WEBVTT - Tech Selloff Deepens: Nasdaq 100 Faces Worst Drop Since 2022

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<v Speaker 1>We're from Mahard.

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<v Speaker 2>We're Innovation Money and Power Collie in Silicon Vallet NBN.

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<v Speaker 2>This is Bloomberg Technology with Caroline Hyde and.

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<v Speaker 3>Ed Ludlow live from San Francisco. This is Bloomberg Technology

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<v Speaker 3>coming up. A global equity route intensifies with big tech

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<v Speaker 3>at the forefront of the selloff, from Nvidio and TSMC to.

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<v Speaker 4>Robinhood and Microsoft.

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<v Speaker 3>We hone in on the names being hit hardest amid

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<v Speaker 3>the carnage, and we'll have full coverage on Apple as

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<v Speaker 3>Berkshire halfaway slashes its steak in the tech giant. But first,

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<v Speaker 3>this is the picture in financial markets. It is an

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<v Speaker 3>ugly day, but we're off session lows at the index level.

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<v Speaker 3>It started in Asia, it went to the European session.

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<v Speaker 3>Now in the United States, but looking at the S

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<v Speaker 3>and P five five hundred, even a three percent decline

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<v Speaker 3>puts US on track for its biggest drop since late September.

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<v Speaker 3>Chip stocks particularly feeling the anxiety names like in Nvidia,

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<v Speaker 3>but also TSMC's usadrs. You saw the yield on the

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<v Speaker 3>US two year treasury fall below that of the ten year.

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<v Speaker 3>Disinversion happen for the first time since July twenty twenty two.

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<v Speaker 3>The crypto markets are also interesting. Show me Bitcoin and

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<v Speaker 3>look at the severity of declines.

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<v Speaker 4>Remember that in the.

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<v Speaker 3>Crypto space, we're in an asset class that is trading

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<v Speaker 3>twenty four to seven If we can please bring that up,

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<v Speaker 3>because I want to move things forward. There's also particular

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<v Speaker 3>anxiety right in those single names. You look at Bitcoin

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<v Speaker 3>down eight point eight percent in a session twenty four

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<v Speaker 3>to seven hour trading.

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<v Speaker 4>Apple and and Vidia.

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<v Speaker 3>Also off session lows, but in particular names that leading

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<v Speaker 3>declines from a point perspective or a percentage change drag

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<v Speaker 3>at the index level.

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<v Speaker 4>Let's break it all down.

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<v Speaker 3>We got Bloomberg crossset report at Isabel Lee and also

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<v Speaker 3>our international Economics and Policy correspondent Michael McKee as well.

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<v Speaker 4>I start with you. I think this started with economic

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<v Speaker 4>data on Friday.

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<v Speaker 3>Then you had new slow through the weekend, and now

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<v Speaker 3>here we are through an Asia, Europe and the US

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<v Speaker 3>session where things don't look very good.

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<v Speaker 5>Exactly. It's sart. On a Friday, we had week jobs data,

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<v Speaker 5>but it wasn't really horrible, so we saw a stock

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<v Speaker 5>market under pressure. But over the weekend I was checking

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<v Speaker 5>my phone because I was trying to figure out what

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<v Speaker 5>is going wrong. And today we have New York to

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<v Speaker 5>London to Tokyo equities are really getting pummeled s and

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<v Speaker 5>P five hundred is on track for its worst routes

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<v Speaker 5>in twenty twenty two, with ninety five percent of the

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<v Speaker 5>stocks there in the red. And I read a note

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<v Speaker 5>this morning that's saying, instead of asking what's going wrong,

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<v Speaker 5>it's better to ask what didn't. We have a slew

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<v Speaker 5>of reasons for that. We have, for instance, a great

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<v Speaker 5>hip from Japan, a perceived failure by the said to

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<v Speaker 5>cut rates. We have unemployment US employment figures. We have

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<v Speaker 5>Warren Buffett selling Apple shares, and we had a Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 5>storytelling traders Okay, maybe it's really not some cost for

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<v Speaker 5>a panic, but of course we have some traders panicking.

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<v Speaker 5>And last, but not the least, is the unwiding and

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<v Speaker 5>the highly popular trade which is called popular yen, called

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<v Speaker 5>carry trade. We're also seeing pressure in that. So that's

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<v Speaker 5>a trade where you borrow yen investment in their high

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<v Speaker 5>flying currencies. But really it's just really a slew of reasons,

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<v Speaker 5>and I don't know where to start.

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<v Speaker 3>Mike McKee, our policy and economics corresponding the Fed, or

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<v Speaker 3>at least the market's expectations for the FED, are a

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<v Speaker 3>big part of this story. The swaps market at one

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<v Speaker 3>point pricing in a sixty percent six zero percent chance

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<v Speaker 3>of an emergency rate cut this week.

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<v Speaker 4>Explain that to me.

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<v Speaker 6>I can't really explain it to you except for panic.

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<v Speaker 6>It was in Asian markets where the volume is lower

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<v Speaker 6>and people don't understand the FED. Perhaps as well. It's

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<v Speaker 6>really come back now at the moment there's one week

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<v Speaker 6>swaps are pricing in a five basis point move, not

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<v Speaker 6>even a real rate cut. So at this point you

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<v Speaker 6>can't really say that people think the FED is going

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<v Speaker 6>to be getting involved. There's more of a wish being

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<v Speaker 6>the father to the man situation here in the markets,

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<v Speaker 6>always looking to the FED when something goes wrong.

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<v Speaker 7>But there's some right with.

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<v Speaker 6>What's happened today from an economic standpoint, in the sense

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<v Speaker 6>that the ISM services number was good, and with yields falling,

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<v Speaker 6>we're seeing mortgage rates falling. We're also seeing gasoline prices falling,

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<v Speaker 6>and all those things could be stimulative to the economy.

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<v Speaker 6>So the Fed's could to sit back and say you're

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<v Speaker 6>losing money in your equity trade, because maybe you did

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<v Speaker 6>the wrong trade, but it's not something we can fix.

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<v Speaker 4>Is value.

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<v Speaker 3>You sort of masterfully gave this global picture of what

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<v Speaker 3>happened in equities markets, tying in the economic data. One

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<v Speaker 3>of the questions I've been getting this morning on social

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<v Speaker 3>media has been about Bitcoin.

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<v Speaker 4>Loads of people saying, hold on.

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<v Speaker 3>You kept telling us that bitcoin would behave like a

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<v Speaker 3>haven asset in an environment like this. Bitcoin seems very

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<v Speaker 3>much tied to the FED narrative and economic data as well,

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<v Speaker 3>But that's the same.

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<v Speaker 5>Bitcoin hasn't been really a haven. In fact, it's been

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<v Speaker 5>more of a barometer of risk sentiment. And now we

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<v Speaker 5>see Bitcoin and Easier and all the other art coins

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<v Speaker 5>really edging lower in from me, what's interesting is the

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<v Speaker 5>Bitcoin ETFs and the ether ETF because we've never really

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<v Speaker 5>seen this economic climate with this product. I mean, a

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<v Speaker 5>lot of people are comparing it to the Great Financial

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<v Speaker 5>Crisis or other eras, but then we didn't have bitcoin

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<v Speaker 5>ETFs then, so we're really going to keep track of

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<v Speaker 5>the flows. I have a story from Across Asset team

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<v Speaker 5>about how billions were still poured into tech ETFs, and

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<v Speaker 5>of course now we see that they're under some pain,

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<v Speaker 5>so it's also going to be interesting to see how

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<v Speaker 5>bitcoin ets and ether ETFs trade in this really unfortunate

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<v Speaker 5>or fortunate depending on who you ask.

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<v Speaker 4>Pena'men on Mike.

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<v Speaker 3>We always say on this program Bloomberg Technology that higher

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<v Speaker 3>rates discount the present values of future cash flows. So,

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<v Speaker 3>in other words, technology investors track what the FED will

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<v Speaker 3>it won't do. I was listening to Bloomberg Surveillance earlier,

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<v Speaker 3>and they're talking about this distinction between the fed's lesser

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<v Speaker 3>focus on restrictive policy and a future moved to accommodative policy.

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<v Speaker 3>What happens next. I know that's really impossible for you

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<v Speaker 3>to answer, but go ahead.

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<v Speaker 6>Yeah, that is a sort of impossible set up there,

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<v Speaker 6>because the FED is going to want to wait as

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<v Speaker 6>long as possible. They don't want to do anything emergency.

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<v Speaker 6>They don't want to react to stock market ups and downs.

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<v Speaker 6>As long as you can trade, they don't care which

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<v Speaker 6>way the trade goes. But the data have to show

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<v Speaker 6>the Fed that there is a significant shift in the

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<v Speaker 6>economic outlook before they would consider doing something like a

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<v Speaker 6>fifty basis point cutter moving much more closer to accommodative.

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<v Speaker 6>They're still on track for twenty five in September because

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<v Speaker 6>they think they need to normalize, they need.

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<v Speaker 4>To get back to a closer to neutral rate.

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<v Speaker 6>And I don't think that's going to change, at least

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<v Speaker 6>in their minds unless we see some data start to

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<v Speaker 6>come in really badly. And the first data we had

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<v Speaker 6>out today, the ISM services numbers come in better than

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<v Speaker 6>expected across the board, So their caution is going to

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<v Speaker 6>be dependent on the data, and the data at this

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<v Speaker 6>point are not telling them they need to do anything.

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<v Speaker 3>Bloom Bags, Mike McKee and Isabel Lee, the best at

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<v Speaker 3>bloom Bags Television, New York, thank you so much. Let's

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<v Speaker 3>get more on the markets and bring in Angelocal cafas

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<v Speaker 3>senior strategists at Edward Jones. And I'm always one for

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<v Speaker 3>a data point. I'm thinking specifically about the Mag seven

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<v Speaker 3>and we have this index or gauge at the Mag

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<v Speaker 3>seven at one point in the session, it's biggest.

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<v Speaker 4>Drop on record. Take everything that our.

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<v Speaker 3>Team have just just said and apply it to what's

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<v Speaker 3>happening with the biggest technology names.

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<v Speaker 7>Sure.

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<v Speaker 8>Hello, Clearly volatility didn't take the summer off. We saw

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<v Speaker 8>the markets were led by the Magnificent seven and on

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<v Speaker 8>the way lower, it's been the Magnificent seven that have

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<v Speaker 8>been really the weak spot. I think the issue has

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<v Speaker 8>been that of expectations. These companies continue to deliver outsize

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<v Speaker 8>earnings growth, but the bar was very high heading into

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<v Speaker 8>this quorder, and as a result we did see some disappointments.

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<v Speaker 8>These were the names that have been trading at the

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<v Speaker 8>highest pe ratios. So as we talking about the yen charactery,

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<v Speaker 8>heads funds, many heads fans borrowing in yen to invest

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<v Speaker 8>in other assets, and now with the yen appreciation, they're

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<v Speaker 8>selling some of those assets, and no doubt some of

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<v Speaker 8>these are the Magnificent seven stocks. So we have a

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<v Speaker 8>combination of high bar, we have earnings broadening to other sectors.

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<v Speaker 8>For example, this earning season, we have seen the biggest

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<v Speaker 8>earning surprises coming from defensive sectors and also some of

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<v Speaker 8>the cyclical ones and not the growth sectors that we

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<v Speaker 8>have been used to over the last couple of earning seasons.

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<v Speaker 3>But at the same time, the fundamentals have not seen

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<v Speaker 3>so let exactly, so let me jump in.

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<v Speaker 4>The fundamentals have not changed, is what you just said.

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<v Speaker 3>We made a big deal of the gain in the

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<v Speaker 3>S and P five hundred in the first half of

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<v Speaker 3>this year, fourteen percent or so, largely coming from the

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<v Speaker 3>Magnificent seven and in years where the S and P

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<v Speaker 3>five hundred is gained double digits in one AH, it

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<v Speaker 3>usually goes on to perform in two AH. How much

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<v Speaker 3>of the departure is this session for that historic trend.

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<v Speaker 8>Not that this is an abrupt and uncomfortable pullback. And

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<v Speaker 8>I think there's two things going on. One is the

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<v Speaker 8>technical picture, which if it is an over reaction that

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<v Speaker 8>potentially move lower presents an opportunity for the remainder of

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<v Speaker 8>the year. And then the second part we need to

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<v Speaker 8>answer as investors is is there something fundamentally broken?

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<v Speaker 7>Meaning are we heading towards the recession?

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<v Speaker 8>Because part of a lot of that narrative has been

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<v Speaker 8>around the growth scare, and I think for our clients' perspective,

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<v Speaker 8>we need to first answer the latter. The US economy

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<v Speaker 8>still continues to grow, let's call it trend or maybe

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<v Speaker 8>slightly below trend. Looking at the GDP now estimate for

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<v Speaker 8>Q three is still slightly north of two percent. We

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<v Speaker 8>just got the ism services PMI that was well into

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<v Speaker 8>expansion territory, and the em employment component very importantly provided

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<v Speaker 8>some reason for optimism given the Friday jobs report that

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<v Speaker 8>we get. We do not think that the US economy

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<v Speaker 8>in a week's time is going to fall off bed

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<v Speaker 8>We have seen still rising earnings, corporate profits, consumers, and

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<v Speaker 8>corporate balances remain healthy. So I think it fits into

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<v Speaker 8>the narrative of broadening in market leadership away necessarily from

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<v Speaker 8>the overall potentially over extended peck.

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<v Speaker 7>So we are still posed for the remainder of the year.

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<v Speaker 8>But we don't think that the Magnificent seven are going

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<v Speaker 8>to be once again the ones that everybody gravitates towards.

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<v Speaker 4>Angelo.

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<v Speaker 3>Chief of what among what you've just outlined is in video,

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<v Speaker 3>we are way off session loads and video is down

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<v Speaker 3>six percent, but one point in the session was down

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<v Speaker 3>fifteen percent, which for a company that size is a

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<v Speaker 3>big drop. There was a report from the Information that

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<v Speaker 3>said Blackwell, the next generation AI accelerator with face delays

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<v Speaker 3>due to a design issue.

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<v Speaker 4>Over the weekend.

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<v Speaker 3>In video got back to us and said that actually

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<v Speaker 3>Hopper demand is strong, Blackwell sampling is started. They don't

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<v Speaker 3>comment on rumors, et cetera. You just said that we'll

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<v Speaker 3>move away from sort of the concentration of leadership, but

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<v Speaker 3>we have to wait until the twenty eighth for this

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<v Speaker 3>month to get in video earnings. That's quite a long

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<v Speaker 3>period of time in which the markets could have some

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<v Speaker 3>anxiety for what has been a leader in the direction

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<v Speaker 3>of travel.

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<v Speaker 4>What do you make of that?

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<v Speaker 8>Yeah, the Nvida is the last of Magnificent seven to

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<v Speaker 8>report earnings, and no doubt, it's not that everybody the

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<v Speaker 8>whole world is watching the theme so far with everybody's

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<v Speaker 8>excited about the artificial intelligence, but there has been some

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<v Speaker 8>skepticism over the last couple of weeks and investors are

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<v Speaker 8>getting increasingly impatient to see the heavy spending of AI

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<v Speaker 8>translate into eternal profits. But what we have been hearing

0:11:49.040 --> 0:11:52.560
<v Speaker 8>from the remainder Magnificent six of the seven that they

0:11:52.600 --> 0:11:55.200
<v Speaker 8>have been spending, so that should continue to be a

0:11:55.320 --> 0:11:59.920
<v Speaker 8>pail wind for Nvidia. And I think what we're all

0:12:00.120 --> 0:12:03.200
<v Speaker 8>been with here is again the high bar of expectations

0:12:03.360 --> 0:12:05.040
<v Speaker 8>when you have a stock that's been up so much

0:12:05.040 --> 0:12:06.959
<v Speaker 8>over the last couple of years and so this year,

0:12:07.000 --> 0:12:12.440
<v Speaker 8>even with the recent pullback, Naturally that creates tension points

0:12:12.600 --> 0:12:15.640
<v Speaker 8>whenever news like we have been getting over the last

0:12:15.679 --> 0:12:18.440
<v Speaker 8>couple of weeks emergence. But at the same time, again

0:12:18.480 --> 0:12:22.080
<v Speaker 8>we still continue to be positive around artificial intelligence, not

0:12:22.160 --> 0:12:24.400
<v Speaker 8>only for this year, but for the next five to

0:12:24.480 --> 0:12:25.319
<v Speaker 8>ten years.

0:12:25.600 --> 0:12:28.439
<v Speaker 7>And I think that that is important for investors to remember.

0:12:29.679 --> 0:12:33.680
<v Speaker 3>Angel Local Cafe senior strategist Edward Jones, thank you. We

0:12:33.840 --> 0:12:36.880
<v Speaker 3>said that this all started in the Asian session. The

0:12:36.960 --> 0:12:41.080
<v Speaker 3>taie X saw its worst day in fifty seven years

0:12:41.320 --> 0:12:45.199
<v Speaker 3>after TSMC shares plunged nine point eight percent, a record

0:12:45.320 --> 0:12:49.040
<v Speaker 3>daily decline for the AI chip maker. TISMC accounts for

0:12:49.120 --> 0:12:51.840
<v Speaker 3>more than thirty percent of the taie X, which closed

0:12:52.320 --> 0:12:54.880
<v Speaker 3>down eight point four percent. It's worth sell off since

0:12:54.960 --> 0:12:58.480
<v Speaker 3>nineteen sixty seven in the seas In Japan and South

0:12:58.559 --> 0:13:03.880
<v Speaker 3>Korea also significantly in their Monday sessions. Coming up here

0:13:03.920 --> 0:13:06.040
<v Speaker 3>on Bloomberg Technology, we're going to hone in on Apple

0:13:06.160 --> 0:13:10.440
<v Speaker 3>as shares plunge and Berkshire slashes its steak in the

0:13:10.480 --> 0:13:13.720
<v Speaker 3>iPhone maker. The stock down three point three percent, again

0:13:14.040 --> 0:13:16.680
<v Speaker 3>of session lows, but a significant decline.

0:13:16.800 --> 0:13:18.000
<v Speaker 4>This is Bloomberg Technology.

0:13:27.080 --> 0:13:29.000
<v Speaker 9>I believe it to buy an opportunity for the high

0:13:29.120 --> 0:13:32.080
<v Speaker 9>quality of large cab memes that we like.

0:13:32.160 --> 0:13:34.560
<v Speaker 7>To buy in these types of periods.

0:13:36.920 --> 0:13:39.359
<v Speaker 3>Dan I was of Webbush earlier saying it's an opportunity

0:13:39.440 --> 0:13:41.440
<v Speaker 3>to buy the dip in big tech. I know he's

0:13:41.480 --> 0:13:43.880
<v Speaker 3>not alone in calling for that this morning. Let's also

0:13:43.920 --> 0:13:45.680
<v Speaker 3>take a look at shares of Apple. We are way

0:13:45.720 --> 0:13:48.400
<v Speaker 3>off session lows, but at one point in the session

0:13:48.440 --> 0:13:52.079
<v Speaker 3>we're down more than ten percent, which was a worrying

0:13:52.120 --> 0:13:55.600
<v Speaker 3>way to start the US session on a Monday. Let's

0:13:55.679 --> 0:13:58.960
<v Speaker 3>bring in Bloomberg's Mark German. One of the catalysts or

0:13:59.000 --> 0:14:03.080
<v Speaker 3>newsflow items of the weekend was Berkshire halfway slashing at

0:14:03.160 --> 0:14:06.720
<v Speaker 3>steak in Apple, largely to generate cash. But there's his

0:14:06.760 --> 0:14:09.200
<v Speaker 3>story on the Bloombag about how Apple investors have been

0:14:09.280 --> 0:14:13.000
<v Speaker 3>urged to keep calm in spite of what happened elsewhere.

0:14:13.040 --> 0:14:15.960
<v Speaker 3>We just concerned about growth the Apple side of this story.

0:14:15.960 --> 0:14:19.480
<v Speaker 4>Please, when you have declines.

0:14:19.000 --> 0:14:22.640
<v Speaker 9>Of this magnitude, you mentioned the ten percent decline in

0:14:22.680 --> 0:14:25.040
<v Speaker 9>the early hours of trading. Now it sounds to about

0:14:25.040 --> 0:14:29.280
<v Speaker 9>a three percent decline. These are more macro related issues

0:14:29.320 --> 0:14:32.800
<v Speaker 9>when you have those big swings in that volatility. Right,

0:14:33.080 --> 0:14:37.120
<v Speaker 9>There's nothing that Apple necessarily did. There's no news item

0:14:37.200 --> 0:14:41.680
<v Speaker 9>related to Apple's actions a product its earnings.

0:14:41.240 --> 0:14:43.320
<v Speaker 1>From last week. A lot of this has to do

0:14:43.400 --> 0:14:44.160
<v Speaker 1>with macro.

0:14:44.000 --> 0:14:47.200
<v Speaker 9>Concerns, the situation currently going on in the Middle East,

0:14:47.480 --> 0:14:51.120
<v Speaker 9>the uncertainty surrounding the election, people wanting to hold onto

0:14:51.160 --> 0:14:53.200
<v Speaker 9>their cash. But of course, as you mentioned the Warren

0:14:53.240 --> 0:14:57.600
<v Speaker 9>Buffett Berkshire Hathaway news from over the weekend compared to

0:14:57.720 --> 0:15:01.160
<v Speaker 9>the beginning of twenty twenty four, as steak in Apple

0:15:01.360 --> 0:15:02.320
<v Speaker 9>is now half.

0:15:02.200 --> 0:15:02.960
<v Speaker 7>Of what it was.

0:15:03.320 --> 0:15:06.600
<v Speaker 9>He still hasn't about an eighty four point two billion

0:15:06.640 --> 0:15:09.520
<v Speaker 9>dollar steak, So a huge steak remaining in Apple. But

0:15:09.560 --> 0:15:13.040
<v Speaker 9>when you get those headlines about Warren Buffett right telling

0:15:13.120 --> 0:15:15.720
<v Speaker 9>that much Apple over the course of the last six

0:15:15.760 --> 0:15:19.280
<v Speaker 9>to eight months, that could be concerning combined with some

0:15:19.320 --> 0:15:24.760
<v Speaker 9>of the other concerns greater China, artificial intelligence growth, the

0:15:24.800 --> 0:15:29.080
<v Speaker 9>performance of the iPhone moving forward, their guidance certainly all

0:15:29.080 --> 0:15:31.320
<v Speaker 9>of that combined in addition to the macro factors.

0:15:32.720 --> 0:15:35.680
<v Speaker 3>Bloomberg News reflected going into Apple's earnings that some of

0:15:35.720 --> 0:15:38.080
<v Speaker 3>the run up in the stock over recent weeks and

0:15:38.160 --> 0:15:42.120
<v Speaker 3>months had been really about faith that Apple Intelligence would deliver.

0:15:42.280 --> 0:15:45.880
<v Speaker 3>You've written over the weekend after earnings that actually, with

0:15:46.000 --> 0:15:48.080
<v Speaker 3>Apple Intelligence, there's a long way to go.

0:15:48.480 --> 0:15:51.120
<v Speaker 4>What were your arguments, Yeah.

0:15:50.920 --> 0:15:54.640
<v Speaker 9>Apple Intelligence obviously is going to be a big initiative

0:15:54.640 --> 0:15:55.720
<v Speaker 9>for Apple moving forward.

0:15:55.800 --> 0:15:58.680
<v Speaker 1>They're marketing this heavily on the earnings call.

0:15:58.760 --> 0:16:01.320
<v Speaker 9>I didn't get an official count, but I'm sure Tim

0:16:01.320 --> 0:16:04.240
<v Speaker 9>Cook mentioned it at least fifteen to twenty times. Nearly

0:16:04.280 --> 0:16:06.600
<v Speaker 9>every analyst asked about it. That has been a big

0:16:06.640 --> 0:16:09.760
<v Speaker 9>catalyst for stock growth. But I don't think the initial

0:16:09.760 --> 0:16:12.280
<v Speaker 9>feature set or even the future set in totality is

0:16:12.320 --> 0:16:15.360
<v Speaker 9>something that's going to drive iPhone upgrades for this cycle.

0:16:15.560 --> 0:16:18.000
<v Speaker 9>I think it's something that's probably going to drive upgrades

0:16:18.320 --> 0:16:20.600
<v Speaker 9>in future cycles. Now, I want to be clear, I

0:16:20.640 --> 0:16:24.440
<v Speaker 9>don't think there's a connection between realizations about the performance

0:16:24.440 --> 0:16:27.920
<v Speaker 9>of artificial intelligence and this Apple stock decline. If you

0:16:27.960 --> 0:16:29.960
<v Speaker 9>look at the rest of the market, they're in decline

0:16:30.000 --> 0:16:32.520
<v Speaker 9>as well, So I think it's largely about more macro

0:16:32.640 --> 0:16:34.800
<v Speaker 9>factors than anything very specific.

0:16:34.800 --> 0:16:39.040
<v Speaker 3>In particular Bloomberg's Mark German on All Things Apple, Thank you.

0:16:47.160 --> 0:16:48.720
<v Speaker 4>Time for talking tech and first Up.

0:16:48.800 --> 0:16:52.480
<v Speaker 3>TikTok is being sued by the US government for allegedly

0:16:52.520 --> 0:16:55.880
<v Speaker 3>collecting data on children. In a suit filed on Friday,

0:16:56.080 --> 0:16:58.840
<v Speaker 3>the Justice Department claims the app has allowed millions of

0:16:58.920 --> 0:17:02.600
<v Speaker 3>kids under the age of thirteen to create accounts without

0:17:02.640 --> 0:17:06.159
<v Speaker 3>their parents' knowledge or consent in violation of an online

0:17:06.200 --> 0:17:10.080
<v Speaker 3>Privacy Act. TikTok previously reached a settlement in twenty nineteen

0:17:10.400 --> 0:17:14.320
<v Speaker 3>with the FTC on concerns related to child privacy.

0:17:14.359 --> 0:17:14.719
<v Speaker 4>Plus.

0:17:14.920 --> 0:17:18.240
<v Speaker 3>Online trading platforms from robin Hood to Fidelity and Charles

0:17:18.320 --> 0:17:22.080
<v Speaker 3>Schwab have been suffering outages amid a surge in volume

0:17:22.280 --> 0:17:25.480
<v Speaker 3>during this market sell off. More than fourteen thousand users

0:17:25.720 --> 0:17:28.960
<v Speaker 3>reported an outage at Schwab at nine to fifty am

0:17:29.000 --> 0:17:31.440
<v Speaker 3>in New York. That's according to the website down Detector.

0:17:31.760 --> 0:17:34.439
<v Speaker 3>The firm did not immediately respond to requests for comment,

0:17:34.600 --> 0:17:37.399
<v Speaker 3>but a company account posted on the social site x

0:17:37.640 --> 0:17:42.280
<v Speaker 3>that some clients may have difficulty logging to Schwab platforms

0:17:42.480 --> 0:17:44.760
<v Speaker 3>and shares of in Video falling today amid the tech

0:17:44.800 --> 0:17:47.800
<v Speaker 3>sell off. According to reports, the company's upcoming AI chips

0:17:47.840 --> 0:17:51.040
<v Speaker 3>will be delayed by three months or more due to

0:17:51.080 --> 0:17:54.320
<v Speaker 3>a design flow and in Video spokesperson responded to Bloomberg

0:17:54.359 --> 0:17:57.479
<v Speaker 3>over the weekend, saying, as we stated before, Hopper demand

0:17:57.560 --> 0:18:01.879
<v Speaker 3>is very strong. Broad Blackwell's sum has started and productions

0:18:01.920 --> 0:18:04.359
<v Speaker 3>on track to ramp in two h Beyond that, we

0:18:04.440 --> 0:18:07.600
<v Speaker 3>don't comment on rumors all right more on AI. Groc

0:18:08.000 --> 0:18:10.399
<v Speaker 3>has raised six hundred and forty million dollars in a

0:18:10.440 --> 0:18:14.520
<v Speaker 3>Series D funding round, bringing evaluation to two point eight

0:18:14.520 --> 0:18:18.920
<v Speaker 3>billion dollars. The startup focuses on building fast AI inference

0:18:19.200 --> 0:18:23.679
<v Speaker 3>technology to supply increasing demand delights, bringing Jonathan Ross, founder

0:18:23.920 --> 0:18:24.720
<v Speaker 3>and CEO.

0:18:24.520 --> 0:18:25.680
<v Speaker 4>Of GROCK for more.

0:18:25.920 --> 0:18:28.040
<v Speaker 3>Just last week, we were speaking to Lisa sou the

0:18:28.200 --> 0:18:32.560
<v Speaker 3>MDCO about the move from training to influence. It's a

0:18:32.600 --> 0:18:35.359
<v Speaker 3>sizable chunk of change you managed to raise. I guess

0:18:35.400 --> 0:18:37.560
<v Speaker 3>the best starting place what we use the cash for.

0:18:38.840 --> 0:18:40.359
<v Speaker 10>So the first thing is that we're going to build

0:18:40.359 --> 0:18:43.400
<v Speaker 10>out about one hundred and eight thousand of our LPU

0:18:43.480 --> 0:18:47.080
<v Speaker 10>chips or language processing units. To put that in perspective,

0:18:47.400 --> 0:18:50.680
<v Speaker 10>you mentioned Hopper the Nvidia GPU. Last year they shipped

0:18:50.680 --> 0:18:52.960
<v Speaker 10>about five hundred thousand, so this would be about twenty

0:18:52.960 --> 0:18:57.080
<v Speaker 10>percent of what they shipped last year. Secondly, we intend

0:18:57.119 --> 0:19:00.800
<v Speaker 10>to hire significantly. We're building out a lot of features.

0:19:00.800 --> 0:19:03.439
<v Speaker 10>We actually offer a token as a service business where

0:19:03.600 --> 0:19:05.960
<v Speaker 10>people can just use our hardware without having to buy it.

0:19:07.240 --> 0:19:10.760
<v Speaker 10>And then we are looking at some acquisitions going forward

0:19:10.760 --> 0:19:12.560
<v Speaker 10>as well.

0:19:12.800 --> 0:19:17.720
<v Speaker 3>Strategically, when did GROC sort of say okay, inference needs

0:19:17.720 --> 0:19:20.320
<v Speaker 3>to be our focus and how is it helping you

0:19:20.359 --> 0:19:23.320
<v Speaker 3>get sort of get ahead that There's lots been discussed

0:19:23.320 --> 0:19:26.760
<v Speaker 3>on this program about the many startups and companies working

0:19:27.119 --> 0:19:29.840
<v Speaker 3>on training large language models from many hundreds of billions

0:19:29.840 --> 0:19:34.160
<v Speaker 3>of parameters to smaller models. You have a more narrow focus, Jonathan.

0:19:35.160 --> 0:19:35.360
<v Speaker 7>Yeah.

0:19:35.400 --> 0:19:38.080
<v Speaker 10>So Grok from the beginning is focused on inference. And

0:19:38.359 --> 0:19:41.400
<v Speaker 10>the reason is training at this point is a well

0:19:41.440 --> 0:19:43.320
<v Speaker 10>solved problem and we always knew that it would be

0:19:43.440 --> 0:19:46.560
<v Speaker 10>my background. I actually started the Google TPU chip and

0:19:46.720 --> 0:19:49.720
<v Speaker 10>we actually started with inference there because we're actually able

0:19:49.760 --> 0:19:51.520
<v Speaker 10>to train the models, we just couldn't afford to put

0:19:51.560 --> 0:19:54.520
<v Speaker 10>them in production. Typically, whatever you spend on training, you

0:19:54.520 --> 0:19:57.280
<v Speaker 10>will continue to spend going forward, but you're going to

0:19:57.280 --> 0:19:59.920
<v Speaker 10>spend ten to twenty times that much putting it into production.

0:20:00.480 --> 0:20:02.399
<v Speaker 10>You spend money to make the models, you make your

0:20:02.400 --> 0:20:06.560
<v Speaker 10>money with inference. It's also a scale game, and so

0:20:06.680 --> 0:20:08.240
<v Speaker 10>we've been focused on this since day one.

0:20:09.840 --> 0:20:14.040
<v Speaker 3>There's also sort of a relationship and talent conversation to

0:20:14.040 --> 0:20:16.840
<v Speaker 3>be had. Yan lquern Over at Meta is going to

0:20:16.840 --> 0:20:20.080
<v Speaker 3>be your new technical advisor, which was in the news

0:20:20.119 --> 0:20:20.680
<v Speaker 3>as well.

0:20:20.760 --> 0:20:22.040
<v Speaker 4>Why is that important to you?

0:20:23.119 --> 0:20:26.280
<v Speaker 10>So, Yan lacun is a legendary in this industry. He

0:20:26.359 --> 0:20:28.400
<v Speaker 10>won the Turing Award for being one of the three

0:20:28.440 --> 0:20:31.320
<v Speaker 10>people who invented the algorithms that make modern AI work.

0:20:31.680 --> 0:20:35.560
<v Speaker 10>And of course Yan Lacun is very centrally positioned in

0:20:35.640 --> 0:20:39.000
<v Speaker 10>terms of AI. He's also pushing very heavily for open

0:20:39.040 --> 0:20:42.200
<v Speaker 10>source models or open weights models, and this is something

0:20:42.200 --> 0:20:45.840
<v Speaker 10>that's important for the industry. GROC actually wouldn't exist today

0:20:46.200 --> 0:20:48.639
<v Speaker 10>if it wasn't for open source models. We'd actually built

0:20:48.640 --> 0:20:51.080
<v Speaker 10>the world's best chips, but if we didn't also have

0:20:51.160 --> 0:20:52.959
<v Speaker 10>the software to run on it, we wouldn't be able

0:20:53.000 --> 0:20:56.600
<v Speaker 10>to demonstrate that. And so the LAMA models for meta

0:20:56.920 --> 0:21:00.320
<v Speaker 10>effectively are the Linux of the generative age, and it's

0:21:00.440 --> 0:21:03.200
<v Speaker 10>enabling people to get into the AI business without having

0:21:03.200 --> 0:21:04.320
<v Speaker 10>to train the models themselves.

0:21:06.160 --> 0:21:16.920
<v Speaker 3>Jonathan Ross, founder and CEO of GROC, Welcome back to

0:21:16.920 --> 0:21:19.720
<v Speaker 3>Bloomberg Technology, Ed Ludlow in San Francisco. I go straight

0:21:19.720 --> 0:21:22.359
<v Speaker 3>to the Nasdaq one hundred, So we're off session lows,

0:21:22.400 --> 0:21:25.159
<v Speaker 3>down two point three percent or so in this session,

0:21:25.160 --> 0:21:27.720
<v Speaker 3>but we remind ourselves something that we talked about on Friday.

0:21:28.040 --> 0:21:32.360
<v Speaker 3>The Nasdaq one hundred closed Friday with four straight weeks

0:21:32.359 --> 0:21:36.480
<v Speaker 3>of declines, So what's happening right now in the moment.

0:21:36.600 --> 0:21:40.320
<v Speaker 3>There is anxiety in global financial markets, but it's kind

0:21:40.400 --> 0:21:42.639
<v Speaker 3>of been happening over a longer period of time in

0:21:42.720 --> 0:21:46.600
<v Speaker 3>terms of the downward pressure on technology stocks, in particular

0:21:46.880 --> 0:21:50.960
<v Speaker 3>in terms of single names and specific asset classes. Nvidia

0:21:51.000 --> 0:21:53.879
<v Speaker 3>is under pressure, but off session lows. Apple actually is

0:21:53.920 --> 0:21:57.080
<v Speaker 3>now down four percent and its declines are starting to accelerate,

0:21:57.080 --> 0:21:59.639
<v Speaker 3>but nowhere near the near eleven percent drop at the open.

0:22:00.000 --> 0:22:03.399
<v Speaker 3>Then Bitcoin well fifty four thousand US dollars per token

0:22:03.840 --> 0:22:05.919
<v Speaker 3>trading twenty four to seven, but was down eight percent

0:22:05.960 --> 0:22:07.040
<v Speaker 3>in the current US session.

0:22:07.280 --> 0:22:09.080
<v Speaker 4>There's a lot to discuss. Delights.

0:22:09.119 --> 0:22:11.720
<v Speaker 3>Bring in my friend Bluembo Shnali Bassak. I mean, you

0:22:11.760 --> 0:22:14.560
<v Speaker 3>had two hours on open interest, right and I think

0:22:14.600 --> 0:22:17.720
<v Speaker 3>that you probably discuss all manner of things, the basics

0:22:17.720 --> 0:22:20.400
<v Speaker 3>being a move into the bomb markets, the safety of them,

0:22:20.680 --> 0:22:24.440
<v Speaker 3>bitcoins not behaving like a haven asset, and equacy investors

0:22:24.480 --> 0:22:27.960
<v Speaker 3>are either very worried or completely sanguine. Reflects on some

0:22:27.960 --> 0:22:29.360
<v Speaker 3>of the conversations that you've.

0:22:29.160 --> 0:22:32.360
<v Speaker 11>Had a few things to the point that you're making here,

0:22:32.440 --> 0:22:34.359
<v Speaker 11>you're looking at the third day of declines in the

0:22:34.440 --> 0:22:36.720
<v Speaker 11>s and P five hundred, and then the Nazak one hundred.

0:22:36.960 --> 0:22:39.040
<v Speaker 11>It is the third day of declines of more than

0:22:39.080 --> 0:22:42.440
<v Speaker 11>two percent. Friday, you saw the Nazaq one hundred really

0:22:42.480 --> 0:22:46.400
<v Speaker 11>flirt with that correction territory. Then over the weekend into today,

0:22:46.760 --> 0:22:51.040
<v Speaker 11>you saw the Asian trade just really really sell through

0:22:51.040 --> 0:22:54.840
<v Speaker 11>the ground here. You saw really historic really moves there

0:22:54.880 --> 0:22:57.119
<v Speaker 11>in Japanese equities for example.

0:22:57.320 --> 0:22:58.040
<v Speaker 4>And what you.

0:22:58.000 --> 0:23:01.119
<v Speaker 11>Saw was an unwinding of a globe carry trade. This

0:23:01.200 --> 0:23:04.840
<v Speaker 11>is what investors are borrowing under a cheap currency and

0:23:04.880 --> 0:23:09.440
<v Speaker 11>really plowing those assets now into higher yielding US assets,

0:23:09.480 --> 0:23:12.480
<v Speaker 11>particularly stocks in this instance, which is why you're seeing

0:23:12.480 --> 0:23:15.680
<v Speaker 11>that unwind. Now, the major question is how far does

0:23:15.720 --> 0:23:19.240
<v Speaker 11>that unwind really go? On top of that, there's very

0:23:19.240 --> 0:23:22.120
<v Speaker 11>few places to hide. To your point, Bitcoin today now

0:23:22.200 --> 0:23:26.120
<v Speaker 11>flirting with about fifty five thousand, had fallen below fifty thousand.

0:23:26.480 --> 0:23:27.600
<v Speaker 4>You saw gold.

0:23:27.440 --> 0:23:30.320
<v Speaker 11>Dropping this morning, oil dropping as well. You saw a

0:23:30.359 --> 0:23:33.040
<v Speaker 11>lot of risk off attitudes across the board and in

0:23:33.119 --> 0:23:35.840
<v Speaker 11>the bond market as well, until you saw that ism

0:23:35.920 --> 0:23:37.920
<v Speaker 11>data hit and give a little bit of a sigh

0:23:37.960 --> 0:23:40.359
<v Speaker 11>of relief. You are now watching a bond market a

0:23:40.440 --> 0:23:43.600
<v Speaker 11>to your yield essentially about flat on the day, so

0:23:43.680 --> 0:23:46.480
<v Speaker 11>that severe bid in the bond market starting to take

0:23:46.480 --> 0:23:49.359
<v Speaker 11>its foot off of the pedal here, and stocks taking

0:23:49.400 --> 0:23:51.600
<v Speaker 11>a little bit of a breather along with it. Still

0:23:51.640 --> 0:23:54.000
<v Speaker 11>down on the day, but not as severely as we

0:23:54.080 --> 0:23:57.800
<v Speaker 11>started the day lower. Those small cap equities also taking

0:23:57.880 --> 0:24:01.440
<v Speaker 11>a major hit today as well. Remember recently a lot

0:24:01.480 --> 0:24:05.840
<v Speaker 11>of traders plowing into that Russell two thousand rotation really

0:24:05.880 --> 0:24:09.040
<v Speaker 11>feeling the pain, so underneath the surface, a lot of pain.

0:24:09.480 --> 0:24:11.800
<v Speaker 11>I will also say takes a couple of days to

0:24:11.840 --> 0:24:15.000
<v Speaker 11>see those margin calls also start to come through. Big

0:24:15.080 --> 0:24:17.760
<v Speaker 11>question here about whether there is more pain once you

0:24:17.800 --> 0:24:19.679
<v Speaker 11>see those calls start to come through the market.

0:24:20.680 --> 0:24:24.159
<v Speaker 3>Starting Monday with a discussion about margin calls. Happy Monday

0:24:24.200 --> 0:24:28.840
<v Speaker 3>to you, Bluebooks, Snali Vassek, thank you. Let's get the investors' perspective.

0:24:28.920 --> 0:24:32.720
<v Speaker 3>Nancy Tegler of Laffatengler Investments here to talk markets and

0:24:33.440 --> 0:24:36.760
<v Speaker 3>with respect. You've been in and around the market so

0:24:36.840 --> 0:24:38.840
<v Speaker 3>a lot longer than I But I just want to

0:24:38.840 --> 0:24:40.680
<v Speaker 3>go back to the point I made in my market

0:24:40.760 --> 0:24:43.840
<v Speaker 3>check that the NAZ that one hundred had had four straight.

0:24:43.600 --> 0:24:44.560
<v Speaker 4>Weeks of declines.

0:24:45.240 --> 0:24:49.480
<v Speaker 3>Bitcoin traded lower through the weekend over multiple days when

0:24:49.520 --> 0:24:53.480
<v Speaker 3>you wake up to daylight today, is it anxiety or

0:24:53.560 --> 0:24:55.119
<v Speaker 3>is it well, we should have seen this coming a

0:24:55.160 --> 0:24:55.600
<v Speaker 3>little bit.

0:24:57.160 --> 0:25:00.040
<v Speaker 12>Well, yes, thanks for having me ED. I think we

0:25:00.119 --> 0:25:04.239
<v Speaker 12>kind of did see it coming. As earning started. The

0:25:04.240 --> 0:25:08.800
<v Speaker 12>penalty that Alphabet received for CAPEC spending and just somewhat

0:25:08.840 --> 0:25:13.159
<v Speaker 12>weaker margins in the next quarter seemed outsized to me.

0:25:13.400 --> 0:25:16.400
<v Speaker 12>And that's often what happens when valuations get a little

0:25:16.440 --> 0:25:20.200
<v Speaker 12>bit lofty, and then every bit of news, every bit

0:25:20.240 --> 0:25:23.560
<v Speaker 12>of headline news, drives the market because thealgoes are reading

0:25:24.119 --> 0:25:27.000
<v Speaker 12>the headlines, the hedge funds are trading off of the headlines,

0:25:27.240 --> 0:25:30.600
<v Speaker 12>and so you get these big, outsized moves. If you

0:25:30.640 --> 0:25:33.600
<v Speaker 12>put it in the perspective of the forty plus years

0:25:33.600 --> 0:25:36.600
<v Speaker 12>I've been doing it historically, this has been a time

0:25:36.640 --> 0:25:39.560
<v Speaker 12>when you've wanted to step back, not jump in too quickly,

0:25:40.000 --> 0:25:42.800
<v Speaker 12>but build a list of names that you want to own.

0:25:43.200 --> 0:25:46.000
<v Speaker 12>And then as the market sort of settle in the

0:25:46.080 --> 0:25:48.520
<v Speaker 12>VIX comes down a little bit, then I think this

0:25:48.840 --> 0:25:51.440
<v Speaker 12>is once again an opportunity. The last thing I'll say

0:25:51.440 --> 0:25:55.159
<v Speaker 12>about this ED is that the one economic number that

0:25:55.240 --> 0:25:58.879
<v Speaker 12>has been little discussed and gone unnoticed was the improvement

0:25:58.960 --> 0:26:02.960
<v Speaker 12>in productivity too, was came in much harder than expected,

0:26:03.000 --> 0:26:07.000
<v Speaker 12>up two point three percent. The previous quarter was revised

0:26:07.119 --> 0:26:10.440
<v Speaker 12>up also, and I think productivity is going to be

0:26:10.480 --> 0:26:13.720
<v Speaker 12>the key, the magic bullet, whatever you want to call it,

0:26:13.840 --> 0:26:19.560
<v Speaker 12>for continued economic growth in a lower inflationary environment.

0:26:21.200 --> 0:26:25.159
<v Speaker 3>Take what you just said about productivity then, and I

0:26:25.240 --> 0:26:27.640
<v Speaker 3>post a question of what should the market do with that?

0:26:27.800 --> 0:26:30.119
<v Speaker 3>You know, Mike McKee was on the show earlier trying

0:26:30.280 --> 0:26:33.520
<v Speaker 3>his best to explain why the swats market with price

0:26:33.560 --> 0:26:36.959
<v Speaker 3>a sixty percent chance of the Fed doing an emergency

0:26:37.040 --> 0:26:40.000
<v Speaker 3>rate cut this week, and that seems more tied to

0:26:40.600 --> 0:26:45.119
<v Speaker 3>the equities market rather than warding off a recession or not.

0:26:45.240 --> 0:26:46.240
<v Speaker 4>I'm just trying.

0:26:45.960 --> 0:26:51.240
<v Speaker 3>To tie macro and monetary policy with the market's behavior

0:26:51.320 --> 0:26:51.800
<v Speaker 3>right now.

0:26:52.760 --> 0:26:55.919
<v Speaker 12>Well, yeah, and if you had been well, you certainly

0:26:55.920 --> 0:26:58.320
<v Speaker 12>know about the bond vigilandies. But that's what this feels

0:26:58.400 --> 0:27:00.920
<v Speaker 12>like to me. It's the market having temper tantrum because

0:27:00.960 --> 0:27:03.400
<v Speaker 12>they think the Fed is waited too long. They probably

0:27:03.440 --> 0:27:06.280
<v Speaker 12>have waited too long. They've been behind the curve, so

0:27:06.359 --> 0:27:08.840
<v Speaker 12>to speak, all the way through this process. And this

0:27:09.000 --> 0:27:12.960
<v Speaker 12>notion of being data dependent in a world where you

0:27:13.080 --> 0:27:16.439
<v Speaker 12>need to be looking forward and where they're four hundred

0:27:16.560 --> 0:27:22.080
<v Speaker 12>plus PhD economists are forecasting models. They have made, in

0:27:22.160 --> 0:27:27.120
<v Speaker 12>my estimation, an enormous policy error. But that said, stocks

0:27:27.200 --> 0:27:29.800
<v Speaker 12>ultimately should trade off of earnings. I think we get

0:27:29.800 --> 0:27:32.560
<v Speaker 12>a cut. I don't think we get an emergency cut,

0:27:32.640 --> 0:27:34.879
<v Speaker 12>as the market would like. And I actually think that

0:27:34.920 --> 0:27:37.920
<v Speaker 12>would be bad because when you look at the economic numbers,

0:27:38.760 --> 0:27:42.200
<v Speaker 12>the economy is just fine. I mean, the jobs numbers

0:27:42.240 --> 0:27:47.560
<v Speaker 12>are revised dramatically every month, and so I think you

0:27:47.640 --> 0:27:49.679
<v Speaker 12>have to step away from that and say, you know,

0:27:50.000 --> 0:27:52.800
<v Speaker 12>was that an aberration on Friday? Is I mean, we

0:27:52.880 --> 0:27:55.600
<v Speaker 12>know the job market is softening, but is it collapsing?

0:27:55.720 --> 0:27:57.879
<v Speaker 12>I don't think so. And so I think this is

0:27:57.920 --> 0:28:01.639
<v Speaker 12>an opportunity for long term investors once the dust settles,

0:28:01.640 --> 0:28:04.639
<v Speaker 12>because there there'll probably be a few more runs to

0:28:04.680 --> 0:28:06.679
<v Speaker 12>the downside. And then I think you step in and

0:28:06.720 --> 0:28:08.200
<v Speaker 12>you add to high quality memes.

0:28:08.920 --> 0:28:12.879
<v Speaker 3>Nancy in Video reports its earnings after market on August

0:28:12.920 --> 0:28:16.240
<v Speaker 3>twenty eight. How uncomfortable are the next three weeks going

0:28:16.280 --> 0:28:16.480
<v Speaker 3>to be?

0:28:17.680 --> 0:28:19.760
<v Speaker 12>I think they're going to be uncomfortable ed. I think that,

0:28:20.280 --> 0:28:23.240
<v Speaker 12>and remember we've seen this every year twenty twenty two,

0:28:23.280 --> 0:28:25.840
<v Speaker 12>twenty twenty three. We were told in the summer and

0:28:25.920 --> 0:28:28.919
<v Speaker 12>the summer swoon that the tech trade was over, but

0:28:29.040 --> 0:28:34.639
<v Speaker 12>remember the CAPEC spend that Alphabet and Amazon and Microsoft

0:28:34.640 --> 0:28:38.000
<v Speaker 12>have been punished for is someone else's revenues, and so

0:28:38.040 --> 0:28:40.480
<v Speaker 12>I think in vidious likely to surprise to the upside

0:28:40.560 --> 0:28:42.920
<v Speaker 12>we heard from Lisa Sue. I heard you mentioned her earlier.

0:28:43.320 --> 0:28:45.880
<v Speaker 12>That's a name where we've been adding. I think it's

0:28:45.920 --> 0:28:50.800
<v Speaker 12>going to be a catalyst for some outperformance and stabilization.

0:28:52.160 --> 0:28:53.760
<v Speaker 3>If you're able to please, can we look a hot

0:28:53.840 --> 0:28:56.120
<v Speaker 3>head to the second half of the year. We talked

0:28:56.120 --> 0:28:58.520
<v Speaker 3>a lot about how in years where the S and

0:28:58.560 --> 0:29:02.560
<v Speaker 3>P five hundred registered is a double digit percentage gain

0:29:02.640 --> 0:29:05.720
<v Speaker 3>in one age, it often performs well in the second

0:29:05.720 --> 0:29:07.480
<v Speaker 3>half of the year. I think the NAZA one hundred

0:29:07.480 --> 0:29:12.160
<v Speaker 3>has similar precedents or history. Is that your expectation of

0:29:12.200 --> 0:29:12.880
<v Speaker 3>what's to come?

0:29:14.000 --> 0:29:16.560
<v Speaker 12>Yeah, Well, based on what I've heard from the companies

0:29:17.000 --> 0:29:20.640
<v Speaker 12>from an earning standpoint, you're hearing and most of us

0:29:20.640 --> 0:29:23.000
<v Speaker 12>are hearing, that it's not been a good reporting season

0:29:23.040 --> 0:29:27.560
<v Speaker 12>so far, but there have been very meaningful bright spots,

0:29:27.840 --> 0:29:32.440
<v Speaker 12>Companies raising guidance, companies expanding margins. So I think that

0:29:32.640 --> 0:29:35.120
<v Speaker 12>you have to again, as always, you've got to let

0:29:35.800 --> 0:29:39.120
<v Speaker 12>the markets work through this stuff. But the second half,

0:29:39.200 --> 0:29:42.440
<v Speaker 12>based on what we've seen at the company level, should

0:29:42.480 --> 0:29:46.880
<v Speaker 12>be better and up in our view, and seasonality is

0:29:46.920 --> 0:29:50.360
<v Speaker 12>in our favorites and election year that doesn't always work,

0:29:50.440 --> 0:29:53.480
<v Speaker 12>but we do think we'll certainly be higher by the

0:29:53.560 --> 0:29:55.680
<v Speaker 12>end of the year and even into twenty twenty five.

0:29:55.960 --> 0:29:58.120
<v Speaker 12>If the tech trade is over, people need to be

0:29:58.240 --> 0:30:01.160
<v Speaker 12>much more worried about the rest to the market because

0:30:01.200 --> 0:30:05.920
<v Speaker 12>technology is embedded in every aspect of many companies day

0:30:05.960 --> 0:30:09.760
<v Speaker 12>to day and their future earnings and margin growth.

0:30:10.960 --> 0:30:13.680
<v Speaker 3>That is the argument that Bloomberg Intelligence is Gina Martin

0:30:13.720 --> 0:30:16.080
<v Speaker 3>Adams literally wrote this morning. We're going to talk about

0:30:16.120 --> 0:30:18.480
<v Speaker 3>it with her later in the show. Nancy Tengler, CEO

0:30:18.520 --> 0:30:21.200
<v Speaker 3>and CEO of Lappetengler Investments, thank you very much. Now

0:30:21.400 --> 0:30:23.320
<v Speaker 3>coming up on the program, we're going to be joined

0:30:23.320 --> 0:30:27.280
<v Speaker 3>by Matt Wieiler from Wellington Private Investments for his take

0:30:27.640 --> 0:30:30.440
<v Speaker 3>on private markets late stage investing.

0:30:30.640 --> 0:30:31.400
<v Speaker 4>But there are.

0:30:31.240 --> 0:30:33.920
<v Speaker 3>Always parallels with what's going on around the world, even

0:30:33.960 --> 0:30:36.880
<v Speaker 3>with public markets and public acquities. I'm really looking forward

0:30:36.880 --> 0:30:55.760
<v Speaker 3>to this one that's next. This is Bloomberg Technology right

0:30:55.800 --> 0:30:58.360
<v Speaker 3>back to financial markets and megacap tech. We're going to

0:30:58.360 --> 0:31:02.320
<v Speaker 3>look at the Bloomberg Index, which tracks the Magnificent Magnificent seven.

0:31:02.360 --> 0:31:06.080
<v Speaker 3>These are the biggest megacap technology companies. At one point

0:31:06.120 --> 0:31:09.680
<v Speaker 3>in the session, the biggest drop on record. We've paired

0:31:09.680 --> 0:31:12.000
<v Speaker 3>that that's kind of the story of the session so far,

0:31:12.320 --> 0:31:15.520
<v Speaker 3>down three point four three point five percent on the

0:31:15.560 --> 0:31:19.680
<v Speaker 3>mag seven. We've outlined all the concerns so far. Part

0:31:19.720 --> 0:31:22.000
<v Speaker 3>of it is the worry about growth, and we can

0:31:22.040 --> 0:31:24.960
<v Speaker 3>wait until Video's earnings on August twenty eighth to carry

0:31:25.000 --> 0:31:27.880
<v Speaker 3>on that conversation about growth, particularly in the context of

0:31:27.880 --> 0:31:31.040
<v Speaker 3>investment in AI infrastructure. But there are lots of parallels

0:31:31.040 --> 0:31:33.920
<v Speaker 3>between public markets and also private markets as well. Let's

0:31:33.920 --> 0:31:37.200
<v Speaker 3>talk about the investment landscape when it comes to late

0:31:37.240 --> 0:31:42.000
<v Speaker 3>stage private tech companies, also IPO tech activity. I suppose

0:31:42.040 --> 0:31:45.520
<v Speaker 3>with Matt with Hyler, consumer and Technology lead for Wellington

0:31:45.560 --> 0:31:49.000
<v Speaker 3>Private Investments, also joined by my friend Hemma Palmer of

0:31:49.080 --> 0:31:49.960
<v Speaker 3>Bloomberg News.

0:31:50.160 --> 0:31:51.200
<v Speaker 4>Good morning to you, Matt.

0:31:52.120 --> 0:31:54.880
<v Speaker 3>When you wake up to a daylight today, you're largely

0:31:54.920 --> 0:31:56.280
<v Speaker 3>focused on growth.

0:31:56.000 --> 0:31:57.360
<v Speaker 4>Stage venture investments.

0:31:57.880 --> 0:32:00.720
<v Speaker 3>There are different factors you're tracking, But how do you react?

0:32:01.120 --> 0:32:03.800
<v Speaker 4>How does it make you approach your day to day work.

0:32:05.360 --> 0:32:08.360
<v Speaker 2>The short answer is is that on a day to

0:32:08.440 --> 0:32:11.960
<v Speaker 2>day basis, the fluctuations in volatility in the public market

0:32:12.240 --> 0:32:15.640
<v Speaker 2>don't really impact the late stage private market where we focus.

0:32:15.760 --> 0:32:19.479
<v Speaker 2>There's obviously implications if this persists when it comes to

0:32:19.640 --> 0:32:24.720
<v Speaker 2>exit opportunity with the respect to IPOs and valuation concerns,

0:32:24.760 --> 0:32:27.600
<v Speaker 2>but the day to day volatility doesn't really impact the

0:32:27.720 --> 0:32:30.440
<v Speaker 2>late stage private market unless it sustains.

0:32:31.800 --> 0:32:34.239
<v Speaker 13>And when you look at AI, you know, some of

0:32:34.320 --> 0:32:36.400
<v Speaker 13>the a good portion of the pain we're seeing right

0:32:36.440 --> 0:32:39.960
<v Speaker 13>now is in the AI stock space. Does that inform

0:32:40.080 --> 0:32:42.920
<v Speaker 13>how you look at AI investing when it comes to

0:32:43.040 --> 0:32:45.920
<v Speaker 13>late stage growth investing in artificial intelligence?

0:32:46.960 --> 0:32:50.480
<v Speaker 2>Again, I wouldn't characterize the public markets as having a

0:32:50.560 --> 0:32:53.880
<v Speaker 2>huge implication in the short term on the late stage

0:32:53.880 --> 0:32:57.680
<v Speaker 2>private market, but I would say, you know, with respect

0:32:57.720 --> 0:32:59.440
<v Speaker 2>to AI, you kind of have to think about and

0:32:59.480 --> 0:33:03.959
<v Speaker 2>address us question number one is is AI a transformational

0:33:04.000 --> 0:33:05.840
<v Speaker 2>shift in technology platforms?

0:33:05.840 --> 0:33:06.800
<v Speaker 1>You kind of have to answer that.

0:33:07.320 --> 0:33:08.840
<v Speaker 2>And then the second question I think you have to

0:33:08.840 --> 0:33:11.480
<v Speaker 2>answer is kind of where are you with respect to

0:33:11.680 --> 0:33:15.880
<v Speaker 2>AI based transformation or AI lead transformation? And I think

0:33:15.920 --> 0:33:18.000
<v Speaker 2>those are the two questions you have to answer as

0:33:18.000 --> 0:33:20.760
<v Speaker 2>a late safe private investor to think about where you

0:33:20.800 --> 0:33:23.400
<v Speaker 2>should be deploying, if at all, and what the landscape

0:33:23.440 --> 0:33:26.240
<v Speaker 2>looks like not over the next month or two or quarter,

0:33:26.640 --> 0:33:28.240
<v Speaker 2>but over the next multi day.

0:33:28.920 --> 0:33:31.080
<v Speaker 13>So as you look to invest the seven point five

0:33:31.080 --> 0:33:34.920
<v Speaker 13>billion that you oversee in private markets, where is the

0:33:34.920 --> 0:33:36.680
<v Speaker 13>biggest opportunity for you right now?

0:33:37.640 --> 0:33:39.960
<v Speaker 2>I mean, I think I couldn't be on the show

0:33:39.960 --> 0:33:42.120
<v Speaker 2>and be talking to both of you about talking about

0:33:42.160 --> 0:33:46.719
<v Speaker 2>AI and AI lead disruption when you think about fundamental

0:33:46.800 --> 0:33:51.560
<v Speaker 2>transformational shifts in technology. We believe that AI is a

0:33:51.680 --> 0:33:55.760
<v Speaker 2>disruptive technology that will be a generational shift and how

0:33:55.800 --> 0:34:01.400
<v Speaker 2>technology is ultimately deployed and adopted by enterprises. But then

0:34:01.440 --> 0:34:04.280
<v Speaker 2>to the second question around how are we or how

0:34:04.320 --> 0:34:06.640
<v Speaker 2>far along are we in that transformation?

0:34:07.080 --> 0:34:08.640
<v Speaker 1>I think we're very early.

0:34:08.719 --> 0:34:10.840
<v Speaker 2>And so when we think about opportunity set and we

0:34:10.880 --> 0:34:13.240
<v Speaker 2>think about AI, we're long term, very.

0:34:13.120 --> 0:34:14.480
<v Speaker 1>Bullish on the opportunity.

0:34:14.719 --> 0:34:16.879
<v Speaker 2>You think shorter term and think about where we are

0:34:16.920 --> 0:34:20.799
<v Speaker 2>within the inning the game of AI, and given how

0:34:20.840 --> 0:34:23.520
<v Speaker 2>early we are, I think one of the questions that

0:34:23.560 --> 0:34:26.400
<v Speaker 2>we end up asking ourselves with respect to AI is

0:34:26.680 --> 0:34:29.960
<v Speaker 2>will today's winners be the winners that persist over a

0:34:29.960 --> 0:34:32.880
<v Speaker 2>long time, and I think when you look historically at

0:34:33.160 --> 0:34:36.920
<v Speaker 2>tech led disruption, when it comes to generational shifts like

0:34:37.000 --> 0:34:41.719
<v Speaker 2>the Internet, like cloud, like mobile, the early winners oftentimes

0:34:41.760 --> 0:34:44.520
<v Speaker 2>are not the long term winners who end up creating

0:34:44.640 --> 0:34:46.480
<v Speaker 2>multi billion dollar public companies.

0:34:47.480 --> 0:34:51.080
<v Speaker 3>Matt, you said that term or daily volatility doesn't really

0:34:51.160 --> 0:34:54.240
<v Speaker 3>impact thinking in the hearing now, but it does impact

0:34:54.280 --> 0:34:58.239
<v Speaker 3>sentiment towards markets, and therefore we need to ask about IPOs.

0:34:58.640 --> 0:35:00.279
<v Speaker 3>You know, where do you see the remainder of this

0:35:00.400 --> 0:35:02.880
<v Speaker 3>year with some of the late stage companies that are

0:35:02.880 --> 0:35:05.200
<v Speaker 3>waiting in the wings to go public.

0:35:06.400 --> 0:35:09.239
<v Speaker 2>I mean, I think, as you've talked about through the show, ed,

0:35:09.480 --> 0:35:13.320
<v Speaker 2>the landscape has changed pretty dramatically over the past two days,

0:35:13.360 --> 0:35:17.120
<v Speaker 2>two trading days, and absent those two trading days, I

0:35:17.120 --> 0:35:20.239
<v Speaker 2>would have said that the IPO market is probably on

0:35:20.280 --> 0:35:23.399
<v Speaker 2>the rebound, likely to start accelerating through the back half

0:35:23.440 --> 0:35:27.000
<v Speaker 2>of this year and early next year. And given the noise,

0:35:27.040 --> 0:35:30.120
<v Speaker 2>the volatility we're seeing today, will it cause the company

0:35:30.160 --> 0:35:32.280
<v Speaker 2>that maybe's on the margin thinking should I go public

0:35:32.360 --> 0:35:36.040
<v Speaker 2>or not to reassess and maybe delay until early next year?

0:35:36.320 --> 0:35:37.040
<v Speaker 1>Most likely?

0:35:38.160 --> 0:35:40.600
<v Speaker 2>That being said, if you go back, not over the

0:35:40.680 --> 0:35:42.040
<v Speaker 2>last five.

0:35:41.920 --> 0:35:43.440
<v Speaker 1>Or ten years of IPO data.

0:35:43.480 --> 0:35:45.560
<v Speaker 2>But if you look back at the last fifty years

0:35:45.560 --> 0:35:48.960
<v Speaker 2>of IPO activity levels, generally.

0:35:48.520 --> 0:35:51.200
<v Speaker 1>The IPO window in other words, the.

0:35:51.320 --> 0:35:54.960
<v Speaker 2>Amount of IPOs coming out tends to be dramatically below

0:35:55.040 --> 0:35:58.000
<v Speaker 2>the norm or the mean for one to three years.

0:35:58.000 --> 0:35:59.920
<v Speaker 2>And if you think about where we sit today, were

0:36:00.160 --> 0:36:01.480
<v Speaker 2>kind of in the middle.

0:36:01.200 --> 0:36:04.560
<v Speaker 1>Of year three, the first quarter of Q.

0:36:04.440 --> 0:36:09.000
<v Speaker 2>Three of IPO activity being meaningfully down compared to historic periods,

0:36:09.560 --> 0:36:12.319
<v Speaker 2>and so based on that, I would guess that we

0:36:12.480 --> 0:36:16.280
<v Speaker 2>maybe have anywhere between zero in twelve more months before

0:36:16.280 --> 0:36:18.920
<v Speaker 2>we do see a rebounded IPO activity, and.

0:36:18.880 --> 0:36:20.600
<v Speaker 1>We're starting to see a little bit of it today.

0:36:21.239 --> 0:36:23.799
<v Speaker 2>If you look back last year, we had three tech

0:36:23.880 --> 0:36:27.400
<v Speaker 2>led IPOs go public last year. This year you're to

0:36:27.440 --> 0:36:30.200
<v Speaker 2>date we've had five, so already at an accelerated pace.

0:36:30.520 --> 0:36:33.680
<v Speaker 2>Will we take a pause given what's going on today?

0:36:33.719 --> 0:36:39.080
<v Speaker 3>Potenti Matt with Eiler Consumers, technology lead for Wellington Private

0:36:39.120 --> 0:36:43.840
<v Speaker 3>Investments and Bloomberg's Hemmapalma. Just very dynamic and timely conversation.

0:36:44.000 --> 0:36:53.520
<v Speaker 4>Thank you. Back to markets.

0:36:53.600 --> 0:36:56.400
<v Speaker 3>Let's bring in Gena Martin Adams of Bloomberg Intelligence and

0:36:56.800 --> 0:36:58.960
<v Speaker 3>Gina are going straight to your bio on the Bloomberg

0:36:59.040 --> 0:37:02.839
<v Speaker 3>terminal this morning. I'll summarize, but you're basically saying, look

0:37:02.880 --> 0:37:05.560
<v Speaker 3>at earnings in aggregate on the S and P five

0:37:05.640 --> 0:37:10.040
<v Speaker 3>hundred and stop blaming earnings, Blame something else.

0:37:10.360 --> 0:37:12.520
<v Speaker 4>Who are you holding responsible for what's happening?

0:37:12.560 --> 0:37:14.640
<v Speaker 14>Gina, Yeah, I think that really if we look at

0:37:14.640 --> 0:37:16.719
<v Speaker 14>the sequence of how the market is melted down over

0:37:16.760 --> 0:37:19.799
<v Speaker 14>the last couple of weeks, it's been predominantly about tech

0:37:19.880 --> 0:37:21.799
<v Speaker 14>and kind of a loss of faith and tech. Now,

0:37:22.120 --> 0:37:24.759
<v Speaker 14>I think it's important to consider where we've been as

0:37:24.800 --> 0:37:27.120
<v Speaker 14>well when you look at the broad markets. We wrote

0:37:27.120 --> 0:37:28.600
<v Speaker 14>a couple of notes last week that I think you're

0:37:28.600 --> 0:37:29.200
<v Speaker 14>pretty telling.

0:37:29.200 --> 0:37:30.720
<v Speaker 4>The first is we.

0:37:30.600 --> 0:37:34.200
<v Speaker 14>Identify three and forty four reasons why tech faced in

0:37:34.320 --> 0:37:38.440
<v Speaker 14>possible expectations. Those reasons are basis points and valuation multiples

0:37:39.120 --> 0:37:42.960
<v Speaker 14>four thousand basis points above long term average or five

0:37:43.040 --> 0:37:46.120
<v Speaker 14>year average. On the multiple would suggest that expectations for

0:37:46.200 --> 0:37:50.040
<v Speaker 14>tech companies were extremely high coming into the last week. Yeah,

0:37:50.080 --> 0:37:52.480
<v Speaker 14>a couple of key headline misses, but for the most part,

0:37:52.520 --> 0:37:57.239
<v Speaker 14>tech companies actually satisfied second quarter expectations. It was about

0:37:57.239 --> 0:37:59.960
<v Speaker 14>their guidance and this is the trigger that the market

0:38:00.080 --> 0:38:02.239
<v Speaker 14>really played on. Then you piled on top of that

0:38:02.360 --> 0:38:05.200
<v Speaker 14>some key macro indicators in the ism and the employment

0:38:05.239 --> 0:38:08.319
<v Speaker 14>numbers that weren't as strong as many had hoped for,

0:38:08.520 --> 0:38:10.400
<v Speaker 14>and you have a full meltdown on your hands. But

0:38:10.440 --> 0:38:13.279
<v Speaker 14>this is really at the foot of tech, and investors'

0:38:13.280 --> 0:38:16.000
<v Speaker 14>expectations that tech was of tech were just far too

0:38:16.120 --> 0:38:20.320
<v Speaker 14>high coming into this earning season. We're now normalizing those expectations,

0:38:20.400 --> 0:38:22.560
<v Speaker 14>and that's creating a bit of panic in the market.

0:38:23.440 --> 0:38:28.120
<v Speaker 3>Investors' expectations are interesting. I mean, I think about Microsoft,

0:38:28.120 --> 0:38:31.960
<v Speaker 3>for example, is just one case study where they missed

0:38:32.080 --> 0:38:35.680
<v Speaker 3>estimates on cloud growth by a percentage point but still

0:38:35.719 --> 0:38:39.840
<v Speaker 3>registered twenty nine two nine percent top line growth in

0:38:39.880 --> 0:38:45.400
<v Speaker 3>the most critical unit. Is it just sort of idiosyncratic

0:38:45.840 --> 0:38:49.640
<v Speaker 3>or is this broad based anxiety from investors that something

0:38:49.680 --> 0:38:52.320
<v Speaker 3>will give way on the growth narrative overall?

0:38:52.960 --> 0:38:55.120
<v Speaker 14>Yeah, I think it's a great question, and it's really

0:38:55.120 --> 0:38:57.359
<v Speaker 14>difficult to tell so far. But what I can say

0:38:57.400 --> 0:39:00.440
<v Speaker 14>is over the last week, what we have seen is

0:39:00.680 --> 0:39:04.520
<v Speaker 14>just severe punishment of any tiny nuance, as you correctly

0:39:04.600 --> 0:39:09.160
<v Speaker 14>highlight with Microsoft, very very strong aggregate growth, but a

0:39:09.239 --> 0:39:12.680
<v Speaker 14>tiny nuanced miss was enough to really create a lot

0:39:12.719 --> 0:39:15.839
<v Speaker 14>of uncertainty around that story. You see a lot of

0:39:15.840 --> 0:39:20.439
<v Speaker 14>the same emerged with Amazon, similar sort of reactions even

0:39:20.480 --> 0:39:24.040
<v Speaker 14>to Alphabet, So across the tech and tech adjacent space,

0:39:24.640 --> 0:39:27.719
<v Speaker 14>we saw very similar reaction functions emerge. And that is

0:39:28.239 --> 0:39:30.600
<v Speaker 14>I think investors just got ahead of them to their skates.

0:39:30.760 --> 0:39:33.080
<v Speaker 14>They were expecting tech not only to beat, but to

0:39:33.200 --> 0:39:37.840
<v Speaker 14>raise expectations beat almost perfectly. That was embedded in valuations,

0:39:37.880 --> 0:39:39.000
<v Speaker 14>and now we're normalizing that.

0:39:39.120 --> 0:39:39.279
<v Speaker 4>Now.

0:39:39.280 --> 0:39:43.560
<v Speaker 14>This is tough because at this point in time, it

0:39:43.640 --> 0:39:47.800
<v Speaker 14>was impossible for tech to keep creating stronger and stronger

0:39:47.840 --> 0:39:51.200
<v Speaker 14>momentum earnings. We're now getting to the point where third quarter,

0:39:51.320 --> 0:39:53.840
<v Speaker 14>second quarter, third quarter earnings of this year are facing

0:39:53.960 --> 0:39:58.080
<v Speaker 14>incredibly tough comps. So tech earnings, even in the best

0:39:58.080 --> 0:40:01.720
<v Speaker 14>of circumstance stances, are going to show decelerating growth rates

0:40:01.760 --> 0:40:04.239
<v Speaker 14>over the second half of this year for the first

0:40:04.239 --> 0:40:07.080
<v Speaker 14>time in quite some time. They were the only story

0:40:07.120 --> 0:40:10.120
<v Speaker 14>of accelerating growth in the market in twenty twenty three

0:40:10.239 --> 0:40:13.879
<v Speaker 14>and early twenty twenty four. Now they're showing some decelerating

0:40:13.880 --> 0:40:15.840
<v Speaker 14>and growth. Well, the rest of the S and P

0:40:15.960 --> 0:40:18.520
<v Speaker 14>five hundred is actually showing the growth acceleration, But we're

0:40:18.600 --> 0:40:21.400
<v Speaker 14>kind of ignoring that because tech has been so key

0:40:21.480 --> 0:40:23.319
<v Speaker 14>to the market performance so far this year.

0:40:23.360 --> 0:40:25.560
<v Speaker 3>Well, you can also sort of pick and choose your

0:40:25.680 --> 0:40:28.319
<v Speaker 3>data point, right, So in the first half of this year,

0:40:28.360 --> 0:40:31.560
<v Speaker 3>the S and P five hundred rows fourteen percent, largely

0:40:31.560 --> 0:40:33.080
<v Speaker 3>attributable to the mag seven.

0:40:33.320 --> 0:40:33.560
<v Speaker 12>Right.

0:40:33.600 --> 0:40:35.600
<v Speaker 3>But the other data point is that in years where

0:40:35.600 --> 0:40:38.080
<v Speaker 3>the S and P five hundred has registered double digit

0:40:38.160 --> 0:40:41.040
<v Speaker 3>gain in one h it usually does quite well in

0:40:41.160 --> 0:40:43.120
<v Speaker 3>the full year or the second half of the year.

0:40:43.440 --> 0:40:46.240
<v Speaker 3>So which one do you put emphasis on? The index

0:40:46.440 --> 0:40:47.960
<v Speaker 3>or the names that drove the gains?

0:40:48.239 --> 0:40:50.799
<v Speaker 14>Initially, I think it's a combination of both. I hate

0:40:50.840 --> 0:40:53.840
<v Speaker 14>to wiggle around your question with them awfully answer, and

0:40:53.880 --> 0:40:56.520
<v Speaker 14>I do think it is a combination of both, because

0:40:57.280 --> 0:41:00.200
<v Speaker 14>if tech continues to sell off, if we still have

0:41:00.239 --> 0:41:03.640
<v Speaker 14>weakness in tech, it's almost impossible for the index to

0:41:03.719 --> 0:41:07.399
<v Speaker 14>overcome that. But the tech seloff is really about right

0:41:07.480 --> 0:41:10.880
<v Speaker 14>sizing expectations and the rest of the index is producing growth.

0:41:11.160 --> 0:41:14.399
<v Speaker 14>This is one major nuance when we compare twenty twenty

0:41:14.400 --> 0:41:16.240
<v Speaker 14>four to twenty twenty three that I think is important

0:41:16.239 --> 0:41:19.040
<v Speaker 14>to acknowledge. When tech sold off in the third quarter

0:41:19.080 --> 0:41:20.880
<v Speaker 14>of twenty twenty three, remember we had a ten percent

0:41:20.880 --> 0:41:23.399
<v Speaker 14>correction last time this year as well, but when Tech

0:41:23.440 --> 0:41:25.839
<v Speaker 14>sold off in that instance, it was basically a one

0:41:25.920 --> 0:41:27.759
<v Speaker 14>for one. As Tech sold off, the S and P

0:41:27.840 --> 0:41:30.960
<v Speaker 14>five hundred sold off just as much. This time, the

0:41:31.080 --> 0:41:32.879
<v Speaker 14>S and P five hundred is down just more than

0:41:32.920 --> 0:41:35.600
<v Speaker 14>half or just about half as much as Tech. Okay,

0:41:35.640 --> 0:41:39.239
<v Speaker 14>because you have some natural stabilizers that have emerged in

0:41:39.280 --> 0:41:41.560
<v Speaker 14>twenty twenty four, with that our news recovery that is

0:41:41.600 --> 0:41:44.719
<v Speaker 14>emerging in the rest of the index, does that sustain itself?

0:41:44.920 --> 0:41:46.759
<v Speaker 14>Can it gather a little bit of momentum and a

0:41:46.760 --> 0:41:48.840
<v Speaker 14>little bit of attention is a really key question we

0:41:48.880 --> 0:41:49.960
<v Speaker 14>should be asking right now.

0:41:50.080 --> 0:41:53.560
<v Speaker 3>Yes, Tina Martin Adams of Bloomberg Intelligence, thank you so

0:41:53.719 --> 0:41:56.759
<v Speaker 3>much this Monday. That does it for this edition of

0:41:56.760 --> 0:42:00.239
<v Speaker 3>Bloomberg Technology. Don't forget to recap all the conversations had

0:42:00.239 --> 0:42:03.440
<v Speaker 3>today on the podcast. They were dynamic and there is

0:42:03.480 --> 0:42:05.279
<v Speaker 3>a lot going on your where to find it on

0:42:05.360 --> 0:42:09.239
<v Speaker 3>the terminal, the Bloomberg platforms, as well as on Apple, Spotify,

0:42:09.640 --> 0:42:11.319
<v Speaker 3>and iHeart from San Francisco.

0:42:11.719 --> 0:42:13.080
<v Speaker 4>This is Bloomberg Technology.