1 00:00:05,600 --> 00:00:11,680 Speaker 1: This is Straight Fire with Jason McIntyre. What is up, 2 00:00:11,720 --> 00:00:17,280 Speaker 1: straight Fire Fan, It's me Jason McIntyre, Straight Fired for Friday, 3 00:00:17,960 --> 00:00:20,440 Speaker 1: August twenty six. What a week. It's been a lot 4 00:00:20,480 --> 00:00:23,920 Speaker 1: of NBA news. We had a golf guest on the podcast, 5 00:00:24,480 --> 00:00:26,759 Speaker 1: a lot of NFL stuff happening, and a lot of 6 00:00:26,800 --> 00:00:29,520 Speaker 1: it's not great. This Tyron Smith injury for the Cowboys 7 00:00:29,680 --> 00:00:34,960 Speaker 1: is devastating, absolutely crippling to an already weakened offensive line. 8 00:00:35,320 --> 00:00:39,080 Speaker 1: Poor Dak Prescott. Jerry Jones opening his mouth and saying, hey, hey, hey, 9 00:00:39,120 --> 00:00:41,720 Speaker 1: we go as Ezekiel Elliott goes like, bro, what are 10 00:00:41,760 --> 00:00:45,879 Speaker 1: you even talking about? Jerry Jones? Uh? Goodness, Jerry, the 11 00:00:45,880 --> 00:00:49,920 Speaker 1: gift that keeps on giving. Um, It's been a very 12 00:00:49,920 --> 00:00:52,279 Speaker 1: good week on the podcast. You guys have responded well 13 00:00:52,320 --> 00:00:53,960 Speaker 1: to the guests, and I think you'll like today's guest. 14 00:00:54,000 --> 00:00:56,840 Speaker 1: If you guys remember my Saturday radio show had it 15 00:00:56,920 --> 00:01:00,560 Speaker 1: for five or maybe six years nationally on Fox Sports 16 00:01:00,640 --> 00:01:04,360 Speaker 1: Radio Saturday mornings. I'll never forget when I was doing 17 00:01:04,400 --> 00:01:08,000 Speaker 1: the show out here. You know, you never know who's listening, 18 00:01:08,600 --> 00:01:10,920 Speaker 1: right you're doing a radio shoot. You just don't know. 19 00:01:11,160 --> 00:01:14,400 Speaker 1: And one day I rolled up Saturday morning to play 20 00:01:14,680 --> 00:01:16,680 Speaker 1: pick up basketball with some new guys that I hadn't 21 00:01:16,680 --> 00:01:18,679 Speaker 1: really played with. I knew a couple of them, and 22 00:01:18,720 --> 00:01:21,840 Speaker 1: I walk up and instantly this guy recognized me. Oh, 23 00:01:21,920 --> 00:01:24,039 Speaker 1: I've seen you on Cowherd show. Wait, you have a 24 00:01:24,040 --> 00:01:27,000 Speaker 1: Saturday radio show. Shouldn't you be there? And I go, well, 25 00:01:27,240 --> 00:01:29,720 Speaker 1: it's funny enough. I left the radio show a little 26 00:01:29,720 --> 00:01:34,160 Speaker 1: while ago. This was, Um, I guess maybe sometime last year. 27 00:01:35,040 --> 00:01:37,479 Speaker 1: And it turns out I have become friendly with this guy. 28 00:01:37,480 --> 00:01:40,039 Speaker 1: He's older, he had better go to my high school. Um, 29 00:01:40,080 --> 00:01:42,319 Speaker 1: but he's been a kind of a quasi fan. And 30 00:01:42,319 --> 00:01:44,080 Speaker 1: I don't it sounds weird to say he's a fan 31 00:01:44,160 --> 00:01:46,679 Speaker 1: of my work, But um, some of these guys, you know, 32 00:01:46,720 --> 00:01:49,560 Speaker 1: they liked the radio show where they subscribe to the podcast. Um, 33 00:01:50,120 --> 00:01:53,280 Speaker 1: it's just it's weird being in this space, especially when 34 00:01:53,280 --> 00:01:55,600 Speaker 1: people write about you on the internet, as has happened 35 00:01:55,600 --> 00:01:58,040 Speaker 1: a couple of times this week. Um, you know you 36 00:01:58,080 --> 00:01:59,960 Speaker 1: can't respond to any of it. There's a lot of 37 00:02:00,040 --> 00:02:03,640 Speaker 1: this information. The best part about being written about And 38 00:02:03,680 --> 00:02:07,640 Speaker 1: I don't even know how a guy like Cowherd handles this, 39 00:02:07,800 --> 00:02:09,720 Speaker 1: or a guy like Skip Bayless or Stephen A smith 40 00:02:10,520 --> 00:02:13,959 Speaker 1: is when people write something about you claiming that they 41 00:02:14,000 --> 00:02:16,560 Speaker 1: know and they didn't even reach out to you for 42 00:02:16,600 --> 00:02:19,840 Speaker 1: a comment, like, hey, is this true? Now, I'm not 43 00:02:19,840 --> 00:02:22,520 Speaker 1: gonna respond anyway, or I'll politely say hey, man, I 44 00:02:22,560 --> 00:02:25,760 Speaker 1: can't say anything, or if I don't like or respect you, 45 00:02:25,800 --> 00:02:29,480 Speaker 1: I just wanted to respond to your inquiry. But to 46 00:02:29,680 --> 00:02:32,520 Speaker 1: like put it out there, like you know, without even asking, 47 00:02:32,960 --> 00:02:35,040 Speaker 1: it's just weird. I mean, I'm I'm available, I'm on 48 00:02:35,080 --> 00:02:38,080 Speaker 1: social media, I have an email. Uh. It's just it's 49 00:02:38,120 --> 00:02:40,520 Speaker 1: an odd feeling. But enough about me, although I do 50 00:02:40,680 --> 00:02:43,600 Speaker 1: like talking about me. I played volleyball Thursday. My game 51 00:02:43,639 --> 00:02:45,959 Speaker 1: needs some work, but man, it's a good workout. And 52 00:02:46,000 --> 00:02:47,520 Speaker 1: I know if those of you keeping track at home 53 00:02:47,520 --> 00:02:54,480 Speaker 1: and like, wait a second, so Jason played golf, play volleyball, soccer, tennis, basketball. 54 00:02:54,520 --> 00:02:56,200 Speaker 1: What is wrong with this guy and guys? I don't 55 00:02:56,200 --> 00:02:59,280 Speaker 1: know what it is. I I can't really sit still. 56 00:02:59,800 --> 00:03:02,760 Speaker 1: I like to be active. If I'm sitting around, I 57 00:03:02,840 --> 00:03:05,520 Speaker 1: kind of feel like I'm being lazy. I'm not being productive. 58 00:03:06,320 --> 00:03:09,320 Speaker 1: I end up like playing video play FIFA on on 59 00:03:09,320 --> 00:03:11,360 Speaker 1: our video games. Of course, I'm Nickoxa, which has a 60 00:03:11,440 --> 00:03:15,360 Speaker 1: huge game. This weekend. Um, I'll hit the volleyball around 61 00:03:15,440 --> 00:03:18,400 Speaker 1: my son. I just I don't like just sitting around 62 00:03:18,520 --> 00:03:21,040 Speaker 1: doing nothing. I don't know, it's weird. I end up 63 00:03:21,040 --> 00:03:22,959 Speaker 1: inevitably looking at my phone. I know a lot of 64 00:03:22,960 --> 00:03:25,240 Speaker 1: people can relate to that, and that's just it feels awful. 65 00:03:25,960 --> 00:03:28,519 Speaker 1: At any rate, we got a great guest today. As 66 00:03:28,520 --> 00:03:30,359 Speaker 1: I started to say, like three minutes ago before I 67 00:03:30,440 --> 00:03:34,880 Speaker 1: rambled about myself on that Saturday radio show, I would 68 00:03:34,960 --> 00:03:37,080 Speaker 1: look for kind of up and coming guys or guys 69 00:03:37,120 --> 00:03:39,960 Speaker 1: I didn't you know that weren't like household names. And 70 00:03:40,000 --> 00:03:42,760 Speaker 1: I try to help people out because you know, we're 71 00:03:42,760 --> 00:03:44,560 Speaker 1: only as good as the people that help us. You know, 72 00:03:44,840 --> 00:03:48,040 Speaker 1: everybody needs help to be promoted somewhere and pushed and 73 00:03:48,120 --> 00:03:51,840 Speaker 1: nudged and supported. And this guy had some good information 74 00:03:51,840 --> 00:03:54,040 Speaker 1: on Twitter. He seemed like a normal dude. So I 75 00:03:54,080 --> 00:03:55,440 Speaker 1: had him on the radio show that I had him 76 00:03:55,480 --> 00:03:58,480 Speaker 1: like every week doing NFL picks. Now he's kind of 77 00:03:58,480 --> 00:04:00,920 Speaker 1: blown up. He's got his own website. He goes by 78 00:04:01,040 --> 00:04:04,760 Speaker 1: clev t A. He's out of Cleveland. I mean I 79 00:04:04,760 --> 00:04:08,120 Speaker 1: know his real name. We're friends on Instagram and stuff. Um, 80 00:04:08,280 --> 00:04:10,200 Speaker 1: and he's a good guy and he's really starting to 81 00:04:10,280 --> 00:04:13,920 Speaker 1: dig deep into NFL. He hired a data scientist for 82 00:04:14,040 --> 00:04:17,839 Speaker 1: his website, so we talked about a lot of NFL stuff, 83 00:04:17,880 --> 00:04:20,800 Speaker 1: a lot of more actionable gambling tidbits that I think 84 00:04:20,839 --> 00:04:24,359 Speaker 1: you guys will like and enjoy. We agree on several teams. Um, 85 00:04:24,880 --> 00:04:27,839 Speaker 1: some slight disagreement in there, but UH, make of it 86 00:04:27,880 --> 00:04:31,359 Speaker 1: what you will. UM, I think you'll like it. In 87 00:04:31,520 --> 00:04:37,040 Speaker 1: other NFL news besides Tyron Smith, UM, I I wasn't 88 00:04:37,120 --> 00:04:39,919 Speaker 1: sure that Aaron Donald incident against the Bengals. Like, you 89 00:04:39,960 --> 00:04:42,640 Speaker 1: had a heated, really good super Bowl between the Rams 90 00:04:42,640 --> 00:04:44,839 Speaker 1: and the Bengals, and now you're having like a joint 91 00:04:44,839 --> 00:04:48,799 Speaker 1: practice slash scrimmage. Inevitably a fight breaks out. I guess 92 00:04:48,839 --> 00:04:51,279 Speaker 1: Aaron Donald ripped somebody's helmet off and was swinging it. 93 00:04:52,960 --> 00:04:55,440 Speaker 1: You guys remember Myles Garrett swung a helmet on a 94 00:04:55,440 --> 00:04:57,920 Speaker 1: Thursday night game, and I think it was Mason Rudolph 95 00:04:58,279 --> 00:05:01,600 Speaker 1: could have killed him and got six games suspension from 96 00:05:01,600 --> 00:05:07,479 Speaker 1: the league. Now, the league doesn't have control over like 97 00:05:07,520 --> 00:05:11,160 Speaker 1: a joint practice, so I guess the Rams can reprimand him, 98 00:05:11,200 --> 00:05:13,680 Speaker 1: but the league apparently cannot, so there will not be 99 00:05:13,720 --> 00:05:16,120 Speaker 1: a massive suspension. For Aaron Donald. At least that's how 100 00:05:16,160 --> 00:05:20,440 Speaker 1: I understand it reading about the incident from some RAMS reporters. 101 00:05:20,480 --> 00:05:24,160 Speaker 1: But not a great look for Aaron Donald. And you know, 102 00:05:24,440 --> 00:05:26,920 Speaker 1: our guest Ta has some not great things to say 103 00:05:26,920 --> 00:05:29,039 Speaker 1: about the Rams. I know that's gonna hurt some RAMS listeners. 104 00:05:29,560 --> 00:05:32,040 Speaker 1: It's gonna be very tough sledding for the Rams to repeat. 105 00:05:32,080 --> 00:05:36,680 Speaker 1: Everybody's gonna be gunning for them everyone, And you know 106 00:05:36,680 --> 00:05:39,640 Speaker 1: they're kind of sitting pretty they they won the Super Bowl, McVeigh, 107 00:05:39,680 --> 00:05:43,800 Speaker 1: the Monkey's office, back man at Stafford. It's just it's 108 00:05:43,800 --> 00:05:45,720 Speaker 1: gonna be very tough for them to repeat. I think 109 00:05:45,760 --> 00:05:49,039 Speaker 1: they're a playoff team, but I definitely don't think a 110 00:05:49,160 --> 00:05:51,320 Speaker 1: repeat is in the cards. I'm not gonna touch on 111 00:05:51,360 --> 00:05:54,640 Speaker 1: the NBA stuff. Um. You know, we thought there'd be 112 00:05:54,640 --> 00:05:59,320 Speaker 1: another move, whether it's Westbrook or Kendrick Nunne. I mean, basically, 113 00:05:59,360 --> 00:06:01,760 Speaker 1: the Lakers have three point guards and no wings to 114 00:06:01,760 --> 00:06:05,520 Speaker 1: speak of. Something's gonna happen. Um. But I will say 115 00:06:05,520 --> 00:06:08,440 Speaker 1: this before we get to the t A interview. Monday, 116 00:06:09,839 --> 00:06:12,279 Speaker 1: I will be hosting Coward Show. Now it is only radio, 117 00:06:12,480 --> 00:06:16,000 Speaker 1: it's not on FS one, UM, but I will be 118 00:06:16,000 --> 00:06:18,640 Speaker 1: hosting the show radio only, so that should be fun. 119 00:06:18,720 --> 00:06:21,080 Speaker 1: I've done it before, but never so low. I've done 120 00:06:21,080 --> 00:06:24,240 Speaker 1: it with like Brussard a couple of times, and that's fun. 121 00:06:24,320 --> 00:06:27,159 Speaker 1: But Monday will be so low. I will be bringing 122 00:06:27,480 --> 00:06:30,440 Speaker 1: the noise and the funk. Just so you're aware, I 123 00:06:30,480 --> 00:06:32,880 Speaker 1: will be spending the weekend in the lab cooking up 124 00:06:32,920 --> 00:06:35,960 Speaker 1: some good good stuff. I think it's I think it's 125 00:06:35,960 --> 00:06:37,920 Speaker 1: gonna be a good show Monday on the Hurt. Obviously, 126 00:06:37,960 --> 00:06:42,200 Speaker 1: this podcast will be back next week, but without further ado, 127 00:06:42,240 --> 00:06:49,000 Speaker 1: let's get to our guest, Clev t A. Jason likes 128 00:06:49,040 --> 00:06:51,840 Speaker 1: to think he knows everything when it comes to sports. 129 00:06:52,200 --> 00:06:55,400 Speaker 1: I know what sports dance want, but for everything he doesn't. 130 00:06:55,640 --> 00:06:58,680 Speaker 1: He knows a guy who does. Let's just say I 131 00:06:58,760 --> 00:07:03,599 Speaker 1: know a guy who another guy. All right, let's welcome 132 00:07:03,600 --> 00:07:06,000 Speaker 1: into straight fire a guest you know, well he was 133 00:07:06,040 --> 00:07:08,680 Speaker 1: on last year. A lot of you have come over 134 00:07:08,720 --> 00:07:11,400 Speaker 1: from my Saturday radio show that I had nationally for 135 00:07:11,480 --> 00:07:13,920 Speaker 1: five years at Fox, and he was a regular guest 136 00:07:14,320 --> 00:07:17,200 Speaker 1: gambling guru. I don't know. I mean I call him that. 137 00:07:17,760 --> 00:07:20,640 Speaker 1: He's known better on the interwebs as clev t A. 138 00:07:20,760 --> 00:07:23,160 Speaker 1: How are you t A? What's up? Jason, how you been. 139 00:07:23,720 --> 00:07:26,640 Speaker 1: It's it's great. You know, football's almost here. I'm headed 140 00:07:26,680 --> 00:07:30,080 Speaker 1: to Vegas soon to sign up for a contest lay 141 00:07:30,120 --> 00:07:32,640 Speaker 1: down some futures bets. I am curious. How are you 142 00:07:32,760 --> 00:07:35,800 Speaker 1: doing handling? You got the new baby you got, You're 143 00:07:35,840 --> 00:07:38,920 Speaker 1: juggling a real job and your side hustle which is 144 00:07:38,960 --> 00:07:42,040 Speaker 1: starting to pop. Your gambling site. How's all that? How's 145 00:07:42,040 --> 00:07:44,520 Speaker 1: all that going so far? Yeah, I mean it's it's 146 00:07:44,600 --> 00:07:48,320 Speaker 1: it's definitely a a study and uh and being able 147 00:07:48,320 --> 00:07:51,040 Speaker 1: to juggle multiple things, but it's it's fun. I mean, 148 00:07:51,080 --> 00:07:53,240 Speaker 1: I I like it. I don't like sitting still, so 149 00:07:53,800 --> 00:07:56,320 Speaker 1: I'm able to multitask kind of get everything done. And 150 00:07:56,520 --> 00:07:59,160 Speaker 1: you know, I have a very uh, a great wife 151 00:07:59,160 --> 00:08:02,440 Speaker 1: who allowed me to spend some extra time doing all 152 00:08:02,440 --> 00:08:05,160 Speaker 1: these things. And I kind of pay back by spending 153 00:08:05,160 --> 00:08:08,800 Speaker 1: as much of the summer when uh, doing the husband 154 00:08:08,800 --> 00:08:10,800 Speaker 1: and fatherly duties as I can to kind of make 155 00:08:10,880 --> 00:08:13,080 Speaker 1: up for what's gonna happen during football season when I 156 00:08:13,120 --> 00:08:16,760 Speaker 1: disappear for a few months. So um, but but it's 157 00:08:16,760 --> 00:08:19,560 Speaker 1: been good. And the website, yeah, it's been about a 158 00:08:19,640 --> 00:08:22,880 Speaker 1: year old. Um. I've got an NFL package that's up there. 159 00:08:22,920 --> 00:08:25,680 Speaker 1: For you know, behind a paywall. But I think it's 160 00:08:25,800 --> 00:08:27,800 Speaker 1: very valuable and I think, you know, for the price, 161 00:08:28,360 --> 00:08:31,040 Speaker 1: offer up a lot of good information and you know, 162 00:08:31,200 --> 00:08:33,400 Speaker 1: as you've seen it before, it's I write up every 163 00:08:33,400 --> 00:08:36,040 Speaker 1: single game. I have tons of stats and and data 164 00:08:36,120 --> 00:08:38,800 Speaker 1: and matchups and injuries and all those sorts of things 165 00:08:38,840 --> 00:08:40,960 Speaker 1: that you don't get, you know, in the mainstream as much. 166 00:08:41,000 --> 00:08:43,400 Speaker 1: So I think it's it's pretty valuable stuff and can 167 00:08:43,440 --> 00:08:45,920 Speaker 1: be applied to you know, betting can be applied to 168 00:08:45,920 --> 00:08:49,760 Speaker 1: fantasy football, dfs, survivor pools, kind of whatever you want 169 00:08:50,200 --> 00:08:51,840 Speaker 1: um to use it for. It is kind of the idea. 170 00:08:51,840 --> 00:08:54,120 Speaker 1: It's a one stop shop, if you will. So, um, 171 00:08:54,160 --> 00:08:56,360 Speaker 1: it's been it's been pretty good. So so it sounds 172 00:08:56,400 --> 00:08:59,559 Speaker 1: like you're only doing NFL. You don't bet on baseball, 173 00:08:59,600 --> 00:09:03,319 Speaker 1: and some or some people don't understand that. I'm like, guys, listen, 174 00:09:03,320 --> 00:09:05,840 Speaker 1: you've got to be like a dad, a husband. You can't. 175 00:09:05,840 --> 00:09:08,160 Speaker 1: Don't these guys who are betting on baseball are throwing darts. 176 00:09:08,440 --> 00:09:10,800 Speaker 1: You focused narrowly on football. Do you do a lot 177 00:09:10,800 --> 00:09:13,719 Speaker 1: of college? Not as much as I used to now 178 00:09:13,760 --> 00:09:15,520 Speaker 1: that you know, with with the site up, I spend 179 00:09:15,559 --> 00:09:17,640 Speaker 1: so much so much of my time. It's it's like 180 00:09:17,640 --> 00:09:20,600 Speaker 1: another full time job just putting all these write ups together, 181 00:09:20,640 --> 00:09:23,360 Speaker 1: and I want to make it really good valuable information, 182 00:09:23,440 --> 00:09:25,959 Speaker 1: So not as much college. I'll dabble a little bit 183 00:09:26,000 --> 00:09:29,000 Speaker 1: just because you know, I enjoy the game, but um, 184 00:09:29,080 --> 00:09:31,040 Speaker 1: you know, in general for the summertime, I do do 185 00:09:31,080 --> 00:09:33,520 Speaker 1: a little bit of golf, um you know, when they're 186 00:09:33,520 --> 00:09:35,959 Speaker 1: in the law periods of kind of May, June, July. 187 00:09:36,600 --> 00:09:39,480 Speaker 1: But otherwise it's it's really my my kind of my 188 00:09:39,520 --> 00:09:41,360 Speaker 1: bread and butter as NFL, and I try to stick 189 00:09:41,400 --> 00:09:43,040 Speaker 1: to that as much as I can. So that's really 190 00:09:43,040 --> 00:09:45,720 Speaker 1: what what I'm focused on the most. So you you 191 00:09:45,760 --> 00:09:47,960 Speaker 1: sell a package on the site, and there's this weird 192 00:09:48,120 --> 00:09:51,079 Speaker 1: like gambling community. A lot of them are losers and 193 00:09:51,120 --> 00:09:54,200 Speaker 1: they're anonymous on the internet and they hate people who 194 00:09:54,360 --> 00:09:58,920 Speaker 1: quote unquote sell picks. Now you're not necessarily selling picks, 195 00:09:59,600 --> 00:10:01,839 Speaker 1: but you you offer picks, but you've got good information 196 00:10:01,840 --> 00:10:06,199 Speaker 1: that you really don't see any anywhere else that involved matchups, right, Um, 197 00:10:06,840 --> 00:10:08,760 Speaker 1: finding an edge and some numbers and some E p 198 00:10:08,880 --> 00:10:11,440 Speaker 1: A stuff. How do you how do you to that 199 00:10:11,480 --> 00:10:14,280 Speaker 1: fine line? Yeah, And I think I'm kind of on 200 00:10:14,320 --> 00:10:16,520 Speaker 1: that side. As well, like I don't you know the 201 00:10:16,640 --> 00:10:20,080 Speaker 1: kind of the old school. Hey, I got my Game 202 00:10:20,120 --> 00:10:23,800 Speaker 1: of the Year twenty Star Max play, you know, for 203 00:10:23,800 --> 00:10:26,720 Speaker 1: for fifty bucks. Like that stuff is is false marketing. 204 00:10:26,960 --> 00:10:30,000 Speaker 1: It's it's essentially a scam like that. That's not what 205 00:10:30,520 --> 00:10:32,599 Speaker 1: you know, I was looking to do. You know, I 206 00:10:33,040 --> 00:10:35,360 Speaker 1: was pushed by a lot of my followers, Hey, you 207 00:10:35,400 --> 00:10:38,960 Speaker 1: have really good analysis, really good information. You know, we 208 00:10:39,000 --> 00:10:40,400 Speaker 1: want to pay for this if you go a little 209 00:10:40,440 --> 00:10:42,440 Speaker 1: more in depth. So they kind of pushed me to 210 00:10:42,480 --> 00:10:44,600 Speaker 1: do that. So I feel like that alone, and I 211 00:10:44,640 --> 00:10:47,199 Speaker 1: have a good track record, um, you know posting. I've 212 00:10:47,200 --> 00:10:49,319 Speaker 1: been posting picks for free on Twitter for years. I've 213 00:10:49,320 --> 00:10:51,640 Speaker 1: been in the super contest and the circum millions that 214 00:10:51,679 --> 00:10:54,360 Speaker 1: you know, so I've done very well there. So yeah, 215 00:10:54,360 --> 00:10:56,520 Speaker 1: I mean my idea is not to get if you're 216 00:10:56,559 --> 00:10:59,400 Speaker 1: just looking for picks, That's not what my site is for. 217 00:10:59,520 --> 00:11:02,400 Speaker 1: And I don't recommend you you come on board. It's 218 00:11:02,440 --> 00:11:04,840 Speaker 1: really I think it's about you know, looking at the game, 219 00:11:04,920 --> 00:11:07,040 Speaker 1: you know, in a smarter way. I've got a bunch 220 00:11:07,080 --> 00:11:09,719 Speaker 1: of advanced stats that I post. I think I kind 221 00:11:09,720 --> 00:11:11,360 Speaker 1: of hit on some of the angles that that you 222 00:11:11,400 --> 00:11:13,959 Speaker 1: don't normally see. I I talk really in depth about 223 00:11:14,000 --> 00:11:17,160 Speaker 1: injuries you know, along the offensive line and the secondary 224 00:11:17,240 --> 00:11:19,680 Speaker 1: that you don't you don't here again in the mainstream, 225 00:11:19,720 --> 00:11:21,160 Speaker 1: you see a lot of you know, kind of the 226 00:11:21,160 --> 00:11:23,840 Speaker 1: sexy positions at quarterback and receiver that everyone kind of 227 00:11:23,880 --> 00:11:27,080 Speaker 1: knows about. But you know, knowing who the left tackle 228 00:11:27,160 --> 00:11:30,000 Speaker 1: is and who is backup is um is very valuable 229 00:11:30,000 --> 00:11:32,880 Speaker 1: and it's not necessarily always priced into the market very well. 230 00:11:32,920 --> 00:11:35,600 Speaker 1: So I think those are the little advantages that um, 231 00:11:35,640 --> 00:11:38,880 Speaker 1: you know, my site will will give to subscribers. And 232 00:11:38,920 --> 00:11:41,080 Speaker 1: then like I said, just you know, going through every 233 00:11:41,120 --> 00:11:43,400 Speaker 1: game and just highlighting all the you know where the 234 00:11:43,480 --> 00:11:46,000 Speaker 1: where I see the edges and um you know posting 235 00:11:46,040 --> 00:11:49,800 Speaker 1: and you know, interesting trends within the league and within 236 00:11:49,920 --> 00:11:53,280 Speaker 1: specific matchups. So all of that is available, and you know, 237 00:11:53,360 --> 00:11:56,520 Speaker 1: I think I could sell my subscription even if there 238 00:11:56,520 --> 00:11:59,560 Speaker 1: were no picks. Um That's how I kind of um 239 00:11:59,600 --> 00:12:01,760 Speaker 1: to me. I think that if you can sell what 240 00:12:02,400 --> 00:12:04,920 Speaker 1: you know, the information, the analysis that doesn't you know, 241 00:12:05,080 --> 00:12:07,079 Speaker 1: need to have picks attached to it, then I think 242 00:12:07,080 --> 00:12:09,520 Speaker 1: it's worthwhile. I just do it because I think it's 243 00:12:09,559 --> 00:12:11,840 Speaker 1: it's good to be transparent it's kind of what what 244 00:12:11,920 --> 00:12:14,440 Speaker 1: sides I'm on, and that's you know, frankly people want 245 00:12:14,480 --> 00:12:17,120 Speaker 1: that so um so I do do put that on 246 00:12:17,160 --> 00:12:19,320 Speaker 1: the site, But like I said, that's not the main 247 00:12:19,400 --> 00:12:21,600 Speaker 1: reason to go there. I think it's just kind of 248 00:12:21,640 --> 00:12:25,000 Speaker 1: everything else, uh that goes along with it. So we'll 249 00:12:25,000 --> 00:12:28,520 Speaker 1: get to teams, props, all this fun stuff. I do 250 00:12:28,640 --> 00:12:31,960 Speaker 1: want to ask though, you know, you said the word mainstream, 251 00:12:32,040 --> 00:12:34,600 Speaker 1: and anytime I go on a show or anything, and 252 00:12:34,679 --> 00:12:37,640 Speaker 1: I I reference even football Outsiders d V O A, 253 00:12:37,800 --> 00:12:40,240 Speaker 1: you just see people's faces, like, I don't know what 254 00:12:40,280 --> 00:12:42,800 Speaker 1: that means? How do you quantify that the audience has 255 00:12:42,840 --> 00:12:45,080 Speaker 1: no clue what you're talking about? So when you're mentioning 256 00:12:45,080 --> 00:12:48,480 Speaker 1: like E P A and you put out um, uh 257 00:12:48,880 --> 00:12:52,240 Speaker 1: like a preview this summer that had some awesome numbers 258 00:12:52,240 --> 00:12:54,440 Speaker 1: in it, and I'm digging into them, I don't know 259 00:12:54,480 --> 00:12:56,480 Speaker 1: what some of those numbers are. C P O E 260 00:12:56,559 --> 00:12:57,720 Speaker 1: I think is one of them. And I was like, 261 00:12:57,800 --> 00:13:00,880 Speaker 1: you can't really say that and expect people to understand 262 00:13:00,920 --> 00:13:04,319 Speaker 1: it on a national level, So I don't know, how 263 00:13:04,360 --> 00:13:05,920 Speaker 1: do you what do you think on that? Like is 264 00:13:05,960 --> 00:13:08,439 Speaker 1: there anything that can be done to make it? Make 265 00:13:08,480 --> 00:13:11,640 Speaker 1: it more digestible for the masses. Yeah, I mean it's 266 00:13:11,640 --> 00:13:15,200 Speaker 1: hard because it's it's these advanced statistics and data that 267 00:13:15,320 --> 00:13:17,440 Speaker 1: it's been evolving throughout the years, and you know, like 268 00:13:17,480 --> 00:13:19,200 Speaker 1: you mentioned, e p A is kind of a new 269 00:13:19,840 --> 00:13:22,800 Speaker 1: standard advanced statistic that a lot of the nerds like 270 00:13:22,880 --> 00:13:27,120 Speaker 1: me pay attention to UM. And I think if honestly, 271 00:13:27,280 --> 00:13:30,680 Speaker 1: I think a lot of this UM falls on you know, 272 00:13:30,760 --> 00:13:34,000 Speaker 1: the the TV networks and you know that the announcers 273 00:13:34,040 --> 00:13:36,320 Speaker 1: doing some of these games that really still harp on 274 00:13:36,400 --> 00:13:40,560 Speaker 1: the old your yards this is the you know, offenses 275 00:13:40,640 --> 00:13:43,000 Speaker 1: ranked this based on yards per you know, for the 276 00:13:43,000 --> 00:13:45,800 Speaker 1: season or yards per game, like very generic, kind of 277 00:13:45,840 --> 00:13:49,080 Speaker 1: old school UM ways of describing things. And it's like 278 00:13:49,280 --> 00:13:51,440 Speaker 1: that that is not doing you know, any of these viewers, 279 00:13:51,840 --> 00:13:53,720 Speaker 1: you know, any good. I think, you know, as we 280 00:13:53,760 --> 00:13:57,080 Speaker 1: go along, we need to educate viewers and the masses 281 00:13:57,120 --> 00:13:59,200 Speaker 1: on some of these new data points. And you don't 282 00:13:59,200 --> 00:14:01,120 Speaker 1: have to, you know, I don't You don't need to 283 00:14:01,160 --> 00:14:04,440 Speaker 1: know the exact algorithm of what goes into e p A. 284 00:14:04,559 --> 00:14:06,840 Speaker 1: You just need to know that from a high level. 285 00:14:07,360 --> 00:14:11,080 Speaker 1: It's just you know, how every single play based on 286 00:14:11,760 --> 00:14:16,679 Speaker 1: down distance time remaining UM, every play has a value 287 00:14:16,960 --> 00:14:20,240 Speaker 1: and if at the end of each of those plays, 288 00:14:20,320 --> 00:14:23,560 Speaker 1: are you getting closer to scoring or are you, you know, 289 00:14:23,920 --> 00:14:27,920 Speaker 1: farther away from scoring. And just knowing that basic um 290 00:14:28,360 --> 00:14:31,040 Speaker 1: really is is I think it's valuable and so you 291 00:14:31,080 --> 00:14:33,320 Speaker 1: don't have to know the specifics, but like you should say, 292 00:14:33,400 --> 00:14:35,080 Speaker 1: like this team is you know, fifth and e p 293 00:14:35,200 --> 00:14:37,480 Speaker 1: A on offense or fifth on defense or whatever it is. 294 00:14:37,680 --> 00:14:39,600 Speaker 1: I think that will help and just you know, help 295 00:14:39,720 --> 00:14:42,320 Speaker 1: educate the masses and you know, things like success rate 296 00:14:42,400 --> 00:14:45,040 Speaker 1: is very easy to understand. I think that's the most 297 00:14:45,080 --> 00:14:47,280 Speaker 1: basic kind of advanced that you can find. I mean, 298 00:14:47,400 --> 00:14:52,520 Speaker 1: success rate is, uh, how often are you, um, you know, 299 00:14:52,720 --> 00:14:55,440 Speaker 1: advancing the ball to a point where you're successful in 300 00:14:55,520 --> 00:14:57,400 Speaker 1: quotes and it doesn't you know, an a d R 301 00:14:57,640 --> 00:15:00,960 Speaker 1: touchdown throw is this is you know the same as 302 00:15:01,360 --> 00:15:04,120 Speaker 1: a third and one conversion for two yards, right, Like 303 00:15:04,160 --> 00:15:07,880 Speaker 1: you're successful on that play in continuing your drive. And 304 00:15:07,960 --> 00:15:10,240 Speaker 1: so you kind of add those all up and you 305 00:15:10,240 --> 00:15:13,400 Speaker 1: get a percentage um for for each game, for each season, 306 00:15:13,480 --> 00:15:16,440 Speaker 1: and you know, it's it's not that difficult to explain 307 00:15:16,520 --> 00:15:18,680 Speaker 1: if someone just sits down and does it. I said, 308 00:15:18,680 --> 00:15:21,360 Speaker 1: I think if there's some of the the ESPN guys 309 00:15:21,400 --> 00:15:25,080 Speaker 1: and some of the national UM, TV and radio guys 310 00:15:25,480 --> 00:15:27,600 Speaker 1: kind of helped the audience a little bit more from 311 00:15:27,640 --> 00:15:29,360 Speaker 1: that perspective, I think that would help. But yeah, it's 312 00:15:29,360 --> 00:15:32,400 Speaker 1: gonna it does take some time to educate the masses 313 00:15:32,440 --> 00:15:34,120 Speaker 1: when it comes to some of that stuff. For sure. 314 00:15:34,480 --> 00:15:36,640 Speaker 1: The other thing that's tough to talk about his offensive 315 00:15:36,640 --> 00:15:38,920 Speaker 1: line and the trenches, and there's so much value there. 316 00:15:38,920 --> 00:15:42,560 Speaker 1: When team's offensive lines get healthy, they pop. When they struggle, 317 00:15:43,320 --> 00:15:46,960 Speaker 1: it's bad. And I don't know t a Tampa Bay 318 00:15:47,200 --> 00:15:49,880 Speaker 1: is just getting wrecked on the offensive line. I mean 319 00:15:49,920 --> 00:15:55,320 Speaker 1: they lose three basically three new guys. Stinny just goes down. Um. 320 00:15:55,440 --> 00:15:57,720 Speaker 1: I have concerns about this team. Obviously it's the NFC, 321 00:15:57,760 --> 00:16:01,360 Speaker 1: and I think they're fairly well edition there, But in 322 00:16:01,480 --> 00:16:04,000 Speaker 1: terms of being like a twelve win team, I don't 323 00:16:04,040 --> 00:16:06,920 Speaker 1: really see that. And I actually think they could be 324 00:16:06,960 --> 00:16:09,360 Speaker 1: in a little bit of trouble in the opener against 325 00:16:09,440 --> 00:16:11,440 Speaker 1: Dallas where are you on the books? And and perhaps 326 00:16:11,480 --> 00:16:15,120 Speaker 1: week one Yeah you know, I um, it is a 327 00:16:15,160 --> 00:16:18,240 Speaker 1: week NDFC and it's a known quantity with Tom Brady 328 00:16:18,360 --> 00:16:20,280 Speaker 1: and they have tons, I mean the tons of talent 329 00:16:20,920 --> 00:16:24,880 Speaker 1: um and you know, if it wasn't for Tristan Worse 330 00:16:24,960 --> 00:16:28,000 Speaker 1: getting hurt last year, uh, Chris Godwin in the playoffs, 331 00:16:28,040 --> 00:16:29,600 Speaker 1: you know, they might have been they should have beaten 332 00:16:29,600 --> 00:16:32,240 Speaker 1: the Rams um and they could have gone to another 333 00:16:32,320 --> 00:16:35,880 Speaker 1: super Bowl. So you know, the year before, they had 334 00:16:35,920 --> 00:16:38,280 Speaker 1: the best injury luck maybe you know in the NFL. 335 00:16:38,400 --> 00:16:40,280 Speaker 1: I don't recall the exact number, but they were up there. 336 00:16:40,520 --> 00:16:42,480 Speaker 1: They had no major injuries two years ago and you 337 00:16:42,520 --> 00:16:44,280 Speaker 1: saw it to them to the super Bowl. So you 338 00:16:44,320 --> 00:16:47,760 Speaker 1: need some of that injury look, especially late um to 339 00:16:47,800 --> 00:16:49,840 Speaker 1: get some of those bounces and to win those games 340 00:16:49,880 --> 00:16:52,080 Speaker 1: to get to the super Bowl. But yeah, the offensive 341 00:16:52,120 --> 00:16:54,640 Speaker 1: line is clearly a concern. And Tom Brady has always 342 00:16:54,640 --> 00:16:57,200 Speaker 1: had an issue with pressure up the middle. That's his one, 343 00:16:57,360 --> 00:17:00,400 Speaker 1: you know, kryptonite, and that's most quarterbacks kryptonite. But you know, 344 00:17:00,440 --> 00:17:03,240 Speaker 1: obviously with without being you know, too mobile, that's an 345 00:17:03,240 --> 00:17:06,320 Speaker 1: issue for him. So it is a concern at center 346 00:17:06,359 --> 00:17:11,920 Speaker 1: and obviously at guard, losing um that depth there. So yeah, yeah, 347 00:17:11,960 --> 00:17:14,760 Speaker 1: I'm not um in love with this Tampa team, but 348 00:17:14,800 --> 00:17:17,639 Speaker 1: the NFC is just so down and we could talk 349 00:17:17,680 --> 00:17:19,560 Speaker 1: about it. I'm not a huge fan of the Rams either. 350 00:17:19,680 --> 00:17:22,320 Speaker 1: This year repeating, and we know that the Packers, obviously 351 00:17:22,359 --> 00:17:25,640 Speaker 1: with Davante Adams out and just a big question mark 352 00:17:25,680 --> 00:17:28,000 Speaker 1: at receiver. There's a lot of there's a lot of 353 00:17:28,080 --> 00:17:30,920 Speaker 1: questions in general in the NFC. So you know there's 354 00:17:30,960 --> 00:17:33,320 Speaker 1: there's not um, you know, one team that I love, 355 00:17:33,400 --> 00:17:35,399 Speaker 1: and you know Tampa definitely falls in that list in 356 00:17:35,520 --> 00:17:37,879 Speaker 1: terms of teams that can that can falter. I just 357 00:17:38,080 --> 00:17:39,639 Speaker 1: you just trust Tom Brady at the end of the 358 00:17:39,680 --> 00:17:41,600 Speaker 1: day to figure things out. That's really what it comes 359 00:17:41,600 --> 00:17:43,960 Speaker 1: down to. A lot of people clearly love the Eagles, 360 00:17:44,040 --> 00:17:47,200 Speaker 1: obviously the way they ended last season, added A. J. Brown, 361 00:17:47,480 --> 00:17:51,520 Speaker 1: The defense is fairly strong. Um, I I feel like 362 00:17:51,560 --> 00:17:54,919 Speaker 1: the Eagles are a little too sexy. I know you 363 00:17:55,040 --> 00:17:57,840 Speaker 1: like the Giants. I've I've tried to convince Calherd that 364 00:17:57,880 --> 00:18:01,320 Speaker 1: the Giants really are a team potentially pointing up, is 365 00:18:01,320 --> 00:18:04,400 Speaker 1: there anyone you really like outside of the big three 366 00:18:05,080 --> 00:18:08,600 Speaker 1: in the NFC and big three being Tampa, Um, the 367 00:18:08,720 --> 00:18:15,359 Speaker 1: Rams and the Packers. You know the Niners are so interesting. Well, 368 00:18:15,440 --> 00:18:19,240 Speaker 1: let me let me explain. So we're interesting because if okay, 369 00:18:19,320 --> 00:18:21,439 Speaker 1: let's take quarterback out of the equation, where would you 370 00:18:21,480 --> 00:18:27,040 Speaker 1: rank their overall roster the NFC three. Okay, so they're 371 00:18:27,040 --> 00:18:29,360 Speaker 1: they're load NC and we all you know, we all 372 00:18:29,359 --> 00:18:32,520 Speaker 1: know that Kyle Shanahan can't draw up best game plan, 373 00:18:32,840 --> 00:18:36,440 Speaker 1: best you know, um design play designs in the NFL. 374 00:18:37,240 --> 00:18:40,760 Speaker 1: So comes down to the quarterback really, And the thing is, 375 00:18:40,960 --> 00:18:43,720 Speaker 1: I'm not saying that they will win the super Bowl 376 00:18:43,800 --> 00:18:45,280 Speaker 1: or get to the super Bowl or the the best 377 00:18:45,280 --> 00:18:47,919 Speaker 1: team in the NFC or anything like that. But the 378 00:18:48,400 --> 00:18:52,040 Speaker 1: I guess that we call the tail for this team 379 00:18:52,080 --> 00:18:54,040 Speaker 1: is you know that the high end heel is super 380 00:18:54,080 --> 00:18:56,879 Speaker 1: Bowl winner. Um, the tail at the bottom end is 381 00:18:56,960 --> 00:18:59,119 Speaker 1: you know, six seven win team. It's because Trey Lance 382 00:18:59,160 --> 00:19:01,680 Speaker 1: is such an unknown the guy could be you know 383 00:19:01,760 --> 00:19:06,080 Speaker 1: another uh look, let's look back Patrick Mahomes taking over 384 00:19:06,119 --> 00:19:09,439 Speaker 1: for Alex Smith, right, a quarterback who is solid but 385 00:19:09,520 --> 00:19:12,520 Speaker 1: just couldn't get you over that hump. Um. They brought 386 00:19:12,520 --> 00:19:15,159 Speaker 1: in Patrick Mahomes, huge question where nobody had any idea 387 00:19:15,200 --> 00:19:17,240 Speaker 1: that he was going to be Patrick Mahomes. I mean 388 00:19:17,280 --> 00:19:19,720 Speaker 1: that win total that year that he first took over 389 00:19:19,800 --> 00:19:22,080 Speaker 1: his starter, I think it was like eight and a half. Okay, 390 00:19:22,080 --> 00:19:25,320 Speaker 1: Like there was no expectations for them, um to even 391 00:19:25,320 --> 00:19:27,320 Speaker 1: make the playoffs. You look at last year with the 392 00:19:27,400 --> 00:19:30,679 Speaker 1: Rams that the Matthew Stafford you know trade was you know, 393 00:19:30,800 --> 00:19:33,080 Speaker 1: was panned halfway through the year because he had thrown 394 00:19:33,119 --> 00:19:36,760 Speaker 1: all those pick sixes and you know and so like. 395 00:19:37,119 --> 00:19:39,159 Speaker 1: But at the end of the day, the upside was 396 00:19:39,200 --> 00:19:41,000 Speaker 1: so huge and you saw what the upside is. It's 397 00:19:41,040 --> 00:19:43,879 Speaker 1: Super Bowl and that's really what you're what San Francisco 398 00:19:43,920 --> 00:19:47,120 Speaker 1: is banking on that. Maybe, you know, the consistency may 399 00:19:47,119 --> 00:19:50,160 Speaker 1: not be as um good from game to game as 400 00:19:50,200 --> 00:19:54,159 Speaker 1: you saw from Jimmy Garoppolo, but his big playability getting 401 00:19:54,160 --> 00:19:56,000 Speaker 1: the ball, pushing it down the field. I mean he 402 00:19:56,040 --> 00:19:57,840 Speaker 1: throws He's pushed it down the field more than any 403 00:19:57,880 --> 00:20:01,080 Speaker 1: other quarterback in preseason so far. Magaroppolo, if you look 404 00:20:01,080 --> 00:20:03,960 Speaker 1: at his numbers, more than twenty yards down the field, 405 00:20:04,080 --> 00:20:06,640 Speaker 1: like he literally completed I think it was like two 406 00:20:06,640 --> 00:20:10,040 Speaker 1: passes last year. I gotta get the exact numbers. It's crazy. 407 00:20:10,080 --> 00:20:13,600 Speaker 1: He just's he's so surgical and kind of those intermediate 408 00:20:13,640 --> 00:20:15,600 Speaker 1: you know, five to ten yards up the you know, 409 00:20:15,720 --> 00:20:17,359 Speaker 1: up the gut middle of the field, the Kittle and 410 00:20:17,560 --> 00:20:20,600 Speaker 1: Deebo Samuel, but he couldn't do much outside of the numbers, 411 00:20:20,640 --> 00:20:22,320 Speaker 1: and he doesn't do it at all down the field, 412 00:20:22,320 --> 00:20:24,480 Speaker 1: and that's what you need to win in this when 413 00:20:24,520 --> 00:20:26,760 Speaker 1: the you know, the Super Bowl in the NFL is 414 00:20:27,040 --> 00:20:29,040 Speaker 1: pushing it down the field, and that's where Trey Lance, 415 00:20:29,400 --> 00:20:31,679 Speaker 1: you know, brings that added element. He obviously has the 416 00:20:31,800 --> 00:20:34,440 Speaker 1: legs to make plays. And so I think, like I said, 417 00:20:34,440 --> 00:20:36,600 Speaker 1: from from game to game, from throw the throw, he 418 00:20:36,640 --> 00:20:39,680 Speaker 1: will be less consistent than Jimmy Garoppolo and he might 419 00:20:39,720 --> 00:20:42,760 Speaker 1: see the Niners, you know, lose games that they shouldn't 420 00:20:43,119 --> 00:20:46,880 Speaker 1: because of that. But his upside is so high that 421 00:20:47,000 --> 00:20:49,239 Speaker 1: if he hits and if he figures it out with 422 00:20:49,320 --> 00:20:52,680 Speaker 1: the help of Shanahan in that system, you know, sky's 423 00:20:52,680 --> 00:20:54,280 Speaker 1: the limit, they can win the super Bowl. And so 424 00:20:54,440 --> 00:20:58,000 Speaker 1: I mean that's just it's it's a huge variance them, 425 00:20:58,040 --> 00:21:00,440 Speaker 1: but if he hits, it can be a Super Bowl. 426 00:21:00,560 --> 00:21:03,480 Speaker 1: Fox Sports Radio has the best sports talk lineup in 427 00:21:03,480 --> 00:21:06,480 Speaker 1: the nation. Catch all of our shows at Fox sports 428 00:21:06,560 --> 00:21:09,680 Speaker 1: Radio dot com and within the I Heart Radio app 429 00:21:09,720 --> 00:21:12,800 Speaker 1: search f s R to listen live. T A don't. 430 00:21:12,840 --> 00:21:15,040 Speaker 1: They also have three new starters on the offensive line. 431 00:21:15,520 --> 00:21:18,840 Speaker 1: I think Banks, the center and then the guard situation 432 00:21:19,160 --> 00:21:22,160 Speaker 1: all a little untenable, and I just wonder about that 433 00:21:22,240 --> 00:21:27,080 Speaker 1: and a super young quarterback with not a lot of experience. Yeah, well, 434 00:21:27,359 --> 00:21:32,080 Speaker 1: let's look get who they're playing on the schedule. The Bear, Yeah, 435 00:21:32,119 --> 00:21:36,520 Speaker 1: the Bears, the Seahawks, Denver, Um, you know, Atlanta can't 436 00:21:36,600 --> 00:21:38,359 Speaker 1: say like you're not talking about teams that put a 437 00:21:38,359 --> 00:21:40,840 Speaker 1: ton of pressure on the quarterback. So they could probably 438 00:21:40,840 --> 00:21:42,119 Speaker 1: get away with it by the time, you know, we 439 00:21:42,119 --> 00:21:44,400 Speaker 1: get to mid season, Um and he's figured it out. 440 00:21:44,400 --> 00:21:47,320 Speaker 1: But yeah, like there's clearly an issue along that line. 441 00:21:47,320 --> 00:21:49,600 Speaker 1: I mean they Alex mac retired, that was that's an 442 00:21:49,600 --> 00:21:52,280 Speaker 1: issue at center. You still have Trent Williams, you know, 443 00:21:52,320 --> 00:21:54,520 Speaker 1: and you still have Mike mclinchie, two really good tackles, 444 00:21:54,560 --> 00:21:57,320 Speaker 1: so you know, the edges are good. George Kittle's maybe 445 00:21:57,320 --> 00:22:01,439 Speaker 1: the best past walking um and run sorry run blocking 446 00:22:01,440 --> 00:22:02,919 Speaker 1: tight end in the NFL. We know how good he 447 00:22:02,960 --> 00:22:05,800 Speaker 1: is as a as a pass catcher. So look, you 448 00:22:05,800 --> 00:22:08,240 Speaker 1: don't need a perfect offensive line. The Rams didn't have 449 00:22:08,320 --> 00:22:12,240 Speaker 1: a superstar line. I mean they had Austin Corbett playing guard. 450 00:22:12,280 --> 00:22:14,320 Speaker 1: I know him, Yeah, it was Cleveland days. He's not 451 00:22:14,359 --> 00:22:16,080 Speaker 1: a star. Like. They had a bunch of no names 452 00:22:16,080 --> 00:22:19,280 Speaker 1: outside of Andrew Whitworth essentially, so you can get away 453 00:22:19,320 --> 00:22:22,000 Speaker 1: with it, Um, if if the you're you're scheming your 454 00:22:22,040 --> 00:22:25,359 Speaker 1: offense offense right, if you're running play action and keeping 455 00:22:25,400 --> 00:22:28,040 Speaker 1: the defense you know, off guard. So yeah, it's not 456 00:22:28,040 --> 00:22:30,440 Speaker 1: not ideal, but you still have a good enough line 457 00:22:30,480 --> 00:22:33,240 Speaker 1: I think too to overcome some of that. So have 458 00:22:33,400 --> 00:22:37,359 Speaker 1: you bet any totals for the season yet? I have. 459 00:22:37,440 --> 00:22:39,960 Speaker 1: I've taken a few few things. We could talk me 460 00:22:39,960 --> 00:22:41,760 Speaker 1: and go a little more in depth, but um, I 461 00:22:41,800 --> 00:22:43,600 Speaker 1: did hit the Giants. I feel like I was the 462 00:22:44,080 --> 00:22:46,560 Speaker 1: driving I'm the driving force of this bandwagon that I've 463 00:22:46,560 --> 00:22:49,000 Speaker 1: started to see with the Giants. I think I posted 464 00:22:49,040 --> 00:22:51,080 Speaker 1: on my sight back in May that that was a 465 00:22:51,160 --> 00:22:54,200 Speaker 1: team I lid as a surprise. Um I have them 466 00:22:54,200 --> 00:22:56,800 Speaker 1: at eleven to one to win the NFC East. I 467 00:22:56,800 --> 00:23:00,240 Speaker 1: think they're down to like seven plus seven hundred uh um. 468 00:23:00,440 --> 00:23:02,439 Speaker 1: And they're getting a little bit um, a little bit 469 00:23:02,480 --> 00:23:04,520 Speaker 1: of love I think from from some people that are 470 00:23:04,560 --> 00:23:07,480 Speaker 1: that are paying attention. It's really you know, for them. Again, 471 00:23:07,520 --> 00:23:10,040 Speaker 1: I don't think that they're they're ultra talented. I don't 472 00:23:10,080 --> 00:23:12,040 Speaker 1: think that there's some I don't think Daniel Jones is 473 00:23:12,119 --> 00:23:14,959 Speaker 1: a great quarterback. But when you're talking about you know, 474 00:23:15,160 --> 00:23:17,760 Speaker 1: winning seven games, which I think their win total UM 475 00:23:17,960 --> 00:23:20,919 Speaker 1: currently sits UM and in a week division like the 476 00:23:21,000 --> 00:23:23,120 Speaker 1: NFC East, I don't think it's out of the question. 477 00:23:23,119 --> 00:23:26,520 Speaker 1: I mean a couple of things. One the coaching staff, 478 00:23:26,560 --> 00:23:29,640 Speaker 1: Like that's just so easy, um to to identify going 479 00:23:29,720 --> 00:23:32,639 Speaker 1: from Joe Judge and Jason Garrett to Brian dave All. 480 00:23:32,680 --> 00:23:34,280 Speaker 1: I mean that you were talking about literally the worst 481 00:23:34,280 --> 00:23:37,080 Speaker 1: coaching staff that we've seen in the last what five 482 00:23:37,160 --> 00:23:39,639 Speaker 1: years or so to to whatever Brian dave All is. 483 00:23:39,680 --> 00:23:42,000 Speaker 1: He's a question mark, but he could be really good. 484 00:23:42,040 --> 00:23:44,240 Speaker 1: We saw at least he We know that he's gonna 485 00:23:44,280 --> 00:23:46,600 Speaker 1: try to open up the offense, spread the field, get 486 00:23:46,640 --> 00:23:50,280 Speaker 1: his playmakers the ball in space. Uh. And they do 487 00:23:50,320 --> 00:23:52,719 Speaker 1: have playmakers, you know. You look at Sterling Shepherd and 488 00:23:52,760 --> 00:23:55,879 Speaker 1: you know, um Darius Tony top ten in the NFL 489 00:23:56,240 --> 00:24:00,000 Speaker 1: among wide receivers and yards after the catch, Wandale Robinson, Uh, 490 00:24:00,000 --> 00:24:03,040 Speaker 1: a quick, slippery receiver out in Kentucky. Like they've got playmakers, 491 00:24:03,080 --> 00:24:05,359 Speaker 1: you know, se Kwon Barkley out of the backfield. You know, 492 00:24:05,480 --> 00:24:08,120 Speaker 1: Daniel Jones doesn't have to be great, he just needs 493 00:24:08,160 --> 00:24:10,159 Speaker 1: to be that point guard to get those guys the 494 00:24:10,200 --> 00:24:14,800 Speaker 1: ball quickly in space. And so I think table will 495 00:24:14,840 --> 00:24:18,119 Speaker 1: do that. Um So, I think that's obviously a huge upgrade. 496 00:24:18,119 --> 00:24:20,520 Speaker 1: You look at the schedule goes from the second toughest 497 00:24:20,520 --> 00:24:23,320 Speaker 1: in the NFL last year, uh now to the top 498 00:24:23,359 --> 00:24:27,239 Speaker 1: five d v o A numbers. No, that's based on 499 00:24:27,640 --> 00:24:31,119 Speaker 1: wind totals about a month ago. Yeah, so based on 500 00:24:31,440 --> 00:24:34,800 Speaker 1: current wind totals. You you plug that in and it's 501 00:24:34,800 --> 00:24:37,400 Speaker 1: an easier way to do that versus you know, looking 502 00:24:37,440 --> 00:24:40,200 Speaker 1: at last year's when lost record and all that. Um 503 00:24:40,240 --> 00:24:42,479 Speaker 1: it's the third easiest. And then you look at just 504 00:24:42,680 --> 00:24:45,919 Speaker 1: you know, step back. They play eight road games, but 505 00:24:46,000 --> 00:24:48,680 Speaker 1: only seven are true road games because the Green Bay 506 00:24:48,720 --> 00:24:51,360 Speaker 1: game is in London, so they only have to travel, 507 00:24:51,560 --> 00:24:55,480 Speaker 1: you know, to the opponents home field seven times, which 508 00:24:55,520 --> 00:24:58,840 Speaker 1: obviously it's that's gonna be the lowest number in the NFL. So, 509 00:24:59,040 --> 00:25:00,440 Speaker 1: and you look at some of those road games, I 510 00:25:00,440 --> 00:25:07,240 Speaker 1: mean Jacksonville, Tennessee, Seattle, Washington like there, these are not 511 00:25:07,520 --> 00:25:10,840 Speaker 1: world beaters. They get the Colts, they get Houston, and 512 00:25:10,880 --> 00:25:13,080 Speaker 1: they get the weather starts to hit. So those are 513 00:25:13,080 --> 00:25:16,520 Speaker 1: all dome teams going outside. So those those little advantages 514 00:25:16,840 --> 00:25:18,960 Speaker 1: along the way, I think you're really going to help them. 515 00:25:19,119 --> 00:25:21,080 Speaker 1: And you just look at last year. You know, when 516 00:25:21,160 --> 00:25:23,360 Speaker 1: Daniel Jones started and finished the game, there were four 517 00:25:23,359 --> 00:25:26,200 Speaker 1: and six you know, respectable. They had a minus twenty 518 00:25:26,200 --> 00:25:28,720 Speaker 1: seven point differential. If you pro rate that out for 519 00:25:28,760 --> 00:25:32,680 Speaker 1: a full season, using you know, some Pythagorean expectation formula, 520 00:25:32,920 --> 00:25:35,239 Speaker 1: you get about seven games, which is where their win 521 00:25:35,320 --> 00:25:37,080 Speaker 1: total is now. And that was against you know, one 522 00:25:37,080 --> 00:25:39,359 Speaker 1: of the toughest schedules in the NFL, and that was 523 00:25:39,400 --> 00:25:42,200 Speaker 1: with a terrible coaching staff, that was with a wide 524 00:25:42,200 --> 00:25:45,879 Speaker 1: receiving corps and offensive line that was brutally injured one 525 00:25:45,920 --> 00:25:48,560 Speaker 1: of the most injured offenses in the NFL last year. 526 00:25:48,840 --> 00:25:52,000 Speaker 1: You just normalize some of those things and again I'm 527 00:25:52,040 --> 00:25:54,240 Speaker 1: not saying they're gonna, you know, represent the NFC in 528 00:25:54,240 --> 00:25:58,160 Speaker 1: the Super Bowl, but I think winning seven, eight nine games, 529 00:25:58,480 --> 00:26:01,960 Speaker 1: maybe sneaking ten games against a bad schedule if things 530 00:26:02,280 --> 00:26:04,879 Speaker 1: go very well for them, and winning division isn't out 531 00:26:04,920 --> 00:26:07,240 Speaker 1: of the question. So that was one that I hit 532 00:26:07,600 --> 00:26:10,680 Speaker 1: months ago. I can I still think you can, you know, 533 00:26:10,720 --> 00:26:12,560 Speaker 1: get some good numbers out there, and I think it's 534 00:26:12,640 --> 00:26:15,880 Speaker 1: viable from a from a win total perspective. Um, I'll 535 00:26:15,920 --> 00:26:19,600 Speaker 1: say one that uh that I'm I haven't hit yet, 536 00:26:19,640 --> 00:26:23,080 Speaker 1: but I'm I'm looking is taking the the under in 537 00:26:23,119 --> 00:26:27,360 Speaker 1: the rams um ten and a half and potentially their 538 00:26:27,680 --> 00:26:30,120 Speaker 1: alternative wind total under nine and a half. You can 539 00:26:30,119 --> 00:26:33,400 Speaker 1: get it almost plus two hundred at Draft kings. UM. 540 00:26:33,440 --> 00:26:38,159 Speaker 1: I think it's interesting. You know, look that just recent 541 00:26:38,240 --> 00:26:42,040 Speaker 1: Super Bowl winners UM without a QB named Brady Homes 542 00:26:42,160 --> 00:26:44,640 Speaker 1: or Mahomes. UM. When you look at some of those 543 00:26:44,680 --> 00:26:47,120 Speaker 1: teams like Philly in two thousand seventeen, Denver in two 544 00:26:47,119 --> 00:26:50,400 Speaker 1: thousand fifteen, Baltimore two thousand twelve, like they've all won 545 00:26:50,440 --> 00:26:54,480 Speaker 1: single digit, single digit games after they won the Super Bowl. Uh, 546 00:26:54,480 --> 00:26:58,119 Speaker 1: Seattle and two thirteen is really the only non Brady 547 00:26:58,280 --> 00:27:01,600 Speaker 1: Mahomes teams UM to follow up with a double digit 548 00:27:01,800 --> 00:27:04,879 Speaker 1: season UM in the last you know, ten twelve years. 549 00:27:04,880 --> 00:27:08,360 Speaker 1: So you know, in general, you have an uphill battle, UM, 550 00:27:09,200 --> 00:27:10,800 Speaker 1: you know, in terms of a hangover. And then you 551 00:27:10,840 --> 00:27:14,600 Speaker 1: look at, UM, the schedule. I truted this out yesterday. 552 00:27:15,240 --> 00:27:19,240 Speaker 1: They're set to face all of the top eight Super 553 00:27:19,280 --> 00:27:23,520 Speaker 1: Bowl favorites obviously excluding themselves. UM, they play those teams 554 00:27:23,600 --> 00:27:26,440 Speaker 1: nine times. UH. The only team in the NFL that's 555 00:27:26,480 --> 00:27:28,760 Speaker 1: going to have that task. I mean, they they look 556 00:27:28,760 --> 00:27:32,080 Speaker 1: at the schedule, it's absolutely brutal. Um. Then you look 557 00:27:32,080 --> 00:27:36,080 Speaker 1: at just from on the field, this team is never injured, like, 558 00:27:36,119 --> 00:27:38,680 Speaker 1: they never have bad injury luck. And again I think 559 00:27:38,720 --> 00:27:40,639 Speaker 1: that could be some of that is just um some 560 00:27:40,720 --> 00:27:44,400 Speaker 1: of the the um you know sports medicine, uh kind 561 00:27:44,400 --> 00:27:47,440 Speaker 1: of you know, kind of the New Age UM way 562 00:27:47,480 --> 00:27:49,399 Speaker 1: of of looking at you know, they don't play anybody 563 00:27:49,400 --> 00:27:52,760 Speaker 1: in preseason. They do a really good job of keeping 564 00:27:52,760 --> 00:27:55,920 Speaker 1: their guys healthy. At some point, you know, Aaron Donald's 565 00:27:55,920 --> 00:27:57,600 Speaker 1: gonna get hurt or one of the you know, they've 566 00:27:57,600 --> 00:28:00,320 Speaker 1: never really had a quarterback get hurt, right, um, between 567 00:28:00,359 --> 00:28:04,040 Speaker 1: Golf and Stafford in all these seasons under McVeigh. Um. 568 00:28:04,080 --> 00:28:06,040 Speaker 1: You know, yeah, we saw Cooper Cup get hurt a 569 00:28:06,040 --> 00:28:08,679 Speaker 1: couple of years ago. But you know, they don't have 570 00:28:08,800 --> 00:28:11,720 Speaker 1: cluster injuries really, um in general. But we've already seen 571 00:28:11,800 --> 00:28:14,520 Speaker 1: Van Jefferson had knee surgery, Uh, just a couple of 572 00:28:14,520 --> 00:28:16,919 Speaker 1: weeks ago. You know, we're seeing stuff. You know, who 573 00:28:17,000 --> 00:28:20,200 Speaker 1: knows what happens with Stafford's elbow. Um, But there are 574 00:28:20,560 --> 00:28:23,800 Speaker 1: you know, there there's potential. They're they're so top heavy 575 00:28:23,840 --> 00:28:26,359 Speaker 1: that if Jalen Ramsey or an Aaron Donald, there's somebody 576 00:28:26,400 --> 00:28:28,640 Speaker 1: gets hurt. You know that's gonna be that's really gonna 577 00:28:28,720 --> 00:28:30,480 Speaker 1: hurt them. And then you look at look at Cooper 578 00:28:30,520 --> 00:28:33,080 Speaker 1: Cup The guy was amazing last year, literally set records. 579 00:28:33,359 --> 00:28:34,919 Speaker 1: What are the odds that he could do that again. 580 00:28:35,000 --> 00:28:38,120 Speaker 1: It's literally impossible for him to be that good again. 581 00:28:38,160 --> 00:28:40,080 Speaker 1: He's gonna be very good, but he's not gonna be 582 00:28:40,560 --> 00:28:43,360 Speaker 1: you know, best season of all time good again. It 583 00:28:43,400 --> 00:28:46,360 Speaker 1: just doesn't happen. So naturally, the offense is going to 584 00:28:46,480 --> 00:28:48,200 Speaker 1: drop down a bed and you'll get the offensive Online 585 00:28:48,240 --> 00:28:51,000 Speaker 1: he talked about San Francisco, I mean the Rams offensive line. 586 00:28:51,000 --> 00:28:52,640 Speaker 1: Go go ahead and take a look at those guys. 587 00:28:53,200 --> 00:28:56,000 Speaker 1: Left tackle Andrew Whitworth, who is consistently a top five 588 00:28:56,080 --> 00:28:59,600 Speaker 1: tackle according the PFF. He retired now. Joseph note Boom 589 00:28:59,640 --> 00:29:02,400 Speaker 1: isn't really good at backup, but he's still a notchdown 590 00:29:02,560 --> 00:29:05,920 Speaker 1: from from Whitworth. Um, they lost Austin Corbett, who was, 591 00:29:06,000 --> 00:29:08,680 Speaker 1: you know, mediocre, but he started a bunch of games 592 00:29:08,680 --> 00:29:10,680 Speaker 1: for them last year at guard. They tried to replace 593 00:29:10,720 --> 00:29:12,960 Speaker 1: him with Logan Bruss, who's their their third round pick 594 00:29:13,000 --> 00:29:15,480 Speaker 1: from Wisconsin. He's out for the year now. He got 595 00:29:15,520 --> 00:29:18,360 Speaker 1: hurt just last week. Um, you know there's a there's 596 00:29:18,360 --> 00:29:20,880 Speaker 1: a lot of question marks on that offensive line, so 597 00:29:20,960 --> 00:29:23,840 Speaker 1: that's not perfect. And then you know, defensively they lost 598 00:29:23,920 --> 00:29:27,480 Speaker 1: Darius Williams, who is their number two corner. UM, they 599 00:29:27,520 --> 00:29:30,320 Speaker 1: lost von Miller obviously on the edge, they didn't really 600 00:29:30,320 --> 00:29:33,240 Speaker 1: replace these guys UM because they just don't have the 601 00:29:33,240 --> 00:29:35,680 Speaker 1: cap space and they didn't have them. So I just 602 00:29:35,720 --> 00:29:38,680 Speaker 1: think that all of that kind of combined. UM. You 603 00:29:38,800 --> 00:29:41,520 Speaker 1: look and there's just some natural regression there and it's 604 00:29:41,560 --> 00:29:43,400 Speaker 1: just really hard for them to repeat. So I took 605 00:29:43,400 --> 00:29:46,000 Speaker 1: a shot at under ten and a half UM, and 606 00:29:46,040 --> 00:29:48,440 Speaker 1: I think the alternative wind total under the nine and 607 00:29:48,440 --> 00:29:50,520 Speaker 1: a half to get you know, close to plus two hundred, 608 00:29:50,520 --> 00:29:53,320 Speaker 1: I think is good value. Interesting, So I had been 609 00:29:53,480 --> 00:29:56,200 Speaker 1: the way the schedule breaks out, I've gone more overs 610 00:29:56,200 --> 00:29:59,520 Speaker 1: in the NFC and unders in the a f C. UM. 611 00:29:59,760 --> 00:30:01,560 Speaker 1: I you what about the Bengals who played in the 612 00:30:01,560 --> 00:30:03,120 Speaker 1: Super Bowl. I know we had I think the last 613 00:30:03,120 --> 00:30:05,160 Speaker 1: time you were on, we had talked about UM or 614 00:30:05,200 --> 00:30:08,040 Speaker 1: maybe this was a side text about them maybe going under. 615 00:30:08,080 --> 00:30:10,160 Speaker 1: But then you look at their off season it was 616 00:30:10,200 --> 00:30:12,720 Speaker 1: pretty damn good. And you know, the end of the 617 00:30:12,760 --> 00:30:15,120 Speaker 1: schedule is really tough, but at the beginning of it 618 00:30:15,280 --> 00:30:18,520 Speaker 1: like Bengals could start like eight and three or something. Yeah. Yeah, 619 00:30:18,560 --> 00:30:21,560 Speaker 1: I think a lot of the potential regression that people 620 00:30:21,600 --> 00:30:23,240 Speaker 1: have talked about it is already priced in the market. 621 00:30:23,440 --> 00:30:25,280 Speaker 1: I mean, their win total was sitting at nine and 622 00:30:25,360 --> 00:30:27,680 Speaker 1: a half for a while. And you know a team 623 00:30:27,760 --> 00:30:30,240 Speaker 1: that to just reach the super Bowl with a star 624 00:30:30,400 --> 00:30:32,640 Speaker 1: quarterback to only have a nine a half win total, 625 00:30:32,680 --> 00:30:36,080 Speaker 1: that tells you that a lot of those kind of um, 626 00:30:36,120 --> 00:30:38,400 Speaker 1: you know, luck factors and things that that people think 627 00:30:38,400 --> 00:30:40,720 Speaker 1: will regress the next year, it's already factored in. So 628 00:30:40,760 --> 00:30:44,400 Speaker 1: I didn't touch that one. I think it's it's properly priced. Yeah. 629 00:30:44,440 --> 00:30:46,440 Speaker 1: They did improve the offensive line, which is obviously a 630 00:30:46,520 --> 00:30:49,560 Speaker 1: huge issue. I'm still not you know, everyone just wants 631 00:30:49,560 --> 00:30:51,800 Speaker 1: to pencil those guys in and call that a you know, 632 00:30:51,840 --> 00:30:55,600 Speaker 1: a good offensive line. It's like historically when you spend 633 00:30:55,600 --> 00:30:57,960 Speaker 1: money in free agency, it doesn't always pan out right, 634 00:30:58,040 --> 00:31:01,040 Speaker 1: like you never know, and there's always, um, you know, 635 00:31:01,080 --> 00:31:03,520 Speaker 1: continuity issues of the old line that might take a while. 636 00:31:03,560 --> 00:31:05,680 Speaker 1: And none of these guys are superstars. You know, you're 637 00:31:05,680 --> 00:31:08,880 Speaker 1: not signing Trent Williams here, um, you know, solid players, 638 00:31:08,920 --> 00:31:11,520 Speaker 1: but but you know there's still some gaps there, but 639 00:31:11,600 --> 00:31:14,400 Speaker 1: it will be improved. Um. They were a team that 640 00:31:14,520 --> 00:31:18,440 Speaker 1: did not suffer much injury. UM, you know, luck last 641 00:31:18,520 --> 00:31:22,360 Speaker 1: year are bad luck. And they had no COVID games lost. 642 00:31:22,640 --> 00:31:24,920 Speaker 1: Think about all these teams that had you know, COVID 643 00:31:24,960 --> 00:31:28,240 Speaker 1: issues the Browns game against the Raiders, like there, there 644 00:31:28,320 --> 00:31:29,959 Speaker 1: was a ton of teams that had COVID issues. They 645 00:31:29,960 --> 00:31:32,200 Speaker 1: had none last year. Um, I don't know how they 646 00:31:32,240 --> 00:31:34,480 Speaker 1: survived that, but you know, so, so they got lucky 647 00:31:34,520 --> 00:31:36,520 Speaker 1: from that perspective. They had the third easiest schedule in 648 00:31:36,520 --> 00:31:39,600 Speaker 1: the NFL last year. This year's was the top ten toughest. 649 00:31:40,200 --> 00:31:44,880 Speaker 1: UM the It's interesting Joe Burrow faced um the single 650 00:31:45,520 --> 00:31:49,320 Speaker 1: um you know, over top five easiest past defensive schedule 651 00:31:49,360 --> 00:31:52,280 Speaker 1: in the NFL last year. This year he's he's expected 652 00:31:52,280 --> 00:31:54,640 Speaker 1: to face the single toughest if you looked at last 653 00:31:54,720 --> 00:31:57,479 Speaker 1: year's dv o A past defensive ranking. So you know, 654 00:31:57,560 --> 00:32:00,280 Speaker 1: that could be a little bit of a um of 655 00:32:00,280 --> 00:32:03,040 Speaker 1: an adjustment period. So you know, there are some things 656 00:32:03,120 --> 00:32:06,320 Speaker 1: that should or could regress. I mean, opponents only made 657 00:32:06,320 --> 00:32:09,640 Speaker 1: seventy of field goals against them, second lowest in the NFL. 658 00:32:09,800 --> 00:32:15,440 Speaker 1: That's that's really a lux stat you know, Uh, what's that. 659 00:32:15,760 --> 00:32:18,080 Speaker 1: They had McPherson, who was I believe the best kicker 660 00:32:18,080 --> 00:32:20,200 Speaker 1: in the league. You know, yeah, yeah, you look so yeah. 661 00:32:20,200 --> 00:32:22,040 Speaker 1: So they were really good at making field goals and 662 00:32:22,080 --> 00:32:24,280 Speaker 1: their opponents couldn't make any against them. So you know, 663 00:32:24,320 --> 00:32:26,480 Speaker 1: those little things all add up. So I think that's 664 00:32:26,520 --> 00:32:28,720 Speaker 1: price in the market. So I wouldn't touch them here. 665 00:32:28,800 --> 00:32:30,400 Speaker 1: I think, you know, kind of nine and a half 666 00:32:30,600 --> 00:32:33,640 Speaker 1: tan is the right number, especially with with Watson, with 667 00:32:33,680 --> 00:32:35,880 Speaker 1: the Browns being out eleven games, you know, that can 668 00:32:35,960 --> 00:32:38,160 Speaker 1: help their win total. So that's not something I would touch, 669 00:32:38,240 --> 00:32:40,280 Speaker 1: to be honest. One of the old wind totals I 670 00:32:40,320 --> 00:32:43,360 Speaker 1: looked at, uh is the New Orleans Saints. Simply you 671 00:32:43,360 --> 00:32:44,880 Speaker 1: you kind of hit on the bucks a little bit. 672 00:32:45,200 --> 00:32:48,760 Speaker 1: But obviously that division could be for the taking of Tampa. 673 00:32:48,800 --> 00:32:51,520 Speaker 1: Zoe line doesn't um pipe up, and I just think, 674 00:32:51,560 --> 00:32:54,040 Speaker 1: like t A their top three receivers this year, we're 675 00:32:54,080 --> 00:32:56,520 Speaker 1: not even on the roster playing last year. They're just 676 00:32:56,840 --> 00:32:59,600 Speaker 1: as long as Kamara is not suspended, I feel like that, 677 00:32:59,680 --> 00:33:02,480 Speaker 1: you know, defense's gonna be pretty good. I don't think 678 00:33:02,760 --> 00:33:06,040 Speaker 1: Dennis Allen's a huge drop off. Um, I don't know, 679 00:33:06,640 --> 00:33:08,160 Speaker 1: over ten and a half was what I was looking 680 00:33:08,160 --> 00:33:10,920 Speaker 1: at for the Saints plus two eighties. That crazy, No, 681 00:33:11,040 --> 00:33:13,560 Speaker 1: not at all. Actually, Um, I put out this preview 682 00:33:13,560 --> 00:33:16,120 Speaker 1: as you mentioned UM in late June, actually had them 683 00:33:16,160 --> 00:33:18,240 Speaker 1: as one of my sleeper teams to come out of 684 00:33:18,280 --> 00:33:20,160 Speaker 1: the NFC. I know they've game again similar to the 685 00:33:20,160 --> 00:33:22,040 Speaker 1: Giants have getten a lot of steam from the Sharps, 686 00:33:22,200 --> 00:33:24,920 Speaker 1: so that number has moved up from a wind total. 687 00:33:25,240 --> 00:33:27,760 Speaker 1: I still think there's a lot of value there. I 688 00:33:27,840 --> 00:33:29,840 Speaker 1: like Jamis Winson. He was kind of under the radar 689 00:33:29,920 --> 00:33:32,720 Speaker 1: last year. He was sited he was top ten and 690 00:33:33,200 --> 00:33:34,880 Speaker 1: he was top ten in e p A like he 691 00:33:34,880 --> 00:33:37,360 Speaker 1: he didn't make mistakes, but he only throw three interceptions. 692 00:33:37,400 --> 00:33:39,240 Speaker 1: He did a really good job. Now the question is 693 00:33:39,600 --> 00:33:42,800 Speaker 1: can Dennis Allen get the same Jamis that Sean Payton 694 00:33:43,600 --> 00:33:46,320 Speaker 1: got from him, because obviously he was a big influence. 695 00:33:46,320 --> 00:33:49,280 Speaker 1: But I think he's he's you know, he proved he's 696 00:33:49,280 --> 00:33:52,760 Speaker 1: a good quarterback. Um when he has the opportunity, he's 697 00:33:52,800 --> 00:33:54,640 Speaker 1: not forced to push it down the field as much 698 00:33:54,680 --> 00:33:58,320 Speaker 1: as Bruce arians wanted wanted him to in Tampa. But yeah, 699 00:33:58,320 --> 00:34:00,440 Speaker 1: he's mentioned those three receiver in Michael tom This looks 700 00:34:00,480 --> 00:34:03,080 Speaker 1: healthy now, Crystal love. I know, well from Ohio State, 701 00:34:03,280 --> 00:34:06,360 Speaker 1: he's a real professional receiver already, Jarvis Landry, you know 702 00:34:06,400 --> 00:34:08,640 Speaker 1: where you're getting. There's a really good run block or two. 703 00:34:09,120 --> 00:34:11,600 Speaker 1: Um And defense, they added the honey Badger. They didn't 704 00:34:11,600 --> 00:34:14,480 Speaker 1: really lose anybody. Now we'll say defense. You can ask 705 00:34:14,520 --> 00:34:16,480 Speaker 1: any of the advance you know, the PFF guys and 706 00:34:16,760 --> 00:34:20,160 Speaker 1: urn shots and those guys. Like. Defense is not necessarily 707 00:34:20,200 --> 00:34:22,560 Speaker 1: sticky from year to year. Um, it's not as predictive 708 00:34:22,600 --> 00:34:24,680 Speaker 1: as as offenses are from year to year. But still 709 00:34:24,719 --> 00:34:27,120 Speaker 1: they've got a ton of talent um and again Dennis 710 00:34:27,160 --> 00:34:31,200 Speaker 1: Allen being the coach brings a defensive mentality. I think 711 00:34:31,239 --> 00:34:35,200 Speaker 1: that um, you know, they're obviously gonna lose terrant arms 712 00:34:35,239 --> 00:34:38,400 Speaker 1: thread at left tackle. Um they drafted that um penning 713 00:34:38,719 --> 00:34:41,719 Speaker 1: um from Northern Iowa. Yeah, so so that could be 714 00:34:41,760 --> 00:34:43,759 Speaker 1: an issue. But I think in general that's a good team. 715 00:34:43,760 --> 00:34:45,920 Speaker 1: That's a team. It's compared to San Francisco's we talked 716 00:34:45,920 --> 00:34:49,080 Speaker 1: about earlier. I actually like from just a pure wind 717 00:34:49,120 --> 00:34:52,920 Speaker 1: total perspective, I think the Saints have a better shot 718 00:34:53,560 --> 00:34:56,759 Speaker 1: of a higher probability of clearing their wind total than 719 00:34:56,800 --> 00:35:00,200 Speaker 1: the Niners do. But I think I don't think the 720 00:35:00,280 --> 00:35:03,040 Speaker 1: Saints have any shot to win the Super Bowl as 721 00:35:03,040 --> 00:35:06,960 Speaker 1: currently constructed, But I think if Trey Lance hits, his 722 00:35:07,120 --> 00:35:09,439 Speaker 1: upside is high enough where they can win the Super Bowl. 723 00:35:09,480 --> 00:35:12,040 Speaker 1: So that's where the variants comes into place. I think 724 00:35:12,239 --> 00:35:15,439 Speaker 1: the Saints just to make the playoffs or to clear 725 00:35:15,440 --> 00:35:17,960 Speaker 1: their win total, it's probably a better bet than San Francisco, 726 00:35:18,000 --> 00:35:20,080 Speaker 1: But to win the Super Bowl, I'd rather have a 727 00:35:20,120 --> 00:35:23,279 Speaker 1: San Francisco ticket, even at a lower odds um than 728 00:35:23,320 --> 00:35:26,080 Speaker 1: I wouldn't Saints. For example, Fox Sports Radio has the 729 00:35:26,160 --> 00:35:29,080 Speaker 1: best sports talk lineup in the nation. Catch all of 730 00:35:29,080 --> 00:35:32,600 Speaker 1: our shows at Fox sports Radio dot com and within 731 00:35:32,640 --> 00:35:35,120 Speaker 1: the I Heart Radio app search f s R to 732 00:35:35,239 --> 00:35:39,200 Speaker 1: listen live. Sounds like the sharp and I put sharpen 733 00:35:39,239 --> 00:35:41,120 Speaker 1: air quotes because everybody just you know, there's a million 734 00:35:41,120 --> 00:35:44,200 Speaker 1: gambling shows. Everybody just says sharp. But what what does 735 00:35:44,239 --> 00:35:46,560 Speaker 1: the words sharp mean to U? T A? That just 736 00:35:46,640 --> 00:35:51,799 Speaker 1: big respected money, longtime professional gamblers. Yeah, I mean that's 737 00:35:51,840 --> 00:35:54,319 Speaker 1: a good question. I think the easy answer would be, 738 00:35:54,360 --> 00:35:56,920 Speaker 1: like how often are you beating the closing line? You 739 00:35:56,960 --> 00:35:58,759 Speaker 1: hear about closing line value all the time. I mean, 740 00:35:58,800 --> 00:36:02,880 Speaker 1: if you are playacing your wagers um at a number 741 00:36:03,160 --> 00:36:07,399 Speaker 1: that is better than what the actual closing line ends 742 00:36:07,440 --> 00:36:11,640 Speaker 1: up being. You should be considered a sharp better because 743 00:36:11,680 --> 00:36:15,760 Speaker 1: you are clearly beating you know, the most efficient market 744 00:36:15,840 --> 00:36:18,080 Speaker 1: in the NFL from that perspective, So I think that's 745 00:36:18,120 --> 00:36:21,360 Speaker 1: an easy way to um to define that UM and 746 00:36:21,400 --> 00:36:23,120 Speaker 1: if you do that more than fifty of the time 747 00:36:23,160 --> 00:36:25,839 Speaker 1: you're doing you're doing well. UM. So it's hard. I mean, 748 00:36:25,840 --> 00:36:29,000 Speaker 1: there's plenty of money, especially nowadays there's so much crypto 749 00:36:29,080 --> 00:36:32,040 Speaker 1: money out there, and these groups that are overseas, these 750 00:36:32,120 --> 00:36:35,360 Speaker 1: these betting syndicates that you know, some are very math 751 00:36:35,680 --> 00:36:38,120 Speaker 1: and model related. Some don't really know what they're doing. 752 00:36:38,120 --> 00:36:40,120 Speaker 1: They just have a lot of money. UM. I wouldn't 753 00:36:40,160 --> 00:36:41,640 Speaker 1: say just because they're betting a lot of money that 754 00:36:41,719 --> 00:36:44,160 Speaker 1: they actually know what they're doing and they're sharp, um. 755 00:36:44,160 --> 00:36:46,840 Speaker 1: But some are really really sharp. So it all depends. 756 00:36:47,120 --> 00:36:49,480 Speaker 1: But I just think if you're kind of out there 757 00:36:49,520 --> 00:36:51,759 Speaker 1: and you're looking, if you're following people on Twitter or 758 00:36:52,080 --> 00:36:55,440 Speaker 1: looking at you know, anyone's picks, if they're consistently beating 759 00:36:55,440 --> 00:36:58,120 Speaker 1: the closing line, that's a really good indicator that they're 760 00:36:58,120 --> 00:37:00,960 Speaker 1: they're pretty sharp. So it sounds like the sharp teams 761 00:37:01,000 --> 00:37:04,360 Speaker 1: aren't from from a season win total over our Giants, Saints, 762 00:37:04,400 --> 00:37:07,720 Speaker 1: and Vikings. Does that sound about right to you? Yeah, 763 00:37:07,800 --> 00:37:11,600 Speaker 1: I think that's that's absolutely right. Um. I think that 764 00:37:11,640 --> 00:37:13,560 Speaker 1: maybe the Eagles. I think a lot of guys picked 765 00:37:13,560 --> 00:37:16,839 Speaker 1: the Eagles off earlier in the off season. Um, that 766 00:37:16,880 --> 00:37:20,000 Speaker 1: was kind of public though, well now they are now 767 00:37:20,080 --> 00:37:21,960 Speaker 1: it's gone to the play, you know, kind of the 768 00:37:22,000 --> 00:37:26,200 Speaker 1: average Joe says, Oh, the the Eagles are a sleeper candidate. 769 00:37:26,239 --> 00:37:27,840 Speaker 1: But um, I mean, I think a lot of the 770 00:37:27,840 --> 00:37:30,160 Speaker 1: sharp guys if they're not taking it now. For example, 771 00:37:30,600 --> 00:37:32,880 Speaker 1: they took their win total you know, back in in 772 00:37:32,920 --> 00:37:38,440 Speaker 1: the springtime. And maybe the Lions. The Lions are definitely 773 00:37:38,520 --> 00:37:41,719 Speaker 1: a sharp side from you know, maybe two months ago. Um, 774 00:37:41,840 --> 00:37:45,200 Speaker 1: they were, you know, I put them as a seven 775 00:37:45,239 --> 00:37:48,520 Speaker 1: win team. I don't necessarily love their upside because of 776 00:37:48,800 --> 00:37:51,279 Speaker 1: there's some limitations there with golf and they're gonna be 777 00:37:51,280 --> 00:37:53,360 Speaker 1: playing a couple of outdoor, cold, outdoor games late in 778 00:37:53,360 --> 00:37:55,920 Speaker 1: the year that could really affect them. Um. But I 779 00:37:55,960 --> 00:37:59,319 Speaker 1: think good offensive line, obviously some young talent. They're gonna 780 00:37:59,320 --> 00:38:02,160 Speaker 1: play hard for Day and Campbell that that stuff helps. Um. 781 00:38:02,200 --> 00:38:03,800 Speaker 1: But that's another one I think in the NFC that 782 00:38:03,840 --> 00:38:06,840 Speaker 1: got some sharp action early on and any any player props. 783 00:38:06,880 --> 00:38:10,520 Speaker 1: I don't dabble in too many season long props, um, 784 00:38:10,520 --> 00:38:13,560 Speaker 1: but I know you love to throw some big time 785 00:38:14,120 --> 00:38:17,279 Speaker 1: hail mary passes um any any this season. Yeah, I 786 00:38:17,280 --> 00:38:18,960 Speaker 1: actually got a couple that are kind of for fun. 787 00:38:19,040 --> 00:38:22,399 Speaker 1: When I took Max Crosby Defensive Player of the Year, um, 788 00:38:23,120 --> 00:38:26,399 Speaker 1: and really this came came down to I got him 789 00:38:26,400 --> 00:38:28,640 Speaker 1: at twenty eight, the one you could shop around. I 790 00:38:28,880 --> 00:38:31,320 Speaker 1: think that's still out there. Um. I just thought it 791 00:38:31,360 --> 00:38:32,840 Speaker 1: was funny. The guy is a heart. We know that. 792 00:38:32,880 --> 00:38:36,680 Speaker 1: The guy, Um, it's got a great motor. Um. If 793 00:38:36,719 --> 00:38:38,879 Speaker 1: you look at I like to look at pressure rate, 794 00:38:38,920 --> 00:38:42,080 Speaker 1: which is way more sticky, um, way more predictive from 795 00:38:42,160 --> 00:38:44,239 Speaker 1: year to year than sack rate. You know, sacks could 796 00:38:44,239 --> 00:38:46,920 Speaker 1: be fickle. It depends on how fast the quarterback gets 797 00:38:46,960 --> 00:38:48,799 Speaker 1: up all out of his hands, if he wiggles out 798 00:38:48,800 --> 00:38:50,839 Speaker 1: of his sack, if you know, all those different sort 799 00:38:50,880 --> 00:38:54,480 Speaker 1: of things. But pressures are more predictive and more I 800 00:38:54,520 --> 00:38:57,319 Speaker 1: guess descriptive of a of a pass rush. Who's you know, 801 00:38:57,360 --> 00:38:59,680 Speaker 1: getting to the quarterback right? And so he led the 802 00:38:59,760 --> 00:39:03,640 Speaker 1: NFL out buy a mile last season in pressures, but 803 00:39:03,680 --> 00:39:05,759 Speaker 1: he only converted, I think what eight sacks or so. 804 00:39:07,040 --> 00:39:09,839 Speaker 1: I think that if you, uh, if you look kind 805 00:39:09,840 --> 00:39:13,960 Speaker 1: of the ratio of sacks to pressures historically, UM, if 806 00:39:14,000 --> 00:39:16,440 Speaker 1: if you have above average pressure rate but a below 807 00:39:16,480 --> 00:39:21,399 Speaker 1: average sack to pressure conversion, they typically regresses the next year, 808 00:39:21,480 --> 00:39:24,239 Speaker 1: and you see some of those those outliers UM pop up. 809 00:39:24,239 --> 00:39:27,160 Speaker 1: Harold Landry, for example, was one with the Titans last 810 00:39:27,200 --> 00:39:29,680 Speaker 1: year that really popped because of that. So he's he's 811 00:39:29,680 --> 00:39:31,319 Speaker 1: a guy that I know is gonna bring it every night, 812 00:39:31,320 --> 00:39:34,160 Speaker 1: every day, UM or every game. He's he's going to 813 00:39:34,239 --> 00:39:37,239 Speaker 1: be consistent. He's gonna get to the pass rusher. A 814 00:39:37,280 --> 00:39:39,360 Speaker 1: lot of the teams they face, like the Chargers and 815 00:39:39,360 --> 00:39:41,680 Speaker 1: obviously the Chiefs and the Broncos are gonna throw a lot, 816 00:39:41,719 --> 00:39:43,760 Speaker 1: so it's gonna be a lot of drop back opportunities. 817 00:39:43,960 --> 00:39:45,799 Speaker 1: So I think that from a defensive player of the 818 00:39:45,840 --> 00:39:47,799 Speaker 1: Year and and also you know, to win the sack 819 00:39:47,840 --> 00:39:50,399 Speaker 1: title is interesting. And the last one I like, um 820 00:39:50,480 --> 00:39:53,080 Speaker 1: that actually just took yesterday that I think it's still 821 00:39:53,080 --> 00:39:56,680 Speaker 1: pretty good. DK Metcalf to lead the NFL in touchdown receptions. 822 00:39:56,880 --> 00:39:59,279 Speaker 1: I got it at forty two one. Again, you could 823 00:39:59,280 --> 00:40:02,279 Speaker 1: probably find anywhere from thirty to one or up, which 824 00:40:02,280 --> 00:40:04,520 Speaker 1: I still think is a good number. He was better 825 00:40:04,560 --> 00:40:07,640 Speaker 1: if Locke it wins the job, though, right, I actually disagree. 826 00:40:07,640 --> 00:40:10,640 Speaker 1: I'll tell you why. So, UM actually think Geno Smith 827 00:40:10,680 --> 00:40:14,000 Speaker 1: is underrated. He actually solid season. Okay, do you go 828 00:40:14,080 --> 00:40:16,040 Speaker 1: look at him former Jet. That's the only reason I 829 00:40:16,120 --> 00:40:18,680 Speaker 1: moaned because I remember he was awful with the Jets. 830 00:40:18,680 --> 00:40:20,399 Speaker 1: But he's like he sat for a couple of years, 831 00:40:20,480 --> 00:40:22,880 Speaker 1: he learned. He was pretty solid last year when he 832 00:40:22,920 --> 00:40:25,080 Speaker 1: looked at some of the PF grades. Um, he had 833 00:40:25,120 --> 00:40:27,040 Speaker 1: some big time throws if you look at the preseason, 834 00:40:27,080 --> 00:40:29,879 Speaker 1: and I know it's only preseason, but he's number one 835 00:40:29,960 --> 00:40:33,279 Speaker 1: in the in the NFL in PF grade so far. 836 00:40:33,560 --> 00:40:36,440 Speaker 1: Like he's you know, he's not consistent again, but he 837 00:40:36,520 --> 00:40:39,759 Speaker 1: makes some big throws, big time throws. He's gonna be 838 00:40:39,840 --> 00:40:43,360 Speaker 1: the starter or Pete Carroll decided yet or no? Well, so, 839 00:40:43,600 --> 00:40:45,680 Speaker 1: uh he did start the last game Drew Lock had 840 00:40:45,680 --> 00:40:48,759 Speaker 1: covid He's gonna start this week, I think, and he's 841 00:40:48,760 --> 00:40:51,560 Speaker 1: played well enough. I don't see any reason why he wouldn't. Um, 842 00:40:51,600 --> 00:40:54,759 Speaker 1: And then going back to Metcalf. So, Metcalf was fourth 843 00:40:54,800 --> 00:40:57,279 Speaker 1: the NFL last year with twelve touchdowns. He was four 844 00:40:57,320 --> 00:41:00,279 Speaker 1: behind Cooper Cupp, who led the NFL UM But when 845 00:41:00,280 --> 00:41:02,640 Speaker 1: you look at you know, he played three and a 846 00:41:02,640 --> 00:41:07,800 Speaker 1: half games with Gino Smith. Gino targeted him five times 847 00:41:07,840 --> 00:41:10,560 Speaker 1: out of twelve attempts inside the opponent twenty five yard line. 848 00:41:10,560 --> 00:41:13,520 Speaker 1: That's a forty one point six percent rate. Compare that 849 00:41:13,560 --> 00:41:17,680 Speaker 1: to what risk what Russell Wilson targeted d K on 850 00:41:17,760 --> 00:41:22,359 Speaker 1: sixty one attempts last year inside He targeted DK thirty 851 00:41:22,400 --> 00:41:24,919 Speaker 1: two percent at the time, so you know, much higher number. 852 00:41:24,960 --> 00:41:26,919 Speaker 1: He caught three t d s inside the twenty five. 853 00:41:26,960 --> 00:41:29,360 Speaker 1: He caught five of his twelve touchdowns on the season 854 00:41:29,600 --> 00:41:31,800 Speaker 1: from Gino Smith and just three and a half games, 855 00:41:32,280 --> 00:41:35,680 Speaker 1: So you know, again small sample, but he clearly is 856 00:41:36,200 --> 00:41:40,000 Speaker 1: clearly focusing on um DK Metcalf when he gets in 857 00:41:40,040 --> 00:41:41,880 Speaker 1: the in the money area, and that's what you want 858 00:41:42,120 --> 00:41:44,200 Speaker 1: from a guy to lead the NFL in recept in 859 00:41:44,239 --> 00:41:46,560 Speaker 1: TD receptions, and you know the Seattle is gonna be 860 00:41:46,600 --> 00:41:48,600 Speaker 1: trailing a lot, They're gonna be throwing a lot, and 861 00:41:48,640 --> 00:41:50,640 Speaker 1: we know DK can can break the long ones and 862 00:41:50,680 --> 00:41:53,239 Speaker 1: he's big enough obviously to be a big target UH 863 00:41:53,280 --> 00:41:54,879 Speaker 1: in the red zone. I think that's that's a good 864 00:41:54,880 --> 00:41:57,480 Speaker 1: combination to have when you're looking at a long shot 865 00:41:57,560 --> 00:41:59,680 Speaker 1: like this in terms of TV reception. So I think 866 00:41:59,680 --> 00:42:01,800 Speaker 1: it's it's just so it's a nice it's a nice value, 867 00:42:01,840 --> 00:42:04,320 Speaker 1: I think at that point. Yeah, I for some reason 868 00:42:04,400 --> 00:42:06,879 Speaker 1: had thought Locke, who could you know, he has a 869 00:42:06,880 --> 00:42:10,360 Speaker 1: massive arm and had a couple uh moments in his 870 00:42:10,440 --> 00:42:13,040 Speaker 1: college and NFL career with the bombs and Metcalf can 871 00:42:13,040 --> 00:42:15,080 Speaker 1: outrun almost anybody in the league. I I thought that 872 00:42:15,080 --> 00:42:18,960 Speaker 1: would be the play. But it's Gino in the red zone. Huh. Yeah, 873 00:42:19,080 --> 00:42:22,680 Speaker 1: you know the red zone again if you're Seattle, and 874 00:42:22,719 --> 00:42:24,799 Speaker 1: maybe halfway through the year they make the switch if 875 00:42:24,800 --> 00:42:28,879 Speaker 1: they're struggling. Um, if you're Seattle, you probably would rather 876 00:42:29,400 --> 00:42:32,000 Speaker 1: take a look at Drew lock for your future. I mean, 877 00:42:32,040 --> 00:42:34,920 Speaker 1: he's probably not a real NFL quarterback at least from 878 00:42:34,920 --> 00:42:37,200 Speaker 1: what have you seen, but I guess at his age 879 00:42:37,200 --> 00:42:39,840 Speaker 1: and his arm strength to take a shot. Um, but 880 00:42:40,000 --> 00:42:41,960 Speaker 1: you know, Smith Scott gives them the best chance to win. 881 00:42:42,040 --> 00:42:44,600 Speaker 1: And and look, Pete Carroll's was seventy years old. I 882 00:42:44,640 --> 00:42:48,680 Speaker 1: can't imagine he's taking right now. Um. So I think 883 00:42:48,719 --> 00:42:51,160 Speaker 1: for now, UM, I would go with Gino Smith and 884 00:42:51,200 --> 00:42:53,359 Speaker 1: kind of see how that goes. Um, I don't think 885 00:42:53,360 --> 00:42:55,399 Speaker 1: they're I don't think Seattle is as bad as everyone says, 886 00:42:55,440 --> 00:42:57,759 Speaker 1: and they're not good, but I don't think they're They're 887 00:42:57,760 --> 00:43:01,080 Speaker 1: not Chicago Bear bad um, and they've got enough weapons 888 00:43:01,120 --> 00:43:03,560 Speaker 1: on the outside, and um, you know, Rashad Penny had 889 00:43:03,560 --> 00:43:05,600 Speaker 1: a monster end of the season last year. He's gonna 890 00:43:05,600 --> 00:43:08,520 Speaker 1: probably get the start with kind of walker out. I 891 00:43:08,560 --> 00:43:10,760 Speaker 1: think they can stay in some games and so maybe 892 00:43:10,840 --> 00:43:12,640 Speaker 1: you know, Gino wins the good job for for the 893 00:43:12,640 --> 00:43:16,080 Speaker 1: full season, but you know they're likely going to improve 894 00:43:16,120 --> 00:43:19,560 Speaker 1: that quarterback situation next offseason. But for now, I would 895 00:43:19,600 --> 00:43:21,440 Speaker 1: go with Gino Smith personally, just because I think he 896 00:43:21,440 --> 00:43:24,120 Speaker 1: gives them the best chance to win. Alright, t A, 897 00:43:24,280 --> 00:43:27,160 Speaker 1: uh so, tell us about the site. You know it's um, 898 00:43:27,200 --> 00:43:29,799 Speaker 1: it's been up for about a year now, right, Yeah, 899 00:43:29,800 --> 00:43:32,000 Speaker 1: it's for the NFL. The last year was my first season. 900 00:43:32,040 --> 00:43:34,799 Speaker 1: This is gonna be a year number two. Um. You 901 00:43:34,840 --> 00:43:37,560 Speaker 1: know it's at cleve Analytics dot com. You can go 902 00:43:37,600 --> 00:43:40,160 Speaker 1: to my Twitter account and see that. Uh see the 903 00:43:40,200 --> 00:43:43,200 Speaker 1: link there. But yeah, we you know, for the NFL season. 904 00:43:43,239 --> 00:43:46,600 Speaker 1: I have a have a sign up currently going a 905 00:43:46,600 --> 00:43:49,719 Speaker 1: little early bird special for August. Um. The price goes 906 00:43:49,800 --> 00:43:52,880 Speaker 1: up starting September one. But yeah, you'll get every single 907 00:43:52,920 --> 00:43:58,560 Speaker 1: game for the season written up, full details, full analysis. Uh, 908 00:43:58,600 --> 00:44:03,760 Speaker 1: you'll get injury report in detail. You'll get some DFS content, 909 00:44:04,320 --> 00:44:06,720 Speaker 1: and you know, I pick every game against the spread 910 00:44:06,800 --> 00:44:08,640 Speaker 1: just for those that are in these a t s 911 00:44:08,680 --> 00:44:11,680 Speaker 1: pick them contests, um, and I hit fifty six percent 912 00:44:11,840 --> 00:44:14,440 Speaker 1: last year or so a lot of guys there. I 913 00:44:14,480 --> 00:44:16,439 Speaker 1: know some guys that don't bet from game to game 914 00:44:16,480 --> 00:44:19,120 Speaker 1: that all they do is they enter big money, uh, 915 00:44:19,160 --> 00:44:21,799 Speaker 1: pick them pools and either the you know, kind of 916 00:44:21,800 --> 00:44:26,000 Speaker 1: the super contest circus style, pick your favor front five 917 00:44:26,040 --> 00:44:28,399 Speaker 1: favorite against the spread, or just pick all the games 918 00:44:28,400 --> 00:44:31,279 Speaker 1: against the spread. And they literally just use my use 919 00:44:31,320 --> 00:44:33,920 Speaker 1: my analysis to to make those picks. And you know, 920 00:44:33,960 --> 00:44:36,319 Speaker 1: they've won some good money doing that. So if that's 921 00:44:36,320 --> 00:44:38,239 Speaker 1: what you're looking for, like, I've got that on the 922 00:44:38,280 --> 00:44:40,920 Speaker 1: side as well. So a little bit of everything I 923 00:44:40,920 --> 00:44:43,239 Speaker 1: think for anybody. And you know, I hired a real 924 00:44:43,280 --> 00:44:46,839 Speaker 1: smart data analyst who is doing this part time for me. 925 00:44:46,880 --> 00:44:50,719 Speaker 1: But he's you know, uh coding and he's scraping and 926 00:44:50,800 --> 00:44:53,040 Speaker 1: he's getting a lot of the advanced statistics and putting 927 00:44:53,120 --> 00:44:56,200 Speaker 1: up some really really nice visualizations that you see in 928 00:44:56,239 --> 00:44:59,600 Speaker 1: my NFL preview that I also have on my my 929 00:44:59,640 --> 00:45:02,000 Speaker 1: website that you can take a look at. And so um, 930 00:45:02,000 --> 00:45:04,600 Speaker 1: he's making the site a lot smarter and he's giving 931 00:45:04,600 --> 00:45:06,879 Speaker 1: there's a lot more tools on the site in terms 932 00:45:06,920 --> 00:45:08,719 Speaker 1: of stats, et cetera that you can play around with 933 00:45:08,760 --> 00:45:10,880 Speaker 1: as well. So a lot of cool stuff going on, 934 00:45:10,960 --> 00:45:12,879 Speaker 1: I think, And it's not just picks. It's it's all 935 00:45:12,920 --> 00:45:16,120 Speaker 1: that other analysis and data and will you be doing 936 00:45:16,120 --> 00:45:19,520 Speaker 1: the Circle or Super Contest or both. I'm actually headed 937 00:45:19,560 --> 00:45:23,279 Speaker 1: on Friday to Vegas for a short thirty six hour 938 00:45:23,440 --> 00:45:27,080 Speaker 1: trip to sign up for the Circuit Contest. I'm debating. 939 00:45:27,160 --> 00:45:29,760 Speaker 1: You know, I have never done the Super Contest Gold, 940 00:45:30,400 --> 00:45:35,279 Speaker 1: which is the five thousand dollar entry. Um Um, I've 941 00:45:35,440 --> 00:45:37,680 Speaker 1: you know, because it's funny, I've always done that. I've 942 00:45:37,719 --> 00:45:40,040 Speaker 1: done the Super Contest for a number of years. Last 943 00:45:40,120 --> 00:45:43,280 Speaker 1: year was, um the first year I did the circum Millions. 944 00:45:43,560 --> 00:45:45,600 Speaker 1: It's a little bit cheaper entry and it's it's a 945 00:45:45,600 --> 00:45:49,160 Speaker 1: lot more entrance, so um, I did that instead. But 946 00:45:49,800 --> 00:45:52,360 Speaker 1: the Gold is one that I've never done before, and 947 00:45:52,400 --> 00:45:55,120 Speaker 1: I've you know, I've gotten some really nice finishes in 948 00:45:55,160 --> 00:45:58,160 Speaker 1: the Super Contest, but there's so many more entrants that, 949 00:45:58,239 --> 00:46:00,520 Speaker 1: you know, you don't always cash. And there are times 950 00:46:00,520 --> 00:46:02,960 Speaker 1: where I would be leading the Super Contest Gold, but 951 00:46:03,040 --> 00:46:05,600 Speaker 1: I was in that, and so I keep kicking myself 952 00:46:05,600 --> 00:46:07,319 Speaker 1: for not entering. So I may enter that one. I'm 953 00:46:07,360 --> 00:46:09,600 Speaker 1: not sure how many what's the difference in entrance. I 954 00:46:09,600 --> 00:46:14,080 Speaker 1: know it's like four thousand for Super Contest, right, well, yeah, 955 00:46:14,120 --> 00:46:15,880 Speaker 1: the circus like four thousand. I don't know the Super 956 00:46:15,880 --> 00:46:19,080 Speaker 1: Contest Gold isn't. I don't want to be misquoted here, 957 00:46:19,080 --> 00:46:21,399 Speaker 1: but I think it's under a thousand thousand people. Yeah, 958 00:46:21,480 --> 00:46:23,640 Speaker 1: the odds are definitely better because you'll see guys in 959 00:46:23,640 --> 00:46:28,560 Speaker 1: the circus hit like and you're like that, that's just unsustainable. 960 00:46:28,640 --> 00:46:31,600 Speaker 1: This is the greatest season of the guy's life. It's like, 961 00:46:31,640 --> 00:46:33,239 Speaker 1: it's like if it, would you rather play in the 962 00:46:33,280 --> 00:46:35,920 Speaker 1: World Series of Poker main event with thousands of entrants, 963 00:46:35,960 --> 00:46:40,560 Speaker 1: or would you rather play, you know, two table, big 964 00:46:40,760 --> 00:46:45,160 Speaker 1: entry tournament where your odds are much higher? Um, you've 965 00:46:45,160 --> 00:46:47,319 Speaker 1: got to be a lot less people. Um, but you're 966 00:46:47,360 --> 00:46:51,680 Speaker 1: only you know, there's only one winner, So I don't know. 967 00:46:51,880 --> 00:46:53,799 Speaker 1: I'm still debating. We'll see I'll let people know on 968 00:46:53,840 --> 00:46:55,880 Speaker 1: Twitter what i end up doing, but at minimum, I'm 969 00:46:56,280 --> 00:46:58,920 Speaker 1: entering the circum millions again. All right, T, thanks for 970 00:46:58,920 --> 00:47:01,239 Speaker 1: the time. I kept it too long long. Check out 971 00:47:01,239 --> 00:47:04,359 Speaker 1: his side. It's great and good luck again this season. T. Thanks, Jason, 972 00:47:04,400 --> 00:47:04,920 Speaker 1: appreciate it.