1 00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:04,760 Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast. 2 00:00:04,960 --> 00:00:05,920 Speaker 2: All right, here we go. 3 00:00:11,360 --> 00:00:12,200 Speaker 1: Spreading the corn. 4 00:00:12,800 --> 00:00:15,520 Speaker 3: Ten seconds, ramatic toy. 5 00:00:15,680 --> 00:00:17,920 Speaker 1: Just go showing off the basket, under the basket. 6 00:00:18,200 --> 00:00:22,480 Speaker 2: It's the group for the wind. God, they go a miracle. 7 00:00:23,280 --> 00:00:25,639 Speaker 2: I'm just it's up the water. 8 00:00:27,120 --> 00:00:28,920 Speaker 1: Hit that one from the parking lot. 9 00:00:29,600 --> 00:00:32,440 Speaker 3: Shuck it all in Codge basketball. 10 00:00:34,600 --> 00:00:37,640 Speaker 2: It's not the size on the dog in the fight. 11 00:00:38,200 --> 00:00:41,760 Speaker 3: It's the size of the fight in the dog. Welcome back, 12 00:00:41,840 --> 00:00:45,720 Speaker 3: folks to another episode of the Big Bets on Campus Podcast. 13 00:00:46,200 --> 00:00:49,120 Speaker 3: Matt Cox, your host, one of the three members of 14 00:00:49,159 --> 00:00:51,360 Speaker 3: the Three Man We've Kimi, Ken Jimmer. You'll hear their 15 00:00:51,760 --> 00:00:55,160 Speaker 3: soothing voices. Surely you guys know the drill. Every Wednesday, 16 00:00:55,200 --> 00:00:58,200 Speaker 3: were coming at you, dropping a hot episode breaking down 17 00:00:59,040 --> 00:01:02,920 Speaker 3: the remaining week weekend of Games of Coming with our 18 00:01:02,960 --> 00:01:05,600 Speaker 3: six pack of sections. Going to try to focus more 19 00:01:05,720 --> 00:01:08,959 Speaker 3: so on the Wednesday Thursday night slate. Uh you guys, 20 00:01:09,040 --> 00:01:11,760 Speaker 3: thank you for properly provide some feedback that Hey, we 21 00:01:11,880 --> 00:01:14,120 Speaker 3: talk about the Friday Saturday slate stucking the boys do 22 00:01:14,240 --> 00:01:17,039 Speaker 3: it well, so focus on Wednesday Thursday. We will try 23 00:01:17,080 --> 00:01:20,280 Speaker 3: to do so as we did last week. But hey, 24 00:01:20,480 --> 00:01:22,360 Speaker 3: without further ado, let's get into it. Fellow, shall we 25 00:01:22,440 --> 00:01:25,640 Speaker 3: any opening thoughts, anything on your mind, kai concerns. This 26 00:01:25,680 --> 00:01:27,040 Speaker 3: is kind of an open forum for you to share 27 00:01:27,040 --> 00:01:30,880 Speaker 3: whatever's feelings. This is a nest safe space. Next man, 28 00:01:30,880 --> 00:01:33,080 Speaker 3: I appreciate that, but no, man, let's get into the 29 00:01:33,120 --> 00:01:36,760 Speaker 3: live dog section. Yeah, everyone's favorite doggies, puppy. 30 00:01:38,000 --> 00:01:40,440 Speaker 1: Mark, Where's mine? 31 00:01:43,120 --> 00:01:43,360 Speaker 2: Dog? 32 00:01:44,920 --> 00:01:51,480 Speaker 3: Where's mine? So our picks last week, our money line 33 00:01:51,520 --> 00:01:54,240 Speaker 3: specials did okay. I got to toot my own horn there, 34 00:01:54,360 --> 00:01:56,240 Speaker 3: or my own horn real quickly because ball State did 35 00:01:56,320 --> 00:01:59,520 Speaker 3: pull out the victory over Toledo. But I will talk 36 00:01:59,560 --> 00:02:01,360 Speaker 3: out the other side of my mouth because if you 37 00:02:01,600 --> 00:02:05,240 Speaker 3: read my best bet endorsements on the Action website, you 38 00:02:05,240 --> 00:02:07,960 Speaker 3: saw that I bet Toledo and I did so. Had 39 00:02:08,000 --> 00:02:10,040 Speaker 3: an epiphany Thursday night that I was tired of betting 40 00:02:10,080 --> 00:02:11,919 Speaker 3: on ball State and tired of fading Tleedo, so I 41 00:02:11,960 --> 00:02:13,519 Speaker 3: thought I'd go for the old flip flop and that 42 00:02:13,639 --> 00:02:17,760 Speaker 3: backfired badly. Yorban Zoo tigres Lot is down lost by one. 43 00:02:18,280 --> 00:02:22,359 Speaker 3: We had Evansville postponed due to weather utsa Milwaukee l 44 00:02:22,400 --> 00:02:24,840 Speaker 3: i U. Turns out they're all just bad teams. Shame 45 00:02:24,919 --> 00:02:28,919 Speaker 3: on us for endorsing those as Moneyline Live pups. Let's 46 00:02:28,919 --> 00:02:30,600 Speaker 3: see if we can get back on track here this week, 47 00:02:31,080 --> 00:02:34,399 Speaker 3: we have four on Wednesday and six games on Thursday 48 00:02:34,480 --> 00:02:39,399 Speaker 3: picked out. Let's start with Wednesday. Here, here's the through 49 00:02:39,480 --> 00:02:42,760 Speaker 3: all of these Yeah, yeah, I don't know, they just rest. 50 00:02:42,560 --> 00:02:43,840 Speaker 1: Options for yeah. 51 00:02:43,840 --> 00:02:47,000 Speaker 3: Here are the op friends, man, Kai, here are the options. 52 00:02:47,919 --> 00:02:50,160 Speaker 3: Here's a yeah. So we're basically printing a filter for you, guys. 53 00:02:50,200 --> 00:02:52,760 Speaker 3: So we're gonna hear the four best we think are Wednesday, 54 00:02:52,800 --> 00:02:54,880 Speaker 3: and then the six or five or six best on Thursday. 55 00:02:55,520 --> 00:02:58,600 Speaker 3: We have Southern Illinois at Northern Iowa, Georgetown at De 56 00:02:58,760 --> 00:03:04,280 Speaker 3: Paul Could at Fairfield, and George Washington at UMass Kai. 57 00:03:04,520 --> 00:03:08,080 Speaker 2: Of those four any sticking for you? You know, I'm 58 00:03:08,120 --> 00:03:11,760 Speaker 2: not focused too much on the Wednesday sleep guys. I 59 00:03:11,880 --> 00:03:14,880 Speaker 2: have two on Thursday. I'm looking at I like the options. 60 00:03:15,200 --> 00:03:17,840 Speaker 2: Si U certainly is a team that catches my eye 61 00:03:17,880 --> 00:03:22,280 Speaker 2: because the valley is kind of a toss up in 62 00:03:22,280 --> 00:03:23,840 Speaker 2: a lot of these games. A lot of these teams 63 00:03:23,840 --> 00:03:27,720 Speaker 2: are pretty similar in talent and in home court. While 64 00:03:27,760 --> 00:03:30,480 Speaker 2: it's been strong this year, probably shouldn't be. There's not 65 00:03:30,600 --> 00:03:32,600 Speaker 2: much travel in the Midwest, so I kind of like 66 00:03:32,639 --> 00:03:34,560 Speaker 2: the Lukies here, Jim, and then of course it would 67 00:03:34,560 --> 00:03:37,480 Speaker 2: be so to Paul to drop a game of Georgetown 68 00:03:39,000 --> 00:03:39,280 Speaker 2: the year. 69 00:03:40,040 --> 00:03:42,760 Speaker 3: Sorry, I never said I'd love Georgetown anything, but Jim, 70 00:03:42,920 --> 00:03:44,720 Speaker 3: I think I love Georgetown here. 71 00:03:45,280 --> 00:03:47,160 Speaker 1: I think there's gonna be value on them, that's for sure. 72 00:03:47,520 --> 00:03:49,640 Speaker 1: Javon Freeman Liberty is still starting to get back from 73 00:03:49,680 --> 00:03:52,160 Speaker 1: mcgroin injury. I kind of doubt they forced him back 74 00:03:52,280 --> 00:03:56,720 Speaker 1: for a winless Georgetown team at home. Kembom has a ten. 75 00:03:56,880 --> 00:03:59,520 Speaker 1: I mean, geez, that's going to be decent value. I 76 00:03:59,600 --> 00:04:02,400 Speaker 1: think it's auld likely attract me, So you're going to 77 00:04:02,480 --> 00:04:04,280 Speaker 1: have a lot of back and forth, some high variance 78 00:04:04,320 --> 00:04:07,360 Speaker 1: in it. That was good to Kai's point in Southern Illinois. 79 00:04:07,520 --> 00:04:09,880 Speaker 1: Just to circle back on that, Northern I was coming 80 00:04:09,920 --> 00:04:12,840 Speaker 1: off an OT win over Drake and their look ahead 81 00:04:12,840 --> 00:04:16,000 Speaker 1: spot is loyal to Chicago. Like that's the ultimate sandwich. 82 00:04:16,520 --> 00:04:20,280 Speaker 1: Two best teams featuring an overtime game. I think that's 83 00:04:20,600 --> 00:04:23,040 Speaker 1: a pretty good look too, to be quite honest. Honestly, 84 00:04:23,279 --> 00:04:26,560 Speaker 1: the one I like least here is Fairfield, a typical 85 00:04:26,600 --> 00:04:29,200 Speaker 1: punching bag for us in this section. I actually think 86 00:04:29,240 --> 00:04:31,480 Speaker 1: they do get the win over Quinnipiac, so not going 87 00:04:31,520 --> 00:04:32,280 Speaker 1: to endorse that one. 88 00:04:32,680 --> 00:04:35,760 Speaker 3: Yeah, I'd be crazy to see Fairfield laying seven points, 89 00:04:35,760 --> 00:04:37,880 Speaker 3: which what ken palm has it given that they are 90 00:04:38,400 --> 00:04:40,880 Speaker 3: of what a few games below Quinnipiac and the standings, 91 00:04:40,920 --> 00:04:44,080 Speaker 3: and I just personally think Quinnipiac is as good as Fairfield. 92 00:04:44,560 --> 00:04:46,120 Speaker 1: But so you're going to bet it, you're going to 93 00:04:46,160 --> 00:04:46,880 Speaker 1: take the plus seven. 94 00:04:47,000 --> 00:04:50,080 Speaker 3: I will take the seven. When Vegas offers me points, 95 00:04:50,120 --> 00:04:51,680 Speaker 3: I usually like to take a gym, so I'm not 96 00:04:51,720 --> 00:04:54,040 Speaker 3: going to say full on live dog here. In general, 97 00:04:54,080 --> 00:04:56,240 Speaker 3: We've said this before, the roadmack teams are pretty good 98 00:04:56,240 --> 00:04:57,920 Speaker 3: bets generally, So if you like a road team in 99 00:04:57,920 --> 00:05:02,040 Speaker 3: the NAAC, pretty to wage both live, both as a 100 00:05:02,080 --> 00:05:04,839 Speaker 3: money line and as just against the spread. 101 00:05:04,880 --> 00:05:05,080 Speaker 1: Pick. 102 00:05:05,480 --> 00:05:12,880 Speaker 3: I love George Washington. Don't look now, but my colonials 103 00:05:13,000 --> 00:05:16,599 Speaker 3: have covered five straight. It seems like Jamie and Christian 104 00:05:16,640 --> 00:05:19,160 Speaker 3: has finally found something with his rotation, playing a little 105 00:05:19,160 --> 00:05:22,239 Speaker 3: bit smaller. Just got Ricky Lindo back recently, the former 106 00:05:22,279 --> 00:05:25,120 Speaker 3: top one hundred recruit from Maryland. He's a defensive stalwart 107 00:05:25,520 --> 00:05:27,160 Speaker 3: and that really doesn't do much for the offense. I 108 00:05:27,279 --> 00:05:29,920 Speaker 3: just like that team and they're playing freaking UMass. Who 109 00:05:30,040 --> 00:05:31,600 Speaker 3: is going to roll out of red carpet to the 110 00:05:31,680 --> 00:05:33,320 Speaker 3: rim and just say, hey, come come run on three 111 00:05:33,320 --> 00:05:37,760 Speaker 3: here guys layups. Yeah, we'll be in abundance. So one 112 00:05:37,839 --> 00:05:40,200 Speaker 3: for me within the Wednesday pack, let's go to Thursday. 113 00:05:41,279 --> 00:05:45,440 Speaker 3: We got six here lined up. Washington State hosting Arizona. Interesting, 114 00:05:45,640 --> 00:05:49,120 Speaker 3: Pack twelve showdown to the Wildcats sleep as they head 115 00:05:49,200 --> 00:05:52,240 Speaker 3: up to the pack Northwest, Morehead up Belmont. I think 116 00:05:52,279 --> 00:05:54,440 Speaker 3: the answer is now with you, Kai Morehead of Hey, 117 00:05:54,440 --> 00:05:56,080 Speaker 3: we're just giving the options, given the options, We're a 118 00:05:56,120 --> 00:05:59,960 Speaker 3: filter again, We're a filter. First. Morehead goes to Bellmont. 119 00:06:00,080 --> 00:06:04,400 Speaker 3: That's a little possible revenge for the Bruins. Mercer travels 120 00:06:04,440 --> 00:06:08,680 Speaker 3: to VMI. USC Upstate travels to Longwood, who is maybe 121 00:06:08,720 --> 00:06:10,800 Speaker 3: the best team in college basketball right now. Question Mark 122 00:06:12,120 --> 00:06:16,040 Speaker 3: Mount Saint Mary's goes to Wagner to face a Elijah 123 00:06:16,160 --> 00:06:19,320 Speaker 3: Ford less Seahawks team. A little bit scary, especially for 124 00:06:19,400 --> 00:06:23,000 Speaker 3: those of us who owned Wagner conference title futures. And 125 00:06:23,080 --> 00:06:27,359 Speaker 3: that's a kid's jim of the bunch. Pick pick multiple, 126 00:06:27,560 --> 00:06:28,760 Speaker 3: pick all of them, pick none. 127 00:06:29,400 --> 00:06:31,279 Speaker 1: Yeah. Well, so I went with three on Wednesday. I'm 128 00:06:31,279 --> 00:06:32,920 Speaker 1: going to keep it simple here. I'm only going with 129 00:06:33,040 --> 00:06:35,880 Speaker 1: one from this group, and it is Upstate USC Upstate. 130 00:06:35,920 --> 00:06:37,520 Speaker 1: I know you said Longwood might be the best team 131 00:06:37,520 --> 00:06:41,200 Speaker 1: in college basketball. They almost lost at Charleston Southern, who 132 00:06:41,320 --> 00:06:43,760 Speaker 1: is the dregs of that league. Upstate has been on 133 00:06:43,880 --> 00:06:46,719 Speaker 1: a tear, just like Longwood, so I don't think they're 134 00:06:46,760 --> 00:06:50,240 Speaker 1: going to be out current formed if you will. Yeah, 135 00:06:50,360 --> 00:06:53,640 Speaker 1: and Longwood has some injury issues. They were missing Hill 136 00:06:53,880 --> 00:06:56,279 Speaker 1: and the big man whose name I shall not even 137 00:06:56,320 --> 00:07:01,640 Speaker 1: try to pronounce Leslie first Lesley n yep. I think 138 00:07:01,880 --> 00:07:04,520 Speaker 1: that without those two they're very mortal, as they showed 139 00:07:04,520 --> 00:07:06,800 Speaker 1: against Charleston Southern. There's a chance they're both back, so 140 00:07:07,120 --> 00:07:10,000 Speaker 1: you know, it's not like an automatic hit the hammer here. 141 00:07:10,040 --> 00:07:13,280 Speaker 1: But I don't think Longwood's going undefeated in the Big South. 142 00:07:13,440 --> 00:07:15,840 Speaker 1: And Upstate is a feisty team. They've got a better 143 00:07:16,080 --> 00:07:19,240 Speaker 1: point guard if Hills has his injury issues, so I'm 144 00:07:19,240 --> 00:07:21,080 Speaker 1: gonna I'm gonna say Upstate would be my pick of 145 00:07:21,120 --> 00:07:21,440 Speaker 1: that group. 146 00:07:21,840 --> 00:07:24,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, Hill's huge there, and if he's out kind of 147 00:07:24,880 --> 00:07:26,720 Speaker 2: maybe you have to lean the under as well, because 148 00:07:27,440 --> 00:07:29,240 Speaker 2: this guy could win Big South Player of the Year. 149 00:07:29,280 --> 00:07:32,240 Speaker 2: He's that good for them. But Matt, I'm going with 150 00:07:32,720 --> 00:07:37,680 Speaker 2: Mercer of the group here. They they should have beaten Chattanooga. 151 00:07:37,760 --> 00:07:40,920 Speaker 2: It was a crazy, crazy finish that game. They led 152 00:07:40,920 --> 00:07:44,720 Speaker 2: the entire way, end up losing in dramatic fashion and overtime. 153 00:07:45,320 --> 00:07:48,120 Speaker 2: The plus six and the Rodicans VM either getting healthier Alvarez, 154 00:07:48,680 --> 00:07:50,400 Speaker 2: their point guard, is still not one hundred percent, but 155 00:07:50,440 --> 00:07:51,880 Speaker 2: at least he's back in the line up getting some 156 00:07:52,000 --> 00:07:55,559 Speaker 2: reps like Mercer there. And also you mentioned the ANEC 157 00:07:55,680 --> 00:07:58,480 Speaker 2: future we have in Wagner. It's probably a good time 158 00:07:58,520 --> 00:08:00,640 Speaker 2: to sprinkle the money line of Mount Saint Mars, a 159 00:08:00,760 --> 00:08:03,800 Speaker 2: team that is no slouch by any means in this conference, 160 00:08:04,280 --> 00:08:06,600 Speaker 2: one that should have been Brian for sure, excuse me, 161 00:08:07,040 --> 00:08:09,880 Speaker 2: and one that could beat Wagner, especially an eleven point dog. 162 00:08:10,560 --> 00:08:12,200 Speaker 2: The value screaming there. 163 00:08:12,520 --> 00:08:14,480 Speaker 1: We tried to get this hedge in last week Matt 164 00:08:14,520 --> 00:08:17,000 Speaker 1: with the LU against Wagner, YEP, and it didn't work 165 00:08:17,040 --> 00:08:20,600 Speaker 1: out at all. Wagner actually has some depth. They're they're 166 00:08:20,640 --> 00:08:23,200 Speaker 1: one of the deepest teams in the entire NEC. The 167 00:08:23,320 --> 00:08:25,760 Speaker 1: roster composition kind of shifts with Price in a well 168 00:08:25,960 --> 00:08:28,200 Speaker 1: likely taking over that four spot, or they go smaller. 169 00:08:28,320 --> 00:08:30,800 Speaker 1: I know a lot of the really smart ANC guys 170 00:08:30,840 --> 00:08:34,079 Speaker 1: we were following were discussing that as well, So I 171 00:08:34,160 --> 00:08:36,520 Speaker 1: don't think they like fall off a cliff without four, 172 00:08:36,600 --> 00:08:39,840 Speaker 1: but he is, he is vital, and maybe first game 173 00:08:39,920 --> 00:08:42,480 Speaker 1: without him, they're trying to figure things out and taking 174 00:08:42,520 --> 00:08:44,280 Speaker 1: on a mounta team I think is up one hundred 175 00:08:44,320 --> 00:08:47,439 Speaker 1: spots in Haslo metrics over the past month or so. 176 00:08:47,640 --> 00:08:50,960 Speaker 3: They're certain they've won, I believe, but four of their 177 00:08:51,040 --> 00:08:55,040 Speaker 3: last I'm sorry, six to the last seven and nearly 178 00:08:55,160 --> 00:08:57,160 Speaker 3: just be Brian, And I think Brian, at this point 179 00:08:57,200 --> 00:08:59,000 Speaker 3: in the season, as much as it pains me to say, 180 00:08:59,080 --> 00:09:00,720 Speaker 3: is actually better than Wagon, I just think the way 181 00:09:00,760 --> 00:09:04,600 Speaker 3: they're playing is insane. And that's again assuming all team, 182 00:09:04,720 --> 00:09:07,240 Speaker 3: or given both teams are fully healthy, I would take 183 00:09:07,320 --> 00:09:10,120 Speaker 3: Bryant's on a neutral Now, in this case, you're actually 184 00:09:10,160 --> 00:09:13,280 Speaker 3: getting another notch in your in your belt with Elijah 185 00:09:13,360 --> 00:09:15,560 Speaker 3: Ford being out. If you're looking at Mount, which I am, 186 00:09:15,720 --> 00:09:18,400 Speaker 3: this is my favorite of the bunch here. Plus eleven 187 00:09:18,559 --> 00:09:22,920 Speaker 3: equates to what roughly plus six hundred, sorry, plus five 188 00:09:23,000 --> 00:09:24,760 Speaker 3: hundred plus four fifty on the money line, depending on 189 00:09:24,840 --> 00:09:29,400 Speaker 3: how kind the oddsmakers are with those straddles that low. 190 00:09:29,800 --> 00:09:31,640 Speaker 3: Let me see, I'm doing a little quick conversion here. 191 00:09:32,120 --> 00:09:35,640 Speaker 2: Well, yeah, no, it should be like four fifty plus 192 00:09:35,720 --> 00:09:36,800 Speaker 2: five sounds about right. 193 00:09:38,440 --> 00:09:39,880 Speaker 3: I think it's a pretty good price. Yeah, I think 194 00:09:39,960 --> 00:09:42,880 Speaker 3: of the of these options, I think that's the best price. 195 00:09:43,000 --> 00:09:45,439 Speaker 3: I think Mercer's a decent play as well. Smack vm 196 00:09:45,480 --> 00:09:47,360 Speaker 3: I at home in the first time. I think both 197 00:09:47,400 --> 00:09:50,800 Speaker 3: teams hit like a combined thirty four threes. So general, 198 00:09:51,200 --> 00:09:52,880 Speaker 3: you know it's gonna play like a high variance game, 199 00:09:52,920 --> 00:09:54,400 Speaker 3: and those are typically the ones you want to circle 200 00:09:54,440 --> 00:09:57,720 Speaker 3: for these money line dogs. All right, we're gonna skip 201 00:09:57,800 --> 00:10:00,120 Speaker 3: Friday Saturday. We'll leave that for Stuckey and Co. Are 202 00:10:00,360 --> 00:10:02,840 Speaker 3: overlords the A team while the B team scraps up 203 00:10:02,880 --> 00:10:06,959 Speaker 3: the Wednesday Thursday Slate quick recap, Jim your official plays. 204 00:10:07,000 --> 00:10:08,679 Speaker 3: So we're not gonna sound wishy washed. People need the 205 00:10:08,679 --> 00:10:10,440 Speaker 3: holest accountable as they track our records. 206 00:10:10,480 --> 00:10:14,040 Speaker 1: What are you taking Wednesday? I've got Southern Illinois, Georgetown 207 00:10:14,120 --> 00:10:17,559 Speaker 1: and George Washington holding hands with my George fellows. And 208 00:10:17,600 --> 00:10:19,439 Speaker 1: then Thursday, I've got USC Upstate. 209 00:10:19,559 --> 00:10:21,800 Speaker 2: That would be my four pack this week, Kai, you 210 00:10:21,920 --> 00:10:26,400 Speaker 2: have two yes, an alliterative too. On Thursday Mercer and 211 00:10:26,640 --> 00:10:27,760 Speaker 2: Mount St. Mary's. 212 00:10:28,840 --> 00:10:32,120 Speaker 3: I'm going g dub George Washington Mount Saint Mary's and 213 00:10:32,200 --> 00:10:34,640 Speaker 3: I ended up scrapping Mercer because I'm soft and I'm 214 00:10:34,640 --> 00:10:37,240 Speaker 3: trying to be your selective so you are too, Hello, 215 00:10:38,360 --> 00:10:42,319 Speaker 3: downy soft. Indeed, uh, let's go to teams that are 216 00:10:42,480 --> 00:10:45,719 Speaker 3: also soft and at the potential mercy of being blown out. 217 00:10:45,800 --> 00:10:53,199 Speaker 3: As we hit blowout City last week again, another tough 218 00:10:53,240 --> 00:10:55,520 Speaker 3: week for this section. I'll echo it one more time. 219 00:10:55,760 --> 00:10:57,880 Speaker 3: I just think it's hard to beat crap teams by 220 00:10:57,880 --> 00:11:01,560 Speaker 3: a lot of conference play. We call out Kolier playing Bucknell. 221 00:11:02,400 --> 00:11:04,319 Speaker 3: They won by fourteen, which actually was not enough to 222 00:11:04,400 --> 00:11:06,520 Speaker 3: cover the spread. I think we thought that was going 223 00:11:06,600 --> 00:11:10,640 Speaker 3: to be a bloodbath. It was not. Some familiar faces 224 00:11:10,679 --> 00:11:13,000 Speaker 3: appear in our pool of options to pick from in 225 00:11:13,080 --> 00:11:14,640 Speaker 3: this group here iep Ui. 226 00:11:16,280 --> 00:11:18,480 Speaker 1: This might need to be renamed after them. 227 00:11:19,240 --> 00:11:21,400 Speaker 3: Just it's just their own section now. Because Eastern Illinois, 228 00:11:21,440 --> 00:11:23,000 Speaker 3: while they didn't cover the last game, was cover three 229 00:11:23,000 --> 00:11:26,920 Speaker 3: of the last four, so they've risen out of the muck. 230 00:11:27,880 --> 00:11:32,319 Speaker 3: And this important note from the IPUI official school Twitter. 231 00:11:32,520 --> 00:11:35,640 Speaker 3: They're seeking open tryouts because they basically have what six 232 00:11:35,720 --> 00:11:38,599 Speaker 3: players right now. The Jaguars, given their injuries and just 233 00:11:38,800 --> 00:11:40,720 Speaker 3: utter incompetence. 234 00:11:40,240 --> 00:11:42,240 Speaker 1: People enter a couple of guys entered the portal, like 235 00:11:42,520 --> 00:11:45,960 Speaker 1: this team is early a Division one basketball team right now. 236 00:11:46,040 --> 00:11:49,400 Speaker 1: Like there's a real chance that somebody sitting next to 237 00:11:49,440 --> 00:11:51,120 Speaker 1: you in chemistry class is going to be playing for 238 00:11:51,160 --> 00:11:54,880 Speaker 1: the Jaguars in their next couple of games. So I 239 00:11:54,920 --> 00:11:56,840 Speaker 1: think they're going to need to be a permanent fixture here. 240 00:11:57,120 --> 00:12:00,959 Speaker 2: I think they could finish winless against the competition in 241 00:12:01,040 --> 00:12:01,679 Speaker 2: the Horizon. 242 00:12:01,920 --> 00:12:04,120 Speaker 3: It's not even like it's a decent league. It's kind 243 00:12:04,120 --> 00:12:04,880 Speaker 3: of a bad league. 244 00:12:05,160 --> 00:12:08,040 Speaker 2: They're to nineteen right now against D one. They've scored 245 00:12:08,160 --> 00:12:12,000 Speaker 2: over sixty points one time against D one competition. They've 246 00:12:12,080 --> 00:12:16,640 Speaker 2: played only three games over sixty five possessions, which frankly 247 00:12:16,640 --> 00:12:18,600 Speaker 2: doesn't matter. They can still lose by twenty two per 248 00:12:18,679 --> 00:12:21,360 Speaker 2: due fort Wayne, and I think they will. Yeah. 249 00:12:21,360 --> 00:12:22,880 Speaker 3: I like the Dons. I'm a big fan of pretty 250 00:12:22,880 --> 00:12:24,560 Speaker 3: four wing team. They got what four guards that can 251 00:12:24,640 --> 00:12:27,199 Speaker 3: make shots. A little bit soft up front, but it's 252 00:12:27,240 --> 00:12:28,400 Speaker 3: ip Ui they're gonna have. 253 00:12:29,000 --> 00:12:31,480 Speaker 1: IPI hasn't scored sixty against I think that maybe one 254 00:12:31,559 --> 00:12:35,880 Speaker 1: Division one game if you guys U S and Mega 255 00:12:36,080 --> 00:12:36,800 Speaker 1: short handed back. 256 00:12:36,880 --> 00:12:38,360 Speaker 3: Yeah, they only had like six and a half guys too. 257 00:12:38,400 --> 00:12:40,280 Speaker 3: They've been shorthanded the last two years. It feels like 258 00:12:40,480 --> 00:12:43,160 Speaker 3: I just can't believe. I mean, minus twenty is like 259 00:12:43,200 --> 00:12:44,680 Speaker 3: camp Palm has it as we'll see what the odds 260 00:12:44,760 --> 00:12:48,360 Speaker 3: makers how close they mimic that while for a conference 261 00:12:48,440 --> 00:12:50,280 Speaker 3: game the other one here a Jimmy you pointed out 262 00:12:50,360 --> 00:12:54,560 Speaker 3: Chattanooga hosting Western Carolina. Western Carolina is the most erratic 263 00:12:54,600 --> 00:12:56,480 Speaker 3: team in the country. I can't figure them out. When 264 00:12:56,480 --> 00:12:59,120 Speaker 3: they're hot from three, they can beat anyone, and they 265 00:12:59,160 --> 00:13:01,840 Speaker 3: did beat Chattanooga in their first meeting. Guy, I think 266 00:13:01,880 --> 00:13:04,559 Speaker 3: Chattannuga remembers that and will not take kindly to that. 267 00:13:04,920 --> 00:13:07,800 Speaker 3: And Western Carolina can also lose by forty, and this 268 00:13:07,920 --> 00:13:08,920 Speaker 3: is probably the spot they do it. 269 00:13:09,160 --> 00:13:11,120 Speaker 1: I like NUGA. I think that the fact that they 270 00:13:11,320 --> 00:13:14,640 Speaker 1: underscore me lost in that von Terius Wolbright might be 271 00:13:14,679 --> 00:13:18,480 Speaker 1: out for Western Carolina. They just by like fifteen, and 272 00:13:18,600 --> 00:13:21,040 Speaker 1: it was more like twenty five to UNC Greensboro, and 273 00:13:21,120 --> 00:13:23,920 Speaker 1: that was at Western Carolina, and Greensboro is a bad favorite. 274 00:13:24,679 --> 00:13:28,319 Speaker 1: Nuga's got lethal guards and a much better offense. And 275 00:13:28,679 --> 00:13:31,200 Speaker 1: again this is a motivated favorite that is like, Wow, 276 00:13:31,240 --> 00:13:33,560 Speaker 1: this team embarrassed us. We need to show them up. 277 00:13:33,840 --> 00:13:34,760 Speaker 1: So I like that angle. 278 00:13:35,040 --> 00:13:37,320 Speaker 2: Yeah, I had a little scare against Mercer too in overtime, 279 00:13:37,440 --> 00:13:38,920 Speaker 2: so you know you're off that game. 280 00:13:39,120 --> 00:13:41,480 Speaker 1: And that's the worry. I guess that over time, maybe 281 00:13:41,520 --> 00:13:42,000 Speaker 1: warm down. 282 00:13:42,120 --> 00:13:45,199 Speaker 2: But yeah, that first game, it's Western Carolina, so wolbright 283 00:13:45,320 --> 00:13:49,120 Speaker 2: is very important for the Catamounts, one of their best scorers. 284 00:13:49,320 --> 00:13:51,959 Speaker 2: And then David John Baptiste was not playing that game 285 00:13:52,000 --> 00:13:55,760 Speaker 2: for Chattanooga. He's fantastic and Nuga was four for twenty 286 00:13:55,840 --> 00:13:58,720 Speaker 2: five from three that game. There's lots of like about 287 00:13:58,760 --> 00:14:01,960 Speaker 2: them bouncing back here now where Western Carolina has been 288 00:14:02,120 --> 00:14:05,199 Speaker 2: scrappy still even without Wolbride, they've covered a few games 289 00:14:05,440 --> 00:14:07,840 Speaker 2: in nineteen Matt, that's a lot of points. That's big. 290 00:14:08,400 --> 00:14:10,600 Speaker 3: Yep, it's big. Everything sets off for a blow out here. 291 00:14:10,640 --> 00:14:12,319 Speaker 3: I just think it's too high, So I won't be 292 00:14:12,440 --> 00:14:15,640 Speaker 3: officially endorsing Western Carolina. I think Purdue Fort Wayne as 293 00:14:15,720 --> 00:14:18,160 Speaker 3: much as I again hate back in large favorites and 294 00:14:18,200 --> 00:14:22,800 Speaker 3: conference play, iepu, I just get back to Stucke's phenomenal 295 00:14:23,480 --> 00:14:25,920 Speaker 3: idiom trying to catch a falling night. This is basically 296 00:14:26,000 --> 00:14:28,800 Speaker 3: like a shower of daggers falling on you and you're 297 00:14:28,840 --> 00:14:31,280 Speaker 3: trying to somehow shield yourself from them. So yeah, continue 298 00:14:31,320 --> 00:14:35,560 Speaker 3: to ride that or fade that dumpster fire. All right, 299 00:14:35,680 --> 00:14:38,840 Speaker 3: next section, let's talk some big time matchups. The Power 300 00:14:38,960 --> 00:14:42,680 Speaker 3: Games plural of the week. Wednesday Thursday. We got a 301 00:14:42,720 --> 00:14:47,880 Speaker 3: two for each. Wednesday, Texas Tech heads to Oklahoma. In Houston, 302 00:14:48,160 --> 00:14:52,680 Speaker 3: the invincible yet wounded AC Juggernaut heads to SMU. A 303 00:14:52,800 --> 00:14:57,520 Speaker 3: dicey spot there for the Cougars. Let's pause there. I 304 00:14:57,600 --> 00:14:59,920 Speaker 3: am fascinated by this Houston SMU line. 305 00:15:00,120 --> 00:15:00,280 Speaker 2: Jim. 306 00:15:00,360 --> 00:15:03,560 Speaker 3: We love the Ponies, they're playing better, but Houston, no 307 00:15:03,680 --> 00:15:06,120 Speaker 3: matter how many times you say, God, okay, Houston really 308 00:15:06,200 --> 00:15:08,720 Speaker 3: be laying X number of points with X, Y and 309 00:15:08,840 --> 00:15:12,080 Speaker 3: Z out the lineup against why team, they still cover it. 310 00:15:12,200 --> 00:15:14,520 Speaker 3: So I'm touring this game. Kempom hasn't mind us say 311 00:15:14,560 --> 00:15:15,200 Speaker 3: what are you looking at? 312 00:15:16,160 --> 00:15:18,240 Speaker 1: Yeah, So this is one of the rare instances where 313 00:15:18,280 --> 00:15:20,640 Speaker 1: we're recording this on Tuesday, and there actually are some 314 00:15:20,720 --> 00:15:23,120 Speaker 1: Wednesday lines out, so we can actually kind of take 315 00:15:23,280 --> 00:15:27,040 Speaker 1: a quick peek forward. This one is six at actual books, 316 00:15:27,080 --> 00:15:28,960 Speaker 1: six six and a half. Okay, so that feels a 317 00:15:28,960 --> 00:15:32,480 Speaker 1: little more properly more reasonable. I was going to ask you, guys, 318 00:15:32,600 --> 00:15:34,360 Speaker 1: and kaya I'll kick it to you do you think 319 00:15:34,400 --> 00:15:36,240 Speaker 1: this should have been in Live Dog of the Week, Like, 320 00:15:36,400 --> 00:15:39,360 Speaker 1: is this where SMU makes their stand for an NCAA 321 00:15:39,520 --> 00:15:42,760 Speaker 1: tournament bid? Is this finally the time Houston loses an 322 00:15:42,800 --> 00:15:45,240 Speaker 1: American game? Are they really going to go undefeated in 323 00:15:45,280 --> 00:15:48,000 Speaker 1: the league the Ponies at home? Like this is the 324 00:15:48,200 --> 00:15:51,880 Speaker 1: toughest league game that SMU or that Houston will play, 325 00:15:52,000 --> 00:15:54,960 Speaker 1: unless you think Memphis is really getting its shit together, 326 00:15:55,040 --> 00:15:56,320 Speaker 1: which is debatable. 327 00:15:57,040 --> 00:16:00,800 Speaker 2: So I don't know, man, I kind of like SMU here, Yeah, 328 00:16:00,880 --> 00:16:02,800 Speaker 2: I mean I kind of do. But then they went 329 00:16:02,840 --> 00:16:06,040 Speaker 2: and lost by fifteen to Wichita State. Like SMU is 330 00:16:06,480 --> 00:16:08,520 Speaker 2: very much outside looking in right now if they don't 331 00:16:08,560 --> 00:16:10,560 Speaker 2: have many good wins, if at all. So yeah, this 332 00:16:10,720 --> 00:16:12,920 Speaker 2: this would have been a home run for them, home 333 00:16:13,000 --> 00:16:15,880 Speaker 2: run spot. But why fee Houston there? I think they're 334 00:16:15,920 --> 00:16:18,120 Speaker 2: four and one against the spread last five, Like, there's 335 00:16:18,160 --> 00:16:22,040 Speaker 2: no sign of this team slowing down despite the injuries. 336 00:16:22,120 --> 00:16:25,280 Speaker 2: They have the number one offense in the conference, despite 337 00:16:25,680 --> 00:16:28,640 Speaker 2: sass are not playing the entire slate. It's it's crazy. 338 00:16:28,680 --> 00:16:30,880 Speaker 2: They're awesome team. I don't want to step in front 339 00:16:30,880 --> 00:16:31,880 Speaker 2: of it. I don't know. 340 00:16:31,960 --> 00:16:33,600 Speaker 3: I'm torn. All right, let's go to Thursday. 341 00:16:33,760 --> 00:16:37,560 Speaker 1: I want to ride Tech Ocahoma, Texo. Oh yeah, a 342 00:16:38,760 --> 00:16:41,520 Speaker 1: summar situation where it is. It is the bubble team 343 00:16:41,560 --> 00:16:43,240 Speaker 1: needs the big home win against a team that is 344 00:16:43,360 --> 00:16:46,280 Speaker 1: absolutely crushing it. I believe Texas Tech is ten and 345 00:16:46,360 --> 00:16:49,160 Speaker 1: one against the spread in Big Twelve play like it's insane. 346 00:16:49,960 --> 00:16:52,680 Speaker 3: In Oklahoma, I think has been overpriced cut in the 347 00:16:52,760 --> 00:16:56,000 Speaker 3: market in general so far. Let's pull up the ATS 348 00:16:56,080 --> 00:16:58,160 Speaker 3: numbers actually in conference play. I don't believe they've fared 349 00:16:58,200 --> 00:16:58,520 Speaker 3: so well. 350 00:16:59,000 --> 00:17:01,280 Speaker 2: Yeah, I you neede to call that. I mean, we're 351 00:17:01,440 --> 00:17:04,160 Speaker 2: probably lower in Oklahoma. Well you might be higher in Oklahoma. 352 00:17:04,320 --> 00:17:07,280 Speaker 2: I'm lower in Oklahoma in conference play. Oklahoma's four and 353 00:17:07,359 --> 00:17:10,560 Speaker 2: six gets to spread. They still are in the tournament picture, 354 00:17:10,600 --> 00:17:13,480 Speaker 2: believe it or not, despite being three and seven in 355 00:17:13,520 --> 00:17:16,399 Speaker 2: the Big Twelve. But they can't drop anymore. And this 356 00:17:16,560 --> 00:17:18,600 Speaker 2: is a big game for them. It's a big opponent. 357 00:17:18,840 --> 00:17:21,359 Speaker 2: He's gonna be up for it. Four points is short. 358 00:17:21,760 --> 00:17:23,560 Speaker 2: Having said that, Texas Attach really is legit. 359 00:17:23,920 --> 00:17:26,000 Speaker 3: Yeah, coowen three in their last three against the stream. 360 00:17:26,119 --> 00:17:27,960 Speaker 3: The games they did cover was the Kansas game. Of 361 00:17:28,000 --> 00:17:31,159 Speaker 3: course we had Kansas and they barely or that they 362 00:17:31,200 --> 00:17:32,960 Speaker 3: did be West Virginia at home, which I don't know. 363 00:17:33,080 --> 00:17:36,800 Speaker 3: That win doesn't really as road. Well I guess that 364 00:17:37,000 --> 00:17:40,280 Speaker 3: was at Yeah that was in Morgantown, correct, but just 365 00:17:40,280 --> 00:17:42,119 Speaker 3: still that's a good win. Broke right now. It's a 366 00:17:42,160 --> 00:17:43,640 Speaker 3: good win. But I think the West Ends are broken. 367 00:17:43,720 --> 00:17:47,120 Speaker 3: Team Blood just don't think he has the horses same. 368 00:17:47,480 --> 00:17:50,680 Speaker 1: I think Texas Tech continues their they're strong play. The 369 00:17:50,720 --> 00:17:53,560 Speaker 1: fact that they got past that West Virginia game off 370 00:17:53,600 --> 00:17:58,280 Speaker 1: the ultimate emotional letdown after the Texas home crowd hyped 371 00:17:58,320 --> 00:17:59,639 Speaker 1: and you have to go to Morgantown. They still won 372 00:17:59,640 --> 00:18:01,960 Speaker 1: by seven, and I think I think Texas Tech is 373 00:18:01,960 --> 00:18:03,639 Speaker 1: just rolling right now and they continue to do so. 374 00:18:03,840 --> 00:18:08,800 Speaker 3: In Norman Thursday, Big ten Pac twelve first off, Michigan 375 00:18:08,920 --> 00:18:13,200 Speaker 3: hosting Perdue semi quick turnaround. These two teams just played 376 00:18:14,240 --> 00:18:16,880 Speaker 3: last week or so they're playing tonight or they played 377 00:18:16,920 --> 00:18:18,640 Speaker 3: last week, that's right. Yeah, yeah, so a pretty quick 378 00:18:18,640 --> 00:18:21,920 Speaker 3: turnaround here. Pretty won that game, but it was close. 379 00:18:22,040 --> 00:18:25,440 Speaker 3: Michigan competed because they stuck around, they did cover. And 380 00:18:25,520 --> 00:18:28,440 Speaker 3: the second one Arizona at Washington State. We discussed this 381 00:18:28,560 --> 00:18:29,240 Speaker 3: briefly above. 382 00:18:29,960 --> 00:18:32,640 Speaker 1: Yeah you guys, poo poo that as a money Yeah, 383 00:18:32,920 --> 00:18:35,080 Speaker 1: so does that mean you think Arizona crushes. 384 00:18:34,720 --> 00:18:37,239 Speaker 3: Them sounds like Kai, that's the camp you're in, right, 385 00:18:37,359 --> 00:18:38,640 Speaker 3: I mean I think they I think. 386 00:18:38,520 --> 00:18:40,240 Speaker 2: They crush them. I just don't think they lose. I 387 00:18:40,280 --> 00:18:43,000 Speaker 2: don't think Arizona loses this game. I'm not totally convinced 388 00:18:43,040 --> 00:18:45,560 Speaker 2: that Washington State. I think their analytics are higher than 389 00:18:46,200 --> 00:18:48,960 Speaker 2: their true ability right now that you go down the line, 390 00:18:49,000 --> 00:18:52,120 Speaker 2: they their best win this year is Stanford on the road. 391 00:18:52,480 --> 00:18:55,120 Speaker 2: Their second best win is Utah on the road. Those 392 00:18:55,160 --> 00:18:56,920 Speaker 2: are the two best wins of the season. I don't 393 00:18:56,920 --> 00:18:58,160 Speaker 2: think I've seen much of this team. 394 00:18:58,600 --> 00:19:01,960 Speaker 3: Yeah, here's why Washington State take they're playing better lately. 395 00:19:02,040 --> 00:19:03,840 Speaker 3: It's kind of like Saint Mary's where they haven't really 396 00:19:03,880 --> 00:19:06,240 Speaker 3: like beating anyone that's special in like the last two weeks. 397 00:19:06,280 --> 00:19:11,240 Speaker 3: But they've continually outpaced odds makers and analytics score projection, 398 00:19:11,359 --> 00:19:13,280 Speaker 3: so they keep kind of climbing, and thus their value 399 00:19:13,400 --> 00:19:15,840 Speaker 3: is a little inflated. I would like to be catching 400 00:19:15,880 --> 00:19:18,280 Speaker 3: closer to like seven or eight, just given how much 401 00:19:18,320 --> 00:19:22,000 Speaker 3: Arizona scares me. I watched that Arizona State game last night, 402 00:19:22,200 --> 00:19:25,320 Speaker 3: was like Jesus, I mean, Arizona State was playing inspired 403 00:19:25,359 --> 00:19:27,880 Speaker 3: basketball for twenty five minutes and it just didn't matter 404 00:19:28,040 --> 00:19:31,720 Speaker 3: on the once Arizona turned it on late. Jim, I 405 00:19:31,800 --> 00:19:34,200 Speaker 3: do think Michigan beats Purdue at home, though, I think 406 00:19:34,240 --> 00:19:36,359 Speaker 3: that's just their game quote unquote. 407 00:19:36,119 --> 00:19:37,480 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean it's going to be a weird spot 408 00:19:37,600 --> 00:19:41,720 Speaker 1: for Purdue. They're going to be coming off playing at home, 409 00:19:42,320 --> 00:19:45,560 Speaker 1: which will be a big get up spot, and they're 410 00:19:45,560 --> 00:19:48,320 Speaker 1: still working on the potential Big Ten title. But it's 411 00:19:48,320 --> 00:19:51,480 Speaker 1: such a gauntlet, man, Like, they could have four losses 412 00:19:51,560 --> 00:19:54,119 Speaker 1: and it might be a little bit out of that picture, 413 00:19:54,200 --> 00:19:56,680 Speaker 1: but that old everybody in that race is going to 414 00:19:56,720 --> 00:19:58,080 Speaker 1: come back to the crowd. No one in the Big 415 00:19:58,119 --> 00:20:00,399 Speaker 1: Ten is going to run away with it. So yeah, man, 416 00:20:01,280 --> 00:20:04,119 Speaker 1: Michigan is a team that I think we're still waiting 417 00:20:04,200 --> 00:20:06,879 Speaker 1: on seeing the surge and maybe it'll never come, but 418 00:20:07,520 --> 00:20:10,119 Speaker 1: I'm with you, I think it does come eventually. I 419 00:20:10,200 --> 00:20:14,280 Speaker 1: think Arizona blows out Washington State. That's my my stronger 420 00:20:14,400 --> 00:20:17,600 Speaker 1: lean between these two. Six is way too short for 421 00:20:17,680 --> 00:20:20,639 Speaker 1: that team. I think the Wildcats are excellent, and they 422 00:20:20,680 --> 00:20:23,600 Speaker 1: were up twenty six late against Arizona State before the 423 00:20:23,960 --> 00:20:27,040 Speaker 1: back door twelve point win. That's more indicative of the 424 00:20:27,160 --> 00:20:30,040 Speaker 1: quality of the team. So I like the Wildcats. Yeah 425 00:20:30,080 --> 00:20:34,040 Speaker 1: go backus the Michigan point. So, yeah, they lost by six, 426 00:20:34,160 --> 00:20:36,919 Speaker 1: but they're down twelve in the second. I don't think 427 00:20:36,960 --> 00:20:39,520 Speaker 1: they never led that game, pretty kind of controlled. It 428 00:20:39,760 --> 00:20:42,400 Speaker 1: couldn't stop Purdue one point two to six points for possession. 429 00:20:42,400 --> 00:20:43,639 Speaker 1: It's the best offense in the country. 430 00:20:43,720 --> 00:20:46,959 Speaker 2: But Dickinson twenty eight points, like he played very well 431 00:20:47,000 --> 00:20:47,480 Speaker 2: from Michigan. 432 00:20:47,560 --> 00:20:50,240 Speaker 1: They hit a couple of trail threes. He was holding 433 00:20:50,240 --> 00:20:52,040 Speaker 1: the follow through at Macki Arena. 434 00:20:52,400 --> 00:20:54,560 Speaker 2: Now he's if he's shooting threes, I think, I like, 435 00:20:54,640 --> 00:20:56,439 Speaker 2: my chances is mine Purdue because I don't think that's 436 00:20:56,480 --> 00:21:00,760 Speaker 2: sustainable whatsoever. But yeah, Big Ten's weird home is very high. 437 00:21:00,800 --> 00:21:02,760 Speaker 2: Matt so I Michigan could definitely get it done. 438 00:21:04,160 --> 00:21:07,359 Speaker 3: Yeah, Washington State size could maybe pose a problem, not problem, 439 00:21:07,400 --> 00:21:09,200 Speaker 3: but like could be a neutralized to Arizona. But I 440 00:21:09,280 --> 00:21:12,639 Speaker 3: just think they're so damn good they're matchup immune to 441 00:21:12,760 --> 00:21:16,639 Speaker 3: those types of matchup potential deficiencies. Let's talk am in 442 00:21:16,760 --> 00:21:19,520 Speaker 3: majors now, Section five. Here, we got a few on 443 00:21:19,680 --> 00:21:23,399 Speaker 3: tap for Wednesday and Thursday. The big one that we 444 00:21:23,520 --> 00:21:26,200 Speaker 3: didn't probably have pencil does a big game coming into 445 00:21:26,280 --> 00:21:29,439 Speaker 3: the year, but given how well Bradley is playing, my Braves, 446 00:21:30,000 --> 00:21:32,480 Speaker 3: who have quietly snuck inside the top one hundred and 447 00:21:32,640 --> 00:21:38,240 Speaker 3: kempom's analytical rankings, They're hosting Loyola and it's the Braves 448 00:21:38,240 --> 00:21:40,600 Speaker 3: have been so dominant Kai that kempom has this as 449 00:21:40,680 --> 00:21:43,840 Speaker 3: a minus two a short road favorite. Are of the 450 00:21:44,080 --> 00:21:47,080 Speaker 3: Blurs when they head down to Peoria? Is that just 451 00:21:47,160 --> 00:21:49,080 Speaker 3: feel way too low for you? Are you buying into 452 00:21:49,119 --> 00:21:50,439 Speaker 3: this Braves team and stay in a way. 453 00:21:51,000 --> 00:21:53,639 Speaker 2: Bradley's seven to two against the spread last nine games 454 00:21:53,760 --> 00:21:58,840 Speaker 2: they've they've been playing fantastic. I think it's a bit short. 455 00:21:59,080 --> 00:22:01,359 Speaker 2: I think the Bridges are good, but I think this 456 00:22:01,440 --> 00:22:04,920 Speaker 2: Loyal team is very, very very good. Even without Marquis 457 00:22:04,960 --> 00:22:07,520 Speaker 2: Kennedy against Missouri State, as they ended up winning that game, 458 00:22:07,960 --> 00:22:12,399 Speaker 2: they're very impressive. I cannot take Bradley here. I think 459 00:22:12,480 --> 00:22:13,560 Speaker 2: Loyla probably gets it done. 460 00:22:14,000 --> 00:22:16,359 Speaker 1: Yeah, well, I feel like they had their lull. It 461 00:22:16,440 --> 00:22:19,080 Speaker 1: was early in conference play. They had some poor home performances. 462 00:22:19,119 --> 00:22:21,639 Speaker 1: They dropped one to Missouri State, then they lost that 463 00:22:21,760 --> 00:22:25,199 Speaker 1: trake and they seem to have woken up. Illinois State 464 00:22:25,280 --> 00:22:28,920 Speaker 1: performance was solid and then at Missouri State despite like 465 00:22:29,000 --> 00:22:33,320 Speaker 1: a really weird first half, kind of dysfunctional. They end 466 00:22:33,400 --> 00:22:36,359 Speaker 1: up winning by nine down Kennedy. Like you mentioned, I 467 00:22:36,440 --> 00:22:39,119 Speaker 1: think Oil is going to start kind of the ascent 468 00:22:39,240 --> 00:22:40,600 Speaker 1: towards the tournament at this point. 469 00:22:41,320 --> 00:22:46,000 Speaker 3: All right on to Thursday, Long Beach State at Hawaii 470 00:22:47,000 --> 00:22:48,600 Speaker 3: staying out west here. I'm sorry we started to start 471 00:22:48,640 --> 00:22:53,240 Speaker 3: out west. We're heading back east. Mount Saint Mary's at Wagner, 472 00:22:53,680 --> 00:22:55,760 Speaker 3: USC Upstate at Longwood. 473 00:22:56,840 --> 00:22:57,760 Speaker 2: I love me some. 474 00:22:57,880 --> 00:23:00,199 Speaker 3: Bows, baby, No one knows. Everyone knows that I am 475 00:23:00,280 --> 00:23:03,479 Speaker 3: the big, big fan of Hawaii hosting Long Beach at 476 00:23:03,520 --> 00:23:06,280 Speaker 3: home minus four. I like the Bows a lot here. 477 00:23:06,400 --> 00:23:06,640 Speaker 2: I think. 478 00:23:06,760 --> 00:23:08,520 Speaker 3: I think, like I said, every team traveling to the 479 00:23:08,560 --> 00:23:10,840 Speaker 3: island is going to be a disaster for them this season. 480 00:23:10,920 --> 00:23:13,000 Speaker 3: So that's my favorite of this bunch. On Thursday, we 481 00:23:13,040 --> 00:23:15,359 Speaker 3: talked to out Mount Saint Mary's above and U see Upstate. 482 00:23:15,400 --> 00:23:17,040 Speaker 3: Any further thoughts here, gents, No. 483 00:23:17,119 --> 00:23:20,080 Speaker 1: I love Hawaii. Here Beach is playing Fullerton for first 484 00:23:20,119 --> 00:23:22,639 Speaker 1: place on Tuesday, and then they have to go to 485 00:23:22,720 --> 00:23:25,120 Speaker 1: the island forty eight hours later. Good luck. I think 486 00:23:25,160 --> 00:23:26,280 Speaker 1: the Bows smack them. 487 00:23:26,960 --> 00:23:29,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, bose have five days of rest. Long Beach won 488 00:23:30,040 --> 00:23:32,320 Speaker 2: this first game. Excuse me, Hawaii won this first game 489 00:23:32,359 --> 00:23:35,440 Speaker 2: on the road up line of missed that game though, 490 00:23:35,880 --> 00:23:38,760 Speaker 2: and and and I am not really well. I love 491 00:23:38,800 --> 00:23:40,959 Speaker 2: the beach. I don't think they're gonna win at Hawaii. 492 00:23:41,960 --> 00:23:44,640 Speaker 3: We shall see, all right, Hey Saturday, some good ones 493 00:23:44,680 --> 00:23:47,680 Speaker 3: real quick. Chattanooga at Furman Murray State. 494 00:23:48,160 --> 00:23:49,200 Speaker 1: We're too good to ignore? 495 00:23:51,640 --> 00:23:53,160 Speaker 2: Is like you gotta discuss. 496 00:23:53,520 --> 00:23:56,679 Speaker 3: I mean, these are at large teams, but at large caliber. 497 00:23:56,720 --> 00:23:58,600 Speaker 3: I know they have twired. I don't like it. 498 00:23:59,000 --> 00:24:03,120 Speaker 2: What's happened un CG. They've lost to the acronym schools 499 00:24:03,640 --> 00:24:04,200 Speaker 2: back to back. 500 00:24:05,320 --> 00:24:06,640 Speaker 1: Can I hit you with a hot take? 501 00:24:06,880 --> 00:24:08,600 Speaker 3: I have a theory two on Furman, and I don't 502 00:24:08,600 --> 00:24:09,040 Speaker 3: want to say it. 503 00:24:09,119 --> 00:24:11,760 Speaker 1: To go Jim Ferman only has like three good players. 504 00:24:12,480 --> 00:24:15,240 Speaker 1: Like I'm sorry, but I watched that team. Conley Garrison, 505 00:24:15,480 --> 00:24:19,119 Speaker 1: Garrett Heen. Those guys are just bodies. Like Garrison's smart, 506 00:24:19,200 --> 00:24:21,399 Speaker 1: he hits some shots from the corner, but he's not 507 00:24:21,480 --> 00:24:24,840 Speaker 1: making anything happen. It's bothwell, it's Slawson and then Hunter 508 00:24:25,000 --> 00:24:28,000 Speaker 1: is a great four general, and beyond that, it's just guys. 509 00:24:28,400 --> 00:24:30,479 Speaker 1: And so I think that makes them a little vulnerable. 510 00:24:30,520 --> 00:24:31,919 Speaker 1: If one or two of those big three have an 511 00:24:31,960 --> 00:24:34,879 Speaker 1: off night. We've seen it happen a couple times in 512 00:24:34,880 --> 00:24:37,560 Speaker 1: a row. Now that that is that is their vulnerability. 513 00:24:37,560 --> 00:24:40,520 Speaker 1: They're super well coached and those big three are good, 514 00:24:40,600 --> 00:24:44,000 Speaker 1: but that's the concern. Now. They're two games back and 515 00:24:44,119 --> 00:24:47,080 Speaker 1: they need this one against NUGA at home to stay 516 00:24:47,119 --> 00:24:49,359 Speaker 1: in the race. So I actually kind of lean towards 517 00:24:49,440 --> 00:24:52,600 Speaker 1: Erman coming off those poor performances. With this big home 518 00:24:52,680 --> 00:24:55,719 Speaker 1: run spot against the league leader, I think Furman does 519 00:24:55,760 --> 00:24:56,760 Speaker 1: get the win and. 520 00:24:56,840 --> 00:25:00,680 Speaker 2: They're Furman still number one on both offense and defense 521 00:25:00,840 --> 00:25:04,000 Speaker 2: in the SoCon. They clearly have been dominant in this league, 522 00:25:04,000 --> 00:25:05,280 Speaker 2: but they couldn't get it done Matt in the first 523 00:25:05,320 --> 00:25:08,800 Speaker 2: game against Nyuga without David John Baptiste in the lineup, 524 00:25:08,880 --> 00:25:12,680 Speaker 2: Chattanooga still beat them. Last think about though, maybe it's 525 00:25:12,680 --> 00:25:15,720 Speaker 2: a revenge factor here for Furman punchback at NUGA in 526 00:25:15,800 --> 00:25:16,360 Speaker 2: the standings? 527 00:25:16,760 --> 00:25:18,840 Speaker 3: Are you as shocked as I am that Furman's number 528 00:25:18,880 --> 00:25:21,800 Speaker 3: one in the conference in defense and number one in 529 00:25:21,840 --> 00:25:24,000 Speaker 3: about two point percentage defense in block? Right, Like their 530 00:25:24,040 --> 00:25:26,679 Speaker 3: interior defense has been good, which just does not align 531 00:25:26,760 --> 00:25:28,720 Speaker 3: with the eye test. When I watched Ferman right, I 532 00:25:28,800 --> 00:25:31,960 Speaker 3: think amazing he is and he's like more of a 533 00:25:32,400 --> 00:25:34,920 Speaker 3: not a wing but like a hybrid swing guy doesn't 534 00:25:35,000 --> 00:25:36,920 Speaker 3: have like he's not like a vintage rimp protector. But 535 00:25:36,960 --> 00:25:39,280 Speaker 3: he is very athletic and he's very long, so propped 536 00:25:39,280 --> 00:25:42,520 Speaker 3: about Richie Man. He just does absolute the absolute most 537 00:25:42,520 --> 00:25:45,960 Speaker 3: of what he has. Murray stand at Morehead real quick. 538 00:25:46,480 --> 00:25:49,040 Speaker 3: I think Murray wins. I think they just outclass Morehead. 539 00:25:49,680 --> 00:25:52,159 Speaker 3: I know it's a bad spot, but Murray's just amazing. 540 00:25:52,240 --> 00:25:54,960 Speaker 3: Right now, Asham has written about for the Action Network. 541 00:25:55,040 --> 00:25:57,960 Speaker 3: Check it out, Jim your final four. Unfortunately, now that's 542 00:25:58,240 --> 00:26:00,680 Speaker 3: the odds makers right it too, and now there's no value. 543 00:26:01,200 --> 00:26:04,520 Speaker 1: Well, yeah, I wrote it. The piece came out on Tuesday, 544 00:26:05,000 --> 00:26:07,119 Speaker 1: and Murray was two hundred and one Monday night to 545 00:26:07,200 --> 00:26:09,359 Speaker 1: make the final four at win bet. Let's make the 546 00:26:09,359 --> 00:26:11,400 Speaker 1: final four, not win the title. That's pretty good odds 547 00:26:11,440 --> 00:26:14,119 Speaker 1: for a team that has maybe not a certainty of 548 00:26:14,200 --> 00:26:16,800 Speaker 1: making the tournament, but they're really really likely. And it 549 00:26:16,840 --> 00:26:19,720 Speaker 1: was down to fifteen to one by Tuesday afternoon. Draftking's 550 00:26:19,720 --> 00:26:21,119 Speaker 1: still eighty to one though. I think there might be 551 00:26:21,240 --> 00:26:21,960 Speaker 1: some value there. 552 00:26:22,280 --> 00:26:24,800 Speaker 3: Just another reason to have all Action content as a 553 00:26:24,880 --> 00:26:28,200 Speaker 3: push notification alert to your cellular devices. 554 00:26:28,680 --> 00:26:29,040 Speaker 2: All right. 555 00:26:29,400 --> 00:26:32,240 Speaker 3: Section six The trash Man pick of the week, the 556 00:26:32,440 --> 00:26:34,040 Speaker 3: trash man pick of the week. 557 00:26:34,600 --> 00:26:35,680 Speaker 2: I'm the trash man. 558 00:26:36,040 --> 00:26:38,920 Speaker 1: Just throw me the trash, your garbage, and you know it, 559 00:26:39,400 --> 00:26:41,560 Speaker 1: totally unreliable, undependable. 560 00:26:41,600 --> 00:26:43,440 Speaker 2: That's it. You've been told off. How do you like that? 561 00:26:43,840 --> 00:26:47,359 Speaker 3: Gohead man? I hate the section and I'm looking at 562 00:26:47,400 --> 00:26:49,040 Speaker 3: the two teams were about to discuss, and they both 563 00:26:49,119 --> 00:26:53,000 Speaker 3: give me the HEB gbs the potato the They basically 564 00:26:53,040 --> 00:26:55,960 Speaker 3: are two sacks of potatoes. Kai Idaho State at Idaho. 565 00:26:57,000 --> 00:26:59,920 Speaker 3: I think I like Idaho more, even though Idaho was 566 00:27:00,160 --> 00:27:03,200 Speaker 3: my first the team that I used to sort of 567 00:27:03,640 --> 00:27:06,760 Speaker 3: lash out against, But Idaho State has flipped and consumed 568 00:27:06,800 --> 00:27:10,080 Speaker 3: all of my anger recently, just lost by thirty. It's 569 00:27:10,240 --> 00:27:12,159 Speaker 3: or something at home to Montana State. After that, what 570 00:27:12,240 --> 00:27:18,080 Speaker 3: the hell went over? Montana? So kempom has Idaho minus 571 00:27:18,119 --> 00:27:20,520 Speaker 3: seven here? I don't know what are your thoughts? 572 00:27:21,320 --> 00:27:25,000 Speaker 2: That's crazy. I'll be on Idaho State and I know crazy. Yeah, 573 00:27:25,000 --> 00:27:27,720 Speaker 2: I guess yes, Idaho's thirteen seven gets to spread. They've 574 00:27:27,920 --> 00:27:30,200 Speaker 2: they've been good. Ido States five and fourteen. It gets spread. 575 00:27:30,240 --> 00:27:33,240 Speaker 2: They've been terrible. I know State won this first matchup 576 00:27:33,280 --> 00:27:36,840 Speaker 2: by seven, they're up by twenty one. I still think 577 00:27:36,880 --> 00:27:39,760 Speaker 2: they might be better than Idaho. And maybe that's just 578 00:27:39,840 --> 00:27:42,960 Speaker 2: me being stubborn and sticking to preseason way too much. 579 00:27:43,560 --> 00:27:45,800 Speaker 2: But Idaho has not been a favorite of this many 580 00:27:45,840 --> 00:27:48,960 Speaker 2: points in five years. I think they suld be a 581 00:27:49,000 --> 00:27:51,960 Speaker 2: favorite by seven points over anyone. So I'll take the 582 00:27:52,040 --> 00:27:53,080 Speaker 2: value with ISU. 583 00:27:53,400 --> 00:27:56,040 Speaker 1: I think it's you being stubborn. Idaho brought in some 584 00:27:56,119 --> 00:28:00,280 Speaker 1: decent transfer pieces and they've actually my guy. Maybe yeah, 585 00:28:00,880 --> 00:28:04,160 Speaker 1: I just the Idaho State trajectory. I thought maybe after 586 00:28:04,200 --> 00:28:06,480 Speaker 1: the COVID pause went over Montana, okay, we're starting to 587 00:28:06,560 --> 00:28:09,119 Speaker 1: rediscover what we saw last year. And then they just, 588 00:28:09,520 --> 00:28:12,200 Speaker 1: you know, crap down their legs against Montana State. So 589 00:28:12,320 --> 00:28:15,760 Speaker 1: I just they're they're not good. They haven't figured anything out. Sadly, 590 00:28:16,359 --> 00:28:18,160 Speaker 1: I've flushed the toilet on them. 591 00:28:19,000 --> 00:28:22,120 Speaker 3: Kind to your point, Idaho State did get hot late 592 00:28:22,240 --> 00:28:24,720 Speaker 3: last season. Ryan Looney is a coach I think we 593 00:28:25,000 --> 00:28:28,600 Speaker 3: like and continue to reiterate their twelveth in minutes continuity, 594 00:28:28,640 --> 00:28:30,880 Speaker 3: and we're two hundred and sixtieth last year at Ken Palm. 595 00:28:31,400 --> 00:28:35,600 Speaker 1: I don't anymore. I think that has been a horrendous 596 00:28:35,960 --> 00:28:36,800 Speaker 1: coaching performance. 597 00:28:37,119 --> 00:28:39,480 Speaker 3: It's been bad. I just can't. I have a trouble 598 00:28:39,560 --> 00:28:42,080 Speaker 3: wrapping my mind around the fact that there are one 599 00:28:42,120 --> 00:28:45,280 Speaker 3: hundred spots worse with basically the same team. I know 600 00:28:45,360 --> 00:28:48,680 Speaker 3: that Robert Ford must mean he must mean like ten 601 00:28:48,760 --> 00:28:50,360 Speaker 3: points on the handicap line at this. 602 00:28:50,360 --> 00:28:52,719 Speaker 2: Point, I know just can't be a seven point favorite. 603 00:28:52,800 --> 00:28:55,040 Speaker 3: I agree, that's it. That's a fair simple, that's a 604 00:28:55,160 --> 00:28:57,840 Speaker 3: very simple you know, think small win big, as the 605 00:28:57,920 --> 00:29:04,040 Speaker 3: Sharps would say, all right, quick spotlight. Tonight's breakdown is 606 00:29:04,200 --> 00:29:08,120 Speaker 3: a bracketology influenced discussion which I will be mediating between 607 00:29:08,160 --> 00:29:11,400 Speaker 3: you two who are certified experts in this field. Desperate 608 00:29:11,480 --> 00:29:14,440 Speaker 3: bubblers talking about teams who have games lurking this week 609 00:29:15,080 --> 00:29:17,480 Speaker 3: that are on the bubble and we think you should be. 610 00:29:17,480 --> 00:29:17,960 Speaker 1: Aware of them. 611 00:29:18,440 --> 00:29:22,480 Speaker 3: Anecdotally, just the motivational angle seems to play well for 612 00:29:22,600 --> 00:29:24,400 Speaker 3: these teams from it against the spread perspective. We don't 613 00:29:24,400 --> 00:29:26,040 Speaker 3: have any data backing that up. It's tough to go 614 00:29:26,160 --> 00:29:30,880 Speaker 3: back and back test how to can I wanted to ask. 615 00:29:30,760 --> 00:29:33,240 Speaker 1: You guys when I put together, like does this matter 616 00:29:33,360 --> 00:29:36,560 Speaker 1: to you? Is this something you does your handicap. 617 00:29:36,360 --> 00:29:38,040 Speaker 3: And maybe this is something we should like start to 618 00:29:38,080 --> 00:29:40,320 Speaker 3: build the data set now, like we should be tagging 619 00:29:40,400 --> 00:29:42,600 Speaker 3: every game manually and like so in three years you 620 00:29:42,600 --> 00:29:44,360 Speaker 3: can go back and actually see how they performed. But 621 00:29:44,560 --> 00:29:46,880 Speaker 3: to me, it certainly does. And when odds makers are 622 00:29:46,920 --> 00:29:50,520 Speaker 3: making numbers, when the analytic dudes are running their models, 623 00:29:50,560 --> 00:29:52,200 Speaker 3: which is what the odds makers are basically the numbers, 624 00:29:52,280 --> 00:29:54,160 Speaker 3: I know they're not factoring this stuff. The question is, right, 625 00:29:54,200 --> 00:29:56,360 Speaker 3: does it actually matter? I kind of think it does. 626 00:29:56,840 --> 00:30:00,440 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think it would matter more. I have these 627 00:30:00,480 --> 00:30:02,840 Speaker 1: divided into two sections, like it matters more when it's 628 00:30:02,880 --> 00:30:06,640 Speaker 1: a big game, needle mover can push you towards the field, 629 00:30:07,320 --> 00:30:09,360 Speaker 1: but when it's a bubble team, for instance, there I've 630 00:30:09,360 --> 00:30:11,680 Speaker 1: got five listed here in Notre Dame. They're minus not 631 00:30:11,800 --> 00:30:15,400 Speaker 1: over Louisville, Miami, Florida, minus ten over Georgia, Tech, Davidson 632 00:30:15,440 --> 00:30:18,400 Speaker 1: minus eleven over Saint Joe's Florida, minus fourteen over Georgia, 633 00:30:18,480 --> 00:30:19,840 Speaker 1: and San Diego State. 634 00:30:21,200 --> 00:30:22,080 Speaker 2: Road State. 635 00:30:22,200 --> 00:30:25,080 Speaker 1: I think those big those games are almost the ones 636 00:30:25,080 --> 00:30:27,720 Speaker 1: where you look to go against them because they're they're 637 00:30:27,800 --> 00:30:29,720 Speaker 1: not as locked in. They're kind of thinking about the 638 00:30:29,760 --> 00:30:32,600 Speaker 1: bigger opportunities they have in other games. Davidson's been a 639 00:30:32,640 --> 00:30:36,240 Speaker 1: great example of this. They have been not good covering spreads, 640 00:30:36,240 --> 00:30:38,720 Speaker 1: agenst bad teams in a ten play at least recently. 641 00:30:38,960 --> 00:30:41,280 Speaker 1: But when they went to Bonaventure Kai the biggest game 642 00:30:41,840 --> 00:30:44,880 Speaker 1: at least for them, they crushed them, took care of business. 643 00:30:45,640 --> 00:30:48,160 Speaker 3: Also, I think they're also tight too sometimes in these 644 00:30:48,200 --> 00:30:51,360 Speaker 3: big games, like there's almost like some nerdiness that arises. 645 00:30:51,440 --> 00:30:54,520 Speaker 3: They don't the bigger spread games, bigger spread games. Yes, 646 00:30:54,680 --> 00:30:57,440 Speaker 3: so completely agree. Like I'm very in unbacking these bubble 647 00:30:57,520 --> 00:31:01,640 Speaker 3: teams with short spreads. I'm maybe not fade with against 648 00:31:01,720 --> 00:31:03,760 Speaker 3: large spreads, but tread lightly on those spots. 649 00:31:04,000 --> 00:31:06,680 Speaker 2: Kay, go ahead, Yeah, i'd almost I'm probably in a 650 00:31:06,720 --> 00:31:09,800 Speaker 2: fade to the five teams. Jim mentioned Florida going to 651 00:31:09,880 --> 00:31:12,719 Speaker 2: Georgia for instance, Like we just saw Georgia onst beat 652 00:31:12,720 --> 00:31:15,200 Speaker 2: Auburn and Florida has not been it's a Florida. Sorry, 653 00:31:15,600 --> 00:31:16,320 Speaker 2: oh it's at Florida. 654 00:31:16,360 --> 00:31:17,880 Speaker 3: Well yeah, Florida's hosting Georgia. 655 00:31:17,960 --> 00:31:21,240 Speaker 2: There, scrappy team, you know, even Georgia Tech who just 656 00:31:21,320 --> 00:31:25,640 Speaker 2: be Clemson. There's land mines here. Yeah, and these teams 657 00:31:25,680 --> 00:31:29,560 Speaker 2: are not safe. Florida's probably safe. Well no they're not. Actually, 658 00:31:30,080 --> 00:31:32,200 Speaker 2: none of these teams are safe in the tournament there. 659 00:31:32,720 --> 00:31:34,800 Speaker 2: Their backs are against the wall. But they're also supposed 660 00:31:34,840 --> 00:31:38,640 Speaker 2: to win. It's a very weird psychological thing. Whereas teams 661 00:31:38,760 --> 00:31:40,720 Speaker 2: like Kansas State, a team is looking on the in 662 00:31:41,000 --> 00:31:44,880 Speaker 2: or the outside in plus five. Against Baylor, it's basically 663 00:31:44,960 --> 00:31:47,560 Speaker 2: do or die for them, and there is no expectation 664 00:31:47,640 --> 00:31:49,400 Speaker 2: to win the game. So maybe it's a better bet. 665 00:31:50,160 --> 00:31:51,760 Speaker 1: Yeah, man, I like the way you framed it, where 666 00:31:51,760 --> 00:31:54,080 Speaker 1: you're like they get tight when they're supposed to win. 667 00:31:54,680 --> 00:31:57,080 Speaker 1: It's kind of a in the big ones. They have 668 00:31:57,240 --> 00:32:00,280 Speaker 1: nothing to lose but everything to gain, but then they're 669 00:32:00,400 --> 00:32:02,280 Speaker 1: like expected to win. There's something to lose. Like if 670 00:32:02,280 --> 00:32:04,200 Speaker 1: you take a bad loss and you're on the bubble, 671 00:32:04,840 --> 00:32:07,120 Speaker 1: it is a real problem and people are gonna remember that, 672 00:32:07,280 --> 00:32:09,880 Speaker 1: so that there's a little more tension. Oh we're only 673 00:32:09,920 --> 00:32:14,280 Speaker 1: at four or late. Yeah, Like I think it gets 674 00:32:14,360 --> 00:32:16,680 Speaker 1: gets real nervous and maybe that's you know, potential money 675 00:32:16,720 --> 00:32:20,000 Speaker 1: line type stuff too. But just generally as you handicap 676 00:32:20,160 --> 00:32:22,000 Speaker 1: these these bubble teams, I think it's worth looking at. 677 00:32:22,320 --> 00:32:24,520 Speaker 3: Yeah, you're h there's a lot on Wednesday, Jim. The 678 00:32:24,600 --> 00:32:27,200 Speaker 3: list is I mean, you pretty exhaustive here, and all 679 00:32:27,320 --> 00:32:30,080 Speaker 3: these are qualified. I'll point out too. I like seton 680 00:32:30,160 --> 00:32:32,360 Speaker 3: hall hosting Xavier. I think now is a great time 681 00:32:32,400 --> 00:32:35,400 Speaker 3: to buy low on Seaton Hall and Fading Road Xavier, 682 00:32:35,840 --> 00:32:38,959 Speaker 3: I guess are both teams technically bubblicious. Xavier is much 683 00:32:39,000 --> 00:32:39,840 Speaker 3: safer than Sell. 684 00:32:39,880 --> 00:32:40,600 Speaker 2: They're both safe. 685 00:32:40,840 --> 00:32:42,880 Speaker 3: They're both safe even seen Halls too. Even when the 686 00:32:42,960 --> 00:32:44,200 Speaker 3: recent s get okay, thought they're kind. 687 00:32:44,080 --> 00:32:46,040 Speaker 1: Of they're down to like tenth in the bracket major 688 00:32:46,120 --> 00:32:48,239 Speaker 1: or ten seed in bracket Matrix. That's why I included them. 689 00:32:48,240 --> 00:32:49,440 Speaker 1: I was surprised to see him that low. 690 00:32:49,600 --> 00:32:51,800 Speaker 3: Okay, that's so like it's getting the poor where it's like, okay, 691 00:32:51,800 --> 00:32:52,800 Speaker 3: should we actually need to win that? 692 00:32:52,880 --> 00:32:53,160 Speaker 1: All right? 693 00:32:53,240 --> 00:32:57,240 Speaker 2: Yeah? I like seeing the price is important if he's 694 00:32:57,240 --> 00:32:59,280 Speaker 2: not if he's out again. I don't like Seton Hall 695 00:32:59,360 --> 00:33:00,240 Speaker 2: there personally. 696 00:33:00,680 --> 00:33:02,800 Speaker 3: This given the fact they played well last game, but 697 00:33:02,880 --> 00:33:05,360 Speaker 3: you're right, they played like crap the what four games 698 00:33:05,400 --> 00:33:07,640 Speaker 3: before without him, so he definitely means something. I'm probably 699 00:33:07,720 --> 00:33:09,760 Speaker 3: being short sighted there. The other one I do like 700 00:33:09,880 --> 00:33:12,640 Speaker 3: is Saint Joe at Davidson Jim just pigging backing off 701 00:33:12,680 --> 00:33:14,800 Speaker 3: your point about Davidson haven't been as good blowing out 702 00:33:15,960 --> 00:33:18,880 Speaker 3: quote unquote bad teams. Saint Joe isn't a bad team. 703 00:33:18,880 --> 00:33:21,480 Speaker 3: They're just a poorly coached team if he wasn't playing 704 00:33:21,560 --> 00:33:24,960 Speaker 3: much defense. So maybe I'm sort of explaining a bad team. 705 00:33:24,960 --> 00:33:26,400 Speaker 3: But I don't think they're that bad, and I think 706 00:33:26,440 --> 00:33:29,840 Speaker 3: they can certainly cover eleven points against the potentially tight 707 00:33:30,520 --> 00:33:33,280 Speaker 3: Davidson team that you mentioned. Jim isn't great at knocking 708 00:33:33,320 --> 00:33:34,040 Speaker 3: people on the mat. 709 00:33:34,600 --> 00:33:37,600 Speaker 1: Yeah, I forget. So somebody in the A ten Twitter world, 710 00:33:37,600 --> 00:33:39,680 Speaker 1: I apologize, I don't remember exactly who it was, but 711 00:33:39,760 --> 00:33:42,160 Speaker 1: pointed out that their winning margin recently has been like 712 00:33:42,920 --> 00:33:45,040 Speaker 1: win by two possessions, win by three possions, Like they 713 00:33:45,040 --> 00:33:47,920 Speaker 1: are not blowing teams out anymore, and there's a chance 714 00:33:47,920 --> 00:33:50,400 Speaker 1: they're going to trip up and drop only George Washington 715 00:33:50,440 --> 00:33:53,080 Speaker 1: by five, Bondings by five, will Salt by eight four, 716 00:33:53,080 --> 00:33:55,800 Speaker 1: and by three BC by two, Richmond by three. Like 717 00:33:55,880 --> 00:33:58,440 Speaker 1: they're just winning close, close games, and right right, I'd 718 00:33:58,440 --> 00:33:59,920 Speaker 1: be nervous about them dropping one at some point. 719 00:34:00,560 --> 00:34:02,040 Speaker 3: Let's have this last one here, which is not really 720 00:34:02,080 --> 00:34:03,840 Speaker 3: a big game, but I think it's an interesting Uh. 721 00:34:04,080 --> 00:34:08,359 Speaker 3: It's brings me to a broader point. UAB hosting Southern Miss. 722 00:34:08,520 --> 00:34:10,719 Speaker 3: Now they're going to probably kill Southern Miss. Southern Mist 723 00:34:10,719 --> 00:34:12,680 Speaker 3: has been a dumpster fire and UiB is awesomeent blowing 724 00:34:12,719 --> 00:34:16,000 Speaker 3: teams out. But yeah, I wonder if these like large 725 00:34:16,040 --> 00:34:18,200 Speaker 3: large spreads for teams like mid majors, are they trying 726 00:34:18,239 --> 00:34:20,480 Speaker 3: to run up the score to boost the efficiency margin? 727 00:34:21,360 --> 00:34:23,000 Speaker 3: Like we do know some teams do do that, Like 728 00:34:23,080 --> 00:34:25,640 Speaker 3: that's a real thing that coaches have told us. It's 729 00:34:25,680 --> 00:34:27,320 Speaker 3: one thing that if you go out and try to 730 00:34:27,400 --> 00:34:29,279 Speaker 3: do it, it's another thing to actually execute it and 731 00:34:29,400 --> 00:34:31,439 Speaker 3: deliver on that. Like I'm sure Bob McKillop is trying 732 00:34:31,480 --> 00:34:32,800 Speaker 3: to do that himself. He's smart enough to know that 733 00:34:32,840 --> 00:34:34,680 Speaker 3: the efficiency margin is in his going to play in 734 00:34:34,719 --> 00:34:36,680 Speaker 3: his favor. They just haven't been able to put teams 735 00:34:36,719 --> 00:34:39,320 Speaker 3: away emphatically. U A B though, is an exception. Like 736 00:34:39,360 --> 00:34:40,560 Speaker 3: I think if they want to kill you, they can 737 00:34:40,680 --> 00:34:43,279 Speaker 3: kill you. If they're locked in and sothern missed the 738 00:34:43,320 --> 00:34:44,840 Speaker 3: team without a point guard, I think that could be 739 00:34:44,880 --> 00:34:46,920 Speaker 3: a blowout there on Thursday two. 740 00:34:47,480 --> 00:34:50,520 Speaker 1: Yeah, u AB is ten deep and presses and they 741 00:34:50,600 --> 00:34:53,239 Speaker 1: press for all four holessly all forty minutes. Yep, no 742 00:34:53,440 --> 00:34:56,319 Speaker 1: no one out there. Andy Kennedy's a smart guy. He's 743 00:34:56,360 --> 00:35:00,440 Speaker 1: aware of how the winning by forty five can help him. 744 00:35:00,480 --> 00:35:01,920 Speaker 1: So I do think that's a good one. 745 00:35:02,160 --> 00:35:04,839 Speaker 3: Yeah, it's always interesting. I'm interesting to hear which coaches 746 00:35:04,880 --> 00:35:06,920 Speaker 3: are like closely tracking the bubble thing as Some say 747 00:35:06,920 --> 00:35:08,560 Speaker 3: they don't even look at it. Some say they watch it, 748 00:35:09,000 --> 00:35:11,160 Speaker 3: you know, like every hour, So bubble or not? 749 00:35:11,280 --> 00:35:14,799 Speaker 1: Like kay, you retweeted that the Phelo sixty eights Sean 750 00:35:14,840 --> 00:35:17,439 Speaker 1: Miller interviewed with Ken Pom. He basically told Ken Bomb, 751 00:35:17,480 --> 00:35:20,320 Speaker 1: because of your ratings, I would keep my starters in 752 00:35:20,560 --> 00:35:22,120 Speaker 1: two and a half minutes longer at the end of 753 00:35:22,160 --> 00:35:24,600 Speaker 1: games because I didn't want to lose the lead and 754 00:35:24,920 --> 00:35:28,080 Speaker 1: lose efficiency ratings. So I think coaches a lot of 755 00:35:28,120 --> 00:35:31,000 Speaker 1: them are aware of that, and it's starting to play up. 756 00:35:31,400 --> 00:35:35,239 Speaker 3: Yeah, especially in a razor tight bubble scenario. All right, kids, 757 00:35:35,320 --> 00:35:38,480 Speaker 3: That concludes today's episode. That's all we got. Come back 758 00:35:38,520 --> 00:35:40,839 Speaker 3: next week. Please remember to rate and review our show 759 00:35:40,880 --> 00:35:44,160 Speaker 3: on Apple Podcasts, to us on Spotify, and we'll catch 760 00:35:44,160 --> 00:35:46,480 Speaker 3: you next time on The Big Bets on Campus