WEBVTT - Meta, Microsoft and Alphabet All Report Earnings

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio News. This is Bloomberg business

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<v Speaker 1>Week Daily reporting from the magazine that helps global leaders

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<v Speaker 1>stay ahead with insight on the people, companies, and trends

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<v Speaker 1>shaping today's complex economy. Plus global business finance and tech

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<v Speaker 1>news as it happens. The Bloomberg Business Week Daily Podcast

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<v Speaker 1>with Carol Masser and Tim Stenebek on Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 2>Let's head out to our Chicago News bureau.

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<v Speaker 3>That's where we find Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Technology analyst Ana

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<v Speaker 3>agr anaag. We want to give you a little time

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<v Speaker 3>to stew over this, walk us through what we've got

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<v Speaker 3>so far from Microsoft, because investors seem a little disappointed.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I mean I don't I don't really find a

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<v Speaker 4>whole lot of mistakes. And there's these numbers and you

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<v Speaker 4>look at as your growth of thirty nine percent, I

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<v Speaker 4>mean given that size, that's pretty good. The margins actually

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<v Speaker 4>stood out way, you know, way higher than what we

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<v Speaker 4>were anticipating. We thought there was going to be pressure

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<v Speaker 4>on margins because of all the spending, and then the

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<v Speaker 4>last league when you look at the capex number substantially

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<v Speaker 4>higher than the thirty billion that they talked about now in.

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<v Speaker 4>You know, to some people, maybe that's a disappointment, but

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<v Speaker 4>for us, that's a good thing because I think they

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<v Speaker 4>have so much demand coming in. They're going to add

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<v Speaker 4>more capacity this year and that's something that you know,

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<v Speaker 4>we have been saying for a while.

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<v Speaker 5>Well, you know, I'll ask you the same question that

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<v Speaker 5>I asked Angelo Zino a little earlier. Maybe it's too

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<v Speaker 5>early to tell me if we won't hear anything about

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<v Speaker 5>on the call, but the cloud race between the three

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<v Speaker 5>biggest providers out there, Aws, Azure, Google Cloud, is there

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<v Speaker 5>an opportunity for Azure to get market share from companies

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<v Speaker 5>that might have been affected by last week's AWS outage.

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<v Speaker 5>Is that an opportunity?

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<v Speaker 4>Well, I typically I would say no, because they are

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<v Speaker 4>facing the same problem today. Frankly, so when you look

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<v Speaker 4>at some of these large install bases, it's very difficult

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<v Speaker 4>to change your applications. But what is the big opportunity,

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<v Speaker 4>not just for Amazon or not just for Microsoft, but

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<v Speaker 4>for all of them, including Oracle, is most companies eventually

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<v Speaker 4>will have a backup cloud provider. They don't have it

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<v Speaker 4>right now, but that is going to be one of

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<v Speaker 4>the bigger growth drivers down the road. After the AI

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<v Speaker 4>boom is done, you know. So, I mean, from our side,

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<v Speaker 4>the market is big enough for all of them to

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<v Speaker 4>prosper very very well in the coming years.

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<v Speaker 3>I mean, honor as you said that the Azure cloud

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<v Speaker 3>computing unit posted a thirty nine percent revenue can in

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<v Speaker 3>the quarter when adjusting for currency fluctuations. That did beat

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<v Speaker 3>the street estimate of thirty seven percent. I'm reading some

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<v Speaker 3>you know analysis that says, well, that was a disappointed

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<v Speaker 3>the expectations were high. What what was there a whisper

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<v Speaker 3>number in terms of growth on the street.

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<v Speaker 4>No, the consensus was thirty seven. This is what the

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<v Speaker 4>company said. Now there is if you really want to

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<v Speaker 4>dissect it, you know badly, then you could say, well,

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<v Speaker 4>Google Cloud growth accelerated in the quarter compared to the

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<v Speaker 4>previous quarter, but Microsoft it was thirty nine. It's it's

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<v Speaker 4>still at thirty nine. But you know, there are different basis.

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<v Speaker 4>That one's you know, Microsoft is running at about seventy five percent,

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<v Speaker 4>you know, eighty billion dollars in annual run rate. You know,

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<v Speaker 4>Google Cloud is still at thirty percent, and yet Azure

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<v Speaker 4>growth is higher than Google's cloud growth. So, you know,

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<v Speaker 4>I think people are probably just splitting hairs at this point.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, and you reference that when you were answering my question.

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<v Speaker 5>You reference the outage that Microsoft has having right now,

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<v Speaker 5>this global Microsoft outage, So we should note that, Yeah,

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<v Speaker 5>just cloud cloud companies are cloud companies, and sometimes it's

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<v Speaker 5>AWS that has the outage. Sometimes it's Microsoft that that

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<v Speaker 5>has the that has the outage. Hey, the open Ai question,

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<v Speaker 5>we talked a lot about this with you yesterday, and

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<v Speaker 5>I imagine that on the call, investors will have a

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<v Speaker 5>lot of questions about, Okay, this close to thirty percent

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<v Speaker 5>ownership of open ai, the parent company of chat GPT,

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<v Speaker 5>what is that going to do for Microsoft?

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<v Speaker 6>See?

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<v Speaker 4>I think from our site, the equity part is not

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<v Speaker 4>what you know, for concerned, it's really the technology that

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<v Speaker 4>Microsoft is holding on to that's really the critical piece

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<v Speaker 4>because you know, one of the ways we think about

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<v Speaker 4>is they will sell more products, they will sell more

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<v Speaker 4>cloud services using that technology than they would just on

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<v Speaker 4>the you know, share side of it. And that's a

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<v Speaker 4>bigger thing for us because they have, you know, a

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<v Speaker 4>hold of that for the next seven years.

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<v Speaker 3>Hey, one of the things I want to ask you,

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<v Speaker 3>and I know this isn't typically your coverage, but you know,

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<v Speaker 3>you're smart to cover all things technology, but Meta Meta

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<v Speaker 3>down almost eight percent here in the aftermarket as you

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<v Speaker 3>see this, Uh, what's what's the problem. There's one tax

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<v Speaker 3>one time tax charge. I guess we're still trying to

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<v Speaker 3>figure this out. But is it all about that or

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<v Speaker 3>is it just that we were caught off guard?

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<v Speaker 4>See I think that could be a lot of the

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<v Speaker 4>noise then the number, and you know, I'm very sure

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<v Speaker 4>they're going to give clarity on that. But the big

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<v Speaker 4>question of the overhand of Mega Meta always is, you know,

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<v Speaker 4>how are you monetizing AI. You're spending all this money,

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<v Speaker 4>where's the revenue you show for it? I think that's

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<v Speaker 4>where management really needs to give and address that in

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<v Speaker 4>a much more succinct way than they have. The other

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<v Speaker 4>side is they don't have a cloud platform just like

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<v Speaker 4>Google does or Amazon does or Microsoft does. So Meta

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<v Speaker 4>is the one that needs to explain these things far

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<v Speaker 4>better than, frankly, the other three.

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<v Speaker 5>I want to bring in Ivan find Seth, a research

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<v Speaker 5>director and chief investment officer with Tiger's Financial Partners, got

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<v Speaker 5>over five hundred million dollars in assets under management, and

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<v Speaker 5>pose that same question to him about meta platforms the company,

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<v Speaker 5>saying that the implementation of the One Big Beautiful Bill

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<v Speaker 5>Act led to the recognition of a valuation allowance against

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<v Speaker 5>our US federal deferred tax assets reflecting the impact of

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<v Speaker 5>the US Corporate Alternative Minimum Tax. The result of one

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<v Speaker 5>time non cash income tax charge of fifteen point nine

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<v Speaker 5>three billion dollars, shares Caroll down seven point eight percent. Ivan,

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<v Speaker 5>You've had some time to dig into this a little

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<v Speaker 5>bit on the meta platform side. What's going on here?

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<v Speaker 7>Well?

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<v Speaker 6>All right, so the Big Beautiful Bill caused the recognition

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<v Speaker 6>of a deferred access set. It's actually a non cast charge.

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<v Speaker 6>And there while it caused a spike in their tax

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<v Speaker 6>rates eighty seven percent for the quarter, it actually goes

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<v Speaker 6>down significantly going forward. I think this is really a

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<v Speaker 6>non event. It's an accounting issue, and I think any

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<v Speaker 6>weakness is a buying opportunity in the STOP because there's

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<v Speaker 6>so many positive long term trends that will continue to

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<v Speaker 6>drive the STOP higher.

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<v Speaker 5>But is that why the stock is down right now

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<v Speaker 5>because of this one time charge affecting the bottom line?

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<v Speaker 5>Is that is that the concern? Or is it what

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<v Speaker 5>Carol brought up? The idea of cap X going up

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<v Speaker 5>next year and to spend.

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<v Speaker 6>Well now we have seen investors make a mistake consistently

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<v Speaker 6>in selling Meta Meta platforms. On capital investment increases, they

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<v Speaker 6>continue to invest in driving their AI capabilities, which drives

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<v Speaker 6>increased user engagement, it drives increase return on AD spend investment.

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<v Speaker 6>So I like when they continue to invest, and we've

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<v Speaker 6>seen this multiple times. If you listen to what Mark

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<v Speaker 6>brig does every time he invests, from the beginning from

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<v Speaker 6>changing the company from Facebook to Meta, and when he

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<v Speaker 6>was investing in mobile, the stock sold off. Now most

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<v Speaker 6>of the people engaging in Facebook and Instagram do it

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<v Speaker 6>on their phone, so you have to listen to him,

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<v Speaker 6>and he says what he does, and he does what

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<v Speaker 6>he says, and he continues to create value. So on

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<v Speaker 6>any weakness over the increasing capex. And again this is

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<v Speaker 6>positive because there's been a fear that we're going to

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<v Speaker 6>see this AI bubble burst, that companies are not going

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<v Speaker 6>to continue to invest. We've seen all three companies reporting today, Alphabet,

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<v Speaker 6>Microsoft and Meta all increasing capital investment in AI development.

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<v Speaker 6>And that's positive for the companies, those three companies, and

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<v Speaker 6>it's positive for the bullish AI investment theme.

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<v Speaker 3>You know this fifteen percent corporate alternative minimum tax. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 3>I'm googling some stuff here, folks, because I want to

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<v Speaker 3>understand stand it.

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<v Speaker 2>It came out of the.

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<v Speaker 3>Inflyflation Reduction Act of twenty twenty two, and it generally applies,

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<v Speaker 3>I think to corporations with our regenually just financial statement

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<v Speaker 3>income exceeding a billion dollars every three consecutive years.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, we're all going to be learning a little bit

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<v Speaker 2>more about this. But tim you keep bringing up like

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<v Speaker 2>why why aren't we seeing this with maybe some of

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<v Speaker 2>the other ones?

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, why is metaplat? Why are we only talking about

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<v Speaker 5>this with regard to meta platforms?

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<v Speaker 6>They may be one of the ones that has the

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<v Speaker 6>largest deferred tax asset and that has really to do

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<v Speaker 6>with timing and expensing of things like R and D

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<v Speaker 6>as an example.

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<v Speaker 3>So, you know, we're talking about a lot of things,

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<v Speaker 3>and I mean we want to get you know, your

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<v Speaker 3>view on some of the other companies that have reported

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<v Speaker 3>Anna Rag. We do want to ask you, though, what

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<v Speaker 3>are you thinking that you want to You're going to

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<v Speaker 3>be looking for on a call going back to Microsoft,

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<v Speaker 3>if you will, As we continue to see that one

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<v Speaker 3>trading lower here in the aftermarket. Let me just pull

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<v Speaker 3>it up on my Bloomberg because we have seen some

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<v Speaker 3>pressure here the stock continuing. It's down still about three

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<v Speaker 3>point four percent, is it? What do you want to hear.

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<v Speaker 2>From this company?

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<v Speaker 4>I think.

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<v Speaker 2>Let me let me get Anaog first, forgive me Ivan, okay.

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<v Speaker 4>All right, So the biggest thing for us, who's going

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<v Speaker 4>to be you know, what's the back half the capic spending?

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<v Speaker 4>The CAPEX and the first sport was very high, thirty

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<v Speaker 4>five billion compared to thirty which they guided to. We

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<v Speaker 4>want to know what is it going to be in

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<v Speaker 4>the back half of the year. Are they going to

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<v Speaker 4>slow down dramatically or is it going to keep pace?

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<v Speaker 4>It where we are right now?

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<v Speaker 3>All right, Anaag, we know you've got research to right

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<v Speaker 3>We're going to let you go and look forward to

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<v Speaker 3>reading that.

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<v Speaker 2>Ivan, we want to stay with you for a little bit.

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<v Speaker 3>We are talking with Ivan find Seth, research director and

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<v Speaker 3>chief investment officer with Tiger's financial Partners on a ug

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<v Speaker 3>run of course, our senior tech analyst here at Bloomberg Intelligence.

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<v Speaker 3>I'ven other companies that reported Meta obviously caught our attention.

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<v Speaker 3>We just talked with Microsoft, are talked about Microsoft at

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<v Speaker 3>the anarog. What's your take on what we got from them,

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<v Speaker 3>because that stucks down about three percent here in the aftermarket.

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<v Speaker 6>Well, right now we're in an environment of you know,

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<v Speaker 6>people who have been buying these stocks have headed results.

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<v Speaker 6>They sell into the results. But I say, I'll say

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<v Speaker 6>that this AI investment theme is powerful and the companies

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<v Speaker 6>leading it are Meta uh, Google and Microsoft, and you

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<v Speaker 6>got to buy on any weakness. I want to hear

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<v Speaker 6>from Microsoft about increase AI driven uh application and engagement

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<v Speaker 6>and subscription increases, how users are buying and implementing and

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<v Speaker 6>using copilot. Of course, you want to see growth in

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<v Speaker 6>all key categories like cloud Azure.

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<v Speaker 2>I mean Azure was up thirty nine. That's pretty good, right.

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<v Speaker 6>Phenomenal, and that's their big growth engine and they have

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<v Speaker 6>been announcing huge contracts so as Google. Unfortunately Amazon had

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<v Speaker 6>that outage was it was uh disappointing, but didn't really

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<v Speaker 6>set back the stock. But these are the growth drivers

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<v Speaker 6>that the cloud hosted AI platforms.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, I was, I was uh surprised to see hmas

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<v Speaker 5>on stock actually higher that day, I know, but I

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<v Speaker 5>think also speaks to the power of Amazon and like

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<v Speaker 5>you got in a good understanding of how much it has.

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<v Speaker 5>Remember the company is investigating outages. This is Microsoft is

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<v Speaker 5>investigating out of office and game applications today also, so

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<v Speaker 5>this kind of goes both ways. I've ben on Microsoft

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<v Speaker 5>one more and then we're going to get back to

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<v Speaker 5>some more meta platforms I think. But a small one

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<v Speaker 5>point two percent beat on adjusted diluted EPs on Microsoft

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<v Speaker 5>for my You know, everybody the company does not give

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<v Speaker 5>guidance in this statement. It does that on the conference call.

0:11:35.200 --> 0:11:38.000
<v Speaker 5>It's doing that on the conference call. Is it like

0:11:38.280 --> 0:11:42.480
<v Speaker 5>worth even talking about it without even having it? Oftentimes

0:11:42.480 --> 0:11:44.680
<v Speaker 5>we wait for the call to get more information, but

0:11:44.760 --> 0:11:47.120
<v Speaker 5>in this case, like forward guidance coming from the call,

0:11:47.840 --> 0:11:48.839
<v Speaker 5>it's kind of a moot point.

0:11:50.360 --> 0:11:54.400
<v Speaker 6>Well, the disconnect and the dichotomy that exists between companies

0:11:54.400 --> 0:11:57.000
<v Speaker 6>and Wall Street is that companies planned for one, three

0:11:57.040 --> 0:11:59.880
<v Speaker 6>and five years and Wall Street wants to measure everything

0:12:00.000 --> 0:12:04.599
<v Speaker 6>on a quarterly basis. I mean, the guidance it's somewhat important,

0:12:04.920 --> 0:12:08.920
<v Speaker 6>but you wanted to see consistent growth driven by their

0:12:08.960 --> 0:12:13.000
<v Speaker 6>investments in technology, the adoption and use of their technology

0:12:13.120 --> 0:12:16.840
<v Speaker 6>that creates their competitive advantage, and those are the key

0:12:16.880 --> 0:12:20.520
<v Speaker 6>things to look at. And we are in the first

0:12:20.600 --> 0:12:26.160
<v Speaker 6>inning of the World Series of AI driven economic global

0:12:26.280 --> 0:12:29.880
<v Speaker 6>economic growth, and this trend is going to continue, and

0:12:29.920 --> 0:12:31.640
<v Speaker 6>it's going to be powerful, and it's going to be

0:12:31.679 --> 0:12:34.760
<v Speaker 6>game changing. And I think that AI is going to

0:12:34.880 --> 0:12:39.119
<v Speaker 6>enhance and create many more jobs than it will eliminate.

0:12:39.760 --> 0:12:42.080
<v Speaker 3>Going back to the costing though, for Meta, you know,

0:12:44.559 --> 0:12:50.120
<v Speaker 3>I'm just that operating margin for the third quarter down

0:12:50.160 --> 0:12:54.839
<v Speaker 3>from forty three percent last year. Is that worrisome or

0:12:54.920 --> 0:12:55.880
<v Speaker 3>you think manageable?

0:12:56.040 --> 0:12:56.920
<v Speaker 2>Not really, okay.

0:12:57.480 --> 0:13:00.679
<v Speaker 6>We've looked at companies that have had huge growth to

0:13:00.800 --> 0:13:04.640
<v Speaker 6>directories while their margins we're contracting. In fact, Amazon doesn't

0:13:04.679 --> 0:13:07.280
<v Speaker 6>focus on margin. They focus on revenue growth. They don't

0:13:07.320 --> 0:13:09.480
<v Speaker 6>focus on return on capital actually, which is one of

0:13:09.520 --> 0:13:11.840
<v Speaker 6>the key things we focus on. But they do drive

0:13:11.960 --> 0:13:15.840
<v Speaker 6>a huge return. So you know, there are times where

0:13:15.840 --> 0:13:19.559
<v Speaker 6>your growth margin can contract, but your economic margin can increase.

0:13:19.600 --> 0:13:22.840
<v Speaker 6>And that is the economic margin is the difference between

0:13:22.840 --> 0:13:25.240
<v Speaker 6>return on capital and cost of capital. That is the

0:13:25.240 --> 0:13:29.600
<v Speaker 6>most powerful driver of shareholder value creation. So it's not

0:13:29.640 --> 0:13:35.040
<v Speaker 6>so much important by what happens with gross margin. It's

0:13:35.080 --> 0:13:38.600
<v Speaker 6>in fact, I've seen many companies drive huge growth by

0:13:38.679 --> 0:13:42.800
<v Speaker 6>lowering their growth margin because you're just becoming more competitive

0:13:42.920 --> 0:13:45.319
<v Speaker 6>and they're actually making it up on return on capital.

0:13:45.360 --> 0:13:47.240
<v Speaker 5>Okay, we're going to talk about alphabet with you in

0:13:47.360 --> 0:13:49.319
<v Speaker 5>just a minute, Carol, reminding me that shares are surging

0:13:49.360 --> 0:13:52.440
<v Speaker 5>higher in the after hours six percent. Okay, one more

0:13:52.480 --> 0:13:54.520
<v Speaker 5>on meta platforms down eight point four percent in the

0:13:54.559 --> 0:13:59.160
<v Speaker 5>after hours. Reality Labs losses for the third quarter four

0:13:59.200 --> 0:14:02.840
<v Speaker 5>point four billion. It's about the same as one year prior. Obviously,

0:14:02.840 --> 0:14:07.160
<v Speaker 5>it's a huge investment area for meta platforms. In the

0:14:07.200 --> 0:14:10.200
<v Speaker 5>press release, Mark Zuckerberg specifically calling out the success of

0:14:10.200 --> 0:14:12.960
<v Speaker 5>the eyewear and saying, essentially, I don't have it in

0:14:12.960 --> 0:14:15.959
<v Speaker 5>front of me. To be essentially said, if we think

0:14:16.000 --> 0:14:18.200
<v Speaker 5>the future is going to be what it is, this

0:14:18.280 --> 0:14:20.320
<v Speaker 5>is going to be the most exciting moment for meta

0:14:20.360 --> 0:14:23.000
<v Speaker 5>platforms ahead of us. These will be the most exciting

0:14:23.040 --> 0:14:25.840
<v Speaker 5>years for meta platforms. What is the opportunity that meta

0:14:25.880 --> 0:14:27.600
<v Speaker 5>platforms has when it comes to eyewear.

0:14:28.960 --> 0:14:33.440
<v Speaker 6>This is going to be a tremendous communication and interactive

0:14:33.520 --> 0:14:36.360
<v Speaker 6>platform and it's only going to get better in a

0:14:36.400 --> 0:14:39.160
<v Speaker 6>few years. We're going to look back on these original glasses,

0:14:39.200 --> 0:14:41.200
<v Speaker 6>the ones that they've launched from ray Band, the recent

0:14:41.240 --> 0:14:45.960
<v Speaker 6>ones from Oakleigh, and the functionality in a few years

0:14:45.960 --> 0:14:48.520
<v Speaker 6>from now is just going to be more and more incredible.

0:14:48.960 --> 0:14:53.160
<v Speaker 6>But this ability to engage with real time information, to

0:14:53.280 --> 0:14:56.880
<v Speaker 6>share pictures and images and videos in real time with

0:14:56.960 --> 0:14:59.480
<v Speaker 6>other people that you're talking to. And while I'm up,

0:14:59.560 --> 0:15:04.600
<v Speaker 6>Mark believes that the glasses are going to replace your smartphone.

0:15:04.680 --> 0:15:06.800
<v Speaker 6>You're just going to keep your smartphone in your pocket

0:15:07.200 --> 0:15:10.600
<v Speaker 6>and you're going to interact with data and information and

0:15:10.640 --> 0:15:14.480
<v Speaker 6>people who you're communicating with these glasses. And eventually we're

0:15:14.480 --> 0:15:18.400
<v Speaker 6>going to see ones. Meta just launched ones with displays.

0:15:18.440 --> 0:15:21.280
<v Speaker 6>It's going to be all about having displays embedded in

0:15:21.720 --> 0:15:24.000
<v Speaker 6>the lens so you don't even have to touch your phone.

0:15:24.280 --> 0:15:26.360
<v Speaker 6>So this is going to be a huge growth oup

0:15:26.400 --> 0:15:28.440
<v Speaker 6>and this is going to be what the cell phone

0:15:28.600 --> 0:15:29.760
<v Speaker 6>was in the mid nineties.

0:15:29.920 --> 0:15:32.040
<v Speaker 2>No rose colored glasses.

0:15:32.080 --> 0:15:34.160
<v Speaker 3>Though right now, because Medicinae is now down near their

0:15:34.240 --> 0:15:36.720
<v Speaker 3>loads in the aftermarket, down about nine percent, I'm going

0:15:36.800 --> 0:15:37.560
<v Speaker 3>to remember that.

0:15:37.760 --> 0:15:40.280
<v Speaker 5>Ivan said this is going to be what cell phones

0:15:40.320 --> 0:15:41.960
<v Speaker 5>were in the nineties. And by the way, he's not

0:15:42.000 --> 0:15:43.520
<v Speaker 5>wearing any metaglasses right now.

0:15:43.520 --> 0:15:46.160
<v Speaker 3>Well, and I will say our markerment really really likes

0:15:46.200 --> 0:15:48.920
<v Speaker 3>him as well. Hey, we do have to ask you

0:15:48.960 --> 0:15:51.520
<v Speaker 3>about alphabet because we are seeing this one actually up

0:15:51.560 --> 0:15:53.880
<v Speaker 3>about six percent here in the aftermarket.

0:15:54.680 --> 0:15:56.960
<v Speaker 2>What do you like? What's of note do you think

0:15:57.360 --> 0:15:58.440
<v Speaker 2>in their release.

0:15:59.320 --> 0:16:03.480
<v Speaker 6>Cloud growth, big cloud contract wins that they've had over

0:16:03.520 --> 0:16:08.600
<v Speaker 6>the past few months with with Meta, with Open Ai,

0:16:08.840 --> 0:16:15.960
<v Speaker 6>with other companies this you know that Meta, Amazon and Microsoft.

0:16:16.000 --> 0:16:21.040
<v Speaker 6>I'm sorry, Alphabet, Amazon and Microsoft are building the AI

0:16:21.320 --> 0:16:25.880
<v Speaker 6>and cloud infrastructure that everybody is connecting to and going

0:16:25.920 --> 0:16:29.720
<v Speaker 6>to continue and increasingly coming are going to be connected

0:16:29.760 --> 0:16:35.240
<v Speaker 6>cars as we move through to full autonomy, so we

0:16:35.280 --> 0:16:38.560
<v Speaker 6>are going to need high speed, real time, constant connectivity

0:16:38.880 --> 0:16:42.680
<v Speaker 6>to the cloud, and those are huge opportunities for the

0:16:42.720 --> 0:16:48.520
<v Speaker 6>three major public cloud service providers Alphabet, Google and Microsoft.

0:16:48.560 --> 0:16:49.480
<v Speaker 2>Well, and they're spending big.

0:16:49.640 --> 0:16:52.280
<v Speaker 3>They're now seeing fiscally your capax ninety one and ninety

0:16:52.280 --> 0:16:55.240
<v Speaker 3>three billion. They had seen about eighty five billion dollars.

0:16:55.240 --> 0:16:57.400
<v Speaker 5>So, hey, you got to spend money to make money, Carol,

0:16:57.680 --> 0:16:59.040
<v Speaker 5>You got to spend money to make money.

0:16:59.400 --> 0:17:02.640
<v Speaker 3>They say, it's wild, right, like the number they also

0:17:02.720 --> 0:17:05.200
<v Speaker 3>Gemini their app now has over six hundred and fifty

0:17:05.240 --> 0:17:06.840
<v Speaker 3>monthly active users.

0:17:06.960 --> 0:17:08.399
<v Speaker 5>Siry fifty million, six.

0:17:08.320 --> 0:17:11.240
<v Speaker 2>Hundred and fifty million. Yeah, didn't I say that? It's

0:17:11.280 --> 0:17:11.680
<v Speaker 2>a lot.

0:17:12.600 --> 0:17:15.400
<v Speaker 3>How do we how do we know that this AI thing,

0:17:17.680 --> 0:17:19.879
<v Speaker 3>How do we know that all this spend is going

0:17:19.920 --> 0:17:20.480
<v Speaker 3>to pay off?

0:17:21.040 --> 0:17:24.480
<v Speaker 2>Ivan, are we still a little exuberant?

0:17:25.320 --> 0:17:27.840
<v Speaker 6>Well, because the functionality we see today is going to

0:17:27.880 --> 0:17:30.760
<v Speaker 6>be blown away by the functionality in the future. More

0:17:30.760 --> 0:17:34.120
<v Speaker 6>and more people are going to rely on this technology

0:17:34.200 --> 0:17:37.440
<v Speaker 6>for all different aspects. And I do give credit to

0:17:37.440 --> 0:17:41.680
<v Speaker 6>Tom Siebel, the founder of Seble Systems and C three AI,

0:17:41.800 --> 0:17:45.080
<v Speaker 6>that I believe he said it that every company is

0:17:45.119 --> 0:17:48.480
<v Speaker 6>going to be an AI company. Every company is to

0:17:48.640 --> 0:17:52.160
<v Speaker 6>use AI on all aspects of their business, whether it's

0:17:52.200 --> 0:17:56.879
<v Speaker 6>to manage supply chain, manage pricing, target marketing. That the

0:17:56.880 --> 0:17:59.679
<v Speaker 6>functionality is going to increase and people are going to,

0:18:00.200 --> 0:18:03.119
<v Speaker 6>like you said when Carol, when you wanted to understand

0:18:03.119 --> 0:18:08.080
<v Speaker 6>more about metas a tax charge, you googled it and

0:18:08.359 --> 0:18:10.960
<v Speaker 6>we're going to get more information. I did also, I

0:18:11.359 --> 0:18:13.639
<v Speaker 6>like perplexity. I looked up it, looked it up in

0:18:13.720 --> 0:18:17.200
<v Speaker 6>Perplexity and kind of and I did understand what they said,

0:18:17.200 --> 0:18:18.840
<v Speaker 6>but it gave me a little more detail.

0:18:19.520 --> 0:18:25.119
<v Speaker 2>And uh right, it's right, yeah, is it right?

0:18:25.240 --> 0:18:25.639
<v Speaker 6>Do I know what.

0:18:27.240 --> 0:18:27.479
<v Speaker 8>Is right?

0:18:28.640 --> 0:18:32.200
<v Speaker 6>Yes? Well, because I do understand that the tax that

0:18:32.359 --> 0:18:35.880
<v Speaker 6>it's really the timing and charge, and of managing your

0:18:35.920 --> 0:18:39.080
<v Speaker 6>tax payment and your tax liability that you tend to

0:18:39.119 --> 0:18:43.160
<v Speaker 6>offset through capital investment, through R and D and other

0:18:43.240 --> 0:18:46.200
<v Speaker 6>types of things that happen. So it's really timing issues

0:18:46.600 --> 0:18:49.640
<v Speaker 6>on how you're a crude tax liability or your crude

0:18:49.680 --> 0:18:53.919
<v Speaker 6>tax asset falls versus the taxes you will eventually have

0:18:54.040 --> 0:18:56.440
<v Speaker 6>do or the tax credit you will eventually aren't.

0:18:56.520 --> 0:18:57.760
<v Speaker 2>I just want to know is this soa?

0:18:57.960 --> 0:19:00.400
<v Speaker 3>Is this really Ivan? Finds it, Seth? I just want

0:19:00.440 --> 0:19:05.360
<v Speaker 3>to make sure it is really me Listen, perfect guest

0:19:05.440 --> 0:19:08.040
<v Speaker 3>to talk about all of this so much coming at us, Ivan,

0:19:08.200 --> 0:19:09.959
<v Speaker 3>Thank you so much, really appreciate it.

0:19:10.280 --> 0:19:10.879
<v Speaker 2>I've in fine.

0:19:10.920 --> 0:19:14.520
<v Speaker 3>Seth, Research director, chief investment officer of A Tiger's Financial Partners,

0:19:14.520 --> 0:19:17.639
<v Speaker 3>over five hundred million in assets under management as of

0:19:17.680 --> 0:19:18.720
<v Speaker 3>the middle of this year.

0:19:19.000 --> 0:19:20.520
<v Speaker 2>Joining us right here in New York City.

0:19:21.800 --> 0:19:24.560
<v Speaker 5>Stay with us more from Bloomberg Business Week Daily coming

0:19:24.680 --> 0:19:25.600
<v Speaker 5>up after this.

0:19:29.640 --> 0:19:33.480
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week Daily Podcast. Catch

0:19:33.560 --> 0:19:36.240
<v Speaker 1>us live weekday afternoons from two to five eas during

0:19:36.440 --> 0:19:39.679
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0:19:39.720 --> 0:19:43.119
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0:19:43.480 --> 0:19:46.040
<v Speaker 5>Okay, once again, got to bring in what's going on

0:19:46.160 --> 0:19:51.120
<v Speaker 5>with these companies? Microsoft sliding after reporting that modest EPs beat.

0:19:51.160 --> 0:19:53.600
<v Speaker 5>We're waiting for Microsoft's call to get forward guidance, so

0:19:53.640 --> 0:19:55.600
<v Speaker 5>that's important to keep in mind. A small one point

0:19:55.640 --> 0:19:59.520
<v Speaker 5>two percent beat on adjusted diluted EPs, Alphabet soaring as

0:19:59.560 --> 0:20:04.480
<v Speaker 5>AI cloud demand, supercharges earnings, and then meta platforms. Looking

0:20:04.520 --> 0:20:07.960
<v Speaker 5>at our live blog on meta earnings again, waiting for

0:20:08.000 --> 0:20:10.320
<v Speaker 5>the call to start, sheares a meta platform still down

0:20:10.320 --> 0:20:12.000
<v Speaker 5>about seven and a half percent. We're going to talk

0:20:12.000 --> 0:20:13.840
<v Speaker 5>to Kurt Wagner in just a few minutes and really

0:20:13.840 --> 0:20:17.760
<v Speaker 5>get the details on this one time charge close to

0:20:17.800 --> 0:20:20.600
<v Speaker 5>sixteen billion dollars because still got to get to the bottom.

0:20:20.320 --> 0:20:20.879
<v Speaker 1>Of the well.

0:20:20.920 --> 0:20:22.679
<v Speaker 3>And I can't ignore and you pointed this out this

0:20:22.840 --> 0:20:25.560
<v Speaker 3>you know, expecting total expenses to significant increase in twenty

0:20:25.600 --> 0:20:29.399
<v Speaker 3>twenty six, continuing to invest at historic levels in AI,

0:20:29.560 --> 0:20:30.600
<v Speaker 3>so the spend is on.

0:20:30.760 --> 0:20:32.240
<v Speaker 2>Let's see what Brooke May has to say.

0:20:32.280 --> 0:20:34.800
<v Speaker 3>She's a managing partner at the independent wealth management and

0:20:34.840 --> 0:20:38.000
<v Speaker 3>advisory firm Evans May Wealth. They have one and a

0:20:38.040 --> 0:20:41.359
<v Speaker 3>half billion dollars in assets under manager. She is with

0:20:41.480 --> 0:20:45.280
<v Speaker 3>us from Carmel, Indiana. Brook, nice to have you hear

0:20:45.400 --> 0:20:48.720
<v Speaker 3>a lot of earnings. What jumps out especially among what

0:20:48.800 --> 0:20:50.919
<v Speaker 3>We've got three of the MAGS seven out with.

0:20:52.600 --> 0:20:55.199
<v Speaker 2>With the reports, So let me try that again. What

0:20:55.359 --> 0:20:56.000
<v Speaker 2>jumps out at you?

0:20:57.480 --> 0:21:00.840
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, you know it's mixed you really right now, with

0:21:00.880 --> 0:21:03.320
<v Speaker 7>the street wants to see as that firms are able

0:21:03.359 --> 0:21:06.600
<v Speaker 7>to spend on AI and monetize it, so those who

0:21:06.640 --> 0:21:09.520
<v Speaker 7>can are going to be rewarded. When we look at

0:21:10.200 --> 0:21:13.399
<v Speaker 7>the mag seven earnings expectation, earnings are expected to be

0:21:13.480 --> 0:21:16.359
<v Speaker 7>up about fifteen percent this quarter, and as we saw,

0:21:16.560 --> 0:21:19.920
<v Speaker 7>Tesla had disappointing earnings last week, and so we really

0:21:19.960 --> 0:21:23.400
<v Speaker 7>want to see decent earnings growth from the other six names.

0:21:23.560 --> 0:21:26.520
<v Speaker 7>We've got three reporting today, We've got Apple and Amazon

0:21:26.600 --> 0:21:30.199
<v Speaker 7>reporting tomorrow. And not only is it earnings growth, but

0:21:30.280 --> 0:21:34.240
<v Speaker 7>it's what are they spending to improve the business, how

0:21:34.240 --> 0:21:36.119
<v Speaker 7>are they investing in AI? And then how are they

0:21:36.119 --> 0:21:37.080
<v Speaker 7>going to monetize it?

0:21:37.280 --> 0:21:39.440
<v Speaker 2>So are these decent earnings in your view?

0:21:39.480 --> 0:21:43.040
<v Speaker 3>From Meta, Microsoft and Alphabet because the only one that's

0:21:43.080 --> 0:21:46.720
<v Speaker 3>really moving up in the aftermarket is Alphabet. So, as

0:21:46.720 --> 0:21:48.639
<v Speaker 3>you said, we want to see decent earnings. So we

0:21:48.760 --> 0:21:52.520
<v Speaker 3>got three of the big mag seven that reported, are

0:21:52.560 --> 0:21:55.879
<v Speaker 3>they decent earnings? Because right now got Meta dropping in

0:21:55.960 --> 0:21:59.560
<v Speaker 3>the aftermarket, and you also have Microsoft under pressure here

0:21:59.560 --> 0:22:01.119
<v Speaker 3>in the after market.

0:22:01.800 --> 0:22:04.080
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, Alphabet is the horse that I would put my

0:22:04.080 --> 0:22:07.159
<v Speaker 7>money on right now. You know, they've blown their earnings

0:22:07.200 --> 0:22:09.520
<v Speaker 7>out of the water. You know, not only did they

0:22:09.560 --> 0:22:12.520
<v Speaker 7>have good earnings growth, but you know, the cloud growth

0:22:12.640 --> 0:22:16.479
<v Speaker 7>was very strong. You know, search is strong. You know,

0:22:16.640 --> 0:22:18.480
<v Speaker 7>the street wants to see that Jim and I can

0:22:18.560 --> 0:22:21.719
<v Speaker 7>compete with not just Chat GBT, but other social media

0:22:21.920 --> 0:22:25.320
<v Speaker 7>search engines, and you know we're seeing that. In addition

0:22:25.400 --> 0:22:29.359
<v Speaker 7>to they want to see that AI driven ad performance

0:22:29.440 --> 0:22:32.720
<v Speaker 7>is improving. Plus YouTube you know what does what does

0:22:32.760 --> 0:22:35.080
<v Speaker 7>the ad revenue look like? There? So there's a lot

0:22:35.119 --> 0:22:37.879
<v Speaker 7>going on with each of these companies, but right now

0:22:37.960 --> 0:22:40.560
<v Speaker 7>Alphabet is the one who's really knocked the ball, or

0:22:40.640 --> 0:22:41.600
<v Speaker 7>knock the cover off the ball.

0:22:41.760 --> 0:22:44.240
<v Speaker 5>But is that just is that? Is that just quarterly

0:22:44.440 --> 0:22:48.159
<v Speaker 5>or you know we we just spoke to Ivan Findeseth

0:22:48.280 --> 0:22:51.119
<v Speaker 5>and on rog Rana and I think it was on

0:22:51.200 --> 0:22:52.879
<v Speaker 5>a rog who made the comment about these companies are

0:22:52.920 --> 0:22:54.880
<v Speaker 5>planning for the next three to five years and Wall

0:22:54.880 --> 0:22:56.879
<v Speaker 5>Street is looking looking at the next one to two

0:22:56.960 --> 0:22:57.880
<v Speaker 5>quarters exactly.

0:22:57.880 --> 0:23:01.000
<v Speaker 3>I think Angelo Zeno Angela He said it's not really

0:23:01.040 --> 0:23:03.800
<v Speaker 3>so important this quarter, he said, you know, expect to

0:23:03.920 --> 0:23:07.280
<v Speaker 3>double their revenue, like you know over I forget the timeframe,

0:23:07.320 --> 0:23:10.040
<v Speaker 3>but that's the longer term for Microsoft in particular.

0:23:10.160 --> 0:23:12.359
<v Speaker 5>So Brook is your is your comment just about this quarter?

0:23:12.520 --> 0:23:14.679
<v Speaker 5>Is it about the long run? With Alphabet being the

0:23:14.720 --> 0:23:15.359
<v Speaker 5>horse to pick?

0:23:17.359 --> 0:23:17.800
<v Speaker 2>I think it.

0:23:17.800 --> 0:23:20.120
<v Speaker 7>Varies quarter by quarter. You know, when we look last

0:23:20.200 --> 0:23:23.239
<v Speaker 7>quarter the Max seven, they were expected to grow their

0:23:23.280 --> 0:23:26.359
<v Speaker 7>earning similar to this quarter around fourteen percent, and artist

0:23:26.400 --> 0:23:29.280
<v Speaker 7>growth is actually over twenty six percent. So it's going

0:23:29.320 --> 0:23:32.679
<v Speaker 7>to be very quarter by quarter. These companies, you know,

0:23:32.760 --> 0:23:37.280
<v Speaker 7>are evolving and the platform, the AI space is evolving

0:23:37.359 --> 0:23:40.239
<v Speaker 7>very quickly, and some are figuring out. Some have been

0:23:40.320 --> 0:23:44.400
<v Speaker 7>late to invest in AI and now we're playing catchup. Alphabet, though,

0:23:44.480 --> 0:23:46.720
<v Speaker 7>is one that we feel like really is a front

0:23:46.800 --> 0:23:49.719
<v Speaker 7>runner in addition to Nvidia right now. If I had

0:23:49.760 --> 0:23:51.920
<v Speaker 7>to pick two of the seven, that's where I would

0:23:51.920 --> 0:23:52.520
<v Speaker 7>put my money.

0:23:54.040 --> 0:23:56.680
<v Speaker 3>Let's talk Meta just real quickly, and we want to

0:23:56.720 --> 0:24:02.240
<v Speaker 3>bring in Kurt Wagner Bloomberg News Senior Technology Reports.

0:24:02.320 --> 0:24:04.479
<v Speaker 5>You're working I see in these working right now.

0:24:05.040 --> 0:24:05.600
<v Speaker 2>We are too.

0:24:05.640 --> 0:24:07.800
<v Speaker 8>We're trying to have a head z up Yer coming

0:24:07.840 --> 0:24:09.480
<v Speaker 8>to me I'm over here sending emails.

0:24:09.520 --> 0:24:10.240
<v Speaker 2>What's going on?

0:24:10.480 --> 0:24:13.399
<v Speaker 3>Hey, making the sausage in front of everybody, because this

0:24:13.480 --> 0:24:15.160
<v Speaker 3>is what it is. Long get we get a big

0:24:15.240 --> 0:24:17.480
<v Speaker 3>drop of earnings. You can do it no matter what

0:24:18.520 --> 0:24:23.200
<v Speaker 3>MENA do. You can you explain this Meta, MENA.

0:24:22.600 --> 0:24:22.879
<v Speaker 4>I'll do.

0:24:23.200 --> 0:24:23.960
<v Speaker 2>I'll do my best.

0:24:24.000 --> 0:24:26.600
<v Speaker 8>I mean, the numbers weren't bad from a revenue standpoint.

0:24:27.400 --> 0:24:30.600
<v Speaker 8>They beat Q three revenue. The guidance for Q four

0:24:31.080 --> 0:24:33.359
<v Speaker 8>was right in line with what they've all, you know,

0:24:33.440 --> 0:24:36.000
<v Speaker 8>what people were expecting for the holiday quarter, which is

0:24:36.040 --> 0:24:38.439
<v Speaker 8>always the most important. I think the key here is

0:24:38.480 --> 0:24:40.560
<v Speaker 8>that they said that they're spending in twenty twenty six

0:24:40.680 --> 0:24:42.800
<v Speaker 8>is going to be way more. They were already spending,

0:24:43.240 --> 0:24:45.520
<v Speaker 8>you know, between seventy and seventy two billion this year

0:24:45.520 --> 0:24:49.400
<v Speaker 8>in capital expenditures. The spending I think was up, you know,

0:24:49.680 --> 0:24:52.560
<v Speaker 8>more than thirty percent. Now next year they said it's

0:24:52.560 --> 0:24:55.680
<v Speaker 8>going to be meaningfully larger. So if you were sitting here,

0:24:55.800 --> 0:24:58.320
<v Speaker 8>you know, trying to get comfortable with this idea that

0:24:58.359 --> 0:25:01.320
<v Speaker 8>Meta is throwing tens of billions per year, hundreds of

0:25:01.320 --> 0:25:05.520
<v Speaker 8>billions over the next decade on AI, you probably were

0:25:05.560 --> 0:25:07.520
<v Speaker 8>hoping that the Q four numbers were going to be

0:25:07.560 --> 0:25:11.160
<v Speaker 8>a home run, right, not just an inline sort of well,

0:25:11.200 --> 0:25:12.480
<v Speaker 8>we'll do what we said we were going to do.

0:25:12.600 --> 0:25:14.520
<v Speaker 8>You want that to be a lot larger if you're

0:25:14.520 --> 0:25:16.320
<v Speaker 8>going to hear that the spending is going to ramp

0:25:16.400 --> 0:25:18.640
<v Speaker 8>up as dramatically as it will in twenty twenty six.

0:25:18.760 --> 0:25:23.159
<v Speaker 5>So, Kurt, you think the increased projection for expenses or

0:25:23.200 --> 0:25:26.520
<v Speaker 5>the is what's moving the stock lower rather than this

0:25:26.560 --> 0:25:28.440
<v Speaker 5>one time tax charge, which yes, we're going to ask

0:25:28.440 --> 0:25:28.840
<v Speaker 5>you about.

0:25:29.880 --> 0:25:32.320
<v Speaker 8>That'd be that'd be my take because the one time

0:25:32.400 --> 0:25:36.040
<v Speaker 8>tax charge is one time, one time, one time, and

0:25:36.040 --> 0:25:38.320
<v Speaker 8>it's for a quarter that's now over and done with.

0:25:38.480 --> 0:25:41.800
<v Speaker 8>And meta if you, you know, take them at their words,

0:25:41.800 --> 0:25:44.000
<v Speaker 8>says that this big beautiful bill, which is what they

0:25:44.040 --> 0:25:48.040
<v Speaker 8>attributed this one time tax charge too, is actually going

0:25:48.119 --> 0:25:53.040
<v Speaker 8>to be the bill is going to help them tax

0:25:53.080 --> 0:25:55.920
<v Speaker 8>wise long term. So I think if you believe that

0:25:55.960 --> 0:25:58.040
<v Speaker 8>to be the case, there was a one time accounting

0:25:58.119 --> 0:26:01.320
<v Speaker 8>thing in Q three, And to me, the bigger flag

0:26:01.400 --> 0:26:04.320
<v Speaker 8>is that they are, you know, again going to meaningfully

0:26:04.320 --> 0:26:05.240
<v Speaker 8>increase spend here.

0:26:05.359 --> 0:26:07.800
<v Speaker 5>That's really helpful. Look, you wrote the book on Twitter

0:26:07.840 --> 0:26:10.840
<v Speaker 5>before it was called X. You cover social media platforms.

0:26:10.880 --> 0:26:13.080
<v Speaker 5>You are not a tax attorney, but I'm still going

0:26:13.160 --> 0:26:16.760
<v Speaker 5>to ask you this question. Sure, Why why is Meta

0:26:16.760 --> 0:26:20.480
<v Speaker 5>Platforms the only one that's reporting this one time expense

0:26:21.080 --> 0:26:21.880
<v Speaker 5>at least thus far?

0:26:21.960 --> 0:26:23.720
<v Speaker 8>Should I go back to my phone pretend to be

0:26:23.760 --> 0:26:28.480
<v Speaker 8>emailing so I don't know. I don't know. I'm told

0:26:28.480 --> 0:26:30.560
<v Speaker 8>that this is something that actually the other companies are

0:26:30.560 --> 0:26:33.800
<v Speaker 8>dealing with. I was told IBM and Broadcom similarly, who

0:26:33.840 --> 0:26:37.080
<v Speaker 8>have already reported had similar tax things. I presume maybe

0:26:37.080 --> 0:26:40.640
<v Speaker 8>at other companies will as well, so I don't think

0:26:40.640 --> 0:26:43.760
<v Speaker 8>they're the only one. Perhaps it's sort of getting a

0:26:43.760 --> 0:26:46.520
<v Speaker 8>little bit more of a tension than others. It's also

0:26:46.560 --> 0:26:49.800
<v Speaker 8>possible that Meta is choosing. I believe they chose to

0:26:49.840 --> 0:26:53.080
<v Speaker 8>do this giant one time tax thing. It's possible others, maybe,

0:26:53.280 --> 0:26:55.560
<v Speaker 8>the implication being that maybe they could spread this out.

0:26:55.560 --> 0:26:57.480
<v Speaker 8>You're right, I'm not a tax expert, so I'm sort

0:26:57.520 --> 0:27:01.120
<v Speaker 8>of offering a little bit of you know, guesswork.

0:27:01.200 --> 0:27:02.200
<v Speaker 5>It's helpful, though, but.

0:27:03.040 --> 0:27:04.840
<v Speaker 8>I do I don't think they're the only ones number

0:27:04.840 --> 0:27:07.120
<v Speaker 8>one and number two. It's possible other companies are handling

0:27:07.160 --> 0:27:09.080
<v Speaker 8>it in a slightly different way that That's what I

0:27:09.119 --> 0:27:12.080
<v Speaker 8>will leave you with. I can't say for certain you

0:27:12.119 --> 0:27:13.480
<v Speaker 8>know that, don't ask any follow ups.

0:27:13.480 --> 0:27:14.919
<v Speaker 2>That's why IM going to say, right, maybe they thought.

0:27:14.760 --> 0:27:16.480
<v Speaker 3>It was going to be a distraction from that they're

0:27:16.520 --> 0:27:18.800
<v Speaker 3>spending more money. I don't know, but it's like really

0:27:18.840 --> 0:27:21.119
<v Speaker 3>got me scratching my head, Kurt, do not go anywhere.

0:27:21.160 --> 0:27:21.879
<v Speaker 2>We're going to come back to you.

0:27:21.880 --> 0:27:23.760
<v Speaker 5>In just emails. We're coming back to you.

0:27:24.320 --> 0:27:26.840
<v Speaker 3>Can okay, you come back in just a second. Hey,

0:27:26.840 --> 0:27:29.520
<v Speaker 3>we want to go back to Brook May, managing partner

0:27:29.520 --> 0:27:32.920
<v Speaker 3>at the Independent Wealth Management Advisory from Evans Maywealth. So, Brooke,

0:27:32.960 --> 0:27:35.520
<v Speaker 3>is there an investment play off of what we got

0:27:35.640 --> 0:27:38.200
<v Speaker 3>from Meta, Microsoft and Alphabet today?

0:27:38.200 --> 0:27:38.520
<v Speaker 7>For you?

0:27:38.520 --> 0:27:40.760
<v Speaker 3>You mentioned I think that Alphabet was the name you like,

0:27:40.840 --> 0:27:43.359
<v Speaker 3>are you selling Meta? Are you selling Microsoft?

0:27:43.400 --> 0:27:43.680
<v Speaker 2>On this?

0:27:45.400 --> 0:27:47.600
<v Speaker 7>Microsoft is one I think we're going to have to reassess.

0:27:47.800 --> 0:27:50.879
<v Speaker 7>When we look at Microsoft. You know, they're not cheap.

0:27:51.119 --> 0:27:54.560
<v Speaker 7>They're trading it thirty four times forward earnings and when

0:27:54.600 --> 0:27:57.040
<v Speaker 7>you compare that to their growth right, it's almost a

0:27:57.920 --> 0:28:01.160
<v Speaker 7>three where you know there their pe is about three

0:28:01.160 --> 0:28:03.879
<v Speaker 7>times their growth rate and to us, that's expensive. You know,

0:28:03.920 --> 0:28:06.440
<v Speaker 7>we do want to continue to see momentum in their

0:28:06.440 --> 0:28:09.480
<v Speaker 7>cloud business and we expect that revenue to continue to

0:28:09.480 --> 0:28:12.800
<v Speaker 7>be double digits. But you know, Azure, for example, is

0:28:12.840 --> 0:28:15.800
<v Speaker 7>having a hard time keeping up with demand. The stock

0:28:15.920 --> 0:28:19.080
<v Speaker 7>was only at four percent since the last earnings announcement,

0:28:19.160 --> 0:28:21.199
<v Speaker 7>and it sounds like, you know, they might have wiped

0:28:21.520 --> 0:28:24.760
<v Speaker 7>all of that out today. And so you know, we

0:28:24.800 --> 0:28:27.480
<v Speaker 7>need a catalyst, and I don't necessarily see the catalyst

0:28:27.520 --> 0:28:30.359
<v Speaker 7>in the near term for Microsoft to move meaningfully higher.

0:28:30.480 --> 0:28:32.639
<v Speaker 3>And I should point out that shares and Microsoft have

0:28:32.720 --> 0:28:35.320
<v Speaker 3>come off their lows in the aftermarket, still down, but

0:28:35.400 --> 0:28:37.879
<v Speaker 3>just down about one point three percent, so not as

0:28:37.960 --> 0:28:41.640
<v Speaker 3>negative as we saw earlier. Heybrook, thanks so much for

0:28:41.680 --> 0:28:43.840
<v Speaker 3>breaking all this down with s Brook May, managing partner

0:28:43.840 --> 0:28:46.480
<v Speaker 3>at Devans Maywelth joining us from Indiana.

0:28:46.640 --> 0:28:49.560
<v Speaker 5>I want to bring back in Kurt Wagner. He's Bloomberg

0:28:49.640 --> 0:28:53.560
<v Speaker 5>News senior technology reporter. He joins us from Denver, and Kirk,

0:28:53.840 --> 0:28:57.560
<v Speaker 5>I want to talk about the smart glasses, the ray Ban,

0:28:57.720 --> 0:29:02.440
<v Speaker 5>Metas or whatever super Intelligent is working on. This is

0:29:02.440 --> 0:29:05.040
<v Speaker 5>what Mark Zuckerberg called out in the press release before

0:29:05.080 --> 0:29:07.960
<v Speaker 5>this one time charge. He said, if we deliver even

0:29:07.960 --> 0:29:10.720
<v Speaker 5>a fraction of the opportunity ahead, the next few years

0:29:10.760 --> 0:29:12.920
<v Speaker 5>will be the most exciting period in our history. The

0:29:12.920 --> 0:29:15.640
<v Speaker 5>preceding sentence was Meta Superintelligence Labs is off to a

0:29:15.640 --> 0:29:17.920
<v Speaker 5>great start, and we continue to lead the industry in

0:29:17.960 --> 0:29:23.680
<v Speaker 5>AI glasses. Is this the next computing platform?

0:29:23.960 --> 0:29:26.080
<v Speaker 8>I'm going to go ahead and say yes, because it's

0:29:26.120 --> 0:29:29.480
<v Speaker 8>the only one that I think seems to be being

0:29:29.560 --> 0:29:31.360
<v Speaker 8>built at the moment that I can think of. Like

0:29:32.040 --> 0:29:34.920
<v Speaker 8>that is in the way that you know, you think

0:29:34.960 --> 0:29:38.040
<v Speaker 8>of a phone, right or a tablet or a personal device,

0:29:38.080 --> 0:29:42.280
<v Speaker 8>and so it makes sense to me that the phone

0:29:42.320 --> 0:29:45.880
<v Speaker 8>would evolve into something else at some point. I do

0:29:46.000 --> 0:29:48.640
<v Speaker 8>understand why they think glasses could be that thing. It's

0:29:48.640 --> 0:29:51.640
<v Speaker 8>something people already wear its hands free, which I think

0:29:51.720 --> 0:29:54.360
<v Speaker 8>is a huge perk. I think the challenge is going

0:29:54.400 --> 0:29:56.160
<v Speaker 8>to be, as with everything one, can you make the

0:29:56.200 --> 0:30:01.520
<v Speaker 8>technology so small and subtle that wearing these glasses on

0:30:01.560 --> 0:30:04.240
<v Speaker 8>your face doesn't feel weird or look weird because people

0:30:04.280 --> 0:30:05.920
<v Speaker 8>aren't going to want to do it if they don't

0:30:05.960 --> 0:30:09.400
<v Speaker 8>feel natural wearing the technology out in public. And then,

0:30:09.880 --> 0:30:11.800
<v Speaker 8>you know, I think too, Meta's gonna have a lot

0:30:11.840 --> 0:30:14.320
<v Speaker 8>of competition. We've already seen Apple, you know, coming up

0:30:14.320 --> 0:30:16.680
<v Speaker 8>with their own device, Google coming up with their own device.

0:30:17.000 --> 0:30:19.440
<v Speaker 8>I'm sure there will be others. So you know, on

0:30:19.520 --> 0:30:22.320
<v Speaker 8>the one hand, if everyone is building towards this, it

0:30:22.360 --> 0:30:24.320
<v Speaker 8>makes me think that it's even more likely that this

0:30:24.400 --> 0:30:27.240
<v Speaker 8>becomes the thing after the phone. On the other hand,

0:30:27.240 --> 0:30:29.160
<v Speaker 8>it's going to be harder and harder for Meta to

0:30:29.200 --> 0:30:31.360
<v Speaker 8>maintain that lead that I do think they have right now.

0:30:31.400 --> 0:30:33.280
<v Speaker 8>They're kind of the first one. You know, they're the

0:30:33.280 --> 0:30:35.760
<v Speaker 8>first ones with like a mainstream kind of hit in

0:30:35.840 --> 0:30:38.880
<v Speaker 8>terms of the Meta ray bands, but you know that

0:30:38.960 --> 0:30:42.080
<v Speaker 8>has a lot of technological sort of steps still to

0:30:42.120 --> 0:30:44.680
<v Speaker 8>go before it I think reaches that level that we

0:30:44.680 --> 0:30:45.560
<v Speaker 8>were just talking about.

0:30:45.640 --> 0:30:48.160
<v Speaker 3>So what's your number one question that you would ask

0:30:48.680 --> 0:30:52.320
<v Speaker 3>Mark Zuckerberg today or he and his team.

0:30:52.680 --> 0:30:56.320
<v Speaker 8>Well, I would want to know if he's got more

0:30:56.360 --> 0:30:58.520
<v Speaker 8>investments coming in the AI space. And I don't mean

0:30:58.600 --> 0:31:00.800
<v Speaker 8>just like investing in chips or invest in data centers,

0:31:00.800 --> 0:31:03.120
<v Speaker 8>but like we've seen some of these other tech companies

0:31:03.400 --> 0:31:08.560
<v Speaker 8>make become equity shareholders or equity stakeholders and other AI startups.

0:31:08.960 --> 0:31:11.720
<v Speaker 8>And because Meta can't necessarily acquire a lot right now,

0:31:11.920 --> 0:31:13.560
<v Speaker 8>you may recall they're dealing with a lot of anti

0:31:13.560 --> 0:31:16.000
<v Speaker 8>trust stuff in DC. We spent several weeks at their

0:31:16.040 --> 0:31:20.080
<v Speaker 8>trial earlier this year. It feels like acquiring AI for

0:31:20.200 --> 0:31:22.360
<v Speaker 8>them is going to be hard, but the idea of

0:31:22.400 --> 0:31:27.600
<v Speaker 8>a mega investment seems more reasonable. So, you know, as

0:31:27.600 --> 0:31:29.880
<v Speaker 8>we're talking about AI and spending, and I'd be curious

0:31:29.920 --> 0:31:33.600
<v Speaker 8>to know, is all this going towards infrastructure or you,

0:31:33.600 --> 0:31:36.680
<v Speaker 8>you know, you being Meta going to become a major

0:31:36.720 --> 0:31:39.800
<v Speaker 8>shareholder in one of these other promising AI platforms.

0:31:39.880 --> 0:31:42.160
<v Speaker 3>You know, it's interesting they do talk about continuing to

0:31:42.160 --> 0:31:46.480
<v Speaker 3>build their own infrastructure and contracting with third party cloud providers.

0:31:46.480 --> 0:31:49.960
<v Speaker 2>So yeah, I mean, this is how it's going to be, right, We're.

0:31:49.800 --> 0:31:52.280
<v Speaker 3>Going to well, we'll look for some more news certainly

0:31:52.280 --> 0:31:54.800
<v Speaker 3>on this when it comes to Meta and all of them.

0:31:55.480 --> 0:31:56.719
<v Speaker 2>Kurt, thank you, Thank you.

0:31:57.080 --> 0:32:02.560
<v Speaker 1>This is the Bloomberg Business Week Daily podcast, available on Apple, Spotify,

0:32:02.720 --> 0:32:06.760
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