1 00:00:01,480 --> 00:00:04,760 Speaker 1: From the Bloomberg Interactive Burgers Studios. This is Bloomberg day 2 00:00:04,760 --> 00:00:06,800 Speaker 1: Break for Monday, April seventeenth. 3 00:00:06,920 --> 00:00:08,960 Speaker 2: Coming up today, Tensions. 4 00:00:08,520 --> 00:00:11,480 Speaker 3: Over China lead the agenda at the G seven meetings 5 00:00:11,480 --> 00:00:12,040 Speaker 3: in Japan. 6 00:00:12,560 --> 00:00:16,720 Speaker 1: Settlement talks between Fox News and Dominion voting systems heat 7 00:00:16,800 --> 00:00:18,239 Speaker 1: up on the eve of their trial. 8 00:00:18,600 --> 00:00:22,240 Speaker 3: Merk pulls the trigger on a nearly eleven billion dollar acquisition, 9 00:00:22,760 --> 00:00:23,320 Speaker 3: and the head. 10 00:00:23,200 --> 00:00:26,880 Speaker 1: Of Google speaks out on artificial intelligence policem. 11 00:00:26,560 --> 00:00:28,960 Speaker 4: In Alabama, town need the public to come forward with 12 00:00:29,040 --> 00:00:32,800 Speaker 4: information about another man's shooting. Plus Broadway's longest running show 13 00:00:32,920 --> 00:00:35,720 Speaker 4: ends It's run. I'm Michael bar More Ahead. 14 00:00:35,560 --> 00:00:38,280 Speaker 5: I'm John Stasharon Sports Garrett Cole puts the Yankees the 15 00:00:38,360 --> 00:00:40,360 Speaker 5: victory of the Mets won in Oakland. The Nets and 16 00:00:40,440 --> 00:00:42,280 Speaker 5: Islanders have playoff games tonight. 17 00:00:43,680 --> 00:00:47,120 Speaker 6: That's all straight Ahead on Bloomberg day Break, the Business 18 00:00:47,159 --> 00:00:49,640 Speaker 6: news you need to start your day in just one 19 00:00:49,720 --> 00:00:54,200 Speaker 6: fifteen minute podcast each morning on Apples, Spotify, the Bloomberg 20 00:00:54,240 --> 00:00:56,920 Speaker 6: Business app, and everywhere you get your podcasts. 21 00:01:00,000 --> 00:01:01,680 Speaker 3: Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager. 22 00:01:01,600 --> 00:01:04,840 Speaker 1: And I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. 23 00:01:05,640 --> 00:01:08,600 Speaker 3: Tensions over China could be high on the agenda in Japan. 24 00:01:09,080 --> 00:01:12,560 Speaker 3: That's where top diplomats from G seven nations are gathering. 25 00:01:12,680 --> 00:01:15,200 Speaker 3: Amy Morris has more from our Bloomberg ninety nine one 26 00:01:15,280 --> 00:01:16,440 Speaker 3: newsroom in Washington. 27 00:01:16,840 --> 00:01:19,720 Speaker 7: A senior State Department official tells Bloomberg News Now that 28 00:01:19,800 --> 00:01:24,240 Speaker 7: Japan holds the rotating G seven presidency, geopolitical challenges in 29 00:01:24,280 --> 00:01:27,959 Speaker 7: Asia will take on greater focus. Tensions in Taiwan especially 30 00:01:28,000 --> 00:01:31,560 Speaker 7: demand attention after China held more military drills around the 31 00:01:31,560 --> 00:01:34,760 Speaker 7: island and the US Navy said it sent a warship 32 00:01:34,800 --> 00:01:38,520 Speaker 7: through the Taiwan Strait on Sunday. Foreign ministers in Japan 33 00:01:38,600 --> 00:01:41,200 Speaker 7: will look for a common approach on issues like taiwan 34 00:01:41,520 --> 00:01:45,440 Speaker 7: human rights, economic coercion, and US moves to restrict China's 35 00:01:45,480 --> 00:01:49,400 Speaker 7: access to advanced technology like computer chips. In Washington, I'm 36 00:01:49,400 --> 00:01:51,960 Speaker 7: Amy Morris, Bloomberg Daybreak, Amy, thank you well. 37 00:01:52,000 --> 00:01:55,200 Speaker 1: Tensions over US DAD are also front and center this week, 38 00:01:55,240 --> 00:01:57,680 Speaker 1: but no deal in the dead ceiling. The word default 39 00:01:57,760 --> 00:02:01,200 Speaker 1: is being thrown around in some circles. European Central Bank 40 00:02:01,240 --> 00:02:03,720 Speaker 1: President Christie and the Guard says such an outcome would 41 00:02:03,760 --> 00:02:05,800 Speaker 1: have dire consequences around the world. 42 00:02:05,960 --> 00:02:08,960 Speaker 8: I have huge confidence in the United states. You know, 43 00:02:09,160 --> 00:02:12,560 Speaker 8: ever since my year in this country, in this city 44 00:02:12,680 --> 00:02:15,520 Speaker 8: in seventy three seventy four, I have had confidence in 45 00:02:15,560 --> 00:02:19,160 Speaker 8: this country, and I just cannot believe that they would 46 00:02:19,280 --> 00:02:22,840 Speaker 8: let such a major, major disaster happen. 47 00:02:23,200 --> 00:02:25,960 Speaker 1: ECB President Christie and the Guard made the comments. Unface 48 00:02:26,040 --> 00:02:29,040 Speaker 1: the Nation from CBS sketched the program every Sunday on 49 00:02:29,080 --> 00:02:29,960 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Radio. 50 00:02:30,280 --> 00:02:33,560 Speaker 3: In Israel, Karen Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyah, who is defending 51 00:02:33,600 --> 00:02:37,000 Speaker 3: the strength of his country's democracy. That's after Moody's lowered 52 00:02:37,040 --> 00:02:40,680 Speaker 3: Israel's credit outlook over a planned judicial overhaul that spurred 53 00:02:40,800 --> 00:02:41,720 Speaker 3: mass protests. 54 00:02:42,080 --> 00:02:45,760 Speaker 6: Israel is a vibrant democracy, has been a vibrant democracy 55 00:02:45,919 --> 00:02:48,239 Speaker 6: and will remain a vibrant democracy. 56 00:02:48,360 --> 00:02:50,520 Speaker 4: And you don't want who's the one who's most committed 57 00:02:50,560 --> 00:02:51,480 Speaker 4: to that is me? 58 00:02:52,080 --> 00:02:54,920 Speaker 3: Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyah, who made those comments on 59 00:02:55,040 --> 00:02:57,600 Speaker 3: NBC's Meet the Press, which can also be heard Sundays 60 00:02:57,639 --> 00:02:58,560 Speaker 3: on Bloomberg Radio. 61 00:02:58,840 --> 00:03:01,000 Speaker 1: Well, Nathan, we have new development this morning on a 62 00:03:01,240 --> 00:03:06,000 Speaker 1: massive lawsuit involving dominion voting systems and Fox News. Let's 63 00:03:06,000 --> 00:03:09,120 Speaker 1: get the latest live with Bloomberg Steve Rappaport's Steve Good Morning. 64 00:03:08,880 --> 00:03:11,679 Speaker 2: Good Morning, Karen and Nathan. On the eve of opening statements, 65 00:03:11,760 --> 00:03:14,279 Speaker 2: Judge Eric Davis announced a one day delay. 66 00:03:13,960 --> 00:03:14,519 Speaker 9: To the trial. 67 00:03:14,639 --> 00:03:16,760 Speaker 2: Sources tell The Wall Street Journal. The move is to 68 00:03:16,840 --> 00:03:19,720 Speaker 2: allow the parties more time to reach a settlement dominion, 69 00:03:19,760 --> 00:03:22,760 Speaker 2: says guests on Fox News shows repeatedly accused the company 70 00:03:22,800 --> 00:03:25,280 Speaker 2: of rigging its voting machines in the twenty twenty election 71 00:03:25,440 --> 00:03:28,320 Speaker 2: to switch votes from President Trump to Joe Biden. Fox 72 00:03:28,360 --> 00:03:30,280 Speaker 2: News is expected to argue it has the right to 73 00:03:30,360 --> 00:03:33,200 Speaker 2: report claims from a sitting president and his lawyers, even 74 00:03:33,240 --> 00:03:35,480 Speaker 2: if those claims later turn out to be false. Live 75 00:03:35,520 --> 00:03:37,800 Speaker 2: in New York, I'm Steve Rappaport Bloomberg Daybreak. 76 00:03:37,840 --> 00:03:39,920 Speaker 3: All right, Steve, Thanks, also have a couple of deals 77 00:03:39,960 --> 00:03:42,480 Speaker 3: to kick off the week on Wall Street. The first 78 00:03:42,480 --> 00:03:45,839 Speaker 3: involves pharmaceutical giant Merk, and we get the details live 79 00:03:45,840 --> 00:03:47,680 Speaker 3: with Bloomberg's John Tucker, John. 80 00:03:47,480 --> 00:03:49,480 Speaker 9: And ninth And it's one of the largest pharm of 81 00:03:49,520 --> 00:03:54,200 Speaker 9: deals in recent history. Murk is buying Prometheus Biosciences. The 82 00:03:54,240 --> 00:03:57,520 Speaker 9: price tag about ten point eight billion dollars. That works 83 00:03:57,520 --> 00:04:00,360 Speaker 9: out to two hundred dollars a share, a whoppings seventy 84 00:04:00,360 --> 00:04:03,760 Speaker 9: five percent more than Friday's closing price. Although they have 85 00:04:03,960 --> 00:04:08,560 Speaker 9: no approved drugs, Prometheus has some promising treatments in immunology. 86 00:04:08,960 --> 00:04:11,640 Speaker 9: A merksman looking to beef up its business because some 87 00:04:11,680 --> 00:04:14,760 Speaker 9: of its key drugs are coming off patent. In fact, 88 00:04:15,040 --> 00:04:17,520 Speaker 9: fifty five billion dollars worth of its sales are at 89 00:04:17,600 --> 00:04:20,599 Speaker 9: risk over the next seven years. Let's deal expected to 90 00:04:20,600 --> 00:04:23,880 Speaker 9: wrap up in the third quarter. Patent expirations are driving 91 00:04:24,040 --> 00:04:26,320 Speaker 9: M and A activity across the pharma sector, so this 92 00:04:26,520 --> 00:04:29,480 Speaker 9: probably won't be the last deal you're going to hear about. 93 00:04:29,920 --> 00:04:32,200 Speaker 9: Live in New York. I'm John Tucker, Bloomberg Daybreak. 94 00:04:32,360 --> 00:04:35,000 Speaker 1: All right, John, thanks well shareholders of the creator of 95 00:04:35,120 --> 00:04:38,520 Speaker 1: Angry Birds or anything but Angry. This morning, the company 96 00:04:38,640 --> 00:04:41,960 Speaker 1: Rovio up about eighteen percent after video game maker Sega 97 00:04:42,040 --> 00:04:45,120 Speaker 1: Sammy Holdings offered to buy the finished company for seven 98 00:04:45,200 --> 00:04:49,039 Speaker 1: hundred and seventy six million dollars. Nobio's board unanimously recommended 99 00:04:49,080 --> 00:04:54,240 Speaker 1: shareholder except shareholders U. Rovio's board unanimously recommended shareholders accept 100 00:04:54,279 --> 00:04:54,719 Speaker 1: the offer. 101 00:04:54,920 --> 00:04:57,440 Speaker 3: It's staying in Europe. Karen Word of job cuts at Barclay's. 102 00:04:57,440 --> 00:04:59,839 Speaker 3: Bloomberg News has learned the London based lender will eliminate 103 00:04:59,880 --> 00:05:02,440 Speaker 3: a one hundred roles in its investment banking group. The 104 00:05:02,480 --> 00:05:04,560 Speaker 3: cuts come as a slow down in deal making and 105 00:05:04,560 --> 00:05:08,240 Speaker 3: capital markets businesses continues at Barclay's and. 106 00:05:08,200 --> 00:05:11,000 Speaker 1: We're seemore falla from the historic deal between Credit Suite 107 00:05:11,080 --> 00:05:14,119 Speaker 1: and UBS. The Wall Street Journal reports outflows from Credit 108 00:05:14,160 --> 00:05:17,599 Speaker 1: Suite branded investment funds have accelerated in the week since 109 00:05:17,640 --> 00:05:20,360 Speaker 1: the takeover. The paper says net outflows from around three 110 00:05:20,440 --> 00:05:23,240 Speaker 1: hundred funds have reached five point six billion dollars since 111 00:05:23,240 --> 00:05:23,840 Speaker 1: the tie up. 112 00:05:24,000 --> 00:05:26,120 Speaker 3: Back here in the US, Careen, the CEO of Google 113 00:05:26,200 --> 00:05:29,840 Speaker 3: is speaking out about artificial intelligence. Alphabet Sundar Paschai says 114 00:05:29,880 --> 00:05:33,000 Speaker 3: the push to adopt AI technology must be well regulated 115 00:05:33,200 --> 00:05:35,080 Speaker 3: to avoid potential harmful effects. 116 00:05:35,279 --> 00:05:38,040 Speaker 10: The pace at which we can think can adapt as 117 00:05:38,080 --> 00:05:41,040 Speaker 10: societal institutions compared to the pace at which the technology 118 00:05:41,080 --> 00:05:44,160 Speaker 10: is evolving, there seems to be a mismatch. On the 119 00:05:44,160 --> 00:05:47,240 Speaker 10: other hand, compared to any other technology, I've seen more 120 00:05:47,279 --> 00:05:50,279 Speaker 10: people worried about it earlier in its life cycle, so 121 00:05:50,360 --> 00:05:51,599 Speaker 10: I feel optimistic. 122 00:05:51,800 --> 00:05:54,440 Speaker 3: Alphabet sud Dar Paschai made the comments on sixty Minutes 123 00:05:54,480 --> 00:05:57,400 Speaker 3: from CBS our Washington. Listeners can catch the show Sunday 124 00:05:57,440 --> 00:05:59,279 Speaker 3: Nights on Bloomberg ninety nine to one. 125 00:05:59,520 --> 00:06:02,480 Speaker 1: Another tech news. This morning, Apples sales in India had 126 00:06:02,520 --> 00:06:05,360 Speaker 1: a new high, reaching almost six billion dollars for the 127 00:06:05,440 --> 00:06:08,080 Speaker 1: year through March. Sources say revenue in India grew by 128 00:06:08,080 --> 00:06:11,359 Speaker 1: nearly fifty percent from the prior year. This search highlights 129 00:06:11,400 --> 00:06:14,320 Speaker 1: the market's increasing importance for the iPhone maker, as CEO 130 00:06:14,400 --> 00:06:17,400 Speaker 1: Tim Cook arrives in the country to open its first 131 00:06:17,560 --> 00:06:18,440 Speaker 1: local stores. 132 00:06:18,680 --> 00:06:21,919 Speaker 3: Finally, Karen, Netflix is apologizing to its customers this morning. 133 00:06:21,960 --> 00:06:24,680 Speaker 3: The service buckled under the strain of popular live streamed 134 00:06:24,680 --> 00:06:28,400 Speaker 3: reunion episode of Love is Blind. Down detector says thousands 135 00:06:28,440 --> 00:06:32,640 Speaker 3: of users reported Netflix streaming was unavailable yesterday. Straight ahead, 136 00:06:32,680 --> 00:06:35,720 Speaker 3: we'll get your latest local headline, Santa Check of sports. 137 00:06:35,920 --> 00:06:44,040 Speaker 3: This is Bloomberg. It is fifty five degrees in New York. 138 00:06:44,080 --> 00:06:46,960 Speaker 3: Should have some partial clearing this afternoon with Heisenem for sixties. 139 00:06:47,000 --> 00:06:49,000 Speaker 3: We'll get down to the low fifties tonight under a 140 00:06:49,000 --> 00:06:51,080 Speaker 3: partly cloudy sky. Time now to look at some of 141 00:06:51,120 --> 00:06:53,159 Speaker 3: the other stories making news in New York and around 142 00:06:53,200 --> 00:06:55,279 Speaker 3: the world. For that, we're joined by Bloomberg's Michael Barr. 143 00:06:55,279 --> 00:06:57,239 Speaker 3: Good morning, Michael, Good morning, Nathan Als. 144 00:06:57,279 --> 00:07:01,200 Speaker 4: Republicans are holding a hearing in Manhattan today targeting District 145 00:07:01,240 --> 00:07:04,960 Speaker 4: Attorney Alvin Bragg, the chair of the House Judiciary Committee. 146 00:07:04,960 --> 00:07:09,000 Speaker 4: Ohio Republican Jim Jordan scheduled the hearing at the Javit Center, 147 00:07:09,080 --> 00:07:11,880 Speaker 4: accusing brag of interfering in the twenty twenty four election 148 00:07:12,280 --> 00:07:16,080 Speaker 4: with the prosecution of former President Trump. However, Senate Majority 149 00:07:16,200 --> 00:07:19,040 Speaker 4: Leader Chuck Schumer says the real threat to New Yorker's 150 00:07:19,040 --> 00:07:22,400 Speaker 4: safety is a call by Jordan and Trump to defund 151 00:07:22,480 --> 00:07:24,640 Speaker 4: the FBI and police Department. 152 00:07:25,120 --> 00:07:28,400 Speaker 11: Every member in the House and Senate Democrat, Republican, liberal 153 00:07:28,480 --> 00:07:32,520 Speaker 11: conservative should denounce such attempts by former President Trump and 154 00:07:32,560 --> 00:07:36,080 Speaker 11: his allies to degrade public trust in our law enforcement 155 00:07:36,120 --> 00:07:39,120 Speaker 11: agencies out of personal peak and grievance. 156 00:07:39,480 --> 00:07:43,400 Speaker 4: Schumer calls Jordan's hearing a political stunt. Today, authorities in 157 00:07:43,480 --> 00:07:46,480 Speaker 4: one Alabama town are asking for the public's help to 158 00:07:46,520 --> 00:07:49,240 Speaker 4: make an arrest in another mass shooting. It happened over 159 00:07:49,240 --> 00:07:52,280 Speaker 4: the weekend at a birthday party in Dadeville. At least 160 00:07:52,280 --> 00:07:54,840 Speaker 4: four people were killed and more than two dozen injured. 161 00:07:55,360 --> 00:07:58,679 Speaker 4: Sudan's embattled capital faces a third day of heavy fighting 162 00:07:58,720 --> 00:08:01,520 Speaker 4: between the army and a power full rival force were 163 00:08:01,640 --> 00:08:04,640 Speaker 4: control of the country. The weekend civilian death toll in 164 00:08:04,720 --> 00:08:08,160 Speaker 4: Khartom has risen to around one hundred. Secretary of State 165 00:08:08,240 --> 00:08:11,600 Speaker 4: Anthony Blincoln says there is a shared deep concern about 166 00:08:11,640 --> 00:08:12,040 Speaker 4: the fighting. 167 00:08:12,320 --> 00:08:16,640 Speaker 12: We're also closely in touch with any American citizens INSIDAM 168 00:08:17,360 --> 00:08:20,880 Speaker 12: to make sure that those who are registered with the 169 00:08:20,920 --> 00:08:24,640 Speaker 12: embassy and that we're actually in contact with get all 170 00:08:24,640 --> 00:08:27,480 Speaker 12: the information they can about how to remain sales secure. 171 00:08:27,720 --> 00:08:30,880 Speaker 4: Secretary Blinken spoke of the G seven Foreign Ministries meeting 172 00:08:30,920 --> 00:08:34,000 Speaker 4: in Japan. The countdown is onto this morning's launch of 173 00:08:34,040 --> 00:08:38,720 Speaker 4: the tallest rocket ever built. Elon Musk's SpaceX is preparing 174 00:08:38,760 --> 00:08:41,880 Speaker 4: to launch Starship, the most powerful rocket ever built, into space. 175 00:08:42,559 --> 00:08:45,920 Speaker 4: After thirty five years, Broadway's longest running show has taken 176 00:08:45,960 --> 00:08:50,040 Speaker 4: its final bow. After nearly fourteen thousand performances, Phantom of 177 00:08:50,080 --> 00:08:53,720 Speaker 4: the Opera bid it farewell. Sunday. The last curtain call 178 00:08:53,760 --> 00:08:57,320 Speaker 4: brought out not just cast, crew and musicians, but the 179 00:08:57,360 --> 00:09:00,840 Speaker 4: original Broadway company and Andrew Lloyd Ubber himself. 180 00:09:01,000 --> 00:09:01,839 Speaker 12: He couldn't go. 181 00:09:01,920 --> 00:09:04,880 Speaker 1: Out with the best of conformance was bord to Christi. 182 00:09:07,679 --> 00:09:11,760 Speaker 4: Fandom won seven tony awards including Best Musical. Global News 183 00:09:11,760 --> 00:09:14,240 Speaker 4: twenty four hours a day, powered by more than twenty 184 00:09:14,280 --> 00:09:16,400 Speaker 4: seven hundred journalist and analysts and over one hundred and 185 00:09:16,400 --> 00:09:19,760 Speaker 4: twenty countries. Michael Barr, this is Bloomberg ninth. 186 00:09:19,679 --> 00:09:22,800 Speaker 3: And it's still there inside your mind. Thank you, Michael, 187 00:09:22,960 --> 00:09:29,760 Speaker 3: Thank you. After the Bloomberg Sports up date. Good morning, 188 00:09:29,840 --> 00:09:33,320 Speaker 3: John Stanshall by Nathan NBA playoffs just getting started. Everyone's 189 00:09:33,360 --> 00:09:35,960 Speaker 3: played once already. Injuries are looming large. 190 00:09:35,960 --> 00:09:38,360 Speaker 5: Milwaukee had the best regular season record, but the Bucks 191 00:09:38,440 --> 00:09:41,120 Speaker 5: lost Game one to Miami. Had to play most of 192 00:09:41,160 --> 00:09:43,240 Speaker 5: the way without Yanna's son to the Company's got a 193 00:09:43,280 --> 00:09:46,199 Speaker 5: bad back. They say the x rays were clean and 194 00:09:46,240 --> 00:09:48,360 Speaker 5: the heat also saw a key player go down in 195 00:09:48,400 --> 00:09:51,520 Speaker 5: this game, Tyler Hero broke his hand and Memphis John 196 00:09:51,559 --> 00:09:54,240 Speaker 5: Moran left with a hand injury. Those x rays were negative. 197 00:09:54,280 --> 00:09:57,760 Speaker 5: Grizzlies lost only six times all season. They lost to 198 00:09:57,800 --> 00:10:00,680 Speaker 5: the Lakers. The Clippers won in Phoenix, easy for Denver. 199 00:10:00,800 --> 00:10:03,880 Speaker 5: The Nets have game two tonight in Philadelphia. It's also 200 00:10:03,880 --> 00:10:07,400 Speaker 5: opening night in the Stanley Cup playoffs. The Islanders visit Carolina. 201 00:10:07,440 --> 00:10:10,079 Speaker 5: Speaking of injuries, another one for Yankees slugger John Carlos 202 00:10:10,120 --> 00:10:13,240 Speaker 5: Stantony's got a hamstring injury, expecting to miss at least 203 00:10:13,280 --> 00:10:13,679 Speaker 5: a month. 204 00:10:14,040 --> 00:10:14,800 Speaker 6: Here's Aaron Bruce. 205 00:10:14,840 --> 00:10:19,600 Speaker 13: I know he's he's really frustrated, but you know it's 206 00:10:19,760 --> 00:10:23,960 Speaker 13: it's opportunity now, it's opportunity for frankly people. We have 207 00:10:23,960 --> 00:10:26,040 Speaker 13: a lot of confidence in that we can mix and match. 208 00:10:26,200 --> 00:10:28,280 Speaker 13: We're gonna get some other people back here and then 209 00:10:28,720 --> 00:10:30,920 Speaker 13: in the next days, in the next couple of weeks, 210 00:10:31,160 --> 00:10:33,320 Speaker 13: and uh, you know, we gotta make. 211 00:10:33,240 --> 00:10:36,040 Speaker 5: Do Yankees off. Tonight before welcoming in the Angels, they 212 00:10:36,080 --> 00:10:37,920 Speaker 5: gained us one of the four game series of the Twins, 213 00:10:37,960 --> 00:10:40,520 Speaker 5: winning two nothing at the stadium thanks to Garrett Cole 214 00:10:41,000 --> 00:10:43,960 Speaker 5: complete game two hit or ten strike ass. Cole's already 215 00:10:43,960 --> 00:10:46,760 Speaker 5: four to zero. His era is under one. Mett's visited 216 00:10:46,800 --> 00:10:49,240 Speaker 5: the Dodgers tonight. They completed a sleep in Oakland, winning 217 00:10:49,240 --> 00:10:51,680 Speaker 5: four to three and ten names. Peter Wonzo a game 218 00:10:51,760 --> 00:10:53,280 Speaker 5: time home run of the ninth and he already is 219 00:10:53,320 --> 00:10:56,400 Speaker 5: eighth of the season. Matt Fitzpatrick is a brit who 220 00:10:56,480 --> 00:10:58,840 Speaker 5: has a kid vacationed every year at Hilton Had he 221 00:10:58,920 --> 00:11:02,040 Speaker 5: won the heritage It's fine to the playoff with Jordan Speed, 222 00:11:02,320 --> 00:11:05,000 Speaker 5: John Stash that Bloomberg Sports. 223 00:11:06,880 --> 00:11:10,199 Speaker 6: Live from coast to coast, from New York to San Francisco, 224 00:11:10,440 --> 00:11:14,920 Speaker 6: Boston to Washington, d C. Nationwide on SIRIUSXAM, the Bloomberg 225 00:11:14,960 --> 00:11:19,000 Speaker 6: Business app, and Bloomberg dot Com. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. 226 00:11:20,080 --> 00:11:22,440 Speaker 6: Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager. Stocks are getting off to 227 00:11:22,440 --> 00:11:25,280 Speaker 6: a relatively quiet start this morning. We'll see whether that 228 00:11:25,360 --> 00:11:28,760 Speaker 6: continues as we make our way further into first quarter 229 00:11:28,800 --> 00:11:29,480 Speaker 6: earning season. 230 00:11:29,480 --> 00:11:31,520 Speaker 3: So let's get you set for the trading week ahead. 231 00:11:31,559 --> 00:11:34,439 Speaker 3: We are joined this morning by Lori Calvacina, head of 232 00:11:34,559 --> 00:11:38,320 Speaker 3: US Equity Strategy at RBC Capital Markets. Laurie, it's always 233 00:11:38,360 --> 00:11:41,079 Speaker 3: great to speak with you, and we have seen stocks 234 00:11:41,559 --> 00:11:44,720 Speaker 3: do relatively well so far this year. Where do you 235 00:11:44,720 --> 00:11:46,280 Speaker 3: see the momentum going for equities? 236 00:11:47,800 --> 00:11:49,839 Speaker 14: Well, thanks for having me. As always, look, we think 237 00:11:49,840 --> 00:11:52,440 Speaker 14: it's going to continue to be a choppy environment this year. 238 00:11:52,520 --> 00:11:54,960 Speaker 14: I do think the bears have really, you know, sort 239 00:11:54,960 --> 00:11:57,640 Speaker 14: of overstated their case. I probably see more upside risk 240 00:11:57,679 --> 00:11:59,880 Speaker 14: than downside risk, but we have been training right around 241 00:12:00,120 --> 00:12:04,000 Speaker 14: forty one hundred target. I don't see anything really eminent 242 00:12:04,080 --> 00:12:06,120 Speaker 14: that would derail us. We'll see what happens in this 243 00:12:06,200 --> 00:12:09,960 Speaker 14: reporting season. We are watching Nasdaq futures positioning pretty closely 244 00:12:10,000 --> 00:12:12,880 Speaker 14: as a potential short term cell catalyst. But I think 245 00:12:12,920 --> 00:12:16,120 Speaker 14: investors just need to get ready for what is likely 246 00:12:16,160 --> 00:12:18,640 Speaker 14: to be not as bad as what some of the 247 00:12:18,640 --> 00:12:20,880 Speaker 14: bears are saying, but just a chopping environment for the 248 00:12:20,960 --> 00:12:21,720 Speaker 14: duration of the year. 249 00:12:21,920 --> 00:12:25,120 Speaker 3: Now, the bears have been pretty loud. We've heard once 250 00:12:25,160 --> 00:12:27,800 Speaker 3: again from Mike Wilson, probably the biggest bear on Wall 251 00:12:27,840 --> 00:12:30,280 Speaker 3: Street over at Morgan Stanley saying there needs to be 252 00:12:31,040 --> 00:12:34,080 Speaker 3: more earnings down grades. Why do you think the bears 253 00:12:34,080 --> 00:12:36,000 Speaker 3: have overstated their case? What's your case? 254 00:12:36,640 --> 00:12:40,080 Speaker 14: Well, look, I think it really all goes back to 255 00:12:40,160 --> 00:12:42,760 Speaker 14: how close are you looking at the history of how 256 00:12:42,840 --> 00:12:46,000 Speaker 14: markets trade around Earning's downgrade cycled. And I think the 257 00:12:46,040 --> 00:12:48,760 Speaker 14: bear case has largely rested on the idea of, hey, 258 00:12:48,840 --> 00:12:51,800 Speaker 14: earnings expectations are way too high. We think the number 259 00:12:51,840 --> 00:12:53,720 Speaker 14: is going to be lower, therefore markets need to come 260 00:12:53,760 --> 00:12:56,080 Speaker 14: down and retest the low. And I think that's just 261 00:12:56,240 --> 00:12:58,280 Speaker 14: overly simple, and I don't think it really has an 262 00:12:58,320 --> 00:13:01,800 Speaker 14: appropriate view of how Earning's grade cycles have impacted stock 263 00:13:01,840 --> 00:13:04,920 Speaker 14: prices in the past. If you go back historically, what 264 00:13:04,960 --> 00:13:07,720 Speaker 14: we have seen very consistently is that three to six 265 00:13:07,800 --> 00:13:11,199 Speaker 14: months before earning downgrade cycles are done, stock markets tend 266 00:13:11,280 --> 00:13:13,440 Speaker 14: to put in their bottom and I really shouldn't even 267 00:13:13,520 --> 00:13:16,320 Speaker 14: use the word ten, because that's what always tends to happen, 268 00:13:16,800 --> 00:13:19,880 Speaker 14: or actually always does happen in these major downgrade cycles. 269 00:13:19,880 --> 00:13:22,400 Speaker 14: We've gone back looking at this over several decades. The 270 00:13:22,480 --> 00:13:24,280 Speaker 14: other thing we've seen is that if you look at 271 00:13:24,280 --> 00:13:26,280 Speaker 14: the price action in the S and P five hundred 272 00:13:26,360 --> 00:13:29,880 Speaker 14: last year, and price action does loosely tend to follow earnings, 273 00:13:29,920 --> 00:13:33,640 Speaker 14: but around major inflections, stock prices do tend to lead earnings. 274 00:13:33,800 --> 00:13:36,160 Speaker 14: And when we compare how the stock price is acted 275 00:13:36,240 --> 00:13:38,640 Speaker 14: to what the earnings expectations are for this year, both 276 00:13:38,679 --> 00:13:42,000 Speaker 14: consensus and my well below consensus number, the price action 277 00:13:42,160 --> 00:13:44,959 Speaker 14: reflects a more onerous earnings environment than even what I'm 278 00:13:44,960 --> 00:13:48,000 Speaker 14: anticipating with my two hundred number. And then the last 279 00:13:48,040 --> 00:13:50,840 Speaker 14: thing I would say, if you look at earning downgrade cycles, 280 00:13:51,200 --> 00:13:54,040 Speaker 14: you tend to get the cuts in largely by the 281 00:13:54,080 --> 00:13:56,880 Speaker 14: April May timeframe. In the SMP and the small caps, 282 00:13:56,880 --> 00:13:59,319 Speaker 14: it tends to be more like May June. But really 283 00:13:59,360 --> 00:14:01,960 Speaker 14: this is the little reporting season where the numbers do 284 00:14:02,120 --> 00:14:04,240 Speaker 14: need to get cleaned up. Cell Grant the bears that 285 00:14:05,080 --> 00:14:07,600 Speaker 14: for that market bottom back in October to hold. So 286 00:14:07,640 --> 00:14:09,880 Speaker 14: I think it all goes back to the idea of 287 00:14:09,920 --> 00:14:13,040 Speaker 14: what is baked into stocks, and stocks already baked in 288 00:14:13,080 --> 00:14:16,720 Speaker 14: a pretty onerous earnings environment last year, and that's always 289 00:14:16,760 --> 00:14:19,120 Speaker 14: what they do in these downgrade cycles. 290 00:14:19,680 --> 00:14:21,760 Speaker 3: How do you read what we've heard from the big 291 00:14:21,760 --> 00:14:25,360 Speaker 3: banks so far? As we've just gotten earning season kicked 292 00:14:25,400 --> 00:14:29,480 Speaker 3: off here by JP Morgan, Chase, Wells Fargo, and City Group, 293 00:14:29,640 --> 00:14:32,840 Speaker 3: do you see the momentum continuing for them? 294 00:14:34,120 --> 00:14:37,960 Speaker 14: So look, it's very very early in the financials reporting season. 295 00:14:38,120 --> 00:14:40,000 Speaker 14: And you know, I will say, if you look at 296 00:14:40,040 --> 00:14:43,000 Speaker 14: the BKX performance, and we've been watching it very closely 297 00:14:43,080 --> 00:14:45,560 Speaker 14: relative to the Nasdaq one hundred performance, it does look 298 00:14:45,640 --> 00:14:47,680 Speaker 14: like it is trying to stabilize. So I think the 299 00:14:47,720 --> 00:14:50,640 Speaker 14: market is looking for an excuse to have some good 300 00:14:50,680 --> 00:14:52,880 Speaker 14: reaction to these earnings numbers. And you know, I think 301 00:14:52,960 --> 00:14:55,200 Speaker 14: Friday ended up being a little bit weaker than perhaps 302 00:14:55,280 --> 00:14:58,520 Speaker 14: the headlines from the banks themselves would have suggested. 303 00:14:58,920 --> 00:14:59,320 Speaker 5: My read. 304 00:14:59,360 --> 00:15:01,440 Speaker 14: And again I'm not a banks jannalyst, I'm a strategists. 305 00:15:01,480 --> 00:15:04,800 Speaker 14: I'm looking more for macro clues. But I was comforted 306 00:15:04,840 --> 00:15:06,440 Speaker 14: by the fact that we saw one of the banks 307 00:15:06,480 --> 00:15:09,320 Speaker 14: saying they weren't going to unreasonably tighten in here because 308 00:15:09,360 --> 00:15:11,440 Speaker 14: of past events. I thought there was a lot of 309 00:15:11,440 --> 00:15:14,120 Speaker 14: focus on regulation, which I think is appropriate. I think 310 00:15:14,120 --> 00:15:16,520 Speaker 14: that's a longer term issue that banks have to contend with. 311 00:15:17,040 --> 00:15:19,360 Speaker 14: But generally, if we look back over the last couple 312 00:15:19,320 --> 00:15:21,520 Speaker 14: of weeks, what companies are telling us, not just in 313 00:15:21,520 --> 00:15:24,240 Speaker 14: the banks but elsewhere, was that the sort of impact 314 00:15:24,720 --> 00:15:27,320 Speaker 14: from the recent events in banking has been pretty limited. 315 00:15:27,360 --> 00:15:31,120 Speaker 14: So far, we aren't seeing an overly alarmist tone from companies. 316 00:15:31,120 --> 00:15:32,880 Speaker 14: We're seeing more echoes of what we saw in the 317 00:15:32,960 --> 00:15:35,240 Speaker 14: Duke CFO survey a couple of weeks ago, where corporate 318 00:15:35,280 --> 00:15:38,800 Speaker 14: sentiment was actually improving prior to the SBB crisis. So 319 00:15:38,840 --> 00:15:40,480 Speaker 14: I think it's going to be really important to watch 320 00:15:40,520 --> 00:15:42,320 Speaker 14: the tone from here. I don't think we can read 321 00:15:42,320 --> 00:15:44,240 Speaker 14: too much from Friday. I think we were off to 322 00:15:44,320 --> 00:15:45,840 Speaker 14: a good start. Would have liked to have seen a 323 00:15:45,880 --> 00:15:49,240 Speaker 14: slightly better stock market reaction, but I think in general, 324 00:15:49,360 --> 00:15:51,600 Speaker 14: the idea that this was a contained crisis, I think 325 00:15:51,600 --> 00:15:52,480 Speaker 14: that is bearing out. 326 00:15:52,880 --> 00:15:55,320 Speaker 3: Just about thirty seconds left in this segment, Laurie, so 327 00:15:55,360 --> 00:15:57,440 Speaker 3: do you think that the worst is over then for 328 00:15:57,560 --> 00:15:59,400 Speaker 3: the banking turmoil. 329 00:16:00,680 --> 00:16:03,080 Speaker 14: I think that's that's what the market is telling us 330 00:16:03,160 --> 00:16:05,280 Speaker 14: right now, and I think that's the vote of confidence 331 00:16:05,320 --> 00:16:09,120 Speaker 14: we're seeing in the stabilization. In that VKX performance. We've 332 00:16:09,160 --> 00:16:12,160 Speaker 14: actually started to see a little bit of underperformance from the 333 00:16:12,240 --> 00:16:15,320 Speaker 14: NASDAT complex again, and that tells the investors are starting 334 00:16:15,360 --> 00:16:18,320 Speaker 14: to worry about the set again, which can only happen, 335 00:16:18,640 --> 00:16:20,560 Speaker 14: you know, if the Fed feels confident enough to go. 336 00:16:21,840 --> 00:16:24,760 Speaker 3: This is Bloomberg day Break Today, your morning brief on 337 00:16:24,840 --> 00:16:28,360 Speaker 3: the stories making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. 338 00:16:28,640 --> 00:16:31,360 Speaker 1: Look for us on your podcast feed at six am 339 00:16:31,480 --> 00:16:35,160 Speaker 1: Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, and anywhere else you 340 00:16:35,240 --> 00:16:36,400 Speaker 1: get your podcasts. 341 00:16:36,520 --> 00:16:39,200 Speaker 3: You can also listen live each morning starting at five 342 00:16:39,240 --> 00:16:41,840 Speaker 3: am Wall Street time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero 343 00:16:41,920 --> 00:16:44,720 Speaker 3: in New York, Bloomberg ninety nine to one in Washington, 344 00:16:44,840 --> 00:16:48,080 Speaker 3: Bloomberg one oh six' one in Boston, and Bloomberg ninety 345 00:16:48,080 --> 00:16:49,480 Speaker 3: sixty in San Francisco. 346 00:16:49,880 --> 00:16:53,000 Speaker 1: Our flagship New York station is also available on your 347 00:16:53,080 --> 00:16:58,160 Speaker 1: Amazon Alexa devices. 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