1 00:00:01,800 --> 00:00:04,320 Speaker 1: Welcome to brain Stuff, a production of I Heart Radio, 2 00:00:06,640 --> 00:00:10,680 Speaker 1: Hey brain Stuff Lauren Vogelbaum. Here, the critics of any 3 00:00:10,760 --> 00:00:13,640 Speaker 1: US president are quick to blame the commander in chief 4 00:00:13,680 --> 00:00:17,160 Speaker 1: for things that are totally beyond their control. Of course, 5 00:00:17,239 --> 00:00:20,200 Speaker 1: presidents and their supporters are equally quick to take credit 6 00:00:20,239 --> 00:00:22,960 Speaker 1: for things that are beyond their control, and the price 7 00:00:22,960 --> 00:00:26,880 Speaker 1: of gasoline is a perfect example. In fact, one Pew 8 00:00:26,920 --> 00:00:30,080 Speaker 1: research study showed that Democrats believe the president can control 9 00:00:30,120 --> 00:00:32,760 Speaker 1: gas prices when a Republican president is in the White House, 10 00:00:33,040 --> 00:00:36,760 Speaker 1: but not when a Democrat is. Republicans also believed that 11 00:00:36,800 --> 00:00:39,519 Speaker 1: the president controlled gas prices when a Democrat occupied the 12 00:00:39,520 --> 00:00:43,360 Speaker 1: White House, but not when a Republican did. The truth 13 00:00:43,520 --> 00:00:46,920 Speaker 1: is that no president, be they Democrat or Republican, friend 14 00:00:46,960 --> 00:00:50,120 Speaker 1: of big oil, or supporter of alternative fuels, can do 15 00:00:50,400 --> 00:00:52,960 Speaker 1: much of anything to affect these short term at price 16 00:00:52,960 --> 00:00:57,280 Speaker 1: of oil and therefore of gasoline. The overriding factor that 17 00:00:57,320 --> 00:00:59,920 Speaker 1: determines the price of oil from day to day is 18 00:01:00,080 --> 00:01:03,360 Speaker 1: the market principle of supply and demand. It comes down 19 00:01:03,400 --> 00:01:07,000 Speaker 1: to simple economics. When demand is greater than supply, prices rise. 20 00:01:08,480 --> 00:01:11,760 Speaker 1: The actual price of a barrel of oil is constantly changing. 21 00:01:12,000 --> 00:01:15,160 Speaker 1: Since oil is a commodity that's traded on the futures market, 22 00:01:15,760 --> 00:01:19,360 Speaker 1: buying and selling oil futures is called speculating because you're 23 00:01:19,400 --> 00:01:22,840 Speaker 1: making trades based on expectations of future supply and demand, 24 00:01:24,280 --> 00:01:28,040 Speaker 1: and for a while demand with skyrocketing. After the Great 25 00:01:28,080 --> 00:01:32,440 Speaker 1: Recession ended, demand steadily increased as the global economy recovered. 26 00:01:32,800 --> 00:01:36,000 Speaker 1: To match that demand, US oil production rose dramatically, from 27 00:01:36,000 --> 00:01:38,440 Speaker 1: around five thousand barrels a day in two thousand nine 28 00:01:38,720 --> 00:01:41,720 Speaker 1: to a record high of thirteen thousand, one hundred barrels 29 00:01:41,720 --> 00:01:45,440 Speaker 1: a day in early due in large part to the 30 00:01:45,560 --> 00:01:50,480 Speaker 1: drilling technology called hydraulic fracturing or fracking. American oil producers 31 00:01:50,480 --> 00:01:53,280 Speaker 1: were able to keep pace with demand and keep gasoline 32 00:01:53,280 --> 00:01:59,560 Speaker 1: prices stable, but on March six, crude oil went as 33 00:01:59,640 --> 00:02:02,200 Speaker 1: high as a hundred and thirty dollars and fifty cents 34 00:02:02,200 --> 00:02:05,640 Speaker 1: of barrel overnight, the highest price since two thousand and eight, 35 00:02:05,800 --> 00:02:08,480 Speaker 1: just before the Great Recession caused a huge drop in demand. 36 00:02:09,280 --> 00:02:11,640 Speaker 1: Prices then settled at around a hundred and twenty dollars 37 00:02:11,680 --> 00:02:16,320 Speaker 1: of barrel, which is still high historically. Reports indicated that 38 00:02:16,360 --> 00:02:19,680 Speaker 1: the spike was due to supply disruptions resulting from Russia's 39 00:02:19,720 --> 00:02:23,399 Speaker 1: invasion of Ukraine combined with the market forecasting the possibility 40 00:02:23,440 --> 00:02:26,040 Speaker 1: of a US ban on Russian oil, which did come 41 00:02:26,040 --> 00:02:30,960 Speaker 1: to pass. So if gasoline prices are largely at the 42 00:02:31,000 --> 00:02:34,280 Speaker 1: mercy of global fluctuations in supply and demand, what can 43 00:02:34,320 --> 00:02:38,200 Speaker 1: a president actually do, if anything, to influence gas prices. 44 00:02:39,560 --> 00:02:42,640 Speaker 1: What about increasing the oil supply? But can't the president 45 00:02:42,680 --> 00:02:46,959 Speaker 1: boost US production? It's true that aggressive increases in US 46 00:02:47,000 --> 00:02:50,320 Speaker 1: oil production would bring the global supply for oil closer 47 00:02:50,360 --> 00:02:53,519 Speaker 1: to the demand. However, the US is such a small 48 00:02:53,560 --> 00:02:57,000 Speaker 1: player on the international oil scene America controls only four 49 00:02:57,040 --> 00:03:00,120 Speaker 1: percent of the world's oil reserves that even if the 50 00:03:00,200 --> 00:03:03,639 Speaker 1: US doubled its current production capacity, it still wouldn't make 51 00:03:03,720 --> 00:03:06,400 Speaker 1: much of a dent. It would also take a number 52 00:03:06,440 --> 00:03:09,600 Speaker 1: of years to assemble the drilling rigs, pipelines, and crew 53 00:03:09,680 --> 00:03:12,840 Speaker 1: to make that kind of production increase, meaning oil prices 54 00:03:12,880 --> 00:03:17,000 Speaker 1: would be unaffected in the short term. The only way 55 00:03:17,000 --> 00:03:20,000 Speaker 1: the president can quickly boost the oil supply to lower 56 00:03:20,000 --> 00:03:24,000 Speaker 1: gasoline prices is by tapping the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, an 57 00:03:24,000 --> 00:03:27,160 Speaker 1: emergency stockpile of more than seven hundred million barrels of 58 00:03:27,160 --> 00:03:31,919 Speaker 1: crude oil stored along the US Gulf Coast, it's happened before. 59 00:03:32,600 --> 00:03:36,480 Speaker 1: In June, President Barack Obama released thirty million barrels of 60 00:03:36,520 --> 00:03:39,560 Speaker 1: oil from the emergency reserves in response to the crises 61 00:03:39,600 --> 00:03:43,120 Speaker 1: in Libya and Yemen. The President George Bush also tapped 62 00:03:43,160 --> 00:03:46,880 Speaker 1: the reserves, and the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina, temporarily lowering 63 00:03:46,880 --> 00:03:51,000 Speaker 1: gas prices tend to fifteent and President Joe Biden has 64 00:03:51,000 --> 00:03:53,880 Speaker 1: announced plans that will raise the total of reserve oil 65 00:03:53,960 --> 00:03:56,880 Speaker 1: released this year to a hundred and eighty million barrels. 66 00:03:57,360 --> 00:04:02,000 Speaker 1: Over four hundred million barrels are still in reserve. One 67 00:04:02,080 --> 00:04:05,119 Speaker 1: other way the president can influence gas prices is by 68 00:04:05,200 --> 00:04:08,880 Speaker 1: changing the gasoline tax, which is currently at eighteen point 69 00:04:08,920 --> 00:04:12,560 Speaker 1: four san sa galen, but this has been unchanged since 70 00:04:13,960 --> 00:04:16,159 Speaker 1: and is not likely to move as there are a 71 00:04:16,240 --> 00:04:19,600 Speaker 1: lot of political implications involved with raising or lowering it. 72 00:04:20,360 --> 00:04:23,560 Speaker 1: Abiding called for Congress to enact day federal gasolene tax 73 00:04:23,640 --> 00:04:26,719 Speaker 1: holiday over the summer of two to ease prices, but 74 00:04:26,960 --> 00:04:30,760 Speaker 1: nothing came of it. As we've discussed in previous episodes, 75 00:04:31,080 --> 00:04:34,159 Speaker 1: states can change their own gas taxes a little more easily, 76 00:04:34,400 --> 00:04:37,880 Speaker 1: and some have done so during this election season, possibly 77 00:04:38,000 --> 00:04:45,719 Speaker 1: to curry favor with voters. Today's episode is based on 78 00:04:45,720 --> 00:04:48,560 Speaker 1: the article can the President Control gas Prices? On how 79 00:04:48,600 --> 00:04:51,680 Speaker 1: stuff works dot Com, written by Dave Rouse. Brainstuff is 80 00:04:51,680 --> 00:04:53,840 Speaker 1: production of I Heart Radio in partnership with how stuff 81 00:04:53,880 --> 00:04:56,520 Speaker 1: works dot Com, and it's produced by Tyler Klang. Four 82 00:04:56,600 --> 00:04:59,360 Speaker 1: more podcasts from my heart Radio. 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