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Speaker 1: What's going on everybody?

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Speaker 2: Scott Bagman here for Betting Pros to tell you my

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Speaker 2: favorite picks and props.

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Speaker 1: For a round number two of the College Football Playoff.

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Speaker 2: We got four more games to talk about in this one,

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Speaker 2: a lot of player props. Those did pretty well for

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Speaker 2: me last week. I was four and one picks one

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Speaker 2: and two. Didn't get the Indiana side obviously did not

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Speaker 2: get the under in the Clemson and Texas game like

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Speaker 2: I thought I was going to get, but we did

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Speaker 2: easily hit on Penn State minus the points. Touchdown calls

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Speaker 2: just weren't there for me. Zero for three on that

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Speaker 2: before and one on the props here Curtis Rourke two

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Speaker 2: hundred and fifteen yards, so he was over. Jeremiah Love

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Speaker 2: got his all on one carry. Wisner was banged up

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Speaker 2: but still went way over his rushing total. Evans Mitchell

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Speaker 2: Evans for Notre Dame was one I didn't get because

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Speaker 2: they didn't have to stay point for point with Indiana

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Speaker 2: in that game. But Roderick Daniels, I mean they were

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Speaker 2: playing from behind, so he easily hit his total as well.

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Speaker 2: Remember you can follow all of my picks and props

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Speaker 2: on the Betting Pros app or bettingpro dot Com slash Bogman.

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Speaker 2: You can tail me over there, fade me however you

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Speaker 2: want to do it. And I've been pretty okay this season,

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Speaker 2: you know, kind of down the middle better on the

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Speaker 2: props recently. So let's get into what I have for

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Speaker 2: this week on the picks. I'm gonna lay the ten

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Speaker 2: and a half and take Penn State against Poise State again.

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Speaker 2: I just don't think the Boise State matches up very well,

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Speaker 2: particularly on defense. They've been really terrible tackling this season.

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Speaker 2: It's They're one of the lowest rated tackling teams that

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Speaker 2: I saw on PFF.

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Speaker 1: I believe they were one thirty three out of one thirty.

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Speaker 2: Four, very very low. And everyone's concerned about stopping Ash

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Speaker 2: and chaint. I don't think anybody stops Sash in Chinty.

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Speaker 2: I don't think that is what. I don't think that's

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Speaker 2: a reasonable expectation for anyone to stop him. I do

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Speaker 2: think he'll be able to run a little bit. His

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Speaker 2: rushing total, I don't know he's I think he's either

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Speaker 2: going to go way below it or way ahead of it.

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Speaker 2: But the biggest mismatch in this game is the Penn

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Speaker 2: State offense versus the poison A defense. So with that

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Speaker 2: in mind, I just think Penn State scores on most

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Speaker 2: their drives. I think Boise State may have to stall out.

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Speaker 2: And if you do get up on Boise State and

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Speaker 2: make them pass the ball, they're obviously going away from

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Speaker 2: their best playmaker in Nash Chanty. So I think Penn

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Speaker 2: State's gonna score a decent amount of points. I think

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Speaker 2: they're gonna win this one going away, and I think

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Speaker 2: they're gonna be mistakes made during the comeback for Boise

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Speaker 2: State a lot like we saw against SMU last week

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Speaker 2: for the Ninny Lions. Let's go over to Texas minus

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Speaker 2: thirteen and a half against Arizona State.

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Speaker 1: Not my favorite game here.

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Speaker 2: I'll tell you that my lean is Texas minus thirteen

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Speaker 2: and a half. But my favorite bet is actually the

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Speaker 2: Arizona State team total under nineteen and a half. And

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Speaker 2: maybe I'm overestimating the Longhorns defense. They did give up

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Speaker 2: a lot of yards and points to Clemson last week.

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Speaker 2: Four hundred yards was the first team. They were the

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Speaker 2: first team to put up four hundred yards on Texas

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Speaker 2: all year, but they did it with Klubnik having an

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Speaker 2: absolutely insane second half. I don't think Sam Leavitt has

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Speaker 2: that in him right. The Longhorns are a little bit

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Speaker 2: banged up, but most of that is on the offensive side.

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Speaker 2: This defense is still very intact. I still believe they're

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Speaker 2: the best defense in the country. I do think that

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Speaker 2: Texas kind of wins this one going away again, just

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Speaker 2: like the last game we talked about this is when

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Speaker 2: you get up on them, you make them pass the

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Speaker 2: ball a little bit more. Now I do trust and

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Speaker 2: Sam leave it a little bit more than I trust

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Speaker 2: in Maddox Madson for Boise State and them playing comeback,

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Speaker 2: but they're still down the number one playmaker among wide

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Speaker 2: receivers in Jordan Tyson. Gilry's been great. I think he's

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Speaker 2: a pretty solid fill in. But you're talking about going

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Speaker 2: up against the first round corner in Barren. So I

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Speaker 2: don't really like the Sun Devil's chances in this game.

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Speaker 2: If they are in this game, it would be Texas

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Speaker 2: screwing it up and turning the ball over. I feel like,

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Speaker 2: so I'm gonna take the Arizona State under nineteen and

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Speaker 2: a half team total in that one. I'm gonna give

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Speaker 2: you a lean in the Oregon and Ohio State game.

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Speaker 2: I'm not gonna pick this game. This game was super

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Speaker 2: tight the first time they played it at Oregon. We

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Speaker 2: have seen Ohio State be complete jeckal and Hyde from

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Speaker 2: the Michigan game to the game last week against Tennessee

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Speaker 2: where they just ripped the volunteers apart. So they're not

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Speaker 2: playing at home in this game, but Oregon barely won

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Speaker 2: at home in the last game. I'm just gonna take

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Speaker 2: points right now, Oregon is taking two and a half.

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Speaker 2: That's gonna be my lean in this game. Again, not

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Speaker 2: officially taking anything in that game. You can check back

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Speaker 2: with us on Monday or Tuesday when the show comes

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Speaker 2: out with myself with myself and Seth and Terrell, So

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Speaker 2: check back then maybe I'll have an official pick.

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Speaker 1: But I just don't like that game.

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Speaker 2: In the Notre Dame versus Georgia game, we're gonna go

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Speaker 2: under forty four and a half in that one, and

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Speaker 2: the reason being Georgia's offense isn't complete.

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Speaker 1: Right.

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Speaker 2: Everyone's talking about how Notre Dame should run away with

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Speaker 2: this game. I don't know if I necessarily believe that.

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Speaker 2: I do think that Gunner Stockton is just such a

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Speaker 2: wildcard that we don't know about. I don't want to

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Speaker 2: trust him. This is a very beatable Georgia team this year.

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Speaker 2: They're not the dominant team they have been in the

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Speaker 2: last couple of years. But even being beatable, they still

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Speaker 2: might be the best team in the country. You know,

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Speaker 2: they beat Texas twice. They have you know, had some

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Speaker 2: really good wins, they won the SEC. I just don't

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Speaker 2: know what we're gonna get from Stockton. I do know

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Speaker 2: that Notre Dame hasn't really faced a challenge on offense

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Speaker 2: like they will against Georgia. And Georgia's defense is actually

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Speaker 2: as healthy as it's been pretty much all year right now,

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Speaker 2: Michaeah Williams, you know, looking like he's one hundred percent

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Speaker 2: smile London back as well.

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Speaker 1: I think that this.

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Speaker 2: Defense holds Notre Dame's offense a little bit more than

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Speaker 2: they expect. And we don't know what we're gonna get

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Speaker 2: from the offense for Georgia with Gunner Stockton in their center, right,

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Speaker 2: Carson Beck not his greatest year, but still very very experiences.

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Speaker 2: You know, you would obviously prefer to go with the

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Speaker 2: guy with all of that experience over a guy starting

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Speaker 2: his first college football game in the playoffs. So I

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Speaker 2: understand people taking Notre Dame. I just don't know that

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Speaker 2: they have really been challenged. And I know Georgia has.

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Speaker 2: They passed some and lost some of course, But in

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Speaker 2: this game, under forty four and a half is a

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Speaker 2: way that I'm going to go in it. So let's

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Speaker 2: get to some touchdown picks and props. But before we do,

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Speaker 2: I gotta ask you, guys, are you looking to up

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Speaker 2: your game in sports betting? Join our exclusive sports betting

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Speaker 2: discord community at bettingpros dot com slash chat. Not only

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Speaker 2: can you connect with expert handicappers who provide free picks

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Speaker 2: for the NBA, NFL, MLB, college sports player props, live betting,

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Speaker 2: and more, but now you can also participate in our

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Speaker 2: weekly community picks. Cast your vote, see how your pick

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Speaker 2: stands up against the experts, and track your success. All right,

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Speaker 2: We're going with four touchdown calls this week. Number one,

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Speaker 2: Tyler Warren. It is the worst odds that I'm taking here.

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Speaker 2: It's a minus one fifty. I believe that was on

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Speaker 2: FanDuel where I saw it. He has a ton of

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Speaker 2: touchdowns this year. He gets them rushing, He gets them receiving.

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Speaker 2: I think they're gonna score a bunch against Boise State,

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Speaker 2: So that one's a pretty easy one for me. I

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Speaker 2: like to pair that one with something else that you

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Speaker 2: want to give a little boost. Maybe it's a single

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Speaker 2: game parlay in that Penn State game. Maybe you let

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Speaker 2: like Penn State and the Tyler Warren touchdown, you know something.

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Speaker 2: So I like that to pair with something more than

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Speaker 2: just taking it straight on its own. But I think

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Speaker 2: it's a pretty good bet on its own as well.

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Speaker 2: This one, I'm going way out more out on a limb.

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Speaker 2: Penn State defense is plus four ninety. Another one I

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Speaker 2: saw on FanDuel. The reason I like this one is

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Speaker 2: because if this game plays as the SMU game played right,

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Speaker 2: which SMU was throwing pick sixes, and you know, Kevin

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Speaker 2: Jennings just had a really bad game in that one,

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Speaker 2: I don't necessarily think that is how the Penn State

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Speaker 2: defense would score. Like early in the first score they can.

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Speaker 2: They showed that they can. But I more think it's

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Speaker 2: like Penn State gets up and now Boise State has

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Speaker 2: to throw the ball more than they want. Maybe Mattson

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Speaker 2: gets hit, maybe he panics. Whatever it is, I think

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Speaker 2: that Penn State's defense can get another scoop and score

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Speaker 2: in this game, and you know you're almost getting five

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Speaker 2: times your money. I like those hots. I'm gonna take

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Speaker 2: Xavier Gillory plus three twenty I saw. I don't want

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Speaker 2: to believe on DraftKings as well a touchdown here for him. Look,

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Speaker 2: this is just Arizona State playing comeback, having to pass.

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Speaker 2: He's the most likely guy to score a touchdown now

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Speaker 2: that Jordan Tyson is gone in terms of receiving. You know,

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Speaker 2: Scatabo obviously is Skataboo is the most likely to score

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Speaker 2: a touchdown, but his number is terrible. I believe it

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Speaker 2: was like minus two ten here.

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Speaker 1: I saw it.

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Speaker 2: So just not a very good number for Scataboo. So

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Speaker 2: let's go with Gillory with the sun Devils trying to

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Speaker 2: play comeback, and I'll go with the Ohio State running

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Speaker 2: backquinch On Judkins minus one thirty five. I just there's

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Speaker 2: obviously going to be scoring in this game in the

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Speaker 2: Rose Bowl. I think it's gonna be fairly back and forth.

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Speaker 2: And Judkins has I believe, eleven touchdowns already this year,

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Speaker 2: so he has a lot of scores. I think that's

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Speaker 2: you know you're still getting minus there, but another one

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Speaker 2: if you want to pair it with something, let's go

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Speaker 2: ahead and do that. All right, Let's get to the

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Speaker 2: props here. I have only one passing prop and it's

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Speaker 2: gonna be Quinn Yours over one and a half passing

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Speaker 2: touchdowns versus Arizona State. It's minus one forty three games

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Speaker 2: in a row with only one, but he has two

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Speaker 2: or more in eight of twelve games. Arizona State is

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Speaker 2: good in coverage, but they're good in coverage against the

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Speaker 2: teams that they've played, you know, and I know Quinn

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Speaker 2: Ewers isn't playing his best ball right now, and the

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Speaker 2: Longhorns have been running the ball more. But I think

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Speaker 2: if you are going to make the step into the

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Speaker 2: championship game, right, you're gonna get passed. Whoever comes away

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Speaker 2: with that semi semi final victory. I think you're going

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Speaker 2: to have to have a confident Quinn Yours. This is

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Speaker 2: a good game to get his confidence up, right. Let

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Speaker 2: him throw the a little bit, especially when you get

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Speaker 2: a ten point lead, a fourteen point lead, something like that.

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Speaker 2: Keep your foot on the gas, you know, that's what

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Speaker 2: Sarkesian does. All gas, no breaks, blah blah, but keep

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Speaker 2: your foot on the gas. Let this dude build up

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Speaker 2: his confidence and throw a couple of touchdowns before going

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Speaker 2: in to the next few rounds here, next couple rounds here,

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Speaker 2: let's go to the running back for Penn State, k

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Speaker 2: tron Allen over fifty two and a half rushing yards

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Speaker 2: for Susuoise State. Again, this is where I really dislike

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Speaker 2: the tackling of Poise State and the lack of fundamentals

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Speaker 2: that they've had right, And part of it is because

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Speaker 2: they hold the ball for so long in most games,

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Speaker 2: especially against the Mountain West.

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Speaker 1: They hold the ball, they hold the ball, they hold

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Speaker 1: the ball.

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Speaker 2: The defense has been pretty gassed up in most games,

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Speaker 2: so I think in this one, if they're on the

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Speaker 2: field a lot, the tackling is already bad, so it's

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Speaker 2: gonna be real bad late. And he's been ripping off

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Speaker 2: some long runs recently. He averaged eight point nine yards

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Speaker 2: per Kerry versus Oregon, six point four versus SMU, and

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Speaker 2: he had longs of thirty two and twenty five. And

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Speaker 2: when the total down here at fifty two and a half,

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Speaker 2: I think this is easily doable for Kate tron Allen

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Speaker 2: Let's go back to Quintravian Wisner, the running back for

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Speaker 2: Texas over eighty six and a half rushing yards versus

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Speaker 2: Arizona State. He's just been getting so many carries. I

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Speaker 2: went over this the last couple of weeks. It's an

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Speaker 2: unbelievable and ungodly amount of carries. They get a little

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Speaker 2: banged up against Clemson, right, but they said that he

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Speaker 2: could have come back in that game if it was

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Speaker 2: absolutely necessary. It was just not necessary for him to

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Speaker 2: come back in that game. And he had already passed

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Speaker 2: his total prop last week with one hundred and ten yards,

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Speaker 2: so and he has hit this number in three of

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Speaker 2: his last four games. So I think Wisner, We're gonna

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Speaker 2: just keep writing on that one. Let's go to Oregon

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Speaker 2: running back Jordan James over eighty one and a half

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Speaker 2: rushing yards versus Ohio State. He had twenty three rush

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Speaker 2: attempts for one hundred fifteen yards in a touchdown against

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Speaker 2: Ohio State in the first game they played, and in

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Speaker 2: my opinion, with the Buckeyes offense running as hot as

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Speaker 2: it was against Tennessee, if your Oregon, you want to

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Speaker 2: hold the ball, you want some you don't want to

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Speaker 2: change everything you do. But you don't have to. You

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Speaker 2: gave the ball to Jordan James twenty three times last game,

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Speaker 2: and last time you played Ohio State and you won

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Speaker 2: this game. I don't know how much you need to

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Speaker 2: differ that, right, So let's run the ball. Let's control

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Speaker 2: the clock. Let's keep that offense frustrated and on the

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Speaker 2: sideline by controlling the clock, and by doing that, you're

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Speaker 2: going to run the ball a lot. With a guy

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Speaker 2: like Jordan James, I think he's going to be able

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Speaker 2: to easily pass this if they don't get down really quick,

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Speaker 2: which I don't expect against Ohio State. I think that's

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Speaker 2: going to be a fairly back and forth game. I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna go with Jeremiah Love again. I just can't not

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Speaker 2: do it right. Sixty five and a half rushing yards

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Speaker 2: for Georgia. He's gone over this in five of his

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Speaker 2: last six games. Three of his last four games, he said,

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Speaker 2: rushes over seven over fifty yards, seventy six, sixty eight,

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Speaker 2: and ninety eight obviously the game against Indiana. So he

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Speaker 2: is not only you know, a big part of this offense.

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Speaker 2: They have Price as well. It's definitely a dual threat.

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Speaker 2: But he is picking up huge chunk game gains at

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Speaker 2: some point in the game to bury these teams. And

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Speaker 2: you know it's a tough game. I'm not gonna sit

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Speaker 2: here and tell you that Georgia is fantastic. I picked

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Speaker 2: the not fantastic. I picked the under in this game.

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Speaker 2: But I do think that the smart thing to do

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Speaker 2: would be to not let Riley Leonard pass this ball

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Speaker 2: as much. Right, you don't want to face this Georgia

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Speaker 2: pass rush. You want to run the ball if you can. So.

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Speaker 2: I think Jeremiah Love's gonna get plenty of shots to

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Speaker 2: run the ball. And sixty five and a half, especially

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Speaker 2: if he gets one of those big chunk gainers, it's

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Speaker 2: just not enough yards to contain him. I got three

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Speaker 2: tight end receiving props and one wide receiver. I give

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Speaker 2: you the wide receiver one first Jordan face on the

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Speaker 2: Notre Dame wide receiver over twenty nine and a half

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Speaker 2: receiving yards versus Georgia. These schemes are nine targets for him.

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Speaker 2: Against Indiana, he had a season high forty one snaps

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Speaker 2: in that game. I just think Marcus Freeman is recognizing

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Speaker 2: we need a guy, we need the ball in this

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Speaker 2: guy's hands. He's an explosive playmaker. You know, he'd been

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Speaker 2: kind of limited before this game, but when the lights

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Speaker 2: are on with everything on the line, they went to

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Speaker 2: fhase on a bunch. So I think that trend needs

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Speaker 2: to continue. They're gonna need some explosive plays and face

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Speaker 2: on this guy that can do it.

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Speaker 1: The tight end receiving ones. I have Tyler Warren for

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Speaker 1: Penn State. We're gonna go.

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Speaker 2: We had a touchdown call, but seventy four and a

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Speaker 2: half receiving yards for his Poise State. They just didn't

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Speaker 2: need him against SMU. You know, the defense scored twice.

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Speaker 2: They were not they weren't in sync on offense. But

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Speaker 2: he's had at least eight targets in five straight games

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Speaker 2: before that SMU game. He cleared this total in four

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Speaker 2: or five weeks before the SMU game. And he is

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Speaker 2: the core piece of this offense right He is the

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Speaker 2: biggest playmaker that they have, So I think you're gonna

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Speaker 2: go to him and crunch spots seventy four and a

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Speaker 2: half yards. I think they need him a little bit

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Speaker 2: more against Boise State than they did against SMU, So

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Speaker 2: I will go in the over for Tyler Warren. I'll

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Speaker 2: tell you what a guy that I've seen a ton

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Speaker 2: of this season. Matt Latter the Boise State tight end

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Speaker 2: over twenty five and a half receiving yards versus Penn State.

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Speaker 2: He's hit this in four of his last five, and

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Speaker 2: the odds say that Boise State is gonna be playing

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Speaker 2: from behind, they're gonna need to pass. They use him

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Speaker 2: a lot in the red zone as well. Don't hate

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Speaker 2: his touchdown call. I just don't think the number was

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Speaker 2: good enough. I think he was still like plus one

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Speaker 2: point fifty or something like that. I'd be looking at

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Speaker 2: two hundred and four a tight end, and a Boise

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Speaker 2: State tight end against Penn State, I think is a

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Speaker 2: tough but I think the yards are very easily doable

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Speaker 2: for him.

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Speaker 1: And the last one we're gonna go.

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Speaker 2: Terrence Ferguson, the Oregon tight end over thirty four and

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Speaker 2: a half yards versus Ohio State. He had eight targets

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Speaker 2: in the last game against Ohio State, four catches, sixty

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Speaker 2: two yards. He's hit this in six of his last

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Speaker 2: seven games, and he's had at least five targets in

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Speaker 2: seven of his last eight games. So I do think

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Speaker 2: that game is going to go a little bit back

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Speaker 2: in fourth. It went over last time, I kind of

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Speaker 2: expect to.

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Speaker 1: Go over again this time.

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Speaker 2: So I think there's just gonna be a lot of

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Speaker 2: points in that game. And I like Terrence Ferguson that

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Speaker 2: has some decent receiving yards. So that is everything for

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Speaker 2: me for round two. I will be back here on

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Speaker 2: Monday with Terrell and Seth of course to break down

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Speaker 2: a couple more Bowl games and.

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Speaker 1: The playoff as well.

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Speaker 2: So I will see you guys, and remember you can

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Speaker 2: follow me at Bogman Sports, tail me over at Betting

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Speaker 2: Pros and check out the Betting Pros discord as well,

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Speaker 2: and I will see y'all next week. Have a safe,

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Speaker 2: happy New Year and I will talk to you then.

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Speaker 2: Take it easy, everybody.

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Speaker 3: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

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