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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Saturday morning edition of the Day of

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Speaker 1: the Juice podcast.

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Speaker 2: My name is Matt Parolt.

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Speaker 1: You can follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt

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Speaker 1: here off bettingfros dot com. Thanks to our friends at

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Speaker 1: bet MGM. Welcome to the first real Saturday of college football,

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Speaker 1: boys and girls. This is going to be fun and

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Speaker 1: a couple of things right here at the top. So

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Speaker 1: we're going hot a little bit, well, I guess not hot.

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Speaker 1: We're going well right now. Okay, So only one play

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Speaker 1: last night. First half, we took the minus three and

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Speaker 1: a half with Texas San Antonio. The game actually closed

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Speaker 1: at five and a half or six now it was seven.

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Speaker 1: It was bet down in Lo and behold, look what

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Speaker 1: happened in the second half, MTSU. I told you that

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Speaker 1: there were some numbers that I liked about the first half,

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Speaker 1: and so we went and got that. Took the three

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Speaker 1: and a half seventeen to ten the first half at

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Speaker 1: halftime the score and so we get one unit there

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Speaker 1: up one unit for us on a Friday night. So

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Speaker 1: a couple things here at the top. I've already given

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Speaker 1: you three plays for college football. I'm going to go

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Speaker 1: over them here. But we have to talk about playing

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Speaker 1: games when the number is where I say to play it.

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Speaker 1: Just take Alabama for a second. The Crimson Tide right

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Speaker 1: now are minus twenty nine. At Missouri, we got it

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Speaker 1: at twenty six. Passing the key number of twenty eight

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Speaker 1: is enormous to the point where I don't know if

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Speaker 1: you can play it at twenty nine. I mean, I

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Speaker 1: don't think you can play at twenty nine. It's too

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Speaker 1: high up to twenty eight, is what I said. So

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Speaker 1: if you played it, awesome, But if you didn't play

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Speaker 1: it yet, and maybe this is the first time you're

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Speaker 1: listening to the Daily Juice or you didn't hear it

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Speaker 1: all week, I would say you don't play it. I

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Speaker 1: would say you take it where we took it at

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Speaker 1: twenty six. Otherwise I don't think you really can go

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Speaker 1: near it. Twenty nine, twenty nine and a half thirty,

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Speaker 1: I don't think you can go near it. So it's

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Speaker 1: important when we're talking about numbers, the numbers that I'm

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Speaker 1: telling you to play at and the number I'm getting

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Speaker 1: in the numbers I'm betting, because it does make a

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Speaker 1: significant difference. And I don't want you guys coming back

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Speaker 1: on Sunday morning and getting pissed off at me and

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Speaker 1: being like Alabama won by twenty eight and you didn't.

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Speaker 2: Get it right.

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Speaker 1: Well, no, I told you to bet it at twenty six.

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Speaker 1: I didn't tell you to bet it at twenty nine.

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Speaker 1: So that's just important to keep that in mind. Also,

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Speaker 1: you guys are dming me a lot, and you're asking

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Speaker 1: me to just give you the place. That's not what

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Speaker 1: this job is, all right. My job is to entertain

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Speaker 1: you guys for fifteen minutes every morning.

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Speaker 2: That's my job.

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Speaker 1: My job is to tell you what I'm betting and

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Speaker 1: to help you guys find winners. That's the idea. That's

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Speaker 1: the way. Whether you're fading me or following me, it

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Speaker 1: doesn't really matter. My job is to help you guys

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Speaker 1: make money. So I can't just give you the picks.

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Speaker 2: Okay.

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Speaker 1: I know a couple of you guys have had sob stories.

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Speaker 1: I've been really busy and I didn't have to I

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Speaker 1: get all of that. But I have to kind of

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Speaker 1: stop doing that. I don't want to, but I kind

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Speaker 1: of have to. I kind of have to stop giving

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Speaker 1: you guys the place because my job is to get

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Speaker 1: people to listen, and my job is you guys to

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Speaker 1: interact with me after we talk about the place, after

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Speaker 1: you listen to the place. So just remember that if

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Speaker 1: you're coming at me on DM and saying, hey, Matt,

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Speaker 1: can you just give me the picks? I was late

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Speaker 1: today or I couldn't listen, I kind of can't do that.

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Speaker 2: It's not my job.

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Speaker 1: My job is to get the number of listens up

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Speaker 1: to be as high as we can. And look, you

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Speaker 1: know we're on here into September. We started this in July,

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Speaker 1: so we're about to start our fourth month for the

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Speaker 1: Daily Juice, and the numbers are good. I mean, I'm

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Speaker 1: really happy with the numbers, excited about the numbers for

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Speaker 1: that matter. But you know, just to keep that in

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Speaker 1: mind that I need you guys to listen. Okay, listen

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Speaker 1: to the podcast and then you can interact and after

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Speaker 1: ask me questions, but just to come out of me

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Speaker 1: and say, hey, give me the plays.

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Speaker 2: I can't do that, so I'm gonna have to stop

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Speaker 2: doing that.

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Speaker 1: Remember about the live stream, second time ever, Week three NFL,

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Speaker 1: We're going with a lot of prop bets. I'll give

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Speaker 1: you my full Daily Juice rundown on plays tomorrow morning.

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Speaker 1: So typical Daily Juice podcast. But then with the live

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Speaker 1: stream eighty m Pacific eleven am Eastern time off the

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Speaker 1: Betting Pros YouTube channel. Go subscribe to that. Hit subscribe

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Speaker 1: and then it will alert you when I go live

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Speaker 1: tomorrow morning at eleven o'clock Eastern as we'll break down

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Speaker 1: my picks any line movement, and then we'll talk about

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Speaker 1: player props as well, coming up for Sunday. Player props

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Speaker 1: is one thing that we're doing a pretty good job with.

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Speaker 1: I didn't play the Boston Celtics player props. You guys,

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Speaker 1: A couple guys asked me on Twitter at Sports Talk

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Speaker 1: Matt You were like, hey, you know, what are your

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Speaker 1: player props? What are you leaning for the Celtics game?

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Speaker 1: And I told you to fade Tyler Hero and he

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Speaker 1: scored fourteen. His prop number was sixteen and a half

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Speaker 1: or seven teen and a half depending on the book.

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Speaker 1: He didn't get there.

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Speaker 2: I didn't think he would.

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Speaker 1: And then I said, go ahead and bet Jason Tatum

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Speaker 1: over twenty six points and he clearly got that. Thirty

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Speaker 1: plus for Jason Tatum as Boston forces a game six,

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Speaker 1: so our minus one thirty for Boston to win the series.

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Speaker 1: Still alive, and then Tampa in overtime won Game four

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Speaker 1: against Dallas, so they lead three games to one, and

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Speaker 1: so our minus one to fifty bet on them to

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Speaker 1: win the Cup is also alive and well and looking

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Speaker 1: very strong for us to cash. So this weekend could

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Speaker 1: be pretty good. If Boston somehow comes back from the

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Speaker 1: three to one deficit, or if you get a win

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Speaker 1: here out of the Tampa Bay Lightning over the next

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Speaker 1: couple of games, we could be cashing those tickets as well.

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Speaker 1: So pretty good week going. I like where we are,

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Speaker 1: and so let's get to the picks. But before I

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Speaker 1: give you them, let me remind you about what bet

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Speaker 1: MGM's got offering right now for you guys here on

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Speaker 1: a Sunday, actually it's a Monday. Bet MGM. You get

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Speaker 1: a new account, Case Baltimore. You bet one dollar and

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Speaker 1: you will win two dollars for every single point that's

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Speaker 1: scored in that football game.

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Speaker 2: Do you hear me?

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Speaker 1: You bet one dollar on either team Case or Baltimore

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Speaker 1: Monday Night football, You'll win two dollars for every single

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Speaker 1: point that is scored. It gets paid out in free bets.

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Speaker 1: It's available in New Jersey, Colorado, Indiana, or West Virginia.

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Speaker 1: So if you have not gone and used the Juice

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Speaker 1: one hundred bonus code for a new account at BETMGM,

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Speaker 1: go do it. Juice one hundred is the bonus code

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Speaker 1: one dollar on Monday Night football and you win two

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Speaker 1: dollars for every single point that is scored. If it's

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Speaker 1: a fifty to fifty type of game, you win two

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Speaker 1: hundred bucks in free bets from BEDMGM. It's a pretty

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Speaker 1: cool offer for Monday Night football coming up, and we

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Speaker 1: will have a pick in plays on Monday Night.

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Speaker 2: Don't you worry.

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Speaker 1: We've got that for you as well, coming up for

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Speaker 1: you tomorrow on Mondays edition of the Daily Juice Podcast.

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Speaker 1: But visit bedmgm dot com for terms and conditions. You

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Speaker 1: must be twenty to one or older and physically located

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Speaker 1: in Colorado, Indiana, New Jersey, or West Virginia. Please gamble responsibly.

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Speaker 1: Gambling problem called one hundred five two to two forty

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Speaker 1: seven hundred in Colorado, Nevada, one hundred gambler in New Jersey,

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Speaker 1: in West Virginia or one one hundred and nine with

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Speaker 1: it in Deanna. Okay, Hi, it's Matt, sorry for busting

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Speaker 1: in here on my own podcast but somebody sent me

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Speaker 1: a DM and then a tweet that I forgot about

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Speaker 1: the UFC card tonight, and that's my bad. So here

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Speaker 1: we are at midnight Pacific time. Uh and yeah, not

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Speaker 1: good for me.

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Speaker 2: I apologize.

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Speaker 1: So let me just quickly give you one play for

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Speaker 1: UFC two fifty three because I love it and I'm

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Speaker 1: really mad that I didn't highlight it. More so, here's

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Speaker 1: an edit. We're gonna take the over. In the main

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Speaker 1: event Israel Adisanya against Pablo Costa.

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Speaker 2: Here's the thing.

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Speaker 1: I think Atasania is going to try to take cost

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Speaker 1: to the deep water. I think the way he wins

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Speaker 1: the fight is in the fourth or fifth rounds. Costa

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Speaker 1: always slows down, so I know that Costa is live.

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Speaker 2: Here and Costa good very well.

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Speaker 1: There is another side of this that I'm gonna go into,

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Speaker 1: and you could hop in not an official play, but

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna sprinkle on plus two hundred for this fight

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Speaker 1: to go to the distance and go to the cards.

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Speaker 1: But you can go ahead and lay minus one forty

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Speaker 1: right now on the over for Adasanya and Costa two

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Speaker 1: and a half rounds minus one forty.

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Speaker 2: The official play is the over.

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Speaker 1: I don't hate a sprinkle, and I will be sprinkling

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Speaker 1: a little bit leaning if you will, but will I

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Speaker 1: will be getting involved at plus two hundred. But the

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Speaker 1: official play for UFC two for three is going to

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Speaker 1: be the over two and a half rounds for Costa

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Speaker 1: and Adasanya in the main event at UFC two fifty three.

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Speaker 1: So I apologize for jumping in now back to where

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Speaker 1: the podcast was, and if you've listened to this podcast

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Speaker 1: two times, hopefully you caught this, I apologize for.

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Speaker 2: Getting for missing it. But let's go back to the podcast.

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Speaker 1: So just to recap where we are, picks Wise talked

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Speaker 1: about Alabama. They're already Bama minus twenty six right now,

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Speaker 1: it's twenty nine.

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Speaker 2: Gave it to you at twenty six.

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Speaker 1: We took Texas at minus eighteen, but Texas is minus

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Speaker 1: seventeen and a half, so the number has gone against

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Speaker 1: us a little bit, so that would be a little

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Speaker 1: more value.

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Speaker 2: So I do like that. I do like Texas.

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Speaker 1: Minus eighteen minus seventeen and a half. I like Texas

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Speaker 1: on the road at Texas Tech. Some people are against that,

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Speaker 1: but I think the Longhorns are going to show up

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Speaker 1: with Sam Ellinger and they're gonna put a lot of

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Speaker 1: points on the board and coming up here against Sexas Tech.

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Speaker 1: And then yesterday we gave you Kentucky plus seven and

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Speaker 1: a half on the road at Auburn. The road team

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Speaker 1: in that series has done very well. But I think

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Speaker 1: with their starting quarterback coming back healthy, I think that

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Speaker 1: defensive line for Kentucky, I think Kentucky's going to keep

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Speaker 1: the game relatively close. So those are three plays already

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Speaker 1: here on a Saturday, we have going all right, three

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Speaker 1: plays all one units. So I don't want to get

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Speaker 1: too heavy here and I don't want to get too

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Speaker 1: involved on a Saturday, but I do have one more

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Speaker 1: play that I want to add to our docket, and

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Speaker 1: it's between Florida and Ole Miss. So here's the thing

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Speaker 1: about Florida. They could be in the conversation for the

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Speaker 1: national championship. We have to wait and see how this

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Speaker 1: whole year plays out. But Florida's defense is outstanding. It's

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Speaker 1: been outstanding for years now. And Florida after an eleven

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Speaker 1: to two record last year they won the Orange Bowl

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Speaker 1: and now they're taking on Lane Kiffen and ole Miss.

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Speaker 1: Who I mean, they've been a little coy as to

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Speaker 1: how they're going to approach this game. But Florida's got

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Speaker 1: Kyle Trask. They've got a guy who has put up

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Speaker 1: decent points, decent offensive numbers after he took over the

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Speaker 1: starting position for Felipe Franks who got hurt.

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Speaker 2: And this defense is legitimate.

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Speaker 1: I mean, they can really do some damage. The total

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Speaker 1: here is sixty fifty eight.

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Speaker 2: Sixty somewhere in that range.

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Speaker 1: Here's what I have bet to tonight. So the total

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Speaker 1: is thirteen and a half in the first half, though

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Speaker 1: it's Florida minus seven. The numbers aren't as strong on

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Speaker 1: this play because we haven't seen Florida or ole Miss

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Speaker 1: play yet, so I don't have the same type of

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Speaker 1: numbers as I did for Texas San Antonio. However, I

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Speaker 1: think with the weather it's gonna be humid. I think

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Speaker 1: Florida comes out of the gate. I don't know really

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Speaker 1: what ole Miss's offense is gonna look like coming up.

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Speaker 1: I don't think ole Miss is very talented, and I

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Speaker 1: think Florida wants to get off to a really good start.

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Speaker 1: I think they're chomping at the bit and no pun

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Speaker 1: intended to go and score and play well. Thirteen and

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Speaker 1: a half feels a little heavy here for the game,

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Speaker 1: in particular in garbage time, where they could really pull

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Speaker 1: everybody and say, hey, we're not gonna risk its. Look

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Speaker 1: what Texas did to utep Right, they're up big, they

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Speaker 1: pulled everybody. So I'm concerned about the second half in

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Speaker 1: this game and what Florida would look like. So I

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Speaker 1: laid seven in the first half Florida minus seven first

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Speaker 1: half number against ole Miss, expecting ole Miss not to.

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Speaker 2: Score a lot.

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Speaker 1: I looked around for a Florida and Memphis Florida in

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Speaker 1: ole Miss team total, and I couldn't find it here

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Speaker 1: tonight we're taping this here at about ten o'clock Pacific time.

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Speaker 1: Couldn't find it yet. Maybe tomorrow morning I'll find it.

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Speaker 1: I would rather bet the under whatever that number is

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Speaker 1: gonna be for Florida. I don't think for ole Miss. Rather,

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Speaker 1: I don't think ole Miss is gonna score very much.

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Speaker 1: I don't think they got their offense worked out. They

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Speaker 1: don't really know who their quarterback's going to be. They

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Speaker 1: couldn't practice. I'm not a huge Lane Kiffin fan. I

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Speaker 1: like Lane Kiffin as a person. I think it's fun

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Speaker 1: to follow and listen to talk. Not sure how good

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Speaker 1: of a coach he is, especially in the SEC. But

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Speaker 1: he did a good job in Florida when he was

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Speaker 1: down there, so you know, he he had a chance

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Speaker 1: to was it South Florida, he was at I forget

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Speaker 1: which school he was at in Florida, but he did

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Speaker 1: a pretty good job with you know, you know, putting

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Speaker 1: some points up on the board and getting people excited

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Speaker 1: about his offensive mind. Again, that's how he gets. It's

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Speaker 1: the job at ole Miss. Him and the Pirate, which

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Speaker 1: is crazy, Mike Leach are both in Mississippi, which I

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Speaker 1: cannot believe that's true.

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Speaker 2: But this is Florida. This is a.

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Speaker 1: Legitimate top ten team, talent all over the place. They've

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Speaker 1: got great running backs, they got a transfer from Miami

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Speaker 1: coming in a five star kid who's I think is

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Speaker 1: gonna put up some big numbers. I mean, Ole Miss

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Speaker 1: had a horrible pass defense last year. Defensively, I just

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Speaker 1: think Florida's going to go up and down the field here.

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Speaker 1: And I'm just worried about garbage time scoring for ole Miss.

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Speaker 1: And so we could potentially blow that thirteen and a half.

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Speaker 1: So let's go with the first half Florida minus seven,

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Speaker 1: minus one ten in the first half here for Saturday. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so here's our plays again, just to recap Alabama minus

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Speaker 1: twenty six. We are taking Texas minus eighteen. We're taking

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Speaker 1: Kentucky plus seven and a half and Florida minus seven

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Speaker 1: in the first half coming up tomorrow. SEC football. As

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Speaker 1: we go through the daily jew, you guys are gonna

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Speaker 1: see me pretty consistently going in here. If you want

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Speaker 1: one more play for fun. And this is like what

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Speaker 1: I talked about last night with Tyler Hero scoring fourteen

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Speaker 1: points and not getting his prop or going over on

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Speaker 1: the scoring total for Jason Tatum. If I had to

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Speaker 1: add one, if I was gonna add one, it would

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Speaker 1: be it would be Iowa State at TCU laying a field,

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Speaker 1: laying three on the road, so bouncing back brock Perdy

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Speaker 1: Iowa State after losing to Louisiana, getting the furious they

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Speaker 1: are about that. If I had to add one, you

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Speaker 1: want one more, that's not an official play, that's just

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Speaker 1: a lean if you want it, quote unquote a lean

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Speaker 1: where I would go with it. But if you want

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Speaker 1: another one, there you go with Iowa State on the

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Speaker 1: road at TCU. But I prefer betting in the SEC.

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Speaker 1: I love watching SEC football. I can't wait to get

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Speaker 1: up in the morning nine am Pacific time and watching

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Speaker 1: college football. So hopefully you guys are getting this early.

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Speaker 1: Listening early, and then tomorrow on Sunday, reminder about the

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Speaker 1: live stream eleven am on the u YouTube channel for

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Speaker 1: Betting Pros. Go and subscribe right now, YouTube channel Betting

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Speaker 1: Pros eleven am, the Daily Juice NFL podcast will drop.

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Speaker 1: I've already given you a couple of plays like the

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Speaker 1: teaser and some other games that I like, but I'll

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Speaker 1: recap it all tomorrow morning and then we go live

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Speaker 1: at eleven am eight am Pacific for the live stream

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Speaker 1: on the YouTube channel for Week three of the NFL.

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Speaker 1: I will give you my Circle plays tomorrow on the podcast.

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Speaker 1: I will give you my DraftKings plays tomorrow on the

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Speaker 1: podcast in our Plays our bets as well tomorrow on

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Speaker 1: the Daily Juice, and then we do player props on

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Speaker 1: the live stream coming.

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Speaker 2: Up off of YouTube the Betting Pros YouTube.

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Speaker 1: Channel minus Matt Parolts. You can follow me on Twitter

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Speaker 1: at Sports Talk Matt. We're doing well in football. Let's

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Speaker 1: keep it going. Not great in other sports, but let's

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Speaker 1: keep the football train going here. Try to close the

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Speaker 1: week out strong College first, then Sunday with the NFL

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Speaker 1: Mine is Matt Parolts. Follow me on Twitter at sports

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Speaker 1: Talk Matt. Back tomorrow for a bit Sunday. Week three

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Speaker 1: Daily Juice podcast presented by bet MGM