WEBVTT - Beating The Book: Guessing Lines Week 9 0:00:03.440 --> 0:00:12.760 Check it down man, now down man. Good Monday morning 0:00:12.840 --> 0:00:14.600 to you right here on the Numbers game at Visa 0:00:14.760 --> 0:00:17.560 Sports Betting Network Serious except Channel two four, Visa dot Com, 0:00:17.600 --> 0:00:22.200 the Visa Boa Sling and Game Plus guessing lines for 0:00:22.400 --> 0:00:24.880 week number nine in the National Football League. That's what 0:00:24.920 --> 0:00:27.440 we do here on Monday's um. We'll look back, of 0:00:27.480 --> 0:00:29.920 course to all the games at week eight. Uh. And 0:00:30.040 --> 0:00:32.360 we do this with a gentleman who was not able 0:00:32.360 --> 0:00:34.720 to make it last week, but of course he's the 0:00:34.760 --> 0:00:36.720 star of the show and he's back with us this week. 0:00:36.760 --> 0:00:38.880 We could not be happier. He's the south Point Sports 0:00:38.880 --> 0:00:41.960 Book Director, Chris the Andrews. Good morning to you, Chris. 0:00:41.960 --> 0:00:46.560 How are you? I'm not too bad, Gil going the 0:00:47.000 --> 0:00:49.120 way better than I did last week, that's for sure. 0:00:49.320 --> 0:00:53.360 Before we get into any of this, of the system 0:00:53.400 --> 0:00:55.240 that we do here on the show, which is I'm 0:00:55.280 --> 0:00:57.280 in a Cocoon. This is a tribute to the old 0:00:57.280 --> 0:01:00.520 Stardust radio show of the same of the same milk, 0:01:00.640 --> 0:01:02.600 where we go through the lines. You tell us what 0:01:02.600 --> 0:01:04.720 we're gonna post. I am in a cocoon. I guessed 0:01:04.760 --> 0:01:06.720 them before we get in any of that. Can you 0:01:06.760 --> 0:01:09.200 walk us through because I think that you are beloved 0:01:09.319 --> 0:01:12.080 for sure. Uh, And so I think people want to 0:01:12.120 --> 0:01:15.959 know how you when you first felt symptoms, What were 0:01:15.959 --> 0:01:18.120 they like, how bad did they get? What was the 0:01:18.160 --> 0:01:20.520 full arc? How do you feel now, et cetera. Take 0:01:20.600 --> 0:01:24.880 us back to the first time you felt something odd. Well, 0:01:25.040 --> 0:01:28.319 last Thursday, you know, probably late in the afternoon, I 0:01:28.360 --> 0:01:33.480 just started coughing and coughing and coughing. And you know, 0:01:33.840 --> 0:01:35.960 I just in this day and age when I first started, 0:01:36.520 --> 0:01:39.160 I I have COVID, you know. And that night I 0:01:39.240 --> 0:01:42.640 went home, tried to sleep. It was up all night, 0:01:42.959 --> 0:01:45.119 you know, I couldn't sleep more in ten fifteen minutes 0:01:45.160 --> 0:01:47.520 at a time because my coughing and just waked me up. 0:01:47.880 --> 0:01:51.400 Finally went into uh you know, you know, an easy 0:01:51.440 --> 0:01:54.280 boy and a lady boys chair. Got a little bit 0:01:54.280 --> 0:01:55.760 of sleep here, so I could sleep a little better 0:01:55.760 --> 0:01:58.280 that way. So I got up in the morning feeling 0:01:58.440 --> 0:02:01.680 just weird, you know. UH, had the run of the 0:02:01.680 --> 0:02:06.280 bathroom on occasion, took my temperature. It was ninety seven 0:02:06.320 --> 0:02:09.440 point oh at one point, and then you know, I 0:02:09.520 --> 0:02:12.680 know that's not a fever, the exact opposite, and something's wrong, 0:02:13.240 --> 0:02:14.800 you know. Then I took it like about half an 0:02:14.840 --> 0:02:17.680 hour later and it was ninety nine point nine. And 0:02:17.720 --> 0:02:20.600 I usually run a little low, so ninety nine point 0:02:20.639 --> 0:02:23.320 nine for me is a pretty high fever. So you know, 0:02:23.360 --> 0:02:25.160 I kind of went thro you know, did it like 0:02:25.240 --> 0:02:28.320 again a half hour laterly down in ninety seven, another 0:02:28.360 --> 0:02:32.040 half hour up there nine nine point something. Something is wrong. 0:02:32.120 --> 0:02:34.840 If it's COVID, I certainly I don't want to get 0:02:34.840 --> 0:02:36.480 the rest of the world sick, you know, So I ran, 0:02:36.960 --> 0:02:39.480 you know, Michael Vaughan set us up to get tested, 0:02:39.520 --> 0:02:43.799 to get tested fairly quickly. Uh So, women got tested. 0:02:44.160 --> 0:02:46.120 You know, they told, well, it'll be six to twelve 0:02:46.200 --> 0:02:49.560 hours before we let you know, you know, Okay, they 0:02:49.600 --> 0:02:51.280 call it back like in an hour, and it is now, 0:02:51.360 --> 0:02:53.519 you got it. So I think it's one of those 0:02:53.520 --> 0:02:56.720 deals where you've got it, they get back here right away. 0:02:56.880 --> 0:02:59.680 And so they put you know, my doctors in USC 0:03:00.120 --> 0:03:03.000 Actually I stayed in contact with them throughout this because 0:03:03.000 --> 0:03:05.520 they originally warned me, you know, you gotta trying not 0:03:05.600 --> 0:03:08.119 to get this with my immune system, you know, which 0:03:08.160 --> 0:03:10.600 they had to wipe out in order for the transplant, 0:03:11.040 --> 0:03:13.000 you know. Uh so I thought they put me on 0:03:13.120 --> 0:03:18.160 some stuff, um and and it really it started helping. 0:03:18.560 --> 0:03:21.760 Like after about day four or five, I could see 0:03:21.800 --> 0:03:25.120 I was, I started getting better, like actually fairly dramatically, 0:03:25.760 --> 0:03:27.799 but you know, and it's just been getting better ever 0:03:27.840 --> 0:03:29.640 since then when he just backed up for a second. 0:03:29.639 --> 0:03:32.120 So I found that on Friday. And also and I 0:03:32.160 --> 0:03:34.320 posted this on Twitter, just a little note about it 0:03:34.360 --> 0:03:38.560 without too many details. A good friend of mine got 0:03:38.600 --> 0:03:41.560 it on the Monday before, so like four or five 0:03:41.680 --> 0:03:45.440 days before, got it that day and died the same day. 0:03:45.560 --> 0:03:50.520 Oh my god, you know that? And you know, yeah, 0:03:50.600 --> 0:03:53.000 I was terrified. And like I said, you've got other guys, 0:03:53.120 --> 0:03:55.320 you know, like I saw were Bobby bout and he's 0:03:55.360 --> 0:03:58.240 like one. He sailed through it in a couple of days. 0:03:58.280 --> 0:04:00.880 You know. So there's so much about this disease. They 0:04:00.920 --> 0:04:04.080 just don't know. You affect somebody so differently, Like I said, 0:04:04.120 --> 0:04:06.360 my friend he was sixty three, so a year younger 0:04:06.360 --> 0:04:09.000 than me. They died the same day. And then I 0:04:09.080 --> 0:04:10.800 know another guy, and again I don't want to say 0:04:10.800 --> 0:04:12.480 the company or the name right I have, but a 0:04:12.480 --> 0:04:15.920 good friend of mine, he works with a guy, an 0:04:15.920 --> 0:04:18.479 executive you know, said pretty good care and on it. 0:04:18.720 --> 0:04:21.080 He's had it since like March and can't get rid 0:04:21.120 --> 0:04:24.000 of it, you know, So this disease is just you know, 0:04:24.040 --> 0:04:25.680 like I said, four or five years from the they'll 0:04:25.720 --> 0:04:28.000 come back and say, wow, we really discovered a lot 0:04:28.200 --> 0:04:31.320 you know about But right now it's a brand new 0:04:31.360 --> 0:04:35.720 they don't know. And if that's people really differently, and 0:04:35.880 --> 0:04:39.240 I'm not sure they know exactly why. But I was very, 0:04:39.360 --> 0:04:42.960 very lucky. And you know, beforehand, they thought I would 0:04:42.960 --> 0:04:45.039 be one of the guys that wasn't very lucky, but 0:04:45.440 --> 0:04:47.360 you know, I was, you know, for whatever reason, I 0:04:47.440 --> 0:04:51.840 don't know, you know, but I feel much better today. Uh. 0:04:51.839 --> 0:04:54.240 You know, last week I couldn't talk. I couldn't get 0:04:54.240 --> 0:04:57.000 on you show because I couldn't talk. You know, my 0:04:57.120 --> 0:04:59.640 voice was so bad and if I talked to more 0:04:59.640 --> 0:05:01.640 than like a minute, I would just start coughing. So 0:05:01.680 --> 0:05:04.080 I just couldn't do the show last week. But you know, 0:05:04.120 --> 0:05:07.000 I feel a lot better today. I'm gonna probably get 0:05:07.040 --> 0:05:13.400 tested again, probably tomorrow today day eleven, and uh, you know, 0:05:13.839 --> 0:05:16.320 probably get tested tomorrow. I got to see kind of 0:05:16.320 --> 0:05:19.960 what the protocols are and go from there and uh, 0:05:20.120 --> 0:05:22.880 you know, hopefully I test negative. You know, I do 0:05:23.080 --> 0:05:25.359 feel pretty good, I can tell you that. But I 0:05:25.440 --> 0:05:30.279 do comm you occasionally, but it's not terrible like it was. Okay, 0:05:30.320 --> 0:05:32.279 but the rules are if you if you feel not 0:05:32.440 --> 0:05:34.520 up to anything in the next two hours, you're allowed 0:05:34.560 --> 0:05:36.800 to leave in the middle. That's the rule where we 0:05:36.839 --> 0:05:41.320 agree on that. Okay, you were literally by the way, 0:05:41.360 --> 0:05:43.800 it's Gil Alexander, Chris Andrews. It is a numbers game 0:05:43.880 --> 0:05:46.479 right here at Visa and the Sports Betting Network guessing 0:05:46.520 --> 0:05:48.599 lines for week nine. That's what we're about to do 0:05:48.720 --> 0:05:52.320 here for the National Football League, our Monday tradition. Because 0:05:52.320 --> 0:05:55.080 the last thing on this obviously you, Chrissy, based on 0:05:55.160 --> 0:05:59.680 your your your pre existing conditions. You were the last guy, right, 0:05:59.760 --> 0:06:01.760 the last guy we wanted to get this. So I'm 0:06:01.800 --> 0:06:04.400 just so speak on behalf of everybody. How thrilled we 0:06:04.400 --> 0:06:09.080 are that you're doing better. Um, so good, good? You 0:06:09.080 --> 0:06:11.240 have no idea? Well, I'm sure you do. You you 0:06:11.360 --> 0:06:17.279 more than anybody. Yeah. Okay, Well let's begin with Thursday, 0:06:17.320 --> 0:06:19.400 and as always during this, we'll take a look back 0:06:19.440 --> 0:06:25.680 to what was here this past week. Okay, Thursday, we 0:06:25.760 --> 0:06:29.200 have Green Day at San Francisco. Oh is it gonna 0:06:29.200 --> 0:06:30.799 be tough to make because we don't know who's playing 0:06:30.800 --> 0:06:35.400 for San Francisco. I don't think Jimmy Garoppolo. They got 0:06:35.440 --> 0:06:39.159 him questionable. Yeah, and then there's George Kittle too with 0:06:39.200 --> 0:06:42.159 the foot injury. Right. Both Garoppolo and Kittle left that 0:06:42.240 --> 0:06:47.400 game yesterday, uh and did not return for the Niners. 0:06:47.400 --> 0:06:50.960 The Niners losing to Seattle thirty seven to twenty seven 0:06:50.960 --> 0:06:54.400 in a game that quite frankly wasn't that close. Um. 0:06:54.600 --> 0:06:57.440 San Francisco so passes its lost total already from last 0:06:57.440 --> 0:06:59.599 season with their fourth loss. Jimmy g was eleven of 0:06:59.640 --> 0:07:03.120 sixty for eighty four yards, no touchdowns, one pick. He 0:07:03.160 --> 0:07:06.120 was sacked three times before he was off the field 0:07:06.839 --> 0:07:09.040 next to Baltimore. This is the thing about Garoppolo that 0:07:09.040 --> 0:07:10.720 gets me, and I'll get to I realized it's a 0:07:10.800 --> 0:07:12.920 green Bay at San Francisco, so we usually start with 0:07:12.960 --> 0:07:14.600 the away team. But the thing that gets me about 0:07:14.720 --> 0:07:19.640 about Garoppolo is that next to Baltimore, he has probably 0:07:19.680 --> 0:07:22.360 the best running game in the league. You plugging anybody 0:07:22.360 --> 0:07:24.800 in there, and they have this fabulous running game, and 0:07:24.800 --> 0:07:27.400 so he's got the biggest windows there are on play 0:07:27.400 --> 0:07:31.800 action passes, but he throws pick after pick. So they 0:07:31.920 --> 0:07:34.280 just can't be happy with what they're seeing from him. 0:07:34.600 --> 0:07:36.760 That's his third game this year with no touchdowns and 0:07:36.800 --> 0:07:39.600 at least one pick. Mullins came in Nick Mullins eighteen 0:07:39.640 --> 0:07:42.880 of twenty five for two thirty eight, two touchdowns, no picks, 0:07:42.880 --> 0:07:45.760 no secks, bred and Aiyuk was the biggest target in 0:07:45.920 --> 0:07:48.080 terms of the receiving game eight for ninety wanted a touchdown. 0:07:48.240 --> 0:07:51.400 Minnesota yesterday, excuse me, green Bay yesterday, though, loses to 0:07:51.480 --> 0:07:56.200 Minnesota and they lose outright, one of seven favorites UH 0:07:56.240 --> 0:07:59.440 this week to lose out right. Green Bay loses to 0:07:59.480 --> 0:08:03.000 Minnesota to twenty two. Also a game that probably wasn't 0:08:03.080 --> 0:08:05.880 quite as close as the final score indicates, but Green 0:08:05.920 --> 0:08:07.520 Bay had a shot at the end. It was a 0:08:07.560 --> 0:08:09.480 weird game. It was one of these games where green 0:08:09.520 --> 0:08:12.120 Bay started out with a thirteen play seventy five yard 0:08:12.160 --> 0:08:14.880 touchdown drive and then Minnesota came back with a ten 0:08:14.960 --> 0:08:17.280 play seventy three yard touchdown drive, and that was basically 0:08:17.360 --> 0:08:19.800 the first quarter. Then green Bay came back with a 0:08:19.800 --> 0:08:22.600 fifteen play seventy two yard touchdown drive in the second quarter. 0:08:22.760 --> 0:08:26.160 Minnesota followed with the twelve place sixty seven yard touchdown drive, 0:08:26.600 --> 0:08:29.600 and that was basically the first half. Third quarter starts 0:08:29.680 --> 0:08:32.880 Minnesota ten play eighty five yard touchdown drive. There were 0:08:32.920 --> 0:08:35.480 no punts in this game till the fourth quarter. Minnesota 0:08:35.559 --> 0:08:38.719 scored a touchdown on their first four drives, and that 0:08:39.520 --> 0:08:42.880 fourteen lead. That flip after the half is really what 0:08:43.000 --> 0:08:45.480 decided this game again twenty to twenty two. But this 0:08:45.520 --> 0:08:47.679 is tough without knowing if Garoppolo or Kittle what their 0:08:47.679 --> 0:08:50.280 status is, and I'm not sure Garoppolo matters is I 0:08:50.280 --> 0:08:53.240 guess what I was getting at earlier. I'll say a 0:08:53.360 --> 0:08:55.559 pick them because I don't really know what else to 0:08:55.640 --> 0:09:00.240 make it. It's two and a half light and see 0:09:00.440 --> 0:09:04.839 a three, A couple of threes with juice on the dog. Um, 0:09:05.360 --> 0:09:13.079 I'm a band. I don't know, Yes, yeah, when it happen, 0:09:13.160 --> 0:09:15.760 you know that the Jimmy g fan it's just really interesting. 0:09:16.200 --> 0:09:19.360 You know, let's start with that. You know, when you 0:09:19.400 --> 0:09:22.920 say somebody's wildly inconsistent, usually meets is bad, you know, 0:09:23.040 --> 0:09:26.599 but he's truly inconsistent. And I was reading one of 0:09:26.640 --> 0:09:28.760 the guys, I think just Tim Prowler comed he said, 0:09:29.160 --> 0:09:32.200 let's not forget you know, a couple of months ago 0:09:32.200 --> 0:09:34.640 in the Super Bowl, he was probably eight minutes away 0:09:34.640 --> 0:09:37.720 from being the m v P. And then now you 0:09:37.840 --> 0:09:41.280 just see him and sometimes he looks incredibly good and 0:09:41.360 --> 0:09:44.560 other times it looks incredibly bad. And yessarily looked incredibly bad. 0:09:45.080 --> 0:09:48.079 And Nick Mullins, it was one of those guys where 0:09:48.120 --> 0:09:52.120 I when I see when I see him play, I think, well, 0:09:52.160 --> 0:09:54.480 you know, this kid isn't bad. He's okay. But then 0:09:54.520 --> 0:09:57.400 you start looking at some numbers and eight doesn't produce. 0:09:57.520 --> 0:09:59.640 Now yesterday he did. You know if you look at 0:09:59.679 --> 0:10:02.959 his numb where's my notes here? This QBR with nineties 0:10:02.960 --> 0:10:06.559 seven point? Oh that's really odd. But in a game 0:10:06.800 --> 0:10:10.400 like you said, you're not nearly as close as the 0:10:10.440 --> 0:10:16.560 score would indicate. And um, Seattle, you know, against kind 0:10:16.600 --> 0:10:18.920 of like our prejudices because we keep thinking of Seattle 0:10:18.920 --> 0:10:21.640 with this great defensive ship they're degon is terrible this year. 0:10:22.080 --> 0:10:25.040 So um, but I don't know what to think about 0:10:25.600 --> 0:10:28.880 Mullins and Garoppolo. You think there's no difference. You know, 0:10:28.960 --> 0:10:31.280 you might be right. I think there's a little bit, 0:10:31.360 --> 0:10:33.959 but you know, you might be dead on anyway. I 0:10:34.040 --> 0:10:36.880 kind of like a little higher uh you know, well, 0:10:36.920 --> 0:10:39.640 I mean I didn't like to pick um. I see 0:10:39.679 --> 0:10:41.000 two and a half. I'm gonna open at two and 0:10:41.000 --> 0:10:42.880 a half. I don't think it's worthy of the three. 0:10:43.480 --> 0:10:45.080 But you know, Green Bay has now playing a couple 0:10:45.080 --> 0:10:47.920 of bad games in a row. I had them really 0:10:47.920 --> 0:10:50.400 in the highest echelon of this league. I had to 0:10:50.520 --> 0:10:53.360 drop him down a little bit after after two games 0:10:53.400 --> 0:10:55.880 like that. But I'm gonna open to and a half. 0:10:55.920 --> 0:10:58.560 I think that's okay. But you know, this is gonna 0:10:58.600 --> 0:11:01.720 be really interesting with the short week and the numerous 0:11:01.760 --> 0:11:05.280 injuries oft have had throughout the year. I was checking 0:11:05.280 --> 0:11:08.520 my notes another thing too, No, no team has swung 0:11:08.679 --> 0:11:12.480 more in my power ratings than San Francisco just but 0:11:12.720 --> 0:11:16.640 primarily because of the injuries. They're very difficult to sort 0:11:16.640 --> 0:11:20.040 of pin pinned down because of those injuries. Right, They've 0:11:20.040 --> 0:11:22.079 just been a mash unit. But I think the Kittle 0:11:22.160 --> 0:11:24.400 one is the is potentially the biggest of all of them. 0:11:24.400 --> 0:11:25.800 So we'll see if he's able to play in this 0:11:25.880 --> 0:11:29.320 game or not. Um. Yes, I don't really know what 0:11:29.400 --> 0:11:31.440 to make of that line. Let's go to Sunday morning. 0:11:32.920 --> 0:11:35.120 Jason conn is here, By the way, how many how 0:11:35.120 --> 0:11:37.839 many Sunday morning games we have? Jason? It is three 0:11:38.120 --> 0:11:42.000 late games and eight early games. So like yesterday. Okay, 0:11:42.040 --> 0:11:46.800 all right, what's first, Christie? I'm sorry. Seattle at Buffalo. 0:11:47.520 --> 0:11:51.160 Another good game, Seattle at Buffalo. Things are looking up 0:11:51.200 --> 0:11:54.280 with these matchups. Uh, Seattle, as we mentioned, beats the 0:11:54.640 --> 0:11:58.640 beats the Niners yesterday thirty seven to twenty seven. Russell 0:11:58.679 --> 0:12:02.440 Wilson UH twenty seven of thirty seven for two sixty one, 0:12:02.559 --> 0:12:07.239 four touchdowns, no picks, sacked just twice at DK Metcalf 0:12:07.400 --> 0:12:10.080 was the man yesterday, twelve catches for a hundred sixty 0:12:10.080 --> 0:12:13.520 one yards, both career highs two touchdowns. It is Russell 0:12:13.559 --> 0:12:16.480 Wilson's third game this season with four plus touchdowns and 0:12:16.520 --> 0:12:19.920 no picks. He has twenty six touchdown passes. That's the 0:12:20.000 --> 0:12:23.360 second most in history through seven games. You may recall 0:12:23.440 --> 0:12:27.160 Tom Brady twenty seven back in two thousand seven, and 0:12:27.200 --> 0:12:29.440 the Seahawks are the only team with twenty seven plus 0:12:29.520 --> 0:12:31.559 points in every game this season. They were nine of 0:12:31.679 --> 0:12:34.040 fifteen on third downs. By the way, they were minus 0:12:34.040 --> 0:12:37.199 two in turnovers in that game against the Niners yesterday 0:12:37.240 --> 0:12:41.120 still won last Seattle score. Oh here was my little 0:12:41.160 --> 0:12:42.679 note that I made. I was I make little notes 0:12:42.679 --> 0:12:44.800 since I'm like, what am I saying? Here. There was 0:12:44.840 --> 0:12:46.920 one thing at the end of that game. Uh. It 0:12:47.000 --> 0:12:51.720 was Seattle's last scoring drive and Russell Wilson intended to 0:12:51.760 --> 0:12:53.600 go in for a slide but sort of did a 0:12:53.640 --> 0:12:57.080 hesitation move on the slide and then slid anyway, and 0:12:57.120 --> 0:13:00.000 the Niners defender hit him and got flagged, which helped 0:13:00.000 --> 0:13:03.520 that final drive. They can't throw flags if if a 0:13:03.600 --> 0:13:06.120 quarterback is gonna do some hesitation on that, you can't 0:13:06.160 --> 0:13:08.280 fake a slide and then go into a slide and 0:13:08.320 --> 0:13:10.360 get flagged. That was the one thing I was like that. 0:13:10.360 --> 0:13:14.079 That was one of these officiating notes where I'm just like, that's, uh, 0:13:14.200 --> 0:13:18.000 that's not gonna work for this league. Um. Buffalo yesterday 0:13:18.040 --> 0:13:22.200 somehow beats the Patriots. The Patriots do get the cover 0:13:22.280 --> 0:13:25.760 in this game. Buffalo wins at twenty one, but Cam 0:13:25.800 --> 0:13:28.960 Newton and the Pats were driving late and Cam Newton 0:13:29.000 --> 0:13:32.120 fumbled the football. Josh Allen was eleven of eighteen for 0:13:32.200 --> 0:13:37.400 one no touchdowns, one pick. He was sacked once. He 0:13:37.480 --> 0:13:39.600 was ten for twenty three on the ground with a touchdown. 0:13:39.640 --> 0:13:42.440 Stefan dig six catches for ninety two. Bill's first home 0:13:42.480 --> 0:13:46.480 win versus the pat Sin. But Seattle is at Buffalo. 0:13:46.920 --> 0:13:49.040 I don't think there's any way Buffalo can be favored 0:13:49.080 --> 0:13:50.800 in this game. I think people are sort of onto 0:13:50.880 --> 0:13:55.600 Buffalo's absolute one dimensional game on offense and New England, 0:13:55.600 --> 0:13:57.640 for goodness sake, New England one wast beat him. So 0:13:57.640 --> 0:13:59.680 I'll say, see, I'll split the difference between three and 0:13:59.720 --> 0:14:01.840 the called say Seattle minus one and a half on 0:14:01.880 --> 0:14:06.120 the road, you're a shade light. It's two and a half. 0:14:06.120 --> 0:14:10.040 I even two and a half some juice, uh too? 0:14:10.440 --> 0:14:13.480 I got like three three threes with juice on the dog. 0:14:13.840 --> 0:14:16.960 How many it go with two and a half. I 0:14:17.000 --> 0:14:19.400 forgot to mention this during the San Francisco game, But 0:14:19.640 --> 0:14:22.480 there is a huge steam from the wise guys on 0:14:22.560 --> 0:14:27.440 San Francisco yesterday, and I have to kind of respect 0:14:27.440 --> 0:14:29.560 that because it was really, you know, from guys I 0:14:29.640 --> 0:14:33.320 highly respected. Now would've betting on San Francisco or they 0:14:33.400 --> 0:14:35.520 betting against Seattle, And that's a question you have to 0:14:35.520 --> 0:14:41.280 ask yourself. The thing in Seattle's defense is terrible. And hey, Jil, 0:14:41.320 --> 0:14:44.280 I got the root for Russell Wilson yesterday. I was 0:14:44.360 --> 0:14:48.480 for Big T. I got a top well, I got 0:14:48.520 --> 0:14:51.080 a couple every year. That was one of them. Uh, 0:14:51.280 --> 0:14:53.400 but I do have to wonder, you know what went 0:14:53.440 --> 0:14:55.960 into that handicupp because I mean it really was huge, 0:14:56.040 --> 0:15:00.480 huge steam. Um. So I like the two and a half, 0:15:00.480 --> 0:15:02.280 but I gotta tell you my power ratings, and I 0:15:02.320 --> 0:15:07.760 still I still regard Seattle like really really good. Um 0:15:08.400 --> 0:15:11.160 those defensive flaws. But you know, is Russell Wilson and 0:15:11.240 --> 0:15:14.960 octobercome him a lot of times he is. Yeah, So 0:15:15.080 --> 0:15:16.840 I liked I liked the two and a half. I 0:15:16.920 --> 0:15:19.000 think it's not worthy of the three. I think three 0:15:19.040 --> 0:15:22.240 they would take. Um. I hadn't feeling will get the 0:15:22.280 --> 0:15:24.120 three at some point during this week, and we may 0:15:24.160 --> 0:15:27.120 even close three come Sunday. I assume with those seven 0:15:27.200 --> 0:15:29.320 dogs winning out right this week so far, that you've 0:15:29.360 --> 0:15:35.680 had a phenomenal weekend. From a book's perspective, no complaints, 0:15:35.160 --> 0:15:38.800 no complaints, all right, By the way, the book he's 0:15:38.840 --> 0:15:41.240 always find something to complain about, believe me. But I 0:15:41.280 --> 0:15:43.400 got no and you've got none. By the way, for 0:15:43.400 --> 0:15:45.240 those landing on this show again, not only the tribute 0:15:45.240 --> 0:15:46.760 to the old start US radio show, but we often 0:15:46.800 --> 0:15:48.640 find that our first impressions here on Monday or the 0:15:48.680 --> 0:15:51.880 best uh as a better From the betting side of things, 0:15:52.240 --> 0:15:54.720 last week, the two lines where we did the bastardized version. 0:15:54.760 --> 0:15:56.880 We didn't do guessing lines without you, Chrissie, but Jason 0:15:56.920 --> 0:15:58.720 and I just went through the games because I had 0:15:58.760 --> 0:16:00.560 taken all these notes, might as well wasted. But we 0:16:00.560 --> 0:16:02.120 didn't do a guessing lines. We didn't put it in 0:16:02.160 --> 0:16:04.920 podcast for him. But the two lines that definitely stuck 0:16:04.920 --> 0:16:08.720 out as odd last week were the Steelers and the Ravens, 0:16:08.840 --> 0:16:11.760 which I could not understand how that was five and 0:16:11.800 --> 0:16:14.360 a half on Monday morning just makes no sense. And 0:16:14.360 --> 0:16:17.200 the other one was Denver and UH and the Chargers, 0:16:17.200 --> 0:16:20.080 which I believe I sort of said something like, listen, 0:16:20.080 --> 0:16:22.040 I don't know why I like Denver, but Anthony lenn 0:16:22.080 --> 0:16:23.560 and the Charges will figure out a way not to 0:16:23.600 --> 0:16:26.280 cover this. So those are those are the only tip uh. 0:16:26.400 --> 0:16:28.920 We'll get to those games. Let's do one more here 0:16:28.960 --> 0:16:32.080 on Sunday morning for Week nine. Already in the NFL. 0:16:34.080 --> 0:16:37.560 All right, Broncos at the Falcons. There they are, Broncos 0:16:37.680 --> 0:16:40.240 at the Falcons. Falcons will be on extra rest. They're 0:16:40.280 --> 0:16:44.160 coming off their Thursday night win against the Carolina Panthers. 0:16:44.560 --> 0:16:49.200 Denver yesterday drew lock forty one, forty eight three touchdowns, 0:16:49.200 --> 0:16:51.840 one pick. He was sacked twice. Philip Lindsay six of 0:16:51.840 --> 0:16:54.800 eighty three eighty three, I should say for a touchdown 0:16:54.840 --> 0:16:56.560 and and with a touchdown it was a fifty five 0:16:56.640 --> 0:16:59.960 yards scamper that really gave Denver life in the second 0:17:00.000 --> 0:17:03.240 half down twenty one yesterday. I mentioned Atlanta's win over 0:17:03.280 --> 0:17:06.640 Carolina this past Thursday. Matt Ryan was twenty one thirty 0:17:06.760 --> 0:17:08.880 two eighty one, no touchdowns, one pick. He was sacked twice. 0:17:08.960 --> 0:17:12.280 Julio came alive seven for one thirty seven. Uh they 0:17:12.359 --> 0:17:17.080 dominated Caroline in terms of time to possession thirty six. Um. 0:17:17.160 --> 0:17:19.160 I'll get into the well, I might as well, since 0:17:19.160 --> 0:17:21.280 we have time talk about Denver and the Chargers. It 0:17:21.320 --> 0:17:23.359 was gonna wait till the Chargers portion of this, but 0:17:23.400 --> 0:17:27.320 I might as well with Denver being here, the Chargers yesterday, 0:17:27.440 --> 0:17:30.600 that that is there. Let's put up the tweets if 0:17:30.600 --> 0:17:33.600 we can. Jason on the Chargers. They were up yesterday 0:17:33.800 --> 0:17:37.320 twenty four to three. Uh so another twenty one. And 0:17:37.359 --> 0:17:40.480 it was that Lindsay that Lindsay run early in the 0:17:40.520 --> 0:17:42.399 second have, or at least in the third quarter, that 0:17:42.520 --> 0:17:45.240 sort of lit the fire to the provise. You're like Oh, well, 0:17:45.240 --> 0:17:48.159 that was quick. Here's Daniel Popper. Chargers blown leads in 0:17:48.200 --> 0:17:52.360 the last four games seventeen points, seventeen points, sixteen points, 0:17:52.600 --> 0:17:57.520 twenty one points. That's virtually impossible. Virtually impossible. ESPN Stats 0:17:57.520 --> 0:18:01.120 and Information puts it, uh in perspective year teams when 0:18:01.240 --> 0:18:05.840 leading by seventeen plus this season entering last night's game, 0:18:06.160 --> 0:18:09.480 Chargers oh and three, all others fifty two and four. 0:18:10.600 --> 0:18:12.720 And then there's one more from ESPN Stats INNA. But 0:18:12.720 --> 0:18:15.520 I mean, that's that's impossible. Oh, Chargers o win three 0:18:15.560 --> 0:18:17.439 the rest of the league fifty two and four. Charges 0:18:17.440 --> 0:18:19.560 the first team in NFL history to lose three straight 0:18:19.600 --> 0:18:23.080 games in which they led by seventeen points. Chargers also 0:18:23.160 --> 0:18:26.160 joined the two thousand three Falcons as the only teams 0:18:26.160 --> 0:18:28.240 in NFL history to lose three games after holding a 0:18:28.280 --> 0:18:31.679 seventeen point lead in NFL history. That's uh, courtesy of 0:18:31.680 --> 0:18:36.080 ALIAS as well. So yesterday, it wasn't so much the 0:18:36.119 --> 0:18:39.320 fact that it was any specific Anthony Lennism I think 0:18:39.320 --> 0:18:42.119 people are you know the fact that it's the fourth 0:18:42.200 --> 0:18:44.560 or fifth such episode. This, by the way, Steven Vegas 0:18:44.680 --> 0:18:47.560 who follows as seven oh two Steve sports, um oh, 0:18:47.600 --> 0:18:50.000 that's a different one coming up. That's for another game. Um, 0:18:50.040 --> 0:18:52.320 I'm like a dog being distracted by tweets here in 0:18:52.400 --> 0:18:55.920 different screens of the building. Um, but the charge yesterday, 0:18:55.960 --> 0:19:00.240 the Chargers are up up twenty four to three, okay, 0:19:00.320 --> 0:19:02.520 having blown four leads of sixteen plus as we just 0:19:02.560 --> 0:19:06.640 talked about, But the they gave up plays the Chargers 0:19:06.640 --> 0:19:09.000 did to the Broncos of fifty five yards that was 0:19:09.040 --> 0:19:13.040 the Lindsay run, a forty three yard passed to Judy 0:19:13.119 --> 0:19:17.399 on a subsequent drive, and then a forty yard touchdown later. 0:19:17.840 --> 0:19:20.240 And so it was these huge plays on defense that 0:19:20.280 --> 0:19:23.119 they were giving up. Yes, there was a couple of penalties, 0:19:23.119 --> 0:19:25.840 but this one was just sort of a This wasn't like, 0:19:25.920 --> 0:19:28.879 you know, Anthony Lynn making one poor decision. This was 0:19:28.960 --> 0:19:32.600 just a full full collapse on the part of the 0:19:32.680 --> 0:19:35.800 Chargers defense. As Drew lock In, the Broncos all of 0:19:35.800 --> 0:19:39.520 a sudden looked like the Redskins. All that said, Atlanta 0:19:39.560 --> 0:19:42.080 will be a favorite at home. With extra rest, I'll 0:19:42.080 --> 0:19:47.920 say it's four and a half. Wow, you're better than 0:19:47.920 --> 0:19:51.000 what I came up with. I think four, and it's 0:19:51.040 --> 0:19:54.480 pretty much a solid four. I thought this game will 0:19:54.520 --> 0:19:57.440 be a lot closer than three. Um, you know, went 0:19:57.480 --> 0:20:01.080 through some of my notes, like every four weeks. I'm 0:20:01.080 --> 0:20:03.680 gonna do it again this week, just just for myself. 0:20:04.080 --> 0:20:06.000 I take notes on teams like where do I think, 0:20:06.040 --> 0:20:08.360 where are they going? You know where they've been, blah 0:20:08.440 --> 0:20:11.280 blah blah. And I was looking over my notes before 0:20:11.320 --> 0:20:14.560 this week's games, and Denver I had pegged, I said, 0:20:14.600 --> 0:20:16.479 you know what, there's I don't think we're gonna win 0:20:16.520 --> 0:20:18.399 a lot of games, but I think they're starting to 0:20:18.880 --> 0:20:21.360 becoming a very live dog. And I said the same 0:20:21.359 --> 0:20:23.560 thing about the Bengals, by the way, but I thought 0:20:23.560 --> 0:20:25.560 the Broncos were going to be a very live dog. 0:20:26.720 --> 0:20:30.080 And and you know, I agree with you. Yesterday, though, 0:20:30.240 --> 0:20:32.240 I have to admit, since I'm still not a person, 0:20:32.280 --> 0:20:34.400 I kind of fell asleep during the late afternoon games. 0:20:34.600 --> 0:20:37.119