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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Sunday

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Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Perolt. You guys can follow me across all socials

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Speaker 1: at Sports Talk that and this week has been atrocious.

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Speaker 1: It's one of the worst weeks I've had in The

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Speaker 1: Juice in the history of the Daily Juice. We haven't

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Speaker 1: won a single day this week. Now, will it be today?

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Speaker 1: I don't know, But let me just remind you of

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Speaker 1: how much I hate betting baseball. And betting baseball during

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Speaker 1: the All Star break and betting baseball during right after

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Speaker 1: the All Star Break is over has been just atrocious.

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Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know what is going on with

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Speaker 1: the Red Sox Bullpen. I don't know what's going on.

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Speaker 1: It's been a wonky, weird week. Like, be really careful

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Speaker 1: betting baseball. The Phillies are on the verge, are getting

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Speaker 1: swept by the Pirates. Are you kidding me? I mean,

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Speaker 1: we've just seen crazy comebacks like this is just right now.

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Speaker 1: If I could not bet baseball at all, I would

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Speaker 1: not bet baseball right now to that right now. Last

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Speaker 1: year my entire goal was to not lose money betting Baseball,

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Speaker 1: and I wound up up a single unit after the

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Speaker 1: entire season. I believe I'm down thirteen units right now

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Speaker 1: in Major League Baseball. It's pretty much destroyed all the

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Speaker 1: profit that I had going into baseball. The overall of

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Speaker 1: the podcast in twenty twenty four was profitable until baseball started,

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Speaker 1: and now we're not profitable. I'm going to be very

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Speaker 1: selective with what I'm betting for baseball for the next

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Speaker 1: couple of weeks, until we get into August, we get

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Speaker 1: past the trade deadline. We are in a really weird

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Speaker 1: period of baseball because certain teams that suck right now,

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Speaker 1: their guys are trying to play because they want to

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Speaker 1: play for other teams, so trying to get on other teams.

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Speaker 1: So the trends of just like faith the White Sox

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Speaker 1: and fading the bad teams hasn't always really panned out.

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Speaker 1: You know, we're doing very well in our futures. Okay,

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Speaker 1: we have a chance to go five and one with

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Speaker 1: our future bets, which would be tremendous. But it's just

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Speaker 1: been a very hard run of it here for me

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Speaker 1: in Major League Baseball. And you know, luckily we got

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Speaker 1: the one golf bet, right yesterday. I've got two golf

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Speaker 1: bets going here for us on the final round of

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Speaker 1: the Open Championship, which hopefully you're listening to this early

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Speaker 1: so you can get in on this. And then I've

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Speaker 1: got one late night play in baseball just because I

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Speaker 1: have to bet it because I can't believe this is

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Speaker 1: the red SOX can't do this again, like with Cutter

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Speaker 1: Crawford on the mound, they just can't do it again.

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Speaker 1: So got those picks in place coming at you. But

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Speaker 1: let me just reset where we are for the event

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Speaker 1: the Open. We missed two golfers didn't make the cut.

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Speaker 1: We lost a half. Well, we lost one unit there.

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Speaker 1: Tom Hogy top twenty is three to one. He's currently

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Speaker 1: tied for fortieth, but he's only three strokes behind coming

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Speaker 1: in the top twenty. This is including ties, so we

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Speaker 1: need Tom Hogy to play well today. Sun Jam. He

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Speaker 1: was tremendous yesterday six under par, so he top ten

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Speaker 1: is plus three point fifty half unit on both those bets.

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Speaker 1: He is tied for thirteenth right now going into the

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Speaker 1: final round, so we got a couple of opportunities here.

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Speaker 1: He comes in plus three fifty. Let's talk about SUNJAYM

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Speaker 1: here a little bit here. I love looking at the

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Speaker 1: final round projected score so im at seventy one and

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Speaker 1: a half juiced to the over plus one oh excuse

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Speaker 1: me plus one oh five on M so SUNJM. Round

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Speaker 1: one SUNJM shot us seventy six. He was horrible. He

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Speaker 1: had six straight bogies before he got himself into a par,

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Speaker 1: into a birdie. He birdied three on round one, bogied seven, eight, nine, eleven, thirteen,

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Speaker 1: and seventeen to shoot a seventy six. He was awful.

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Speaker 1: Sam Burns was awful too. More on him in a

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Speaker 1: second round two. Things got a little better. Birdie on

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Speaker 1: the second hole, bogey on the fourth, bogie on the ninth,

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Speaker 1: birdie on the eleventh, a double on fifteen, and then

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Speaker 1: a birdie on sixteen to shoot a seventy two. But

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Speaker 1: yesterday he figured it out and he went out there

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Speaker 1: and he shot an unbelievable thirty one on the front nine,

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Speaker 1: ripped the course apart. Then bogied fourteen, birdied eighteen, shot

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Speaker 1: a sixty six five under. I said six hundred sorry

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Speaker 1: five under sixty six on the round. He's currently sitting

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Speaker 1: here at one over par. The top ten starts at

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Speaker 1: even par, So what's the winning score here? Right? Most

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Speaker 1: likely the winning score is going to be somewhere around

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Speaker 1: six or seven under. The leader is Billy Horschel. He's

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Speaker 1: at four. Will he be there at the end of

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Speaker 1: the day. I don't think so. I don't think Billy

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Speaker 1: Horse is winning this event, but maybe he will. I'm

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Speaker 1: not going to bet against him or fade it, but

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Speaker 1: Billy Horschell to go out and play. Billy Horschel could

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Speaker 1: win this thing. He's got a one stroke lead. He's

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Speaker 1: never had a stroke lead a lead into the funal

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Speaker 1: round of a major. Billy Horse has never won a major.

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Speaker 1: So let's see what happens. But I don't love his

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Speaker 1: chances coming up here today. Billy Horsell's playing with Thurston Lawrence,

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Speaker 1: sam Burns is playing with Russell Henley. Those are your

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Speaker 1: last two groups here at Rural Troon for the Open Championship.

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Speaker 1: But you look at the way the im has played

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Speaker 1: seventy one and a half. He just goes out there

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Speaker 1: and shoots parr and we cash this bet. I think

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Speaker 1: he figures something out in the front. I think he

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Speaker 1: can go out there and shoot another low round tomorrow.

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Speaker 1: He tees off at about eight thirty Eastern time. M

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Speaker 1: under seventy one and a half. Let's go with a

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Speaker 1: nice one unit plus one oh five bet for Sun

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Speaker 1: John M to shoot under seventy one and a half.

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Speaker 1: DraftKings has this bet, by the way, if you're looking

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Speaker 1: for it, final round, fourth round M to shoot seventy

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Speaker 1: one or better. Here for us on the final round

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Speaker 1: at plus one oh five. Second bet Sam Burns same

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Speaker 1: markets final round. Seventy two and a half is the

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Speaker 1: number at DraftKings. It's minus one thirty to the under

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Speaker 1: for Sam Burns. In the first round. Sam Burns opened

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Speaker 1: this tournament by going bogie bogie par birdie, bogie, bogie, bogie,

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Speaker 1: bogie par. He shot a forty one on the front

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Speaker 1: he double bogie to eleven. But since the eleventh hole

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Speaker 1: of round number one, Sam Burns has recorded thirteen birdies

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Speaker 1: to just three bogies. Capped off by yesterday shooting a

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Speaker 1: sixty five with two bogees. Shot a sixty five with

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Speaker 1: two bogeys, he could have shot a sixty three. He

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Speaker 1: opened a bogeyed one, birdie, three, four, six, seven, eight, bogie, ten, birdied, eleven,

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Speaker 1: twelve and sixteen to record a sixty five six under

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Speaker 1: par now seventy six sixty nine sixty five. Is he

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Speaker 1: gonna shoot a sixty five? I don't think so, but

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Speaker 1: I will sprinkle on Sam Burns to win this event. Okay,

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Speaker 1: if you're wondering, who do I think wins this thing?

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Speaker 1: I think Sam Burns can win this thing. I think

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Speaker 1: the whole field came back to him. I think he's

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Speaker 1: been playing incredible golf. I think he's hot and no

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Speaker 1: one's talking about him at the moment. Not playing in

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Speaker 1: the final group I think benefits him, doesn't have all

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Speaker 1: that pressure Russell Henley and him and a head to head,

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Speaker 1: Burns is a dog Henley's favored. I like Russell Henley.

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Speaker 1: If you guys remember we better than Mussell Henley a

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Speaker 1: couple times this year. I like Russell Henley, but head

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Speaker 1: to head and on mind Sam Burns on a head

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Speaker 1: to head against Russell Henley. But I'm just gonna take

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Speaker 1: it under seventy two and a half. Sam Burns one

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Speaker 1: point three units minus one thirty four Sam Burns final

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Speaker 1: round score under seventy two and a half. Okay, so

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Speaker 1: we're going under seventy two and a half. Final round

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Speaker 1: score for Sam Burns under seventy one and a half

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Speaker 1: for sun John M. That's a plus one oh five

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Speaker 1: bet one unit minus one thirty bet minus one point

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Speaker 1: or one point three units down on that. Now M

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Speaker 1: shoots that M could come in the top ten and

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Speaker 1: we could have a very good Sunday. Okay, So if

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Speaker 1: we have a big Sunday, we could cut. We're gonna

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Speaker 1: have a losing week, but we could have a nice

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Speaker 1: cut in here. I mean if Hogy and M both

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Speaker 1: if that was both were to cash for us, highly unlikely.

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Speaker 1: We'll still have a small losing week. But I think

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Speaker 1: we're gonna have a losing week regardless on that. But

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Speaker 1: those are our two bets heading into the fourth round

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Speaker 1: of the Open Championship. Here, let's cheer for Tom Hogy,

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Speaker 1: Let's cheer for Sam Burns. Let's cheer for M here

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Speaker 1: in the final round. Now, baseball bet. I hate betting

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Speaker 1: baseball on Sunday. I hate it. But Cutter Crawford's going

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Speaker 1: for the Red Sox. He's won four to five. He

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Speaker 1: shut the Royals out five to nothing in his last

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Speaker 1: start at home. Seven innings, three hits, no earn runs.

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Speaker 1: He shut the Yankees out seven innings, zero earned runs

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Speaker 1: for him. I like the under in this game here

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Speaker 1: tonight against the Dodgers, but on the road. Two point

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Speaker 1: three five ERA for Cutter Crawfords three and two, posting

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Speaker 1: batting average two oh one, fourteen earned runs in fifty

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Speaker 1: three in two thirds innings worth of work. Red Sox

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Speaker 1: have lost both games against the Dodgers four to one,

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Speaker 1: seven to six. They led both games late, they led six',

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Speaker 1: four they led four to, three six, four and they

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Speaker 1: lost the game seven to six to The. Dodgers key

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Speaker 1: K hernandez killed The Red. Sox Kenlen, jensen the Former,

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Speaker 1: dodger puked all over, himself gave up his first home

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Speaker 1: run of the year At Dodgers stadium against his former,

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Speaker 1: team against the Former Red, sox and Kicking. Hernandez just a,

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Speaker 1: horrible absolute disgusting. Situation after Thirty freeman hit a Grand

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Speaker 1: slam to win the game four to one when The

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Speaker 1: Red sox had a one nothing lead in the eighth.

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Speaker 1: INNING i, mean this has just Been if The Red

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Speaker 1: sox don't go out and add pitching, talent in pitching,

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Speaker 1: HELP i, Mean John, henry what are you? DOING i,

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Speaker 1: mean this team is. Good this team's got a lot

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Speaker 1: of young. Talent tyler O'Neill hit two home. Runs Jared

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Speaker 1: duran was. Awesome they got young, stars young. Talent give

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Speaker 1: the teams some. Help my, gosh but here, Tonight Red

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Speaker 1: sox are plus one zero Five. Dogs James paxson to the.

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Speaker 1: Mound he's seven to two with a four point three

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Speaker 1: to eight. Eer James paxson has won two straight, starts

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Speaker 1: lost on the road to The, giants but then won

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Speaker 1: the three starts before. That so five out of six

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Speaker 1: wins For James paxson at home fifteen to. Two the

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Speaker 1: win over The, rangers he went, six gave up one

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Speaker 1: earned run five three win over The Milwaukee, brewers and

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Speaker 1: his last home start five, innings just two earned. Runs

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Speaker 1: this is just A Sunday Night baseball principal play With

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Speaker 1: Cutter crawford on the mound and The Red sox can't

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Speaker 1: blow this. Again live betting is your, friend. Guys if

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Speaker 1: The Red sox have a lead after the sixth, inning

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Speaker 1: take the plus on The. Dodgers, okay just saying this

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Speaker 1: a plus one oh, five we go plus. PLUS i

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Speaker 1: mean unless the game is like six to one and

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Speaker 1: The Red sox have a gigantic easy lead after the seventh.

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Speaker 1: Inning