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Speaker 1: is Prime Cuts, the best of the Colin Coward Podcast.

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Speaker 1: NFL two weeks in, Joe Burrow stops by the Bengal quarterback.

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Speaker 1: What do they have to do to turn it around?

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Speaker 1: Plus he tunes out social media. Why Chad Millman Sharper Square,

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Speaker 1: I'm red hot on my picks. You know, Joe, you

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Speaker 1: arguably played on the greatest college football team I've ever seen.

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Speaker 1: I mean it was like fifteen NFL guys. Now that

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Speaker 1: you've pivoted to the NFL. I grew up first as

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Speaker 1: a kid as a college football fan, and then now

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Speaker 1: you know my business. It's seventy thirty eight twenty NFL

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Speaker 1: on Saturdays. Because you guys travel on Fridays. I think,

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Speaker 1: so on Saturdays, do you still go old school and

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Speaker 1: watch college football games and check out the SEC in

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Speaker 1: the Big Ten? Because I'll always be drawn to it, Joe,

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Speaker 1: my entire life. I'm nine years old, remember sitting there

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Speaker 1: watching the Huskies and Don James when I'm in high school.

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Speaker 1: What are your Saturdays like before a game? Yeah, we

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Speaker 1: have meetings a lot of the day or we're traveling,

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Speaker 1: and so I'll throw on a game if i can.

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Speaker 1: And like you, I grew up, I didn't watch the NFL.

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Speaker 1: I was a college football fan. So I'll watch LSU.

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Speaker 1: They're usually have a night game that I can watch

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Speaker 1: Ohio State. I tried to, but I don't get to

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Speaker 1: watch as much as I probably would like to. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: it was funny. I talked to Urban Meyer once before

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Speaker 1: he took an NFL job, and he told me he goes,

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Speaker 1: I've never watched football on Sundays. I'm like, Urban, you

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Speaker 1: may not want to take that job and make it

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Speaker 1: up on the fly, because it's really really hard. Is

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Speaker 1: there anything about pro football like I've always thought the

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Speaker 1: college football pass interference rule is much better than the

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Speaker 1: NFL pass interference rule. But if I trip you, it

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Speaker 1: could be a fifty eight yard penalty. I think that's insane.

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Speaker 1: That's the part of I don't like the college football

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Speaker 1: overtime much. But is there part of college football you

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Speaker 1: actually thought was smarter from like an organizational management standpoint

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Speaker 1: than pro football? Nope, I don't think so. I think

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Speaker 1: I think I hate the targeting rule. I don't think

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Speaker 1: anybody should get kicked out of the game for a

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Speaker 1: play that's made in the moment. I think I think

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Speaker 1: the NFL is just a superior product. Yeah, so I

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Speaker 1: made this comment the other day in the air. I said,

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Speaker 1: I'm going to give you three quarterbacks. They're all really good, Burrow,

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Speaker 1: Stafford Brady. They all have something in common. They'll misspractice

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Speaker 1: because of different reasons, two of them surgeries or physical stuff,

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Speaker 1: one of them a family issue. They didn't play in

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Speaker 1: the preseason, and all three of them had changes on

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Speaker 1: the offensive line. And I said, there's no way you

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Speaker 1: can say in week one, they're gonna have it together.

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Speaker 1: Brady scrapped, Stafford scrapped, and your guys offense scrapped. I

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Speaker 1: thought in the second half against Dallas, I was like, oh, okay,

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Speaker 1: here it goes. I honestly felt like as a viewer,

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Speaker 1: I thought the light came on. You felt more comfortable.

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Speaker 1: That was as a consumer, that's what I saw. Did

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Speaker 1: that happen? Because I thought you were so much more

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Speaker 1: comfortable for the first half of football this year. I

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Speaker 1: was like, Okay, that's Joe Burrow, that's the offense that works. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: that was you know, we got to quick game going

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Speaker 1: a little bit. We you know, we had twenty one

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Speaker 1: play drive in there, so we kind of warmed down.

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Speaker 1: Offensive line was playing great, we were completing balls, moving

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Speaker 1: the ball down the field, running for first downs, and

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Speaker 1: so I thought the second half we really picked it up.

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Speaker 1: First half, you know, we just got behind the chain

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Speaker 1: so much. We were first and fifteen three times, and

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Speaker 1: first and fifteen in the NFL, it's gonna be really

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Speaker 1: hard to get it first down. So we got to

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Speaker 1: eliminate those penalties, stay on track, stay in front of

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Speaker 1: the chains, and then we're not going to get all

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Speaker 1: these third down, exotic stunts from the defensive lines that

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Speaker 1: we're playing. The defensive linemen are too good in this

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Speaker 1: league to go first and fifteen, second and ten and

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Speaker 1: then they're just teeing off like it's third down. You

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Speaker 1: can't play that way, and so it's not a recipe

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Speaker 1: for success. So he's got to eliminate that, and I

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Speaker 1: think we'll be fine. You know. I remember Mahomes third

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Speaker 1: year in the league, or maybe it was last year,

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Speaker 1: people said, Okay, there's a way to defend him. Don't

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Speaker 1: give him anything over the top, make him be patient.

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Speaker 1: And now I'm hearing it with Joe Burrow. Joe he

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Speaker 1: wants to go day, you know, because you you let

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Speaker 1: it rep which is my kind of quarterback. And I

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Speaker 1: hear this, well, you know, um, you know he's going

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Speaker 1: to have to learn to be patient. My takeaway is, well,

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Speaker 1: there's an offensive line thing he's kind of working through

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Speaker 1: right now and a lack of repetition with this guy's

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Speaker 1: when you hear that, somebody says, oh, there's a way

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Speaker 1: to defend Burrow, make him be patient. How does that

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Speaker 1: land for you? Well, well, my rookie year, it was

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Speaker 1: the exact opposite. We couldn't hit any throws down the field,

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Speaker 1: and so teams were challenging against and it was making

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Speaker 1: throw over the top, and then after last year, it

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Speaker 1: was making be patient. And so I think we've done

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Speaker 1: a great job of adjusting to what defenses are given us.

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Speaker 1: And this year they're trying to take the deepa away

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Speaker 1: from us because we had so much success last year,

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Speaker 1: and so we got to find ways to find explosive

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Speaker 1: plays run after the catch without you know, getting those

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Speaker 1: big one on one opportunities, because we're just not going

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Speaker 1: to get as many because our receivers are so are

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Speaker 1: so good at what they do, and so we're gonna

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Speaker 1: have to innovate ways to find those explosive plays. But

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Speaker 1: in the meantime, we're just gonna have to take what

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Speaker 1: the defense gives us, run the ball well and and

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Speaker 1: find more points. You know, Joe, I think people forget

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Speaker 1: if you watch a movie and the last fifteen minutes

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Speaker 1: of the movie, you're great, that's all you remember. You

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Speaker 1: could you could watch an average movie, but if it

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Speaker 1: has a great ending, everybody's like, that's one of the

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Speaker 1: best movies I've ever seen. Nobody walks out of a

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Speaker 1: laughing out of the theater and says it was an

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Speaker 1: average movie. People forget last year, go back to I've

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Speaker 1: talked about this on the air. I'm like, the Bengals

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Speaker 1: had a great ending to the season, but like week ten,

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Speaker 1: let's go back to week ten. You guys were trying

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Speaker 1: to kind of find yourself. If I remember, Yeah, that

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Speaker 1: was I think our bye week was Week ten and

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Speaker 1: we had just lost the je that's on the road

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Speaker 1: and got blown out by the Browns at home, and

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Speaker 1: I think I was on your show that week. Unfortunately,

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Speaker 1: I don't think we've got to talk after a win

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Speaker 1: yet this week, but that was. Yeah. We lost two

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Speaker 1: games in a row several times last year. At one

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Speaker 1: point on a six game stretch, we were two and four,

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Speaker 1: and so, you know, we just got to find ways

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Speaker 1: to be more consistent, and whether that's running the ball better,

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Speaker 1: me taking care of the football better, getting the ball

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Speaker 1: out faster, finding more completions, we just got to figure out,

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Speaker 1: you know, a way to do that. Nobody's panicking, you know,

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Speaker 1: we feel the urgency of the two losses, but we're

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Speaker 1: just taking it one week at a time. If we

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Speaker 1: got there and take care of business this week, where

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Speaker 1: I think we'll be on a roll. They always say,

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Speaker 1: you can lose games, you can't lose a locker room.

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Speaker 1: You guys are really really young. You lose three in

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Speaker 1: a row. I get it. There's a feel of desperation.

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Speaker 1: What's the level of intensity this week? I mean, because

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Speaker 1: let's be honest, I've said this before, the Rams are

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Speaker 1: not playing good football. I just trust their people. You

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Speaker 1: guys right now, there are teams that are O and

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Speaker 1: two like Tennessee, and I just don't think they have

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Speaker 1: the weapons. I think I just see them struggling. I

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Speaker 1: look at you in the Rams, and I think they

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Speaker 1: got to get their own lines figured out. The quarterbacks

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Speaker 1: didn't play in the preseason. I see moments. I saw

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Speaker 1: a first half of the Rams this week. I was like, wow,

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Speaker 1: I saw the second half with you guys. I went, yeah,

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Speaker 1: they're they're fine. They're just gotta get this shit figured out.

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Speaker 1: But but the reality is, Joe, you're Owen two and

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Speaker 1: this league was just brutal statistically to Owen three. Do

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Speaker 1: you forecast an incredibly intense week? Yeah, we got to

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Speaker 1: go on and have great week of practice, an intense

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Speaker 1: week of preparation that will lead us into a victory

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Speaker 1: on Sunday. I don't think it'll be any different execution

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Speaker 1: wise in practice, but we might feel that urgency a

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Speaker 1: little bit. Our own two not where we want to be,

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Speaker 1: but fifteen games left, sixteen weeks left a lot of

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Speaker 1: football to be played. I think, you know, the biggest

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Speaker 1: thing for us is starting off faster. Week one, pick

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Speaker 1: six fumble recovery in the first quarter, we give them

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Speaker 1: ten points immediately. Now we're playing from behind. Now we're

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Speaker 1: facing third down defenses, prevent defenses, keeping it in front.

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Speaker 1: Same thing last week first and fifteen first and fifteen

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Speaker 1: first and fifteen they start out strong, two touchdowns in

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Speaker 1: a row, and now we're behind fourteen points, seventeen three

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Speaker 1: and a half. Now we're placed playing prevent defense, third

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Speaker 1: down defenses, and so we got to start faster so

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Speaker 1: we can stick to our game plan and run the ball,

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Speaker 1: play action and take our shots when they're there. And

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Speaker 1: you know, more of those shots will open up down

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Speaker 1: the field if we start faster. We're not playing from behind.

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Speaker 1: Is you know again, you're from LSU, so you played

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Speaker 1: with NFL guys when you were seventeen eighteen years old,

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Speaker 1: same with Ohio State. I think you. I'm not sure

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Speaker 1: if you were on the team, but Chase Young but

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Speaker 1: Jamar Chase ye, right, so you play Micah Parsons I

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Speaker 1: commented during the game, it's like watching John Morant in football,

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Speaker 1: like he has like six moves. I'm like, Holy God,

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Speaker 1: this isn't like anything when you're when you know there's

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Speaker 1: a Hall of Fame level when you're watching him, a

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Speaker 1: von Miller or a Micah Parsons. I mean it was

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Speaker 1: he a little better in person than you thought, is it?

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Speaker 1: I mean, take me through like playing somebody and you

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Speaker 1: know well that that's arguably the best player on the

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Speaker 1: football field. I wouldn't say he was better in person

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Speaker 1: because I saw him on film and knew exactly what

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Speaker 1: he was going to be. He's unbelievably big, strong and

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Speaker 1: fast player. But you know, it's not one one dimensional.

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Speaker 1: There's a lot of a lot of good pass rushers

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Speaker 1: in this league, but not a lot of guys like

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Speaker 1: him that they can move around from three technique to

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Speaker 1: edge rusher to off the ball linebacker blitzing and getting

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Speaker 1: matchups on a on a running back. So they can

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Speaker 1: just move him around and do do a lot of

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Speaker 1: different things with him. Because he's so versatile, and you know,

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Speaker 1: I'm excited to watch him keep playing because he's going

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Speaker 1: to keep getting better and better. He's a young guy

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Speaker 1: who's already one of the best in the league, and

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Speaker 1: you know, I'm excited to keep watching him. You know, Joe,

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Speaker 1: one of the things you've done, I like it, but

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Speaker 1: not you know, I've always been like, I like athletes

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Speaker 1: who have an opinion on social issues. I'm good with it.

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Speaker 1: I don't like I don't think Tiger Woods had to

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Speaker 1: have opinions on it. I don't think we should force

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Speaker 1: people to say things I don't want to say. But

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Speaker 1: if athletes go that way, I'm I'm all for it.

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Speaker 1: And you live in a very conservative part of the country, Ohio,

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Speaker 1: and you know you don't have a problem having an

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Speaker 1: opinion on social issues. You're obviously pretty fearless in that

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Speaker 1: space is and you you're going to eventually have big

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Speaker 1: advertisers coming in. Just how do you reconcile all of it? Like,

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Speaker 1: what goes through your head when we have a social issue,

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Speaker 1: a cultural issue, how to what's going through your head? Well,

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Speaker 1: my initial thought for everything is to try to figure

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Speaker 1: out my own thought on it, because there's not. I

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Speaker 1: don't think there's one way to look at everything, and

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Speaker 1: I have to, you know, take in all the information

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Speaker 1: and make my own decision on it. I'm a young

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Speaker 1: guy who's trying to figure out my thoughts on the

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Speaker 1: world every now and then, and if somebody asked me

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Speaker 1: a question on it, I'm going to answer honestly. I'm

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Speaker 1: not gonna try to dodge a question. I try to

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Speaker 1: have a great relationship with the media, and so I

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Speaker 1: want to answer as many questions as honestly as I can.

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Speaker 1: You know, if I feel strongly about something, I'm not

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Speaker 1: not afraid to to speak my mind on it. But

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Speaker 1: I'm also not afraid to say that I don't have

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Speaker 1: an opinion on it, that I haven't really studied it,

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Speaker 1: and I don't really have all the facts on it.

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Speaker 1: So I'm not afraid to go either way. But I

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Speaker 1: think these days everything is so polarizing that I think

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Speaker 1: people that speak out can kind of bring people together

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Speaker 1: in a way. Yeah, it used to be I'm in

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Speaker 1: my fifties. When I was in my twenties, you could

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Speaker 1: literally say, boy, it's hot, it's been hot this summer,

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Speaker 1: and nobody there will be no argument Now if you

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Speaker 1: say that, it's like, oh, you think there's climate change.

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Speaker 1: Oh you're one of these global warming yet and it's like, no,

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Speaker 1: I just think it's hot. It's June. I'm over the summer.

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Speaker 1: I was in Turks and Caicos. It's just way too

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Speaker 1: hot for me. I can't take July there. And it

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Speaker 1: is weird, like parts of me wish I was in

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Speaker 1: my twenties, like the ability. My son's into tech and

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Speaker 1: I'm like, God, he's so much smarter than I am.

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Speaker 1: He's so good with this stuff. He could be a

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Speaker 1: hacker if he wanted to. I mean, he's got coding,

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Speaker 1: and I'm like, I'm so. I was playing Atari at

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Speaker 1: a bowling alley, like that's what we had. We didn't

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Speaker 1: have anything. And then there's parts of being young and

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Speaker 1: I think, oh my god, what would I have done

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Speaker 1: on social media? Jesus, I wouldn't even I wouldn't. I

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Speaker 1: would have been in disaster. Are there ever times You're

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Speaker 1: like I'm putting down the phone. Yeah, I don't have

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Speaker 1: any social media throughout the week. You know, I have

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Speaker 1: really not a lot during the season. If I feel

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Speaker 1: like I need to break from it, I deleted all

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Speaker 1: from my phone. You know, it can be kind of

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Speaker 1: overwhelming when you're in the in the position that I'm in.

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Speaker 1: You know, everyone can kind of get a little piece

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Speaker 1: of you here and there, and I like to I'm

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Speaker 1: a private person that I don't like to share very much.

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Speaker 1: So I try to keep my social media as professional

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Speaker 1: as I can, whether it's pictures walking into games on

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Speaker 1: the field. Try to keep keep my family out of

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Speaker 1: it because there's a lot of bad that comes with

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Speaker 1: all that, and there's so much spotlight and so little

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Speaker 1: privacy these days that you try to grab and take

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Speaker 1: any privacy that you can. And so I don't have

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Speaker 1: any social media right now on my phone. If I

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Speaker 1: feel like I need to post something, I'll go on

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Speaker 1: there and post it, delete it again. But you know,

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Speaker 1: I don't like to be on there too much. The

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Speaker 1: same I have my staff run a lot of mine.

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Speaker 1: My kids different generationally, but family is different. My wife's

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Speaker 1: not on it at all. So my daughter sat next

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Speaker 1: to your parents. Your mom said she was incredibly sweet

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Speaker 1: at the Baltimore Ravens game. Yeah, And I always think, God,

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Speaker 1: how would my mom have handled all the criticism? I get? Right?

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Speaker 1: How do your parents deal with it, especially moms. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: that's we haven't really talked about that much. You know. Fortunately,

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Speaker 1: for the most part, things that have been said about me,

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Speaker 1: I've been in a positive light. Obviously, there's a lot

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Speaker 1: of negativity out there, but and then you know, the

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Speaker 1: start that we're off too, there's also a lot of negativity.

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Speaker 1: So I think that they are starting to feel the

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Speaker 1: effects of that. We haven't really talked about it much,

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Speaker 1: but I mean it's hard not to. I would imagine

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Speaker 1: that they do, but we don't really talk about that much. Yeah.

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Speaker 1: My mom came to me before she passed away one

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Speaker 1: time and she said, oh my, she had a friend

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Speaker 1: who was kind of a gossip but a funny lady

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Speaker 1: named Norma. And she said, you know, Norma tells me

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Speaker 1: you're very controversial. I'm like, mom, controversial, I'm like, I

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Speaker 1: have opinions, I'm not controversial. I said, if you're brutally honest,

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Speaker 1: you know, it ticks people off. So my mom was, oh,

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Speaker 1: this is terrible. I'm like, Mom, get off Google. It's

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Speaker 1: not built for seventy two year olds, Like, get off Google, Joe.

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Speaker 1: It was so brutal. I wonder if you'll get to

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Speaker 1: a point where really, mom, just get off it. Stop it. Yeah.

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Speaker 1: I definitely have had to tell my dad not a

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Speaker 1: couple of times, just especially early on it, mainly at

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Speaker 1: LSU when everything was starting to ramp up a little bit.

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Speaker 1: He's like, oh, did you see this article? This article?

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Speaker 1: I was like, no, Dad, I don't really like to

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Speaker 1: look at that stuff. He's like, Okay, I get it.

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Speaker 1: I get it, and so he kind of you know,

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Speaker 1: they get it. And you know, we've been this has

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Speaker 1: been three years now in the spotlight, and so you know,

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Speaker 1: my friends and family understand the position that I'm in,

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Speaker 1: and now that they are in as well, and they

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Speaker 1: are adjusted to it is just as well as I am.

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Speaker 1: Do you still have high school or college buddies, like,

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Speaker 1: like like non football buddies, like still hang with them? Oh? Yeah, uh,

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Speaker 1: I mean those are really the my best friends that

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Speaker 1: I continue to hang out with these days. Obviously you

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00:17:22,840 --> 00:17:26,560
Speaker 1: make new friends through football, but you know, it's just

329
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Speaker 1: kind of hard to to make new friends in the

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Speaker 1: position that I'm in that right, don't really understand what

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Speaker 1: this life is about. And so you know, my friends

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Speaker 1: from high school and college they washed me grow up

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Speaker 1: and know me from before I was the person that

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Speaker 1: I am now in everybody else's eyes, and I'm still

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Speaker 1: the same person to them. And so it's so easy

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Speaker 1: to go back to Athens, Ohio and hanging out, hang

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Speaker 1: out with all all the friends that I hung out

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Speaker 1: with when I was twelve, thirteen, fourteen, fifteen, just because

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00:17:59,400 --> 00:18:01,520
Speaker 1: you know, they they understand it, they get it, they

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Speaker 1: know who I am truly deep down, and you know

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Speaker 1: that's what I love about those guys. Yeah, I always

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00:18:07,760 --> 00:18:11,600
Speaker 1: I say, it's like a parking garage. I just don't

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00:18:11,600 --> 00:18:14,440
Speaker 1: have any openings. There's no openings in my parking garage.

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Speaker 1: All the spaces are full. Most of my friends all

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Speaker 1: get it. I have one high school friend to college

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Speaker 1: and then you know, buddies through my career. The only

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Speaker 1: thing that's hard to describe to people for me as

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Speaker 1: a public figure is my time. Everything has to be

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Speaker 1: like mice calendar. Every day is like eight things. Yours

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Speaker 1: has to be double that, right. Yeah. The main thing

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Speaker 1: is like if I'm trying to hang out with a

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Speaker 1: friend that I haven't seen for a while, it's like, hey,

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Speaker 1: do you want to go get some dinner? And it's like, yeah,

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Speaker 1: I would love to, but you know, where are we

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00:18:46,600 --> 00:18:48,760
Speaker 1: going to go, we gotta get this private table where

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00:18:48,800 --> 00:18:51,000
Speaker 1: we're I don't want to get bothered. I would like

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00:18:51,080 --> 00:18:53,600
Speaker 1: to sit down and actually have an interaction and conversation

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Speaker 1: with you without having to okare to these other people.

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Speaker 1: So usually we just end up getting take out and

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Speaker 1: eating my house and watching the movie or something. And

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Speaker 1: so that's kind of what my world has turned into.

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Speaker 1: Totally Cincinnati. I mean, I would think people in Cincinnati

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Speaker 1: are mostly respectful of your space, like the Midwestern ethos,

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Speaker 1: be a gentleman, be a good person. It's that's what

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Speaker 1: it feels like to me. I don't know. Cincinnati. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: for the most part, people in Ohio, if I would

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Speaker 1: decide to go out, they'll wait to come and ask

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Speaker 1: for a picture and tim dunneat. And if I'm with

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Speaker 1: my friends or my family, usually people in Ohio are

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Speaker 1: extremely respectful in that regard. When you go outside of

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Speaker 1: Ohio is kind of when it gets a little crazy,

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Speaker 1: because I guess I don't I guess, I don't know.

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Speaker 1: Maybe people just in Ohio feel they know it's my home,

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Speaker 1: they know I'm from here. They understand that we have

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Speaker 1: shared values, and the dinner table is a shared value.

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Speaker 1: And then when you go somewhere else, maybe it's just different.

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Speaker 1: I don't know, it's interesting. No, you know what I

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00:20:00,720 --> 00:20:03,879
Speaker 1: think it is they protect you in Cincinnati. They feel

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Speaker 1: like you're You're a big part of their community and

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Speaker 1: they're protecting you. So they the last thing they ever

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Speaker 1: want is for you to feel like this is a

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Speaker 1: small town. I'm Joe Burrow. I think there's a lot

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Speaker 1: of that where people they're protecting you. It's the ultimate

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Speaker 1: sign of respect is don't bother our guy. That's my

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Speaker 1: guess on what it is. You're probably right, And that's

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Speaker 1: a big reason why I love being here is because

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Speaker 1: the fans here are great. People here are great. They

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Speaker 1: get it. We all I'm from Ohio, they're from Ohio.

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Speaker 1: We all understand each other, and when you grow up

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Speaker 1: in the same area, you all have a unique understanding

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00:20:43,520 --> 00:20:50,320
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Speaker 1: time for another edition of Sharper Square at a very

423
00:22:31,280 --> 00:22:35,040
Speaker 1: good week four and one on my Blazing five. So

424
00:22:35,119 --> 00:22:37,640
Speaker 1: let's get to the games. I like a lot. I'm

425
00:22:37,640 --> 00:22:39,680
Speaker 1: going to take the Commanders plus six and a half

426
00:22:39,760 --> 00:22:42,800
Speaker 1: at home against the Eagles. Eagles short week. The world's

427
00:22:42,800 --> 00:22:45,000
Speaker 1: telling him how great they are, and the truth is

428
00:22:45,040 --> 00:22:47,840
Speaker 1: the Commanders did be to Jacksonville team, which I think's

429
00:22:47,880 --> 00:22:51,919
Speaker 1: actually pretty spunky. Carson Wentz gets a lot of criticism,

430
00:22:51,920 --> 00:22:54,600
Speaker 1: but it's funny. The Colts can't move the chains since

431
00:22:54,640 --> 00:22:57,639
Speaker 1: he left. Maybe he wasn't the problem. I'm going to

432
00:22:57,720 --> 00:23:01,280
Speaker 1: take in a division rivalry six and a half points

433
00:23:01,320 --> 00:23:05,320
Speaker 1: every day veteran coach Sharper Square. Of course, this is

434
00:23:05,359 --> 00:23:08,560
Speaker 1: the sharp play. You said all the key phrases. You're

435
00:23:08,560 --> 00:23:13,880
Speaker 1: getting a division dog at a big number. You're getting

436
00:23:13,920 --> 00:23:17,200
Speaker 1: a quarterback who probably will burn you at some point,

437
00:23:17,480 --> 00:23:19,919
Speaker 1: but he's also a quarterback who has kept his team

438
00:23:20,359 --> 00:23:23,560
Speaker 1: in games and in cover positions. And I agree with

439
00:23:23,600 --> 00:23:26,080
Speaker 1: you about the Jags. I think they're going to win

440
00:23:26,080 --> 00:23:29,119
Speaker 1: the AFC South. I bet them before the season began

441
00:23:29,160 --> 00:23:31,719
Speaker 1: at eight to one to win the AFC South. And

442
00:23:31,800 --> 00:23:36,040
Speaker 1: you've seen the Eagles team that Kirk Cousins game. He

443
00:23:36,200 --> 00:23:38,920
Speaker 1: gave it to the Eagles. The Eagles were giving Kirk

444
00:23:38,960 --> 00:23:42,880
Speaker 1: Cousins every opportunity to stay in that game. I would

445
00:23:42,880 --> 00:23:45,040
Speaker 1: be a little worried about the Eagles defense right now.

446
00:23:45,119 --> 00:23:48,680
Speaker 1: And as you said, it's a classic Bilow Cell high.

447
00:23:48,760 --> 00:23:52,240
Speaker 1: Right You're getting the Eagles coming off that primetime game,

448
00:23:52,600 --> 00:23:55,399
Speaker 1: coming off a huge win. They are the team that

449
00:23:55,480 --> 00:23:58,240
Speaker 1: everyone thinks is going to be dominant in the NFC

450
00:23:58,400 --> 00:24:02,160
Speaker 1: right now. And the Commands, you know, they are lost.

451
00:24:02,640 --> 00:24:07,040
Speaker 1: They just lost. So it's the right spot. Like the

452
00:24:07,160 --> 00:24:09,960
Speaker 1: Jags plus seven against the Chargers. First of all, I

453
00:24:10,000 --> 00:24:11,960
Speaker 1: think they can move the ball. I talked to Greg

454
00:24:12,000 --> 00:24:15,680
Speaker 1: Kosell today, he said he already sees improvements from Urban

455
00:24:15,720 --> 00:24:20,640
Speaker 1: to Doug Peterson at quarterback. The Christian Kirk dynamic is working.

456
00:24:21,960 --> 00:24:26,000
Speaker 1: Justin Herbert is not practicing at full speed. They're a

457
00:24:26,000 --> 00:24:30,760
Speaker 1: little banged up. Cole Lindsley the Pro Bowl Center probably

458
00:24:30,840 --> 00:24:35,240
Speaker 1: doesn't play. It feels like a lot of points in

459
00:24:35,320 --> 00:24:38,480
Speaker 1: a game that I mean the Chargers I think left

460
00:24:38,520 --> 00:24:43,520
Speaker 1: some offense on the table against the Chiefs and the Raiders.

461
00:24:43,520 --> 00:24:45,679
Speaker 1: Seven points is too much here. They may go with

462
00:24:45,800 --> 00:24:48,480
Speaker 1: Chase Daniel because it's a long season and not risk it.

463
00:24:48,720 --> 00:24:51,399
Speaker 1: I like the Jags plus seven Sharper square. Yeah, this

464
00:24:51,440 --> 00:24:55,160
Speaker 1: is totally sharp. Ninety percent of the money, no joke.

465
00:24:55,640 --> 00:24:59,760
Speaker 1: Ninety percent of the money is coming in on the Jaguars.

466
00:25:00,200 --> 00:25:04,679
Speaker 1: And it's not a small number of tickets either. And

467
00:25:06,119 --> 00:25:10,640
Speaker 1: the Jags, I thought they could have beaten the Commanders

468
00:25:10,720 --> 00:25:13,679
Speaker 1: in week one. They gave it away. Then they played

469
00:25:14,000 --> 00:25:16,240
Speaker 1: great in Week two. They did what a lot of

470
00:25:16,280 --> 00:25:18,439
Speaker 1: us expected them to do. When I came on the

471
00:25:18,440 --> 00:25:21,520
Speaker 1: show last week, we talked about the Jags at four

472
00:25:21,560 --> 00:25:25,520
Speaker 1: and a half. They did exactly what we thought they

473
00:25:25,520 --> 00:25:28,800
Speaker 1: would do. With the Chargers. This is a really big number.

474
00:25:28,840 --> 00:25:31,760
Speaker 1: I'm surprised at the value you're getting on the Jaguars

475
00:25:31,880 --> 00:25:37,080
Speaker 1: right now, especially with the Herbert scenario. He's got four

476
00:25:37,920 --> 00:25:42,080
Speaker 1: essentially broken ribs that's not easy to play through. So

477
00:25:42,359 --> 00:25:44,280
Speaker 1: even if he is going to play, he's going to

478
00:25:44,359 --> 00:25:50,560
Speaker 1: be hobbled. Jaguars are one hundred percent the sharp side here. Yeah,

479
00:25:50,720 --> 00:25:53,640
Speaker 1: Jags I thought were better than the Commanders. Okay, this

480
00:25:53,720 --> 00:25:56,840
Speaker 1: is an ugly corner game that nobody wants to watch,

481
00:25:56,880 --> 00:25:58,240
Speaker 1: but I want to bet it. I'm going to take

482
00:25:58,280 --> 00:26:02,040
Speaker 1: Atlanta plus one and a half. Seattle yards per play rushing,

483
00:26:02,160 --> 00:26:06,800
Speaker 1: Atlanta far superior offensive lines, Seahawks start two rookie tackles.

484
00:26:06,800 --> 00:26:10,720
Speaker 1: I'll take the Falcons yards passing per game. Mariota is

485
00:26:10,760 --> 00:26:14,679
Speaker 1: absolutely better when healthy than Gino Smith advantage. Atlanta the

486
00:26:14,800 --> 00:26:18,280
Speaker 1: better team getting points. I think Gino is sort of

487
00:26:18,280 --> 00:26:21,720
Speaker 1: a one trick pony. That first opening game, it was fantastic.

488
00:26:21,760 --> 00:26:24,840
Speaker 1: They looked like a dud against the Niners. I know

489
00:26:24,920 --> 00:26:27,119
Speaker 1: nobody wants to watch, it doesn't mean I don't want

490
00:26:27,119 --> 00:26:29,359
Speaker 1: to bet it. It's one of my favorites. Atlanta plus

491
00:26:29,440 --> 00:26:31,560
Speaker 1: the point sharper square right, So you've hit on some

492
00:26:31,600 --> 00:26:35,760
Speaker 1: really key points here. Number one the Seahawks. The only

493
00:26:35,800 --> 00:26:38,360
Speaker 1: time to bet them was in Week one. We talked

494
00:26:38,359 --> 00:26:40,240
Speaker 1: about this in the show. I begged you to take

495
00:26:40,280 --> 00:26:43,680
Speaker 1: the Seahawks plus six against the Broncos. That was going

496
00:26:43,720 --> 00:26:46,240
Speaker 1: to be the only spot if you talk to professional

497
00:26:46,280 --> 00:26:49,639
Speaker 1: betters right now, the way they are power rating teams,

498
00:26:50,440 --> 00:26:53,920
Speaker 1: the Seahawks and the Bears are the two worst teams

499
00:26:54,240 --> 00:26:57,680
Speaker 1: in the NFL. The Falcons are a team that they

500
00:26:57,720 --> 00:26:59,560
Speaker 1: love and you can see it in the line move here.

501
00:27:00,080 --> 00:27:02,920
Speaker 1: Game opened at three and a half with the Falcons

502
00:27:03,000 --> 00:27:05,440
Speaker 1: as three and a half point underdogs on the road

503
00:27:05,600 --> 00:27:09,000
Speaker 1: at Seattle. The game is now down to one. It

504
00:27:09,160 --> 00:27:12,359
Speaker 1: is moving fast. Pretty soon the Falcons in some spots

505
00:27:12,400 --> 00:27:14,840
Speaker 1: it'll be picked. This game will probably have them going

506
00:27:14,880 --> 00:27:17,119
Speaker 1: off as favorites. It'll be a huge swing. If you

507
00:27:17,119 --> 00:27:19,679
Speaker 1: want to get the Falcons, get it now. There are

508
00:27:19,680 --> 00:27:22,560
Speaker 1: some wise guys will say to you, just bet the Falcons.

509
00:27:22,600 --> 00:27:25,879
Speaker 1: They're the better team, and they have loved the Falcons

510
00:27:25,920 --> 00:27:28,560
Speaker 1: this year. The Falcons plus ten against the Rams last

511
00:27:28,560 --> 00:27:32,120
Speaker 1: week was a huge, huge wise guy play, and they

512
00:27:32,160 --> 00:27:33,879
Speaker 1: thought they left a lot of plays in the field.

513
00:27:34,200 --> 00:27:37,160
Speaker 1: They really love this offense. They love the way it's

514
00:27:37,200 --> 00:27:40,040
Speaker 1: so predicated on the run. So you were getting a

515
00:27:40,040 --> 00:27:42,440
Speaker 1: lot of wise guy activity on the Falcons, and the

516
00:27:42,480 --> 00:27:46,280
Speaker 1: wise guys will be in the Falcons a lot this year. Okay,

517
00:27:46,320 --> 00:27:50,440
Speaker 1: another slight underdog Dallas getting a point at the Giants. Listen,

518
00:27:50,480 --> 00:27:53,240
Speaker 1: I think Dallas has better personnel. I think the story

519
00:27:53,280 --> 00:27:58,720
Speaker 1: that Brian Dable is improving Daniel Jones is a nice story.

520
00:27:58,960 --> 00:28:00,919
Speaker 1: I don't think it's a nice team, although I do

521
00:28:01,000 --> 00:28:03,680
Speaker 1: think they have found in Andrew Thomas their left tackle

522
00:28:04,000 --> 00:28:06,320
Speaker 1: for the next decade. That's a great story. They have

523
00:28:06,400 --> 00:28:09,480
Speaker 1: Kenny Galladay issues now asking why don't I get the ball?

524
00:28:09,840 --> 00:28:12,080
Speaker 1: They could easily be O and two their two and oh,

525
00:28:12,480 --> 00:28:15,080
Speaker 1: I think I get the better team. Cooper Rush isn't Dak,

526
00:28:15,560 --> 00:28:20,560
Speaker 1: but he's playing at a level that's reasonably similar to Dak.

527
00:28:21,040 --> 00:28:23,600
Speaker 1: I'm going to take the points in the Cowboys Sharper square,

528
00:28:24,240 --> 00:28:29,040
Speaker 1: so it's completely split on this one. The line has

529
00:28:29,160 --> 00:28:32,720
Speaker 1: moved in the Cowboys direction. I can't deny that. But

530
00:28:32,760 --> 00:28:36,119
Speaker 1: the Giants have been a wise guy team since before

531
00:28:36,240 --> 00:28:39,840
Speaker 1: the season began. The wise guys were betting their season

532
00:28:39,880 --> 00:28:44,120
Speaker 1: win total over. They bet them in Game one, they

533
00:28:44,280 --> 00:28:46,920
Speaker 1: bet them against the Panthers. This is a team that

534
00:28:47,000 --> 00:28:50,360
Speaker 1: the wise guys have been backing all year long. I

535
00:28:50,400 --> 00:28:53,640
Speaker 1: think come Monday, you're going to start seeing money come

536
00:28:53,720 --> 00:28:57,920
Speaker 1: in on the Giants. I personally am going to back

537
00:28:57,960 --> 00:29:01,880
Speaker 1: the Giants here. It's too short of a favorite in

538
00:29:02,000 --> 00:29:05,480
Speaker 1: a division game in prime time. I don't agree with

539
00:29:05,560 --> 00:29:07,760
Speaker 1: you about Cooper Rush at all. I don't think he

540
00:29:07,920 --> 00:29:10,400
Speaker 1: is BAC level. We talked about this last week, right

541
00:29:11,360 --> 00:29:14,600
Speaker 1: you said you wanted to take the Bengals, and I'm like, listen,

542
00:29:15,440 --> 00:29:18,680
Speaker 1: the Cowboys at this number, which was plus eight and

543
00:29:18,720 --> 00:29:21,520
Speaker 1: a half to plus seven. Dak Prescott is not a

544
00:29:21,600 --> 00:29:24,040
Speaker 1: quarterback who's worth the amount of points against the point

545
00:29:24,040 --> 00:29:26,400
Speaker 1: spread that he had been given credit for in the

546
00:29:26,400 --> 00:29:29,600
Speaker 1: way that line moved, But he's still better than Cooper Rush,

547
00:29:29,640 --> 00:29:32,120
Speaker 1: and this number should not be moving in the direction

548
00:29:32,160 --> 00:29:35,080
Speaker 1: of the Cowboys what they do have statistically in and

549
00:29:35,160 --> 00:29:41,040
Speaker 1: every other metric. Micah Parsons is just dominant. And I

550
00:29:41,080 --> 00:29:44,800
Speaker 1: think if anything you mentioned Andrew Thomas like that could

551
00:29:44,800 --> 00:29:48,040
Speaker 1: be the mitigating factor. He will be the left tackle

552
00:29:48,120 --> 00:29:50,600
Speaker 1: that Micah Parsons is going up against that is better

553
00:29:50,640 --> 00:29:53,800
Speaker 1: than anybody else he has faced. So that'll be interesting

554
00:29:53,800 --> 00:29:58,880
Speaker 1: to me. All right. Time for favorites. Listen, I can

555
00:29:58,880 --> 00:30:05,080
Speaker 1: admit what I'm wrong. San Francisco has such a coaching advantage.

556
00:30:06,040 --> 00:30:08,280
Speaker 1: I'm going to swallow one and a half against Denver.

557
00:30:08,600 --> 00:30:11,440
Speaker 1: Hackett is lost. But here's the interesting thing. I'm gonna

558
00:30:11,440 --> 00:30:15,360
Speaker 1: throw my theory at you, is that there's a sense

559
00:30:16,760 --> 00:30:20,440
Speaker 1: never forget that Kyle Shanahan, many said, privately wanted Mac Jones,

560
00:30:20,880 --> 00:30:26,080
Speaker 1: knowing his athletic limitations. The Niners offense, which is now

561
00:30:26,080 --> 00:30:32,760
Speaker 1: the Miami offense, is built for Tua and Garoppolo. They're

562
00:30:32,840 --> 00:30:38,120
Speaker 1: Chris Paul right, they're distributors. They don't need Kobe Bryant.

563
00:30:38,400 --> 00:30:41,720
Speaker 1: They don't need Michael Jordan running the show. That's Baltimore,

564
00:30:42,200 --> 00:30:46,720
Speaker 1: superhuman talent, that's Kansas City. This offense needs a quick

565
00:30:46,760 --> 00:30:49,520
Speaker 1: distributor to get the ball in the hands of Brandon,

566
00:30:49,640 --> 00:30:55,840
Speaker 1: I Yuk, George Kittle, Deebo Samuel So where as Garoppolo

567
00:30:55,920 --> 00:30:59,320
Speaker 1: and Tua are limited, there's an argument to be made

568
00:30:59,320 --> 00:31:05,080
Speaker 1: they are deal for this offense. Right. That's why there

569
00:31:05,120 --> 00:31:09,560
Speaker 1: was some frustration publicly with Trey Lance. He waited too long.

570
00:31:09,800 --> 00:31:14,040
Speaker 1: He wasn't as accurate. I think San Francisco, I think

571
00:31:14,040 --> 00:31:16,880
Speaker 1: when they have Garoppolo starting. They're a pain in the

572
00:31:17,000 --> 00:31:21,160
Speaker 1: arts to face, major coaching advantage. I think the Niners

573
00:31:21,200 --> 00:31:24,000
Speaker 1: go into Denver, I'll swallow the one and a half

574
00:31:24,040 --> 00:31:26,600
Speaker 1: and beat the Broncos. Sharper square. Yeah, this is a

575
00:31:26,640 --> 00:31:29,440
Speaker 1: big wise guy game right now. And as for all

576
00:31:29,480 --> 00:31:33,320
Speaker 1: those reasons you just said, it's so interesting. In the

577
00:31:33,360 --> 00:31:36,760
Speaker 1: beginning of the year, people are high on Trey Lance.

578
00:31:37,080 --> 00:31:39,960
Speaker 1: You don't necessarily know what you're going to get, but

579
00:31:40,680 --> 00:31:44,000
Speaker 1: you're excited about what the ceiling can be. And you

580
00:31:44,080 --> 00:31:47,000
Speaker 1: kind of know what Jimmy Garoppolo is, right. You know

581
00:31:47,240 --> 00:31:51,240
Speaker 1: that he's going to be accurate. He's in the short game.

582
00:31:51,520 --> 00:31:53,360
Speaker 1: He's not going to be accurate in the long game.

583
00:31:53,560 --> 00:31:55,600
Speaker 1: There will probably plays at some point in the game

584
00:31:55,600 --> 00:31:57,840
Speaker 1: that you need him to make in the high pressure

585
00:31:57,880 --> 00:32:00,560
Speaker 1: situations late in the game, that he won't make in

586
00:32:00,640 --> 00:32:04,320
Speaker 1: games that really really matter NFC Championship game, super Bowl

587
00:32:05,160 --> 00:32:07,959
Speaker 1: during the regular season. This is a guy you bet on,

588
00:32:08,440 --> 00:32:11,400
Speaker 1: and everyone now understands this is a team that they

589
00:32:11,440 --> 00:32:15,360
Speaker 1: can feel comfortable betting on as short road favorites. And

590
00:32:15,440 --> 00:32:17,920
Speaker 1: Kyle Shannon through his career, he's better on the road

591
00:32:17,920 --> 00:32:19,760
Speaker 1: than he is at home. And I think what we've

592
00:32:19,800 --> 00:32:25,040
Speaker 1: seen with the Broncos. Like Nathaniel Hackett, he is a

593
00:32:25,080 --> 00:32:30,960
Speaker 1: little bit underwater right now, and so he was fifteen

594
00:32:31,040 --> 00:32:34,320
Speaker 1: to one to be coach of the year when the

595
00:32:34,400 --> 00:32:39,360
Speaker 1: season began. He is now at about one hundred to

596
00:32:39,400 --> 00:32:42,040
Speaker 1: one to be coach of the year. I think there

597
00:32:42,080 --> 00:32:44,920
Speaker 1: are coaching issues there. He is learning how to be

598
00:32:44,960 --> 00:32:48,440
Speaker 1: a head coach in real time. And Russell Wilson has

599
00:32:48,520 --> 00:32:51,440
Speaker 1: not been the Russell Wilson that I certainly thought he

600
00:32:51,480 --> 00:32:54,040
Speaker 1: would be. I thought the Broncos would have a chance

601
00:32:54,040 --> 00:32:58,080
Speaker 1: to compete in this division. They do not. One more

602
00:32:58,160 --> 00:33:04,000
Speaker 1: favorite people paid very little attention in the Miami Baltimore game,

603
00:33:04,000 --> 00:33:06,560
Speaker 1: which I watched for a second time on Wednesday on

604
00:33:06,600 --> 00:33:10,120
Speaker 1: the treadmill. Baltimore was the better team, Lamar was the

605
00:33:10,120 --> 00:33:12,520
Speaker 1: better quarterback, but because of the way it ended in

606
00:33:12,560 --> 00:33:17,360
Speaker 1: the Fireworks show two of grab the headlines, Lamar Jackson's

607
00:33:17,680 --> 00:33:21,120
Speaker 1: very good outplayed TA for seventy five percent of the game.

608
00:33:21,240 --> 00:33:24,040
Speaker 1: It was rookie defensive backs that made TA look like

609
00:33:24,200 --> 00:33:27,720
Speaker 1: you know, Joe Montana. Baltimore is a really good football team.

610
00:33:28,560 --> 00:33:32,920
Speaker 1: The New England Patriots have real limitations. What their weakness

611
00:33:33,040 --> 00:33:35,480
Speaker 1: is is what the Ravens weaknesses. You can beat the

612
00:33:35,560 --> 00:33:38,920
Speaker 1: Ravens over the top. Patriots don't throw over the top.

613
00:33:39,360 --> 00:33:41,080
Speaker 1: I'm going to swallow the two and a half. I

614
00:33:41,080 --> 00:33:44,840
Speaker 1: think Baltimore's an elite team. Sharper Square. This has been

615
00:33:44,960 --> 00:33:49,440
Speaker 1: a fascinating game and we talked a lot about this

616
00:33:49,600 --> 00:33:53,440
Speaker 1: on the Favorites podcast. Today we do this segment called

617
00:33:53,480 --> 00:33:56,840
Speaker 1: Sharp Calls, where we'll do the podcast on Tuesday, and

618
00:33:56,880 --> 00:34:00,479
Speaker 1: then on Thursday we will review the call that we

619
00:34:00,520 --> 00:34:03,360
Speaker 1: have gotten from professional betters who listen to the podcast

620
00:34:03,760 --> 00:34:06,640
Speaker 1: and will have opinions on the games that we talked about.

621
00:34:07,000 --> 00:34:08,920
Speaker 1: We talked a lot about the Ravens and the Patriots

622
00:34:09,080 --> 00:34:12,280
Speaker 1: on Tuesday, got the most sharp calls about the Ravens

623
00:34:12,280 --> 00:34:17,160
Speaker 1: and the Patriots. For today Thursday, the Pats plus three

624
00:34:17,400 --> 00:34:20,680
Speaker 1: is the side everybody is coming in on. I think

625
00:34:20,719 --> 00:34:23,000
Speaker 1: the problem with the Ravens and I agree with you,

626
00:34:23,080 --> 00:34:27,800
Speaker 1: Like I was concerned. Am I letting the second half

627
00:34:27,840 --> 00:34:32,239
Speaker 1: collapse of the Ravens influence my thinking on this game?

628
00:34:32,280 --> 00:34:36,839
Speaker 1: Am I letting a recency bias influence how I want

629
00:34:36,840 --> 00:34:39,959
Speaker 1: to bet on this game? The truth of the matter

630
00:34:40,120 --> 00:34:43,680
Speaker 1: is you mentioned the Ravens defensive back issues. They have

631
00:34:43,760 --> 00:34:47,560
Speaker 1: a lot of issues, and they also, more importantly cannot

632
00:34:47,680 --> 00:34:50,200
Speaker 1: run the ball. And so what you're getting is a

633
00:34:50,239 --> 00:34:53,040
Speaker 1: team that's going on the road and is now expected

634
00:34:53,080 --> 00:34:55,239
Speaker 1: to be a road favorite against a team and the

635
00:34:55,280 --> 00:35:00,279
Speaker 1: Patriots that when Matt Jones plays, they are a serviceable team.

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Speaker 1: When he's healthy, they are a serviceable team. So I

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Speaker 1: think the wise guys are starting to see a little

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Speaker 1: bit of an advantage here at the Patriots plus three.

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Speaker 1: You saw it come down a little bit to two

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Speaker 1: and a half. I would not be surprised if now

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Speaker 1: that the line is so much higher because it opened

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Speaker 1: a pick. So what we're doing here is playing in numbers, right,

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Speaker 1: And when it gets so high and a home underdog

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Speaker 1: as a field goal gets to that number, a team

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Speaker 1: like the Patriots, the wise guys start buying back the volume.

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Speaker 1: Make sure to check out The dram On Green Show.

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Speaker 1: I brought Draymond Green into the volume because one of

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Speaker 1: the more entertaining voices in sports, unique perspective understands behind

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Speaker 1: the rope, also chops up with guests like Gary Peyton,

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00:36:01,560 --> 00:36:05,319
Speaker 1: Zach Levine, Tracy McGrady. Make sure download The Draymond Green

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Speaker 1: Show wherever you get your podcasts, only on the Volume

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Speaker 1: podcast network,