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Speaker 1: The Action Network podcast Action.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go in front of the test

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Speaker 2: throwing out so spect we're saying.

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Speaker 3: It's a cash touchdowns.

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Speaker 1: We see most gamble is when they go to gamble,

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Speaker 1: they go to win.

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Speaker 3: That's incredible.

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Speaker 2: Being bank small banks, I like to make money.

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Speaker 3: All right, this is the ultimate combine if you want

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Speaker 3: to fall. And we are underway.

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Speaker 2: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast presented by DraftKings. I

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Speaker 2: am your host, Evan Abrams, and I'm joined by Brandon

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Speaker 2: Anderson for our NFL recap show. We will discuss what

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Speaker 2: we saw today, look ahead briefly to Monday night football games.

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Speaker 2: There are two plus we'll get Brandon's hot read for

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Speaker 2: next week. But before we get started, I have a

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Speaker 2: few notes, just some things from the day, kind of

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Speaker 2: to get us started. Get Brandon's thoughts to get during

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Speaker 2: the slates. So Baltimore one in five against the spread.

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Speaker 2: Now obviously no Lamar Jackson, but worst mark in the NFL.

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Speaker 2: And I found this as interesting. They are the first

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Speaker 2: team with an eleven plus win total to start one

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Speaker 2: in five ats since the Patriots in twenty seventeen and

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Speaker 2: Seahawks in twenty fifteen did that as well. You've seen

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Speaker 2: it on a few different places. But teams with sixty

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Speaker 2: plus percent of tickets two and five hts this week

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Speaker 2: fifteen and thirty five now ats or the season under

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Speaker 2: five hundred in all six weeks. Pretty crazy. So that

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Speaker 2: kind of continued on today's slate. And here's just a

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Speaker 2: fun one. So Daniel Jones four to oh straight up

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Speaker 2: is a favorite this year, the most profitable quarterback on

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Speaker 2: the money line this season, Jackson Dart at two and

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Speaker 2: one plus four fifty based off his money line, and

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Speaker 2: today favorites went eleven and one straight up, eleven and

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Speaker 2: two this week with the Giants up. Said of the Eagles,

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Speaker 2: of course, favorites go five to nine straight up last week,

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Speaker 2: So I wanted to see if there was a little

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Speaker 2: bit of a bounce back. We got it. Carolina was

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Speaker 2: the only upset beating Dallas. Any thoughts there, Brandon before

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Speaker 2: we get to Sunday Night football.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, you led with the stat on our Friday podcast

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Speaker 4: about the bounce back possibility that that's kind of what

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Speaker 4: typically happens after the big upset week, and we you know,

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Speaker 4: we saw it. We see maybe it's that the favorites

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Speaker 4: have the wake up call maybe it's that the underdog

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Speaker 4: lines are getting a bit inflated. We often see the

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Speaker 4: bounce back spot, you know, in some of these lines,

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Speaker 4: and yeah, man, Ravens one five is just wild. Like

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Speaker 4: we we joined here five weeks ago tonight as we

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Speaker 4: got ready to recap Sunday Night Football, as we giggled

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Speaker 4: along at the Ravens demolishing the Bills for like fifty

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Speaker 4: five minutes, and it was like, man, it's the Ravens

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Speaker 4: and everybody else, and then it wasn't anymore by the

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Speaker 4: time we hit record and pretty much nothing has gone

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Speaker 4: right for them since then. And Steelers beat the Browns.

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Speaker 4: We'll get to that one eventually. Pittsburgh is like running

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Speaker 4: away with a division and it's mid October at this point.

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Speaker 4: So Baltimore finally into its bye a week they badly

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Speaker 4: need it. But at one in five you have almost

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Speaker 4: no margin for era left even to make the playoffs

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Speaker 4: at this point, so it's it is a pretty shocking collapse.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, defense look better. We'll talk about Baltimore, really we won't,

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Speaker 2: because who cares about the game today, But true defense better,

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Speaker 2: Lamar coming up, you know, et cetera, et cetera. Let's

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Speaker 2: get to Sunda Night football. So Kansas City wins a

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Speaker 2: game thirty to seventeen covers as a two and a

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Speaker 2: half point favorite. Total goes under fifty one and a

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Speaker 2: half on the close. To me, the way you start

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Speaker 2: this game, I thought it was pretty interesting from a

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Speaker 2: market point of view. And you saw this on DraftKings

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Speaker 2: as well. When I checked today about twenty five percent

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Speaker 2: of bets on the Chiefs here at action, we had

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Speaker 2: twenty two percent tickets on the close. That would be

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Speaker 2: the lowest of any start in Patrick Mahomes's career. Interesting enough,

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Speaker 2: thirty five percent or less, this would be the third

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Speaker 2: time he's won all those games, as he did tonight.

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Speaker 2: To me off the bat, and I'll get your thoughts

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Speaker 2: on this after I say it. But Detroit starts fifteen plays,

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Speaker 2: sixty one yard drive, nine nine off the clock, and

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Speaker 2: then the first touchdown comes off the board, and that's

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Speaker 2: I feel like they try to set a precedence off

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Speaker 2: the bat. It worked, and then just kicking the field

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Speaker 2: goal kind of lost a little bit of momentum. But

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Speaker 2: what are your thoughts in the game as a whole.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, as the as a guy that took the under

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Speaker 4: that opening ten minute drive that settled in a field goal.

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Speaker 4: Was just like chef's kiss, Like you can't ask for

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Speaker 4: a better start to the under for that, and it

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Speaker 4: turns out we pretty much needed it because it was

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Speaker 4: getting sweaty there near the end. Jared Goff scores the touchdown.

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Speaker 4: Right he goes under center, he rolls out or I

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Speaker 4: don't know if it's called rollout, but what you know,

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Speaker 4: goes in motion before the.

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Speaker 3: Snap and then get the catch.

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Speaker 4: Honestly, was it I think Gibbs or I forget Gibbs

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Speaker 4: or mont Gamy threw the ball. Good on Golf for

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Speaker 4: catching it at the alman Ros block actually is what

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Speaker 4: scored the touchdown, Like he just pulled the guy over,

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Speaker 4: but then it gets waved. Golf Golf was one hundred

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Speaker 4: to one for first touchdown. My buddy Andy had that

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Speaker 4: ticket that that is a bad beat to end all

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Speaker 4: bad beats to get that taken off the board. But yeah,

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Speaker 4: from there, really the first half and kind of throughout

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Speaker 4: went sort of what we said what was going to happen,

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Speaker 4: where neither defense really did a lot. They just sort

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Speaker 4: of did just enough to hit an under as both

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Speaker 4: offenses fifty seven percent success for the Chiefs, fifty two

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Speaker 4: for the Lions. Those are great numbers. That that's you,

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Speaker 4: you know, you are maticulating the ball down the field.

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Speaker 4: It's just that a couple of times the Lions made

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Speaker 4: tiny mistakes. They didn't convert either of their fourth down attempts,

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Speaker 4: obviously the one at the end of the game, but

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Speaker 4: the key one early is a fourth down Tom and

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Speaker 4: raw that it is going to be one of his

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Speaker 4: like three drops of the entire season, Like he never

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Speaker 4: ever drops that pass, and that takes presumably points off

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Speaker 4: the board as the Lions were driving, instead gives the

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Speaker 4: Chiefs the ball.

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Speaker 3: And that's pretty much it.

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Speaker 4: Like, these teams are so good and playing so well

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Speaker 4: right now that one or two mistakes really swings the

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Speaker 4: whole game. And I think you have to come away saying, Okay,

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Speaker 4: these teams are both awesome, and if we played that

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Speaker 4: game again, it would be awesome again. And like, quite frankly,

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Speaker 4: I think it's a very real chance we get to

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Speaker 4: see these teams play, and I think this could be

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Speaker 4: a Super Bowl preview and we get to see them

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Speaker 4: play again in February.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, So my room just remarks on the game in

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Speaker 2: terms of the pivotal points. Detroit is ninety two rushing

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Speaker 2: yards in the first half, most in the first half

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Speaker 2: this season for them, And then I look at the

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Speaker 2: box score and they have ninety eight rushing yards at

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Speaker 2: the end of the game. So people can do the

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Speaker 2: math out there, and even if the mass a little

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Speaker 2: bit different in terms of net yards, it's still only

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Speaker 2: six yards and half. So something changed there which I

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Speaker 2: think hurt them a little bit. And the first thing

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Speaker 2: I look at is this the second aid call. It's

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Speaker 2: a minus three yard pass to give short to the

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Speaker 2: left that created the third and eleven on that first

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Speaker 2: drive out of the half. Basically, with Kansas City, especially

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Speaker 2: the way their offense is going, you just can't fall

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Speaker 2: a possession behind a drive behind. Every punt is allowing

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Speaker 2: them to punt or either not for a touchdown. And

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Speaker 2: in this case, they kept scoring, whether it's field goals

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Speaker 2: or touchdowns, and the lead was too much and there

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Speaker 2: wasn't enough possessions left in the game. That's kind of

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Speaker 2: the way I looked at it. But from Detroit's point

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Speaker 2: of view, last two drives, seven plays, five total yards,

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Speaker 2: that's not going to be Kansas City.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, we saw again, and the announcer has captured it.

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Speaker 4: While the Lions are doing great as long as they

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Speaker 4: stay front runners. As soon as Jared gomp has to pass,

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Speaker 4: whether it's a third and long or whether it's the

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Speaker 4: end of the game trailing, that's not the script you want.

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Speaker 4: It's not that he can't, but it's just not you know,

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Speaker 4: it's some where we talk about indoor outdoor with Jared Goff,

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Speaker 4: and I think people misinterpreted the last like, no, golf

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Speaker 4: is not terrible outdoors, He's just invincible indoors. He's still

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Speaker 4: pretty good outdoors too, and the lines are pretty good

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Speaker 4: there too.

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Speaker 3: As we saw tonight, they still you know, did plenty.

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Speaker 3: It's not like we.

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Speaker 4: Saw the weather be really a factor at all here. Yeah,

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Speaker 4: it's just it's the small things. And I think, you know,

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Speaker 4: Chiefs start zero and two and now here we are.

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Speaker 4: They look all the way back right, first two games

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Speaker 4: of the season at oh and two that have forty

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Speaker 4: three percent success rate offensively the last two games now

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Speaker 4: sixty four percent.

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Speaker 3: Leads the league.

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Speaker 4: So from bottom ten the first two weeks to number one.

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Speaker 4: And by the way, this was the sixth game where

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Speaker 4: she rises back. Now going forward, the star receiver that, Like,

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Speaker 4: I don't know if even people quite realize how good

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Speaker 4: he is for them and how important he is just

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Speaker 4: the yack monster and in their offense with that short

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Speaker 4: passing game. And now you got Juju going tonight. You

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Speaker 4: got Hollywood scoring two touchdowns, Worthy gets a touchdown, Kelsey's

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Speaker 4: making a few key plays on third down. Now you

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Speaker 4: get Rashi Rice back in the mix. I think they're

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Speaker 4: into the bye week, so he'll come back after that.

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Speaker 4: Check if you play fantasy, check your waiver wire and

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Speaker 4: absolutely make sure this week, don't wait around telf to

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Speaker 4: the bye.

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Speaker 3: Get Rashi Rice.

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Speaker 4: On your roster. He is a top ten probably fantasy receiver.

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Speaker 4: The rest of the way. Yeah, I'd note about the

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Speaker 4: Lions run game. Great in the first half, but overall

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Speaker 4: give sixty five yards Montgomery only four carries twenty four.

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Speaker 4: Chiefs are going to take that against the Lions, and

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Speaker 4: am And ran nine catches only forty five yards. The

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Speaker 4: Lions just couldn't get chunk plays. The Chiefs were a

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Speaker 4: bend but don't break, and the defense did just enough

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Speaker 4: on a couple of plays on third down and fourth

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Speaker 4: down to make the difference.

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Speaker 3: Nine.

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Speaker 4: Detroit finished five of eleven on third down and then

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Speaker 4: zero and two on the fourth down.

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Speaker 3: So that's it.

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Speaker 4: You made a couple of stops. This thirty to seventeen

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Speaker 4: feel like maybe not the shootout we expected, but it

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Speaker 4: wasn't that the offenses were great. We just ran out

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Speaker 4: of time because the offenses were so good and they

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Speaker 4: kept grinding the clock down.

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Speaker 3: So both team's good.

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Speaker 4: I don't think the Lions really have anything to hang

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Speaker 4: their head about here, and Detroit is gonna get healthier,

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Speaker 4: just like the Chiefs getting their guys back, the Lions

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Speaker 4: should start to get some more guys back. And they

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Speaker 4: were shorthanded here on the line in the second areya,

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Speaker 4: and I think we kind of saw.

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Speaker 3: That playout as well. So Detroit's two.

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Speaker 4: Losses now, and they really have lost the two big

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Speaker 4: games and won the other games. But I actually feel

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Speaker 4: like I learned the most I have about Detroit in

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Speaker 4: this game, even in a loss, I feel better about

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Speaker 4: them now.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. Detroit gets Tampa Bay next on Monday Night Football

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Speaker 2: next week, which kind of fascinating in itself. Great game.

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Speaker 2: Kansas City gets the Raiders, which always creates some problems

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Speaker 2: for them in different categories. The ones that I thought

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Speaker 2: was interesting which says a lot about the game biggest

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Speaker 2: play by expected points at it to night, Mahomes touched

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Speaker 2: under Worthy in the first quarter. Now that's not happened

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Speaker 2: in this game. That changed much. So I felt like

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Speaker 2: once that happened and Detroit didn't score early again, just

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Speaker 2: a possession behind. And one last thing, when Casey has

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Speaker 2: no penalties and no turnovers, that is not away. You're

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Speaker 2: gonna beat Kansas City and Patrick Mahomes. I looked it up.

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Speaker 2: Kansas City thirty seven and five straight up under five

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Speaker 2: penalties since twenty nineteen. It just if you don't make

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Speaker 2: them make mistakes, you're just gonna lose the game nine

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Speaker 2: at a ten times. So you mentioned Rashi Rice, it'll

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Speaker 2: be nice Rashi Rice, Kelsey Schuster, Hollywood Worthy. Like you

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Speaker 2: start getting some people back here, they become more dangerous.

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Speaker 2: All right, you ready roll? Keep going?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I said the Chiefs had a buy next week

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Speaker 4: home against the Raiders. Buzz close to get to a

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Speaker 4: buy anyway, So I don't feel like that's all that wrong.

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Speaker 4: And Lions bocks little teaser. We'll be coming back to

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Speaker 4: that one in about forty minutes as we wrap up

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Speaker 4: this podcast.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I was shocked to see. And I'll confirm this again.

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Speaker 2: That is not the highest total next week, or maybe

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Speaker 2: it is its tide for the highest tide we got.

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Speaker 4: What's no Washington Dallas, I believe is the highest. Right,

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Speaker 4: We're gonna see a lot of points on that one.

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Speaker 4: I won't get to the Dallas game in a bet,

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Speaker 4: but take the over in Dallas games. Goodness, Start all

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Speaker 4: your fantasy players and take all the overs they get

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Speaker 4: in points in those games.

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Speaker 2: All right, Let's move forward to what was I guess

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Speaker 2: maybe the second best game in terms of record, just overall,

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Speaker 2: maybe importance Seattle Jacksonville. Seattle beats Jacksonville twenty to twelve,

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Speaker 2: closed minus one and a half, goes under forty seven

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Speaker 2: and a half. Listen. I saw a lot of people

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Speaker 2: on Seattle today and I personally was skeptical. I didn't

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Speaker 2: really touch this game. It wasn't enough for me to

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Speaker 2: bet Jacksonville. But I was wrong. Like Seattle was the

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Speaker 2: right side almost the entire way. Like Jacksonville seemed distraught,

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Speaker 2: like they disorganized. They were nineteen to fifty nine on

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Speaker 2: the ground, they had ten penalties, they had no red

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Speaker 2: own trips. Some things went right, but hard to overcome

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Speaker 2: those three things after a short week and a great

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Speaker 2: win against the Chiefs. So also no turnovers when you

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Speaker 2: had fourteen entering today, Like, that's going to be something

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Speaker 2: that's hard to get over, especially when you've been relying

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Speaker 2: on that lately. How about this one since Trevor's first

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Speaker 2: season in twenty one, Jags four and twenty eight straight

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Speaker 2: up when opponent doesn't turn it over. So something they're

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Speaker 2: definitely relying on in that sense. But a few other things.

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Speaker 2: But what are your thoughts on Seattle Jacksonville as a whole.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, a lot of defense in this game.

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Speaker 4: We had fifteen punts here, so just defense is stepping

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Speaker 4: up and neither offense was. Really when you look at

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Speaker 4: you hear a lot about success rate in EPA. So

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Speaker 4: just a little like a reminder slash lesson on the

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Speaker 4: difference of those successes down to down. If it's first

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Speaker 4: down and ten and you pick up six yards, you

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Speaker 4: were successful. You got over half your yardage. Very successful.

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Speaker 4: But on that same play, if you throw an eight

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Speaker 4: r touchdown, you're still successful. Those are the exact same

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Speaker 4: outcome for success rate, but for EPA it's a huge

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Speaker 4: swing of the difference. So Seattle. In this game, neither

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Speaker 4: team had great success rate thirty eight percent Seattle thirty

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Speaker 4: six percent Jackson Those are not good numbers. The defenses

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Speaker 4: were winning, but Seattle the big plays. Jaysn had the

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Speaker 4: sixty one yeard bomber early the one play drive touchdown.

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Speaker 4: We talked with us on the cap, Greg Newsom, the

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Speaker 4: new cornerback Jacksonville just traded for They said, okay, Buddy,

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Speaker 4: go go try to guard Smith and Jigma and Smith

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Speaker 4: and Giba had eight catches for one hundred and sixty

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Speaker 4: two yards in a score, so that did not go well.

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Speaker 4: Welcome to the team, thanks for joining. Yes, Seattle continues

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Speaker 4: to rip open the field with explosive passing plays and somehow,

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Speaker 4: I don't know how many names you'd have to allow

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Speaker 4: me to mad libs into the sentence. Six weeks into

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Speaker 4: the year, Sam Darnold, the Jaysn has become like the

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Speaker 4: play of the year in football, and they just continue

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Speaker 4: light things up. Donald two scores almost three hundred yards.

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Speaker 4: Jayson is putting up huge numbers on the flip side.

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Speaker 4: Key stat Trevor Lawrence got sacked seven times in this game.

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Speaker 4: Trevor Lawrence does not get sacked. You can say a

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Speaker 4: lot of things about him, but he doesn't take sacks.

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Speaker 4: He gets the ball out pretty quick. He got pressured

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Speaker 4: over fifty percent of a snaps this game. Season high

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Speaker 4: had been thirty three percent. That's not a Lawrence stat

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Speaker 4: as much as that is a Seattle defense stat. That

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Speaker 4: is a Mike McDonald's stat, and especially this game, as

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Speaker 4: Seattle's secondary is banged up, getting to the quarterback and

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Speaker 4: making that giving him trouble all game, that's a huge,

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Speaker 4: huge difference maker. So Seattle, for both teams now are

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Speaker 4: four and two. I think that feels about right. I

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Speaker 4: think Jacksonville was a bit inflated. I thought Seattle was

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Speaker 4: a bit underrated. Now they're both the same, four and two.

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Speaker 4: Interesting games for both teams. Like to me, the takeaway

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Speaker 4: here is these are just both good teams, and we

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Speaker 4: got to watch them. We get to accept them as

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Speaker 4: contents now going forward, and we will watch them because

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Speaker 4: next week both are in Island games. Jacksonville Sunday morning

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Speaker 4: against the Rams, probably our best Sunday morning game of

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Speaker 4: the season Jags Rams, that's a fun one. And then

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Speaker 4: Seattle Monday night against the Texans. I will probably be

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Speaker 4: on Seattle in that game, and somehow right at a

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Speaker 4: field goal in this one, but I think we.

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Speaker 3: Might get below the three.

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Speaker 4: If we get there, I'll probably be sniping down early

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Speaker 4: this week. But yeah, just good teams, good setup for both.

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Speaker 4: My question for you, Evan, if one of them was

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Speaker 4: gonna win an award. Sam Darnold is now number one

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Speaker 4: EPA per play plus CPOE that alis bodes well for MVP.

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Speaker 3: Is it Sam for MVP or is it Jaysen for

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Speaker 3: Offensive Player of the Year.

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Speaker 4: I think both might be in a play. Now, which

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Speaker 4: one would you want? Which ticket would you look for?

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Speaker 2: I don't know the odds currently, but I'd probably take JSN.

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Speaker 2: I think everything. I mean, they're very correlated in life

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Speaker 2: US there's an injury on JSN side or Sam starts

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Speaker 2: throwing interceptions. I kind of skew the stats a little

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Speaker 2: bit on his end, but I would probably rather the

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Speaker 2: JSN ticket. What he's doing, I mean, leading the leading

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Speaker 2: receiving yards, the gaps pretty wide. The sixteen point five

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Speaker 2: to seven yards per reception is absurd, absurd on forty

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Speaker 2: two catches, so all of it downfield. It seems like

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Speaker 2: him and Darnold have like not only a good connection,

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Speaker 2: but a good deep connection, which is really boosting his

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Speaker 2: stats overall. I mean he's hit the over his receiving

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Speaker 2: yards in five or six games. In one game he didn't.

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Speaker 2: He went under by two yards against Arizona. The six

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Speaker 2: ninety six through six is a Seattle record for him

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Speaker 2: in terms of receiving yards. I mean, he's going absolutely

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Speaker 2: nuts right now. I was actually gonna ask you this question,

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Speaker 2: so my answer is JSN. But in terms of like

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Speaker 2: wide receivers as a whole, I even thought this, and

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Speaker 2: I'll answer the question before, but I was like, name

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Speaker 2: your top three, top four, top five wide receivers you

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Speaker 2: would want entering week seven. I came up with, I

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Speaker 2: think it's still Puka. I think JSN is two or three.

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Speaker 2: I think Amanra two or three. I think you still

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Speaker 2: have to have Jefferson and Chase up there, and then

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Speaker 2: the other one was worthy I was looking at. But

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Speaker 2: to me, JSN based off of just what he's doing again,

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Speaker 2: length of the field and the connection with Darnold is ridiculous.

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Speaker 4: Are we talking if I'm ranking? Am I ranking just

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Speaker 4: like what receiver do I want to win a football game?

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Speaker 4: Or am I looking like fantasy stats are overs.

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Speaker 2: You're trying to win a football game with the guy

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Speaker 2: who's playing really well, things of that nature.

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Speaker 4: So so I mean, I feel like I have to

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Speaker 4: still penalize Jamar Chase a little bit in that mix,

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Speaker 4: just because Flacco is certainly a little better than it

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Speaker 4: was going with Browning. But I can't quite get there yet,

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Speaker 4: and to an extent, probably Jefferson as well, until we

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Speaker 4: can see once JJ McCarthy's back that he can get

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Speaker 4: him the ball enough, I think you have the right

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Speaker 4: top three, except we're not gonna spend much time on

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Speaker 4: it because it was a dreadful game to watch. Puku

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Speaker 4: Nakua got hurt today as well, so we'll see. I

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Speaker 4: don't think that looked too serious, but I wouldn't be surprised.

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Speaker 4: I think they play in London Sunday morning and then

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Speaker 4: have a bye week, so he could mess. That was

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Speaker 4: another one I looked at as a hot read because

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Speaker 4: I like the Rams in that game. But if Puka's out,

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Speaker 4: that's a pretty big loss for them. It's their two

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Speaker 4: star receivers and not a lot of depth there, so

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Speaker 4: that will be interesting. He has a history of kind

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Speaker 4: of like getting an injury and taking a while to

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Speaker 4: get back to top speed again, So jays N might

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Speaker 4: be the guy, like I think aman Ra all around,

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Speaker 4: I think is the dude I'm looking right now. I'm

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Speaker 4: seeing Amana for Offensive Player of the Year somewhere like

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Speaker 4: twenty to twenty five at books to one, and Jaysn

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Speaker 4: we might.

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Speaker 3: Be too late.

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Speaker 4: It looks like he was about fifteen to one before

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Speaker 4: the games. He's like five to one or six to

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Speaker 4: one at books now that are open again. So I

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Speaker 4: still think Offensive Player of the Year tends to be a

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Speaker 4: receiver's award, but it seems this year, like Jonathan Taylor

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Speaker 4: and McCaffrey, some of the running backs seem to be

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Speaker 4: more taking the lead there. MVP is tough. We'll have

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Speaker 4: other names that I mention as well, but Sam Donald

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Speaker 4: if you're looking for more of odds, Sam Donald's a

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Speaker 4: little further down the list as far as kind of

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Speaker 4: bang for your buck. But I just it's I don't know, man.

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Speaker 4: Do you think voters are ready? Are the voters ready

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Speaker 4: to vote for Sam Donald for MVP? That's tough, But

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Speaker 4: are they ready to vote for Jared Goff? Are they

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Speaker 4: ready to vote for Baker Mayfield? Is the same question

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Speaker 4: about all the guys who have the season ended right

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Speaker 4: now probably should be in the MVP ballot.

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Speaker 2: I think Baker is more getting the attention than Donald is.

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Speaker 2: The one thing I'll say about Donald faces Washington coming

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Speaker 2: out of his bye week. I believe that's on Sunday

417
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Speaker 2: Night football. Like I think he needs one or two

418
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Speaker 2: more primetime big game, win the game connect with JSN

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Speaker 2: to kind of help his campaign a little bit. It

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Speaker 2: looks like he is too. I mean primetime games. You know,

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Speaker 2: you can get fleck and things of that nature when

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Speaker 2: it's Sunday Night football. But Washington and the Rams look

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Speaker 2: like his two primetime games coming up. The rest. You

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Speaker 2: know he's gonna be in that four o'clock window a

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Speaker 2: lot in Seattle and things of that nature. So maybe

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Speaker 2: a few more eyes. But the one note on Seattle,

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Speaker 2: which has to be said before you move on, Mike

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Speaker 2: McDonald ten and one straight up, seven three and one

429
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Speaker 2: nings he has on the road home only four and

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Speaker 2: eight straight up, So a little bit awkward there, but

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Speaker 2: that has been I think he's won nine or ten

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Speaker 2: straight on the road as well. But I know the

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Speaker 2: ten and one number is where he's at right now.

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Speaker 2: So just absolutely nails. Okay, you ready to keep rolling?

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00:21:37,240 --> 00:21:41,720
Speaker 2: That's wrong, all right? San Francisco and Tampa Bay. Tampa

436
00:21:41,760 --> 00:21:45,240
Speaker 2: Bay wins the game thirty to nineteen, cover the three

437
00:21:45,320 --> 00:21:48,800
Speaker 2: and a half point favorites. Total goes over forty seven.

438
00:21:49,200 --> 00:21:51,520
Speaker 2: I feel like the start here off the top is

439
00:21:51,560 --> 00:21:55,320
Speaker 2: probably Fred Warner. I feel like every week it's another

440
00:21:55,400 --> 00:21:58,840
Speaker 2: player added to the list, and you know, as they

441
00:21:59,320 --> 00:22:03,320
Speaker 2: get clustered and get put together, they become worth more

442
00:22:03,440 --> 00:22:06,200
Speaker 2: obviously as a whole. But this week it's Warner. It's

443
00:22:06,200 --> 00:22:08,720
Speaker 2: an ankle injury. Didn't look good. Believe he's done for

444
00:22:08,760 --> 00:22:11,320
Speaker 2: the year. Boas is done as well. Like San Francisco

445
00:22:11,359 --> 00:22:13,439
Speaker 2: at this point is just hitting a wall, and you

446
00:22:13,440 --> 00:22:15,400
Speaker 2: saw it in this game. There just wasn't enough there,

447
00:22:15,520 --> 00:22:17,679
Speaker 2: even though it felt like everybody on the field was

448
00:22:17,960 --> 00:22:20,359
Speaker 2: doing everything they could, except for maybe Mac Jones in

449
00:22:20,440 --> 00:22:23,800
Speaker 2: this one. Maybe if you'd turnovers didn't help. But at

450
00:22:23,800 --> 00:22:28,480
Speaker 2: the moment, San Francisco four and two, tied with Seattle

451
00:22:28,520 --> 00:22:32,560
Speaker 2: and the Rams Cardinals are two and four. Just overall

452
00:22:32,560 --> 00:22:34,359
Speaker 2: perspective on what you saw here, and then I can

453
00:22:34,400 --> 00:22:35,520
Speaker 2: go over a few nuggets.

454
00:22:36,119 --> 00:22:38,520
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's really less about the game here. I think

455
00:22:38,560 --> 00:22:41,280
Speaker 4: the game was kind of the secondary result for the box.

456
00:22:41,320 --> 00:22:44,880
Speaker 4: Agguca leaves hurt, so yet another receiver injury for them.

457
00:22:44,960 --> 00:22:48,360
Speaker 4: That's all top of guys, he's got a hamstring. Typically

458
00:22:48,359 --> 00:22:50,200
Speaker 4: that's gonna be a couple of weeks, so we'll see

459
00:22:50,200 --> 00:22:50,800
Speaker 4: how that goes.

460
00:22:50,880 --> 00:22:52,160
Speaker 3: We don't know yet. Obviously.

461
00:22:52,640 --> 00:22:55,639
Speaker 4: I think probably Evans or Godwin armed out too long either,

462
00:22:55,800 --> 00:22:58,520
Speaker 4: but in the short term they might be with without

463
00:22:58,560 --> 00:23:01,760
Speaker 4: all three next game. But yeah, I think not a

464
00:23:01,800 --> 00:23:05,200
Speaker 4: lot of takeaway from the game itself. Mac Jones six sacks,

465
00:23:05,320 --> 00:23:09,719
Speaker 4: two interceptions lost to fumble. To me, obviously, that's too

466
00:23:09,720 --> 00:23:12,840
Speaker 4: many mistakes. Like, that's nine big mistakes. That's where you

467
00:23:12,880 --> 00:23:15,280
Speaker 4: need Perry. Perdy is able to give you some of

468
00:23:15,320 --> 00:23:17,879
Speaker 4: the upside max through for three hundred and fifty yards.

469
00:23:18,240 --> 00:23:21,760
Speaker 4: But Perdy can cut the mistakes. He's still gonna make some,

470
00:23:22,480 --> 00:23:24,719
Speaker 4: but he has learned in the last couple of years

471
00:23:25,119 --> 00:23:28,159
Speaker 4: to take some risks but balance it out. Mac is

472
00:23:28,200 --> 00:23:29,960
Speaker 4: not ready for that yet and that's why he's the

473
00:23:30,000 --> 00:23:34,199
Speaker 4: backup quarterback. It's fine, It's weird that, like I was

474
00:23:34,240 --> 00:23:35,800
Speaker 4: ready to put in my notes, man, feel like a

475
00:23:35,880 --> 00:23:37,960
Speaker 4: lost season for the Niners. Well, they're four and too,

476
00:23:38,080 --> 00:23:40,679
Speaker 4: So I can't like quite be a lost season just yet,

477
00:23:40,960 --> 00:23:43,760
Speaker 4: but the entire team feels like it's in the hospital

478
00:23:43,880 --> 00:23:46,720
Speaker 4: right now here. Here's your key contributors in the offense

479
00:23:46,760 --> 00:23:51,840
Speaker 4: today other than Christian McCaffrey, Mac Jones, Kendrick Bourne, Jake Toanji's,

480
00:23:51,920 --> 00:23:57,080
Speaker 4: DeMarcus Robinson, Marcus Vallescantley, we got Tatum Bethune the leading tackler.

481
00:23:57,640 --> 00:24:00,520
Speaker 4: That dude is the backup linebacker in for Fred Warner.

482
00:24:00,920 --> 00:24:04,920
Speaker 4: Like who even knew most of these names a month ago,

483
00:24:05,119 --> 00:24:09,160
Speaker 4: whether they were on this team or played in the NFL,

484
00:24:09,560 --> 00:24:12,640
Speaker 4: they're missing right now. Perty I U can pierce all

485
00:24:13,080 --> 00:24:15,520
Speaker 4: George Kittle and then back to Fred Warner.

486
00:24:15,560 --> 00:24:15,960
Speaker 3: I agree.

487
00:24:16,000 --> 00:24:17,840
Speaker 4: That's the story of this game, and I think it's

488
00:24:17,920 --> 00:24:21,520
Speaker 4: probably really maybe the story of the day in football.

489
00:24:22,800 --> 00:24:28,600
Speaker 4: This team had two defensive player cal DPOI caliber guys,

490
00:24:28,720 --> 00:24:31,760
Speaker 4: Nick Bosa and Fred Warner. Warner's never gonna win it

491
00:24:31,760 --> 00:24:33,000
Speaker 4: because he's a lionbacker, but.

492
00:24:33,119 --> 00:24:34,040
Speaker 3: He is that good.

493
00:24:34,680 --> 00:24:38,000
Speaker 4: That's the two guys this team could not afford to lose,

494
00:24:38,400 --> 00:24:41,480
Speaker 4: and now they lost both for the season. So it's

495
00:24:41,520 --> 00:24:45,200
Speaker 4: a huge, huge loss for them. It's a cascading thing

496
00:24:45,680 --> 00:24:48,199
Speaker 4: because now you got Bethune and other dudes have to

497
00:24:48,200 --> 00:24:51,800
Speaker 4: fill in his place. I updated the Niners. Remember this

498
00:24:51,840 --> 00:24:54,119
Speaker 4: is a defense I think I had like seventh or

499
00:24:54,160 --> 00:24:56,880
Speaker 4: eighth rank coming to the season, and quite frankly, they've

500
00:24:56,880 --> 00:24:59,480
Speaker 4: played really well. Robert Salah has them playing well, They've

501
00:24:59,480 --> 00:25:02,960
Speaker 4: got rookie playing well. But there's so much attrition there

502
00:25:03,440 --> 00:25:06,600
Speaker 4: with Warner out now on top of Bosa, I've now

503
00:25:06,640 --> 00:25:10,800
Speaker 4: downgraded the Niners going forward from nineteenth to twenty sixth defensively,

504
00:25:11,119 --> 00:25:14,520
Speaker 4: so bottom ten defensive team. Warner ends up almost a

505
00:25:14,520 --> 00:25:17,560
Speaker 4: full point of spread value, which is, I know, slightly

506
00:25:17,640 --> 00:25:20,440
Speaker 4: higher than most would say, but like that, you don't

507
00:25:20,480 --> 00:25:24,000
Speaker 4: see non quarterbacks worth anywhere near that sort of value.

508
00:25:24,359 --> 00:25:26,000
Speaker 3: And that's on top of Bosa already.

509
00:25:26,119 --> 00:25:29,040
Speaker 4: So like each if you look kind of on my

510
00:25:29,200 --> 00:25:33,320
Speaker 4: roster matrix by position, my position, it's it turns red

511
00:25:33,400 --> 00:25:36,280
Speaker 4: if it's below average. And this is a team that

512
00:25:36,440 --> 00:25:39,240
Speaker 4: was my first Super Bowl ticket of the year, and

513
00:25:39,280 --> 00:25:43,920
Speaker 4: outside of running back and slightly offensive line, it's red

514
00:25:43,960 --> 00:25:44,919
Speaker 4: at every other thing.

515
00:25:45,080 --> 00:25:47,680
Speaker 3: Now. The quarterbacks hurt, the receivers are hurt.

516
00:25:47,480 --> 00:25:49,720
Speaker 4: And the defense wasn't really good to start with but

517
00:25:49,800 --> 00:25:52,800
Speaker 4: had two star players and now they're without both of them,

518
00:25:53,240 --> 00:25:55,040
Speaker 4: and there's just not a lot of talent there. So

519
00:25:55,880 --> 00:25:58,919
Speaker 4: I feel like if you have a life raft to

520
00:25:58,960 --> 00:26:02,520
Speaker 4: get off of any forty nine Ers Island positions, I

521
00:26:02,640 --> 00:26:05,800
Speaker 4: just don't see this going well going forward. They play

522
00:26:05,880 --> 00:26:10,080
Speaker 4: now Atlanta and Houston next up. I think those are

523
00:26:10,160 --> 00:26:12,399
Speaker 4: interesting tests for this team. I don't think that those

524
00:26:12,480 --> 00:26:15,480
Speaker 4: are amazing teams based on what we've seen so far,

525
00:26:15,920 --> 00:26:19,080
Speaker 4: but they're probably about in the forty nine ers neighborhood

526
00:26:19,080 --> 00:26:21,800
Speaker 4: the way that the Niners are looking with all the injuries,

527
00:26:22,520 --> 00:26:25,679
Speaker 4: and I think they're in trouble. Seattle and the Rams

528
00:26:25,680 --> 00:26:28,200
Speaker 4: are both playing well, both in my current top five

529
00:26:28,280 --> 00:26:31,520
Speaker 4: power rated teams. The Niners are nowhere close and they're

530
00:26:31,520 --> 00:26:33,480
Speaker 4: not going to get there again no matter how healthy

531
00:26:33,560 --> 00:26:38,000
Speaker 4: they get. And yeah, it just feels like yet again

532
00:26:38,200 --> 00:26:41,800
Speaker 4: this team with the injuries. Every year, with this team

533
00:26:41,800 --> 00:26:43,600
Speaker 4: with the injuries, it stinks.

534
00:26:44,080 --> 00:26:46,040
Speaker 2: The one thing San Francisco probably doesn't want to hear

535
00:26:46,119 --> 00:26:49,119
Speaker 2: is their buys in Week fourteen. That's a team that

536
00:26:49,200 --> 00:26:52,159
Speaker 2: probably could have used it at some point early in

537
00:26:52,200 --> 00:26:54,719
Speaker 2: the season to just take a reset. They don't have that.

538
00:26:54,800 --> 00:26:56,720
Speaker 2: They're just going to keep playing week to week and

539
00:26:56,800 --> 00:26:59,439
Speaker 2: hope to get to some people back. The one thing

540
00:26:59,480 --> 00:27:00,919
Speaker 2: I do want to say about this game, because it

541
00:27:00,960 --> 00:27:02,840
Speaker 2: was probably one of my favorite plays of the day,

542
00:27:03,320 --> 00:27:05,960
Speaker 2: was the Baker run on the third and fourteen at

543
00:27:05,960 --> 00:27:07,760
Speaker 2: the end near the end of the third quarter leads

544
00:27:07,760 --> 00:27:10,560
Speaker 2: to the Also probably more important is not only the

545
00:27:10,640 --> 00:27:13,720
Speaker 2: run but leading to the Tess Johnson long touchdown that

546
00:27:13,840 --> 00:27:16,560
Speaker 2: puts them up eight and the stat behind it, And

547
00:27:16,640 --> 00:27:19,400
Speaker 2: I put this in my article, but Bucks now six

548
00:27:19,480 --> 00:27:22,120
Speaker 2: and zero against a third quarter spread this season forty

549
00:27:22,200 --> 00:27:25,199
Speaker 2: nine ers zero to six after this game. When that

550
00:27:25,320 --> 00:27:28,560
Speaker 2: touchdown came in the third quarter, that basically put this

551
00:27:28,600 --> 00:27:32,240
Speaker 2: game away. San Francisco six and seventeen third quarter ats

552
00:27:32,280 --> 00:27:34,840
Speaker 2: since the start a last season. So something to do

553
00:27:34,920 --> 00:27:37,080
Speaker 2: with that offense, something to do with Shanahan. I mean,

554
00:27:37,080 --> 00:27:39,640
Speaker 2: that's coaching coming out of the locker room usually when

555
00:27:39,640 --> 00:27:42,280
Speaker 2: you average it out, but I found that pretty interesting.

556
00:27:42,680 --> 00:27:45,080
Speaker 2: And in terms of what Baker has been able to

557
00:27:45,080 --> 00:27:47,000
Speaker 2: bring to Tampa Bay this year, how about this one

558
00:27:47,119 --> 00:27:49,639
Speaker 2: when Tampa has been trailing. He has nine touchdowns and

559
00:27:49,720 --> 00:27:53,439
Speaker 2: one pick, sixteen plays of twenty plus yards in the

560
00:27:53,480 --> 00:27:56,720
Speaker 2: past game, that second most to Stafford. He is doing

561
00:27:56,920 --> 00:28:01,080
Speaker 2: everything in his power to bring Tampa Bay in every

562
00:28:01,119 --> 00:28:04,520
Speaker 2: single game this year, and I'll just keep talking about it,

563
00:28:04,560 --> 00:28:07,359
Speaker 2: but it just feels like moxie. So I love what

564
00:28:07,400 --> 00:28:10,560
Speaker 2: Tampa Bay's doing. Two game lead in the NFC South

565
00:28:10,600 --> 00:28:14,320
Speaker 2: will kind of depends on what Atlanta does. But Carolina

566
00:28:14,359 --> 00:28:16,639
Speaker 2: is in the mix. But Tampa Bay right now looking

567
00:28:16,680 --> 00:28:18,040
Speaker 2: great and Baker looks awesome.

568
00:28:19,320 --> 00:28:23,159
Speaker 4: What else you got Baker? Baker MVP odds now third

569
00:28:23,160 --> 00:28:26,359
Speaker 4: in MVP. He's around four to one or slightly longer

570
00:28:26,400 --> 00:28:27,080
Speaker 4: at every book.

571
00:28:27,160 --> 00:28:28,159
Speaker 3: That's that's crazy.

572
00:28:28,240 --> 00:28:31,000
Speaker 4: This is a dude that nobody wanted that is now

573
00:28:31,080 --> 00:28:35,160
Speaker 4: being widely accepted as it's Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes, Baker Mayfield.

574
00:28:35,200 --> 00:28:37,720
Speaker 4: That's the world that we are living in now. And

575
00:28:37,920 --> 00:28:40,600
Speaker 4: I think you're you know, you're right with the run.

576
00:28:40,680 --> 00:28:43,280
Speaker 4: Like it feels like every single week we get one

577
00:28:43,400 --> 00:28:46,520
Speaker 4: Baker run where it's just like bounce, like pinballing off

578
00:28:46,560 --> 00:28:48,840
Speaker 4: of like three four dudes and just getting the run,

579
00:28:49,000 --> 00:28:51,880
Speaker 4: getting the one YARDY had to get, you know, Lee

580
00:28:51,960 --> 00:28:54,240
Speaker 4: very Hord used to say, as Vikings FANGI you need

581
00:28:54,240 --> 00:28:55,560
Speaker 4: three yards, I'll get you four.

582
00:28:55,920 --> 00:28:59,680
Speaker 3: You need eight yards, I'll get you four. Like Baker Mayfield.

583
00:28:59,240 --> 00:29:01,760
Speaker 4: Just gets one more yard than whatever it's needed on

584
00:29:01,840 --> 00:29:03,000
Speaker 4: that one play every time.

585
00:29:03,280 --> 00:29:04,120
Speaker 3: So here's interesting.

586
00:29:04,160 --> 00:29:07,240
Speaker 4: The Bucks are five and one, all one score games today,

587
00:29:07,360 --> 00:29:10,080
Speaker 4: their first victory formation they tweet it out, so good

588
00:29:10,120 --> 00:29:13,160
Speaker 4: for you, Tampa. So next we mentioned they play Monday

589
00:29:13,240 --> 00:29:16,040
Speaker 4: night in Detroit. So that's the big game for next week.

590
00:29:16,080 --> 00:29:18,760
Speaker 4: We'll talk about that one on next week's Sunday Night show,

591
00:29:19,160 --> 00:29:21,760
Speaker 4: and again a little bit later on. They still play

592
00:29:22,200 --> 00:29:24,840
Speaker 4: Patriots Bill's Rams kind of in the next like six

593
00:29:24,920 --> 00:29:33,120
Speaker 4: week stretch. Here's the end of the season for Tampa, Arizona, Saints, Falcons, Panthers, Dolphins, Panthers.

594
00:29:33,920 --> 00:29:37,880
Speaker 4: So on the one hand, if the Panthers or Falcons

595
00:29:38,000 --> 00:29:40,240
Speaker 4: end up good, maybe the division stays in play like

596
00:29:40,280 --> 00:29:42,520
Speaker 4: the Panthers three and three and they get them twice

597
00:29:42,560 --> 00:29:44,720
Speaker 4: in the final three weeks, you never know. On the

598
00:29:44,720 --> 00:29:48,520
Speaker 4: other hand, we don't think the division's good. That's one, two, three, four,

599
00:29:48,640 --> 00:29:52,040
Speaker 4: six games against just like the dregs of the leads

600
00:29:52,200 --> 00:29:55,080
Speaker 4: somewhat that that could be a one seed push for

601
00:29:55,160 --> 00:29:57,360
Speaker 4: this team if they get there, that could be an

602
00:29:57,440 --> 00:30:00,880
Speaker 4: MVP push that could be I don't know if we're

603
00:30:00,960 --> 00:30:03,240
Speaker 4: quite ready yet for where the Bucks could be going

604
00:30:03,280 --> 00:30:05,360
Speaker 4: to have escaped this early stretch five and one, and

605
00:30:05,400 --> 00:30:08,480
Speaker 4: again a team that should be getting healthier when they

606
00:30:08,480 --> 00:30:11,080
Speaker 4: get the receivers back, when they get the offensive line

607
00:30:11,080 --> 00:30:12,120
Speaker 4: a little healthier.

608
00:30:11,760 --> 00:30:12,760
Speaker 3: And that sort of thing.

609
00:30:12,840 --> 00:30:16,280
Speaker 4: So it's an interesting team and I on think Baker

610
00:30:16,360 --> 00:30:19,600
Speaker 4: has the stats for MVP quite right now. But the

611
00:30:19,720 --> 00:30:24,560
Speaker 4: narrative is just there, like the Baker backstory, then the

612
00:30:24,600 --> 00:30:27,680
Speaker 4: receivers all being hurt, that the run that you're talking

613
00:30:27,680 --> 00:30:31,960
Speaker 4: about that happens every game, the late game heroics. I

614
00:30:32,000 --> 00:30:34,680
Speaker 4: think he's right to be priced where he is, and

615
00:30:34,720 --> 00:30:36,880
Speaker 4: it's just crazy that we're in that world now.

616
00:30:37,840 --> 00:30:40,200
Speaker 2: Uh yeah, But that stretch is important because I don't

617
00:30:40,240 --> 00:30:43,560
Speaker 2: think the buy is now because five games ahead, four

618
00:30:43,640 --> 00:30:45,840
Speaker 2: of those on the road, the only one at home

619
00:30:45,880 --> 00:30:48,080
Speaker 2: is against New England, who doesn't seem like they can

620
00:30:48,160 --> 00:30:51,640
Speaker 2: lose so at the current moment, and the stretch including Detroit,

621
00:30:52,360 --> 00:30:56,840
Speaker 2: Buffalo and the Rams on the road feels like it's

622
00:30:56,960 --> 00:31:00,080
Speaker 2: right now where I think we're acknowledging what Baker's done,

623
00:31:00,160 --> 00:31:03,680
Speaker 2: and I think we're saying that last six games, maybe

624
00:31:03,920 --> 00:31:06,160
Speaker 2: you wait till after the buy, maybe you wait till Buffalo,

625
00:31:06,280 --> 00:31:08,000
Speaker 2: Like I think there's a point where he is going

626
00:31:08,040 --> 00:31:10,080
Speaker 2: to come back in the market. It's not now, but

627
00:31:10,120 --> 00:31:12,840
Speaker 2: what he's doing is absolutely ridiculous. I have one more

628
00:31:12,880 --> 00:31:14,960
Speaker 2: note that I think is worth saying on this game

629
00:31:15,000 --> 00:31:18,080
Speaker 2: before we keep rolling. What Christian McCaffrey is doing in

630
00:31:18,120 --> 00:31:20,880
Speaker 2: the past game this year. I don't know if you've seen,

631
00:31:21,000 --> 00:31:24,120
Speaker 2: but like the numbers as a whole, forty six receptions

632
00:31:24,160 --> 00:31:28,200
Speaker 2: on sixty targets. That is second and third in the NFL,

633
00:31:28,680 --> 00:31:31,479
Speaker 2: and I was I really tell anyone to go do this.

634
00:31:31,560 --> 00:31:35,720
Speaker 2: Go to next Gen Stats simply next genstats dot com

635
00:31:35,720 --> 00:31:39,440
Speaker 2: and look at Christian McCaffrey's route chart. It is literally

636
00:31:39,520 --> 00:31:42,040
Speaker 2: like a child's drawing. It is absolutely unreal what he

637
00:31:42,120 --> 00:31:44,280
Speaker 2: is doing week to week in that offense and what

638
00:31:44,320 --> 00:31:46,240
Speaker 2: he needs to be doing because the receivers are hurt.

639
00:31:46,440 --> 00:31:49,560
Speaker 2: But those numbers are absolutely ridiculous. So those were run

640
00:31:49,640 --> 00:31:50,240
Speaker 2: notes on the game.

641
00:31:50,440 --> 00:31:51,360
Speaker 3: Yeah, he's been crazy.

642
00:31:51,360 --> 00:31:53,160
Speaker 4: I think he's had at least fifty receiving yards in

643
00:31:53,200 --> 00:31:56,360
Speaker 4: every game and it's like he's basically a fantasy or receiver,

644
00:31:56,520 --> 00:31:58,160
Speaker 4: except you also get him running. I think he only

645
00:31:58,160 --> 00:32:00,880
Speaker 4: had his first rushing touchdown the season to he hasn't

646
00:32:00,880 --> 00:32:02,640
Speaker 4: really been that great as a runner, but it's like

647
00:32:02,720 --> 00:32:05,600
Speaker 4: bonus content for him because he's been that good at

648
00:32:05,600 --> 00:32:06,560
Speaker 4: the receiver already.

649
00:32:07,280 --> 00:32:09,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's ridiculous, all right, So before we move on,

650
00:32:09,400 --> 00:32:11,640
Speaker 2: do not forget to sign up for action Pro for

651
00:32:11,720 --> 00:32:14,400
Speaker 2: real time pick alert from experts like Brandon Anderson, Chris

652
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653
00:32:18,040 --> 00:32:21,000
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654
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655
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657
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659
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660
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Speaker 2: action Pro. Okay, let's do a little bit of shorter

661
00:32:44,240 --> 00:32:46,440
Speaker 2: recaps here, but we are going to go through five

662
00:32:46,520 --> 00:32:52,160
Speaker 2: more games Dallas and Carolina. So Carolina wins thirty to

663
00:32:52,200 --> 00:32:55,920
Speaker 2: twenty seven covers obviously plus three as an underdog, total

664
00:32:56,000 --> 00:32:58,760
Speaker 2: goes over forty seven at close. I mentioned this off

665
00:32:58,800 --> 00:33:02,600
Speaker 2: the top. This is the one underdog outright we saw

666
00:33:03,280 --> 00:33:06,600
Speaker 2: today eleven and one, eleven and two this week with

667
00:33:06,680 --> 00:33:11,000
Speaker 2: the Giants, so Carolina gets to win. The overunder told

668
00:33:11,040 --> 00:33:12,800
Speaker 2: us what this could be, and it lived up to

669
00:33:12,800 --> 00:33:15,280
Speaker 2: the building. Like the over under was high early week,

670
00:33:15,320 --> 00:33:16,760
Speaker 2: it was like forty nine and a half. I think

671
00:33:16,760 --> 00:33:19,479
Speaker 2: we expected with both defenses that we were gonna get

672
00:33:19,520 --> 00:33:22,200
Speaker 2: some points. Carolina ends up winning it in a last

673
00:33:22,200 --> 00:33:26,240
Speaker 2: second field goal. Both quarterbacks though for three passing touchdowns.

674
00:33:26,560 --> 00:33:31,040
Speaker 2: Rico Daddle gets his revenge game thirty carries three zero

675
00:33:31,120 --> 00:33:34,080
Speaker 2: one hundred and eighty three yards. He is the last

676
00:33:34,080 --> 00:33:35,760
Speaker 2: player with one hundred and eighty three yards and thirty

677
00:33:35,800 --> 00:33:40,239
Speaker 2: plus carries versus Dallas Alfred Morris in twenty twelve, So

678
00:33:40,360 --> 00:33:43,000
Speaker 2: it has been a minute since someone had this type

679
00:33:43,000 --> 00:33:46,840
Speaker 2: of revenge on Dallas. The other storylines before I toss

680
00:33:46,880 --> 00:33:50,200
Speaker 2: it back, Pickens five straight games with a touchdown, which

681
00:33:50,480 --> 00:33:56,360
Speaker 2: just fun in itself. Carolina fourteen rush first downs in

682
00:33:56,400 --> 00:34:00,520
Speaker 2: this game Dallas had won. That to me is score

683
00:34:00,560 --> 00:34:04,840
Speaker 2: craziness when you look at that. But I mean, I

684
00:34:04,840 --> 00:34:08,480
Speaker 2: think week to week, the Carolina Panthers at home simply

685
00:34:08,520 --> 00:34:10,480
Speaker 2: a different team.

686
00:34:10,960 --> 00:34:13,520
Speaker 4: Yeah, the Panthers were the way better team here. One

687
00:34:13,600 --> 00:34:16,480
Speaker 4: hundred and eighteen more yards, almost double the first downs.

688
00:34:16,920 --> 00:34:20,080
Speaker 4: This offense had a ninety ninth percentile outcome in this game,

689
00:34:20,120 --> 00:34:23,360
Speaker 4: which is just not a surprise at this point, honestly,

690
00:34:23,400 --> 00:34:26,040
Speaker 4: because it's the thing the Cowboys defense is allowing to

691
00:34:26,120 --> 00:34:30,560
Speaker 4: anything that they're run into. So yeah, Bryce Young when

692
00:34:30,600 --> 00:34:33,960
Speaker 4: he's not way behind all game, not so terrible. Huge

693
00:34:33,960 --> 00:34:37,000
Speaker 4: game for Dowbell. Our guy Ted McMillan came through for

694
00:34:37,120 --> 00:34:39,560
Speaker 4: US first career touchdown and then a second one hit

695
00:34:39,560 --> 00:34:43,360
Speaker 4: our plus twelve hundred for two, So appreciate that. Panthers

696
00:34:43,360 --> 00:34:45,200
Speaker 4: three and three, I don't think we really saw that coming,

697
00:34:45,520 --> 00:34:48,040
Speaker 4: and they played the Jets next, so maybe four and

698
00:34:48,120 --> 00:34:50,520
Speaker 4: three and then they play the Bills in the Packers,

699
00:34:50,640 --> 00:34:52,880
Speaker 4: So maybe don't get too excited about a Panthers Island

700
00:34:53,000 --> 00:34:55,759
Speaker 4: just yet. Like a little reality check is coming. I

701
00:34:55,800 --> 00:35:00,000
Speaker 4: did mention though, the end the season with box Seahawks Bucks.

702
00:35:00,080 --> 00:35:02,560
Speaker 4: If they can hang around even and stay within a

703
00:35:02,560 --> 00:35:04,760
Speaker 4: couple of games, they could be live in the division

704
00:35:04,760 --> 00:35:07,120
Speaker 4: if you believe in them. But let's not get too

705
00:35:07,160 --> 00:35:10,520
Speaker 4: crazy this. We've seen a lot of teams look believable

706
00:35:10,560 --> 00:35:15,040
Speaker 4: against the Cowboys. Two numbers for you. You mentioned the

707
00:35:15,120 --> 00:35:18,920
Speaker 4: run game, how good it was for Carolina Javonte Williams

708
00:35:18,920 --> 00:35:22,640
Speaker 4: for Dallas thirteen carries twenty nine yards. That is shocking.

709
00:35:23,040 --> 00:35:27,160
Speaker 4: Carolina's run defense was historically bad last year, and Dallas,

710
00:35:27,200 --> 00:35:29,720
Speaker 4: I think entered the gay leading the league in success

711
00:35:29,800 --> 00:35:33,120
Speaker 4: rate rushing. That's been their big thing this year. So

712
00:35:33,160 --> 00:35:35,760
Speaker 4: I think we have to take away that Carolina's defensive

713
00:35:35,840 --> 00:35:38,400
Speaker 4: numbers have been slightly improving, and I think this is

714
00:35:38,400 --> 00:35:40,440
Speaker 4: another big step in the right direction for them to

715
00:35:40,520 --> 00:35:42,759
Speaker 4: have at least shut down the run game, certainly not

716
00:35:42,840 --> 00:35:45,160
Speaker 4: the passing game. And then the other thing I mentioned

717
00:35:45,160 --> 00:35:48,160
Speaker 4: this earlier. Here are the totals in Dallas games now

718
00:35:48,200 --> 00:35:53,160
Speaker 4: for the season forty four, seventy seven, forty five, eighty,

719
00:35:53,640 --> 00:35:57,800
Speaker 4: fifty nine, and fifty seven average total over sixty points

720
00:35:57,800 --> 00:36:01,160
Speaker 4: a game in Dallas. So look for overs, look for

721
00:36:01,239 --> 00:36:05,920
Speaker 4: individual playerovers, look for propovers, start everyone against them. In fantasy,

722
00:36:06,480 --> 00:36:07,840
Speaker 4: Dallas is a cash cow.

723
00:36:09,080 --> 00:36:12,799
Speaker 2: Crazy and if Dallas is a cash cow Carolina what

724
00:36:12,840 --> 00:36:14,719
Speaker 2: they've done at the end of games. They are six

725
00:36:14,800 --> 00:36:18,239
Speaker 2: and oh against the fourth quarter spread this season. This

726
00:36:18,400 --> 00:36:20,719
Speaker 2: week they made the comeback. Last week, they had the

727
00:36:20,760 --> 00:36:24,840
Speaker 2: crazy comeback against Miami. But and the thing I mentioned

728
00:36:24,840 --> 00:36:27,080
Speaker 2: this last week, but they break the sixty five game

729
00:36:27,120 --> 00:36:29,880
Speaker 2: losing streak against Miami by Charlie by more than one possession,

730
00:36:30,320 --> 00:36:33,160
Speaker 2: and then this week. You know, many times in that

731
00:36:33,200 --> 00:36:35,600
Speaker 2: game they could have folded, but they looked great at home.

732
00:36:36,520 --> 00:36:39,200
Speaker 2: So they're six and oh fourth quarter ats and so

733
00:36:39,400 --> 00:36:42,480
Speaker 2: is Kansas City, who kept that going after tonight's game

734
00:36:42,520 --> 00:36:45,960
Speaker 2: against Detroit. I mentioned it earlier. Carolina seven and one

735
00:36:46,360 --> 00:36:49,840
Speaker 2: against the spread in their last eight home games, best

736
00:36:49,840 --> 00:36:52,319
Speaker 2: home team in the span in that streak, which is

737
00:36:52,719 --> 00:36:55,720
Speaker 2: I mean, completely and utterly different. But they're getting points

738
00:36:55,719 --> 00:36:58,799
Speaker 2: at home because there's still no respect there on the road.

739
00:36:58,920 --> 00:37:01,440
Speaker 2: I think Bryce UN's in fifteen in his career is

740
00:37:01,480 --> 00:37:05,799
Speaker 2: a completely different game. But Carolina look good here, So

741
00:37:06,160 --> 00:37:08,000
Speaker 2: they look good, they get the win and the only

742
00:37:08,080 --> 00:37:08,719
Speaker 2: upsete of the day.

743
00:37:09,880 --> 00:37:11,839
Speaker 3: We will be back to Carolina a little bit later

744
00:37:11,880 --> 00:37:12,480
Speaker 3: in the show too.

745
00:37:13,640 --> 00:37:17,640
Speaker 2: Can't wait all right? Chargers beat Miami twenty nine to

746
00:37:17,719 --> 00:37:20,719
Speaker 2: twenty seven. Miami covers though as a three and a

747
00:37:20,760 --> 00:37:24,359
Speaker 2: half point underdog on clothes. Total goes over forty five

748
00:37:24,400 --> 00:37:27,520
Speaker 2: and a half. I think one of the more interesting

749
00:37:27,600 --> 00:37:30,960
Speaker 2: things about this game and it's great gambling culture, but

750
00:37:31,080 --> 00:37:34,279
Speaker 2: Derwin James had a chance to go down in some

751
00:37:34,600 --> 00:37:37,880
Speaker 2: you know, just fun infamy, and it seemed like he

752
00:37:37,960 --> 00:37:40,640
Speaker 2: didn't want to cover. What do you think what was

753
00:37:40,680 --> 00:37:43,799
Speaker 2: in Derwin James's mind in those last seconds.

754
00:37:44,360 --> 00:37:46,520
Speaker 4: I can tell you what was in my mind. I

755
00:37:46,600 --> 00:37:49,480
Speaker 4: was on Chargers hot read in this game, and look,

756
00:37:49,560 --> 00:37:51,160
Speaker 4: it would have felt like a bad beat if you

757
00:37:51,200 --> 00:37:54,120
Speaker 4: have the Dolphins ticket. But the Chargers really dominated the

758
00:37:54,120 --> 00:37:56,200
Speaker 4: most of this game. Yeah, they were up twenty six

759
00:37:56,320 --> 00:37:59,320
Speaker 4: thirteen into the fourth quarter and then you know, Miami

760
00:37:59,320 --> 00:38:02,319
Speaker 4: had two long, good touchdown drives. I'm getting a little

761
00:38:02,320 --> 00:38:05,200
Speaker 4: worried about this Chargers defense. We kind of saw last

762
00:38:05,280 --> 00:38:08,080
Speaker 4: year them start out hot early and then teams start

763
00:38:08,120 --> 00:38:10,160
Speaker 4: to run on them. Miami ran well this game, we

764
00:38:10,200 --> 00:38:12,560
Speaker 4: saw the minter defense slow down.

765
00:38:12,440 --> 00:38:12,960
Speaker 3: A little bit.

766
00:38:13,400 --> 00:38:17,640
Speaker 4: But yeah, the Chargers come back take the lead, and

767
00:38:17,680 --> 00:38:19,279
Speaker 4: then I was like, all right, well we're cooked. We

768
00:38:19,280 --> 00:38:21,480
Speaker 4: can't you know, I had four and a half went

769
00:38:21,920 --> 00:38:25,160
Speaker 4: against me, so we were clv here. But then Derwin

770
00:38:25,280 --> 00:38:28,840
Speaker 4: James picks it off and it's just daylight, just open field, buddy,

771
00:38:29,239 --> 00:38:32,000
Speaker 4: run to daylight darro.

772
00:38:33,280 --> 00:38:33,320
Speaker 1: I.

773
00:38:33,520 --> 00:38:36,040
Speaker 4: Man, I don't know what dermot like. You don't get

774
00:38:36,040 --> 00:38:39,000
Speaker 4: to score touchdowns that much. Man, you're a safety, like

775
00:38:39,040 --> 00:38:43,560
Speaker 4: this is your shot go for glory. Yeah, I feel

776
00:38:43,640 --> 00:38:46,600
Speaker 4: like both sides can feel unlucky on this one. I

777
00:38:46,680 --> 00:38:50,319
Speaker 4: was disappointed with with good old Derwin to a third

778
00:38:50,360 --> 00:38:53,000
Speaker 4: interception of the day. He had to pick on the

779
00:38:53,040 --> 00:38:55,360
Speaker 4: second play of the game and the third play of

780
00:38:55,440 --> 00:38:58,719
Speaker 4: the Dolphins second half. Also, it's not a good way

781
00:38:58,800 --> 00:39:01,759
Speaker 4: to win games as to give yourself an immediate hole

782
00:39:01,840 --> 00:39:05,520
Speaker 4: starting both of the haves and the games. So yeah,

783
00:39:05,640 --> 00:39:07,479
Speaker 4: I don't have too much more to say about the game.

784
00:39:07,520 --> 00:39:10,360
Speaker 4: I just kind of take that Derwin James a little

785
00:39:10,360 --> 00:39:12,640
Speaker 4: worried about the Chargers. They're a bit lucky, I think

786
00:39:12,640 --> 00:39:14,880
Speaker 4: to be four and two. They were real close to

787
00:39:14,960 --> 00:39:18,000
Speaker 4: a three game losing streak here and again some interesting

788
00:39:18,040 --> 00:39:20,480
Speaker 4: tests for them coming up Colts and the Vikings the

789
00:39:20,560 --> 00:39:23,759
Speaker 4: next two weeks. We'll see what the Chargers. Those teams

790
00:39:23,800 --> 00:39:25,160
Speaker 4: are not the Dolphins. They're gonna have to do a

791
00:39:25,160 --> 00:39:28,600
Speaker 4: little better than they did today.

792
00:39:28,719 --> 00:39:31,760
Speaker 2: Yeah, Chargers have two home games coming up, Colts and Vikings.

793
00:39:31,800 --> 00:39:34,600
Speaker 2: Will Miami has two road games coming up at Cleveland

794
00:39:34,600 --> 00:39:35,040
Speaker 2: in Atlanta.

795
00:39:35,120 --> 00:39:38,400
Speaker 4: So do the Chargers have home games though, Let's be honest.

796
00:39:38,480 --> 00:39:41,120
Speaker 2: I was gonna say so thank you for saying that,

797
00:39:41,160 --> 00:39:42,920
Speaker 2: because I had this note, So the Chargers get their

798
00:39:42,920 --> 00:39:46,200
Speaker 2: third road win this year. Three doesn't seem like a lot,

799
00:39:46,280 --> 00:39:48,520
Speaker 2: but it's also not any worse than that, So I

800
00:39:48,560 --> 00:39:51,479
Speaker 2: figured this was noteworthy. Three plus road wins and nine

801
00:39:51,560 --> 00:39:54,879
Speaker 2: straight years for the Chargers every single year they are

802
00:39:55,040 --> 00:39:57,520
Speaker 2: at least solid at on the road because they have

803
00:39:57,640 --> 00:40:00,000
Speaker 2: no home team. But you know, whether it's Philip River

804
00:40:00,360 --> 00:40:02,439
Speaker 2: Justin Herbert, I feel like it doesn't matter. They play

805
00:40:02,480 --> 00:40:05,400
Speaker 2: well on the road. So the other things about the

806
00:40:05,440 --> 00:40:08,800
Speaker 2: Chargers that I thought interesting, Hello, Kamani Vidal look great today.

807
00:40:09,120 --> 00:40:12,080
Speaker 2: Eighteen o one twenty four had a thirty eight yard run.

808
00:40:12,200 --> 00:40:15,640
Speaker 2: It's Miami's rush defense, but at least look good there.

809
00:40:15,719 --> 00:40:19,480
Speaker 2: And Lad McConkie just needed Justin Herbert's best friend Quinton

810
00:40:19,520 --> 00:40:22,480
Speaker 2: Johnston to not play to look good. Seven of one

811
00:40:22,520 --> 00:40:27,920
Speaker 2: hundred touchdown, So look good there. I found this one great.

812
00:40:28,000 --> 00:40:30,960
Speaker 2: So Jim Harbaugh, even after the loss against the Giants,

813
00:40:31,440 --> 00:40:34,120
Speaker 2: he is sixteen and three straight up on the East

814
00:40:34,160 --> 00:40:37,000
Speaker 2: Coast with the Chargers and the forty nine Ers, so

815
00:40:37,440 --> 00:40:40,080
Speaker 2: loving these road trips coaching out west, does a really

816
00:40:40,120 --> 00:40:42,840
Speaker 2: good job at getting his teams up. I gave you

817
00:40:42,840 --> 00:40:46,040
Speaker 2: a quote last week on cam Ward after the game.

818
00:40:46,320 --> 00:40:48,120
Speaker 2: I don't know if did you hear two was quote

819
00:40:48,160 --> 00:40:51,239
Speaker 2: in this game at all? Okay, so I'm just gonna

820
00:40:51,280 --> 00:40:52,840
Speaker 2: give it to you quickly because I feel like it

821
00:40:52,880 --> 00:40:55,600
Speaker 2: has to be said. But two is quoted after saying

822
00:40:55,680 --> 00:40:58,319
Speaker 2: we have guys showing up to player only meetings late,

823
00:40:58,560 --> 00:41:01,600
Speaker 2: guys not showing up to player only meetings. Like, there's

824
00:41:01,640 --> 00:41:03,360
Speaker 2: a lot that goes into that. Do we have to

825
00:41:03,400 --> 00:41:06,560
Speaker 2: make this mandatory? Do we not have to make this mandatory?

826
00:41:06,800 --> 00:41:08,279
Speaker 2: So it's like a lot of things of that nature.

827
00:41:08,280 --> 00:41:09,960
Speaker 2: So we've got to get cleaned up, and it starts

828
00:41:09,960 --> 00:41:13,560
Speaker 2: with the little things like that. I can't I was

829
00:41:13,560 --> 00:41:16,000
Speaker 2: gonna talk about first coach fired market at this point

830
00:41:16,200 --> 00:41:18,440
Speaker 2: because I feel like it's getting kind of interesting. This

831
00:41:18,480 --> 00:41:21,080
Speaker 2: feels like it is going to get really really bad

832
00:41:21,120 --> 00:41:24,440
Speaker 2: before it gets better. Two straight road games, Cleveland and

833
00:41:24,480 --> 00:41:29,200
Speaker 2: Atlanta both pretty decent defenses on different levels. I don't

834
00:41:29,200 --> 00:41:31,960
Speaker 2: know what the heck's gonna happen, but one in five Miami,

835
00:41:32,000 --> 00:41:34,600
Speaker 2: and it's just the Jets that are making them look better.

836
00:41:34,480 --> 00:41:37,560
Speaker 4: At the moment, And it's the Jets are responsible for

837
00:41:37,600 --> 00:41:40,360
Speaker 4: the one that Miami has otherwise already.

838
00:41:41,160 --> 00:41:43,759
Speaker 2: That is correct, all right, let's keep rolling here Arizona

839
00:41:43,960 --> 00:41:47,600
Speaker 2: and Indy. So Indie beats Arizona thirty one to twenty seven.

840
00:41:48,000 --> 00:41:50,920
Speaker 2: Arizona covers as eight and a half point dogs that

841
00:41:51,000 --> 00:41:53,439
Speaker 2: close just too big of a line with the move

842
00:41:53,680 --> 00:41:56,840
Speaker 2: at quarterback. Total goes over forty six and a half.

843
00:41:57,239 --> 00:41:59,520
Speaker 2: So the news in this game kind of trumped other

844
00:41:59,560 --> 00:42:03,279
Speaker 2: games ban Knights starting over Carter, which happened like an

845
00:42:03,360 --> 00:42:06,600
Speaker 2: hour or so before kickoff. Both ended up with thirty

846
00:42:06,600 --> 00:42:09,160
Speaker 2: four yards. Night ends up with a touchdown, of course,

847
00:42:09,400 --> 00:42:12,719
Speaker 2: and then you would beset in for Kyler. I mean,

848
00:42:12,800 --> 00:42:14,400
Speaker 2: if you look up the stats, and I found this

849
00:42:14,560 --> 00:42:18,040
Speaker 2: just kind of interesting. Jacoby Brissett, Kyler Murray kind of

850
00:42:18,080 --> 00:42:21,760
Speaker 2: similar quarterbacks in terms of average up the target, similar

851
00:42:21,760 --> 00:42:25,399
Speaker 2: success rates, Like obviously Jacoby a different quarterback in some sense,

852
00:42:25,440 --> 00:42:27,840
Speaker 2: like doesn't run as much, certain things like that. But

853
00:42:28,200 --> 00:42:30,600
Speaker 2: today it felt like Arizona was in the game for

854
00:42:30,680 --> 00:42:32,719
Speaker 2: longer than maybe Kyler would have allowed them to be.

855
00:42:32,840 --> 00:42:35,160
Speaker 3: I don't know kend of what I thought too. I

856
00:42:35,160 --> 00:42:35,799
Speaker 3: have in my notes.

857
00:42:35,920 --> 00:42:38,720
Speaker 4: Is there a non zero chance they're better without Kyler?

858
00:42:38,800 --> 00:42:41,640
Speaker 4: A sort of you have to at least wonder after

859
00:42:41,680 --> 00:42:44,759
Speaker 4: this one, And I think maybe the Cardinals receivers might

860
00:42:44,800 --> 00:42:45,160
Speaker 4: wonder that.

861
00:42:45,239 --> 00:42:48,239
Speaker 3: Also. Don't forget too Marvin Harrison Junior leaves injured in

862
00:42:48,239 --> 00:42:49,640
Speaker 3: this game. So you're playing.

863
00:42:49,600 --> 00:42:53,360
Speaker 4: Backup quarterback without your lead receiver and he still throws

864
00:42:53,360 --> 00:42:56,439
Speaker 4: three hundred and twenty yards. Two scores. Pretty good game,

865
00:42:56,480 --> 00:42:59,560
Speaker 4: and every revenge spopped, although you know, Jacoby Brissett's like

866
00:42:59,600 --> 00:43:01,840
Speaker 4: every he plays the revenge spot at this stage of

867
00:43:01,840 --> 00:43:05,160
Speaker 4: his career. But they made the red zone six times.

868
00:43:05,160 --> 00:43:07,960
Speaker 4: They just only got a touchdown three of them. Otherwise

869
00:43:07,960 --> 00:43:09,680
Speaker 4: they might have stole this one. I thought Indy was

870
00:43:09,719 --> 00:43:12,120
Speaker 4: really playing with its food on this one and was

871
00:43:12,120 --> 00:43:14,960
Speaker 4: gonna finally give one back. At the same time, I'm

872
00:43:14,960 --> 00:43:19,320
Speaker 4: intrigued by Arizona without Kyler. But Arizona started two to

873
00:43:19,440 --> 00:43:22,440
Speaker 4: zero in a four game losing streak. Here's what's next.

874
00:43:22,520 --> 00:43:24,880
Speaker 4: I had to like keep going because the schedule doesn't.

875
00:43:24,920 --> 00:43:31,560
Speaker 4: It just keeps going in an awful direction for them. Packers, Cowboys, Seahawks, Niners, Jaguars,

876
00:43:31,640 --> 00:43:36,960
Speaker 4: Box Rams, Texans. No breaks two and four in the

877
00:43:37,000 --> 00:43:40,120
Speaker 4: division where everyone else is four and two. I feel

878
00:43:40,120 --> 00:43:43,440
Speaker 4: like this season is kind of over already, and honestly,

879
00:43:43,840 --> 00:43:47,319
Speaker 4: with that schedule and with the Kyler injury that's now like, well,

880
00:43:47,360 --> 00:43:50,120
Speaker 4: I don't know when he's gonna play again, Like this

881
00:43:50,239 --> 00:43:52,439
Speaker 4: seems like this could get kind of ugly for this team,

882
00:43:52,480 --> 00:43:54,240
Speaker 4: even though it was very competitive today.

883
00:43:55,040 --> 00:43:56,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's odd to say, and I'm gonna give you

884
00:43:56,960 --> 00:43:59,160
Speaker 2: a stat that contradicts everything we just talked about, but

885
00:43:59,160 --> 00:44:01,160
Speaker 2: I feel like it has to be said because I

886
00:44:01,160 --> 00:44:03,280
Speaker 2: do feel like they played well today and without Harrison,

887
00:44:03,320 --> 00:44:05,520
Speaker 2: which is one of my top notes as well. It's

888
00:44:05,560 --> 00:44:08,120
Speaker 2: a big injury, and the concussion is something to worry about.

889
00:44:08,440 --> 00:44:11,880
Speaker 2: Since Kyler arrived in twenty nineteen, QB's not named Kyler

890
00:44:12,200 --> 00:44:15,600
Speaker 2: are four and fifteen straight up for Arizona. Two and

891
00:44:15,680 --> 00:44:19,520
Speaker 2: fourteen since twenty twenty two, so it has been abysmal

892
00:44:19,760 --> 00:44:21,680
Speaker 2: when they have attempted to try to put someone else

893
00:44:21,719 --> 00:44:24,160
Speaker 2: on that lineup, even as bad as Kyler has played

894
00:44:24,440 --> 00:44:26,840
Speaker 2: in the games he's in there, and the mistakes and

895
00:44:26,920 --> 00:44:28,839
Speaker 2: all the stats I can throw out their week to week,

896
00:44:28,920 --> 00:44:32,280
Speaker 2: So that number two and fourteen, that's just not winning games.

897
00:44:32,840 --> 00:44:35,319
Speaker 2: And it's been tough for Arizona because they've lost four

898
00:44:35,360 --> 00:44:38,520
Speaker 2: straight by four points or less in all four games.

899
00:44:38,800 --> 00:44:41,920
Speaker 2: First time that's happened in like eight years. So just

900
00:44:42,480 --> 00:44:45,719
Speaker 2: it's it's been close, but they just can't figure out

901
00:44:45,760 --> 00:44:47,560
Speaker 2: a way to get those big plays at the end

902
00:44:47,600 --> 00:44:49,520
Speaker 2: of these games. That's what I feel like I see

903
00:44:49,520 --> 00:44:50,040
Speaker 2: every week.

904
00:44:50,760 --> 00:44:54,480
Speaker 4: Yeah, and I'll say too about Indy. We are it's October.

905
00:44:54,719 --> 00:44:57,640
Speaker 4: We're getting towards you know, like Pumpkins Spice season. Daniel

906
00:44:57,719 --> 00:45:00,560
Speaker 4: Jones is getting real close to Pumpkins statu right now,

907
00:45:00,600 --> 00:45:03,400
Speaker 4: Like he had a really ugly interception in this game.

908
00:45:03,960 --> 00:45:06,800
Speaker 4: We were really close to having a different conversation with

909
00:45:06,960 --> 00:45:09,719
Speaker 4: Daniel Jones did and we had been in September, and

910
00:45:09,800 --> 00:45:12,960
Speaker 4: so Indies five and one, So it all counts and

911
00:45:12,960 --> 00:45:15,360
Speaker 4: they get the win. But I definitely kind of have

912
00:45:15,440 --> 00:45:17,839
Speaker 4: a side eye on this team of like, Okay, what's

913
00:45:17,880 --> 00:45:20,919
Speaker 4: happening and was that real? And will it hold up?

914
00:45:21,160 --> 00:45:23,120
Speaker 4: And maybe it holds up because the division is still

915
00:45:23,120 --> 00:45:27,000
Speaker 4: pretty winnable for them, but definitely have at least one

916
00:45:27,000 --> 00:45:29,080
Speaker 4: eye and Daniel Jones to see if that's still a thing.

917
00:45:29,840 --> 00:45:32,759
Speaker 2: Yeah, they go to the Chargers next week, and if

918
00:45:32,800 --> 00:45:35,480
Speaker 2: the Chargers are banged up enough where Indies somehow sor

919
00:45:35,560 --> 00:45:38,000
Speaker 2: vibes can't wait to see what that spread is when

920
00:45:38,040 --> 00:45:40,400
Speaker 2: they go home to face Tennessee the week after, but

921
00:45:41,080 --> 00:45:43,520
Speaker 2: we will see how that goes. Let's keep rolling here,

922
00:45:44,080 --> 00:45:48,000
Speaker 2: New England and New Orleans. So the Patriots beat the

923
00:45:48,040 --> 00:45:51,160
Speaker 2: Saints twenty five nineteen. They cover US three and a

924
00:45:51,200 --> 00:45:56,760
Speaker 2: half point favorites. Total goes under forty five and a half. Hello,

925
00:45:56,880 --> 00:45:59,680
Speaker 2: Drake May. Feels like the only way to kind of

926
00:45:59,719 --> 00:46:03,640
Speaker 2: start this conversation, especially after Buffalo. But last three games,

927
00:46:03,680 --> 00:46:08,360
Speaker 2: five touchdowns, no interceptions, thirteen twenty plus yard completions, and

928
00:46:08,440 --> 00:46:13,480
Speaker 2: probably more importantly, three wins, and today seven to fifteen

929
00:46:13,520 --> 00:46:16,560
Speaker 2: on third and fourth down. May has no turnovers and

930
00:46:16,640 --> 00:46:19,879
Speaker 2: only one sack, which completely keeps them in the game

931
00:46:19,880 --> 00:46:24,120
Speaker 2: and was the difference and helps New England overcome eleven penalties,

932
00:46:24,120 --> 00:46:27,919
Speaker 2: which probably is something that Rabel so upset about right now.

933
00:46:28,320 --> 00:46:31,400
Speaker 2: And on two point four yards per rush which jesus,

934
00:46:31,440 --> 00:46:34,120
Speaker 2: but listen, New England all of one in the red

935
00:46:34,239 --> 00:46:36,600
Speaker 2: zone today and comes out with a win scoring this

936
00:46:36,680 --> 00:46:39,760
Speaker 2: many points. Just a strange game overall.

937
00:46:39,440 --> 00:46:42,560
Speaker 4: Right, Yeah, another game where the Saints, if you just

938
00:46:42,640 --> 00:46:44,279
Speaker 4: kind of look at the box score, it's like, I

939
00:46:44,280 --> 00:46:46,080
Speaker 4: don't know, they're kind of in this game all the way.

940
00:46:46,160 --> 00:46:48,320
Speaker 4: Like this is a relatively even game where the Saints

941
00:46:48,320 --> 00:46:50,279
Speaker 4: are slightly worse but could have won.

942
00:46:50,600 --> 00:46:51,719
Speaker 3: It's pretty much what we saw.

943
00:46:51,760 --> 00:46:53,759
Speaker 4: I think if you had a Saints ticket, or if

944
00:46:53,760 --> 00:46:56,359
Speaker 4: you're an overticket, I think you probably should feel hard

945
00:46:56,400 --> 00:46:59,600
Speaker 4: done here. The Saints had drives late where Rabel had

946
00:46:59,600 --> 00:47:02,200
Speaker 4: to challenge twice and kind of flip a call that

947
00:47:02,239 --> 00:47:04,560
Speaker 4: had been made in the field and end up holding on.

948
00:47:04,600 --> 00:47:06,920
Speaker 4: For the Patriots, I think they probably are gonna win anyways,

949
00:47:06,960 --> 00:47:09,520
Speaker 4: but they might not have been. The Saints continue to

950
00:47:09,520 --> 00:47:11,919
Speaker 4: be in this it's sort of in a weird way

951
00:47:12,239 --> 00:47:15,520
Speaker 4: like this is a dream Saints season. They're competitive and

952
00:47:15,640 --> 00:47:17,919
Speaker 4: kind of fun to watch, but they lose, Like that's

953
00:47:17,960 --> 00:47:20,439
Speaker 4: really what you want. You want to lose games because

954
00:47:20,440 --> 00:47:23,440
Speaker 4: they were never gonna be really competitive this season, but

955
00:47:23,480 --> 00:47:26,120
Speaker 4: you don't want to watch terrible games. They gotta win.

956
00:47:26,160 --> 00:47:28,680
Speaker 4: They beat the Giants who are beating everyone else right now.

957
00:47:28,719 --> 00:47:31,960
Speaker 4: They got Jackson Dart's only career loss, and in the

958
00:47:32,000 --> 00:47:35,560
Speaker 4: meantime they might have a quarterback like Spencer Raler kind

959
00:47:35,560 --> 00:47:39,080
Speaker 4: of looks solid out there. And we talk about all

960
00:47:39,120 --> 00:47:43,800
Speaker 4: the rookies from last year, JJ McCarthy and Michael Pennix.

961
00:47:44,160 --> 00:47:46,920
Speaker 4: Raller was not one of those first round guys like

962
00:47:46,960 --> 00:47:49,600
Speaker 4: we got Caleb Williams, we got Drake May. I think

963
00:47:49,640 --> 00:47:51,920
Speaker 4: if Radley was in that mix with the first round,

964
00:47:52,239 --> 00:47:54,359
Speaker 4: we wouldn't think of him as like the seventh one

965
00:47:54,400 --> 00:47:56,280
Speaker 4: of the bunch. I think he'd be in the middle.

966
00:47:56,040 --> 00:47:56,759
Speaker 3: Of the pack right now.

967
00:47:56,760 --> 00:48:00,000
Speaker 4: He's playing pretty good football for them, So the Saints

968
00:48:00,000 --> 00:48:04,239
Speaker 4: I might be entertaining and helping draft stock and maybe

969
00:48:04,440 --> 00:48:06,520
Speaker 4: not even needing a quarterback at the end of the

970
00:48:06,600 --> 00:48:09,680
Speaker 4: day when they get there. New England certainly doesn't. They've

971
00:48:09,719 --> 00:48:12,920
Speaker 4: got their guy. Only sad note for me. You mentioned

972
00:48:12,920 --> 00:48:15,359
Speaker 4: those penalties that Rabel's upset up, but I'm upset about

973
00:48:15,400 --> 00:48:18,359
Speaker 4: one of them. Stefan Diggs did not show up today,

974
00:48:18,440 --> 00:48:20,839
Speaker 4: but he did have a fifty two yard or late

975
00:48:20,920 --> 00:48:22,680
Speaker 4: that got taken out the boart. Otherwise, we hit our

976
00:48:22,719 --> 00:48:25,719
Speaker 4: over and our eighty on the escalator. No digs on

977
00:48:25,800 --> 00:48:28,560
Speaker 4: the escalator today, but we did get our Drake May touchdown,

978
00:48:28,640 --> 00:48:29,200
Speaker 4: so we'll take it.

979
00:48:30,040 --> 00:48:33,160
Speaker 2: Yeah. Aside from that, all I say here is okay,

980
00:48:33,160 --> 00:48:35,560
Speaker 2: it's time to talk about Spencer Rattler. So at least

981
00:48:35,560 --> 00:48:38,040
Speaker 2: you took that section away from me. But twenty twenty

982
00:48:38,080 --> 00:48:40,360
Speaker 2: six to twenty seven four twenty on the ground like

983
00:48:41,200 --> 00:48:44,120
Speaker 2: to me and I mentioned this before, but six touchdowns

984
00:48:44,200 --> 00:48:48,160
Speaker 2: in one interception all season and almost a sixty nine

985
00:48:48,200 --> 00:48:51,400
Speaker 2: percent completion percentage. He has a better passer rating than

986
00:48:51,520 --> 00:48:55,680
Speaker 2: Kyler bo Nicks, Bryce Young and Trevor Lawrence. I mean

987
00:48:55,840 --> 00:48:59,680
Speaker 2: it just it needs to be understood that he's doing

988
00:48:59,719 --> 00:49:02,239
Speaker 2: an all right job and at two hundred and three

989
00:49:02,280 --> 00:49:05,200
Speaker 2: pass attempts with only one pick, it's it's something I'm

990
00:49:05,200 --> 00:49:08,239
Speaker 2: going to accept. Especially with their rush defense. I mean,

991
00:49:08,280 --> 00:49:10,760
Speaker 2: I believe in five of six games holding leading rusher

992
00:49:10,840 --> 00:49:14,279
Speaker 2: under seventy yards and they're doing a decent job, so

993
00:49:14,960 --> 00:49:16,920
Speaker 2: U I mean that. That's my note on New Orleans,

994
00:49:16,920 --> 00:49:19,880
Speaker 2: Like week in and week out, they're tough, and I

995
00:49:19,920 --> 00:49:21,719
Speaker 2: believe in the favorites part that we had two or

996
00:49:21,760 --> 00:49:25,879
Speaker 2: three legs the one loser New Orleans, so we got

997
00:49:25,960 --> 00:49:26,839
Speaker 2: real close there.

998
00:49:26,880 --> 00:49:32,200
Speaker 4: But crazy, yeah, crazy one interception through six games. That

999
00:49:32,440 --> 00:49:35,800
Speaker 4: was if you remember, on the Exotics podcast, we picked

1000
00:49:35,800 --> 00:49:39,200
Speaker 4: for most interceptions and I took Ratler I think eighty

1001
00:49:39,239 --> 00:49:42,120
Speaker 4: to one because the premise was he's probably gonna get

1002
00:49:42,120 --> 00:49:44,799
Speaker 4: benched soon enough, probably by now for Tyler Shuck right,

1003
00:49:44,840 --> 00:49:47,520
Speaker 4: who who needs Spencer Ratler? I was like, well, what

1004
00:49:47,520 --> 00:49:49,760
Speaker 4: if he plays all your well? Of course, third inceptions,

1005
00:49:49,760 --> 00:49:52,360
Speaker 4: if he plays turns out, no turns out, he's probably

1006
00:49:52,400 --> 00:49:54,400
Speaker 4: going to keep playing. Like, can hardly bench him at

1007
00:49:54,400 --> 00:49:57,080
Speaker 4: this point. He's playing way too well for that. But

1008
00:49:57,120 --> 00:50:00,040
Speaker 4: he's not turning over anyways, so I don't have I

1009
00:50:00,040 --> 00:50:02,439
Speaker 4: think that ticket's pretty much cooked at this point either way.

1010
00:50:02,840 --> 00:50:05,000
Speaker 4: But one other note as far as a dream season

1011
00:50:05,040 --> 00:50:08,760
Speaker 4: for Saints, shout out to our producer David Taysom Hill

1012
00:50:08,880 --> 00:50:11,760
Speaker 4: back and into the end zone again. So another dream

1013
00:50:11,840 --> 00:50:14,320
Speaker 4: scenario for Saints fans and Taysom Hill fans.

1014
00:50:14,719 --> 00:50:17,279
Speaker 2: Yeah, you watch a Saints game and it's like they

1015
00:50:17,440 --> 00:50:18,960
Speaker 2: I feel like they have a lot of names, Like

1016
00:50:19,000 --> 00:50:23,000
Speaker 2: there's a lot of people on the field that catch touchdowns,

1017
00:50:23,000 --> 00:50:26,960
Speaker 2: Like they have a pretty decent team overall, and rattlers

1018
00:50:27,000 --> 00:50:28,920
Speaker 2: keeping them in games. I don't know, they're they're frisky,

1019
00:50:29,280 --> 00:50:33,760
Speaker 2: all right, Broncos Jets. Speaking of frisky and terrible, Denver

1020
00:50:33,800 --> 00:50:37,280
Speaker 2: wins the game thirteen eleven. Was this a score of goami?

1021
00:50:37,320 --> 00:50:39,359
Speaker 2: I don't know if I've ever seen thirteen eleven.

1022
00:50:39,440 --> 00:50:41,680
Speaker 4: I've never seen thirteen eleven. It has to be a

1023
00:50:41,719 --> 00:50:43,239
Speaker 4: score of goami. I've never seen that.

1024
00:50:43,360 --> 00:50:47,520
Speaker 2: I should have checked like this game, this does Jet's

1025
00:50:47,600 --> 00:50:50,800
Speaker 2: cover the seven all numbers as well? It was higher

1026
00:50:50,800 --> 00:50:52,959
Speaker 2: than that total goes under forty three and a half.

1027
00:50:53,080 --> 00:50:56,239
Speaker 2: Never really a question. I honestly did a double take

1028
00:50:56,400 --> 00:51:00,120
Speaker 2: when I saw this game in this section, but I

1029
00:51:00,160 --> 00:51:03,080
Speaker 2: completely get it. I'll give you here. It's a riddle.

1030
00:51:03,120 --> 00:51:06,200
Speaker 2: I don't think it's a haiku. But a team doesn't

1031
00:51:06,320 --> 00:51:08,799
Speaker 2: enter the red zone, doesn't have a play go for

1032
00:51:08,920 --> 00:51:12,280
Speaker 2: more than eight yards, their quarterback has as many completion

1033
00:51:12,360 --> 00:51:15,560
Speaker 2: as sacks, and they probably should have won this game.

1034
00:51:15,960 --> 00:51:18,919
Speaker 2: That's how I feel about the Jets. And all those

1035
00:51:18,960 --> 00:51:23,839
Speaker 2: things are true, but negative ten net passing yards worse

1036
00:51:23,960 --> 00:51:26,600
Speaker 2: for a team in twenty seven years ninety eight Chargers,

1037
00:51:26,600 --> 00:51:31,600
Speaker 2: I believe. I mean, the things that keep happening to

1038
00:51:31,640 --> 00:51:34,480
Speaker 2: the Jets are also happening to the Titans. And when

1039
00:51:34,480 --> 00:51:36,600
Speaker 2: you put the Jets in the sentence with the Titans,

1040
00:51:36,960 --> 00:51:40,279
Speaker 2: you know what's going bad. So I don't really know

1041
00:51:40,320 --> 00:51:42,560
Speaker 2: what to say about this game, Like, I feel like

1042
00:51:42,719 --> 00:51:45,960
Speaker 2: this was very similar to the Jets Broncos game that

1043
00:51:46,120 --> 00:51:49,880
Speaker 2: was in in Monsoon, and this one was worse, And

1044
00:51:49,920 --> 00:51:51,120
Speaker 2: I don't know how that's possible.

1045
00:51:51,719 --> 00:51:55,000
Speaker 4: Yeah, that game you're talking about if I recall, I

1046
00:51:55,000 --> 00:51:57,319
Speaker 4: think that's one where like Kendall Hinton plays is like

1047
00:51:57,360 --> 00:52:00,799
Speaker 4: the seventeen string quarterback justin Fields is cute one, He's

1048
00:52:00,880 --> 00:52:05,440
Speaker 4: just terrible. Nine sacks by eight different Broncos in this game.

1049
00:52:05,760 --> 00:52:08,080
Speaker 4: I didn't even know this number was possible minus point

1050
00:52:08,239 --> 00:52:11,800
Speaker 4: seven to three epa per play passing for Fields today.

1051
00:52:12,200 --> 00:52:15,160
Speaker 4: Nine sacks, eight completions today by the way, nine sacks

1052
00:52:15,200 --> 00:52:17,279
Speaker 4: eleven points and like you said.

1053
00:52:17,400 --> 00:52:19,520
Speaker 3: Should have won probably, I don't really know.

1054
00:52:19,640 --> 00:52:23,240
Speaker 4: Like my note, so you know, I ordered the games

1055
00:52:23,239 --> 00:52:25,719
Speaker 4: for this one and I did not watch this one.

1056
00:52:25,880 --> 00:52:26,560
Speaker 3: I was at church.

1057
00:52:26,600 --> 00:52:28,640
Speaker 4: I've never been so grateful to be at church in

1058
00:52:28,640 --> 00:52:31,080
Speaker 4: a Sunday morning as to miss out on this game.

1059
00:52:31,719 --> 00:52:32,640
Speaker 4: You're welcome, London.

1060
00:52:32,680 --> 00:52:32,919
Speaker 3: Thanks.

1061
00:52:33,920 --> 00:52:36,160
Speaker 2: I was doing some praying during this game as well.

1062
00:52:36,680 --> 00:52:39,040
Speaker 2: We were. We were on the same section.

1063
00:52:39,040 --> 00:52:42,359
Speaker 4: I think, so, so I moved this to the very

1064
00:52:42,440 --> 00:52:45,080
Speaker 4: bottom of our rundown and then it got so bad

1065
00:52:45,160 --> 00:52:46,839
Speaker 4: when I looked into the notes, I was like, put

1066
00:52:46,880 --> 00:52:48,680
Speaker 4: it back up. So I just want to read off

1067
00:52:48,719 --> 00:52:51,239
Speaker 4: some awful other numbers from this game, and then that's it.

1068
00:52:51,840 --> 00:52:55,120
Speaker 4: This game had seven to three and outs. It had

1069
00:52:55,120 --> 00:52:57,560
Speaker 4: a one place safety drive that looked like it was

1070
00:52:57,600 --> 00:52:59,720
Speaker 4: going to maybe be the game winner for the Jets.

1071
00:53:00,320 --> 00:53:05,279
Speaker 4: Success rate. Broncos win with thirty three percent success rate

1072
00:53:05,600 --> 00:53:07,560
Speaker 4: two hundred and forty six yards. By the way, not

1073
00:53:07,719 --> 00:53:11,440
Speaker 4: exactly great for Denver's offense against the Jets. Defense has

1074
00:53:11,520 --> 00:53:14,800
Speaker 4: not played well. Denver thirty three percent success rate, Jets

1075
00:53:14,840 --> 00:53:19,200
Speaker 4: twenty five percent. That is the zero fifth percentile of

1076
00:53:19,320 --> 00:53:20,080
Speaker 4: success rate.

1077
00:53:20,800 --> 00:53:21,440
Speaker 3: Not good.

1078
00:53:21,920 --> 00:53:25,239
Speaker 4: Eight first downs all game, two of fifteen on third down,

1079
00:53:25,719 --> 00:53:29,640
Speaker 4: one point four yards per play. The Jets had twelve

1080
00:53:29,760 --> 00:53:32,799
Speaker 4: drives in this game. Here's the yardage on some of

1081
00:53:32,800 --> 00:53:40,400
Speaker 4: those drives. Entire drives three one five, negative eight thirteen.

1082
00:53:41,040 --> 00:53:44,239
Speaker 4: That's pretty good. Negative three and negative four, negative seven

1083
00:53:44,320 --> 00:53:46,799
Speaker 4: to one. That's how we end the game. Twelve drives,

1084
00:53:47,320 --> 00:53:50,520
Speaker 4: no drive of forty yards, none in the red zone,

1085
00:53:50,960 --> 00:53:55,160
Speaker 4: two drives over twenty yards over half, no first downs,

1086
00:53:55,200 --> 00:53:55,920
Speaker 4: and for them that.

1087
00:53:56,000 --> 00:53:59,240
Speaker 3: Ended with negative yards. This is one of the worst

1088
00:53:59,239 --> 00:54:01,120
Speaker 3: offensive just I've ever seen.

1089
00:54:01,880 --> 00:54:04,120
Speaker 2: Yeah, nobody had nine yards on a single play in

1090
00:54:04,160 --> 00:54:06,919
Speaker 2: this game. Nothing else needs to be said. I leaves

1091
00:54:06,960 --> 00:54:09,400
Speaker 2: for the Jets. I mean, I think the only thing

1092
00:54:09,440 --> 00:54:11,839
Speaker 2: they needs to be said is the unbelievable fact I'm

1093
00:54:11,880 --> 00:54:15,000
Speaker 2: about to tell you which is at the moment as

1094
00:54:15,080 --> 00:54:17,760
Speaker 2: I say this, it's about one in the morning Eastern

1095
00:54:17,800 --> 00:54:21,440
Speaker 2: Monday morning after the game. The Jets are favorite next

1096
00:54:21,440 --> 00:54:25,520
Speaker 2: week to win a football game at Owen six. They

1097
00:54:25,560 --> 00:54:29,200
Speaker 2: are one and a half point favorites against the Carolina Panthers.

1098
00:54:29,840 --> 00:54:32,560
Speaker 2: They would be the first Owen six or worst team

1099
00:54:32,800 --> 00:54:35,920
Speaker 2: favorite in a game since the twenty thirteen Giants. It

1100
00:54:35,960 --> 00:54:39,200
Speaker 2: always comes back to New York. But listen, Jets are

1101
00:54:39,320 --> 00:54:42,919
Speaker 2: three and seventeen in the last twenty games overall. They're

1102
00:54:42,960 --> 00:54:45,080
Speaker 2: most surely going to miss the playoffs with the fifteenth

1103
00:54:45,120 --> 00:54:47,520
Speaker 2: straight year, So we might as well make them favorite

1104
00:54:47,520 --> 00:54:50,560
Speaker 2: next week and see what happens. All right, ready, keep rolling.

1105
00:54:51,040 --> 00:54:53,360
Speaker 4: Yeah, we'll get back to that Jets game in the

1106
00:54:53,360 --> 00:54:54,439
Speaker 4: hot read when we get there.

1107
00:54:54,560 --> 00:54:58,719
Speaker 2: I can't wait. Pittsburgh beats Cleveland twenty three to nine.

1108
00:54:58,960 --> 00:55:01,120
Speaker 2: Cover is six and a half half point favorite. Scoto

1109
00:55:01,160 --> 00:55:03,520
Speaker 2: goes under thirty eight. The only thing you need to

1110
00:55:03,520 --> 00:55:07,160
Speaker 2: know about this game Cleveland's twenty two game losing streak

1111
00:55:07,200 --> 00:55:10,760
Speaker 2: in the regular season in Pittsburgh. Now Tim Couch last

1112
00:55:10,800 --> 00:55:16,000
Speaker 2: win in that series in Pittsburgh. Gabriel also the fifteenth

1113
00:55:16,040 --> 00:55:20,080
Speaker 2: quarterback to try to break that streak and failed. All right,

1114
00:55:20,320 --> 00:55:23,960
Speaker 2: Rams wins seventeen to three, cover six and a half

1115
00:55:24,120 --> 00:55:27,840
Speaker 2: on the road in Baltimore. That was con close. Total

1116
00:55:27,880 --> 00:55:29,040
Speaker 2: goes under forty three.

1117
00:55:28,920 --> 00:55:29,400
Speaker 3: And a half.

1118
00:55:29,600 --> 00:55:33,000
Speaker 2: This is a fun one. So this year Matthew Stafford

1119
00:55:33,120 --> 00:55:38,200
Speaker 2: nine touchdowns, zero interceptions, seventy three point three completion percentage

1120
00:55:38,239 --> 00:55:42,479
Speaker 2: in the second half ridiculous. Nine touchdowns, no picks, seventy

1121
00:55:42,480 --> 00:55:45,320
Speaker 2: three percent second half just nails. Leads the NFL in

1122
00:55:45,360 --> 00:55:48,520
Speaker 2: passing yards in that category. And the stat I tweeted

1123
00:55:48,520 --> 00:55:52,480
Speaker 2: out earlier McVeigh nineteen and zero straight up as above

1124
00:55:52,560 --> 00:55:55,640
Speaker 2: a four point favorite road neutral. Don't think it's going

1125
00:55:55,719 --> 00:55:58,480
Speaker 2: to get that high against Jacksonville, but the number is crazy.

1126
00:55:58,480 --> 00:56:01,600
Speaker 2: I think he's thirty four and eight as a favorite

1127
00:56:01,800 --> 00:56:05,520
Speaker 2: road neutral as well. So really really great numbers there.

1128
00:56:06,280 --> 00:56:09,840
Speaker 2: All right, let's keep going here, Tennessee Raiders. So the

1129
00:56:09,920 --> 00:56:13,719
Speaker 2: Raiders win this game twenty to ten, covers three and

1130
00:56:13,760 --> 00:56:17,320
Speaker 2: a half point favorites at home. Total goes under forty

1131
00:56:17,320 --> 00:56:20,840
Speaker 2: one and a half. The Titans have lost ten straight

1132
00:56:20,880 --> 00:56:23,640
Speaker 2: games straight up and against the spread after a straight

1133
00:56:23,719 --> 00:56:27,360
Speaker 2: up win. Last win came in twenty twenty two. I

1134
00:56:27,440 --> 00:56:31,040
Speaker 2: believe and Cam Woord sacked twenty five times right now

1135
00:56:31,080 --> 00:56:34,680
Speaker 2: in six games, most in the NFL, and his passer

1136
00:56:34,760 --> 00:56:38,359
Speaker 2: rating and completion percentage of those quarterbacks with twenty five

1137
00:56:38,440 --> 00:56:42,680
Speaker 2: sacks basically comparable to David Carr. That is the direction

1138
00:56:42,760 --> 00:56:47,279
Speaker 2: we are headed. Not awesome. And finally, Bengals Packers Green

1139
00:56:47,320 --> 00:56:50,240
Speaker 2: Bay wins the game twenty seven to eighteen. Don't cover

1140
00:56:50,520 --> 00:56:54,040
Speaker 2: the fourteen point close. The total goes over forty four

1141
00:56:54,040 --> 00:56:57,280
Speaker 2: and a half by the hook, Closer than we thought early.

1142
00:56:57,480 --> 00:56:59,360
Speaker 2: Maybe there was a minute or two where we thought

1143
00:57:00,000 --> 00:57:02,040
Speaker 2: Cincinnati didn't stay in the game and Flacco was gonna

1144
00:57:02,040 --> 00:57:07,120
Speaker 2: do it again. Stat I'll give you September October November

1145
00:57:07,440 --> 00:57:11,239
Speaker 2: Zach Taylor now oh and seventeen straight up without Joe

1146
00:57:11,239 --> 00:57:14,320
Speaker 2: Burrow never won a game to start the season without

1147
00:57:14,360 --> 00:57:30,040
Speaker 2: his crown jewel. Monday Night Football, we have a doubleheader

1148
00:57:30,040 --> 00:57:33,200
Speaker 2: for you. We are going to start with Buffalo and Atlanta.

1149
00:57:33,320 --> 00:57:35,840
Speaker 2: I have a few stats, some fun notes, some things

1150
00:57:35,840 --> 00:57:38,080
Speaker 2: of that nature. But Brandon, why do you kick it off?

1151
00:57:38,240 --> 00:57:39,760
Speaker 2: What are you thinking here of Buffalo Atlanta?

1152
00:57:40,080 --> 00:57:42,240
Speaker 4: Yeah, that's a fun one. I think I'm excited to

1153
00:57:42,280 --> 00:57:44,120
Speaker 4: see what we can learn about these teams. I think

1154
00:57:44,120 --> 00:57:46,000
Speaker 4: we saw last week that the Bills are maybe a

1155
00:57:46,040 --> 00:57:48,640
Speaker 4: touch overrated in the market. Atlanta, I feel like we

1156
00:57:48,680 --> 00:57:50,440
Speaker 4: just don't know a ton about yet. They're coming off

1157
00:57:50,440 --> 00:57:53,959
Speaker 4: the bye week here right now. Somehow the Falcons entered

1158
00:57:53,960 --> 00:57:56,600
Speaker 4: the weekend with the number one DVOA defense.

1159
00:57:56,960 --> 00:57:59,880
Speaker 3: What what? I honestly thought that was a mistake when

1160
00:57:59,880 --> 00:58:01,840
Speaker 3: I saw it. So we'll see.

1161
00:58:01,920 --> 00:58:04,240
Speaker 4: We'll see how that holds up against Josh Allen the Bills.

1162
00:58:04,240 --> 00:58:06,600
Speaker 4: I have some doubts there. Other side of the ball

1163
00:58:06,680 --> 00:58:11,160
Speaker 4: is interesting. Fringe bottom ten Atlanta offense and Buffalo defense

1164
00:58:11,200 --> 00:58:13,240
Speaker 4: by a lot of the metrics, so lost of proof

1165
00:58:13,360 --> 00:58:16,760
Speaker 4: both ways there. I think that makes this almost more

1166
00:58:16,760 --> 00:58:18,280
Speaker 4: of a prove it game and kind of see what

1167
00:58:18,280 --> 00:58:21,600
Speaker 4: we got. Bill's run defense has been gettable. So maybe

1168
00:58:21,840 --> 00:58:24,160
Speaker 4: if you like Atlanta, I think you gotta like Bijon,

1169
00:58:24,240 --> 00:58:26,480
Speaker 4: you gotta like l Gier and just kind of pounding

1170
00:58:26,480 --> 00:58:29,240
Speaker 4: the run game. We've seen Atlanta win that game. I

1171
00:58:29,320 --> 00:58:32,720
Speaker 4: do think Buffalo, coming off the loss of the Patriots,

1172
00:58:32,720 --> 00:58:34,320
Speaker 4: I think this is a good spot for them to

1173
00:58:34,440 --> 00:58:37,120
Speaker 4: bounce back here. Two ways that I'm gonna invest in

1174
00:58:37,160 --> 00:58:41,880
Speaker 4: the Bills home underdogs coming in the first half out

1175
00:58:41,880 --> 00:58:45,960
Speaker 4: of the bye week. That's the Falcons here sixty ats.

1176
00:58:46,240 --> 00:58:49,440
Speaker 4: So I don't love early for Buffalo, but in the

1177
00:58:49,480 --> 00:58:53,160
Speaker 4: second half of those games, road favorites under six against

1178
00:58:53,160 --> 00:58:55,960
Speaker 4: the team coming off the buye twenty nine to seventeen

1179
00:58:56,000 --> 00:58:59,000
Speaker 4: and two ats on second half spread sixty four percent.

1180
00:58:59,400 --> 00:59:01,439
Speaker 4: And if you know the Bills, you know to bet

1181
00:59:01,520 --> 00:59:04,200
Speaker 4: Josh Allen in the second half cover God in the

1182
00:59:04,240 --> 00:59:08,200
Speaker 4: second half sixty six percent for his career and Bill

1183
00:59:08,240 --> 00:59:10,000
Speaker 4: second half minus two and a half.

1184
00:59:10,280 --> 00:59:12,160
Speaker 3: We get under the key number that way, So I'm.

1185
00:59:12,080 --> 00:59:15,360
Speaker 4: Gonna take a Bill's second half position, and then another

1186
00:59:15,560 --> 00:59:18,600
Speaker 4: similar angle we played a couple of weeks ago. Bill's

1187
00:59:18,600 --> 00:59:20,520
Speaker 4: team total right now is twenty seven and a half

1188
00:59:20,640 --> 00:59:23,560
Speaker 4: plus one hundred on that one thirty points, and Bill's

1189
00:59:23,600 --> 00:59:26,840
Speaker 4: wins fifteen of their last seventeen wins since the start

1190
00:59:26,880 --> 00:59:29,600
Speaker 4: of last season. So if you think Buffalo wins the game,

1191
00:59:30,000 --> 00:59:32,560
Speaker 4: they should get to thirty as well. We get under

1192
00:59:32,560 --> 00:59:34,720
Speaker 4: the hook right twenty eight. We like to stay under

1193
00:59:34,720 --> 00:59:37,439
Speaker 4: the twenty eight and even odds there. I'm not gonna

1194
00:59:37,480 --> 00:59:40,480
Speaker 4: do any Escalators anything, just Bill second half and Bill's

1195
00:59:40,480 --> 00:59:42,600
Speaker 4: team total, and I think the Buffalo finds a way

1196
00:59:42,640 --> 00:59:43,040
Speaker 4: to get there.

1197
00:59:43,040 --> 00:59:44,320
Speaker 3: But it should be a fun game.

1198
00:59:45,400 --> 00:59:47,320
Speaker 2: Two stats to back you up, because I don't really

1199
00:59:47,360 --> 00:59:51,320
Speaker 2: have a play on the spreader total itself, but Raheem

1200
00:59:51,360 --> 00:59:53,760
Speaker 2: Morris thirteen and twenty five against the spread at home

1201
00:59:53,920 --> 00:59:56,360
Speaker 2: been terrible, but this one hit me when he's a

1202
00:59:56,360 --> 00:59:59,720
Speaker 2: home dog four and sixteen against the spread, which is

1203
01:00:00,120 --> 01:00:03,000
Speaker 2: pretty insane in itself. And then the Bills, like you said,

1204
01:00:03,000 --> 01:00:05,400
Speaker 2: coming off the loss, but when they're off the loss,

1205
01:00:05,520 --> 01:00:08,960
Speaker 2: they go road neutral thirteen and three straight up with

1206
01:00:09,040 --> 01:00:12,040
Speaker 2: Josh Allen winning by almost ten points per game. So,

1207
01:00:12,640 --> 01:00:16,360
Speaker 2: like you said, a good bounce back spot in terms

1208
01:00:16,360 --> 01:00:17,960
Speaker 2: of the bets that I like here. So I have

1209
01:00:18,240 --> 01:00:21,680
Speaker 2: Cook already in a parlay for a touchdown in my profile,

1210
01:00:22,080 --> 01:00:24,720
Speaker 2: can leave that alone. Some fun things I was looking

1211
01:00:24,720 --> 01:00:26,200
Speaker 2: into on both these games. I don't know if you

1212
01:00:26,200 --> 01:00:27,760
Speaker 2: saw this as well, but we've got we have some

1213
01:00:27,800 --> 01:00:31,280
Speaker 2: tight end questionables that are keeping some props on tight

1214
01:00:31,360 --> 01:00:33,520
Speaker 2: ends off the board, which kind of sucks here. We've

1215
01:00:33,560 --> 01:00:37,400
Speaker 2: got Kincaid's injury, which has me struggling in this one.

1216
01:00:37,440 --> 01:00:40,000
Speaker 2: Atlanta's great versus tight end, So a bit contrariant of

1217
01:00:40,040 --> 01:00:42,920
Speaker 2: a look, but I kind of liked Kinkaid. If Kinkaid

1218
01:00:43,000 --> 01:00:46,560
Speaker 2: doesn't play, I actually really kind of like some Knox props, Like,

1219
01:00:46,600 --> 01:00:50,080
Speaker 2: I think there's an opportunity Buffalo needs to move forward

1220
01:00:50,080 --> 01:00:51,440
Speaker 2: to this game. They're going to try to run the

1221
01:00:51,440 --> 01:00:55,640
Speaker 2: ball because Atlanta's pass defense has been absolutely nails this year,

1222
01:00:55,720 --> 01:00:58,640
Speaker 2: doing really really good things. But I think there is

1223
01:00:58,680 --> 01:01:01,600
Speaker 2: an opportunity there. So I kind of liked Knox, but

1224
01:01:01,640 --> 01:01:04,280
Speaker 2: there's no props there. The other thing I really like

1225
01:01:04,320 --> 01:01:07,680
Speaker 2: in this game is Joshua Palmer. I know Curtis Samuel

1226
01:01:07,720 --> 01:01:10,360
Speaker 2: has a questionable status on his head right now, so

1227
01:01:10,640 --> 01:01:14,160
Speaker 2: no Samuel would be better for Palmer. But I'm gonna

1228
01:01:14,200 --> 01:01:17,280
Speaker 2: do a little bit of a parlay on something and

1229
01:01:17,320 --> 01:01:19,800
Speaker 2: it's going to be in Bears and Commanders, so I'll

1230
01:01:19,800 --> 01:01:22,840
Speaker 2: hold it for a second. But those are probably my looks.

1231
01:01:23,000 --> 01:01:26,240
Speaker 2: If Knox played like two touchdowns right now, is thirty

1232
01:01:26,280 --> 01:01:28,800
Speaker 2: to one, especially, it'd be nice if there wasn't kincaid,

1233
01:01:28,880 --> 01:01:31,680
Speaker 2: But those are my thoughts overall anything there.

1234
01:01:31,920 --> 01:01:34,520
Speaker 4: Also, if Kim Kaida is out, I gotta believe our

1235
01:01:34,760 --> 01:01:37,520
Speaker 4: touchdown guys, you'll goalant is gonna be on Dawson Knox.

1236
01:01:37,560 --> 01:01:40,600
Speaker 4: We know how Jill allows to play Knox touchdown, so

1237
01:01:40,680 --> 01:01:42,800
Speaker 4: I think that one makes a ton of sense there.

1238
01:01:43,080 --> 01:01:46,439
Speaker 2: All right, you ready, let's go Bears commanders. The only

1239
01:01:46,480 --> 01:01:48,320
Speaker 2: two notes that I'm going to toss you here before

1240
01:01:48,320 --> 01:01:51,360
Speaker 2: you get to your bets. Caleb Owen four straight up

1241
01:01:51,360 --> 01:01:54,920
Speaker 2: in night games and probably a little bit more dangerous.

1242
01:01:55,200 --> 01:01:58,160
Speaker 2: He has actually one to nine first at ats on

1243
01:01:58,200 --> 01:02:01,760
Speaker 2: the road in his career, so terrible early in games

1244
01:02:01,760 --> 01:02:05,320
Speaker 2: on the road. See if that changes against Washington in

1245
01:02:05,360 --> 01:02:08,560
Speaker 2: this Monday nighter. But the one that's fun. Bears four

1246
01:02:08,600 --> 01:02:10,760
Speaker 2: and oh to their team total over this season, so

1247
01:02:11,160 --> 01:02:13,440
Speaker 2: scoring a ton of points. Things get a little bit

1248
01:02:13,440 --> 01:02:15,480
Speaker 2: out of control in some of these Bears games, with

1249
01:02:15,560 --> 01:02:18,800
Speaker 2: turnovers probably getting them a few more possessions. But what

1250
01:02:18,800 --> 01:02:20,600
Speaker 2: are you doing here with Chicago and Washington.

1251
01:02:21,240 --> 01:02:24,000
Speaker 4: This is a really big game locally here. Chicago fans

1252
01:02:24,080 --> 01:02:26,760
Speaker 4: really want this one. The Cup season is over now,

1253
01:02:26,840 --> 01:02:28,920
Speaker 4: so it's all eyes on football. And this was the

1254
01:02:28,960 --> 01:02:32,960
Speaker 4: game last year that totally turned the Bears season. They

1255
01:02:32,960 --> 01:02:35,400
Speaker 4: were set to go to five and two. They're rolling

1256
01:02:35,960 --> 01:02:39,920
Speaker 4: and the fail Mary goes the other direction. Everything goes bad.

1257
01:02:40,000 --> 01:02:43,800
Speaker 4: And don't forget it's Caleb Williams and it's Jalen Daniels.

1258
01:02:43,880 --> 01:02:46,680
Speaker 4: This is the quarterback that Chicago took and the one

1259
01:02:46,680 --> 01:02:49,240
Speaker 4: they didn't take in the draft as well, So there's

1260
01:02:49,280 --> 01:02:52,040
Speaker 4: a lot riding on this game. I think Chicago is

1261
01:02:52,040 --> 01:02:53,720
Speaker 4: going to have been very invested in this game coming

1262
01:02:53,720 --> 01:02:55,880
Speaker 4: out of the bye week, and the bye week I

1263
01:02:55,880 --> 01:02:59,640
Speaker 4: think sets up for some value on Chicago here because injuries.

1264
01:02:59,680 --> 01:03:03,360
Speaker 4: I think our big swing in Chicago's direction Washington is

1265
01:03:03,400 --> 01:03:05,680
Speaker 4: gonna be without Terry McLaurin and Noah Brown.

1266
01:03:06,080 --> 01:03:06,920
Speaker 3: Diebo has been.

1267
01:03:06,840 --> 01:03:09,240
Speaker 4: Good, but as a gadget receiver and a guy that

1268
01:03:09,280 --> 01:03:11,240
Speaker 4: you can kind of figure out scheming wise with two

1269
01:03:11,280 --> 01:03:15,200
Speaker 4: weeks to prep for. Whereas Chicago, they look like they're

1270
01:03:15,200 --> 01:03:17,160
Speaker 4: going to get back a bunch of dudes that we've

1271
01:03:17,160 --> 01:03:20,560
Speaker 4: been waiting a long time for, TJ. Edwards at linebacker,

1272
01:03:20,960 --> 01:03:23,720
Speaker 4: Kyler Gordon and the nickel that's really important against Deebo,

1273
01:03:23,880 --> 01:03:26,920
Speaker 4: especially Darnell Ray and Jonah Jackson on the line.

1274
01:03:27,280 --> 01:03:30,120
Speaker 3: Getting that line healthy, getting the defense a little healthier.

1275
01:03:30,560 --> 01:03:32,480
Speaker 4: That's why I was big on this team coming into

1276
01:03:32,480 --> 01:03:34,080
Speaker 4: the year, and they just haven't been healthy and so

1277
01:03:34,080 --> 01:03:36,760
Speaker 4: I'm not quite there yet again, but I think that

1278
01:03:36,800 --> 01:03:40,680
Speaker 4: could be a big swing. And this line actually has

1279
01:03:40,720 --> 01:03:43,080
Speaker 4: moved i think just today alone, from four and a

1280
01:03:43,120 --> 01:03:44,880
Speaker 4: half to five and a half, which admittedly is not

1281
01:03:45,240 --> 01:03:48,840
Speaker 4: a real exciting zone of line movement. But I think

1282
01:03:48,920 --> 01:03:50,440
Speaker 4: five and a half is too many. I'm gonna take

1283
01:03:50,440 --> 01:03:54,560
Speaker 4: the Bears. Some trends in Chicago's favor here. Teams that

1284
01:03:54,600 --> 01:03:56,280
Speaker 4: are two and two, we had some of those trends

1285
01:03:56,320 --> 01:03:58,400
Speaker 4: last week. Well, Chicago wasn't a bye, so they still

1286
01:03:58,440 --> 01:04:01,840
Speaker 4: qualify here. If two and two team has a positive

1287
01:04:01,840 --> 01:04:05,320
Speaker 4: turnover differential, like the Bears fifty seven percent ATS in

1288
01:04:05,360 --> 01:04:07,840
Speaker 4: that next game, if they have a negative point differential

1289
01:04:07,840 --> 01:04:11,600
Speaker 4: they're getting outscored. That's actually good at fifty nine percent ATS.

1290
01:04:12,120 --> 01:04:14,680
Speaker 4: And then if they're facing a team above five hundred

1291
01:04:15,000 --> 01:04:19,080
Speaker 4: with a spread between field goal favorite or touchdown underdog

1292
01:04:19,520 --> 01:04:22,640
Speaker 4: sixty three percent ATS all as two and two teams

1293
01:04:23,280 --> 01:04:26,520
Speaker 4: and just kind of an other stat neutral to two

1294
01:04:26,520 --> 01:04:31,040
Speaker 4: and two since twenty ten, teams that win by seventeen

1295
01:04:31,120 --> 01:04:33,680
Speaker 4: or more as underdogs of a touchdown or less, that's

1296
01:04:33,720 --> 01:04:36,440
Speaker 4: the Commanders. They get the big win against the Chargers

1297
01:04:36,480 --> 01:04:39,320
Speaker 4: last week. Those teams are only thirty five percent ATS

1298
01:04:39,360 --> 01:04:40,040
Speaker 4: the following week.

1299
01:04:40,120 --> 01:04:41,640
Speaker 3: So I think the.

1300
01:04:42,040 --> 01:04:45,360
Speaker 4: Number here is a bit too high on the Commanders

1301
01:04:45,720 --> 01:04:48,800
Speaker 4: and a bit low on a Bears team that is

1302
01:04:48,880 --> 01:04:50,720
Speaker 4: lucky you have made it a two and two honestly,

1303
01:04:50,880 --> 01:04:53,280
Speaker 4: but gets the chance to get right, get healthy, get

1304
01:04:53,280 --> 01:04:55,880
Speaker 4: to the spot that they have had circled on their

1305
01:04:55,880 --> 01:04:58,640
Speaker 4: calendar waiting for this one out of the buy, I'm

1306
01:04:58,680 --> 01:05:01,200
Speaker 4: gonna take Bears five and a half. I'm gonna touch

1307
01:05:01,240 --> 01:05:02,960
Speaker 4: the money line too. I think Chicago has a real

1308
01:05:03,000 --> 01:05:05,560
Speaker 4: shot here to get the win. And you know you

1309
01:05:05,640 --> 01:05:07,840
Speaker 4: got Ben Johnson settling in. I had to get the

1310
01:05:07,960 --> 01:05:10,320
Speaker 4: name out there in the pick money line is across

1311
01:05:10,320 --> 01:05:13,120
Speaker 4: two twenty. I think this is a really fun game.

1312
01:05:13,480 --> 01:05:15,080
Speaker 4: I think it's gonna come down to the end. I

1313
01:05:15,120 --> 01:05:16,560
Speaker 4: think the Bears have a real shot to win.

1314
01:05:16,520 --> 01:05:19,720
Speaker 2: Those Yeah, I'm with you. I like Chicago too many points.

1315
01:05:20,360 --> 01:05:22,040
Speaker 2: I wouldn't make this game five and a half. I

1316
01:05:22,080 --> 01:05:24,400
Speaker 2: would make it closer to four, maybe even three and

1317
01:05:24,400 --> 01:05:27,000
Speaker 2: a half in some circumstances, especially with the injuries on

1318
01:05:27,160 --> 01:05:29,760
Speaker 2: Washington side of the ball. Offensively, Like I just I

1319
01:05:29,800 --> 01:05:34,320
Speaker 2: know Jayan Daniels is superman, but he's down a few sidekicks,

1320
01:05:34,520 --> 01:05:36,640
Speaker 2: and I think it's you're gonna see it in this one.

1321
01:05:36,760 --> 01:05:38,680
Speaker 2: In terms of the props I was looking at so

1322
01:05:38,720 --> 01:05:41,520
Speaker 2: I talked about Joshua Palmer like that in the other game,

1323
01:05:42,000 --> 01:05:44,960
Speaker 2: obviously hope Samuel doesn't play for that prop. But with

1324
01:05:45,040 --> 01:05:48,360
Speaker 2: this one, I believe Coleston Lovelin's still questionable, which is

1325
01:05:48,400 --> 01:05:53,080
Speaker 2: a big just thought process when betting. Cole Clemet and

1326
01:05:53,160 --> 01:05:57,840
Speaker 2: no Cole Comet props are currently up if circumstances. You know,

1327
01:05:58,240 --> 01:06:01,000
Speaker 2: a lot of questionable tight ends here, but with Comet

1328
01:06:01,000 --> 01:06:04,480
Speaker 2: and Knocks sixteen to one both to score touchdowns, which

1329
01:06:04,520 --> 01:06:06,960
Speaker 2: I thought were good bets, and if you want to

1330
01:06:07,000 --> 01:06:10,360
Speaker 2: flip out Knocks with kin Kaid it's thirteen to one.

1331
01:06:10,520 --> 01:06:13,240
Speaker 2: Still find that kind of interesting. And cole Comet, even

1332
01:06:13,240 --> 01:06:15,640
Speaker 2: if level and plays, maybe even helps a little bit

1333
01:06:15,720 --> 01:06:17,800
Speaker 2: get two tight ends out there a little bit less intention.

1334
01:06:18,440 --> 01:06:20,960
Speaker 2: I think he gets a look in this one. Especially

1335
01:06:21,000 --> 01:06:24,240
Speaker 2: also Washington Last and dvo Way versus tight ends. You've

1336
01:06:24,240 --> 01:06:27,000
Speaker 2: seen Pits, you've seen Bowers, you've seen Craft all kind

1337
01:06:27,040 --> 01:06:29,800
Speaker 2: of have good days against them. So I think that

1338
01:06:29,960 --> 01:06:32,080
Speaker 2: is worthy. And then the long shot that you can

1339
01:06:32,080 --> 01:06:35,600
Speaker 2: play right now because tight end stuff isn't up, and

1340
01:06:35,640 --> 01:06:38,240
Speaker 2: I had David our producer quick slip this this is

1341
01:06:38,320 --> 01:06:40,920
Speaker 2: a long shot. Curious what you think here, But with

1342
01:06:41,160 --> 01:06:44,560
Speaker 2: me liking Palmer, I also like Burden to potentially have

1343
01:06:44,600 --> 01:06:48,440
Speaker 2: some fun in this game. Both forty plus at sixteen

1344
01:06:48,480 --> 01:06:51,520
Speaker 2: to one, crazy long shot. You could definitely take it

1345
01:06:51,600 --> 01:06:54,280
Speaker 2: at twenty five to one or just parlay their overs.

1346
01:06:54,320 --> 01:06:57,280
Speaker 2: But I think they both have some upside. So that's

1347
01:06:57,320 --> 01:06:57,560
Speaker 2: how I.

1348
01:06:57,560 --> 01:06:59,800
Speaker 4: Would play this hard To argue with the number, you're

1349
01:06:59,800 --> 01:07:01,400
Speaker 4: going to be sweat it out and just hoping for

1350
01:07:01,480 --> 01:07:04,120
Speaker 4: the big play on both those guys. You need one

1351
01:07:04,200 --> 01:07:07,160
Speaker 4: big flea flicker or something with Luther Burden and just

1352
01:07:07,200 --> 01:07:09,880
Speaker 4: hope that you get the big play. I get distracted

1353
01:07:09,880 --> 01:07:12,280
Speaker 4: as you're talking about all these various tight ends in

1354
01:07:12,360 --> 01:07:15,120
Speaker 4: and out. I was like, man Evan's like coming up

1355
01:07:15,160 --> 01:07:17,600
Speaker 4: with another National tight Ends Day? Hey, when is National

1356
01:07:17,640 --> 01:07:19,760
Speaker 4: tight Ends Day? It looks like a couple weeks away.

1357
01:07:19,760 --> 01:07:22,040
Speaker 4: I think it's the fourth Sunday in October. But let's

1358
01:07:22,080 --> 01:07:24,720
Speaker 4: make a mental note. I always forget until we get

1359
01:07:24,720 --> 01:07:26,200
Speaker 4: to the day, and I'm like, why didn't I bet

1360
01:07:26,200 --> 01:07:28,400
Speaker 4: all the tight ends. I thought maybe you discovered like

1361
01:07:28,440 --> 01:07:30,440
Speaker 4: a national Monday tight Ends Day or something.

1362
01:07:31,320 --> 01:07:31,520
Speaker 3: Nah.

1363
01:07:31,600 --> 01:07:33,000
Speaker 2: I mean tight ends have been doing really well. I

1364
01:07:33,040 --> 01:07:36,160
Speaker 2: think last week they had a ton of touchdowns. But regardless,

1365
01:07:36,160 --> 01:07:37,880
Speaker 2: if you want to tell some of these bets Monday

1366
01:07:37,920 --> 01:07:40,400
Speaker 2: Night Football make sure to look for the quicklip link

1367
01:07:40,440 --> 01:07:43,320
Speaker 2: in the podcast and video description, or go to action

1368
01:07:43,360 --> 01:07:46,120
Speaker 2: ework dot com slash bet now. You can also find

1369
01:07:46,120 --> 01:07:48,840
Speaker 2: these quick slips in the live YouTube chat if you're

1370
01:07:48,840 --> 01:07:51,200
Speaker 2: still hanging out with us. All right, Brandon, I think

1371
01:07:51,240 --> 01:07:53,560
Speaker 2: we've teased them long enough. We are ready for your

1372
01:07:53,600 --> 01:07:56,560
Speaker 2: hot week raw Hot. We can't get that out hot.

1373
01:07:56,680 --> 01:07:58,520
Speaker 2: Read plays for next week.

1374
01:07:58,440 --> 01:08:02,080
Speaker 3: Hot on ice rights.

1375
01:08:02,360 --> 01:08:03,000
Speaker 1: Ice Cream.

1376
01:08:08,720 --> 01:08:11,680
Speaker 2: Also just looked at DraftKings dead line back on the board.

1377
01:08:11,680 --> 01:08:12,280
Speaker 2: So what are you doing.

1378
01:08:13,120 --> 01:08:15,880
Speaker 4: Yeah, We're going to a team that just finished playing.

1379
01:08:15,960 --> 01:08:18,240
Speaker 4: We're gonna take the Lions all the way to Monday

1380
01:08:18,320 --> 01:08:22,000
Speaker 4: night next week. Lions home against the Buccaneers five and

1381
01:08:22,000 --> 01:08:25,639
Speaker 4: a half right now at DraftKings, gimme Detroit football. I've

1382
01:08:25,640 --> 01:08:27,120
Speaker 4: seen the Lions are a lot better. I think this

1383
01:08:27,200 --> 01:08:30,160
Speaker 4: line should be north of a touchdown. The box still

1384
01:08:30,200 --> 01:08:31,240
Speaker 4: have a ton of injuries.

1385
01:08:31,280 --> 01:08:31,840
Speaker 3: We've talked a.

1386
01:08:31,840 --> 01:08:34,720
Speaker 4: Lot about both these teams. With the top but offensive

1387
01:08:34,760 --> 01:08:38,479
Speaker 4: line possibly missing all three receivers of eggbecas out the

1388
01:08:38,560 --> 01:08:42,440
Speaker 4: stilled injuries. At corner, they're still missing Bucky Irving. Detroit

1389
01:08:42,560 --> 01:08:44,519
Speaker 4: is missing its top two corners. That was part of

1390
01:08:44,520 --> 01:08:48,400
Speaker 4: the cap in this game tonight but no corners, no receivers.

1391
01:08:48,439 --> 01:08:49,280
Speaker 3: Maybe fear there.

1392
01:08:49,320 --> 01:08:52,439
Speaker 4: But Detroit I think probably gets a Lee McNeil back

1393
01:08:52,479 --> 01:08:55,240
Speaker 4: for this game. That's big for them, that's really big.

1394
01:08:55,560 --> 01:08:58,040
Speaker 4: And maybe Taylor Decker on the line as well. So

1395
01:08:58,200 --> 01:09:02,120
Speaker 4: injuries favoring to Detroit here. Detroit is just so good man.

1396
01:09:02,160 --> 01:09:04,680
Speaker 4: We saw them tonight. How good they looked entering the

1397
01:09:04,720 --> 01:09:07,880
Speaker 4: weekend by DVOA. They were top five at pretty much

1398
01:09:07,880 --> 01:09:13,000
Speaker 4: everything offense, rushing, in passing, defense, running and passing, special teams,

1399
01:09:13,040 --> 01:09:13,960
Speaker 4: top five everything.

1400
01:09:14,400 --> 01:09:15,840
Speaker 3: The Bucks have a few weak links.

1401
01:09:15,840 --> 01:09:18,360
Speaker 4: The running offense has not been good and the passing

1402
01:09:18,400 --> 01:09:21,519
Speaker 4: defense hasn't been good, and in particular, Jared Goff and

1403
01:09:21,520 --> 01:09:25,000
Speaker 4: Omara Saint Brown have shredded this Top Bowls defense. These

1404
01:09:25,040 --> 01:09:27,760
Speaker 4: teams played three times the last two years, once in

1405
01:09:27,800 --> 01:09:30,639
Speaker 4: the playoffs. The Lions won two of the three, including

1406
01:09:30,680 --> 01:09:33,680
Speaker 4: the playoff game. The one game the Bucks won, the

1407
01:09:33,720 --> 01:09:36,360
Speaker 4: Lions had more than double the yardage and badly outplayed them.

1408
01:09:36,400 --> 01:09:39,280
Speaker 4: They just had some turnovers in there. Golf averaged three

1409
01:09:39,360 --> 01:09:42,519
Speaker 4: hundred and sixteen yards in those games. Amanaa Saint Brown

1410
01:09:42,560 --> 01:09:45,320
Speaker 4: averaged ten catches for one hundred and seven yards. So

1411
01:09:45,360 --> 01:09:47,840
Speaker 4: we might be coming back to this one next week

1412
01:09:48,080 --> 01:09:50,920
Speaker 4: on the Best Bets for a few props as well.

1413
01:09:51,320 --> 01:09:55,280
Speaker 4: But Jared Goff we mentioned this before with the Lions

1414
01:09:55,280 --> 01:10:00,639
Speaker 4: indoors untouchable thirty five twelve and one atsu five percent

1415
01:10:00,800 --> 01:10:01,320
Speaker 4: cover rate.

1416
01:10:01,720 --> 01:10:03,040
Speaker 3: This guy is a cover machine.

1417
01:10:03,120 --> 01:10:05,320
Speaker 4: This is a spot you want him the spot You

1418
01:10:05,320 --> 01:10:07,920
Speaker 4: want the Lions coming off the loss now to go

1419
01:10:07,960 --> 01:10:10,560
Speaker 4: get the win and not fall too far behind the

1420
01:10:10,600 --> 01:10:12,880
Speaker 4: Bucks on the top of the NFC five and a

1421
01:10:12,920 --> 01:10:16,160
Speaker 4: half points, love it, blow the key number six and seven,

1422
01:10:16,360 --> 01:10:17,000
Speaker 4: Grab it now.

1423
01:10:17,000 --> 01:10:18,360
Speaker 3: I think it's going to move up quickly.

1424
01:10:18,920 --> 01:10:21,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll have the updated numbers of my article this week,

1425
01:10:21,400 --> 01:10:23,479
Speaker 2: but I believe the Lions have covered like nine straight

1426
01:10:23,560 --> 01:10:26,639
Speaker 2: or something like that off of a loss. So decent

1427
01:10:26,800 --> 01:10:28,639
Speaker 2: spot there. And if you want to know the look

1428
01:10:28,680 --> 01:10:31,839
Speaker 2: ahead on that game, three and a half for Detroit

1429
01:10:32,280 --> 01:10:35,000
Speaker 2: forty nine and a half total up to fifty three

1430
01:10:35,040 --> 01:10:37,880
Speaker 2: and a half. Just for fun purposes, I kind of

1431
01:10:37,920 --> 01:10:40,280
Speaker 2: hope it gets to the fifty four and up because

1432
01:10:40,640 --> 01:10:42,800
Speaker 2: that game could have a ton of points and should

1433
01:10:42,800 --> 01:10:46,599
Speaker 2: be awesome. All right, Your other game not so awesome?

1434
01:10:46,800 --> 01:10:48,880
Speaker 2: So what are you doing in this second one?

1435
01:10:49,280 --> 01:10:51,800
Speaker 4: Not so awesome? Probably not a ton of points either.

1436
01:10:51,960 --> 01:10:54,920
Speaker 4: This is a pick on principle. I have teased for

1437
01:10:55,000 --> 01:10:58,639
Speaker 4: a couple of times the Jets are favored, and next

1438
01:10:58,800 --> 01:11:01,880
Speaker 4: week as a zero to six team that just had

1439
01:11:01,960 --> 01:11:06,240
Speaker 4: negative passing yards and most importantly is coming home from

1440
01:11:06,280 --> 01:11:11,040
Speaker 4: London without a bye week winless, and their favorite on

1441
01:11:11,400 --> 01:11:15,360
Speaker 4: principle Panthers money line. It's an even plus one hundred

1442
01:11:15,439 --> 01:11:19,320
Speaker 4: out there. You mentioned the Giants from twenty thirteen as

1443
01:11:19,360 --> 01:11:22,200
Speaker 4: the last winless team favored this late in the season.

1444
01:11:22,720 --> 01:11:25,280
Speaker 4: I only found five in our entire bet lab system.

1445
01:11:25,360 --> 01:11:28,479
Speaker 4: So like over two decades of data, Week seven and later,

1446
01:11:28,920 --> 01:11:31,519
Speaker 4: we just don't see teams favored. Here's what that tells me.

1447
01:11:32,000 --> 01:11:34,600
Speaker 4: They're not gonna be favored. They're not gonna be in

1448
01:11:34,640 --> 01:11:37,439
Speaker 4: that group once you get the kickoff slightly more common

1449
01:11:37,840 --> 01:11:41,000
Speaker 4: Week seven or later, winless teams, underdogs of field goaler

1450
01:11:41,040 --> 01:11:43,800
Speaker 4: or less, that's where're gonna end up here. Those teams

1451
01:11:43,840 --> 01:11:45,920
Speaker 4: are four to nine straight up, and I think that's

1452
01:11:45,920 --> 01:11:48,280
Speaker 4: where're gonna end up as well. I think Panthers are

1453
01:11:48,320 --> 01:11:51,559
Speaker 4: gonna get the win. We talked about their defense coming

1454
01:11:51,600 --> 01:11:54,880
Speaker 4: together a little bit, particularly against the run. They just

1455
01:11:54,960 --> 01:11:56,559
Speaker 4: held that Dallas run game in check.

1456
01:11:56,800 --> 01:11:58,479
Speaker 3: It's all you need to do against the Jets. They

1457
01:11:58,479 --> 01:11:59,080
Speaker 3: can't pass.

1458
01:11:59,120 --> 01:12:00,720
Speaker 4: If you can hold the run check, you're gonna be

1459
01:12:00,720 --> 01:12:03,559
Speaker 4: in good shape. And I think maybe we have to

1460
01:12:03,560 --> 01:12:06,400
Speaker 4: come back for Tet McMillan as well. Jets number thirty

1461
01:12:06,400 --> 01:12:10,360
Speaker 4: two pass defense DVOA could be another setup for Carolina's

1462
01:12:10,720 --> 01:12:13,439
Speaker 4: passing attack. Look, we made some money today on the

1463
01:12:13,520 --> 01:12:15,880
Speaker 4: Jets and on Tet McMillan, so let's just put some

1464
01:12:15,920 --> 01:12:19,639
Speaker 4: of this roll it over into Panthers' money line. Who

1465
01:12:19,720 --> 01:12:23,120
Speaker 4: can't just wait till ending at midnight or one am

1466
01:12:23,280 --> 01:12:26,400
Speaker 4: East Coast to jump on a Panther's money line and

1467
01:12:26,400 --> 01:12:29,240
Speaker 4: pick to end along the podcast plus one hundred.

1468
01:12:29,680 --> 01:12:32,040
Speaker 3: I think worst key scenario if we change our mind.

1469
01:12:32,439 --> 01:12:35,200
Speaker 4: I think the Panthers end up minus something in the

1470
01:12:35,200 --> 01:12:37,240
Speaker 4: money line and we can now just kind of play

1471
01:12:37,240 --> 01:12:39,200
Speaker 4: the Jets on both sides and get out of here

1472
01:12:39,240 --> 01:12:43,120
Speaker 4: with something. So on principle, come on, don't let the

1473
01:12:43,200 --> 01:12:44,000
Speaker 4: Jets be favored.

1474
01:12:44,040 --> 01:12:46,080
Speaker 3: What are we doing Panthers Island?

1475
01:12:46,120 --> 01:12:48,599
Speaker 2: Maybe for just one week we bring a raft once

1476
01:12:48,880 --> 01:12:51,880
Speaker 2: it's one bets and then as soon as the game ends,

1477
01:12:51,960 --> 01:12:54,080
Speaker 2: everyone get off the island as soon.

1478
01:12:54,800 --> 01:12:57,320
Speaker 3: And then bring your wife money and go to the bank.

1479
01:12:57,520 --> 01:13:01,679
Speaker 2: Make sure it's like stealing money from a baby. Okay again,

1480
01:13:01,920 --> 01:13:03,840
Speaker 2: if you want to tell Brandon's hot reed, find the

1481
01:13:03,920 --> 01:13:05,960
Speaker 2: quips of the link in the podcast and video description

1482
01:13:06,320 --> 01:13:08,799
Speaker 2: or go to action ework dot com slash that. Now.

1483
01:13:18,920 --> 01:13:21,360
Speaker 2: All right, before we wrap up, let's hear from Patrick

1484
01:13:21,360 --> 01:13:24,559
Speaker 2: Everson from Vegas Insiders and how things looked in Las Vegas.

1485
01:13:24,840 --> 01:13:27,040
Speaker 1: All right, Evan, thanks a lot, Patrick Everson here for

1486
01:13:27,200 --> 01:13:31,719
Speaker 1: Vegas Insider. Let's do a little recap. An interesting starting point.

1487
01:13:31,840 --> 01:13:35,520
Speaker 1: You have the Giants pulling an upset of the Eagles

1488
01:13:36,200 --> 01:13:39,320
Speaker 1: in the Thursday night game, and that marked four straight

1489
01:13:39,840 --> 01:13:44,080
Speaker 1: primetime games in which the underdog got the outright upset.

1490
01:13:44,640 --> 01:13:48,479
Speaker 1: So that ended with the week six Sunday night game

1491
01:13:48,520 --> 01:13:51,040
Speaker 1: because the Chiefs were short favorites at home and won

1492
01:13:51,200 --> 01:13:54,800
Speaker 1: and covered, so finally ended that little poor run of

1493
01:13:54,840 --> 01:13:58,599
Speaker 1: favorites in primetime games. As for the rest of the weekend,

1494
01:13:58,600 --> 01:14:01,040
Speaker 1: particularly Sunday, had quite a few games. And what was

1495
01:14:01,080 --> 01:14:05,160
Speaker 1: interesting about it, Evan, is that you had on Sunday

1496
01:14:05,640 --> 01:14:10,719
Speaker 1: eleven of twelve favorites win, not necessarily cover, but win.

1497
01:14:11,160 --> 01:14:13,680
Speaker 1: And usually when you have eleven of twelve favorites win,

1498
01:14:13,800 --> 01:14:16,160
Speaker 1: you have odds makers all around town here in Vegas

1499
01:14:16,400 --> 01:14:19,160
Speaker 1: and across the country, saying we just got taken to

1500
01:14:19,200 --> 01:14:22,320
Speaker 1: the cleaners on moneyline parlays because we had all these

1501
01:14:22,360 --> 01:14:25,840
Speaker 1: favorites win. And even though they didn't cover the public

1502
01:14:25,880 --> 01:14:30,040
Speaker 1: betting masses love their moneyline parlays in the NFL, and

1503
01:14:30,439 --> 01:14:32,360
Speaker 1: you didn't hear any of that this time. It was interesting,

1504
01:14:32,400 --> 01:14:35,880
Speaker 1: for whatever reason, the public backed off a little bit

1505
01:14:35,920 --> 01:14:37,840
Speaker 1: on these on these money line parlys. Not to say

1506
01:14:37,880 --> 01:14:40,720
Speaker 1: that some didn't get there, but you know, as one

1507
01:14:40,720 --> 01:14:44,320
Speaker 1: odds maker told me, you know, he said, it's rare

1508
01:14:44,439 --> 01:14:46,879
Speaker 1: that this happens. He said, it's nice to have almost

1509
01:14:46,920 --> 01:14:51,760
Speaker 1: all the favorites win and us not get killed, because

1510
01:14:51,840 --> 01:14:54,040
Speaker 1: usually that's what happens. They usually get carried out on

1511
01:14:54,040 --> 01:14:56,800
Speaker 1: a stretcher if that many favorites win on the same

1512
01:14:56,880 --> 01:14:59,280
Speaker 1: day because of money line partys. That odds maker said,

1513
01:14:59,280 --> 01:15:01,760
Speaker 1: it was actually just a small losing day for the

1514
01:15:01,800 --> 01:15:05,040
Speaker 1: book overall, and you know, potentially maybe they even turned

1515
01:15:05,040 --> 01:15:07,640
Speaker 1: it into a winner depending on what happens in the

1516
01:15:07,640 --> 01:15:09,200
Speaker 1: two Monday night games. And I heard that from a

1517
01:15:09,200 --> 01:15:12,040
Speaker 1: few different odds makers around town and the cross Dation

1518
01:15:12,600 --> 01:15:15,120
Speaker 1: today as well. It sounds like, generally speaking, just kind

1519
01:15:15,160 --> 01:15:17,720
Speaker 1: of a back and forth day between the bookmakers and

1520
01:15:17,760 --> 01:15:21,559
Speaker 1: the betters, and we'll give you some Draft Kings info.

1521
01:15:21,720 --> 01:15:25,200
Speaker 1: Now with DraftKings bringing you the Action Network podcast, DraftKings

1522
01:15:25,200 --> 01:15:29,320
Speaker 1: sends over some great stats to me every day, but

1523
01:15:29,439 --> 01:15:32,320
Speaker 1: particularly on the weekends with college football with the NFL.

1524
01:15:32,760 --> 01:15:35,719
Speaker 1: So here's how things went at DraftKings. The most bet

1525
01:15:36,040 --> 01:15:40,400
Speaker 1: team against the spread today, the most bet teams against

1526
01:15:40,400 --> 01:15:45,560
Speaker 1: the spread in NFL Week six odds, most tickets Dallas Cowboys,

1527
01:15:46,040 --> 01:15:51,040
Speaker 1: followed by the Patriots, followed by the Rams, most money Colts,

1528
01:15:51,400 --> 01:15:54,680
Speaker 1: followed by the Cowboys, followed by the Steelers. Now when

1529
01:15:54,680 --> 01:15:57,040
Speaker 1: ticket count, the Cowboys obviously didn't get there. They lost

1530
01:15:57,120 --> 01:16:01,639
Speaker 1: outright as a favorite. The Patriots did get there against

1531
01:16:01,640 --> 01:16:04,640
Speaker 1: the Saints, covered against the Saints, and the Rams were

1532
01:16:04,680 --> 01:16:06,920
Speaker 1: at the Ravens and big and sizable favorites there. The

1533
01:16:07,000 --> 01:16:09,280
Speaker 1: Rams won and covered, So the Patriots and the Rams

1534
01:16:09,320 --> 01:16:11,479
Speaker 1: got there for the better and on the money side

1535
01:16:11,479 --> 01:16:16,760
Speaker 1: of it. Colts did not cover, and the Dallas Cowboys

1536
01:16:16,800 --> 01:16:19,320
Speaker 1: obviously again did not cover, did not even win as

1537
01:16:19,360 --> 01:16:22,640
Speaker 1: a favorite. The Steelers won and did.

1538
01:16:22,840 --> 01:16:24,160
Speaker 2: Cover the number.

1539
01:16:24,800 --> 01:16:28,040
Speaker 1: A couple of other interesting elements from DraftKings, just some

1540
01:16:28,160 --> 01:16:31,559
Speaker 1: bets they took on that Steelers Browns game, which I

1541
01:16:31,600 --> 01:16:34,000
Speaker 1: know wasn't the most attractive game to everybody, but that

1542
01:16:34,080 --> 01:16:36,120
Speaker 1: drew a one hundred thousand dollars bet from one Draft

1543
01:16:36,200 --> 01:16:39,439
Speaker 1: Kings customer on under thirty seven and a half at

1544
01:16:39,560 --> 01:16:43,760
Speaker 1: even money, and obviously at Steelers twenty three Browns nine,

1545
01:16:43,760 --> 01:16:46,479
Speaker 1: the under gets there, so that Better pockets and additional

1546
01:16:46,479 --> 01:16:49,280
Speaker 1: one hundred thousand dollars off that one hundred thousand dollars bet,

1547
01:16:49,720 --> 01:16:52,200
Speaker 1: and then the one on Sunday night. It just was

1548
01:16:52,360 --> 01:16:55,320
Speaker 1: amazing because it was almost there. Somebody at DraftKings put

1549
01:16:55,360 --> 01:16:58,360
Speaker 1: five thousand dollars on Jared Goff to score the first

1550
01:16:58,400 --> 01:17:02,519
Speaker 1: touchdown at ninety to one, would have won four hundred

1551
01:17:02,520 --> 01:17:06,040
Speaker 1: and fifty thousand dollars. Jared Goff did score the first

1552
01:17:06,040 --> 01:17:08,680
Speaker 1: touchdown of the game on a trick play where they

1553
01:17:08,880 --> 01:17:11,719
Speaker 1: passed it to him and he rumbled into the end zone,

1554
01:17:12,200 --> 01:17:14,479
Speaker 1: but there was a penalty called on the play. It

1555
01:17:14,520 --> 01:17:17,519
Speaker 1: was actually on GoF for the way he went in

1556
01:17:17,600 --> 01:17:22,519
Speaker 1: motion and did not reset, and therefore, after a few

1557
01:17:22,560 --> 01:17:25,839
Speaker 1: minutes of discussion between the referees, they nullified the penalty

1558
01:17:25,880 --> 01:17:29,080
Speaker 1: and nullified that Better's four hundred and fifty thousand dollars

1559
01:17:29,080 --> 01:17:31,760
Speaker 1: win in the process. That's a heartbreaker for sure.

1560
01:17:31,760 --> 01:17:32,519
Speaker 2: That would have been something else.

1561
01:17:32,560 --> 01:17:35,920
Speaker 1: I'm sure that Better was enthused to the very highest

1562
01:17:36,000 --> 01:17:38,280
Speaker 1: level and then all of a sudden that had that

1563
01:17:38,720 --> 01:17:40,920
Speaker 1: five thousand dollars bet to win four hundred fifty thousand

1564
01:17:40,920 --> 01:17:45,400
Speaker 1: dollars snatched out of his hands unfortunately. Looking ahead to

1565
01:17:45,560 --> 01:17:49,720
Speaker 1: Monday night at Draft King, some really interesting action on

1566
01:17:50,280 --> 01:17:52,400
Speaker 1: the first game, and that is the Buffalo Bills against

1567
01:17:52,400 --> 01:17:55,080
Speaker 1: the Atlanta Falcons. The Bills are four and a half

1568
01:17:55,120 --> 01:17:58,080
Speaker 1: point favorites. They opened five and a half. They've been

1569
01:17:58,120 --> 01:18:00,439
Speaker 1: at some iteration of four and a half pretty much

1570
01:18:00,479 --> 01:18:04,599
Speaker 1: all week at DraftKings. Eighty percent of point spread bets

1571
01:18:04,680 --> 01:18:08,439
Speaker 1: are on Buffalo, but sixty seven percent of point spread

1572
01:18:08,479 --> 01:18:12,679
Speaker 1: money is on Atlanta. So this is going into Monday. Obviously,

1573
01:18:12,720 --> 01:18:14,639
Speaker 1: the bulk of tickets and money will come in on

1574
01:18:14,760 --> 01:18:16,840
Speaker 1: game day and even more so closer to kickoff, so

1575
01:18:16,880 --> 01:18:20,080
Speaker 1: it'll be interesting to see how or if those two

1576
01:18:20,200 --> 01:18:24,360
Speaker 1: numbers hold up again. Overwhelmingly, the majority of bets are

1577
01:18:24,360 --> 01:18:27,120
Speaker 1: on Buffalo, but two to one money on the Atlanta

1578
01:18:27,160 --> 01:18:29,760
Speaker 1: Falcons against the spread in this game, and betters are

1579
01:18:29,800 --> 01:18:31,599
Speaker 1: on the over in that game as well, two to

1580
01:18:31,640 --> 01:18:33,800
Speaker 1: one tickets and almost four to one money. And then

1581
01:18:33,840 --> 01:18:36,000
Speaker 1: you wrap it up with the Bears and the Washington Commanders,

1582
01:18:36,520 --> 01:18:38,800
Speaker 1: and that's much more of a two way game. Ticket

1583
01:18:38,920 --> 01:18:42,040
Speaker 1: count slightly leaning toward the Washington Commanders against the spread,

1584
01:18:42,120 --> 01:18:45,000
Speaker 1: Washington lane five and a half points at DraftKings, and

1585
01:18:45,240 --> 01:18:49,800
Speaker 1: money leaning toward the Bears at fifty eight percent, and

1586
01:18:51,080 --> 01:18:54,080
Speaker 1: kind of split action on the total as well. And

1587
01:18:54,120 --> 01:18:57,160
Speaker 1: then just one more point to make just a quick

1588
01:18:57,240 --> 01:19:01,160
Speaker 1: look ahead to Week seven, because you've got the Buccaneers

1589
01:19:01,200 --> 01:19:04,320
Speaker 1: and the Lions on the Monday night game. That's two

1590
01:19:05,000 --> 01:19:07,559
Speaker 1: really good teams. It's definitely the marquee matchup of next week.

1591
01:19:07,600 --> 01:19:09,519
Speaker 1: There's a few good games, but that's the market matchup.

1592
01:19:09,840 --> 01:19:13,400
Speaker 1: Early action, very early action. Tickets, almost dead even on

1593
01:19:13,439 --> 01:19:16,519
Speaker 1: the spread, and money almost two to one in favor

1594
01:19:16,560 --> 01:19:19,200
Speaker 1: of the Lions. And that's an early going. But Tampa

1595
01:19:19,200 --> 01:19:21,080
Speaker 1: baysen playing really well. I wouldn't be surprised to see

1596
01:19:21,080 --> 01:19:23,160
Speaker 1: them get some attention although they are on the road.

1597
01:19:23,360 --> 01:19:24,160
Speaker 2: Very tough matchup.

1598
01:19:24,400 --> 01:19:25,479
Speaker 1: We'll talk to you next week.

1599
01:19:25,840 --> 01:19:28,719
Speaker 2: That'll do it here on the Actionary Podcast for our week'

1600
01:19:28,720 --> 01:19:32,160
Speaker 2: six to recap episode presented by DraftKings, give us a

1601
01:19:32,320 --> 01:19:34,800
Speaker 2: like on the YouTube video before you take off. We

1602
01:19:34,920 --> 01:19:37,639
Speaker 2: really appreciate it, and now go to action eary dot

1603
01:19:37,680 --> 01:19:40,880
Speaker 2: com slash Pro and use a promo code Pod twenty

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Speaker 2: Pro And if you have not already checked out Playbook

1606
01:19:47,680 --> 01:19:50,760
Speaker 2: on x just tag ad playbook and tell it to

1607
01:19:50,760 --> 01:19:53,800
Speaker 2: grab whatever bets you're looking for and it'll create a

1608
01:19:53,880 --> 01:19:56,839
Speaker 2: quick slip link for you in a matter of seconds.

1609
01:19:56,920 --> 01:19:59,960
Speaker 2: You can also upload, screenshot or apply to any bet

1610
01:20:00,160 --> 01:20:03,400
Speaker 2: you see from your favorite Action Hour contributor on X.

1611
01:20:03,439 --> 01:20:06,479
Speaker 2: We will be back for Action Island before Monday Night's

1612
01:20:06,720 --> 01:20:09,840
Speaker 2: double header right here on Action Nowork YouTube page, as

1613
01:20:09,880 --> 01:20:15,679
Speaker 2: well as more NFL best bets from Brandon Raymond, Stucky Sickback, episode, Anytime,

1614
01:20:15,720 --> 01:20:19,240
Speaker 2: Touchdowns and more on the podcast feed next week. Thank

1615
01:20:19,240 --> 01:20:21,800
Speaker 2: you for listening, Good luck with all your bets, and

1616
01:20:21,920 --> 01:20:24,479
Speaker 2: let's enjoy that double header on Monday night.

1617
01:20:24,640 --> 01:20:38,960
Speaker 5: See your letterybody.

1618
01:20:40,880 --> 01:20:45,400
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

1619
01:20:45,439 --> 01:20:48,240
Speaker 1: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

1620
01:20:48,240 --> 01:20:51,400
Speaker 1: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler