1 00:00:01,400 --> 00:00:06,800 Speaker 1: The volume. This week on Prime Cuts, Matt Mosey and 2 00:00:06,840 --> 00:00:09,800 Speaker 1: I talk about the Dallas Cowboys future, and there went 3 00:00:09,840 --> 00:00:13,280 Speaker 1: over the Chargers, Chad Millman, Sharper Square. But first my 4 00:00:13,400 --> 00:00:21,280 Speaker 1: top takes of the week, let's talk about the Jets 5 00:00:21,400 --> 00:00:25,280 Speaker 1: upset of the Philadelphia Eagles. Well, Philadelphia, as the saying goes, 6 00:00:25,320 --> 00:00:27,560 Speaker 1: had been playing with their food for the last four 7 00:00:27,640 --> 00:00:31,080 Speaker 1: or five weeks, not putting people away, struggling. I do 8 00:00:31,120 --> 00:00:34,159 Speaker 1: think they missed Shane Stike and the offensive coordinator from 9 00:00:34,240 --> 00:00:37,360 Speaker 1: last year who is now the head coach of the Colts. 10 00:00:37,400 --> 00:00:41,199 Speaker 1: We all recognize that coordinators matter. I don't think the 11 00:00:41,280 --> 00:00:44,960 Speaker 1: Niners defense is quite as good as last year. Demiko 12 00:00:45,159 --> 00:00:48,159 Speaker 1: Ryans is now the head coach of the Houston Texans, 13 00:00:48,159 --> 00:00:50,920 Speaker 1: who won another game with rookie quarterback c J. Stroud. 14 00:00:51,240 --> 00:00:53,720 Speaker 1: So I just think the Eagles are a really good team, 15 00:00:53,760 --> 00:00:58,600 Speaker 1: struggling to find in identity and four turnovers. Jets didn't 16 00:00:58,600 --> 00:01:00,880 Speaker 1: have any. And I also think Robert Salla and his 17 00:01:00,960 --> 00:01:04,080 Speaker 1: staff deserve credit. This is a team that has one 18 00:01:04,360 --> 00:01:07,759 Speaker 1: real playmaker on the outside, Garrett Wilson, nice running back, 19 00:01:07,880 --> 00:01:12,720 Speaker 1: O line is suboptimal, tremendous defense. They're playing into Zach 20 00:01:12,800 --> 00:01:17,000 Speaker 1: Wilson's straints. They kind of limit the places he can 21 00:01:17,080 --> 00:01:20,319 Speaker 1: go and get into trouble. Didn't love all their play calling. 22 00:01:20,680 --> 00:01:23,360 Speaker 1: If you looked at the box score outside of the turnovers, 23 00:01:23,360 --> 00:01:25,720 Speaker 1: you would have thought the Eagles won. Well, if you 24 00:01:25,720 --> 00:01:28,120 Speaker 1: look at the box score USC Notre Dame, you would 25 00:01:28,120 --> 00:01:32,800 Speaker 1: have thought USC one. It doesn't matter. Limit turnovers, limit 26 00:01:32,840 --> 00:01:36,200 Speaker 1: the trouble. Zach Wilson can get you in play great defense, 27 00:01:36,319 --> 00:01:40,759 Speaker 1: take the ball away. You know when I watched Philadelphia, 28 00:01:40,400 --> 00:01:44,319 Speaker 1: and I think Julian Edelman was on my show about 29 00:01:44,440 --> 00:01:46,279 Speaker 1: four or five days ago, three or four days ago 30 00:01:46,920 --> 00:01:50,480 Speaker 1: at Fox, and he said, every September, you know, Bill 31 00:01:50,480 --> 00:01:53,320 Speaker 1: Belichick's worst month of his career. With September. He said, 32 00:01:53,480 --> 00:01:56,800 Speaker 1: every single team, even super Bowl winning teams, the next September, 33 00:01:56,920 --> 00:01:59,720 Speaker 1: if you had ninety percent same roster, he goes, every 34 00:01:59,760 --> 00:02:02,920 Speaker 1: team had a different identity. And Bill believed the first 35 00:02:02,960 --> 00:02:06,480 Speaker 1: four to five weeks of the season, you found your identity. 36 00:02:06,560 --> 00:02:10,680 Speaker 1: Philadelphia can't find one. But they're really, really talented, and 37 00:02:10,760 --> 00:02:14,400 Speaker 1: so the quest is can we figure out exactly what 38 00:02:14,520 --> 00:02:18,239 Speaker 1: we are? Obviously Jalen Hurts made some mistakes today. Also 39 00:02:18,360 --> 00:02:22,239 Speaker 1: makes you know Philadelphia usually is a very good, big 40 00:02:22,440 --> 00:02:26,000 Speaker 1: moment team with this roster, but it's not a surprise. 41 00:02:26,080 --> 00:02:29,239 Speaker 1: Matt Ryan had an MVP with Kyle Shanahan. Kyle Shanahan 42 00:02:29,360 --> 00:02:33,280 Speaker 1: leaves slowly. He's not the same quarterback Philadelphia is. You 43 00:02:33,280 --> 00:02:37,239 Speaker 1: can be two things, very good and lacking a true identity. 44 00:02:37,240 --> 00:02:41,040 Speaker 1: For years, Michigan under Harbaugh was really good, but it 45 00:02:41,080 --> 00:02:43,840 Speaker 1: wasn't until about two three years ago they found that 46 00:02:43,960 --> 00:02:48,200 Speaker 1: true Michigan identity. We're going to physically, at the point 47 00:02:48,240 --> 00:02:51,520 Speaker 1: of attack, dominate you. Ohio State may have better players 48 00:02:51,840 --> 00:02:54,160 Speaker 1: last couple of years, they feel like they've kind of 49 00:02:54,280 --> 00:02:58,160 Speaker 1: lacked a little identity compared to Michigan. So I think 50 00:02:58,200 --> 00:03:00,880 Speaker 1: that's where Philadelphia is. I think they'll be fine eventually. 51 00:03:00,880 --> 00:03:04,560 Speaker 1: They've got a playmaker at quarterback. AJ Brown's remarkable. They 52 00:03:04,600 --> 00:03:07,639 Speaker 1: have so many talented guys in that front seven. Defensively, 53 00:03:08,760 --> 00:03:10,440 Speaker 1: but good for the Jets. I think they've kind of 54 00:03:10,480 --> 00:03:12,880 Speaker 1: figured out and come to terms with what Zach can 55 00:03:12,880 --> 00:03:14,440 Speaker 1: do and what he can I think Zach's playing with 56 00:03:14,480 --> 00:03:17,679 Speaker 1: more confidence now. He's put game after game after game 57 00:03:17,720 --> 00:03:20,000 Speaker 1: three in a row where he's played pretty well. First 58 00:03:20,080 --> 00:03:23,120 Speaker 1: it's Kansas City, then it's Denver, Philadelphia did the best 59 00:03:23,120 --> 00:03:26,560 Speaker 1: of his opportunities. You don't have to win pretty, you 60 00:03:26,960 --> 00:03:29,800 Speaker 1: just gotta win. Good for the Jets. There's been this 61 00:03:29,880 --> 00:03:33,880 Speaker 1: discussion about San Francisco having the best roster, but Brock 62 00:03:33,919 --> 00:03:36,520 Speaker 1: Purdy's excellence is due to the roster and the coach. 63 00:03:36,600 --> 00:03:38,000 Speaker 1: And I thought there was a moment at the end 64 00:03:38,000 --> 00:03:40,360 Speaker 1: of the game that proved what Brock Purtty is, which 65 00:03:40,360 --> 00:03:43,680 Speaker 1: I've claimed is good. I don't know if he's pretty good. 66 00:03:43,760 --> 00:03:46,160 Speaker 1: I don't think he's very good, but he's good. So 67 00:03:46,400 --> 00:03:49,040 Speaker 1: last drive of the game against Cleveland's defense, and that 68 00:03:49,200 --> 00:03:52,560 Speaker 1: is a big boy Cleveland Brown defense, top five in 69 00:03:52,600 --> 00:03:56,720 Speaker 1: the league. It's fast, it's got size, it's relentless, doesn't 70 00:03:56,760 --> 00:03:59,240 Speaker 1: have Christian McCaffrey most of the game, doesn't have Deebo 71 00:03:59,360 --> 00:04:03,040 Speaker 1: Samuel on the road, marches down and gets the team 72 00:04:03,120 --> 00:04:06,040 Speaker 1: into field goal range and the kicker misses. The rookie 73 00:04:06,080 --> 00:04:10,480 Speaker 1: kicker misses. He did his job. If Tom Brady was 74 00:04:10,520 --> 00:04:14,480 Speaker 1: missing Gronken Edelman against this defense, drove down, got the 75 00:04:14,520 --> 00:04:17,720 Speaker 1: field goalkicker in range, and the field goalkicker missed, you'd 76 00:04:17,760 --> 00:04:21,559 Speaker 1: be crushing the kicker. You want to root against Brock Purty, 77 00:04:21,880 --> 00:04:25,320 Speaker 1: You wanted to acknowledge Brady was the goat. Depends on 78 00:04:25,360 --> 00:04:28,360 Speaker 1: where you come from. Perty's good, not great, I don't think, 79 00:04:28,640 --> 00:04:32,440 Speaker 1: but he's good. That was a tough environment, pressure on 80 00:04:32,800 --> 00:04:37,760 Speaker 1: every pass attempt of that final drive on everyone, a 81 00:04:37,839 --> 00:04:40,560 Speaker 1: couple of big plays by Brandon Ayuk sits in the pocket, 82 00:04:40,800 --> 00:04:44,520 Speaker 1: he recognizes who's open and accurately delivers the ball. And 83 00:04:44,640 --> 00:04:48,919 Speaker 1: that's that's what really good franchise quarterbacks do. Ninety percent 84 00:04:48,960 --> 00:04:51,279 Speaker 1: of the people who play this position are dependent on 85 00:04:51,440 --> 00:04:54,960 Speaker 1: those around them, their protection, their weaponry, their head coach. 86 00:04:55,480 --> 00:04:59,000 Speaker 1: Even Mahomes benefits from Kelsey and Andy Reid. So I 87 00:04:59,000 --> 00:05:02,000 Speaker 1: thought that drive, even though it was a losing effort, 88 00:05:02,360 --> 00:05:05,760 Speaker 1: was an example of what brought Perty is not intimidated, 89 00:05:05,839 --> 00:05:08,599 Speaker 1: doesn't panic, can handle a pass rush, got it to 90 00:05:08,640 --> 00:05:12,160 Speaker 1: the right people. McCaffrey debo not available right, but McCaffrey 91 00:05:12,160 --> 00:05:14,480 Speaker 1: wasn't available most of the game. Debo not available at 92 00:05:14,480 --> 00:05:16,599 Speaker 1: the end. Got it to the right people, moved the 93 00:05:16,600 --> 00:05:18,919 Speaker 1: ball up the field and put them in a position 94 00:05:19,080 --> 00:05:23,480 Speaker 1: to win. And he did his job. The Patriots dynasty 95 00:05:23,560 --> 00:05:26,159 Speaker 1: was built on do your job. The kicker didn't do 96 00:05:26,240 --> 00:05:29,359 Speaker 1: his job. Okay, and San Francisco got some heat for 97 00:05:29,440 --> 00:05:32,239 Speaker 1: drafting a kicker where they drafted him, and to this point, 98 00:05:32,320 --> 00:05:34,200 Speaker 1: you know, the Trey Lance thing didn't work. The kicker 99 00:05:34,200 --> 00:05:36,080 Speaker 1: thing has had its ups and downs. They've done a 100 00:05:36,160 --> 00:05:38,400 Speaker 1: very good job to build a roster, but this was 101 00:05:38,440 --> 00:05:40,760 Speaker 1: going to be a really hard day for San Francisco, 102 00:05:40,880 --> 00:05:44,599 Speaker 1: right they come off this dominating national TV performance over Dallas. 103 00:05:45,040 --> 00:05:47,080 Speaker 1: We know in the NFL, one of the things I've 104 00:05:47,120 --> 00:05:49,640 Speaker 1: always done is bet against the team who has this 105 00:05:49,800 --> 00:05:53,119 Speaker 1: dominating performance the previous week, and bet on the team 106 00:05:53,320 --> 00:05:55,520 Speaker 1: if they have a capable quarterback who gets blown out 107 00:05:55,560 --> 00:05:59,120 Speaker 1: the previous week. So it was one of those circle games. 108 00:05:59,680 --> 00:06:03,400 Speaker 1: You know, the line changed dramatically because of the quarterback play, 109 00:06:03,440 --> 00:06:05,840 Speaker 1: but I thought, you know, Cleveland moved the ball enough, 110 00:06:06,120 --> 00:06:09,280 Speaker 1: deserved to win. But to me, the story was another 111 00:06:09,360 --> 00:06:12,840 Speaker 1: example of Purdy is more than capable of at home 112 00:06:12,960 --> 00:06:15,880 Speaker 1: or on the road against an elite defense without all 113 00:06:15,920 --> 00:06:19,120 Speaker 1: of his pieces, moving the chains and getting you in 114 00:06:19,400 --> 00:06:23,719 Speaker 1: position to win the game. So, you know, how do 115 00:06:23,760 --> 00:06:28,520 Speaker 1: you define a franchise quarterback? Tonight? Trevor Lawrence is a 116 00:06:28,520 --> 00:06:33,960 Speaker 1: franchise quarterback, doesn't practice all week, bad knee, facing a 117 00:06:34,000 --> 00:06:38,960 Speaker 1: better defense Saints than Derek Carr faces in the Jacks, 118 00:06:39,760 --> 00:06:44,680 Speaker 1: He's on the road, one of the louder stadiums. Trevor Lawrence, 119 00:06:45,200 --> 00:06:49,120 Speaker 1: unlike Carr, doesn't make the big mistake, doesn't have a picksax, 120 00:06:49,880 --> 00:06:53,480 Speaker 1: A very tidy twenty for twenty nine, two hundred and 121 00:06:53,480 --> 00:06:56,680 Speaker 1: four yards, sixty yards rushing and a touchdown on the 122 00:06:56,760 --> 00:07:02,680 Speaker 1: road against the better defense. Did not practice. That's a 123 00:07:02,720 --> 00:07:06,760 Speaker 1: franchise quarterback. It's not having to play great, it's just 124 00:07:07,080 --> 00:07:11,000 Speaker 1: making enough plays to win a road game when you 125 00:07:11,120 --> 00:07:16,960 Speaker 1: don't practice all week. Derek Carr at home has Alvin Camara, 126 00:07:17,200 --> 00:07:22,200 Speaker 1: arguably the best player in the game, a lave Michael Thomas. 127 00:07:23,200 --> 00:07:27,680 Speaker 1: Derek Carr's line a less efficient thirty three of fifty five, 128 00:07:27,760 --> 00:07:31,960 Speaker 1: a pick six, one touchdown. The offense was essentially Alvin 129 00:07:32,040 --> 00:07:36,040 Speaker 1: Kamara seventeen carries and twelve catches. Think about that, twenty 130 00:07:36,480 --> 00:07:40,720 Speaker 1: nine times he touched the ball. Oh running backs, The 131 00:07:40,760 --> 00:07:44,239 Speaker 1: life of a running back. I am not anti Derek Carr, 132 00:07:45,080 --> 00:07:52,080 Speaker 1: but when Derek Carr was in Vegas or Oakland, he 133 00:07:52,240 --> 00:07:59,520 Speaker 1: was almost a sympathetic figure. Right weird ownership, kooky organization, 134 00:08:01,200 --> 00:08:07,560 Speaker 1: Al Davis into his son, and so when you watched 135 00:08:07,640 --> 00:08:10,480 Speaker 1: him team had to move to Vegas. When you watched 136 00:08:10,600 --> 00:08:14,520 Speaker 1: Derek Carr, he was almost a sympathetic figure. You know, 137 00:08:14,600 --> 00:08:18,040 Speaker 1: if he could only get a good defense, a star back, 138 00:08:18,200 --> 00:08:22,520 Speaker 1: a couple of great weapons, a functional, stable ownership group, 139 00:08:23,400 --> 00:08:28,600 Speaker 1: a weaker conference, oh wait, a weaker division, oh wait. 140 00:08:29,200 --> 00:08:32,600 Speaker 1: He got all of them with the Saints, and it 141 00:08:32,600 --> 00:08:36,480 Speaker 1: feels like he's standing in the way of success. Weaker division, 142 00:08:37,120 --> 00:08:43,559 Speaker 1: no mah Holmes Herbert twice a year, weaker conference, better defense, 143 00:08:44,320 --> 00:08:47,440 Speaker 1: more functional ownership. One of the top gms, Mickey Loomis 144 00:08:47,440 --> 00:08:51,320 Speaker 1: in the league. Two star receivers, star back, and at 145 00:08:51,400 --> 00:08:53,480 Speaker 1: least a good run blocking line. I don't know if 146 00:08:53,480 --> 00:08:55,320 Speaker 1: they're a good pass blocking line the Saints, but a 147 00:08:55,320 --> 00:09:00,720 Speaker 1: pretty good run blocking line. And he's at home facing 148 00:09:00,760 --> 00:09:04,760 Speaker 1: a quarterback who didn't practice and loses. And years ago, 149 00:09:04,880 --> 00:09:10,520 Speaker 1: Raider fans just would relentlessly call me out when I 150 00:09:10,520 --> 00:09:12,840 Speaker 1: would say, you know, I think Derek Carr is about 151 00:09:12,840 --> 00:09:14,880 Speaker 1: the twelfth best quarterback in the league. He's around that 152 00:09:14,960 --> 00:09:20,080 Speaker 1: Dak Prescott level. And I really did believe that. But 153 00:09:20,160 --> 00:09:23,640 Speaker 1: what's happened is Derek's not in his prime. He's just 154 00:09:23,720 --> 00:09:26,559 Speaker 1: out of it, and the league's gotten better at quarterback. 155 00:09:26,640 --> 00:09:29,160 Speaker 1: There's just five or six guys that weren't around five 156 00:09:29,240 --> 00:09:32,240 Speaker 1: years ago. And if you right now look at the 157 00:09:32,240 --> 00:09:35,239 Speaker 1: top ten quarterbacks in the league, and I would say Mahomes, 158 00:09:35,280 --> 00:09:40,959 Speaker 1: Allen Burrow, Lamar Jackson, Herbert Stafford, Hurtz, Trevor, Lawrence Goff, 159 00:09:41,080 --> 00:09:44,640 Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers. I'll put in there too. Those are ten. 160 00:09:44,880 --> 00:09:48,160 Speaker 1: I would take Kyler, Murray, Dak and Tua above Derek Carr. 161 00:09:48,240 --> 00:09:50,400 Speaker 1: And I watched them play against c J. Stroud last 162 00:09:50,400 --> 00:09:53,199 Speaker 1: week and I thought c J. Stroud was a better 163 00:09:53,280 --> 00:09:56,400 Speaker 1: distributor of the ball, a more accurate thrower, and played 164 00:09:56,440 --> 00:09:59,480 Speaker 1: with more confidence. So now he's the fifteenth best quarterback 165 00:09:59,520 --> 00:10:02,160 Speaker 1: Derek Carr the league, and he got the bag, which 166 00:10:02,240 --> 00:10:03,720 Speaker 1: is going to limit for the next couple of years 167 00:10:03,720 --> 00:10:05,880 Speaker 1: what the Saints can do in free agency. And I 168 00:10:05,960 --> 00:10:10,160 Speaker 1: was talking about this on FS one today. If you're 169 00:10:10,360 --> 00:10:14,240 Speaker 1: questioning whether you should give your quarterback big money, Daniel Jones, 170 00:10:14,320 --> 00:10:19,840 Speaker 1: Ryan Tannehill, you know, Derek Carr, Jimmy Garoppolo, ask yourself, 171 00:10:19,840 --> 00:10:24,440 Speaker 1: this would at least half the league, and preferably over 172 00:10:24,559 --> 00:10:31,559 Speaker 1: half the league make a call on them. No for Garoppolo, Tannehill, 173 00:10:32,520 --> 00:10:35,040 Speaker 1: Daniel Jones, and Derek Carr. Derek Carr had a market 174 00:10:35,040 --> 00:10:38,720 Speaker 1: of about three teams. That's it. So I spent a 175 00:10:38,800 --> 00:10:42,840 Speaker 1: Saturday in Seattle watching the Huskies beat Oregon. They'll play again, 176 00:10:42,880 --> 00:10:44,719 Speaker 1: I think for the Pac twelve championship, and I think 177 00:10:44,880 --> 00:10:48,040 Speaker 1: Washington has a better quarterback and wide receiver talent, and 178 00:10:48,080 --> 00:10:50,120 Speaker 1: they're more of a big playoffense. I think Oregon's got 179 00:10:50,160 --> 00:10:52,520 Speaker 1: a better roster. I think Texas Oklahoma will play again. 180 00:10:52,640 --> 00:10:55,760 Speaker 1: Texas has the better roster. Oklahoma add a really good 181 00:10:55,840 --> 00:10:59,520 Speaker 1: afternoon and beat Texas. You know. One of the things 182 00:10:59,559 --> 00:11:02,800 Speaker 1: I thought of, though, is as I watch Colorado and 183 00:11:03,000 --> 00:11:06,560 Speaker 1: USC sort of collapse here in the last couple of weeks, 184 00:11:06,600 --> 00:11:11,040 Speaker 1: and clearly there's some regression on both programs that when 185 00:11:11,040 --> 00:11:15,600 Speaker 1: I went to Washington and Oregon, though, both have a 186 00:11:15,640 --> 00:11:20,079 Speaker 1: first round quarterback and a really really good young head coach. 187 00:11:20,840 --> 00:11:23,800 Speaker 1: And these are both very proud. You know, Huskies have 188 00:11:23,840 --> 00:11:27,840 Speaker 1: a national championship, have had several really elite teams. Oregon 189 00:11:27,920 --> 00:11:30,880 Speaker 1: obviously as a top ten program, Phil Knight the visionary 190 00:11:30,920 --> 00:11:34,040 Speaker 1: behind it, despite both of them having NFL players all 191 00:11:34,080 --> 00:11:37,520 Speaker 1: over the roster, first round quarterback talent, Bo Nicks, Michael Pennix, 192 00:11:38,160 --> 00:11:41,640 Speaker 1: the star is the program. At Colorado and USC, the 193 00:11:41,679 --> 00:11:44,600 Speaker 1: star is the coach and the quarterback. And I think 194 00:11:45,520 --> 00:11:48,080 Speaker 1: when I watch USC, if you looked at the box score, 195 00:11:48,080 --> 00:11:49,680 Speaker 1: you would have thought they won. But if you watch 196 00:11:49,720 --> 00:11:52,959 Speaker 1: the game, which I did, they are completely dependent on 197 00:11:53,000 --> 00:11:56,640 Speaker 1: Lincoln Riley's play calling and Caleb Williams making magic happen. 198 00:11:57,240 --> 00:12:00,840 Speaker 1: What else do they do well? Not much. Colorado's got 199 00:12:00,880 --> 00:12:03,920 Speaker 1: a really talented quarterback and a really inspiring coach. What 200 00:12:04,040 --> 00:12:07,720 Speaker 1: else do they do well? Is that college sports is different. 201 00:12:07,920 --> 00:12:12,040 Speaker 1: Even with NIL. Not everybody gets paid. It is about 202 00:12:12,080 --> 00:12:16,800 Speaker 1: the program. When Alabama was dominating college football, it was 203 00:12:16,840 --> 00:12:20,760 Speaker 1: about Nick Saban's suffocating defenses. Saban was a well known 204 00:12:20,800 --> 00:12:23,960 Speaker 1: coach in the architect but they didn't have star quarterbacks. 205 00:12:23,960 --> 00:12:26,640 Speaker 1: Even when they have good quarterbacks like Tua, he's not 206 00:12:26,679 --> 00:12:30,280 Speaker 1: the star of the program. It's the program. Ohio State, 207 00:12:30,400 --> 00:12:34,839 Speaker 1: it's the program. Washington and Oregon were a testament to that. 208 00:12:35,440 --> 00:12:38,439 Speaker 1: It felt like a college game, not a pro game. 209 00:12:38,480 --> 00:12:41,080 Speaker 1: It wasn't about the NIL even though we know Oregon 210 00:12:41,200 --> 00:12:45,200 Speaker 1: is very well capitalized in the NIL space. It was 211 00:12:45,240 --> 00:12:49,600 Speaker 1: a really refreshing game, and it was I think those 212 00:12:49,600 --> 00:12:51,480 Speaker 1: are both top five or six teams in the country. 213 00:12:51,520 --> 00:12:53,680 Speaker 1: I do think Oregon's got a little better talent, but 214 00:12:53,760 --> 00:12:56,280 Speaker 1: I think Michael Pennix is a really special player. And 215 00:12:56,440 --> 00:12:58,440 Speaker 1: Washington may have the best receiving goal in the country. 216 00:12:58,559 --> 00:13:03,360 Speaker 1: Their number two receiver didn't even play. And Oregon's corners, 217 00:13:03,360 --> 00:13:07,160 Speaker 1: who are good, got beat on several occasions. But it 218 00:13:07,240 --> 00:13:11,520 Speaker 1: was refreshing. USC has always been uh. You know, Pete 219 00:13:11,559 --> 00:13:13,000 Speaker 1: Carroll was a bit of a rock star when he 220 00:13:13,040 --> 00:13:15,240 Speaker 1: was here, and so it was Reggie Bush. But the 221 00:13:15,280 --> 00:13:18,880 Speaker 1: difference if you look at New England's dynasty through the years, 222 00:13:19,080 --> 00:13:21,920 Speaker 1: it was about Tom Brady taking pay cuts. It was 223 00:13:21,960 --> 00:13:25,760 Speaker 1: do your job. It wasn't about the star quarterback. And 224 00:13:25,800 --> 00:13:28,560 Speaker 1: there's nothing wrong with having a great quarterback. Tom Brady 225 00:13:28,679 --> 00:13:31,440 Speaker 1: is the goat Mahomes is. But when I think about 226 00:13:31,520 --> 00:13:34,160 Speaker 1: Kansas City, I think about Andy Reid's play design. I 227 00:13:34,160 --> 00:13:36,600 Speaker 1: think about Brett Veach, the general manager. I think about 228 00:13:36,600 --> 00:13:39,440 Speaker 1: them managing the cap, managing Mahomes' salary. I think about 229 00:13:39,480 --> 00:13:42,880 Speaker 1: Travis Kelcey, I think about Spags the UH, the defensive 230 00:13:42,880 --> 00:13:46,160 Speaker 1: coordinator who's been around forever, Chris Jones. It's a collective 231 00:13:46,320 --> 00:13:49,120 Speaker 1: with a great quarterback, I feel like USC football is 232 00:13:49,160 --> 00:13:52,840 Speaker 1: about the quarterback. They don't do anything else well, and 233 00:13:53,160 --> 00:14:02,600 Speaker 1: Washington and Oregon do a lot of things well. All right, 234 00:14:03,080 --> 00:14:06,760 Speaker 1: the Dallas Cowboys, Dak played about as well as he 235 00:14:06,840 --> 00:14:11,480 Speaker 1: has played in the last ten games, certainly against the 236 00:14:11,520 --> 00:14:14,440 Speaker 1: talented Chargers defense. Not a good one, not a well 237 00:14:14,559 --> 00:14:18,000 Speaker 1: coached one, but a talented one. And so Dak throws 238 00:14:18,040 --> 00:14:20,880 Speaker 1: for about two hundred and forty yards a touchdown, couple 239 00:14:20,920 --> 00:14:25,520 Speaker 1: of big throws on that final drive. Brandon Cooks delivered tonight, 240 00:14:27,040 --> 00:14:29,480 Speaker 1: and Matt Mosley, of course, you know, Matt's been a 241 00:14:29,480 --> 00:14:32,480 Speaker 1: friend of the volume for a long time. There's so 242 00:14:32,640 --> 00:14:35,760 Speaker 1: many different areas to go, but let's start with Dak. 243 00:14:36,520 --> 00:14:39,520 Speaker 1: He had better protection most of the night. I thought 244 00:14:39,560 --> 00:14:43,040 Speaker 1: he and Gallup don't work. It's clearly Ceedee Lamb and 245 00:14:43,480 --> 00:14:46,160 Speaker 1: Brandon Cooks. Tonight felt like he sort of arrived in 246 00:14:46,200 --> 00:14:49,520 Speaker 1: this offense. But I thought Dak played pretty well. That fair, 247 00:14:49,800 --> 00:14:50,640 Speaker 1: I think he's fair. 248 00:14:51,240 --> 00:14:53,720 Speaker 2: I mean, I think had it gone the other direction, 249 00:14:54,240 --> 00:14:57,120 Speaker 2: we'd be talking about that throw to Pollard. I mean, 250 00:14:57,120 --> 00:15:01,840 Speaker 2: that will route with Pollard wide open. And I know 251 00:15:01,920 --> 00:15:04,120 Speaker 2: Troy was trying to make the argument maybe Murray did 252 00:15:04,120 --> 00:15:06,440 Speaker 2: something there. I don't really think there was much there, 253 00:15:06,960 --> 00:15:09,120 Speaker 2: so he misses a wide open throw to kind of 254 00:15:09,200 --> 00:15:10,120 Speaker 2: end the game there. 255 00:15:10,160 --> 00:15:11,280 Speaker 3: But for the most part, you're right. 256 00:15:11,320 --> 00:15:14,200 Speaker 2: I mean, I would still say this offense looks weird 257 00:15:14,640 --> 00:15:18,080 Speaker 2: because the only time it really works is when he escapes. 258 00:15:18,520 --> 00:15:21,920 Speaker 2: So he makes the huge play to Pollard, they have 259 00:15:21,960 --> 00:15:25,600 Speaker 2: a mistackle, Poward makes a nice play and goes for sixty. 260 00:15:25,960 --> 00:15:28,800 Speaker 2: But in terms of like the timing of the so 261 00:15:28,880 --> 00:15:33,200 Speaker 2: called Texas Coast offense, there's no real timing, Like Dak 262 00:15:33,680 --> 00:15:37,080 Speaker 2: kind of has to go make plays, ye for it 263 00:15:37,120 --> 00:15:37,440 Speaker 2: to happen. 264 00:15:37,440 --> 00:15:38,840 Speaker 3: Now, the good news is he made him. 265 00:15:39,280 --> 00:15:41,480 Speaker 2: I mean, he was awful the week before, all the 266 00:15:41,520 --> 00:15:46,080 Speaker 2: interceptions and everything he ran. I think he plays so 267 00:15:46,280 --> 00:15:50,240 Speaker 2: much better when they get him running the football and 268 00:15:50,320 --> 00:15:53,760 Speaker 2: on that RPO where he keeps it for the eighteen 269 00:15:53,800 --> 00:15:57,400 Speaker 2: yard touchdown, Like that's huge for his confidence the team. 270 00:15:57,840 --> 00:15:59,240 Speaker 3: Everybody kind of feeds off that. 271 00:16:00,520 --> 00:16:03,640 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think Dak knows what he is more than 272 00:16:04,480 --> 00:16:07,240 Speaker 1: we give him credit for. Dak is not a brilliant 273 00:16:07,240 --> 00:16:11,000 Speaker 1: pocket passer, and I think Dak knows it. Dak's at 274 00:16:11,000 --> 00:16:13,680 Speaker 1: his best. I thought the Cowboys were hyper aggressive and 275 00:16:13,880 --> 00:16:16,760 Speaker 1: ran him in the first half. First couple series they 276 00:16:16,800 --> 00:16:20,040 Speaker 1: went out of their way to say, and Aikman said 277 00:16:20,080 --> 00:16:22,160 Speaker 1: this in the pregame. He said, I think you're gonna 278 00:16:22,200 --> 00:16:24,480 Speaker 1: like what you see from the Cowboys tonight. He'd obviously 279 00:16:24,520 --> 00:16:27,680 Speaker 1: had some intel. I think they made a mission tonight. 280 00:16:28,320 --> 00:16:31,400 Speaker 1: We're gonna run Dak. We're gonna have Dak run more, 281 00:16:31,560 --> 00:16:34,320 Speaker 1: and I think he's more successful that way. There are 282 00:16:34,360 --> 00:16:38,040 Speaker 1: people that are natural runners, Lamar, Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts, 283 00:16:38,440 --> 00:16:40,080 Speaker 1: and then there are people that are just what I 284 00:16:40,120 --> 00:16:45,480 Speaker 1: would call they run. They run to escape, but they're 285 00:16:45,520 --> 00:16:48,160 Speaker 1: like Russell Wilson and Dak kind of run to escape, 286 00:16:48,720 --> 00:16:52,000 Speaker 1: but at times I think they're more effective out of 287 00:16:52,040 --> 00:16:53,920 Speaker 1: the pocket. I think Lamar is a better thrower in 288 00:16:54,000 --> 00:16:55,720 Speaker 1: the pocket that people give him credit for. I think 289 00:16:55,800 --> 00:16:57,840 Speaker 1: Josh is great in the pocket. I think Jalen Hurts 290 00:16:57,880 --> 00:16:59,960 Speaker 1: is better in the pocket. I think Dak and Ross 291 00:17:00,200 --> 00:17:02,840 Speaker 1: Wilson are okay guys in the pocket. I just think 292 00:17:02,840 --> 00:17:07,560 Speaker 1: they're okay. So I think I think Dak to your point, 293 00:17:07,840 --> 00:17:11,760 Speaker 1: it is interesting if I said to you the game 294 00:17:12,480 --> 00:17:15,000 Speaker 1: featured two teams with no chance to win a Super 295 00:17:15,040 --> 00:17:19,399 Speaker 1: Bowl for the same reason. Twenty total penalties, eleven on 296 00:17:19,480 --> 00:17:22,959 Speaker 1: Dallas nine on the Chargers. Neither one of these teams 297 00:17:22,960 --> 00:17:26,800 Speaker 1: looks well coached. That was my takeaway tonight. Third down 298 00:17:26,880 --> 00:17:31,040 Speaker 1: defense for the Chargers, ohays, a whole basic off sides 299 00:17:31,080 --> 00:17:36,120 Speaker 1: for the Cowboys, motion penalties. These teams did not look 300 00:17:36,160 --> 00:17:36,919 Speaker 1: well coached. 301 00:17:36,640 --> 00:17:37,080 Speaker 3: To me tonight. 302 00:17:37,200 --> 00:17:42,800 Speaker 2: No Cowboys continue to be undisciplined. You know, on both 303 00:17:42,880 --> 00:17:45,880 Speaker 2: sides on the defensive line, you're right where they line up, 304 00:17:46,440 --> 00:17:48,680 Speaker 2: you know, back to Dak a little bit. Your point 305 00:17:48,720 --> 00:17:51,480 Speaker 2: about the pocket is interesting. He was kind of still 306 00:17:51,480 --> 00:17:53,440 Speaker 2: in the pocket, like his best throw of the night 307 00:17:53,760 --> 00:17:56,240 Speaker 2: might have been when he was backing up, which generally 308 00:17:56,520 --> 00:17:59,480 Speaker 2: is it's interesting. You don't like want your quarterback like 309 00:17:59,520 --> 00:18:03,000 Speaker 2: going back there other than like Mahomes or Josh Allen 310 00:18:03,119 --> 00:18:05,480 Speaker 2: or somebody and throwing kind of off their back foot. 311 00:18:05,640 --> 00:18:07,960 Speaker 3: And yet the best touch he put. 312 00:18:07,720 --> 00:18:11,960 Speaker 2: On a ball was that throw to Cooks in the 313 00:18:12,080 --> 00:18:15,040 Speaker 2: end zone where he's backing up and he's going in 314 00:18:15,160 --> 00:18:17,800 Speaker 2: and he puts he puts a gorgeous ball on that. 315 00:18:18,000 --> 00:18:21,399 Speaker 3: So he he has the ability. I agree. 316 00:18:21,440 --> 00:18:23,960 Speaker 2: I mean, I think first of all, you still have 317 00:18:24,200 --> 00:18:26,560 Speaker 2: wasn't that interesting that you had Kellen Moore on the 318 00:18:26,600 --> 00:18:31,800 Speaker 2: other sideline and you had both teams bogging down, got 319 00:18:31,840 --> 00:18:34,240 Speaker 2: down there in the red zone, didn't really have a 320 00:18:34,280 --> 00:18:36,480 Speaker 2: great plan for what they were going to do, to 321 00:18:36,520 --> 00:18:39,600 Speaker 2: which I was like, both Dallas, you know, both Dallas's 322 00:18:39,640 --> 00:18:43,480 Speaker 2: offenses looked pretty bad in the red zone, right. 323 00:18:43,840 --> 00:18:44,040 Speaker 3: You know. 324 00:18:44,359 --> 00:18:52,879 Speaker 1: It's interesting when I look at this game overall, I 325 00:18:52,920 --> 00:18:58,920 Speaker 1: thought my biggest takeaway was the Dallas defensive front basically 326 00:18:59,560 --> 00:19:02,800 Speaker 1: manipulated the Chargers O line. I think the Chargers had 327 00:19:02,920 --> 00:19:08,080 Speaker 1: six holding calls. Herbert almost never had a clean pocket. 328 00:19:08,119 --> 00:19:12,479 Speaker 1: Therefore he rushed it by the second quarter, missing open 329 00:19:12,560 --> 00:19:16,840 Speaker 1: throws justin. Herbert's a very good quarterback. But I think 330 00:19:17,400 --> 00:19:21,040 Speaker 1: what happens in games sometimes is that when you get 331 00:19:21,160 --> 00:19:23,879 Speaker 1: hit early, even if you don't get sacked, and you 332 00:19:24,000 --> 00:19:29,240 Speaker 1: have to rush the throws, you start doing that automatically. 333 00:19:29,520 --> 00:19:32,240 Speaker 1: You just hurry things up. And I thought they got 334 00:19:32,280 --> 00:19:35,879 Speaker 1: Herbert out of rhythm by their pressure. I mean, he 335 00:19:35,920 --> 00:19:38,440 Speaker 1: was running for his life for the first half. They 336 00:19:38,480 --> 00:19:40,920 Speaker 1: settled down a little in the second. But I think 337 00:19:40,960 --> 00:19:43,800 Speaker 1: my big picture in the entire takeaway is the Chargers 338 00:19:43,800 --> 00:19:49,199 Speaker 1: on occasion elected to block Micah one on one dumb, ineffective, 339 00:19:49,640 --> 00:19:52,639 Speaker 1: huge trouble. But overall, if I'm flying back to Dallas 340 00:19:53,000 --> 00:19:57,280 Speaker 1: the Cowboys. I feel like our defensive front, not McCarthy, 341 00:19:57,320 --> 00:20:00,320 Speaker 1: our defensive front really controlled the football game. 342 00:20:00,680 --> 00:20:01,480 Speaker 3: I think that's right. 343 00:20:01,680 --> 00:20:06,480 Speaker 2: I thought a Digazooa played brilliantly. I thought he controlled, 344 00:20:06,520 --> 00:20:08,960 Speaker 2: and I think Kellen Moore thought, I've got to go 345 00:20:09,000 --> 00:20:10,960 Speaker 2: with the run. I've got to keep I cannot abandon 346 00:20:11,000 --> 00:20:13,600 Speaker 2: the run game at all, And it really wasn't there. 347 00:20:14,080 --> 00:20:17,000 Speaker 2: And then to your point, like seventy seven over on 348 00:20:17,040 --> 00:20:19,080 Speaker 2: the left side, I mean, that was interesting what they 349 00:20:19,080 --> 00:20:22,199 Speaker 2: said about Mike. He's like, well, he respects slate, so 350 00:20:22,320 --> 00:20:24,160 Speaker 2: he's not gonna line up there the whole night. He's 351 00:20:24,200 --> 00:20:26,359 Speaker 2: gonna go to the other side and think about how 352 00:20:26,600 --> 00:20:29,400 Speaker 2: how badly you have to be holding to get called. 353 00:20:29,440 --> 00:20:31,920 Speaker 2: On one of those quick running plays. They run Eckler 354 00:20:32,160 --> 00:20:34,800 Speaker 2: over the left side, and seventy seven gets caught in 355 00:20:34,840 --> 00:20:38,040 Speaker 2: there because it was so incredibly obvious, because he has 356 00:20:38,119 --> 00:20:41,119 Speaker 2: a wrestling move where he took the guy to the ground. 357 00:20:41,240 --> 00:20:43,479 Speaker 2: And boy, we had our leon Lett moment in this 358 00:20:43,600 --> 00:20:47,359 Speaker 2: game where the Cowboys player inexplicably I guess, thought the 359 00:20:47,400 --> 00:20:50,760 Speaker 2: ball was touched by his teammates and slides in there 360 00:20:50,800 --> 00:20:55,120 Speaker 2: at the last minute, Jayalen Tolbert and live to tell 361 00:20:55,160 --> 00:20:58,720 Speaker 2: about it. I mean that that really was Cowboys do 362 00:20:58,880 --> 00:21:03,560 Speaker 2: some boneheaded things, but there's a second year player that 363 00:21:03,720 --> 00:21:07,280 Speaker 2: decides to come diving in after a football and hands 364 00:21:07,320 --> 00:21:08,600 Speaker 2: it back to the Chargers. 365 00:21:08,840 --> 00:21:12,359 Speaker 3: I mean, the Cowboys tried to give them that game, oh. 366 00:21:12,240 --> 00:21:15,280 Speaker 1: No question, and the Chargers. Yeah, the Dallas was the 367 00:21:15,320 --> 00:21:18,600 Speaker 1: better team tonight and tried to give it away. The 368 00:21:18,720 --> 00:21:23,800 Speaker 1: Chargers have they really do have some good players. But 369 00:21:24,400 --> 00:21:26,280 Speaker 1: when you live in Los Angeles and I know they're 370 00:21:27,000 --> 00:21:30,360 Speaker 1: they're not a national team. They're barely a popular regional 371 00:21:30,400 --> 00:21:34,480 Speaker 1: team or a Los Angeles team. But with Brandon Staley 372 00:21:34,560 --> 00:21:42,680 Speaker 1: being a defensive coordinator like Matt Eberflus in Chicago, You're like, well, 373 00:21:42,840 --> 00:21:46,200 Speaker 1: why is the defense so bad? The Chargers have more 374 00:21:46,280 --> 00:21:49,159 Speaker 1: money on the defensive side than any team in the league, 375 00:21:49,440 --> 00:21:54,119 Speaker 1: Khalil Mack and Bosa Derwin James. They whiffed on a 376 00:21:54,200 --> 00:21:58,840 Speaker 1: cornerback acquisition, but they have active linebackers. The Chargers spent 377 00:21:58,920 --> 00:22:02,520 Speaker 1: a ton on defense, two elite rush ends, have a 378 00:22:02,560 --> 00:22:07,520 Speaker 1: defensive coach, and are as bad on fourth and third 379 00:22:07,560 --> 00:22:10,320 Speaker 1: and long as any defense in the league. So at 380 00:22:10,400 --> 00:22:14,159 Speaker 1: least Dallas can say, hey, we have an offensive coach. 381 00:22:14,840 --> 00:22:18,440 Speaker 1: Dak had one of his best games. Brandon Cooks was involved. 382 00:22:19,680 --> 00:22:21,440 Speaker 1: I mean, I look at Dallas and I thought their 383 00:22:21,480 --> 00:22:24,200 Speaker 1: O line play by and large, Dak had a more 384 00:22:24,240 --> 00:22:28,919 Speaker 1: comfortable pocket. Dak had a good game. They had a 385 00:22:28,960 --> 00:22:32,280 Speaker 1: game plan. They moved Dak early. I felt like there 386 00:22:32,359 --> 00:22:35,879 Speaker 1: was a plan by Dallas. Meanwhile, the Chargers off a 387 00:22:35,960 --> 00:22:40,560 Speaker 1: bye week, no trick plays. I didn't what was the 388 00:22:40,600 --> 00:22:44,080 Speaker 1: game plan. Maybe the Cowboys D line blew it up, 389 00:22:44,119 --> 00:22:45,880 Speaker 1: but I didn't see anything. 390 00:22:46,040 --> 00:22:49,960 Speaker 2: Can we talk about what McCarthy was doing at the 391 00:22:50,040 --> 00:22:52,600 Speaker 2: end of the first half, Like when even the clock 392 00:22:52,680 --> 00:22:57,480 Speaker 2: operator thought, well, most any coach ever will stop the 393 00:22:57,520 --> 00:22:59,640 Speaker 2: clock here with a time out and take a shot 394 00:22:59,680 --> 00:23:03,320 Speaker 2: at the end zone with eight seconds left, and McCarthy's 395 00:23:03,320 --> 00:23:05,680 Speaker 2: over there. No, no, I didn't call the time out. 396 00:23:05,920 --> 00:23:08,640 Speaker 2: Wind this clock down for me. And they come back 397 00:23:08,640 --> 00:23:11,080 Speaker 2: from a break. The broadcasters, everybody doing the game is 398 00:23:11,080 --> 00:23:12,040 Speaker 2: like completely confused. 399 00:23:12,080 --> 00:23:14,880 Speaker 3: They're like, did we miss a play? What happened here? 400 00:23:15,359 --> 00:23:18,800 Speaker 2: And and McCarthy because they stopped the clock, they had 401 00:23:18,800 --> 00:23:21,679 Speaker 2: to get it down to three because McCarthy didn't want 402 00:23:21,720 --> 00:23:23,280 Speaker 2: to take a shot at the end zone. I mean, 403 00:23:23,320 --> 00:23:26,600 Speaker 2: like think, I imagine that being a play caller and 404 00:23:26,760 --> 00:23:30,120 Speaker 2: offensive guy, and you've got so little confidence in your 405 00:23:30,200 --> 00:23:33,000 Speaker 2: guy or your offense that you're like, I do not 406 00:23:33,200 --> 00:23:34,960 Speaker 2: want to see a ball go in the end zone 407 00:23:35,119 --> 00:23:37,800 Speaker 2: from what to like the the eighteen yard line wherever 408 00:23:37,800 --> 00:23:39,520 Speaker 2: they were, they're going to take a rip at the 409 00:23:39,640 --> 00:23:42,679 Speaker 2: end zone. And he's like, no, I would rather I've 410 00:23:42,720 --> 00:23:45,280 Speaker 2: got ceedee, lamb, I got all these folks. I'd rather 411 00:23:45,840 --> 00:23:47,880 Speaker 2: just kick this thing and make sure we go in 412 00:23:47,920 --> 00:23:52,000 Speaker 2: ten seven. I mean, you kind of you have one 413 00:23:52,160 --> 00:23:54,560 Speaker 2: young head coach is kind of trying that it's probably 414 00:23:54,640 --> 00:23:56,720 Speaker 2: lucky to still have a job, and then you have 415 00:23:56,800 --> 00:24:00,000 Speaker 2: one coach who's kind of trying to extend his career, 416 00:24:00,520 --> 00:24:04,120 Speaker 2: and they both did some baffling things. But Mike wants 417 00:24:04,119 --> 00:24:06,439 Speaker 2: to be mister go for it them fourth down, but 418 00:24:06,480 --> 00:24:08,560 Speaker 2: then he wants to get down there and like not 419 00:24:08,600 --> 00:24:10,560 Speaker 2: even take a shot and settle for the field goal. 420 00:24:10,800 --> 00:24:13,200 Speaker 2: So I mean, you've got some You've got some weird, 421 00:24:13,320 --> 00:24:14,879 Speaker 2: weird stuff going on in that game. 422 00:24:15,800 --> 00:24:19,119 Speaker 1: All right, Time for another edition Sharper Square. It's the 423 00:24:19,160 --> 00:24:21,840 Speaker 1: CEO of the Action Network, Chad Millman. My buddy O 424 00:24:21,840 --> 00:24:25,560 Speaker 1: Odds provided by DraftKings. So Warren Sharp sent me something 425 00:24:25,600 --> 00:24:28,919 Speaker 1: over the week that was really fascinating. Underdogs are not 426 00:24:29,040 --> 00:24:33,160 Speaker 1: doing well this year, and Warren Sharp not only theorizes 427 00:24:33,200 --> 00:24:37,360 Speaker 1: but indicates that the holding calls defensively have gone down sharply. 428 00:24:38,280 --> 00:24:40,879 Speaker 1: And so when you look at the numbers of the 429 00:24:41,480 --> 00:24:44,119 Speaker 1: holding calls defensively, it's now understood that you're allowed to 430 00:24:44,160 --> 00:24:47,080 Speaker 1: grab receivers down the field. It's just understood. It was 431 00:24:47,119 --> 00:24:50,040 Speaker 1: not three years ago that was we would all as 432 00:24:50,080 --> 00:24:52,399 Speaker 1: fans go, that's a penalty. Now you can do it 433 00:24:52,520 --> 00:24:56,679 Speaker 1: while the balls in the air. If it's not you know, 434 00:24:56,800 --> 00:25:00,080 Speaker 1: lurching at the player and disrupting him. And so what 435 00:25:00,160 --> 00:25:05,720 Speaker 1: does that mean? My theory is that that will punitively 436 00:25:05,840 --> 00:25:10,800 Speaker 1: punish the mediocre to below average quarterbacks. Daniel Jones can't 437 00:25:10,800 --> 00:25:14,920 Speaker 1: even get a touchdown this month, So the Tannehills, the 438 00:25:15,000 --> 00:25:20,080 Speaker 1: Daniel Jones, the backups. The gap between starters and stars 439 00:25:20,119 --> 00:25:24,760 Speaker 1: in backups Tannehill and Mahomes. Now five years ago, he 440 00:25:24,800 --> 00:25:29,840 Speaker 1: could be competitive. The gap now between Daniel Jones and Mahomes. 441 00:25:30,400 --> 00:25:34,160 Speaker 1: It's like junior varsity. Varsity underdogs are not covering the 442 00:25:34,200 --> 00:25:37,000 Speaker 1: best quarterback. If Baker is better than Derek Carr, and 443 00:25:37,080 --> 00:25:41,919 Speaker 1: I think he is leads already leads in seven divisions. 444 00:25:42,320 --> 00:25:45,400 Speaker 1: The exception is brought Party. He's not as good as Stafford, 445 00:25:46,440 --> 00:25:49,840 Speaker 1: but he's better than Arizona's backup and arguably better than 446 00:25:50,080 --> 00:25:52,879 Speaker 1: Geno Smith. So my point being is, I've always been 447 00:25:52,880 --> 00:25:56,639 Speaker 1: a fan of underdogs, but increasingly this year my winning 448 00:25:56,720 --> 00:26:02,000 Speaker 1: bets are on superior quarterbacks covering and Warren Sharp detailing. 449 00:26:02,760 --> 00:26:06,920 Speaker 1: This is really hurting scorings down. But there are more 450 00:26:06,960 --> 00:26:10,760 Speaker 1: blowouts in two years than we've ever had, and the 451 00:26:10,840 --> 00:26:14,800 Speaker 1: score scoring is declining, even for Kansas City, Cincinnati, Baltimore, 452 00:26:15,240 --> 00:26:16,639 Speaker 1: and so I look at my bets this week and 453 00:26:16,640 --> 00:26:18,720 Speaker 1: I think I wouldn't have made these bets a year ago. 454 00:26:19,400 --> 00:26:23,080 Speaker 1: But I'll throw one at you. Ravens minus three at 455 00:26:23,080 --> 00:26:26,600 Speaker 1: home against the Lions. So I watched Baltimore. I thought 456 00:26:26,640 --> 00:26:29,400 Speaker 1: their first half against Tennessee was the single most impressive 457 00:26:29,440 --> 00:26:32,879 Speaker 1: half of the season by a quarterback in any game. 458 00:26:33,040 --> 00:26:38,080 Speaker 1: I thought Lamar was spectacular. Detroit has been on a 459 00:26:38,119 --> 00:26:41,160 Speaker 1: little bit of a streak. They've won on the road. 460 00:26:41,600 --> 00:26:45,240 Speaker 1: This is a whole different ballgame. Baltimore is one of 461 00:26:45,280 --> 00:26:48,479 Speaker 1: the hardest places to play. I still think the Ravens. 462 00:26:48,520 --> 00:26:50,360 Speaker 1: I told you last week it was my favorite bet 463 00:26:50,400 --> 00:26:54,760 Speaker 1: are undervalued. So again plus three Detroit hot would have 464 00:26:54,760 --> 00:26:58,480 Speaker 1: been my pick. I'm gonna go Baltimore minus three Sharper square. 465 00:26:58,960 --> 00:27:03,480 Speaker 4: So it's definitely sharp. Speaking of I think, I think 466 00:27:03,520 --> 00:27:08,920 Speaker 4: Warren's uh sort of inclination about the holding penalties is interesting. 467 00:27:09,320 --> 00:27:13,320 Speaker 4: But you could also argue that teams that are underdogs 468 00:27:13,320 --> 00:27:17,840 Speaker 4: aren't covering because not because there's holding calls, but because 469 00:27:18,040 --> 00:27:21,679 Speaker 4: quarterbacks haven't been making plays. Just look this past weekend. 470 00:27:21,960 --> 00:27:24,720 Speaker 4: How many downfield throws that could have made a difference 471 00:27:25,000 --> 00:27:28,480 Speaker 4: did Baker miss? How many downfield throws that could have 472 00:27:28,560 --> 00:27:32,400 Speaker 4: made a huge difference to justin Herbert miss. I think 473 00:27:32,400 --> 00:27:34,960 Speaker 4: there's a combination of a lot of things that are 474 00:27:35,000 --> 00:27:38,280 Speaker 4: impacting some of these games. Some of them are sort 475 00:27:38,280 --> 00:27:43,159 Speaker 4: of factors that are are not repeatable. Some of them 476 00:27:43,200 --> 00:27:45,159 Speaker 4: are a regression. Some of them are things that are 477 00:27:45,160 --> 00:27:49,439 Speaker 4: going to be patterns. Certainly, offense is down considerably and. 478 00:27:49,680 --> 00:27:51,960 Speaker 1: Sacks are up, by the way, so online plays, so 479 00:27:52,480 --> 00:27:57,720 Speaker 1: media with pressure and holding defensive holding, like, the sacks 480 00:27:57,720 --> 00:28:01,200 Speaker 1: are way up, so if you can escape it, you're okay. 481 00:28:02,080 --> 00:28:02,520 Speaker 3: This year. 482 00:28:02,680 --> 00:28:07,440 Speaker 4: I think right now the average yards per attempt, yards 483 00:28:07,480 --> 00:28:11,080 Speaker 4: per completion, it's something like ten point six. It's amongst 484 00:28:11,080 --> 00:28:14,440 Speaker 4: the lowest and in the modern era of the NFL. 485 00:28:14,680 --> 00:28:19,400 Speaker 4: So certainly defenses are on the up and offenses are 486 00:28:19,560 --> 00:28:22,840 Speaker 4: leveling out, which probably means when the Competition Committee meets 487 00:28:23,160 --> 00:28:25,280 Speaker 4: in the spring, they will figure out a way to 488 00:28:25,320 --> 00:28:27,320 Speaker 4: make it easier for offenses. 489 00:28:26,920 --> 00:28:28,000 Speaker 3: Tu score the football. 490 00:28:28,200 --> 00:28:31,160 Speaker 4: You know, But to your point about the Ravens, yeah, 491 00:28:31,200 --> 00:28:32,760 Speaker 4: it's the sharp side. The line opened at two and 492 00:28:32,800 --> 00:28:37,600 Speaker 4: a half. Everybody believes the Lions are way over valued. 493 00:28:37,640 --> 00:28:40,120 Speaker 4: You're talking about a team that was eleven to one 494 00:28:40,240 --> 00:28:43,040 Speaker 4: to win the NFC before the season began. They're now 495 00:28:43,080 --> 00:28:46,920 Speaker 4: down to six to one, just behind the Dallas Cowboys 496 00:28:47,200 --> 00:28:50,040 Speaker 4: and obviously the Niners and the Eagles. And you have 497 00:28:50,080 --> 00:28:52,000 Speaker 4: to take a look for a second at who the 498 00:28:52,040 --> 00:28:55,920 Speaker 4: Lions have beaten, right, the Panthers, the Bucks. They have 499 00:28:56,000 --> 00:29:00,200 Speaker 4: not beaten very good teams, the Packers, and meanwhile, well, 500 00:29:00,280 --> 00:29:03,400 Speaker 4: the Ravens. A they scored twenty eight points against the 501 00:29:03,400 --> 00:29:06,640 Speaker 4: Cleveland Browns, which is an historically great defense. And your 502 00:29:06,640 --> 00:29:09,880 Speaker 4: point about Lamar is spot on, like they've been red 503 00:29:09,920 --> 00:29:13,080 Speaker 4: zone inefficient in certain games. That game against the Steelers. 504 00:29:13,120 --> 00:29:14,960 Speaker 4: They should have won. We talked about this last week. 505 00:29:15,040 --> 00:29:17,200 Speaker 4: A lot of drop passes that would have made the 506 00:29:17,240 --> 00:29:20,360 Speaker 4: difference and put the game away. He's actually playing really well, 507 00:29:20,360 --> 00:29:23,520 Speaker 4: and Lamar, when he is a short favorite, is actually 508 00:29:23,760 --> 00:29:26,160 Speaker 4: very very good against the spread. Bigger favorite, not so 509 00:29:26,240 --> 00:29:29,360 Speaker 4: much short favorite. I like it. Wise, guys like it. 510 00:29:29,480 --> 00:29:30,000 Speaker 4: You're sharp. 511 00:29:31,040 --> 00:29:34,240 Speaker 1: Eagles minus two and a half another favorite hosting Miami. 512 00:29:34,360 --> 00:29:36,560 Speaker 1: I think Miami. I've got a pretty good read. They're 513 00:29:36,600 --> 00:29:38,800 Speaker 1: a heavy weight with a glass chin. If you punch 514 00:29:38,840 --> 00:29:41,080 Speaker 1: him back, can get a rush with four. They fold 515 00:29:41,080 --> 00:29:44,840 Speaker 1: pretty quickly. Lane Johnson should play. That's a more comfortable 516 00:29:44,920 --> 00:29:48,960 Speaker 1: quarterback against the less comfortable quarterback. Miami will score. But 517 00:29:49,000 --> 00:29:51,440 Speaker 1: if you look at their defensive front for Miami and 518 00:29:51,480 --> 00:29:54,000 Speaker 1: the offensive front of Lane Johnson plays, this could be 519 00:29:54,440 --> 00:29:58,400 Speaker 1: ball control dominant. I'm going to take for the record, 520 00:29:58,960 --> 00:30:02,880 Speaker 1: Philadelphia night game at home. Watch the Phillies games lately, 521 00:30:03,320 --> 00:30:06,560 Speaker 1: like it's just different. I'm gonna take Eagles minus two 522 00:30:06,560 --> 00:30:06,880 Speaker 1: and a half. 523 00:30:06,920 --> 00:30:10,760 Speaker 4: Sharper square, totally sharp through is This line opened at 524 00:30:10,760 --> 00:30:13,480 Speaker 4: one and a half and moved up to two. Now 525 00:30:13,480 --> 00:30:15,160 Speaker 4: it's a two and a half. It is a pros. 526 00:30:15,800 --> 00:30:18,760 Speaker 4: Joe's game right. The wise guys are one hundred percent 527 00:30:19,160 --> 00:30:23,680 Speaker 4: on the Eagles. The Joe's, the amateurs, the squares, they 528 00:30:23,720 --> 00:30:26,640 Speaker 4: are on the Dolphins. And you mentioned a couple. You 529 00:30:26,720 --> 00:30:30,400 Speaker 4: mentioned two things that are really important here. One, Lane Johnson, 530 00:30:30,680 --> 00:30:34,560 Speaker 4: if he plays, this is a significantly different team. When 531 00:30:34,560 --> 00:30:37,480 Speaker 4: he doesn't. I think they're ten and twenty two without 532 00:30:37,560 --> 00:30:40,240 Speaker 4: Lane Johnson, and when he plays, they're a super Bowl 533 00:30:40,240 --> 00:30:44,440 Speaker 4: caliber team. Two, Jalen hurts against pressure not so good. 534 00:30:44,680 --> 00:30:47,560 Speaker 4: Jalen hurts when he's not against pressure with teams that 535 00:30:47,760 --> 00:30:49,840 Speaker 4: can't pressure him more than forty percent of the time. 536 00:30:49,960 --> 00:30:52,160 Speaker 4: I think he's twenty and five in his career. So 537 00:30:52,320 --> 00:30:54,320 Speaker 4: you're talking about a Miami Dolphins team that is not 538 00:30:54,400 --> 00:30:57,880 Speaker 4: great at pressuring the quarterback, and you're talking about an 539 00:30:57,880 --> 00:31:01,239 Speaker 4: Eagles team that is coming off a loss that they 540 00:31:01,240 --> 00:31:02,960 Speaker 4: were headed for. You and I have talked about this, 541 00:31:03,120 --> 00:31:06,920 Speaker 4: Like the Eagles have been winning because they have a 542 00:31:06,960 --> 00:31:10,360 Speaker 4: really good head coach, they have a really good quarterback, 543 00:31:10,720 --> 00:31:13,200 Speaker 4: they have really good weapons on the edges, but they 544 00:31:13,200 --> 00:31:17,640 Speaker 4: haven't been gelling offensively at all. And also last week 545 00:31:18,000 --> 00:31:20,760 Speaker 4: Jalen Carter didn't play right. He was resting, so this 546 00:31:20,800 --> 00:31:23,960 Speaker 4: week he should be back on defense, and the Eagles 547 00:31:24,320 --> 00:31:28,640 Speaker 4: had that moment like, Okay, we've been stealing wins. We 548 00:31:28,640 --> 00:31:31,959 Speaker 4: were embarrassed by the Jets. We understand better now what 549 00:31:32,000 --> 00:31:34,440 Speaker 4: we need to do. We're going to come back because 550 00:31:34,440 --> 00:31:37,360 Speaker 4: that's who we are. The wise guys are on the Eagles. 551 00:31:37,680 --> 00:31:42,320 Speaker 1: One more favorite I think I would take. I'm not 552 00:31:42,360 --> 00:31:43,960 Speaker 1: sure I love it, but I'm going to wait for 553 00:31:44,000 --> 00:31:46,680 Speaker 1: the injury report. Minnesota is just not that good. I 554 00:31:46,720 --> 00:31:49,640 Speaker 1: hear about how unlucky they are. Maybe that's not the issue. 555 00:31:50,320 --> 00:31:52,280 Speaker 1: Forty nine ers off a loss are a really good 556 00:31:52,280 --> 00:31:56,200 Speaker 1: football team. Minnesota is not. I don't think it's a 557 00:31:56,200 --> 00:31:59,560 Speaker 1: great locker room. I don't think I don't think they 558 00:31:59,640 --> 00:32:03,320 Speaker 1: create pressure situations for offenses. I think San Francisco will 559 00:32:03,320 --> 00:32:07,840 Speaker 1: control the ball at some point. If you do something 560 00:32:07,880 --> 00:32:09,680 Speaker 1: five or six weeks in a row, you're not unlucky. 561 00:32:09,760 --> 00:32:12,360 Speaker 1: It's who you are. And I don't think Minnesota is 562 00:32:12,480 --> 00:32:15,120 Speaker 1: very good. I think quietly in the building they're moving 563 00:32:15,120 --> 00:32:18,200 Speaker 1: off Cousins. They moved off to Alvin Cook. I don't 564 00:32:18,200 --> 00:32:21,200 Speaker 1: think it's I just I don't love this team. I'm 565 00:32:21,200 --> 00:32:23,680 Speaker 1: gonna take the Niners minus six and a half. Sharper square. 566 00:32:24,360 --> 00:32:28,239 Speaker 4: You are who your record says you are. Didn't some 567 00:32:28,400 --> 00:32:32,560 Speaker 4: brilliant coach say that one will parselves. The Vikings are 568 00:32:32,600 --> 00:32:35,280 Speaker 4: not a very good football team. They weren't very good 569 00:32:35,520 --> 00:32:38,480 Speaker 4: last week against a terrible team and the Bears. The 570 00:32:38,480 --> 00:32:41,480 Speaker 4: only reason they won that game is because a second 571 00:32:41,520 --> 00:32:44,440 Speaker 4: stream quarterback who's a rookie who had never played, came 572 00:32:44,480 --> 00:32:48,000 Speaker 4: in off the bench, fumbled scoop and score for the Vikings. 573 00:32:48,160 --> 00:32:50,640 Speaker 4: That was the difference in the game. Otherwise the Bears 574 00:32:50,640 --> 00:32:54,200 Speaker 4: with a backup quarterback win that game, right, And so 575 00:32:54,760 --> 00:32:57,160 Speaker 4: this has been the sentiment on the Vikings all year. 576 00:32:57,280 --> 00:33:00,560 Speaker 4: People were fading the Vikings. They did not expect them 577 00:33:00,600 --> 00:33:03,600 Speaker 4: to win at the rate they did last year. There 578 00:33:03,640 --> 00:33:05,440 Speaker 4: was gonna be a regression because of how many one 579 00:33:05,480 --> 00:33:08,280 Speaker 4: score games they won. This line has moved up from 580 00:33:08,320 --> 00:33:10,680 Speaker 4: six and a half it did seven. The wise guys 581 00:33:10,680 --> 00:33:16,000 Speaker 4: are hesitant to come in on big road favorites, but 582 00:33:16,320 --> 00:33:19,000 Speaker 4: in this case they are aligned with you. 583 00:33:19,440 --> 00:33:22,360 Speaker 1: I thought most of the lines like I think Seattle 584 00:33:22,800 --> 00:33:25,440 Speaker 1: hosting the Cardinals. I thought, initially if it was six 585 00:33:25,480 --> 00:33:27,920 Speaker 1: and a half, I really like Seattle. I think people 586 00:33:28,000 --> 00:33:31,840 Speaker 1: have figured out Arizona, so it's seven. So if Blazing 587 00:33:31,880 --> 00:33:34,600 Speaker 1: five was on Monday, I would have taken Seattle. Now 588 00:33:34,600 --> 00:33:37,840 Speaker 1: the numbers not good. My question is if it's seven, 589 00:33:38,200 --> 00:33:40,800 Speaker 1: do you take Seattle seven and a half? You don't seven, 590 00:33:40,840 --> 00:33:41,280 Speaker 1: do you? No? 591 00:33:41,840 --> 00:33:43,640 Speaker 4: No, I agree with you, And I think what happened 592 00:33:43,680 --> 00:33:47,160 Speaker 4: with Arizona is like it's another sort of Cinderella story 593 00:33:47,200 --> 00:33:49,600 Speaker 4: where the shine has come off a little bit and 594 00:33:49,600 --> 00:33:52,160 Speaker 4: people we know what they figured about out right, and honestly, 595 00:33:52,200 --> 00:33:55,320 Speaker 4: the biggest challenge for them they lost James Connor. Like 596 00:33:55,480 --> 00:33:58,280 Speaker 4: he was bull rushing over everybody, right, and he was 597 00:33:58,360 --> 00:34:01,480 Speaker 4: really powering their offense. And without him, they really don't 598 00:34:01,480 --> 00:34:04,520 Speaker 4: have any weapons that scare anybody. So to me, seven 599 00:34:04,600 --> 00:34:06,800 Speaker 4: is a pass. If you could have gotten itto six 600 00:34:06,840 --> 00:34:08,759 Speaker 4: and a half, you know, like you could still get 601 00:34:09,239 --> 00:34:10,920 Speaker 4: San Francisco, you can get it at six and a half. 602 00:34:10,960 --> 00:34:13,960 Speaker 4: I think those are the two sort of bigger favorites. 603 00:34:14,400 --> 00:34:17,960 Speaker 4: The other game that's really interesting and this one is like, 604 00:34:19,719 --> 00:34:22,960 Speaker 4: remember for years we've been doing segments like this together 605 00:34:23,560 --> 00:34:26,239 Speaker 4: and every year I'm telling you you got to take 606 00:34:26,280 --> 00:34:30,160 Speaker 4: the Jags when they were terrible. It's they're plus thirteen 607 00:34:30,239 --> 00:34:32,719 Speaker 4: and a half on the road. You got to take 608 00:34:32,760 --> 00:34:34,840 Speaker 4: the Jags. That's what the wise guys are gonna do 609 00:34:35,960 --> 00:34:37,680 Speaker 4: the New England Patriots have become the jab. 610 00:34:37,719 --> 00:34:40,360 Speaker 3: I can't. I told you I can't. 611 00:34:41,000 --> 00:34:44,200 Speaker 1: When I can't watch a team, I can't bet them. 612 00:34:44,840 --> 00:34:47,400 Speaker 4: So you can watch the Green Bay Denver. 613 00:34:47,160 --> 00:34:52,000 Speaker 1: Game, fascinated by Sean Payton and Russell Wilson fascinated And 614 00:34:52,560 --> 00:34:54,479 Speaker 1: is Jordan Love gonna make it or not? If Jordan 615 00:34:54,560 --> 00:34:57,600 Speaker 1: Love is a lousy Sunday, we have to be honest 616 00:34:57,600 --> 00:35:01,280 Speaker 1: here sitting for three years completing fifty of his throws 617 00:35:01,320 --> 00:35:05,000 Speaker 1: with Matt Lafleur. If he can't move the ball, we 618 00:35:05,120 --> 00:35:07,879 Speaker 1: got a white flag thing here, like you can't keep 619 00:35:07,920 --> 00:35:10,600 Speaker 1: defending him. So that game's got a lot like we 620 00:35:10,640 --> 00:35:14,120 Speaker 1: know Russell's not gonna last. But if Jordan Loves struggles, 621 00:35:14,360 --> 00:35:17,440 Speaker 1: you cannot sit there by the way, C J. Stroud, 622 00:35:18,320 --> 00:35:21,560 Speaker 1: no offensive lineman, can't run, rookie play caler rookie coach 623 00:35:21,960 --> 00:35:25,040 Speaker 1: game one good. You can't be in a place four 624 00:35:25,120 --> 00:35:27,600 Speaker 1: years and complete fifty five percent of your throws. I 625 00:35:27,600 --> 00:35:30,120 Speaker 1: don't want to hear about Kristin Watson's not available. 626 00:35:30,160 --> 00:35:30,880 Speaker 3: Give me a break. 627 00:35:31,160 --> 00:35:33,960 Speaker 1: So I mean, I think that game is actually whatever 628 00:35:34,000 --> 00:35:37,799 Speaker 1: the word is the French word for so ugly it's attractive, 629 00:35:38,280 --> 00:35:39,200 Speaker 1: that's Green Bay, Denver. 630 00:35:41,120 --> 00:35:45,000 Speaker 4: You know it's interesting. So I come from a startup 631 00:35:45,040 --> 00:35:50,960 Speaker 4: culture with Action network, right, you're building a really valuable, strong, 632 00:35:51,239 --> 00:35:54,080 Speaker 4: incredible business with the volume. Yeah, if you're in a 633 00:35:54,160 --> 00:35:57,239 Speaker 4: venture backed business. One of the best phrases I ever 634 00:35:57,280 --> 00:36:01,600 Speaker 4: heard some of the folks who helped to who bankrolled 635 00:36:01,760 --> 00:36:06,120 Speaker 4: Action when we started, is are you being intellectually honest 636 00:36:06,520 --> 00:36:09,120 Speaker 4: about what you're looking at? Meaning? Can you look at 637 00:36:09,120 --> 00:36:12,040 Speaker 4: the data? Can you make a decision not based on 638 00:36:12,080 --> 00:36:14,799 Speaker 4: what you want it to be, not based on what 639 00:36:14,840 --> 00:36:18,640 Speaker 4: you think it could be if X factors hadn't impacted 640 00:36:18,640 --> 00:36:21,040 Speaker 4: the numbers. It's like, can you look at the numbers? 641 00:36:21,520 --> 00:36:24,000 Speaker 4: Can you say, Okay, this is what's happening, and then 642 00:36:24,040 --> 00:36:26,840 Speaker 4: can you make decisions about the business going forward based 643 00:36:26,880 --> 00:36:31,560 Speaker 4: on those numbers, regardless of your input into deciding how 644 00:36:31,560 --> 00:36:33,720 Speaker 4: you got to that point or if it's going against 645 00:36:33,800 --> 00:36:36,279 Speaker 4: what you believe it should be. Same goes if it's 646 00:36:36,320 --> 00:36:39,120 Speaker 4: going well, like can you be intellectually honest about examining 647 00:36:39,640 --> 00:36:42,200 Speaker 4: what you see in front of you? Can the packers 648 00:36:42,200 --> 00:36:45,239 Speaker 4: be intellectually honest about Jordan Love if he continues to 649 00:36:45,280 --> 00:36:49,440 Speaker 4: be a fifty five percent completion rate. Pastor who who 650 00:36:49,520 --> 00:36:51,000 Speaker 4: misses open looks. 651 00:36:51,320 --> 00:36:55,640 Speaker 1: As always Chad Miller. It's good seeing you always a 652 00:36:55,640 --> 00:36:58,560 Speaker 1: pleasure brother. The volume