WEBVTT - Trump's Fed Worker Buyout Plan on Hold; Amazon Can't Keep Up with AI Demand

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News.

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<v Speaker 2>Good morning.

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<v Speaker 3>I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the

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<v Speaker 3>stories we're following today.

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<v Speaker 2>Karen, we begin in our nation's capital. That's after a

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<v Speaker 2>federal judge blocked President Donald Trump's plan to eliminate up

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<v Speaker 2>to ten percent of the federal workforce. There was so

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<v Speaker 2>called buyout. Bloomberg Zamy Morris reports from Washington. It isn't

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<v Speaker 2>really a buyout. It's called a deferred resignation. But hours

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<v Speaker 2>before the midnight deadline for workers to apply, the judge

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<v Speaker 2>sided with several labor unions that had requested a temporary

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<v Speaker 2>restraining order until Monday. Democratic Senator Mark Warner of Virginia

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<v Speaker 2>applauds the delay.

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<v Speaker 4>I don't believe it's been funded. I don't believe Donald

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<v Speaker 4>Trump has any history of ever paying his bills, and

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<v Speaker 4>I fear that federal employees may be marked for riffing,

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<v Speaker 4>potentially without any conversation.

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<v Speaker 5>The administration says as many as sixty thousand government workers

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<v Speaker 5>have accepted the offer to reside with the promise of

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<v Speaker 5>being paid their regular salary through September. In Washington, Amy

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<v Speaker 5>Moore as Bloomberg Radio all.

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<v Speaker 3>Right, Amy, thank you well. Treasury Secretary Scott Besson says

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<v Speaker 3>he personally vetted the Treasury employees on Elon Musk's Government

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<v Speaker 3>Efficiency Team with read only access to federal payment data.

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<v Speaker 3>Besson added that there has been no tinkering with the

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<v Speaker 3>Department's payment system. We spoke exclusively with Besson on DOGE.

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<v Speaker 6>There's a lot of misinformation out there. First of all,

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<v Speaker 6>when you say the DOGE team, these are Treasury employees.

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<v Speaker 7>Are two Treasury.

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<v Speaker 6>Employees, one of whom I personally interviewed in his final round.

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<v Speaker 6>There is no tinkering with the system. They are on

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<v Speaker 6>read only, they are looking. They can make no changes.

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<v Speaker 6>It is an operational program to suggest improvement.

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<v Speaker 3>And that's Treasury Secretary Scott Besson speaking of the Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 3>Sila Mosen. You can catch the full interview on the

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<v Speaker 3>Bloomberg Big Take podcast. Get it on Apples, Spotify, and

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<v Speaker 3>always on the Bloomberg terminal.

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<v Speaker 7>Well, Karen.

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<v Speaker 2>President Trump's laying out more of his tax priorities. He

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<v Speaker 2>met with congressional Republicans at the White House to discuss

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<v Speaker 2>what he wants to see in a tax bill this year.

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<v Speaker 2>White House Press Secretary Caroline Love It says the President

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<v Speaker 2>wants to make good on his promises from the campaign.

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<v Speaker 8>No tax on tips, which is obviously a very public

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<v Speaker 8>campaign promise that the President made, no tax on seniors

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<v Speaker 8>social Security, no tax on overtime pay, renewing President Trump's

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<v Speaker 8>twenty seventeen middle class tax cuts.

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<v Speaker 2>White House spokeswoman Caroline Lovit also highlighted two items that

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<v Speaker 2>weren't discussed during the campaign, ending the carried interest tax

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<v Speaker 2>break that lets private equity managers pay lower rates on

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<v Speaker 2>their investments, and ending tax breaks for sports team owners.

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<v Speaker 2>The White House says the President also wants to expand

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<v Speaker 2>the deduction for state and local taxes. That's a priority

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<v Speaker 2>for our Republicans from high tax states.

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<v Speaker 3>One of President Trump's latest efforts to reshape the federal

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<v Speaker 3>government is facing high profile resistance. The head of the

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<v Speaker 3>Federal Election Commission, Ellen Wintraub, said she was fired in

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<v Speaker 3>a letter from their resident, but she's not leaving. Wind

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<v Speaker 3>Troub posted a copy of the letter on x and wrote, quote,

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<v Speaker 3>there's a legal way to replace FEC commissioners. This isn't it.

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<v Speaker 3>Wine Trub was appointed to a six year term more

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<v Speaker 3>than twenty years ago under federal law commissioners are allowed

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<v Speaker 3>to stay past their terms until a replacement is named.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, Karen, for the first time, I'm sorry. For the

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<v Speaker 2>third time in just two weeks, there may be another

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<v Speaker 2>deadly disaster over US guys. Bloomberg's John Tucker is here

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<v Speaker 2>now with what we know.

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<v Speaker 7>John Nathan.

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<v Speaker 9>A Bearing Air flight has been reported missing as it

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<v Speaker 9>was headed to Noel, Alaska, with nine passengers and a

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<v Speaker 9>pilot on board. This happened at about four pm local

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<v Speaker 9>time yesterday. The rescue crews are scaring the ground for

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<v Speaker 9>any sign of the wreckage of this Cessna jet. If

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<v Speaker 9>no survivors are found, the tragedy would mark one of

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<v Speaker 9>the worst concentrated periods in aviation history in the US.

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<v Speaker 9>Americans are still coming to terms with a death of

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<v Speaker 9>sixty seven people in Washington after that regional jet in

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<v Speaker 9>a military helicopter collided mid air or January twenty ninth.

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<v Speaker 9>Just days later, a Metavac playing crash soon after takeoff

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<v Speaker 9>in Philadelphia with a sick child and five others on board.

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<v Speaker 9>Meantime of that Washington, DC crash, investigators say it was

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<v Speaker 9>likely the pilots of the military helicopter We're wearing ninth

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<v Speaker 9>vision goggles, which can limit their peripheral vision. I'm John Tucker,

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<v Speaker 9>Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 3>All right, John, thank you.

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<v Speaker 10>Well.

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<v Speaker 3>We now turn to the markets, where mag seven is

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<v Speaker 3>in focus once again. Shares of Amazon are down more

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<v Speaker 3>than three percent in early trading. The company is warning

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<v Speaker 3>investors that it could face capacity constraints in its cloud

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<v Speaker 3>computing division. That despite plans to invest about one hundred

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<v Speaker 3>billion dollars this year, with most of the money going

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<v Speaker 3>toward data centers, homegrown ships, and other equipment to provide

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<v Speaker 3>artificial intelligence services here CEO Andy Jasse on the company conference.

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<v Speaker 11>Call, AI represents for sure the biggest opportunity since cloud

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<v Speaker 11>and probably the biggest technology shift and opportunity and business

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<v Speaker 11>since the Internet, and so well, I think that both

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<v Speaker 11>our business, our customers as shareholders will be happy medium

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<v Speaker 11>to long term that we're pursuing the capital opportunity and

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<v Speaker 11>the business opportunity.

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<v Speaker 3>In AI and Amazon CEO Andy Jasse He says the

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<v Speaker 3>AI race will likely way down profits, operating income will

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<v Speaker 3>be fourteen billion to eighteen billion dollars, and that's below

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<v Speaker 3>analyst estimates.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, soon the focus is going to turn to the economy.

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<v Speaker 2>Karen investors are waiting for the January jobs report. Economists

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<v Speaker 2>are looking for an edition of one hundred and seventy

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<v Speaker 2>five thousand jobs. Let's get a preview from Bloomberg's Michael McKee.

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<v Speaker 12>Perhaps it's reversion to the mean. Economists anticipate we had

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<v Speaker 12>much slower job growth in January after December's blowout report.

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<v Speaker 12>January also a month when holiday helped leaves payrolls, and

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<v Speaker 12>this year there are also likely significant job losses from

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<v Speaker 12>the fires in Los Angeles. Unemployment, however, is forecast to

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<v Speaker 12>be reassuring no change, indicating that while companies may not

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<v Speaker 12>be hiring, they aren't letting workers go. If the labor

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<v Speaker 12>market remains solid, it will help the Fed make the

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<v Speaker 12>case for leaving interest rates unchanged for longer to keep

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<v Speaker 12>the pressure on inflation. Michael McKee, Bloomberg.

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<v Speaker 3>Radio, All right, Mike, thanks, as we await that rapport.

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<v Speaker 3>Dallas Fed President Lourie Logan is skeptical that more rate

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<v Speaker 3>cuts are necessary. She's spoke at an event in Mexico City.

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<v Speaker 13>I what if inflation comes in close to two percent

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<v Speaker 13>in coming months, Well, that would be good news. It

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<v Speaker 13>wouldn't necessarily allow the FMC to cut rates soon in

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<v Speaker 13>my view, and.

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<v Speaker 3>Dallas FED President Lorie Logan did say the Fed would

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<v Speaker 3>likely lower rates if the labor market deteriorated. Time now

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<v Speaker 3>over look at some of the other stories making news

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<v Speaker 3>in New York and around the world, and for that

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<v Speaker 3>we're joined by Bloomberg's Michael Barr.

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<v Speaker 7>Michael, good morning, Good morning, Karen.

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<v Speaker 14>Get ready for another round of winter weather this weekend,

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<v Speaker 14>Bloomberg Medeu Religious Rob Carolyn as the.

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<v Speaker 15>Latest, Michael, Yet another winter storm headed towards the mid

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<v Speaker 15>Atlantic and Northeast for this weekend. Winter storm watches of

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<v Speaker 15>up for the New York City area and for Boston.

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<v Speaker 15>Saturday night and into Sunday. We'll see snow, sleet, and

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<v Speaker 15>rain developing in the district. Tomorrow afternoon it changes to

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<v Speaker 15>rain there not a big deal, but we could see

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<v Speaker 15>three to five inches of snow in the city during

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<v Speaker 15>Saturday night and into Sunday, and more the same in Boston.

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<v Speaker 15>I'm Rob Carolyn, Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 7>Thanks Ron.

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<v Speaker 14>Panama's president is calling a statement by the US State

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<v Speaker 14>Department in absolute falsehood. The department writing American vessels would

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<v Speaker 14>no longer have to pay charge fees at the Panama Canal.

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<v Speaker 14>The dispute comes days after Secretary of State Marco Rubio's

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<v Speaker 14>first overseas trip to the Central American country. Rubio says

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<v Speaker 14>he's not confused about the situation.

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<v Speaker 15>I respect very much that Panama has a process. They're

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<v Speaker 15>democraticly elected government.

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<v Speaker 7>They have rules, they have laws.

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<v Speaker 15>They're going to follow their process, but our expectations remain

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<v Speaker 15>the same.

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<v Speaker 14>Panama's President, Jose Roe Milinos, says that he will speak

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<v Speaker 14>with President Trump today. Ron Supreme leader says that negotiations

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<v Speaker 14>with America are not in tell gent wise or honorable.

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<v Speaker 14>After President Trump floated nuclear talks with tey ron I,

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<v Speaker 14>had Toola al Kameni also suggested that there should be

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<v Speaker 14>no negotiations with such a government, but stop short of

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<v Speaker 14>issuing a direct order not to engage with Washington. Bird

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<v Speaker 14>flu has sent the price of eggs skyrocketing, impacting everything

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<v Speaker 14>from big chain grocery stores and restaurants to the local

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<v Speaker 14>sandwich shops. At Benny's Deli in Queen's, the five dollars

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<v Speaker 14>fifty cent bacon, egg and cheese sandwich has been the

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<v Speaker 14>mainstay of morning business. However, owner Anthony Bonavita says soon

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<v Speaker 14>he may be forced to raise prices.

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<v Speaker 6>I'm trying to hold on, you know, but most I

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<v Speaker 6>will go up as a dollar buck.

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<v Speaker 7>I don't even want to do.

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<v Speaker 14>That, Bonavita says. An average case of eggs used to

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<v Speaker 14>be sixty to seventy dollars. Now he's paying over two

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<v Speaker 14>hundred and twenty dollars. Global News twenty four hours a

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<v Speaker 14>day and whenever you want it with Bloomberg News.

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<v Speaker 4>Now.

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<v Speaker 7>I'm Michael Barr, and this is Bloomberg.

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<v Speaker 3>All right, Michael Barr, thank you time now for the

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<v Speaker 3>Bloomberg Sports Update, brought to you by Trying Staineoudie. Here's

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<v Speaker 3>John Stashauer. John, Good morning, gim MONI Karen.

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<v Speaker 10>For the first time ever, brothers will be members of

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<v Speaker 10>the Pro Football Hall of.

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<v Speaker 7>Fame, but not the Mannings.

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<v Speaker 10>Many Giants fans were hoping Eli would join Peyton, but

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<v Speaker 10>Eli did not get in, and on the first ballot anyway,

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<v Speaker 10>former Green Bay whiteout Sterling Sharp was named and he

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<v Speaker 10>joined his brother Shannon also named production former Chargers tight

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<v Speaker 10>end Antonio Gainton, eight time Pro Bowler, six time Pro

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<v Speaker 10>Bowl cornerback Eric Allen, and pass rusher Jared Allen. The

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<v Speaker 10>four player class the smallest in twenty years also in

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<v Speaker 10>New Orleans. Out of the Super Bowl, Josh Allen named

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<v Speaker 10>NFL MVP in the closest votes since two thousand and three.

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<v Speaker 10>He edged out Lamar Jackson. The same voters had named

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<v Speaker 10>Jackson as the first team All Pro Quarterbacks. SA Kwan

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<v Speaker 10>Barkley won Offensive Player of the Year. He's getting ready

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<v Speaker 10>for his first Super Bowl. In his six years with

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<v Speaker 10>the Giants, Barkley only once even went to the playoffs.

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<v Speaker 10>His season affiliate course as far surpass all he went

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<v Speaker 10>through in New York.

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<v Speaker 4>Losing or diversities and the injuries that I went through,

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<v Speaker 4>you know the reason why I'm able to be at.

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<v Speaker 7>The age I am.

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<v Speaker 4>And after all those injuries, I never gave up.

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<v Speaker 7>I never lost hope.

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<v Speaker 4>You know, I just thought that I always saw this

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<v Speaker 4>moment coming. I always saw this success coming. At the time,

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<v Speaker 4>I thought it was going to be still in the

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<v Speaker 4>New York Giant uniform.

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<v Speaker 10>The Chiefs are one point favorite with the Eagles, so

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<v Speaker 10>Super Bowl fifty nine expected to be a close one.

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<v Speaker 10>Kansas City's won seventeen straight one score games, and his

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<v Speaker 10>three recent Super Bowl wins, Chiefs trailed in the fourth

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<v Speaker 10>quarter every time Dallas lost at home to Vegas three

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<v Speaker 10>to one. The Capitols won four to three at Philadelphia.

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<v Speaker 10>The Celtics lost at home to Dallas one twenty seven

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<v Speaker 10>one twenty Anthony Davis yet to play for the MAVs

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<v Speaker 10>and Luca Dohnston's yet to play for the Lakers, expecting

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<v Speaker 10>to play the Monday Lakers beat Golden State one twenty

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<v Speaker 10>to one. Twelve forty year old Lebron James scored forty

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<v Speaker 10>two points. Saint Johnson I brings its nine game winnings

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<v Speaker 10>straight to Yukon, taking on the two time defending national champs.

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<v Speaker 7>John Stan Shaward Bloomberg Sports carry.

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<v Speaker 1>Coast to coast on Bloomberg Radio, nationwide on Serious XM,

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<v Speaker 1>and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business app. This is Bloomberg Daybreak.

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<v Speaker 7>Good morning.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm Nathan Hager bringing you now our extended conversation with

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<v Speaker 2>Treasury Secretary Scott Besson, speaking with Bloomberg Salaiah Mosen from

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<v Speaker 2>the cash room of the Treasury Department in Washington, d C.

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<v Speaker 2>They talked about Beson's plans for the dollar, tariffs trade

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<v Speaker 2>and more, but they began by addressing Elon Musk and

0:11:31.320 --> 0:11:35.760
<v Speaker 2>the Government Efficiency Team's involvement with the Treasury's federal payment system.

0:11:35.840 --> 0:11:38.640
<v Speaker 7>Let's go now to that conversation right now.

0:11:38.679 --> 0:11:42.400
<v Speaker 13>There is widespread concern about the DOGE team's access to

0:11:42.600 --> 0:11:46.440
<v Speaker 13>sensitive payment systems. Are you worried at all that that

0:11:46.679 --> 0:11:51.240
<v Speaker 13>access and that tinkering of the payment systems could affect

0:11:51.240 --> 0:11:53.000
<v Speaker 13>the Treasury's market or cause any disruption?

0:11:53.320 --> 0:11:55.959
<v Speaker 6>Good, well, Hilia, thank you for asking me about that,

0:11:56.120 --> 0:11:58.880
<v Speaker 6>because there's a lot of misinformation out there. First of all,

0:11:58.880 --> 0:12:02.839
<v Speaker 6>when you say the doche team, these are Treasury employees.

0:12:03.080 --> 0:12:07.079
<v Speaker 6>Are two Treasury employees, one of whom I personally interviewed

0:12:07.120 --> 0:12:11.040
<v Speaker 6>in his final round. There is no tinkering with the system.

0:12:11.559 --> 0:12:15.640
<v Speaker 6>They are on read only. They are looking. They can

0:12:15.720 --> 0:12:20.559
<v Speaker 6>make no changes. It is an operational program to suggest improvement.

0:12:20.679 --> 0:12:24.200
<v Speaker 6>So we make one point three billion payments a year.

0:12:24.840 --> 0:12:28.960
<v Speaker 6>And this is two employees who are working with a

0:12:29.000 --> 0:12:31.960
<v Speaker 6>group of long standing employees.

0:12:32.559 --> 0:12:35.360
<v Speaker 13>The letter that the Treasure Department sent earlier this week

0:12:35.400 --> 0:12:40.400
<v Speaker 13>talked about how the team currently does not have access

0:12:40.520 --> 0:12:43.040
<v Speaker 13>to change the system. Have they at any point this

0:12:43.120 --> 0:12:45.240
<v Speaker 13>year had the ability to make changes.

0:12:45.520 --> 0:12:46.240
<v Speaker 7>Absolutely not.

0:12:46.640 --> 0:12:49.360
<v Speaker 6>This is no different than you would have at a

0:12:49.440 --> 0:12:52.120
<v Speaker 6>private company. And by the way, the ability to change

0:12:52.160 --> 0:12:55.559
<v Speaker 6>the system sits over at the Federal Reserve, so it

0:12:55.600 --> 0:12:59.000
<v Speaker 6>doesn't even lie in this building. So they could make

0:12:59.120 --> 0:13:03.200
<v Speaker 6>suggestions on how to change the system, but we don't

0:13:03.200 --> 0:13:04.480
<v Speaker 6>even run the system.

0:13:04.840 --> 0:13:08.200
<v Speaker 13>And if they ask for if they request the ability

0:13:08.200 --> 0:13:09.800
<v Speaker 13>to change the system, would you grant that.

0:13:10.440 --> 0:13:14.120
<v Speaker 6>No, again, they have no ability to change the system.

0:13:14.240 --> 0:13:17.960
<v Speaker 6>I have no ability to grant that change. That they

0:13:18.160 --> 0:13:20.960
<v Speaker 6>can make suggestions, then it would go to the Federal

0:13:21.000 --> 0:13:25.720
<v Speaker 6>Reserve and just like any large erp system, there would

0:13:25.760 --> 0:13:27.960
<v Speaker 6>be tests. There would be this, there would be that,

0:13:28.320 --> 0:13:31.600
<v Speaker 6>and then the FED will determine whether these changes are

0:13:31.720 --> 0:13:32.360
<v Speaker 6>robust or not.

0:13:33.480 --> 0:13:36.439
<v Speaker 13>As the Secretary of Treasure, you also oversee the IRS.

0:13:36.720 --> 0:13:39.400
<v Speaker 13>Do you know what kind of access the team has

0:13:39.480 --> 0:13:42.640
<v Speaker 13>to IRS data or individual taxpayer data?

0:13:42.960 --> 0:13:46.160
<v Speaker 6>Well, I'm glad you asked that too, because look, the RIRs,

0:13:46.480 --> 0:13:50.320
<v Speaker 6>the privacy issue is one of the biggest issues, and

0:13:50.520 --> 0:13:54.000
<v Speaker 6>over the past four years we've seen a lot of

0:13:54.120 --> 0:13:58.240
<v Speaker 6>leaks out of there. The IRS systems are quite poor.

0:13:58.679 --> 0:14:02.520
<v Speaker 6>When I started college in nineteen eighty, I learned the

0:14:02.559 --> 0:14:06.200
<v Speaker 6>program in Cobyl. I think there are twelve different systems

0:14:06.280 --> 0:14:10.000
<v Speaker 6>at the IRS that still run on Cobyl. But as

0:14:10.040 --> 0:14:14.559
<v Speaker 6>of now there is no engagement at the IRS, and if.

0:14:14.400 --> 0:14:17.040
<v Speaker 13>They request that access, would you sign off on that request?

0:14:17.880 --> 0:14:20.560
<v Speaker 6>They haven't, so we'll take that when it comes to it.

0:14:21.200 --> 0:14:23.680
<v Speaker 6>I think there is a lot to do there, but

0:14:24.520 --> 0:14:29.760
<v Speaker 6>the president was elected with a big agenda and to

0:14:29.800 --> 0:14:35.280
<v Speaker 6>the extent that getting the IRS in better shape is

0:14:35.360 --> 0:14:38.840
<v Speaker 6>part of that. Sure, because look, with the IRS, what

0:14:38.880 --> 0:14:43.280
<v Speaker 6>am I concerned about? I am concerned about collections, I'm

0:14:43.320 --> 0:14:48.480
<v Speaker 6>concerned about privacy, and I am concerned that the system

0:14:48.560 --> 0:14:51.320
<v Speaker 6>is robust. But do you see customer service?

0:14:52.240 --> 0:14:54.680
<v Speaker 13>But do you think that if they ask for access

0:14:54.760 --> 0:14:56.560
<v Speaker 13>that is something you would consider signing off on.

0:14:57.040 --> 0:14:59.120
<v Speaker 6>There are a lot of things I'd consider. But look,

0:14:59.120 --> 0:15:01.640
<v Speaker 6>we're in the middle of the ex filing season right now.

0:15:01.920 --> 0:15:05.880
<v Speaker 6>We even with the government buyouts that are being that

0:15:06.040 --> 0:15:10.000
<v Speaker 6>expire at midnight tonight, we have the mandated that the

0:15:10.040 --> 0:15:16.000
<v Speaker 6>IRS customer facing employees that they're not eligible for that

0:15:16.200 --> 0:15:19.720
<v Speaker 6>until May fifteenth. So I don't imagine anything's going to

0:15:19.720 --> 0:15:22.200
<v Speaker 6>go on at the IRS until then or beyond.

0:15:22.800 --> 0:15:25.680
<v Speaker 13>Elon Musk just a few half an hour ago tweeted

0:15:25.680 --> 0:15:29.720
<v Speaker 13>out that Treasury needs to stop approving certain payments. Has

0:15:29.760 --> 0:15:32.520
<v Speaker 13>your staff tried to block any payments here at Treasury,

0:15:33.040 --> 0:15:33.800
<v Speaker 13>we have not and.

0:15:33.760 --> 0:15:34.960
<v Speaker 7>I'm glad you asked that too.

0:15:35.280 --> 0:15:37.440
<v Speaker 6>And just to put in perspective, Elon and I are

0:15:37.480 --> 0:15:42.760
<v Speaker 6>completely aligned in terms of cutting waste and increasing accountability

0:15:43.040 --> 0:15:44.960
<v Speaker 6>and transparency.

0:15:44.600 --> 0:15:46.240
<v Speaker 7>For the American people.

0:15:46.960 --> 0:15:51.040
<v Speaker 6>I believe that this dose program, in my adult life

0:15:51.360 --> 0:15:54.360
<v Speaker 6>is one of the most important audits of government or

0:15:54.480 --> 0:15:55.920
<v Speaker 6>changes to government structure.

0:15:56.080 --> 0:16:00.880
<v Speaker 7>We have seen that. When I was in my twenties, we.

0:16:00.880 --> 0:16:04.320
<v Speaker 6>Had the Grace Report, and there's some great suggestions that

0:16:04.360 --> 0:16:08.640
<v Speaker 6>came out of that never implemented under Clinton and Gore.

0:16:09.640 --> 0:16:12.760
<v Speaker 6>I think it was to government efficiency or reduce government.

0:16:13.800 --> 0:16:14.600
<v Speaker 7>Nothing happened.

0:16:14.880 --> 0:16:18.480
<v Speaker 6>So President Trump came in, there's a big agenda, and

0:16:18.680 --> 0:16:21.280
<v Speaker 6>I think that there are gigantic cost savings for the

0:16:21.280 --> 0:16:24.400
<v Speaker 6>American people here. And I think it's unfortunate the way

0:16:24.720 --> 0:16:28.320
<v Speaker 6>the media wants to lampoon what is going on. These

0:16:28.400 --> 0:16:33.040
<v Speaker 6>are highly trained professionals. This is not some roving ban

0:16:33.280 --> 0:16:37.120
<v Speaker 6>going around doing things. This is methodical and it is

0:16:37.200 --> 0:16:39.280
<v Speaker 6>going to yield big savings.

0:16:39.720 --> 0:16:43.120
<v Speaker 13>At any point, would you heed what Musk just tweeted

0:16:43.520 --> 0:16:46.760
<v Speaker 13>and stop payments come from coming through Treasury.

0:16:46.840 --> 0:16:51.960
<v Speaker 6>Well, most of that happens above us, that it comes

0:16:52.000 --> 0:16:56.320
<v Speaker 6>from the Department and the agencies. We are doing a

0:16:56.360 --> 0:16:59.640
<v Speaker 6>complete review, and I want to emphasize to you and

0:16:59.680 --> 0:17:03.920
<v Speaker 6>everyone watching that it is an operational review, It is

0:17:03.960 --> 0:17:06.959
<v Speaker 6>not an ideological review. We want to make sure that

0:17:07.119 --> 0:17:10.840
<v Speaker 6>the American people are getting the best practices, and I

0:17:10.880 --> 0:17:12.399
<v Speaker 6>don't think that's happening right now.

0:17:13.240 --> 0:17:15.720
<v Speaker 13>The systems here at Treasury they're known to be a

0:17:15.720 --> 0:17:19.680
<v Speaker 13>little antiquated, but very very sensitive, but also they're working.

0:17:20.560 --> 0:17:23.680
<v Speaker 13>I'm hearing Bloomberg. We hear a lot about investors being

0:17:23.720 --> 0:17:27.760
<v Speaker 13>concerned that this could hit markets in some way or

0:17:27.800 --> 0:17:32.280
<v Speaker 13>start to cause a loss of confidence. What as a

0:17:32.320 --> 0:17:35.359
<v Speaker 13>long time hedge fund and investor like, do you have

0:17:35.440 --> 0:17:37.240
<v Speaker 13>a response to those concerns.

0:17:38.400 --> 0:17:44.160
<v Speaker 6>People shouldn't be concerned that Treasury we move deliberately.

0:17:43.880 --> 0:17:46.639
<v Speaker 7>And we fix things. That's the way we work.

0:17:47.080 --> 0:17:50.560
<v Speaker 6>So everyone should know that all the payments are going

0:17:50.600 --> 0:17:52.840
<v Speaker 6>to be made, they're going to be in good order,

0:17:53.160 --> 0:17:55.840
<v Speaker 6>and at the end of this review, they're going to

0:17:55.880 --> 0:18:00.200
<v Speaker 6>be substantial savings for the American taxpayer.

0:18:00.359 --> 0:18:03.520
<v Speaker 13>Mister Secretary, you have experienced in currency markets, and now,

0:18:03.640 --> 0:18:07.600
<v Speaker 13>as in your new role, you oversee US currency policy.

0:18:07.960 --> 0:18:10.480
<v Speaker 13>I'd like to ask you what does a strong dollar mean?

0:18:10.520 --> 0:18:10.720
<v Speaker 3>To you.

0:18:11.640 --> 0:18:15.720
<v Speaker 6>Well, First of all, the strong dollar policy is completely

0:18:15.840 --> 0:18:20.720
<v Speaker 6>intact with President Trump, and I am very happy at

0:18:20.760 --> 0:18:26.800
<v Speaker 6>his Economic Club of New York speech in August when

0:18:26.800 --> 0:18:31.440
<v Speaker 6>he re emphasized the importance of maintaining the dollar reserve

0:18:31.480 --> 0:18:34.960
<v Speaker 6>currency status. But let's think about what does a strong

0:18:35.000 --> 0:18:39.560
<v Speaker 6>dollar mean. It really means four things. One that when

0:18:39.600 --> 0:18:43.399
<v Speaker 6>we think about a fiat currency, a piece of paper

0:18:44.000 --> 0:18:48.840
<v Speaker 6>is credibility. So a strong dollar is credibility and a

0:18:48.920 --> 0:18:50.040
<v Speaker 6>rule of law that.

0:18:50.080 --> 0:18:51.560
<v Speaker 7>Is backing it up. Too.

0:18:52.240 --> 0:18:55.960
<v Speaker 6>It means a composite price in the screen the Bloomberg

0:18:56.040 --> 0:19:00.760
<v Speaker 6>Currency Index, that is the dollar moving up against that. Three,

0:19:01.520 --> 0:19:06.520
<v Speaker 6>it is a bilateral price. So what's important to remember

0:19:06.760 --> 0:19:10.119
<v Speaker 6>is the dollar is either a week or strong versus

0:19:10.119 --> 0:19:14.639
<v Speaker 6>something else. So we want the dollar to be strong.

0:19:15.640 --> 0:19:19.400
<v Speaker 6>What we don't want is other countries to weaken their

0:19:19.440 --> 0:19:22.080
<v Speaker 6>currencies to manipulate their trade.

0:19:22.480 --> 0:19:25.920
<v Speaker 7>And then, fourth that we want to have.

0:19:25.880 --> 0:19:29.840
<v Speaker 6>The best policies that create the environment for a strong dollar.

0:19:30.800 --> 0:19:34.800
<v Speaker 13>Let's talk about other nations and how they manage their currencies.

0:19:35.160 --> 0:19:38.399
<v Speaker 13>The President has asked for a tariff study from several

0:19:38.440 --> 0:19:42.600
<v Speaker 13>of his cabinet officers or incoming cabinet officers. Do April first,

0:19:42.680 --> 0:19:45.480
<v Speaker 13>and the Treasury piece of that is to assess how

0:19:45.520 --> 0:19:49.280
<v Speaker 13>to handle when foreign nations manipulate their currencies. Do you

0:19:49.320 --> 0:19:52.280
<v Speaker 13>see any evidence of manipulation in foreign exchange rate markets

0:19:52.359 --> 0:19:52.720
<v Speaker 13>right now?

0:19:53.040 --> 0:19:56.879
<v Speaker 6>Well, well, wait till the study comes out. But I

0:19:56.960 --> 0:20:00.400
<v Speaker 6>think just intuitively, you and I could agree that when

0:20:00.440 --> 0:20:04.439
<v Speaker 6>you see the accumulation of these large surpluses that there

0:20:05.000 --> 0:20:09.280
<v Speaker 6>is not a free form trading system that's going. It

0:20:09.280 --> 0:20:11.720
<v Speaker 6>could be due to the level of the currency. It

0:20:11.760 --> 0:20:17.359
<v Speaker 6>could be due to trade restrictions, it could be due

0:20:17.400 --> 0:20:20.120
<v Speaker 6>to some interest rate repression policy.

0:20:20.560 --> 0:20:21.880
<v Speaker 7>So it could be any of those.

0:20:22.840 --> 0:20:25.760
<v Speaker 13>Are there any countries that you're monitoring or watching specifically

0:20:25.840 --> 0:20:27.840
<v Speaker 13>right now? I know the President in the past has

0:20:28.040 --> 0:20:30.680
<v Speaker 13>labeled China as a currency manipulator. Do you see any

0:20:30.680 --> 0:20:32.919
<v Speaker 13>other nations that need to be closely watched?

0:20:33.119 --> 0:20:36.760
<v Speaker 6>Well, I think we'll see on April first. And as

0:20:36.800 --> 0:20:40.960
<v Speaker 6>you know that China's the most imbalanced unbalanced economy in

0:20:41.000 --> 0:20:44.760
<v Speaker 6>the history of the world, and they are in a

0:20:44.840 --> 0:20:49.640
<v Speaker 6>deep recession right now. They're experience in deflation and they're

0:20:49.640 --> 0:20:52.600
<v Speaker 6>trying to export their way out of that, and we

0:20:52.640 --> 0:20:56.600
<v Speaker 6>can't allow that. We want fair trade, and part of

0:20:56.640 --> 0:21:01.399
<v Speaker 6>that is taking a strong position on the currency and

0:21:01.440 --> 0:21:02.520
<v Speaker 6>the terms of trade.

0:21:02.600 --> 0:21:06.320
<v Speaker 13>Mister Secretary, you said yesterday in an interview that the

0:21:06.320 --> 0:21:10.360
<v Speaker 13>Trump administration is more focused on long term gields than

0:21:10.480 --> 0:21:13.480
<v Speaker 13>what the Federal Reserve is doing, which is a bold statement.

0:21:14.000 --> 0:21:16.760
<v Speaker 13>I want to ask, how do you plan to keep

0:21:16.760 --> 0:21:20.280
<v Speaker 13>a lid on yields considering the deluge of debt issuance

0:21:20.320 --> 0:21:22.320
<v Speaker 13>that is coming down the pike and also some of

0:21:22.359 --> 0:21:23.960
<v Speaker 13>the inflationary risks that are ahead.

0:21:24.160 --> 0:21:27.640
<v Speaker 6>Well, one of the things I wanted to emphasize is

0:21:27.760 --> 0:21:32.080
<v Speaker 6>that we are not focused on the whether the Fed

0:21:32.200 --> 0:21:34.280
<v Speaker 6>is going to cut not cut.

0:21:34.320 --> 0:21:35.800
<v Speaker 7>What we are focused.

0:21:35.359 --> 0:21:39.520
<v Speaker 6>On is lowering rates, So we are less focused on

0:21:39.560 --> 0:21:42.000
<v Speaker 6>the specific of rate cuts and how do we get

0:21:42.000 --> 0:21:45.600
<v Speaker 6>the whole curve down. I mentioned that the tenure I

0:21:45.680 --> 0:21:50.800
<v Speaker 6>believe is the important price to focus on its mortgages,

0:21:50.920 --> 0:21:56.320
<v Speaker 6>it's long term capital formation. So and look, I think

0:21:56.680 --> 0:22:02.439
<v Speaker 6>with the President's policies of energy dominant, it's deregulation and

0:22:02.600 --> 0:22:07.320
<v Speaker 6>non inflationary growth, I think that the tenure is going

0:22:07.400 --> 0:22:10.920
<v Speaker 6>to naturally come down. And then look on top of it,

0:22:11.200 --> 0:22:13.919
<v Speaker 6>what if we do get some big savings on the

0:22:13.960 --> 0:22:17.399
<v Speaker 6>spending side from the dose programs like let's think of

0:22:17.400 --> 0:22:23.800
<v Speaker 6>a naive formula, government equals spending minus taxes for my

0:22:24.080 --> 0:22:31.080
<v Speaker 6>entire career and beyond, maybe even back to pre FDR

0:22:33.920 --> 0:22:39.320
<v Speaker 6>government equal spending minus taxes. The s the Republicans we

0:22:39.480 --> 0:22:40.120
<v Speaker 6>like spending.

0:22:40.920 --> 0:22:42.320
<v Speaker 7>We just wanted to raise it less.

0:22:42.359 --> 0:22:46.840
<v Speaker 6>The Democrats want to raise it more taxes. Democrats want

0:22:46.880 --> 0:22:50.440
<v Speaker 6>tax increases. We want tax cuts. What nobody's singing about

0:22:50.600 --> 0:22:54.040
<v Speaker 6>is what if the S actually went down? What if

0:22:54.040 --> 0:22:57.440
<v Speaker 6>it actually goes down because of everything we're doing right now?

0:22:57.800 --> 0:23:00.440
<v Speaker 13>But what about the inflation concerns that are stemming from

0:23:00.480 --> 0:23:01.959
<v Speaker 13>the tariffs and tariff threats.

0:23:02.960 --> 0:23:07.520
<v Speaker 6>Look that I'm not sure that where this narrative the

0:23:07.560 --> 0:23:12.080
<v Speaker 6>tariffs for the country putting on the tariffs is inflationary.

0:23:12.760 --> 0:23:15.720
<v Speaker 6>That we could have a small one time price adjustment

0:23:16.200 --> 0:23:19.480
<v Speaker 6>that as we saw in Trump one point zero, that

0:23:19.600 --> 0:23:24.000
<v Speaker 6>the deregulation and the other policies, we stayed right around

0:23:24.040 --> 0:23:25.520
<v Speaker 6>the Fed's target level.

0:23:25.960 --> 0:23:28.359
<v Speaker 7>So I'm unconcerned about that.

0:23:29.080 --> 0:23:34.040
<v Speaker 6>I think especially that China, now given all their excess capacity,

0:23:35.080 --> 0:23:38.439
<v Speaker 6>will no matter the level of the tariffs, will end

0:23:38.520 --> 0:23:39.640
<v Speaker 6>up eating quite a bit.

0:23:40.720 --> 0:23:44.560
<v Speaker 13>There's a lot of uncertainty around tariffs. We see them

0:23:44.760 --> 0:23:49.800
<v Speaker 13>threatened or signaled and that they're taken back. It appears

0:23:49.840 --> 0:23:53.200
<v Speaker 13>as if this administration might be unfriendly to businesses.

0:23:53.280 --> 0:23:53.720
<v Speaker 7>Is that right?

0:23:56.280 --> 0:23:59.440
<v Speaker 6>Really, I think it's just the opposite. I think this

0:23:59.520 --> 0:24:05.040
<v Speaker 6>is the pro business administration and history and everything we

0:24:05.080 --> 0:24:09.359
<v Speaker 6>are doing is going to increase the after tax return

0:24:09.520 --> 0:24:14.960
<v Speaker 6>capital and as a result, working Americans will have very

0:24:15.080 --> 0:24:18.479
<v Speaker 6>high real wage growth. That what we've seen over the

0:24:18.480 --> 0:24:22.680
<v Speaker 6>past four years is the government and government adjacent sectors

0:24:23.040 --> 0:24:26.639
<v Speaker 6>providing the employment growth. And why have we experienced a

0:24:26.680 --> 0:24:30.960
<v Speaker 6>supportability crisis? First there was a massive spending met by

0:24:31.080 --> 0:24:35.560
<v Speaker 6>increased regulation which caused inflation, and then government and government

0:24:35.600 --> 0:24:39.480
<v Speaker 6>adjacent jobs do not call real wage growth because they

0:24:39.520 --> 0:24:43.600
<v Speaker 6>move up at CPI. So I think that we are

0:24:43.640 --> 0:24:47.240
<v Speaker 6>going to not only be business friendly, but very very

0:24:47.280 --> 0:24:48.840
<v Speaker 6>friendly for working Americans.

0:24:49.200 --> 0:24:53.200
<v Speaker 13>We're seeing companies already under some stress from the tariff threats,

0:24:53.359 --> 0:24:57.080
<v Speaker 13>China is investigating Google, and also, as you know, are

0:24:57.080 --> 0:24:59.080
<v Speaker 13>well aware that business is like to be able to

0:24:59.160 --> 0:25:02.640
<v Speaker 13>plan ahead. But with so much policy uncertainty, that predictability

0:25:02.680 --> 0:25:05.520
<v Speaker 13>factor is gone. That all points to a little bit

0:25:05.560 --> 0:25:06.560
<v Speaker 13>of a tougher environment.

0:25:06.840 --> 0:25:08.879
<v Speaker 6>Well, look, I think the best thing we can do

0:25:08.960 --> 0:25:13.000
<v Speaker 6>for predictability is make the tax cuts and jobback permanent.

0:25:13.400 --> 0:25:15.399
<v Speaker 6>That would be the single best thing we could do

0:25:15.760 --> 0:25:18.320
<v Speaker 6>for predictability. We can go back to the one hundred

0:25:18.359 --> 0:25:23.320
<v Speaker 6>percent expencing and add some new features that I think

0:25:23.400 --> 0:25:24.440
<v Speaker 6>business is going.

0:25:24.359 --> 0:25:25.280
<v Speaker 7>To be very happy with.

0:25:25.440 --> 0:25:28.160
<v Speaker 6>But again the most important thing is that it filters

0:25:28.200 --> 0:25:32.359
<v Speaker 6>down to working wages, which is what we saw the

0:25:32.880 --> 0:25:34.640
<v Speaker 6>President Trump's first administration.

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