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Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's time to play

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Speaker 1: short bets and it's b Joey p joe Pizipia and

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Speaker 1: this is BP NFL. It's time to look ahead to

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Speaker 1: the wild card weekend and what a wild weekend it's

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Speaker 1: going to be. To help me break down the games,

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Speaker 1: of course, my two buds, Andrew Ericson the Undertaker and

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Speaker 1: Terrell Furman Junior, they've got some feelings about the games,

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Speaker 1: and as recording this too, we are anticipating the potential

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Speaker 1: of that Vikings game moving potentially to Phoenix. That's been

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Speaker 1: the rumors here banded about this morning. And I don't

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Speaker 1: know about you guys, but Terrell, to me, that feels

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Speaker 1: like a win potentially for the Vikings, not so much

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Speaker 1: for the neutral field, but also for all the chaos,

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Speaker 1: you know, when you're dealing with your families and your

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Speaker 1: friends that are out there and trying to get everybody together,

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Speaker 1: everybody okay in that LA area, And again our hearts

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Speaker 1: go out to everybody out there. It's some devastation out there.

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Speaker 1: It's a terrible situation that I don't think anyone's mind

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Speaker 1: in that group is going to be on football like

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Speaker 1: it normally would be. And I think that could be

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Speaker 1: a problem in this game.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it definitely could. I think think that I am

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Speaker 2: the minority of you know, I like chaos, and I

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Speaker 2: think that this could actually be a little bit more

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Speaker 2: of a get up spot for the Rams.

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Speaker 3: We'll talking about it a little.

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Speaker 2: Later, but I mean for a team who doesn't have

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Speaker 2: a home field to go to another state and then

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Speaker 2: automatically have a home field, because I mean, I hate

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Speaker 2: to say it, but everybody in Los Angeles might as

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Speaker 2: well just go to Phoenix and go to the game

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Speaker 2: and get away from the fires, like it would just

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Speaker 2: go to Phoenix and go to the game. And so

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Speaker 2: that's a possibility. In Minnesota, maybe you made a flight

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Speaker 2: to LA and you're not trying to make this reschedule

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Speaker 2: over there to Phoenix, like maybe some of the Minnesota

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Speaker 2: fans drop off here.

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Speaker 3: So it could go either way here.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, Look, the Vikings are traveling no matter what they're

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Speaker 1: getting on a plane, whether it's to Los Angeles or

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Speaker 1: to Phoenix. I don't think it's gonna make much of

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Speaker 1: a difference. Andrew break the tie here, who do you

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Speaker 1: think this potential move if it does indeed happen favors potentially,

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Speaker 1: does it work in the Vikings favor, does the line

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Speaker 1: move and if so, what does it move to.

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Speaker 4: I think it moves in the fight the favor of

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Speaker 4: the Vikings. I think it probably moves to Vikings minus

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Speaker 4: three because now you're taking away, you know, home field

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Speaker 4: advantage that I think. I'm not saying it's right because

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Speaker 4: the Rams don't really have a lot of home field advantage,

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Speaker 4: but I think the market's going to overvalue the fact that, well,

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Speaker 4: now they're not playing at home. Now the home team

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Speaker 4: has to travel in some capacity, and if things are

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Speaker 4: weighing on their minds. Again, they're not the only LA

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Speaker 4: team that's playing this weekend though, there's the Los Angeles Chargers.

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Speaker 4: You're also playing this weekend. They're playing on the road,

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Speaker 4: so they're getting away from what's going on. But again,

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Speaker 4: just some things are bigger than football right now with

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Speaker 4: some of these teams, especially with the two LA teams

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Speaker 4: in so we'll.

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Speaker 5: See how it fixed them.

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Speaker 4: But at the end of the day, like these are

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Speaker 4: our professionals, right, Like their job is to go out

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Speaker 4: and win football games.

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Speaker 3: So they're also you know, it's tough, is really tough.

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Speaker 1: Tough spot there. Let's look ahead to the best bets here,

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Speaker 1: and don't forget we're gonna be live here on the channel.

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Speaker 1: Make sure you subscribe to the YouTube channel because at

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Speaker 1: four fifteen on Saturday afternoons, Got Bogman and myself will

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Speaker 1: be breaking down in game live betting right here on

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Speaker 1: Betting Pros of the Houston Texans Chargers games. So we're

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Speaker 1: gonna give you our best bets as we go through,

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Speaker 1: as the game unfold. Some opportunities there, and if you're

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Speaker 1: looking for a second screen experience, we're gonna be that

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Speaker 1: for you. I just want to hang out with your friends,

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Speaker 1: watch a little football. Well guess why, we're the two

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Speaker 1: best friends anybody could have. So hang out with myself

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Speaker 1: Scott Bogman again, four p excuse me, four fifteen Eastern

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Speaker 1: right here on the Betting Pros channel. Stick with us.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna take you through the first half of that

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Speaker 1: game together as one. All right, let's get to that

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Speaker 1: game too and get the guys fieldings on this trell.

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Speaker 1: Let's start with you Houston Chargers. Houston so far, you know,

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Speaker 1: kind of not looking as sharp as they did last season,

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Speaker 1: not quite the same offense, not quite the same offensive

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Speaker 1: line play either. So what's your take on this game?

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Speaker 1: How are you approaching it?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it's a lot of the offensive line and CJ.

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Speaker 2: Shroud and not being trusting of each other. The offensive

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Speaker 2: line hasn't done a good job protecting them. In the

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Speaker 2: times that he has gotten protection, CJ. Stroud has rushed

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Speaker 2: football because he's felt the heat and he's not He's

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Speaker 2: starting to really really feel that rookie, that rookie that

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Speaker 2: he should have felt last year. But everything and all

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Speaker 2: the stars aligned that he had a really, really good season.

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Speaker 2: Now the sophomore slump is coming in because the offensive

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Speaker 2: line play isn't there. He's been rushing the football, tearing

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Speaker 2: the football over like. This is all properties that we've

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Speaker 2: talked about with CJ. Stroud over the course of the year.

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Speaker 2: And this sexans offense, whereas on the other side of ball,

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Speaker 2: hardball just does enough.

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Speaker 3: Yeah. Can they put up points sometimes?

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Speaker 1: Yeah?

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Speaker 3: Maybe?

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Speaker 1: Does Justin Herbert look above average at times?

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Speaker 3: Yeah? Is there times that he doesn't look that good? Yeah?

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Speaker 2: But what is for certain this defense is gonna be

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Speaker 2: really good. They're going to go out there, they're gonna

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Speaker 2: put forth their best effort. I think the Houston Texans

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Speaker 2: defense is gonna be live here at home as well.

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Speaker 2: They play a lot better at home as opposed to

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Speaker 2: on the road. I think this is an under game

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Speaker 2: under forty two and a half. I don't see a

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Speaker 2: lot of points here score. I think it's a lot

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Speaker 2: of three and outs, so maybe some long drives that

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Speaker 2: end in field goals. Fairburn and Dicker two really good

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Speaker 2: kickers over the course of the season, so I think

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Speaker 2: that that's how this ends. I'm playing kicking props and

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Speaker 2: I like the under in this game.

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Speaker 1: All right, Andrew Erson about this game all week? You

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Speaker 1: and I Monday, Wednesday, now here on Thursday. So where

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Speaker 1: have you landed? Is your favorite approach to it?

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Speaker 4: I still like the Chargers. I do agree that with

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Speaker 4: Terrell the under is definitely the play on the points total.

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Speaker 4: Look ra Shaun Slater, he was questioned one during the week.

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Speaker 4: He's been practicing in full So I'm not concerned about

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Speaker 4: the Charters offensive line against the Texans pass rush. We

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Speaker 4: know that they have one of the best pass rushes

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Speaker 4: in the NFL. It's part of the best reasons why

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Speaker 4: they've been so good on defense. But the Charters offense

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Speaker 4: line is really good, and the two starting tackles should

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Speaker 4: be ready to go, So I think they'll be able

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Speaker 4: to give Justin Herbert enough time to do enough to

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Speaker 4: win this game against Chargers minus two and a half

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Speaker 4: minus three, So I'll like them to win by a

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Speaker 4: field goal. And I'm just kind of looking at the

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Speaker 4: two teams body of work this year. The Charters cover

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Speaker 4: the spread their last five road games, nine of their

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Speaker 4: last eleven games overall, and then we look at the

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Speaker 4: Texans and C. J.

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Speaker 5: Stroud.

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Speaker 4: Stroud is eight and three all time in AFC South,

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Speaker 4: eleven and ten and against every other opponent. So yeah,

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Speaker 4: he looks at it when he beats up on the

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Speaker 4: AFC South teams that are all all terrible. But then

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Speaker 4: when he plays anyone that's not in AFC South, that's

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Speaker 4: not a Jet, that's not a Cult, that's not a Titan.

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Speaker 4: He's a five hundred level quarterback. So I think Herbert's

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Speaker 4: better than Stroud. I think the coaching it favors the

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Speaker 4: Chargers here, and if anyone is going to get the

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Speaker 4: focus back on football, it's Harmbaugh. Like I just think

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Speaker 4: that he's done such an excellent job. He's a great

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Speaker 4: he's a great football coach at the college level, at

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Speaker 4: the NFL level, he does it all. And the Texans just, man,

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Speaker 4: this is just a I feel like this is going

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Speaker 4: to be a summerization of their entire season. You look

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Speaker 4: at what they've done home underdogs on the money line

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Speaker 4: last two seasons under Stroud two and four, Like, they

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Speaker 4: don't win when they're underdogs. This imagine if this was

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Speaker 4: being played in Los Angeles without any considered it for

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Speaker 4: the fire, what would the spread be, right the Chargers.

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Speaker 4: The Texans are getting credit here because oh well, they're

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Speaker 4: playing at home. We have to make it a field

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Speaker 4: goal game. When you look at it from a neutral

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Speaker 4: field perspective, I think this would be closer to Chargers

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Speaker 4: like four and a half, because I think they're just

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Speaker 4: the better team here. So given that the Texans with

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Speaker 4: one of the only two teams that the Titans covered

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Speaker 4: against this year, who put up historically one of the

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Speaker 4: worst records against the spread at two and fifteen under

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Speaker 4: Bill Callahan, I think I'm just gonna roll with the

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Speaker 4: Chargers here. They've been better all year and I think

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Speaker 4: we're gonna see that on Wildcard weekend, all.

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Speaker 1: Right, So we will take a look forward to the

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Speaker 1: next game on our list here Saturday as well. The

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Speaker 1: Steeler is nine and a half point favorites right now.

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Speaker 1: Everybody knows what I think about this, if you're watching

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Speaker 1: the live streams this week, I think that the confidence

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Speaker 1: boost of the last time these two teams face each other.

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Speaker 1: I don't care if George Biggins is back. I think

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Speaker 1: the Steelers are just a fraud and they're limping in.

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Speaker 1: There's gonna be another disappointment.

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Speaker 3: Now.

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Speaker 1: Nine and a half is a lot. That is an

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Speaker 1: ass kicking. That's a one sided game. And I Knowseay

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Speaker 1: Flowers most likely unavailable as of recording this. That hurts

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Speaker 1: as well. But Terrell Furman, here we go again. Last

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Speaker 1: time you said hold on wait. Last time, yes saiday,

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Speaker 1: we're gonna cover against Baltimore. I said they would not.

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Speaker 1: They did not, So you can give me all fourth

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Speaker 1: quarter and opened up all this stuff. The scores. The

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Speaker 1: scorer is the score. So why is this score going

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Speaker 1: to be different than the last time?

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Speaker 2: Because if you bet Baltimore laying this amount of points,

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Speaker 2: or even the amount of points that they were saying

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Speaker 2: the last time, you would be you would be homeless

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Speaker 2: on the streets like you like the one eight hundred

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Speaker 2: gambler number that they out there, and they put out

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Speaker 2: there for people. That would be for you if you

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Speaker 2: were to continuously bet this spread in the Boston, in

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Speaker 2: the Baltimore Ravens and the Pittsburgh Steelers games. These games

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Speaker 2: do not happen like that. Of course, there's always the anomaly. Yes, TJ.

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Speaker 2: Watt didn't have a sack in that game. He normally

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Speaker 2: gets sacks against Baltimore. You didn't have George Pickens. Now

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Speaker 2: we're sitting here, you're telling me in a game that

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Speaker 2: George Pickens is playing, and now Za Flowers is not playing,

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Speaker 2: and the spread is two and a half points more

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Speaker 2: than what it was.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, all right, I'll take my chances.

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Speaker 2: I like Tomlin. Tomlin as a dog. We talked about

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Speaker 2: this plenty enough. I don't have to go through the

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Speaker 2: handicap too much. Everybody knows why we're betting Tomlin in

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Speaker 2: this spot. This is way too many points for a

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Speaker 2: Steelers and a Ravens game, especially a Steelers Ravens playoff game.

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Speaker 2: And I would love for anybody in the comments to

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Speaker 2: come in here and be like, all the Steels office

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Speaker 2: is so bad. This is the same Feel's offense that

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Speaker 2: got to win against this team without scoring a touchdown.

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Speaker 2: So if there's anybody that could go play the Ravens

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Speaker 2: and win without scoring a touchdown, is the Pittsburgh Steelers. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: I'm perfectly fine taking the spread here. There's nothing to

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Speaker 2: talk about.

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Speaker 1: All right, nothing to talk about, Andrew, there's nothing to

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Speaker 1: talk about. Do you have anything to say?

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Speaker 4: I do. I do have a couple of things to say.

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Speaker 4: I won't get into the Mike Tomlin underdog, etc. Because

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Speaker 4: we know that those are the favorable trends that definitely

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Speaker 4: back the point of taking the Steelers at plus nine

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Speaker 4: and a half, So I won't dive into that. But

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Speaker 4: I'm just looking at the teams that are being played

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Speaker 4: in this matchup. I get the Steelers are being disrespected,

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Speaker 4: maybe rightfully so, because of how bad their offense has been,

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Speaker 4: how bad their team has been the last couple of weeks.

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Speaker 4: But the team that they're trotting out is not the

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Speaker 4: same team that they played the Ravens in Week sixteen.

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Speaker 4: We talked about Pickens. He didn't play in that game.

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Speaker 4: Save Flowers is not gonna play for the Ravens. He

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Speaker 4: was the leading receiver for the Baltimore Ravens in that game,

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Speaker 4: So you're taking away the number one wide receiver when

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Speaker 4: Lamar Jackson exercises demons against the Steelers, but now he

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Speaker 4: doesn't have his number one weapon. Deshaun Elliott safety for

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Speaker 4: the Steelers, didn't play defensive tackle, Larry Joby didn't play cornerback,

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Speaker 4: Dante Jackson didn't play. T J watt uh Furman mentioned

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Speaker 4: it didn't have a sack. He was nursing an ankle

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Speaker 4: injury before this game. It's it's a completely different team

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Speaker 4: that's going out for the Steelers, and now you're getting

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Speaker 4: more points with them when that line was minus seven

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Speaker 4: for the Ravens at home.

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Speaker 5: Look, anything can happen. It's the playoffs.

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Speaker 4: But the value here is so clearly on Pittsburgh plus

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Speaker 4: nine and a half that that's why it's my best bet.

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Speaker 4: It's my best bet this week is Steelers plus nine

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Speaker 4: and a half. So I think the process is sound

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Speaker 4: here going after Pittsburgh because I think that this number

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Speaker 4: is just totally off. It's just totally off because it's

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Speaker 4: not the same teams that are playing from that Week

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Speaker 4: sixteen matchup. And I know you don't want to talk

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Speaker 4: about what happened in that game, Joe, because you look

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Speaker 4: at the final score, it was thirty four to seventeen.

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Speaker 5: Buters, we're gonna go out fourteens.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, fourteen bad decisions.

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Speaker 4: I've watched the seven yard line and then we're gonna

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Speaker 4: go fourteen to seven. The Ravens fumbled the ball three times.

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Speaker 4: They recovered each other.

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Speaker 1: They won't do that. They won't do that. Yeah, the

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Speaker 1: Ravens exercise the demons. They the monkey off their back.

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Speaker 1: Twenty nine thirteen. That's your final score for the Ravens game.

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Speaker 1: I'm telling you right now. We'll see if I'm right

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Speaker 1: or wrong. We'll come back next week.

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Speaker 3: You betting this is actually yeah, you know, just like

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Speaker 3: last week.

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Speaker 1: Just like last week, I'm gonna spite bet you again,

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Speaker 1: and I'm gonna do it again, and I'm gonna make

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Speaker 1: some moneys.

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Speaker 5: Cover that technicty. That's what I'm saying.

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Speaker 2: I bet.

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Speaker 1: I bet the Bengals on the money line, so I

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Speaker 1: won money on it. That's all have fun here in

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Speaker 1: the program. That's what's supposed to be. And if you

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Speaker 1: want to have more fun with the rest of us

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Speaker 1: and our community, make sure you go over to our

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Speaker 1: discord betting pros dot Com slash chat. It's the place

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Speaker 1: to be for picks, for some insights, and it's a

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Speaker 1: fantastic community of people who are really engaged in the

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Speaker 1: betting space. So if you're new, or you are somebody

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Speaker 1: that's a grizzled veteran when it comes to the betting world,

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Speaker 1: you want to join our discord again betting pros dot

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Speaker 1: Com slash Chat. It's pretty, it's fun, and we had

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Speaker 1: a lot of Q and a's. You get Matt Barolt

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Speaker 1: done there doing picks. It's a great time to be

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Speaker 1: joining too, especially with all the football playoffs rolling around.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's get to the next one here, Denver

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Speaker 1: Broncos eight and a half nine in some markets here

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Speaker 1: as they travel to Buffalo. This is the one where

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Speaker 1: you know the Denver Broncos. Nobody's given them a lot

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Speaker 1: of I don't think they're giving them enough credit. It's

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Speaker 1: a good defensive team to get after the quarterbacks or tans.

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Speaker 1: A great player. Bo Nicks has played above his head.

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Speaker 1: They're playing with house money, which makes them dangerous. But

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Speaker 1: I have a hard time believing that Bo Nicks, as

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Speaker 1: a rookie quarterback, is going to go into Buffalo and

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Speaker 1: Unsea Josh Allen. That being said, it is a big number.

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Speaker 1: So I assume when you see that big number, Torell,

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Speaker 1: that's where you're going. You're gonna be on the Broncos

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Speaker 1: side of this.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I do. And I mean.

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Speaker 2: I think that there's a very real conversation about the

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Speaker 2: Bills that I think needs to be had in this game,

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Speaker 2: because I think that they're one hundred percent looking ahead

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Speaker 2: to the Chiefs, one hundred percent looking ahead.

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Speaker 3: They're like, yo, that's where a weird point. We just

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Speaker 3: want to limp across these playoffs.

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Speaker 2: We just want to exercise our demons against Kansas City

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Speaker 2: and get and once we beat Kansas City, we feel

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Speaker 2: good about the rest of our chances going forward. But

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Speaker 2: at the end of the day, when these teams, when

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Speaker 2: this Bills team has played teams of similar caliber, they've

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Speaker 2: been kind of five hundred. Actually, in fact, they're two

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Speaker 2: and three against playoff teams this season, the playoff teams

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Speaker 2: that are in playoffs this season, they're two and three,

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Speaker 2: and so I mean they haven't been in any of

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Speaker 2: those teams by this margin. They have one of the

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Speaker 2: what is that minus fifteen points margin against playoff teams.

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Speaker 2: This season, Denvers plus three bow Knicks has been really well.

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Speaker 2: I don't think that they're gonna do anything different just

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Speaker 2: because they're in the playoffs. I think Sean Payton is

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Speaker 2: gonna caddle bow Knicks, make sure that this is a

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Speaker 2: very safe game plan that he doesn't put the ball

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Speaker 2: in harm's way, and they're gonna lean on him on

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Speaker 2: the ground. And as a rusher, I would take bow

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Speaker 2: Knicks rushing yards in this game. I think as a

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Speaker 2: rookie in a playoff game, he's gonna be running for

333
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Speaker 2: his life trying to extend plays and make plays work.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, I think that the Broncos are gonna do

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Speaker 2: enough here to cover the spread. And I'm telling you,

336
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Speaker 2: I mean I've been seeing I don't know if you

337
00:13:48,360 --> 00:13:50,160
Speaker 2: guys have been seeing it, but they have really been

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Speaker 2: spamming the Tim Tebow versus Steelers playoff game footage like

339
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Speaker 2: for the entire week.

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Speaker 3: I swear I've seen it every single day.

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Speaker 2: And I don't know if that's just like the X

342
00:14:01,320 --> 00:14:03,480
Speaker 2: and elon trying to put something in my head to

343
00:14:03,600 --> 00:14:06,560
Speaker 2: bet Broncos, Bet Broncos, bet Broncos. But I'm just saying

344
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Speaker 2: they've been spamming that footage all week and it's in

345
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Speaker 2: my head. Give me the Broncos plus eight and a

346
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Speaker 2: half and I'll take them on the money line as well,

347
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Speaker 2: because man, if this Josh Allen, this team doesn't underperform

348
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Speaker 2: here like I.

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Speaker 1: Could see it.

350
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Speaker 3: I could see it.

351
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Speaker 2: And this you have to get creative in wild card

352
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Speaker 2: weekend because dogs do well and every single year, everybody's

353
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Speaker 2: always quote unquote surprised by something happening. Last year was

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Speaker 2: Jordan Love beating Cowboys. No idea why that was surprising,

355
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Speaker 2: but for a lot of people that were surprising, Like,

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Speaker 2: I think that this could be something that's surprising, because

357
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Speaker 2: I really do think that bo Nicks in this offense

358
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Speaker 2: looked really well.

359
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Speaker 1: Fun fact, the only Denver Broncos quarterback ever to be

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Speaker 1: drafted by the Broncos to win a playoff game, it's

361
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Speaker 1: Tim Tebow. Fun fact, everybody, John Elway case remember he

362
00:14:50,440 --> 00:14:51,880
Speaker 1: was drafted by the Colts back in the day and

363
00:14:51,960 --> 00:14:54,280
Speaker 1: then that trade happened. So there you go. Maybe bon

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Speaker 1: Nicks will be number two.

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Speaker 4: We shall see.

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Speaker 3: Also Peyton Manning coming.

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Speaker 1: Over from the coast too, man coming over right, So yeah,

368
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Speaker 1: Thenver Broncos so sometimes. You know, they have Billy hit

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Speaker 1: on the quarterback a lot in the last couple of years,

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Speaker 1: especially since Peyton managing his.

371
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Speaker 5: Tell me Kyle Orton, never one did he get drafted

372
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Speaker 5: Byron I don't.

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Speaker 1: Think he got drafted with the Broncos. But I never

374
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Speaker 1: to go back and look, I don't recall wait, they.

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Speaker 3: Have the slier brock Osweiler. He didn't. He didn't play

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Speaker 3: one of those playoff games.

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Speaker 1: Win win a playoff game.

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Speaker 5: I think that was the kid was winning well, he

379
00:15:23,120 --> 00:15:24,800
Speaker 5: was on the team, he just didn't start.

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Speaker 1: All right, Let's get to your take on this one

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Speaker 1: here Denver Buffalo. The total for this one is forty

382
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Speaker 1: six and a half? Andrew, what side do you want

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Speaker 1: to be in?

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Speaker 5: For the record?

385
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Speaker 4: I do like the Bills here to cover the spread,

386
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Speaker 4: But my best bet in this game is the over.

387
00:15:41,040 --> 00:15:43,440
Speaker 4: I like the over over forty six and a half points.

388
00:15:43,640 --> 00:15:45,840
Speaker 4: Buffalo scored thirty points in nine of their last ten

389
00:15:45,920 --> 00:15:48,960
Speaker 4: games with their starters. I think that this offense is

390
00:15:49,000 --> 00:15:50,760
Speaker 4: a juggernaut. I think they can win in a bunch

391
00:15:50,760 --> 00:15:53,080
Speaker 4: of different ways. You look at what the Broncos can

392
00:15:53,120 --> 00:15:56,000
Speaker 4: do defensively, Patrick Sterre Tan gonna win defensive pair of

393
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Speaker 4: the year. He's gonna shut down the number one wide receiver,

394
00:15:58,080 --> 00:15:59,560
Speaker 4: who's the number one buy receiver for the Bills.

395
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Speaker 1: Okay, take the Mark.

396
00:16:01,000 --> 00:16:03,640
Speaker 5: Cooper away, like, take them like, we'll be fine.

397
00:16:03,680 --> 00:16:06,880
Speaker 4: Like. So I think that really plays into Buffalo's advantage

398
00:16:06,880 --> 00:16:08,840
Speaker 4: because they're not so dependent on one guy. They can

399
00:16:08,880 --> 00:16:11,080
Speaker 4: win in so many different ways, whether it's Josh Allen's likes,

400
00:16:11,120 --> 00:16:13,320
Speaker 4: James Cook, Khalil Shakur in the slot, the two tight

401
00:16:13,480 --> 00:16:16,720
Speaker 4: ends running the ball. So I think that hurts Denver's

402
00:16:16,760 --> 00:16:18,640
Speaker 4: defense here. And we've seen when Denver's had to play

403
00:16:18,880 --> 00:16:22,600
Speaker 4: playoff teams, they've put up points against this defense. So

404
00:16:22,840 --> 00:16:24,120
Speaker 4: I think that the Bills are going to put up

405
00:16:24,120 --> 00:16:26,000
Speaker 4: thirty here, seven to one towards the over at home

406
00:16:26,040 --> 00:16:29,240
Speaker 4: the season games have averaged over fifty points. And we

407
00:16:29,360 --> 00:16:32,120
Speaker 4: look at the games where the le Broncos last six games,

408
00:16:32,400 --> 00:16:34,840
Speaker 4: five of them have gone over the points total. And

409
00:16:34,920 --> 00:16:37,200
Speaker 4: we look at when Denver has failed to cover the

410
00:16:37,200 --> 00:16:40,080
Speaker 4: spread against playoff teams, when they face the Ravens, when

411
00:16:40,120 --> 00:16:43,440
Speaker 4: they face the Chargers twice this season, those games all

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00:16:43,480 --> 00:16:46,360
Speaker 4: went over the total, averaging points per game.

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Speaker 2: So they did cover eight and a half. They might

414
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Speaker 2: not have covered the spread, but they covered eight and

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Speaker 2: a half.

416
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Speaker 5: I mean they shouldn't cover so might they might not

417
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Speaker 5: have covered.

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Speaker 3: Three, They might not have covered three, But this is

419
00:16:58,680 --> 00:17:00,600
Speaker 3: eight and a half. This is different, Like you're.

420
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Speaker 5: Here, charters are divisional games. They didn't cover against the Ravens. No,

421
00:17:05,800 --> 00:17:06,280
Speaker 5: no they did not.

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00:17:07,160 --> 00:17:09,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, well no, they know what was the what was

423
00:17:09,560 --> 00:17:10,320
Speaker 1: that Ravens was not?

424
00:17:12,200 --> 00:17:13,800
Speaker 3: Yeah it was not. Yeah it was not.

425
00:17:14,040 --> 00:17:14,560
Speaker 1: But the Ravens.

426
00:17:14,600 --> 00:17:17,520
Speaker 3: The Ravens are different the Ravens. I don't know.

427
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Speaker 2: I just I think this is a closer. I think

428
00:17:19,400 --> 00:17:22,520
Speaker 2: this is a closer normal game. And I would be

429
00:17:22,840 --> 00:17:27,960
Speaker 2: very interested to see what is the response by the

430
00:17:28,119 --> 00:17:31,200
Speaker 2: Denver not Denver, but by the Bills offense. If this

431
00:17:31,359 --> 00:17:34,280
Speaker 2: Denver defense does begin to lock things down early on,

432
00:17:34,720 --> 00:17:36,399
Speaker 2: if they have to play a grinded out game, and

433
00:17:36,480 --> 00:17:38,399
Speaker 2: this isn't a shootout type of game, what does the

434
00:17:38,440 --> 00:17:39,440
Speaker 2: Bills offense look like?

435
00:17:39,520 --> 00:17:40,439
Speaker 3: Then I'm very interested.

436
00:17:40,440 --> 00:17:41,240
Speaker 1: I think this is closer.

437
00:17:41,760 --> 00:17:43,280
Speaker 4: Well, I think I think that's how Denver went. I

438
00:17:43,280 --> 00:17:45,119
Speaker 4: don't think Denver win's a shootout, Like that's the thing,

439
00:17:45,200 --> 00:17:47,040
Speaker 4: Like they got to stop there. So you like the

440
00:17:47,119 --> 00:17:49,080
Speaker 4: under then in this game, Okay.

441
00:17:49,000 --> 00:17:52,159
Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, boy said you guys. Good now you

442
00:17:52,200 --> 00:17:52,919
Speaker 1: got it all out.

443
00:17:54,400 --> 00:17:57,479
Speaker 4: Conversation that the Bills can't look ahead to Kansas City

444
00:17:57,480 --> 00:17:58,440
Speaker 4: because next week they're.

445
00:17:58,200 --> 00:17:58,919
Speaker 5: Going to play Baltimore.

446
00:17:59,160 --> 00:18:04,199
Speaker 1: So yeah, it's all right. They've they've got the bulls eye.

447
00:18:04,240 --> 00:18:05,840
Speaker 1: They've got it out there in the locker room, all right.

448
00:18:06,280 --> 00:18:08,280
Speaker 1: I know we touched on this earlier in the show

449
00:18:08,359 --> 00:18:09,879
Speaker 1: at the open here, but I want to get your

450
00:18:09,960 --> 00:18:13,520
Speaker 1: definitive take here, Terrell, on this Rams Vikings game. I

451
00:18:13,640 --> 00:18:15,679
Speaker 1: know one of these games is gonna go sideways typically

452
00:18:15,720 --> 00:18:18,160
Speaker 1: that is the nature. I've I'm really having a hard

453
00:18:18,200 --> 00:18:21,840
Speaker 1: time finding which one, and I just I think it's

454
00:18:21,840 --> 00:18:23,880
Speaker 1: gonna be mostly favorites here. We have been a wildcard,

455
00:18:24,080 --> 00:18:26,520
Speaker 1: only one wildcard win in many years here, so the

456
00:18:26,600 --> 00:18:28,879
Speaker 1: Bucks was the last one to really go through the

457
00:18:29,080 --> 00:18:30,840
Speaker 1: entire gamut and get to the super Bowl and win.

458
00:18:30,920 --> 00:18:34,280
Speaker 1: It doesn't happen all that often. And I feel like

459
00:18:34,359 --> 00:18:36,840
Speaker 1: this year in particular, some of these wildcard teams and

460
00:18:36,920 --> 00:18:40,480
Speaker 1: these lesser teams are punching up. And I know you

461
00:18:40,600 --> 00:18:42,240
Speaker 1: and I haven'talked about this. I've talked about where Parole

462
00:18:42,359 --> 00:18:44,720
Speaker 1: talked about with ericson it feels like they're out of

463
00:18:44,720 --> 00:18:47,880
Speaker 1: their weight class. Just to Tad and I know you're

464
00:18:47,920 --> 00:18:49,760
Speaker 1: in on the Rams. I'm in on the Vikings because

465
00:18:49,760 --> 00:18:53,159
Speaker 1: that defense. And I think Darnold got the ghosts out

466
00:18:53,240 --> 00:18:55,719
Speaker 1: of his system in that very high pressure ized situation

467
00:18:55,800 --> 00:18:57,600
Speaker 1: in Detroit, and I think he'll bounce back here. But

468
00:18:57,760 --> 00:18:59,879
Speaker 1: why do you think the Rams are the side to be.

469
00:19:00,080 --> 00:19:03,560
Speaker 2: On on the money line, Because this is what happens

470
00:19:03,600 --> 00:19:07,840
Speaker 2: when I bet my fraudulent teams, they lose, and that's

471
00:19:07,880 --> 00:19:10,560
Speaker 2: what happened with the Vikings. And I just have to

472
00:19:10,640 --> 00:19:14,360
Speaker 2: remind myself constantly the Vikings are fraudulent. Like I said

473
00:19:14,400 --> 00:19:15,800
Speaker 2: this all season that this is going to be a

474
00:19:15,840 --> 00:19:17,320
Speaker 2: playoff At this point, this is going to be a

475
00:19:17,320 --> 00:19:20,159
Speaker 2: playoff team, and I'm probably just gonna fait them in

476
00:19:20,200 --> 00:19:21,840
Speaker 2: the first round of the playoffs. Well, now the time

477
00:19:21,960 --> 00:19:23,480
Speaker 2: is here for me to do that. So I'm gonna

478
00:19:23,480 --> 00:19:25,359
Speaker 2: go ahead and take the Rams here. Because this Rams

479
00:19:25,440 --> 00:19:30,320
Speaker 2: offense rested, healthy, everything good. This is exactly where Sean

480
00:19:30,400 --> 00:19:32,560
Speaker 2: McVay wanted to be at the end of the season. Hey,

481
00:19:32,720 --> 00:19:35,000
Speaker 2: we have all our guys here, our guys are healthy.

482
00:19:35,040 --> 00:19:37,600
Speaker 2: I can put together a good game plan that can

483
00:19:37,720 --> 00:19:40,359
Speaker 2: really really attack Brian Flores. That is going to be

484
00:19:40,480 --> 00:19:43,480
Speaker 2: the matchup. Brian Flores versus Sean McVay. That is the

485
00:19:43,520 --> 00:19:45,800
Speaker 2: matchup of this game. I don't care what Sam Donald

486
00:19:45,840 --> 00:19:48,240
Speaker 2: has going on on his side of the ball. Whoever

487
00:19:48,359 --> 00:19:51,000
Speaker 2: wins the matchup between Sean McVay and Brian Flora, Brian

488
00:19:51,000 --> 00:19:52,760
Speaker 2: Flores is going to win the game, and I think

489
00:19:52,800 --> 00:19:54,760
Speaker 2: it's going to be Sean Nevy in this spot. I

490
00:19:54,840 --> 00:19:58,360
Speaker 2: can see this Sam Donald making mistakes with the football,

491
00:19:58,440 --> 00:20:00,800
Speaker 2: turning football over in this game, and I can also

492
00:20:00,920 --> 00:20:04,119
Speaker 2: see this running the score up in LA has been

493
00:20:04,160 --> 00:20:06,119
Speaker 2: in shootouts where they've been able to come out with winning.

494
00:20:06,200 --> 00:20:08,920
Speaker 2: So yeah, I really really do like this Ram spot.

495
00:20:09,320 --> 00:20:11,320
Speaker 2: Maybe a little tragic magic in there for him, but

496
00:20:11,600 --> 00:20:13,000
Speaker 2: I think they're gonna find a way and be able

497
00:20:13,040 --> 00:20:16,040
Speaker 2: to get this dined. I like for the star McVay

498
00:20:16,080 --> 00:20:18,399
Speaker 2: to be able to have yet another good playoff win

499
00:20:18,800 --> 00:20:21,159
Speaker 2: and fading Kevin O'Connell again. Last time he was in

500
00:20:21,200 --> 00:20:23,960
Speaker 2: the playoffs, he lost Daniel Jones not a really good

501
00:20:24,080 --> 00:20:26,640
Speaker 2: that's true learning experience as well.

502
00:20:28,440 --> 00:20:28,720
Speaker 1: Daniel.

503
00:20:28,760 --> 00:20:30,000
Speaker 5: Now he's got Dan, that's right.

504
00:20:30,160 --> 00:20:33,560
Speaker 1: He shook Now who's in Now? Who's what? Man? That's right?

505
00:20:34,600 --> 00:20:36,200
Speaker 1: Kevin O'Connell showed you trail.

506
00:20:36,640 --> 00:20:37,720
Speaker 5: You can't need him join.

507
00:20:37,640 --> 00:20:41,119
Speaker 1: Him the Infinity Gauntlet of ex New York. Let me,

508
00:20:41,840 --> 00:20:44,159
Speaker 1: where's Zach Wilson. Can I get him? Next year?

509
00:20:44,200 --> 00:20:46,680
Speaker 5: We're gonna add him to He's in the playoffs where

510
00:20:46,680 --> 00:20:48,080
Speaker 5: Aaron Rodgers is nowhere to be found.

511
00:20:48,119 --> 00:20:51,879
Speaker 1: He's good wi the playoffs. To the Gauntlet the fist.

512
00:20:52,240 --> 00:20:55,120
Speaker 1: All right, let's get to h the Philadelphia Green Bay game.

513
00:20:55,520 --> 00:20:58,639
Speaker 1: I'm looking for green Bay to get a mudhole stomped them.

514
00:20:58,760 --> 00:21:00,439
Speaker 1: Telling you, I just got this feeling the Eagles are

515
00:21:00,480 --> 00:21:02,040
Speaker 1: going to roll. People are like, I don't know. Jalen

516
00:21:02,119 --> 00:21:03,800
Speaker 1: Hurts has played in a couple weeks. Okay, that's fair.

517
00:21:04,119 --> 00:21:06,480
Speaker 1: Take one park. We got a full rest Jalen Hurts.

518
00:21:06,520 --> 00:21:08,840
Speaker 1: I think, you know, if press probably could have played

519
00:21:08,920 --> 00:21:11,320
Speaker 1: last week. But they were just being very careful and

520
00:21:11,720 --> 00:21:15,160
Speaker 1: they should be. And I think everybody's got rest in them.

521
00:21:15,320 --> 00:21:18,040
Speaker 1: I think they're at home. I think this defense is

522
00:21:18,160 --> 00:21:21,680
Speaker 1: for reels, and I think Green Bay is unfortunately limping

523
00:21:21,720 --> 00:21:23,359
Speaker 1: to the finish line, especially with some of the injuries

524
00:21:23,400 --> 00:21:26,679
Speaker 1: they've had. All the defense and the offense. But Andrew Erickson,

525
00:21:26,720 --> 00:21:28,320
Speaker 1: what's your best approach to this contest.

526
00:21:28,960 --> 00:21:31,160
Speaker 4: Yeah, I thought about taking the package with the points here,

527
00:21:31,200 --> 00:21:33,320
Speaker 4: but I'm just I don't know. I'm not confident in

528
00:21:33,520 --> 00:21:35,640
Speaker 4: either of these teams in this spot. And I guess

529
00:21:35,680 --> 00:21:37,400
Speaker 4: the thing that I'm confident the most about is balth

530
00:21:37,400 --> 00:21:39,399
Speaker 4: teams got to run the football and play defense. So

531
00:21:39,720 --> 00:21:41,399
Speaker 4: what does that mean for me? It means take the

532
00:21:41,520 --> 00:21:43,399
Speaker 4: under of the game forty five and a half points.

533
00:21:43,480 --> 00:21:45,240
Speaker 4: You look at the Eagles when they've played at home

534
00:21:45,280 --> 00:21:47,600
Speaker 4: this year, these games have been trending towards down there,

535
00:21:47,640 --> 00:21:49,920
Speaker 4: one in seven towards the over. At home games have

536
00:21:50,000 --> 00:21:53,360
Speaker 4: averaged under forty two points per game in Philadelphia. Talking

537
00:21:53,359 --> 00:21:55,240
Speaker 4: about how they both like to run the football, Eagles

538
00:21:55,400 --> 00:21:59,120
Speaker 4: Eagles finished first, pass right over expectation or excuse me last,

539
00:21:59,160 --> 00:22:01,399
Speaker 4: and pass right over expation during the regular season, and

540
00:22:01,480 --> 00:22:03,800
Speaker 4: the Packers' offense led the NFL with nearly a fifty

541
00:22:03,800 --> 00:22:06,320
Speaker 4: percent called run rate in the first half of games

542
00:22:06,359 --> 00:22:08,760
Speaker 4: this season. The Packers want to go out and run

543
00:22:08,800 --> 00:22:10,920
Speaker 4: the football, and we know that Sequel Markle is the

544
00:22:11,040 --> 00:22:13,480
Speaker 4: Eagles number one option on their offense, especially with Jalen

545
00:22:13,560 --> 00:22:14,200
Speaker 4: Hurts coming back.

546
00:22:14,440 --> 00:22:15,240
Speaker 5: Is he going to be rusty?

547
00:22:15,320 --> 00:22:17,920
Speaker 4: Hasn't played in over three weeks right now, he's missed

548
00:22:17,920 --> 00:22:20,520
Speaker 4: two games, so does he come out flat? The Eagles

549
00:22:20,560 --> 00:22:23,040
Speaker 4: offense has traditionally been this year as great as they've

550
00:22:23,119 --> 00:22:25,600
Speaker 4: been a flat offense in the first half of games,

551
00:22:25,600 --> 00:22:27,720
Speaker 4: whereas the Packers have been much better scoring in the

552
00:22:27,760 --> 00:22:30,240
Speaker 4: first halfs of games. So I like the under overall

553
00:22:30,280 --> 00:22:32,040
Speaker 4: in this game. This game, to me feels such like

554
00:22:32,080 --> 00:22:33,960
Speaker 4: a twenty three to twenty, twenty four to twenty type

555
00:22:33,960 --> 00:22:35,720
Speaker 4: of game. So that's going to get forty three or

556
00:22:35,720 --> 00:22:37,840
Speaker 4: four to four points, which gets under the forty five

557
00:22:37,840 --> 00:22:39,879
Speaker 4: and a half point total here. I think also an

558
00:22:39,880 --> 00:22:41,240
Speaker 4: interesting way to look at this if you want to

559
00:22:41,280 --> 00:22:44,159
Speaker 4: do like a same game teaser. I looked at Packers

560
00:22:44,200 --> 00:22:46,359
Speaker 4: plus ten and a half under fifteen and a half points.

561
00:22:46,720 --> 00:22:49,120
Speaker 4: That's minus one ten. So if you think the Packers

562
00:22:49,119 --> 00:22:50,840
Speaker 4: got least keep it close and not gonna lose by

563
00:22:50,880 --> 00:22:52,520
Speaker 4: more than ten points, I know, Joe, you may disagree

564
00:22:52,560 --> 00:22:54,760
Speaker 4: with that, but this game's not going over fifty points.

565
00:22:55,359 --> 00:22:57,359
Speaker 1: Uh No, I don't think it's going over fifty points.

566
00:22:57,400 --> 00:23:00,960
Speaker 1: And I'm worried about the Verierned at the very least

567
00:23:00,960 --> 00:23:03,760
Speaker 1: about the Green Bay side of the team totals and

568
00:23:03,880 --> 00:23:05,920
Speaker 1: how they keep up. So, yeah, I'm with you about

569
00:23:05,920 --> 00:23:07,359
Speaker 1: the under and I think most of this what is

570
00:23:07,400 --> 00:23:10,800
Speaker 1: a forty six and a half a forty five and

571
00:23:10,800 --> 00:23:12,840
Speaker 1: a half, forty five and a half, Yeah, I think

572
00:23:12,880 --> 00:23:15,119
Speaker 1: a good thirty of that is gonna be the Eagles.

573
00:23:15,160 --> 00:23:18,399
Speaker 1: I'm just saying that just feels like Green Bay's in

574
00:23:18,520 --> 00:23:20,960
Speaker 1: for it. Philly's gonna be ready to go, if you

575
00:23:21,000 --> 00:23:22,800
Speaker 1: know what I mean. Philly people, you hear me. You

576
00:23:22,880 --> 00:23:24,600
Speaker 1: know what I'm saying. I'm gonna get a HOGI and

577
00:23:24,600 --> 00:23:26,240
Speaker 1: a code and go watch the Eagles. That's what you're

578
00:23:26,240 --> 00:23:29,240
Speaker 1: gonna do. All right, Let's get to Tampa and Washington

579
00:23:30,040 --> 00:23:32,560
Speaker 1: next one up here. So this one, I know a

580
00:23:32,560 --> 00:23:34,560
Speaker 1: lot of people are in on as the possible upset,

581
00:23:34,600 --> 00:23:38,080
Speaker 1: and I get why. Jaden Daniels has had some spectacular moments,

582
00:23:38,600 --> 00:23:41,440
Speaker 1: especially in these big, pressureized situations, especially when you count

583
00:23:41,480 --> 00:23:44,200
Speaker 1: them out. You just can't because he keeps making big

584
00:23:44,240 --> 00:23:46,400
Speaker 1: play after big play. Twelve touchdowns in the fourth quarter

585
00:23:46,480 --> 00:23:49,560
Speaker 1: and in overtime this year. Twelve. That's incredible, especially for

586
00:23:49,640 --> 00:23:53,200
Speaker 1: a rookie. But Terrell Ferman Junior, what side of this

587
00:23:53,280 --> 00:23:53,920
Speaker 1: game are you on?

588
00:23:54,720 --> 00:23:56,840
Speaker 2: I mean, why does he have to have twelve touchdowns

589
00:23:56,880 --> 00:23:59,360
Speaker 2: in the fourth quarter in overtime. It's because they're constantly

590
00:23:59,480 --> 00:24:03,520
Speaker 2: down in those situations, Like why are like, why are

591
00:24:03,560 --> 00:24:05,240
Speaker 2: you constantly down in these situations?

592
00:24:05,280 --> 00:24:07,560
Speaker 3: And at one point, I mean, that.

593
00:24:07,800 --> 00:24:10,400
Speaker 2: Little horseshoe that's stuck up your behind is gonna come

594
00:24:10,800 --> 00:24:13,440
Speaker 2: plopping right on out, And it might be in the

595
00:24:13,440 --> 00:24:15,879
Speaker 2: biggest moment, which is in the playoffs. And I mean,

596
00:24:16,160 --> 00:24:18,520
Speaker 2: this Tampa Bay team is playoffs tested. They've been there

597
00:24:18,880 --> 00:24:22,720
Speaker 2: numerous of times with different quarterbacks, different different coaches, different systems,

598
00:24:22,760 --> 00:24:25,159
Speaker 2: and they continuously get back and they continuously go in

599
00:24:25,200 --> 00:24:27,520
Speaker 2: there win a game. And so I'm looking at the

600
00:24:27,600 --> 00:24:29,520
Speaker 2: last few games. Yes, they won five games to get

601
00:24:29,560 --> 00:24:32,920
Speaker 2: into the playoffs. Did the Commanders. They had to come

602
00:24:33,000 --> 00:24:36,919
Speaker 2: back against New Orleans. They had to come back against

603
00:24:36,920 --> 00:24:39,080
Speaker 2: the Eagles who were down Jalen Hurts at that point,

604
00:24:39,440 --> 00:24:41,919
Speaker 2: They had to come back against Michael Pennix, they had

605
00:24:41,960 --> 00:24:45,280
Speaker 2: to come back against whoever the Dallas Cowboys were charting

606
00:24:45,320 --> 00:24:48,480
Speaker 2: out out there like that. If there was anybody that

607
00:24:48,640 --> 00:24:50,560
Speaker 2: won and limped their way into the playoffs, it was

608
00:24:50,600 --> 00:24:54,480
Speaker 2: the Washington Commanders. And whereas yeah, Tampa Bay had a

609
00:24:54,560 --> 00:24:57,639
Speaker 2: really really down spot last time out, going up against

610
00:24:57,680 --> 00:24:59,560
Speaker 2: New Orleans. But I think that they're locked in here

611
00:24:59,640 --> 00:25:01,679
Speaker 2: for this. There's no more Hey, we're trying to get

612
00:25:01,720 --> 00:25:04,159
Speaker 2: Mike Evans this thing. We're trying to worry about his centips.

613
00:25:04,560 --> 00:25:07,600
Speaker 2: Like all the focus is now on winning this game.

614
00:25:07,720 --> 00:25:09,639
Speaker 2: They were able to get it done earlier this season.

615
00:25:09,920 --> 00:25:11,720
Speaker 2: I think they can get it done here again. I'm

616
00:25:11,760 --> 00:25:13,560
Speaker 2: back in the Sama Bay Buccaneers. It does feel like

617
00:25:13,640 --> 00:25:16,119
Speaker 2: this is a very trendy dog here. But I just

618
00:25:16,160 --> 00:25:18,480
Speaker 2: don't feel good in anything I've seen from the commanders

619
00:25:18,520 --> 00:25:20,159
Speaker 2: in the last couple of games to say, hey, if

620
00:25:20,200 --> 00:25:21,880
Speaker 2: you have a fourth quarter lead in a playoff shit

621
00:25:21,920 --> 00:25:24,320
Speaker 2: and one hundred percent come back, or yeah, you're down

622
00:25:24,400 --> 00:25:26,040
Speaker 2: four quarter in playoff share, one hundred percent going to

623
00:25:26,040 --> 00:25:26,320
Speaker 2: come back.

624
00:25:26,320 --> 00:25:28,240
Speaker 1: Look, man, I've been talking about all year that Baker

625
00:25:28,280 --> 00:25:31,000
Speaker 1: Mayfield's not getting enough of his due, enough flowers for

626
00:25:31,359 --> 00:25:34,560
Speaker 1: how well he's played. They have had adversity on this roster.

627
00:25:34,760 --> 00:25:37,240
Speaker 1: I know, the divisions a little weaker, so people will

628
00:25:37,240 --> 00:25:39,440
Speaker 1: dismiss it a little bit, but hey, this was a

629
00:25:39,480 --> 00:25:41,600
Speaker 1: playoff team last year. They beat the Eagles in the playoffs.

630
00:25:41,600 --> 00:25:43,639
Speaker 1: They beat them in their own building there in Tampa.

631
00:25:43,800 --> 00:25:45,600
Speaker 1: And Andrew I think they can do it again. What

632
00:25:45,680 --> 00:25:46,120
Speaker 1: do you think?

633
00:25:47,280 --> 00:25:49,880
Speaker 5: I'm all the Commanders here. I like the Commander's money line.

634
00:25:50,160 --> 00:25:52,200
Speaker 5: I think that's the play. I like this game.

635
00:25:52,240 --> 00:25:54,359
Speaker 4: Again, it's not my best bet because I think that

636
00:25:54,720 --> 00:25:56,440
Speaker 4: the most comfortable way to win this game is to

637
00:25:56,520 --> 00:26:00,200
Speaker 4: take the over because ultimately, talking about how good the

638
00:26:00,200 --> 00:26:01,639
Speaker 4: Commander has been in the fourth quarter, well you know

639
00:26:01,640 --> 00:26:03,200
Speaker 4: who's right up there with them in points scored in

640
00:26:03,200 --> 00:26:06,399
Speaker 4: the fourth quarter, Tama Bay Buccaneers. So I think that

641
00:26:06,480 --> 00:26:08,640
Speaker 4: this game is going to come down to a last possession.

642
00:26:09,119 --> 00:26:11,320
Speaker 4: And this was brought to my attention from steamed Ham

643
00:26:11,560 --> 00:26:14,720
Speaker 4: on X about Mike Evans. Oh you got your said

644
00:26:14,720 --> 00:26:16,680
Speaker 4: it's a great job against the Saints who didn't have

645
00:26:16,720 --> 00:26:19,280
Speaker 4: Marshall Lattimore. Well you know who's suiting up this week.

646
00:26:19,600 --> 00:26:25,560
Speaker 4: They're going to be for the Washington Commanders. So Steve Ham,

647
00:26:26,280 --> 00:26:28,840
Speaker 4: forgive me that. I think that's gonna put Tampa Bay

648
00:26:28,920 --> 00:26:31,440
Speaker 4: in a potential bind here. Yes, McMillan has been balling out,

649
00:26:31,480 --> 00:26:33,920
Speaker 4: but Mike Evens is still their best wide receiver weapon.

650
00:26:33,960 --> 00:26:35,680
Speaker 4: If he gets eliminated from this game, are we getting

651
00:26:35,720 --> 00:26:38,680
Speaker 4: Baker Mayfield forcing the ball to guys like McMillan Kate

652
00:26:38,720 --> 00:26:40,280
Speaker 4: auten Sterling Shepherd.

653
00:26:40,720 --> 00:26:42,919
Speaker 5: That is that really the guy's work he has.

654
00:26:43,119 --> 00:26:45,920
Speaker 2: He has good familiarity with the Washington commanders, I will

655
00:26:46,040 --> 00:26:48,040
Speaker 2: say that, very good familiarity with that scene.

656
00:26:48,200 --> 00:26:50,000
Speaker 1: And McMillan stepped up though in this Voyd in the

657
00:26:50,040 --> 00:26:52,040
Speaker 1: last couple of weeks is really good.

658
00:26:52,440 --> 00:26:54,720
Speaker 4: Don't know, there's a lot of there's how are the

659
00:26:55,040 --> 00:26:57,600
Speaker 4: I don't expect the Buccaneers secondaror to stop Terry mclaughran.

660
00:26:57,720 --> 00:26:58,960
Speaker 5: I mean, he's had one of his best he does.

661
00:26:59,480 --> 00:27:02,320
Speaker 1: I think I think the Path is probably a close game,

662
00:27:03,200 --> 00:27:05,760
Speaker 1: a big day for McLaurin, you know, and maybe this

663
00:27:05,840 --> 00:27:07,560
Speaker 1: does get into a little bit of a shootout, and

664
00:27:08,040 --> 00:27:11,680
Speaker 1: on top of that, probably an unders for Mike Evans. Uh.

665
00:27:12,119 --> 00:27:14,119
Speaker 1: And I think everybody will bet the overs on him

666
00:27:14,160 --> 00:27:16,000
Speaker 1: despite the fact that it's high numbers, not just because

667
00:27:16,000 --> 00:27:18,879
Speaker 1: a lotimore but also because you know, like Mike Evans

668
00:27:19,560 --> 00:27:22,160
Speaker 1: is not always the guy ripping off one hundred yard

669
00:27:22,200 --> 00:27:24,320
Speaker 1: games necessarily, that's not always his game. You know, he's

670
00:27:24,320 --> 00:27:25,560
Speaker 1: that guy you like in the red zone. He's that

671
00:27:25,560 --> 00:27:28,720
Speaker 1: guy scores touchdowns. McMillan props, on the other hand, are smaller.

672
00:27:28,920 --> 00:27:30,639
Speaker 1: I like them. We'll talk more about that on the

673
00:27:30,680 --> 00:27:32,640
Speaker 1: prop show coming up soon here. Don't forget.

674
00:27:32,800 --> 00:27:33,560
Speaker 3: I will try to.

675
00:27:33,560 --> 00:27:36,440
Speaker 2: Watch that go ahead to there's not one hundred percent chance.

676
00:27:36,600 --> 00:27:38,159
Speaker 2: I don't want to because people are gonna come in

677
00:27:38,160 --> 00:27:40,320
Speaker 2: to comments. He's a giantsman, he's just hating. There's not

678
00:27:40,359 --> 00:27:42,960
Speaker 2: one hundred percent chance that Marshall Lattimer finishes this game.

679
00:27:43,240 --> 00:27:45,080
Speaker 2: I would just looking out his tenure.

680
00:27:45,160 --> 00:27:47,400
Speaker 5: Mike Evans says, you have to finish a game against Marshal.

681
00:27:47,119 --> 00:27:51,000
Speaker 2: Latimore, so there might not be a I mean there's

682
00:27:51,040 --> 00:27:52,840
Speaker 2: a good chance that as we watched this game, we

683
00:27:52,920 --> 00:27:55,000
Speaker 2: might not see Mike Evans or Marshall latta.

684
00:27:54,760 --> 00:27:56,400
Speaker 5: I mean if they both get ejected. It's a way

685
00:27:56,440 --> 00:27:57,800
Speaker 5: with the Commanders, though, Like.

686
00:27:58,560 --> 00:28:00,440
Speaker 3: I don't know, because then you got to put Juiced

687
00:28:00,440 --> 00:28:05,199
Speaker 3: out there, and he sucks. He sucks like anybody's cooking him.

688
00:28:05,240 --> 00:28:05,720
Speaker 1: So I don't know.

689
00:28:06,200 --> 00:28:07,960
Speaker 4: I will get back to I didn't really hit on

690
00:28:08,040 --> 00:28:10,040
Speaker 4: why like the over in this game. So again, I'm

691
00:28:10,080 --> 00:28:12,960
Speaker 4: looking at just nine of the Commander's last twelve road

692
00:28:12,960 --> 00:28:15,760
Speaker 4: games have gone over the total when Washington hasn't allowed

693
00:28:15,800 --> 00:28:17,879
Speaker 4: twenty points on defense, so they're eight and four towards

694
00:28:17,920 --> 00:28:19,960
Speaker 4: the under when they allow at least twenty points. At

695
00:28:20,000 --> 00:28:23,400
Speaker 4: the beginning of last year eighteen and four towards the over,

696
00:28:23,440 --> 00:28:25,159
Speaker 4: I mean, the Buccaneers are gonna score twenty points. Like,

697
00:28:25,200 --> 00:28:28,080
Speaker 4: I feel pretty confident about that happening. The Buccaneers' home

698
00:28:28,119 --> 00:28:30,400
Speaker 4: games have gone over, averaging fifty one points per game.

699
00:28:30,800 --> 00:28:33,720
Speaker 4: Talked about the fourth quarter. Yes, maybe we have a

700
00:28:34,000 --> 00:28:36,080
Speaker 4: you know, twenty twenty game heading into the fourth quarter,

701
00:28:36,200 --> 00:28:38,440
Speaker 4: and then you just see these two quarterbacks take over.

702
00:28:38,600 --> 00:28:40,320
Speaker 4: And that's just why I don't feel confident about with

703
00:28:40,440 --> 00:28:42,280
Speaker 4: the spread, because I think it's gonna come down to

704
00:28:42,600 --> 00:28:45,480
Speaker 4: one of these quarterbacks making a play when it matters

705
00:28:45,560 --> 00:28:47,480
Speaker 4: most in the fourth quarters. So I think you're gonna

706
00:28:47,480 --> 00:28:49,280
Speaker 4: be sweating in Terrell even if you end up being

707
00:28:49,360 --> 00:28:51,360
Speaker 4: right here with the Buccaneers minus three. But I'm gonna

708
00:28:51,360 --> 00:28:52,640
Speaker 4: feel good about taking the over.

709
00:28:52,800 --> 00:28:53,880
Speaker 3: I'm in it for the sweat, man.

710
00:28:54,480 --> 00:28:58,640
Speaker 2: I mean sometimes sometimes those those blowout wins, Yeah, yeah,

711
00:28:58,800 --> 00:29:00,480
Speaker 2: you feel good, that's your best going to hit. But

712
00:29:00,600 --> 00:29:03,600
Speaker 2: like the sweat gets the dopamine going, Like that's the

713
00:29:03,720 --> 00:29:05,320
Speaker 2: party gets the people only that is true.

714
00:29:05,480 --> 00:29:07,400
Speaker 4: My favorite trend when it comes to the over, And

715
00:29:07,480 --> 00:29:10,040
Speaker 4: I mentioned this on the live stream. Joe when you

716
00:29:10,080 --> 00:29:11,920
Speaker 4: look at the Buccaneers when they played in games where

717
00:29:11,960 --> 00:29:14,920
Speaker 4: they've either been a favorite by four and a half

718
00:29:14,960 --> 00:29:16,800
Speaker 4: points or less or an underdog by four and a

719
00:29:16,800 --> 00:29:19,800
Speaker 4: half points or less. Eight games they played with those

720
00:29:19,800 --> 00:29:22,320
Speaker 4: types of spreads eight and no towards the over. So

721
00:29:22,560 --> 00:29:24,400
Speaker 4: when the market has suggested, hey, this game is going

722
00:29:24,440 --> 00:29:27,000
Speaker 4: to be close and back and forth, it's been exactly that,

723
00:29:27,160 --> 00:29:29,600
Speaker 4: and it's been a shootout. So Sunday night football gets

724
00:29:29,600 --> 00:29:31,320
Speaker 4: you popcorn. We're going to get points and I'm looking

725
00:29:31,360 --> 00:29:34,240
Speaker 4: to see which quarterback steps up and the fourth quarter.

726
00:29:34,320 --> 00:29:35,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, I do agree, there will be points that I

727
00:29:36,000 --> 00:29:37,840
Speaker 1: do agree. It's going to be I think, close to

728
00:29:37,920 --> 00:29:40,960
Speaker 1: the end one way or another. So the other thing

729
00:29:41,120 --> 00:29:44,000
Speaker 1: we were talking about, too is most of the time

730
00:29:44,600 --> 00:29:47,720
Speaker 1: there's a game that goes sideways here and you know,

731
00:29:47,800 --> 00:29:50,680
Speaker 1: I always like to do an upset special here, upset

732
00:29:50,720 --> 00:29:53,120
Speaker 1: special this week are no upsets.

733
00:29:53,560 --> 00:29:55,480
Speaker 3: This is so unbocoming of you.

734
00:29:55,680 --> 00:29:59,760
Speaker 1: The upset special is there are no upsets of the favorite.

735
00:30:00,040 --> 00:30:01,920
Speaker 3: Seat quiet with this, but no.

736
00:30:02,120 --> 00:30:02,680
Speaker 1: But that's okay.

737
00:30:02,840 --> 00:30:08,000
Speaker 3: You know he's no dog, no dogs, there's no dog

738
00:30:08,080 --> 00:30:08,560
Speaker 3: that can win.

739
00:30:08,800 --> 00:30:11,200
Speaker 1: I think there's dogs that can win. I think that

740
00:30:11,280 --> 00:30:13,560
Speaker 1: there's dogs that can cover. At the end of the day,

741
00:30:13,600 --> 00:30:15,120
Speaker 1: do I think any of them are gonna win out right?

742
00:30:15,160 --> 00:30:18,440
Speaker 1: And I just don't think they are. And that's my

743
00:30:18,640 --> 00:30:22,400
Speaker 1: take on this. Again. I liken it to a UFC

744
00:30:22,600 --> 00:30:25,000
Speaker 1: or a boxing thing. I think some of these teams

745
00:30:25,080 --> 00:30:27,760
Speaker 1: are punching out of their weight class and some of

746
00:30:27,840 --> 00:30:30,560
Speaker 1: these teams that are more experienced that coaches that have

747
00:30:30,640 --> 00:30:32,200
Speaker 1: been there, done that a little bit more. Now the

748
00:30:32,280 --> 00:30:33,960
Speaker 1: RAMS are the one's a little bit more delicate. But

749
00:30:34,280 --> 00:30:37,080
Speaker 1: again with this imminent move potentially happening, I really don't

750
00:30:37,200 --> 00:30:40,520
Speaker 1: like that for the Rams. I think that throws them off.

751
00:30:41,440 --> 00:30:43,240
Speaker 1: You know, when you know, all of a sudden, now

752
00:30:43,280 --> 00:30:46,320
Speaker 1: you're traveling. And more to that point too, Let's be honest,

753
00:30:46,520 --> 00:30:48,840
Speaker 1: a fourteen to two team should not have to travel.

754
00:30:49,440 --> 00:30:51,000
Speaker 1: Let me just put that out there, like I don't know,

755
00:30:51,080 --> 00:30:53,520
Speaker 1: I don't about you guys, like fourteen two, you know,

756
00:30:53,640 --> 00:30:57,600
Speaker 1: fourteen three, Like should you be the teams that? Yeah,

757
00:30:57,680 --> 00:31:00,280
Speaker 1: I get whatever, but I mean this whole no, should

758
00:31:00,320 --> 00:31:01,920
Speaker 1: just because you win your division with ten wins or

759
00:31:01,920 --> 00:31:03,880
Speaker 1: something like that, that you should host a home playoff

760
00:31:03,880 --> 00:31:07,120
Speaker 1: game I think is stupid, Like win more games, that's

761
00:31:07,160 --> 00:31:09,040
Speaker 1: what especially for the weak division. You barely win it

762
00:31:09,120 --> 00:31:09,640
Speaker 1: with that games.

763
00:31:10,560 --> 00:31:13,000
Speaker 3: They could have literally won one game and been at home.

764
00:31:13,440 --> 00:31:15,440
Speaker 5: Joe. If that was true, we would never would have

765
00:31:15,440 --> 00:31:16,400
Speaker 5: got the beast Quake game.

766
00:31:16,600 --> 00:31:20,840
Speaker 1: So well, look, I think you should at the end

767
00:31:20,880 --> 00:31:22,720
Speaker 1: of the day, recede is what I think.

768
00:31:22,800 --> 00:31:25,280
Speaker 5: I think, be happy with this.

769
00:31:26,160 --> 00:31:28,720
Speaker 1: What else but upset special They won that game?

770
00:31:29,240 --> 00:31:29,920
Speaker 5: No upsets.

771
00:31:30,160 --> 00:31:31,680
Speaker 1: I know you're gonna visit. So what do we do

772
00:31:31,760 --> 00:31:34,600
Speaker 1: about this? Well, we take my favorite favorites and we

773
00:31:34,720 --> 00:31:36,320
Speaker 1: put them all together and the ones that I feel

774
00:31:36,320 --> 00:31:39,280
Speaker 1: the best about. Now, where's the variants? Maybe the Rams,

775
00:31:39,360 --> 00:31:42,080
Speaker 1: maybe the Commanders. I think that's the biggest opportunity for variants.

776
00:31:42,200 --> 00:31:44,760
Speaker 1: I'm gonna put my money with the coaches and the quarterbacks,

777
00:31:44,800 --> 00:31:47,560
Speaker 1: and I feel most confident in in this first weekend.

778
00:31:47,680 --> 00:31:49,600
Speaker 1: So give me the Chargers on the money line, give

779
00:31:49,640 --> 00:31:51,680
Speaker 1: me the Ravens on the money line, give me the

780
00:31:51,720 --> 00:31:54,560
Speaker 1: Buffalo Bills on the money line, and the Eagles on

781
00:31:54,600 --> 00:31:56,000
Speaker 1: the money line. You put them together to get plus

782
00:31:56,040 --> 00:31:58,040
Speaker 1: two thirty three. So you put a couple of units

783
00:31:58,080 --> 00:31:59,960
Speaker 1: on that. Instead of trying to create too much variance,

784
00:32:00,400 --> 00:32:02,280
Speaker 1: try to throw in this or that or what if

785
00:32:02,320 --> 00:32:05,480
Speaker 1: this happens because things will go sideways. The things I

786
00:32:05,640 --> 00:32:08,320
Speaker 1: feel very confident on those four teams are gonna be

787
00:32:08,400 --> 00:32:10,720
Speaker 1: moving on to Week two and Round two of the

788
00:32:10,720 --> 00:32:13,600
Speaker 1: divisional round of the NFL Playoffs, So I'd rather invest

789
00:32:13,680 --> 00:32:15,600
Speaker 1: heavier in those than try to add more variants or

790
00:32:15,640 --> 00:32:18,560
Speaker 1: try to get cute. Like the guys here sometimes get cute.

791
00:32:18,600 --> 00:32:19,480
Speaker 1: I'm not getting cute.

792
00:32:19,880 --> 00:32:21,920
Speaker 5: Is this is the parlay we talked about on the

793
00:32:22,160 --> 00:32:22,920
Speaker 5: look Ahead show.

794
00:32:22,840 --> 00:32:25,240
Speaker 1: Right it is, and I am endorsing it.

795
00:32:27,000 --> 00:32:29,840
Speaker 3: Proved so glad at all the chalk that you have.

796
00:32:30,480 --> 00:32:31,880
Speaker 1: Let me tell you, man, I'm gonna go out and

797
00:32:31,920 --> 00:32:34,960
Speaker 1: I'm gonna get that that blackboard out and I'm gonna

798
00:32:35,800 --> 00:32:37,520
Speaker 1: shine it up real nice, and I'm gonna draw it

799
00:32:37,600 --> 00:32:41,920
Speaker 1: all the chalk with all the dollar signs that my

800
00:32:42,120 --> 00:32:45,720
Speaker 1: favorite favorites by Joe Pisapia. This is my uh, this

801
00:32:45,880 --> 00:32:48,080
Speaker 1: is what I'm bringing here to the class this week,

802
00:32:48,480 --> 00:32:51,080
Speaker 1: in the first week of the wild guard here in

803
00:32:51,120 --> 00:32:52,960
Speaker 1: the NFL Playoffs. But we love to hear from you,

804
00:32:53,280 --> 00:32:55,760
Speaker 1: so drop your comments below. Tell us which games you're

805
00:32:55,800 --> 00:32:58,520
Speaker 1: in on, who's gonna be the big upset of the week,

806
00:32:58,560 --> 00:33:00,360
Speaker 1: and why I'm wrong. I love to hear that, and

807
00:33:00,480 --> 00:33:03,360
Speaker 1: of course give us all of your picks, drop them

808
00:33:03,400 --> 00:33:05,000
Speaker 1: in there and ring the belts of that goes ding

809
00:33:05,120 --> 00:33:08,120
Speaker 1: for notifications too. That way, you don't miss our live

810
00:33:08,160 --> 00:33:14,080
Speaker 1: stream in game Live Betting Saturday, Texans Chargers Bogman Pi's

811
00:33:14,120 --> 00:33:16,480
Speaker 1: a Pia doesn't get much better than that, folks, So

812
00:33:16,680 --> 00:33:19,200
Speaker 1: be with us for the in game live experience. We

813
00:33:19,240 --> 00:33:21,000
Speaker 1: want to hang out with you, watch the games together,

814
00:33:21,400 --> 00:33:23,320
Speaker 1: and hopefully make some cash. That'll do for us, but

815
00:33:23,400 --> 00:33:26,040
Speaker 1: the story of the game goes on for Derell Furman

816
00:33:26,080 --> 00:33:29,320
Speaker 1: and Andrew Ericson. I'm Joey p. We'll see you next time. Kids.

817
00:33:30,680 --> 00:33:33,280
Speaker 1: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

818
00:33:33,360 --> 00:33:35,680
Speaker 1: love the show, the best freeway to support us is

819
00:33:35,720 --> 00:33:39,120
Speaker 1: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.

820
00:33:39,440 --> 00:33:42,040
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821
00:33:42,160 --> 00:33:45,800
Speaker 2: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube

822
00:33:45,880 --> 00:33:48,320
Speaker 2: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros