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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast presented by BET three

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Speaker 1: sixty five. We are part of the Action Network. Today

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Speaker 1: is our Week six Tuesday NFL episode. I am Chad Milman,

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Speaker 1: Chief Content Officer of the Action Network. We are coming

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Speaker 1: off of a four and one week in our contest,

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Speaker 1: another winning week five and oh the week before we

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Speaker 1: recorded our Sunday episode before Sunday Night Football, and as

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Speaker 1: we said on the show, a lot of the lines

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Speaker 1: we like to have already moved, which is why you

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Speaker 1: need to listen to the Sunday show if you want

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Speaker 1: to get the best of the number. Today we will

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Speaker 1: get to our assignment says and our exact decision. Thursday,

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Speaker 1: we will do sharp calls, big balls, and foxhole. This episode,

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Speaker 1: we'll look at the entire board as we begin narrowing

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Speaker 1: down the five pig will enter in the Favorites Podcast.

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Speaker 1: One hundred thousand dollars Pro Football pickup contests still open

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Speaker 1: for sign up, still free to play, still awarding weekly

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Speaker 1: and season long cash prizes at Favorites dot actionnetwork dot com.

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Speaker 1: By the way, I got a lot of questions and

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Speaker 1: notes this week about accessing the contest through the app.

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Speaker 1: The Action Network app. You can only access the contest

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Speaker 1: through favorites dot actionnetwork dot com. A lot of folks

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Speaker 1: have been clicking on some of the banner ads that

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Speaker 1: were in the app, and that suck them to the site.

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Speaker 1: Please bookmark favorites dot actionnetwork dot com. All right, let's

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Speaker 1: bring in my co host, my bff, my companion, my

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Speaker 1: compadre professional better signon Hunter et Oh, so I'm in.

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Speaker 2: Hello, hotcha, good morning, my guy.

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Speaker 1: I was reading the chat the other day and someone

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Speaker 1: had a response, why do I always use an English

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Speaker 1: accent when I introduce you? For those who are new

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Speaker 1: to the show and don't know s i'mon is from England,

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Speaker 1: and so I introduced him in a way that makes

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Speaker 1: him feel more comfortable, as if it's akin to his

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Speaker 1: native tongue.

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Speaker 2: No, if you want to make me more comfortable chat,

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Speaker 2: you would tell me a dark joke, which you don't do,

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Speaker 2: which is very American of you. So that's the British

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Speaker 2: way I'd come in. You'd call me a piece of shit,

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Speaker 2: make fun of my mother, and then we get into

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Speaker 2: a podcast. I'd be way more British. But yeah, if

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Speaker 2: you didn't know by the name Simon Hunter, which sounds

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Speaker 2: very British, im posh. I am British, but not the

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Speaker 2: rich British. I was like the peasants.

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Speaker 1: You were like peaky Blinders before they became gangsters. True, true, Yeah,

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Speaker 1: way up in the North, all right, Simon brock Purty.

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Speaker 1: The Niners, they did exactly what we expected them to

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Speaker 1: do on Sunday Night, Throttle the Freaking Cowboys. That was

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Speaker 1: our first bet last week. It was one of our

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Speaker 1: biggest bets last week. The Niners now the odds on

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Speaker 1: favorite to win the super Bowl ahead of Kansas City.

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Speaker 1: Brock Purty seven to one to win. MVP. Reminder, you

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Speaker 1: did a film session after week won and rock Perty

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Speaker 1: and how good he was. We talked about MVP adds

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Speaker 1: for pretty then McCaffrey also fifteen to one party seven

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Speaker 1: to one. I'd still buy McCaffrey at this point.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. I'll give a shout to our guy, Matthew Freeman.

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Speaker 2: We had him on some random ass show. I feel

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Speaker 2: like Man Mitchell had him under our own mail back show.

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Speaker 2: It was the most random thing ever, but he had

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Speaker 2: him on and he gave out Purty like seventy five

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Speaker 2: to one hundred and one, something crazy like that. For MVP,

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Speaker 2: and I poo pooed it because I just was like,

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Speaker 2: the kid's coming off an arm injury. He's gonna start slow,

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Speaker 2: blah blah blah, looking like a great We're great bet

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Speaker 2: there by Matthew Freeman Purty seventy five to one. MVP

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Speaker 2: did not see this coming shot Like I knew that

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Speaker 2: it would be good played in the system, YadA, YadA, YadA.

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Speaker 2: He came back from a major elbow injury like that

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Speaker 2: was no off season. Threw him to the Wolves. You know,

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Speaker 2: QB competition, we get one of these rare gems every

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Speaker 2: twenty years, you know, the Kurt Warners, the Tom Brady's,

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Speaker 2: Like these guys who no one believes in. They find

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Speaker 2: the right coach, the right system. It's truly mind blown.

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Speaker 2: Every time I say his fucking name, Perdy, it's mind blowing.

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Speaker 2: So can't give enough props as forty nine Ers team,

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Speaker 2: Like I would love to say they're not the best

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Speaker 2: team of football, but they are right now, which doesn't

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Speaker 2: mean should for the best team in October. But as

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Speaker 2: a fan, that's got to feel really good. Where the

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Speaker 2: Cowboys game was next level. Look on the move, making

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Speaker 2: throws downfield, throws fifty to fifty balls right on target.

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Speaker 2: I can't believe it. Chad, like this kid, mister Irrelevant.

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Speaker 2: You go back and watch his college tape. You will

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Speaker 2: not believe that's the same person. Year two. This kid's

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Speaker 2: playing this.

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Speaker 1: Well, Simon, it's not October, it's p October. Shout out

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Speaker 1: t Stucky, Shout out to Colin Wilson. Shout out Big

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Speaker 1: Bets on Campus podcast, best college football podcast there is.

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Speaker 1: As a reminder of the favorite podcast is presented by

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Speaker 1: Bet three six five. Bet three six five doesn't do ordinary.

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Speaker 1: never ordinary at Bet three six five. Must be eighteen

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Speaker 1: and over in Kentucky and twenty one and over in Colorado, Iowa.

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Speaker 1: Kentucky or Colorado, Iowa, New Jersey, Ohio or Virginia. Gambling

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Speaker 1: problem called one eight hundred gambler in Colorado, Kentucky, New Jersey, Ohio,

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Speaker 1: and Virginia or one eight hundred bets off in Iowa.

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Speaker 1: Terms and conditions and restrictions apply. Favorites. Contest Update Week

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Speaker 1: five Winners roundup. Wow, you know we got like twelve

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Speaker 1: thousand people in this contest. Week five. In the contest,

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Speaker 1: we had two hundred and ninety three entries finished five

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Speaker 1: and zero. We had a four way tie for first

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Speaker 1: because they nailed the tiebreaker length of the Raiders first drive,

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Speaker 1: which was twenty five yards. Congrants to our winners. This

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Speaker 1: week's producer couple ward goes to Dylan Danielson for finishing

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Speaker 1: dead fucking last in the Week five contest, going zero

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Speaker 1: to five and missing the tiebreaker by fifty yards. Dylan

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Speaker 1: email producer Matt Mitchell at podcasts at actionnetwork dot com

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Speaker 1: to claim your non cash prize. Thanks for playing. Week

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Speaker 1: six is now live the Monday Night Football tiebreaker total

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Speaker 1: rushing yards on Monday Night Football. Good look everybody? All right?

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Speaker 1: Quick reminder some futures at Simon and I have in

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Speaker 1: the offing. Justin Herbert lead the league in passing twenty

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Speaker 1: five to one he had a buye. Not much to

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Speaker 1: say there. Tyreek Hill lead the league in receiving yards

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Speaker 1: at nine to one, all alone in first and Justin

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Speaker 1: Jefferson expected to be out the next few weeks. Jalen

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Speaker 1: Carter now minus money to win Defensive Rookie of the Year.

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Speaker 1: We got him at seven to one before the season started.

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Speaker 1: Another great day for him included a sack, vicious sack

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Speaker 1: of Matthew Stafford. We have bet Christian McCaffrey to win MVP.

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Speaker 1: We have bet Josh Allen to win MVP when he

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Speaker 1: was down to ten to one. That one may be

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Speaker 1: a little bit tougher. Now, all right, let's get to it. Simon.

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Speaker 1: We talked about this on Sunday night. Denver is visiting

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Speaker 1: Kansas City. It's already a pros Joe's game. We said,

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Speaker 1: we have to bet the Broncos, which we did on

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Speaker 1: Sunday night ten and a half. We think we will

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Speaker 1: lose it. It's a historically bad defense that has already made

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Speaker 1: Justin Field and Zach Wilson look like they might be

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Speaker 1: serviceable NFL quarterbacks. They are last in the league and

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Speaker 1: pressure rate second most in yards after the catch. Aloud,

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Speaker 1: everything Mahomes dominates. They do badly. The only thing we

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Speaker 1: have going for us right now is that Mahomes has

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Speaker 1: twenty four games as a favorite of ten or more

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Speaker 1: ten thirteen and one against the spread.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, of those covers are against this Denver team. I

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Speaker 2: think that much. Agree with me last show, like, we

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Speaker 2: bet this every time.

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Speaker 1: You know what, though we did win last year. Last year,

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Speaker 1: remember the Chiefs were up like twenty four in the

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Speaker 1: first half and we came back and covered.

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Speaker 2: So there we go. We got one. But yeah, we'll

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Speaker 2: bet this number. You guys can join us. I hate it.

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Speaker 2: I hate it every year, but we bet this every year.

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Speaker 2: Like you're in a divisional game. You're catching more than

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Speaker 2: ten points on a short week. Travis Kelcey is dealing

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Speaker 2: with the bum ankle like the Chiefs offenses does not

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Speaker 2: look right, I mean the vikings. I'm not trying to

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Speaker 2: be such an Eagles homer, but I think the general

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Speaker 2: public is ttarting to see what Eagles fans were bitching about.

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Speaker 2: Where the refs and this Chiefs team. This shit is ridiculous.

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Speaker 2: That Jets game that call that the flag after the

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Speaker 2: pick ridiculous. The last game, the refs saying to the player,

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Speaker 2: put your helmet back on. The guy takes his helmet off.

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Speaker 2: Chatnet if you saw this clip. A player on the

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Speaker 2: Chiefs took his helmet off to go talk to the

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Speaker 2: refs on the field, and the ref said to him

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Speaker 2: put your helmet back on or off the throw flag?

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Speaker 2: And what were there's a ref sayto a player put

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Speaker 2: your onla back on. They just throw the flag. So

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Speaker 2: this Chiefs team is the NFL darling clearly like this,

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Speaker 2: you can't make it up. They want them to succeed.

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Speaker 2: Apparently the swift thing is real. Chad knows, like we'll

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Speaker 2: bet this number every time. Like there's a few teams

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Speaker 2: right now I have blacklisted, And you think I would

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Speaker 2: with the Broncos after last week, not at all. Like

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Speaker 2: I don't blame Russ or anyone for that loss last week.

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Speaker 2: It's just we'll take the ten and a half in

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Speaker 2: Russell Wilson and this Denver team.

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Speaker 1: That was a great conspiracy rant.

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Speaker 2: It's seven in the morning, Chad, you're living.

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Speaker 1: Large in Hawaii right now? What teams are on your blacklist?

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Speaker 1: We've never talked about this.

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Speaker 2: Like what team will I not bet right now? No

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Speaker 2: matter how good the number is. Yeah, the Giants definitely

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Speaker 2: are there right now. I just don't think the books

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Speaker 2: are caught up to how injured out injured that team is.

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Speaker 2: And it worked out for me last week. I made

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Speaker 2: a big number on Miami, came through and after losing

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Speaker 2: money just betting against them. This forty nine Ers team,

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Speaker 2: like we're gonna talk talk about this week, but like

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Speaker 2: I'm having a tough time trying to fade this porn

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Speaker 2: irons team and I wanted to this week. We talked

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Speaker 2: Sunday night, like I took them early just because I

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Speaker 2: thought they would blow out the Cowboys and we'd get

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Speaker 2: a good number. They're kind of breaking the mold right now.

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Speaker 2: The forty nine Ers are just so good.

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Speaker 1: But we're getting Mike vrabel As a three and a

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Speaker 1: half point dog in London facing the Baltimore Ravens. Other

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Speaker 1: than the fact the game is in London, everything else

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Speaker 1: lines up for us to want to be on Tennessee

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Speaker 1: and on Sunday Night. The game opened at four and

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Speaker 1: a half for a blip that it was at four

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Speaker 1: for about twenty four hours, and now it's down to

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Speaker 1: three and a half. We've got a very public dog

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Speaker 1: here the money and the tickets coming in on the Titans,

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Speaker 1: the secret may be out that Lamar Jackson not as

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Speaker 1: good as a favorite. Certainly a little bit of deflation

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Speaker 1: on the Ravens because what happened last week. But look,

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Speaker 1: we got Mike Vrabel as an underdog and not being

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Speaker 1: in the US. I'm not sure how we take that

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Speaker 1: into account. You tell me, do we care? But Rabel

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Speaker 1: is an underdog of more than more than three twenty five,

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Speaker 1: twelve and one in his career.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it stinks. I thought I was so excited. We

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Speaker 2: were both like, we're getting four and a half home dog, Rabel.

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Speaker 2: It's in London. Talk to some really smart guys. If

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Speaker 2: coming heavy on the Ravens. I've seen some lines, you know,

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Speaker 2: some Sharper books back up to minus four and a

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Speaker 2: half on the Ravens. I don't know what to deal

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Speaker 2: with them. I'm glad we don't put in our contest either.

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Speaker 2: It's like I want to take Rabel and everything like that.

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Speaker 2: But the Ravens, I don't know what the exact stat was,

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Speaker 2: but it was something crazy of like they had one

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Speaker 2: hundred and fifty yards and three touchdowns and drops against

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Speaker 2: that Pittsburgh team, Like, that's how bad the receivers were

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Speaker 2: for Lamar. I'd like to I see from Tennessee, like

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Speaker 2: Tannehill doesn't look as bad as he looked last year

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Speaker 2: or even early in the season. And you know, the defense,

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Speaker 2: sure they got some weaknesses to it, but against the run,

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Speaker 2: they're really strong. And that's still what the Ravens want

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Speaker 2: to do. Right. We saw them try to be a

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Speaker 2: more pass passing offense and just really hasn't worked so

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Speaker 2: far in the early in this seas so happy me

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Speaker 2: and you have to put this in the contest, but

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Speaker 2: do me and try to have a choice, like if

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Speaker 2: this is four and a half again, we'll be with

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Speaker 2: the public and we'll take the public dog of the

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Speaker 2: week and we'll take tennesssee most likely, Yeah.

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Speaker 1: We kind of have to. I mean, the only thing

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Speaker 1: is London enough to make us reconsider how we feel, right,

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Speaker 1: because that's the only difference. I'm not afraid of betting

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Speaker 1: on Ryan Tannehill as an underdog right now because I

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Speaker 1: think they're not. They're not going to stop going for

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Speaker 1: it over the course of the game.

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Speaker 2: It feels like it's a huge number. That's the biggest thing, right,

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Speaker 2: That's just a really big number.

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Speaker 1: We're playing the number. Another game that I think we're

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Speaker 1: playing the number. Minnesota visiting the Chicago Bears game open

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Speaker 1: to three. I bet Bears plus three. You and I

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Speaker 1: haven't even discussed this yet. It's now down to two

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Speaker 1: and a half. It might be why it moved. When

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Speaker 1: I first saw this game, I thought it's too early

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Speaker 1: to stake out a position. And then the more I

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Speaker 1: thought about it, the more comfortable I was betting on

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Speaker 1: the Bears. And that was before the Justin Jefferson news.

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Speaker 1: But I want your sort of unfiltered take.

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Speaker 2: Feels like one of the easier phases of the week.

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Speaker 2: Bears won a game by twenty last Thursday. The Vikings

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Speaker 2: have lost. They didn't cover either, Like people are totally

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Speaker 2: out of this team. You tell me this number will

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Speaker 2: be three and a half if Jeff Jefferson was playing

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Speaker 2: or three. So it moved half a point because he's

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Speaker 2: out of this game. It all feels like fugezy to me.

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Speaker 2: So looking at this number, I'll take minus two Minnesota

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Speaker 2: against a Bears team that I don't know how they

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Speaker 2: can handle winning. Chat they hadn't won in a calendar

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Speaker 2: year basically, now they had a whole ten days to

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Speaker 2: be saying themselves, we're back like their fans are back in.

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Speaker 2: Everyone's drinking the kool aid again. I don't want to

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Speaker 2: do this. I don't want to be backing Kirk here,

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Speaker 2: but we have to. We're getting under a field goal

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Speaker 2: against one of the worst defenses in all football. I'm

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Speaker 2: not going to react too much. I do love what

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Speaker 2: the Bears did and how they look. It's really fading

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Speaker 2: that Bears defense, like the fields still is inconsistent. He's

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Speaker 2: still a guy that he's going to turn the ball

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Speaker 2: over at some point in this game. This defense to

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Speaker 2: the Vikings, they might be terrible. They're going to be

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Speaker 2: blitzing fields like crazy. That's what this this team does.

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Speaker 2: So the turnovers are going to be that, the opportunity

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Speaker 2: are going to be there. I won't let it scare

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Speaker 2: me off, Chad. Like if this was three and a half,

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Speaker 2: I probably would go Bears. The signs moved way too

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Speaker 2: much off a guy's injury that I don't think he's

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Speaker 2: worth as much as the spread as people perceive. So

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Speaker 2: I'll take the value on the Vikings.

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Speaker 1: All right, So I bet the Bears plus three and

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Speaker 1: it has nothing to do with the Bears winning and

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Speaker 1: the Vikings losing. It has everything to do with something

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Speaker 1: you just said, the Vikings blitzing. And it's not because

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Speaker 1: I think Justin Field is going to be great against

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Speaker 1: the blitz I think it's because the Minnesota Vikings are

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Speaker 1: freaking terrible at blitzing, because they're blitzing NonStop, but they're

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Speaker 1: not getting to the quarterback ever. So I was reading

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Speaker 1: Bill Barnwell yesterday and he had this great stat Who's

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Speaker 1: really the worst team? And he went through all the

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Speaker 1: teams that are, you know, the Bears and the Vikings

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Speaker 1: and the Giants and the Panthers and the Broncos. Right, So,

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Speaker 1: the Vikings are blitzing at one of the highest percentages

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Speaker 1: in the league, but all it's doing is leaving their

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Speaker 1: really bad secondary vulnerable. So this is from Barnwell. Zero interceptions,

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Speaker 1: six sacks on one hundred and eight plays with extra pressure.

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Speaker 1: That is half the league wide sack rate on blitzes.

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Speaker 1: And they're allowing on those blitzes a ninety one QBR

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Speaker 1: because their secondary is so bad. So with the Bears,

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Speaker 1: what they've done actually the past two weeks, and we've

305
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Speaker 1: talked about this, they started to put Justin Fields in

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Speaker 1: a position to succeed by letting him run a little

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Speaker 1: bit more. And I think it's opened up the back

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Speaker 1: end of the offense a little bit because now teams

309
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Speaker 1: need to account for that. They don't have to count

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Speaker 1: for that in all the first three weeks to RPOs

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Speaker 1: the first two weeks, that was fewer than Mac Jones.

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Speaker 1: And I also think that the connection with djmore the

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Speaker 1: past two weeks is giving him more confidence and also

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Speaker 1: making them a much better team. And we believed before

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Speaker 1: the season the Bears would be a better team because

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Speaker 1: in the same way Jalen Hurts got better with AJ Brown,

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Speaker 1: Josh Allen get better with Stefon Diggs, Justin Fields would

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Speaker 1: get better with the number one caliber receiver. That's why

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Speaker 1: I bet the Bears.

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Speaker 2: All right, I'm not gonna try to convince a guy

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Speaker 2: who's a Bears fan to fade the Bears. I get it.

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Speaker 1: This has listen, listen, this has nothing to do with it.

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Speaker 2: Unluckiest team in football is the Vikings. Go look at

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Speaker 2: the luck rankings. You love luck rankings. I gave it

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Speaker 2: to you. They are a top three unluckiest team of

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Speaker 2: football right now in Minnesota.

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Speaker 1: Cousins has historically struggled with bad teams eleven twenty one

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Speaker 1: and one eleven twenty and one against the spread versus

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Speaker 1: teams with a win percentage of thirty three percent or less.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, that's not ideal.

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Speaker 1: That ideal not ideal. Indianapolis is visiting Jacksonville. Anthony Richardson

332
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Speaker 1: will not be playing. We like this one. We grabbed

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Speaker 1: it a five and a half. It started moving when

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Speaker 1: we were on the show, Money and tickets all on

335
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Speaker 1: the Colts, and that was even before the Richardson news.

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Speaker 1: To me, it just feels like way too much inflation

337
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Speaker 1: on the Jags after beating Buffalo who honestly could barely

338
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Speaker 1: feel the defense and still almost won the game.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it's really tough if it was such an inflated number,

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Speaker 2: I believe. I think gave us a stat last week

341
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Speaker 2: like a team that comes back from London and doesn't

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Speaker 2: take the bye. Apparently all their games are super close,

343
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Speaker 2: and we had that with Atlanta last week, like the

344
00:17:12,920 --> 00:17:15,639
Speaker 2: game really did come down to the last nap. So

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Speaker 2: I'm right there with you, Chad. We're getting a big

346
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Speaker 2: number another team that's a real public dog. But you know,

347
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Speaker 2: me and Chad we like this number, so it sucks

348
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Speaker 2: and it moves so much, but we're still getting a

349
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Speaker 2: four and a half, which is such a key number.

350
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Speaker 2: Of course, I'm gonna bet that. I already have betted,

351
00:17:28,920 --> 00:17:30,320
Speaker 2: like Chad said, I bet the five and a half,

352
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Speaker 2: bet five yesterday. I'll bet the four and a half

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Speaker 2: again today. It's just a big number for a matchup.

354
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Speaker 2: We think it's ana come down to the fourth quarter.

355
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Speaker 2: So how do you not take the points here against

356
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Speaker 2: the Jaguars team that they've looked incredible for two weeks

357
00:17:41,200 --> 00:17:42,879
Speaker 2: But me and Chad said it like that was in London.

358
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Speaker 2: Now they're coming back home. Let's see if they can

359
00:17:44,760 --> 00:17:46,840
Speaker 2: carry the momentum back home where the last time they're

360
00:17:46,880 --> 00:17:50,320
Speaker 2: at home in Jacksonville they got blown out by Houston.

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Speaker 2: This numbers should probably be three, three and a half

362
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Speaker 2: overreaction to maybe Richardson being now in this line open

363
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Speaker 2: five and a half and you've seen the pros just

364
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Speaker 2: bet it down. So I'm happy to take the four

365
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Speaker 2: and a half.

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Speaker 1: Chad, Yeah, I'm putting this one on the list. First

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Speaker 1: game we're putting on the list as a potential entrant

368
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Speaker 1: in our Phase five. We talked about this on Sunday.

369
00:18:10,119 --> 00:18:13,399
Speaker 1: Even when Minshew came in, I made a note, do

370
00:18:13,560 --> 00:18:18,280
Speaker 1: not feel anxious about Anthony Richardson being replaced by Gardner Minshew.

371
00:18:18,760 --> 00:18:22,399
Speaker 1: This Colts team, they tackle well, they do the basics well.

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Speaker 1: So there's a verblelesque feel to this team. Put themselves

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Speaker 1: in a position to win when there is an opportunity

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Speaker 1: to win the game.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, that's fair to say.

376
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Speaker 1: Yep, all right, another game Sunday night, we talked about Seattle.

377
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Speaker 1: Seattle was a three point underdog. The line has moved

378
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Speaker 1: to two and a half. This is a pros Joe's

379
00:18:41,480 --> 00:18:44,400
Speaker 1: game against the Bengals. I should say tickets on the Bengals,

380
00:18:44,880 --> 00:18:48,639
Speaker 1: money on Seattle. I grabbed Seattle plus three two and

381
00:18:48,680 --> 00:18:49,600
Speaker 1: a half. I don't like it as.

382
00:18:49,640 --> 00:18:52,760
Speaker 2: Much like I want to go to the Bengals because

383
00:18:52,800 --> 00:18:54,600
Speaker 2: this is a great matchup for their offense where you

384
00:18:54,640 --> 00:18:56,840
Speaker 2: can pass the ball on the six. I know they

385
00:18:56,840 --> 00:18:59,960
Speaker 2: look like, you know, the best team ever against Daniel Jones,

386
00:19:00,160 --> 00:19:03,040
Speaker 2: this Giants team, But you mean you know they're not Chad.

387
00:19:03,040 --> 00:19:05,199
Speaker 2: We know the Seahawks have a bunch of weaknesses and

388
00:19:05,560 --> 00:19:07,840
Speaker 2: good teams can exploit them if you have the right

389
00:19:08,040 --> 00:19:11,399
Speaker 2: receiving corps, you can really exploit this young secondary that

390
00:19:11,920 --> 00:19:14,280
Speaker 2: the Seahawks team has. So you know, if I read

391
00:19:14,320 --> 00:19:16,920
Speaker 2: all week that Joe Burrow is still moving well and

392
00:19:17,240 --> 00:19:19,679
Speaker 2: no setbacks, two and a half on the Bengals and

393
00:19:19,680 --> 00:19:21,800
Speaker 2: a healthy Joe Burrow probably can end up on it.

394
00:19:21,840 --> 00:19:24,720
Speaker 2: Like you watch that game against Arizona, he was scrambling,

395
00:19:24,720 --> 00:19:27,000
Speaker 2: he was moving in the pocket and then on the

396
00:19:27,040 --> 00:19:30,080
Speaker 2: move making those downfield throws, which for three weeks you

397
00:19:30,119 --> 00:19:32,600
Speaker 2: watch the same footage he could not hit those throws

398
00:19:32,640 --> 00:19:35,159
Speaker 2: on the run. And now it looks like he kind

399
00:19:35,200 --> 00:19:36,920
Speaker 2: of got his groove back and his rhythm back and

400
00:19:36,960 --> 00:19:39,720
Speaker 2: his timing back. With Chase, it's a big deal. Like

401
00:19:39,800 --> 00:19:42,360
Speaker 2: so me and Chad, I hate being on the public side,

402
00:19:42,400 --> 00:19:44,119
Speaker 2: but it feels like a two and a half, that's

403
00:19:44,160 --> 00:19:46,400
Speaker 2: a good number to back this Beangals team. So I'll

404
00:19:46,400 --> 00:19:47,800
Speaker 2: throw a little bet on it now and then well,

405
00:19:48,119 --> 00:19:50,720
Speaker 2: you know, I'll know more by Thursday about what the

406
00:19:50,720 --> 00:19:53,480
Speaker 2: prosury on this one. But my first glance, first things

407
00:19:53,480 --> 00:19:54,880
Speaker 2: think was kind of chow where it's like I wanted

408
00:19:54,880 --> 00:19:57,000
Speaker 2: to take the Seahawks. But then after going back watching

409
00:19:57,000 --> 00:19:59,960
Speaker 2: the Arizona game, Joe Burrow looks like old Joe Burrows.

410
00:20:00,040 --> 00:20:02,639
Speaker 2: So I'll take him here as a desperate team to

411
00:20:02,640 --> 00:20:04,199
Speaker 2: get back to three and three, like they need this

412
00:20:04,240 --> 00:20:05,919
Speaker 2: game to get back to five hundred. So I like

413
00:20:06,000 --> 00:20:06,840
Speaker 2: Joe in that position.

414
00:20:07,320 --> 00:20:12,159
Speaker 1: So here's the thing about the Bengals that has me equivocating.

415
00:20:12,680 --> 00:20:15,840
Speaker 1: What do we know about that Arizona team and what

416
00:20:15,840 --> 00:20:18,560
Speaker 1: do we know about the quality of that win? Joe

417
00:20:18,560 --> 00:20:21,400
Speaker 1: looked amazing. Do we end up giving Joe too much

418
00:20:21,440 --> 00:20:24,160
Speaker 1: credit for beating an Arizona team that had been overperforming?

419
00:20:25,040 --> 00:20:26,600
Speaker 2: No, because I just I wanted to see him move.

420
00:20:26,640 --> 00:20:28,359
Speaker 2: That's like it could have been anyone out there. It

421
00:20:28,359 --> 00:20:29,840
Speaker 2: doesn't matter what the team was. It could have been

422
00:20:29,840 --> 00:20:31,560
Speaker 2: your ebarrass team, the worst, one of the worst defensive

423
00:20:31,560 --> 00:20:34,760
Speaker 2: in football. Just seeing him move when it made me happy,

424
00:20:34,800 --> 00:20:36,800
Speaker 2: Like the guy had him been moving outside the pocket,

425
00:20:37,119 --> 00:20:39,239
Speaker 2: He had him been moving around inside the pocket like

426
00:20:39,640 --> 00:20:41,639
Speaker 2: you go and watch that Tennessee team. It looks like

427
00:20:41,720 --> 00:20:44,440
Speaker 2: Joe had never played football before. Like he just would

428
00:20:44,520 --> 00:20:46,720
Speaker 2: stand back there he was counting a five in his

429
00:20:46,760 --> 00:20:49,560
Speaker 2: head and then just get sacked and like Joe healthy

430
00:20:49,560 --> 00:20:51,760
Speaker 2: against Arizona, he didn't look that way, like he'd count

431
00:20:51,760 --> 00:20:54,080
Speaker 2: the three in his head once it got past three,

432
00:20:54,280 --> 00:20:56,119
Speaker 2: like old Joe, he'd move into the pocket or he'd

433
00:20:56,119 --> 00:20:59,000
Speaker 2: get outside the pocket and use his feet. So that's

434
00:20:59,040 --> 00:21:00,919
Speaker 2: really what I wanted to see. And I mean, you

435
00:21:00,920 --> 00:21:02,760
Speaker 2: could totally get burned if we going on this week

436
00:21:02,800 --> 00:21:05,160
Speaker 2: against the Seahawks and Joe isn't right and he isn't

437
00:21:05,200 --> 00:21:07,359
Speaker 2: healthy and that was just some mirage against the Cardinals.

438
00:21:07,920 --> 00:21:10,000
Speaker 2: But from all everything I've seen the tape, everything I've

439
00:21:10,000 --> 00:21:12,400
Speaker 2: read from the Beat writers this week, sounds like Joe's

440
00:21:12,480 --> 00:21:13,720
Speaker 2: kind of gotten over that leg injury.

441
00:21:14,880 --> 00:21:18,600
Speaker 1: Carolina visiting Miami. Miami is a fourteen point favorite right now.

442
00:21:19,000 --> 00:21:21,879
Speaker 1: Last week on the show, talked for a minute about

443
00:21:21,920 --> 00:21:26,359
Speaker 1: the Giants, and ultimately you decided to back Miami as

444
00:21:26,400 --> 00:21:29,840
Speaker 1: a really big favorite. Turned out to be exactly the

445
00:21:29,880 --> 00:21:32,960
Speaker 1: right call, Carolina. You talked about luck rankings, and you

446
00:21:32,960 --> 00:21:34,960
Speaker 1: know how much I love the luck rankings by Sean

447
00:21:35,040 --> 00:21:38,800
Speaker 1: Kerner and Nick Ifin and Billy Ward, our predictive analytics team.

448
00:21:39,240 --> 00:21:43,760
Speaker 1: Everyone must check them out. They will do like what

449
00:21:43,800 --> 00:21:47,639
Speaker 1: the expected score would have been. If you clean up

450
00:21:47,640 --> 00:21:52,199
Speaker 1: the noise of unforeseen circumstances, right, you get rid of

451
00:21:52,240 --> 00:21:54,440
Speaker 1: some turnovers, you get rid of some bad luck. Et cetera,

452
00:21:54,480 --> 00:21:59,520
Speaker 1: et cetera. Carolina this year, the expected scores in their

453
00:21:59,600 --> 00:22:03,560
Speaker 1: game would have been like ninety one for Carolina, one

454
00:22:03,640 --> 00:22:08,240
Speaker 1: hundred and forty four for their opponents. The actual score

455
00:22:08,320 --> 00:22:11,280
Speaker 1: in their games ninety one for Carolina, one hundred and

456
00:22:11,280 --> 00:22:15,080
Speaker 1: forty four for their opponents. Carolina is exactly who we

457
00:22:15,160 --> 00:22:18,680
Speaker 1: think they are, a terrible football team with Bryce Young

458
00:22:19,560 --> 00:22:25,040
Speaker 1: averaging the fewest air yards per completion or something like that.

459
00:22:26,400 --> 00:22:31,080
Speaker 1: Awful football team to be back Miami again as a

460
00:22:31,160 --> 00:22:34,040
Speaker 1: massive favorite.

461
00:22:34,240 --> 00:22:35,520
Speaker 2: And I don't know if you saw a clip of

462
00:22:35,840 --> 00:22:39,040
Speaker 2: Frank Reich talking about what everything I went into get

463
00:22:39,119 --> 00:22:42,160
Speaker 2: in Bryce Young, but he basically put it on the owner,

464
00:22:42,359 --> 00:22:45,480
Speaker 2: like he pretty much openly said I wanted a different quarterback,

465
00:22:45,480 --> 00:22:47,679
Speaker 2: and the owner was the one that stepped in and

466
00:22:48,119 --> 00:22:51,160
Speaker 2: we talked. See that, Yeah, we talked in nauseum all

467
00:22:51,200 --> 00:22:54,280
Speaker 2: off season before the draft. Everything I was hearing and

468
00:22:54,320 --> 00:22:56,760
Speaker 2: how everything I heard was everyone on the coaching staff

469
00:22:56,840 --> 00:22:59,679
Speaker 2: was all in on CJ. Everyone loved CJ brought up

470
00:22:59,680 --> 00:23:01,400
Speaker 2: for the inner and they loved him, loved the kid.

471
00:23:01,880 --> 00:23:04,240
Speaker 2: And then out of nowhere before the draft, the Bryce

472
00:23:04,280 --> 00:23:06,560
Speaker 2: Young number moved and it looks like it was the

473
00:23:06,600 --> 00:23:09,399
Speaker 2: owner that stepped in and took this kid, which you

474
00:23:09,440 --> 00:23:13,720
Speaker 2: know is looking like a total total bust. Like this

475
00:23:13,840 --> 00:23:17,600
Speaker 2: kid is just undersized. He looks completely terrified out there,

476
00:23:17,640 --> 00:23:19,479
Speaker 2: and I don't want to put too much on him

477
00:23:19,480 --> 00:23:21,760
Speaker 2: because they're just it's just really not his fault. Like

478
00:23:22,160 --> 00:23:24,040
Speaker 2: I think Bryce Young does have a ton of talent.

479
00:23:24,040 --> 00:23:25,760
Speaker 2: He's one of the smartest quarterbacks ever come out of

480
00:23:25,760 --> 00:23:28,760
Speaker 2: college football. They just they they've set him up to fail.

481
00:23:28,960 --> 00:23:31,440
Speaker 2: And you know, I tried to go in on him

482
00:23:31,480 --> 00:23:33,520
Speaker 2: last week at plus ten. It was a good number

483
00:23:33,560 --> 00:23:37,520
Speaker 2: against that Lions team. They totally steamrolled him, like every

484
00:23:37,520 --> 00:23:39,600
Speaker 2: time he has the ball. I just have no confidence

485
00:23:39,600 --> 00:23:42,800
Speaker 2: in this team getting downfield and scoring, and I want

486
00:23:42,840 --> 00:23:45,199
Speaker 2: to take them here. This is such a big number.

487
00:23:45,240 --> 00:23:47,040
Speaker 2: But if you're giving me some books, I have at

488
00:23:47,040 --> 00:23:50,960
Speaker 2: thirteen and a half right now for Miami and Tua

489
00:23:51,040 --> 00:23:53,159
Speaker 2: had a bad game last week and they still covered

490
00:23:53,160 --> 00:23:55,679
Speaker 2: at sixteen, Like he threw a pick six and they

491
00:23:55,720 --> 00:24:00,000
Speaker 2: still beat the Giants by double digits. So they're a team.

492
00:24:00,200 --> 00:24:02,560
Speaker 2: I told you I wouldn't get caught by this Miami team.

493
00:24:02,600 --> 00:24:04,640
Speaker 2: I had just in my rankings even after the Bills game.

494
00:24:05,080 --> 00:24:07,320
Speaker 2: They got blown out by the Bills. I did not

495
00:24:07,359 --> 00:24:08,840
Speaker 2: move them in my powering because I kept them right

496
00:24:08,840 --> 00:24:10,360
Speaker 2: where I had them before the game, which was right

497
00:24:10,359 --> 00:24:13,320
Speaker 2: behind the Bills. It's like, you know, they're they're just

498
00:24:13,400 --> 00:24:16,240
Speaker 2: not that they're not that bad of a team compared

499
00:24:16,240 --> 00:24:18,480
Speaker 2: to these other top tier teams. So if I'm gonna

500
00:24:18,480 --> 00:24:20,440
Speaker 2: give these, you know, tons of respect to these really

501
00:24:20,480 --> 00:24:22,680
Speaker 2: good teams like the Lions, who I should have gave

502
00:24:22,680 --> 00:24:25,280
Speaker 2: more respect to against this Carolina team, I have to

503
00:24:25,280 --> 00:24:27,879
Speaker 2: deal here with Miami Chad, So I hate doing it.

504
00:24:27,880 --> 00:24:30,320
Speaker 2: I hate taking a big favorite again back to back weeks.

505
00:24:30,359 --> 00:24:34,080
Speaker 2: But how does Carolina keep up in this game? Like

506
00:24:34,160 --> 00:24:36,040
Speaker 2: is Adam Feeling really gonna go off again for another

507
00:24:36,080 --> 00:24:38,600
Speaker 2: one hundred and fifty yards in a touchdown? Like it's

508
00:24:38,680 --> 00:24:41,120
Speaker 2: just it just isn't there for Carolina. They're like they're

509
00:24:41,119 --> 00:24:43,280
Speaker 2: gonna get if they get into shootouts, they're never gonna win.

510
00:24:43,359 --> 00:24:45,240
Speaker 2: I don't think they have the dogs on defense anymore

511
00:24:45,240 --> 00:24:49,200
Speaker 2: to get stopped. So I'm not seeing how this team

512
00:24:49,400 --> 00:24:52,000
Speaker 2: makes the moves and makes the decisions. And the coaching

513
00:24:52,000 --> 00:24:54,480
Speaker 2: too on Carolina, like they're just they're just so outclassed

514
00:24:54,560 --> 00:24:57,360
Speaker 2: right now compared to Miami. I'll do the chalky pick.

515
00:24:57,359 --> 00:24:59,679
Speaker 2: I'll take the big favorite of Miami here under fourteen though.

516
00:24:59,680 --> 00:25:01,440
Speaker 2: If you can thirteen and a half, that's a big

517
00:25:01,440 --> 00:25:03,080
Speaker 2: deal to me, So hopefully you can find that thirteen

518
00:25:03,119 --> 00:25:03,639
Speaker 2: and a half.

519
00:25:04,000 --> 00:25:07,200
Speaker 1: Producer Tita just put a note in the chat. In April,

520
00:25:07,960 --> 00:25:11,560
Speaker 1: Panthers owner David Tepper said the team didn't need an

521
00:25:11,600 --> 00:25:15,320
Speaker 1: elite wide receiver because Bryce Young was going to be

522
00:25:15,400 --> 00:25:19,600
Speaker 1: playing QB like a point guard. You know what's interesting,

523
00:25:21,000 --> 00:25:24,159
Speaker 1: You and I are more afraid to bet a team

524
00:25:24,240 --> 00:25:28,120
Speaker 1: that is setting offensive records as a two touchdown favorite

525
00:25:29,400 --> 00:25:31,600
Speaker 1: than we are to bet on a terrible team with

526
00:25:31,680 --> 00:25:34,840
Speaker 1: one of the worst quarterbacks performing quarterbacks in the NFL

527
00:25:34,920 --> 00:25:37,960
Speaker 1: right now? Isn't that interesting? Like the psychology of betters

528
00:25:38,320 --> 00:25:42,840
Speaker 1: that a fourteen point favorite, which is an automatic play

529
00:25:42,880 --> 00:25:46,479
Speaker 1: for the public, is scarier for us than a fourteen

530
00:25:46,520 --> 00:25:48,440
Speaker 1: point underdog on a terrible team.

531
00:25:48,800 --> 00:25:51,120
Speaker 2: It's also for a good reason, Like when Tua threw

532
00:25:51,160 --> 00:25:52,880
Speaker 2: that pick six, I was like, well, that BET's dead.

533
00:25:53,000 --> 00:25:56,439
Speaker 2: Like you don't overcome a pick six, Yeah, I had

534
00:25:56,480 --> 00:25:56,919
Speaker 2: your favorite.

535
00:25:57,200 --> 00:25:57,880
Speaker 1: I guess sucked.

536
00:25:58,280 --> 00:26:01,119
Speaker 2: Yeah, But Miami their offense is so good. That's why

537
00:26:01,200 --> 00:26:04,040
Speaker 2: it's like I want to get there. The Panthers. But

538
00:26:04,760 --> 00:26:07,240
Speaker 2: after a bad week, I expect Miami to get things

539
00:26:07,320 --> 00:26:09,320
Speaker 2: right offensively, and this is a great game to get

540
00:26:09,400 --> 00:26:09,760
Speaker 2: right again.

541
00:26:10,440 --> 00:26:13,840
Speaker 1: New Orleans is visiting Houston. The Houston Texans are one

542
00:26:13,840 --> 00:26:17,000
Speaker 1: and a half point underdogs. CJ. Shroud looked great the

543
00:26:17,040 --> 00:26:18,600
Speaker 1: other day. Can it look great for three and a

544
00:26:18,600 --> 00:26:20,479
Speaker 1: half quarters and then he looked like a guy who

545
00:26:20,560 --> 00:26:23,960
Speaker 1: knows what he's doing. New Orleans blew out Bill Belichick

546
00:26:23,960 --> 00:26:26,800
Speaker 1: and the Patriots. To me, that was a smash spot.

547
00:26:26,920 --> 00:26:28,960
Speaker 1: You sort of could see that coming. It's a tough

548
00:26:28,960 --> 00:26:29,359
Speaker 1: one for me.

549
00:26:29,840 --> 00:26:31,879
Speaker 2: To me, it is really obvious where it shouldn't be,

550
00:26:31,920 --> 00:26:34,520
Speaker 2: but it is. It's you're back in a Saints veteran

551
00:26:34,560 --> 00:26:38,520
Speaker 2: defense against the rookie quarterback like this kid. Once again,

552
00:26:38,520 --> 00:26:40,000
Speaker 2: he's been playing out of the world. But every week

553
00:26:40,040 --> 00:26:42,280
Speaker 2: you're getting more tape on him. Every week. It's gonna

554
00:26:42,280 --> 00:26:44,240
Speaker 2: get a little tougher for CJ. Teams are going to

555
00:26:44,280 --> 00:26:47,560
Speaker 2: take away what he likes to do. Here comes the Saints.

556
00:26:47,600 --> 00:26:49,920
Speaker 2: Like the Saints offense, I have no faith in. Even

557
00:26:49,960 --> 00:26:51,919
Speaker 2: after that New England game, I still have a lot

558
00:26:51,960 --> 00:26:53,680
Speaker 2: of questions right now about Derek Carr. I just I

559
00:26:53,760 --> 00:26:55,760
Speaker 2: don't know if he's fully healthy after taking that shoulder

560
00:26:55,760 --> 00:26:58,199
Speaker 2: injury a couple of weeks ago. So if you're like

561
00:26:58,240 --> 00:27:00,520
Speaker 2: me and you went back to Saints, just you're back

562
00:27:00,560 --> 00:27:04,479
Speaker 2: in this veteran defense against this rookie QB. But I

563
00:27:04,560 --> 00:27:07,040
Speaker 2: totally get it if you're coming on Houston. I know

564
00:27:07,080 --> 00:27:08,680
Speaker 2: a really sharp group that came in on Houston. I

565
00:27:08,680 --> 00:27:10,440
Speaker 2: believe this number is three plus two and a half

566
00:27:10,520 --> 00:27:12,760
Speaker 2: when it opened. They came in now it was just

567
00:27:12,800 --> 00:27:16,280
Speaker 2: stuck at one and a half. So it's another week

568
00:27:16,359 --> 00:27:18,960
Speaker 2: of pros are on both sides, Like there's guys like

569
00:27:19,000 --> 00:27:21,760
Speaker 2: me who really like the Saints team, believe in this defense.

570
00:27:22,280 --> 00:27:23,640
Speaker 2: And then there's the other side of the ball where

571
00:27:23,640 --> 00:27:27,800
Speaker 2: it's like CJ's performed well against really good defenses all season,

572
00:27:27,960 --> 00:27:31,199
Speaker 2: Like this guy's played well in every game, and you know,

573
00:27:31,640 --> 00:27:33,320
Speaker 2: I want to get there with him. But the line

574
00:27:33,359 --> 00:27:36,080
Speaker 2: to me has just moved too much. Like we're getting

575
00:27:36,080 --> 00:27:38,240
Speaker 2: the Saints now and minus one and a half against

576
00:27:38,280 --> 00:27:41,800
Speaker 2: this Houston team. I just I don't want to say

577
00:27:41,800 --> 00:27:43,199
Speaker 2: it feels like I'm a little crazy, but it does.

578
00:27:43,280 --> 00:27:44,440
Speaker 2: When I'm talking to people, are just like, well, you

579
00:27:44,480 --> 00:27:46,320
Speaker 2: got to take Houston here. It's like, do we really like,

580
00:27:46,440 --> 00:27:48,960
Speaker 2: is this really We're just gonna keep buying high on

581
00:27:48,960 --> 00:27:51,240
Speaker 2: this Houston team after they just keep covering every week.

582
00:27:51,359 --> 00:27:55,240
Speaker 2: So yeah, in an ideal world, this summer would have

583
00:27:55,240 --> 00:27:56,960
Speaker 2: been three and I could have been on Houston. But

584
00:27:57,119 --> 00:27:59,200
Speaker 2: it's it's moved too much. I'll just take the value

585
00:27:59,200 --> 00:28:01,520
Speaker 2: on the Saints team that basically they just need to

586
00:28:01,520 --> 00:28:02,919
Speaker 2: win this game to cover this number.

587
00:28:03,240 --> 00:28:05,520
Speaker 1: Dennis Allen continues to be one of the worst coaches

588
00:28:05,960 --> 00:28:09,240
Speaker 1: in the past twenty years, just saying.

589
00:28:09,119 --> 00:28:10,080
Speaker 2: Defense is good though.

590
00:28:10,119 --> 00:28:13,159
Speaker 1: Man, he's a good defensive coordinator. The other day, my

591
00:28:13,240 --> 00:28:15,840
Speaker 1: buddy Seth who has been on the podcast Seth Wickersham,

592
00:28:16,119 --> 00:28:17,880
Speaker 1: who wrote a best selling place.

593
00:28:17,720 --> 00:28:20,120
Speaker 2: Was that New York Times bestseller New York Times bestseller?

594
00:28:20,119 --> 00:28:22,160
Speaker 2: A couple New York Times bestsellers cutting it up?

595
00:28:22,400 --> 00:28:24,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, couple guys cutting it up. You know what we

596
00:28:24,600 --> 00:28:28,280
Speaker 1: were doing. Actually, he lives nearby and his kid. You know,

597
00:28:28,359 --> 00:28:30,119
Speaker 1: he's got a young kid who had like a soccer

598
00:28:30,160 --> 00:28:32,680
Speaker 1: practice at a school nearby, so he had an hour

599
00:28:32,720 --> 00:28:34,320
Speaker 1: to kill and he was near the house. He came

600
00:28:34,359 --> 00:28:36,560
Speaker 1: over on Friday afternoon, went outside and we threw the

601
00:28:36,560 --> 00:28:40,080
Speaker 1: football around, We played some catch and I was like Seth,

602
00:28:40,400 --> 00:28:42,360
Speaker 1: Why does Dennis Allen have a job as an NFL

603
00:28:42,400 --> 00:28:45,400
Speaker 1: head coach? And then as he as the Saints were

604
00:28:45,520 --> 00:28:49,440
Speaker 1: killing the Patriots, He's like, Dennis Allen is killing the

605
00:28:49,440 --> 00:28:52,440
Speaker 1: Patriots Right now, I'm like, Dennis Allen is killing the

606
00:28:52,440 --> 00:28:55,640
Speaker 1: Patriots in spite of himself. He's killing the Patriots because

607
00:28:55,640 --> 00:28:59,120
Speaker 1: Mac Jones is a terrible quarterback. That's what he's doing.

608
00:29:00,040 --> 00:29:01,760
Speaker 2: He runs a good scheme. I agree with you, Like

609
00:29:02,200 --> 00:29:04,240
Speaker 2: it's the same thing as Josh McDaniels last night. That

610
00:29:04,280 --> 00:29:06,240
Speaker 2: guy is such a fucking idiot. Like he might be

611
00:29:06,280 --> 00:29:09,200
Speaker 2: a great offensive coordinator, that dude cannot coach. He does

612
00:29:09,240 --> 00:29:11,080
Speaker 2: not know to use his timeouts or anything like that.

613
00:29:11,560 --> 00:29:13,600
Speaker 2: You're right there, you're saying, like, I agree with you

614
00:29:13,600 --> 00:29:15,960
Speaker 2: totally about Dennis Soud. The guy makes such stupid head

615
00:29:15,960 --> 00:29:20,400
Speaker 2: coaching decisions all the time. But defensively he's a genius.

616
00:29:20,440 --> 00:29:23,920
Speaker 2: Like his defenses are so good. Every week they come

617
00:29:23,960 --> 00:29:26,240
Speaker 2: prepared and they just they scheme up so well against

618
00:29:26,240 --> 00:29:29,160
Speaker 2: whoever they're playing against. I mean, I think the best game,

619
00:29:29,200 --> 00:29:30,960
Speaker 2: the worst game they've had this year was against Baker

620
00:29:30,960 --> 00:29:33,200
Speaker 2: in that offense and now is just because it was

621
00:29:33,280 --> 00:29:35,440
Speaker 2: never any short fields like every time his defense got

622
00:29:35,440 --> 00:29:37,440
Speaker 2: on the field, the ball was already in their zone.

623
00:29:37,480 --> 00:29:40,640
Speaker 2: So I could be having a big miss hear, You're right,

624
00:29:40,720 --> 00:29:42,520
Speaker 2: chat Like, I'm probably putting little too much faith into

625
00:29:42,560 --> 00:29:45,120
Speaker 2: his defense here, but I got to take him in

626
00:29:45,160 --> 00:29:46,960
Speaker 2: this defense against this rookie QB.

627
00:29:47,840 --> 00:29:50,000
Speaker 1: All Right, San Francisco at Cleveland. Look, this is the

628
00:29:50,040 --> 00:29:53,800
Speaker 1: game that we're dying to talk about. The Niners fifteen

629
00:29:54,560 --> 00:29:57,880
Speaker 1: consecutive regular season wins ties the forty nine Ers record

630
00:29:57,920 --> 00:30:02,000
Speaker 1: set when it was Joe Montana and Bill Walsh. Right,

631
00:30:02,400 --> 00:30:06,520
Speaker 1: They've scored thirty plus points in eight straight regular season games,

632
00:30:07,120 --> 00:30:10,320
Speaker 1: longest street for a interfest NFC team since the Rams

633
00:30:10,320 --> 00:30:14,880
Speaker 1: of ninety nine two thousand, the Kurt Warner Super Bowl

634
00:30:14,920 --> 00:30:18,920
Speaker 1: winning Rams. You wisely said, take this game at three

635
00:30:19,320 --> 00:30:21,880
Speaker 1: on Sunday night. Gotta listen to the Sunday Night Pod.

636
00:30:23,080 --> 00:30:26,080
Speaker 1: I have since taken the Browns at plus five. It

637
00:30:26,200 --> 00:30:28,959
Speaker 1: is now five and a half. It may go higher.

638
00:30:29,640 --> 00:30:32,840
Speaker 1: I took it kind of thinking Deshaun Watson might play

639
00:30:32,960 --> 00:30:35,240
Speaker 1: and thinking it wouldn't go higher. Now it has, and

640
00:30:35,280 --> 00:30:40,400
Speaker 1: I feel like a dope. Explain your thoughts here, because

641
00:30:40,400 --> 00:30:41,960
Speaker 1: you had a really good comment, and if you don't

642
00:30:42,000 --> 00:30:45,320
Speaker 1: say it, then I'll remind you what it was about

643
00:30:45,600 --> 00:30:48,280
Speaker 1: the Niners in this position in the schedule and what

644
00:30:48,320 --> 00:30:49,160
Speaker 1: this should have been.

645
00:30:50,720 --> 00:30:52,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, this was a scheduled loss. Like this was gonna

646
00:30:52,680 --> 00:30:55,160
Speaker 2: be our easiest bet of the week. Everyone in the

647
00:30:55,160 --> 00:30:57,840
Speaker 2: world was gonna come in heavy on the forty nine ers.

648
00:30:58,840 --> 00:31:02,640
Speaker 2: This is just the classick example of the not that

649
00:31:02,680 --> 00:31:05,040
Speaker 2: the general public doesn't look into things. We look into chat,

650
00:31:05,040 --> 00:31:08,000
Speaker 2: but they don't understand that the Brown's biggest strength is

651
00:31:08,000 --> 00:31:10,600
Speaker 2: their d line. The forty nine ers biggest weakness is

652
00:31:10,640 --> 00:31:12,680
Speaker 2: their offensive line. I know it didn't show up against

653
00:31:12,800 --> 00:31:15,920
Speaker 2: the Cowboys like you thought it would, but there isn't

654
00:31:15,960 --> 00:31:18,200
Speaker 2: just a Parsons you could take away from this Browns team, Like,

655
00:31:18,240 --> 00:31:21,920
Speaker 2: even if they take away Garrett, there's other guys on

656
00:31:21,960 --> 00:31:23,960
Speaker 2: this te line that are, you know, just as talented

657
00:31:23,960 --> 00:31:26,520
Speaker 2: get into the quarterback. So this was going to be

658
00:31:26,560 --> 00:31:28,360
Speaker 2: such an easy ben. We talked Sunday night, like I

659
00:31:28,400 --> 00:31:30,640
Speaker 2: was making that bet on the forty nine Ers just

660
00:31:30,720 --> 00:31:32,240
Speaker 2: in case they blow at Dallas. I was like, there's

661
00:31:32,240 --> 00:31:34,520
Speaker 2: no way this sign will stay at three. We didn't

662
00:31:34,520 --> 00:31:36,520
Speaker 2: know Watson was still really banged up, and that's why

663
00:31:36,520 --> 00:31:38,479
Speaker 2: this line I think has moved so much. It's not

664
00:31:38,600 --> 00:31:41,520
Speaker 2: just because the public has come in on it. It's

665
00:31:41,560 --> 00:31:43,720
Speaker 2: the books predicting against all the money line and teasers

666
00:31:43,760 --> 00:31:46,520
Speaker 2: are gonna be getting on this foreigners team. Like my brother,

667
00:31:46,560 --> 00:31:49,480
Speaker 2: one of the most public betters I know, he was like, yeah,

668
00:31:49,760 --> 00:31:52,720
Speaker 2: this week Eagles Teezers, forty nine Ers Teezers, this week

669
00:31:52,880 --> 00:31:55,719
Speaker 2: Rams Teezers with the forty nine ros Teezer. Like everyone's

670
00:31:55,720 --> 00:31:58,360
Speaker 2: gonna be doing those really chalky teasers, and there's always

671
00:31:58,400 --> 00:32:00,160
Speaker 2: gonna we're gonna talk all these other games. There's like

672
00:32:00,200 --> 00:32:02,400
Speaker 2: a bunch of games this week that I really love.

673
00:32:03,040 --> 00:32:05,760
Speaker 2: The home dog getting no love from the public. The public,

674
00:32:06,040 --> 00:32:08,760
Speaker 2: they've had their week. I think it's sixty two percent

675
00:32:08,920 --> 00:32:11,520
Speaker 2: so far. The team's getting the most tickets have covered

676
00:32:11,920 --> 00:32:13,880
Speaker 2: that that's so rare. I think it's the most the

677
00:32:13,880 --> 00:32:18,000
Speaker 2: public has won since two thousand and five. So, man, chat,

678
00:32:18,040 --> 00:32:20,440
Speaker 2: they're gonna get caught eventually. And we've had a nice

679
00:32:20,520 --> 00:32:22,640
Speaker 2: run where we've we've really danced around these last couple

680
00:32:22,640 --> 00:32:24,680
Speaker 2: of weeks, Like you know how much I love to

681
00:32:24,680 --> 00:32:26,520
Speaker 2: fade the public, But there's been certain lines where just

682
00:32:26,520 --> 00:32:28,920
Speaker 2: like that, that line just isn't right. The books haven't

683
00:32:28,960 --> 00:32:32,480
Speaker 2: caught up to it. So this one on paper was

684
00:32:32,520 --> 00:32:34,360
Speaker 2: going to be the easiest bet ever. We're gonna go

685
00:32:34,400 --> 00:32:36,160
Speaker 2: all in the Browns and a huge light down spot

686
00:32:36,160 --> 00:32:38,160
Speaker 2: for the forty nine Ers. Team forty nine ers were

687
00:32:38,160 --> 00:32:41,520
Speaker 2: going to lose this game. Now. If it's PJ Walker

688
00:32:41,840 --> 00:32:45,480
Speaker 2: against this forty nine Ers defense, forget about it, they're dead.

689
00:32:45,520 --> 00:32:47,920
Speaker 2: This number should be seven air above. So if you're

690
00:32:47,920 --> 00:32:49,560
Speaker 2: for asking me what the value is right now. If

691
00:32:49,560 --> 00:32:52,360
Speaker 2: Watson doesn't play, it's easily on the forty nine Ers.

692
00:32:52,400 --> 00:32:56,120
Speaker 2: If this game is seven and a half comes Sunday morning, mean,

693
00:32:56,200 --> 00:32:57,880
Speaker 2: Chad might have to talk about it because it's like

694
00:32:57,920 --> 00:33:00,560
Speaker 2: that's a that's a big number to take. So if

695
00:33:00,600 --> 00:33:01,880
Speaker 2: you're out there you want to take the forty nine

696
00:33:01,920 --> 00:33:04,240
Speaker 2: ers team you missed the three week gave out Sunday night,

697
00:33:04,560 --> 00:33:06,440
Speaker 2: you can go ahead and take it. Take the five now,

698
00:33:06,480 --> 00:33:08,920
Speaker 2: and if Watson's out, you're gonna have good value. If

699
00:33:08,920 --> 00:33:11,000
Speaker 2: he comes back in, you can ride with me and

700
00:33:11,080 --> 00:33:14,320
Speaker 2: Chad Like, if Watson's playing this game, the Browns will

701
00:33:14,360 --> 00:33:16,600
Speaker 2: be in our contest. This we'll be an automatic bet

702
00:33:16,640 --> 00:33:19,120
Speaker 2: this week if it is Watson. If not, go out

703
00:33:19,120 --> 00:33:20,320
Speaker 2: of the value right now, is in the forty nine

704
00:33:20,360 --> 00:33:22,280
Speaker 2: erser get a good number, Simon.

705
00:33:22,360 --> 00:33:25,120
Speaker 1: I want you to make Little Caesars, which is the

706
00:33:25,160 --> 00:33:31,200
Speaker 1: official pizza sponsor of the NFL, part of your game day. Oh, Simon,

707
00:33:31,240 --> 00:33:34,120
Speaker 1: does a game day without Little Caesars even count as

708
00:33:34,120 --> 00:33:34,680
Speaker 1: a game day?

709
00:33:35,280 --> 00:33:35,920
Speaker 2: Not at all?

710
00:33:36,400 --> 00:33:39,440
Speaker 1: Not at all. Order online during our pizza pizza pre

711
00:33:39,560 --> 00:33:42,160
Speaker 1: game one hour before NFL games and get ready for

712
00:33:42,200 --> 00:33:45,720
Speaker 1: some football and fun. Choose your favorite Little Caesars pizza

713
00:33:45,880 --> 00:33:49,360
Speaker 1: or pick the toppings you crave. Simon, what is crustier

714
00:33:50,200 --> 00:33:55,240
Speaker 1: the crust of a Little Caesar's pizza or Bill Belichick.

715
00:33:55,960 --> 00:33:57,240
Speaker 2: The crust on the pizza.

716
00:33:57,560 --> 00:34:01,719
Speaker 1: However you ordered your crust you And speaking of winning,

717
00:34:02,280 --> 00:34:06,320
Speaker 1: everyone scores with convenient delivery or our in store pete

718
00:34:06,360 --> 00:34:08,960
Speaker 1: supportal pick up. So grab some friends and enjoy a

719
00:34:08,960 --> 00:34:14,239
Speaker 1: few slices during the game. Washington at Atlanta Atlanta is

720
00:34:14,280 --> 00:34:18,440
Speaker 1: now a two and a half point favorite. Again, we

721
00:34:18,480 --> 00:34:21,400
Speaker 1: owe people, of Simon says, we owe people in exact decision.

722
00:34:22,000 --> 00:34:24,439
Speaker 1: I got two things coming up that could go either way.

723
00:34:25,080 --> 00:34:26,839
Speaker 1: I have no interest, in no opinion in this game.

724
00:34:27,360 --> 00:34:30,040
Speaker 2: I you shockingly I like Washington here. I was hoping

725
00:34:30,040 --> 00:34:31,200
Speaker 2: I was gonna stay at three, and that would have

726
00:34:31,200 --> 00:34:33,200
Speaker 2: been a really nice number to take, especially in contest

727
00:34:33,200 --> 00:34:36,480
Speaker 2: if it was gonna be three and a half automatic play. Sure,

728
00:34:36,600 --> 00:34:38,680
Speaker 2: Desmond made some good throws last week. When I go

729
00:34:38,760 --> 00:34:41,319
Speaker 2: back and graded it, he had the most completions on

730
00:34:41,400 --> 00:34:43,880
Speaker 2: balls that shouldn't have been completed. Like his wide receivers

731
00:34:43,880 --> 00:34:47,400
Speaker 2: did amazing things for him last week, made amazing catches.

732
00:34:48,040 --> 00:34:51,000
Speaker 2: He was thrown into crazy tight windows, which he completed it. Like,

733
00:34:51,000 --> 00:34:54,200
Speaker 2: I'm not hating on the kid, but over time, he's

734
00:34:54,239 --> 00:34:56,720
Speaker 2: not that guy, like I've seen him through five weeks.

735
00:34:56,719 --> 00:35:00,279
Speaker 2: He just he's inconsistent. And if I'm looking at team

736
00:35:00,280 --> 00:35:03,640
Speaker 2: that's been undervalded right now, and you know, when Fields

737
00:35:03,680 --> 00:35:06,240
Speaker 2: is hot and you've got a wide receiver like DJ,

738
00:35:06,400 --> 00:35:08,800
Speaker 2: they can make any defense look really dumb and bad.

739
00:35:08,840 --> 00:35:12,080
Speaker 2: And Washington they might have a bad defense, like we've

740
00:35:12,080 --> 00:35:14,080
Speaker 2: had multiple weeks now where they've kind of been blown

741
00:35:14,200 --> 00:35:17,280
Speaker 2: up and they've been passed against by really good offenses.

742
00:35:18,120 --> 00:35:21,600
Speaker 2: Atlanta doesn't have Russell Wilson. Atlanta doesn't have a Jalen Hurts,

743
00:35:21,840 --> 00:35:24,600
Speaker 2: they don't have a Justin Fields type. They got Desmond Ridder,

744
00:35:24,640 --> 00:35:27,200
Speaker 2: who's coming off arguably his best pass game of his career.

745
00:35:27,280 --> 00:35:30,200
Speaker 2: So it burned me last week trying to fade a

746
00:35:30,280 --> 00:35:32,440
Speaker 2: quarterback like Zach Wilson, who had the best week of

747
00:35:32,440 --> 00:35:34,680
Speaker 2: his life. He didn't play that well against Denver, like

748
00:35:34,719 --> 00:35:37,200
Speaker 2: he made some vic throughs, but overall he wasn't like spectacular.

749
00:35:37,719 --> 00:35:39,360
Speaker 2: I expect the same year for desmon Ridder, like I

750
00:35:39,400 --> 00:35:41,680
Speaker 2: expect him to have a down game. He's inconsistent. That's

751
00:35:41,680 --> 00:35:44,000
Speaker 2: what he's been since he's been the NFL, and I'm

752
00:35:44,040 --> 00:35:46,439
Speaker 2: happy to pay for it, like I'll make the bet

753
00:35:46,480 --> 00:35:48,759
Speaker 2: on the dog. I'm gonna have him in our money

754
00:35:48,800 --> 00:35:52,600
Speaker 2: line around Robin Washington. That's just a team that people

755
00:35:52,640 --> 00:35:55,240
Speaker 2: wouldn't believe it. But they're not as bad as they've looked.

756
00:35:55,280 --> 00:35:58,000
Speaker 2: Like their offense can move the ball for defense, has

757
00:35:58,040 --> 00:36:00,680
Speaker 2: a really good front four. They have some things to

758
00:36:00,719 --> 00:36:04,240
Speaker 2: build off of that team. So to me, this line

759
00:36:04,360 --> 00:36:07,840
Speaker 2: should be you know where it's at. I wish it

760
00:36:07,880 --> 00:36:10,160
Speaker 2: was plus three like right now, technically the value is

761
00:36:10,239 --> 00:36:13,239
Speaker 2: comporting according to my model, the value is on Atlanta here.

762
00:36:13,800 --> 00:36:16,560
Speaker 2: But I still think two and a half such a

763
00:36:16,640 --> 00:36:18,759
Speaker 2: key number. When we got burned by it last week,

764
00:36:18,840 --> 00:36:22,680
Speaker 2: like this hit on the dog against Atlanta, It's hard

765
00:36:22,680 --> 00:36:23,960
Speaker 2: for me not to get sucked in and take this

766
00:36:23,960 --> 00:36:25,799
Speaker 2: plus two and a half on this Washington team chat.

767
00:36:25,800 --> 00:36:27,800
Speaker 2: It's just I don't really see that big of a

768
00:36:27,840 --> 00:36:30,600
Speaker 2: difference between these two teams right now, so it doesn't

769
00:36:30,640 --> 00:36:32,880
Speaker 2: doesn't shock me. The public has come in and some

770
00:36:32,920 --> 00:36:37,239
Speaker 2: pros have coming on Atlanta. You know, that's just like

771
00:36:37,280 --> 00:36:39,200
Speaker 2: you said, you didn't really have an opinionless team. I

772
00:36:39,239 --> 00:36:40,520
Speaker 2: feel like a lot of people are gonna be that way.

773
00:36:40,520 --> 00:36:43,200
Speaker 2: It's like both both these teams have such big weaknesses

774
00:36:43,239 --> 00:36:45,719
Speaker 2: and strengths. It's really hard to try to try to

775
00:36:45,760 --> 00:36:46,880
Speaker 2: get better. On one side.

776
00:36:47,680 --> 00:36:53,360
Speaker 1: New England at Las Vegas look team of a horrible

777
00:36:53,360 --> 00:36:57,480
Speaker 1: loss versus a team that just won in prime time. Everything.

778
00:36:57,520 --> 00:37:02,160
Speaker 1: We'll say Paths are undervalued. Las Vegas is overinflated teams

779
00:37:02,200 --> 00:37:04,239
Speaker 1: coming off a night game playing a team who lost

780
00:37:04,239 --> 00:37:09,280
Speaker 1: by twenty points and more since nineteen ninety the favorite,

781
00:37:09,680 --> 00:37:16,319
Speaker 1: uh uh so that is the Raiders. One of the

782
00:37:16,360 --> 00:37:17,840
Speaker 1: next two games we're going to talk about will be

783
00:37:17,920 --> 00:37:20,799
Speaker 1: my exact decision. If you feel strongly about one of

784
00:37:20,840 --> 00:37:23,359
Speaker 1: the next two games, as he Simon says, I will

785
00:37:23,440 --> 00:37:25,480
Speaker 1: choose either one. But I think we got to put

786
00:37:25,520 --> 00:37:27,200
Speaker 1: New England plus three on the list here.

787
00:37:28,080 --> 00:37:33,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, definitely, we'll take the We'll take the plus three.

788
00:37:35,440 --> 00:37:38,600
Speaker 2: They are horrible. They're like just thinking about it right now.

789
00:37:39,760 --> 00:37:42,080
Speaker 2: I mean, thank god I was off to them last

790
00:37:42,120 --> 00:37:44,480
Speaker 2: week because I took so much shit hearing from so

791
00:37:44,560 --> 00:37:47,200
Speaker 2: many pros. Kind of same thing as you, where it's

792
00:37:47,239 --> 00:37:49,680
Speaker 2: like you're back in Dennis Allen against Belichick, like this

793
00:37:49,719 --> 00:37:52,400
Speaker 2: is such a bad matchup. He's gonna get out coached.

794
00:37:52,480 --> 00:37:54,799
Speaker 2: And it doesn't matter how good your coaching is when

795
00:37:54,800 --> 00:37:56,720
Speaker 2: you have a guy like Mac Jones, like this kid

796
00:37:56,760 --> 00:37:59,560
Speaker 2: gift wrapped that seat that sanes game like throwing picks

797
00:38:00,120 --> 00:38:00,760
Speaker 2: to pick six.

798
00:38:02,840 --> 00:38:05,799
Speaker 1: He was dazed and confused the whole game. I know,

799
00:38:06,080 --> 00:38:09,800
Speaker 1: it looked like it almost looked like we were watching

800
00:38:10,760 --> 00:38:15,280
Speaker 1: nineteen fifties football. He was just lobbing, like the ball

801
00:38:15,360 --> 00:38:17,720
Speaker 1: was a different shape and he was just almost pushing

802
00:38:17,719 --> 00:38:22,120
Speaker 1: it as far as he could in high arching throws.

803
00:38:22,719 --> 00:38:24,640
Speaker 2: And I have to wonder if he has PTSD going

804
00:38:24,680 --> 00:38:27,360
Speaker 2: back here from last year where he had one of

805
00:38:27,400 --> 00:38:29,759
Speaker 2: the worst players we've ever seen in all football. Where

806
00:38:30,560 --> 00:38:34,279
Speaker 2: the game was tied, he completely got destroyed. The ball

807
00:38:34,320 --> 00:38:36,560
Speaker 2: taken away from the guy ran down the field. It

808
00:38:36,640 --> 00:38:38,520
Speaker 2: might have been Chandler Jones was someone like that, took

809
00:38:38,560 --> 00:38:40,839
Speaker 2: it the other way and scored the touchdown. That was that,

810
00:38:41,120 --> 00:38:43,480
Speaker 2: And since then everything has just gotten worse for this

811
00:38:43,560 --> 00:38:46,279
Speaker 2: Patriots team. Like ever since that moment, it's just all

812
00:38:46,360 --> 00:38:50,080
Speaker 2: been bad. So Chad's right, Like, maybe someone will come

813
00:38:50,080 --> 00:38:52,000
Speaker 2: into my life and hopefully talk me out of making

814
00:38:52,040 --> 00:38:54,680
Speaker 2: this one of our five. But this is what me

815
00:38:54,719 --> 00:38:57,239
Speaker 2: and Chad do. We buy low at the lowest point

816
00:38:57,280 --> 00:39:00,600
Speaker 2: on teams. It doesn't get any lower than this team.

817
00:39:00,600 --> 00:39:03,239
Speaker 2: People thought the week before was rock bottom. Then they

818
00:39:03,280 --> 00:39:05,719
Speaker 2: came out and lost thirty four to nothing to that

819
00:39:05,800 --> 00:39:09,399
Speaker 2: Saints team. And you know another crazy stat. Mac Jones

820
00:39:09,400 --> 00:39:12,440
Speaker 2: already has many picks sixes in his early career as

821
00:39:12,480 --> 00:39:15,959
Speaker 2: Tom Brady did his entire career at Gillette. Like that's

822
00:39:16,040 --> 00:39:18,160
Speaker 2: just the difference between a Hall of Famer and a

823
00:39:18,160 --> 00:39:19,640
Speaker 2: guy that's probably gonna bet the league in a year

824
00:39:19,680 --> 00:39:22,160
Speaker 2: or two. So totally hate this game chat. It's making

825
00:39:22,160 --> 00:39:24,200
Speaker 2: me sick to my stomach thinking about taking it. But

826
00:39:24,239 --> 00:39:27,160
Speaker 2: that's how I felt last week with Pittsburgh. So Chad's

827
00:39:27,200 --> 00:39:28,920
Speaker 2: onto something here. We probably got to take this plus

828
00:39:28,960 --> 00:39:31,520
Speaker 2: three and just hold our nose and take the Patriots.

829
00:39:31,120 --> 00:39:34,880
Speaker 1: Here Detroit at Tampa Bay, Tampa Bay plus three and

830
00:39:34,920 --> 00:39:38,319
Speaker 1: a half. I bet the Tampa Bay. I bet three

831
00:39:38,360 --> 00:39:41,759
Speaker 1: and a half on Sunday Night. Huge pros Joe's game here,

832
00:39:42,520 --> 00:39:45,880
Speaker 1: that's in the Lions money in the Bucks. Jared Goff

833
00:39:45,880 --> 00:39:50,719
Speaker 1: one hundred most profitable quarterback against the spread. I was

834
00:39:50,760 --> 00:39:53,680
Speaker 1: writing down notes on Sunday, Simon, are we going to

835
00:39:53,760 --> 00:39:56,440
Speaker 1: have to start talking about Jared Goff as MVP? But

836
00:39:56,560 --> 00:40:00,919
Speaker 1: his dome split road splits are terrible? Five hundred against

837
00:40:00,920 --> 00:40:03,080
Speaker 1: the spread. I don't think the market is adjusted to

838
00:40:03,120 --> 00:40:07,080
Speaker 1: the Bucks, and I think they've overinflated the Lions. Exact

839
00:40:07,120 --> 00:40:10,799
Speaker 1: decision Tampa Bay Buccaneers, I'll say a plus three. We

840
00:40:10,960 --> 00:40:13,000
Speaker 1: like it both ways. Three and a half and three.

841
00:40:13,400 --> 00:40:17,640
Speaker 2: The choice between the unthinkable and the impossible? Are you

842
00:40:17,640 --> 00:40:23,560
Speaker 2: your honors? Text executive decision? So there's only threes out there.

843
00:40:23,840 --> 00:40:26,439
Speaker 2: I just want people get mad at us. You want

844
00:40:26,440 --> 00:40:28,640
Speaker 2: to get to three and a half here like that?

845
00:40:28,640 --> 00:40:31,120
Speaker 2: That was a big deal to me. Hopefully it comes back.

846
00:40:31,320 --> 00:40:32,919
Speaker 2: Me and chatter I talked about the public is going

847
00:40:32,920 --> 00:40:36,120
Speaker 2: to be all over this Lions game. After that Dallas game,

848
00:40:36,480 --> 00:40:38,600
Speaker 2: I did move in my power ratings the Lions ahead

849
00:40:38,640 --> 00:40:40,800
Speaker 2: of them, but there's still a pretty big gap between

850
00:40:40,800 --> 00:40:42,320
Speaker 2: the Egos and the forty nine ers and the Lions

851
00:40:42,320 --> 00:40:44,960
Speaker 2: and the Dallas team. Like this Lions team, they have

852
00:40:45,040 --> 00:40:47,600
Speaker 2: looked incredible. They've been beating up on some bad teams lately.

853
00:40:48,040 --> 00:40:49,439
Speaker 2: This is gonna be a good test for them. They're

854
00:40:49,440 --> 00:40:52,200
Speaker 2: going outdoors against a team that is just you know,

855
00:40:53,040 --> 00:40:55,879
Speaker 2: say what you want about Baker and this Tampa Bay

856
00:40:55,880 --> 00:40:57,640
Speaker 2: team and how lucky they've been. I know their luck

857
00:40:57,680 --> 00:40:59,800
Speaker 2: rankings are one of the luckiest teams we have right now.

858
00:41:00,640 --> 00:41:02,680
Speaker 2: They play really hard and like I look at all

859
00:41:02,680 --> 00:41:04,759
Speaker 2: their all the games they've been in, even that Eagles game,

860
00:41:04,840 --> 00:41:07,200
Speaker 2: Like if if Mike gmsdn't have those really bad drops

861
00:41:07,280 --> 00:41:09,880
Speaker 2: that they would have been in that game. Matt Mitchell

862
00:41:09,880 --> 00:41:11,560
Speaker 2: just said, it's the Cream School week too, Like they

863
00:41:11,600 --> 00:41:14,759
Speaker 2: got the Cream School Tampa Bay jerseys on. That's gotta

864
00:41:14,760 --> 00:41:18,120
Speaker 2: add another point to our line, right chet. So yeah, yeah,

865
00:41:18,280 --> 00:41:20,800
Speaker 2: just we love Tampa. We're hoping for three and a half,

866
00:41:20,800 --> 00:41:22,560
Speaker 2: Like that's what we want. We want the three and

867
00:41:22,600 --> 00:41:25,560
Speaker 2: a half public do your thing, coming on the line

868
00:41:25,640 --> 00:41:28,360
Speaker 2: team by at their peak. This is this is the

869
00:41:28,440 --> 00:41:30,560
Speaker 2: kind of team you guys, love me, Me and Chap

870
00:41:30,560 --> 00:41:31,719
Speaker 2: will just hope they get to three and a half.

871
00:41:31,800 --> 00:41:34,680
Speaker 2: So uh, chack chack gave it out of three right now.

872
00:41:34,960 --> 00:41:36,839
Speaker 2: That's only reason I'm not making my Simon says, it's

873
00:41:36,880 --> 00:41:39,560
Speaker 2: just I'm hoping I bet the three. I just want

874
00:41:39,600 --> 00:41:41,480
Speaker 2: people to know I've bet the three. But right now

875
00:41:41,560 --> 00:41:43,040
Speaker 2: most of my money's on the three and a half,

876
00:41:43,040 --> 00:41:44,759
Speaker 2: so I'm hoping to get back to that three and

877
00:41:44,760 --> 00:41:46,600
Speaker 2: a half. It's just it's such a key number in

878
00:41:46,600 --> 00:41:48,400
Speaker 2: a game that no one will be shocked that it

879
00:41:48,400 --> 00:41:50,000
Speaker 2: comes down to a field goal. Like these teams are

880
00:41:50,000 --> 00:41:51,600
Speaker 2: more evenly matched than people perceive.

881
00:41:52,840 --> 00:41:57,239
Speaker 1: All right, look this next game is so hard Philadelphia

882
00:41:57,320 --> 00:41:59,000
Speaker 1: at the New York Jets. Jets are six and a

883
00:41:59,000 --> 00:42:02,360
Speaker 1: half point dogs. We faded the Jets last week's We

884
00:42:02,400 --> 00:42:04,279
Speaker 1: did not believe Zach Wilson could played well two weeks

885
00:42:04,320 --> 00:42:06,880
Speaker 1: in a row. I said last week, I don't want

886
00:42:06,880 --> 00:42:10,160
Speaker 1: to bet the Rams because the Eagles remind me of

887
00:42:10,200 --> 00:42:14,320
Speaker 1: the Patriot Circon twenty tens. Right, great coaching, great talent,

888
00:42:14,760 --> 00:42:19,239
Speaker 1: super confident they can win even while like learning how

889
00:42:19,280 --> 00:42:22,839
Speaker 1: to play the game with all new coordinators and you know,

890
00:42:23,000 --> 00:42:26,440
Speaker 1: understanding a new system. Soon they are going to be perfect,

891
00:42:26,600 --> 00:42:29,360
Speaker 1: and there were times against the Rams where they looked

892
00:42:29,600 --> 00:42:36,040
Speaker 1: truly dominant. It's a big number on the road. I

893
00:42:36,080 --> 00:42:39,520
Speaker 1: know I should like the Jets here talk me off

894
00:42:39,560 --> 00:42:41,000
Speaker 1: the Eagles.

895
00:42:42,080 --> 00:42:44,960
Speaker 2: I almost made this our Simon says, Bet, just because

896
00:42:45,000 --> 00:42:46,799
Speaker 2: it's up to seven now for this Jets team, I'm

897
00:42:46,800 --> 00:42:53,239
Speaker 2: worried that number is going to disappear Jesus Christ. But

898
00:42:53,600 --> 00:42:55,640
Speaker 2: I won't do it to our fans. I won't do it.

899
00:42:55,719 --> 00:42:57,840
Speaker 2: I won't make our Simon says, but it might have

900
00:42:57,880 --> 00:43:00,560
Speaker 2: been our big balls. Bet, It's just how do you

901
00:43:00,560 --> 00:43:02,160
Speaker 2: not grab this seven right now? The Eagles are a

902
00:43:02,200 --> 00:43:04,520
Speaker 2: twenty eighth team right now in red zone offense like

903
00:43:05,320 --> 00:43:07,640
Speaker 2: last year, they're the thirteen red zones offense like that.

904
00:43:08,040 --> 00:43:10,120
Speaker 2: You can see the difference between the offensive coordia from

905
00:43:10,160 --> 00:43:13,680
Speaker 2: last year, who looks amazing with this Colts team, and

906
00:43:13,719 --> 00:43:16,680
Speaker 2: this new OC we have with this Eagles that, yeah,

907
00:43:16,719 --> 00:43:19,600
Speaker 2: we're getting the ball downfield, we're driving downfield. The red

908
00:43:19,680 --> 00:43:22,880
Speaker 2: zone offense is really sloppy like and the Jets, the

909
00:43:22,880 --> 00:43:24,880
Speaker 2: way this team plays defenses, they kind of do the

910
00:43:24,920 --> 00:43:28,120
Speaker 2: old school Belichick thing where it's like between the twenties,

911
00:43:28,160 --> 00:43:29,960
Speaker 2: we'll give you guys all the yards you want, We're

912
00:43:29,960 --> 00:43:33,160
Speaker 2: gonna make you dink and dunk all the way downfield,

913
00:43:33,200 --> 00:43:34,480
Speaker 2: and then once you get in the red zone, that's

914
00:43:34,480 --> 00:43:36,279
Speaker 2: when we got our stops. And that's really what it

915
00:43:36,280 --> 00:43:37,960
Speaker 2: feels like this Jets team has been this year. So

916
00:43:39,360 --> 00:43:42,680
Speaker 2: you know, they do have weaknesses. I need to I

917
00:43:42,680 --> 00:43:44,480
Speaker 2: would want to know who's going on with their injuries,

918
00:43:44,520 --> 00:43:47,239
Speaker 2: Like if Sauces out, that's a big deal. And I

919
00:43:47,239 --> 00:43:49,560
Speaker 2: know they already lost on their offensive linemen this week.

920
00:43:49,920 --> 00:43:52,000
Speaker 2: You know that's that's a big deal. This Jets thing

921
00:43:52,080 --> 00:43:54,719
Speaker 2: already had a really bad offensive line, So you know,

922
00:43:54,760 --> 00:43:57,400
Speaker 2: I'm not gonna make it. Simon says, don't worry people,

923
00:43:57,480 --> 00:43:59,719
Speaker 2: but don't be shocked. This is what I mean. And

924
00:43:59,719 --> 00:44:02,200
Speaker 2: shot five, it's just a really good number against an

925
00:44:02,160 --> 00:44:05,760
Speaker 2: Eagles team that Jad's totally right. They have all the talent,

926
00:44:05,840 --> 00:44:07,920
Speaker 2: they should be one of the best teams in all football.

927
00:44:08,360 --> 00:44:10,560
Speaker 2: There's just something missing with his team right now. And

928
00:44:11,160 --> 00:44:14,040
Speaker 2: you know, seven to points, seven points on the road.

929
00:44:14,760 --> 00:44:16,520
Speaker 2: Maybe I get that respect to the forty nine ers

930
00:44:16,520 --> 00:44:17,840
Speaker 2: who deserve it right now, but I don't think the

931
00:44:17,880 --> 00:44:21,440
Speaker 2: Eagles have deserved that kind of respect. So Jalen hurts

932
00:44:21,480 --> 00:44:24,040
Speaker 2: this year. What's he three? And oh? Now on the road?

933
00:44:24,200 --> 00:44:28,799
Speaker 2: Ats pretty shocking because that's usually where he struggles. I think,

934
00:44:28,840 --> 00:44:30,319
Speaker 2: I think we have a little bit of regression coming

935
00:44:30,360 --> 00:44:32,320
Speaker 2: and we'll catch We'll catch his Jets team on a

936
00:44:32,320 --> 00:44:34,120
Speaker 2: good number at plus seven and just take it.

937
00:44:35,040 --> 00:44:37,480
Speaker 1: All right, So we'll wait. I do worry that Jalen

938
00:44:37,520 --> 00:44:42,960
Speaker 1: Carter will make Zach Wilson, uh just disappear into the earth.

939
00:44:43,400 --> 00:44:45,200
Speaker 2: Now, it's scary. He could kill him.

940
00:44:45,760 --> 00:44:47,000
Speaker 1: He honestly could kill him.

941
00:44:47,040 --> 00:44:48,479
Speaker 2: He's so good, so good.

942
00:44:48,480 --> 00:44:51,520
Speaker 1: He's so big. He looks bigger and faster than like

943
00:44:52,600 --> 00:44:55,239
Speaker 1: Fletcher Cox and Jordan Davis, Like it doesn't even look

944
00:44:55,280 --> 00:44:59,240
Speaker 1: like a comparison, and those guys are massive and fast.

945
00:45:00,440 --> 00:45:02,719
Speaker 1: It's freakish. I'm so glad the Bears didn't take them,

946
00:45:02,800 --> 00:45:04,680
Speaker 1: because that would have been a terrible idea for them.

947
00:45:05,120 --> 00:45:09,880
Speaker 1: Uh Arizona at the Rams, I don't have a leaner

948
00:45:09,920 --> 00:45:12,840
Speaker 1: in edge here. The public loves the Cardinals. The wise

949
00:45:12,840 --> 00:45:16,359
Speaker 1: guys are on the Rams. I guess that should tell

950
00:45:16,360 --> 00:45:16,800
Speaker 1: me something.

951
00:45:18,960 --> 00:45:22,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, I wanted to get there the Rams, but this

952
00:45:22,200 --> 00:45:23,640
Speaker 2: is just a lot. That's a lot of points for

953
00:45:23,719 --> 00:45:27,000
Speaker 2: a rams them that you know, they just don't they

954
00:45:27,480 --> 00:45:28,640
Speaker 2: you feel like the kind of team chat that me

955
00:45:28,680 --> 00:45:30,120
Speaker 2: and you are gonna love back and as a dog

956
00:45:30,160 --> 00:45:32,200
Speaker 2: and then fading as a favorite this year. They're just

957
00:45:32,200 --> 00:45:32,799
Speaker 2: six and a half.

958
00:45:32,840 --> 00:45:34,080
Speaker 1: By the way, that's the number right now.

959
00:45:34,200 --> 00:45:36,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, Like, doesn't that feel huge? So that's that's the

960
00:45:36,200 --> 00:45:38,920
Speaker 2: only thing that's scaring me off, where it's like, why

961
00:45:38,960 --> 00:45:40,560
Speaker 2: wouldn't I be in the Cardinals here? That's such a

962
00:45:40,640 --> 00:45:43,600
Speaker 2: huge number. So a game I haven't put a penny

963
00:45:43,600 --> 00:45:45,360
Speaker 2: on yet. I'm not talking to some people see what

964
00:45:45,360 --> 00:45:47,120
Speaker 2: they're seeing on this one. But there's some games I

965
00:45:47,120 --> 00:45:48,440
Speaker 2: just want to read on. This is one of them

966
00:45:48,440 --> 00:45:51,719
Speaker 2: where it's like my gut is telling me you got

967
00:45:51,719 --> 00:45:53,759
Speaker 2: to take the Cardinals here, but my head's saying, why

968
00:45:53,840 --> 00:45:58,280
Speaker 2: why is this number so big? Doesn't make sense? Maybe

969
00:45:59,440 --> 00:46:01,480
Speaker 2: it's an over action to last week and the Cardinals

970
00:46:01,520 --> 00:46:04,200
Speaker 2: getting bown out by the Bengals and kind of everyone's

971
00:46:04,239 --> 00:46:07,359
Speaker 2: left them now and they're off this team. But isn't

972
00:46:07,400 --> 00:46:08,919
Speaker 2: that Usually when we kind of come in and buy

973
00:46:08,960 --> 00:46:11,120
Speaker 2: on the team chat, it feels like that's the right move.

974
00:46:11,160 --> 00:46:12,560
Speaker 2: But I just don't get why of some them we're

975
00:46:12,560 --> 00:46:14,840
Speaker 2: so big, Like right now I'm showing two points of

976
00:46:14,920 --> 00:46:16,440
Speaker 2: value right now in my model, like I have this

977
00:46:16,480 --> 00:46:19,319
Speaker 2: a four and a half, so don't be shocked if

978
00:46:19,320 --> 00:46:22,160
Speaker 2: we're in on this one again where it's like like

979
00:46:22,800 --> 00:46:24,840
Speaker 2: I like the Cardinals team and it's a big number,

980
00:46:24,880 --> 00:46:28,640
Speaker 2: but fishy, fishy number that it's moved this much off.

981
00:46:28,960 --> 00:46:30,960
Speaker 2: I don't know a bad loss, I guess to the Bengals.

982
00:46:30,960 --> 00:46:33,279
Speaker 2: So I don't know, Chad, just a weird number right

983
00:46:33,280 --> 00:46:34,279
Speaker 2: now that I don't really have to play on.

984
00:46:34,640 --> 00:46:36,880
Speaker 1: I thought last week was hard, but this week shaping

985
00:46:36,960 --> 00:46:39,480
Speaker 1: up to be pretty hard too. Simon, can you name

986
00:46:39,520 --> 00:46:42,680
Speaker 1: the fastest growing ticketing app in the United States?

987
00:46:43,160 --> 00:46:43,719
Speaker 2: Game Time?

988
00:46:44,040 --> 00:46:46,759
Speaker 1: That's right, it's their sponsor, game Time. I love game

989
00:46:46,800 --> 00:46:50,000
Speaker 1: Time for two reasons. One, they sponsored their show too.

990
00:46:50,200 --> 00:46:53,359
Speaker 1: I actually use game Time to buy tickets. They've got

991
00:46:53,400 --> 00:46:56,400
Speaker 1: amazing last minute deals on all sorts of tickets, including

992
00:46:56,440 --> 00:46:59,120
Speaker 1: pro and college football games. I'm going to open the

993
00:46:59,120 --> 00:47:02,520
Speaker 1: game Time app right now from my house here in Connecticut.

994
00:47:02,560 --> 00:47:07,840
Speaker 1: Guess what, folks, NHL season is opening right now. I

995
00:47:07,880 --> 00:47:12,120
Speaker 1: could go see the New Jersey Devils for seventy dollars

996
00:47:12,640 --> 00:47:15,479
Speaker 1: right here, not too far from my house. No matter

997
00:47:15,480 --> 00:47:17,640
Speaker 1: where you live, download the game Time app. Get out,

998
00:47:17,760 --> 00:47:20,200
Speaker 1: have some fun this week. Go sweat your bets live

999
00:47:20,360 --> 00:47:23,840
Speaker 1: and in person, and you can redeem code favorites for

1000
00:47:23,880 --> 00:47:27,120
Speaker 1: twenty dollars off your first purchase. Terms apply again. Just

1001
00:47:27,160 --> 00:47:29,640
Speaker 1: download the app and enter code favorites for twenty dollars

1002
00:47:29,680 --> 00:47:32,719
Speaker 1: off last minute tickets the lowest price guaranteed. Well, we're

1003
00:47:32,719 --> 00:47:34,279
Speaker 1: not going to spend much time on this game because

1004
00:47:34,280 --> 00:47:37,000
Speaker 1: it's the Giants at Buffalo, and you've already said the

1005
00:47:37,040 --> 00:47:44,720
Speaker 1: Giants are blacklisted, so tea nothing to say.

1006
00:47:42,920 --> 00:47:44,799
Speaker 2: Yeah, and just keep an eye on Daniel Jones. He

1007
00:47:44,880 --> 00:47:46,879
Speaker 2: might be injured. He might be missing this game. So

1008
00:47:47,920 --> 00:47:51,640
Speaker 2: I want to take the Bills. The Bills have maybe

1009
00:47:51,680 --> 00:47:53,480
Speaker 2: the worst injury of luck right now in football. I

1010
00:47:53,480 --> 00:47:55,200
Speaker 2: think they're down two of their best.

1011
00:47:54,800 --> 00:47:58,839
Speaker 1: Atalano out, lost defensive back against the Jags, like lost

1012
00:47:58,840 --> 00:48:00,799
Speaker 1: some offensive linemen. There trouble right now.

1013
00:48:01,120 --> 00:48:04,239
Speaker 2: No, it's bad, like they're just they're just running into

1014
00:48:04,280 --> 00:48:07,120
Speaker 2: really bad luck right now with injuries. So it's a

1015
00:48:07,120 --> 00:48:11,319
Speaker 2: massive spread. I'm just gonna throw a little on, you

1016
00:48:11,360 --> 00:48:14,120
Speaker 2: know whatever minus fourteen when the Bills, just in case

1017
00:48:14,160 --> 00:48:17,320
Speaker 2: Dno Jones is out, even though if he is out,

1018
00:48:17,600 --> 00:48:20,080
Speaker 2: how much does this line really move you know that's

1019
00:48:20,080 --> 00:48:20,959
Speaker 2: how bad it is right now.

1020
00:48:20,960 --> 00:48:22,920
Speaker 1: He's no justin Jefferson to the line. I'll tell you

1021
00:48:22,920 --> 00:48:23,319
Speaker 1: that much.

1022
00:48:24,640 --> 00:48:27,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, So don't don't really know what to do with

1023
00:48:27,040 --> 00:48:28,759
Speaker 2: this one with Chad right, we'll just keep it moving.

1024
00:48:29,360 --> 00:48:31,640
Speaker 1: Monday night football, this is going to be your Simon says,

1025
00:48:31,680 --> 00:48:34,240
Speaker 1: because we haven't had it yet. It's Dallas visiting the Chargers.

1026
00:48:35,000 --> 00:48:37,480
Speaker 1: The Cowboys were exactly who we thought they were on

1027
00:48:37,520 --> 00:48:40,920
Speaker 1: Sunday night. We are not buyers, and Mike McCarthy, we

1028
00:48:40,960 --> 00:48:44,080
Speaker 1: are not buyers. In Dak Prescott, we fell pretty alone

1029
00:48:45,160 --> 00:48:48,200
Speaker 1: on the Niners at three and a half, and I

1030
00:48:48,440 --> 00:48:52,200
Speaker 1: comfortably went to bed at halftime. What are we saying about,

1031
00:48:52,440 --> 00:48:53,040
Speaker 1: Simon says.

1032
00:48:53,080 --> 00:48:56,200
Speaker 2: Here, Simon says, if you can find it, go grab

1033
00:48:56,239 --> 00:48:58,040
Speaker 2: the two and a half on this Chargers team right

1034
00:48:58,080 --> 00:49:01,080
Speaker 2: now plus two and a half. That's the most public

1035
00:49:01,080 --> 00:49:02,759
Speaker 2: book in America. It's at two and a half, so

1036
00:49:02,760 --> 00:49:09,319
Speaker 2: people will be able to find it. We gotta do it.

1037
00:49:09,560 --> 00:49:11,560
Speaker 2: We take the dog here, we take the points, and

1038
00:49:11,600 --> 00:49:15,440
Speaker 2: we hope Alan's on two. Like this Chargers team, they

1039
00:49:15,480 --> 00:49:17,839
Speaker 2: always play down to their competition, which means when they're

1040
00:49:17,840 --> 00:49:21,600
Speaker 2: playing bad teams usually have a letdown whenever he's playing

1041
00:49:21,640 --> 00:49:24,440
Speaker 2: really good teams. Herbert in primetime games, he usually shows

1042
00:49:24,480 --> 00:49:27,440
Speaker 2: up and plays really well. And looking at this matchup,

1043
00:49:27,880 --> 00:49:29,600
Speaker 2: I mean it hurt them last week not having Digs

1044
00:49:29,600 --> 00:49:32,560
Speaker 2: on that secondary and you saw how Perduk do whatever

1045
00:49:32,600 --> 00:49:35,640
Speaker 2: you want passing against them. Now we got Herbert, Like

1046
00:49:35,680 --> 00:49:37,960
Speaker 2: you think they're going to figure all this out in

1047
00:49:38,040 --> 00:49:40,760
Speaker 2: a week to prepare against Herbert in this high powered

1048
00:49:40,800 --> 00:49:43,399
Speaker 2: offense the Chargers have, I do not do you think

1049
00:49:43,440 --> 00:49:46,160
Speaker 2: their their offensive line is going to figure out all

1050
00:49:46,200 --> 00:49:48,120
Speaker 2: their struggles Like last week was the first time they're

1051
00:49:48,160 --> 00:49:51,279
Speaker 2: five stars to play. They played together against that forty

1052
00:49:51,320 --> 00:49:53,960
Speaker 2: Irons team. You know the foy I's got a decent

1053
00:49:54,000 --> 00:49:56,399
Speaker 2: amount of pressure even early in the early in the game,

1054
00:49:56,400 --> 00:50:00,440
Speaker 2: they're getting pressure. Now you know, I've no idea. I

1055
00:50:00,520 --> 00:50:02,920
Speaker 2: Khalil Maccus found his groove after getting six sacks in

1056
00:50:02,960 --> 00:50:06,320
Speaker 2: one game, but he did look different and Bo says

1057
00:50:06,360 --> 00:50:08,920
Speaker 2: look better every game this year. So if the Chargers

1058
00:50:08,960 --> 00:50:11,720
Speaker 2: can get their pass rushing going, we've seen Dak doesn't

1059
00:50:11,800 --> 00:50:14,440
Speaker 2: like pressure at his feet like the guy throws when

1060
00:50:14,440 --> 00:50:16,040
Speaker 2: he's off bounce or if he doesn't have his feet

1061
00:50:16,080 --> 00:50:18,200
Speaker 2: set you saw yesterday, like he throws in the tight

1062
00:50:18,200 --> 00:50:20,359
Speaker 2: windows and the ball is a little off target, It's

1063
00:50:20,400 --> 00:50:22,239
Speaker 2: gonna be a pick. Like that's that's just how it

1064
00:50:22,280 --> 00:50:25,480
Speaker 2: is with Dak So I wanted to get Dallas here

1065
00:50:25,480 --> 00:50:27,720
Speaker 2: because I was just like, you know what, the public

1066
00:50:27,760 --> 00:50:29,319
Speaker 2: will come in really heavy on the Chargers in this

1067
00:50:29,320 --> 00:50:31,560
Speaker 2: line will probably be a pick. It's not like we're

1068
00:50:31,560 --> 00:50:33,520
Speaker 2: getting plus two and a half right now. This Chargers team,

1069
00:50:33,520 --> 00:50:35,640
Speaker 2: that the mean, this line is gonna keep going down.

1070
00:50:35,680 --> 00:50:37,480
Speaker 2: I think it will be two one and a half

1071
00:50:37,520 --> 00:50:39,120
Speaker 2: by the time we come back on Thursday. So that's

1072
00:50:39,160 --> 00:50:40,759
Speaker 2: why IM making them. Assimon says, I want to do

1073
00:50:40,800 --> 00:50:42,880
Speaker 2: the Jets because it's at seven now, but I do

1074
00:50:42,960 --> 00:50:45,240
Speaker 2: think the Jets could keep going up now they're getting injuries.

1075
00:50:45,719 --> 00:50:47,839
Speaker 2: This Chargers team, I only can see this number coming down.

1076
00:50:47,960 --> 00:50:49,440
Speaker 2: So if you can grab it, go get that two

1077
00:50:49,440 --> 00:50:50,239
Speaker 2: and a half right now.

1078
00:50:50,719 --> 00:50:54,960
Speaker 1: You didn't give me a rundown on as of Tuesday.

1079
00:50:55,000 --> 00:50:57,360
Speaker 1: Your biggest bets so far this week?

1080
00:50:59,200 --> 00:51:02,080
Speaker 2: My biggest bet so far, I don't know. I had

1081
00:51:02,080 --> 00:51:04,400
Speaker 2: a decent amount put into the forty nine Ers when

1082
00:51:04,400 --> 00:51:05,759
Speaker 2: we did our show, and I did it a lot

1083
00:51:05,760 --> 00:51:08,360
Speaker 2: on Tampa plus three and a half, So yeah, my

1084
00:51:08,719 --> 00:51:12,040
Speaker 2: biggest bets right now, I feel like Tampa, Like Tampa's

1085
00:51:12,080 --> 00:51:14,480
Speaker 2: probably my most most money bet at three and a half.

1086
00:51:14,960 --> 00:51:16,719
Speaker 2: Once again, I'm hoping you guys can get the three

1087
00:51:16,719 --> 00:51:18,600
Speaker 2: and a half. I know it's gone, but that does

1088
00:51:18,680 --> 00:51:22,000
Speaker 2: just I hope it comes back up for people. And

1089
00:51:22,880 --> 00:51:25,120
Speaker 2: you know, right now, Chad, I guess Chargers for my

1090
00:51:25,239 --> 00:51:28,239
Speaker 2: number two. Like I just I haven't gotten too much

1091
00:51:28,320 --> 00:51:30,600
Speaker 2: down yet, I'd be honest, like I haven't liked the

1092
00:51:30,640 --> 00:51:33,200
Speaker 2: prior weeks, even last week. I really have a lot

1093
00:51:33,200 --> 00:51:36,440
Speaker 2: down until Friday Saturday. So it's shape up again this

1094
00:51:36,480 --> 00:51:38,120
Speaker 2: week where I'm kind of with you, Chad, were like

1095
00:51:38,400 --> 00:51:41,239
Speaker 2: after this week feels super tough. It's just tough for

1096
00:51:41,280 --> 00:51:42,640
Speaker 2: me to make the bets where it's like I'm really

1097
00:51:42,680 --> 00:51:44,920
Speaker 2: gonna have to stomach some of these bets, like this

1098
00:51:45,000 --> 00:51:48,279
Speaker 2: Jets bet against the Eagles. It's uncomfortable, Like knowing that

1099
00:51:48,320 --> 00:51:50,239
Speaker 2: I'm probably gonna have to bet this Brownson against the

1100
00:51:50,239 --> 00:51:53,000
Speaker 2: forty hunders team really uncomfortable. Me and you talked about

1101
00:51:53,040 --> 00:51:56,719
Speaker 2: Tampa game. Even though it's a great number, it's still

1102
00:51:56,880 --> 00:51:59,400
Speaker 2: like I'm putting a lot of money on Baker at home,

1103
00:52:00,080 --> 00:52:01,880
Speaker 2: and you know, one of the best teams on football

1104
00:52:01,880 --> 00:52:04,440
Speaker 2: around this line. So definitely a week if you're a

1105
00:52:04,480 --> 00:52:05,840
Speaker 2: fan of the show, it's it's gonna be one of

1106
00:52:05,880 --> 00:52:08,000
Speaker 2: the tougher weeks. You just got to hold your nose

1107
00:52:08,040 --> 00:52:10,759
Speaker 2: and make these bets like trust the numbers. Trust what

1108
00:52:10,840 --> 00:52:13,200
Speaker 2: me and tarare peaching to you. That the public they've

1109
00:52:13,280 --> 00:52:15,440
Speaker 2: kind of had their timeless sun. It's going to come

1110
00:52:15,480 --> 00:52:17,439
Speaker 2: back down. It's going to come back down hard for them.

1111
00:52:18,239 --> 00:52:19,920
Speaker 1: We should change the name of this podcast to the

1112
00:52:19,960 --> 00:52:27,200
Speaker 1: Hold your Nose Podcast. It definitely ask people to do. Yeah,

1113
00:52:27,520 --> 00:52:30,560
Speaker 1: it's like torture. As a reminder of the Favorites Podcast.

1114
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Speaker 1: conditions and restrictions apply. Be sure to catch our next

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Speaker 1: episode of The Favorites live on the Action Network YouTube

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00:53:30,600 --> 00:53:35,560
Speaker 1: page this Thursday, eleven am Eastern. Download us from Spotify,

1132
00:53:35,560 --> 00:53:38,560
Speaker 1: Apple Podcasts wherever you get your pods, Rate, review, subscribe

1133
00:53:38,600 --> 00:53:41,520
Speaker 1: it was five stars. Say whatever you want. Feedback is

1134
00:53:41,520 --> 00:53:45,000
Speaker 1: a gift for Simon Hunter. I am Chad Milman until

1135
00:53:45,120 --> 00:53:46,640
Speaker 1: Thursday at eleven am Eastern.

1136
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Speaker 2: Love You.

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