1 00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:05,400 Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast. All right, here 2 00:00:05,440 --> 00:00:14,080 Speaker 1: we go fifteen hondy, twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty 3 00:00:14,240 --> 00:00:15,520 Speaker 1: forty five fifty. 4 00:00:15,280 --> 00:00:20,440 Speaker 2: And the kicks block Look all it. Football world stunder 5 00:00:22,200 --> 00:00:27,160 Speaker 2: good bye, Oh my goodness, he stumbled, and football the 6 00:00:27,320 --> 00:00:31,880 Speaker 2: lateral turn, the counter on the inside, get you the 7 00:00:32,080 --> 00:00:35,920 Speaker 2: lad table up the field to night. 8 00:00:39,520 --> 00:00:42,400 Speaker 1: It's not the sage of the dog in the fight. 9 00:00:42,760 --> 00:00:45,000 Speaker 2: It's the sage of the fight in the roll. 10 00:00:48,159 --> 00:00:50,880 Speaker 1: What's up the general nation? Welcome to the Big Bets 11 00:00:50,880 --> 00:00:56,200 Speaker 1: on Campus Podcast presented by Bett MGM I'm stucky and 12 00:00:56,360 --> 00:01:01,560 Speaker 1: joining me as always and sometimes periodically Wilson, Brett McMurphy 13 00:01:01,880 --> 00:01:06,240 Speaker 1: and Mike Calberies. This is the College Football Welcome Back 14 00:01:06,600 --> 00:01:10,400 Speaker 1: Overview Park one. We will have two parts. Basically, if 15 00:01:10,440 --> 00:01:14,240 Speaker 1: you have missed everything, have been away not paying attention, 16 00:01:14,520 --> 00:01:18,160 Speaker 1: maybe betting baseball, tennis, or just not betting anything at all, 17 00:01:18,440 --> 00:01:21,360 Speaker 1: and have put college football on the back burner since 18 00:01:21,800 --> 00:01:28,080 Speaker 1: Georgia dismantled TCU sixty five to seven a few months back. 19 00:01:28,120 --> 00:01:31,200 Speaker 1: We're going to catch up high level. Two part episode 20 00:01:31,200 --> 00:01:33,520 Speaker 1: will do about a half hour each just to catch up. 21 00:01:33,520 --> 00:01:35,039 Speaker 1: It's really just nice to be back. Colin and I 22 00:01:35,120 --> 00:01:39,360 Speaker 1: for the sixth straight season doing this really just to 23 00:01:39,400 --> 00:01:41,600 Speaker 1: say hello, catch you all back up, because we will 24 00:01:41,640 --> 00:01:47,560 Speaker 1: have specific conference previews coming up in the next few 25 00:01:47,600 --> 00:01:50,880 Speaker 1: weeks for every single conference, and then before you know it, 26 00:01:50,880 --> 00:01:54,480 Speaker 1: it'll be week zero leading off. Not in America, maybe 27 00:01:54,480 --> 00:01:57,400 Speaker 1: this is an American sport in Ireland. Maybe we'll have 28 00:01:57,440 --> 00:01:59,920 Speaker 1: an Irish times piece to get to Colin, what's going on. 29 00:02:01,160 --> 00:02:04,360 Speaker 3: We had to start there. Huh. It's going great, Stot. 30 00:02:04,440 --> 00:02:06,040 Speaker 4: You and I have been doing this forever, since the 31 00:02:06,200 --> 00:02:10,840 Speaker 4: Gin and Juice days. I swear I think I was 32 00:02:10,919 --> 00:02:12,959 Speaker 4: born to do this role next to you. I'm so 33 00:02:13,040 --> 00:02:15,840 Speaker 4: glad that we're doing this for another season. You and 34 00:02:15,880 --> 00:02:18,280 Speaker 4: I have now been doing this longer then most of 35 00:02:18,280 --> 00:02:22,880 Speaker 4: these conferences have been in existence, right, I mean, I 36 00:02:22,919 --> 00:02:25,959 Speaker 4: can't even think of how many teams have come into FBS, 37 00:02:26,040 --> 00:02:29,720 Speaker 4: Idaho has left. We've got new conferences, We've got the 38 00:02:29,919 --> 00:02:33,079 Speaker 4: landscape is changing quickly and I can't wait to dive 39 00:02:33,120 --> 00:02:33,720 Speaker 4: into all of it. 40 00:02:34,680 --> 00:02:37,720 Speaker 1: You mentioned the landscape is changing, and it has been 41 00:02:37,919 --> 00:02:40,359 Speaker 1: at a rapid pace. And this will be in a 42 00:02:40,400 --> 00:02:43,320 Speaker 1: way the last season as we have come to know 43 00:02:43,400 --> 00:02:46,640 Speaker 1: college football before playoff expansions, it's going to be changing 44 00:02:47,080 --> 00:02:48,760 Speaker 1: more rapidly. So if you're a big fan of death 45 00:02:48,800 --> 00:02:52,320 Speaker 1: the way that college football structure now pre super conference, 46 00:02:52,400 --> 00:02:56,760 Speaker 1: pre college wall playoff expansion, enjoy this last season because 47 00:02:56,760 --> 00:02:59,679 Speaker 1: it's going to be changing even more drastically starting next year. 48 00:03:00,040 --> 00:03:04,160 Speaker 1: Let me bring in mister McMurphy, who's making along with Colin, 49 00:03:04,919 --> 00:03:08,080 Speaker 1: making the media day rounds, which I'm sure we'll hear 50 00:03:08,120 --> 00:03:10,200 Speaker 1: a lot about in the conference specific previous spread. What's 51 00:03:10,240 --> 00:03:10,520 Speaker 1: going on? 52 00:03:10,560 --> 00:03:15,519 Speaker 5: Brother good Chuck didn't know if you guys are aware, 53 00:03:15,600 --> 00:03:17,959 Speaker 5: But since you know, this is your sixth anniversary for 54 00:03:18,040 --> 00:03:23,040 Speaker 5: you and Colin, the traditional gift you guys know what 55 00:03:23,040 --> 00:03:26,079 Speaker 5: that is for a sixty year anniversary up top of 56 00:03:26,080 --> 00:03:26,440 Speaker 5: your head. 57 00:03:27,400 --> 00:03:29,839 Speaker 1: I don't think my wife and I do do these 58 00:03:29,960 --> 00:03:33,600 Speaker 1: like just because aside anniversary. But I've only been married 59 00:03:34,800 --> 00:03:36,560 Speaker 1: since twenty nineteen. 60 00:03:36,600 --> 00:03:39,840 Speaker 3: So paper is one, right, Paper is one. 61 00:03:40,280 --> 00:03:42,960 Speaker 1: There's one for like twenty all fifty fifty years. 62 00:03:43,080 --> 00:03:46,040 Speaker 5: I'll go up to Yeah, paper's one, because that's what 63 00:03:46,080 --> 00:03:49,720 Speaker 5: you're right to put up on. Six Actually is iron 64 00:03:50,480 --> 00:03:53,760 Speaker 5: which rolls into the Iron Bowl, which rolls into the 65 00:03:53,760 --> 00:03:59,320 Speaker 5: first prediction at twenty twenty three Auburn Epstett's Alabama and 66 00:03:59,360 --> 00:04:01,720 Speaker 5: the Iron Bowl were to freeze. 67 00:04:03,040 --> 00:04:04,240 Speaker 1: Do we know who's gonna be Do you have a 68 00:04:04,280 --> 00:04:06,280 Speaker 1: prediction who's gonna be the quarterback for that game? First 69 00:04:06,280 --> 00:04:11,120 Speaker 1: of all for Auburn, for either school at this point, yeah, 70 00:04:11,160 --> 00:04:13,720 Speaker 1: I could see that. I could see I could see it. 71 00:04:13,760 --> 00:04:16,679 Speaker 1: I liked the big bold call last year. Brett's first 72 00:04:16,680 --> 00:04:20,360 Speaker 1: big bold call was Stetson Bennett for Heisman. I laughed 73 00:04:20,400 --> 00:04:23,080 Speaker 1: them off the show, and it almost came to fruition. 74 00:04:23,200 --> 00:04:26,880 Speaker 1: I almost got laugh off the show, just like, Yeah, 75 00:04:27,160 --> 00:04:29,160 Speaker 1: it was a lot closer than I ever thought it 76 00:04:29,200 --> 00:04:31,800 Speaker 1: was going to be, So keep that in mind. Way 77 00:04:31,839 --> 00:04:36,159 Speaker 1: down the line, Mike, I heard you chime in, what's 78 00:04:36,200 --> 00:04:36,760 Speaker 1: going on? Brother? 79 00:04:37,720 --> 00:04:40,360 Speaker 6: Well, while everyone at the power five levels complaining we're 80 00:04:40,360 --> 00:04:43,240 Speaker 6: headed to two super conferences. You know this is going 81 00:04:43,320 --> 00:04:45,479 Speaker 6: to be the haves and the have nots and the 82 00:04:45,520 --> 00:04:48,039 Speaker 6: PAC twelve may not even exist here, and I don't know, 83 00:04:48,040 --> 00:04:52,040 Speaker 6: fifteen minutes and G five lands were, you know, laughing 84 00:04:52,120 --> 00:04:54,040 Speaker 6: easy because at this point we're finaling it to get 85 00:04:54,040 --> 00:04:56,080 Speaker 6: a seat at the table starting next season. We get 86 00:04:56,200 --> 00:04:58,400 Speaker 6: you know, our top conference champion is going to get 87 00:04:58,400 --> 00:05:01,640 Speaker 6: a playoff opportunity, and this last run, you know, it's 88 00:05:01,640 --> 00:05:05,000 Speaker 6: a lot of musical chairs. Our best teams, their organs 89 00:05:05,000 --> 00:05:07,440 Speaker 6: were harvested to the rich. They go to the Big twelve. 90 00:05:07,680 --> 00:05:10,520 Speaker 6: So we lose Cincy and Houston and UCF to a 91 00:05:10,560 --> 00:05:13,120 Speaker 6: bigger conference. But for the most part, I'm just really 92 00:05:13,160 --> 00:05:16,400 Speaker 6: excited about this year. For the most part because there's 93 00:05:16,440 --> 00:05:19,160 Speaker 6: some tremendous quarterback play the G five level. I love 94 00:05:19,480 --> 00:05:22,760 Speaker 6: getting into the conference previews and basically unearthing some gems 95 00:05:22,800 --> 00:05:25,320 Speaker 6: for the audience because really, the best time of year, 96 00:05:25,320 --> 00:05:27,080 Speaker 6: in my opinion, to make money in college football is 97 00:05:27,080 --> 00:05:29,400 Speaker 6: the first two three weeks of the regular season before 98 00:05:29,440 --> 00:05:31,640 Speaker 6: books in the public adjust and then in bold season 99 00:05:31,680 --> 00:05:33,520 Speaker 6: where you can play some trends and some teams that 100 00:05:33,560 --> 00:05:35,760 Speaker 6: are happy to be there and teams that are just 101 00:05:35,800 --> 00:05:38,520 Speaker 6: going through the motions. So this next sprint run for 102 00:05:38,600 --> 00:05:40,840 Speaker 6: really the next eight weeks is probably my favorite of 103 00:05:40,839 --> 00:05:41,479 Speaker 6: the entire year. 104 00:05:42,480 --> 00:05:44,920 Speaker 1: Yeah, and you mentioned seat at the table, but you 105 00:05:44,960 --> 00:05:46,320 Speaker 1: have had a seat of a tail by the way, it 106 00:05:46,320 --> 00:05:50,640 Speaker 1: didn't go well once since yeah ah, but yes, you 107 00:05:50,720 --> 00:05:53,120 Speaker 1: have a consistent seat of the table I'm looking forward 108 00:05:53,160 --> 00:05:55,400 Speaker 1: to as well. And yes, Mike and Micha will be 109 00:05:55,440 --> 00:05:59,680 Speaker 1: back with their weekly group of five for that do 110 00:05:59,680 --> 00:06:03,359 Speaker 1: it from this job, and they'll be hosting the group 111 00:06:03,400 --> 00:06:07,640 Speaker 1: of five specific conference betting previews and either Colin or 112 00:06:07,680 --> 00:06:09,560 Speaker 1: I will be joining for each of those. And then 113 00:06:09,600 --> 00:06:12,680 Speaker 1: of course before week zero, Colin of myself will have 114 00:06:12,800 --> 00:06:16,520 Speaker 1: a will summarize, you know, kind of some of our 115 00:06:16,560 --> 00:06:18,640 Speaker 1: best bets by each conference. So those will be coming 116 00:06:18,680 --> 00:06:21,080 Speaker 1: in the next few weeks of gear up for those. 117 00:06:21,240 --> 00:06:23,520 Speaker 1: I can't wait. And deep in the folks is I'm 118 00:06:23,560 --> 00:06:26,120 Speaker 1: sure all of you are. So let's talk high level 119 00:06:26,920 --> 00:06:30,080 Speaker 1: well conference changes. We have UCF have been living under 120 00:06:30,080 --> 00:06:33,360 Speaker 1: a rock. UCF Cincinnati and Houston moved to the Big 121 00:06:33,400 --> 00:06:39,040 Speaker 1: twelve Charlette Club lit Baby FAU, North Texas, Rice, UA 122 00:06:39,040 --> 00:06:42,520 Speaker 1: B and UTSA moved to the AAC which now is 123 00:06:42,560 --> 00:06:46,880 Speaker 1: fourteen members. Big twelve now fourteen members. I mean it's 124 00:06:47,200 --> 00:06:49,520 Speaker 1: they'll don't be married to these numbers. And we have 125 00:06:49,600 --> 00:06:54,640 Speaker 1: Jacksonville State and Tennessall State are now D one members. 126 00:06:55,120 --> 00:06:56,840 Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know in what ten they keep 127 00:06:56,839 --> 00:06:58,919 Speaker 1: adding teams the college best one college football. These somemers 128 00:06:58,920 --> 00:07:02,280 Speaker 1: get crazier and crazier. They've bed great FCS programs, but 129 00:07:02,279 --> 00:07:04,040 Speaker 1: they're gonna be joined Conference USA to make up for 130 00:07:04,040 --> 00:07:07,000 Speaker 1: the teams that lost along with Liberty, New Mexico State, 131 00:07:07,080 --> 00:07:13,480 Speaker 1: oh and Sam Houston. Sam Houston, kennesaal is next year. 132 00:07:13,880 --> 00:07:16,400 Speaker 1: I believe that that is correct. Yes, yeah, all right, 133 00:07:16,400 --> 00:07:18,120 Speaker 1: So let me let me just so I don't confuse 134 00:07:18,120 --> 00:07:22,160 Speaker 1: anyone who's not been paying attention. Sam Houston Jacksonville State 135 00:07:22,960 --> 00:07:26,080 Speaker 1: are joining JMU last year. By the way, jam you 136 00:07:26,200 --> 00:07:30,480 Speaker 1: still can't go to the postseason. I can't believe we 137 00:07:30,520 --> 00:07:33,240 Speaker 1: still haven't had someone change this. BRTT you want to 138 00:07:33,280 --> 00:07:34,240 Speaker 1: jump in here on that rule. 139 00:07:35,400 --> 00:07:38,000 Speaker 5: Yeah, they tried the NCAA. It's very clear you've got 140 00:07:38,040 --> 00:07:42,920 Speaker 5: a two year transition transitional period that JAMU appealed it. 141 00:07:43,040 --> 00:07:47,840 Speaker 5: They were denied, so they cannot They cannot qualify for 142 00:07:47,880 --> 00:07:51,120 Speaker 5: a bowl game unless there are not enough six win 143 00:07:51,280 --> 00:07:54,160 Speaker 5: teams and then they would have a shot. So if 144 00:07:54,160 --> 00:07:57,080 Speaker 5: there were enough six win teams, JAMI, you could go 145 00:07:57,200 --> 00:07:58,440 Speaker 5: twelve and zero and they'd be out. 146 00:07:59,320 --> 00:08:04,360 Speaker 1: Yep. Yeah, And to those new teams, Jacksonville State and 147 00:08:04,400 --> 00:08:08,920 Speaker 1: Sam Houston will join previous independent Liberty and New Mexico 148 00:08:09,000 --> 00:08:16,720 Speaker 1: State in Conference USA. Colin any teams that have moved 149 00:08:16,880 --> 00:08:21,320 Speaker 1: or are coming up from fcs that you have any 150 00:08:21,360 --> 00:08:23,440 Speaker 1: takes on I'll tell you one take that we're gonna 151 00:08:23,440 --> 00:08:25,480 Speaker 1: be talking about. We're obviously been talking about Club Led. 152 00:08:25,960 --> 00:08:27,720 Speaker 1: The club isn't going to be that lit this year. 153 00:08:28,400 --> 00:08:32,560 Speaker 1: They are going to be significantly worse, at least on offense. 154 00:08:32,840 --> 00:08:37,440 Speaker 1: We assume with the graduation of quarterback Chris Reynolds and 155 00:08:37,480 --> 00:08:39,560 Speaker 1: a lot of their best receivers. Moving on, they do 156 00:08:39,640 --> 00:08:42,000 Speaker 1: have an amazing new head coach that we're going to 157 00:08:42,040 --> 00:08:48,280 Speaker 1: get tons of sound clips from who he recently was tweeting, 158 00:08:48,520 --> 00:08:50,600 Speaker 1: you're the coach, He tweeted, a coach at app State. 159 00:08:50,640 --> 00:08:54,000 Speaker 1: You're the coach at app State. No one cares, No 160 00:08:54,040 --> 00:08:56,840 Speaker 1: one gives a crap what you think. So we're going 161 00:08:56,920 --> 00:08:59,760 Speaker 1: to get some like he were Legit just tweeted that 162 00:09:00,600 --> 00:09:04,960 Speaker 1: he came from Michigan. His name is Biff. He is 163 00:09:05,000 --> 00:09:08,360 Speaker 1: a character FIfF Pog. I mean, it's it's you can't 164 00:09:08,360 --> 00:09:10,040 Speaker 1: make it up. He also came out and said we're 165 00:09:10,040 --> 00:09:14,240 Speaker 1: gonna use potentially four quarterbacks and maybe utilize their strengths 166 00:09:14,280 --> 00:09:19,240 Speaker 1: depending on the drive. So it might not be an 167 00:09:19,280 --> 00:09:23,560 Speaker 1: amazing lit up club that's lit, but you know, there 168 00:09:23,600 --> 00:09:25,520 Speaker 1: might might be easy to get into but it's going 169 00:09:25,600 --> 00:09:27,040 Speaker 1: to be a spectacle. You want to go in there 170 00:09:27,120 --> 00:09:29,920 Speaker 1: late at night before you go home two in the morning. 171 00:09:30,360 --> 00:09:33,000 Speaker 1: You're going to see some things. So I'm looking forward 172 00:09:33,040 --> 00:09:35,200 Speaker 1: to see the train wreck of Charlotte, who is on 173 00:09:35,360 --> 00:09:38,719 Speaker 1: national TV in week two against Maryland, I think in 174 00:09:38,880 --> 00:09:42,040 Speaker 1: prime time on NBC, which I can't wait for. Colin. 175 00:09:42,200 --> 00:09:45,040 Speaker 1: Any thoughts on your guy, Biff or anything else that 176 00:09:45,080 --> 00:09:45,760 Speaker 1: I just mentioned. 177 00:09:46,040 --> 00:09:48,920 Speaker 4: It's no longer club lit, there's no longer techno music 178 00:09:49,000 --> 00:09:51,240 Speaker 4: with a you know, with a ball and and and 179 00:09:51,240 --> 00:09:53,320 Speaker 4: and and it's just not going to be hip anymore. 180 00:09:53,360 --> 00:09:56,040 Speaker 4: It's more going to have probably a West Texas vibe 181 00:09:56,040 --> 00:09:59,360 Speaker 4: with Lone Star beer and Pearl Light and uh, you know, 182 00:09:59,400 --> 00:10:02,520 Speaker 4: maybe an old you box from the fifties. But Charlotte's 183 00:10:02,520 --> 00:10:05,600 Speaker 4: going to be really interesting. I do want to mention 184 00:10:05,679 --> 00:10:08,000 Speaker 4: if we need a gambling takeaway, we're ten minutes into 185 00:10:08,000 --> 00:10:08,560 Speaker 4: this podcast. 186 00:10:08,600 --> 00:10:09,600 Speaker 1: You want one right now. 187 00:10:09,720 --> 00:10:12,960 Speaker 4: If James Madison can't make the championship game in the Sunbelt, 188 00:10:13,040 --> 00:10:15,880 Speaker 4: they end the season against Troy, and you better believe 189 00:10:15,920 --> 00:10:18,079 Speaker 4: that'll be their super Bowl, just like their last game 190 00:10:18,120 --> 00:10:21,360 Speaker 4: of last season was. So there's a betting take Number one. 191 00:10:21,440 --> 00:10:25,760 Speaker 4: I love Conference USA. I was ready months ago when 192 00:10:25,800 --> 00:10:28,559 Speaker 4: I started integrating and doing numbers win totals that are 193 00:10:28,600 --> 00:10:31,800 Speaker 4: powered by returning experience, second order win totals. 194 00:10:31,840 --> 00:10:32,440 Speaker 3: Turnovers. 195 00:10:33,000 --> 00:10:35,760 Speaker 4: Sam Houston and Jacksonville State were a bit of a 196 00:10:35,800 --> 00:10:36,880 Speaker 4: big a dick. 197 00:10:37,160 --> 00:10:38,640 Speaker 3: They were really a deep dive. 198 00:10:38,520 --> 00:10:41,400 Speaker 4: Dig and I thought, you know what, moving up to FBS, 199 00:10:41,440 --> 00:10:43,200 Speaker 4: these guys will probably be the last ones that I 200 00:10:43,240 --> 00:10:44,680 Speaker 4: project in Conference USA. 201 00:10:45,240 --> 00:10:45,600 Speaker 3: They're not. 202 00:10:46,040 --> 00:10:48,760 Speaker 4: I have Sam Houston fifth in the conference. I have 203 00:10:49,160 --> 00:10:52,720 Speaker 4: Jacksonville State seventh in the conference, and lo and behold, 204 00:10:52,800 --> 00:10:57,440 Speaker 4: believe it or not, Florida International dead last in Conference USA. 205 00:10:57,480 --> 00:10:59,440 Speaker 4: I know Calvaries and I are going to do a 206 00:10:59,440 --> 00:11:02,880 Speaker 4: preview on next week, but I just cannot believe with 207 00:11:02,960 --> 00:11:05,120 Speaker 4: that change in that conference that we still can't get 208 00:11:05,120 --> 00:11:06,640 Speaker 4: an FU out of the spellar. 209 00:11:07,840 --> 00:11:11,320 Speaker 1: Yeah. Well it helped the Jacksonville State. Their quarterback Zion 210 00:11:11,360 --> 00:11:16,800 Speaker 1: Web who was back for his maybe seventh year, were received. 211 00:11:16,960 --> 00:11:20,120 Speaker 1: He was waiting on a labor up until maybe a 212 00:11:20,160 --> 00:11:23,840 Speaker 1: month ago. I think I saw when he was officially 213 00:11:23,880 --> 00:11:26,400 Speaker 1: ruled in because he had an injury a couple of 214 00:11:26,480 --> 00:11:29,520 Speaker 1: years ago. But he's back, which is big for Jacksonville State. 215 00:11:30,160 --> 00:11:31,360 Speaker 1: Do you want to jump in with anything here. 216 00:11:31,400 --> 00:11:34,600 Speaker 6: Mike, Yeah, I love what Conference USA is doing. They're 217 00:11:34,640 --> 00:11:38,360 Speaker 6: kind of taking the playbook from the Sun Belt, which 218 00:11:38,440 --> 00:11:40,840 Speaker 6: essentially was, let's go get these FCS schools that have 219 00:11:40,960 --> 00:11:44,440 Speaker 6: great tradition, that have won national championships. You'll get Sam Houston, 220 00:11:44,480 --> 00:11:46,959 Speaker 6: they win in that spring year during COVID they went 221 00:11:47,080 --> 00:11:47,520 Speaker 6: a Natty. 222 00:11:47,800 --> 00:11:48,840 Speaker 1: Then you have Jacksonville State. 223 00:11:48,880 --> 00:11:51,679 Speaker 6: While they haven't won a national championship, you look at 224 00:11:51,679 --> 00:11:53,480 Speaker 6: what they've been able to accomplish. They beat Florida State 225 00:11:53,520 --> 00:11:55,319 Speaker 6: a few years ago. They got Rich Rod as their 226 00:11:55,360 --> 00:11:57,680 Speaker 6: head coach. I think they pump a lot of juice 227 00:11:57,760 --> 00:12:00,439 Speaker 6: into the Conference USA. What's interesting is when you look 228 00:12:00,520 --> 00:12:03,240 Speaker 6: up the food chain, you expect the American to have 229 00:12:03,280 --> 00:12:05,280 Speaker 6: some better teams, but in a lot of cases what 230 00:12:05,280 --> 00:12:07,400 Speaker 6: they lost and what they replaced, you know, looking at 231 00:12:07,480 --> 00:12:10,199 Speaker 6: Charlotte fau Rice, that to me is like going from 232 00:12:10,200 --> 00:12:13,320 Speaker 6: Apple Jacks to Apple Orbits or those off brand serials, 233 00:12:13,360 --> 00:12:15,240 Speaker 6: Like these teams are just not going to be able 234 00:12:15,280 --> 00:12:17,760 Speaker 6: to replace them apples for apples. So I think in 235 00:12:17,800 --> 00:12:20,520 Speaker 6: a lot of ways, Conference USA to me is more interesting. 236 00:12:20,679 --> 00:12:22,719 Speaker 6: The Sun Belt's my favorite coming into next year to 237 00:12:22,720 --> 00:12:25,400 Speaker 6: break down in these conference previews, but in general, I 238 00:12:25,440 --> 00:12:27,920 Speaker 6: think I'm pretty excited about Sam, Houston State and Jacksonville 239 00:12:27,920 --> 00:12:30,720 Speaker 6: State making this jump because we've seen in recent years 240 00:12:30,720 --> 00:12:32,480 Speaker 6: that you don't have to wait. You know, this is 241 00:12:32,520 --> 00:12:36,000 Speaker 6: the new era of college football. There is no year two, 242 00:12:36,080 --> 00:12:39,480 Speaker 6: year three expectations. It's year zero. Go to the transfer portal, 243 00:12:39,720 --> 00:12:42,040 Speaker 6: get the right pieces in place. And as you mentioned, 244 00:12:42,440 --> 00:12:44,880 Speaker 6: some of these teams are bringing back experience a quarterback 245 00:12:44,880 --> 00:12:47,160 Speaker 6: and to make such a huge difference in modern college football. 246 00:12:47,360 --> 00:12:49,960 Speaker 1: So if you have a good quarterback, you got a chance. Yeah, 247 00:12:50,160 --> 00:12:52,640 Speaker 1: I am interested to see in the Big twelve how 248 00:12:52,720 --> 00:12:56,320 Speaker 1: some of the teams that moved up into the Big 249 00:12:56,360 --> 00:13:00,439 Speaker 1: twelve hole OT Houston UCF, how they can handle, you know, 250 00:13:00,440 --> 00:13:04,920 Speaker 1: at the grind of an entire Power five, so to speak, schedule, 251 00:13:05,640 --> 00:13:07,560 Speaker 1: because you're gonna we're gonna have to look more at 252 00:13:07,600 --> 00:13:09,760 Speaker 1: the depth of those teams, right you might have a 253 00:13:09,760 --> 00:13:13,240 Speaker 1: little bit more injuries, they're gonna have better competition more 254 00:13:13,320 --> 00:13:16,200 Speaker 1: weeks throughout the year. Be interested to see how those 255 00:13:16,200 --> 00:13:19,079 Speaker 1: teams handle a step up in class, especially in the 256 00:13:19,160 --> 00:13:22,040 Speaker 1: year where you still have Oklahoma and Texas a year 257 00:13:22,080 --> 00:13:25,160 Speaker 1: before those two teams move on Brett. Before we get 258 00:13:25,200 --> 00:13:29,280 Speaker 1: into some of the specifics of the rule changes, maybe 259 00:13:29,280 --> 00:13:33,040 Speaker 1: from a betting impact. Do you want to summarize just 260 00:13:33,080 --> 00:13:36,080 Speaker 1: the rule changes that occurred for this year for those 261 00:13:36,120 --> 00:13:37,000 Speaker 1: who are not. 262 00:13:37,040 --> 00:13:39,839 Speaker 5: Up to date, Well, obviously the biggest one is the 263 00:13:39,920 --> 00:13:43,040 Speaker 5: clock will no longer stop off the first downs. At 264 00:13:43,440 --> 00:13:47,000 Speaker 5: Big twelve media days, there's they're ring the bell for 265 00:13:47,040 --> 00:13:50,720 Speaker 5: another reference. Colin and I, you know, talk to the 266 00:13:50,760 --> 00:13:53,520 Speaker 5: coaches about how much of a difference that would make, 267 00:13:53,760 --> 00:13:56,280 Speaker 5: you know, Basically, the coaches I've talked to. I talked 268 00:13:56,280 --> 00:14:00,680 Speaker 5: to some last month in Arizona. It's funny. Some coaches 269 00:14:00,720 --> 00:14:03,080 Speaker 5: think it's going to be a huge difference. Other coaches 270 00:14:03,520 --> 00:14:05,760 Speaker 5: think that it's not going to matter at all, and 271 00:14:05,880 --> 00:14:08,160 Speaker 5: that you won't even notice the difference. Of all the 272 00:14:08,200 --> 00:14:10,600 Speaker 5: coaches that I've talked to about it, I think Mack 273 00:14:10,679 --> 00:14:13,800 Speaker 5: Brown kind of had a unique viewpoint on this, and 274 00:14:13,840 --> 00:14:16,600 Speaker 5: he basically said, you know, look, we've got you know, 275 00:14:17,000 --> 00:14:19,400 Speaker 5: X number of players on the roster. We only have 276 00:14:19,520 --> 00:14:22,320 Speaker 5: twelve games a year. You want these kids to play 277 00:14:22,320 --> 00:14:24,920 Speaker 5: as much as possible, So why are we limiting the 278 00:14:25,000 --> 00:14:27,880 Speaker 5: number of plays that these kids can play. I don't 279 00:14:27,880 --> 00:14:29,960 Speaker 5: think I've heard anyone else say that I've actually heard 280 00:14:30,000 --> 00:14:32,640 Speaker 5: the opposite where some coaches are like, we have too 281 00:14:32,640 --> 00:14:35,400 Speaker 5: many plays. We need to shorten the game. So that's 282 00:14:35,440 --> 00:14:38,840 Speaker 5: going to be the biggest impact. And then off the field, 283 00:14:38,920 --> 00:14:42,520 Speaker 5: you know, Michael is sitting on Conference USA recipe for 284 00:14:42,560 --> 00:14:45,440 Speaker 5: bringing these guys up from the SCS ranks, Well, it 285 00:14:45,520 --> 00:14:49,280 Speaker 5: was good while it lasted, guys, because the NCAA has 286 00:14:49,400 --> 00:14:53,200 Speaker 5: changed the requirements if you want to move from FCS 287 00:14:53,240 --> 00:14:56,480 Speaker 5: to FBS. Obviously you've got to meet scholarship numbers and 288 00:14:56,520 --> 00:15:01,880 Speaker 5: a lot of infrastructure things, number of sports sponsor. However, 289 00:15:02,120 --> 00:15:06,200 Speaker 5: they are not so quietly determined that instead of paying 290 00:15:06,520 --> 00:15:10,360 Speaker 5: a five thousand dollars fee to move up, it is 291 00:15:10,400 --> 00:15:15,920 Speaker 5: now few doctor evilboys five million dollars to maybe from 292 00:15:15,920 --> 00:15:18,840 Speaker 5: the SCS to the FBS. I think that will put 293 00:15:18,880 --> 00:15:21,760 Speaker 5: a hall up to that, at least in the near future. 294 00:15:22,520 --> 00:15:26,240 Speaker 1: Yep. Two other before we get into the clock stopping. 295 00:15:26,320 --> 00:15:29,880 Speaker 1: If you aren't familiar, I actually didn't know that. That's 296 00:15:29,880 --> 00:15:32,480 Speaker 1: good A good tidbit that uh you have that the 297 00:15:32,560 --> 00:15:35,640 Speaker 1: fee increased a five million. That's pretty crazy. So yeah, 298 00:15:35,640 --> 00:15:37,880 Speaker 1: I would agree that's definitely gonna fault some of the 299 00:15:37,920 --> 00:15:39,960 Speaker 1: movement that we've seen. But the two other small rule 300 00:15:40,040 --> 00:15:42,480 Speaker 1: changes that who cares are you know, if there's a 301 00:15:42,520 --> 00:15:44,640 Speaker 1: penalty at the end of a quarter, it's not on 302 00:15:44,760 --> 00:15:46,320 Speaker 1: time down. You play at the next quarter. And you 303 00:15:46,360 --> 00:15:49,680 Speaker 1: can't call back to back timeouts in the same dead ball, 304 00:15:49,680 --> 00:15:52,120 Speaker 1: which would be most pertinent to you know, if there's 305 00:15:52,120 --> 00:15:54,120 Speaker 1: a field goal and you're trying to ice the other team, 306 00:15:54,160 --> 00:15:56,960 Speaker 1: you can't just keep calling timeouts. But the big rule 307 00:15:57,040 --> 00:15:59,480 Speaker 1: change is that the clock will We'll have a running 308 00:15:59,480 --> 00:16:03,960 Speaker 1: clock after first downs except for in the final two 309 00:16:03,960 --> 00:16:07,680 Speaker 1: minutes of the half. Kind of on brand or you know, 310 00:16:08,240 --> 00:16:11,040 Speaker 1: on theme for what we're seeing in other sports rule 311 00:16:11,120 --> 00:16:13,520 Speaker 1: changes to try and speed up the game. Is everyone's 312 00:16:13,560 --> 00:16:16,880 Speaker 1: attention spends, you know, decreased down to that of a 313 00:16:16,960 --> 00:16:21,840 Speaker 1: grasshopper across media. So I my biggest beef would have 314 00:16:21,880 --> 00:16:23,960 Speaker 1: been if it was you know, you cannot have this 315 00:16:24,000 --> 00:16:26,320 Speaker 1: in college fotball in the final two minutes like that. 316 00:16:26,440 --> 00:16:28,360 Speaker 1: I'm so against that. It would take away a lot 317 00:16:28,360 --> 00:16:29,880 Speaker 1: of the craziness in the MAC and just what we 318 00:16:29,880 --> 00:16:32,840 Speaker 1: see across college football. I could tell you that the 319 00:16:32,880 --> 00:16:37,880 Speaker 1: market thinks that everyone knew of this these rules when 320 00:16:37,920 --> 00:16:41,760 Speaker 1: totals came out, and you would assume that odds makers 321 00:16:41,800 --> 00:16:44,400 Speaker 1: did account for this a bit, and whatever you have 322 00:16:44,480 --> 00:16:46,600 Speaker 1: rule changes like, there's there's an opportunity in the market. 323 00:16:46,640 --> 00:16:48,760 Speaker 1: And if you think that the market is not accounting 324 00:16:48,800 --> 00:16:52,720 Speaker 1: for it properly over accounting for it. It's just any 325 00:16:52,760 --> 00:16:54,600 Speaker 1: sport you can you can make some decent money if 326 00:16:54,600 --> 00:16:57,000 Speaker 1: you have an opinion that's backed up by some good 327 00:16:57,080 --> 00:16:58,440 Speaker 1: data and end up being right. You could be dead 328 00:16:58,480 --> 00:17:01,680 Speaker 1: wrong too. These are big unknow, but uncertainly creates opportunity. 329 00:17:01,800 --> 00:17:04,040 Speaker 1: I could tell you that the market thinks that these 330 00:17:04,080 --> 00:17:10,399 Speaker 1: totals were not priced. This rule change wasn't priced into 331 00:17:10,440 --> 00:17:12,800 Speaker 1: some of these opening totals ackaly, because you're just seeing 332 00:17:12,880 --> 00:17:15,879 Speaker 1: unders across the board get hit, which sucks for me 333 00:17:15,960 --> 00:17:19,040 Speaker 1: because I'm waiting on some of these and I'll wait 334 00:17:19,080 --> 00:17:21,000 Speaker 1: for you guys, and some of the ones that I 335 00:17:21,040 --> 00:17:22,560 Speaker 1: don't care about the rule change, I just wanted an 336 00:17:22,600 --> 00:17:26,320 Speaker 1: under ed. I'm just watching them come down and I'm 337 00:17:26,359 --> 00:17:27,960 Speaker 1: trying to see if there's going to be some buyback 338 00:17:28,000 --> 00:17:31,200 Speaker 1: on people that have a different opinion on the rule changes. 339 00:17:31,800 --> 00:17:33,800 Speaker 1: One of my favorite totals that I missed, the forty 340 00:17:33,800 --> 00:17:37,240 Speaker 1: five owns is a key number. New Mexico State UMass, 341 00:17:37,440 --> 00:17:39,920 Speaker 1: which is to me, it's like get games like first 342 00:17:39,960 --> 00:17:43,960 Speaker 1: to thirteen, that total keeps coming down to the set 343 00:17:44,240 --> 00:17:47,400 Speaker 1: hit like forty one, I think yesterday. But Colin this 344 00:17:47,520 --> 00:17:49,600 Speaker 1: rule change, you're going to hear a lot about it 345 00:17:49,840 --> 00:17:53,159 Speaker 1: week zero, week one, and we probably we won't have 346 00:17:53,320 --> 00:17:55,320 Speaker 1: this sort it out even will. I think you keep 347 00:17:55,359 --> 00:17:57,879 Speaker 1: getting more and more data points and refine what this 348 00:17:58,000 --> 00:18:00,880 Speaker 1: impact actually is. But that's going to be a big 349 00:18:00,920 --> 00:18:03,720 Speaker 1: talking point leading up to the first few weeks. What 350 00:18:03,760 --> 00:18:05,000 Speaker 1: do you got here? Yeah? 351 00:18:05,080 --> 00:18:08,600 Speaker 4: Five percent down, five percent decrease in the projected total. 352 00:18:08,680 --> 00:18:11,120 Speaker 4: Now I'm going to have a piece come out before 353 00:18:11,240 --> 00:18:13,880 Speaker 4: kickoff that talks about some of our coordinator changes, which 354 00:18:13,920 --> 00:18:15,960 Speaker 4: is going to change tempo and pace for some of 355 00:18:16,000 --> 00:18:19,200 Speaker 4: the teams. But across the board, I'm going five percent 356 00:18:19,359 --> 00:18:21,359 Speaker 4: less than what my projected totals would have been in 357 00:18:21,400 --> 00:18:25,000 Speaker 4: the past. So you know, a projection of seventy it's 358 00:18:25,040 --> 00:18:26,639 Speaker 4: going to get a three and a half point bump 359 00:18:26,840 --> 00:18:29,479 Speaker 4: down and that could cross some key numbers here. And 360 00:18:30,720 --> 00:18:32,840 Speaker 4: I think the big worry that I keep hearing is 361 00:18:33,640 --> 00:18:35,920 Speaker 4: games could be two and a half hours, games could 362 00:18:35,920 --> 00:18:39,760 Speaker 4: be three hours max. And you have Gus maleson saying 363 00:18:39,880 --> 00:18:41,080 Speaker 4: we're going to go as fast as. 364 00:18:40,960 --> 00:18:41,800 Speaker 3: We possibly can. 365 00:18:42,320 --> 00:18:44,439 Speaker 4: It may cost us a possession or two when it 366 00:18:44,440 --> 00:18:46,600 Speaker 4: comes to the clock, and I'm thinking to myself a 367 00:18:46,640 --> 00:18:49,280 Speaker 4: possession or two. What happens if this is an army game, 368 00:18:49,720 --> 00:18:52,880 Speaker 4: an army team that averages about eight possessions a game, 369 00:18:52,920 --> 00:18:53,320 Speaker 4: that's it. 370 00:18:53,680 --> 00:18:54,560 Speaker 3: That's all they've got. 371 00:18:54,600 --> 00:18:57,040 Speaker 4: And if you want to cut, you know, a driver 372 00:18:57,200 --> 00:18:59,480 Speaker 4: too out of an army game. Are you saying six 373 00:18:59,520 --> 00:19:01,639 Speaker 4: possessions is the length of a football game. I mean 374 00:19:01,680 --> 00:19:04,720 Speaker 4: it's possible. So to start the season off, you're right 375 00:19:04,760 --> 00:19:07,880 Speaker 4: stuck there. There are some there's going to be buyback 376 00:19:07,960 --> 00:19:10,800 Speaker 4: on these totals that have come down. My stance is 377 00:19:11,040 --> 00:19:13,240 Speaker 4: five percent on what I would have projected last year. 378 00:19:14,040 --> 00:19:16,360 Speaker 4: After that, there are overs that I want to hit. 379 00:19:16,680 --> 00:19:19,360 Speaker 4: I want Texas State in the opener to go over 380 00:19:19,440 --> 00:19:22,760 Speaker 4: with yeah, I see Calgaries. I want some Texas State 381 00:19:22,800 --> 00:19:25,640 Speaker 4: over in the first week. I want Wisconsin. I want 382 00:19:25,680 --> 00:19:28,879 Speaker 4: that number to keep dipping on long Goo up at Wisconsin. 383 00:19:29,040 --> 00:19:33,200 Speaker 4: So there are certain teams I'm waiting for the under 384 00:19:33,320 --> 00:19:36,199 Speaker 4: effect to hit with the rule changes and everybody realizes it, 385 00:19:36,240 --> 00:19:38,440 Speaker 4: and I'm ready to pop back up on a couple overs. 386 00:19:38,720 --> 00:19:41,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean it's the five percent. You look back 387 00:19:41,600 --> 00:19:44,240 Speaker 1: at data and you can kind of get a broad 388 00:19:45,480 --> 00:19:47,919 Speaker 1: idea of what this impact will be with the clock 389 00:19:48,040 --> 00:19:51,200 Speaker 1: stopping after first house. But where the nuance comes in 390 00:19:51,680 --> 00:19:55,359 Speaker 1: is in within individual matchups. Right, If you have a 391 00:19:55,400 --> 00:20:00,639 Speaker 1: game where there's just two bad offenses and they're not 392 00:20:00,680 --> 00:20:05,680 Speaker 1: getting first downs, and it's just like you run run 393 00:20:05,720 --> 00:20:09,960 Speaker 1: incomplete punt, run run incomplete punt, it's not gonna feel 394 00:20:09,960 --> 00:20:13,000 Speaker 1: that much different than a game that we saw before. 395 00:20:13,320 --> 00:20:17,439 Speaker 1: If there's a game where you know you're you're getting 396 00:20:17,560 --> 00:20:19,920 Speaker 1: a lot more first downs the efficiency of the first 397 00:20:21,280 --> 00:20:23,479 Speaker 1: then it's gonna look a little bit different, might have 398 00:20:23,600 --> 00:20:27,040 Speaker 1: a bit more of an impact. How much that will 399 00:20:27,240 --> 00:20:30,840 Speaker 1: to be determined, and that's gonna be a really fun 400 00:20:30,920 --> 00:20:33,080 Speaker 1: fight to watch in the market and to see how 401 00:20:33,119 --> 00:20:35,560 Speaker 1: it plays out. You also might see keep this in 402 00:20:35,640 --> 00:20:37,360 Speaker 1: mind and we'll talk about this way more in depth 403 00:20:37,359 --> 00:20:40,960 Speaker 1: as we approach the season. But if week zero, which 404 00:20:41,000 --> 00:20:44,920 Speaker 1: is not how many games are in week zero seven, yeah, 405 00:20:45,880 --> 00:20:49,560 Speaker 1: seven to ten, If you see that sample size is nothing. 406 00:20:50,240 --> 00:20:53,320 Speaker 1: So if you see you know, you're on one hand, 407 00:20:53,359 --> 00:20:55,919 Speaker 1: you want to take a look and see, okay, all right, 408 00:20:56,000 --> 00:20:57,320 Speaker 1: this is how it's playing out, and maybe I can 409 00:20:57,359 --> 00:20:58,879 Speaker 1: adjust a little bit, but you also could see an 410 00:20:58,880 --> 00:21:01,040 Speaker 1: over adjustment in the market. Yeah, if you just get 411 00:21:01,040 --> 00:21:03,400 Speaker 1: a bunch of random overs or random unders and then 412 00:21:03,480 --> 00:21:05,639 Speaker 1: people are like, oh, the rule change, and then eventually 413 00:21:05,640 --> 00:21:07,280 Speaker 1: you could get an over adjustment. 414 00:21:06,880 --> 00:21:09,640 Speaker 4: Or like a Navy Notre Dame. Like Navy Notre Dame, 415 00:21:09,640 --> 00:21:12,200 Speaker 4: the pace in that is not expected to be anything 416 00:21:12,200 --> 00:21:14,280 Speaker 4: faster than a snail, right, stuff. So that's a good 417 00:21:14,280 --> 00:21:15,959 Speaker 4: example of what we're going to see in the market. 418 00:21:16,200 --> 00:21:17,639 Speaker 1: Yeah, this is a wait and see for me. 419 00:21:17,720 --> 00:21:20,280 Speaker 6: But I'm glad that Colin already brought up that Texas 420 00:21:20,280 --> 00:21:22,399 Speaker 6: State Baylor game. I'll get into it a little bit 421 00:21:22,440 --> 00:21:25,720 Speaker 6: later about why I'm so excited about the incarnate word 422 00:21:25,760 --> 00:21:29,240 Speaker 6: coaching staff coming in down there in San Marcos. But 423 00:21:29,320 --> 00:21:32,119 Speaker 6: in general, yeah, there's a decent amount of movement around 424 00:21:32,119 --> 00:21:35,760 Speaker 6: the country. That's some traditional schools like Wisconsin that wanted 425 00:21:35,800 --> 00:21:38,600 Speaker 6: to play ball control and play with their defense and 426 00:21:38,640 --> 00:21:40,840 Speaker 6: win with their defense, They're now going in an opposite 427 00:21:40,880 --> 00:21:44,320 Speaker 6: direction of that. So really, I think at this point 428 00:21:44,760 --> 00:21:47,639 Speaker 6: it's pure speculation as to how this is going to 429 00:21:47,640 --> 00:21:49,960 Speaker 6: impact the market. However, I do think there's going to 430 00:21:49,960 --> 00:21:52,360 Speaker 6: be an opportunity. So, like you said, really, if you're 431 00:21:52,400 --> 00:21:55,200 Speaker 6: looking for some solid overs in week one, I'm hoping 432 00:21:55,240 --> 00:21:57,480 Speaker 6: that we get six or seven unders there in week 433 00:21:57,600 --> 00:22:01,000 Speaker 6: zero and that the market overreacts and that there's collin 434 00:22:01,160 --> 00:22:04,320 Speaker 6: inches and YouTube segments all about how this rule is 435 00:22:04,560 --> 00:22:05,960 Speaker 6: kind of bigger. 436 00:22:05,640 --> 00:22:06,760 Speaker 1: Than it should be viewed. 437 00:22:06,760 --> 00:22:09,200 Speaker 6: And we saw something kind of similar in baseball where 438 00:22:09,240 --> 00:22:11,480 Speaker 6: early on, in a very small sample size early in 439 00:22:11,480 --> 00:22:12,800 Speaker 6: the year, is it benefiting the hitters? 440 00:22:12,800 --> 00:22:13,920 Speaker 1: Is it benefiting the pitchers? 441 00:22:14,200 --> 00:22:16,520 Speaker 6: And people wanted to be the first to act in 442 00:22:16,600 --> 00:22:19,840 Speaker 6: terms of commentary on it without really having enough information 443 00:22:20,200 --> 00:22:22,000 Speaker 6: to be able to base it in reality. 444 00:22:22,040 --> 00:22:23,520 Speaker 1: So I'm with you there. 445 00:22:23,560 --> 00:22:25,560 Speaker 6: I think that there's going to be some hairpin trigger 446 00:22:25,600 --> 00:22:27,120 Speaker 6: reactions in both directions. 447 00:22:27,400 --> 00:22:30,359 Speaker 1: Yeah. Yeah. You see Coleege basketball with their real NFL 448 00:22:30,440 --> 00:22:33,680 Speaker 1: every year and they penalties could be one of many 449 00:22:33,720 --> 00:22:37,120 Speaker 1: different things. It's always an interesting big to monitor early 450 00:22:37,200 --> 00:22:40,240 Speaker 1: in the season before we go any further. As a reminder, 451 00:22:40,359 --> 00:22:43,959 Speaker 1: Big Bets on Campus is presented by bet MGM, So 452 00:22:44,080 --> 00:22:46,680 Speaker 1: get it on the action with the King of Sportsbooks. 453 00:22:46,960 --> 00:22:51,320 Speaker 1: Sign up with bet MGM using bonus code action and 454 00:22:51,359 --> 00:22:54,760 Speaker 1: get up to one thousand dollars paid back in bonus bets. 455 00:22:55,119 --> 00:22:58,960 Speaker 1: If your first bet doesn't win, that is the bonus 456 00:22:59,000 --> 00:23:05,240 Speaker 1: code action. Visit BETMGM dot com for terms and conditions. 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In New York call it. 473 00:23:52,160 --> 00:23:54,919 Speaker 1: Text the Tennessee Redline at twenty hundred eight nine nine 474 00:23:55,000 --> 00:23:56,960 Speaker 1: seven eight nine or call one eight eight eight seven 475 00:23:57,040 --> 00:23:59,600 Speaker 1: seven seven nine six nine six in Mississippi. In Ontario, 476 00:23:59,680 --> 00:24:01,639 Speaker 1: if you have questions are concerns about your gambling or 477 00:24:01,640 --> 00:24:04,000 Speaker 1: someone close to you, please contact Connects Ontario at one 478 00:24:04,040 --> 00:24:05,920 Speaker 1: eight six six five three one two six zero zero 479 00:24:06,000 --> 00:24:08,040 Speaker 1: to speak to an advisor free charge. Sports betting is 480 00:24:08,080 --> 00:24:10,800 Speaker 1: void in Georgia, Hawaii and Utah and other states were prohibited. 481 00:24:10,880 --> 00:24:14,160 Speaker 1: Promotional offers not available in Avata in New York. Before 482 00:24:14,200 --> 00:24:15,880 Speaker 1: we wrap up part one, we'll get into a couple 483 00:24:16,520 --> 00:24:18,560 Speaker 1: will get a little more specific in part two. But 484 00:24:18,600 --> 00:24:20,280 Speaker 1: again we're not going to go to granted, it's just 485 00:24:20,280 --> 00:24:22,360 Speaker 1: a welcome back. It's good to be back. I can't 486 00:24:22,359 --> 00:24:25,520 Speaker 1: wait to hear your voicemails, sweat games with all of 487 00:24:25,560 --> 00:24:29,160 Speaker 1: you every weekend. But we're going to have, like I said, 488 00:24:29,320 --> 00:24:31,600 Speaker 1: we'll have our week zero preview and we'll have previous 489 00:24:31,680 --> 00:24:34,439 Speaker 1: for every single conference in depth. So we're not going 490 00:24:34,520 --> 00:24:36,760 Speaker 1: to go too deep here for these two episodes, but 491 00:24:36,800 --> 00:24:39,119 Speaker 1: one thing I should mention if we're talking high level, 492 00:24:39,600 --> 00:24:44,040 Speaker 1: there's always going to be lots of coaching changes, that 493 00:24:44,119 --> 00:24:49,320 Speaker 1: includes coordinators. And the biggest thing that I think has 494 00:24:50,119 --> 00:24:52,360 Speaker 1: changed over the past few years as far as the 495 00:24:52,840 --> 00:24:56,639 Speaker 1: high level college football landscape is the transfer portal. Keeping 496 00:24:56,760 --> 00:24:59,920 Speaker 1: track of the transfer portal is almost a full time job, 497 00:25:00,520 --> 00:25:05,160 Speaker 1: especially when you're adding college basketball, but it can significantly 498 00:25:05,280 --> 00:25:07,560 Speaker 1: change a team from year to year. I think the 499 00:25:07,560 --> 00:25:13,280 Speaker 1: biggest impact for me is, like to give a parallel, right, 500 00:25:14,760 --> 00:25:17,000 Speaker 1: you would think you think over the past twenty years 501 00:25:17,080 --> 00:25:20,199 Speaker 1: or you know, all time with Kentucky basketball always been 502 00:25:20,240 --> 00:25:22,919 Speaker 1: a powerhouse. Look at them. What they did in the 503 00:25:22,920 --> 00:25:27,120 Speaker 1: portal this year leaves a lot to be desired. Cal 504 00:25:27,200 --> 00:25:29,320 Speaker 1: might be losing it. There, might be falling behind the 505 00:25:29,359 --> 00:25:32,200 Speaker 1: competition because you can't just win with freshmen in college 506 00:25:32,240 --> 00:25:35,760 Speaker 1: basketball these days or to all freshmen as Kentucky you know, 507 00:25:36,040 --> 00:25:40,199 Speaker 1: maybe could have done in the past. Clemson, of what 508 00:25:40,240 --> 00:25:42,240 Speaker 1: you would put as a powerhouse during the college to 509 00:25:42,280 --> 00:25:46,240 Speaker 1: All playoff era, doesn't utilize the portal, right, and it's 510 00:25:46,320 --> 00:25:48,240 Speaker 1: more of a Hey, well, this is a culture they 511 00:25:49,280 --> 00:25:51,960 Speaker 1: six seven years ago that was fine, right, You could 512 00:25:51,960 --> 00:25:55,320 Speaker 1: win a national title at Clemson with their culture and 513 00:25:55,359 --> 00:25:59,080 Speaker 1: their recruiting. They get elite players, one of the top 514 00:25:59,119 --> 00:26:03,119 Speaker 1: recruiting classes year. But these other elite teams are filling 515 00:26:03,160 --> 00:26:06,199 Speaker 1: in the holes that they have through the transfer portal, 516 00:26:06,480 --> 00:26:08,680 Speaker 1: and Clemson is unable to do so. And I think 517 00:26:08,840 --> 00:26:11,840 Speaker 1: as a result, they're falling a step behind. Now they're 518 00:26:11,840 --> 00:26:13,720 Speaker 1: still in the discussion, maybe because the a SEC is 519 00:26:14,440 --> 00:26:16,840 Speaker 1: as a whole falling back, although we might see the 520 00:26:16,880 --> 00:26:19,320 Speaker 1: resurgence of some teams, which we'll talk about in the future. 521 00:26:19,359 --> 00:26:22,720 Speaker 1: But I think that that's really impacting Clemson and has 522 00:26:22,720 --> 00:26:25,800 Speaker 1: put them a step below that elite tier that they 523 00:26:25,800 --> 00:26:28,439 Speaker 1: were certainly in every year. And I think that's a 524 00:26:28,440 --> 00:26:31,280 Speaker 1: big miss by Clemson. But they're going for the culture 525 00:26:31,280 --> 00:26:34,440 Speaker 1: play here, Colin. Any thoughts in the portal overall, any impact. 526 00:26:34,119 --> 00:26:36,280 Speaker 4: Players you want to mention, or just a lot of 527 00:26:36,320 --> 00:26:39,119 Speaker 4: thoughts about the portal, because every head coach takes the 528 00:26:39,160 --> 00:26:40,080 Speaker 4: portal differently. 529 00:26:40,200 --> 00:26:41,760 Speaker 3: There are some coaches. 530 00:26:41,400 --> 00:26:44,359 Speaker 4: That adopted it immediately, want to live in it, swim 531 00:26:44,359 --> 00:26:46,000 Speaker 4: in it, and pull whatever they can out of it. 532 00:26:46,800 --> 00:26:50,480 Speaker 4: Then there's Mike Gundhy who, when the portal first started 533 00:26:50,840 --> 00:26:54,000 Speaker 4: hated it. And I'm not saying this specifically about my Gundy, 534 00:26:54,040 --> 00:26:55,679 Speaker 4: but there were a bunch of coaches that said, you 535 00:26:55,720 --> 00:26:58,200 Speaker 4: go in, you're losing your scholarship. I'll find somebody else, 536 00:26:58,280 --> 00:27:01,959 Speaker 4: like taking offense like personal to players going in the portal. 537 00:27:02,920 --> 00:27:05,640 Speaker 4: And now you fast forward a couple of cycles through it. 538 00:27:06,200 --> 00:27:09,840 Speaker 4: You know, Gundhi is said just the other day that 539 00:27:10,400 --> 00:27:12,600 Speaker 4: it doesn't bother in me me anymore. I mean, kids 540 00:27:12,640 --> 00:27:14,520 Speaker 4: go in the portal just to go in the portal, 541 00:27:14,680 --> 00:27:16,600 Speaker 4: and maybe they're there to see what their value is. 542 00:27:16,920 --> 00:27:18,639 Speaker 4: And it's just a part of college football now. And 543 00:27:19,200 --> 00:27:21,640 Speaker 4: I believe Brett tweeted it out as famous line as 544 00:27:21,720 --> 00:27:24,479 Speaker 4: talking about nil and portal is like, you know, it's 545 00:27:24,800 --> 00:27:26,920 Speaker 4: it's like religion and politics. It's not even worth talking 546 00:27:26,960 --> 00:27:31,280 Speaker 4: about anymore. But I think from a gambling point of view, 547 00:27:31,880 --> 00:27:35,320 Speaker 4: some head coaches have adopted and they have utilized it. 548 00:27:35,400 --> 00:27:41,120 Speaker 4: Brian Kelly USC Florida State. And then there's Clemson who hasn't, 549 00:27:41,200 --> 00:27:43,199 Speaker 4: and they are resting on the fact that they got 550 00:27:43,200 --> 00:27:45,919 Speaker 4: the best offensive coordinator in the nation and their recruiting profile, 551 00:27:46,040 --> 00:27:49,040 Speaker 4: so it goes team by team. But in my particular 552 00:27:49,080 --> 00:27:51,879 Speaker 4: opinion from a gambling perspective, if you've not adopted the 553 00:27:51,920 --> 00:27:53,960 Speaker 4: portal and you haven't pulled your players out that you 554 00:27:54,000 --> 00:27:56,280 Speaker 4: need to fill holes, you're going to fall behind real fast. 555 00:27:57,000 --> 00:27:59,919 Speaker 1: Yeah. Yeah, because there are other teams in that elite 556 00:28:00,119 --> 00:28:03,000 Speaker 1: here that are getting just as good as players recruiting 557 00:28:03,600 --> 00:28:07,120 Speaker 1: as Clemson. But they can also Hey look at Georgia. 558 00:28:07,200 --> 00:28:11,440 Speaker 1: Maybe our wide receiver room it's fairly fairly vulnerable, looks 559 00:28:11,480 --> 00:28:13,720 Speaker 1: pretty weak. Can't really rely on just freshmen. What do 560 00:28:13,760 --> 00:28:16,280 Speaker 1: they do? Don't want to address that in the portal? 561 00:28:16,400 --> 00:28:17,240 Speaker 1: Mike any thoughts here? 562 00:28:18,280 --> 00:28:21,720 Speaker 6: Yeah, Clemson essentially lumping themselves in with Stanford and Cal 563 00:28:21,800 --> 00:28:24,119 Speaker 6: for totally separate reasons. Stanford and Cal I think have 564 00:28:24,320 --> 00:28:26,760 Speaker 6: major issues with the portal moving forward because they're ad 565 00:28:26,760 --> 00:28:29,119 Speaker 6: mission standards. They're not just going to let anybody into 566 00:28:29,119 --> 00:28:32,280 Speaker 6: this program. But Clemson making that choice on their own 567 00:28:32,600 --> 00:28:35,440 Speaker 6: to go in that direction, I agree. I personally, I'm 568 00:28:35,680 --> 00:28:37,760 Speaker 6: going to make a prediction. I know that Brett wanted 569 00:28:37,800 --> 00:28:40,120 Speaker 6: to jump in early. I think Davos Swinny's going to 570 00:28:40,120 --> 00:28:42,320 Speaker 6: be out of college coaching within four years. I don't 571 00:28:42,320 --> 00:28:44,240 Speaker 6: think he wants to do this. I think he's going 572 00:28:44,320 --> 00:28:47,000 Speaker 6: to fall back a little bit and get more towards 573 00:28:47,080 --> 00:28:50,440 Speaker 6: that nine win window moving forward, because not only do 574 00:28:50,480 --> 00:28:53,720 Speaker 6: you have to dominate recruiting rankings at the high school level, 575 00:28:53,920 --> 00:28:56,880 Speaker 6: then you have to be able to utilize nil deals 576 00:28:56,880 --> 00:28:58,880 Speaker 6: to keep those kids on campus. And I can just 577 00:28:58,920 --> 00:29:02,040 Speaker 6: speak from the G five level. We saw this past offseason. 578 00:29:02,400 --> 00:29:05,240 Speaker 6: You know at UTSA, Frank Harris stays because he gets 579 00:29:05,280 --> 00:29:08,080 Speaker 6: three hundred and sixty K and an nil deal. Austin 580 00:29:08,160 --> 00:29:11,680 Speaker 6: Reid dips his toe into the transfer portal at Western 581 00:29:11,720 --> 00:29:15,640 Speaker 6: Kentucky has offers and apparently guarantees from power programs to 582 00:29:15,640 --> 00:29:17,720 Speaker 6: be a starter, but he gets a six figure deal 583 00:29:18,400 --> 00:29:21,320 Speaker 6: in at nil cash from Western Kentucky. So you can 584 00:29:21,480 --> 00:29:24,120 Speaker 6: do it if you're comfortable with that. But Dabo, to me, 585 00:29:24,280 --> 00:29:27,080 Speaker 6: is not comfortable with going out and bringing in talent. 586 00:29:26,880 --> 00:29:27,920 Speaker 1: Infusions through the portal. 587 00:29:28,080 --> 00:29:30,720 Speaker 6: Nor is he comfortable with this idea of kids getting 588 00:29:30,760 --> 00:29:33,200 Speaker 6: their fair market value and essentially coming to him, it's like, 589 00:29:33,360 --> 00:29:35,400 Speaker 6: I want to stay at the program, just match what 590 00:29:35,520 --> 00:29:38,920 Speaker 6: you know, Alabama or Georgia or USC is offering. Those 591 00:29:38,920 --> 00:29:40,720 Speaker 6: aren't conversations I think he wants to have and It's 592 00:29:40,720 --> 00:29:42,160 Speaker 6: why I do think he's going to be out of 593 00:29:42,160 --> 00:29:43,600 Speaker 6: the game in less than five years. 594 00:29:43,640 --> 00:29:45,280 Speaker 1: This is just not the college football that he grew 595 00:29:45,320 --> 00:29:48,680 Speaker 1: up on. That's that's certainly hot take now f whears, 596 00:29:48,680 --> 00:29:50,680 Speaker 1: although that would be but six or seven years longer 597 00:29:50,720 --> 00:29:52,680 Speaker 1: than he said he would be if the players ever 598 00:29:52,720 --> 00:29:55,120 Speaker 1: got paid. My Clemson fans love whenever I bring that 599 00:29:55,240 --> 00:29:58,400 Speaker 1: up out of context, they'll be tweeting at me. Brat 600 00:29:58,400 --> 00:30:00,560 Speaker 1: any thoughts there on the portal, an eye out if 601 00:30:00,600 --> 00:30:02,960 Speaker 1: anything we said, Yeah. 602 00:30:02,880 --> 00:30:05,000 Speaker 5: No, I mean, everybody, every coach knows they've got to 603 00:30:05,000 --> 00:30:07,040 Speaker 5: get in the portal. If you don't, you're not going 604 00:30:07,080 --> 00:30:09,239 Speaker 5: to survive. You just you know, there's a number of 605 00:30:09,880 --> 00:30:14,880 Speaker 5: obviously impact transfers at the quarterback position. Sam Hartman and 606 00:30:14,960 --> 00:30:19,920 Speaker 5: ore Dame, Devin Larry had some cards, Keeton Slavis. I mean, 607 00:30:19,920 --> 00:30:22,760 Speaker 5: you'd be quicker to name the quarterbacks that didn't transfer, 608 00:30:23,960 --> 00:30:26,280 Speaker 5: But it's just that's the way it is now, and 609 00:30:26,400 --> 00:30:29,560 Speaker 5: the coaches know that. You know, it's you know, the 610 00:30:29,680 --> 00:30:32,880 Speaker 5: late great Mike Leach's you know, said it best before 611 00:30:32,920 --> 00:30:36,760 Speaker 5: he passed away. He's like this, this era of college 612 00:30:36,840 --> 00:30:41,040 Speaker 5: athletes have it better than any athletes in any profession 613 00:30:41,120 --> 00:30:44,440 Speaker 5: in the history of mankind. And that's because they can 614 00:30:44,640 --> 00:30:47,960 Speaker 5: get paid. There's no rules on that. They can leave 615 00:30:48,000 --> 00:30:50,400 Speaker 5: whenever they want. There's no rules on that. And the 616 00:30:50,480 --> 00:30:53,760 Speaker 5: coaches are going to have to adapt. H and speak 617 00:30:53,920 --> 00:30:57,480 Speaker 5: speaking of adapting, that's a good segue for you youngsters 618 00:30:57,520 --> 00:30:59,800 Speaker 5: out there, stuck. I only have one question for you. 619 00:31:00,720 --> 00:31:06,200 Speaker 5: Army is going getching the option. Does that mean you're 620 00:31:06,320 --> 00:31:09,160 Speaker 5: no longer an automatic under on Army Navy? 621 00:31:10,080 --> 00:31:13,440 Speaker 1: I did have to ruin my dad. We're losing a 622 00:31:13,520 --> 00:31:15,840 Speaker 1: service academy. We still have a good old maybe in 623 00:31:15,840 --> 00:31:17,680 Speaker 1: the first game of the year. I'm so mad at 624 00:31:17,680 --> 00:31:19,600 Speaker 1: that line. It was twenty one and I missed it 625 00:31:20,040 --> 00:31:27,200 Speaker 1: on vacation keeps coming down. Yes, we will be on Navy. Yeah, well, yes, 626 00:31:27,880 --> 00:31:29,840 Speaker 1: right that. The whole premise of why I always bet 627 00:31:29,880 --> 00:31:32,600 Speaker 1: that under is because it's two triple option teams. The familiarity, 628 00:31:32,960 --> 00:31:36,400 Speaker 1: the way that they play basically would just like step 629 00:31:36,440 --> 00:31:39,720 Speaker 1: the total at thirty three every year for years. So yes, 630 00:31:39,880 --> 00:31:43,320 Speaker 1: but I'm not fully convinced. We'll see I mean, Army 631 00:31:43,360 --> 00:31:45,160 Speaker 1: had we'll get into Army when we preview independence. But 632 00:31:45,320 --> 00:31:48,600 Speaker 1: Army has a you know, there's a couple of different 633 00:31:48,640 --> 00:31:51,320 Speaker 1: options they can go with with options and how they 634 00:31:51,320 --> 00:31:53,960 Speaker 1: can what quarterback will go with and how that will 635 00:31:54,000 --> 00:31:56,600 Speaker 1: determine how past have I think they'll be. But if 636 00:31:56,640 --> 00:32:01,240 Speaker 1: it goes poorly, right, you got to remember, like Georgia 637 00:32:01,320 --> 00:32:04,120 Speaker 1: Tech when they tried the transition and didn't go great 638 00:32:04,120 --> 00:32:07,360 Speaker 1: at all, the similar transition triple options spread. Like you 639 00:32:07,480 --> 00:32:10,280 Speaker 1: saw in that first year, they reverted back a lot 640 00:32:10,400 --> 00:32:12,840 Speaker 1: to a lot of the you know, the option that 641 00:32:12,880 --> 00:32:15,200 Speaker 1: they were running. Because you also have like offensive linemen. 642 00:32:15,240 --> 00:32:17,360 Speaker 1: They know all all your splits are different, like everything. 643 00:32:17,480 --> 00:32:19,520 Speaker 1: You have a you have a people, do you have 644 00:32:19,800 --> 00:32:22,400 Speaker 1: your players and your roster also, it wouldn't shock me 645 00:32:22,480 --> 00:32:26,760 Speaker 1: if this is like slow they end up having to 646 00:32:26,800 --> 00:32:28,200 Speaker 1: go back to a lot of triple options. It's gonna 647 00:32:28,200 --> 00:32:32,880 Speaker 1: depend on how much non option stuff that they're actually utilizing. 648 00:32:32,960 --> 00:32:35,600 Speaker 1: But yeah, if they're not a triple option team, the 649 00:32:35,640 --> 00:32:39,240 Speaker 1: whole premise of the option versus option under it's out 650 00:32:39,280 --> 00:32:41,280 Speaker 1: the window. And it's sad. I love. It's one of 651 00:32:41,360 --> 00:32:44,040 Speaker 1: my favorite parts of college football is having those service 652 00:32:44,080 --> 00:32:48,520 Speaker 1: academy teams. You have different styles and schemes and you know, 653 00:32:48,760 --> 00:32:50,200 Speaker 1: sort of the same way in college basketball. You have 654 00:32:50,280 --> 00:32:51,840 Speaker 1: some teams that run. You know, a couple of teams 655 00:32:51,840 --> 00:32:54,600 Speaker 1: that run these like crazy zones, and that's that's the 656 00:32:54,600 --> 00:32:56,640 Speaker 1: beauty of college sports my opinion. So yes, they would 657 00:32:56,640 --> 00:32:59,960 Speaker 1: go out the window. But TVD on how much triple 658 00:33:00,080 --> 00:33:04,000 Speaker 1: option we're actually gonna see. I'll posit there for week 659 00:33:04,360 --> 00:33:07,640 Speaker 1: for part one of our welcome back episode, we'll dive 660 00:33:07,760 --> 00:33:10,320 Speaker 1: right back in to part two. After this, we'll talk 661 00:33:10,360 --> 00:33:13,000 Speaker 1: a little bit more Specific's biggest betting storylines, maybe an 662 00:33:13,080 --> 00:33:16,440 Speaker 1: overvalued undervalue team trans per portal edition that you thinks 663 00:33:16,480 --> 00:33:18,040 Speaker 1: gonna have the biggest impacts. We'll talk a little bit 664 00:33:18,040 --> 00:33:20,800 Speaker 1: more specific and just a minute, I do want to 665 00:33:20,800 --> 00:33:25,120 Speaker 1: give one final reminder. We'll have twelve more pre season 666 00:33:25,400 --> 00:33:31,320 Speaker 1: episodes heading in two week zero, including our famously robust 667 00:33:31,480 --> 00:33:35,040 Speaker 1: conference preview episodes, with ten full episodes covering every conference 668 00:33:35,080 --> 00:33:37,640 Speaker 1: across the nation. I always hear for my note at 669 00:33:37,640 --> 00:33:42,760 Speaker 1: AM fans, we'll throw in the Independence with conference to 670 00:33:42,800 --> 00:33:47,360 Speaker 1: USA since they're down a few teams, and Independence also 671 00:33:47,640 --> 00:33:49,719 Speaker 1: down a few teams, so we'll make sure that we cover. 672 00:33:49,960 --> 00:33:52,600 Speaker 1: And of course, I mean, let's see what are conference 673 00:33:52,640 --> 00:33:56,800 Speaker 1: previous spell talking about UMass football. So let's cut it 674 00:33:56,880 --> 00:33:59,760 Speaker 1: short there appreciate all you tuning in. Do you have 675 00:33:59,840 --> 00:34:02,560 Speaker 1: an a while or you never have? Leave a review, 676 00:34:02,760 --> 00:34:05,880 Speaker 1: subscribe on Subscribe, subscribe to a friend, ton enemy. It's 677 00:34:05,920 --> 00:34:07,920 Speaker 1: great to be back. Can't wait to sweat with all 678 00:34:08,000 --> 00:34:11,919 Speaker 1: of you throughout the season. We'll be back with part 679 00:34:12,040 --> 00:34:14,759 Speaker 1: two and right after this, so this should be out 680 00:34:14,760 --> 00:34:16,919 Speaker 1: at the same time. But thanks for tuning. It's great 681 00:34:16,920 --> 00:34:19,640 Speaker 1: to be back. Catch you on a bit cheers, he's out. 682 00:34:29,880 --> 00:34:34,360 Speaker 6: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or 683 00:34:34,440 --> 00:34:37,200 Speaker 6: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is 684 00:34:37,200 --> 00:34:40,320 Speaker 6: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler