1 00:00:05,519 --> 00:00:08,200 Speaker 1: Hello, They're happy Wednesday. Welcome to another episode of the 2 00:00:08,320 --> 00:00:12,000 Speaker 1: Chuck Podcast, another full show for you. Today we are 3 00:00:12,920 --> 00:00:16,080 Speaker 1: I'll be honest, I'm a little distracted this week because 4 00:00:17,079 --> 00:00:20,680 Speaker 1: it's Notre Dame week for my beloved Miami Hurricanes. Those 5 00:00:20,720 --> 00:00:22,800 Speaker 1: of you that do know me, no, college football is 6 00:00:22,880 --> 00:00:27,040 Speaker 1: another level of obsession for me. Yes, I'm a sports fan. 7 00:00:27,120 --> 00:00:29,280 Speaker 1: Yes I love the Packers, Yes I love the Nats. 8 00:00:31,000 --> 00:00:38,120 Speaker 1: The Miami Hurricanes football situation decides my mood, all right. 9 00:00:38,240 --> 00:00:41,880 Speaker 1: It is when I cannot read anything about college football 10 00:00:41,920 --> 00:00:45,599 Speaker 1: for twenty four hours any week that they lose, and 11 00:00:45,640 --> 00:00:49,720 Speaker 1: I can't get enough of everything. When they win, I 12 00:00:49,800 --> 00:00:53,600 Speaker 1: am fanatical. And here we are. Yes, I'm going to 13 00:00:53,680 --> 00:00:56,279 Speaker 1: the game. I'm very excited about that. When you have 14 00:00:58,480 --> 00:01:01,400 Speaker 1: My oldest is a senior. This is the one hundred 15 00:01:01,440 --> 00:01:04,200 Speaker 1: we are pushing through, the second hundred years at the 16 00:01:04,240 --> 00:01:07,800 Speaker 1: University of Miami. So and I will make this declaration 17 00:01:08,000 --> 00:01:11,119 Speaker 1: that I actually think non Miami and Notre Dame fans 18 00:01:11,160 --> 00:01:14,120 Speaker 1: would agree with this, that Miami Notre Dame is the 19 00:01:14,160 --> 00:01:18,560 Speaker 1: best national rivalry in college football in the twentieth century. 20 00:01:18,680 --> 00:01:21,320 Speaker 1: Hardstop right. There was a period of time that USC 21 00:01:21,400 --> 00:01:23,200 Speaker 1: Notre Dame was close to that. You might have said 22 00:01:23,200 --> 00:01:25,640 Speaker 1: in the forties before we had television, that Army and 23 00:01:25,680 --> 00:01:27,600 Speaker 1: Notre Dame might have been that. But when you look 24 00:01:27,640 --> 00:01:30,199 Speaker 1: at the last twenty five years of the twentieth century, yes, 25 00:01:30,360 --> 00:01:33,160 Speaker 1: you have great look Michigan, Ohio, State, Auburn, Alabama. I'm 26 00:01:33,160 --> 00:01:34,679 Speaker 1: not going to sit here and say that Miami Not 27 00:01:34,720 --> 00:01:36,640 Speaker 1: Dame was bigger than those rivalries. Not going to make 28 00:01:36,640 --> 00:01:40,280 Speaker 1: that clase. But there was nothing like everybody had an 29 00:01:40,319 --> 00:01:43,520 Speaker 1: opinion about Miami Notre Dame in a way that's unusual. 30 00:01:43,560 --> 00:01:46,520 Speaker 1: Now twenty first century has not had any kind of that. 31 00:01:46,600 --> 00:01:49,280 Speaker 1: It is all in the past. But here's my favorite 32 00:01:49,280 --> 00:01:55,160 Speaker 1: little nugget. Notre Dame hasn't beatn Miami in Miami since 33 00:01:55,200 --> 00:01:57,960 Speaker 1: the stagflation days of the seventies. Then again, we're moving 34 00:01:57,960 --> 00:02:01,520 Speaker 1: into stagflation. So maybe that is a bad omen for Miami, 35 00:02:01,600 --> 00:02:04,800 Speaker 1: good omen for Notre Dame. But either way, I fully 36 00:02:04,840 --> 00:02:08,200 Speaker 1: admit that is. You know, there's a lot of things 37 00:02:08,200 --> 00:02:11,200 Speaker 1: I obsess over all the time. But given that it 38 00:02:11,240 --> 00:02:13,160 Speaker 1: is Notre Dame week, I will I will, I will 39 00:02:13,200 --> 00:02:17,200 Speaker 1: confess to that. My guest today for those are gonna 40 00:02:17,200 --> 00:02:20,800 Speaker 1: be listening to the entire extended podcast here. Maria Kamala, 41 00:02:21,600 --> 00:02:23,959 Speaker 1: she is somebody who has been on the Republican side 42 00:02:23,960 --> 00:02:27,880 Speaker 1: of the aisle but also gave advice to Democrats as well. 43 00:02:28,000 --> 00:02:30,920 Speaker 1: She's been an advisor to Chris Christy and an advisor 44 00:02:30,960 --> 00:02:34,240 Speaker 1: to Andrew Cuomo. She's advised the Kamala Harris campaign and 45 00:02:34,320 --> 00:02:39,400 Speaker 1: worked on McCain and Bush and plenty of those. So 46 00:02:40,000 --> 00:02:42,120 Speaker 1: she is somebody that is I think decidedly not in 47 00:02:42,200 --> 00:02:45,160 Speaker 1: the Trump camp and the wing of the Republican Party. 48 00:02:45,160 --> 00:02:47,040 Speaker 1: And as she will say, in some ways she is 49 00:02:47,080 --> 00:02:51,280 Speaker 1: a woman without a party these days. But she was 50 00:02:51,360 --> 00:02:53,839 Speaker 1: hired by the Kamala Harris campaign to try to help 51 00:02:53,919 --> 00:02:57,840 Speaker 1: the campaign message to Republicans. She shared with me all 52 00:02:57,880 --> 00:03:00,120 Speaker 1: the memos that she wrote. You really are going to 53 00:03:00,240 --> 00:03:02,799 Speaker 1: enjoy this podcast. It is sort of a little bit 54 00:03:02,919 --> 00:03:04,680 Speaker 1: it is. Yes, it's a little bit of looking back, 55 00:03:04,720 --> 00:03:08,239 Speaker 1: but that looking back I think is actually a blueprint 56 00:03:08,280 --> 00:03:10,440 Speaker 1: about what is it going to take for the Democrats 57 00:03:10,520 --> 00:03:14,040 Speaker 1: to move forward? And so I do hope you take 58 00:03:14,080 --> 00:03:16,400 Speaker 1: time to listen to that conversation. We even dabble a 59 00:03:16,440 --> 00:03:19,800 Speaker 1: little bit since in New York City Mayor and Andrew 60 00:03:19,840 --> 00:03:23,239 Speaker 1: Cuomo and Chris Christy, and there's some great personalities. I've 61 00:03:23,240 --> 00:03:26,200 Speaker 1: known Maria a long time, so I know any of 62 00:03:26,240 --> 00:03:28,600 Speaker 1: the conversations I've had with people I've known a long time, 63 00:03:28,760 --> 00:03:31,960 Speaker 1: I think they're always a lot more fun for you 64 00:03:32,000 --> 00:03:36,400 Speaker 1: guys to listen to. This one is no exception. Before 65 00:03:36,400 --> 00:03:38,680 Speaker 1: I get to it, I've got sort of a longer 66 00:03:39,360 --> 00:03:41,440 Speaker 1: thing i want to talk about today when it comes 67 00:03:41,480 --> 00:03:46,440 Speaker 1: to Democrats and twenty twenty eight and all of that business. 68 00:03:46,920 --> 00:03:48,800 Speaker 1: Before we get to it, obviously, we've had a lot 69 00:03:48,840 --> 00:03:53,440 Speaker 1: of as always, right with Donald Trump, there is no rest. 70 00:03:54,000 --> 00:03:57,440 Speaker 1: He never takes a day off as far as perception wise. 71 00:03:57,960 --> 00:04:00,720 Speaker 1: We can discuss whether he works that hard, if it's 72 00:04:00,760 --> 00:04:02,960 Speaker 1: really just a lot of oxygen and all of that, 73 00:04:03,040 --> 00:04:09,000 Speaker 1: but he's constantly constantly throwing stuff at the wall, making 74 00:04:09,040 --> 00:04:13,080 Speaker 1: sure there's always something that he's controlling narrative wise, to 75 00:04:13,120 --> 00:04:14,640 Speaker 1: try to do this. Every once in a while he 76 00:04:14,640 --> 00:04:17,000 Speaker 1: gets thrown off his game, right, Epstein threw him off 77 00:04:17,000 --> 00:04:19,560 Speaker 1: his game for a bit this summer. But if you 78 00:04:19,600 --> 00:04:22,679 Speaker 1: look back on Tuesday, we had that crazy Fidel Castro 79 00:04:22,839 --> 00:04:25,719 Speaker 1: like three and a half hour seminar. Right, Literally, this 80 00:04:25,920 --> 00:04:28,320 Speaker 1: is not and it gets that. I mean, I'm sort 81 00:04:28,360 --> 00:04:30,520 Speaker 1: of being snarky about calling it. You know, Fidel Castro 82 00:04:30,600 --> 00:04:33,680 Speaker 1: used to give a speech and literally, you know he'd 83 00:04:33,720 --> 00:04:36,800 Speaker 1: still be going after hour three, hour four. And that 84 00:04:36,880 --> 00:04:40,880 Speaker 1: is Donald Trump, right, he is. He almost exhausts the opposition, right, 85 00:04:40,920 --> 00:04:43,720 Speaker 1: that that's part of it. Throws so much at the wall. Right, 86 00:04:43,760 --> 00:04:47,240 Speaker 1: this cabinet meeting, obviously nothing got done, right, it was 87 00:04:47,240 --> 00:04:50,560 Speaker 1: a three and a half hour performance for everybody to 88 00:04:51,160 --> 00:04:54,800 Speaker 1: pay tribute to dear leader. But it is a reminder 89 00:04:54,800 --> 00:05:00,000 Speaker 1: how much he has changed the information ecosystem and perhaps 90 00:05:00,160 --> 00:05:04,480 Speaker 1: the expectations. Right he does. He does do one thing 91 00:05:04,520 --> 00:05:09,320 Speaker 1: that I think has been a potential positive for the country, 92 00:05:09,320 --> 00:05:12,200 Speaker 1: which is he brings everybody along on some arcane decisions 93 00:05:12,640 --> 00:05:15,520 Speaker 1: so that there is suddenly more attention to sort of 94 00:05:16,120 --> 00:05:18,000 Speaker 1: you know, he tries to do things like fire a 95 00:05:18,040 --> 00:05:20,440 Speaker 1: fed governor and all this stuff, and people get a 96 00:05:20,520 --> 00:05:22,919 Speaker 1: quick civics lesson of O. No, the Federal Reserve is 97 00:05:22,920 --> 00:05:26,360 Speaker 1: actually an independent agency. There's some laws that protect those folks. 98 00:05:26,360 --> 00:05:29,320 Speaker 1: And here's why it was designed not to be politicized. 99 00:05:30,040 --> 00:05:33,440 Speaker 1: So in some ways it does at least give folks 100 00:05:33,480 --> 00:05:35,880 Speaker 1: like myself, who I say, you know, when it comes 101 00:05:35,960 --> 00:05:38,280 Speaker 1: to political journalism. I think we need to spend as 102 00:05:38,360 --> 00:05:41,159 Speaker 1: much time educating the public as we do sort of 103 00:05:41,240 --> 00:05:45,279 Speaker 1: lecturing the public, right, I think letting them know, Okay, 104 00:05:45,560 --> 00:05:48,800 Speaker 1: he's doing this, there's a law here to protect this, 105 00:05:48,960 --> 00:05:51,320 Speaker 1: here's why there's a law. And you sort of teach 106 00:05:51,320 --> 00:05:53,360 Speaker 1: a little bit of a history class, right the last time, 107 00:05:53,400 --> 00:05:57,400 Speaker 1: for instance, you know why is fed independent so important? Well, 108 00:05:58,000 --> 00:06:00,200 Speaker 1: you know, and I've discussed this a few times, but 109 00:06:00,240 --> 00:06:02,600 Speaker 1: I had Douglas holtz Echen, who's been a long time 110 00:06:02,640 --> 00:06:07,000 Speaker 1: Republican leaning economic advisor. I say Republican leaning because data 111 00:06:07,040 --> 00:06:09,240 Speaker 1: is data. But he was an advisor to John McCain, 112 00:06:09,240 --> 00:06:14,000 Speaker 1: an advisor to Mitt Romney. He was when Republicans controlled 113 00:06:14,600 --> 00:06:17,520 Speaker 1: the House in the early odds, he was the person 114 00:06:17,520 --> 00:06:19,719 Speaker 1: they put in charge of the Congressional Budget Office. So 115 00:06:20,560 --> 00:06:24,680 Speaker 1: he certainly is associated with with right of center economic policy. 116 00:06:25,240 --> 00:06:26,880 Speaker 1: But he will tell you in the interview I did 117 00:06:26,920 --> 00:06:28,240 Speaker 1: with him a couple of weeks ago on news Fair. 118 00:06:28,279 --> 00:06:30,240 Speaker 1: You can now go check out the news Fair YouTube 119 00:06:30,520 --> 00:06:33,279 Speaker 1: channel if you want to check it out. He was saying, look, 120 00:06:33,320 --> 00:06:35,200 Speaker 1: if you want to understand what happens to a central 121 00:06:35,240 --> 00:06:38,000 Speaker 1: bank when a politician gets too involved with it, in 122 00:06:38,040 --> 00:06:39,840 Speaker 1: the present day, you just have to look to Turkey 123 00:06:40,640 --> 00:06:44,560 Speaker 1: and Aridawan, who is in some ways might be a 124 00:06:44,600 --> 00:06:46,880 Speaker 1: model for us. If you're if you're wondering, how does 125 00:06:46,880 --> 00:06:50,880 Speaker 1: a democracy slip to sort of this sort of quasi 126 00:06:50,920 --> 00:06:54,760 Speaker 1: authoritarian There's still a democracy, right nobody. You know, the 127 00:06:54,800 --> 00:06:58,120 Speaker 1: elections themselves haven't been rigged in Turkey, but he's kind 128 00:06:58,120 --> 00:07:01,320 Speaker 1: of rigged all of government in his faith and in 129 00:07:01,360 --> 00:07:05,440 Speaker 1: many ways. If you're wondering where Trump wants to go, 130 00:07:05,600 --> 00:07:09,640 Speaker 1: you actually just go look at Turkey today. Right. He's 131 00:07:09,720 --> 00:07:12,840 Speaker 1: you know, there's been this slow creep in Turkey of 132 00:07:13,400 --> 00:07:17,640 Speaker 1: getting the government more involved, more nationalism, more socialism. We're 133 00:07:17,640 --> 00:07:20,640 Speaker 1: seeing similar things here, right, I mean, Donald Trump has 134 00:07:20,680 --> 00:07:23,600 Speaker 1: embraced this sort of nationalistic socialism, whatever you want to 135 00:07:23,640 --> 00:07:26,880 Speaker 1: call it. I mean, I know, if a Democrat proposed 136 00:07:26,880 --> 00:07:29,440 Speaker 1: a ten percent stake in intil, they'd be called a socialist. 137 00:07:29,720 --> 00:07:31,520 Speaker 1: What are we supposed to call Donald Trump when he 138 00:07:31,560 --> 00:07:34,400 Speaker 1: proposes to do this. I think the same word applies. 139 00:07:34,440 --> 00:07:39,000 Speaker 1: It's a socialist. And there are some constitutional conservatives out 140 00:07:39,040 --> 00:07:41,920 Speaker 1: there that are calling him just that. Eric Erickson has 141 00:07:41,960 --> 00:07:46,840 Speaker 1: been pretty crystal clear on this. You've seen that Steve Moore, 142 00:07:47,760 --> 00:07:52,760 Speaker 1: who is a friendly Trump economic advisor, has referred to 143 00:07:52,760 --> 00:07:54,920 Speaker 1: this as is. He noted in an interview with me 144 00:07:55,840 --> 00:07:59,360 Speaker 1: also for Newsphere, he said, you know who the first 145 00:07:59,360 --> 00:08:03,000 Speaker 1: Democrat to raise what Trump was doing, Bernie Sanders. Uh, 146 00:08:03,040 --> 00:08:05,240 Speaker 1: he pointed this out right, So it is there is 147 00:08:05,560 --> 00:08:09,520 Speaker 1: there is some you know, we've had this presidential embrace 148 00:08:09,560 --> 00:08:11,760 Speaker 1: of socialism, and he wants to get more involved with 149 00:08:11,840 --> 00:08:14,960 Speaker 1: the economy. He wants to get the government more involved 150 00:08:14,960 --> 00:08:18,800 Speaker 1: and that and that gets me to this fed governor situation. 151 00:08:21,520 --> 00:08:25,360 Speaker 1: He's now targeting. He realized targeting Powell impacted the markets, 152 00:08:25,840 --> 00:08:28,280 Speaker 1: and the one thing we've all learned about Donald Trump 153 00:08:28,280 --> 00:08:34,080 Speaker 1: and the economy right now is that the only the 154 00:08:34,080 --> 00:08:35,800 Speaker 1: only way you can get him to back off is 155 00:08:35,840 --> 00:08:38,840 Speaker 1: if the market's creator right liberation day markets creator. He 156 00:08:38,880 --> 00:08:42,840 Speaker 1: backs off the threating, the threatening of Powell. At different times, 157 00:08:42,880 --> 00:08:46,240 Speaker 1: the markets have reacted badly and he's backed off. So 158 00:08:46,360 --> 00:08:48,920 Speaker 1: now he's almost trying to like test the premise. He'd 159 00:08:48,960 --> 00:08:52,160 Speaker 1: love to fire Powell early, but at this point he 160 00:08:52,160 --> 00:08:54,800 Speaker 1: doesn't want to mess there. He realizes that that that 161 00:08:54,840 --> 00:08:57,720 Speaker 1: there's almost an outsized reaction the markets would have to that. 162 00:08:58,280 --> 00:09:00,160 Speaker 1: So what is he doing. And this is sort of 163 00:09:00,160 --> 00:09:03,040 Speaker 1: what this Trump White House is. What they try to 164 00:09:03,080 --> 00:09:05,480 Speaker 1: do is they try to surface up somebody you haven't 165 00:09:05,480 --> 00:09:07,480 Speaker 1: heard of who isn't a household name. Lisa Cook not 166 00:09:07,520 --> 00:09:11,560 Speaker 1: a household name. She's gonna become one. And he's trying 167 00:09:11,600 --> 00:09:13,840 Speaker 1: to find basically test to see if he has this 168 00:09:13,920 --> 00:09:16,480 Speaker 1: authority he you know, this is a version of testing 169 00:09:16,480 --> 00:09:20,200 Speaker 1: the electric fence like in Jurassic Park, and he's testing 170 00:09:20,360 --> 00:09:23,160 Speaker 1: the courts here, right. The Supreme Court already sort of 171 00:09:23,200 --> 00:09:26,680 Speaker 1: warned him that while they are open to this a 172 00:09:26,880 --> 00:09:31,719 Speaker 1: growing aspect to executive power, that the Federal Reserve was 173 00:09:31,760 --> 00:09:35,560 Speaker 1: a separate situation. They hint, there is a hint that 174 00:09:35,600 --> 00:09:39,000 Speaker 1: there's a majority that doesn't agree with the with Donald 175 00:09:39,040 --> 00:09:41,240 Speaker 1: Trump's assertion that he can do whatever the hell he 176 00:09:41,240 --> 00:09:44,679 Speaker 1: wants with with the Fed Bord of governors. Well, we're 177 00:09:44,679 --> 00:09:47,199 Speaker 1: now going to have a test in the courts. Right, 178 00:09:47,240 --> 00:09:49,559 Speaker 1: There's there's no doubt that. And in some ways this 179 00:09:49,640 --> 00:09:52,720 Speaker 1: is this is the intentional act, if you will. They 180 00:09:52,720 --> 00:09:55,280 Speaker 1: don't have cause because they have no indictment, there's no 181 00:09:55,720 --> 00:09:59,559 Speaker 1: you know, there's just an accusation from a political appointee. 182 00:10:00,040 --> 00:10:03,640 Speaker 1: There is no actual formal investigation. There's no grand jury, indictment, 183 00:10:03,640 --> 00:10:05,960 Speaker 1: there's no anything here because it doesn't sound like this 184 00:10:06,000 --> 00:10:09,840 Speaker 1: as a prosecutable offense, even if whatever they're saying is true. 185 00:10:11,720 --> 00:10:15,240 Speaker 1: But ultimately, he's just trying to test what you know, 186 00:10:15,320 --> 00:10:18,960 Speaker 1: can he just sort of decide what cause is and 187 00:10:19,080 --> 00:10:22,200 Speaker 1: do this? What is the extent? And so this is 188 00:10:22,200 --> 00:10:25,400 Speaker 1: what the courts are going to test here. And if 189 00:10:25,400 --> 00:10:29,200 Speaker 1: he wins here, then I think then he accelerates what 190 00:10:29,240 --> 00:10:31,880 Speaker 1: he's trying to do, and he probably just fires Powell 191 00:10:31,880 --> 00:10:33,960 Speaker 1: and then he goes after all of these various independent 192 00:10:34,000 --> 00:10:36,800 Speaker 1: agencies that we've had, and we've already seen the quasi 193 00:10:36,880 --> 00:10:40,640 Speaker 1: independent agencies that we thought were above politics, the FDA 194 00:10:41,000 --> 00:10:44,160 Speaker 1: in particular, that that's not going to be the case. 195 00:10:44,160 --> 00:10:48,160 Speaker 1: That they are going to get politicized. And it's been 196 00:10:48,200 --> 00:10:52,920 Speaker 1: interesting to watch the Democratic reaction on this. They've kind 197 00:10:52,920 --> 00:10:57,280 Speaker 1: of struggled in the messaging here. Ultimately they ought to 198 00:10:57,280 --> 00:11:00,560 Speaker 1: be focused on Look what he's do. Every time he 199 00:11:00,600 --> 00:11:03,520 Speaker 1: messes with the economy, it gets worse. Every time he 200 00:11:03,559 --> 00:11:06,040 Speaker 1: puts his hands into the economy, it gets worse. Right, 201 00:11:06,240 --> 00:11:08,240 Speaker 1: the price of eggs are going through the roof the 202 00:11:08,280 --> 00:11:10,680 Speaker 1: cost of living in general, is going up, and you know, 203 00:11:10,720 --> 00:11:13,600 Speaker 1: he keeps bringing up gas prices, right, Well, when gas 204 00:11:13,600 --> 00:11:16,480 Speaker 1: prices go down, that's usually a sign that the economy 205 00:11:16,520 --> 00:11:19,960 Speaker 1: is about the hit the crapper because economic activity is 206 00:11:20,000 --> 00:11:22,960 Speaker 1: slowing in some way. So, you know, low gas prices 207 00:11:23,040 --> 00:11:25,559 Speaker 1: is not a sign of a of a healthy economy. 208 00:11:26,679 --> 00:11:30,600 Speaker 1: And in fact, one of his you know, calling for 209 00:11:30,679 --> 00:11:35,640 Speaker 1: lowering of interest rates is certainly not is not something 210 00:11:35,640 --> 00:11:37,800 Speaker 1: you would do if you thought this was a healthy economy. 211 00:11:37,800 --> 00:11:40,040 Speaker 1: If this economy were booming with all the job growth 212 00:11:40,040 --> 00:11:42,720 Speaker 1: that Donald Trump claimed to his cabinet meeting, there'd be 213 00:11:42,800 --> 00:11:47,000 Speaker 1: no calls to lower interest rates. There'd actually be It 214 00:11:47,120 --> 00:11:49,839 Speaker 1: might even be some calls to slightly raise interest rates 215 00:11:49,920 --> 00:11:52,960 Speaker 1: or keep them steady. Right. The whole point of the 216 00:11:53,000 --> 00:11:55,000 Speaker 1: Fed sort of having this ability to go up or 217 00:11:55,040 --> 00:11:58,600 Speaker 1: down is to try to prevent a recession. And it 218 00:11:58,640 --> 00:12:01,160 Speaker 1: may be that because of tear, because of the high 219 00:12:01,160 --> 00:12:03,440 Speaker 1: cost of living here, we have it clearly there's a 220 00:12:03,520 --> 00:12:07,960 Speaker 1: job slow down. Right. All of that data is you know, 221 00:12:08,000 --> 00:12:12,120 Speaker 1: he can he can complain about the specific piece of 222 00:12:12,160 --> 00:12:15,960 Speaker 1: August jobs data, but everything else that's coming out is 223 00:12:16,120 --> 00:12:22,520 Speaker 1: very seems to confirm the general direction here. Job growth 224 00:12:22,920 --> 00:12:25,680 Speaker 1: has slowed, and we may very well be in negative 225 00:12:25,800 --> 00:12:29,640 Speaker 1: job growth territory. I'll say this, I think politically, this 226 00:12:29,720 --> 00:12:31,920 Speaker 1: is one. You know, there's some things the White House 227 00:12:31,960 --> 00:12:36,000 Speaker 1: does that I understand what they're doing politically, like going 228 00:12:36,040 --> 00:12:39,440 Speaker 1: ahead and picking this fight with Democrats on crime and 229 00:12:39,480 --> 00:12:44,400 Speaker 1: big cities. This is it's frustrating the left. It is 230 00:12:44,440 --> 00:12:49,080 Speaker 1: dividing the Democratic Party on this front, and they know it. 231 00:12:49,440 --> 00:12:52,600 Speaker 1: And it is the only thing that I think voters 232 00:12:52,679 --> 00:12:55,199 Speaker 1: are sort of sighting with him on right now than 233 00:12:55,200 --> 00:12:59,160 Speaker 1: they are with trump opponents on the economy. The voters, 234 00:12:59,280 --> 00:13:01,800 Speaker 1: you know, people seem to be citing with Trump's opponents 235 00:13:01,840 --> 00:13:04,280 Speaker 1: than with Trump on this, with national security, more with 236 00:13:04,280 --> 00:13:06,640 Speaker 1: Trump's opponents than with Trump on this. But on this 237 00:13:06,760 --> 00:13:10,160 Speaker 1: single issue, I think he is you know, even an 238 00:13:10,160 --> 00:13:12,800 Speaker 1: immigration Trump is losing the plot right where you have 239 00:13:13,120 --> 00:13:16,120 Speaker 1: you still have a majority, including a strong minority of 240 00:13:16,160 --> 00:13:18,920 Speaker 1: Republicans who believe in a path to citizenship, who are 241 00:13:18,920 --> 00:13:23,640 Speaker 1: not crazy about this mass deportations, et cetera. So really 242 00:13:23,679 --> 00:13:26,480 Speaker 1: the one thing, and I think it means that as 243 00:13:26,559 --> 00:13:31,600 Speaker 1: this economy gets weaker, as the political climate looks tougher 244 00:13:31,640 --> 00:13:36,400 Speaker 1: for Republicans, because this economy gets weaker, and weaker, and 245 00:13:36,800 --> 00:13:40,720 Speaker 1: costs keep going up. The one thing the White House 246 00:13:40,800 --> 00:13:42,400 Speaker 1: is going to press their foot on the gas on 247 00:13:43,040 --> 00:13:46,679 Speaker 1: is is in finding a way to insert themselves into 248 00:13:46,760 --> 00:13:49,079 Speaker 1: law and order politics in the big cities. And they're 249 00:13:49,120 --> 00:13:52,480 Speaker 1: being you know, they're they're you know, they're not going 250 00:13:52,520 --> 00:13:55,320 Speaker 1: to Jackson, Mississippi. They're not going to Memphis, Tennessee. Right, 251 00:13:55,360 --> 00:13:58,079 Speaker 1: They've yet to pick a city that is run by 252 00:13:58,800 --> 00:14:01,560 Speaker 1: in a state with a Republican governor. I don't think 253 00:14:01,600 --> 00:14:03,480 Speaker 1: they're going to do that, right. All of it is 254 00:14:03,520 --> 00:14:08,000 Speaker 1: going to be designed with this. You know, find a 255 00:14:08,080 --> 00:14:12,520 Speaker 1: blue city in a blue state and try to single 256 00:14:12,559 --> 00:14:15,400 Speaker 1: it out that way, and you see it. Right, You've 257 00:14:15,400 --> 00:14:18,240 Speaker 1: seen the mayor of Chicago react in a way this 258 00:14:18,440 --> 00:14:23,520 Speaker 1: is not I think he hasn't taken the right tactic here. 259 00:14:23,720 --> 00:14:26,440 Speaker 1: I think mere Bowser took the way like, hey, great, 260 00:14:26,480 --> 00:14:29,160 Speaker 1: we need some more resources. Now. How you're doing about 261 00:14:29,200 --> 00:14:30,680 Speaker 1: it is not the way I would do it. I 262 00:14:30,760 --> 00:14:34,240 Speaker 1: need more help hiring cops. I need more money for 263 00:14:34,280 --> 00:14:38,360 Speaker 1: after school programs. I need more money for all of 264 00:14:38,400 --> 00:14:44,480 Speaker 1: these things. Just surging National Guard troops who really are 265 00:14:44,520 --> 00:14:50,480 Speaker 1: not equipped to do day to day policing is barely 266 00:14:50,520 --> 00:14:53,120 Speaker 1: a temporary solution, right, what we've seen in Washington, d C. 267 00:14:53,240 --> 00:14:56,440 Speaker 1: It's no solution at all. It is it is literally 268 00:14:56,600 --> 00:14:58,720 Speaker 1: you only see the presence of the guard and the 269 00:14:58,720 --> 00:15:02,240 Speaker 1: tourist locations, which tells you that this is more performative 270 00:15:02,280 --> 00:15:07,480 Speaker 1: than it is actually about helping Washington, d C. Police 271 00:15:08,000 --> 00:15:12,280 Speaker 1: streets and places that are under police. The most over 272 00:15:12,360 --> 00:15:17,160 Speaker 1: police section of Washington DC is the area between Constitution 273 00:15:17,240 --> 00:15:20,600 Speaker 1: Avenue and Independence Avenue. There are so many different law 274 00:15:20,640 --> 00:15:24,120 Speaker 1: enforcement agencies that have jurisdiction there. They're all over the place. 275 00:15:24,160 --> 00:15:27,000 Speaker 1: You can't keep track of them on how many of 276 00:15:27,040 --> 00:15:30,720 Speaker 1: there are, so it is a complete absurdity. And yet 277 00:15:31,200 --> 00:15:32,800 Speaker 1: if you want to have a conversation about the other 278 00:15:32,800 --> 00:15:36,200 Speaker 1: side of Anacostia, the Anacostia River, plenty of residents there 279 00:15:36,200 --> 00:15:38,120 Speaker 1: would love to see more beat cops on the street. 280 00:15:39,080 --> 00:15:44,440 Speaker 1: So it is obviously designed to be performative. But here's 281 00:15:44,480 --> 00:15:47,440 Speaker 1: the thing it does. Not only does it play to 282 00:15:47,480 --> 00:15:50,880 Speaker 1: the President's base, it plays into this perception that Democrats 283 00:15:50,880 --> 00:15:53,880 Speaker 1: are soft on this, and then you have the divide 284 00:15:53,880 --> 00:15:57,960 Speaker 1: in the Democratic Party which only then reinforces the softness. 285 00:15:57,960 --> 00:15:59,600 Speaker 1: So this is a classic Hey, if you can find 286 00:15:59,640 --> 00:16:04,200 Speaker 1: an issue that divide your opponents, you're winning, and this 287 00:16:04,280 --> 00:16:07,560 Speaker 1: is one of those issues that is dividing right now Democrats, 288 00:16:08,520 --> 00:16:10,200 Speaker 1: and they've not come up with a sort of a 289 00:16:10,240 --> 00:16:13,480 Speaker 1: coherent response to this. Perhaps they should be just focused 290 00:16:13,480 --> 00:16:16,360 Speaker 1: on cost of living, right, talking about it as a distraction. 291 00:16:16,480 --> 00:16:19,880 Speaker 1: But at the same time, you know, these cities need 292 00:16:19,960 --> 00:16:22,960 Speaker 1: more resources from the federal government, and this Congress pulled 293 00:16:23,000 --> 00:16:26,120 Speaker 1: these resources away from the federal government. Unfortunately, this is 294 00:16:26,160 --> 00:16:28,160 Speaker 1: something that might get worse than a lot of cities 295 00:16:28,680 --> 00:16:32,840 Speaker 1: because you know, all of the excess money that the 296 00:16:32,840 --> 00:16:37,560 Speaker 1: federal government had been giving to cities basically since COVID 297 00:16:38,720 --> 00:16:42,280 Speaker 1: is drying up, and that's only going to make this 298 00:16:42,320 --> 00:16:46,200 Speaker 1: more difficult. It's only going to make this harder. And 299 00:16:46,240 --> 00:16:49,720 Speaker 1: in some ways, as the divisive way that Trump's going 300 00:16:49,760 --> 00:16:54,320 Speaker 1: about this, it actually hurts police recruiting. Right, If you 301 00:16:54,480 --> 00:17:04,760 Speaker 1: turn police officers into this political pawn, you're you're gonna 302 00:17:05,040 --> 00:17:06,919 Speaker 1: plenty of people are gonna be like, I don't want to, 303 00:17:07,160 --> 00:17:09,480 Speaker 1: I don't, I don't I don't want to automatically have 304 00:17:09,680 --> 00:17:11,720 Speaker 1: half the country not like me or half. You know 305 00:17:12,160 --> 00:17:16,000 Speaker 1: this is and you know this has been Trump's method, right, 306 00:17:16,040 --> 00:17:18,760 Speaker 1: he never wants to unite the country. His instinct is 307 00:17:18,760 --> 00:17:23,360 Speaker 1: always divide, divide, divide. That's always where he's going. It's 308 00:17:23,359 --> 00:17:26,840 Speaker 1: been good politics for Donald Trump. It's been bad for 309 00:17:26,880 --> 00:17:29,880 Speaker 1: the country. Frankly, it's been bad. Right. You know, we're 310 00:17:29,960 --> 00:17:33,000 Speaker 1: not a unified country. We're an extraordinary how how ununified 311 00:17:33,040 --> 00:17:34,679 Speaker 1: are we we? Now? We now are going to have 312 00:17:34,760 --> 00:17:38,000 Speaker 1: like different health rules depending on the state that you 313 00:17:38,119 --> 00:17:40,560 Speaker 1: live in. Like the governor of Illinois just signed a 314 00:17:40,560 --> 00:17:45,040 Speaker 1: bill that essentially said, hey, this, the state will recognize, 315 00:17:46,040 --> 00:17:52,200 Speaker 1: you know, medicines that had FDA approval, you know before 316 00:17:52,240 --> 00:17:55,720 Speaker 1: twenty twenty five, if they somehow get the approval yanked 317 00:17:55,800 --> 00:17:59,679 Speaker 1: by Robert Kennedy and his crazy anti vax crew. And 318 00:17:59,800 --> 00:18:02,719 Speaker 1: so so you know, we're literally going to have different 319 00:18:02,800 --> 00:18:10,640 Speaker 1: standards of health, different standards of law enforcement, different standards 320 00:18:08,920 --> 00:18:13,480 Speaker 1: of a lot of things based on the state you 321 00:18:13,520 --> 00:18:15,159 Speaker 1: live in. I mean, we're already used to this a 322 00:18:15,200 --> 00:18:19,720 Speaker 1: little bit, but we're starting to see brighter and brighter lines. 323 00:18:19,760 --> 00:18:23,359 Speaker 1: That's not healthy for this nation. And that you know 324 00:18:23,400 --> 00:18:27,359 Speaker 1: that starts from the top. This is intentionally divisive, and 325 00:18:27,600 --> 00:18:31,840 Speaker 1: it is it's bad for the country. And so look, 326 00:18:31,960 --> 00:18:35,160 Speaker 1: I think two things are going to be true about 327 00:18:35,280 --> 00:18:37,800 Speaker 1: what we're witnessing. One is this FED thing. This is 328 00:18:37,840 --> 00:18:41,680 Speaker 1: about testing the courts, and we'll see what the courts say. 329 00:18:41,920 --> 00:18:43,320 Speaker 1: I think he's going to lose this one and lose 330 00:18:43,359 --> 00:18:47,640 Speaker 1: it Bigley. Look, he's still eventually going to get his way. 331 00:18:48,000 --> 00:18:50,720 Speaker 1: He's going to get his new FED chair. And that's 332 00:18:50,720 --> 00:18:53,000 Speaker 1: not healthy, that's not good. The last time a president 333 00:18:53,040 --> 00:18:55,520 Speaker 1: had this much influence on a FED chair was Richard 334 00:18:55,600 --> 00:18:58,720 Speaker 1: Nixon and Arthur Burns, and it led to the arguably 335 00:18:58,760 --> 00:19:02,439 Speaker 1: the third worst period economically in this country's history, counting 336 00:19:02,440 --> 00:19:05,400 Speaker 1: the Great Depression and the Great Recession is one and two. 337 00:19:06,760 --> 00:19:12,080 Speaker 1: And so if you would like, if you think Turkey's 338 00:19:12,080 --> 00:19:16,440 Speaker 1: got a great economy, memo to folks, it does not. 339 00:19:17,359 --> 00:19:20,000 Speaker 1: As the narrator might insert here, you're going to love 340 00:19:20,040 --> 00:19:22,800 Speaker 1: this politicized economy that he tends to do here, which 341 00:19:22,800 --> 00:19:25,320 Speaker 1: of course I don't get. This is why, politically, I 342 00:19:25,359 --> 00:19:28,600 Speaker 1: think this is so stupid. Right, any political strategies would say, 343 00:19:28,960 --> 00:19:31,159 Speaker 1: why do you want why do you want more control 344 00:19:31,160 --> 00:19:34,400 Speaker 1: over these things? Because then there's only one person to blame. Right. 345 00:19:34,440 --> 00:19:37,280 Speaker 1: I also think being mayor of every city is something 346 00:19:37,320 --> 00:19:40,960 Speaker 1: he's going to regret. Right, he is obsessed with inserting 347 00:19:41,040 --> 00:19:45,320 Speaker 1: himself into every story, obsessed with inserting himself into every problem. 348 00:19:45,760 --> 00:19:47,359 Speaker 1: But what he is going to send the message in 349 00:19:47,640 --> 00:19:52,520 Speaker 1: is that, Okay, it's all his fault now, right, whatever 350 00:19:52,560 --> 00:19:55,639 Speaker 1: you don't like, it's Donald Trump's fault, pure and simple. 351 00:19:56,359 --> 00:19:58,920 Speaker 1: And in many ways, he's basically raising his hand and 352 00:19:58,960 --> 00:20:03,400 Speaker 1: saying no, no, no, no. You could you could say it's 353 00:20:03,480 --> 00:20:06,240 Speaker 1: you know, at least he's willing to take responsibility, or 354 00:20:06,280 --> 00:20:08,720 Speaker 1: he's willing to put himself out there, but we know 355 00:20:08,840 --> 00:20:11,360 Speaker 1: he doesn't usually take responsibility when things go wrong. He'll 356 00:20:11,400 --> 00:20:13,520 Speaker 1: still try to find a way to blame somebody else. 357 00:20:13,840 --> 00:20:17,840 Speaker 1: Maybe he'll blame independent podcasters like myself, right or whatever. 358 00:20:17,920 --> 00:20:20,200 Speaker 1: But he's he's always looking for someone else to blame. 359 00:20:20,240 --> 00:20:22,879 Speaker 1: But in some ways, there's going to be fewer and 360 00:20:22,960 --> 00:20:27,000 Speaker 1: fewer other people to blame. Few other notes that I 361 00:20:27,040 --> 00:20:29,280 Speaker 1: wanted to sort of you know, this is Wednesday, This 362 00:20:29,440 --> 00:20:31,520 Speaker 1: is my sort of notebook day before I get to 363 00:20:31,560 --> 00:20:34,439 Speaker 1: my larger point here on what my substack story was. 364 00:20:34,760 --> 00:20:37,920 Speaker 1: So Donald Trump inserting himself into sports again, this time 365 00:20:37,920 --> 00:20:42,000 Speaker 1: with Roger Clemens. Apparently, if you're you know, there's a 366 00:20:42,000 --> 00:20:44,040 Speaker 1: whole slew of baseball players not in the Hall of 367 00:20:44,040 --> 00:20:47,840 Speaker 1: Fame who have statistics that say they should be in 368 00:20:47,840 --> 00:20:50,800 Speaker 1: the Hall of Fame. Roger Clemens, Barry Bonds, Rafael Palmerow, 369 00:20:51,080 --> 00:20:56,879 Speaker 1: Sammy Sosa, Mark McGuire, you know most of these. So 370 00:20:56,920 --> 00:21:00,440 Speaker 1: apparently what you ought to do if you want to 371 00:21:00,480 --> 00:21:03,000 Speaker 1: get you know, somebody to care about your cause to 372 00:21:03,040 --> 00:21:04,560 Speaker 1: get in the Hall of Fame is go golfing with 373 00:21:04,600 --> 00:21:07,080 Speaker 1: the president. Roger Clements goes golfing and the President just 374 00:21:07,080 --> 00:21:10,399 Speaker 1: speaks out on him. I'm I'm sure Rafael Palmarrow and 375 00:21:10,440 --> 00:21:12,800 Speaker 1: Mark McGuire are going, hey, maybe I should go golfing 376 00:21:13,040 --> 00:21:15,560 Speaker 1: with the president and see if they will start to 377 00:21:17,400 --> 00:21:21,480 Speaker 1: start to take up my cause to be in the 378 00:21:21,480 --> 00:21:24,199 Speaker 1: Hall of Fame. But what's interesting is is sort of 379 00:21:24,200 --> 00:21:28,720 Speaker 1: the pattern here of Donald Trump. He always gravitates to 380 00:21:29,400 --> 00:21:34,119 Speaker 1: somebody that has been punished for cheating, right, cheating on 381 00:21:35,560 --> 00:21:41,480 Speaker 1: their morals, cheating at sports, cheating at finances. He always went, 382 00:21:42,400 --> 00:21:44,600 Speaker 1: and you can't help but ask yourself that this is 383 00:21:44,600 --> 00:21:47,280 Speaker 1: all projection, right, I look at this when he when 384 00:21:47,280 --> 00:21:49,320 Speaker 1: he goes down there, you know, with Pete Rose or 385 00:21:49,359 --> 00:21:54,639 Speaker 1: all of this stuff, that he really doesn't respect that 386 00:21:55,080 --> 00:21:59,200 Speaker 1: some entities have their own sort of rules and that hey, 387 00:21:58,960 --> 00:22:02,520 Speaker 1: that they have a higher bar of ethics. Right, when 388 00:22:02,600 --> 00:22:06,800 Speaker 1: any sort of entity has has high ethics, he seems 389 00:22:06,880 --> 00:22:09,560 Speaker 1: to want to be he want to disregard them, right. 390 00:22:09,880 --> 00:22:12,000 Speaker 1: He really is a you know, you're either a winner 391 00:22:12,080 --> 00:22:14,879 Speaker 1: or a loser. And to him, Roger Clemens was a winner. 392 00:22:15,280 --> 00:22:19,600 Speaker 1: Who cares what he took to keep his fastball lively 393 00:22:19,640 --> 00:22:22,520 Speaker 1: for twenty years when most people couldn't do that? Right? 394 00:22:22,880 --> 00:22:25,639 Speaker 1: Who cares what Barry Bonds? Did? You know? He was 395 00:22:25,680 --> 00:22:29,639 Speaker 1: a winner? Right? And if you're a winner, winners have 396 00:22:29,680 --> 00:22:31,560 Speaker 1: to cheat a little bit to get ahead. That's the 397 00:22:31,600 --> 00:22:34,879 Speaker 1: Donald Trump mentality. And you know this is just the 398 00:22:34,960 --> 00:22:37,680 Speaker 1: small thing. But you know, I think we all wish 399 00:22:37,680 --> 00:22:40,119 Speaker 1: our presidents were role models. Right. There was this idea 400 00:22:40,160 --> 00:22:43,600 Speaker 1: when I was a kid that that in theory. I 401 00:22:43,600 --> 00:22:46,640 Speaker 1: think all of our parents when I was being brought 402 00:22:46,680 --> 00:22:48,840 Speaker 1: up in the seventies, they wanted to believe that they 403 00:22:49,520 --> 00:22:51,399 Speaker 1: that the president should be someone you looked up to, 404 00:22:51,800 --> 00:22:53,800 Speaker 1: that their behavior would be someone you looked up to. 405 00:22:53,920 --> 00:22:56,880 Speaker 1: There's no doubt most you know, I would be appalled 406 00:22:56,880 --> 00:23:00,719 Speaker 1: if any of my kids behaved like Donald Trump. And 407 00:23:00,760 --> 00:23:03,400 Speaker 1: in fact, I mean it would be any any relative 408 00:23:03,440 --> 00:23:05,399 Speaker 1: that behaves like Donald Trump is out of my life, 409 00:23:06,440 --> 00:23:09,359 Speaker 1: any individual who behaves like Donald Trump, right, And I 410 00:23:09,400 --> 00:23:12,480 Speaker 1: think my guess is I'm not alone here, including among 411 00:23:12,480 --> 00:23:14,520 Speaker 1: folks who vote for Donald Trump right, who would not 412 00:23:14,680 --> 00:23:18,639 Speaker 1: tolerate that behavior in their own households, But they go 413 00:23:18,680 --> 00:23:22,000 Speaker 1: ahead and rationalize it because they've somehow been convinced or 414 00:23:22,040 --> 00:23:28,000 Speaker 1: brainwashed that the Left is worse, and you know it is. 415 00:23:28,359 --> 00:23:30,680 Speaker 1: It is sad. But I look at this, and look, 416 00:23:30,720 --> 00:23:32,359 Speaker 1: I'm somebody who thinks Clemens should be in the Hall 417 00:23:32,359 --> 00:23:36,040 Speaker 1: of Fame. Okay, I think the word fame is the 418 00:23:36,080 --> 00:23:38,199 Speaker 1: single most important word in these Hall of Fames. It's 419 00:23:38,240 --> 00:23:42,560 Speaker 1: who's famous, right, These people matter. Clemens has all these 420 00:23:42,600 --> 00:23:45,240 Speaker 1: cy youngs. Now, we can wonder if it was painted, 421 00:23:45,359 --> 00:23:49,880 Speaker 1: but you know what, my goodness, he and Bonds were 422 00:23:49,920 --> 00:23:53,240 Speaker 1: I guess superhuman right in that it showed that they 423 00:23:53,280 --> 00:23:57,600 Speaker 1: were they were great without it, and then they started 424 00:23:57,600 --> 00:23:59,720 Speaker 1: to take the extra help and it made them almost 425 00:23:59,760 --> 00:24:04,920 Speaker 1: super human like. It's also why I meyer Greg Maddox 426 00:24:04,960 --> 00:24:08,040 Speaker 1: so much, because Greg Maddox and Roger Clemens, right, Clemens 427 00:24:08,080 --> 00:24:11,800 Speaker 1: nothing but throwing hard and it's all gas. Maddox couldn't 428 00:24:11,800 --> 00:24:13,560 Speaker 1: get over ninety two, and yet they both have almost 429 00:24:13,640 --> 00:24:17,080 Speaker 1: identical number of wins all time and in the modern era. 430 00:24:17,160 --> 00:24:20,200 Speaker 1: To get the three hundred and fifty wins, to me, that's, 431 00:24:20,280 --> 00:24:22,639 Speaker 1: you know, okay, other than you know, Cy Young's got 432 00:24:22,680 --> 00:24:25,080 Speaker 1: over five hundred back in the day. But I think 433 00:24:25,080 --> 00:24:28,320 Speaker 1: in the modern era getting over three point fifty is astonishing. 434 00:24:29,440 --> 00:24:32,200 Speaker 1: And we know Maddox didn't get help from any sort 435 00:24:32,240 --> 00:24:35,280 Speaker 1: of scientific labs or the cream or the cure, whatever 436 00:24:35,320 --> 00:24:40,399 Speaker 1: it was. But even so, you know, I'm just you know, 437 00:24:40,960 --> 00:24:44,040 Speaker 1: if their questions put the questions on their plaque, note 438 00:24:44,040 --> 00:24:47,000 Speaker 1: that he wasn't you know, he sort of that writers 439 00:24:47,600 --> 00:24:53,119 Speaker 1: were skeptical of how much medical science contributed to his ability. 440 00:24:53,480 --> 00:24:55,439 Speaker 1: But he belongs in the Hall of Fame. Barry Bonds 441 00:24:55,480 --> 00:24:57,680 Speaker 1: belongs in the Hall of Fame, Mark McGuire belongs in 442 00:24:57,720 --> 00:25:01,280 Speaker 1: the Hall of fame. They were all famous in their era. 443 00:25:02,920 --> 00:25:06,040 Speaker 1: I was at the game that McGuire hit his sixty 444 00:25:06,080 --> 00:25:09,360 Speaker 1: first home run. It's still counted. The home run still counted. 445 00:25:09,560 --> 00:25:11,800 Speaker 1: He tied Roger Merris at the time, which is something 446 00:25:11,840 --> 00:25:15,560 Speaker 1: we had not seen in nineteen ninety eight. I haven't 447 00:25:15,600 --> 00:25:20,800 Speaker 1: erased that memory, so but it does bother me that 448 00:25:20,960 --> 00:25:25,800 Speaker 1: Trump likes to surface and highlight rule breakers without noting, hey, 449 00:25:26,160 --> 00:25:28,560 Speaker 1: you know, perhaps that wasn't the right thing to do. 450 00:25:29,320 --> 00:25:33,520 Speaker 1: In some ways, He's only encouraging young kids today that, hey, 451 00:25:33,560 --> 00:25:35,800 Speaker 1: it doesn't matter how you get there, It doesn't matter 452 00:25:36,080 --> 00:25:38,960 Speaker 1: whether you have high character or not. If you're a winner, 453 00:25:39,000 --> 00:25:44,280 Speaker 1: you're a winner. Character be damned. And it's just a 454 00:25:44,520 --> 00:25:57,639 Speaker 1: bit disappointing. Two other small notes. One it's there was 455 00:25:57,720 --> 00:26:02,080 Speaker 1: this fantastic article in The Times the other day about 456 00:26:02,080 --> 00:26:04,320 Speaker 1: how you're watching what's going on in the New York 457 00:26:04,359 --> 00:26:07,439 Speaker 1: City mayor's race, and there's this we're getting close to 458 00:26:07,480 --> 00:26:10,119 Speaker 1: the supposed September first deadline that both Andrew Cuomo and 459 00:26:10,200 --> 00:26:12,720 Speaker 1: Eric Adams, right, is somebody going to get down get 460 00:26:12,760 --> 00:26:16,720 Speaker 1: out in order to unite around an anti mom Donnie candidate, right? 461 00:26:17,119 --> 00:26:19,000 Speaker 1: And what's fascinating is when you read all of the 462 00:26:19,040 --> 00:26:23,400 Speaker 1: stories about you know, if there is polling that says, hey, 463 00:26:24,160 --> 00:26:27,200 Speaker 1: there's a majority that doesn't want mom Donnie. Okay, there 464 00:26:27,240 --> 00:26:30,760 Speaker 1: was a but you know, you can't beat somebody with nobody. 465 00:26:31,080 --> 00:26:33,679 Speaker 1: And if you match up Cuomo, mom Donnie went, if 466 00:26:33,720 --> 00:26:37,760 Speaker 1: you match up Adams, mom Donnie went, right, maybe Cuomo 467 00:26:37,840 --> 00:26:40,880 Speaker 1: and Mom, Donnie, maybe it's a closer race if everybody 468 00:26:40,920 --> 00:26:43,640 Speaker 1: gets out, that's not Mom, Donnie and U knights around him. 469 00:26:44,280 --> 00:26:48,000 Speaker 1: But it's fascinating to me because it's almost identical to 470 00:26:48,040 --> 00:26:50,639 Speaker 1: the conversation Republicans were having to themselves in the spring 471 00:26:50,680 --> 00:26:54,240 Speaker 1: of twenty sixteen when there were all these games. You know, hey, 472 00:26:54,640 --> 00:26:56,920 Speaker 1: maybe if everybody drops out in your knights behind one 473 00:26:56,960 --> 00:26:59,879 Speaker 1: Trump alternative, they can stop Trump. Right, first it was 474 00:27:00,000 --> 00:27:02,240 Speaker 1: Cruise and Rubio, maybe they can become a ticket. But 475 00:27:02,280 --> 00:27:03,920 Speaker 1: then they couldn't agree who was going to be one, 476 00:27:03,920 --> 00:27:06,200 Speaker 1: who is going to be two? And then Kasik and 477 00:27:06,880 --> 00:27:10,120 Speaker 1: Cruse were both calling for the other to get out, saying, hey, 478 00:27:10,119 --> 00:27:12,080 Speaker 1: if I get a one on one, I can beat Trump. 479 00:27:12,840 --> 00:27:15,399 Speaker 1: And there were all this hand ringing and all. Of course, 480 00:27:15,800 --> 00:27:19,960 Speaker 1: the problem in all of these scenarios is if somebody's 481 00:27:19,960 --> 00:27:22,440 Speaker 1: got to give up their ambition, right, And what you 482 00:27:22,840 --> 00:27:25,399 Speaker 1: found out in the twenty sixteen race, right, Rubio couldn't 483 00:27:26,040 --> 00:27:30,960 Speaker 1: was not going to essentially concede to Cruz. Cruse wasn't 484 00:27:30,960 --> 00:27:33,520 Speaker 1: going to concede to Rubio. Kasik wasn't going to do that. 485 00:27:33,600 --> 00:27:35,800 Speaker 1: You know, they all they couldn't do it. And you're 486 00:27:35,840 --> 00:27:38,399 Speaker 1: seeing almost the identical thing happen here with the New 487 00:27:38,480 --> 00:27:43,440 Speaker 1: York City Mayor's race among all the non Mam Donnie candidates. 488 00:27:43,200 --> 00:27:46,440 Speaker 1: It is interesting how Mam Donnie, the rise of Mam 489 00:27:46,480 --> 00:27:50,160 Speaker 1: Donnie is so similar in someone and the reaction to 490 00:27:50,200 --> 00:27:53,280 Speaker 1: it and this and the inability to stop it is 491 00:27:53,320 --> 00:27:58,520 Speaker 1: so reminiscent of the rise of Trump in those Republican primaries. Anyway, 492 00:27:58,560 --> 00:28:01,280 Speaker 1: I just think it's uh, I think there's a lot 493 00:28:01,320 --> 00:28:03,720 Speaker 1: more there. I think that you know that when you 494 00:28:03,800 --> 00:28:09,399 Speaker 1: have this outsider that captures the imagination, the establishment, you know, 495 00:28:09,560 --> 00:28:11,879 Speaker 1: gets sort of so nice, and they they're sort of 496 00:28:12,680 --> 00:28:14,240 Speaker 1: it's almost like they got hit in the face and 497 00:28:14,240 --> 00:28:16,800 Speaker 1: they're still sort of dizzy, but they're trying to they're 498 00:28:16,840 --> 00:28:19,760 Speaker 1: trying desperately to come up with a with a with 499 00:28:19,800 --> 00:28:23,600 Speaker 1: a counterpoint, and they really sort of are missing it, right. 500 00:28:23,680 --> 00:28:28,040 Speaker 1: I think ultimately the establishment Republicans missed what made Trump work, 501 00:28:28,080 --> 00:28:29,439 Speaker 1: and it was the fact that he was willing to 502 00:28:29,480 --> 00:28:31,199 Speaker 1: buck party and the fact that he was willing to 503 00:28:31,240 --> 00:28:33,359 Speaker 1: do these things. And I think in the same way 504 00:28:34,600 --> 00:28:39,720 Speaker 1: Cuomo and Adams they don't quite get why why Mom 505 00:28:39,840 --> 00:28:43,040 Speaker 1: Donnie did get traction. And if you don't understand why 506 00:28:43,080 --> 00:28:47,680 Speaker 1: they got traction just becoming the alternative. And that's the 507 00:28:47,720 --> 00:28:53,200 Speaker 1: other thing. These these anti campaigns rarely work. I mean, 508 00:28:53,240 --> 00:28:55,160 Speaker 1: I guess you could say it worked with Joe Biden. 509 00:28:55,240 --> 00:28:57,280 Speaker 1: You know, look, we know what you don't like. Let's 510 00:28:57,320 --> 00:28:59,200 Speaker 1: you nite around what you don't like. It kind of 511 00:28:59,240 --> 00:29:02,320 Speaker 1: worked in twenty two, but it took a pandemic and 512 00:29:03,160 --> 00:29:06,920 Speaker 1: a colossal mismanagement by the president of that pandemic pandemic 513 00:29:06,960 --> 00:29:10,520 Speaker 1: for it to work, because without the pandemic and just 514 00:29:10,800 --> 00:29:13,600 Speaker 1: a simple anti Trump coalition wasn't gonna win. Didn't work 515 00:29:13,640 --> 00:29:16,680 Speaker 1: in sixteen, didn't work in twenty four, and it likely 516 00:29:16,680 --> 00:29:21,840 Speaker 1: wouldn't have worked in twenty either without without the pandemic. 517 00:29:23,360 --> 00:29:26,880 Speaker 1: And then finally, I am just throwing this out there 518 00:29:28,400 --> 00:29:33,520 Speaker 1: because it would be a fascic. So Howard University abruptly 519 00:29:33,720 --> 00:29:36,360 Speaker 1: lost it. It's the president, the current president of Howard 520 00:29:36,360 --> 00:29:40,280 Speaker 1: abruptly resigned literally basically right at the start of school 521 00:29:40,280 --> 00:29:42,360 Speaker 1: about about a week ago. And you're just like, WHOA, 522 00:29:42,920 --> 00:29:46,680 Speaker 1: So I don't we don't know the whole story, but 523 00:29:46,880 --> 00:29:49,120 Speaker 1: that's one of those The timing is sort of a 524 00:29:49,120 --> 00:29:53,280 Speaker 1: head scratcher. The former president's coming temporarily as an interim. 525 00:29:54,320 --> 00:29:59,400 Speaker 1: But you know it would be an interesting development, is 526 00:29:59,440 --> 00:30:01,600 Speaker 1: if Howard, you know, diversity, reached out to Kamala Harris 527 00:30:01,600 --> 00:30:03,960 Speaker 1: to see if she was interested in the presidency there 528 00:30:04,200 --> 00:30:08,680 Speaker 1: she's an alum. It likely would be wildly popular among 529 00:30:08,720 --> 00:30:12,320 Speaker 1: the lumps, among donors, and it would put her in 530 00:30:12,640 --> 00:30:17,640 Speaker 1: some ways. She'd both be stepping away politically in twenty 531 00:30:17,680 --> 00:30:19,480 Speaker 1: twenty eight and at the same time at the front 532 00:30:19,520 --> 00:30:24,520 Speaker 1: lines of trying to restore academic institutions and academic independence 533 00:30:24,560 --> 00:30:28,680 Speaker 1: in the face of this administration. So I have no idea. 534 00:30:29,680 --> 00:30:31,520 Speaker 1: All I can tell you is there's an opening at Howard. 535 00:30:32,880 --> 00:30:35,520 Speaker 1: Kamala Harris is an alum at Howard. I have no 536 00:30:35,600 --> 00:30:37,760 Speaker 1: idea if this interests her. I have no idea of 537 00:30:37,800 --> 00:30:44,080 Speaker 1: Howard's board board of trustees would want her. But I 538 00:30:44,120 --> 00:30:46,120 Speaker 1: will just tell you it would be a fascinating development 539 00:30:46,880 --> 00:30:49,840 Speaker 1: if you had a president Kamala Harris residing in Washington, DC, 540 00:30:51,480 --> 00:30:55,360 Speaker 1: dealing dealing in the world of academics as Donald Trump 541 00:30:55,440 --> 00:31:02,560 Speaker 1: declares war on academia. Something to ponder there. So, and 542 00:31:02,560 --> 00:31:06,320 Speaker 1: that moves me to a little bit of the heart 543 00:31:06,360 --> 00:31:10,920 Speaker 1: of my substack column this week, which is is trying 544 00:31:10,960 --> 00:31:13,040 Speaker 1: to figure out sort of and it's I'm just going 545 00:31:13,120 --> 00:31:16,000 Speaker 1: to put it simply, you know. One of the things 546 00:31:16,040 --> 00:31:18,080 Speaker 1: I plan on doing now once a week and it'll 547 00:31:18,080 --> 00:31:19,600 Speaker 1: be on these Wednesday shows. It's a come up with 548 00:31:19,840 --> 00:31:30,240 Speaker 1: a top five list, top top Yes, I know I'm 549 00:31:30,240 --> 00:31:33,200 Speaker 1: playing to the algorithm, so what okay, right, I'm going 550 00:31:33,280 --> 00:31:34,840 Speaker 1: to at least try to do it in ways that 551 00:31:34,840 --> 00:31:38,240 Speaker 1: are intellectually interesting. And when I was coming up with 552 00:31:38,320 --> 00:31:41,760 Speaker 1: this sort of a top five list for this first one, 553 00:31:42,560 --> 00:31:44,640 Speaker 1: so it's, you know, and I'll go all over the place. 554 00:31:44,680 --> 00:31:48,000 Speaker 1: I might do underrated college football programs at some point, 555 00:31:48,000 --> 00:31:49,959 Speaker 1: I'm not going to do that one today. What I 556 00:31:50,000 --> 00:31:52,560 Speaker 1: was going to do is sort of who's had the 557 00:31:52,600 --> 00:31:55,400 Speaker 1: best twenty twenty five so far? If you're a Democrat 558 00:31:55,520 --> 00:31:59,920 Speaker 1: trying to position yourself as a viable candidate for twenty twenty, 559 00:32:00,280 --> 00:32:02,600 Speaker 1: it doesn't mean you're a front runner. If you've made 560 00:32:02,640 --> 00:32:05,320 Speaker 1: my top five list. It doesn't mean you pull the best. 561 00:32:05,400 --> 00:32:08,440 Speaker 1: If you've made my top five list, it simply means 562 00:32:08,520 --> 00:32:11,920 Speaker 1: who's had the best, who's had the best, sort of 563 00:32:11,960 --> 00:32:19,520 Speaker 1: who's put themselves in a position that's been that's strengthened, 564 00:32:19,520 --> 00:32:21,480 Speaker 1: it's put themselves in a better position today than they 565 00:32:21,520 --> 00:32:24,320 Speaker 1: were at the start of this calendar year. And so 566 00:32:25,360 --> 00:32:28,400 Speaker 1: I will tell you this, I think the five that 567 00:32:28,440 --> 00:32:32,120 Speaker 1: I would put in here right now on this front, 568 00:32:32,560 --> 00:32:35,320 Speaker 1: I think it's pretty clear nobody's had a better six 569 00:32:35,360 --> 00:32:38,320 Speaker 1: weeks right now than Gavin Newsom. Right six weeks ago. 570 00:32:38,520 --> 00:32:40,920 Speaker 1: Who's the leader of the Democratic Party? Yet I got 571 00:32:40,920 --> 00:32:46,200 Speaker 1: in Crickets? Is it Jeffreys, is it Schumer? It's a 572 00:32:46,240 --> 00:32:50,640 Speaker 1: Barack Obama? Still it's Kamala Harris, right. You know, if 573 00:32:50,640 --> 00:32:53,200 Speaker 1: you offered a list, I think Kamala Harris would come 574 00:32:53,240 --> 00:32:55,920 Speaker 1: out on top. It Usually the previous whoever the previous 575 00:32:55,920 --> 00:32:58,239 Speaker 1: nominee of a party is sort of always is a 576 00:32:58,280 --> 00:33:00,800 Speaker 1: default pick when you ask these question, sort of in 577 00:33:00,840 --> 00:33:05,480 Speaker 1: the first year after a presidential election. So, but I 578 00:33:05,480 --> 00:33:08,840 Speaker 1: think unequivocally right now in this moment, Gavin Newsom's the 579 00:33:08,880 --> 00:33:12,520 Speaker 1: leader of the Democratic Party. This redistricting fight has given 580 00:33:12,600 --> 00:33:16,360 Speaker 1: him a voice he has obviously he's the field general 581 00:33:16,360 --> 00:33:20,560 Speaker 1: here in the response to Texas. In some ways Republicans 582 00:33:20,600 --> 00:33:22,880 Speaker 1: would love to have Gavin as the face of the party, 583 00:33:22,960 --> 00:33:25,240 Speaker 1: so both of them have leaned into it. I think 584 00:33:25,280 --> 00:33:27,840 Speaker 1: the base of the party's fired up that Gavin's willing 585 00:33:27,880 --> 00:33:31,320 Speaker 1: to fight. I'm not gonna plenty of You know what 586 00:33:31,480 --> 00:33:33,960 Speaker 1: I think of this strategy long term, I think it's 587 00:33:34,000 --> 00:33:37,880 Speaker 1: a it's a I think it's a bad move. But 588 00:33:38,480 --> 00:33:41,680 Speaker 1: if you're talking about Gavin Newsom's politics at a time 589 00:33:41,720 --> 00:33:44,560 Speaker 1: when the Democratic base is desperate for a fighter and 590 00:33:44,600 --> 00:33:46,760 Speaker 1: they don't have one at the DNC, they don't have 591 00:33:46,800 --> 00:33:49,000 Speaker 1: one with the House Democrats, they don't have one with 592 00:33:49,040 --> 00:33:53,680 Speaker 1: the Senate Democrats, I get it. So Gavin's the fighter 593 00:33:53,880 --> 00:33:56,520 Speaker 1: right now, and I think it's it is. It is 594 00:33:56,600 --> 00:33:59,960 Speaker 1: probably going to translate into you'll start to see when 595 00:34:00,080 --> 00:34:03,400 Speaker 1: they ask the very early primary polling of who's your 596 00:34:03,400 --> 00:34:06,400 Speaker 1: preference to be the nominee twenty eight? I imagic Gavin 597 00:34:06,480 --> 00:34:08,840 Speaker 1: is going to be in the first slot in the 598 00:34:08,880 --> 00:34:11,040 Speaker 1: next six to eight weeks. Now, He's going to have 599 00:34:11,040 --> 00:34:15,560 Speaker 1: a huge test, right if he loses this referendum, you know, 600 00:34:17,320 --> 00:34:20,080 Speaker 1: it's probably a big blow to any chances he has. 601 00:34:20,120 --> 00:34:22,080 Speaker 1: And look, I'll admit I'm still a bit of a 602 00:34:22,120 --> 00:34:24,719 Speaker 1: skeptic at a former mayor of San Francisco can get 603 00:34:24,719 --> 00:34:27,040 Speaker 1: elected president of the United States just because of how 604 00:34:27,040 --> 00:34:31,719 Speaker 1: we culturally liberal, the perception of the of of how 605 00:34:31,760 --> 00:34:34,480 Speaker 1: culture liberal San Francisco is, and I just think it. 606 00:34:34,719 --> 00:34:40,239 Speaker 1: You know, we've seen how successfully the ripe is the 607 00:34:40,320 --> 00:34:43,440 Speaker 1: right has been able to demonize that. But I think, 608 00:34:43,480 --> 00:34:45,640 Speaker 1: to make no mistake, he'd be in mine. He's so 609 00:34:45,920 --> 00:34:47,960 Speaker 1: in my one slot is Gavin in my two slot 610 00:34:49,080 --> 00:34:50,759 Speaker 1: is somebody that isn't going to show up very high 611 00:34:50,760 --> 00:34:54,000 Speaker 1: in the polls right now, But it's Reuben Diego. And 612 00:34:54,080 --> 00:34:56,200 Speaker 1: in fact, I have this column about sort of there's 613 00:34:56,239 --> 00:35:01,799 Speaker 1: sort of in Today's in my sub stack update this 614 00:35:01,840 --> 00:35:04,879 Speaker 1: week that notes that sort of, look, there's been three 615 00:35:04,960 --> 00:35:09,600 Speaker 1: successful models archetypes for Democrats to win the presidency when 616 00:35:09,600 --> 00:35:14,080 Speaker 1: they've been out of power, right, and I sort of 617 00:35:14,440 --> 00:35:16,719 Speaker 1: I don't count Biden. Biden is sort of the acception rate. 618 00:35:16,880 --> 00:35:20,920 Speaker 1: Biden is the only president in one hundred years Democratic 619 00:35:20,960 --> 00:35:25,280 Speaker 1: side to win the presidency as a Democrat after having 620 00:35:25,480 --> 00:35:29,640 Speaker 1: lost a campaign for the president presidency in a previous year. 621 00:35:30,160 --> 00:35:32,520 Speaker 1: Bill Clinton won the presidency the first time he ran. 622 00:35:32,640 --> 00:35:34,879 Speaker 1: Barack Obama won the presidency the first time he ran. 623 00:35:35,000 --> 00:35:37,239 Speaker 1: Jimmy Carter won the presidency the first time he ran. 624 00:35:37,560 --> 00:35:40,759 Speaker 1: John Kennedy won the presidency the first time he ran. So, 625 00:35:42,960 --> 00:35:45,360 Speaker 1: you know, we can have a debate about whether FDR 626 00:35:47,160 --> 00:35:50,320 Speaker 1: being on the ticket as a VP nominee counts or 627 00:35:50,400 --> 00:35:53,520 Speaker 1: not as somebody having run before he actually run ran 628 00:35:53,600 --> 00:35:56,000 Speaker 1: himself for president. But that was in the arguably the 629 00:35:56,000 --> 00:35:57,960 Speaker 1: pre primary era. So if you really look in the 630 00:35:58,000 --> 00:36:01,800 Speaker 1: primary era of presidential pololitics, that has been the norm, 631 00:36:02,360 --> 00:36:05,200 Speaker 1: and there's sort of different archetypes that each fit in, right, 632 00:36:05,280 --> 00:36:09,160 Speaker 1: you know, sort of Carter was the candidate that rose 633 00:36:09,239 --> 00:36:11,920 Speaker 1: because the nation wanted to cleanse itself from the corruption 634 00:36:12,000 --> 00:36:15,040 Speaker 1: of Richard Nixon and the sort of the immorality of 635 00:36:15,120 --> 00:36:19,600 Speaker 1: Nixon's presidency and his faith was grounded in fact. There's 636 00:36:19,640 --> 00:36:22,160 Speaker 1: a few candidates out there that I think might look 637 00:36:22,239 --> 00:36:25,040 Speaker 1: there look similar to that. Bill Clinton was the guy 638 00:36:25,080 --> 00:36:26,880 Speaker 1: who came in. Everybody thought he had too much baggage 639 00:36:26,920 --> 00:36:29,560 Speaker 1: to win a national election, too much questions about his 640 00:36:29,640 --> 00:36:32,800 Speaker 1: personal life, but he proved to be a fighter. Right, 641 00:36:32,960 --> 00:36:35,320 Speaker 1: does that ring familiar? I put Gavin Newsom in that column, 642 00:36:35,440 --> 00:36:37,359 Speaker 1: and then Barack Obama was sort of the fresh face 643 00:36:37,400 --> 00:36:39,800 Speaker 1: to turn the page. Aren't we tired of that old politics? 644 00:36:39,800 --> 00:36:42,880 Speaker 1: It's time to have a new conversation? And this is 645 00:36:42,880 --> 00:36:46,640 Speaker 1: the category I put Reuben Gego in. You know, here's 646 00:36:46,640 --> 00:36:49,359 Speaker 1: somebody who when he first got in, I thought, oh, 647 00:36:49,400 --> 00:36:53,680 Speaker 1: he's going to be compartmentalized as the super lefty primary 648 00:36:53,760 --> 00:36:58,359 Speaker 1: challenger to Kirsten Cinema. But he effectively didn't get pigeonholed 649 00:36:58,360 --> 00:37:01,840 Speaker 1: as a far left candidate, and he really moved on 650 00:37:02,320 --> 00:37:05,399 Speaker 1: the issue of border security, sort of very much, sort 651 00:37:05,400 --> 00:37:09,319 Speaker 1: of putting himself in line in some ways to the 652 00:37:09,440 --> 00:37:11,640 Speaker 1: right of Mark Kelly on some issues when it came 653 00:37:11,680 --> 00:37:15,840 Speaker 1: to border security and immigration. He won a close race 654 00:37:15,920 --> 00:37:18,200 Speaker 1: in a state that Donald Trump carried. That's a pretty 655 00:37:18,200 --> 00:37:21,120 Speaker 1: good it's a pretty good thing to have on your 656 00:37:21,120 --> 00:37:27,560 Speaker 1: political resume right now. And look, this is a barrier 657 00:37:27,560 --> 00:37:30,120 Speaker 1: that Democrats haven't broken in the presidential level, which is 658 00:37:30,160 --> 00:37:34,200 Speaker 1: to nominate somebody of Latino descent, either as a president 659 00:37:34,280 --> 00:37:37,480 Speaker 1: or a vice president. So you put him in that 660 00:37:37,520 --> 00:37:40,120 Speaker 1: sort of Barack Obama column, if you will. So I 661 00:37:40,120 --> 00:37:44,160 Speaker 1: think he's had the second best summer right now behind 662 00:37:44,200 --> 00:37:47,680 Speaker 1: Gavin Newsom. It's sort of putting themselves in to the 663 00:37:47,719 --> 00:37:50,520 Speaker 1: top tier of the president. Doesn't mean he's I'm saying 664 00:37:50,600 --> 00:37:53,240 Speaker 1: he's he's not. You know, he may not pull past 665 00:37:53,280 --> 00:37:55,919 Speaker 1: three percent for the next two years, but I think 666 00:37:55,960 --> 00:37:59,520 Speaker 1: as far as donor awareness and activist awareness. He's had 667 00:37:59,560 --> 00:38:01,080 Speaker 1: a pretty good and he's, by the way, been to 668 00:38:01,080 --> 00:38:05,400 Speaker 1: both Iowa New Hampshire this summer. And I'd say that 669 00:38:05,920 --> 00:38:07,880 Speaker 1: the other candidate that I put on putting in the 670 00:38:07,920 --> 00:38:11,160 Speaker 1: three slot is somebody that nobody counts as a presidential 671 00:38:11,160 --> 00:38:14,280 Speaker 1: candidate yet, and it's James Tellerrisco, which is the state 672 00:38:14,600 --> 00:38:18,400 Speaker 1: legislator down in Texas, who reminds me the sort of 673 00:38:18,400 --> 00:38:20,840 Speaker 1: the buzz that's growing around him actually reminds me of 674 00:38:20,840 --> 00:38:23,839 Speaker 1: the buzz in twenty seventeen around the mayor of South 675 00:38:23,920 --> 00:38:28,920 Speaker 1: Bend who ran a failed campaign for DNC chair but 676 00:38:29,480 --> 00:38:32,600 Speaker 1: became a popular person to start booking. Hey, this is 677 00:38:32,640 --> 00:38:36,040 Speaker 1: a new fresh face inside the Democratic Party. Their first millennial, 678 00:38:36,440 --> 00:38:38,960 Speaker 1: can you know, their first sort of millennial spokesperson who 679 00:38:39,040 --> 00:38:42,279 Speaker 1: sort of, you know, seems to be not a little 680 00:38:42,280 --> 00:38:46,279 Speaker 1: bit different than what we're used to, and it was 681 00:38:46,280 --> 00:38:50,240 Speaker 1: Pete Footagge and Telerisco reminds me of a combination of 682 00:38:50,280 --> 00:38:53,480 Speaker 1: Pete Buotagge and Jimmy Carter. And there's a chance that 683 00:38:53,480 --> 00:38:57,120 Speaker 1: that is maybe that you know, I don't know if 684 00:38:57,160 --> 00:38:59,439 Speaker 1: that's going to be what the voters want in twenty eight. 685 00:39:00,360 --> 00:39:02,759 Speaker 1: But I think he's put himself in a position where 686 00:39:02,760 --> 00:39:05,880 Speaker 1: he suddenly, you know, people are looking for a new voice, 687 00:39:06,320 --> 00:39:10,720 Speaker 1: people are looking for a younger, generational change. He's checking 688 00:39:10,760 --> 00:39:13,160 Speaker 1: a lot of these boxes. And you know, unfortunately for 689 00:39:13,200 --> 00:39:17,120 Speaker 1: Pete Budaget, he's run before. And if you if the 690 00:39:17,120 --> 00:39:19,920 Speaker 1: pattern holds where you know, it's tough to be a 691 00:39:19,920 --> 00:39:22,640 Speaker 1: fresh face a second time, right, you only get to 692 00:39:22,640 --> 00:39:27,200 Speaker 1: be the fresh face once. So I think he in 693 00:39:27,239 --> 00:39:31,440 Speaker 1: some ways tal Risco was the face of the Democrats 694 00:39:31,440 --> 00:39:38,560 Speaker 1: who fled out in Texas. Being grounded in faith, I 695 00:39:38,600 --> 00:39:41,239 Speaker 1: think is a strength, particularly in a general election that 696 00:39:41,360 --> 00:39:44,799 Speaker 1: is underrated, especially if it comes from the Democratic side. Right, 697 00:39:44,800 --> 00:39:47,759 Speaker 1: there's this perception that Republicans are more religious than Democrats. 698 00:39:49,280 --> 00:39:51,560 Speaker 1: I think that would play well in the Midwest. So 699 00:39:52,200 --> 00:39:54,759 Speaker 1: I just I put him at number three on sort 700 00:39:54,760 --> 00:39:58,720 Speaker 1: of having you know, he put himself on the map. Okay, 701 00:39:58,760 --> 00:40:01,360 Speaker 1: nobody was saying that, the even thinking about him in 702 00:40:01,400 --> 00:40:03,759 Speaker 1: those terms. And maybe you know, this is why if 703 00:40:03,760 --> 00:40:06,680 Speaker 1: I were in his shoes, I don't I might if 704 00:40:06,680 --> 00:40:09,239 Speaker 1: I run for anything, I'd run for governor at Senate, right, 705 00:40:09,320 --> 00:40:10,960 Speaker 1: I'd stay out of the federal issues and I'd make 706 00:40:11,400 --> 00:40:16,840 Speaker 1: abbot if he decides to run statewide, But he's somebody 707 00:40:16,880 --> 00:40:19,640 Speaker 1: I wouldn't be shocked to see on an early debate 708 00:40:19,719 --> 00:40:22,520 Speaker 1: stage sometime in the fall of twenty seven. And then 709 00:40:22,560 --> 00:40:24,799 Speaker 1: the next two i'd put down is sort of four 710 00:40:24,840 --> 00:40:29,160 Speaker 1: and five on this list is Andy Basheer and Wes Moore, 711 00:40:29,280 --> 00:40:33,560 Speaker 1: who they've you know, they've been you're watching them in 712 00:40:33,600 --> 00:40:35,719 Speaker 1: some ways they've been out maneuvering, you know. I think 713 00:40:35,719 --> 00:40:38,200 Speaker 1: we all expected Joshapiro to be a little more aggressive, 714 00:40:38,200 --> 00:40:42,000 Speaker 1: and he's been much less aggressive, sort of talking up 715 00:40:42,040 --> 00:40:44,680 Speaker 1: his own potential presidential candidacy. I think he wants to 716 00:40:44,719 --> 00:40:49,279 Speaker 1: secure a second term first versus you know, Basher's you know, 717 00:40:49,360 --> 00:40:51,640 Speaker 1: he's he didn't know, he's not running for reelection. He 718 00:40:51,640 --> 00:40:55,279 Speaker 1: doesn't have to run again himself. And in Wes Moore, 719 00:40:55,320 --> 00:40:58,240 Speaker 1: I think is a little safer politically right. I doubt 720 00:40:58,560 --> 00:41:00,680 Speaker 1: the only person that could give west Or a race 721 00:41:00,719 --> 00:41:03,040 Speaker 1: in twenty six would be the former governor Larry Hogan. 722 00:41:03,080 --> 00:41:06,120 Speaker 1: And while well, I think he joked about it on 723 00:41:06,120 --> 00:41:09,200 Speaker 1: social media a couple of weeks ago, I'd be shocked 724 00:41:09,239 --> 00:41:13,480 Speaker 1: if he wanted to go through the mass of trying 725 00:41:13,520 --> 00:41:17,160 Speaker 1: to navigate Trump in a Republican party, even though the 726 00:41:17,160 --> 00:41:20,200 Speaker 1: Maryland Republican Party would probably be a little bit more 727 00:41:20,239 --> 00:41:22,880 Speaker 1: open to him being anti Trump than anyplace else. It 728 00:41:22,960 --> 00:41:24,759 Speaker 1: doesn't make a lot of sense to me. And I 729 00:41:24,760 --> 00:41:27,120 Speaker 1: think both More and Bashir have done the inside game 730 00:41:27,160 --> 00:41:30,720 Speaker 1: pretty well. They both traveled to some key early states. 731 00:41:30,800 --> 00:41:36,239 Speaker 1: Basher showed up at the Akim Jeffreys money gathering out 732 00:41:36,239 --> 00:41:38,240 Speaker 1: of the West Coast and was sort of a featured 733 00:41:38,280 --> 00:41:41,319 Speaker 1: speaker there. So he's starting to meet those donors. So, 734 00:41:42,000 --> 00:41:48,480 Speaker 1: you know, so in short, I think those you know, 735 00:41:49,960 --> 00:41:53,200 Speaker 1: like I said, some people wears Shapiro. Where's AOC. I 736 00:41:53,200 --> 00:41:55,799 Speaker 1: think AOC had a really good spring, she sort of 737 00:41:55,880 --> 00:41:59,440 Speaker 1: ratcheted back, and I'm you know, who's the leader of 738 00:41:59,480 --> 00:42:01,920 Speaker 1: the progress Is it Bernie Sanders or is it AOC? 739 00:42:02,120 --> 00:42:04,760 Speaker 1: And I think until the handoff is complete, it feels 740 00:42:04,760 --> 00:42:07,359 Speaker 1: like Bernie Sanders is not ready to give up the torch, right. 741 00:42:07,680 --> 00:42:11,240 Speaker 1: He still wants to be the leader of the progressive movement, 742 00:42:11,440 --> 00:42:15,000 Speaker 1: And so until that's fully handed off to her, that's 743 00:42:15,040 --> 00:42:17,759 Speaker 1: why I don't quite her. I certainly put her out 744 00:42:17,800 --> 00:42:19,839 Speaker 1: there as a wild card in this, and I think 745 00:42:20,040 --> 00:42:23,319 Speaker 1: she's a formidable candidate if she runs. Don't get me wrong, 746 00:42:23,400 --> 00:42:25,840 Speaker 1: but I do think the fact that Bernie's not ready 747 00:42:25,840 --> 00:42:29,640 Speaker 1: to leave the stage and to sort of hand it 748 00:42:29,760 --> 00:42:32,680 Speaker 1: hand the organization fully to her yet And maybe he will, 749 00:42:32,760 --> 00:42:35,600 Speaker 1: and maybe that is the plan come twenty twenty six 750 00:42:35,680 --> 00:42:38,839 Speaker 1: and twenty twenty seven. But that is why I've left 751 00:42:38,840 --> 00:42:40,960 Speaker 1: her off this list. I've left Whitmer off this list 752 00:42:41,000 --> 00:42:42,879 Speaker 1: because I do think the shine has faded a little 753 00:42:42,880 --> 00:42:47,240 Speaker 1: bit with her, fairly or unfairly. I think the Michigan 754 00:42:47,280 --> 00:42:51,239 Speaker 1: looks like a you know, it wouldn't be good for 755 00:42:51,280 --> 00:42:54,000 Speaker 1: Whitmer's chances is if she's replaced by an independent or 756 00:42:54,000 --> 00:42:58,000 Speaker 1: a Republican so and that's why I don't think this 757 00:42:58,040 --> 00:43:03,000 Speaker 1: has been a great for her, if you will, on 758 00:43:03,040 --> 00:43:05,919 Speaker 1: that front. And I do think that infamous photos one 759 00:43:05,920 --> 00:43:09,120 Speaker 1: that's always gonna leave with her where she's in the 760 00:43:09,120 --> 00:43:13,160 Speaker 1: Trump oval office, which has been good for Michigan working 761 00:43:13,160 --> 00:43:16,120 Speaker 1: with Trump. I think she's figured that out, but she 762 00:43:16,160 --> 00:43:18,279 Speaker 1: can't be afraid of it. And I think putting up 763 00:43:18,280 --> 00:43:21,840 Speaker 1: that folder is a moment that it's going to be 764 00:43:21,880 --> 00:43:23,920 Speaker 1: hard to shake for her long term. Right, That's one 765 00:43:23,960 --> 00:43:26,320 Speaker 1: of those pictures you feel like that could just haunt 766 00:43:26,360 --> 00:43:29,280 Speaker 1: her if you will. So my top five this week 767 00:43:29,800 --> 00:43:34,040 Speaker 1: is the five potential presidential candidates who've had the best 768 00:43:34,080 --> 00:43:37,840 Speaker 1: summer and who've probably made the most progress at getting 769 00:43:37,880 --> 00:43:41,440 Speaker 1: to their goal of being a viable top tier presidential candidate. 770 00:43:41,640 --> 00:43:44,000 Speaker 1: Gavin Newsom in the one, Slack, Ruben Gayego in the two, 771 00:43:44,920 --> 00:43:48,680 Speaker 1: Tell Risk Go in the three, Basher and more. I'll 772 00:43:48,680 --> 00:43:50,359 Speaker 1: put them in either order. I don't really I guess 773 00:43:50,360 --> 00:43:53,239 Speaker 1: I'd go Beser four, More five, but you know, we 774 00:43:53,320 --> 00:43:56,879 Speaker 1: could swap it and it wouldn't be a huge argument there. 775 00:43:57,120 --> 00:44:00,600 Speaker 1: Do check out the substack. I go through the different 776 00:44:01,680 --> 00:44:06,080 Speaker 1: variables of you know, who's who's running as a Carter archetype, 777 00:44:06,120 --> 00:44:08,640 Speaker 1: who's running maybe as a Bill Clinton archetype, and who's 778 00:44:08,719 --> 00:44:11,560 Speaker 1: running as a Barack Obama archetype. I do think that 779 00:44:12,640 --> 00:44:15,560 Speaker 1: when you see these various candidates raise their hand as 780 00:44:15,600 --> 00:44:19,560 Speaker 1: potential nominees on the Democratic side, ask yourself which one 781 00:44:19,600 --> 00:44:22,239 Speaker 1: they fit in, Because ultimately, and this is the real challenge, 782 00:44:22,600 --> 00:44:25,040 Speaker 1: whoever is the next nominee of the Democratic Party is 783 00:44:25,120 --> 00:44:26,920 Speaker 1: I do think you have a country, you have a 784 00:44:26,960 --> 00:44:31,239 Speaker 1: Democratic party that wants a fighter. You have a sort 785 00:44:31,280 --> 00:44:34,200 Speaker 1: of the middle of the electorate that's exhausted as looking 786 00:44:34,239 --> 00:44:37,480 Speaker 1: for a uniter, right. I think that's where where where 787 00:44:37,480 --> 00:44:40,799 Speaker 1: you have sort of the never trumpers are, and then 788 00:44:40,840 --> 00:44:42,480 Speaker 1: you have a group of independents who are looking for 789 00:44:42,520 --> 00:44:45,480 Speaker 1: somebody who's willing to put country over party, right, So 790 00:44:45,719 --> 00:44:48,439 Speaker 1: they're looking for you know, while the Democratic Party wants 791 00:44:48,440 --> 00:44:51,719 Speaker 1: a fighter, the voters that may decide who wins or 792 00:44:51,760 --> 00:44:53,839 Speaker 1: loses the election want somebody that's willing to buck their 793 00:44:53,840 --> 00:44:58,160 Speaker 1: party every once in a while. Right, Bill Clinton, Barack Obama, 794 00:44:58,640 --> 00:45:02,400 Speaker 1: we're both really good at doing both right, giving the 795 00:45:02,440 --> 00:45:05,600 Speaker 1: base what they wanted, and at times picking and choosing 796 00:45:05,600 --> 00:45:11,000 Speaker 1: ways to push to maybe go against a stereotype play 797 00:45:11,040 --> 00:45:14,760 Speaker 1: the unity card, so that they both were nimble enough 798 00:45:16,239 --> 00:45:19,279 Speaker 1: to be able to sort of to to do both. 799 00:45:19,360 --> 00:45:21,919 Speaker 1: Ronald Reagan on the Republican side, is probably the best 800 00:45:21,960 --> 00:45:25,680 Speaker 1: example of somebody that could both fire up a base 801 00:45:25,840 --> 00:45:29,560 Speaker 1: and at the same time project this idea that he 802 00:45:29,600 --> 00:45:32,560 Speaker 1: was a unifier. Certainly that is not Donald Trump's mo right, 803 00:45:32,600 --> 00:45:35,920 Speaker 1: Donald Trump only knows one. Speed, only knows one. He 804 00:45:35,960 --> 00:45:40,960 Speaker 1: does not know how to straddle a fence. So anyway, 805 00:45:41,080 --> 00:45:55,760 Speaker 1: I hope you enjoyed that little rundown of twenty eight. Sorry, 806 00:45:55,800 --> 00:45:57,480 Speaker 1: let's do a few questions here a little last Chuck 807 00:45:57,719 --> 00:46:07,279 Speaker 1: ask Chuck. First question comes from Terry and he writes, 808 00:46:07,320 --> 00:46:09,400 Speaker 1: I'm currently serving as a federal law enforcement officer to 809 00:46:09,400 --> 00:46:12,800 Speaker 1: avoid future weaponization of the justice system, either real or perceived. 810 00:46:12,800 --> 00:46:14,560 Speaker 1: Can you tell me if this would be a viable 811 00:46:14,840 --> 00:46:18,400 Speaker 1: reform option. Congress passes a law which states the Chief 812 00:46:18,480 --> 00:46:20,560 Speaker 1: Justice of the Supreme Court nominates to the Attorney General 813 00:46:20,640 --> 00:46:24,440 Speaker 1: and heads of DOJ agencies FBI, at F etc. Then 814 00:46:24,480 --> 00:46:26,920 Speaker 1: they are confirmed by the Senate and serve seven year terms. Granted, 815 00:46:26,920 --> 00:46:29,360 Speaker 1: even though all people have biases, this could assist in 816 00:46:29,440 --> 00:46:32,840 Speaker 1: removing the optics of an outwardly perceived politically motivated bias. 817 00:46:33,000 --> 00:46:35,800 Speaker 1: Thank you for your time, Terry. I love the idea 818 00:46:35,840 --> 00:46:39,600 Speaker 1: and the concept behind this. I've actually proposed a I 819 00:46:39,600 --> 00:46:41,600 Speaker 1: wrote a column a few years ago that was proposing 820 00:46:41,640 --> 00:46:44,640 Speaker 1: as similar that we move the attorney general to five 821 00:46:44,719 --> 00:46:48,640 Speaker 1: year terms and various offices, and you sort of stagger 822 00:46:48,680 --> 00:46:54,400 Speaker 1: them so that maybe the top four positions are you know, 823 00:46:54,440 --> 00:46:57,759 Speaker 1: those terms are finite five year terms, and you sort 824 00:46:57,760 --> 00:47:00,640 Speaker 1: of you have it so that maybe a deputy ag 825 00:47:01,000 --> 00:47:04,960 Speaker 1: was appointed by a Republican president. Another deputy a g 826 00:47:05,640 --> 00:47:07,279 Speaker 1: somebody who's a holdover from you know, just like you 827 00:47:07,320 --> 00:47:11,040 Speaker 1: have in the judiciary. It's an interesting I don't know 828 00:47:11,080 --> 00:47:13,920 Speaker 1: if I would mix the branches right, having the I 829 00:47:14,040 --> 00:47:17,160 Speaker 1: take your I get the idea of using the head 830 00:47:17,200 --> 00:47:22,000 Speaker 1: of the judiciary to do this, but you might considering 831 00:47:22,000 --> 00:47:24,480 Speaker 1: that they have to sit in judgment sometimes of decisions 832 00:47:24,480 --> 00:47:27,279 Speaker 1: made by the Department of Justice. Are you creating a 833 00:47:27,320 --> 00:47:32,080 Speaker 1: potential conflict, right that could get exploited? So, but I 834 00:47:32,239 --> 00:47:35,440 Speaker 1: generally agree with the larger idea here, which is I 835 00:47:35,480 --> 00:47:37,799 Speaker 1: do not think the attorney general should be appointed by 836 00:47:37,800 --> 00:47:42,080 Speaker 1: the by the president, right, like you know, you know 837 00:47:42,280 --> 00:47:45,160 Speaker 1: when we when I mean, it's it's still astonishing to 838 00:47:45,200 --> 00:47:48,640 Speaker 1: me that we had a president appoint as brother attorney general, right. 839 00:47:48,960 --> 00:47:51,240 Speaker 1: You know, imagine if Donald Trump were trying to appoint 840 00:47:51,320 --> 00:47:54,399 Speaker 1: you know, Eric Trump attorney general. I do think people 841 00:47:54,400 --> 00:47:57,680 Speaker 1: would actually, even in the Republican Party might say, well, 842 00:47:57,719 --> 00:48:01,040 Speaker 1: that's a bridge too far. The fact though, it wasn't 843 00:48:01,080 --> 00:48:05,480 Speaker 1: that long ago that this was sort of okayed, right, 844 00:48:05,520 --> 00:48:08,400 Speaker 1: It's always been one of those that I think is 845 00:48:08,440 --> 00:48:14,120 Speaker 1: a tough one to defend. So but the point is is, 846 00:48:14,200 --> 00:48:18,399 Speaker 1: I do think if we're going to restore trust in 847 00:48:18,520 --> 00:48:20,919 Speaker 1: law enforcement, we have to figure out how to take 848 00:48:20,960 --> 00:48:24,239 Speaker 1: as much politics out of it as we can. If 849 00:48:24,239 --> 00:48:27,400 Speaker 1: it gets turned into some you know, why can't the 850 00:48:27,480 --> 00:48:31,040 Speaker 1: same And of course the president's actually challenging the independence 851 00:48:31,040 --> 00:48:33,360 Speaker 1: of the Federal Reserve. But in some ways, the Department 852 00:48:33,400 --> 00:48:36,279 Speaker 1: of Justice and the Federal Reserve ought to both be 853 00:48:36,480 --> 00:48:40,160 Speaker 1: as independent as you can possibly make them. Given that 854 00:48:40,200 --> 00:48:44,000 Speaker 1: you still have politicians helping to make these decisions, you 855 00:48:44,120 --> 00:48:49,719 Speaker 1: certainly don't want you don't want it closer to the politicians, 856 00:48:49,800 --> 00:48:51,600 Speaker 1: which of course is what Donald Trump has done, right. 857 00:48:51,640 --> 00:48:55,919 Speaker 1: He wants to make everything subject to the politicians. Look, 858 00:48:56,160 --> 00:48:58,640 Speaker 1: we're if that's what the founders wanted, they would have 859 00:48:58,960 --> 00:49:01,920 Speaker 1: embraced a direct to mycricy, Right, We're a republic for 860 00:49:01,920 --> 00:49:05,200 Speaker 1: a reason, and so you know, this is this goes 861 00:49:05,239 --> 00:49:07,839 Speaker 1: back to my frustration. I really don't think Donald trump 862 00:49:07,920 --> 00:49:11,080 Speaker 1: on has ever been taught the Constitution, And if if 863 00:49:11,080 --> 00:49:12,680 Speaker 1: he was, then he didn't show up the class the 864 00:49:12,760 --> 00:49:15,200 Speaker 1: day they taught it. I don't think he at all 865 00:49:15,320 --> 00:49:18,839 Speaker 1: understands that it was a document that that was that 866 00:49:19,000 --> 00:49:22,880 Speaker 1: came into existence via compromise, Right, it wasn't you know, 867 00:49:23,120 --> 00:49:25,400 Speaker 1: it was the founders couldn't agree on certain things, so 868 00:49:25,440 --> 00:49:27,759 Speaker 1: they built in new compromises in order to find a 869 00:49:27,760 --> 00:49:31,160 Speaker 1: way to move forward. And you know, when we talk 870 00:49:31,200 --> 00:49:33,239 Speaker 1: about and Charlie Cook talked about this in My and 871 00:49:33,280 --> 00:49:36,680 Speaker 1: I interviewed a couple couple of podcasts ago when he said, hey, 872 00:49:37,760 --> 00:49:41,960 Speaker 1: you know, you know this, when we talk about a 873 00:49:42,080 --> 00:49:44,640 Speaker 1: lack of civics education, it isn't just hey, how many 874 00:49:44,640 --> 00:49:47,680 Speaker 1: Supreme Court justices there are? Do you understand why we 875 00:49:47,800 --> 00:49:50,160 Speaker 1: have the system that we have? Right? Why did the 876 00:49:50,160 --> 00:49:53,759 Speaker 1: founders make these decisions? You know, I you know, and 877 00:49:53,800 --> 00:49:55,560 Speaker 1: I know it comes across this market. I do not 878 00:49:55,600 --> 00:49:57,000 Speaker 1: think the president of the United States has read a 879 00:49:57,040 --> 00:50:01,359 Speaker 1: Federal's paper. Okay, I really don't you want to call 880 00:50:01,400 --> 00:50:04,759 Speaker 1: this Trump the arrangement syndrome. Go ahead, show me where 881 00:50:04,800 --> 00:50:09,520 Speaker 1: he's ever shown any sort of any sort of evidence 882 00:50:10,080 --> 00:50:14,840 Speaker 1: that he's at all well read on the federalist papers 883 00:50:14,960 --> 00:50:18,879 Speaker 1: on why the Constitution turned out the way it did. 884 00:50:19,760 --> 00:50:22,560 Speaker 1: He's never shown any evidence of this, you know, and 885 00:50:22,640 --> 00:50:25,520 Speaker 1: I've told you you know, it drives me crazy that 886 00:50:25,560 --> 00:50:28,920 Speaker 1: if somebody decides they want to be a United States Senator, 887 00:50:29,040 --> 00:50:33,200 Speaker 1: United States congress person, or President of the United States, 888 00:50:33,320 --> 00:50:37,120 Speaker 1: if they don't know some of the intricate history of 889 00:50:37,880 --> 00:50:43,560 Speaker 1: the Constitution. You know, I don't think they're qualified now. Ultimately, 890 00:50:43,600 --> 00:50:46,839 Speaker 1: the only qualifications are laid out in the Constitution. Most 891 00:50:46,880 --> 00:50:49,239 Speaker 1: of them have to do with agent citizenship, and that's 892 00:50:49,280 --> 00:50:52,560 Speaker 1: about it. But I'd tell you, in a perfect world, 893 00:50:52,600 --> 00:50:55,480 Speaker 1: I'd like to make anybody who files to the FEC 894 00:50:55,600 --> 00:50:58,759 Speaker 1: to be a candidate for president ought to at least 895 00:50:58,800 --> 00:51:01,520 Speaker 1: take a civics exam that we, as the voters, can 896 00:51:01,560 --> 00:51:04,960 Speaker 1: see how they did. I'm not saying it would I 897 00:51:04,960 --> 00:51:07,799 Speaker 1: wouldn't have the exam used to decide whether or not 898 00:51:08,760 --> 00:51:12,080 Speaker 1: an agency would let them run for president. But I 899 00:51:12,200 --> 00:51:14,640 Speaker 1: want in the same way, I want to see your 900 00:51:14,640 --> 00:51:17,719 Speaker 1: health records to find out if you've if you if 901 00:51:17,760 --> 00:51:19,560 Speaker 1: you're up to the job, if you can handle the 902 00:51:19,880 --> 00:51:22,400 Speaker 1: stresses of the job. I want to see your financial 903 00:51:22,400 --> 00:51:24,239 Speaker 1: records to find out if you're a crook or not, 904 00:51:24,880 --> 00:51:26,960 Speaker 1: and if you're going to use the job to correct yourself. 905 00:51:27,160 --> 00:51:29,120 Speaker 1: And I want to know what kind of civics education 906 00:51:29,239 --> 00:51:31,799 Speaker 1: you have. How do you view the Constitution? Do you 907 00:51:32,040 --> 00:51:36,319 Speaker 1: know some of the rationales for why why we have 908 00:51:36,400 --> 00:51:40,360 Speaker 1: the thirteenth Amendment? What birthright citizenship was was all about. 909 00:51:40,440 --> 00:51:43,000 Speaker 1: I want to see the answers to those questions. As 910 00:51:43,000 --> 00:51:46,200 Speaker 1: a citizen, it would help me decide whether you're, in 911 00:51:46,280 --> 00:51:51,279 Speaker 1: my mind qualified to uphold what is said in that oath, 912 00:51:51,360 --> 00:51:55,840 Speaker 1: uphold the constitution. But Terry your larger idea of essentially 913 00:51:56,040 --> 00:51:58,719 Speaker 1: how to I do think this ought to be a 914 00:51:58,760 --> 00:52:01,879 Speaker 1: cause that somebody out to take up. This is part 915 00:52:01,880 --> 00:52:04,759 Speaker 1: of the constitutional convention, you know. I think about little 916 00:52:04,800 --> 00:52:07,960 Speaker 1: things in Japan there. I believe it's in their in 917 00:52:08,000 --> 00:52:11,120 Speaker 1: their legislature. Do you know one little thing they do 918 00:52:11,160 --> 00:52:14,520 Speaker 1: that I think is really smart. Their their version of 919 00:52:14,520 --> 00:52:19,440 Speaker 1: an oversight committee is always shared by the leading minority party, 920 00:52:19,920 --> 00:52:21,520 Speaker 1: you know. So the idea is that you always have 921 00:52:21,600 --> 00:52:24,920 Speaker 1: some sort of bipartisan bounds, so that oversight is always 922 00:52:24,960 --> 00:52:28,920 Speaker 1: the opposite party. Political oversight is always the opposite party 923 00:52:28,920 --> 00:52:34,680 Speaker 1: of who controls Japan's government. That's also an interesting model 924 00:52:34,719 --> 00:52:36,200 Speaker 1: that we get. The point is that there are a 925 00:52:36,280 --> 00:52:38,080 Speaker 1: lot of reforms we could do that could bring some 926 00:52:38,760 --> 00:52:43,720 Speaker 1: political trust back to the system, and yours is an 927 00:52:43,760 --> 00:52:48,240 Speaker 1: idea worth considering. Like I said, I'm the only flaw 928 00:52:48,280 --> 00:52:51,520 Speaker 1: I see in your idea is is having the head 929 00:52:51,520 --> 00:52:54,920 Speaker 1: of the judiciary branch potentially having a conflict of deciding 930 00:52:54,920 --> 00:52:59,000 Speaker 1: who the prosecutors are, etc. But the larger idea I 931 00:52:59,000 --> 00:53:01,319 Speaker 1: think holds in it it would be a we got 932 00:53:01,360 --> 00:53:04,520 Speaker 1: to get somewhere to deal with this trust. All right. 933 00:53:04,560 --> 00:53:08,680 Speaker 1: Next question comes from George E. From Burlington, Iowa. All Right, 934 00:53:09,120 --> 00:53:11,880 Speaker 1: Dear Chuck. In your August twenty first episode, you've floated 935 00:53:11,920 --> 00:53:13,920 Speaker 1: the idea of a constitutional convention. I worry such a 936 00:53:13,920 --> 00:53:16,719 Speaker 1: process would produce delegates more focused on self promotion than 937 00:53:16,760 --> 00:53:19,680 Speaker 1: real solutions. Instead, I think a small bipartisan committee of 938 00:53:19,680 --> 00:53:23,120 Speaker 1: senators and representatives could draft a constitutional amendment addressing two 939 00:53:23,200 --> 00:53:27,200 Speaker 1: divisive issues, abortion and guns, by finding terms both sides 940 00:53:27,239 --> 00:53:29,320 Speaker 1: could live with. As a retired lawyer, I've seen compromise 941 00:53:29,360 --> 00:53:31,160 Speaker 1: work this way in negotiations, and I wonder if such 942 00:53:31,160 --> 00:53:33,560 Speaker 1: a model could help us move past the all or 943 00:53:33,600 --> 00:53:37,440 Speaker 1: nothing mindset that fuels division today. Thanks. It's an interesting thought, 944 00:53:38,640 --> 00:53:41,520 Speaker 1: you know, And you know, one could argue, Look, I 945 00:53:42,440 --> 00:53:45,600 Speaker 1: we should not be afraid of a constitutional convention. I understand, 946 00:53:45,600 --> 00:53:47,719 Speaker 1: you know, and I've said this before. I think if 947 00:53:47,760 --> 00:53:50,960 Speaker 1: you fear it, then hey, the democracy's all's already lost. 948 00:53:51,120 --> 00:53:54,800 Speaker 1: It's sort of like I'm putting my trust in the voters, 949 00:53:55,280 --> 00:53:57,359 Speaker 1: because if I can't trust them, then the whole then 950 00:53:57,360 --> 00:54:02,480 Speaker 1: the whole experiment is over anyway. So but I do 951 00:54:05,640 --> 00:54:07,520 Speaker 1: I think that a high you know, what I'd love 952 00:54:07,600 --> 00:54:12,160 Speaker 1: to see is almost like a Remember we had the 953 00:54:12,200 --> 00:54:14,359 Speaker 1: Simpson Bowls Commission to try to deal with the debt, 954 00:54:14,400 --> 00:54:16,080 Speaker 1: and they come up, came up with a plan, and 955 00:54:16,160 --> 00:54:19,480 Speaker 1: there was this idea that you know, it was, you know, okay, 956 00:54:19,520 --> 00:54:21,839 Speaker 1: and if they could you know, that plan might get 957 00:54:22,280 --> 00:54:24,400 Speaker 1: ratified up or down in Congress, if they could come 958 00:54:24,480 --> 00:54:26,960 Speaker 1: up to an agreement. Turns out the committee themselves didn't 959 00:54:26,960 --> 00:54:29,120 Speaker 1: get to the I think the two thirds agreement necessary 960 00:54:29,200 --> 00:54:31,600 Speaker 1: through whatever it was and the rules that they did. 961 00:54:32,719 --> 00:54:34,440 Speaker 1: But you know, we have the two hundred and fiftieth 962 00:54:34,480 --> 00:54:39,319 Speaker 1: anniversary of the country coming up of our independence. I 963 00:54:39,440 --> 00:54:43,800 Speaker 1: certainly would love to see a bipartisan team of senators 964 00:54:43,840 --> 00:54:47,279 Speaker 1: and representatives come up with various constitutional amendments. Right, what 965 00:54:47,280 --> 00:54:49,560 Speaker 1: would the balance what would a balanced budget amendment look 966 00:54:49,640 --> 00:54:53,080 Speaker 1: like that that was sort of approved by a bipartisan panel. 967 00:54:53,120 --> 00:54:55,839 Speaker 1: What could you talked about guns? I'd thrown I think 968 00:54:55,840 --> 00:54:59,839 Speaker 1: campaign personally, I deal with campaign finances, and I think 969 00:54:59,840 --> 00:55:03,520 Speaker 1: that a place where you could potentially get areas of 970 00:55:03,560 --> 00:55:06,200 Speaker 1: agreement right. I think you need something from stage left, 971 00:55:06,239 --> 00:55:08,879 Speaker 1: something from stage right, balance budget amendment and stage right, 972 00:55:09,000 --> 00:55:13,520 Speaker 1: perhaps campaign finance reform some form on stage left. I 973 00:55:13,560 --> 00:55:16,359 Speaker 1: think that there would be some some some interest in 974 00:55:16,360 --> 00:55:22,560 Speaker 1: that on both sides of the aisle. Interesting idea on abortion. 975 00:55:23,360 --> 00:55:24,799 Speaker 1: I don't know if you could get to the I 976 00:55:24,800 --> 00:55:27,360 Speaker 1: don't I don't know if you could get to language 977 00:55:27,400 --> 00:55:31,000 Speaker 1: that would that could get approved, it could get the 978 00:55:31,200 --> 00:55:35,240 Speaker 1: get it ratified. But I I like the larger idea 979 00:55:35,440 --> 00:55:39,560 Speaker 1: of let's, you know, essentially borrow from the Simpson Bowls Committee. 980 00:55:39,560 --> 00:55:42,800 Speaker 1: Create a committee that is, you know, some active members 981 00:55:42,800 --> 00:55:45,640 Speaker 1: of Congress, maybe some former members, maybe a few you 982 00:55:45,680 --> 00:55:48,960 Speaker 1: know people former governors, you know, stop a couple of 983 00:55:49,000 --> 00:55:52,480 Speaker 1: academics and see what see what they come up with. 984 00:55:53,800 --> 00:55:59,200 Speaker 1: Wouldn't you know a in a with a different president, 985 00:55:59,360 --> 00:56:01,560 Speaker 1: I think you could. You could feel like that you 986 00:56:01,600 --> 00:56:04,080 Speaker 1: could have a commission like that that would be taken seriously. 987 00:56:04,160 --> 00:56:06,480 Speaker 1: I don't. I fear that if this president signed an 988 00:56:06,480 --> 00:56:10,000 Speaker 1: executive order of some sort doing it, it wouldn't have 989 00:56:10,120 --> 00:56:13,000 Speaker 1: the same it wouldn't have the same credibility for enough 990 00:56:13,040 --> 00:56:17,600 Speaker 1: people to be taken seriously but look, I'm I am. 991 00:56:17,920 --> 00:56:22,120 Speaker 1: I'm not going to fear the Constitutional convention, but I 992 00:56:22,200 --> 00:56:24,440 Speaker 1: like your idea as well. I certainly would love to 993 00:56:24,440 --> 00:56:33,719 Speaker 1: see to see what a group of elected officials from 994 00:56:33,760 --> 00:56:36,319 Speaker 1: both sides of the aisle could come up with. All right, 995 00:56:36,400 --> 00:56:39,160 Speaker 1: last one, Kevin C. From Pennsylvania says, Hey, Chuck, just 996 00:56:39,160 --> 00:56:41,680 Speaker 1: finishing finished listening to your great talk with Charlie Cook 997 00:56:41,680 --> 00:56:45,440 Speaker 1: and your commentary on Charlie Cook. The obvious difficulty of 998 00:56:45,480 --> 00:56:48,359 Speaker 1: doing one got me wondering, what about an unofficial, non 999 00:56:48,400 --> 00:56:51,839 Speaker 1: binding convention organized and run by a hopefully bipartisan group 1000 00:56:51,840 --> 00:56:55,400 Speaker 1: of smart people, including educator's, business people, members of the press, military, 1001 00:56:55,440 --> 00:56:57,680 Speaker 1: and normal citizens. It would require a lot of resources 1002 00:56:57,680 --> 00:56:59,480 Speaker 1: to put it together, but it could be, as you said, 1003 00:56:59,480 --> 00:57:02,360 Speaker 1: an incredible educational opportunity for the whole country. Referring to 1004 00:57:02,440 --> 00:57:04,920 Speaker 1: constitutional convention, I think there's an excellent chance that it 1005 00:57:04,920 --> 00:57:06,960 Speaker 1: could lead to a popular demand for the real thing. 1006 00:57:07,040 --> 00:57:09,759 Speaker 1: Thanks for your great conversations. I'm learning a lot for 1007 00:57:09,880 --> 00:57:13,600 Speaker 1: an old guy. Well, Kevin, Thanks, I appreciate. I think 1008 00:57:13,600 --> 00:57:17,040 Speaker 1: we're always I'd like to think, I'm I want to 1009 00:57:17,080 --> 00:57:21,840 Speaker 1: always be ultimately in the education business. Look same thing, right, 1010 00:57:21,920 --> 00:57:24,360 Speaker 1: I think if we could do, which is why I 1011 00:57:24,360 --> 00:57:28,040 Speaker 1: went in and added this question. I think the exercise 1012 00:57:28,040 --> 00:57:31,320 Speaker 1: could be healthy. It would be a lot I'd love 1013 00:57:31,360 --> 00:57:34,520 Speaker 1: to be a government teach, high school government teacher if 1014 00:57:34,520 --> 00:57:37,200 Speaker 1: something like this were happening, right, I mean, you get to, 1015 00:57:37,720 --> 00:57:40,200 Speaker 1: you know, in some ways, you get to use the 1016 00:57:40,200 --> 00:57:44,480 Speaker 1: real world to help you teach. But yeah, it would 1017 00:57:44,560 --> 00:57:47,640 Speaker 1: lead I think to a massive national civics education that 1018 00:57:47,680 --> 00:57:52,160 Speaker 1: we are long overdue on. It would be healthy. It 1019 00:57:52,200 --> 00:57:54,720 Speaker 1: would be fantastic to coincide with the two hundred and 1020 00:57:54,760 --> 00:58:04,240 Speaker 1: fiftieth anniversary of Independence Day. But you know, I unfortunately 1021 00:58:04,240 --> 00:58:06,960 Speaker 1: think that partisans in both parties aren't ready to have 1022 00:58:07,040 --> 00:58:12,440 Speaker 1: that kind of conversation, right and and you know, but 1023 00:58:13,800 --> 00:58:17,560 Speaker 1: you know, we can hope, right, Maybe the best way 1024 00:58:17,560 --> 00:58:19,840 Speaker 1: to get this started is to get a bunch of formers. 1025 00:58:20,480 --> 00:58:22,480 Speaker 1: You know, there's an a hole, there's a there's a 1026 00:58:22,520 --> 00:58:25,240 Speaker 1: there's a nonprofit group of literally former members of Congress. 1027 00:58:25,280 --> 00:58:26,920 Speaker 1: They get together, I think once or twice a year 1028 00:58:26,960 --> 00:58:31,200 Speaker 1: in some form or another. Marty Frost, former member and 1029 00:58:31,240 --> 00:58:33,480 Speaker 1: a friend of mine, was very active in it for 1030 00:58:33,560 --> 00:58:38,240 Speaker 1: quite some time. You know, maybe they could you know, 1031 00:58:38,320 --> 00:58:41,800 Speaker 1: maybe Brookings and Heritage could get together Brookings and AI. 1032 00:58:42,000 --> 00:58:44,280 Speaker 1: Maybe they would get along better than Heritage because Heritage 1033 00:58:44,320 --> 00:58:47,160 Speaker 1: is not really an independent think tank anymore. They're just 1034 00:58:47,200 --> 00:58:50,080 Speaker 1: an arm of the Trump administration. But AI is sort 1035 00:58:50,080 --> 00:58:53,720 Speaker 1: of independent conservatives, Brookings independent liberals. You know, maybe they 1036 00:58:53,720 --> 00:58:57,200 Speaker 1: could get together and show us what a constitutional convention 1037 00:58:57,240 --> 00:59:00,480 Speaker 1: could look like. Maybe the Presidential Library System could host it. 1038 00:59:00,520 --> 00:59:03,440 Speaker 1: Maybe you know, maybe the Clinton and Bush Libraries to 1039 00:59:03,720 --> 00:59:07,080 Speaker 1: could together put something there. We have a lot of 1040 00:59:07,280 --> 00:59:12,800 Speaker 1: interesting venues that could that could lean into this sort 1041 00:59:12,840 --> 00:59:16,560 Speaker 1: of small d democratic renewal that I think the country 1042 00:59:16,960 --> 00:59:19,720 Speaker 1: uh desperately needs. Right in the same way we needed 1043 00:59:19,760 --> 00:59:22,000 Speaker 1: to repair roads and bridges, we need to repair the 1044 00:59:22,000 --> 00:59:24,840 Speaker 1: infrastructure of our democracy. We need to update the infrastructure 1045 00:59:24,840 --> 00:59:30,080 Speaker 1: of our democracy. And you know, why not the Bush 1046 00:59:30,080 --> 00:59:32,480 Speaker 1: Library at SMU, the Clinton Library, and Little Rock work 1047 00:59:32,520 --> 00:59:34,560 Speaker 1: together to see what I did there a little plug 1048 00:59:34,600 --> 00:59:39,280 Speaker 1: for the SMU. But put them together and they could 1049 00:59:39,440 --> 00:59:42,000 Speaker 1: They could be interesting hosts for this. Yes, it might 1050 00:59:42,040 --> 00:59:45,600 Speaker 1: get negative commentary from the current occupant of the Oval Office, 1051 00:59:46,440 --> 00:59:48,440 Speaker 1: but maybe that would only bring attention to the idea. 1052 00:59:48,520 --> 00:59:50,960 Speaker 1: And as you said, if we sort of mock this 1053 00:59:51,080 --> 00:59:54,280 Speaker 1: out a little bit, maybe it would suddenly drive interest 1054 00:59:54,320 --> 00:59:58,760 Speaker 1: into having the real thing. All Right, with that, you've 1055 00:59:58,800 --> 01:00:02,680 Speaker 1: heard enough of my voice today. Let me take a 1056 01:00:02,680 --> 01:00:05,840 Speaker 1: break for twenty four hours until we upload him