1 00:00:00,040 --> 00:00:01,760 Speaker 1: Dave had a lot of talk right now about college 2 00:00:01,760 --> 00:00:03,880 Speaker 1: football with the big championship game on Monday. 3 00:00:03,880 --> 00:00:05,640 Speaker 2: Oh you noticed that, did you? I didn't notice that. 4 00:00:06,480 --> 00:00:08,840 Speaker 2: I forget. I know it's one of our big ten fives. 5 00:00:09,720 --> 00:00:12,520 Speaker 1: But yeah, Michigan Wolverines and Washington Huskies. But a lot 6 00:00:12,520 --> 00:00:14,800 Speaker 1: of talk not just about the game on the field, 7 00:00:14,880 --> 00:00:16,640 Speaker 1: but the money behind it and whether how much of 8 00:00:16,680 --> 00:00:18,040 Speaker 1: that's going to be shared with the players, And. 9 00:00:18,040 --> 00:00:19,680 Speaker 3: Boy, is there a lot of money going around to 10 00:00:19,720 --> 00:00:21,880 Speaker 3: take us through as somebody who really knows college football 11 00:00:21,920 --> 00:00:24,840 Speaker 3: like nobody else, George Pine, He's ruined Capital Founders. You know, George, 12 00:00:24,880 --> 00:00:25,880 Speaker 3: great to have you back with us. 13 00:00:25,960 --> 00:00:27,240 Speaker 2: So, first of all, the news today. 14 00:00:27,520 --> 00:00:30,360 Speaker 3: ESPN's got an extension now on the championship games. I 15 00:00:30,440 --> 00:00:31,840 Speaker 3: think a lot of them may have to do football 16 00:00:32,040 --> 00:00:35,120 Speaker 3: just under a billion dollars a billion dollars pay now, 17 00:00:35,320 --> 00:00:37,839 Speaker 3: is there anything left of the amateur part of this 18 00:00:38,000 --> 00:00:40,400 Speaker 3: athletics as opposed as the professional. 19 00:00:39,920 --> 00:00:41,680 Speaker 2: Well, there's a lot of value in college sports. 20 00:00:41,680 --> 00:00:45,320 Speaker 4: It's exciting, and of course that's for forty sports men's 21 00:00:45,320 --> 00:00:47,839 Speaker 4: and women. You know, the for a billion dollars or 22 00:00:47,960 --> 00:00:50,159 Speaker 4: one hundred million or so a year, you know, the 23 00:00:50,159 --> 00:00:52,280 Speaker 4: college football playoffs is going to go for a billion 24 00:00:52,360 --> 00:00:55,280 Speaker 4: five to two point three billion just for the playoffs 25 00:00:55,280 --> 00:00:58,320 Speaker 4: in college football. So this shows the disparity between college 26 00:00:58,360 --> 00:01:00,720 Speaker 4: football and all the other sports out there. 27 00:01:01,120 --> 00:01:03,440 Speaker 3: So where does this all go next? As you know, 28 00:01:03,520 --> 00:01:06,720 Speaker 3: some coaches, including mister Harbaugh, my coach at Michigan, has 29 00:01:06,720 --> 00:01:09,120 Speaker 3: said we should start paying the players. Is that inevitable? 30 00:01:09,160 --> 00:01:11,559 Speaker 2: Well, a couple things. One great games this weekend. 31 00:01:11,640 --> 00:01:13,800 Speaker 4: Both games went down to the last play, so the 32 00:01:13,800 --> 00:01:16,800 Speaker 4: player movement really didn't hurt the quality of the competition. 33 00:01:17,160 --> 00:01:19,080 Speaker 4: Where it's headed, I think you're going to have to 34 00:01:19,080 --> 00:01:21,400 Speaker 4: pay the players. I mean, the college football is the 35 00:01:21,480 --> 00:01:25,280 Speaker 4: number two sport in America in attendance, in television ratings, 36 00:01:25,440 --> 00:01:28,319 Speaker 4: generate six to eight billion dollars a year. And I 37 00:01:28,360 --> 00:01:30,959 Speaker 4: think what those players deserve to be paid? And I 38 00:01:30,959 --> 00:01:35,000 Speaker 4: think you see the courts now recognizing that that the players, 39 00:01:35,040 --> 00:01:37,800 Speaker 4: you can't restrict their trade, their motion. They need to 40 00:01:37,800 --> 00:01:40,039 Speaker 4: be paid and share in some of that money. What 41 00:01:40,080 --> 00:01:41,000 Speaker 4: does that look like? 42 00:01:41,040 --> 00:01:41,200 Speaker 3: Though? 43 00:01:41,200 --> 00:01:43,160 Speaker 1: Where does that money come from? Does that flow from 44 00:01:43,160 --> 00:01:45,119 Speaker 1: the schools directly or is that going to come from 45 00:01:45,120 --> 00:01:46,280 Speaker 1: the NCAA direct. 46 00:01:46,080 --> 00:01:48,200 Speaker 4: It's going to come from the schools, right and what 47 00:01:48,200 --> 00:01:50,440 Speaker 4: you're going to see, I think eventually is the players 48 00:01:50,480 --> 00:01:53,640 Speaker 4: will be bargaining collectively. I think that they're probably going 49 00:01:53,720 --> 00:01:56,000 Speaker 4: to have to do individual contracts so that they can 50 00:01:56,040 --> 00:02:01,080 Speaker 4: restrict the movement. I mean competitors, universities. Our competitors cannot 51 00:02:01,080 --> 00:02:03,160 Speaker 4: restrict the movement of players without compensation. 52 00:02:03,280 --> 00:02:05,680 Speaker 2: And with that kind of money generating. 53 00:02:05,280 --> 00:02:08,280 Speaker 4: Around, you're gonna have to bargain collectively and guys will 54 00:02:08,320 --> 00:02:09,800 Speaker 4: have to do individual contract. 55 00:02:09,480 --> 00:02:10,880 Speaker 1: That's going to be interesting, and of course that's going 56 00:02:10,919 --> 00:02:12,360 Speaker 1: to be messy for a lot of schools. 57 00:02:12,400 --> 00:02:13,320 Speaker 2: And I am curious. 58 00:02:13,360 --> 00:02:16,400 Speaker 1: I mean not to brag David, but Northwestern University, the Wildcats, 59 00:02:16,400 --> 00:02:19,040 Speaker 1: the team they had actually attempted several years ago to 60 00:02:19,320 --> 00:02:22,800 Speaker 1: unionize and of course that ran into failures in the 61 00:02:22,840 --> 00:02:26,160 Speaker 1: court system. What's different now that would allow something like 62 00:02:26,200 --> 00:02:28,680 Speaker 1: that to happen that they couldn't do a fifteen years ago. 63 00:02:28,840 --> 00:02:31,600 Speaker 2: I think the money has just become so significant. 64 00:02:31,639 --> 00:02:34,280 Speaker 4: So if you take a step back, it's the success 65 00:02:34,320 --> 00:02:37,160 Speaker 4: of college sports. It's amazing, people love it, but it's 66 00:02:37,360 --> 00:02:40,640 Speaker 4: huge business. And I think as a fairness principle, the 67 00:02:40,639 --> 00:02:42,520 Speaker 4: guy you know, you think about college football playoff, they're 68 00:02:42,560 --> 00:02:44,440 Speaker 4: going to be getting over one hundred million per for 69 00:02:44,639 --> 00:02:47,760 Speaker 4: one game, so the guys participating in that game share 70 00:02:47,800 --> 00:02:50,080 Speaker 4: in that economic success. I think nine out of ten 71 00:02:50,120 --> 00:02:52,600 Speaker 4: reasonable people say yes. So I think you know the 72 00:02:52,639 --> 00:02:54,880 Speaker 4: money is so overwhelming that is how much? 73 00:02:54,960 --> 00:02:56,960 Speaker 1: How much do you think could actually go to the players? 74 00:02:57,000 --> 00:02:58,320 Speaker 1: I mean we were talking in a situation where a 75 00:02:58,320 --> 00:03:00,680 Speaker 1: college player, in theory, a top here at college fear 76 00:03:00,800 --> 00:03:02,480 Speaker 1: can be making more than maybe sort of a middle 77 00:03:02,480 --> 00:03:03,720 Speaker 1: of the road professional athlete. 78 00:03:03,800 --> 00:03:05,640 Speaker 4: I don't know how it goes that far, but I 79 00:03:05,639 --> 00:03:07,720 Speaker 4: think there'll be some sharing. And of course you have 80 00:03:07,760 --> 00:03:10,480 Speaker 4: other things too, work conditions, you know how much they 81 00:03:10,520 --> 00:03:12,919 Speaker 4: do in training, what the off season looks like, how 82 00:03:12,960 --> 00:03:15,760 Speaker 4: people move around. And it's complicated because the people there 83 00:03:15,840 --> 00:03:19,280 Speaker 4: get in education. So you're trying to balance education, economic 84 00:03:19,320 --> 00:03:22,400 Speaker 4: fairness and keeping a reasonable model, and those are the 85 00:03:22,400 --> 00:03:25,799 Speaker 4: things the industry is grappling with and it's quite complex, 86 00:03:26,080 --> 00:03:28,480 Speaker 4: and part of the hard part is it's complex in 87 00:03:28,520 --> 00:03:29,600 Speaker 4: a fragmented industry. 88 00:03:29,720 --> 00:03:33,120 Speaker 3: Well exactly, it's complex, and it's a huge change, a 89 00:03:33,200 --> 00:03:36,240 Speaker 3: real change. Who's going to really be in charge of 90 00:03:36,280 --> 00:03:39,040 Speaker 3: managing that chang is the NCAA up to that job. 91 00:03:39,280 --> 00:03:41,520 Speaker 3: Not everybody has complete confidence in NCAAA. 92 00:03:41,720 --> 00:03:44,320 Speaker 4: I think the NCAAA has a very difficult job. There 93 00:03:44,320 --> 00:03:46,960 Speaker 4: are eleven hundred members. We're talking probably one hundred and 94 00:03:47,000 --> 00:03:49,800 Speaker 4: thirty football members here, and even you could argue a 95 00:03:49,880 --> 00:03:50,720 Speaker 4: smaller number. 96 00:03:50,920 --> 00:03:52,400 Speaker 2: And so the nc double A is in a no 97 00:03:52,520 --> 00:03:54,480 Speaker 2: win situation. And the challenges. 98 00:03:54,480 --> 00:03:58,440 Speaker 4: It's very fragmented industry colleges, as you know, the colleges 99 00:03:58,560 --> 00:04:02,720 Speaker 4: switch conferences, coaches switch teams, Athletic directors move around, presidents 100 00:04:02,760 --> 00:04:05,720 Speaker 4: move around. Players are restricted players that are not compensated. 101 00:04:06,040 --> 00:04:09,240 Speaker 4: That's not gonna fly. So I think it's either gonna 102 00:04:09,280 --> 00:04:12,160 Speaker 4: have one or two things. The courts are gonna lead, 103 00:04:12,320 --> 00:04:14,520 Speaker 4: like they did with the NAL. People knew the NAL 104 00:04:14,640 --> 00:04:17,560 Speaker 4: was coming for five years. The industry could not agree. 105 00:04:17,920 --> 00:04:20,920 Speaker 4: The courts led the way. Same thing here. The courts 106 00:04:20,920 --> 00:04:23,039 Speaker 4: will either lead the way or I hope, because I 107 00:04:23,080 --> 00:04:26,839 Speaker 4: love the sports, I'd love to see the industry coalesce 108 00:04:27,240 --> 00:04:28,240 Speaker 4: and come together. 109 00:04:28,000 --> 00:04:28,560 Speaker 2: With the solution. 110 00:04:28,640 --> 00:04:30,640 Speaker 4: So it'll be one or two, the courts or the industry. 111 00:04:30,839 --> 00:04:33,280 Speaker 4: The reason it's up in the air is it's so fragmented. 112 00:04:33,560 --> 00:04:35,520 Speaker 4: So you say you love the sport, we do. I 113 00:04:35,520 --> 00:04:36,920 Speaker 4: know Romayan loves the sport. 114 00:04:37,120 --> 00:04:39,479 Speaker 3: How do you preserve the sport though, the competitiveness of 115 00:04:39,520 --> 00:04:42,560 Speaker 3: the sport, because in professional for example, you have to 116 00:04:42,880 --> 00:04:45,880 Speaker 3: really manage parody because otherwise you get the haves and 117 00:04:45,920 --> 00:04:47,840 Speaker 3: the have nots and the games aren't very good. 118 00:04:48,160 --> 00:04:49,680 Speaker 2: Right, It's gonna be very complicated. 119 00:04:49,800 --> 00:04:55,520 Speaker 4: You have all those issues education, parity, fairness, very complex issues, 120 00:04:55,560 --> 00:04:58,440 Speaker 4: and that's why it's hard to find a consensus amongst 121 00:04:58,440 --> 00:05:01,160 Speaker 4: competitors of what to do. And so that's why it's 122 00:05:01,160 --> 00:05:04,679 Speaker 4: going to be tricky, and that's why an inability degree 123 00:05:04,720 --> 00:05:05,520 Speaker 4: could lead to. 124 00:05:05,480 --> 00:05:07,720 Speaker 2: The courts deciding and not the industry. 125 00:05:08,279 --> 00:05:10,840 Speaker 1: We've had a little space now since the name image 126 00:05:10,920 --> 00:05:12,680 Speaker 1: likeness became a law of the land. 127 00:05:12,760 --> 00:05:13,920 Speaker 2: For lack of a better phrasier. 128 00:05:14,120 --> 00:05:16,120 Speaker 1: Is there anything we can learn from the rollout and 129 00:05:16,160 --> 00:05:20,440 Speaker 1: implementation of that in terms of extrapolating what a rollout 130 00:05:20,480 --> 00:05:22,720 Speaker 1: of actually paying the payers directly would be. 131 00:05:22,760 --> 00:05:25,800 Speaker 4: Well, there were nil was hoped to be based on 132 00:05:25,920 --> 00:05:29,200 Speaker 4: endorsement revenue. It became a legal way to pay players, right, 133 00:05:29,279 --> 00:05:33,479 Speaker 4: and had unintended consequences in the competition of the sport, 134 00:05:33,560 --> 00:05:35,560 Speaker 4: and people don't like that. And that's why I think 135 00:05:35,680 --> 00:05:38,919 Speaker 4: be better if you had things collectively bargained and people 136 00:05:38,920 --> 00:05:41,640 Speaker 4: did contracts because you'd have predictability, you'd have. 137 00:05:41,640 --> 00:05:43,320 Speaker 2: Rules, it'd be better organized. 138 00:05:43,520 --> 00:05:45,560 Speaker 4: The nil kind of led to a free for all, 139 00:05:45,880 --> 00:05:48,880 Speaker 4: and the intended consequence and intention was to pay the 140 00:05:48,920 --> 00:05:52,080 Speaker 4: players for endorsements, and it came really pay to play. 141 00:05:52,800 --> 00:05:56,440 Speaker 3: So we've talked about some of the disparities among schools. 142 00:05:56,680 --> 00:05:59,760 Speaker 3: What about among sports, because we're now about football here, 143 00:06:00,000 --> 00:06:02,280 Speaker 3: what does this do the so called lesser sports a 144 00:06:02,320 --> 00:06:04,080 Speaker 3: lot of these schools do they get left behind? 145 00:06:04,160 --> 00:06:05,440 Speaker 2: It's primarily football. 146 00:06:05,560 --> 00:06:08,200 Speaker 4: Basketball has meaningful value too, but the rest of the 147 00:06:08,200 --> 00:06:09,280 Speaker 4: sports are really. 148 00:06:09,000 --> 00:06:11,320 Speaker 2: Not in the same area. And one of the concerns 149 00:06:11,320 --> 00:06:11,520 Speaker 2: there are. 150 00:06:11,560 --> 00:06:14,640 Speaker 4: One are Title nine, how it affect women's athletics, and 151 00:06:14,720 --> 00:06:18,200 Speaker 4: two is the Olympic movement. The Olympic movement internationally, many 152 00:06:18,240 --> 00:06:20,120 Speaker 4: of the best athletes in the world come to America 153 00:06:20,160 --> 00:06:22,480 Speaker 4: to train, as well as the American athletes, and that 154 00:06:22,560 --> 00:06:26,720 Speaker 4: system is provided for those sports. So those sports are 155 00:06:26,720 --> 00:06:30,400 Speaker 4: being underwritten by the revenues primarily from football, and so 156 00:06:30,600 --> 00:06:32,560 Speaker 4: if that money goes to the players, that money may 157 00:06:32,600 --> 00:06:34,039 Speaker 4: not be there for those other sports. 158 00:06:34,160 --> 00:06:35,960 Speaker 3: George, you've been on the other side of so long. 159 00:06:36,480 --> 00:06:38,599 Speaker 3: If you were to guess how long is this process 160 00:06:38,640 --> 00:06:40,640 Speaker 3: is going to take. When will settle back down. 161 00:06:40,920 --> 00:06:43,880 Speaker 4: I think it'll take three to five years to shake out. 162 00:06:43,960 --> 00:06:46,000 Speaker 4: I think if the industry does it, it'll be within 163 00:06:46,040 --> 00:06:48,400 Speaker 4: the next three years. If it's settled through the courts, 164 00:06:48,400 --> 00:06:51,560 Speaker 4: it will take a little longer, maybe five years, you guess. 165 00:06:51,680 --> 00:06:54,440 Speaker 1: The idea though also of just amateur sports in general, 166 00:06:54,480 --> 00:06:57,360 Speaker 1: and in addition to the actual collegiate itself, that whole 167 00:06:57,440 --> 00:06:59,560 Speaker 1: universe of Olympic athlete too, of course, have had their 168 00:06:59,600 --> 00:07:03,160 Speaker 1: own batwer and being able to get compensated for their 169 00:07:03,200 --> 00:07:05,800 Speaker 1: images and for their performance as well. Here have we 170 00:07:05,920 --> 00:07:07,840 Speaker 1: kind of moved to the stage in society now where 171 00:07:07,880 --> 00:07:10,640 Speaker 1: there really won't any be true amateur sports, at least 172 00:07:10,640 --> 00:07:11,640 Speaker 1: not at the elite level. 173 00:07:11,720 --> 00:07:13,200 Speaker 4: No, I think there will be, I mean an elite 174 00:07:13,240 --> 00:07:15,160 Speaker 4: golf for these other sports, I think it will remain 175 00:07:15,160 --> 00:07:17,680 Speaker 4: in imagery. But like the Olympics and the Olympics, there 176 00:07:17,720 --> 00:07:19,800 Speaker 4: was a time where you couldn't have pros in the Olympics, 177 00:07:20,120 --> 00:07:23,360 Speaker 4: they transition, they modernize, and people love the Olympic games. 178 00:07:23,400 --> 00:07:24,960 Speaker 2: I think that's my hope. 179 00:07:24,760 --> 00:07:27,160 Speaker 4: Is the same can happen for college athletics. But you're 180 00:07:27,160 --> 00:07:29,480 Speaker 4: going to might have to separate football and basketball from 181 00:07:29,480 --> 00:07:32,360 Speaker 4: the other sports because those issues are quite different than 182 00:07:32,400 --> 00:07:33,120 Speaker 4: the other sports. 183 00:07:33,400 --> 00:07:35,400 Speaker 2: It's all inevable. Is it good for the sport? In 184 00:07:35,480 --> 00:07:36,840 Speaker 2: your judgment? I think it will be. 185 00:07:36,880 --> 00:07:39,760 Speaker 4: You know, we've heard so much negativity about the transfer, 186 00:07:39,840 --> 00:07:43,480 Speaker 4: portal and player movement. Look, those games this weekend were fantastic, 187 00:07:43,920 --> 00:07:45,800 Speaker 4: so I think the game will stay true. 188 00:07:46,000 --> 00:07:49,200 Speaker 2: This is a choppy period. It's an evolution, hopefully not 189 00:07:49,240 --> 00:07:49,800 Speaker 2: a revolution. 190 00:07:50,560 --> 00:07:52,520 Speaker 1: David's afraid to ask you this question, but who's going 191 00:07:52,600 --> 00:07:53,240 Speaker 1: to win on Monday? 192 00:07:54,800 --> 00:07:57,080 Speaker 4: Look, I wouldn't sleep on the Washington Huskies because that 193 00:07:57,160 --> 00:08:01,240 Speaker 4: quarterback Michael Pennox is a great quarterback. But I think 194 00:08:01,280 --> 00:08:02,920 Speaker 4: you have to go at the Amazon Blue. They've done 195 00:08:02,920 --> 00:08:06,239 Speaker 4: an amazing job, Jim Harbaugh. They've done an incredible built 196 00:08:06,240 --> 00:08:09,000 Speaker 4: a program over ten years, three straight trips to the CFP. 197 00:08:09,680 --> 00:08:11,440 Speaker 4: I don't think you can go against amazing Blue. 198 00:08:11,560 --> 00:08:14,400 Speaker 3: I mean, I can't add anything to that. 199 00:08:14,400 --> 00:08:15,760 Speaker 2: That's the final word, no question. 200 00:08:15,800 --> 00:08:18,000 Speaker 3: But really great to have you as George Pine and 201 00:08:18,040 --> 00:08:20,240 Speaker 3: Bruin Kapelly's a founder and CEO there