1 00:00:02,480 --> 00:00:10,840 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio News. Good morning, I'm Nathan 2 00:00:10,880 --> 00:00:13,840 Speaker 1: Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're 3 00:00:13,880 --> 00:00:14,640 Speaker 1: following today. 4 00:00:14,840 --> 00:00:18,160 Speaker 2: Karen, let's begin with the latest from the presidential campaign trail. 5 00:00:18,239 --> 00:00:21,319 Speaker 2: There are just two weeks left until the election, and 6 00:00:21,400 --> 00:00:24,279 Speaker 2: both Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are fanning out across 7 00:00:24,320 --> 00:00:28,639 Speaker 2: the battleground states. Former President Trump visited Asheville, North Carolina, 8 00:00:28,680 --> 00:00:32,320 Speaker 2: and continued to make unsubstantiated claims about the federal response 9 00:00:32,360 --> 00:00:33,479 Speaker 2: to Hurricane Helene. 10 00:00:33,560 --> 00:00:35,720 Speaker 3: They don't have any money for the people that live here. 11 00:00:35,760 --> 00:00:38,839 Speaker 4: They got hit by one of the worst storms, possibly 12 00:00:38,880 --> 00:00:41,080 Speaker 4: the worst storm ever, but one of the worst storms 13 00:00:41,120 --> 00:00:42,519 Speaker 4: in the history of our country. 14 00:00:43,120 --> 00:00:44,000 Speaker 5: And it's a shame. 15 00:00:44,200 --> 00:00:47,120 Speaker 2: Donald Trump's claims run countered word from North Carolina Governor 16 00:00:47,200 --> 00:00:49,440 Speaker 2: Roy Cooper that FEMA has given one hundred and twenty 17 00:00:49,520 --> 00:00:52,400 Speaker 2: nine million dollars to Helene victims and placed more than 18 00:00:52,440 --> 00:00:54,880 Speaker 2: sixty two hundred people in temporary housing. 19 00:00:55,760 --> 00:00:59,720 Speaker 6: Meanwhile, Nathan Vice President Harris visited the Midwestern blue wall 20 00:00:59,720 --> 00:01:03,960 Speaker 6: state of Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin. She criticized the former 21 00:01:04,040 --> 00:01:07,240 Speaker 6: president over a new report on his economic proposals from 22 00:01:07,280 --> 00:01:10,600 Speaker 6: the nonpartisan Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget. 23 00:01:10,920 --> 00:01:14,160 Speaker 7: There are many seniors in our country that social security 24 00:01:14,200 --> 00:01:18,679 Speaker 7: is their only form of income, and now an independent 25 00:01:18,760 --> 00:01:22,399 Speaker 7: agency has reviewed Donald Trump's theory about social security and 26 00:01:22,440 --> 00:01:25,720 Speaker 7: his policies and has indicated that his policy would actually 27 00:01:25,800 --> 00:01:31,600 Speaker 7: render the Social Security Fund empty essentially in six years. 28 00:01:31,959 --> 00:01:34,640 Speaker 6: Kamala Harris also took Trump to task for a side 29 00:01:34,640 --> 00:01:37,720 Speaker 6: stepping a question about raising the minimum wage during his 30 00:01:37,800 --> 00:01:41,639 Speaker 6: weekend campaign stop at a McDonald's. Today, early voting begins 31 00:01:41,640 --> 00:01:45,200 Speaker 6: in Wisconsin. Former President Barack Obama will join a Democratic 32 00:01:45,280 --> 00:01:48,080 Speaker 6: running mate, Tim Waltz at a rally in Madison, while 33 00:01:48,080 --> 00:01:51,200 Speaker 6: Republicans will hold their own events, encouraging voters to cast 34 00:01:51,200 --> 00:01:53,000 Speaker 6: an early ballot for Donald Trump. 35 00:01:53,240 --> 00:01:55,280 Speaker 2: Now, Karen, let's turn to the latest from the Middle East. 36 00:01:55,360 --> 00:01:58,600 Speaker 2: Secretary of State Anthony Blincoln has arrived in Israel. He 37 00:01:58,640 --> 00:02:01,120 Speaker 2: is scheduled to meet later today with Prime Minister Benjamin 38 00:02:01,160 --> 00:02:04,800 Speaker 2: Netanyahu in Jerusalem and Defense Minister Joev Galant in Tel Aviv. 39 00:02:05,040 --> 00:02:07,520 Speaker 2: It's Blncoln's eleventh trip to the Middle East since the 40 00:02:07,560 --> 00:02:11,480 Speaker 2: October seventh attack. America's top diplomat's been trying to engineer 41 00:02:11,520 --> 00:02:15,240 Speaker 2: a ceasefire between Israel and Iran backed militias since the 42 00:02:15,280 --> 00:02:18,000 Speaker 2: attack more than a year ago. Bloomberg's Paul Wallace says 43 00:02:18,080 --> 00:02:20,800 Speaker 2: this round of talks is unlikely to change things. 44 00:02:21,480 --> 00:02:24,040 Speaker 8: Israel at the moment sees itself as on the front 45 00:02:24,080 --> 00:02:29,080 Speaker 8: foot and degrading Hamas and Hezwella to a massive degree. 46 00:02:29,280 --> 00:02:32,440 Speaker 8: And it thinks that these military gains that it's been 47 00:02:32,440 --> 00:02:35,799 Speaker 8: making in the last several weeks, if not a few months, 48 00:02:35,960 --> 00:02:38,240 Speaker 8: are very much in its favor when it comes to 49 00:02:38,760 --> 00:02:43,799 Speaker 8: eventual diplomatic talks and eventual ceasefire negotiations. 50 00:02:44,600 --> 00:02:48,200 Speaker 2: Bloomberg's Paul Wallace ads Secretary Blincoln's visit comes as Israel's 51 00:02:48,200 --> 00:02:51,040 Speaker 2: retaliation against Iran is still yet to come. The US 52 00:02:51,120 --> 00:02:54,400 Speaker 2: maintains Israel's killing of Hamas leader Yaikiya sin War last 53 00:02:54,400 --> 00:02:56,680 Speaker 2: week could open the way for a breakthrough, even though 54 00:02:56,720 --> 00:03:00,200 Speaker 2: Hamas leaders and Netanyah, who have both vowed to fight on. 55 00:03:00,800 --> 00:03:03,040 Speaker 6: Well, let's turn to the markets now, Nathan and bonds 56 00:03:03,080 --> 00:03:06,640 Speaker 6: have been selling off, and that's pushing yields higher and higher. 57 00:03:06,680 --> 00:03:10,000 Speaker 6: Bloomberg John Tucker joins us with more, John, good morning, 58 00:03:10,080 --> 00:03:11,239 Speaker 6: and what's behind the move? 59 00:03:11,639 --> 00:03:11,760 Speaker 4: Well? 60 00:03:11,840 --> 00:03:13,920 Speaker 9: Current the market no longer sure the Fed's going to 61 00:03:13,919 --> 00:03:16,880 Speaker 9: cut rates in each of the next three FOMC meetings. 62 00:03:17,240 --> 00:03:21,240 Speaker 9: Strong employment data for September that whittled away the expectations. 63 00:03:21,600 --> 00:03:23,920 Speaker 9: Traders are positioning for a likelihood that there's going to 64 00:03:23,919 --> 00:03:26,800 Speaker 9: be at least one meeting when the FED stays on hold. 65 00:03:27,280 --> 00:03:30,320 Speaker 9: At your Denny Is with your Denny Research, we. 66 00:03:30,320 --> 00:03:33,640 Speaker 10: Have some FED officials already kind of walking back the 67 00:03:33,680 --> 00:03:36,680 Speaker 10: idea that there's going to be a fifty basis point 68 00:03:36,680 --> 00:03:39,720 Speaker 10: cut at the November meeting, or even walking back the 69 00:03:39,760 --> 00:03:42,360 Speaker 10: idea that we necessarily will have two twenty five basis 70 00:03:42,360 --> 00:03:42,920 Speaker 10: point cuts. 71 00:03:43,800 --> 00:03:46,600 Speaker 9: As for FED officials, Jeffrey Schmidt, president of the Kansas 72 00:03:46,600 --> 00:03:49,360 Speaker 9: City FED, said he favored a cautious and gradual approach. 73 00:03:49,800 --> 00:03:52,640 Speaker 9: Neil kesh Curry the Minneapolis FED, said he would need 74 00:03:52,680 --> 00:03:55,800 Speaker 9: real evidence the labor market is weakening quickly before he'd 75 00:03:55,840 --> 00:03:59,480 Speaker 9: moved from a cautious path. The prospect of bigger fiscal 76 00:03:59,520 --> 00:04:03,760 Speaker 9: deficit after elections next month only compounding the market's concerns. 77 00:04:04,160 --> 00:04:06,040 Speaker 9: You see the ten year yield rising back of a 78 00:04:06,200 --> 00:04:09,000 Speaker 9: four point two percent for the first time since July. 79 00:04:09,480 --> 00:04:10,000 Speaker 5: In New York. 80 00:04:10,040 --> 00:04:11,960 Speaker 9: I'm John Tucker, Bloomberg Radio. 81 00:04:12,200 --> 00:04:14,800 Speaker 2: Thanks John, It's another busy day for earnings, with nearly 82 00:04:14,880 --> 00:04:18,680 Speaker 2: thirty companies reporting, including GM. Let's get a preview from 83 00:04:18,680 --> 00:04:19,840 Speaker 2: Bloomberg's Tom Busby. 84 00:04:20,160 --> 00:04:23,720 Speaker 11: General Motors expected to report reduce losses from its electric 85 00:04:23,880 --> 00:04:27,040 Speaker 11: vehicle lineup, and even though vehicle sales in the third 86 00:04:27,080 --> 00:04:29,960 Speaker 11: quarter were down, prices were kept higher as even though 87 00:04:30,000 --> 00:04:33,440 Speaker 11: some competitors offered more discounts ad in the benefits it 88 00:04:33,640 --> 00:04:36,120 Speaker 11: likely got from its recent stock buyback plans, and that 89 00:04:36,120 --> 00:04:39,120 Speaker 11: should all give GM a boost. Investors will also be 90 00:04:39,160 --> 00:04:42,720 Speaker 11: watching for any improvements and outlook for its operations in China, 91 00:04:42,920 --> 00:04:46,440 Speaker 11: which has lost money the past two quarters. Bloomberg consensus 92 00:04:46,480 --> 00:04:49,360 Speaker 11: calls for revenues of forty four point sixty nine billion 93 00:04:49,400 --> 00:04:52,479 Speaker 11: dollars and adjusted earnings per share two dollars and forty 94 00:04:52,480 --> 00:04:53,200 Speaker 11: five cents. 95 00:04:53,360 --> 00:04:55,200 Speaker 9: Tom Busby Bloomberg. 96 00:04:54,760 --> 00:04:57,279 Speaker 6: Radio, All right, Tom, thank you all. Shares of SAP 97 00:04:57,520 --> 00:05:01,120 Speaker 6: up about five percent overseas cloud revenue swored at Europe's 98 00:05:01,160 --> 00:05:05,560 Speaker 6: biggest software company, SAP is transitioning customers away from locally 99 00:05:05,640 --> 00:05:09,880 Speaker 6: run systems with the promise of artificial intelligence tools and analytics. 100 00:05:10,000 --> 00:05:10,400 Speaker 5: Well Karen. 101 00:05:10,400 --> 00:05:14,080 Speaker 2: One of Europe's biggest banks, HSBC, has begun its biggest 102 00:05:14,080 --> 00:05:17,240 Speaker 2: restructuring in a decade. Let's go to London and get 103 00:05:17,240 --> 00:05:19,800 Speaker 2: the latest with Bloomberg's Ewan Pots, Ewan. 104 00:05:20,400 --> 00:05:22,520 Speaker 12: Nathan and Karen. One of the world's biggest banks is 105 00:05:22,600 --> 00:05:27,240 Speaker 12: reshaping its global structure. HSBC will combine its commercial and 106 00:05:27,360 --> 00:05:32,000 Speaker 12: institutional banking operations, and it's creating a new international wealth 107 00:05:32,040 --> 00:05:34,800 Speaker 12: and premiere banking business. It's all part of a plan 108 00:05:34,920 --> 00:05:37,880 Speaker 12: by the London based lenders new CEO to cut costs 109 00:05:38,000 --> 00:05:42,839 Speaker 12: and reduce complexity. HSBC has also named a new CFO, 110 00:05:42,920 --> 00:05:45,800 Speaker 12: its first female finance director in its one hundred and 111 00:05:45,880 --> 00:05:49,479 Speaker 12: fifty nine year history in London. I'm Une Pots Bloomberg. 112 00:05:49,080 --> 00:05:50,919 Speaker 6: Radio, all right you in thank you Well. Here in 113 00:05:50,960 --> 00:05:53,880 Speaker 6: the US, banks will now have to give customers access 114 00:05:53,880 --> 00:05:57,599 Speaker 6: to their financial data after the top consumer watchdog finalized 115 00:05:57,640 --> 00:06:01,200 Speaker 6: a long awaited rule aimed at fueling more competition for 116 00:06:01,279 --> 00:06:05,680 Speaker 6: financial products. Under the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau measure, consumers 117 00:06:05,920 --> 00:06:08,880 Speaker 6: will be able to demand, download, and transfer their highly 118 00:06:08,920 --> 00:06:12,920 Speaker 6: coveted data to another lender or financial services provider for free. 119 00:06:13,160 --> 00:06:15,640 Speaker 6: The Open Banking Rule, as it's known, is aimed at 120 00:06:15,640 --> 00:06:19,080 Speaker 6: making it easier for consumers to switch providers to access 121 00:06:19,200 --> 00:06:24,279 Speaker 6: better rates. Time Now for a look at some of 122 00:06:24,279 --> 00:06:26,320 Speaker 6: the other stories making news in New York and around 123 00:06:26,360 --> 00:06:28,400 Speaker 6: the world, and for that we're joined by Blowberg's Michael 124 00:06:28,440 --> 00:06:29,880 Speaker 6: Barr Michael, Good Morning. 125 00:06:29,720 --> 00:06:32,320 Speaker 5: Good Morning, Karen. More support for a new trial and 126 00:06:32,440 --> 00:06:36,520 Speaker 5: a death row case in Texas. Supporters of Robert Robertson 127 00:06:36,960 --> 00:06:40,360 Speaker 5: insists that his two thousand and three conviction and the 128 00:06:40,440 --> 00:06:42,479 Speaker 5: killing of his two year old daughter was based on 129 00:06:42,600 --> 00:06:47,880 Speaker 5: the now discredited shaken baby syndrome theory. State Representative Lacy 130 00:06:48,000 --> 00:06:51,200 Speaker 5: Hull test five before state lawmakers. She is backing a 131 00:06:51,240 --> 00:06:52,800 Speaker 5: new trial for Robertson. 132 00:06:53,320 --> 00:06:56,200 Speaker 13: Let the jury make up their mind, but he deserves 133 00:06:56,240 --> 00:06:58,400 Speaker 13: a real defense and a fair trial. 134 00:06:59,040 --> 00:07:03,800 Speaker 5: Robertson has high profile support, including psychologist Phil McGraw that 135 00:07:03,920 --> 00:07:04,920 Speaker 5: are known as Doctor Phil. 136 00:07:05,640 --> 00:07:10,080 Speaker 13: If we start executing people in Texas absent due process, 137 00:07:10,240 --> 00:07:15,080 Speaker 13: absent fair trial, we are going down a really dangerous roague. 138 00:07:15,360 --> 00:07:19,920 Speaker 5: Also among Doctor Phil supporting Robertson, author John Grisham, A 139 00:07:20,040 --> 00:07:22,800 Speaker 5: powerful new drug is making headlines in the US. An 140 00:07:22,840 --> 00:07:26,840 Speaker 5: autopsy has revealed former One Direction singer Liam Payne had 141 00:07:26,920 --> 00:07:31,040 Speaker 5: multiple drugs in his system, including pink cocaine, when he 142 00:07:31,120 --> 00:07:34,240 Speaker 5: plunged off a balcony in Argentina last week, dying at 143 00:07:34,280 --> 00:07:37,080 Speaker 5: the age of thirty one. The drug has also been 144 00:07:37,120 --> 00:07:40,800 Speaker 5: linked to rappers Sean Diddy Combs. Despite its name, there 145 00:07:40,880 --> 00:07:44,200 Speaker 5: is often no cocaine in the mix of drugs, which 146 00:07:44,280 --> 00:07:48,640 Speaker 5: acts as both a stimulant and depressant. Former DEA official 147 00:07:48,760 --> 00:07:50,440 Speaker 5: Bill Bodner, it's. 148 00:07:50,280 --> 00:07:52,320 Speaker 11: Been in the United States for a little while now, 149 00:07:52,480 --> 00:07:55,440 Speaker 11: not it hasn't been as popular as it's becoming now. 150 00:07:56,040 --> 00:07:59,760 Speaker 5: Public health officials are warning parents the designer drug with 151 00:07:59,840 --> 00:08:02,960 Speaker 5: the it's bright color is growing in popularity among teens 152 00:08:03,000 --> 00:08:07,240 Speaker 5: and young adults. Cuba's capital remains paralyzed, as the island 153 00:08:07,280 --> 00:08:09,960 Speaker 5: had a fourth night of a massive blackout that has 154 00:08:10,040 --> 00:08:13,360 Speaker 5: generated both a handful of small protests and a stern 155 00:08:13,440 --> 00:08:17,920 Speaker 5: government warning that any unarrest will be punished. Meanwhile, Hurricane 156 00:08:17,920 --> 00:08:21,840 Speaker 5: Oscar crossed the island's eastern coast with winds and heavy 157 00:08:22,000 --> 00:08:26,560 Speaker 5: rain Sunday night, leaving at least six dead. Filmmaker Steven 158 00:08:26,600 --> 00:08:30,520 Speaker 5: Spielberg is among twenty recipients of the National Medals of Arts. 159 00:08:30,880 --> 00:08:35,040 Speaker 5: President Biden also honored nineteen recipients of National Humanities Medals, 160 00:08:35,360 --> 00:08:40,000 Speaker 5: including playwright screenwriter Aaron Sorkin. After presenting the medals. The 161 00:08:40,040 --> 00:08:42,559 Speaker 5: President had a message to the recipients. 162 00:08:42,200 --> 00:08:48,440 Speaker 13: With absolute courage, you combat racial stereotypes, confront ghosts of history, 163 00:08:49,120 --> 00:08:50,760 Speaker 13: and speak truth to power. 164 00:08:51,600 --> 00:08:55,520 Speaker 5: Filmmakers Spike Lee and Ken Burns, and singers Missy Elliott 165 00:08:55,520 --> 00:08:58,880 Speaker 5: and Queen Latifah were also honored with Medals of Art 166 00:08:58,920 --> 00:09:01,400 Speaker 5: at the White House. Global News twenty four hours a 167 00:09:01,480 --> 00:09:04,199 Speaker 5: day and whenever you want it with Bloomberg News Now. 168 00:09:04,360 --> 00:09:06,360 Speaker 5: I'm Michael Barr, and this is Bloomberg. 169 00:09:06,440 --> 00:09:06,720 Speaker 3: Karen. 170 00:09:06,880 --> 00:09:13,800 Speaker 6: All right, Michael Barr, thank you time now for the 171 00:09:13,800 --> 00:09:16,640 Speaker 6: Bloomberg scores. Up date Broncky you by trying state OUTI 172 00:09:16,679 --> 00:09:18,280 Speaker 6: here's John Stanshawer, John. 173 00:09:18,160 --> 00:09:19,440 Speaker 3: Good morning, Good morning, Karen. 174 00:09:19,480 --> 00:09:23,360 Speaker 4: The NBA season tips off tonight in Boston Celtics and Knicks. 175 00:09:23,440 --> 00:09:26,360 Speaker 4: Celtics will hoist their eighteenth championship bender. It was one 176 00:09:26,400 --> 00:09:29,040 Speaker 4: of their greatest seasons ever regular in postseason combined, they 177 00:09:29,080 --> 00:09:32,080 Speaker 4: went eighty and twenty one. Vegas as them as the 178 00:09:32,120 --> 00:09:34,240 Speaker 4: favorites to repeat. But the Knicks were good last year 179 00:09:34,280 --> 00:09:37,199 Speaker 4: and figure to be even better with the additions of Karl, 180 00:09:37,200 --> 00:09:40,000 Speaker 4: Anthony Towns and Michel Bridges. The undeniable leader of the 181 00:09:40,080 --> 00:09:43,559 Speaker 4: next is Jalen Brunson coach Tump Tibeau had never before. 182 00:09:43,320 --> 00:09:46,440 Speaker 3: Named a team captain that he has with Brunson. 183 00:09:47,480 --> 00:09:50,320 Speaker 13: Jalen's not one of those guys. It's gonna get up 184 00:09:50,360 --> 00:09:52,400 Speaker 13: in front of the team and say you gotta do this, 185 00:09:52,600 --> 00:09:55,760 Speaker 13: you gotta do that. But you know, Bubba buh. What 186 00:09:55,840 --> 00:09:59,080 Speaker 13: you're gonna see from Jalen is him coming in early 187 00:09:59,160 --> 00:10:02,920 Speaker 13: every day, went through his routine, great concentration, great work 188 00:10:02,960 --> 00:10:08,319 Speaker 13: at the team, oriented all about his teammates. To me, 189 00:10:08,559 --> 00:10:10,280 Speaker 13: there's no better leadership than that. 190 00:10:10,400 --> 00:10:12,560 Speaker 4: One of the game tonight, that's Minnesota taking on the 191 00:10:12,640 --> 00:10:16,480 Speaker 4: Lakers Lebron James starting his twenty second NBA season. New 192 00:10:16,520 --> 00:10:20,600 Speaker 4: Lakers coach JJ Reddick hasn't said whether Lebron's son, Bronni, 193 00:10:20,720 --> 00:10:23,200 Speaker 4: will join him on the court. If he does, it's 194 00:10:23,280 --> 00:10:26,040 Speaker 4: NBA history. It's only happened once in baseball nineteen ninety 195 00:10:26,080 --> 00:10:29,720 Speaker 4: in Seattle, Ken Griffy senior and junior played together. 196 00:10:29,840 --> 00:10:32,840 Speaker 3: The Griffies will be at the game tonight in La Baltimore. 197 00:10:32,920 --> 00:10:35,400 Speaker 4: Ravens with their fifth straight win, led by Lamar Jackson 198 00:10:35,440 --> 00:10:38,600 Speaker 4: making a case for another MVP through five touchdown passes 199 00:10:38,960 --> 00:10:41,080 Speaker 4: in a forty one thirty one win at Tampa Bay 200 00:10:41,080 --> 00:10:43,160 Speaker 4: Derrick Henry Rush for one hundred and sixty nine yards 201 00:10:43,200 --> 00:10:46,080 Speaker 4: James Conner one hundred and fifty two all purpose yards 202 00:10:46,160 --> 00:10:48,160 Speaker 4: Arizona on the last second field goal top the LA 203 00:10:48,280 --> 00:10:51,760 Speaker 4: Chargers seventeen fifteen. Injury news inclod a couple of season 204 00:10:51,840 --> 00:10:54,440 Speaker 4: enders Browns QB DeShawn Watson, who was not having a 205 00:10:54,440 --> 00:10:57,960 Speaker 4: good season, now out ruptured Achilles forty nine ers white out, 206 00:10:57,960 --> 00:11:01,960 Speaker 4: Brandon Eye torn acl The ribbage suffered by Washington star 207 00:11:02,080 --> 00:11:04,760 Speaker 4: rookie QB Jane Daniels may keep him out this week, 208 00:11:04,800 --> 00:11:08,080 Speaker 4: but it's not long term. Aaron Boone confirmed the obvious 209 00:11:08,120 --> 00:11:10,160 Speaker 4: Garrett Cole will start Game one of the World Series 210 00:11:10,160 --> 00:11:12,400 Speaker 4: for the Yankees Friday in Los Angeles. 211 00:11:12,600 --> 00:11:14,560 Speaker 3: John Stashanmwer Bloomberg Sports Care. 212 00:11:14,640 --> 00:11:21,440 Speaker 14: Navan Coast to Coast on Bloomberg Radio, nationwide on Sirius XM, 213 00:11:21,520 --> 00:11:24,440 Speaker 14: and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the 214 00:11:24,480 --> 00:11:28,679 Speaker 14: Bloomberg Business app. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning, I'm 215 00:11:28,720 --> 00:11:29,400 Speaker 14: Nathan Hager. 216 00:11:29,440 --> 00:11:32,440 Speaker 2: With two weeks left until the election, Donald Trump and 217 00:11:32,520 --> 00:11:36,520 Speaker 2: Kamala Harris are both scouring the battleground states for every 218 00:11:36,720 --> 00:11:38,960 Speaker 2: last swing vote they can find. 219 00:11:39,040 --> 00:11:39,760 Speaker 3: In our movement. 220 00:11:39,800 --> 00:11:44,120 Speaker 10: We love Christians, we welcome believers, and we embrace followers 221 00:11:44,160 --> 00:11:44,800 Speaker 10: of Jesus. 222 00:11:45,000 --> 00:11:47,400 Speaker 7: You know, every election we said this is the one, 223 00:11:47,400 --> 00:11:50,880 Speaker 7: this is the one, This truly is the one. 224 00:11:51,040 --> 00:11:53,000 Speaker 2: And from where I'm where this election stands. We are 225 00:11:53,040 --> 00:11:57,040 Speaker 2: joined now by Bloomberg News Managing Editor Derek Wallbank. Derek, 226 00:11:57,040 --> 00:11:59,800 Speaker 2: good morning. So we've had Donald Trump in North Carolina 227 00:12:00,440 --> 00:12:03,720 Speaker 2: continuing to make unfounded claims about Hurricane aid, while Kamala 228 00:12:03,800 --> 00:12:07,440 Speaker 2: Harris has been slamming Trump's economic plans in the midwestern 229 00:12:07,440 --> 00:12:10,680 Speaker 2: Blue Wall states. Does any of this move the needle? 230 00:12:11,679 --> 00:12:14,000 Speaker 15: Well, Nathan, the question right now is who are these 231 00:12:15,440 --> 00:12:16,520 Speaker 15: people speaking to? 232 00:12:17,000 --> 00:12:17,200 Speaker 5: Right? 233 00:12:17,240 --> 00:12:20,640 Speaker 15: And it's really interesting because as far diverged as Kamala 234 00:12:20,720 --> 00:12:23,840 Speaker 15: Harris and Donald Trump are on any number of things, 235 00:12:24,360 --> 00:12:26,920 Speaker 15: you can actually find some commonalities in who they actually 236 00:12:27,000 --> 00:12:30,240 Speaker 15: are speaking to. I mean, Kamala Harris right now barnstorming 237 00:12:31,280 --> 00:12:38,640 Speaker 15: places like Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin with with Liz Cheney. That's 238 00:12:38,640 --> 00:12:41,000 Speaker 15: an appeal to those Nicki Haley voters, the people who 239 00:12:41,040 --> 00:12:44,520 Speaker 15: are still voting for Nicki Haley even after she'd lost right, 240 00:12:45,520 --> 00:12:48,920 Speaker 15: and there are many of them in those three states. Now, 241 00:12:49,360 --> 00:12:52,480 Speaker 15: the simple fact of the math is that if Kamala 242 00:12:52,480 --> 00:12:55,720 Speaker 15: Harris wins in Omaha, Nebraska and then goes and wins 243 00:12:55,720 --> 00:12:58,720 Speaker 15: the Blue Wall, she's the president. Right, That's ball game. 244 00:12:59,120 --> 00:13:04,520 Speaker 15: That's literally how numbers work. The thing that Donald Trump 245 00:13:04,600 --> 00:13:09,440 Speaker 15: has though, is he's we're starting to see some of 246 00:13:09,480 --> 00:13:13,640 Speaker 15: these early vote numbers coming in, and in places like 247 00:13:13,720 --> 00:13:17,720 Speaker 15: North Carolina where Trump was, in places like Nevada, you 248 00:13:17,760 --> 00:13:20,280 Speaker 15: are seeing some numbers come in that the Trump team 249 00:13:20,360 --> 00:13:22,440 Speaker 15: is exceptionally happy about. 250 00:13:23,280 --> 00:13:25,640 Speaker 2: Talk a little bit more about that. What are we 251 00:13:25,880 --> 00:13:29,360 Speaker 2: learning when it comes to early voting at this point. 252 00:13:29,559 --> 00:13:33,000 Speaker 15: Well, it's tough, Nathan, right, Remember, because if we're baselining 253 00:13:33,040 --> 00:13:35,720 Speaker 15: off of twenty twenty, we're baselining off of a COVID 254 00:13:35,760 --> 00:13:40,240 Speaker 15: election where Democrats were only too happy to vote almost entirely, 255 00:13:40,440 --> 00:13:42,800 Speaker 15: you know, by mail, and there was such a big, 256 00:13:43,520 --> 00:13:47,719 Speaker 15: big divergence between mail and in person and the likes 257 00:13:47,760 --> 00:13:52,400 Speaker 15: that we really hadn't seen before. Republicans have definitely emphasized 258 00:13:52,440 --> 00:13:56,160 Speaker 15: mail more and early vote more, and both sides are 259 00:13:56,160 --> 00:14:00,720 Speaker 15: trying to bank votes. But we are seeing, certainly, you know, 260 00:14:00,960 --> 00:14:04,520 Speaker 15: in Nevada, we're seeing a bit of an outperformance among 261 00:14:04,760 --> 00:14:09,440 Speaker 15: rural voters we're seeing the vote in Las Vegas. The 262 00:14:09,440 --> 00:14:13,839 Speaker 15: big Democratic bulwark isn't really where it has been in 263 00:14:13,880 --> 00:14:18,640 Speaker 15: prior cycles, certainly relatively. At the same time, if I'm 264 00:14:18,679 --> 00:14:21,240 Speaker 15: looking for good news for Kamala Harris, I'll tell you 265 00:14:21,360 --> 00:14:23,360 Speaker 15: I would find it in some of the gender gaps 266 00:14:23,360 --> 00:14:26,160 Speaker 15: that I'm seeing in some of these early states. You know, 267 00:14:26,480 --> 00:14:28,280 Speaker 15: you're seeing in some of these places in the early 268 00:14:28,360 --> 00:14:31,920 Speaker 15: vote women out voting men by maybe eight to nine 269 00:14:31,960 --> 00:14:35,680 Speaker 15: percentage points, And every single poll that we can see 270 00:14:36,160 --> 00:14:39,240 Speaker 15: is basically saying that there's likely to be an incredibly 271 00:14:39,320 --> 00:14:42,680 Speaker 15: high gender gap here, with women voting far more for 272 00:14:42,800 --> 00:14:46,000 Speaker 15: Harris and men voting far more for Trump. Again, let 273 00:14:46,000 --> 00:14:49,240 Speaker 15: me reduce this. I'm vastly oversimplifying it here, so all 274 00:14:49,280 --> 00:14:52,120 Speaker 15: those disclaimers, but if you just sort of figured that 275 00:14:52,160 --> 00:14:55,440 Speaker 15: there was an even breakout right in terms of women 276 00:14:55,520 --> 00:14:59,920 Speaker 15: for Harris and men for Trump, and then more women vote, 277 00:15:00,200 --> 00:15:02,320 Speaker 15: you know, the math to that suggests that that's good 278 00:15:02,320 --> 00:15:05,640 Speaker 15: news for Kamala Harris. So there are positive indicators for 279 00:15:05,760 --> 00:15:09,160 Speaker 15: both sides depending on where you look across these seven 280 00:15:09,720 --> 00:15:14,800 Speaker 15: critical battleground states. I do think one of the biggest commonalities, though, Nathan, 281 00:15:14,880 --> 00:15:16,880 Speaker 15: is that you see again and again and again. Both 282 00:15:16,920 --> 00:15:20,240 Speaker 15: of these candidates keep returning to Pennsylvania. In all of 283 00:15:20,280 --> 00:15:24,320 Speaker 15: the election map modeling that I'm doing right now, the 284 00:15:24,360 --> 00:15:27,800 Speaker 15: most likely tipping point state where you know that you 285 00:15:27,840 --> 00:15:31,040 Speaker 15: know its ballgame is Pennsylvania. 286 00:15:31,000 --> 00:15:33,960 Speaker 2: Just thirty seconds left. Along with presidential politics, we have 287 00:15:34,040 --> 00:15:36,800 Speaker 2: geopolitics and Secretary of State b Lincoln back in the 288 00:15:36,840 --> 00:15:39,360 Speaker 2: Middle East? Is there a chance for a ceasefire with 289 00:15:39,440 --> 00:15:40,840 Speaker 2: two weeks to go before the election? 290 00:15:41,360 --> 00:15:44,560 Speaker 15: Well, Anthony Blincoln look is on trip number eleven, and 291 00:15:44,880 --> 00:15:47,040 Speaker 15: I do think that the US is trying to find 292 00:15:47,120 --> 00:15:50,920 Speaker 15: any way toward a ceasefire. They're wondering now whether or 293 00:15:50,960 --> 00:15:55,640 Speaker 15: not the conditions on the ground with the death of 294 00:15:55,720 --> 00:15:59,840 Speaker 15: the Hamas leader you know and others, has changed enough. 295 00:16:00,720 --> 00:16:04,480 Speaker 15: Hard to say right now, but the Biden administration does 296 00:16:04,600 --> 00:16:07,960 Speaker 15: keep trying and maybe at one point they succeed, but 297 00:16:08,120 --> 00:16:12,760 Speaker 15: we haven't necessarily seen a massive change on the ground. 298 00:16:12,880 --> 00:16:16,040 Speaker 15: Benjamin Netniaw who's been very clear Israel's Prime Minister that 299 00:16:16,160 --> 00:16:19,120 Speaker 15: the condition for a ceasefire is released the hostages, and 300 00:16:19,160 --> 00:16:20,280 Speaker 15: that has not happened. 301 00:16:20,520 --> 00:16:23,960 Speaker 6: This is Bloomberg Daybreak, your morning podcast on the stories 302 00:16:24,040 --> 00:16:27,080 Speaker 6: making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. 303 00:16:27,320 --> 00:16:29,720 Speaker 2: Look for us on your podcast feed by six am 304 00:16:29,760 --> 00:16:33,160 Speaker 2: Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. 305 00:16:33,360 --> 00:16:36,160 Speaker 6: You can also listen live each morning starting at five 306 00:16:36,240 --> 00:16:38,960 Speaker 6: am Wall Street Time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero 307 00:16:38,960 --> 00:16:41,880 Speaker 6: in New York, Bloomberg ninety nine to one in Washington, 308 00:16:41,920 --> 00:16:45,880 Speaker 6: Bloomberg ninety two nine in Boston, and nationwide on serious 309 00:16:46,080 --> 00:16:47,640 Speaker 6: XM Channel one twenty one. 310 00:16:48,040 --> 00:16:50,760 Speaker 2: Plus listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business app 311 00:16:50,800 --> 00:16:53,640 Speaker 2: now with Apple CarPlay and Android Atto interfaces. 312 00:16:53,840 --> 00:16:56,840 Speaker 6: And don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg News Now. It's 313 00:16:56,880 --> 00:16:59,560 Speaker 6: the latest news whenever you want it in five minutes 314 00:16:59,680 --> 00:17:02,840 Speaker 6: or less. Search Bloomberg News Now on your favorite podcast 315 00:17:02,840 --> 00:17:07,080 Speaker 6: platform to stay informed all day long. I'm Karen Moscow. 316 00:17:06,800 --> 00:17:07,800 Speaker 3: And I'm Nathan Hager. 317 00:17:07,920 --> 00:17:10,000 Speaker 2: Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you 318 00:17:10,040 --> 00:17:12,800 Speaker 2: need to start your day right here on Bloomberg Dbreak