1 00:00:01,240 --> 00:00:02,000 Speaker 1: Earners. What's up. 2 00:00:02,080 --> 00:00:04,560 Speaker 2: You ever walk into a small business and everything just 3 00:00:04,720 --> 00:00:07,880 Speaker 2: works like The checkout is fast, the receipts are digital, 4 00:00:08,400 --> 00:00:11,399 Speaker 2: tipping is a breeze, and you're out the door before 5 00:00:11,400 --> 00:00:15,560 Speaker 2: the line even builds. Odds are they're using Square. We 6 00:00:15,720 --> 00:00:18,280 Speaker 2: love supporting businesses that run on Square because it just 7 00:00:18,280 --> 00:00:21,520 Speaker 2: feels seamless. Whether it's a local coffee shop, a vendor 8 00:00:21,560 --> 00:00:23,840 Speaker 2: at a pop up market, or even one of our 9 00:00:23,880 --> 00:00:27,560 Speaker 2: merch partners, Square makes it easy for them to take payments, 10 00:00:27,760 --> 00:00:31,480 Speaker 2: manage inventory, and run their business with confidence, all from 11 00:00:31,600 --> 00:00:35,000 Speaker 2: one simple system. If you're a business owner or even 12 00:00:35,080 --> 00:00:38,600 Speaker 2: just thinking about launching something soon, Square is hands down 13 00:00:38,640 --> 00:00:41,680 Speaker 2: one of the best tools out there to help you start, run, 14 00:00:41,920 --> 00:00:45,240 Speaker 2: and grow. It's not just about payments, it's about giving 15 00:00:45,240 --> 00:00:47,519 Speaker 2: you time back so you can focus. 16 00:00:47,159 --> 00:00:48,760 Speaker 1: On what matters most Ready. 17 00:00:48,760 --> 00:00:52,159 Speaker 2: To see how Square can transform your business, visit Square 18 00:00:52,240 --> 00:00:56,760 Speaker 2: dot com backslash go backslash eyl to learn more that 19 00:00:56,960 --> 00:01:02,400 Speaker 2: Square dot com backslash, go backslash eyl. Don't wait, don't hesitate. 20 00:01:02,520 --> 00:01:04,880 Speaker 2: Let's Square handle the back end so you can keep 21 00:01:04,920 --> 00:01:11,000 Speaker 2: pushing your vision forward. This episode is brought to you 22 00:01:11,040 --> 00:01:13,320 Speaker 2: by P and C Bank, a lot of people think 23 00:01:13,360 --> 00:01:17,240 Speaker 2: podcasts about work are boring, and sure they definitely can be, 24 00:01:17,760 --> 00:01:21,000 Speaker 2: but understanding of professional's routine shows us how they achieve 25 00:01:21,080 --> 00:01:25,280 Speaker 2: their success little by little, day after day. It's like 26 00:01:25,360 --> 00:01:28,160 Speaker 2: banking with P and C Bank. It might seem boring 27 00:01:28,160 --> 00:01:31,000 Speaker 2: to save, plan and make calculated decisions with your bank, 28 00:01:31,440 --> 00:01:33,920 Speaker 2: but keeping your money boring is what helps you live 29 00:01:34,000 --> 00:01:38,080 Speaker 2: a more happily fulfilled life. P and C Bank Brilliantly 30 00:01:38,160 --> 00:01:42,720 Speaker 2: Boring since eighteen sixty five. Brilliantly Boring since eighteen sixty 31 00:01:42,720 --> 00:01:45,959 Speaker 2: five is a service mark of the PNC Financial Service Group, Inc. 32 00:01:46,480 --> 00:01:49,840 Speaker 2: P and C Bank National Association Member FDIC. 33 00:01:51,600 --> 00:01:55,320 Speaker 3: But Mike Novagrass gave some interesting commentary. So from an 34 00:01:56,160 --> 00:01:58,680 Speaker 3: investing standpoint, if you'll know what Mike Novagrass is, He's 35 00:01:58,680 --> 00:02:00,760 Speaker 3: a billionaire, He's spoken to invest fast, He's been on 36 00:02:00,800 --> 00:02:07,720 Speaker 3: market mondays. He said that his biggest concern was the 37 00:02:07,840 --> 00:02:08,440 Speaker 3: US debt. 38 00:02:08,919 --> 00:02:09,840 Speaker 1: That was the biggest concern. 39 00:02:10,680 --> 00:02:17,560 Speaker 3: He said his top investments would be hedges for inflation, 40 00:02:17,880 --> 00:02:20,560 Speaker 3: like if somebody had money to invest right now, he said. 41 00:02:20,639 --> 00:02:23,480 Speaker 3: He said that he was leary of the stock market 42 00:02:23,919 --> 00:02:32,280 Speaker 3: long term. He said Crypto, particularly bitcoin coin and Solana 43 00:02:33,200 --> 00:02:38,760 Speaker 3: on the all coin side, and he said gold. He said, 44 00:02:38,800 --> 00:02:40,600 Speaker 3: go he thinks gold can get to ten thousand. 45 00:02:40,919 --> 00:02:45,480 Speaker 1: Yeah, there was another one. He's up what tech he said? 46 00:02:45,520 --> 00:02:47,239 Speaker 3: He said tech stocks for sure, but he said tech 47 00:02:47,280 --> 00:02:50,239 Speaker 3: stocks is going to have a crash at some point. 48 00:02:50,320 --> 00:02:53,280 Speaker 3: And then he referenced he was talking about like all 49 00:02:53,280 --> 00:02:55,080 Speaker 3: the different crashes and he was like, he's like there's 50 00:02:55,080 --> 00:02:58,720 Speaker 3: always He's like, there's a spike before the party's over. 51 00:02:58,800 --> 00:03:01,040 Speaker 3: And he was like, in year two thousand in they 52 00:03:01,080 --> 00:03:04,960 Speaker 3: have fireworks that went from Japan all the way to 53 00:03:05,040 --> 00:03:07,360 Speaker 3: Australia and everybody, and then the next day the stock 54 00:03:07,400 --> 00:03:07,839 Speaker 3: market craft. 55 00:03:08,120 --> 00:03:10,040 Speaker 2: He said, every great party has a hangover. 56 00:03:10,160 --> 00:03:13,080 Speaker 3: So he was saying that tex still has it happened, 57 00:03:13,120 --> 00:03:15,120 Speaker 3: said he said tech still has a ride up. 58 00:03:15,480 --> 00:03:15,679 Speaker 1: Yeah. 59 00:03:15,919 --> 00:03:18,000 Speaker 3: He said he didn't know it was gonna be two months, 60 00:03:18,080 --> 00:03:21,000 Speaker 3: two years, five years, but he said, eventually the tech 61 00:03:21,040 --> 00:03:22,400 Speaker 3: wave is going to fall off a clip. 62 00:03:22,480 --> 00:03:24,519 Speaker 1: Yeah, him, him and Dave. 63 00:03:24,560 --> 00:03:27,560 Speaker 2: I mean, these are just brilliant guys, just brilliant dudes, 64 00:03:27,560 --> 00:03:30,800 Speaker 2: man like and shout out to mail too. Brilliant dude 65 00:03:30,800 --> 00:03:34,840 Speaker 2: in his own right. But every great party has a hangover. 66 00:03:34,960 --> 00:03:37,600 Speaker 2: And so the question is, well, what hour are we 67 00:03:37,680 --> 00:03:41,600 Speaker 2: in in this party, right, like, is it after midnight yet? 68 00:03:41,600 --> 00:03:43,200 Speaker 2: And they were kind of like, I think, as far 69 00:03:43,240 --> 00:03:45,600 Speaker 2: as AI, we still might be in the early innings. 70 00:03:45,880 --> 00:03:49,480 Speaker 2: But eventually, right, it's gonna come to end. It's gonna 71 00:03:49,520 --> 00:03:51,440 Speaker 2: come to an end. We just got to be prepared. 72 00:03:51,440 --> 00:03:53,640 Speaker 2: But I mean, there's always opportunities. I mean, there's so 73 00:03:53,640 --> 00:03:56,280 Speaker 2: many ways you can look at it. Every every crisis 74 00:03:56,280 --> 00:03:57,040 Speaker 2: has an opportunity. 75 00:03:57,360 --> 00:03:59,920 Speaker 3: Let's take this one by one half group discussion. Gold 76 00:04:00,120 --> 00:04:05,160 Speaker 3: hitting ten thousand at some point and post it's impossible, 77 00:04:05,640 --> 00:04:10,480 Speaker 3: So like, yeah, principle ten years, Well let's go if 78 00:04:10,480 --> 00:04:11,840 Speaker 3: we're going four years now. 79 00:04:13,280 --> 00:04:14,400 Speaker 1: Possible? Could it get to. 80 00:04:14,640 --> 00:04:16,320 Speaker 3: That's the hell of a return in ten years it's 81 00:04:16,320 --> 00:04:17,440 Speaker 3: twenty seven hundred. 82 00:04:17,200 --> 00:04:19,520 Speaker 4: Now, yeah, five thousand ago I could see it getting 83 00:04:19,560 --> 00:04:20,200 Speaker 4: too five thousand. 84 00:04:20,320 --> 00:04:21,280 Speaker 1: That's almost three x. 85 00:04:21,600 --> 00:04:26,960 Speaker 4: Yeah, well we have a pullback, a deep one absolutely 86 00:04:27,160 --> 00:04:27,560 Speaker 4: in gold. 87 00:04:28,120 --> 00:04:29,240 Speaker 1: Yeah, in tech. 88 00:04:30,720 --> 00:04:32,680 Speaker 3: So so all right, so gold, we got gold at 89 00:04:32,760 --> 00:04:33,800 Speaker 3: least doubling. 90 00:04:34,240 --> 00:04:36,880 Speaker 2: And it's important to tell people how to invest in 91 00:04:36,960 --> 00:04:39,760 Speaker 2: go if that's right, you said through ETF Oh yeah, 92 00:04:39,839 --> 00:04:40,440 Speaker 2: we talked about it. 93 00:04:40,600 --> 00:04:42,360 Speaker 1: I'm gonna make sure everything. Well, how do I buy it? 94 00:04:42,360 --> 00:04:43,000 Speaker 1: Where do I buy it? 95 00:04:42,960 --> 00:04:44,919 Speaker 3: You could buy physical Goal, but then you know the 96 00:04:44,960 --> 00:04:46,960 Speaker 3: ETF is g l D, it is Spider. 97 00:04:47,440 --> 00:04:48,720 Speaker 1: We talked about that on Mark Mondays. 98 00:04:48,720 --> 00:04:54,280 Speaker 3: But Goal tech tech stocks because tech is was driving 99 00:04:54,640 --> 00:04:57,320 Speaker 3: the US economy. That's why even they put that report out. 100 00:04:57,320 --> 00:04:58,800 Speaker 3: I forgot what bank. I think it was Gold and 101 00:04:58,880 --> 00:05:01,240 Speaker 3: Sacks that they direct to three percent on the S 102 00:05:01,279 --> 00:05:03,560 Speaker 3: and P over the next ten years. I was so excited, 103 00:05:04,040 --> 00:05:08,279 Speaker 3: I mean because really, if you look at it, the 104 00:05:08,480 --> 00:05:11,839 Speaker 3: S and P is not performing well outside of a 105 00:05:11,839 --> 00:05:14,800 Speaker 3: few stocks. Right, So it's five hundred companies and it's 106 00:05:14,839 --> 00:05:17,360 Speaker 3: like ten stocks that's driving in. All of those ten stocks, 107 00:05:17,880 --> 00:05:22,280 Speaker 3: for the most part, are all technology companies. So how 108 00:05:22,320 --> 00:05:24,520 Speaker 3: long you know, it's like one of these things, right, 109 00:05:24,600 --> 00:05:28,480 Speaker 3: like you can't carry dead weight for But so. 110 00:05:28,480 --> 00:05:29,719 Speaker 1: Long we've got some time. 111 00:05:30,160 --> 00:05:34,000 Speaker 3: So tech stock, the tech stock craze. How long is 112 00:05:34,040 --> 00:05:36,680 Speaker 3: this gonna what's the. 113 00:05:36,640 --> 00:05:37,400 Speaker 1: Deal with this? 114 00:05:37,720 --> 00:05:40,400 Speaker 4: It's just gonna do incredibly well until late twenty twenty six. 115 00:05:41,080 --> 00:05:42,599 Speaker 4: I've been saying it's four few years in stock club. 116 00:05:42,640 --> 00:05:45,080 Speaker 4: Twenty twenty seven is when we're gonna see hell on 117 00:05:45,120 --> 00:05:47,680 Speaker 4: Earth and a lot of companies that are not doing. 118 00:05:47,839 --> 00:05:49,760 Speaker 4: A old boy who kept talking to me about Intel 119 00:05:51,279 --> 00:05:53,680 Speaker 4: and Video replaced it. I do this for a living 120 00:05:53,720 --> 00:05:56,080 Speaker 4: before y'all knew who I was humbling. Respectfully, I'm in 121 00:05:56,120 --> 00:05:58,240 Speaker 4: a good place, so it's for shod But I need 122 00:05:58,279 --> 00:06:00,760 Speaker 4: y'all to stop criticizing because y'all don't read and because 123 00:06:00,800 --> 00:06:03,640 Speaker 4: you don't actively invest in the market. Twenty two to seven, 124 00:06:03,680 --> 00:06:07,159 Speaker 4: we're going to have a dramatic pullback. Could I see 125 00:06:07,160 --> 00:06:11,200 Speaker 4: a twenty five to forty percent drop then for sure. 126 00:06:11,680 --> 00:06:14,760 Speaker 4: Dropbox just laid off twenty percent of its workforce. If 127 00:06:14,760 --> 00:06:17,599 Speaker 4: you are not aled, you're having a dramatic issue. The 128 00:06:17,680 --> 00:06:20,440 Speaker 4: rust of two thousand is still struggling. I've been talking 129 00:06:20,480 --> 00:06:22,960 Speaker 4: about the debt to GDP ratio forever, which has been 130 00:06:23,120 --> 00:06:27,000 Speaker 4: a major issue. Trillions of dollars of losses are sitting 131 00:06:27,120 --> 00:06:30,160 Speaker 4: inside of banks and nobody's talking about it. 132 00:06:31,000 --> 00:06:31,440 Speaker 1: Free Thug. 133 00:06:31,440 --> 00:06:33,599 Speaker 4: We talked about young Thug getting free more than that 134 00:06:34,160 --> 00:06:36,279 Speaker 4: the last six weeks, and no one's talking about this 135 00:06:36,360 --> 00:06:39,359 Speaker 4: as scale, which is a student loan crisis is really big. 136 00:06:39,440 --> 00:06:41,479 Speaker 4: But what's driving our value and what is our main 137 00:06:41,520 --> 00:06:45,839 Speaker 4: export technology? So in video will get bigger at some point. Apple, 138 00:06:46,240 --> 00:06:48,200 Speaker 4: I think by twenty twenty seven will be third in 139 00:06:48,279 --> 00:06:49,359 Speaker 4: terms of market cap for. 140 00:06:51,279 --> 00:06:51,479 Speaker 1: Years. 141 00:06:51,800 --> 00:06:54,000 Speaker 2: Well, let me let me just run down these numbers, right, 142 00:06:54,040 --> 00:06:57,800 Speaker 2: because if we're talking about that, how far can we 143 00:06:57,800 --> 00:07:00,599 Speaker 2: go in terms of growth? Do you think in video 144 00:07:00,680 --> 00:07:03,240 Speaker 2: be a four trillion dollar company in the next three years? 145 00:07:03,560 --> 00:07:05,520 Speaker 1: Absolutely right? Do you think Apple will? 146 00:07:07,600 --> 00:07:12,200 Speaker 2: I'll say, yeah, yes, yeah, Microsoft, of course, right, they're 147 00:07:12,240 --> 00:07:14,440 Speaker 2: all right, And so then it leads you so well, 148 00:07:14,520 --> 00:07:16,880 Speaker 2: if those are going to affoord, does Alphabet look like 149 00:07:16,920 --> 00:07:18,040 Speaker 2: it can get to three trillion? 150 00:07:18,440 --> 00:07:20,640 Speaker 1: Yeah, Alphabet fux I'm gonna. 151 00:07:20,440 --> 00:07:22,760 Speaker 2: Be I think it can. I think Amazon will get 152 00:07:22,760 --> 00:07:26,320 Speaker 2: there first. Yes, but then I met us right there 153 00:07:26,360 --> 00:07:28,840 Speaker 2: at that one. TSM is about to be a trillion 154 00:07:28,880 --> 00:07:31,240 Speaker 2: dollar company? Do we see that slowing down? So like 155 00:07:31,320 --> 00:07:33,480 Speaker 2: that can now jump a few places. And so if 156 00:07:33,480 --> 00:07:36,240 Speaker 2: we're talking about does technology lead for the next two 157 00:07:36,280 --> 00:07:37,880 Speaker 2: to three years, for sure. 158 00:07:38,760 --> 00:07:39,680 Speaker 1: Lead the next decade. 159 00:07:39,760 --> 00:07:41,840 Speaker 4: But like we're trying to say it though the other 160 00:07:42,880 --> 00:07:46,400 Speaker 4: okay company fifteen through four ninety. 161 00:07:46,120 --> 00:07:50,040 Speaker 2: Eight, we still got some ones in there, reserve player. 162 00:07:50,080 --> 00:07:51,920 Speaker 1: But why twenty twenty seven. 163 00:07:55,040 --> 00:07:56,960 Speaker 4: Let's just say because I'm tired of people stilling, so 164 00:07:57,080 --> 00:07:59,640 Speaker 4: my mom telling me so they couldn't still don't tell everything, 165 00:07:59,800 --> 00:08:01,960 Speaker 4: But twenty twenty seven is going to be a changing 166 00:08:02,120 --> 00:08:05,840 Speaker 4: of the guard for a lot of companies, like Apple's 167 00:08:05,880 --> 00:08:09,200 Speaker 4: apex will be in twenty thirty four, just like we 168 00:08:09,240 --> 00:08:11,920 Speaker 4: had a shift from twenty nineteen to twenty twenty one, 169 00:08:11,960 --> 00:08:12,880 Speaker 4: and what companies led. 170 00:08:13,400 --> 00:08:14,640 Speaker 1: Twenty twenty seven is. 171 00:08:14,560 --> 00:08:19,240 Speaker 4: A very pivotal year on a decade level, when a 172 00:08:19,240 --> 00:08:22,960 Speaker 4: lot of hedge funds are going to offload certain investments 173 00:08:23,000 --> 00:08:23,960 Speaker 4: and then people are going. 174 00:08:23,960 --> 00:08:24,800 Speaker 1: To start to walk away. 175 00:08:25,600 --> 00:08:29,200 Speaker 2: So here's a follow up question to that, right, because 176 00:08:29,200 --> 00:08:31,680 Speaker 2: it's important because this happened over the weekend as well. 177 00:08:32,720 --> 00:08:36,640 Speaker 1: First, tire I had to way three hundred billion billion 178 00:08:37,800 --> 00:08:40,600 Speaker 1: in reserves. YEP, I don't think Buppet. 179 00:08:40,920 --> 00:08:42,960 Speaker 2: Let's say he's not there's a chance he doesn't make 180 00:08:43,000 --> 00:08:44,160 Speaker 2: it to twenty twenty seven. 181 00:08:44,200 --> 00:08:45,439 Speaker 1: There's a chance he doesn't make it to. 182 00:08:47,120 --> 00:08:50,240 Speaker 2: Why the cash pile and the selling of tech if 183 00:08:50,240 --> 00:08:51,120 Speaker 2: that's his case. 184 00:08:51,640 --> 00:08:54,760 Speaker 4: Because when you have that amount of shares, you can't 185 00:08:55,679 --> 00:08:57,960 Speaker 4: liquidate all at one time. You have to eventually leg out. 186 00:08:58,360 --> 00:09:00,920 Speaker 4: And also too, I think he knows something. Okay, if 187 00:09:00,960 --> 00:09:05,040 Speaker 4: I'm looking at America as a say possible the commercial 188 00:09:05,080 --> 00:09:06,959 Speaker 4: real estate is messed up. 189 00:09:07,800 --> 00:09:09,000 Speaker 1: No one wants to talk about it. 190 00:09:09,800 --> 00:09:12,840 Speaker 4: There's maybe fifteen companies in tech that are driving all 191 00:09:12,920 --> 00:09:18,440 Speaker 4: the valuations. Startup scene is in shambles, private equities in shambles. 192 00:09:19,160 --> 00:09:20,440 Speaker 1: Banks are in shambles. 193 00:09:22,120 --> 00:09:24,520 Speaker 4: If I told you that that was my business model, 194 00:09:24,520 --> 00:09:27,080 Speaker 4: which you invest in me, yes or no? The answer 195 00:09:27,160 --> 00:09:29,400 Speaker 4: is going to be known. So at some point the 196 00:09:29,440 --> 00:09:32,920 Speaker 4: House of cards has to correct. And I think he's 197 00:09:33,000 --> 00:09:34,680 Speaker 4: jumping now. I think it's a mistake to look with 198 00:09:34,760 --> 00:09:38,080 Speaker 4: Athis early. But there's a reason he has that cash 199 00:09:38,160 --> 00:09:39,719 Speaker 4: on hand. And going back to why he sold off 200 00:09:39,720 --> 00:09:42,000 Speaker 4: in Bank of America, I want to say this again, 201 00:09:42,280 --> 00:09:45,320 Speaker 4: there are trillions. Okay, imagine if you're a trader and 202 00:09:45,360 --> 00:09:48,160 Speaker 4: you're a p and L said negative three trillion. 203 00:09:49,960 --> 00:09:53,120 Speaker 1: There's ten banks that are and for. 204 00:09:53,120 --> 00:09:56,560 Speaker 4: Those of you who don't know, the level of losses 205 00:09:56,559 --> 00:09:58,280 Speaker 4: that are sitting on the books is worse than two 206 00:09:58,360 --> 00:10:01,839 Speaker 4: thousand and eight. And I'm going to declare this too 207 00:10:01,920 --> 00:10:04,520 Speaker 4: about twenty twenty seven that Max seven is going to 208 00:10:04,559 --> 00:10:07,720 Speaker 4: be a fantastic four. Whoever I heard that analogy before. 209 00:10:08,040 --> 00:10:11,720 Speaker 5: An illegal alien from Guatemala charged with raping a child 210 00:10:11,720 --> 00:10:15,520 Speaker 5: in Massachusetts. An MS thirteen gang member from Al Salvador 211 00:10:15,760 --> 00:10:19,920 Speaker 5: accused of murdering a Texas man of Venezuelan charged with 212 00:10:20,000 --> 00:10:23,880 Speaker 5: filming and selling child pornography in Michigan. These are just 213 00:10:23,960 --> 00:10:27,720 Speaker 5: some of the heinous migrant criminals caught because of President 214 00:10:27,760 --> 00:10:31,360 Speaker 5: Donald J. Trump's leadership. I'm Christy nom the United States 215 00:10:31,360 --> 00:10:36,160 Speaker 5: Secretary of Homeland Security. Under President Trump, attempted illegal border 216 00:10:36,200 --> 00:10:39,760 Speaker 5: crossings are at the lowest levels ever recorded, and over 217 00:10:39,800 --> 00:10:43,040 Speaker 5: one hundred thousand illegal aliens have been arrested. If you 218 00:10:43,120 --> 00:10:46,960 Speaker 5: are here illegally, your next you will be fine nearly 219 00:10:47,040 --> 00:10:51,040 Speaker 5: one thousand dollars a day, imprisoned and deported, you will 220 00:10:51,080 --> 00:10:54,720 Speaker 5: never return. But if you register using our CBP home 221 00:10:54,800 --> 00:10:58,160 Speaker 5: app and leave now, you could be allowed to return legally. 222 00:10:58,520 --> 00:11:03,840 Speaker 5: Do what's right now. Under President Trump, America's laws, border 223 00:11:04,040 --> 00:11:05,880 Speaker 5: and families will be protected. 224 00:11:05,960 --> 00:11:08,120 Speaker 1: Sponsored by the United States Department of Homeland Security.