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Speaker 1: What's up guys? How are you welcome into a Monday

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Speaker 1: morning episode? It is the Daily Juice Podcast. My name

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Speaker 1: is Matt pirelto War. You have follow me across all

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Speaker 1: socials at Sports Talk Matt and this podcast always being

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Speaker 1: brought to you by Omaha Steaks dot com. They have

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Speaker 1: a customized URL for us. It's Omaha Steaks dot Com.

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Speaker 1: Slash Juice. Subscriptions now available. If you go and take advantage,

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Speaker 1: percent money back guarantee olmah Steaks dot Com slash Juice

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Speaker 1: to go there all right, losing week, I cannot get

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Speaker 1: an NBA bet right to save my life. I mean,

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Speaker 1: it is absolutely redex season and we are done. I

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Speaker 1: am done with the NBA until the playoff. Okay, I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna bet NBA Player of Props.

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Speaker 2: We'll get in with that. If one Beyama had hit.

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Speaker 1: One more three, he would have hit the three point

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Speaker 1: prop and he would have hit the points prop. He

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Speaker 1: ended up with twenty two points. We bet over twenty

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Speaker 1: three and a half and one for three instead of

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Speaker 1: two he hit one. I would like by the way.

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Speaker 1: I mean his next game, I would bet that. I mean,

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Speaker 1: I think that's something to watch. Okay, it didn't hit yesterday,

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Speaker 1: but it's a it's something to take a look at.

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Speaker 1: Over on the points and over on the three on

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Speaker 1: the three pointers for Victor one Byama with the Spurs.

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Speaker 1: But Spurs got killed started the Rockets, so that bet missed.

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Speaker 1: But we only we lost one unit. It was two

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Speaker 1: half unit plays, both at plus money, so we lost.

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Speaker 1: That basketball was a bummer Nebraska, right, We got all

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Speaker 1: we got right was the Huskers one on one. In

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Speaker 1: college basketball, the Creighton game. It's another game where I

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Speaker 1: made a pretty good case for taking the dog, but

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Speaker 1: I bet on the Jays. I really did think Creighton

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Speaker 1: was gonna win that game. It was a bad bet

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Speaker 1: by me. I really thought that their threes would fall,

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Speaker 1: and they had open looks all over the place, but

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Speaker 1: they didn't go down. And when they are missing threes,

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Speaker 1: they just really have a hard time. I mean, they

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Speaker 1: are literally a make or miss team, and I know

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Speaker 1: people want to call them mediocre or overrated. The word

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Speaker 1: overrated to me in college basketball is really funny because

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Speaker 1: in order for someone to be overrated, you have to

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Speaker 1: trust that the people doing the ratings know what they're

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Speaker 1: talking about, and they really don't like. For instance, wake

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Speaker 1: Forest over the weekend beat Duke. Wake Forest was favored

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Speaker 1: at home to beat Duke. Yet Duke had the little

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Speaker 1: number next to their name, So there was a court storm.

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Speaker 1: The bookies, the betters, the people who were watching college basketball.

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Speaker 1: They knew wake Forest was live to win that game.

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Speaker 1: It's why they were favored. But it's an upset? Is

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Speaker 1: it really an upset if your favorite at home? I mean,

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Speaker 1: who really knew there?

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Speaker 2: Right?

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Speaker 1: The Chiefs were dogs in every game in the playoffs

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Speaker 1: in every game.

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Speaker 2: Who who knew? Right?

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Speaker 1: Like who's overrated in college basketball?

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Speaker 2: Really?

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Speaker 1: I mean the Jays were favored, okay, and you can

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Speaker 1: say that they lost and that's you know, they beat

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Speaker 1: Yukon and they lose. There is a really interesting trend

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Speaker 1: going on with teams that have a big win and

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Speaker 1: then the very next game they're losing. Like big win,

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Speaker 1: you're all pumping your chest out. Yukon kills Marquette and

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Speaker 1: then Creighton kills Yukon and then Creighton gets killed by

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Speaker 1: Saint John's And I mean they beat the number one

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Speaker 1: team in the country by nineteen and they lost on

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Speaker 1: the road to Saint John's unranked by fourteen. That is

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Speaker 1: college basketball this year. It is an insane, wild ride,

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Speaker 1: fun to watch. I've done pretty good betting on it.

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Speaker 2: I'm now what.

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Speaker 1: Fifty eight and forty four in college basketball, it's pretty good.

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Speaker 1: Exact opposite in the NBA. It's even worse than the NBA.

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Speaker 2: I can't. I mean, it's just pathetic.

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Speaker 1: So today we're doing two college basketball bets, obviously, and

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Speaker 1: one NHL play to give you guys. So let's start

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Speaker 1: in college basketball, and let's start with Miami against North Carolina.

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Speaker 2: Number is fourteen.

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Speaker 1: There is no way I'm laying this, all right. I

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Speaker 1: think Carolina kills them, but there's no way I'm laying this.

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Speaker 2: Okay.

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Speaker 1: The total is one one forty one fifty four and

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Speaker 1: a half.

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Speaker 2: Okay. This has been pretty much an under team.

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Speaker 1: Both teams have been under teams in conference eleven and five.

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Speaker 1: North Carolina to the under, Miami eleven and six to

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Speaker 1: the under in conference play. But Carolina is seven four

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Speaker 1: and one ats at home, and they've been hot at

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Speaker 1: home against VA Tech, total was one fifty one, went

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Speaker 1: over by twenty six points at home against Clemson it

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Speaker 1: was one fifty four, went over by two points at

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Speaker 1: Duke one. Sorry, at home against Duke one fifty two

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Speaker 1: and a half went over by twenty four and a

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Speaker 1: half points. Since we started February, three home games, three

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Speaker 1: overs for North Carolina. On the flip side on the road.

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Speaker 1: The last road game for Miami it was one forty

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Speaker 1: nine and a half at Boston College. Game went under.

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Speaker 1: We went over by twelve and a half points against Clemson.

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Speaker 1: Though one fifty two game went under by fifteen points

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Speaker 1: against Virginia. You can throw that out because Virginia. Every

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Speaker 1: game goes under for Virginia. Like we know, they scored

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Speaker 1: thirty eight points in that game against Virginia. NC State

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Speaker 1: it was one fifty five on the road, it went

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Speaker 1: under by thirteen points. This is going to have to

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Speaker 1: be done by Carolina. Okay, there are not team totals

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Speaker 1: that are out at the moment, at least when I

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Speaker 1: looked a second ago, there was not. When I look

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Speaker 1: to bet, there were no team totals. You can bet

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Speaker 1: team totals for North Carolina and just say I don't

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Speaker 1: want to play around with Miami here. I don't trust

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Speaker 1: Miami and I'd rather you there. There's nothing up at

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Speaker 1: the moment for team totals, so you know, if you

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Speaker 1: find a team total you like. I don't mind that

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Speaker 1: play at all from a team's real perspective, but I

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Speaker 1: bet overnight, and you don't normally see overnight team totals

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Speaker 1: in college basketball, so I have to bet over over

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Speaker 1: one fifty four and a half. Again, if you want

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Speaker 1: to bet teams toll in North Carolina, let's see what

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Speaker 1: it winds up being. But it's probably going to be

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Speaker 1: somewhere around I don't know. Eighty two eighty three would

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Speaker 1: be my guest, and I like the over there for

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Speaker 1: North Carolina team total over. But let's hope that they

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Speaker 1: score in the nineties and Miami contributes a little bit

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Speaker 1: and gets, you know, to seventy. We get seventy points

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Speaker 1: out of Miami, We're going over like that. That's kind

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Speaker 1: of my my barometer.

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Speaker 2: Here. We hit our last two total bets.

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Speaker 1: Let's do another one, North Carolina and Miami over one

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Speaker 1: fifty four and a half for a half a year.

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Speaker 1: Sorry for a full unit. One point one units. Kem

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Speaker 1: Pom has this in one twfty four, so it's right there,

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Speaker 1: so not a lot of margin there, but pace of play.

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Speaker 1: Miami is one twentieth in pace of play this year.

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Speaker 1: That's not awful from an over perspective. North Carolina is

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Speaker 1: forty fifth. They like to play fast, in particular at home,

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Speaker 1: where they've been pretty good. Only one home loss all

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Speaker 1: year that was to Clemson, so it's done a pretty

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Speaker 1: good job here.

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Speaker 2: I do expect them to win the game. Kempom has

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Speaker 2: it as a fourteen point win. I'm not going to.

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Speaker 1: Touch this decide over one fifty four and a half

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Speaker 1: for one point one units second bet in college basketball.

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Speaker 1: I'm going back to Baylor. Baylor's on the road at TCU.

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Speaker 1: Kempom has this as a one point loss for Baylor.

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Speaker 1: Totals two and a half or sides to on a

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Speaker 1: two and a half TCU favored opened at three bet

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Speaker 1: down to two and a half. Look back to back

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Speaker 1: losses for Baylor. If they hit the free throat at

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Speaker 1: the end of regulation, we cover our bet. But also

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Speaker 1: Baylor wins the game outright and they beat Houston, number

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Speaker 1: one team in the country according to kempom. Didn't happen.

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Speaker 1: They lost in overtime eighty two to seventy six. These

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Speaker 1: teams played on the twenty seventh of January, triple overtime

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Speaker 1: loss to TCU for Baylor triple overtime loss at the time,

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Speaker 1: their first home loss or only home loss was to

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Speaker 1: TCU in triple overtime one oh five to one oh two.

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Speaker 1: Kansas State beat them. Texas beat them both on the road.

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Speaker 1: They played TCU and they lost three in a row.

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Speaker 1: Only time all year long Baylor has lost three in

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Speaker 1: a row. He lost to BYU on the road in

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Speaker 1: their last home, last road game, they lost in overtime

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Speaker 1: to Houston. I don't think history repeats itself here. They

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Speaker 1: may lose the game, but I like Baylor at plus

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Speaker 1: two and a half. Yes, I know we just were

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Speaker 1: on Baylor and they burned us. But Baylor on the

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Speaker 1: road this year is seven to four and one ats.

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Speaker 1: I know that TCU has covered four games in a

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Speaker 1: row and they're nine and five at home. Cincinnati laying

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Speaker 1: five and a half at home one by eighteen. That's

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Speaker 1: a bad basketball team. At home against West Virginia laying thirteen,

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Speaker 1: won by sixteen, whole a bad basketball team against Texas

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Speaker 1: though they laid four and a half, they lost by eleven.

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Speaker 1: They were laying four against Texas Tech, they won by seven.

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Speaker 1: At home against Iowa State, they were laying five. They

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Speaker 1: lost by one. They beat Houston. That was the big one.

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Speaker 1: When TCU beat Houston back in the beginning part of

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Speaker 1: the season, big home win. They're catching three. They won

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Speaker 1: by one. This is a team that's lost three to five.

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Speaker 1: They have got to get a big win. They need

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Speaker 1: a road win like this over a tough TCU team.

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Speaker 1: I think Baylor can win the game outright, but I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna take the two and a half points here Baylor

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Speaker 1: plus two and a half for one point one units.

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Speaker 1: All right, two college basketball bets for us here on

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Speaker 1: a Monday over North Carolina Miami one fifty four and

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Speaker 1: a half, taking Baylor plus two and a half for

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Speaker 1: one point one units. Now hockey play, the Dallas Stars

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Speaker 1: have Jake Ottinger going in that. Tonight, they are at

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Speaker 1: home against the New York Islanders. The numbers are quite interesting,

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Speaker 1: ridiculous even here. Over the last ten games on the

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Speaker 1: road for the Islanders, they haven't been a machine. But

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Speaker 1: they're four to four and one, sorry, four to four

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Speaker 1: and two flat to the over or the under. Where

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Speaker 1: this game gets interesting is that Dallas at home is

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Speaker 1: eight and two to the over over their last ten

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Speaker 1: games at home. Now last five they're three and two,

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Speaker 1: but it's still three and two, tied for the second

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Speaker 1: best road record to the over over the last five

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Speaker 1: games at home on the road for the Islanders, they're

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Speaker 1: three and two over their last five games, the total

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Speaker 1: is six. Now we're laying one twenty two juice here

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Speaker 1: at DraftKings, but I think this game is going to

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Speaker 1: go over. Here's why. Jake Ottenjer at home has a

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Speaker 1: three point two to eight goals against average. He's nine

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Speaker 1: to five, zero and two, but much different at home

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Speaker 1: Jay Gottinger than he is on the road. Last game

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Speaker 1: against Edmonton for to three, gave up four goals and lost.

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Speaker 1: At home against Carolina four to two, gave up two goals.

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Speaker 1: At home against Washington five to four, gave up four goals.

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Speaker 1: Home again Anaheim four to three, gave up three goals.

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Speaker 1: Sensing the trend here for Jay Gottinger, these games are

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Speaker 1: getting high scoring with him in net.

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Speaker 2: Now he's giving up goals, but Dallas is also scoring goals.

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Speaker 1: Sorokeans in net, allegedly reportedly for the Islanders. He much

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Speaker 1: like Ottinger is worse on the road or this game

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Speaker 1: is that we played for the Islanders three point four

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Speaker 1: to six goals against average six and eight and zero

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Speaker 1: and three as a losing record. Sorokan does on the

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Speaker 1: road recently for road trips against Pittsburgh five to four,

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Speaker 1: win in overtime, on the road, against Toronto three to two,

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Speaker 1: on the road, against Chicago four to three, on the road,

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Speaker 1: against Winnipeg four to two, five to nothing. He gave

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Speaker 1: up three goals and got yanked against Minnesota game in

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Speaker 1: to go over, but they gave up five goals back

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Speaker 1: on the thirteenth of January, was a three to one loss.

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Speaker 1: These guys play up tempo games, they give up goals.

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Speaker 1: So Roken gives up goals, Ottinger gives up goals. Total

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Speaker 1: is six at DraftKings betting over Dallas and the Islanders

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Speaker 1: tonight over six for one point two two units. Okay,

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Speaker 1: three bets for us here in on a Monday to

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Speaker 1: start the week down two point nine units last week.

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Speaker 2: So that's not good. Let's see if we can bounce

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Speaker 2: back here. See we win back to three units.

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Speaker 1: We lost last week and so if we can get

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Speaker 1: back on the track here to get a winning week again.

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Speaker 1: Over one fifty four and a half North Carolina, we're

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Speaker 1: taking the two and a half points with Baylor plus

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Speaker 1: two and a half on the road at TCU and

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Speaker 1: over six goals Dallas and the Islanders at MIE one

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Speaker 1: twenty two minus Matt Parrald. Follow me across all socials

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Speaker 1: at Sports Talk Matt. Every Morning Deal Juice podcast I

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Speaker 1: was being brought to you by omasteggs dot com