1
00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:05,440
Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast, All Right.

2
00:00:05,280 --> 00:00:05,880
Speaker 2: Here we go.

3
00:00:10,920 --> 00:00:14,760
Speaker 1: Fifteen twenty twenty five, thirty thirty five, Hony Cody five

4
00:00:14,800 --> 00:00:18,960
Speaker 1: fifty and the kick Ass Block the College Football Laura

5
00:00:19,840 --> 00:00:29,080
Speaker 1: stund Oh my goodness, please stumble and the latter turn

6
00:00:29,080 --> 00:00:31,400
Speaker 1: a counter on the job, don't you.

7
00:00:31,800 --> 00:00:35,920
Speaker 2: The lad came off the veil the night.

8
00:00:36,440 --> 00:00:42,040
Speaker 1: By God, it's not the size of the dog in

9
00:00:42,080 --> 00:00:45,080
Speaker 1: the fight, it's the size of the fight in the dog.

10
00:00:48,840 --> 00:00:51,040
Speaker 1: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast and a

11
00:00:51,080 --> 00:00:53,559
Speaker 1: group of five Deep Dive. This is part two of

12
00:00:53,600 --> 00:00:55,440
Speaker 1: our sun Belt preview. If you want to hear what

13
00:00:55,480 --> 00:00:58,000
Speaker 1: we covered in the East, just hop into your podcast

14
00:00:58,000 --> 00:01:00,319
Speaker 1: feed and listen to that first. If you're joining us

15
00:01:00,360 --> 00:01:03,040
Speaker 1: from the end of that episode, welcome back. Hopefully we

16
00:01:03,080 --> 00:01:06,200
Speaker 1: didn't scare you away with all that martial negativity, although

17
00:01:06,280 --> 00:01:09,080
Speaker 1: in between the two recordings we're already saying maybe under

18
00:01:09,080 --> 00:01:10,760
Speaker 1: two and a half is the way to go. Florida

19
00:01:10,840 --> 00:01:12,960
Speaker 1: State went thirteen and one to what two and ten?

20
00:01:13,120 --> 00:01:16,039
Speaker 1: So it has happened recently in college football. You know,

21
00:01:16,640 --> 00:01:20,480
Speaker 1: worse to first, but flip it. Also watch Party Week

22
00:01:20,640 --> 00:01:23,400
Speaker 1: zero if you want to join us in Chicago, Illinois

23
00:01:23,480 --> 00:01:26,840
Speaker 1: Joe's on Weed on August twenty third, Come on buy

24
00:01:27,000 --> 00:01:30,280
Speaker 1: eleven am kickoff. We got farm aged in between Iowa

25
00:01:30,360 --> 00:01:32,440
Speaker 1: State and k State. On the Emerald Isle, we got

26
00:01:32,440 --> 00:01:35,480
Speaker 1: the whole crew. Colin Stuckey, Duck myself. We're going to

27
00:01:35,520 --> 00:01:37,639
Speaker 1: cut it up there. Please swing by, have some beers

28
00:01:37,640 --> 00:01:39,640
Speaker 1: with us. We'd love to talk college football. We are

29
00:01:39,680 --> 00:01:42,760
Speaker 1: so close to the bullets really being flying, really flying

30
00:01:42,800 --> 00:01:45,880
Speaker 1: around here in college football world. But let's get back

31
00:01:45,920 --> 00:01:48,320
Speaker 1: to the positivity. Let's start at the very top of

32
00:01:48,440 --> 00:01:50,760
Speaker 1: the West. There are three teams that I really like.

33
00:01:50,800 --> 00:01:53,960
Speaker 1: But let's start with Texas State. The Bobs went eight

34
00:01:54,000 --> 00:01:57,000
Speaker 1: and five last year, five and three in conference play.

35
00:01:57,240 --> 00:01:59,920
Speaker 1: They won the First Responders Bowl over in state ride

36
00:02:00,200 --> 00:02:02,560
Speaker 1: North Texas by two thirty to twenty eight. They are

37
00:02:02,640 --> 00:02:05,760
Speaker 1: seven to one as a co favorite with Louisiana to

38
00:02:05,840 --> 00:02:08,000
Speaker 1: win the Belts at least, you know, favorite in terms

39
00:02:08,000 --> 00:02:10,440
Speaker 1: of just the West. Their win total sitting at seven

40
00:02:10,480 --> 00:02:12,680
Speaker 1: and a half, three starters returning to an offense, one

41
00:02:12,680 --> 00:02:15,040
Speaker 1: on defense, one hundred and fifteenth in returning production, one

42
00:02:15,080 --> 00:02:17,160
Speaker 1: hundred and tenth on zer, one hundred and twelfth on defense.

43
00:02:17,639 --> 00:02:19,880
Speaker 1: The question here right off the top, can the offensive

44
00:02:19,919 --> 00:02:24,680
Speaker 1: wizardry continue for GG G J. Kenney always a difficult

45
00:02:24,720 --> 00:02:26,519
Speaker 1: one for me to spit out. They average thirty six

46
00:02:26,520 --> 00:02:28,400
Speaker 1: points per game in the last two years with TJ.

47
00:02:28,480 --> 00:02:30,880
Speaker 1: Finley and then with Jordan Mclouds, so it didn't necessarily

48
00:02:30,919 --> 00:02:33,760
Speaker 1: matter who he's working with a quarterback, and his fingerprints

49
00:02:33,760 --> 00:02:35,840
Speaker 1: obviously are all over this offense, even with a new

50
00:02:35,840 --> 00:02:39,280
Speaker 1: offensive coordinator. Unlike some of the G five offenses that

51
00:02:39,360 --> 00:02:41,640
Speaker 1: go all in on an air raid or a gimmicky

52
00:02:41,680 --> 00:02:45,280
Speaker 1: option run attack, they were perfectly balanced. So the question

53
00:02:45,360 --> 00:02:47,760
Speaker 1: for the group here off the top, is it going

54
00:02:47,800 --> 00:02:50,280
Speaker 1: to be Brad Jackson, Is it going to be Nate Yarnell,

55
00:02:50,480 --> 00:02:52,680
Speaker 1: Is it going to be Keldric Luster or does it

56
00:02:52,760 --> 00:02:55,840
Speaker 1: not even necessarily matter because we got Kinney's system. What

57
00:02:55,880 --> 00:02:56,639
Speaker 1: do you think, Colin?

58
00:02:56,880 --> 00:02:59,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think you're the second thing that you said

59
00:02:59,240 --> 00:03:01,760
Speaker 2: is right, because if you're making a bet on Texas State,

60
00:03:01,800 --> 00:03:05,280
Speaker 2: you're making a bet on GJ. Kinney's system. Who stops

61
00:03:05,280 --> 00:03:07,440
Speaker 2: at Tulsa, stops at other places. He get a little

62
00:03:07,480 --> 00:03:09,160
Speaker 2: dip into the go go, so he's got his own

63
00:03:09,160 --> 00:03:11,320
Speaker 2: flavor of that going. I mean, there's a lot about

64
00:03:11,360 --> 00:03:13,040
Speaker 2: his offense that is catching a lot of eyes. I'm

65
00:03:13,040 --> 00:03:15,920
Speaker 2: actually kind of surprised he's still at Texas State. Probably

66
00:03:16,040 --> 00:03:19,119
Speaker 2: destined to make it up on the P four level

67
00:03:19,160 --> 00:03:21,840
Speaker 2: at some point. So you're really betting on the fact

68
00:03:22,240 --> 00:03:24,680
Speaker 2: that it's his offense because they've lost every single starter,

69
00:03:24,760 --> 00:03:26,799
Speaker 2: and Keldrick Luster, I think is the one who may

70
00:03:26,800 --> 00:03:28,440
Speaker 2: be turning the heads and maybe the best fit of

71
00:03:28,440 --> 00:03:31,680
Speaker 2: this offense. He comes in from SMU over the incumbent

72
00:03:31,720 --> 00:03:35,200
Speaker 2: Brad Jackson, who has run plays in this offense. But

73
00:03:35,600 --> 00:03:37,880
Speaker 2: if you don't hear Brad Jackson's name during camp here,

74
00:03:37,920 --> 00:03:39,920
Speaker 2: that's because he's just not doing it well enough and

75
00:03:39,920 --> 00:03:41,640
Speaker 2: one of these transfers are going to beat him. They

76
00:03:41,640 --> 00:03:43,840
Speaker 2: do have one of the best centers in sun Belt

77
00:03:43,840 --> 00:03:46,320
Speaker 2: with tell at Lockett. He might be the best in

78
00:03:46,360 --> 00:03:47,920
Speaker 2: the sun Belt, which is great for one of these

79
00:03:47,920 --> 00:03:50,720
Speaker 2: four quarterbacks to get behind. They do have two September

80
00:03:50,760 --> 00:03:53,800
Speaker 2: games to figure this out. Eastern Michigan not worried about it.

81
00:03:54,320 --> 00:03:56,840
Speaker 2: Nichols not worried about it. I understand you're going to

82
00:03:56,920 --> 00:03:59,920
Speaker 2: utsa not that big of a road travel. Probably one

83
00:04:00,080 --> 00:04:02,320
Speaker 2: of the defenses you can still exercise, you know, try

84
00:04:02,360 --> 00:04:05,080
Speaker 2: to figure out what you're doing on offense, and then

85
00:04:05,120 --> 00:04:06,920
Speaker 2: you know Arizona State is going to be a battle,

86
00:04:06,960 --> 00:04:09,480
Speaker 2: but that really falls into a part of Arizona State's

87
00:04:09,480 --> 00:04:11,840
Speaker 2: schedule where they might not care about that game whatsoever.

88
00:04:11,920 --> 00:04:14,600
Speaker 2: So there is a month of September and there is

89
00:04:14,600 --> 00:04:18,000
Speaker 2: an outlook where this team could potentially have an identity

90
00:04:18,120 --> 00:04:21,360
Speaker 2: who the quarterback is, what their best attributes are. But really,

91
00:04:21,400 --> 00:04:23,919
Speaker 2: if you're betting them right now, it's on the belief

92
00:04:23,960 --> 00:04:26,680
Speaker 2: of just the offense, top three tacklers of four two

93
00:04:26,720 --> 00:04:29,840
Speaker 2: to five defense coming back. So that's good news. They

94
00:04:29,839 --> 00:04:32,200
Speaker 2: should have success in stopping the run. That is also

95
00:04:32,240 --> 00:04:34,880
Speaker 2: good news in this conference. There isn't much positivity about

96
00:04:34,880 --> 00:04:36,880
Speaker 2: the back seven though. That is where they're going to

97
00:04:36,880 --> 00:04:39,039
Speaker 2: give up a ton of explosive plays, and that is

98
00:04:39,080 --> 00:04:41,359
Speaker 2: something that you know Texas State last year there were

99
00:04:41,360 --> 00:04:43,480
Speaker 2: one hundred and sixth in coverage. They were ninety second

100
00:04:43,520 --> 00:04:46,000
Speaker 2: and giving up the big play. There were things like

101
00:04:46,040 --> 00:04:48,160
Speaker 2: passing downs explosives. There were one hundred and eighteenth like

102
00:04:48,200 --> 00:04:50,120
Speaker 2: if you got you know, third and long on the

103
00:04:50,120 --> 00:04:52,640
Speaker 2: Texas State defense, you could get a touchdown like so

104
00:04:52,720 --> 00:04:54,599
Speaker 2: that it's one of those things. I don't expect that

105
00:04:54,720 --> 00:04:56,680
Speaker 2: to stop, but they're just going to have to outscore

106
00:04:57,400 --> 00:04:59,960
Speaker 2: I project them seven point one, so I don't have

107
00:05:00,040 --> 00:05:03,440
Speaker 2: I have them necessarily making the Sunbelt Championship game, and I

108
00:05:03,440 --> 00:05:05,760
Speaker 2: don't have them necessarily getting over their seven and a half.

109
00:05:06,360 --> 00:05:09,839
Speaker 2: You know, it's not anything other to do other than

110
00:05:10,040 --> 00:05:12,480
Speaker 2: you know, looking at trying to figure out this offense

111
00:05:13,040 --> 00:05:15,320
Speaker 2: taking them saying they can't win Arizona State, which they

112
00:05:15,360 --> 00:05:17,600
Speaker 2: could take. I mean Arizona, say, is not a good

113
00:05:17,640 --> 00:05:19,320
Speaker 2: part of the schedule. And I still have questions about Kenny.

114
00:05:19,360 --> 00:05:20,560
Speaker 2: You'll get to that when we get to the Big

115
00:05:20,600 --> 00:05:23,240
Speaker 2: twelve and UTSA. I've got favored as by like eight

116
00:05:23,240 --> 00:05:24,919
Speaker 2: and a half, So there are games on here. I

117
00:05:24,920 --> 00:05:27,360
Speaker 2: don't think that they can win. So I haven't played

118
00:05:27,360 --> 00:05:29,440
Speaker 2: an under. I'm not going to play an under because again,

119
00:05:29,920 --> 00:05:31,560
Speaker 2: are you betting on the system or are you going

120
00:05:31,640 --> 00:05:32,800
Speaker 2: to bet on the fact that they don't have any

121
00:05:32,800 --> 00:05:33,880
Speaker 2: returning players on offense?

122
00:05:34,760 --> 00:05:37,039
Speaker 1: Doug, Let's talk about the defense real quick. Lots of

123
00:05:37,040 --> 00:05:40,400
Speaker 1: players coached by P four programs like Virginia Tech, Michigan State,

124
00:05:40,440 --> 00:05:44,479
Speaker 1: Colorado SMU, Dexter mccoyle Junior. I think proved last year

125
00:05:44,520 --> 00:05:47,960
Speaker 1: that they could essentially maintain some of those elite tackle

126
00:05:48,040 --> 00:05:50,719
Speaker 1: for loss havoc numbers without it being all boom or

127
00:05:50,720 --> 00:05:53,839
Speaker 1: bust because the year before that the Explosives were just

128
00:05:53,920 --> 00:05:56,080
Speaker 1: you know bottom, you know, two or three teams in

129
00:05:56,120 --> 00:05:58,720
Speaker 1: all of FBS. Incrementally, they made a little bit of

130
00:05:58,760 --> 00:06:01,640
Speaker 1: an improvement there. But when you look at eight wins

131
00:06:01,720 --> 00:06:04,360
Speaker 1: last year for their losses by one possession, do you

132
00:06:04,360 --> 00:06:07,360
Speaker 1: believe in this transfer class you know that has thirty

133
00:06:07,400 --> 00:06:11,240
Speaker 1: four three star players, and defensively in particular, they're relying

134
00:06:11,400 --> 00:06:13,880
Speaker 1: on a group in the front at least one of

135
00:06:13,920 --> 00:06:16,480
Speaker 1: these guys to pop. You got don Terry Russell from

136
00:06:16,560 --> 00:06:20,279
Speaker 1: Mississippi State on the edge, Michael and Wacocha from CUS,

137
00:06:20,560 --> 00:06:23,680
Speaker 1: Jordan Sanders who looked fierce at cal Poly. They need

138
00:06:23,680 --> 00:06:26,440
Speaker 1: these guys to step in and fill some of those

139
00:06:26,480 --> 00:06:29,839
Speaker 1: havoc numbers because that's their calling card. They essentially want

140
00:06:29,839 --> 00:06:31,599
Speaker 1: to take the ball away. They want to put teams

141
00:06:31,600 --> 00:06:34,560
Speaker 1: in a hole, get them behind the sticks. Even with

142
00:06:34,640 --> 00:06:36,640
Speaker 1: that being said, they still had the problems with the

143
00:06:36,720 --> 00:06:38,640
Speaker 1: explosives in some of those big moments. I mean, they

144
00:06:38,640 --> 00:06:40,880
Speaker 1: really should have beat Arizona State last year and they

145
00:06:40,920 --> 00:06:42,240
Speaker 1: get another shot at them. They got to go to

146
00:06:42,240 --> 00:06:44,560
Speaker 1: the Desert on September thirteenth. The week before that, they

147
00:06:44,560 --> 00:06:47,520
Speaker 1: played the road Runners at the Alamodome, and then they

148
00:06:47,520 --> 00:06:50,480
Speaker 1: also host James Madison on October twenty eighth, So they

149
00:06:50,480 --> 00:06:53,920
Speaker 1: have big opportunities, big moments to score secure, you know,

150
00:06:53,960 --> 00:06:56,520
Speaker 1: secure huge wins. Do you think they get it done

151
00:06:56,680 --> 00:06:59,280
Speaker 1: or do you think they're mispriced here? Along with Louisiana

152
00:06:59,279 --> 00:07:01,560
Speaker 1: in the West, the.

153
00:07:01,480 --> 00:07:03,679
Speaker 3: Win total is fairly priced. I think with the defense,

154
00:07:03,760 --> 00:07:05,520
Speaker 3: you just have to kind of live with the high risk,

155
00:07:05,600 --> 00:07:07,640
Speaker 3: high reward. You're going to give up some explosive you're

156
00:07:07,680 --> 00:07:10,160
Speaker 3: going to send the blitz you're going to possibly get

157
00:07:10,160 --> 00:07:12,480
Speaker 3: in the backfield. They did pretty well at that last season,

158
00:07:12,480 --> 00:07:15,000
Speaker 3: with thirty six sacs and ninety six tackles for loss

159
00:07:15,280 --> 00:07:19,440
Speaker 3: secured last year, so defensive havoc numbers weren't too bad,

160
00:07:19,480 --> 00:07:21,200
Speaker 3: but it just took a lot of high risk in

161
00:07:21,280 --> 00:07:22,840
Speaker 3: order to do that. What you saw on the back

162
00:07:22,920 --> 00:07:26,880
Speaker 3: end was susceptibility to giving up the big play and

163
00:07:27,000 --> 00:07:30,360
Speaker 3: far too many explosives. Just to circle back to the

164
00:07:30,440 --> 00:07:33,560
Speaker 3: question you asked, I think it does matter who wins

165
00:07:33,600 --> 00:07:36,000
Speaker 3: the job, and the reason why I do is you

166
00:07:36,040 --> 00:07:38,120
Speaker 3: can be betting on this team in the system to

167
00:07:38,120 --> 00:07:41,160
Speaker 3: put up numbers and have the flashy, fun offense to watch.

168
00:07:41,240 --> 00:07:44,640
Speaker 3: But I specifically look at what happened last season for

169
00:07:44,920 --> 00:07:48,440
Speaker 3: Texas State which cost them on the field in games

170
00:07:48,440 --> 00:07:52,400
Speaker 3: against Arizona State, Louisiana Lafayette, Georgia State. They were just

171
00:07:52,600 --> 00:07:56,600
Speaker 3: so untimely in their turnovers and there were just flippant

172
00:07:56,640 --> 00:08:00,000
Speaker 3: mistakes that were made in key situations of those games

173
00:08:00,080 --> 00:08:02,600
Speaker 3: that had to direct impact on those three games, and

174
00:08:02,640 --> 00:08:05,080
Speaker 3: it really cost them on the field. And so I

175
00:08:05,120 --> 00:08:07,120
Speaker 3: think when you're looking at trying to find the gift

176
00:08:07,120 --> 00:08:09,480
Speaker 3: to balance finding the right fit for the offense, who's

177
00:08:09,480 --> 00:08:11,760
Speaker 3: the dual threat, who can make the throws, and who's

178
00:08:11,760 --> 00:08:13,480
Speaker 3: going to take care of the football, Because we had

179
00:08:13,480 --> 00:08:17,560
Speaker 3: three specific games last year where turnovers were the direct

180
00:08:17,600 --> 00:08:21,840
Speaker 3: result in losses. And you know, they had a second

181
00:08:21,880 --> 00:08:24,360
Speaker 3: half against sam Houston State in a neutral stadium where

182
00:08:24,400 --> 00:08:27,720
Speaker 3: they just completely went stagnated on offense and allowed the

183
00:08:27,720 --> 00:08:29,400
Speaker 3: Bearcats to get back in it and win it at

184
00:08:29,440 --> 00:08:32,040
Speaker 3: the buzzer. So I mean, I think who wins the

185
00:08:32,120 --> 00:08:36,080
Speaker 3: quarterback job definitely will unlock that next step in this

186
00:08:36,160 --> 00:08:39,280
Speaker 3: offense because they have some exquisite talent coming in from

187
00:08:39,320 --> 00:08:41,840
Speaker 3: the portal. Tyron Smith is a wonderful receiver who played

188
00:08:41,840 --> 00:08:46,080
Speaker 3: at UTEP and then came in via Cincinnati. Greg Burrell

189
00:08:46,120 --> 00:08:49,280
Speaker 3: at running back from UNLV should fit this offense. Just

190
00:08:49,360 --> 00:08:51,480
Speaker 3: find Mims comes in from Southern Miss, so I think

191
00:08:51,480 --> 00:08:53,480
Speaker 3: will be good in the slot. So I think there

192
00:08:53,520 --> 00:08:57,679
Speaker 3: are some explosive pieces offensively. Going now back to the

193
00:08:57,720 --> 00:09:02,439
Speaker 3: defensive side, it's just really gonna you're relying on transfers.

194
00:09:02,480 --> 00:09:04,400
Speaker 3: They've got four or five guys in the secondary that

195
00:09:04,440 --> 00:09:06,840
Speaker 3: are gonna have to gel and play cohesively. They're gonna

196
00:09:06,880 --> 00:09:08,400
Speaker 3: have a little time to figure it out in the

197
00:09:08,400 --> 00:09:11,280
Speaker 3: non conference, but it's going to be boom or bust,

198
00:09:11,320 --> 00:09:13,560
Speaker 3: I think again, because it's just a style of defense

199
00:09:13,600 --> 00:09:17,240
Speaker 3: that this unit calls and they're gonna have some time.

200
00:09:17,480 --> 00:09:19,000
Speaker 3: As long as they can get to the quarterback, they'll

201
00:09:19,000 --> 00:09:20,840
Speaker 3: be okay. But it puts a lot of stress on

202
00:09:20,840 --> 00:09:22,800
Speaker 3: the secondary when you're sending the blitz and you've got

203
00:09:22,880 --> 00:09:25,000
Speaker 3: limited guys in pass coverage and you just leave your

204
00:09:25,000 --> 00:09:26,840
Speaker 3: guys out there susceptible big plays.

205
00:09:27,240 --> 00:09:29,520
Speaker 1: Let's look at another team that won ten games in

206
00:09:29,600 --> 00:09:31,880
Speaker 1: the Belts last year. They went seven to one in

207
00:09:32,000 --> 00:09:35,199
Speaker 1: conference play, but ten and four overall, that's the Louisiana

208
00:09:35,360 --> 00:09:36,160
Speaker 1: ragent Cajun's.

209
00:09:37,000 --> 00:09:38,880
Speaker 2: This is the one you've been waiting for.

210
00:09:42,200 --> 00:09:44,200
Speaker 1: The season ended with a thud. You know, they get

211
00:09:44,240 --> 00:09:45,320
Speaker 1: worked over by Marshall.

212
00:09:45,360 --> 00:09:45,679
Speaker 2: They get it.

213
00:09:45,760 --> 00:09:48,360
Speaker 1: In Mexico Bowl. It was thirty four to three to TCU,

214
00:09:48,440 --> 00:09:50,719
Speaker 1: So I think that's thrown some cold water on the

215
00:09:50,760 --> 00:09:53,880
Speaker 1: overall perception of this team. But they're still seven to

216
00:09:53,880 --> 00:09:55,480
Speaker 1: one to win the Belt. Win total seven and a

217
00:09:55,520 --> 00:09:58,200
Speaker 1: half seven starters returning, four in offense, three on defense,

218
00:09:58,200 --> 00:10:02,280
Speaker 1: one hundred and fourteenth in returning production. Michael Desermo looked

219
00:10:02,280 --> 00:10:05,080
Speaker 1: like a poor man's Billy Napier, just keeping sunbelt Billy

220
00:10:05,200 --> 00:10:07,719
Speaker 1: seatwarm in case he flamed out at Florida. Then he

221
00:10:07,800 --> 00:10:10,160
Speaker 1: went and messed around, won ten games, and now he

222
00:10:10,200 --> 00:10:12,120
Speaker 1: hands the keys to his offense over to the most

223
00:10:12,120 --> 00:10:16,360
Speaker 1: talented quarterback recruit in program history. Walker Howard is a

224
00:10:16,360 --> 00:10:19,320
Speaker 1: former blue chip kid, rated it as the nation's number

225
00:10:19,320 --> 00:10:22,800
Speaker 1: one dual threat quarterback by ESPN and number five by

226
00:10:22,800 --> 00:10:25,400
Speaker 1: twenty four to seven Sports. Why do we not know

227
00:10:25,440 --> 00:10:27,600
Speaker 1: his name? While he sat behind this guy named Jaydon

228
00:10:27,679 --> 00:10:30,880
Speaker 1: Daniels at LSU. He also was in that quarterback room

229
00:10:30,880 --> 00:10:33,240
Speaker 1: with Nuss Meyer. No shame in not being able to

230
00:10:33,240 --> 00:10:36,000
Speaker 1: pop there in Van Rouge. Then the last two years

231
00:10:36,040 --> 00:10:38,400
Speaker 1: he sits behind Jackson dart at Ole Miss, who was

232
00:10:38,400 --> 00:10:40,839
Speaker 1: a first round NFL draft pick. So I think when

233
00:10:40,840 --> 00:10:42,720
Speaker 1: a lot of people you know, would look at a

234
00:10:42,720 --> 00:10:45,000
Speaker 1: power for guy that gets buried all he doesn't have

235
00:10:45,040 --> 00:10:48,080
Speaker 1: that dog and we can't command a room. He doesn't

236
00:10:48,080 --> 00:10:50,360
Speaker 1: have those leadership in tangibles. I don't think we know

237
00:10:50,440 --> 00:10:53,680
Speaker 1: anything about that because he not winning those jobs over

238
00:10:53,720 --> 00:10:57,240
Speaker 1: those NFL guys. There's no shame in that whatsoever. Now

239
00:10:57,400 --> 00:10:59,440
Speaker 1: the question is can he do more with his legs

240
00:10:59,480 --> 00:11:02,360
Speaker 1: than Wolderin, which did last year. But Woldrige was incredible

241
00:11:02,640 --> 00:11:05,280
Speaker 1: for Louisiana. But can he do it with his legs?

242
00:11:05,320 --> 00:11:07,800
Speaker 1: Because this receiving room is very green, they're gonna need

243
00:11:07,840 --> 00:11:11,080
Speaker 1: Sheldon Sampson, a former SEC Blue Chipper who's a big kid.

244
00:11:11,120 --> 00:11:14,400
Speaker 1: He's got crazy speed. They need him to be borderline

245
00:11:14,480 --> 00:11:17,080
Speaker 1: first team all belt to be able to balance out

246
00:11:17,160 --> 00:11:20,440
Speaker 1: the inexperience that they have on the perimeter. Luckily, they

247
00:11:20,440 --> 00:11:23,680
Speaker 1: get two layups right away. They get Rice, they get mcnice,

248
00:11:23,760 --> 00:11:27,160
Speaker 1: so they have some time to settle in offensively defensively,

249
00:11:27,320 --> 00:11:29,320
Speaker 1: this is where I kind of lose a bit of

250
00:11:29,320 --> 00:11:31,920
Speaker 1: steam in terms of my positivity for l Ten of

251
00:11:32,000 --> 00:11:35,160
Speaker 1: their top thirteen tacklers are gone. The pass rush should

252
00:11:35,200 --> 00:11:37,800
Speaker 1: be decent during the loss in the Cameron Whodfield return

253
00:11:37,840 --> 00:11:40,560
Speaker 1: after chipping in eleven and a half sacks on the edges,

254
00:11:40,880 --> 00:11:44,560
Speaker 1: but so many new faces behind them. Jim Sealgado has

255
00:11:44,720 --> 00:11:46,679
Speaker 1: really has his work cutout for him. I think he's

256
00:11:46,679 --> 00:11:48,720
Speaker 1: going to have to perform some miracles on the back

257
00:11:48,840 --> 00:11:51,360
Speaker 1: end here. I'm going to level with everybody though this

258
00:11:51,440 --> 00:11:54,439
Speaker 1: schedule only has two surefire losses. In my opinion, It's

259
00:11:54,440 --> 00:11:56,960
Speaker 1: why I'm over on the win total. I do think

260
00:11:57,000 --> 00:11:59,520
Speaker 1: that they are my pick, maybe a co favorite in

261
00:11:59,559 --> 00:12:01,520
Speaker 1: the West. With this next team I'm going to discuss.

262
00:12:01,760 --> 00:12:03,880
Speaker 1: I really like them because I look at the loss

263
00:12:04,120 --> 00:12:07,079
Speaker 1: at Maszoo and then a loss of James Madison. However,

264
00:12:07,720 --> 00:12:09,920
Speaker 1: even against the Dukes, they're off of a buy and

265
00:12:10,000 --> 00:12:12,600
Speaker 1: JMU is not, so in terms of a scheduling quirk,

266
00:12:12,640 --> 00:12:15,160
Speaker 1: they have the advantage there. Gonna go with the over

267
00:12:15,240 --> 00:12:17,520
Speaker 1: because I'm enamored with Howard. I think this guy's going

268
00:12:17,600 --> 00:12:20,040
Speaker 1: to be fantastic. I hope that he is. I think

269
00:12:20,080 --> 00:12:22,800
Speaker 1: that all of our G five leagues need more elite

270
00:12:22,880 --> 00:12:25,840
Speaker 1: quarterback play. I think it's what gets the casual's eyes

271
00:12:25,880 --> 00:12:28,560
Speaker 1: on these conferences, and that's what I'm looking for. So

272
00:12:29,040 --> 00:12:31,360
Speaker 1: howard or bust for me? What do you guys think?

273
00:12:31,480 --> 00:12:32,199
Speaker 1: I'll kick with you first?

274
00:12:32,280 --> 00:12:33,520
Speaker 2: Duck? Yeah.

275
00:12:33,520 --> 00:12:37,240
Speaker 3: I think it's a really unique quarterback situation and probably

276
00:12:37,400 --> 00:12:39,559
Speaker 3: a situation that this group is just not used to

277
00:12:39,600 --> 00:12:42,400
Speaker 3: being in. Right, you have a really high profile recruit

278
00:12:42,440 --> 00:12:46,959
Speaker 3: that has now settled on Louisiana and should immediately inject

279
00:12:47,000 --> 00:12:52,880
Speaker 3: some life into elevating their pass game from priors. The

280
00:12:52,960 --> 00:12:55,400
Speaker 3: offensive line actually shores up, okay, I think they did

281
00:12:55,400 --> 00:12:58,640
Speaker 3: pretty decent in four point eight yards per carry and

282
00:12:58,679 --> 00:13:01,320
Speaker 3: only allowed eighteen sacks last year. And they've got plenty

283
00:13:01,320 --> 00:13:03,600
Speaker 3: of talent back along the offensive line, so they appear

284
00:13:03,640 --> 00:13:06,920
Speaker 3: to be just as strong. There, really a solid unit

285
00:13:08,600 --> 00:13:10,800
Speaker 3: on third down, and they were in the red zone

286
00:13:10,800 --> 00:13:13,640
Speaker 3: a ton last season. They did really well moving the ball.

287
00:13:14,160 --> 00:13:16,360
Speaker 3: What I would like to see from this group is

288
00:13:16,640 --> 00:13:19,680
Speaker 3: better execution down there. I mean, they settled for nineteen

289
00:13:19,760 --> 00:13:22,280
Speaker 3: red zone field goals last season, which is just absurd.

290
00:13:22,400 --> 00:13:25,480
Speaker 3: So if you have a quarterback with a laser arm

291
00:13:25,520 --> 00:13:28,800
Speaker 3: that can make the right decisions in tight windows and

292
00:13:28,840 --> 00:13:31,360
Speaker 3: you can convert those trips because they didn't have a

293
00:13:31,400 --> 00:13:33,480
Speaker 3: lot of empty trips. But if you can convert those

294
00:13:33,600 --> 00:13:36,920
Speaker 3: red zone opportunities into touchdowns, this offense could just be

295
00:13:37,000 --> 00:13:40,640
Speaker 3: elite and could be lights out this season for Louisiana.

296
00:13:40,800 --> 00:13:42,680
Speaker 1: Do you think the offense will be enough to help

297
00:13:42,720 --> 00:13:45,720
Speaker 1: the defense as it slowly grows this season column? Because

298
00:13:45,720 --> 00:13:47,880
Speaker 1: as I mentioned, so many new guys are going to

299
00:13:47,920 --> 00:13:49,040
Speaker 1: be relied on for stops.

300
00:13:49,280 --> 00:13:53,079
Speaker 2: It has to the defense is atrocious. I'll get to that.

301
00:13:53,240 --> 00:13:56,880
Speaker 2: I think the offense though, for how bad your defense is,

302
00:13:57,000 --> 00:13:59,160
Speaker 2: there could be problems on the offense. And one thing

303
00:13:59,200 --> 00:14:00,880
Speaker 2: that I'm looking at is a hundred and seventeenth and

304
00:14:00,960 --> 00:14:02,840
Speaker 2: tempo and the fact that they love to run the ball.

305
00:14:03,160 --> 00:14:04,880
Speaker 2: They're gonna be able to do that. The backfield, with

306
00:14:04,960 --> 00:14:07,440
Speaker 2: zill and Perry and Bill Davis each three point seven

307
00:14:07,600 --> 00:14:10,960
Speaker 2: plus yards after first contact, they can move after they

308
00:14:11,040 --> 00:14:14,600
Speaker 2: get hit. Zillen Perry creates misstackles at a really great rate.

309
00:14:15,240 --> 00:14:18,120
Speaker 2: From the running game perspective, this is sunbuilt. Billy's offense

310
00:14:18,160 --> 00:14:20,600
Speaker 2: still is the footprint of that, and it's still got

311
00:14:20,640 --> 00:14:22,560
Speaker 2: two running backs that can go so even Walker Howard

312
00:14:22,640 --> 00:14:25,880
Speaker 2: needs some time against Rice McNeice, which he should, but

313
00:14:26,000 --> 00:14:27,640
Speaker 2: even if he needs time, they're, oh, my gosh, a

314
00:14:27,680 --> 00:14:30,120
Speaker 2: game against the jury, and I don't like Missouri. So

315
00:14:30,240 --> 00:14:32,120
Speaker 2: I'm just gonna you know, I think this offense is

316
00:14:32,160 --> 00:14:34,440
Speaker 2: going to be fun. But when you run a tempo

317
00:14:34,480 --> 00:14:37,320
Speaker 2: that's slow, your defense is gonna have to and you

318
00:14:37,320 --> 00:14:39,320
Speaker 2: have games that have nine to ten possessions, your defense

319
00:14:39,360 --> 00:14:41,200
Speaker 2: is gonna have to step up once. And that's where

320
00:14:41,360 --> 00:14:44,520
Speaker 2: second year DC Jim Salgado's got some real problems here.

321
00:14:44,560 --> 00:14:47,040
Speaker 2: I mean, lose top five tacklers on the defensive side.

322
00:14:47,520 --> 00:14:49,960
Speaker 2: They do get Jordan Lass and Cameron Whitfield on the edges,

323
00:14:50,240 --> 00:14:52,000
Speaker 2: they count for eleven and a half sacks the season,

324
00:14:52,000 --> 00:14:54,000
Speaker 2: but outside of putting a little bit of pressure on

325
00:14:54,040 --> 00:14:57,360
Speaker 2: a quarterback from those edge positions, it's dog shit. And

326
00:14:57,400 --> 00:14:59,840
Speaker 2: I mean I lose that that might be an in

327
00:15:00,240 --> 00:15:02,680
Speaker 2: to dog shit because one hundred and thirty second in

328
00:15:02,720 --> 00:15:05,920
Speaker 2: defensive rushing success rate, they couldn't stop the run, one

329
00:15:06,000 --> 00:15:08,640
Speaker 2: hundred and twenty fifth in creating contested catches, They couldn't

330
00:15:08,680 --> 00:15:11,040
Speaker 2: stop the pass, one hundred and twenty first in defensive

331
00:15:11,080 --> 00:15:13,520
Speaker 2: finishing drives one hundred and thirty first and pass rush

332
00:15:14,640 --> 00:15:17,000
Speaker 2: one hundred and twenty fourth and tackling that's coaching, that's

333
00:15:17,080 --> 00:15:20,960
Speaker 2: Jim Salgado. So you're on the clock, buddy. I mean,

334
00:15:21,000 --> 00:15:22,600
Speaker 2: if there's got to be an improvement here through the

335
00:15:22,600 --> 00:15:24,200
Speaker 2: first half of the season, or they could be going

336
00:15:24,200 --> 00:15:27,960
Speaker 2: with a mix and match assistant staff running the defense here.

337
00:15:27,960 --> 00:15:30,000
Speaker 2: This is you, guys mentioned is one of the easiest

338
00:15:30,000 --> 00:15:33,320
Speaker 2: schedules from a strength of perspective, strength of schedule perspective

339
00:15:33,360 --> 00:15:35,720
Speaker 2: in the conference. They're going to host their rivals Texas

340
00:15:35,720 --> 00:15:37,960
Speaker 2: State in Southern miss They're on back to back six

341
00:15:38,000 --> 00:15:40,120
Speaker 2: days rest of South Alabama, which could be the only

342
00:15:40,160 --> 00:15:44,040
Speaker 2: tricky spot on this entire you know, on this entire roster,

343
00:15:44,600 --> 00:15:46,360
Speaker 2: and plus South Alabama with what they want to do

344
00:15:46,400 --> 00:15:48,200
Speaker 2: with their offense, if you don't get your corner position

345
00:15:48,240 --> 00:15:49,920
Speaker 2: locked up, that could be a problem. If you get

346
00:15:49,920 --> 00:15:52,280
Speaker 2: a bye week before you get to go to James Madison,

347
00:15:52,440 --> 00:15:53,840
Speaker 2: not sure you can beat them at home, but you

348
00:15:53,840 --> 00:15:56,040
Speaker 2: do get a bye week, could be a Sun Belt

349
00:15:56,080 --> 00:15:58,600
Speaker 2: game preview. I think the question is are they, like

350
00:15:58,640 --> 00:16:00,920
Speaker 2: you said, are they co favorites to the West. I

351
00:16:00,920 --> 00:16:02,840
Speaker 2: think the answer is yes. I project them at seven

352
00:16:02,840 --> 00:16:05,280
Speaker 2: point four and so there's no play for me on

353
00:16:05,320 --> 00:16:07,480
Speaker 2: the win total. But I think the team that I

354
00:16:07,520 --> 00:16:09,760
Speaker 2: do like to win the West, that's where you're gonna

355
00:16:09,760 --> 00:16:11,280
Speaker 2: want to find to figure out some sort of head

356
00:16:11,320 --> 00:16:13,840
Speaker 2: strategy to make sure that you get your investment out

357
00:16:13,840 --> 00:16:16,080
Speaker 2: of the West, if it's Louisiana or this other team

358
00:16:16,080 --> 00:16:18,960
Speaker 2: we're going to get to. But I think the offense,

359
00:16:19,640 --> 00:16:22,560
Speaker 2: the fact that they run one of the slowest tempos

360
00:16:22,560 --> 00:16:25,400
Speaker 2: in the nation, puts the defense on alert that you're

361
00:16:25,440 --> 00:16:27,520
Speaker 2: gonna have to get a stop at some point. And

362
00:16:27,560 --> 00:16:31,120
Speaker 2: that's where I get a little bit queasy about Louisiana

363
00:16:31,240 --> 00:16:33,640
Speaker 2: team total and potentially playing over or taking them to

364
00:16:33,640 --> 00:16:34,160
Speaker 2: win the West.

365
00:16:34,720 --> 00:16:36,840
Speaker 1: This next team that we're going to discuss is the

366
00:16:37,000 --> 00:16:39,920
Speaker 1: reason why I love my job and I love working

367
00:16:39,960 --> 00:16:42,920
Speaker 1: at Action Network because I'll bump into regular sports fans.

368
00:16:42,960 --> 00:16:44,720
Speaker 1: They asked me, oh, what do I do for work? Oh,

369
00:16:44,720 --> 00:16:48,000
Speaker 1: I cover college sports, talk college football. Which teams are

370
00:16:48,000 --> 00:16:48,680
Speaker 1: you excited about?

371
00:16:48,720 --> 00:16:49,560
Speaker 2: And they're waiting for.

372
00:16:49,480 --> 00:16:52,240
Speaker 1: Me to say Penn State or Texas And I say

373
00:16:52,320 --> 00:16:54,520
Speaker 1: Southern miss And they slowly back away from me and

374
00:16:54,560 --> 00:16:56,560
Speaker 1: get in their car and leave the parking lot. But

375
00:16:56,760 --> 00:16:59,880
Speaker 1: you guys, you're my people. You understand. Let's talk about

376
00:17:00,160 --> 00:17:03,080
Speaker 1: the Golden Eagles in Hattiesburg. They went one and eleven

377
00:17:03,160 --> 00:17:06,800
Speaker 1: last year over in Sun Belt play. They are now

378
00:17:06,920 --> 00:17:09,240
Speaker 1: in the sixteen to one range to win the Belts.

379
00:17:09,280 --> 00:17:12,359
Speaker 1: I know that everyone on this recording has fired in

380
00:17:12,400 --> 00:17:14,880
Speaker 1: at least twenty five, thirty, thirty five, forty to one.

381
00:17:15,160 --> 00:17:18,120
Speaker 1: Their wintel is sitting at four and a half, only

382
00:17:18,160 --> 00:17:20,240
Speaker 1: two starters returning, one on each side of the ball,

383
00:17:20,320 --> 00:17:24,040
Speaker 1: seventy third in returning production overall, thirteenth on offense. Though

384
00:17:24,640 --> 00:17:27,360
Speaker 1: in the action network world, USM is a known commodity.

385
00:17:27,440 --> 00:17:30,639
Speaker 1: Charles Soft comes in from Marshall, a worst for first

386
00:17:30,760 --> 00:17:33,520
Speaker 1: or worst coach in Will Hall. Will you know hullball?

387
00:17:33,760 --> 00:17:36,240
Speaker 1: Now over? He's out the door. The best in terms

388
00:17:36,359 --> 00:17:40,120
Speaker 1: of winning the conference last year won a coaching swap this.

389
00:17:41,320 --> 00:17:44,240
Speaker 1: I mean, let's start with the fact that quarterback play

390
00:17:44,280 --> 00:17:48,199
Speaker 1: for USM has been horrific since Nick Mullins left, I

391
00:17:48,240 --> 00:17:51,000
Speaker 1: mean him going to the NFL. They basically there's just.

392
00:17:51,119 --> 00:17:53,160
Speaker 2: Counting Frank gor and his auntie playing quarterback.

393
00:17:53,160 --> 00:17:55,880
Speaker 1: I guess, yes exactly. I mean they when you could

394
00:17:56,000 --> 00:17:59,440
Speaker 1: legitimately say no tongue in cheek that go wildcat and

395
00:17:59,520 --> 00:18:01,560
Speaker 1: just have a running back throw the football. That's your

396
00:18:01,560 --> 00:18:04,280
Speaker 1: best situation. That's how bad the quarterback situation has been

397
00:18:04,320 --> 00:18:07,760
Speaker 1: for years, four years here, and now Brayln Braxton comes in.

398
00:18:07,960 --> 00:18:10,320
Speaker 1: He went undefeated as a starter last year, nineteen to

399
00:18:10,359 --> 00:18:13,879
Speaker 1: two touchdown to interception ratio, two separate one hundred and

400
00:18:13,880 --> 00:18:17,480
Speaker 1: forty yard rushing performances, his dual threat potential. Then you

401
00:18:17,560 --> 00:18:20,560
Speaker 1: blend it with Blake Anderson as the play caller. Blake Anderson,

402
00:18:20,760 --> 00:18:23,080
Speaker 1: it seems like his coaching career, his life was over

403
00:18:23,280 --> 00:18:25,800
Speaker 1: when he was fired at Utah State for cause. Now

404
00:18:25,800 --> 00:18:27,919
Speaker 1: he's suing Utah State. It seems like he has a

405
00:18:27,960 --> 00:18:31,400
Speaker 1: good case there, certainly enough for the administration at USM

406
00:18:31,440 --> 00:18:34,639
Speaker 1: to say that you can resuscitate your career here. It

407
00:18:34,680 --> 00:18:37,920
Speaker 1: looks like you're clear of those legal hurdles. He is

408
00:18:37,960 --> 00:18:40,560
Speaker 1: an incredible play caller when you look at the statistical

409
00:18:40,600 --> 00:18:43,359
Speaker 1: monsters that he coached up at Arkansas State and Utah

410
00:18:43,440 --> 00:18:46,480
Speaker 1: State programs that didn't have a full cupboard of P

411
00:18:46,640 --> 00:18:48,840
Speaker 1: four talents or guys that they went into the portal

412
00:18:48,880 --> 00:18:52,920
Speaker 1: and just paid Justice Hansen Logan Bonner massive seasons for him.

413
00:18:53,200 --> 00:18:54,919
Speaker 1: So I think when you look at this and the

414
00:18:54,960 --> 00:18:57,359
Speaker 1: skill positions that are going to be around Braxton, that

415
00:18:57,400 --> 00:19:00,119
Speaker 1: are loaded with former P four talents in their back

416
00:19:00,119 --> 00:19:03,280
Speaker 1: field at wide receiver. I have faith in this potentially

417
00:19:03,320 --> 00:19:05,679
Speaker 1: being a top four offense in the Belt, which is

418
00:19:05,720 --> 00:19:10,080
Speaker 1: incredible given the five year run, coming off an zerover

419
00:19:10,240 --> 00:19:13,560
Speaker 1: season in conference play, and on top of everything else,

420
00:19:13,680 --> 00:19:16,920
Speaker 1: last year dreadful turnover look. Bill Connley wrote this up

421
00:19:17,160 --> 00:19:20,160
Speaker 1: for ESPN. They were negative nineteen in the turnover margin,

422
00:19:20,200 --> 00:19:23,120
Speaker 1: which was dead last in FBS, and when you look

423
00:19:23,119 --> 00:19:26,120
Speaker 1: at what it should have been based on average luck

424
00:19:26,119 --> 00:19:28,879
Speaker 1: and balls bouncing around on the carpet, it still should

425
00:19:28,880 --> 00:19:30,800
Speaker 1: have been negative eight, which would have been dreadful on

426
00:19:30,840 --> 00:19:33,359
Speaker 1: its own. So I'm not saying that they're going to

427
00:19:33,440 --> 00:19:36,000
Speaker 1: go from the bottom in terms of turnover margin to

428
00:19:36,040 --> 00:19:37,600
Speaker 1: be a top twenty five team, because, by the way,

429
00:19:37,600 --> 00:19:40,399
Speaker 1: Marshall was very fortunate in that way. I'm just banking

430
00:19:40,400 --> 00:19:42,760
Speaker 1: on them being closer to zero, and I think if

431
00:19:42,760 --> 00:19:45,800
Speaker 1: that's the case and the breaks aren't necessarily always going

432
00:19:45,880 --> 00:19:48,399
Speaker 1: against them, that changes everything for this team and the

433
00:19:48,480 --> 00:19:51,480
Speaker 1: overall upside. The defensive pieces, they got to be a

434
00:19:51,520 --> 00:19:53,719
Speaker 1: lot better. They got to come together, and they have

435
00:19:53,880 --> 00:19:56,480
Speaker 1: some in terms of Josh Moden comes in from Marshall.

436
00:19:56,600 --> 00:19:59,080
Speaker 1: If he puts on weight and maintains his speed and agility,

437
00:19:59,119 --> 00:20:00,680
Speaker 1: I could see him being a three or fourth round

438
00:20:00,760 --> 00:20:02,960
Speaker 1: NFL draft pick. That's how good he is. I thought

439
00:20:03,000 --> 00:20:04,639
Speaker 1: for sure he was going to go to a power

440
00:20:04,640 --> 00:20:07,600
Speaker 1: for program in the portal. And also you got Josh

441
00:20:07,600 --> 00:20:11,680
Speaker 1: Battle from FCS Chattanooga at safety. That's another veteran hand

442
00:20:11,800 --> 00:20:14,240
Speaker 1: there in the back half of their defense that's going

443
00:20:14,320 --> 00:20:16,280
Speaker 1: to make sure that they're not given up huge plays

444
00:20:16,359 --> 00:20:19,199
Speaker 1: left and right. Jason Seymour, their DC, is someone that

445
00:20:19,240 --> 00:20:22,159
Speaker 1: I trust. He did a phenomenal job at Marshall. This

446
00:20:22,320 --> 00:20:26,119
Speaker 1: is a common theme situational play calling. How are you

447
00:20:26,119 --> 00:20:28,320
Speaker 1: on third downs? How are you in the red zone?

448
00:20:28,359 --> 00:20:30,520
Speaker 1: I trust him to get things right in that regard.

449
00:20:30,880 --> 00:20:33,440
Speaker 1: My favorite win total of all the G five over

450
00:20:33,480 --> 00:20:35,879
Speaker 1: four and a half on USM. I got him at

451
00:20:35,920 --> 00:20:38,199
Speaker 1: thirty to one. I'd still play them at twenty to one.

452
00:20:38,240 --> 00:20:40,320
Speaker 1: You're gonna have to hunt around for that because sixteen

453
00:20:40,320 --> 00:20:44,320
Speaker 1: to one seems to be the consensus there by books.

454
00:20:44,960 --> 00:20:47,520
Speaker 1: But Colin, just talk me through this. This is something

455
00:20:47,560 --> 00:20:49,640
Speaker 1: we both got really excited about. The more you look

456
00:20:49,680 --> 00:20:52,880
Speaker 1: into it, the more it looks like a complete turnarounds

457
00:20:52,960 --> 00:20:56,080
Speaker 1: and maybe a seven win differential from last season.

458
00:20:56,520 --> 00:21:00,640
Speaker 2: About seven eight years ago, when the Sports Action app

459
00:21:00,840 --> 00:21:04,280
Speaker 2: was invented and I think it had maybe five downloads

460
00:21:04,280 --> 00:21:06,960
Speaker 2: in the app store, I went to Vegas and started

461
00:21:07,040 --> 00:21:09,440
Speaker 2: laying into Temple forty to one, thirty to one, twenty

462
00:21:09,480 --> 00:21:11,040
Speaker 2: five to one because I knew Matt Ruhle was going

463
00:21:11,080 --> 00:21:12,920
Speaker 2: to make it to the AC championship game, which he

464
00:21:12,960 --> 00:21:17,240
Speaker 2: did pre pandemic. Our podcast was hot on UAB thirty

465
00:21:17,240 --> 00:21:19,040
Speaker 2: five to one, and everybody we knocked it down to

466
00:21:19,080 --> 00:21:21,800
Speaker 2: twenty to one and they beat Middle Tennessee to win

467
00:21:21,840 --> 00:21:26,240
Speaker 2: their conference championship. This has that feeling. Now. The bad

468
00:21:26,280 --> 00:21:28,440
Speaker 2: news for everybody listening is is that forty to one

469
00:21:28,480 --> 00:21:31,560
Speaker 2: that I snagged when the lines opened up. I was

470
00:21:31,600 --> 00:21:33,640
Speaker 2: in the middle of college baseball season, but this one

471
00:21:33,680 --> 00:21:36,680
Speaker 2: I had bookmarked, I had penned. I had constant reminders

472
00:21:36,680 --> 00:21:38,639
Speaker 2: to wake up every morning and check seven books to

473
00:21:38,640 --> 00:21:42,960
Speaker 2: see if a numbers have hit. I wanted this one bad. Now.

474
00:21:43,000 --> 00:21:46,159
Speaker 2: Not only is the entire Marshall off Brayln Braxton, and

475
00:21:46,200 --> 00:21:48,840
Speaker 2: then five of the eleven starters on defense should be

476
00:21:48,880 --> 00:21:52,399
Speaker 2: from Marshall Charles sooff is bringing that defensive staff, but

477
00:21:52,480 --> 00:21:55,639
Speaker 2: on offense. When I heard the Blake Anderson who was

478
00:21:55,680 --> 00:21:58,159
Speaker 2: the head coach at Arkansas State with some electric offenses

479
00:21:58,720 --> 00:22:01,920
Speaker 2: and he left his you know rip to his wife

480
00:22:01,960 --> 00:22:03,679
Speaker 2: died of cancer. He needed a change of pace and

481
00:22:03,720 --> 00:22:06,080
Speaker 2: he went out West. Maybe he didn't like the fit

482
00:22:06,920 --> 00:22:09,240
Speaker 2: kind of some bad things happening at that program. He

483
00:22:09,320 --> 00:22:12,000
Speaker 2: comes back to the Sun Belt. Nobody knows this conference

484
00:22:12,040 --> 00:22:14,400
Speaker 2: like Blake Anderson, and now he doesn't have head coaching

485
00:22:14,480 --> 00:22:16,440
Speaker 2: duties and he's just going to play offensive coordinator to

486
00:22:16,520 --> 00:22:20,639
Speaker 2: best quarterback in the league. My power rating numbers can't

487
00:22:20,680 --> 00:22:23,520
Speaker 2: get to where Southern MYSS needs to be. I project

488
00:22:23,560 --> 00:22:26,320
Speaker 2: them like at four wins, and I don't think that's right.

489
00:22:26,920 --> 00:22:29,119
Speaker 2: When you take Marshall's defense and you combine it with

490
00:22:29,160 --> 00:22:30,960
Speaker 2: their quarterback, who's going to be the best With an

491
00:22:30,960 --> 00:22:35,480
Speaker 2: offensive coordinator that is has an electric style and has

492
00:22:35,920 --> 00:22:38,840
Speaker 2: dominated this conference before, there's nothing you can do in

493
00:22:38,920 --> 00:22:40,919
Speaker 2: excel sheet that's going to catch up to that. So

494
00:22:40,960 --> 00:22:43,000
Speaker 2: what is the ceiling of this team? They can win

495
00:22:43,040 --> 00:22:45,840
Speaker 2: the West, they can go to the championship game and

496
00:22:45,840 --> 00:22:48,239
Speaker 2: then they can get dominated by James Madison. But until then,

497
00:22:48,280 --> 00:22:50,479
Speaker 2: let's have some fun. I think the forty to one

498
00:22:50,560 --> 00:22:52,080
Speaker 2: was good. I think if you can find twenty to one,

499
00:22:52,119 --> 00:22:54,800
Speaker 2: that's good. The number at fourteen to one to win

500
00:22:54,840 --> 00:22:57,919
Speaker 2: the Sun Belt is troublesome because you're still going to

501
00:22:57,960 --> 00:23:01,320
Speaker 2: start off the season getting probably beat by Mississippi State,

502
00:23:01,880 --> 00:23:04,760
Speaker 2: maybe cover probably beat. Then we get to see the

503
00:23:04,760 --> 00:23:08,000
Speaker 2: real action against Jackson State, and then I think you're

504
00:23:08,000 --> 00:23:09,639
Speaker 2: going to dominate app State, and then everybody's going to

505
00:23:09,680 --> 00:23:11,919
Speaker 2: wake up and realize. So I've had enough time for

506
00:23:11,920 --> 00:23:14,040
Speaker 2: Blake Anders and to get this offense intact, and people

507
00:23:14,040 --> 00:23:15,480
Speaker 2: are going to know what Southerness is, and the power

508
00:23:15,560 --> 00:23:17,240
Speaker 2: rating is going to be complete a change. Remember if

509
00:23:17,240 --> 00:23:19,520
Speaker 2: you talk to everybody about this, like power ratings at

510
00:23:19,520 --> 00:23:21,240
Speaker 2: the end of the season, last four weeks, they don't

511
00:23:21,240 --> 00:23:22,959
Speaker 2: move more than a point and a half. First two

512
00:23:23,000 --> 00:23:25,159
Speaker 2: weeks of the season, you can move power rating four to

513
00:23:25,240 --> 00:23:27,240
Speaker 2: six points in a game based what you see in

514
00:23:27,280 --> 00:23:30,280
Speaker 2: the box score and how they wax teams. So this

515
00:23:30,359 --> 00:23:33,119
Speaker 2: is what I expect. We've had examples of this before

516
00:23:33,160 --> 00:23:35,879
Speaker 2: where people weren't paying attention to Matt Rule going to Temple,

517
00:23:36,080 --> 00:23:38,879
Speaker 2: where people weren't paying attention to Bill Clark resurrecting a

518
00:23:38,960 --> 00:23:41,159
Speaker 2: UAB program that had a bunch of players like sit

519
00:23:41,240 --> 00:23:43,359
Speaker 2: out for two years and decide to come back. This

520
00:23:43,520 --> 00:23:45,919
Speaker 2: is one of those situations nobody paid attention to in

521
00:23:45,920 --> 00:23:48,920
Speaker 2: the offseason, and that's why the opening number was ridiculous.

522
00:23:49,119 --> 00:23:50,919
Speaker 2: And I think twenty to one is a huge bargain.

523
00:23:51,440 --> 00:23:53,760
Speaker 2: I would still buy at fourteen to one. Sit back,

524
00:23:54,000 --> 00:23:56,119
Speaker 2: figure out a plan for Louisiana. That's going to be

525
00:23:56,160 --> 00:23:58,240
Speaker 2: a tough game. Power rating state it's a fourteen point game,

526
00:23:58,720 --> 00:24:00,200
Speaker 2: but it might not be by the time it gets

527
00:24:00,200 --> 00:24:02,920
Speaker 2: to October eighteen. So get your futures in, build a

528
00:24:02,960 --> 00:24:05,199
Speaker 2: plan to go up against Louisiana, and then build a

529
00:24:05,200 --> 00:24:07,760
Speaker 2: hedge plan for James Madison because that could be bad.

530
00:24:09,040 --> 00:24:12,119
Speaker 1: I think we're all on the same page. Offensively, the Anderson,

531
00:24:12,520 --> 00:24:16,239
Speaker 1: you know, Braxton union is probably gonna bear fruit, and

532
00:24:16,480 --> 00:24:19,119
Speaker 1: I think explosive offense is what I expect by the

533
00:24:19,119 --> 00:24:22,400
Speaker 1: time October rolls around. Certainly, the question is this defense,

534
00:24:22,520 --> 00:24:26,320
Speaker 1: which was once monitored the Nasty boys. Can they bring

535
00:24:26,680 --> 00:24:33,840
Speaker 1: an edge to themselves this year? Last year it was

536
00:24:33,880 --> 00:24:36,280
Speaker 1: a full collapse. I'm not interested in looking at any

537
00:24:36,320 --> 00:24:38,159
Speaker 1: of the metrics or the stats. It's a new staff.

538
00:24:38,320 --> 00:24:40,639
Speaker 1: It's so many new faces. Do you think they're going

539
00:24:40,720 --> 00:24:43,879
Speaker 1: to be good enough defensively to not only be in

540
00:24:43,920 --> 00:24:45,600
Speaker 1: the conversation for a Bowl, but to be in a

541
00:24:45,600 --> 00:24:47,440
Speaker 1: conversation to win the West this year?

542
00:24:47,520 --> 00:24:50,720
Speaker 2: Duck Dug needs to mention that Michael Montgomery is a dog.

543
00:24:51,119 --> 00:24:53,040
Speaker 2: He's coming in to be the captain of his defense

544
00:24:54,160 --> 00:24:54,679
Speaker 2: very much so.

545
00:24:54,800 --> 00:24:56,760
Speaker 3: Yeah, And I think the four to two five alignment

546
00:24:56,840 --> 00:25:01,199
Speaker 3: will provide them opportunities to be successful. There is a

547
00:25:01,520 --> 00:25:05,560
Speaker 3: significant talent infusion along the defensive line platoon and in

548
00:25:05,600 --> 00:25:08,919
Speaker 3: the secondary. Ian Foster comes in to provide some versatility

549
00:25:08,920 --> 00:25:12,560
Speaker 3: at the nickel position. I think that you kind of

550
00:25:12,600 --> 00:25:14,840
Speaker 3: have to throw out a lot of the defensive metrics

551
00:25:14,840 --> 00:25:18,800
Speaker 3: in prior because the entire unit is changed over, and

552
00:25:19,040 --> 00:25:22,840
Speaker 3: really the portal win of certainly the G five, if

553
00:25:22,880 --> 00:25:25,200
Speaker 3: not all of FBS football last year with fifty four

554
00:25:25,240 --> 00:25:28,760
Speaker 3: new faces and just significant upgrade of your entire nucleus

555
00:25:28,760 --> 00:25:31,760
Speaker 3: of your two deep on defense has changed. This group

556
00:25:31,760 --> 00:25:34,160
Speaker 3: when the win total came out, was really being penalized

557
00:25:34,200 --> 00:25:36,720
Speaker 3: by the helmet sticker, right. I think Colin made mention

558
00:25:36,800 --> 00:25:41,240
Speaker 3: of it where you just didn't have the books operating

559
00:25:41,280 --> 00:25:44,560
Speaker 3: on the premise of this team being so significantly upgraded

560
00:25:44,600 --> 00:25:48,240
Speaker 3: in talent, in coaching, in situational football, they're going to

561
00:25:48,280 --> 00:25:51,840
Speaker 3: be better everywhere, and so yeah, I think the defense

562
00:25:51,880 --> 00:25:54,480
Speaker 3: will be in situations where they're going to succeed and

563
00:25:54,920 --> 00:26:00,080
Speaker 3: certainly improve drastically on the points per game, the yards

564
00:26:00,119 --> 00:26:03,359
Speaker 3: per rush, the red zone metrics, the third down metrics

565
00:26:03,400 --> 00:26:05,240
Speaker 3: where they struggled at times. I think that you'll just

566
00:26:05,280 --> 00:26:10,280
Speaker 3: see a completely rejuvenated group and a team that plays cohesively.

567
00:26:10,359 --> 00:26:13,160
Speaker 3: I think it may not show itself in the opener

568
00:26:13,240 --> 00:26:16,200
Speaker 3: hosting Mississippi State, but it could. But you go down

569
00:26:16,240 --> 00:26:18,560
Speaker 3: the line of those next four games, and every one

570
00:26:18,600 --> 00:26:21,600
Speaker 3: of those is winnable. This regular season win total at

571
00:26:21,600 --> 00:26:23,360
Speaker 3: four and a half, which is still out there. It's

572
00:26:23,359 --> 00:26:25,440
Speaker 3: heavily juiced over, but it's still out there at four

573
00:26:25,480 --> 00:26:27,520
Speaker 3: and a half. I mean, this could be a secure

574
00:26:27,600 --> 00:26:28,640
Speaker 3: bagger early.

575
00:26:28,440 --> 00:26:29,520
Speaker 2: In the season.

576
00:26:29,680 --> 00:26:31,720
Speaker 3: And I think you could be good on some alternate

577
00:26:31,760 --> 00:26:36,080
Speaker 3: win total markets six wins plus as like plus one

578
00:26:36,200 --> 00:26:38,879
Speaker 3: forty plus one fifty seven wins is plus two hundred.

579
00:26:38,920 --> 00:26:40,840
Speaker 3: I mean, those can all be good numbers to go

580
00:26:40,880 --> 00:26:43,760
Speaker 3: out and snag. From the all win perspective for Southern

581
00:26:43,760 --> 00:26:46,200
Speaker 3: miss would not surprise me at all if this is

582
00:26:46,240 --> 00:26:49,520
Speaker 3: a group that is playing very meaningful football and having

583
00:26:49,520 --> 00:26:51,840
Speaker 3: an impact on what happens in the Sun Belt West

584
00:26:51,840 --> 00:26:54,560
Speaker 3: this season, and you just look it through the schedule.

585
00:26:54,560 --> 00:26:55,880
Speaker 2: I mean, the big game is.

586
00:26:55,800 --> 00:27:00,440
Speaker 3: At Louisiana on October eighteenth, but even those last I

587
00:27:00,480 --> 00:27:03,760
Speaker 3: mean Arkansas State, Texas State, South Alabama, Troy, They're going

588
00:27:03,840 --> 00:27:05,560
Speaker 3: to be in the mix to win those games. And

589
00:27:05,600 --> 00:27:08,679
Speaker 3: it could be something where worse to first is definitely

590
00:27:08,720 --> 00:27:13,880
Speaker 3: not something that I would assume happens with any regularity,

591
00:27:13,880 --> 00:27:15,960
Speaker 3: and I certainly don't bet on it with regularity. But

592
00:27:16,000 --> 00:27:19,840
Speaker 3: this is one where you have rejuvenated coaching staff with

593
00:27:20,160 --> 00:27:22,720
Speaker 3: Blake Anderson. Charles Huff is real motivated to be here.

594
00:27:22,760 --> 00:27:25,760
Speaker 3: The talent in flux is significant. This is absolutely a

595
00:27:25,800 --> 00:27:29,160
Speaker 3: play on team until the power ratings adjust according all right.

596
00:27:29,080 --> 00:27:30,919
Speaker 1: We turned from a team that we're really hot on

597
00:27:30,960 --> 00:27:32,840
Speaker 1: to one that I think we may have some split

598
00:27:33,160 --> 00:27:35,760
Speaker 1: votes in terms of them going up or down. The

599
00:27:35,840 --> 00:27:38,240
Speaker 1: Arkansas State Red Wolves a butch don't Kill My Vibe

600
00:27:38,240 --> 00:27:40,480
Speaker 1: Baby eight and five. Last year five and three in

601
00:27:40,560 --> 00:27:43,399
Speaker 1: the Belts, they win the Sixty Adventures Bowl over Bowling

602
00:27:43,400 --> 00:27:45,120
Speaker 1: Green in a shootout thirty eight thirty one.

603
00:27:45,560 --> 00:27:47,480
Speaker 2: Butch better have my money.

604
00:27:47,800 --> 00:27:49,719
Speaker 1: They're twenty six to one to win the Belt. Win

605
00:27:49,800 --> 00:27:52,440
Speaker 1: total at five and a half, five stars, returning most

606
00:27:52,520 --> 00:27:54,959
Speaker 1: on offense for on that side of the ball hundredth

607
00:27:55,240 --> 00:27:59,399
Speaker 1: and returning production seventy ninth on defense, though Jalen Rayner

608
00:27:59,560 --> 00:28:03,720
Speaker 1: chequees Corey Rucker. Somehow they kept their big three in Jonesborough.

609
00:28:03,880 --> 00:28:06,680
Speaker 1: I think all G five programs should take notes because

610
00:28:06,680 --> 00:28:08,840
Speaker 1: it seemed as though those guys were going to be

611
00:28:08,920 --> 00:28:11,200
Speaker 1: on the move when the portal opened, but they all

612
00:28:11,240 --> 00:28:13,960
Speaker 1: return This offense could be just as good or better

613
00:28:14,040 --> 00:28:17,359
Speaker 1: if offensive line coach Nick Grimes works some magic. Only

614
00:28:17,400 --> 00:28:19,879
Speaker 1: one returning starter up front, but they did portal in

615
00:28:20,119 --> 00:28:24,040
Speaker 1: three heavies from Arkansas, Tulane and Southern miss all those

616
00:28:24,040 --> 00:28:26,800
Speaker 1: three star kids. When the defense, though, when they faced

617
00:28:26,920 --> 00:28:29,199
Speaker 1: quality quarterback play, they got murdered. With the exception of

618
00:28:29,240 --> 00:28:33,160
Speaker 1: that weird eighteen sixteen game against South Alabama. Griff McCarley

619
00:28:33,200 --> 00:28:35,320
Speaker 1: gets a crack at calling plays, but he doesn't have

620
00:28:35,400 --> 00:28:37,720
Speaker 1: many reliable stoppers to work with on that side of

621
00:28:37,720 --> 00:28:41,040
Speaker 1: the ball. It's some interesting transfer pieces, namely Javonta Mackie,

622
00:28:41,040 --> 00:28:43,920
Speaker 1: who was with Arkansas State two years ago and safety

623
00:28:44,000 --> 00:28:47,040
Speaker 1: a g McGee for Marshall. Even if they win the

624
00:28:47,080 --> 00:28:50,160
Speaker 1: games they're supposed to win Southeast Missouri State at Kansaw,

625
00:28:50,360 --> 00:28:53,480
Speaker 1: at Monroe at Troy, ad Apps State, that's only five

626
00:28:53,520 --> 00:28:56,520
Speaker 1: wins and four of those games are on the road.

627
00:28:56,880 --> 00:29:00,600
Speaker 1: So we got paycheck games with Arkansas, Iowa State, Texas State,

628
00:29:00,600 --> 00:29:03,400
Speaker 1: Georgia Southern. I could go on. There are teams that

629
00:29:03,440 --> 00:29:06,200
Speaker 1: are going to be very difficult outs, and like I said,

630
00:29:06,280 --> 00:29:09,440
Speaker 1: when their potential gimmes are all on the road, I'm

631
00:29:09,520 --> 00:29:12,240
Speaker 1: leaning under here. Maybe it's just because of that one

632
00:29:12,280 --> 00:29:14,720
Speaker 1: year I was on Tennessee to I think win the

633
00:29:14,800 --> 00:29:18,040
Speaker 1: national championship. That was the Butch Jones year where they

634
00:29:18,200 --> 00:29:19,960
Speaker 1: just kept losing games that they were winning in the

635
00:29:20,000 --> 00:29:22,920
Speaker 1: fourth quarter. They blew lead to Oklahoma, they blew lead

636
00:29:22,960 --> 00:29:26,640
Speaker 1: to Florida in heartbreaking fashion. This guy's never gone well

637
00:29:26,680 --> 00:29:29,040
Speaker 1: for me when I backed him, and I faded him

638
00:29:29,080 --> 00:29:32,000
Speaker 1: strategically over the years. I think given the fact that

639
00:29:32,040 --> 00:29:35,680
Speaker 1: he's improved his win total every year thus far in Jonesboro,

640
00:29:35,960 --> 00:29:37,800
Speaker 1: I think this is finally time to get off of

641
00:29:37,800 --> 00:29:40,120
Speaker 1: the ride. I think, even though the offense still could

642
00:29:40,160 --> 00:29:43,800
Speaker 1: be quite good. This defense has massive holes and I

643
00:29:43,840 --> 00:29:47,880
Speaker 1: don't love the situational spots to play here on Arkansas State.

644
00:29:47,920 --> 00:29:50,760
Speaker 1: What do you think, Josh, Yeah.

645
00:29:50,520 --> 00:29:52,360
Speaker 3: It's a play I made earlier in the summer, and

646
00:29:52,400 --> 00:29:56,000
Speaker 3: the current line is still with respectable juice, so I

647
00:29:56,040 --> 00:29:58,440
Speaker 3: would still support the position under five and a half here.

648
00:29:58,920 --> 00:30:00,600
Speaker 3: I think when you look at what our Arkansas State

649
00:30:00,640 --> 00:30:03,320
Speaker 3: did last season, they had just so many fortuitous breaks

650
00:30:03,360 --> 00:30:05,720
Speaker 3: go their way. They won eight games, but for those

651
00:30:05,760 --> 00:30:07,959
Speaker 3: games you could make a strong argument they should not

652
00:30:08,040 --> 00:30:10,520
Speaker 3: have won. Took a miracle for them to beat Central Arkansas,

653
00:30:10,520 --> 00:30:13,280
Speaker 3: and the opener they didn't deserve to beat Tulsa. There

654
00:30:13,320 --> 00:30:18,000
Speaker 3: was just a stunning, poorly performed and situationally coached game

655
00:30:18,040 --> 00:30:21,800
Speaker 3: by South Alabama where Arkansas State defeated them. They beat

656
00:30:21,840 --> 00:30:23,840
Speaker 3: Troy by three in a game they probably should not

657
00:30:23,880 --> 00:30:29,120
Speaker 3: have won, and the breaks went their way more often

658
00:30:29,120 --> 00:30:33,120
Speaker 3: than not last season. I personally don't think that the

659
00:30:33,160 --> 00:30:39,400
Speaker 3: offensive line played particularly well during stretches last year. They

660
00:30:39,440 --> 00:30:42,280
Speaker 3: allowed way too much havoc seventy tackles for lost, thirty

661
00:30:42,280 --> 00:30:47,120
Speaker 3: five sacks surrendered, and they it was kind of a

662
00:30:47,120 --> 00:30:49,760
Speaker 3: flash in the pan when they were successful offensively. I

663
00:30:49,760 --> 00:30:52,640
Speaker 3: didn't see a lot that I thought I can really

664
00:30:52,640 --> 00:30:55,360
Speaker 3: consistently bank on in the run game, and now they

665
00:30:55,400 --> 00:30:58,400
Speaker 3: lose the influx of talent along the offensive line, for

666
00:30:58,640 --> 00:31:01,840
Speaker 3: the top receivers are gone, along with their top running

667
00:31:01,840 --> 00:31:05,200
Speaker 3: back from last season. But really defensively, I think they're

668
00:31:05,240 --> 00:31:07,680
Speaker 3: going to take a big step back, completely rebuilt along

669
00:31:07,720 --> 00:31:11,000
Speaker 3: the defensive line and a unit that was just really

670
00:31:11,040 --> 00:31:14,360
Speaker 3: not good last season. Nineteen sacks secured sixty five tackles

671
00:31:14,360 --> 00:31:19,080
Speaker 3: for loss, which is not elite. Five point seven yards

672
00:31:19,080 --> 00:31:20,960
Speaker 3: per carry on the ground. You could run on this

673
00:31:21,040 --> 00:31:23,640
Speaker 3: defense anytime that you wanted, and I think that'll continue

674
00:31:23,720 --> 00:31:28,480
Speaker 3: yet again this season. The linebacker room looks weaker. It's

675
00:31:28,480 --> 00:31:31,640
Speaker 3: a completely rebuilt front seven. Just not something I'm wanting

676
00:31:31,640 --> 00:31:33,600
Speaker 3: to bank on. When you look at the schedule, for me,

677
00:31:34,240 --> 00:31:36,200
Speaker 3: I think it's two and two in the non conference,

678
00:31:36,240 --> 00:31:41,040
Speaker 3: with tough games against Arkansas and Iowa State. Colin You

679
00:31:41,080 --> 00:31:43,680
Speaker 3: can chime in on Arkansas later, as these two programs

680
00:31:43,720 --> 00:31:45,840
Speaker 3: have never played each other in football, so I'm interested

681
00:31:45,880 --> 00:31:50,160
Speaker 3: to get your thoughts there. But the conference games at

682
00:31:50,200 --> 00:31:54,680
Speaker 3: home are brutal Texas State, Georgia, Southern Southern miss and Louisiana,

683
00:31:54,720 --> 00:31:56,800
Speaker 3: all at home, so it makes your winnables on the road.

684
00:31:57,160 --> 00:32:00,280
Speaker 3: This program has been terrible on the road for some time,

685
00:32:00,360 --> 00:32:02,520
Speaker 3: and I just don't think you can bank on them

686
00:32:02,560 --> 00:32:05,160
Speaker 3: going out and winning four road games to secure the

687
00:32:05,200 --> 00:32:07,600
Speaker 3: over here. I think that you saw a team that

688
00:32:07,680 --> 00:32:09,960
Speaker 3: was very fortuitous and a lot of their wins last season.

689
00:32:10,040 --> 00:32:12,200
Speaker 3: The defense is set to take a major step back.

690
00:32:12,600 --> 00:32:14,120
Speaker 3: Give me under five and a half. This is not

691
00:32:14,200 --> 00:32:16,600
Speaker 3: a bull team this season. Despite some of the flashy

692
00:32:16,800 --> 00:32:20,040
Speaker 3: players they have on offense that you are fun to watch.

693
00:32:20,760 --> 00:32:23,520
Speaker 1: It's right there on the cusp of bowl eligibilities. Are

694
00:32:23,520 --> 00:32:25,960
Speaker 1: they sitting at home colin during the holidays or are

695
00:32:25,960 --> 00:32:27,000
Speaker 1: they playing in a bowl game?

696
00:32:28,880 --> 00:32:30,400
Speaker 2: They're not playing in a bowl game. But I will

697
00:32:30,400 --> 00:32:34,000
Speaker 2: say this just put a message into you people on

698
00:32:34,040 --> 00:32:36,120
Speaker 2: the other side of the state over in Jonesborough. All right,

699
00:32:36,920 --> 00:32:40,120
Speaker 2: when I got out of college, First off, Frank Broyle's

700
00:32:40,280 --> 00:32:42,520
Speaker 2: former ad for like a billion years and former player

701
00:32:42,600 --> 00:32:45,720
Speaker 2: on our national championship sixty fourteen, he wouldn't even acknowledge

702
00:32:45,720 --> 00:32:47,560
Speaker 2: that there were other colleges in the state of Arkansas.

703
00:32:47,600 --> 00:32:49,840
Speaker 2: And he's sure as hell wouldn't acknowledge Arkansas State wanted

704
00:32:49,880 --> 00:32:52,040
Speaker 2: to play us in basketball or football. Ever, this game

705
00:32:52,080 --> 00:32:54,440
Speaker 2: would have never happened. We would go down pay ULM

706
00:32:54,480 --> 00:32:57,240
Speaker 2: a billion dollars even to come beat us in little Rocks.

707
00:32:57,240 --> 00:32:59,479
Speaker 2: Some years, we would have never acknowledged that Arkansas State

708
00:32:59,520 --> 00:33:01,520
Speaker 2: has a program. Because of a recruiting perspective and the

709
00:33:01,520 --> 00:33:03,640
Speaker 2: fact that Arkansas keeps losing out on recruits and we're

710
00:33:03,640 --> 00:33:07,560
Speaker 2: playing Arkansas State. I'm just still questioning, Hunter, what are

711
00:33:07,600 --> 00:33:11,440
Speaker 2: we doing? Anyways, we're playing this game. And I will

712
00:33:11,520 --> 00:33:13,360
Speaker 2: say this as a little SEC preview because Stuck he

713
00:33:13,440 --> 00:33:15,600
Speaker 2: touched on it in our first Pickoff podcast about what

714
00:33:15,600 --> 00:33:18,840
Speaker 2: happens if Arkansas State wins. Arkansas has the worst defensive

715
00:33:18,840 --> 00:33:20,720
Speaker 2: line in all of the SEC, and they can't get

716
00:33:20,720 --> 00:33:23,840
Speaker 2: pressure on this Arkansas State offensive line, the Hogs aren't

717
00:33:23,840 --> 00:33:26,000
Speaker 2: gonna win a single game. So I'll just keep that

718
00:33:26,040 --> 00:33:28,200
Speaker 2: in the back of your head. Plus you people in Jonesboro,

719
00:33:28,440 --> 00:33:31,000
Speaker 2: just chill out. And the reason I'm saying chill out

720
00:33:31,120 --> 00:33:34,640
Speaker 2: is because after I got out of college, Arkansas State

721
00:33:34,880 --> 00:33:38,239
Speaker 2: and Arkansas played in women's basketball, all right, And it

722
00:33:38,280 --> 00:33:41,160
Speaker 2: was like nineteen ninety seven, ninety no, it was like

723
00:33:41,160 --> 00:33:43,000
Speaker 2: two thousand, I don't know what year it was. It

724
00:33:43,040 --> 00:33:45,080
Speaker 2: was postseason It's not like we scheduled them. It was

725
00:33:45,120 --> 00:33:47,160
Speaker 2: some sort of n it game, some shit like that.

726
00:33:47,720 --> 00:33:51,480
Speaker 2: The Arkansas State women's basketball team beat Arkansas women's basketball

727
00:33:51,920 --> 00:33:53,880
Speaker 2: and you know what they did over there, They made

728
00:33:53,960 --> 00:33:57,680
Speaker 2: DVDs and they sold them on every bookshelf in the

729
00:33:57,720 --> 00:34:00,800
Speaker 2: state of Arkansas. Because you're women's basketball team beat Arkansas

730
00:34:00,840 --> 00:34:03,720
Speaker 2: women's basketball. Chill out over there on the other side

731
00:34:03,720 --> 00:34:06,400
Speaker 2: of the state. Know your role and hang out in

732
00:34:06,480 --> 00:34:09,560
Speaker 2: Jonesborough and don't come this way. All right, that's all

733
00:34:09,600 --> 00:34:12,120
Speaker 2: I gotta say about Arkansas State and that Arkansas game.

734
00:34:13,080 --> 00:34:14,839
Speaker 2: Get me fired up, and we still got six weeks ago,

735
00:34:14,880 --> 00:34:17,080
Speaker 2: all right. I project Arkansas State at three point seven.

736
00:34:17,120 --> 00:34:18,839
Speaker 2: Don't like anything about this offense. The only thing good

737
00:34:18,880 --> 00:34:21,239
Speaker 2: about this offense is that Jalen Rainer comes back. He

738
00:34:21,239 --> 00:34:23,960
Speaker 2: gets Corey Rucker out at wide out one hundred and

739
00:34:23,960 --> 00:34:26,400
Speaker 2: thirteen targets two point three yards per route run. That

740
00:34:26,640 --> 00:34:29,560
Speaker 2: is the entire offense. Because the offensive line returns thirty

741
00:34:29,560 --> 00:34:34,600
Speaker 2: three starts. It's not even lawn chairworthy. It's olay. Let

742
00:34:34,680 --> 00:34:37,640
Speaker 2: him run through. And with the tempo of this offense

743
00:34:37,719 --> 00:34:40,319
Speaker 2: being seventeenth fastest in the nation, they're gonna have Jalen

744
00:34:40,360 --> 00:34:41,839
Speaker 2: Rainer is gonna have to fire the ball faster, He's

745
00:34:41,840 --> 00:34:43,720
Speaker 2: gonna have to take off run. That's gonna be the offense.

746
00:34:44,040 --> 00:34:46,040
Speaker 2: Defensive scheme change to the four two five we mentioned.

747
00:34:46,080 --> 00:34:49,440
Speaker 2: Griff McCarley taking over here could be the worst defensive

748
00:34:49,440 --> 00:34:51,720
Speaker 2: line and secondary in the Sunbelt. So I can't really

749
00:34:51,719 --> 00:34:54,879
Speaker 2: have any can't really have any hope that they're gonna

750
00:34:54,880 --> 00:34:57,279
Speaker 2: get anything done from that perspective. But if you're a

751
00:34:57,280 --> 00:35:00,399
Speaker 2: second order win total guy, you're somebody that goes into

752
00:35:00,400 --> 00:35:03,160
Speaker 2: box scores and looks at win probabilities and factoring that

753
00:35:03,200 --> 00:35:05,560
Speaker 2: into next year. Six and zero and one possession games

754
00:35:05,640 --> 00:35:09,840
Speaker 2: last year, that is market indicators pointing down. Both Texas

755
00:35:09,840 --> 00:35:12,400
Speaker 2: State and Southern Myss come to Jonesboro off by weeks.

756
00:35:12,760 --> 00:35:15,160
Speaker 2: You draw Georgia Southern app State from the other division.

757
00:35:15,239 --> 00:35:18,440
Speaker 2: That's not the easiest games. So there's nothing I like

758
00:35:18,480 --> 00:35:20,399
Speaker 2: about this team. I went under five and a half.

759
00:35:20,480 --> 00:35:23,080
Speaker 2: I think because I was so focused on college baseball,

760
00:35:23,080 --> 00:35:25,120
Speaker 2: I had to eat some bad juice. I would have

761
00:35:25,120 --> 00:35:26,839
Speaker 2: preferred something better, but I would still play under five.

762
00:35:26,880 --> 00:35:28,400
Speaker 2: When the alternates come out, I play under four and

763
00:35:28,440 --> 00:35:30,640
Speaker 2: a half. I projected three points oven and by the way,

764
00:35:30,960 --> 00:35:33,239
Speaker 2: chill out week two when you play Arkansas. Okay, just

765
00:35:33,280 --> 00:35:34,759
Speaker 2: know your role and hang out over there by the

766
00:35:34,760 --> 00:35:37,480
Speaker 2: Mississippi River and do whatever it is you people do

767
00:35:37,480 --> 00:35:41,479
Speaker 2: in jont throw whoo pig silly in Little Rock?

768
00:35:41,560 --> 00:35:43,080
Speaker 3: Colin, are they going to show up for that one?

769
00:35:43,120 --> 00:35:45,279
Speaker 3: That's Jonesborough, faithful? Going to show up in Little Rock

770
00:35:45,280 --> 00:35:47,640
Speaker 3: for that game that the Razorbacks don't like to travel

771
00:35:47,640 --> 00:35:48,880
Speaker 3: to each season?

772
00:35:49,280 --> 00:35:51,800
Speaker 2: Yeah? You know, we actually lose money playing games and

773
00:35:51,880 --> 00:35:54,560
Speaker 2: more memorial Like this is just the stupidest rule. Like

774
00:35:55,000 --> 00:35:59,279
Speaker 2: towns like McGee and Dumas and Monticello, like you have

775
00:35:59,360 --> 00:36:01,520
Speaker 2: to play games in so that we can see our team.

776
00:36:01,680 --> 00:36:04,839
Speaker 2: Just buck up, put a little extra gas in the RV,

777
00:36:05,040 --> 00:36:07,040
Speaker 2: and get your ass up to fable. We actually lose

778
00:36:07,080 --> 00:36:09,560
Speaker 2: a million dollars playing in a war memorial. Knock it

779
00:36:09,600 --> 00:36:11,560
Speaker 2: off with this war memorial crap. All right, that's where

780
00:36:11,560 --> 00:36:14,560
Speaker 2: the high school teams play their championship. Make Arkansas State

781
00:36:14,600 --> 00:36:17,760
Speaker 2: come over to Donald w all right, you have two

782
00:36:17,800 --> 00:36:21,760
Speaker 2: scoreboards bigger than the earth. What are we doing playing

783
00:36:21,800 --> 00:36:25,600
Speaker 2: in that garbage can of war memorial? We are not

784
00:36:25,680 --> 00:36:27,279
Speaker 2: losing that game against Arkansas State.

785
00:36:27,640 --> 00:36:29,960
Speaker 1: I'm speaking of losing. I think I've lost control of

786
00:36:30,000 --> 00:36:32,239
Speaker 1: this episode, but I still got time for an ad

787
00:36:32,280 --> 00:36:34,640
Speaker 1: Red here. Football season is here, folks, and we've got

788
00:36:34,640 --> 00:36:37,799
Speaker 1: some huge improvements and updates for the award winning Action

789
00:36:37,880 --> 00:36:40,239
Speaker 1: Network app, and we're very excited to discuss those in

790
00:36:40,280 --> 00:36:42,440
Speaker 1: the weeks ahead. But to get the most out of

791
00:36:42,440 --> 00:36:44,600
Speaker 1: the app, you'll need to start by being an Action

792
00:36:44,719 --> 00:36:47,359
Speaker 1: Pro subscriber. It's only with Action Pro that you get

793
00:36:47,400 --> 00:36:50,200
Speaker 1: real time pick alerts for me, Duck, Stuck, and Colin

794
00:36:50,239 --> 00:36:53,160
Speaker 1: in the entire Action Network team of experts. Plus you

795
00:36:53,160 --> 00:36:56,200
Speaker 1: can access pro projections powered by Sean Kerner and his

796
00:36:56,280 --> 00:36:59,440
Speaker 1: predictive analytics team, plus a million other benefits. And right

797
00:36:59,480 --> 00:37:02,360
Speaker 1: now BBC listeners can save twenty dollars off the annual

798
00:37:02,440 --> 00:37:05,520
Speaker 1: price of Action Pro. Just go to Action Network dot

799
00:37:05,560 --> 00:37:09,840
Speaker 1: com Slash Pro and use code BBOC twenty. That's Actionnetwork

800
00:37:09,880 --> 00:37:14,040
Speaker 1: dot Com Slash Pro and use code BBOC twenty for

801
00:37:14,160 --> 00:37:18,279
Speaker 1: twenty dollars off the annual price of Action Pro. We

802
00:37:18,360 --> 00:37:20,879
Speaker 1: turned out to the South Alabama Jaguars seven and six

803
00:37:21,000 --> 00:37:23,680
Speaker 1: last season five and three and the Belts Salute to

804
00:37:23,760 --> 00:37:27,239
Speaker 1: Veterans Bowl win over Western Michigan thirty to twenty three.

805
00:37:27,520 --> 00:37:29,240
Speaker 1: Plus six to fifty to win the Belt. This season,

806
00:37:29,360 --> 00:37:31,360
Speaker 1: win total at six and a half, seven stars, returning

807
00:37:31,400 --> 00:37:34,680
Speaker 1: four on offense, three on defense, sixty eighth in returning production,

808
00:37:34,920 --> 00:37:39,160
Speaker 1: fiftieth on offense, sixty seconds on defense. No go Lopez,

809
00:37:39,600 --> 00:37:42,200
Speaker 1: no fluff Bath. Well, they get plucked by North Carolina

810
00:37:42,239 --> 00:37:46,840
Speaker 1: Mississippi State, respectively. How do they reload duck the South

811
00:37:46,880 --> 00:37:53,759
Speaker 1: Alabama Jaguars.

812
00:37:54,239 --> 00:37:55,239
Speaker 2: I think it'll be really hard.

813
00:37:55,280 --> 00:37:57,000
Speaker 3: I think when you look at the portal losses, they're

814
00:37:57,040 --> 00:38:01,320
Speaker 3: just absolutely massive with fluff and geogon. Jamal Pritchett receiver

815
00:38:01,480 --> 00:38:05,800
Speaker 3: is gone, They've got all three levels of the defense

816
00:38:05,840 --> 00:38:08,360
Speaker 3: were poached. They brought in twenty three players in the portal,

817
00:38:08,400 --> 00:38:10,759
Speaker 3: but the talent level is just not infused with what

818
00:38:10,800 --> 00:38:12,640
Speaker 3: they lost, and so I think the nucleus of this

819
00:38:12,680 --> 00:38:15,839
Speaker 3: team takes a step back. Last season was up and down,

820
00:38:15,920 --> 00:38:19,839
Speaker 3: but really more disappointing in my opinion than anything else.

821
00:38:19,880 --> 00:38:24,440
Speaker 3: When you had disappointing non conference losses against North Texas

822
00:38:24,480 --> 00:38:29,240
Speaker 3: and Ohio, followed by stunning conference losses against Arkansas State

823
00:38:29,680 --> 00:38:33,080
Speaker 3: and then a complete collapse against Georgia Southern, where really

824
00:38:33,160 --> 00:38:35,120
Speaker 3: the motif of last season. It was a team that

825
00:38:35,160 --> 00:38:38,239
Speaker 3: should have been a little bit better in conference play

826
00:38:38,320 --> 00:38:40,359
Speaker 3: than they were, and then with a chance to still

827
00:38:40,360 --> 00:38:43,040
Speaker 3: make the Sun Belt Championship game last season, hosting Texas

828
00:38:43,040 --> 00:38:45,640
Speaker 3: State the day after Thanksgiving, just completely no showed there.

829
00:38:45,680 --> 00:38:48,040
Speaker 3: So really disappointing for that group. And now the talent

830
00:38:48,160 --> 00:38:50,400
Speaker 3: infusion is not there, and they lose a ton of

831
00:38:50,400 --> 00:38:55,280
Speaker 3: players defensively. The Darius Webb is gone, Jaden Voyceen is gone,

832
00:38:55,640 --> 00:38:59,480
Speaker 3: Jordan Shruggs is gone. There's just too much lost here

833
00:38:59,560 --> 00:39:02,360
Speaker 3: for me to really get excited about this. Not really

834
00:39:02,760 --> 00:39:04,719
Speaker 3: in love with what Paul Patrino was going to bring

835
00:39:04,760 --> 00:39:08,439
Speaker 3: with the slow paced, balanced pro style offense. I don't

836
00:39:08,440 --> 00:39:11,560
Speaker 3: think it fits the skill set very well. A team

837
00:39:11,600 --> 00:39:16,200
Speaker 3: that was already bad at times in situational football offensively

838
00:39:16,400 --> 00:39:19,640
Speaker 3: thirty eight percent on third down, had tons of empty

839
00:39:20,280 --> 00:39:23,280
Speaker 3: red zone possessions. I just don't see it happening this season.

840
00:39:23,640 --> 00:39:26,600
Speaker 3: There's too much loss defensively. The schedule sets up quite

841
00:39:26,600 --> 00:39:29,520
Speaker 3: poorly for me, with a tough non conference games against

842
00:39:29,560 --> 00:39:33,520
Speaker 3: Tulane and Auburn, which are almost sure losses. I think

843
00:39:33,560 --> 00:39:35,560
Speaker 3: they're going to lose against North Texas later on in

844
00:39:35,600 --> 00:39:37,960
Speaker 3: the season. They play the first six weeks, so they

845
00:39:37,960 --> 00:39:39,359
Speaker 3: could be suck and win when they have to go

846
00:39:39,360 --> 00:39:41,319
Speaker 3: to Troy on back to back and really looking for

847
00:39:41,320 --> 00:39:43,520
Speaker 3: that bye week, and then the last two games of

848
00:39:43,560 --> 00:39:46,520
Speaker 3: the season are against stronger opponents in Southern Miss and

849
00:39:46,560 --> 00:39:49,120
Speaker 3: Texas State. Just seems like a schedule where they're looking

850
00:39:49,160 --> 00:39:51,640
Speaker 3: up at a lot of the tougher opponents, and it's

851
00:39:51,680 --> 00:39:53,880
Speaker 3: going to be really hard for me to see this

852
00:39:53,960 --> 00:39:56,680
Speaker 3: schedule necessitating enough to get over the win total. I

853
00:39:56,719 --> 00:39:58,920
Speaker 3: did bet this win total very very early on when

854
00:39:58,920 --> 00:40:01,520
Speaker 3: it was released at seven half. I'd still go back

855
00:40:01,560 --> 00:40:03,600
Speaker 3: for more at six and a half. I think that

856
00:40:03,920 --> 00:40:06,320
Speaker 3: this team is fighting and clying and scratching to try

857
00:40:06,760 --> 00:40:08,560
Speaker 3: like hell to get to a bowl game this season.

858
00:40:08,600 --> 00:40:10,799
Speaker 3: Six and six looks like the absolute ceiling for me,

859
00:40:10,880 --> 00:40:12,520
Speaker 3: so I'd still go under six and a half here

860
00:40:12,520 --> 00:40:15,040
Speaker 3: with South Alabama.

861
00:40:14,160 --> 00:40:16,960
Speaker 1: Major apple White, he always gets seven or eight wins

862
00:40:17,000 --> 00:40:18,839
Speaker 1: at least that's been his mo as a head coach.

863
00:40:18,880 --> 00:40:21,319
Speaker 1: Do you think it's a repeat here for apple White

864
00:40:21,520 --> 00:40:24,200
Speaker 1: or is this the first rebuilding year truly as a

865
00:40:24,200 --> 00:40:24,920
Speaker 1: head coach for him?

866
00:40:24,960 --> 00:40:28,520
Speaker 2: Colin, I actually like South Alabama. I'm just waiting for

867
00:40:28,640 --> 00:40:30,440
Speaker 2: the market to drop more. I would like it. If

868
00:40:30,440 --> 00:40:31,799
Speaker 2: it went to six and a half, I'd like to

869
00:40:31,800 --> 00:40:35,360
Speaker 2: take the over. I actually project South Alabama just shy

870
00:40:35,560 --> 00:40:37,600
Speaker 2: of seven and a half wins, and I have I

871
00:40:37,600 --> 00:40:39,400
Speaker 2: think six games where I think they're favored by a

872
00:40:39,440 --> 00:40:43,280
Speaker 2: TD like I've got them favored pretty heavy over Coastal Carolina.

873
00:40:43,320 --> 00:40:45,719
Speaker 2: I've got them favored a big time over Morgan State.

874
00:40:45,760 --> 00:40:47,640
Speaker 2: Of course, that Southern Myss they're hosting, But what is

875
00:40:47,680 --> 00:40:49,960
Speaker 2: Southern Myss By the time November twenty second comes around

876
00:40:50,600 --> 00:40:52,719
Speaker 2: on the road at Georgia State, I mean, that's another game.

877
00:40:52,719 --> 00:40:54,600
Speaker 2: It's a batspot for Georgia State. There are games on

878
00:40:54,640 --> 00:40:57,239
Speaker 2: here that I think are completely winnable. Zach Pyron coming

879
00:40:57,239 --> 00:40:59,600
Speaker 2: in after not winning the Minnesota job. I don't think

880
00:41:00,040 --> 00:41:02,360
Speaker 2: he's going to be the starting quarterback because Bishop Davenport

881
00:41:02,440 --> 00:41:04,320
Speaker 2: was just excellent the Bowlgie. I was watching this thinking,

882
00:41:04,320 --> 00:41:07,839
Speaker 2: Holy cow this. I mean even at Go Lopez Leaves,

883
00:41:07,840 --> 00:41:10,560
Speaker 2: we're pretty good. Paul Petrino coming in as offensive coordinator,

884
00:41:10,640 --> 00:41:12,440
Speaker 2: but it's still major Apple White system. I think what

885
00:41:12,520 --> 00:41:15,160
Speaker 2: we're overlooking is that even though that fluff Bothwell isn't there.

886
00:41:15,440 --> 00:41:17,839
Speaker 2: Kinrall Bullock has some really good numbers at running back,

887
00:41:18,120 --> 00:41:20,279
Speaker 2: this is an offensive line that's fifty second in the NATE.

888
00:41:20,320 --> 00:41:22,440
Speaker 2: It gets fifty second starts back that's eighty fourth of

889
00:41:22,480 --> 00:41:24,719
Speaker 2: the nation, So it isn't that bad. But there is

890
00:41:24,760 --> 00:41:27,279
Speaker 2: holes on this defensive line. They have edges that are

891
00:41:27,280 --> 00:41:28,960
Speaker 2: blow two hundred and fifty pounds. That gives me a

892
00:41:28,960 --> 00:41:31,200
Speaker 2: little worried D two experience on here too, of the

893
00:41:31,200 --> 00:41:34,480
Speaker 2: top fourteen tacklers are back. So definitely soul searching on

894
00:41:34,520 --> 00:41:36,520
Speaker 2: the defensive side of the ball. But again, like I said,

895
00:41:36,560 --> 00:41:39,840
Speaker 2: I have six games where I make South Alabama around

896
00:41:39,920 --> 00:41:43,200
Speaker 2: a six point favorite or more, which tells me if

897
00:41:43,239 --> 00:41:46,360
Speaker 2: I can get this alt total or the total in general,

898
00:41:46,400 --> 00:41:48,879
Speaker 2: if I can get this massive duck followers to push

899
00:41:48,880 --> 00:41:50,520
Speaker 2: that thing down to six and a half, I could

900
00:41:50,560 --> 00:41:53,279
Speaker 2: be entertained into going over six and a half. I

901
00:41:53,280 --> 00:41:56,120
Speaker 2: would really like to hear Bishop Davenport's name as the

902
00:41:56,160 --> 00:41:58,960
Speaker 2: starter around August twentieth, and then I'd be more inclined

903
00:41:59,000 --> 00:42:00,600
Speaker 2: to fire. All right.

904
00:42:00,640 --> 00:42:03,200
Speaker 1: We turned to the Troy Trojans four to eight last season,

905
00:42:03,280 --> 00:42:05,480
Speaker 1: three and five in the Belt, thirteen to one to

906
00:42:05,520 --> 00:42:07,239
Speaker 1: win the conference this season, and went till was sitting

907
00:42:07,280 --> 00:42:09,880
Speaker 1: at five and a half ninth Stars returning four on offense,

908
00:42:09,920 --> 00:42:13,400
Speaker 1: five on defense, nineteenth in returning production forty third on offense,

909
00:42:13,440 --> 00:42:16,920
Speaker 1: top twenty on defense. A Rockies start for Jared Parker

910
00:42:17,000 --> 00:42:19,000
Speaker 1: ended in optimism with the three and one finished, the

911
00:42:19,000 --> 00:42:22,400
Speaker 1: offense finally started to score, and their situational stats like

912
00:42:22,440 --> 00:42:25,520
Speaker 1: third downs in red zone efficiency, they were fantastic, top

913
00:42:25,560 --> 00:42:28,600
Speaker 1: ten nationally in both. That's usually a sign of quality coaching.

914
00:42:28,920 --> 00:42:32,000
Speaker 1: But they do have weapons to replace surrounding Goose Crowder.

915
00:42:32,280 --> 00:42:33,960
Speaker 1: Are they going to be able to replicate some of

916
00:42:34,000 --> 00:42:37,880
Speaker 1: the positivity that ended last season. That's to be seen

917
00:42:38,280 --> 00:42:40,640
Speaker 1: because losing Ross to Penn State is a massive blow.

918
00:42:40,719 --> 00:42:44,160
Speaker 1: Daniel King to North Carolina at tackle is also problematic

919
00:42:44,200 --> 00:42:46,680
Speaker 1: in terms of keeping Goose upright this season. You can

920
00:42:46,719 --> 00:42:49,120
Speaker 1: make a strong argument that this overall roster, three of

921
00:42:49,120 --> 00:42:52,000
Speaker 1: their top five best players in the entire roster are

922
00:42:52,040 --> 00:42:55,600
Speaker 1: at linebacker and dB. When I look at the schedule, though,

923
00:42:55,760 --> 00:42:58,160
Speaker 1: you could argue that there's ten toss up games. You

924
00:42:58,239 --> 00:43:00,560
Speaker 1: got the wover Nickels, you got the clear loss. They're

925
00:43:00,560 --> 00:43:03,080
Speaker 1: going to get dropped by Clemson. Outside of that, a

926
00:43:03,120 --> 00:43:05,360
Speaker 1: lot of possibilities, a lot of variance with the schedule.

927
00:43:05,400 --> 00:43:07,440
Speaker 1: It's a pass for me. For that reason, I think

928
00:43:07,480 --> 00:43:10,160
Speaker 1: there's a chance they get to five and seven, six

929
00:43:10,200 --> 00:43:12,520
Speaker 1: and six, seven and five into that sweet spot. I

930
00:43:12,560 --> 00:43:15,360
Speaker 1: think this is priced accurately. What do you think calling Well, I.

931
00:43:15,360 --> 00:43:16,680
Speaker 2: Have an agree with you. I'm going to pass on

932
00:43:16,680 --> 00:43:19,520
Speaker 2: them because I make the total, you know, around six.

933
00:43:19,920 --> 00:43:21,600
Speaker 2: It says that I should go over five and a half.

934
00:43:21,680 --> 00:43:23,200
Speaker 2: But at the same time, I would like to know

935
00:43:23,239 --> 00:43:25,160
Speaker 2: what the health of this team is. After Week two

936
00:43:25,160 --> 00:43:28,480
Speaker 2: against Clemson, that defensive line is going to eat this

937
00:43:28,600 --> 00:43:32,160
Speaker 2: Troy offense like a game of Miss pac Man. After that,

938
00:43:32,320 --> 00:43:34,440
Speaker 2: you're going to go and Kevin Memphis offense. It's going

939
00:43:34,480 --> 00:43:35,880
Speaker 2: to try and run you up and down the field.

940
00:43:36,160 --> 00:43:38,360
Speaker 2: Come back to me on September fourteenth, tell me what

941
00:43:38,360 --> 00:43:40,359
Speaker 2: the health of this roster is. Does Girod Parker have

942
00:43:40,640 --> 00:43:42,719
Speaker 2: because intendant starter is still healthy enough to play the

943
00:43:42,760 --> 00:43:45,520
Speaker 2: rest of the season, I'd be more inclined to bet

944
00:43:45,560 --> 00:43:47,120
Speaker 2: them from then on because you're right there are so

945
00:43:47,280 --> 00:43:49,839
Speaker 2: I've got what seven point loss games. I mean, it's

946
00:43:49,880 --> 00:43:52,680
Speaker 2: just it's way too much for me. Nichols and Georgia

947
00:43:52,680 --> 00:43:54,760
Speaker 2: State the only games where I've got projected to Troy

948
00:43:55,160 --> 00:43:57,439
Speaker 2: as a double digit favorite. So there's just seven games

949
00:43:57,440 --> 00:43:59,839
Speaker 2: where four points spread are less. Can't get into it.

950
00:44:00,080 --> 00:44:02,360
Speaker 2: But again, it's one of those things where I'd like

951
00:44:02,400 --> 00:44:05,000
Speaker 2: to see a healthy roster after Clemson a Memphis, and

952
00:44:05,040 --> 00:44:07,799
Speaker 2: then I'll be ready to roll for potentially some dip

953
00:44:07,840 --> 00:44:10,239
Speaker 2: spots if they look bad against those two teams, which

954
00:44:10,280 --> 00:44:13,000
Speaker 2: they should for good reason. So if they do and

955
00:44:13,000 --> 00:44:15,680
Speaker 2: they're healthy, I'll be betting them come September twentieth, probably

956
00:44:15,680 --> 00:44:16,440
Speaker 2: against Buffalo.

957
00:44:16,960 --> 00:44:19,600
Speaker 1: It's been more than four months since International Women's Day,

958
00:44:19,600 --> 00:44:21,640
Speaker 1: so I appreciate you throwing out misspac Man, not the

959
00:44:21,719 --> 00:44:23,960
Speaker 1: regular male dominated pac Man.

960
00:44:24,200 --> 00:44:24,399
Speaker 2: Douck.

961
00:44:24,480 --> 00:44:25,960
Speaker 1: What do you think on Troy this year?

962
00:44:26,400 --> 00:44:28,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, it really comes down to the health of the quarterbacks.

963
00:44:28,560 --> 00:44:30,840
Speaker 3: Last year they just battle with injuries with Goose Crowder

964
00:44:31,880 --> 00:44:33,719
Speaker 3: just not being able to stay healthy and so it

965
00:44:33,800 --> 00:44:36,399
Speaker 3: really handcuffed them early on in the season. I think

966
00:44:36,400 --> 00:44:39,120
Speaker 3: there is a little bit of an infuse of talent

967
00:44:39,200 --> 00:44:42,400
Speaker 3: here offensively with Rob rot Thomas coming in from Georgia,

968
00:44:42,480 --> 00:44:44,560
Speaker 3: Trey Cooley coming from Georgia Tech. So they do have

969
00:44:44,560 --> 00:44:46,520
Speaker 3: some pieces offensively that they can kind of hang their

970
00:44:46,560 --> 00:44:48,880
Speaker 3: hat on as long as the Goose can stay healthy.

971
00:44:49,800 --> 00:44:52,160
Speaker 3: When they come up to Sun Belt play. I think

972
00:44:52,200 --> 00:44:56,279
Speaker 3: that they could be okay. I think we talked about

973
00:44:56,280 --> 00:44:57,719
Speaker 3: the win total at five and a half. It's a

974
00:44:57,760 --> 00:45:00,400
Speaker 3: pass for me because I actually have this group pegged

975
00:45:00,400 --> 00:45:03,040
Speaker 3: at one in three in the non conference. So if

976
00:45:03,040 --> 00:45:05,680
Speaker 3: you like over, I would isolate the conference wins, which

977
00:45:05,719 --> 00:45:08,440
Speaker 3: is three and a half. I think there's five conference

978
00:45:08,480 --> 00:45:11,720
Speaker 3: games that this unit really would feel good about their chances,

979
00:45:11,760 --> 00:45:13,920
Speaker 3: and many of those games are at home. So if

980
00:45:13,920 --> 00:45:15,520
Speaker 3: you want to go over on the win total, I'd

981
00:45:15,560 --> 00:45:17,560
Speaker 3: isolate the conference win total and go over three and

982
00:45:17,600 --> 00:45:21,200
Speaker 3: a half, which is still widely available. Defensively, they're going

983
00:45:21,280 --> 00:45:23,040
Speaker 3: to have to create a little more pressure up front.

984
00:45:23,080 --> 00:45:25,799
Speaker 3: They have some good talent that came in from some

985
00:45:25,840 --> 00:45:29,080
Speaker 3: P four schools that they can try to build something around. Defensively,

986
00:45:29,120 --> 00:45:33,200
Speaker 3: I don't have really a ton else on this group,

987
00:45:33,360 --> 00:45:35,920
Speaker 3: but I think that there are pieces to work with here,

988
00:45:36,120 --> 00:45:38,480
Speaker 3: and if anything, I'd go over three and a half

989
00:45:38,520 --> 00:45:39,480
Speaker 3: conference wins.

990
00:45:39,440 --> 00:45:42,720
Speaker 1: If they get to bowl eligibility. Listen, college football gods

991
00:45:42,800 --> 00:45:45,080
Speaker 1: up there in the sky, please give me a Western

992
00:45:45,160 --> 00:45:47,560
Speaker 1: Kentucky versus Troy matchup so we can go Goose first

993
00:45:47,640 --> 00:45:48,920
Speaker 1: Maverick in the bowl game.

994
00:45:49,560 --> 00:45:50,200
Speaker 2: All of the.

995
00:45:50,160 --> 00:45:53,560
Speaker 1: Graphic designers across the internet would rejoice. I think we

996
00:45:53,600 --> 00:45:56,080
Speaker 1: could see some great memes out of that. So hopefully

997
00:45:56,120 --> 00:45:59,160
Speaker 1: if they go bowling, we get that connection. Let's close

998
00:45:59,200 --> 00:46:03,480
Speaker 1: out the West year with the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks five

999
00:46:03,520 --> 00:46:06,000
Speaker 1: and seven. Last year three and five in the Belt.

1000
00:46:06,360 --> 00:46:08,719
Speaker 1: Coach Vincent did a great job coaching them up. They're

1001
00:46:08,760 --> 00:46:11,240
Speaker 1: thirty six to one to win the Belt. Win total

1002
00:46:11,320 --> 00:46:13,520
Speaker 1: sitting at four and a half, ten starters, return five

1003
00:46:13,560 --> 00:46:15,600
Speaker 1: on each side of the ball twenty fourth and returning

1004
00:46:15,640 --> 00:46:19,000
Speaker 1: production fifteenth on defense. If there was a G five

1005
00:46:19,080 --> 00:46:22,760
Speaker 1: skill position player more integral, more important to a team's

1006
00:46:22,760 --> 00:46:25,000
Speaker 1: success than a mod hardy, I'd like to hear it,

1007
00:46:25,080 --> 00:46:28,280
Speaker 1: because UM should have thrown a bake sale on steroids

1008
00:46:28,320 --> 00:46:30,719
Speaker 1: to keep this kid, because without him, how do they

1009
00:46:30,800 --> 00:46:34,200
Speaker 1: execute Vincent's vision. I just don't see it right now.

1010
00:46:34,239 --> 00:46:37,440
Speaker 1: Maybe you can talk me into it, duck Well, I.

1011
00:46:37,360 --> 00:46:39,200
Speaker 3: Mean, he's an exceptional player and it was really a

1012
00:46:39,200 --> 00:46:41,080
Speaker 3: shame that they couldn't keep him around. And so it's

1013
00:46:41,080 --> 00:46:43,719
Speaker 3: really unfortunate because he is a big loss, and he's

1014
00:46:43,719 --> 00:46:45,919
Speaker 3: a really big loss. When U factor what this unit

1015
00:46:45,960 --> 00:46:49,640
Speaker 3: wants to do offensively, they run at a complete snails pace,

1016
00:46:49,760 --> 00:46:51,640
Speaker 3: They spread you out, but they run the ball two

1017
00:46:51,680 --> 00:46:54,560
Speaker 3: to one. They possess the football. They really try to

1018
00:46:54,640 --> 00:46:57,440
Speaker 3: keep that leaky defense off the field, and so it

1019
00:46:57,520 --> 00:46:59,080
Speaker 3: is a big loss with a mad hardy. I think

1020
00:46:59,080 --> 00:47:02,400
Speaker 3: Brayln mcreynold's coming in from South Alabama will help lessen

1021
00:47:02,440 --> 00:47:05,960
Speaker 3: the blow a bit. Just recapping twenty twenty four, you know,

1022
00:47:06,000 --> 00:47:09,239
Speaker 3: they really overperformed every metric. Their regular season win total

1023
00:47:09,280 --> 00:47:10,640
Speaker 3: opened up at one and a half and that was

1024
00:47:10,680 --> 00:47:14,080
Speaker 3: over right away, and so this group significantly outperformed, and

1025
00:47:14,239 --> 00:47:16,160
Speaker 3: even in doing so, you have to feel like twenty

1026
00:47:16,160 --> 00:47:18,719
Speaker 3: twenty four was a disappointment. This group started five to one,

1027
00:47:19,080 --> 00:47:21,080
Speaker 3: They had plenty of chances to secure a bowl game,

1028
00:47:21,120 --> 00:47:23,200
Speaker 3: couldn't do it, So they kind of faded down the stretch.

1029
00:47:23,560 --> 00:47:26,360
Speaker 3: The defense really faded in the run defense. It was

1030
00:47:26,400 --> 00:47:28,959
Speaker 3: just that this this unit did not have the depth,

1031
00:47:29,000 --> 00:47:31,319
Speaker 3: they didn't have the size, and when they played some

1032
00:47:31,360 --> 00:47:33,640
Speaker 3: of the tougher teams in Sun Belt play, they really

1033
00:47:34,560 --> 00:47:36,479
Speaker 3: they were really up against it and just couldn't stop

1034
00:47:36,520 --> 00:47:39,200
Speaker 3: the run. So it was kind of one of those

1035
00:47:39,239 --> 00:47:43,280
Speaker 3: things where I think Brian Vincent has this team doing

1036
00:47:43,320 --> 00:47:45,200
Speaker 3: the right things. You know, the good takeaway for me

1037
00:47:45,280 --> 00:47:47,439
Speaker 3: is they're just not absolute dog shit. They don't suck.

1038
00:47:48,160 --> 00:47:52,839
Speaker 3: They're a formidable, at least serviceable bottom third sun Belt

1039
00:47:52,880 --> 00:47:55,360
Speaker 3: team as opposed to just being the absolute worst team

1040
00:47:55,600 --> 00:47:58,480
Speaker 3: in sun Belt play. You know, the offense is going

1041
00:47:58,520 --> 00:47:59,600
Speaker 3: to be what it's going to be. They're going to

1042
00:47:59,640 --> 00:48:02,920
Speaker 3: be run heavy. They have to develop at least some

1043
00:48:02,960 --> 00:48:05,719
Speaker 3: sort of competent passing attack, as last season they just

1044
00:48:05,760 --> 00:48:09,839
Speaker 3: were unable to throw the ball with any regularity, consistently

1045
00:48:09,880 --> 00:48:11,520
Speaker 3: failing to break one hundred and fifty year at the

1046
00:48:11,520 --> 00:48:16,440
Speaker 3: passing they were poor on third down. Turnovers were a

1047
00:48:16,440 --> 00:48:18,279
Speaker 3: little bit of an issue, and the defense was just

1048
00:48:18,360 --> 00:48:20,759
Speaker 3: up against it because the offense couldn't score. So if

1049
00:48:20,800 --> 00:48:25,239
Speaker 3: there's any sort of development of Arminetta at quarterback, and

1050
00:48:25,520 --> 00:48:29,000
Speaker 3: if there was any playmakers that emerged, this could be

1051
00:48:29,280 --> 00:48:33,239
Speaker 3: a feisty group in sun Belt play. I think we're

1052
00:48:33,239 --> 00:48:35,080
Speaker 3: looking at four or five wins. I don't see a

1053
00:48:35,080 --> 00:48:37,280
Speaker 3: ton of value in the win total. I see absolutely

1054
00:48:37,280 --> 00:48:39,480
Speaker 3: nothing As far as the futures market. Again, I think

1055
00:48:39,480 --> 00:48:44,640
Speaker 3: Brian Vincent has elevated this program from complete futility to okay,

1056
00:48:44,680 --> 00:48:47,279
Speaker 3: it's a real opponent. We have to prepare for I'd

1057
00:48:47,280 --> 00:48:49,680
Speaker 3: looked to bet unders in some of their games this season.

1058
00:48:49,680 --> 00:48:52,919
Speaker 3: They should blast FCS Saint Francis, and then I think

1059
00:48:52,920 --> 00:48:55,240
Speaker 3: that they could with just their style of ball control

1060
00:48:55,280 --> 00:48:57,400
Speaker 3: play in the very very slow pace, they're going to

1061
00:48:57,440 --> 00:48:59,279
Speaker 3: try to play keep away. So I think early in

1062
00:48:59,320 --> 00:49:01,399
Speaker 3: the season could be some unders that we might look

1063
00:49:01,440 --> 00:49:05,359
Speaker 3: on in game for them, and then depending on how

1064
00:49:05,400 --> 00:49:09,640
Speaker 3: they operate the game plan, they could be looking at

1065
00:49:09,640 --> 00:49:12,160
Speaker 3: that Northwestern game as one where they might be able

1066
00:49:12,200 --> 00:49:14,640
Speaker 3: to show up and at least give a spirited effort

1067
00:49:14,640 --> 00:49:17,160
Speaker 3: there in Chicago. So if they're catching enough points, could

1068
00:49:17,160 --> 00:49:19,000
Speaker 3: be catching twenty four to twenty five points could be

1069
00:49:19,000 --> 00:49:23,360
Speaker 3: worth looking at there, But otherwise nothing too crazy for me.

1070
00:49:23,400 --> 00:49:26,360
Speaker 2: On ULM. I do like the over on this team.

1071
00:49:26,880 --> 00:49:28,439
Speaker 2: I do make it about five and a half. I'd

1072
00:49:28,480 --> 00:49:29,759
Speaker 2: like to go over four and a half. But there

1073
00:49:29,800 --> 00:49:31,600
Speaker 2: are a lot of questions here on the offensive side,

1074
00:49:31,719 --> 00:49:34,440
Speaker 2: mainly Brian Vincent says that he's not calling the plays,

1075
00:49:34,520 --> 00:49:36,960
Speaker 2: and I don't really see on the coaching staff who

1076
00:49:37,000 --> 00:49:38,400
Speaker 2: is going to call the plays. I'd like to have

1077
00:49:38,400 --> 00:49:41,839
Speaker 2: that answer before I fire my own money. He says

1078
00:49:41,840 --> 00:49:44,279
Speaker 2: he wants to give attention to the other parts of

1079
00:49:44,320 --> 00:49:47,680
Speaker 2: the team, okay, but you know, I want to know

1080
00:49:47,680 --> 00:49:49,319
Speaker 2: who's calling the plays. I want to what system we're

1081
00:49:49,360 --> 00:49:51,720
Speaker 2: going with because quarterback Aden Armenta needs to be developed.

1082
00:49:51,719 --> 00:49:53,239
Speaker 2: And at the same time, Hunter Herrig is the guy

1083
00:49:53,280 --> 00:49:54,719
Speaker 2: that's going to run the wildcat here and if he

1084
00:49:54,800 --> 00:49:57,000
Speaker 2: has any success, if I hear anything out of fall camp,

1085
00:49:57,600 --> 00:49:59,560
Speaker 2: you know, they're running this wildcat package and they're running

1086
00:49:59,560 --> 00:50:03,799
Speaker 2: at the hundred thirty third slowest offensive tempo in the nation.

1087
00:50:04,800 --> 00:50:07,000
Speaker 2: Then they're going to army You well, I guess armies

1088
00:50:07,000 --> 00:50:08,520
Speaker 2: maybe a little bit faster than that, but they're going

1089
00:50:08,560 --> 00:50:10,279
Speaker 2: to try to play eight possessions a game and then

1090
00:50:10,320 --> 00:50:12,080
Speaker 2: try to capitalize on that. The problem is that the

1091
00:50:12,080 --> 00:50:14,759
Speaker 2: defense is just the rush defense was future horrible one

1092
00:50:14,800 --> 00:50:17,200
Speaker 2: hundred and thirty fourth in defensive rushing success rate. A

1093
00:50:17,239 --> 00:50:19,840
Speaker 2: lot of Juco's coming in to try and plug up

1094
00:50:19,840 --> 00:50:22,600
Speaker 2: all those holes up front. Pass defense is actually the

1095
00:50:22,600 --> 00:50:24,600
Speaker 2: specialty here. They're going to be able to stop some

1096
00:50:24,680 --> 00:50:26,719
Speaker 2: of these offenses that like to sling it around that

1097
00:50:26,760 --> 00:50:29,880
Speaker 2: are on their schedule. You know, they're I'm looking at

1098
00:50:29,880 --> 00:50:32,280
Speaker 2: Texas State, I'm looking at you know, maybe potentially Louisiana

1099
00:50:32,360 --> 00:50:34,320
Speaker 2: with Walker Howard at the end of the season, ULM

1100
00:50:34,680 --> 00:50:37,120
Speaker 2: could potentially with this secondary give them, you know, a

1101
00:50:37,120 --> 00:50:40,080
Speaker 2: little bit of pause. The rest of the defense is

1102
00:50:40,120 --> 00:50:42,879
Speaker 2: nothing really to talk about, but you know, corner David

1103
00:50:42,920 --> 00:50:46,680
Speaker 2: Goolsby's coming in UAB transfer Carl font Troy, so we'll

1104
00:50:46,680 --> 00:50:48,680
Speaker 2: see what they can do. He'll be there at safety.

1105
00:50:49,040 --> 00:50:51,960
Speaker 2: Three outright wins as an underdog last season, they really

1106
00:50:52,080 --> 00:50:54,640
Speaker 2: caught everybody off guard. They only covered like one of

1107
00:50:54,680 --> 00:50:56,640
Speaker 2: their last five games, I think against Marshall. I think

1108
00:50:56,640 --> 00:50:58,520
Speaker 2: they ran out of gas or maybe just on paper

1109
00:50:58,520 --> 00:51:01,359
Speaker 2: they got figured out. Really, it was one of those

1110
00:51:01,360 --> 00:51:02,840
Speaker 2: things where I think they ran out of gas and

1111
00:51:02,840 --> 00:51:05,720
Speaker 2: they kind of showed their entire hand. Even beating JMU

1112
00:51:05,800 --> 00:51:08,359
Speaker 2: as a sixteen point underdog last year. That tells me

1113
00:51:08,400 --> 00:51:10,600
Speaker 2: that's coaching. That wasn't because of the talent they had.

1114
00:51:10,640 --> 00:51:12,360
Speaker 2: I mean, of course they had good talent. They've lost that,

1115
00:51:12,440 --> 00:51:15,399
Speaker 2: but that's coaching too. They have a good spot early,

1116
00:51:15,440 --> 00:51:17,399
Speaker 2: they're coming off a buye before they go and play UTEP.

1117
00:51:17,440 --> 00:51:19,680
Speaker 2: They can beat Scotty Waldron. Scotty Waldron has not brought

1118
00:51:19,680 --> 00:51:21,239
Speaker 2: in what he needs to bring into UTEP, what I

1119
00:51:21,239 --> 00:51:23,359
Speaker 2: thought he'd have in year two. That's a winnable game.

1120
00:51:23,400 --> 00:51:25,600
Speaker 2: Then they catch Arkansas State on back to back travel

1121
00:51:26,120 --> 00:51:28,600
Speaker 2: Saint Francis is a win. In week two, they're at

1122
00:51:28,640 --> 00:51:34,719
Speaker 2: home against ODU. They're on I mean, do you believe

1123
00:51:34,760 --> 00:51:35,959
Speaker 2: in the first half of the schedule of the second

1124
00:51:35,960 --> 00:51:37,759
Speaker 2: half a schedule. I think the overall belief is that

1125
00:51:37,840 --> 00:51:39,839
Speaker 2: it's the coaching. I think they're going to figure it out.

1126
00:51:39,840 --> 00:51:43,080
Speaker 2: On offense, the slow tempo means the defense needs to

1127
00:51:43,080 --> 00:51:45,640
Speaker 2: plug a couple of holes since there's only gonna be

1128
00:51:45,680 --> 00:51:47,279
Speaker 2: eight to ten possessions a game. So I do like

1129
00:51:47,320 --> 00:51:49,120
Speaker 2: the over I'd like the market to get a little

1130
00:51:49,160 --> 00:51:50,839
Speaker 2: bit more depressed find the best number, but I would

1131
00:51:50,840 --> 00:51:51,640
Speaker 2: go over more and a half.

1132
00:51:52,040 --> 00:51:54,239
Speaker 1: So that's it for us. The Sun Belt now in

1133
00:51:54,280 --> 00:51:56,880
Speaker 1: the books, I hope you guys appreciated that double feature

1134
00:51:56,920 --> 00:51:59,120
Speaker 1: East and West. If you're listening to the West preview

1135
00:51:59,120 --> 00:52:00,680
Speaker 1: and you're wondering what the hell we're talking about in

1136
00:52:00,719 --> 00:52:02,759
Speaker 1: the East, go back into your feed and check out

1137
00:52:02,800 --> 00:52:05,400
Speaker 1: everything that we broke down for those seven teams coming

1138
00:52:05,480 --> 00:52:09,360
Speaker 1: up next the Mountain West, followed by Conference USA, and

1139
00:52:09,360 --> 00:52:11,799
Speaker 1: then the week after that, Colin and Stucky strap in

1140
00:52:11,960 --> 00:52:15,000
Speaker 1: for Power for previews. That is going to be an

1141
00:52:15,080 --> 00:52:18,640
Speaker 1: incredible listen, so make sure to have your calendar set

1142
00:52:18,760 --> 00:52:22,240
Speaker 1: for when those drop because those numbers and those conference

1143
00:52:22,239 --> 00:52:24,200
Speaker 1: title ods that they're putting out there as soon as

1144
00:52:24,200 --> 00:52:26,160
Speaker 1: they say it and it hits the airwaves, there's going

1145
00:52:26,200 --> 00:52:27,680
Speaker 1: to be some market movements, so you want to make

1146
00:52:27,719 --> 00:52:30,640
Speaker 1: sure that you're able to follow along more or less

1147
00:52:30,680 --> 00:52:33,239
Speaker 1: in real time. Thank you so much for listening to

1148
00:52:33,239 --> 00:52:35,560
Speaker 1: the Big Bets on Campus podcast. It's been Group five

1149
00:52:35,640 --> 00:52:38,360
Speaker 1: Deep Dove special thanks to my co host Colin Wilson

1150
00:52:38,640 --> 00:52:41,440
Speaker 1: and Duck. We are going to be back for more previews,

1151
00:52:41,480 --> 00:52:43,799
Speaker 1: so don't miss a thing here at BBOC.

1152
00:52:52,560 --> 00:52:57,080
Speaker 2: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

1153
00:52:57,120 --> 00:52:59,840
Speaker 2: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

1154
00:52:59,880 --> 00:53:03,040
Speaker 2: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred gambler