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Speaker 1: Look, I apologize, Colin. My papers are all over the place,

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Speaker 1: just out of curiosity. Do you have a piece of

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Speaker 1: sound somewhere in there that you could play for like

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Speaker 1: ten seconds while I get things to get you do

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Speaker 1: have a piece of tunty? Okay, whatever you have, Colin,

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Speaker 1: could be anything. There could be a speech from the

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Speaker 1: president in nineteen thirty eight. Just roll it right quick,

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Speaker 1: give me ten seconds.

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Speaker 2: I don't really understand what you're saying, because we would

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Speaker 2: never like I'm like, my skin is curling. I don't

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Speaker 2: even know what you're I don't know what you're saying.

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Speaker 2: It's like you're speaking like from you're speaking Japanese, Like.

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Speaker 1: Huh, well, James Franklins sounds like he had a good

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Speaker 1: day today. Tell you what if you had that, Colin,

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Speaker 1: you probably have that entire clip. Yeah yeah, Colin nodded

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Speaker 1: the camera. Yeah.

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Speaker 2: Us.

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Speaker 1: Why don't we talk about that later? Why don't we

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Speaker 1: talk about Mark Stoops in his nil controversial comments tonight?

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Speaker 1: Why don't we predict week seven? Why don't we do

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Speaker 1: all that? Because Late Kick is live high atop a

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Speaker 1: sun soaked downtown Nashville, Tennessee, Tuesday, October tenth, the year

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Speaker 1: of our lower twenty twenty three. Yes, it is Tuesday night. Yes,

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Speaker 1: we are predicting Week seven. We are headed to Seattle,

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Speaker 1: Washington later this week for Oregon versus Washington. Will break

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Speaker 1: that game down. We got Southern Cal headed out onto

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Speaker 1: the road to take on Notre Dame this week. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: we'll talk about that when we got a number of

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Speaker 1: games to break down. You know what we're doing tonight

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Speaker 1: that I did not really plan on, but I think

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Speaker 1: it's time we had an emergency session mood trackers. I'm

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Speaker 1: updating the mood tracker on well a handful of teams tonight,

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Speaker 1: and I couldn't get to all of them, so this

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Speaker 1: may be something that spills over into Thursday. All that

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Speaker 1: plus a brand spanking new JP poll. I will give

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Speaker 1: you a slight spoiler. There is a new number one team.

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Speaker 1: There is a new number two team in the JP tonight.

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Speaker 1: They're watching us in ann Arbor, Michigan. Could that be

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Speaker 1: a clue? I don't know. I didn't plan it that way.

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Speaker 1: They're watching us in Bradley's hometown Montgomery, Alabama, Virginia Beach, Virginia,

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Speaker 1: El Dorado, Arkansas. I once saw a tornado this year.

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Speaker 1: Actually I saw a tornado in Eldorado, Arkansas. I have

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Speaker 1: a conundrum on my hands. I'm gonna take feedback from you.

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Speaker 1: I don't need it right now, but between now and Friday,

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Speaker 1: I need you to let me know what you want

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Speaker 1: me to do about Friday night lines. Because here's the deal.

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Speaker 1: We get to Seattle like eight thirty Pacific time, and

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Speaker 1: I had stats in Info run the numbers. That's eleven

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Speaker 1: thirty on the East Coast, and you just factor in

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Speaker 1: an hour to get to the hotel. Do we really

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Speaker 1: want to do Friday night lines after midnight on the

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Speaker 1: East Coast? I got no problem with it. I don't

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Speaker 1: think you do so in lieu of doing Friday night

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Speaker 1: lines really late on Friday night, when should we do it?

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Speaker 1: And if you don't know what I'm talking about, you

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Speaker 1: really need to be following on Instagram at late kick Josh,

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Speaker 1: because all we did is go nine to er last

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Speaker 1: week against the spread. Let's open the show tonight by

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Speaker 1: talking about what roughly forty seven million of you asked

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Speaker 1: me about today. Colin. Here's your endpoint. The Internet is

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Speaker 1: beside its collective self about Mark Stoops, and why are

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Speaker 1: they beside themselves? About Mark Stoops. Well, Mark Stoops had

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Speaker 1: to coach a show the Audacity, and someone called in

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Speaker 1: and he was talking about the Georgia game and it

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Speaker 1: wasn't the best of showings for Kentucky, and so Mark

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Speaker 1: Stoops made a comment, made a comment about nil and

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Speaker 1: you don't need to take my word for it. I'm

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Speaker 1: going to do what I would encourage all of you

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Speaker 1: to do, including many of you who have talked about

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Speaker 1: this already and haven't done this, and that is to

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Speaker 1: have director Colin queue up the actual sound and then

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Speaker 1: don't listen to anyone else. Judge for yourself.

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Speaker 3: You know the other side, if you want to do that,

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Speaker 3: it's plain complain, deny or make excuses, and we're not

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Speaker 3: going to do that.

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Speaker 2: You know.

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Speaker 1: It is what it is.

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Speaker 3: And you know fans that right. I give it to

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Speaker 3: him it, you know, I just encourage him to donate

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Speaker 3: more because that's what those teams are doing. And in

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Speaker 3: UH I could promise you in Georgia they bought some

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Speaker 3: pretty good players you're allowed to these days, and we

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Speaker 3: could use some help.

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Speaker 1: That's what they look like, you.

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Speaker 3: Know what I mean when you have eighty five of them.

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Speaker 3: So I encourage anybody that's disgruntled to pony up some.

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Speaker 1: More, okay, And if you're listening on podcasts, Mark Stoops

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Speaker 1: had the posture of a fourth grade bus driver as

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Speaker 1: he made these comments. He didn't exactly lean into it. It

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Speaker 1: didn't exactly sound to me or seemed to me like

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Speaker 1: it was premeditated. It is in my best interest to

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Speaker 1: make a big deal out of this. I just can't

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Speaker 1: bring myself to do it. And I know a lot

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Speaker 1: of people did today, and that's okay. I don't care

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Speaker 1: about that. I couldn't care less about it. And you

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Speaker 1: may ask yourself, if you don't care, why are you

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Speaker 1: leading the show with it. Well, I got a couple

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Speaker 1: of things I do want to tell you that branch

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Speaker 1: off of this, But really I just got asked about

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Speaker 1: it a lot today and I got asked. I do

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Speaker 1: not blame you, guys. I get WHYATT caught your ears,

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Speaker 1: but I got asked by a lot of people who

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Speaker 1: I believe thought I was going to go in on

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Speaker 1: Mark Stoops. And there are plenty of folks doing that.

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Speaker 1: So if you're looking for that flavor of content tonight,

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Speaker 1: it's out there to be found. It's just a non issue.

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Speaker 1: To me. I'll tell you what it was. It was

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Speaker 1: a classic issue or classic case of seeing opinions of

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Speaker 1: a thing before you actually saw the thing. This happens

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Speaker 1: a lot. You probably find yourself in this little social

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Speaker 1: media funnel sometimes of seeing a lot of people say

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Speaker 1: something about someone or something or some quote before you've

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Speaker 1: seen the quote. Well before you know it, you've already

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Speaker 1: got a pretty well formed opinion on something and you

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Speaker 1: don't even know the context because you haven't even heard

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Speaker 1: it or seen it yet. It happens to me, I

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Speaker 1: have to guard against it. So it started to happen

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Speaker 1: to me last night with this. I saw like four

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Speaker 1: or five people I know, like four or five people

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Speaker 1: whose opinions I trust in value, start talking about Mark

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Speaker 1: Stoops and how dare he have? What disingenuous is this? Well,

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Speaker 1: why doesn't he pony up the dough before asking fans

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Speaker 1: who barely make ends meet the pony up the dough?

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Speaker 1: And so hey, I got a little worked up about

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Speaker 1: it because what I thought was Mark Stoops had called

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Speaker 1: an impromptu press conference and it put iblack on and

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Speaker 1: leaned in and grabbed the mic for himself, or maybe

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Speaker 1: had it descend down from the ceiling like a boxing match,

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Speaker 1: and he just looked Big Blue Nation in the eye

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Speaker 1: and said, how dare you peasants question me after I

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Speaker 1: lose to Georgia? You want to win? Give me more money?

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Speaker 1: And then I saw it and it was that, And

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Speaker 1: it was a very very laid back kind of informal setting,

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Speaker 1: or as formal as the the Mark Stoops Show on

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Speaker 1: Monday Night can be. That's what that was from, By

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Speaker 1: the way, real reason I did choose to lead the

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Speaker 1: show with this after telling you I don't really care

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Speaker 1: about the clip itself. I'll get to it in a second.

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Speaker 1: What I wanted to talk to you about is when

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Speaker 1: it does come nil, and it does come to what

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Speaker 1: it really takes, there is a storm brewing in the

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Speaker 1: nil world, and people who run collectives know it. Coaches

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Speaker 1: know it, Folks who are running that portion of an

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Speaker 1: athletic department know it. And it looks a little something

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Speaker 1: like this. It takes money in modern college athletics, Well,

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Speaker 1: it takes money in modern college football to build a

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Speaker 1: winning roster. It just does. And if you don't like that,

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Speaker 1: it's probably time for you to hit the off ramp.

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Speaker 1: You don't have to love it. But you have to.

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Speaker 1: You have to at least digest it and be able

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Speaker 1: to embrace it. So what's about to happen is when

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Speaker 1: you get a few years into the NIL game, when

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Speaker 1: you have to ask your donors for more money. It's

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Speaker 1: okay to ask them for more money. That's not the

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Speaker 1: problem asking for it's not the hard part. Even getting

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Speaker 1: the money initially is not the hard part. The hard

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Speaker 1: part is getting that group of folks to understand just

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Speaker 1: because you're giving us more doesn't mean you get more.

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Speaker 1: I was talking to someone in the past week and

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Speaker 1: a half that is in charge of a major collective

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Speaker 1: operation in college football, and they said this exact thing.

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Speaker 1: It was not we have trouble getting the money on

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Speaker 1: the front end, because THENIL is still pretty new, So

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Speaker 1: it's not that they're having trouble. Everyone wants to be

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Speaker 1: part of the effort. Everyone wants to turn their seventy

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Speaker 1: five thousand dollars a year donation into ninety two and change.

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Speaker 1: We're willing to do that. We'll play ball with you,

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Speaker 1: but you better not keep going eight and four. You

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Speaker 1: better not just keep going nine to three. If I'm

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Speaker 1: payt state and I'm leading my collective Bradley runs our

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Speaker 1: collective just for the record, And Bradley's going out and

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Speaker 1: he's he's pounding the pavement and he's knocking on doors,

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Speaker 1: and all of a sudden, the guy who used to

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Speaker 1: just write eight hundred k per year puts one point

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Speaker 1: one mill on that check and I still just put

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Speaker 1: up nine wins per year. He doesn't view that as

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Speaker 1: a return on his increased investment. That's the mind game.

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Speaker 1: That's the trick that folks aren't realizing. You're not doing

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Speaker 1: this in a bubble. You're not just upping your to

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Speaker 1: my collective. Everyone around the conference is doing it. We're

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Speaker 1: not asking you to give more so we can pull away.

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Speaker 1: We're asking you to give more so we can keep up.

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Speaker 1: But that's easy to understand in a logic based world

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Speaker 1: when it's not your money. When it's your money and

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Speaker 1: more of it coming out of your wallet, you want

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Speaker 1: more in return. Now, there's some folks out there who

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Speaker 1: are going to contribute to an nil and their team

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Speaker 1: is going to scale its results and it all's well,

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Speaker 1: that ends well there. That will be the exception, that

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Speaker 1: won't be the rule. There are a lot of places

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Speaker 1: out there where they're going to spend millions of dollars

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Speaker 1: on nil just to break even. They're going to spend

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Speaker 1: millions on nil just to just to maintain the current

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Speaker 1: footing that they have. And for one or two or

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Speaker 1: three years it'll work. It won't work for four, five

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Speaker 1: or six years. That's the immediate concern. Now here's the

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Speaker 1: response that h even I would have if I were you. Oh, well,

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Speaker 1: it'll eventually work itself out, and if some nil funds

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Speaker 1: dry up, they But it's all basically a market mechanism,

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Speaker 1: and you are right about that. When those market mechanisms

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Speaker 1: start swallowing your program, are you gonna be as free

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Speaker 1: and easy about that as all? I'm asking? Also, just

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Speaker 1: to go back to the Stoops thing, because I got

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Speaker 1: a loaded show. I don't have much more time to

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Speaker 1: spend on this other than the ten minutes and change

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Speaker 1: we've already spent. His whole point was tongue in cheek.

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Speaker 1: Mark Stoops's whole point. There was tongue in cheek. Yes,

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Speaker 1: he did say, if you want more results, give me

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Speaker 1: more money. But that's like living in the seventies or

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Speaker 1: the eighties and saying, man, I want to look like Arnold.

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Speaker 1: Look at Schwarzenegger over here. I want to look like that.

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Speaker 1: And then your dad says, okay, you want to look

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Speaker 1: like Arnold. You can just train four hours a day

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Speaker 1: and pound six thousand calories, none of it being the

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Speaker 1: stuff you like to eat, and do that for five

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Speaker 1: or six years, and maybe you'll start to look like Arnold.

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Speaker 1: He's not literally expecting you to do that. He's almost

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Speaker 1: saying it mockingly, knowing you're not gonna do that. Mark

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Speaker 1: Stoops does not expect to ever rival Georgia at Kentucky.

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Speaker 1: Now he's not gonna come out say that, but Mark

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Speaker 1: Stoops has got one of the best jobs in America

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Speaker 1: because historically, up until about five minutes ago, folks understood

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Speaker 1: he's gonna get paid at a top ten level. But

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Speaker 1: it's also Kentucky. So let's calibrate our expectation level accordingly.

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Speaker 1: And I'm not mocking most of Kentucky Nation, because I

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Speaker 1: think most of those folks get it. There may be,

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Speaker 1: you know, fringes, but every fan base has fringes. But

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Speaker 1: what he was saying to the fringe is, hey, you

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Speaker 1: guys want to knock me for losing to Georgia. Give

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Speaker 1: like Georgia gives we'll build like Georgia Bills. Well, no,

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Speaker 1: you won't. You never will. You're Kentucky football. Georgia's basketball

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Speaker 1: coach any given decade could say the same thing if

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Speaker 1: they're complaining that Georgia doesn't perennially beat Kentucky on the hardwood.

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Speaker 1: That's the way it works. It's way it always works.

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Speaker 1: And nil's really not going to change much because everyone's

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Speaker 1: doing nil. So Kentucky's not going to get an edge

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Speaker 1: relative to the rest of the big boys by nil.

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Speaker 1: Mark Stoops knows that Mark Stoops is as comfortable in

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Speaker 1: his skin as any head coach in this conference, and

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Speaker 1: that includes the smarts in the Sabans of the world.

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Speaker 1: He's fine, it's fine, We're all fine. Much to do

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Speaker 1: about nothing or much to do about nothing? Such an

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Speaker 1: atypical intro for the show tonight, especially on Tuesday. And

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Speaker 1: you know what, I don't normally do what I'm about

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Speaker 1: to do on Tuesdays either, but I think it is warranted.

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Speaker 1: I appreciate you guys watching live if you're tuned in

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Speaker 1: during what the casuals would call the off season. A

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Speaker 1: lot of times we do what we call the mood tracker.

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Speaker 1: And that's where we figuratively, of course, we take the

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Speaker 1: thermometer and we just insert it into an entire fan

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Speaker 1: base and we kind of try and gauge the temperature,

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Speaker 1: and we, like we said a second ago, we cut

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Speaker 1: the fringes off. We want to know what that core

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Speaker 1: that middle seventy or sixty percent of the fan base

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Speaker 1: that would represent your average fan. What are they thinking

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Speaker 1: about their program, what are they thinking about their coach?

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Speaker 1: Do they like where they're headed. We don't normally update

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Speaker 1: it during the season, but there's some pretty extreme situations

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Speaker 1: I would say out there right now that I just

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Speaker 1: think warrant this. And I know a lot of you

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Speaker 1: are diehard college football fans and you just care about

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Speaker 1: what goes on between the lines during the sixty on Saturday.

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Speaker 1: But I know, genwell, a lot of you don't listen

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Speaker 1: to this show alone. Some of you have wives, some

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Speaker 1: of you have girlfriends, significant others, whatever the case may be.

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Speaker 1: Maybe your mom's been in the room a time or two.

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Speaker 1: And they don't exactly possess the ability to name the

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Speaker 1: offensive coordinator at UTSA. They're not that deep in the

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Speaker 1: college football weeds. But they love a good story and

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Speaker 1: if you're trying to bring more people to the sport.

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Speaker 1: They love a good story. Guarantee. They know they head

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Speaker 1: coach at Colorado, don't they. They love a good story.

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Speaker 1: And so I find that the Mood Tracker series appeals

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Speaker 1: to all crowds when it comes to what we do

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Speaker 1: on this show. I'll give you an example here, the

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Speaker 1: Texas A and M mood Tracker. We are going to

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Speaker 1: categorize that as what we like to call Jimbo limbo

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Speaker 1: around here. Now. Jesse wanted it to be called limbo

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Speaker 1: with Jimbo. Normally I just dismiss his ideas wholesale. They're

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Speaker 1: not that funny. But Jesse did hit one here today. Naturally,

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Speaker 1: I rearrange the phrasing so I could trademarket it's mine now,

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Speaker 1: Jimbo Limbo is mine. That is also the mood around

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Speaker 1: Texas A and M football. And basically, if I'm an

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Speaker 1: Aggie fan out in Katie, Texas, I'm looking and I'm

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Speaker 1: simply asking what more can I do? Because I don't

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Speaker 1: control what Jimbo Fisher does. I don't control what Bobby

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Speaker 1: Petrino does. I don't control Ross Beorg, but I can

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Speaker 1: control my investment my passion, my willingness to have patience.

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Speaker 1: But boom, boom boom, I've done all three of those things.

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Speaker 1: What more can I do? Because if I can't do

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Speaker 1: any more, the only thing left to do is complain.

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Speaker 1: The only thing left to do is hope for change there.

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Speaker 1: And if I am a rational AGGI fan, I don't

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Speaker 1: want to hit the dump button on my head. Coach.

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Speaker 1: I like Jimbo Fisher. I respect. However, it had to

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Speaker 1: go down that he made the move to bring Patrino in.

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Speaker 1: I've seen signs of life with this program. I know

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Speaker 1: good and well. We've recruited at a very high level,

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Speaker 1: had the number one class in the country a couple

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Speaker 1: of years ago. They'll be junior's next year. Connor Wigman's

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Speaker 1: a very good quarterback. He'll be back. Our schedule lightens

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Speaker 1: up next year. I am not dooming gloom here. I

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Speaker 1: want to see the glass half full. But man, after

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Speaker 1: a little while, you gotta give me something. I've given

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Speaker 1: you everything. You got to give me something that would

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Speaker 1: be my mood if I were a Texas A and

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Speaker 1: M fan right now. I know how big the buyout is,

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Speaker 1: and I know that there are some very deep pockets.

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Speaker 1: It takes to write a seventy six million dollar check

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Speaker 1: this year. Luckily it drops to sixty seven if we

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Speaker 1: wait until twenty twenty four. Here's what else I know

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Speaker 1: is about to happen. I just watched OHU, Texas play

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Speaker 1: a classic up the road for me in Dallas. They're

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Speaker 1: both gonna be in the SEC next year. It's not

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Speaker 1: gonna get any easier. Jimbo Fisher's not one or two

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Speaker 1: years in to his deal here. In other words, I

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Speaker 1: shouldn't be looking at this team six years into his

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Speaker 1: tenure and saying, well, we just got to wait. We

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Speaker 1: just gotta wait for him to get his guys. We

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Speaker 1: gotta wait for him to be able to do it

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Speaker 1: his weight. This is his way. We're seeing Texas A

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Speaker 1: and M with Jimbo Fisher's thumbprint on it, and I look,

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Speaker 1: I want to give benefit of the doubt. I just

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Speaker 1: need more, man, I need There's nothing we don't have here.

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Speaker 1: We were talking about Kentucky earlier. Hey, there are concrete

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Speaker 1: things I can point to resource wise where I say,

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Speaker 1: those guys have those things, and we don't have them

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Speaker 1: here at least in that supply at A and M.

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Speaker 1: I got everything they've got. I just got a much

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Speaker 1: more barren trophy case. They've got trophies in their trophy case.

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Speaker 1: I got tumbleweeds blown around in mind and I want

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Speaker 1: it to change. And I think as a fan, I've

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Speaker 1: done everything I have to do or know to do

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Speaker 1: and been asked to do. When are you gonna do

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Speaker 1: something for me? That's the mood right there. That's the

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Speaker 1: limbo A Texas A and M fan finds he is

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Speaker 1: or herself in next up. This paper sounds very, very

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Speaker 1: flimsy because we were back and forth on what this

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Speaker 1: one should be Ohio State mood track of the current

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Speaker 1: mood of your average Ohio State fan is. I think

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Speaker 1: they're still learning the ways of the sledgehammer for a while.

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Speaker 1: Under Ryan Day, I have had some things I can

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Speaker 1: take to the bank. We're going to have a pretty

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Speaker 1: prolific offense here. We're going to have a high level quarterback.

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Speaker 1: He's going to be talked about in the Heisman, Rays,

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Speaker 1: first round draft pick, etc. But I've lost to Michigan

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Speaker 1: two years in a row, and that's not great. But

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Speaker 1: it's very easy to sit around and say we can't

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Speaker 1: lose to Michigan for a third year in a row. Well,

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Speaker 1: of course you can't. But that's abstract. Get specific. How

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Speaker 1: are you going to do that and then pretend you're

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Speaker 1: Ryan Day and his staff in January after your season ends,

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Speaker 1: you guys sit around in that war room. How are

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Speaker 1: you going to make sure it doesn't happen? Well, the

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Speaker 1: answer is you can't be the second most physical team

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Speaker 1: on the field anymore, because you have been the last

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Speaker 1: couple of years. I know he went off on Lou Holtz.

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Speaker 1: Hey I'm saying that much more respectfully than Holts did,

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Speaker 1: because also I'm not speaking in the present tense. I

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Speaker 1: think they pushed the right buttons, at least I think

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Speaker 1: i'd I think they did. I think they made some

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Speaker 1: of the right moves. But if you're an Ohio State fan,

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Speaker 1: your mood when you've watched this team struggle to pull

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Speaker 1: away from inferior competition early in games could leave you

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Speaker 1: a little hesitant. And the reality is, I think some

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Speaker 1: of the things they had to change about the program

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Speaker 1: in order to build the kind of culture and build

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Speaker 1: the kind of edge they need to down the road

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Speaker 1: beat Michigan in ann Arbor may require not looking like

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Speaker 1: the prettiest version of Buckeye football in history. Offensively, you

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Speaker 1: got to know what you're asking for. If I asked

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Speaker 1: you to question, In other words, if I spoke at

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Speaker 1: the the Columbus Ohio Quarterback Club in January, which I

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Speaker 1: assume exists because it does in the South in every town,

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Speaker 1: and I were to say, straw Pole, do you guys

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Speaker 1: want the brand of team that's able to beat Michigan

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Speaker 1: and go toe to toe with a Georgia for example,

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Speaker 1: if you see him again, I get one hundred percent. Yes, Well,

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Speaker 1: maybe not one hundred percent. There's always one percent who

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Speaker 1: says the sky's purple, but ninety nine would say, yes, okay,

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Speaker 1: do you know what that looks like? It may look bumpy,

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Speaker 1: It may look like, you know, hanging twenty three on

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Speaker 1: Indiana in Week one, because I may not be throwing

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Speaker 1: the ball all over the yard. It may be that

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Speaker 1: we're really even with some inferior teams before we eventually

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Speaker 1: pull away and win thirty seven to seventeen. But what

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Speaker 1: if the ultimate payoff down the road is defense giving

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Speaker 1: your offense time to get itself in gear, and then

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Speaker 1: you got a very complementary and prolific talent roster down

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Speaker 1: the road that can win games in a multitude of

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Speaker 1: different ways. What if that's the payoff. They're not selling

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Speaker 1: on this team. Team's undefeated, team's got Penn State coming

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Speaker 1: in there next week. No, no one's selling on the team.

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Speaker 1: But you know, listen, when you've had a supersucker in

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Speaker 1: your hands and all of a sudden you exchange it

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Speaker 1: for a sledgehammer, you kind of look at that sledge

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Speaker 1: hammer for a second. You gotta get used to that thing,

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Speaker 1: and then down the road you look like Triple H

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Speaker 1: holding that sledgehammer. The cerebral assassin, as Jim Ross would

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Speaker 1: call him. Maybe that's what you turn into. You don't

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Speaker 1: become that overnight. You got to get a little taste

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Speaker 1: for it. I think they have immunity. You got to

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Speaker 1: get a little taste for it. And I think that

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Speaker 1: some fans are still struggling with that. You get used

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Speaker 1: to a certain way of winning. Florida was like that.

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Speaker 1: Florida learned a way of winning when Steve Spurrier was

407
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Speaker 1: down there and Urban Meyer reinforced that, and then other

408
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Speaker 1: guys wanted to try and win different ways, and by

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Speaker 1: the way, it didn't help. They weren't very good at it.

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Speaker 1: But even if they were good at it, even if

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Speaker 1: will muss Champ flourished at Florida, it was gonna take

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Speaker 1: a while for those folks to understand we're about to

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Speaker 1: ball control and defense our way to a title down here.

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Speaker 1: That was gonna take a little while, and it may

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Speaker 1: take a little while in Columbus. That's okay, though I

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Speaker 1: think they'll get there. What shall I say about this program?

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Speaker 1: It's very tricky. What's the mood at Clemson right now?

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Speaker 1: I categorize the mood of the fan base as uncertain

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Speaker 1: behind the curtain thumbs and folks are very interesting people.

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Speaker 1: I say this because I'm friends with several of them.

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Speaker 1: I'm related to a couple of them, so I get

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Speaker 1: an insight. Sometimes they let me behind the curtain. And

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Speaker 1: I say uncertain behind the curtain because Clemson fans talk

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Speaker 1: different amongst each other than they do when they're in

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Speaker 1: a typical office setting or you know a food court protocol,

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Speaker 1: if you will, when you're in the food court, at

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Speaker 1: least at Peachtree Mall in Columbus, Georgia, when you're in

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Speaker 1: the food court, you got a different face on than

429
00:21:27,520 --> 00:21:30,520
Speaker 1: you do when you're with Uncle Steve and aunt Lois,

430
00:21:30,640 --> 00:21:34,000
Speaker 1: and your cousin Cheryl at home later that night, a

431
00:21:34,000 --> 00:21:38,040
Speaker 1: lot of cousins and aunts and uncles rolling around. Everybody

432
00:21:38,160 --> 00:21:40,440
Speaker 1: knows what I'm talking about. You're different around your close

433
00:21:40,520 --> 00:21:42,760
Speaker 1: personal friends and family than you are when you're at

434
00:21:42,840 --> 00:21:46,440
Speaker 1: church on Sunday. Although you shouldn't be, you probably are.

435
00:21:47,440 --> 00:21:51,120
Speaker 1: And so I think behind the curtain, I think when

436
00:21:51,119 --> 00:21:56,360
Speaker 1: Clemson fans are amongst themselves, they're willing to verbalize some discomfort.

437
00:21:56,480 --> 00:22:00,080
Speaker 1: They're willing to verbalize some uneasiness about the direction of

438
00:22:00,119 --> 00:22:04,359
Speaker 1: the program. Not catastrophic by any stretch. JP Pole later tonight.

439
00:22:04,640 --> 00:22:08,000
Speaker 1: Clemson is still a top twenty team, but they used

440
00:22:08,000 --> 00:22:10,480
Speaker 1: to be a top five team. And so whether it's

441
00:22:10,480 --> 00:22:14,080
Speaker 1: transfer portal, whether it's the effectiveness of the offense, whether

442
00:22:14,119 --> 00:22:16,320
Speaker 1: it it could be a number of things. I think

443
00:22:16,320 --> 00:22:18,880
Speaker 1: that there is some what I would categorize is mild

444
00:22:18,920 --> 00:22:22,600
Speaker 1: to moderate concern that they're willing to verbalize. Here's the thing,

445
00:22:22,680 --> 00:22:26,199
Speaker 1: Clemson fans know, though there is a portion of the

446
00:22:26,200 --> 00:22:29,240
Speaker 1: college football media, there's a portion of the college football

447
00:22:29,280 --> 00:22:33,520
Speaker 1: public at large that just hates Daboswinny, and so they'll

448
00:22:33,640 --> 00:22:36,399
Speaker 1: never verbalize it publicly, where the rest of those folks

449
00:22:36,440 --> 00:22:39,800
Speaker 1: can hear it because they do not want to sound

450
00:22:39,960 --> 00:22:44,120
Speaker 1: like them. They're too busy defending Dabos Swinny and Clemson

451
00:22:44,240 --> 00:22:47,639
Speaker 1: University against the bad actors out there. And I'm not

452
00:22:47,680 --> 00:22:50,040
Speaker 1: really kidding about this, like I think they're onto something.

453
00:22:50,080 --> 00:22:54,040
Speaker 1: I think that does exist. They've labeled me as that before.

454
00:22:54,119 --> 00:22:56,960
Speaker 1: I'm not that I'm honest about the program. Sometimes it

455
00:22:57,000 --> 00:23:00,359
Speaker 1: gets miscategorized as being a hater of clem and I'm

456
00:23:00,400 --> 00:23:01,760
Speaker 1: not that at all. I may not know how to

457
00:23:01,760 --> 00:23:04,000
Speaker 1: pronounce the name of the school properly, but I know

458
00:23:04,040 --> 00:23:06,680
Speaker 1: Clemson and I got no problem with Clemson, and I

459
00:23:06,960 --> 00:23:09,920
Speaker 1: will even be happy to defend Clemson when it warrants

460
00:23:10,119 --> 00:23:12,440
Speaker 1: defending Clemson. And in this particular case, I think you

461
00:23:12,480 --> 00:23:15,080
Speaker 1: guys are right. That's why you won't let the public

462
00:23:15,440 --> 00:23:18,520
Speaker 1: hear what you guys talk about behind the scenes, because

463
00:23:18,600 --> 00:23:22,040
Speaker 1: you two you will not give them the satisfaction you

464
00:23:22,680 --> 00:23:25,119
Speaker 1: shouldn't like. I agree with you on that approach, but

465
00:23:25,240 --> 00:23:28,520
Speaker 1: I think there are some mild concerns there. I thought

466
00:23:28,560 --> 00:23:30,960
Speaker 1: it was very admirable that they got off the deck

467
00:23:31,000 --> 00:23:34,200
Speaker 1: and went to be Syracuse like they did. I didn't

468
00:23:34,240 --> 00:23:36,200
Speaker 1: think that was easy to do, and so let's just

469
00:23:36,200 --> 00:23:40,200
Speaker 1: see where they go the rest of the way. One

470
00:23:40,240 --> 00:23:42,720
Speaker 1: more I want to do here. We got many predictions

471
00:23:42,720 --> 00:23:44,080
Speaker 1: to do on the show tonight. I got a new

472
00:23:44,160 --> 00:23:46,600
Speaker 1: JP pole, I got three added best bets. It's a

473
00:23:46,840 --> 00:23:50,040
Speaker 1: completely jam packed show tonight. What is the mood around

474
00:23:50,080 --> 00:23:53,760
Speaker 1: Florida football? But Florida Gator fans? What's the mood down there?

475
00:23:53,840 --> 00:23:56,080
Speaker 1: Right now? You know what I came up with. This

476
00:23:56,119 --> 00:23:59,280
Speaker 1: is a paper popper. I think the mood amongst Florida

477
00:23:59,280 --> 00:24:03,600
Speaker 1: fans is what I would call competitively introverted. I know

478
00:24:03,600 --> 00:24:05,919
Speaker 1: a little something about being introverted. You may think that

479
00:24:06,000 --> 00:24:09,520
Speaker 1: I would love crowds, and I detest them. I'm just

480
00:24:09,560 --> 00:24:12,200
Speaker 1: able to I'm able to suck it up while I'm

481
00:24:12,200 --> 00:24:15,480
Speaker 1: on air, but I'm naturally a pretty shy person. That

482
00:24:15,600 --> 00:24:17,600
Speaker 1: just means I don't like to leave the house much.

483
00:24:18,040 --> 00:24:20,479
Speaker 1: And that is Florida like. Leaving the house is a

484
00:24:20,520 --> 00:24:23,040
Speaker 1: death sentence for Florida football. Right now. They're one in

485
00:24:23,240 --> 00:24:26,720
Speaker 1: seven on the road under Billy Napier. That is introverted,

486
00:24:27,000 --> 00:24:28,960
Speaker 1: That is not ever wanting to go out. If we

487
00:24:29,000 --> 00:24:31,440
Speaker 1: can stay home, if we can stay at the swamp,

488
00:24:31,800 --> 00:24:34,640
Speaker 1: we're fine. Look at what we did against Tennessee, but man,

489
00:24:34,920 --> 00:24:37,480
Speaker 1: we go on the road. Listen to this, Listen to

490
00:24:37,480 --> 00:24:41,840
Speaker 1: this quote from Billy Napier. Quote they're playing South Carolina

491
00:24:41,880 --> 00:24:44,680
Speaker 1: this week. Quote from Billy Napier. We're gonna try to

492
00:24:44,680 --> 00:24:47,840
Speaker 1: get to Columbia a little earlier this week. We're tweaking

493
00:24:47,840 --> 00:24:51,880
Speaker 1: our schedule on Thursday. We're gonna put huge emphasis on sleep.

494
00:24:52,119 --> 00:24:54,880
Speaker 1: What a novel concept. They're gonna sleep Wednesday night and

495
00:24:55,320 --> 00:24:57,679
Speaker 1: just little things. I think we're gonna arrive to the

496
00:24:57,720 --> 00:25:02,040
Speaker 1: stadium a little bit earlier. Is on playing South Carolina

497
00:25:02,119 --> 00:25:07,160
Speaker 1: in Coctober. No small task for even the most battle

498
00:25:07,200 --> 00:25:10,919
Speaker 1: hardened of road warrior teams. And here goes Florida that

499
00:25:11,080 --> 00:25:13,600
Speaker 1: is wobbly as a rama noodle that's been cooked on

500
00:25:13,640 --> 00:25:15,439
Speaker 1: the road, and they got to play South Carolina in

501
00:25:15,480 --> 00:25:22,000
Speaker 1: Coctober in Williams. Brice Stadium. Keep your eye on that one. Kids. Look,

502
00:25:22,040 --> 00:25:24,520
Speaker 1: I'd have no confidence about my team on the road

503
00:25:24,560 --> 00:25:27,400
Speaker 1: if I were a Florida fan, And why should you now?

504
00:25:27,560 --> 00:25:30,960
Speaker 1: At the same time, I know if you feel like

505
00:25:31,080 --> 00:25:34,680
Speaker 1: I do, you think that if we can get it

506
00:25:35,480 --> 00:25:39,480
Speaker 1: enough runway, the Billy Napier era at Florida will pay off.

507
00:25:39,520 --> 00:25:41,200
Speaker 1: I think a lot of you guys feel that way.

508
00:25:41,320 --> 00:25:42,879
Speaker 1: Some of you don't, some of you are doubters, but

509
00:25:43,040 --> 00:25:44,560
Speaker 1: a lot of you guys feel that way. I just

510
00:25:44,600 --> 00:25:46,399
Speaker 1: don't know how long the runway's got to be. And

511
00:25:46,560 --> 00:25:50,960
Speaker 1: we cannot have We cannot have Jekyl and Hyde Florida football.

512
00:25:50,960 --> 00:25:53,760
Speaker 1: We can't have fine at home. But who in the

513
00:25:53,760 --> 00:25:55,440
Speaker 1: world knows what we are on the road. We can't

514
00:25:55,480 --> 00:25:58,879
Speaker 1: do that. There is no way, by the way, A

515
00:25:58,880 --> 00:26:02,840
Speaker 1: little side note, there is no way that get into

516
00:26:02,920 --> 00:26:06,600
Speaker 1: town one day earlier, or changing your sleep patterns, or

517
00:26:06,680 --> 00:26:10,840
Speaker 1: inserting pot roads for cubed steak Friday for the team

518
00:26:10,880 --> 00:26:13,760
Speaker 1: meal is ultimately going to be the answer here. There

519
00:26:13,840 --> 00:26:17,639
Speaker 1: is something Monday through Thursday. That's the issue with Florida

520
00:26:17,720 --> 00:26:19,680
Speaker 1: going on the road and not performing well. A whole

521
00:26:19,720 --> 00:26:22,800
Speaker 1: lot more than there is quality controlling your way through

522
00:26:22,840 --> 00:26:25,199
Speaker 1: the issue. And I'm all about quality control, and I

523
00:26:25,240 --> 00:26:29,520
Speaker 1: know they're trying all that other stuff too. But I

524
00:26:29,600 --> 00:26:32,560
Speaker 1: pull for you guys. I mean not in this particular

525
00:26:32,600 --> 00:26:35,000
Speaker 1: game that would be unethical of me, but in general

526
00:26:35,240 --> 00:26:37,040
Speaker 1: I pull for Billy Napier and his staff to get

527
00:26:37,040 --> 00:26:40,880
Speaker 1: it together. But in the meantime, competitively introverted I think

528
00:26:40,960 --> 00:26:44,320
Speaker 1: is a very kind way to describe how your typical

529
00:26:44,320 --> 00:26:48,280
Speaker 1: Florida fan in Okalla feels about their football program right now.

530
00:26:48,280 --> 00:26:51,639
Speaker 1: There is no two things they know are true. Number one,

531
00:26:51,760 --> 00:26:54,440
Speaker 1: there is no way that I should be worried about

532
00:26:54,480 --> 00:26:57,000
Speaker 1: going to Columbia South Carolina and winning a football game.

533
00:26:57,040 --> 00:27:00,480
Speaker 1: And number two, I am petrified of going to Columbia

534
00:27:00,480 --> 00:27:03,800
Speaker 1: South Carolina to play a football game this weekend. That's

535
00:27:03,840 --> 00:27:07,840
Speaker 1: what October will do to him. Man. Fortunately, the things

536
00:27:07,880 --> 00:27:11,360
Speaker 1: you can control, like what you sit on, or what

537
00:27:11,480 --> 00:27:14,239
Speaker 1: you camp out under, or what you grill on. I

538
00:27:14,280 --> 00:27:16,200
Speaker 1: got all that taken care of because Academy Sports and

539
00:27:16,200 --> 00:27:18,520
Speaker 1: Outdoors has all that taken care of. They are our

540
00:27:18,640 --> 00:27:23,000
Speaker 1: exclusive partner here, and we always appreciate that. Goes without saying.

541
00:27:23,200 --> 00:27:26,640
Speaker 1: The reason that I don't have to humbly and sheepishly

542
00:27:26,760 --> 00:27:29,560
Speaker 1: ask you to pay me money like Mark Stoops ask

543
00:27:29,640 --> 00:27:31,639
Speaker 1: you to do, is because you don't have to. The

544
00:27:31,680 --> 00:27:34,280
Speaker 1: show's free. It's free courtesy of Academy Sports and Outdoors.

545
00:27:34,680 --> 00:27:38,280
Speaker 1: So I know a lot of you see outside that

546
00:27:38,320 --> 00:27:41,439
Speaker 1: the days are getting shorter, which is terrible. I mean

547
00:27:41,520 --> 00:27:44,399
Speaker 1: sunsets at four o'clock or emminent in Nashville and you

548
00:27:44,480 --> 00:27:47,440
Speaker 1: know that the weather is getting cooler. That happens every year,

549
00:27:48,000 --> 00:27:50,680
Speaker 1: and so you know you're going to need to buy

550
00:27:50,720 --> 00:27:53,080
Speaker 1: things this time of year. Just do it at Academy

551
00:27:53,080 --> 00:27:57,000
Speaker 1: Sports and Outdoors. They have a shocking amount of inventory.

552
00:27:57,200 --> 00:28:00,160
Speaker 1: It's not just sporting goods equipment and that's it. It's

553
00:28:00,160 --> 00:28:02,000
Speaker 1: a lot of other things you would never expect to

554
00:28:02,040 --> 00:28:04,240
Speaker 1: find at a sporting good store, which is why I

555
00:28:04,240 --> 00:28:06,760
Speaker 1: don't really call it a sporting good store. If you

556
00:28:06,800 --> 00:28:09,359
Speaker 1: can't get there in person, that's okay. You've got internet

557
00:28:09,400 --> 00:28:11,440
Speaker 1: access because you're able to watch this show right now

558
00:28:11,600 --> 00:28:15,320
Speaker 1: Academy dot com, boom. Just go check it out. Go

559
00:28:15,440 --> 00:28:17,639
Speaker 1: check it out. I guarantee you will not be disappointed.

560
00:28:18,240 --> 00:28:21,040
Speaker 1: I cannot back that legally. That is not a guarantee

561
00:28:21,040 --> 00:28:24,120
Speaker 1: I can back legally, But just one friend to another,

562
00:28:24,680 --> 00:28:28,560
Speaker 1: wink nod, I guarantee you'll like it. Now it's time

563
00:28:28,560 --> 00:28:31,880
Speaker 1: to predict some games. Just take a set from the chalice.

564
00:28:34,760 --> 00:28:39,200
Speaker 1: I say, who as like an xal? Because there's a

565
00:28:39,240 --> 00:28:42,080
Speaker 1: world where I get a little carried away with the

566
00:28:42,080 --> 00:28:45,520
Speaker 1: stoop segment and I get a little long winded on

567
00:28:45,560 --> 00:28:48,400
Speaker 1: the transfer or not the transfer portal, The mood tracker stuff,

568
00:28:48,840 --> 00:28:51,400
Speaker 1: and I look up and it's already an hour into

569
00:28:51,440 --> 00:28:54,200
Speaker 1: the show before we predicted games. So I'm very pleased

570
00:28:54,520 --> 00:28:56,800
Speaker 1: that we got that done in under thirty minutes. All right,

571
00:28:56,880 --> 00:29:03,440
Speaker 1: now down to business or versus Washington. Maybe the first

572
00:29:03,480 --> 00:29:05,560
Speaker 1: of two rounds of this game this year. We'll see.

573
00:29:05,600 --> 00:29:08,360
Speaker 1: We know we got it Saturday at three point thirty

574
00:29:08,440 --> 00:29:11,840
Speaker 1: Eastern time. It's important to note that's a twelve thirty

575
00:29:11,920 --> 00:29:14,880
Speaker 1: local kick there in Seattle. We will be there on

576
00:29:14,960 --> 00:29:18,560
Speaker 1: the sidelines for this game, rain gear packed. Just in

577
00:29:18,680 --> 00:29:22,320
Speaker 1: case I don't own anything purple. I'm working on it

578
00:29:22,360 --> 00:29:28,120
Speaker 1: for Saturday. We'll see. The wardrobe is not exactly extensive.

579
00:29:27,680 --> 00:29:31,200
Speaker 1: You probably are not shocked to hear that is this

580
00:29:31,240 --> 00:29:34,520
Speaker 1: the premier game in the PAC twelve this year, because

581
00:29:34,520 --> 00:29:37,240
Speaker 1: we got a gauntlet of a schedule stretch coming up

582
00:29:37,280 --> 00:29:39,720
Speaker 1: here with these teams in Southern cal and Utah and

583
00:29:39,800 --> 00:29:42,280
Speaker 1: UCLA and Oregon State. It's too soon to tell if

584
00:29:42,320 --> 00:29:44,320
Speaker 1: this is the premier game. But this is a top

585
00:29:44,320 --> 00:29:47,160
Speaker 1: ten AP matchup, it's a top ten JP pole matchup,

586
00:29:47,320 --> 00:29:51,160
Speaker 1: and a ton will be made about Michael Pennix versus

587
00:29:51,240 --> 00:29:54,480
Speaker 1: bon Nix now, unless there is a new package that's

588
00:29:54,480 --> 00:29:57,120
Speaker 1: put in community. I got it on pretty good word

589
00:29:57,160 --> 00:29:58,800
Speaker 1: that those two will never be on the field at

590
00:29:58,840 --> 00:30:02,320
Speaker 1: the same time today this Saturday, but it will be

591
00:30:02,320 --> 00:30:05,200
Speaker 1: billed as Pennix versus Nicks. I think there's so much

592
00:30:05,200 --> 00:30:08,440
Speaker 1: more going on in this game. Last year, do you

593
00:30:08,520 --> 00:30:11,840
Speaker 1: remember this thing? Last year? There was some controversy. Dan

594
00:30:11,920 --> 00:30:14,520
Speaker 1: Lanning went for it in his own territory, didn't make it.

595
00:30:15,200 --> 00:30:17,560
Speaker 1: I actually thought it was not the most egregious decision

596
00:30:17,600 --> 00:30:22,000
Speaker 1: in the world. Washington ends up winning the game. I've

597
00:30:22,040 --> 00:30:24,560
Speaker 1: got a default position I'm going to take on this matchup.

598
00:30:25,280 --> 00:30:27,600
Speaker 1: So this may or may not pan out, but I'm

599
00:30:27,600 --> 00:30:31,520
Speaker 1: confident in it. I am confident Oregon will score at

600
00:30:31,600 --> 00:30:34,760
Speaker 1: least thirty eight in this game Saturday. I'm putting that

601
00:30:34,840 --> 00:30:37,160
Speaker 1: out there, and if I'm wrong, I'm wrong. But that's

602
00:30:37,160 --> 00:30:39,760
Speaker 1: the default position that the rest of this prediction will

603
00:30:39,760 --> 00:30:41,840
Speaker 1: work off of. So if I think Oregon's going to

604
00:30:41,880 --> 00:30:46,800
Speaker 1: score thirty eight, then what else do I need from Washington?

605
00:30:46,840 --> 00:30:50,920
Speaker 1: Because Oregon is top ten and passing yards per game,

606
00:30:51,000 --> 00:30:54,520
Speaker 1: rushing yards became very balanced offense. They ran for three

607
00:30:54,480 --> 00:30:59,360
Speaker 1: to twelve in this game last year. Washington ninety third

608
00:30:59,400 --> 00:31:02,760
Speaker 1: in the country pass defense forty sixth in run defense,

609
00:31:03,760 --> 00:31:06,720
Speaker 1: yards and points will be there for Oregon. You're not

610
00:31:06,760 --> 00:31:09,120
Speaker 1: shutting them down. So that doesn't mean you're that needn't

611
00:31:09,120 --> 00:31:10,760
Speaker 1: mean Oregon is gonna win the game. It just means

612
00:31:10,960 --> 00:31:13,120
Speaker 1: I think that you've you got to put together one

613
00:31:13,160 --> 00:31:17,800
Speaker 1: of those Washington big time offense type afternoons to match

614
00:31:17,840 --> 00:31:20,840
Speaker 1: and exceed that. So here's what I think Washington needs.

615
00:31:21,240 --> 00:31:24,160
Speaker 1: Michael Pennix needs a career day, fully capable of it.

616
00:31:24,520 --> 00:31:27,240
Speaker 1: But it's by far the best defense who will have

617
00:31:27,240 --> 00:31:29,959
Speaker 1: played this year. They've got to flip the pressure numbers.

618
00:31:30,000 --> 00:31:32,200
Speaker 1: That's the first thing they have to do. Oregon is

619
00:31:32,240 --> 00:31:36,520
Speaker 1: top fifteen in sacks. Washington won twenty seven. Jesse is

620
00:31:36,560 --> 00:31:38,560
Speaker 1: that number right? I know we talked about this a

621
00:31:38,560 --> 00:31:45,040
Speaker 1: few hours ago. One twenty seventh in pressure numbers? What

622
00:31:45,120 --> 00:31:48,360
Speaker 1: does it mean? Like, I know we talk about this stuff,

623
00:31:48,400 --> 00:31:51,520
Speaker 1: and I tell you, numbers are great at predicting the past.

624
00:31:51,560 --> 00:31:55,040
Speaker 1: We're worried about what will happen. So one of those

625
00:31:55,080 --> 00:31:57,959
Speaker 1: stats in a bubble doesn't mean much to me. But

626
00:31:58,080 --> 00:32:01,600
Speaker 1: they need to run enough. I think two offset pressure.

627
00:32:02,360 --> 00:32:05,200
Speaker 1: They're one hundred and fourth in rush yards per game

628
00:32:05,280 --> 00:32:08,480
Speaker 1: right now. I don't mean they have to be balanced.

629
00:32:08,560 --> 00:32:11,440
Speaker 1: We've never on this show believed that balance is like

630
00:32:11,560 --> 00:32:13,880
Speaker 1: one number being equal to another number. That's not what

631
00:32:13,920 --> 00:32:18,600
Speaker 1: balance is. Balance is Oregon's defensive staff believing you're capable

632
00:32:18,600 --> 00:32:20,080
Speaker 1: of running the ball and willing to run the ball.

633
00:32:20,160 --> 00:32:22,120
Speaker 1: If you can do that, that's good enough for balance

634
00:32:22,160 --> 00:32:25,360
Speaker 1: for me. Saturday. Washington's strength versus Oregon strength, that's what

635
00:32:25,480 --> 00:32:30,160
Speaker 1: is so fascinating here. Number five pass defense in the country.

636
00:32:30,440 --> 00:32:35,240
Speaker 1: That's what Oregon's bringing to Washington Saturday. Now, have they

637
00:32:35,280 --> 00:32:38,760
Speaker 1: been tested with an offense the likes of which Washington

638
00:32:38,760 --> 00:32:40,640
Speaker 1: will put on the field. Have they seen that kind

639
00:32:40,680 --> 00:32:43,480
Speaker 1: of perimeter skill? No, they haven't. They've been on the

640
00:32:43,560 --> 00:32:46,840
Speaker 1: road against Texas Tech got taken right down to the wire,

641
00:32:47,560 --> 00:32:50,120
Speaker 1: and now they go into all due respect to our

642
00:32:50,120 --> 00:32:53,040
Speaker 1: folks in Lubbock, an atmosphere even more hostile than that.

643
00:32:54,280 --> 00:32:56,880
Speaker 1: I got confidence in bo Nicks. Okay, I'll pop the

644
00:32:56,920 --> 00:32:58,800
Speaker 1: pin on that one. I got confidence in bo Nicks.

645
00:32:59,280 --> 00:33:03,200
Speaker 1: The top flew off. Here's the problem. I got a

646
00:33:03,280 --> 00:33:07,920
Speaker 1: potential padlock stat here. My guy has not been great

647
00:33:07,960 --> 00:33:11,520
Speaker 1: on the road. He's zero to six, including two touchdowns

648
00:33:11,560 --> 00:33:14,480
Speaker 1: and nine interceptions versus top ten teams on the road.

649
00:33:14,960 --> 00:33:16,440
Speaker 1: Some of that wasn't his fault, cause some of that

650
00:33:16,440 --> 00:33:20,800
Speaker 1: was at Auburn. But that's okay because I think this

651
00:33:20,960 --> 00:33:24,440
Speaker 1: is the most equipped and it is the best position

652
00:33:24,840 --> 00:33:26,880
Speaker 1: that he will have had himself put in to maybe

653
00:33:27,080 --> 00:33:31,560
Speaker 1: flip that stat profile on the road. Washington does not

654
00:33:31,600 --> 00:33:33,560
Speaker 1: make it easy on you at home, ten and zero

655
00:33:33,600 --> 00:33:36,959
Speaker 1: at home. Since the start of twenty twenty two, they

656
00:33:37,000 --> 00:33:41,080
Speaker 1: are averaging forty six per game at home, the opponent

657
00:33:41,360 --> 00:33:45,040
Speaker 1: just over twenty per game. The model has a strong

658
00:33:45,080 --> 00:33:47,640
Speaker 1: opinion on this, and I've got a strong opinion on it.

659
00:33:47,680 --> 00:33:49,200
Speaker 1: So let's take a look at what the model thinks,

660
00:33:49,200 --> 00:33:51,240
Speaker 1: and Colin, let's take a look at what Vegas thinks.

661
00:33:51,280 --> 00:33:54,800
Speaker 1: The current number is Washington minus two and a half

662
00:33:55,160 --> 00:33:57,640
Speaker 1: of the model says, uh huh, there's not a favorite

663
00:33:57,680 --> 00:34:01,239
Speaker 1: in this game. It's straight up pick them, straight up

664
00:34:01,240 --> 00:34:05,200
Speaker 1: pick them. I am a believer that both of these

665
00:34:05,240 --> 00:34:08,080
Speaker 1: offenses are prolific. I am a believer in the crowbar

666
00:34:08,120 --> 00:34:10,759
Speaker 1: and the bicycle spokes theory, which was made famous on

667
00:34:10,800 --> 00:34:12,840
Speaker 1: this show and you've probably only heard on this show,

668
00:34:13,120 --> 00:34:15,960
Speaker 1: and that is when you don't have the ability to

669
00:34:16,040 --> 00:34:19,120
Speaker 1: have a secondary pitch when you're just fastball fastball fastball.

670
00:34:19,280 --> 00:34:21,839
Speaker 1: If that thing's running one oh one with movement, you

671
00:34:21,920 --> 00:34:25,239
Speaker 1: don't need a secondary pitch. And likewise, if you got

672
00:34:25,239 --> 00:34:28,919
Speaker 1: Michael Pennix, just thread the needle throwing darts, that can

673
00:34:28,960 --> 00:34:32,879
Speaker 1: carve up any pass defense in America. But if it's

674
00:34:32,960 --> 00:34:36,720
Speaker 1: just the slightest bit off, if that front is able

675
00:34:36,760 --> 00:34:40,600
Speaker 1: to disrupt timing in rhythm, just the slightest bit, it

676
00:34:40,640 --> 00:34:44,560
Speaker 1: doesn't slow down. Sometimes it is the crowbar in the

677
00:34:44,600 --> 00:34:49,400
Speaker 1: bicycle spokes. When you insert a crowbar effectively into bicycle spokes,

678
00:34:49,640 --> 00:34:52,600
Speaker 1: the bike stops, You fly over the handlebars. You look

679
00:34:52,640 --> 00:34:54,879
Speaker 1: like Bobby Petrino's circa two thousand and nine or something

680
00:34:54,960 --> 00:34:58,640
Speaker 1: like that. You look your face looks like street pizza.

681
00:34:58,760 --> 00:35:01,279
Speaker 1: Will that happen Saturday? I have no clue. There's a

682
00:35:01,320 --> 00:35:03,759
Speaker 1: world where Washington's got ten points at the start of

683
00:35:03,800 --> 00:35:05,760
Speaker 1: the fourth quarter. There's a world where they got forty

684
00:35:05,800 --> 00:35:08,080
Speaker 1: one at the start of the fourth quarter. I just

685
00:35:08,120 --> 00:35:12,239
Speaker 1: think Oregon's gonna have some success defensively Saturday. I don't

686
00:35:12,280 --> 00:35:16,799
Speaker 1: know if I'm as confident that Washington will. So I'm

687
00:35:16,800 --> 00:35:21,080
Speaker 1: taking Washington long term to be a player in the

688
00:35:21,120 --> 00:35:25,520
Speaker 1: PAC twelve Championship scene to the wire. But Saturday, I

689
00:35:25,560 --> 00:35:27,920
Speaker 1: actually think bon Nix is flipping that Road script. I

690
00:35:27,920 --> 00:35:29,400
Speaker 1: actually think they're gonna go in there and find a

691
00:35:29,400 --> 00:35:31,319
Speaker 1: way to win it and find a way to cover.

692
00:35:32,560 --> 00:35:35,320
Speaker 1: It's not a high confidence game for me, not betting

693
00:35:35,360 --> 00:35:37,680
Speaker 1: anything on it, but I am actually gonna take the

694
00:35:37,760 --> 00:35:39,960
Speaker 1: Road team here. Thought I was gonna go with Washington.

695
00:35:40,000 --> 00:35:42,440
Speaker 1: The more I started looking into those stat profiles, the

696
00:35:42,440 --> 00:35:45,720
Speaker 1: more my opinion flipped. And so I'm gonna go with Washington.

697
00:35:45,760 --> 00:35:49,440
Speaker 1: Here's what I do know, regardless of outcome, both of

698
00:35:49,440 --> 00:35:51,759
Speaker 1: those teams are still alive in the PAC twelve championship race.

699
00:35:52,080 --> 00:35:54,040
Speaker 1: We're just taking the two top teams out there. It's

700
00:35:54,080 --> 00:35:56,759
Speaker 1: not a division thing. And also, I know we got

701
00:35:56,840 --> 00:35:59,920
Speaker 1: a really hot shirt to commemorate our trip to Seattle

702
00:36:00,080 --> 00:36:02,439
Speaker 1: Once upon a Saturday tour. This is the furthest away

703
00:36:02,440 --> 00:36:05,360
Speaker 1: from home we've ever been. We've been to LA a

704
00:36:05,400 --> 00:36:07,759
Speaker 1: couple times, we've been up to Eugene, but we've never

705
00:36:07,760 --> 00:36:10,719
Speaker 1: been to Seattle. We've never been to Husky Stadium. I

706
00:36:10,840 --> 00:36:14,200
Speaker 1: have gotten dozens and dozens of people in my inbox

707
00:36:14,239 --> 00:36:16,759
Speaker 1: and my dms telling me what I should see, where

708
00:36:16,760 --> 00:36:19,600
Speaker 1: I should go, what I should expect. Keep it coming.

709
00:36:19,640 --> 00:36:21,839
Speaker 1: It's fine with me. I love it. But once upon

710
00:36:21,840 --> 00:36:25,399
Speaker 1: a Saturday tour heading to Seattle for Oregon Washington, that

711
00:36:25,440 --> 00:36:28,239
Speaker 1: shirt will be available at peytstatemterial dot com for one

712
00:36:28,280 --> 00:36:31,239
Speaker 1: week only and then it's gone. We are off the

713
00:36:31,280 --> 00:36:34,400
Speaker 1: heels of our best selling shirt of all time with

714
00:36:34,520 --> 00:36:37,200
Speaker 1: OU versus Texas last week, So we'll see what we

715
00:36:37,239 --> 00:36:41,200
Speaker 1: can do with that one next up loaded week. We

716
00:36:41,200 --> 00:36:42,640
Speaker 1: can't even get all the games in tonight. I got

717
00:36:42,640 --> 00:36:47,560
Speaker 1: one that I'm gonna save for Thursday. But this one

718
00:36:49,320 --> 00:36:51,960
Speaker 1: I felt very nice in the show right here. I

719
00:36:52,040 --> 00:36:54,799
Speaker 1: think it's a little off the national radar. Texas A

720
00:36:54,840 --> 00:36:58,240
Speaker 1: and M place Tennessee Saturday. It's the three thirty Eastern

721
00:36:58,320 --> 00:37:01,400
Speaker 1: CBS game of the week. I want to talk to

722
00:37:01,440 --> 00:37:03,919
Speaker 1: you about external dynamics for a second. So last week

723
00:37:03,960 --> 00:37:08,000
Speaker 1: I picked Louisville to beat Notre Dame mainly because of

724
00:37:08,080 --> 00:37:13,840
Speaker 1: external dynamics scheduling and whatnot. So get this. Texas A

725
00:37:13,880 --> 00:37:17,439
Speaker 1: and M plays Bama down to the wire. It's a war.

726
00:37:17,600 --> 00:37:22,000
Speaker 1: They lose it. They're totally drained physically and emotionally. Tennessee

727
00:37:22,040 --> 00:37:24,480
Speaker 1: does nothing last week. In fact, they sit at home

728
00:37:24,480 --> 00:37:26,880
Speaker 1: with their feet propped up, and they watch the game,

729
00:37:28,840 --> 00:37:30,600
Speaker 1: and then A ANDM has to pack up and go

730
00:37:30,680 --> 00:37:34,440
Speaker 1: to their backyard. Now, these teams could play on a

731
00:37:34,480 --> 00:37:37,040
Speaker 1: neutral field with equal rest, and I could expect something

732
00:37:37,040 --> 00:37:39,920
Speaker 1: totally different than I do expect this Saturday because of

733
00:37:39,920 --> 00:37:42,440
Speaker 1: those external dynamics. That's life, man, You got to deal

734
00:37:42,480 --> 00:37:44,719
Speaker 1: with it. That's college football. A and M is oh

735
00:37:44,840 --> 00:37:47,640
Speaker 1: of their last seven on the road, though, and Tennessee's

736
00:37:47,640 --> 00:37:52,000
Speaker 1: won twelve straight at home. So that's the backdrop before

737
00:37:52,040 --> 00:37:53,920
Speaker 1: we ever talk about a player, or we ever talk

738
00:37:53,960 --> 00:37:57,640
Speaker 1: about a matchup, that's the backdrop. Areas a really good

739
00:37:57,640 --> 00:37:59,640
Speaker 1: matchup in this game, though it just may not be

740
00:37:59,680 --> 00:38:03,360
Speaker 1: the one that you think. Tennessee is second in America

741
00:38:04,360 --> 00:38:07,240
Speaker 1: in rush yards per game. A and M is sixth

742
00:38:07,360 --> 00:38:11,880
Speaker 1: in the country defensively in that stat category. I know

743
00:38:12,040 --> 00:38:14,400
Speaker 1: that people who haven't watched Tennessee play a lot this

744
00:38:14,520 --> 00:38:17,960
Speaker 1: year are thinking to themselves, Ooh, how's A and M's

745
00:38:18,000 --> 00:38:20,239
Speaker 1: defense gonna hold up? And you're right to think that,

746
00:38:20,640 --> 00:38:24,920
Speaker 1: but you're probably thinking about pass defense. Matchup of the

747
00:38:24,960 --> 00:38:28,719
Speaker 1: game is run defense versus that running game. I heard

748
00:38:28,800 --> 00:38:31,280
Speaker 1: hypel get asked about it last week. He got asked,

749
00:38:31,560 --> 00:38:34,359
Speaker 1: why do people think you're a prolific passing attack this year?

750
00:38:34,400 --> 00:38:37,240
Speaker 1: And he basically he was nice. It was too nice

751
00:38:37,239 --> 00:38:39,040
Speaker 1: to say what I'm about to say. Some of y'all

752
00:38:39,080 --> 00:38:40,560
Speaker 1: just hadn't watched the game, and you run your mouth

753
00:38:40,600 --> 00:38:43,040
Speaker 1: too much, like you have not watched him play, and

754
00:38:43,080 --> 00:38:44,719
Speaker 1: you just run your mouth. That's not what they're doing

755
00:38:44,719 --> 00:38:47,239
Speaker 1: this year. They're not a pass first team. They're a

756
00:38:47,320 --> 00:38:49,919
Speaker 1: run first team. They're very good at running the ball

757
00:38:50,680 --> 00:38:53,360
Speaker 1: two ways. Though, as a result of that that A

758
00:38:53,480 --> 00:38:56,400
Speaker 1: and M could actually tilt this game in their favor.

759
00:38:56,480 --> 00:38:59,440
Speaker 1: One of them is obvious, and that's forced Joe Milton

760
00:38:59,480 --> 00:39:03,239
Speaker 1: into obvious passing downs and then hopefully victimize him. It's

761
00:39:03,239 --> 00:39:05,560
Speaker 1: not a guarantee. Milton can throw the ball deep on you,

762
00:39:05,840 --> 00:39:08,239
Speaker 1: just like Milroe did last week. If you give them time,

763
00:39:09,160 --> 00:39:11,759
Speaker 1: I learned my lesson there. You give him time, he

764
00:39:11,840 --> 00:39:14,040
Speaker 1: could beat you down the field, and so those plays

765
00:39:14,080 --> 00:39:17,360
Speaker 1: will be there. Tennessee will take some shots. But let's

766
00:39:17,400 --> 00:39:19,480
Speaker 1: just say it doesn't pay off for them. It did

767
00:39:19,520 --> 00:39:22,200
Speaker 1: pay off for Bama last week. Enough, let's say it

768
00:39:22,239 --> 00:39:26,440
Speaker 1: doesn't pay off. Well. The other thing is Tennessee loves

769
00:39:26,440 --> 00:39:29,560
Speaker 1: to work at pace. They love at tempo, and they

770
00:39:29,600 --> 00:39:32,160
Speaker 1: love to grind you on the ground and then move

771
00:39:32,200 --> 00:39:34,040
Speaker 1: the sticks, and then move the sticks again and again

772
00:39:34,080 --> 00:39:37,359
Speaker 1: and again. But there's a world where if you are

773
00:39:37,480 --> 00:39:40,160
Speaker 1: stout enough against the run and you set up a

774
00:39:40,200 --> 00:39:42,360
Speaker 1: third and seven and they don't convert it, and you

775
00:39:42,440 --> 00:39:44,040
Speaker 1: just do that a couple of times, you get them

776
00:39:44,040 --> 00:39:46,520
Speaker 1: off the field, then you go on some longer drives yourself.

777
00:39:46,840 --> 00:39:49,680
Speaker 1: You really tilt time of possession, which in and of

778
00:39:49,719 --> 00:39:51,759
Speaker 1: itself is not a stat we care about all that much.

779
00:39:51,840 --> 00:39:54,400
Speaker 1: I do care about how many plays you run. I

780
00:39:54,440 --> 00:39:56,480
Speaker 1: care about how long your offense is on the field

781
00:39:56,520 --> 00:39:58,280
Speaker 1: and how long theirs has to sit on the bench.

782
00:39:58,400 --> 00:40:01,319
Speaker 1: I care about how gassed you can get defense. That's

783
00:40:01,360 --> 00:40:03,200
Speaker 1: what I care about. It is the kind of thing

784
00:40:03,200 --> 00:40:05,560
Speaker 1: if you're not careful, if you're Tennessee, that A and

785
00:40:05,719 --> 00:40:09,440
Speaker 1: M can really tilt and in the critical factors of

786
00:40:09,480 --> 00:40:12,879
Speaker 1: the game this Saturday in their favor. Both teams are

787
00:40:12,960 --> 00:40:16,200
Speaker 1: top three in sacks this year. Defensively, they have gotten

788
00:40:16,200 --> 00:40:19,120
Speaker 1: after the quarterback. A and M is bad on early

789
00:40:19,200 --> 00:40:22,080
Speaker 1: downs this year. Tennessee hadn't been particularly great on third

790
00:40:22,120 --> 00:40:25,759
Speaker 1: or fourth down. Offensively, there is a recipe here and

791
00:40:25,800 --> 00:40:29,600
Speaker 1: it is a recipe for a low scoring game. So

792
00:40:29,680 --> 00:40:31,399
Speaker 1: let's take a look at what the model thinks. I'll

793
00:40:31,400 --> 00:40:34,040
Speaker 1: tell you what I think Vegas right now is Tennessee

794
00:40:34,120 --> 00:40:36,040
Speaker 1: minus three and a half. I know what a lot

795
00:40:36,040 --> 00:40:37,520
Speaker 1: of you think about that. A lot of you are thinking,

796
00:40:37,560 --> 00:40:40,640
Speaker 1: wait a second, hold on. You just told me Tennessee's rested.

797
00:40:40,680 --> 00:40:43,839
Speaker 1: They've won a dozen straight at home. I just saw

798
00:40:43,880 --> 00:40:45,920
Speaker 1: A and M get beat by Bama. They've got to

799
00:40:45,960 --> 00:40:48,560
Speaker 1: be gutted. Last time I saw him on the road,

800
00:40:48,560 --> 00:40:51,160
Speaker 1: they played Miami. Miami hung nearly half one hundred on them.

801
00:40:51,560 --> 00:40:54,200
Speaker 1: Tennessee's got He'll be a lock here, right, Tennessee minus

802
00:40:54,239 --> 00:40:57,000
Speaker 1: three and a half. Really, that's a gift. I don't

803
00:40:57,080 --> 00:40:59,640
Speaker 1: think that. I don't think it, but I will tell

804
00:40:59,680 --> 00:41:02,680
Speaker 1: you this. I do think Tennessee is gonna win and cover,

805
00:41:03,000 --> 00:41:05,080
Speaker 1: but I don't feel as confident in it as I

806
00:41:05,080 --> 00:41:08,840
Speaker 1: think most of America does. This will be a massive

807
00:41:08,880 --> 00:41:11,000
Speaker 1: exposure game. I think for Vegas, I think they'll take

808
00:41:11,040 --> 00:41:15,000
Speaker 1: a ton of Tennessee action here. Look, I'm like fifty

809
00:41:15,040 --> 00:41:18,960
Speaker 1: three seven percent on it. I'm confident in the under

810
00:41:19,400 --> 00:41:21,359
Speaker 1: I'll go ahead and give you a little preview. Now,

811
00:41:21,520 --> 00:41:23,560
Speaker 1: that's one of the best bets of this week. We

812
00:41:23,640 --> 00:41:26,400
Speaker 1: are taking the under at fifty six. There are some

813
00:41:26,440 --> 00:41:29,800
Speaker 1: fifty six's out there right now as of showtime. Under

814
00:41:29,840 --> 00:41:32,239
Speaker 1: fifty six one of my favorite plays of the week,

815
00:41:32,440 --> 00:41:34,239
Speaker 1: and that'll be on the Ramanutile Express a little bit

816
00:41:34,280 --> 00:41:36,360
Speaker 1: later in the show. I just just wanted to slip

817
00:41:36,400 --> 00:41:42,000
Speaker 1: it into the individual game preview. You know, sometimes we

818
00:41:42,040 --> 00:41:43,759
Speaker 1: get in a really good flow on the show and

819
00:41:44,160 --> 00:41:46,680
Speaker 1: we just go game after game after game. But that's

820
00:41:46,680 --> 00:41:49,120
Speaker 1: not always the way it works, is it, Colin. Sometimes

821
00:41:49,360 --> 00:41:53,160
Speaker 1: Director Colin pops in my ear and says, hey, you

822
00:41:53,239 --> 00:41:56,040
Speaker 1: know what we should do. We should break the prediction

823
00:41:56,200 --> 00:41:59,200
Speaker 1: monotony a little bit here. So we're gonna do that.

824
00:42:00,080 --> 00:42:02,840
Speaker 1: I know, if you live in Pennsylvania, maybe you've already

825
00:42:02,840 --> 00:42:04,680
Speaker 1: heard when I'm about to play, But most of you,

826
00:42:05,560 --> 00:42:08,560
Speaker 1: just the census tells me most of you don't live

827
00:42:08,640 --> 00:42:11,560
Speaker 1: in Pennsylvania, and some of you that used to got

828
00:42:11,560 --> 00:42:13,839
Speaker 1: out and you live down here now, like producer Jesse,

829
00:42:14,200 --> 00:42:16,880
Speaker 1: So let me let me re rack the pool balls

830
00:42:16,920 --> 00:42:20,719
Speaker 1: here for a second. James Franklin today got hit with

831
00:42:20,760 --> 00:42:24,240
Speaker 1: an Xbox Coordinator special. We've talked about the Xbox Coordinator

832
00:42:24,239 --> 00:42:26,520
Speaker 1: on the show sometimes and that is whether it be

833
00:42:26,600 --> 00:42:28,640
Speaker 1: your buddy or someone in a chat room, someone on

834
00:42:28,680 --> 00:42:30,440
Speaker 1: a message board. Do people use chatrooms? I don't think

835
00:42:30,440 --> 00:42:33,480
Speaker 1: they do. People on message boards, people on call in shows.

836
00:42:33,520 --> 00:42:36,680
Speaker 1: They think it's just as easy as what you do

837
00:42:36,719 --> 00:42:39,880
Speaker 1: on Xbox. And that's the way football games are won.

838
00:42:39,960 --> 00:42:43,120
Speaker 1: And of course it's not our buddy James Franklin up,

839
00:42:43,120 --> 00:42:46,160
Speaker 1: their head coach at Penn State, he was blindsided today

840
00:42:46,520 --> 00:42:49,920
Speaker 1: by an Xbox coordinator special And I am going to

841
00:42:49,960 --> 00:42:52,239
Speaker 1: do something I rarely do. I'm going to play the

842
00:42:52,320 --> 00:42:54,759
Speaker 1: whole thing in its entirety. It's a little over a

843
00:42:54,840 --> 00:42:59,200
Speaker 1: minute between a minute two minutes long. It just goes

844
00:42:59,239 --> 00:43:01,719
Speaker 1: downhill quickly. And if you're listening on a podcast, you

845
00:43:01,760 --> 00:43:04,960
Speaker 1: can feel the energy, it's palpable coming through your speakers.

846
00:43:05,000 --> 00:43:05,560
Speaker 1: Roll it, Colin.

847
00:43:06,280 --> 00:43:09,680
Speaker 4: Is there a balance though, between hey, we need you

848
00:43:09,719 --> 00:43:12,280
Speaker 4: to throw the ball deep, no matter, just take a shot.

849
00:43:12,440 --> 00:43:16,360
Speaker 4: Don't don't overthink it, take a shot. We need to

850
00:43:16,400 --> 00:43:19,400
Speaker 4: see it. We're gonna call it, and we need you

851
00:43:19,440 --> 00:43:22,080
Speaker 4: to get some confidence in doing this, as opposed to

852
00:43:22,560 --> 00:43:25,279
Speaker 4: even giving a young quarterback a chance and say, hey,

853
00:43:25,480 --> 00:43:27,120
Speaker 4: just check it down if if it's not.

854
00:43:27,120 --> 00:43:33,160
Speaker 2: There, I don't really understand what you're saying, because we

855
00:43:33,200 --> 00:43:36,719
Speaker 2: would never Like I'm like, my skin is curling when

856
00:43:36,760 --> 00:43:39,400
Speaker 2: you say just drop back and chuck it deep no

857
00:43:39,480 --> 00:43:43,120
Speaker 2: matter what, like like that is like I don't even

858
00:43:43,160 --> 00:43:45,200
Speaker 2: know what you're I don't know what you're saying. It's

859
00:43:45,239 --> 00:43:47,960
Speaker 2: like you're speaking like from got a.

860
00:43:48,000 --> 00:43:52,399
Speaker 5: Post pattern, take the shot, throw it no matter what.

861
00:43:53,120 --> 00:43:55,600
Speaker 5: Give your receiver a chance to make a play on

862
00:43:55,719 --> 00:43:59,520
Speaker 5: a ball, even if he might be covered thirty yards

863
00:43:59,520 --> 00:44:02,200
Speaker 5: down the field. Maybe you think he'll be open forty

864
00:44:02,200 --> 00:44:05,319
Speaker 5: five yards down the field and like Godwin did or

865
00:44:05,520 --> 00:44:07,080
Speaker 5: with Jahan or kJ.

866
00:44:08,400 --> 00:44:12,560
Speaker 2: Like like I still don't like you're speaking Japanese like

867
00:44:12,560 --> 00:44:16,680
Speaker 2: like we have never done that. Just throw the ball

868
00:44:16,920 --> 00:44:20,279
Speaker 2: up and maybe he'll be open and maybe he'll catch.

869
00:44:20,400 --> 00:44:24,959
Speaker 2: Like my skin is like like I'm like, you're making

870
00:44:25,000 --> 00:44:27,239
Speaker 2: me uncomfortable, Like I don't I don't know what you're

871
00:44:27,280 --> 00:44:30,799
Speaker 2: talking about. So yeah, we would not do that. We

872
00:44:30,840 --> 00:44:34,359
Speaker 2: would never do that. We've never thought about doing that.

873
00:44:34,440 --> 00:44:37,040
Speaker 2: As a head coach, as an offensive coordinator, as a

874
00:44:37,080 --> 00:44:38,880
Speaker 2: receivers coach, I coached the receivers.

875
00:44:39,360 --> 00:44:40,719
Speaker 1: I didn't want them to do that.

876
00:44:42,120 --> 00:44:52,319
Speaker 2: So no, no, strong, no, oh.

877
00:44:50,840 --> 00:44:54,120
Speaker 1: I don't know if you get secondhand embarrassment, but I

878
00:44:54,200 --> 00:44:57,760
Speaker 1: get enough for all of us. That was Corey Geiger.

879
00:44:57,920 --> 00:45:00,239
Speaker 1: He's covered Penn State longer than I've been alive. No

880
00:45:00,239 --> 00:45:02,439
Speaker 1: problem of Corey Geiger, and I don't want to send

881
00:45:02,440 --> 00:45:04,680
Speaker 1: a bunch of people his way or anything like that.

882
00:45:06,880 --> 00:45:08,600
Speaker 1: I got a little chuckle out of that earlier today.

883
00:45:08,840 --> 00:45:10,480
Speaker 1: I know Franklin meant what he said at the end,

884
00:45:10,480 --> 00:45:12,600
Speaker 1: like he said, Oh, I hope this doesn't get out there.

885
00:45:12,640 --> 00:45:15,319
Speaker 1: I hope this doesn't start circulating, because that's the kind

886
00:45:15,320 --> 00:45:19,000
Speaker 1: of that is like his playoffs moment. That is his

887
00:45:19,160 --> 00:45:22,239
Speaker 1: you play to win the game moment that right there

888
00:45:22,280 --> 00:45:23,960
Speaker 1: is going to be played a decade or two from now.

889
00:45:24,040 --> 00:45:26,040
Speaker 1: James Franklin may not be at Penn State. A decade

890
00:45:26,080 --> 00:45:27,839
Speaker 1: or two from now. He may have been retired, living

891
00:45:27,840 --> 00:45:30,160
Speaker 1: on a beach somewhere in the Caribbean. But you are

892
00:45:30,200 --> 00:45:33,480
Speaker 1: going to hear James Franklin say you're speaking Japanese to

893
00:45:33,520 --> 00:45:36,279
Speaker 1: me right now. You're making my skin crawl. You are

894
00:45:36,360 --> 00:45:39,879
Speaker 1: going to hear out of context James Franklin saying you're

895
00:45:39,920 --> 00:45:43,720
Speaker 1: making me uncomfortable for a long time. And I can't

896
00:45:43,719 --> 00:45:48,200
Speaker 1: help but feel partially responsible but all all's well, okay,

897
00:45:49,120 --> 00:45:52,839
Speaker 1: James Franklin, good friend of the program. Do you understand

898
00:45:52,960 --> 00:45:56,600
Speaker 1: how much bigger jerks coaches could be than they are?

899
00:45:58,120 --> 00:46:01,120
Speaker 1: Let me paint you a picture. You're the head coach

900
00:46:01,120 --> 00:46:03,719
Speaker 1: of Penn State. You've been there a long time, You're undefeated,

901
00:46:04,200 --> 00:46:06,680
Speaker 1: you got the most raw talent you've had at quarterback

902
00:46:06,719 --> 00:46:08,640
Speaker 1: in a long time. You probably got the best team

903
00:46:08,680 --> 00:46:11,640
Speaker 1: overall you've had in a long time. You are even

904
00:46:11,680 --> 00:46:13,560
Speaker 1: though you got UMass this week. I'm gonna say this

905
00:46:13,600 --> 00:46:16,399
Speaker 1: because they can't. You are knee deep in Ohio State prep.

906
00:46:16,520 --> 00:46:19,520
Speaker 1: I mean, you're coming out of meetings where you're wondering

907
00:46:20,719 --> 00:46:25,640
Speaker 1: how will this particular motion work against that defensive personnel

908
00:46:25,680 --> 00:46:28,520
Speaker 1: grouping coach press conference time? All right, guys, I'll be

909
00:46:28,600 --> 00:46:30,960
Speaker 1: right back, and you go in your press conference and

910
00:46:31,040 --> 00:46:33,959
Speaker 1: some guy just asked you you ever just think about

911
00:46:34,000 --> 00:46:36,719
Speaker 1: throwing it deep, coach. And by the way, by the way,

912
00:46:37,400 --> 00:46:40,960
Speaker 1: when you push back on it, he continues, and he says, Yo,

913
00:46:41,440 --> 00:46:44,760
Speaker 1: trontle the post. And maybe it's not open at thirty,

914
00:46:44,800 --> 00:46:47,560
Speaker 1: but maybe it's open forty five yards down the field.

915
00:46:47,840 --> 00:46:51,320
Speaker 1: So just have Drew tell the guys, I'm not checking

916
00:46:51,360 --> 00:46:54,320
Speaker 1: it down. Just if it's not open, just keep running,

917
00:46:54,600 --> 00:46:57,359
Speaker 1: cheap run him. It works in eight on eight day

918
00:46:57,400 --> 00:47:01,040
Speaker 1: after Thanksgiving. This works in the backyard, certainly works on Xbox.

919
00:47:01,600 --> 00:47:04,960
Speaker 1: Just just go route, Just go guys, keep keep running

920
00:47:05,080 --> 00:47:08,200
Speaker 1: no further further and then and then you have the

921
00:47:08,280 --> 00:47:11,200
Speaker 1: quarterback throw it. Do you ever think about that, coach?

922
00:47:11,520 --> 00:47:15,439
Speaker 1: Have you? Have you considered that? As I have always said,

923
00:47:16,239 --> 00:47:18,759
Speaker 1: if you will make me a billionaire, two things I'll do.

924
00:47:18,920 --> 00:47:21,560
Speaker 1: Number One, I will buy all the bowl games so

925
00:47:21,600 --> 00:47:24,520
Speaker 1: we can name them whatever we want. Number Two, I

926
00:47:24,560 --> 00:47:26,720
Speaker 1: will make sure the championship game is played on Monday

927
00:47:26,800 --> 00:47:30,600
Speaker 1: or Saturday, not Monday. And number three, I will pay

928
00:47:30,680 --> 00:47:33,440
Speaker 1: coaches enough to where they're willing to come on shows

929
00:47:33,840 --> 00:47:38,000
Speaker 1: and go face to face publicly with fans who question them. Now,

930
00:47:38,000 --> 00:47:40,319
Speaker 1: this wasn't a fan, and I'm I'm speaking a little

931
00:47:40,320 --> 00:47:43,680
Speaker 1: tongue in cheek here, but I would love for you

932
00:47:43,800 --> 00:47:50,240
Speaker 1: to actually see interactions where you publicly question play calling,

933
00:47:50,680 --> 00:47:55,600
Speaker 1: personnel decisions, et cetera, with real coordinators and real coaches.

934
00:47:55,640 --> 00:47:57,200
Speaker 1: I don't care if it's college. I don't care if

935
00:47:57,239 --> 00:47:59,759
Speaker 1: it's nil or and I went in the world I

936
00:47:59,800 --> 00:48:01,279
Speaker 1: talking about. I don't know if it's college or pro.

937
00:48:01,640 --> 00:48:03,520
Speaker 1: I just want to see it. I want to see

938
00:48:03,520 --> 00:48:06,319
Speaker 1: it because here's what I have been privy to. I

939
00:48:06,480 --> 00:48:11,200
Speaker 1: have taken some comments that are made in our comment

940
00:48:11,280 --> 00:48:15,399
Speaker 1: section on videos on our channel, and if I've been

941
00:48:15,440 --> 00:48:19,120
Speaker 1: in the presence of coordinators or position coaches or head coaches.

942
00:48:19,280 --> 00:48:21,040
Speaker 1: In a couple of cases, I've done this with head coaches,

943
00:48:21,239 --> 00:48:25,279
Speaker 1: I've just shown them and I've said, all right, you're

944
00:48:25,280 --> 00:48:29,320
Speaker 1: off the record, were not rolling right now? What would

945
00:48:29,320 --> 00:48:32,239
Speaker 1: your actual response be to this? If I could go

946
00:48:32,360 --> 00:48:36,439
Speaker 1: on the record with those replies, we would have the

947
00:48:36,560 --> 00:48:39,960
Speaker 1: number one hit show on any streaming platform. And I

948
00:48:40,000 --> 00:48:42,480
Speaker 1: don't even care if you don't like football, you would

949
00:48:42,560 --> 00:48:47,360
Speaker 1: watch this. You would absolutely watch this. Coaches are so nice,

950
00:48:47,400 --> 00:48:51,320
Speaker 1: like Franklin even there, he was so nice in comparison

951
00:48:51,360 --> 00:48:54,360
Speaker 1: to what he could have done. Let me explain something,

952
00:48:54,800 --> 00:48:56,560
Speaker 1: and I'm not pretending to be an expert here on

953
00:48:57,080 --> 00:48:59,879
Speaker 1: the intricacies of the Penn State offense, but just in Jim,

954
00:49:00,320 --> 00:49:05,120
Speaker 1: in football, not all teams need to be all things

955
00:49:05,200 --> 00:49:09,919
Speaker 1: at all times. Penn State suffocates you defensively. Penn State

956
00:49:09,920 --> 00:49:11,880
Speaker 1: can probably run the ball still even better than they have.

957
00:49:12,000 --> 00:49:13,759
Speaker 1: In fact, I'm sure they could run the ball better

958
00:49:13,760 --> 00:49:16,120
Speaker 1: than they have. Penn State does not need to be

959
00:49:16,200 --> 00:49:19,759
Speaker 1: throwing the ball deep right now. And I know that

960
00:49:19,880 --> 00:49:22,160
Speaker 1: if you watch them right now, you would like to

961
00:49:22,239 --> 00:49:26,759
Speaker 1: possess that in your arsenal. But football is not a

962
00:49:26,840 --> 00:49:31,440
Speaker 1: thing where we've done it in practice and it's not working.

963
00:49:31,640 --> 00:49:33,840
Speaker 1: Let's just go try it in games. Let's see if

964
00:49:33,880 --> 00:49:35,839
Speaker 1: it works there. It's kind of like if you've got

965
00:49:35,880 --> 00:49:38,640
Speaker 1: a guy who's got the drops, he's got an issue

966
00:49:38,680 --> 00:49:42,480
Speaker 1: with catching the football, and he does it in practice,

967
00:49:42,520 --> 00:49:45,120
Speaker 1: like he fumbles the ball, drops them all in practice.

968
00:49:45,520 --> 00:49:48,239
Speaker 1: You don't gather as a staff and say, you know,

969
00:49:48,880 --> 00:49:51,359
Speaker 1: let's play him in the game on Saturday. Maybe he'll

970
00:49:51,360 --> 00:49:53,640
Speaker 1: figure out how to catch it. There. It's the reverse,

971
00:49:53,680 --> 00:49:56,160
Speaker 1: it's the opposite. Actually, you make sure you figure it

972
00:49:56,200 --> 00:49:58,480
Speaker 1: out so you can't get it wrong in practice, then

973
00:49:58,480 --> 00:50:00,319
Speaker 1: I'll put you in the game. I've we got a

974
00:50:00,360 --> 00:50:03,919
Speaker 1: wild theory that maybe the downfield passing game isn't where

975
00:50:03,960 --> 00:50:06,000
Speaker 1: they want it to be in practice, and that's why

976
00:50:06,000 --> 00:50:09,759
Speaker 1: you don't see it on Saturday, or or maybe it

977
00:50:09,960 --> 00:50:12,759
Speaker 1: is and they haven't felt the need to do it

978
00:50:12,800 --> 00:50:16,719
Speaker 1: in a game because the situation hasn't warranted it. One

979
00:50:16,760 --> 00:50:19,759
Speaker 1: of the two is probably likely. But I will tell

980
00:50:19,760 --> 00:50:23,120
Speaker 1: you what I don't think is gonna happen. And I

981
00:50:23,160 --> 00:50:25,400
Speaker 1: think we got James Franklin backing us up on the record.

982
00:50:25,480 --> 00:50:29,080
Speaker 1: I don't think that at any point there will be

983
00:50:29,120 --> 00:50:32,160
Speaker 1: a huddle broken where Drew Olier is told sh throw

984
00:50:32,200 --> 00:50:35,160
Speaker 1: it deep. No matter what I'm gathering that that is

985
00:50:35,360 --> 00:50:43,160
Speaker 1: not in the cards. Up there, they're watching us in Kalamazoo, Michigan, Atlanta, Georgia, Burlison,

986
00:50:43,400 --> 00:50:45,759
Speaker 1: Texas is tuned in. Thank you guys so much. All right,

987
00:50:45,840 --> 00:50:49,080
Speaker 1: we get right back down to brass tax as Memo

988
00:50:49,239 --> 00:50:53,160
Speaker 1: would say, USC Notre Dame is this week? Do you

989
00:50:53,239 --> 00:50:55,840
Speaker 1: realize that I know a little bit of the steam

990
00:50:55,920 --> 00:50:58,000
Speaker 1: has been taken out of this game because Notre Dame

991
00:50:58,040 --> 00:51:01,440
Speaker 1: lost to Louisville. But that was no shock on this program.

992
00:51:01,760 --> 00:51:03,879
Speaker 1: We told you that was going to happen. Now, some

993
00:51:03,920 --> 00:51:06,480
Speaker 1: of you may take that to mean Notre Dame has

994
00:51:06,480 --> 00:51:08,600
Speaker 1: been left for dead, and you certainly may take that

995
00:51:08,640 --> 00:51:11,720
Speaker 1: to mean, well, we've left Notre Dame for dead. Actually,

996
00:51:11,760 --> 00:51:15,359
Speaker 1: neither of those things are true. Neither are true. Watch

997
00:51:15,400 --> 00:51:17,839
Speaker 1: where we go with this prediction as evidence. I got

998
00:51:17,840 --> 00:51:21,560
Speaker 1: a little field position alert for your courtesy of our

999
00:51:22,200 --> 00:51:25,600
Speaker 1: acquaintance and most of the time friend Parker over it.

1000
00:51:25,800 --> 00:51:28,879
Speaker 1: At Stats of War on Twitter, Notre Dame is one

1001
00:51:29,000 --> 00:51:31,640
Speaker 1: hundred and eighteenth in the country and starting field position.

1002
00:51:32,200 --> 00:51:36,239
Speaker 1: Believe that's offense and defense combined us he's nineteenth. So

1003
00:51:36,640 --> 00:51:39,000
Speaker 1: I would advise flipping that stat if you're the Irish

1004
00:51:39,000 --> 00:51:41,879
Speaker 1: Saturday night, Notre Dame's offense is not being good. Okay,

1005
00:51:41,920 --> 00:51:45,960
Speaker 1: It's been the talk of large portions of college football,

1006
00:51:46,000 --> 00:51:51,880
Speaker 1: and especially the South bend Notre Dame, you know, Irish

1007
00:51:51,920 --> 00:51:54,920
Speaker 1: corner of our sport. They're talking about Tommy Reese gone.

1008
00:51:55,160 --> 00:51:58,600
Speaker 1: We elevated Parker, not the one I just referenced, the

1009
00:51:58,640 --> 00:52:04,240
Speaker 1: actual coordinator there, and it hasn't exactly panned out well.

1010
00:52:04,800 --> 00:52:06,640
Speaker 1: I do want to remind you of something, not to

1011
00:52:06,680 --> 00:52:10,160
Speaker 1: make excuses for them, but they've played Ohio State Duke

1012
00:52:10,200 --> 00:52:12,680
Speaker 1: in Louisville their last three games, not in that order.

1013
00:52:13,160 --> 00:52:17,240
Speaker 1: That is the number three, number four, and number twenty

1014
00:52:17,280 --> 00:52:19,680
Speaker 1: two defense in the country in terms of points per game.

1015
00:52:20,680 --> 00:52:23,279
Speaker 1: It's a good time for USC to roll into town

1016
00:52:23,320 --> 00:52:26,200
Speaker 1: because they're seventy ninth in the country. I think Notre

1017
00:52:26,280 --> 00:52:29,040
Speaker 1: Dame will score more in the first half Saturday Night

1018
00:52:29,600 --> 00:52:33,800
Speaker 1: than they have at any point maybe the last three weeks.

1019
00:52:34,360 --> 00:52:36,520
Speaker 1: I'm saying that right now, that's a little prop bet,

1020
00:52:36,520 --> 00:52:41,160
Speaker 1: little side bet. Even with that struggle, you know, Notre

1021
00:52:41,239 --> 00:52:45,120
Speaker 1: Dame is fifth in plays of twenty plus yards. Now

1022
00:52:45,239 --> 00:52:48,000
Speaker 1: there is that small little caveat They've played one more

1023
00:52:48,040 --> 00:52:51,320
Speaker 1: game than most teams, and I've thought about not even

1024
00:52:51,360 --> 00:52:54,200
Speaker 1: including that, but that would be unethical and a moral

1025
00:52:54,200 --> 00:52:57,800
Speaker 1: and we're not that on this show. Certainly, USC's defense

1026
00:52:57,840 --> 00:53:00,600
Speaker 1: is one hundred and thirtieth in the country in explosive

1027
00:53:00,600 --> 00:53:06,319
Speaker 1: plays given up through the air. So what happens Saturday Night, Like,

1028
00:53:06,320 --> 00:53:08,640
Speaker 1: do we see a Notre Dame offensive explosion? It sure

1029
00:53:08,680 --> 00:53:11,680
Speaker 1: would be. It sure would be the medicine the doctor

1030
00:53:11,880 --> 00:53:14,759
Speaker 1: ordered for this team. Because I have watched all of

1031
00:53:14,800 --> 00:53:17,160
Speaker 1: these games as of late, and it's tough. I think

1032
00:53:17,200 --> 00:53:19,239
Speaker 1: they're capable of more than that. You brought in Sam

1033
00:53:19,239 --> 00:53:22,360
Speaker 1: Hartmany's capable of more than that. But here's the issue.

1034
00:53:22,880 --> 00:53:25,279
Speaker 1: USC has already got Caleb Williams. I already know what

1035
00:53:25,360 --> 00:53:28,319
Speaker 1: he can do him versus that pass defense. That's the

1036
00:53:28,360 --> 00:53:30,719
Speaker 1: matchup of this game. To me. Notre Dame is third

1037
00:53:30,719 --> 00:53:34,040
Speaker 1: in FBS and pass yards per game allowed, and Caleb

1038
00:53:34,080 --> 00:53:36,839
Speaker 1: Williams and that USC offense are third the other way.

1039
00:53:37,160 --> 00:53:39,239
Speaker 1: So you got the third best passing offense against the

1040
00:53:39,239 --> 00:53:42,480
Speaker 1: third best passing defense. Let's do it to I've ben,

1041
00:53:42,520 --> 00:53:45,319
Speaker 1: you got home field in your favor if your Notre Dame.

1042
00:53:45,920 --> 00:53:48,959
Speaker 1: Notre Dame is a top ten pressure rate defense as well,

1043
00:53:49,120 --> 00:53:52,719
Speaker 1: so they can get after the quarterback. But getting after

1044
00:53:52,800 --> 00:53:55,800
Speaker 1: Caleb Williams is only part of the equation. If he

1045
00:53:55,960 --> 00:53:58,920
Speaker 1: was a statue, yeah, I'd feel really good. Caleb Williams

1046
00:53:59,440 --> 00:54:03,880
Speaker 1: last week ran for three touchdowns in this game. Last

1047
00:54:03,960 --> 00:54:07,400
Speaker 1: year he ran for three touchdowns. So I think not

1048
00:54:07,680 --> 00:54:11,319
Speaker 1: just quarterback run, but both run games in general look

1049
00:54:11,440 --> 00:54:13,680
Speaker 1: like they'll have a fair amount of success. Saturday night, Colin,

1050
00:54:13,760 --> 00:54:17,040
Speaker 1: Let's see what the model thinks. Let's see what Vegas thinks.

1051
00:54:17,520 --> 00:54:22,279
Speaker 1: By the way to another potential odds making clinic setting up,

1052
00:54:22,760 --> 00:54:26,160
Speaker 1: because you got undefeated, top ten USC here, you got

1053
00:54:26,200 --> 00:54:30,000
Speaker 1: the defending Heisman winner. They're going on the road to

1054
00:54:30,080 --> 00:54:34,480
Speaker 1: face two lost Notre Dame just lost a Louisville. They

1055
00:54:34,480 --> 00:54:37,040
Speaker 1: scored a garbage time touchdown to even get back to

1056
00:54:37,080 --> 00:54:41,880
Speaker 1: within two possessions. Notre Dame's favored. They're favored by two

1057
00:54:41,920 --> 00:54:44,919
Speaker 1: and a half. The Model thinks it's not big enough.

1058
00:54:45,360 --> 00:54:49,480
Speaker 1: Model thinks Notre Dame minus six. Love the Irish this week,

1059
00:54:49,840 --> 00:54:52,080
Speaker 1: Love them to get right up off the deck. I

1060
00:54:52,120 --> 00:54:55,080
Speaker 1: think they'll win the game. I think they'll cover. I

1061
00:54:55,120 --> 00:54:59,040
Speaker 1: think there are some terminal issues for USC in their

1062
00:54:59,040 --> 00:55:01,840
Speaker 1: defense right now. The Model is just not high on

1063
00:55:02,000 --> 00:55:03,880
Speaker 1: us at the moment. I'm a little bit higher on

1064
00:55:03,920 --> 00:55:06,400
Speaker 1: Southern Cal than the Model is, but we both have

1065
00:55:06,480 --> 00:55:08,719
Speaker 1: our fair share of concern. So I actually think Marcus

1066
00:55:08,760 --> 00:55:10,319
Speaker 1: Freeman and Notre Dame are gonna get a really, really

1067
00:55:10,320 --> 00:55:14,120
Speaker 1: good win this Saturday. The remaining Power five unbeaten teams,

1068
00:55:14,560 --> 00:55:17,600
Speaker 1: USC is one of a handful. You got Oregon, Washington

1069
00:55:17,680 --> 00:55:21,320
Speaker 1: still out there, undefeated, Georgia, Michigan, etc. So it is

1070
00:55:21,360 --> 00:55:24,600
Speaker 1: a certainty someone's falling off that list this week. I

1071
00:55:24,640 --> 00:55:27,759
Speaker 1: think it may very well be Southern Cal. And since

1072
00:55:27,800 --> 00:55:30,839
Speaker 1: we're just talking about what the Model thinks, why don't

1073
00:55:30,880 --> 00:55:33,399
Speaker 1: we pop our knuckles? Got one of them to pop?

1074
00:55:33,440 --> 00:55:36,000
Speaker 1: Why don't we pop our knuckles? And let's just go

1075
00:55:36,040 --> 00:55:39,480
Speaker 1: ahead and dive in. Here's the usual weekly caveat Colin.

1076
00:55:39,640 --> 00:55:41,080
Speaker 1: I think it's about that time we do it every

1077
00:55:41,080 --> 00:55:43,560
Speaker 1: three weeks. Let's include what I'm about to say in

1078
00:55:43,640 --> 00:55:47,480
Speaker 1: the video. It's time to do the JP pole. Don't

1079
00:55:47,520 --> 00:55:49,719
Speaker 1: really care about the AP. Don't look at the AP,

1080
00:55:50,080 --> 00:55:52,960
Speaker 1: don't care about ranking teams, don't really care about bumping

1081
00:55:53,000 --> 00:55:55,000
Speaker 1: you up if you win or bumping you down if

1082
00:55:55,040 --> 00:55:57,520
Speaker 1: you lose. I don't care about what has happened. I

1083
00:55:57,680 --> 00:56:01,160
Speaker 1: just care about what would be today on a neutral field,

1084
00:56:01,760 --> 00:56:04,680
Speaker 1: and not necessarily the outcome. The only thing that JP

1085
00:56:04,800 --> 00:56:07,840
Speaker 1: pole cares about is who would be favored. And you

1086
00:56:07,920 --> 00:56:10,360
Speaker 1: may say, well, what does a pointspread have to do

1087
00:56:10,400 --> 00:56:12,520
Speaker 1: with anything? Who cares who would be favored? If you

1088
00:56:12,560 --> 00:56:15,560
Speaker 1: don't care, JP Pole's not for you. I have chosen

1089
00:56:15,960 --> 00:56:19,520
Speaker 1: this very specific thing that I'm interested in, and a

1090
00:56:19,520 --> 00:56:23,240
Speaker 1: lot of you will probably have some interest in. It

1091
00:56:22,600 --> 00:56:25,759
Speaker 1: doesn't mean anything. I mean, Texas was a favorite this

1092
00:56:25,800 --> 00:56:28,000
Speaker 1: past week. Did it matter at the end of the day.

1093
00:56:28,080 --> 00:56:28,120
Speaker 2: No.

1094
00:56:28,880 --> 00:56:31,759
Speaker 1: Do favorites win most of the time, Yes, they do,

1095
00:56:31,920 --> 00:56:34,719
Speaker 1: so it means something. It doesn't mean everything. So we

1096
00:56:34,800 --> 00:56:37,719
Speaker 1: do it. We get the model here to spit out

1097
00:56:37,719 --> 00:56:40,840
Speaker 1: a top twenty five every week. All this is is

1098
00:56:40,840 --> 00:56:42,960
Speaker 1: who would be favored against two based on this model

1099
00:56:43,080 --> 00:56:46,040
Speaker 1: on a neutral field tomorrow? There will be controversy. Let's

1100
00:56:46,120 --> 00:56:49,359
Speaker 1: dive in twenty five through twenty one, and I do

1101
00:56:49,440 --> 00:56:51,400
Speaker 1: want to let you know West Virginia is in the

1102
00:56:51,400 --> 00:56:54,480
Speaker 1: top thirty. They did not quite make the cut. Also,

1103
00:56:54,680 --> 00:56:57,759
Speaker 1: Duke is like number twenty six, so Duke almost got

1104
00:56:57,840 --> 00:57:00,000
Speaker 1: in the top twenty five this week. So anyone asked

1105
00:57:00,120 --> 00:57:03,919
Speaker 1: where they are, that's where Maryland was not rated last

1106
00:57:03,920 --> 00:57:08,439
Speaker 1: week Maryland top twenty five. Hello got Utah twenty four,

1107
00:57:08,680 --> 00:57:13,120
Speaker 1: Wisconsin twenty three. Miami only dropped one point. They dropped

1108
00:57:13,120 --> 00:57:18,320
Speaker 1: four spots, only dropped one point. I would explain that

1109
00:57:18,360 --> 00:57:20,560
Speaker 1: to you, but it would take a long time. So

1110
00:57:20,760 --> 00:57:22,959
Speaker 1: ask the model and it won't answer because it doesn't

1111
00:57:22,960 --> 00:57:25,280
Speaker 1: even have its own email address. Louisville is twenty one,

1112
00:57:25,600 --> 00:57:28,400
Speaker 1: so Louis Louisville's continuing to rise. They've risen three weeks

1113
00:57:28,400 --> 00:57:30,920
Speaker 1: in a row. I believe they didn't rise a ton

1114
00:57:30,960 --> 00:57:33,240
Speaker 1: because we got what we thought we'd get out of Louisville.

1115
00:57:33,280 --> 00:57:35,760
Speaker 1: Like the model thought Louisville would beat Notre Dame. So

1116
00:57:35,920 --> 00:57:39,240
Speaker 1: Louisville did what the model already expected it to do. Therefore,

1117
00:57:39,760 --> 00:57:42,840
Speaker 1: because it was expected, there was nothing baked into the

1118
00:57:42,880 --> 00:57:45,880
Speaker 1: model's power rating. This week that wasn't already there. Let's

1119
00:57:45,920 --> 00:57:50,760
Speaker 1: go top twenty. We got LSU is still at twenty.

1120
00:57:50,880 --> 00:57:54,720
Speaker 1: You notice something you noticed this time last week? There

1121
00:57:54,720 --> 00:57:57,360
Speaker 1: were a ton of folks all over me because I

1122
00:57:57,400 --> 00:58:00,919
Speaker 1: had a two loss LSU team in the top top

1123
00:58:00,960 --> 00:58:06,040
Speaker 1: twenty and didn't have undefeated Missouri rated at all. And

1124
00:58:06,120 --> 00:58:09,120
Speaker 1: none of those people showed up this week. Did something

1125
00:58:09,240 --> 00:58:12,480
Speaker 1: happen between those two in Missouri's own building? This is

1126
00:58:12,600 --> 00:58:15,240
Speaker 1: something I don't know. Something must happen anyway, So LSU

1127
00:58:15,280 --> 00:58:18,439
Speaker 1: is still twenty. You are not what your record says

1128
00:58:18,480 --> 00:58:20,160
Speaker 1: you are in this sport, is what I'm trying to say.

1129
00:58:20,240 --> 00:58:23,280
Speaker 1: That's why we do power ratings and not rankings. LSU's

1130
00:58:23,320 --> 00:58:27,680
Speaker 1: twenty Clemson. Clemson struggled against Wake last week, and we

1131
00:58:27,760 --> 00:58:31,320
Speaker 1: expected Wake to hang with them. Wake was a twenty

1132
00:58:31,360 --> 00:58:35,000
Speaker 1: one point dog. Clemson only scored seventeen, I think, so

1133
00:58:35,040 --> 00:58:37,440
Speaker 1: that was tough. So Clemson dropped a little bit to nineteen.

1134
00:58:37,720 --> 00:58:40,880
Speaker 1: UCLA's at eighteen. Still love them, Southern cal We are

1135
00:58:40,920 --> 00:58:42,920
Speaker 1: not as high on them as Vegas. We are not

1136
00:58:42,960 --> 00:58:45,120
Speaker 1: as high on them as the AP. We got them

1137
00:58:45,160 --> 00:58:48,480
Speaker 1: at seventeen. Ole miss is at sixteen. We roll on

1138
00:58:48,720 --> 00:58:54,280
Speaker 1: top fifteen. Notre Dame is virtually unchanged because Notre Dame

1139
00:58:54,320 --> 00:58:56,680
Speaker 1: did what we thought they would do last week. They lost,

1140
00:58:57,320 --> 00:59:00,080
Speaker 1: and it was situational we would favor as you you

1141
00:59:00,160 --> 00:59:02,440
Speaker 1: can see, we got Notre Dame still ahead of Louisville.

1142
00:59:02,440 --> 00:59:04,880
Speaker 1: We would favor them against Louisville if they played again today.

1143
00:59:05,360 --> 00:59:08,320
Speaker 1: It was just a situation thing last week. That's not

1144
00:59:08,320 --> 00:59:13,240
Speaker 1: to take anything away from Louisville. Good team. But if

1145
00:59:13,240 --> 00:59:15,120
Speaker 1: you don't get it at this point, I don't really

1146
00:59:15,200 --> 00:59:17,000
Speaker 1: know that I can explain it to you. Oregon State's

1147
00:59:17,000 --> 00:59:20,320
Speaker 1: at fourteen. A and M is at thirteen. A and

1148
00:59:20,440 --> 00:59:22,160
Speaker 1: M largely gave us what we thought we would get

1149
00:59:22,240 --> 00:59:24,080
Speaker 1: last week. We're not going to drop them a huge

1150
00:59:24,080 --> 00:59:28,200
Speaker 1: amount for being within one possession of Alabama, just kind

1151
00:59:28,240 --> 00:59:30,320
Speaker 1: of what we thought would get. I mean, I leaned

1152
00:59:30,320 --> 00:59:31,680
Speaker 1: A and M to win the game. It wasn't really

1153
00:59:31,720 --> 00:59:34,360
Speaker 1: a strong, convicted pick or anything like that. So A

1154
00:59:34,400 --> 00:59:39,760
Speaker 1: and M's at thirteen. Once again, you watched A and

1155
00:59:39,880 --> 00:59:42,800
Speaker 1: M lose a game, your gut reaction is they should

1156
00:59:42,840 --> 00:59:45,480
Speaker 1: fall a whole lot, And if I were an AP voter,

1157
00:59:45,640 --> 00:59:50,680
Speaker 1: I would drop them Merit does not matter in power ratings.

1158
00:59:50,760 --> 00:59:55,919
Speaker 1: It does not matter. And if you're if you're bent

1159
00:59:56,120 --> 00:59:59,720
Speaker 1: sideways about that, I don't really know what to tell you.

1160
01:00:00,000 --> 01:00:04,360
Speaker 1: I'm not advocating for this to be how the Playoff

1161
01:00:04,360 --> 01:00:07,200
Speaker 1: Committee should should operate. In other words, like if I

1162
01:00:07,240 --> 01:00:09,000
Speaker 1: were a playoff Committee member, I wouldn't have a and

1163
01:00:09,120 --> 01:00:11,400
Speaker 1: M thirteen. This is not what this is at all.

1164
01:00:11,520 --> 01:00:16,720
Speaker 1: Tennessee's twelve. Look at North Carolina. North Carolina bordering on

1165
01:00:16,880 --> 01:00:20,200
Speaker 1: top ten contention here. They're at number eleven right now.

1166
01:00:20,200 --> 01:00:23,000
Speaker 1: They play Miami this week. At least we view that

1167
01:00:23,040 --> 01:00:26,600
Speaker 1: as a top twenty five matchup top ten time. This

1168
01:00:26,640 --> 01:00:29,880
Speaker 1: will be interesting. Florida State's still at ten. I need

1169
01:00:29,920 --> 01:00:31,600
Speaker 1: to tell you something because I keep getting a lot

1170
01:00:31,600 --> 01:00:33,960
Speaker 1: of comments that FSU's two low, Jesse, do you know

1171
01:00:34,000 --> 01:00:38,360
Speaker 1: where FSU is in the AP by any chance? Still undefeated?

1172
01:00:38,640 --> 01:00:43,880
Speaker 1: They're four, Okay, they're top five. So it's pretty common

1173
01:00:43,960 --> 01:00:47,960
Speaker 1: right now in the advanced metrics community, the analytics community.

1174
01:00:48,240 --> 01:00:49,560
Speaker 1: I don't claim to be a part of that. By

1175
01:00:49,600 --> 01:00:52,840
Speaker 1: the way, the model does, I don't. They got FSU

1176
01:00:52,920 --> 01:00:54,840
Speaker 1: lower than we do. FSU's is not a team that

1177
01:00:54,880 --> 01:00:57,560
Speaker 1: profiles well right now. That doesn't matter. You just win

1178
01:00:57,600 --> 01:00:59,800
Speaker 1: your games. That's all that matters. But FSU's at ten,

1179
01:00:59,840 --> 01:01:04,520
Speaker 1: for US, Penn State's at nine, Oklahoma is at eight.

1180
01:01:05,360 --> 01:01:08,760
Speaker 1: I'll explain it in the second Washington at seven. Ohio

1181
01:01:08,880 --> 01:01:11,880
Speaker 1: State fell a little bit, they fell to number six,

1182
01:01:12,120 --> 01:01:16,040
Speaker 1: So that gets us to the top five. And I

1183
01:01:16,160 --> 01:01:18,640
Speaker 1: know what the number one style of comment will be

1184
01:01:18,640 --> 01:01:25,120
Speaker 1: this week. So five to one is Bama, Oregon, Texas, Michigan, Georgia.

1185
01:01:25,680 --> 01:01:28,560
Speaker 1: The number one comment by a mile will be you

1186
01:01:28,600 --> 01:01:31,960
Speaker 1: claim this is about neutral field favorability, which I do.

1187
01:01:32,920 --> 01:01:35,560
Speaker 1: We just saw Texas and Oklahoma play on a neutral field.

1188
01:01:35,600 --> 01:01:40,200
Speaker 1: We did Oklahoma one, they did. Why is Texas still

1189
01:01:40,200 --> 01:01:43,720
Speaker 1: ahead of Oklahoma. It's very simple. If they played the

1190
01:01:43,760 --> 01:01:48,479
Speaker 1: game again tomorrow, Texas would be favored. That's it, that's all.

1191
01:01:48,680 --> 01:01:51,360
Speaker 1: Oklahoma deserved to win the game. For all you know,

1192
01:01:51,480 --> 01:01:55,600
Speaker 1: I'd pick Oklahoma if they played again. Oklahoma wouldn't be

1193
01:01:55,680 --> 01:01:58,240
Speaker 1: favored against Texas if they played again. And that is

1194
01:01:58,480 --> 01:02:03,240
Speaker 1: literally all we're trying to do here, nothing more, nothing less.

1195
01:02:03,920 --> 01:02:07,640
Speaker 1: Lost in all that is, Georgia just rocketed right back

1196
01:02:07,720 --> 01:02:11,080
Speaker 1: up to number one. They body bagged Kentucky and they

1197
01:02:11,080 --> 01:02:14,480
Speaker 1: are number one again. And Michigan is as high as

1198
01:02:14,480 --> 01:02:18,400
Speaker 1: we've had them all year, So the model has been

1199
01:02:18,400 --> 01:02:21,400
Speaker 1: slow to come around on Michigan. Michigan is now ahead

1200
01:02:21,440 --> 01:02:23,560
Speaker 1: of Ohio State. See that that was not like that,

1201
01:02:23,760 --> 01:02:25,720
Speaker 1: and maybe it won't stay like that, but it is

1202
01:02:25,800 --> 01:02:28,960
Speaker 1: like that right now. Bama's back in the top five.

1203
01:02:29,760 --> 01:02:33,480
Speaker 1: The one other thing that I'm just I'm interested in

1204
01:02:33,640 --> 01:02:36,200
Speaker 1: is USC being all the way down at seventeen because

1205
01:02:36,200 --> 01:02:40,480
Speaker 1: if that's the case, if that's accurate, the model would

1206
01:02:40,480 --> 01:02:43,400
Speaker 1: expect the USC to have several losses coming up. And

1207
01:02:43,480 --> 01:02:46,720
Speaker 1: if that's the case, Alex Grinch won't be there next year.

1208
01:02:46,720 --> 01:02:49,800
Speaker 1: And if that's the case, Lincoln Riley is going to

1209
01:02:49,880 --> 01:02:52,840
Speaker 1: have a lot of heat on him to make pretty

1210
01:02:52,880 --> 01:02:58,520
Speaker 1: significant changes to his program. I welcome your feedback. Please

1211
01:02:58,640 --> 01:03:01,640
Speaker 1: understand you're not talking abouts you're talking about power ratings.

1212
01:03:01,880 --> 01:03:06,280
Speaker 1: Let's do one to three additions to the Rominudle Express

1213
01:03:06,320 --> 01:03:09,480
Speaker 1: and we'll get out of here. We are already on

1214
01:03:09,960 --> 01:03:14,440
Speaker 1: Charlotte plus four and a half. We're on Duke minus three.

1215
01:03:14,440 --> 01:03:17,000
Speaker 1: Notre Dame minus two is a best bet. We don't

1216
01:03:17,000 --> 01:03:19,320
Speaker 1: just think they're gonna beat Southern Cal. We're really confident

1217
01:03:19,360 --> 01:03:22,439
Speaker 1: in it. Wake Forest minus one. Those are the games

1218
01:03:22,480 --> 01:03:24,880
Speaker 1: we're on. So far. Now, I've got a Friday Night

1219
01:03:25,000 --> 01:03:27,880
Speaker 1: special to add on to that. We're taking Fresno State

1220
01:03:28,080 --> 01:03:32,680
Speaker 1: minus six. We are also not on Friday, just good

1221
01:03:32,680 --> 01:03:35,560
Speaker 1: old Saturday game here. We're gonna take UAB plus ten

1222
01:03:36,840 --> 01:03:39,360
Speaker 1: and I've got a total for you. We're going Texas

1223
01:03:39,400 --> 01:03:43,919
Speaker 1: A and M Tennessee under fifty six. I think that's

1224
01:03:44,280 --> 01:03:47,040
Speaker 1: I just think the total's too high. So A and M.

1225
01:03:47,080 --> 01:03:51,240
Speaker 1: Tennessee under fifty six. We're taking UAB Fresno State to

1226
01:03:51,320 --> 01:03:56,080
Speaker 1: go along with Wake, Notre Dame, Duke and Charlotte. Remember,

1227
01:03:56,720 --> 01:04:00,200
Speaker 1: we'll be back your Thursday night. We're doing the Reprediction Special.

1228
01:04:00,640 --> 01:04:02,720
Speaker 1: So it's going to be a show like it's going

1229
01:04:02,760 --> 01:04:05,360
Speaker 1: to be a normal show. But I am just taking

1230
01:04:05,400 --> 01:04:08,440
Speaker 1: some of the things that we predicted in the summer

1231
01:04:09,280 --> 01:04:13,400
Speaker 1: and some of my official picks, and I possess the

1232
01:04:13,480 --> 01:04:16,080
Speaker 1: ability to just change them at any given point. That

1233
01:04:16,160 --> 01:04:19,480
Speaker 1: is my constitutional right. I forget what amendment it is,

1234
01:04:20,280 --> 01:04:22,800
Speaker 1: but it's somewhere in there where you can just change

1235
01:04:22,800 --> 01:04:24,720
Speaker 1: your predictions anytime you want to. I think it's the

1236
01:04:24,760 --> 01:04:27,720
Speaker 1: first one. Actually, I can change anything at any time,

1237
01:04:28,200 --> 01:04:32,160
Speaker 1: and I am protected. That is protected speech, so I

1238
01:04:32,240 --> 01:04:37,080
Speaker 1: may very well just bail totally on multiple predictions this

1239
01:04:37,160 --> 01:04:41,440
Speaker 1: Thursday Night, make new ones and expect the world to

1240
01:04:41,600 --> 01:04:44,160
Speaker 1: accept the new predictions and forget about the old ones.

1241
01:04:45,080 --> 01:04:47,480
Speaker 1: As I have told you before and as I will

1242
01:04:47,480 --> 01:04:50,360
Speaker 1: tell you once more, I don't ask for much. I

1243
01:04:50,560 --> 01:04:53,080
Speaker 1: just ask for all the credit, with none of the

1244
01:04:53,120 --> 01:04:57,120
Speaker 1: brand for producer Jesse, director Colin. I'm Josh Bate. Take care.

1245
01:04:57,160 --> 01:05:12,600
Speaker 1: We'll see a Thursday Night. Until then, God bless