1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:07,000 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:07,800 --> 00:00:12,000 Speaker 2: Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnik, Mister secretary, we appreciate your time 3 00:00:12,039 --> 00:00:14,080 Speaker 2: as we consider the deals that have yet to be 4 00:00:14,160 --> 00:00:16,919 Speaker 2: made with other trading partners. Is the message this one 5 00:00:17,040 --> 00:00:20,640 Speaker 2: sends to them that sectoral tariffs are up for negotiation, 6 00:00:20,800 --> 00:00:24,439 Speaker 2: but that ten percent base rate is not right. 7 00:00:24,480 --> 00:00:27,400 Speaker 1: So reciprocal tariffs, if you think about it, is how 8 00:00:27,400 --> 00:00:32,159 Speaker 1: open is your economy to our exports, how fair is 9 00:00:32,200 --> 00:00:35,040 Speaker 1: it to our exports? What kind of trade deficit you do? 10 00:00:35,479 --> 00:00:38,640 Speaker 1: And that sets that line. So ten percent is the 11 00:00:38,680 --> 00:00:41,800 Speaker 1: bottom line for that. But as the President said, many 12 00:00:41,880 --> 00:00:44,040 Speaker 1: of those will be higher. Of course, you can bring 13 00:00:44,080 --> 00:00:47,879 Speaker 1: them down by opening your government, opening your economy to 14 00:00:48,120 --> 00:00:52,519 Speaker 1: US exports, and then the sectoral tariffs. That's where you 15 00:00:52,560 --> 00:00:56,240 Speaker 1: can be super smart if you're opening your market to us, 16 00:00:56,560 --> 00:00:57,720 Speaker 1: and that's what the UK did. 17 00:00:57,760 --> 00:00:59,680 Speaker 3: The UK said I'm going. 18 00:00:59,480 --> 00:01:03,440 Speaker 1: To let you export into the UK five billion dollars 19 00:01:03,520 --> 00:01:07,360 Speaker 1: more of services. That's great for American exports. We'll pay 20 00:01:07,360 --> 00:01:09,759 Speaker 1: you six billion dollars in tariffs, but help us out 21 00:01:09,800 --> 00:01:12,200 Speaker 1: on cars and steal in aluminum. 22 00:01:12,240 --> 00:01:13,600 Speaker 4: They were never our problem. 23 00:01:13,720 --> 00:01:16,720 Speaker 1: They nationalized their steel industry. They don't really have much 24 00:01:16,720 --> 00:01:19,920 Speaker 1: of a steel industry. They agreed to come on and 25 00:01:19,959 --> 00:01:21,679 Speaker 1: do it with us. So they're going to put the 26 00:01:21,720 --> 00:01:24,440 Speaker 1: same kind of tariffs, the same kind of quotas, keep 27 00:01:24,440 --> 00:01:27,680 Speaker 1: out the bad guys, and let's build our steel and 28 00:01:27,760 --> 00:01:33,560 Speaker 1: aluminum industries inside our walled countries together. And that was 29 00:01:33,720 --> 00:01:36,360 Speaker 1: These are sort of the key parts of being super smart, 30 00:01:36,680 --> 00:01:39,600 Speaker 1: being super rigorous, and trying to figure out the right 31 00:01:39,680 --> 00:01:42,039 Speaker 1: answer how to do trade deals that no one's ever 32 00:01:42,080 --> 00:01:42,640 Speaker 1: done before. 33 00:01:44,000 --> 00:01:46,480 Speaker 5: We're talking about the rigor here, But Secretary Lutnik tell 34 00:01:46,560 --> 00:01:48,720 Speaker 5: us a little bit about what the China angle is 35 00:01:48,760 --> 00:01:52,080 Speaker 5: with the US UK agreement. We've heard that China should 36 00:01:52,080 --> 00:01:54,440 Speaker 5: be pressured by some of these countries that the US 37 00:01:54,800 --> 00:01:55,880 Speaker 5: strikes up agreements with. 38 00:01:56,960 --> 00:01:59,360 Speaker 1: Yeah, that's not our strategy at all. I want to 39 00:01:59,360 --> 00:02:02,320 Speaker 1: be clear, that is not our strategy. Our strategy is 40 00:02:02,600 --> 00:02:06,600 Speaker 1: to do fair and reciprocal trade, to open these markets 41 00:02:06,640 --> 00:02:08,840 Speaker 1: to trade, and that's what we're going to do now. 42 00:02:08,840 --> 00:02:13,120 Speaker 1: There are some countries that have huge trade deficits with 43 00:02:13,600 --> 00:02:18,560 Speaker 1: China and huge trade surpluses with US, like take Vietnam, right, 44 00:02:18,600 --> 00:02:22,080 Speaker 1: they buy eighty five billion dollars worth of goods on 45 00:02:22,160 --> 00:02:24,880 Speaker 1: a trade deficit with China, and then they run one 46 00:02:24,960 --> 00:02:27,040 Speaker 1: hundred and ten or one hundred and five one hundred 47 00:02:27,080 --> 00:02:29,680 Speaker 1: and ten billion dollar trade surplus with US as they 48 00:02:29,720 --> 00:02:33,760 Speaker 1: assemble those things and ship it to US. So Vietnam's 49 00:02:33,760 --> 00:02:36,720 Speaker 1: got issues, to Thailand's got issues. All those countries that 50 00:02:36,800 --> 00:02:40,320 Speaker 1: are really China's proxies to US are going to have 51 00:02:40,400 --> 00:02:43,200 Speaker 1: issues because our view is going to be whatever the 52 00:02:43,240 --> 00:02:46,680 Speaker 1: tariff results on China should be their tariff on their 53 00:02:46,720 --> 00:02:50,440 Speaker 1: business with them. Now, probably the most interesting country I 54 00:02:50,480 --> 00:02:54,480 Speaker 1: can tell you that has a huge trade deficit with 55 00:02:54,560 --> 00:02:57,560 Speaker 1: China and a huge trade surplus with US is the 56 00:02:57,639 --> 00:02:58,720 Speaker 1: European Union. 57 00:02:59,080 --> 00:03:00,639 Speaker 3: And no one thinks. 58 00:03:00,240 --> 00:03:03,200 Speaker 1: About that, but a huge amount of the European Union 59 00:03:03,760 --> 00:03:08,520 Speaker 1: is really a tariff arbitrage from China through the European 60 00:03:08,639 --> 00:03:12,480 Speaker 1: Union into the American economy. And that is one of 61 00:03:12,560 --> 00:03:16,160 Speaker 1: those sort of really really interesting sticking points when we 62 00:03:16,240 --> 00:03:18,720 Speaker 1: sit down and we talk to the European Union. 63 00:03:20,200 --> 00:03:22,200 Speaker 5: And what's the goal with the UK when it comes 64 00:03:22,240 --> 00:03:24,600 Speaker 5: to China. Is there an expectation that then the UK 65 00:03:24,639 --> 00:03:26,520 Speaker 5: should actually also be pressing China. 66 00:03:28,040 --> 00:03:28,839 Speaker 3: No, not so much. 67 00:03:28,840 --> 00:03:31,120 Speaker 4: We're not with the UK again. We had a balanced 68 00:03:31,120 --> 00:03:33,120 Speaker 4: budget was really about our exports. 69 00:03:33,360 --> 00:03:37,000 Speaker 1: We are not focused in sort of this, you know, 70 00:03:37,240 --> 00:03:40,200 Speaker 1: singling out China, you know, any of that stuff. 71 00:03:40,360 --> 00:03:42,320 Speaker 3: That's just not the president's goal. 72 00:03:42,360 --> 00:03:46,720 Speaker 1: The president's goal is to drive the American economy. Hopefully 73 00:03:47,320 --> 00:03:50,720 Speaker 1: the meetings this weekend will de escalate things and put 74 00:03:50,760 --> 00:03:53,400 Speaker 1: things back on the right track with China and the 75 00:03:53,520 --> 00:03:56,160 Speaker 1: US on trade. But our objective with all these countries 76 00:03:56,280 --> 00:03:59,800 Speaker 1: is whatever rate we set for China should be for 77 00:03:59,840 --> 00:04:03,480 Speaker 1: the countries that trade with China and send it into US, that. 78 00:04:03,480 --> 00:04:05,720 Speaker 4: Should be about the same for those two. That makes 79 00:04:05,760 --> 00:04:06,320 Speaker 4: some sense. 80 00:04:06,680 --> 00:04:10,240 Speaker 1: And otherwise, let's grow our exports, and let's grow our 81 00:04:10,280 --> 00:04:13,080 Speaker 1: tariff revenues. Let's grow our exports, and let's take this 82 00:04:13,200 --> 00:04:16,160 Speaker 1: trade deficit down. Remember, if you have a one point 83 00:04:16,200 --> 00:04:18,680 Speaker 1: two trillion dollar trade deficit and you cut it to 84 00:04:18,800 --> 00:04:21,600 Speaker 1: nine hundred billion, you only cut of twenty five percent. 85 00:04:21,960 --> 00:04:24,320 Speaker 4: You grow our GDP one percent. 86 00:04:24,640 --> 00:04:27,960 Speaker 1: Imagine the guy sitting in the building behind me grows 87 00:04:28,040 --> 00:04:30,400 Speaker 1: our economy one percent. And then you bring in all 88 00:04:30,400 --> 00:04:34,080 Speaker 1: these building, right, the trillions and trillions of investment, that's 89 00:04:34,080 --> 00:04:35,000 Speaker 1: probably gonna bring. 90 00:04:34,880 --> 00:04:35,960 Speaker 4: Two points of GDP. 91 00:04:36,880 --> 00:04:40,839 Speaker 1: No one ever thinks about the fact that the US doesn't. 92 00:04:40,880 --> 00:04:44,480 Speaker 1: Our economy grows similar to everybody else. And you know why, 93 00:04:44,760 --> 00:04:49,480 Speaker 1: because we export four points a year of GDP growth 94 00:04:49,680 --> 00:04:52,200 Speaker 1: to the rest of the world. When Donald Trump brings 95 00:04:52,240 --> 00:04:55,360 Speaker 1: that home, you're going to see our economy grow like fire. 96 00:04:55,720 --> 00:04:57,440 Speaker 1: And that's what he's talking about, and that's what he 97 00:04:57,480 --> 00:05:00,680 Speaker 1: talked about today, Secretary. 98 00:05:00,720 --> 00:05:02,719 Speaker 2: And your last answer, you referred to a few other 99 00:05:02,800 --> 00:05:06,160 Speaker 2: trading partners, the European Union, Vietnam you also called out. 100 00:05:06,200 --> 00:05:08,000 Speaker 2: Is that where we should look to see the next 101 00:05:08,040 --> 00:05:10,760 Speaker 2: deal a merger We likely to see other partners like 102 00:05:10,839 --> 00:05:11,880 Speaker 2: Japan and India. 103 00:05:11,920 --> 00:05:16,359 Speaker 1: First, Well, I think we would like to do one 104 00:05:16,600 --> 00:05:19,919 Speaker 1: in Asia so we can show that kind of arrangement. 105 00:05:20,000 --> 00:05:22,200 Speaker 1: We want to do one in Latin America. We're trying 106 00:05:22,240 --> 00:05:24,960 Speaker 1: to show people a framework of how to do business 107 00:05:24,960 --> 00:05:27,599 Speaker 1: so that we can roll much more quickly. Right, So, 108 00:05:27,640 --> 00:05:29,599 Speaker 1: once you do one trade in Latin America, you do 109 00:05:29,680 --> 00:05:32,000 Speaker 1: one in the Caribbean, you can then say, look, here's 110 00:05:32,000 --> 00:05:34,080 Speaker 1: a template. Why don't you all think about it and 111 00:05:34,160 --> 00:05:35,720 Speaker 1: see does that work for you? And if you want 112 00:05:35,720 --> 00:05:38,000 Speaker 1: to modify and modify it. But then what will happen 113 00:05:38,040 --> 00:05:39,440 Speaker 1: is we'll do one, and then we'll do ten, and 114 00:05:39,480 --> 00:05:41,880 Speaker 1: then we'll do one and then we'll do fifteen, right, 115 00:05:41,920 --> 00:05:43,960 Speaker 1: and we want to do big But obviously, when you 116 00:05:44,000 --> 00:05:45,960 Speaker 1: talk about Japan, I mean, come on, you've got to 117 00:05:46,000 --> 00:05:48,640 Speaker 1: spend an enormous amount of time with Japan Korea. 118 00:05:48,800 --> 00:05:50,840 Speaker 3: These are not going to be fast deals. Now. 119 00:05:50,880 --> 00:05:54,080 Speaker 1: India has been leaning in really hard, right, you know, 120 00:05:54,200 --> 00:05:55,599 Speaker 1: I love doing a deal with India. 121 00:05:55,640 --> 00:05:58,680 Speaker 4: That's certainly a possibility. But this is a lot of work. 122 00:05:58,839 --> 00:06:01,120 Speaker 1: These are a lot of lines where remember this was 123 00:06:01,240 --> 00:06:04,720 Speaker 1: not sort of a just a gloss over handshake trade deal. 124 00:06:04,800 --> 00:06:09,440 Speaker 1: This was two thousand, six hundred lines of tariffs changing, 125 00:06:09,520 --> 00:06:10,960 Speaker 1: modifying and coming down. 126 00:06:11,360 --> 00:06:13,160 Speaker 4: And you know when you talk about India, it's probably 127 00:06:13,200 --> 00:06:16,560 Speaker 4: seven thousand lines. It just takes time and it just 128 00:06:16,600 --> 00:06:17,280 Speaker 4: takes work. 129 00:06:17,480 --> 00:06:18,680 Speaker 3: So give us a chance. 130 00:06:18,760 --> 00:06:21,440 Speaker 1: Don't be pushing rushing, But let me tell you, each 131 00:06:21,520 --> 00:06:23,720 Speaker 1: one of these trade deals is going to feel the same. 132 00:06:23,960 --> 00:06:25,839 Speaker 3: You're going to feel huge. 133 00:06:25,680 --> 00:06:30,919 Speaker 1: Export opportunity coming from America, huge tariff revenue coming in right, 134 00:06:30,960 --> 00:06:34,600 Speaker 1: and a dramatic improvement of the United States economy as 135 00:06:34,680 --> 00:06:38,640 Speaker 1: we reshore the industrial base of America. 136 00:06:38,800 --> 00:06:41,200 Speaker 5: Mister Secretary, should we see the deal between the US 137 00:06:41,200 --> 00:06:44,080 Speaker 5: and UK as basically a roadmap or a blueprint of 138 00:06:44,120 --> 00:06:46,279 Speaker 5: how future trade deals in the next two months will 139 00:06:46,279 --> 00:06:48,360 Speaker 5: look exactly right. 140 00:06:48,440 --> 00:06:51,360 Speaker 1: So people understand, Okay, there's the baseline. 141 00:06:51,520 --> 00:06:53,000 Speaker 3: If you want your tarer or your. 142 00:06:52,880 --> 00:06:55,920 Speaker 4: Reciprocal tariff rate low, you've got to attack. 143 00:06:55,600 --> 00:06:56,440 Speaker 3: The trade deficit. 144 00:06:56,480 --> 00:06:58,520 Speaker 1: You've got to open your market, you've got to let 145 00:06:58,560 --> 00:07:02,200 Speaker 1: us export, you gotta have those things be together. And 146 00:07:02,240 --> 00:07:05,000 Speaker 1: then if you want to talk and really be smart 147 00:07:05,080 --> 00:07:08,800 Speaker 1: and really be thoughtful, then let's talk sectoral tariff. So 148 00:07:09,279 --> 00:07:11,720 Speaker 1: open your market big, and then if you want to 149 00:07:11,760 --> 00:07:13,320 Speaker 1: talk to us, we'll try to come up with the 150 00:07:13,440 --> 00:07:17,200 Speaker 1: smartest answer like we did with the UK. Right, they 151 00:07:17,240 --> 00:07:20,600 Speaker 1: want to sell Rolls Royce engines to Boeing. Right, so 152 00:07:20,640 --> 00:07:21,960 Speaker 1: we made a deal and said, you know what, you 153 00:07:21,960 --> 00:07:26,120 Speaker 1: can sell your parts to Boeing. Tarafree Airbus makes planes 154 00:07:26,120 --> 00:07:29,000 Speaker 1: in America. Can sell those parts to Tarafree. And then 155 00:07:29,000 --> 00:07:32,120 Speaker 1: what happens with it. They buy ten billion dollars with 156 00:07:32,200 --> 00:07:35,160 Speaker 1: the Boeing planes today as part of the deal. So 157 00:07:35,240 --> 00:07:37,600 Speaker 1: this is the kind when you have the right partner, 158 00:07:37,840 --> 00:07:40,800 Speaker 1: you can come up with really really smart, thoughtful and 159 00:07:40,960 --> 00:07:42,560 Speaker 1: rigorous trade deal like we've. 160 00:07:42,360 --> 00:07:43,119 Speaker 3: Done with the UK. 161 00:07:44,360 --> 00:07:47,440 Speaker 2: Well, and as you've alluded to, mister Secretary, you believe 162 00:07:47,440 --> 00:07:50,119 Speaker 2: this will result in higher revenue for the United States. 163 00:07:50,120 --> 00:07:52,760 Speaker 2: If we're going to get all this revenue from tariffs, 164 00:07:52,800 --> 00:07:56,080 Speaker 2: why would the president be pushing for higher taxes on anybody? 165 00:07:56,120 --> 00:07:58,720 Speaker 2: Because our understanding is for the wealthy. He's looking at 166 00:07:58,760 --> 00:08:00,880 Speaker 2: a new rate of thirty nine six percent, and I 167 00:08:00,920 --> 00:08:03,640 Speaker 2: thought the Republican Party didn't stand for that kind of thing. 168 00:08:04,840 --> 00:08:09,720 Speaker 1: Well, you realize that the tariff revenues doesn't count toward 169 00:08:09,880 --> 00:08:11,600 Speaker 1: the reconciliation numbers. 170 00:08:11,840 --> 00:08:12,640 Speaker 3: Don't ask why. 171 00:08:13,040 --> 00:08:15,880 Speaker 1: I can't understand why we're running it like twenty twenty 172 00:08:15,880 --> 00:08:18,880 Speaker 1: five billion a month and they're not counting it. But 173 00:08:19,160 --> 00:08:21,600 Speaker 1: we'll leave that aside for another day. This is this 174 00:08:21,680 --> 00:08:24,760 Speaker 1: is Washington. They have their own accounting practices. So the 175 00:08:24,800 --> 00:08:27,480 Speaker 1: president's trying to make sure he gets no tax on tips, 176 00:08:27,720 --> 00:08:31,000 Speaker 1: no tax on overtime overtime, and no tax on Social Security. 177 00:08:31,240 --> 00:08:34,040 Speaker 1: And if he says, look the richest Americans, remember he 178 00:08:34,120 --> 00:08:36,720 Speaker 1: cut it from thirty nine point six to thirty seven. 179 00:08:37,000 --> 00:08:38,680 Speaker 1: So if he just goes back to what he did 180 00:08:38,760 --> 00:08:41,320 Speaker 1: last time, you know, I'm in favor of that. I 181 00:08:41,360 --> 00:08:44,880 Speaker 1: think it's smart as long as it's a redistribution to 182 00:08:45,720 --> 00:08:48,160 Speaker 1: his priorities of no tax on tips, no tax on 183 00:08:48,200 --> 00:08:49,800 Speaker 1: overtime and no tax on Social Security. 184 00:08:50,000 --> 00:08:50,760 Speaker 3: I think it's smart. 185 00:08:50,760 --> 00:08:53,600 Speaker 1: But what you'll see next year is you'll see the 186 00:08:53,640 --> 00:08:57,640 Speaker 1: revenues from tariffs are so great and our deficit is lower. 187 00:08:57,880 --> 00:08:59,280 Speaker 3: Then you've got the gold you know. 188 00:08:59,240 --> 00:09:01,800 Speaker 1: The Trump Card coming out, and that's going to raise 189 00:09:01,880 --> 00:09:04,240 Speaker 1: you know, raise revenues and drive that lower, and you're 190 00:09:04,240 --> 00:09:06,079 Speaker 1: going to see interest rates lower. You're going to see 191 00:09:06,120 --> 00:09:09,080 Speaker 1: the deficit lower, and next year is going to be 192 00:09:09,200 --> 00:09:10,120 Speaker 1: one happy year. 193 00:09:11,440 --> 00:09:13,800 Speaker 5: Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, thank you so much for joining