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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Wednesday

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Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt

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Speaker 1: Perult at Sports Talk Map to follow me on Twitter.

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Speaker 1: Bet MGM the tel sponsored this podcast. New users, you

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Speaker 1: new users. All Right, so it's been a kind of

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Speaker 1: a wonky weird week. Both Monday and Tuesday could have

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Speaker 1: been really good weeks and then or days rather and

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Speaker 1: set us up for the week, but unfortunately, just things

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Speaker 1: didn't go. We had two pushes on Monday and then

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Speaker 1: the Jets fall apart and I wasn't even able to hedge.

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Speaker 1: I was pissed off. I was trying to figure out

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Speaker 1: how do I hedge on it, and I should have

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Speaker 1: taken the Sharks on the money line going into the game,

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Speaker 1: but instead I I wanted to see if the first

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Speaker 1: goal was going to be scored by the Jets and

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Speaker 1: then we could potentially get even a better price and

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Speaker 1: lay less money down to kind of have that hedge.

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Speaker 1: And then the Sharks scored first, and then the Jets

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Speaker 1: never scored and got shut out. Three nothing, So I

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Speaker 1: was annoyed by that. I had a couple other things

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Speaker 1: in the Discord channel. We we're talking about the over

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Speaker 1: for the Oilers and the Golden Knights. That should have

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Speaker 1: been an official bet. That was an easy play. That

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Speaker 1: game got really crazy, but overall just a frustrating day

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Speaker 1: because of that parlay. And then when I was dead

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Speaker 1: wrong with Saint Louis, woof boy, that bo game flew

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Speaker 1: over for Saint Louis. So I'll tell you what I'm

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Speaker 1: doing in the NBA. I got to I got both

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Speaker 1: player props right last night, so that gave us a

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Speaker 1: half a unit coming back. So it was down one

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Speaker 1: point six units. So we're down about two and a

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Speaker 1: half units for the week already here on a Wednesday,

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Speaker 1: so that's not really ideal. So we need to have

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Speaker 1: a good day here today to make sure we don't

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Speaker 1: get in a too big of a hole heading towards

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Speaker 1: the weekend. But it's March is so hard. This is

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Speaker 1: the hardest month to win. And a lot of people

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Speaker 1: have talked to bookmakers and professional gamblers and whatnot. It's

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Speaker 1: just like the numbers are so sharp, there's so many

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Speaker 1: things to bet on, so it's great, but the numbers

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Speaker 1: are so sharp because we're getting to the end of

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Speaker 1: the NHL season. There's not a lot of you know,

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Speaker 1: soft numbers right now with the NHL. They I mean,

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Speaker 1: we saw it on Monday, there were four pushes of

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Speaker 1: the six games on the totals in the NHL. The

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Speaker 1: books have enough data now, they they know what they're doing,

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Speaker 1: and we're heading towards the playoffs. So we're getting games

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Speaker 1: like we saw with the Jets last night, where you know,

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Speaker 1: the Sharks are you know, they had six wins at

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Speaker 1: home going in those are seventh win of the year

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Speaker 1: going in. Jets are trying to find a way into

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Speaker 1: the playoffs, and some teams just run out of gas.

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Speaker 1: So it's it's a tough month. I've had a bad

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Speaker 1: month in a great February. I've had a bad March,

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Speaker 1: and I'm looking forward to April and we'll get into

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Speaker 1: baseball season and we'll kind of start, you know, start

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Speaker 1: fresh in a way as we head into the end

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Speaker 1: of what I think is the sports calendar. I think,

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Speaker 1: you know, April first, I've always said is the start

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Speaker 1: of the new sports year, and so we're starting fresh,

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Speaker 1: starting new. I often look at my bank roll on

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Speaker 1: April the first. I look at my unit size on

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Speaker 1: April the first and try to kind of you try

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Speaker 1: to take a stick stock of where I am and

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Speaker 1: what I'm doing. So that's what I'm going to be

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Speaker 1: doing here coming up for a couple of days. So

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Speaker 1: just understand that I have looked up and down at

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Speaker 1: the big NBA card and I can't do it. There's

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Speaker 1: nothing there that I want to bet. We'll bet the

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Speaker 1: two NBA player props today. I will have that I've

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Speaker 1: done some research on that. There's I'll get up in

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Speaker 1: the morning and take a look at a couple of

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Speaker 1: props on it. But like the Lakers at the Bulls,

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Speaker 1: we'll talk about that in a second. In a second,

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Speaker 1: Kevin Durant coming back tonight for the Suns. They're laying

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Speaker 1: six at the time of taping against Minnesota, who's playing

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Speaker 1: really well. Big game for Minnesota. I just don't know

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Speaker 1: what to do with the NBA. We got basketball coming

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Speaker 1: up later Saturday, so we can get into the final four.

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Speaker 1: But you know, I I gotta check at the count.

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Speaker 1: I think I'm thirty eight and thirty eight in the

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Speaker 1: in college basketball since I came back, which is just

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Speaker 1: you know, as flat as flat can be. But you're

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Speaker 1: down the juice more. I think we're down two units

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Speaker 1: or something in college basketball because of the juice. That's

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Speaker 1: just what happens. You get juiced out when you go

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Speaker 1: thirty eight and thirty eight that's not good enough. So

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Speaker 1: you know, I'm not going to go too crazy this week.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna kind of get ready for Friday, which will

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Speaker 1: be Opening Day, and we'll have a bunch of fun

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Speaker 1: stuff coming up for Opening Day. But I'm tell you

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Speaker 1: right now, for baseball, I'm not going to have big

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Speaker 1: baseball cards. Okay. It's going to be a couple of

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Speaker 1: weeks April. The first two weeks of April, we're going

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Speaker 1: to be two or three bets a day, okay, And

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Speaker 1: that's just kind of how I'm gonna be. And then

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Speaker 1: we'll expand the card as we go as we get

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Speaker 1: the data, but like, we won't have anything really to

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Speaker 1: go on till Memorial Day and then you can really

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Speaker 1: start getting get into with you know, four or five

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Speaker 1: bet type cards. So playoffs for the NHL, playoffs for

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Speaker 1: the NBA, absolutely we'll take a look at those and

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Speaker 1: really be heavily invested in those games coming up here

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Speaker 1: in the next couple of weeks. But before we get

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Speaker 1: to the picks for today, they're both in hockey, just

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Speaker 1: two of them for you. Coming up in hockey. Let's

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Speaker 1: you guys, subscribe and like this very podcast, this video

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Speaker 1: on YouTube, and then go ahead and leave a comment

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Speaker 1: underneath me as well, because when you do that in

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Speaker 1: coming up here in the next couple of days, I'll

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Speaker 1: make the announcement as to who's going to win for March.

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Speaker 1: start breaking smarter. Not harder. Okay, So let's quickly before

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Speaker 1: we get to the picks on the day, let's talk

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Speaker 1: final four as you guys go into it, and you

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Speaker 1: guys are gonna wind up having a chance to grill out.

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Speaker 1: Hopefully it's warmer where you are. I mean, my gosh,

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Speaker 1: it's been so cold here in Las Vegas. It's bizarre

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Speaker 1: how cold it's been. It's unlike anything I've ever seen

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Speaker 1: in my seven years living here. But hopefully you guys

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Speaker 1: are getting in some nice warm weather. You can get

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Speaker 1: out there on the grill and get going here. You know.

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Speaker 1: required at Omaha Steaks dot com. All right, so two

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Speaker 1: games in the NHL that I want to talk about

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Speaker 1: first is Toronto and Florida. And these are two teams

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Speaker 1: that are just kind of crazy when they play. Toronto

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Speaker 1: very well could beat Tampa when they play in the

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Speaker 1: first round. I'm not in love with what I've seen

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Speaker 1: that Tampa recently. But Florida is seven to two and

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Speaker 1: one to the over over their last ten games on

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Speaker 1: the road, seven too and one to the over overall.

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Speaker 1: You have Toronto who's seven to and one over their

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Speaker 1: last ten at home or sorry over the last ten overall,

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Speaker 1: rather five three and two at home to the over.

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Speaker 1: And I just think the way that these teams are playing,

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Speaker 1: and not that they're trying to send each other messages,

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Speaker 1: but it's interesting when you look at the way that

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Speaker 1: Florida is playing and how wide open they are in

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Speaker 1: Bbrovski has not been good. I mean, let's be frank here,

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Speaker 1: if you look at the way these games are being played,

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Speaker 1: nine four thirteen, six seven nine seven seven sorry eight

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Speaker 1: seven seven goals being scored. They've lost four games in

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Speaker 1: a row, losing to the Senators five to two. We've

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Speaker 1: got the over and hit that on the last I

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Speaker 1: mean it's seven minus one ozh five. I don't know

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Speaker 1: how you don't. It's just kind of a blind bet

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Speaker 1: at the moment until the Panthers figure it out. Defensively,

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Speaker 1: it's bad. I mean they've given up six six, four

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Speaker 1: and five over their last four games. Barbrovski has been

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Speaker 1: not good. Like I mentioned, Toronto is a team that, yeah,

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Speaker 1: they can give them up and they can score. They're

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Speaker 1: not outstanding. First game nine goals, Second game eight goals

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Speaker 1: between these two teams. Five to four win for the

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Speaker 1: maple Leafs, six to win for the maple Leafs. I

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Speaker 1: like the maple Leafs to win this game. The Panthers

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Speaker 1: are bad on the road fifteen nineteen and three, but

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Speaker 1: it could be four to three. Maple Leafs are twenty five,

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Speaker 1: seven and five at home. It looks like it's gonna

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Speaker 1: be Samsonov in net. So he'll give up two or

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Speaker 1: three goals and then we'll see how many goals breb

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Speaker 1: Ropzi gives up. Here minus one oh five good push

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Speaker 1: potential seven goals. We're going over seven minus one oh

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Speaker 1: five for the Panthers and the Toronto mate beliefs. We

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Speaker 1: saw FanDuel for the last game with Ottawa and Florida.

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Speaker 1: We saw them go to seven and a half. Wouldn't

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Speaker 1: stun me if they went to seven and a half

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Speaker 1: on this game too, just giving the way Florida is playing,

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Speaker 1: the way that Toronto is playing, one point zero five

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Speaker 1: units down over seven goals for Toronto and for the

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Speaker 1: Florida Panthers. All right, So I've gone back and forth

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Speaker 1: on this Wild versus Avalanche game. This is gonna be

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Speaker 1: a playoff game, all right. So if you like betting

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Speaker 1: no goals in the first ten minutes, both these teams

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Speaker 1: are on a four game streak of no gate, no

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Speaker 1: goals in the first ten minutes. It's plus one twenty

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Speaker 1: five on draft. These teams are also really good at

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Speaker 1: under first period one and a half goals. Okay, Minnesota

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Speaker 1: is still the best team in all of NHL, but

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Speaker 1: they're five and five over their last ten. Here's the problem.

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Speaker 1: The Wild are five and five on the road for

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Speaker 1: a total, but they're four and one to the over

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Speaker 1: over their last five games. I'm really nervous about if

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Speaker 1: it is Marc Andre Flurry. It may be. It looks

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Speaker 1: like it's gonna be Guff's in Okay, and that's better

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Speaker 1: if it is. But I'm really concerned about the way

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Speaker 1: that the Wild have been playing, and I don't think

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Speaker 1: I can get involved officially. I'll do it personally with

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Speaker 1: the gift in under one and a half goals in

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Speaker 1: the first period, but it's gonna be a white knuckle ride.

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Speaker 1: It's not going to be comfortable. I'm not entirely confident

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Speaker 1: on it. I don't want to jump in and be like, yeah,

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Speaker 1: go ahead and take a shot at this and bet this.

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Speaker 1: It's on TNT, and this is a huge game between

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Speaker 1: these two teams in the Western Conference. The first game

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Speaker 1: was six to three Colorado back in October. The second

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Speaker 1: game was three to two Colorado. Both games in Minnesota

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Speaker 1: on the fifteenth of February. But you look at the

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Speaker 1: way that the Wild have been playing. They've been scoring

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Speaker 1: okay at home, they've been okay on the road five

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Speaker 1: to four, lost to Philadelphia on the road. In their

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Speaker 1: last road game, they lost to Jersey. They beat Jersey

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Speaker 1: two to one. They've won four to five. Avalanche have

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Speaker 1: scored five, four, three, two and five over their last

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Speaker 1: five games. On the road at Anaheim, they won five

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Speaker 1: to one. At Arizona, they won to shootout four to three.

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Speaker 1: At home against Arizona, they won three to one. Against

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Speaker 1: Pittsburgh five to two, five nothing. I've gone back and

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Speaker 1: forth on this, and I just, I mean, I want

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Speaker 1: to bet unders in this game. Something is screaming at

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Speaker 1: me to say, bet under, bet under six, take the

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Speaker 1: push potential. It's a playoff game. It's not gonna go over,

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Speaker 1: not gonna go over. I'm gonna take the under, Okay,

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Speaker 1: but I'm gonna tell you right now, I'm not jumping

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Speaker 1: up and down about it. It's gonna scare me. And

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Speaker 1: I mean, it feels like a three to two game. Okay,

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Speaker 1: How we get to three to two? I don't really know,

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Speaker 1: to be quite honest, but we're we're gonna get starting goaltenders.

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Speaker 1: Most likely. Guphison's been better than Mark Henrey Flurry. I

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Speaker 1: personally believe he is the starting goaltender for the postseason.

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Speaker 1: He has a road goals against average of two. Has

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Speaker 1: he played Colorado this year? He has Yes, he faced them,

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Speaker 1: he got Oh, Jez gave up five goals. We played

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Speaker 1: Colorado that was not good, so he wasn't good oh

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Speaker 1: and one with a five give up five and that

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Speaker 1: first matchup it was Gupstison. Maybe it's Mark here Fleury.

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Speaker 1: They both kind of are all, you know, not the same,

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Speaker 1: but they're similar with the way that they play. Man,

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Speaker 1: I don't know that this is gonna be such a

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Speaker 1: fun game to watch much playoff Hockey Screams Unders Avalanche,

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Speaker 1: the way they play defensively at home screams Unders. The

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Speaker 1: Avalanche are seven and three to the under at home.

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Speaker 1: Over their last ten games, they're twenty sixteen and one

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Speaker 1: to the under at home. I think the Avalanche will

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Speaker 1: dictate tempo. Not sure the Wild score all that much.

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Speaker 1: So the Wild I think will go into their shell

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Speaker 1: and go back to their defensive you know, Holly, they

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Speaker 1: want to play. It could be a three to one

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Speaker 1: type final, three to two type final. I'm going to

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Speaker 1: play the under six. I'm not saying it could very well.

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Speaker 1: This could push as well. If you want to play

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Speaker 1: the over just in case for an open net or something,

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Speaker 1: you can do that. But it's minus one twenty to

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Speaker 1: the under six goals Wild Avalanche minus one twenty one

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Speaker 1: point two units down on that, but again no goal

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Speaker 1: in the first ten minutes. I don't mind that. That's

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Speaker 1: plus one twenty five at DraftKings and under one and

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Speaker 1: a half goals in the first period. That's plus one

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Speaker 1: oh five. I'll be involved in those things as well.

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Speaker 1: This game might blow up in my face. I might

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Speaker 1: completely get every one of these picks wrong this game.

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Speaker 1: I might be dead wrong. But big game playoff hockey

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Speaker 1: forty three twenty two to nine Minnesota. They're nineteen eleven

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Speaker 1: and six on the road. Colorado was forty four, twenty

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Speaker 1: three and six overall, twenty twelve and five at home.

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Speaker 1: In some level, you know something's got to give here,

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Speaker 1: huge game in the Western Conference. Let's see if this

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Speaker 1: game is tight and stays under over seven under six,

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Speaker 1: two hockey games, two plays in totals for us here

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Speaker 1: today on a Wednesday, I'll talk to the Discord channel

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Speaker 1: NBAS NBA player props will be in there. Plus we'll

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Speaker 1: talk a little bit about what's happening with the Timberwolves

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Speaker 1: in their game on the road against the Suns. With

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Speaker 1: Kevin Durant coming back just can't bet that without Kevin

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Speaker 1: Durant seeing him played twenty seven minutes the first time

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Speaker 1: he came back, but and Lakers against the Bulls. Lakers

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Speaker 1: lost to the Bulls by ten. Revenge a game potentially,

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Speaker 1: but just can't bet it game We'll bet it, or

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Speaker 1: just can't bet a pre game. We'll bet an in

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Speaker 1: game coming up. Two player props still to come though

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Speaker 1: in the Discord channel, betting pros dot com, slash chat

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Speaker 1: or the link is underneath me to get involved with

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Speaker 1: the Discord channel. I'll talk to you during the games

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Speaker 1: coming up later on tonight. My names Matt Parolt. Follow

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Speaker 1: me on Twitter at sports dot Matt. Each snvery morning,

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Speaker 1: it is dilijs podcast being brought to you by BEDAMGM