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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you happy? Monday? Welcome into

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Speaker 1: a new episode of the Daily Juice podcast with me

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Speaker 1: Matt Perrault. You guys can follow me across all of

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Speaker 1: my socials at Sports Talk Matt, and we are back

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Speaker 1: after our winning Sunday in a winning week for US,

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Speaker 1: up nearly four units on the week, so that's a

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Speaker 1: nice way to head into the Thanksgiving Day holiday season.

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Speaker 1: We push on the Chiefs in overtime that was somewhat fortuitous.

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Speaker 1: We got a break there the Cowboys with the outright win,

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Speaker 1: down twenty one nothing, they rally to win the game,

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Speaker 1: cover and win outright. Patriots Lions teaser comes in thanks

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Speaker 1: to an overtime touchdown by the Lions. Patriots survived a

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Speaker 1: late charged by the Bengals, so we got that right.

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Speaker 1: The Cardinals covered, but the Bucks got killed thirty four

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Speaker 1: to seven. Baker Mayfield got hurt. Our bet on the

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Speaker 1: Bucks to win the division not looking great with Baker

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Speaker 1: Mayfield maybe missing some time here for Tampa and then

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Speaker 1: the Raiders under thirty six and a half that comes

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Speaker 1: in twenty four to ten. The final Ashador Sanders breaks

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Speaker 1: that streak for rookie quarterbacks starting their first ever game

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Speaker 1: for the Cleveland Browns being zh to seventeen before yesterday.

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Speaker 1: He wins now one in seventeen. And the wake of

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Speaker 1: that is Chip Kelly, the highest paid offensive coordinator in football,

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Speaker 1: has been fired tonight here in Las Vegas. And that

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Speaker 1: was a long time coming. I mean, the Raiders offense

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Speaker 1: was pathetic. They gave up ten sacks two Miles Garrett

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Speaker 1: and the Browns. Miles Garrett had three himself. They couldn't

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Speaker 1: do anything ASHTINENTI prop went over for us. We got

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Speaker 1: that right. We end up going two and one on

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Speaker 1: our prop bets overall, a five two in one day

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Speaker 1: for us here with the Daily Juice with picks from yesterday.

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Speaker 1: So a very good day yesterday and a good run

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Speaker 1: here as we head into the week. So looking forward

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Speaker 1: to seeing what's going to happen with everything tonight. So

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Speaker 1: we have Monday Night football tonight. We have the Niners

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Speaker 1: hosting the Panthers. We've got two bets in that game.

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Speaker 1: I want to give you, guys, and then I bet

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Speaker 1: one hockey play that I want to get into and

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Speaker 1: I don't normally bet this. I'm going to try to,

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Speaker 1: you know, kind of thread the needle a little bit

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Speaker 1: here with what I'm going to do here for the

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Speaker 1: hockey bet and normally I bet on streaks. I'm actually

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Speaker 1: going to be betting against a streak, and that's not

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Speaker 1: something I typically do. But the Niners winning tonight wouldn't

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Speaker 1: be horrible for us because we have the Niners to

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Speaker 1: win the division. So let's see if the Niners can

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Speaker 1: win this, beat the Panthers and keep them a game

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Speaker 1: back of the Bucks who got beat last night. So

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Speaker 1: we're hoping that we see all you know, this go

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Speaker 1: the way we wanted to go. Now, a couple of things.

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Speaker 1: There is a travel day for me coming today, so

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Speaker 1: I will be flying out of Vegas, and so I

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Speaker 1: am doing the Bostonian Versus the Book early. Normally I

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Speaker 1: do it at one o'clock Eastern. I'm doing it at

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Speaker 1: noon Eastern time, so that show will air earlier than normal.

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Speaker 1: So if you watch BVB, know the show is going

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Speaker 1: to air at noon eastern nine am Pacific time because

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Speaker 1: i'd get to the airport for my flight, which is

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Speaker 1: at like one thirty I think my flight is, so

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Speaker 1: I have to get to the airport. So because of that,

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Speaker 1: I will tape this and drop it like we normally do.

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Speaker 1: I will tape Tuesday's podcast on Monday morning, so in

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Speaker 1: case of line movement or any major news, just be

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Speaker 1: aware that I'm going to be placing bets on Monday

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Speaker 1: before I leave Las Vegas for the Tuesday episode of

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Speaker 1: The Daily Juice. I will then go ahead and drop

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Speaker 1: that podcast. I'm not sure. Probably, I'll probably have the

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Speaker 1: betting pros people drop it for me because I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: be in the air for most of the day, so

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Speaker 1: I'll probably have them put it out overnight. So just know,

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Speaker 1: I'll tape it in the morning and then we'll go

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Speaker 1: back to a normal cadence of morning morning okay morning podcasts.

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Speaker 1: In fact, you know what, we're gonna tape the podcast

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Speaker 1: on Tuesday morning. Okay, so no, we're not gonna do that.

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Speaker 1: Let me correct myself. I apologize. I forgot. We're on

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Speaker 1: the East Coast, so Tuesday Morning's podcast will be done

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Speaker 1: in on the East Coast, so it heads up on that.

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Speaker 1: So there we go. I won't be taping it in

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Speaker 1: the morning, We'll tape it Tuesday day off, So Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, Saturday.

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Speaker 1: Those five shows, those five daily Juices always. All will

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Speaker 1: be taped in the morning, okay, dropped Eastern time in

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Speaker 1: the morning, probably somewhere around like seven eight am Pacific

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Speaker 1: Eastern time every morning for the Daily Juice, So heads

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Speaker 1: up on that. I apologize for that. But BBB will

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Speaker 1: be early on Monday noon Eastern and then Tuesday Wednesday

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Speaker 1: it'll be one o'clock pm normally normal schedule time off

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Speaker 1: of at Boston versus the book on YouTube and x

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Speaker 1: for the show to be shown live for that, So

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Speaker 1: in case you were watching that, that's going to be

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Speaker 1: the schedule. I'm traveling long winded, long way of getting

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Speaker 1: all the way around as to what's talking about what's

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Speaker 1: talk about this game tonight. Let's start with the first half.

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Speaker 1: San Francisco laying four up against a Panthers team coming

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Speaker 1: off of a really big performance last week, big win

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Speaker 1: over the Falcons. Bryce Young threw for like five thousand yards.

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Speaker 1: He had his best day as a pro throwing the

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Speaker 1: football against the Falcons last week. However, the Panthers and

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Speaker 1: Bryce Young have a really bad history in the first half.

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Speaker 1: Carolina this year is three to eight ats wise excuse me,

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Speaker 1: ats wise in the first half. That is the worst

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Speaker 1: in the NFL. Bryce Young as a starter in his

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Speaker 1: career is thirteen and twenty five in the first half

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Speaker 1: ats as a starter. That equal is the worst mark

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Speaker 1: of any starting quarterback in the NFL. I think this

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Speaker 1: is going to be a fast start for the forty

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Speaker 1: nine ers. I think they will have a touchdown or

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Speaker 1: more lead at the break, and I think they will

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Speaker 1: look to control this football game pretty early. But I

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Speaker 1: don't like the second half for the forty nine ers.

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Speaker 1: I think both teams are going to score. I don't

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Speaker 1: like this Niner defense for four quarters. I think it

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Speaker 1: could get tired. There's so many injuries up and down

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Speaker 1: that defense for the forty nine ers, and I think

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Speaker 1: we could see a backdoor cover potentially. I don't like

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Speaker 1: the seven or seven and a half for the forty

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Speaker 1: nine ers. That worries me. I think there could very

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Speaker 1: easily be a fourth quarter score that gets us. I

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Speaker 1: don't want to same game tease this because I'm not

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Speaker 1: exactly positive that the Panthers don't. You know, I'm not

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Speaker 1: going to rule them out winning this game. Giving the

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Speaker 1: way the Niners have been, how banged up they've been

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Speaker 1: rock Party in Company in primetime. I mean, there's been

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Speaker 1: some pretty bad numbers here for Kyle Shanahan as six

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Speaker 1: point or more favorites in night games. Straight up, the

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Speaker 1: Niners are nine to four, but against the number, they're

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Speaker 1: four and nine ATS and since Christmas of twenty three,

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Speaker 1: they are zero to three when Kyle Shanahan is favored

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Speaker 1: by this much ats wise, So I'm not comfortable here,

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Speaker 1: just given the history for Kyle Shanahan. I'm just not

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Speaker 1: comfortable with them in the fourth quarter. I'd rather get

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Speaker 1: away from it. So I'm gonna go first quarter, sorry,

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Speaker 1: first half. Rather, I'm going to lay the four points

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Speaker 1: with the first half for San Francisco. San fran minus

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Speaker 1: four in the first half up against Carolina to have

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Speaker 1: a four point or more lead heading into the break

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Speaker 1: here in the first half. Now, I do have a

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Speaker 1: full game bet for it, and it's the total of

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Speaker 1: forty nine and a half. And when you look at

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Speaker 1: the total for these two teams and how they've been

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Speaker 1: playing recently, there's been a lot of offense for both

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Speaker 1: these teams. Defensively not great last week thirty points scored

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Speaker 1: for the Panthers. The week before went under at home

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Speaker 1: home against New Orleans. That was the seventeen to seven

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Speaker 1: snooze fest. Then against Green Bay it went under by

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Speaker 1: fourteen points because it was forty three. It was a

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Speaker 1: sixteen to thirteen final. They won the game by three.

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Speaker 1: On the road against the Packers. But the game against

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Speaker 1: Buffalo forty seven and a half was the total forty

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Speaker 1: to nine. They lost. That game went over by a

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Speaker 1: half one and a half points. But the real key

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Speaker 1: comes down to San Francisco. Last three games have gone over.

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Speaker 1: In seven of the last ten games this season for

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Speaker 1: San Francisco have gone over. In fact, if you go

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Speaker 1: all the way back to the twenty eighth of September

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Speaker 1: for San Francisco, we're talking six and two, actually sorry,

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Speaker 1: six to one and one to the over for San Francisco.

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Speaker 1: Last week they scored forty one points against Arizona forty

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Speaker 1: one to twenty two. Game went over by forty eight, sorry,

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Speaker 1: by fourteen and a half points. Against the Rams in

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Speaker 1: their last home game, they lost the game forty two

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Speaker 1: to twenty six. The game had a forty nine and

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Speaker 1: a half total. This one did does it went over

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Speaker 1: by eighteen and a half points. And against the Giants

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Speaker 1: on the road thirty four to twenty four, they had

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Speaker 1: a forty seven and a half total. Game went over

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Speaker 1: by ten and a half points. So last three games

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Speaker 1: have cleared the total by double digits. And I think

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Speaker 1: the Panthers are going to be able to score on

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Speaker 1: this Niners defense and vice versa. I expect christ McCaffrey

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Speaker 1: and Brock Purty to put up numbers now forty one

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Speaker 1: like they did last week against Arizona. Probably not, but

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Speaker 1: I do think they score thirty and I do think

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Speaker 1: they're going to give up twenty. I think it's a

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Speaker 1: thirty to twenty type final potential, maybe in a thirty

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Speaker 1: twenty seven type final. Here in this game, I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: bet the over over forty nine and a half for

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Speaker 1: one point one unit, so two plays in the NHL, sorry,

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Speaker 1: in the NFL, sorry for Monday Night Football first half

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Speaker 1: San Francisco laying four in the first half at MIS

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Speaker 1: one ten and the over forty nine and a half

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Speaker 1: for San Francisco in Carolina for the game. Now things,

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Speaker 1: we have a hockey play that isn't all that normal,

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Speaker 1: and I'm gonna admit it's not all that normal for

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Speaker 1: me to go ahead and jump in, but I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: jump in anyway. The reason is Washington has had eleven

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Speaker 1: straight games where they've had a goal in the first

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Speaker 1: ten minutes. But it's really juicy. It's minus one fifty

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Speaker 1: five to bet the yes, but the no is plus

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Speaker 1: one twenty and Washington is playing Columbus, who is one

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Speaker 1: of the worst teams for a first period over and

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Speaker 1: for a goal in the first ten minutes in the NHL.

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Speaker 1: We just haven't seen it all that often out of

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Speaker 1: this team. Now, if you like betting trends like I do,

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Speaker 1: you would say go ahead and bet on Washington eleven

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Speaker 1: games in a row, bet the streak. It's too juicy

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Speaker 1: to bet the streak even with eleven straight. So you

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Speaker 1: look at Columbus and what they have done for a

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Speaker 1: goal in the first ten minutes so far this year Columbus,

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Speaker 1: and you know they're fifty percent twelve of twenty two,

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Speaker 1: fifty four percent. But only three of the last ten

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Speaker 1: games for Columbus have gone to a gift a goal

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Speaker 1: in the first ten minutes, that's thirty percent. A big

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Speaker 1: reason is Jet grieves. They're starting goaltender. Against the Detroit

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Speaker 1: Red Wings, he gave up four goals, but he gave

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Speaker 1: up It was one nothing after the first period, and

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Speaker 1: Columbus scored in the fourteen minute mark. No gift up.

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Speaker 1: Against Toronto, no goals were scored at all in the

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Speaker 1: first period between Columbus and Toronto upan excuse me up.

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Speaker 1: Against the Montreal canadi Ends, Columbus scored for a gift

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Speaker 1: at the seven minute mark, so they got a gift there,

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Speaker 1: So two to one to the no. In the first

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Speaker 1: three games against the Rangers, there were no goals scored

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Speaker 1: in the first period, and against Edmonton there was one

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Speaker 1: goal scored by Columbus that happened in the sixteen minute mark.

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Speaker 1: Four and one to a no goal in the first

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Speaker 1: ten minutes to the gift for Jet Greeves. Now Logan

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Speaker 1: Thompson is supposed to go on the other side, and

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Speaker 1: I'll admit it can be a little bit hairy with

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Speaker 1: Logan Thompson on the other side. He's given up four

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Speaker 1: goals in each of his last two starts five to

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Speaker 1: three loss to Tampa Bay in which we saw five

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Speaker 1: goals get scored in the first period. Logan Thompson gave

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Speaker 1: up four of them, but the first goal of the

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Speaker 1: game was scored by Washington, so that's a little bit

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Speaker 1: of a worry Edmonton. There were five goals scored in

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Speaker 1: the first period there, including three goals was scored in

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Speaker 1: the first ten minutes of the game for Edmonton and Washington. Yes,

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Speaker 1: that's really scary. Okay, so we're three to zero with

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Speaker 1: Logan Thompson in net. I agree. Against Florida, it didn't

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Speaker 1: get much prettier. He had two goals scored in the

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Speaker 1: first ten minutes. Okay. So again, as I'm reading these

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Speaker 1: things off, I understand what this sounds like. So you

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Speaker 1: don't have to trail this if you don't want to.

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Speaker 1: Even the game against against the Carolina Hurricanes, one goal

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Speaker 1: was scored in the six minute mark. Five inning games.

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Speaker 1: It's been eleven straight five games in a row with

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Speaker 1: Logan Thompson. It's been eleven straight overall for the Washington Capitals.

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Speaker 1: But the streak has to end somewhere, and this is

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Speaker 1: a lot of times what the pros do. The pros

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Speaker 1: will bet against a streak because of the price. They're

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Speaker 1: not interested in laying mis one fifty. They want to

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Speaker 1: take plus one ten plus plus one twenty. So if

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Speaker 1: it misses, so what it misses. But think about it,

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Speaker 1: it's one point five units if we miss on the yes,

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Speaker 1: but it's one unit if we miss on the no.

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Speaker 1: And if it hits, we win one point two units.

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Speaker 1: So it's just a price situation, and it has to

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Speaker 1: miss at some point, right, Columbus is not a team

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Speaker 1: that has all that many goals in the first ten minutes. Okay,

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Speaker 1: as I just told you just thirty over the last

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Speaker 1: ten games, and Jet Greeves is four and one over

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Speaker 1: his last five games. To the no. The hope is

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Speaker 1: that Logan Thompson plays well for ten minutes. That's the

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Speaker 1: hope that Columbus doesn't score. I think if Columbus doesn't score,

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Speaker 1: I think we're good. I think we're gonna get it.

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Speaker 1: I think we're gonna wind up cashing the no gift

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Speaker 1: no goal in the first ten minutes at plus one twenty.

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Speaker 1: So the play is for today over forty nine and

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Speaker 1: a half for San Francisco in Carolina for the game

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Speaker 1: first half forty nine ers laying four at mis won

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Speaker 1: ten and no goal in the first ten minutes for

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Speaker 1: Washington and Columbus at plus one twenty. That bet for

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Speaker 1: one unit. My name is Matt Parole. If you guys

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Speaker 1: can follow me because all my socials at Sports Talking

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Speaker 1: Matt every morning. Wherever you guys get your podcasts, it

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Speaker 1: is the Daily Juice