WEBVTT - Week 6 CFB Lookahead Lines (Ep 211)

0:00:00.640 --> 0:00:04.080
<v Speaker 1>Hello everyone, and welcome on into the college football Week

0:00:04.240 --> 0:00:07.040
<v Speaker 1>five look Ahead, featuring none other than the God of

0:00:07.120 --> 0:00:10.879
<v Speaker 1>Thunder himself, Thor Nystrom. It is gonna be a good

0:00:10.920 --> 0:00:13.080
<v Speaker 1>day here. We are gonna be looking over the best

0:00:13.560 --> 0:00:17.279
<v Speaker 1>lines that you can possibly find for Week five of

0:00:17.360 --> 0:00:19.560
<v Speaker 1>the college football slate. We're gonna be looking at what

0:00:19.600 --> 0:00:22.639
<v Speaker 1>the lines are, what Thor thinks they should be, and

0:00:22.680 --> 0:00:24.880
<v Speaker 1>where he thinks they're gonna be moving before the week's end,

0:00:24.920 --> 0:00:26.040
<v Speaker 1>so you can know if you want to be that

0:00:26.160 --> 0:00:29.080
<v Speaker 1>in early or wait until closer to kickoff. Thor, how

0:00:29.080 --> 0:00:29.840
<v Speaker 1>are you doing today?

0:00:30.080 --> 0:00:32.800
<v Speaker 2>I'm doing great, Thomas. The Kansas Jayhawks are five and all.

0:00:33.040 --> 0:00:35.879
<v Speaker 2>You're Syracuse Oranger five and ah, It's another great day

0:00:35.920 --> 0:00:37.000
<v Speaker 2>to be a college football fan.

0:00:37.600 --> 0:00:40.720
<v Speaker 1>It is a fantastic day. Indeed, I am feeling good.

0:00:41.280 --> 0:00:41.960
<v Speaker 2>The Orange.

0:00:42.080 --> 0:00:44.680
<v Speaker 1>I have never seen this happen before, and it was

0:00:44.720 --> 0:00:47.920
<v Speaker 1>a bad beat for anyone who had a ticket on

0:00:48.000 --> 0:00:51.120
<v Speaker 1>the Orange on the spread because they did absolutely cover

0:00:51.520 --> 0:00:53.640
<v Speaker 1>the fifty three point spread they had.

0:00:54.080 --> 0:00:56.000
<v Speaker 2>But if you had a ticket.

0:00:55.720 --> 0:00:57.560
<v Speaker 1>You're out of luck because for the first time I've

0:00:57.600 --> 0:01:01.600
<v Speaker 1>ever seen they agree read to shorten the third and

0:01:01.640 --> 0:01:04.200
<v Speaker 1>fourth quarter by five minutes apiece. They played ten minute

0:01:04.280 --> 0:01:06.399
<v Speaker 1>quarters in the second half. I've never seen that before.

0:01:06.880 --> 0:01:09.319
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, crazy situation. You had a line that opened up

0:01:09.360 --> 0:01:12.679
<v Speaker 2>at Syracuse minus fifty. It closed at Syracuse minus fifty three.

0:01:13.040 --> 0:01:15.480
<v Speaker 2>Some books it got up to fifty four some of

0:01:15.520 --> 0:01:18.679
<v Speaker 2>the offshores, but it was somewhere between fifty and fifty four.

0:01:18.720 --> 0:01:21.200
<v Speaker 2>Anyone that bought a ticket on that game. Syracuse was

0:01:21.280 --> 0:01:24.360
<v Speaker 2>up forty nine to nothing at halftime. Anyone holding a

0:01:24.400 --> 0:01:27.640
<v Speaker 2>Syracuse ticket was feeling pretty good after two quarters, and

0:01:27.680 --> 0:01:30.840
<v Speaker 2>then Dino Babers agreed with the Wagner coaching staff to

0:01:30.959 --> 0:01:33.920
<v Speaker 2>shorten the third quarter in the fourth quarter to a

0:01:33.959 --> 0:01:39.559
<v Speaker 2>ten minute thing, which people out there, just to explain

0:01:39.600 --> 0:01:42.080
<v Speaker 2>to you some of how the sports book. Sports book works.

0:01:42.280 --> 0:01:45.440
<v Speaker 2>You don't have to complete a full sixty minute game

0:01:45.680 --> 0:01:47.920
<v Speaker 2>for a game to be graded, but you do have

0:01:48.000 --> 0:01:50.680
<v Speaker 2>to get over the fifty five minute threshold, and so

0:01:50.800 --> 0:01:54.240
<v Speaker 2>that game, it clocked in at fifty minutes, which nullified

0:01:54.280 --> 0:01:57.040
<v Speaker 2>all tickets purchase on that game. So, even though Syracuse

0:01:57.080 --> 0:01:59.960
<v Speaker 2>ended up winning fifty nine to nothing, covering all tickets

0:02:00.000 --> 0:02:02.400
<v Speaker 2>so it would have been purchased on them, nobody got

0:02:02.440 --> 0:02:05.320
<v Speaker 2>paid out for a Syracuse bet because the game did

0:02:05.320 --> 0:02:07.640
<v Speaker 2>not go over the books limit for what a game

0:02:07.680 --> 0:02:09.200
<v Speaker 2>needs to to get graded.

0:02:09.840 --> 0:02:12.480
<v Speaker 1>Yep, and them's can be the break sometimes that's what

0:02:12.520 --> 0:02:15.000
<v Speaker 1>it was here, But I personally don't care. I'm just

0:02:15.040 --> 0:02:17.280
<v Speaker 1>glad that we came away with yet another W not

0:02:17.360 --> 0:02:20.800
<v Speaker 1>that this one was really in much doubt. But thor Today,

0:02:20.800 --> 0:02:22.519
<v Speaker 1>we're gonna be going over some of the biggest games

0:02:22.520 --> 0:02:24.720
<v Speaker 1>of the week, as well as the games that you're

0:02:24.760 --> 0:02:28.200
<v Speaker 1>telling us have the biggest discrepancy between the line and

0:02:28.240 --> 0:02:29.000
<v Speaker 1>what you think.

0:02:28.800 --> 0:02:29.320
<v Speaker 2>It should be.

0:02:29.360 --> 0:02:31.720
<v Speaker 1>But let's start off with the biggest one of them all.

0:02:32.040 --> 0:02:35.160
<v Speaker 1>College Game Day is headed to Kansas as they take

0:02:35.200 --> 0:02:40.000
<v Speaker 1>on the TCU horn Frogs, who just absolutely swamped at

0:02:40.040 --> 0:02:44.760
<v Speaker 1>oh Oklahoma last week. I didn't necessarily not see that coming,

0:02:44.800 --> 0:02:47.840
<v Speaker 1>but I certainly it's still weird to see TCU dominate

0:02:47.880 --> 0:02:51.239
<v Speaker 1>Oklahoma like that. But this game, Kansas is gonna be

0:02:51.320 --> 0:02:54.280
<v Speaker 1>getting four and a half points. Where do you think

0:02:54.320 --> 0:02:55.519
<v Speaker 1>the line should be in this one?

0:02:57.200 --> 0:02:58.840
<v Speaker 2>I think it should be a little bit higher towards

0:02:58.880 --> 0:03:02.640
<v Speaker 2>the TCU side. And this, you know, I'm remiss to

0:03:02.639 --> 0:03:05.800
<v Speaker 2>say because I'm a Kansas grat, of course, but TCU

0:03:06.000 --> 0:03:08.440
<v Speaker 2>has like that was a team that I was higher

0:03:08.440 --> 0:03:11.359
<v Speaker 2>on over the summer than the marketplace, and they've hopped

0:03:11.360 --> 0:03:15.800
<v Speaker 2>over every marker that I've even set for them. Going

0:03:15.840 --> 0:03:20.040
<v Speaker 2>through the Oklahoma game this past weekend. That that game

0:03:20.160 --> 0:03:22.960
<v Speaker 2>was probably my biggest bet regret of the weekend because

0:03:23.000 --> 0:03:25.760
<v Speaker 2>I didn't bet it. My numbers were screaming at me

0:03:25.840 --> 0:03:29.040
<v Speaker 2>to bet on TCU, and they were on the final

0:03:29.120 --> 0:03:31.920
<v Speaker 2>cut of my my chopping block. And I talked to

0:03:31.960 --> 0:03:34.240
<v Speaker 2>some of my TCU sources and they were a little

0:03:34.240 --> 0:03:38.840
<v Speaker 2>bit more pessimistic about TCU covering that game. But it

0:03:38.920 --> 0:03:41.520
<v Speaker 2>speaks to some of these programs that have jumped way

0:03:41.600 --> 0:03:45.360
<v Speaker 2>up over the offseason. Kansas is a much more precipitous

0:03:45.400 --> 0:03:49.200
<v Speaker 2>example of this, but it's you almost I mean, not

0:03:49.240 --> 0:03:50.880
<v Speaker 2>only do you have to get ahead of the marketplace,

0:03:50.920 --> 0:03:52.360
<v Speaker 2>you have to get ahead of what your own head

0:03:52.440 --> 0:03:54.960
<v Speaker 2>is thinking. And even like that, the people that are

0:03:55.040 --> 0:03:59.080
<v Speaker 2>are more familiar with those programs because the historical president

0:03:59.080 --> 0:04:02.640
<v Speaker 2>of what we've seen in the recent history, it has

0:04:02.720 --> 0:04:05.520
<v Speaker 2>such an effect on the way that you perceive these teams.

0:04:05.880 --> 0:04:09.800
<v Speaker 2>When we have seen Kansas is clearly a better team

0:04:10.080 --> 0:04:13.560
<v Speaker 2>than anything close to what anyone's wildest dreams could have

0:04:13.600 --> 0:04:16.680
<v Speaker 2>expected to this point. It's almost the same way with TCU.

0:04:17.000 --> 0:04:19.280
<v Speaker 2>TCU is a I mean but on a higher end

0:04:19.320 --> 0:04:22.320
<v Speaker 2>of the of the spectrum. TCU is a legitimate Big

0:04:22.360 --> 0:04:25.880
<v Speaker 2>twelve championship contender. They absolutely are. And you know, and

0:04:25.960 --> 0:04:28.680
<v Speaker 2>I talked about this over the summer where last year's

0:04:28.680 --> 0:04:31.800
<v Speaker 2>team they had these two major weaknesses that caused the

0:04:31.960 --> 0:04:35.880
<v Speaker 2>entire Gary Patterson regime to come down to creater. It

0:04:35.960 --> 0:04:38.760
<v Speaker 2>was the passing offense. That rushing offense happened to be

0:04:38.800 --> 0:04:41.240
<v Speaker 2>really really good last year it is again, but it

0:04:41.279 --> 0:04:44.640
<v Speaker 2>was the passing offense brought the whole offense down and

0:04:44.680 --> 0:04:47.960
<v Speaker 2>then the defense overall, which was weird with a Patterson team.

0:04:48.440 --> 0:04:52.120
<v Speaker 2>This team, now moving to twenty twenty two, they brought

0:04:52.160 --> 0:04:54.960
<v Speaker 2>back all of this different experience on defense. They had

0:04:55.040 --> 0:04:57.640
<v Speaker 2>nine or ten starters back. On offense. They brought back

0:04:57.680 --> 0:05:00.440
<v Speaker 2>a bunch of guys too, and then they hired Sonny Dykes,

0:05:00.720 --> 0:05:04.599
<v Speaker 2>the air raid guru, who directly addressed the passing attack

0:05:04.720 --> 0:05:08.200
<v Speaker 2>thing this team. There is no dearth of talent on TCU.

0:05:08.839 --> 0:05:11.640
<v Speaker 2>Gary Patterson's last team that was getting its head pushed

0:05:11.680 --> 0:05:13.760
<v Speaker 2>in in some of these games. That was a talented

0:05:13.800 --> 0:05:16.320
<v Speaker 2>team as well. It's just that things win a scance

0:05:16.720 --> 0:05:19.320
<v Speaker 2>that again, the specific on field things that caused that

0:05:19.400 --> 0:05:23.400
<v Speaker 2>to happen, those things have been directly addressed. TCU has

0:05:23.480 --> 0:05:26.719
<v Speaker 2>jumped so far up. Kansas has of course as well,

0:05:27.040 --> 0:05:30.159
<v Speaker 2>but this is a great measuring stick for both teams.

0:05:30.760 --> 0:05:33.400
<v Speaker 2>My line on this game is TCU minus six point

0:05:33.440 --> 0:05:36.640
<v Speaker 2>four points. It opened I think at five or five

0:05:36.680 --> 0:05:40.039
<v Speaker 2>and a half, and then you've seen some early money

0:05:40.080 --> 0:05:43.240
<v Speaker 2>come in on Kansas, which is not necessarily surprised going

0:05:43.279 --> 0:05:45.720
<v Speaker 2>to the other side, because not only is Kansas five

0:05:45.760 --> 0:05:48.159
<v Speaker 2>and oh straight up, they were also five and oh

0:05:48.240 --> 0:05:51.080
<v Speaker 2>against the spread and they pulled off I believe three

0:05:51.080 --> 0:05:53.480
<v Speaker 2>outright upsets to this point. Believe they've they've been an

0:05:53.560 --> 0:05:56.160
<v Speaker 2>underdog in three of those games, so I can see

0:05:56.160 --> 0:05:59.279
<v Speaker 2>why the marketplace is starting to trust them. But don't

0:05:59.520 --> 0:06:02.720
<v Speaker 2>throw out the baby with the bathwater with regards to TCU,

0:06:03.040 --> 0:06:05.880
<v Speaker 2>because it's the same kind of a story. It's just

0:06:06.000 --> 0:06:09.040
<v Speaker 2>again at a higher level of that spectrum.

0:06:10.120 --> 0:06:12.520
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, it's gonna be an interesting game, I think. I mean,

0:06:12.640 --> 0:06:15.160
<v Speaker 1>I'm excited to see it. I'm excited to see if

0:06:15.240 --> 0:06:17.240
<v Speaker 1>Kansas can keep it. All of these come on, wouldn't

0:06:17.279 --> 0:06:18.960
<v Speaker 1>that be a fun story?

0:06:19.279 --> 0:06:22.880
<v Speaker 2>Oh? Yeah, yeah, I have to tell you. You don't

0:06:22.880 --> 0:06:26.160
<v Speaker 2>have to tell me. I mean, like for me, Kansas

0:06:26.240 --> 0:06:28.760
<v Speaker 2>haven't if they would have gone four and eight. That

0:06:28.760 --> 0:06:30.960
<v Speaker 2>that's an interesting story to me because that that is

0:06:31.000 --> 0:06:33.480
<v Speaker 2>a jump up from every season that I watch every

0:06:33.480 --> 0:06:36.279
<v Speaker 2>stap at Kansas football. That's a step up from every

0:06:36.320 --> 0:06:38.800
<v Speaker 2>single season that I've seen. Now what is it now,

0:06:38.880 --> 0:06:42.760
<v Speaker 2>eleven years, twelve years? Like you know, I'm like Tom

0:06:42.800 --> 0:06:47.520
<v Speaker 2>Hanks and Castaway. I have been sequestered from quality football

0:06:47.720 --> 0:06:50.360
<v Speaker 2>from my alma mater for so long. I'm out there

0:06:50.400 --> 0:06:53.760
<v Speaker 2>talking to my volleyball and Peyton on a face, you know,

0:06:53.839 --> 0:06:56.560
<v Speaker 2>talking about the Mark man Gino days, and now all

0:06:56.560 --> 0:06:58.880
<v Speaker 2>of a sudden, manna from heaven. It's like we've been,

0:06:59.080 --> 0:07:02.719
<v Speaker 2>you know, rescued from the island. But where Kansas is now.

0:07:03.120 --> 0:07:05.840
<v Speaker 2>I talked about before the you know, beyond your wildest

0:07:05.839 --> 0:07:10.400
<v Speaker 2>expectations before Kansas already this season is way beyond the

0:07:10.400 --> 0:07:14.160
<v Speaker 2>wildest expectations of even the biggest Kansas homer. And there

0:07:14.160 --> 0:07:17.200
<v Speaker 2>doesn't get bigger Kansas football homers than me. I think

0:07:17.240 --> 0:07:20.120
<v Speaker 2>there was about twenty of us that watch every snap

0:07:20.160 --> 0:07:22.080
<v Speaker 2>over the last decade at Kansas football to get to

0:07:22.120 --> 0:07:25.000
<v Speaker 2>this point. So yeah, I mean, it's it tickles us

0:07:25.080 --> 0:07:28.680
<v Speaker 2>all pink, but I mean, beyond that, it is probably

0:07:28.840 --> 0:07:32.360
<v Speaker 2>the story of college football to this point of the season,

0:07:33.200 --> 0:07:36.760
<v Speaker 2>just because it was so wildly unpredictable. We have seen

0:07:36.800 --> 0:07:40.080
<v Speaker 2>some things that are unpredictable this season, Kansas starting out

0:07:40.120 --> 0:07:44.040
<v Speaker 2>with that record and winning some legitimate games. They've beaten

0:07:44.320 --> 0:07:47.560
<v Speaker 2>three Power five teams, they have beaten three ball teams

0:07:47.560 --> 0:07:50.280
<v Speaker 2>from last year. They have won two road games against

0:07:50.360 --> 0:07:53.320
<v Speaker 2>legitimate opponents, both them were ball teams last year. There

0:07:53.400 --> 0:07:56.360
<v Speaker 2>is nothing flukey about what Kansas is doing. There hasn't

0:07:56.400 --> 0:07:58.960
<v Speaker 2>been one game where they were suddenly outplayed and they

0:07:59.040 --> 0:08:01.520
<v Speaker 2>luck box it at the end. They have controlled all

0:08:01.560 --> 0:08:05.360
<v Speaker 2>of these games so far. But again, TCU is a

0:08:05.400 --> 0:08:08.760
<v Speaker 2>different sort of opponent for them. TCU is a team

0:08:09.360 --> 0:08:11.840
<v Speaker 2>people watched them last year, you know, and they might

0:08:11.880 --> 0:08:14.640
<v Speaker 2>be surprised on a different level with them. But again,

0:08:14.880 --> 0:08:17.360
<v Speaker 2>that TCU team had all the talent in the world

0:08:17.640 --> 0:08:20.560
<v Speaker 2>and now they're making use of it. So it's it's

0:08:20.600 --> 0:08:22.600
<v Speaker 2>a different sort of a thing, but again, a great

0:08:22.640 --> 0:08:25.320
<v Speaker 2>measuring stick game. I do think that line is a

0:08:25.320 --> 0:08:28.640
<v Speaker 2>little bit objectively low, because I don't think people are

0:08:28.640 --> 0:08:32.000
<v Speaker 2>giving TCU enough credit, and I think at this point

0:08:32.040 --> 0:08:34.679
<v Speaker 2>now the market has swung a little bit on Kansas,

0:08:34.800 --> 0:08:38.440
<v Speaker 2>where now everybody wants to believe in Kansas. If that

0:08:38.520 --> 0:08:40.800
<v Speaker 2>line comes down, certainly I'm not going to bet against

0:08:40.800 --> 0:08:43.160
<v Speaker 2>my alma mater. But if if that thing comes down

0:08:43.200 --> 0:08:47.040
<v Speaker 2>anymore and it's at you know, four, but especially three

0:08:47.040 --> 0:08:50.240
<v Speaker 2>and a half, for especially three, if that number gets

0:08:50.280 --> 0:08:52.880
<v Speaker 2>down there, for me, that would be a by signal

0:08:52.920 --> 0:08:55.640
<v Speaker 2>on TCU that the market has gone too far on

0:08:55.679 --> 0:08:58.400
<v Speaker 2>the Kansas side. And by the way, I will say

0:08:58.640 --> 0:09:01.640
<v Speaker 2>as far as an in game specific thing, Max Dugan,

0:09:01.840 --> 0:09:05.040
<v Speaker 2>the TCU quarterback, he it was a guy who was

0:09:05.080 --> 0:09:08.440
<v Speaker 2>an incumbent starter for them. It started multiple years for them.

0:09:09.040 --> 0:09:11.400
<v Speaker 2>Max Dugan is a kid who has very good mobility

0:09:11.720 --> 0:09:14.680
<v Speaker 2>and he's got a strong arm. His bugaboo has always

0:09:14.720 --> 0:09:17.760
<v Speaker 2>been accuracy, and so when Sunny Dykes got hired as

0:09:17.800 --> 0:09:21.560
<v Speaker 2>the TCU coach, everybody expected TCU to turn the job

0:09:21.600 --> 0:09:25.400
<v Speaker 2>over to Chad Morris's kid, Chandler Morris. He's small, he's

0:09:25.400 --> 0:09:28.440
<v Speaker 2>shorter the Max Dugan. He weighs less than Max Dugan.

0:09:28.640 --> 0:09:30.559
<v Speaker 2>He does not have Max Dugan's arm, and he does

0:09:30.559 --> 0:09:33.720
<v Speaker 2>not have Max Dugan's and letticism either. But he's more accurate,

0:09:33.760 --> 0:09:36.320
<v Speaker 2>and he understood that the spread system, that the whole

0:09:36.320 --> 0:09:39.000
<v Speaker 2>a raate thing, et cetera. He was a better fit

0:09:39.080 --> 0:09:41.839
<v Speaker 2>for it. But he comes out in the opener against Colorado.

0:09:41.880 --> 0:09:45.320
<v Speaker 2>The one half that Morris played, the TCU offense was

0:09:45.360 --> 0:09:48.280
<v Speaker 2>not moving against against one of the worst teams in

0:09:48.320 --> 0:09:51.440
<v Speaker 2>the FBS. Colorado just fired its coach earlier today, as

0:09:51.440 --> 0:09:54.080
<v Speaker 2>we're coming to you on Sunday. They fired Carl Durell.

0:09:54.280 --> 0:09:57.320
<v Speaker 2>But anyway, what once Chandler Morris got injured, they bring

0:09:57.360 --> 0:10:00.880
<v Speaker 2>in Max Dugan. They were scoring touchdown, touchdown, touchdown throughout

0:10:00.880 --> 0:10:03.680
<v Speaker 2>that you know, the second half, and then the next

0:10:03.720 --> 0:10:07.080
<v Speaker 2>game they played an FCS team, but Dugan played awesome

0:10:07.080 --> 0:10:09.959
<v Speaker 2>in that game. That wasn't you know, a measuring stick

0:10:10.040 --> 0:10:12.760
<v Speaker 2>or anything like that. But then now last week they

0:10:12.760 --> 0:10:16.840
<v Speaker 2>play Oklahoma and Dugan looked awesome. So it's like, what

0:10:17.440 --> 0:10:20.000
<v Speaker 2>a big key for this game is how is Max

0:10:20.080 --> 0:10:23.439
<v Speaker 2>Dugan gonna do through the air against Kansas. Kansas the

0:10:23.920 --> 0:10:27.679
<v Speaker 2>secondary's played way better than we were anticipating so far

0:10:27.800 --> 0:10:31.000
<v Speaker 2>this season, and they've been particularly good at making plays

0:10:31.040 --> 0:10:34.000
<v Speaker 2>on the ball. So if Max Dugan throws a couple

0:10:34.080 --> 0:10:36.840
<v Speaker 2>up where they're errant or he makes the wrong decision,

0:10:37.200 --> 0:10:40.360
<v Speaker 2>you could see the field getting flipped really quick. But

0:10:40.360 --> 0:10:43.000
<v Speaker 2>if Max Dugan keeps playing the way that he's been playing,

0:10:43.520 --> 0:10:47.760
<v Speaker 2>TCU has the talent of advantage across the formation. Their

0:10:47.760 --> 0:10:50.080
<v Speaker 2>best receiver. They don't even throw it to him. They

0:10:50.080 --> 0:10:52.560
<v Speaker 2>haven't thrown into him a ton yet. But Quinton Johnson,

0:10:53.200 --> 0:10:56.280
<v Speaker 2>I think he's a legitimate top fifty NFL draft prospect.

0:10:56.480 --> 0:10:59.200
<v Speaker 2>He's started like a poor man's Julio Jones in terms

0:10:59.200 --> 0:11:01.680
<v Speaker 2>of his frame, in terms as boss scales, in terms

0:11:01.679 --> 0:11:04.960
<v Speaker 2>of running after the catch with the ball. Super talented kid.

0:11:05.160 --> 0:11:08.560
<v Speaker 2>And then they got two or three other receivers as well. Kansas,

0:11:08.600 --> 0:11:11.360
<v Speaker 2>I don't know, can go cornerback for you, cornerback for

0:11:11.440 --> 0:11:14.839
<v Speaker 2>receiver across the formation. But again, that's all gonna come

0:11:14.880 --> 0:11:17.360
<v Speaker 2>down to do get because I think the TCU receivers

0:11:17.400 --> 0:11:20.440
<v Speaker 2>are gonna win that matchup. Ken Dugan be accurate enough

0:11:20.480 --> 0:11:23.400
<v Speaker 2>to take advantage of that. On the one side. I

0:11:23.440 --> 0:11:25.559
<v Speaker 2>also think Jalen Daniel's going to the other side. I

0:11:25.600 --> 0:11:27.640
<v Speaker 2>think he's gonna be able to take advantage of some

0:11:27.720 --> 0:11:30.280
<v Speaker 2>of the TCU defensive stuff as well. Even though that

0:11:30.360 --> 0:11:33.440
<v Speaker 2>TCU defense is up Jalen Dale has just been playing

0:11:33.480 --> 0:11:37.040
<v Speaker 2>so well so far, between the rushing and between the passing. Again,

0:11:37.080 --> 0:11:40.319
<v Speaker 2>it's gonna be a very interesting game. But objectively, trying

0:11:40.360 --> 0:11:42.960
<v Speaker 2>to put down my Crimson and blue glasses for just

0:11:43.040 --> 0:11:46.800
<v Speaker 2>a second, I probably would lean to tcut with where

0:11:46.840 --> 0:11:49.480
<v Speaker 2>the line is right now, and again, especially if that

0:11:49.520 --> 0:11:54.040
<v Speaker 2>thing toggles into the threes, I probably betting on TCU.

0:11:54.600 --> 0:11:57.520
<v Speaker 1>The next game up that we got here USC. They

0:11:57.520 --> 0:12:00.120
<v Speaker 1>took down the Sun Devils last week. Now they will

0:12:00.120 --> 0:12:03.440
<v Speaker 1>take on Washington State and they are going to be

0:12:03.440 --> 0:12:05.880
<v Speaker 1>playing this one as ten and a half point favorites.

0:12:05.920 --> 0:12:08.440
<v Speaker 1>Do you think this line should be a little bit higher.

0:12:08.920 --> 0:12:11.960
<v Speaker 2>I do. Yeah. My line on it is USC minus

0:12:12.000 --> 0:12:14.880
<v Speaker 2>thirteen point three. We've seen a weird thing with the

0:12:14.920 --> 0:12:19.120
<v Speaker 2>marketplace with USC, where it's like almost every every other week,

0:12:19.200 --> 0:12:23.680
<v Speaker 2>it's like one week that the market is way heavier

0:12:23.720 --> 0:12:26.480
<v Speaker 2>on USC, so you have to pay the USC tax,

0:12:26.520 --> 0:12:29.959
<v Speaker 2>but then it's like the next week they'll be doubting USC,

0:12:30.280 --> 0:12:33.160
<v Speaker 2>and then like you get you're sort of getting line

0:12:33.200 --> 0:12:36.800
<v Speaker 2>credit if you bet on USC. It's weird. It's almost

0:12:36.880 --> 0:12:39.480
<v Speaker 2>like it's a matchup specific and you can tell that

0:12:39.559 --> 0:12:42.320
<v Speaker 2>the market does not have its finger on USC. Yet

0:12:42.559 --> 0:12:46.200
<v Speaker 2>whatsoever the sharp betters don't, the public does, nobody does

0:12:46.960 --> 0:12:49.679
<v Speaker 2>at this point. But USC has continued to win some

0:12:49.760 --> 0:12:54.120
<v Speaker 2>of these games in sort of inauspicious circumstances or sort

0:12:54.160 --> 0:12:56.680
<v Speaker 2>of through things that the stats would point to you

0:12:56.720 --> 0:13:00.360
<v Speaker 2>as potentially fluky, for instance, like dominating the and over

0:13:00.400 --> 0:13:04.680
<v Speaker 2>margin in their first four games, something that is not sustainable,

0:13:05.000 --> 0:13:08.160
<v Speaker 2>especially knowing how many new starters they had on that defense.

0:13:08.760 --> 0:13:11.600
<v Speaker 2>But the offense is gonna get better and better and better.

0:13:12.160 --> 0:13:14.520
<v Speaker 2>We've already started to see some of that. You know,

0:13:14.640 --> 0:13:17.959
<v Speaker 2>I'm they're offensive talent. You put it up against dang

0:13:18.120 --> 0:13:20.920
<v Speaker 2>or any team in the nation. So for me, this

0:13:21.000 --> 0:13:24.839
<v Speaker 2>line is short. I also think the market trust Washington State,

0:13:25.200 --> 0:13:27.600
<v Speaker 2>so I think it's a little bit of residual doubt

0:13:27.679 --> 0:13:30.240
<v Speaker 2>on the USC side, a little bit of doubt or

0:13:30.720 --> 0:13:32.880
<v Speaker 2>I'm sorry, a little bit of debt for USC, but

0:13:33.720 --> 0:13:36.480
<v Speaker 2>being more confident in Washington State with some of these

0:13:36.480 --> 0:13:39.840
<v Speaker 2>performances that they put up. I'm showing almost three points

0:13:39.840 --> 0:13:42.199
<v Speaker 2>a line value on USC with where the line opened.

0:13:42.200 --> 0:13:47.840
<v Speaker 1>Aut I'm with you, I think that this I'm probably

0:13:47.880 --> 0:13:49.880
<v Speaker 1>gonna end up betting USC in this one, but I

0:13:49.920 --> 0:13:52.680
<v Speaker 1>am certainly not the expert here, but I just don't

0:13:52.679 --> 0:13:56.440
<v Speaker 1>trust Washington State at this point. I think that USC,

0:13:56.679 --> 0:13:59.160
<v Speaker 1>especially on home soil here, is going to be able

0:13:59.200 --> 0:14:01.360
<v Speaker 1>to figure it out. But next game up, it's definitely

0:14:01.360 --> 0:14:03.640
<v Speaker 1>a little more close to home because I cannot stand

0:14:03.679 --> 0:14:06.160
<v Speaker 1>the fact that Clemson took down NC State this weekend

0:14:06.200 --> 0:14:09.040
<v Speaker 1>because we were gonna get college game Day again, the

0:14:09.080 --> 0:14:12.760
<v Speaker 1>Syracuse NC State game, but instead Clemson comes out victorious

0:14:12.960 --> 0:14:16.240
<v Speaker 1>and now they head to Boston College as twenty and

0:14:16.240 --> 0:14:17.680
<v Speaker 1>a half point favorites.

0:14:18.440 --> 0:14:20.440
<v Speaker 2>I will say, though, this is.

0:14:20.400 --> 0:14:22.760
<v Speaker 1>Not the Clemson team that had Trevor Lawrence. They have

0:14:23.080 --> 0:14:24.560
<v Speaker 1>taken a real step back.

0:14:25.760 --> 0:14:28.920
<v Speaker 2>Oh well, yeah, for sure, for sure. But I mean

0:14:29.840 --> 0:14:32.600
<v Speaker 2>on Saturday yesterday, as we're coming to you right now,

0:14:33.040 --> 0:14:35.880
<v Speaker 2>was a very impressive performance by Clemson in lieu of

0:14:35.920 --> 0:14:41.000
<v Speaker 2>the circumstances. They had almost their entire defense either ruled

0:14:41.000 --> 0:14:44.200
<v Speaker 2>out before the game or got injured or ejected in

0:14:44.240 --> 0:14:46.600
<v Speaker 2>the first half, and so the fact that they held

0:14:46.640 --> 0:14:49.800
<v Speaker 2>on and ended up winning by ten, I believe beating

0:14:49.880 --> 0:14:52.360
<v Speaker 2>a very quality NC State team again in lieu of

0:14:52.360 --> 0:14:56.800
<v Speaker 2>those circumstances was pretty crazy. Like Brian Brese was ruled

0:14:56.800 --> 0:14:59.000
<v Speaker 2>out right before the game, Tyler Davis was out, they

0:14:59.040 --> 0:15:01.440
<v Speaker 2>had one of those stud edge rushers was out, They

0:15:01.480 --> 0:15:04.720
<v Speaker 2>lost one of the safeties to a targeting ejection. I

0:15:04.720 --> 0:15:07.400
<v Speaker 2>believe in the second quarter of that game. There their

0:15:07.520 --> 0:15:10.440
<v Speaker 2>linebacker that makes all the line calls. He was out

0:15:10.440 --> 0:15:13.760
<v Speaker 2>with an injury, I believe in the first quarter with

0:15:13.880 --> 0:15:17.320
<v Speaker 2>regards to this handicap. So again, very impressive that they

0:15:17.360 --> 0:15:20.160
<v Speaker 2>did what they did two NC State. They controlled that

0:15:20.320 --> 0:15:26.080
<v Speaker 2>entire game with essentially their B team defense. So for me,

0:15:26.240 --> 0:15:30.280
<v Speaker 2>that is super impressive. Yes, they're not the National championship

0:15:30.280 --> 0:15:32.720
<v Speaker 2>Clemson teams, you know, whether it's the Laurence seam or

0:15:32.720 --> 0:15:35.920
<v Speaker 2>the WATS team whatever. But like I mean, again, in

0:15:36.560 --> 0:15:40.200
<v Speaker 2>Lewis circumstances this game, what you need to pay attention

0:15:40.320 --> 0:15:43.240
<v Speaker 2>to this week is the reports coming out of Clemson

0:15:43.760 --> 0:15:47.600
<v Speaker 2>about the front seven, the health of those guys. You know,

0:15:47.640 --> 0:15:51.080
<v Speaker 2>again Brise was out. You have the injury questions with Davis,

0:15:51.200 --> 0:15:54.240
<v Speaker 2>a couple of the edge rudgers, rushers are compromise. Have

0:15:54.280 --> 0:15:57.480
<v Speaker 2>to see about that linebacker, what what his ailment is

0:15:57.520 --> 0:15:59.360
<v Speaker 2>it and if he could be back as well. But

0:15:59.440 --> 0:16:03.400
<v Speaker 2>the reason that awesome Clemson, you know, objectively awesome Clemson

0:16:03.720 --> 0:16:06.880
<v Speaker 2>front seven is so important in this matchup is Boston

0:16:06.920 --> 0:16:09.880
<v Speaker 2>College has one of the worst offensive lines, not just

0:16:09.960 --> 0:16:13.440
<v Speaker 2>in the Power five, in the entire FBS. It has

0:16:13.520 --> 0:16:17.320
<v Speaker 2>been stunning to watch how far the Boston College offensive

0:16:17.320 --> 0:16:20.200
<v Speaker 2>line fell off from what we knew of it in

0:16:20.320 --> 0:16:23.080
<v Speaker 2>recent seasons. They I mean, like you go back the

0:16:23.200 --> 0:16:26.920
<v Speaker 2>last five years, they have sent numerous offensive linemen into

0:16:26.920 --> 0:16:30.440
<v Speaker 2>the NFL. But it went from that to a dumpster

0:16:30.560 --> 0:16:33.760
<v Speaker 2>fire overnight in one season. And I can tell you

0:16:34.640 --> 0:16:38.400
<v Speaker 2>Zay Flowers, the receiver from Boston College who was willing

0:16:38.480 --> 0:16:42.080
<v Speaker 2>to listen to nil offers over the off season and

0:16:42.200 --> 0:16:45.440
<v Speaker 2>ended up deciding to come back to Boston College. And

0:16:45.480 --> 0:16:47.800
<v Speaker 2>he made a big deal of it if I turned

0:16:47.800 --> 0:16:49.600
<v Speaker 2>down all these other offers where I was going to

0:16:49.640 --> 0:16:52.920
<v Speaker 2>get more money, et cetera. I don't think he's puffing

0:16:52.960 --> 0:16:55.760
<v Speaker 2>his chest out about that anymore. I think Jay Flowers

0:16:55.760 --> 0:16:58.840
<v Speaker 2>would wish he could rewind the clock to the offseason

0:16:59.000 --> 0:17:02.880
<v Speaker 2>and lead boss in college, Phil Jerkovic, might be thinking

0:17:02.920 --> 0:17:05.840
<v Speaker 2>the same and or I wish I'd gone to the NFL.

0:17:05.920 --> 0:17:07.720
<v Speaker 2>But he was in a tough spot because he had

0:17:07.920 --> 0:17:09.840
<v Speaker 2>most of his previous season had been wiped out with

0:17:09.880 --> 0:17:12.680
<v Speaker 2>an injury, and when he was playing. He was compromised

0:17:12.680 --> 0:17:16.040
<v Speaker 2>with that injury. But those guys are being hamstrung by

0:17:16.040 --> 0:17:19.400
<v Speaker 2>that offensive line. Now they got this one game of

0:17:19.840 --> 0:17:22.080
<v Speaker 2>you know, it's like every dog has its day, and

0:17:22.119 --> 0:17:26.360
<v Speaker 2>that was Boston College yesterday against Louisville. They took advantage

0:17:26.359 --> 0:17:29.840
<v Speaker 2>of this Louisville team that has been chas essentially chasing

0:17:30.119 --> 0:17:34.040
<v Speaker 2>tail all season. Nobody can seem to figure out exactly

0:17:34.080 --> 0:17:37.520
<v Speaker 2>what Louisville's identity is, what kind of team do they

0:17:37.560 --> 0:17:41.800
<v Speaker 2>want to be, what exactly is Scott Saderfield's long term vision.

0:17:42.640 --> 0:17:45.879
<v Speaker 2>It's like Scott Saderfield got on the hot sege he

0:17:46.000 --> 0:17:47.840
<v Speaker 2>expected things to go different, but then all of a

0:17:47.840 --> 0:17:50.000
<v Speaker 2>sudden he foun himself on the hot seat. And then

0:17:50.040 --> 0:17:53.640
<v Speaker 2>this offseason he just spent going yolo in the transfer

0:17:53.680 --> 0:17:57.239
<v Speaker 2>portal and he did win some derbies for like some

0:17:57.280 --> 0:18:00.840
<v Speaker 2>of these high profile guys, and so you were wondering, like, well,

0:18:00.880 --> 0:18:03.720
<v Speaker 2>maybe maybe he's onto something, you know, being aggressive, and

0:18:03.760 --> 0:18:06.520
<v Speaker 2>he was like Lane was aggressive. Obviously Lincoln Riley was

0:18:06.560 --> 0:18:09.440
<v Speaker 2>the most aggressive, but like maybe you know, sort of

0:18:09.480 --> 0:18:12.639
<v Speaker 2>along that line of continuum and maybe he shored up

0:18:12.640 --> 0:18:15.520
<v Speaker 2>the deficiencies, the very obvious ones that we had seen

0:18:15.520 --> 0:18:18.159
<v Speaker 2>with the Louisville team the season previous, that the two

0:18:18.240 --> 0:18:21.240
<v Speaker 2>years previous or whatever. But one of the main guys

0:18:21.280 --> 0:18:23.439
<v Speaker 2>got injured, Jermaine Lowell, the guy that they brought him

0:18:23.440 --> 0:18:25.439
<v Speaker 2>from Arizona State. Some of the other ones are not

0:18:25.480 --> 0:18:28.440
<v Speaker 2>playing as well as they had thought. So it's it's

0:18:28.560 --> 0:18:31.880
<v Speaker 2>not only strategically short I mean game in and game

0:18:31.920 --> 0:18:34.960
<v Speaker 2>out short term that you're sort of scratching your head

0:18:35.040 --> 0:18:38.800
<v Speaker 2>or long term of what exactly is Sadderfield doing here.

0:18:39.920 --> 0:18:43.240
<v Speaker 2>You also have the thing of the things that the

0:18:43.840 --> 0:18:45.960
<v Speaker 2>roster moves that they were making to try to shore

0:18:46.040 --> 0:18:49.320
<v Speaker 2>up some of these deficiencies, either or not working out

0:18:49.480 --> 0:18:54.520
<v Speaker 2>or the plan got foiled through injury or whatever. For

0:18:55.000 --> 0:18:59.680
<v Speaker 2>as far as Boston College goes, if Clemson's front seven

0:18:59.880 --> 0:19:03.320
<v Speaker 2>is as depreciated by injuries and attrition as it was

0:19:03.359 --> 0:19:06.840
<v Speaker 2>in the previous game against NZ State, that would be

0:19:06.880 --> 0:19:11.040
<v Speaker 2>the only scenario where someone should consider betting on Boston College.

0:19:11.280 --> 0:19:15.080
<v Speaker 2>But even in this game, because that the discrepancy between

0:19:15.119 --> 0:19:18.720
<v Speaker 2>Clemson's front seven and Boston College's offensive line is that

0:19:18.840 --> 0:19:21.960
<v Speaker 2>precipitous where it doesn't really even matter what the point

0:19:22.000 --> 0:19:26.399
<v Speaker 2>spread is, because if the one train starts rolling Boston

0:19:26.400 --> 0:19:29.040
<v Speaker 2>College is gonna have a real problem, Like Djerkovic is

0:19:29.080 --> 0:19:31.560
<v Speaker 2>going to be seeing multiple guys in his face immediately

0:19:31.560 --> 0:19:35.000
<v Speaker 2>after getting every snap. If that's the case, But it

0:19:35.560 --> 0:19:37.920
<v Speaker 2>I think it's very dependent on that because if Clemson

0:19:38.000 --> 0:19:40.680
<v Speaker 2>does still have all those guys out, they're coming off

0:19:40.720 --> 0:19:43.240
<v Speaker 2>of a big win. If they're still playing all the

0:19:44.080 --> 0:19:46.840
<v Speaker 2>second stringers in the front seven, and then the third

0:19:46.840 --> 0:19:50.480
<v Speaker 2>stringers become the rotational guys because Dabo does like to

0:19:50.880 --> 0:19:53.440
<v Speaker 2>rotate guys in Venables did too when he was there.

0:19:54.600 --> 0:19:57.840
<v Speaker 2>If that's still the case, and maybe they Clemson withholds

0:19:58.000 --> 0:20:00.959
<v Speaker 2>people because they know the Boston College stings year, that

0:20:01.000 --> 0:20:03.040
<v Speaker 2>would be the thing that I'd be monitoring for this game.

0:20:03.080 --> 0:20:07.159
<v Speaker 2>Otherwise I don't have any interest in it, but you

0:20:07.240 --> 0:20:09.919
<v Speaker 2>need to know about Clemson's front seven down if all

0:20:09.920 --> 0:20:12.240
<v Speaker 2>the Clemson guys are back on Saturday, I actually might

0:20:12.280 --> 0:20:15.959
<v Speaker 2>bet on Clemson just because they will overwhelm Boston College's

0:20:16.000 --> 0:20:17.960
<v Speaker 2>offensive line like a tidal wave.

0:20:19.200 --> 0:20:23.040
<v Speaker 1>The next game that we've got up here, Texas versus Oklahoma.

0:20:23.200 --> 0:20:26.280
<v Speaker 1>All you know, it's always a good one and Oklahoma

0:20:26.359 --> 0:20:28.480
<v Speaker 1>is going to be getting four and a half points here.

0:20:28.560 --> 0:20:32.240
<v Speaker 2>Is Texas really back? I don't know if I don't

0:20:32.240 --> 0:20:35.359
<v Speaker 2>know if I go that far, but every time, Yeah,

0:20:35.400 --> 0:20:38.240
<v Speaker 2>the key for this one is is Quinn you Weers back.

0:20:39.160 --> 0:20:41.479
<v Speaker 2>We have thought each of the last two games that

0:20:41.520 --> 0:20:44.280
<v Speaker 2>we were gonna see Quinn you wers the one two games.

0:20:44.320 --> 0:20:47.800
<v Speaker 2>So before this past weekend he had become listed on

0:20:47.840 --> 0:20:50.320
<v Speaker 2>the depth chart as a co starter again. He had

0:20:50.320 --> 0:20:53.800
<v Speaker 2>returned to practice provisionally and then he went through like

0:20:53.840 --> 0:20:55.679
<v Speaker 2>the warm ups and stuff, but he didn't play in

0:20:55.680 --> 0:20:57.960
<v Speaker 2>that one. And then last week we were hoping for

0:20:58.040 --> 0:21:00.439
<v Speaker 2>him too, and it was the same sort of a

0:21:00.480 --> 0:21:02.600
<v Speaker 2>thing where they were listening him on the depth chart,

0:21:02.960 --> 0:21:05.280
<v Speaker 2>he warmed up before the game, you know, all that

0:21:05.359 --> 0:21:08.080
<v Speaker 2>sort of he was at practice stuff like that, but

0:21:08.200 --> 0:21:11.439
<v Speaker 2>did not end up playing in that one, which, you know,

0:21:11.520 --> 0:21:14.080
<v Speaker 2>in one sense, it's like, well, for two weeks they've

0:21:14.119 --> 0:21:16.840
<v Speaker 2>sort of indicated that he very well maybe back for

0:21:16.880 --> 0:21:19.639
<v Speaker 2>that game, but he hasn't played, So maybe we should

0:21:19.640 --> 0:21:22.440
<v Speaker 2>be more pessimistic about Queen Yours's status for this game.

0:21:22.840 --> 0:21:25.920
<v Speaker 2>But on the other hand, I remember two weeks ago

0:21:26.200 --> 0:21:29.040
<v Speaker 2>when there was the report of like quin Ewers could

0:21:29.080 --> 0:21:32.439
<v Speaker 2>actually play this weekend, and and like I called someone

0:21:32.440 --> 0:21:36.159
<v Speaker 2>and I was like, is this bs, cause it was

0:21:36.280 --> 0:21:39.040
<v Speaker 2>way ahead of what the timeline initially that they the

0:21:39.080 --> 0:21:42.720
<v Speaker 2>texts had given us for Queen Yours potential recovery. So

0:21:42.800 --> 0:21:45.760
<v Speaker 2>I was pretty stunned two weeks ago. And and then

0:21:45.880 --> 0:21:47.800
<v Speaker 2>you know, it was like, is he that far ahead

0:21:47.800 --> 0:21:50.760
<v Speaker 2>of the schedule of his you know, recovery timeline whatever,

0:21:51.800 --> 0:21:53.840
<v Speaker 2>And and you know, of course then again he didn't

0:21:53.880 --> 0:21:55.879
<v Speaker 2>end up playing. He also did not end up playing

0:21:56.520 --> 0:21:59.919
<v Speaker 2>yesterday against West Virginia. But the important thing to know

0:22:00.320 --> 0:22:04.399
<v Speaker 2>is the Oklahoma game was always circled. It's not just

0:22:04.480 --> 0:22:08.200
<v Speaker 2>circled on the team calendar for Texas once quinn Ewers

0:22:08.320 --> 0:22:10.639
<v Speaker 2>was injured. If you go back and you google the

0:22:10.720 --> 0:22:14.159
<v Speaker 2>stories from the day after quinn Youwrs' injury and the

0:22:14.720 --> 0:22:18.080
<v Speaker 2>Austin Beat reporters writing up that game, almost every single

0:22:18.119 --> 0:22:20.920
<v Speaker 2>one of them was like, the target date for quinn Youwrs'

0:22:21.000 --> 0:22:25.000
<v Speaker 2>return is the Red Red River rivalry game against Oklahoma.

0:22:25.480 --> 0:22:27.840
<v Speaker 2>This is the game that they were getting them ready for.

0:22:28.320 --> 0:22:30.480
<v Speaker 2>I would expect quinn Ewers to play because of the

0:22:30.480 --> 0:22:33.120
<v Speaker 2>indication we got in the last two weeks, because this

0:22:33.400 --> 0:22:36.240
<v Speaker 2>was the game that was on the timeline. You know,

0:22:36.240 --> 0:22:38.000
<v Speaker 2>it wasn't like a pie in the sky thing. This

0:22:38.240 --> 0:22:41.240
<v Speaker 2>was the correct timeline for quinn Ewers to return. So

0:22:41.359 --> 0:22:44.639
<v Speaker 2>I think you know, between that, we'll see about Xavier

0:22:44.640 --> 0:22:47.240
<v Speaker 2>worthies how they you know, he one hundred percent, but

0:22:47.320 --> 0:22:50.639
<v Speaker 2>if you got one hundred, you know, ninety percent quin yours,

0:22:50.720 --> 0:22:52.840
<v Speaker 2>let's say, and then you got close to one hundred

0:22:52.840 --> 0:22:56.800
<v Speaker 2>percent Xavier Worthy. John Robinson and all those guys going

0:22:56.880 --> 0:22:59.720
<v Speaker 2>up against his Oklahoma team that we have seen now

0:23:00.320 --> 0:23:04.840
<v Speaker 2>mightily struggle against Kansas State and TCU, two teams that

0:23:04.880 --> 0:23:08.080
<v Speaker 2>were not being talked about as big Big twelve title

0:23:08.119 --> 0:23:12.960
<v Speaker 2>contenders coming into the season. This Texas offense could give

0:23:13.000 --> 0:23:16.720
<v Speaker 2>them real problems. And we saw what Texas's defense did

0:23:16.760 --> 0:23:19.720
<v Speaker 2>to a full strength Alabama offense in Week two. The

0:23:19.760 --> 0:23:23.800
<v Speaker 2>Texas defense is up this year so and it bears

0:23:23.840 --> 0:23:29.359
<v Speaker 2>mentioning Dylan Gabriel status. Dylan Gabriel suffered a one of

0:23:29.359 --> 0:23:32.600
<v Speaker 2>those injuries yesterday where it was like you sort of

0:23:32.640 --> 0:23:34.960
<v Speaker 2>hold your breath, you know, and then they went to

0:23:35.000 --> 0:23:38.119
<v Speaker 2>the commercial and they carted him off the field. He

0:23:38.240 --> 0:23:42.679
<v Speaker 2>took a really nasty shot to his head. We'll see,

0:23:42.760 --> 0:23:45.280
<v Speaker 2>you know, we never know what that especially because in

0:23:45.320 --> 0:23:47.960
<v Speaker 2>college they don't have to do the injury report, and

0:23:48.080 --> 0:23:50.760
<v Speaker 2>in fact, the coaches not only did they not have

0:23:50.800 --> 0:23:53.600
<v Speaker 2>to give the injury report, they can also hide behind

0:23:54.080 --> 0:23:57.760
<v Speaker 2>essentially hide behind the hippolas where I don't need to

0:23:57.760 --> 0:24:00.520
<v Speaker 2>give you guys any information because I'm protect the kid,

0:24:00.920 --> 0:24:03.760
<v Speaker 2>the college kid, the college student, YadA YadA. So we

0:24:03.840 --> 0:24:07.000
<v Speaker 2>don't get a lot of accurate injury information for those reasons.

0:24:07.040 --> 0:24:09.679
<v Speaker 2>But that's something where you're gonna need to monitor the

0:24:09.760 --> 0:24:12.320
<v Speaker 2>situation this week and then read in between the lines,

0:24:12.600 --> 0:24:14.840
<v Speaker 2>because these things are very important as far as this

0:24:14.920 --> 0:24:19.240
<v Speaker 2>handicap goes. If Dylan gabriel is not playing, Oklahoma is

0:24:19.800 --> 0:24:24.280
<v Speaker 2>up up Poops Creek in this game. Oklahoma has not

0:24:24.280 --> 0:24:28.200
<v Speaker 2>been impressive all season. We saw Texas man handle West

0:24:28.280 --> 0:24:31.640
<v Speaker 2>Virginia last week with Hudson Cards starting. If they're at

0:24:31.640 --> 0:24:34.359
<v Speaker 2>full strength going against an Oklahoma team without Dylan Gabrielle,

0:24:35.960 --> 0:24:38.879
<v Speaker 2>Texas might be back for one weekend.

0:24:39.000 --> 0:24:41.000
<v Speaker 1>Now. The next game that we've got up here in

0:24:41.040 --> 0:24:42.439
<v Speaker 1>the last one we're gonna get to before we get

0:24:42.480 --> 0:24:47.000
<v Speaker 1>into some of your biggest line discrepancies. Michigan versus Indiana.

0:24:47.440 --> 0:24:51.120
<v Speaker 1>Indiana getting twenty two and a half points at home here,

0:24:51.160 --> 0:24:54.480
<v Speaker 1>but this Michigan team Jim. We know that Jim Harbaugh

0:24:54.520 --> 0:24:57.919
<v Speaker 1>is not afraid to just blow teams out, and I

0:24:57.960 --> 0:25:01.080
<v Speaker 1>am not of the belief that Indiana is even remotely good.

0:25:01.440 --> 0:25:02.960
<v Speaker 1>I feel like this could be a whole lot more

0:25:02.960 --> 0:25:04.480
<v Speaker 1>than twenty two points by the end of it.

0:25:05.200 --> 0:25:08.439
<v Speaker 2>No, yeah, I mean Indiana thinks My line in this

0:25:08.520 --> 0:25:11.840
<v Speaker 2>game is Michigan minus twenty three point three. If I

0:25:11.960 --> 0:25:14.440
<v Speaker 2>was setting the line as a book maker, I probably

0:25:14.480 --> 0:25:16.680
<v Speaker 2>would have installed it at Michigan minus twenty four and

0:25:16.680 --> 0:25:20.520
<v Speaker 2>a half, to be honest, because I wouldn't mind having

0:25:20.640 --> 0:25:24.560
<v Speaker 2>exposure to the Michigan side on this one. Indiana is

0:25:24.640 --> 0:25:28.359
<v Speaker 2>the luckiest this This is not an opinion the second

0:25:28.480 --> 0:25:31.840
<v Speaker 2>order wins or you know pick your statu choice. India.

0:25:31.960 --> 0:25:34.720
<v Speaker 2>The Indiana Hoosiers are the singular most lucky team in

0:25:34.760 --> 0:25:37.640
<v Speaker 2>college football all season in terms of what their expected

0:25:37.680 --> 0:25:40.080
<v Speaker 2>wins would be based on their performance on the field

0:25:40.080 --> 0:25:44.560
<v Speaker 2>against what their wins actually are in the standings. They're

0:25:44.600 --> 0:25:49.240
<v Speaker 2>a fraudulent team. Michigan is anything but a fraudulent team.

0:25:49.560 --> 0:25:53.600
<v Speaker 2>Indiana's stuff. They pulled multiple wins out out of their

0:25:53.760 --> 0:25:55.920
<v Speaker 2>you know what at the very end in games where

0:25:55.920 --> 0:26:00.480
<v Speaker 2>they were soundly outplayed. This season, the fourth quarter, late

0:26:00.520 --> 0:26:03.720
<v Speaker 2>fourth quarter heroics are not going to be there against Michigan.

0:26:03.880 --> 0:26:07.240
<v Speaker 2>I would expect Michigan to absolutely wipe the floor with Indiana.

0:26:08.600 --> 0:26:11.440
<v Speaker 1>Now let's talk about this next game up here. We're

0:26:11.480 --> 0:26:13.879
<v Speaker 1>going to get into some of your line discrepant season.

0:26:13.880 --> 0:26:15.840
<v Speaker 1>We're gonna start off with one more big game here

0:26:15.880 --> 0:26:17.520
<v Speaker 1>because we got the number two team in the land,

0:26:17.560 --> 0:26:21.679
<v Speaker 1>Georgia laying twenty seven and a half against Auburn. The

0:26:21.760 --> 0:26:24.080
<v Speaker 1>times have been a little tougher for Auburn as of late.

0:26:24.960 --> 0:26:29.000
<v Speaker 2>They for sure have. Yeah, Brian Harrison managed to save

0:26:29.040 --> 0:26:33.080
<v Speaker 2>his job again this week. You know, it's funny. It's

0:26:33.080 --> 0:26:34.960
<v Speaker 2>like the Brian Harson Show of like how long he

0:26:35.000 --> 0:26:38.600
<v Speaker 2>can prolong the inevitable. The previous week, there was all

0:26:38.600 --> 0:26:40.960
<v Speaker 2>the reports the day before the game against Missouri that

0:26:41.400 --> 0:26:44.720
<v Speaker 2>if Harson loses to Missouri, he will be fired, which

0:26:44.960 --> 0:26:47.879
<v Speaker 2>nobody was surprised by that at all, because everybody at

0:26:47.880 --> 0:26:50.720
<v Speaker 2>Auburn has wanted to fight Harrison since the end of

0:26:50.800 --> 0:26:55.040
<v Speaker 2>last season. And then Auburn absolutely should have lost that game.

0:26:55.080 --> 0:26:58.280
<v Speaker 2>They were outplayed by Missouri during it. Even at the

0:26:58.320 --> 0:27:00.480
<v Speaker 2>end of the game it required flukey start stands to

0:27:00.480 --> 0:27:04.520
<v Speaker 2>get into overtime. It also required flukey circumstances for Auburn

0:27:04.840 --> 0:27:07.600
<v Speaker 2>to prevail on overtime. They shouldn't have won that game

0:27:08.040 --> 0:27:10.879
<v Speaker 2>at multiple different junctures, whether it was in regulation or

0:27:10.920 --> 0:27:13.399
<v Speaker 2>whether it was in overtime, but they managed to. So

0:27:13.440 --> 0:27:16.199
<v Speaker 2>then Harrison held on for another week, and then this

0:27:16.280 --> 0:27:20.560
<v Speaker 2>past week against LSU, it was the opposite Auburn and

0:27:21.160 --> 0:27:23.960
<v Speaker 2>I say this with a tear in my eye to

0:27:24.040 --> 0:27:28.239
<v Speaker 2>quote Rick Flair, but Auburn, like because I was on

0:27:28.400 --> 0:27:32.879
<v Speaker 2>LSU minus eight or whatever, and Auburn, I have to acknowledge,

0:27:33.200 --> 0:27:37.000
<v Speaker 2>actually outplayed LSU on the field for the vast majority

0:27:37.040 --> 0:27:39.360
<v Speaker 2>of that game. LSU was able to pull it out,

0:27:39.440 --> 0:27:42.040
<v Speaker 2>I believe by four at the end. Unfortunately for me,

0:27:42.080 --> 0:27:45.600
<v Speaker 2>it wasn't enough to cover my ticket. But Auburn probably

0:27:45.640 --> 0:27:48.520
<v Speaker 2>deserved to win that game, and they didn't. But they

0:27:48.560 --> 0:27:51.720
<v Speaker 2>played well enough, and in conjunction with the what was

0:27:51.760 --> 0:27:54.359
<v Speaker 2>a flukey win the week before, Harson's going to be

0:27:54.400 --> 0:27:58.879
<v Speaker 2>hanging on for one more week. This does not seem

0:27:58.920 --> 0:28:02.800
<v Speaker 2>like a good proposition, Harson. This week, you got the

0:28:02.840 --> 0:28:07.400
<v Speaker 2>best performance from your team of the season last week, right,

0:28:07.440 --> 0:28:10.000
<v Speaker 2>the best effort that you have gotten from them back

0:28:10.040 --> 0:28:12.880
<v Speaker 2>against the Wall game, and you came up just short.

0:28:13.600 --> 0:28:16.280
<v Speaker 2>Probably shouldn't have, but that's that's the way it went down.

0:28:16.320 --> 0:28:18.280
<v Speaker 2>You took a loss in a game that you could

0:28:18.280 --> 0:28:20.520
<v Speaker 2>have won. And now you got to turn around the

0:28:20.560 --> 0:28:23.439
<v Speaker 2>next week after being deflated like that. You need to

0:28:23.440 --> 0:28:27.320
<v Speaker 2>head into Athens, Georgia to face this Georgia team that

0:28:27.400 --> 0:28:31.480
<v Speaker 2>has gone from this goliath the nation, the defending national champions.

0:28:31.880 --> 0:28:34.480
<v Speaker 2>Then in week one they wiped the floor with Oregon.

0:28:34.520 --> 0:28:38.640
<v Speaker 2>Everyone's toasting their champagne glasses to the Georgia Bulldogs. But

0:28:38.880 --> 0:28:41.440
<v Speaker 2>over the last two weeks now they're starting to get

0:28:41.480 --> 0:28:44.600
<v Speaker 2>mocked by the same people that were praising them before

0:28:44.720 --> 0:28:48.680
<v Speaker 2>and they are well aware of it. Between essentially no

0:28:48.800 --> 0:28:51.600
<v Speaker 2>showing the Kent State game, you know, they just thought

0:28:51.600 --> 0:28:53.239
<v Speaker 2>that they were gonna roll the ball out and they

0:28:53.240 --> 0:28:55.200
<v Speaker 2>were gonna play around with them like a cat with

0:28:55.280 --> 0:28:57.280
<v Speaker 2>a mouse, and Kent State actually showed up for that

0:28:57.320 --> 0:29:01.000
<v Speaker 2>game and was game with them. And then last yesterday

0:29:01.480 --> 0:29:06.920
<v Speaker 2>on Saturday, against Missouri, it was it was stunning how

0:29:06.960 --> 0:29:10.840
<v Speaker 2>poorly Georgia was playing in that game and allowing Missouri

0:29:10.960 --> 0:29:14.080
<v Speaker 2>to I shouldn't even say allowing them to hang around,

0:29:14.200 --> 0:29:18.040
<v Speaker 2>because Missouri led for long portions of that game, and

0:29:18.160 --> 0:29:21.760
<v Speaker 2>Georgia was it wasn't even like the Kent stake in

0:29:21.960 --> 0:29:24.600
<v Speaker 2>that the effort was very clearly lacking. Like from the

0:29:24.640 --> 0:29:27.280
<v Speaker 2>start it was like okay, boys, like the game started,

0:29:27.400 --> 0:29:29.640
<v Speaker 2>you know, like stuff like that. The Missouri game was

0:29:29.680 --> 0:29:33.320
<v Speaker 2>weird because there was these several different spots where like

0:29:33.520 --> 0:29:38.200
<v Speaker 2>Georgia just did something incredibly stupid or inopportune that gifted Missouri,

0:29:38.880 --> 0:29:42.640
<v Speaker 2>whether it's field position or a situation or whatever, and

0:29:42.680 --> 0:29:44.440
<v Speaker 2>then they got behind the eight ball and then had

0:29:44.440 --> 0:29:47.000
<v Speaker 2>to come back to the very end. But either way,

0:29:47.960 --> 0:29:52.400
<v Speaker 2>now Auburn has to go into essentially what is a

0:29:52.440 --> 0:29:54.560
<v Speaker 2>pissed off horness nest. I don't know if I can

0:29:54.600 --> 0:29:58.680
<v Speaker 2>say pissed off on the pod, but Georgia is they

0:29:58.680 --> 0:30:01.280
<v Speaker 2>have not been locked in at all the last two weeks,

0:30:01.320 --> 0:30:03.680
<v Speaker 2>but they're going to be reading about that and how

0:30:03.760 --> 0:30:06.240
<v Speaker 2>now they've dropped in the polls all this different stuff,

0:30:06.240 --> 0:30:09.880
<v Speaker 2>people aren't trusting them anymore. YadA, YadA, YadA. Not a

0:30:09.880 --> 0:30:13.040
<v Speaker 2>great situational spot for Auburn. A locked in Georgia is

0:30:13.080 --> 0:30:15.320
<v Speaker 2>going to wipe the floor with this Auburn team. And

0:30:15.360 --> 0:30:19.160
<v Speaker 2>I've been waiting for Auburn to quit on Harson. It's

0:30:19.200 --> 0:30:21.760
<v Speaker 2>going to happen when the chips are down at some point,

0:30:22.160 --> 0:30:24.440
<v Speaker 2>this might be the opportunity for it, and then they

0:30:24.520 --> 0:30:27.080
<v Speaker 2>just get boat race and then that's the end of Harson.

0:30:27.280 --> 0:30:29.959
<v Speaker 2>Even though my systems showing a couple of points of

0:30:30.600 --> 0:30:34.000
<v Speaker 2>theoretical line value on Georgia, it's not baking. In the

0:30:34.000 --> 0:30:37.640
<v Speaker 2>context of the ancillary details of this thing, I definitely

0:30:37.640 --> 0:30:39.240
<v Speaker 2>would not bet on Auburn in that game.

0:30:40.200 --> 0:30:43.720
<v Speaker 1>The next one up here, we've got Ohio State and

0:30:43.880 --> 0:30:47.520
<v Speaker 1>Michigan State, and Michigan State getting twenty four and a

0:30:47.560 --> 0:30:50.840
<v Speaker 1>half points at home here. Do you like the Buckeyes

0:30:50.880 --> 0:30:53.160
<v Speaker 1>to be able to just absolutely run over this game

0:30:53.240 --> 0:30:54.600
<v Speaker 1>or is Michigan State going to be pal able to

0:30:54.600 --> 0:30:55.840
<v Speaker 1>put up a little bit of a fight here.

0:30:56.120 --> 0:30:59.400
<v Speaker 2>It's this is assuredly going to be a stay away

0:30:59.440 --> 0:31:02.720
<v Speaker 2>gay for me. It's another game where my numbers are

0:31:02.720 --> 0:31:05.440
<v Speaker 2>appointing at Michigan State. But they've done that now for

0:31:05.600 --> 0:31:08.720
<v Speaker 2>multiple weeks. I'm not the only and last week it

0:31:08.800 --> 0:31:10.920
<v Speaker 2>burned me that that, you know, that was one of

0:31:11.000 --> 0:31:14.440
<v Speaker 2>my worst ones too. I tried to take the eight

0:31:14.600 --> 0:31:18.480
<v Speaker 2>nine points of Michigan State against Maryland and we saw

0:31:18.520 --> 0:31:21.600
<v Speaker 2>how that one worked out. It has been a struggle

0:31:21.680 --> 0:31:24.719
<v Speaker 2>for people who do what I do to try to

0:31:24.920 --> 0:31:28.880
<v Speaker 2>catch up to how far Michigan State has fallen, because

0:31:28.920 --> 0:31:31.920
<v Speaker 2>it goes beyond even what would sort of the band

0:31:31.960 --> 0:31:37.320
<v Speaker 2>of outcomes of what data would suggest is theoretically probable,

0:31:37.840 --> 0:31:41.200
<v Speaker 2>like Michigan State is, they're falling beneath the band of

0:31:41.240 --> 0:31:45.040
<v Speaker 2>outcomes Like this is actually bad for mel Tucker. It's

0:31:45.080 --> 0:31:47.640
<v Speaker 2>not bad for him in terms of his job status.

0:31:48.240 --> 0:31:50.320
<v Speaker 2>They can't fire him because he's got ninety five million

0:31:50.320 --> 0:31:54.080
<v Speaker 2>dollars left on his deal, but it doesn't show very

0:31:54.120 --> 0:31:57.360
<v Speaker 2>well for him and his dedication is after getting that

0:31:57.440 --> 0:32:00.520
<v Speaker 2>big deal. We're gonna have to see what goes on

0:32:00.640 --> 0:32:04.240
<v Speaker 2>at Michigan State because now you have this marriage long term,

0:32:04.640 --> 0:32:07.400
<v Speaker 2>neither side can get out of it. Mel Tucker is

0:32:07.440 --> 0:32:11.400
<v Speaker 2>going to need to get that motivation back that this

0:32:11.520 --> 0:32:14.120
<v Speaker 2>team might The point I'm trying to make is this

0:32:14.200 --> 0:32:19.320
<v Speaker 2>team might have arrived into this season dead on arrival. Essentially,

0:32:20.000 --> 0:32:22.920
<v Speaker 2>it doesn't seem like Tucker made as many alterations in

0:32:22.960 --> 0:32:27.080
<v Speaker 2>additions through the transfer portal as he could have one

0:32:27.200 --> 0:32:31.800
<v Speaker 2>player leaving a team. Kenneth Walker in this case shouldn't

0:32:32.240 --> 0:32:34.960
<v Speaker 2>especially a running back in the game of football should

0:32:35.000 --> 0:32:37.800
<v Speaker 2>not cause you to go from a consensus top ten

0:32:37.880 --> 0:32:41.000
<v Speaker 2>team to a team that now might be out of

0:32:41.040 --> 0:32:44.600
<v Speaker 2>the consensus top fifty. Like it just shouldn't have. I mean,

0:32:44.680 --> 0:32:47.640
<v Speaker 2>Michigan State brought back a decent amount of places, and yes,

0:32:47.920 --> 0:32:51.080
<v Speaker 2>they have had inactives, you know, maybe more than the

0:32:51.120 --> 0:32:53.920
<v Speaker 2>average team so far. You know, Jayden Reid missed one

0:32:53.960 --> 0:32:57.240
<v Speaker 2>of those lobsided losses, They've had multiple injuries to key guys,

0:32:57.280 --> 0:33:01.160
<v Speaker 2>et cetera. But even so, that far of a drop off.

0:33:01.600 --> 0:33:06.920
<v Speaker 2>I tried. It's funny, Thomas. I went on a VSI

0:33:07.040 --> 0:33:09.400
<v Speaker 2>in show on Friday and they asked me about that

0:33:09.440 --> 0:33:12.400
<v Speaker 2>Michigan State Maryland game, and I just sort of chuckled,

0:33:12.400 --> 0:33:14.760
<v Speaker 2>and I said, like, I have to do it because

0:33:14.800 --> 0:33:17.800
<v Speaker 2>my system is yelling at me one more time that

0:33:17.920 --> 0:33:21.680
<v Speaker 2>Michigan there's value on Michigan State. So I said, I said,

0:33:21.720 --> 0:33:24.719
<v Speaker 2>I'm gonna bet them, but I said, I promise you

0:33:24.760 --> 0:33:28.240
<v Speaker 2>guys this. If Michigan State does not cover this game

0:33:28.560 --> 0:33:32.000
<v Speaker 2>and they're not particularly like it wasn't a fluky reason

0:33:32.360 --> 0:33:34.600
<v Speaker 2>that they didn't cover it, I said, that is the

0:33:34.680 --> 0:33:36.480
<v Speaker 2>last time I will try to stick my hand in

0:33:36.520 --> 0:33:40.160
<v Speaker 2>the cookie jar of Michigan State under the auspice of

0:33:40.200 --> 0:33:44.240
<v Speaker 2>the idea that I'm getting value by buying low. I'm

0:33:44.320 --> 0:33:46.720
<v Speaker 2>done with that. I will not put any more of

0:33:46.720 --> 0:33:50.080
<v Speaker 2>my heart earned money behind mel Tucker, at least in

0:33:50.120 --> 0:33:53.000
<v Speaker 2>the short term. So even though again my numbers are

0:33:53.000 --> 0:33:55.880
<v Speaker 2>showing I got Ohio State minus twenty point six in

0:33:55.880 --> 0:33:58.840
<v Speaker 2>that game, so my numbers are showing around four points

0:33:58.880 --> 0:34:04.400
<v Speaker 2>of line value on Michigan State. But it's we can't

0:34:04.920 --> 0:34:09.520
<v Speaker 2>we can't manually adjust Michigan State down far enough to

0:34:09.800 --> 0:34:13.920
<v Speaker 2>recognize what the Vegas lines are on it. I just

0:34:13.960 --> 0:34:16.160
<v Speaker 2>got to stay away from their games and or bet

0:34:16.239 --> 0:34:18.839
<v Speaker 2>on the other team. But this one probably with where

0:34:18.880 --> 0:34:21.280
<v Speaker 2>this line started, this game being in east Land saying

0:34:21.600 --> 0:34:24.200
<v Speaker 2>it's probably gonna be a stay away informational game for me.

0:34:25.000 --> 0:34:27.319
<v Speaker 1>I think that's definitely a wise course of action.

0:34:27.440 --> 0:34:27.600
<v Speaker 2>Here.

0:34:27.640 --> 0:34:31.840
<v Speaker 1>Ohio State, I don't know. I think they'll be tired

0:34:31.880 --> 0:34:33.200
<v Speaker 1>off the beatdown of Rutgers.

0:34:33.239 --> 0:34:37.719
<v Speaker 2>You know, Rutgers covering that game, though very importantly.

0:34:37.440 --> 0:34:40.160
<v Speaker 1>They did cover in that game. That is important to realize.

0:34:40.280 --> 0:34:44.240
<v Speaker 1>And now we're gonna go from a soso Ohio team

0:34:44.360 --> 0:34:48.320
<v Speaker 1>to the class of the Buckeye State Miami of Ohio

0:34:48.480 --> 0:34:51.160
<v Speaker 1>is taking on Kent State. Here in Miami's getting three

0:34:51.239 --> 0:34:53.160
<v Speaker 1>and a half points in this game. I know this

0:34:53.200 --> 0:34:55.120
<v Speaker 1>is going to be one of the big ones. I'm

0:34:55.160 --> 0:34:58.160
<v Speaker 1>surprised Game Day didn't decide to go here instead. But

0:34:58.239 --> 0:35:01.360
<v Speaker 1>where are you going in Miami of Ohia versus Kent State.

0:35:02.000 --> 0:35:04.440
<v Speaker 2>The good people of Miami, Ohio are going to be

0:35:04.560 --> 0:35:07.040
<v Speaker 2>very happy that you heard that, including shout out to

0:35:07.040 --> 0:35:10.120
<v Speaker 2>my buddy Tom Downey, a Cowboys writer that went to

0:35:10.120 --> 0:35:13.600
<v Speaker 2>Miami of Ohio, who calls them the real Miami. Whenever

0:35:13.680 --> 0:35:17.560
<v Speaker 2>we would do the online dinos for NCAA fourteen, Downey

0:35:17.560 --> 0:35:20.080
<v Speaker 2>would I always immediately call Miami, Ohio.

0:35:20.920 --> 0:35:26.040
<v Speaker 1>So anyway, I actually my entire mom's side of my

0:35:26.120 --> 0:35:29.600
<v Speaker 1>family are buck Eyes, except my great aunt who went

0:35:29.600 --> 0:35:30.560
<v Speaker 1>to Miami of Ohio.

0:35:30.840 --> 0:35:35.600
<v Speaker 2>Oh really yeah, okay, yeah, so the real Miami, I guess,

0:35:35.440 --> 0:35:40.839
<v Speaker 2>as Downey would say, this game is. It's another one

0:35:40.840 --> 0:35:43.600
<v Speaker 2>that's really interesting to me. And the reason why is

0:35:43.640 --> 0:35:48.000
<v Speaker 2>because coming into today, like when you know, for me Sundays,

0:35:48.960 --> 0:35:51.320
<v Speaker 2>I watched my vikings and then the rest of it,

0:35:51.400 --> 0:35:54.400
<v Speaker 2>I'm running, as Thomas knows, I'm running my numbers and

0:35:54.640 --> 0:35:57.239
<v Speaker 2>get my injury notes up until we shoot the show

0:35:57.360 --> 0:36:00.520
<v Speaker 2>or whatever. This game was one where I you know,

0:36:00.560 --> 0:36:02.720
<v Speaker 2>when you're looking at the card before you run the numbers,

0:36:03.000 --> 0:36:05.439
<v Speaker 2>it's one where you're sort of hoping that you're gonna

0:36:05.480 --> 0:36:08.160
<v Speaker 2>get a value on a specific side, and then it

0:36:08.200 --> 0:36:12.200
<v Speaker 2>didn't happen for me. I came in like and preferring

0:36:12.320 --> 0:36:16.799
<v Speaker 2>Ken State because coming into the year, like, I like

0:36:16.840 --> 0:36:19.440
<v Speaker 2>Sean Lewis going back years and years and years. He

0:36:19.520 --> 0:36:23.719
<v Speaker 2>was Deno Babers' longtime offensive coordinator when Dino like like

0:36:23.800 --> 0:36:26.920
<v Speaker 2>had all the explosive offenses and stuff like that, like

0:36:27.120 --> 0:36:31.399
<v Speaker 2>bowling Green specifically or whatever, and he has done all

0:36:31.440 --> 0:36:34.640
<v Speaker 2>that stuff with Ken State and typically you get a

0:36:34.680 --> 0:36:38.360
<v Speaker 2>lot of value with Ken State in early October during

0:36:38.400 --> 0:36:43.720
<v Speaker 2>the Lewis era. The reason why is because Ken State notoriously,

0:36:44.600 --> 0:36:48.320
<v Speaker 2>for their four non conference games, notoriously takes three enormous

0:36:48.400 --> 0:36:53.640
<v Speaker 2>checks from the blue Bloods. This year it was Georgia

0:36:54.680 --> 0:36:57.080
<v Speaker 2>because I was the one that they getting close in Washington,

0:36:57.320 --> 0:37:02.280
<v Speaker 2>and I'm gonna blame on the third one. But anyway,

0:37:02.360 --> 0:37:04.080
<v Speaker 2>that's what they do every year, and then they play

0:37:04.080 --> 0:37:06.399
<v Speaker 2>one FCS team so that like one of the four

0:37:06.560 --> 0:37:10.319
<v Speaker 2>they'll take the win. But they usually lay down in

0:37:10.360 --> 0:37:13.320
<v Speaker 2>those games. It's not just a talent discrepancy. It's that

0:37:13.440 --> 0:37:16.440
<v Speaker 2>Ken State wants. They want to set themselves up as

0:37:16.440 --> 0:37:19.160
<v Speaker 2>well as they can for the MAC schedule in the

0:37:19.160 --> 0:37:21.160
<v Speaker 2>short term. That's what the coaching staff wants, and then

0:37:21.200 --> 0:37:24.279
<v Speaker 2>of course the athletic program wants to set the rest

0:37:24.320 --> 0:37:27.040
<v Speaker 2>of their sporting programs up well long term. It's the

0:37:27.080 --> 0:37:29.480
<v Speaker 2>reason why they're putting the football team in a bad

0:37:29.520 --> 0:37:32.560
<v Speaker 2>situation with the three payoff games. But that's the way

0:37:32.560 --> 0:37:35.920
<v Speaker 2>it manifests is usually they get annihilated in all those games,

0:37:36.160 --> 0:37:38.840
<v Speaker 2>and then once you get into October and they're playing

0:37:38.840 --> 0:37:41.200
<v Speaker 2>these MAC teams, it's like a one in three Kent

0:37:41.280 --> 0:37:44.280
<v Speaker 2>State team that you've seen lose by fifty points three times.

0:37:44.800 --> 0:37:47.279
<v Speaker 2>Now they're facing a different team that you know, maybe

0:37:47.280 --> 0:37:49.640
<v Speaker 2>as a better record because they don't play nearly as

0:37:49.640 --> 0:37:51.719
<v Speaker 2>hard of a schedule, whatever, and then you can get

0:37:51.800 --> 0:37:54.040
<v Speaker 2>value on Kent State. So that's what I was sitting

0:37:54.080 --> 0:37:57.440
<v Speaker 2>dead right on coming into it. Then I ran my numbers,

0:37:57.800 --> 0:38:00.680
<v Speaker 2>and my numbers were to quote league or so said,

0:38:00.719 --> 0:38:04.560
<v Speaker 2>not so fast, my friend on this or that. The

0:38:04.600 --> 0:38:07.160
<v Speaker 2>rest of the market was thinking exactly what I was thinking,

0:38:07.480 --> 0:38:09.719
<v Speaker 2>and that that sort of pulled the line the other way.

0:38:09.760 --> 0:38:12.560
<v Speaker 2>But right now we got a line up kent State

0:38:12.600 --> 0:38:15.760
<v Speaker 2>minus three and a half at Miami of Ohio, whereas

0:38:15.960 --> 0:38:18.520
<v Speaker 2>my line on this game is Miami of Ohio minus

0:38:18.560 --> 0:38:22.040
<v Speaker 2>one point seven. Miami Ohio a team that just got

0:38:22.120 --> 0:38:27.640
<v Speaker 2>upset at home by Buffalo Buffalo, a team that it

0:38:27.680 --> 0:38:30.000
<v Speaker 2>was on the Miami was at at Buffalo, but they

0:38:30.080 --> 0:38:32.200
<v Speaker 2>did lose that game. Buffalo is a team that the

0:38:32.280 --> 0:38:35.120
<v Speaker 2>market had liked before and had missed on it, missed

0:38:35.160 --> 0:38:37.279
<v Speaker 2>on and missed on it, and then finally Buffalo got

0:38:37.320 --> 0:38:40.520
<v Speaker 2>right playing this Miami of Ohio team the week before,

0:38:40.560 --> 0:38:45.120
<v Speaker 2>though Miami Ohio had beaten Northwestern. You can certainly nippick

0:38:45.200 --> 0:38:47.120
<v Speaker 2>Northwestern as a team as far as being a Big

0:38:47.160 --> 0:38:50.440
<v Speaker 2>ten Big ten team, but like for Miami, Miami of Ohio,

0:38:50.480 --> 0:38:53.319
<v Speaker 2>that was a big win. And then the other games

0:38:53.320 --> 0:38:56.239
<v Speaker 2>they played was Kentucky and Cincinnati and then an FCS team,

0:38:56.239 --> 0:38:59.600
<v Speaker 2>So it's hard to get information about Miami beyond that.

0:39:00.080 --> 0:39:03.080
<v Speaker 2>Kenn State is stuck in everybody's head because they played

0:39:03.080 --> 0:39:07.160
<v Speaker 2>Georgia so well, right, and then last week we might

0:39:07.160 --> 0:39:09.920
<v Speaker 2>have gotten more value on the other like for pushing

0:39:09.960 --> 0:39:13.040
<v Speaker 2>it towards ken State or yeah, ken State getting the

0:39:13.120 --> 0:39:15.560
<v Speaker 2>value so so so the line getting pushed more towards

0:39:15.560 --> 0:39:18.160
<v Speaker 2>Miami and Ohio. Had Ken State not held on for

0:39:18.200 --> 0:39:22.759
<v Speaker 2>an overtime win against Ohio last week, Ohio was able

0:39:22.760 --> 0:39:24.360
<v Speaker 2>to keep that one close. And then you know, of

0:39:24.360 --> 0:39:27.840
<v Speaker 2>course in overtime that that's where Ken State ended up

0:39:27.880 --> 0:39:31.080
<v Speaker 2>winning by a touchdown. In terms of the overall talent

0:39:31.800 --> 0:39:34.400
<v Speaker 2>UH and and again the schematics, and and who I

0:39:34.480 --> 0:39:37.120
<v Speaker 2>trust in it? I trust Sean Lewis a little bit

0:39:37.120 --> 0:39:41.080
<v Speaker 2>more he did. Ken State did lose some guys over

0:39:41.120 --> 0:39:44.040
<v Speaker 2>the They lost their starting quarterback, a kid that actually

0:39:44.040 --> 0:39:45.960
<v Speaker 2>got to look from the NFL went to the combine.

0:39:45.960 --> 0:39:47.840
<v Speaker 2>Stuff like that, they have a new quarterback, they have

0:39:47.880 --> 0:39:51.520
<v Speaker 2>some new new guys in important UH spots on their team,

0:39:51.680 --> 0:39:55.239
<v Speaker 2>skill positions, et cetera. But with where my numbers are

0:39:55.239 --> 0:39:59.440
<v Speaker 2>telling me, instead of this game being a Sunday bet

0:39:59.480 --> 0:40:02.640
<v Speaker 2>on Ken State, it became a I need to sit

0:40:02.719 --> 0:40:04.920
<v Speaker 2>back and I need to handicap this game during the

0:40:04.960 --> 0:40:09.160
<v Speaker 2>week and decide if my preconceived notions or you know,

0:40:09.320 --> 0:40:13.839
<v Speaker 2>disposition heading into it of preferring Ken State provisionally, if

0:40:14.200 --> 0:40:17.359
<v Speaker 2>that is what I actually believe after I dig into

0:40:17.400 --> 0:40:20.759
<v Speaker 2>the numbers, the matchups of the one team's you know,

0:40:21.239 --> 0:40:24.799
<v Speaker 2>rushing efficiency against the other team's run defense efficiency, the

0:40:24.840 --> 0:40:27.279
<v Speaker 2>explosion on both all that sort of stuff. The end

0:40:27.320 --> 0:40:30.759
<v Speaker 2>game stuff is, you know, should I ride with what

0:40:30.800 --> 0:40:33.319
<v Speaker 2>I initially felt or should I ride with what my

0:40:33.440 --> 0:40:36.200
<v Speaker 2>sort of tree top numbers are telling me. It's going

0:40:36.280 --> 0:40:38.040
<v Speaker 2>to be a handicap for me this week, and it's

0:40:38.080 --> 0:40:39.960
<v Speaker 2>gonna be one of the games that I dig deepest into,

0:40:40.000 --> 0:40:40.359
<v Speaker 2>I think.

0:40:40.960 --> 0:40:43.160
<v Speaker 1>And that's the thing. These smaller games, the ones that

0:40:43.160 --> 0:40:45.520
<v Speaker 1>you're not really thinking about because they don't grab the headlines,

0:40:45.520 --> 0:40:47.080
<v Speaker 1>that's where you're gonna be able to get a better

0:40:47.080 --> 0:40:49.359
<v Speaker 1>price in the market, kind of like the next one

0:40:49.400 --> 0:40:52.080
<v Speaker 1>up here. You already talked about Buffalo. Well, they're playing

0:40:52.160 --> 0:40:57.000
<v Speaker 1>Bowling Green now Bowling Green laying minus one and a

0:40:57.120 --> 0:41:00.080
<v Speaker 1>half in this game. Where are you going to this

0:41:00.480 --> 0:41:02.240
<v Speaker 1>is your line says it should be very different.

0:41:03.000 --> 0:41:06.960
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, Buffalo is. You know I talked about like the

0:41:07.000 --> 0:41:11.279
<v Speaker 2>market where the market in if I'm recalling right, it

0:41:11.320 --> 0:41:13.480
<v Speaker 2>was weeks two and three where the market was like

0:41:14.440 --> 0:41:17.319
<v Speaker 2>it there was so much action going in on Buffalo

0:41:17.640 --> 0:41:21.160
<v Speaker 2>where you're like, if you've done this for long enough,

0:41:21.160 --> 0:41:22.920
<v Speaker 2>you're looking at the line moves and you're looking at

0:41:22.920 --> 0:41:25.439
<v Speaker 2>the tickets bought and stuff like that, and you're just

0:41:25.480 --> 0:41:28.959
<v Speaker 2>sort of scratching your head of like, who knows more

0:41:29.000 --> 0:41:31.640
<v Speaker 2>about this game than I do? And what do they know?

0:41:32.320 --> 0:41:36.040
<v Speaker 2>But then Buffalo misfired in both of those spots, and

0:41:36.120 --> 0:41:38.360
<v Speaker 2>there were some people with some deep pockets that lost

0:41:38.400 --> 0:41:41.759
<v Speaker 2>money in both those games. What's really interesting over the

0:41:41.800 --> 0:41:45.040
<v Speaker 2>past two weeks that has not been as much of

0:41:45.080 --> 0:41:47.360
<v Speaker 2>the case that the market has not been as hot

0:41:47.560 --> 0:41:51.319
<v Speaker 2>after Buffalo as they were the last two weeks are

0:41:51.320 --> 0:41:54.000
<v Speaker 2>the ones that Buffalo won. So it seems like the

0:41:54.400 --> 0:41:57.160
<v Speaker 2>Buffalo team that the Sharps wanted to see week two

0:41:57.200 --> 0:42:01.239
<v Speaker 2>and three they finally showed up week four. And as

0:42:01.280 --> 0:42:04.839
<v Speaker 2>far as Bowling Green, they have one of the more

0:42:06.880 --> 0:42:11.480
<v Speaker 2>prototypical mac starts of their season as a as in

0:42:11.520 --> 0:42:13.560
<v Speaker 2>contrast to what I was talking about with ken State,

0:42:13.600 --> 0:42:16.600
<v Speaker 2>where Ken State plays that you know, like the the

0:42:16.600 --> 0:42:21.399
<v Speaker 2>Golias or whatever, Bowling Green to this point they've gotten

0:42:21.440 --> 0:42:23.680
<v Speaker 2>the thing of where they've gotten the They played two

0:42:23.760 --> 0:42:27.399
<v Speaker 2>poor opponents one and another G five opponent, and then

0:42:27.480 --> 0:42:29.560
<v Speaker 2>then they took their medicine on the two road games

0:42:29.560 --> 0:42:31.960
<v Speaker 2>to the you know, the blue Bloods or whatever. But

0:42:32.000 --> 0:42:34.760
<v Speaker 2>like they they lost their their games very similar scores

0:42:34.800 --> 0:42:38.480
<v Speaker 2>to UCLA and Missippi State on the road. They also

0:42:38.560 --> 0:42:41.000
<v Speaker 2>had lost at home to Eastern Kentucky, which is the

0:42:41.040 --> 0:42:43.759
<v Speaker 2>embarrassing loss for Bowling Green so far. But they did

0:42:43.840 --> 0:42:47.399
<v Speaker 2>catch Marshall sort of with their pants down that week

0:42:47.440 --> 0:42:49.680
<v Speaker 2>that Marshall was coming off the big upset win against

0:42:49.680 --> 0:42:53.399
<v Speaker 2>Notre Dame, Bowling Green ambushed them the next week won

0:42:53.440 --> 0:42:56.279
<v Speaker 2>by a field goal. Then this past week they go

0:42:56.360 --> 0:42:59.960
<v Speaker 2>to Akron and Bowling Green was a Jews favorite. They

0:43:00.120 --> 0:43:02.279
<v Speaker 2>only win by three points in that game against this

0:43:02.360 --> 0:43:05.839
<v Speaker 2>Acron team that has been been very bad. It's hard

0:43:05.840 --> 0:43:08.040
<v Speaker 2>for me to get my finger on Bowling Green right now,

0:43:08.480 --> 0:43:13.560
<v Speaker 2>a team whose performance has gone it's been, uh, you know,

0:43:13.719 --> 0:43:16.160
<v Speaker 2>going up and down by this much week to week,

0:43:16.480 --> 0:43:19.440
<v Speaker 2>where you can lose at home to a mediocre FCS team,

0:43:19.800 --> 0:43:23.520
<v Speaker 2>and then you can beat a team that just beat

0:43:23.600 --> 0:43:26.520
<v Speaker 2>Notre Dame, you know, et cetera. And then when you

0:43:26.560 --> 0:43:29.600
<v Speaker 2>play down against a team like Akron that shouldn't be

0:43:29.600 --> 0:43:34.120
<v Speaker 2>beating any even average MAC opponent right now, or even

0:43:34.160 --> 0:43:37.279
<v Speaker 2>slightly below average MAC upon it, which I feel like

0:43:37.280 --> 0:43:38.960
<v Speaker 2>bull and Green. That's what they were expecting to be

0:43:39.040 --> 0:43:41.560
<v Speaker 2>this year. That's what they've sort of been building towards.

0:43:41.960 --> 0:43:44.880
<v Speaker 2>So I it's it's a hard one of trying to

0:43:44.920 --> 0:43:48.000
<v Speaker 2>figure out, like where your finger is on both these teams,

0:43:48.560 --> 0:43:52.120
<v Speaker 2>because they have been so hard to get your your

0:43:52.160 --> 0:43:55.759
<v Speaker 2>finger on. But I do think that I'm I would

0:43:55.800 --> 0:44:00.400
<v Speaker 2>be on Buffalo in in this game. Again, it seems

0:44:00.480 --> 0:44:02.840
<v Speaker 2>like they have finally turned the corner to being what

0:44:03.680 --> 0:44:06.640
<v Speaker 2>the sharps in the marketplace, what they had wanted them

0:44:06.680 --> 0:44:11.040
<v Speaker 2>to be previously, whereas Bull and Green they're just so

0:44:11.239 --> 0:44:13.560
<v Speaker 2>up and down, up and down. The thing with Bull

0:44:13.600 --> 0:44:17.200
<v Speaker 2>and Green is they can catch the sunlight in like

0:44:17.440 --> 0:44:20.600
<v Speaker 2>we've seen this the past couple of years. The Marshall game,

0:44:20.640 --> 0:44:23.359
<v Speaker 2>of course, was not the first September ambush we've seen

0:44:23.400 --> 0:44:25.799
<v Speaker 2>in the past. They did that to Minnesota as well.

0:44:25.840 --> 0:44:28.160
<v Speaker 2>That one was on the road, But it's like in

0:44:28.200 --> 0:44:30.720
<v Speaker 2>the other games where there's not as big as the lights,

0:44:30.760 --> 0:44:34.640
<v Speaker 2>that's where they play sort of the expectations. For me,

0:44:34.880 --> 0:44:37.920
<v Speaker 2>I prefer Buffalo right now, with where that number is,

0:44:37.960 --> 0:44:40.480
<v Speaker 2>I think Buffalo should be favored. My line on it

0:44:40.640 --> 0:44:43.000
<v Speaker 2>is Buffalo minus three point two and.

0:44:43.040 --> 0:44:45.680
<v Speaker 1>Let's cap it all off. Your one final game Oregon

0:44:45.840 --> 0:44:48.680
<v Speaker 1>in Arizona. U of a getting ten and a half

0:44:48.800 --> 0:44:52.839
<v Speaker 1>at home right now. But Oregon, I don't know, what

0:44:52.840 --> 0:44:54.480
<v Speaker 1>do you think about them? What do you make of

0:44:54.480 --> 0:44:57.320
<v Speaker 1>this team? Is the pack twell doesn't have many great

0:44:57.360 --> 0:44:59.960
<v Speaker 1>schools left after the next couple of years with the accident,

0:45:00.080 --> 0:45:01.920
<v Speaker 1>Is Oregon all that's remaining?

0:45:03.160 --> 0:45:05.880
<v Speaker 2>Uh well, no, I mean of course you got USC.

0:45:06.120 --> 0:45:08.840
<v Speaker 2>You know they're gonna have to figure out I'm.

0:45:08.680 --> 0:45:11.000
<v Speaker 1>Talking about yeah, I'm talking about down the road here with.

0:45:11.040 --> 0:45:15.680
<v Speaker 2>Oh yeah, yeah, after the exodus maybe yeah, yeah, I

0:45:15.680 --> 0:45:18.960
<v Speaker 2>mean when, and we'll have to see what the pieces

0:45:19.000 --> 0:45:21.520
<v Speaker 2>look like, you know, I mean like because obviously USC

0:45:21.560 --> 0:45:23.560
<v Speaker 2>and UCLI are not going to be they were just

0:45:23.600 --> 0:45:25.840
<v Speaker 2>the first dominoes. But we'll have to see what the

0:45:25.840 --> 0:45:29.799
<v Speaker 2>reconstituted thing looks like. But Oregon has looked okay so far,

0:45:30.120 --> 0:45:34.000
<v Speaker 2>especially when you bring your mind back to that opening

0:45:34.080 --> 0:45:37.719
<v Speaker 2>game against Georgia, where like, you know, there was some

0:45:37.760 --> 0:45:40.120
<v Speaker 2>thought that Oregon could be a little bit more competitive

0:45:40.120 --> 0:45:43.440
<v Speaker 2>in it. Maybe that upgraded the quarterback from Brown to Knicks.

0:45:43.760 --> 0:45:46.920
<v Speaker 2>Now you had the Georgia defensive coordinator that the architect

0:45:46.920 --> 0:45:50.200
<v Speaker 2>of that defense, Dan Lanning, now he's going against his

0:45:50.239 --> 0:45:53.880
<v Speaker 2>former team, and Georgia wiped the floirt with Oregon. But

0:45:53.960 --> 0:45:57.759
<v Speaker 2>ever since, we all we just totally dropped our expectations

0:45:57.760 --> 0:46:00.200
<v Speaker 2>of Oregon. Yeah, this is like a classic life. But

0:46:00.239 --> 0:46:02.759
<v Speaker 2>it's like then, they've sort of turned into what we

0:46:02.840 --> 0:46:05.360
<v Speaker 2>thought they were going to be initially. They've won the

0:46:05.640 --> 0:46:08.160
<v Speaker 2>four games since then, and they've looked pretty good and

0:46:08.239 --> 0:46:12.160
<v Speaker 2>doing it. I mean, they slapped around BYU when BYU

0:46:12.200 --> 0:46:14.160
<v Speaker 2>came into that game as a top fifteen team in

0:46:14.200 --> 0:46:17.600
<v Speaker 2>terms of the polls. They won that Washington State game,

0:46:17.680 --> 0:46:21.239
<v Speaker 2>which maybe they didn't play as well as like you

0:46:21.239 --> 0:46:24.000
<v Speaker 2>would have liked heading in, but Washington State. Again, going

0:46:24.000 --> 0:46:26.040
<v Speaker 2>back to what we were talking about before, they're a

0:46:26.040 --> 0:46:27.719
<v Speaker 2>better team than we thought they were going to be.

0:46:28.040 --> 0:46:31.279
<v Speaker 2>And also you have to give Oregon credit for prevailing

0:46:31.440 --> 0:46:35.000
<v Speaker 2>in the circumstances of what became one of the wildest

0:46:35.000 --> 0:46:38.279
<v Speaker 2>fourth quarters of any game played this season. So I mean,

0:46:38.400 --> 0:46:40.360
<v Speaker 2>you at least have to tip your cap to Oregon

0:46:40.360 --> 0:46:42.239
<v Speaker 2>for that, for coming out on the right side of that.

0:46:42.440 --> 0:46:46.360
<v Speaker 2>And then they whip Stanford last week, which they absolutely

0:46:46.360 --> 0:46:48.239
<v Speaker 2>should out. But it's a good mark, you know, it's

0:46:48.239 --> 0:46:51.480
<v Speaker 2>a mark of a good team. To conform to expectations

0:46:51.520 --> 0:46:53.040
<v Speaker 2>in a game like that, in a match up like that,

0:46:53.080 --> 0:46:56.560
<v Speaker 2>because of course, Stanford has a couple of players that

0:46:56.640 --> 0:46:59.400
<v Speaker 2>give them a puncher's chance in a game against a

0:46:59.480 --> 0:47:03.520
<v Speaker 2>superior opponent that's overlooking them, and Oregon clearly wasn't last time.

0:47:03.520 --> 0:47:05.960
<v Speaker 2>So I'm starting to trust Oregon a bit more. My

0:47:06.080 --> 0:47:10.120
<v Speaker 2>numbers certainly are in this game, my numbers. This is

0:47:10.160 --> 0:47:13.400
<v Speaker 2>one of my biggest discrepancies between what my opening line

0:47:13.440 --> 0:47:16.279
<v Speaker 2>is and the market's opening line. My line on this

0:47:16.360 --> 0:47:19.240
<v Speaker 2>game is Oregon minus sixteen and a half. The market

0:47:19.680 --> 0:47:22.239
<v Speaker 2>opened it at ten and a half. Oregon minus ten

0:47:22.280 --> 0:47:27.080
<v Speaker 2>and a half. I think the market even though seems

0:47:27.160 --> 0:47:30.600
<v Speaker 2>like the market had gotten higher and higher and higher.

0:47:30.600 --> 0:47:34.080
<v Speaker 2>On Arizona, you know the fighting jed Fishers through the

0:47:34.120 --> 0:47:38.400
<v Speaker 2>first four weeks of the season, and justifiably so, right like,

0:47:38.440 --> 0:47:41.560
<v Speaker 2>they had upset San Diego State by double digits in

0:47:41.640 --> 0:47:45.000
<v Speaker 2>the first game, they had beaten North Dakota State, who, Yeah,

0:47:45.040 --> 0:47:48.279
<v Speaker 2>it's an FCS team, but a goliath of an FCS team,

0:47:48.680 --> 0:47:51.120
<v Speaker 2>a team where if they were in the FBS over

0:47:51.120 --> 0:47:53.959
<v Speaker 2>the last decade, a lot of those seasons they would

0:47:54.000 --> 0:47:56.839
<v Speaker 2>have like, I'm not going out on a limb here,

0:47:56.880 --> 0:48:00.040
<v Speaker 2>they would have finished qualitatively as a top half of

0:48:00.080 --> 0:48:03.320
<v Speaker 2>the FBS team. That's where the debate begins. Like me

0:48:03.560 --> 0:48:06.720
<v Speaker 2>living in Minneapolis, a lot of my buddies are NDSU fans,

0:48:06.719 --> 0:48:09.239
<v Speaker 2>so like they'll argue with you till you're blue, until

0:48:09.280 --> 0:48:11.719
<v Speaker 2>they're blue in the face. That NDY issue could like

0:48:11.760 --> 0:48:14.799
<v Speaker 2>hang in the Big ten, maybe not compete certainly, but

0:48:14.920 --> 0:48:17.759
<v Speaker 2>like that that they would still be making balls there.

0:48:18.560 --> 0:48:20.080
<v Speaker 2>Or you know, if they went to the MAC what

0:48:20.160 --> 0:48:21.960
<v Speaker 2>you know what what they just absolutely wiped the floor

0:48:22.040 --> 0:48:25.840
<v Speaker 2>of people. I think they that they would. But Arizona

0:48:25.880 --> 0:48:29.560
<v Speaker 2>had put together a pretty good resume up until last

0:48:29.600 --> 0:48:32.680
<v Speaker 2>week when there was some sharps out there that felt

0:48:32.680 --> 0:48:34.919
<v Speaker 2>that they were going to go onto Cow and upset them.

0:48:34.960 --> 0:48:37.600
<v Speaker 2>And the game did not go as well for Arizona

0:48:37.640 --> 0:48:39.919
<v Speaker 2>as some of those initial ones had, where they were,

0:48:40.080 --> 0:48:43.759
<v Speaker 2>you know, sort of going above expectations. And in this one,

0:48:43.880 --> 0:48:46.400
<v Speaker 2>this is going to provide an even stiffer test for

0:48:46.480 --> 0:48:50.680
<v Speaker 2>them because of the athletes that Oregon has jud Fish

0:48:50.960 --> 0:48:56.680
<v Speaker 2>labored over the offseason in attacking with aggression, the transfer

0:48:56.760 --> 0:49:00.080
<v Speaker 2>portal trying and and and also I will say that

0:49:00.120 --> 0:49:02.120
<v Speaker 2>his high school class because he signed a top twenty

0:49:02.120 --> 0:49:05.400
<v Speaker 2>five high school class, but he was looking for projectable

0:49:05.600 --> 0:49:09.120
<v Speaker 2>athletic type guys to fit into the formation with a

0:49:09.280 --> 0:49:13.440
<v Speaker 2>nod to matchups like this. He has brought the talent

0:49:13.520 --> 0:49:18.600
<v Speaker 2>level Jetfish of Arizona way up in relativity to what

0:49:18.640 --> 0:49:21.440
<v Speaker 2>we usually expect from a year to year basis, but

0:49:21.920 --> 0:49:24.640
<v Speaker 2>he is still now he's trying to build up to

0:49:25.040 --> 0:49:28.080
<v Speaker 2>at least not be embarrassed in that regard against a

0:49:28.120 --> 0:49:31.600
<v Speaker 2>team like Oregon where you're putting athletes in on islands

0:49:31.600 --> 0:49:34.920
<v Speaker 2>and you just can't trust them whatever. Arizona is not

0:49:35.080 --> 0:49:38.480
<v Speaker 2>quite there yet. And I again, I'm surprised that the

0:49:38.520 --> 0:49:43.439
<v Speaker 2>market is still not that it's not that I think

0:49:43.440 --> 0:49:46.480
<v Speaker 2>the market should be out on Arizona for losing that

0:49:46.520 --> 0:49:49.080
<v Speaker 2>one game, because I actually think Cal's better this year

0:49:49.080 --> 0:49:52.400
<v Speaker 2>than they've been, like, you know, like that's you know whatever,

0:49:52.800 --> 0:49:56.920
<v Speaker 2>but that the market did not toggle Arizona down a

0:49:56.920 --> 0:49:59.560
<v Speaker 2>bit more than they did. It seems like we're still

0:49:59.560 --> 0:50:03.160
<v Speaker 2>getting that bullishness. And meanwhile, we're still getting a little

0:50:03.160 --> 0:50:06.759
<v Speaker 2>bit of doubt towards Oregon, where at least me personally,

0:50:07.239 --> 0:50:11.279
<v Speaker 2>I feel like Oregon has addressed that doubt since and

0:50:11.360 --> 0:50:14.520
<v Speaker 2>who knows I mean maybe for some people, not only

0:50:14.600 --> 0:50:17.200
<v Speaker 2>are they the sort of not acknowledging what Oregon has

0:50:17.200 --> 0:50:20.399
<v Speaker 2>done since that Georgia loss, but they are now sort

0:50:20.400 --> 0:50:24.640
<v Speaker 2>of compounding it with Oh, Georgia struggled against Kent State

0:50:24.719 --> 0:50:27.600
<v Speaker 2>and Missouri the last two weeks, and so you know,

0:50:27.800 --> 0:50:30.080
<v Speaker 2>this Oregon team that I already didn't want to trust,

0:50:30.480 --> 0:50:32.040
<v Speaker 2>that was the team that they got whipped by, and

0:50:32.080 --> 0:50:35.319
<v Speaker 2>they're clearly not ires. You know, like, however you would

0:50:35.400 --> 0:50:37.719
<v Speaker 2>justify that to yourself. I don't buy into that line

0:50:37.719 --> 0:50:41.840
<v Speaker 2>of thinking though, Like I qualitatively, Oregon has several steps

0:50:42.200 --> 0:50:44.319
<v Speaker 2>ahead of Arizona. I think they're going to provide him

0:50:44.360 --> 0:50:46.680
<v Speaker 2>with some matchup problems as well. This is a line

0:50:46.680 --> 0:50:50.040
<v Speaker 2>that I would expect to be closer to fourteen come

0:50:50.120 --> 0:50:53.439
<v Speaker 2>kickoff time. I'm surprised that it opened up where it did,

0:50:53.520 --> 0:50:56.239
<v Speaker 2>but I do expect the market to correct that and

0:50:56.280 --> 0:50:58.919
<v Speaker 2>to bring that line closer to what my ad Justice

0:50:58.960 --> 0:51:00.600
<v Speaker 2>line is. I don't think it's get all the way

0:51:00.640 --> 0:51:02.520
<v Speaker 2>up to what my number is by the time kickof

0:51:02.560 --> 0:51:05.040
<v Speaker 2>is sixteen and a half. So there could be value

0:51:05.040 --> 0:51:06.520
<v Speaker 2>for Oregon better throughout the week.

0:51:07.480 --> 0:51:10.000
<v Speaker 1>All right, Well, thora that is going to wrap it up.

0:51:10.040 --> 0:51:11.920
<v Speaker 1>Here once again, if people want to check out the

0:51:11.960 --> 0:51:14.680
<v Speaker 1>rest of your work for the week ahead, where are

0:51:14.680 --> 0:51:15.520
<v Speaker 1>they going to want to go?

0:51:16.360 --> 0:51:19.000
<v Speaker 2>You go on my Twitter at thor ku or go

0:51:19.120 --> 0:51:22.239
<v Speaker 2>to Betting pros is where all the columns drop that

0:51:22.280 --> 0:51:25.359
<v Speaker 2>I do between the power rankings that will be out

0:51:25.640 --> 0:51:28.239
<v Speaker 2>whenever you're listening to this, they'll be out on the

0:51:28.280 --> 0:51:33.480
<v Speaker 2>site early week notes, injury notes, coaching notes. I'll be

0:51:33.560 --> 0:51:36.759
<v Speaker 2>jumping into the Carl Durrell firing in that column this week,

0:51:36.800 --> 0:51:39.600
<v Speaker 2>and then going into some of the injuries, like you know,

0:51:39.640 --> 0:51:42.480
<v Speaker 2>I mean again with college football not having the injury report.

0:51:42.920 --> 0:51:46.440
<v Speaker 2>That's something that for the first time people in Minneapolis

0:51:46.480 --> 0:51:52.719
<v Speaker 2>got furious about yesterday because mo Ibraheim, the Minnesota superstar

0:51:52.800 --> 0:51:58.400
<v Speaker 2>running back who nobody nationally or locally had reported anything

0:51:58.520 --> 0:52:01.319
<v Speaker 2>was wrong with. Mo Ibraheim was ruled out from the

0:52:01.360 --> 0:52:05.520
<v Speaker 2>Purdue game like fifteen minutes before a kickoff. And so

0:52:06.040 --> 0:52:09.360
<v Speaker 2>you know, in that column, we can't get college football, unfortunately,

0:52:09.440 --> 0:52:11.360
<v Speaker 2>to change and to allow us to put out the

0:52:11.400 --> 0:52:13.919
<v Speaker 2>injury apart. We talked about this before with the hip

0:52:14.080 --> 0:52:16.279
<v Speaker 2>with regards to the hippolas and stuff like that, but

0:52:16.800 --> 0:52:19.040
<v Speaker 2>in my column, I try to go as deep as

0:52:19.080 --> 0:52:22.440
<v Speaker 2>I can, as far as finding updated injury information of

0:52:22.560 --> 0:52:27.000
<v Speaker 2>unexpected scratches, what are the statuses of those guys? Is

0:52:27.040 --> 0:52:29.200
<v Speaker 2>that going to affect the line coming up? Injuries that

0:52:29.239 --> 0:52:32.440
<v Speaker 2>occurred on Saturday or Friday or Thursday if it was

0:52:32.480 --> 0:52:35.040
<v Speaker 2>a game then and how that could affect the line,

0:52:35.080 --> 0:52:37.160
<v Speaker 2>the prognost to those guys and stuff like that, and

0:52:37.160 --> 0:52:39.960
<v Speaker 2>then of course the coaching changes. And then also games

0:52:39.960 --> 0:52:42.640
<v Speaker 2>that I'm looking at where I think you can get

0:52:42.680 --> 0:52:45.120
<v Speaker 2>line value early in the week by betting them because

0:52:45.120 --> 0:52:47.120
<v Speaker 2>they're games that I expect the lines to move during

0:52:47.160 --> 0:52:47.439
<v Speaker 2>the week.

0:52:48.080 --> 0:52:49.960
<v Speaker 1>All right, And of course you can also catch your

0:52:50.040 --> 0:52:53.359
<v Speaker 1>podcast on Wednesday with Scott Bogman for Betting Pros, where

0:52:53.400 --> 0:52:56.160
<v Speaker 1>you guys break down the week ahead and do not

0:52:56.320 --> 0:53:00.160
<v Speaker 1>miss the Saturday morning live stream ten am East in

0:53:00.320 --> 0:53:03.080
<v Speaker 1>time each and every week you and Mike Farrell going

0:53:03.160 --> 0:53:07.359
<v Speaker 1>over everything that anyone needs to know, asking getting any

0:53:07.440 --> 0:53:10.439
<v Speaker 1>questions from the chat in a live stream to break

0:53:10.440 --> 0:53:13.160
<v Speaker 1>down the entire Saturday slate. But guys, that is gonna

0:53:13.200 --> 0:53:16.040
<v Speaker 1>do it for us today. Be sure to check back

0:53:16.080 --> 0:53:17.880
<v Speaker 1>next week and let's cash some tickets.