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Speaker 1: Welcome back, everybody.

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Speaker 2: It's the Betting Pros College Football preview show, Bolls Edition.

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Speaker 2: I am your host, Scott Bogman, and I'm here as

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Speaker 2: always with thor K you on the Twitter machine, thor

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Speaker 2: Nis drum he is here, and Mike Ferrell at m

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Speaker 2: Ferrell Sports to ours to L's.

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Speaker 1: On the Twitter machine. Gentlemen, let's do it quick.

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Speaker 2: But since maybe the people who listened to this on

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Speaker 2: a you know, on an every week basis, didn't get

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Speaker 2: your take on how the college Football Playoff finished off

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Speaker 2: here and you know Florida State being left off, thor

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Speaker 2: your quick opinion on all of that. Did they get

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Speaker 2: the four right teams? Does it even matter? What do

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Speaker 2: you think they did?

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Speaker 3: Because we're trying to put the best product on the

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Speaker 3: field and this is what it is now. Both those

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Speaker 3: games are intriguing. Whereas you would have given Michigan State

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Speaker 3: a quasi buy, you put Florida State in the reaction

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Speaker 3: when they showed inside the Michigan team room when they

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Speaker 3: announced Alabama as the four seed, I thought was very

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Speaker 3: telling of that. You heard some groans in there. We

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Speaker 3: don't get a free pass. So yeah, I mean the

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Speaker 3: committee made the right call. With what the criterion is,

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Speaker 3: and the criterion they not only allow you, they instruct

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Speaker 3: you to factor in player injuries, et cetera that depreciate

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Speaker 3: the team quality.

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Speaker 4: They made the correct decision.

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Speaker 1: Mike your thoughts.

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Speaker 5: We got the right four teams, we got the right matchups,

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Speaker 5: but they got screwed. Florida State got screwed. That's just

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Speaker 5: the way it is. Undefeated Power five conference championships. I

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Speaker 5: don't care, you know, style points. At the end, they

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Speaker 5: looked horrible against Louisville. Offensively, it was ugly. There's wildcat

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Speaker 5: stuff going on. I didn't want to see it, but

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Speaker 5: there's just no way around the fact that they got screwed. Yeah,

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Speaker 5: and that's the way it is. And that's okay. I mean,

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Speaker 5: Alabama is the big fish. You know, the SEC ties

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Speaker 5: it with ESPN and all the conspiracy theories. I get it.

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Speaker 5: We've got the matchups. I don't want to see Florida

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Speaker 5: State against Michigan, right, I want to see Alabama against Michigan.

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Speaker 5: But unequivocally, Florida State got absolutely screwed. They did everything

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Speaker 5: they needed to do. They went undefeated throughout the season,

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Speaker 5: they won their conference, unprecedented for them to be left out.

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Speaker 5: I mean mean, we had an defeated group of five

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Speaker 5: team get in, you know, and not a power five now,

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Speaker 5: so it's because the SEC was down. It's because we

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Speaker 5: didn't have an SEC represent representative and so they had

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Speaker 5: to slide one in there. And that's life. But Florida State,

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Speaker 5: that's screwed.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, we knew someone was getting hosed, right

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Speaker 2: if this is how it worked out.

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Speaker 1: And you know, all these teams won.

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Speaker 2: We knew somebody was getting hosed, and unfortunately, unfortunately it's

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Speaker 2: Florida State. But next year we won't have this issue.

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Speaker 2: If you're complaining about being thirteen and not getting into

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Speaker 2: the top twelve, then you should have done more. We

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Speaker 2: can say that top four, top two. There's always a

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Speaker 2: gripe about it. It happens every year. And the reason that

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Speaker 2: we have this criteria right though, is because we saw

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Speaker 2: Cincinnati get slaughtered.

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Speaker 1: We saw TCU gett murdered.

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Speaker 2: You know, this is why we have this criteria is

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Speaker 2: because people complain before about the best teams not getting in.

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Speaker 2: It was just the teams that you know, fit the bill.

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Speaker 2: So I don't know, it's it seems it's like a

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Speaker 2: damned if you do, damned if you don't.

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Speaker 1: Argument.

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Speaker 2: But it doesn't matter. All the matters, gentlemen, is Texas

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Speaker 2: is in the playoff. They're gonna win. They're going to

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Speaker 2: the Natty. It's in Houston. I'm gonna buy a ticket.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna have a great time. So that is all

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Speaker 2: that matters. Of course, we are going to get to

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Speaker 2: some bulls to talk about for you guys. We're gonna

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Speaker 2: do the bulls from the sixteenth to the twenty second here,

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Speaker 2: starting this Saturday and working through to next Friday. But

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Speaker 2: before we dive in, I gotta tell you guys to

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Speaker 2: check out the Betting Pro CFB Bowl Game Bowl Game

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Speaker 2: Challenge on splash Sports. This game is a straight up

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Speaker 2: pick them contest no against the spread, with some added

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Speaker 2: weight scoring to the New Year's Game, semis and the final.

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Speaker 2: So all you need to do is to enter the

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Speaker 2: game before the first game starts on the sixteenth, get

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Speaker 2: your picks in before each game start.

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Speaker 1: Like I said, it's against the spread.

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Speaker 2: The cost is only twenty five dollars and the top

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Speaker 2: twenty five percent will be paid out. The prize pool

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Speaker 2: is determined by how many people enter, so get in today.

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Speaker 1: For more details.

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Speaker 2: To enter the contest, go to bettingpros dot com slash Bowl.

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Speaker 2: That's bettingpros dot com Slash Bowl. All right, Thor, Let's

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Speaker 2: start with the first game, the Myrtle Beach Bowl. Guess

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Speaker 2: where that is. It's in Conway, South Carolina. Georgia Southern

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Speaker 2: is a three and a half point favorite against Ohio.

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Speaker 2: Forty eight and a half is the total in this game?

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Speaker 2: Do you feel a side or a total in this game?

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Speaker 2: Because the public is split Ohio on tickets Southern on cash,

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Speaker 2: both sides are picking the under here?

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Speaker 1: Is that something you agree with?

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Speaker 4: It is?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I got a I believe that the ticket I

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Speaker 3: got on that was fifteen and a half and we

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Speaker 3: come down now, what forty eight and a half?

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Speaker 1: You said, yeah, forty and a half.

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Speaker 3: My systems total on that game, Bogman thirty eight point three.

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Speaker 1: Who We're getting some value, some line value here.

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Speaker 3: So I love under. I also love Georgia Southern in

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Speaker 3: this game. My systems line on that game is Georgia

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Speaker 3: Southern minus seven point seven. And I'll say these are

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Speaker 3: not lines in the vacuum of if both these teams

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Speaker 3: were you know, full strength during the season, and on

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Speaker 3: a random neutral field, I bake im partial home field

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Speaker 3: advantages based on where the game is played, based on

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Speaker 3: projecting how many fans could be there, et cetera, proximity

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Speaker 3: to home, and then also of course adjustments for the

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Speaker 3: opt outs. So that's what I'm going to be getting

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Speaker 3: a lot into where I make the adjustments on those.

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Speaker 3: The thing that the story in this game is Ohio

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Speaker 3: is decimated. Ohio lost Curtis Rourke to the transfer portal.

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Speaker 3: He says he's going to consider the NFL. I would

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Speaker 3: imagine he's going to be transferred elsewhere. We've already seen

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Speaker 3: a couple of the leading contenders for him. I think

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Speaker 3: he's going to the Power five. They also lost their

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Speaker 3: top two running backs Sidebank Gura and O'shawn Allison. They

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Speaker 3: only play two running backs, the other the top snap

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Speaker 3: guy and running back running backs for that team that's

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Speaker 3: still there. He had sixteen snaps this season, so and

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Speaker 3: they do the rotation, so it's gonna be their three

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Speaker 3: and four guy. But they haven't played this year. Miles

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Speaker 3: Cross opted out for them. They're wide receiver two and

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Speaker 3: then Tyler Walton their wide receiver three. Not only that,

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Speaker 3: their backup quarterback CJ. Harris, who started the ball game

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Speaker 3: last year. He had somewhere He got ruled out for

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Speaker 3: the season in September. They have so many defections hard

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Speaker 3: to a medical undisclosed medical emergency is what CJ. Harris

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Speaker 3: said where he pulled the plug in September. You add

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Speaker 3: all this stuff up. They're down to their third string

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Speaker 3: quarterback in a backfield that is a heavy run team

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Speaker 3: with third and fourth string running backs that we haven't

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Speaker 3: seen all year. They only have the one good receiver

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Speaker 3: in wig Loose. He is a good player, but the

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Speaker 3: rest of them, who knows who, even the backup receivers

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Speaker 3: who are gonna be playing. I will say Ohio's defense

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Speaker 3: is good. It's actually really good. I was like sixteenth

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Speaker 3: or eighteenth sp plus one of the reasons that I

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Speaker 3: like the under but a contextual thing with that, Ohio

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Speaker 3: didn't play any team that could throw the ball this year.

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Speaker 3: All the MAC offenses were terrible, and then in the

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Speaker 3: non con they played like San Diego State, they played

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Speaker 3: an FCS team, different stuff like that, so they're you know,

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Speaker 3: on the surface, it looks like they have really good

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Speaker 3: pass defense numbers. They didn't play one even average passing

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Speaker 3: offense this year. I think Georgia Southern puts the hammer

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Speaker 3: to him here because I just don't see how Ohio

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Speaker 3: is going to score points in this game. Clay Helton

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Speaker 3: has struggled in Bowl games over the course of his career.

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Speaker 3: That was something we talked about in advance of the

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Speaker 3: Quick Playing Bowl last year when Jerry Kill went to

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Speaker 3: play bowling Green Jerry Kill had not won a Bowl

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Speaker 3: game before that. His team was obviously very motivated to

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Speaker 3: turn that around for him. I think it's gonna be

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Speaker 3: the same thing here. This one's Georgia Southern big and

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Speaker 3: we're going the under as well. I don't think Ohio

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Speaker 3: is gonna be able to score fairly.

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Speaker 2: Your thoughts on the Myrtle Beach Ball Georgia Southern versus Ohio?

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Speaker 1: Are you with thor.

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Speaker 5: I'm going under. I'm going under in a lot of

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Speaker 5: these games that you're gonna notice because what I noticed

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Speaker 5: over the last couple of years with the defections with

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Speaker 5: new players, you know, jumping in he just mentioned, you know,

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Speaker 5: too new run a quarterback with without a lot of experience,

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Speaker 5: It leads to, you know, low scoring games leads to

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Speaker 5: sort of dumbed down offensive game plans. Conservative stuff leads

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Speaker 5: to really boring bowl games, and this one reeks of

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Speaker 5: a big ten West type of atmosphere. I think this

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Speaker 5: is going to be a low scoring game, so I'm

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Speaker 5: going to go under. I think I think there could

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Speaker 5: be an upset here. I mean, I know he's got

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Speaker 5: Georgia Southern. You know his system has seven and it's

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Speaker 5: three and a half. It wouldn't shock me to see

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Speaker 5: some of these guys step up. I think they're a

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Speaker 5: well coached football team. But I'm not touching the side

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Speaker 5: of whatsoever. I'm just laying money on the other.

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Speaker 2: All right, let's go over to the next bowl up.

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Speaker 2: That is going to be the New Orleans Bowl in

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Speaker 2: the Superdome. Jacksonville State is a three point favorite against Louisiana.

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Speaker 2: Fifty nine and a half is the total here and

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Speaker 2: thor completely opposite. Everybody's on Jacksonville State. Everybody's on the over.

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Speaker 2: Do you share a different opinion on that?

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Speaker 3: I do, Yeah, And I actually surprised myself because I

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Speaker 3: that was my lean initially. More I got into this game,

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Speaker 3: you can't justify that line being at three and a half.

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Speaker 3: First of all, the Louisiana team in the much better conference.

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Speaker 3: The strength of the schedules, they're not too far off.

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Speaker 3: But Louisiana played a better procession of teams obviously than Jacksonville.

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Speaker 4: State dead in the CUSA.

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Speaker 3: But this is also a quasi home field for Louisiana,

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Speaker 3: being played in New Orleans, you would anticipate that they're

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Speaker 3: going to have a significant crowd advantage in this one. Obviously,

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Speaker 3: less to travel. The opt out situation, it's fairly close

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Speaker 3: when you bake in both the opt outs and the

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Speaker 3: injuries Jacksonville State, it's only their kicker is in the portal.

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Speaker 3: Not that big of a loss. Louisiana did lose a

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Speaker 3: starting linebacker who's pretty solid kidnamed Kendrick Grant. He's their

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Speaker 3: number three great at PFF defender overall, also their best linebacker.

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Speaker 3: But that kid's a tall, sort of skinny, angular type

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Speaker 3: linebacker who's really good to g the pass, pass rushing

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Speaker 3: and in coverage. Where he struggles it's against the run.

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Speaker 3: As you know, what does Jacksonville State do run?

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Speaker 4: Run? Run?

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Speaker 3: They can't pass the downgrade from Gant to his backup

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Speaker 3: in terms of run defense, it's pretty negligible. So in

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Speaker 3: this game, Like in another matchup that lost would have

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Speaker 3: hurt a lot more. In this one, I'm not sure

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Speaker 3: that it hurts a ton. I just nicked him a

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Speaker 3: little bit for it. The other thing, Jacksonville State is

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Speaker 3: going to be without one of their best defenders, maybe

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Speaker 3: the best, Jalen Swain. They're a star edge rusher. They're

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Speaker 3: also missing an ancillary cornerback whose stats are just kind

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Speaker 3: of okay. They're probably gonna be able to replace him

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Speaker 3: a little bit better. Luisiana is down to their third

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Speaker 3: string quarterback, but that's a bit deceiving because the third

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Speaker 3: string kid who came in he probably should have been

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Speaker 3: starting from the start of the season. He had three

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Speaker 3: hundred and fifty snaps last year, and he's been by

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Speaker 3: far their best guy when he's been on the field

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Speaker 3: this year. I'm talking about Chandler Fields down the stretch.

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Speaker 3: Last three games he played really well. His PFF passing

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Speaker 3: grades were eighty two or above each game. One of

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Speaker 3: those games was against Troy, who has a really really

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Speaker 3: good defense. I mean, like, Jacksonville State's gonna take game

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Speaker 3: at this Louisiana run defense that is only one hundred

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Speaker 3: and sixteenth in success rate. So that's I think the

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Speaker 3: path that a lot of this market's looking at to be, like, Oh,

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Speaker 3: Jacksonville State's gonna have success, but the raging Cajun suppress

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Speaker 3: explosive runs. They're number nine in that. So Jacksonville State's

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Speaker 3: only gonna be able to chip away, chip away, chip away.

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Speaker 3: They're assuredly going to get into third and long situations

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Speaker 3: where they are at a decided disadvantage throwing into the

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Speaker 3: Louisiana pass defense. And on the other side, Jacksonville State

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Speaker 3: has a really good run defense, their pass defense is

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Speaker 3: not nearly as good. I think this Chandler fields can.

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Speaker 3: We saw it down the stretch. Like I said, the

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Speaker 3: last three four games, they've been having success throwing the ball.

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Speaker 3: I think Louisiana is going to have that here as well.

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Speaker 3: Taking the three and a half or three, depending on

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Speaker 3: where it's at your book, I feel like that's a gift.

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Speaker 3: I'm also on the over fifty nine and a half

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Speaker 3: because you know, Jacksonville State plays fastest tempo adjusted in

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Speaker 3: the entire nation. Louisiana is slightly above average and temple.

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Speaker 3: I see the pass for success for both offenses year,

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Speaker 3: so I'm taking the points of Louisiana.

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Speaker 1: I'm going over, Mike, what do you think about this game?

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Speaker 2: Are you on the Louisiana side as well, over or

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Speaker 2: are you taking Jacksonville State?

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Speaker 5: Nope, I'm taking Jacksonville State. I think they're going to

256
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Speaker 5: be able to run the ball effectively. I know, you

257
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Speaker 5: know a lot of big runs aren't given up, but

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Speaker 5: success in the run games, they get four yard four yards?

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Speaker 5: Think it third and short, you know, for us talking

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Speaker 5: about third and long, and that could be a situation

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Speaker 5: that Jacksonville State gets in and that's not going to

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Speaker 5: be good for them. But I think they're gonna be

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Speaker 5: able to consistently run the football. I don't I don't

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Speaker 5: bake in any home field advantage for bowls like this.

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Speaker 5: You know, the just the attendant of these goals is

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Speaker 5: so sparse, it's awful. It's going to be you know,

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Speaker 5: I used to do that a long time ago. I

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Speaker 5: used to look, oh my god, this team is from Louisiana.

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Speaker 5: They're playing in Louisiana. It's a he And then I

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Speaker 5: then over the years, I look at the I look

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Speaker 5: at the ten its numbers, and I look at the

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Speaker 5: you know, when they pan to the field and I'm like,

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Speaker 5: there's nobody here, nobody cares. So if they have a

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Speaker 5: five thousand fan advantage, it's not really going to be

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Speaker 5: a big deal to me. And I like Richard Regez.

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Speaker 3: I like what he's done, all right, and one thing

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Speaker 3: there to app Bogman Parrell and I we have the

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Speaker 3: same lean on the total. A contextual piece for people

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Speaker 3: out there. Rich Rodriguez the nine Bowl games that he

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Speaker 3: has coached in each one, nine of nine has gone

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Speaker 3: over the total. Oh wow, I think we're gonna make

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Speaker 3: it ten for ten on Saturday.

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Speaker 2: It'll be a lot of people angry at Rich Rot

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Speaker 2: if it doesn't go ten for ten, that's show. Let's

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Speaker 2: go to the Cure will be one of them. Thor

286
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Speaker 2: will be one of them for sure. Too many over tickets.

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Speaker 2: Let's go to the Cure. Bawl in Orlando, Florida. Miami

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Speaker 2: of Ohio going up against app State. App State is

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Speaker 2: a six and a half point favorite. Forty five and

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Speaker 2: a half is a total. Here another game that is

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Speaker 2: split between tickets and cash tickets on app cash on

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Speaker 2: Miami uh tickets on the under cash way on the

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Speaker 2: over here thor so Miami, Ohio. You talked about Miami

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Speaker 2: a couple weeks ago. They play well above their head.

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Speaker 2: There's probably gonna be a big discrepancy in terms of talent,

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Speaker 2: but Miami, Ohio keeps chipping away and getting these wins.

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Speaker 1: What do you think about this game?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, they're a team that's near and dear to my

299
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Speaker 3: heart because I think of them as the Ioha guys

300
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Speaker 3: of the G five. They played the exact same way

301
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Speaker 3: their Their statistical profile is the exact same thing. Miami

302
00:14:30,600 --> 00:14:33,120
Speaker 3: of Ohio one hundred and thirty third out of one

303
00:14:33,160 --> 00:14:36,040
Speaker 3: hundred and thirty three teams in adjusted tempo, So they

304
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Speaker 3: play at this snails pace. They run the ball a lot,

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Speaker 3: the quarterback scrambles around. Although we got a QB switching

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Speaker 3: this one I'll talk about in a second. But their

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Speaker 3: defense is awesome. Fifteenth SP plus Special teams is even better.

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Speaker 3: Number one SP plus special teams. That's something that even

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Speaker 3: Iowa can be a little jealous of. I thought I

310
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Speaker 3: was going to be making my first ding of a

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Speaker 3: team ever on the line in a ball game for

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Speaker 3: a special team's loss when my Amy's Louke Grose Award

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Speaker 3: winning kicker previously opted out to go into the transfer portal.

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Speaker 3: He announced last week he's coming back and he's gonna

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Speaker 3: play in this game. Because Miami they're special teams. It's

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Speaker 3: such a hidden advantage, but it's a big advantage. They

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Speaker 3: win the field position game for out their their kickoff

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Speaker 3: teams awesome, the punting team is awesome. And then they're

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Speaker 3: also gaining extra points just in the kicks themselves like that.

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Speaker 3: That field goal kicker does not miss kicks. I think

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Speaker 3: they're number five in the nation and points added on

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Speaker 3: the kicks, field goals and extra points this season in

323
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Speaker 3: the nation.

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Speaker 4: But just a fabulous one. This one was.

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Speaker 3: You know, when I went into this one and he's

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Speaker 3: seen avi on Smith opted out. He's the number two

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Speaker 3: quarterback for Miami. Miami had already lost Gabbert, so you're like, oh,

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Speaker 3: we're gonna have to go down to a third string

329
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Speaker 3: kid that hasn't played before. Obviously they didn't like him

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Speaker 3: enough to play them over the other guys, you know,

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Speaker 3: and and Appy. It played so well down the stretch

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Speaker 3: of their offense. I thought when I went into this handicap,

333
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Speaker 3: I was gonna be unhappy. Certainly, that's where the market went.

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Speaker 3: This line was four and a half last week. Now

335
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Speaker 3: it's at six and a half deeper. I got into

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Speaker 3: this one. This line is wrong. This is a coin

337
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Speaker 3: flip game. My system's got a number on this of

338
00:16:05,920 --> 00:16:09,960
Speaker 3: Appalachian State minus two point seven. This just what we

339
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Speaker 3: see quantifiably in this thing. It can't support being up

340
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Speaker 3: near a touchdown. Miami the only guys it's Avion Smith,

341
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Speaker 3: and then they lost a cornerback who has zero snaps.

342
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Speaker 3: That's the only losses they've had. And if you want

343
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Speaker 3: to say, oh, well they're down to their third string quarterback,

344
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Speaker 3: that's going to be problematic, fair enough. But let me

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Speaker 3: read for you av On Smith's stats this year. Fifty completions,

346
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Speaker 3: two to two TDI and T rate. The guy can't throw.

347
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Speaker 3: All he could do was scramble around. And by the way,

348
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Speaker 3: I looked into that too, he's not good on outside runs.

349
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Speaker 3: The only value that Avion Smith gave them it was

350
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Speaker 3: up the middle running the a most kid who is

351
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Speaker 3: their stud running back with two hundred and forty pound locomotive.

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Speaker 3: He's a bit better on the inside runs. As you

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Speaker 3: might imagine. They also have this Kenny Tracy kid that

354
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Speaker 3: comes in Miami runs the ball very effectively. Surprisingly They're

355
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Speaker 3: one of the most explosive run run games in the NCAA.

356
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Speaker 3: Apple Aachen State happens to be one of the worst

357
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Speaker 3: defenses in the NCAA in terms of allowing explosive runs.

358
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Speaker 3: So Miami's just going to keep this on the ground,

359
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Speaker 3: Keep this on the ground, keep this on the ground.

360
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Speaker 3: When that third stringer, Henry Hassan, when he has to throw,

361
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Speaker 3: he's going to be throwing to one of the the

362
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Speaker 3: g fi's best receivers, Gauge Larvadane, who is going ballistic

363
00:17:20,080 --> 00:17:21,960
Speaker 3: at the beginning of the season. Then he got injured.

364
00:17:22,160 --> 00:17:24,120
Speaker 3: He's going to be the healthiest that he has been

365
00:17:24,280 --> 00:17:26,760
Speaker 3: in this game. They're not going to throw a ton.

366
00:17:26,880 --> 00:17:29,520
Speaker 3: Miami's going to stay super duper conservative, but when they do,

367
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Speaker 3: I think there's a path there for them as well.

368
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Speaker 3: Smith is not a big loss, whereas apple Aachen State.

369
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Speaker 3: They lost Nate Noel, best offensive player. They lost Deshaun Davis,

370
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Speaker 3: their their wide receiver three. They lost a decently used

371
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Speaker 3: rotational edge rusher and Donovan Spelman. Appy State lost a

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Speaker 3: whole bunch more than Miami did. I last thing I'll

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Speaker 3: say about this, I talked about this heading into the

374
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Speaker 3: their conference title game, the Sunbelt Conference title game. As

375
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Speaker 3: far as Joey Aguilar, Joey Aguilar three to nine TDI

376
00:18:01,200 --> 00:18:04,520
Speaker 3: and T rate, but he has a less than one

377
00:18:04,960 --> 00:18:08,199
Speaker 3: ratio of big time throws to turnover worthy plays pff.

378
00:18:08,800 --> 00:18:10,960
Speaker 3: Regression was coming on that kid, Like I said, we

379
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Speaker 3: talked about that in our conference title previews.

380
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Speaker 4: He didn't he going into that game.

381
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Speaker 3: Five straight games go heading into the Troy game, that

382
00:18:18,880 --> 00:18:21,800
Speaker 3: Aguilar kid had thrown for three touchdowns or more zero

383
00:18:21,960 --> 00:18:24,639
Speaker 3: to throwing touchdowns in the game against Troy. Obviously they

384
00:18:24,720 --> 00:18:28,080
Speaker 3: got whipped in that one. I think Miami ambushes him here.

385
00:18:28,080 --> 00:18:29,800
Speaker 3: I'm taking the six and a half points, but I

386
00:18:29,840 --> 00:18:32,320
Speaker 3: think they're gonna win this lright, Chuck Martin four to

387
00:18:32,440 --> 00:18:35,159
Speaker 3: zero against the spread, and bowl games typically suppressed the

388
00:18:35,200 --> 00:18:37,680
Speaker 3: scoring keeps this thing close, turns it into a coin

389
00:18:37,680 --> 00:18:39,680
Speaker 3: flip at the end, and no one's better at winning

390
00:18:39,680 --> 00:18:42,240
Speaker 3: those coin flips at the very end in these games

391
00:18:42,240 --> 00:18:43,000
Speaker 3: that he can get close.

392
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Speaker 4: So I'm taking Miami to win this one.

393
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Speaker 2: Out right, farl I mean, sounds like Thor is very

394
00:18:48,520 --> 00:18:51,560
Speaker 2: passionate about this game, and on the RedHawks. Of course,

395
00:18:51,600 --> 00:18:54,640
Speaker 2: we'll see him draped in RedHawks gear from head to toe.

396
00:18:54,680 --> 00:18:57,399
Speaker 2: Should Miami win this game? Your thoughts on this? I

397
00:18:57,400 --> 00:18:59,080
Speaker 2: mean app State is still a good team, you know,

398
00:18:59,240 --> 00:19:03,280
Speaker 2: snap James Madison's winning streak, all that stuff. Good squad here.

399
00:19:03,320 --> 00:19:05,120
Speaker 2: Do you think they can win this game? They are

400
00:19:05,160 --> 00:19:06,760
Speaker 2: the favorites by almost touchdown.

401
00:19:07,520 --> 00:19:10,280
Speaker 5: Yeah, I think they're gonna win. I'm not sure if

402
00:19:10,280 --> 00:19:12,320
Speaker 5: they're going to cover. You know, it's gonna be a

403
00:19:12,320 --> 00:19:14,919
Speaker 5: low scoring game. It's field position game. I love the

404
00:19:14,960 --> 00:19:17,480
Speaker 5: coaching staff at Miami. I love the way they game

405
00:19:17,520 --> 00:19:19,399
Speaker 5: plan it. Like the way they keep things close. They

406
00:19:19,400 --> 00:19:21,040
Speaker 5: don't let things get out of the hand. They have

407
00:19:21,080 --> 00:19:23,320
Speaker 5: a slow pace. They're not gonna you know, there's not

408
00:19:23,320 --> 00:19:25,800
Speaker 5: gonna be a lot of three an ounce you know,

409
00:19:25,880 --> 00:19:28,720
Speaker 5: Iowa is the king of three announced. This team actually

410
00:19:29,280 --> 00:19:31,800
Speaker 5: can move the football a little bit better than Iowa,

411
00:19:31,920 --> 00:19:33,640
Speaker 5: even though they don't have a good offense and an

412
00:19:33,680 --> 00:19:37,280
Speaker 5: explosive offense, taking drives if they have to punt. He

413
00:19:37,280 --> 00:19:39,760
Speaker 5: talked about the special teams. You know, they're they're very

414
00:19:39,800 --> 00:19:42,280
Speaker 5: good in all aspects of that. So I think they're

415
00:19:42,280 --> 00:19:44,960
Speaker 5: going to keep this game close simply by field position,

416
00:19:45,200 --> 00:19:48,520
Speaker 5: good defense, smart coaching. App State I think is gonna win.

417
00:19:48,560 --> 00:19:50,679
Speaker 5: They've been kind of a radic that they came on

418
00:19:51,200 --> 00:19:53,320
Speaker 5: near the end of the season. But it's too big

419
00:19:53,359 --> 00:19:55,360
Speaker 5: a ligne for me. This would be a field goal

420
00:19:55,400 --> 00:19:57,159
Speaker 5: game where I'd have trouble. But if you're gonna give

421
00:19:57,200 --> 00:19:58,960
Speaker 5: be six and a half points, I'm taking in Miami.

422
00:19:59,400 --> 00:20:02,680
Speaker 2: All right, Let's go over to the New Mexico Bowl.

423
00:20:02,720 --> 00:20:06,360
Speaker 2: Speaking of Parsley attended, New Mexico State is a three

424
00:20:06,359 --> 00:20:09,960
Speaker 2: and a half point favorite, basically at home versus Fresno State.

425
00:20:10,040 --> 00:20:13,520
Speaker 2: The total is fifty one and a half cash tickets

426
00:20:13,560 --> 00:20:16,280
Speaker 2: on New Mexico State side. Both cash and tickets are

427
00:20:16,320 --> 00:20:18,679
Speaker 2: on the over here thor so. When you look at

428
00:20:18,680 --> 00:20:23,399
Speaker 2: the New Mexico Bowl in Albuquerque, New Mexico State. You

429
00:20:23,480 --> 00:20:26,760
Speaker 2: talked about factoring in, you know, home field advantage and

430
00:20:26,760 --> 00:20:29,159
Speaker 2: all that stuff. I don't know that it matters that

431
00:20:29,240 --> 00:20:32,680
Speaker 2: much in this game. Fresno State is a good squad,

432
00:20:32,760 --> 00:20:35,359
Speaker 2: But tell me why New Mexico State is favored, and

433
00:20:35,359 --> 00:20:36,399
Speaker 2: if you agree with that.

434
00:20:36,880 --> 00:20:39,159
Speaker 3: They're definitely going to have the crowd advantage there. The

435
00:20:39,160 --> 00:20:42,480
Speaker 3: New Mexico Bowl wanted New Mexico State. New Mexico State

436
00:20:42,520 --> 00:20:44,720
Speaker 3: wanted to play in the New Mexico Bowl. And I'm

437
00:20:44,720 --> 00:20:47,040
Speaker 3: not sure how much the Fresno State fan base is

438
00:20:47,040 --> 00:20:49,119
Speaker 3: going to be traveling over for this thing, you know,

439
00:20:49,160 --> 00:20:51,840
Speaker 3: particularly Jeff Tedford is not going to be coaching in

440
00:20:51,880 --> 00:20:54,040
Speaker 3: this one. He had a health issue he needed attend too.

441
00:20:54,800 --> 00:20:57,520
Speaker 3: The opt outs on this side not as much. The

442
00:20:57,560 --> 00:21:00,360
Speaker 3: Tedford lost is definitely the biggest on both sides. New

443
00:21:00,400 --> 00:21:02,320
Speaker 3: Mexico did not have a guy opt out who had

444
00:21:02,359 --> 00:21:05,639
Speaker 3: more than eighty five snaps played Fresno State their backup

445
00:21:05,720 --> 00:21:08,720
Speaker 3: quarterback fIF he transferred actually up into my backyard here

446
00:21:08,720 --> 00:21:11,960
Speaker 3: at Minnesota. And then they had a decent safety, but

447
00:21:12,359 --> 00:21:14,000
Speaker 3: a kid that only played two hundred and eighty two

448
00:21:14,000 --> 00:21:16,920
Speaker 3: snaps this year. The injuries are a little bit bigger

449
00:21:16,960 --> 00:21:20,000
Speaker 3: of a deal. Fresno State had lost their starting left tackle,

450
00:21:20,400 --> 00:21:23,439
Speaker 3: this kid named Jacob Spoemer for the year. He was

451
00:21:23,480 --> 00:21:25,919
Speaker 3: by far that team's best backup, or i'm sorry, the

452
00:21:25,920 --> 00:21:29,600
Speaker 3: best starting offensive lineman. The backup is a kid named

453
00:21:29,600 --> 00:21:32,399
Speaker 3: Tory and Penright and I'm sorry that I said your name,

454
00:21:32,440 --> 00:21:36,120
Speaker 3: because I'm about to rip you here, Torrian. That kid

455
00:21:36,200 --> 00:21:38,840
Speaker 3: got lit up this year when they put him in there.

456
00:21:39,160 --> 00:21:42,000
Speaker 3: So he only had fifty eight pass pro reps this year,

457
00:21:42,880 --> 00:21:46,600
Speaker 3: but he allowed multiple sat I'm sorry he allowed two sacks.

458
00:21:46,760 --> 00:21:49,880
Speaker 3: The team leader in sacks allowed only allowed three. And

459
00:21:49,960 --> 00:21:53,359
Speaker 3: we're talking about guys who had seven hundred snaps or whatever.

460
00:21:54,320 --> 00:21:57,560
Speaker 3: The Penriy kid also eight point six pressure rate allowed.

461
00:21:58,000 --> 00:22:01,720
Speaker 3: That was six point six flat six percent higher than

462
00:22:01,760 --> 00:22:04,480
Speaker 3: any of the team's top six offensive linemen in terms

463
00:22:04,480 --> 00:22:08,000
Speaker 3: of snaps. I realized it was a smaller sample, but

464
00:22:08,119 --> 00:22:10,399
Speaker 3: in that sample he's given up these big plays in

465
00:22:10,440 --> 00:22:14,440
Speaker 3: the sacks or whatever. Spoemer's specialty was pass protection. One

466
00:22:14,480 --> 00:22:17,280
Speaker 3: point three pressure rate allowed in three hundred and ninety

467
00:22:17,280 --> 00:22:20,720
Speaker 3: two pass pro reps. That's a very big downgrade. Obviously,

468
00:22:20,720 --> 00:22:23,560
Speaker 3: the coaching downgrade from Tedford to the interim is big two.

469
00:22:23,920 --> 00:22:26,239
Speaker 3: New Mexico State has one of the better coaches in

470
00:22:26,280 --> 00:22:28,800
Speaker 3: the nation in my opinion on their sideline and Jerry

471
00:22:28,880 --> 00:22:32,560
Speaker 3: Kill and on New Mexico State in terms of injuries

472
00:22:32,600 --> 00:22:35,320
Speaker 3: for them, Diego Pavia's status have been up in the air.

473
00:22:35,520 --> 00:22:37,840
Speaker 3: You know, he played through some injuries. He'd have multiple ones.

474
00:22:38,040 --> 00:22:40,240
Speaker 3: Shoulder injury is what knocked him out of the Conference

475
00:22:40,320 --> 00:22:42,600
Speaker 3: USA title game, So his status was a bit up

476
00:22:42,600 --> 00:22:45,520
Speaker 3: in the air three or four days ago. Jerry Kill

477
00:22:45,560 --> 00:22:47,760
Speaker 3: came out publicly and said, Diego Pavia is starting and

478
00:22:47,760 --> 00:22:50,520
Speaker 3: playing in this game. We're gonna get him. That was

479
00:22:50,560 --> 00:22:52,680
Speaker 3: the only question that we had because of all this stuff.

480
00:22:52,680 --> 00:22:54,600
Speaker 3: My line in this game is New Mexico State minus

481
00:22:54,600 --> 00:22:57,520
Speaker 3: four point one. We're pretty close to the margins here.

482
00:22:57,560 --> 00:23:00,119
Speaker 3: I'm also close on the total. My system total on

483
00:23:00,160 --> 00:23:03,439
Speaker 3: this game fifty point two in Vegas right now fifty

484
00:23:03,480 --> 00:23:05,640
Speaker 3: one and a half, So we're very close on both

485
00:23:05,680 --> 00:23:07,800
Speaker 3: of them. I got to lean to New Mexico State though.

486
00:23:07,920 --> 00:23:10,800
Speaker 3: They you have the advantage in the coaching. You don't

487
00:23:10,840 --> 00:23:12,560
Speaker 3: have as many questions as far as the guys that

488
00:23:12,560 --> 00:23:13,960
Speaker 3: aren't going to play.

489
00:23:14,000 --> 00:23:16,120
Speaker 4: This one's the fighting Jerry Kills.

490
00:23:15,760 --> 00:23:18,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, are you going on the kill side here, Mike?

491
00:23:18,160 --> 00:23:21,280
Speaker 2: I mean, and what level of confidence in a game

492
00:23:21,400 --> 00:23:23,600
Speaker 2: like this do you have if you're in like a

493
00:23:23,640 --> 00:23:26,960
Speaker 2: confidence pool or you know, any of those things.

494
00:23:27,040 --> 00:23:28,800
Speaker 1: Is this one that you like or is this one

495
00:23:28,800 --> 00:23:29,240
Speaker 1: that you're like.

496
00:23:29,240 --> 00:23:33,399
Speaker 5: Oh, both teams have talent. I don't think there's a

497
00:23:33,480 --> 00:23:36,240
Speaker 5: discernible roster advantage on one side or the other. I

498
00:23:36,240 --> 00:23:38,359
Speaker 5: would lean towards New Mexico State. This is going to

499
00:23:38,400 --> 00:23:41,280
Speaker 5: come down too Honestly, I believe that Jerry Hill is

500
00:23:41,280 --> 00:23:45,119
Speaker 5: a great coach. He prepares his team as well, he

501
00:23:45,400 --> 00:23:49,600
Speaker 5: cares about these type of games. Jeff Header is not

502
00:23:49,640 --> 00:23:52,240
Speaker 5: going to be coaching. I know it's a big opportunity

503
00:23:52,280 --> 00:23:54,160
Speaker 5: for the rest of coaching staff and step up there,

504
00:23:54,480 --> 00:23:56,960
Speaker 5: But I'm not sure President State is going to be

505
00:23:57,040 --> 00:23:59,199
Speaker 5: into this game as much as New Mexico State is.

506
00:23:59,280 --> 00:24:02,480
Speaker 5: So as fars said, they wanted to play in this game.

507
00:24:02,560 --> 00:24:05,640
Speaker 5: Nobody on the planet wants to play in this game

508
00:24:05,880 --> 00:24:09,040
Speaker 5: except for them, so they're excited. You know, if another

509
00:24:09,080 --> 00:24:12,400
Speaker 5: team got relegated out to the New Mexico Bowl or whatever,

510
00:24:12,840 --> 00:24:15,119
Speaker 5: they'd be like ugh, And these guys are like, yes,

511
00:24:15,200 --> 00:24:16,800
Speaker 5: this is exactly where we're going to be.

512
00:24:17,840 --> 00:24:18,040
Speaker 6: You know.

513
00:24:18,080 --> 00:24:22,199
Speaker 5: It's that old, you know, gray Rabbit thing like this is.

514
00:24:22,720 --> 00:24:25,080
Speaker 5: They're gonna play hard, they're gonna play well, they're gonna

515
00:24:25,080 --> 00:24:27,119
Speaker 5: cover the spread. So I'm going with Jerry Gillon and

516
00:24:27,160 --> 00:24:28,920
Speaker 5: the coaching advantage and Bagman.

517
00:24:29,200 --> 00:24:32,360
Speaker 3: Two other contextual things there, one stat and then one

518
00:24:32,400 --> 00:24:35,879
Speaker 3: contextual thing. New Mexico State played a team that was

519
00:24:36,040 --> 00:24:39,480
Speaker 3: eerily similar to Fresno State during the regular season. Obviously,

520
00:24:39,520 --> 00:24:42,320
Speaker 3: these teams playing in different conferences, so it's hard to

521
00:24:42,359 --> 00:24:45,760
Speaker 3: sort of get one to one Western Kentucky if you

522
00:24:45,840 --> 00:24:48,560
Speaker 3: look at it. Their play calling tendency, you know, skewing

523
00:24:48,720 --> 00:24:51,040
Speaker 3: very very heavy pass, which Fresno State does as well.

524
00:24:51,200 --> 00:24:55,800
Speaker 3: Very similar offensive system, offensive quality, very similar, defensive quality

525
00:24:55,800 --> 00:24:57,399
Speaker 3: between Fresno State and Western Kentucky.

526
00:24:57,480 --> 00:24:57,959
Speaker 4: Very similar.

527
00:24:58,160 --> 00:25:00,639
Speaker 3: The special teams was as well. They're like these mild

528
00:25:00,640 --> 00:25:03,080
Speaker 3: teams on the opposite side of the country. New Mexico

529
00:25:03,200 --> 00:25:06,400
Speaker 3: State beat Western Kentucky thirty eight to twenty nine earlier

530
00:25:06,440 --> 00:25:08,440
Speaker 3: this season, so I thought that was worth pointing out.

531
00:25:08,800 --> 00:25:11,320
Speaker 3: And one other thing is this one of my favorite

532
00:25:11,359 --> 00:25:14,760
Speaker 3: stats that I pulled up. There is only one program

533
00:25:14,880 --> 00:25:17,280
Speaker 3: in the FBS that has played in more than one

534
00:25:17,320 --> 00:25:20,600
Speaker 3: bowl game who has never lost a ball game. I

535
00:25:20,640 --> 00:25:22,800
Speaker 3: think you guys probably know where I'm going with this answer.

536
00:25:23,440 --> 00:25:26,120
Speaker 3: New Mexico State they played in five. They are four

537
00:25:26,160 --> 00:25:28,680
Speaker 3: to zero to one in their ball games, including last

538
00:25:28,720 --> 00:25:31,520
Speaker 3: year Kills first season, they go to the quick Claying

539
00:25:31,520 --> 00:25:33,560
Speaker 3: Bowler or the Motor City Ball whatever they're calling that

540
00:25:33,600 --> 00:25:36,920
Speaker 3: one to Detroit. They beat Bowling Green as three point underdogs.

541
00:25:37,080 --> 00:25:38,720
Speaker 3: I think they're getting another win in this one, and

542
00:25:39,200 --> 00:25:40,800
Speaker 3: by more than three. Three and half points.

543
00:25:41,200 --> 00:25:45,679
Speaker 2: Yeah, I steeped in tradition, a five ball streak of

544
00:25:45,720 --> 00:25:48,439
Speaker 2: not losing. I love it, but hey, look sometimes we

545
00:25:48,480 --> 00:25:50,040
Speaker 2: see tradition grow before our eyes.

546
00:25:50,080 --> 00:25:50,640
Speaker 1: I like it.

547
00:25:50,800 --> 00:25:53,480
Speaker 2: How about the LA Bowl being played in so Far?

548
00:25:54,080 --> 00:25:58,199
Speaker 2: Ucla is in it another locational advantage. Boise State is

549
00:25:58,200 --> 00:26:01,200
Speaker 2: their opponent. The line right now is UCLA by three

550
00:26:01,200 --> 00:26:03,480
Speaker 2: and a half. Obviously a lot going on with that roster.

551
00:26:04,040 --> 00:26:06,920
Speaker 2: Forty nine and a half is a total cash and

552
00:26:07,119 --> 00:26:10,200
Speaker 2: tickets are on Boise State and the under here thors

553
00:26:10,359 --> 00:26:13,199
Speaker 2: So your thoughts on the LA Bowl being played in

554
00:26:13,320 --> 00:26:13,800
Speaker 2: so Far?

555
00:26:14,720 --> 00:26:17,520
Speaker 3: I love Ucla. Ucla was my first pick of the

556
00:26:17,920 --> 00:26:20,600
Speaker 3: ball season. I got it at three, I think on

557
00:26:20,640 --> 00:26:23,240
Speaker 3: a little bit less juice. I also loved the under.

558
00:26:23,640 --> 00:26:25,440
Speaker 3: Fifty and a half was the number that I got.

559
00:26:25,440 --> 00:26:27,680
Speaker 3: But where the number is now, I was still advocate

560
00:26:27,720 --> 00:26:30,600
Speaker 3: for that. The line for UCLA is going to keep

561
00:26:30,640 --> 00:26:33,640
Speaker 3: growing and the number, the total is going to keep dropping.

562
00:26:34,359 --> 00:26:37,399
Speaker 3: And the reason why is Teylon Green opted O. Teylon

563
00:26:37,440 --> 00:26:40,440
Speaker 3: Green's on his way to try to save Sam Pittman's job,

564
00:26:40,520 --> 00:26:43,640
Speaker 3: and it makes makes some magic with Bobby Patrino back

565
00:26:43,680 --> 00:26:47,520
Speaker 3: there in Fayevel, that's where he transferred so he's out.

566
00:26:47,800 --> 00:26:50,560
Speaker 3: But the problem for Boise State is Maddix mattson the

567
00:26:50,920 --> 00:26:53,919
Speaker 3: quarterback two that was sort of platooning at times with

568
00:26:54,040 --> 00:26:56,760
Speaker 3: Taylon Green this fall. He's out for the season because

569
00:26:56,800 --> 00:26:59,520
Speaker 3: of an injury. So Boise State is going to be

570
00:26:59,560 --> 00:27:02,560
Speaker 3: starting in this game a three star true freshman quarterback

571
00:27:02,600 --> 00:27:04,200
Speaker 3: who has never stepped on the field.

572
00:27:04,600 --> 00:27:06,000
Speaker 4: His name is CJ. Tiller.

573
00:27:06,359 --> 00:27:08,480
Speaker 3: Now CJ Tiller. The one thing he's got going for

574
00:27:08,560 --> 00:27:12,239
Speaker 3: him is asheron gen t return to Boise State. I

575
00:27:12,280 --> 00:27:15,639
Speaker 3: heard some of the details of his nil package, and

576
00:27:15,720 --> 00:27:16,840
Speaker 3: I don't blame.

577
00:27:16,640 --> 00:27:18,000
Speaker 4: Him from returning to Boise State.

578
00:27:18,800 --> 00:27:21,080
Speaker 3: George Hallani will also be playing in this game, so

579
00:27:21,200 --> 00:27:24,120
Speaker 3: Boise State will have the running game. However, I don't

580
00:27:24,160 --> 00:27:27,160
Speaker 3: see how they throw it all. First of all, UCLA's

581
00:27:27,160 --> 00:27:30,000
Speaker 3: pass defense was awesome this year. They were one of

582
00:27:30,040 --> 00:27:32,879
Speaker 3: the better pass defenses in America. Now it's the CJ.

583
00:27:32,960 --> 00:27:35,040
Speaker 3: Tiller kid, who again has never thrown the ball before

584
00:27:35,440 --> 00:27:39,679
Speaker 3: and his receiving corp is absolutely deestimated. Eric mccalis are

585
00:27:39,680 --> 00:27:42,600
Speaker 3: one of their top receivers. He left the team in November.

586
00:27:42,800 --> 00:27:47,080
Speaker 3: They also have multiple injuries that Stephen Cobbs hasn't played

587
00:27:47,119 --> 00:27:50,440
Speaker 3: since week ten. He's not expected back. One of their backups,

588
00:27:50,520 --> 00:27:52,760
Speaker 3: Chase Penry, is questionable. I don't think he's going to

589
00:27:52,800 --> 00:27:56,000
Speaker 3: play either. Latrell Capoles was expected to be a big

590
00:27:56,000 --> 00:27:59,040
Speaker 3: contributor this year. He had a leg injury in August.

591
00:27:59,080 --> 00:28:01,760
Speaker 3: He'd been out for the season. So Boise State's receiving

592
00:28:01,800 --> 00:28:04,280
Speaker 3: core is absolutely decimated. And again you have this total

593
00:28:04,359 --> 00:28:07,639
Speaker 3: unknown at quarterback. I get that UCLA is, you know,

594
00:28:07,720 --> 00:28:11,160
Speaker 3: Dante Moore is, although to me that is a positive

595
00:28:11,440 --> 00:28:13,440
Speaker 3: because you're guaranteed that Dante more is not gonna be

596
00:28:13,480 --> 00:28:14,040
Speaker 3: on the field here.

597
00:28:14,160 --> 00:28:15,560
Speaker 4: He was a big negative this year.

598
00:28:15,560 --> 00:28:18,280
Speaker 3: Ethan Garber's was way better than him Dante Morris for

599
00:28:18,320 --> 00:28:21,280
Speaker 3: the future, not for the present. So starting Ethan Garber's

600
00:28:21,400 --> 00:28:24,359
Speaker 3: is a value add for UCLA. The other opt outs

601
00:28:24,400 --> 00:28:26,680
Speaker 3: they had as far as the transfer portal guys, only

602
00:28:26,720 --> 00:28:30,400
Speaker 3: guy that I really liked was Kamari Ramsey, who's a safety.

603
00:28:30,760 --> 00:28:33,600
Speaker 3: But again, Boise State is not going to be testing

604
00:28:33,680 --> 00:28:37,119
Speaker 3: UCLA deep in here. The UCLA did lose their stud

605
00:28:37,240 --> 00:28:40,640
Speaker 3: Edge Lea lat to the NFL Draft. That is a

606
00:28:40,640 --> 00:28:43,520
Speaker 3: big loss, but it's certainly not big enough to mitigate

607
00:28:43,520 --> 00:28:44,680
Speaker 3: the other stuff that we're talking on.

608
00:28:44,720 --> 00:28:45,880
Speaker 4: The Boise State side.

609
00:28:45,960 --> 00:28:48,240
Speaker 3: My line on this one is UCLA close to five,

610
00:28:48,520 --> 00:28:50,680
Speaker 3: So I would definitely advocate a bet here three and

611
00:28:50,680 --> 00:28:51,400
Speaker 3: a half.

612
00:28:51,400 --> 00:28:52,400
Speaker 4: Even if it gets to four.

613
00:28:52,760 --> 00:28:54,280
Speaker 3: Even if it gets to four and a half, I

614
00:28:54,280 --> 00:28:57,000
Speaker 3: would advocate for a bet on UCLA and the unders

615
00:28:57,040 --> 00:29:01,400
Speaker 3: is smash. It's still up near fifty. Mine's forty five.

616
00:29:01,840 --> 00:29:05,320
Speaker 3: So definitely definitely the under as well UCLA and the under.

617
00:29:05,400 --> 00:29:09,600
Speaker 2: All right, so I believe that is both against the

618
00:29:09,640 --> 00:29:12,600
Speaker 2: public here, Pharaoh, Are you with Mike orre you with

619
00:29:12,640 --> 00:29:16,720
Speaker 2: thor excuse me? On the you know, the UCLA and

620
00:29:16,760 --> 00:29:18,080
Speaker 2: the over bet.

621
00:29:18,240 --> 00:29:21,760
Speaker 5: I mean I'm going under. I think it's I'm leaning

622
00:29:21,760 --> 00:29:24,280
Speaker 5: towards that. I don't think Boise State's gonna be able

623
00:29:24,280 --> 00:29:26,480
Speaker 5: to throw the ball based on everything we you know,

624
00:29:26,600 --> 00:29:29,240
Speaker 5: told you they're going to run the ball. They're gonna

625
00:29:29,240 --> 00:29:31,560
Speaker 5: have a little bit of success. But UCLA defense is

626
00:29:31,600 --> 00:29:35,520
Speaker 5: extremely solid this year. Not spectacular, but solid. It's the

627
00:29:35,560 --> 00:29:38,520
Speaker 5: reason why USC went and stole their defensive coordinator away

628
00:29:38,560 --> 00:29:42,680
Speaker 5: because USC realized across the town they got a much

629
00:29:42,680 --> 00:29:45,400
Speaker 5: better coordinator. They have much better defense about three years

630
00:29:45,400 --> 00:29:49,640
Speaker 5: too late, in a much better scheme, you know. So

631
00:29:49,960 --> 00:29:51,920
Speaker 5: I think UCLA is going to be able to limit

632
00:29:51,960 --> 00:29:54,440
Speaker 5: the points Boise. He gets, I don't think UCLA is

633
00:29:54,440 --> 00:29:58,160
Speaker 5: going to score a ton. You know, I see a

634
00:29:58,160 --> 00:30:03,000
Speaker 5: low scoring game, maybe twenty seventeen type of thing. I

635
00:30:03,120 --> 00:30:06,360
Speaker 5: know UCLA should be the favorite. I know they should

636
00:30:06,400 --> 00:30:08,440
Speaker 5: win this football game. I know there's some things going

637
00:30:08,440 --> 00:30:10,120
Speaker 5: on there with Chip Kelly. There's a lot of people

638
00:30:10,160 --> 00:30:13,320
Speaker 5: unhappy on the inside as to the direction of this

639
00:30:13,400 --> 00:30:15,920
Speaker 5: team and all this other garbage, which is the reason

640
00:30:15,960 --> 00:30:18,760
Speaker 5: why he was rumored to be fired. It wasn't performance wise.

641
00:30:19,160 --> 00:30:23,960
Speaker 5: It was more like we really likes Chip. Not a surprise.

642
00:30:24,400 --> 00:30:26,040
Speaker 5: That was the case at Oregon. There was case of

643
00:30:26,040 --> 00:30:28,200
Speaker 5: the NFL. But you know, at least he wanted Oregon.

644
00:30:28,480 --> 00:30:32,040
Speaker 5: They had success with the Eagles. But if you're you know,

645
00:30:32,160 --> 00:30:35,760
Speaker 5: the second team in your own market and you're falling

646
00:30:35,800 --> 00:30:37,920
Speaker 5: behind the rest of the Pac twelve, and you're not

647
00:30:38,080 --> 00:30:39,440
Speaker 5: like it's going to be an issue. So I don't

648
00:30:39,440 --> 00:30:41,600
Speaker 5: think they're gonna play it super hard. But I still think,

649
00:30:41,920 --> 00:30:43,200
Speaker 5: you know they're gonna be able to pull out a

650
00:30:43,240 --> 00:30:45,080
Speaker 5: victory here. But I look for a lower scoring game.

651
00:30:45,120 --> 00:30:47,680
Speaker 5: I would hammer the under card, but I still think

652
00:30:48,000 --> 00:30:49,600
Speaker 5: you know they're gonna be able to pull. Yeah, he's

653
00:30:49,640 --> 00:30:51,360
Speaker 5: on the under. Yeah, he's on the under.

654
00:30:51,560 --> 00:30:55,160
Speaker 1: And I think I misspoke thras on UCLA and the under.

655
00:30:55,440 --> 00:30:59,040
Speaker 2: Yeah yeah, all right, let's go to the Independence Bowl

656
00:30:59,120 --> 00:31:03,920
Speaker 2: in Shreveport, Landiana. Cal is facing off against Texas Tech,

657
00:31:03,960 --> 00:31:05,920
Speaker 2: who is a two and a half point favorite in

658
00:31:05,960 --> 00:31:09,200
Speaker 2: this game. Fifty five and a half is a total

659
00:31:09,640 --> 00:31:12,520
Speaker 2: tickets to cash on the over in this game, but

660
00:31:12,560 --> 00:31:15,760
Speaker 2: they're split tickets on Cal cash on Texas Tech doors.

661
00:31:15,800 --> 00:31:18,160
Speaker 2: So straighten us out, who do we like in this game?

662
00:31:19,360 --> 00:31:22,080
Speaker 3: I like Cal in this game. I think this should

663
00:31:22,120 --> 00:31:25,040
Speaker 3: be a coin flip, and you're getting three. My line

664
00:31:25,120 --> 00:31:28,160
Speaker 3: is Tech Tech minus zero point four. So basically pick

665
00:31:28,200 --> 00:31:31,840
Speaker 3: them taking the three. I'm gonna do that every time

666
00:31:32,320 --> 00:31:34,720
Speaker 3: Texas Tech they did get good news win the running

667
00:31:34,720 --> 00:31:37,640
Speaker 3: back TOAJ Brooks decided to come back. He announced that

668
00:31:37,720 --> 00:31:40,800
Speaker 3: recently he had considered the NFL draft. He's one of

669
00:31:40,800 --> 00:31:43,360
Speaker 3: the well actually he led the nation in mistackles for

670
00:31:43,480 --> 00:31:46,440
Speaker 3: its ninety two of them, and Cal's defense, I will

671
00:31:46,440 --> 00:31:50,200
Speaker 3: say contextually struggles to tackle that is the best matchup

672
00:31:50,240 --> 00:31:52,720
Speaker 3: by far that Tech has in this thing. Almost every

673
00:31:52,720 --> 00:31:54,960
Speaker 3: other one I looked at is in favor of Cal.

674
00:31:55,320 --> 00:31:58,360
Speaker 3: But Taj Brooks should have a decent game. Texas Tech

675
00:31:58,400 --> 00:32:00,360
Speaker 3: has a bad run defense and that's going to be

676
00:32:00,360 --> 00:32:02,480
Speaker 3: a problem for them because jayde Not is going to

677
00:32:02,480 --> 00:32:04,240
Speaker 3: have an enormous game. So this would be an over

678
00:32:04,400 --> 00:32:07,640
Speaker 3: a prop game over on both the running backs Texas Tech.

679
00:32:07,720 --> 00:32:09,880
Speaker 3: I feel like when they get into the third and longs,

680
00:32:09,920 --> 00:32:13,200
Speaker 3: that's where there's gonna be a problem. So Texas Tech

681
00:32:13,280 --> 00:32:15,760
Speaker 3: starting left tackle is their best offensive lineman. This this

682
00:32:15,800 --> 00:32:19,320
Speaker 3: guy named Monroe Mill he opted out, was probably the

683
00:32:19,320 --> 00:32:22,680
Speaker 3: biggest opt out on both sides. Texas Tech also had

684
00:32:22,720 --> 00:32:24,880
Speaker 3: two starting receivers that opted out. They had two of

685
00:32:24,920 --> 00:32:28,640
Speaker 3: their US backup receivers also opted out, so they got

686
00:32:28,680 --> 00:32:31,000
Speaker 3: to go pretty deep on the depth chart in terms

687
00:32:31,080 --> 00:32:34,400
Speaker 3: of that. And even though Tyler Shucks obviously out for

688
00:32:34,400 --> 00:32:37,200
Speaker 3: the year. Now now he's at Louis, Baron Morton gonna

689
00:32:37,200 --> 00:32:39,480
Speaker 3: be playing in this one. Baron Morton should be healthier,

690
00:32:39,880 --> 00:32:42,880
Speaker 3: but he did not acquit himself terribly well this season

691
00:32:43,000 --> 00:32:45,480
Speaker 3: and now he's thrown to this receiving core. They really

692
00:32:45,520 --> 00:32:49,040
Speaker 3: only has Xavi or White. Dray mccrazy the other one

693
00:32:49,040 --> 00:32:51,120
Speaker 3: that's stuck around. He's just sort of a guy. I

694
00:32:51,120 --> 00:32:53,320
Speaker 3: think they're gonna have to play more than Mason Tharp

695
00:32:53,360 --> 00:32:56,000
Speaker 3: and Baylor Cup their two tight ends in the slot

696
00:32:56,040 --> 00:32:59,440
Speaker 3: there and the outside receivers that you know they take

697
00:32:59,480 --> 00:33:02,040
Speaker 3: a shot too. Because Juron Bradley was one of the

698
00:33:02,040 --> 00:33:04,840
Speaker 3: guys that opted out on the Cal side, not as

699
00:33:04,840 --> 00:33:05,960
Speaker 3: many opt outs that matter.

700
00:33:06,200 --> 00:33:06,440
Speaker 4: Really.

701
00:33:06,480 --> 00:33:09,120
Speaker 3: The only one that does at a starting linebacker. Linebacker

702
00:33:09,160 --> 00:33:12,840
Speaker 3: Caleb Alarms or who's out. He's a team's leading tackler,

703
00:33:13,440 --> 00:33:15,640
Speaker 3: but he's not a flash player. He has very modest

704
00:33:15,680 --> 00:33:18,640
Speaker 3: havoc numbers. He cleans up against the runs, so he

705
00:33:18,680 --> 00:33:21,320
Speaker 3: would have helped for sure against Brooks, but outside of

706
00:33:21,320 --> 00:33:24,840
Speaker 3: that doesn't hurt as much. I just like cal Moore

707
00:33:24,920 --> 00:33:27,040
Speaker 3: in this one. Again, you're talking about a coin flip

708
00:33:27,080 --> 00:33:30,480
Speaker 3: game where you're getting three points, so I definitely like Cal.

709
00:33:30,520 --> 00:33:33,640
Speaker 3: I'm probably staying away from the total. My systems very close.

710
00:33:33,680 --> 00:33:36,560
Speaker 3: It would lean over slightly fifty seven and a half

711
00:33:37,000 --> 00:33:40,160
Speaker 3: is what I'm seeing, but my system total was about sixty,

712
00:33:40,560 --> 00:33:42,280
Speaker 3: so I'd have a slight lean that way.

713
00:33:42,320 --> 00:33:44,160
Speaker 4: But Cal is my play.

714
00:33:44,360 --> 00:33:47,680
Speaker 2: And Mike in this game. Are you on the calside

715
00:33:47,680 --> 00:33:50,000
Speaker 2: as well? Do you like Texas Tech more this one?

716
00:33:50,360 --> 00:33:52,680
Speaker 2: This one seems like a close, close game.

717
00:33:53,080 --> 00:33:55,720
Speaker 5: I'm going to go to Jilly mcguires. It's going to

718
00:33:55,760 --> 00:33:57,680
Speaker 5: be a running back attle as you mentioned, you know,

719
00:33:57,960 --> 00:34:00,480
Speaker 5: versus Brooks. Brooks coming back at least honestly, it's a

720
00:34:00,480 --> 00:34:03,640
Speaker 5: big lift for the team. Not that that's going to

721
00:34:03,800 --> 00:34:05,600
Speaker 5: you know, spark them to a victory in a bowl

722
00:34:05,640 --> 00:34:07,560
Speaker 5: game or anything wrong that, but I mean it's a

723
00:34:07,600 --> 00:34:09,399
Speaker 5: big deal. I mean, this guy was I think fourth

724
00:34:09,400 --> 00:34:12,719
Speaker 5: from the nation and rushing. You know, he's coming back.

725
00:34:12,840 --> 00:34:15,560
Speaker 5: Running Backs your d value in the NFL draft, at

726
00:34:15,640 --> 00:34:18,920
Speaker 5: least temporarily. People think that's forever. It's not forever, but

727
00:34:19,040 --> 00:34:21,520
Speaker 5: right now, you know, coming back is probably a better

728
00:34:21,560 --> 00:34:24,480
Speaker 5: idea for him. He's gonna have something to prove. This

729
00:34:24,640 --> 00:34:27,279
Speaker 5: is kind of his you know, showcase at the end

730
00:34:27,280 --> 00:34:30,080
Speaker 5: of the season heading into next season for the NFL Draft.

731
00:34:30,719 --> 00:34:33,360
Speaker 5: And Caw can't tackle and they're just not gonna be

732
00:34:33,400 --> 00:34:36,160
Speaker 5: able to tackle in Ot is a very good running back.

733
00:34:36,200 --> 00:34:38,040
Speaker 5: He's going to get Texas Tech fits as well. I

734
00:34:38,120 --> 00:34:40,520
Speaker 5: think both players are gonna have big games, But I'm

735
00:34:40,520 --> 00:34:41,920
Speaker 5: gonna go with the Joey mcguires here.

736
00:34:42,320 --> 00:34:44,120
Speaker 2: Yeah, it seems like a fun game to watch if

737
00:34:44,120 --> 00:34:46,080
Speaker 2: you like some good running back play. That's going to

738
00:34:46,120 --> 00:34:48,840
Speaker 2: be a really fun one. Get get some scouting in

739
00:34:49,280 --> 00:34:51,400
Speaker 2: for sure in that one. That is all the games

740
00:34:51,440 --> 00:34:53,560
Speaker 2: on Saturday. So we're going to move forward here, but

741
00:34:53,640 --> 00:34:57,880
Speaker 2: before we move over to Monday through Friday's games, if

742
00:34:58,080 --> 00:35:00,920
Speaker 2: you would like a chance to win a premium one

743
00:35:01,000 --> 00:35:04,560
Speaker 2: year subscription to Betting Pros your place to start betting

744
00:35:04,719 --> 00:35:07,000
Speaker 2: smarter and not harder, you need to subscribe to the

745
00:35:07,000 --> 00:35:11,120
Speaker 2: Betting Pros YouTube channel right now comment below on this video.

746
00:35:11,600 --> 00:35:12,120
Speaker 1: That's it.

747
00:35:12,480 --> 00:35:14,920
Speaker 2: We will be announcing a winner right here on the channel,

748
00:35:15,120 --> 00:35:17,440
Speaker 2: so make sure to turn on those notifications so you

749
00:35:17,520 --> 00:35:20,600
Speaker 2: can be alerted when new episodes are up. And to

750
00:35:20,760 --> 00:35:25,840
Speaker 2: claim your prize, let's go to the state steeped in tradition,

751
00:35:26,080 --> 00:35:29,960
Speaker 2: famous Toasty Bowl in Charlotte, North Carolina. It is Western

752
00:35:30,040 --> 00:35:34,000
Speaker 2: Kentucky versus Old Dominion. The spread is ODU by two

753
00:35:34,040 --> 00:35:36,600
Speaker 2: and a half. Fifty five and a half is the

754
00:35:36,640 --> 00:35:41,400
Speaker 2: total in this game. ODU is favored in tickets and cash.

755
00:35:42,040 --> 00:35:46,960
Speaker 2: We only have information on the tickets for the total

756
00:35:47,080 --> 00:35:51,080
Speaker 2: and it is fifty fifty. So this is one of

757
00:35:51,160 --> 00:35:54,319
Speaker 2: the tougher games to explain here. Thor So, how do

758
00:35:54,360 --> 00:35:55,200
Speaker 2: you see this one going?

759
00:35:56,200 --> 00:35:59,120
Speaker 4: Yeah, we have a lot of opt outs here, a

760
00:35:59,160 --> 00:35:59,719
Speaker 4: lot of them.

761
00:36:00,120 --> 00:36:05,520
Speaker 3: Western Kentucky one, they've gotten more attention, you know, in

762
00:36:05,600 --> 00:36:08,400
Speaker 3: terms of that. Malachi Corley, the stud receiver're gonna go

763
00:36:08,440 --> 00:36:10,879
Speaker 3: on Day two and April. He's opting out to start

764
00:36:10,920 --> 00:36:14,759
Speaker 3: his draft preparation. But Western Kentucky's offensive line also got

765
00:36:14,800 --> 00:36:18,680
Speaker 3: wiped out. West Dorsey is starting tackles out for this game.

766
00:36:19,640 --> 00:36:22,719
Speaker 3: He transfer portal Transfer portal also for their starting center,

767
00:36:22,840 --> 00:36:25,800
Speaker 3: Vincent Murphy, and then also their Studs starting left guard

768
00:36:26,040 --> 00:36:30,080
Speaker 3: Quintavious Leslie, So they lose three different starting offensive linemen.

769
00:36:30,480 --> 00:36:33,280
Speaker 3: They also had two of their better defenders, Desmond Baker,

770
00:36:33,320 --> 00:36:36,560
Speaker 3: a linebacker and Upton Stout, a safety who's a top

771
00:36:36,560 --> 00:36:39,879
Speaker 3: fifty portal guy in ESPN's rankings. They're all out. When

772
00:36:39,920 --> 00:36:42,719
Speaker 3: I started handicapping this game, I thought for sure I

773
00:36:42,760 --> 00:36:46,000
Speaker 3: was gonna be all over old dominion that their opt

774
00:36:46,040 --> 00:36:49,440
Speaker 3: outs were not nearly as bad. Javon Harvey is. He's

775
00:36:49,480 --> 00:36:53,680
Speaker 3: their most targeted receiver, but statistically wasn't wasn't great this year.

776
00:36:54,080 --> 00:36:56,759
Speaker 3: He what he he's like their outlet receive it's the

777
00:36:56,800 --> 00:36:59,840
Speaker 3: shorts to the quick hitting stuff. Sure, basically Harvey's an

778
00:37:00,080 --> 00:37:03,080
Speaker 3: tension of the running game. I don't think he's the biggest.

779
00:37:03,120 --> 00:37:06,879
Speaker 3: Last Jordan Bly dre Bli's son, another receiver there. He

780
00:37:06,920 --> 00:37:11,360
Speaker 3: opted out. Jordan Bly was not good this year. They're

781
00:37:11,400 --> 00:37:14,160
Speaker 3: not going to miss him. I'm sorry to say. Terry

782
00:37:14,239 --> 00:37:16,240
Speaker 3: Jones is solid starting safety for Old Dominion.

783
00:37:16,280 --> 00:37:16,959
Speaker 4: He was the other one.

784
00:37:17,080 --> 00:37:18,719
Speaker 3: But like I said, I came into this one and

785
00:37:18,719 --> 00:37:20,320
Speaker 3: I was like, I'm gonna be all over Old Dominion.

786
00:37:20,920 --> 00:37:23,160
Speaker 3: Then I saw that Jason Henderson is going to miss

787
00:37:23,200 --> 00:37:25,960
Speaker 3: this game. That was announced by Old Dominion. Jason Henderson

788
00:37:26,040 --> 00:37:28,680
Speaker 3: is one of the best linebackers in the nation by

789
00:37:28,760 --> 00:37:30,920
Speaker 3: the tackle numbers. He is one of the great tackling

790
00:37:30,960 --> 00:37:35,960
Speaker 3: linebackers in the history of the NCAA. The last two years,

791
00:37:36,000 --> 00:37:39,640
Speaker 3: this Jason Henderson kid one hundred and seventy or more

792
00:37:39,719 --> 00:37:43,880
Speaker 3: tackles in each of the last two seasons. I'm not

793
00:37:44,040 --> 00:37:47,520
Speaker 3: talking combined. I'm talking each of the last two seasons.

794
00:37:47,719 --> 00:37:49,920
Speaker 3: This kid is a frigging tackle machine. And he's one

795
00:37:49,960 --> 00:37:53,200
Speaker 3: of the reasons why Old Dominion's defensive metrics were so good.

796
00:37:53,480 --> 00:37:54,520
Speaker 4: Their tackle rate.

797
00:37:55,160 --> 00:37:57,320
Speaker 3: Old Dominion is like top fifteen in the nation in

798
00:37:57,440 --> 00:38:00,279
Speaker 3: terms of securing the tackles. It's because this kid gets

799
00:38:00,280 --> 00:38:03,040
Speaker 3: on the doorstep every time it doesn't miss. Now he's

800
00:38:03,080 --> 00:38:05,400
Speaker 3: going to be out for this game. That is a

801
00:38:05,640 --> 00:38:08,319
Speaker 3: crazy drop off there for a team that had a

802
00:38:08,360 --> 00:38:10,719
Speaker 3: better defense than you would think. They do have one

803
00:38:10,760 --> 00:38:13,600
Speaker 3: of their solid linebacker, but the backups, you know, the

804
00:38:13,600 --> 00:38:17,640
Speaker 3: per snap stuff. You're talking this enormous loss of value there.

805
00:38:18,080 --> 00:38:20,880
Speaker 3: My line when everything came out in the wash, I

806
00:38:20,880 --> 00:38:24,160
Speaker 3: have old dominion minus zero point six. So it's another

807
00:38:24,200 --> 00:38:25,759
Speaker 3: one of those where I think that this is a

808
00:38:25,760 --> 00:38:28,440
Speaker 3: coin flip. It's tough because we're pretty close to the

809
00:38:28,480 --> 00:38:32,239
Speaker 3: margins here. I would lean Western Kentucky again. I know,

810
00:38:32,320 --> 00:38:34,280
Speaker 3: you look at all the opt outs on the Western

811
00:38:34,320 --> 00:38:36,719
Speaker 3: Kentucky side and sort of takes your breath away. It

812
00:38:36,800 --> 00:38:39,120
Speaker 3: did for me last year too. It was the one

813
00:38:39,200 --> 00:38:42,160
Speaker 3: trap that I walked into in the early slate. I

814
00:38:42,160 --> 00:38:45,399
Speaker 3: went something like ten of eleven hitting the ball games

815
00:38:45,440 --> 00:38:47,799
Speaker 3: at the beginning. The one that I got wrong was

816
00:38:47,840 --> 00:38:51,160
Speaker 3: the Western Kentucky one when they were playing South Alabama.

817
00:38:51,400 --> 00:38:53,520
Speaker 3: Because Western Kentucky had a whole bunch of opt outs.

818
00:38:53,560 --> 00:38:55,479
Speaker 3: I thought Austin Reid wasn't gonna play in that game.

819
00:38:55,719 --> 00:38:57,479
Speaker 3: Change his mind. A couple of days before the game.

820
00:38:57,719 --> 00:38:59,839
Speaker 3: He has given no indications that he will not play

821
00:38:59,840 --> 00:39:02,040
Speaker 3: in this game. But Western Kentucky went out in that

822
00:39:02,080 --> 00:39:05,600
Speaker 3: game and slapped around South Alabama. I would definitely lean

823
00:39:05,880 --> 00:39:08,600
Speaker 3: Western Kentucky in this game. But my real play in

824
00:39:08,600 --> 00:39:10,759
Speaker 3: this one is the under. The total in this one

825
00:39:10,880 --> 00:39:12,839
Speaker 3: fifty five and a half or so, depending on where

826
00:39:12,840 --> 00:39:15,560
Speaker 3: you look. My system's total on this one is fifty one.

827
00:39:16,360 --> 00:39:19,080
Speaker 3: I mentioned how much the offensive line Western Kentucky lost.

828
00:39:19,120 --> 00:39:23,040
Speaker 3: They lost Malachi Corley, Old Dominion lost some of their receivers.

829
00:39:23,160 --> 00:39:25,600
Speaker 3: Old Dominion did lose the couple good defenders to opt

830
00:39:25,600 --> 00:39:28,560
Speaker 3: out at the safety and then Henderson, but there's way

831
00:39:28,600 --> 00:39:31,200
Speaker 3: more defections on the offensive side of the ball. I

832
00:39:31,239 --> 00:39:33,680
Speaker 3: think this game is going to be played very conservatively,

833
00:39:33,719 --> 00:39:36,040
Speaker 3: these teams trying to feel each other out. I'm gonna

834
00:39:36,040 --> 00:39:37,359
Speaker 3: go under that fifty five and a half.

835
00:39:37,680 --> 00:39:39,359
Speaker 1: Mike, Do you have a good feel on this game?

836
00:39:39,400 --> 00:39:42,120
Speaker 2: I mean, you know, you lose Western Kentucky's a lot

837
00:39:42,120 --> 00:39:44,240
Speaker 2: of rhythm and timing, and if you lose those offensive

838
00:39:44,239 --> 00:39:46,120
Speaker 2: linemen and your number one wide receiver, that's a lot

839
00:39:46,160 --> 00:39:49,480
Speaker 2: to lose. But like Thorn mentioned, Henderson, the leading tackler

840
00:39:49,520 --> 00:39:52,600
Speaker 2: for a team that tackles well is also an enormous loss.

841
00:39:52,640 --> 00:39:55,320
Speaker 2: So are you on a side do you like the under?

842
00:39:55,480 --> 00:39:56,399
Speaker 2: What's your thoughts here?

843
00:39:56,680 --> 00:40:00,040
Speaker 5: I'm going under. I think it's too high, and I

844
00:40:00,040 --> 00:40:02,440
Speaker 5: think it's gonna be a sloppy game. Uh, you know,

845
00:40:02,719 --> 00:40:06,960
Speaker 5: you lose three offensive linemen, it's just gonna be problematic.

846
00:40:07,000 --> 00:40:08,759
Speaker 5: They're gonna have trouble run the football, You're gonna have

847
00:40:08,800 --> 00:40:12,640
Speaker 5: trouble protecting. That doesn't mean we Kentucky's not gonna score

848
00:40:12,640 --> 00:40:16,560
Speaker 5: any points, but there's gonna be some you know, ugly series.

849
00:40:17,360 --> 00:40:19,640
Speaker 5: You know, Henderson's a big deal. Those are like Luke

850
00:40:19,719 --> 00:40:23,520
Speaker 5: Keikley type of numbers. Not I. I will never put

851
00:40:23,800 --> 00:40:26,920
Speaker 5: any linebacker in the history of the world in the

852
00:40:26,920 --> 00:40:29,680
Speaker 5: same sentence with Luke Keickley as far as a player comparison,

853
00:40:29,719 --> 00:40:31,879
Speaker 5: because Luke Lee is a big god and much better

854
00:40:31,920 --> 00:40:35,200
Speaker 5: than Henderson. But those are like Keiley was on some

855
00:40:35,280 --> 00:40:37,279
Speaker 5: bad teams for me see, and he just got every

856
00:40:37,320 --> 00:40:39,399
Speaker 5: tackle because he was the best player by far on

857
00:40:39,480 --> 00:40:42,680
Speaker 5: the field. That's Henderson. The reason he's getting new tackles

858
00:40:43,080 --> 00:40:45,200
Speaker 5: is because he's by far their best defender and he

859
00:40:45,440 --> 00:40:51,640
Speaker 5: just beats people to the tackles story as well. So yeah, yeah,

860
00:40:51,680 --> 00:40:56,319
Speaker 5: so he's going to be you know, missed clearly. But

861
00:40:56,480 --> 00:40:59,440
Speaker 5: the defense is still formidable enough to be able to

862
00:40:59,520 --> 00:41:02,840
Speaker 5: keep Western Tepee under control, especially with Corley gone, and

863
00:41:02,880 --> 00:41:04,480
Speaker 5: they'll stay up in T one. So I'm going on here.

864
00:41:04,480 --> 00:41:06,520
Speaker 5: I think it's gonna be a low scorting game. Sidewise,

865
00:41:06,560 --> 00:41:09,080
Speaker 5: I would lean over to you, but like you were say,

866
00:41:09,080 --> 00:41:11,120
Speaker 5: it's kind of a pick them. So if you don't

867
00:41:11,120 --> 00:41:13,040
Speaker 5: want to give the points, stay away from the side

868
00:41:13,080 --> 00:41:13,680
Speaker 5: going the under.

869
00:41:14,440 --> 00:41:17,920
Speaker 2: All right, let's go over to Tuesday, the nineteenth, the

870
00:41:17,960 --> 00:41:21,440
Speaker 2: Frisco Bowl in Frisco, Texas. UTSA is a twelve and

871
00:41:21,480 --> 00:41:24,160
Speaker 2: a half point favorite against Marshall. Fifty two and a

872
00:41:24,200 --> 00:41:27,680
Speaker 2: half is a total in this one. We've got tickets

873
00:41:27,719 --> 00:41:30,160
Speaker 2: on UTSA and the under. Not a lot of bets

874
00:41:30,200 --> 00:41:32,799
Speaker 2: coming in on this game, or do you have a

875
00:41:32,800 --> 00:41:35,680
Speaker 2: good lean between UTSA and Marshall. That's a lot of

876
00:41:35,680 --> 00:41:37,279
Speaker 2: points for UTSA. Can they do it?

877
00:41:38,000 --> 00:41:39,799
Speaker 4: Yeah? And that line is hopped up too.

878
00:41:40,160 --> 00:41:42,920
Speaker 3: We had it was eight and a half around the open,

879
00:41:42,960 --> 00:41:45,640
Speaker 3: then it was at ten just a few days ago,

880
00:41:45,680 --> 00:41:48,239
Speaker 3: and now to the twelve and a half. I would

881
00:41:48,239 --> 00:41:51,719
Speaker 3: have been on UTSA at the smaller numbers. Now if

882
00:41:51,840 --> 00:41:54,520
Speaker 3: twelve and a half. You're getting closer to forcing me

883
00:41:54,560 --> 00:41:57,160
Speaker 3: into beton Marshall. My line in this game is UTSA

884
00:41:57,239 --> 00:42:00,600
Speaker 3: minus eleven point one. You're not you don't have a

885
00:42:00,680 --> 00:42:04,440
Speaker 3: lot of value on that. My real bet though, W'll

886
00:42:04,480 --> 00:42:06,279
Speaker 3: probably be on the under. You're pretty close to the

887
00:42:06,360 --> 00:42:09,160
Speaker 3: margins there too, bagwin. What is it live right now?

888
00:42:09,800 --> 00:42:10,680
Speaker 1: On the total?

889
00:42:11,160 --> 00:42:11,319
Speaker 4: Yeah?

890
00:42:11,360 --> 00:42:13,080
Speaker 1: The total fifty two and a half.

891
00:42:13,400 --> 00:42:15,399
Speaker 3: Fifty two and a half. Yeah, and that one's come

892
00:42:15,480 --> 00:42:17,200
Speaker 3: down too. It was fifty five and a half a

893
00:42:17,200 --> 00:42:20,000
Speaker 3: couple of days ago. This is probably the game where

894
00:42:20,280 --> 00:42:22,439
Speaker 3: in terms of like where it is in real life,

895
00:42:22,560 --> 00:42:26,440
Speaker 3: and then my system that it's probably the closest, so

896
00:42:27,000 --> 00:42:28,640
Speaker 3: it makes it it makes it harder. I would have

897
00:42:28,680 --> 00:42:30,840
Speaker 3: leaned the under, but that thing coming down like that,

898
00:42:31,000 --> 00:42:32,640
Speaker 3: I don't know if I take that one as well.

899
00:42:33,560 --> 00:42:36,319
Speaker 3: I might take the points with Marshall if we're get

900
00:42:36,719 --> 00:42:39,879
Speaker 3: wait to thirteen is what I would say on that.

901
00:42:40,239 --> 00:42:43,280
Speaker 3: But Marshall has not had Rasheen Ali opt out yet,

902
00:42:43,640 --> 00:42:46,040
Speaker 3: and if rashing Ali does not opt out, they should

903
00:42:46,080 --> 00:42:48,319
Speaker 3: at least be able to run the ball. Marshall had

904
00:42:48,400 --> 00:42:51,320
Speaker 3: cam Fancher opt out the quarterback, but cam Fancher stinks

905
00:42:51,320 --> 00:42:54,719
Speaker 3: they're gonna be starting Chad Pennington's son, Cole Pennington. Cole

906
00:42:54,800 --> 00:42:57,200
Speaker 3: Pennington was terrible this year as well. He's even worse

907
00:42:57,200 --> 00:43:00,920
Speaker 3: than Fancier was. But you know, at least throwing he

908
00:43:01,040 --> 00:43:03,640
Speaker 3: probably around there. Fancer could run the ball a little bit.

909
00:43:04,360 --> 00:43:07,880
Speaker 3: Marshall also lost one of their starting receivers, Caleb Coombs,

910
00:43:08,000 --> 00:43:10,439
Speaker 3: but he's another one of those extension of the run

911
00:43:10,480 --> 00:43:12,400
Speaker 3: game guys that doesn't go deep at all. It's just

912
00:43:12,719 --> 00:43:15,680
Speaker 3: the quick funnel screens on the outside. Marshall also lost

913
00:43:15,680 --> 00:43:18,040
Speaker 3: the starting offensive lineman this this Trent Holler Kid.

914
00:43:18,400 --> 00:43:20,200
Speaker 4: Utsa's losses dull or bigger.

915
00:43:20,239 --> 00:43:22,319
Speaker 3: If they only lost one guy that matters, budd he

916
00:43:22,480 --> 00:43:27,359
Speaker 3: really matters, Trey More, the edge freaking monster. The kid

917
00:43:27,400 --> 00:43:30,240
Speaker 3: had fourteen sacks this year, sixteen nav tackles for last

918
00:43:30,560 --> 00:43:33,680
Speaker 3: AAC Defensive Player of the Year his he so, he

919
00:43:33,719 --> 00:43:36,840
Speaker 3: had a six point one percent sack percentage and he

920
00:43:36,880 --> 00:43:40,399
Speaker 3: had forty pressures. Both of those metrics doubled up more

921
00:43:40,440 --> 00:43:43,880
Speaker 3: than double up the number two guy on UTSA. SO,

922
00:43:44,560 --> 00:43:46,600
Speaker 3: and that kid's being pursued by all the blue bloods

923
00:43:46,600 --> 00:43:48,040
Speaker 3: in the nation right now. He's one of the better

924
00:43:48,120 --> 00:43:51,319
Speaker 3: edge defense defenders in the entire nation with with where

925
00:43:51,320 --> 00:43:54,480
Speaker 3: the line movement is gone. I'm gonna hold my nose

926
00:43:54,520 --> 00:43:56,520
Speaker 3: on this one and I'm gonna jump in with.

927
00:43:56,440 --> 00:44:00,520
Speaker 2: Marshall fairly your thoughts here? Are you in on Marshall

928
00:44:00,520 --> 00:44:00,919
Speaker 2: as well?

929
00:44:01,640 --> 00:44:05,319
Speaker 5: I'm going under the line's big and I'm not. I

930
00:44:05,320 --> 00:44:07,839
Speaker 5: don't believe in Marshall at all. I like Ko Top,

931
00:44:08,000 --> 00:44:10,160
Speaker 5: I don't know what's happened there. I really don't. It's

932
00:44:10,239 --> 00:44:13,759
Speaker 5: just a bad football teams there. They're playing terrible ball.

933
00:44:14,400 --> 00:44:18,560
Speaker 5: There's some internal strife going on there. There is big

934
00:44:18,960 --> 00:44:21,160
Speaker 5: issue as to who the starting quarterback should be. I mean,

935
00:44:21,320 --> 00:44:23,680
Speaker 5: updating came out. I think you said the quarterbacks transfer?

936
00:44:23,760 --> 00:44:24,680
Speaker 4: Did the fan pat him?

937
00:44:26,000 --> 00:44:29,960
Speaker 5: That type of honesty When you say that, that means

938
00:44:30,120 --> 00:44:33,520
Speaker 5: you given up. Like it's not giving up, He's not

939
00:44:33,520 --> 00:44:37,759
Speaker 5: gonna quit. But it's like that's a level of frustration

940
00:44:38,040 --> 00:44:41,399
Speaker 5: with your players. It's like saying, and this kid's by

941
00:44:41,440 --> 00:44:44,400
Speaker 5: all accounts a good kid, but it's essentially saying, we

942
00:44:44,440 --> 00:44:49,200
Speaker 5: aren't tough, we have thin skin. We can't get a

943
00:44:49,239 --> 00:44:51,680
Speaker 5: crap about this game. So I'm not taking them. I'm

944
00:44:51,680 --> 00:44:54,520
Speaker 5: taking the under, you know, mainly for the reasons that

945
00:44:54,560 --> 00:44:58,680
Speaker 5: Doors said the quarterback play a horrible at Marshall U TSA.

946
00:44:58,840 --> 00:45:01,239
Speaker 5: I don't really trust. I don't think they're going to

947
00:45:01,239 --> 00:45:04,279
Speaker 5: put up a ton of points, and I just don't

948
00:45:04,280 --> 00:45:06,200
Speaker 5: think this is gonna be a high scoring game. If

949
00:45:06,200 --> 00:45:08,120
Speaker 5: it was closer to what open at eight and a

950
00:45:08,160 --> 00:45:10,120
Speaker 5: half or maybe nine or something like that, I would

951
00:45:10,120 --> 00:45:13,120
Speaker 5: think ECSA. But the team keeps creeping up. I'm not

952
00:45:13,120 --> 00:45:15,000
Speaker 5: not laying that many points, So take the under.

953
00:45:15,239 --> 00:45:17,640
Speaker 1: All right, let's go over to Thursday the twenty first.

954
00:45:17,680 --> 00:45:20,279
Speaker 2: We're skipping Wednesday no bowl games, but we got the

955
00:45:20,280 --> 00:45:24,600
Speaker 2: Boca Ratone Bowl on Thursday, South Florida For Syracuse, Syracuse

956
00:45:24,680 --> 00:45:27,440
Speaker 2: is a three and a half point favorite in this game.

957
00:45:27,560 --> 00:45:30,520
Speaker 2: Sixty and a half is a total. Tickets to cash

958
00:45:30,560 --> 00:45:34,000
Speaker 2: once again, split tickets on Syracuse, cash on USF. Also

959
00:45:34,239 --> 00:45:36,759
Speaker 2: tickets on the over, cash on the under. So this

960
00:45:36,800 --> 00:45:39,520
Speaker 2: one is split on public opinion. Thors, So set us straight.

961
00:45:39,560 --> 00:45:42,480
Speaker 2: Who do you like in South Florida versus Syracuse in

962
00:45:42,520 --> 00:45:43,520
Speaker 2: the Boca Ratone Bowl?

963
00:45:44,239 --> 00:45:45,960
Speaker 3: Last one, I didn't have a great feel this one.

964
00:45:46,000 --> 00:45:48,200
Speaker 3: I feel a lot better. I'm taking South Florida. South

965
00:45:48,239 --> 00:45:51,040
Speaker 3: Florida basically your de facto home team here. I don't

966
00:45:51,040 --> 00:45:53,479
Speaker 3: think any Syracuse fans are going to be traveling down

967
00:45:53,560 --> 00:45:54,000
Speaker 3: for this one.

968
00:45:54,160 --> 00:45:55,960
Speaker 4: You get into the better weather. But you know, a

969
00:45:55,960 --> 00:45:57,080
Speaker 4: couple of days before.

970
00:45:57,000 --> 00:45:59,759
Speaker 2: Chris, I mean, why not be a snowbird, right I mean,

971
00:46:00,880 --> 00:46:02,560
Speaker 2: gotta be way better in Florida right now?

972
00:46:02,719 --> 00:46:05,200
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, you know, maybe if those guys live

973
00:46:05,239 --> 00:46:08,200
Speaker 3: down there or whatever. But like Syracuse now in this transition,

974
00:46:08,360 --> 00:46:11,080
Speaker 3: they fired Dino Babers. Fran Brown's coming in. He's not

975
00:46:11,080 --> 00:46:14,040
Speaker 3: gonna be coaching in this one though, They who is

976
00:46:14,080 --> 00:46:17,319
Speaker 3: at Nunzio Campanil is going to be the interim coach

977
00:46:17,320 --> 00:46:20,440
Speaker 3: for Syracuse in this game. Whereas you go again South Florida.

978
00:46:20,719 --> 00:46:22,640
Speaker 3: So fora I mean, people may not have watched him

979
00:46:22,640 --> 00:46:24,839
Speaker 3: that much outside of the Alabama game where they start

980
00:46:24,880 --> 00:46:27,239
Speaker 3: of rose up in that one in September. But so

981
00:46:27,480 --> 00:46:30,960
Speaker 3: Florida in the first year under Alex Golish, they played

982
00:46:30,960 --> 00:46:33,440
Speaker 3: way up. This year, they ended up rowing into Bowl season.

983
00:46:33,800 --> 00:46:36,359
Speaker 3: They play at the crazy fast tempo and they can

984
00:46:36,400 --> 00:46:39,880
Speaker 3: give some team trouble. I think they're gonna give Syracuse trouble.

985
00:46:40,160 --> 00:46:43,520
Speaker 3: Dino Babers before he got fired in October, he talked

986
00:46:43,520 --> 00:46:45,960
Speaker 3: about he threw his hands up in October, He's like,

987
00:46:45,960 --> 00:46:48,600
Speaker 3: we don't have the depth, right, like when the newest

988
00:46:48,880 --> 00:46:51,440
Speaker 3: end of season losing streak started, that the threaten to

989
00:46:51,480 --> 00:46:53,920
Speaker 3: keep Syracuse out of bowl season. And he was just

990
00:46:53,960 --> 00:46:56,640
Speaker 3: telling reporters like straight out, like we don't have the depth.

991
00:46:56,880 --> 00:46:59,799
Speaker 3: You know, you have any injuries? They the backups there,

992
00:46:59,800 --> 00:47:02,239
Speaker 3: they they just aren't playable Syracuse.

993
00:47:02,280 --> 00:47:02,480
Speaker 6: There.

994
00:47:02,520 --> 00:47:04,680
Speaker 3: They have a starting edge Leon Lowry opted out of

995
00:47:04,680 --> 00:47:08,840
Speaker 3: this game. One of their starting defensive interior guys, Terry Lockett,

996
00:47:08,880 --> 00:47:10,879
Speaker 3: he is also in the transfer portal opted out.

997
00:47:11,480 --> 00:47:12,399
Speaker 4: That hurts for them.

998
00:47:12,680 --> 00:47:14,960
Speaker 3: They had a couple of safeties that opted out as well.

999
00:47:15,520 --> 00:47:18,960
Speaker 3: That's all tough, of course. Irandi Gats and you go

1000
00:47:19,000 --> 00:47:21,440
Speaker 3: back to the beginning of the season, the very first game.

1001
00:47:21,760 --> 00:47:23,520
Speaker 3: I think that was when the writing was on the

1002
00:47:23,520 --> 00:47:25,960
Speaker 3: wall for Dino Babers. When Gats went out, he was

1003
00:47:26,000 --> 00:47:29,239
Speaker 3: their one singular player. He's a matchup nightmare. They still

1004
00:47:29,280 --> 00:47:32,040
Speaker 3: have this solid running back. I'm not a big Garrett

1005
00:47:32,040 --> 00:47:34,279
Speaker 3: Trader fan. He can scramble around a little bit, but

1006
00:47:34,280 --> 00:47:36,680
Speaker 3: you can't do anything through the passing through the air

1007
00:47:36,680 --> 00:47:39,240
Speaker 3: with him. The receiving corps is not good without Gatz

1008
00:47:39,320 --> 00:47:41,839
Speaker 3: And and again, so Florida is gonna get on you

1009
00:47:42,040 --> 00:47:44,399
Speaker 3: with you know, with with with the temple, temple, Temple,

1010
00:47:44,400 --> 00:47:46,120
Speaker 3: We're gonna run back to the line.

1011
00:47:46,200 --> 00:47:46,520
Speaker 4: Whatever.

1012
00:47:46,960 --> 00:47:50,720
Speaker 3: So Florida had very little losses in terms of the portal,

1013
00:47:51,600 --> 00:47:53,960
Speaker 3: less than five hundred snaps loss. It was a guy

1014
00:47:54,000 --> 00:47:56,480
Speaker 3: that Lloyd summer All has been out for a while anyway,

1015
00:47:56,760 --> 00:47:59,000
Speaker 3: an edge guy, so they're not going to miss him

1016
00:47:59,000 --> 00:48:02,399
Speaker 3: causey've been playing without him. Backup safety. The only thing

1017
00:48:02,440 --> 00:48:04,440
Speaker 3: to watch for in the South Florida side. Both of

1018
00:48:04,480 --> 00:48:07,960
Speaker 3: their starting guards are questionable with injuries that they had

1019
00:48:07,960 --> 00:48:09,880
Speaker 3: in late November. That would be the only thing that

1020
00:48:09,880 --> 00:48:12,120
Speaker 3: I would look into on that. But getting the three

1021
00:48:12,120 --> 00:48:13,440
Speaker 3: and a half points of the team I think is

1022
00:48:13,480 --> 00:48:15,759
Speaker 3: gonna win outright near there, you know, near where they

1023
00:48:15,800 --> 00:48:18,879
Speaker 3: come from. So forth of going to Boca Ratone. Here,

1024
00:48:18,880 --> 00:48:20,480
Speaker 3: we're gonna take the polls and we're going to take

1025
00:48:20,480 --> 00:48:21,240
Speaker 3: them all right.

1026
00:48:21,560 --> 00:48:25,799
Speaker 2: Now, Farrell, you talked about before you are less inclined

1027
00:48:25,920 --> 00:48:28,040
Speaker 2: to take a team that is getting the de facto

1028
00:48:28,200 --> 00:48:31,680
Speaker 2: home field advantage here. Does that come into play here?

1029
00:48:32,120 --> 00:48:33,600
Speaker 5: No, I mean I don't care about the home field

1030
00:48:33,600 --> 00:48:37,560
Speaker 5: advantage here. I do care about the trajectory of these programs.

1031
00:48:37,600 --> 00:48:40,080
Speaker 5: I think there's going to be some excitement under fran

1032
00:48:40,120 --> 00:48:43,200
Speaker 5: Brown and the recruiting pailies already doing an extremely good job.

1033
00:48:43,320 --> 00:48:46,520
Speaker 5: There's excitement within the building, there's excitement in the program itself.

1034
00:48:47,360 --> 00:48:50,440
Speaker 5: But this team is not excited. And you know, they

1035
00:48:50,920 --> 00:48:54,480
Speaker 5: once again started off strong and you know fell apart.

1036
00:48:55,920 --> 00:48:58,960
Speaker 5: Alex Bolish is this team. You know, here's the story. Ready,

1037
00:48:59,800 --> 00:49:02,800
Speaker 5: one then eleven football team went and won six games

1038
00:49:02,800 --> 00:49:05,919
Speaker 5: and went to a bowl and nobody's paying attention. It's

1039
00:49:05,920 --> 00:49:08,160
Speaker 5: the one and eleven football team that went four and

1040
00:49:08,239 --> 00:49:11,279
Speaker 5: eight and finished last. In the fact twelve everybody cares about,

1041
00:49:11,440 --> 00:49:14,920
Speaker 5: and that it's Colorado who cares. Look at at what

1042
00:49:14,960 --> 00:49:18,719
Speaker 5: this guy's done in Northwestern is also in this discussion.

1043
00:49:18,719 --> 00:49:22,959
Speaker 5: As far as one and eleven to respectability bowl game.

1044
00:49:23,280 --> 00:49:27,200
Speaker 5: This team's excited. Uh, he's he's been a tremendous higher.

1045
00:49:27,360 --> 00:49:31,520
Speaker 5: I mean so far. I just don't believe in the

1046
00:49:31,680 --> 00:49:37,279
Speaker 5: Syracuse Schrader is Shrader, He's okay. They don't have you know,

1047
00:49:37,360 --> 00:49:39,440
Speaker 5: as Thor mentioned, and you know, they were admitted, they

1048
00:49:39,480 --> 00:49:42,439
Speaker 5: don't have a lot of depth. And I watched them

1049
00:49:42,480 --> 00:49:45,400
Speaker 5: down the stretch and they didn't really seem to care

1050
00:49:45,600 --> 00:49:47,320
Speaker 5: and it was one of the reasons why the Bavers

1051
00:49:47,440 --> 00:49:51,960
Speaker 5: was gone. You know that the atmosphere on the sidelines,

1052
00:49:52,000 --> 00:49:54,480
Speaker 5: the excitement level on the sidelines was missing. He was

1053
00:49:54,560 --> 00:49:58,160
Speaker 5: missing the excitement. The team was mailed in. It was

1054
00:49:58,200 --> 00:50:01,080
Speaker 5: almost like here we go again, and I think they're

1055
00:50:01,120 --> 00:50:02,400
Speaker 5: just going to go down there and go through the

1056
00:50:02,440 --> 00:50:04,080
Speaker 5: motions and I'm going to take you a set to

1057
00:50:04,160 --> 00:50:04,759
Speaker 5: win this game.

1058
00:50:04,800 --> 00:50:08,120
Speaker 2: Out right, Let's go to the last bowl game on

1059
00:50:08,160 --> 00:50:11,400
Speaker 2: the docket for this show. It is on Friday, December

1060
00:50:11,440 --> 00:50:15,759
Speaker 2: twenty second, the Gasparilla Bowl, Tampa, Florida. It's Georgia Tech

1061
00:50:15,880 --> 00:50:19,279
Speaker 2: versus UCF. UCF is a four and a half point favorite.

1062
00:50:19,480 --> 00:50:23,560
Speaker 2: Sixty four and a half is a total tickets and cash,

1063
00:50:23,600 --> 00:50:26,920
Speaker 2: both on the UCF side, all almost all the tickets

1064
00:50:26,920 --> 00:50:29,120
Speaker 2: on the over as well. Here thor, do you have

1065
00:50:29,160 --> 00:50:30,719
Speaker 2: a good pull in the Gasparilla Bowl.

1066
00:50:31,640 --> 00:50:31,840
Speaker 5: I do.

1067
00:50:31,920 --> 00:50:33,239
Speaker 4: I'm gonna go with UCF here.

1068
00:50:33,280 --> 00:50:35,560
Speaker 3: You know, it's another one You're you're playing closer to home,

1069
00:50:36,239 --> 00:50:39,440
Speaker 3: you know, in this one Gasparilla Bowl in Tampa, UCF

1070
00:50:39,560 --> 00:50:43,040
Speaker 3: gonna obviously they're from Florida, but they also lost a

1071
00:50:43,040 --> 00:50:43,600
Speaker 3: lot less.

1072
00:50:44,000 --> 00:50:46,920
Speaker 4: UCF did than Georgia Tech. UCF.

1073
00:50:47,000 --> 00:50:49,239
Speaker 3: They didn't even have a starter who has opted out

1074
00:50:49,320 --> 00:50:50,880
Speaker 3: or is going to miss the game with an injury.

1075
00:50:50,880 --> 00:50:56,280
Speaker 3: Here Georgia Tech multiple guys defenders Kyle cannarned the edge

1076
00:50:56,360 --> 00:51:00,160
Speaker 3: and and Keenan Johnson, the starting cornerback, both opt out there.

1077
00:51:00,560 --> 00:51:02,640
Speaker 3: And if there have been no opt ouse, these teams

1078
00:51:02,640 --> 00:51:05,719
Speaker 3: have full strength. My line would have been you see,

1079
00:51:05,880 --> 00:51:09,160
Speaker 3: by almost a touchdown. You see minus six point seven

1080
00:51:09,200 --> 00:51:10,600
Speaker 3: if it was during the regular at the end of

1081
00:51:10,640 --> 00:51:13,319
Speaker 3: the regular season in a neutral But you bake in

1082
00:51:13,400 --> 00:51:16,520
Speaker 3: the other stuff. My line balloons to over a touchdown

1083
00:51:16,560 --> 00:51:19,479
Speaker 3: in terms of the modified home field, terms of them

1084
00:51:19,520 --> 00:51:22,200
Speaker 3: having the advantage in losing less, different stuff like that.

1085
00:51:22,960 --> 00:51:25,880
Speaker 4: You see. If they're a team that played well at various.

1086
00:51:25,520 --> 00:51:27,799
Speaker 3: Times this season, I think this is a matchup that

1087
00:51:27,840 --> 00:51:29,360
Speaker 3: lines up well for them. I think they're gonna be

1088
00:51:29,360 --> 00:51:31,759
Speaker 3: able to run on Georgia Tech. I think they end

1089
00:51:31,760 --> 00:51:33,200
Speaker 3: the season on the high note and they win this

1090
00:51:33,239 --> 00:51:34,120
Speaker 3: one by double.

1091
00:51:33,880 --> 00:51:36,239
Speaker 1: Did is Farrell you seem to agree with that? What

1092
00:51:36,280 --> 00:51:37,160
Speaker 1: are your thoughts?

1093
00:51:37,680 --> 00:51:39,960
Speaker 5: Yeah, same thing. They're gonna be able to run over them.

1094
00:51:40,160 --> 00:51:42,520
Speaker 5: They you know, up and down in the first year

1095
00:51:42,520 --> 00:51:44,640
Speaker 5: of the Big Twelve. But you know, if they can

1096
00:51:44,719 --> 00:51:47,799
Speaker 5: run the football against teams that have trouble stopping the run,

1097
00:51:48,160 --> 00:51:50,480
Speaker 5: and that's the case here. So I think you see

1098
00:51:50,560 --> 00:51:53,560
Speaker 5: us as the pick here. I'm you know, Georgia Tech.

1099
00:51:53,600 --> 00:51:55,319
Speaker 5: I mean, he's done a good job.

1100
00:51:56,480 --> 00:51:56,719
Speaker 6: You know.

1101
00:51:57,000 --> 00:51:57,400
Speaker 4: I don't know.

1102
00:51:57,400 --> 00:51:59,239
Speaker 5: I still don't know if he's the right guy or not.

1103
00:51:59,360 --> 00:52:02,759
Speaker 5: But I mean, you know, from interim coach to full

1104
00:52:02,800 --> 00:52:05,720
Speaker 5: time Fed Bowl, I mean, that's pretty good. But Gus

1105
00:52:05,719 --> 00:52:08,520
Speaker 5: has been around, He's been there, done that. He knows

1106
00:52:08,560 --> 00:52:11,440
Speaker 5: how to game plan. He knows the physical advantage they're

1107
00:52:11,440 --> 00:52:13,319
Speaker 5: gonna have upfront and the ability to run the ball.

1108
00:52:13,360 --> 00:52:14,960
Speaker 5: So they're going to run over them. I think they're

1109
00:52:14,960 --> 00:52:16,920
Speaker 5: gonna win this game by double digits.

1110
00:52:17,160 --> 00:52:19,000
Speaker 2: All right, Well, that is going to wrap it up

1111
00:52:19,040 --> 00:52:21,640
Speaker 2: for today. Just to let you guys know the schedule.

1112
00:52:22,040 --> 00:52:24,560
Speaker 2: We are going to have another show next week just

1113
00:52:24,640 --> 00:52:27,320
Speaker 2: like this, and on Friday, the twenty second. I believe

1114
00:52:27,320 --> 00:52:29,000
Speaker 2: we're gonna have a live show. We haven't picked a

1115
00:52:29,080 --> 00:52:30,879
Speaker 2: time for that. It's going to come soon. We will

1116
00:52:30,920 --> 00:52:34,040
Speaker 2: be getting an announcement for that very soon. It will

1117
00:52:34,080 --> 00:52:36,120
Speaker 2: be on the next show, So just pay attention for

1118
00:52:36,200 --> 00:52:39,640
Speaker 2: that and that will be it for us. Remember you

1119
00:52:39,680 --> 00:52:41,760
Speaker 2: can follow us all on Twitter, app, bog and Sports

1120
00:52:41,800 --> 00:52:44,560
Speaker 2: for myself, at thor Ku for Thor and at m

1121
00:52:44,600 --> 00:52:45,759
Speaker 2: Feral Sports for Mike.

1122
00:52:46,040 --> 00:52:48,480
Speaker 1: We will see you guys next week. Take it easy, everybody.

1123
00:52:48,960 --> 00:52:51,680
Speaker 6: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

1124
00:52:51,760 --> 00:52:54,120
Speaker 6: love the show, the best freeway to support us is

1125
00:52:54,160 --> 00:52:55,920
Speaker 6: by leaving a positive review on.

1126
00:52:55,920 --> 00:52:57,560
Speaker 1: Apple Podcasts or Spotify.

1127
00:52:57,880 --> 00:53:01,160
Speaker 6: Follow us on x and TikTok at betting and Instagram

1128
00:53:01,160 --> 00:53:02,440
Speaker 6: at Betting Pros NFL.

1129
00:53:02,880 --> 00:53:03,920
Speaker 1: Also subscribe to our

1130
00:53:03,920 --> 00:53:06,800
Speaker 6: YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros