1 00:00:01,840 --> 00:00:05,560 Speaker 1: Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of I Heart Radio. 2 00:00:07,640 --> 00:00:11,039 Speaker 1: Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from I Heart Radio, 3 00:00:11,280 --> 00:00:15,720 Speaker 1: your weekly source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation, 4 00:00:15,840 --> 00:00:18,680 Speaker 1: and whatever stupid stuff they decided to drop into the show. 5 00:00:19,160 --> 00:00:25,680 Speaker 1: Now here's your host, Paul. Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly. 6 00:00:25,920 --> 00:00:28,560 Speaker 1: I am Paul charchy In and for the first time 7 00:00:28,600 --> 00:00:32,640 Speaker 1: in several months, thanks to social distancing, I have both 8 00:00:32,840 --> 00:00:36,280 Speaker 1: of my co hosts with me today. I guess thanks 9 00:00:36,280 --> 00:00:40,840 Speaker 1: to relaxed social distancing, Matt Harrison and Brian Johnson, we're 10 00:00:40,840 --> 00:00:44,800 Speaker 1: back together again, a three way. I've never felt less relaxed. 11 00:00:46,960 --> 00:00:53,760 Speaker 1: I feel very I'm very old people people. Yeah, it's weird. 12 00:00:54,320 --> 00:00:59,400 Speaker 1: Would you like to touch elbows? Brian la celebratory, secret, 13 00:00:59,640 --> 00:01:02,920 Speaker 1: very secretive elbow bump. Probably. Uh. There's a lot to 14 00:01:02,960 --> 00:01:05,400 Speaker 1: get to over the course of the show. Fantasy Football Weekly, 15 00:01:05,400 --> 00:01:09,880 Speaker 1: and this show is dedicated to the first round of 16 00:01:09,920 --> 00:01:13,880 Speaker 1: your draft. We're going to look at every pick that 17 00:01:14,000 --> 00:01:17,920 Speaker 1: you the people are making in the first round. We'll 18 00:01:17,959 --> 00:01:20,480 Speaker 1: tell you who you're taking first, who you're taking second, 19 00:01:20,480 --> 00:01:22,640 Speaker 1: who you're taking third, by average draft position, and whether 20 00:01:22,720 --> 00:01:25,679 Speaker 1: or not that's right. We're gonna be evaluating your picks. 21 00:01:26,040 --> 00:01:28,080 Speaker 1: We got to change this a dp before it gets 22 00:01:28,080 --> 00:01:30,040 Speaker 1: out of hand. Yeah, there's some changes to be made 23 00:01:30,040 --> 00:01:32,920 Speaker 1: out here. Now. Generally I think the public does a 24 00:01:33,040 --> 00:01:36,640 Speaker 1: pretty good job, but we've got a lot to quibble with. 25 00:01:36,680 --> 00:01:39,240 Speaker 1: In the first round is very important. Really, if you're 26 00:01:39,280 --> 00:01:41,400 Speaker 1: gonna miss up any round, you can lose your league 27 00:01:41,400 --> 00:01:43,760 Speaker 1: in the first round, you can, and that is part 28 00:01:43,760 --> 00:01:46,200 Speaker 1: of the draft strategy. Are you looking in the first round? 29 00:01:46,959 --> 00:01:50,080 Speaker 1: Do you want the pick that's going to help rocket 30 00:01:50,120 --> 00:01:52,720 Speaker 1: you to a championship or is it more important to 31 00:01:52,760 --> 00:01:55,480 Speaker 1: get the safe pick and don't get the one that's 32 00:01:55,520 --> 00:01:59,200 Speaker 1: gonna torpedo your team like David Johnson last year who 33 00:01:59,200 --> 00:02:02,480 Speaker 1: went off in the middle first round and gave you nothing. 34 00:02:02,760 --> 00:02:06,400 Speaker 1: Antonio Brown and well he wasn't a first rounder. Well 35 00:02:06,440 --> 00:02:08,600 Speaker 1: it depends on what time of the summer were draft 36 00:02:10,120 --> 00:02:14,280 Speaker 1: David Johnson the year before. There's that too. There's that too. 37 00:02:14,800 --> 00:02:16,200 Speaker 1: You know this is gonna be the year when David 38 00:02:16,240 --> 00:02:18,560 Speaker 1: Johnson blows up, so nobody's gonna draft him. And you 39 00:02:18,560 --> 00:02:20,960 Speaker 1: know that's that would be fantasy football in a nutshell 40 00:02:21,120 --> 00:02:24,480 Speaker 1: right there. So does the public, you the listening audience 41 00:02:24,520 --> 00:02:26,000 Speaker 1: have it right? We're gonna go through every pick of 42 00:02:26,000 --> 00:02:28,920 Speaker 1: the first round, the twelve picks the public is selecting. 43 00:02:29,200 --> 00:02:32,840 Speaker 1: We'll tell you if we believe your selections are too high, 44 00:02:33,120 --> 00:02:38,040 Speaker 1: too low, or just right. We begin with the first 45 00:02:38,120 --> 00:02:42,800 Speaker 1: overall pick. By consensus, you are taking Christian McCaffrey, last 46 00:02:42,880 --> 00:02:46,600 Speaker 1: year's number one overall score and is number one at 47 00:02:46,639 --> 00:02:49,080 Speaker 1: the position. Is it possible you're taking him too low 48 00:02:50,760 --> 00:02:54,120 Speaker 1: at number one? Um the Panthers with Cam Newton, Kyle Allen, 49 00:02:54,160 --> 00:02:57,480 Speaker 1: and Will Greer last year, we're second in the league 50 00:02:57,480 --> 00:03:01,600 Speaker 1: with six thirty passing attempts, most forty per game. Their 51 00:03:01,639 --> 00:03:03,880 Speaker 1: defense is going to be worseless year with the loss 52 00:03:03,880 --> 00:03:06,480 Speaker 1: of Luke Keikley. They're gonna be playing from behind, meeting 53 00:03:06,560 --> 00:03:08,880 Speaker 1: check down. Teddy will be throwing the ball, maybe just 54 00:03:08,960 --> 00:03:12,840 Speaker 1: as much. As I mentioned in previous episodes, bridgewaters average 55 00:03:12,840 --> 00:03:16,800 Speaker 1: depth of target is five point four yards. That spells 56 00:03:16,960 --> 00:03:20,079 Speaker 1: good for him. That spells doom for Curtis Samuel and 57 00:03:20,160 --> 00:03:23,280 Speaker 1: Robby Anderson, who are both deep threats. And DJ Moore's 58 00:03:23,320 --> 00:03:25,880 Speaker 1: average depth of target last year was around eleven point 59 00:03:25,919 --> 00:03:29,440 Speaker 1: one yards. Plus Greg Olsen is gone. Yes, that means 60 00:03:29,639 --> 00:03:32,079 Speaker 1: Christian McCaffrey is going to catch a whole heck of 61 00:03:32,120 --> 00:03:34,040 Speaker 1: a lot of balls because his average depth of target 62 00:03:34,400 --> 00:03:39,640 Speaker 1: zero point seven yards, that is own right there. Well, 63 00:03:39,640 --> 00:03:42,960 Speaker 1: it's kind of in his max range for Teddy Bridgewater. Actually, 64 00:03:43,160 --> 00:03:48,720 Speaker 1: I think McCaffrey will set the record, maybe a record 65 00:03:48,760 --> 00:03:51,720 Speaker 1: that won't be beaten ever for running back receptions this year. 66 00:03:52,840 --> 00:03:56,000 Speaker 1: He led last year all running backs in targets, receptions, 67 00:03:56,040 --> 00:03:58,920 Speaker 1: receiving yards, total touchdowns, and he was second in Russian 68 00:03:59,000 --> 00:04:03,920 Speaker 1: yards last year Chris to McCaffrey in ESPN scoring system. 69 00:04:04,040 --> 00:04:09,040 Speaker 1: Last year, Christian McCaffrey scored twenty two more Fantasy points 70 00:04:09,280 --> 00:04:13,640 Speaker 1: than the next closest running back. That's that's the equivalent 71 00:04:13,680 --> 00:04:16,159 Speaker 1: of really like getting a free flex player, justin the 72 00:04:16,240 --> 00:04:19,080 Speaker 1: differential that he brought. I think I read in fantasy 73 00:04:19,120 --> 00:04:22,720 Speaker 1: points he he totaled the number ten and number eleven 74 00:04:22,800 --> 00:04:26,719 Speaker 1: running backs last year together, So you get an extra 75 00:04:26,800 --> 00:04:30,400 Speaker 1: starter on the field with him. All right, let's the one, 76 00:04:30,480 --> 00:04:33,960 Speaker 1: the one argument you can make against Christian mcafy. Yes, 77 00:04:34,160 --> 00:04:36,280 Speaker 1: but you know, let's try to let's try to make 78 00:04:36,360 --> 00:04:39,800 Speaker 1: some cases why you wouldn't take Christian McCaffrey number one, 79 00:04:39,800 --> 00:04:42,960 Speaker 1: because there there are reasons. History is the one I 80 00:04:42,960 --> 00:04:46,359 Speaker 1: can think of, and that is essentially Priest Holmes is 81 00:04:46,400 --> 00:04:49,360 Speaker 1: the only running back that's ever repeated as number one, 82 00:04:49,440 --> 00:04:51,960 Speaker 1: number one fantasy running back back to back years, and 83 00:04:51,960 --> 00:04:58,359 Speaker 1: I was back in two three. It's either it's not 84 00:04:58,480 --> 00:05:02,320 Speaker 1: often though, it's domin no matter what, Predominantly, guys don't 85 00:05:02,320 --> 00:05:04,200 Speaker 1: back to back now, and you know, we've gotten very 86 00:05:04,200 --> 00:05:07,640 Speaker 1: excited about players before after monster seasons. Chris Johnson comes 87 00:05:07,680 --> 00:05:10,839 Speaker 1: to mind, your boy tap dancing Nancy, But he was 88 00:05:10,880 --> 00:05:14,080 Speaker 1: a tap dancing Nancy for all the reasons Matt suggested. 89 00:05:14,160 --> 00:05:17,160 Speaker 1: I mean, the stars are aligning for even a better season. 90 00:05:17,279 --> 00:05:20,080 Speaker 1: So there's one guy you can aregue taking over mccaff 91 00:05:20,160 --> 00:05:21,280 Speaker 1: We all know who that is. But I think we 92 00:05:21,320 --> 00:05:24,200 Speaker 1: can get to the the question here. So one is, 93 00:05:24,440 --> 00:05:28,680 Speaker 1: you know, even we all think the regression is possible, 94 00:05:28,960 --> 00:05:34,039 Speaker 1: just because history says a repression. But here's the things 95 00:05:34,360 --> 00:05:39,880 Speaker 1: it's possible even if Christian McCaffrey regressed by he'd be 96 00:05:39,920 --> 00:05:43,600 Speaker 1: the last year's highest scoring running back. Now I'll give 97 00:05:43,640 --> 00:05:45,719 Speaker 1: you this is here's the one angle I've come up 98 00:05:45,760 --> 00:05:47,520 Speaker 1: with that I think is a legitimate one that could 99 00:05:47,560 --> 00:05:52,640 Speaker 1: hurt Christian McCaffrey. Really a massively rebuilt Carolina Panther's offensive 100 00:05:52,680 --> 00:05:56,240 Speaker 1: line that will probably take time to gel. They gained 101 00:05:56,320 --> 00:05:59,320 Speaker 1: left tackle Russell o'cum, the formal Pro bowler that was 102 00:05:59,360 --> 00:06:03,600 Speaker 1: traded from the Chargers. Left tackle John Miller replaces greg 103 00:06:03,720 --> 00:06:07,240 Speaker 1: Van Roten, and right guard Michael Schofield will start in 104 00:06:07,279 --> 00:06:09,600 Speaker 1: place of Trey Turner, who went back to the Chargers 105 00:06:09,600 --> 00:06:12,159 Speaker 1: in that deal. And that's a lot of moving parts 106 00:06:12,360 --> 00:06:16,560 Speaker 1: and at at in new coaching staff, and there's it 107 00:06:16,600 --> 00:06:19,520 Speaker 1: could be that this offense and the offensive line just 108 00:06:19,880 --> 00:06:23,400 Speaker 1: doesn't function right while they iron out all the new 109 00:06:23,400 --> 00:06:27,920 Speaker 1: components of a new offensive. And while pass catching running 110 00:06:27,960 --> 00:06:29,880 Speaker 1: backs are immune to some of that, they're not immune 111 00:06:29,880 --> 00:06:31,200 Speaker 1: to all of that. And he we still need him 112 00:06:31,200 --> 00:06:34,520 Speaker 1: to run. So I think that's the best case to 113 00:06:34,560 --> 00:06:37,479 Speaker 1: make against Christian McCaffrey. It's not even that good of 114 00:06:37,480 --> 00:06:39,760 Speaker 1: a case, all right, So do you believe it's not 115 00:06:40,360 --> 00:06:44,279 Speaker 1: Do you believe Christian McCaffrey should go number one? Is 116 00:06:44,320 --> 00:06:46,080 Speaker 1: that I can't here? Is it too high? Too low? 117 00:06:46,160 --> 00:06:47,960 Speaker 1: Or is it just right? Can't be two? Can't be 118 00:06:48,160 --> 00:06:52,640 Speaker 1: too high because he's number one, he's just right. What 119 00:06:52,680 --> 00:06:55,600 Speaker 1: do you think, Brian, I'll go just right to just right. 120 00:06:55,640 --> 00:06:57,760 Speaker 1: We all agree with Christian McAffrey just right. Let's go 121 00:06:57,800 --> 00:07:03,520 Speaker 1: to the average as of Laton a favorite year. Ever, 122 00:07:04,040 --> 00:07:07,320 Speaker 1: let's go to the player you are taking second in 123 00:07:07,360 --> 00:07:11,080 Speaker 1: the first round. As we avail to evaluate your first round. 124 00:07:11,480 --> 00:07:14,520 Speaker 1: These are the twelve picks that you are selecting an 125 00:07:14,560 --> 00:07:20,600 Speaker 1: average draft position by ESPN Drafts, and that is Michael Thomas. 126 00:07:20,920 --> 00:07:24,280 Speaker 1: People clearly drinking too much during quarantine time and ap 127 00:07:24,520 --> 00:07:28,840 Speaker 1: you got from ESPSP belief. This is ESPNS average draft position. 128 00:07:29,320 --> 00:07:32,120 Speaker 1: Last year he was wide receiver number one. He was 129 00:07:32,200 --> 00:07:36,800 Speaker 1: ranked third overall in scoring. I'll go I guess, I mean, 130 00:07:37,480 --> 00:07:39,600 Speaker 1: I don't even know if I take Michael Thomas as 131 00:07:39,640 --> 00:07:42,560 Speaker 1: my top wide receiver, but I'm not taking them second. 132 00:07:42,640 --> 00:07:45,000 Speaker 1: I'm very much on the fence with taking se Kwon 133 00:07:45,080 --> 00:07:48,640 Speaker 1: Berkley over Christian McCaffrey, just to be a bit contrarian 134 00:07:48,680 --> 00:07:52,560 Speaker 1: and go go with the histories trends. But from Michael Thomas, 135 00:07:52,680 --> 00:07:56,240 Speaker 1: he he still has wide receiver one potential for sure. 136 00:07:56,280 --> 00:07:59,040 Speaker 1: He could warrant being the top or the second overall 137 00:07:59,040 --> 00:08:01,280 Speaker 1: pick in the fantasy draft. But I don't like the 138 00:08:01,280 --> 00:08:04,760 Speaker 1: addition of Emmanuel Sanders. He commands a lot more targets 139 00:08:04,760 --> 00:08:07,040 Speaker 1: than any other wide receiver that was on the scenes 140 00:08:07,120 --> 00:08:09,520 Speaker 1: last year, Brandon Cooks was kind of like the most 141 00:08:09,560 --> 00:08:12,560 Speaker 1: notable secondary option and he was never much of a 142 00:08:12,640 --> 00:08:16,760 Speaker 1: target hug ever, so Emmanuel Sanders coming back, Taysom Hill, 143 00:08:16,840 --> 00:08:20,680 Speaker 1: I just hate for that whole offense in general, including 144 00:08:20,720 --> 00:08:23,600 Speaker 1: Michael Thomas. He just comes in and vultures touchdowns from 145 00:08:23,640 --> 00:08:27,800 Speaker 1: Kamara Thomas. And really the easiest argument against not taking 146 00:08:27,800 --> 00:08:29,560 Speaker 1: Thomas here, I'm sorry, I kind of jump the gun 147 00:08:29,560 --> 00:08:32,520 Speaker 1: and answered the question is wide receiver is the deepest 148 00:08:32,559 --> 00:08:35,160 Speaker 1: I can remembered ever being in the twenty five issue 149 00:08:35,200 --> 00:08:39,000 Speaker 1: years I've played fantasy football, You've got guys and the 150 00:08:39,000 --> 00:08:42,480 Speaker 1: opposite kind of year, you got guys like Juju Smith 151 00:08:42,520 --> 00:08:45,200 Speaker 1: Schuster who are like ranked in the thirties predominantly by 152 00:08:45,280 --> 00:08:48,040 Speaker 1: most experts and whatnot. So I just I cannot take 153 00:08:48,080 --> 00:08:53,000 Speaker 1: Michael Thomas second here. And what what say? What percentage 154 00:08:53,000 --> 00:08:57,040 Speaker 1: of fantasy owners have ever regretted their selection of Michael 155 00:08:57,040 --> 00:09:00,640 Speaker 1: Thomas no matter where they took him. Uh, it's about 156 00:09:00,800 --> 00:09:06,360 Speaker 1: uh maybe point oh oh one. Nobody's ever regretted. This 157 00:09:06,520 --> 00:09:09,439 Speaker 1: is the safest pick in fantasy football, Michael Thomas. But 158 00:09:09,440 --> 00:09:13,040 Speaker 1: should he go at position number two? So the knock 159 00:09:13,080 --> 00:09:16,080 Speaker 1: I have on him here was Breeze went from averaging 160 00:09:16,160 --> 00:09:19,559 Speaker 1: forty two passing attempts per game in sixteen and basically 161 00:09:19,640 --> 00:09:23,040 Speaker 1: over forty per game for the prior ten years, to 162 00:09:23,360 --> 00:09:26,560 Speaker 1: thirty four or fewer in each of the last three seasons. 163 00:09:26,840 --> 00:09:32,280 Speaker 1: Manuel Sanders Brian mentioned his legit and capable defense. If 164 00:09:32,960 --> 00:09:36,600 Speaker 1: Breeze's arm isn't up for throwing forty times a game. 165 00:09:36,679 --> 00:09:39,600 Speaker 1: Thomas seems due for some regression because he had a 166 00:09:39,720 --> 00:09:43,720 Speaker 1: hundred and eighty five targets, one forty nine receptions, and 167 00:09:43,840 --> 00:09:47,720 Speaker 1: seventy five for yardage. But even if he regresses to 168 00:09:47,840 --> 00:09:52,280 Speaker 1: his two thousand eighteen numbers, which that's likely, he's still 169 00:09:52,280 --> 00:09:54,800 Speaker 1: getting a hundred and twenty five catches for fourteen hundred 170 00:09:54,880 --> 00:09:58,120 Speaker 1: yards and nine touchdowns. So I I think that he's 171 00:09:58,160 --> 00:10:01,080 Speaker 1: going to regress some, but you're not gonna feel bad 172 00:10:01,120 --> 00:10:05,240 Speaker 1: if you take him in the top five. So you're 173 00:10:05,360 --> 00:10:08,040 Speaker 1: you're saying, give me, is this is he being a 174 00:10:08,160 --> 00:10:10,960 Speaker 1: position number two? Is Michael Thomas too high he's too right? 175 00:10:11,040 --> 00:10:13,480 Speaker 1: Or too low? He's too high? Because I'd I'd take 176 00:10:13,480 --> 00:10:17,200 Speaker 1: a running back over him. He's just right. Incredible depth 177 00:10:17,240 --> 00:10:20,959 Speaker 1: of quarterback with Drew Brees Jamis Winston, who would likely 178 00:10:20,960 --> 00:10:23,200 Speaker 1: get lots of reps in the event that Drew Brees 179 00:10:23,240 --> 00:10:26,120 Speaker 1: got hurt, and then Taysom Hill does for whatever, for 180 00:10:26,120 --> 00:10:28,040 Speaker 1: whatever faults he has, he also can throw a nice 181 00:10:28,080 --> 00:10:30,120 Speaker 1: deep ball and he can do some things. And then 182 00:10:30,280 --> 00:10:33,000 Speaker 1: you guys are so wrong in Emmanuel Sanders. Emmanuel Sanders 183 00:10:33,000 --> 00:10:36,319 Speaker 1: helps his cause he has been languishing. Michael Thomas. He 184 00:10:36,360 --> 00:10:39,760 Speaker 1: hasn't been languishing. He's had too. He has had to 185 00:10:39,800 --> 00:10:43,400 Speaker 1: take full coverage, the best coverage. Nobody, no other wide 186 00:10:43,400 --> 00:10:47,600 Speaker 1: receivers offering defense is anything to look at. Emmanuel Sanders 187 00:10:47,920 --> 00:10:52,200 Speaker 1: will at least make keep defenses a little bit honest an, 188 00:10:52,480 --> 00:10:55,360 Speaker 1: I think that will ultimately help in the long run. 189 00:10:55,600 --> 00:10:59,160 Speaker 1: Michael Thomas. I believe it is just right at pick 190 00:10:59,240 --> 00:11:02,439 Speaker 1: number two. When we come back, we will begin looking 191 00:11:02,440 --> 00:11:05,959 Speaker 1: at pick number three that you've got. We're evaluating the 192 00:11:06,000 --> 00:11:09,720 Speaker 1: public's drafting through the first round you took, by average 193 00:11:09,760 --> 00:11:13,520 Speaker 1: draft position and ESPN drafts you've taken. Christian McCaffrey, Michael Thomas. 194 00:11:13,720 --> 00:11:16,280 Speaker 1: We'll talk about picks number three, four and five when 195 00:11:16,360 --> 00:11:20,880 Speaker 1: we come back to Fantasy Football Weekly. Welcome back to 196 00:11:20,920 --> 00:11:23,120 Speaker 1: Fantasy Football Weekly. I'm your host Paul Charchy and my 197 00:11:23,200 --> 00:11:26,840 Speaker 1: co host today are Matt Harrison and Brian Johnson. You 198 00:11:26,840 --> 00:11:29,160 Speaker 1: can follow us on Twitter. I am at Paul Charchi 199 00:11:29,240 --> 00:11:35,400 Speaker 1: and Matt Harrison is at explosive output. And and all 200 00:11:35,440 --> 00:11:40,920 Speaker 1: these years years later it Bryan has available it at 201 00:11:41,280 --> 00:11:45,920 Speaker 1: b t x J b t x J. It's still 202 00:11:45,960 --> 00:11:51,080 Speaker 1: waiting for some corporation that needs t pay up. Well 203 00:11:51,120 --> 00:11:53,320 Speaker 1: for that, it's only four digits long. I got it 204 00:11:53,360 --> 00:11:55,720 Speaker 1: a long time ago. Good for you. We are looking 205 00:11:55,760 --> 00:11:58,839 Speaker 1: at the first round draft picks. Your the public's first 206 00:11:58,920 --> 00:12:01,680 Speaker 1: round draft picks. The twelve rounds comprising the first round 207 00:12:01,679 --> 00:12:05,120 Speaker 1: on ESPN average draft position. Do you have these picks right? 208 00:12:05,520 --> 00:12:07,959 Speaker 1: Are they guys too high or too low? We've already 209 00:12:07,960 --> 00:12:11,160 Speaker 1: covered Christian McCaffrey. Consensus was that was correct at number one. 210 00:12:11,320 --> 00:12:13,160 Speaker 1: Michael Thomas, two of the three of us said it 211 00:12:13,240 --> 00:12:15,640 Speaker 1: was too high at number two. And with the third 212 00:12:15,640 --> 00:12:19,640 Speaker 1: pick you are selecting, say Kwon Barkley, Matt, do you 213 00:12:19,679 --> 00:12:22,880 Speaker 1: believe it pick number three? Say Kwon Barkley is too high, 214 00:12:22,880 --> 00:12:24,920 Speaker 1: too low or just right? He's too low because he 215 00:12:24,960 --> 00:12:28,200 Speaker 1: should be locked in at number two. UM. I think 216 00:12:28,320 --> 00:12:31,480 Speaker 1: CMC's ceiling and floor are just a tiny bit higher 217 00:12:31,480 --> 00:12:34,120 Speaker 1: than say Kwan's. But the sky's the limit for Barkley. 218 00:12:34,200 --> 00:12:37,280 Speaker 1: He's got a capable quarterback who can throw the ball downfield. 219 00:12:37,559 --> 00:12:40,360 Speaker 1: Somehow that's working against him though, But it's like the 220 00:12:40,400 --> 00:12:43,120 Speaker 1: opposite of Teddy Bridgewater. And the weapons in New York 221 00:12:43,120 --> 00:12:47,480 Speaker 1: aren't bad. Darius Slayton, Sterling Shepard, Golden Tate, Evan Angram 222 00:12:47,480 --> 00:12:50,600 Speaker 1: all pretty decent options. Now the drawback is you have 223 00:12:50,720 --> 00:12:55,480 Speaker 1: Jason Garrett calling your place. But Jason Garrett's offenses in 224 00:12:55,520 --> 00:12:58,920 Speaker 1: the past to feature a workhorse running back in Ezekiel Elliott. 225 00:12:59,040 --> 00:13:01,760 Speaker 1: So I feel fine with se Kwon Barkley working in 226 00:13:01,800 --> 00:13:04,800 Speaker 1: that offense, and I think he's a great pick at 227 00:13:04,880 --> 00:13:07,760 Speaker 1: number two. Brian is gonna say he should be picked 228 00:13:07,760 --> 00:13:10,360 Speaker 1: at number one. You could make that argument, but yeah, 229 00:13:10,360 --> 00:13:13,360 Speaker 1: I'm gonna basically agree with you. And those those weapons 230 00:13:13,360 --> 00:13:16,760 Speaker 1: you mentioned, including Barkley, who last year was a disaster 231 00:13:16,840 --> 00:13:20,760 Speaker 1: of course, injuries and but uh, Golden Tate missed the 232 00:13:20,800 --> 00:13:23,800 Speaker 1: first four games of the season, Evan Ingram got injured 233 00:13:23,880 --> 00:13:26,880 Speaker 1: during that span. They never had that full team together. 234 00:13:26,920 --> 00:13:30,680 Speaker 1: And then yet Daniel Jones, who you know, started the season. Yeah, 235 00:13:30,720 --> 00:13:33,000 Speaker 1: so that team never had a chance. They're finally going 236 00:13:33,000 --> 00:13:36,520 Speaker 1: into a whole season together. The opening schedule is rough, though, 237 00:13:36,520 --> 00:13:40,240 Speaker 1: which I don't like it. I believe it's Pittsburgh, Chicago, 238 00:13:41,040 --> 00:13:46,079 Speaker 1: San Francisco and the Rams. Yikes, so that's a murderers row. 239 00:13:46,120 --> 00:13:48,400 Speaker 1: It's almost like, as much as you I love Barkley, 240 00:13:48,440 --> 00:13:50,000 Speaker 1: I think he's gonna bounce back in a big wave. 241 00:13:50,080 --> 00:13:52,600 Speaker 1: Arguably the most talented running back in the NFL. That 242 00:13:52,720 --> 00:13:54,880 Speaker 1: schedule scares me, and it's like it's more like a 243 00:13:54,920 --> 00:13:57,960 Speaker 1: bye low opportunity. But I'm still gonna say he's too low. 244 00:13:58,040 --> 00:14:00,320 Speaker 1: But keep that in mind that that opening schedu is 245 00:14:00,559 --> 00:14:03,040 Speaker 1: a little scary, could be a slow start, so it 246 00:14:03,080 --> 00:14:06,280 Speaker 1: could be tough on guillotine leaguers. Se kwon Barkley at 247 00:14:06,360 --> 00:14:09,400 Speaker 1: number three, I believe is just right and I love him. 248 00:14:09,520 --> 00:14:11,959 Speaker 1: He's he's the He's the best running back in the NFL. 249 00:14:12,040 --> 00:14:16,720 Speaker 1: Did you set the ADP for ESPN charge per drafted 250 00:14:16,760 --> 00:14:20,280 Speaker 1: on ESPN one thousand times? Just to make it just 251 00:14:20,360 --> 00:14:23,400 Speaker 1: my way? I hope. I don't want to step on 252 00:14:23,440 --> 00:14:25,800 Speaker 1: your toes. You might mention this, the Giants invested Andrew 253 00:14:25,800 --> 00:14:28,320 Speaker 1: Thomas fourth overall. Okay, I'll let you keep going. They 254 00:14:28,320 --> 00:14:30,840 Speaker 1: got their early first round pick and Andrew Thomas, who 255 00:14:30,920 --> 00:14:35,440 Speaker 1: joins Nate Solder. Will Hernandez also very good blockers, and 256 00:14:35,480 --> 00:14:37,880 Speaker 1: the Giants also put a third rounder into Matt Perkin. 257 00:14:37,920 --> 00:14:39,920 Speaker 1: I mean, this is an offensive line that should get better, 258 00:14:40,120 --> 00:14:42,040 Speaker 1: might take a little while, and again, you know, new 259 00:14:42,040 --> 00:14:43,960 Speaker 1: offensive lines take a little bit to jelt. Maybe that's 260 00:14:44,000 --> 00:14:47,960 Speaker 1: going to be the Yeah, it really does. And nowhere 261 00:14:48,000 --> 00:14:50,440 Speaker 1: to go but up. Okay, let's go to a position 262 00:14:50,560 --> 00:14:54,520 Speaker 1: number four. The public on ESPN is taking Ezekiel Elliott 263 00:14:54,640 --> 00:14:58,480 Speaker 1: at number four. Let's go to Brian. Do you believe 264 00:14:58,800 --> 00:15:01,440 Speaker 1: that ezequiellet number four is too high, too low or 265 00:15:01,520 --> 00:15:03,920 Speaker 1: just right? Well, Michael Thomas has screwed this all up 266 00:15:03,920 --> 00:15:08,400 Speaker 1: because everyone's too low. But um, let's let's just say 267 00:15:08,440 --> 00:15:12,280 Speaker 1: behind se Kwan and McCaffrey, I'll say just right, um 268 00:15:12,520 --> 00:15:15,760 Speaker 1: for Zeke just uh. He was a beast last year, 269 00:15:15,800 --> 00:15:18,680 Speaker 1: probably the most consistent running back outside of McCaffrey, and 270 00:15:19,280 --> 00:15:22,200 Speaker 1: the addition of Ceedee Lamb doesn't really concern me. There's 271 00:15:22,200 --> 00:15:24,720 Speaker 1: a lot of weapons, aerial weapons. Blake jarr Went an 272 00:15:24,760 --> 00:15:28,000 Speaker 1: upcoming tight end, gonna steal some red zone touches from Zeke. 273 00:15:28,240 --> 00:15:31,080 Speaker 1: I think Tony Pollard's he's a little more run this year, 274 00:15:31,440 --> 00:15:34,120 Speaker 1: trying to, you know, take the mileage off ze because 275 00:15:34,120 --> 00:15:35,960 Speaker 1: there they've got him for the long haul now they 276 00:15:36,160 --> 00:15:38,200 Speaker 1: like it or not. Right, he's locked in, So I 277 00:15:38,240 --> 00:15:41,000 Speaker 1: don't know if he's gonna see just a slight downtick 278 00:15:41,040 --> 00:15:42,800 Speaker 1: in usage for Elliott, but he's still gonna beed the 279 00:15:42,840 --> 00:15:44,920 Speaker 1: same elite player on the same elite on the same 280 00:15:44,960 --> 00:15:47,520 Speaker 1: lead offense. So he's just about right where he is. Uh, 281 00:15:47,600 --> 00:15:50,920 Speaker 1: most of what Brian said is spot on. Kellen Moore 282 00:15:51,040 --> 00:15:55,560 Speaker 1: stays as the offensive coordinator, so he's got something there. Um. 283 00:15:55,640 --> 00:15:59,280 Speaker 1: He led the league with fifty nine red zone rushing 284 00:15:59,280 --> 00:16:02,640 Speaker 1: attempts last steer and had twelve scores from that distance. 285 00:16:03,440 --> 00:16:08,800 Speaker 1: Plus if by some chance, Dak Prescott decides to go 286 00:16:09,000 --> 00:16:12,760 Speaker 1: Ezekiel Elliott on this and hold out, he's got Andy 287 00:16:12,840 --> 00:16:16,680 Speaker 1: Dalton who's a capable backup quarterback. But Andy Dalton might 288 00:16:16,720 --> 00:16:19,040 Speaker 1: hand Zeke the ball just a couple extra times. So 289 00:16:19,160 --> 00:16:21,440 Speaker 1: I like Zeke is the third overall running back, and 290 00:16:21,520 --> 00:16:23,960 Speaker 1: in my mind he's the third overall pick, So I 291 00:16:23,960 --> 00:16:26,320 Speaker 1: think he's going a little bit too low. You talked 292 00:16:26,320 --> 00:16:29,720 Speaker 1: about his red zone touches. Listen to this from inside 293 00:16:29,760 --> 00:16:33,720 Speaker 1: the five yard line for Ezekiel Elliott. Over his three 294 00:16:33,800 --> 00:16:38,920 Speaker 1: year career, he's had forty one carries from inside the 295 00:16:39,000 --> 00:16:43,920 Speaker 1: five just in the last uh just in last two years, 296 00:16:43,960 --> 00:16:47,280 Speaker 1: he's had thirty one even And but I want to 297 00:16:47,320 --> 00:16:49,120 Speaker 1: spend a minute on Tony Pollard. And here's why I'm 298 00:16:49,160 --> 00:16:53,240 Speaker 1: going to say this is too high. I'm legitimately worried 299 00:16:53,560 --> 00:16:57,920 Speaker 1: about Tony Pollard significantly eating into his usage. He's a baller. 300 00:16:58,360 --> 00:17:02,359 Speaker 1: He is a baller. Listened to this by many metrics. 301 00:17:02,400 --> 00:17:07,200 Speaker 1: In fact, by most metrics, Tony Pollard was the better 302 00:17:07,240 --> 00:17:10,119 Speaker 1: back last year. He ran for five point three yards 303 00:17:10,119 --> 00:17:13,320 Speaker 1: per carry, and even when Paullard didn't touch the ball, 304 00:17:13,840 --> 00:17:18,400 Speaker 1: the Cowboys average more yards per play on when Pollard 305 00:17:18,480 --> 00:17:21,240 Speaker 1: was in the game than when Zeke was in the game. 306 00:17:21,800 --> 00:17:26,680 Speaker 1: Pollard had the NFL's highest yards after contact last year. 307 00:17:27,240 --> 00:17:30,240 Speaker 1: Among all runners that had at least his eighties six carries, 308 00:17:30,960 --> 00:17:34,919 Speaker 1: he had the most yards per contact. Tony Pollard had 309 00:17:34,920 --> 00:17:38,440 Speaker 1: a higher Pro Football Focus grade than Zeke did last year, 310 00:17:38,640 --> 00:17:42,960 Speaker 1: both as a runner and as a receiver. And we 311 00:17:43,080 --> 00:17:45,800 Speaker 1: saw Tony Pollard put up heavy usage games at the 312 00:17:45,880 --> 00:17:49,000 Speaker 1: end of last year, Week fifteen and week seventeen last year, 313 00:17:49,359 --> 00:17:52,440 Speaker 1: we're fourteen and fifteen touch games. At the end of 314 00:17:52,520 --> 00:17:54,080 Speaker 1: last year, when Dallas was playing to try to get 315 00:17:54,119 --> 00:17:58,280 Speaker 1: into the playoffs, they were relying on Tony Pollard down 316 00:17:58,280 --> 00:18:01,320 Speaker 1: the stretch. Were those games at the end of last 317 00:18:01,359 --> 00:18:04,600 Speaker 1: year a foreshadowing of what is to come this year? 318 00:18:05,480 --> 00:18:10,320 Speaker 1: Don't don't you got me convinced? Uh? Tony Pollard also, 319 00:18:10,520 --> 00:18:15,480 Speaker 1: I believe had the highest elusive rating in the league 320 00:18:15,560 --> 00:18:19,600 Speaker 1: out of players who played more than uh eight games. 321 00:18:19,960 --> 00:18:22,520 Speaker 1: That would not surprise me, considering he he led the 322 00:18:22,640 --> 00:18:25,119 Speaker 1: NFL and yards after contact. The only the only the 323 00:18:25,160 --> 00:18:27,520 Speaker 1: only guys who were even close to him was Kareem 324 00:18:27,600 --> 00:18:30,000 Speaker 1: Hunt and he played exactly eight games. So anybody who 325 00:18:30,040 --> 00:18:32,320 Speaker 1: played more than eight games, Tony Pollard was the most 326 00:18:32,400 --> 00:18:35,639 Speaker 1: elusive running back in the league. He's too high. Now, 327 00:18:35,680 --> 00:18:37,720 Speaker 1: did I talk to you? You're going to come out 328 00:18:37,720 --> 00:18:42,239 Speaker 1: thinking about the players that are all right? So I 329 00:18:42,280 --> 00:18:44,560 Speaker 1: still like seeke find I don't like him at number four. 330 00:18:44,600 --> 00:18:46,320 Speaker 1: I think he's too high. So we have two two 331 00:18:46,400 --> 00:18:49,040 Speaker 1: highs and the just right. Let's go to position number 332 00:18:49,080 --> 00:18:52,800 Speaker 1: five and that is Dalvin Cook. Last year is running 333 00:18:52,800 --> 00:18:56,280 Speaker 1: back six overall player number nine, depending on that's ESPN 334 00:18:56,320 --> 00:19:00,320 Speaker 1: scoring system. You ESPN drafters are taking Doubt and Cook 335 00:19:00,359 --> 00:19:02,760 Speaker 1: at position number five. Matt, do you believe that's too high? 336 00:19:02,800 --> 00:19:07,080 Speaker 1: Too lower? Just right? I think just right again. Um. 337 00:19:07,440 --> 00:19:10,840 Speaker 1: Things I found while digging in on Dalvin Cook. At 338 00:19:10,840 --> 00:19:13,719 Speaker 1: the beginning of the season, they took Dalvin off the 339 00:19:13,760 --> 00:19:17,320 Speaker 1: field more often on passing downs, and the Vikings developed 340 00:19:17,320 --> 00:19:19,480 Speaker 1: a bit of a tell because Dalvin was on the 341 00:19:19,520 --> 00:19:23,400 Speaker 1: field more often for rushing snaps and not for passing snaps. 342 00:19:23,680 --> 00:19:26,640 Speaker 1: First five game he averaged only eighteen snaps per game 343 00:19:26,640 --> 00:19:29,640 Speaker 1: on pass plays. But by the middle of the season 344 00:19:29,880 --> 00:19:32,120 Speaker 1: and in his last three healthy games in his two 345 00:19:32,119 --> 00:19:36,960 Speaker 1: playoff games, Dalvin was averaging twenty eight passing snaps per game. Uh. 346 00:19:37,000 --> 00:19:39,160 Speaker 1: He's also in a contract here and it's not guaranteed 347 00:19:39,200 --> 00:19:41,680 Speaker 1: that he comes back to the Purple. So the Vikings 348 00:19:41,680 --> 00:19:44,400 Speaker 1: could go to Marco Murray with him and just run 349 00:19:44,440 --> 00:19:46,919 Speaker 1: the tread off the tires this year, pass him the 350 00:19:46,920 --> 00:19:50,560 Speaker 1: ball a brazillion times, keep him running, and just see 351 00:19:50,560 --> 00:19:53,399 Speaker 1: what they get out of Dalvin this year. Yeah, I 352 00:19:53,440 --> 00:19:55,879 Speaker 1: agree with everything you have to say. The Vikings also 353 00:19:56,200 --> 00:19:59,360 Speaker 1: invested some draft capital in an offensive line as Cleveland 354 00:19:59,359 --> 00:20:02,320 Speaker 1: in the second round. Second and uh yeah, the contract 355 00:20:02,400 --> 00:20:06,080 Speaker 1: year thing is huge for fantasy football there. They're probably 356 00:20:06,200 --> 00:20:08,240 Speaker 1: not going to extend with Minnesota, so they have nothing 357 00:20:08,240 --> 00:20:11,960 Speaker 1: to lose and just feeding him the ball all day 358 00:20:12,320 --> 00:20:17,199 Speaker 1: and win. The championship window is closing, sor is. Here's 359 00:20:17,240 --> 00:20:18,959 Speaker 1: why I think you guys are wrong in the usage 360 00:20:19,000 --> 00:20:21,639 Speaker 1: is he's just never been durable, never stayed healthy. And 361 00:20:21,760 --> 00:20:23,920 Speaker 1: last year in the second half of the season, first 362 00:20:23,960 --> 00:20:26,159 Speaker 1: half of the season, Dalvin Cook averaged five point two 363 00:20:26,200 --> 00:20:29,840 Speaker 1: yards per carry. Second half of the season three point two. 364 00:20:30,400 --> 00:20:33,520 Speaker 1: That's a massive difference. And it's just a guy who 365 00:20:33,560 --> 00:20:35,639 Speaker 1: wears down. And it's as plausible as it could be 366 00:20:35,680 --> 00:20:38,160 Speaker 1: that the Vikings would like to run him a lot 367 00:20:38,240 --> 00:20:40,800 Speaker 1: and to just hand then give the keys to Alexander 368 00:20:40,840 --> 00:20:44,080 Speaker 1: Madison next year. I don't think. I just don't think 369 00:20:44,119 --> 00:20:45,960 Speaker 1: Dalvin Cook has built for that. So I don't believe 370 00:20:46,000 --> 00:20:48,920 Speaker 1: that that is in fact going to happen, although we will. 371 00:20:49,040 --> 00:20:51,920 Speaker 1: So it sounds like you think that he's ranked too high. 372 00:20:52,080 --> 00:20:54,840 Speaker 1: Too high for Dalvin Cook, not a lot, and I 373 00:20:54,880 --> 00:20:56,919 Speaker 1: think he is a little bit too high. We are 374 00:20:56,920 --> 00:21:00,960 Speaker 1: working our way through the average first round. By your 375 00:21:01,080 --> 00:21:07,240 Speaker 1: drafts on ESPN and validating or invalidating your selections at 376 00:21:07,320 --> 00:21:10,600 Speaker 1: every pick of the first round. We've already been through 377 00:21:10,720 --> 00:21:14,400 Speaker 1: Christian McCaffrey, Michael Thomas, say, Kwan Barkley is the first 378 00:21:14,440 --> 00:21:19,640 Speaker 1: three players selected. Then Ezekiel Elliott, Dalves, Yeah, Ezekiel Elliott, 379 00:21:19,760 --> 00:21:24,719 Speaker 1: Dalvin Cook. And now for selection number six, Alvin Camara 380 00:21:24,880 --> 00:21:28,840 Speaker 1: being selected at position number six. Many people expecting a 381 00:21:28,920 --> 00:21:32,200 Speaker 1: bounce back season after a very disappointing one last year. Brian, 382 00:21:32,240 --> 00:21:35,040 Speaker 1: do you believe that Alvin Camari's position number six is 383 00:21:35,040 --> 00:21:37,880 Speaker 1: too high, too low or just right? Here's one thing 384 00:21:38,160 --> 00:21:40,879 Speaker 1: you can tank take to the bank of Alvin Camaro. 385 00:21:41,280 --> 00:21:43,879 Speaker 1: He's gonna have eighty one catches this season. Yes, his 386 00:21:44,000 --> 00:21:49,240 Speaker 1: rookie season one catches. Last season eighty one catches, So 387 00:21:49,320 --> 00:21:51,920 Speaker 1: that's locked in. I like the eighty one catch aspect 388 00:21:52,040 --> 00:21:55,639 Speaker 1: Alvin Camara. No, the touches went down a little bit 389 00:21:55,680 --> 00:21:59,080 Speaker 1: for Camaro last year, twenty fewer catches obviously the twenty 390 00:21:59,119 --> 00:22:01,639 Speaker 1: fewer carries that the catches were the same. Uh, the 391 00:22:01,680 --> 00:22:05,000 Speaker 1: touchdowns went down big time from he had fourteen rushing 392 00:22:05,000 --> 00:22:10,800 Speaker 1: touchdowns only five last year. Remember, famously, he had scored 393 00:22:10,840 --> 00:22:14,520 Speaker 1: in one game until Week sixteen last year, and we're 394 00:22:14,520 --> 00:22:17,200 Speaker 1: all languishing waiting for the touchdowns to come that never did. 395 00:22:17,600 --> 00:22:21,199 Speaker 1: Taysom Hill, the aforementioned Taysom Hill, UH certainly stole some 396 00:22:21,400 --> 00:22:23,440 Speaker 1: touches from Kamara in the red zone last year, or 397 00:22:23,440 --> 00:22:25,359 Speaker 1: we'll probably do the same this year as well. The 398 00:22:25,440 --> 00:22:29,000 Speaker 1: Tavius Murray that said, still an elite offense with a 399 00:22:29,080 --> 00:22:32,320 Speaker 1: great uh run blocking offensive line and for like top 400 00:22:32,359 --> 00:22:35,440 Speaker 1: twelve and Emmanuel Sanders comes in and makes that offense 401 00:22:35,480 --> 00:22:38,560 Speaker 1: even a little better. I do think positive regression has 402 00:22:38,600 --> 00:22:40,720 Speaker 1: to come. I think the touches will stay consistent in 403 00:22:40,720 --> 00:22:44,000 Speaker 1: that offense. So I'm gonna say he's just about right 404 00:22:44,000 --> 00:22:45,879 Speaker 1: where he's at because I still like him behind the 405 00:22:45,960 --> 00:22:48,760 Speaker 1: Zeke and the the Alvin. Um. I'm sorry, the Dalvin 406 00:22:48,760 --> 00:22:52,520 Speaker 1: Cooks of the world. Uh, Brian almost hit it right 407 00:22:52,640 --> 00:22:55,680 Speaker 1: on the head. Uh. The Saints had the fifth best 408 00:22:55,880 --> 00:22:58,879 Speaker 1: run blocking grade last season according to Pro Football Focus, 409 00:22:58,920 --> 00:23:02,399 Speaker 1: but they were the eleventh best at rushing grade. That 410 00:23:02,480 --> 00:23:06,160 Speaker 1: means they handed the ball to Lettavius Murray too much. UM, 411 00:23:06,200 --> 00:23:08,399 Speaker 1: and I don't think that's the case this year. UH. 412 00:23:08,600 --> 00:23:13,080 Speaker 1: Like Dalvin Cook, Alvin Kamara in a contract situation, and 413 00:23:13,119 --> 00:23:17,480 Speaker 1: we discussed that in a previous episode of Fantasy Football Weekly. Um, 414 00:23:17,560 --> 00:23:21,440 Speaker 1: these Saints cannot resign him. They do not have to 415 00:23:21,880 --> 00:23:24,760 Speaker 1: resign him. So this is his last year in New Orleans. 416 00:23:25,000 --> 00:23:27,000 Speaker 1: He only had a hundred and seventy one rushing attempts 417 00:23:27,080 --> 00:23:30,439 Speaker 1: last year. I'm predicting at least two D twenty rushing 418 00:23:30,440 --> 00:23:33,760 Speaker 1: attempts and I'm gonna say he beats eighty one receptions. 419 00:23:35,040 --> 00:23:38,199 Speaker 1: I'm gonna say he gets to So he's closer to 420 00:23:38,240 --> 00:23:40,520 Speaker 1: the twenty touch per game mark than he's ever been, 421 00:23:40,560 --> 00:23:42,800 Speaker 1: and frankly, it could be more. So. I think the 422 00:23:42,840 --> 00:23:45,160 Speaker 1: Saints really are going to try to work with Alvin 423 00:23:45,240 --> 00:23:48,760 Speaker 1: Camara as their window is closing as well. I agree 424 00:23:48,760 --> 00:23:50,560 Speaker 1: with everything you said, So you're too you'r you believe 425 00:23:50,600 --> 00:23:55,520 Speaker 1: Alvin camary is. I might bump him up one. I 426 00:23:55,640 --> 00:23:58,000 Speaker 1: might bump him ahead of Dalvin. I'd have no problem 427 00:23:58,000 --> 00:23:59,720 Speaker 1: with that. We all think, we all think the bounce 428 00:23:59,760 --> 00:24:01,840 Speaker 1: back is coming, and I do too. Let's go to 429 00:24:01,880 --> 00:24:05,520 Speaker 1: pick number seven. The public is taking Derrick Henry, who 430 00:24:05,600 --> 00:24:08,320 Speaker 1: was running back six or seven depending on your scoring system. 431 00:24:08,400 --> 00:24:15,280 Speaker 1: Overall player number, uh player number, He's not right. I 432 00:24:15,280 --> 00:24:17,800 Speaker 1: think his overall was player seven and as a running 433 00:24:17,840 --> 00:24:20,760 Speaker 1: back he was player number five. I think believe that 434 00:24:20,840 --> 00:24:24,480 Speaker 1: is correct from Derrick Henry. Do you believe, Matt, Do 435 00:24:24,480 --> 00:24:26,720 Speaker 1: you believe Derrick Henry is too high or too low 436 00:24:26,920 --> 00:24:29,240 Speaker 1: or just right at pick number seven? Keep in mind 437 00:24:29,280 --> 00:24:34,600 Speaker 1: we are talking about PPR leagues. Um, well, if you 438 00:24:34,600 --> 00:24:36,960 Speaker 1: think of Derrick Henry is a big, bruising running back, 439 00:24:37,160 --> 00:24:41,720 Speaker 1: your which, But you didn't know that he had the 440 00:24:41,800 --> 00:24:44,560 Speaker 1: seventh highest elusive rating of out of all running backs 441 00:24:44,600 --> 00:24:46,520 Speaker 1: who played in at least ten games last year. So 442 00:24:46,600 --> 00:24:50,760 Speaker 1: that's good. Um, more elusive than Austin Ekeler, Alvin Kamara, 443 00:24:50,920 --> 00:24:54,600 Speaker 1: sa Kwan Barkley, and Dalvin Cook. You would never guess, Um, 444 00:24:54,640 --> 00:24:57,159 Speaker 1: he's on the franchise tax. It's another contract here for 445 00:24:57,280 --> 00:24:59,600 Speaker 1: him and the Titans finally realized that he is their 446 00:24:59,640 --> 00:25:01,480 Speaker 1: bread and water. Is one of the best two to 447 00:25:01,560 --> 00:25:04,879 Speaker 1: three players throughout the NFL playoffs last year. He also 448 00:25:04,920 --> 00:25:07,879 Speaker 1: scored in thirteen of nineteen games last season at six 449 00:25:08,040 --> 00:25:11,520 Speaker 1: multi score games, and his eleven red zone rushing touchdowns 450 00:25:11,520 --> 00:25:14,920 Speaker 1: on only thirty five attempts was amazing. He scored on 451 00:25:14,920 --> 00:25:18,439 Speaker 1: one third of his red zone rushing attempts inside the twenty. 452 00:25:19,000 --> 00:25:21,160 Speaker 1: He scores that it's not inside, it's inside the five. 453 00:25:22,359 --> 00:25:26,040 Speaker 1: So yeah, I mean his knock is he only had 454 00:25:26,080 --> 00:25:28,600 Speaker 1: eighteen receptions. He's only getting targeted like one and a 455 00:25:28,640 --> 00:25:32,960 Speaker 1: half times per game. So I think that he's too 456 00:25:33,080 --> 00:25:36,119 Speaker 1: high for a PPR league. I would bump him down 457 00:25:36,640 --> 00:25:39,440 Speaker 1: a couple of spots because now after we get past 458 00:25:39,520 --> 00:25:42,080 Speaker 1: those five running backs that really like this is where 459 00:25:42,119 --> 00:25:44,879 Speaker 1: I start to invest in some of those wide receivers. 460 00:25:45,760 --> 00:25:48,240 Speaker 1: Brian is Derrick Henry too high, too low, or just 461 00:25:48,359 --> 00:25:50,480 Speaker 1: right to pick number seven? Yeah, and PPR he's just 462 00:25:50,520 --> 00:25:53,240 Speaker 1: a little too high. Dion Lewis is gone. All he 463 00:25:53,280 --> 00:25:56,080 Speaker 1: could do was catch a football if given the opportunity. 464 00:25:56,080 --> 00:25:58,680 Speaker 1: But Darienton Evans, the rookie they brought in, is even 465 00:25:58,680 --> 00:26:01,160 Speaker 1: more like drinking us as good a pass catcher, if 466 00:26:01,200 --> 00:26:03,720 Speaker 1: not better than Dion Lewis. So he's gonna own that role. 467 00:26:03,840 --> 00:26:06,280 Speaker 1: Henry's not gonna factor much in the passing game. It 468 00:26:06,320 --> 00:26:08,960 Speaker 1: does help the contractor year, though. You do think they'll 469 00:26:09,240 --> 00:26:11,760 Speaker 1: give him a few extra carries if they're not willing 470 00:26:11,800 --> 00:26:14,959 Speaker 1: to extend. But yeah, it just the lack of past catching. 471 00:26:15,160 --> 00:26:19,080 Speaker 1: I won't say ability, but potential has him a little 472 00:26:19,119 --> 00:26:22,320 Speaker 1: too high for me. I believe this is just right 473 00:26:22,400 --> 00:26:25,480 Speaker 1: for Derrick Henry. He listened to these carries from inside 474 00:26:25,480 --> 00:26:28,000 Speaker 1: the five. You talked about its red zone carries from 475 00:26:28,000 --> 00:26:30,919 Speaker 1: carries inside the five over the past two year. Two years, 476 00:26:32,200 --> 00:26:35,879 Speaker 1: Derrick Henry has thirty three in the last two years. 477 00:26:36,280 --> 00:26:41,080 Speaker 1: Anybody else five get this? Last year he got all 478 00:26:41,119 --> 00:26:44,119 Speaker 1: of them. Every single carry the team had inside the 479 00:26:44,160 --> 00:26:47,399 Speaker 1: five went to Derrick Henry last year, and also a 480 00:26:47,440 --> 00:26:52,840 Speaker 1: passing touchdown. And then there's the Tannehill effect. He topped 481 00:26:52,880 --> 00:26:57,320 Speaker 1: one yards zero times in the first nine games last year. 482 00:26:57,480 --> 00:27:01,280 Speaker 1: Derrick Henry did, and then he went berserk as Tannehill 483 00:27:01,320 --> 00:27:04,240 Speaker 1: got acclimated into that offense. I believe Tannehill starting in 484 00:27:04,280 --> 00:27:07,080 Speaker 1: Week six and then you know, after that, it was 485 00:27:07,160 --> 00:27:09,280 Speaker 1: just lights out, as people already know. I believe Derrick 486 00:27:09,320 --> 00:27:12,280 Speaker 1: Henry is properly rated where he is. Let's talk about 487 00:27:13,000 --> 00:27:16,520 Speaker 1: player number eight again. These are your picks by average 488 00:27:16,600 --> 00:27:21,400 Speaker 1: draft position on ESPN. You have selected DeAndre Hopkins with 489 00:27:21,480 --> 00:27:26,080 Speaker 1: pick number eight. Gentlemen, Brian, is this too high? Too lower? 490 00:27:26,160 --> 00:27:32,119 Speaker 1: Just right? It's gentlemen, and Brian, it's to uh. We 491 00:27:32,280 --> 00:27:35,120 Speaker 1: didn't call me gettleman. I take much offense. That's um 492 00:27:35,320 --> 00:27:38,040 Speaker 1: laugh in the face right there. I don't really like 493 00:27:38,200 --> 00:27:42,000 Speaker 1: the move for DeAndre moving west to Arizona for fantasy football, 494 00:27:42,280 --> 00:27:44,240 Speaker 1: reality football. Yeah, like a like it for him a 495 00:27:44,240 --> 00:27:46,760 Speaker 1: little more, But there's just a ton of thrown the 496 00:27:46,800 --> 00:27:49,879 Speaker 1: competition for targets out there, and Larry Fitzgerald, the one 497 00:27:49,880 --> 00:27:51,960 Speaker 1: of the best to ever do it's still still doing it. 498 00:27:52,080 --> 00:27:55,280 Speaker 1: Christian kirk Kenyan Drake catches the ball well out of 499 00:27:55,320 --> 00:27:57,840 Speaker 1: the backfield. Uh, Andy is a bell. They put some 500 00:27:57,880 --> 00:28:01,240 Speaker 1: decent draft capital into last where you think they're gonna 501 00:28:01,240 --> 00:28:03,200 Speaker 1: try and find more of a role for him. Hakim 502 00:28:03,280 --> 00:28:06,520 Speaker 1: Butler should also see an increased role if he stays healthy. 503 00:28:06,560 --> 00:28:09,520 Speaker 1: There's just so many people there that he didn't. He 504 00:28:09,520 --> 00:28:12,480 Speaker 1: didn't have that problem in h Houston was quite the opposite. 505 00:28:12,480 --> 00:28:14,120 Speaker 1: People were always hurt, so he was the only one 506 00:28:14,160 --> 00:28:16,520 Speaker 1: to throw too. And it's sort of it's a lateral move. 507 00:28:16,600 --> 00:28:19,280 Speaker 1: I guess you can say, uh in quarterback from Watson 508 00:28:19,280 --> 00:28:24,719 Speaker 1: to Kyler Murray. But whoa, whoa whoa Watson. Deshaun Watson 509 00:28:24,800 --> 00:28:32,960 Speaker 1: is really really good, Like so is Kyler won. Deshaun 510 00:28:32,960 --> 00:28:38,360 Speaker 1: Watson is really good. Kyler Murray is hoping to become 511 00:28:39,720 --> 00:28:42,880 Speaker 1: Shaun Watson was very good with DeAndre Hopkins as his 512 00:28:42,960 --> 00:28:46,960 Speaker 1: main wideness. Fair point, it is now very good with 513 00:28:47,040 --> 00:28:51,440 Speaker 1: DeAndre Hopkins as his main wide receiver. They're comparable players 514 00:28:51,440 --> 00:28:56,320 Speaker 1: on break. I think the weapons are comparable too. I 515 00:28:56,320 --> 00:28:58,520 Speaker 1: I don't think that there's that much of a different 516 00:28:58,560 --> 00:29:00,800 Speaker 1: step here. I mean you look at Will Fuller versus 517 00:29:00,880 --> 00:29:04,040 Speaker 1: Christian Cook or Christian Kirk. Sorry, who would you rather have? 518 00:29:04,320 --> 00:29:08,080 Speaker 1: I mean it Kirk, It's it's not come on, it's 519 00:29:08,120 --> 00:29:11,160 Speaker 1: not that you know. Will Fuller is good at one thing, 520 00:29:11,360 --> 00:29:15,240 Speaker 1: run straight, run fast, and other than that will touchdowns. 521 00:29:15,360 --> 00:29:17,480 Speaker 1: And Will Fuller does not bring a lot to the table. 522 00:29:17,560 --> 00:29:20,440 Speaker 1: I don't believe uh. And it's it's a little tougher 523 00:29:20,480 --> 00:29:22,520 Speaker 1: division for wide receivers too. All throw it out there. 524 00:29:22,520 --> 00:29:25,840 Speaker 1: The Seahawks rams both allowed about under one wide receiver 525 00:29:25,920 --> 00:29:28,880 Speaker 1: touchdown per game. So that's a fair point. I like 526 00:29:28,920 --> 00:29:31,000 Speaker 1: another wide receiver more than Hopkins, so he's just too 527 00:29:31,040 --> 00:29:32,640 Speaker 1: high for me. So we have a too high on 528 00:29:32,680 --> 00:29:36,040 Speaker 1: DeAndre Hopkins at position eight, and it's defensible, but it's 529 00:29:36,040 --> 00:29:38,400 Speaker 1: too high. I got two other wide receivers that I 530 00:29:38,440 --> 00:29:42,840 Speaker 1: like better. Agreed, DeAndre Hopkins too high at pick number eight. 531 00:29:42,920 --> 00:29:45,600 Speaker 1: When we come back one more segment. It was a 532 00:29:45,720 --> 00:29:48,200 Speaker 1: round out the bottom of the first round. These are 533 00:29:48,280 --> 00:29:51,240 Speaker 1: your picks, the public's first picks in average draft position 534 00:29:51,520 --> 00:29:55,000 Speaker 1: for selections nine, ten, eleven, and twelve. We'll tell you 535 00:29:55,080 --> 00:29:58,160 Speaker 1: if you're getting those picks right or wrong when we 536 00:29:58,200 --> 00:30:04,800 Speaker 1: come back, final segment of Fantasy Football Weekly. Welcome back 537 00:30:04,840 --> 00:30:08,280 Speaker 1: to Fantasy Football Weekly. Paul Charge and Brian Johnson Matt 538 00:30:08,320 --> 00:30:11,640 Speaker 1: Harrison with you. We are looking at the first round 539 00:30:11,960 --> 00:30:15,560 Speaker 1: of fantasy football drafts, and a lot of them happening already, 540 00:30:15,600 --> 00:30:18,600 Speaker 1: a lot of people getting in practice drafts, real drafts 541 00:30:18,640 --> 00:30:21,800 Speaker 1: that are for leagues. It's just start early people that 542 00:30:21,840 --> 00:30:24,160 Speaker 1: have already got a taste for fantasy football, and we're 543 00:30:24,160 --> 00:30:29,200 Speaker 1: looking at your average draft position using ESPN's average drafts 544 00:30:29,240 --> 00:30:32,160 Speaker 1: across all the thousands of leagues that have already drafted 545 00:30:32,200 --> 00:30:35,360 Speaker 1: on ESPN. We've already done the first eight players. We 546 00:30:35,440 --> 00:30:39,600 Speaker 1: now go to position number nine and Davante Adams. Last 547 00:30:39,680 --> 00:30:42,960 Speaker 1: year because of a variety mostly the high ankle sprain 548 00:30:43,040 --> 00:30:45,600 Speaker 1: that he had and then playing kind of gimpy after that, 549 00:30:46,400 --> 00:30:50,080 Speaker 1: he ended up as wide receiver eighteen and player number 550 00:30:50,120 --> 00:30:53,520 Speaker 1: fifty six. Yet here he is going at position number nine. Matt, 551 00:30:53,560 --> 00:30:55,800 Speaker 1: is that too high or too low? Were just it's 552 00:30:55,840 --> 00:31:00,200 Speaker 1: too low Davante Adams and uh Brian's gonna be right 553 00:31:00,240 --> 00:31:02,560 Speaker 1: in lockstep with me because we kind of discussed before. 554 00:31:02,720 --> 00:31:05,080 Speaker 1: I think Davante Adams has a serious case to be 555 00:31:05,120 --> 00:31:07,840 Speaker 1: made for wide receiver one off the board. Um. He 556 00:31:07,880 --> 00:31:10,680 Speaker 1: had double digit targets in ten of his last eleven games. 557 00:31:11,040 --> 00:31:14,120 Speaker 1: He scored seven touchdowns in his final eight games after 558 00:31:14,200 --> 00:31:16,840 Speaker 1: coming back from the injury. He's got a piste off 559 00:31:16,880 --> 00:31:19,960 Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers, who was excited for the Packers to draft 560 00:31:20,000 --> 00:31:22,720 Speaker 1: him another wide receiver weapon in this year's draft, but 561 00:31:22,720 --> 00:31:25,760 Speaker 1: then they picked his back up and and replaced Geronimo 562 00:31:25,800 --> 00:31:30,080 Speaker 1: Allison with a fat Devin Funchious. It's Davante Adams and 563 00:31:30,120 --> 00:31:32,520 Speaker 1: no one else, even Jimmy Graham's gone from that offense. 564 00:31:32,600 --> 00:31:35,160 Speaker 1: If he stays healthy this year, he's in line for 565 00:31:35,520 --> 00:31:39,560 Speaker 1: Michael Thomas like targets, maybe a hundred and seventy five. 566 00:31:40,000 --> 00:31:43,959 Speaker 1: And I think that he's going too low. Yeah, I 567 00:31:43,960 --> 00:31:47,640 Speaker 1: think Um Adams could average fifteen targets this year easily 568 00:31:47,640 --> 00:31:49,560 Speaker 1: if he stays healthy. He didn't last year, but that 569 00:31:49,600 --> 00:31:51,320 Speaker 1: was the first year he didn't stay healthy the three 570 00:31:51,400 --> 00:31:53,600 Speaker 1: years before that. He was the only wide receiver with 571 00:31:53,680 --> 00:31:56,560 Speaker 1: double digit touchdowns three street years. That should keep on 572 00:31:56,680 --> 00:32:01,480 Speaker 1: rolling into this year. Uh for what it's Darius slay 573 00:32:01,600 --> 00:32:05,440 Speaker 1: Um gone from Detroit. He gave him headaches twice a year. 574 00:32:06,040 --> 00:32:08,400 Speaker 1: It's not that Xavier Rhodes was giving him headaches anymore, 575 00:32:08,440 --> 00:32:14,360 Speaker 1: but short three of their top three starting cornerbacks, and 576 00:32:14,560 --> 00:32:17,120 Speaker 1: the Bears actually weren't that tough against wide receivers. The 577 00:32:17,120 --> 00:32:20,040 Speaker 1: defense in general took a major step back. So he's 578 00:32:20,080 --> 00:32:22,160 Speaker 1: just gonna be the focal point of that offense. It's 579 00:32:22,200 --> 00:32:24,000 Speaker 1: not going to be Aaron Jones. It's still gonna be 580 00:32:24,000 --> 00:32:27,120 Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers throwing Davanta Adams all day long. And it's 581 00:32:27,200 --> 00:32:29,320 Speaker 1: I think it's double digit. I think he's the one 582 00:32:29,360 --> 00:32:31,560 Speaker 1: guy you can say double digit touchdowns are a lock 583 00:32:31,720 --> 00:32:35,040 Speaker 1: him and Thomas. But I just like Adams more. Thomas 584 00:32:35,080 --> 00:32:36,800 Speaker 1: didn't do it the last two years. No, I didn't. 585 00:32:36,800 --> 00:32:40,400 Speaker 1: And yet but get this, I bet, I bet almost 586 00:32:40,440 --> 00:32:43,880 Speaker 1: all of our listeners have forgotten this. Davante Adams did 587 00:32:43,920 --> 00:32:48,160 Speaker 1: not score until Week twelve last year. Week twelve, no 588 00:32:48,400 --> 00:32:51,000 Speaker 1: touchdowns for Davante Adams. I don't know how you can 589 00:32:51,040 --> 00:32:53,640 Speaker 1: guarantee double digit touchdowns. Now, he missed four games on 590 00:32:53,680 --> 00:32:57,080 Speaker 1: the ankle sprain, and I appreciate that, but that still 591 00:32:57,280 --> 00:33:01,360 Speaker 1: that means he played eight games and didn't score a touchdown. 592 00:33:01,800 --> 00:33:03,920 Speaker 1: So I don't know that the safety the safety that 593 00:33:04,000 --> 00:33:05,840 Speaker 1: you think is there. And I think this is much 594 00:33:05,880 --> 00:33:08,480 Speaker 1: more about we all agreed Davanta Adams a very good receiver, 595 00:33:08,800 --> 00:33:12,160 Speaker 1: very good, But is where is Aaron Rodgers in his 596 00:33:12,320 --> 00:33:15,640 Speaker 1: career arc? I think really ranking Davante Adams is a 597 00:33:15,640 --> 00:33:19,080 Speaker 1: referendum on Rogers, who last year saw his lowest completion 598 00:33:19,120 --> 00:33:22,959 Speaker 1: percentage of his career, second lowest yards in any full season. 599 00:33:23,440 --> 00:33:26,960 Speaker 1: He is touchdown numbers the last two years twenty five 600 00:33:27,000 --> 00:33:31,000 Speaker 1: and twenty six. What I mean those are you know 601 00:33:31,080 --> 00:33:34,360 Speaker 1: those are middle Those are Andy Dalton style touchdown numbers 602 00:33:34,800 --> 00:33:38,480 Speaker 1: and the second lowest passer rating for Aaron Rodgers since 603 00:33:38,680 --> 00:33:41,800 Speaker 1: his first year as a starter. This, you know, Aaron 604 00:33:41,920 --> 00:33:45,000 Speaker 1: Rodgers last year was not the Hall of Famer we 605 00:33:45,000 --> 00:33:48,320 Speaker 1: were used to seeing. And if maybe he bounces back, 606 00:33:48,400 --> 00:33:52,760 Speaker 1: maybe he's got another good the firm quarterback controversy, No 607 00:33:53,120 --> 00:33:55,560 Speaker 1: I'm not, but I don't know that it's a guarantee 608 00:33:55,720 --> 00:33:58,960 Speaker 1: that Aaron Rodgers gets better. Let's go to a position. Okay, 609 00:33:58,960 --> 00:34:00,800 Speaker 1: so you guys both say two. I say just right, 610 00:34:00,960 --> 00:34:06,080 Speaker 1: Davante Adams. Let's go to wide receiver, sorry, position number ten. 611 00:34:06,120 --> 00:34:09,120 Speaker 1: Who is a wide receiver by your average draft selection? 612 00:34:09,160 --> 00:34:11,919 Speaker 1: That is Julio Jones last year wide receiver number five, 613 00:34:12,040 --> 00:34:15,640 Speaker 1: overall player number twenty two. Is this too high, too low? 614 00:34:15,800 --> 00:34:21,040 Speaker 1: Or just right? I've been publicly knocking Julio for years, 615 00:34:21,040 --> 00:34:22,959 Speaker 1: and not because he's bad as he's at his job. 616 00:34:23,440 --> 00:34:25,759 Speaker 1: He's great as his at his job. But he's had 617 00:34:25,800 --> 00:34:28,960 Speaker 1: foot and hamstring injuries that just kind of lingered, and 618 00:34:29,040 --> 00:34:32,640 Speaker 1: he's been questionable for like his entire career. Um he 619 00:34:32,680 --> 00:34:35,680 Speaker 1: hasn't been adequately adequately targeted in the red zone for 620 00:34:35,719 --> 00:34:38,920 Speaker 1: a receiver of his size until last year, when he 621 00:34:39,000 --> 00:34:42,040 Speaker 1: was targeted sixteen times in the red zone, but he 622 00:34:42,080 --> 00:34:44,600 Speaker 1: only came up with five red zone touchdowns, and he 623 00:34:44,640 --> 00:34:48,640 Speaker 1: only came up with six touchdowns total. And while we're 624 00:34:48,640 --> 00:34:52,480 Speaker 1: talking touchdowns, Julio Jones scored in one game after Week 625 00:34:52,560 --> 00:34:55,879 Speaker 1: three last year. Well, yeah, and so he is also 626 00:34:55,920 --> 00:34:58,920 Speaker 1: on the team that led the league in passes by 627 00:34:58,960 --> 00:35:02,239 Speaker 1: a ton. They passed six eighty three times they were 628 00:35:02,320 --> 00:35:05,760 Speaker 1: behind in every game. Um. He's also had seven straight 629 00:35:05,840 --> 00:35:09,279 Speaker 1: years of eight or fewer touchdowns. He just has not 630 00:35:09,440 --> 00:35:12,400 Speaker 1: He's hit the double digit mark once. He's a great player, 631 00:35:12,719 --> 00:35:14,759 Speaker 1: but I would never pick him in the first round 632 00:35:14,760 --> 00:35:16,799 Speaker 1: of a fantasy draft. I would wait till the second 633 00:35:16,880 --> 00:35:19,560 Speaker 1: round to see if he's there. If you forced me 634 00:35:19,840 --> 00:35:23,200 Speaker 1: to take in Atlanta Falcon wide receiver in the first round, 635 00:35:23,719 --> 00:35:26,439 Speaker 1: it wouldn't be would not be Julio Jones this year. 636 00:35:26,520 --> 00:35:30,879 Speaker 1: I like Calvin Ridley's prospects. Russell Cage that hates Calvin Ridley, 637 00:35:30,880 --> 00:35:34,800 Speaker 1: bow we gotta get to dedicate a whole podcast to you. 638 00:35:34,840 --> 00:35:37,080 Speaker 1: Just don't like him for whatever reason. But anyway, I 639 00:35:37,120 --> 00:35:38,920 Speaker 1: just don't want to pay what other people are paying. 640 00:35:39,440 --> 00:35:41,680 Speaker 1: Ridley is just turning it on. I think really out 641 00:35:41,719 --> 00:35:43,480 Speaker 1: those out of school Julio this year. I don't want 642 00:35:43,480 --> 00:35:45,720 Speaker 1: to go too much into it. Ridley came on strong 643 00:35:45,800 --> 00:35:48,560 Speaker 1: last year. He started last year strong four touchdowns in 644 00:35:48,640 --> 00:35:51,799 Speaker 1: his four touchdowns on the first six games, uh three 645 00:35:51,840 --> 00:35:54,680 Speaker 1: touchdowns in his last four, had target totals of fourteen 646 00:35:54,719 --> 00:35:56,719 Speaker 1: and ten and two of his last three. He looked 647 00:35:56,719 --> 00:35:58,279 Speaker 1: like the alpha receiver at the end of last year 648 00:35:58,280 --> 00:36:00,560 Speaker 1: and I could see that certainly taking this year. Wi 649 00:36:00,600 --> 00:36:03,359 Speaker 1: Leo Jones is only thirty one, only quote, and he's 650 00:36:03,400 --> 00:36:06,040 Speaker 1: only thirty one, but he's an old thirty one with 651 00:36:06,080 --> 00:36:09,719 Speaker 1: the eight hundred receptions, right, He's just a lot of 652 00:36:09,800 --> 00:36:12,600 Speaker 1: miles on that body. And I'd rather get out a 653 00:36:12,680 --> 00:36:16,120 Speaker 1: year too early than a year too late. Jones, and 654 00:36:16,200 --> 00:36:18,399 Speaker 1: so at position number ten, all three of us agree, 655 00:36:18,440 --> 00:36:23,040 Speaker 1: Julio Jones going too high. Let's go to position number eleven. 656 00:36:23,480 --> 00:36:27,040 Speaker 1: The public is taking Tyreek Hill last year wide receiver 657 00:36:27,120 --> 00:36:31,680 Speaker 1: twenties seven and the seventy three highest scoring player overall. 658 00:36:32,440 --> 00:36:36,520 Speaker 1: Obviously a variety of problems. He had shoulder and hamstring injuries, 659 00:36:36,520 --> 00:36:39,640 Speaker 1: his quarterback missed a month of games, and he ultimately 660 00:36:39,719 --> 00:36:43,080 Speaker 1: ended up suffering career lows in every category. Is Tyreek 661 00:36:43,160 --> 00:36:46,520 Speaker 1: Hill too high, too low? Or just right? Brian? Yeah? 662 00:36:46,560 --> 00:36:49,279 Speaker 1: And last season, I'm not giving him a pass by 663 00:36:49,320 --> 00:36:51,319 Speaker 1: any means for his behavior off the field, but he 664 00:36:51,360 --> 00:36:53,880 Speaker 1: was going into last year. Everyone hated him, you know, 665 00:36:53,920 --> 00:36:55,200 Speaker 1: he was a villain, So it was. It was a 666 00:36:55,239 --> 00:36:57,680 Speaker 1: tough year for Tyreek last year. He kind of deserved it, 667 00:36:57,719 --> 00:37:01,240 Speaker 1: But going into this season doesn't appear to be the case. 668 00:37:01,440 --> 00:37:04,520 Speaker 1: I don't see how he regresses whatsoever. His numbers can 669 00:37:04,560 --> 00:37:07,759 Speaker 1: only go up. I'm just gonna keep this very simple. Uh. 670 00:37:07,840 --> 00:37:11,000 Speaker 1: I think he's well. Considering we had Julio in this 671 00:37:11,239 --> 00:37:14,920 Speaker 1: a DP, he's too low, But removing Julio from the equation, 672 00:37:15,360 --> 00:37:17,000 Speaker 1: we're all in agreement. He's way too high. I think 673 00:37:17,160 --> 00:37:19,799 Speaker 1: we can say Tyreek Hill is just about right as 674 00:37:19,880 --> 00:37:23,239 Speaker 1: wide receiver. So you're just about right at position number 675 00:37:23,239 --> 00:37:25,520 Speaker 1: eleven for Tyreek Hill, Matt, I have Hill is my 676 00:37:25,600 --> 00:37:30,279 Speaker 1: number three wide receiver behind Thomas and Adams. Um you 677 00:37:30,280 --> 00:37:32,880 Speaker 1: you kind of mentioned a charge. There were six games 678 00:37:33,000 --> 00:37:36,280 Speaker 1: that either Tyreek Hill wasn't playing or Patrick Mahomes wasn't playing, 679 00:37:36,760 --> 00:37:39,160 Speaker 1: So that's only ten games where they were together and 680 00:37:39,239 --> 00:37:41,719 Speaker 1: Hill was dinged up or Mahomes was dinged up for 681 00:37:41,760 --> 00:37:44,719 Speaker 1: a few of them. He's still finished with seven touchdowns 682 00:37:45,040 --> 00:37:48,560 Speaker 1: and he led the league. Was sorry it was fifth 683 00:37:48,640 --> 00:37:51,439 Speaker 1: in the league with four touchdown receptions at twenty yards 684 00:37:51,520 --> 00:37:55,200 Speaker 1: or more. He's so explosive. I think that he's always 685 00:37:55,200 --> 00:37:57,840 Speaker 1: in play. Is as a top three wide receiver, Tyreek 686 00:37:57,880 --> 00:38:00,239 Speaker 1: Hill is too low and far too large. Fact, I 687 00:38:00,280 --> 00:38:02,120 Speaker 1: think this is the worst ranking here. He's my number 688 00:38:02,120 --> 00:38:04,560 Speaker 1: two wide receiver. I can in my mind, you can 689 00:38:04,600 --> 00:38:07,520 Speaker 1: take Tyreek Hill as high as selection number four in 690 00:38:07,600 --> 00:38:11,719 Speaker 1: this draft. I love Tyreek Hill. Um. Insiders around the 691 00:38:11,800 --> 00:38:15,239 Speaker 1: Chiefs tell me that Patrick Mahomes is good. I would 692 00:38:15,239 --> 00:38:18,439 Speaker 1: like to have his number. Um, I can't. I can't 693 00:38:18,480 --> 00:38:22,920 Speaker 1: reveal my sources. I'm Patrick Mahomes. Remember he's one season 694 00:38:22,960 --> 00:38:28,120 Speaker 1: removed from sixteen hundred total yards in thirteen touchdowns for 695 00:38:28,239 --> 00:38:31,120 Speaker 1: Tyreek hill Um. And if you think Patrick Mahomes is 696 00:38:31,120 --> 00:38:33,400 Speaker 1: going to bounce back to have a season a healthy 697 00:38:33,520 --> 00:38:37,200 Speaker 1: sixteen games, that mirrors what he had closer to that 698 00:38:37,239 --> 00:38:39,239 Speaker 1: puts Tyrek Hill right back at six hundred yards and 699 00:38:39,280 --> 00:38:42,040 Speaker 1: thirteen touch Is there still a bylow opportunity on Hill 700 00:38:42,120 --> 00:38:45,080 Speaker 1: and dynasty or is it? No? I think it's still there. 701 00:38:45,440 --> 00:38:47,799 Speaker 1: I do think it's still there because people replay last 702 00:38:47,880 --> 00:38:50,279 Speaker 1: year too much. Al Right, guys, we've got about one 703 00:38:50,320 --> 00:38:53,920 Speaker 1: minute to break down the final player to be selected 704 00:38:53,960 --> 00:38:56,640 Speaker 1: in the first round by the public according to ESPN's 705 00:38:56,640 --> 00:38:59,840 Speaker 1: average draft position, and that is Packers running back Aaron Jones, 706 00:39:00,040 --> 00:39:02,360 Speaker 1: who finished his running back four last year and player 707 00:39:02,480 --> 00:39:06,799 Speaker 1: seven overall. Yeah, fourteen red zone rushing touchdowns last year 708 00:39:06,880 --> 00:39:09,400 Speaker 1: led the league. Then They drafted a J. Dillon, whose 709 00:39:09,440 --> 00:39:12,239 Speaker 1: deal is to be the red zone running back, and 710 00:39:12,400 --> 00:39:14,799 Speaker 1: Packers coach Matt Lafleur is trying to build a Kyle 711 00:39:14,840 --> 00:39:18,200 Speaker 1: Shanahan like system, and the Niners deploy their running backs 712 00:39:18,200 --> 00:39:21,320 Speaker 1: in weird ways. You'd think Raheems start led their team 713 00:39:21,320 --> 00:39:24,960 Speaker 1: in red zone rushing touches. No, it was Tevin Coleman 714 00:39:25,000 --> 00:39:28,359 Speaker 1: with twenty six and then Jeff Wilson with sixteen. Most 715 00:39:28,400 --> 00:39:31,080 Speaker 1: are it was third. So I see A J. Dillon 716 00:39:31,200 --> 00:39:33,839 Speaker 1: doing the same thing and stealing from Aaron Jones this year. 717 00:39:33,960 --> 00:39:37,280 Speaker 1: He's way too high. Last year fifty cent of Aaron 718 00:39:37,360 --> 00:39:40,160 Speaker 1: Jones is sixteen games were inside the top twelve long 719 00:39:40,280 --> 00:39:43,719 Speaker 1: running backs, but thirty over thirty percent were outside the 720 00:39:43,760 --> 00:39:46,759 Speaker 1: top thirty. That's that's too Jekal and hide for me. 721 00:39:47,200 --> 00:39:50,239 Speaker 1: His usage can't be trusted even with the floor uh 722 00:39:50,239 --> 00:39:54,080 Speaker 1: And as Matt said, they drafted a J. Dillon, which 723 00:39:54,080 --> 00:39:56,279 Speaker 1: he's more a head ached. Jamal Williams is still there. 724 00:39:56,760 --> 00:40:01,160 Speaker 1: He he cannot win. He might be able to win 725 00:40:01,160 --> 00:40:03,759 Speaker 1: your year league, but he could certainly lose you your league. 726 00:40:03,760 --> 00:40:06,640 Speaker 1: If you draft Aaron Jones in the first round, I 727 00:40:06,680 --> 00:40:08,520 Speaker 1: think I think Brian you hit it right on the head. 728 00:40:08,560 --> 00:40:12,360 Speaker 1: The danger here is that Aaron Jones gets schemed out 729 00:40:12,400 --> 00:40:17,920 Speaker 1: of too many Packer games and absolutely no good reason. 730 00:40:18,440 --> 00:40:21,319 Speaker 1: I can't have my first round draft picking schemed out 731 00:40:21,320 --> 00:40:23,600 Speaker 1: of his own games. Down now, in the first round, 732 00:40:23,960 --> 00:40:28,600 Speaker 1: I don't mind taking the handcuff the you know, the 733 00:40:28,600 --> 00:40:31,120 Speaker 1: two part running back. They are running back in the 734 00:40:31,120 --> 00:40:33,040 Speaker 1: third round or something, but not the the end of 735 00:40:33,040 --> 00:40:35,360 Speaker 1: the first round. That's too early. And then there's the 736 00:40:35,400 --> 00:40:39,959 Speaker 1: intangible here. With all of the heat the Packers took 737 00:40:40,480 --> 00:40:45,800 Speaker 1: for selecting A. J. Dillon, I'm worried that general manager 738 00:40:45,840 --> 00:40:50,839 Speaker 1: Brian guda Kunst is going to basically require that they 739 00:40:51,000 --> 00:40:53,680 Speaker 1: use Dylan in meaningful ways to take some heat off 740 00:40:53,680 --> 00:40:58,560 Speaker 1: this front office. Packers universally had the lowest graded draft, 741 00:40:59,040 --> 00:41:01,480 Speaker 1: and it's care it over to the you know, general 742 00:41:01,480 --> 00:41:04,440 Speaker 1: public psyche, the player's psyche, everything else. I really do 743 00:41:04,480 --> 00:41:06,919 Speaker 1: worry about A J. Dillon and that threat being real. 744 00:41:07,760 --> 00:41:10,200 Speaker 1: We didn't mention any tight ends or quarterbacks, and I 745 00:41:10,239 --> 00:41:13,759 Speaker 1: think that there's four of those two two positions. Give 746 00:41:13,840 --> 00:41:16,959 Speaker 1: me a name and one sentence on each guy, because 747 00:41:16,960 --> 00:41:19,160 Speaker 1: that's all we have time. So I mean Travis Kelsey 748 00:41:19,160 --> 00:41:21,359 Speaker 1: and George Kittle could easily go in the first round 749 00:41:21,360 --> 00:41:23,719 Speaker 1: because I don't think tight end is as deep as 750 00:41:23,760 --> 00:41:27,760 Speaker 1: some other people think. Uh And Lamar Jackson and Patrick Mahomes, 751 00:41:28,400 --> 00:41:31,719 Speaker 1: they're just on a different level from a fantasy perspective 752 00:41:31,719 --> 00:41:34,080 Speaker 1: than the other quarterbacks. I'd wait if I don't get 753 00:41:34,120 --> 00:41:37,080 Speaker 1: either of those two guys, but it's completely defensible taking 754 00:41:37,320 --> 00:41:40,440 Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson, who gives you RB one ish kind of 755 00:41:40,520 --> 00:41:44,120 Speaker 1: numbers at the quarterback position in your top five currently 756 00:41:44,160 --> 00:41:47,040 Speaker 1: going in the early to middle second round by average, 757 00:41:47,080 --> 00:41:49,319 Speaker 1: John Lamar Jackson, And I'll throw one more name that's 758 00:41:49,360 --> 00:41:51,440 Speaker 1: first round worthy out there. If it's running back, it's 759 00:41:51,520 --> 00:41:55,279 Speaker 1: Joe Mixon could Certainly a lot of people think the 760 00:41:55,280 --> 00:41:58,520 Speaker 1: Bengals are are looking better with the selections that they 761 00:41:58,560 --> 00:42:00,719 Speaker 1: made in the in the off season, both in the 762 00:42:00,760 --> 00:42:03,520 Speaker 1: draft and free agency. Thank you for listening to Fantasy 763 00:42:03,520 --> 00:42:05,880 Speaker 1: Football Weekly, everybody. We will be back next week. If 764 00:42:05,880 --> 00:42:08,520 Speaker 1: you're listening to this over the air, we encourage you 765 00:42:08,560 --> 00:42:11,200 Speaker 1: to check out our podcast, subscribe to Fantasy Football Weekly, 766 00:42:11,480 --> 00:42:14,760 Speaker 1: and if you're listening to this via podcast, we encourage 767 00:42:14,760 --> 00:42:17,200 Speaker 1: you to try to find us on your favorite sports 768 00:42:17,200 --> 00:42:22,400 Speaker 1: talk radio stations across the country. Fantasy Football Weekly is 769 00:42:22,400 --> 00:42:25,120 Speaker 1: a production of I heart Radio. For more podcasts from 770 00:42:25,120 --> 00:42:28,240 Speaker 1: my heart Radio, visit the i heart Radio app, Apple podcast, 771 00:42:28,520 --> 00:42:30,480 Speaker 1: or wherever you listen to your favorite shows.