1 00:00:02,480 --> 00:00:06,800 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News. 2 00:00:10,039 --> 00:00:13,239 Speaker 2: Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Amy Morris. Here 3 00:00:13,320 --> 00:00:15,240 Speaker 2: are the stories we're following today. 4 00:00:15,800 --> 00:00:18,439 Speaker 3: Amy, we begin with two key economic data points that 5 00:00:18,480 --> 00:00:21,880 Speaker 3: could have a huge impact on trading, and a preview 6 00:00:22,079 --> 00:00:23,560 Speaker 3: from Bloomberg's Michael McKee. 7 00:00:24,000 --> 00:00:27,400 Speaker 4: A long day ahead for investors. First up, consumer prices 8 00:00:27,400 --> 00:00:30,160 Speaker 4: for May. The consensus is for little change to both 9 00:00:30,160 --> 00:00:33,199 Speaker 4: headline and core, leaving inflation still too high for the 10 00:00:33,280 --> 00:00:37,040 Speaker 4: Fed to consider cutting rates. This afternoon, the Fed will 11 00:00:37,120 --> 00:00:40,479 Speaker 4: likely confirm that Central bank policymakers are not going to 12 00:00:40,600 --> 00:00:43,640 Speaker 4: change policy today. What will matter is what signals they 13 00:00:43,720 --> 00:00:47,000 Speaker 4: send about when they might move. For that, Wall Street 14 00:00:47,040 --> 00:00:49,440 Speaker 4: will look to the so called dot plot. Will it 15 00:00:49,479 --> 00:00:53,120 Speaker 4: suggest one cut this year or two? On such data, 16 00:00:53,440 --> 00:00:56,560 Speaker 4: markets will move Michael McKee, Bloomberg Radio. 17 00:00:56,640 --> 00:00:59,000 Speaker 5: Yes, indeed, thank you, Mike. And the economy. 18 00:00:59,040 --> 00:01:03,360 Speaker 2: Also in folks in Europe this morning, Britain's economic recovery 19 00:01:03,360 --> 00:01:04,920 Speaker 2: ground to a halt in the run up to the 20 00:01:05,000 --> 00:01:08,759 Speaker 2: general election. Gross domestic product was flat in April compared 21 00:01:08,760 --> 00:01:12,440 Speaker 2: to the previous month. What weather contributed to slower retail sales. 22 00:01:12,680 --> 00:01:16,160 Speaker 2: Manufacturing and construction also fell more sharply than expected. 23 00:01:16,280 --> 00:01:18,880 Speaker 3: Now we got fresh eco data in Asia as well. 24 00:01:18,920 --> 00:01:23,160 Speaker 3: Amy China's consumer prices rose in May, holding above zero 25 00:01:23,200 --> 00:01:27,000 Speaker 3: for a fourth month. Bloomberg Daybreak Asia anchor Brian Curtis 26 00:01:27,000 --> 00:01:28,200 Speaker 3: has more from Hong Kong. 27 00:01:28,560 --> 00:01:31,760 Speaker 6: The CPI rows zero point three percent from a year earlier, 28 00:01:31,800 --> 00:01:35,120 Speaker 6: compared to a forecast of zero point four percent, but 29 00:01:35,240 --> 00:01:39,960 Speaker 6: deflation persists in wholesale prices, the PPI falling one point 30 00:01:40,000 --> 00:01:43,040 Speaker 6: four percent from a year earlier. It's the twentieth month 31 00:01:43,080 --> 00:01:45,800 Speaker 6: in a row that factory gate prices have been negative. 32 00:01:46,200 --> 00:01:49,240 Speaker 6: Economists had expected a drop of one point five percent. 33 00:01:49,760 --> 00:01:52,600 Speaker 6: The data have fueled calls for more government action to 34 00:01:52,760 --> 00:01:56,560 Speaker 6: support demand in Hong Kong. Brian Curtis, Bloomberg Radio. 35 00:01:56,440 --> 00:01:59,200 Speaker 2: Thank you, Brian, and sticking with China, Bloomberg News has 36 00:01:59,240 --> 00:02:02,800 Speaker 2: learned the Buy and Administration is considering further restrictions on 37 00:02:02,880 --> 00:02:07,120 Speaker 2: China's access to chip technology used for artificial intelligence. Sour 38 00:02:07,120 --> 00:02:10,119 Speaker 2: As to say the administration is targeting new hardware that's 39 00:02:10,120 --> 00:02:12,880 Speaker 2: only now making its way into the market. The US 40 00:02:12,919 --> 00:02:16,320 Speaker 2: has already imposed numerous limits on the sale of advanced 41 00:02:16,320 --> 00:02:19,400 Speaker 2: semiconductors and chip making tools to the acient country. 42 00:02:19,720 --> 00:02:23,360 Speaker 3: Artificial intelligence AMY has helped fuel Apple to a record 43 00:02:23,440 --> 00:02:26,320 Speaker 3: close on Wall Street. The shares soared more than seven 44 00:02:26,400 --> 00:02:29,880 Speaker 3: percent yesterday, adding two hundred and fifteen billion dollars to 45 00:02:29,919 --> 00:02:33,160 Speaker 3: Apple's market capitalization, made for one of the biggest single 46 00:02:33,200 --> 00:02:37,120 Speaker 3: day value adds by any company in history. The record 47 00:02:37,160 --> 00:02:40,840 Speaker 3: came off the back of Apple's annual Worldwide Developers Conference, 48 00:02:40,840 --> 00:02:43,360 Speaker 3: where it showcased a number of features related to AI. 49 00:02:43,800 --> 00:02:46,280 Speaker 3: Van Ives is an analystic White Bush Securities. 50 00:02:46,480 --> 00:02:49,960 Speaker 7: This is going to be an AI brain in your 51 00:02:50,000 --> 00:02:53,760 Speaker 7: phone that's going to understand the user and the owner 52 00:02:53,800 --> 00:02:54,440 Speaker 7: of the phone. 53 00:02:54,919 --> 00:02:58,000 Speaker 5: The more and more that they're together, SOUD. 54 00:02:58,000 --> 00:03:01,480 Speaker 8: They're going to understand your habits, restaurants. 55 00:03:01,200 --> 00:03:03,440 Speaker 4: Which people you like to pick up the phone from 56 00:03:03,520 --> 00:03:07,000 Speaker 4: which you don't, what photos you prioritize over others. 57 00:03:07,080 --> 00:03:09,359 Speaker 3: Weld Bush's dan Ives has a price target of two 58 00:03:09,400 --> 00:03:12,160 Speaker 3: undred and seventy five dollars on Apple. Right now, the 59 00:03:12,200 --> 00:03:14,880 Speaker 3: shares are trading around two oh six, and. 60 00:03:14,880 --> 00:03:17,400 Speaker 2: Apple shares not the only stock on the move. Shares 61 00:03:17,440 --> 00:03:21,480 Speaker 2: of Oracle up almost nine percent in early trading after 62 00:03:21,520 --> 00:03:24,760 Speaker 2: the close yesterday. The company reported better than expected bookings. 63 00:03:24,960 --> 00:03:29,200 Speaker 2: Bloomberg's Charlie Pellett has the numbers from Oracle's latest earnings report. 64 00:03:29,800 --> 00:03:33,360 Speaker 9: It suggests continued momentum for the company's effort to compete 65 00:03:33,440 --> 00:03:37,760 Speaker 9: in cloud computing against its larger tech rivals. Oracle said 66 00:03:37,840 --> 00:03:42,600 Speaker 9: total remaining performance obligations, a measure of future contracted sales, 67 00:03:42,960 --> 00:03:46,880 Speaker 9: increased forty four percent to ninety eight billion dollars in 68 00:03:46,920 --> 00:03:50,520 Speaker 9: the fiscal fourth quarter. Analyst, on average, we're estimating seventy 69 00:03:50,560 --> 00:03:54,200 Speaker 9: three point nine billion dollars. Oracle also announced a new 70 00:03:54,240 --> 00:03:58,560 Speaker 9: agreement to make its namesake database available on Google's cloud 71 00:03:58,600 --> 00:04:02,800 Speaker 9: infrastructure in New York. Charlie Pellet Bloomberg Radio. 72 00:04:03,000 --> 00:04:06,000 Speaker 3: Okay, Charlie, thank you. Now, let's turn to politics. Former 73 00:04:06,040 --> 00:04:09,640 Speaker 3: President Donald Trump's influence on the Republican Party was made 74 00:04:09,680 --> 00:04:14,720 Speaker 3: clear in yesterday's primaries. Republican Maine state lawmaker Austin Terrio, 75 00:04:14,920 --> 00:04:17,839 Speaker 3: endorsed by Trump, won the chance to try to unseat 76 00:04:17,839 --> 00:04:21,080 Speaker 3: one of the most conservative Democrats in the House of Representatives. 77 00:04:21,160 --> 00:04:24,919 Speaker 3: Terrio defeated Mike Sobleski in the Republican primary in a 78 00:04:24,960 --> 00:04:27,640 Speaker 3: district that was rocked by a mass shooting last year. 79 00:04:27,920 --> 00:04:32,160 Speaker 3: Terrio will face three term incumbent Democrat Jared Golden And. 80 00:04:32,080 --> 00:04:35,000 Speaker 2: In South Carolina Representative Nancy Mace, who went from a 81 00:04:35,040 --> 00:04:38,040 Speaker 2: critic to an ally of Donald Trump, also won her 82 00:04:38,080 --> 00:04:40,839 Speaker 2: primary with fifty six point eight percent of the vote. 83 00:04:41,080 --> 00:04:43,480 Speaker 2: Mays had joined seven of the farthest RIDE members to 84 00:04:43,600 --> 00:04:48,440 Speaker 2: oust former House Speaker Kevin McCarthy. McCarthy endorsed Mace's opponent 85 00:04:48,520 --> 00:04:51,279 Speaker 2: and donated to a group called South Carolina Patriots Pack, 86 00:04:51,440 --> 00:04:54,480 Speaker 2: which spent more than two point one million dollars against Mace. 87 00:04:54,800 --> 00:04:58,560 Speaker 3: And in Nevada, Army veteran Sam Brown won the Republican 88 00:04:58,600 --> 00:05:01,520 Speaker 3: primary for the US Senate's seat, receiving fifty nine point 89 00:05:01,600 --> 00:05:04,520 Speaker 3: six percent of the vote. Brown was endorsed by Donald 90 00:05:04,520 --> 00:05:08,080 Speaker 3: Trump shortly before primary day. He will face Democratic incumbent 91 00:05:08,200 --> 00:05:11,520 Speaker 3: Jackie Rosen in November. That sets up a fierce battle 92 00:05:11,520 --> 00:05:14,680 Speaker 3: that could decide control of the Senate. That Nevada seat 93 00:05:14,839 --> 00:05:18,280 Speaker 3: is rated a toss up by the nonpartisan Cook Political Report. 94 00:05:18,680 --> 00:05:20,880 Speaker 2: And well, now the presidential race may have just gotten 95 00:05:20,880 --> 00:05:23,920 Speaker 2: a bit more complicated. The incumbent's son is now a 96 00:05:23,960 --> 00:05:27,360 Speaker 2: convicted felon Hunter. Biden has been found guilty on three 97 00:05:27,400 --> 00:05:29,880 Speaker 2: federal accounts for buying a firearm at the time he 98 00:05:29,960 --> 00:05:32,880 Speaker 2: was using crack cocaine. We get more from Bloomberg Law 99 00:05:32,880 --> 00:05:33,720 Speaker 2: host June Grosso. 100 00:05:34,320 --> 00:05:37,960 Speaker 10: The prosecution just presented a mountain of evidence, including hunter 101 00:05:38,000 --> 00:05:42,200 Speaker 10: Biden's own words in his memoir, including testimony from his 102 00:05:42,440 --> 00:05:44,320 Speaker 10: ex wife and ex lovers. 103 00:05:45,520 --> 00:05:48,839 Speaker 2: Bloomberg's June Grosso knows Hunter Biden chose not to take 104 00:05:48,839 --> 00:05:51,640 Speaker 2: the stand in his own defense. As for the political impact, 105 00:05:51,680 --> 00:05:55,880 Speaker 2: to Bloomberg Politics contributor Genie Sheenzano says, that's still not clear. 106 00:05:56,480 --> 00:05:58,880 Speaker 7: We have seen some polling on this. 107 00:05:59,320 --> 00:06:03,039 Speaker 1: For instance, Emerson did a poll and they found, similar 108 00:06:03,200 --> 00:06:07,080 Speaker 1: to the reaction to Trump's conviction, that about six or 109 00:06:07,160 --> 00:06:10,080 Speaker 1: seven out of ten American voters said it wouldn't impact 110 00:06:10,160 --> 00:06:13,520 Speaker 1: their vote whatsoever. But that left about a quarter of 111 00:06:13,560 --> 00:06:17,400 Speaker 1: Americans saying it might impact them, and in this case, 112 00:06:17,480 --> 00:06:19,840 Speaker 1: about eleven percent of those were Democrats. 113 00:06:20,000 --> 00:06:23,760 Speaker 2: Bloomberg Politics contributor Genie she and Zano says Hunter Biden 114 00:06:23,839 --> 00:06:27,359 Speaker 2: is facing another trial on tax charges even closer to 115 00:06:27,400 --> 00:06:28,240 Speaker 2: the November election. 116 00:06:28,760 --> 00:06:31,839 Speaker 3: As for the presidential race, amy a new poll done 117 00:06:31,839 --> 00:06:34,520 Speaker 3: by the Pew Research Center says the world has more 118 00:06:34,520 --> 00:06:38,320 Speaker 3: confidence in President Biden than it does in former President Trump. 119 00:06:38,600 --> 00:06:40,560 Speaker 3: Bloomberg Zaed Baxter has the numbers. 120 00:06:41,160 --> 00:06:43,919 Speaker 8: Pugh says, this is a poll done in thirty four countries. 121 00:06:44,000 --> 00:06:46,800 Speaker 8: It found a median of forty three percent saying they 122 00:06:46,839 --> 00:06:49,400 Speaker 8: trust Biden to do the right thing in world affairs, 123 00:06:49,440 --> 00:06:53,120 Speaker 8: compared to twenty eight percent from Trump. People had more 124 00:06:53,279 --> 00:06:56,320 Speaker 8: positive assessment of Biden than Trump in twenty four countries, 125 00:06:56,400 --> 00:06:59,760 Speaker 8: while Trump led in Hungary and Tunisia, and the two 126 00:06:59,760 --> 00:07:03,120 Speaker 8: were effectively tired in eight others. But this comes as 127 00:07:03,160 --> 00:07:06,840 Speaker 8: well at a time when global faith in US democracy 128 00:07:07,240 --> 00:07:10,800 Speaker 8: is waning. A median four and ten told posters at 129 00:07:10,840 --> 00:07:14,120 Speaker 8: democracy used to be a good example for other countries 130 00:07:14,160 --> 00:07:19,200 Speaker 8: to follow, but that it no longer is. Ed Baxter Bloomberg. 131 00:07:18,840 --> 00:07:20,000 Speaker 5: Radio, thank you, ed. 132 00:07:23,440 --> 00:07:25,000 Speaker 2: Time out for a look at some of the other 133 00:07:25,080 --> 00:07:27,680 Speaker 2: stories making news in New York and around the world, 134 00:07:27,680 --> 00:07:30,160 Speaker 2: and for that we're joined by Bloomberg's Michael Bard. 135 00:07:30,200 --> 00:07:32,920 Speaker 11: Good morning, Michael, Good morning, Amy. The Full House will 136 00:07:32,960 --> 00:07:36,520 Speaker 11: vote today on whether to hold Attorney General Merrick Garland 137 00:07:36,600 --> 00:07:40,480 Speaker 11: in contempt of Congress. House Republicans had been demanding that 138 00:07:40,560 --> 00:07:45,000 Speaker 11: the Justice Department turnover audio recordings of President Biden's interview 139 00:07:45,040 --> 00:07:48,400 Speaker 11: with Special Counsel Robert hurb. The interview was part of 140 00:07:48,400 --> 00:07:53,520 Speaker 11: HER's investigation of classified documents found in Biden's home and office. 141 00:07:53,800 --> 00:07:57,520 Speaker 11: Garland has provided a transcript of the full interview, but 142 00:07:57,680 --> 00:08:01,520 Speaker 11: not the audio. Some Republicans believe the transcript differs from 143 00:08:01,520 --> 00:08:05,640 Speaker 11: the recording. Democrats say Republicans just want the audio to 144 00:08:05,840 --> 00:08:10,040 Speaker 11: use an anti Biden ads. Atlanta police have arrested a 145 00:08:10,120 --> 00:08:13,880 Speaker 11: suspect in the deadly hijacking of a bus. Police responded 146 00:08:13,920 --> 00:08:16,560 Speaker 11: to a report of gunfire on a bus and a 147 00:08:16,640 --> 00:08:22,200 Speaker 11: possible hostage situation. When police arrived, pursued ensued over two counties. 148 00:08:22,240 --> 00:08:25,080 Speaker 11: Seventeen people, including the driver, were on the bus. A 149 00:08:25,160 --> 00:08:28,160 Speaker 11: victim with the gunshot wound later died at the hospital. 150 00:08:28,440 --> 00:08:32,960 Speaker 11: Atlanta Mayor Andre dickens this individual has held someone to 151 00:08:33,200 --> 00:08:38,160 Speaker 11: a driver at gunpoint across multiple jurisdictions. The suspect with 152 00:08:38,240 --> 00:08:41,600 Speaker 11: multiple arrests, a thirty nine year old man from Stone Mountain, 153 00:08:42,160 --> 00:08:46,560 Speaker 11: was arrested as the bus was disabled by a swat vehicle. 154 00:08:47,080 --> 00:08:50,439 Speaker 11: Hamas says it has given a Katari and Egyptian mediators 155 00:08:50,480 --> 00:08:54,439 Speaker 11: its reply to the US backed proposal for a ceasefire 156 00:08:54,480 --> 00:08:58,600 Speaker 11: in Gaza, seeking some amendments on the deal. Hamas and 157 00:08:58,640 --> 00:09:02,400 Speaker 11: the smaller Islamic g militant group said they were ready 158 00:09:02,440 --> 00:09:06,000 Speaker 11: to deal positively to arrive at an agreement and that 159 00:09:06,040 --> 00:09:08,760 Speaker 11: their priority is to bring a complete stop to the war. 160 00:09:09,320 --> 00:09:12,560 Speaker 11: The foreign ministries of Cutter in Egypt and White House 161 00:09:12,559 --> 00:09:17,079 Speaker 11: officials were examining the response. The care of migrant children 162 00:09:17,200 --> 00:09:21,160 Speaker 11: is drawing concern from those on Capitol Hill. Bloomberg's Nancy 163 00:09:21,280 --> 00:09:22,680 Speaker 11: lyons reports. 164 00:09:22,760 --> 00:09:26,200 Speaker 12: By partisan duo of senators is launching an investigation into 165 00:09:26,240 --> 00:09:29,520 Speaker 12: the care of migrant children being held in federal facilities. 166 00:09:30,000 --> 00:09:33,840 Speaker 12: Senators John Ossoff, a Democrat, and Marsha Blackburn, a Republican, 167 00:09:34,200 --> 00:09:37,480 Speaker 12: are concerned about reports they've received of dangerous conditions for 168 00:09:37,600 --> 00:09:41,000 Speaker 12: children being held by US Customs and Border Protection while 169 00:09:41,040 --> 00:09:44,200 Speaker 12: they await processing at the border. The two are asking 170 00:09:44,240 --> 00:09:47,760 Speaker 12: Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro new york Is to report back 171 00:09:48,120 --> 00:09:52,480 Speaker 12: on facility conditions and protections against labor and sex trafficking 172 00:09:52,880 --> 00:09:55,960 Speaker 12: in Washington. Nancy lyons Bloomberg Radio Global. 173 00:09:55,679 --> 00:09:58,400 Speaker 11: News twenty four hours a day and whenever you want 174 00:09:58,440 --> 00:10:01,120 Speaker 11: it with Bloomberg News Now. I'm Michael Barr, and this 175 00:10:01,160 --> 00:10:02,160 Speaker 11: is Bloomberg Amy. 176 00:10:02,360 --> 00:10:09,400 Speaker 2: All right, thank you, Michael. Time now for our Bloomberg 177 00:10:09,400 --> 00:10:11,960 Speaker 2: Sports update, and for that we bring in John stash Houer. 178 00:10:12,040 --> 00:10:13,560 Speaker 5: Good morning John, Good morning, Amy. 179 00:10:13,559 --> 00:10:16,600 Speaker 13: And the Yankees are rolling season high twenty seven games 180 00:10:16,600 --> 00:10:19,319 Speaker 13: over five hundred. They're twenty six and eleven on the road. 181 00:10:19,360 --> 00:10:22,839 Speaker 13: They're sixteen and one versus the Al Central. A ten 182 00:10:22,880 --> 00:10:25,080 Speaker 13: to one route in Kansas City, Austin Wells built at 183 00:10:25,080 --> 00:10:26,400 Speaker 13: a three run homer and then in the seventh to 184 00:10:26,480 --> 00:10:29,959 Speaker 13: night home runs for both Aaron Judge and John Carlos Stanton. 185 00:10:30,080 --> 00:10:33,400 Speaker 13: Judges traveled four hundred and thirty six feet landed in 186 00:10:33,400 --> 00:10:36,360 Speaker 13: the fountain and then Stanton's win ten feet longer. Yanks 187 00:10:36,360 --> 00:10:39,040 Speaker 13: for thirty nine and four in their history, win both 188 00:10:39,040 --> 00:10:40,640 Speaker 13: of homeward in the same game. Only problem with the 189 00:10:40,640 --> 00:10:43,440 Speaker 13: Thanks right now is Anthony Rizzo. He's one for thirty 190 00:10:43,480 --> 00:10:46,160 Speaker 13: three in June. Also, the Orioles remain right on the Yankees. 191 00:10:46,200 --> 00:10:46,600 Speaker 5: Heels. 192 00:10:46,840 --> 00:10:49,000 Speaker 13: Baltimore shut out Atlanta four nothing, only two and a 193 00:10:49,040 --> 00:10:50,920 Speaker 13: half games behind the Mets back home a couple of 194 00:10:51,000 --> 00:10:52,120 Speaker 13: costs of the errors. 195 00:10:52,080 --> 00:10:53,679 Speaker 5: A four to two loss to the Marlins. 196 00:10:53,720 --> 00:10:56,240 Speaker 13: Philly has got two home runs from Kyle Schwarber beat 197 00:10:56,280 --> 00:10:58,200 Speaker 13: the Red Sox four to one. The National has won 198 00:10:58,280 --> 00:11:01,760 Speaker 13: tie four in Detroit. When last season ended Aaron Rodgers. 199 00:11:01,800 --> 00:11:03,839 Speaker 13: It only took four snaps all year, so the Jets 200 00:11:03,840 --> 00:11:06,480 Speaker 13: need a more winning attitude. And then the star quarterback 201 00:11:06,960 --> 00:11:09,640 Speaker 13: didn't show up for the start of a mandatory offseason 202 00:11:09,720 --> 00:11:10,319 Speaker 13: mini camp. 203 00:11:10,360 --> 00:11:11,920 Speaker 5: The Jets coach is Robert Salmon. 204 00:11:12,240 --> 00:11:17,160 Speaker 14: Aaron and I spoke before OTIA started. He's been very 205 00:11:17,160 --> 00:11:20,559 Speaker 14: good in communication. He's been here the entire time. It's inexcused, 206 00:11:21,800 --> 00:11:25,440 Speaker 14: but he had an event that was very important to him, 207 00:11:26,559 --> 00:11:27,559 Speaker 14: which he communicated. 208 00:11:27,800 --> 00:11:30,559 Speaker 13: Son Reddick, the past rusher the Jets squad from Philadelphia, 209 00:11:30,600 --> 00:11:32,360 Speaker 13: also a no show. He's looking for a new contract. 210 00:11:32,400 --> 00:11:35,600 Speaker 13: Both Rogers and Reddick will get fined. The NBA Finals 211 00:11:35,600 --> 00:11:37,640 Speaker 13: Game three tonight in Dallas. The Celtics are up two. 212 00:11:37,720 --> 00:11:41,160 Speaker 13: Nothing may not have Christaph Porzingis. He missed five weeks 213 00:11:41,160 --> 00:11:42,840 Speaker 13: of the playoffs with an injury to his right leg. 214 00:11:42,880 --> 00:11:45,000 Speaker 13: You know there's an issue with his left one. US 215 00:11:45,040 --> 00:11:47,760 Speaker 13: opened teas off tomorrow without John ram He withdrew with 216 00:11:47,760 --> 00:11:49,920 Speaker 13: a foot injury. Ramow on the Live Tour did not 217 00:11:49,920 --> 00:11:51,800 Speaker 13: play well in the first two majors. Recently missed a 218 00:11:51,840 --> 00:11:55,440 Speaker 13: cut at the PGA. John Stashewack Bloomberg Sports, Jami and Nedan. 219 00:11:57,720 --> 00:12:01,840 Speaker 15: Coast to coast on Bloomberg Radio, wide on Sirius XM, 220 00:12:01,920 --> 00:12:04,800 Speaker 15: and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the 221 00:12:04,880 --> 00:12:09,280 Speaker 15: Bloomberg Business app. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning, I'm 222 00:12:09,360 --> 00:12:12,760 Speaker 15: Nathan Hagar. A busy Wednesday has finally arrived. 223 00:12:12,800 --> 00:12:14,600 Speaker 3: In just a couple of hours, we get a final 224 00:12:14,640 --> 00:12:17,880 Speaker 3: read on inflation and make consumer prices before the Federal 225 00:12:17,920 --> 00:12:20,840 Speaker 3: Reserve issues a policy decision for the month of June 226 00:12:20,920 --> 00:12:23,720 Speaker 3: later this afternoon, the event investors have been waiting for 227 00:12:23,880 --> 00:12:26,559 Speaker 3: all week ahead of it. We are joined now by 228 00:12:26,640 --> 00:12:31,440 Speaker 3: Yolena Shilyatchev, a senior US economist at BNP Pariba. Yolena, 229 00:12:31,760 --> 00:12:34,720 Speaker 3: Happy double whammy Wednesday. Let's start with what's coming first 230 00:12:34,720 --> 00:12:37,240 Speaker 3: to the consumer price read. Are we back on the 231 00:12:37,280 --> 00:12:38,800 Speaker 3: cooling inflationary trend? 232 00:12:39,960 --> 00:12:44,240 Speaker 7: I think we are on a gredule cooling trend for inflation, 233 00:12:44,480 --> 00:12:48,080 Speaker 7: But is it really good enough for the fit to, 234 00:12:49,120 --> 00:12:52,000 Speaker 7: you know, to start discussing at the start of the 235 00:12:52,040 --> 00:12:56,199 Speaker 7: cutting cycle. I think they're carefully watching, but what they 236 00:12:56,280 --> 00:13:00,600 Speaker 7: need to do is to really gain enough confidence that 237 00:13:00,679 --> 00:13:04,160 Speaker 7: inflation is on the right path. And I think today's 238 00:13:04,240 --> 00:13:09,040 Speaker 7: number will just be one of you know, three readings 239 00:13:09,160 --> 00:13:12,880 Speaker 7: that they will need to see at least three readings 240 00:13:12,880 --> 00:13:17,360 Speaker 7: that they need to see to gain such confidence if 241 00:13:17,360 --> 00:13:18,400 Speaker 7: it's on the right path. 242 00:13:19,240 --> 00:13:23,160 Speaker 3: What do you see coming out of today's CPI print 243 00:13:23,320 --> 00:13:26,560 Speaker 3: that could give the Fed that kind of confidence that 244 00:13:26,679 --> 00:13:28,240 Speaker 3: inflation's back on the right path. 245 00:13:29,280 --> 00:13:33,280 Speaker 7: I mean, we had zero zero point three percent on 246 00:13:33,440 --> 00:13:37,200 Speaker 7: core inflation, and that's a good number, but the key 247 00:13:37,240 --> 00:13:40,840 Speaker 7: point here is that it's just one of a few 248 00:13:41,360 --> 00:13:45,600 Speaker 7: and they will need to see more from that. I think, 249 00:13:45,840 --> 00:13:48,200 Speaker 7: you know, inflation is on the right path. Maybe we're 250 00:13:48,200 --> 00:13:51,960 Speaker 7: not going to see too much desinflation or deflation from 251 00:13:52,000 --> 00:13:55,560 Speaker 7: the good sector anymore. So we really really need to 252 00:13:55,640 --> 00:14:02,240 Speaker 7: see that services sector starting to engage in the disinflationary trend. 253 00:14:02,360 --> 00:14:05,480 Speaker 7: So that's what we're looking for, you know, in a 254 00:14:05,559 --> 00:14:08,920 Speaker 7: few key services sectors. 255 00:14:09,320 --> 00:14:13,680 Speaker 3: Do you see this CPI data having any impact on 256 00:14:13,800 --> 00:14:16,600 Speaker 3: what the Fed produces when it comes to the Summary 257 00:14:16,600 --> 00:14:19,440 Speaker 3: of Economic Projections the dots? 258 00:14:20,080 --> 00:14:25,520 Speaker 7: I think the Summary of Economic Projections will will be 259 00:14:25,680 --> 00:14:30,040 Speaker 7: upgraded to show core inflation at two point eight percent 260 00:14:30,920 --> 00:14:33,480 Speaker 7: for the year as a whole. So you know, the 261 00:14:33,880 --> 00:14:38,160 Speaker 7: first quarter of the year was definitely higher than the 262 00:14:38,200 --> 00:14:40,960 Speaker 7: Fed expected, so they just really need to mark to 263 00:14:41,040 --> 00:14:46,200 Speaker 7: market for that, but I think that as the year progresses, 264 00:14:46,480 --> 00:14:50,080 Speaker 7: we will see a little bit more of this inflation, 265 00:14:50,360 --> 00:14:53,720 Speaker 7: which will allow the FED to start cutting rates by 266 00:14:53,720 --> 00:14:54,480 Speaker 7: the end of the year. 267 00:14:55,120 --> 00:14:57,440 Speaker 3: When do you think we see that first cut. I mean, 268 00:14:57,440 --> 00:15:00,360 Speaker 3: we've only got a few meetings left before the end 269 00:15:00,360 --> 00:15:00,760 Speaker 3: of the year. 270 00:15:01,880 --> 00:15:06,120 Speaker 7: We are projecting the first rate cut in December, and 271 00:15:06,560 --> 00:15:10,320 Speaker 7: the economy may get to the point at which it 272 00:15:10,480 --> 00:15:16,160 Speaker 7: will probably allow the first rate cut to happen in September. 273 00:15:16,720 --> 00:15:21,480 Speaker 7: But I think that that election really matters here. The 274 00:15:21,560 --> 00:15:25,960 Speaker 7: Fed will be faced with too many different scenarios of 275 00:15:25,960 --> 00:15:30,600 Speaker 7: how the economy will evolve in twenty twenty five, so 276 00:15:30,640 --> 00:15:34,200 Speaker 7: for them to choose which way it will go, it 277 00:15:34,280 --> 00:15:39,120 Speaker 7: will really require a little bit more clarity on the 278 00:15:39,160 --> 00:15:44,640 Speaker 7: path for fiscal policy. For other important policies such as 279 00:15:44,640 --> 00:15:49,240 Speaker 7: immigration and tax policy and so on and so forth, 280 00:15:49,480 --> 00:15:54,640 Speaker 7: I think the Fed will be patient to wait until 281 00:15:54,640 --> 00:15:56,480 Speaker 7: they get such clarity after the election. 282 00:15:59,080 --> 00:16:01,840 Speaker 16: This is Bloomberg to day Break Today, your morning brief 283 00:16:01,920 --> 00:16:04,880 Speaker 16: on the stories making news from Wall Street to Washington 284 00:16:04,920 --> 00:16:05,760 Speaker 16: and beyond. 285 00:16:05,800 --> 00:16:08,800 Speaker 2: Look for us on your podcast feed by six am 286 00:16:08,920 --> 00:16:13,120 Speaker 2: Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, and anywhere else you 287 00:16:13,160 --> 00:16:14,280 Speaker 2: get your podcasts. 288 00:16:14,560 --> 00:16:17,240 Speaker 16: You can also listen live each morning starting at five 289 00:16:17,280 --> 00:16:19,880 Speaker 16: am Wall Street Time, on Bloomberg eleven three to zero 290 00:16:19,920 --> 00:16:22,760 Speaker 16: in New York, Bloomberg ninety nine to one in Washington, 291 00:16:22,880 --> 00:16:25,760 Speaker 16: Bloomberg one oh six to one in Boston, and Bloomberg 292 00:16:25,840 --> 00:16:27,520 Speaker 16: ninety sixty in San Francisco. 293 00:16:27,840 --> 00:16:31,400 Speaker 2: Our flagship New York station is also available on your 294 00:16:31,480 --> 00:16:36,880 Speaker 2: Amazon Alexa devices. 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