man United's on short rest. They just played Thursday against Chelsea.

597
00:28:31,320 --> 00:28:33,960
Speaker 1: It's a letdown spot. They just clinched the Champions League

598
00:28:33,960 --> 00:28:35,840
Speaker 1: in that win over at Chelsea and then it's to

599
00:28:35,880 --> 00:28:38,640
Speaker 1: look ahead spot. Next week they have the FA Cup

600
00:28:38,680 --> 00:28:42,760
Speaker 1: final against Manchester City. This is a home match for United,

601
00:28:42,840 --> 00:28:45,000
Speaker 1: so they want to give a show, I'm sure, and

602
00:28:45,000 --> 00:28:47,640
Speaker 1: they'll say all those things. But like we just talked

603
00:28:47,640 --> 00:28:49,680
Speaker 1: about with Pep, there's no reason for Eric Tannhawk to

604
00:28:49,680 --> 00:28:52,479
Speaker 1: play anybody important in this match at all. You could say, oh,

605
00:28:52,520 --> 00:28:54,440
Speaker 1: we want to finish third or whatever. But like, if

606
00:28:54,440 --> 00:28:56,240
Speaker 1: you're just being reasonable and you're looking at it from

607
00:28:56,320 --> 00:28:59,680
Speaker 1: a logical game theory perspective, where you want to win

608
00:28:59,720 --> 00:29:02,520
Speaker 1: a tro your second trophy of the season next week,

609
00:29:02,840 --> 00:29:05,880
Speaker 1: just sit everybody, let Fallham run rampant back in the

610
00:29:05,880 --> 00:29:07,840
Speaker 1: Cottagers here at five to one. I think there's a

611
00:29:07,840 --> 00:29:09,640
Speaker 1: good chance you United dresses a beat team.

612
00:29:09,920 --> 00:29:12,120
Speaker 2: Right And I think this is one of those situations

613
00:29:12,200 --> 00:29:14,080
Speaker 2: that it might be a good idea to wait until

614
00:29:14,120 --> 00:29:16,600
Speaker 2: lineups come out. But the thing is, and you know

615
00:29:16,760 --> 00:29:19,680
Speaker 2: this is something that happens, is that once that lineup

616
00:29:19,680 --> 00:29:21,400
Speaker 2: comes out, that crash so fast.

617
00:29:21,480 --> 00:29:23,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, so think about about Chelsea what we talked about

618
00:29:23,920 --> 00:29:26,720
Speaker 1: before the Chelsea City match last week, like we're like

619
00:29:26,760 --> 00:29:29,840
Speaker 1: a forest beats Arsenal, this line's going to crash. They

620
00:29:29,840 --> 00:29:32,000
Speaker 1: were ten to one and they close what to eighty yep.

621
00:29:32,040 --> 00:29:33,760
Speaker 2: So I mean that's just that's just what happens. Like

622
00:29:33,840 --> 00:29:35,920
Speaker 2: it's just so you know, for if you if you're

623
00:29:35,920 --> 00:29:37,880
Speaker 2: somebody who's you know, maybe this is your first year betting,

624
00:29:38,000 --> 00:29:40,120
Speaker 2: or you want to get in on this, put tweet

625
00:29:40,160 --> 00:29:43,920
Speaker 2: notifications on for Manchester United and whenever it comes out,

626
00:29:44,160 --> 00:29:46,920
Speaker 2: look at the lineup know, if any of the regular guys,

627
00:29:46,960 --> 00:29:49,360
Speaker 2: if they're not starting, just hammer full them right away

628
00:29:49,440 --> 00:29:51,320
Speaker 2: because I'm sure Fulham is gonna play normal lineup. It's

629
00:29:51,320 --> 00:29:52,880
Speaker 2: against a Big six club. They want to finish the

630
00:29:52,960 --> 00:29:56,600
Speaker 2: year strong, So yeah, it's Fulham or nothing. I am

631
00:29:56,720 --> 00:29:59,240
Speaker 2: tempted to play you know them, like right now on

632
00:29:59,280 --> 00:30:01,480
Speaker 2: the money line, but I'll probably just end up waiting

633
00:30:01,480 --> 00:30:03,120
Speaker 2: to see what United's lineup looks like.

634
00:30:03,480 --> 00:30:05,800
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm gonna play him. I just I think like

635
00:30:05,960 --> 00:30:10,240
Speaker 1: you probably building around Robins and China retire once again

636
00:30:10,280 --> 00:30:11,720
Speaker 1: this week and said every week.

637
00:30:12,320 --> 00:30:14,720
Speaker 2: You know, I it's unfortunate. I wish the Monico Graham

638
00:30:14,760 --> 00:30:17,040
Speaker 2: Prix was next week because we could have you know,

639
00:30:17,120 --> 00:30:18,959
Speaker 2: once we win this round robin, we could definitely get

640
00:30:18,960 --> 00:30:21,760
Speaker 2: a yacht out there. Yeah see, all.

641
00:30:21,720 --> 00:30:23,760
Speaker 1: Right, that's the Premier League done and dusted. Been a

642
00:30:23,760 --> 00:30:26,960
Speaker 1: great season everybody, So we'll move on. Before we do,

643
00:30:27,120 --> 00:30:29,080
Speaker 1: just a reminder once again that one of goals presented

644
00:30:29,080 --> 00:30:31,520
Speaker 1: by Bet three six five, world's favorite sports book brand.

645
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Speaker 1: gambling problem, please call our text one eight hundred gambler.

649
00:30:43,600 --> 00:30:46,840
Speaker 1: All right, let's move on to Bundesliga. We'll be pretty

650
00:30:46,880 --> 00:30:48,720
Speaker 1: quick here. You're just going to take us through Europe

651
00:30:48,840 --> 00:30:49,760
Speaker 1: with your favorite bets.

652
00:30:49,760 --> 00:30:52,560
Speaker 2: And yeah, I mean this is this line here. Unyan

653
00:30:52,640 --> 00:30:56,600
Speaker 2: Blen is minus to seventy against Order Bremen. They have

654
00:30:56,720 --> 00:30:59,080
Speaker 2: to win. They're tied with Freiburg. They have the gold

655
00:30:59,080 --> 00:31:03,000
Speaker 2: differential breaker with them. But Michael, here's a question for you,

656
00:31:03,240 --> 00:31:05,560
Speaker 2: because the only Umberlain spread is minus one and a half. Here,

657
00:31:05,880 --> 00:31:09,240
Speaker 2: how many times in the Bundesliga has Unjan Berlin out

658
00:31:09,320 --> 00:31:13,280
Speaker 2: created their opponents by more than one point five expected

659
00:31:13,320 --> 00:31:18,320
Speaker 2: goals four once one? It has happened one time the

660
00:31:18,560 --> 00:31:21,600
Speaker 2: entire season. And now they are supposed to cover a

661
00:31:21,680 --> 00:31:24,400
Speaker 2: one and a half goal spread against I get it,

662
00:31:24,480 --> 00:31:27,680
Speaker 2: a below average Bundesliga team that is on the beach

663
00:31:27,720 --> 00:31:31,160
Speaker 2: and has nothing to play for. But how Unan Berlin

664
00:31:31,720 --> 00:31:33,920
Speaker 2: sets up with their three to five to two with

665
00:31:33,960 --> 00:31:37,480
Speaker 2: their very defensive approach once they score that first goal,

666
00:31:37,800 --> 00:31:41,160
Speaker 2: Considering they have the goal differential tiebreaker and Freiberg is

667
00:31:41,160 --> 00:31:43,560
Speaker 2: playing Frankfurt, so it's very unlikely that Freiberg is going

668
00:31:43,600 --> 00:31:46,200
Speaker 2: to be Frankfurt by five goals on the road. They're

669
00:31:46,240 --> 00:31:48,320
Speaker 2: going to sit on this thing. They're going to put

670
00:31:48,600 --> 00:31:51,160
Speaker 2: everybody in the box to defend this and get a

671
00:31:51,200 --> 00:31:54,320
Speaker 2: spot in the Champions League. So border Bremen plus one

672
00:31:54,320 --> 00:31:55,880
Speaker 2: and a half. The best price you can find is

673
00:31:55,880 --> 00:31:58,880
Speaker 2: minus one forty five. Their money line will also be

674
00:31:58,960 --> 00:31:59,840
Speaker 2: going in.

675
00:32:00,080 --> 00:32:03,840
Speaker 1: The round robin. Okay, let's talk Syria. Ah, you're looking

676
00:32:03,880 --> 00:32:05,400
Speaker 1: at Juve and AC Milan.

677
00:32:05,600 --> 00:32:07,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean this is obviously a huge match event

678
00:32:07,640 --> 00:32:11,200
Speaker 2: has just got their ten point deduction for some financial mishaps.

679
00:32:11,720 --> 00:32:14,360
Speaker 2: AC Milan is currently sitting in fourth place in the table.

680
00:32:14,400 --> 00:32:17,320
Speaker 2: They're three points above Adelatto with two matches left. Apply,

681
00:32:17,520 --> 00:32:21,000
Speaker 2: so everything to play for both teams, because now you

682
00:32:21,000 --> 00:32:23,000
Speaker 2: know Uvey's travels are trying to get into either a

683
00:32:23,080 --> 00:32:25,360
Speaker 2: Europa League or Europa Conference League Spotufter they just got

684
00:32:25,440 --> 00:32:27,360
Speaker 2: dropped out. And I think the total is a tattoo

685
00:32:27,400 --> 00:32:28,920
Speaker 2: low here, like over two and a half at plus

686
00:32:28,960 --> 00:32:31,360
Speaker 2: one ten. You know, these are two top five offenses

687
00:32:31,560 --> 00:32:34,760
Speaker 2: in Syria A AC Milan has been sixth and non

688
00:32:34,800 --> 00:32:37,400
Speaker 2: penalty expect goals, they've been good but not great. But

689
00:32:37,440 --> 00:32:40,760
Speaker 2: the Juventus defense we've talked about it many times. Overperformed

690
00:32:40,800 --> 00:32:43,720
Speaker 2: so drastically this season by about eight or nine expectacles.

691
00:32:44,440 --> 00:32:46,880
Speaker 2: They are dead last in Syria A and final third

692
00:32:47,000 --> 00:32:51,440
Speaker 2: entries allowed that is horrendous for a team and the

693
00:32:51,480 --> 00:32:55,040
Speaker 2: stature of Juventus, they are near the bottom and progressive

694
00:32:55,080 --> 00:32:57,560
Speaker 2: passes and dribbles allowed, they're near the bottom of the

695
00:32:57,600 --> 00:32:59,840
Speaker 2: next two per cet piece allowed. It's a bad you

696
00:33:00,280 --> 00:33:02,440
Speaker 2: his defense, but you know, the offense has been very

697
00:33:02,480 --> 00:33:05,120
Speaker 2: good so and this is also one of those situations

698
00:33:05,160 --> 00:33:06,880
Speaker 2: that once that first goal goes in, I think you're

699
00:33:06,880 --> 00:33:08,720
Speaker 2: gonna see a lot of chaos between these two teams.

700
00:33:08,720 --> 00:33:11,840
Speaker 2: So I've projected about two point six expected goals for

701
00:33:11,880 --> 00:33:13,920
Speaker 2: this match, so over two and a half plus one

702
00:33:14,000 --> 00:33:16,840
Speaker 2: ten is a good enough price for me. Okay, La Liga,

703
00:33:17,320 --> 00:33:21,240
Speaker 2: I mean this match means literally nothing. Barcelona, who has

704
00:33:21,320 --> 00:33:25,240
Speaker 2: already secured the La Liga title, is taken on my

705
00:33:25,480 --> 00:33:28,120
Speaker 2: Yorca and I like under three goals at minus one

706
00:33:28,120 --> 00:33:30,280
Speaker 2: o eight. These are two of the best defensive teams

707
00:33:30,680 --> 00:33:34,240
Speaker 2: in La Liga. Majorca is just a low block force,

708
00:33:34,840 --> 00:33:36,840
Speaker 2: second in all of Europe and final third to Penley

709
00:33:36,840 --> 00:33:40,240
Speaker 2: box entry conversion rate allowed. While Barcelona has been rotating

710
00:33:40,240 --> 00:33:42,920
Speaker 2: their squad. They're a build up, very slow paced style team.

711
00:33:42,960 --> 00:33:44,600
Speaker 2: Iorica is not going to press them, which is going

712
00:33:44,680 --> 00:33:48,080
Speaker 2: to set up a very very slow paced type match.

713
00:33:48,120 --> 00:33:50,800
Speaker 2: And hey, you know what, Myorca got a clean sheet

714
00:33:50,800 --> 00:33:53,040
Speaker 2: against Barcelona on the island when they met last time.

715
00:33:53,160 --> 00:33:56,200
Speaker 2: So I only project two point three goals for this match,

716
00:33:56,280 --> 00:34:00,400
Speaker 2: so under three at minus one oh five. It's just

717
00:34:00,400 --> 00:34:02,920
Speaker 2: an inflated total for no reason at all.

718
00:34:03,560 --> 00:34:06,280
Speaker 1: The Championship playoff you want to just touch on Coventry City.

719
00:34:06,320 --> 00:34:08,680
Speaker 2: Real, Yeah, this is literally, I think my one of

720
00:34:08,680 --> 00:34:10,680
Speaker 2: my favorite matches of the entire year. For those who

721
00:34:10,719 --> 00:34:13,279
Speaker 2: don't know this is obviously the Champions League final is

722
00:34:13,280 --> 00:34:15,640
Speaker 2: the highest takes match in world football. But from a

723
00:34:15,640 --> 00:34:18,040
Speaker 2: financial standpoint, it doesn't get more high stakes than this.

724
00:34:18,160 --> 00:34:22,760
Speaker 2: I think the difference between the TV money from the

725
00:34:22,880 --> 00:34:25,600
Speaker 2: Championship to the Premier League I think now is around

726
00:34:25,600 --> 00:34:28,800
Speaker 2: three hundred million dollars. So for two clubs like Loutontown

727
00:34:28,800 --> 00:34:31,560
Speaker 2: and Coventry City, you haven't sniffed the Premier League in

728
00:34:31,600 --> 00:34:34,560
Speaker 2: a really really long time, or maybe even ever, I

729
00:34:34,560 --> 00:34:37,279
Speaker 2: haven't looked it up. It's about as high stakes it

730
00:34:37,280 --> 00:34:39,640
Speaker 2: gets for these two teams and they play literally the

731
00:34:39,840 --> 00:34:42,759
Speaker 2: exact same style of play. It's three five to two

732
00:34:43,280 --> 00:34:47,640
Speaker 2: low block transitional type matches. And to play into that,

733
00:34:47,719 --> 00:34:50,799
Speaker 2: you know, Loutontown is round of nine plus one forty

734
00:34:50,840 --> 00:34:53,440
Speaker 2: plus one forty five favorite here, it's about where I

735
00:34:53,440 --> 00:34:56,120
Speaker 2: haven't projected if I were to play anything, you know,

736
00:34:56,400 --> 00:34:58,160
Speaker 2: maybe a Coventry City on the money line has a

737
00:34:58,239 --> 00:35:01,120
Speaker 2: tad bit of value. But where I actually want to

738
00:35:01,160 --> 00:35:03,959
Speaker 2: go here is under first half, under half a goal

739
00:35:04,280 --> 00:35:06,799
Speaker 2: or to be zero zero and to half. Because the

740
00:35:06,840 --> 00:35:08,920
Speaker 2: pressure that's going to be in this match, especially for

741
00:35:09,000 --> 00:35:12,200
Speaker 2: two low block type teams now a big risk takers.

742
00:35:12,640 --> 00:35:15,640
Speaker 2: It sets up perfectly for that. So under a half

743
00:35:15,880 --> 00:35:17,960
Speaker 2: for the first half is where I'm going here. But

744
00:35:18,000 --> 00:35:21,319
Speaker 2: if you want to play a side, Coventry does have

745
00:35:21,680 --> 00:35:23,680
Speaker 2: a little bit of value, I mean expected goals. These

746
00:35:23,719 --> 00:35:25,960
Speaker 2: two teams have been very similar this season. Lowton Town's

747
00:35:25,960 --> 00:35:30,360
Speaker 2: at plus fourteen, Coventry is at plus eight. So similar styles,

748
00:35:30,480 --> 00:35:34,000
Speaker 2: similar teams. So in that case, just take the underdog,

749
00:35:34,320 --> 00:35:34,719
Speaker 2: all right.

750
00:35:35,120 --> 00:35:37,680
Speaker 1: Now let's get to the fun part. Obviously Anthony's not here,

751
00:35:37,719 --> 00:35:39,640
Speaker 1: but we got an underdog for him. I'll let you

752
00:35:39,680 --> 00:35:42,000
Speaker 1: take that one. Then I'll go. Then you can go

753
00:35:42,080 --> 00:35:44,200
Speaker 1: with yours and what it's going to end up happening

754
00:35:44,200 --> 00:35:46,319
Speaker 1: here is we're going to end up with a three

755
00:35:46,400 --> 00:35:49,759
Speaker 1: leg parlay that pays out seven hundred and eighty three

756
00:35:49,800 --> 00:35:50,120
Speaker 1: to one.

757
00:35:50,160 --> 00:35:52,960
Speaker 2: So it's gonna be our last one of the year.

758
00:35:53,000 --> 00:35:54,719
Speaker 2: We got to go out with the bang, right. So

759
00:35:54,840 --> 00:35:56,719
Speaker 2: for Anthony, this is what he would have wanted, and

760
00:35:56,719 --> 00:35:59,560
Speaker 2: he would have told us that silver inflated. But Cologne

761
00:36:00,400 --> 00:36:04,880
Speaker 2: one at home hosting Bayern Munich. Cologne has nothing to

762
00:36:04,880 --> 00:36:08,440
Speaker 2: play for. Byron has everything to play for. They got

763
00:36:08,440 --> 00:36:10,880
Speaker 2: to keep the streak alive. I believe they've won eleven

764
00:36:10,960 --> 00:36:14,120
Speaker 2: straight Bundesliga titles. Don't quote me on that. I think

765
00:36:14,120 --> 00:36:17,279
Speaker 2: it's eleven or twelve one of those two and they

766
00:36:17,320 --> 00:36:21,719
Speaker 2: absolutely need to win. Cologne is a very very underrated

767
00:36:21,719 --> 00:36:24,799
Speaker 2: team that is good in transition, that can play a

768
00:36:24,840 --> 00:36:28,080
Speaker 2: decent low block. And the last time these two teams played,

769
00:36:28,560 --> 00:36:32,560
Speaker 2: Cologne went ahead early and held Byron all the way

770
00:36:32,680 --> 00:36:34,480
Speaker 2: until I think it was around the ninety first or

771
00:36:34,600 --> 00:36:38,279
Speaker 2: ninety second minute and Kimmich hit a banger from way

772
00:36:38,320 --> 00:36:41,200
Speaker 2: outside the box. So this Colone team is definitely capable

773
00:36:41,640 --> 00:36:43,400
Speaker 2: of pulling off the upset and gain you know what,

774
00:36:43,719 --> 00:36:45,719
Speaker 2: I know they have nothing to play for, but I'm

775
00:36:45,760 --> 00:36:48,640
Speaker 2: guessing that every team in Germany hates Byron and I'm

776
00:36:48,680 --> 00:36:50,960
Speaker 2: guessing they're going to want to play spoiler here for

777
00:36:51,080 --> 00:36:55,479
Speaker 2: the title. So that's the first one. Mine is going

778
00:36:55,520 --> 00:37:00,920
Speaker 2: to be Mines thirteen to one on the road again Dortmund,

779
00:37:00,960 --> 00:37:04,120
Speaker 2: who if they win, they will have won their first

780
00:37:04,120 --> 00:37:07,200
Speaker 2: Bundesliga titles since klop was in charge in two thousand

781
00:37:07,200 --> 00:37:11,879
Speaker 2: and eleven, and it's a minds team that, again, they

782
00:37:11,880 --> 00:37:14,160
Speaker 2: have nothing to play for, but they're going to want

783
00:37:14,160 --> 00:37:16,880
Speaker 2: to play spoiler, and the way that they set up

784
00:37:16,920 --> 00:37:19,200
Speaker 2: and the way they're able to press teams high and

785
00:37:19,440 --> 00:37:22,080
Speaker 2: disrupt build up play, they could give Dormin some problems.

786
00:37:22,120 --> 00:37:23,840
Speaker 2: And it's up in the air whether Juden Bellingham is

787
00:37:23,840 --> 00:37:25,480
Speaker 2: actually gonna play in this match because he's dealing with

788
00:37:25,560 --> 00:37:29,879
Speaker 2: an injury. So the two Bundesliga underdogs that are trying

789
00:37:29,880 --> 00:37:31,960
Speaker 2: to play spoiler for the title are going to be

790
00:37:32,000 --> 00:37:35,200
Speaker 2: the first two legs of this parlay, and for me.

791
00:37:35,800 --> 00:37:39,160
Speaker 1: We're going to do a little sprinkle on Southampton. It's ugly.

792
00:37:39,200 --> 00:37:41,600
Speaker 1: They're six to one against Liverpool. They're the worst team

793
00:37:41,640 --> 00:37:43,600
Speaker 1: in the Premier League. They've already been relegated. But this

794
00:37:44,000 --> 00:37:47,200
Speaker 1: is such an ugly spot for Liverpool. They just emptied

795
00:37:47,200 --> 00:37:50,000
Speaker 1: the tank, went on a seven match winning streak to

796
00:37:50,080 --> 00:37:52,239
Speaker 1: make a miracle run at a top four spot and

797
00:37:52,360 --> 00:37:54,960
Speaker 1: came up just short last week in anfield to keep

798
00:37:54,960 --> 00:37:57,319
Speaker 1: their season alive. Now they've got nothing. It's just a

799
00:37:57,360 --> 00:38:00,880
Speaker 1: huge letdown spot. Like you said, BJ, teams that are

800
00:38:00,920 --> 00:38:03,560
Speaker 1: already relegated in their last match of the season, especially

801
00:38:03,600 --> 00:38:05,680
Speaker 1: at home, kind of provide a little dead cat bounce,

802
00:38:06,200 --> 00:38:09,480
Speaker 1: a little memory for fans to take to the offseason

803
00:38:09,480 --> 00:38:11,839
Speaker 1: with them. That's what I'm banking on here. They're six

804
00:38:11,920 --> 00:38:14,719
Speaker 1: to one and it's ugly, but all three of these

805
00:38:14,719 --> 00:38:18,840
Speaker 1: are pretty ugly, So mine's clone Southampton seven hundred and

806
00:38:18,840 --> 00:38:21,880
Speaker 1: eighty three to one. I was debating Fulham or Southampton,

807
00:38:21,960 --> 00:38:24,319
Speaker 1: but we'll talk about Fulham in a second. Here our

808
00:38:24,360 --> 00:38:27,359
Speaker 1: favorite bets in the Premier League for the final match week.

809
00:38:27,560 --> 00:38:30,400
Speaker 1: Like I said, I like Fulham. Just an absolute brutal

810
00:38:30,480 --> 00:38:33,279
Speaker 1: spot for Man United here, Like you can't light minus

811
00:38:33,280 --> 00:38:34,600
Speaker 1: two hundred with the team that's going to be on

812
00:38:34,640 --> 00:38:37,840
Speaker 1: short rest. It's a letdown spot. They just clinched Champions

813
00:38:37,920 --> 00:38:39,840
Speaker 1: League with their win over Chelsea over the midweek and

814
00:38:39,840 --> 00:38:41,920
Speaker 1: they're gonna be looking ahead to an FA Cup final

815
00:38:42,160 --> 00:38:44,840
Speaker 1: on Saturday. You could see a pretty heavy squad rotation

816
00:38:44,920 --> 00:38:47,479
Speaker 1: here from United. It is a tricky game to play

817
00:38:47,560 --> 00:38:49,600
Speaker 1: a little bit of a thread to needle situation with

818
00:38:49,719 --> 00:38:51,520
Speaker 1: should you bet Fulham now or do you want to

819
00:38:51,560 --> 00:38:54,239
Speaker 1: wait for the United to confirm a lineup. I would

820
00:38:54,280 --> 00:38:56,120
Speaker 1: say bet them now. I don't think this number is

821
00:38:56,120 --> 00:38:58,480
Speaker 1: going to get that much higher even if the United dresses,

822
00:38:58,520 --> 00:39:01,279
Speaker 1: you know, a full strong star earning eleven. I would

823
00:39:01,280 --> 00:39:03,239
Speaker 1: just take the five to one now. But Fullham that's

824
00:39:03,239 --> 00:39:04,760
Speaker 1: my favorite bet this weekend.

825
00:39:05,040 --> 00:39:08,560
Speaker 2: I like Crystal Palace Nottingham Forrest under three goals at

826
00:39:08,600 --> 00:39:11,759
Speaker 2: minus one twenty. We have a situation here where both

827
00:39:11,760 --> 00:39:14,080
Speaker 2: of these teams are on the beach, they have absolutely

828
00:39:14,120 --> 00:39:17,799
Speaker 2: nothing to play for, and how Nottingham Forrest has been

829
00:39:17,800 --> 00:39:19,759
Speaker 2: sitting up tactically along with the Crystal Palace is going

830
00:39:19,840 --> 00:39:22,160
Speaker 2: to be pretty conducive to a low events style game.

831
00:39:22,239 --> 00:39:24,160
Speaker 2: So you have Naughtingam Forest, who out of possession, is

832
00:39:24,160 --> 00:39:25,319
Speaker 2: going to be in a five to three to two.

833
00:39:25,640 --> 00:39:27,480
Speaker 2: They're gonna hand the ball to Crystal Palace because they're

834
00:39:27,520 --> 00:39:30,120
Speaker 2: averaging the lowest possession in the Premier League and they're

835
00:39:30,120 --> 00:39:32,000
Speaker 2: gonna ask Christal Palace to break them down, which I'm

836
00:39:32,000 --> 00:39:34,759
Speaker 2: not so sure Crystal Palace is going to be able

837
00:39:34,800 --> 00:39:37,680
Speaker 2: to do. Chris Palace is much better when they are

838
00:39:37,680 --> 00:39:40,120
Speaker 2: playing the low block and they're the ones playing in transition.

839
00:39:40,200 --> 00:39:42,960
Speaker 2: That's how they've been so good under Roy Hodgson and

840
00:39:43,000 --> 00:39:45,560
Speaker 2: something that Crystal Palace. You know, last season they were

841
00:39:45,560 --> 00:39:47,719
Speaker 2: one of the best defensive teams in the Premier League.

842
00:39:47,840 --> 00:39:49,759
Speaker 2: This season they've kind of struggled throughout the season and

843
00:39:49,760 --> 00:39:52,600
Speaker 2: now they're sitting around tenth in non penalty expected goals,

844
00:39:52,800 --> 00:39:55,000
Speaker 2: but against the bottom half of the Premier League table,

845
00:39:55,480 --> 00:39:58,000
Speaker 2: they're only allowing point nine to three expected goals for match,

846
00:39:58,080 --> 00:40:00,239
Speaker 2: and the same to be said about Nottingham Forest, who

847
00:40:00,280 --> 00:40:02,960
Speaker 2: against the bottom half of the table themselves, only allowing

848
00:40:03,000 --> 00:40:05,680
Speaker 2: one point four expected goals from match when they're allowing

849
00:40:05,719 --> 00:40:07,360
Speaker 2: one point nine to three against the top half of

850
00:40:07,400 --> 00:40:10,799
Speaker 2: the table. So I understand this is just an inflated

851
00:40:11,120 --> 00:40:14,319
Speaker 2: total with both teams having nothing to play for, so

852
00:40:14,440 --> 00:40:16,680
Speaker 2: you're expecting a very open style match. But I'm not

853
00:40:16,719 --> 00:40:18,960
Speaker 2: so sure given the way that these two teams set

854
00:40:19,040 --> 00:40:21,200
Speaker 2: up tactically. So I like under three goals at minus

855
00:40:21,200 --> 00:40:21,680
Speaker 2: one twenty.

856
00:40:22,160 --> 00:40:24,239
Speaker 1: There you have it, Another Premier League season in the

857
00:40:24,239 --> 00:40:26,440
Speaker 1: books for us here at Wonder Goal. We will be

858
00:40:26,480 --> 00:40:29,879
Speaker 1: back with a preview episode four, the Cup final FA

859
00:40:29,880 --> 00:40:32,560
Speaker 1: Cup Final and looking ahead to the Europa League and

860
00:40:32,600 --> 00:40:34,319
Speaker 1: then of course the Champions League Final. So we still

861
00:40:34,360 --> 00:40:36,960
Speaker 1: have a couple more episodes to go with. But sincere

862
00:40:37,000 --> 00:40:40,120
Speaker 1: thank you to everyone who's listened, especially those who've listened consistently.

863
00:40:40,360 --> 00:40:42,520
Speaker 1: If you're new to the show, you haven't rated and reviewed,

864
00:40:42,560 --> 00:40:45,120
Speaker 1: please do so. We don't really say that often, which

865
00:40:45,160 --> 00:40:46,959
Speaker 1: is probably a mistake on my part, but.

866
00:40:47,320 --> 00:40:49,520
Speaker 2: Like we always say, rated five stars and tell us

867
00:40:49,520 --> 00:40:51,880
Speaker 2: how much we suck, We don't care. Yeah, yeah, and

868
00:40:52,200 --> 00:40:53,720
Speaker 2: as long as you give them five stars.

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00:40:54,000 --> 00:40:57,200
Speaker 1: When Anthony's back, will do the accounting before our last episode.

870
00:40:57,200 --> 00:40:58,680
Speaker 1: But it's been a good year.

871
00:40:58,880 --> 00:41:00,920
Speaker 2: It's a profitable again another.

872
00:41:00,600 --> 00:41:04,879
Speaker 1: Profitable, Yeah, back to back, profitable. The bang, the banner

873
00:41:04,920 --> 00:41:07,640
Speaker 1: and the right banners. But yeah, we do thank you.

874
00:41:07,880 --> 00:41:09,840
Speaker 1: Bet three sixty five will be back as our sponsor

875
00:41:09,840 --> 00:41:12,160
Speaker 1: again next year, so we thank them for keeping the

876
00:41:12,239 --> 00:41:15,279
Speaker 1: lights on. But until we see you again in a

877
00:41:15,280 --> 00:41:17,920
Speaker 1: couple of days, make sure to get in this parlay.

878
00:41:18,400 --> 00:41:21,680
Speaker 1: Have some fun this week. Have some goddamn fun. This

879
00:41:21,760 --> 00:41:24,200
Speaker 1: is not the week to grind out, you know, minus

880
00:41:24,320 --> 00:41:28,120
Speaker 1: one fifteen over two and a half goals. This is

881
00:41:28,440 --> 00:41:28,920
Speaker 1: go for it.

882
00:41:29,440 --> 00:41:32,520
Speaker 2: This is the Mines thirteen to ones, the Clone seven

883
00:41:32,520 --> 00:41:33,440
Speaker 2: to one.

884
00:41:33,680 --> 00:41:36,360
Speaker 1: Look it's not likely to hit, we're not telling you that.

885
00:41:36,440 --> 00:41:39,759
Speaker 1: But go build yourself something that could change your life.

886
00:41:39,760 --> 00:41:41,840
Speaker 1: This is a good opportunity. It's like the Kentucky Derby, like,

887
00:41:42,160 --> 00:41:44,520
Speaker 1: go for it. Shut off the little voice of reason

888
00:41:44,520 --> 00:41:46,600
Speaker 1: in your head that's telling you to play plus ev,

889
00:41:46,880 --> 00:41:47,319
Speaker 1: like go.

890
00:41:47,360 --> 00:41:49,520
Speaker 2: For But it is plus ev. Mine, no, it is,

891
00:41:49,760 --> 00:41:51,560
Speaker 2: it is. It is plus ev. That's what we're talking

892
00:41:51,600 --> 00:41:53,640
Speaker 2: about here. We're talking about lines that have inflated, that

893
00:41:53,680 --> 00:41:57,200
Speaker 2: have such minus ev. So we're talking actually about plus

894
00:41:57,239 --> 00:41:59,560
Speaker 2: ev type lines. So it's not necessarily a voice of

895
00:41:59,640 --> 00:42:01,920
Speaker 2: reasoning and shut off in your head. It's the voice

896
00:42:01,960 --> 00:42:04,520
Speaker 2: of like, how much does this team care? In your head?

897
00:42:04,640 --> 00:42:08,440
Speaker 2: Is what's getting shut on? What's what's being set in

898
00:42:08,480 --> 00:42:08,799
Speaker 2: your head?

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00:42:09,040 --> 00:42:11,719
Speaker 1: All right, well, Anthony, come home soon. We'll see you

900
00:42:11,760 --> 00:42:15,400
Speaker 1: in a couple of days.

901
00:42:16,080 --> 00:42:19,520
Speaker 3: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

902
00:42:19,920 --> 00:42:22,760
Speaker 2: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

903
00:42:23,040 --> 00:42:23,920
Speaker 2: help is available.

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00:42:24,000 --> 00:42:26,560
Speaker 3: Twenty four to seven at one eight hundred gambler