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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast pot all.

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Speaker 2: Right, here we go fifteen funny, twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty,

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Speaker 2: forty five, fifty.

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Speaker 3: And the kick Ass Block.

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Speaker 4: Look all its football Laura stunder good bye, Oh my goodness,

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Speaker 4: he stumbled, and football the lateral turn a counter of.

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Speaker 3: The job, don't you The lad came up the field

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Speaker 3: to night.

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Speaker 5: It's not the sage on the dog in the fight,

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Speaker 5: it's the sage.

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Speaker 2: Of the fight in the.

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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast. This is

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Speaker 1: our sun Belt preview and as a reminder to our audience,

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Speaker 1: we're hitting every single FBS conference. That means all ten

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Speaker 1: of them, and the last of which is the see

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Speaker 1: bringing in the two separate episodes in the East versus

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Speaker 1: the West. So much to get into. Colin and Stuck

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Speaker 1: will handle that for you. Joined here Mike Ianello, my

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Speaker 1: partner in crime for the G five Deep Dive, and

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Speaker 1: the aforementioned Stucky to handle the sun Belts. As Pootie

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Speaker 1: Tang's father, Daddy Tang like to say, never let the

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Speaker 1: ladies get between you and the belts.

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Speaker 3: Don't let the latest come between you and the Belt.

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Speaker 1: So let's get into it. Strap on those fun belts.

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Speaker 1: We're going to get into this conference that still is

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Speaker 1: going east and west. So they'll be a champion of

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Speaker 1: each division and they will meet a champion unfortunately will

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Speaker 1: not be James Madison because they are forbidden for one

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Speaker 1: more year from playing in the conference championship game, which

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Speaker 1: is absolutely ridiculous. They want eight and three last year.

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Speaker 1: The Duke's are already a major threat in this conference.

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Speaker 1: During the regular season. He still can play their win total.

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Speaker 1: So don't fret. But before I get into the odds

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Speaker 1: to win this conference, I'm gonna stuck. You know, start

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Speaker 1: with you stuck. What's your temperature on this conference? How

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Speaker 1: do you feel about the Sun Belt.

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Speaker 2: I don't mind the divisions. The usually hate divisions. That

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Speaker 2: don't mind the divisions for this I think that there's

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Speaker 2: some good teams in each So if you have all

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Speaker 2: the good teams in one division, it is so dumb

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Speaker 2: that JMU cannot make the conference championship for a second

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Speaker 2: straight year. Keep in mind now that JMU last year

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Speaker 2: this was a bet that went well for me. I

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Speaker 2: had them against Coastal Carolina in the finale and they

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Speaker 2: won by I think forty In the game that was

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Speaker 2: a laugher. Well, James Madison can't go to the conference

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Speaker 2: championship again, but their last two games at app State

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Speaker 2: excuse me home against app State at Coastal Carolina, those

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Speaker 2: are basically their conference championships. That's how James Madison is

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Speaker 2: going to treat those games, specifically at Coastal and if

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Speaker 2: you know, they can knock one of those teams down,

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Speaker 2: and those are two teams that are gonna be vying

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Speaker 2: for a conference set. So just because James Madison can't

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Speaker 2: get there doesn't mean that they won't have a say,

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Speaker 2: and I feel like they will when it's all said

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Speaker 2: and done in those two final games.

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Speaker 1: Quick shout out to the Transfer Portal Digital magazine for

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Speaker 1: this little nugget. If there are not enough six win

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Speaker 1: teams to fill out all the bowl spots, a second

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Speaker 1: year FCS transition team, which counts for James Madison, with

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Speaker 1: six or more wins, would receive presidents over a five

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Speaker 1: win team if their APR score was good enough. Hopefully

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Speaker 1: you all got that. But basically, if they play like

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Speaker 1: they did last year and there's not enough teams and

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Speaker 1: you know their team doesn't flunk out, they're going to

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Speaker 1: go to a bowl game this year, so they can

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Speaker 1: kind of backdoor their way in.

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Speaker 2: I know, what are your thoughts on bait calbarys not

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Speaker 2: only plugging another magazine but also showing that he didn't

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Speaker 2: listen to all of our offseason podcast where Brett Colin

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Speaker 2: and I talked about that on one. So but I'm

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Speaker 2: sure the Transfer magazine will appreciate your plug.

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Speaker 3: Gad, I know, love that, love the dunk on there. Yeah.

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Speaker 3: By the way, I think it's even dumber in the

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Speaker 3: fact that James mass and can't play in the ballgame

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Speaker 3: is the fact that their stats from last year don't count.

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Speaker 3: They're not like recognized by the endstable a like if

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Speaker 3: you're looking at you know, rankings of like, oh where

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Speaker 3: their defense ranked, it says not available. Why would their

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Speaker 3: stats not count like that? It's so stupid. Yeah, this

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Speaker 3: is interesting.

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Speaker 2: I mean, I get a refund on my season win

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Speaker 2: total under on the Dukes or no.

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Speaker 3: You probably you should if they're not officially it's like

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Speaker 3: it's like wins.

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Speaker 1: Let's hop into the odds to win. The Sun Belt

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Speaker 1: got a pair of teams co favorites to the top

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Speaker 1: Troy three to one, South Alabama three to one, Coastal

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Speaker 1: eleven to two, Marshall plus seven, fifty, app State plus

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Speaker 1: eight fifty, Louisiana ten to one, Georgia Southern twenty to one,

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Speaker 1: and then the numbers starts shooting up. Georgia State thirty

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Speaker 1: five to one, Southern miss forty to one, Arkansas State

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Speaker 1: sixty to one, Texas State seventy to one, Old Dominion

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Speaker 1: eighty to one, and ul Monroe two hundred to one.

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Speaker 1: So why don't we get started with the beast of

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Speaker 1: the East st Orre at least in terms of their

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Speaker 1: win total. Coastal Carolina coming off a nine and four season,

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Speaker 1: the last of Jamie Chadwell, they went six and two

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Speaker 1: in conference play. Their win to will sit in at eight.

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Speaker 1: Three fifths of their offensive line starts are back plus

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Speaker 1: one point five in the net tarp. Here's a plug

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Speaker 1: for the Action Network. That's Colin Wilson's transfer and returning

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Speaker 1: production metrics plus four point five on offense minus three

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Speaker 1: and d eleven returning starters in total, both specialists. Really,

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Speaker 1: this comes down to the victory lap for Graces McCall.

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Speaker 1: He's already one of the greatest G five quarterbacks, a

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Speaker 1: generational quarterback by G five standards, incredibly accurate. Now he

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Speaker 1: welcomes to the new coach, Tim Beck, who did a

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Speaker 1: very nice job with Devin Leary a NC State, but

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Speaker 1: this is his first head coaching job at the college level.

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Speaker 1: He was a successful high school coach in Texas. He's

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Speaker 1: got a lot of toys to play with offensively, Beyond McCall,

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Speaker 1: he's got Rhys White and CJ. Beasley at running back.

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Speaker 1: Receiving corps is now loaded now that Jerry Brown really

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Speaker 1: flash big playability over sixteen yards per reception seven total

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Speaker 1: tds last year. But my concern is pretty simple. The

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Speaker 1: defense lost a lot, particularly on the edge Desiah Smith

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Speaker 1: or Stewart I should say often mission. So the question

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Speaker 1: is where are they going to get pressure to help

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Speaker 1: a secondary that gave up a lot of chunk plays,

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Speaker 1: was pretty spotty against the past last year. Does that

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Speaker 1: mean there's going to be more shootouts, an opportunity for

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Speaker 1: them to lose more games potentially? But then you look

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Speaker 1: at who are the best quarterbacks they're facing this year.

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Speaker 1: Granger from Georgia State, I mean UCLA. If you're going

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Speaker 1: to catch him, you want to catch him early. It

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Speaker 1: could be you know Dante the freshman's first start as

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Speaker 1: a collegiate passer, So I don't know. I think some

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Speaker 1: of the issues here with Marshall or excuse me, with

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Speaker 1: Coastal Carolina are pretty easy to siphon through when you

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Speaker 1: look at their stats. But who's going to take advantage

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Speaker 1: of it? The schedule I think is pretty favorable in

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Speaker 1: the way that it shakes out for them. It's a

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Speaker 1: pass for me. It's also a pass in terms of

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Speaker 1: the value on them at three to one to win

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Speaker 1: the Sun Belt. I have some my eyes on other

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Speaker 1: teams here, so I'll kick it to you first. I

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Speaker 1: and L what are your thoughts on the shots and

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Speaker 1: do you think they're a little bit overvalued now that

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Speaker 1: Jamie Chadwell is at Liberty. No.

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Speaker 3: In fact, I love this over seven and a half.

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Speaker 3: I think it's disrespectful to Racey McCall, who, as you

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Speaker 3: mentioned it is one of the greatest Chief five quarterbacks

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Speaker 3: you know, we've seen in a long time. You know

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Speaker 3: he Isn't he like the most efficient quarterback in like

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Speaker 3: college football history. You mentioned they bring back their three

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Speaker 3: best running backs to three top receivers. Yes, Joseih Stewart's

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Speaker 3: a massive loss, but I think the total defense should

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Speaker 3: be pretty good against the run. The pass is their issue.

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Speaker 3: Like you said, they don't really play any good quarterbacks,

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Speaker 3: and you mentioned the Chadwell thing, and you know, this

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Speaker 3: is kind of like that Brady versus Belichick debate, which again,

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Speaker 3: you know, Brady kind of won that one. And I

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Speaker 3: think McCall is worth a hell of a lot more

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Speaker 3: to a win total than Chadwell is. And with mccallunder center,

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Speaker 3: they've gone ten and one, ten and one, eight and two,

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Speaker 3: and so I think seven and a half is a

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Speaker 3: very disrespectful win total, just to grace the McCall. And

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Speaker 3: I will say I hate Tim Beck as a play caller.

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Speaker 3: He used to drive I bet NC State over every

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Speaker 3: year like four straight years, and Tim Beck drives me bananas.

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Speaker 3: But I actually think he fits this offense and this

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Speaker 3: team well because he does dumb little dink and dunks

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Speaker 3: short game passing, run the ball, doesn't take risks, doesn't

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Speaker 3: take big plays. And when you have the most efficient

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Speaker 3: quarterback in college football history, that's kind of what Beck

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Speaker 3: does as well, is scheme up efficient plays. And when

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Speaker 3: you have a defense, as you said, that you know

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Speaker 3: might have some questions early on. They want to control

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Speaker 3: the control the ball, dominate the time of possession, and

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Speaker 3: I think that should help the defense. And just if

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Speaker 3: McCall has the ball in his hands for the majority

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Speaker 3: of the game, they're gonna win a majority of their games.

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Speaker 3: And as you mentioned it, the schedule is a great

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Speaker 3: job from the West. They draw Arkansas State in Texas State.

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Speaker 3: That should be two wins. They get James Madison and

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Speaker 3: Marshall both at home, which are probably their two hardest games.

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Speaker 3: They should go three and one in the non con

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Speaker 3: You know, our power ratings have them favored in eleven games.

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Speaker 3: So every game but UCLA, which you mentioned, isn't you know,

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Speaker 3: one loss, they probably lose it. But yeah, I'm definitely

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Speaker 3: taking over seven and a half here, and to me,

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Speaker 3: you know, the call stays healthy. They should win nine

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Speaker 3: or ten games and they should be right back in

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Speaker 3: the conference championship game.

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Speaker 1: I saw you nodding along there, Stucky. When it comes

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Speaker 1: to Tim Beck, is that too much of a bugaboo

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Speaker 1: for you to go over on Coastal Carolina or do

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Speaker 1: you think the McCall kind of steers you know, it

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Speaker 1: takes the steering wheel away from back and says, you know,

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Speaker 1: this is my offense, let me run it.

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Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, it is gonna be a new scheme

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Speaker 2: of both sides of the ball. I mean the D

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Speaker 2: storts a big loss. Well, see they could get into

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Speaker 2: the back of That's about all they could do. But

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Speaker 2: I'm not sure how much worse the D can actually get.

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Speaker 2: But you got a new coordinator's new head coach. I'm

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Speaker 2: not a beat guy. I love McCall. I mean he's

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Speaker 2: worth like ten to twelve points to the spread. The

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Speaker 2: schedule you guys were saying, like it's not bad, it's

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Speaker 2: a fucking joke, Like they get they get Texas State

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Speaker 2: and Arc State from the west, as you said, but

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Speaker 2: I mean, just go down the line. It's a very

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Speaker 2: easy schedule. They host JMU, they host Marshall. I will

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Speaker 2: say though, that that JMU game at the end of

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Speaker 2: the season, that'll be jmu's super Bowl once again. Basically

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Speaker 2: that's conference championship, and that could end up keeping Coastal out.

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Speaker 2: I don't mind your take on like, hey, I'm giving

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Speaker 2: a back McCall. And look, yeah, that ball control offensive

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Speaker 2: might work with with back even with a scheme change.

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Speaker 2: I mean, they played Army once and I don't play

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Speaker 2: Army again here. This year they played Army and actually

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Speaker 2: had more time of possession against the Army, which like

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Speaker 2: never happens ever in a game that they won against Army. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: one thing. Look, I'm not betting them one way or

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Speaker 2: the other. Trusting the call is in bed option. They

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Speaker 2: went five h one position games last year. You would say, hey,

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Speaker 2: there's some regression. But if McCall's gonna have the ball

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Speaker 2: in his hands at the end of the game in

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Speaker 2: this conference, they're gonna win more times than not in

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Speaker 2: these close games. But all this talk about Grace and McCall.

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Speaker 2: Number one, what you said, you had this whole spiel

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Speaker 2: I know about coastal and you said if he stays

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Speaker 2: healthy number one, if he does get hurt, but number two,

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Speaker 2: if he's kind of hurt, and he's like, uh, you know,

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Speaker 2: we're five and two, I'm just gonna sit this one

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Speaker 2: out and I got eight. I got a draft to

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Speaker 2: worry about. So like, is he gonna rush to come

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Speaker 2: back if he has heard is he gonna end up

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Speaker 2: sitting out? And then you're down to who guessed? I

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Speaker 2: think Who's horrendous. It's like a all of a sudden,

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Speaker 2: you're talking about like a twelve twelve point drop off

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Speaker 2: in one game, and then you're like one of the

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Speaker 2: worst teams in the conference. So I'm not betting them

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Speaker 2: either way. I don't mind going over seven and a

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Speaker 2: half and trusting McCall, but I do think Coastal provides

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Speaker 2: the opportunity for other futures, which we'll talk about. Shorty.

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Speaker 3: You back bretton Gabbert, but you won't back Grace McCall.

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Speaker 2: Grace McCall is the favorite to win this division. Brett

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Speaker 2: Gabbert is not.

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Speaker 4: Right.

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Speaker 1: Let's hop to the dukes of James madd.

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Speaker 2: By the way, the Dropo is not as big. Smith

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Speaker 2: at least has played, that's true. Guest has like six

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Speaker 2: pass attens and four hum or picks. I think that's

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Speaker 2: the backup they lost to that guy Carpenter. He used

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Speaker 2: to always come in. He was awful too, But uh,

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Speaker 2: I think it's down to I think Guest is his

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Speaker 2: name anyway, But I think I I think that the

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Speaker 2: risk is losing McCall or like him, him not wanting

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Speaker 2: to risk it if he does get hurt, and that

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Speaker 2: defense is going to be a problem and they're going

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Speaker 2: to be in high scoring games. I think it provides

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Speaker 2: opportunity to look at other teams in this division or

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Speaker 2: in the West for potential future, which we'll get to surely.

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Speaker 1: So Jmu, you can't blame him to win the conference,

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Speaker 1: but you can't play him on the win total. Seven

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Speaker 1: and a half for their win total, a bunch of

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Speaker 1: extremes year. One hundred percent of their line starts back,

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Speaker 1: but negative eight point five in the net tarp negative

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Speaker 1: seven on offense alone. That's tied for worst nationally. Eleven

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Speaker 1: starters returning plus their kicker. I mean, what a great

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Speaker 1: FBS debut for Kurt Signetti. You know, they win eight games.

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Speaker 1: They bring back the same OC and DC, but Todd

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Speaker 1: Centeo is gone, as is Chris Thornton and four of

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Speaker 1: their five targets. It's probably going to be Jordan McLeod

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Speaker 1: at quarterback or maybe Alonza Bennett the third. He's more

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Speaker 1: of a dynamic runner. The defense could be really good.

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Speaker 1: I could be talked into it. You know, they have

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Speaker 1: tons of production. Plus Trevelle Mullen comes in from Indiana.

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Speaker 1: I'm interested too. This is a little stat and nugget.

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Speaker 1: Bryant Haynes unit was first overall on FBS and defensive

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Speaker 1: success rate allowed, but dead last and explosive play rate allowed,

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Speaker 1: which is kind of a wild juxtaposition there. Schedule wise,

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Speaker 1: I think they could get on track early. They got

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Speaker 1: Bucknell at Virginia that's a winnable game. At Troy, who's

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Speaker 1: replacing a lot defensively, and then at Utah State could

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Speaker 1: be a three and one start. They're going to need

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Speaker 1: it to go over the seven and a half win

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Speaker 1: total because when you look at the rest of the

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Speaker 1: schedule home against South Alabama at Marshall, at Georgia State,

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Speaker 1: home against Yukon at Coastal, those are five games right

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Speaker 1: there that they potentially could lose, and I wouldn't be

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Speaker 1: shocked if they did. So. I'll kick it to you first, Stuck,

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Speaker 1: What are your thoughts on the Dukes after coming out

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Speaker 1: of the gate just screaming hot? Last year, they had

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Speaker 1: a lot in terms of, you know, smoking mirrors a

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Speaker 1: little bit in fall camp. They didn't let us know

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Speaker 1: that Cinteo is going to be the starter until a

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Speaker 1: few days before the first game. They'll probably do the

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Speaker 1: same this time around. I think it makes it difficult

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Speaker 1: to handicap them early in this season, do you agree.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't have a great read on Jamie. I'm

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Speaker 2: sure not over eight and a half plus one ten

295
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Speaker 2: and I project them at like eight. But I just

296
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Speaker 2: artificially bumped them because, like I look, I have a

297
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Speaker 2: ton of respect for their head coach, who obviously gets

298
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Speaker 2: he's just amazing with getting first time quarterbacks to overperform expectations.

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Speaker 2: I think their depth should be better overall. Also because

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Speaker 2: they get a scholarship increase this year, which is one

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Speaker 2: thing that they do benefit from. Like last year, I

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Speaker 2: had one of my best college football betting seasons ever

303
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Speaker 2: with my work, but my worst take by far. If

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Speaker 2: you just isolated this and luckily I had a great season,

305
00:14:37,880 --> 00:14:40,040
Speaker 2: Otherwise people would have remembered this, but they didn't because

306
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Speaker 2: I had a good season. I went in when I

307
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Speaker 2: had I had jmu under, I loved the jam you under,

308
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Speaker 2: and I had like a three minute rant on how

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Speaker 2: terrible Tod Senteo is and how much of a joke

310
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Speaker 2: of a quarterback he is. He was the Sunbelt Offensive

311
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Speaker 2: Player of the year, so that aged like spoiled milk.

312
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Speaker 2: So yeah, I just have a ton of respect for

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Speaker 2: this program, And yeah, I mean, I'm I'm at around eight.

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Speaker 2: They do have a tough schedule. I mean they get

315
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Speaker 2: the two toughest from the West and try in South Alabama.

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Speaker 2: You mentioned that early season stretch, like, yeah, they'll beat

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Speaker 2: buck Now to start the year, but like at Virginia,

318
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Speaker 2: you know, Virginia is way down, but it's an ACC team.

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Speaker 2: Then they're at Troy, you know. Then you're going out

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Speaker 2: west at Utah State, like those are these are games

321
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Speaker 2: they could win, but it's three straight road games. Then

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Speaker 2: you got to come back east to get face South Alabama,

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Speaker 2: one of the best teams in the league, before a

324
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Speaker 2: bye week. So that's a tough stretch. Could decide whether

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Speaker 2: or not they go over under. You know, the Virginia

326
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Speaker 2: and Utah State games. It's a pass for me, but

327
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Speaker 2: I am counting on JMU having their Super Bowls at

328
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Speaker 2: the end of the year, beating Coastal at Coastal, beating

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Speaker 2: app State the week before that, and opening up the

330
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Speaker 2: door for some potential long shots teaser alert. So pass

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Speaker 2: for me on JMU.

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Speaker 3: I hate to do this, but I like this thunder.

333
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Speaker 3: You know, I think last season was so incredible. You

334
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Speaker 3: mentioned Sinteo and you know, I'm a little nervous to,

335
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Speaker 3: you know, shit all over Jordan McLeod because I said

336
00:16:09,280 --> 00:16:12,000
Speaker 3: I don't think Sintato was good either. But you know

337
00:16:12,680 --> 00:16:15,200
Speaker 3: Mcloud's you know, played twenty three games at South Florida

338
00:16:15,240 --> 00:16:18,360
Speaker 3: and Arizona, didn't look like anything special. Missed all of

339
00:16:18,440 --> 00:16:20,760
Speaker 3: last season with a broken ankle. I agree with you, Breeze,

340
00:16:20,760 --> 00:16:23,200
Speaker 3: I think he's a starter. I don't know that he's

341
00:16:23,200 --> 00:16:25,360
Speaker 3: any good. They lose their top running back, top receiver,

342
00:16:25,560 --> 00:16:29,760
Speaker 3: tight end, and you know, I haven't played yet because

343
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Speaker 3: I'm one of the people that I don't really like

344
00:16:31,480 --> 00:16:33,520
Speaker 3: playing unders for teams. I don't want to just root

345
00:16:33,560 --> 00:16:35,560
Speaker 3: against for five months, So I don't know that I'll

346
00:16:35,600 --> 00:16:38,480
Speaker 3: take it. But like eight and three was such an

347
00:16:38,520 --> 00:16:42,200
Speaker 3: incredible season for them, and now we're now that they

348
00:16:42,280 --> 00:16:45,080
Speaker 3: have to do even better. And you saw they started

349
00:16:45,120 --> 00:16:47,680
Speaker 3: five to zero last year, and you know, a lot

350
00:16:47,720 --> 00:16:49,520
Speaker 3: of people were down on them. A lot of people

351
00:16:49,560 --> 00:16:50,880
Speaker 3: didn't think they were going to be very good. I

352
00:16:50,920 --> 00:16:54,040
Speaker 3: think they kind of caught teams by surprise. They finished

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Speaker 3: three and three.

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Speaker 1: Down the stretch.

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Speaker 3: You guys both said that the schedule is so much

356
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Speaker 3: tougher at Virginia, at Troy at Marshall Coastal they play

357
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Speaker 3: yukon late. You know, we're all Huskies on this podcast.

358
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Speaker 3: Bet the under in that game. So I hate to

359
00:17:07,040 --> 00:17:09,359
Speaker 3: say it, but I do like the under here. I

360
00:17:09,440 --> 00:17:13,040
Speaker 3: don't see them replicating it. And you know we keep

361
00:17:13,119 --> 00:17:15,560
Speaker 3: mentioning with their Coastal take too. The you know that's

362
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Speaker 3: James Madison Super Bowl at the last game of the year. Well,

363
00:17:18,840 --> 00:17:21,960
Speaker 3: now Coastal knows that because they got crushed last year.

364
00:17:22,080 --> 00:17:25,119
Speaker 3: Like you don't think Coastal. I bet your Coastal is

365
00:17:25,200 --> 00:17:28,480
Speaker 3: more ready for that game than the conference title game

366
00:17:28,480 --> 00:17:30,720
Speaker 3: because you know, jam you has been talking all offseason

367
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Speaker 3: that they should have won the conference championship and they

368
00:17:32,480 --> 00:17:35,240
Speaker 3: should have you know, been in the title game. I

369
00:17:35,320 --> 00:17:37,359
Speaker 3: think Coastal wants to shut them up. Also, Gracey McCall

370
00:17:37,359 --> 00:17:39,119
Speaker 3: didn't play in that game, so if he's in it,

371
00:17:39,480 --> 00:17:41,239
Speaker 3: I think that's a different game. I think Coastals now

372
00:17:41,359 --> 00:17:43,720
Speaker 3: like goes into it knowing they're playing in a super Bowl.

373
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Speaker 3: So I think that game is going to be a

374
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Speaker 3: lot more of a toss up. Yeah, I just I

375
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Speaker 3: just think the schedule is a lot harder and I'm

376
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Speaker 3: going under in James Madison I don't love it, but

377
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Speaker 3: I'm doing it.

378
00:17:55,160 --> 00:17:57,720
Speaker 1: I'll make it. I'm going to go under as well.

379
00:17:57,840 --> 00:18:00,119
Speaker 1: You guys talked me into it, all right, Marshall in

380
00:18:00,200 --> 00:18:01,200
Speaker 1: four last year five.

381
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Speaker 2: Minutes, I bet the under by the way for the record,

382
00:18:03,080 --> 00:18:04,360
Speaker 2: but I would if I had to, But I don't

383
00:18:04,359 --> 00:18:05,440
Speaker 2: want to be on the record to bet in the

384
00:18:05,520 --> 00:18:06,359
Speaker 2: JAMMI under again.

385
00:18:06,560 --> 00:18:08,840
Speaker 3: Now, Michel, please remove that from the record. Matt, thank you.

386
00:18:09,320 --> 00:18:11,680
Speaker 1: If you want, we can do a special three minute

387
00:18:11,720 --> 00:18:17,040
Speaker 1: rant against McLeod or, who's I'll praise him for three

388
00:18:17,080 --> 00:18:20,600
Speaker 1: minutes so I know I can hit his under. I

389
00:18:20,680 --> 00:18:22,879
Speaker 1: want to talk about our opponent on paper.

390
00:18:23,119 --> 00:18:25,239
Speaker 2: They're just better and they know it too.

391
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Speaker 1: I don't want to tell you something that they don't know.

392
00:18:27,920 --> 00:18:31,200
Speaker 1: They don't know your heart. All right, So the Marshall

393
00:18:31,560 --> 00:18:34,400
Speaker 1: win total, I don't quite get it. At seven. I'm

394
00:18:34,480 --> 00:18:36,919
Speaker 1: over on this one. I'll kind of explain why they

395
00:18:36,960 --> 00:18:39,080
Speaker 1: would turn over seventy percent of their line starts, their

396
00:18:39,160 --> 00:18:41,480
Speaker 1: run heavy team, their negative net three in the tarp

397
00:18:41,800 --> 00:18:45,959
Speaker 1: but only negative two on defense. Eleven returning starters, both specialists.

398
00:18:46,840 --> 00:18:49,960
Speaker 1: It's rashe a Lee like he's back with a line

399
00:18:50,000 --> 00:18:52,000
Speaker 1: in front of him that can block and I understand

400
00:18:52,040 --> 00:18:54,639
Speaker 1: that the defense lost pieces at every level, but they

401
00:18:54,680 --> 00:18:57,520
Speaker 1: were turn enough plus a lot of big time P

402
00:18:57,720 --> 00:19:02,320
Speaker 1: five transfers from Floor wake A and m Keyshawn. Brown's

403
00:19:02,359 --> 00:19:04,240
Speaker 1: expected to be a star at linebacker. He comes in

404
00:19:04,280 --> 00:19:07,960
Speaker 1: from Apps State. I know Lance Gidry was an absolute

405
00:19:08,040 --> 00:19:11,600
Speaker 1: superstar at DC, but John Seymour is someone at least

406
00:19:11,600 --> 00:19:13,840
Speaker 1: in the coaching ranks. Everything I've read about him, He's

407
00:19:13,880 --> 00:19:16,959
Speaker 1: done a phenomenal job at Valdosta State, phenomenal job as

408
00:19:17,040 --> 00:19:20,399
Speaker 1: a d C at Montana. And that's kind of the

409
00:19:20,480 --> 00:19:23,040
Speaker 1: thing with Huff and the staff. It's like he knows

410
00:19:23,080 --> 00:19:25,280
Speaker 1: how to build and he's I think he's doing a

411
00:19:25,320 --> 00:19:27,120
Speaker 1: really good job. And they play a little bit differently

412
00:19:27,480 --> 00:19:29,359
Speaker 1: than some of the other G five teams in that

413
00:19:30,040 --> 00:19:31,720
Speaker 1: they want to lean in on their defense. They want to,

414
00:19:32,160 --> 00:19:34,199
Speaker 1: you know, play ball control, and they have the halfback

415
00:19:34,280 --> 00:19:37,359
Speaker 1: to do it. And Cam Frantzer, like he was thrown

416
00:19:37,400 --> 00:19:40,000
Speaker 1: in last year because the quarterback play was so bad

417
00:19:40,040 --> 00:19:42,119
Speaker 1: from Colombia. I think he can get a little bit

418
00:19:42,160 --> 00:19:45,360
Speaker 1: better and certainly be a solid Sunbelt Conference quarterback this year.

419
00:19:45,600 --> 00:19:49,080
Speaker 1: The receiving corps is experienced. I know they lose gramage,

420
00:19:49,600 --> 00:19:52,119
Speaker 1: but they need the Kentucky transfer to Marcus Harris to

421
00:19:52,160 --> 00:19:55,040
Speaker 1: be specially, he's a three star kid. If they get

422
00:19:55,119 --> 00:19:56,879
Speaker 1: a little bit better in the passing game, I'm not

423
00:19:56,920 --> 00:19:58,719
Speaker 1: asking for a ton here. You know, if he can

424
00:19:58,800 --> 00:20:02,320
Speaker 1: throw eighteen touchdown and keep it to single digit interceptions.

425
00:20:02,440 --> 00:20:04,440
Speaker 1: I like the schedule, the way it shakes out. You

426
00:20:04,520 --> 00:20:07,639
Speaker 1: look early Albany, that's to win. ECU is rebuilding. I

427
00:20:07,680 --> 00:20:10,400
Speaker 1: know it's you know ingreen In, you know on the road,

428
00:20:10,480 --> 00:20:13,280
Speaker 1: so you have to go ahead and give them credit there.

429
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Speaker 1: But Votec, I think is vulnerable. And then you catch

430
00:20:15,920 --> 00:20:18,200
Speaker 1: ODU early in September. It could be a four and

431
00:20:18,280 --> 00:20:20,960
Speaker 1: oh start if it all goes right, and then Sunbell play.

432
00:20:21,040 --> 00:20:22,880
Speaker 1: When I look at their home and a waste splits

433
00:20:23,280 --> 00:20:26,640
Speaker 1: home Old Dominion, James Mass and Georgia Southern Arkansas State,

434
00:20:26,920 --> 00:20:28,359
Speaker 1: that could be a clean sweep there. And on the

435
00:20:28,440 --> 00:20:31,000
Speaker 1: road at Georgia State, at coastal at app State, at

436
00:20:31,080 --> 00:20:34,560
Speaker 1: South Alabama. Seven to me doesn't scare me away. I

437
00:20:34,600 --> 00:20:36,480
Speaker 1: think they win eight or nine here. I like the

438
00:20:36,520 --> 00:20:39,320
Speaker 1: coaching staff. I like Rashein Ellie. I know it's like

439
00:20:39,520 --> 00:20:42,240
Speaker 1: you're not supposed to overvalue running backs, but when what

440
00:20:42,400 --> 00:20:44,240
Speaker 1: he was two years ago. He was one of the

441
00:20:44,359 --> 00:20:46,880
Speaker 1: most special running backs in the entire country. So I'm

442
00:20:46,960 --> 00:20:49,960
Speaker 1: banking on him bouncing back, and I'm gonna ride with

443
00:20:50,040 --> 00:20:51,520
Speaker 1: a thundering herd here. What do you think, Stuck?

444
00:20:53,520 --> 00:20:55,080
Speaker 2: But first of all, you're you're talking about the the

445
00:20:55,200 --> 00:20:57,639
Speaker 2: up an uptick in the quarterbacks. But you gotta get

446
00:20:57,680 --> 00:21:00,240
Speaker 2: his name right, Prancer. I think cam fan sure. And

447
00:21:00,280 --> 00:21:01,960
Speaker 2: the reason the only reason I say the only reason

448
00:21:02,000 --> 00:21:03,320
Speaker 2: I said that is I'm trying to get a jab

449
00:21:03,400 --> 00:21:07,600
Speaker 2: in because I just got uh roasted for two full

450
00:21:07,720 --> 00:21:11,240
Speaker 2: days on Twitter because in the for the Big Ten podcast,

451
00:21:12,000 --> 00:21:18,240
Speaker 2: I called JJ McCarthy the quarterback for Iowa for the

452
00:21:18,640 --> 00:21:20,680
Speaker 2: entire podcast, I thought you were going to go with

453
00:21:21,040 --> 00:21:23,880
Speaker 2: mac lamare the quarterback for Michigan. Had him swap, which

454
00:21:23,920 --> 00:21:27,080
Speaker 2: I still do in my head their names. I thought,

455
00:21:27,080 --> 00:21:29,800
Speaker 2: you're going to go make Michigan Souldierkovic.

456
00:21:30,000 --> 00:21:30,760
Speaker 1: That was the other one.

457
00:21:31,040 --> 00:21:35,280
Speaker 3: Uh yeah, Collin says Tyler shuck wrong. Every time he

458
00:21:35,320 --> 00:21:36,639
Speaker 3: says show it's shocked.

459
00:21:37,000 --> 00:21:39,520
Speaker 1: I mean, this is fall camp for us too. We're

460
00:21:39,560 --> 00:21:42,240
Speaker 1: working out the kinksteer like I will be happy to

461
00:21:42,480 --> 00:21:44,600
Speaker 1: nail this kid's name. You know, the rest of the way.

462
00:21:44,840 --> 00:21:46,240
Speaker 1: You know, if he plays well, if he doesn't turn

463
00:21:46,280 --> 00:21:46,639
Speaker 1: the ball over.

464
00:21:46,680 --> 00:21:48,159
Speaker 2: The thing is once you get called out, then you

465
00:21:48,280 --> 00:21:52,040
Speaker 2: never never not but cam Bancher. But uh, look, I

466
00:21:52,119 --> 00:21:54,800
Speaker 2: look at their schedule. I love their their head coach.

467
00:21:55,240 --> 00:21:57,000
Speaker 2: I'm a big fan, but I do think their defense

468
00:21:57,080 --> 00:21:59,439
Speaker 2: is going to take a step back. They also are

469
00:21:59,520 --> 00:22:02,480
Speaker 2: regressing candidate. I mean in the turnover department, won score

470
00:22:02,600 --> 00:22:05,840
Speaker 2: games and look, Fancer needs to show it to me.

471
00:22:06,240 --> 00:22:08,920
Speaker 2: As far as throwing the ball. Not the most efficient passer.

472
00:22:08,960 --> 00:22:10,639
Speaker 2: I mean, I know he won five in a row

473
00:22:10,640 --> 00:22:13,040
Speaker 2: to end the year, but that was mainly on the defense,

474
00:22:13,080 --> 00:22:15,800
Speaker 2: which I don't think can be as good. And yes,

475
00:22:15,920 --> 00:22:18,639
Speaker 2: Ali comes back for injury, but Layborne was amazing last year.

476
00:22:18,760 --> 00:22:21,000
Speaker 2: So how much more of an uptick do you get?

477
00:22:22,040 --> 00:22:24,600
Speaker 2: I project? You know, I've looked seeing over seven alt

478
00:22:24,600 --> 00:22:26,359
Speaker 2: plus one twenty five where you can get over seven

479
00:22:27,960 --> 00:22:31,680
Speaker 2: as well, but I'm projecting like a little over seven

480
00:22:31,840 --> 00:22:33,239
Speaker 2: as a team. I want to back during the year.

481
00:22:33,320 --> 00:22:36,080
Speaker 2: Lots of coin flips. I mean, look at ecu vautech

482
00:22:36,119 --> 00:22:39,840
Speaker 2: at home at NZ State, like they could sweep them.

483
00:22:39,880 --> 00:22:42,639
Speaker 2: They could get swept, which will go a long way.

484
00:22:42,680 --> 00:22:44,600
Speaker 2: And then they do have a brutal road league slate

485
00:22:44,720 --> 00:22:47,920
Speaker 2: like at Georgia State, at Coastal, at app State, and

486
00:22:48,000 --> 00:22:50,639
Speaker 2: at South Alabama. That's as hard as it gets in

487
00:22:50,720 --> 00:22:53,040
Speaker 2: the Sunbolt four year road games. I will say though,

488
00:22:53,760 --> 00:22:57,879
Speaker 2: in general, Sun Belt home field advantage is the lowest

489
00:22:57,960 --> 00:23:01,639
Speaker 2: of any conference over the past twenty years by a

490
00:23:01,720 --> 00:23:04,640
Speaker 2: significant margin, even more than the MAC. But yeah, team

491
00:23:05,160 --> 00:23:07,840
Speaker 2: that look, you have it. You have all those road

492
00:23:07,880 --> 00:23:12,359
Speaker 2: games late, you have an early bye week, so depth

493
00:23:12,400 --> 00:23:14,680
Speaker 2: could come into question. You're playing all those road games

494
00:23:14,720 --> 00:23:17,720
Speaker 2: and there's just too many coin flips on this and

495
00:23:17,760 --> 00:23:19,320
Speaker 2: I'm close to the number, so it's a pass for me.

496
00:23:19,400 --> 00:23:21,720
Speaker 2: But it's a team I'll probably look to back. If

497
00:23:21,760 --> 00:23:25,000
Speaker 2: I can see some improvement from your boy Cam Fancher

498
00:23:25,160 --> 00:23:26,960
Speaker 2: as far as throwing the ball, because he just needs

499
00:23:26,960 --> 00:23:28,200
Speaker 2: to take that next step, and he does, then this

500
00:23:28,280 --> 00:23:33,120
Speaker 2: offense certainly becomes dangerous with Alli back and an offensive

501
00:23:33,160 --> 00:23:35,680
Speaker 2: line that looks pretty solid outside of questions are right.

502
00:23:35,600 --> 00:23:39,800
Speaker 3: Tackle, Yeah, I'm on this over too, you know, yeah,

503
00:23:40,560 --> 00:23:41,560
Speaker 3: you know, I love Charles.

504
00:23:41,400 --> 00:23:45,480
Speaker 2: Hoff There's I know, I know over over on every team.

505
00:23:45,800 --> 00:23:49,200
Speaker 3: I just took it under the last team, James Madison.

506
00:23:49,480 --> 00:23:51,959
Speaker 2: Oh, I wiped that from my brain. Sorry, you're right.

507
00:23:52,680 --> 00:23:54,320
Speaker 3: I still the defense gonna be very good. I just

508
00:23:54,359 --> 00:23:56,879
Speaker 3: think that's kind of what this Martiall team does. They

509
00:23:56,920 --> 00:23:59,280
Speaker 3: are good at defense. They were six in the country

510
00:23:59,320 --> 00:24:02,280
Speaker 3: and score d last year, dominant against the run. They

511
00:24:02,320 --> 00:24:04,399
Speaker 3: bring back to Own Porter and Micah Abraham, who are

512
00:24:04,640 --> 00:24:07,480
Speaker 3: well first team All sum About linebackers Eli neils back,

513
00:24:07,960 --> 00:24:10,480
Speaker 3: So I'm still high on this defense. The schedule's tough,

514
00:24:10,560 --> 00:24:13,800
Speaker 3: but this team also went to Notre Dame and won

515
00:24:13,880 --> 00:24:16,639
Speaker 3: last year, so you know I they beat Albany and

516
00:24:16,680 --> 00:24:19,879
Speaker 3: ECU Aileen over seven and a half. Charlestoff is a

517
00:24:19,960 --> 00:24:23,240
Speaker 3: fantastic coach, so I'm gonna back him. I'm gonna backe Ellie,

518
00:24:23,600 --> 00:24:24,520
Speaker 3: I'm riding with the herd.

519
00:24:24,880 --> 00:24:26,600
Speaker 1: Both of you kind of hit on it in terms

520
00:24:26,680 --> 00:24:30,320
Speaker 1: of the roads slate, But the reason why I like

521
00:24:30,400 --> 00:24:32,359
Speaker 1: it is that this We're gonna get into this the

522
00:24:32,520 --> 00:24:35,360
Speaker 1: very next team. I'm just not afraid of app State anymore.

523
00:24:35,560 --> 00:24:38,240
Speaker 1: In terms of how they finished last year, they kind

524
00:24:38,280 --> 00:24:40,520
Speaker 1: of lost their heart down the stretch, and they have

525
00:24:40,640 --> 00:24:42,480
Speaker 1: so many new pieces, like, let's just hop into it

526
00:24:42,600 --> 00:25:10,560
Speaker 1: right now. A smiling fa name the mount of the

527
00:25:10,600 --> 00:25:12,120
Speaker 1: year six and six, three and five on the year.

528
00:25:12,119 --> 00:25:14,159
Speaker 1: Their win to was at six and a half. It

529
00:25:14,280 --> 00:25:17,640
Speaker 1: was their first non winning season since joining the FBS.

530
00:25:18,359 --> 00:25:21,240
Speaker 1: So they're negative ten in the netsar negative seven in offense,

531
00:25:21,240 --> 00:25:23,479
Speaker 1: which is typher worse than the country. Only eight returning

532
00:25:23,520 --> 00:25:26,080
Speaker 1: starters and their kicker. But let's just talk about last

533
00:25:26,119 --> 00:25:28,960
Speaker 1: year like full autopsy, like what happened to app State.

534
00:25:29,040 --> 00:25:31,679
Speaker 1: They give up sixty one to UNC and lose. They

535
00:25:31,720 --> 00:25:33,480
Speaker 1: only score seventeen against A and M. They get that

536
00:25:33,600 --> 00:25:36,080
Speaker 1: huge upset, that's what people remember from the early part

537
00:25:36,119 --> 00:25:38,560
Speaker 1: of the season. They get the Hell Mary winner against Troy,

538
00:25:39,040 --> 00:25:41,440
Speaker 1: but then they get a four point loss to JMU. Like,

539
00:25:42,359 --> 00:25:44,719
Speaker 1: I don't know, I just I look at what they

540
00:25:44,840 --> 00:25:47,600
Speaker 1: were trying to get to. Offensively, they never got there.

541
00:25:47,880 --> 00:25:50,840
Speaker 1: They lost three of their last four. Their offense is

542
00:25:50,920 --> 00:25:54,000
Speaker 1: just totally gutted QB wide receiver. You know, they're turning

543
00:25:54,040 --> 00:25:56,280
Speaker 1: to a first year OC and Frank Ponce with a

544
00:25:56,640 --> 00:26:00,359
Speaker 1: JUCO quarterback Joey Aguilar or red shirt freshman Ryan Burre, Like,

545
00:26:01,080 --> 00:26:03,800
Speaker 1: I don't know necessarily if either of those guys are

546
00:26:03,840 --> 00:26:06,280
Speaker 1: going to get it done. Defense was really good last year.

547
00:26:06,440 --> 00:26:09,320
Speaker 1: Outside the sixty three point game against North Carolina, and

548
00:26:09,359 --> 00:26:11,720
Speaker 1: the fifty one point game to Georgia Southern which book

549
00:26:11,800 --> 00:26:14,800
Speaker 1: ended the season. They ended up finishing thirty six in

550
00:26:14,880 --> 00:26:17,960
Speaker 1: total defense. But it's a brand new secondary. They really

551
00:26:18,080 --> 00:26:20,800
Speaker 1: need Tyrek Thunderberg to be a leader right away transfers

552
00:26:20,800 --> 00:26:23,399
Speaker 1: in from Richmond's. I don't necessarily know if he's the

553
00:26:23,480 --> 00:26:25,520
Speaker 1: right band aid. And then when I look at the

554
00:26:25,560 --> 00:26:28,240
Speaker 1: schedule so often we talk about quote unquote winnable games,

555
00:26:28,640 --> 00:26:30,840
Speaker 1: I see a lot of losable games on the schedule.

556
00:26:30,920 --> 00:26:34,440
Speaker 1: So at UNC at Wyoming home against Coastal, home against

557
00:26:34,440 --> 00:26:38,160
Speaker 1: Southern Miss home against Marshall at Georgia State at James Madison.

558
00:26:38,720 --> 00:26:40,800
Speaker 1: I'm going to go under on the Kneears here. I

559
00:26:40,880 --> 00:26:44,280
Speaker 1: think this is their true rebuild season, and I think

560
00:26:44,520 --> 00:26:46,880
Speaker 1: a lot of teams that I'm bullish on. The swing

561
00:26:47,000 --> 00:26:50,159
Speaker 1: game is going in to Boone and winning, which has

562
00:26:50,200 --> 00:26:51,760
Speaker 1: been a tough place to win all the way back

563
00:26:51,800 --> 00:26:54,880
Speaker 1: to their one double a days. But I just don't

564
00:26:54,880 --> 00:26:56,560
Speaker 1: see it for app State here. I'll start with you,

565
00:26:56,680 --> 00:26:59,040
Speaker 1: ian L. What are your thoughts on app State?

566
00:26:59,400 --> 00:27:01,119
Speaker 3: Yeah? I agree, and that's part of my thinking of

567
00:27:01,200 --> 00:27:04,159
Speaker 3: the Marshal Overs. I think they beat app State and

568
00:27:04,400 --> 00:27:06,560
Speaker 3: you know, you know, you could argue app State played

569
00:27:06,600 --> 00:27:08,399
Speaker 3: the two best games of the year last year with

570
00:27:08,920 --> 00:27:10,960
Speaker 3: that North Carolina game in the in the Troy game.

571
00:27:11,520 --> 00:27:13,280
Speaker 3: I think them beating Texas A and M says a

572
00:27:13,320 --> 00:27:15,520
Speaker 3: lot more about tax A and M than it does

573
00:27:15,600 --> 00:27:20,400
Speaker 3: app State. So yeah, I'm just I don't know. It's

574
00:27:20,400 --> 00:27:22,640
Speaker 3: hard because they've been so dominant for so long. It's

575
00:27:22,640 --> 00:27:25,760
Speaker 3: hard to just like outright feed them. But they don't

576
00:27:25,760 --> 00:27:27,879
Speaker 3: play any of the top dogs in the West. I

577
00:27:27,960 --> 00:27:30,840
Speaker 3: think they probably go bowling again, but with six and

578
00:27:30,920 --> 00:27:34,320
Speaker 3: a half, like, I don't think seven games is a lot.

579
00:27:34,480 --> 00:27:37,360
Speaker 3: So I'm gonna stay away. Their quarterback in defensive questions,

580
00:27:37,480 --> 00:27:40,320
Speaker 3: just have me stand away. I would lean under if

581
00:27:40,359 --> 00:27:43,280
Speaker 3: I had to play it, but I'll probably pass.

582
00:27:44,200 --> 00:27:44,920
Speaker 1: What do you think stuck?

583
00:27:45,560 --> 00:27:47,719
Speaker 2: Yeah, I lean under, but passing here. But I think

584
00:27:47,760 --> 00:27:50,840
Speaker 2: if they open up an opportunity for to take other

585
00:27:51,320 --> 00:27:54,200
Speaker 2: chances in this conference and division, eventually I'll get to

586
00:27:54,280 --> 00:27:56,479
Speaker 2: some of the teams that I bet that I'm hitting at.

587
00:27:56,560 --> 00:27:58,440
Speaker 2: But this is not one of them. Yeah, they lost,

588
00:27:58,480 --> 00:27:59,800
Speaker 2: and you said they're offense line, but they did lose

589
00:27:59,800 --> 00:28:03,040
Speaker 2: two stud tackles last year. All six of their losses

590
00:28:03,080 --> 00:28:05,760
Speaker 2: were by one possession In fairness and they went too

591
00:28:05,800 --> 00:28:08,520
Speaker 2: and six and one possession games. Although they did they

592
00:28:08,600 --> 00:28:11,520
Speaker 2: did benefit from decent turnover luck, so they were close

593
00:28:11,600 --> 00:28:13,399
Speaker 2: in most of their games. But yeah, I'm not buying

594
00:28:14,160 --> 00:28:18,120
Speaker 2: their quarterback situation and they lose their you know, two

595
00:28:19,000 --> 00:28:24,040
Speaker 2: best defenders. Their special teams also look fairly shaky, which

596
00:28:24,080 --> 00:28:26,520
Speaker 2: hasn't always been the case there, and that's one of

597
00:28:26,560 --> 00:28:30,280
Speaker 2: the reasons why you lose close games. I'm passing. If

598
00:28:30,280 --> 00:28:32,919
Speaker 2: I could get like an under seven, which you might

599
00:28:32,960 --> 00:28:34,640
Speaker 2: be able to spot out there, I would I would

600
00:28:34,680 --> 00:28:37,960
Speaker 2: consider that. But yeah, they're there. I have respect for

601
00:28:38,000 --> 00:28:40,720
Speaker 2: their home field advantage still, and they do avoid Troy

602
00:28:40,760 --> 00:28:43,480
Speaker 2: and South Alabata from the West, so Lean underdon't hatred play,

603
00:28:43,520 --> 00:28:44,960
Speaker 2: but as of right now, it's passed for me.

604
00:29:00,320 --> 00:29:02,840
Speaker 1: This podcast is turning into us making amends for things

605
00:29:02,880 --> 00:29:05,000
Speaker 1: we said last year, things we did. I'm going to

606
00:29:05,040 --> 00:29:07,920
Speaker 1: throw it out there for Georgia Southern. I was just

607
00:29:08,040 --> 00:29:10,760
Speaker 1: piling on Clay Helton, you know, to come in to

608
00:29:10,880 --> 00:29:14,240
Speaker 1: totally rework their offense to have a retread like Kyle

609
00:29:14,360 --> 00:29:17,480
Speaker 1: Van Trici quarterback. It wasn't gonna work. It kind of worked,

610
00:29:17,840 --> 00:29:19,600
Speaker 1: they did, you know, they end up with a losing record,

611
00:29:19,640 --> 00:29:21,640
Speaker 1: but they win six games. Their win total set at

612
00:29:21,680 --> 00:29:24,280
Speaker 1: six this year. Less than fifty percent of their offensive

613
00:29:24,320 --> 00:29:26,840
Speaker 1: line starts return negative five in the net tarp negative

614
00:29:26,840 --> 00:29:29,880
Speaker 1: six on offense alone, only ten returning starters. But they

615
00:29:29,920 --> 00:29:32,320
Speaker 1: got playmakers. I mean, Jalen Whit's at running back. He

616
00:29:32,400 --> 00:29:35,000
Speaker 1: nearly went for one thy ten touchdowns last year. Calub

617
00:29:35,040 --> 00:29:38,840
Speaker 1: Hood is back eighty seven receptions last season. Four starters

618
00:29:38,880 --> 00:29:40,960
Speaker 1: on the offensive line. You know, they weren't always on

619
00:29:41,040 --> 00:29:42,920
Speaker 1: the field at the same time last year, but they

620
00:29:43,000 --> 00:29:45,560
Speaker 1: have experience. And the bigger question is can Davis Bran

621
00:29:45,680 --> 00:29:49,440
Speaker 1: from Tulsa b Van tries two point zero? Defensively, it's

622
00:29:49,480 --> 00:29:51,520
Speaker 1: a brand new secondary, but they got killed last year.

623
00:29:51,520 --> 00:29:52,760
Speaker 1: I mean, how much worse is they going to get?

624
00:29:52,800 --> 00:29:55,360
Speaker 1: They were deep in the hundreds and every meaningful metric,

625
00:29:55,360 --> 00:29:58,400
Speaker 1: one hundred and twenty eighth in total defense. Brandon Bailey

626
00:29:58,520 --> 00:30:02,000
Speaker 1: in as their DC, eight year old wonderkin who helped

627
00:30:02,040 --> 00:30:04,760
Speaker 1: Buffalo generate twenty six turnovers last year, which was good

628
00:30:04,800 --> 00:30:08,000
Speaker 1: for seventh nationally. He also, you know, was helping out

629
00:30:08,040 --> 00:30:09,600
Speaker 1: in that Bowl game. So they just go ahead and

630
00:30:09,680 --> 00:30:12,200
Speaker 1: grab him. I believe he was a student assistant at

631
00:30:12,200 --> 00:30:14,160
Speaker 1: Georgia Southern back in the day, so it's a return

632
00:30:14,240 --> 00:30:16,280
Speaker 1: for him, not that he's all that old. Basically, I

633
00:30:16,320 --> 00:30:18,040
Speaker 1: think this is situation will play for me. There's going

634
00:30:18,080 --> 00:30:19,800
Speaker 1: to be times when I'm on them. I'm certainly going

635
00:30:19,840 --> 00:30:21,480
Speaker 1: to be on some of their overs. I have a

636
00:30:21,560 --> 00:30:24,840
Speaker 1: better feel for what I'm getting offensively and defensively. Let's

637
00:30:24,840 --> 00:30:26,920
Speaker 1: say they make a huge step forward and get into

638
00:30:26,960 --> 00:30:29,920
Speaker 1: the nineties in the defensive metrics. I still think these

639
00:30:29,960 --> 00:30:32,080
Speaker 1: games are going to be played in the sixties and seventies.

640
00:30:32,400 --> 00:30:34,600
Speaker 1: It's going to be challenging early on in the season.

641
00:30:34,720 --> 00:30:37,120
Speaker 1: You know, with Citadel and UAB, there's not going to

642
00:30:37,160 --> 00:30:39,479
Speaker 1: be great opportunities to bet over. But once they get

643
00:30:39,480 --> 00:30:41,800
Speaker 1: into conference play, I think this is an opportunity to

644
00:30:41,840 --> 00:30:44,200
Speaker 1: do so. But I want to get your temperature on

645
00:30:44,280 --> 00:30:46,720
Speaker 1: this team. Ianella, what are your thoughts on Clay Helton

646
00:30:46,840 --> 00:30:49,160
Speaker 1: in year two? After showing a lot of promise, scoring

647
00:30:49,200 --> 00:30:52,600
Speaker 1: a lot of points and winning six games, including beating Nebraska.

648
00:30:52,760 --> 00:30:55,960
Speaker 3: A Wisconsant could be a fun over. I'm bummed because

649
00:30:56,440 --> 00:30:59,040
Speaker 3: I like Clay Helton. I really like what he did

650
00:30:59,160 --> 00:31:01,120
Speaker 3: last year. Geordie, there is a team I bet on

651
00:31:02,040 --> 00:31:05,120
Speaker 3: quite often last season, and maybe I'm wrong, because I

652
00:31:05,280 --> 00:31:08,040
Speaker 3: probably I wasn't exactly banging the Kyle Van Trees drum

653
00:31:08,280 --> 00:31:11,520
Speaker 3: going into last year. But I think Davis Brynn sucks.

654
00:31:12,080 --> 00:31:14,440
Speaker 3: So having him at the quarterback is kind of disappointing.

655
00:31:14,640 --> 00:31:16,560
Speaker 3: You know, over the last two years at Tulsa, he

656
00:31:16,640 --> 00:31:20,640
Speaker 3: had thirty five touchdowns, twenty four interceptions, led the whole

657
00:31:20,680 --> 00:31:24,040
Speaker 3: country into interceptions two years ago. I think he stinks.

658
00:31:24,480 --> 00:31:27,720
Speaker 3: That makes me a lot more Like down on Georgia Southern,

659
00:31:27,800 --> 00:31:31,120
Speaker 3: you mentioned they have decent weapons, but defense.

660
00:31:31,240 --> 00:31:33,560
Speaker 1: Basically what you're saying is Van Trees was like this

661
00:31:33,680 --> 00:31:35,920
Speaker 1: mystery box where it's like he was going from a

662
00:31:36,120 --> 00:31:38,760
Speaker 1: run heavy system to a wide open pass system, like

663
00:31:39,000 --> 00:31:41,000
Speaker 1: maybe he would pop, and he did. But what you're

664
00:31:41,040 --> 00:31:43,280
Speaker 1: saying is you already know that Davis Brynn is not

665
00:31:43,640 --> 00:31:46,440
Speaker 1: the guy because he's been given an opportunity to throw

666
00:31:46,480 --> 00:31:48,360
Speaker 1: the ball a lot. He just throws the out team

667
00:31:48,360 --> 00:31:48,560
Speaker 1: a lot.

668
00:31:48,640 --> 00:31:50,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, Like Van Trees was like the game manager that

669
00:31:51,040 --> 00:31:54,479
Speaker 3: they suddenly let sling it, where like Davis Sprynn slings

670
00:31:54,520 --> 00:31:56,600
Speaker 3: it to the wrong team. So him and slinging it

671
00:31:56,800 --> 00:32:00,640
Speaker 3: more is terrifying. The defense was a mess last at times,

672
00:32:01,320 --> 00:32:03,960
Speaker 3: six and a half is too high, you know. I

673
00:32:04,080 --> 00:32:07,480
Speaker 3: may have considered five and a half, but with Brennett quarterback,

674
00:32:07,520 --> 00:32:10,320
Speaker 3: I think six and a half is too high. So there,

675
00:32:10,440 --> 00:32:13,440
Speaker 3: stay away from me. I'd probably lean under, But I

676
00:32:13,480 --> 00:32:15,520
Speaker 3: don't know because I do like what they're doing on offense.

677
00:32:15,560 --> 00:32:16,720
Speaker 3: It's just I don't like Bran.

678
00:32:17,680 --> 00:32:20,240
Speaker 1: Seems like Ianello is doing your dirty work this year.

679
00:32:20,520 --> 00:32:23,200
Speaker 1: Stucky if you also think that Davis Brynt sucks just

680
00:32:23,400 --> 00:32:25,840
Speaker 1: like twice, we don't lay down any audio tracks here.

681
00:32:26,480 --> 00:32:29,280
Speaker 1: What are your thoughts on Georgia, Southern and Statesboro this fall?

682
00:32:30,120 --> 00:32:33,000
Speaker 2: I'm going going complete opo. Kyle Detries was the Buffalo

683
00:32:33,120 --> 00:32:36,600
Speaker 2: punter in twenty nineteen and did and look that he

684
00:32:36,680 --> 00:32:39,200
Speaker 2: did in that offense. He really was at the end

685
00:32:39,240 --> 00:32:41,880
Speaker 2: of eighty one yard punnet at some point, and look

686
00:32:41,880 --> 00:32:43,320
Speaker 2: at he did with that offense. Actually, the offense is

687
00:32:43,320 --> 00:32:46,000
Speaker 2: gonna be awesome. I actually like Davis Brint. Yes, he

688
00:32:46,120 --> 00:32:48,560
Speaker 2: needs to cut down on the turnover worthy throws at times,

689
00:32:48,600 --> 00:32:50,360
Speaker 2: but I think he could thrive in this offense. He

690
00:32:50,440 --> 00:32:54,920
Speaker 2: has a much more talented arm and upside than Van

691
00:32:54,960 --> 00:32:57,440
Speaker 2: Trees did. The offense is gonna rock. The defense sucked

692
00:32:57,520 --> 00:32:59,880
Speaker 2: last year. It loses what eight of the top ten tacklers,

693
00:33:00,080 --> 00:33:02,600
Speaker 2: But I love it was already bad. I can't get worse.

694
00:33:02,720 --> 00:33:04,240
Speaker 2: I like some of the chancewers they brought in. I

695
00:33:04,280 --> 00:33:07,040
Speaker 2: love the coordinator higher and in a conference like this,

696
00:33:07,320 --> 00:33:09,480
Speaker 2: like and all they need to do, they're going to

697
00:33:09,480 --> 00:33:11,880
Speaker 2: be in shootouts here and look, I'm counting we just

698
00:33:11,960 --> 00:33:15,080
Speaker 2: talked about not afraid of app State anymore. And by

699
00:33:15,120 --> 00:33:17,000
Speaker 2: the way, they go to Apps State in the finale,

700
00:33:17,480 --> 00:33:20,040
Speaker 2: and then I need Jmu to play that like spoiler

701
00:33:20,160 --> 00:33:24,440
Speaker 2: role against Coastal at the end. And if Marshall can't

702
00:33:24,480 --> 00:33:27,880
Speaker 2: find a quarterback to complete, you know, Fincher's not the guy.

703
00:33:29,440 --> 00:33:31,680
Speaker 2: Twenty to one. I don't love the over but I

704
00:33:31,800 --> 00:33:33,920
Speaker 2: love the upside of this defense, just approving a little bit,

705
00:33:34,320 --> 00:33:36,920
Speaker 2: and I trust this offense. They're gonna be in shootouts

706
00:33:36,960 --> 00:33:41,000
Speaker 2: like they're talent wise, like they're gonna be in like

707
00:33:41,080 --> 00:33:43,040
Speaker 2: they're not going to be completely overmatched by any team.

708
00:33:43,400 --> 00:33:45,280
Speaker 2: And they get the two worst teams from the West

709
00:33:46,240 --> 00:33:50,760
Speaker 2: they do host Coastal. So yeah, give me Georgia Southern

710
00:33:51,320 --> 00:33:52,320
Speaker 2: twenty to one. Babe.

711
00:33:53,040 --> 00:33:55,600
Speaker 3: I hope they hang fifty on UAB Week two. That

712
00:33:55,880 --> 00:33:57,720
Speaker 3: that'll be certainly a play on Georgia seven.

713
00:33:58,520 --> 00:34:01,680
Speaker 2: The Blazers have the team. We're fired up to continue.

714
00:34:02,200 --> 00:34:04,200
Speaker 2: And I get to if I have Georgia Southern gear

715
00:34:04,200 --> 00:34:07,280
Speaker 2: because I love backing them, and I get the hashtag

716
00:34:07,440 --> 00:34:10,000
Speaker 2: gata which people always see me and people from Georgia

717
00:34:10,040 --> 00:34:12,719
Speaker 2: Southern will always sweet out and said it, and it's taught.

718
00:34:13,080 --> 00:34:15,360
Speaker 2: It's get after their asses. I think Matt Matt Mitchuck

719
00:34:15,360 --> 00:34:17,680
Speaker 2: actually has a shirt that actually just says that get

720
00:34:17,719 --> 00:34:18,800
Speaker 2: after their asses are producing.

721
00:34:18,840 --> 00:34:21,080
Speaker 1: He seventy one as well, So I'm happy to wear it.

722
00:34:21,200 --> 00:34:23,719
Speaker 1: You know, early in the season with these overs. You

723
00:34:23,800 --> 00:34:25,680
Speaker 1: all don't remember the Georgia Southern game, do you.

724
00:34:26,480 --> 00:34:28,160
Speaker 3: I don't think we had a guy on that field

725
00:34:28,360 --> 00:34:30,160
Speaker 3: that didn't play in the NFL in About four or

726
00:34:30,200 --> 00:34:32,440
Speaker 3: five of them were first round draft picks, and they

727
00:34:32,560 --> 00:34:34,439
Speaker 3: run through our ass like shit through a ten horn

728
00:34:34,520 --> 00:34:36,080
Speaker 3: man and we could not stop.

729
00:34:35,880 --> 00:34:39,360
Speaker 2: Them twenty to one. Baby. Yeah, Georgia Southern. Not the

730
00:34:39,520 --> 00:34:42,279
Speaker 2: case with Georgia State, who I think we're gonna talk

731
00:34:42,280 --> 00:34:42,680
Speaker 2: about next.

732
00:34:42,960 --> 00:34:45,399
Speaker 1: Yeah, let's say in the Peach State the Panthers four

733
00:34:45,480 --> 00:34:48,000
Speaker 1: and eight last year, three and five in conference. Their

734
00:34:48,000 --> 00:34:50,120
Speaker 1: win toll set of five and a half, less than

735
00:34:50,160 --> 00:34:52,160
Speaker 1: forty percent of their line starts to return negative three

736
00:34:52,160 --> 00:34:54,000
Speaker 1: point five in the tarp, almost all their losses on

737
00:34:54,080 --> 00:34:57,520
Speaker 1: defense nine returning starts in total. I mean, you can

738
00:34:57,680 --> 00:34:59,040
Speaker 1: you can look at this a lot of different ways.

739
00:34:59,040 --> 00:35:00,840
Speaker 1: They lost their last three games of the year, but

740
00:35:00,960 --> 00:35:03,200
Speaker 1: by a total of ten points to finish four and eight.

741
00:35:03,280 --> 00:35:05,239
Speaker 1: They bring in a new DC after that if they

742
00:35:05,320 --> 00:35:07,839
Speaker 1: basically imploded on that side of the ball but only

743
00:35:07,920 --> 00:35:11,560
Speaker 1: return for starters. There Granger's back, which is nice. I mean,

744
00:35:11,640 --> 00:35:14,200
Speaker 1: the coaching staff basically has been singing his praises because

745
00:35:14,239 --> 00:35:16,360
Speaker 1: they feel like he's holding it all together. They got

746
00:35:16,400 --> 00:35:19,640
Speaker 1: a pair of starting receivers back. The schedule, though, is

747
00:35:19,880 --> 00:35:22,520
Speaker 1: challenging in my opinion, because it's a soft start. They

748
00:35:22,560 --> 00:35:24,400
Speaker 1: get Rhode Island and Charlotte, so they're gonna get some

749
00:35:24,480 --> 00:35:27,240
Speaker 1: wins early in the first three weeks, but this stretch

750
00:35:27,320 --> 00:35:30,680
Speaker 1: they got at Coastal home against Troy versus Marshall, and

751
00:35:30,800 --> 00:35:33,359
Speaker 1: then late season they got James Mass at home app

752
00:35:33,400 --> 00:35:36,480
Speaker 1: State and at LSU. I don't know, I think I'm

753
00:35:36,520 --> 00:35:38,239
Speaker 1: going under This is a team I really wanted to

754
00:35:38,280 --> 00:35:40,359
Speaker 1: see breakthrough last year, and they didn't get it. Done,

755
00:35:40,880 --> 00:35:43,160
Speaker 1: And as I said, it's sometimes an eye had the

756
00:35:43,200 --> 00:35:45,239
Speaker 1: beholder thing where it's like, are you right on the

757
00:35:45,320 --> 00:35:47,239
Speaker 1: cusp while you're losing these games? Or are you losing

758
00:35:47,280 --> 00:35:49,520
Speaker 1: these close games because of coaching and just you don't

759
00:35:49,560 --> 00:35:51,400
Speaker 1: have what it takes to push over the top. So

760
00:35:51,480 --> 00:35:53,200
Speaker 1: this will be an under for me here. Somebody's got

761
00:35:53,280 --> 00:35:54,920
Speaker 1: to lose games in the East, and I think it's

762
00:35:54,960 --> 00:35:56,120
Speaker 1: the Panthers. What do you think sucky?

763
00:35:56,719 --> 00:35:56,839
Speaker 3: Now?

764
00:35:57,160 --> 00:35:59,879
Speaker 2: I wanted to bet they over here. I could see

765
00:35:59,880 --> 00:36:02,520
Speaker 2: the getting a Bowl eligibility. They went one in five

766
00:36:02,560 --> 00:36:04,880
Speaker 2: and one possession games last year, like they were so close.

767
00:36:05,360 --> 00:36:07,120
Speaker 2: Granger kind of like it's gonna be a rush first

768
00:36:07,160 --> 00:36:10,160
Speaker 2: offense again with Carol Back and Adams, and like they're

769
00:36:10,160 --> 00:36:12,240
Speaker 2: gonna be able to run the ball, especially with Grainger

770
00:36:12,320 --> 00:36:15,359
Speaker 2: and his dual threadibility. But I do have questions about

771
00:36:15,360 --> 00:36:19,160
Speaker 2: the secondary interier offensive line as well, so there's some

772
00:36:19,320 --> 00:36:22,000
Speaker 2: questions on this roster. I wanted to bet them over

773
00:36:22,000 --> 00:36:25,239
Speaker 2: a regression, like they got the same you know, Grainger back,

774
00:36:25,320 --> 00:36:28,560
Speaker 2: this rush first offense, but I just couldn't. With the schedule,

775
00:36:28,800 --> 00:36:31,480
Speaker 2: it's really tough. They draw Troy and Louisiana out of

776
00:36:31,560 --> 00:36:34,040
Speaker 2: the West which is unlucky. Yeah, I think they really

777
00:36:34,080 --> 00:36:35,480
Speaker 2: got to start three and an O for you, and

778
00:36:35,520 --> 00:36:38,440
Speaker 2: then you know you got Connecticut, which isn't an automatic win,

779
00:36:38,520 --> 00:36:40,800
Speaker 2: and then you're at Charlotte, which isn't. It could be

780
00:36:40,960 --> 00:36:43,920
Speaker 2: like trappy and who knows what Biff has up the

781
00:36:44,000 --> 00:36:45,759
Speaker 2: sleeve and how many quarterbacks he is going to use.

782
00:36:46,160 --> 00:36:48,600
Speaker 2: But I wanted to go over on them. Numbers, couldn't

783
00:36:48,640 --> 00:36:51,480
Speaker 2: quite get their schedule definitely makes it a pass for me.

784
00:36:52,160 --> 00:36:54,080
Speaker 3: I'm of you, stuck. I went into it thinking, like,

785
00:36:54,280 --> 00:36:56,920
Speaker 3: you know, they lost the UNC by six, Charlotte by one,

786
00:36:57,280 --> 00:37:01,239
Speaker 3: Ulm by three, James Madison two, Marshall five, Like this team,

787
00:37:01,480 --> 00:37:04,399
Speaker 3: last year's team was a lot better than a four

788
00:37:04,480 --> 00:37:07,879
Speaker 3: win team. But when you trade Ulm in Southern minutes

789
00:37:08,000 --> 00:37:10,839
Speaker 3: for Troy and Louisiana, and then you know, even if

790
00:37:10,840 --> 00:37:13,560
Speaker 3: they start three and oh, they probably lose seven of

791
00:37:13,600 --> 00:37:17,359
Speaker 3: their next eight games. Even if they win the toss

792
00:37:17,440 --> 00:37:20,640
Speaker 3: up against Georgia Southern on the road and Old Dominion

793
00:37:20,920 --> 00:37:23,839
Speaker 3: after a trip to Baton Rouge, Like, that's still only

794
00:37:23,920 --> 00:37:25,799
Speaker 3: five wins if they if they start three to oh

795
00:37:25,880 --> 00:37:28,879
Speaker 3: and win their coin flips, its still only gets them five.

796
00:37:29,560 --> 00:37:32,080
Speaker 3: So I have a really hard time getting this win

797
00:37:32,120 --> 00:37:38,880
Speaker 3: total as well, so I'm with Breeze on the under herefore.

798
00:37:36,960 --> 00:37:39,200
Speaker 2: We go any further. As a reminder, Big Bets on

799
00:37:39,280 --> 00:37:42,680
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800
00:37:42,800 --> 00:37:44,920
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801
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802
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803
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804
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805
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806
00:38:05,880 --> 00:38:09,480
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807
00:38:09,560 --> 00:38:12,120
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808
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809
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810
00:38:16,680 --> 00:38:19,680
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811
00:38:19,800 --> 00:38:22,360
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812
00:38:22,360 --> 00:38:25,960
Speaker 2: Michigan disassociated persons. Please gamble responsibly. Gambling problem Call one

813
00:38:26,120 --> 00:38:28,440
Speaker 2: hundred next step in Arizona, one one hundred and five

814
00:38:28,480 --> 00:38:32,520
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815
00:38:32,640 --> 00:38:35,200
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816
00:38:35,320 --> 00:38:37,920
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817
00:38:37,960 --> 00:38:40,880
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818
00:38:40,920 --> 00:38:43,880
Speaker 2: eight hundred bets off in Iowa one hundred ninet eight

819
00:38:43,880 --> 00:38:45,839
Speaker 2: one zero zero two three. In Puerto Rico, call eight

820
00:38:45,920 --> 00:38:49,319
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821
00:38:49,440 --> 00:38:52,120
Speaker 2: In New York call text of Tennessee Redline at twenty

822
00:38:52,120 --> 00:38:54,040
Speaker 2: one hundred eight eight nine nine seven eight nine or

823
00:38:54,080 --> 00:38:56,279
Speaker 2: call one eight eight eight seven seven seven nine six

824
00:38:56,360 --> 00:38:58,520
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825
00:38:58,600 --> 00:39:00,480
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826
00:39:00,520 --> 00:39:03,000
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827
00:39:03,040 --> 00:39:04,719
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828
00:39:04,719 --> 00:39:07,280
Speaker 2: adviser free charge. Sports betting is void in Georgia, Hawaii,

829
00:39:07,440 --> 00:39:09,960
Speaker 2: and Utah and other states were prohibited. Promotional offers not

830
00:39:10,040 --> 00:39:11,440
Speaker 2: available in that in New York.

831
00:39:12,360 --> 00:39:14,960
Speaker 1: All right, maybe this one can be more emphatic under

832
00:39:15,040 --> 00:39:19,280
Speaker 1: old Dominion three and nine last year too from the NFL.

833
00:39:20,040 --> 00:39:22,560
Speaker 1: They're sitting at a win total four forty three percent

834
00:39:22,600 --> 00:39:24,919
Speaker 1: of our line starts to return negative eight point five

835
00:39:25,080 --> 00:39:27,120
Speaker 1: in the net tart negative seven on offense. That's side

836
00:39:27,160 --> 00:39:31,880
Speaker 1: for worst nationally eight returning starters, both specialists. The Monarchs

837
00:39:31,920 --> 00:39:34,080
Speaker 1: come in on a six game losing streak in which

838
00:39:34,160 --> 00:39:37,560
Speaker 1: they got outscored seventy seven to one hundred and seventy four,

839
00:39:37,680 --> 00:39:40,279
Speaker 1: and the season their defense is really bad and they

840
00:39:40,440 --> 00:39:42,520
Speaker 1: didn't make a change of coordinator, which is what I'm

841
00:39:42,560 --> 00:39:44,480
Speaker 1: looking for there. I'm like, did you get you know,

842
00:39:44,600 --> 00:39:47,280
Speaker 1: a new style, some new blood in the in the building,

843
00:39:47,560 --> 00:39:49,400
Speaker 1: and did you do it in the transfer portal? They

844
00:39:49,560 --> 00:39:51,080
Speaker 1: kind of did, But then you look at the guys

845
00:39:51,160 --> 00:39:54,480
Speaker 1: that got, you know, players essentially that weren't playing at UNC,

846
00:39:54,640 --> 00:39:57,600
Speaker 1: Duke and Temple. I'm not overwhelmed with that. At Jason

847
00:39:57,640 --> 00:39:59,920
Speaker 1: Henderson is phenomenal at the country and tackles last year

848
00:40:00,000 --> 00:40:02,439
Speaker 1: one hundred and eighty six. He'll be a tackling machine again,

849
00:40:02,880 --> 00:40:05,440
Speaker 1: but I think their defense will be, you know, bottom

850
00:40:05,840 --> 00:40:09,399
Speaker 1: fifteen in all the country. Their offense also not very good.

851
00:40:09,480 --> 00:40:11,680
Speaker 1: They bring it into New OC and Kevin Decker, he's

852
00:40:11,680 --> 00:40:14,120
Speaker 1: going to run kind of like a Tennessee esque kind

853
00:40:14,160 --> 00:40:17,000
Speaker 1: of offense. But they got limited options at quarterback in

854
00:40:17,120 --> 00:40:20,359
Speaker 1: terms of experience, their receiving corps, you know, loses Ali

855
00:40:20,440 --> 00:40:22,440
Speaker 1: Jennings to Virginia Tech. He was their big play guy.

856
00:40:23,040 --> 00:40:26,000
Speaker 1: The best thing I heard from their spring practice was

857
00:40:26,120 --> 00:40:28,319
Speaker 1: Cadarius Callaway at running back. He was a big time

858
00:40:28,360 --> 00:40:31,240
Speaker 1: recruit in the state of Mississippi. He switched from dB

859
00:40:32,120 --> 00:40:35,719
Speaker 1: to running back. He played at EMCC, which was the

860
00:40:35,800 --> 00:40:38,759
Speaker 1: last chance to you from Netflix. He could be good.

861
00:40:39,000 --> 00:40:41,080
Speaker 1: But the rest of this offense, I think it's a

862
00:40:41,120 --> 00:40:44,200
Speaker 1: lot of new faces. And you know, if you watch

863
00:40:44,280 --> 00:40:46,239
Speaker 1: them a lot last year, Ali Jennings really in the

864
00:40:46,320 --> 00:40:47,920
Speaker 1: last two years he bailed them out with the big

865
00:40:47,960 --> 00:40:50,759
Speaker 1: plays and he helped them, you know, upset Virginia Tech

866
00:40:50,800 --> 00:40:53,320
Speaker 1: with big plays down the stretch. The opening of the

867
00:40:53,400 --> 00:40:56,879
Speaker 1: schedule at VA Tech, Louisiana and Wake at home. It's

868
00:40:56,960 --> 00:40:59,239
Speaker 1: not great. And they also draw Liberty in the non

869
00:40:59,360 --> 00:41:01,960
Speaker 1: con late in the season on the road. They only

870
00:41:02,000 --> 00:41:04,920
Speaker 1: have one absolute gimme Texas A and m Corpus Christi,

871
00:41:05,280 --> 00:41:07,320
Speaker 1: or maybe it's Commerce. I will have to double check that.

872
00:41:07,520 --> 00:41:09,839
Speaker 1: Either way, that's their only win of the season.

873
00:41:09,920 --> 00:41:10,839
Speaker 3: They could game.

874
00:41:11,040 --> 00:41:11,839
Speaker 1: They could lose that game.

875
00:41:12,040 --> 00:41:17,959
Speaker 2: I mean, although this team is terrible, terrible, it's under

876
00:41:19,160 --> 00:41:22,400
Speaker 2: under uh I talked about the hate I got for

877
00:41:23,200 --> 00:41:25,600
Speaker 2: the quarterback switch in the Big Ten. You should have

878
00:41:25,600 --> 00:41:27,880
Speaker 2: saw the hate I got and the text and dms

879
00:41:27,880 --> 00:41:29,680
Speaker 2: I got after putting Penn State to win the national

880
00:41:29,760 --> 00:41:33,399
Speaker 2: title in the app Are you drinking mixing the water

881
00:41:33,840 --> 00:41:36,759
Speaker 2: is everything? Okay? Or you kidnapped? So we get to

882
00:41:37,280 --> 00:41:39,680
Speaker 2: kind of take an under and shot on a former

883
00:41:39,760 --> 00:41:42,960
Speaker 2: Penn State coach here, Sorry to jump the gun here,

884
00:41:43,000 --> 00:41:44,759
Speaker 2: I know, but yeah, this team is terrible. Third I

885
00:41:44,800 --> 00:41:46,279
Speaker 2: was team three years dec is gonna come in, as

886
00:41:46,320 --> 00:41:48,040
Speaker 2: you said for reports, gonna run a four wide, up

887
00:41:48,120 --> 00:41:50,839
Speaker 2: tempo shotgun offense. Maybe you can work in the future.

888
00:41:50,920 --> 00:41:52,480
Speaker 2: They need talent. They don't have any talent on this

889
00:41:52,560 --> 00:41:55,480
Speaker 2: team like this as from a talent perspective, this team

890
00:41:55,560 --> 00:41:58,600
Speaker 2: is on par with Kent State. Like this team is

891
00:41:58,880 --> 00:42:00,759
Speaker 2: is bad. I mean, we you did eventioned that tight

892
00:42:00,880 --> 00:42:02,920
Speaker 2: end that they lost to the NFL who bailed them

893
00:42:02,960 --> 00:42:05,279
Speaker 2: out as well. They lose they you know, they do

894
00:42:05,360 --> 00:42:08,640
Speaker 2: have a really good linebacker led the country and tackles

895
00:42:08,680 --> 00:42:10,960
Speaker 2: last year. They leave that they lose their defensive lineacher,

896
00:42:11,239 --> 00:42:12,800
Speaker 2: I was spending way too much time in this team already.

897
00:42:12,800 --> 00:42:15,280
Speaker 2: So third, oh see three years, the major questions at quarterback,

898
00:42:15,320 --> 00:42:16,880
Speaker 2: pass catching, Like, I don't know how they're going to

899
00:42:16,920 --> 00:42:19,320
Speaker 2: implement this offense. I have them a double. I have

900
00:42:19,400 --> 00:42:21,520
Speaker 2: them eleven and a half point underdogs are more than

901
00:42:21,560 --> 00:42:25,000
Speaker 2: ten games, so under three and a half for me.

902
00:42:25,480 --> 00:42:28,440
Speaker 2: All the way they draw Louisiana and Southern Mists from

903
00:42:28,440 --> 00:42:32,320
Speaker 2: the West, it's a brutal schedule overall. And yeah, I

904
00:42:32,360 --> 00:42:34,920
Speaker 2: mean at VA Tech. You don't think Vatek's waiting for

905
00:42:35,000 --> 00:42:38,399
Speaker 2: that game Louisiana Wake. Where are the wins? Uh? App

906
00:42:38,440 --> 00:42:40,960
Speaker 2: State at home? Coastal at home? You guys were just

907
00:42:40,960 --> 00:42:43,480
Speaker 2: talking about much you love Coastal Georgia State at home.

908
00:42:43,560 --> 00:42:45,920
Speaker 2: In the finale, we're how they get in the four wins.

909
00:42:46,200 --> 00:42:47,680
Speaker 2: They're gonna have to pull up a couple upsets, and

910
00:42:47,680 --> 00:42:51,000
Speaker 2: I don't see it. Maybe the offense really peaks and spikes.

911
00:42:51,440 --> 00:42:54,799
Speaker 2: We've seen that before with these you know, coordinators who

912
00:42:54,880 --> 00:42:56,840
Speaker 2: come in change the scheme and it looks different and

913
00:42:56,880 --> 00:42:58,960
Speaker 2: teams aren't used to. I just don't see the talent here.

914
00:43:00,160 --> 00:43:00,759
Speaker 2: Three and a half.

915
00:43:01,200 --> 00:43:04,480
Speaker 3: Oh, do you I've never hit my bias. I bet

916
00:43:04,719 --> 00:43:07,239
Speaker 3: for fun. I want to have fun, and there's nothing

917
00:43:07,280 --> 00:43:10,120
Speaker 3: that's fun about rooting against Ricky Ronnie, who has brought

918
00:43:10,280 --> 00:43:12,680
Speaker 3: me a lot of joy at Penn State. So I'm

919
00:43:12,760 --> 00:43:14,879
Speaker 3: never going to bet an under on Ricky Ronnie because

920
00:43:14,880 --> 00:43:18,160
Speaker 3: I'm very biased. But this team is going to be

921
00:43:18,440 --> 00:43:21,359
Speaker 3: favored in one game and one game only.

922
00:43:22,120 --> 00:43:24,720
Speaker 2: I have them dogs to Commerce. I'm kidding, but I should.

923
00:43:25,920 --> 00:43:28,239
Speaker 2: I don't even a rating for whoever textam Commerce is.

924
00:43:28,480 --> 00:43:32,440
Speaker 3: So I will be rooting from afar for Ricky Ronnie

925
00:43:32,480 --> 00:43:35,400
Speaker 3: to pick up at least a second win at some point,

926
00:43:35,800 --> 00:43:38,200
Speaker 3: but I have a hard time thinking it will actually come.

927
00:43:39,440 --> 00:43:42,920
Speaker 1: All right, let's switch from this negativity and all the

928
00:43:44,600 --> 00:43:47,319
Speaker 1: stomach acid churning around for you having to turn your

929
00:43:47,360 --> 00:43:49,640
Speaker 1: back on Ricky Rannie or not doing so. Let's look

930
00:43:49,640 --> 00:43:52,239
Speaker 1: at the West because right off the bat, this is

931
00:43:52,280 --> 00:43:55,360
Speaker 1: my pick to win the conference. I'm all about South Alabama.

932
00:43:55,840 --> 00:43:57,440
Speaker 1: They are one of the few teams in the entire

933
00:43:57,480 --> 00:44:01,279
Speaker 1: country that return their head coach DCoC quarterback. Their win

934
00:44:01,320 --> 00:44:03,640
Speaker 1: totals set at eight. They won ten games last year.

935
00:44:04,120 --> 00:44:07,040
Speaker 1: Ninety five point four percent of their offensive line starts

936
00:44:07,120 --> 00:44:10,680
Speaker 1: return plus eight Sunbelt best in the net TARP plus

937
00:44:10,719 --> 00:44:13,239
Speaker 1: four point five on offense alone, sixteen returning starters and

938
00:44:13,360 --> 00:44:18,120
Speaker 1: both specialists loaded with experience everywhere. Carter Bradley slowly but

939
00:44:18,280 --> 00:44:21,680
Speaker 1: surely became a very good quarterback in this conference. Webb

940
00:44:21,960 --> 00:44:24,200
Speaker 1: is a star at running back. The buzz out of

941
00:44:24,239 --> 00:44:26,200
Speaker 1: the spring is they really like their receiving cores. They

942
00:44:26,239 --> 00:44:28,719
Speaker 1: have a lot of options. Will someone emerge into that

943
00:44:28,840 --> 00:44:32,920
Speaker 1: Jalen Wayne position? We'll see. Their run defense was absolutely

944
00:44:33,040 --> 00:44:35,239
Speaker 1: elite last year and they bring five of their you know,

945
00:44:35,840 --> 00:44:38,399
Speaker 1: six starters in the front in their three three five

946
00:44:38,560 --> 00:44:40,880
Speaker 1: back This was a defense you know, they hung their

947
00:44:40,920 --> 00:44:42,680
Speaker 1: hat on. They called it the swarm defense last year.

948
00:44:42,719 --> 00:44:46,040
Speaker 1: I believe in came Wilmlack. I believe in Corey batoon system.

949
00:44:46,320 --> 00:44:48,040
Speaker 1: I think they're going to get it done here. They

950
00:44:48,080 --> 00:44:50,719
Speaker 1: were very close to breaking through last year. As I mentioned,

951
00:44:50,760 --> 00:44:52,800
Speaker 1: they win ten games, they go seven to one in

952
00:44:52,920 --> 00:44:55,560
Speaker 1: conference play. They got some new faces in the secondary,

953
00:44:55,640 --> 00:44:58,520
Speaker 1: but they still have Yambanks and Marquise Robinson a corner.

954
00:44:58,800 --> 00:45:02,080
Speaker 1: Banks moves you know between s and nickelback. The schedule

955
00:45:02,200 --> 00:45:04,880
Speaker 1: is rocky, you know, in terms of a team that

956
00:45:04,960 --> 00:45:08,280
Speaker 1: I'm this high on because their road games are really challenging.

957
00:45:08,320 --> 00:45:09,920
Speaker 1: They go to two Wlayane in the opener. I'm going

958
00:45:10,000 --> 00:45:11,919
Speaker 1: to play them. I believe in them, so I'm gonna

959
00:45:11,920 --> 00:45:13,919
Speaker 1: put my money where my mouth is. I think they're

960
00:45:14,200 --> 00:45:16,080
Speaker 1: a seven or eight point underdog. They're going to play

961
00:45:16,080 --> 00:45:18,359
Speaker 1: them on the money line. They're at Oklahoma State, They're

962
00:45:18,400 --> 00:45:21,280
Speaker 1: at Jamuth, They're at Troy. As I said, it's difficult,

963
00:45:21,360 --> 00:45:24,520
Speaker 1: I could see them winning one, two, maybe three. They're

964
00:45:24,520 --> 00:45:26,680
Speaker 1: certainly not sweeping it. So in terms of them being

965
00:45:26,719 --> 00:45:29,400
Speaker 1: like a ne year six Bowl participant, could be difficult

966
00:45:29,440 --> 00:45:31,120
Speaker 1: if they go two and two in that stretch, but

967
00:45:31,200 --> 00:45:33,960
Speaker 1: they avoid Coastal and the crossover and they get Marshall

968
00:45:34,000 --> 00:45:36,600
Speaker 1: at home. So all things being equal, based on how

969
00:45:36,680 --> 00:45:38,920
Speaker 1: much experience they have, I'm going to take them three

970
00:45:39,000 --> 00:45:41,600
Speaker 1: to one and over on their win total. Stuck all

971
00:45:41,640 --> 00:45:44,440
Speaker 1: pitch to you here first? Are you on the Jags

972
00:45:44,640 --> 00:45:46,640
Speaker 1: and you know how good do you think they were

973
00:45:46,719 --> 00:45:48,040
Speaker 1: last year? Do you think it was a little bit

974
00:45:48,080 --> 00:45:49,719
Speaker 1: of smoke and mirrors or do you think that Carter

975
00:45:49,840 --> 00:45:52,400
Speaker 1: Bradley really did take that step forward offensively.

976
00:45:53,120 --> 00:45:55,719
Speaker 2: Now I've always liked Bradley and I love Willmack, so

977
00:45:55,960 --> 00:45:58,200
Speaker 2: I'm a huge fan. This is a super experienced team.

978
00:45:59,040 --> 00:46:01,359
Speaker 2: I love their aggressive You mentioned that their tight ends

979
00:46:01,360 --> 00:46:04,000
Speaker 2: are strong at tight end and apple White heavy two

980
00:46:04,080 --> 00:46:07,560
Speaker 2: tight end scheme guy, so that's important. Uh, they did

981
00:46:07,640 --> 00:46:10,920
Speaker 2: go one to five to two one possession games fairly,

982
00:46:11,040 --> 00:46:13,120
Speaker 2: you know, but they just have a ton of experience.

983
00:46:13,160 --> 00:46:15,600
Speaker 2: I like this team that the one corner spot is

984
00:46:15,640 --> 00:46:21,000
Speaker 2: a question on defense. And but having said all that, yeah,

985
00:46:21,040 --> 00:46:24,399
Speaker 2: the road, the road schedule is tough. I probably will

986
00:46:24,400 --> 00:46:27,160
Speaker 2: be on them at TWU lane as well. And I

987
00:46:27,320 --> 00:46:31,560
Speaker 2: just think they're priced properly to win this conference at

988
00:46:31,640 --> 00:46:33,719
Speaker 2: right around three to one, which is right around where

989
00:46:33,840 --> 00:46:35,840
Speaker 2: Troy is, and they have to go to Troy, and

990
00:46:35,880 --> 00:46:37,480
Speaker 2: then you mentioned it, they also go to two lane

991
00:46:37,520 --> 00:46:41,560
Speaker 2: to Oklahoma State and two JMU. They also go to

992
00:46:41,760 --> 00:46:44,839
Speaker 2: Texas State in the finale. We'll talk about Texas State.

993
00:46:44,880 --> 00:46:48,520
Speaker 2: But like that's a complete rebuild, interesting offense. But you

994
00:46:48,560 --> 00:46:50,520
Speaker 2: don't want to face those teams like on the road

995
00:46:50,560 --> 00:46:52,719
Speaker 2: in the finale, right, Like you'd rather have them early on.

996
00:46:53,440 --> 00:46:58,279
Speaker 2: So maybe that game is a little scrappy. Yeah, it's

997
00:46:58,320 --> 00:47:01,600
Speaker 2: a pass for me, but I don't mind backing them.

998
00:47:02,239 --> 00:47:04,200
Speaker 2: I think I like them a little bit more than Troy,

999
00:47:04,840 --> 00:47:07,440
Speaker 2: but when it comes to the Sun Belt, I like

1000
00:47:07,480 --> 00:47:12,440
Speaker 2: a little JUICEI your prices. So I'm passing on South Alabama,

1001
00:47:12,520 --> 00:47:15,200
Speaker 2: who I want to back, going back when possible, So

1002
00:47:15,480 --> 00:47:17,279
Speaker 2: but I'm passing preseason. How about you.

1003
00:47:17,440 --> 00:47:20,320
Speaker 3: I know I'm with you, Breeze. We will be jagging

1004
00:47:20,400 --> 00:47:23,680
Speaker 3: off together all year long because I'm also riding South

1005
00:47:23,719 --> 00:47:27,279
Speaker 3: Alabama to win the conference. I like cam Willmack a lot.

1006
00:47:27,320 --> 00:47:28,960
Speaker 3: I love what he does. You mentioned it Stock, I

1007
00:47:29,040 --> 00:47:30,640
Speaker 3: was gonna throw that into that. Their tight end room

1008
00:47:30,719 --> 00:47:32,920
Speaker 3: is loaded, So even losing Jalen Wayne, I think their

1009
00:47:32,960 --> 00:47:35,719
Speaker 3: passing offense will still be great. Card Bradley does need

1010
00:47:35,800 --> 00:47:38,600
Speaker 3: to cut down the turnovers a little bit, but Web

1011
00:47:38,719 --> 00:47:41,399
Speaker 3: is sick, so I'm pretty high in this offense. Again,

1012
00:47:41,400 --> 00:47:43,520
Speaker 3: I think they'll be really good defense here. I mean,

1013
00:47:43,840 --> 00:47:45,960
Speaker 3: first of all, you saw you know, look what Indiana

1014
00:47:46,000 --> 00:47:49,400
Speaker 3: has become since Womack left. Their defense is horrific. So

1015
00:47:50,160 --> 00:47:52,160
Speaker 3: me and Breezes were both on Troy to win this

1016
00:47:52,280 --> 00:47:53,239
Speaker 3: division last year.

1017
00:47:53,600 --> 00:47:55,120
Speaker 2: We will do them to a conference title.

1018
00:47:55,440 --> 00:47:57,120
Speaker 3: Now we're just going to flip teams and we're gonna

1019
00:47:57,160 --> 00:47:59,279
Speaker 3: do the same exact thing in South Alabama. They get

1020
00:47:59,280 --> 00:48:02,480
Speaker 3: their revenge on Troy. This year, South Alabama win the conference.

1021
00:48:02,600 --> 00:48:03,880
Speaker 3: I'm with Calburys on this one.

1022
00:48:04,320 --> 00:48:06,439
Speaker 2: I'm just gonna wait and bet South Alabama against Troy.

1023
00:48:06,680 --> 00:48:07,399
Speaker 2: That's what I'm doing.

1024
00:48:08,040 --> 00:48:10,680
Speaker 1: I think it's interesting that Troy has the same number

1025
00:48:10,880 --> 00:48:13,359
Speaker 1: here to win the conference essentially, you know, three to one.

1026
00:48:14,040 --> 00:48:16,160
Speaker 1: I get it. They won twelve games last year. They

1027
00:48:16,239 --> 00:48:18,640
Speaker 1: played really well in the bowl game, shutting down a

1028
00:48:18,680 --> 00:48:21,400
Speaker 1: prolific offense. But they only have forty percent of their

1029
00:48:21,400 --> 00:48:24,120
Speaker 1: offensive line starts back. You know, they lose a lot

1030
00:48:24,200 --> 00:48:26,840
Speaker 1: of big names on defense, Carlton Marshall, they lose their

1031
00:48:26,960 --> 00:48:29,920
Speaker 1: DC shield Wood, six starters in total back there on

1032
00:48:30,040 --> 00:48:32,920
Speaker 1: a defense that was eighth in scoring d But I

1033
00:48:32,960 --> 00:48:35,880
Speaker 1: don't know just offensively. I was never enamored with them.

1034
00:48:35,920 --> 00:48:37,800
Speaker 1: It was always a question of could they win in

1035
00:48:38,080 --> 00:48:40,399
Speaker 1: spite of their offense. And John Sumrall, I think he'll

1036
00:48:40,400 --> 00:48:43,239
Speaker 1: get it together on defense. But Gunner Watson, I've seen

1037
00:48:43,320 --> 00:48:43,879
Speaker 1: him play a lot.

1038
00:48:44,000 --> 00:48:44,640
Speaker 2: I know what he is.

1039
00:48:45,080 --> 00:48:47,759
Speaker 1: Fourteen tds, twelve picks last year, that's essentially what he is.

1040
00:48:47,880 --> 00:48:49,800
Speaker 1: He's a guy who can do some good things and

1041
00:48:49,880 --> 00:48:52,680
Speaker 1: also turn the ball over in big moments. They couldn't

1042
00:48:52,760 --> 00:48:54,000
Speaker 1: run the ball at all, they were one hundred and

1043
00:48:54,080 --> 00:48:57,920
Speaker 1: six and rushing. Tesz Johnson, one of their best wide receivers,

1044
00:48:57,960 --> 00:49:00,279
Speaker 1: transfers to Oregon. And then the schedule, well, I think

1045
00:49:00,280 --> 00:49:02,000
Speaker 1: it's paid back time in a lot of spots. You know,

1046
00:49:02,040 --> 00:49:05,799
Speaker 1: they're at k State, James Madison, Western Kentucky at Georgia State,

1047
00:49:05,840 --> 00:49:08,680
Speaker 1: all in September. That's a tricky start. No Coastal, no

1048
00:49:08,760 --> 00:49:11,880
Speaker 1: app State, no Marshall. That's why they're three to one

1049
00:49:11,960 --> 00:49:14,359
Speaker 1: to win. You know, this conference. It's like they were

1050
00:49:14,600 --> 00:49:17,840
Speaker 1: huge beneficiaries. They're missing those three teams and the crossover,

1051
00:49:18,080 --> 00:49:21,160
Speaker 1: and they draw South Alabama at home. So it's kind

1052
00:49:21,160 --> 00:49:23,960
Speaker 1: of difficult because I don't want to play them solely

1053
00:49:24,040 --> 00:49:26,480
Speaker 1: because of the schedule and my issues with Gunner Watson.

1054
00:49:26,640 --> 00:49:29,360
Speaker 1: But am I missing this stuck? Like should I be

1055
00:49:29,400 --> 00:49:31,560
Speaker 1: a little bit higher on the Trojans year, you know,

1056
00:49:31,680 --> 00:49:33,480
Speaker 1: to repeat as Western champions?

1057
00:49:34,520 --> 00:49:36,600
Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, I think the schedule broke their way.

1058
00:49:37,000 --> 00:49:42,600
Speaker 2: I mean, their road league games are Georgia State, Texas State, ULM,

1059
00:49:42,719 --> 00:49:46,600
Speaker 2: and Southern miss and they get the host South Alabama.

1060
00:49:47,000 --> 00:49:51,000
Speaker 2: So that's pretty damn beneficial. And they are one of

1061
00:49:51,040 --> 00:49:53,479
Speaker 2: two teams of the country that have won ten plus

1062
00:49:53,560 --> 00:49:55,600
Speaker 2: games in a row that have come into the season.

1063
00:49:55,640 --> 00:49:57,880
Speaker 2: That's Georgia and Troy. They did go six and one

1064
00:49:57,920 --> 00:50:01,200
Speaker 2: and one profession games and the cholo's a big loss

1065
00:50:01,200 --> 00:50:04,200
Speaker 2: to the defensive line. Their defense still gonna be really good,

1066
00:50:04,400 --> 00:50:08,160
Speaker 2: like really good. Last year they wriked eighth and takeaways.

1067
00:50:08,160 --> 00:50:09,839
Speaker 2: I'm not sure they're gonna be as good, but they

1068
00:50:09,920 --> 00:50:13,160
Speaker 2: held teams to three and a half points per fourth quarter,

1069
00:50:13,719 --> 00:50:16,160
Speaker 2: Like this team just knew how to shut teams down.

1070
00:50:16,640 --> 00:50:20,760
Speaker 2: But their offense was is still gonna be fairly limited.

1071
00:50:21,680 --> 00:50:23,520
Speaker 2: Banal is good and he's gonna have a good year,

1072
00:50:23,680 --> 00:50:28,080
Speaker 2: but I'm looking to fade them. I lean under here

1073
00:50:28,440 --> 00:50:31,279
Speaker 2: might end up playing their under but I think I'd

1074
00:50:31,400 --> 00:50:34,080
Speaker 2: rather just wait the play South Alabama against them and

1075
00:50:34,160 --> 00:50:37,840
Speaker 2: then look for some longer shots in this division to

1076
00:50:37,880 --> 00:50:40,440
Speaker 2: take a shot on, because I do think that they're vulnerable.

1077
00:50:41,520 --> 00:50:43,600
Speaker 2: I would agree it's under nothing with Troy this year.

1078
00:50:43,640 --> 00:50:45,160
Speaker 2: I do think they take a slight step back.

1079
00:50:46,080 --> 00:50:47,840
Speaker 1: What do you think I know about fading them in

1080
00:50:47,920 --> 00:50:50,480
Speaker 1: September but then maybe hopping back on the bandwagon because

1081
00:50:50,520 --> 00:50:52,120
Speaker 1: of their favorable Sun Belt schedule.

1082
00:50:52,440 --> 00:50:54,160
Speaker 3: Yeah, That's why I'm kind of torn, because, like I

1083
00:50:54,280 --> 00:50:56,799
Speaker 3: still like this team. Like, I agree, I think their

1084
00:50:56,880 --> 00:50:59,200
Speaker 3: defense is still nasty. You know, they bang back Roddy

1085
00:50:59,239 --> 00:51:02,680
Speaker 3: Stewart and delp head us. In the secondary, they lose

1086
00:51:02,680 --> 00:51:05,080
Speaker 3: obviously Carlton Marshall, but they do have pretty good depth

1087
00:51:05,120 --> 00:51:09,319
Speaker 3: at linebacker. TJ. Jackson's back. Yeah, Gunner Watson is another

1088
00:51:09,360 --> 00:51:11,919
Speaker 3: one that needs to cut down the turnovers. They lose

1089
00:51:12,040 --> 00:51:14,680
Speaker 3: two huge piece on the offensive lines of the NFL.

1090
00:51:15,120 --> 00:51:18,040
Speaker 3: Everything kind of broke their way last year. It's hard

1091
00:51:18,120 --> 00:51:20,280
Speaker 3: to just hard to do that again in this sport.

1092
00:51:20,480 --> 00:51:23,439
Speaker 3: So I don't know, gun Ahead, I'd probably lean over,

1093
00:51:23,680 --> 00:51:26,319
Speaker 3: but because I'm higher on South Alabama, I'm just going

1094
00:51:26,400 --> 00:51:26,919
Speaker 3: to stay away.

1095
00:51:28,040 --> 00:51:30,719
Speaker 2: Slightly worried about their special teams this year. That's really

1096
00:51:30,760 --> 00:51:32,960
Speaker 2: important on a team that wants to like rind you

1097
00:51:33,040 --> 00:51:35,560
Speaker 2: down and win twenty to seventeen. And one of the

1098
00:51:35,640 --> 00:51:38,280
Speaker 2: reasons why, you know, with a good defensive, good special teams,

1099
00:51:38,480 --> 00:51:41,279
Speaker 2: you know, they play like the old Steelers Raven's way, right, Like,

1100
00:51:41,520 --> 00:51:43,600
Speaker 2: I think we're set the market set right here, and

1101
00:51:43,680 --> 00:51:46,240
Speaker 2: we think South Alabama there's just a little step ahead.

1102
00:51:46,320 --> 00:51:48,759
Speaker 2: Maybe there's an opportunity for to take some flyers and

1103
00:51:49,040 --> 00:51:50,080
Speaker 2: long shots elsewhere.

1104
00:51:50,960 --> 00:51:51,840
Speaker 3: So I spoke in the.

1105
00:51:51,880 --> 00:51:54,399
Speaker 1: East about how I thought that app State was due

1106
00:51:54,480 --> 00:51:56,680
Speaker 1: to finally take a step back. The next team up

1107
00:51:56,719 --> 00:51:59,600
Speaker 1: here in the West I feel similarly about, and it's Louisiana.

1108
00:51:59,680 --> 00:52:01,759
Speaker 1: They went six and seven last year, four and FOURIGN

1109
00:52:01,800 --> 00:52:04,719
Speaker 1: Conference win total at six and a half. This is

1110
00:52:04,800 --> 00:52:09,640
Speaker 1: the one you've been waiting for. I kind of view

1111
00:52:09,719 --> 00:52:13,960
Speaker 1: this as like the Wiley Coyote roadrunner situation, where like

1112
00:52:14,080 --> 00:52:16,520
Speaker 1: coyote runs off the cliff, but he hasn't realized it yet.

1113
00:52:16,880 --> 00:52:19,480
Speaker 1: That was last year without Billy Napier, and now is

1114
00:52:19,560 --> 00:52:22,359
Speaker 1: the swift descent. In my opinion, I'm just I'm down

1115
00:52:22,440 --> 00:52:24,080
Speaker 1: on the team. I think the Napier magic's gone. I

1116
00:52:24,120 --> 00:52:26,920
Speaker 1: think the overall roster talent is gone. What he was

1117
00:52:26,960 --> 00:52:30,120
Speaker 1: able to put together during that impressive three and a

1118
00:52:30,160 --> 00:52:32,799
Speaker 1: half year run with the raging Cagun's, I just don't

1119
00:52:32,800 --> 00:52:34,680
Speaker 1: see it anymore. It was the defense that kept them

1120
00:52:34,719 --> 00:52:37,160
Speaker 1: afloat last year. They returned just two starters on that

1121
00:52:37,239 --> 00:52:39,480
Speaker 1: side of the ball. Their net tarp is negative one.

1122
00:52:39,600 --> 00:52:43,600
Speaker 1: Eight returning starters in total plus their kicker. Then, offensively,

1123
00:52:43,760 --> 00:52:46,560
Speaker 1: Chandler Fields does not impressed me whatsoever. I think he

1124
00:52:46,640 --> 00:52:48,880
Speaker 1: may get replaced we'll see, you know, if he's the

1125
00:52:48,960 --> 00:52:51,439
Speaker 1: man throughout the entire season. But he also loses Michael

1126
00:52:51,480 --> 00:52:54,560
Speaker 1: Jefferson at wide receiver he graduated. And the schedule, I

1127
00:52:54,600 --> 00:52:56,880
Speaker 1: think it's going to be fools gold because early on

1128
00:52:57,040 --> 00:53:00,680
Speaker 1: they get Northwestern State ODU on the road UAD Road Buffalo.

1129
00:53:01,160 --> 00:53:03,319
Speaker 1: That could be the most fraudulent four and oh team

1130
00:53:03,440 --> 00:53:06,600
Speaker 1: in the country. I'm praying for it, because then they

1131
00:53:06,680 --> 00:53:10,360
Speaker 1: get slapped with a trip to Minnesota at South Alabama

1132
00:53:10,480 --> 00:53:13,000
Speaker 1: at Troy in you know, about a month's time. That's

1133
00:53:13,040 --> 00:53:16,239
Speaker 1: a humbling way to rubber band back to reality for

1134
00:53:16,440 --> 00:53:19,880
Speaker 1: the raging Cajun. So I'm down on them, and like

1135
00:53:19,960 --> 00:53:21,640
Speaker 1: I said, strangely, I'm gonna be rooting for them to

1136
00:53:21,719 --> 00:53:24,279
Speaker 1: you know, beat Northwestern State by forty five points and

1137
00:53:24,320 --> 00:53:26,600
Speaker 1: you know, drop fifty on Dilford. That's our war cry

1138
00:53:26,680 --> 00:53:29,080
Speaker 1: this entire season. But then I'm just gonna be fading

1139
00:53:29,080 --> 00:53:30,600
Speaker 1: the crap out of them come October.

1140
00:53:31,040 --> 00:53:31,879
Speaker 2: I know, what do you think?

1141
00:53:32,200 --> 00:53:34,239
Speaker 3: Yeah, that's the that's the problem is. I'm with you.

1142
00:53:34,360 --> 00:53:36,880
Speaker 3: First of all, they're gonna it looks like they are

1143
00:53:36,880 --> 00:53:39,640
Speaker 3: they gonna do this stupid two quarterback thing again with I.

1144
00:53:39,719 --> 00:53:40,239
Speaker 2: Think they are.

1145
00:53:42,239 --> 00:53:44,719
Speaker 3: It seems like they're gonna They were both hurt in

1146
00:53:44,760 --> 00:53:46,879
Speaker 3: the spring, so they couldn't even really compete for their job.

1147
00:53:46,920 --> 00:53:50,040
Speaker 3: They both kind of stank. But you mentioned it, like

1148
00:53:50,239 --> 00:53:53,279
Speaker 3: I'm hungred with you. I think the gap they fell,

1149
00:53:53,440 --> 00:53:56,080
Speaker 3: they fell back off their dominant run last year. I

1150
00:53:56,120 --> 00:53:59,080
Speaker 3: think the gap only widens with Troy and South Alabama

1151
00:54:00,080 --> 00:54:03,400
Speaker 3: to them. But this schedule is a joke. So you

1152
00:54:03,480 --> 00:54:06,320
Speaker 3: know they're gonna start four and oh they lose to Minnesota,

1153
00:54:06,480 --> 00:54:09,319
Speaker 3: you know, Texas State, Georgia State. It could be six

1154
00:54:09,400 --> 00:54:12,280
Speaker 3: and one, assuming they lose to South Alabama and Troy

1155
00:54:12,960 --> 00:54:16,719
Speaker 3: at Arkansas State, who I'm not high on, you know, Okay,

1156
00:54:16,800 --> 00:54:19,360
Speaker 3: Southern Miss maybe you like, they could go nine and

1157
00:54:19,440 --> 00:54:23,440
Speaker 3: three and be like horrible, So that kind of sucks.

1158
00:54:23,520 --> 00:54:25,520
Speaker 3: That's why I'm like kind of unhappy with the schedule

1159
00:54:25,560 --> 00:54:28,320
Speaker 3: because I'm with you or I like, I'll probably be

1160
00:54:28,400 --> 00:54:30,520
Speaker 3: feeding them and stuff, like I'll probably play Southern Miss.

1161
00:54:30,680 --> 00:54:35,040
Speaker 3: I'll probably play you know, maybe Texas State maybe, but

1162
00:54:35,280 --> 00:54:37,560
Speaker 3: like they could go nine and three and I don't

1163
00:54:37,560 --> 00:54:39,480
Speaker 3: think they're good at all. So I just have a

1164
00:54:39,520 --> 00:54:42,880
Speaker 3: hard time playing a wind tittle here because I'm never

1165
00:54:42,920 --> 00:54:44,960
Speaker 3: gonna bet them. I just don't really feel like it.

1166
00:54:46,040 --> 00:54:47,319
Speaker 3: The schedule is a clown show.

1167
00:54:48,120 --> 00:54:48,880
Speaker 1: What do you think is sucky?

1168
00:54:49,480 --> 00:54:52,120
Speaker 2: I'm doing it. And it's scary because, like you said,

1169
00:54:52,160 --> 00:54:54,040
Speaker 2: we were like they started the request of state at

1170
00:54:54,080 --> 00:54:56,320
Speaker 2: home add over to you. We just we just trashed

1171
00:54:56,719 --> 00:54:58,880
Speaker 2: at UAB who just trashed for an hour on the

1172
00:54:58,960 --> 00:55:02,239
Speaker 2: last podcast, Buffalo who we trashed on the mac podcast.

1173
00:55:02,719 --> 00:55:06,200
Speaker 2: I mean, like, that's that's most likely four and oh

1174
00:55:06,640 --> 00:55:08,080
Speaker 2: then you're at Minnesota your form and then you get

1175
00:55:08,120 --> 00:55:11,719
Speaker 2: Texas State at home, Georgia State at home, Southern Miss

1176
00:55:11,760 --> 00:55:14,160
Speaker 2: at home. So I was going to bet. I was

1177
00:55:14,239 --> 00:55:18,160
Speaker 2: torn between the Southern Miss over which we'll get to,

1178
00:55:18,560 --> 00:55:22,080
Speaker 2: and the and I might still bet that too, and

1179
00:55:22,920 --> 00:55:25,160
Speaker 2: the Louisiana under and they might be correlated to that

1180
00:55:25,239 --> 00:55:29,680
Speaker 2: one game where I need Southern Mess to beat Louisiana

1181
00:55:29,760 --> 00:55:31,960
Speaker 2: on the road, but I showed too much value not

1182
00:55:32,239 --> 00:55:34,640
Speaker 2: to take it. And I think this team has taken

1183
00:55:34,680 --> 00:55:37,200
Speaker 2: a big step back talent wise, coaching wise. They come

1184
00:55:37,280 --> 00:55:41,160
Speaker 2: back to the pack I'm going look, regardless of their

1185
00:55:41,200 --> 00:55:43,560
Speaker 2: non con and they get oh to you and Georgia

1186
00:55:43,640 --> 00:55:49,239
Speaker 2: State in their non Division East games regardless, I'm going under.

1187
00:55:49,360 --> 00:55:51,040
Speaker 2: I'm going under. But it's scary to with their schedules

1188
00:55:51,040 --> 00:55:52,719
Speaker 2: an absolute Joe, Yeah, how do you feel.

1189
00:55:52,480 --> 00:55:55,040
Speaker 1: About your swing game being Buffalo? Because I think you

1190
00:55:55,160 --> 00:55:56,680
Speaker 1: need Buffalo to beat them to.

1191
00:55:56,960 --> 00:55:59,880
Speaker 3: And the fact that Southern Miss is in late November?

1192
00:56:00,080 --> 00:56:01,720
Speaker 3: So who the hell is Southern Missus quarterback?

1193
00:56:01,760 --> 00:56:04,360
Speaker 1: By that point, Frank Core Junior run on the Wildcat.

1194
00:56:05,480 --> 00:56:08,360
Speaker 2: Get in Buffalo under. I have UAV under, I have

1195
00:56:08,920 --> 00:56:11,960
Speaker 2: Old Dominion under, and I have Louisiana under. If they

1196
00:56:12,080 --> 00:56:14,320
Speaker 2: end up like losing at Old Dominion or something and

1197
00:56:14,360 --> 00:56:17,239
Speaker 2: then still going over and then ruining Old Dominion, like

1198
00:56:17,280 --> 00:56:20,319
Speaker 2: that's what's gonna happen. I hate this tune, but I'm

1199
00:56:20,400 --> 00:56:20,919
Speaker 2: going under.

1200
00:56:21,840 --> 00:56:24,200
Speaker 1: All right, let's bring it back to a little positivity.

1201
00:56:24,200 --> 00:56:26,479
Speaker 1: Here's the team I like, Southern Miss. They won seven

1202
00:56:26,520 --> 00:56:28,960
Speaker 1: games last year, four and four in sun Belt. The

1203
00:56:29,080 --> 00:56:31,640
Speaker 1: Winter will send at five, which I'm a little confused.

1204
00:56:31,760 --> 00:56:33,520
Speaker 1: I get it. Their quarterbacks are always heard and they

1205
00:56:33,560 --> 00:56:36,000
Speaker 1: got to choose there. But they return almost three quarters

1206
00:56:36,040 --> 00:56:38,200
Speaker 1: of their lines starts plus one in the net tarp,

1207
00:56:38,280 --> 00:56:41,880
Speaker 1: twelve returning starters in total. And guess what. Frank Core Junior,

1208
00:56:42,000 --> 00:56:43,960
Speaker 1: just like his daddy, he will not go away. He's

1209
00:56:43,960 --> 00:56:46,279
Speaker 1: just going to play at his level for forty years

1210
00:56:46,800 --> 00:56:49,359
Speaker 1: still eligible, has a great offensive line in front of him.

1211
00:56:49,400 --> 00:56:52,080
Speaker 1: They added Clark in the portal to pair up with

1212
00:56:52,200 --> 00:56:54,480
Speaker 1: him in that backfield. I like what he was doing

1213
00:56:54,560 --> 00:56:56,800
Speaker 1: in the spring. Everything they said was he was popping

1214
00:56:56,840 --> 00:57:00,440
Speaker 1: big runs. So to me, I know their identity and

1215
00:57:00,520 --> 00:57:02,960
Speaker 1: their defense last year could really stop the run. They

1216
00:57:03,000 --> 00:57:12,440
Speaker 1: called themselves the Nasty Bunch. They earned it. They bring

1217
00:57:12,600 --> 00:57:16,120
Speaker 1: back their defensive line intact. Now. I understand that Austin

1218
00:57:16,200 --> 00:57:18,880
Speaker 1: Armstrong their DC, got poached by Billy Napier at Florida,

1219
00:57:19,120 --> 00:57:22,000
Speaker 1: but they bring in Dan O'Brien in at DC. And

1220
00:57:22,360 --> 00:57:23,760
Speaker 1: when I did a deep dive on him, it was

1221
00:57:23,840 --> 00:57:27,080
Speaker 1: really interesting in terms of like where he did his apprenticeships.

1222
00:57:27,440 --> 00:57:30,120
Speaker 1: He was basically a scout for Bill Belichick. Then he

1223
00:57:30,200 --> 00:57:33,080
Speaker 1: was under Nick Saban and Kirby Smart as a grad assistant,

1224
00:57:33,360 --> 00:57:35,280
Speaker 1: then a dB coach at Navy when Navy was having

1225
00:57:35,320 --> 00:57:38,280
Speaker 1: some of their best pass defenses in school history. I

1226
00:57:38,360 --> 00:57:41,160
Speaker 1: think he's viewed it as as soon to be great coordinator.

1227
00:57:41,320 --> 00:57:43,240
Speaker 1: So I think it's a great hire for a team

1228
00:57:43,320 --> 00:57:46,200
Speaker 1: like Southern Miss to keep it going defensively. The question is,

1229
00:57:46,360 --> 00:57:48,640
Speaker 1: I mean, I know, head on it in the last

1230
00:57:48,680 --> 00:57:51,600
Speaker 1: team preview here can they get quarterback play Billy Wilds

1231
00:57:51,640 --> 00:57:55,360
Speaker 1: from Clemson Holman Edwards from the JUCO ranks. Either way,

1232
00:57:55,800 --> 00:57:58,680
Speaker 1: they're definitely not being done in any favors because Jason

1233
00:57:58,720 --> 00:58:01,120
Speaker 1: Brownlee is now in New York JET and apparently looks

1234
00:58:01,160 --> 00:58:03,480
Speaker 1: like he's gonna make the team. So that was really

1235
00:58:03,560 --> 00:58:07,040
Speaker 1: their big option on the perimeter. Schedule wise, Like, I'll

1236
00:58:07,080 --> 00:58:08,320
Speaker 1: just lay it out you guys, let me know what

1237
00:58:08,400 --> 00:58:12,600
Speaker 1: you think. The away schedule in conference Arkansas State, South Alabama,

1238
00:58:12,600 --> 00:58:18,560
Speaker 1: app State, Louisiana. They're home games Texas State, ODU, Louisiana, Monroe,

1239
00:58:18,680 --> 00:58:21,160
Speaker 1: and Troy. So if they go three and one of

1240
00:58:21,200 --> 00:58:23,240
Speaker 1: their home games, I think there's a chance for them

1241
00:58:23,280 --> 00:58:25,400
Speaker 1: to go over. I'm gonna go over on this team.

1242
00:58:25,520 --> 00:58:27,800
Speaker 1: I like them. I'm just hoping that they get some

1243
00:58:27,920 --> 00:58:30,920
Speaker 1: injury luck and they get some consistency at quarterback, just

1244
00:58:31,000 --> 00:58:34,160
Speaker 1: to keep teams honest, because Frank Gord Junior, if he

1245
00:58:34,200 --> 00:58:35,880
Speaker 1: plays the whole year, is probably gonna run for fifteen

1246
00:58:35,920 --> 00:58:38,360
Speaker 1: hundred yards and fifteen or twenty t ds with this

1247
00:58:38,480 --> 00:58:41,040
Speaker 1: offensive line, and I like what they have bringing back

1248
00:58:41,080 --> 00:58:43,800
Speaker 1: on defense. So I don't know. I think the market's

1249
00:58:43,800 --> 00:58:45,560
Speaker 1: a little low on them. We'll start with you, Stuckey.

1250
00:58:45,600 --> 00:58:46,920
Speaker 1: What do you think of the Eagles here?

1251
00:58:47,600 --> 00:58:51,120
Speaker 2: Yeah, I love Will Hallball. They do have some concerning

1252
00:58:51,160 --> 00:58:53,360
Speaker 2: losses on defense. I mean their starting corners are gone

1253
00:58:53,360 --> 00:58:55,400
Speaker 2: and Brooks and Scott and you lose your safety, shorts,

1254
00:58:55,560 --> 00:58:57,760
Speaker 2: leading tackle. I mean, Stanley's back at safety's a stud.

1255
00:58:58,240 --> 00:59:01,360
Speaker 2: I like their defensive front linebacker I think is going

1256
00:59:01,400 --> 00:59:03,320
Speaker 2: to be okay. I liked a lot of the Power

1257
00:59:03,400 --> 00:59:05,480
Speaker 2: five trances they've brought in over the past couple of years.

1258
00:59:05,520 --> 00:59:07,160
Speaker 2: I think they're gonna be bigger. Speaking of big, like

1259
00:59:07,240 --> 00:59:10,240
Speaker 2: their offensive line I think is averaged three to twenty five,

1260
00:59:10,640 --> 00:59:12,680
Speaker 2: So I think they'll be better there. They're more experienced,

1261
00:59:13,080 --> 00:59:15,360
Speaker 2: their quarterback. They can't get any worse. It'll be the

1262
00:59:15,440 --> 00:59:17,800
Speaker 2: best it's been I think for the past couple of years.

1263
00:59:18,280 --> 00:59:21,520
Speaker 2: And they've been winning without a quarterback, literally without a quarterback,

1264
00:59:21,960 --> 00:59:25,120
Speaker 2: so I think there's only upside there. I trust Haul

1265
00:59:25,880 --> 00:59:29,000
Speaker 2: and this defense, which will still be really good at

1266
00:59:29,040 --> 00:59:32,680
Speaker 2: getting into the backfield, uh and Gore. I trust them

1267
00:59:32,680 --> 00:59:34,400
Speaker 2: to get the ball eligibility. I like the over and

1268
00:59:34,480 --> 00:59:36,840
Speaker 2: I'll probably sprinkle on forty to one on just the

1269
00:59:36,920 --> 00:59:38,920
Speaker 2: upside that they finally fight quarters do it.

1270
00:59:39,240 --> 00:59:42,400
Speaker 3: Thank Colin did that last year too. I'm sprinkling, yeah,

1271
00:59:42,560 --> 00:59:45,120
Speaker 3: you know, I'm I'm I don't know. Maybe you guys

1272
00:59:45,120 --> 00:59:46,440
Speaker 3: are going to give in something to do it. I

1273
00:59:46,840 --> 00:59:49,880
Speaker 3: just had a pass for written down. But the Southern

1274
00:59:49,960 --> 00:59:52,080
Speaker 3: miss Frank goors, cross it off.

1275
00:59:52,040 --> 00:59:54,080
Speaker 2: Cross it off right, forty to one, and then we'll

1276
00:59:54,080 --> 00:59:54,960
Speaker 2: move on to the next team.

1277
00:59:55,320 --> 00:59:58,360
Speaker 3: All right, I think I think this win total comes

1278
00:59:58,400 --> 01:00:02,000
Speaker 3: down and probably either you know, Apps State or Louisiana,

1279
01:00:02,320 --> 01:00:04,200
Speaker 3: both on the road, which I don't love. But I

1280
01:00:04,240 --> 01:00:06,680
Speaker 3: don't even need good quarterback play. I just need a

1281
01:00:06,760 --> 01:00:09,320
Speaker 3: quarterback to play eleven games. That's all I even care about.

1282
01:00:09,720 --> 01:00:13,000
Speaker 3: You know, Frank led fourteen hundred yards fourth on team receiving,

1283
01:00:13,040 --> 01:00:15,760
Speaker 3: he threw four touchdowns. He does everything for them. So

1284
01:00:16,400 --> 01:00:17,919
Speaker 3: I'll probably play the wind all just because you guys

1285
01:00:17,920 --> 01:00:20,400
Speaker 3: can do it. But if not, there's certainly a team

1286
01:00:20,720 --> 01:00:23,560
Speaker 3: I'll bet on to cover the spread basically anytime they're

1287
01:00:23,560 --> 01:00:24,160
Speaker 3: an underdog.

1288
01:00:24,760 --> 01:00:26,600
Speaker 1: All right, we got three teams left here in the

1289
01:00:26,600 --> 01:00:27,200
Speaker 1: stretch run.

1290
01:00:27,360 --> 01:00:29,160
Speaker 2: Two I think are dreggs, the dregs.

1291
01:00:29,320 --> 01:00:31,800
Speaker 1: The dregs. Two I think are pure garbage. One has upside.

1292
01:00:31,840 --> 01:00:33,160
Speaker 1: Let's start with the garbage, like.

1293
01:00:33,360 --> 01:00:34,280
Speaker 3: Me, just trash.

1294
01:00:34,560 --> 01:00:36,240
Speaker 2: The trash is a gold.

1295
01:00:36,080 --> 01:00:39,439
Speaker 1: Mine Arkansas State. This is in the running for first

1296
01:00:39,520 --> 01:00:41,880
Speaker 1: coach to be fired of the season three and nine

1297
01:00:42,000 --> 01:00:44,120
Speaker 1: last year one and seven in conference. Their win total

1298
01:00:44,520 --> 01:00:46,400
Speaker 1: set at four and a half. I don't know why,

1299
01:00:46,600 --> 01:00:48,760
Speaker 1: but we'll get into it. Just over fifty percent of

1300
01:00:48,800 --> 01:00:50,440
Speaker 1: their line starts to return negative three and then that

1301
01:00:50,520 --> 01:00:53,080
Speaker 1: tarp almost all of those losses on offense. Eight returning

1302
01:00:53,120 --> 01:00:57,560
Speaker 1: starters in total, both specialists. Butch Jones, Butch, don't kill

1303
01:00:57,600 --> 01:01:02,120
Speaker 1: my vibe. This guy has got to go. This offense stinks, stinks.

1304
01:01:02,760 --> 01:01:08,080
Speaker 1: They went in They got JT. Strout Strout from Alaradout. Yeah,

1305
01:01:08,160 --> 01:01:11,040
Speaker 1: he was not good. A patchwork offensive line. They finished

1306
01:01:11,040 --> 01:01:13,880
Speaker 1: one hundred and seventeenth in total offense last year, and

1307
01:01:13,920 --> 01:01:16,680
Speaker 1: that was with Blackman, who was a competent quarterback. Their

1308
01:01:16,720 --> 01:01:19,680
Speaker 1: defense game were thirty one points per game. They only

1309
01:01:19,720 --> 01:01:23,320
Speaker 1: welcome back five starters and only actually none upfront, and

1310
01:01:23,360 --> 01:01:25,840
Speaker 1: the early season because of all those losses on the

1311
01:01:25,880 --> 01:01:28,960
Speaker 1: defensive line, they're gonna get gashed by Oklahoma, Memphis, Southern Miss.

1312
01:01:29,040 --> 01:01:30,800
Speaker 1: We just talked about it. They're going to run through them.

1313
01:01:31,400 --> 01:01:31,760
Speaker 3: For sure.

1314
01:01:31,880 --> 01:01:35,240
Speaker 1: Losses are just packed on this schedule at Oklahoma home

1315
01:01:35,280 --> 01:01:38,680
Speaker 1: against Memphis, home against Southern Miss at Troy, home against

1316
01:01:38,760 --> 01:01:42,320
Speaker 1: Coastal at South Alabama at Marshall. Their toss ups, like

1317
01:01:42,360 --> 01:01:44,120
Speaker 1: we'll give them the Sea Wolves. They're going to beat

1318
01:01:44,160 --> 01:01:48,120
Speaker 1: stony Brook at UMass Like US is probably gonna win

1319
01:01:48,160 --> 01:01:50,040
Speaker 1: one game this year. This could be it, you know,

1320
01:01:50,240 --> 01:01:54,600
Speaker 1: home against Louisiana, that's that's probably a loss at Monroe,

1321
01:01:55,280 --> 01:01:58,120
Speaker 1: who knows, you know, home against Texas State. I see

1322
01:01:58,160 --> 01:02:01,320
Speaker 1: two or three you know wins max year and they

1323
01:02:01,400 --> 01:02:04,440
Speaker 1: move on from Jones. I'm not gonna try to sugarcoat it.

1324
01:02:04,480 --> 01:02:07,800
Speaker 1: This team is trash. He's proven that he is not

1325
01:02:08,160 --> 01:02:10,320
Speaker 1: some kind of offensive spot and get it turned around.

1326
01:02:10,440 --> 01:02:13,040
Speaker 1: And that was with a higher ends quarterback. We're gonna

1327
01:02:13,080 --> 01:02:15,200
Speaker 1: throw that in quotes this year. It's just gonna be

1328
01:02:15,240 --> 01:02:17,040
Speaker 1: a disaster from the get go. What do you think, Ianello?

1329
01:02:17,440 --> 01:02:19,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, people forget there was a time when they won

1330
01:02:19,720 --> 01:02:22,440
Speaker 3: five conference titles in six years from twenty eleven to

1331
01:02:22,520 --> 01:02:25,240
Speaker 3: twenty sixteen, with four different coaches. Like this team, this

1332
01:02:25,440 --> 01:02:27,960
Speaker 3: was the dominant team in this conference. And you know,

1333
01:02:28,040 --> 01:02:30,440
Speaker 3: the one kind of upside is they have had the

1334
01:02:30,480 --> 01:02:33,320
Speaker 3: conference's best recruiting class in the last two years, so

1335
01:02:34,560 --> 01:02:37,000
Speaker 3: you know, maybe they keep him around just because of that.

1336
01:02:37,440 --> 01:02:40,360
Speaker 3: But I'm a view I think the defense was horrible

1337
01:02:40,440 --> 01:02:43,360
Speaker 3: last year and they're gonna be horrible again. Finishing drives

1338
01:02:43,400 --> 01:02:45,200
Speaker 3: and giving up big plays in the two weaknesses, and

1339
01:02:45,200 --> 01:02:46,720
Speaker 3: it's kind of the two things you don't want to do.

1340
01:02:47,560 --> 01:02:50,480
Speaker 3: So maybe they'll be back soon because they're recruiting well,

1341
01:02:50,560 --> 01:02:52,520
Speaker 3: but it's not gonna be this year. And I think

1342
01:02:52,600 --> 01:02:54,760
Speaker 3: four wins is a lot more likely than five.

1343
01:02:55,520 --> 01:02:57,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, they got a bunch of coin flips that will

1344
01:02:57,280 --> 01:03:00,960
Speaker 2: probably decide this. I'm right on market a lot of

1345
01:03:01,040 --> 01:03:04,000
Speaker 2: transfers that are gonna hit or miss. They have more size.

1346
01:03:04,040 --> 01:03:05,800
Speaker 2: And you're right, they did the top recruting clips in

1347
01:03:06,040 --> 01:03:09,360
Speaker 2: the conference over the past two years, which you get

1348
01:03:09,400 --> 01:03:11,400
Speaker 2: to give Join his credit for at least, but rebuilt.

1349
01:03:11,440 --> 01:03:14,040
Speaker 2: Oh here, hard to really project. You know they're gonna

1350
01:03:14,040 --> 01:03:16,200
Speaker 2: be bad, but just get you mentioned some of the

1351
01:03:16,240 --> 01:03:18,200
Speaker 2: easy teams that they play, like somebody's gonna be coin

1352
01:03:18,240 --> 01:03:21,160
Speaker 2: flips that they decided. I'm close to Mark Get, I

1353
01:03:21,240 --> 01:03:24,320
Speaker 2: will give a I haven't mentioned special teams. Watched this podcast,

1354
01:03:24,560 --> 01:03:26,760
Speaker 2: or at least for me, they have a really really

1355
01:03:26,880 --> 01:03:30,800
Speaker 2: really good kicker. Uh So, shout out to Dominic Svada

1356
01:03:30,960 --> 01:03:34,880
Speaker 2: or probably pronounce his name wrong, Zeveda or Nevada. He

1357
01:03:35,000 --> 01:03:36,800
Speaker 2: was I think he was a true freshman last year

1358
01:03:37,360 --> 01:03:40,800
Speaker 2: and he was awesome and was a Blue Gross Award semifinalist.

1359
01:03:41,400 --> 01:03:44,120
Speaker 2: So maybe he swings a couple of those easy games.

1360
01:03:43,920 --> 01:03:44,520
Speaker 3: But passed for me.

1361
01:03:45,200 --> 01:03:47,920
Speaker 1: Just a shout out to our gross a voter here

1362
01:03:48,080 --> 01:03:49,960
Speaker 1: on the podcast. I know that you get to throw

1363
01:03:50,000 --> 01:03:52,040
Speaker 1: your hat in the ring for who wins that award,

1364
01:03:52,160 --> 01:03:55,000
Speaker 1: So that's pretty cool. All right, We're gonna turn to

1365
01:03:55,080 --> 01:03:56,880
Speaker 1: Texas State, a team i'm a little bit higher on.

1366
01:03:57,280 --> 01:03:59,320
Speaker 1: It's going to take time. This is probably a year

1367
01:03:59,400 --> 01:04:01,920
Speaker 1: zero situation. They went four to eight last year two

1368
01:04:01,920 --> 01:04:04,000
Speaker 1: and six, but all of last year doesn't really matter

1369
01:04:04,080 --> 01:04:06,240
Speaker 1: because it's a brand new system. Their win total four

1370
01:04:06,240 --> 01:04:08,280
Speaker 1: and a half. They only return a quarter of their

1371
01:04:08,320 --> 01:04:11,160
Speaker 1: O line starts negative ten and then that tarp losses

1372
01:04:11,200 --> 01:04:13,520
Speaker 1: all over the place, only seven returning starters. But here's

1373
01:04:13,520 --> 01:04:17,320
Speaker 1: the headline. G J. Kinney time he led incarnate word

1374
01:04:17,520 --> 01:04:21,560
Speaker 1: to absolute insane heights for that program in terms of

1375
01:04:21,600 --> 01:04:24,240
Speaker 1: making it to the FCS Semifinals. Top scoring offense, in

1376
01:04:24,280 --> 01:04:28,080
Speaker 1: the FCS, his quarterback Lindsay Scott, accounted for seventy one

1377
01:04:28,240 --> 01:04:31,360
Speaker 1: touchdowns last year. He wins the FCS Heisman, which is

1378
01:04:31,400 --> 01:04:35,160
Speaker 1: the Walter Payton Award. And now he's got two former

1379
01:04:35,360 --> 01:04:39,440
Speaker 1: Power Five Conference quarterbacks Malie Hornsby from Arkansas, T J.

1380
01:04:39,560 --> 01:04:41,960
Speaker 1: Finley from LSU and Auburn the competing for the job.

1381
01:04:42,080 --> 01:04:44,160
Speaker 1: It's probably going to be Hornsby. He's somebody if you

1382
01:04:44,240 --> 01:04:46,120
Speaker 1: watch in the Arkansas football When he got in there,

1383
01:04:46,600 --> 01:04:48,960
Speaker 1: he had the potential to be electrifying. We'll see if

1384
01:04:48,960 --> 01:04:51,240
Speaker 1: he can put it together. Calvin Hill at running back,

1385
01:04:51,360 --> 01:04:55,520
Speaker 1: Ashton Hawkins, Bo Corrales, Joey Hobert comes in from Utah Tech.

1386
01:04:55,800 --> 01:04:57,760
Speaker 1: He did a ton at the FCS level last year,

1387
01:04:57,760 --> 01:05:00,920
Speaker 1: so a deep skill position room at wider either. Can

1388
01:05:01,000 --> 01:05:03,439
Speaker 1: the offensive line hold up? You know? They as I mentioned,

1389
01:05:03,480 --> 01:05:05,200
Speaker 1: they only have a quarter of their line starts returning.

1390
01:05:05,240 --> 01:05:07,640
Speaker 1: They get one five star kid from Oklahoma and a

1391
01:05:07,800 --> 01:05:10,640
Speaker 1: slew of incarnate word lineman come with, you know, Kenney

1392
01:05:11,320 --> 01:05:14,960
Speaker 1: Jonathan Patke. Their DC is like a Manny Diaz pro dege.

1393
01:05:15,080 --> 01:05:18,040
Speaker 1: He wants to go for insane havoc disruption. They know

1394
01:05:18,120 --> 01:05:20,960
Speaker 1: that they can't hold up, you know, just horses versus horses.

1395
01:05:21,000 --> 01:05:23,520
Speaker 1: They gotta force turnovers, so they're going to gamble, they're

1396
01:05:23,560 --> 01:05:26,400
Speaker 1: gonna blitz, They're going to try to be disruptive with PBUs.

1397
01:05:27,200 --> 01:05:29,640
Speaker 1: It's probably not going to take early on. They're going

1398
01:05:29,680 --> 01:05:31,880
Speaker 1: to play fast and this year this is something we

1399
01:05:31,960 --> 01:05:34,120
Speaker 1: talked about at one of the preseason shows. With the

1400
01:05:34,160 --> 01:05:36,440
Speaker 1: new clock rules not stopping on first downs until the

1401
01:05:36,480 --> 01:05:38,800
Speaker 1: last two minutes of each half, there's going to be

1402
01:05:39,040 --> 01:05:42,440
Speaker 1: fewer possessions and fewer points, you know, as as an

1403
01:05:42,480 --> 01:05:44,880
Speaker 1: aggregate for all college football. But this team's going to

1404
01:05:44,880 --> 01:05:47,720
Speaker 1: play really fast. It's why one of my top plays

1405
01:05:47,720 --> 01:05:49,720
Speaker 1: in Week one is over in that Baylor game. They

1406
01:05:49,760 --> 01:05:52,520
Speaker 1: could give up fifty six points to Baylor, and this offense,

1407
01:05:52,600 --> 01:05:55,080
Speaker 1: I think they'll hit some big plays just because of

1408
01:05:55,080 --> 01:05:57,080
Speaker 1: the way it's structured and the talent that they have

1409
01:05:57,120 --> 01:05:59,480
Speaker 1: a quarterback and on the perimeter. So it's an overteam

1410
01:05:59,480 --> 01:06:01,400
Speaker 1: for me early, not an over on the win total.

1411
01:06:01,440 --> 01:06:03,240
Speaker 1: I think this is getting ahead of themselves at four

1412
01:06:03,280 --> 01:06:05,520
Speaker 1: and a half. But they're gonna be tricky and certainly,

1413
01:06:05,720 --> 01:06:07,240
Speaker 1: you know stuck you brought it up. You want to

1414
01:06:07,240 --> 01:06:09,760
Speaker 1: play them early in the season, not late when they

1415
01:06:09,840 --> 01:06:11,440
Speaker 1: start to gel a little bit, because they could be

1416
01:06:11,480 --> 01:06:13,840
Speaker 1: a thorn in the side of some teams buying for

1417
01:06:13,920 --> 01:06:16,760
Speaker 1: a conference championship. What do you think about GJ. Kenny?

1418
01:06:16,880 --> 01:06:19,280
Speaker 1: Did you watch any Incarnate Word last year? Stuck?

1419
01:06:20,000 --> 01:06:23,960
Speaker 2: Yeah? I did. I watched Incarnate Word when they beat Nevada.

1420
01:06:24,280 --> 01:06:26,560
Speaker 2: Who that Nevada team who I fucking hated? And they

1421
01:06:26,640 --> 01:06:29,240
Speaker 2: put up fifty five on Nevada. They average like fifty

1422
01:06:29,320 --> 01:06:32,560
Speaker 2: five for the year. An unbelievable offense. Brand new team.

1423
01:06:32,600 --> 01:06:36,360
Speaker 2: They signed thirty thirty three players before spring twenty six transfers.

1424
01:06:36,800 --> 01:06:38,320
Speaker 2: I mean, so like you're gonna have you could have

1425
01:06:38,440 --> 01:06:42,680
Speaker 2: three Incarnate Word transfers on the offensive line starting I

1426
01:06:42,720 --> 01:06:44,160
Speaker 2: mean even if you go to the secondary. Yeah, they

1427
01:06:44,200 --> 01:06:46,720
Speaker 2: have both starting cornerbacks back, but they're both listed behind

1428
01:06:46,800 --> 01:06:49,600
Speaker 2: transfer Smoke A Home and Washington State. Like this is

1429
01:06:49,640 --> 01:06:54,160
Speaker 2: a brand new team. I like you could find think

1430
01:06:54,200 --> 01:06:56,800
Speaker 2: you can find like seventy five to one. You want

1431
01:06:56,840 --> 01:06:59,680
Speaker 2: to have fun with some couch change just as a

1432
01:07:00,160 --> 01:07:02,520
Speaker 2: have fun. The what you're betting on is that they're

1433
01:07:02,560 --> 01:07:05,400
Speaker 2: Western Kentucky is basically what you're betting on. Now, they

1434
01:07:05,400 --> 01:07:09,000
Speaker 2: don't have Bailey z Appy, the quarterback that door. But

1435
01:07:09,720 --> 01:07:12,320
Speaker 2: you know it's just like can the offense hit and

1436
01:07:12,400 --> 01:07:15,440
Speaker 2: then you just start getting into shootouts and you get

1437
01:07:15,680 --> 01:07:17,720
Speaker 2: a bump from this scheme change. I don't see it.

1438
01:07:18,360 --> 01:07:20,680
Speaker 2: But if you want to have some fun, like a

1439
01:07:20,720 --> 01:07:23,480
Speaker 2: lot of people listen to this or recreational betters and

1440
01:07:23,520 --> 01:07:26,240
Speaker 2: you just want to throw, you know, twenty Bucks on

1441
01:07:26,880 --> 01:07:30,000
Speaker 2: Texas State seventy five to one and have some fun

1442
01:07:30,040 --> 01:07:33,200
Speaker 2: throughout the season, that's why not. I'll be looking to

1443
01:07:33,320 --> 01:07:36,360
Speaker 2: play them throughout the year. I'm a big fan of Kenny,

1444
01:07:36,400 --> 01:07:38,520
Speaker 2: and I think it's gonna work. But if they're a

1445
01:07:38,600 --> 01:07:41,560
Speaker 2: huge bump, like maybe they're, maybe they'll get a Western

1446
01:07:41,640 --> 01:07:44,000
Speaker 2: Kentucky type out. The problem is there's some really good

1447
01:07:44,040 --> 01:07:47,000
Speaker 2: defenses in this conference, and I don't see how they're

1448
01:07:47,040 --> 01:07:49,400
Speaker 2: going to be able to stop anybody. But I do

1449
01:07:49,600 --> 01:07:51,400
Speaker 2: like some of their talent, their depth in the secondary,

1450
01:07:51,440 --> 01:07:54,240
Speaker 2: I will say that. So it's a pass for me,

1451
01:07:54,960 --> 01:07:58,240
Speaker 2: but they're definitely intriguing team. Also to try to say GJ.

1452
01:07:58,400 --> 01:08:00,960
Speaker 2: Kenny ten times fast that you're trying to if you're

1453
01:08:01,000 --> 01:08:02,680
Speaker 2: listening at home. But Mike, what are your thoughts?

1454
01:08:03,280 --> 01:08:05,440
Speaker 3: First off, twenty Bucks is your couch change? I need

1455
01:08:05,520 --> 01:08:10,280
Speaker 3: to come over and crash down your couch. I would

1456
01:08:10,400 --> 01:08:14,280
Speaker 3: love a visual of when Texas State fired the entire

1457
01:08:14,520 --> 01:08:16,479
Speaker 3: spivot all family. Do you think they all got in

1458
01:08:16,560 --> 01:08:18,880
Speaker 3: the same car and drove off together like a big RV.

1459
01:08:19,560 --> 01:08:22,280
Speaker 2: They got picked up in a bus that Colin was driving.

1460
01:08:22,360 --> 01:08:24,639
Speaker 2: Colin personally support of them away.

1461
01:08:25,040 --> 01:08:27,360
Speaker 1: Yeah, they definitely didn't get picked up by any Texas

1462
01:08:27,560 --> 01:08:31,280
Speaker 1: high school coach because they just basically stopped recruiting high schoolers,

1463
01:08:31,439 --> 01:08:33,760
Speaker 1: and all the coaches were pissed about it, Like he

1464
01:08:33,840 --> 01:08:36,880
Speaker 1: went ninety five percent juco and transfer portal guys.

1465
01:08:37,439 --> 01:08:39,320
Speaker 3: There's just too many questions. So I'll stay away. I

1466
01:08:39,400 --> 01:08:41,519
Speaker 3: played the Baylor one just because you've been so confident

1467
01:08:41,560 --> 01:08:43,920
Speaker 3: in it, so I did. I did play that Baylor

1468
01:08:44,080 --> 01:08:46,080
Speaker 3: Texas State over with you, So I'll ride that one

1469
01:08:46,120 --> 01:08:47,920
Speaker 3: with you. But I'm staying away, all right.

1470
01:08:48,040 --> 01:08:51,679
Speaker 1: Let's finish up here with the Warhawks in Louisiana Monroe

1471
01:08:51,880 --> 01:08:53,760
Speaker 1: four and eight as well last year three and five

1472
01:08:54,120 --> 01:08:56,880
Speaker 1: in conference. Their wind total set bottom of the barrel

1473
01:08:57,000 --> 01:08:59,120
Speaker 1: by sun Built conference standards set three and a half

1474
01:08:59,439 --> 01:09:02,840
Speaker 1: eighty percent. Their line starts return. That's the only nice

1475
01:09:02,880 --> 01:09:04,760
Speaker 1: thing to say here. They're negative two in the that start,

1476
01:09:04,800 --> 01:09:07,840
Speaker 1: but negative seven on offense type for worst in offensive

1477
01:09:07,880 --> 01:09:11,120
Speaker 1: losses in the FBS eight returning starters in total. I

1478
01:09:11,200 --> 01:09:13,400
Speaker 1: think this is, you know, funeral time for Terry Bowden.

1479
01:09:13,439 --> 01:09:16,040
Speaker 1: He's done his best to keep this program afloat, but

1480
01:09:16,160 --> 01:09:18,800
Speaker 1: he just refuses to move past Matt Kubick. You know,

1481
01:09:19,200 --> 01:09:21,400
Speaker 1: the offense was in the hundreds in every stat last year.

1482
01:09:21,479 --> 01:09:25,679
Speaker 1: Like this was begging for some kind of flashy FCS

1483
01:09:25,800 --> 01:09:29,200
Speaker 1: Division two Higher brings somebody in to fix this, and

1484
01:09:29,320 --> 01:09:31,960
Speaker 1: he didn't. The defense could be okay against the pass,

1485
01:09:32,000 --> 01:09:33,680
Speaker 1: but you can run right through them. And oh, by

1486
01:09:33,720 --> 01:09:35,760
Speaker 1: the way, here comes Army, Texas A and m and

1487
01:09:35,800 --> 01:09:38,439
Speaker 1: app State in September. All three of those teams want

1488
01:09:38,479 --> 01:09:41,240
Speaker 1: to run. They got winnables versus Army.

1489
01:09:42,320 --> 01:09:43,240
Speaker 3: I think I think Army.

1490
01:09:43,400 --> 01:09:45,680
Speaker 1: You know, they're going to probably throw three times as

1491
01:09:45,720 --> 01:09:47,439
Speaker 1: much as they did last year, which maybe up to

1492
01:09:47,479 --> 01:09:49,320
Speaker 1: twenty passes. But we'll say, I mean, I like the

1493
01:09:49,400 --> 01:09:52,519
Speaker 1: Nebraska Kearney Higher. I think that guy will run a ton.

1494
01:09:52,760 --> 01:09:55,160
Speaker 1: It'll just be it'll look a little bit different. Winnables

1495
01:09:55,200 --> 01:09:58,800
Speaker 1: against Lamar, winnables against Texas State, Arkansas State at Louisiana.

1496
01:09:59,200 --> 01:10:01,519
Speaker 1: They have to sweep them to go over. I don't

1497
01:10:01,560 --> 01:10:04,400
Speaker 1: see it. I think this is like a two and ten,

1498
01:10:04,479 --> 01:10:06,639
Speaker 1: three and nine kind of team. I think the numbers

1499
01:10:06,800 --> 01:10:08,439
Speaker 1: just about right at three and a half. But if

1500
01:10:08,439 --> 01:10:10,680
Speaker 1: I had to go anywhere, I'd go under. Somebody's got

1501
01:10:10,760 --> 01:10:12,799
Speaker 1: to lose games in this conference and in this division,

1502
01:10:13,040 --> 01:10:15,240
Speaker 1: So I think they're going to be the culprit here.

1503
01:10:15,320 --> 01:10:19,040
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go fame the Warhawks here. ULM is not

1504
01:10:19,120 --> 01:10:20,519
Speaker 1: a team for me. What do you think, Ianello?

1505
01:10:20,880 --> 01:10:22,960
Speaker 3: I hate playing Unders on these bomb and the barrel

1506
01:10:23,479 --> 01:10:25,479
Speaker 3: G five teams because a lot of the mill of

1507
01:10:25,520 --> 01:10:27,800
Speaker 3: the pack, you know, isn't good enough to win all

1508
01:10:27,840 --> 01:10:30,559
Speaker 3: the games their favorite in so like upsets do happen.

1509
01:10:31,040 --> 01:10:34,679
Speaker 3: But this they lost their entire team to the transfer portal.

1510
01:10:34,800 --> 01:10:37,880
Speaker 3: So and you look at their roster to schedule, where

1511
01:10:37,960 --> 01:10:40,559
Speaker 3: are four wins coming from? You mentioned they all right,

1512
01:10:40,760 --> 01:10:43,320
Speaker 3: we'll give them lamar. They could beat Army, true, and

1513
01:10:43,360 --> 01:10:46,040
Speaker 3: they playing Army week one is the time to get them.

1514
01:10:46,920 --> 01:10:50,200
Speaker 3: So the coin flip games Texas State, Arkansas State Army,

1515
01:10:50,680 --> 01:10:52,360
Speaker 3: they have to win all of them. So that's kind

1516
01:10:52,400 --> 01:10:54,559
Speaker 3: of they basically have to win every game with there.

1517
01:10:54,600 --> 01:10:57,519
Speaker 3: The spreader is within a touchdown to hit four wins,

1518
01:10:58,320 --> 01:11:00,439
Speaker 3: and I just don't really see it this team.

1519
01:11:00,680 --> 01:11:02,360
Speaker 2: We also talked about how we don't like app State.

1520
01:11:02,400 --> 01:11:05,120
Speaker 2: I mean they host app State after a bye in

1521
01:11:05,160 --> 01:11:07,320
Speaker 2: their conference home opener, like they could steal that game.

1522
01:11:07,320 --> 01:11:09,120
Speaker 2: They've won four games each of the past two years.

1523
01:11:09,720 --> 01:11:11,400
Speaker 2: There's a lot of there's a big mess here, a

1524
01:11:11,479 --> 01:11:13,559
Speaker 2: lot of bad signs. I don't like the quarterback situation.

1525
01:11:13,600 --> 01:11:14,639
Speaker 2: I actually love to Rodgers.

1526
01:11:15,000 --> 01:11:16,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, Rogers I think is a great fit at unt

1527
01:11:17,240 --> 01:11:18,920
Speaker 1: I think he was one of the big steals in

1528
01:11:19,000 --> 01:11:20,760
Speaker 1: the portal at the G five level. So that's a

1529
01:11:20,760 --> 01:11:21,479
Speaker 1: big loss for them.

1530
01:11:21,560 --> 01:11:24,360
Speaker 2: If these you as your best tackle, you're leading rusher,

1531
01:11:24,720 --> 01:11:26,920
Speaker 2: your number even your number three rusher transferred. I mean,

1532
01:11:26,960 --> 01:11:29,439
Speaker 2: there's it's just a brand new team. But they've won

1533
01:11:29,520 --> 01:11:31,120
Speaker 2: four each of the past two years. They're probably pull

1534
01:11:31,160 --> 01:11:33,640
Speaker 2: an upset. It'll probably come down to like can they

1535
01:11:33,680 --> 01:11:36,840
Speaker 2: beat an army? Honestly, so it's part past for me.

1536
01:11:37,720 --> 01:11:39,559
Speaker 1: This is it for the Sun Belt. This is the dregs.

1537
01:11:39,560 --> 01:11:40,960
Speaker 1: This is the bottom of the barrel. I kind of

1538
01:11:41,000 --> 01:11:43,360
Speaker 1: agree with the assessment where it's like, you know, if

1539
01:11:43,400 --> 01:11:46,160
Speaker 1: there are some quarterback injuries, if there's some luck, they

1540
01:11:46,200 --> 01:11:47,880
Speaker 1: get to four wins. That's why it's a pass for me.

1541
01:11:47,960 --> 01:11:50,120
Speaker 1: But let's get it into our favorite plays here on

1542
01:11:50,200 --> 01:11:52,360
Speaker 1: the win total on your picks to win the conference,

1543
01:11:52,720 --> 01:11:54,720
Speaker 1: I like South Alabama three to one. I like what

1544
01:11:54,840 --> 01:11:57,439
Speaker 1: Sucky said in terms of Southern miss at forty to one.

1545
01:11:57,479 --> 01:11:59,479
Speaker 1: I think it balances it out a little bit for me.

1546
01:12:00,080 --> 01:12:02,800
Speaker 1: Some couch change on that. And I like over on

1547
01:12:02,960 --> 01:12:05,200
Speaker 1: the Marshall wins. I think that they're going to establish

1548
01:12:05,240 --> 01:12:07,920
Speaker 1: their will through the running game and be a little

1549
01:12:07,920 --> 01:12:10,240
Speaker 1: bit better than they were last year, a little bit luckier.

1550
01:12:10,439 --> 01:12:12,640
Speaker 1: So and to go with Huff, probably one of my

1551
01:12:12,680 --> 01:12:15,479
Speaker 1: favorite coaches in the conference. So those are my three

1552
01:12:15,560 --> 01:12:17,040
Speaker 1: packet picks. I know, at what do you have?

1553
01:12:17,600 --> 01:12:21,160
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm with you on the South Alabama Sun Belt future.

1554
01:12:21,280 --> 01:12:23,840
Speaker 3: And then my favorite win total is the Coastal Carolina

1555
01:12:23,920 --> 01:12:26,040
Speaker 3: over seven and a half. But I will also be

1556
01:12:26,160 --> 01:12:27,240
Speaker 3: on the herd with you as well.

1557
01:12:27,960 --> 01:12:30,560
Speaker 2: I'm gonna say there's a lot of questions that I

1558
01:12:30,720 --> 01:12:32,960
Speaker 2: have compared to most of the top teams in this conference.

1559
01:12:33,200 --> 01:12:36,479
Speaker 2: We all agree that like the Louisiana app State, the

1560
01:12:36,560 --> 01:12:38,360
Speaker 2: Coastal defense is still going to be a problem. And

1561
01:12:38,439 --> 01:12:41,160
Speaker 2: if mcclaul goes down. They're down there with the dregs.

1562
01:12:41,800 --> 01:12:45,479
Speaker 2: Marshall still has a quarterback question. Jan you can play spoiler,

1563
01:12:45,760 --> 01:12:49,439
Speaker 2: So I'm taking shots here Georgia Southern Future, throw some

1564
01:12:49,560 --> 01:12:53,519
Speaker 2: couch change on Southern Miss, favorite plays Louisiana under holding

1565
01:12:53,560 --> 01:12:57,160
Speaker 2: my Nose, and of course we're going odu under if

1566
01:12:57,160 --> 01:12:58,720
Speaker 2: you want and over Southern Miss.

1567
01:12:59,600 --> 01:13:02,080
Speaker 1: All right, that's it for the big bets on Campus

1568
01:13:02,200 --> 01:13:04,720
Speaker 1: sun Belt Preview, and then in the coming weeks, we're

1569
01:13:04,720 --> 01:13:07,200
Speaker 1: going to look at the Heisman Trophy market right before

1570
01:13:07,240 --> 01:13:09,360
Speaker 1: the season starts. Before you know it, we're into Week zero,

1571
01:13:09,520 --> 01:13:11,200
Speaker 1: so we're going to be giving you every single play

1572
01:13:11,760 --> 01:13:14,360
Speaker 1: in the Week zero slate, all seven of those games,

1573
01:13:14,680 --> 01:13:17,360
Speaker 1: and some look aheadlines for Week one of college football.

1574
01:13:17,360 --> 01:13:20,439
Speaker 1: It's August. We made it. We're here talking. Season is

1575
01:13:20,520 --> 01:13:23,200
Speaker 1: just about done and real football is just about back.

1576
01:13:23,400 --> 01:13:27,320
Speaker 1: ESPN just released their theme song. I think it's Posting Alone.

1577
01:13:27,360 --> 01:13:30,400
Speaker 1: Posting Alone is doing the ESPN song this year. It

1578
01:13:30,520 --> 01:13:33,120
Speaker 1: makes Me miss Miss the Imagined Dragons.

1579
01:13:33,200 --> 01:13:36,320
Speaker 2: Day's final last plugs for Transfer Portal Magazine.

1580
01:13:36,560 --> 01:13:39,280
Speaker 1: Mike, you know, I don't, but you know, in terms

1581
01:13:39,320 --> 01:13:42,479
Speaker 1: of throwing it out there for Colin Wilson Building the

1582
01:13:42,600 --> 01:13:44,640
Speaker 1: net TARFT. Thank you so much, Colin. I don't know

1583
01:13:44,640 --> 01:13:46,600
Speaker 1: if listeners know this. He actually does work for the

1584
01:13:46,640 --> 01:13:48,960
Speaker 1: Action Network, so be sure to download the award winning

1585
01:13:49,000 --> 01:13:52,120
Speaker 1: Action Network app track all of our picks. Thanks a lot,

1586
01:13:52,280 --> 01:13:56,439
Speaker 1: and remember subscribe like unsubscribed. Subscribe again, tell a friend

1587
01:13:56,479 --> 01:13:58,920
Speaker 1: telling enemy you know how we do here on BBOC.

1588
01:13:59,160 --> 01:13:59,800
Speaker 1: Thanks for listening.

1589
01:14:00,160 --> 01:14:15,840
Speaker 3: Kiss Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

1590
01:14:16,320 --> 01:14:19,080
Speaker 1: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

1591
01:14:19,400 --> 01:14:22,040
Speaker 1: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

1592
01:14:22,120 --> 01:14:22,879
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