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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into the Friday

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Speaker 1: morning edition of the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Perrault here on Betting pros dot com, always being

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Speaker 1: brought to you by BETMGM. Now you can follow me

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Speaker 1: on Twitter, Instagram, social media at Sports Talk Matt is

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Speaker 1: where you're gonna find me here on a Friday. So

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Speaker 1: let's recap a Thursday. We called that the heat Check Podcast.

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Speaker 1: Yesterday it was it was okay, look, it's another winning day.

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Speaker 1: I can't get angry about being up what point seventy

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Speaker 1: five units? So we get the rams in a laugher.

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Speaker 1: That was awesome, Rams easily. You know, those are the

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Speaker 1: games where I want to tell you to bet more.

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Speaker 1: But I believe in flat wagering. I believe in slow

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Speaker 1: and steady. I believe in not hammering, and so you know,

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Speaker 1: I bet one unit at minus one ten and we

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Speaker 1: had that easily. The same game teaser at minus one

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Speaker 1: twenty five ms plus one under fifty and a half.

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Speaker 1: That was a cake walk. The Heat Check teaser at

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Speaker 1: a half a unit does not come in because the

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Speaker 1: Patriots got blown out, losing it what twenty four to three,

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Speaker 1: So they got annihilated. That does not fall, and maybe

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Speaker 1: a sign that a chilly couple of days are coming.

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Speaker 1: In the last game San Diego State, we had one

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Speaker 1: forty seven and a half as a total. We played

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Speaker 1: the under. Arizona State started bombing threes in the last

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Speaker 1: couple of minutes and a kid hit a top of

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Speaker 1: the key NBA three with forty five seconds to go.

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Speaker 1: If it's a two, it's a cover on the hook,

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Speaker 1: and we were running so hot that that is when

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Speaker 1: we we would have gotten that right. That would have

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Speaker 1: been a two point bucket, not a three point bucket,

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Speaker 1: and it would have fallen at one forty seven and

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Speaker 1: we would have hit the under instead. It's a three

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Speaker 1: point shot. The final total is one forty eight, and

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Speaker 1: we're on the wrong side. So you know, well that's unfortunate.

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Speaker 1: You know, that's just maybe a sign that we're not

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Speaker 1: gonna get all the breaks. For six straight days or

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Speaker 1: five straight days, we got every break, We got every

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Speaker 1: bounce and good thing hangling the Colts game and whatnot.

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Speaker 1: Everything was going our way. So last night not goes.

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Speaker 1: It doesn't go our way in the basketball game, and

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Speaker 1: I come back here with one college football play and

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Speaker 1: two college basketball plays all at one unit, and we've

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Speaker 1: got the what if I played a parlay but didn't

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Speaker 1: bet it parlay coming up today as well, here on

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Speaker 1: a Friday. Now, remember I'm doing these parlays. I'm not

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Speaker 1: betting them. I'm doing them to show you what happens

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Speaker 1: if you parlay and how hard it is to hit parlays.

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Speaker 1: I'm not betting these, okay, but it has to be

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Speaker 1: five to one, and these are just kind of giving

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Speaker 1: you an example as to like what happens if you're

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Speaker 1: gonna throw everything together. So this is rivalry Friday. It's weird, right,

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty is so flip and strange. But we have

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Speaker 1: a monster card of big rivalry games coming up here

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Speaker 1: in on a Friday. We have Arizona State at Arizona

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Speaker 1: in college football. We have Creighton hosting Nebraska in college basketball,

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Speaker 1: and we have Iowa hosting Iowa State in college basketball.

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Speaker 1: Really weird. These are big games. I mean, these are

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Speaker 1: games that you really always kind of gravitate towards and

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Speaker 1: like you circle on the calendar and you're like, man,

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Speaker 1: that's gonna be a big game. I can't wait to

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Speaker 1: see what happens. Is gonna be exciting. I'm looking forward

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Speaker 1: to watching these games. So I mean, I'm kind of

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Speaker 1: bummed out that we're not gonna get these things the

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Speaker 1: way that we normally would, I mean, with the separation

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Speaker 1: that we normally have. And it's odd to me, but

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Speaker 1: I mean these are games where I think you have

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Speaker 1: to take a look at it. And I'm gonna tempt

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Speaker 1: fate a little bit here. And normally I would play

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Speaker 1: a full unit in football, and I would play a

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Speaker 1: half a unit in basketball. But because we're up, I mean,

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Speaker 1: what are we up now? Eighteen eighteen units or so

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Speaker 1: here in historically in the daily juice and then over

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Speaker 1: the last couple of weeks, I mean, last last week,

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Speaker 1: what are we up? I'm gonna put a little more

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Speaker 1: into the market that I normally would, just because that

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Speaker 1: could burn me that. I mean, you know, OHO in

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Speaker 1: three to night could very easily be coming. I like

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Speaker 1: the NFL slate, Okay, I've been doing very well in

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Speaker 1: the NFL. One of my best years in the NFL

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Speaker 1: to date. I like the NFL. We're already want to

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Speaker 1: know Dan Harris and I are want to oh for

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Speaker 1: our DK contest, the pick'em contest. We have to really mean,

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Speaker 1: we gotta go like nine and one or ten and

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Speaker 1: o the next two weeks, daven have a shot at

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Speaker 1: potentially finishing in the money. But you know, we went

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Speaker 1: four and one last week. We're off to a one

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Speaker 1: and oh start this week. And I do like that podcast,

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Speaker 1: The Betting Pros and NFL podcast with Dan Harrison myself

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Speaker 1: should be out at the time that you're listening to this.

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Speaker 1: The video and the audio should be out on Friday morning,

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Speaker 1: so you can go and listen to Dan Harrison and

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Speaker 1: I break down every s single NFL football game. So

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Speaker 1: that's gonna be exciting. Dan Harris also is making his

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Speaker 1: debut on my radio show this morning, talking fantasy football

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Speaker 1: as fantasy football playoffs begin, so we're gonna get into

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Speaker 1: that with Dan Harris on my radio show, pushing the Odds,

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Speaker 1: So that's gonna be fun to have him on. He'll

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Speaker 1: be on at two forty eastern I guess morning my time,

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Speaker 1: eleven forty my time in the morning, but two forty

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Speaker 1: eastern time. If you want to listen to that, just

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Speaker 1: go to my twitter feed and you'll see how you

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Speaker 1: can listen to Dan Harris being on my radio show.

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Speaker 1: Coming up here today on a Friday, so one to oh,

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Speaker 1: start to that, that's nice. The DraftKings contest has that

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Speaker 1: one unique rule that you can put Thursday in and

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Speaker 1: not the other four games. That's why we didn't do

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Speaker 1: that in the West Gate. That's why we didn't do

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Speaker 1: it in the Circa because if you play Thursday, you

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Speaker 1: have to play your entire card on Thursday. And nobody

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Speaker 1: does that because that's death, because injuries and COVID and

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Speaker 1: everything else, you just can't do that. So we're gonna

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Speaker 1: wait and we're gonna watch. They're gonna see how the

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Speaker 1: line moves and whatnot. For the Circle play. Went five

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Speaker 1: and oho in Circa, went five and oh in the

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Speaker 1: West Gate. Last week four and one in the DraftKings.

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Speaker 1: So I do like the card this weekend. There are

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Speaker 1: some games I do actually really like in the NFL.

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Speaker 1: I don't like the college football card at all. Tomorrow,

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Speaker 1: and I may have one or two games. It'll be

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Speaker 1: a light day tomorrow, maybe a little more college basketball,

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Speaker 1: but it'll be a light day tomorrow. So many games

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Speaker 1: being canceled for COVID and really the next weekend Championship

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Speaker 1: Saturday next weekend. That's really good. Well, we'll get heavily

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Speaker 1: involved next weekend. Not heavily involved for coming up with

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Speaker 1: this Saturday, but typical Sunday with multiple plays going on

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Speaker 1: Sunday and looking forward to the Sunday conversations for sure.

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Speaker 1: And there is a new little hook by the way

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Speaker 1: for our Sunday live streams that we're telling everybody about.

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Speaker 1: So for prop bets, I've been pretty much like a

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Speaker 1: five hundred better when it comes to prop bets. Dan

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Speaker 1: Harris has hit eight in a row. He's hit eight

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Speaker 1: of his last ten of the prop bets he's given

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Speaker 1: us on the live stream. So what we're gonna do

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Speaker 1: is this, I'm gonna bet Dan Harris's place. Dan's gonna

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Speaker 1: tell me what to bet for the prop bets, and

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Speaker 1: then I'm gonna tell you what to bet on the

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Speaker 1: live stream from Dan Harris. So normally he gives me

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Speaker 1: like one, two or three props, he's gonna give me

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Speaker 1: minimum five for the live stream for the rest of

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Speaker 1: the NFL season, starting this Sunday at eleven am Eastern

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Speaker 1: on our YouTube channel for Betting Pros. So that's a

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Speaker 1: little bit of a change, a little unique thing you're

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Speaker 1: gonna get coming up this Sunday, So Dan Harris's prop

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Speaker 1: bets will be my prop bets. I will bet them

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Speaker 1: and we will hopefully you off and running here with

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Speaker 1: he bets intow Hampshire a lot, so that I mean

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Speaker 1: he's gonna give to me a head ahead of time

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Speaker 1: so I can talk to my family on the East

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Speaker 1: Coast to make sure those bets get played. But Dan's

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Speaker 1: been very good with prop bets, so he's gonna do

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Speaker 1: the prop bets. Those will be the live stream prop

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Speaker 1: bets that I will bet and I will give you

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Speaker 1: coming up on Sunday eleven o'clock Eastern for that. So

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Speaker 1: there's a little bit of a change for our live stream.

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Speaker 1: But if you want to sign up for a bet

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Speaker 1: or older and you must be physically located in Tennessee, Colora, Indiana,

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Speaker 1: New Jersey, or West Virginia. When you make the bet,

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Speaker 1: please gamble responsibly. Gambling problem called one hundred and five

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Speaker 1: one hundred gambler in New Jersey, in West Virginia, or

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Speaker 1: one hundred and nine with it in in de Anna.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's get to the plays coming up here

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Speaker 1: for a Friday. Let's start with college football. I got

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Speaker 1: three plays, all them one unit. Again, normally I do

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Speaker 1: I would split this in half and put a half

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Speaker 1: a unit. But there's a reason why I'm putting full

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Speaker 1: units down on it. So I'll get to that in

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Speaker 1: a second. But let's talk about Arizona State and Arizona.

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Speaker 1: So this game was tipped off to me with my

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Speaker 1: friend Sean Lockhart, who comes on the show every single Thursday.

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Speaker 1: He gives away his plays, and this is his big

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Speaker 1: bet for the day. And he loves his Arizona State

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Speaker 1: sun Devils. He's an alum. I was on the under

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Speaker 1: last night involving Arizona State basketball, so they owe me.

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Speaker 1: Arizona State is laying eleven and a half here. You

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Speaker 1: can buy it down to eleven. But I don't think

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Speaker 1: there's that big of a difference between I mean, key

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Speaker 1: number is ten to thirteen. It's not that big of

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Speaker 1: a difference. So I left it alone. I'm gonna I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna ride with it. But here's the problem for Arizona.

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Speaker 1: They're zher to four. Both these teams stink. ASU is

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Speaker 1: oh and two, but they've had major COVID problems in

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Speaker 1: stoppages and issues. The head coach Herm Edwards has had COVID.

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Speaker 1: But Arizona gives up two hundred and seventy three and

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Speaker 1: a half yards rushing a game, two hundred and seventy

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Speaker 1: three and a half yards rushing per game. They lost

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Speaker 1: to USC thirty four to thirty. They lost to Washington

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Speaker 1: forty four to twenty seven, they lost to UCLA twenty

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Speaker 1: seven to ten, and they lost to Colorado twenty four

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Speaker 1: to thirteen. Okay, only two games been played. Arizona State

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Speaker 1: blew that big lead against usc they lost it twenty

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Speaker 1: eight to twenty seven, and they lost to UCLA twenty

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Speaker 1: five to eighteen. However, this is a rivalry game, and

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Speaker 1: I don't believe Arizona's any good. Kevin Sumlin very well

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Speaker 1: might be on the way out. There's a lot of

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Speaker 1: talk about the kids have quit on him and they

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Speaker 1: don't want to be there. Hermembers wants to win a

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Speaker 1: football game, man, and I don't think in these rivalry games,

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Speaker 1: I don't think that they stop. I think this is

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Speaker 1: a two touchdown win for Arizona State minimum here, and

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Speaker 1: we're gonna lay the eleven and a half here with

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Speaker 1: Arizona State in the first of three big rivalry games.

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Speaker 1: Arizona State against Arizona, we're laying the eleven and a

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Speaker 1: half for the team on the road. Not the big

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Speaker 1: of a deal though, with the crowd noise, if there

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Speaker 1: is a crowd at all, maybe a small crowd, it's

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Speaker 1: gonna be there. But Arizona State eleven and a half

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Speaker 1: against Arizona. We will take a two touchdown win for

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Speaker 1: the Sun Devils. Okay, game number two, let's talk about

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Speaker 1: Iowa State at Iowa. These are the games man, these

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Speaker 1: are get right spots, okay, and these are big numbers.

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Speaker 1: I'm laying big numbers today. I'm laying schalk today. I

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Speaker 1: might be getting myself into a world of hurt, but

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Speaker 1: I see big mismatches. I think Arizona State's a lot

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Speaker 1: better than Arizona. I think Iowa is a lot better

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Speaker 1: than Iowa State. I think Iowa State's got rebounding problems.

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Speaker 1: I think Iowa State's got size problems. I think Iowa

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Speaker 1: State's gonna have a Luca Garza problem. These are the

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Speaker 1: games for Luca Garza. You come back to college basketball

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Speaker 1: wearing a Hawkeye uniform to play the Cyclones. The Cyclones

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Speaker 1: lost a lot off last year's team. They're not doing

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Speaker 1: a great job so far. But Iowa scoring ninety eight

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Speaker 1: points per game, that's number one of the country. And

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Speaker 1: Iowa State, I mean, they're okay defensively, but they're giving

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Speaker 1: up sixty seven points per game. They've a minus seven

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Speaker 1: scoring margin average scoring margin right now, and I think

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Speaker 1: they're gonna have a world of hurt trying to stop

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Speaker 1: Luca Garza. I think this is one of the games

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Speaker 1: that Luca has like I don't know, like thirty and fifteen.

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Speaker 1: He just destroys Iowa State coming up to I'm laying

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Speaker 1: the fourteen points here. I know it's a lot of points,

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Speaker 1: but if you just look at what has happened so

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Speaker 1: far for Iowa, Iowa has covered three of their four games.

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Speaker 1: They covered against North Carolina, they covered a thirty one

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Speaker 1: point margin against Western Illinois. They didn't cover against Southern

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Speaker 1: cal But or Southern so Southern University, they were twenty

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Speaker 1: eight and a half point favorites to one by twenty seven.

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Speaker 1: In North carolinst Central they were twenty eight point twenty

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Speaker 1: eight and a half point favorites against them, and they

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Speaker 1: won by thirty. They're three and one against the number

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Speaker 1: I mean as thirty two point favorites against Arkansas Pine Bluff,

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Speaker 1: Iowa State one by seventeen. They lost outright the South

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Speaker 1: Dakota State. I mean, this is not a very good

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Speaker 1: cyclone team right now. And as I said, they can't rebound.

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Speaker 1: I know you might go, oh, they're gonna bow up.

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Speaker 1: It's a big rivalry game, but it's on the road.

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Speaker 1: I've seen these games before. If Iowa was at Iowa State,

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Speaker 1: I might think differently about laying fourteen here. But Iowa

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Speaker 1: at home. I mean, they just won by thirteen against

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Speaker 1: North Carolina, and North Carolina's a lot better basketball team

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Speaker 1: than Iowa Stadium is right now. Plus you add in

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Speaker 1: the rivalry, it's always fun to beat the holy hell

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Speaker 1: out of your little brother. I'm gonna lay the fourteen

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Speaker 1: here Iowa minus fourteen against Iowa States here in our

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Speaker 1: second of two of three rivalry games. And then if

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Speaker 1: you know anything about me, you know what my third

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Speaker 1: play is going to be. And this is a game

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Speaker 1: that I lived for I still do. I still live

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Speaker 1: for it. Nebraska at Creighton. I like Fred Hoiberg. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I knew him at Iowa State. He always gave me

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Speaker 1: a fair shake. Tg Ottzenburger, who's now the coach at UNLV.

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Speaker 1: I mean that's how I got to know TJ really well,

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Speaker 1: was when he was on Fred staff and he was

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Speaker 1: on gregmorc Grermot staffirst. I guess I met TJ on

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Speaker 1: Gregmoran Germott staff first. But this game, Greg McDermott knows

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Speaker 1: that if he punishes Nebraska and he covers, his alumni

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Speaker 1: are very happy. This is about I mean, I used

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Speaker 1: to argue on my radio show that you had to

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Speaker 1: pick a side of the Platte River. Right, Omaha and

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Speaker 1: Lincoln are split by the Platte River. Pick us out

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Speaker 1: of the Platte, I used to say. And Nebraska is

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Speaker 1: not very good, all right, And the Blue Jays haven't

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Speaker 1: shot the ball as well as they I will have

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Speaker 1: hoped them to have shot the ball early in this season.

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Speaker 1: They're two and two against against the spread. Nebraska is

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Speaker 1: two and three against the number. They did not cover

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Speaker 1: against Georgia Tech. They were three point dogs. They lost

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Speaker 1: by eleven. In their last game at home, they were

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Speaker 1: fourteen point favorites against South Dakota and they won the

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Speaker 1: game by seven. They did cover against North Dakota State.

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Speaker 1: They were five point favorites against Nevada and they lost

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Speaker 1: the game outright. And this is they took on McNee

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Speaker 1: State and they won by forty seven as twelve and

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Speaker 1: a half point favorites. But this is the first game

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Speaker 1: for Nebraska on the road. Their first road game is

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Speaker 1: at Creighton, and this is at the end of finals.

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Speaker 1: For the Creighton Blue Jays. Finals week is always tough,

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Speaker 1: and I'm one nervous about that one thing that the

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Speaker 1: Blue Jays during finals. Sometimes it's difficult. But this is

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Speaker 1: such a freaky year, and so you've got all these

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Speaker 1: remote classes and you've got all these different things going

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Speaker 1: on that it's not the same type of school year.

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Speaker 1: So I don't think the drain is the same. I

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Speaker 1: don't think the pressure is the same. And there's always

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Speaker 1: been this adage where you always fade Creighton during finals weeks.

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Speaker 1: But against Nebraska Nebraska's first home game, sorry, first road game,

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Speaker 1: rather after all their games are at home. And here's

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Speaker 1: the thing again, the Blue Jays are going to be

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Speaker 1: one of the best three point shooting teams in the country,

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Speaker 1: but they're shooting only a thirty three percent right now

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Speaker 1: from behind the arc. It's one hundred and fifty second

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Speaker 1: in the country that is not creating basketball. This is

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Speaker 1: a get right spot. This is the time to light

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Speaker 1: up the scoreboard and hit a ton of threes at

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Speaker 1: home against Nebraska, who doesn't play defense. Again, I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: lay the fourteen points here with the great and Blue

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Speaker 1: Jays at home against Nebraska in a big rivalry game,

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Speaker 1: another big number. I'm laying it again. I totally I

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Speaker 1: thought about teasing this game. I thought about doing a

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Speaker 1: four point teaser and teasing Nebraska, sorry, teasing Creighton down

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Speaker 1: and teasing Iowa down. But look, I'm gonna attempt fate.

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Speaker 1: If I get kicked in the face, I will change

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Speaker 1: things dramatically. But this is where I'm on the precipice

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Speaker 1: still of maybe being able to ride this. We missed

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Speaker 1: being three and one yesterday by a last second three

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Speaker 1: and we got beat on the hook. So I was

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Speaker 1: right there for the under one forty seven and a

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Speaker 1: half and it was one forty eight, so I was

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Speaker 1: literally right there. So I feel like, Okay, maybe I

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Speaker 1: can push this stuff for one more day to get

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Speaker 1: us to football like this, so let's just get through

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Speaker 1: Friday to get into Saturday. So I'm gonna attempt fate

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Speaker 1: a little bit. I'm gonna call for some blowouts. Here.

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Speaker 1: Three bets, all one units, Arizona State eleven and a

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Speaker 1: half laying it, Iowa fourteen laying it, Creighton fourteen laying it.

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Speaker 1: And here is the what if I were to bet

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Speaker 1: a parlay, But I don't bet parlay's parlay on a Friday.

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Speaker 1: We did not. We had we got two wrong of

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Speaker 1: the three legs last week. Okay, I'm not betting this,

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Speaker 1: but if you bet all three of these games together,

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Speaker 1: Arizona State minus eleven and a half, Creighton minus fourteen,

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Speaker 1: Iowa minus fourteen, six to one return on investment. Okay,

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Speaker 1: one hundred bucks to win, six hundred bucks. If you

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Speaker 1: want to go ahead and ride this in taking the

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Speaker 1: favorites in a big rivalry spot, the opposite normally is true. Right,

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Speaker 1: Normally you take the underdog, you'd say, hey, throw the

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Speaker 1: records out, throw everything out. Not in twenty twenty, I'm

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Speaker 1: not doing that. Okay, better basketball teams, better teams overall

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Speaker 1: home teams, although Arizona State's on the road for basketball

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Speaker 1: to home teams, you know, I think Nebraska and Iowa

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Speaker 1: State are bad. I think Creighton and Iowa are good.

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Speaker 1: Iowa's top five, Creighton's top fifteen on the road nearly

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Speaker 1: beat Kansas, So I like the Blue Jays here to

356
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Speaker 1: get that taste out of their mouth that they're losing.

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Speaker 1: I think Marcus Sagarowski has a big game. So if

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Speaker 1: you want to parlay all three of those picks together

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Speaker 1: to see if I go three and out today, which

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Speaker 1: again I'm tempting fate, but if you want to do it,

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Speaker 1: the what if I were to bet a part is

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Speaker 1: is iowam i as fourteen creaton minus fourteen and Arizona

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Speaker 1: State Football laying the eleven and a half. So that's

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Speaker 1: the Friday Podcast. My name is Matt Paroltz. You can

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Speaker 1: follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt. Six consecutive

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Speaker 1: winning days. Can we go for number seven? If I

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Speaker 1: hit these, I'm gonna be floored. Okay, I'm I'm bracing

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Speaker 1: for a pretty for a comeback to Earth Day today

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Speaker 1: just fyi. But for the night, for the meantime, let's

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Speaker 1: ride it. Let's get these big favorites to cash here

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Speaker 1: coming up on a Friday nights. Follow me on Twitter

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Speaker 1: at Sports Talk Matt. Every single morning, it's the Daily

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Speaker 1: Juice Podcast presented by BETAMGM