WEBVTT - 59: What Sneakers Can Tell You About How Financial Markets Work

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<v Speaker 1>Hi, and welcome to another episode of the Odd Lots Podcast.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm Tracy Alloway and I'm Joe Wish Joe, I bet

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<v Speaker 1>I can guess what shoes you've got on your feet?

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<v Speaker 1>Oh no, I totally messed that up. Well, what were

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<v Speaker 1>you going to guess? I totally messed it up. I

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<v Speaker 1>was supposed to say, I bet I can guess what

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<v Speaker 1>you've got on your know what shoes you've you had? No,

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<v Speaker 1>I remember, I bet I can guess where you got

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<v Speaker 1>those shoes? Where on your feet? That really was a

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<v Speaker 1>disastrous opening to this podcast. I know. I can't believe

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<v Speaker 1>I messed that up so much. Um, okay, Well, with

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<v Speaker 1>that embarrassment aside, Um, we are actually going to talk

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<v Speaker 1>about shoes today. I'm really excited because not only are

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<v Speaker 1>we talking about shoes, we're going to be talking about

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<v Speaker 1>sneakers and collecting sneakers in the market for sneakers, and

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<v Speaker 1>there's someone who owns a lot of Nikes, including one

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<v Speaker 1>or two pairs of Jordan's and dunks. I am particularly

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<v Speaker 1>excited about this discussion. So I know nothing about the

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<v Speaker 1>market for sneakers. Are Jordan's better than Nikes? Well, Jordan's

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<v Speaker 1>Nike you know, it's a it's a kind of it's

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<v Speaker 1>a category of Nike. Oh god, I just keep embarrassing

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<v Speaker 1>myself today. Um okay, well all right, without further ado,

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<v Speaker 1>then why don't we bring on our guest for this episode.

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<v Speaker 1>It is Josh Luber. He is the founder of stock x,

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<v Speaker 1>which is basically a stock exchange for sneakers. So we're

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<v Speaker 1>going to talk all about what it's like to make

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<v Speaker 1>a market in a semi unusual asset. I would say, Josh,

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<v Speaker 1>thank you very much for joining us. Uh, tell us

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<v Speaker 1>about your stock exchange for sneakers? What is it? Sure? Well,

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<v Speaker 1>thanks for having me. Um. Stock x is a consumer marketplace,

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<v Speaker 1>not unlike eBay or Amazon. It's a place where we

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<v Speaker 1>connect buyers and sellers, and in particular right now, we

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<v Speaker 1>connect them to buy sneakers. But the way that we

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<v Speaker 1>do that is in the exact same format, the exact

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<v Speaker 1>same process that the stock exchange uses. And what that

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<v Speaker 1>means is, first of all, it's anonymous, right, buyers and sellers,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, transact with the market. Um. You don't have

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<v Speaker 1>to worry about who the seller is or where they're located,

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<v Speaker 1>or what the review is. It's totally anonymous, just like

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<v Speaker 1>buying the sheriff stock. Second, there is data. There is

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<v Speaker 1>data to understand what things are worth, what things are

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<v Speaker 1>selling for, and have a history of data, so unlike

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<v Speaker 1>going to Amazon and saying only what something is listed for,

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<v Speaker 1>you can see every price that it's ever sold for.

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<v Speaker 1>But more importantly than those two things is what's called

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<v Speaker 1>the live bid ask market, which is how the stock exchange,

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<v Speaker 1>how the stock market reaches a market price. Buyer's place

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<v Speaker 1>bids how much they're willing to pay for something, and

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<v Speaker 1>seller's place asks how much they're willing to sell it for,

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<v Speaker 1>and when it been't, ask me, the transaction happens automatically.

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<v Speaker 1>There's a reason why the stock exchange has been the

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<v Speaker 1>most efficient form of commerce for hundreds of years, and

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<v Speaker 1>this is why. And we are taking that process that

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<v Speaker 1>the stock exchange uses and bring it to consumer goods

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<v Speaker 1>and we're starting with sneakers. Josh, can we step back

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<v Speaker 1>for a second, because when I think about investable assets, UM,

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<v Speaker 1>I have to admit I do not necessarily think about sneakers.

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<v Speaker 1>What what is the market like for a high value sneakers?

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<v Speaker 1>The biggest distinction between sort of h cong this the

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<v Speaker 1>stock market versus how people traditionally think about it is

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<v Speaker 1>that it's really about connecting buyers and sellers to exchange

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<v Speaker 1>a physical good. The fact that you may or may

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<v Speaker 1>not be able to invest in sneakers and make money

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<v Speaker 1>is almost tangential to that. But that said, the sneaker

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<v Speaker 1>resell market within the United States is about a one

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<v Speaker 1>point to one point three billion dollar industry. So that's

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<v Speaker 1>people buying a pair of sneakers at say, foot locker,

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<v Speaker 1>and then going and turning around and reselling them on

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<v Speaker 1>stock x for a hundred dollars more two hundred dollars

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<v Speaker 1>more than they paid for it. So let's back up.

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<v Speaker 1>Tell us about yourself. How did you get what made

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<v Speaker 1>you want to create this, what's your interest in sneakers,

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<v Speaker 1>and how did your interest in financial markets come together.

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<v Speaker 1>My background is, uh that I'm a startup guy. I've

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<v Speaker 1>started and run a few startups before this, and none

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<v Speaker 1>of them have ever been within the sneaker industry. Because

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<v Speaker 1>on a personal note, I have collected sneakers since I was,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, probably in middle school. Um, I am thirty

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<v Speaker 1>eight years old, and I have the exact same story

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<v Speaker 1>as every other thirty eight year old sneaker head, which

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<v Speaker 1>is I grew up playing basketball when Jordan played, and

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<v Speaker 1>I always wanted Air Jordan's, and my mother never buy

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<v Speaker 1>me Air Jordan's. As soon as I had some money,

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<v Speaker 1>I bought Air Jordan's, and you know, and and so

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<v Speaker 1>that was a personal passion. And at some point along

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<v Speaker 1>the way, as I was doing a lot of other

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<v Speaker 1>data work in my career, I decided to try to

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<v Speaker 1>figure out whether we could pull in sneaker data and

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<v Speaker 1>whether we could build a price guide. And so in

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<v Speaker 1>early I created a company that was called camp Liss

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<v Speaker 1>C A M p l e. S. S. And it

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<v Speaker 1>was a price guide. It was the Kelly blue Book

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<v Speaker 1>for sneakers, where we were pulling in data from all

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<v Speaker 1>the other places that sneakers sold, primarily on eBay, and

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<v Speaker 1>figuring out what they were actually worth. And that was

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<v Speaker 1>the genesis of this as the as the sneaker data company,

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<v Speaker 1>as the price guide grew, as people started using it,

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<v Speaker 1>there was a natural progression of well, if I know

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<v Speaker 1>the price of one pair of sneakers, then I could

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<v Speaker 1>tell you the value of your entire sneaker collection. And

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<v Speaker 1>you could look at that data the same way you

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<v Speaker 1>look at a stock portfolio. And once you know the

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<v Speaker 1>price of one pair and you know portfolio pricing, then

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<v Speaker 1>there was this natural leap of maybe we could actually

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<v Speaker 1>create a marketplace that operated like a stock market. So, uh,

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<v Speaker 1>what is in your collection? What is your your single

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<v Speaker 1>prize pair of Jordan's And give us a range for

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<v Speaker 1>the value of your collection if you don't mind, based

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<v Speaker 1>on the prices on your side, Can I hijack Joe's

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<v Speaker 1>question and say, can you also explain the difference between

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<v Speaker 1>Nikes and Air Jordan's. Sure? So, um, there's a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of different sneaker brands out there, and um and Nike

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<v Speaker 1>which owns the Air Jordan brand, right, but they are

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<v Speaker 1>separate brands have historically been the dominant part of the

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<v Speaker 1>resale market, the secondary market for sneakers, dating back to

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<v Speaker 1>when Air Jordan's were first released. And so um, it's

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<v Speaker 1>just a distinction between the two brands that you know,

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<v Speaker 1>Nikes make Nike season and uh and Jordan Brand makes

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<v Speaker 1>Air Jordan's. Um, but they're both, you know, make up

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<v Speaker 1>the dominant chair of the resale market. In fact, through February,

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<v Speaker 1>Nike including Jordan Brand, accounted for nine of the resale

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<v Speaker 1>sneaker market, and in February, Adidas released the Yeasy, which

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<v Speaker 1>is Kanye West shoe with Adidas, and it started a

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<v Speaker 1>really a year and a half process of Adidas becoming

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<v Speaker 1>a lot more relevant on the secondary market. And today

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<v Speaker 1>Adidas makes up about of the resale market in terms

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<v Speaker 1>of dollars, but it is still overwhelmingly dominated by Nikes

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<v Speaker 1>and in particular Air Jordan's all right, now, tell us

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<v Speaker 1>about your collection a little bit. So you know, I've

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<v Speaker 1>been collecting sneakers for probably thirty years, UM, and I

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<v Speaker 1>have a very average collection within the sneaker head world.

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<v Speaker 1>I have about maybe three four hundred pairs of sneakers,

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<v Speaker 1>which sounds crazy, but there are people with thousands of

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<v Speaker 1>pairs of sneakers, so you know, within the sneaker universe. Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, it's a it's a pretty average collection. But UM,

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<v Speaker 1>I do have um one pair in particular that is

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<v Speaker 1>is pretty special. UM so UM. We announced a couple

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<v Speaker 1>of months ago that Eminem is an investor and partner

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<v Speaker 1>with stock x UM and UM and through that UM

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<v Speaker 1>I was able to become friendly with people there and

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<v Speaker 1>I was given a pair of Air Jordan's four Eminem

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<v Speaker 1>carhart and this is a collaboration that Eminem and the

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<v Speaker 1>brand Carhart did with Air Jordan's and there were only

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<v Speaker 1>ten pairs released the public. They were sold on eBay,

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<v Speaker 1>this is before stock ex existed, and they sold for

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<v Speaker 1>an average price of twenty three thousand dollars. And so, UM,

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<v Speaker 1>I have a pair of those, Um, I will not

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<v Speaker 1>be selling mind mine is Uh, there's more sentimental value

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<v Speaker 1>in terms of our relationship with with Eminem and the

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<v Speaker 1>fact that it came from him. But it's certainly the

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<v Speaker 1>most valuable and most interesting pair in my collection. That

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<v Speaker 1>is pretty sweet, Josh. I have so many questions, um

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<v Speaker 1>right now, I'm trying to narrow them down. UM. Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>So first of all, I have to ask do you

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<v Speaker 1>wear your collection of sneakers? Everyone within this sneaker world, Um,

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<v Speaker 1>there's a there's a spectrum from people on on the

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<v Speaker 1>far one end where pure business people and are here

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<v Speaker 1>just to to to make money, UM, to the sort

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<v Speaker 1>of pure sneaker collectors who could care less about the

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<v Speaker 1>value of the shoes and they wear them and um

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<v Speaker 1>and aren't really trying to aren't concerned about about sort

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<v Speaker 1>of maintaining the value or the or the condition sneakers

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<v Speaker 1>just like anything else. Um, once they're worn, the more

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<v Speaker 1>they're warned, the value of them goes down. Me in particular,

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<v Speaker 1>I wear pretty much all of my sneakers. UM. I

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<v Speaker 1>buy sneakers for myself and I wear them. And I'm

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<v Speaker 1>not a very big reseller trying to make money. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>But with about four pairs of sneakers, there's certainly some

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<v Speaker 1>pairs I haven't worn yet. UM, but I'm certainly I

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<v Speaker 1>certainly will at some point. All right, let's get to

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<v Speaker 1>the subject of the you know your financial market for sneakers,

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<v Speaker 1>because this sort of speaks to a reoccurring theme that

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<v Speaker 1>we've discussed on the Odd Lots podcast, which is the

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<v Speaker 1>relationship between the listing of a price, the creation of

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<v Speaker 1>an index, the creation of transparent pricing, and then the

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<v Speaker 1>market itself. And we've discussed this in several ways. We've

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<v Speaker 1>had multiple episodes about the bond market and its relative

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<v Speaker 1>transparency or lack of transparency. We've talked about baseball cards

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<v Speaker 1>and the Beckett magazine and Beanie Babies and the magazine

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<v Speaker 1>that came around those in the nineties and how that

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<v Speaker 1>led to price booms. So let's talk about what the

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<v Speaker 1>creation of transparent pricing and consistent listing means for the

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<v Speaker 1>actual functioning of the sneaker market. What have you seen

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<v Speaker 1>in terms of the back and forth, what your initial

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<v Speaker 1>recording of eBay prices meant to the market and how

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<v Speaker 1>it traded, and then of course your news site stock

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<v Speaker 1>x and how that has affected the market itself. That's

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<v Speaker 1>a phenomenal question, right Transparency of data is everything, and

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<v Speaker 1>it is uh so rare to find true transparency of

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<v Speaker 1>pricing information UM in any market right now besides the

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<v Speaker 1>actual stock market. And that's a big part of what

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<v Speaker 1>UM drives us in and was the foundation of creating this.

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<v Speaker 1>A phenomenal example of this go back to the camp

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<v Speaker 1>Less days and so when we were a price guide

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<v Speaker 1>and we were the sort of the the the index

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<v Speaker 1>for sneakers and what they were selling for. We created

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<v Speaker 1>a blog that was kind of like fre Economics for

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<v Speaker 1>sneakers and doing this really high level data analysis and

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<v Speaker 1>putting it on the blog. And one of them was

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<v Speaker 1>an analysis into the difference between actual price and the

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<v Speaker 1>perception of price on eBay. Right So, there was this

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<v Speaker 1>perception within the sneaker community that sneakers were very sensive

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<v Speaker 1>on eBay, and we had a hypothesis that whatever you

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<v Speaker 1>see on eBay at any given moment is something that

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<v Speaker 1>is overpriced because it's been sitting there for a long time,

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<v Speaker 1>or or the inverse, right, it's been sitting there for

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<v Speaker 1>a long time because it's over priced, and that you're

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<v Speaker 1>more likely to see those because the good deals will

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<v Speaker 1>disappear immediately and someone will buy them until by having

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<v Speaker 1>access to the the actual sales data and to be

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<v Speaker 1>able to look through that and create transparency into what

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<v Speaker 1>its sinkers actually sell for, what we found was there

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<v Speaker 1>was a difference of about thirty between people's perception of

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<v Speaker 1>price given the average number of days that we see

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<v Speaker 1>each auction. I mean, we can go into the details

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<v Speaker 1>of it, but essentially between the actual price of what

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<v Speaker 1>are you sold for versus what people would think it

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<v Speaker 1>sold for given how often they saw it, there was

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<v Speaker 1>a difference of thirty in the perception of what a

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<v Speaker 1>sneaker was worth. So josh Um Joe kind of already

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<v Speaker 1>touched on us. But we've we've done a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>episodes about the bond market and how difficult it is

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<v Speaker 1>to trade bonds simply because unlike stocks, a bond will

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<v Speaker 1>come in all sorts of flavors of maturity and coupon

0:13:13.960 --> 0:13:16.120
<v Speaker 1>and things like that. And it kind of strikes me

0:13:16.160 --> 0:13:20.280
<v Speaker 1>that sneakers are similar in the at the very least,

0:13:20.520 --> 0:13:24.760
<v Speaker 1>you have a variety of sizes, right, So, like, how

0:13:24.760 --> 0:13:29.480
<v Speaker 1>does the size issue affect trading of sneakers? Do people

0:13:29.559 --> 0:13:32.640
<v Speaker 1>only want to buy sneakers in their sizes or do

0:13:32.720 --> 0:13:36.920
<v Speaker 1>they look beyond that because they're betting on future value.

0:13:37.920 --> 0:13:41.360
<v Speaker 1>There's I think there's some similarity, um in this sort

0:13:41.360 --> 0:13:43.559
<v Speaker 1>of lack of transparency in the sneaker market. But it's

0:13:43.600 --> 0:13:46.960
<v Speaker 1>not really around UM size, right, It's really about channel

0:13:47.480 --> 0:13:51.200
<v Speaker 1>UM first to mention quickly on size UM. You know,

0:13:51.320 --> 0:13:55.160
<v Speaker 1>the entire sneaker recent market is just supply and demand, right,

0:13:55.280 --> 0:13:57.720
<v Speaker 1>It is econ one oh one UM. It is the

0:13:57.720 --> 0:14:00.800
<v Speaker 1>difference between the supply that the brands put out and

0:14:00.840 --> 0:14:04.120
<v Speaker 1>what the demand is for those particular sneakers, and the

0:14:04.200 --> 0:14:06.720
<v Speaker 1>gap in that UM and how big or small that

0:14:06.840 --> 0:14:09.240
<v Speaker 1>is will depend you know, how much the shoe sells for.

0:14:09.320 --> 0:14:12.760
<v Speaker 1>I mean it is pretty straightforward. And in general, even

0:14:12.760 --> 0:14:16.280
<v Speaker 1>on the limited and exclusive sneakers, the brands uh know

0:14:16.440 --> 0:14:20.040
<v Speaker 1>pretty well the size distribution of the population. So there

0:14:20.040 --> 0:14:22.400
<v Speaker 1>may be less size fourteens in the market, but there's

0:14:22.440 --> 0:14:24.400
<v Speaker 1>less people that want to buy a size fourteen in

0:14:24.440 --> 0:14:27.800
<v Speaker 1>the market. So in general, UM, that doesn't have too

0:14:27.840 --> 0:14:31.520
<v Speaker 1>much UM difference, too much disparity in the price based

0:14:31.560 --> 0:14:35.280
<v Speaker 1>on the size. But where the majority of the sort

0:14:35.280 --> 0:14:38.480
<v Speaker 1>of lack of transparency still happens is in the distinction

0:14:38.480 --> 0:14:42.240
<v Speaker 1>between the channels. So unlike you know, a stock market

0:14:42.280 --> 0:14:46.040
<v Speaker 1>which essentially has a monopoly on any particular UM stock,

0:14:46.720 --> 0:14:49.400
<v Speaker 1>you can buy yourself sneakers anywhere. UM. You know, eBay

0:14:49.480 --> 0:14:52.640
<v Speaker 1>is is still the largest marketplace stock x. There's other

0:14:52.720 --> 0:14:55.840
<v Speaker 1>mobile sneaker apps. UM. There are people buy and sell

0:14:55.840 --> 0:14:58.400
<v Speaker 1>on Twitter, on Facebook, on Instagram, I mean anywhere that

0:14:58.440 --> 0:15:01.200
<v Speaker 1>sneaker has come into contact with a each other, shoes

0:15:01.200 --> 0:15:03.520
<v Speaker 1>are gonna be bought and sold. And the majority of

0:15:03.520 --> 0:15:07.200
<v Speaker 1>those channels, just like the majority of other marketplaces, there's

0:15:07.280 --> 0:15:11.000
<v Speaker 1>just there's imperfect information. Right. The seller UM is the

0:15:11.040 --> 0:15:13.520
<v Speaker 1>one who really understands the market better and the buyers

0:15:13.600 --> 0:15:16.440
<v Speaker 1>left it well whatever the sellers, I can see whatever

0:15:16.480 --> 0:15:19.320
<v Speaker 1>they're they're selling for, and so I bring that all

0:15:19.320 --> 0:15:22.480
<v Speaker 1>in one place, right, And a really fundamental tenant of

0:15:22.520 --> 0:15:24.920
<v Speaker 1>house stock X works and why It's like the stock market,

0:15:25.000 --> 0:15:29.640
<v Speaker 1>is that there's one place, there's one called ticker symbol

0:15:29.680 --> 0:15:32.040
<v Speaker 1>for one shoe. Right, So if you go to eBay

0:15:32.040 --> 0:15:34.520
<v Speaker 1>and you type in the Air Jordan eleven space Jam,

0:15:34.600 --> 0:15:37.800
<v Speaker 1>which is the shoe that is the the most popular

0:15:37.800 --> 0:15:41.040
<v Speaker 1>shoe that Air Jordan put out, and there's a rumor

0:15:41.120 --> 0:15:43.480
<v Speaker 1>to be over a million pairs, but people are buying

0:15:43.520 --> 0:15:45.480
<v Speaker 1>and reselling them. If you type in air Jordan eleven

0:15:45.520 --> 0:15:48.000
<v Speaker 1>space and one eBay, you will get a thousand listings,

0:15:48.040 --> 0:15:50.320
<v Speaker 1>maybe five thousand listings. But if you go to the

0:15:50.360 --> 0:15:51.960
<v Speaker 1>New York Stock Exchange and you want to buy a

0:15:51.960 --> 0:15:55.480
<v Speaker 1>Sheriff Apple stock, there's one ticker symbol for Apple. And

0:15:55.520 --> 0:15:58.040
<v Speaker 1>in the same way, there's one place there's one ticker

0:15:58.080 --> 0:16:00.960
<v Speaker 1>symbol for Jordan eleven space Jam, one stock X. And

0:16:01.000 --> 0:16:04.040
<v Speaker 1>by bringing every bit and every ass to one place,

0:16:04.520 --> 0:16:07.280
<v Speaker 1>you can now create more transparency of what's going on

0:16:07.320 --> 0:16:10.000
<v Speaker 1>in the market. There's still nineteen other channels, and you

0:16:10.040 --> 0:16:13.840
<v Speaker 1>still lose that transparency if you're within any of those channels.

0:16:13.880 --> 0:16:16.440
<v Speaker 1>But that's the bigger idea around using a stock market

0:16:16.520 --> 0:16:20.240
<v Speaker 1>drive transparency. It's not only historical pricing data, but it's

0:16:20.240 --> 0:16:22.720
<v Speaker 1>also about what is going on right now? What do

0:16:22.800 --> 0:16:24.440
<v Speaker 1>people want to buy it for and when people want

0:16:24.480 --> 0:16:28.920
<v Speaker 1>to sell it for? So I have two questions. One is,

0:16:29.640 --> 0:16:32.720
<v Speaker 1>since you've had this push in sort of multiple endeavors

0:16:32.760 --> 0:16:36.920
<v Speaker 1>to create transparency, a has there been an observed I

0:16:36.920 --> 0:16:40.520
<v Speaker 1>guess I would say narrowing of spreads where even across

0:16:40.640 --> 0:16:44.360
<v Speaker 1>multiple channels, because there is this reference the prices of

0:16:44.480 --> 0:16:47.000
<v Speaker 1>a given sneaker, do they tend to cluster more as

0:16:47.080 --> 0:16:50.880
<v Speaker 1>people start to four months some idea and to um,

0:16:51.000 --> 0:16:55.360
<v Speaker 1>is there any sort of cross sneaker price correlation Gaussian

0:16:55.400 --> 0:16:59.600
<v Speaker 1>copula is so to speak, where one sneaker trade sort

0:16:59.640 --> 0:17:02.440
<v Speaker 1>of sit milar lead to another sneaker. They're not identical,

0:17:02.920 --> 0:17:05.000
<v Speaker 1>but maybe they're of the same year or of the

0:17:05.040 --> 0:17:08.199
<v Speaker 1>same style, and so you start to see relationships in

0:17:08.240 --> 0:17:12.760
<v Speaker 1>the pricing of slightly different sneakers. These are these are

0:17:12.920 --> 0:17:15.840
<v Speaker 1>phenomenal questions, right, This is exactly what we see happening

0:17:15.840 --> 0:17:19.919
<v Speaker 1>and what we UM observe and look for as we

0:17:19.960 --> 0:17:22.240
<v Speaker 1>continue to build the market and make sure that that

0:17:22.280 --> 0:17:25.040
<v Speaker 1>it works the way it should. Um. So the first

0:17:25.080 --> 0:17:27.720
<v Speaker 1>question with regard to to spread, and it's really about

0:17:27.720 --> 0:17:31.119
<v Speaker 1>sort of narrowing of margins. The people that are most

0:17:31.880 --> 0:17:35.360
<v Speaker 1>upset about stock X on today as we as were

0:17:35.400 --> 0:17:38.560
<v Speaker 1>you know, ten months into this. UM are the ones

0:17:38.600 --> 0:17:41.520
<v Speaker 1>who used to be able to UM sell sneakers for

0:17:41.600 --> 0:17:44.840
<v Speaker 1>more money and trade on imperfect information. UM. But as

0:17:44.880 --> 0:17:47.320
<v Speaker 1>you bring more buyers together, and in particularly the shoes

0:17:47.359 --> 0:17:49.960
<v Speaker 1>that have high volume, where there's really a lot of

0:17:49.960 --> 0:17:52.480
<v Speaker 1>bids and a lot of asks happening at the same time,

0:17:52.760 --> 0:17:55.159
<v Speaker 1>and you can literally see business coming off the board,

0:17:55.240 --> 0:17:59.320
<v Speaker 1>you know, real time, you know, as as trades are happening. UM,

0:17:59.359 --> 0:18:02.960
<v Speaker 1>what we see is that there's lower profit within those

0:18:02.960 --> 0:18:06.680
<v Speaker 1>shoes within the market then people used to be able

0:18:06.720 --> 0:18:09.000
<v Speaker 1>to get. And that's natural, right, I mean that that's

0:18:09.080 --> 0:18:12.920
<v Speaker 1>natural to happen. As more buyers then come into the market, right,

0:18:13.000 --> 0:18:15.960
<v Speaker 1>it'll start to to push that price back up. But

0:18:16.119 --> 0:18:19.280
<v Speaker 1>on day one, all the sellers are constantly looking for

0:18:19.320 --> 0:18:21.560
<v Speaker 1>as many places to sell as possible, So they're the

0:18:21.560 --> 0:18:24.640
<v Speaker 1>ones that are more easily UM, were more quickly gonna

0:18:24.680 --> 0:18:27.159
<v Speaker 1>gonna utilize stock X and list there. So as you

0:18:27.200 --> 0:18:29.679
<v Speaker 1>have more sellers, the price will come down. And we

0:18:29.800 --> 0:18:33.240
<v Speaker 1>do see spreads really low on the very populous shoes

0:18:33.280 --> 0:18:35.280
<v Speaker 1>like the Jordan eleven Space Jam. So you may see

0:18:35.280 --> 0:18:39.040
<v Speaker 1>a spread of two five dollars, But on a shoe

0:18:39.080 --> 0:18:41.400
<v Speaker 1>that came out maybe six seven years ago, where there's

0:18:41.400 --> 0:18:44.200
<v Speaker 1>a lot less volume, that spread might be fifty dollars

0:18:44.320 --> 0:18:47.120
<v Speaker 1>or a hundred dollars. And so it's really about liquidity.

0:18:47.200 --> 0:18:49.880
<v Speaker 1>And we don't have perfect liquidity the way a stock

0:18:49.920 --> 0:18:52.439
<v Speaker 1>market does, where every apple stock needs to be traded

0:18:52.480 --> 0:18:55.520
<v Speaker 1>through that ticker symbol, right, But the more liquidity that

0:18:55.560 --> 0:18:58.280
<v Speaker 1>comes there, that the better that that becomes. Sounds like

0:18:58.320 --> 0:19:00.080
<v Speaker 1>on the run and off the run bond price. Know

0:19:00.280 --> 0:19:02.959
<v Speaker 1>this sounds exactly. I'm sorry, but this sounds exactly like

0:19:03.080 --> 0:19:07.359
<v Speaker 1>pitches I've heard from bond trading venues for the past

0:19:07.480 --> 0:19:10.440
<v Speaker 1>five or six years. It's really phenomenal. The overlap here.

0:19:10.920 --> 0:19:14.199
<v Speaker 1>The larger hypothesis is that you should be able to

0:19:14.200 --> 0:19:18.280
<v Speaker 1>buy or sell any consumer good using this process, right,

0:19:18.320 --> 0:19:21.440
<v Speaker 1>as long as it's not a purely commoditized product already,

0:19:21.520 --> 0:19:25.400
<v Speaker 1>like say plastic water bottles or toilet paper, and it's

0:19:25.440 --> 0:19:27.679
<v Speaker 1>not a complete, unique, one of a kind item like

0:19:27.680 --> 0:19:30.840
<v Speaker 1>a work of art orhouse anything that has some finite

0:19:30.880 --> 0:19:34.359
<v Speaker 1>quantity of supply. All we're doing is adding the demand

0:19:34.400 --> 0:19:36.720
<v Speaker 1>side of the equation. And once you do that, you

0:19:36.760 --> 0:19:39.000
<v Speaker 1>can get into a place where you have a more

0:19:39.040 --> 0:19:42.080
<v Speaker 1>efficient market that UM that allows people to to buy

0:19:42.080 --> 0:19:44.760
<v Speaker 1>and sell leveraging you know, the piece that no one

0:19:44.800 --> 0:19:47.600
<v Speaker 1>ever had, which is the demand side. So it really

0:19:47.680 --> 0:19:52.520
<v Speaker 1>is in some cases or in some views almost logical.

0:19:52.680 --> 0:19:56.160
<v Speaker 1>The logical step of you know, stock is stock market

0:19:56.240 --> 0:19:59.680
<v Speaker 1>is about the delivery of a digital certificate for ownership

0:19:59.760 --> 0:20:03.159
<v Speaker 1>of UH piece of the company. This is just a

0:20:03.200 --> 0:20:06.119
<v Speaker 1>delivery of a physical good. Everything else should be exactly

0:20:06.200 --> 0:20:11.560
<v Speaker 1>the same. Josh, what is the most valuable sneaker of

0:20:11.640 --> 0:20:15.520
<v Speaker 1>all time? And what would you recommend that Joe and

0:20:15.560 --> 0:20:18.800
<v Speaker 1>I go by now if we were looking for something

0:20:18.840 --> 0:20:22.080
<v Speaker 1>that was maybe undervalued that was going to UM pop

0:20:22.280 --> 0:20:26.600
<v Speaker 1>sometime in the future. The most valuable sneaker, let's say,

0:20:26.640 --> 0:20:30.560
<v Speaker 1>the most expensive sneaker that is sold recently. UM. About

0:20:30.760 --> 0:20:35.560
<v Speaker 1>a month or two ago, Nike released what's called the

0:20:35.560 --> 0:20:39.440
<v Speaker 1>the Nike mag which is the self lacing shoe from

0:20:39.480 --> 0:20:44.679
<v Speaker 1>Back to the Future Too. They made eighty nine pairs, right,

0:20:44.760 --> 0:20:48.840
<v Speaker 1>they made eighty nine pairs. They were sold through raffles

0:20:48.960 --> 0:20:52.320
<v Speaker 1>UM to raise money for Michael J. Fox Parkinson Foundation.

0:20:53.600 --> 0:20:56.840
<v Speaker 1>And once they got into the market, UM with only

0:20:56.880 --> 0:20:59.159
<v Speaker 1>eighty nine pairs and it being. You know, you have

0:20:59.280 --> 0:21:01.639
<v Speaker 1>the nostalgia aspect of back to the future, and you

0:21:01.640 --> 0:21:04.800
<v Speaker 1>have sneaker heads, and you have power lacing. UM. There

0:21:04.880 --> 0:21:07.600
<v Speaker 1>was one pair that reportedly sold for two hundred thousand

0:21:07.640 --> 0:21:10.879
<v Speaker 1>dollars at an auction, and another pair that's sold for

0:21:10.960 --> 0:21:14.199
<v Speaker 1>a hundred thousand dollars at a different auction. UM. We

0:21:14.240 --> 0:21:16.320
<v Speaker 1>had one of those sell on stocks so far and

0:21:16.320 --> 0:21:18.639
<v Speaker 1>it sold for about It sold for twenty five thousand

0:21:18.680 --> 0:21:21.280
<v Speaker 1>dollars UM, and there's others that are listed right now

0:21:21.280 --> 0:21:23.480
<v Speaker 1>on stock x for about fifty or sixty thousand dollars.

0:21:24.080 --> 0:21:26.680
<v Speaker 1>But that shoe is so rare, with only eighty nine

0:21:26.720 --> 0:21:30.399
<v Speaker 1>pairs in the world, it essentially doesn't exist. I mean,

0:21:31.200 --> 0:21:32.760
<v Speaker 1>it might as well be a unique, one of a

0:21:32.840 --> 0:21:34.919
<v Speaker 1>kind item because the odds of finding any one person

0:21:35.160 --> 0:21:37.200
<v Speaker 1>that's going to pay twenty five thousand dollars letter in

0:21:37.240 --> 0:21:40.879
<v Speaker 1>two hundred thousand dollars, it's so you know, it's just

0:21:40.960 --> 0:21:43.720
<v Speaker 1>so rare. But that's the that's what's out there right now.

0:21:44.560 --> 0:21:46.960
<v Speaker 1>It's certainly the thing that UM that all sneaker heads

0:21:46.960 --> 0:21:49.320
<v Speaker 1>are sort of aware of and UM, and it's a

0:21:49.320 --> 0:21:51.919
<v Speaker 1>pretty cool thing because it it literally works like in

0:21:51.960 --> 0:21:53.600
<v Speaker 1>Back to the future too. You put your foot in it,

0:21:53.840 --> 0:21:56.280
<v Speaker 1>and it and it laces automatically right around it and

0:21:56.320 --> 0:21:59.720
<v Speaker 1>for a real quickly before you go, uh for an

0:21:59.800 --> 0:22:03.119
<v Speaker 1>end shrint like me or Tracy who sort of I

0:22:03.160 --> 0:22:06.120
<v Speaker 1>have a few sneakers, but I'm not really a sneaker head. Yeah,

0:22:06.160 --> 0:22:09.200
<v Speaker 1>I clearly have no sneakers and I'm not a sneaker head.

0:22:09.400 --> 0:22:11.560
<v Speaker 1>Like if we wanted to sort of dip our dip

0:22:11.600 --> 0:22:13.800
<v Speaker 1>our foot into the water, where might be like a

0:22:13.840 --> 0:22:16.359
<v Speaker 1>fun place, what would be one sneaker that a beginner

0:22:16.440 --> 0:22:20.080
<v Speaker 1>might buy, something cool, but that's available and affordable, right

0:22:20.160 --> 0:22:23.160
<v Speaker 1>and and and that's the key, because you know, buying

0:22:23.200 --> 0:22:26.000
<v Speaker 1>sneakers on the recall market to make money is not

0:22:26.680 --> 0:22:29.000
<v Speaker 1>actually a great idea. The majority of the money is

0:22:29.080 --> 0:22:31.159
<v Speaker 1>made by those who can acquire the sneakers at the

0:22:31.240 --> 0:22:33.480
<v Speaker 1>retail price and then turn around and sell them on

0:22:33.520 --> 0:22:36.760
<v Speaker 1>the resell market. But you know what Adidas has done

0:22:36.760 --> 0:22:39.800
<v Speaker 1>really well in the past year is they've taken a

0:22:39.840 --> 0:22:42.920
<v Speaker 1>lot of shoes that um are very limited and hard

0:22:42.960 --> 0:22:44.399
<v Speaker 1>to get and sell for a lot of money. And

0:22:44.440 --> 0:22:47.639
<v Speaker 1>in particular, there's two models that there's the Adidas n

0:22:47.880 --> 0:22:51.240
<v Speaker 1>M D and there's the Adidas ultra boost, and there's

0:22:51.280 --> 0:22:54.000
<v Speaker 1>been a lot of very rare colors that are self

0:22:54.040 --> 0:22:56.640
<v Speaker 1>for hundreds and thousands of dollars. But they've also put

0:22:56.680 --> 0:22:59.480
<v Speaker 1>out a lot of colors that are not rare that

0:22:59.560 --> 0:23:01.719
<v Speaker 1>you can talk in the store and get and boots

0:23:01.720 --> 0:23:04.840
<v Speaker 1>is very comfortable. And you have this model that you

0:23:04.840 --> 0:23:07.040
<v Speaker 1>know other people wearing literally the exact team shooting a

0:23:07.040 --> 0:23:10.199
<v Speaker 1>different color that might sell for two thousand dollars, and

0:23:10.320 --> 0:23:11.720
<v Speaker 1>you can go in the store and buy it four

0:23:11.760 --> 0:23:14.159
<v Speaker 1>a hundred, forty or a hundred and fifty dollars. So

0:23:14.480 --> 0:23:17.160
<v Speaker 1>I think that would be a sort of really good

0:23:17.520 --> 0:23:19.600
<v Speaker 1>intro shoe for most people, because you're not gonna be

0:23:19.600 --> 0:23:21.399
<v Speaker 1>able to get a pair of Air Jordans. You're not

0:23:21.400 --> 0:23:23.680
<v Speaker 1>gonna be able to get a pair of Yeasys because

0:23:23.760 --> 0:23:25.919
<v Speaker 1>they're just too rare and they sell for for too

0:23:26.000 --> 0:23:30.199
<v Speaker 1>much money. All right, Josh Luber of stock X the

0:23:30.520 --> 0:23:36.600
<v Speaker 1>stock Market for Sneakers. Fascinating conversation. Uh. I will hopefully

0:23:36.640 --> 0:23:38.000
<v Speaker 1>have you back in the year and we can talk

0:23:38.040 --> 0:23:41.359
<v Speaker 1>about how the market has, you know, evolved and gotten

0:23:41.400 --> 0:23:43.800
<v Speaker 1>more liquid if it has. I really appreciate you coming on.

0:23:44.600 --> 0:23:46.280
<v Speaker 1>Thank you very much for having me. The next time

0:23:46.320 --> 0:23:48.200
<v Speaker 1>we can talk. We can also talk about how we've

0:23:48.240 --> 0:23:51.359
<v Speaker 1>added watches and handbags and other verticals because we're moving

0:23:51.359 --> 0:24:06.280
<v Speaker 1>beyond sneakers pretty soon. Fascinating. Thank you, Thank you so Joe.

0:24:06.359 --> 0:24:09.480
<v Speaker 1>I I feel like I still have so many questions

0:24:09.520 --> 0:24:13.000
<v Speaker 1>and so many thoughts on sneakers that I never thought

0:24:13.040 --> 0:24:17.000
<v Speaker 1>I would have. Yeah. Same, But I you know, I

0:24:17.040 --> 0:24:19.639
<v Speaker 1>love all the parallels that you pointed out and that

0:24:19.800 --> 0:24:23.240
<v Speaker 1>we see between how the market has evolved in liquidity

0:24:23.280 --> 0:24:27.520
<v Speaker 1>and pricing between sneakers and bonds. It really is sort

0:24:27.520 --> 0:24:30.760
<v Speaker 1>of feasting that there's some sort of universal truths about

0:24:30.800 --> 0:24:33.439
<v Speaker 1>market structure out there. Yeah. I mean you kind of

0:24:33.480 --> 0:24:36.000
<v Speaker 1>touched on this. You could go either way, right, Like,

0:24:36.040 --> 0:24:40.320
<v Speaker 1>on the one hand, markets tend to beget markets, and

0:24:40.359 --> 0:24:44.600
<v Speaker 1>liquidity begets liquidity, So even if you have an esoteric

0:24:44.640 --> 0:24:48.960
<v Speaker 1>asset like a air Jordan's um, you could eventually have

0:24:49.040 --> 0:24:53.040
<v Speaker 1>transparent pricing for that. But on the other hand, this

0:24:53.240 --> 0:24:56.160
<v Speaker 1>kind of reminds me of the conversation we had way

0:24:56.240 --> 0:24:59.400
<v Speaker 1>back in the day about the beanie Baby bubble, where

0:24:59.440 --> 0:25:03.440
<v Speaker 1>there was that catalog of market participants and they all

0:25:03.480 --> 0:25:06.720
<v Speaker 1>just kind of came up with prices that tended to

0:25:07.240 --> 0:25:09.840
<v Speaker 1>benefit them. And like, I don't mean to imply that

0:25:09.840 --> 0:25:13.120
<v Speaker 1>that's what stock X is doing, but in terms of collectibles,

0:25:13.640 --> 0:25:16.880
<v Speaker 1>you can see a parallel right right. The only differences

0:25:16.880 --> 0:25:20.200
<v Speaker 1>I would say is a sneakers actually have some value

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<v Speaker 1>because you can wear them, unlike a beanie baby. You

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<v Speaker 1>didn't wear your beanie babies. B Sneakers have been cool forever,

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<v Speaker 1>so they're clearly not a fad because people have been

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<v Speaker 1>wearing sneakers forever. And three, it's interesting so much of

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<v Speaker 1>the market dominated by Nike, which doesn't have you know,

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<v Speaker 1>which obviously is not just going to flood the market

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<v Speaker 1>one day and sort of destroy all interest, where so

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<v Speaker 1>you have like this stable brand behind it. But there

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<v Speaker 1>clearly are you know, potentially quite a few similarities between

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<v Speaker 1>sneakers and other collectibles that have gone crazy over time.

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<v Speaker 1>All right, shall we leave it at that for today

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<v Speaker 1>before I embarrass myself yet, kind you didn't embarrass yourself. No,

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<v Speaker 1>I can't believe I messed up that joke. All right,

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<v Speaker 1>let's let's go. I'm Tracy Alloway. You can follow me

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<v Speaker 1>on Twitter at Tracy Alloway, and I'm Joe wi Isn't all.

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<v Speaker 1>You can follow me on Twitter at the stalwart. Thanks

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<v Speaker 1>for listening,