WEBVTT - Trump Delays Canada, Mexico Auto Tariffs For One Month

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. You're listening to the

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<v Speaker 2>Investors are not waiting around for an official announcement on

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<v Speaker 2>this auto tariff delay. Just watch GM. This is a

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<v Speaker 2>pretty remarkable moment here following the big speech last night,

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<v Speaker 2>So welcome yes to the day after the Wednesday edition

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<v Speaker 2>of Balance of Power here on Bloomberg Radio, the satellite

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<v Speaker 2>radio channel one twenty one, and on YouTube, where you

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<v Speaker 2>can find us right now by searching Bloomberg Business News Live.

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<v Speaker 2>No travel schedule for Donald Trump. I guess he's sleeping

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<v Speaker 2>this offul little bit. But he is also meeting with

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<v Speaker 2>members of Congress here to talk about the way forward

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<v Speaker 2>on a budget resolution, reconciliation and maybe even and funding

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<v Speaker 2>the government ten days from now. But we've got a

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<v Speaker 2>lot to unpack from last night, as Wall Street shakes

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<v Speaker 2>it off here on this fifth of March with news

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<v Speaker 2>on tariffs following tariff Tuesday and a speech to a

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<v Speaker 2>joint Session of Congress that embraced what Donald Trump considers

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<v Speaker 2>the most beautiful word in the dictionary. Let's listen.

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<v Speaker 3>If you don't make your product in America, however, under

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<v Speaker 3>the Trump administration, you will pay a tariff, and in

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<v Speaker 3>some cases a rather large one. Countless other nations charge

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<v Speaker 3>us tremendously higher tariffs than we charge them. April second,

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<v Speaker 3>reciprocal tariffs kick in.

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<v Speaker 4>The tariffs will.

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<v Speaker 3>Go on agricultural product coming into America and our farmers

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<v Speaker 3>starting on April second. It may be a little bit

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<v Speaker 3>of an adjustment period. I've also imposed a twenty five

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<v Speaker 3>percent tariff on foreign aluminum, copper, lumber, and steel. Tariffs

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<v Speaker 3>are about making America richie again and making America great again.

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<v Speaker 3>And it's happening, and it will happen rather quickly. There'll

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<v Speaker 3>be a little disturbance, but we're okay with that.

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<v Speaker 2>A little disturbance in the force. We were watching, so

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<v Speaker 2>you didn't have to one hundred minutes long. Everybody crawled

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<v Speaker 2>out of here around midnight last night. Nine thousand, eight

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<v Speaker 2>hundred eighty eight words. According to the transcript, Donald Trump

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<v Speaker 2>went for broke, and indeed broke President Bill Clinton's eighty

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<v Speaker 2>eight minute record. Remember in conclusion, that's where we start

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<v Speaker 2>our conversation with Ashley Davis, who was also watching along

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<v Speaker 2>last evening, Republican strategist partner S three Group, former senior

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<v Speaker 2>Stafford the Apartment of Homeland Security. Ashley, it's great to

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<v Speaker 2>see you. Welcome back. I don't know if you've recovered

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<v Speaker 2>from a record setter last night, But was it time

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<v Speaker 2>well spent because the market's still pretty confused about tariff

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<v Speaker 2>Tuesday among a lot of other things.

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<v Speaker 5>Well, I don't think anything's will spent for one hundred minutes,

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<v Speaker 5>So no, I don't think so. But I do miss

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<v Speaker 5>the Bush days when everyone criticized him for not talking

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<v Speaker 5>long enough, and we all miss that. But listen, it

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<v Speaker 5>was these the last few years have turned into political speeches.

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<v Speaker 5>I mean, I feel that last night in some ways

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<v Speaker 5>we've all hit a new low in regards to how

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<v Speaker 5>the Democrats were reacting, how the Republicans have reacted under

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<v Speaker 5>when Democrats spoke, And you know, I just I don't

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<v Speaker 5>like it when you have different positive messages that are

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<v Speaker 5>coming out, whether it's about a death of somebody or

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<v Speaker 5>whatever it is, that you can't be you're so angry

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<v Speaker 5>at each other that you can't support some of that stuff.

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<v Speaker 5>So that's what I would say, just from a high level.

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<v Speaker 5>But obviously we've been talking about this Joe for the

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<v Speaker 5>last year, about his favorite word being tariffs. Yesterday, I

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<v Speaker 5>think he knew exactly what he was doing. The team

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<v Speaker 5>knew exactly what they were doing in regards to putting

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<v Speaker 5>these tariffs, at least in place for a short period

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<v Speaker 5>of time. I think that they knew it was going

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<v Speaker 5>to impact the markets. It obviously did impact the markets.

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<v Speaker 5>You see them taking a step back today. I thought Lutinx,

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<v Speaker 5>that secretary of Lutinik on Bloomberg earlier today, gave a

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<v Speaker 5>lot of information in regards to any type of exemptions

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<v Speaker 5>and saying that if there are going to be exemptions

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<v Speaker 5>that the President puts in place over the next month,

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<v Speaker 5>that we should look at USMCA and the exemptions that

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<v Speaker 5>are there. So I think they are starting to show

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<v Speaker 5>the te leues. I think it was very pointed today

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<v Speaker 5>that he just put out the announcement on the automobiles,

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<v Speaker 5>because what, look what the market's doing.

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<v Speaker 6>So I.

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<v Speaker 5>People say crazy like a fox, and you know, I

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<v Speaker 5>don't back off that. Sometimes I'm not saying it's right

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<v Speaker 5>or wrong, but I don't think that they are. You know,

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<v Speaker 5>when he was in the first time, everyone was like, no,

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<v Speaker 5>he doesn't know how to run the country. Dah da

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<v Speaker 5>da dah. But they've been preparing for this for years,

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<v Speaker 5>and I do think that he's going to continue to

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<v Speaker 5>use these tariffs, not just on the financial parts, but

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<v Speaker 5>also in regards to foreign policy.

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<v Speaker 2>You're a strategist, Ashley, though you're a communicator by profession.

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<v Speaker 2>You know how to tell an elected official, how to

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<v Speaker 2>crystallize a message, and how not to get in trouble,

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<v Speaker 2>how not to break into jail. That cut we just

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<v Speaker 2>heard from Donald Trump. There'll be a little disturbance talking

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<v Speaker 2>about tariffs, but we're okay with that. It won't be

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<v Speaker 2>much that's begging to be put in a campaign at

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<v Speaker 2>if this thing turns south, isn't it. Oh?

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah?

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<v Speaker 2>But I regret saying that.

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<v Speaker 5>I don't know if he will because is it going

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<v Speaker 5>to really impact him. He can't run again, so it's

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<v Speaker 5>going to be more that the House and Senate members

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<v Speaker 5>that are going to be up for reelection, the governors,

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<v Speaker 5>you know, doesn't have a triple down effect. But I

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<v Speaker 5>think one thing that he definitely has to deal with,

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<v Speaker 5>which was not addressed last night, were the pocketbook issues

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<v Speaker 5>in regards to egg prices. I mean, we can go

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<v Speaker 5>on and on. I don't need to name them. So

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<v Speaker 5>tariffs from.

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<v Speaker 2>Said those are Joe Biden's zagg.

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<v Speaker 5>Prices exactly exactly. Well, that's not going to last for

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<v Speaker 5>you can't Does you get to do that?

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<v Speaker 7>Yeah?

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<v Speaker 5>I mean I remember saying this when Biden came in

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<v Speaker 5>with Trump, like, you can't continue to blame Trump for

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<v Speaker 5>how you know, six months a year after that they left.

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<v Speaker 5>So there has to be a grasp because I don't

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<v Speaker 5>know if the everyday Americans really paying attention to the

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<v Speaker 5>tariffs like you and I are, but I think that

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<v Speaker 5>they're definitely paying attention to their grocery bills.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, he told Congress to scrap the Chips Act and

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<v Speaker 2>send spend the money on reducing debt. I realized the

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<v Speaker 2>spirit of kind of rescinding or overturning the Biden agenda

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<v Speaker 2>is part of Donald Trump's approach here. But doesn't that

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<v Speaker 2>argue with the idea of bringing businesses like this back

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<v Speaker 2>to the US.

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<v Speaker 5>Yes, and I that was actually something I was pretty

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<v Speaker 5>surprised about, right, before he went on that they were

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<v Speaker 5>going to concentrate on that. I you know, just seeing

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<v Speaker 5>come some of the talking points. I and especially because

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<v Speaker 5>that was a pretty bipartisan bill, I would think he's

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<v Speaker 5>talking about some of the money that wasn't spent at

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<v Speaker 5>Commerce yet that maybe reappropriating that or moving that to

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<v Speaker 5>different parts of the agency for different priorities. But I

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<v Speaker 5>don't think that that can happen in regards to legislation

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<v Speaker 5>that's already earmarked for certain things. I mean, we'll see.

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<v Speaker 5>I mean, we have this, we're having this discussion all

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<v Speaker 5>the time of how money is being spent with those cuts.

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<v Speaker 5>But that was a surprise. So I don't know where

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<v Speaker 5>that's going at this point, but I will see.

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<v Speaker 2>Would you think of the Democrats in the room the

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<v Speaker 2>Algreen demonstration. We're three minutes into this thing. Actually I

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<v Speaker 2>thought it was going off the rails. Donald Trump did

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<v Speaker 2>seem to get things under control again, or at least

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<v Speaker 2>Democrats gave up on the initial effort to protest. There

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<v Speaker 2>were a few who walked out, like Bernie Sanders, a

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<v Speaker 2>few who boycotted. Does any of this.

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<v Speaker 5>Matter No, I mean, I think this is kind of

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<v Speaker 5>the polarization of the country and you saw it once again.

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<v Speaker 5>Just what I said at the beginning of the show

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<v Speaker 5>though that concerns me is you do have issues that

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<v Speaker 5>we can't agree on, or tragedies that we should all

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<v Speaker 5>be agreeing on. That just we can't even be doing

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<v Speaker 5>that from both sides of the aisles. So I mean,

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<v Speaker 5>does it make people look I'm just saying this from

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<v Speaker 5>a Democrat perspective because they're in the minority right now,

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<v Speaker 5>but they don't look classy when they're reacting that way

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<v Speaker 5>in regards to you know what, yelling and during the speech. Obviously,

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<v Speaker 5>I'd say the same thing for Arjorie Taylor Green when

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<v Speaker 5>Biden was doing it. So both sides do it, and

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<v Speaker 5>it's just I think it's not a good way to act.

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<v Speaker 2>Joe, Well, that's right, and that's that's why we like you. Actually,

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<v Speaker 2>you were brought up the right way. It was kind

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<v Speaker 2>of weird watching that they're holding up the signs. I

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<v Speaker 2>thought I was looking at an auction holding.

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<v Speaker 8>Up it's trashy.

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<v Speaker 2>I forget it was congressomme to leave had a whiteboard.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm going to start doing that with some guests when

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<v Speaker 2>they don't answer my questions. I'm going to hold up

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<v Speaker 2>the whiteboard. You can just watch the YouTube feed and

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<v Speaker 2>figure out how I feel about it. Just a minute left,

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<v Speaker 2>Ashley Davis, it's great to have you here. Is Donald

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<v Speaker 2>Trump going to be defined in this second term by

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<v Speaker 2>the tariffs or is there more to it?

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<v Speaker 5>I don't know. I mean, we thought this. We had

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<v Speaker 5>the same conversation in twenty eighteen twenty, you know, end

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<v Speaker 5>of twenty seventeen, beginning twenty eighteen, and then look what

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<v Speaker 5>happened after the tough terroriffs were put on in China

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<v Speaker 5>and everyone said the world's going to come to an end,

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<v Speaker 5>and then Biden never overturned those tariffs. So I think

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<v Speaker 5>that there will be exemptions just like there were before.

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<v Speaker 5>I think obviously China and Mexico, and as Sectuary of

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<v Speaker 5>Utnik said today, that's a war on drugs, not on tariffs.

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<v Speaker 5>We'll see. We'll see what happens on April second. With

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<v Speaker 5>reciprocal tariffs. I think that's obviously a big negotiating tactic

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<v Speaker 5>for the president as well. I think these can be

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<v Speaker 5>defined on a lot. We'll see. Remember last week we

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<v Speaker 5>were talking about Ukraine in the fight in the Oval.

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<v Speaker 5>So this is just a topic of the day.

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<v Speaker 2>Oh my god, Ashley, the world shifts again under our feet.

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<v Speaker 2>Come see us when you're back in the Capitol. It's

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<v Speaker 2>always our pleasure to spend time with the great Ashley Davis,

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<v Speaker 2>Republican Strategist, S three Group, Joe Matthew in Washington. We're

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<v Speaker 2>going to talk about the tariffs in our second hour

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<v Speaker 2>with former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers. Much more ahead, Keller

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<v Speaker 2>at Large is coming in hot from Boston. Next.

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<v Speaker 1>Right here on Bloomberg, you're listening to the Bloomberg Balance

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<v Speaker 1>of Power podcast. Catch us live weekdays at noon and

0:10:18.400 --> 0:10:21.400
<v Speaker 1>five pm. E's durn on Apple Cockley and Android Auto

0:10:21.520 --> 0:10:24.440
<v Speaker 1>with the Bloomberg Business App. You can also listen live

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<v Speaker 1>on Amazon Alexa from our flagship New York station. Just

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<v Speaker 1>say Alexa, play Bloomberg eleven thirty as.

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<v Speaker 2>We peek out of one eye today in the nation's capital.

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<v Speaker 2>Everybody's a little bit bleary after the longest speech in

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<v Speaker 2>recorded history, at least before a joint session of Congress. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 2>one hundred minutes. Truly, you were with us live for

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<v Speaker 2>the duration on Bloomberg Radio and on Bloomberg Television, eight

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<v Speaker 2>hundred eighty eight words, much of it having to do

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<v Speaker 2>with tariffs, but also funding the government. What are we

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<v Speaker 2>nine days out now, nine days out from a shutdown?

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<v Speaker 2>As we seek the truth here on Bloomberg, straddling both

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<v Speaker 2>ends of Pennsylvania Avenue, we can tell you that Donald

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<v Speaker 2>Trump is meeting with House Republicans today at the White

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<v Speaker 2>House on crafting a plan to avoid a shutdown. Elon

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<v Speaker 2>Musk on the other end on Capitol Hill, meeting with

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<v Speaker 2>lawmakers following his fetting last night in the House Chamber. Meanwhile,

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<v Speaker 2>today the House Oversight Committee is busy. Jim Colmer had

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<v Speaker 2>an early start after a late night drawing Democratic mayors

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<v Speaker 2>from sanctuary cities around the country to testify before the committee. Interesting,

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<v Speaker 2>none of the mayors of these cities ever call them

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<v Speaker 2>sanctuary cities. But as you consider the idea here of

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<v Speaker 2>the Oversight trying to get some buzz and a very

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<v Speaker 2>busy news cycle, there's only one strategy left, and that

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<v Speaker 2>is video production. They actually made a trailer for this

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<v Speaker 2>hearing that unfolded this morning with the likes of Mayor

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<v Speaker 2>Eric Adams of New York, Michelle wou of Boston. Here's

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<v Speaker 2>a taste.

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<v Speaker 3>But provide sanctuary and protection for dangerous criminals push back in.

0:12:08.720 --> 0:12:11.959
<v Speaker 9>The sanctuary City of Boston, Mayor Michelle wou So the

0:12:12.000 --> 0:12:14.960
<v Speaker 9>city will not cooperate with his plan for mass deportation.

0:12:15.240 --> 0:12:18.839
<v Speaker 6>These agents in Massachusetts arresting two illegal immigrants facing it

0:12:18.920 --> 0:12:21.760
<v Speaker 6>sex crimes against children and two separate instances.

0:12:23.040 --> 0:12:25.080
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, that's just a taste. This thing's a couple of

0:12:25.120 --> 0:12:27.520
<v Speaker 2>minutes long, a lot of grainy images. I think I

0:12:27.559 --> 0:12:29.480
<v Speaker 2>saw a couple of my old colleagues from the Boston

0:12:29.520 --> 0:12:34.320
<v Speaker 2>News business in there. The Herald looming large. And if

0:12:34.320 --> 0:12:36.120
<v Speaker 2>you're with us on ninety two nine, we see you

0:12:37.080 --> 0:12:40.160
<v Speaker 2>because we wanted to get into this testimony today from

0:12:40.160 --> 0:12:42.160
<v Speaker 2>the view of one of these cities. This is big

0:12:42.200 --> 0:12:44.280
<v Speaker 2>local news. You don't need me to tell you that.

0:12:44.720 --> 0:12:46.520
<v Speaker 2>If you're in Boston, if you're in New York, if

0:12:46.559 --> 0:12:50.280
<v Speaker 2>you're in Chicago or Denver. And we have the voice

0:12:50.280 --> 0:12:53.719
<v Speaker 2>of Boston politics with us, the Dean of Boston Politics,

0:12:53.720 --> 0:12:56.960
<v Speaker 2>the great John Keller keleret Large, political analyst at the

0:12:56.960 --> 0:13:00.520
<v Speaker 2>CBS affiliate my alma man Ter wdbz's with us now

0:13:00.600 --> 0:13:05.360
<v Speaker 2>live from the Lawless City of Boston. The dystopian landscape, John,

0:13:05.400 --> 0:13:09.560
<v Speaker 2>I'm picturing burning garbage cans and cars, as you join

0:13:09.640 --> 0:13:12.000
<v Speaker 2>us from the middle of Blade Runner. You know, I

0:13:12.080 --> 0:13:14.120
<v Speaker 2>checked to see if I could get a trailer for

0:13:14.240 --> 0:13:16.520
<v Speaker 2>us here, John, and it's not in the budget. And

0:13:16.559 --> 0:13:18.800
<v Speaker 2>I'm wondering what is the point of this whole exercise.

0:13:20.120 --> 0:13:22.920
<v Speaker 10>Yeah, the only car is being overturned here in Boston

0:13:22.960 --> 0:13:27.200
<v Speaker 10>are after one of our pro sports teams wins another championship.

0:13:27.280 --> 0:13:30.480
<v Speaker 10>Maybe some college students get a little liquored up and

0:13:30.600 --> 0:13:32.000
<v Speaker 10>go overboard.

0:13:31.440 --> 0:13:33.640
<v Speaker 2>But yeah, in in there for that.

0:13:33.960 --> 0:13:35.880
<v Speaker 10>I've been watching this. Go ahead, Joe.

0:13:35.920 --> 0:13:39.320
<v Speaker 2>Sorry, no, I've been there for that. You tell me

0:13:39.400 --> 0:13:41.880
<v Speaker 2>what did you see today? You're watching so our viewers

0:13:41.880 --> 0:13:42.920
<v Speaker 2>and listeners didn't have to.

0:13:44.800 --> 0:13:49.840
<v Speaker 10>Yeah, well, I understand why the Republicans wanted to stage

0:13:49.920 --> 0:13:53.120
<v Speaker 10>this hearing. Gives them a chance to crank up the

0:13:53.200 --> 0:13:57.199
<v Speaker 10>video machine, as you just pointed out, which feeds the

0:13:57.240 --> 0:14:01.400
<v Speaker 10>fervor and the fear in their base. And there's no

0:14:01.600 --> 0:14:08.760
<v Speaker 10>question about it. Immigration and lack of controls over immigration,

0:14:08.960 --> 0:14:13.439
<v Speaker 10>lack of a comprehensive plan, has been a winning political

0:14:13.480 --> 0:14:17.040
<v Speaker 10>issue for the Republicans. Donald Trump has refined it to

0:14:17.160 --> 0:14:19.840
<v Speaker 10>an art form, so I get it. But so far,

0:14:20.120 --> 0:14:23.720
<v Speaker 10>the hearing is a huge dud for the Republicans. You

0:14:23.760 --> 0:14:28.600
<v Speaker 10>know the problem is they've all been salivating ever since

0:14:30.800 --> 0:14:34.720
<v Speaker 10>in December of twenty three when they hauled the three

0:14:34.840 --> 0:14:39.840
<v Speaker 10>college presidents before this oversight committee hearing. Remember Claudine Gay

0:14:40.120 --> 0:14:44.240
<v Speaker 10>from Harvard, the presidents of PAAA MIT and they were

0:14:44.400 --> 0:14:48.800
<v Speaker 10>just turned into mincemeat by the panelists. Well, that's not

0:14:49.040 --> 0:14:52.840
<v Speaker 10>what's going on today, because big city mayors are not

0:14:53.720 --> 0:14:57.200
<v Speaker 10>college presidents. With all due respect to the I'm sure

0:14:57.240 --> 0:15:01.960
<v Speaker 10>many college presidents in your audience, Joe, these mayors know

0:15:02.320 --> 0:15:07.240
<v Speaker 10>how to how to engage in a fight, and they

0:15:07.320 --> 0:15:12.120
<v Speaker 10>came ready. But they really haven't been challenged. In particular.

0:15:12.720 --> 0:15:17.760
<v Speaker 10>Mayor Wu, supposedly presiding over this paradise for rapists, has

0:15:17.840 --> 0:15:22.800
<v Speaker 10>yet to be confronted with any specific evidence of any

0:15:22.880 --> 0:15:29.600
<v Speaker 10>kind of malfeasance attributable to Boston's status as a sanctuary city.

0:15:29.640 --> 0:15:34.720
<v Speaker 10>Time and again, the mayors have been patiently explaining to

0:15:34.960 --> 0:15:43.240
<v Speaker 10>frustrated Republicans that if there's an illegal undocumented immigrant who's

0:15:43.320 --> 0:15:47.560
<v Speaker 10>wanted on a violent crime charge and there's a warrant

0:15:48.120 --> 0:15:52.480
<v Speaker 10>over to ice, they go, no problem, no questions asked,

0:15:52.760 --> 0:15:55.600
<v Speaker 10>and they haven't been able to refute it so so far.

0:15:56.080 --> 0:16:02.280
<v Speaker 10>It's democratic mayors, ten Republicans on the Oversight Committee zero

0:16:02.440 --> 0:16:03.840
<v Speaker 10>and we're only in the third thing.

0:16:04.840 --> 0:16:06.720
<v Speaker 2>All right, Well, let's get a taste of this because

0:16:06.720 --> 0:16:09.480
<v Speaker 2>to your point, John, Michelle wou did come armed with

0:16:09.560 --> 0:16:12.160
<v Speaker 2>actual data when it came to crime rates in the city.

0:16:12.240 --> 0:16:18.280
<v Speaker 11>Let's listen, this federal administration is making hard working, tax paying,

0:16:18.680 --> 0:16:24.520
<v Speaker 11>god fearing residents afraid to live their lives. A city

0:16:24.560 --> 0:16:28.600
<v Speaker 11>that's scared is not a city that's safe. A land

0:16:28.800 --> 0:16:32.720
<v Speaker 11>ruled by fear is not the land of the free.

0:16:32.800 --> 0:16:36.360
<v Speaker 11>Next month, Boston will celebrate two hundred and fifty years

0:16:36.720 --> 0:16:40.200
<v Speaker 11>of our nation's freedom. And in every one of those years,

0:16:40.680 --> 0:16:43.080
<v Speaker 11>Boston has welcomed the world to our shores.

0:16:45.200 --> 0:16:47.560
<v Speaker 2>John. She went on to say that each year she's

0:16:47.600 --> 0:16:51.600
<v Speaker 2>been in office, the murder rate has declined in the

0:16:51.600 --> 0:16:54.520
<v Speaker 2>city of Boston. She came packed with data that argued

0:16:54.560 --> 0:16:57.960
<v Speaker 2>with what some of the Republican committee members were saying.

0:16:58.000 --> 0:17:00.960
<v Speaker 2>I'm curious how this is playing at home, because all

0:17:01.040 --> 0:17:03.920
<v Speaker 2>of these Democratic mayors have one thing in common. They

0:17:03.960 --> 0:17:06.119
<v Speaker 2>held news conferences before they left, and they got a

0:17:06.119 --> 0:17:08.720
<v Speaker 2>lot of local coverage, and most of it was positive.

0:17:08.800 --> 0:17:09.800
<v Speaker 2>Is that the case in Boston?

0:17:11.359 --> 0:17:15.480
<v Speaker 10>Well, I mean as far as today's hearing goes, remains

0:17:15.480 --> 0:17:19.280
<v Speaker 10>to be seen. But I'm going to be commenting on

0:17:19.320 --> 0:17:21.760
<v Speaker 10>this later on our local news, and I guarantee you

0:17:21.840 --> 0:17:24.320
<v Speaker 10>I'm going to give her a good review. And you know,

0:17:24.359 --> 0:17:27.040
<v Speaker 10>I've had my dust ups with Mayor Woo in the past.

0:17:27.080 --> 0:17:30.600
<v Speaker 10>I'm sure we'll have others in the future. But she's

0:17:30.680 --> 0:17:33.320
<v Speaker 10>handling this very well. I mean a tip of the

0:17:33.359 --> 0:17:36.439
<v Speaker 10>cap to the Boston Police Department. They've been doing a

0:17:36.480 --> 0:17:39.399
<v Speaker 10>great job and it shows up in the crime stats,

0:17:39.440 --> 0:17:42.600
<v Speaker 10>which is some of the best for a major American city.

0:17:43.000 --> 0:17:46.560
<v Speaker 10>So there's really no they're there for the Republicans on

0:17:46.600 --> 0:17:51.480
<v Speaker 10>this panel to get a grip on. And I also

0:17:51.680 --> 0:17:54.719
<v Speaker 10>think Jonah this has been kind of interesting. She's the

0:17:54.760 --> 0:17:58.959
<v Speaker 10>only woman on a panel for mayors. They seem reluctant

0:17:59.000 --> 0:18:02.240
<v Speaker 10>to go after her. You know, it's Ash Wednesday. She's

0:18:02.240 --> 0:18:06.080
<v Speaker 10>got the Ash cross on her forehead. And while she's

0:18:06.160 --> 0:18:09.560
<v Speaker 10>generally a sort of a soft spoken person, she has

0:18:09.680 --> 0:18:13.880
<v Speaker 10>come prepared. Her Her body language is good, her voice

0:18:14.320 --> 0:18:18.639
<v Speaker 10>quality is calm, or demeanor is calm and composed. But

0:18:18.960 --> 0:18:20.960
<v Speaker 10>as you heard in that bite, she's got a little

0:18:21.000 --> 0:18:25.200
<v Speaker 10>aggressive with her criticism of the Republican policies. One of

0:18:25.280 --> 0:18:28.719
<v Speaker 10>the quick things Joe. In the run up to this,

0:18:29.359 --> 0:18:32.920
<v Speaker 10>Mayor Wu and local advocates been making a big issue

0:18:32.920 --> 0:18:37.919
<v Speaker 10>of the impact of the deportations and the ice, the

0:18:38.280 --> 0:18:43.600
<v Speaker 10>increased ice activity on local businesses. Businesses that cater to

0:18:43.640 --> 0:18:49.359
<v Speaker 10>the immigrant community's restaurants, pizza joints, you name it. These

0:18:49.480 --> 0:18:54.680
<v Speaker 10>places are struggling. They're deserted because many immigrants are afraid

0:18:54.720 --> 0:18:58.920
<v Speaker 10>to go out. So I know you've interviewed the US

0:18:59.040 --> 0:19:02.760
<v Speaker 10>Chamber of Commerceville so many times about their concerns about

0:19:02.800 --> 0:19:06.560
<v Speaker 10>mass deportation. I thought I heard James Comer, the chairman

0:19:06.640 --> 0:19:08.719
<v Speaker 10>of this committee, at one point say, oh, well, there

0:19:08.800 --> 0:19:12.560
<v Speaker 10>is no mass deportation. Maybe I misheard that, but if

0:19:12.560 --> 0:19:15.760
<v Speaker 10>he did say it, maybe that indicates a rising level

0:19:15.800 --> 0:19:20.080
<v Speaker 10>of concern in Republican circles about how all this is playing,

0:19:20.320 --> 0:19:22.639
<v Speaker 10>at least within the business community.

0:19:23.680 --> 0:19:26.399
<v Speaker 2>Spending time with John Keller on Balance of Powerful only

0:19:26.440 --> 0:19:27.720
<v Speaker 2>got a couple of minutes left. John, I want to

0:19:27.720 --> 0:19:29.800
<v Speaker 2>ask you about what appears to be that the dust

0:19:29.840 --> 0:19:32.080
<v Speaker 2>up locally. You can tell me. Josh Kraft, who's of

0:19:32.119 --> 0:19:37.560
<v Speaker 2>course challenging Michelle Wou was tweeting on X do we

0:19:37.600 --> 0:19:40.159
<v Speaker 2>need to spend six hundred and fifty thousand dollars a

0:19:40.240 --> 0:19:43.960
<v Speaker 2>taxpayer funds on a show trial hearing. There's a story

0:19:44.400 --> 0:19:47.320
<v Speaker 2>that she spent as much money on an outside law

0:19:47.359 --> 0:19:49.439
<v Speaker 2>firm to prepare for this. Is that true and what

0:19:49.480 --> 0:19:50.199
<v Speaker 2>do you know about it?

0:19:50.920 --> 0:19:55.000
<v Speaker 10>Apparently it's true. Nine hundred dollars an hour this law

0:19:55.040 --> 0:19:58.480
<v Speaker 10>firm charges, And of course my immediate reaction, Joe, was

0:19:58.840 --> 0:19:59.760
<v Speaker 10>what am I doing in this?

0:20:01.440 --> 0:20:02.159
<v Speaker 2>No kidding?

0:20:02.200 --> 0:20:05.879
<v Speaker 10>Why didn't I get into that racket? But while the

0:20:06.040 --> 0:20:09.320
<v Speaker 10>six hundred and fifty thousand dollars figure, which was confirmed

0:20:09.400 --> 0:20:12.280
<v Speaker 10>by the city that they've spent in six weeks of

0:20:12.359 --> 0:20:18.159
<v Speaker 10>prep for today's hearing is an eye popping figure, it

0:20:18.400 --> 0:20:21.480
<v Speaker 10>sort of looks so far like money well spent. As

0:20:21.520 --> 0:20:24.560
<v Speaker 10>I say, Mayor Wu is knocking it out of the park.

0:20:25.320 --> 0:20:28.680
<v Speaker 10>We put in a call for comment to Josh Kraft

0:20:28.800 --> 0:20:33.119
<v Speaker 10>to who's her most significant challenger so far, it'd be

0:20:33.119 --> 0:20:36.040
<v Speaker 10>interesting to see if he even wants to talk about it.

0:20:36.080 --> 0:20:38.120
<v Speaker 10>That's how well it's going for Michelle Wu.

0:20:39.640 --> 0:20:41.800
<v Speaker 2>Amazing, I've only got a minute left, John, you're going

0:20:41.840 --> 0:20:43.520
<v Speaker 2>to be talking about I know you're already writing about

0:20:43.520 --> 0:20:46.040
<v Speaker 2>it on the website. The big speech last night. Was

0:20:46.040 --> 0:20:48.960
<v Speaker 2>that a win for Donald Trump? We saw a number

0:20:49.000 --> 0:20:53.800
<v Speaker 2>of folks recoil from the Democratic delegation in Massachusetts. I

0:20:53.840 --> 0:20:55.879
<v Speaker 2>believe it was Jim McGovern said he would rather have

0:20:55.960 --> 0:20:57.840
<v Speaker 2>needles in his eyeballs than sit through that.

0:21:00.200 --> 0:21:02.359
<v Speaker 10>I'm sure that could be arranged if he wants to

0:21:02.440 --> 0:21:09.159
<v Speaker 10>talk to Tom Holman's the ice guy. But you know

0:21:09.359 --> 0:21:13.119
<v Speaker 10>it was it was a win in the sense of,

0:21:13.520 --> 0:21:20.360
<v Speaker 10>you're basically speaking uncontested. You know, the cutaways of Democrats

0:21:20.359 --> 0:21:23.680
<v Speaker 10>holding up lame little signs. That's not going to move

0:21:23.720 --> 0:21:27.960
<v Speaker 10>the needle for them. So the Trump basse, I'm sure

0:21:28.080 --> 0:21:29.800
<v Speaker 10>loved it. Catnet for them.

0:21:30.920 --> 0:21:32.600
<v Speaker 2>I don't think it hurts the.

0:21:32.520 --> 0:21:35.320
<v Speaker 10>Democratic bait to get a full.

0:21:37.160 --> 0:21:40.480
<v Speaker 2>Of the Trump is now a political rally apparently. Hey John,

0:21:40.480 --> 0:21:42.880
<v Speaker 2>thank you as always the great John Keller, a great

0:21:42.920 --> 0:21:45.840
<v Speaker 2>friend of the program. Keller at Large Busy in Boston

0:21:45.880 --> 0:21:48.640
<v Speaker 2>will keep tabs on the hearing for you and assimilar panel. Next,

0:21:48.640 --> 0:21:49.360
<v Speaker 2>This is Bloomberg.

0:21:52.680 --> 0:21:56.160
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Balance of Power podcast. Catch

0:21:56.240 --> 0:21:59.280
<v Speaker 1>us live weekdays at noon and five pm Eastern on

0:21:59.400 --> 0:22:02.480
<v Speaker 1>Half o'cock and Android Otto with the Bloomberg Business Up.

0:22:02.800 --> 0:22:06.040
<v Speaker 1>Listen on demand wherever you get your podcasts or watch

0:22:06.119 --> 0:22:08.639
<v Speaker 1>us live on YouTube.

0:22:09.160 --> 0:22:12.320
<v Speaker 2>Looks like we have breaking news on this matter, Kayley,

0:22:12.440 --> 0:22:15.199
<v Speaker 2>and look no further than truth social Donald Trump so

0:22:15.240 --> 0:22:18.040
<v Speaker 2>frequently making the announcement on social media, why hold an event?

0:22:18.200 --> 0:22:20.640
<v Speaker 2>Justin Trudeau of Canada called me to ask what could

0:22:20.680 --> 0:22:22.520
<v Speaker 2>be done about tariffs. I told him many people have

0:22:22.560 --> 0:22:25.760
<v Speaker 2>died from fentanyl came through the borders of Canada and Mexico,

0:22:26.680 --> 0:22:29.000
<v Speaker 2>and nothing has convinced me that it has stopped. Is

0:22:29.040 --> 0:22:31.199
<v Speaker 2>this good news, Kayley? He said it's gotten better, but

0:22:31.240 --> 0:22:33.639
<v Speaker 2>I said that's not good enough, calling it in a

0:22:33.760 --> 0:22:37.080
<v Speaker 2>somewhat friendly manner, unable to tell them when the Canadian

0:22:37.119 --> 0:22:40.240
<v Speaker 2>election is taking place, which made me curious, like what's

0:22:40.320 --> 0:22:42.680
<v Speaker 2>going on here the president of the United States rights

0:22:43.600 --> 0:22:45.560
<v Speaker 2>I then realized he is trying to use this issue

0:22:45.560 --> 0:22:50.000
<v Speaker 2>to stay in power. Good luck justin exclamation point. Tariff's

0:22:50.000 --> 0:22:50.400
<v Speaker 2>still on?

0:22:51.200 --> 0:22:53.560
<v Speaker 12>Well, it would seem so. At least there's very little

0:22:53.560 --> 0:22:56.520
<v Speaker 12>suggestion in this post that tariffs are off. As he said,

0:22:56.520 --> 0:22:58.399
<v Speaker 12>what he has seen from Canada to this point on

0:22:58.440 --> 0:23:02.000
<v Speaker 12>fentanyl is not good enough. Leaving the domestic Canadian politics aside,

0:23:02.000 --> 0:23:04.960
<v Speaker 12>we should point out that Prime Minister Trudeau has said

0:23:05.000 --> 0:23:07.199
<v Speaker 12>he is stepping down. There is no indication for him

0:23:07.240 --> 0:23:09.440
<v Speaker 12>that he actually is changing his mind about that, trying

0:23:09.480 --> 0:23:12.720
<v Speaker 12>to remain in his position. But on the fentanyl issue

0:23:12.720 --> 0:23:16.399
<v Speaker 12>specifically is and this is fitting with the framing this

0:23:16.440 --> 0:23:19.080
<v Speaker 12>administration has put out there that this is about a

0:23:19.119 --> 0:23:21.440
<v Speaker 12>drug war, not a trade war. This is what the

0:23:21.480 --> 0:23:23.679
<v Speaker 12>Commerce Secretary was alluding to. What they're trying to do

0:23:23.760 --> 0:23:25.920
<v Speaker 12>right now, they say is actually just dem the flow

0:23:25.960 --> 0:23:29.200
<v Speaker 12>of fentanyl. The real trade war starts what less than

0:23:29.200 --> 0:23:32.040
<v Speaker 12>four weeks from now on April second, when reciprocal tariffs

0:23:32.040 --> 0:23:32.400
<v Speaker 12>go it.

0:23:32.359 --> 0:23:35.000
<v Speaker 2>If they go into place, If yes? What are the

0:23:35.000 --> 0:23:38.639
<v Speaker 2>panel thinks about this? Rick Davis and Genie Shanzino are

0:23:38.680 --> 0:23:41.399
<v Speaker 2>whether this Bloomberg Politics contributors our signature panel. They were

0:23:41.440 --> 0:23:43.359
<v Speaker 2>up all night with us as well listening to and

0:23:43.400 --> 0:23:47.320
<v Speaker 2>watching this address. He of course partner at Stoneport Capital,

0:23:47.320 --> 0:23:51.000
<v Speaker 2>at Republican Strategists, genius political science professor at Iona University

0:23:51.640 --> 0:23:54.600
<v Speaker 2>or democratic analyst, Rick, What do you think about this

0:23:54.880 --> 0:23:59.080
<v Speaker 2>update here? Can we assume based on this anecdotal a

0:23:59.160 --> 0:24:01.320
<v Speaker 2>post by Donald Trump at the tariffs will stick?

0:24:03.800 --> 0:24:04.000
<v Speaker 10>Yeah?

0:24:04.080 --> 0:24:07.040
<v Speaker 7>I think so until they don't stick. Look, I mean

0:24:07.080 --> 0:24:09.359
<v Speaker 7>we need to understand Donald Trump sees tariffs as a

0:24:09.400 --> 0:24:14.000
<v Speaker 7>tactic strategy is to you know, make America rich again,

0:24:14.280 --> 0:24:16.879
<v Speaker 7>and tariffs are a component of that and probably the

0:24:16.880 --> 0:24:18.439
<v Speaker 7>component he loves to talk about most.

0:24:18.800 --> 0:24:20.520
<v Speaker 2>But he's he's like a day trader.

0:24:21.200 --> 0:24:22.800
<v Speaker 7>You know, let's put the tariffs on today, We'll take

0:24:22.840 --> 0:24:26.160
<v Speaker 7>him off tomorrow and put him back on a day later. Frankly,

0:24:26.240 --> 0:24:31.400
<v Speaker 7>much like his handling of the Ukrainian War. Well, we're

0:24:31.440 --> 0:24:33.040
<v Speaker 7>going to find a deal we can do, and then

0:24:33.040 --> 0:24:34.960
<v Speaker 7>once we do that deal, we'll have some talks about

0:24:34.960 --> 0:24:35.760
<v Speaker 7>peace treaties.

0:24:36.560 --> 0:24:36.800
<v Speaker 4>You know.

0:24:36.880 --> 0:24:40.119
<v Speaker 7>It's it's very transactional. It's that you know, sort of

0:24:40.200 --> 0:24:43.680
<v Speaker 7>mercantile government that we've been talking about since day one

0:24:43.680 --> 0:24:46.880
<v Speaker 7>of his administration. So it shouldn't surprise anybody that he's

0:24:46.920 --> 0:24:50.439
<v Speaker 7>going to adjust these things. But remember he put these

0:24:50.520 --> 0:24:55.240
<v Speaker 7>tariffs against China and other trading partners together in the

0:24:55.240 --> 0:24:57.760
<v Speaker 7>beginning of his administration and many of those are still

0:24:57.760 --> 0:25:01.000
<v Speaker 7>in place today. So I we have no doubt his

0:25:01.119 --> 0:25:04.639
<v Speaker 7>long term plan is to use tariffs to bring in

0:25:04.720 --> 0:25:09.280
<v Speaker 7>revenue to the treasury of the United States, and that's

0:25:09.320 --> 0:25:11.600
<v Speaker 7>not going to change anything. Just who they're applied to

0:25:12.640 --> 0:25:16.920
<v Speaker 7>will be somewhat subjective and how high and how long

0:25:17.000 --> 0:25:20.920
<v Speaker 7>they last is completely at his whim.

0:25:21.320 --> 0:25:23.520
<v Speaker 12>Well, speaking of his whims, he has decided to post

0:25:23.520 --> 0:25:25.840
<v Speaker 12>for a second time on truth Social in just as

0:25:25.880 --> 0:25:29.199
<v Speaker 12>many minutes. The President now saying, for anyone who is interested,

0:25:29.280 --> 0:25:31.919
<v Speaker 12>I also told Governor Justin Trudeau of Canada that he

0:25:32.080 --> 0:25:34.840
<v Speaker 12>largely caused the problems we have with them because of

0:25:34.880 --> 0:25:37.800
<v Speaker 12>his weak border policies. He goes on to say that

0:25:37.800 --> 0:25:40.720
<v Speaker 12>allowed tremendous amounts of fentanyl and illegal aliens to pour

0:25:40.760 --> 0:25:43.800
<v Speaker 12>into the United States. These policies are responsible for the

0:25:43.840 --> 0:25:47.080
<v Speaker 12>deaths of many people. Genie, A few things here won

0:25:47.200 --> 0:25:49.080
<v Speaker 12>last night and his address to a joint session, he

0:25:49.119 --> 0:25:53.000
<v Speaker 12>actually was talking about Joe Biden, his predecessor's border policies,

0:25:53.040 --> 0:25:55.200
<v Speaker 12>as being really what is that issue here? Also, when

0:25:55.200 --> 0:25:58.639
<v Speaker 12>we're considering fentanyl specifically from Canada, as we've repeatedly reminded

0:25:58.640 --> 0:26:02.119
<v Speaker 12>our audience, forty three pounds a fentanyl across the northern

0:26:02.160 --> 0:26:06.120
<v Speaker 12>border last year according to US data, is it actually

0:26:06.160 --> 0:26:08.639
<v Speaker 12>possible for Canada to get that down to zero? Is

0:26:08.640 --> 0:26:10.360
<v Speaker 12>that what it's actually going to take here?

0:26:12.440 --> 0:26:16.080
<v Speaker 6>It is a made up issue, as we know when

0:26:16.080 --> 0:26:18.520
<v Speaker 6>we look at the numbers of fentanyl coming from Canada,

0:26:19.000 --> 0:26:21.639
<v Speaker 6>and you know, Rick was just saying he's using it

0:26:21.680 --> 0:26:24.719
<v Speaker 6>as a negotiating tactic. We've heard that he's using it

0:26:24.760 --> 0:26:27.520
<v Speaker 6>to get money for the treasury. We've heard that he's

0:26:27.600 --> 0:26:30.600
<v Speaker 6>using it because of drugs. We've heard that the problem

0:26:30.720 --> 0:26:34.200
<v Speaker 6>is there is no clear reason he is given why

0:26:34.240 --> 0:26:37.000
<v Speaker 6>Americans should go through the pain that they will feel

0:26:37.040 --> 0:26:40.240
<v Speaker 6>if he keeps this up. As he was talking about

0:26:40.320 --> 0:26:42.400
<v Speaker 6>last night, there's going to be a disturbance. How much

0:26:42.400 --> 0:26:45.080
<v Speaker 6>of a disturbance, how much pain for how long? He

0:26:45.119 --> 0:26:47.640
<v Speaker 6>also noted after that that we can take it? Who

0:26:47.720 --> 0:26:50.280
<v Speaker 6>is we the wealthy? Can people on the ground take

0:26:50.320 --> 0:26:52.840
<v Speaker 6>it when they go to the grocery store. The truth

0:26:53.000 --> 0:26:56.120
<v Speaker 6>is he is acting like a bully. He has been

0:26:56.160 --> 0:26:58.920
<v Speaker 6>doing it to Ukraine, He's now doing it to Canada,

0:26:59.160 --> 0:27:02.520
<v Speaker 6>to our closest down Mexico. When we were in kindergarten,

0:27:02.560 --> 0:27:05.639
<v Speaker 6>we learned that bullies bully because they are weak. He

0:27:05.760 --> 0:27:08.120
<v Speaker 6>is making himself look weak, He is making the US

0:27:08.200 --> 0:27:11.679
<v Speaker 6>look weak, and he's hurting the market and potentially the

0:27:11.680 --> 0:27:14.920
<v Speaker 6>economy long term if he keeps this up. And when

0:27:14.920 --> 0:27:16.800
<v Speaker 6>we talk about what he did in the first term

0:27:16.840 --> 0:27:20.320
<v Speaker 6>on China, those were targeted tariffs and guess what, they

0:27:20.400 --> 0:27:23.000
<v Speaker 6>hurt farmers so much we had to bail them out.

0:27:23.520 --> 0:27:27.359
<v Speaker 6>This is a bad policy. We've known that for decades.

0:27:27.720 --> 0:27:29.760
<v Speaker 6>We don't know why he is so committed to it,

0:27:29.840 --> 0:27:33.480
<v Speaker 6>but he seems to be despite everything. Howard Luttink keeps

0:27:33.520 --> 0:27:34.840
<v Speaker 6>going on the air and saying.

0:27:35.760 --> 0:27:38.119
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, Donald Trump said last night, Rick, there'll be a

0:27:38.119 --> 0:27:43.760
<v Speaker 2>little disturbance, but we're okay with that. It won't be much. Well,

0:27:43.760 --> 0:27:46.159
<v Speaker 2>he regrets saying those words. They've got to be saving

0:27:46.240 --> 0:27:47.720
<v Speaker 2>that for a campaign at already.

0:27:49.080 --> 0:27:49.280
<v Speaker 6>Yeah.

0:27:49.320 --> 0:27:52.320
<v Speaker 7>First of all, he's not running again, so they can

0:27:52.400 --> 0:27:55.080
<v Speaker 7>run all the campaign as they want, maybe against Jade Vans,

0:27:55.160 --> 0:27:58.600
<v Speaker 7>but you know, he's he's not on a ballot again,

0:27:58.720 --> 0:28:01.639
<v Speaker 7>and so I think that gives him a little bit

0:28:01.640 --> 0:28:06.760
<v Speaker 7>more flexibility. Secondarily, I'm a little surprised he's actually hedging

0:28:06.760 --> 0:28:09.280
<v Speaker 7>a little bit because typically he would just say how

0:28:09.280 --> 0:28:11.919
<v Speaker 7>great this was going to be and how richet was

0:28:11.960 --> 0:28:15.760
<v Speaker 7>going to make America, and he wouldn't even consider the

0:28:15.960 --> 0:28:21.440
<v Speaker 7>negative impact on certain communities, farmers and manufacturers and others.

0:28:21.119 --> 0:28:22.840
<v Speaker 2>Who would be hit by these surpluses.

0:28:22.880 --> 0:28:25.399
<v Speaker 7>But remember, too, he looks at the big picture and

0:28:25.440 --> 0:28:27.600
<v Speaker 7>he says, look, we've got one hundred billion dollar trade

0:28:29.640 --> 0:28:32.800
<v Speaker 7>imbalance with Canada. That's what he's trying to get at.

0:28:32.840 --> 0:28:35.280
<v Speaker 7>He wants to have parody, and we'll see when we

0:28:35.280 --> 0:28:38.920
<v Speaker 7>get to April. April second, because April first, according to

0:28:39.000 --> 0:28:42.400
<v Speaker 7>Donald Trump, he's worried. You might be thinking he's kidding.

0:28:42.880 --> 0:28:46.280
<v Speaker 7>And when the reciprocity's hit on top of whatever he's

0:28:46.280 --> 0:28:52.920
<v Speaker 7>got outstanding by then on these trade issues, it's going

0:28:53.000 --> 0:28:55.960
<v Speaker 7>to be even more significant. So I think we're only

0:28:56.000 --> 0:28:59.240
<v Speaker 7>digging into the very first skirmish of this trade war

0:28:59.280 --> 0:29:02.320
<v Speaker 7>with Canada and Mexico and other nations around the world.

0:29:03.800 --> 0:29:06.480
<v Speaker 12>Well, certainly that is the signal, at least at this point.

0:29:06.560 --> 0:29:09.640
<v Speaker 12>He is not suggesting he's taking his foot off the gas,

0:29:09.640 --> 0:29:12.959
<v Speaker 12>but perhaps pressing it down harder as we barrel toward April.

0:29:12.960 --> 0:29:14.920
<v Speaker 12>In the laundry List Genie of tariffs, he says he

0:29:14.960 --> 0:29:18.240
<v Speaker 12>will be implementing next month. To Rick's point, though, on

0:29:18.280 --> 0:29:20.719
<v Speaker 12>the idea that Donald Trump the president may be hedging

0:29:20.760 --> 0:29:23.760
<v Speaker 12>here around the idea that yes, we could actually see

0:29:23.800 --> 0:29:27.640
<v Speaker 12>some economic impact from this, do you think that's reflective

0:29:27.680 --> 0:29:30.520
<v Speaker 12>of what he's seeing in the stock market. What economic

0:29:30.600 --> 0:29:33.880
<v Speaker 12>data is suggesting is that a hint that he is

0:29:33.920 --> 0:29:34.880
<v Speaker 12>paying attention to that.

0:29:35.800 --> 0:29:38.040
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, I think there's no doubt he's seen, just as

0:29:38.080 --> 0:29:39.960
<v Speaker 6>we all have, what's happened in the markets the last

0:29:39.960 --> 0:29:42.120
<v Speaker 6>two days. There was just a study out gen z

0:29:42.400 --> 0:29:45.840
<v Speaker 6>Men of fourteen points down in terms of support for

0:29:45.960 --> 0:29:48.400
<v Speaker 6>what the president is doing in the last forty three

0:29:48.480 --> 0:29:51.440
<v Speaker 6>days on inflation and the cost of living. So he

0:29:51.560 --> 0:29:54.920
<v Speaker 6>is seeing all of these signs. The reality is, if

0:29:54.960 --> 0:29:58.520
<v Speaker 6>he keeps this up, this is a self inflicted wound.

0:29:58.800 --> 0:30:02.560
<v Speaker 6>He may find himself as the first president to deliberately

0:30:02.920 --> 0:30:07.400
<v Speaker 6>engineer a severe depression or recession in the United States.

0:30:07.720 --> 0:30:11.440
<v Speaker 6>Normally we see these things and they are not self inflicted.

0:30:11.800 --> 0:30:14.960
<v Speaker 6>And that is the question. Why is he so committed

0:30:15.000 --> 0:30:17.720
<v Speaker 6>to this? What does he want to get out of it?

0:30:18.080 --> 0:30:21.560
<v Speaker 6>And again he's not telling American people if we're going

0:30:21.600 --> 0:30:23.520
<v Speaker 6>to feel pain, which we will if he keeps this

0:30:23.640 --> 0:30:25.040
<v Speaker 6>up to what end?

0:30:25.440 --> 0:30:26.440
<v Speaker 5>What is the end of this?

0:30:26.600 --> 0:30:27.400
<v Speaker 12>What does he want?

0:30:27.760 --> 0:30:31.160
<v Speaker 6>Lowering a fentanyl coming across the border from Canada when

0:30:31.200 --> 0:30:33.440
<v Speaker 6>it's already pretty much as low as it can go.

0:30:34.040 --> 0:30:36.760
<v Speaker 6>That doesn't add up and it doesn't make any sense.

0:30:36.800 --> 0:30:39.800
<v Speaker 6>So if he's just being a bully, that is not enough.

0:30:39.880 --> 0:30:42.760
<v Speaker 6>So you know, there's so many questions here, and this

0:30:42.920 --> 0:30:46.800
<v Speaker 6>is detrimental to the economy, to the market, and quite frankly,

0:30:46.960 --> 0:30:49.480
<v Speaker 6>to the GOP if he keeps it up long term.

0:30:49.520 --> 0:30:51.800
<v Speaker 6>Even as Rick says, he's right, he's not running again,

0:30:52.040 --> 0:30:53.960
<v Speaker 6>but gosh, I hope he's not just going to destroy

0:30:54.000 --> 0:30:56.800
<v Speaker 6>the economy because he doesn't care that he's not running again.

0:30:57.880 --> 0:30:59.760
<v Speaker 2>Well, what do you make of the mixed message between

0:30:59.760 --> 0:31:02.440
<v Speaker 2>the President in the Commerce Secretary of the last twenty

0:31:02.440 --> 0:31:04.880
<v Speaker 2>four hours, Rick Howard Lutnik has done, I believe, four

0:31:04.920 --> 0:31:10.680
<v Speaker 2>broadcast interviews essentially contradicting what Donald Trump is saying about tariffs.

0:31:10.720 --> 0:31:12.520
<v Speaker 2>Is this a good cop bad cop thing? In our

0:31:12.560 --> 0:31:14.480
<v Speaker 2>remaining minute? Could be.

0:31:14.960 --> 0:31:16.840
<v Speaker 7>They're very close. They talk all the time from what

0:31:16.880 --> 0:31:20.600
<v Speaker 7>I hear, and I think that Donald Trump probably is

0:31:21.040 --> 0:31:25.840
<v Speaker 7>getting him to lay down a message that either he

0:31:25.960 --> 0:31:28.960
<v Speaker 7>can use in his negotiations with the heads of state

0:31:29.600 --> 0:31:33.880
<v Speaker 7>that he's dealing with, or even try to keep the

0:31:33.960 --> 0:31:37.080
<v Speaker 7>markets tame for the period of time that he's trying

0:31:37.080 --> 0:31:40.080
<v Speaker 7>to figure out what he wants to do with these adjustments.

0:31:40.120 --> 0:31:43.000
<v Speaker 7>So yeah, I think it's a good tactic. I mean,

0:31:43.200 --> 0:31:46.880
<v Speaker 7>everyone's talking about him today and everyone's scratching her head

0:31:46.920 --> 0:31:49.160
<v Speaker 7>last night. He's sort of keeping that going today with

0:31:49.240 --> 0:31:54.440
<v Speaker 7>these changes. So stand by.

0:31:53.920 --> 0:31:56.320
<v Speaker 12>We always are, Rick Davis and Jeanie Shanzy and our

0:31:56.360 --> 0:31:58.880
<v Speaker 12>signature political panel. Thank you so much. And on that note,

0:31:58.920 --> 0:32:00.680
<v Speaker 12>we are standing by for the beginning of the White

0:32:00.680 --> 0:32:04.680
<v Speaker 12>House News conference with the Press Secretary Caroline Levitz lated

0:32:04.680 --> 0:32:06.239
<v Speaker 12>to begin this hour. We'll see if we get some

0:32:06.280 --> 0:32:08.680
<v Speaker 12>clarity from her, and we'll have more ahead here on

0:32:08.680 --> 0:32:10.280
<v Speaker 12>Bloomberg TV and radio.

0:32:12.440 --> 0:32:15.920
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Balance of Power podcasts. Catch

0:32:16.000 --> 0:32:19.080
<v Speaker 1>us live weekdays at noon and five pm Eastern on

0:32:19.160 --> 0:32:22.400
<v Speaker 1>Apple Cocklay and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business App.

0:32:22.480 --> 0:32:25.480
<v Speaker 1>You can also listen live on Amazon Alexa from our

0:32:25.520 --> 0:32:31.680
<v Speaker 1>flagship New York station, Just say Alexa, play Bloomberg eleven thirty.

0:32:31.480 --> 0:32:33.920
<v Speaker 2>As we cover politics here in the nation's capital. Thanks

0:32:33.960 --> 0:32:35.800
<v Speaker 2>for being with us on the Wednesday edition of Ballots

0:32:35.800 --> 0:32:39.040
<v Speaker 2>of Power, Unpacking Donald Trump's speech from last night, Waiting

0:32:39.080 --> 0:32:43.280
<v Speaker 2>potentially for news on tariffs today, and with regard to that, Kaylie,

0:32:43.280 --> 0:32:46.400
<v Speaker 2>we've been talking so much about Canada and Mexico, China

0:32:47.120 --> 0:32:50.240
<v Speaker 2>also has tariffs that are not getting that much debate.

0:32:50.320 --> 0:32:53.960
<v Speaker 2>Actually retaliatory tariffs have been announced from Beijing, and these

0:32:54.120 --> 0:32:57.200
<v Speaker 2>appear to be here to stay. It's a completely separate

0:32:57.200 --> 0:33:00.760
<v Speaker 2>conversation from the so called drug war that we're hearing

0:33:00.800 --> 0:33:03.560
<v Speaker 2>the administration described with our two neighbors, although.

0:33:03.280 --> 0:33:05.479
<v Speaker 12>They do blame fentanyl for this as well, saying right,

0:33:05.480 --> 0:33:07.800
<v Speaker 12>they're not seeing enough progress from China and stemming the

0:33:07.800 --> 0:33:10.520
<v Speaker 12>flow of the ingredients to places like Canada and Mexico

0:33:10.560 --> 0:33:13.760
<v Speaker 12>where it then crosses the border into the United States.

0:33:14.160 --> 0:33:17.200
<v Speaker 12>And yes, twenty percent levies are intact, and there is

0:33:17.280 --> 0:33:20.080
<v Speaker 12>no conversation at least at this time from the administration

0:33:20.160 --> 0:33:23.479
<v Speaker 12>suggesting there may be a pullback or rethinking of that

0:33:23.560 --> 0:33:25.560
<v Speaker 12>as we're hearing today about Mexico.

0:33:25.200 --> 0:33:27.120
<v Speaker 2>And Canada, or rethink when it comes to fentanyl, or

0:33:27.160 --> 0:33:29.320
<v Speaker 2>rethink when it comes to Taiwan, or maybe a rethink

0:33:29.360 --> 0:33:31.400
<v Speaker 2>when it comes to cyber Kaylee. There was a really

0:33:31.400 --> 0:33:35.440
<v Speaker 2>important hearing that took place earlier today on Capitol Hill,

0:33:35.880 --> 0:33:38.880
<v Speaker 2>the China Select Committee, and a hearing that would otherwise

0:33:40.000 --> 0:33:42.080
<v Speaker 2>potentially be drowned out by so many of the other

0:33:42.120 --> 0:33:45.920
<v Speaker 2>headlines that are happening here today and the typhoons. The

0:33:46.000 --> 0:33:49.040
<v Speaker 2>name of the hearing, how to deter aging cyber actions

0:33:49.040 --> 0:33:53.360
<v Speaker 2>and enhance America's lackluster cyber defenses. Salt typhoon, of course,

0:33:53.680 --> 0:33:56.520
<v Speaker 2>what they're referring to here, and what is a concerted

0:33:56.600 --> 0:33:57.920
<v Speaker 2>threat against America?

0:33:57.960 --> 0:33:59.720
<v Speaker 12>And we're lucky to be joined now by someone who

0:33:59.800 --> 0:34:03.000
<v Speaker 12>is fresh off of testifying before the committee in that hearing.

0:34:03.080 --> 0:34:05.200
<v Speaker 12>Laura Glante is with us. She is former director of

0:34:05.240 --> 0:34:08.359
<v Speaker 12>the Cyber Threat Intelligence Integration Center and is here with

0:34:08.440 --> 0:34:10.920
<v Speaker 12>us in our Washington, d C. Studio. Welcome to Balance

0:34:10.960 --> 0:34:13.680
<v Speaker 12>of Power, Laura. It's nice to have you. Obviously you

0:34:13.719 --> 0:34:16.160
<v Speaker 12>already have answered a lot of questions today, but we

0:34:16.200 --> 0:34:18.759
<v Speaker 12>have a few more for you, specifically when it comes

0:34:18.760 --> 0:34:22.399
<v Speaker 12>to countering China specifically, what is the most effective way

0:34:22.440 --> 0:34:25.040
<v Speaker 12>to do that and does it actually involve having to

0:34:25.040 --> 0:34:27.479
<v Speaker 12>play the game and hacking them right back? What would

0:34:27.480 --> 0:34:27.920
<v Speaker 12>that look like?

0:34:28.560 --> 0:34:32.480
<v Speaker 13>You have to use the different lovers of state power, diplomatic,

0:34:32.640 --> 0:34:38.200
<v Speaker 13>military sanctions, economic punitive measures in order to get across

0:34:38.440 --> 0:34:41.960
<v Speaker 13>China that we are not an acceptable target for hacking.

0:34:42.239 --> 0:34:46.000
<v Speaker 13>Our critical infrastructure has been hacked, energy networks, transportation networks,

0:34:46.320 --> 0:34:49.279
<v Speaker 13>this is offline. We should not be able to have

0:34:49.520 --> 0:34:53.160
<v Speaker 13>American networks at risk. Howd to risk constantly by the

0:34:53.200 --> 0:34:54.040
<v Speaker 13>Chinese military.

0:34:54.560 --> 0:34:57.400
<v Speaker 2>I want to hear more about our offensive capabilities, the

0:34:57.440 --> 0:34:59.839
<v Speaker 2>extent to which you can talk about them. We hear

0:35:00.040 --> 0:35:02.839
<v Speaker 2>about hacking back, We hear about, well, we could go

0:35:02.960 --> 0:35:04.719
<v Speaker 2>turn the lights out if we wanted to. What is

0:35:04.760 --> 0:35:07.879
<v Speaker 2>the United States actually capable of doing? Having seen the

0:35:07.960 --> 0:35:12.080
<v Speaker 2>offensive nature of China's posture against.

0:35:11.880 --> 0:35:15.480
<v Speaker 13>US, the US has long been postured aggressively to go

0:35:15.520 --> 0:35:20.000
<v Speaker 13>after China's networks right where there are hacks against the US.

0:35:20.280 --> 0:35:22.080
<v Speaker 13>We need to be able to hold people to account.

0:35:22.160 --> 0:35:25.200
<v Speaker 13>Right Cyber Command is one of those key agencies that's

0:35:25.239 --> 0:35:26.000
<v Speaker 13>able to do that.

0:35:26.440 --> 0:35:26.720
<v Speaker 8>Now.

0:35:27.040 --> 0:35:31.080
<v Speaker 13>The question really happens when the question that we continue

0:35:31.120 --> 0:35:33.520
<v Speaker 13>to grapple with here is now, how do we show

0:35:33.680 --> 0:35:38.000
<v Speaker 13>China that it's unaccept unacceptable to go after critical infrastructure?

0:35:38.320 --> 0:35:41.120
<v Speaker 13>And at the same time, we really need to be

0:35:41.120 --> 0:35:44.000
<v Speaker 13>able to partner with other countries in the region who

0:35:44.000 --> 0:35:45.879
<v Speaker 13>will help hold China to account as well.

0:35:46.160 --> 0:35:46.319
<v Speaker 10>Well.

0:35:46.320 --> 0:35:48.920
<v Speaker 12>When we're considering partnerships, to what extent is this a

0:35:49.040 --> 0:35:51.960
<v Speaker 12>public driven effort versus having to partner with the private sector,

0:35:52.040 --> 0:35:55.560
<v Speaker 12>Especially Laura, considering what we're seeing in the federal government

0:35:55.640 --> 0:35:59.239
<v Speaker 12>right now with the calling of the workforce in many areas.

0:35:59.320 --> 0:36:01.480
<v Speaker 12>I know you have some concerns about the impact that

0:36:01.560 --> 0:36:04.360
<v Speaker 12>is going to have on our cyber capabilities in particular.

0:36:04.400 --> 0:36:05.279
<v Speaker 12>Can you just speak to that.

0:36:05.760 --> 0:36:06.800
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, we're really.

0:36:06.600 --> 0:36:08.800
<v Speaker 13>Worried that the level of talent that you have in

0:36:08.840 --> 0:36:12.839
<v Speaker 13>the federal government, particularly technical talent that's been recruited from

0:36:12.880 --> 0:36:16.040
<v Speaker 13>the outside, if those folks leave or if those folks

0:36:16.080 --> 0:36:21.120
<v Speaker 13>are pushed out, that's a real hit on America's cybersecurity actions.

0:36:21.480 --> 0:36:25.160
<v Speaker 13>And here's why. Our networks in the US are overwhelmingly

0:36:25.239 --> 0:36:28.759
<v Speaker 13>private networks, right our water systems, our energy systems, these

0:36:28.760 --> 0:36:32.200
<v Speaker 13>are run by private companies or utilities. We need people

0:36:32.239 --> 0:36:35.399
<v Speaker 13>who can take that information about what adversaries are doing

0:36:35.640 --> 0:36:38.080
<v Speaker 13>and push it out to the frontlines of the folks

0:36:38.120 --> 0:36:39.680
<v Speaker 13>who are able to protect those networks.

0:36:39.920 --> 0:36:43.160
<v Speaker 2>China left a lot of breadcrumbs in Salt Typhoon. Do

0:36:43.239 --> 0:36:46.120
<v Speaker 2>we have a handle on the bugs, if you will,

0:36:46.160 --> 0:36:49.120
<v Speaker 2>that are in our system? If they infiltrated utilities, water

0:36:49.200 --> 0:36:53.120
<v Speaker 2>treatment systems, and so forth. What are they doing in

0:36:53.160 --> 0:36:54.560
<v Speaker 2>there and how do we get them out?

0:36:54.880 --> 0:36:59.080
<v Speaker 13>Look Salt Typhoon, which back in January a Treasury action

0:36:59.239 --> 0:37:01.799
<v Speaker 13>showed that this was the Ministry of State Security, the

0:37:01.800 --> 0:37:04.919
<v Speaker 13>Intel guys in China who went and hacked over nine

0:37:05.120 --> 0:37:09.719
<v Speaker 13>US telecommunications providers. Right that gives core access to Americans,

0:37:09.800 --> 0:37:13.640
<v Speaker 13>user data to Americans information. That's a huge espionage operation

0:37:13.719 --> 0:37:16.360
<v Speaker 13>in a big win for China. The other big problem

0:37:16.360 --> 0:37:20.600
<v Speaker 13>on this digital breadcrumbs is where the Chinese military has

0:37:20.680 --> 0:37:25.120
<v Speaker 13>put prepositioned access sort of open doors sleeper cells into

0:37:25.320 --> 0:37:29.719
<v Speaker 13>US infrastructure that could cause chaos and really sew a

0:37:29.840 --> 0:37:34.160
<v Speaker 13>level of doubt in people's basic ability to go bend their.

0:37:34.360 --> 0:37:37.320
<v Speaker 2>Vulnerable or can we get these open doors closed?

0:37:37.360 --> 0:37:38.200
<v Speaker 8>We're still vulnerable.

0:37:38.239 --> 0:37:40.320
<v Speaker 13>I mean, this is one of the really hard challenges

0:37:40.360 --> 0:37:42.680
<v Speaker 13>that we have here in the asymmetry of the US

0:37:42.800 --> 0:37:45.719
<v Speaker 13>is a really digitally connected place, right, and in some

0:37:45.800 --> 0:37:49.800
<v Speaker 13>sense here we've got to really push better cyber defense

0:37:49.840 --> 0:37:54.480
<v Speaker 13>and cybersecurity on the water plants, on the energy plants

0:37:54.719 --> 0:37:57.919
<v Speaker 13>that are sitting there as the front line between nation

0:37:58.040 --> 0:37:59.760
<v Speaker 13>state adversaries and the American people.

0:38:00.120 --> 0:38:03.000
<v Speaker 12>Well, and when we're thinking about nation state adversaries, obviously

0:38:03.000 --> 0:38:06.640
<v Speaker 12>concerns around that go beyond China, thinking specifically of Russia here,

0:38:06.719 --> 0:38:09.400
<v Speaker 12>especially in light of the mixed reporting we have gotten

0:38:09.880 --> 0:38:13.279
<v Speaker 12>about the Pentagon and Cybercom potentially ceasing operations when it

0:38:13.280 --> 0:38:17.480
<v Speaker 12>comes to Russian cyber activity specifically, how concerned are you

0:38:17.560 --> 0:38:19.600
<v Speaker 12>about that? What would that actually do to our ability

0:38:19.600 --> 0:38:22.040
<v Speaker 12>to counter threats like this, gather intelligence?

0:38:22.080 --> 0:38:25.840
<v Speaker 13>Even Russia is a core adversary in cyberspace for the US.

0:38:26.200 --> 0:38:29.520
<v Speaker 13>If we stop planning operations, if we stop any of

0:38:29.920 --> 0:38:33.560
<v Speaker 13>the muscle memory that goes into building packages that are

0:38:33.600 --> 0:38:36.880
<v Speaker 13>able to target and counter aggressive Russian activity against the US,

0:38:37.200 --> 0:38:40.560
<v Speaker 13>that'll really put us behind. And it's that constant ability

0:38:40.600 --> 0:38:44.680
<v Speaker 13>to understand how Russian activity goes at US networks that

0:38:44.680 --> 0:38:46.600
<v Speaker 13>we've got to keep our eyes on and really keep

0:38:46.600 --> 0:38:48.080
<v Speaker 13>people focused on in the government.

0:38:48.120 --> 0:38:50.800
<v Speaker 8>If we're going to win this domain.

0:38:50.719 --> 0:38:53.520
<v Speaker 2>Could we wage a cyber war? Do we have the

0:38:53.520 --> 0:38:56.680
<v Speaker 2>tools that would be required to do this? In a

0:38:56.680 --> 0:38:57.240
<v Speaker 2>real sense?

0:38:57.600 --> 0:39:00.680
<v Speaker 13>The US has the preeminent capability, yes, space.

0:39:00.880 --> 0:39:04.759
<v Speaker 2>But Russia we're.

0:39:03.280 --> 0:39:05.520
<v Speaker 13>Careful about using it. We follow the rule of law

0:39:05.600 --> 0:39:09.239
<v Speaker 13>like that is what sets us apart from authoritarian regimes

0:39:09.560 --> 0:39:12.279
<v Speaker 13>in Russia and China, and that's a core difference on

0:39:12.360 --> 0:39:15.560
<v Speaker 13>how we're operating in this space, well, at.

0:39:15.520 --> 0:39:17.400
<v Speaker 12>Least how we've been operating in the space. Do you

0:39:17.520 --> 0:39:19.200
<v Speaker 12>sense that there's going to be a shift in this

0:39:19.320 --> 0:39:21.880
<v Speaker 12>kind of cyber policy from this administration, Have they actually

0:39:22.040 --> 0:39:25.000
<v Speaker 12>articulated the way in which they're approaching threats like these?

0:39:25.040 --> 0:39:27.640
<v Speaker 12>We certainly didn't hear anything about cyber or even artificial

0:39:27.640 --> 0:39:30.919
<v Speaker 12>intelligence for that matter, in President Trump's address last night.

0:39:30.960 --> 0:39:32.200
<v Speaker 8>I think that's the right question.

0:39:32.600 --> 0:39:35.800
<v Speaker 13>One of the huge issues that we've collectively been grappling

0:39:35.800 --> 0:39:38.239
<v Speaker 13>with for years now that I'm curious to see how

0:39:38.280 --> 0:39:41.880
<v Speaker 13>this administration takes on. Are ransomware actors? These are criminal

0:39:41.920 --> 0:39:45.840
<v Speaker 13>groups almost always based in Russia, and they're holding American

0:39:45.920 --> 0:39:51.480
<v Speaker 13>hospitals hostage through their network security practices. We've had ambulances

0:39:51.520 --> 0:39:54.799
<v Speaker 13>diverted from ransomware attacks. Are these folks going to have

0:39:54.840 --> 0:39:58.040
<v Speaker 13>consequences pushed against them in Russia? That's a big question

0:39:58.160 --> 0:39:59.719
<v Speaker 13>and really critical for Americans.

0:40:00.000 --> 0:40:02.880
<v Speaker 2>I don't know about your experience today. You were called

0:40:02.880 --> 0:40:05.319
<v Speaker 2>to testify on Capitol Hill in front of a very

0:40:05.360 --> 0:40:08.879
<v Speaker 2>important committee that is taking the time to get into this.

0:40:09.040 --> 0:40:12.440
<v Speaker 2>I think we've already established very important story. Do these

0:40:12.520 --> 0:40:15.440
<v Speaker 2>lawmakers know what questions to ask? Are they read in?

0:40:15.520 --> 0:40:16.760
<v Speaker 2>Do they understand the threat?

0:40:17.600 --> 0:40:21.520
<v Speaker 13>I think the Hill understands that the level of espionage

0:40:21.760 --> 0:40:25.879
<v Speaker 13>and attack capabilities that China wages against the US.

0:40:25.719 --> 0:40:27.240
<v Speaker 8>Is a really critical issue.

0:40:27.480 --> 0:40:30.000
<v Speaker 13>The question is if we're going to really get serious

0:40:30.040 --> 0:40:32.480
<v Speaker 13>about heartening our defenses. This is an offense game and

0:40:32.520 --> 0:40:35.600
<v Speaker 13>a defense game, right, are we going to put in

0:40:35.680 --> 0:40:38.480
<v Speaker 13>place minimums? Are we going to put in place standards

0:40:38.480 --> 0:40:42.480
<v Speaker 13>in certain critical industries so that we've got safer services

0:40:42.880 --> 0:40:45.520
<v Speaker 13>that defend against the types of cyber attacks that we've

0:40:45.560 --> 0:40:46.240
<v Speaker 13>been talking about.

0:40:46.360 --> 0:40:49.440
<v Speaker 12>Would that mean, though, providing resources for those in the

0:40:49.480 --> 0:40:52.440
<v Speaker 12>private sector to fortify those defenses, because certainly that's not

0:40:52.480 --> 0:40:53.400
<v Speaker 12>without cost.

0:40:53.400 --> 0:40:55.279
<v Speaker 8>In certain cases. Definitely.

0:40:55.680 --> 0:40:59.440
<v Speaker 13>Water sector is a great example here. There's fifty thousand

0:40:59.560 --> 0:41:04.439
<v Speaker 13>different municipalities that have a touch on your water. These

0:41:04.480 --> 0:41:08.080
<v Speaker 13>are not well funded cybersecurity programs for the most part. Right,

0:41:08.360 --> 0:41:10.400
<v Speaker 13>how do we make sure that we get that funding

0:41:10.640 --> 0:41:13.799
<v Speaker 13>but also really that sense of priority that the devices

0:41:13.840 --> 0:41:16.000
<v Speaker 13>that are being used to control the water tank in

0:41:16.040 --> 0:41:18.360
<v Speaker 13>your county are actually protected.

0:41:19.360 --> 0:41:21.799
<v Speaker 2>So what's the follow on here? Is it legislation or

0:41:21.840 --> 0:41:24.400
<v Speaker 2>is this a fact finding mission that leads to more hearings.

0:41:25.360 --> 0:41:27.880
<v Speaker 13>I think the question is how do you hold China account?

0:41:28.040 --> 0:41:31.480
<v Speaker 13>And that's very much at the forefront of how legislators are.

0:41:31.320 --> 0:41:32.720
<v Speaker 8>Thinking right now.

0:41:32.760 --> 0:41:36.680
<v Speaker 13>Can we get more serious with non cyber means diplomatic etc.

0:41:37.160 --> 0:41:39.279
<v Speaker 13>To be able to hold China to account for what

0:41:39.320 --> 0:41:42.600
<v Speaker 13>they've done in cyberspace. And it's that pairing that's really

0:41:42.600 --> 0:41:43.359
<v Speaker 13>the question.

0:41:43.080 --> 0:41:43.839
<v Speaker 8>At hand right now.

0:41:44.080 --> 0:41:47.320
<v Speaker 12>Well, and that obviously goes immediately in my mind to tariffs,

0:41:47.320 --> 0:41:51.120
<v Speaker 12>as we're seeing this administration now basically saying that they're

0:41:51.200 --> 0:41:54.440
<v Speaker 12>using tariffs as a negotiating tactic to extract behavioral changes

0:41:54.480 --> 0:41:56.799
<v Speaker 12>they want to see. Right now, they're talking about a

0:41:56.880 --> 0:42:01.359
<v Speaker 12>fentanyl production specifically, but could this also tread potentially into

0:42:01.360 --> 0:42:02.640
<v Speaker 12>that realm cyber I.

0:42:02.560 --> 0:42:05.560
<v Speaker 13>Think grouping in the volt typhoon, which are the critical

0:42:05.560 --> 0:42:10.000
<v Speaker 13>infrastructure accesses that the Chinese have, would be one way

0:42:10.080 --> 0:42:13.760
<v Speaker 13>to say, this is the unacceptable behavior that we're seeing

0:42:13.760 --> 0:42:16.280
<v Speaker 13>out of China and linking it to something that China's

0:42:16.280 --> 0:42:17.280
<v Speaker 13>already starting to feel.

0:42:17.760 --> 0:42:21.440
<v Speaker 2>When you look at this administration versus the Biden administration,

0:42:21.480 --> 0:42:24.359
<v Speaker 2>which I believe you work for, when it comes to

0:42:25.239 --> 0:42:29.160
<v Speaker 2>the approach to cyber a cohesive policy, is there any

0:42:29.160 --> 0:42:30.240
<v Speaker 2>difference between the two.

0:42:31.160 --> 0:42:35.840
<v Speaker 13>Look Holding cyber adversaries to account has been the core

0:42:35.920 --> 0:42:39.400
<v Speaker 13>and central policy now for multiple administrations. How you do

0:42:39.440 --> 0:42:41.799
<v Speaker 13>it is the hard part and the other piece that's

0:42:41.840 --> 0:42:46.120
<v Speaker 13>so tough in the US is because cybersecurity has been neglected.

0:42:46.440 --> 0:42:49.440
<v Speaker 13>From just a baseline standpoint, it's so many companies in

0:42:49.520 --> 0:42:53.120
<v Speaker 13>so many sectors. We are incredibly vulnerable and the more

0:42:53.160 --> 0:42:55.680
<v Speaker 13>we throw out there, the more we worry about retaliation

0:42:55.760 --> 0:42:58.000
<v Speaker 13>as well. We have to up our own defensive game.

0:42:58.239 --> 0:43:00.560
<v Speaker 12>Just finally, Laura, on the subject of ability, have you

0:43:00.600 --> 0:43:03.680
<v Speaker 12>seen Zero Day, this new Netflix show? Is that a

0:43:03.719 --> 0:43:06.600
<v Speaker 12>real possibility? I mean, this is a funny question because

0:43:06.640 --> 0:43:07.120
<v Speaker 12>the show.

0:43:06.960 --> 0:43:07.640
<v Speaker 2>Flakes me out.

0:43:07.680 --> 0:43:09.719
<v Speaker 12>But the idea that you can take out basically all

0:43:09.719 --> 0:43:13.520
<v Speaker 12>transit infrastructure caused like a blackout nationwide, is that actually

0:43:13.520 --> 0:43:16.320
<v Speaker 12>something that, in the worst case scenario could happen to

0:43:16.400 --> 0:43:16.880
<v Speaker 12>this country?

0:43:16.880 --> 0:43:18.600
<v Speaker 13>All right, I haven't seen a lot of Netflix, but

0:43:18.640 --> 0:43:21.120
<v Speaker 13>I will have recently. But I will tell you that

0:43:21.239 --> 0:43:24.400
<v Speaker 13>back in twenty seventeen, there was a cyber attack that

0:43:24.480 --> 0:43:27.680
<v Speaker 13>the Russians waged on Ukraine that took down the port,

0:43:28.120 --> 0:43:31.120
<v Speaker 13>that took down the banks, that took down a wide

0:43:31.160 --> 0:43:34.320
<v Speaker 13>variety of society, and really ground everything to a halt.

0:43:34.560 --> 0:43:38.640
<v Speaker 8>How'd they get in the TurboTax version in Ukraine?

0:43:39.080 --> 0:43:41.399
<v Speaker 13>Was the way that they were able to pass that

0:43:41.960 --> 0:43:46.040
<v Speaker 13>piece of malware in So look, widespread effects have happened before,

0:43:46.080 --> 0:43:48.920
<v Speaker 13>and we really need to make sure we've got secure systems.

0:43:48.520 --> 0:43:49.359
<v Speaker 8>So it doesn't happen again.

0:43:49.400 --> 0:43:50.279
<v Speaker 2>It sounds like a yes, kid.

0:43:50.400 --> 0:43:51.120
<v Speaker 12>Yeah, I'm not sure that.

0:43:52.719 --> 0:43:54.080
<v Speaker 2>I thought for sure you were going to tell us

0:43:54.080 --> 0:43:57.600
<v Speaker 2>you were technical consultant on them. No program, Laura Galante,

0:43:57.640 --> 0:43:58.920
<v Speaker 2>what a treat to have you with us. Thank you

0:43:58.920 --> 0:44:01.879
<v Speaker 2>for coming to answer our question straight from the hearing room.

0:44:02.000 --> 0:44:05.520
<v Speaker 2>Former director the Cyber Threat Intelligence Integration Center. I'm Joe

0:44:05.560 --> 0:44:08.319
<v Speaker 2>Matthew alongside Kaylee Lines in Washington. Glad you're with us

0:44:08.520 --> 0:44:10.520
<v Speaker 2>here on balance of power. We do have a White

0:44:10.520 --> 0:44:12.600
<v Speaker 2>House briefing that's underway. We're keeping an ear on that

0:44:12.640 --> 0:44:15.960
<v Speaker 2>for you. For any clues into what happens next with tariffs.

0:44:15.960 --> 0:44:19.080
<v Speaker 2>If you're watching truth Social, Apparently a call with Justin

0:44:19.080 --> 0:44:21.960
<v Speaker 2>Trudeau President Trump didn't go all that well, Kayley, it

0:44:22.000 --> 0:44:24.640
<v Speaker 2>looks like these tariffs are here to stay, at least

0:44:24.640 --> 0:44:24.880
<v Speaker 2>for now.

0:44:24.960 --> 0:44:25.160
<v Speaker 4>Yeah.

0:44:25.200 --> 0:44:28.239
<v Speaker 12>The Press Secretary just confirming reciprocal tariffs are still set

0:44:28.280 --> 0:44:30.480
<v Speaker 12>to go into effect on April second, though she also

0:44:30.560 --> 0:44:33.120
<v Speaker 12>did say that President Trump has spoken to the Big

0:44:33.160 --> 0:44:35.960
<v Speaker 12>three automakers. We'll have more on this ahead on Bloomberg

0:44:36.040 --> 0:44:37.240
<v Speaker 12>TV and radio.

0:44:39.400 --> 0:44:42.879
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Balance of Power podcast. Catch

0:44:42.960 --> 0:44:45.799
<v Speaker 1>us live weekdays at noon and five pm e's durn

0:44:45.920 --> 0:44:49.359
<v Speaker 1>on Apple Cockley and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business App.

0:44:49.400 --> 0:44:52.440
<v Speaker 1>You can also listen live on Amazon Alexa from our

0:44:52.440 --> 0:44:56.560
<v Speaker 1>flagship New York station. Just say Alexa Play Bloomberg eleven

0:44:56.680 --> 0:44:58.920
<v Speaker 1>thirty markets.

0:44:58.960 --> 0:45:00.879
<v Speaker 2>Kaylee, are feeling a lot more chipper than they were

0:45:00.920 --> 0:45:03.680
<v Speaker 2>around this time yesterday with another deep dive. We had

0:45:03.680 --> 0:45:05.120
<v Speaker 2>a couple of them this week in a row on,

0:45:05.239 --> 0:45:09.160
<v Speaker 2>of course, the fit over tariffs against Canada and Mexico,

0:45:09.200 --> 0:45:11.880
<v Speaker 2>a story that has been just updated.

0:45:11.400 --> 0:45:14.680
<v Speaker 12>Today, Yeah, confirmed by the White House Press Secretary, who

0:45:14.719 --> 0:45:17.160
<v Speaker 12>is briefing the press right now, Caroline Levitt says the

0:45:17.160 --> 0:45:19.719
<v Speaker 12>White House will be giving a one month exemption for

0:45:20.000 --> 0:45:25.239
<v Speaker 12>cars on those Canadia, Canada, and Mexican tariffs through the

0:45:25.360 --> 0:45:29.360
<v Speaker 12>USMCA trade Agreement. This tracks with Bloomberg's earlier reporting that

0:45:29.400 --> 0:45:32.880
<v Speaker 12>they were considering this, and the Press secretary also confirmed

0:45:32.920 --> 0:45:35.240
<v Speaker 12>that this comes after President Trump spoke with the heads

0:45:35.480 --> 0:45:36.960
<v Speaker 12>of the big three US automators.

0:45:37.000 --> 0:45:39.399
<v Speaker 2>That's right. We're keeping tabs on a White House news

0:45:39.440 --> 0:45:41.759
<v Speaker 2>briefing that's underway right now, and if they add an

0:45:41.760 --> 0:45:43.640
<v Speaker 2>event at the White House. Of course, we'll bring you

0:45:43.680 --> 0:45:46.319
<v Speaker 2>there earlier. We're keying off of not only the words

0:45:46.360 --> 0:45:48.799
<v Speaker 2>the Press Secretary, but the President untruth social and of

0:45:48.800 --> 0:45:52.480
<v Speaker 2>course the Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnik earlier today here on Bloomberg.

0:45:52.520 --> 0:45:54.280
<v Speaker 2>And we want to add the voice of Senator Shelley

0:45:54.280 --> 0:45:57.080
<v Speaker 2>Moore Capito, the Republican from West Virginia, is with us

0:45:57.160 --> 0:46:00.759
<v Speaker 2>right now, only hours after leaving the chamber on the

0:46:00.800 --> 0:46:03.120
<v Speaker 2>House side, following the speech last night, with us life

0:46:03.120 --> 0:46:06.080
<v Speaker 2>from Capitol Hill. Senator, it's great to see you, welcome back.

0:46:06.320 --> 0:46:09.440
<v Speaker 2>Do you have a sense of Donald Trump's policies when

0:46:09.440 --> 0:46:11.680
<v Speaker 2>it comes to teriffs, because they seem to be changing

0:46:12.080 --> 0:46:14.880
<v Speaker 2>moment to moment and it's been giving the market a

0:46:14.880 --> 0:46:17.120
<v Speaker 2>bit of aguity here. Do you know what the President

0:46:17.160 --> 0:46:19.400
<v Speaker 2>wants to do with Canada and Mexico specifically?

0:46:20.440 --> 0:46:22.560
<v Speaker 9>Well, I think I take my clue off what the

0:46:22.560 --> 0:46:26.440
<v Speaker 9>President said last night and has said consistently that he feels,

0:46:26.440 --> 0:46:29.080
<v Speaker 9>and I think the American worker feels that we've been

0:46:29.080 --> 0:46:35.600
<v Speaker 9>disadvantaged in some ways in terms of tariffs and reciprocal tariffs,

0:46:35.760 --> 0:46:39.520
<v Speaker 9>both with Canada and Mexico, and also his great concern

0:46:39.560 --> 0:46:41.400
<v Speaker 9>over the flow of fentanyl. Obviously, I live in a

0:46:41.440 --> 0:46:44.000
<v Speaker 9>state that has had this has had great impacts on

0:46:44.080 --> 0:46:46.360
<v Speaker 9>my state as having some of the highest amount of

0:46:46.400 --> 0:46:50.080
<v Speaker 9>fatalities on overdoses from fentanyl, and so I think he's

0:46:50.120 --> 0:46:52.360
<v Speaker 9>been very clear on that. I think where he still

0:46:52.480 --> 0:46:55.120
<v Speaker 9>leaves himself wiggle room, and I think it's smart we

0:46:55.160 --> 0:46:59.320
<v Speaker 9>know he's a negotiator, is to use these tariffs as

0:46:59.440 --> 0:47:02.720
<v Speaker 9>leverage point to either get more folks on the border,

0:47:02.840 --> 0:47:08.840
<v Speaker 9>more law enforcement to prevent Fentanahl, more fair reciprocal trade

0:47:08.840 --> 0:47:11.080
<v Speaker 9>going across the border. And that's why I think you

0:47:11.120 --> 0:47:14.560
<v Speaker 9>see the fluidity that you see over the last several

0:47:14.640 --> 0:47:17.000
<v Speaker 9>days as to where everything's going to land.

0:47:18.719 --> 0:47:21.520
<v Speaker 12>Well, the President last night Senator did say that there

0:47:21.520 --> 0:47:24.759
<v Speaker 12>may be some disturbance because of these tariffs, but that

0:47:25.120 --> 0:47:27.680
<v Speaker 12>he's okay with that. At least should West Virginians be

0:47:27.760 --> 0:47:30.640
<v Speaker 12>okay with any kind of economic disturbance that may result

0:47:30.920 --> 0:47:33.800
<v Speaker 12>from these policies. What should they be willing to tolerate?

0:47:34.640 --> 0:47:36.840
<v Speaker 9>Well, I think what the President knows and what I

0:47:36.920 --> 0:47:40.160
<v Speaker 9>know from the last election is while the border played

0:47:40.160 --> 0:47:43.759
<v Speaker 9>an enormous role, there's a debate whether the economy played

0:47:43.760 --> 0:47:46.200
<v Speaker 9>a bigger role in what the voters decided that they

0:47:46.200 --> 0:47:49.720
<v Speaker 9>wanted inflation was killing regular Americans at the grocery store.

0:47:49.920 --> 0:47:51.600
<v Speaker 9>So I think if there's a if there is a

0:47:52.880 --> 0:47:58.399
<v Speaker 9>very sensitive spot for every American, it's how much they're

0:47:58.400 --> 0:48:02.000
<v Speaker 9>paying for regular goods and service. And so if the

0:48:02.040 --> 0:48:05.279
<v Speaker 9>tariffs come in, and when they come in, and they

0:48:05.320 --> 0:48:09.040
<v Speaker 9>and we see dramatic raises in whatever energy prices or

0:48:09.080 --> 0:48:11.480
<v Speaker 9>whatever it could be food prices, you're going to hear

0:48:11.520 --> 0:48:13.960
<v Speaker 9>a pretty loud outcry because it's just going to be

0:48:14.000 --> 0:48:16.000
<v Speaker 9>compiling on top of what we already saw during the

0:48:16.000 --> 0:48:19.200
<v Speaker 9>Abide administration. And so I think that's what the President

0:48:19.280 --> 0:48:21.680
<v Speaker 9>was trying to say, be patient, things will settle back down,

0:48:21.960 --> 0:48:24.320
<v Speaker 9>and in the long run, I think he feels that

0:48:24.440 --> 0:48:26.480
<v Speaker 9>will bring prices down and our dollars will go a

0:48:26.520 --> 0:48:29.440
<v Speaker 9>lot farther. But I think he also left himself some

0:48:29.480 --> 0:48:31.960
<v Speaker 9>wiggle room here to make sure that he can make

0:48:32.000 --> 0:48:36.680
<v Speaker 9>adjustments in speaking with their governors or even talking to

0:48:37.880 --> 0:48:40.960
<v Speaker 9>renegotiating the us mc A. So I think you know,

0:48:41.000 --> 0:48:43.799
<v Speaker 9>he asked for patients. I would say patients would be

0:48:43.840 --> 0:48:46.320
<v Speaker 9>good in this instance, but our patients are going to

0:48:46.400 --> 0:48:50.840
<v Speaker 9>run thin if prices really really become the big pivot

0:48:50.880 --> 0:48:52.920
<v Speaker 9>point here rather quickly.

0:48:54.440 --> 0:48:58.120
<v Speaker 2>That's interesting. I wonder how much patience you have for

0:48:58.200 --> 0:49:01.480
<v Speaker 2>the DOGE with some of the approaches that they're taking.

0:49:01.520 --> 0:49:04.840
<v Speaker 2>Senator at DOCH team reportedly visiting the US Treasury Department

0:49:04.920 --> 0:49:08.800
<v Speaker 2>facility in Parkersburg in your home state, do you worry

0:49:08.800 --> 0:49:12.719
<v Speaker 2>about their access and the protection of personal information?

0:49:14.040 --> 0:49:14.279
<v Speaker 4>You know?

0:49:14.440 --> 0:49:17.520
<v Speaker 9>I think what they are doing is in these cases

0:49:17.560 --> 0:49:20.520
<v Speaker 9>they are using the professionals. They're going into the Bureau

0:49:20.560 --> 0:49:23.719
<v Speaker 9>Fiscal Service and other things, using the professionals who are

0:49:24.680 --> 0:49:26.840
<v Speaker 9>able to have the security clearances to go into the

0:49:26.920 --> 0:49:29.480
<v Speaker 9>data to find the data that they're looking for. So

0:49:29.719 --> 0:49:33.920
<v Speaker 9>I'm really less worried about the personal private information that

0:49:35.520 --> 0:49:38.360
<v Speaker 9>might be corrupted here. I don't think that's the big issue.

0:49:38.360 --> 0:49:41.640
<v Speaker 9>I think the issue is in Parkersburg, for instance, we

0:49:41.719 --> 0:49:44.839
<v Speaker 9>lost one hundred jobs. That's a big hit to a

0:49:44.880 --> 0:49:49.399
<v Speaker 9>small community, and so there were probationary employees. It's yet

0:49:49.440 --> 0:49:52.400
<v Speaker 9>to be seen what's going to happen with them. But honestly,

0:49:52.880 --> 0:49:55.560
<v Speaker 9>we just had lunch and Elon Musk was there, and

0:49:55.640 --> 0:49:58.879
<v Speaker 9>if you listen to him logically talk about some of

0:49:58.920 --> 0:50:01.800
<v Speaker 9>the white waste FRAWD abuse that they've found in systems

0:50:01.800 --> 0:50:05.000
<v Speaker 9>such as Social Security, where fifteen people are getting paid

0:50:05.040 --> 0:50:07.120
<v Speaker 9>off the same number, or fifteen checks are being sent

0:50:07.400 --> 0:50:10.400
<v Speaker 9>off the same number, things that are make total common sense.

0:50:10.880 --> 0:50:14.880
<v Speaker 9>This is where I think Doge has been extremely helpful

0:50:14.920 --> 0:50:18.840
<v Speaker 9>and will continue to be and even more so Senator.

0:50:18.920 --> 0:50:21.680
<v Speaker 12>Finally, as you said on the Appropriations Committee, keeping in mind,

0:50:21.680 --> 0:50:23.400
<v Speaker 12>we are now less than ten days out from a

0:50:23.400 --> 0:50:27.839
<v Speaker 12>potential government shut down, Where is progress or is there

0:50:27.960 --> 0:50:30.920
<v Speaker 12>progress toward a deal to avert that? Will there be

0:50:31.040 --> 0:50:33.799
<v Speaker 12>enough Democrats in your chamber to make sure the lights

0:50:33.800 --> 0:50:34.160
<v Speaker 12>stay on?

0:50:35.360 --> 0:50:37.080
<v Speaker 9>Well, I think what's going to happen here is the

0:50:37.080 --> 0:50:39.280
<v Speaker 9>House is going to pass something early in the week,

0:50:39.560 --> 0:50:41.880
<v Speaker 9>a continuing resolution. It sounds like to the end of

0:50:41.880 --> 0:50:45.000
<v Speaker 9>the year. I think that if the Democrats here in

0:50:45.040 --> 0:50:49.319
<v Speaker 9>the Senate do not join us as Republicans to pass

0:50:49.400 --> 0:50:51.920
<v Speaker 9>something along that nature, they will be shutting down the government.

0:50:52.680 --> 0:50:55.719
<v Speaker 9>And I think we know that's a road to nowhere aservance,

0:50:56.120 --> 0:50:58.600
<v Speaker 9>a disservice to every American. We've kind of been down

0:50:58.640 --> 0:51:01.960
<v Speaker 9>this road before, doesn't it doesn't achieve anything. So I'm

0:51:01.960 --> 0:51:05.360
<v Speaker 9>hoping we can get consensus enough Democrats to work together

0:51:05.440 --> 0:51:06.840
<v Speaker 9>so by the end of the week we're up and

0:51:06.920 --> 0:51:08.840
<v Speaker 9>running if it's just for a couple.

0:51:08.560 --> 0:51:10.480
<v Speaker 8>Of weeks, but I hope it's to the end of

0:51:10.480 --> 0:51:10.759
<v Speaker 8>the year.

0:51:10.800 --> 0:51:13.040
<v Speaker 9>We should have dealt with this last year, but Senator

0:51:13.080 --> 0:51:15.640
<v Speaker 9>Schumer did not even pick up one of our appropriations

0:51:15.680 --> 0:51:17.439
<v Speaker 9>bills that we passed last year.

0:51:18.960 --> 0:51:21.319
<v Speaker 12>All Right, Senator, thank you so much for your time

0:51:21.400 --> 0:51:24.439
<v Speaker 12>joining us live from Capitol Hill Republican Senator Shelley Moore,

0:51:24.480 --> 0:51:27.200
<v Speaker 12>capital of West Virginia, as we deal with some breaking

0:51:27.239 --> 0:51:31.560
<v Speaker 12>news on tariffs, the White House Press Secretary Caroline Lovett

0:51:31.560 --> 0:51:33.680
<v Speaker 12>has confirmed that the President is going to put into

0:51:33.719 --> 0:51:36.200
<v Speaker 12>place a one month pause on auto tarraff, specifically when

0:51:36.200 --> 0:51:39.360
<v Speaker 12>it pertains to Canada and Mexico. She also says that

0:51:39.360 --> 0:51:44.400
<v Speaker 12>President Trump is open to hearing about additional exemptions, maybe

0:51:44.440 --> 0:51:47.240
<v Speaker 12>just adding layers of uncertainty to what is already pretty

0:51:47.280 --> 0:51:49.520
<v Speaker 12>uncertain policy, and we want to get more on that

0:51:49.560 --> 0:51:52.279
<v Speaker 12>now with Larry Summers, the former US Treasury Secretary and

0:51:52.320 --> 0:51:55.120
<v Speaker 12>Harvard University president emeritus, who was here with us on

0:51:55.120 --> 0:51:58.960
<v Speaker 12>Bloomberg TV and radio. Mister Secretary, it's great to have you,

0:51:59.000 --> 0:52:00.799
<v Speaker 12>and thanks very much for your patients with us as

0:52:00.840 --> 0:52:03.799
<v Speaker 12>we work through all of this news. Obviously, and You've

0:52:03.840 --> 0:52:06.200
<v Speaker 12>spoken about this at length with our colleague David Weston.

0:52:06.280 --> 0:52:09.120
<v Speaker 12>There is economic impact of tariffs to consider, but what

0:52:09.120 --> 0:52:11.720
<v Speaker 12>about the potential economic toll when it comes to business

0:52:11.760 --> 0:52:14.680
<v Speaker 12>investment and activity on the part of consumers. Of just

0:52:14.719 --> 0:52:19.000
<v Speaker 12>a lack of certainty around what these policies actually look like.

0:52:19.120 --> 0:52:21.760
<v Speaker 12>Is implementing them and pulling them back just as damaging

0:52:21.760 --> 0:52:24.880
<v Speaker 12>potentially as leaving them intact.

0:52:26.280 --> 0:52:32.239
<v Speaker 4>Look, it's all there. These tariffs are a self inflicted

0:52:32.320 --> 0:52:39.600
<v Speaker 4>supply shock wound higher prices, less competitiveness because businesses are

0:52:39.600 --> 0:52:46.000
<v Speaker 4>having to pay more for all their inputs, and because

0:52:46.000 --> 0:52:50.160
<v Speaker 4>they have to pay higher prices, less purchasing power for consumers,

0:52:50.560 --> 0:52:52.239
<v Speaker 4>which means fewer jobs.

0:52:51.920 --> 0:52:52.920
<v Speaker 2>Down the road.

0:52:53.160 --> 0:52:56.359
<v Speaker 4>So these are like in oil price shock, They're just

0:52:56.440 --> 0:52:59.440
<v Speaker 4>all bad for the economy and they're probably like it,

0:52:59.480 --> 0:53:02.319
<v Speaker 4>and they probably were like an oil price shock of

0:53:02.360 --> 0:53:05.399
<v Speaker 4>forty dollars a barrel in terms of what was being

0:53:05.440 --> 0:53:09.200
<v Speaker 4>done to Mexico and Canada. And now with these changes,

0:53:09.239 --> 0:53:13.080
<v Speaker 4>maybe it's only twenty five or thirty dollars a barrel,

0:53:13.400 --> 0:53:20.120
<v Speaker 4>but it's still clear big and bad. That's why before

0:53:20.239 --> 0:53:22.719
<v Speaker 4>they started saying they were going to take the tariffs

0:53:22.800 --> 0:53:26.399
<v Speaker 4>off almost two trillion dollars of stock market wealth had

0:53:26.400 --> 0:53:31.520
<v Speaker 4>been destroyed in a matter of two days. Now nobody

0:53:31.560 --> 0:53:36.400
<v Speaker 4>knows quite what's going to happen. But why would you

0:53:36.400 --> 0:53:41.680
<v Speaker 4>make an important investment decision amidst all of this uncertainty

0:53:41.800 --> 0:53:44.040
<v Speaker 4>if you were thinking about buying a new car or

0:53:44.120 --> 0:53:49.440
<v Speaker 4>buying a new house. When you wait, and when everybody waits,

0:53:49.840 --> 0:53:54.000
<v Speaker 4>the economy slows down. And that's why the risk of recession,

0:53:54.120 --> 0:53:59.600
<v Speaker 4>which everybody thought was extremely unlikely on January twentieth, is

0:53:59.680 --> 0:54:03.080
<v Speaker 4>now seen by many many people as a real and

0:54:03.160 --> 0:54:09.359
<v Speaker 4>serious risk for some time this year. So I think

0:54:09.400 --> 0:54:16.080
<v Speaker 4>we're doing real damage to the economy. It's not just

0:54:16.120 --> 0:54:23.040
<v Speaker 4>a short run thing. Inflation expectations for the long term,

0:54:23.120 --> 0:54:27.239
<v Speaker 4>for five or ten years, are higher than they've been

0:54:27.320 --> 0:54:31.600
<v Speaker 4>in a very long time, according to the Michigan Survey.

0:54:32.200 --> 0:54:35.840
<v Speaker 4>You know, I heard the President talk about a little disturbance,

0:54:35.960 --> 0:54:40.760
<v Speaker 4>and I heard the Senator talk about that a little

0:54:40.800 --> 0:54:44.800
<v Speaker 4>disturbance that will work through and then it will be good.

0:54:45.560 --> 0:54:49.160
<v Speaker 4>You know what that sounds like. It sounds like transitory inflation.

0:54:50.320 --> 0:54:53.680
<v Speaker 4>Transitory inflation didn't work out very well for the people

0:54:53.680 --> 0:54:58.720
<v Speaker 4>who use that term in twenty twenty one and twenty

0:54:58.760 --> 0:55:01.080
<v Speaker 4>twenty two. It didn't work out very well for the

0:55:01.120 --> 0:55:04.120
<v Speaker 4>Biden administration, it didn't work out very well for the FED.

0:55:04.760 --> 0:55:08.280
<v Speaker 4>And I don't think talking about how inflation is transittory

0:55:08.920 --> 0:55:11.160
<v Speaker 4>is going to work out very well for the Trump

0:55:11.200 --> 0:55:16.720
<v Speaker 4>administration either. So I hope they'll respond to the market

0:55:16.880 --> 0:55:20.880
<v Speaker 4>signals and that they'll find a way to save face

0:55:21.640 --> 0:55:27.360
<v Speaker 4>and they'll back off all of this stuff. That would

0:55:27.360 --> 0:55:32.400
<v Speaker 4>be what would be best for the country. But I

0:55:32.520 --> 0:55:40.280
<v Speaker 4>really do worry about the sense that we're becoming president

0:55:40.320 --> 0:55:44.480
<v Speaker 4>calls this CEO, calls that CEO, that we're becoming a

0:55:44.520 --> 0:55:49.200
<v Speaker 4>bit of a crony capitalism kind of country. When you

0:55:50.000 --> 0:55:53.960
<v Speaker 4>see that the Doze seems to be talking about recontracting

0:55:54.080 --> 0:56:00.160
<v Speaker 4>things towards the Starlink company. When you see that law

0:56:00.239 --> 0:56:05.920
<v Speaker 4>firms that represented parties adverse to the president are having

0:56:06.000 --> 0:56:13.200
<v Speaker 4>all their clients penalized across the administration. This is the

0:56:13.320 --> 0:56:19.040
<v Speaker 4>Argentine way, not the American way, and I think there's

0:56:19.080 --> 0:56:23.320
<v Speaker 4>a substantial risk that it will have costs. And what's

0:56:23.560 --> 0:56:28.319
<v Speaker 4>really sad to me about all this is there's a

0:56:28.320 --> 0:56:32.919
<v Speaker 4>lot of truth in things that the President's trying to do.

0:56:33.880 --> 0:56:39.040
<v Speaker 4>There is waste in the way the federal government does technology,

0:56:39.080 --> 0:56:43.319
<v Speaker 4>and it should be fixed by people with more expertise

0:56:43.480 --> 0:56:49.839
<v Speaker 4>than long term government employees. There have been huge problems

0:56:50.320 --> 0:56:57.040
<v Speaker 4>in the way we have protected our borders. We've emphasized

0:56:57.239 --> 0:57:03.120
<v Speaker 4>too much things other than excellence in hiring workers for

0:57:04.239 --> 0:57:09.240
<v Speaker 4>too long. We've had too much regulation that has slowed

0:57:09.320 --> 0:57:15.640
<v Speaker 4>things down too much and made it expensive to build things.

0:57:16.320 --> 0:57:20.880
<v Speaker 4>Sometimes other countries have taken advantage of the United States,

0:57:21.640 --> 0:57:26.680
<v Speaker 4>and so there are impulses here that are right. But

0:57:26.840 --> 0:57:36.439
<v Speaker 4>if you do things too impulsively, too quickly, too carelessly,

0:57:37.400 --> 0:57:41.080
<v Speaker 4>and with too many conflicts of interest where the people

0:57:41.120 --> 0:57:43.560
<v Speaker 4>who are advising you are also the people who are

0:57:43.600 --> 0:57:49.280
<v Speaker 4>profiting from you, then I think you're taking big risks

0:57:49.960 --> 0:57:52.439
<v Speaker 4>with our economic system.

0:57:52.880 --> 0:57:55.600
<v Speaker 2>Well, so, mister Secretary, you just said a lot that

0:57:55.640 --> 0:57:58.720
<v Speaker 2>we can unpack your when it comes to tariffs, we

0:57:58.880 --> 0:58:01.680
<v Speaker 2>read you what will be the economic impact of the

0:58:01.760 --> 0:58:04.960
<v Speaker 2>DOGE because that's bringing an enormous amount of confusion as

0:58:05.000 --> 0:58:07.920
<v Speaker 2>well hesitancy to hire as the headline on the ADP

0:58:08.120 --> 0:58:11.040
<v Speaker 2>Jobs report today, Elon Musk is on Capitol Hill meeting

0:58:11.040 --> 0:58:13.600
<v Speaker 2>with members of the House and Senate right now, presumably

0:58:13.640 --> 0:58:16.160
<v Speaker 2>to connect the dots between what the DOGE is finding

0:58:16.200 --> 0:58:20.040
<v Speaker 2>in some form of legislation that will be leading its

0:58:20.080 --> 0:58:23.640
<v Speaker 2>way to a budget. But the fog that's coming from

0:58:23.720 --> 0:58:26.320
<v Speaker 2>DOGE with the wall of receipts, some of the claims

0:58:26.360 --> 0:58:28.240
<v Speaker 2>that have not turned out to be true. The gutting

0:58:28.240 --> 0:58:33.920
<v Speaker 2>of the IRS means what for our economy? I think

0:58:33.960 --> 0:58:34.760
<v Speaker 2>it means.

0:58:35.960 --> 0:58:42.800
<v Speaker 4>More chaos, higher prices, probably next to no progress on

0:58:42.880 --> 0:58:49.240
<v Speaker 4>the government defficit. Look, the irash needs more workers, not fewer.

0:58:50.040 --> 0:58:53.040
<v Speaker 4>In one recent three year period, there were one hundred

0:58:53.080 --> 0:58:57.040
<v Speaker 4>people who had incomes over ten million dollars who didn't

0:58:57.080 --> 0:59:00.840
<v Speaker 4>even get their returns audited in any way when they

0:59:00.840 --> 0:59:05.840
<v Speaker 4>didn't file any return at all. So, yeah, we got

0:59:05.840 --> 0:59:09.520
<v Speaker 4>to work on the IRS. But when we go cutting

0:59:09.960 --> 0:59:15.280
<v Speaker 4>the air traffic safety systems, when we go slashing thousands

0:59:15.320 --> 0:59:17.920
<v Speaker 4>of people whose job it is to enforce the tax

0:59:18.000 --> 0:59:23.120
<v Speaker 4>law and to man the helplines, and we do it

0:59:23.480 --> 0:59:28.440
<v Speaker 4>on an impulse and a few hours study by a

0:59:28.480 --> 0:59:34.280
<v Speaker 4>person with no past experience in government. See, I think

0:59:34.320 --> 0:59:38.440
<v Speaker 4>that's dangerous. And that's the American part of it. For

0:59:38.520 --> 0:59:43.320
<v Speaker 4>the economy, that's probably what's most important to Americans. I

0:59:43.400 --> 0:59:47.520
<v Speaker 4>have to say that when I read that the United

0:59:47.600 --> 0:59:51.720
<v Speaker 4>States has for decades since President Bush. There was certainly

0:59:51.760 --> 0:59:57.120
<v Speaker 4>no fiery liberal put in place program to build goodwill

0:59:57.200 --> 1:00:00.480
<v Speaker 4>for the United States by providing medicines for AIDS and

1:00:00.520 --> 1:00:05.680
<v Speaker 4>other diseases that has saved millions of lives, saved more

1:00:05.760 --> 1:00:08.840
<v Speaker 4>than a million lives per year. When I see that

1:00:09.000 --> 1:00:13.200
<v Speaker 4>medicine from that program has just been ruthlessly cut off

1:00:13.920 --> 1:00:21.560
<v Speaker 4>despite congressional approval, with no protection or careful thought, and

1:00:21.600 --> 1:00:25.640
<v Speaker 4>that people are dying because the United States just decided

1:00:25.680 --> 1:00:29.600
<v Speaker 4>to go do a bunch of experiments like it was

1:00:29.680 --> 1:00:35.000
<v Speaker 4>a business being restructured, that scares me. So I think

1:00:35.080 --> 1:00:38.800
<v Speaker 4>this is going to be pretty serious for our economy.

1:00:38.880 --> 1:00:43.840
<v Speaker 4>And look, President Trump is someone who has in the past,

1:00:43.920 --> 1:00:48.360
<v Speaker 4>at least always when the stock market went up, he

1:00:48.520 --> 1:00:52.360
<v Speaker 4>was always linking it to what he did. And we

1:00:52.400 --> 1:00:55.040
<v Speaker 4>couldn't have had clearer evidence over the last couple of

1:00:55.120 --> 1:00:59.800
<v Speaker 4>days that when he's pursuing the policies about which he's

1:00:59.800 --> 1:01:05.440
<v Speaker 4>in enthusiastic, the market is plummeting, and when he's reversing course,

1:01:06.240 --> 1:01:09.760
<v Speaker 4>the market is rallying. Yeah, and I hope that'll be

1:01:09.840 --> 1:01:13.080
<v Speaker 4>a lesson on many aspects of the broad approach.

1:01:14.520 --> 1:01:18.280
<v Speaker 12>Well, it also is creating an interesting split screen, mister Secretary,

1:01:18.320 --> 1:01:21.040
<v Speaker 12>because as we have the conversation here about the rattling

1:01:21.120 --> 1:01:23.960
<v Speaker 12>of US equity markets, everything you just talked about in

1:01:24.040 --> 1:01:27.240
<v Speaker 12>terms of what potentially could be happening in the US economy,

1:01:27.280 --> 1:01:29.880
<v Speaker 12>you are seeing a flood of capital into Europe, as

1:01:29.920 --> 1:01:32.000
<v Speaker 12>Germany is now signaling they're going to have a whatever

1:01:32.040 --> 1:01:36.200
<v Speaker 12>it takes approach to increase spending. We've seen a flood

1:01:36.200 --> 1:01:40.360
<v Speaker 12>into European equities, obviously massive action in the boon market today.

1:01:40.480 --> 1:01:43.320
<v Speaker 12>Is this the end potentially of US exceptionalism.

1:01:49.120 --> 1:01:53.840
<v Speaker 4>I think it would be premature to say on the

1:01:53.880 --> 1:01:56.800
<v Speaker 4>basis of anything that happened in a few days or

1:01:56.840 --> 1:02:01.560
<v Speaker 4>even a few weeks, that it was the end US exceptionalism.

1:02:02.240 --> 1:02:06.800
<v Speaker 4>But I will say this, I think the broad approach

1:02:06.880 --> 1:02:10.680
<v Speaker 4>we are taking to the rest of the world represents

1:02:10.800 --> 1:02:17.560
<v Speaker 4>the biggest threat to the US dollars role as the

1:02:17.640 --> 1:02:23.200
<v Speaker 4>central currency in the world economy that we've had in

1:02:23.240 --> 1:02:28.280
<v Speaker 4>the last five decades. And if I were still sitting

1:02:28.320 --> 1:02:34.400
<v Speaker 4>at the Treasury Department, I would be terrified about the

1:02:34.440 --> 1:02:40.400
<v Speaker 4>consequences of the kind of rhetoric that the President is

1:02:40.480 --> 1:02:44.880
<v Speaker 4>engaging in vis a vis other countries. I would be

1:02:44.920 --> 1:02:50.560
<v Speaker 4>alarmed by the way in which China and Europe were

1:02:52.400 --> 1:02:56.000
<v Speaker 4>a trap, being magnets for capital as people rushed out

1:02:56.000 --> 1:03:01.720
<v Speaker 4>of dollars, were increasingly a lot with each other because

1:03:01.760 --> 1:03:09.400
<v Speaker 4>they had both been alienated from us. And knowing that

1:03:09.520 --> 1:03:13.680
<v Speaker 4>I was going to have trillions and trillions of dollars

1:03:13.720 --> 1:03:17.680
<v Speaker 4>that I had to place, and that I was part

1:03:17.720 --> 1:03:22.720
<v Speaker 4>of an administration that was going to raise substantially the

1:03:22.760 --> 1:03:26.600
<v Speaker 4>scale of the national debt with these new ideas like

1:03:26.760 --> 1:03:32.200
<v Speaker 4>not taxing overtime or not taxing tips, and extending the

1:03:32.280 --> 1:03:37.920
<v Speaker 4>tax cuts for businesses and businesses in the wealthy in

1:03:37.960 --> 1:03:41.280
<v Speaker 4>a massive way, so that we were looking at budget

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<v Speaker 4>deficits that could easily exceed two trillion dollars a year.

1:03:45.560 --> 1:03:46.400
<v Speaker 2>I had to plant.

1:03:46.600 --> 1:03:51.360
<v Speaker 4>I had to place all that debt. When the President

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<v Speaker 4>was calling out and yelling and complaining about all the

1:03:56.960 --> 1:04:03.240
<v Speaker 4>countries that were traditionally the biggest buyers of the debt,

1:04:03.320 --> 1:04:06.480
<v Speaker 4>and the President was saying that anything was legal as

1:04:06.480 --> 1:04:08.640
<v Speaker 4>long as it was working for the survival of the

1:04:08.680 --> 1:04:14.280
<v Speaker 4>country and he wanted to do it, I'd be hugely

1:04:14.320 --> 1:04:19.240
<v Speaker 4>alarmed about the role of the dollar in our system,

1:04:20.040 --> 1:04:24.440
<v Speaker 4>and I'd be doing everything I could to try to

1:04:24.480 --> 1:04:30.280
<v Speaker 4>persuade the president to change course. In fairness, I wouldn't

1:04:30.280 --> 1:04:34.120
<v Speaker 4>be doing it publicly. I'd be doing it behind closed doors.

1:04:34.760 --> 1:04:38.680
<v Speaker 4>But we have a Treasury Secretary whose principal comment on

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<v Speaker 4>the President has been to suggest that he should win

1:04:41.200 --> 1:04:45.920
<v Speaker 4>a Nobel prize for his appeasement to President Putin. So

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<v Speaker 4>I think we have a really serious set of issues

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<v Speaker 4>that may loom. There's time to change there's time to

1:04:56.560 --> 1:05:01.720
<v Speaker 4>change course. There's time to limit eight these kinds of tariffs.

1:05:01.720 --> 1:05:07.040
<v Speaker 4>There's time to try to draw on the expertise in

1:05:07.080 --> 1:05:14.160
<v Speaker 4>the Doge in more responsible ways. And if that happens,

1:05:15.240 --> 1:05:19.480
<v Speaker 4>I think things could work out well. But gosh, we're

1:05:19.840 --> 1:05:27.960
<v Speaker 4>looking at some risks and uncertainties of a kind we

1:05:28.160 --> 1:05:33.040
<v Speaker 4>haven't seen before. You know, Wall Street, as you know

1:05:33.640 --> 1:05:36.000
<v Speaker 4>better than I because you report on it all the time.

1:05:36.440 --> 1:05:40.640
<v Speaker 4>Has this thing the VICS so called fear gauge. It

1:05:40.680 --> 1:05:43.960
<v Speaker 4>went up by almost fifty percent in a matter of

1:05:43.960 --> 1:05:47.479
<v Speaker 4>a couple of days because of the things that were

1:05:47.520 --> 1:05:55.840
<v Speaker 4>being said. So I just hope that we can all

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<v Speaker 4>take a deep breath, that we can recognize that there

1:06:02.720 --> 1:06:07.680
<v Speaker 4>are plenty of real problems that need to be addreshed,

1:06:07.800 --> 1:06:12.080
<v Speaker 4>and that the President in his campaign identified some important

1:06:12.080 --> 1:06:15.760
<v Speaker 4>directions in which our country and its economy could be

1:06:15.840 --> 1:06:19.440
<v Speaker 4>made better. But God, the way we're going about it

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<v Speaker 4>is something that seems very scary to me.

1:06:23.960 --> 1:06:27.520
<v Speaker 2>That fix is down today but still holding above twenty two. Larry,

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<v Speaker 2>it's really great to have you with us here on

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<v Speaker 2>Balance of Power. We do appreciate the conversation the former

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<v Speaker 2>US Treasury Secretary of Larry Summers, of course, Harvard University

1:06:34.840 --> 1:06:38.480
<v Speaker 2>President emeritus, with his insights on tariffs, tax cuts, them

1:06:38.480 --> 1:06:41.640
<v Speaker 2>a lot more today in a live conversation on Bloomberg

1:06:41.680 --> 1:06:50.240
<v Speaker 2>TV and radio. Thanks for listening to the Balance of

1:06:50.280 --> 1:06:53.800
<v Speaker 2>Power podcast. Make sure to subscribe if you haven't already,

1:06:53.800 --> 1:06:57.160
<v Speaker 2>at Apple, Spotify, or wherever you get your podcasts, and

1:06:57.200 --> 1:06:59.800
<v Speaker 2>you can find us live every weekday from Washington, DC

1:07:00.000 --> 1:07:02.600
<v Speaker 2>at noontime Eastern at Bloomberg dot com.