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Speaker 1: two four seven zero zero in Wyoming or visit www

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Speaker 1: Dot one gambler dot net in West Virginia. Welcome to

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Speaker 1: The Favorites, the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network. I

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Speaker 1: am Chad Millman, Chief Content Officer of the Action Network.

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Speaker 1: I am joined as I am every single episode by

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Speaker 1: my bff, my companion, my compadre, my co pilot in

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Speaker 1: winning Mr Simon Hunter, my brother. Dude. We got a

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Speaker 1: lot to unpack from week five because you and I

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Speaker 1: went after each other. It is a lot of people

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Speaker 1: liked it. We had an incredible week in the contest.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna unpack it all. I've spoken to you seven

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Speaker 1: old times since last week when we were calling each

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Speaker 1: other bitches, so everyone should know that we're in a

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Speaker 1: good place. But it was dicey there, real quick chat

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Speaker 1: before l and you just knocked out your little recap

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Speaker 1: from last week of our picks, and then I'll just

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Speaker 1: give you the whole nine yards. Oh my god, you

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Speaker 1: hate scapegoating that easy, brother, You are a fucker. Are

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Speaker 1: you fucking sandbagging me right now? You dug our own hole?

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Speaker 1: Here we go, Number one the fox all we had

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Speaker 1: Seattle plus five and a half. That was That was

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Speaker 1: a fucking kicking the nuts. Simon says Ravens minus three

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Speaker 1: didn't work. Exact decision, Brown's plus three it did work.

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Speaker 1: Survivor Bills loved it. Scoot Roulette chatted Miami minus three

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Speaker 1: and a half. Simon had the Bills minus fourteen and

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Speaker 1: the big Balls Jeff plus three. We can discuss. I

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Speaker 1: know we'll get to it. In the contest, we had

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Speaker 1: Cleveland plus three and a half. It was a nail biter.

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Speaker 1: We had Seattle plus five and a half. That was

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Speaker 1: our only loss. We went four and one. Jets plus

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Speaker 1: three and a half. Fuck you. Uh, New England minus

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Speaker 1: two and a half looked great. Bears plus seven and

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Speaker 1: a half loved it. Bears played their best second half

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Speaker 1: of the season. I believe. Um. Look, we went four

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Speaker 1: in one of the contest. Uh. The point of contention

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Speaker 1: last week was Miami and the Jets, and I was

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Speaker 1: all in on Miami. Um. But because I like to

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Speaker 1: emotionally hedge, I was glad we put the Jets into

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Speaker 1: the contest at plus three and a half. You loved

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Speaker 1: Miami and then changed your mind. Um, not out of

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Speaker 1: strength in your numbers or confidence in your handicap up

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Speaker 1: because your little buddies called you and said Luke's took

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Speaker 1: the Jets. So we did, and I'm glad. What do

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Speaker 1: you want to say, um before I get into it now?

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Speaker 1: For this season and the contest, which is pretty insane

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Speaker 1: teen and seven, eighteen and seven in the contest again,

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Speaker 1: I mean, Chad, we don't dream of it and SEMy

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Speaker 1: percent this. We know we're hot, We're gonna keep riding it.

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Speaker 1: Obvious we're reading the contest well, I think what's working

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Speaker 1: for me and you and you'll agree. I lock in

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Speaker 1: our picks Wednesday, so we'll literally do this show the

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Speaker 1: lines come out, I believe Wednesday afternoon. I just put

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Speaker 1: him in. I just like, don't even I don't even

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Speaker 1: look at all my numbers, just go, what do you mean?

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Speaker 1: Chad talked about what would be like on Tuesday, Um,

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Speaker 1: make a couple of adjustments obviously switching the Jets there,

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Speaker 1: but yeah, simple simple thing where we're kind of leaving

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Speaker 1: it as is. And then it comes to Sunday and

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Speaker 1: we ran through it. I think we sat out the rams. Um.

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Speaker 1: We like talked about switching them in for Seattle. Again.

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Speaker 1: Seattle was the one we're kind of talking about. I

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Speaker 1: think with the Jets one. You kind of just I

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Speaker 1: knew in your heart of hearts you didn't like Miami

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Speaker 1: by the time Sunday came around. But you're kind of

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Speaker 1: are already in a spot where you're already in it. Um.

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Speaker 1: But as far as the contest goes, it's tough. Where

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Speaker 1: we're seven. I look and we're in the money. But

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Speaker 1: the first play this guys, whatever it is, twenty two

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Speaker 1: or twenty one wins. It's like, holy crap, man, Like

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Speaker 1: these contests are just tough where you got you're going

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Speaker 1: up against, not even professionals, it can just be Joe Schmo.

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Speaker 1: They're just hot right now. So um, yeah, as far

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Speaker 1: as contest goes this season, great, I gotta I gotta

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Speaker 1: write the Shipless. Simon says, we keep getting these numbers

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Speaker 1: and like again, when you lose a cover by one point,

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Speaker 1: it's just tough because it's just like god, these field goals,

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Speaker 1: these extra points, there's just so many weird little things

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Speaker 1: now in football. I mean, I don't know how much

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Speaker 1: we're gonna spend time on these refs, but it was

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Speaker 1: just one of those weeks with the refs. Thank god

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Speaker 1: we weren't losing tons of money on it. Because holy hell,

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Speaker 1: um the NFL again, Jack and talking real quick, we

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Speaker 1: talked about the two a thing right, how that was

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Speaker 1: gonna affect the football going forward. We saw it with

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Speaker 1: Teddy Bridgewater come out of a game that he had

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Speaker 1: no concussion issues. The league tends over just it's scary, like,

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Speaker 1: if you're a player again, my quarterbacks are running quarterback

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Speaker 1: and Jalen Hurts, Matt Mitchell's running quarterbacks' running quarterback and

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Speaker 1: Josh Allen if they get up slow or if they wobble,

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Speaker 1: they're done. They're yanking him now, no matter what. So

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Speaker 1: we're definitely seeing a different shift here in football. Um,

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Speaker 1: I would love to see how your phone about a chat? Well, yeah,

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Speaker 1: it's um it's really interesting the way you saw it

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Speaker 1: with Teddy Bridgewater, Like in that game in the Miami game,

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Speaker 1: he was out immediately, like it wasn't even a conversation.

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Speaker 1: You knew he wasn't wasn't going to be coming back.

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Speaker 1: You saw it in the Tom Brady call, like it

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Speaker 1: was a similar sort of the Ray Grady Jarrett rolled

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Speaker 1: him over and Tom Brady hit the turf when he

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Speaker 1: was down. You knew they were going to call it

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Speaker 1: because he slammed him. They said, right, yeah, which was bullshit.

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Speaker 1: You saw it last night in the in the Raiders Chiefs.

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Speaker 1: He saw it with Chris Jones. I don't know what

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Speaker 1: that yeah, that was. I mean even ex football players,

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Speaker 1: all of them coming out of the woodworks being like,

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Speaker 1: we don't know what we're watching now. Again, we don't

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Speaker 1: want to make fun of the league because they're kind

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Speaker 1: of be protecting the quarterbacks here. But a strip sack

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Speaker 1: and nobody weight on the guy, I get it. It's

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Speaker 1: it's a call because he was behind him. He looked

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Speaker 1: like he was putting his body weight on him. But

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Speaker 1: that was just one of the bizarre bazaars. So here

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Speaker 1: we go with chat no well, hold on hold on

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Speaker 1: last night. Last night, Troy Aikman, like Trey Aikman. I

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Speaker 1: don't think he meant to do this, but he went

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Speaker 1: like full nineteen seventies broadcaster man. My hope is the

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Speaker 1: competition committee. He looks at this inext set of meetings

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Speaker 1: and you know, we take the dresses all. Joe Buck

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Speaker 1: obviously went over. I don't think it got a ton

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Speaker 1: of attention at least, you know, honest to God, as

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Speaker 1: you know, I go to bed at halftime like I

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Speaker 1: was done. I have no idea if people were responding

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Speaker 1: to that or not. I just thought it was really

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Speaker 1: interesting that Troy Aikman sort of chose to go the

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Speaker 1: route of take off the dresses in his commentary about

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Speaker 1: the Chris Jones roughing the pastor call I'm the big

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Speaker 1: is Troy Akman hater? So you don't want to give

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Speaker 1: me a tangent to him. I'm literally one of the people.

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Speaker 1: I'm like, people always praise this guy. What thing of

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Speaker 1: use has Troy Aikman ever said in a game that

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Speaker 1: helped you learn about the game. He goes and that

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Speaker 1: was a good pass off his back foot there. I

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Speaker 1: wouldn't recommend. That's literally Troy Aikman in a nutshell. He

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Speaker 1: just he just reads it back. So I actually watched

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Speaker 1: the games on mute. Um, so I'm the wrong guy

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Speaker 1: even know. I just read about like you the next day. So, Chad,

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Speaker 1: when it comes to the joining, I will say the

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Speaker 1: other thing I'm gonna say, Atlanta Falcons. My first bet

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Speaker 1: last week plus eight and a half came through, came

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Speaker 1: through podcast. Um ahead, Simon, I know the reasons to

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Speaker 1: stop you. Nothing else can that head? No way that

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Speaker 1: Chad loved that. Mind me, thick, I know Chad this point. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: this is your four of doing this show with him.

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Speaker 1: I knew he'd in his heart of hearts, he didn't

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Speaker 1: love it, but at that moment he was taking a

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Speaker 1: stand and it was the wrong stand, and I begged

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Speaker 1: him to get off of it, pleaded with him, even

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Speaker 1: name called because I'm just like, dude, this is so

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Speaker 1: not you, a divisional home dog. It was a great spot,

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Speaker 1: and again the people who go with well Teddy got hurt.

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Speaker 1: I didn't know Teddy played defense. I'm pretty sure the

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Speaker 1: Jets scored forty points. Okay, it was just a bad

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Speaker 1: matchup scheme wise for Miami and a bunch of different

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Speaker 1: reasons when I get calls from certain people. Again, I

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Speaker 1: can never thank Chad enough the show. The amount of

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Speaker 1: people I get to reach out to now, which is

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Speaker 1: good and bad, because I've learned some people screw with us.

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Speaker 1: They'll give me info and if I use it, they'll

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Speaker 1: get a better number. So I've learned from it. But

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Speaker 1: I also learned there's certain guys who call for certain

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Speaker 1: people that say things and you just shut up, and

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Speaker 1: you bet it. There's a reason these are three sixty guys.

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Speaker 1: There's a reason they work five days a year. Now,

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Speaker 1: they might not bet football the rest of the year, right,

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Speaker 1: that might be their one beat on football. Maybe they'll

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Speaker 1: do college, able to do baseball. But there are certain

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Speaker 1: groups that's just they're just that legit. And when you

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Speaker 1: hear these whispers, you get down on it and I

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Speaker 1: pay a fee on it, like I'm paying for that

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Speaker 1: info that's not free. Like again, no kick back from

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Speaker 1: the show. I came on the show. But the main

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Speaker 1: reason I gave it on the shows because me and

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Speaker 1: Chad were so in on Miami. If I take a

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Speaker 1: position like that, and I know people are gonna listen again,

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Speaker 1: not hyperberly. We know how many people listen to show

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Speaker 1: on the hundreds of thousands. I gotta come on here

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Speaker 1: and give it out and try to plead to people

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Speaker 1: to go the other way. Because that sucked. I didn't

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Speaker 1: like it either, having money on the Jets all week.

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Speaker 1: It was a sweat. And then when they went fourteen seventeen,

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Speaker 1: You're just like, Okay, this is why you shut up

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Speaker 1: and listen to these guys who've been doing this for

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Speaker 1: so long. So to me, I get it where Chad

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Speaker 1: was coming from but the minute he kind of dug

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Speaker 1: his feet and I go, he is fucked. He doesn't

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Speaker 1: get it because it's just chat. You know. He listens

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Speaker 1: to a couple of podcasts. I read a couple of

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Speaker 1: articles and be like, no, I know some people in Miami.

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Speaker 1: I like what they're going with, and it's like, dude,

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Speaker 1: it's it's a different world and I know that. Like that,

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Speaker 1: I'm I'm smart enough to know I'm dumb enough to

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Speaker 1: know that in my early thirties, there's just these dudes

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Speaker 1: who have been doing this for forty fifty years. They

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Speaker 1: fucking no, dude, and I don't get it chat either.

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Speaker 1: That's why I came on and pleaded. It was just

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Speaker 1: like watching the game. I was scared too, like what

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Speaker 1: was it nineteen as like I'm gonna lose this to

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Speaker 1: a backup. You're getting me back up, back up, But

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Speaker 1: you know the reason prevailed. Seventeen no sweater, that second half.

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Speaker 1: Great bet on that Jets number. You know what's funny

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Speaker 1: is you're a right and that you do know me well.

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Speaker 1: In the four years we've done this together, the number

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Speaker 1: of times I've bet on a short road favorite on

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Speaker 1: a team that isn't dominant against a team that everyone

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Speaker 1: hates on a team that ends up being the most

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Speaker 1: public bet team. I don't think I've ever done that,

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Speaker 1: but we talked about this last week. I thought there

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Speaker 1: were some really interesting things. And this is why it's

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Speaker 1: fun to unpack these games a little bit so people

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Speaker 1: can hear that how we think about them as they're

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Speaker 1: making their own betting decisions. I don't know why I

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Speaker 1: felt compelled to dig in on Miami. I don't know

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Speaker 1: if it was a bias against the Jets and thinking

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Speaker 1: that they're just an incompetent franchise and seeing what you know,

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Speaker 1: see what I've seen in Zack Wilson. I don't know

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Speaker 1: if it was a bias in favor of Teddy Bridgewaters, right,

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Speaker 1: I feel like that. But it was that game, And

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Speaker 1: also we had a long conversation about this, the Jaguars

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Speaker 1: in the Texans. We knew the Texans were the right side.

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Speaker 1: We couldn't put them in our contest because we have

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Speaker 1: had a bias on the Jaguars all season and so

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Speaker 1: even though it definitely should have been a Texans game

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Speaker 1: and we should remember the Bears, right, we said it

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Speaker 1: was remember the Bears were like, we're taking one of

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Speaker 1: these seven and a halfs in this divisional game, and

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Speaker 1: the Bears we're not gonna go. But you're you're right.

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Speaker 1: It was so out of character for me to go

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Speaker 1: on Miami, be comfortable with Miami, and dig my heels in. Meanwhile,

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Speaker 1: the other game the Cardinals plus six, which like I

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Speaker 1: texted you Sunday night and said, it's going to be

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Speaker 1: so hard to not want to get the Cardinals. And

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Speaker 1: we avoided that one. And that was a joke too.

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Speaker 1: I texted a buddy, It's like, you can see again,

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Speaker 1: I'm a professional. I think a lot of these people

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Speaker 1: on Twitter a frau, but you can just tell it.

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Speaker 1: I'm still an amateur professional, where like that Eagles game

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Speaker 1: was a sweat that Jets game that second half that

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Speaker 1: was a no doubt or it's just like that's my

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Speaker 1: goal to get to those guys level, where that Eagles

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Speaker 1: one felt so good at fourteen nothing and all of

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Speaker 1: a sudden at first half it was seven, fourteen seven

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Speaker 1: and the Cardinals were driving down to the one yard line,

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Speaker 1: two yard line. It's like never easy, but look, we

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Speaker 1: sweated out the first half. We got it at minus

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Speaker 1: three and a half and now all of a sudden, Uh,

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Speaker 1: it's week six, one third into the season. We're one

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Speaker 1: third of a way. I'm so I'm like, I'm depressed

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Speaker 1: about it. Well, I love it one third. If you

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Speaker 1: told me a week one, maybe one third in hit

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Speaker 1: rate on the contest, I'd be like, all right, I'm

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Speaker 1: depressed at how quickly it's going. It's just making me

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Speaker 1: so upset, Like, are you fucking kidding me? Five months

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Speaker 1: makes you feel better? We have five months left of

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Speaker 1: the middle of October. Like, I just love it so much.

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Speaker 1: I just I love it more than I for half.

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Speaker 1: I'm so jazzed about it every Sunday. It's like a drug.

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Speaker 1: All right. First game up Chicago Bears. I was really

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Speaker 1: encouraged by the second half of that game. The Bears

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Speaker 1: had every reason to pack it in justin Jefferson was

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Speaker 1: torching them. Kirk Cousins started out I think sixteen of

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Speaker 1: sixteen or fourteen and fourteen. The second half of the

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Speaker 1: second half. This year in games, the Bears have been outstanding,

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Speaker 1: and they proved it again this past week. This game

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Speaker 1: opened it one. I bet the Bears at minus one.

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Speaker 1: It's bounced around, it went went to Bears plus one.

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Speaker 1: Now with Bears, you know, minus a half Thursday Night

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Speaker 1: short home favorite Simon, I don't know how we're not

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Speaker 1: all in on the Bears here, damn it, just because

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Speaker 1: the Commanders keep sucking me in. Ill. Thank god I

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Speaker 1: was on Tennessee last week because I just I just

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Speaker 1: could not get behind it with the Commanders. I don't

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Speaker 1: get how they don't bench Carson and how they don't

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Speaker 1: get rid of rivera riveras this week. It's like, what's

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Speaker 1: the difference between you and other teams? He goes quarterback

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Speaker 1: and he's in a division with Daniel Jones and Cooper

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Speaker 1: Rush that are playing quarterback right now, Like that's just

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Speaker 1: a bullshit excuse. Uh so to me burn it all down.

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Speaker 1: I just even though I know all the pros will

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Speaker 1: be on the Commanders like this, they're the better team,

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Speaker 1: they have more talent, everything like that. No, no way,

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Speaker 1: no way will I do it. So, no way, I'll

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Speaker 1: let Chat talk me to take embarrass Thursday night. But

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Speaker 1: I'll better with him. But yeah, not not going to

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Speaker 1: be one of my five best bets this week that much.

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Speaker 1: It's look the Thursday night games, the home team has

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Speaker 1: been covering and and and and now I'm basically getting

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Speaker 1: the home team as a pick. Honestly, I'm thinking about

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Speaker 1: that more than I'm thinking about the Bears individually. But

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Speaker 1: I am really encouraged by how this team plays in

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Speaker 1: the second half. They look like they believe. They know

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Speaker 1: they're a good running team, they know they're a good

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Speaker 1: defensive team. Uh. I think they look like they believe

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Speaker 1: in Matt ebra Flus. Uh. This is the week I

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Speaker 1: get my heartbroken. Yeah, I mean loosely using good defensive

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Speaker 1: team there, Jeff, Okay, they got they got they got

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Speaker 1: guys in spots like you got good young talent for Again,

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Speaker 1: we talked about coming to the season, you've got you

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Speaker 1: had no draft picks, and somehow you hit on undrafted

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Speaker 1: guys in the fifth round pick. Like that's how you

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Speaker 1: build out good teams. So I'm with the Bears future.

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Speaker 1: You have something to look forward to. But um Man,

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Speaker 1: justin Fields, get gotta got this guy some help, like

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Speaker 1: we see his offut. That's all I'm gonna say about

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Speaker 1: the Bears like that right now, they're failing him as

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Speaker 1: an organization. They have to get him some talent. I

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Speaker 1: think that's a great way of saying it, they are

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Speaker 1: failing him as an organization that is a hundred true um. Alright, So,

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Speaker 1: like I said, Bears right now minus one at Vanduel.

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Speaker 1: Next game on the board, we're talking about our favorite team,

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Speaker 1: the jack Sinflo Jaguars on the road as it looks

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Speaker 1: like two and a half point underdogs to the dreadful

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Speaker 1: Indianapolis Colts. No classic weight for the three and weak pounds, Like,

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Speaker 1: I'm just waiting for that three. Give me that three

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Speaker 1: sports books, I mean, they must know that gonna get

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Speaker 1: it for You're definitely gonna get it, Like of the

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Speaker 1: money right now and of the tickets are on the Colts,

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Speaker 1: So we're gonna get at plus three on the Jacks.

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Speaker 1: I'm hoping, because again people I get they jump bout

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Speaker 1: on a Jacks team that I don't know why they

339
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Speaker 1: just cannot beat Houston. It's been the most bizarre thing.

340
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Speaker 1: The last three times they've been favorite, it's all been

341
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Speaker 1: against Houston, and they just keep losing to Houston. So

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Speaker 1: it's just funny they keep becoming favorites when they play Houston,

343
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Speaker 1: they lose to Houston. Houston just for some reason, has

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Speaker 1: their number. The Jaguars have the Colts number, So we're

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Speaker 1: gonna plus three on a Jacks team that people are

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Speaker 1: down on. I just don't think they're as bad as

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Speaker 1: they've looked. A Colts team that's not as good as

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Speaker 1: their record state. It's like to two on one is

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Speaker 1: it's bizarre. Like a buddy said to me, that's the

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Speaker 1: difference between Matt Ryan and Carson Wentz. Right, Carson, he

351
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Speaker 1: loses games where Matt Ryan could be absolutely trash and

352
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Speaker 1: somehow still put his team in the winning position. Um No,

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Speaker 1: my biggest fears. I have no read on this Colts team, Like,

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Speaker 1: I just don't. I don't know how they keep doing it,

355
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Speaker 1: but they keep doing it somehow. Um but getting them

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Speaker 1: as a favorite differently getting them as a dog so

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Speaker 1: to me, and in the a f C South that

358
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Speaker 1: we really don't know what these teams are. I feel

359
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Speaker 1: comfortable taking a dog here where I do think the

360
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Speaker 1: Jaguars are just better than they've shown these last two weeks.

361
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Speaker 1: Like that Eagles game was a slop fest, and that

362
00:18:35,560 --> 00:18:37,359
Speaker 1: was a six six game, and into the fourth quarter

363
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Speaker 1: in the Texas put a touchdown up and just again

364
00:18:39,800 --> 00:18:41,760
Speaker 1: Trevor Lawrence looked lost last week. I just think he

365
00:18:41,800 --> 00:18:45,280
Speaker 1: bounces back in this position. So um yeah, plus three

366
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Speaker 1: I would take it, but at two and a half

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Speaker 1: I probably wouldn't. You can't get a read on this

368
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Speaker 1: team because they are the quintessential uh A f C

369
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Speaker 1: slash NFC South team, nameless, faith, faceless, nondescript. Can't to

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Speaker 1: find what their character is in a city that no

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Speaker 1: one thinks about pretty much. And I say this as

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Speaker 1: a guy who went to Indiana University and loved it.

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Speaker 1: Just the truth, That's exactly what it is, all right.

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Speaker 1: The New York Jets, the resurgents, New York Jets on

375
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Speaker 1: the road at the Green Bay Packers at Fandel right now,

376
00:19:22,600 --> 00:19:25,359
Speaker 1: the Packers are seven point favorites. You gotta pay a

377
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Speaker 1: little juice if you want to get the seven, which

378
00:19:27,040 --> 00:19:31,600
Speaker 1: means that the money is coming in. You're probably gonna

379
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Speaker 1: have to. You might be able to get a seven

380
00:19:33,720 --> 00:19:35,560
Speaker 1: and a half, or it might be six and a half.

381
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Speaker 1: Who knows, who knows what's gonna happen. Mighty's coming in

382
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Speaker 1: on the Jets. Tickets are coming in on the Jets.

383
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Speaker 1: Everyone loves the Jets right now. Oh my god, I'm

384
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Speaker 1: just gonna wait see how well those number goes and

385
00:19:46,480 --> 00:19:50,119
Speaker 1: play the Packers. Yeah. Again, I don't know what to

386
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Speaker 1: do with this though, because I think the Packers might

387
00:19:53,440 --> 00:19:56,960
Speaker 1: actually suck, Like the Giants had their top three receivers

388
00:19:57,000 --> 00:20:00,359
Speaker 1: were out, Barkley was banged up semi Daniel Jones is

389
00:20:00,400 --> 00:20:03,240
Speaker 1: playing with a broken ankle and a bleeding hand, and

390
00:20:03,280 --> 00:20:05,240
Speaker 1: they beat the ship out of him in that second half.

391
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Speaker 1: I mean, I guess, I guess you get chocolate up

392
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Speaker 1: to England woes, but I did it last week. Like

393
00:20:09,720 --> 00:20:12,480
Speaker 1: I'm just I like fading these teams coming back from England.

394
00:20:12,520 --> 00:20:15,359
Speaker 1: They don't take the bye. Seven and a half was

395
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Speaker 1: a great number for this Jets team. It sucked that

396
00:20:17,359 --> 00:20:19,600
Speaker 1: people betted down so quick. That was a nice number

397
00:20:19,640 --> 00:20:21,880
Speaker 1: to take them at. I'm with Chad though, it's like,

398
00:20:22,680 --> 00:20:25,600
Speaker 1: literally we're buying at the peak. You could say the Jets.

399
00:20:26,320 --> 00:20:28,439
Speaker 1: But I just don't think the books are realizing how

400
00:20:28,480 --> 00:20:30,119
Speaker 1: bad this Screen Bay team is. And maybe I'll be

401
00:20:30,119 --> 00:20:33,160
Speaker 1: eating my words next week. But I saw a Patriots

402
00:20:33,200 --> 00:20:36,120
Speaker 1: team go on the road with a rookie quarterback who

403
00:20:36,119 --> 00:20:38,080
Speaker 1: didn't have any touches, and he took it to this

404
00:20:38,160 --> 00:20:40,960
Speaker 1: Packers team and they were in that game. Right, even

405
00:20:41,000 --> 00:20:43,520
Speaker 1: you take away the picks the picks six. They lose

406
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Speaker 1: by seven in that game. I think the Jets are

407
00:20:45,880 --> 00:20:49,200
Speaker 1: better position than that Patriots team was, So I don't know.

408
00:20:49,640 --> 00:20:51,240
Speaker 1: It's like one of these games it's gonna make me

409
00:20:51,359 --> 00:20:53,880
Speaker 1: question all week. And I bet the seven a half

410
00:20:53,920 --> 00:20:55,359
Speaker 1: when it opened, but not for a lot, right the

411
00:20:55,359 --> 00:20:57,840
Speaker 1: books weren't taking a lot on that number. But I

412
00:20:58,200 --> 00:21:01,280
Speaker 1: just instantly thought to myself, I just are we what do?

413
00:21:01,359 --> 00:21:03,159
Speaker 1: What do? How do? How do Green Bay score? I

414
00:21:03,200 --> 00:21:05,119
Speaker 1: don't really get this team at all. Like again, you

415
00:21:05,119 --> 00:21:08,679
Speaker 1: can look at the wide receivers and blame them. I

416
00:21:08,720 --> 00:21:10,840
Speaker 1: think it's on Rogers and the floor. Like it's just

417
00:21:10,960 --> 00:21:12,760
Speaker 1: I don't like what's going on in Green Bay right now.

418
00:21:12,800 --> 00:21:15,040
Speaker 1: So I would grab the seven, but I kind of

419
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Speaker 1: I kind of get where Chad's coming from. Where it's like,

420
00:21:17,520 --> 00:21:21,120
Speaker 1: isn't this where we sell the Jets too straight? Wins? Um,

421
00:21:21,119 --> 00:21:22,520
Speaker 1: It's kind of where you want to get off. But

422
00:21:23,200 --> 00:21:25,920
Speaker 1: I'm fine accepting that was wrong about this Jets team, Like, yeah,

423
00:21:25,960 --> 00:21:27,760
Speaker 1: they've still in a couple of games here, the record

424
00:21:28,240 --> 00:21:31,120
Speaker 1: is better than it should be, but there's just something

425
00:21:31,160 --> 00:21:33,240
Speaker 1: about this Green Bay team. Their defense is showing me

426
00:21:33,280 --> 00:21:36,800
Speaker 1: nothing and that deserves any type of respect. Their offense,

427
00:21:37,280 --> 00:21:40,520
Speaker 1: they are clearly missing that third down present of Davante Adams.

428
00:21:40,560 --> 00:21:42,920
Speaker 1: On third down they're throwing to freaking Randall Cob who's

429
00:21:42,960 --> 00:21:47,160
Speaker 1: a corpse. So just scary times right now for green Back. Well,

430
00:21:47,240 --> 00:21:53,320
Speaker 1: look we still uh oh people a foxhol Simon says

431
00:21:53,560 --> 00:21:56,720
Speaker 1: an exact decision. We don't have any games through the

432
00:21:56,760 --> 00:21:59,880
Speaker 1: first few that we like. Uh as consideration for our

433
00:22:00,000 --> 00:22:03,479
Speaker 1: final five, we don't have to make this, you know

434
00:22:03,640 --> 00:22:07,280
Speaker 1: part of that conversation. There will be other options. Uh. Yeah.

435
00:22:07,640 --> 00:22:09,560
Speaker 1: If in our contest they are seven and a half,

436
00:22:11,119 --> 00:22:12,600
Speaker 1: feel like I'm gonna be able to talk into the

437
00:22:12,680 --> 00:22:16,040
Speaker 1: Jets just because I don't know. Green Bay just feel

438
00:22:16,040 --> 00:22:18,560
Speaker 1: a little overrated right now because people are still bake

439
00:22:19,320 --> 00:22:21,200
Speaker 1: betting off what they were these last couple of years

440
00:22:21,200 --> 00:22:23,760
Speaker 1: with Davatte Adams, and clearly that is an issue for

441
00:22:23,800 --> 00:22:27,639
Speaker 1: this team on third down. All right. Uh. Speaking of

442
00:22:27,640 --> 00:22:32,600
Speaker 1: the New York Football Giants, they are relatively big underdog

443
00:22:32,840 --> 00:22:36,920
Speaker 1: at home this week plus five. Here's my initial take

444
00:22:36,960 --> 00:22:42,400
Speaker 1: on this. The Giants are winning in spite of themselves.

445
00:22:43,760 --> 00:22:49,199
Speaker 1: The Ravens are consistently losing or close to losing in

446
00:22:49,320 --> 00:22:53,360
Speaker 1: spite of themselves. So are you going to get the

447
00:22:53,359 --> 00:22:56,960
Speaker 1: worst of a very good team or the best of

448
00:22:57,080 --> 00:23:01,640
Speaker 1: a not so talented team. Where does the advance the July? Yeah,

449
00:23:01,680 --> 00:23:04,200
Speaker 1: it feels like this, remember is impossible in any cap

450
00:23:04,280 --> 00:23:08,119
Speaker 1: Like every five of my body screams take the Ravens.

451
00:23:08,160 --> 00:23:10,439
Speaker 1: But the Giants just smile and they just want me

452
00:23:10,480 --> 00:23:12,879
Speaker 1: to do it. They're gonna go ahead, keep doubting us

453
00:23:12,920 --> 00:23:15,679
Speaker 1: and will be four and one. Makes zero sense. I

454
00:23:15,720 --> 00:23:18,200
Speaker 1: can't get over that they're good again. We live in

455
00:23:18,240 --> 00:23:20,040
Speaker 1: an area where a lot of the guys, especially guys

456
00:23:20,119 --> 00:23:23,080
Speaker 1: used to work with on the Jersey Shore Show. Giants

457
00:23:23,080 --> 00:23:24,520
Speaker 1: fans are coming out of the woodworks them in the

458
00:23:24,600 --> 00:23:26,680
Speaker 1: Jets fans. It's always a fun time when New York

459
00:23:26,760 --> 00:23:29,000
Speaker 1: is actually has good or I should send New Jersey

460
00:23:29,280 --> 00:23:33,080
Speaker 1: has good football teams. Uh, I don't know. I don't

461
00:23:33,080 --> 00:23:36,280
Speaker 1: know what to make of this Giants team. Like I know,

462
00:23:36,359 --> 00:23:38,760
Speaker 1: head coach is important, and they take on the identity

463
00:23:38,760 --> 00:23:43,320
Speaker 1: of their head coach, but it's all so bizarre. Daniel Jones,

464
00:23:44,240 --> 00:23:46,159
Speaker 1: I don't get it. I don't get any of it.

465
00:23:46,240 --> 00:23:48,480
Speaker 1: I can't even try to break it down where Yeah,

466
00:23:48,600 --> 00:23:51,040
Speaker 1: my model the value is on the Ravens, like I

467
00:23:51,080 --> 00:23:53,840
Speaker 1: got this number of six. I like the Ravens this position,

468
00:23:54,480 --> 00:23:56,199
Speaker 1: but I feel like Chad just nailed it. Like the

469
00:23:56,320 --> 00:23:59,639
Speaker 1: Ravens can't that they're not beating these teams up like

470
00:23:59,640 --> 00:24:01,320
Speaker 1: they have been in these past couple of years. Like

471
00:24:02,040 --> 00:24:05,320
Speaker 1: you know, we could get those random point wins by

472
00:24:05,320 --> 00:24:08,240
Speaker 1: the Ravens. We're just not getting it. Either their offense

473
00:24:08,280 --> 00:24:10,080
Speaker 1: doesn't have it, or their defense doesn't have it, or

474
00:24:10,400 --> 00:24:12,439
Speaker 1: it's just a very up and down team that's just

475
00:24:12,480 --> 00:24:15,159
Speaker 1: been playing teams close. So I get. I mean, we

476
00:24:15,200 --> 00:24:17,040
Speaker 1: could pass on it for right now. Maybe my opinion

477
00:24:17,080 --> 00:24:19,359
Speaker 1: will change, Like I just I feel like a coward

478
00:24:19,400 --> 00:24:22,000
Speaker 1: being scared of the Giants, but I just either would

479
00:24:22,040 --> 00:24:23,800
Speaker 1: take the Ravens try, I wouldn't take anything at all.

480
00:24:24,359 --> 00:24:29,320
Speaker 1: We move on. Yeah, Bengals two point favorites on the

481
00:24:29,400 --> 00:24:33,280
Speaker 1: road at the Saints. The line has moved up, the

482
00:24:33,320 --> 00:24:35,960
Speaker 1: Bengals getting everything, all the money, all the tickets. Look,

483
00:24:37,560 --> 00:24:40,280
Speaker 1: foxhold chat, we're going with the Saints, right and of

484
00:24:40,320 --> 00:24:46,840
Speaker 1: course you know me, All right, let's climbe down into

485
00:24:46,880 --> 00:24:51,120
Speaker 1: the foxhole because the Saints are the side here, Like,

486
00:24:51,320 --> 00:24:53,880
Speaker 1: of course you take the Saints. No one's gonna want

487
00:24:53,880 --> 00:24:55,600
Speaker 1: to let's listen to the show, like if this, if

488
00:24:55,600 --> 00:24:56,800
Speaker 1: I could have made it our big ball as I

489
00:24:56,800 --> 00:25:00,200
Speaker 1: would have because it's Tuesday, Foxhole jump on in Going

490
00:25:00,200 --> 00:25:03,479
Speaker 1: to the Foxhol New Orleans Saints plus two no brainer.

491
00:25:03,600 --> 00:25:05,480
Speaker 1: As soon as this line came out, I knew I

492
00:25:05,520 --> 00:25:07,720
Speaker 1: was gonna be on it. I have a Bengals team

493
00:25:08,040 --> 00:25:10,760
Speaker 1: that we've seen what they are right there, exactly what

494
00:25:10,800 --> 00:25:13,960
Speaker 1: they were last year. They played gross ugly closed games.

495
00:25:14,480 --> 00:25:17,040
Speaker 1: But the biggest weakness on that team is the coaching.

496
00:25:17,480 --> 00:25:20,520
Speaker 1: And I'm looking at the Saints team. They actually look

497
00:25:20,560 --> 00:25:22,320
Speaker 1: like they know exactly what they want to be now.

498
00:25:22,440 --> 00:25:24,080
Speaker 1: They kind of have a rhythm going here. They need

499
00:25:24,160 --> 00:25:28,159
Speaker 1: Dalton bringing in Taysom Hill. It's a wacky offense, and

500
00:25:28,240 --> 00:25:30,439
Speaker 1: Comar is back to which and he didn't make too

501
00:25:30,480 --> 00:25:32,520
Speaker 1: many plays last year. We saw the defensive counting for

502
00:25:32,600 --> 00:25:34,640
Speaker 1: him and leaving lanes open for a Hill to hit.

503
00:25:34,720 --> 00:25:37,399
Speaker 1: So I just like the Saints team, and I like

504
00:25:37,480 --> 00:25:39,480
Speaker 1: their defense in this matchup as well. I think they

505
00:25:39,480 --> 00:25:42,439
Speaker 1: do match up well against them where Seattle kind of

506
00:25:43,240 --> 00:25:45,360
Speaker 1: end the vikings they both were. I know it's crazy

507
00:25:45,400 --> 00:25:47,679
Speaker 1: to say Gino Smith's a high flying pass an offense

508
00:25:47,800 --> 00:25:50,359
Speaker 1: right now. But he kind of is. I look at

509
00:25:50,359 --> 00:25:52,520
Speaker 1: this Bengals team that they've taken a step back. They

510
00:25:52,560 --> 00:25:55,199
Speaker 1: just don't They're not getting the balls downfield. I just

511
00:25:55,240 --> 00:25:58,640
Speaker 1: don't see the Bengals adjusting well to how the defense

512
00:25:58,680 --> 00:26:02,159
Speaker 1: are playing Burrow. Um, we've seen Chase struggling as well

513
00:26:02,200 --> 00:26:05,760
Speaker 1: this year. To the public is gonna be all over this,

514
00:26:05,840 --> 00:26:08,280
Speaker 1: this number of shoes are opened. I was, I'll just wait,

515
00:26:08,440 --> 00:26:11,040
Speaker 1: hopefully get a three. It's gone the way I've hoped.

516
00:26:11,119 --> 00:26:12,879
Speaker 1: The public is just betting in the book will keep

517
00:26:12,920 --> 00:26:16,040
Speaker 1: moving it because pros are gonna keep waiting. Um, no,

518
00:26:16,240 --> 00:26:21,520
Speaker 1: no brainer. Pick uh. It was one of those two

519
00:26:21,520 --> 00:26:23,400
Speaker 1: I sees. I saw. I thought you're gonna make your executive.

520
00:26:23,440 --> 00:26:24,840
Speaker 1: That's why I jumped on it as a Fox sol.

521
00:26:24,880 --> 00:26:26,760
Speaker 1: I just thought we had to get it in, had

522
00:26:26,800 --> 00:26:29,240
Speaker 1: to get in that. Let Chad steal it. Oh No,

523
00:26:29,320 --> 00:26:32,280
Speaker 1: I've got one in mind for the executive. Probably both

524
00:26:32,280 --> 00:26:34,840
Speaker 1: gonna be all the same one though. Uh well, listen,

525
00:26:34,880 --> 00:26:38,160
Speaker 1: I won the exact decision last week, and so m

526
00:26:38,200 --> 00:26:40,080
Speaker 1: I said that Browns would have been. Simon says, if

527
00:26:40,080 --> 00:26:43,960
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528
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532
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533
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Speaker 1: are in the Browns Patriots game. I like the Browns,

534
00:27:07,080 --> 00:27:11,240
Speaker 1: I like the under. I like Nick Chubb over his

535
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536
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537
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538
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554
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555
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556
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558
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Speaker 1: dot net in West Virginia. Alright, so we both agree

559
00:28:37,800 --> 00:28:42,480
Speaker 1: on the Saints tally ho the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, man,

560
00:28:42,560 --> 00:28:45,960
Speaker 1: they looked like they were gonna steam roll then now

561
00:28:46,160 --> 00:28:49,200
Speaker 1: five and oh against the spread Atlanta Falcons, who I'm

562
00:28:49,200 --> 00:28:51,720
Speaker 1: truly falling in love with. Instead, they led him back

563
00:28:51,720 --> 00:28:55,160
Speaker 1: in the game. Arthur Smith made the really interesting call.

564
00:28:55,600 --> 00:28:58,959
Speaker 1: They were down, and he went for two May fifteen.

565
00:28:59,000 --> 00:29:01,040
Speaker 1: We all know what happened in that game. They still

566
00:29:01,080 --> 00:29:05,640
Speaker 1: covered the Buccaneers around the road. At the Steelers. The

567
00:29:05,720 --> 00:29:08,760
Speaker 1: Bucks are about eight and a half point favorites. Look,

568
00:29:09,280 --> 00:29:11,920
Speaker 1: who wants to bet the Steelers at this point? But

569
00:29:12,680 --> 00:29:16,640
Speaker 1: the numbers will tell you this is when you make

570
00:29:16,760 --> 00:29:19,280
Speaker 1: the play on the big home dog there eight and

571
00:29:19,280 --> 00:29:21,360
Speaker 1: a half Right now, I don't know what to do.

572
00:29:21,800 --> 00:29:24,120
Speaker 1: Maybe I'll just bet the under. I should be all over.

573
00:29:24,160 --> 00:29:27,360
Speaker 1: The Steelers share a big home dog like Kenny Pickett

574
00:29:27,600 --> 00:29:30,880
Speaker 1: against this Buck's defense, I don't see where the points

575
00:29:30,960 --> 00:29:32,960
Speaker 1: come from. I just don't see where they come from.

576
00:29:33,040 --> 00:29:35,560
Speaker 1: And that's my biggest issue here. It's like, Bills are good,

577
00:29:35,680 --> 00:29:38,120
Speaker 1: Bills defense are good? Are they as good as the Bucks?

578
00:29:38,160 --> 00:29:40,520
Speaker 1: I don't know? Like the Bucks might be even better.

579
00:29:40,640 --> 00:29:45,000
Speaker 1: So I I want to take Kenny and this Pittsburgh team.

580
00:29:45,040 --> 00:29:47,240
Speaker 1: I think that is a big number of Brady. They

581
00:29:47,320 --> 00:29:50,600
Speaker 1: let them back door them like Atlanta. They were dead

582
00:29:50,760 --> 00:29:52,320
Speaker 1: and what was the twenty one? Nothing like you were

583
00:29:52,360 --> 00:29:55,080
Speaker 1: saying that game was over, um And they came all

584
00:29:55,080 --> 00:29:56,480
Speaker 1: the way back and they had a chance of winning

585
00:29:56,480 --> 00:29:59,600
Speaker 1: that game without one bad blown call because Bucks defense

586
00:29:59,600 --> 00:30:02,960
Speaker 1: did looked hired and that Florida Sun. This is different though,

587
00:30:03,000 --> 00:30:06,760
Speaker 1: this is up in Pittsburgh. I mean, am I about

588
00:30:06,760 --> 00:30:09,360
Speaker 1: to bet Brady is about to go over four against

589
00:30:09,360 --> 00:30:12,000
Speaker 1: the spread. I don't know what to do. It's just

590
00:30:12,600 --> 00:30:17,200
Speaker 1: it's so tough. The more we talk about it, it

591
00:30:17,200 --> 00:30:19,360
Speaker 1: feels like we shop in the bucks. Right. No, the

592
00:30:19,400 --> 00:30:21,640
Speaker 1: more it feels like a no brainer to bet the

593
00:30:21,680 --> 00:30:25,680
Speaker 1: Steamers because we're talking about we're talking about a team

594
00:30:25,680 --> 00:30:28,720
Speaker 1: that just got blown out. I bet if we called

595
00:30:28,720 --> 00:30:32,240
Speaker 1: Evan Abrams right now and said, give me the historical

596
00:30:32,360 --> 00:30:35,440
Speaker 1: numbers on teams in a blowout loss who were more

597
00:30:35,480 --> 00:30:39,880
Speaker 1: than a touchdown touchdown underdog in the following game, I

598
00:30:39,960 --> 00:30:45,520
Speaker 1: guarantee it's like nine. So you probably have the history

599
00:30:45,760 --> 00:30:47,960
Speaker 1: you're gonna have. It's a good number two like I

600
00:30:48,000 --> 00:30:50,840
Speaker 1: have the public eight and a half. You're gonna have

601
00:30:50,880 --> 00:30:54,720
Speaker 1: a huge home underdog, and you're gonna have a team

602
00:30:54,840 --> 00:30:57,520
Speaker 1: that no one thinks can do anything because they've only

603
00:30:57,560 --> 00:30:59,640
Speaker 1: seen the quarterback play one game and all he did

604
00:31:00,080 --> 00:31:03,440
Speaker 1: Will scored three points. I worry about Matt Canada as

605
00:31:03,440 --> 00:31:05,680
Speaker 1: an offensive coordinator. There is nothing going on with that

606
00:31:05,760 --> 00:31:07,960
Speaker 1: offense for the second year in a row. But the

607
00:31:08,000 --> 00:31:12,480
Speaker 1: Steelers on the side here, they just are, yeah, not

608
00:31:12,520 --> 00:31:14,720
Speaker 1: showing as anything to make us think they can close

609
00:31:14,760 --> 00:31:18,040
Speaker 1: games out right, So like again, Chat, everything you said

610
00:31:18,080 --> 00:31:19,600
Speaker 1: so true, So I'll probably end up one. I just

611
00:31:19,800 --> 00:31:22,640
Speaker 1: as we sit here on Tuesday, it's it's just so

612
00:31:22,680 --> 00:31:24,680
Speaker 1: sick and growth. I just can't pull myself to do it.

613
00:31:24,760 --> 00:31:27,400
Speaker 1: But again, you know, I'm sure, I'm sure Chad's gonna

614
00:31:27,400 --> 00:31:29,440
Speaker 1: break because this is this is literally right up my alley,

615
00:31:29,480 --> 00:31:32,479
Speaker 1: like I always love these ugly dogs. This is of

616
00:31:32,520 --> 00:31:34,719
Speaker 1: course we're supposed to be betting this game, and I

617
00:31:34,760 --> 00:31:38,000
Speaker 1: guarantee come Thursday, little Preview, this will be a big

618
00:31:38,080 --> 00:31:44,920
Speaker 1: boss Believe this will be a big There's no other

619
00:31:45,000 --> 00:31:46,880
Speaker 1: game on the board that can be a big boss

620
00:31:46,920 --> 00:31:50,520
Speaker 1: o this one. Meanwhile, the Niners go on the road

621
00:31:50,560 --> 00:31:52,720
Speaker 1: and they're five and a half point favorites on the

622
00:31:52,800 --> 00:31:58,000
Speaker 1: road at the Falcons. It's appros Joe's game on the

623
00:31:58,080 --> 00:32:01,520
Speaker 1: Niners of the tickets six sending money on the Falcons.

624
00:32:02,040 --> 00:32:03,880
Speaker 1: The only thing that's keeping me from pulling the trigger

625
00:32:03,920 --> 00:32:06,480
Speaker 1: on the Falcons right now, and this is stupid, is

626
00:32:06,520 --> 00:32:10,840
Speaker 1: the fear of aggression because they haven't lost against the

627
00:32:10,840 --> 00:32:13,280
Speaker 1: spread this year. But I think this, this game matches

628
00:32:13,360 --> 00:32:21,640
Speaker 1: up perfectly for them. Simon says, do it, go go

629
00:32:21,680 --> 00:32:24,840
Speaker 1: grab Atlanta right now. Hopefully you can get that plus six. Um,

630
00:32:24,880 --> 00:32:26,800
Speaker 1: I see it's still there at some a couple of books.

631
00:32:26,960 --> 00:32:28,680
Speaker 1: They're probably gonna be stuck with the five, five and

632
00:32:28,720 --> 00:32:32,479
Speaker 1: a half. It's just a no brainer. Players are banged up,

633
00:32:32,520 --> 00:32:34,840
Speaker 1: they got a lot of injuries. They're not playing the

634
00:32:34,880 --> 00:32:37,600
Speaker 1: corpse of Carolina like they did last week. That team

635
00:32:37,640 --> 00:32:39,680
Speaker 1: literally just got rid of the quarterback and their coach

636
00:32:39,880 --> 00:32:42,400
Speaker 1: in a day. Yeah, Baker's hurt. I'm sure he's hurt.

637
00:32:42,800 --> 00:32:47,600
Speaker 1: Get out of here. They just that was classic great

638
00:32:47,600 --> 00:32:49,680
Speaker 1: spot to take the four niners. We we we wanted

639
00:32:49,720 --> 00:32:51,560
Speaker 1: to take it to but we just couldn't pull ourselves

640
00:32:51,600 --> 00:32:55,800
Speaker 1: to do it. Um. Great defense. Now Nick bos is injured,

641
00:32:56,160 --> 00:32:59,760
Speaker 1: they got injuries, injuries on their offensive line. You're playing

642
00:32:59,760 --> 00:33:02,400
Speaker 1: in a landed team that is just in these games,

643
00:33:02,760 --> 00:33:05,680
Speaker 1: and you're the fact that they're a home dog against Shanahan.

644
00:33:05,800 --> 00:33:08,120
Speaker 1: Shanahan is a favorite on the road. Again, I can't

645
00:33:08,320 --> 00:33:10,560
Speaker 1: see what Evan puts out for trends. That is not

646
00:33:10,640 --> 00:33:13,680
Speaker 1: a trend that's ever been good for Kyle Shanahan. So

647
00:33:14,160 --> 00:33:17,200
Speaker 1: I'm I'm just looking at just again, I throw it

648
00:33:17,200 --> 00:33:18,680
Speaker 1: out the five and oh a t s. I'm just

649
00:33:18,720 --> 00:33:21,440
Speaker 1: going week by week here it's a nice spot to

650
00:33:21,520 --> 00:33:23,760
Speaker 1: take Atlanta. I betted down to three and a half,

651
00:33:23,800 --> 00:33:25,640
Speaker 1: betted down to four, and I do think I'll get

652
00:33:25,640 --> 00:33:27,520
Speaker 1: down there. I think other pros are just gonna be

653
00:33:27,520 --> 00:33:30,440
Speaker 1: on this Atlanta team, like they can move the ball.

654
00:33:30,640 --> 00:33:34,120
Speaker 1: Like Mariota not an amazing quarterback. I'd be pissed if

655
00:33:34,120 --> 00:33:37,920
Speaker 1: he was my quarterback, but he is good. He's like

656
00:33:38,000 --> 00:33:40,320
Speaker 1: he just moves the ball. And it's crazy against that

657
00:33:40,360 --> 00:33:43,520
Speaker 1: Bucks team, he kept having these big throws on third

658
00:33:43,560 --> 00:33:46,400
Speaker 1: down and it's like that's a veteran quarterback who's been around,

659
00:33:46,800 --> 00:33:50,120
Speaker 1: stands in the pocket, takes hits. We we love Atlanta.

660
00:33:50,280 --> 00:33:52,240
Speaker 1: Like the fact that I haven't been on them every week,

661
00:33:52,240 --> 00:33:53,920
Speaker 1: I'm killing me. It's like they're five and oh I

662
00:33:53,920 --> 00:33:56,560
Speaker 1: should been on them every week. I'm not missing this week.

663
00:33:56,600 --> 00:33:59,920
Speaker 1: It's such a good spot against as team on back

664
00:34:00,000 --> 00:34:04,720
Speaker 1: the back East Coast road game again Atlanta hoping at

665
00:34:04,720 --> 00:34:07,680
Speaker 1: the six, but five and a halfs five. It's exactly

666
00:34:07,720 --> 00:34:10,640
Speaker 1: the play. In fact, this will be the first entry

667
00:34:10,680 --> 00:34:14,520
Speaker 1: that I feel great about in our phase five. Yeah again,

668
00:34:14,600 --> 00:34:16,600
Speaker 1: this this in the Saints when I knew right away

669
00:34:16,640 --> 00:34:19,560
Speaker 1: met Chad, we're gonna have a contested just both both games.

670
00:34:19,560 --> 00:34:21,719
Speaker 1: We just perfectly line us up with home dogs and

671
00:34:21,800 --> 00:34:24,480
Speaker 1: great spots. I should have put this. I should have

672
00:34:24,520 --> 00:34:26,000
Speaker 1: said I had the Saints in the phase five to

673
00:34:27,040 --> 00:34:33,080
Speaker 1: the next game, the Patriots on the road at the Browns.

674
00:34:33,640 --> 00:34:36,240
Speaker 1: This game open to two and a half. Chad Milman

675
00:34:37,080 --> 00:34:41,120
Speaker 1: what he likes to do on Sunday nights. I'll open

676
00:34:41,160 --> 00:34:45,960
Speaker 1: the Action Network app. I'll start looking at lines. I

677
00:34:46,000 --> 00:34:48,880
Speaker 1: tried it to be too aggressive like the Falcons I loved,

678
00:34:48,920 --> 00:34:52,040
Speaker 1: but I had second thoughts because I was worried about

679
00:34:52,040 --> 00:34:54,040
Speaker 1: regression until Simon talked to me out of it. This

680
00:34:54,120 --> 00:34:58,040
Speaker 1: second I mentioned I love the Bears. Chad Melman is

681
00:34:58,080 --> 00:35:02,400
Speaker 1: going to call an exact decision on the Browns. They

682
00:35:02,440 --> 00:35:06,359
Speaker 1: are three point favorites at home against the Patriots. Chad

683
00:35:06,400 --> 00:35:08,040
Speaker 1: Molman got them at two and a half on Sunday

684
00:35:08,120 --> 00:35:10,000
Speaker 1: night because he was looking at the Action Network gap.

685
00:35:10,120 --> 00:35:12,840
Speaker 1: He saw that the line the juice was at minus.

686
00:35:13,640 --> 00:35:15,839
Speaker 1: He knew would be moving soon. He got the two

687
00:35:15,880 --> 00:35:18,120
Speaker 1: and a half. The rest of you, I would still

688
00:35:18,160 --> 00:35:23,560
Speaker 1: take the three exact decision, the choice between the unthinkable

689
00:35:23,680 --> 00:35:31,839
Speaker 1: and the impossible. Are you happy? Executive decision? Exact decision?

690
00:35:32,239 --> 00:35:34,200
Speaker 1: Go with the Brownies. The Brownies did it for me

691
00:35:34,280 --> 00:35:36,840
Speaker 1: last week against the Chargers. I'm gonna do it for

692
00:35:36,880 --> 00:35:40,800
Speaker 1: me this week against the Patriots. Right now betting tickets

693
00:35:40,800 --> 00:35:44,120
Speaker 1: on the Patriots. Money the Pros are on the Browns.

694
00:35:44,560 --> 00:35:49,160
Speaker 1: Give it to me. M so happy. Another week you

695
00:35:49,200 --> 00:35:51,120
Speaker 1: get to hear about chagging the best of the number.

696
00:35:51,239 --> 00:35:56,640
Speaker 1: What a fun segment this always is. Uh yeah, dad,

697
00:35:57,120 --> 00:36:00,239
Speaker 1: It's like again, just a bet on one of ache.

698
00:36:00,280 --> 00:36:02,120
Speaker 1: But the minute the number comes out, I'm gonna have

699
00:36:02,200 --> 00:36:04,400
Speaker 1: to make it. They should have won last week the Browns.

700
00:36:04,400 --> 00:36:07,279
Speaker 1: They're kicker and missed what two field goals? Chargers are

701
00:36:07,320 --> 00:36:11,120
Speaker 1: begging to give that game away. God, this Cleveland team,

702
00:36:11,280 --> 00:36:14,160
Speaker 1: they're they're heartbreakers. Man. That's the biggest fear of taking

703
00:36:14,160 --> 00:36:16,600
Speaker 1: this number, because we like it better when they're dogs.

704
00:36:16,600 --> 00:36:19,480
Speaker 1: We don't like taking them as favorites. But a rookie

705
00:36:19,560 --> 00:36:23,640
Speaker 1: quarterback off a dominating win at home, going on the road,

706
00:36:24,000 --> 00:36:26,320
Speaker 1: play Cleveland team that needs this win now, they need

707
00:36:26,320 --> 00:36:30,320
Speaker 1: this Patriots. I'm excited for them right their Their offense

708
00:36:30,320 --> 00:36:32,360
Speaker 1: looks like they're figuring out here. The defense is too.

709
00:36:32,760 --> 00:36:34,520
Speaker 1: This is just a good spot take the Browns. I

710
00:36:34,560 --> 00:36:36,239
Speaker 1: would honestly take up three and a half. Take up

711
00:36:36,239 --> 00:36:38,400
Speaker 1: the four. A good team against a team in New

712
00:36:38,440 --> 00:36:41,160
Speaker 1: England that they're not as good as the people think

713
00:36:41,200 --> 00:36:43,080
Speaker 1: they are right now, right who they beat? And they

714
00:36:43,160 --> 00:36:45,799
Speaker 1: beat Pittsburgh and they just beat Detroit and Detroit's first

715
00:36:45,840 --> 00:36:50,520
Speaker 1: outdoor game of the season. I'm shocked the public loves

716
00:36:50,520 --> 00:36:52,640
Speaker 1: the Patriots so much, just because again it's a rookie

717
00:36:52,680 --> 00:36:55,520
Speaker 1: on the road. But I know our guy, Matt Mitchell

718
00:36:55,560 --> 00:37:00,400
Speaker 1: loves this quarterback, Dailey Zappy. It maybe it's just a

719
00:37:00,440 --> 00:37:02,640
Speaker 1: carryover from the generate. It's all at bet him in

720
00:37:02,680 --> 00:37:04,440
Speaker 1: college or not just bend them in the pros. But

721
00:37:05,239 --> 00:37:07,440
Speaker 1: interesting that so many people are on a rookie on

722
00:37:07,480 --> 00:37:10,040
Speaker 1: the road against a big Brown's team right there. They've

723
00:37:10,040 --> 00:37:11,920
Speaker 1: been better than I thought they would be coming into

724
00:37:11,960 --> 00:37:14,520
Speaker 1: this year. Here's what I think. You live in an

725
00:37:14,520 --> 00:37:18,120
Speaker 1: insular world of professionals. I'm more connected and have a

726
00:37:18,160 --> 00:37:22,640
Speaker 1: better sense of the populace populous in general. It's my

727
00:37:22,760 --> 00:37:26,359
Speaker 1: it's my gift, right, I can do populist content. That's

728
00:37:26,360 --> 00:37:29,000
Speaker 1: how I've turned gambling into something that like nobody pays

729
00:37:29,040 --> 00:37:33,360
Speaker 1: attention to, into a worldwide business. A Bailey's Appy is

730
00:37:33,360 --> 00:37:37,240
Speaker 1: the quarterback you're referring to Yes, Bailey's Appy. Bailey's Appy

731
00:37:37,280 --> 00:37:39,839
Speaker 1: played great against the Packers, like you mentioned, in a

732
00:37:39,840 --> 00:37:42,160
Speaker 1: big game that was like the game of the week.

733
00:37:42,280 --> 00:37:44,160
Speaker 1: And then they go out and beat the Lions, who

734
00:37:44,200 --> 00:37:46,560
Speaker 1: everyone sort of felt might be kind of good and

735
00:37:46,600 --> 00:37:48,839
Speaker 1: had a high scoring offense and they shut them out.

736
00:37:49,120 --> 00:37:51,960
Speaker 1: So now everyone's thinking, Oh, the Patriots are figuring it out.

737
00:37:52,040 --> 00:37:54,000
Speaker 1: They might not be bad. The Browns are just a

738
00:37:54,000 --> 00:37:56,720
Speaker 1: good team. Like and I'm going to continue to believe

739
00:37:56,760 --> 00:37:59,160
Speaker 1: that they're getting some bad breaks and some weird calls,

740
00:37:59,200 --> 00:38:01,600
Speaker 1: but this is a good team and there's no way

741
00:38:01,680 --> 00:38:04,360
Speaker 1: they should never not be taken if they are short

742
00:38:04,440 --> 00:38:07,719
Speaker 1: home underdogs or short home favorites, and there's no way

743
00:38:08,360 --> 00:38:13,879
Speaker 1: they should be three points against the Patriots should be higher. Yeah,

744
00:38:13,920 --> 00:38:15,880
Speaker 1: and again we're gonna probably have this one in our contest.

745
00:38:15,960 --> 00:38:17,719
Speaker 1: And it sucks knowing that we might be stepping in

746
00:38:17,719 --> 00:38:19,760
Speaker 1: front of a train that is in New England. Patriots

747
00:38:19,760 --> 00:38:22,000
Speaker 1: on a hot roll, but the numbers just don't back

748
00:38:22,080 --> 00:38:24,960
Speaker 1: that up. It's like, yeah, they could be things outside

749
00:38:24,960 --> 00:38:26,960
Speaker 1: the numbers you don't see coming with this Patriots team,

750
00:38:27,000 --> 00:38:29,080
Speaker 1: But just just on paper, this is a good spot.

751
00:38:29,120 --> 00:38:37,800
Speaker 1: Take the Brows Billy Zappies Sounds Hounds out Minnesota Vikings

752
00:38:38,360 --> 00:38:43,560
Speaker 1: on the road at the Miami Dolphins. Dolphins three point

753
00:38:44,040 --> 00:38:49,480
Speaker 1: underdogs at home. Interesting, Yeah, I mean, what the hell

754
00:38:49,520 --> 00:38:52,080
Speaker 1: am I supposed to do here? Every fiber my body says,

755
00:38:52,120 --> 00:38:54,920
Speaker 1: you take Miami. You don't even think, you just blindly

756
00:38:54,960 --> 00:38:56,600
Speaker 1: bet it. So I guess that's what I'm gonna do.

757
00:38:56,880 --> 00:39:00,120
Speaker 1: But I don't know. Teddy Bridgewater has not in all

758
00:39:00,120 --> 00:39:03,000
Speaker 1: at anything in me. That's like, Okay, I can trust

759
00:39:03,040 --> 00:39:05,759
Speaker 1: this guy. I've seen him go out of games like

760
00:39:05,800 --> 00:39:08,319
Speaker 1: that before. He takes little hits, little nicks and he

761
00:39:08,640 --> 00:39:10,239
Speaker 1: backs out of games. And now I have money on

762
00:39:10,280 --> 00:39:15,240
Speaker 1: the third string quarterback of Miami. Kind Of scary, but yeah,

763
00:39:15,719 --> 00:39:19,240
Speaker 1: be honest, but love love this matchup for them against

764
00:39:19,239 --> 00:39:23,239
Speaker 1: the Vikings defense. That's suspect. We just saw Chicago move

765
00:39:23,320 --> 00:39:28,640
Speaker 1: the ball pretty easily against this Viking secondary. Now you're

766
00:39:28,680 --> 00:39:33,279
Speaker 1: taking them a throw into the hot Florida sun. Come on, now, me,

767
00:39:33,280 --> 00:39:35,319
Speaker 1: me and chat On back would be on Miami. But

768
00:39:35,680 --> 00:39:37,640
Speaker 1: wait and see grab the three if you want for small,

769
00:39:38,160 --> 00:39:40,080
Speaker 1: Let's wait and see him. Make sure we definitely are

770
00:39:40,120 --> 00:39:43,560
Speaker 1: getting Teddy everything I've read, He's past all concussion tests,

771
00:39:43,880 --> 00:39:45,800
Speaker 1: but they've updated their rules. You have to get cleared

772
00:39:45,840 --> 00:39:48,840
Speaker 1: from a doctor that's outside the team, that's working for

773
00:39:48,880 --> 00:39:52,040
Speaker 1: the NFL. UM. It's just as you sit here on two.

774
00:39:52,160 --> 00:39:53,600
Speaker 1: I don't know if it's definitely gonna be teddy, but

775
00:39:53,960 --> 00:39:55,759
Speaker 1: love the number, so I'll just grab it or small

776
00:39:55,840 --> 00:39:59,640
Speaker 1: right now, grab the three. Um the one thing I'll say,

777
00:39:59,719 --> 00:40:02,480
Speaker 1: you know you said a couple of times it's a

778
00:40:02,520 --> 00:40:06,400
Speaker 1: defense that gave up forty points. But this game, I

779
00:40:06,400 --> 00:40:09,960
Speaker 1: think it was into the third, maybe even into the fourth.

780
00:40:10,480 --> 00:40:13,400
Speaker 1: I can't remember the exact timing. It was nineteen seventeen.

781
00:40:13,800 --> 00:40:17,799
Speaker 1: The Dolphins are moving the ball with Skylar Thompson from Independence, Missouri,

782
00:40:17,840 --> 00:40:21,040
Speaker 1: where the buck stops with him, and I mean that literally,

783
00:40:21,280 --> 00:40:25,720
Speaker 1: my bucks stopped with Skyler Thompson. It's Harry Truman reference

784
00:40:25,760 --> 00:40:28,480
Speaker 1: for are you fletch fans? The Jets are a fourth

785
00:40:28,560 --> 00:40:30,399
Speaker 1: quarter team, so I w was just never worked because

786
00:40:30,400 --> 00:40:32,440
Speaker 1: the Jets, if you look through them them this year,

787
00:40:32,520 --> 00:40:34,400
Speaker 1: all their points usually come on the fourth quarter. So

788
00:40:34,760 --> 00:40:37,919
Speaker 1: here's my everything he said about my this this game

789
00:40:37,960 --> 00:40:41,080
Speaker 1: was vent. The Dolphins are moving the ball, they get

790
00:40:41,080 --> 00:40:44,319
Speaker 1: a couple of penalties and they missed a fifty four

791
00:40:44,400 --> 00:40:47,360
Speaker 1: yard field goal and Mike McDaniel's face on that was great.

792
00:40:47,400 --> 00:40:50,120
Speaker 1: Like normally coaches like are so stoic, and they had

793
00:40:50,120 --> 00:40:52,360
Speaker 1: a shot at close up of Mike McDaniel's after he

794
00:40:52,400 --> 00:40:55,160
Speaker 1: missed that field goal, and it was he was like,

795
00:40:55,480 --> 00:40:57,640
Speaker 1: what what does happen? Like it was just a great,

796
00:40:58,280 --> 00:41:00,759
Speaker 1: great look and like it was it mad. It was

797
00:41:00,800 --> 00:41:04,799
Speaker 1: just sort of mystified, right, and that was the game, right,

798
00:41:04,800 --> 00:41:07,120
Speaker 1: Like they could have gone on ten. That had the momentum.

799
00:41:07,200 --> 00:41:08,840
Speaker 1: They were stopping him and then all of a sudden

800
00:41:08,840 --> 00:41:11,520
Speaker 1: it was you know, turnovers and a bunch of things

801
00:41:11,520 --> 00:41:14,440
Speaker 1: in its team role. But I do like Miami in

802
00:41:14,480 --> 00:41:19,640
Speaker 1: the spot. That's totally the point. The Carolina Panthers look

803
00:41:20,640 --> 00:41:24,240
Speaker 1: new coach, new quarterback on the road at the Rams.

804
00:41:24,560 --> 00:41:26,279
Speaker 1: I want to get a shout out here to our

805
00:41:26,480 --> 00:41:30,200
Speaker 1: luck rankings that we've talked about Nick Giffin, Billy Ward,

806
00:41:30,320 --> 00:41:33,640
Speaker 1: Sean Kroner. They started doing it this past week. It's

807
00:41:33,680 --> 00:41:40,319
Speaker 1: brilliant and um. It basically accounts for factors that are

808
00:41:41,040 --> 00:41:44,920
Speaker 1: high variant moments in a game that if you put

809
00:41:44,960 --> 00:41:48,239
Speaker 1: them all together, is an indication of this team was

810
00:41:48,239 --> 00:41:50,040
Speaker 1: a little bit luckier or this team was a little

811
00:41:50,040 --> 00:41:54,879
Speaker 1: bit unluckier. The number one team in terms of luck

812
00:41:55,000 --> 00:41:58,120
Speaker 1: versus unluck or lack of luck this past week was

813
00:41:58,160 --> 00:42:03,280
Speaker 1: the Rams. You play that game seventy hundred times seventy

814
00:42:03,320 --> 00:42:07,080
Speaker 1: times based on the underlying stats, the Rams win that

815
00:42:07,160 --> 00:42:10,239
Speaker 1: game and cover against the Cowboys. Everyone going to the

816
00:42:10,239 --> 00:42:13,040
Speaker 1: Action Network app or going Action Network dot com read

817
00:42:13,080 --> 00:42:15,680
Speaker 1: about the luck rankings. They're amazing. And I'll also say

818
00:42:15,680 --> 00:42:18,120
Speaker 1: that of the teams that had the biggest descripant season

819
00:42:18,239 --> 00:42:22,879
Speaker 1: luck for this formula going into week five, um, they

820
00:42:22,880 --> 00:42:26,279
Speaker 1: were six and three of the top nine teams or

821
00:42:26,320 --> 00:42:29,200
Speaker 1: six and three against the spread. That was teams that

822
00:42:29,239 --> 00:42:33,960
Speaker 1: had a differential of ten luck points or more. Fascinating formula.

823
00:42:34,200 --> 00:42:36,839
Speaker 1: I'm so into it. I love it. Check it out.

824
00:42:37,200 --> 00:42:39,160
Speaker 1: The Rams were the unluckiest team in the NFL this

825
00:42:39,200 --> 00:42:43,400
Speaker 1: past week. Hey guys, if you're still listening to this, Simon,

826
00:42:43,800 --> 00:42:47,480
Speaker 1: uh yeah, I agree with Chad like it's I want

827
00:42:47,520 --> 00:42:49,560
Speaker 1: to take the Rams bad. But what the hell are

828
00:42:49,600 --> 00:42:52,399
Speaker 1: the Rams? They look lost Yet they can't run the ball,

829
00:42:52,400 --> 00:42:54,960
Speaker 1: which we know McVeigh needs in his offense, So now

830
00:42:54,960 --> 00:42:57,360
Speaker 1: they're one dimensional. Not only that, the only guy that

831
00:42:57,360 --> 00:42:59,520
Speaker 1: seems you can catch the ball is Cooper Cup, which

832
00:42:59,560 --> 00:43:02,880
Speaker 1: we all are. He knew, Um, just a bizarre team.

833
00:43:03,040 --> 00:43:05,320
Speaker 1: Everything about them. It's just so weird. The Rams. I

834
00:43:05,360 --> 00:43:08,160
Speaker 1: knew they're having a Super Bowl hangover, but what the

835
00:43:08,239 --> 00:43:10,759
Speaker 1: funk man, They're They're broken, Like, like you just said,

836
00:43:10,800 --> 00:43:13,640
Speaker 1: how did they lose that game in Dallas? It was bizarre?

837
00:43:13,760 --> 00:43:15,480
Speaker 1: What was the first play? Like a strip sack and

838
00:43:15,520 --> 00:43:17,719
Speaker 1: he took it back for a touchdown. It's and then

839
00:43:17,719 --> 00:43:21,480
Speaker 1: a punt yea. Every everything going wrong for the Rams.

840
00:43:21,520 --> 00:43:24,400
Speaker 1: So I'm with Chad. I feel like we should be

841
00:43:24,400 --> 00:43:26,320
Speaker 1: betting them here, but I don't know. I feel like

842
00:43:26,320 --> 00:43:28,200
Speaker 1: I'm either will be on Carolina or just stay away.

843
00:43:28,320 --> 00:43:30,960
Speaker 1: It's it's going to be a pass for me because

844
00:43:31,000 --> 00:43:33,040
Speaker 1: there's also the factor of a new head coach and

845
00:43:33,080 --> 00:43:36,040
Speaker 1: a new quarterback, and that I think of that actually

846
00:43:36,280 --> 00:43:40,960
Speaker 1: is an advantage for Carolina. Cardinals on the road at

847
00:43:41,000 --> 00:43:43,760
Speaker 1: the Seahawks. The Cardinals now two and a half point favorites.

848
00:43:44,360 --> 00:43:47,680
Speaker 1: Very interesting game. Here's something that my buddy Mike Schiffman

849
00:43:48,000 --> 00:43:52,840
Speaker 1: texted me. Mike's a long time producer and executive at ESPN.

850
00:43:53,080 --> 00:43:56,840
Speaker 1: He's also a futures savant and he texted me the

851
00:43:56,840 --> 00:44:00,120
Speaker 1: other day and he's like, should I be betting the

852
00:44:00,160 --> 00:44:02,719
Speaker 1: Cardinals a plus nine hundred to win the NFC West

853
00:44:02,840 --> 00:44:06,080
Speaker 1: right now? The Niners don't look great, The Rams don't

854
00:44:06,080 --> 00:44:09,359
Speaker 1: look great. The Seahawks don't look great. The Cardinals like

855
00:44:09,520 --> 00:44:11,920
Speaker 1: are not that far out of it, and they got

856
00:44:11,920 --> 00:44:15,000
Speaker 1: DeAndre Hopkins coming back. I don't I hate it because

857
00:44:15,040 --> 00:44:17,239
Speaker 1: I think everyone's on the same thing. It's just like,

858
00:44:17,920 --> 00:44:20,880
Speaker 1: no one knows what the Cardinals all. They just seem dysfunctional,

859
00:44:21,040 --> 00:44:22,959
Speaker 1: just like that Rams team does. But like you just said,

860
00:44:22,960 --> 00:44:25,600
Speaker 1: at least they're healthy. Where Stafford might have a bad

861
00:44:25,640 --> 00:44:28,480
Speaker 1: elbow and they have a bad offensive line, Cardinals, for

862
00:44:28,520 --> 00:44:32,160
Speaker 1: the most part, stayed relatively healthy and they're getting Hopkins back.

863
00:44:32,480 --> 00:44:34,000
Speaker 1: I didn't know what to do with this game. My

864
00:44:34,000 --> 00:44:36,799
Speaker 1: my my gun instinct is just take the dog at

865
00:44:36,840 --> 00:44:39,799
Speaker 1: home in a divisional game, So that's what I'll be on.

866
00:44:39,920 --> 00:44:44,160
Speaker 1: It's just the Seahawks obviously aren't that good. Eventually, Gino's

867
00:44:44,160 --> 00:44:46,520
Speaker 1: gonna come back down to Earth and I'll get caught eventually.

868
00:44:46,560 --> 00:44:49,000
Speaker 1: Maybe we got caught last week. But it feels like

869
00:44:49,040 --> 00:44:51,520
Speaker 1: the Seahawks are a good team, not as bad as

870
00:44:51,560 --> 00:44:53,480
Speaker 1: we all thought they were coming to this year. The

871
00:44:53,560 --> 00:44:57,200
Speaker 1: Cardinals yeah, they've looked better. Um. But at the same time,

872
00:44:57,400 --> 00:45:00,880
Speaker 1: like even watching that Eagles getting back, there's something missing

873
00:45:00,920 --> 00:45:04,239
Speaker 1: there on that offense. Like Kyler, he's so dynamic, and

874
00:45:04,239 --> 00:45:06,480
Speaker 1: again I think what they put up seventeen against the Eagles,

875
00:45:06,520 --> 00:45:08,799
Speaker 1: that's just that's too little for them. And all the

876
00:45:08,840 --> 00:45:11,920
Speaker 1: speed they have on that offense at home, UM, I

877
00:45:11,920 --> 00:45:16,040
Speaker 1: don't know, put them outside against the Seahawks team. I'm

878
00:45:16,120 --> 00:45:18,719
Speaker 1: dying to take the Seahawks here, but the fear is,

879
00:45:19,360 --> 00:45:21,520
Speaker 1: like Chad just said, I think Cardinals probably are the

880
00:45:21,560 --> 00:45:24,880
Speaker 1: better team, they got the better quarterback. Just playing the numbers,

881
00:45:24,920 --> 00:45:27,879
Speaker 1: they'll take the plus three divisional dog, but I don't

882
00:45:27,880 --> 00:45:29,080
Speaker 1: know if it'll be one of our five. I'm just

883
00:45:29,120 --> 00:45:31,360
Speaker 1: I'm leaking a little confidence here on the Seahawks team.

884
00:45:31,640 --> 00:45:33,319
Speaker 1: I don't think it will be right now. We've got

885
00:45:33,360 --> 00:45:36,280
Speaker 1: four in the list Atlanta five and a half Saints

886
00:45:36,280 --> 00:45:41,239
Speaker 1: to Cleveland three in Miami plus three. I think that

887
00:45:41,640 --> 00:45:44,040
Speaker 1: what do you have this game rated at? What's your number?

888
00:45:44,239 --> 00:45:45,840
Speaker 1: And that's why I was like all over the Seahawks.

889
00:45:45,840 --> 00:45:47,759
Speaker 1: I had to send minus one Seahawks, so I'm getting

890
00:45:47,760 --> 00:45:50,359
Speaker 1: a ton of value. But I think, my god, yeah,

891
00:45:50,360 --> 00:45:52,360
Speaker 1: but I think I'm overrating the Seahawks. That's my issue

892
00:45:52,440 --> 00:45:54,880
Speaker 1: right now. So I'm just a little wearier. It's like,

893
00:45:55,600 --> 00:45:57,799
Speaker 1: clear the books they think they got a good number

894
00:45:57,800 --> 00:46:00,200
Speaker 1: here on the Cardinals. And again, if the public came

895
00:46:00,200 --> 00:46:03,680
Speaker 1: in really heavy on the Seahawks, I would be completely

896
00:46:03,680 --> 00:46:05,120
Speaker 1: off of the game. But the fact that it's split

897
00:46:05,239 --> 00:46:06,600
Speaker 1: right now, it kind of makes me a little more

898
00:46:06,640 --> 00:46:09,640
Speaker 1: confident on taking the Shawks in this position. Maybe we'll

899
00:46:09,680 --> 00:46:13,000
Speaker 1: get some sharp calls about it. Game of the Week, big,

900
00:46:13,040 --> 00:46:19,879
Speaker 1: big game. The Bills make me want candles something. Throw

901
00:46:19,960 --> 00:46:23,239
Speaker 1: your hands up and throw your hand back, and from

902
00:46:23,640 --> 00:46:26,799
Speaker 1: now the Bills are making it happen now. Game of

903
00:46:26,800 --> 00:46:31,200
Speaker 1: the Week Bills visiting the Chiefs. This game open Chiefs

904
00:46:31,239 --> 00:46:33,880
Speaker 1: one and a half. It's now two and a half

905
00:46:34,440 --> 00:46:39,440
Speaker 1: before we get to you, Matt Mitchell, Bills Mafia. Don

906
00:46:41,600 --> 00:46:44,359
Speaker 1: how you feeling? This is a this is a gut

907
00:46:44,440 --> 00:46:49,000
Speaker 1: check game. The Bills creamed the Chiefs last year in

908
00:46:49,040 --> 00:46:52,360
Speaker 1: the regular season at Arrowhead in that weird game with

909
00:46:52,480 --> 00:46:56,520
Speaker 1: the lightning delay. They spent the entire off season assembling

910
00:46:56,560 --> 00:47:01,240
Speaker 1: a super team specifically to be just this team, after

911
00:47:01,400 --> 00:47:04,480
Speaker 1: coming within thirty seconds of doing just that in the playoffs,

912
00:47:04,560 --> 00:47:07,239
Speaker 1: last year. They're doing that. They appear to be in

913
00:47:07,800 --> 00:47:12,160
Speaker 1: unstoppable war machine, hell bent on world domination. I think

914
00:47:12,160 --> 00:47:16,320
Speaker 1: the Bills absolute role in this game, and maybe that's hupress,

915
00:47:16,400 --> 00:47:20,839
Speaker 1: maybe that's insanity. I usually am consumed with dread for

916
00:47:21,000 --> 00:47:24,719
Speaker 1: Bills games, especially Big Bills games. I think they absolutely

917
00:47:24,719 --> 00:47:27,719
Speaker 1: win this going away. The number of pictures we may

918
00:47:27,760 --> 00:47:30,560
Speaker 1: get of Matt Mitchell wearing gloves while he's eating buffalo

919
00:47:30,680 --> 00:47:36,360
Speaker 1: wings could be astonishing. It's in my least favorite window, dinnertime, bathtime,

920
00:47:36,400 --> 00:47:38,640
Speaker 1: bedtime window for two small children. So I'm a little

921
00:47:38,640 --> 00:47:41,040
Speaker 1: pissy about that. I'd rather it was just a primetime game.

922
00:47:41,120 --> 00:47:44,160
Speaker 1: But yeah, good chance the surgical gloves come out wings

923
00:47:44,160 --> 00:47:47,359
Speaker 1: go into my mouth, for sure, Simon, I agree with

924
00:47:47,360 --> 00:47:51,279
Speaker 1: what Matt said, like this numbers moved up. Chiefs. They

925
00:47:51,360 --> 00:47:53,839
Speaker 1: generally have not looked good. You're kind of banking on

926
00:47:54,040 --> 00:47:57,080
Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes to find a way to bail you out. Yeah.

927
00:47:57,080 --> 00:47:58,320
Speaker 1: I don't know what the hell to do with this.

928
00:47:58,480 --> 00:48:00,520
Speaker 1: I love the Chiefs. How do we not love the Chiefs?

929
00:48:00,600 --> 00:48:04,080
Speaker 1: Dad their home dog. Yeah, they played bad last week,

930
00:48:04,160 --> 00:48:05,560
Speaker 1: isn't that more of a reason to take them here?

931
00:48:05,719 --> 00:48:08,040
Speaker 1: They played it bad against the divisional team. The Bills

932
00:48:08,080 --> 00:48:11,239
Speaker 1: look like all world, So I don't know. I'll buy low.

933
00:48:11,719 --> 00:48:14,520
Speaker 1: I'll take the Chiefs. Don't be an idiot. Don't tease

934
00:48:14,560 --> 00:48:16,799
Speaker 1: this number. We already talked about it. When when Josh

935
00:48:16,840 --> 00:48:18,719
Speaker 1: Allen beats you, he beats the ship out of you.

936
00:48:18,840 --> 00:48:21,880
Speaker 1: I can't see this. That's the only where you're here, right,

937
00:48:21,920 --> 00:48:24,120
Speaker 1: They're giving you the two and a half. Now, every

938
00:48:24,120 --> 00:48:25,440
Speaker 1: one of their grandam's gonna have that eight and a

939
00:48:25,440 --> 00:48:27,920
Speaker 1: half teas with the Chiefs. Why wouldn't you. That's a

940
00:48:28,000 --> 00:48:31,759
Speaker 1: great teaser leg. But just looking at this number, I

941
00:48:32,200 --> 00:48:34,800
Speaker 1: want to take the Chiefs bad. I know two really

942
00:48:34,800 --> 00:48:37,319
Speaker 1: smart guys who are all in on this Bills team.

943
00:48:37,360 --> 00:48:39,960
Speaker 1: They love them in this position. For what matches talked about.

944
00:48:40,320 --> 00:48:42,960
Speaker 1: They're built to beat this Chief's team. They beat him

945
00:48:43,040 --> 00:48:44,960
Speaker 1: last year in that playoffs game. It just took a

946
00:48:45,000 --> 00:48:47,719
Speaker 1: literally a miracle from the Homes and whoever the ball

947
00:48:47,760 --> 00:48:50,080
Speaker 1: lasts is gonna win. It just so happened as my homes.

948
00:48:50,480 --> 00:48:52,440
Speaker 1: It feels like the same thing in this game. Whoever

949
00:48:52,480 --> 00:48:54,720
Speaker 1: as the ball lasts is gonna win it. I'm happy

950
00:48:54,719 --> 00:48:56,160
Speaker 1: to take the moneyline or take the two and a

951
00:48:56,200 --> 00:49:00,840
Speaker 1: half of this Chiefs team interesting. Should we put that

952
00:49:00,880 --> 00:49:02,960
Speaker 1: in our list? Right now? We've got four games on

953
00:49:02,960 --> 00:49:05,480
Speaker 1: our list. The next one I like, you know it's

954
00:49:05,520 --> 00:49:09,680
Speaker 1: coming all right. Well, I'm on the fence right now

955
00:49:09,680 --> 00:49:13,880
Speaker 1: about this game. I don't have a strong opinion yet.

956
00:49:14,360 --> 00:49:16,680
Speaker 1: The Bills clearly look like the better team right now.

957
00:49:18,920 --> 00:49:21,120
Speaker 1: Chiefs is underdogs at home? Are you fucking kidding me?

958
00:49:22,360 --> 00:49:24,960
Speaker 1: No opinion yet? We're gonna wait until Thursday. We'll continue

959
00:49:25,000 --> 00:49:28,520
Speaker 1: to develop, apologize. We can't give people an opinion today.

960
00:49:28,719 --> 00:49:32,440
Speaker 1: Next game, we definitely have an opinion. Cowboys visiting the Eagles.

961
00:49:32,480 --> 00:49:34,040
Speaker 1: You can get the Eagles at four and a half

962
00:49:34,080 --> 00:49:37,359
Speaker 1: point favorites right now to fucking buy for me? Yeah,

963
00:49:37,480 --> 00:49:42,000
Speaker 1: no brainer? Come on, are you kidding me? Easy bet?

964
00:49:42,080 --> 00:49:44,000
Speaker 1: And it's like one of those right right when that

965
00:49:44,080 --> 00:49:47,480
Speaker 1: game ended with Dallas and the Rams, I thought to myself, Wow,

966
00:49:47,600 --> 00:49:50,360
Speaker 1: Eagles are going to get an amazing number, just because

967
00:49:50,880 --> 00:49:54,680
Speaker 1: once again the all world defense of the Dallas Cowboys

968
00:49:54,760 --> 00:49:58,080
Speaker 1: just absolutely abusing all these teams they play. They're finally

969
00:49:58,080 --> 00:50:00,719
Speaker 1: gonna play the best offensive line of a ball So

970
00:50:00,760 --> 00:50:05,200
Speaker 1: it's gonna be true, truly, the best the Cowboys have

971
00:50:05,400 --> 00:50:09,120
Speaker 1: against the best the Eagles can have and the biggest again,

972
00:50:09,160 --> 00:50:12,759
Speaker 1: the biggest descrepy in me is this the Eagles offers

973
00:50:12,800 --> 00:50:15,600
Speaker 1: like we we know exactly where again from hurts were

974
00:50:15,640 --> 00:50:19,040
Speaker 1: Cooper Rush man? Like that was unreal how bad he

975
00:50:19,239 --> 00:50:22,960
Speaker 1: was in that game. Um, I've enjoyed trolling the Cowboys

976
00:50:23,000 --> 00:50:25,600
Speaker 1: fans about them trading Doc and they should hold on

977
00:50:25,640 --> 00:50:28,319
Speaker 1: to Cooper Rush. But we kind of saw Cooper kind

978
00:50:28,320 --> 00:50:32,120
Speaker 1: of turned back into a pumpkin last week. Um gamer right,

979
00:50:32,320 --> 00:50:33,880
Speaker 1: still what is he now? Five? And oh a t

980
00:50:34,120 --> 00:50:38,400
Speaker 1: s chat some crazy like Um, but yeah, Eagles Sunday

981
00:50:38,520 --> 00:50:42,359
Speaker 1: night at home, it's a different world. Uh, he's about

982
00:50:42,400 --> 00:50:45,920
Speaker 1: to step into Cooper Rush here. So to me Eagles

983
00:50:45,960 --> 00:50:49,719
Speaker 1: if you're scared. And once again first half they're unbelievable

984
00:50:49,840 --> 00:50:52,360
Speaker 1: like that last week that was a sweater. But was

985
00:50:52,400 --> 00:50:54,880
Speaker 1: it not really like they're up fourteen nothing If you

986
00:50:54,880 --> 00:50:56,440
Speaker 1: were smart enough and I wasn't just to turn off

987
00:50:56,480 --> 00:51:00,319
Speaker 1: the tv. That was a good that was an easy winner. Um.

988
00:51:00,320 --> 00:51:02,600
Speaker 1: This Egos team is just good. They're playing at a

989
00:51:02,600 --> 00:51:04,239
Speaker 1: good level right now where they probably should have lost

990
00:51:04,280 --> 00:51:07,279
Speaker 1: the Arizona game, but things keep going their way. They're

991
00:51:07,320 --> 00:51:10,440
Speaker 1: just a complete team. Five and os no fluke. They

992
00:51:10,480 --> 00:51:15,279
Speaker 1: feel like they're really well put together Dallas. I don't

993
00:51:15,320 --> 00:51:16,840
Speaker 1: know what to make them. Let them the Giants like

994
00:51:16,880 --> 00:51:19,239
Speaker 1: four and one, that's incredible. Their four one with the

995
00:51:19,239 --> 00:51:23,359
Speaker 1: backup quarterback since week one, truly incredible. So I'm trying,

996
00:51:23,360 --> 00:51:26,040
Speaker 1: I'm trying hard not to make it my like bigger

997
00:51:26,080 --> 00:51:29,160
Speaker 1: bets of this week of the Eagles. But it feels

998
00:51:29,160 --> 00:51:31,759
Speaker 1: like such a bad spot for this Cowboys team. They're

999
00:51:31,800 --> 00:51:33,480
Speaker 1: just do for such a stinker, and this is a

1000
00:51:33,520 --> 00:51:37,200
Speaker 1: perfect spot for an Eagles team. Yeah, I love, love, love,

1001
00:51:37,360 --> 00:51:40,840
Speaker 1: want to marry the Eagles in this spot. If you

1002
00:51:40,880 --> 00:51:43,520
Speaker 1: can get four and a half half, you gotta take

1003
00:51:43,520 --> 00:51:45,919
Speaker 1: it right away. It's not I don't think it's gonna

1004
00:51:45,920 --> 00:51:51,759
Speaker 1: go lower. Um, so go get it, Go get it.

1005
00:51:52,120 --> 00:51:55,360
Speaker 1: That is in our contest right now. Last game Chargers

1006
00:51:55,360 --> 00:51:57,480
Speaker 1: minus five against the Broncos. This is interesting to me

1007
00:51:57,600 --> 00:52:02,400
Speaker 1: that the Monday night game, the money the tickets are

1008
00:52:02,440 --> 00:52:05,680
Speaker 1: on the Chargers and the money is on the Broncos.

1009
00:52:05,880 --> 00:52:08,000
Speaker 1: I don't know why anybody would be betting the Broncos

1010
00:52:08,080 --> 00:52:10,480
Speaker 1: at this point, just because who the hell of the

1011
00:52:10,560 --> 00:52:13,560
Speaker 1: Chargers to big of a favorite and a divisional game.

1012
00:52:13,640 --> 00:52:16,440
Speaker 1: I think that's probably what my first thought was to um.

1013
00:52:16,480 --> 00:52:19,200
Speaker 1: But then yeah, like Chad to just talked about take

1014
00:52:19,200 --> 00:52:21,799
Speaker 1: a step away? Did he really get surgery this week?

1015
00:52:21,840 --> 00:52:24,000
Speaker 1: Russell Wilson and now he's turned around and playing in

1016
00:52:24,040 --> 00:52:27,560
Speaker 1: a football game. Um, weird. I won't touch it. Maybe

1017
00:52:27,560 --> 00:52:29,520
Speaker 1: I'll be on the under. I don't know what they

1018
00:52:29,560 --> 00:52:31,400
Speaker 1: really do with this game as we sit here, but

1019
00:52:31,600 --> 00:52:33,600
Speaker 1: I just know a couple of guys I talked to

1020
00:52:33,640 --> 00:52:36,000
Speaker 1: are just like the Chargers team aren't that good or

1021
00:52:36,000 --> 00:52:37,600
Speaker 1: maybe they are good, they just have some of the

1022
00:52:37,600 --> 00:52:40,480
Speaker 1: worst coaching. This is the worst coaching matchup we've had

1023
00:52:40,520 --> 00:52:44,400
Speaker 1: this season, right, Both these guys major question mark. So

1024
00:52:45,000 --> 00:52:47,400
Speaker 1: UM me putting big money on either of these guys,

1025
00:52:47,640 --> 00:52:51,480
Speaker 1: no chance. I'll probably just pass on this one. Should

1026
00:52:51,480 --> 00:52:57,120
Speaker 1: we give people a early survivor pick? I had a

1027
00:52:57,120 --> 00:52:59,960
Speaker 1: really tough time this week. I want to take the Rams,

1028
00:53:00,080 --> 00:53:02,520
Speaker 1: but that feels like an awful trap that I'll just

1029
00:53:02,560 --> 00:53:06,080
Speaker 1: be walking right into. UM, But you kind of have

1030
00:53:06,239 --> 00:53:09,640
Speaker 1: to though, I know they're just there. There isn't There

1031
00:53:09,680 --> 00:53:12,480
Speaker 1: isn't other options that just really jumped out. So when

1032
00:53:12,520 --> 00:53:14,880
Speaker 1: are you gonna want to use the Rams again? That's fair?

1033
00:53:15,920 --> 00:53:19,919
Speaker 1: I know you didn't love it, but the Bucks weren't terrible. Yeah,

1034
00:53:19,960 --> 00:53:22,640
Speaker 1: their their minds eight. But I'm with chat like it,

1035
00:53:22,760 --> 00:53:25,280
Speaker 1: just what else would we take the Rams? This feels

1036
00:53:25,320 --> 00:53:27,680
Speaker 1: like the last chance. But that's what it's just scaring

1037
00:53:27,719 --> 00:53:29,160
Speaker 1: the hell out of me. Like you talked about, they

1038
00:53:29,200 --> 00:53:33,640
Speaker 1: have the new coach in the new quarterback, but we're

1039
00:53:33,640 --> 00:53:36,960
Speaker 1: just banking on them just being truly awful. Yeah, maybe

1040
00:53:36,960 --> 00:53:38,840
Speaker 1: it'll change on Thursday. As we say here today my

1041
00:53:38,880 --> 00:53:41,520
Speaker 1: best two options, I could give you four Eagles. I

1042
00:53:41,520 --> 00:53:43,200
Speaker 1: don't hate the Eagles either, but that's that's a little

1043
00:53:43,200 --> 00:53:47,520
Speaker 1: spooking pray to taking the Bucks. That is a risk, yeah,

1044
00:53:47,600 --> 00:53:49,040
Speaker 1: but at the same time, I don't know if it

1045
00:53:49,080 --> 00:53:51,200
Speaker 1: is like I just would, I honestly would be shocked

1046
00:53:51,239 --> 00:53:53,399
Speaker 1: if they lost a cop rush on the road went

1047
00:53:53,480 --> 00:53:57,240
Speaker 1: in this game coming to Philadelphia. But yeah, Bucks, Bucks,

1048
00:53:57,640 --> 00:53:59,719
Speaker 1: Bucks Rams feel like the two safest ones for so

1049
00:53:59,800 --> 00:54:04,279
Speaker 1: I've all right, our foxhole is Saints plus two. But

1050
00:54:04,719 --> 00:54:09,280
Speaker 1: I would I would recommend don't don't rush it because

1051
00:54:09,320 --> 00:54:11,640
Speaker 1: I do feel like this line is gonna move up

1052
00:54:11,640 --> 00:54:14,080
Speaker 1: a little bit. Simon says Atlanta plus five and a

1053
00:54:14,080 --> 00:54:18,279
Speaker 1: half love it, exact decision, Cleveland minus three love it,

1054
00:54:18,640 --> 00:54:21,839
Speaker 1: foreshadowing we might talk ourselves into the Steelers. There's are

1055
00:54:21,880 --> 00:54:24,840
Speaker 1: big balls better the week, but we'll decide that on Thursday.

1056
00:54:25,239 --> 00:54:28,600
Speaker 1: Our current phase five Atlanta five and a half, Saints

1057
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Speaker 1: to Cleveland three Miami plus three Eagles minus four and

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Speaker 1: a half. On Thursday we'll nail down the list. We'll

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Speaker 1: talk about sharp Calls, will play Scooch Roulette, which, by

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Speaker 1: the way, this past week, UM, I think I mentioned

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Speaker 1: you one I lost. I don't know. We'll continue to

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Speaker 1: love and support each other's what we do. Can't wait

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Speaker 1: for Simon Hunter. For producer Extraordinaire Matt Mitchell, I am

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Speaker 1: Chad Millman. This has been the favorite podcast from the

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Speaker 1: Volume podcast Network. Download us from Apple podcast, from Spotify,

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Speaker 1: wherever you get your podcast rate, whether you subscribe, we

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Speaker 1: just five stars. Ship whatever you want, feedback as a

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Speaker 1: gift Until next time. I love you, h