1 00:00:04,760 --> 00:00:08,080 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Bloomberg P and L Podcast. I'm Pim Fox. 2 00:00:08,119 --> 00:00:11,200 Speaker 1: Along with my co host Lisa Abramowitz. Each day we 3 00:00:11,280 --> 00:00:14,480 Speaker 1: bring you the most important, noteworthy, and useful interviews for 4 00:00:14,520 --> 00:00:16,560 Speaker 1: you and your money, whether you at the grocery store 5 00:00:16,800 --> 00:00:19,960 Speaker 1: or the trading floor. Find the Bloomberg P L Podcast 6 00:00:20,000 --> 00:00:28,639 Speaker 1: on iTunes, SoundCloud and at Bloomberg dot com. All right, 7 00:00:28,720 --> 00:00:31,280 Speaker 1: let's go to our nation's capital and Chris Lou. He's 8 00:00:31,280 --> 00:00:34,080 Speaker 1: a Deputy secretary for the Department of Labor, here to 9 00:00:34,120 --> 00:00:37,720 Speaker 1: tell us more about the just released at eight thirty 10 00:00:37,720 --> 00:00:42,160 Speaker 1: Wall Street time November payroll report. Deputy Secretary Lou, thanks 11 00:00:42,240 --> 00:00:44,120 Speaker 1: very much for being with us. Thank you for having me. 12 00:00:44,159 --> 00:00:46,880 Speaker 1: All right, so just give us the specific details and 13 00:00:46,880 --> 00:00:49,279 Speaker 1: then we'll get into things like the participation rating song. 14 00:00:49,400 --> 00:00:52,720 Speaker 1: But the one and seventy eight thousand on the payroll 15 00:00:52,760 --> 00:00:55,800 Speaker 1: and four point six on unemployment. One seventy eight thousand 16 00:00:55,920 --> 00:00:59,040 Speaker 1: jobs that created in the month in November. That essentially 17 00:00:59,080 --> 00:01:03,200 Speaker 1: matches the average that we've had during over the past 18 00:01:03,400 --> 00:01:07,760 Speaker 1: seventy four months. We've created fifteen point six million private 19 00:01:07,800 --> 00:01:11,640 Speaker 1: sector jobs. That continues the longest trip of job creation 20 00:01:11,680 --> 00:01:14,360 Speaker 1: in history. As you said, four point six percent unemployment. 21 00:01:14,720 --> 00:01:17,960 Speaker 1: Uh that's the lowest than the August of two thousand seven. 22 00:01:18,440 --> 00:01:20,280 Speaker 1: Uh in comparison to where we were at the peak 23 00:01:20,319 --> 00:01:23,360 Speaker 1: of the recession about ten percent. Well, so what do 24 00:01:23,440 --> 00:01:26,959 Speaker 1: you say about the wages? I mean, we were hearing 25 00:01:27,000 --> 00:01:31,640 Speaker 1: earlier from Bloomberg Intelligence is Carl Rickadonna about how perhaps 26 00:01:31,720 --> 00:01:35,399 Speaker 1: the decline in wages that we saw in November was 27 00:01:35,440 --> 00:01:37,840 Speaker 1: really due to a quirk really in October, so it 28 00:01:37,920 --> 00:01:41,240 Speaker 1: was not such a big deal. But still, why has 29 00:01:41,319 --> 00:01:45,880 Speaker 1: there been such a lack of momentum in wage growth? Well, look, 30 00:01:45,920 --> 00:01:49,280 Speaker 1: you're right, there was an uptick in November that some 31 00:01:49,360 --> 00:01:52,320 Speaker 1: of that pulled back. So over the past twelve months 32 00:01:52,360 --> 00:01:55,559 Speaker 1: wages have grown two point five p m. That's good, 33 00:01:55,640 --> 00:01:57,600 Speaker 1: but it's only to be better when you consider the 34 00:01:57,680 --> 00:02:01,600 Speaker 1: long term stagnational wages that most workers have felt. You know, 35 00:02:01,640 --> 00:02:03,960 Speaker 1: when you take a look at this long term trend 36 00:02:04,000 --> 00:02:07,760 Speaker 1: though in for instance, the household income grew by the 37 00:02:07,880 --> 00:02:11,480 Speaker 1: fastest amount and records, So, um, the trend is going 38 00:02:11,480 --> 00:02:14,200 Speaker 1: in the right direction, but clearly much more needs to 39 00:02:14,200 --> 00:02:16,320 Speaker 1: be done, which is why the President continues to call 40 00:02:16,360 --> 00:02:18,720 Speaker 1: for increase in the minimum wage while we're pushing to 41 00:02:18,760 --> 00:02:22,120 Speaker 1: provide greater overtime protection to American workers. Have have you 42 00:02:22,200 --> 00:02:25,239 Speaker 1: done any workers or maybe just give us your perspective 43 00:02:25,320 --> 00:02:28,000 Speaker 1: on the ability for companies to pass along the price 44 00:02:28,080 --> 00:02:31,520 Speaker 1: increases that they may experience if they do increase wages, 45 00:02:31,560 --> 00:02:35,360 Speaker 1: because many companies are now able to avail themselves of 46 00:02:35,440 --> 00:02:38,960 Speaker 1: labor saving technology, which means that they don't even have 47 00:02:39,120 --> 00:02:44,120 Speaker 1: to worry about passing along those increased wage costs. Well, 48 00:02:44,160 --> 00:02:47,040 Speaker 1: what has been interesting, and today the White House released 49 00:02:47,040 --> 00:02:50,280 Speaker 1: the new reports showing how the minimum wage increases that 50 00:02:50,360 --> 00:02:52,960 Speaker 1: have um gone into effect in a number of states 51 00:02:53,000 --> 00:02:55,760 Speaker 1: have not led to any decline and employment. And you 52 00:02:55,840 --> 00:02:58,760 Speaker 1: actually see many companies raising wages. That's what happens when 53 00:02:58,800 --> 00:03:01,560 Speaker 1: you have unemployment at for point six. In order to 54 00:03:01,600 --> 00:03:04,240 Speaker 1: attract the workers you need and keep them, wages are 55 00:03:04,280 --> 00:03:06,000 Speaker 1: going to go up and that you you start to 56 00:03:06,040 --> 00:03:08,720 Speaker 1: see that trend over the last couple of years. UM. 57 00:03:08,760 --> 00:03:12,440 Speaker 1: One thing that has been talked about is that the 58 00:03:12,520 --> 00:03:16,480 Speaker 1: job growth among millennials, among the younger generation just as 59 00:03:16,560 --> 00:03:20,480 Speaker 1: lagged behind UM. How concerned are you about that? What? 60 00:03:20,480 --> 00:03:22,720 Speaker 1: What kind of information did you kind of glean from 61 00:03:22,720 --> 00:03:24,960 Speaker 1: this report? Well, I'm not sure, right, I'm not sure 62 00:03:25,000 --> 00:03:27,040 Speaker 1: there's anything particularly in this report. Although I think your 63 00:03:27,080 --> 00:03:30,600 Speaker 1: point is an important one. It's not only meant millennials 64 00:03:30,639 --> 00:03:34,240 Speaker 1: who are unemployed, it's millennials who are underemployed as well. Um, 65 00:03:34,280 --> 00:03:36,000 Speaker 1: you know, we're in the middle of kind of longer 66 00:03:36,160 --> 00:03:40,200 Speaker 1: term changes in the demographics of the workforce. You have 67 00:03:40,320 --> 00:03:43,600 Speaker 1: older workers who are staying longer, which is probably diminishing 68 00:03:43,640 --> 00:03:46,560 Speaker 1: opportunities for younger workers. You have more young people in 69 00:03:46,720 --> 00:03:49,640 Speaker 1: school that weren't thirty years ago, and it's one of 70 00:03:49,640 --> 00:03:52,240 Speaker 1: the reasons why labor force participation is where it is 71 00:03:52,360 --> 00:03:54,280 Speaker 1: right now. Well, that's what I was going to ask 72 00:03:54,280 --> 00:03:57,200 Speaker 1: you next, is so if it sounds all great, then 73 00:03:57,200 --> 00:04:01,280 Speaker 1: why is the labor force participation rate at the lowest 74 00:04:01,440 --> 00:04:06,920 Speaker 1: level since nine eight? Well, again, you know, it's it's 75 00:04:06,960 --> 00:04:08,960 Speaker 1: hard to it's hard, and this has been a long 76 00:04:09,080 --> 00:04:11,080 Speaker 1: term trend. I mean, with all due respect, I mean, 77 00:04:11,120 --> 00:04:13,880 Speaker 1: you know this is a move lower from a rate 78 00:04:14,080 --> 00:04:17,000 Speaker 1: last month of sixty two point eight percent. Okay, now 79 00:04:17,040 --> 00:04:18,880 Speaker 1: this is sixty two point seven. But this has been 80 00:04:18,920 --> 00:04:21,200 Speaker 1: a long term trend. You're right, it's been a longer 81 00:04:21,279 --> 00:04:23,080 Speaker 1: term training over the last forty years where you've seen 82 00:04:23,120 --> 00:04:25,320 Speaker 1: the drop in the labor force participation. In part, it's 83 00:04:25,320 --> 00:04:27,640 Speaker 1: because you have more people UM now who are in 84 00:04:27,720 --> 00:04:30,640 Speaker 1: school that um weren't in school before. You have people 85 00:04:31,160 --> 00:04:33,720 Speaker 1: older workers, some working long or some not working as long. 86 00:04:33,960 --> 00:04:37,080 Speaker 1: It does speak to the importance of sensible policies to 87 00:04:37,120 --> 00:04:39,920 Speaker 1: get people off the sidelines and into the workforce. One 88 00:04:39,920 --> 00:04:41,240 Speaker 1: of the ways we know that you can do that 89 00:04:41,360 --> 00:04:43,880 Speaker 1: is through paid leaf policies. We have far too many 90 00:04:44,400 --> 00:04:47,680 Speaker 1: UM women who are not working UH and staying at home. 91 00:04:47,720 --> 00:04:50,600 Speaker 1: And I shouldn't say women, fathers and mothers who are 92 00:04:50,600 --> 00:04:54,119 Speaker 1: staying at home who's through sensible paid leaf policies would 93 00:04:54,120 --> 00:04:56,120 Speaker 1: be able to work again. It was certainly seen that 94 00:04:56,120 --> 00:04:58,560 Speaker 1: happen in other countries. So you were talking about how 95 00:04:58,680 --> 00:05:01,960 Speaker 1: the increase in wage UH, the increase in wages has 96 00:05:01,960 --> 00:05:04,520 Speaker 1: been about two point five over the past twelve months. 97 00:05:04,839 --> 00:05:07,039 Speaker 1: What's your projection for the next twelve months of what 98 00:05:07,160 --> 00:05:09,720 Speaker 1: those how much those wages will increase. Well, I'm not 99 00:05:09,760 --> 00:05:11,520 Speaker 1: sure I can make a projection. I will tell you though, 100 00:05:11,560 --> 00:05:13,880 Speaker 1: that UM, when you have an economy that is at 101 00:05:13,880 --> 00:05:16,800 Speaker 1: four point six percent unemployment, you would expect to see 102 00:05:16,920 --> 00:05:20,840 Speaker 1: continued wage growth simply as employers need to pay more 103 00:05:20,880 --> 00:05:24,000 Speaker 1: to keep more workers. But again, whether it's two and 104 00:05:24,040 --> 00:05:25,680 Speaker 1: a half percent or three and a half percent, that's 105 00:05:25,720 --> 00:05:27,680 Speaker 1: just not enough. I mean, we need there's been a 106 00:05:27,720 --> 00:05:30,719 Speaker 1: longer term wage stagnation that's happened over the last couple 107 00:05:30,760 --> 00:05:33,120 Speaker 1: of decades. The President is called for an increase in 108 00:05:33,120 --> 00:05:35,320 Speaker 1: the minimum wage. It's one of the reasons why we're 109 00:05:35,320 --> 00:05:39,839 Speaker 1: pushing to increase the overtime salary thresholds. But more broadly, 110 00:05:39,920 --> 00:05:42,760 Speaker 1: why we are as focused as we are on training 111 00:05:42,760 --> 00:05:45,320 Speaker 1: people for the good paying jobs of the twenty first century, 112 00:05:45,320 --> 00:05:49,000 Speaker 1: whether it's advanced manufacturing, I T healthcare, that is really 113 00:05:49,040 --> 00:05:53,960 Speaker 1: the ultimate solution to wage stagnation. If that's the solution 114 00:05:54,000 --> 00:05:56,320 Speaker 1: to wage stagnation, I just want to bring your attention 115 00:05:56,360 --> 00:05:59,159 Speaker 1: back to that labor force participation rate. I mean, it's 116 00:05:59,160 --> 00:06:02,479 Speaker 1: been declining, but it's been declining from two thousand Before 117 00:06:02,520 --> 00:06:06,400 Speaker 1: that it was rising. So for the following sixteen years, 118 00:06:07,320 --> 00:06:11,719 Speaker 1: for the two four year terms of President Obama, we've 119 00:06:11,800 --> 00:06:15,560 Speaker 1: we've seen a small uptick in two thousand five, but 120 00:06:15,640 --> 00:06:18,119 Speaker 1: then a precipitates dropped. Do you think that that's because 121 00:06:18,160 --> 00:06:22,760 Speaker 1: of the increased availability of credit inexpensive credit? You know, 122 00:06:22,800 --> 00:06:25,080 Speaker 1: I'm not sure I would I would claim that as 123 00:06:25,120 --> 00:06:27,480 Speaker 1: a reason as much as the demographic changes we've seen 124 00:06:27,480 --> 00:06:29,280 Speaker 1: in the country. But you're right. I mean, whether it's 125 00:06:29,720 --> 00:06:32,880 Speaker 1: UH mothers and fathers who would be working but aren't 126 00:06:32,880 --> 00:06:35,240 Speaker 1: because of the lack of paid leave policy, whether it's 127 00:06:35,279 --> 00:06:39,840 Speaker 1: younger people who can't find employment or who are underemployed. UM, 128 00:06:39,880 --> 00:06:43,000 Speaker 1: there are broader demographic issues that we need to address. 129 00:06:43,800 --> 00:06:47,719 Speaker 1: UM going forward, what are you sort of looking for 130 00:06:47,800 --> 00:06:52,679 Speaker 1: with respect to where jobs are, where people are gaining jobs, 131 00:06:52,720 --> 00:06:54,560 Speaker 1: and what are you hoping for. What's the best case 132 00:06:54,600 --> 00:06:58,160 Speaker 1: scenario for employment rates over the next year? And well, 133 00:06:58,920 --> 00:07:00,840 Speaker 1: I would tell you that, I mean this past month, 134 00:07:00,960 --> 00:07:06,480 Speaker 1: we have seen a strong growth and professional business services, UH, construction, healthcare, 135 00:07:06,920 --> 00:07:09,240 Speaker 1: particularly when you look at healthcare UM, that's been a 136 00:07:09,360 --> 00:07:13,080 Speaker 1: long term positive trend. UM. I would note that since 137 00:07:13,120 --> 00:07:16,080 Speaker 1: the passage of the Affordable Care Act, we've created two 138 00:07:16,080 --> 00:07:18,640 Speaker 1: million jobs in the healthcare sector. So there are many 139 00:07:18,680 --> 00:07:21,240 Speaker 1: many jobs that continue to do well. We know how 140 00:07:21,280 --> 00:07:23,680 Speaker 1: to get some of these other ones kick started. One 141 00:07:23,720 --> 00:07:27,560 Speaker 1: of them is through a long term UM infrastructure built, 142 00:07:27,600 --> 00:07:30,400 Speaker 1: which not only creates good paying construction jobs, but good 143 00:07:30,400 --> 00:07:34,320 Speaker 1: paying manufacturing jobs as well. Chris Leu thank you so 144 00:07:34,400 --> 00:07:49,840 Speaker 1: much for joining US. Unbridled optimism has been the key 145 00:07:49,880 --> 00:07:53,520 Speaker 1: to stock markets since the US election when Donald Trump 146 00:07:53,640 --> 00:07:56,320 Speaker 1: was selected as the next president of the US. Will 147 00:07:56,440 --> 00:07:59,400 Speaker 1: it continue with us? Here is Peter Kenny, senior market 148 00:07:59,440 --> 00:08:04,640 Speaker 1: strategist at Global Markets Advisory Group. He has been in 149 00:08:04,680 --> 00:08:07,400 Speaker 1: the market for more than three decades. He sits on 150 00:08:07,440 --> 00:08:11,280 Speaker 1: the boards of companies, he advises governments. Uh, Peter, you 151 00:08:11,280 --> 00:08:14,920 Speaker 1: have a good read on markets. How are the people 152 00:08:14,960 --> 00:08:18,000 Speaker 1: you're talking about allocating now and are they shifting after 153 00:08:18,040 --> 00:08:21,160 Speaker 1: the U s election? Well, I think it's very interesting, Lisa. 154 00:08:21,440 --> 00:08:27,200 Speaker 1: We're seeing several major themes really impacting US equities specifically, 155 00:08:27,320 --> 00:08:29,840 Speaker 1: and the largest of those themes, of course, is the 156 00:08:29,960 --> 00:08:34,160 Speaker 1: rotation out of dead instruments and into equities because of 157 00:08:34,240 --> 00:08:37,840 Speaker 1: the the expectation that as a result of the stimulus 158 00:08:37,880 --> 00:08:42,080 Speaker 1: provided by the incoming Trump administration, you will see some 159 00:08:42,480 --> 00:08:46,000 Speaker 1: very significant gains in sectors of the economy that have 160 00:08:46,160 --> 00:08:50,120 Speaker 1: really not really generated a lot of investor enthusiasm. And 161 00:08:50,160 --> 00:08:54,600 Speaker 1: I'm speaking specifically of infrastructure and defense areas where we 162 00:08:54,720 --> 00:08:57,600 Speaker 1: have over the lay of state you've seen tremendous performance 163 00:08:57,640 --> 00:09:01,000 Speaker 1: and investor enthusiasm. Like large cap tech probably going to 164 00:09:01,040 --> 00:09:06,680 Speaker 1: be an underperforming sector moving forward, at least in time frame. Peter, 165 00:09:06,720 --> 00:09:08,280 Speaker 1: I want to just press you a little bit here 166 00:09:08,320 --> 00:09:11,959 Speaker 1: because this idea of infrastructure spending and more spending and 167 00:09:12,080 --> 00:09:14,920 Speaker 1: the defense and aerospace industry, I mean I got that. 168 00:09:15,040 --> 00:09:17,440 Speaker 1: You can read that in the headlines, but the details 169 00:09:17,480 --> 00:09:18,800 Speaker 1: are that none of that money is going to be 170 00:09:18,880 --> 00:09:22,199 Speaker 1: allocated unless it is proposed and then ratified and passed 171 00:09:22,200 --> 00:09:26,920 Speaker 1: by the House and the Senate. That could take quite 172 00:09:27,040 --> 00:09:30,920 Speaker 1: a while. And last time I checked stock markets, they 173 00:09:30,960 --> 00:09:33,120 Speaker 1: love to buy the rumor and they love to sell 174 00:09:33,160 --> 00:09:36,600 Speaker 1: the news. You hit the nail on the head. Markets, 175 00:09:36,760 --> 00:09:41,440 Speaker 1: particularly those sectors, are way ahead of themselves. I wrote 176 00:09:41,480 --> 00:09:44,480 Speaker 1: a piece way overbought, way overbought. I wrote a piece 177 00:09:44,480 --> 00:09:46,920 Speaker 1: two days before the election. I said, by infrastructure, by 178 00:09:46,960 --> 00:09:50,080 Speaker 1: US steel bar by Martin Marietta. US steel in the 179 00:09:50,160 --> 00:09:54,440 Speaker 1: last four weeks is up seventy and it was up 180 00:09:54,480 --> 00:09:56,520 Speaker 1: a lot before because of those towiffs that had been 181 00:09:56,520 --> 00:09:59,760 Speaker 1: previously imposed because of the cheap imports. When you see 182 00:09:59,760 --> 00:10:04,280 Speaker 1: am of your wise to take some money off the table, 183 00:10:06,480 --> 00:10:11,160 Speaker 1: I mean it's should There's no technical or fundamental reason 184 00:10:11,240 --> 00:10:12,840 Speaker 1: to own something in that with that kind of a 185 00:10:12,840 --> 00:10:15,960 Speaker 1: move in four weeks in my in my opinion, now, 186 00:10:16,120 --> 00:10:19,199 Speaker 1: I do think that you're right about the infrastructure over 187 00:10:19,840 --> 00:10:22,880 Speaker 1: this degree of over enthusiasm for the for the space, 188 00:10:23,000 --> 00:10:25,600 Speaker 1: and we are going to probably see some modulation in 189 00:10:25,640 --> 00:10:28,880 Speaker 1: that performance and probably a reset lower in the near term, 190 00:10:28,920 --> 00:10:31,520 Speaker 1: but in the longer term, I do think it's a 191 00:10:31,559 --> 00:10:34,559 Speaker 1: trend that investors must pay attention to. You know, you 192 00:10:34,800 --> 00:10:38,960 Speaker 1: started talking about the rotation out of fixing co instruments 193 00:10:39,040 --> 00:10:43,240 Speaker 1: into equities. How much has that gone on already? I mean, 194 00:10:43,320 --> 00:10:45,000 Speaker 1: is this is this sort of some a trend that 195 00:10:45,040 --> 00:10:49,600 Speaker 1: will gain momentum and accelerat Yes, okay, so I uh, 196 00:10:49,760 --> 00:10:52,880 Speaker 1: let's see November where was the worst month? I mean 197 00:10:52,920 --> 00:10:55,920 Speaker 1: it was an absolute and you know you you at 198 00:10:56,000 --> 00:10:58,600 Speaker 1: least you cover it was. Yeah, it was the worst 199 00:10:58,679 --> 00:11:01,520 Speaker 1: month on record. And depending on benchmark, you had that 200 00:11:01,559 --> 00:11:04,200 Speaker 1: on a safe get key for for your columns. I 201 00:11:04,240 --> 00:11:07,880 Speaker 1: think worst month, worst month, yeah, no, of course, yeah, yeah, 202 00:11:08,080 --> 00:11:13,640 Speaker 1: best worst. So absolutely you were spot on absolutely a 203 00:11:13,679 --> 00:11:16,959 Speaker 1: blood path. Now will that continue? I don't think to 204 00:11:17,040 --> 00:11:19,520 Speaker 1: that degree we're not going to see that's sort of 205 00:11:19,640 --> 00:11:23,760 Speaker 1: dramatic turn in velocity in terms of rotation, but it's 206 00:11:23,760 --> 00:11:26,959 Speaker 1: a trend um and I do think it's a trend 207 00:11:27,000 --> 00:11:32,199 Speaker 1: that is going to fuel equity market appreciation because that 208 00:11:32,320 --> 00:11:35,280 Speaker 1: rotation into equities and out of debt instruments is going 209 00:11:35,320 --> 00:11:38,600 Speaker 1: to be dramatic. Well, can I just challenge that. One 210 00:11:38,720 --> 00:11:40,760 Speaker 1: measure that I look at is the earnings yield in 211 00:11:40,760 --> 00:11:43,719 Speaker 1: the spire and I compare that to uh say, ten 212 00:11:43,800 --> 00:11:45,920 Speaker 1: year treasury yields, and you can see that that gap 213 00:11:46,000 --> 00:11:49,520 Speaker 1: the extra yield that stocks are paying above benchmark bonds 214 00:11:49,679 --> 00:11:52,720 Speaker 1: has narrowed to the lowest since two tent At what 215 00:11:52,800 --> 00:11:55,200 Speaker 1: point are people going to say, look, sort of looking 216 00:11:55,240 --> 00:11:58,280 Speaker 1: to stocks as a as a yielding investment doesn't cut 217 00:11:58,320 --> 00:12:00,680 Speaker 1: it anymore. Maybe I'd be better off than treasure. Okay, 218 00:12:00,800 --> 00:12:03,400 Speaker 1: great point, But I don't think that that's the way 219 00:12:03,440 --> 00:12:05,560 Speaker 1: people look at equities. I think the way people look 220 00:12:05,600 --> 00:12:08,959 Speaker 1: at equities is, hey, there's an opportunity here for price 221 00:12:08,960 --> 00:12:14,520 Speaker 1: appreciation away from yield, and that expectation is what's driving 222 00:12:14,520 --> 00:12:20,160 Speaker 1: this investor enthusiasm. And oftentimes enthusiasm is not a wise 223 00:12:20,679 --> 00:12:23,840 Speaker 1: investment strategy, but you have to be able to identify 224 00:12:23,880 --> 00:12:26,400 Speaker 1: it to take advantage of it. I'm just looking at 225 00:12:26,440 --> 00:12:28,880 Speaker 1: things like CD rates, right, I mean, you know, no 226 00:12:28,920 --> 00:12:31,160 Speaker 1: one ever even talked about CD rates over the last 227 00:12:31,200 --> 00:12:36,040 Speaker 1: what eight ten years one point eight eight five percent. 228 00:12:36,600 --> 00:12:39,480 Speaker 1: If you want to get something from a synchrony, that's 229 00:12:39,520 --> 00:12:43,600 Speaker 1: the former Capital Bank com minimum balance two thousand dollars 230 00:12:44,320 --> 00:12:49,120 Speaker 1: one point eight five percent got open to account. So 231 00:12:49,840 --> 00:12:51,560 Speaker 1: you're gonna see more people do that or should they 232 00:12:51,600 --> 00:12:54,400 Speaker 1: just wait a little bit and see what happens. Don't 233 00:12:54,400 --> 00:12:58,040 Speaker 1: make any big decisions right now. I think it would 234 00:12:58,040 --> 00:13:01,920 Speaker 1: be a mistake to make to draw line in the sand. 235 00:13:02,320 --> 00:13:04,200 Speaker 1: But you are going to see you are going to 236 00:13:04,240 --> 00:13:07,520 Speaker 1: see people putting money into instruments, even as short lived 237 00:13:07,559 --> 00:13:11,440 Speaker 1: is one year, because frankly, they're accustomed to something that 238 00:13:11,600 --> 00:13:14,720 Speaker 1: is significantly lower in yield, and it's abtractive. Even at 239 00:13:14,960 --> 00:13:18,280 Speaker 1: one point one, it's very very attractive. It's a place 240 00:13:18,320 --> 00:13:20,839 Speaker 1: to park money until you can guarantee it's guarantee and 241 00:13:20,840 --> 00:13:24,080 Speaker 1: its guarantee. You know. One thing that surprises me is um, Peter, 242 00:13:24,080 --> 00:13:25,720 Speaker 1: you not the first person to talk about this rotation 243 00:13:25,760 --> 00:13:28,840 Speaker 1: out of bonds and its stocks. I don't understand about 244 00:13:28,840 --> 00:13:30,760 Speaker 1: all the cash people were talking about that was slashing 245 00:13:30,760 --> 00:13:33,640 Speaker 1: around the portfolios. Why isn't it as that like are 246 00:13:33,679 --> 00:13:36,080 Speaker 1: you know and and are you seeing people actually just 247 00:13:36,200 --> 00:13:39,600 Speaker 1: using their cash to be more fully invested in the market. 248 00:13:40,040 --> 00:13:44,480 Speaker 1: An interesting study was released by csfb UH two days ago. 249 00:13:45,640 --> 00:13:49,920 Speaker 1: In the study, it was highlighted that the average r 250 00:13:50,040 --> 00:13:57,760 Speaker 1: I A is UH currently modeling fifty in equities and 251 00:13:57,920 --> 00:14:03,280 Speaker 1: the balance in debt instruments UM. That is well below 252 00:14:03,360 --> 00:14:09,360 Speaker 1: the historical norm exactly, and that alone speaks to a 253 00:14:09,440 --> 00:14:11,800 Speaker 1: shift in the way people are looking at the opportunity 254 00:14:11,840 --> 00:14:15,200 Speaker 1: in equity markets. And I think that is going to 255 00:14:16,160 --> 00:14:19,160 Speaker 1: that's gonna turn over time. And it's it's not that 256 00:14:19,200 --> 00:14:21,440 Speaker 1: there's no room for dead instruments in your portfolio. For 257 00:14:21,480 --> 00:14:24,480 Speaker 1: heaven's sakes, you have to have them. There's a certainty there, 258 00:14:24,600 --> 00:14:27,000 Speaker 1: there's a yield there that you can bank on. But 259 00:14:27,120 --> 00:14:30,160 Speaker 1: I do think that people are going to step one 260 00:14:30,360 --> 00:14:34,560 Speaker 1: or two three steps outside that that what what they've 261 00:14:34,600 --> 00:14:38,640 Speaker 1: perceived to be an acceptable norm for risk. Peter Kennedy 262 00:14:38,720 --> 00:14:40,440 Speaker 1: just quickly, I was looking at the thirty year right 263 00:14:40,480 --> 00:14:43,280 Speaker 1: now trades at three point oh five percent, the ten 264 00:14:43,360 --> 00:14:47,560 Speaker 1: year trades at two point three eight. You think short term, 265 00:14:47,640 --> 00:14:49,960 Speaker 1: let's say you know, next quarter, we're going to see 266 00:14:49,960 --> 00:14:54,080 Speaker 1: your back up in rates. I actually I do. I 267 00:14:54,520 --> 00:14:56,560 Speaker 1: think you're right I think we will see you back 268 00:14:56,640 --> 00:14:59,360 Speaker 1: up in rates. And I think that we've seen such 269 00:14:59,400 --> 00:15:01,440 Speaker 1: a move in such a short period of time that 270 00:15:01,600 --> 00:15:04,680 Speaker 1: you know, the reversion to the mean always plays plays 271 00:15:04,680 --> 00:15:07,840 Speaker 1: a role in whether it's you're talking about debt yields, 272 00:15:07,880 --> 00:15:10,680 Speaker 1: whether you're talking about equities, it's it's it's whenever you 273 00:15:10,760 --> 00:15:12,840 Speaker 1: see that that kind of a move, you you've got 274 00:15:12,840 --> 00:15:26,840 Speaker 1: to see a reversion. But I want to bring in 275 00:15:26,880 --> 00:15:31,880 Speaker 1: Alberto Gallo, portfolio managing manager and head of macro Strategies 276 00:15:32,440 --> 00:15:36,720 Speaker 1: at Algebras Investments in London. Alberto, thank you so much 277 00:15:36,760 --> 00:15:40,000 Speaker 1: for being with us. Good morning, Good morning. So first 278 00:15:40,040 --> 00:15:41,480 Speaker 1: I want to I want to talk about sort of 279 00:15:41,480 --> 00:15:45,440 Speaker 1: the movement that we saw yesterday in UH in German 280 00:15:45,480 --> 00:15:48,400 Speaker 1: bond yields, in particular yields climbing to the highest of 281 00:15:48,440 --> 00:15:52,720 Speaker 1: the year. UM. Do you think that the ECB will 282 00:15:52,880 --> 00:15:55,080 Speaker 1: start tapering in the near future and do you think 283 00:15:55,120 --> 00:15:59,680 Speaker 1: that UH markets are adequately prepared for that. I do 284 00:15:59,800 --> 00:16:03,640 Speaker 1: say they have discussed tapering. They will extend the maturity 285 00:16:03,680 --> 00:16:07,560 Speaker 1: of quantity division from March two seventeen to September or 286 00:16:07,560 --> 00:16:13,160 Speaker 1: perhaps December two thousand seventeen, and they will taper after that, 287 00:16:13,320 --> 00:16:16,840 Speaker 1: so it's an extension of maturity and then tapering. They 288 00:16:16,920 --> 00:16:19,840 Speaker 1: cannot talk about it. They are afraid of spook in 289 00:16:19,880 --> 00:16:22,480 Speaker 1: the market. It's like fight club. You know, you can't 290 00:16:22,520 --> 00:16:26,360 Speaker 1: talk about fight club, but they have to do it. 291 00:16:26,960 --> 00:16:31,000 Speaker 1: Data is better, growth is better, inflation across across the 292 00:16:31,040 --> 00:16:34,600 Speaker 1: eurosone despite the fears about various selections and votes that 293 00:16:34,640 --> 00:16:37,680 Speaker 1: we see. So they're getting closer to their target. And 294 00:16:37,720 --> 00:16:40,600 Speaker 1: also remember Mario drugg is going to finish his mandates 295 00:16:40,760 --> 00:16:44,920 Speaker 1: in January two, so there needs to be a transition 296 00:16:45,000 --> 00:16:48,160 Speaker 1: from eighty billion euros purchases per month to something a 297 00:16:48,200 --> 00:16:52,280 Speaker 1: lot to something lower um. I think market expectations are 298 00:16:52,360 --> 00:16:54,120 Speaker 1: very high on the e c b UM. There's a 299 00:16:54,160 --> 00:16:58,560 Speaker 1: lot of investors still thinking about Queen infinity, about central 300 00:16:58,560 --> 00:17:02,200 Speaker 1: banks buying ussets forever um, and everyone is long bonds, 301 00:17:02,240 --> 00:17:06,080 Speaker 1: so people both bonds for capital gains and equities for 302 00:17:06,080 --> 00:17:08,920 Speaker 1: for yield and it doesn't work. This trade is over 303 00:17:09,080 --> 00:17:12,600 Speaker 1: and the rotation is is just starting alright, So that 304 00:17:12,760 --> 00:17:16,600 Speaker 1: rotation is starting. Alberto Gallo, who's going to buy all 305 00:17:16,680 --> 00:17:19,639 Speaker 1: the debt of all the banks in Europe? Where is 306 00:17:19,640 --> 00:17:21,679 Speaker 1: it going to go? And how is the banking system 307 00:17:21,720 --> 00:17:26,520 Speaker 1: going to survive. Well, let's remember that we still have 308 00:17:26,960 --> 00:17:30,119 Speaker 1: the liquidity assistance facility of the c B, the t 309 00:17:30,280 --> 00:17:32,960 Speaker 1: L t r O in jargon, which means ec we 310 00:17:33,000 --> 00:17:36,280 Speaker 1: can still lend two banks close to the deposit rate 311 00:17:37,280 --> 00:17:39,639 Speaker 1: which is a very very low rat from near zero basically, 312 00:17:39,680 --> 00:17:44,119 Speaker 1: I mean banks normally with banks normally with pay, but 313 00:17:44,200 --> 00:17:45,680 Speaker 1: with the t L t r O they don't pay. 314 00:17:45,720 --> 00:17:49,320 Speaker 1: Actually they receive some money. Um they get paid for 315 00:17:49,400 --> 00:17:54,960 Speaker 1: borrowing correct from d CB. So especially if they're lending 316 00:17:55,040 --> 00:17:58,760 Speaker 1: so effectively. The liquidity across European banks is fine that 317 00:17:58,800 --> 00:18:02,000 Speaker 1: there is no run on deposits. The problem, however, that 318 00:18:02,040 --> 00:18:05,120 Speaker 1: we have in some regions is capital, So banking systems 319 00:18:05,119 --> 00:18:08,960 Speaker 1: that need to um show up capital and consolidate and 320 00:18:09,000 --> 00:18:13,760 Speaker 1: improve their profitability. Alberto, how are you positioning heading into 321 00:18:13,840 --> 00:18:18,960 Speaker 1: this stretch of popular discontent? We have the Italian referendum 322 00:18:19,040 --> 00:18:21,959 Speaker 1: on Sunday night, followed by the Austrian election, followed by 323 00:18:22,520 --> 00:18:25,640 Speaker 1: uh what promises to be a very interesting French election, 324 00:18:26,080 --> 00:18:31,520 Speaker 1: just a lot of political uncertainty. How are you positioning? Well? 325 00:18:31,560 --> 00:18:35,920 Speaker 1: I would say that after the Brexit vote and after 326 00:18:36,040 --> 00:18:39,560 Speaker 1: after the US elections, which poll agency has got wrong. 327 00:18:40,000 --> 00:18:45,000 Speaker 1: Every investor has been very heavily hedging for the Italian 328 00:18:45,080 --> 00:18:48,440 Speaker 1: vote this Sunday and the Austrian vote as well, so 329 00:18:48,800 --> 00:18:50,399 Speaker 1: it's also at the end of the year, so everyone 330 00:18:50,520 --> 00:18:54,480 Speaker 1: is very long cash and very very short on on 331 00:18:54,560 --> 00:18:57,680 Speaker 1: Italy or generally on Europe. So we we have been 332 00:18:57,840 --> 00:19:01,160 Speaker 1: we have been very light on on Italy until last 333 00:19:01,200 --> 00:19:04,119 Speaker 1: week where we saw some headlines talking about bank failures 334 00:19:04,200 --> 00:19:08,000 Speaker 1: and things that were extremely catastrophic, which we're not really 335 00:19:08,040 --> 00:19:10,720 Speaker 1: painting the true picture. The true picture is lack of capital, 336 00:19:11,359 --> 00:19:14,600 Speaker 1: is some profitability issues. But actually the vote the Yes 337 00:19:14,720 --> 00:19:17,320 Speaker 1: novel is very close to fifty fifty and the market 338 00:19:17,359 --> 00:19:21,240 Speaker 1: is pricing a percent probability of a no. So I 339 00:19:21,280 --> 00:19:24,200 Speaker 1: think here you're supposed to be a bit more optimistic 340 00:19:24,280 --> 00:19:28,159 Speaker 1: because if the poll is wrong again and actually you 341 00:19:28,200 --> 00:19:30,679 Speaker 1: have a yes win for the change in the constitution, 342 00:19:30,720 --> 00:19:34,240 Speaker 1: this opens up the road to a lot of reforms, 343 00:19:34,280 --> 00:19:37,680 Speaker 1: to a lot of change which Italian governments weren't weren't 344 00:19:37,720 --> 00:19:41,400 Speaker 1: able to do over the last thirty years. So we're 345 00:19:41,480 --> 00:19:45,000 Speaker 1: cauxiously optimistic here against the market that has gone one way. 346 00:19:45,080 --> 00:20:01,000 Speaker 1: Perish Caffeine Coffee International expand Shin Are you gonna are 347 00:20:01,040 --> 00:20:03,760 Speaker 1: you gonna find me coffee and give me an option 348 00:20:03,840 --> 00:20:08,040 Speaker 1: for international expansion? Well, if you happen to be at Starbucks, 349 00:20:08,080 --> 00:20:10,119 Speaker 1: I mean you might be able to qualify. You know 350 00:20:10,160 --> 00:20:13,560 Speaker 1: that they have over I think it's over four locations 351 00:20:13,680 --> 00:20:16,760 Speaker 1: in China, and it's they want to expand even further 352 00:20:16,800 --> 00:20:20,600 Speaker 1: in Asia. I bet you knew that at anyway, I 353 00:20:20,640 --> 00:20:21,919 Speaker 1: was going to say the reason I think you know 354 00:20:21,960 --> 00:20:24,880 Speaker 1: that is because Bloomberg Gatflight Columns. Shelley Banjo is sitting 355 00:20:25,040 --> 00:20:27,000 Speaker 1: right next to you, and she's here to tell us 356 00:20:27,040 --> 00:20:31,600 Speaker 1: all about Starbucks, Starbucks whisper our Starbucks Whisper and Howard 357 00:20:31,680 --> 00:20:35,320 Speaker 1: and Howard Schultz, who is the founder of Starbucks. He 358 00:20:35,560 --> 00:20:38,399 Speaker 1: is turning over the reins the CEO rains rather to 359 00:20:38,640 --> 00:20:41,119 Speaker 1: Kevin Johnson. Shelley, thanks for being with us, tell us 360 00:20:41,119 --> 00:20:43,359 Speaker 1: about this, Thanks so much for having me. Yes, this 361 00:20:43,520 --> 00:20:48,080 Speaker 1: was big news yesterday. Um, you know this guy is 362 00:20:48,119 --> 00:20:53,560 Speaker 1: synonymous with Starbucks. He built Starbucks and Howard. Yes, rags 363 00:20:53,720 --> 00:20:56,160 Speaker 1: really almost a Rags the Richest story. It's an amazing 364 00:20:56,240 --> 00:20:59,600 Speaker 1: story and and people are right to worry about what's 365 00:20:59,640 --> 00:21:02,080 Speaker 1: going to happened because we've seen this story before. He 366 00:21:02,280 --> 00:21:05,440 Speaker 1: left the company between two thousand and two thousand and eight, 367 00:21:05,640 --> 00:21:08,560 Speaker 1: and it did not do very well. Their sales tank, 368 00:21:08,680 --> 00:21:12,000 Speaker 1: the stock tanked, everything was kind of a mess. Um 369 00:21:12,160 --> 00:21:14,800 Speaker 1: went through a couple of CEOs, and during the recession, 370 00:21:14,840 --> 00:21:16,960 Speaker 1: he said, I'm coming back and I'm going to write 371 00:21:16,960 --> 00:21:19,679 Speaker 1: it right right these wrongs, and he did, and he 372 00:21:19,720 --> 00:21:22,040 Speaker 1: turned it around and now it's doing really well. And 373 00:21:22,080 --> 00:21:24,320 Speaker 1: so people are worried what's going to happen now once 374 00:21:24,680 --> 00:21:27,000 Speaker 1: once he's gone, But he says that this time is 375 00:21:27,040 --> 00:21:29,280 Speaker 1: different that previously he left at the beginning of the 376 00:21:29,320 --> 00:21:33,240 Speaker 1: cataclysmic financial crisis UM, and that now things are different. 377 00:21:33,280 --> 00:21:36,080 Speaker 1: Let's talk about one thing that's different. Kevin Johnson, who 378 00:21:36,280 --> 00:21:39,960 Speaker 1: is coming in to fill his shoes. He's a thirty 379 00:21:40,040 --> 00:21:42,560 Speaker 1: three year veteran of the tech industry, joined the company 380 00:21:42,680 --> 00:21:45,399 Speaker 1: last year. What are his challenges going forward and what 381 00:21:45,440 --> 00:21:49,080 Speaker 1: does he bring. Kevin Johnson has a really close relationship 382 00:21:49,200 --> 00:21:51,800 Speaker 1: with Howard Schultz, so they you know, they've really forged 383 00:21:51,880 --> 00:21:54,640 Speaker 1: this relationship over the past couple of years, and he's 384 00:21:54,640 --> 00:21:57,240 Speaker 1: been he's a tenured executive. He was at Microsoft for 385 00:21:57,240 --> 00:21:59,439 Speaker 1: a really long time. He brought a lot of the 386 00:21:59,440 --> 00:22:02,840 Speaker 1: tech stuff to Starbucks that has really helped them and 387 00:22:03,160 --> 00:22:05,280 Speaker 1: kind of been ahead of the curve for Starbucks. So 388 00:22:05,440 --> 00:22:08,080 Speaker 1: it isn't kind of a knock on Kevin Johnson. It's 389 00:22:08,160 --> 00:22:10,919 Speaker 1: just well, what's going to happen? Now? You know? Schultz 390 00:22:11,000 --> 00:22:13,600 Speaker 1: has this kind of gravitas, He's he's looked upon as 391 00:22:13,680 --> 00:22:17,199 Speaker 1: this genius, and so Kevin Johnson is an operator, and 392 00:22:17,280 --> 00:22:20,080 Speaker 1: so do you need that kind of genius or do 393 00:22:20,119 --> 00:22:22,800 Speaker 1: you need the operator at this point in Starbucks? Is 394 00:22:23,000 --> 00:22:25,600 Speaker 1: you know kind of trajectory. I just want to correct myself. 395 00:22:25,600 --> 00:22:27,520 Speaker 1: I said that Johnson joined last year. He became the 396 00:22:27,600 --> 00:22:30,280 Speaker 1: chief operating officer last year, but he joined the Starbucks 397 00:22:30,280 --> 00:22:32,639 Speaker 1: board in two nine. Correct, Yeah, he's been drinking the 398 00:22:32,640 --> 00:22:36,080 Speaker 1: coffee for a for a lot longer. Can we just 399 00:22:36,240 --> 00:22:38,359 Speaker 1: I just want to offer you just a moment or 400 00:22:38,400 --> 00:22:41,399 Speaker 1: two to talk a little bit about Howard Schultz and 401 00:22:41,640 --> 00:22:47,680 Speaker 1: his background. Born in Brooklyn, Uh in a public housing Uh. Father, 402 00:22:47,800 --> 00:22:50,640 Speaker 1: I believe it like when Howard was seven, father broke 403 00:22:50,680 --> 00:22:52,560 Speaker 1: his ankle. He was a truck driver. There was no 404 00:22:52,800 --> 00:22:56,080 Speaker 1: health insurance, there was no income. And this has really 405 00:22:56,240 --> 00:22:59,960 Speaker 1: infused the way Howard Schultz runs Starbucks, whether it's way 406 00:23:00,000 --> 00:23:04,480 Speaker 1: age increases for employees or his commitment to social issues. Yeah, 407 00:23:04,520 --> 00:23:06,560 Speaker 1: that's exactly right, and that's why there's a lot of 408 00:23:06,800 --> 00:23:09,960 Speaker 1: the whole rumor's fury yesterday was oh, he must be 409 00:23:10,040 --> 00:23:12,920 Speaker 1: going to government then, because he has been so active, 410 00:23:13,440 --> 00:23:16,200 Speaker 1: um with these social causes. And he even said on 411 00:23:16,280 --> 00:23:18,680 Speaker 1: the on the call that they had with investors after 412 00:23:18,760 --> 00:23:22,080 Speaker 1: the announcement that you know, he Shoultz is not leaving. 413 00:23:22,119 --> 00:23:23,479 Speaker 1: He's still gonna be a chair on the board. He's 414 00:23:23,480 --> 00:23:27,239 Speaker 1: going to focus on this UM reserve rosteries, UM. Kind 415 00:23:27,280 --> 00:23:29,520 Speaker 1: of his higher end concept at Starbucks is trying to 416 00:23:29,640 --> 00:23:33,119 Speaker 1: roll out and focus on Starbucks is social agenda. And 417 00:23:33,200 --> 00:23:35,879 Speaker 1: he didn't really expand on that, but he said, you 418 00:23:35,960 --> 00:23:37,800 Speaker 1: know this is these are causes that are still really 419 00:23:37,840 --> 00:23:40,359 Speaker 1: important to us, and we want someone working on them 420 00:23:40,400 --> 00:23:42,679 Speaker 1: full time and Howard is going to be that person. 421 00:23:43,200 --> 00:23:45,840 Speaker 1: UM with Kevin, what could he bring to the table, 422 00:23:45,960 --> 00:23:47,800 Speaker 1: What kinds of initiatives, what could he push along that 423 00:23:47,840 --> 00:23:50,200 Speaker 1: would help with Starbucks? Well, the best and most obvious 424 00:23:50,240 --> 00:23:53,000 Speaker 1: thing is his tech experience, and so that is going 425 00:23:53,040 --> 00:23:55,440 Speaker 1: to continue to be important for Starbucks. They get a 426 00:23:55,560 --> 00:23:58,680 Speaker 1: ton of orders, digital orders, you know, getting people through 427 00:23:58,720 --> 00:24:01,000 Speaker 1: that line even faster to get their coffee. Get their 428 00:24:01,080 --> 00:24:03,920 Speaker 1: fixed and UM, that's going to continue to be important. 429 00:24:04,040 --> 00:24:06,360 Speaker 1: Their loyalty program is going to continue to be important. 430 00:24:06,400 --> 00:24:08,520 Speaker 1: And those are two things that Kevin can really bring 431 00:24:08,960 --> 00:24:12,000 Speaker 1: to Starbucks. The thing I'm most worried about with Kevin 432 00:24:12,240 --> 00:24:15,200 Speaker 1: is their food. Starbucks is struggle to be able to 433 00:24:15,280 --> 00:24:18,560 Speaker 1: really serve food. They're awesome at coffee, but their food 434 00:24:18,840 --> 00:24:21,359 Speaker 1: has never been really up to part. And so in 435 00:24:21,480 --> 00:24:24,280 Speaker 1: order to keep growing that, um, in order to keep 436 00:24:24,280 --> 00:24:27,040 Speaker 1: growing Starbucks, They're going to have to bring on good food. 437 00:24:27,320 --> 00:24:29,920 Speaker 1: And I'm just not sure that Kevin Johnson has the 438 00:24:30,000 --> 00:24:31,720 Speaker 1: chops to be able to do that yet, because I'll 439 00:24:31,760 --> 00:24:35,520 Speaker 1: take innovation in a certain degree of creativity to correct. Yeah, definitely. 440 00:24:35,840 --> 00:24:39,679 Speaker 1: Shelly Banjo, Bloomberg gad Fly columnist, Thank you so much 441 00:24:39,720 --> 00:24:43,359 Speaker 1: for joining us. Thank you, Shelly Banjo. Favorite Starbucks is, 442 00:24:44,119 --> 00:24:46,960 Speaker 1: by the way, stocks down about two and UM, I 443 00:24:47,359 --> 00:24:50,640 Speaker 1: like the soy misto, which is just a fancy way 444 00:24:50,680 --> 00:24:55,240 Speaker 1: of saying coffee with hot, warm milk. Nice. That sounds 445 00:24:55,280 --> 00:24:58,520 Speaker 1: pretty good right about now. Shelly Banjo, Bloomberg gad Fly 446 00:24:58,680 --> 00:25:01,159 Speaker 1: speaking with myself, Lisa Brown Ways and Pim Fox. This 447 00:25:01,359 --> 00:25:10,440 Speaker 1: is Bloomberg. Thanks for listening to the Bloomberg pien L Podcast. 448 00:25:10,840 --> 00:25:14,600 Speaker 1: You can subscribe and listen to interviews at iTunes, SoundCloud, 449 00:25:14,840 --> 00:25:19,000 Speaker 1: or whatever podcast platform you prefer. I'm pim Fox. I'm 450 00:25:19,040 --> 00:25:21,959 Speaker 1: out there on Twitter at pim Fox. I'm out there 451 00:25:22,000 --> 00:25:25,240 Speaker 1: on Twitter at Lisa Abramo. It's one before the podcast. 452 00:25:25,320 --> 00:25:28,000 Speaker 1: You can always catch us worldwide on Bloomberg Radio