WEBVTT - Nvidia Delivers Upbeat Forecast to AI-Wary Market

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. Bloomberg Tech is alive

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<v Speaker 1>from coast to coast with Caroline Hyde in New York

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<v Speaker 1>and Eva Low in San Francisco.

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<v Speaker 2>This is Bloomberg Tech coming up in Video's latest sale

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<v Speaker 2>forecast draws a bearish response from investors, with concerns over

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<v Speaker 2>a potential bubbles still weighing on the company.

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<v Speaker 3>Plus, we break down more tech earnings for the CEOs

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<v Speaker 3>of Snowflake and Chime later this.

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<v Speaker 2>Hour, and Warner Brothers, Discovery and Paramount both out with

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<v Speaker 2>earnings too. As the bidding war drama continues. Let's get

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<v Speaker 2>right to our top story, and Video is now down

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<v Speaker 2>around five percent. Earlier in the session, it had been

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<v Speaker 2>down and on track for its worst day since April

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<v Speaker 2>of last year. It is a change of direction and

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<v Speaker 2>sentiment from where we traded in after our in its

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<v Speaker 2>earning sprint, the forecast for the fiscal first quarter is

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<v Speaker 2>sales of seventy eight billion dollars plus or minus two percent.

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<v Speaker 2>Interesting margin guidance that sales forecast does not include any

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<v Speaker 2>contribution from data center revenues from China. Let's get to

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<v Speaker 2>Bloombsie inking who leads our coverage of this name. It

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<v Speaker 2>was all about the outlook. So that's the data points

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<v Speaker 2>seventy eight billion dollars of sales there or thereabouts. Actually,

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<v Speaker 2>Jensenwong and collect Crest. The CFO went beyond that to

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<v Speaker 2>say that five hundred billion dollar guide, which is just

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<v Speaker 2>Blackwel and Rubin. Actually they're probably tracking ahead of that now.

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<v Speaker 2>The SOCK is down five percent.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, you're breaking down the numbers. And we tried to

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<v Speaker 4>do the same. I spoke to numerous people after the

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<v Speaker 4>report yesterday, and nobody is pointing to any number and

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<v Speaker 4>saying that's a problem. That's worse than what we're expecting.

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<v Speaker 4>Across the board, they were saying other numbers were better

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<v Speaker 4>than we expected if there is an identifiable problem. It

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<v Speaker 4>was this amorphous idea that well, where's the news story,

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<v Speaker 4>what's going to take.

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<v Speaker 3>This to the next and is that GtC ian.

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<v Speaker 4>That was the conclusion that people have come up with that.

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<v Speaker 4>You know, they want Jensen to walk out on stage

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<v Speaker 4>and santase like he does and tell them something new

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<v Speaker 4>and exciting, show them a new path forward, and that

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<v Speaker 4>was the end of it.

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<v Speaker 5>Really.

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<v Speaker 2>GtC is in Nvidia's big showcase for the audience and

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<v Speaker 2>those aren't familiar with it, and often they do come

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<v Speaker 2>out and say something quite big.

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<v Speaker 6>There were other bits in there.

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<v Speaker 2>For example, if we continue to talk about how this

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<v Speaker 2>is a supply constrained industry, right detail about how they

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<v Speaker 2>have inventory and capacity for several quarters, but are warning

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<v Speaker 2>at the same time from collect press that actually supplies

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<v Speaker 2>still something to think about, how are they managing the

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<v Speaker 2>world of intense AI compute demand.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I mean, that's just one of the questions that

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<v Speaker 4>they had to answer and did. And the answer was, look,

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<v Speaker 4>we've spent a lot of money, We've got a lot

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<v Speaker 4>of inventory ready. We can support growth into twenty twenty seven, right,

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<v Speaker 4>as an answered. At the same time, people were like,

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<v Speaker 4>what about memory chips, what about you know, high end capacity,

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<v Speaker 4>and she did said, look, it is tight, but we

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<v Speaker 4>have what we need for now.

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<v Speaker 3>Glimpergsy and King with the breakdown. We thank you, let's

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<v Speaker 3>get more in the video. Sereney Pajuria is with us

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<v Speaker 3>OBBC Capital Markets research analyst. He has an outperform rating

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<v Speaker 3>on the stock, has raised his price target from two

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<v Speaker 3>hundred fourteen to two hundred and fifty. And You're not alone, shoney,

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<v Speaker 3>because I'm looking at True Securities raising their price target,

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<v Speaker 3>City did JP Morgan did Morgan Stanley raise their price target,

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<v Speaker 3>called it the largest cleanest beat and raised in the

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<v Speaker 3>history of semis industry.

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<v Speaker 6>What was missing?

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<v Speaker 7>Right? I mean, they delivered on everything. You know, they

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<v Speaker 7>checked all the boxes. You know, for Nvidia, given their

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<v Speaker 7>track record, the expectations are always high, and they were

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<v Speaker 7>high this quarter. And you know, they came in well

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<v Speaker 7>well even the high end of the so called whisper numbers.

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<v Speaker 7>And also they talked about visibility extending well into you know,

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<v Speaker 7>twenty twenty seven. And if you look at the breakdown

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<v Speaker 7>of the quarter, you know what drew actually what led

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<v Speaker 7>the growth was interestingly the non hyperscaler business, which is

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<v Speaker 7>kind of you know, suggests that you know, the AI

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<v Speaker 7>momentum is spreading into you know, the broader markets like

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<v Speaker 7>enterprise and in a smaller cloud customers, et cetera. And

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<v Speaker 7>then in addition to that, networking was particularly strong. That's

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<v Speaker 7>also a positive sign in our view because networking is

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<v Speaker 7>a market where and video is actually gaining share. You know,

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<v Speaker 7>they don't have as dominant as a position as they

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<v Speaker 7>as they do in compute, So you know, I would

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<v Speaker 7>say those are actually, you know, definite incremental positives in

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<v Speaker 7>the quarter, and then there were some concerns about gross

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<v Speaker 7>margins heading into the print, and you know, they guide

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<v Speaker 7>it to mid seventy percent despite the fact that memory

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<v Speaker 7>pricing is up, you know, more than one hundred percent

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<v Speaker 7>this year. So you know, as I said, you know,

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<v Speaker 7>they checked every every box. I think I think the

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<v Speaker 7>reason for the stock action, if I have to guess, is,

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<v Speaker 7>you know, the concerns about the broader AI spending sustainability.

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<v Speaker 7>So you know, that's more of a market concern as

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<v Speaker 7>a post a thing that this said.

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<v Speaker 3>Call about that sustainability, because you've just outlined how they

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<v Speaker 3>managed to diversify their end customer. About fifty percent of

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<v Speaker 3>data center demand was from hyperscalers, but they are looking

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<v Speaker 3>for sovereign AI and the like. Are we needing to

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<v Speaker 3>hear more about growth in China for example, which again

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<v Speaker 3>isn't being factored into the forecast. How much can we

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<v Speaker 3>support that the capital expenditure is going to last through

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<v Speaker 3>twenty twenty seven.

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<v Speaker 7>Fiscal Yeah, so look, you know it's it's the adaptation

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<v Speaker 7>is broadening that there's no question about it. We are

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<v Speaker 7>seeing that, you know, on the enterprise side. On this

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<v Speaker 7>sovereign side, you know, China is going a little tricky

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<v Speaker 7>because you know, there's a lot of geopolitical issues here.

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<v Speaker 7>The good thing is that the management did not include

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<v Speaker 7>any China revenue in the guidance. So if it comes through,

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<v Speaker 7>it's it's upside to the model.

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<v Speaker 5>I think.

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<v Speaker 7>I think it's going to be incremental longer term. We're

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<v Speaker 7>not counting on China. You know, look at the valuation.

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<v Speaker 7>You know it's in the you know, a load of

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<v Speaker 7>mid twenties today on forward numbers. You know, that's pretty

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<v Speaker 7>attractive for a stock or a company that's growing. You know,

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<v Speaker 7>it grew a seventy percent plus. Obviously that's not sustainable,

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<v Speaker 7>but our expectation is that even in twenty seven this

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<v Speaker 7>company can grow at least thirty percent, and at this

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<v Speaker 7>level of gross margins and profitability, I think that's a

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<v Speaker 7>particularly attractive valuation.

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<v Speaker 2>In your risks rating column, in your research, not very clearly,

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<v Speaker 2>hyper scale spending is a leading indicator for AI demand.

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<v Speaker 2>Gensmung was asked that on the call. This is what

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<v Speaker 2>he said.

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<v Speaker 8>I am confident in their cash flow growing. You need

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<v Speaker 8>compute capacity, and that translates directly to growth, and that

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<v Speaker 8>translates directly to revenues.

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<v Speaker 2>He was asked about capital expenditures growth going forward. His

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<v Speaker 2>answer was confidence in cash flows because of course cash

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<v Speaker 2>flows have been impacted by the capets commitment. He didn't

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<v Speaker 2>really answer the question, but what did you interpret from

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<v Speaker 2>what he did say.

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<v Speaker 7>Look, at the end of the day, you know, the

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<v Speaker 7>spending has to have a return, right The ROI is

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<v Speaker 7>very important, But we're still very early in terms of

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<v Speaker 7>the AI cycle. And part of the reason we are

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<v Speaker 7>speeing we're seeing this, you know, elevated spending, is that

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<v Speaker 7>the competition among these big four or five hyperscalers is

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<v Speaker 7>pretty intense. You know, it's still the battle for leadership

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<v Speaker 7>is still not settled. I mean, just recently, you know,

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<v Speaker 7>Google took the lead in terms of the large language

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<v Speaker 7>model performance, and you know you have open Ai Anthropic

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<v Speaker 7>right behind them and x Ai. So there's the competition

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<v Speaker 7>is quite intense and we don't expect that battle to

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<v Speaker 7>settle anytime soon. So it's not so much about ROI

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<v Speaker 7>right now. Longer term, it does matter, of course, you know,

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<v Speaker 7>we need we need to generate free cashlows for the

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<v Speaker 7>investments that these companies are making but at the same time,

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<v Speaker 7>right now, it's more about the competition and the battle

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<v Speaker 7>for leadership in AI in my view.

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<v Speaker 2>Very quickly, Jensen Wong sprung to the defense of the

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<v Speaker 2>software industry. Is the ecosystem of his other customers healthy.

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<v Speaker 7>Yeah, I mean, look, I'm not an expert in software,

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<v Speaker 7>but at the same time, we are seeing broadening adaptation

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<v Speaker 7>of AI in the enterprise. His views, as he stated yesterday,

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<v Speaker 7>is that you know, AI is you know, it is

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<v Speaker 7>more of an agentic in nature. You know, the software

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<v Speaker 7>essentially the tools. Our software team agrees with that. You know,

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<v Speaker 7>our software has been you know, positive on the sector.

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<v Speaker 7>But at the same time, I'm not an expert in

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<v Speaker 7>that sector. So all right, I'll probably refrain from commenting

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<v Speaker 7>on that.

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<v Speaker 2>Shinny Bajeria Barbously Capital Markets, thank you very much for

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<v Speaker 2>coming up. Snowflake CEO joins us to talk about his

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<v Speaker 2>company's earnings and the fears of AI driven disruption. That's

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<v Speaker 2>one move is to the upside. This is Bloomberg Tech.

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<v Speaker 3>Snowflake another of the tech names that released earnings yesterday

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<v Speaker 3>after the bell and as investors look for signs of

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<v Speaker 3>AI adoption or disruption, it's forecast product revenue for the

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<v Speaker 3>current quarter will be about one point two six billion dollars.

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<v Speaker 3>That's up twenty seven percent. They reported more than nine

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<v Speaker 3>thousand accounts using Snowflake AI features shares.

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<v Speaker 6>You can see three.

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<v Speaker 3>Point seven percent. Let's bringing the Snowflake CEO Shida Ramaswami Shida,

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<v Speaker 3>I'm reading notes f mazoo Ho saying bookings were a standout.

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<v Speaker 3>They're talking about the seven nine figure deals that have come.

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<v Speaker 3>Where are those deals coming from? What are those customers

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<v Speaker 3>demanding of you?

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<v Speaker 9>Great to see you, Caroline. Yes, we had seven nine

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<v Speaker 9>figure deals, including a man of four hundred million dollar deal.

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<v Speaker 9>It reflects the confidence that our customers have, both in

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<v Speaker 9>where Snowflake is right now, but importantly where we are going.

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<v Speaker 9>We all understand that software is being disrupted by AI

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<v Speaker 9>in a very very big way. But what our customers

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<v Speaker 9>understand is that what enterprise AI to truly succeed, they

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<v Speaker 9>need a single source of enterprise true. They need built

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<v Speaker 9>in security, auditibility, trust and access. Of course, you also

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<v Speaker 9>need the best models. That's what Snowflakes provides for them.

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<v Speaker 9>And we're creating great products, products like Snowflake Intelligence that

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<v Speaker 9>put the power of data into the hands of every

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<v Speaker 9>business user. The healthcare company, I mean the health company

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<v Speaker 9>loves using us, and there are lots of partners that

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<v Speaker 9>are using products like Cortex Code to speed up what

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<v Speaker 9>can be done with Snowflake. They're really looking to the

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<v Speaker 9>future and making sure that we can deliver value with Snowflake,

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<v Speaker 9>and we are creating the products that help them deliver

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<v Speaker 9>that kind of value, Dane, and they are. That's why

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<v Speaker 9>you are seeing companies, as you said, make commitments of

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<v Speaker 9>four hundred plus million dollars with Snowflick.

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<v Speaker 3>I'm really interested in codex code with something that was

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<v Speaker 3>talked a lot about recall and people are adopting swiftly.

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<v Speaker 3>But that partnership model that you have, the fact that

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<v Speaker 3>you have integrations with Anthropic, Open ai Cloud, also Google

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<v Speaker 3>how but some of these have very good coding tools

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<v Speaker 3>of their own. How do you see this ecosystem evolving

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<v Speaker 3>because customers get it, but the investments have been questioning

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<v Speaker 3>whether they'll take away your market share.

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<v Speaker 9>Well, so there are a lot of things that are

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<v Speaker 9>specific to Snowflake and to data. Absolutely, there are coding

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<v Speaker 9>agents that are often provided by the model companies themselves.

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<v Speaker 9>But we know a lot about how data systems are

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<v Speaker 9>supposed to work, about how Snowflake is supposed to work,

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<v Speaker 9>and Cortex Code is super tightly integrated with the customer's

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<v Speaker 9>Snowflake account. Data does not go anywhere. And remember we

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<v Speaker 9>have earned the trust of all of these customers with certifications,

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<v Speaker 9>with the guarantee around things like AIUS. We never use

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<v Speaker 9>customer data for things like training models. They get the

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<v Speaker 9>superior models that we get through partnerships with these folks,

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<v Speaker 9>but we also add the secret sauce of data of

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<v Speaker 9>how Snowflake works into products like Cortex Code, and we

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<v Speaker 9>are seeing amazing wins both internally and also externally. One

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<v Speaker 9>of our partners told us that having Cortex Code was

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<v Speaker 9>like Snowflake supplying them with bulldozers were previously they had shovels.

0:12:09.240 --> 0:12:09.560
<v Speaker 6>Shauda.

0:12:09.640 --> 0:12:11.840
<v Speaker 2>One of the core pillars for you to grow is

0:12:11.880 --> 0:12:14.480
<v Speaker 2>to go out and find new customers. And I wondered,

0:12:14.520 --> 0:12:16.920
<v Speaker 2>if you just give some detail on what's happening in

0:12:16.920 --> 0:12:20.720
<v Speaker 2>the world of technology in ai that would bring a

0:12:20.760 --> 0:12:23.280
<v Speaker 2>customer to Snowflake for the first time. What is it

0:12:23.320 --> 0:12:24.920
<v Speaker 2>that they need that they didn't before.

0:12:28.080 --> 0:12:30.920
<v Speaker 9>Typically they come to us because they need better insight

0:12:31.160 --> 0:12:34.240
<v Speaker 9>into data it is sitting somewhere. It's hard for them

0:12:34.280 --> 0:12:37.600
<v Speaker 9>to get these insights. But increasingly what we're able to

0:12:37.600 --> 0:12:41.800
<v Speaker 9>do is have our sales team build an honest to

0:12:41.840 --> 0:12:45.959
<v Speaker 9>goodness customize demo of something like a Snowflake intelligence on

0:12:46.360 --> 0:12:48.640
<v Speaker 9>data that on the kind of data that a customer

0:12:48.679 --> 0:12:52.240
<v Speaker 9>is going to have. It is that easy access that really,

0:12:52.640 --> 0:12:55.839
<v Speaker 9>you know, is the big winner for our customers. And

0:12:56.080 --> 0:12:59.679
<v Speaker 9>smart customers are also quickly realizing that having data in

0:12:59.760 --> 0:13:03.520
<v Speaker 9>snow means that they can think about how this data

0:13:03.600 --> 0:13:05.240
<v Speaker 9>is going to be used in ways that they had

0:13:05.280 --> 0:13:08.240
<v Speaker 9>not done before. Santa Fe, which is an existing customer,

0:13:08.520 --> 0:13:12.040
<v Speaker 9>is now is now using Snowflake intelligence our AI products

0:13:12.120 --> 0:13:15.200
<v Speaker 9>to redefine a lot of workflows, replacing a lot of

0:13:15.240 --> 0:13:19.000
<v Speaker 9>existing software. These are the use cases that drive these

0:13:19.040 --> 0:13:21.199
<v Speaker 9>customers to come to Snowflake and adopt it.

0:13:22.080 --> 0:13:22.440
<v Speaker 6>Shrida.

0:13:22.559 --> 0:13:25.600
<v Speaker 2>Last night, Jensen Wang, who you know very well, talked

0:13:25.640 --> 0:13:29.480
<v Speaker 2>about profitable tokens, the idea that the output of an

0:13:29.480 --> 0:13:33.160
<v Speaker 2>AI model is worth paying for. Customers do pay, and

0:13:33.200 --> 0:13:35.920
<v Speaker 2>they pay it a price that is greater than the

0:13:35.960 --> 0:13:37.480
<v Speaker 2>compute used to generate it.

0:13:38.080 --> 0:13:39.400
<v Speaker 6>Are you able to give me any.

0:13:39.200 --> 0:13:42.160
<v Speaker 2>Evidence through snowflakes lens that you actually see that in

0:13:42.200 --> 0:13:42.840
<v Speaker 2>the real world.

0:13:44.320 --> 0:13:49.480
<v Speaker 9>Well, what I can assure you is getting projects done

0:13:49.880 --> 0:13:54.120
<v Speaker 9>as being changed dramatically. Something like setting up a pipeline

0:13:54.559 --> 0:13:56.680
<v Speaker 9>used to be a multi week task, We can get

0:13:56.679 --> 0:13:59.600
<v Speaker 9>that done in a small number of hours. My team's

0:13:59.600 --> 0:14:04.480
<v Speaker 9>come to me just last weekend with speed ucks going

0:14:04.559 --> 0:14:07.880
<v Speaker 9>from four weeks for a software engineering project that they

0:14:07.920 --> 0:14:11.360
<v Speaker 9>did down to forty minutes. That is one hundred x

0:14:11.480 --> 0:14:13.839
<v Speaker 9>speed up. And we are happy to spend any number

0:14:13.840 --> 0:14:16.560
<v Speaker 9>of tokens in those forty minutes to save that kind

0:14:16.600 --> 0:14:19.560
<v Speaker 9>of time. I think coding agents are really quite magical

0:14:19.600 --> 0:14:22.960
<v Speaker 9>in the value that they deliver, and I think it's

0:14:23.000 --> 0:14:26.400
<v Speaker 9>only going to accelerate from here, and so these investments

0:14:26.480 --> 0:14:29.840
<v Speaker 9>are going to be pretty foundational in every company you

0:14:29.840 --> 0:14:33.160
<v Speaker 9>know succeeding and thriving. And that's why we're so bullish

0:14:33.160 --> 0:14:34.160
<v Speaker 9>about codex.

0:14:33.840 --> 0:14:35.920
<v Speaker 3>Code and how much you have to invest in your

0:14:35.920 --> 0:14:38.360
<v Speaker 3>own business. I mean, the bullet case for many is

0:14:38.560 --> 0:14:40.880
<v Speaker 3>you need to keep up with a furious pace of innovation.

0:14:41.080 --> 0:14:42.560
<v Speaker 3>Can you at this moment?

0:14:42.600 --> 0:14:48.400
<v Speaker 9>Briefly, we can because we are organized to drive rapid innovation.

0:14:48.880 --> 0:14:51.720
<v Speaker 9>The team that is driving a product like Snowflake Intelligence

0:14:51.840 --> 0:14:53.960
<v Speaker 9>is not that large, but we have structured it in

0:14:54.000 --> 0:14:57.240
<v Speaker 9>such a way that they can make rapid progress. And

0:14:57.840 --> 0:15:00.480
<v Speaker 9>it is more the meta structure of how you set

0:15:00.520 --> 0:15:04.120
<v Speaker 9>up environments where people can get work done quickly and effectively.

0:15:04.200 --> 0:15:06.600
<v Speaker 9>That matters a lot more than things like how much

0:15:06.600 --> 0:15:10.240
<v Speaker 9>hardware you are investing in and things like that. The

0:15:10.280 --> 0:15:12.800
<v Speaker 9>current moment is magical because all of us have access

0:15:12.840 --> 0:15:16.400
<v Speaker 9>to great tools. It really comes down to how effectively

0:15:16.480 --> 0:15:19.080
<v Speaker 9>we set up teams on projects to get things done.

0:15:19.200 --> 0:15:21.640
<v Speaker 9>And that's why we are very bullish on how we

0:15:21.680 --> 0:15:24.200
<v Speaker 9>have set things up at Snowflake because we now have

0:15:24.320 --> 0:15:28.240
<v Speaker 9>a demonstrated capability to be right at the cutting edge

0:15:28.360 --> 0:15:30.640
<v Speaker 9>of where AI is having impact.

0:15:31.360 --> 0:15:33.920
<v Speaker 2>Snowflake SEO shreet A Ramaswami. Great to have you back

0:15:33.960 --> 0:15:36.320
<v Speaker 2>on Bloomberg Tech. Thank you very much. Now coming up

0:15:37.640 --> 0:15:40.560
<v Speaker 2>continues and this time it's with Hollywood. We'll discuss results

0:15:40.560 --> 0:15:44.440
<v Speaker 2>from Warner Brothers and Paramount. That's next. This is Bloomberg Tech.

0:15:49.480 --> 0:15:53.920
<v Speaker 10>Ward continues to lead a rigorous, highly competitive and thorough

0:15:54.000 --> 0:15:58.880
<v Speaker 10>sales process. We engage with four bidders which lent to

0:15:58.960 --> 0:16:03.360
<v Speaker 10>eight pricing and have thus far achieved the sixty three

0:16:03.400 --> 0:16:06.480
<v Speaker 10>percent increase in value for it's the first offer the

0:16:06.560 --> 0:16:12.200
<v Speaker 10>seed in September, delivering significant value for WBD shareholders.

0:16:12.240 --> 0:16:16.280
<v Speaker 3>Throughout the process, Warner Brothers Discovery CEO Davids Aslav, they're

0:16:16.280 --> 0:16:19.960
<v Speaker 3>discussing the progress of deal talks. An increased offer from

0:16:20.000 --> 0:16:22.280
<v Speaker 3>Paramount has renewed the take of attention, and it comes

0:16:22.360 --> 0:16:25.160
<v Speaker 3>as Warner Brothers posted a six percent decline in revenue

0:16:25.240 --> 0:16:27.400
<v Speaker 3>during the fourth quarter of Paramounts Guidance also came out

0:16:27.440 --> 0:16:30.400
<v Speaker 3>with this numbers as bringing bring by media reporter Hannah Miller,

0:16:30.760 --> 0:16:35.920
<v Speaker 3>and all of this speaks to still profitable cable companies

0:16:36.400 --> 0:16:40.240
<v Speaker 3>where they're trying to subsidize basically revenue, well profits not

0:16:40.280 --> 0:16:43.160
<v Speaker 3>showing up and streaming thus far. But subscriber growth is there.

0:16:43.320 --> 0:16:46.520
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, this is subscriber growth is there, and you know,

0:16:46.560 --> 0:16:48.800
<v Speaker 11>Warner Brothers has made a point that they want to

0:16:48.840 --> 0:16:51.320
<v Speaker 11>build up that subscriber account. They're shooting for one hundred

0:16:51.400 --> 0:16:55.000
<v Speaker 11>and fifty million people for their streaming services by the

0:16:55.040 --> 0:16:57.480
<v Speaker 11>end of this year. And you know, we have seen

0:16:57.520 --> 0:17:00.760
<v Speaker 11>these gains, but again they're overshadowed by the fact that

0:17:00.960 --> 0:17:03.880
<v Speaker 11>revenue earnings have declined compared.

0:17:03.560 --> 0:17:04.160
<v Speaker 8>To last year.

0:17:05.840 --> 0:17:08.040
<v Speaker 2>There's also this idea of like what's happening with the

0:17:08.240 --> 0:17:10.679
<v Speaker 2>bottom line, and we can't get away from what's happening

0:17:10.680 --> 0:17:11.280
<v Speaker 2>in the background.

0:17:11.320 --> 0:17:12.640
<v Speaker 6>You know, it's awkward when you have.

0:17:12.720 --> 0:17:15.520
<v Speaker 2>Company earnings and all the players involved are in a

0:17:15.600 --> 0:17:16.400
<v Speaker 2>kind of bidding war.

0:17:16.520 --> 0:17:19.360
<v Speaker 6>Did they explain any of that, Hannah.

0:17:18.840 --> 0:17:21.960
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, so, you know, all these earnings results, they've been

0:17:22.000 --> 0:17:24.680
<v Speaker 11>overshadowed by this bidding war. And we saw on birth

0:17:24.760 --> 0:17:27.439
<v Speaker 11>both earnings calls that you know, the CEOs were like,

0:17:27.440 --> 0:17:29.239
<v Speaker 11>we don't really want to comment on this. Things are

0:17:29.320 --> 0:17:33.240
<v Speaker 11>still underway. What's happening right now is the Warner Brothers

0:17:33.240 --> 0:17:37.400
<v Speaker 11>board has to determine whether or not the most paramounts

0:17:37.400 --> 0:17:40.720
<v Speaker 11>most recent offer could be considered superior to their current

0:17:40.720 --> 0:17:44.760
<v Speaker 11>agreement with Netflix. If they do make that declaration, Netflix

0:17:44.800 --> 0:17:47.760
<v Speaker 11>has four days to respond with either sweetened offer or

0:17:47.840 --> 0:17:48.639
<v Speaker 11>just bowing out.

0:17:50.160 --> 0:17:50.560
<v Speaker 6>Playbox.

0:17:50.600 --> 0:17:52.840
<v Speaker 2>Hannah Miller, who's been across all of this in real time,

0:17:52.880 --> 0:17:54.720
<v Speaker 2>Thank you very much. Let's move on to another big

0:17:54.720 --> 0:17:57.960
<v Speaker 2>media named Paramount. It posted eight point one five billion

0:17:58.000 --> 0:18:00.440
<v Speaker 2>dollars in revenue in the shares again, and it's kind

0:18:00.440 --> 0:18:04.280
<v Speaker 2>of interesting they're reacting significantly. We're up eleven percent? Are

0:18:04.280 --> 0:18:06.679
<v Speaker 2>we up eleven percent? Because of the health of the

0:18:06.720 --> 0:18:08.879
<v Speaker 2>business and the content of earnings, or are we up

0:18:08.920 --> 0:18:11.560
<v Speaker 2>for another reason. Let's discuss with Laura Martin, senior Entertainment

0:18:11.600 --> 0:18:14.879
<v Speaker 2>and Internet analysts and Needham and Company. Laura, you're recommending

0:18:14.960 --> 0:18:19.320
<v Speaker 2>fundamental investors. Hello, remain on the sidelines. I just showed

0:18:19.359 --> 0:18:22.160
<v Speaker 2>the chart. Maybe they'll bring it back up sup eleven percent.

0:18:23.000 --> 0:18:24.159
<v Speaker 2>Reconcile that please?

0:18:25.320 --> 0:18:25.520
<v Speaker 5>Right?

0:18:25.800 --> 0:18:29.080
<v Speaker 12>So, I think what Wall Street likes is the fact

0:18:29.080 --> 0:18:31.600
<v Speaker 12>that this is company is subscale, and it looks like

0:18:31.680 --> 0:18:35.480
<v Speaker 12>they're more likely to wish to win a bid for

0:18:35.720 --> 0:18:38.960
<v Speaker 12>Warner Brothers, which would then not make them subscale because

0:18:38.960 --> 0:18:41.840
<v Speaker 12>they would be like a third of total linear channels.

0:18:41.880 --> 0:18:46.080
<v Speaker 12>They've owned two of the largest film studios and so

0:18:46.400 --> 0:18:48.680
<v Speaker 12>and really their revenue was up two percent. They had

0:18:48.680 --> 0:18:51.560
<v Speaker 12>a lot of positive comments about UFC, which was their

0:18:52.200 --> 0:18:55.200
<v Speaker 12>top rated streaming channel, and streaming revenue is up seventeen

0:18:55.240 --> 0:18:58.840
<v Speaker 12>percent at Paramount Plus in the fourth quarter, and it

0:18:58.840 --> 0:19:03.040
<v Speaker 12>should so, I mean all of those numbers, fundamentally we're better.

0:19:03.040 --> 0:19:05.560
<v Speaker 12>At least this business is growing. Warner Brothers is shrinking,

0:19:05.640 --> 0:19:09.600
<v Speaker 12>but Paramount Peace Guy is growing still.

0:19:09.640 --> 0:19:11.440
<v Speaker 2>I think we'll get to Warner Brothers in a moment,

0:19:11.560 --> 0:19:14.200
<v Speaker 2>Like really simple question and it comes from a sincere place.

0:19:14.280 --> 0:19:16.639
<v Speaker 2>A lot of our audience have this based on what

0:19:16.680 --> 0:19:21.040
<v Speaker 2>you've just outlined with Paramount's guide. Once, what does doing

0:19:21.080 --> 0:19:24.720
<v Speaker 2>the deal with Warner Brothers Discovery the whole entirety of

0:19:24.760 --> 0:19:27.520
<v Speaker 2>it fix or improve or accelerate.

0:19:28.760 --> 0:19:32.200
<v Speaker 12>Okay, So if they don't win, if Netflix wins instead,

0:19:32.520 --> 0:19:35.600
<v Speaker 12>they're an eleven billion dollar market cap company and their

0:19:35.640 --> 0:19:38.760
<v Speaker 12>primary competitors will be Netflix, which if affuys Warner will

0:19:38.760 --> 0:19:42.560
<v Speaker 12>be a five hundred billion dollar market cap, and Amazon

0:19:42.560 --> 0:19:45.399
<v Speaker 12>and Google, which are three trillion dollars round numbers, So

0:19:45.520 --> 0:19:48.680
<v Speaker 12>it's competitive. It will be more subscale than it is today.

0:19:49.040 --> 0:19:53.240
<v Speaker 12>If it wins Warner Brothers, it suddenly combines and cut

0:19:53.320 --> 0:19:57.199
<v Speaker 12>costs from several of the largest streaming companies, several of

0:19:57.200 --> 0:19:59.720
<v Speaker 12>the largest. It will be thirty percent of total linear

0:20:00.160 --> 0:20:02.640
<v Speaker 12>TV ownership, and it will combine it will have two

0:20:02.640 --> 0:20:04.560
<v Speaker 12>of the biggest studios, so there's a lot of cost

0:20:04.600 --> 0:20:07.000
<v Speaker 12>cutting in that, and it will not be near a

0:20:07.080 --> 0:20:10.240
<v Speaker 12>subscale round numbers, it will be around the same size

0:20:10.400 --> 0:20:14.520
<v Speaker 12>as Disney and Netflix. If it wins Warners, so it

0:20:14.640 --> 0:20:19.080
<v Speaker 12>basically it basically makes it a legitimate competitor to those

0:20:19.119 --> 0:20:20.359
<v Speaker 12>other streaming companies.

0:20:20.520 --> 0:20:22.879
<v Speaker 3>And I think what Paramount's guide once Laura did in

0:20:22.920 --> 0:20:25.840
<v Speaker 3>its numbers was showed they can cut costs. And then

0:20:25.880 --> 0:20:27.960
<v Speaker 3>some Sunday, when it comes to the cable pot of

0:20:27.960 --> 0:20:35.520
<v Speaker 3>the business, how much does it need Warner Brother's Discovery.

0:20:35.800 --> 0:20:38.760
<v Speaker 12>So good question because price is the thing you're not asking,

0:20:38.800 --> 0:20:43.159
<v Speaker 12>but strategically it must have Warner Brothers Discovery. But of course,

0:20:43.359 --> 0:20:45.760
<v Speaker 12>you know, we do stocks and we do valuations, and

0:20:45.800 --> 0:20:49.720
<v Speaker 12>they're paying an awful premium for a shrinking business. As

0:20:49.760 --> 0:20:53.840
<v Speaker 12>you saw, like every single business segment, every single advertising

0:20:54.000 --> 0:20:57.639
<v Speaker 12>was down. You know, a lot a lot at Peace guys.

0:20:57.640 --> 0:21:00.800
<v Speaker 12>So some of their businesses at Warner Brothers are shrinking

0:21:01.320 --> 0:21:04.040
<v Speaker 12>or a lot of them are shrinking. Actually so I

0:21:04.040 --> 0:21:07.840
<v Speaker 12>mean they're buying a business is weakening fundamentally every single quarter,

0:21:07.880 --> 0:21:11.360
<v Speaker 12>and they're paying piece guys bidding higher and higher values,

0:21:11.800 --> 0:21:14.400
<v Speaker 12>which it implies they're not going to get a good

0:21:14.440 --> 0:21:16.399
<v Speaker 12>price on this asset because of the bidding more.

0:21:16.840 --> 0:21:20.720
<v Speaker 3>I mean, Laurie, you're all about the fundamentals, but are

0:21:20.760 --> 0:21:23.560
<v Speaker 3>we if they do have to pay over and above,

0:21:23.640 --> 0:21:25.400
<v Speaker 3>they have to go to thirty two dollars for Warner

0:21:25.400 --> 0:21:27.639
<v Speaker 3>by the discovery, is that a good deal fundamentally for

0:21:27.680 --> 0:21:31.040
<v Speaker 3>the business longer term, and given maybe Netflix happens to

0:21:31.040 --> 0:21:32.119
<v Speaker 3>be able to push them there.

0:21:33.560 --> 0:21:37.760
<v Speaker 12>You know, I think the answer is if they didn't

0:21:37.800 --> 0:21:41.840
<v Speaker 12>have a billionaire behind this, I cannot imagine a investor,

0:21:41.880 --> 0:21:44.560
<v Speaker 12>a you know, a venture capitalist, a private equity guy,

0:21:44.600 --> 0:21:47.800
<v Speaker 12>or public markets funding this stock price. But you've got

0:21:47.840 --> 0:21:50.840
<v Speaker 12>a billionaire sitting behind them and he can spend his

0:21:51.040 --> 0:21:52.800
<v Speaker 12>money the way he wants.

0:21:53.800 --> 0:21:57.000
<v Speaker 3>I'm talking Larry Ellison, that of David Ellison, of course

0:21:57.040 --> 0:21:59.159
<v Speaker 3>Laura Martin. So it's so great catching up with me.

0:21:59.320 --> 0:22:02.600
<v Speaker 3>Thank you from Needham and Co. Coming up more earnings.

0:22:02.840 --> 0:22:06.400
<v Speaker 3>How are results impacting the AI disruption fears that engulfed

0:22:06.440 --> 0:22:08.440
<v Speaker 3>this market, particularly in the area of software.

0:22:09.200 --> 0:22:10.400
<v Speaker 6>We're discussing that next.

0:22:10.400 --> 0:22:13.119
<v Speaker 3>We're also talking hardware and in video we've got to

0:22:13.160 --> 0:22:14.120
<v Speaker 3>talk about there.

0:22:14.640 --> 0:22:14.880
<v Speaker 6>Yeah.

0:22:14.960 --> 0:22:17.640
<v Speaker 2>Look, it's clearly having a drag on the market. We're

0:22:17.640 --> 0:22:19.399
<v Speaker 2>not down as much as we were, but it's still

0:22:19.440 --> 0:22:22.400
<v Speaker 2>down four percent, and like it is a sentiment change.

0:22:22.400 --> 0:22:25.560
<v Speaker 2>We've gone from basically muted on what was a be

0:22:25.800 --> 0:22:29.800
<v Speaker 2>even against bullish by side expectations to a very bearish

0:22:29.840 --> 0:22:33.520
<v Speaker 2>reaction to what Nvidia had to say about the durability

0:22:33.880 --> 0:22:36.360
<v Speaker 2>of this AI spend, and there is a lot more

0:22:36.359 --> 0:22:38.760
<v Speaker 2>to unpick, so much more analysis and reaction to come.

0:22:38.800 --> 0:22:41.040
<v Speaker 6>It is halftime and this is Bloomberg Tech.

0:22:50.720 --> 0:22:52.600
<v Speaker 3>Welcome back to Bloomberg Tech. It is a big day

0:22:52.600 --> 0:22:54.359
<v Speaker 3>in the markets because it's a big day of earnings

0:22:54.359 --> 0:22:56.399
<v Speaker 3>and the number one most valuable company in the world

0:22:56.600 --> 0:22:57.800
<v Speaker 3>has failed to impress.

0:22:57.880 --> 0:22:59.080
<v Speaker 6>What more is in Vidia to do?

0:22:59.280 --> 0:23:02.320
<v Speaker 3>So by three point nine percent, they saw seventy three

0:23:02.440 --> 0:23:05.280
<v Speaker 3>percent increase in revenue for the quarter that they posted

0:23:05.600 --> 0:23:08.000
<v Speaker 3>for a giant that is worth four point eight million dollars.

0:23:08.200 --> 0:23:10.639
<v Speaker 3>They say that that's going to accelerate to seventy eight percent.

0:23:10.800 --> 0:23:13.200
<v Speaker 3>They see margins that are expanding as well. But yet

0:23:13.240 --> 0:23:16.000
<v Speaker 3>the market isn't convinced, and still we see the stocks

0:23:16.080 --> 0:23:19.400
<v Speaker 3>roll over across the board when you're looking at AMD down, Broadcom, Micron,

0:23:19.800 --> 0:23:22.760
<v Speaker 3>the Force hardware lower. Let's look at software though, because

0:23:22.880 --> 0:23:25.359
<v Speaker 3>earnings have also been coming thick and fast. There both

0:23:25.440 --> 0:23:27.679
<v Speaker 3>actually in the green snowplink. We just had the CEO

0:23:27.800 --> 0:23:30.040
<v Speaker 3>one talking about how they're able to be at the

0:23:30.040 --> 0:23:34.040
<v Speaker 3>epicenter of the enterprise AI adoption and the now investors

0:23:34.080 --> 0:23:36.440
<v Speaker 3>believe that. But I'm looking at Salesforce managing to turn around.

0:23:36.440 --> 0:23:38.960
<v Speaker 3>It was down after the market yesterday. They post a

0:23:39.000 --> 0:23:41.960
<v Speaker 3>fifty billion dollar authorization to buy back shares. We're seeing

0:23:41.960 --> 0:23:43.840
<v Speaker 3>an adoption of Agent Force that is now an eight

0:23:43.960 --> 0:23:46.640
<v Speaker 3>hundred million dollar run rate, up from five hundred. We're

0:23:46.680 --> 0:23:48.639
<v Speaker 3>up two point five percent. But both of these stocks

0:23:48.680 --> 0:23:50.960
<v Speaker 3>have been battered over the course of the last few months.

0:23:51.000 --> 0:23:54.200
<v Speaker 2>The Okay, let's get more on Salesforce's earnings and speak

0:23:54.200 --> 0:23:56.679
<v Speaker 2>with Bloomberg's Brody Ford. In twenty four hours ago when

0:23:56.680 --> 0:23:58.480
<v Speaker 2>you're on the show, we were saying this is going

0:23:58.560 --> 0:24:02.879
<v Speaker 2>to be about them evidence seeing organic growth versus inorganic growth,

0:24:02.920 --> 0:24:06.080
<v Speaker 2>and actually that did come up. They talked about, actually,

0:24:06.119 --> 0:24:09.120
<v Speaker 2>you know, whatever's happening in AI, the thing that they're

0:24:09.119 --> 0:24:11.720
<v Speaker 2>offering will help them grow as opposed to just buying

0:24:11.800 --> 0:24:13.359
<v Speaker 2>up other companies that are growing fast.

0:24:13.560 --> 0:24:16.560
<v Speaker 13>Absolutely, so, I mean, the big concern is that the

0:24:16.680 --> 0:24:20.679
<v Speaker 13>core Salesforce products for let's say, managing your salesforce or

0:24:20.720 --> 0:24:24.440
<v Speaker 13>managing your service, these are slowing down quite a bit.

0:24:24.640 --> 0:24:27.320
<v Speaker 13>And so they're new AI tools. They are making some

0:24:27.440 --> 0:24:30.160
<v Speaker 13>money one hundred million dollars per year at this point.

0:24:30.960 --> 0:24:34.000
<v Speaker 13>Is that enough to offset the slowdown in the core business?

0:24:34.080 --> 0:24:35.760
<v Speaker 13>I mean, they're in the green today, but we have

0:24:35.840 --> 0:24:39.760
<v Speaker 13>to remember application software has been incredibly beat up this year,

0:24:39.800 --> 0:24:42.320
<v Speaker 13>and if you zoom that chart out, it's still not

0:24:42.400 --> 0:24:45.040
<v Speaker 13>an amazing picture as an ugly picture.

0:24:45.280 --> 0:24:46.879
<v Speaker 3>In fact, if you're looking over the course of the

0:24:46.920 --> 0:24:50.679
<v Speaker 3>last twelve months, Brody and in terms of Agent Force adoption,

0:24:50.800 --> 0:24:53.159
<v Speaker 3>in terms of that average revenue run rate, are we

0:24:53.280 --> 0:24:56.080
<v Speaker 3>seeing them being able to prove out that they're so intertwined.

0:24:56.119 --> 0:24:58.240
<v Speaker 3>No one's going to be forcing out the platform, and

0:24:58.280 --> 0:24:59.840
<v Speaker 3>it's more just a question of how much they can

0:25:00.080 --> 0:25:01.040
<v Speaker 3>much for it going forward.

0:25:02.760 --> 0:25:05.639
<v Speaker 13>They have proven at this point that agent Force is

0:25:05.680 --> 0:25:08.439
<v Speaker 13>a real product. People are paying for it. That was

0:25:08.480 --> 0:25:12.359
<v Speaker 13>an open question six twelve months ago. What's less clear

0:25:12.640 --> 0:25:16.520
<v Speaker 13>is do they have a ton of pricing leverage our

0:25:16.560 --> 0:25:19.680
<v Speaker 13>customers increasing total spend with salesforce?

0:25:19.800 --> 0:25:20.000
<v Speaker 5>Right?

0:25:20.080 --> 0:25:22.359
<v Speaker 13>I mean, is this a question of your spending money

0:25:22.400 --> 0:25:25.119
<v Speaker 13>on agent Force but you're not expanding your seats on

0:25:25.160 --> 0:25:28.480
<v Speaker 13>the core platform. The jury is still out on whether

0:25:29.040 --> 0:25:33.240
<v Speaker 13>generative AI means that leading platforms remain this kind of

0:25:33.359 --> 0:25:34.440
<v Speaker 13>center of gravity.

0:25:35.359 --> 0:25:38.560
<v Speaker 3>Ready forward, We thank you, as you always for talking

0:25:38.600 --> 0:25:40.520
<v Speaker 3>us through software. Let's talk about how the markets are

0:25:40.520 --> 0:25:42.600
<v Speaker 3>digesting all of these earnings. We're going to go back,

0:25:42.600 --> 0:25:44.600
<v Speaker 3>of course in videos results as well, with none of

0:25:44.600 --> 0:25:48.360
<v Speaker 3>them than Nancy Tegla CEO CIO Techno Investments, which joins

0:25:48.440 --> 0:25:51.080
<v Speaker 3>us on our birthday and also our super Bowl day

0:25:51.320 --> 0:25:53.879
<v Speaker 3>that is in video. But let's just start with software

0:25:53.880 --> 0:25:56.520
<v Speaker 3>for a minute. Nancy, what do you make of the

0:25:56.560 --> 0:25:59.600
<v Speaker 3>software numbers that we saw from CRM, that we see

0:25:59.600 --> 0:26:02.760
<v Speaker 3>from Snowflake as well. Did they manage to push back

0:26:02.800 --> 0:26:07.080
<v Speaker 3>on this disastrous fear engulfing the market that General to

0:26:07.119 --> 0:26:08.200
<v Speaker 3>AI is going to eat their lunch?

0:26:09.480 --> 0:26:14.760
<v Speaker 14>Yeah, thanks Caroline for mentioning my birthday. Goodness Saints pretending

0:26:14.800 --> 0:26:18.439
<v Speaker 14>like I don't have them anymore. I do think that

0:26:18.840 --> 0:26:22.080
<v Speaker 14>some of these companies are facing some really strong headwinds.

0:26:22.359 --> 0:26:25.440
<v Speaker 14>We got out of Salesforce a while ago, not because

0:26:25.480 --> 0:26:28.280
<v Speaker 14>we knew this narrative would prevail, but we just didn't

0:26:28.359 --> 0:26:32.160
<v Speaker 14>see an exciting growth trajectory for the company. We also

0:26:32.200 --> 0:26:34.800
<v Speaker 14>became a client. It was not a great experience, and

0:26:34.840 --> 0:26:38.879
<v Speaker 14>so we canceled our contract. But in terms of software

0:26:38.920 --> 0:26:41.560
<v Speaker 14>in general, I think some of these companies are going

0:26:41.640 --> 0:26:43.399
<v Speaker 14>to win. And I've talked with you in the past

0:26:43.440 --> 0:26:46.320
<v Speaker 14>about Service. Now we still own it. We added to

0:26:46.359 --> 0:26:49.440
<v Speaker 14>it recently. We think they are going to benefit from

0:26:49.440 --> 0:26:53.320
<v Speaker 14>better margins in the future because they're pivoting and vertically integrating.

0:26:53.600 --> 0:26:55.920
<v Speaker 14>But we got out of Adobe and that was because

0:26:55.960 --> 0:26:58.480
<v Speaker 14>we didn't see the company pivoting, and that was a

0:26:58.560 --> 0:26:59.400
<v Speaker 14>number of years ago.

0:27:00.080 --> 0:27:01.200
<v Speaker 8>About it over a year.

0:27:01.040 --> 0:27:04.159
<v Speaker 14>Ago, and so I think that's what investors have to

0:27:04.680 --> 0:27:07.359
<v Speaker 14>digest is who are going to be the winners? And

0:27:07.680 --> 0:27:10.360
<v Speaker 14>Salesforce will be in business, but they may not put

0:27:10.440 --> 0:27:12.359
<v Speaker 14>up the kind of growth numbers they've put in the past,

0:27:12.400 --> 0:27:14.240
<v Speaker 14>and we won't know for a couple of days because

0:27:14.359 --> 0:27:16.600
<v Speaker 14>it was down pre market, then it's shot up.

0:27:16.680 --> 0:27:17.880
<v Speaker 8>And now it's calling back.

0:27:18.000 --> 0:27:19.800
<v Speaker 14>So I think you have to wait for the hedge

0:27:19.800 --> 0:27:22.720
<v Speaker 14>funds and the algos to settle in and then we'll

0:27:22.720 --> 0:27:25.440
<v Speaker 14>see if investors come back to the name long term investors.

0:27:26.040 --> 0:27:28.280
<v Speaker 3>It's interesting, Natcy, you called out service. Now we know

0:27:28.320 --> 0:27:30.399
<v Speaker 3>that you've caught out before, and indeed Jensen Hang has

0:27:30.440 --> 0:27:35.119
<v Speaker 3>been on calling out service now himself. I'm the winner. Nazie,

0:27:35.200 --> 0:27:39.200
<v Speaker 3>go back to your own well experience with using the

0:27:39.240 --> 0:27:41.600
<v Speaker 3>Salesforce product. Why didn't you like it? Why didn't you

0:27:41.640 --> 0:27:44.600
<v Speaker 3>cut it? What was it that we're not getting offered?

0:27:44.840 --> 0:27:45.800
<v Speaker 3>That keeps it sticky.

0:27:47.000 --> 0:27:48.520
<v Speaker 8>So this is interesting, Caroline.

0:27:48.560 --> 0:27:51.240
<v Speaker 14>I think this is the story of this market. So

0:27:51.280 --> 0:27:55.479
<v Speaker 14>we were going to use it internally and as for

0:27:55.520 --> 0:27:56.720
<v Speaker 14>the obvious reason.

0:27:56.560 --> 0:27:57.920
<v Speaker 8>And it took almost a year.

0:27:58.000 --> 0:28:01.320
<v Speaker 14>They assign you to someone who helps you get set

0:28:01.400 --> 0:28:04.399
<v Speaker 14>up and customize the product. Before we were even up

0:28:04.440 --> 0:28:07.760
<v Speaker 14>and live, we had a price increase. It was very clunky.

0:28:07.920 --> 0:28:10.760
<v Speaker 14>It was not a smooth process. A lot of hard sell,

0:28:11.000 --> 0:28:13.680
<v Speaker 14>not a lot of delivery and service. We are shifting

0:28:13.760 --> 0:28:18.280
<v Speaker 14>our investment management software away from Advent to Ridgeline. Ridgeline

0:28:18.320 --> 0:28:22.720
<v Speaker 14>was founded, built from scratch, new technology, founded by David Duffield.

0:28:23.359 --> 0:28:24.200
<v Speaker 8>He made the pivot.

0:28:24.240 --> 0:28:26.720
<v Speaker 14>I mean he still obviously owns tons of shares in workday,

0:28:27.000 --> 0:28:29.919
<v Speaker 14>but that firm is a joy and a privilege to

0:28:30.040 --> 0:28:33.000
<v Speaker 14>work with. So I think that's what software providers are.

0:28:32.880 --> 0:28:35.399
<v Speaker 8>Going to have to do. They're going to have to.

0:28:34.920 --> 0:28:38.120
<v Speaker 14>Service and show that they add value to the underlying business.

0:28:38.920 --> 0:28:41.840
<v Speaker 2>There is a link here between that and Nvidia's earnings.

0:28:41.920 --> 0:28:43.920
<v Speaker 2>Your main takeaway from the call last night is the

0:28:43.960 --> 0:28:48.240
<v Speaker 2>same that we've been talking about all morning. Computes equals inference,

0:28:48.320 --> 0:28:51.240
<v Speaker 2>which equals revenues, and the way that Jensen Wong explained

0:28:51.280 --> 0:28:55.479
<v Speaker 2>that was profitable tokens. In other words, customers of all

0:28:55.560 --> 0:28:58.440
<v Speaker 2>kinds are willing to pay for the output of an

0:28:58.480 --> 0:29:01.600
<v Speaker 2>AI model, and that actually the economics have improved. The

0:29:01.680 --> 0:29:03.760
<v Speaker 2>thing is, I don't see any evidence of that in

0:29:03.800 --> 0:29:07.920
<v Speaker 2>any of the software company's earnings yet, do you not?

0:29:08.440 --> 0:29:08.680
<v Speaker 6>Yet?

0:29:08.720 --> 0:29:09.360
<v Speaker 8>I don't think so.

0:29:09.480 --> 0:29:11.800
<v Speaker 14>Part of that is capacity though, ed I mean, you

0:29:11.880 --> 0:29:15.320
<v Speaker 14>heard Microsoft say they took some of their own capacity,

0:29:15.360 --> 0:29:18.880
<v Speaker 14>but you heard them say and Amazon two, we can

0:29:18.920 --> 0:29:22.040
<v Speaker 14>fill whatever we get immediately in terms of demand, but

0:29:22.080 --> 0:29:25.280
<v Speaker 14>they don't have enough capacity. So I guess I would.

0:29:25.040 --> 0:29:25.920
<v Speaker 9>Look at it two ways.

0:29:25.960 --> 0:29:28.000
<v Speaker 14>One is, if you go back and look at Capex

0:29:28.080 --> 0:29:30.760
<v Speaker 14>in the nineties, it was about a two standard deviation

0:29:30.880 --> 0:29:34.200
<v Speaker 14>above the means spend in tech capex, we're not even

0:29:34.280 --> 0:29:38.000
<v Speaker 14>one standard deviation away from the mean. And one man's

0:29:38.360 --> 0:29:43.040
<v Speaker 14>Capex spend is another man's revenue. So AMD, Nvidia, broadcom

0:29:43.120 --> 0:29:45.640
<v Speaker 14>names we all own will continue to benefit.

0:29:45.760 --> 0:29:46.800
<v Speaker 8>And here's the last thing.

0:29:46.840 --> 0:29:50.880
<v Speaker 14>I'll say, sixty percent earnings growth at Nvidia, a pe

0:29:50.920 --> 0:29:54.240
<v Speaker 14>of somewhere around twenty three to twenty four Procter and Gamble,

0:29:54.360 --> 0:29:57.040
<v Speaker 14>two percent earnings growth on next year's earnings, and a

0:29:57.040 --> 0:30:00.200
<v Speaker 14>pe of twenty four, so I know which one I

0:30:00.280 --> 0:30:02.000
<v Speaker 14>want to own for the long term. But there's a

0:30:02.080 --> 0:30:04.520
<v Speaker 14>lot of trading going on. There's a lot of hiding

0:30:04.560 --> 0:30:07.520
<v Speaker 14>in the defensive names. That's what happens during this period.

0:30:07.640 --> 0:30:10.000
<v Speaker 14>It happened last year if you look at all these

0:30:10.080 --> 0:30:12.960
<v Speaker 14>names after Deep Seek, where we thought the world was ending.

0:30:13.120 --> 0:30:15.480
<v Speaker 14>I mean, we were buying a video at just over

0:30:15.520 --> 0:30:18.560
<v Speaker 14>one hundred dollars a share. That's still a good investment.

0:30:19.600 --> 0:30:22.360
<v Speaker 2>But you are in a video shareholder, I think you continued

0:30:22.400 --> 0:30:24.600
<v Speaker 2>to like the name. Right, So what was your big

0:30:24.640 --> 0:30:28.560
<v Speaker 2>takeaway from any of the earning sprint or the cool Yeah,

0:30:28.600 --> 0:30:29.160
<v Speaker 2>I think.

0:30:29.080 --> 0:30:31.720
<v Speaker 14>No one's really talking about the growth and Sovereign, which

0:30:31.760 --> 0:30:34.680
<v Speaker 14>is just getting started. So I understand it's a small

0:30:34.680 --> 0:30:38.440
<v Speaker 14>portion of total revenues. It was thirty billion dollars last quarter,

0:30:38.600 --> 0:30:41.360
<v Speaker 14>up three x a year over year, though.

0:30:41.400 --> 0:30:44.320
<v Speaker 6>And I think excluding China, right, yes.

0:30:44.600 --> 0:30:49.280
<v Speaker 14>Yes, excluding China, I think that's important and the company

0:30:49.320 --> 0:30:53.239
<v Speaker 14>It's just like when Tesla's megapack business got started, it

0:30:53.280 --> 0:30:56.520
<v Speaker 14>became the fastest growing, most profitable business. I think we

0:30:56.560 --> 0:31:00.479
<v Speaker 14>will continue to see these companies expand their reach and

0:31:00.600 --> 0:31:03.360
<v Speaker 14>more compute is going to be more demand and we

0:31:03.360 --> 0:31:05.400
<v Speaker 14>are going. You know, I think he made a really

0:31:05.480 --> 0:31:09.880
<v Speaker 14>interesting comment. What if or what what if? When we

0:31:09.960 --> 0:31:13.360
<v Speaker 14>have one hundred percent autonomous calls cars let's call it

0:31:13.400 --> 0:31:17.360
<v Speaker 14>fifty or even thirty five cars that are autonomous, the

0:31:17.440 --> 0:31:19.840
<v Speaker 14>compute demand is going to be great, and those data

0:31:19.840 --> 0:31:24.400
<v Speaker 14>centers in space while super intriguing intellectually and capture the imagination,

0:31:24.480 --> 0:31:25.959
<v Speaker 14>that's not going to happen very quickly.

0:31:27.160 --> 0:31:30.320
<v Speaker 2>Nancy Tengler from LAFA Tengler Investments, thank you very much. Now,

0:31:30.320 --> 0:31:32.640
<v Speaker 2>coming up more earnings, we're going to speak with chime

0:31:32.720 --> 0:31:35.840
<v Speaker 2>CEO Chris Britt following that company's report.

0:31:36.080 --> 0:31:45.640
<v Speaker 6>This is Bloomberg Tech Okay.

0:31:45.680 --> 0:31:48.520
<v Speaker 2>Shares of chime Or up almost eleven percent, more than

0:31:48.520 --> 0:31:51.120
<v Speaker 2>ten percent, on track for their best days since November

0:31:51.200 --> 0:31:54.360
<v Speaker 2>earlier in the session of almost seventeen percent, and on

0:31:54.440 --> 0:31:57.720
<v Speaker 2>track for their best day since the company ipoed last June.

0:31:57.720 --> 0:32:01.600
<v Speaker 2>The fintech firm issued guidance that toppden this expectations, driven

0:32:01.640 --> 0:32:05.240
<v Speaker 2>by rising user growth strong demand for digital banking products.

0:32:05.480 --> 0:32:08.560
<v Speaker 2>Chime CEO Chris Britt joins us, Now, actually, the other

0:32:08.560 --> 0:32:10.520
<v Speaker 2>thing you're getting a lot of credit for is a

0:32:10.560 --> 0:32:13.640
<v Speaker 2>technology story. A lot of the transition to your own

0:32:13.680 --> 0:32:17.280
<v Speaker 2>tech stack. How you've managed the company. You don't need

0:32:17.320 --> 0:32:20.600
<v Speaker 2>to grow headcount necessarily because of the focus and investment

0:32:20.640 --> 0:32:22.320
<v Speaker 2>you've made on take Do you mind if we start

0:32:22.360 --> 0:32:25.600
<v Speaker 2>with that and explain a bit about the strategy behind that.

0:32:26.800 --> 0:32:27.080
<v Speaker 6>Yeah.

0:32:27.120 --> 0:32:29.480
<v Speaker 8>Absolutely, And first of all, thanks for having me today.

0:32:29.520 --> 0:32:31.560
<v Speaker 5>I'm so proud of this team and the way that

0:32:31.600 --> 0:32:35.440
<v Speaker 5>we've executed. I think we're shipping faster than ever. And

0:32:36.440 --> 0:32:38.680
<v Speaker 5>you know, if you just think about this first year

0:32:38.800 --> 0:32:40.560
<v Speaker 5>of this is the first time we're reporting as a

0:32:40.560 --> 0:32:44.200
<v Speaker 5>public company our full year results, and they were outstanding.

0:32:44.240 --> 0:32:48.200
<v Speaker 5>You know, we added a million five new active members

0:32:48.240 --> 0:32:50.600
<v Speaker 5>who are now at nine point five million actives. We

0:32:50.640 --> 0:32:54.360
<v Speaker 5>took the company public, we launched a range of new products,

0:32:54.360 --> 0:32:57.520
<v Speaker 5>we launched a new business in our enterprise channel, and yes,

0:32:57.920 --> 0:33:01.560
<v Speaker 5>to your point, we completed the conversion of our core

0:33:01.640 --> 0:33:05.240
<v Speaker 5>processing and ledtering system onto our own in house tech stack,

0:33:05.320 --> 0:33:09.760
<v Speaker 5>top to bottom, and that's really unleashed not only lowered costs,

0:33:09.760 --> 0:33:12.520
<v Speaker 5>but also unleashed a whole set of new products and

0:33:12.560 --> 0:33:15.680
<v Speaker 5>services for our members. That drove awesome results for the

0:33:15.760 --> 0:33:19.280
<v Speaker 5>year of two point two billion dollars of top line revenue.

0:33:20.360 --> 0:33:21.160
<v Speaker 8>Growing up, we're.

0:33:21.040 --> 0:33:24.360
<v Speaker 5>Thirty percent and we got to a ten percent EBITA

0:33:24.480 --> 0:33:27.200
<v Speaker 5>margin in Q four, So feeling good across the board,

0:33:27.320 --> 0:33:30.360
<v Speaker 5>and this technology platform really is an enabler for our

0:33:30.400 --> 0:33:31.080
<v Speaker 5>future growth.

0:33:31.800 --> 0:33:34.080
<v Speaker 2>Last month I was on your own website. You did

0:33:34.080 --> 0:33:36.240
<v Speaker 2>this kind of blog post. It was what is chime?

0:33:36.560 --> 0:33:40.080
<v Speaker 2>Chime is not a bank, and if you consider, you

0:33:40.080 --> 0:33:42.600
<v Speaker 2>know what the products you're offering are a big part

0:33:42.840 --> 0:33:45.920
<v Speaker 2>of where the streets focused on is new products coming

0:33:45.920 --> 0:33:48.000
<v Speaker 2>to market and how you've monetized that. So you take

0:33:48.080 --> 0:33:51.680
<v Speaker 2>Chime card for example, through that lens, explain what you are,

0:33:52.000 --> 0:33:54.600
<v Speaker 2>but also how you've been able to launch a sort

0:33:54.600 --> 0:33:58.000
<v Speaker 2>of wider offering of financial services.

0:33:58.080 --> 0:33:59.520
<v Speaker 6>Is a fintech company.

0:34:00.520 --> 0:34:02.920
<v Speaker 8>Right, Chime at our core, we're a technology company.

0:34:02.960 --> 0:34:05.000
<v Speaker 5>We partner with banks, and so when you sign up

0:34:05.000 --> 0:34:07.800
<v Speaker 5>for a Chime account, think of it you're basically doing.

0:34:07.880 --> 0:34:12.000
<v Speaker 5>There's a three way relationship between the consumer, Chime as

0:34:12.000 --> 0:34:15.920
<v Speaker 5>the technology enabler and brand and the design and deliver

0:34:16.360 --> 0:34:19.719
<v Speaker 5>delivery of all the actual experience, and then the bank.

0:34:19.840 --> 0:34:22.799
<v Speaker 5>So we have some community bank partners that actually hold

0:34:22.800 --> 0:34:26.640
<v Speaker 5>the deposits in FDIC insured accounts for our members. And

0:34:26.680 --> 0:34:29.400
<v Speaker 5>this approach has worked really, really well, particularly for mainstream

0:34:29.400 --> 0:34:33.480
<v Speaker 5>American people that oftentimes live paycheck to paycheck, basically the

0:34:33.480 --> 0:34:36.080
<v Speaker 5>population that makes up to about one hundred thousand dollars

0:34:36.120 --> 0:34:38.040
<v Speaker 5>a year. That's the segment that we serve, and we

0:34:38.120 --> 0:34:42.440
<v Speaker 5>offer a range of core banking services, fee free checking accounts,

0:34:42.800 --> 0:34:45.040
<v Speaker 5>the ability to get access to short term lines of

0:34:45.120 --> 0:34:47.920
<v Speaker 5>credit at low cost or no cost, the ability to

0:34:47.920 --> 0:34:50.480
<v Speaker 5>build your credit and to earn high real savings. And

0:34:51.120 --> 0:34:54.319
<v Speaker 5>because we're a technology company, we don't have physical branches

0:34:55.400 --> 0:34:58.920
<v Speaker 5>and a heavy infrastructure physical infrastructure, we're able to operate

0:34:58.920 --> 0:35:01.360
<v Speaker 5>at a really low cost tr sure and we deliver

0:35:01.440 --> 0:35:04.600
<v Speaker 5>that value back to our consumers, and that's allowed us

0:35:04.600 --> 0:35:06.840
<v Speaker 5>to really outmaneuver the big banks.

0:35:06.880 --> 0:35:09.320
<v Speaker 8>We've been continuing to increase.

0:35:09.120 --> 0:35:14.320
<v Speaker 5>Our share of new accounts, new checking accounts in America,

0:35:14.440 --> 0:35:17.719
<v Speaker 5>and third party research continues to show that we are

0:35:17.760 --> 0:35:20.240
<v Speaker 5>having an outsized impact and increasing our share.

0:35:21.000 --> 0:35:23.320
<v Speaker 3>Let's go to swipe fees because that is where you

0:35:23.360 --> 0:35:26.760
<v Speaker 3>get a lot of the revenue. Is there any issue,

0:35:26.800 --> 0:35:29.400
<v Speaker 3>any concern longer terms you scale that will become a

0:35:29.440 --> 0:35:32.360
<v Speaker 3>regulatory issue as you hit certain benchmarks and pounds of

0:35:32.400 --> 0:35:34.320
<v Speaker 3>money that you manage.

0:35:34.520 --> 0:35:34.759
<v Speaker 9>Yeah.

0:35:34.800 --> 0:35:36.680
<v Speaker 5>I think as we've grown over the past few years,

0:35:36.680 --> 0:35:40.000
<v Speaker 5>you've seen an increasing balance in our business. So we

0:35:40.000 --> 0:35:45.279
<v Speaker 5>were historically very heavily reliant on fees that we learned

0:35:45.280 --> 0:35:49.480
<v Speaker 5>from Visa when our debit cards get used for everyday transactions,

0:35:50.080 --> 0:35:52.440
<v Speaker 5>and we've now have a secured.

0:35:52.080 --> 0:35:52.920
<v Speaker 8>Credit card product.

0:35:52.960 --> 0:35:56.080
<v Speaker 5>We launched a product called Chimed Card last year that's

0:35:56.120 --> 0:35:59.640
<v Speaker 5>a reward a secured card that has rewards, and that's

0:35:59.680 --> 0:36:02.800
<v Speaker 5>kind of change the game for everyday transactions in America

0:36:02.880 --> 0:36:07.400
<v Speaker 5>for average people, you know, average sort of mainstream consumers,

0:36:07.800 --> 0:36:12.880
<v Speaker 5>and so that's also contributing revenue line. And then increasingly

0:36:12.920 --> 0:36:18.279
<v Speaker 5>we have other services, our short term overdraft services, and

0:36:19.480 --> 0:36:22.080
<v Speaker 5>our my pay product has been announcedstanding you know, just

0:36:22.160 --> 0:36:24.040
<v Speaker 5>one year in. It's almost a half a billion dollar

0:36:24.520 --> 0:36:27.080
<v Speaker 5>revenue run rate. That allows our members to get access

0:36:27.120 --> 0:36:31.839
<v Speaker 5>to their paycheck essentially on demand, and that's also been

0:36:31.880 --> 0:36:35.439
<v Speaker 5>a nice added, some additional balance to our revenue mix.

0:36:36.320 --> 0:36:38.800
<v Speaker 3>I'm going to ask a sort of more complex and

0:36:39.239 --> 0:36:43.000
<v Speaker 3>maybe a more emotive question. In some way, You've talked

0:36:43.040 --> 0:36:45.480
<v Speaker 3>clearly about how your partnerships with banks. You're not the bank,

0:36:45.520 --> 0:36:47.279
<v Speaker 3>you're not taking the details of the customer in so

0:36:47.320 --> 0:36:49.440
<v Speaker 3>many ways. But there has been a consideration from the

0:36:49.440 --> 0:36:53.919
<v Speaker 3>Trump administration that maybe banks should collect citizenship. Now, given

0:36:53.960 --> 0:36:55.840
<v Speaker 3>the people that you serve at the moment, briefly, Chris,

0:36:55.960 --> 0:36:57.120
<v Speaker 3>is this an issue for you?

0:36:58.760 --> 0:37:00.000
<v Speaker 8>It's absolutely not an issue.

0:37:00.080 --> 0:37:03.400
<v Speaker 5>First of all, we open up FDIC insured checking accounts

0:37:03.440 --> 0:37:06.840
<v Speaker 5>in partnership with our bank partners, so we comply with

0:37:06.920 --> 0:37:10.400
<v Speaker 5>the rules and regulations that are required as occ chartered

0:37:10.800 --> 0:37:14.279
<v Speaker 5>banks that offer these FDIC insured accounts. So for every

0:37:14.360 --> 0:37:18.400
<v Speaker 5>new Chime member, we collect the full Social Security number

0:37:18.560 --> 0:37:21.880
<v Speaker 5>and comply with the Patriot Act and all of the

0:37:22.280 --> 0:37:25.080
<v Speaker 5>KYC requirements to open up a checking account. So this

0:37:26.320 --> 0:37:28.640
<v Speaker 5>any rule changes in this area have no impact on

0:37:28.680 --> 0:37:29.160
<v Speaker 5>our business.

0:37:29.680 --> 0:37:32.640
<v Speaker 3>I'm CEO Chris Britt. We thank you for joining us today.

0:37:33.120 --> 0:37:36.080
<v Speaker 3>Now coming up, we'll come back on today's big story

0:37:36.239 --> 0:37:39.600
<v Speaker 3>in video earnings. How investors are digesting the numbers at

0:37:39.600 --> 0:37:41.080
<v Speaker 3>the moment. You can see they're pushing down the stock

0:37:41.120 --> 0:37:42.640
<v Speaker 3>on the back of it. This is a blue bag tech.

0:37:46.280 --> 0:37:48.920
<v Speaker 15>Nvidia continues to surprise and delight the market.

0:37:49.040 --> 0:37:50.520
<v Speaker 8>Nvidia hit it out of the bar. Get again.

0:37:50.600 --> 0:37:52.480
<v Speaker 16>We saw phenomenal result.

0:37:52.640 --> 0:37:56.600
<v Speaker 15>It was a solid set of earnings and more importantly,

0:37:56.680 --> 0:37:59.359
<v Speaker 15>they had a very confident outlook for how that we're

0:37:59.360 --> 0:38:02.880
<v Speaker 15>going to sell more AI chips and data center product

0:38:03.000 --> 0:38:05.000
<v Speaker 15>going forward, and I think we're all looking forward to

0:38:05.000 --> 0:38:06.839
<v Speaker 15>seeing is that going to be a thing.

0:38:07.040 --> 0:38:10.640
<v Speaker 16>I think what was particularly maybe not surprising, but impressive

0:38:11.200 --> 0:38:13.320
<v Speaker 16>was seventy five percent growth you're owning, you're on the

0:38:13.360 --> 0:38:14.480
<v Speaker 16>data center space.

0:38:14.320 --> 0:38:15.319
<v Speaker 6>As the marketplace.

0:38:15.360 --> 0:38:19.400
<v Speaker 17>Tug of war over is the AI economy booming or

0:38:19.440 --> 0:38:23.560
<v Speaker 17>are there concerns around the A economy? And video continues

0:38:23.600 --> 0:38:26.480
<v Speaker 17>to be regardless of what you know, this debate is

0:38:26.800 --> 0:38:30.960
<v Speaker 17>concluding the stock just keeps getting cheaper and cheaper to

0:38:31.040 --> 0:38:34.960
<v Speaker 17>the point where it's becoming an obvious vibe.

0:38:35.160 --> 0:38:37.440
<v Speaker 16>They're still investing and these are going to, you know,

0:38:37.520 --> 0:38:39.799
<v Speaker 16>signal good times to come for in video in our.

0:38:39.680 --> 0:38:42.200
<v Speaker 15>Opinion, could it be any bigger than this? And they

0:38:42.200 --> 0:38:43.160
<v Speaker 15>basically said yes.

0:38:44.280 --> 0:38:47.640
<v Speaker 3>The reaction very positive from some of Bretting Big TV's

0:38:47.640 --> 0:38:50.600
<v Speaker 3>guests after in video posted. It's whopping numbers, but the

0:38:50.640 --> 0:38:53.560
<v Speaker 3>reaction in the shares is not or by four point

0:38:53.600 --> 0:38:55.959
<v Speaker 3>five percent, that's bring able to make equity reporter common

0:38:56.000 --> 0:38:58.640
<v Speaker 3>Rani King, but what your sources.

0:38:58.280 --> 0:38:58.879
<v Speaker 6>Are telling you?

0:38:58.960 --> 0:39:03.160
<v Speaker 3>Because the numbers with SELLA everyone agrees, So what more

0:39:03.160 --> 0:39:05.040
<v Speaker 3>were they not able to demonstrate?

0:39:05.400 --> 0:39:05.600
<v Speaker 6>Yeah?

0:39:05.640 --> 0:39:08.200
<v Speaker 18>What I'm hearing from investors is that they're really worried

0:39:08.239 --> 0:39:11.040
<v Speaker 18>about the cyclicality here. That's sort of what they're seeing is,

0:39:11.360 --> 0:39:14.040
<v Speaker 18>you know, the thing that might be still concerning people.

0:39:14.200 --> 0:39:17.200
<v Speaker 18>So obviously in Vidia continues to beat and raise, and

0:39:17.280 --> 0:39:19.520
<v Speaker 18>Johnson even said, you know, they think that, you know,

0:39:19.560 --> 0:39:22.560
<v Speaker 18>the hyperscialers are going to continue to spend, but investors

0:39:22.560 --> 0:39:24.239
<v Speaker 18>are worried about that. They're worried that that's going to

0:39:24.280 --> 0:39:26.960
<v Speaker 18>stop at some point and that then in Video will

0:39:27.000 --> 0:39:27.759
<v Speaker 18>be impacted.

0:39:28.760 --> 0:39:30.879
<v Speaker 2>Calm, and the market is now moving and the move

0:39:30.960 --> 0:39:33.520
<v Speaker 2>is significant. What are the single names that you're tracking

0:39:33.600 --> 0:39:36.120
<v Speaker 2>and what's the impact bim from in Nvidia's move lower.

0:39:36.880 --> 0:39:38.840
<v Speaker 18>Yeah, so obviously in Vidia is the big one, but

0:39:38.880 --> 0:39:41.759
<v Speaker 18>we're also looking at other chip makers, so shares of Broadcom,

0:39:42.120 --> 0:39:45.440
<v Speaker 18>Micron we're also down today. You know, they spiked with

0:39:45.480 --> 0:39:47.560
<v Speaker 18>in video sort of in after hours and then followed

0:39:47.600 --> 0:39:50.279
<v Speaker 18>them lower. The other thing that's really interesting today is

0:39:50.320 --> 0:39:53.439
<v Speaker 18>that software names are getting a little bit of buying here.

0:39:53.480 --> 0:39:56.360
<v Speaker 18>So we saw salesforce up that's a reverse from what

0:39:56.440 --> 0:39:59.400
<v Speaker 18>they're where they were after hours after their own earnings report.

0:39:59.520 --> 0:40:02.000
<v Speaker 18>And then we're seeing things like service now higher. So

0:40:02.360 --> 0:40:05.160
<v Speaker 18>that's interesting. We've obviously been seeing a lot of weakness

0:40:05.239 --> 0:40:08.120
<v Speaker 18>in software and maybe a little bit more strength on

0:40:08.440 --> 0:40:10.799
<v Speaker 18>you know, in the Nvidia side. All those shares have

0:40:10.800 --> 0:40:13.440
<v Speaker 18>been in range for quite some time, so seeing a

0:40:13.480 --> 0:40:15.680
<v Speaker 18>switch there today is really interesting.

0:40:15.880 --> 0:40:18.359
<v Speaker 3>Was interested in some parts of the supply chain or

0:40:18.600 --> 0:40:21.480
<v Speaker 3>other areas that have benefited from the AI capex spend

0:40:21.520 --> 0:40:24.480
<v Speaker 3>are still showing resilience. I'm looking at some song traded

0:40:24.520 --> 0:40:26.880
<v Speaker 3>in London, for example, is still holding on to gains.

0:40:27.080 --> 0:40:29.560
<v Speaker 3>Schaheinis had whopping day over in Asia.

0:40:29.640 --> 0:40:31.560
<v Speaker 6>So the still areas that resilient.

0:40:31.600 --> 0:40:33.800
<v Speaker 3>The optical part of the equation for example.

0:40:33.480 --> 0:40:35.399
<v Speaker 18>For sure, I think people still are looking at those

0:40:35.440 --> 0:40:37.640
<v Speaker 18>sort of second derivative picks and shovels, kind of the

0:40:37.680 --> 0:40:41.040
<v Speaker 18>other place where capex is going to be directed and saying, okay,

0:40:41.040 --> 0:40:43.319
<v Speaker 18>we still think that there is strength here. There's still

0:40:43.680 --> 0:40:46.760
<v Speaker 18>building data centers that's going to continue, and so maybe

0:40:46.800 --> 0:40:49.040
<v Speaker 18>moving into that piece of the puzzle a little bit more.

0:40:49.239 --> 0:40:52.760
<v Speaker 18>It's so interesting though, because Nvidia is getting really cheap.

0:40:53.200 --> 0:40:55.399
<v Speaker 18>That's something we're going to keep watching. I mean, it's

0:40:55.520 --> 0:40:58.320
<v Speaker 18>like twenty three times forward earnings. That's barely a premium

0:40:58.320 --> 0:40:59.759
<v Speaker 18>to the s and P five hundred.

0:41:00.280 --> 0:41:03.560
<v Speaker 2>Bimbos common Ranicky, thank you very much. Bloomberg Intelligence out

0:41:03.560 --> 0:41:06.439
<v Speaker 2>within video earnings reaction, noting the beats in the fourth quarter,

0:41:06.719 --> 0:41:09.799
<v Speaker 2>but more impressively that first quarter outlook, pointing to a

0:41:09.880 --> 0:41:13.160
<v Speaker 2>stronger ramp of the GB three hundred system. Bloomberg Intelligence

0:41:13.160 --> 0:41:16.480
<v Speaker 2>seen around this, congen Sabani with us. This was what

0:41:16.560 --> 0:41:20.000
<v Speaker 2>they used to explain margins, you know, the Blackwell ramp.

0:41:20.440 --> 0:41:22.840
<v Speaker 2>But then later this year we're going to get Vera Rubin.

0:41:22.880 --> 0:41:26.319
<v Speaker 2>There will be a transition of technology for their biggest customers.

0:41:26.520 --> 0:41:27.520
<v Speaker 6>How have you modeled for that.

0:41:27.920 --> 0:41:30.279
<v Speaker 19>Yeah, So usually at the start of a new product ramp,

0:41:30.360 --> 0:41:33.040
<v Speaker 19>your margins will get hit. But one key thing is

0:41:33.080 --> 0:41:36.720
<v Speaker 19>different this time is the ramp of improvement of margins

0:41:36.760 --> 0:41:38.879
<v Speaker 19>with the black Bel has been very impressive. We all

0:41:38.920 --> 0:41:41.360
<v Speaker 19>know about the rising memory cost, the rising wavefor and

0:41:41.400 --> 0:41:44.440
<v Speaker 19>package costs. Despite of that, and they don't pass on

0:41:44.480 --> 0:41:46.719
<v Speaker 19>the cost to their customer. Despite of that, they've been

0:41:46.760 --> 0:41:49.520
<v Speaker 19>able to hold that seventy five percent margins a software

0:41:49.560 --> 0:41:52.120
<v Speaker 19>level growth margin. So that speaks to two things. Their

0:41:52.160 --> 0:41:55.400
<v Speaker 19>pricing power and that ability to optimize for costs in

0:41:55.440 --> 0:41:59.080
<v Speaker 19>their supply chain. Hence that large purchase commitment increase, which

0:41:59.120 --> 0:42:02.279
<v Speaker 19>really lets them employ their balance sheet in their supply chain.

0:42:02.600 --> 0:42:05.160
<v Speaker 3>I mean it's even the costs that they identify for

0:42:05.280 --> 0:42:08.160
<v Speaker 3>stock recompense to those that work for them. I mean

0:42:08.200 --> 0:42:10.640
<v Speaker 3>people saying, that's a really classy act from the CFO,

0:42:10.719 --> 0:42:13.759
<v Speaker 3>from investor relations to be making that clear within the

0:42:13.920 --> 0:42:18.360
<v Speaker 3>gap numbers congin. But where therefore are we lacking clarity?

0:42:18.719 --> 0:42:21.680
<v Speaker 3>Is it from the China perspective? Is it future build?

0:42:21.880 --> 0:42:23.959
<v Speaker 3>Where did we need a little bit more?

0:42:26.040 --> 0:42:28.359
<v Speaker 19>I couldn't find anything negative in this print. I mean,

0:42:28.440 --> 0:42:31.400
<v Speaker 19>looking at by set expectations, it very clearly cleared the

0:42:31.400 --> 0:42:34.239
<v Speaker 19>most lofty bogies on the byside. I think this is

0:42:34.360 --> 0:42:37.319
<v Speaker 19>just the reaction seems to be overall AI fritig on

0:42:37.320 --> 0:42:39.920
<v Speaker 19>one end, when the top five customers who are raising

0:42:39.920 --> 0:42:42.960
<v Speaker 19>CAPEX targets are being punished for spending that money. You

0:42:43.000 --> 0:42:45.920
<v Speaker 19>can't have it both ways, where the company that's capturing

0:42:45.960 --> 0:42:50.320
<v Speaker 19>all that revenue also does not gets rewarded for taking

0:42:50.520 --> 0:42:51.640
<v Speaker 19>a lot of that high spend.

0:42:51.480 --> 0:42:54.480
<v Speaker 2>Which is very quickly networking provided a lot of the

0:42:54.520 --> 0:42:55.759
<v Speaker 2>outside just explain it.

0:42:56.239 --> 0:42:58.719
<v Speaker 19>Yeah, you know, people have people don't pay it. A

0:42:58.719 --> 0:43:01.040
<v Speaker 19>lot of attention to the networking. But networking has been

0:43:01.080 --> 0:43:04.359
<v Speaker 19>surpassing expeditions every single quarter, and I think it will

0:43:04.520 --> 0:43:07.399
<v Speaker 19>greatly because now they're networking, they can sell it even

0:43:07.400 --> 0:43:08.000
<v Speaker 19>where their.

0:43:07.880 --> 0:43:08.680
<v Speaker 6>GPUs don't go.

0:43:08.960 --> 0:43:11.560
<v Speaker 19>So even like a six for an Amazon, which are

0:43:11.560 --> 0:43:13.560
<v Speaker 19>supposed to be growing and taking share away from the

0:43:13.640 --> 0:43:16.880
<v Speaker 19>Nvidia GPUs, they're going to plug it with Nvidia networking.

0:43:16.920 --> 0:43:18.960
<v Speaker 19>So that's a new source of revenue even where they

0:43:19.000 --> 0:43:20.560
<v Speaker 19>don't have the chips in the servers.

0:43:21.000 --> 0:43:24.480
<v Speaker 3>Qunjian Savani is a bullish take from Bloomberg Intelligence, just

0:43:24.520 --> 0:43:26.000
<v Speaker 3>not a bullish reaction on the stock.

0:43:26.080 --> 0:43:26.520
<v Speaker 6>That does it.

0:43:26.560 --> 0:43:29.759
<v Speaker 3>For this edition of Bloomberg Tech, Extraordinary day on these

0:43:29.760 --> 0:43:31.160
<v Speaker 3>market seat, Yeah.

0:43:31.080 --> 0:43:33.440
<v Speaker 2>We have reaction from the cell side, from the byside

0:43:33.480 --> 0:43:35.440
<v Speaker 2>and in house, the reporting of the things you need

0:43:35.480 --> 0:43:38.000
<v Speaker 2>to know. Recap that on the podcast. You know where

0:43:38.000 --> 0:43:40.680
<v Speaker 2>to find it. It's from the Bloomberg terminal and online

0:43:40.760 --> 0:43:43.080
<v Speaker 2>on Apple, Spotify and Ihea.

0:43:43.640 --> 0:43:44.680
<v Speaker 6>This is Bloomberg Tech