WEBVTT - NFL WEEK 10 REACTIONS - Bills-Dolphins, Ravens-Vikings, Jaguars-Texans, Rams-49ers, Bears-Giants and more 0:00:00.920 --> 0:00:05.080 Welcome to Sharper Square, presented by hard Rock Bet. We're 0:00:05.120 --> 0:00:08.600 part of the Volume podcast network. This is the show 0:00:09.320 --> 0:00:12.160 that makes the squares sharper and makes the wise guys 0:00:12.560 --> 0:00:16.000 pay attention. I am Chad Millman, I am joined as 0:00:16.040 --> 0:00:18.599 always buy, my co host, my bff, my companion, my 0:00:18.840 --> 0:00:23.160 campadre professional better Simon hunt Ella. 0:00:23.200 --> 0:00:27.120 Simon, Chad, how are we doing, boy? 0:00:27.920 --> 0:00:31.400 I mean it was crazy in the first first games. Today, 0:00:31.400 --> 0:00:34.200 I mean we're gonna We're gonna dig in the second half. 0:00:35.240 --> 0:00:38.760 At one point in the early part of the second quarter, 0:00:38.840 --> 0:00:42.159 the combined scores of the games the three games was 0:00:42.200 --> 0:00:48.200 seventy eight to three. So I just spent ninety minutes 0:00:48.240 --> 0:00:53.720 waiting for the game for their show to start. Listen, Simon, 0:00:54.440 --> 0:00:59.160 we loved the Jets all week. We didn't put them 0:00:59.160 --> 0:01:03.200 in the final five. We loved the Texans all week, 0:01:04.319 --> 0:01:09.280 did not put them in the final five. Unfortunately, there 0:01:09.319 --> 0:01:13.840 were others that we did love and we never waivered 0:01:13.880 --> 0:01:16.080 on our record for the day. Right now, I was 0:01:16.120 --> 0:01:18.720 two and two. We won with the Ravens minus three 0:01:18.760 --> 0:01:22.640 and a half. We won with the Dolphins. Kudos Simon 0:01:22.800 --> 0:01:25.520 for forcing that one in at plus nine and a half. 0:01:25.560 --> 0:01:27.960 You were hinting at it all week lost with the 0:01:28.000 --> 0:01:30.280 Bucks minus two and a half. We got warned we 0:01:30.319 --> 0:01:33.000 couldn't walk away, and we lost with the Cardinals plus 0:01:33.080 --> 0:01:35.560 six and a half. That was a dead bet. Even 0:01:35.640 --> 0:01:38.280 I knew that was a dead bet. The eternal optimist 0:01:39.120 --> 0:01:41.160 knew that was a dead bet. We have the Eagles 0:01:41.160 --> 0:01:43.600 plus two and a half against the Packers on Monday 0:01:43.920 --> 0:01:46.480 Night Football, Last Ones in where the Eagles last ones 0:01:46.480 --> 0:01:50.440 out with the Niners plus three and a half. All right, 0:01:51.320 --> 0:01:53.279 we're going to get to our early leans, our review 0:01:53.280 --> 0:01:54.880 of how we did in all our picks. Your live 0:01:54.920 --> 0:01:58.680 comments from the chat send them in. Let's get into it. 0:01:58.880 --> 0:02:03.000 Minnesota out ball Baltimore. Baltimore was three and a half. Listen, dude, 0:02:04.720 --> 0:02:07.880 that first series. We both know enough to know, like, 0:02:08.800 --> 0:02:10.880 you don't win a bet or lose a bet on 0:02:10.919 --> 0:02:14.520 the first series. We saw that throughout the day. JJ 0:02:14.639 --> 0:02:17.040 McCarthy was three for four for seventy six yards on 0:02:17.080 --> 0:02:20.200 the first series, seventeen of thirty eight for one hundred 0:02:20.200 --> 0:02:22.080 and seventy two yards the rest of the game. The 0:02:22.200 --> 0:02:25.400 reason we decided we liked the Ravens was because we 0:02:25.600 --> 0:02:29.440 didn't like JJ McCarthy. I feel like that generally came 0:02:29.480 --> 0:02:30.000 true today. 0:02:31.680 --> 0:02:35.760 Yeah, we knew this was probably not the best spot 0:02:35.800 --> 0:02:37.959 for jj Rick coming off a big win in a 0:02:38.040 --> 0:02:41.120 game that we both agree it was felt very flukey, 0:02:41.240 --> 0:02:43.440 but like he had a bunch of things go his 0:02:43.480 --> 0:02:45.480 way in that matchup. He actually didn't play that great 0:02:45.680 --> 0:02:48.280 and the flip side couldn't get around good. The Vikings 0:02:48.360 --> 0:02:50.400 defense played, And I said, I don't know if that's 0:02:50.520 --> 0:02:53.120 something that can happen again back to back weeks. Like 0:02:53.320 --> 0:02:56.080 I just I thought Detroy missed a bunch of opportunities 0:02:56.080 --> 0:02:58.560 in this week. The Ravens just going to miss it, right, 0:02:58.600 --> 0:03:00.519 even if they were sloppy, Like you said, that was 0:03:00.520 --> 0:03:02.200 the only way that could be come out slow, a 0:03:02.240 --> 0:03:06.800 little sloppy off the bye week. You know this Ravens team, 0:03:06.840 --> 0:03:07.520 And they did. 0:03:07.360 --> 0:03:10.680 By the way they did like that opening drive, JJ 0:03:10.800 --> 0:03:17.880 looked great and the Ravens really couldn't tackle, So it's 0:03:17.880 --> 0:03:20.000 not like they came out perfect. But as the game 0:03:20.040 --> 0:03:23.480 went on, they continue to get better and better, and 0:03:23.720 --> 0:03:26.160 Lamar Jackson got better and better and Derek Henry got 0:03:26.200 --> 0:03:28.919 better and better, and the Vikings could never find their ground. 0:03:29.200 --> 0:03:30.880 Yeah, it's just interest though, like these teams up by 0:03:30.880 --> 0:03:33.280 a Thursday. The many Bie weeks. It's just how are 0:03:33.280 --> 0:03:35.360 they gonna come out perform early on the game because 0:03:35.400 --> 0:03:37.000 it is an extended dress, right, a lot of these 0:03:37.000 --> 0:03:38.480 guys do go away for a couple of days and 0:03:38.520 --> 0:03:41.320 take a little break. They just didn't look like they 0:03:41.320 --> 0:03:43.960 were in it in that first half. Defense luckily was 0:03:44.040 --> 0:03:46.440 they played really well. Yeah, but then that second half 0:03:46.520 --> 0:03:49.600 Lamar started making this key throw, started connecting in the 0:03:49.640 --> 0:03:51.440 red zone and it was it was over right. They 0:03:51.440 --> 0:03:54.320 steamrolled them. So we were a little nervous about it 0:03:54.320 --> 0:03:57.280 and not gonna lie. We just couldn't understand why these 0:03:57.320 --> 0:03:59.560 books Sunday morning were still at minus three and a half. 0:03:59.560 --> 0:04:01.600 I could not believe it, and we both bet it 0:04:01.640 --> 0:04:03.920 and joked about it and put it in. We're like, man, 0:04:03.960 --> 0:04:05.960 hope this doesn't bite us. It just feels way too easy. 0:04:06.000 --> 0:04:08.920 But you saw lay money came in. This number jumped 0:04:08.920 --> 0:04:11.080 to five. Had a lot of books before kickoff. So 0:04:12.040 --> 0:04:14.400 that was unlike the Tampa Bay game, which that number 0:04:14.400 --> 0:04:15.360 did not move an inch. 0:04:16.720 --> 0:04:19.120 It got close. It got to like two and a 0:04:19.160 --> 0:04:21.440 half minus one twenty. We'll talk about that in a second. 0:04:21.600 --> 0:04:27.039 To me, McCarthy, it's going to be interesting how we 0:04:28.080 --> 0:04:32.359 manage and handicap McCarthy because in that second half he 0:04:32.440 --> 0:04:35.560 threw the pick on the opening drive. It was basically 0:04:35.600 --> 0:04:38.520 a punt, but it was a third down and he 0:04:38.680 --> 0:04:40.880 just let the ball go and it ended up in 0:04:40.920 --> 0:04:44.320 the hands. I forgot who it was deep in the 0:04:45.520 --> 0:04:49.920 Ravens secondary that led to m free wasn't hum Yeah, 0:04:49.920 --> 0:04:52.279 it was Humphrey that led to a field goal to 0:04:52.320 --> 0:04:55.240 put them head twelve to ten. And then look right 0:04:55.320 --> 0:04:57.920 after that, the Vikings fumble a kickoff. It's nineteen ten 0:04:57.960 --> 0:05:02.360 and the Ravens basically took control from there. Derrek Henry 0:05:02.360 --> 0:05:06.680 played great. The one thing that I wonder if we 0:05:06.720 --> 0:05:11.760 have to think about Andrew van Ginkel. The last two 0:05:11.800 --> 0:05:15.240 games has been really good for the Vikings, and it 0:05:15.360 --> 0:05:18.200 has been a difference in the first half. He made 0:05:18.200 --> 0:05:21.080 some really great plays last week get the lot against 0:05:21.080 --> 0:05:23.719 the Lions. He was making a lot of really good plays. 0:05:24.080 --> 0:05:26.680 We don't like the Vikings rush defense, and they were 0:05:26.720 --> 0:05:30.200 not very good today. But Van Ginkel can make one 0:05:30.320 --> 0:05:32.320 or two plays over the course of a game where 0:05:33.200 --> 0:05:38.960 that challenges and stresses the opponent. The Vikings cannot figure 0:05:38.960 --> 0:05:41.600 out how to capitalize on those is the problem. I 0:05:41.640 --> 0:05:44.160 don't know if you recognize that when you were watching 0:05:44.200 --> 0:05:46.320 this game, maybe a little bit. 0:05:46.360 --> 0:05:49.880 I just honestly thought if the Ravens played better in 0:05:49.920 --> 0:05:52.039 the red zone, we would have won and covered this 0:05:52.080 --> 0:05:54.120 by twenty points. They just moved the ball up and 0:05:54.120 --> 0:05:57.240 down the field, and like you said, JJ was making 0:05:57.279 --> 0:06:01.120 stupid mistakes. Lamar. Not that I thought he wasn't trying, 0:06:01.160 --> 0:06:02.840 but felt like he had opportunities to run the ball. 0:06:03.080 --> 0:06:04.960 He said, I'm not wasting my body in this game. 0:06:05.000 --> 0:06:07.760 Am I taking hits? I'll just throw it away or 0:06:08.240 --> 0:06:10.240 pick take that pass down field instead of taking those 0:06:10.279 --> 0:06:12.479 opening lanes. So it was pretty interesting. 0:06:12.960 --> 0:06:16.919 Yeah, the Vikings had eight false starts in this game. 0:06:17.600 --> 0:06:24.560 Eight false starts. So at home, at home, Yeah, at 0:06:24.560 --> 0:06:28.960 home New England at Tampa Bay. All right, let's talk 0:06:28.960 --> 0:06:32.440 about this one. It never moved. It got up to 0:06:32.560 --> 0:06:34.800 minus one twenty. I thought it would get to three. 0:06:35.680 --> 0:06:37.800 Like we were talking about it all week. We were 0:06:37.880 --> 0:06:42.160 nervous all week about this number. We got warnings from 0:06:42.200 --> 0:06:47.560 the wise guys. We never backed off, and honestly, even 0:06:47.560 --> 0:06:52.280 to the first half, it looked it looked like it 0:06:52.320 --> 0:06:53.640 was even, it looked like it was going to be 0:06:53.680 --> 0:06:56.480 a field goal game. Baker was perfect in that first draft. 0:06:56.480 --> 0:06:59.520 He was accurate. They ran easily a mecha you know, 0:06:59.560 --> 0:07:02.760 made a nice catch, just scored a touchdown. I was 0:07:02.760 --> 0:07:06.240 feeling pretty good after that first drive and the way 0:07:06.279 --> 0:07:08.760 they were playing in the first half overall, except for 0:07:08.920 --> 0:07:11.160 the very last play the first half. Then it became 0:07:11.200 --> 0:07:13.880 a verbel coaching win to me. 0:07:14.880 --> 0:07:17.640 Yeah, honestly, I feel like I came down to one 0:07:17.680 --> 0:07:23.720 play and Vrabel almost outsmarted himself. I don't know if 0:07:23.720 --> 0:07:25.520 people saw it, if you were watching this New one 0:07:25.640 --> 0:07:28.520 Tampa Big game. It basically they had a first down 0:07:29.240 --> 0:07:33.560 at the one, and Drake May fell on the ball 0:07:33.600 --> 0:07:36.400 at the one to run the clock forty seconds before 0:07:36.400 --> 0:07:39.360 they took their second snap, so basically used their first 0:07:39.400 --> 0:07:44.520 down as a nothing like took that risk, and it 0:07:44.600 --> 0:07:46.480 came down to a fourth down play in the back 0:07:46.520 --> 0:07:48.640 of the end zone, insane throw in saint catch by 0:07:48.720 --> 0:07:52.600 dig So. Yeah, this this whole Drake May thing, I 0:07:52.600 --> 0:07:55.720 said to you, he's giving me major major Carson Wentz 0:07:55.800 --> 0:07:58.760 vibes from twenty seventeen, in the year Eagles won the 0:07:58.760 --> 0:08:04.360 Super Bowl. He is reckless with his body. He is 0:08:06.000 --> 0:08:10.400 not consistent as a thrower, but in big moments with 0:08:10.480 --> 0:08:13.840 pressure in his face, he's deadly accurate downfield like anything 0:08:13.880 --> 0:08:18.360 over ten yards whatever it is, he is beend money 0:08:18.360 --> 0:08:20.720 for them and continuing in this game, he had a 0:08:20.760 --> 0:08:22.720 couple of huge throw that saved us. But this really 0:08:22.800 --> 0:08:26.800 is a Josh McDaniel's game, Like what they did with Henderson, 0:08:27.000 --> 0:08:29.240 the rookie that you know it hasn't been seen the 0:08:29.280 --> 0:08:31.360 fiel because he can't pass block and they're forced into 0:08:31.360 --> 0:08:34.440 it with an interesty to Stievertson. They were in a 0:08:34.440 --> 0:08:36.440 spot where they the lead, so they knew that, Okay, 0:08:36.480 --> 0:08:38.920 we're gonna run it anyway with the kid needed two 0:08:39.040 --> 0:08:41.439 insane runs that totally flipped the game. Ye I mean 0:08:41.600 --> 0:08:46.880 just breakaway insane speed so bad. Bet should have trusted 0:08:46.960 --> 0:08:49.400 our gut on it when it wasn't moving. We should 0:08:49.440 --> 0:08:51.680 have known better, like we said, had a ton of 0:08:51.679 --> 0:08:56.319 warnings and yeah it's it's a tough loss. 0:08:56.600 --> 0:09:00.000 Well look that What might be the most fun, interesting, 0:09:01.559 --> 0:09:07.439 exciting play of the year is Traveon Henderson, who's been 0:09:07.480 --> 0:09:11.719 getting bashed all season because he's so talented, but they 0:09:11.760 --> 0:09:13.560 can't put him in for all the reasons you just 0:09:13.640 --> 0:09:17.480 talked about. Breaks away for what a fifty nine yard 0:09:18.040 --> 0:09:21.440 run that can seal the game. And he's so far 0:09:21.559 --> 0:09:24.480 ahead of everybody on the Bucks defense as he's running 0:09:24.480 --> 0:09:28.800 for the touchdown that he has time to start veering 0:09:28.920 --> 0:09:31.200 to the middle of the field from the sideline and 0:09:31.320 --> 0:09:34.120 look over at the Patriots bench to ask if he 0:09:34.120 --> 0:09:36.480 should score the touchdown with less than two minutes left 0:09:36.679 --> 0:09:39.400 and put them up by twelve I think, or if 0:09:39.400 --> 0:09:43.160 he should slide and end the game, and all the 0:09:43.200 --> 0:09:45.920 coaches waved him in and told him to go score 0:09:45.920 --> 0:09:47.960 the touchdown. I love that it was heads up. I 0:09:48.000 --> 0:09:50.280 love that he's paying attention to the coaches. I love 0:09:50.360 --> 0:09:52.240 that he got to score the touchdown. I love that 0:09:52.280 --> 0:09:54.680 he was so far ahead at everybody else that he 0:09:54.760 --> 0:09:58.800 had time to actually do this. That was remarkable. That 0:09:58.880 --> 0:10:00.000 just shows how fast the kid is. 0:10:00.040 --> 0:10:05.120 Yeah, and just if he gets going, my god, maybe 0:10:05.120 --> 0:10:06.720 we need to start taking this Pager team a little 0:10:06.720 --> 0:10:09.440 more serious, because, like we keep saying, between the coach 0:10:09.440 --> 0:10:12.640 and the quarterback, it's hard to find a better combo 0:10:12.720 --> 0:10:16.400 right on the AFC, which is insane to say, but 0:10:15.840 --> 0:10:20.040 this Drake may Vrabel combo right now is like we 0:10:20.040 --> 0:10:22.719 always talk about, there's bad spots it's supposed to be 0:10:22.760 --> 0:10:26.480 a bad spot in the weather, in the element, they 0:10:26.559 --> 0:10:29.200 played like the more veteran team and that was the 0:10:29.200 --> 0:10:30.439 most shocking part of that game. 0:10:30.800 --> 0:10:32.720 That was a sixty nine yard run by the way, 0:10:32.800 --> 0:10:36.280 and this was nice. You know, I've said this a 0:10:36.280 --> 0:10:39.920 few times before the year began. We set the line 0:10:40.000 --> 0:10:43.400 on Vrabel coaching wins to two and a half. I 0:10:43.440 --> 0:10:46.560 feel like he's at least at four, if not five, 0:10:46.600 --> 0:10:48.480 And today was another one of those, just with that 0:10:48.640 --> 0:10:54.480 sort of thoughtful strategic clock management and then going for 0:10:54.600 --> 0:10:58.440 it at the end of the first half. That's fourteen 0:10:58.480 --> 0:11:02.800 points they manufactured because they got the touchdown instead of 0:11:02.840 --> 0:11:04.360 going for the field goal at the end of the 0:11:04.360 --> 0:11:06.360 first half. And then they open the second half and 0:11:06.400 --> 0:11:09.000 the second play is the Travon Henderson run. So now 0:11:09.040 --> 0:11:11.400 all of a sudden, it goes from fourteen to ten 0:11:11.520 --> 0:11:14.040 to twenty one to ten and that's the ball game 0:11:14.080 --> 0:11:15.839 for them. They never look back again, and it's all 0:11:15.840 --> 0:11:19.439 because of the wave. Rabel managed the game. Just brilliant, 0:11:19.760 --> 0:11:20.440 brilliant guy. 0:11:20.920 --> 0:11:25.240 Love them, Yeah, I will say this. Newton Patriots next 0:11:25.240 --> 0:11:30.480 three games Jets, Cincy Giants, then their bye week. So 0:11:31.480 --> 0:11:33.880 if they can get to eleven and two because then 0:11:34.000 --> 0:11:36.840 after their bye week it is brutal. They got Buffalo 0:11:37.559 --> 0:11:42.079 Ravens Jets and then they finish off with Miami. So yeah, 0:11:42.120 --> 0:11:44.400 this is pretty surreal. There is a path for them 0:11:44.400 --> 0:11:46.560 to the one seed. Now, like after you win this 0:11:46.600 --> 0:11:48.640 type of game, oh yeah, you drop only one or 0:11:48.679 --> 0:11:51.280 two more games the rest of the year. There's a 0:11:51.320 --> 0:11:53.840 real chance New England's got that one seed and we 0:11:53.880 --> 0:11:56.160 are going to get some amazing value trying to fade 0:11:56.200 --> 0:11:57.080 them in the playoffs. 0:11:57.320 --> 0:11:59.040 Well, look, they're two and a half games up on 0:11:59.080 --> 0:12:01.840 the Bills, because we're going to talk about the Bills next. 0:12:01.880 --> 0:12:03.480 But they've beaten the Bills and now they're up to 0:12:03.640 --> 0:12:07.800 games in the win column. They're a much better team 0:12:07.880 --> 0:12:11.840 right now than the Denver Broncos right who are have 0:12:11.960 --> 0:12:14.840 a similar record. They're a much better team right now 0:12:14.840 --> 0:12:18.880 than the Kansas City Chiefs, who are multiple games back 0:12:19.480 --> 0:12:24.199 of the Patriots right now. So this is getting and 0:12:25.520 --> 0:12:29.440 it'd be an interesting conversation about the Colts and the 0:12:29.480 --> 0:12:32.120 Patriots right now, because I do not think the Colts 0:12:32.120 --> 0:12:36.400 were that impressive today and beating up the Falcons. We 0:12:36.480 --> 0:12:38.600 can talk about that a little bit later, but first 0:12:38.679 --> 0:12:43.640 let's talk about Buffalo at Miami. Buffalo was a nine 0:12:43.720 --> 0:12:48.880 and a half point favorite. You were insistent all week, 0:12:50.440 --> 0:12:55.320 flowers for Simon, Flowers for Simon. It's not flowers for Charlie, 0:12:56.600 --> 0:13:00.760 not from always sunny, flowers for Simon. As you were 0:13:00.800 --> 0:13:04.240 insistent that we put the Dolphins in it was the 0:13:04.320 --> 0:13:07.400 right spot. The one thing you said again and again, 0:13:09.000 --> 0:13:12.960 Devon h Han running the ball. The guy had one 0:13:13.040 --> 0:13:15.320 hundred and seventy four yards rushing today, Like this was 0:13:15.320 --> 0:13:17.440 not a two A game. This was a divan ahang game. 0:13:19.720 --> 0:13:22.360 That was part of it. The big part two is 0:13:22.440 --> 0:13:25.800 the Tua being comfortable whatever it is. When he is 0:13:25.880 --> 0:13:29.040 comfortable in these homesteads, that stat's crazy. Now now he's 0:13:29.120 --> 0:13:30.960 up to four to oh and there's the exact spot 0:13:31.040 --> 0:13:33.840 as a dog straight up and against the spread, which 0:13:33.880 --> 0:13:36.080 is just crazy because I think they showed the last 0:13:36.080 --> 0:13:38.360 time he beat Josh Allen was in like twenty twenty, 0:13:38.720 --> 0:13:42.880 so really unique spot for them. And yeah, it's the 0:13:43.000 --> 0:13:46.040 dream bet. Everything went our way in this game and 0:13:46.880 --> 0:13:49.200 everything I've been saying that it looked like a fool 0:13:49.320 --> 0:13:51.800 last week because Josh Allen played so well against the Chiefs. 0:13:52.600 --> 0:13:54.960 I just there's just something off about him this season, 0:13:55.120 --> 0:13:57.280 and I saw it in this game. Again. Yeah, he 0:13:57.480 --> 0:13:59.680 just isn't what he was last year in the MVP 0:13:59.800 --> 0:14:03.040 cow level, which again that's impossible love up to, but 0:14:03.720 --> 0:14:05.640 that's the level he needs the playoff for this team 0:14:05.679 --> 0:14:08.400 to win. They just have so many deficiency not only 0:14:08.440 --> 0:14:11.360 at wide receiver but the defensive side like this. We 0:14:11.400 --> 0:14:14.040 talked about this run game for h H and everything like that. 0:14:14.280 --> 0:14:16.960 It matched up great for them, but you know, I 0:14:16.960 --> 0:14:20.320 think it was sixteen to nothing heading into the fourth quarter. 0:14:20.520 --> 0:14:24.080 The Bills defense didn't play that bad. It just the fumbles, 0:14:24.080 --> 0:14:26.320 that turnovers. Everything just went so bad with this Bills team. 0:14:26.400 --> 0:14:30.600 So yeah, dream scenario, you know, get the big win, 0:14:30.760 --> 0:14:33.960 big upset, looks good for survivor pols. Unfortunately I got 0:14:34.040 --> 0:14:35.800 knocked out on Carolina so it did even matter. But 0:14:35.960 --> 0:14:39.080 this was a big play. Not many people gave Miami 0:14:39.160 --> 0:14:41.480 a chance here and I got while you hated it, 0:14:41.520 --> 0:14:43.280 you felt gross and I had to bully into it. 0:14:43.320 --> 0:14:46.440 But it's like it was such a spot for this 0:14:46.520 --> 0:14:49.520 Dolphins team and you saw it before kickoff. We did 0:14:49.520 --> 0:14:52.160 the show. I think at nine am it was plus nine. 0:14:52.640 --> 0:14:54.440 It was plus seven and a half by kickoff. Yeah, 0:14:54.800 --> 0:14:58.320 and this is with all the teasers parlays, all the 0:14:58.320 --> 0:15:01.200 suckers are going in late hammering that Bill's side, and 0:15:02.040 --> 0:15:04.160 it's never good you get that much reverse line action, 0:15:04.360 --> 0:15:07.680 especially in a big blog dog like that. Yeah, that 0:15:07.840 --> 0:15:10.440 was a good one. But yeah, like that's we joke 0:15:10.480 --> 0:15:12.280 all the time. That's the dream for betting a dog. 0:15:12.320 --> 0:15:17.200 You start the game a thirteen zero lead, and everything 0:15:17.440 --> 0:15:19.240 kept going wrong from the Bills from that point forward. 0:15:19.320 --> 0:15:20.560 So yeah, needed that win. 0:15:21.560 --> 0:15:24.080 Uh, Tua was ten to fourteen for one hundred and 0:15:24.200 --> 0:15:27.040 thirty one. I think in the first half the Bills 0:15:27.080 --> 0:15:31.720 had ninety total yards. In the second half, how many 0:15:31.760 --> 0:15:35.160 times do you think Tua threw the ball three? He 0:15:35.200 --> 0:15:37.720 threw it seven times. Yeah, that's it. 0:15:37.920 --> 0:15:39.560 In the entire I mean, they didn't need it. 0:15:39.800 --> 0:15:42.160 They didn't need it, right, And then the Bills finally 0:15:42.240 --> 0:15:44.080 driving the middle of third and Josh Allen throws that 0:15:44.160 --> 0:15:47.200 pick in the end zone that made Matt Mitchell want 0:15:47.200 --> 0:15:48.920 to drink a can of paint while he was sitting 0:15:48.920 --> 0:15:52.840 in his basement painting the basement after all this water damage, 0:15:53.280 --> 0:15:56.640 and like it was just he he had made so 0:15:56.640 --> 0:15:58.800 many plays to get them in a position to score 0:15:58.840 --> 0:16:02.160 on that drive, and then through this weird pick. They 0:16:02.160 --> 0:16:05.080 had a weird fourth and one where they were set 0:16:05.160 --> 0:16:08.600 up in that sort of snowplow formation where they go 0:16:08.760 --> 0:16:12.000 for it, and then instead he rolled out and threw 0:16:12.360 --> 0:16:14.560 a pass an alley oop into the middle of the 0:16:14.560 --> 0:16:18.359 field that fell to the ground. He fumbled the ball 0:16:18.720 --> 0:16:21.560 with seven minutes left, down ten while fighting for extra 0:16:21.640 --> 0:16:24.400 yards after getting seven or eight on a third and one. 0:16:24.480 --> 0:16:26.800 I mean, everything went wrong. 0:16:26.880 --> 0:16:30.960 Everything went wrong. It was just nothing. Nothing went right. 0:16:31.000 --> 0:16:35.600 They could not get close. In my head though, going 0:16:35.640 --> 0:16:38.960 into the fourth quarter, I'm still like the Bills could 0:16:39.000 --> 0:16:42.840 still score three touchdowns and cover this number. I was like, 0:16:43.320 --> 0:16:46.120 I had so little faith in the Dolphins that I 0:16:46.480 --> 0:16:50.600 just was doing the Gambler's math. You know what I 0:16:50.640 --> 0:16:55.200 didn't do Gambler's math for Arizona plus six and a 0:16:55.240 --> 0:17:01.040 half against Seattle because, oh my lord, down twenty one 0:17:01.080 --> 0:17:05.960 in the first quarter from a opening drive touchdown, Brissett 0:17:06.160 --> 0:17:10.399 sack and fumble and eighteen yeard drive that leads to 0:17:10.440 --> 0:17:14.280 a punt that leads to another long Seattle drive, and 0:17:14.320 --> 0:17:18.800 then the first minute of the second quarter, the same 0:17:18.840 --> 0:17:22.560 guy who forced the first fumble and scoop and score 0:17:22.960 --> 0:17:27.240 on Brissett. Tyrese night for the Seahawks and the same 0:17:27.240 --> 0:17:31.640 guy who scored in that first fumble to Marcus Lawrence. 0:17:32.720 --> 0:17:36.679 They bite it up, did it again. So it was 0:17:36.680 --> 0:17:39.480 twenty eight nothing fifteen minutes into this game. 0:17:41.520 --> 0:17:45.240 Yeah, we obviously picked a really bad spot to back Brissette. 0:17:46.000 --> 0:17:49.399 They flashed the record as dominic Seattle's defense has been 0:17:49.440 --> 0:17:52.240 this year. They had zero touchdown scored, like you said, 0:17:52.280 --> 0:17:56.840 they had two in the first quarter. Just terrible, terrible. 0:17:56.840 --> 0:18:01.280 Bet totally walked into it. I was hoping to avoid 0:18:01.720 --> 0:18:03.640 this game or the forig Niners game when the forty 0:18:03.680 --> 0:18:05.720 nine ers game. Couldn't avoid this one. We'd loved it 0:18:05.720 --> 0:18:09.440 all week, I'd bet it all week, and uh yeah, 0:18:09.440 --> 0:18:11.840 it's it's the worst, right when you back these dogs 0:18:12.560 --> 0:18:14.639 and they're down twenty one to nothing in the first quarter, 0:18:15.720 --> 0:18:18.680 even when a lot of yourself there's just no scenario 0:18:18.960 --> 0:18:20.760 like you need a total melt that from their team, 0:18:20.800 --> 0:18:22.520 and even the Seahawks try to give it back. 0:18:22.640 --> 0:18:25.119 Yeah, they did a few times, a lot of turnovers. 0:18:24.640 --> 0:18:27.120 And like, yeah, they just kept couldn't They kept going 0:18:27.160 --> 0:18:28.679 for it on fourth down and the red zone and 0:18:28.720 --> 0:18:31.600 just failing on a couple different times where they could 0:18:31.640 --> 0:18:32.879 have got back into we had a chance at the 0:18:32.880 --> 0:18:36.359 back door and just slam shut on us. So bad bet. 0:18:37.000 --> 0:18:39.960 Like we said the afternoon, it was non contest in 0:18:39.960 --> 0:18:41.520 all three games, and we happened to be on the 0:18:41.560 --> 0:18:43.720 dog and two of them they got absolutely rolled. 0:18:44.520 --> 0:18:47.000 It was thirty eight to fifteen when Sam Darnold threw 0:18:47.000 --> 0:18:50.840 a pick in the third quarter after the Cardinals had 0:18:50.840 --> 0:18:53.360 already had already scored a touchdown on a two point conversion. 0:18:54.560 --> 0:18:57.880 I'm not gonna lie like when the Cardinals got that pick, 0:18:57.880 --> 0:19:01.320 because it was deep in Seahawks territor, I'm like, okay, 0:19:02.560 --> 0:19:05.000 I started doing some math, like maybe they get the touchdown, 0:19:05.000 --> 0:19:07.520 maybe they get the two point conversion, thirty eight twenty three, 0:19:07.760 --> 0:19:11.200 like with you know, a quarter and a half left 0:19:11.200 --> 0:19:16.439 in the game. Not impossible, and then they just couldn't 0:19:16.480 --> 0:19:17.840 convert on fourth down and it was over. 0:19:18.320 --> 0:19:19.840 Yeah, you don't. You don't want to waste any of 0:19:19.840 --> 0:19:21.880 your luck on that game. I'm glad we got rolled. 0:19:21.960 --> 0:19:23.320 That would have been a waste to try to use 0:19:23.320 --> 0:19:25.199 some of our you know, after your luck on just 0:19:25.200 --> 0:19:27.280 because it was, like you said, it was beater than 0:19:27.320 --> 0:19:28.679 dead in that first quarter. 0:19:28.720 --> 0:19:32.480 That's right, and honestly like we also at least I did. 0:19:32.560 --> 0:19:34.400 Let's do it. Let's actually let's do a quick word 0:19:34.440 --> 0:19:38.120 from hard rock and then we'll go over the rest 0:19:38.160 --> 0:19:41.040 of these crazy games. Today's show is brought to you 0:19:41.080 --> 0:19:44.359 by our new presenting sponsor, hard Rock Bet. 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