1 00:00:00,960 --> 00:00:03,280 Speaker 1: Welcome in, everybody to betting pros. It's time to place 2 00:00:03,320 --> 00:00:06,120 Speaker 1: your bets. It's me Joey P. Joe P's Apia and 3 00:00:06,160 --> 00:00:08,360 Speaker 1: this is VP NFL. It's time to look ahead to 4 00:00:08,400 --> 00:00:11,799 Speaker 1: the props. And no, don't adjust your YouTube screens. There's 5 00:00:11,800 --> 00:00:14,160 Speaker 1: no Andrew Erickson today. He had a power outage. Why 6 00:00:14,560 --> 00:00:16,560 Speaker 1: because the guy is just too damn hot. He's just 7 00:00:16,680 --> 00:00:18,239 Speaker 1: you know, he's so good. It just blew out a 8 00:00:18,280 --> 00:00:21,000 Speaker 1: whole receiver up there in the New England area. So 9 00:00:21,040 --> 00:00:23,720 Speaker 1: you're left with myself and the Welsh today to pick 10 00:00:23,800 --> 00:00:26,279 Speaker 1: up the pieces for week sixteen the prop department. And 11 00:00:26,320 --> 00:00:27,760 Speaker 1: I think it's really convenient Welsh And all of a 12 00:00:27,760 --> 00:00:31,120 Speaker 1: sudden we're tied in touchdown calls and his power is 13 00:00:31,160 --> 00:00:33,600 Speaker 1: out and he can't record today. Don't you think that's fishy? 14 00:00:33,880 --> 00:00:36,479 Speaker 2: Ah? I mean yeah, like I was over five hundred, 15 00:00:36,560 --> 00:00:41,279 Speaker 2: he wasn't. I tied the touchdown calls. Very convenient that 16 00:00:41,320 --> 00:00:44,400 Speaker 2: the power was out. It's like seventy degrees here in Arizona. 17 00:00:44,479 --> 00:00:46,239 Speaker 2: So like it's always a lie to me. Anytime you 18 00:00:46,240 --> 00:00:48,800 Speaker 2: guys are like, oh it's really stormy, and I'm like, 19 00:00:49,159 --> 00:00:51,360 Speaker 2: it's pretty great out. I'm wearing my shorts today, so 20 00:00:51,520 --> 00:00:54,200 Speaker 2: I don't know, but yeah, touchdowns are tied. I had 21 00:00:54,200 --> 00:00:57,760 Speaker 2: a plus week. We're over five hundred. As we get 22 00:00:58,040 --> 00:01:00,720 Speaker 2: whimpered out to the end of the season with no ericson, 23 00:01:01,080 --> 00:01:01,520 Speaker 2: we see you. 24 00:01:01,560 --> 00:01:05,280 Speaker 1: At Erickson with no Erickson to be found anywhere. So 25 00:01:05,400 --> 00:01:08,120 Speaker 1: but that's all right. Like Andrew more disappointed about not 26 00:01:08,240 --> 00:01:12,800 Speaker 1: being on the show today than anybody, so we shout 27 00:01:12,800 --> 00:01:16,279 Speaker 1: out hopefully he'll get the power back soon. What happens 28 00:01:16,280 --> 00:01:18,000 Speaker 1: is the fun of home ownership. But we're gonna own 29 00:01:18,040 --> 00:01:20,000 Speaker 1: our picks here going forward this week, and I'm going 30 00:01:20,040 --> 00:01:22,679 Speaker 1: to start with one of my favorite Detroit Lions. That's right, 31 00:01:22,720 --> 00:01:25,120 Speaker 1: I'm on Ross Saint Brown at home where he does 32 00:01:25,120 --> 00:01:27,319 Speaker 1: his best work. The number is pretty high up there. 33 00:01:27,360 --> 00:01:29,800 Speaker 1: It's eighty three and a half right now in terms 34 00:01:29,800 --> 00:01:33,319 Speaker 1: of those receiving yards in Welsh. I'm going over this one. 35 00:01:33,319 --> 00:01:34,640 Speaker 1: I actually locked this in an eighty one and a 36 00:01:34,680 --> 00:01:36,160 Speaker 1: half before it grew a little bit over the last 37 00:01:36,160 --> 00:01:38,040 Speaker 1: couple of days, but I see it's growing in some 38 00:01:38,200 --> 00:01:40,319 Speaker 1: spots to eighty three and a half. I still feel comfortable. 39 00:01:40,360 --> 00:01:42,720 Speaker 1: He's gone over this against the Rams last week, he 40 00:01:42,760 --> 00:01:44,479 Speaker 1: went over this against Dallas the week before and then 41 00:01:44,480 --> 00:01:46,920 Speaker 1: of course he was hurt the week of Thanksgiving, but 42 00:01:46,959 --> 00:01:48,880 Speaker 1: the week before this against the Giants as well. When 43 00:01:48,880 --> 00:01:51,680 Speaker 1: this guy is at home, he's crushing this number at 44 00:01:51,680 --> 00:01:54,920 Speaker 1: home against Tampa, at home against Minnesota. This is where 45 00:01:55,360 --> 00:01:57,800 Speaker 1: Jared Goff and company do their best work. And I 46 00:01:57,840 --> 00:02:00,400 Speaker 1: think in this contest here coming up, I feel very 47 00:02:00,440 --> 00:02:03,560 Speaker 1: confident against the Steelers that the Detroit Lions will find 48 00:02:03,600 --> 00:02:06,240 Speaker 1: a way to win this football game and that you 49 00:02:06,280 --> 00:02:08,120 Speaker 1: will have a mon Ross abral being a big part 50 00:02:08,160 --> 00:02:10,080 Speaker 1: of it. So I'm going over here, Welsh, where's your 51 00:02:10,120 --> 00:02:12,079 Speaker 1: first pick going? For Week sixteen? 52 00:02:12,320 --> 00:02:14,480 Speaker 2: We're going to the wide receiver market as well. I 53 00:02:14,520 --> 00:02:16,919 Speaker 2: was actually kind of bouncing around both of these wide outs. 54 00:02:17,040 --> 00:02:19,200 Speaker 2: This is one me and Erickson probably would have fought 55 00:02:19,240 --> 00:02:21,679 Speaker 2: over because I know Ericson's in this spot. I'm going 56 00:02:21,720 --> 00:02:24,639 Speaker 2: with Lad McConkie and we are taking his receiving yards 57 00:02:24,680 --> 00:02:27,320 Speaker 2: and going over it is a low total this week, meanness. 58 00:02:27,400 --> 00:02:29,440 Speaker 2: All those receivers are Keenan Allen was the one I 59 00:02:29,520 --> 00:02:31,440 Speaker 2: was looking at, but then I got a hold of 60 00:02:31,480 --> 00:02:34,240 Speaker 2: Lad McConkie's and went, oh, we're gonna have to take 61 00:02:34,240 --> 00:02:37,240 Speaker 2: it because it's forty six point five. This is against 62 00:02:37,240 --> 00:02:40,600 Speaker 2: the Dallas Cowboys, who ranked twenty four of thirty two 63 00:02:41,360 --> 00:02:45,080 Speaker 2: thirty two in wide receiver overall PFF. This according to PFF, 64 00:02:45,160 --> 00:02:49,040 Speaker 2: on their coverage, They've got two unranked PFF corners right there, 65 00:02:49,280 --> 00:02:52,520 Speaker 2: and Revel, who is the one named corner they put 66 00:02:52,560 --> 00:02:54,800 Speaker 2: up over on PFF, is literally ranked one twelve of 67 00:02:54,840 --> 00:02:56,919 Speaker 2: one twelve. So all that is telling you is it's 68 00:02:56,960 --> 00:03:00,680 Speaker 2: like overall, like really bad coverage Cowboys they have get 69 00:03:00,919 --> 00:03:03,400 Speaker 2: You knew that. By the way, Cowboys have given this 70 00:03:03,560 --> 00:03:06,919 Speaker 2: up to a wide receiver, this receiving prop in eight 71 00:03:07,360 --> 00:03:11,079 Speaker 2: straight games. Projections like this, PFF has got this around 72 00:03:11,080 --> 00:03:14,960 Speaker 2: fifty six. Fantasy pros projections agree. Betting pros projections agree. 73 00:03:14,960 --> 00:03:18,440 Speaker 2: This is all a smashover. Even in like the fantasy rankings. 74 00:03:18,560 --> 00:03:21,320 Speaker 2: We're looking at lad McConkie and we're looking at this situation, 75 00:03:21,680 --> 00:03:25,680 Speaker 2: look at the implied total as well against this defense. 76 00:03:25,720 --> 00:03:28,320 Speaker 2: It's kind of the claim we put and you know, 77 00:03:28,520 --> 00:03:30,760 Speaker 2: sometimes it just balls out. Sometimes it fails like a 78 00:03:30,919 --> 00:03:33,720 Speaker 2: Justin Jefferson. But like you look at this secondary and 79 00:03:33,720 --> 00:03:35,360 Speaker 2: you go, oh my gosh, if they're going to be 80 00:03:35,360 --> 00:03:39,520 Speaker 2: passing the ball, you see high implied totals receiving receiving 81 00:03:39,600 --> 00:03:42,040 Speaker 2: yard props on guys that can do it in one play. 82 00:03:42,120 --> 00:03:45,360 Speaker 2: Laddi mcconkee fits every single one of these pieces of narrative. 83 00:03:45,400 --> 00:03:48,200 Speaker 2: So an under fifty yard receiving yard prop for him 84 00:03:48,240 --> 00:03:50,640 Speaker 2: against the Dallas Cowboys, it's a smash to me. That's 85 00:03:50,640 --> 00:03:52,720 Speaker 2: the first one I locked in this week. Lad McConkie. 86 00:03:52,760 --> 00:03:55,640 Speaker 2: Forty six point five over receiving. 87 00:03:55,360 --> 00:03:58,720 Speaker 1: Yards, all right, so Ladd is in and over. Next 88 00:03:58,720 --> 00:04:02,040 Speaker 1: one for me is also an Nico Collins sixty one 89 00:04:02,120 --> 00:04:04,640 Speaker 1: and a half receiving yards. Now. Nico Collins has gone 90 00:04:04,640 --> 00:04:07,000 Speaker 1: over this mark in six of his last seven games. 91 00:04:07,000 --> 00:04:08,880 Speaker 1: And I understand there's some concern this week because you 92 00:04:08,960 --> 00:04:10,960 Speaker 1: got a match up against the Las Vegas Raiders. It 93 00:04:11,040 --> 00:04:13,360 Speaker 1: feels like a blowout. But to get to the blowout, 94 00:04:13,480 --> 00:04:15,600 Speaker 1: you gotta have some big plays in some yards and 95 00:04:15,640 --> 00:04:18,200 Speaker 1: you gotta have some points. And the Houston Texans right 96 00:04:18,240 --> 00:04:20,279 Speaker 1: now are feeling it. They look so much better on 97 00:04:20,320 --> 00:04:23,200 Speaker 1: offense the last couple weeks. C J. Stroud's been back healthy. 98 00:04:23,279 --> 00:04:25,400 Speaker 1: Things are really starting to click for this team overall. 99 00:04:25,560 --> 00:04:28,240 Speaker 1: They're getting red hot at the exact right time too. 100 00:04:28,279 --> 00:04:31,200 Speaker 1: They are very dangerous. The Raiders of a defense that 101 00:04:31,240 --> 00:04:33,839 Speaker 1: hasn't been over it all year, and a defense which 102 00:04:33,880 --> 00:04:36,240 Speaker 1: is gonna be a theme of my picks today, a 103 00:04:36,320 --> 00:04:38,520 Speaker 1: defense that is looking ahead to the offseason. Let's put 104 00:04:38,520 --> 00:04:40,600 Speaker 1: it that way. They're not trying to stop anybody. They 105 00:04:40,680 --> 00:04:42,920 Speaker 1: got their doors blown off against the Eagles last week. 106 00:04:42,960 --> 00:04:45,200 Speaker 1: In offense, it has its own issues, But to me, 107 00:04:45,560 --> 00:04:47,120 Speaker 1: I don't think the Raiders are gonna put out much 108 00:04:47,120 --> 00:04:50,320 Speaker 1: fight here against CJ. Stroud and Nico. In fact, I 109 00:04:50,320 --> 00:04:52,599 Speaker 1: don't have a problem if you want to pair some CJ. 110 00:04:52,720 --> 00:04:55,760 Speaker 1: Stroud numbers along with Nico and do a little parlay 111 00:04:55,920 --> 00:04:58,560 Speaker 1: duo bet there. I think that's certainly in the cards. 112 00:04:58,600 --> 00:05:00,560 Speaker 1: But for me, this is a smash Nico. He's the 113 00:05:00,640 --> 00:05:03,440 Speaker 1: number one target. He's the number one guy. Sure eels breather, 114 00:05:03,560 --> 00:05:05,360 Speaker 1: ball around, a little bit of Dalton Schultz and maybe 115 00:05:05,400 --> 00:05:07,440 Speaker 1: one or two other guys. But for me, it's gonna 116 00:05:07,440 --> 00:05:09,960 Speaker 1: be another day for Nico. And we've seen that many 117 00:05:10,000 --> 00:05:12,680 Speaker 1: times here in the last six seven weeks. And I 118 00:05:12,680 --> 00:05:14,480 Speaker 1: can't believe I just did the six seventh thing. I 119 00:05:14,520 --> 00:05:16,719 Speaker 1: hate myself. You take it away for the next pick. 120 00:05:16,960 --> 00:05:20,320 Speaker 1: It's almost twenty twenty six. That's never gonna be uttered 121 00:05:20,320 --> 00:05:21,359 Speaker 1: again on the show, I promise. 122 00:05:21,520 --> 00:05:23,320 Speaker 2: Yeah, you got to train yourself out of it, like 123 00:05:23,400 --> 00:05:26,560 Speaker 2: I fell into it, but like I ignore all the opportunities. 124 00:05:26,680 --> 00:05:29,040 Speaker 1: It's hard because we both have like middle school age children, 125 00:05:29,600 --> 00:05:31,480 Speaker 1: so you know, and they don't even do it anymore. 126 00:05:31,480 --> 00:05:33,039 Speaker 1: But now it's just knowing where they did it so 127 00:05:33,160 --> 00:05:35,560 Speaker 1: much they hate it. It's just like they hate it now. 128 00:05:35,640 --> 00:05:37,560 Speaker 2: Yeah I do I do it to annoy them. I 129 00:05:37,600 --> 00:05:38,120 Speaker 2: agree with you. 130 00:05:38,200 --> 00:05:40,000 Speaker 1: I do this. I annoy them. They hate it. 131 00:05:40,160 --> 00:05:42,000 Speaker 2: Yeah. Yeah, Like they'll just walk in the car and 132 00:05:42,040 --> 00:05:43,760 Speaker 2: I'll just be like zus and They'll just be like 133 00:05:43,839 --> 00:05:46,440 Speaker 2: dude and gotcha, and like that's how it feels. 134 00:05:46,600 --> 00:05:48,760 Speaker 1: Now we've killed it, get out of this is how 135 00:05:48,760 --> 00:05:49,920 Speaker 1: we get rid of the things we don't like by 136 00:05:49,960 --> 00:05:50,680 Speaker 1: starting to do them. 137 00:05:50,720 --> 00:05:53,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, but then you just made everybody not like this show. 138 00:05:53,000 --> 00:05:54,880 Speaker 1: So it's like that South Park episode where the parents 139 00:05:54,880 --> 00:05:56,680 Speaker 1: started getting to Pokemon so the kids wouldn't be in 140 00:05:56,680 --> 00:05:59,279 Speaker 1: a Pokemon anymore. Back of the day. This is this 141 00:05:59,360 --> 00:06:02,200 Speaker 1: is the path they showed us, the path as parents. 142 00:06:02,240 --> 00:06:04,720 Speaker 2: We're just asking you to be better. Joe, don't bring 143 00:06:04,760 --> 00:06:07,240 Speaker 2: it here, don't bring your home to work. 144 00:06:07,640 --> 00:06:09,880 Speaker 1: Please promises. Okay, pick number two, Yeah. 145 00:06:09,760 --> 00:06:13,320 Speaker 2: Pick number two. I am. It's actually funny. I think 146 00:06:13,400 --> 00:06:15,160 Speaker 2: you've got one that's kind of attached to this. A 147 00:06:15,200 --> 00:06:18,839 Speaker 2: little bit later with Quen you Weres going in at quarterback. 148 00:06:19,120 --> 00:06:21,120 Speaker 2: One thing. As soon as Quen you Weres came in 149 00:06:21,200 --> 00:06:23,120 Speaker 2: a quarterback, obviously, like we have questions. We're not one 150 00:06:23,160 --> 00:06:24,720 Speaker 2: hundred percent sure with this off it's it's going to 151 00:06:24,760 --> 00:06:27,400 Speaker 2: look like, but we all kind of assume it's. 152 00:06:27,320 --> 00:06:27,960 Speaker 1: Not going to be great. 153 00:06:28,400 --> 00:06:31,840 Speaker 2: But immediately, the thing that I look at is we 154 00:06:31,880 --> 00:06:34,080 Speaker 2: are going to have to play safety net stuff with him, 155 00:06:34,080 --> 00:06:36,520 Speaker 2: and the safety net goes to Devon a Chan and 156 00:06:36,560 --> 00:06:39,120 Speaker 2: Devon a Chan loves to get the ball out of 157 00:06:39,160 --> 00:06:42,080 Speaker 2: the backfield receiving obviously rushing as well. So we're gonna 158 00:06:42,080 --> 00:06:45,000 Speaker 2: look at his receiving yards at twenty seven point five 159 00:06:45,040 --> 00:06:47,000 Speaker 2: and we were taking the over eight. Chan has hit 160 00:06:47,040 --> 00:06:50,000 Speaker 2: this in four of his last six weeks, including going 161 00:06:50,080 --> 00:06:53,560 Speaker 2: over and hitting sixty seven last week. I didn't do it. 162 00:06:54,000 --> 00:06:56,920 Speaker 2: Bengals who are going up against are averaging forty five 163 00:06:57,000 --> 00:07:01,760 Speaker 2: yards receiving per game running backs so far this year. 164 00:07:01,920 --> 00:07:04,920 Speaker 2: They also on their PFF actual rank as far as 165 00:07:05,360 --> 00:07:08,320 Speaker 2: coverage to running backs out of the backfield twenty eight 166 00:07:08,360 --> 00:07:10,480 Speaker 2: of thirty two. They've got a linebacker coverage grade of 167 00:07:10,520 --> 00:07:13,480 Speaker 2: twenty nine of thirty two, defensive tackle ranking of thirty 168 00:07:13,600 --> 00:07:16,760 Speaker 2: one out of thirty two. I mean again, like I'm 169 00:07:16,800 --> 00:07:19,360 Speaker 2: just giving you some of the rankings of Like if 170 00:07:19,440 --> 00:07:21,480 Speaker 2: I tell you what are bad defenses, like you know 171 00:07:21,520 --> 00:07:23,840 Speaker 2: who they are. Bengals have obviously gotten a little bit better. 172 00:07:24,160 --> 00:07:28,080 Speaker 2: But this is a spot with a rookie, young quarterback 173 00:07:28,440 --> 00:07:30,360 Speaker 2: who's going to play the dump off game. I don't 174 00:07:30,360 --> 00:07:32,320 Speaker 2: think a dump off game is going to be Darren Waller, 175 00:07:32,320 --> 00:07:34,160 Speaker 2: who kind of plays that wide out spot. I don't 176 00:07:34,160 --> 00:07:35,720 Speaker 2: think that's going to be a ton of Jayleen Waddle. 177 00:07:35,920 --> 00:07:37,560 Speaker 2: I do think it's going to be a chance get 178 00:07:37,640 --> 00:07:40,760 Speaker 2: the ball in a Chan's hands. Projections again, they like this. 179 00:07:41,120 --> 00:07:43,760 Speaker 2: Most all spots have him over thirty. So I'm going 180 00:07:43,760 --> 00:07:47,200 Speaker 2: twenty seven point twenty seven point five receiving yards over 181 00:07:47,280 --> 00:07:49,640 Speaker 2: for Devon a Chan with Quinn Ewers as his quarterback. 182 00:07:50,400 --> 00:07:52,160 Speaker 1: I like it. Well, I like we'rer heads at and 183 00:07:52,200 --> 00:07:53,640 Speaker 1: ey chance give me that guy. So we'll see what 184 00:07:53,720 --> 00:07:57,119 Speaker 1: ken Ewers has up his sleeve in a few days 185 00:07:57,120 --> 00:07:59,200 Speaker 1: from now. But before we get to that wager. I 186 00:07:59,240 --> 00:08:01,200 Speaker 1: want to remind ever about our sponsor, and that is 187 00:08:01,280 --> 00:08:04,800 Speaker 1: hard Rock Bet. This holiday season, that's the place where 188 00:08:04,840 --> 00:08:06,840 Speaker 1: you should be betting all of your sports. 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Concerned about gambling 213 00:09:07,480 --> 00:09:09,800 Speaker 1: in Florida, I call one eight three to three play wise. 214 00:09:09,840 --> 00:09:11,760 Speaker 1: In Indiana, if you are someone you know is a 215 00:09:11,800 --> 00:09:14,280 Speaker 1: gambling problem, wants help, called one eight hundred and nine 216 00:09:14,320 --> 00:09:18,319 Speaker 1: with it. Gambling problem called one hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Michigan, 217 00:09:18,320 --> 00:09:21,960 Speaker 1: New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. All right, next up here, 218 00:09:22,240 --> 00:09:26,120 Speaker 1: pick number three. Welsh has a quarterback. I have a quarterback. 219 00:09:26,160 --> 00:09:30,840 Speaker 1: I'm going with my boy, Jacoby Brissette. Why well, because 220 00:09:30,880 --> 00:09:33,200 Speaker 1: it never fails, That's why. Because Jacoby Brissett just keeps 221 00:09:33,240 --> 00:09:37,200 Speaker 1: on going, and I gotta says. It's one of the 222 00:09:37,240 --> 00:09:39,240 Speaker 1: fun bright spots of twenty twenty five. It's been a 223 00:09:39,280 --> 00:09:42,319 Speaker 1: lot of injuries, a lot of disappointment, and I locked 224 00:09:42,320 --> 00:09:44,800 Speaker 1: this number in earlier in the week at two forty 225 00:09:44,840 --> 00:09:46,720 Speaker 1: three and a half. I see it's moving a little 226 00:09:46,760 --> 00:09:48,959 Speaker 1: bit here in some of the markets up, and I'm 227 00:09:49,000 --> 00:09:52,240 Speaker 1: still okay with it. Why because these are two defenses 228 00:09:52,320 --> 00:09:54,600 Speaker 1: now in this game. It's my favorite over of the 229 00:09:54,640 --> 00:09:57,960 Speaker 1: week as well, the Atlanta Falcons and the Arizona Cardinals. 230 00:09:58,160 --> 00:10:02,360 Speaker 1: These defenses have zero to play for. They tackling becomes 231 00:10:02,440 --> 00:10:04,520 Speaker 1: kind of like, well, I'll do my best if it's there, 232 00:10:04,600 --> 00:10:07,439 Speaker 1: but I'm not hurt myself because I've got an offseason 233 00:10:07,480 --> 00:10:08,840 Speaker 1: staring me in the face in a couple of weeks, 234 00:10:08,840 --> 00:10:11,000 Speaker 1: and you're gonna see some of these defens that start 235 00:10:11,000 --> 00:10:12,720 Speaker 1: to shut down. They had a fun, emotional game against 236 00:10:12,720 --> 00:10:15,880 Speaker 1: the Tampay Buccaneers last week. Okay, cool, that was just fun. 237 00:10:15,920 --> 00:10:18,000 Speaker 1: You take out your division opponent. There's still nothing to 238 00:10:18,040 --> 00:10:19,760 Speaker 1: play for right now, and I think this one's actually 239 00:10:19,760 --> 00:10:22,280 Speaker 1: gonna be a surprising total with two defenses that A 240 00:10:22,760 --> 00:10:24,640 Speaker 1: haven't played very well most of the season and B 241 00:10:25,120 --> 00:10:27,440 Speaker 1: have nothing to play for. So Jacoby Brissett, let's go 242 00:10:27,520 --> 00:10:29,880 Speaker 1: over and just for s's and g's he has gone 243 00:10:29,880 --> 00:10:33,280 Speaker 1: over this mark, Welsh, every single week is the starter. 244 00:10:33,800 --> 00:10:36,640 Speaker 1: Every single week since week six, he continues to go 245 00:10:36,720 --> 00:10:38,480 Speaker 1: over this mark. And even if you raise it up 246 00:10:38,640 --> 00:10:41,480 Speaker 1: to two forty eight, he's still going over this March. So, 247 00:10:41,559 --> 00:10:44,720 Speaker 1: Jacoby Brissett, I'm sorry. I didn't believe in you're right away, 248 00:10:44,720 --> 00:10:47,280 Speaker 1: but I am a believer and now I'm an investor 249 00:10:47,400 --> 00:10:50,080 Speaker 1: as well. You've got a quarterback investment. Welsh. Talk to 250 00:10:50,120 --> 00:10:51,760 Speaker 1: us about JJ McCarthy this week. 251 00:10:51,840 --> 00:10:53,760 Speaker 2: By the way, You're like, you're like Dory. He's like, 252 00:10:53,880 --> 00:10:57,280 Speaker 2: just keep throwing, just keep throwing, rowing, throwing. 253 00:10:56,960 --> 00:11:00,000 Speaker 1: Why not throwing? Why not? And the Michael Wilson stuff, 254 00:11:00,120 --> 00:11:02,679 Speaker 1: Like seriously, I mean, you're out there in Arizona been. 255 00:11:03,000 --> 00:11:05,640 Speaker 1: I know they're they're not a good football team, Nope, 256 00:11:05,679 --> 00:11:08,080 Speaker 1: but they've got to be pleased with Jacoby Weresset out there. 257 00:11:08,720 --> 00:11:12,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, they're more. Everyone's disgusted with Kyler Murray. I'm not, 258 00:11:12,840 --> 00:11:15,480 Speaker 2: as everybody knows, I'm a forty nine Ers fan. I 259 00:11:15,480 --> 00:11:17,319 Speaker 2: am not a Cardinals fan, so I had am enemy 260 00:11:17,440 --> 00:11:20,760 Speaker 2: territory here. But they all just hate Kyler Murray. Everybody's 261 00:11:20,760 --> 00:11:22,760 Speaker 2: down on Marvin Harrison. No one knows what to do 262 00:11:22,840 --> 00:11:25,200 Speaker 2: with guys like Bressett and Michael Wilson. Us as fantasy 263 00:11:25,200 --> 00:11:27,320 Speaker 2: owners are not attached to the team we do, we 264 00:11:27,400 --> 00:11:29,440 Speaker 2: play them. So I'm with you on the Jacoby Brissett. 265 00:11:29,480 --> 00:11:31,240 Speaker 2: That was one I was taking a look at. I 266 00:11:31,240 --> 00:11:33,280 Speaker 2: do have a quarterback. This is not a quarterback that 267 00:11:33,320 --> 00:11:36,760 Speaker 2: I am like a huge fan of, but I'm taking 268 00:11:36,800 --> 00:11:39,440 Speaker 2: the angle as this guy has gotten better that moves 269 00:11:39,480 --> 00:11:42,439 Speaker 2: away from Justin Jefferson. I can promise you if Erickson 270 00:11:42,520 --> 00:11:45,679 Speaker 2: were here, Erickson was tempted to play the latter game 271 00:11:45,720 --> 00:11:49,800 Speaker 2: with Justin Jefferson. I have been screaming with Scott Bogman 272 00:11:50,160 --> 00:11:54,359 Speaker 2: for the last pretty much fifteen days about Justin Jefferson, 273 00:11:54,800 --> 00:11:57,199 Speaker 2: and I have been right at every moment. He's still 274 00:11:57,200 --> 00:11:59,120 Speaker 2: screaming about this week is going. 275 00:11:59,120 --> 00:11:59,520 Speaker 1: To be the week. 276 00:11:59,600 --> 00:12:03,040 Speaker 2: Okay, that's that's fine. JJ McCarthy has looked better, So 277 00:12:03,080 --> 00:12:05,120 Speaker 2: I want to be a little bit invested and take it. 278 00:12:05,160 --> 00:12:06,640 Speaker 2: But it's not gonna have anything to do with the 279 00:12:06,679 --> 00:12:09,120 Speaker 2: passing game and have nothing to do with Justin Jefferson. 280 00:12:09,280 --> 00:12:11,480 Speaker 2: He has to do with the rushing side. His rushing 281 00:12:11,520 --> 00:12:15,480 Speaker 2: yard prop. JJ McCarthy is at thirteen point five. He 282 00:12:15,559 --> 00:12:18,680 Speaker 2: has hit this in two straight weeks, in six of 283 00:12:18,840 --> 00:12:21,200 Speaker 2: eight games he has played this season, he's done this 284 00:12:21,320 --> 00:12:24,640 Speaker 2: going up against the Giants. Just in general bad against 285 00:12:24,640 --> 00:12:27,280 Speaker 2: the run. They are giving up on average twenty five 286 00:12:27,400 --> 00:12:30,000 Speaker 2: yards rushing two quarterbacks on the year, and they have 287 00:12:30,120 --> 00:12:33,520 Speaker 2: given this up in every single game to a quarterback 288 00:12:33,600 --> 00:12:39,080 Speaker 2: but three all season. Projections like this, JJ McCarthy. He's 289 00:12:39,120 --> 00:12:41,920 Speaker 2: gonna look over at Justin Jefferson. He's gonna not throw 290 00:12:41,960 --> 00:12:44,120 Speaker 2: to him because that's the best thing he can do 291 00:12:44,280 --> 00:12:46,720 Speaker 2: in his game, and he's gonna tuck it down and 292 00:12:46,760 --> 00:12:49,480 Speaker 2: he's gonna get this probably in two carries. So I 293 00:12:49,520 --> 00:12:51,600 Speaker 2: really like this for McCarthy who does like to take 294 00:12:51,640 --> 00:12:53,600 Speaker 2: the ball down a little bit, maybe sees a little 295 00:12:53,600 --> 00:12:56,839 Speaker 2: bit of a blitz. But JJ McCarthy thirteen point five 296 00:12:57,000 --> 00:13:00,840 Speaker 2: rushing yards. This is my favorite way to be invested 297 00:13:00,840 --> 00:13:02,760 Speaker 2: in the Vikings against the Giants this week. 298 00:13:03,320 --> 00:13:04,959 Speaker 1: I like it. I like where your head's at with it. 299 00:13:05,000 --> 00:13:07,280 Speaker 1: All right, let's get to the next one here, And 300 00:13:07,480 --> 00:13:09,679 Speaker 1: it is my only under of the week that I'm 301 00:13:09,679 --> 00:13:12,520 Speaker 1: picking of the five picks. It's the under on Quinn 302 00:13:12,520 --> 00:13:15,400 Speaker 1: yours one ninety one and a half passing yards. You 303 00:13:15,440 --> 00:13:17,040 Speaker 1: can find this on Betting Pros, and look, this is 304 00:13:17,040 --> 00:13:19,160 Speaker 1: why you use the prop bet cheet sheet. This is 305 00:13:19,200 --> 00:13:21,160 Speaker 1: why you go to bettingpros dot com, slash props, you 306 00:13:21,200 --> 00:13:23,280 Speaker 1: download the app, you look for all the help here 307 00:13:23,280 --> 00:13:25,120 Speaker 1: with the projections. Because I just don't see a word 308 00:13:25,160 --> 00:13:27,520 Speaker 1: where Quin Yours and his debut is going to get 309 00:13:27,559 --> 00:13:29,719 Speaker 1: to one hundred and ninety one passing yards. I just 310 00:13:29,760 --> 00:13:32,200 Speaker 1: don't think that's a smart path to victory here for 311 00:13:32,240 --> 00:13:34,720 Speaker 1: the Miami Dolphins. Now, look, Quinn Yours, I watched a 312 00:13:34,760 --> 00:13:37,679 Speaker 1: bunch in Texas over the years, and he is capable, 313 00:13:38,240 --> 00:13:39,719 Speaker 1: but I just don't know what he's gonna be able 314 00:13:39,720 --> 00:13:41,280 Speaker 1: to do at the NFL level. Now. The good thing 315 00:13:41,320 --> 00:13:43,680 Speaker 1: is he's going against the Cincinnati Bengals. Now I understand 316 00:13:43,880 --> 00:13:45,199 Speaker 1: there's can be a lot of people that will look 317 00:13:45,200 --> 00:13:48,400 Speaker 1: at that matchup and say, well, Cincinnati Bengals, like, of course, 318 00:13:48,440 --> 00:13:50,360 Speaker 1: we're gonna go ahead and we'll take the over on that. 319 00:13:51,080 --> 00:13:53,480 Speaker 1: I think that's a little trappy. It's his first game. 320 00:13:53,520 --> 00:13:55,000 Speaker 1: I think you had a lot of Devon ah Chan 321 00:13:55,080 --> 00:13:57,480 Speaker 1: in this contest. I think you run the football, you 322 00:13:57,520 --> 00:13:59,600 Speaker 1: try to limit the exposure a little bit. The smike, 323 00:13:59,640 --> 00:14:02,560 Speaker 1: the fact that it's the Bengals, and frankly, you know, 324 00:14:03,040 --> 00:14:04,839 Speaker 1: I still think the Quinn Yours went where he went 325 00:14:04,880 --> 00:14:07,160 Speaker 1: in the draft for a reason, and this is just 326 00:14:07,200 --> 00:14:10,360 Speaker 1: them evaluating the roster talent. Why Zach Wilson's not playing, 327 00:14:11,080 --> 00:14:12,760 Speaker 1: I don't understand, because it seems like that would be 328 00:14:12,800 --> 00:14:15,520 Speaker 1: an interesting guy in this Mike McDaniel offense. But no, 329 00:14:16,200 --> 00:14:18,880 Speaker 1: we're going to Quinn Yours instead. And I just think 330 00:14:18,920 --> 00:14:21,480 Speaker 1: this is a big trap. People see Cincinnati, they get excited. 331 00:14:21,480 --> 00:14:23,640 Speaker 1: Oh it's something new, let's go, let's go bet on it. 332 00:14:23,680 --> 00:14:25,680 Speaker 1: I think it's gonna be disappointing. I think it's gonna 333 00:14:25,680 --> 00:14:27,640 Speaker 1: be something more in that one seventy range if that, 334 00:14:27,840 --> 00:14:30,080 Speaker 1: even with Cincinnati on the other side. So give me 335 00:14:30,120 --> 00:14:33,240 Speaker 1: the under here in that one Welsh. As we continue 336 00:14:33,240 --> 00:14:36,400 Speaker 1: on here, what is your next bet here? For Week sixteen? 337 00:14:36,760 --> 00:14:39,960 Speaker 2: Got another quarterback rushing prop that we're going to dive into. 338 00:14:40,000 --> 00:14:42,920 Speaker 2: Haven't done a ton of those this year. It definitely 339 00:14:43,040 --> 00:14:44,880 Speaker 2: is one of those where you love that edge. It's 340 00:14:44,920 --> 00:14:49,080 Speaker 2: like running back receiving yards quarterback rushing yards. But there's 341 00:14:49,080 --> 00:14:50,880 Speaker 2: two that just really jumped out to me this week. 342 00:14:51,000 --> 00:14:54,280 Speaker 2: JJ McCarthy was number one, Number two was Bryce Young. 343 00:14:54,320 --> 00:14:57,080 Speaker 2: Bryce Young's rushing yards are set at twelve point five 344 00:14:57,120 --> 00:14:58,960 Speaker 2: and we are taking the over. He has hit this 345 00:14:59,040 --> 00:15:03,400 Speaker 2: in three straight weeks. He has averaged around five carries 346 00:15:03,440 --> 00:15:05,480 Speaker 2: per game during that span of the last three weeks 347 00:15:05,480 --> 00:15:07,600 Speaker 2: where he's really started to run the ball a little 348 00:15:07,640 --> 00:15:11,160 Speaker 2: bit more. The Bucks are averaging over four carries and 349 00:15:11,200 --> 00:15:13,920 Speaker 2: twenty plus rushing yards to quarterbacks on the year, and 350 00:15:14,240 --> 00:15:16,000 Speaker 2: this is the more important on They're averaging over five 351 00:15:16,120 --> 00:15:19,280 Speaker 2: yards per carry to those quarterbacks. So if you're looking 352 00:15:19,320 --> 00:15:22,440 Speaker 2: at the even four to five range, at the five 353 00:15:22,560 --> 00:15:26,359 Speaker 2: yards per carry three carries, we can lock this down projections. 354 00:15:26,560 --> 00:15:28,600 Speaker 2: They've got the lean kind of across the board, all 355 00:15:28,640 --> 00:15:32,480 Speaker 2: the projections anywhere between fifteen and seventeen that numbers coming 356 00:15:32,560 --> 00:15:34,760 Speaker 2: in at thirteen yards. We need from Bryce Young in 357 00:15:34,800 --> 00:15:37,200 Speaker 2: a really important game as well, where I think you're 358 00:15:37,240 --> 00:15:39,600 Speaker 2: going to look to attack Bryce Young. I think you're 359 00:15:39,600 --> 00:15:41,880 Speaker 2: gonna have blitzing situations where he is going to cut 360 00:15:41,920 --> 00:15:44,440 Speaker 2: that ball up and go. So Bryce Young rushing yards, 361 00:15:44,640 --> 00:15:46,320 Speaker 2: we're taking the over at twelve point five. 362 00:15:47,120 --> 00:15:48,560 Speaker 1: I love these last picks that we're going to do 363 00:15:48,600 --> 00:15:50,640 Speaker 1: here because I have a guy from your favorite team, 364 00:15:50,640 --> 00:15:52,160 Speaker 1: and you have a guy from my favorite team. This 365 00:15:52,200 --> 00:15:55,480 Speaker 1: is beautiful. So this is we're switching homerisms here. Yep. 366 00:15:55,960 --> 00:15:57,920 Speaker 1: I love George Kittle. This week I'm going to talk 367 00:15:57,960 --> 00:15:59,880 Speaker 1: about this at length on the Monday Night Football Show. 368 00:16:00,080 --> 00:16:02,160 Speaker 1: The fifty nine and a half receiving yards, I think 369 00:16:02,320 --> 00:16:06,880 Speaker 1: is an absolute smash brock Purdy. Feeling good, feeling confident, 370 00:16:07,120 --> 00:16:09,000 Speaker 1: that's what you want here at this stage in the game. 371 00:16:09,040 --> 00:16:11,760 Speaker 1: And George Kittle has gone over this number of fifty 372 00:16:11,840 --> 00:16:15,520 Speaker 1: nine and a half since Week ten. Smash, week eleven, 373 00:16:15,720 --> 00:16:18,520 Speaker 1: did it, Week twelve, did it, Week thirteen, Week fourteen 374 00:16:18,680 --> 00:16:21,000 Speaker 1: off couldn't do it, but he wanted to, and then 375 00:16:21,040 --> 00:16:23,720 Speaker 1: week fifteen. So the trend line is here, the baseline 376 00:16:23,760 --> 00:16:25,800 Speaker 1: is here. In fact, the number is set in some 377 00:16:25,800 --> 00:16:28,160 Speaker 1: spaces as high as fifty excuse me, sixty two and 378 00:16:28,200 --> 00:16:29,960 Speaker 1: a half. But you can find this over in betting 379 00:16:30,000 --> 00:16:31,680 Speaker 1: pros right now, fifty nine and a half. And I 380 00:16:31,680 --> 00:16:34,400 Speaker 1: would take that one obviously, because you're giving yourself a 381 00:16:34,400 --> 00:16:36,560 Speaker 1: couple more yards. That's all you need. I even like 382 00:16:36,600 --> 00:16:38,640 Speaker 1: pairing this with a touchdown as well, with the forty 383 00:16:38,720 --> 00:16:40,320 Speaker 1: nine ers to win. You put that in a little parlay. 384 00:16:40,320 --> 00:16:42,440 Speaker 1: You're getting almost three to one in that action. So 385 00:16:42,480 --> 00:16:44,800 Speaker 1: for me, George Kittle is that guy. Look, the Colts 386 00:16:44,840 --> 00:16:46,920 Speaker 1: gave it everything they had last week. I think this 387 00:16:46,960 --> 00:16:49,680 Speaker 1: week will be a little bit trickier for them. Second 388 00:16:49,720 --> 00:16:51,880 Speaker 1: week of Philip Rivers. I think more exposure for Philip 389 00:16:51,920 --> 00:16:54,800 Speaker 1: Rivers is not a great thing for him. So I 390 00:16:54,920 --> 00:16:56,800 Speaker 1: like your forty nine ers to win this football game, 391 00:16:56,800 --> 00:16:58,520 Speaker 1: and I like George Kittle to be a big part 392 00:16:58,520 --> 00:17:02,800 Speaker 1: of it. Welsh like my guy Traveon Henderson this week. 393 00:17:02,880 --> 00:17:04,520 Speaker 1: Tell everybody why I do well. 394 00:17:04,560 --> 00:17:06,600 Speaker 2: Travion. I had as a touchdown call last week and 395 00:17:06,640 --> 00:17:09,280 Speaker 2: that was good. I also kind of went ballistic last 396 00:17:09,320 --> 00:17:12,680 Speaker 2: week with my plus money reception props. 397 00:17:13,280 --> 00:17:13,520 Speaker 1: One. 398 00:17:13,880 --> 00:17:18,520 Speaker 2: I think, well, actually one hit one smashed one. I 399 00:17:18,680 --> 00:17:20,639 Speaker 2: was in the right logic, but Philip Rivers is a 400 00:17:20,720 --> 00:17:24,800 Speaker 2: quarterback and one was embarrassingly stupid, so we we had 401 00:17:24,800 --> 00:17:27,679 Speaker 2: to go down the market again. Gotta be honest with you, quietly, 402 00:17:28,080 --> 00:17:30,359 Speaker 2: just not telling anybody else. I still do like the 403 00:17:30,400 --> 00:17:32,639 Speaker 2: Tyler Warren one. Again, I'm kind of a masochist to 404 00:17:32,720 --> 00:17:34,880 Speaker 2: that against the Niners, but I didn't pick that one. 405 00:17:35,160 --> 00:17:37,439 Speaker 2: This is the one that jumped out to me talking 406 00:17:37,480 --> 00:17:41,200 Speaker 2: about the receiving yard edge you get out of running backs. 407 00:17:41,320 --> 00:17:45,199 Speaker 2: Traveon Henderson two point five over on his reception, so 408 00:17:45,320 --> 00:17:48,600 Speaker 2: three receptions, it's plus one point thirty seven is the 409 00:17:48,640 --> 00:17:52,119 Speaker 2: number I got. He's hit this number of receptions in 410 00:17:52,200 --> 00:17:55,480 Speaker 2: three of his last four games. Running Backs have hit 411 00:17:55,560 --> 00:17:58,439 Speaker 2: this prop against the Ravens in six of their last 412 00:17:58,480 --> 00:18:01,880 Speaker 2: seven games, and running back on average are seeing almost 413 00:18:01,920 --> 00:18:04,680 Speaker 2: seven targets and six catches for over forty yards against 414 00:18:04,680 --> 00:18:07,359 Speaker 2: the Ravens. Now, one of the things that is baked 415 00:18:07,400 --> 00:18:10,679 Speaker 2: into this, it's almost the exact same number for Ramondre 416 00:18:10,760 --> 00:18:13,200 Speaker 2: Stevenson because we know this can go in either side. 417 00:18:13,240 --> 00:18:16,159 Speaker 2: Sometimes Ramondre has those big breakout ones. We know his 418 00:18:16,200 --> 00:18:19,120 Speaker 2: snaps are super annoying. But what we've seen with Trevon 419 00:18:19,119 --> 00:18:21,760 Speaker 2: Henderson is when he is out there, he's getting the 420 00:18:21,760 --> 00:18:25,000 Speaker 2: ball in some capacity. So if this is a competitive game, 421 00:18:25,560 --> 00:18:27,320 Speaker 2: this kind of can work in the favor, especially if 422 00:18:27,320 --> 00:18:30,359 Speaker 2: they're not able to run the ball for Travion to 423 00:18:30,440 --> 00:18:35,159 Speaker 2: see some more pass attempts. Also, running back coverage grade 424 00:18:35,400 --> 00:18:37,960 Speaker 2: Baltimore ranks thirty one to thirty two, so this is 425 00:18:38,000 --> 00:18:40,960 Speaker 2: not their bright spot. So the scary part is if 426 00:18:41,000 --> 00:18:43,480 Speaker 2: you know this does become one of those stupid remondre things. 427 00:18:43,520 --> 00:18:45,720 Speaker 2: But I love this for Travion. I kind of laid 428 00:18:45,720 --> 00:18:48,120 Speaker 2: this out. This is big plus money to make sure 429 00:18:48,160 --> 00:18:51,000 Speaker 2: he's involved in a very, very highly competitive game. So 430 00:18:51,400 --> 00:18:54,320 Speaker 2: three receptions. We need three receptions from Travion at plus 431 00:18:54,359 --> 00:18:58,080 Speaker 2: one thirty seven. Probably my best return bed of the week. 432 00:18:58,119 --> 00:18:59,560 Speaker 2: I think the first one I gave you is probably 433 00:18:59,560 --> 00:19:01,240 Speaker 2: my favorite. This one is number two. 434 00:19:01,880 --> 00:19:03,600 Speaker 1: All right, there you have it, and we're gonna call 435 00:19:03,640 --> 00:19:06,000 Speaker 1: some touchdowns too because it's tight right now. We are 436 00:19:06,040 --> 00:19:09,200 Speaker 1: tied three way tie. The last show of the year 437 00:19:09,240 --> 00:19:11,840 Speaker 1: here for us, Oh my goodness, because remember we're'll be 438 00:19:11,920 --> 00:19:13,879 Speaker 1: here for the playoffs, but this is the regular season 439 00:19:13,920 --> 00:19:16,320 Speaker 1: calling it. And next week, with everything being shortened, we're 440 00:19:16,320 --> 00:19:18,159 Speaker 1: gonna be a little bit early with best bets for you, 441 00:19:18,280 --> 00:19:20,320 Speaker 1: just like we did on the Thanksgiving week. We're gonna 442 00:19:20,320 --> 00:19:22,280 Speaker 1: have everything ahead of time for you. So this is 443 00:19:22,320 --> 00:19:24,960 Speaker 1: the last chance for us to kind of make some 444 00:19:25,040 --> 00:19:27,560 Speaker 1: picks here, and mine can count for Andrew Erickson. So 445 00:19:27,720 --> 00:19:31,000 Speaker 1: we'll see. If they're good, they count if they're there, 446 00:19:31,119 --> 00:19:34,040 Speaker 1: If they're bad, they count for Andrew Erickson. Right, Welsh, 447 00:19:34,040 --> 00:19:36,280 Speaker 1: that's what you want, right because I think you'll away 448 00:19:36,320 --> 00:19:36,520 Speaker 1: with it. 449 00:19:36,560 --> 00:19:38,520 Speaker 2: I think what we're at here is because like what 450 00:19:38,560 --> 00:19:40,960 Speaker 2: you're alluding to is, I'm not here for the next 451 00:19:41,040 --> 00:19:45,200 Speaker 2: two shows for the regular season. We can let Ericson 452 00:19:45,520 --> 00:19:48,240 Speaker 2: maybe give a touchdown call to count for this one, 453 00:19:48,520 --> 00:19:50,520 Speaker 2: and then we've got to come back into the playoffs 454 00:19:50,520 --> 00:19:53,080 Speaker 2: when we're all back together, and then we'll kind of 455 00:19:53,080 --> 00:19:54,919 Speaker 2: tie in the playoffs to put a bow on the 456 00:19:54,960 --> 00:19:57,920 Speaker 2: season here, because because yours are yours, mine or mine, 457 00:19:58,200 --> 00:20:00,760 Speaker 2: we can get Ericson in the background, maybe even while 458 00:20:00,800 --> 00:20:03,639 Speaker 2: you're going for years. I see Ericson is back alive, 459 00:20:04,160 --> 00:20:05,680 Speaker 2: but he can't make the show. Maybe I can get 460 00:20:05,680 --> 00:20:07,840 Speaker 2: some touchdown calls from him, but we will count. We 461 00:20:07,920 --> 00:20:11,720 Speaker 2: will hold his feet to the fire for the touchdowns. 462 00:20:11,840 --> 00:20:13,680 Speaker 1: All right, Well, if you need help making touchdown calls, 463 00:20:13,720 --> 00:20:15,359 Speaker 1: make sure you go to betting pros dot com slash 464 00:20:15,400 --> 00:20:18,719 Speaker 1: touchdown to find the best projections to identify the very 465 00:20:18,720 --> 00:20:21,600 Speaker 1: best in anytime touchdown bets. Right here on betting Pros again, 466 00:20:21,640 --> 00:20:23,800 Speaker 1: the latest touchdown prop analysis is here for you to 467 00:20:23,920 --> 00:20:27,199 Speaker 1: help with your touchdown score report on Betting Pros. For me, 468 00:20:27,280 --> 00:20:29,359 Speaker 1: I'm going with the same team in the same game, 469 00:20:29,840 --> 00:20:33,840 Speaker 1: a little different strategy. I do think the angry Buccaneers 470 00:20:33,840 --> 00:20:36,080 Speaker 1: show up against the Carolina Panthers, and I mean angry. 471 00:20:36,119 --> 00:20:38,240 Speaker 1: I watched them after that press conference. I watched Mike 472 00:20:38,480 --> 00:20:42,880 Speaker 1: Evans throwing helmets around in the tunnel. I feel it. 473 00:20:43,000 --> 00:20:44,800 Speaker 1: I feel that Tampa is pissed off. I think they're 474 00:20:44,800 --> 00:20:46,480 Speaker 1: gonna take it out on in the Carolina Panthers this week. 475 00:20:46,480 --> 00:20:48,720 Speaker 1: They should have beaten the Atlanta Falcons. They should have 476 00:20:48,760 --> 00:20:51,080 Speaker 1: won a lot of games. They're finally getting healthy. Mike 477 00:20:51,080 --> 00:20:54,639 Speaker 1: Evans plus one sixty five to score a touchdown, Bucky 478 00:20:54,680 --> 00:20:58,200 Speaker 1: Irving plus one forty both plus money to score a touchdown, 479 00:20:58,440 --> 00:21:01,920 Speaker 1: all the bucks to hold. When the regular season touchdown 480 00:21:02,000 --> 00:21:03,919 Speaker 1: call here, Well, sh where are you going for your 481 00:21:03,920 --> 00:21:04,960 Speaker 1: TD calls this week? 482 00:21:05,080 --> 00:21:07,840 Speaker 2: I wanted that Bucky one. You got the Bucky one early. 483 00:21:07,880 --> 00:21:09,639 Speaker 2: Actually started to write it and then I looked at 484 00:21:09,640 --> 00:21:10,919 Speaker 2: the sheet and I saw you had it, and I 485 00:21:11,040 --> 00:21:14,879 Speaker 2: was like doing it. I really like the Bucky everyone specifically, 486 00:21:14,880 --> 00:21:17,800 Speaker 2: I think that plus money is just too high. So 487 00:21:17,840 --> 00:21:20,400 Speaker 2: that's a great call. My touchdown calls of the week. 488 00:21:21,080 --> 00:21:23,600 Speaker 2: This might be ugly because you got Gardner Minshew at quarterback, 489 00:21:23,600 --> 00:21:26,240 Speaker 2: but give me Travis Kelce. Travis Kelce, I think is 490 00:21:26,280 --> 00:21:28,960 Speaker 2: going to be the safety net for Minshew. They've got 491 00:21:29,000 --> 00:21:31,520 Speaker 2: a plus matchup. I know everybody's like, oh, they're going 492 00:21:31,560 --> 00:21:32,920 Speaker 2: to pack it in. They're going to pack it in, 493 00:21:33,000 --> 00:21:35,360 Speaker 2: but I think Minshew's going to be looking Kelsey's way 494 00:21:35,359 --> 00:21:37,919 Speaker 2: a lot. And also you got the proto issues with 495 00:21:38,119 --> 00:21:41,680 Speaker 2: Rashid Rice. I really like him on this spot. And 496 00:21:42,119 --> 00:21:44,080 Speaker 2: four touchdowns have been given up to tight ends over 497 00:21:44,119 --> 00:21:47,000 Speaker 2: the last three weeks against the Titans, so I like that. 498 00:21:47,280 --> 00:21:50,280 Speaker 2: And then this one there's a little vibe feel on it, 499 00:21:50,359 --> 00:21:53,359 Speaker 2: but I'm going with George Pickens. Obviously this is like 500 00:21:53,400 --> 00:21:56,600 Speaker 2: a tougher matchup, but the top corner coverage is going 501 00:21:56,600 --> 00:21:59,040 Speaker 2: to be put to Ceedee Lamb, which gives kind of 502 00:21:59,080 --> 00:22:02,159 Speaker 2: like median average grades as far as corners go to 503 00:22:02,359 --> 00:22:05,040 Speaker 2: George Pickens, that's a much better matchup. PFF is actually 504 00:22:05,119 --> 00:22:07,840 Speaker 2: giving it the good rating and they've got like, you know, 505 00:22:07,920 --> 00:22:10,680 Speaker 2: the scale, So this is a pretty good spot. Especially 506 00:22:10,720 --> 00:22:13,120 Speaker 2: again you go back to like implied totals for this game. 507 00:22:13,160 --> 00:22:15,760 Speaker 2: If there's going to be points being scored and Dak 508 00:22:15,800 --> 00:22:18,159 Speaker 2: Prescott is going to still thrive and live and be 509 00:22:18,200 --> 00:22:20,160 Speaker 2: a top ten quarterback, he's gonna have to throw the ball, 510 00:22:20,400 --> 00:22:22,440 Speaker 2: and if Lamb is going to be shut down, that 511 00:22:22,480 --> 00:22:26,919 Speaker 2: should be the opportunity for our dear friend George Pickens 512 00:22:26,960 --> 00:22:29,560 Speaker 2: to have a bounce back after two bad weeks. So 513 00:22:29,560 --> 00:22:33,280 Speaker 2: I'm going to go with the George Pickens and Travis 514 00:22:33,400 --> 00:22:35,399 Speaker 2: Kelce calls, not like my Loveland call I think I 515 00:22:35,440 --> 00:22:37,120 Speaker 2: hit last week, which was a three to one. These 516 00:22:37,119 --> 00:22:39,600 Speaker 2: are both like you know, I think one and a 517 00:22:39,640 --> 00:22:42,480 Speaker 2: half or like one point six to one. But I'm 518 00:22:42,520 --> 00:22:44,439 Speaker 2: trying to get this touchdown calls. Like you said, this 519 00:22:44,560 --> 00:22:45,960 Speaker 2: is a tie game, and I don't know if you 520 00:22:46,000 --> 00:22:48,480 Speaker 2: see it. We do have some ericson touchdown calls. You 521 00:22:48,520 --> 00:22:49,160 Speaker 2: want to hit those. 522 00:22:50,400 --> 00:22:52,400 Speaker 1: I can't see it, so well, oh I can't about it. 523 00:22:52,480 --> 00:22:55,159 Speaker 2: Okay, Yeah, I'm not going to give his analysis, but 524 00:22:55,200 --> 00:22:58,000 Speaker 2: he did give us two. He is an insane person, 525 00:22:58,200 --> 00:23:00,520 Speaker 2: and maybe this is because the power was Maybe the 526 00:23:00,560 --> 00:23:03,399 Speaker 2: power is also out to his head because he's going 527 00:23:03,480 --> 00:23:07,560 Speaker 2: with one Isaiah likely as a touchdown call. I'm not 528 00:23:07,600 --> 00:23:09,479 Speaker 2: sure I see what the odds are, but I believe 529 00:23:09,560 --> 00:23:13,240 Speaker 2: that's a close to three to one. And I warned 530 00:23:13,240 --> 00:23:18,040 Speaker 2: you guys, he's going justin Jefferson because of course he 531 00:23:18,160 --> 00:23:20,119 Speaker 2: is him and Bogman are in the same I know what. 532 00:23:20,160 --> 00:23:22,560 Speaker 2: I hope they're right, because if Justin Jefferson goes off, 533 00:23:22,720 --> 00:23:25,399 Speaker 2: I'm a hittto championship this coming week. But he is 534 00:23:25,440 --> 00:23:30,160 Speaker 2: not consistently Erickson is locking in. Justin Jefferson and Isaiah Likely, 535 00:23:30,520 --> 00:23:33,800 Speaker 2: the two biggest disappointments have probably knocked people out from 536 00:23:33,840 --> 00:23:36,159 Speaker 2: last week, are going to have bounce backs, and that 537 00:23:36,320 --> 00:23:38,359 Speaker 2: is his picks, and we are all tied up and 538 00:23:38,400 --> 00:23:40,119 Speaker 2: we'll see how it goes into the playoffs. 539 00:23:40,520 --> 00:23:42,800 Speaker 1: Well, I see likely as at plus two fifty five, 540 00:23:42,880 --> 00:23:44,120 Speaker 1: So that's a big return. One. 541 00:23:44,200 --> 00:23:46,320 Speaker 2: Yeah, that's the biggest return I think of all of 542 00:23:46,359 --> 00:23:48,080 Speaker 2: ours that we have here, because I think you're of 543 00:23:48,080 --> 00:23:48,560 Speaker 2: the football. 544 00:23:48,680 --> 00:23:51,560 Speaker 1: That's asking a lot. And then Justin Jefferson plus one thirty, 545 00:23:51,640 --> 00:23:54,120 Speaker 1: which is still, you know, pretty good. I mean Justin 546 00:23:54,160 --> 00:23:56,399 Speaker 1: Jefferson's a guy that we're used to sometimes getting around 547 00:23:56,400 --> 00:23:58,000 Speaker 1: that you know, minus money. 548 00:23:58,400 --> 00:24:01,800 Speaker 2: That's actually he's got the highest and the lowest odds 549 00:24:01,840 --> 00:24:05,160 Speaker 2: of both of our touchdowns because Kelsey is one eighty 550 00:24:05,200 --> 00:24:07,680 Speaker 2: five and I think I forgot to write it down, 551 00:24:07,720 --> 00:24:10,359 Speaker 2: but I think Pickens was like one seventy or something. 552 00:24:10,359 --> 00:24:12,159 Speaker 2: So he's got the highest and lowest here on this. 553 00:24:12,320 --> 00:24:15,080 Speaker 1: This is one seventy. I got in there, all right. Yeah. 554 00:24:15,080 --> 00:24:16,480 Speaker 2: Lots of down contest. 555 00:24:16,200 --> 00:24:18,840 Speaker 1: There you go, a lot of good touchdown calls. You 556 00:24:18,840 --> 00:24:20,680 Speaker 1: can follow us over on Betting Pros, download the app 557 00:24:20,680 --> 00:24:22,719 Speaker 1: bets Smarter or Not Harder, use all the tools, talk 558 00:24:22,760 --> 00:24:25,040 Speaker 1: about the prop ed cheat sheet, talk about the tracking. 559 00:24:25,080 --> 00:24:27,440 Speaker 1: It's all there for you. And of course the college 560 00:24:27,480 --> 00:24:31,040 Speaker 1: football playoffs are starting this weekend. We've got a regular 561 00:24:31,119 --> 00:24:33,719 Speaker 1: season NFL still going, and then the NFL playoffs will 562 00:24:33,760 --> 00:24:35,080 Speaker 1: be here before you know it, and that'll do it 563 00:24:35,080 --> 00:24:36,919 Speaker 1: for us. But the story of the game goes on 564 00:24:37,000 --> 00:24:40,200 Speaker 1: for the Welsh and a powerless Andrew Erickson. I'm Joey 565 00:24:40,280 --> 00:24:43,119 Speaker 1: p Let's see you next time. Kids. Thanks for listening 566 00:24:43,119 --> 00:24:45,600 Speaker 1: to the Betting Pros podcast. If you love the show, 567 00:24:45,800 --> 00:24:47,960 Speaker 1: the best freeway to support us is by leaving a 568 00:24:48,000 --> 00:24:51,679 Speaker 1: positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. Follow us on 569 00:24:51,920 --> 00:24:54,879 Speaker 1: x and TikTok at Betting Pros and Instagram at Betting 570 00:24:54,920 --> 00:24:58,560 Speaker 1: Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube channel at YouTube 571 00:24:58,560 --> 00:25:05,840 Speaker 1: dot com slash Betting Pros spils