1 00:00:02,640 --> 00:00:05,320 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Bloomberg Penl Podcast. I'm Paul Swinge You. 2 00:00:05,360 --> 00:00:07,680 Speaker 1: Along with my co host Lisa Brahma Wicks. Each day 3 00:00:07,720 --> 00:00:10,240 Speaker 1: we bring you the most noteworthy and useful interviews for 4 00:00:10,280 --> 00:00:12,520 Speaker 1: you and your money, whether at the grocery store or 5 00:00:12,560 --> 00:00:15,480 Speaker 1: the trading floor. Find a Bloomberg Penl podcast on Apple 6 00:00:15,520 --> 00:00:17,959 Speaker 1: podcast or wherever you listen to podcasts, as well as 7 00:00:17,960 --> 00:00:21,759 Speaker 1: at Bloomberg dot com. Time to check in with Bloomberg Opinion. 8 00:00:21,760 --> 00:00:25,640 Speaker 1: We're joined by opinion columnist Max Neeson. Max covers biotech, pharma, 9 00:00:25,760 --> 00:00:28,280 Speaker 1: and healthcare for Bloomberg Opinion. He joins us here in 10 00:00:28,320 --> 00:00:31,080 Speaker 1: a Bloomberg eleventh three oh Studios. So, Max, yesterday the 11 00:00:31,080 --> 00:00:34,280 Speaker 1: President came out swinging pretty hard against the manufacturers of 12 00:00:34,560 --> 00:00:38,479 Speaker 1: vaping products. What's the story. Yeah, absolutely so. So this 13 00:00:38,600 --> 00:00:40,479 Speaker 1: is kind of coming into the news and become more 14 00:00:40,520 --> 00:00:44,480 Speaker 1: controversial lately because there have been a spade of illnesses 15 00:00:44,520 --> 00:00:48,599 Speaker 1: and deaths related to to vaping, and then more broadly, 16 00:00:48,640 --> 00:00:51,720 Speaker 1: over the past couple of years, we've seen the really 17 00:00:51,840 --> 00:00:55,120 Speaker 1: rapid uptake of these products by by teenagers, many of 18 00:00:55,160 --> 00:00:59,440 Speaker 1: them underaged, and a lot of them gravitating towards flavored products. 19 00:00:59,520 --> 00:01:03,200 Speaker 1: So the residents announcement yesterday focused on those uh they're 20 00:01:03,200 --> 00:01:05,640 Speaker 1: gonna move towards trying to clear the market of these 21 00:01:05,640 --> 00:01:08,720 Speaker 1: flavored products that have been so popular and and also 22 00:01:09,040 --> 00:01:12,040 Speaker 1: on top of that keep kind of press for for more, 23 00:01:12,240 --> 00:01:14,880 Speaker 1: more more to be done on the safety issue, which 24 00:01:14,920 --> 00:01:17,920 Speaker 1: is related but separate, I guess to the flavored and 25 00:01:17,920 --> 00:01:21,320 Speaker 1: and the the use by teens. Max. How much is 26 00:01:21,400 --> 00:01:25,760 Speaker 1: this relegated to illegal vaping products that have been tied 27 00:01:25,800 --> 00:01:30,560 Speaker 1: to certain uses of oil that when uh evaporated into 28 00:01:30,560 --> 00:01:32,560 Speaker 1: the lungs can cause all sorts of problems. How much 29 00:01:32,640 --> 00:01:35,600 Speaker 1: is tied to the vaping products sold by the vehemoth 30 00:01:35,640 --> 00:01:39,720 Speaker 1: tobacco companies, So that that's still very much up in 31 00:01:39,720 --> 00:01:42,080 Speaker 1: the air, it looks like from the data we have, 32 00:01:42,120 --> 00:01:45,000 Speaker 1: and this is very limited because you know, the investigation 33 00:01:45,080 --> 00:01:47,960 Speaker 1: is still go ongoing. They're looking at samples in different products. 34 00:01:48,440 --> 00:01:51,480 Speaker 1: But but there is some evidence to suggest that a 35 00:01:51,520 --> 00:01:53,960 Speaker 1: lot of the kind of acute issues are tied to 36 00:01:54,000 --> 00:01:57,360 Speaker 1: people using these sort of bootleg and black market products, 37 00:01:57,400 --> 00:02:01,960 Speaker 1: specifically H T hc UM. So people vaping marijuana have 38 00:02:02,600 --> 00:02:06,000 Speaker 1: been kind of overrepresented among those who've been sick. But 39 00:02:06,240 --> 00:02:08,200 Speaker 1: at this point, you know, we we know so little 40 00:02:08,240 --> 00:02:11,400 Speaker 1: about the safety of these products the long term impact 41 00:02:11,400 --> 00:02:14,519 Speaker 1: that we can't really rule anything out. And then there's 42 00:02:14,520 --> 00:02:16,880 Speaker 1: sort of the broader issue of you know, if if 43 00:02:16,919 --> 00:02:20,720 Speaker 1: we have these potentially emergent safety issues, how how much 44 00:02:21,120 --> 00:02:23,720 Speaker 1: should we be you know, letting these products get a 45 00:02:23,720 --> 00:02:27,040 Speaker 1: relatively unrelated foothold on the market, which sort of in 46 00:02:27,080 --> 00:02:29,920 Speaker 1: the case in the past couple of years. Um, you know, 47 00:02:29,960 --> 00:02:32,760 Speaker 1: the the FDA has been sort of slow to to 48 00:02:32,840 --> 00:02:35,200 Speaker 1: put a regulatory regime in place and then make companies 49 00:02:35,200 --> 00:02:37,840 Speaker 1: apply for approval and and do some some kind of 50 00:02:37,880 --> 00:02:42,280 Speaker 1: more rigorous testing. So I think even if the product 51 00:02:42,360 --> 00:02:44,679 Speaker 1: the problem, you know, the most acute health problem is 52 00:02:44,720 --> 00:02:48,520 Speaker 1: tied to these illegal products, uh, it's still probably behooves 53 00:02:48,919 --> 00:02:51,280 Speaker 1: the US government to take a more active role. And 54 00:02:51,320 --> 00:02:54,959 Speaker 1: then specifically comes to the flavor products, Um, there's you know, 55 00:02:55,040 --> 00:02:57,160 Speaker 1: crystal clear evidence that that these are the ones that 56 00:02:57,200 --> 00:03:00,200 Speaker 1: teams gravity towards so a band makes sense. They're so 57 00:03:00,320 --> 00:03:02,600 Speaker 1: max That's kind of goes to you know, one of 58 00:03:02,600 --> 00:03:04,480 Speaker 1: the areas I thought was very interesting, it's just how 59 00:03:04,480 --> 00:03:06,560 Speaker 1: did some of these how did these products get to 60 00:03:06,639 --> 00:03:10,120 Speaker 1: the market with It seems to me just fund the 61 00:03:10,120 --> 00:03:14,799 Speaker 1: outside is little to know f D a analysis approval 62 00:03:15,320 --> 00:03:18,520 Speaker 1: with so little known about the health risks. I'm just 63 00:03:18,560 --> 00:03:21,000 Speaker 1: surprised that we've It's almost like shutting the door after 64 00:03:21,040 --> 00:03:24,799 Speaker 1: the horses kind of fled. That's exactly what we're seeing here. 65 00:03:24,840 --> 00:03:29,040 Speaker 1: So the FDA only gained sort of regulatory oversight over 66 00:03:29,080 --> 00:03:33,240 Speaker 1: this market back in it had been sort of even 67 00:03:33,280 --> 00:03:35,640 Speaker 1: more than it is now a no man's land, and 68 00:03:35,720 --> 00:03:38,000 Speaker 1: so that that sort of began to the initial process 69 00:03:38,000 --> 00:03:40,920 Speaker 1: of building a regulatory apparatus trying to figure out how 70 00:03:40,960 --> 00:03:44,200 Speaker 1: to regulate these. Initially, companies were supposed to have to 71 00:03:44,240 --> 00:03:48,800 Speaker 1: apply for approval by by two eighteen, but then when 72 00:03:48,840 --> 00:03:51,720 Speaker 1: the Trump administration came to power, they bumped that deadline 73 00:03:51,760 --> 00:03:54,880 Speaker 1: back and and that's the period when we saw Jewel 74 00:03:55,520 --> 00:03:57,720 Speaker 1: kind of you know, hit the market and then create 75 00:03:57,800 --> 00:04:01,160 Speaker 1: this whole sort of a big trans Asian And I 76 00:04:01,160 --> 00:04:04,240 Speaker 1: think the motivation behind that wasn't necessarily a bad thing. 77 00:04:04,240 --> 00:04:07,760 Speaker 1: It's this hope that this could be as valuable cessation 78 00:04:07,800 --> 00:04:12,840 Speaker 1: device away for adult smokers to switch from combustible cigarettes. 79 00:04:13,160 --> 00:04:16,159 Speaker 1: But we're now finding out with the embrace of this 80 00:04:16,279 --> 00:04:19,520 Speaker 1: by by from you know, non smokers, uh, and the 81 00:04:19,520 --> 00:04:23,080 Speaker 1: potential safety issues. I think that argument is sort of 82 00:04:23,120 --> 00:04:26,080 Speaker 1: going out the window, which makes that that decision to 83 00:04:26,600 --> 00:04:30,320 Speaker 1: slow walk the regulatory regime a little bit less defensible. 84 00:04:31,200 --> 00:04:33,800 Speaker 1: So this is actually the implications of this are pretty vast, 85 00:04:33,800 --> 00:04:36,159 Speaker 1: because you've seen the big tobacco companies come out and 86 00:04:36,160 --> 00:04:39,520 Speaker 1: try to present vaping products as a safer alternative. I mean, 87 00:04:39,520 --> 00:04:42,200 Speaker 1: that really has been the future of some of these 88 00:04:42,200 --> 00:04:46,040 Speaker 1: tobacco companies. And I'm wondering, do you think that regulators 89 00:04:46,040 --> 00:04:49,640 Speaker 1: are prepared to force tobacco companies to stop using that, 90 00:04:50,120 --> 00:04:53,760 Speaker 1: to stop saying this is safer when there's not necessarily 91 00:04:53,800 --> 00:04:56,880 Speaker 1: the evidence to back it. So I think that's beginning 92 00:04:57,279 --> 00:05:00,240 Speaker 1: to a certain extent. I recently. I think earlier this 93 00:05:00,320 --> 00:05:02,720 Speaker 1: week we saw the f D send a letter to 94 00:05:02,839 --> 00:05:06,520 Speaker 1: Jewel about about some of its marketing practices, and then 95 00:05:06,520 --> 00:05:09,760 Speaker 1: when they actually start having to apply for marketing approval, 96 00:05:10,000 --> 00:05:12,000 Speaker 1: you know, that's not just about safety, but it's about 97 00:05:12,000 --> 00:05:13,880 Speaker 1: what kind of claims you can make on the market. 98 00:05:14,120 --> 00:05:16,600 Speaker 1: I think that's an area where where there's definitely room 99 00:05:16,680 --> 00:05:19,359 Speaker 1: for the for a regulatory crackdown, And you know, it 100 00:05:19,400 --> 00:05:22,080 Speaker 1: may very well be that over time that this does 101 00:05:22,200 --> 00:05:25,279 Speaker 1: prove to be a safer alternative in some cases. I 102 00:05:25,320 --> 00:05:27,640 Speaker 1: think the issue is that, you know, unlike Europe, where 103 00:05:27,640 --> 00:05:30,359 Speaker 1: these are pretty well regulated and you can make a 104 00:05:30,360 --> 00:05:33,680 Speaker 1: better a better case, potentially, we just have a lot 105 00:05:33,720 --> 00:05:35,800 Speaker 1: of people that are using this for for something other 106 00:05:35,880 --> 00:05:39,400 Speaker 1: than switching or cessation, and uh, until we have a 107 00:05:39,480 --> 00:05:43,440 Speaker 1: much stronger marketing and regulatory regime where we're you know, 108 00:05:43,440 --> 00:05:45,840 Speaker 1: it's it's not a market that that can really make 109 00:05:45,880 --> 00:05:49,000 Speaker 1: that claim broadly. Thank you so much, Maxneis and Bloomberg 110 00:05:49,000 --> 00:05:51,680 Speaker 1: Opinion healthcare columnist joining us, and of course you can 111 00:05:51,720 --> 00:05:54,159 Speaker 1: read all of his columns as well as all the others. 112 00:05:54,160 --> 00:05:57,080 Speaker 1: They're really fantastic. Read them on the Bloomberg terminal O 113 00:05:57,160 --> 00:05:59,200 Speaker 1: P I n go, or you can read them at 114 00:05:59,200 --> 00:06:17,960 Speaker 1: Bloomberg dot com slash Opinion. It's quantitative easing forever. That 115 00:06:18,080 --> 00:06:20,400 Speaker 1: is the message from the European Central Bank, which cut 116 00:06:20,400 --> 00:06:23,719 Speaker 1: illustrates further below zero today and revived bond purchase until 117 00:06:24,200 --> 00:06:28,600 Speaker 1: whatever today in an announcement. Interestingly, the bond market reaction 118 00:06:28,839 --> 00:06:32,440 Speaker 1: has been a full circle. Yields sharply higher on the 119 00:06:32,480 --> 00:06:35,599 Speaker 1: front end in Germany. You've got the euro strengthening versus 120 00:06:35,600 --> 00:06:38,159 Speaker 1: the dollar after initially weakening to try to help us 121 00:06:38,200 --> 00:06:40,080 Speaker 1: make sense of all of these market moves and going 122 00:06:40,160 --> 00:06:42,520 Speaker 1: forward what some of the e CPS actions will mean 123 00:06:42,920 --> 00:06:45,720 Speaker 1: for the currency. Jukes joins US now Global Fixing come 124 00:06:45,720 --> 00:06:48,760 Speaker 1: strategist for so see it's a general So kid, why 125 00:06:49,000 --> 00:06:52,919 Speaker 1: is the market responding? Perhaps not the way that Mario 126 00:06:53,000 --> 00:06:58,200 Speaker 1: Draggy would have wanted. Um, Well, the turnaround came pretty 127 00:06:58,279 --> 00:07:01,599 Speaker 1: much after all. The news came in so um that 128 00:07:01,760 --> 00:07:05,360 Speaker 1: he announced the quantity of easing details in the first 129 00:07:05,360 --> 00:07:08,480 Speaker 1: ten minutes of his of his talking what they were 130 00:07:08,480 --> 00:07:12,440 Speaker 1: going to do, the new lower revised forecasts on growth, 131 00:07:12,560 --> 00:07:15,520 Speaker 1: concerns about inflation or all of that's in the front 132 00:07:15,560 --> 00:07:18,680 Speaker 1: and we were going down at that point. And then 133 00:07:18,720 --> 00:07:21,880 Speaker 1: after that, really there's no new negative news for the currency. 134 00:07:22,000 --> 00:07:24,920 Speaker 1: That came through, just a Q and A session, a 135 00:07:25,000 --> 00:07:27,360 Speaker 1: joke about how the one thing everyone agreed about was 136 00:07:27,440 --> 00:07:29,520 Speaker 1: that the DISCO policy ought to do more of the 137 00:07:29,560 --> 00:07:32,320 Speaker 1: work from now on in UM and the market just 138 00:07:32,400 --> 00:07:35,320 Speaker 1: mounted back the other way. Hindsight trading would be a 139 00:07:35,360 --> 00:07:38,119 Speaker 1: wonderful thing to be allowed to do, but the market 140 00:07:38,160 --> 00:07:40,120 Speaker 1: was barrish to the euro has been for a long time. 141 00:07:40,680 --> 00:07:44,600 Speaker 1: We were expecting something, We got a package, and we 142 00:07:44,720 --> 00:07:48,720 Speaker 1: just needed a constant diet of of of euro negative 143 00:07:48,760 --> 00:07:51,960 Speaker 1: news and and maybe this sort of summarizes up where 144 00:07:52,560 --> 00:07:55,920 Speaker 1: Mario Mario dragging has got to as he as he 145 00:07:55,960 --> 00:07:59,760 Speaker 1: closes out his time at ECB effectively, UM, it's really 146 00:08:00,000 --> 00:08:02,600 Speaker 1: hard work to push the euro down any further. The 147 00:08:02,680 --> 00:08:05,600 Speaker 1: minute you stopped talking, it just doesn't want to go 148 00:08:05,680 --> 00:08:10,440 Speaker 1: on going down because we're really historical week levels. So kids, 149 00:08:11,320 --> 00:08:15,040 Speaker 1: from your perspective, how effective do you think the moves 150 00:08:15,080 --> 00:08:18,360 Speaker 1: we saw today from the ECB could really be on 151 00:08:18,840 --> 00:08:25,480 Speaker 1: the European wide economy? UM? Pessimistic, but by instinct, I mean, 152 00:08:25,720 --> 00:08:28,600 Speaker 1: you know, sort of the the caveat to that is 153 00:08:28,600 --> 00:08:30,600 Speaker 1: what would happen if you didn't do them, in sense of, 154 00:08:31,200 --> 00:08:32,800 Speaker 1: you know, what would happen in terms of the currency. 155 00:08:32,840 --> 00:08:34,640 Speaker 1: If he'd come around and done nothing today, we might 156 00:08:34,679 --> 00:08:36,439 Speaker 1: have shot that up, we might have shot Bundy olds that, 157 00:08:36,520 --> 00:08:38,280 Speaker 1: we might have done things that would have been damaging 158 00:08:39,040 --> 00:08:43,880 Speaker 1: to everybody except President Trump's happiness at breakfast. And so 159 00:08:43,880 --> 00:08:45,640 Speaker 1: so you have to you have to start off them that. 160 00:08:45,720 --> 00:08:51,520 Speaker 1: But I don't get a sense really that UM continuing 161 00:08:51,559 --> 00:08:56,319 Speaker 1: to supply more and more bond buying, keeping bond shields 162 00:08:56,520 --> 00:09:01,280 Speaker 1: really low, having further negative interest rates really has much 163 00:09:01,280 --> 00:09:03,520 Speaker 1: of an impact. And I don't know underlying credit growth, 164 00:09:03,559 --> 00:09:07,160 Speaker 1: which isn't really the problem that you know, Europe suffering 165 00:09:07,160 --> 00:09:09,560 Speaker 1: from a world trade slowdown and suffering from a global 166 00:09:09,600 --> 00:09:13,600 Speaker 1: disinflation problem. It's suffering Germany in particular, suffering from what's 167 00:09:13,640 --> 00:09:18,200 Speaker 1: happening in China. Um, to my mind, if you want 168 00:09:18,200 --> 00:09:22,000 Speaker 1: to offset weakness in China, why not offset it since 169 00:09:22,040 --> 00:09:25,240 Speaker 1: it affects Germany most with easier fiscal policy in Germany 170 00:09:25,240 --> 00:09:28,480 Speaker 1: to upgrade some of their roads and some of their infrastructure, 171 00:09:28,480 --> 00:09:31,160 Speaker 1: that would be a fine thing to do from that country. 172 00:09:31,840 --> 00:09:36,160 Speaker 1: But but but but putting the financial sectors of the 173 00:09:36,280 --> 00:09:38,640 Speaker 1: point that's closer to the one where they're going to 174 00:09:38,720 --> 00:09:41,400 Speaker 1: charge people. Um, they're going to charge people fees on 175 00:09:41,440 --> 00:09:43,880 Speaker 1: their checking accounts if we push much further and so on. 176 00:09:44,440 --> 00:09:46,960 Speaker 1: I don't know that that's I don't know that that 177 00:09:47,080 --> 00:09:51,680 Speaker 1: really boosts economic activity much. Let's talk about QI forever. 178 00:09:51,880 --> 00:09:53,320 Speaker 1: What's the easy to be going to buy? I mean, 179 00:09:53,360 --> 00:09:56,520 Speaker 1: they own so much of the of the regions dead 180 00:09:56,559 --> 00:09:59,320 Speaker 1: at this point, are they just basically going to own 181 00:09:59,360 --> 00:10:01,199 Speaker 1: all of it at some point and then start buying 182 00:10:01,280 --> 00:10:05,480 Speaker 1: up buildings and stocks and I think that's sort of 183 00:10:05,600 --> 00:10:08,240 Speaker 1: the piece. I mean, this isn't QUEI forever until you 184 00:10:08,360 --> 00:10:10,400 Speaker 1: change the capital key, until you turn around and you 185 00:10:11,200 --> 00:10:13,240 Speaker 1: increase the pool of what it is they are allowed 186 00:10:13,280 --> 00:10:17,400 Speaker 1: to buy. So this is this is qui with um, 187 00:10:17,400 --> 00:10:20,200 Speaker 1: you know, slightly slower pace of bond buying than some 188 00:10:20,200 --> 00:10:22,400 Speaker 1: people have expected. But for as long as for as 189 00:10:22,440 --> 00:10:24,480 Speaker 1: long as they want to keep on going, or for 190 00:10:24,520 --> 00:10:26,199 Speaker 1: as long as there's anything for them to buy, or 191 00:10:26,240 --> 00:10:28,480 Speaker 1: for as long as there's anything to buy, until they 192 00:10:28,559 --> 00:10:30,880 Speaker 1: change what they're allowed to buy. But they'll have to 193 00:10:30,960 --> 00:10:33,000 Speaker 1: they'll have to cross that bridge. And in a sense, 194 00:10:33,040 --> 00:10:35,920 Speaker 1: it was that piece. Is part of what happened today 195 00:10:36,000 --> 00:10:38,800 Speaker 1: is saying, well, what does Quei forever mean? I'm only 196 00:10:38,840 --> 00:10:40,960 Speaker 1: going to buy you know I can. I'm only going 197 00:10:41,000 --> 00:10:44,640 Speaker 1: to buy these particular biscuits. I'll buy them forever. No, 198 00:10:44,800 --> 00:10:46,559 Speaker 1: you'll buy the muntil they run out. And that's how 199 00:10:46,640 --> 00:10:49,600 Speaker 1: it works. Um so so I think we we well, 200 00:10:49,679 --> 00:10:53,000 Speaker 1: we'll cross that bridge another day. But I thought you 201 00:10:53,000 --> 00:10:55,200 Speaker 1: could interpret this if you really wanted to, as a 202 00:10:55,240 --> 00:10:58,640 Speaker 1: plea from Mario dractures were either going to really you know, 203 00:10:59,080 --> 00:11:02,079 Speaker 1: challenge our man date by expanding what we buy or 204 00:11:02,200 --> 00:11:05,000 Speaker 1: you guys in charge of fiscal policy, you've got to 205 00:11:05,040 --> 00:11:07,800 Speaker 1: come and help. That's exactly where I want to go, 206 00:11:07,920 --> 00:11:12,120 Speaker 1: kit were Marry Drawing made several references to the need 207 00:11:12,160 --> 00:11:14,920 Speaker 1: for fiscal stimulus from some of the leading European economies. 208 00:11:15,200 --> 00:11:19,360 Speaker 1: In reality, how much influence does the ECB have over 209 00:11:19,400 --> 00:11:25,199 Speaker 1: individual countries in their fiscal policy. Um, she may be 210 00:11:25,400 --> 00:11:30,240 Speaker 1: more with Christine Lagarde at the ECBs and with Mario 211 00:11:30,320 --> 00:11:33,360 Speaker 1: Dragging in a sense that you know, um, she's a 212 00:11:33,760 --> 00:11:36,079 Speaker 1: She's seven heavyweight. At every big I m F G 213 00:11:36,200 --> 00:11:38,720 Speaker 1: seven meeting you've you've you've had She's She's been there, 214 00:11:38,760 --> 00:11:42,319 Speaker 1: she you know, has been involved. Mayo drag has has been, 215 00:11:42,520 --> 00:11:45,760 Speaker 1: you know, the savior of the Eurozone really sorting it out. 216 00:11:45,800 --> 00:11:47,319 Speaker 1: Without him, I don't know where we would have been 217 00:11:47,320 --> 00:11:50,800 Speaker 1: for the last um eight years since he since he 218 00:11:50,920 --> 00:11:53,400 Speaker 1: turned up. Um So I think they have an influence. 219 00:11:53,480 --> 00:11:57,240 Speaker 1: But counter to that, there's a lot of dogma in Europe. 220 00:11:57,400 --> 00:12:01,680 Speaker 1: You know, politicians don't like aggressive fiscally, particularly in Germany. 221 00:12:01,679 --> 00:12:04,400 Speaker 1: And if you remember back to the G seven meeting 222 00:12:05,040 --> 00:12:09,520 Speaker 1: UM in southwestern France and Burrits, there was nothing in 223 00:12:09,559 --> 00:12:13,600 Speaker 1: the communicuet about major threats to global growth. You know, 224 00:12:13,800 --> 00:12:17,120 Speaker 1: there was plenty of things that were discussed, but I 225 00:12:17,520 --> 00:12:21,640 Speaker 1: didn't I didn't hear President mac Hall talking about, you know, 226 00:12:21,840 --> 00:12:24,400 Speaker 1: the dangers of another European recession anywhere in there and 227 00:12:24,440 --> 00:12:26,280 Speaker 1: what they needed to get together to do for a 228 00:12:26,320 --> 00:12:29,480 Speaker 1: big growth push. So I don't think the politicians are 229 00:12:29,520 --> 00:12:33,120 Speaker 1: quite on the same page as the markets and central 230 00:12:33,160 --> 00:12:36,200 Speaker 1: banks yet. I mean, Europe at least on growth, to 231 00:12:36,280 --> 00:12:38,880 Speaker 1: be honest. But yeah, that's not to say that that's 232 00:12:38,920 --> 00:12:40,679 Speaker 1: not to say they'll ignore Christine Lagarde. I think that 233 00:12:40,720 --> 00:12:42,680 Speaker 1: would be wrong. The thing they do that. I do 234 00:12:42,760 --> 00:12:46,160 Speaker 1: want to just bring you some breaking news. CNBC is 235 00:12:46,559 --> 00:12:49,160 Speaker 1: coming out and reporting the White House is not considering 236 00:12:49,200 --> 00:12:52,320 Speaker 1: an interim China deal, and you're seeing the rally and 237 00:12:52,400 --> 00:12:55,079 Speaker 1: status pair back a bit with a NAZDAC up now 238 00:12:55,160 --> 00:12:57,240 Speaker 1: just for tents of a percent in the SMP up 239 00:12:57,400 --> 00:12:59,600 Speaker 1: two tenths of a percent. And I wonder when we 240 00:12:59,640 --> 00:13:02,640 Speaker 1: talk of about headwinds to growth, whether we're really just 241 00:13:02,720 --> 00:13:05,559 Speaker 1: talking about trade disputes. I mean, how much of what 242 00:13:05,640 --> 00:13:08,559 Speaker 1: central banks do at this point kit will be dictated 243 00:13:08,720 --> 00:13:11,560 Speaker 1: almost entirely upon whether there is some sort of easing 244 00:13:11,600 --> 00:13:15,760 Speaker 1: and global trade tensions um. Yeah. The trouble with the 245 00:13:15,760 --> 00:13:17,480 Speaker 1: global trade ens is they come and go and come 246 00:13:17,480 --> 00:13:20,000 Speaker 1: and go and come and go, and time passes, if 247 00:13:20,040 --> 00:13:23,360 Speaker 1: you like, in the sense that uh, you know that 248 00:13:23,520 --> 00:13:26,679 Speaker 1: that that the impact on corporate profitability for example, just 249 00:13:26,760 --> 00:13:32,160 Speaker 1: continues to um feeds through and that's not something it's 250 00:13:32,200 --> 00:13:34,800 Speaker 1: going to go away. Beast planted on my desk a 251 00:13:34,800 --> 00:13:36,840 Speaker 1: couple of hours ago from my colleague Albert Edwards, who 252 00:13:36,920 --> 00:13:38,839 Speaker 1: is known as one of the big bears of most 253 00:13:38,880 --> 00:13:43,559 Speaker 1: things in the markets, warning about you know what the 254 00:13:44,080 --> 00:13:47,040 Speaker 1: profit cycle and what it means for recession risks and 255 00:13:47,040 --> 00:13:50,280 Speaker 1: and my senses and I'm really sort of feels sitting 256 00:13:50,320 --> 00:13:53,360 Speaker 1: in the UK every day that uncertainty about trade with 257 00:13:53,480 --> 00:13:56,800 Speaker 1: deals on off, tariffs up, not uf postponed, but not 258 00:13:56,840 --> 00:14:00,080 Speaker 1: postponed forever. What's going to happen? Time goes on in 259 00:14:00,120 --> 00:14:03,679 Speaker 1: that process and on the procession risk grows globally. Kid 260 00:14:03,760 --> 00:14:08,280 Speaker 1: Duke's chief Global ex Strategists for Society General, joining us 261 00:14:08,559 --> 00:14:11,120 Speaker 1: from London, Thank you so much for your thoughts on 262 00:14:11,160 --> 00:14:13,960 Speaker 1: the E C. B UH news we had this morning. 263 00:14:30,080 --> 00:14:32,520 Speaker 1: This week, Lisa and I were in Boston for the 264 00:14:32,600 --> 00:14:35,640 Speaker 1: Boston Fintech Week, where we met a lot of cool 265 00:14:35,800 --> 00:14:39,640 Speaker 1: entrepreneurs bringing their technology to the financial services industry. One 266 00:14:39,640 --> 00:14:42,760 Speaker 1: of the participants at the Boston Fintech Week is Mike Massaro, 267 00:14:42,920 --> 00:14:47,920 Speaker 1: CEO of fly Wire. UM. Mike joins us here from Boston. Mike, 268 00:14:47,920 --> 00:14:51,200 Speaker 1: thanks so much for joining us. So we think about finance, 269 00:14:51,280 --> 00:14:54,480 Speaker 1: fintech and just bringing more technology to financial services. Give 270 00:14:54,520 --> 00:14:56,840 Speaker 1: us a little sense of what your company, fly Wire 271 00:14:56,880 --> 00:15:00,720 Speaker 1: is all about. Sure, thanks Paul, thanks for having me. Uh. 272 00:15:00,760 --> 00:15:05,040 Speaker 1: Flywire really helps with global cross border payment challenges. So 273 00:15:05,200 --> 00:15:09,560 Speaker 1: we look at vertical markets such as education, healthcare, travel, uh, 274 00:15:09,560 --> 00:15:11,640 Speaker 1: and they're really complicated when comes to how money moves 275 00:15:11,680 --> 00:15:14,080 Speaker 1: around the world and uh, and what we're doing is 276 00:15:14,120 --> 00:15:16,440 Speaker 1: we're making that much much simpler. We're making it easy 277 00:15:16,520 --> 00:15:18,920 Speaker 1: for people to pay, for instance, from China to attend 278 00:15:18,960 --> 00:15:21,960 Speaker 1: a place like Harvard UM and and those transactions have 279 00:15:22,240 --> 00:15:25,200 Speaker 1: typically gone over the banking rails historically. And what fly 280 00:15:25,320 --> 00:15:27,400 Speaker 1: Wire has done is we've made it a lot easier 281 00:15:27,440 --> 00:15:31,760 Speaker 1: for those institutions, uh, you know, educational, medical, or travel 282 00:15:31,800 --> 00:15:34,480 Speaker 1: companies to to collect money all over the world. So 283 00:15:34,560 --> 00:15:37,440 Speaker 1: what are some of the obstacles that make this much 284 00:15:37,480 --> 00:15:40,400 Speaker 1: more difficult than people might imagine, Which is send over 285 00:15:40,440 --> 00:15:43,480 Speaker 1: your money and be done with that. You know, one 286 00:15:43,520 --> 00:15:46,000 Speaker 1: thing is the transaction size. Right, A lot of consumers 287 00:15:46,040 --> 00:15:47,840 Speaker 1: we think about buying you know, five or ten or 288 00:15:47,840 --> 00:15:52,040 Speaker 1: even things on e commerce when the transaction size goes 289 00:15:52,120 --> 00:15:54,800 Speaker 1: north of thousands of dollars, sometimes tens of thousands of 290 00:15:54,800 --> 00:15:57,560 Speaker 1: dollars um only so many consumers can even put a 291 00:15:57,600 --> 00:15:59,920 Speaker 1: transaction of that size on a credit card, so they 292 00:16:00,000 --> 00:16:02,640 Speaker 1: need other ways to pay, traditionally through their bank accounts 293 00:16:02,720 --> 00:16:05,880 Speaker 1: or alternatives, um. And so it's really difficult for the 294 00:16:05,920 --> 00:16:08,440 Speaker 1: billers or the receivers of money as well to manage 295 00:16:08,440 --> 00:16:11,600 Speaker 1: all the changing dynamics and payments. Right, as much as 296 00:16:11,840 --> 00:16:14,880 Speaker 1: everybody's trying to make payments easier, they're probably the most 297 00:16:14,880 --> 00:16:19,240 Speaker 1: complicated they've ever been. Right, More global commerce, more regulation, 298 00:16:19,880 --> 00:16:24,320 Speaker 1: more security vulnerabilities, all of those things make it more challenging. So, uh, 299 00:16:24,920 --> 00:16:27,680 Speaker 1: you know, both the receivers have had a hard time 300 00:16:27,720 --> 00:16:29,600 Speaker 1: with it, but it also the payers haven't had a 301 00:16:29,600 --> 00:16:32,160 Speaker 1: great experience because there aren't great ways to pay outside 302 00:16:32,160 --> 00:16:35,520 Speaker 1: the traditional international bank wire. So, Mike, one of the 303 00:16:35,520 --> 00:16:38,120 Speaker 1: big issues I know for all of us, all consumers, 304 00:16:38,160 --> 00:16:41,600 Speaker 1: as we transact more and more online, is security. Give 305 00:16:41,640 --> 00:16:43,360 Speaker 1: us a sense of kind of how you guys approach 306 00:16:43,440 --> 00:16:45,400 Speaker 1: security because you're talking about, as you mentioned, kind of 307 00:16:45,400 --> 00:16:48,640 Speaker 1: some some bigger sums of money. Yeah, you know, it's 308 00:16:48,680 --> 00:16:51,880 Speaker 1: critical to be part of that trusted environment, right. So 309 00:16:52,200 --> 00:16:55,440 Speaker 1: you know, flyware doesn't help you send money anywhere. Right, 310 00:16:55,640 --> 00:16:58,720 Speaker 1: it's very purpose built, so we work with the receivers. 311 00:16:58,720 --> 00:17:01,280 Speaker 1: So it's a it's a trusted receiver on one side. 312 00:17:01,680 --> 00:17:04,400 Speaker 1: In many ways, it's almost like a closed loop, right, 313 00:17:04,440 --> 00:17:07,160 Speaker 1: because the money ultimately is going to Yale or Mass 314 00:17:07,240 --> 00:17:10,480 Speaker 1: General Hospital, u c L A Medical Center um OR 315 00:17:10,640 --> 00:17:15,280 Speaker 1: or you know somebody like um USC from an educational perspective, 316 00:17:15,480 --> 00:17:17,800 Speaker 1: so you know that one side of the transaction, you 317 00:17:17,800 --> 00:17:19,159 Speaker 1: know it's where it's going to go, and you know 318 00:17:19,240 --> 00:17:21,199 Speaker 1: the purpose of those funds. So that in it in 319 00:17:21,280 --> 00:17:23,399 Speaker 1: itself is a big game changer when it comes to 320 00:17:23,440 --> 00:17:26,360 Speaker 1: cross border payments. And then the challenge that we had 321 00:17:26,359 --> 00:17:28,199 Speaker 1: to do is we had to build a platform that 322 00:17:28,200 --> 00:17:31,439 Speaker 1: could understand all the regulatory and security requirements within the 323 00:17:31,520 --> 00:17:34,520 Speaker 1: various countries. Uh. So you know, for instance, in places 324 00:17:34,560 --> 00:17:37,960 Speaker 1: like China, India, Korea, you have various kind of checks 325 00:17:37,960 --> 00:17:41,080 Speaker 1: that have to occur either with the financial system or documentation. 326 00:17:41,119 --> 00:17:43,000 Speaker 1: You have to collect to make sure the funds can 327 00:17:43,000 --> 00:17:45,800 Speaker 1: securely move and so that's part of what we've done, 328 00:17:45,920 --> 00:17:48,960 Speaker 1: is as as building Flower and the technology platform we've 329 00:17:49,000 --> 00:17:52,639 Speaker 1: built in to really check that we're both satisfying the 330 00:17:52,680 --> 00:17:56,399 Speaker 1: security and compliance requirements within the country, but also taking 331 00:17:56,440 --> 00:17:58,879 Speaker 1: that effort in that those issues away from our clients, 332 00:17:58,880 --> 00:18:01,160 Speaker 1: which are the ones receiving them. Any Mike, a lot 333 00:18:01,160 --> 00:18:04,000 Speaker 1: of people going to blockchain and actually that these cross 334 00:18:04,040 --> 00:18:08,240 Speaker 1: border payments are a key place for blockchain products crypto 335 00:18:08,320 --> 00:18:12,600 Speaker 1: assets to play an important role to basically transfer something 336 00:18:12,640 --> 00:18:16,440 Speaker 1: in a very easy, seamless way. Is that something that 337 00:18:16,640 --> 00:18:18,960 Speaker 1: is on your horizon at all that your company is 338 00:18:18,960 --> 00:18:22,280 Speaker 1: looking into? Yeah, you know, I think we're always I'm 339 00:18:22,280 --> 00:18:25,399 Speaker 1: a big believer in the underlying blockchain technology associated to 340 00:18:25,680 --> 00:18:29,280 Speaker 1: validating transactions or having a shared kind of global ledger. 341 00:18:29,600 --> 00:18:32,800 Speaker 1: I think crypto has turned a little more into speculation lately. UM, 342 00:18:32,840 --> 00:18:35,240 Speaker 1: And I think ultimately if you look years and years out, 343 00:18:35,640 --> 00:18:38,920 Speaker 1: UM there is likely to be a digital cryptocurrency based 344 00:18:38,920 --> 00:18:41,560 Speaker 1: off some kind of fiat currency. UM. I think how 345 00:18:41,600 --> 00:18:43,680 Speaker 1: long that takes to develop? I think people have been 346 00:18:43,680 --> 00:18:45,960 Speaker 1: wrong so far. UM. I think it's going to take time, 347 00:18:45,960 --> 00:18:47,679 Speaker 1: But I think it will get there. Uh. And the 348 00:18:47,720 --> 00:18:49,880 Speaker 1: way we look at the world is if people want 349 00:18:49,880 --> 00:18:52,320 Speaker 1: to pay in a certain method, UM, we want to 350 00:18:52,359 --> 00:18:55,399 Speaker 1: make sure Flywire has that method available, whether they're using PayPal, 351 00:18:55,480 --> 00:18:59,200 Speaker 1: American Express, Visa, or their bank or something like Allie 352 00:18:59,200 --> 00:19:01,639 Speaker 1: pay wee chat in China. We want to have all 353 00:19:01,640 --> 00:19:04,200 Speaker 1: those methods there. So, you know, if crypto really takes 354 00:19:04,240 --> 00:19:07,240 Speaker 1: off from a consumer perspective, UM, and the and they're 355 00:19:07,280 --> 00:19:10,720 Speaker 1: looking for a certain cryptocurrency, UM, that's something that Flywire 356 00:19:10,720 --> 00:19:12,879 Speaker 1: would definitely consider. So, Mike, what are some of the 357 00:19:12,960 --> 00:19:15,600 Speaker 1: areas of growth for your company right now? Is more 358 00:19:15,640 --> 00:19:19,800 Speaker 1: and more people transact online. You know, there's there's really 359 00:19:19,960 --> 00:19:23,600 Speaker 1: uh it really falls into three different buckets. Geographic expansion 360 00:19:23,640 --> 00:19:25,560 Speaker 1: for US UH. You know, if you look at the 361 00:19:25,600 --> 00:19:28,399 Speaker 1: verticals were in education, healthcare, and travel, they are truly 362 00:19:28,440 --> 00:19:32,360 Speaker 1: global industries. Uh. And so there are students crossing borders 363 00:19:32,640 --> 00:19:37,080 Speaker 1: to study from places like UM China to Australia or 364 00:19:37,080 --> 00:19:40,440 Speaker 1: New Zealand. Right there's obviously one point one million students 365 00:19:40,480 --> 00:19:43,919 Speaker 1: coming to the United States every year. UM. International patients 366 00:19:43,920 --> 00:19:46,040 Speaker 1: are the same way, They're crossing borders all the time 367 00:19:46,080 --> 00:19:48,840 Speaker 1: for medical care. UH. And and anybody that lives in 368 00:19:48,840 --> 00:19:51,600 Speaker 1: a majorly developed city. Um. You know, all the all 369 00:19:51,640 --> 00:19:55,000 Speaker 1: the top hospitals in the United States have international patient programs. 370 00:19:55,000 --> 00:19:57,800 Speaker 1: So geographic expansion really getting out there and making sure 371 00:19:57,840 --> 00:20:00,240 Speaker 1: more people know about the fly Wire solution. And then 372 00:20:00,280 --> 00:20:03,760 Speaker 1: I would say the second um is around more capabilities. 373 00:20:03,880 --> 00:20:06,080 Speaker 1: Right where our clients asked us to help with cross 374 00:20:06,119 --> 00:20:09,760 Speaker 1: border they're actually now looking because payments get more complicated, 375 00:20:09,760 --> 00:20:12,760 Speaker 1: they're actually looking for us to just offload all their payments, right, 376 00:20:12,760 --> 00:20:15,800 Speaker 1: and so we're starting to expand and do that as well. UM, 377 00:20:15,840 --> 00:20:19,400 Speaker 1: So you've got kind of geographic expansion, you have providing 378 00:20:19,400 --> 00:20:23,200 Speaker 1: more products and services related to payments for existing clients. 379 00:20:23,520 --> 00:20:25,960 Speaker 1: And then it's the vertical expansion. Right. We just launched 380 00:20:26,000 --> 00:20:29,520 Speaker 1: this travel sector a year ago. It's growing over year 381 00:20:29,560 --> 00:20:31,879 Speaker 1: on year for us, and we're helping people as they 382 00:20:31,920 --> 00:20:34,320 Speaker 1: travel around the world just make it easier to pay for, 383 00:20:34,560 --> 00:20:37,639 Speaker 1: you know, an adventure trip or a luxury trip. Mike Massaro, 384 00:20:37,720 --> 00:20:39,919 Speaker 1: thank you so much for being with us. Mike Massaro 385 00:20:40,000 --> 00:20:43,600 Speaker 1: is chief executive officer of fly Wire, based in Boston. 386 00:20:43,720 --> 00:20:47,919 Speaker 1: He is in Boston today for the Fintech Week conference 387 00:20:47,960 --> 00:20:50,720 Speaker 1: and he's participating in it on a panel called a 388 00:20:50,800 --> 00:21:10,600 Speaker 1: personalization of payments and a purpose driven market. There's more 389 00:21:10,640 --> 00:21:13,919 Speaker 1: than a thirty trillion dollars of assets undermanaged that are 390 00:21:13,960 --> 00:21:18,639 Speaker 1: subject to non traditional criteria such as environmental, social governance 391 00:21:18,640 --> 00:21:22,800 Speaker 1: and impact analysis in order to determine where they are 392 00:21:22,840 --> 00:21:24,719 Speaker 1: going to go. Where those dollars are going to go, 393 00:21:24,760 --> 00:21:28,640 Speaker 1: the question is how much does this money actually change 394 00:21:29,280 --> 00:21:32,080 Speaker 1: company behavior or create social value? Here to answer that, 395 00:21:32,480 --> 00:21:35,840 Speaker 1: Vicram Gandhi, Professor at Harvard Business School. He also has 396 00:21:35,880 --> 00:21:39,160 Speaker 1: been an investment banker for twenty three years at Morgan 397 00:21:39,240 --> 00:21:42,680 Speaker 1: Stanley and Credit Swiss. You're also he's also on the 398 00:21:42,880 --> 00:21:46,879 Speaker 1: board a senior advisor to the Canada Pension Plan Investment Board. 399 00:21:47,240 --> 00:21:49,239 Speaker 1: Professor Gandhi, thank you so much for being with us. 400 00:21:49,240 --> 00:21:52,480 Speaker 1: So let's start there. How much social value are these 401 00:21:52,600 --> 00:21:56,200 Speaker 1: E s G funds actually creating? At least? I think 402 00:21:56,280 --> 00:21:58,480 Speaker 1: if you look at the whole spectrum, as you mentioned 403 00:21:58,480 --> 00:22:01,320 Speaker 1: the thirty trillion dollars, still a majority of that is 404 00:22:01,320 --> 00:22:04,679 Speaker 1: what one would call negative screens, and that is excluding 405 00:22:05,080 --> 00:22:07,040 Speaker 1: stocks that you don't want to own your portfolio. A 406 00:22:07,119 --> 00:22:10,640 Speaker 1: big trend and that is really around fossil fuels, etcetera. Recently, 407 00:22:10,640 --> 00:22:14,359 Speaker 1: but there's been a tobacco, alcohol, religious beliefs in the past, 408 00:22:14,960 --> 00:22:17,320 Speaker 1: and the question remains as to whether those negative screens 409 00:22:17,400 --> 00:22:21,760 Speaker 1: actually create value. I think they in terms of changing behavior. 410 00:22:21,800 --> 00:22:24,400 Speaker 1: I think there's a reflection of values, but not necessarily 411 00:22:24,480 --> 00:22:28,200 Speaker 1: changing behavior because for every seller there's a bar and 412 00:22:28,359 --> 00:22:32,400 Speaker 1: unless there's an overwhelming um uh majority on the cell side, 413 00:22:32,400 --> 00:22:34,520 Speaker 1: you're not going to increase the cost of capital essentially 414 00:22:34,600 --> 00:22:37,800 Speaker 1: necessarily of the companies. But what we are seeing is 415 00:22:37,840 --> 00:22:40,560 Speaker 1: a is a pretty conscious trend towards moving from that 416 00:22:40,680 --> 00:22:43,639 Speaker 1: aspect to what one would call e s G integration 417 00:22:44,240 --> 00:22:49,680 Speaker 1: as well as engagement. And the debate about divestiturevis engagement continues, 418 00:22:49,760 --> 00:22:53,679 Speaker 1: but there's more and more large institutional investors beyond just 419 00:22:53,760 --> 00:22:57,000 Speaker 1: making public announcements about it, actually focusing on the engagement 420 00:22:57,080 --> 00:23:01,639 Speaker 1: side to push companies to change behavior with with a 421 00:23:01,760 --> 00:23:03,280 Speaker 1: with an eas G, with with an e s G 422 00:23:03,400 --> 00:23:06,639 Speaker 1: framework in mind. So yeah, so victims. So in my 423 00:23:06,720 --> 00:23:09,760 Speaker 1: experiences we're talking and just before we went on airs, 424 00:23:09,840 --> 00:23:13,760 Speaker 1: just this seems to in my experience come primarily from 425 00:23:14,040 --> 00:23:16,800 Speaker 1: Europe first, i e. The focus on e s G, 426 00:23:17,119 --> 00:23:22,320 Speaker 1: environmental sustainability, governance, impact investing, um is it. Where where 427 00:23:22,320 --> 00:23:23,600 Speaker 1: are we in terms of the United States and some 428 00:23:23,600 --> 00:23:25,600 Speaker 1: of the big mutual funds and then the big companies 429 00:23:25,640 --> 00:23:29,000 Speaker 1: and how are they adapting if at all. Well, it's clearly, 430 00:23:29,680 --> 00:23:32,520 Speaker 1: as you said Europe, nearly half the assets in Europe, 431 00:23:32,920 --> 00:23:35,200 Speaker 1: you know, off the trill trillion that you said, half 432 00:23:35,240 --> 00:23:36,920 Speaker 1: the half the assets in Europe have some sort of 433 00:23:36,960 --> 00:23:40,280 Speaker 1: E s G overlay. That number is closely in the US, 434 00:23:40,280 --> 00:23:43,400 Speaker 1: but the growth has been pretty strong. And I think 435 00:23:43,480 --> 00:23:45,560 Speaker 1: if you look if you talk to the large pension plans, 436 00:23:45,600 --> 00:23:50,480 Speaker 1: even some of the passive investors UM, they clearly are 437 00:23:50,640 --> 00:23:53,320 Speaker 1: are focused on the fact that if you are a 438 00:23:53,320 --> 00:23:56,639 Speaker 1: long term holder of stocks UM and the passive in 439 00:23:56,800 --> 00:23:59,320 Speaker 1: the index investors by definition are they own the market. 440 00:24:00,080 --> 00:24:01,879 Speaker 1: Is that if you don't factor an E s G 441 00:24:02,240 --> 00:24:05,720 Speaker 1: into your analysis, you probably are not making good investment decisions. 442 00:24:06,080 --> 00:24:09,600 Speaker 1: So that the discussions gone from let's tick the box, Okay, 443 00:24:09,640 --> 00:24:11,640 Speaker 1: we've looked at s G, We've gone on our Bloomberg 444 00:24:11,720 --> 00:24:13,840 Speaker 1: terminal and found our E s G metrics and done 445 00:24:13,880 --> 00:24:16,800 Speaker 1: it to moving on to risk management, saying this is 446 00:24:16,840 --> 00:24:19,399 Speaker 1: a core part of risk management. And then I think 447 00:24:19,480 --> 00:24:21,560 Speaker 1: we're also starting to see trends in some of the 448 00:24:21,560 --> 00:24:24,320 Speaker 1: pension plans of incorporating E s G to generate alpha 449 00:24:24,840 --> 00:24:26,840 Speaker 1: is that how do we bring in s G factors? 450 00:24:27,240 --> 00:24:29,959 Speaker 1: But companies that are actually doing it well because they 451 00:24:29,960 --> 00:24:33,040 Speaker 1: are potentially alpha generators. So I think that trend is 452 00:24:33,080 --> 00:24:36,520 Speaker 1: there and in fact is accelerating. Professor Gandhi, how much 453 00:24:36,640 --> 00:24:40,040 Speaker 1: alpha are we talking about? Can you give us an example? Well, 454 00:24:40,560 --> 00:24:43,320 Speaker 1: for example, one of the leaders and you have a 455 00:24:43,359 --> 00:24:45,080 Speaker 1: case on this in our course. And you know, we've 456 00:24:45,080 --> 00:24:47,440 Speaker 1: written about twenty two new cases here for our course, 457 00:24:47,480 --> 00:24:50,119 Speaker 1: me and our colleague of mine, which we teach in 458 00:24:50,200 --> 00:24:53,520 Speaker 1: the NBA class at Harvard UH. One one of the 459 00:24:54,040 --> 00:24:57,040 Speaker 1: cases there is a company called Generation Investment Management which 460 00:24:57,160 --> 00:24:59,800 Speaker 1: was set up by David Blood and vice president Gore 461 00:25:00,480 --> 00:25:03,080 Speaker 1: and who and they incorporate E s G into the 462 00:25:03,160 --> 00:25:06,720 Speaker 1: investment process right from the start. And they have fifteen 463 00:25:06,800 --> 00:25:08,680 Speaker 1: years now they've been in existence and gone from a 464 00:25:08,680 --> 00:25:11,440 Speaker 1: few hundred millions to now they've managed about twenty five billion. 465 00:25:12,359 --> 00:25:17,119 Speaker 1: They have generated consistently generated alpha on on on their portfolio. 466 00:25:17,600 --> 00:25:21,360 Speaker 1: And we're starting to see um various other plans. As 467 00:25:21,359 --> 00:25:25,000 Speaker 1: I said, allocate some percentage of their assets to this 468 00:25:25,440 --> 00:25:29,120 Speaker 1: to this UH asset. The investing style if you Will 469 00:25:30,160 --> 00:25:33,400 Speaker 1: has a head fund industry writ large. How have they 470 00:25:33,480 --> 00:25:36,400 Speaker 1: in terms of adopting this, I mean they're looking for 471 00:25:36,480 --> 00:25:38,920 Speaker 1: any edge they can degenerate alpha And if I guess 472 00:25:38,920 --> 00:25:41,600 Speaker 1: he made the incredible pitch to them that this isn't 473 00:25:41,640 --> 00:25:43,359 Speaker 1: their best interests, I would think that way they would 474 00:25:43,359 --> 00:25:45,359 Speaker 1: make a part of their investment process. Yeah. So I 475 00:25:45,760 --> 00:25:48,720 Speaker 1: think they're there too. Um if you if you view 476 00:25:48,760 --> 00:25:50,760 Speaker 1: them as long term investors, they are bringing in as 477 00:25:50,840 --> 00:25:54,439 Speaker 1: risk management. But another interesting case we did was on 478 00:25:54,560 --> 00:25:57,080 Speaker 1: John A Partners. As you know, they're a pretty active 479 00:25:57,119 --> 00:26:00,560 Speaker 1: investor and an activist investor in fact, and they announced 480 00:26:00,640 --> 00:26:02,480 Speaker 1: last year that they were going to set up a 481 00:26:02,480 --> 00:26:07,000 Speaker 1: billion dollar fund to bring in their activist mindset by 482 00:26:07,680 --> 00:26:10,480 Speaker 1: by identifying companies that are underperforming necessarily on the E 483 00:26:10,640 --> 00:26:13,879 Speaker 1: s G front and pushing that and that using their 484 00:26:13,920 --> 00:26:17,159 Speaker 1: activist methodology with the E s G framework. So I 485 00:26:17,160 --> 00:26:20,359 Speaker 1: think you're clearly seeing more of that. Um, you're probably 486 00:26:20,400 --> 00:26:22,240 Speaker 1: seeing less of it in hedge funds though compared to 487 00:26:22,640 --> 00:26:25,320 Speaker 1: I say long only managers that have a longer term perspective, 488 00:26:25,359 --> 00:26:29,240 Speaker 1: because risk management for them becomes a key issue. I 489 00:26:29,280 --> 00:26:33,160 Speaker 1: do also think that to make change happen, this mindset 490 00:26:33,160 --> 00:26:36,880 Speaker 1: of quarterly earnings versus long term investing has to change. 491 00:26:37,359 --> 00:26:40,399 Speaker 1: I'm wondering, giving your role as a senior advisor to 492 00:26:40,400 --> 00:26:43,560 Speaker 1: the Canada Pension Plan Investment Board, how are you advising 493 00:26:43,920 --> 00:26:46,800 Speaker 1: they take into account some of these E s G criteria. 494 00:26:47,480 --> 00:26:49,880 Speaker 1: So as if you talk to the Canada's c p 495 00:26:49,880 --> 00:26:51,600 Speaker 1: p i B, you know when they talk about a quarter, 496 00:26:52,040 --> 00:26:54,840 Speaker 1: they're talking about not ninety days, They're talking about twenty 497 00:26:54,840 --> 00:26:59,160 Speaker 1: five years. That's quarter for them, So you know they 498 00:26:59,200 --> 00:27:03,399 Speaker 1: have they they'll be having more inflows uh than outflows 499 00:27:03,440 --> 00:27:05,240 Speaker 1: for the foreseeable future. And they're going to go from 500 00:27:05,240 --> 00:27:08,320 Speaker 1: four hundred billion Canadian roughly now to seven eight hundred 501 00:27:08,359 --> 00:27:10,679 Speaker 1: billions in just five or seven years. So they have 502 00:27:10,720 --> 00:27:14,320 Speaker 1: a very long term horizon. And from a risk management perspective, 503 00:27:14,400 --> 00:27:17,480 Speaker 1: they are proactively incorporating e s G when they make 504 00:27:17,520 --> 00:27:20,520 Speaker 1: any investment decision. I mean, I've advised them on making 505 00:27:20,520 --> 00:27:24,160 Speaker 1: investments in India and Asia, etcetera. And I could see 506 00:27:24,240 --> 00:27:27,600 Speaker 1: that that that this this mechanism of dick the box 507 00:27:27,680 --> 00:27:31,160 Speaker 1: due diligence to risk management, and now they're also experimenting 508 00:27:31,200 --> 00:27:34,160 Speaker 1: on incorporaing e s G from an alpha generation perspective. 509 00:27:34,400 --> 00:27:37,720 Speaker 1: Just I guess broadly speaking, you've been you know, looking 510 00:27:37,720 --> 00:27:40,159 Speaker 1: at this for a while. Are there certain industries that, 511 00:27:40,640 --> 00:27:43,040 Speaker 1: for lack of a better word, screen well from an 512 00:27:43,040 --> 00:27:46,480 Speaker 1: e S dre impact and maybe some industries that don't. 513 00:27:47,520 --> 00:27:51,480 Speaker 1: So an interesting case which we have written was on 514 00:27:51,480 --> 00:27:53,560 Speaker 1: State Streets. So State Street Or a couple of years 515 00:27:53,600 --> 00:27:56,840 Speaker 1: ago on Women's Day launched an e t F called 516 00:27:56,840 --> 00:28:02,200 Speaker 1: SHE and it was seeded by large pension plan basically 517 00:28:02,320 --> 00:28:06,960 Speaker 1: to identify investments where the leadership both on the board 518 00:28:07,080 --> 00:28:09,840 Speaker 1: as well as leadership there was a significant of agenda 519 00:28:09,920 --> 00:28:12,960 Speaker 1: or diversity, not because there was a social aspect to it, 520 00:28:13,000 --> 00:28:14,960 Speaker 1: but it was also that you know, there's been enough 521 00:28:15,000 --> 00:28:17,720 Speaker 1: studies which show that doversity leads to business better business 522 00:28:17,760 --> 00:28:21,400 Speaker 1: decisions which will lead to hopefully financial performance and stock prices. 523 00:28:22,200 --> 00:28:24,480 Speaker 1: And when they did but they couldn't veer away from 524 00:28:24,480 --> 00:28:27,640 Speaker 1: the index too much. And so when they did that analysis, 525 00:28:28,440 --> 00:28:32,840 Speaker 1: they found that they would be heavily overweight on consumer durables, 526 00:28:32,920 --> 00:28:36,760 Speaker 1: consumer staples, some of the consumer oriented companies, and highly 527 00:28:36,840 --> 00:28:41,040 Speaker 1: underweight on technology, energy and financial services. So that kind 528 00:28:41,040 --> 00:28:44,440 Speaker 1: of would be uh interesting dynamic as to it shows 529 00:28:44,480 --> 00:28:46,760 Speaker 1: that on those e S g Metrics that they looked 530 00:28:46,760 --> 00:28:50,440 Speaker 1: at the diversity between the industries. Very interesting. Vicar and Gandhi, 531 00:28:50,480 --> 00:28:52,840 Speaker 1: thank you so much for joinings professor at Harvard Business School. 532 00:28:52,840 --> 00:28:56,120 Speaker 1: We appreciate your thoughts on impact investing an E. S. G. 533 00:28:56,840 --> 00:28:59,040 Speaker 1: Thanks for listening to the Bloomberg P and L podcast. 534 00:28:59,200 --> 00:29:01,840 Speaker 1: You can subscribe in listen to interviews at Apple Podcasts 535 00:29:01,880 --> 00:29:05,000 Speaker 1: or whatever podcast platform you prefer. Paul Sweeney, I'm on 536 00:29:05,040 --> 00:29:07,680 Speaker 1: Twitter at pt Sweeney. I'm Lisa abram Woyits I'm on 537 00:29:07,720 --> 00:29:10,600 Speaker 1: Twitter at Lisa abram Woits one. Before the podcast, you 538 00:29:10,600 --> 00:29:13,120 Speaker 1: can always catch us worldwide on Bloomberg Radio