WEBVTT - Balancing $5.7T in Active and Passive Management with Lori Heinel

0:00:02.480 --> 0:00:07.000
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio News.

0:00:08.280 --> 0:00:10.560
<v Speaker 2>This week on the podcast Another Banger.

0:00:11.280 --> 0:00:15.320
<v Speaker 1>Lori Heinel is executive vice president and Global Chief Investment

0:00:15.400 --> 0:00:20.720
<v Speaker 1>Officer at State Street Investment Management. She oversees five point

0:00:20.720 --> 0:00:23.840
<v Speaker 1>seven trillion dollars in assets and that's as of the

0:00:23.960 --> 0:00:24.239
<v Speaker 1>end of.

0:00:24.200 --> 0:00:25.079
<v Speaker 2>Twenty twenty five.

0:00:25.120 --> 0:00:31.480
<v Speaker 1>It's obviously market has appreciated since then. She oversees index funds, ETFs,

0:00:31.760 --> 0:00:37.960
<v Speaker 1>active strategies, alternatives, multi asset solutions, and really drives an

0:00:37.960 --> 0:00:43.080
<v Speaker 1>incredible organization. I thought this conversation was fascinating and I

0:00:43.120 --> 0:00:46.760
<v Speaker 1>think you will also with no further ado, my interview

0:00:47.040 --> 0:01:00.640
<v Speaker 1>with State Streets Lori Heinel. Lori Heinel, Welcome Bloomberg.

0:01:00.760 --> 0:01:01.640
<v Speaker 3>Thanks for having me.

0:01:02.160 --> 0:01:05.720
<v Speaker 1>So let's start out with your early career and your

0:01:05.760 --> 0:01:10.440
<v Speaker 1>academic background. You study religion at Princeton before getting your

0:01:10.560 --> 0:01:15.240
<v Speaker 1>MBA at Carnegie Mellon. What was the career plan with

0:01:15.360 --> 0:01:16.440
<v Speaker 1>religious studies.

0:01:17.400 --> 0:01:19.600
<v Speaker 4>Well, that's a long story, but I'll try to keep

0:01:19.640 --> 0:01:22.720
<v Speaker 4>it short. Bottom line is I went to Princeton because

0:01:22.720 --> 0:01:24.640
<v Speaker 4>I wanted to get more of a liberal arts education.

0:01:25.280 --> 0:01:28.320
<v Speaker 4>And what I realized pretty quickly is it didn't really

0:01:28.360 --> 0:01:31.040
<v Speaker 4>matter what I majored in. I could major in economics,

0:01:31.040 --> 0:01:33.720
<v Speaker 4>I could major in history, and I happened to take

0:01:33.800 --> 0:01:37.560
<v Speaker 4>a religious studies course, which I just absolutely adored. And

0:01:38.800 --> 0:01:41.360
<v Speaker 4>from a personal standpoint, I had a number of people

0:01:41.400 --> 0:01:46.760
<v Speaker 4>in my family who were incredibly staunch practicing Catholics or

0:01:46.800 --> 0:01:50.720
<v Speaker 4>other kinds of Christian religions, and they would do things

0:01:50.760 --> 0:01:53.240
<v Speaker 4>that to me were quite odd at times, and so

0:01:53.280 --> 0:01:53.880
<v Speaker 4>I thought.

0:01:53.680 --> 0:01:55.880
<v Speaker 3>From a personal perspective.

0:01:55.320 --> 0:01:57.840
<v Speaker 4>It would be an interesting way to get more insight

0:01:57.880 --> 0:01:59.920
<v Speaker 4>into what was going on with some of these family members.

0:02:00.640 --> 0:02:03.320
<v Speaker 4>So short answer is that I decided to pursue that

0:02:03.400 --> 0:02:06.520
<v Speaker 4>as an academic undertaking. And then I got to a

0:02:06.520 --> 0:02:09.040
<v Speaker 4>place where I needed to think about a career and

0:02:09.240 --> 0:02:11.799
<v Speaker 4>my first thought was, well, geez, maybe I'll go to

0:02:11.880 --> 0:02:14.200
<v Speaker 4>law school. Well, then I realized I needed to make

0:02:14.240 --> 0:02:16.679
<v Speaker 4>some money. So my second thought was, well, geez, you

0:02:16.720 --> 0:02:19.360
<v Speaker 4>know there's this analyst program thing that they have on

0:02:19.440 --> 0:02:23.560
<v Speaker 4>Wall Street. Surely you know they recruited fine institutions like

0:02:23.600 --> 0:02:27.640
<v Speaker 4>Princeton and Lo and Behold. That catapulted me into what

0:02:27.919 --> 0:02:31.120
<v Speaker 4>became a really long career in finance by just moving

0:02:31.160 --> 0:02:34.400
<v Speaker 4>from an institution like Princeton into an analyst program.

0:02:34.600 --> 0:02:36.040
<v Speaker 2>So let's move forward.

0:02:36.080 --> 0:02:39.560
<v Speaker 1>You started credit Swiss First Boston, where you ran equity.

0:02:39.240 --> 0:02:40.880
<v Speaker 2>And fixed income sales.

0:02:41.600 --> 0:02:45.480
<v Speaker 1>Then you ended up working on with trading at Parker

0:02:45.560 --> 0:02:46.800
<v Speaker 1>Hunter in Pittsburgh.

0:02:46.919 --> 0:02:48.119
<v Speaker 2>Am I getting.

0:02:47.840 --> 0:02:50.400
<v Speaker 4>These Well, I didn't start by running anything, So I

0:02:50.480 --> 0:02:52.840
<v Speaker 4>started out as a two year grunt right. I think

0:02:52.919 --> 0:02:55.640
<v Speaker 4>most of your listeners know what these analyst programs look like.

0:02:56.080 --> 0:03:00.239
<v Speaker 4>I was effectively in investment banking for public finance, worked

0:03:00.240 --> 0:03:04.440
<v Speaker 4>with hospitals, airports, municipal authorities. But I did all the

0:03:04.600 --> 0:03:06.519
<v Speaker 4>kind of grunt work, if you will, all the numbers

0:03:06.600 --> 0:03:08.920
<v Speaker 4>crunching behind the scenes and helping to run the deal

0:03:08.960 --> 0:03:10.200
<v Speaker 4>models and things of that nature.

0:03:10.440 --> 0:03:11.760
<v Speaker 3>And I just found that fascinating.

0:03:11.760 --> 0:03:16.120
<v Speaker 4>I thought it was really amazing to connect both you

0:03:16.160 --> 0:03:18.080
<v Speaker 4>know what's going on in the world with you know

0:03:18.080 --> 0:03:20.880
<v Speaker 4>how finance supports that. And so I did that for

0:03:20.880 --> 0:03:22.440
<v Speaker 4>a couple of years. And then at the end of

0:03:22.440 --> 0:03:24.639
<v Speaker 4>the two year program, you're typically expected to go back

0:03:24.639 --> 0:03:25.359
<v Speaker 4>to business school.

0:03:25.760 --> 0:03:26.560
<v Speaker 3>Well, I still.

0:03:26.360 --> 0:03:28.359
<v Speaker 4>Needed to make money because I had student loans to

0:03:28.400 --> 0:03:31.200
<v Speaker 4>pay off. So I decided I wanted to stay and

0:03:31.240 --> 0:03:33.840
<v Speaker 4>that me led me to an opportunity on the trading

0:03:33.880 --> 0:03:38.880
<v Speaker 4>desk at First Boston, which really was an incredible opportunity

0:03:38.920 --> 0:03:41.480
<v Speaker 4>because that was my first real introduction to markets.

0:03:41.960 --> 0:03:44.720
<v Speaker 2>So what did working on the trading floor teach you

0:03:44.760 --> 0:03:45.560
<v Speaker 2>about markets?

0:03:46.360 --> 0:03:47.160
<v Speaker 3>So many things.

0:03:47.640 --> 0:03:49.680
<v Speaker 4>I think the first and most important thing is I

0:03:49.800 --> 0:03:54.240
<v Speaker 4>was there during the eighty seven Black Monday crash, and

0:03:54.560 --> 0:03:56.800
<v Speaker 4>I happened to be working in fixed income. So it

0:03:56.840 --> 0:04:00.600
<v Speaker 4>was a really interesting day because, of course that time,

0:04:00.720 --> 0:04:03.200
<v Speaker 4>the first Boston trading floor was on two different levels,

0:04:03.400 --> 0:04:05.600
<v Speaker 4>so you had all the fixed income was on one level,

0:04:05.680 --> 0:04:08.400
<v Speaker 4>all the equities was on a different level. And we

0:04:08.440 --> 0:04:11.320
<v Speaker 4>went dead silent in the first part of the day,

0:04:11.760 --> 0:04:14.920
<v Speaker 4>and suddenly people were starting to realize what was happening

0:04:14.960 --> 0:04:18.400
<v Speaker 4>in the market, crashing you know, twenty plus percent over

0:04:18.440 --> 0:04:20.479
<v Speaker 4>the course of you know, a day, which of course

0:04:20.520 --> 0:04:23.240
<v Speaker 4>today we've got calibrators that don't let that happen anymore.

0:04:23.560 --> 0:04:25.520
<v Speaker 4>But then all of a sudden, towards the end of

0:04:25.520 --> 0:04:28.800
<v Speaker 4>the day, things on the fixed income markets started going

0:04:28.880 --> 0:04:31.559
<v Speaker 4>crazy because now you had the FED coming out alan

0:04:31.600 --> 0:04:33.920
<v Speaker 4>Greenspan saying, you know, we're going to go ahead and

0:04:33.960 --> 0:04:36.919
<v Speaker 4>provide liquidity. We're going to make sure that there's you know,

0:04:37.040 --> 0:04:41.520
<v Speaker 4>active engagement to forestall any further you know, recessions or

0:04:41.520 --> 0:04:44.080
<v Speaker 4>other things that might be caused by this kind of

0:04:44.200 --> 0:04:46.920
<v Speaker 4>major crash. So I guess the first lesson I learned

0:04:47.120 --> 0:04:50.159
<v Speaker 4>was that there are winners and there are losers in

0:04:50.279 --> 0:04:52.880
<v Speaker 4>every market event, and it's better.

0:04:52.680 --> 0:04:53.760
<v Speaker 3>To be on the winning side.

0:04:53.800 --> 0:04:55.200
<v Speaker 4>So I happened to be at that time on the

0:04:55.240 --> 0:04:58.320
<v Speaker 4>bond side, which was the big winner that day. But

0:04:58.360 --> 0:05:00.000
<v Speaker 4>then I think the other thing that I learned was

0:05:00.160 --> 0:05:02.800
<v Speaker 4>that you have to be really careful about things like

0:05:02.880 --> 0:05:06.880
<v Speaker 4>moral hazard, because we became accustomed in that moment to

0:05:06.960 --> 0:05:10.360
<v Speaker 4>this idea of the fed put and I think many

0:05:10.440 --> 0:05:14.679
<v Speaker 4>years later, we are still wondering about what that really

0:05:14.720 --> 0:05:16.800
<v Speaker 4>does mean in terms of the reaction function.

0:05:17.200 --> 0:05:20.400
<v Speaker 1>So take me back to nineteen eighty seven for a second.

0:05:21.000 --> 0:05:23.840
<v Speaker 1>I was in grad school at the time, but I

0:05:23.880 --> 0:05:28.920
<v Speaker 1>can only imagine the fixed income trading floor. Were people

0:05:28.960 --> 0:05:32.120
<v Speaker 1>sitting around their feet on their desk, sipping lattes like

0:05:32.640 --> 0:05:34.960
<v Speaker 1>or did anyone say let's go down to the equity

0:05:35.360 --> 0:05:38.440
<v Speaker 1>floor and look at the chaos and carnate.

0:05:38.560 --> 0:05:39.960
<v Speaker 4>Well, the first thing we were doing, we were sitting

0:05:40.000 --> 0:05:42.279
<v Speaker 4>there doing the Crossford puzzles. There were lots of days,

0:05:42.320 --> 0:05:44.320
<v Speaker 4>and I was in unibond trading, so it was a

0:05:44.400 --> 0:05:47.640
<v Speaker 4>little bit of trade by appointment, very sleepy very sleepy

0:05:47.680 --> 0:05:51.400
<v Speaker 4>at times. Obviously, fixing come markets got a lot more

0:05:51.400 --> 0:05:54.560
<v Speaker 4>interesting throughout my career, but at that time it was

0:05:54.600 --> 0:05:56.840
<v Speaker 4>not uncommon. In the early morning we do a few

0:05:56.880 --> 0:05:58.880
<v Speaker 4>trades and then we'd have a little break, we'd go

0:05:58.960 --> 0:06:01.520
<v Speaker 4>get some lunch, we'd do a little crossboard puzzle.

0:06:01.800 --> 0:06:03.760
<v Speaker 3>So that day was different, right, So we had.

0:06:03.680 --> 0:06:06.640
<v Speaker 4>Our normal morning, but by the time you got to

0:06:06.720 --> 0:06:10.480
<v Speaker 4>the early afternoon, it's like, wow, something's really happening here,

0:06:10.480 --> 0:06:12.839
<v Speaker 4>and you started to see major moves in bond markets,

0:06:12.880 --> 0:06:16.040
<v Speaker 4>including in the MENI market, and so suddenly it was

0:06:16.200 --> 0:06:18.800
<v Speaker 4>a very different, more chaotic even on our floor.

0:06:19.000 --> 0:06:22.040
<v Speaker 1>So money was flying out of equities, did it roll

0:06:22.120 --> 0:06:25.039
<v Speaker 1>right into just safe harbor and body.

0:06:24.760 --> 0:06:26.839
<v Speaker 4>Well, cash was the big place, right, So we had

0:06:26.839 --> 0:06:31.880
<v Speaker 4>these variable rate demand notes offerings which were seven day

0:06:31.920 --> 0:06:34.680
<v Speaker 4>resets and so they acted like a form of cash.

0:06:34.760 --> 0:06:38.320
<v Speaker 4>So we saw massive demand almost immediately in that particular

0:06:38.360 --> 0:06:40.880
<v Speaker 4>market because it was a cash substitute. But with the

0:06:40.920 --> 0:06:43.040
<v Speaker 4>tax advantages, when.

0:06:42.960 --> 0:06:46.599
<v Speaker 2>Was the yield in eighty seven, Well.

0:06:46.400 --> 0:06:48.200
<v Speaker 4>On those it would have been in the sevens, probably

0:06:48.240 --> 0:06:51.240
<v Speaker 4>because you look at the spread and on a tax free.

0:06:51.080 --> 0:06:56.880
<v Speaker 1>Oh man, that's twelve exactly, exactly amazing Yeah, So before

0:06:57.560 --> 0:07:01.359
<v Speaker 1>after Credit Swiss, but before State Street, you had a

0:07:01.360 --> 0:07:04.880
<v Speaker 1>couple of really interesting positions. You were head of investments

0:07:05.200 --> 0:07:09.640
<v Speaker 1>at City Private Bank, You ran global investment products for Sei,

0:07:09.720 --> 0:07:13.880
<v Speaker 1>You led new business development at Melon Financial, and you

0:07:13.960 --> 0:07:17.280
<v Speaker 1>were chief investment strategist in Oppenheim Are Funds.

0:07:17.040 --> 0:07:18.480
<v Speaker 2>What's the throughput?

0:07:18.520 --> 0:07:20.600
<v Speaker 1>What's the common thread in all of those?

0:07:20.880 --> 0:07:24.040
<v Speaker 4>Well, some of those were personal. So at the time

0:07:24.120 --> 0:07:26.440
<v Speaker 4>that I was in New York, I met my then

0:07:26.760 --> 0:07:29.440
<v Speaker 4>to become a husband, where since divorced, but at the

0:07:29.440 --> 0:07:33.040
<v Speaker 4>time we were engaged and we ended up moving to Pittsburgh.

0:07:33.080 --> 0:07:35.240
<v Speaker 4>He got a job there and so I followed him there.

0:07:35.560 --> 0:07:39.400
<v Speaker 4>So the Parker hunter was really you know, personal reasons,

0:07:39.520 --> 0:07:42.240
<v Speaker 4>needed to find something to do totally different city. I

0:07:42.280 --> 0:07:44.240
<v Speaker 4>had grown up in Pittsburgh, so in some ways it

0:07:44.280 --> 0:07:46.280
<v Speaker 4>was a real blessing because that's where we ended up

0:07:46.280 --> 0:07:48.760
<v Speaker 4>having our two children, and so it was great to

0:07:48.800 --> 0:07:51.000
<v Speaker 4>have that support network at a time where I wanted

0:07:51.040 --> 0:07:55.040
<v Speaker 4>to continue to work through my early child childbearing years,

0:07:55.040 --> 0:07:58.000
<v Speaker 4>if you will. And then I think after that we

0:07:58.840 --> 0:08:02.160
<v Speaker 4>consolidated on the East Coast because we both realized and

0:08:02.200 --> 0:08:04.360
<v Speaker 4>he was in finance as well. He stated in Investment

0:08:04.400 --> 0:08:08.320
<v Speaker 4>banking that we wanted to have more opportunities in Pittsburgh's

0:08:08.320 --> 0:08:11.080
<v Speaker 4>a great city for many many reasons, but it's not

0:08:11.120 --> 0:08:13.160
<v Speaker 4>a place where you have a lot of opportunities in finance.

0:08:13.360 --> 0:08:15.920
<v Speaker 3>So we ended up settling then in Philadelphia.

0:08:16.320 --> 0:08:19.280
<v Speaker 4>So once again I was on the prow for a role,

0:08:19.760 --> 0:08:22.720
<v Speaker 4>and that led me to first Mail in Financial, where

0:08:22.720 --> 0:08:25.640
<v Speaker 4>I did business development and started from scratch, built a

0:08:25.640 --> 0:08:28.560
<v Speaker 4>book over a couple of years, and then got very

0:08:28.600 --> 0:08:31.880
<v Speaker 4>fortunate recruited by a head hunter to go to Sei Investments,

0:08:32.240 --> 0:08:34.400
<v Speaker 4>and I would say that that was where I really

0:08:34.440 --> 0:08:38.040
<v Speaker 4>got the bug in asset management. So Sei has two

0:08:38.120 --> 0:08:41.360
<v Speaker 4>primary business lines. At least at the time, they were

0:08:41.360 --> 0:08:44.160
<v Speaker 4>a back office outsourcing firm, and then they also had

0:08:44.240 --> 0:08:48.480
<v Speaker 4>a pretty meaningful investment management arm, which was an outgrowth

0:08:48.480 --> 0:08:51.640
<v Speaker 4>of their early consulting days. And so I was hired

0:08:51.679 --> 0:08:55.479
<v Speaker 4>to basically build the asset management franchise for their community

0:08:55.600 --> 0:08:59.720
<v Speaker 4>and regional banking division. And so I would travel around

0:08:59.720 --> 0:09:04.319
<v Speaker 4>the you know, meeting with trust officers and financial advisors

0:09:04.360 --> 0:09:07.800
<v Speaker 4>and other kinds of practitioners at these small regional and

0:09:07.800 --> 0:09:11.640
<v Speaker 4>community banks and encouraging them to transition their business from

0:09:11.880 --> 0:09:14.400
<v Speaker 4>you know, do it themselves buying individual stocks and.

0:09:14.320 --> 0:09:16.080
<v Speaker 3>Bonds into a platform like SEI.

0:09:16.280 --> 0:09:19.320
<v Speaker 4>So for me that was a really eye opening experience.

0:09:19.400 --> 0:09:22.199
<v Speaker 4>One it just really opened up my eyes to all

0:09:22.240 --> 0:09:25.560
<v Speaker 4>of America. I traveled literally around the around the country,

0:09:26.040 --> 0:09:28.680
<v Speaker 4>but also just looking at the different needs that these

0:09:28.760 --> 0:09:31.040
<v Speaker 4>types of clients had and how we could serve them.

0:09:31.640 --> 0:09:35.400
<v Speaker 1>So you starting with the client's objectives and perhaps there

0:09:35.440 --> 0:09:39.120
<v Speaker 1>are future liabilities, you have to determine what's the most

0:09:39.120 --> 0:09:45.680
<v Speaker 1>efficient combination of vehicles, risk exposure, what's that process like

0:09:45.880 --> 0:09:48.360
<v Speaker 1>and is that sort of the through line of all

0:09:48.360 --> 0:09:49.599
<v Speaker 1>these different positions.

0:09:49.760 --> 0:09:52.840
<v Speaker 4>So the major through line of all the positions is

0:09:52.880 --> 0:09:56.320
<v Speaker 4>that focusing on the client first. So maybe if I

0:09:56.360 --> 0:09:59.520
<v Speaker 4>can regress just a half a beat. One of my

0:10:00.120 --> 0:10:03.280
<v Speaker 4>most formative experiences was when I was an investment banker

0:10:03.360 --> 0:10:06.080
<v Speaker 4>at First Boston. We were working on a deal for

0:10:06.360 --> 0:10:10.040
<v Speaker 4>the Arlington Airport Authority and at the time they were

0:10:10.080 --> 0:10:12.760
<v Speaker 4>doing what was called a pre refunding where they were basically,

0:10:13.679 --> 0:10:15.760
<v Speaker 4>you know, issuing new debt to pay for old debt

0:10:16.240 --> 0:10:18.840
<v Speaker 4>and tried to reduce their debt servicing costs over time.

0:10:18.920 --> 0:10:22.480
<v Speaker 4>So pretty common activity, and at the time, we kept

0:10:22.559 --> 0:10:25.000
<v Speaker 4>running all these numbers and we kept showing the director

0:10:25.400 --> 0:10:29.520
<v Speaker 4>these amazing discounted net present value savings that she was

0:10:29.520 --> 0:10:32.319
<v Speaker 4>getting from the deal, and every time she would leave

0:10:32.360 --> 0:10:35.600
<v Speaker 4>the room and say, this is not what I expected,

0:10:35.640 --> 0:10:37.600
<v Speaker 4>This is not what I wanted, this is not the

0:10:37.640 --> 0:10:39.520
<v Speaker 4>deal that I need to have happen.

0:10:40.000 --> 0:10:43.199
<v Speaker 3>And you know, I'm the most junior person running the numbers.

0:10:43.200 --> 0:10:45.960
<v Speaker 4>We've got the vps, the mds and everybody else around

0:10:45.960 --> 0:10:49.840
<v Speaker 4>the room, and they're all men. Turns out and they're like,

0:10:49.880 --> 0:10:52.840
<v Speaker 4>she's crazy. You know what's wrong with this woman. We're

0:10:52.840 --> 0:10:56.480
<v Speaker 4>delivering amazing net present value savings. So I happened to

0:10:56.640 --> 0:10:59.360
<v Speaker 4>run into her in the ladies room and said, you know,

0:11:00.120 --> 0:11:02.719
<v Speaker 4>it really helped me if I understood better why this

0:11:02.800 --> 0:11:06.240
<v Speaker 4>isn't working for you. And it turned out that statutorially

0:11:06.840 --> 0:11:10.080
<v Speaker 4>that they could only keep the savings in the first

0:11:10.200 --> 0:11:13.560
<v Speaker 4>year for the authority, and then every subsequent years of

0:11:13.640 --> 0:11:17.800
<v Speaker 4>savings would basically reduce the tax leans against all the

0:11:19.360 --> 0:11:21.520
<v Speaker 4>or or the fees that they were collecting at the airport,

0:11:21.600 --> 0:11:24.280
<v Speaker 4>so they didn't actually get savings from anything after.

0:11:24.040 --> 0:11:24.640
<v Speaker 3>The first year.

0:11:24.840 --> 0:11:27.720
<v Speaker 4>I was like, okay, got that, we're going to frolload

0:11:27.760 --> 0:11:29.760
<v Speaker 4>it off we go, right, So that told me a

0:11:29.760 --> 0:11:32.600
<v Speaker 4>lot of lessons around one, Listen to the client.

0:11:32.679 --> 0:11:33.680
<v Speaker 3>Don't just think.

0:11:33.480 --> 0:11:36.560
<v Speaker 4>Because you're the expert, you know all the answers. They

0:11:36.600 --> 0:11:39.200
<v Speaker 4>might need something different that you haven't thought of. And

0:11:39.240 --> 0:11:40.960
<v Speaker 4>it also taught me that it doesn't have to be

0:11:41.000 --> 0:11:43.240
<v Speaker 4>the most experienced person in the room that's going to

0:11:43.360 --> 0:11:46.319
<v Speaker 4>have that insight, because it took me five minutes to

0:11:46.360 --> 0:11:48.720
<v Speaker 4>figure out what we'd spent meeting after meeting trying to

0:11:48.760 --> 0:11:52.120
<v Speaker 4>gel through. Nobody asked that question right because they just

0:11:52.160 --> 0:11:56.320
<v Speaker 4>thought they knew better because every other client wanted max

0:11:56.760 --> 0:12:00.520
<v Speaker 4>net present value savings period full stop. One of the

0:12:00.600 --> 0:12:03.120
<v Speaker 4>I think the big threads that went throughout my entire

0:12:03.120 --> 0:12:06.160
<v Speaker 4>career that sort of you got to really listen. Sometimes

0:12:06.160 --> 0:12:08.080
<v Speaker 4>the problem is not what you thought the problem was.

0:12:08.720 --> 0:12:11.439
<v Speaker 4>And sometimes the answer, even though it's not optimal, it's

0:12:11.480 --> 0:12:12.200
<v Speaker 4>the best answer.

0:12:12.760 --> 0:12:15.079
<v Speaker 1>So how did you find your way to global CIO

0:12:15.200 --> 0:12:15.840
<v Speaker 1>at State Street?

0:12:16.160 --> 0:12:20.600
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, Well, the good news is I once again sort

0:12:20.640 --> 0:12:22.920
<v Speaker 4>of another theme in my career once I sort of

0:12:22.960 --> 0:12:26.040
<v Speaker 4>got to more of a senior level was I mostly

0:12:26.360 --> 0:12:30.000
<v Speaker 4>got recruited because I would have, you know, exposure, and

0:12:30.760 --> 0:12:33.079
<v Speaker 4>I'd get sort of known in the industry, and so

0:12:33.160 --> 0:12:35.480
<v Speaker 4>I got a call out of the blue from a headhunter,

0:12:36.000 --> 0:12:37.640
<v Speaker 4>and at the time I was very happy I was

0:12:37.679 --> 0:12:40.040
<v Speaker 4>living in New York City. I was actually had gotten

0:12:40.160 --> 0:12:42.480
<v Speaker 4>divorced by that point in time, was living in Jersey

0:12:42.480 --> 0:12:45.520
<v Speaker 4>City and working in Lower Manhattan. So I had a fabulous,

0:12:45.600 --> 0:12:48.520
<v Speaker 4>you know, six minute commute across the Ferry.

0:12:48.240 --> 0:12:49.120
<v Speaker 3>Which I relished.

0:12:50.200 --> 0:12:53.000
<v Speaker 4>But I felt like maybe I didn't have the next

0:12:53.000 --> 0:12:55.959
<v Speaker 4>step available to me at Oppenheimer Funds, which.

0:12:55.800 --> 0:12:57.319
<v Speaker 3>Of course is now part of Invesco.

0:12:57.880 --> 0:13:00.560
<v Speaker 4>And so I got a call and they were looking

0:13:00.559 --> 0:13:05.959
<v Speaker 4>for someone who would run their investment professionals more from

0:13:06.000 --> 0:13:08.439
<v Speaker 4>the sales and commercial side. The people that they called

0:13:08.480 --> 0:13:12.120
<v Speaker 4>like portfolio strategists, so some people know these people as

0:13:12.200 --> 0:13:15.680
<v Speaker 4>client portfolio managers. But they also wanted somebody who could

0:13:15.679 --> 0:13:20.880
<v Speaker 4>be groomed for other opportunities within the investment organization. And

0:13:21.040 --> 0:13:22.839
<v Speaker 4>you know, one thing led to another. I did a

0:13:22.880 --> 0:13:26.600
<v Speaker 4>little flyer to Boston, had a couple of conversations, and

0:13:26.640 --> 0:13:30.120
<v Speaker 4>what I really liked about, you know, what State Street

0:13:30.120 --> 0:13:32.400
<v Speaker 4>had to offer at that point in time was it

0:13:32.480 --> 0:13:36.120
<v Speaker 4>was a very broad platform. They covered all asset classes.

0:13:36.840 --> 0:13:39.760
<v Speaker 4>State Street, as you know, had a prime position in

0:13:39.880 --> 0:13:42.560
<v Speaker 4>ETFs and indexing, which you know, this would have been

0:13:42.600 --> 0:13:46.800
<v Speaker 4>you know, twenty fourteen, and while certainly those instruments were

0:13:47.000 --> 0:13:51.599
<v Speaker 4>very widely available and adopted by investors, nothing like that

0:13:51.800 --> 0:13:53.560
<v Speaker 4>ramp up in terms of growth that we've seen over

0:13:53.600 --> 0:13:56.880
<v Speaker 4>the last decade plus. And so what I saw was

0:13:56.920 --> 0:14:00.400
<v Speaker 4>a place where I could have the ultimate toolkit working

0:14:00.440 --> 0:14:04.480
<v Speaker 4>with the ultimate global client base to solve problems for

0:14:04.520 --> 0:14:06.319
<v Speaker 4>those clients using my expertise.

0:14:06.960 --> 0:14:12.959
<v Speaker 1>And just as a point, State Street has the Spiders,

0:14:13.000 --> 0:14:16.800
<v Speaker 1>the Spy which is the biggest institutional ETF for the

0:14:16.840 --> 0:14:20.400
<v Speaker 1>S and P five hundred, and the Gold Spiders GLD

0:14:20.600 --> 0:14:23.960
<v Speaker 1>which obviously gold is way off its highs, but that's

0:14:24.000 --> 0:14:29.320
<v Speaker 1>another giant ETF. What is it like overseeing what really

0:14:29.360 --> 0:14:34.680
<v Speaker 1>has become the standard bearers for both index funds and ETFs.

0:14:34.800 --> 0:14:38.600
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, well, look, there's a lot of complexity as you

0:14:38.680 --> 0:14:41.680
<v Speaker 4>well know to running ETFs, but one of the benefits

0:14:42.200 --> 0:14:45.760
<v Speaker 4>is that it's one large pool of capital, so you

0:14:45.800 --> 0:14:48.760
<v Speaker 4>can run it as a single proposition if you will,

0:14:48.760 --> 0:14:52.080
<v Speaker 4>you have one account. So there's definitely complexity there, but

0:14:52.160 --> 0:14:57.400
<v Speaker 4>in some ways that's more straightforward than the separate accounts

0:14:57.440 --> 0:14:59.840
<v Speaker 4>book of business that we manage for institutional clients.

0:15:00.600 --> 0:15:02.119
<v Speaker 3>Literally every.

0:15:03.480 --> 0:15:08.000
<v Speaker 4>SMP exposure Russell exposure BARAG exposure is going to be

0:15:08.040 --> 0:15:11.760
<v Speaker 4>customized to that particular client. So what's really interesting about

0:15:11.760 --> 0:15:13.920
<v Speaker 4>our platform is that we have both these you know,

0:15:14.520 --> 0:15:18.040
<v Speaker 4>large scale funds if you will, ETFs, but we also

0:15:18.080 --> 0:15:21.720
<v Speaker 4>have this massive separate account separate account management business which

0:15:21.720 --> 0:15:25.720
<v Speaker 4>we can deliver to institut institutional clients at a very

0:15:25.800 --> 0:15:28.440
<v Speaker 4>price competitive and very customized way.

0:15:29.080 --> 0:15:29.880
<v Speaker 2>Really interesting.

0:15:30.560 --> 0:15:34.000
<v Speaker 1>Coming up, we continue our conversation with Lori Heinel, executive

0:15:34.080 --> 0:15:38.000
<v Speaker 1>vice president at State Street, discussing a day in the

0:15:38.040 --> 0:15:42.040
<v Speaker 1>life of a global CIO helping to oversee five point

0:15:42.080 --> 0:15:44.760
<v Speaker 1>seven trillion dollars in client assets.

0:15:45.120 --> 0:15:48.400
<v Speaker 2>I'm Barry Results. You're listening to Masters in Business on

0:15:48.520 --> 0:15:49.440
<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg Radio.

0:15:50.000 --> 0:15:53.200
<v Speaker 1>I'm Barry Redults. You're listening to Masters in Business on

0:15:53.240 --> 0:15:56.680
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Radio. My extra special guest today is Lori Heinel.

0:15:56.880 --> 0:16:00.920
<v Speaker 1>She is executive vice president and global Chief Investment Officer

0:16:01.280 --> 0:16:04.440
<v Speaker 1>at State Street, where she helps to oversee five point

0:16:04.480 --> 0:16:09.360
<v Speaker 1>seven trillion dollars in assets. So let's talk a little

0:16:09.360 --> 0:16:13.480
<v Speaker 1>bit about State Street. I recall way back when they

0:16:13.600 --> 0:16:16.400
<v Speaker 1>launched Spy I want to say that was thirty years

0:16:16.400 --> 0:16:21.120
<v Speaker 1>a something like that, the first US ETF, and they've

0:16:21.120 --> 0:16:25.800
<v Speaker 1>been a pioneer of indexing and ETFs. You know, ever since,

0:16:26.840 --> 0:16:29.840
<v Speaker 1>how do you look at the role of indexing in portfolios?

0:16:29.840 --> 0:16:33.480
<v Speaker 1>How has this changed not only over your tenure at

0:16:33.520 --> 0:16:35.280
<v Speaker 1>State Street, but over your entire career.

0:16:35.520 --> 0:16:38.640
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, well, I think the first thing I would say

0:16:38.840 --> 0:16:42.520
<v Speaker 4>is that once upon a time, it wasn't really possible

0:16:42.600 --> 0:16:45.360
<v Speaker 4>for people to get index replication, right. So that was

0:16:45.400 --> 0:16:49.640
<v Speaker 4>the great innovation of something like spy, where suddenly every

0:16:49.920 --> 0:16:54.520
<v Speaker 4>individual investor could buy one security and effectively get the market.

0:16:55.080 --> 0:16:57.480
<v Speaker 4>And for much of my career, particularly in the early

0:16:57.520 --> 0:16:59.960
<v Speaker 4>part of my career, it was all about beating the market.

0:17:00.160 --> 0:17:03.040
<v Speaker 4>Let's get the best active managers who could beat that index.

0:17:03.080 --> 0:17:07.000
<v Speaker 4>And what you find in for decades now is in

0:17:07.680 --> 0:17:10.640
<v Speaker 4>many markets, especially large cap us, it's.

0:17:10.480 --> 0:17:12.320
<v Speaker 3>Really challenging to do that net of fees.

0:17:12.720 --> 0:17:16.040
<v Speaker 4>And so I've thought for many decades now that this

0:17:16.200 --> 0:17:20.240
<v Speaker 4>combination of index exposure where it was really hard to

0:17:20.280 --> 0:17:23.959
<v Speaker 4>find managers who could consistently outperformed, coupled with maybe some

0:17:24.040 --> 0:17:28.679
<v Speaker 4>satellite managers or specialist managers or managers and other parts

0:17:28.680 --> 0:17:32.879
<v Speaker 4>of the market, think emerging markets, small cap adding your

0:17:33.080 --> 0:17:35.840
<v Speaker 4>risk budget and your active management budget there just made

0:17:35.840 --> 0:17:38.600
<v Speaker 4>a lot of sense So when I think about portfolio construction,

0:17:38.720 --> 0:17:41.879
<v Speaker 4>it really is I want to accomplish some sort of outcome,

0:17:41.960 --> 0:17:44.119
<v Speaker 4>some sort of risk based outcome for that client, but

0:17:44.200 --> 0:17:45.680
<v Speaker 4>I also want to do it in a way that

0:17:46.040 --> 0:17:51.160
<v Speaker 4>covers fees, provides opportunities for alpha or outperformance, but does

0:17:51.200 --> 0:17:52.920
<v Speaker 4>so in a kind of measured way.

0:17:53.680 --> 0:17:57.680
<v Speaker 1>So stage treats or record inflows in twenty twenty five

0:17:58.200 --> 0:18:02.600
<v Speaker 1>into I think this is the ETF and index business.

0:18:02.880 --> 0:18:06.560
<v Speaker 1>One hundred and eighty billion net inflows, management fees up

0:18:06.600 --> 0:18:09.080
<v Speaker 1>thirteen percent, and engross growth.

0:18:09.720 --> 0:18:11.200
<v Speaker 2>Where do you see the growth.

0:18:10.920 --> 0:18:15.160
<v Speaker 1>Coming from in the space I keep hearing indexing is over.

0:18:15.240 --> 0:18:18.400
<v Speaker 1>ETFs have had their day, and yet year after year

0:18:18.440 --> 0:18:19.840
<v Speaker 1>it seems to be the big winner.

0:18:20.160 --> 0:18:22.760
<v Speaker 4>Well, I think there's still lots of room for indexing

0:18:22.800 --> 0:18:25.520
<v Speaker 4>to run, because if you think about places like fixed income,

0:18:25.960 --> 0:18:29.080
<v Speaker 4>we've only started to scratch the surface relative to what

0:18:29.119 --> 0:18:32.160
<v Speaker 4>you see on the equity side of things. So increasingly

0:18:32.280 --> 0:18:36.240
<v Speaker 4>or even seeing quote unquote exotic fixed income things like

0:18:36.280 --> 0:18:40.280
<v Speaker 4>emerging debt, things like high yield, which we've had index

0:18:40.320 --> 0:18:43.439
<v Speaker 4>products for quite a long time, become much more adopted

0:18:43.520 --> 0:18:45.800
<v Speaker 4>by clients globally because they see that as a great

0:18:45.840 --> 0:18:48.679
<v Speaker 4>way to get access again to a market in a

0:18:48.680 --> 0:18:51.000
<v Speaker 4>way that they can really understand the risk and manage

0:18:51.000 --> 0:18:53.320
<v Speaker 4>it within the portfolio context. So I think there's still

0:18:53.359 --> 0:18:55.879
<v Speaker 4>plenty of room for indexing to run. I think the

0:18:55.880 --> 0:18:58.960
<v Speaker 4>other thing is we've seen a major shift in terms

0:18:59.040 --> 0:19:03.320
<v Speaker 4>of the client segmentation, if you will. So once upon time,

0:19:03.400 --> 0:19:06.240
<v Speaker 4>the big investors were the large institutional investors, you know,

0:19:06.280 --> 0:19:10.399
<v Speaker 4>the defined benefit plans, sovereign wealth funds. Those investors are

0:19:10.400 --> 0:19:13.880
<v Speaker 4>still important, but increasingly the net incremental dollar is coming

0:19:13.960 --> 0:19:17.760
<v Speaker 4>from the retail client, whether it's through defined contribution or

0:19:18.480 --> 0:19:22.159
<v Speaker 4>rollovers or you know, other kinds of assets that they

0:19:22.200 --> 0:19:25.920
<v Speaker 4>might have, And that's happening globally, and those investors are

0:19:26.240 --> 0:19:30.119
<v Speaker 4>really early to the ETF if you will, journey and

0:19:30.160 --> 0:19:33.000
<v Speaker 4>have lots of opportunity there. And then most recently you'll

0:19:33.000 --> 0:19:35.680
<v Speaker 4>have seen that we were selected for the Trump accounts

0:19:35.720 --> 0:19:39.400
<v Speaker 4>as the default investment. So that's another vector of investor

0:19:39.480 --> 0:19:41.840
<v Speaker 4>that we think comes online into the indexing platforms.

0:19:42.160 --> 0:19:45.520
<v Speaker 1>Really really interesting. I want to I want you to

0:19:45.560 --> 0:19:52.760
<v Speaker 1>push back on my understanding of indexing in equity and

0:19:52.840 --> 0:19:56.320
<v Speaker 1>indexing in fixed income. So here's what I have been

0:19:56.400 --> 0:20:00.679
<v Speaker 1>led to believe over many, many years of acad study

0:20:00.680 --> 0:20:06.480
<v Speaker 1>and research and lots and lots of great academic analysis.

0:20:07.080 --> 0:20:11.320
<v Speaker 1>It's really really hard to beat the market through active

0:20:11.359 --> 0:20:16.600
<v Speaker 1>management of equities. It's relatively easy to beat the market

0:20:17.040 --> 0:20:22.359
<v Speaker 1>through reducing risk, changing duration, reduced improving credit quality through

0:20:22.440 --> 0:20:27.199
<v Speaker 1>active management of fixed income. How accurate or inaccurate are

0:20:27.240 --> 0:20:28.480
<v Speaker 1>those statements.

0:20:28.080 --> 0:20:30.040
<v Speaker 4>So this is a classic of it depends on how

0:20:30.080 --> 0:20:33.560
<v Speaker 4>you think about the problem, right, So first, it is

0:20:33.840 --> 0:20:38.320
<v Speaker 4>absolutely empirically true that in many spaces and equities, the

0:20:38.359 --> 0:20:41.040
<v Speaker 4>average manager just does not outperform. We have all those

0:20:41.040 --> 0:20:45.720
<v Speaker 4>studies from all the various you know, research that that

0:20:45.800 --> 0:20:50.239
<v Speaker 4>substantiate's at in fixed income. To your point, there is

0:20:50.320 --> 0:20:53.600
<v Speaker 4>more evidence that active managers can add value. But what's

0:20:53.640 --> 0:20:56.320
<v Speaker 4>been interesting over the last decade or so is this

0:20:56.520 --> 0:21:00.520
<v Speaker 4>rise of better understanding of factor based investing at a

0:21:00.560 --> 0:21:03.439
<v Speaker 4>lot of fixed income factors. As I mean, factor investing

0:21:03.480 --> 0:21:06.000
<v Speaker 4>has been around for a long time decades, but within

0:21:06.040 --> 0:21:08.119
<v Speaker 4>fixed income in particular, I think we've gotten more and

0:21:08.160 --> 0:21:12.560
<v Speaker 4>more sophisticated models that help us to disaggregate where those

0:21:12.560 --> 0:21:15.320
<v Speaker 4>returns are coming from. And what we found is that

0:21:15.440 --> 0:21:18.680
<v Speaker 4>a lot of those active alphas, if you will, out

0:21:18.680 --> 0:21:20.800
<v Speaker 4>of fixed income managers are really one of two things.

0:21:20.960 --> 0:21:24.560
<v Speaker 4>They go down in credit quality or the extenduration, and

0:21:24.600 --> 0:21:28.800
<v Speaker 4>when you actually neutralize for those two things, suddenly the

0:21:28.840 --> 0:21:32.840
<v Speaker 4>active fixed income managers don't look quite as heroic as

0:21:32.840 --> 0:21:35.960
<v Speaker 4>they did before you adjust for those things. So one

0:21:35.960 --> 0:21:38.280
<v Speaker 4>of the big trends that we're really leaning into in

0:21:38.320 --> 0:21:42.920
<v Speaker 4>fixed income is that applying that factor based lens to

0:21:43.000 --> 0:21:46.760
<v Speaker 4>fixed income to be able to more stylize the portfolio,

0:21:47.400 --> 0:21:50.199
<v Speaker 4>but do so at a very competitive feed level and

0:21:50.320 --> 0:21:55.959
<v Speaker 4>deliver alpha, but alpha through indexing plus some factor exposures

0:21:56.080 --> 0:21:59.480
<v Speaker 4>versus kind of just classic fundamental bottoms up kind of

0:21:59.600 --> 0:22:00.520
<v Speaker 4>secure selection.

0:22:01.160 --> 0:22:02.399
<v Speaker 2>Really interesting.

0:22:02.920 --> 0:22:06.800
<v Speaker 1>So what's kind of fascinating about your role is much

0:22:06.840 --> 0:22:10.880
<v Speaker 1>of the capital you oversee is deliberately designed to not

0:22:11.119 --> 0:22:13.080
<v Speaker 1>take an active view.

0:22:13.680 --> 0:22:15.720
<v Speaker 2>What does it mean to be a CIO at a

0:22:15.760 --> 0:22:18.400
<v Speaker 2>firm like that? Where do your views show up?

0:22:18.480 --> 0:22:18.800
<v Speaker 3>Yeah?

0:22:19.320 --> 0:22:22.080
<v Speaker 4>Well, the first thing I need to just make sure

0:22:22.119 --> 0:22:23.520
<v Speaker 4>everybody understands is that we.

0:22:23.480 --> 0:22:25.800
<v Speaker 3>Do have active capabilities as well.

0:22:25.800 --> 0:22:29.840
<v Speaker 4>They're certainly not the massive amount of the assets that

0:22:29.840 --> 0:22:32.400
<v Speaker 4>we oversee, but if you look at our fixed income,

0:22:32.800 --> 0:22:36.439
<v Speaker 4>equity and multi asset class strategies that are active in

0:22:36.480 --> 0:22:39.440
<v Speaker 4>some way, that's a couple hundred billion dollars, so it's

0:22:39.440 --> 0:22:42.439
<v Speaker 4>not tiny. It would still make us a pretty significant

0:22:42.440 --> 0:22:44.720
<v Speaker 4>player in this market even if that's all we did.

0:22:45.560 --> 0:22:47.879
<v Speaker 4>So we do believe that there are opportunities for active

0:22:47.880 --> 0:22:50.560
<v Speaker 4>managers to outperform. It's just one of those things where

0:22:50.880 --> 0:22:53.360
<v Speaker 4>you need to understand, you know, how much to allocate

0:22:53.400 --> 0:22:56.800
<v Speaker 4>to those active managers, make sure you're picking the very best,

0:22:56.840 --> 0:22:59.520
<v Speaker 4>because obviously there are some that cannot perform. But I

0:22:59.520 --> 0:23:03.560
<v Speaker 4>think from a view perspective, it's actually very valuable having

0:23:03.600 --> 0:23:06.040
<v Speaker 4>all the different perspectives at the table. We have a

0:23:06.119 --> 0:23:09.880
<v Speaker 4>chief economists and chief geopolitical analyst. They really help us

0:23:09.920 --> 0:23:14.040
<v Speaker 4>with what are the expected growth rates around different economies

0:23:14.040 --> 0:23:17.199
<v Speaker 4>in the world, what are inflation expectations going to look like,

0:23:17.760 --> 0:23:20.920
<v Speaker 4>what's the sort of backdrop against which we're against which

0:23:20.920 --> 0:23:23.080
<v Speaker 4>we're trying to invest, so that we have some sense

0:23:23.119 --> 0:23:26.080
<v Speaker 4>of our rates likely to move up or down? You know,

0:23:26.240 --> 0:23:29.639
<v Speaker 4>our is growth likely to be supportive for earnings? Some

0:23:29.680 --> 0:23:32.520
<v Speaker 4>of those sort of macro factor setting types of things.

0:23:32.880 --> 0:23:35.480
<v Speaker 4>And then I think within our active teams, and we

0:23:35.520 --> 0:23:38.680
<v Speaker 4>have a multi asset class team in particular, they're deploying capital.

0:23:38.720 --> 0:23:44.440
<v Speaker 4>They're deploying capital indequities, fixed income, sub sectors, commodities, gold, cash,

0:23:44.480 --> 0:23:47.399
<v Speaker 4>and so they have a view on which of those

0:23:47.800 --> 0:23:49.800
<v Speaker 4>areas are going to do best. And obviously we have

0:23:49.880 --> 0:23:53.679
<v Speaker 4>lots of discussion amongst ourselves about whether, you know, I

0:23:53.840 --> 0:23:56.399
<v Speaker 4>personally agree with those views or don't agree with those views,

0:23:56.640 --> 0:23:59.159
<v Speaker 4>But ultimately it really is a committee that gets together

0:23:59.560 --> 0:24:03.199
<v Speaker 4>and makes those macro calls. And then within our individual

0:24:03.240 --> 0:24:08.240
<v Speaker 4>active capabilities we've got fundamental and quantitative equity and fixed income.

0:24:08.600 --> 0:24:13.200
<v Speaker 4>Those portfolio managers are basically charged with doing the hard

0:24:13.240 --> 0:24:16.560
<v Speaker 4>work to figure out how they are going to generate alpha,

0:24:16.600 --> 0:24:19.240
<v Speaker 4>and we've been quite successful. About sixty five percent of

0:24:19.280 --> 0:24:21.960
<v Speaker 4>our strategies are out performing on a trailing one three

0:24:22.000 --> 0:24:24.080
<v Speaker 4>year basis really interesting.

0:24:24.119 --> 0:24:29.920
<v Speaker 1>You mentioned a variety of different colleagues and portfolio managers

0:24:29.920 --> 0:24:33.560
<v Speaker 1>and economists and strategists, but really it's just the tip

0:24:33.560 --> 0:24:36.040
<v Speaker 1>of the iceberg. You lead a team of over six

0:24:36.160 --> 0:24:41.000
<v Speaker 1>hundred investment professionals and they're located around the world. How

0:24:41.000 --> 0:24:47.120
<v Speaker 1>do you keep an investment organization that large and that dispersed,

0:24:48.320 --> 0:24:51.760
<v Speaker 1>all on the same page, all coherent, all moving together.

0:24:51.920 --> 0:24:55.359
<v Speaker 4>Well, I have a lot of help, So I think

0:24:55.880 --> 0:24:59.240
<v Speaker 4>any manager will appreciate that the most important job. You

0:24:59.280 --> 0:25:01.400
<v Speaker 4>do it once you're in a leadership position like mine,

0:25:01.440 --> 0:25:03.920
<v Speaker 4>as you hire well right, and you let your good

0:25:03.960 --> 0:25:07.000
<v Speaker 4>people do their work, and you pressure test their thesis,

0:25:07.000 --> 0:25:09.439
<v Speaker 4>and you make sure, as you said, that everybody's singing

0:25:09.440 --> 0:25:11.119
<v Speaker 4>from the same hymn book where they need to be,

0:25:12.000 --> 0:25:14.359
<v Speaker 4>or that they're doing their own thing when that's appropriate,

0:25:15.040 --> 0:25:17.680
<v Speaker 4>and you provide a sort of guidance and oversight opportunities

0:25:17.720 --> 0:25:19.679
<v Speaker 4>to collaborate all those good things.

0:25:20.520 --> 0:25:21.200
<v Speaker 3>You know, our.

0:25:21.040 --> 0:25:23.640
<v Speaker 4>Business in one sense is a simple business. We're here

0:25:23.680 --> 0:25:26.239
<v Speaker 4>to serve our clients. We have all the tools at

0:25:26.240 --> 0:25:30.359
<v Speaker 4>our disposal to serve our clients. We you know, gather

0:25:30.480 --> 0:25:35.480
<v Speaker 4>together routinely to develop thematics and market outlooks and other

0:25:35.600 --> 0:25:38.920
<v Speaker 4>kinds of collateral that both myself and the other senior

0:25:38.960 --> 0:25:41.680
<v Speaker 4>executives can take to our clients as ways to engage

0:25:41.680 --> 0:25:44.760
<v Speaker 4>with them and demonstrate our facility with markets and our

0:25:45.080 --> 0:25:48.280
<v Speaker 4>capabilities and insights. And then you know, basically, I let

0:25:48.320 --> 0:25:50.119
<v Speaker 4>the team do what it does best, which is deliver

0:25:50.200 --> 0:25:50.720
<v Speaker 4>the results.

0:25:50.920 --> 0:25:53.200
<v Speaker 1>So walk us through a day in the life of

0:25:53.240 --> 0:25:57.080
<v Speaker 1>a global CIO with five point seven trillion dollars. I

0:25:57.119 --> 0:26:00.840
<v Speaker 1>would imagine that day to day of fans are just

0:26:01.359 --> 0:26:02.280
<v Speaker 1>so overwhelming.

0:26:02.800 --> 0:26:04.959
<v Speaker 2>No, two days really look exactly alike.

0:26:05.200 --> 0:26:08.760
<v Speaker 4>No, it's a bit of a crazy day. It's one

0:26:08.800 --> 0:26:10.879
<v Speaker 4>of the things I love about the job. But I

0:26:10.920 --> 0:26:12.600
<v Speaker 4>would say the first thing is I spend a lot

0:26:12.600 --> 0:26:15.959
<v Speaker 4>of time with clients. So in the first quarter of

0:26:16.040 --> 0:26:20.600
<v Speaker 4>twenty twenty six, I was on forty five planes traveling

0:26:20.600 --> 0:26:27.120
<v Speaker 4>around the globe Middle East luckily before the war started, Asia, Europe,

0:26:27.200 --> 0:26:30.760
<v Speaker 4>multiple times across the US as well. So I spend

0:26:30.800 --> 0:26:33.040
<v Speaker 4>a lot of time talking to clients of all types.

0:26:33.080 --> 0:26:36.360
<v Speaker 4>So we have, as I mentioned earlier, a large institutional

0:26:36.560 --> 0:26:39.760
<v Speaker 4>base of business that some of the largest central banks,

0:26:39.800 --> 0:26:42.639
<v Speaker 4>sovereign wealth funds across the globe. But we also have

0:26:42.720 --> 0:26:45.879
<v Speaker 4>a lot of private clients. We have private banks that

0:26:45.920 --> 0:26:48.520
<v Speaker 4>we work with, you know, large broker dealers that we

0:26:48.560 --> 0:26:51.760
<v Speaker 4>work with. Sometimes I'll even meet directly with end clients

0:26:51.760 --> 0:26:55.200
<v Speaker 4>depending upon the forum. So's I would say that's probably

0:26:55.240 --> 0:26:58.360
<v Speaker 4>a good chunk of my time. I do a lot

0:26:58.359 --> 0:27:01.200
<v Speaker 4>of time, or spend a lot of I'm rather on

0:27:01.320 --> 0:27:04.760
<v Speaker 4>things like strategy. So we have an executive management team

0:27:04.800 --> 0:27:08.200
<v Speaker 4>which gets together and talks about from a business standpoint,

0:27:08.240 --> 0:27:11.360
<v Speaker 4>where do we want to emphasize, what does that require

0:27:11.480 --> 0:27:13.920
<v Speaker 4>all of us to do so for investments, one of

0:27:13.960 --> 0:27:16.120
<v Speaker 4>our big efforts at the last couple of years.

0:27:15.880 --> 0:27:16.680
<v Speaker 3>Has been innovation.

0:27:17.640 --> 0:27:20.600
<v Speaker 4>Since Ya Shin Hung joined us as CEO in twenty

0:27:20.680 --> 0:27:24.720
<v Speaker 4>twenty two, we've been very aggressive in terms of launching

0:27:24.760 --> 0:27:28.639
<v Speaker 4>new products in new spaces, including partnerships with firms like

0:27:28.680 --> 0:27:32.720
<v Speaker 4>Bridgewater and Apollo. So a lot of the strategy for

0:27:32.840 --> 0:27:34.359
<v Speaker 4>what do we want to do to be relevant to

0:27:34.440 --> 0:27:38.480
<v Speaker 4>our clients globally, Ultimately it comes from the investment team's

0:27:38.520 --> 0:27:42.120
<v Speaker 4>ability to execute against those mandates, and so we spend

0:27:42.119 --> 0:27:44.119
<v Speaker 4>a lot of time talking about what kind of resources

0:27:44.119 --> 0:27:45.920
<v Speaker 4>do we need, what kind of research can we do

0:27:46.720 --> 0:27:50.160
<v Speaker 4>that addresses the client problem we're trying to solve. How

0:27:50.200 --> 0:27:53.680
<v Speaker 4>do we partner effectively with these third parties where they

0:27:53.760 --> 0:27:59.080
<v Speaker 4>might contribute some content, we ultimately own the portfolio construction,

0:27:59.160 --> 0:28:01.639
<v Speaker 4>and we might have our own own research that we

0:28:01.680 --> 0:28:04.359
<v Speaker 4>want to bring into the mix. And so one plus

0:28:04.400 --> 0:28:07.480
<v Speaker 4>one equals three, but ultimately we're accountable to that for

0:28:07.520 --> 0:28:11.280
<v Speaker 4>our clients. And then talent. I mentioned earlier that you know,

0:28:11.320 --> 0:28:14.080
<v Speaker 4>you need to have really good people. So we just

0:28:14.119 --> 0:28:16.920
<v Speaker 4>came off of our annual talent reviews where I get

0:28:16.960 --> 0:28:19.959
<v Speaker 4>all my CIOs in a room we work with our

0:28:20.119 --> 0:28:24.200
<v Speaker 4>HR business partner, we go through our top talent succession planning.

0:28:24.920 --> 0:28:27.919
<v Speaker 4>What kind of vectors do we see coming on the horizon?

0:28:28.520 --> 0:28:31.120
<v Speaker 4>AI right now is a huge theme. So how are

0:28:31.160 --> 0:28:35.840
<v Speaker 4>we readying our teams to be good stewards and users

0:28:35.880 --> 0:28:38.400
<v Speaker 4>of AI and adopt that in ways that we can

0:28:38.680 --> 0:28:42.160
<v Speaker 4>you know, make better efficiencies and better judgments. And then

0:28:42.200 --> 0:28:45.600
<v Speaker 4>the last part of it is there's a lot of reading, listening,

0:28:46.280 --> 0:28:50.360
<v Speaker 4>consuming information. Again, I am expected to, you know, be

0:28:50.560 --> 0:28:54.640
<v Speaker 4>the face of State Street investment management from a client standpoint,

0:28:54.680 --> 0:28:56.720
<v Speaker 4>and so I didn't know what's going on in the world,

0:28:56.760 --> 0:28:58.720
<v Speaker 4>and as you know, the world's been a really crazy

0:28:58.760 --> 0:28:59.480
<v Speaker 4>place this year.

0:29:00.040 --> 0:29:07.560
<v Speaker 1>It certainly has. You mentioned Apollo and Bridgewater. The criticism

0:29:07.880 --> 0:29:10.920
<v Speaker 1>about privates and things like four oh one k's or

0:29:11.400 --> 0:29:15.200
<v Speaker 1>target date products is they're expensive, all right, so you

0:29:15.200 --> 0:29:19.440
<v Speaker 1>don't have the liquidity issue, but they're complex. What's the

0:29:19.480 --> 0:29:22.200
<v Speaker 1>case for putting private assets into a four oh one k?

0:29:22.880 --> 0:29:24.760
<v Speaker 4>I think there are a couple of things, you know,

0:29:24.840 --> 0:29:26.960
<v Speaker 4>first and foremost, if you look at the equity side

0:29:26.960 --> 0:29:31.080
<v Speaker 4>of the ledger, more and more capital creation is happening

0:29:31.200 --> 0:29:35.880
<v Speaker 4>in private markets, meaning pre ipopah I mean back in

0:29:35.920 --> 0:29:37.840
<v Speaker 4>my early part of my career, and I'm sure yours

0:29:37.840 --> 0:29:41.400
<v Speaker 4>as well. If a company came public at one hundred million,

0:29:41.440 --> 0:29:43.800
<v Speaker 4>that was a big number, let alone like a billion,

0:29:43.920 --> 0:29:48.000
<v Speaker 4>that was a well now yeah, so so fast forward,

0:29:48.040 --> 0:29:50.600
<v Speaker 4>you know, and now we're talking literally in hundreds of

0:29:50.680 --> 0:29:52.840
<v Speaker 4>not you know, hundreds of billions or even a trillion dollars.

0:29:53.160 --> 0:29:56.800
<v Speaker 4>So if you think about just that magnitude of opportunity

0:29:57.280 --> 0:30:00.480
<v Speaker 4>that's lost if you can't participate in as mark, it's

0:30:00.520 --> 0:30:03.240
<v Speaker 4>just incredible. So that's number one. If you look on

0:30:03.240 --> 0:30:06.360
<v Speaker 4>the fixed income side, I think you know, we've launched Prive,

0:30:06.440 --> 0:30:10.840
<v Speaker 4>which is a collaboration with Apollo, and there again, this

0:30:10.880 --> 0:30:15.200
<v Speaker 4>is investment grade credit that just happens to be issued

0:30:15.280 --> 0:30:18.680
<v Speaker 4>in private markets instead of public markets for all manner

0:30:18.680 --> 0:30:21.160
<v Speaker 4>of reasons. It could be that the company wanted to

0:30:21.160 --> 0:30:23.640
<v Speaker 4>move quickly, or they didn't want to go through the

0:30:23.960 --> 0:30:26.960
<v Speaker 4>you know, the filing process, or there might be some

0:30:27.000 --> 0:30:30.560
<v Speaker 4>specific assets that they want to collateralize with the loan.

0:30:30.640 --> 0:30:35.000
<v Speaker 4>And so those are really high quality investment grade assets,

0:30:35.000 --> 0:30:38.120
<v Speaker 4>but they collect a premium for an investor because they're

0:30:38.120 --> 0:30:39.520
<v Speaker 4>done through the private.

0:30:39.200 --> 0:30:40.560
<v Speaker 3>Markets instead of the public markets.

0:30:40.640 --> 0:30:43.479
<v Speaker 4>So to us those are just natural extensions of what

0:30:43.520 --> 0:30:44.680
<v Speaker 4>clients should have access to.

0:30:45.400 --> 0:30:48.880
<v Speaker 1>It makes a lot of sense. And we mentioned earlier

0:30:49.040 --> 0:30:55.480
<v Speaker 1>GLD what an incredible run gold had in the twenty tens,

0:30:55.680 --> 0:30:58.760
<v Speaker 1>pretty much right up through last year. It's since so

0:30:58.840 --> 0:31:01.840
<v Speaker 1>off on about twenty twenty three percent something like that.

0:31:02.920 --> 0:31:07.440
<v Speaker 1>When you were thinking about equity and fixed income and alternatives,

0:31:07.880 --> 0:31:12.480
<v Speaker 1>and you see a medal which has been widely traded

0:31:12.520 --> 0:31:16.640
<v Speaker 1>for thousands of years, can I say ten thousand years

0:31:16.880 --> 0:31:20.440
<v Speaker 1>that some people have been called barbaric? How do you

0:31:20.520 --> 0:31:27.360
<v Speaker 1>contextualize how GLD trades and what is driving the psychology

0:31:27.360 --> 0:31:30.160
<v Speaker 1>of those investors versus all these other asset classes.

0:31:30.680 --> 0:31:32.840
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, So again I want to take us back a

0:31:32.840 --> 0:31:37.239
<v Speaker 4>little while, because we were advocating for a position in

0:31:37.280 --> 0:31:41.880
<v Speaker 4>gold and client portfolios for six seven years, so long

0:31:41.960 --> 0:31:45.280
<v Speaker 4>before we had this run up to five thousand and plus.

0:31:46.120 --> 0:31:48.640
<v Speaker 4>And the basis at the time obviously, interest rates were

0:31:48.760 --> 0:31:51.800
<v Speaker 4>very low, so you didn't have an opportunity cost. Today

0:31:51.840 --> 0:31:55.400
<v Speaker 4>that's different, but what we were seeing was that fixed

0:31:55.440 --> 0:31:59.640
<v Speaker 4>income wasn't likely to play the role if historically played

0:32:00.080 --> 0:32:04.440
<v Speaker 4>or supplying portfolios. You had no income, you likely didn't

0:32:04.440 --> 0:32:07.600
<v Speaker 4>have a lot of diversification. Benefit from fixed income, because

0:32:07.640 --> 0:32:10.080
<v Speaker 4>how much lower could rates go, you know, if the

0:32:10.200 --> 0:32:13.239
<v Speaker 4>market crashed, and we weren't even sure it was going

0:32:13.280 --> 0:32:16.600
<v Speaker 4>to provide capital preservation, and we were right if you

0:32:16.640 --> 0:32:18.440
<v Speaker 4>fast forward a couple of years. That turned out to

0:32:18.440 --> 0:32:20.480
<v Speaker 4>be a bit of a challenge as well, and so

0:32:20.560 --> 0:32:23.880
<v Speaker 4>we were looking for other ways or other exposures to

0:32:23.880 --> 0:32:26.920
<v Speaker 4>put into the portfolio that would provide some of that

0:32:27.280 --> 0:32:32.080
<v Speaker 4>cocktail of diversification benefit that fixed income just wasn't likely

0:32:32.120 --> 0:32:34.200
<v Speaker 4>to provide. And so we set on gold for lots

0:32:34.200 --> 0:32:37.240
<v Speaker 4>of reasons. And oh, by the way, we were also

0:32:37.400 --> 0:32:40.480
<v Speaker 4>writing a lot at that point in time about concerns

0:32:40.880 --> 0:32:44.440
<v Speaker 4>with fiscal profligacy and the fact that the US dept

0:32:44.440 --> 0:32:47.280
<v Speaker 4>Burden was getting large, and this is you know, several

0:32:47.320 --> 0:32:51.440
<v Speaker 4>years ago. Now it's obviously much bigger now, and gold,

0:32:51.560 --> 0:32:54.080
<v Speaker 4>to us was kind of an interesting asset that would

0:32:54.120 --> 0:32:57.600
<v Speaker 4>benefit from any kind of debasement concerns or any of

0:32:57.600 --> 0:33:01.120
<v Speaker 4>these other sort of issues. So we advocated clients to

0:33:01.160 --> 0:33:03.600
<v Speaker 4>add it many years ago. Of course, very few of

0:33:03.600 --> 0:33:06.760
<v Speaker 4>those clients did so until it went up to you know,

0:33:06.840 --> 0:33:09.880
<v Speaker 4>three thousand, then suddenly started to see more interests, and

0:33:09.920 --> 0:33:13.040
<v Speaker 4>then four thousand, you start to see a bit more interest.

0:33:13.680 --> 0:33:16.160
<v Speaker 4>But I would say gold still plays an important role

0:33:16.160 --> 0:33:16.840
<v Speaker 4>in a portfolio.

0:33:16.920 --> 0:33:19.560
<v Speaker 3>It doesn't have to be a huge exposure.

0:33:20.040 --> 0:33:24.120
<v Speaker 4>It protects against a number of different tail risks in

0:33:24.200 --> 0:33:28.960
<v Speaker 4>a portfolio. Yes, it's expensive from a carry cost standpoint

0:33:29.000 --> 0:33:31.080
<v Speaker 4>right now, given the give up and fixed income, but

0:33:31.400 --> 0:33:34.520
<v Speaker 4>we still have in our strategic allocation portfolios, you know,

0:33:34.720 --> 0:33:37.840
<v Speaker 4>a couple percent allocated gold because we do think that

0:33:37.920 --> 0:33:41.560
<v Speaker 4>it provides very distinctive benefits in certain kinds of crises.

0:33:41.920 --> 0:33:45.120
<v Speaker 1>So today we have bitcoin cut in half from the

0:33:45.160 --> 0:33:50.200
<v Speaker 1>high and a lot of the narrative around crypto sounds

0:33:50.280 --> 0:33:54.040
<v Speaker 1>like sort of a digital refresh of the historic narratives

0:33:54.080 --> 0:33:54.720
<v Speaker 1>around gold.

0:33:55.440 --> 0:33:56.880
<v Speaker 2>How do you think about crypto?

0:33:57.000 --> 0:34:01.640
<v Speaker 1>Some of your competitors have aggressively pushed into it, others

0:34:02.080 --> 0:34:06.440
<v Speaker 1>have very much steered clear. It might be a little

0:34:06.480 --> 0:34:09.719
<v Speaker 1>early to declare which side is winning, although anything that

0:34:09.760 --> 0:34:13.000
<v Speaker 1>gets cut in half kind of comes with a little

0:34:13.040 --> 0:34:15.400
<v Speaker 1>bit of a black mark on it. How do you

0:34:15.440 --> 0:34:17.040
<v Speaker 1>think about crypto these days?

0:34:17.239 --> 0:34:20.960
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, So I want to just first share a story.

0:34:21.760 --> 0:34:24.520
<v Speaker 4>So back in twenty twelve, so this is many years

0:34:24.560 --> 0:34:29.719
<v Speaker 4>ago now, my daughter and her boyfriend started mining bitcoin,

0:34:30.320 --> 0:34:32.360
<v Speaker 4>and of course being in this industry.

0:34:32.400 --> 0:34:33.839
<v Speaker 3>I thought they were crazy.

0:34:33.560 --> 0:34:35.200
<v Speaker 2>Like, you can't just was it one hundred bucks?

0:34:35.440 --> 0:34:37.000
<v Speaker 4>It was, It was under a thousand. I think it

0:34:37.040 --> 0:34:38.920
<v Speaker 4>might have been five or six hundred, so it wasn't

0:34:39.160 --> 0:34:39.960
<v Speaker 4>quite as low.

0:34:39.840 --> 0:34:41.080
<v Speaker 3>But it was still very, very low.

0:34:41.480 --> 0:34:44.279
<v Speaker 4>And I thought, you can't, just like manufacturer money doesn't

0:34:44.280 --> 0:34:46.600
<v Speaker 4>grow on trees, you can't just manufacture it, you know,

0:34:46.600 --> 0:34:47.200
<v Speaker 4>on a computer.

0:34:48.239 --> 0:34:49.520
<v Speaker 2>But at the time you can.

0:34:49.719 --> 0:34:52.440
<v Speaker 3>It turns out you can. So it's very skeptical.

0:34:52.480 --> 0:34:54.839
<v Speaker 4>But I kicked myself for not having at least bought

0:34:54.880 --> 0:34:56.600
<v Speaker 4>a couple because at the time I could have put

0:34:56.680 --> 0:34:58.600
<v Speaker 4>ten thousand dollars into it and I'd be, you know,

0:34:58.920 --> 0:35:01.520
<v Speaker 4>ten million. We might not even be having this conversation today.

0:35:01.560 --> 0:35:04.080
<v Speaker 2>Who knows we would. It would just be on your

0:35:04.120 --> 0:35:05.560
<v Speaker 2>yacht off, well you.

0:35:05.480 --> 0:35:07.640
<v Speaker 4>Go, which wouldn't be half bad, right, It wouldn't be

0:35:07.680 --> 0:35:12.280
<v Speaker 4>half bad. So in an event, I've never really understood

0:35:11.800 --> 0:35:16.000
<v Speaker 4>the case. Now, what I will acknowledge is that over

0:35:16.080 --> 0:35:18.680
<v Speaker 4>the years I did learn of a couple use cases

0:35:18.680 --> 0:35:20.640
<v Speaker 4>that made sense to me. So I can remember seeing

0:35:20.680 --> 0:35:24.760
<v Speaker 4>a woman from Pakistan present and she was talking about

0:35:24.800 --> 0:35:27.920
<v Speaker 4>like why bitcoin is so popular in Pakistan. It was

0:35:27.960 --> 0:35:31.360
<v Speaker 4>because at least they had a stable currency because it

0:35:31.400 --> 0:35:34.600
<v Speaker 4>was pegged to the dollar effectively, and so people preferred

0:35:35.120 --> 0:35:39.080
<v Speaker 4>being paid in bitcoin instead of getting paid in Pakistani.

0:35:39.840 --> 0:35:42.719
<v Speaker 4>So so I thought, okay, well that's interesting, but that's

0:35:42.800 --> 0:35:44.239
<v Speaker 4>a you know, a tiny little use case.

0:35:44.640 --> 0:35:45.480
<v Speaker 3>But I never really.

0:35:45.400 --> 0:35:48.160
<v Speaker 4>Understood because you don't have anybody who's got the taxing

0:35:48.200 --> 0:35:52.000
<v Speaker 4>authority or the backing of it, whereas even with gold,

0:35:52.160 --> 0:35:54.520
<v Speaker 4>it's sort of got the central bankers as a collective

0:35:54.600 --> 0:35:58.120
<v Speaker 4>in some sense back gold. Sure, there's still massive buyers

0:35:58.160 --> 0:36:02.000
<v Speaker 4>of gold. In fact, that's U S. Treasury holdings. So

0:36:02.040 --> 0:36:05.840
<v Speaker 4>I never really got it. But you know, you fast

0:36:05.840 --> 0:36:07.840
<v Speaker 4>forward and suddenly you've got an asset that's up to

0:36:07.920 --> 0:36:10.840
<v Speaker 4>thirty thousand, forty thousand, you know, over one hundred thousand

0:36:11.000 --> 0:36:13.600
<v Speaker 4>at one point in time, and you're like, am I wrong?

0:36:13.719 --> 0:36:16.320
<v Speaker 4>Like what am I missing? So I don't know, the

0:36:16.440 --> 0:36:19.359
<v Speaker 4>jury's out. We do believe in the sort of the

0:36:19.440 --> 0:36:23.279
<v Speaker 4>digital ecosystem very much. We're trying to, you know, work

0:36:23.320 --> 0:36:25.680
<v Speaker 4>on tokenization, and we're working on all kinds of other

0:36:25.760 --> 0:36:28.320
<v Speaker 4>sort of digital finance types of endeavors.

0:36:28.560 --> 0:36:29.840
<v Speaker 3>So there's something.

0:36:29.520 --> 0:36:32.880
<v Speaker 4>About the digital that is very compelling, and in a

0:36:32.920 --> 0:36:36.719
<v Speaker 4>weird way, it may be that once that digital infrastructure

0:36:36.760 --> 0:36:40.560
<v Speaker 4>gets more evolved, it'll make bitcoin even less important, right

0:36:40.560 --> 0:36:43.759
<v Speaker 4>because now suddenly you'll get all the benefits of bitcoin

0:36:43.800 --> 0:36:46.719
<v Speaker 4>in terms of the tradeability and all those kinds of

0:36:46.719 --> 0:36:50.240
<v Speaker 4>things without having to have the exposure to an asset

0:36:50.280 --> 0:36:52.879
<v Speaker 4>that I don't know how to price that asset.

0:36:52.600 --> 0:36:57.279
<v Speaker 1>Wildly volatile to say the very really really interesting. Coming up,

0:36:57.320 --> 0:37:00.719
<v Speaker 1>we continue our conversation with Lori final Global CIO at

0:37:00.719 --> 0:37:04.640
<v Speaker 1>State Street talking about the current market environment.

0:37:04.960 --> 0:37:06.040
<v Speaker 2>I'm Barry Ridults.

0:37:06.080 --> 0:37:08.320
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to Masters in Business.

0:37:08.280 --> 0:37:11.360
<v Speaker 2>On Bloomberg Radio. I'm Barry Ridults.

0:37:11.440 --> 0:37:14.400
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to Masters in Business on Bloomberg Radio. My

0:37:14.600 --> 0:37:17.759
<v Speaker 1>extra special guest this week is Lori Heinel. She is

0:37:17.880 --> 0:37:22.000
<v Speaker 1>executive vice president and Global Chief Investment Officer at State

0:37:22.080 --> 0:37:26.920
<v Speaker 1>Street Investment Management, the asset management arm of State Street

0:37:26.960 --> 0:37:31.920
<v Speaker 1>with five point seven trillion, with a t trillion in assets,

0:37:32.040 --> 0:37:34.799
<v Speaker 1>and that says of year end twenty twenty five, and

0:37:34.840 --> 0:37:37.760
<v Speaker 1>we're up ten twelve percent since then in the market.

0:37:37.920 --> 0:37:41.000
<v Speaker 2>So do the math. I'm going to say over six trillion.

0:37:41.719 --> 0:37:44.960
<v Speaker 1>Let's talk a little bit about the current market environment.

0:37:46.239 --> 0:37:51.920
<v Speaker 1>Your global market outlook was titled Forward with Focus that

0:37:52.160 --> 0:37:56.480
<v Speaker 1>sounds like you were constructive on risk assets. I always

0:37:56.760 --> 0:37:59.160
<v Speaker 1>put a question mark where I see but you must

0:37:59.160 --> 0:37:59.960
<v Speaker 1>stay agile.

0:38:00.320 --> 0:38:01.480
<v Speaker 2>Explain what that means.

0:38:01.640 --> 0:38:05.360
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, well, so to your point, we did see twenty

0:38:05.400 --> 0:38:08.759
<v Speaker 4>twenty six as being still a pretty good year for investors.

0:38:09.400 --> 0:38:12.240
<v Speaker 4>We thought that earnings were going to continue to do well.

0:38:13.040 --> 0:38:16.200
<v Speaker 4>We thought that inflation, while not quite back to the

0:38:16.239 --> 0:38:19.320
<v Speaker 4>two percent target that the Fed had set, was marching

0:38:19.320 --> 0:38:22.160
<v Speaker 4>in that direction, would possibly give some more room for

0:38:22.239 --> 0:38:25.320
<v Speaker 4>rate cuts in twenty twenty six. And so when we

0:38:25.520 --> 0:38:29.000
<v Speaker 4>talk about being agile, it was focus on equities over

0:38:29.080 --> 0:38:32.279
<v Speaker 4>fixed income, but do so in a bit more broad

0:38:32.360 --> 0:38:35.239
<v Speaker 4>based way, like don't just put all your eggs into

0:38:35.320 --> 0:38:38.439
<v Speaker 4>the large cap US trade. Look at small caps, maybe

0:38:38.440 --> 0:38:41.080
<v Speaker 4>even look at things like emerging markets, places where you

0:38:41.120 --> 0:38:44.080
<v Speaker 4>might get a bit of broadening out of the market

0:38:44.120 --> 0:38:48.040
<v Speaker 4>as we saw maturation in twenty twenty six. Of course,

0:38:48.440 --> 0:38:53.000
<v Speaker 4>the altercation war with Iran turned out a bit on

0:38:53.080 --> 0:38:56.400
<v Speaker 4>its head, and so for a short moment we were revisiting.

0:38:55.960 --> 0:38:57.040
<v Speaker 3>Whether that was going to be true.

0:38:57.080 --> 0:39:00.600
<v Speaker 4>Obviously, inflation became a bigger sticking point one again or

0:39:00.640 --> 0:39:03.960
<v Speaker 4>a bigger concern once again. Concerns about whether you're going

0:39:04.000 --> 0:39:06.200
<v Speaker 4>to get that broadening out, or whether investors would just

0:39:06.200 --> 0:39:09.080
<v Speaker 4>sort of go back to the trades that they knew

0:39:09.120 --> 0:39:12.960
<v Speaker 4>and loved and had, you know, more security. And but

0:39:13.040 --> 0:39:14.839
<v Speaker 4>I think as we get into the middle of the year,

0:39:15.040 --> 0:39:18.520
<v Speaker 4>we're seeing that our views were largely rewarded that sort

0:39:18.520 --> 0:39:21.480
<v Speaker 4>of moving to small cap and other parts of the

0:39:21.520 --> 0:39:24.920
<v Speaker 4>market certainly have done quite well on a year date basis.

0:39:25.000 --> 0:39:28.960
<v Speaker 4>And you know, we obviously are still worried about fixed

0:39:28.960 --> 0:39:31.840
<v Speaker 4>income and rates and what that might mean as inflation

0:39:31.960 --> 0:39:35.399
<v Speaker 4>remains a bit more tricky. But you know, the prints

0:39:35.440 --> 0:39:37.360
<v Speaker 4>that we're having every month are all over the place.

0:39:37.680 --> 0:39:40.040
<v Speaker 4>Just as we're speaking, we're having a good CPI print,

0:39:40.160 --> 0:39:42.839
<v Speaker 4>right So while we think that the FED is likely

0:39:42.840 --> 0:39:44.319
<v Speaker 4>on hold for the balance of the year, we don't

0:39:44.320 --> 0:39:45.920
<v Speaker 4>see rate hikes in the offing.

0:39:46.600 --> 0:39:46.839
<v Speaker 2>Huh.

0:39:47.320 --> 0:39:49.920
<v Speaker 1>Kind of interest, And we'll talk a little bit about

0:39:50.000 --> 0:39:54.200
<v Speaker 1>CPI and PPI in a bit. You mentioned something that

0:39:54.239 --> 0:39:57.680
<v Speaker 1>I want to explore because it's so interesting. So the

0:39:57.760 --> 0:40:01.719
<v Speaker 1>Magnificent seven and twenty twenty five, I've only two of

0:40:01.760 --> 0:40:04.239
<v Speaker 1>the seven outperformed the S and P five hundred. I

0:40:04.239 --> 0:40:08.480
<v Speaker 1>think it was nvidiaan Google and this year, if you're

0:40:08.480 --> 0:40:11.080
<v Speaker 1>looking at small cap or MidCap, you're looking at growth

0:40:11.120 --> 0:40:15.400
<v Speaker 1>or value. You're looking at Europe, you're looking at developed

0:40:15.560 --> 0:40:18.840
<v Speaker 1>x US, you're looking at em Everything seems to be

0:40:18.920 --> 0:40:24.920
<v Speaker 1>outperforming large cap US growth. Is this just the reason

0:40:25.040 --> 0:40:28.719
<v Speaker 1>to have a diversified portfolio or is it indicating is

0:40:28.760 --> 0:40:31.960
<v Speaker 1>this a cyclical shift, or is this suggesting something else?

0:40:32.080 --> 0:40:36.640
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, well, our view is generally to have a diversified portfolio.

0:40:37.080 --> 0:40:40.880
<v Speaker 4>At the margin, we might favor large cap, or favor Europe,

0:40:40.960 --> 0:40:43.840
<v Speaker 4>or favor emerging markets at different points in time based

0:40:43.880 --> 0:40:46.600
<v Speaker 4>on relative value trading, but we do think that it's

0:40:46.800 --> 0:40:50.279
<v Speaker 4>incredibly difficult to time those inflection points perfectly. And as

0:40:50.280 --> 0:40:53.520
<v Speaker 4>you noted, coming into this year, you still had a

0:40:53.520 --> 0:40:56.680
<v Speaker 4>lot of momentum and flows into the things that have

0:40:56.800 --> 0:40:58.839
<v Speaker 4>done well in the past, including some of those large

0:40:58.880 --> 0:41:02.319
<v Speaker 4>cap names that you mentioned. So, you know, I'm kind

0:41:02.360 --> 0:41:04.560
<v Speaker 4>of a traditionalist in that way. I do believe you

0:41:04.560 --> 0:41:07.960
<v Speaker 4>want to be diversified and have exposures to multiple places.

0:41:08.320 --> 0:41:13.200
<v Speaker 3>But I do think that this AI enthusiasm.

0:41:13.280 --> 0:41:16.200
<v Speaker 4>I believe in it in terms of a technology. But

0:41:16.280 --> 0:41:19.960
<v Speaker 4>when you look at the massive amount of spending that

0:41:20.080 --> 0:41:22.880
<v Speaker 4>is now being undertaken by some of these companies, you

0:41:22.920 --> 0:41:26.920
<v Speaker 4>know they've gone from leveraging balance sheet cash to make

0:41:26.960 --> 0:41:30.880
<v Speaker 4>those investments to now accessing fixed income markets in a

0:41:31.239 --> 0:41:35.480
<v Speaker 4>massive way and even in some cases issuing equities. So

0:41:35.560 --> 0:41:38.840
<v Speaker 4>you do have to sort of wonder whether that you

0:41:38.880 --> 0:41:40.840
<v Speaker 4>know that vein alone is going to be where the

0:41:40.880 --> 0:41:43.279
<v Speaker 4>money is going to be made going forward. I'm not

0:41:43.360 --> 0:41:45.960
<v Speaker 4>saying that you know they can't still generate good earnings,

0:41:46.000 --> 0:41:47.480
<v Speaker 4>but there are plenty of other places.

0:41:47.719 --> 0:41:49.560
<v Speaker 3>If you think about energy, if you think.

0:41:49.480 --> 0:41:53.720
<v Speaker 4>About utilities, you think about all the ecosystem required to

0:41:53.840 --> 0:41:58.279
<v Speaker 4>enable that AI transformation, and then perhaps most importantly, you

0:41:58.320 --> 0:42:02.359
<v Speaker 4>know the real economy and how sectors like finance or

0:42:03.040 --> 0:42:06.040
<v Speaker 4>healthcare or other things are going to benefit from these technologies.

0:42:06.080 --> 0:42:06.600
<v Speaker 3>I think we're just.

0:42:06.600 --> 0:42:09.040
<v Speaker 4>At the tip of the iceberg in terms of what

0:42:09.080 --> 0:42:10.960
<v Speaker 4>that will mean for innovation of productivity.

0:42:11.440 --> 0:42:14.680
<v Speaker 1>So, when you're looking at this enormous capital spend that

0:42:15.080 --> 0:42:18.040
<v Speaker 1>you referenced, and we didn't even bring up all the

0:42:18.080 --> 0:42:21.680
<v Speaker 1>private credit that's been pouring hundreds of billions dollars into that,

0:42:22.520 --> 0:42:25.360
<v Speaker 1>how do you judge when the spending is productive in

0:42:25.520 --> 0:42:31.480
<v Speaker 1>producing sufficient returns. Given how the fire hose of capital,

0:42:31.840 --> 0:42:34.160
<v Speaker 1>there has to be some misallocation and there are going

0:42:34.239 --> 0:42:37.040
<v Speaker 1>to be some winners and losers. But when does the

0:42:37.080 --> 0:42:41.040
<v Speaker 1>next incremental dollar become bad money after good?

0:42:41.239 --> 0:42:42.279
<v Speaker 2>How can we tell.

0:42:42.080 --> 0:42:47.080
<v Speaker 4>We're watching for when does that capex not translate into

0:42:47.600 --> 0:42:49.520
<v Speaker 4>incremental earnings?

0:42:49.600 --> 0:42:54.239
<v Speaker 1>So let's stay with the idea of artificial intelligence. You

0:42:54.280 --> 0:42:57.799
<v Speaker 1>work at a very large asset manager. I would imagine

0:42:58.280 --> 0:43:01.320
<v Speaker 1>the biggest shops have a little bit of an lasting

0:43:01.360 --> 0:43:05.280
<v Speaker 1>advantage in deploying AI, not only looking at their own

0:43:05.920 --> 0:43:10.600
<v Speaker 1>language models that they've created internally, just the ability to

0:43:10.680 --> 0:43:14.640
<v Speaker 1>deploy that capital way that makes them more to deploy

0:43:14.760 --> 0:43:18.520
<v Speaker 1>that technology in a way that makes their capital more efficient,

0:43:18.600 --> 0:43:19.360
<v Speaker 1>more productive.

0:43:19.840 --> 0:43:20.359
<v Speaker 2>How are you.

0:43:20.320 --> 0:43:25.879
<v Speaker 1>Looking at AI from the perspective of the finance set?

0:43:27.200 --> 0:43:30.200
<v Speaker 4>This is a whole podcast in its own right, but

0:43:30.360 --> 0:43:32.400
<v Speaker 4>let me just I guess share a couple of thoughts.

0:43:32.920 --> 0:43:36.160
<v Speaker 4>First and foremost, we've been on the AI journey for

0:43:36.440 --> 0:43:40.400
<v Speaker 4>over a decade. We've been using machine learning and natural

0:43:40.520 --> 0:43:45.319
<v Speaker 4>language processing and other types of technology in our active.

0:43:45.040 --> 0:43:46.760
<v Speaker 3>Strategies for over a decade.

0:43:47.760 --> 0:43:50.480
<v Speaker 4>And I think it's important to also know as a GCIFI,

0:43:50.960 --> 0:43:55.160
<v Speaker 4>we're a highly regulated institution, so we've also spent many,

0:43:55.200 --> 0:44:01.040
<v Speaker 4>many years on the infrastructure, governance other things deploy these

0:44:01.080 --> 0:44:07.000
<v Speaker 4>types of tools, being mindful of cybersecurity threats, privacy, all

0:44:07.000 --> 0:44:09.760
<v Speaker 4>the other things that you would expect a large bank

0:44:09.800 --> 0:44:10.880
<v Speaker 4>to be worried about.

0:44:11.640 --> 0:44:12.440
<v Speaker 3>So where we are.

0:44:12.320 --> 0:44:15.320
<v Speaker 4>Now, I would say the biggest places that we're seeing

0:44:16.320 --> 0:44:19.799
<v Speaker 4>AI support our business are in more things that are

0:44:19.960 --> 0:44:23.440
<v Speaker 4>operational in nature, that are repeatable processes, where we can

0:44:23.480 --> 0:44:27.520
<v Speaker 4>deploy some technology and free up people to do other

0:44:27.600 --> 0:44:30.920
<v Speaker 4>more interesting things. If you think about some of the

0:44:30.960 --> 0:44:35.799
<v Speaker 4>marketing elements, things like r FPS or commentary writing or

0:44:35.840 --> 0:44:39.719
<v Speaker 4>other kinds of client servicing elements, they lend themselves beautifully

0:44:39.840 --> 0:44:44.120
<v Speaker 4>to leveraging this technology. Because you have a database of information,

0:44:44.600 --> 0:44:46.760
<v Speaker 4>the question might get asked in a slightly different way,

0:44:47.120 --> 0:44:50.320
<v Speaker 4>and the AI can actually feedback the most relevant answers.

0:44:50.360 --> 0:44:52.280
<v Speaker 4>And then you have a human in the loop, always

0:44:52.320 --> 0:44:55.440
<v Speaker 4>in our environment today that ultimately owns the final product.

0:44:55.520 --> 0:44:59.000
<v Speaker 4>But those are I think the sort of early wins

0:44:59.040 --> 0:45:03.000
<v Speaker 4>for us is that kind of of efficiency gain leveraging

0:45:03.040 --> 0:45:06.480
<v Speaker 4>people to do more higher order things down the road.

0:45:06.520 --> 0:45:09.680
<v Speaker 4>Will this get more integrated into our investment process. In philosophy,

0:45:09.760 --> 0:45:12.279
<v Speaker 4>we're experimenting with a lot of things. We've got the

0:45:12.920 --> 0:45:16.960
<v Speaker 4>concept of a research copilot, which let's a portfolio manager

0:45:17.400 --> 0:45:22.080
<v Speaker 4>you know, survey hundreds, dozens whatever, you know, research reports

0:45:22.080 --> 0:45:24.879
<v Speaker 4>and do so very efficiently using an AI.

0:45:25.160 --> 0:45:25.919
<v Speaker 3>Type of a tool.

0:45:26.320 --> 0:45:28.719
<v Speaker 4>They still have to you know, pressure tests, whether the

0:45:28.760 --> 0:45:31.840
<v Speaker 4>results are getting back makes sense, and they still ultimately

0:45:31.920 --> 0:45:33.440
<v Speaker 4>make the decision about what they're going to do with

0:45:33.480 --> 0:45:36.600
<v Speaker 4>that information from a portfolio standpoint. But we see lots

0:45:36.600 --> 0:45:39.840
<v Speaker 4>of opportunities for that kind of augmentation of the human

0:45:39.880 --> 0:45:40.920
<v Speaker 4>as well.

0:45:41.000 --> 0:45:44.520
<v Speaker 1>Let's talk a little bit about inflation. We've had a

0:45:44.640 --> 0:45:47.560
<v Speaker 1>series of things that have contributed to it.

0:45:48.120 --> 0:45:50.360
<v Speaker 2>Tariffs, war in the Middle East, et cetera.

0:45:50.960 --> 0:45:54.440
<v Speaker 1>Here we got the best CPI print we've had in

0:45:54.640 --> 0:45:59.759
<v Speaker 1>five years, but that's primarily been because we briefly thought

0:45:59.800 --> 0:46:03.000
<v Speaker 1>the war was over. An oil price is plummeted now

0:46:03.040 --> 0:46:06.640
<v Speaker 1>the war is back on, and I track things like

0:46:07.040 --> 0:46:09.840
<v Speaker 1>the producer price index is six and a half percent.

0:46:10.440 --> 0:46:13.040
<v Speaker 1>We know that's just going to push into final prices over.

0:46:12.920 --> 0:46:13.960
<v Speaker 2>The next few quarters.

0:46:14.400 --> 0:46:17.760
<v Speaker 1>So how do you think about inflation and fixed income

0:46:18.480 --> 0:46:25.960
<v Speaker 1>and specifically, and has macroeconomic forecasting in this environment just

0:46:26.040 --> 0:46:29.960
<v Speaker 1>become I don't want to say impossible, but so challenging.

0:46:30.400 --> 0:46:34.399
<v Speaker 4>Well, macroeconomic forecasting is always difficult, and I would say

0:46:34.960 --> 0:46:37.400
<v Speaker 4>what we've also seen over the last several years is

0:46:37.520 --> 0:46:40.839
<v Speaker 4>data revisions coming in at a massive level too, So

0:46:40.880 --> 0:46:43.640
<v Speaker 4>what you see in a print one day, whether it's

0:46:43.680 --> 0:46:46.919
<v Speaker 4>the payroll data or the DDP or whatever, a quarter

0:46:46.960 --> 0:46:50.440
<v Speaker 4>or later, might be changed pretty dramatically. So you have

0:46:50.520 --> 0:46:52.920
<v Speaker 4>to be a bit humble in this kind of environment

0:46:52.920 --> 0:46:54.080
<v Speaker 4>when you're making any kind.

0:46:53.960 --> 0:46:55.120
<v Speaker 3>Of bold calls.

0:46:55.480 --> 0:46:57.680
<v Speaker 4>But I would say our core view is that inflation

0:46:57.800 --> 0:47:01.120
<v Speaker 4>will still trend lower over time. We think it might

0:47:01.160 --> 0:47:03.080
<v Speaker 4>not get back to the two percent level, but we

0:47:03.280 --> 0:47:07.480
<v Speaker 4>aren't necessarily thinking that six percent is something that's sustainable.

0:47:08.360 --> 0:47:10.080
<v Speaker 4>Good and the bad news here is that when you

0:47:10.160 --> 0:47:14.560
<v Speaker 4>have inflation shock coming from things like commodity prices, they rebase,

0:47:15.360 --> 0:47:17.759
<v Speaker 4>so you get that one time shock and then you're

0:47:17.760 --> 0:47:20.279
<v Speaker 4>done unless there's another shock on top of that. So

0:47:20.680 --> 0:47:24.000
<v Speaker 4>at some point that sort of recalibrates in its own right.

0:47:24.480 --> 0:47:26.520
<v Speaker 4>I think the thing that we've been most surprised by

0:47:26.560 --> 0:47:30.160
<v Speaker 4>this year is the underlying resilience of the US economy.

0:47:30.200 --> 0:47:33.560
<v Speaker 4>In particular, we were thinking that labor markets were going

0:47:33.600 --> 0:47:36.200
<v Speaker 4>to be under a lot more pressure than they ultimately

0:47:36.239 --> 0:47:39.640
<v Speaker 4>have been, at least so far. We thought that the

0:47:39.680 --> 0:47:45.239
<v Speaker 4>inflation coming from the war would filter into other places

0:47:45.280 --> 0:47:49.040
<v Speaker 4>like fertilizer and food and other things which may still happen. Right,

0:47:49.080 --> 0:47:52.120
<v Speaker 4>we haven't gotten through the farming cycle here in the US,

0:47:53.280 --> 0:47:56.120
<v Speaker 4>but we're not seeing the consumer while they're stretched.

0:47:56.120 --> 0:47:57.560
<v Speaker 3>We're not seeing the consumer.

0:47:57.239 --> 0:48:00.880
<v Speaker 4>Necessarily pull back the way that we thought that they might. So,

0:48:01.440 --> 0:48:03.080
<v Speaker 4>you know, the second half will be a very interesting

0:48:03.080 --> 0:48:03.640
<v Speaker 4>second half.

0:48:04.160 --> 0:48:06.399
<v Speaker 1>To say the least. Let's stay with the consumer. There's

0:48:06.440 --> 0:48:09.840
<v Speaker 1>a couple of things that I've noticed that's kind of interesting.

0:48:10.320 --> 0:48:15.320
<v Speaker 1>If we look at the second quarter sector breakdown, consumer

0:48:15.360 --> 0:48:20.360
<v Speaker 1>discretionary worst performer of the group, essentially flat. If you

0:48:20.400 --> 0:48:24.959
<v Speaker 1>look at consumer spending, there's a greater reliance on short

0:48:25.040 --> 0:48:29.120
<v Speaker 1>term credit and credit cards. Then just salary increases, and

0:48:29.160 --> 0:48:32.960
<v Speaker 1>then consumer sentiment, and I think we can all agree

0:48:33.280 --> 0:48:37.080
<v Speaker 1>the University of Michigan sentiment measure has become broken over

0:48:37.120 --> 0:48:40.399
<v Speaker 1>the past few years. But still, what whether you call

0:48:40.440 --> 0:48:45.280
<v Speaker 1>it the vibes, the sentiment, whatever, seems to be shockingly negative.

0:48:46.760 --> 0:48:49.480
<v Speaker 1>I don't disagree with you about the resilience of the economy,

0:48:49.520 --> 0:48:52.279
<v Speaker 1>but how do we figure out what's going on with

0:48:52.320 --> 0:48:58.480
<v Speaker 1>the consumer and their importance to the ongoing resilient economy.

0:48:59.120 --> 0:49:01.839
<v Speaker 4>Well, I think the first thing is that I agree

0:49:01.880 --> 0:49:04.360
<v Speaker 4>with everything you're saying, but they are also offsets. So

0:49:04.400 --> 0:49:07.399
<v Speaker 4>people are getting tax refunds, You've got, you know, other

0:49:07.920 --> 0:49:10.920
<v Speaker 4>benefits coming through from the one big beautiful bill, so

0:49:10.960 --> 0:49:13.240
<v Speaker 4>you do have some other things that are still propping

0:49:13.320 --> 0:49:14.640
<v Speaker 4>up the consumer at the margin.

0:49:14.800 --> 0:49:17.560
<v Speaker 3>And employment still is.

0:49:17.000 --> 0:49:20.160
<v Speaker 4>Is pretty strong here in the USA, so you still

0:49:20.200 --> 0:49:23.080
<v Speaker 4>have pretty good sort of underpinnings, if you will. But

0:49:23.239 --> 0:49:27.200
<v Speaker 4>it's clear that the average consumer is feeling like they're

0:49:27.200 --> 0:49:29.840
<v Speaker 4>losing ground right there. Been you know, lots of articles

0:49:29.880 --> 0:49:32.600
<v Speaker 4>about even couples that are making over one hundred thousand

0:49:32.600 --> 0:49:35.640
<v Speaker 4>dollars feeling like they have food insecurity. Well, that's a

0:49:35.719 --> 0:49:37.759
<v Speaker 4>problem for sure, and it probably means they're going to

0:49:37.760 --> 0:49:40.279
<v Speaker 4>pull back somewhere else. But my point is that in

0:49:40.320 --> 0:49:44.080
<v Speaker 4>the aggregate, whether it's from Capex and other corporate spending,

0:49:44.719 --> 0:49:48.480
<v Speaker 4>the sort of K shaped consumer economy where the upper echelon,

0:49:48.560 --> 0:49:51.479
<v Speaker 4>if you will, is being benefited by housing prices, which,

0:49:51.719 --> 0:49:54.520
<v Speaker 4>while they're plateauing, have come up a lot, but outset

0:49:54.520 --> 0:49:57.080
<v Speaker 4>prices that are going up a lot, still, there's still

0:49:57.080 --> 0:49:58.319
<v Speaker 4>a lot of resiliency there.

0:49:58.640 --> 0:50:01.000
<v Speaker 2>So I'm glad you work both of those up.

0:50:01.040 --> 0:50:05.919
<v Speaker 1>The pushback I get from bearish colleagues are A, Yeah,

0:50:05.920 --> 0:50:08.640
<v Speaker 1>the economy looks good, but it's almost all driven by

0:50:08.680 --> 0:50:13.040
<v Speaker 1>the upper quarter, and I think that's being generous on

0:50:13.120 --> 0:50:16.680
<v Speaker 1>the quartel side. But the other criticism is, hey, all

0:50:16.719 --> 0:50:21.800
<v Speaker 1>of this AI related cap x is masking underlying weakness,

0:50:21.880 --> 0:50:25.720
<v Speaker 1>although I don't see that weakness in much of the data.

0:50:26.400 --> 0:50:28.959
<v Speaker 1>What's your response to those sort of criticisms.

0:50:29.080 --> 0:50:31.720
<v Speaker 4>Look, I think that the good and the bad news

0:50:31.880 --> 0:50:33.759
<v Speaker 4>is that you don't need one hundred percent of the

0:50:33.760 --> 0:50:37.240
<v Speaker 4>consumers to participate to have the consumer economy.

0:50:36.800 --> 0:50:37.720
<v Speaker 3>Doing just fine.

0:50:37.800 --> 0:50:40.440
<v Speaker 4>So that's a sad thing in a lot of ways,

0:50:41.000 --> 0:50:45.040
<v Speaker 4>but it's just the reality. And by the way, companies

0:50:45.120 --> 0:50:49.840
<v Speaker 4>are generating productivity from things like the deployment of AI already,

0:50:49.880 --> 0:50:51.520
<v Speaker 4>and we think that that's very constructive.

0:50:52.280 --> 0:50:55.800
<v Speaker 1>And then speaking of productivity, we really haven't talked about

0:50:56.200 --> 0:50:59.200
<v Speaker 1>you know, everybody talks about the Magnificent seven. What about

0:50:59.239 --> 0:51:02.799
<v Speaker 1>the other for NAT ninety three companies in spy that

0:51:03.400 --> 0:51:07.480
<v Speaker 1>are becoming more efficient, more productive, more profitable. How do

0:51:07.520 --> 0:51:09.120
<v Speaker 1>we contextualize that.

0:51:09.600 --> 0:51:11.719
<v Speaker 3>Well, we think we're in the very very early in things.

0:51:11.719 --> 0:51:14.080
<v Speaker 4>So I mentioned earlier, we've got active teams, right, and

0:51:14.080 --> 0:51:16.399
<v Speaker 4>this is their domain. Right. So these are people who

0:51:16.440 --> 0:51:18.960
<v Speaker 4>are in the tech sector, in the healthcare sector, in

0:51:19.000 --> 0:51:21.600
<v Speaker 4>the finance sector, doing the hard work to understand.

0:51:21.239 --> 0:51:22.799
<v Speaker 3>Who the winners and losers are going to be.

0:51:23.280 --> 0:51:25.880
<v Speaker 4>And the mantra over and over again is that the

0:51:25.960 --> 0:51:30.279
<v Speaker 4>companies that adopt technology for efficiency, gain for innovation, to

0:51:30.360 --> 0:51:32.919
<v Speaker 4>create competitive modes are going to have a really good

0:51:33.000 --> 0:51:36.680
<v Speaker 4>runway from that deployment. So we are quite optimistic in

0:51:36.719 --> 0:51:38.839
<v Speaker 4>terms of what that means for long term prospects.

0:51:39.239 --> 0:51:42.279
<v Speaker 1>So before I get to my favorite questions, there were

0:51:42.320 --> 0:51:44.719
<v Speaker 1>a couple of items I had to talk to you

0:51:44.800 --> 0:51:49.600
<v Speaker 1>ask you about that are a little more off the

0:51:49.640 --> 0:51:55.600
<v Speaker 1>beaten path. You were chosen to lead State Streets Fearless

0:51:55.680 --> 0:52:00.359
<v Speaker 1>Girl campaign. Explain what that is and why you were

0:52:00.400 --> 0:52:02.239
<v Speaker 1>chosen to take that role.

0:52:02.480 --> 0:52:06.080
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, so this is true serendipity, right.

0:52:06.160 --> 0:52:09.839
<v Speaker 4>So, as with anything, these things take a village, right.

0:52:09.880 --> 0:52:12.799
<v Speaker 4>And so we had this placement of what is now

0:52:12.840 --> 0:52:16.440
<v Speaker 4>the iconic statue of the Fearless Girl, initially down on

0:52:16.520 --> 0:52:20.160
<v Speaker 4>Bowling Green facing off against the bull. And I had

0:52:20.200 --> 0:52:22.319
<v Speaker 4>been one of several people who had been involved in

0:52:22.360 --> 0:52:25.879
<v Speaker 4>that effort and got a call the night before the

0:52:25.920 --> 0:52:28.640
<v Speaker 4>statue was going to be placed and somebody said, can

0:52:28.680 --> 0:52:29.040
<v Speaker 4>you go to.

0:52:29.000 --> 0:52:32.040
<v Speaker 3>New York like now and be there when.

0:52:31.880 --> 0:52:35.760
<v Speaker 4>We place this statue, just in case there's a tension,

0:52:35.840 --> 0:52:37.759
<v Speaker 4>just in case some of the networks pick it.

0:52:37.760 --> 0:52:41.560
<v Speaker 2>Up, and just to just to flesh that out a

0:52:41.600 --> 0:52:42.000
<v Speaker 2>little bit.

0:52:42.400 --> 0:52:46.680
<v Speaker 1>Everybody knows the Wall Street Charging Bull is actually not

0:52:46.760 --> 0:52:49.800
<v Speaker 1>on Wall Street. It's on Lower Broadway. It's a massive

0:52:50.000 --> 0:52:58.520
<v Speaker 1>twenty five ton statue. The Fearless Girl is proportional real life.

0:52:57.360 --> 0:53:02.160
<v Speaker 1>A little girl just standing up to the bull, their

0:53:02.200 --> 0:53:05.319
<v Speaker 1>little hands on our hips, so almost like a big

0:53:05.440 --> 0:53:08.800
<v Speaker 1>goulp exactly staring down the bull.

0:53:09.120 --> 0:53:11.879
<v Speaker 2>So tell us what happened with Yeah, to New York.

0:53:11.960 --> 0:53:14.719
<v Speaker 4>So I fly down, I you know, show up the

0:53:14.760 --> 0:53:17.680
<v Speaker 4>next morning, bright and early, and you know, there's a

0:53:17.680 --> 0:53:19.960
<v Speaker 4>little bit of milling around. Happened to be a rainy day,

0:53:20.040 --> 0:53:22.359
<v Speaker 4>so there weren't too many people out and about. But

0:53:22.880 --> 0:53:25.720
<v Speaker 4>suddenly it started to get a little bit of interest,

0:53:25.800 --> 0:53:27.600
<v Speaker 4>and so we had a couple of reporters, you know,

0:53:27.680 --> 0:53:30.160
<v Speaker 4>come by and say what's happening. We explained to them

0:53:30.239 --> 0:53:33.440
<v Speaker 4>that this was a moment where we were trying to

0:53:33.800 --> 0:53:38.359
<v Speaker 4>advocate for everybody's future and used it as an opportunity

0:53:38.480 --> 0:53:41.600
<v Speaker 4>given it was international Women's Day specifically that that was

0:53:41.640 --> 0:53:45.160
<v Speaker 4>the timing of the placement, and so one thing led

0:53:45.200 --> 0:53:46.799
<v Speaker 4>to another, and before you know it, I'm booked on

0:53:46.880 --> 0:53:49.000
<v Speaker 4>three or four or five news programs over the next

0:53:49.000 --> 0:53:52.319
<v Speaker 4>forty eight hours and telling the story about how the

0:53:52.320 --> 0:53:54.719
<v Speaker 4>Fearless Girl came about and why we did it, and

0:53:54.800 --> 0:53:57.960
<v Speaker 4>how important it was to stand up for those who

0:53:58.000 --> 0:53:59.640
<v Speaker 4>perhaps couldn't stand up for themselves.

0:53:59.719 --> 0:54:03.840
<v Speaker 1>So very successful campaign. And where's the Feeliss Girl today?

0:54:03.920 --> 0:54:06.920
<v Speaker 4>Well, she is now opposite the New York Stock Exchange.

0:54:06.960 --> 0:54:09.160
<v Speaker 4>So one of the things that happened is that she

0:54:09.239 --> 0:54:12.720
<v Speaker 4>started to attract so much attention that they were worried

0:54:12.719 --> 0:54:14.840
<v Speaker 4>about the safety risk because as you know where the

0:54:14.840 --> 0:54:17.680
<v Speaker 4>bull is that it's a very narrow street there, and

0:54:17.760 --> 0:54:20.600
<v Speaker 4>people were milling onto the street. So we got a

0:54:20.640 --> 0:54:24.000
<v Speaker 4>permanent or semi permanent at least for now placement in

0:54:24.000 --> 0:54:25.240
<v Speaker 4>front of the New York Stock Exchange.

0:54:25.239 --> 0:54:26.160
<v Speaker 3>And that's where she's been sent.

0:54:26.239 --> 0:54:28.840
<v Speaker 1>That makes a lot of sense, that's a good location

0:54:29.000 --> 0:54:31.480
<v Speaker 1>for that. So I know, you serve on a couple

0:54:31.520 --> 0:54:34.640
<v Speaker 1>of boards. The one that really jumped out at me

0:54:34.760 --> 0:54:37.319
<v Speaker 1>the Boston Ballet tell us a little bit about what

0:54:37.400 --> 0:54:37.800
<v Speaker 1>that's like.

0:54:38.200 --> 0:54:42.120
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, So I've always been a great fan of the arts.

0:54:42.200 --> 0:54:44.680
<v Speaker 4>I was a gymnast as a child. I wasn't a ballerina,

0:54:44.719 --> 0:54:47.200
<v Speaker 4>but I think there's a lot of rhyming there. And

0:54:47.520 --> 0:54:49.880
<v Speaker 4>I've always been a fan of ballet as an art form,

0:54:49.960 --> 0:54:52.640
<v Speaker 4>and the Boston Ballet is very interesting because they are

0:54:53.080 --> 0:54:56.840
<v Speaker 4>trying to consolidate both the legacy classical repertoire with a

0:54:56.880 --> 0:55:00.640
<v Speaker 4>lot of more modern, contemporary, avant garde kinds of repertoire.

0:55:01.000 --> 0:55:05.400
<v Speaker 4>And so they did a collaboration with the Rolling Stones,

0:55:05.400 --> 0:55:08.279
<v Speaker 4>for example, where we did a ballet set to some

0:55:08.320 --> 0:55:09.560
<v Speaker 4>of the Rolling Stones music.

0:55:10.000 --> 0:55:11.440
<v Speaker 3>And so it's just been a great way to.

0:55:11.400 --> 0:55:14.799
<v Speaker 4>Meet people in the cultural community in Boston but also

0:55:15.000 --> 0:55:17.920
<v Speaker 4>be part of art making that you know, I find

0:55:18.120 --> 0:55:18.880
<v Speaker 4>just fascinating.

0:55:19.040 --> 0:55:21.600
<v Speaker 1>Huh, really really interesting. So I only have you for

0:55:21.640 --> 0:55:24.400
<v Speaker 1>a few more minutes. Let me jump to my favorite questions,

0:55:24.920 --> 0:55:27.080
<v Speaker 1>starting with who were your early mentors?

0:55:27.160 --> 0:55:29.560
<v Speaker 2>Tell us about who helped shape your career.

0:55:29.760 --> 0:55:32.920
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, so I would say I didn't really think about

0:55:33.160 --> 0:55:35.520
<v Speaker 4>mentors when I was younger. I would say my bosses

0:55:35.560 --> 0:55:38.960
<v Speaker 4>were my mentors in the sense that they stretched me,

0:55:39.080 --> 0:55:43.000
<v Speaker 4>they gave me opportunities. I talked earlier about that situation

0:55:43.080 --> 0:55:44.920
<v Speaker 4>at first Boston where we were in front of the

0:55:45.120 --> 0:55:47.600
<v Speaker 4>airport authority, and you know, I would not have had

0:55:47.640 --> 0:55:49.319
<v Speaker 4>the opportunity to be in a room like that in

0:55:49.360 --> 0:55:51.280
<v Speaker 4>a lot of companies. But I think my boss felt

0:55:51.280 --> 0:55:52.919
<v Speaker 4>that I'd done the work and I deserved a place

0:55:52.920 --> 0:55:55.800
<v Speaker 4>at the table. So throughout, particularly my early career, I

0:55:55.840 --> 0:55:58.279
<v Speaker 4>would say it was my bosses who stretched me, gave

0:55:58.280 --> 0:56:01.120
<v Speaker 4>me opportunities. And then I would say about mid career,

0:56:02.480 --> 0:56:06.160
<v Speaker 4>with another colleague created this group called Connected Women. It

0:56:06.239 --> 0:56:09.120
<v Speaker 4>was a very informal type of a thing where a

0:56:09.239 --> 0:56:12.480
<v Speaker 4>number of women and sort of similar vintages got together

0:56:12.520 --> 0:56:18.000
<v Speaker 4>regularly and we became vintages. We drank a lot of wine,

0:56:18.040 --> 0:56:20.480
<v Speaker 4>so I could use the word vantages, so it was

0:56:20.520 --> 0:56:23.640
<v Speaker 4>really a wine drinking club. But there was a benefit

0:56:23.719 --> 0:56:26.000
<v Speaker 4>that we got to know each other well our professional

0:56:26.040 --> 0:56:28.359
<v Speaker 4>and our personal stories, and so we could help each

0:56:28.360 --> 0:56:30.759
<v Speaker 4>other out. So when we were, you know, looking at

0:56:31.080 --> 0:56:35.200
<v Speaker 4>career situations, it was a good circle of friends that

0:56:35.239 --> 0:56:38.400
<v Speaker 4>I could turn to who were in similar states in

0:56:38.440 --> 0:56:41.000
<v Speaker 4>their careers and trying to make it on the corporate ladder,

0:56:41.080 --> 0:56:41.799
<v Speaker 4>that I could lean on.

0:56:42.280 --> 0:56:43.400
<v Speaker 2>Really really interesting.

0:56:44.000 --> 0:56:46.720
<v Speaker 1>Let's talk about books. Are what are some of your favorites.

0:56:46.719 --> 0:56:47.760
<v Speaker 1>What are you reading currently?

0:56:47.880 --> 0:56:52.879
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, so, you know, I tend to like biographies. Read

0:56:53.040 --> 0:56:55.719
<v Speaker 4>a bunch of the you know, Churnou and you know

0:56:55.800 --> 0:56:59.600
<v Speaker 4>Titan and House of Morgan and the Walter Isaacs and

0:57:00.080 --> 0:57:03.839
<v Speaker 4>you know, Steven Jobs. And I like biographies because they

0:57:04.000 --> 0:57:07.480
<v Speaker 4>meld history with leadership, with whatever.

0:57:07.200 --> 0:57:09.560
<v Speaker 3>The you know topic is.

0:57:09.640 --> 0:57:12.520
<v Speaker 4>So obviously, with the you know, the Titan and House

0:57:12.520 --> 0:57:15.560
<v Speaker 4>of Morgan, it's a finance centric kind of a story,

0:57:15.600 --> 0:57:18.640
<v Speaker 4>and with Jobs it was a technology centric. But seeing

0:57:18.680 --> 0:57:24.160
<v Speaker 4>how those leaders navigated you know, innovation, their time, the

0:57:24.200 --> 0:57:27.480
<v Speaker 4>people around them, I just find that fascinating much better

0:57:27.520 --> 0:57:29.120
<v Speaker 4>than reality TV in my opinion.

0:57:29.160 --> 0:57:31.080
<v Speaker 3>Well is reality TV?

0:57:31.920 --> 0:57:33.040
<v Speaker 2>Speaking about TV?

0:57:33.800 --> 0:57:37.760
<v Speaker 1>Are you streaming any Netflix or Amazon Prime type? Yeah?

0:57:37.840 --> 0:57:41.680
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, So right now I am on a bit of

0:57:41.680 --> 0:57:44.520
<v Speaker 4>a hiatus. I've been trying to read some fiction, so

0:57:44.640 --> 0:57:48.840
<v Speaker 4>I'm doing some Tony Morrison right now. I went to Princeton,

0:57:48.920 --> 0:57:51.440
<v Speaker 4>as you probably remember, and so I've been trying to

0:57:51.480 --> 0:57:53.280
<v Speaker 4>do a bit more reading in my spare time.

0:57:54.600 --> 0:57:57.680
<v Speaker 1>Our final two questions, what sort of advice would you

0:57:57.720 --> 0:58:01.160
<v Speaker 1>give to a recent college grad in a career in

0:58:01.240 --> 0:58:03.600
<v Speaker 1>either investing or asset management.

0:58:04.000 --> 0:58:05.720
<v Speaker 4>Well, the first thing I would say is it's a

0:58:05.760 --> 0:58:06.920
<v Speaker 4>fantastic career.

0:58:07.440 --> 0:58:09.680
<v Speaker 3>You can do so many different things.

0:58:09.760 --> 0:58:13.800
<v Speaker 4>You get access to technical acumen, you have the interpersonal

0:58:13.800 --> 0:58:16.080
<v Speaker 4>piece of things. You have to solve problems. I love

0:58:16.120 --> 0:58:18.520
<v Speaker 4>the problem solving aspect of it, and I think it's

0:58:18.520 --> 0:58:21.000
<v Speaker 4>something where no matter what your preferences are, you can

0:58:21.040 --> 0:58:23.120
<v Speaker 4>find your vein right. You know, I happen to make

0:58:23.120 --> 0:58:25.440
<v Speaker 4>my way to global Chief Investment officer, but there are

0:58:25.440 --> 0:58:29.080
<v Speaker 4>people in marketing, or people in distribution, or people in processing,

0:58:29.480 --> 0:58:31.800
<v Speaker 4>and all of those are just absolutely fascinating careers.

0:58:31.840 --> 0:58:33.400
<v Speaker 3>It's never a dull moment.

0:58:34.080 --> 0:58:36.480
<v Speaker 1>And our final question, what do you know about the

0:58:36.520 --> 0:58:40.600
<v Speaker 1>world of investing in asset management today? Might have been

0:58:40.720 --> 0:58:44.280
<v Speaker 1>useful back in the nineties when you first getting started.

0:58:44.440 --> 0:58:46.880
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, well, I wish I had started investing earlier and

0:58:47.000 --> 0:58:50.920
<v Speaker 4>more often. I was a net creditor for many, many,

0:58:51.080 --> 0:58:52.600
<v Speaker 4>many years because I wanted to.

0:58:52.600 --> 0:58:54.080
<v Speaker 3>Have nice clothes and jewelry.

0:58:54.440 --> 0:58:57.800
<v Speaker 1>I can't tell you how often I hear that, which

0:58:57.880 --> 0:59:00.560
<v Speaker 1>is really just a backdoor ad mission of the power

0:59:00.560 --> 0:59:01.960
<v Speaker 1>of compounding.

0:59:01.480 --> 0:59:03.400
<v Speaker 4>And maybe that bitcoin that was my other thing. I

0:59:03.400 --> 0:59:05.800
<v Speaker 4>probably should have done well twelve if you had.

0:59:05.640 --> 0:59:08.960
<v Speaker 1>A crystal ball, But what's the big insight that that

0:59:09.200 --> 0:59:12.040
<v Speaker 1>would have been useful to know generally about marketing.

0:59:12.080 --> 0:59:16.360
<v Speaker 4>You know, I'm not joking about the early and often,

0:59:16.600 --> 0:59:19.720
<v Speaker 4>and truth be told, I'm one hundred percent equity invested

0:59:19.800 --> 0:59:20.760
<v Speaker 4>even now, so.

0:59:20.880 --> 0:59:23.040
<v Speaker 2>You know I'm a big fan back in my day.

0:59:23.160 --> 0:59:25.240
<v Speaker 4>You know, it was the one hundred minus your age,

0:59:25.280 --> 0:59:28.000
<v Speaker 4>which would put me squarely not in one hundred percent

0:59:28.040 --> 0:59:31.439
<v Speaker 4>equity category if I followed that rubric. But I think

0:59:31.480 --> 0:59:34.160
<v Speaker 4>a lot of people would just be served by being

0:59:34.200 --> 0:59:36.800
<v Speaker 4>in equities, you know, for the long term, unless you

0:59:36.880 --> 0:59:39.240
<v Speaker 4>only have a couple of years and who knows, uh,

0:59:39.320 --> 0:59:40.840
<v Speaker 4>that's where the money is.

0:59:41.040 --> 0:59:44.240
<v Speaker 1>This is a little hindsight biased, but I am always shocked.

0:59:44.920 --> 0:59:48.480
<v Speaker 1>It's literally a chapter in the book of people who

0:59:48.480 --> 0:59:51.520
<v Speaker 1>are twenty thirty, forty years old that have a substantial

0:59:51.600 --> 0:59:56.080
<v Speaker 1>fixed income. I understand it's ballast that offsets the volatility

0:59:56.120 --> 0:59:59.840
<v Speaker 1>of equity, but really, until you're over fifty, maybe even

1:00:00.000 --> 1:00:03.880
<v Speaker 1>over sixty, do you and getting closer and closer retirement,

1:00:04.240 --> 1:00:06.240
<v Speaker 1>do you really need to have forty percent of your

1:00:06.280 --> 1:00:08.800
<v Speaker 1>portfolio in bonds. It doesn't make a whole lot of sense.

1:00:09.080 --> 1:00:11.520
<v Speaker 4>Well, look, I mean for a lot of institutional clients,

1:00:11.520 --> 1:00:14.320
<v Speaker 4>it makes perfect sense. They're liability matching right, and they

1:00:14.400 --> 1:00:16.880
<v Speaker 4>need that fixed income. And I think if you need liquidity,

1:00:17.080 --> 1:00:19.920
<v Speaker 4>or you're going to have your children's college education or

1:00:20.000 --> 1:00:22.000
<v Speaker 4>weddings or things like that in a couple of years,

1:00:22.280 --> 1:00:25.600
<v Speaker 4>absolutely fixed in come plays a role. But if you

1:00:25.680 --> 1:00:28.640
<v Speaker 4>have the ability to not touch that investment capital, I

1:00:28.680 --> 1:00:29.840
<v Speaker 4>think equities.

1:00:29.480 --> 1:00:29.960
<v Speaker 3>Is a way to go.

1:00:30.240 --> 1:00:32.640
<v Speaker 1>Thank you, Laurie for being so generous with your time.

1:00:32.920 --> 1:00:36.000
<v Speaker 1>If you enjoy this conversation, well check out any of

1:00:36.040 --> 1:00:39.280
<v Speaker 1>the six hundred and forty nine podcasts we've done over

1:00:39.320 --> 1:00:45.440
<v Speaker 1>the past fourteen years. You can find those at Apple Podcasts, Spotify,

1:00:45.560 --> 1:00:50.160
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg YouTube, wherever you get your favorite podcasts. I would

1:00:50.160 --> 1:00:52.680
<v Speaker 1>be remiss if I didn't thank our correct team that

1:00:52.760 --> 1:00:55.280
<v Speaker 1>helps put these conversations.

1:00:54.720 --> 1:00:56.080
<v Speaker 2>Together each week.

1:00:56.200 --> 1:01:01.200
<v Speaker 1>Alexis Noriega is my video producer. Sean Russo is my researcher.

1:01:01.760 --> 1:01:06.840
<v Speaker 1>Anna Luke is my producer. I'm Barry Ritolts. You've been

1:01:06.880 --> 1:01:10.320
<v Speaker 1>listening to Master's in Business on Bloomberg Radio