1 00:00:00,640 --> 00:00:04,160 Speaker 1: Hi, I'm Molly John Fast and this is Fast Politics, 2 00:00:04,360 --> 00:00:07,120 Speaker 1: where we discussed the top political headlines with some of 3 00:00:07,160 --> 00:00:11,040 Speaker 1: today's best minds, and an ap Pole says, we really 4 00:00:11,200 --> 00:00:15,200 Speaker 1: half of all Americans say it's harder than usual to 5 00:00:15,280 --> 00:00:18,640 Speaker 1: afford the things they like to give as holiday gifts. 6 00:00:18,840 --> 00:00:21,319 Speaker 1: We have such a great show for you today. The 7 00:00:21,440 --> 00:00:26,120 Speaker 1: Lincoln Projects owned Rick Wilson joins us to discuss the 8 00:00:26,239 --> 00:00:31,240 Speaker 1: economic delusions of Trump as we enter the holiday season. 9 00:00:31,680 --> 00:00:34,200 Speaker 1: Then we'll talk to The New York Times own Lydia 10 00:00:34,280 --> 00:00:39,879 Speaker 1: Polgreen about the disastrous United States immigration policy and the 11 00:00:39,920 --> 00:00:43,520 Speaker 1: toll it's taking on all of us. But first the news, Milly. 12 00:00:43,760 --> 00:00:48,320 Speaker 2: One of our really really bad i'd say it's a 13 00:00:48,400 --> 00:00:52,360 Speaker 2: cancer growing in America is sports gimboig and how many 14 00:00:52,360 --> 00:00:55,600 Speaker 2: casinos we're putting everywhere? And we have two charts that 15 00:00:55,640 --> 00:00:56,800 Speaker 2: show a lot of evidence for this. 16 00:00:57,160 --> 00:01:00,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, so this is a change in average calls to 17 00:01:00,920 --> 00:01:06,520 Speaker 1: National Problem Gambling Helpline since January twenty seventeen. And that 18 00:01:06,760 --> 00:01:11,640 Speaker 1: was when we started legalizing sports gambling. And now we 19 00:01:11,720 --> 00:01:16,319 Speaker 1: gamble on everything because gambling is great and regulation is bad. 20 00:01:16,560 --> 00:01:19,960 Speaker 2: Ah, did you see this insane thing that they showed 21 00:01:19,959 --> 00:01:23,680 Speaker 2: that this guy has this crazy prediction record of predicting 22 00:01:23,760 --> 00:01:26,759 Speaker 2: open AI things. And they're like, yeah, it's because he's 23 00:01:26,760 --> 00:01:29,560 Speaker 2: an employee there and he's betting on the schedules of releases. 24 00:01:29,560 --> 00:01:33,000 Speaker 2: He's putting out like it's unbelievable that anyone is participating 25 00:01:33,000 --> 00:01:33,520 Speaker 2: in this shit. 26 00:01:33,760 --> 00:01:36,759 Speaker 1: This is what happens when you don't regulate an industry, 27 00:01:37,080 --> 00:01:40,440 Speaker 1: you get corruption. And so here we go. This is 28 00:01:40,480 --> 00:01:43,039 Speaker 1: like our central thesis, right you and I, is that 29 00:01:43,120 --> 00:01:47,040 Speaker 1: you have to regulate things in order to make them fair. Well, 30 00:01:47,200 --> 00:01:50,960 Speaker 1: here we are so young people are already struggling with 31 00:01:51,000 --> 00:01:56,880 Speaker 1: all sorts of addictions, drugs, phones, and inability to afford 32 00:01:56,920 --> 00:02:01,160 Speaker 1: their lifestyles. Well, now online gambling bankruptcy rates rose twenty 33 00:02:01,160 --> 00:02:05,919 Speaker 1: eight percent. You just have people who are in debt. Now, 34 00:02:06,200 --> 00:02:08,360 Speaker 1: it's an argument that you're going to hear from the 35 00:02:08,440 --> 00:02:12,600 Speaker 1: right is that this tax revenue collected by states from 36 00:02:12,639 --> 00:02:15,679 Speaker 1: sports betting is humongous. And it is. It's big. It's 37 00:02:15,680 --> 00:02:19,960 Speaker 1: like a billion dollars per corridor, and I mean, I 38 00:02:19,960 --> 00:02:23,120 Speaker 1: think that's persont. I don't know exactly how that works 39 00:02:23,160 --> 00:02:26,320 Speaker 1: because what state This chart is a little bit hard 40 00:02:26,360 --> 00:02:29,080 Speaker 1: to understand, but there certainly is a lot states are 41 00:02:29,120 --> 00:02:32,800 Speaker 1: making money on taxing this, but the problem is, like, 42 00:02:33,080 --> 00:02:36,280 Speaker 1: I mean, here's a great example from the Journal. An 43 00:02:36,360 --> 00:02:38,520 Speaker 1: eighteen year old student at the University of Rhode Island 44 00:02:38,600 --> 00:02:41,720 Speaker 1: told the economists that he struggles to enjoy watching sports 45 00:02:41,720 --> 00:02:45,400 Speaker 1: without the high of betting. Young Men are also making 46 00:02:45,480 --> 00:02:49,200 Speaker 1: risky bets on crypto memestocks and the production market. So 47 00:02:49,240 --> 00:02:52,360 Speaker 1: here you have a group that's really struggling, that is 48 00:02:52,440 --> 00:02:57,120 Speaker 1: now being offered things that are addictive and financially could 49 00:02:57,120 --> 00:03:00,760 Speaker 1: crush them. And there we go. So I think there's 50 00:03:00,800 --> 00:03:04,359 Speaker 1: a pretty good case here that regulation could keep these 51 00:03:04,400 --> 00:03:07,880 Speaker 1: people out of trouble. Since we have a Republican president 52 00:03:07,880 --> 00:03:11,079 Speaker 1: and a Republican Congress, we won't a Republican Supreme Court, 53 00:03:11,160 --> 00:03:13,760 Speaker 1: we won't see this, but would be nice to see it. 54 00:03:14,120 --> 00:03:17,560 Speaker 2: Yeah, I particularly get disturbed as I see people who 55 00:03:17,600 --> 00:03:20,720 Speaker 2: work for me skipping meals to have money to gamble 56 00:03:20,760 --> 00:03:24,639 Speaker 2: on sports. It's just a horrible behavior that when we say, oh, well, 57 00:03:24,639 --> 00:03:26,880 Speaker 2: we get tax money for other things from it, it's like, yes, 58 00:03:26,919 --> 00:03:29,920 Speaker 2: you're getting tax money from literally the people at the 59 00:03:29,919 --> 00:03:32,240 Speaker 2: lowest end of the economy getting hurt by an addiction. 60 00:03:32,480 --> 00:03:34,920 Speaker 3: That's not a good method of taxation now. 61 00:03:35,000 --> 00:03:37,040 Speaker 1: And it's also and I think the other thing that 62 00:03:37,120 --> 00:03:39,200 Speaker 1: I think is so important to realize here is like 63 00:03:39,520 --> 00:03:42,400 Speaker 1: sports betting doesn't do anything right. It doesn't help people, 64 00:03:42,440 --> 00:03:45,280 Speaker 1: it doesn't help athletes, it doesn't you know, it's just 65 00:03:45,320 --> 00:03:48,160 Speaker 1: an addiction for the sake of an addiction. Which it's 66 00:03:48,240 --> 00:03:50,880 Speaker 1: really crazy that they won't regulate this. 67 00:03:51,120 --> 00:03:55,000 Speaker 2: It's like, well, speaking of our other favorite subjects, w 68 00:03:55,120 --> 00:03:57,560 Speaker 2: vanders waving its hand to say hello with Texas as 69 00:03:57,600 --> 00:03:59,640 Speaker 2: we see that they may not have drawn these maps. 70 00:03:59,800 --> 00:04:02,960 Speaker 1: Well, there's a great part of the story, like it's 71 00:04:03,000 --> 00:04:06,560 Speaker 1: so multi layered and amazing. But my favorite part of 72 00:04:06,560 --> 00:04:10,520 Speaker 1: the story is that Donald Trump he pardons Henry Kuailar, 73 00:04:10,840 --> 00:04:15,280 Speaker 1: who is wildly popular but runs in a very purpoly district. 74 00:04:15,440 --> 00:04:17,920 Speaker 1: He pardons him because he thinks that if he pardons him, 75 00:04:17,920 --> 00:04:22,160 Speaker 1: he'll run as a Republican. Instead, he continues as a Democrat, 76 00:04:22,600 --> 00:04:27,640 Speaker 1: thus pretty much assuring that Democrats will keep that seat, 77 00:04:27,800 --> 00:04:31,640 Speaker 1: despite the fact that he really probably should not have 78 00:04:31,680 --> 00:04:35,560 Speaker 1: been pardoned. But look, Trump came to Republicans, he said, 79 00:04:35,560 --> 00:04:37,760 Speaker 1: give me five seats. I want those five seats. This 80 00:04:37,880 --> 00:04:40,719 Speaker 1: is my state. They were like, no problem. They I 81 00:04:40,760 --> 00:04:43,080 Speaker 1: guess they thought that Trump would still have the twenty 82 00:04:43,080 --> 00:04:45,200 Speaker 1: twenty four margins. It's funny because like if you had 83 00:04:45,240 --> 00:04:48,320 Speaker 1: pulled back just for a second and been like, even 84 00:04:48,360 --> 00:04:52,320 Speaker 1: in twenty sixteen, Donald Trump did not keep those same 85 00:04:52,440 --> 00:04:54,760 Speaker 1: margins in the midterms. He didn't even keep those same 86 00:04:54,839 --> 00:04:58,839 Speaker 1: margins in twenty twenty. So like the idea that somehow 87 00:04:58,920 --> 00:05:02,120 Speaker 1: he was going to do the kind of numbers he 88 00:05:02,160 --> 00:05:06,960 Speaker 1: did with working people too was just kind of like 89 00:05:07,160 --> 00:05:10,239 Speaker 1: it just totally flew in the face of all history 90 00:05:10,440 --> 00:05:13,920 Speaker 1: and all evidence of the contrary. So now the question 91 00:05:14,120 --> 00:05:17,080 Speaker 1: is five seats, Well, they get five seats. You know, 92 00:05:17,520 --> 00:05:20,159 Speaker 1: by the way, I've said this before because I think 93 00:05:20,160 --> 00:05:22,960 Speaker 1: it's really important. Democrats have had a really hard time 94 00:05:23,000 --> 00:05:25,920 Speaker 1: pushing back against Trump, and one of the things that 95 00:05:26,000 --> 00:05:28,240 Speaker 1: I think, like, you know, you and I may not 96 00:05:28,440 --> 00:05:32,200 Speaker 1: like totally love every one of his policies, but Gavin 97 00:05:32,279 --> 00:05:36,040 Speaker 1: Newsom delivered those five seats, and he did it in 98 00:05:36,080 --> 00:05:40,160 Speaker 1: an astonishing way. He set up a special election and 99 00:05:40,200 --> 00:05:42,920 Speaker 1: he put it together, he raised the money to do it, 100 00:05:43,160 --> 00:05:46,640 Speaker 1: and he won by big margins, and that was like 101 00:05:46,960 --> 00:05:51,040 Speaker 1: pretty fucking amazing. And so you know, when he did that, 102 00:05:51,040 --> 00:05:53,600 Speaker 1: that meant that had shut down the dummymander the way 103 00:05:53,800 --> 00:05:56,000 Speaker 1: that Trump had wanted it to go, And I think 104 00:05:56,000 --> 00:05:57,440 Speaker 1: that's meaningful and important. 105 00:05:57,600 --> 00:05:59,840 Speaker 2: Oh you know, there was one very funny thing that 106 00:05:59,880 --> 00:06:02,679 Speaker 2: you see Rad Paul on Meet the Press this morning. 107 00:06:02,680 --> 00:06:04,960 Speaker 2: What he said about this, Okay, let me let me 108 00:06:05,000 --> 00:06:06,760 Speaker 2: read it to you since I'm not going to play it. So, 109 00:06:06,960 --> 00:06:10,520 Speaker 2: speaking of the mid decade redistrict in Texas, he said, 110 00:06:10,640 --> 00:06:12,720 Speaker 2: I think it's going to lead to more civic tenshion 111 00:06:12,760 --> 00:06:14,600 Speaker 2: and possibly more violence in our country. 112 00:06:14,720 --> 00:06:15,240 Speaker 3: Think about it. 113 00:06:15,240 --> 00:06:18,400 Speaker 2: If thirty five percent of Texas is solidly Democrat and 114 00:06:18,440 --> 00:06:21,599 Speaker 2: they have zero representation, how does that make Democrats feel? 115 00:06:21,800 --> 00:06:24,440 Speaker 2: I think it makes them feel like they're not represented. 116 00:06:24,640 --> 00:06:28,839 Speaker 1: Well, I mean he's I mean, it's not dumb. It's awesome. 117 00:06:28,880 --> 00:06:31,400 Speaker 1: I mean it's dumb, but it's also amazing. 118 00:06:32,440 --> 00:06:37,400 Speaker 2: What yeah, I mean the logical stretch of that Democrats 119 00:06:37,400 --> 00:06:40,480 Speaker 2: are going to get violent over it is something. 120 00:06:40,120 --> 00:06:43,440 Speaker 1: But sharply, I don't think they're gonna. 121 00:06:43,680 --> 00:06:46,360 Speaker 2: I mean, his his neighbor may have been a Democrat 122 00:06:46,360 --> 00:06:48,360 Speaker 2: who got violent with him, but that's a different story. 123 00:06:48,560 --> 00:06:51,279 Speaker 1: Well, I just think, like Paul, I don't know, I 124 00:06:51,320 --> 00:06:54,640 Speaker 1: have very complicated feelings about Ram Paul because of any 125 00:06:54,720 --> 00:06:55,720 Speaker 1: number of them, is it. 126 00:06:55,680 --> 00:06:56,640 Speaker 2: The two pay that really? 127 00:06:56,680 --> 00:06:56,760 Speaker 4: Like? 128 00:06:56,880 --> 00:06:58,839 Speaker 3: Just maybe draws alting view in. 129 00:06:58,839 --> 00:07:03,000 Speaker 1: Your Okay, that is not the worst to pay in Congress, that's. 130 00:07:02,880 --> 00:07:03,560 Speaker 3: That is great. 131 00:07:03,600 --> 00:07:06,280 Speaker 2: Okay, we got fish to fry, though, Trump and these 132 00:07:06,520 --> 00:07:10,120 Speaker 2: selling Nvidia chips to China feel a little fishy. 133 00:07:10,200 --> 00:07:10,800 Speaker 3: Huh. 134 00:07:11,000 --> 00:07:15,760 Speaker 1: Listen. Turns out, in case you're wondering, trade wars are 135 00:07:15,960 --> 00:07:20,800 Speaker 1: bad and easy to lose, as shown by Donald J. Trump, 136 00:07:20,800 --> 00:07:23,960 Speaker 1: who is now desperately trying to make nice with China. 137 00:07:24,160 --> 00:07:28,160 Speaker 1: So Elizabeth Warren is mad that Donald Trump is selling 138 00:07:28,200 --> 00:07:30,800 Speaker 1: out in the video he's selling these chips to China. 139 00:07:30,840 --> 00:07:33,400 Speaker 1: But what Elizabeth Warren does not understand is that Donald 140 00:07:33,400 --> 00:07:35,760 Speaker 1: Trump has a trade war disaster on his hands and 141 00:07:35,800 --> 00:07:37,880 Speaker 1: he will do anything he can to try to make 142 00:07:37,960 --> 00:07:41,800 Speaker 1: China like him. It's just wild, right, I mean, like 143 00:07:42,080 --> 00:07:45,280 Speaker 1: he knows it's bad. We know it's bad. Elizabeth Warren 144 00:07:45,280 --> 00:07:47,920 Speaker 1: knows it's bad. But like the problem is, China is 145 00:07:47,920 --> 00:07:50,000 Speaker 1: a superpower. We are in a trade war with them. 146 00:07:50,120 --> 00:07:53,240 Speaker 1: They are not. I think it's not unfair to say 147 00:07:53,280 --> 00:07:56,480 Speaker 1: we are losing the trade wars, and that is why 148 00:07:56,560 --> 00:08:03,520 Speaker 1: Donald Trump wants to make nice with Navidio over at 149 00:08:03,560 --> 00:08:07,960 Speaker 1: our YouTube channel. We have some really exciting stuff. Jesse 150 00:08:08,040 --> 00:08:11,360 Speaker 1: and I have made a documentary. It's called Project twenty 151 00:08:11,440 --> 00:08:16,560 Speaker 1: twenty nine, A Reimagining. It's a series about how Democrats 152 00:08:16,640 --> 00:08:21,280 Speaker 1: can deliver popular policies when they regain power. The first 153 00:08:21,320 --> 00:08:25,200 Speaker 1: episode is up now. It's the first part of the series, 154 00:08:25,280 --> 00:08:28,679 Speaker 1: and we're going to examine what went wrong with some 155 00:08:28,960 --> 00:08:33,640 Speaker 1: of the Biden administration's approach to policies that may have 156 00:08:34,320 --> 00:08:39,720 Speaker 1: prevented Democrats from being able to deliver the broad anti 157 00:08:39,920 --> 00:08:45,000 Speaker 1: corruption legislation that needed to happen, and by the way, 158 00:08:45,280 --> 00:08:49,480 Speaker 1: that would have prevented some of the corruption we're seeing 159 00:08:49,520 --> 00:08:53,280 Speaker 1: right now. The first episode dives deep into the first 160 00:08:53,320 --> 00:08:57,960 Speaker 1: step of fixing American politics. It may sound unsexy, but 161 00:08:58,000 --> 00:09:01,600 Speaker 1: it's a big, important issue you and that big subject 162 00:09:01,840 --> 00:09:06,160 Speaker 1: is campaign finance reform. For this episode, we talk to 163 00:09:06,360 --> 00:09:11,560 Speaker 1: some of the smartest people we know, professors and academics, 164 00:09:11,679 --> 00:09:18,439 Speaker 1: people like Lawrence Lessig, Tiffany Muller, Michael Waldman, and Tom Moore. 165 00:09:18,760 --> 00:09:22,960 Speaker 1: Republicans were prepared for when they got the levers of power. 166 00:09:23,360 --> 00:09:28,640 Speaker 1: Democrats need that same kind of preparation. That's why we 167 00:09:28,720 --> 00:09:32,000 Speaker 1: need to start the conversation on how democrats can do 168 00:09:32,040 --> 00:09:35,760 Speaker 1: the same thing. So please head over to our YouTube 169 00:09:35,840 --> 00:09:40,400 Speaker 1: channel and search Molly John Fast Project twenty twenty nine 170 00:09:40,800 --> 00:09:45,120 Speaker 1: or go to the Fast Politics YouTube channel page and 171 00:09:45,160 --> 00:09:48,000 Speaker 1: you'll find it there and help us spread the word 172 00:09:48,360 --> 00:09:53,600 Speaker 1: and stay tuned for more episodes. Rick Wilson is the 173 00:09:53,640 --> 00:09:55,560 Speaker 1: founder of the Lincoln Project and the host of the 174 00:09:55,760 --> 00:10:00,720 Speaker 1: Enemy's List. Rick Wilson, Hey, Molly, So Trump was told 175 00:10:00,720 --> 00:10:05,800 Speaker 1: to campaign on affordability, so he is going to campaign 176 00:10:06,080 --> 00:10:10,040 Speaker 1: on unaffordability. I'm going to play a clip for you. 177 00:10:10,840 --> 00:10:13,960 Speaker 1: So we're building an arc to triumph. It will be 178 00:10:14,080 --> 00:10:17,000 Speaker 1: like the one in Paris, but it will blow it away. 179 00:10:17,640 --> 00:10:20,719 Speaker 3: Yeah. Look, I think that the two things America is 180 00:10:20,720 --> 00:10:23,199 Speaker 3: struggling working class and middle class voters are crying out 181 00:10:23,240 --> 00:10:27,079 Speaker 3: for right now are a golden ballroom decorated in the 182 00:10:27,080 --> 00:10:30,960 Speaker 3: style of LIBERACEI slash Saddam and a triumphal arc in DC. 183 00:10:32,000 --> 00:10:35,640 Speaker 3: Other than that, food prices, gas prices, rent insurance, health insurance, 184 00:10:35,760 --> 00:10:37,840 Speaker 3: none of those things really matter. It's the arc that's 185 00:10:37,840 --> 00:10:39,000 Speaker 3: going to really make the sale. 186 00:10:39,520 --> 00:10:40,880 Speaker 1: What do you think is going on here? 187 00:10:41,080 --> 00:10:44,520 Speaker 3: I think he is unable to focus on anything beyond 188 00:10:45,000 --> 00:10:47,520 Speaker 3: the stuff that he likes the day to day, minute 189 00:10:47,520 --> 00:10:50,640 Speaker 3: to minute stuff that he likes. Honestly, Molly, I know 190 00:10:50,679 --> 00:10:55,439 Speaker 3: we're all amateur neurologists and amateur gerontologists lately, but this 191 00:10:55,520 --> 00:10:57,520 Speaker 3: is the old man who wants to sit there and 192 00:10:57,559 --> 00:11:00,200 Speaker 3: have us putting at lunch and talk about the good 193 00:11:00,040 --> 00:11:03,000 Speaker 3: old days. And that's what he's doing now. All this 194 00:11:03,040 --> 00:11:06,400 Speaker 3: stuff is it's like this weird, twisted version of a legacy. 195 00:11:06,640 --> 00:11:09,040 Speaker 3: None of these things are going to get built. We're 196 00:11:09,040 --> 00:11:11,679 Speaker 3: not building an arc, we're not building a ballroom. It's 197 00:11:11,679 --> 00:11:14,800 Speaker 3: not gonna happen. But he's going to try to make 198 00:11:14,840 --> 00:11:17,720 Speaker 3: those things the center. And I think in some ways 199 00:11:17,720 --> 00:11:19,840 Speaker 3: it also he's also trying to go back to the 200 00:11:19,880 --> 00:11:22,040 Speaker 3: old days, like he's thinking about when did his brand 201 00:11:22,120 --> 00:11:24,480 Speaker 3: really take off, and he's thinking to himself, I'm going 202 00:11:24,559 --> 00:11:27,319 Speaker 3: to be the Trump brand of the eighties or the nineties. 203 00:11:27,360 --> 00:11:31,520 Speaker 3: It's gold, it's luxury, it's class. None of it is 204 00:11:31,880 --> 00:11:34,840 Speaker 3: any of those things, but he is going to try 205 00:11:34,840 --> 00:11:38,120 Speaker 3: to play that idea. I feel like the decline and 206 00:11:38,160 --> 00:11:41,320 Speaker 3: fall of Trump is now increasing in both frequency and 207 00:11:41,360 --> 00:11:43,800 Speaker 3: amplitude about the degree to which all this stuff is 208 00:11:43,880 --> 00:11:48,679 Speaker 3: crazy and it's so disconnected from where people are. I mean, 209 00:11:48,679 --> 00:11:51,600 Speaker 3: we are getting screaming alarm bells about the economy on 210 00:11:51,679 --> 00:11:55,440 Speaker 3: every single front right now. We are getting nut real 211 00:11:55,480 --> 00:11:59,040 Speaker 3: improvement on inflation, we're getting no real improvement on jobs. 212 00:11:59,120 --> 00:12:03,920 Speaker 3: All this stuff is really the exact opposite of showing 213 00:12:03,960 --> 00:12:06,240 Speaker 3: some contrition and saying, you know what, I'm going to 214 00:12:06,280 --> 00:12:07,760 Speaker 3: be right about tariffs in the end. I know it's 215 00:12:07,840 --> 00:12:10,360 Speaker 3: hurting you right now, so we're gonna try to find 216 00:12:10,360 --> 00:12:12,480 Speaker 3: ways to He he won't say that. He can't say that. 217 00:12:12,880 --> 00:12:15,400 Speaker 3: The only reason he's done the ad thing is because 218 00:12:15,480 --> 00:12:18,559 Speaker 3: he's afraid of getting blown out even further in the midterms. 219 00:12:19,360 --> 00:12:21,640 Speaker 3: So I think we're in a situation where he doesn't 220 00:12:21,640 --> 00:12:24,280 Speaker 3: care about anything else. We're seeing him talk about the 221 00:12:24,320 --> 00:12:26,920 Speaker 3: things he cares about, and that's very narrow. 222 00:12:27,800 --> 00:12:30,920 Speaker 1: The only thing they have is history. I always say, 223 00:12:31,000 --> 00:12:34,440 Speaker 1: the one thing you can compete with. But eventually we 224 00:12:34,480 --> 00:12:36,439 Speaker 1: will have history too discuss. 225 00:12:36,640 --> 00:12:39,760 Speaker 3: I would like to inform the president, depending on which 226 00:12:39,760 --> 00:12:41,840 Speaker 3: of the French republics you want to start counting from, 227 00:12:42,480 --> 00:12:44,240 Speaker 3: they have been around a little longer than we have, 228 00:12:44,880 --> 00:12:48,360 Speaker 3: not by much. As a republic. He thinks of history 229 00:12:48,360 --> 00:12:51,840 Speaker 3: as tourism, not as the passage of time and the 230 00:12:51,880 --> 00:12:56,280 Speaker 3: recorded nature of it. This is a pathetic display more 231 00:12:56,320 --> 00:12:59,120 Speaker 3: than anything. People should not be losing their minds, like, oh, 232 00:12:59,200 --> 00:13:01,560 Speaker 3: it's a side of fact, Yeah, sure it is. That's 233 00:13:01,640 --> 00:13:04,920 Speaker 3: just coincidental. This is a sign of a pathetic old 234 00:13:04,920 --> 00:13:08,440 Speaker 3: man who needs something. He's trying to find something he 235 00:13:08,480 --> 00:13:11,320 Speaker 3: can call a victory, something he can call a win. 236 00:13:11,520 --> 00:13:15,160 Speaker 3: Something he has failed economically. He has sold America out 237 00:13:15,200 --> 00:13:18,600 Speaker 3: around the world. He has embarrassed us on the global stage. 238 00:13:18,679 --> 00:13:22,640 Speaker 3: He has handed China the competitive economic advantage it always 239 00:13:22,679 --> 00:13:25,679 Speaker 3: craved and could never quite get to before Trump. And 240 00:13:25,720 --> 00:13:28,360 Speaker 3: so he's desperate to do something to leave a mark, 241 00:13:28,400 --> 00:13:31,240 Speaker 3: to leave a legacy, that thing will not have ground 242 00:13:31,280 --> 00:13:35,319 Speaker 3: broken on it and be finished before he dies. And 243 00:13:36,000 --> 00:13:38,880 Speaker 3: he wants something to stay in Washington forever. 244 00:13:39,040 --> 00:13:40,480 Speaker 1: Well, he will have the ballroom. 245 00:13:40,559 --> 00:13:43,040 Speaker 3: He's going to have the ballroom. I don't think he's 246 00:13:43,040 --> 00:13:45,280 Speaker 3: going to get it done. Construc tis time. 247 00:13:45,760 --> 00:13:50,120 Speaker 1: He did fire the guy he brought in. You do 248 00:13:50,400 --> 00:13:53,400 Speaker 1: the architecture because the guy said he didn't want it 249 00:13:53,520 --> 00:13:56,600 Speaker 1: East Wing to be bigger than the actual White House. 250 00:13:56,640 --> 00:13:59,360 Speaker 3: Correct look architects, even ones who are willing to work 251 00:13:59,400 --> 00:14:02,560 Speaker 3: for a vulgar like Donald at some point follow a 252 00:14:02,600 --> 00:14:08,720 Speaker 3: set of generally specifically more traditionalist architects, follow a set 253 00:14:08,720 --> 00:14:13,120 Speaker 3: of guidelines about proportions and grace and style, and they 254 00:14:13,160 --> 00:14:14,800 Speaker 3: don't wake up in the morning and say, you know, 255 00:14:15,080 --> 00:14:18,080 Speaker 3: what I'm really after is the largest most vulgar display 256 00:14:18,720 --> 00:14:23,240 Speaker 3: of Trump's Verian tastes possible. And this guy said, you know, 257 00:14:23,800 --> 00:14:27,280 Speaker 3: it wouldn't fit the scene, the design the rest of 258 00:14:27,320 --> 00:14:30,440 Speaker 3: the compound by building a giant super ballroom from hell. 259 00:14:30,560 --> 00:14:33,640 Speaker 3: So trum Trump got mad. He's pissed off about it, 260 00:14:33,840 --> 00:14:35,960 Speaker 3: and he fires the guy. And they didn't fire him, 261 00:14:36,120 --> 00:14:39,280 Speaker 3: they layered him, like we're bringing in another another architectural first. 262 00:14:39,320 --> 00:14:41,240 Speaker 1: Okay, I wonder if we could just talk for a 263 00:14:41,280 --> 00:14:44,440 Speaker 1: minute about where Donald Trump finds himself in at this moment, 264 00:14:44,480 --> 00:14:47,720 Speaker 1: because I think we're coming into Christmas. The pulling is 265 00:14:48,120 --> 00:14:51,200 Speaker 1: people are upset about implation things are more expensive or 266 00:14:51,280 --> 00:14:53,760 Speaker 1: in this trade war with China, Trump is selling the 267 00:14:53,840 --> 00:14:57,360 Speaker 1: video chips to China. Probably because he's trying to win 268 00:14:57,400 --> 00:14:57,960 Speaker 1: the trade war. 269 00:14:58,040 --> 00:15:00,280 Speaker 3: He started selling those, so there was all there's a 270 00:15:00,320 --> 00:15:03,480 Speaker 3: theory with China that you give them just a bit 271 00:15:03,520 --> 00:15:06,680 Speaker 3: of access to these sort of technologies, right, you don't 272 00:15:06,800 --> 00:15:08,640 Speaker 3: cut them off. The theory used to be you don't 273 00:15:08,640 --> 00:15:11,280 Speaker 3: cut them off completely or is able to develop them 274 00:15:11,400 --> 00:15:14,720 Speaker 3: organically at home. But the theory now is we're going 275 00:15:14,800 --> 00:15:18,560 Speaker 3: to give them the most advanced AI chips. Now. Look, 276 00:15:18,680 --> 00:15:22,920 Speaker 3: China's exports have in the last fifteen years have increased 277 00:15:23,360 --> 00:15:26,920 Speaker 3: by about forty five percent. Their imports have increased by 278 00:15:27,000 --> 00:15:30,840 Speaker 3: about one percent, and they're not coming from US. China 279 00:15:30,880 --> 00:15:35,280 Speaker 3: has set out to be completely independent of America when 280 00:15:35,320 --> 00:15:37,600 Speaker 3: it comes to developing the high end technologies that we 281 00:15:37,800 --> 00:15:41,680 Speaker 3: still are a leader on. The problem here for US 282 00:15:42,040 --> 00:15:43,760 Speaker 3: is they're going to get those Age two hundreds and 283 00:15:43,800 --> 00:15:47,040 Speaker 3: they're going to reverse engineer them. And this is the 284 00:15:47,040 --> 00:15:50,320 Speaker 3: greatest short term pennies on the dollar foolishness I think 285 00:15:50,360 --> 00:15:51,520 Speaker 3: I've ever seen in my life. 286 00:15:52,040 --> 00:15:54,720 Speaker 1: Well, Trump is an impossible situation, though, right, because he's 287 00:15:54,800 --> 00:15:57,600 Speaker 1: losing the trade war and he desperately needs China to 288 00:15:57,680 --> 00:15:58,520 Speaker 1: negotiate with him. 289 00:15:59,080 --> 00:16:02,000 Speaker 3: What Trump ended up doing was in negotiating with Nvidia 290 00:16:02,040 --> 00:16:05,520 Speaker 3: instead of with China. Right, So he's getting a twenty 291 00:16:05,520 --> 00:16:11,280 Speaker 3: five percent cut of sales from Nvidia, but not putting 292 00:16:11,280 --> 00:16:14,200 Speaker 3: the Chinese in any position where they're like, well that 293 00:16:14,240 --> 00:16:16,560 Speaker 3: Trump showed us we better open the rest of our 294 00:16:16,560 --> 00:16:20,240 Speaker 3: markets or we won't get any more Nvidia chips. Jensen 295 00:16:20,280 --> 00:16:23,640 Speaker 3: Wang shows up wearing a leather jacket and saying you're 296 00:16:23,680 --> 00:16:29,080 Speaker 3: the greatest, mister President, and ends up handing we handed 297 00:16:29,120 --> 00:16:33,000 Speaker 3: Nvidia another very large client, and we hand China an 298 00:16:33,120 --> 00:16:36,840 Speaker 3: absolute triumph in the economic market that they want to dominate, 299 00:16:36,880 --> 00:16:37,400 Speaker 3: which is AI. 300 00:16:37,600 --> 00:16:40,320 Speaker 1: Do you think that Trump is just such a bad 301 00:16:40,440 --> 00:16:43,040 Speaker 1: negotiator and that that's how we got to this moment? 302 00:16:43,120 --> 00:16:46,400 Speaker 3: Well, I think he's surrounded by corrupt assholes who are 303 00:16:46,400 --> 00:16:48,840 Speaker 3: getting paid off by Russia, China and god knows who 304 00:16:48,880 --> 00:16:51,160 Speaker 3: else we're negotiating, And that to me is like the 305 00:16:51,200 --> 00:16:54,040 Speaker 3: Oukham's raisor of this thing is like, is it Trump 306 00:16:54,160 --> 00:16:57,400 Speaker 3: making bad deals or are the people around Trump, like 307 00:16:57,520 --> 00:17:02,960 Speaker 3: Jared getting basically a very sweet set of payoffs erd 308 00:17:02,960 --> 00:17:06,199 Speaker 3: in Whitcoff's kids becoming the people who are going to 309 00:17:06,560 --> 00:17:10,520 Speaker 3: quote redevelop Ukraine. What a strange and remarkable coincidence that is. 310 00:17:10,720 --> 00:17:14,159 Speaker 1: Do you think that Trump has sort of backed himself 311 00:17:14,160 --> 00:17:16,679 Speaker 1: into a corner though with the economy, because like, clearly 312 00:17:16,760 --> 00:17:19,000 Speaker 1: we all see what's going and it's where it's going, 313 00:17:19,000 --> 00:17:20,520 Speaker 1: and it's going bad. 314 00:17:20,640 --> 00:17:23,639 Speaker 3: It's going south and sideways, as they say, in a 315 00:17:23,640 --> 00:17:29,200 Speaker 3: big hurry. And and Trump doesn't have a selling proposition, Molly, 316 00:17:29,359 --> 00:17:32,240 Speaker 3: at this moment where he gets to walk out of 317 00:17:32,280 --> 00:17:37,960 Speaker 3: this problem, he has really screwed himself by declaring the 318 00:17:37,960 --> 00:17:41,760 Speaker 3: trade war is going to pay Americans a tariff dividend? 319 00:17:43,160 --> 00:17:46,400 Speaker 3: Where would that be? Donald? When's that gonna happen? It's 320 00:17:46,440 --> 00:17:48,520 Speaker 3: gonna pay us a doged dividend? And if it's going 321 00:17:48,560 --> 00:17:52,920 Speaker 3: to happen, the whole thing has gotten so kafukata because 322 00:17:53,200 --> 00:17:57,439 Speaker 3: he can't deliver what he promised in terms of a 323 00:17:57,520 --> 00:18:02,720 Speaker 3: golden age in America, because the fund mental center of 324 00:18:02,880 --> 00:18:06,560 Speaker 3: everything he's doing economically is screwing his own. 325 00:18:06,520 --> 00:18:09,160 Speaker 1: Voters, right, And that's what we see with the farming. 326 00:18:09,200 --> 00:18:11,760 Speaker 3: You can pay the farmers a twelve billion dollar, give 327 00:18:11,800 --> 00:18:16,000 Speaker 3: him a twelve billion dollar bailout, but they would much 328 00:18:16,080 --> 00:18:20,400 Speaker 3: rather have sold their soybeans, right either have stayed in business. 329 00:18:20,720 --> 00:18:24,320 Speaker 1: Yeah, we got Trump. He has this trade war. He's 330 00:18:24,359 --> 00:18:27,440 Speaker 1: trying to negotiate. Things are more expensive. He thinks the 331 00:18:27,480 --> 00:18:31,480 Speaker 1: release valve is lowering interest rates, but it really isn't. 332 00:18:32,119 --> 00:18:34,199 Speaker 3: No, it isn't. And one of the things we know 333 00:18:34,359 --> 00:18:36,720 Speaker 3: right now is we're on a clock. The economy is 334 00:18:36,760 --> 00:18:40,840 Speaker 3: on a clock because forty percent of the S and 335 00:18:40,880 --> 00:18:46,480 Speaker 3: P now is AI companies, Oracle, the guy Larry Elison 336 00:18:46,480 --> 00:18:48,280 Speaker 3: who is the guy behind buying all this media for 337 00:18:48,320 --> 00:18:52,240 Speaker 3: the right wing. Larry Elison made a deal with open 338 00:18:52,280 --> 00:18:55,800 Speaker 3: Ai for sixty billion dollars. They have to start paying 339 00:18:55,800 --> 00:18:58,920 Speaker 3: that deal back in twenty twenty seven. Beginning of twenty 340 00:18:58,960 --> 00:19:02,520 Speaker 3: to thirty seven. Now open Ay's entire revenue is seventeen 341 00:19:02,520 --> 00:19:06,040 Speaker 3: billion dollars. They're buying it on credit default swaps. So 342 00:19:06,080 --> 00:19:08,160 Speaker 3: if anybody who remembers what credit of false swaps were, 343 00:19:08,520 --> 00:19:11,440 Speaker 3: go back and watch the big short. Now these things 344 00:19:11,480 --> 00:19:14,960 Speaker 3: are collateralized by Sam Altman doing the woo woo dance 345 00:19:15,040 --> 00:19:19,960 Speaker 3: at TED Talk. You know, the bullshit tornado is about 346 00:19:20,000 --> 00:19:24,360 Speaker 3: to die. We're about to the AI bubble. And look, 347 00:19:24,400 --> 00:19:26,240 Speaker 3: it doesn't mean that AI can't still do trimend as 348 00:19:26,240 --> 00:19:30,080 Speaker 3: good and trimidous harm, but that bubble economically is getting 349 00:19:30,160 --> 00:19:34,040 Speaker 3: really shaky. Trump will have no way to manage his 350 00:19:34,080 --> 00:19:36,679 Speaker 3: way out of that bubble. There's no chance he can 351 00:19:36,720 --> 00:19:40,919 Speaker 3: get out of that without America being as close to 352 00:19:40,920 --> 00:19:43,480 Speaker 3: a depression as we've ever been since the Depression. 353 00:19:43,600 --> 00:19:45,560 Speaker 1: But fox has said it's. 354 00:19:45,400 --> 00:19:47,240 Speaker 3: A great economy, you just don't appreciate it. 355 00:19:47,280 --> 00:19:49,840 Speaker 1: Molly, Well, that is one of the things it said. 356 00:19:49,880 --> 00:19:53,600 Speaker 1: But it's also said that American should go without Christmas 357 00:19:53,680 --> 00:19:57,159 Speaker 1: tree is so that those Christmas tree farms can be 358 00:19:57,320 --> 00:19:59,959 Speaker 1: used as data data SARMs for data sentences discuss. 359 00:20:00,240 --> 00:20:03,000 Speaker 3: I'm pro Christmas tree and I vote. You know, this 360 00:20:03,080 --> 00:20:07,879 Speaker 3: is one more of their bizarre Foxy and kind of 361 00:20:07,960 --> 00:20:11,040 Speaker 3: affectations about you know, we're going to find some way 362 00:20:11,080 --> 00:20:14,880 Speaker 3: to spin that Donald Trump isn't a complete economic disaster 363 00:20:15,040 --> 00:20:18,520 Speaker 3: in every dimension. But I think this is kind of unspinnable. 364 00:20:18,640 --> 00:20:20,280 Speaker 3: I think you can't make this one work. 365 00:20:20,800 --> 00:20:23,960 Speaker 1: But just curious for a second. Like I've heard Scott 366 00:20:24,040 --> 00:20:27,199 Speaker 1: Jennings also talk about how great data centers are and 367 00:20:27,240 --> 00:20:29,480 Speaker 1: how it's going to win the war with China. But 368 00:20:30,400 --> 00:20:34,359 Speaker 1: just explain to me why we need data centers everywhere. 369 00:20:34,520 --> 00:20:36,840 Speaker 3: What we're doing on the data centers is we're providing 370 00:20:37,440 --> 00:20:42,160 Speaker 3: essentially energy subsidies and zoning permissions to tech companies so 371 00:20:42,280 --> 00:20:45,800 Speaker 3: they can build data centers, so that the American taxpayer 372 00:20:45,880 --> 00:20:49,960 Speaker 3: is paying in part for the facilities they use to 373 00:20:50,040 --> 00:20:55,200 Speaker 3: train their ais. Why because we live in a kleptocracy 374 00:20:55,240 --> 00:20:57,920 Speaker 3: now and everything is crooked? How about that? 375 00:20:57,960 --> 00:21:00,800 Speaker 1: Why should I pay for Elon Musk's power electricity? 376 00:21:01,520 --> 00:21:04,440 Speaker 3: You should not. And the other question is why should 377 00:21:04,480 --> 00:21:08,800 Speaker 3: you pay for a loan guarantee for open Ai, which 378 00:21:08,840 --> 00:21:11,640 Speaker 3: Donald Trump is considering doing a loan guarantee for open 379 00:21:11,640 --> 00:21:16,359 Speaker 3: AI for one point seven trillion dollars And I'm curious. 380 00:21:16,440 --> 00:21:20,080 Speaker 3: I got a lot of questions about whether anybody there 381 00:21:20,160 --> 00:21:22,399 Speaker 3: was no private market facility that wanted to give him 382 00:21:22,400 --> 00:21:25,359 Speaker 3: a one point seven trillion dollars weird, why would that? 383 00:21:25,520 --> 00:21:28,360 Speaker 1: We're gonna He's going to crash the economy, right. 384 00:21:28,359 --> 00:21:30,160 Speaker 3: Oh yeah, Sam Altman's going to crash the economy. 385 00:21:30,240 --> 00:21:32,160 Speaker 1: Sam Oltin' going to crash the economy? Or is Donald 386 00:21:32,200 --> 00:21:33,000 Speaker 1: Trump going to crash you? 387 00:21:33,119 --> 00:21:35,320 Speaker 3: Well, Donald Trump's gonna crash it, but Sam's gonna get 388 00:21:35,520 --> 00:21:39,639 Speaker 3: He's going to collateralize everything humanly possible for the benefit 389 00:21:39,680 --> 00:21:40,960 Speaker 3: of open AI before he does. 390 00:21:41,119 --> 00:21:46,040 Speaker 1: I'm excited to work on a potato farm. I feel 391 00:21:46,080 --> 00:21:49,040 Speaker 1: like I will I will not be a good potato farmer. 392 00:21:49,280 --> 00:21:51,479 Speaker 3: No, I'm always I love you, Dearly, but I do 393 00:21:51,560 --> 00:21:53,879 Speaker 3: not believe you are meant for agricultural labor. 394 00:21:54,359 --> 00:21:56,920 Speaker 1: So let's just go for a minute. You know who's 395 00:21:56,920 --> 00:21:59,399 Speaker 1: having a worse time than Donald Trump. 396 00:22:00,200 --> 00:22:00,600 Speaker 3: Who's that? 397 00:22:01,240 --> 00:22:01,919 Speaker 1: Mike Johnson? 398 00:22:02,000 --> 00:22:03,400 Speaker 3: Oh, poor Mike Johnson. 399 00:22:03,760 --> 00:22:07,280 Speaker 1: And she has just a few more weeks with Marjorie 400 00:22:07,280 --> 00:22:10,199 Speaker 1: Taylor Green in Congress. She has promised that she's going 401 00:22:10,280 --> 00:22:13,400 Speaker 1: to just end his career. So what's going on there? 402 00:22:14,040 --> 00:22:17,680 Speaker 3: I think Marge has decided she's gonna Kama Cozie. What's 403 00:22:17,800 --> 00:22:21,000 Speaker 3: left of Mike Johnson's sanity? Yeah, I would do it 404 00:22:21,040 --> 00:22:22,720 Speaker 3: to fuck with Johnson. And here's what I would do 405 00:22:22,720 --> 00:22:24,720 Speaker 3: if I were March. I would caucus with the Democrats 406 00:22:24,720 --> 00:22:27,960 Speaker 3: for one day. Yeah, call for a vote for speaker 407 00:22:28,400 --> 00:22:29,600 Speaker 3: a let pa Keem Jeffries. 408 00:22:29,680 --> 00:22:31,760 Speaker 1: It's probably not going to do that, but you she could. 409 00:22:32,040 --> 00:22:34,119 Speaker 3: I would not put a lot past her at this point. 410 00:22:34,520 --> 00:22:36,359 Speaker 1: One of the things that I think is interesting about 411 00:22:36,400 --> 00:22:40,240 Speaker 1: Marjorie Taylor Green doing this is that it mirrors what 412 00:22:40,680 --> 00:22:44,399 Speaker 1: we saw Mac Gates do. Like Matt Gates was on 413 00:22:44,520 --> 00:22:47,040 Speaker 1: his way out and he was like, fuck you, Kevin McCarthy, 414 00:22:47,119 --> 00:22:48,160 Speaker 1: You're going to lose your job. 415 00:22:48,359 --> 00:22:52,359 Speaker 3: The departing Kamakauze attack is now becoming, I think a 416 00:22:52,440 --> 00:22:57,000 Speaker 3: sort of Republican brand standard, and I kind of love it. Honestly, 417 00:22:57,080 --> 00:22:58,960 Speaker 3: I kind of love it. It does not bother me 418 00:22:59,560 --> 00:23:02,840 Speaker 3: the way that they're encountering this terrible set of outcomes. 419 00:23:04,000 --> 00:23:06,719 Speaker 1: Do you think Marjorie Taylor Green does something huge like 420 00:23:07,200 --> 00:23:09,960 Speaker 1: writes reads the names on the floor could. 421 00:23:09,840 --> 00:23:12,359 Speaker 3: Be Hey, listen, I don't think you should think that 422 00:23:12,400 --> 00:23:16,360 Speaker 3: she has an upper boundary right now. She really clearly 423 00:23:16,440 --> 00:23:19,080 Speaker 3: has decided she gonna burn it all down. 424 00:23:19,440 --> 00:23:20,600 Speaker 1: I have a lot of respect for that. 425 00:23:21,320 --> 00:23:24,080 Speaker 3: I you know what, Again, as we've talked about before, 426 00:23:24,400 --> 00:23:27,840 Speaker 3: I'm not inviting Marjorie over for cocktails or anything. But 427 00:23:28,240 --> 00:23:30,600 Speaker 3: when the enemy of my enemy is doing the shit 428 00:23:30,680 --> 00:23:32,800 Speaker 3: that she's doing, I'll allow it. 429 00:23:33,440 --> 00:23:35,760 Speaker 1: So we're gonna probably see more Ebstein stuff. 430 00:23:36,080 --> 00:23:38,719 Speaker 3: Well, four days in the time, people hear this is 431 00:23:38,760 --> 00:23:41,080 Speaker 3: when the Epstein fowls are due. I would like to 432 00:23:41,119 --> 00:23:43,359 Speaker 3: make you a side bet. I don't think we're gonna 433 00:23:43,359 --> 00:23:43,880 Speaker 3: see shit. 434 00:23:44,600 --> 00:23:45,280 Speaker 1: Well, we know the. 435 00:23:45,280 --> 00:23:48,320 Speaker 3: House is gonna go, the DOJ is gonna go. Oh no, 436 00:23:48,720 --> 00:23:51,120 Speaker 3: we must protect the victims. And it's too shocking. 437 00:23:51,720 --> 00:23:53,800 Speaker 1: The DOJ is definitely going to give you a hard time. 438 00:23:53,840 --> 00:23:56,679 Speaker 1: But oversight has a bunch of overstation. 439 00:23:57,080 --> 00:24:00,439 Speaker 3: But let's keep in mind, everybody, what Oversight has is 440 00:24:00,560 --> 00:24:06,640 Speaker 3: different from what the DJ has. Yeah, and the DOJ 441 00:24:06,880 --> 00:24:09,639 Speaker 3: pretending they don't know any of them, that all this 442 00:24:09,760 --> 00:24:11,400 Speaker 3: Oversight stuff is brand new and they have to vet 443 00:24:11,400 --> 00:24:13,679 Speaker 3: it for two or three years before they'll release it 444 00:24:13,760 --> 00:24:15,240 Speaker 3: is going to be their next play you watch. 445 00:24:15,400 --> 00:24:19,159 Speaker 1: Yeah, but Oversight has tons and tons of photos and 446 00:24:19,280 --> 00:24:21,760 Speaker 1: videos and they are not sure how they can release 447 00:24:21,800 --> 00:24:23,800 Speaker 1: them while protecting the victims. 448 00:24:24,160 --> 00:24:26,000 Speaker 3: There's a lot of c SAM material in there that 449 00:24:26,040 --> 00:24:29,120 Speaker 3: they are trying to consider how they either redact it 450 00:24:29,920 --> 00:24:32,600 Speaker 3: or summarize it so that it doesn't have to be 451 00:24:33,320 --> 00:24:36,240 Speaker 3: out there. But you know, a lot of the victims 452 00:24:36,359 --> 00:24:39,640 Speaker 3: who are in this material are saying, I still want 453 00:24:39,640 --> 00:24:40,920 Speaker 3: it out there. I want to know the truth. I 454 00:24:40,960 --> 00:24:42,800 Speaker 3: want the truth. I want people to understand what would 455 00:24:42,800 --> 00:24:43,280 Speaker 3: happened to me. 456 00:24:44,000 --> 00:24:45,159 Speaker 1: Yeah, it's pretty dark. 457 00:24:45,440 --> 00:24:47,280 Speaker 3: It's pretty dark. It's dark. 458 00:24:47,800 --> 00:24:50,239 Speaker 1: It's not a great situation for anyone to be in. 459 00:24:50,960 --> 00:24:55,320 Speaker 3: No, no, no, nobody likes this this outcome. No, nobody 460 00:24:55,359 --> 00:24:56,600 Speaker 3: likes where it's at. It's bad. 461 00:24:56,800 --> 00:25:01,800 Speaker 1: Rick Wilson, thank you. Lydia Polgrim is a New York 462 00:25:01,840 --> 00:25:06,200 Speaker 1: Times columnist. Welcome Too Fast Politics, Lydia. 463 00:25:06,359 --> 00:25:08,439 Speaker 4: Paul Green, It's great to be back. 464 00:25:08,880 --> 00:25:12,440 Speaker 1: I'm so excited to have you. We have podcasted together 465 00:25:12,480 --> 00:25:14,600 Speaker 1: at The New York Times, but it's fun to have 466 00:25:14,640 --> 00:25:17,080 Speaker 1: you on my podcast, which is much shorter. 467 00:25:20,280 --> 00:25:22,360 Speaker 4: Never let it be said that The New York Times 468 00:25:22,440 --> 00:25:24,600 Speaker 4: is selling anyone short. You know, people can get money 469 00:25:24,760 --> 00:25:26,560 Speaker 4: to read, watch, and listen to the New York Times, 470 00:25:26,640 --> 00:25:28,119 Speaker 4: so we got to give them good value. 471 00:25:28,240 --> 00:25:30,320 Speaker 1: That's right. Well, the first I wanted to start by 472 00:25:30,359 --> 00:25:34,360 Speaker 1: talking about the incredible stuff you're doing with immigration. You're 473 00:25:34,400 --> 00:25:39,080 Speaker 1: writing these really great reported columns about immigration. But I 474 00:25:39,080 --> 00:25:41,320 Speaker 1: would love you to start by talking about your central 475 00:25:41,440 --> 00:25:45,560 Speaker 1: thesis about immigration, because I think it's a very counter 476 00:25:45,880 --> 00:25:50,840 Speaker 1: intuitive or it's not counterintuitive exactly. It's sort of intuitive, 477 00:25:51,000 --> 00:25:54,879 Speaker 1: but it's not where anyone in Trump world is coming 478 00:25:54,960 --> 00:25:55,680 Speaker 1: to immigration. 479 00:25:56,200 --> 00:25:58,400 Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, I think when we think about immigration 480 00:25:58,640 --> 00:26:00,840 Speaker 4: in the current moment, it's all about how do we 481 00:26:00,920 --> 00:26:03,560 Speaker 4: keep people out? And there are too many people coming 482 00:26:03,560 --> 00:26:05,840 Speaker 4: into the United States, there are too many people coming 483 00:26:05,880 --> 00:26:09,199 Speaker 4: into Europe. And the assumption is that this policy of 484 00:26:09,240 --> 00:26:12,879 Speaker 4: restriction is sort of universally popular and that the harder 485 00:26:12,920 --> 00:26:15,159 Speaker 4: you go, the more popular you're going to be. And 486 00:26:15,200 --> 00:26:17,600 Speaker 4: I think this just flies in the face of the reality, 487 00:26:17,680 --> 00:26:19,760 Speaker 4: which is that you know, we are looking at a 488 00:26:19,800 --> 00:26:23,880 Speaker 4: world in which the countries that currently control most of 489 00:26:24,000 --> 00:26:27,399 Speaker 4: the wealth and power actually have the fewest people in 490 00:26:27,440 --> 00:26:30,680 Speaker 4: the slowest population growth rates. And you know, we're used 491 00:26:30,680 --> 00:26:34,400 Speaker 4: to thinking about a world in which the scarcest things 492 00:26:34,600 --> 00:26:39,440 Speaker 4: are you know, oil or electricity or land or things 493 00:26:39,480 --> 00:26:41,359 Speaker 4: like that, but we might actually be looking at a 494 00:26:41,359 --> 00:26:45,000 Speaker 4: future in which actually the scarcest resources people. And you know, 495 00:26:45,200 --> 00:26:49,040 Speaker 4: as all of these societies are not reproducing at replacement rate, 496 00:26:49,480 --> 00:26:52,879 Speaker 4: or we're seeing demographic cliffs everywhere, including China, which you 497 00:26:52,920 --> 00:26:55,879 Speaker 4: know has its own kind of separate demographic disaster. So 498 00:26:56,320 --> 00:26:58,560 Speaker 4: I think that we need to be thinking about migration 499 00:26:58,800 --> 00:27:01,920 Speaker 4: in a much more holistic way and thinking about how 500 00:27:01,920 --> 00:27:05,320 Speaker 4: we're going to manage the politics of that change as 501 00:27:05,359 --> 00:27:07,760 Speaker 4: we move forward. And I think a lot of countries 502 00:27:07,760 --> 00:27:10,879 Speaker 4: are being very shortsighted and thinking about these kind of 503 00:27:10,920 --> 00:27:15,760 Speaker 4: maximum restriction policies without without considering what the longer term 504 00:27:15,800 --> 00:27:16,720 Speaker 4: impact is going to be. 505 00:27:17,040 --> 00:27:20,080 Speaker 1: I love this thesis for any number of reasons, but 506 00:27:20,320 --> 00:27:24,280 Speaker 1: also because you even see it. It's not you even 507 00:27:24,440 --> 00:27:28,199 Speaker 1: see Trump world trying to grapple with it. So do 508 00:27:28,280 --> 00:27:32,280 Speaker 1: you have people like Jadie Vance and Victor Orbon and 509 00:27:32,520 --> 00:27:35,520 Speaker 1: you have people who truly see it coming, right. They 510 00:27:35,680 --> 00:27:39,200 Speaker 1: know that people are not having the number of children 511 00:27:39,240 --> 00:27:41,400 Speaker 1: they need. I mean, they're not having children at all, 512 00:27:41,800 --> 00:27:43,560 Speaker 1: but when they are, they're not having the number of 513 00:27:43,640 --> 00:27:45,880 Speaker 1: children they need to keep the population growing to keep 514 00:27:45,880 --> 00:27:49,240 Speaker 1: the economy going. And so you see them a little 515 00:27:49,280 --> 00:27:52,040 Speaker 1: bit trying to grapple with that, but obviously not But 516 00:27:52,240 --> 00:27:54,480 Speaker 1: do you, I mean, can you talk us through that? 517 00:27:55,119 --> 00:27:55,359 Speaker 3: Yeah? 518 00:27:55,440 --> 00:27:57,399 Speaker 4: I mean I think that there is this kind of 519 00:27:57,520 --> 00:28:02,440 Speaker 4: fantasy that somehow the wealthy countries of the world are 520 00:28:02,480 --> 00:28:05,720 Speaker 4: going to be able to command the human talent that 521 00:28:05,760 --> 00:28:08,160 Speaker 4: they need to come to the places where they need 522 00:28:08,200 --> 00:28:10,840 Speaker 4: them on the terms that are favorable and agreeable to 523 00:28:10,880 --> 00:28:13,199 Speaker 4: those wealthy countries. You know, I noticed in the new 524 00:28:13,280 --> 00:28:17,280 Speaker 4: National Security document that the Trump administration put out, they 525 00:28:17,359 --> 00:28:20,639 Speaker 4: said that actually their immigration policy is not going to 526 00:28:20,680 --> 00:28:23,080 Speaker 4: be built just on merit, so not just you know, 527 00:28:23,080 --> 00:28:25,320 Speaker 4: who are the most talented people on the globe, but 528 00:28:25,359 --> 00:28:28,480 Speaker 4: they're going to take other considerations into view. And I 529 00:28:28,480 --> 00:28:30,600 Speaker 4: think that that's you know, we can assume that that's 530 00:28:30,680 --> 00:28:33,320 Speaker 4: just code for you know, we want you know, white 531 00:28:33,440 --> 00:28:36,720 Speaker 4: European Christians, we don't want people from India, or we 532 00:28:36,720 --> 00:28:39,960 Speaker 4: don't want people from Africa, but the reality is that 533 00:28:39,960 --> 00:28:41,880 Speaker 4: that's where people are, and in fact, that's where a 534 00:28:41,920 --> 00:28:44,640 Speaker 4: lot of human talent is. And the United States has 535 00:28:44,680 --> 00:28:49,080 Speaker 4: been the beneficiary of a huge amount of human migration 536 00:28:49,240 --> 00:28:51,640 Speaker 4: to the United States some of the most talented people 537 00:28:51,680 --> 00:28:53,640 Speaker 4: in the world. You know, I was just in Houston 538 00:28:53,640 --> 00:28:55,880 Speaker 4: where I was doing some reporting for an upcoming peace 539 00:28:55,920 --> 00:28:58,360 Speaker 4: about the Indian American experience. And we can talk about 540 00:28:58,360 --> 00:29:00,880 Speaker 4: the crazy anti Indian races that has just kind of 541 00:29:00,880 --> 00:29:04,400 Speaker 4: exploded on the right in recent days. But Indian Americans 542 00:29:04,680 --> 00:29:07,240 Speaker 4: have the highest household income of any group in the 543 00:29:07,320 --> 00:29:10,120 Speaker 4: United States. They're the most likely to be educated, with 544 00:29:10,400 --> 00:29:13,760 Speaker 4: a bachelor's degree or higher. They're extremely unlikely to commit 545 00:29:13,800 --> 00:29:16,560 Speaker 4: any crimes. They you know, tend to live in two 546 00:29:16,640 --> 00:29:19,160 Speaker 4: household families, you know, with mom and dad and kids. 547 00:29:19,240 --> 00:29:21,920 Speaker 4: By any metric that one might look at this group, 548 00:29:22,040 --> 00:29:24,200 Speaker 4: you can't really say like, oh, these are folks who 549 00:29:24,200 --> 00:29:25,920 Speaker 4: are coming to take advantage of America. There are people 550 00:29:25,920 --> 00:29:28,880 Speaker 4: whok coming and contributing to America. And if anyone should 551 00:29:28,920 --> 00:29:31,560 Speaker 4: know that, it should be jd Vance, whose own wife 552 00:29:31,600 --> 00:29:34,200 Speaker 4: is the product of such a family. And you know, 553 00:29:34,240 --> 00:29:37,000 Speaker 4: we've been very fortunate in the United States to be 554 00:29:37,160 --> 00:29:39,880 Speaker 4: the place where the smartest and most ambitious people in 555 00:29:39,920 --> 00:29:42,600 Speaker 4: the world want to come, and the Republican Party seems 556 00:29:42,640 --> 00:29:46,240 Speaker 4: absolutely determined to make sure that that changes and that 557 00:29:46,440 --> 00:29:49,280 Speaker 4: we drive away all of those talented people. And it's 558 00:29:49,320 --> 00:29:51,520 Speaker 4: not just Indian Americans. I mean, one of the fastest 559 00:29:51,520 --> 00:29:54,080 Speaker 4: growing groups of immigrants is African immigrants. And when people 560 00:29:54,080 --> 00:29:56,360 Speaker 4: think of African immigrants, they think, oh, you know, poor 561 00:29:56,400 --> 00:29:58,840 Speaker 4: shit hold countries, things like that. But we're talking about 562 00:29:58,920 --> 00:30:01,840 Speaker 4: Nigerian doctors and physicists, and I mean, I think that 563 00:30:02,080 --> 00:30:03,960 Speaker 4: we need all kinds of talent in this country. We 564 00:30:04,000 --> 00:30:07,680 Speaker 4: need nurses, we need home health as, we need construction workers. 565 00:30:07,840 --> 00:30:09,840 Speaker 4: You know, it's not just about elites. 566 00:30:09,560 --> 00:30:11,360 Speaker 1: But even we just need people. 567 00:30:11,560 --> 00:30:14,520 Speaker 4: Yeah, the reality is that there's no way to predict 568 00:30:14,640 --> 00:30:16,960 Speaker 4: who is going to be successful as an immigrant in 569 00:30:17,000 --> 00:30:20,000 Speaker 4: this country. But the very fact that someone is an 570 00:30:20,000 --> 00:30:23,320 Speaker 4: immigrant means that they have taken the initiative to do 571 00:30:23,360 --> 00:30:25,480 Speaker 4: something very difficult, which is to leave the place that 572 00:30:25,520 --> 00:30:27,400 Speaker 4: you're from and go to a new place in search 573 00:30:27,400 --> 00:30:30,760 Speaker 4: of opportunity. And a person who's willing to sacrifice in 574 00:30:30,840 --> 00:30:33,640 Speaker 4: order to do that is kind of, by definition a 575 00:30:33,680 --> 00:30:36,400 Speaker 4: person of extraordinary ambition. We tend to think, oh, anybody 576 00:30:36,440 --> 00:30:38,200 Speaker 4: who could come to the United States would come here. 577 00:30:38,240 --> 00:30:41,760 Speaker 4: But the reality is that globally, just five percent of 578 00:30:41,800 --> 00:30:44,480 Speaker 4: the population of the world lives outside the country in 579 00:30:44,480 --> 00:30:47,560 Speaker 4: which they were born. So it's actually a very select 580 00:30:47,640 --> 00:30:50,440 Speaker 4: few number of people who migrate. And so, you know, 581 00:30:50,480 --> 00:30:52,880 Speaker 4: I think in the past, American policy has been centered 582 00:30:52,880 --> 00:30:54,760 Speaker 4: on how to bring the best in the brightest to 583 00:30:54,840 --> 00:30:57,440 Speaker 4: this country, and now that all seems to be breaking apart. 584 00:30:57,680 --> 00:31:00,520 Speaker 1: Yeah, it's so interesting. I'm so glad you talk this 585 00:31:00,760 --> 00:31:04,960 Speaker 1: because it's so important, but it's also I mean, five percent. 586 00:31:05,000 --> 00:31:07,080 Speaker 1: It's funny because I think about my family and I 587 00:31:07,120 --> 00:31:10,040 Speaker 1: feel like my great grandparents came to this country. It 588 00:31:10,120 --> 00:31:14,320 Speaker 1: was so traumatic. There were four generations in and people 589 00:31:14,360 --> 00:31:16,880 Speaker 1: are still talking about it, you know, like it's a 590 00:31:16,920 --> 00:31:17,560 Speaker 1: big deal. 591 00:31:17,880 --> 00:31:19,920 Speaker 4: It's a really big deal. And I think that that's 592 00:31:19,960 --> 00:31:23,600 Speaker 4: something that we tend to underappreciate. People like to stay 593 00:31:23,680 --> 00:31:25,920 Speaker 4: where they know everybody, where they know the language, where 594 00:31:25,920 --> 00:31:27,840 Speaker 4: they know the system, where they know the culture, and 595 00:31:27,920 --> 00:31:30,000 Speaker 4: so it's a huge sacrifice. I mean, the other thing 596 00:31:30,000 --> 00:31:32,520 Speaker 4: that's really interesting about this right now, Molly, is that 597 00:31:32,680 --> 00:31:35,600 Speaker 4: you know, we saw in the twenty four election that 598 00:31:35,640 --> 00:31:39,680 Speaker 4: there was a significant swing of immigrant origin voters towards 599 00:31:39,720 --> 00:31:43,920 Speaker 4: the GOP. And one sort of assumption in American politics 600 00:31:44,000 --> 00:31:48,360 Speaker 4: until fairly recently was that non white voters were kind 601 00:31:48,360 --> 00:31:51,400 Speaker 4: of automatically going to become Democrats. You know, maybe Cubans 602 00:31:51,400 --> 00:31:53,440 Speaker 4: are the one exception to that rule, but you know, 603 00:31:53,440 --> 00:31:56,520 Speaker 4: there was a sense that, you know, immigrant origin voters 604 00:31:56,600 --> 00:31:59,640 Speaker 4: are Democratic voters, and therefore there's you know, that's that's 605 00:31:59,760 --> 00:32:01,400 Speaker 4: that's just kind of how it's always going to be. 606 00:32:01,560 --> 00:32:04,200 Speaker 4: But instead, what we saw was actually some of the 607 00:32:04,240 --> 00:32:08,240 Speaker 4: sharpest shifts towards the GOP came particularly among young men 608 00:32:08,400 --> 00:32:11,640 Speaker 4: of immigrant origin. And you know, there is just no 609 00:32:11,840 --> 00:32:17,920 Speaker 4: hope of recreating the Trump coalition without keeping those Latino voters, 610 00:32:17,960 --> 00:32:21,680 Speaker 4: without keeping those Indian American Asian American voters who trended 611 00:32:21,720 --> 00:32:23,960 Speaker 4: towards Trump. And what we've seen in the election since 612 00:32:23,960 --> 00:32:26,360 Speaker 4: twenty twenty four is that some of those voters, and 613 00:32:26,360 --> 00:32:29,400 Speaker 4: particularly in places where you can really see the population concentration, 614 00:32:29,680 --> 00:32:32,960 Speaker 4: they very sharply moved back towards the Democrats. So, you know, 615 00:32:33,040 --> 00:32:35,240 Speaker 4: you you went and spent some time in New Jersey 616 00:32:35,680 --> 00:32:39,280 Speaker 4: on the gubernatorial race, there Mikey Cheryl and the precincts 617 00:32:39,280 --> 00:32:41,320 Speaker 4: within central New Jersey where there's some of the highest 618 00:32:41,320 --> 00:32:44,600 Speaker 4: concentration of Indian Americans living in the United States. There 619 00:32:44,800 --> 00:32:47,880 Speaker 4: was a huge and sharp shift back towards Democrats, and 620 00:32:47,920 --> 00:32:50,400 Speaker 4: Mikey Cheryl, you know, she went to you know, an 621 00:32:50,480 --> 00:32:53,080 Speaker 4: Indian restaurant and talked to you know, small business owners 622 00:32:53,120 --> 00:32:55,920 Speaker 4: about how, you know, the tariffs were effected there. These 623 00:32:55,920 --> 00:32:58,520 Speaker 4: are fundamentally swing voters, right, They're not they don't have 624 00:32:58,560 --> 00:33:03,520 Speaker 4: a strong ideological or orientation. They're interested in, you know, affordability, 625 00:33:03,600 --> 00:33:07,200 Speaker 4: cost of living. They're often focused on immigration and dealing 626 00:33:07,280 --> 00:33:10,360 Speaker 4: with you know, with with unauthorized immigration because they see 627 00:33:10,360 --> 00:33:12,440 Speaker 4: themselves as people who followed the rules and came the 628 00:33:12,520 --> 00:33:15,360 Speaker 4: right way. So, you know, they're not automatically going to 629 00:33:15,400 --> 00:33:17,360 Speaker 4: be on the side of the Democrats, but they're certainly 630 00:33:17,400 --> 00:33:19,640 Speaker 4: not automatically going to be on the side of the Republicans. 631 00:33:19,640 --> 00:33:21,720 Speaker 4: So this is a demographic, you know, a series of 632 00:33:21,720 --> 00:33:24,120 Speaker 4: demographics that are really very much up for grabs, and 633 00:33:24,160 --> 00:33:25,640 Speaker 4: I think that that's going to be a really big 634 00:33:25,640 --> 00:33:27,360 Speaker 4: problem for the Republicans. We're already seeing it in the 635 00:33:27,400 --> 00:33:30,880 Speaker 4: Ohio governor's race. Howurday have you been following Vivic Ramaswami. 636 00:33:31,040 --> 00:33:33,920 Speaker 1: Yeah, but I want you to first talk about Houston 637 00:33:34,040 --> 00:33:36,440 Speaker 1: and then let's talk about the Ohio governors, right, yea, 638 00:33:36,560 --> 00:33:39,160 Speaker 1: sure you were in Texas and I don't actually know 639 00:33:39,280 --> 00:33:40,800 Speaker 1: what's happening in Texas. Yeah. 640 00:33:40,960 --> 00:33:42,960 Speaker 4: I decided to go to Texas because you know, the 641 00:33:43,000 --> 00:33:46,440 Speaker 4: Houston area has been the recipient of huge numbers of 642 00:33:46,600 --> 00:33:49,760 Speaker 4: Indian immigrants over the you know, I would say past 643 00:33:49,800 --> 00:33:51,960 Speaker 4: sixty years. You know, in the Indian immigants really could 644 00:33:52,000 --> 00:33:54,240 Speaker 4: only start coming to the United States in nineteen sixty five. 645 00:33:54,440 --> 00:33:56,720 Speaker 4: They have really prospered there. You know, a lot of 646 00:33:56,720 --> 00:33:59,440 Speaker 4: engineers who work in the oil and gas industry. You know, 647 00:33:59,480 --> 00:34:02,680 Speaker 4: there's a huge, huge kind of medical complex in Houston, 648 00:34:02,920 --> 00:34:05,840 Speaker 4: m D Anderson, all of those universities. There so many, 649 00:34:05,880 --> 00:34:08,920 Speaker 4: many many Indian doctors, you know, top researchers and things 650 00:34:09,000 --> 00:34:11,919 Speaker 4: like that. And this is a community that's actually done really, 651 00:34:11,960 --> 00:34:13,839 Speaker 4: really well. You know. I spent a lot of time 652 00:34:13,880 --> 00:34:16,839 Speaker 4: in a particular suburb called sugar Land where you know, 653 00:34:17,040 --> 00:34:20,560 Speaker 4: I visited this huge Hindu temple that has as existed 654 00:34:20,600 --> 00:34:23,000 Speaker 4: for twenty five years, and they a couple of years 655 00:34:23,040 --> 00:34:26,799 Speaker 4: ago they inaugurated this like huge, beautiful, ninety foot tall 656 00:34:26,880 --> 00:34:31,120 Speaker 4: statue of the of the god Hanuman, and recently some 657 00:34:31,480 --> 00:34:35,360 Speaker 4: you know, kind of maga adjacent chuds were you know, 658 00:34:35,400 --> 00:34:36,960 Speaker 4: went on the local news and were like, why are 659 00:34:37,040 --> 00:34:39,480 Speaker 4: you putting why are these devil worshippers putting up these 660 00:34:39,600 --> 00:34:42,200 Speaker 4: you know, these evil you know, monkey statues in our 661 00:34:42,360 --> 00:34:44,759 Speaker 4: Christian country. And I think that really took a lot 662 00:34:44,800 --> 00:34:47,719 Speaker 4: of people there by surprise, because for decades they've been 663 00:34:47,760 --> 00:34:51,719 Speaker 4: living you know, really happily and have integrated into the 664 00:34:51,760 --> 00:34:54,880 Speaker 4: life and the lifestyle of that part of Texas and 665 00:34:54,920 --> 00:34:56,880 Speaker 4: become really part of the fabric. I mean, they're probably 666 00:34:56,880 --> 00:34:59,400 Speaker 4: a quarter of a million Indian Americans living in the 667 00:34:59,400 --> 00:35:01,799 Speaker 4: Houston area, and so, you know, I think there's just 668 00:35:01,840 --> 00:35:04,560 Speaker 4: been a real shock at how this is all unfolded, 669 00:35:04,600 --> 00:35:07,000 Speaker 4: and there's just so much nastiness online and I know 670 00:35:07,360 --> 00:35:09,720 Speaker 4: Twitter isn't real life, but you know, once I started 671 00:35:09,760 --> 00:35:11,720 Speaker 4: looking for this stuff, the things that would be fed 672 00:35:11,760 --> 00:35:14,319 Speaker 4: to me about you know, oh all Indians are low 673 00:35:14,360 --> 00:35:17,719 Speaker 4: iq all and it's just really really nasty stuff. And 674 00:35:18,000 --> 00:35:21,600 Speaker 4: so you know, in talking to for example, PhD students 675 00:35:21,600 --> 00:35:24,480 Speaker 4: from India who are thinking about making a career. So 676 00:35:24,520 --> 00:35:27,040 Speaker 4: I talked to one young physicist. She's, you know, finishing 677 00:35:27,080 --> 00:35:30,000 Speaker 4: up her PhD. And she's working on technology that would 678 00:35:30,040 --> 00:35:35,120 Speaker 4: turn seawater into hydrogen for green energy. Pretty useful. It 679 00:35:35,160 --> 00:35:37,759 Speaker 4: seems like it'd be pretty useful, you know. And she's like, 680 00:35:37,800 --> 00:35:39,640 Speaker 4: you know what, I'm just not sure that I'm actually 681 00:35:39,680 --> 00:35:41,480 Speaker 4: going to be able to get an H one B 682 00:35:41,640 --> 00:35:43,840 Speaker 4: visa to work here in the United States. And you know, 683 00:35:43,880 --> 00:35:45,680 Speaker 4: I'd love to make a career here, but you know, 684 00:35:45,719 --> 00:35:47,440 Speaker 4: I might end up going to Germany or going to 685 00:35:47,480 --> 00:35:50,920 Speaker 4: Singapore somewhere else. And it's a really vivid example of 686 00:35:51,080 --> 00:35:54,480 Speaker 4: like how we lose. And the assumption is that no 687 00:35:54,560 --> 00:35:57,719 Speaker 4: matter how badly we treat people who are coming from 688 00:35:57,719 --> 00:36:00,799 Speaker 4: countries that are poor from US, those people automatically want 689 00:36:00,840 --> 00:36:02,279 Speaker 4: to come to the US. Who doesn't want to come 690 00:36:02,320 --> 00:36:04,759 Speaker 4: to America. But if you're going to face racism, if 691 00:36:04,800 --> 00:36:07,279 Speaker 4: you're going to face religious bigotry, if you're going to 692 00:36:07,320 --> 00:36:10,160 Speaker 4: be jerked around in getting your visa and getting a 693 00:36:10,200 --> 00:36:13,200 Speaker 4: green card, maybe you'll go someplace else. And there are 694 00:36:13,239 --> 00:36:14,279 Speaker 4: lots of other places to go. 695 00:36:14,640 --> 00:36:18,279 Speaker 1: I think about that Hyundai factory in Georgia where they 696 00:36:18,320 --> 00:36:22,040 Speaker 1: sent the South Korean highly trained workers to work in 697 00:36:22,080 --> 00:36:25,480 Speaker 1: the factory to train Americans and then ICE sent them 698 00:36:25,480 --> 00:36:28,080 Speaker 1: to a detention center and then put them on a plane. 699 00:36:28,360 --> 00:36:31,960 Speaker 4: Totally crazy. I mean, it's just it's just really really nuts. 700 00:36:32,080 --> 00:36:34,480 Speaker 4: And you know, it just kind of elevates this question 701 00:36:34,600 --> 00:36:37,319 Speaker 4: of like, if we don't want these folks who are 702 00:36:37,440 --> 00:36:40,160 Speaker 4: just a tiny fraction of the kind of talent that 703 00:36:40,200 --> 00:36:41,799 Speaker 4: we need in the United States, then who do we 704 00:36:41,840 --> 00:36:43,799 Speaker 4: want and what kind of country are we going to be? 705 00:36:44,120 --> 00:36:46,319 Speaker 4: And I think there's a tendency to think, well, you know, 706 00:36:46,440 --> 00:36:50,080 Speaker 4: this is just one administration. Things could change, could cool down. 707 00:36:50,600 --> 00:36:53,360 Speaker 4: But migration is such an interesting phenomenon. You know, it 708 00:36:53,600 --> 00:36:56,280 Speaker 4: tends to build on itself, right. You know, for sixty years, 709 00:36:56,320 --> 00:36:58,120 Speaker 4: Indians have been able to come to the United States 710 00:36:58,160 --> 00:37:01,320 Speaker 4: and become part of our country on to their own heritage, 711 00:37:01,320 --> 00:37:04,840 Speaker 4: but also become Americans and contribute all of you know, culturally, 712 00:37:05,080 --> 00:37:08,040 Speaker 4: you know, economically, in all these different ways. But you 713 00:37:08,120 --> 00:37:10,440 Speaker 4: also know, in moving to a place like Houston or 714 00:37:10,440 --> 00:37:12,360 Speaker 4: moving to a place like Central New Jersey or to 715 00:37:12,400 --> 00:37:14,840 Speaker 4: Silicon Valley, you know, I'm going to find other folks 716 00:37:14,840 --> 00:37:16,279 Speaker 4: like me who are going to help me find my 717 00:37:16,320 --> 00:37:19,520 Speaker 4: way and those patterns are being built elsewhere. You know. 718 00:37:19,640 --> 00:37:22,080 Speaker 4: I talked to one German entrepreneur who just happened to 719 00:37:22,080 --> 00:37:23,960 Speaker 4: be in Houston, and he was like, oh, yeah, no, no, 720 00:37:24,000 --> 00:37:26,040 Speaker 4: we've been recruiting a lot of people from India, and 721 00:37:26,080 --> 00:37:28,759 Speaker 4: as soon as people here, you know, oh, actually there 722 00:37:28,800 --> 00:37:30,680 Speaker 4: are other Indians here, so you're not going to be 723 00:37:30,680 --> 00:37:32,759 Speaker 4: the only one, and there are people who can help 724 00:37:32,760 --> 00:37:35,280 Speaker 4: you find your way and settle in, and your kid's 725 00:37:35,280 --> 00:37:36,880 Speaker 4: not going to be the only one at school and 726 00:37:36,960 --> 00:37:40,319 Speaker 4: so on. Then those patterns and pathways change, and once 727 00:37:40,360 --> 00:37:42,239 Speaker 4: they do, I think it's really hard to change them, 728 00:37:42,320 --> 00:37:43,399 Speaker 4: to switch them back. 729 00:37:43,640 --> 00:37:47,279 Speaker 1: Right, and immigration has like a long tail, right absolutely, 730 00:37:47,440 --> 00:37:50,640 Speaker 1: even if you had an admin come in and say 731 00:37:51,040 --> 00:37:53,040 Speaker 1: we are pro immigrant, we're going to do this, We're 732 00:37:53,040 --> 00:37:55,360 Speaker 1: going to do that, it's going to take decades to 733 00:37:55,560 --> 00:37:57,600 Speaker 1: shift that kind of Well, then who's going. 734 00:37:57,520 --> 00:38:00,279 Speaker 4: To trust America? Right broadly? You know, there's been so 735 00:38:00,520 --> 00:38:03,600 Speaker 4: much sudden and sharp change, And I think that what 736 00:38:03,680 --> 00:38:07,399 Speaker 4: people see is that American voters were willing to roll 737 00:38:07,400 --> 00:38:09,560 Speaker 4: the dice on this, and so it's not even just Trump. 738 00:38:09,640 --> 00:38:11,879 Speaker 4: It's like, if American voters are willing to roll their dice, 739 00:38:11,960 --> 00:38:14,319 Speaker 4: vill of the dice in and accept this. What else 740 00:38:14,320 --> 00:38:15,840 Speaker 4: could come down the pike? You know, you could have 741 00:38:15,840 --> 00:38:19,280 Speaker 4: a president who's just relentlessly backed by the Supreme Court, 742 00:38:19,360 --> 00:38:23,120 Speaker 4: who has Congress in his bucket, and you know, so 743 00:38:23,400 --> 00:38:25,520 Speaker 4: I think, you know, Trump is a singular figure, but 744 00:38:25,600 --> 00:38:28,080 Speaker 4: I think that it's not just losing faith in one 745 00:38:28,120 --> 00:38:32,080 Speaker 4: particular president. It's you know, really kind of losing faith 746 00:38:32,080 --> 00:38:34,680 Speaker 4: in the wisdom of American voters such as it is. 747 00:38:35,200 --> 00:38:37,800 Speaker 1: Yeah, which we should all have lost faith in American 748 00:38:37,920 --> 00:38:42,040 Speaker 1: voters too, probably. I wonder if we can talk for 749 00:38:42,080 --> 00:38:46,799 Speaker 1: a minute about immigration just more broadly, like Trump has 750 00:38:46,920 --> 00:38:50,680 Speaker 1: been I don't believe this, but there is a conventional 751 00:38:50,760 --> 00:38:55,080 Speaker 1: pundit wisdom which says that voters were mad about the 752 00:38:55,120 --> 00:38:58,919 Speaker 1: border and Biden and that Trump came in and that 753 00:38:58,920 --> 00:39:02,040 Speaker 1: that was something that voters liked him on. Maybe not 754 00:39:02,600 --> 00:39:05,200 Speaker 1: liberal voters, but voters liked him on. I actually don't 755 00:39:05,200 --> 00:39:08,520 Speaker 1: think it's true. But whatever, But now this ice stuff, 756 00:39:08,600 --> 00:39:11,279 Speaker 1: like people don't like him, even his people are not 757 00:39:11,400 --> 00:39:14,680 Speaker 1: happy with this. Do you think that see changed like 758 00:39:14,960 --> 00:39:17,040 Speaker 1: you know that and the economy have been like his 759 00:39:17,520 --> 00:39:19,279 Speaker 1: you know, where people were like, you have to hand 760 00:39:19,320 --> 00:39:21,239 Speaker 1: it to him on the economy. So I mean, do 761 00:39:21,280 --> 00:39:24,680 Speaker 1: you think that changes the trajectory? Obviously won't change the 762 00:39:24,760 --> 00:39:27,160 Speaker 1: trajectory for immigrants, but do you think that changes the 763 00:39:27,200 --> 00:39:30,280 Speaker 1: trajectory for the Republican Party writ large. 764 00:39:30,800 --> 00:39:32,840 Speaker 4: I mean, it's a great question, Molly. I mean, I 765 00:39:32,880 --> 00:39:36,480 Speaker 4: think that a lot of people were upset about the border, right, 766 00:39:36,560 --> 00:39:38,839 Speaker 4: I mean, I think that seems clear, and I think 767 00:39:38,880 --> 00:39:41,000 Speaker 4: there was a feeling and this again coming back to 768 00:39:41,000 --> 00:39:43,680 Speaker 4: this idea that like people of immigrant origin are really 769 00:39:43,760 --> 00:39:45,239 Speaker 4: kind of swing voters, because I think a lot of 770 00:39:45,239 --> 00:39:47,560 Speaker 4: people of immigrant origin were mad about the border too, 771 00:39:47,760 --> 00:39:51,760 Speaker 4: you know, because nobody competes for jobs, you know, with immigrants, 772 00:39:51,920 --> 00:39:54,120 Speaker 4: like the immigrants who arrived two years ago. You know, 773 00:39:54,440 --> 00:39:56,799 Speaker 4: like that's a very real phenomenon. So I do think 774 00:39:56,800 --> 00:39:58,799 Speaker 4: that that anger was real. You know a lot of 775 00:39:58,840 --> 00:40:00,440 Speaker 4: the stuff that was done at the bord order and 776 00:40:00,440 --> 00:40:02,719 Speaker 4: that the you know, the border crossing's really plummeted in 777 00:40:02,800 --> 00:40:04,960 Speaker 4: the toward the tail end of the Biden administration, but 778 00:40:05,000 --> 00:40:06,920 Speaker 4: it was too little, too late. And so I do 779 00:40:06,960 --> 00:40:09,279 Speaker 4: think that that anger was real. But I think that 780 00:40:09,840 --> 00:40:14,399 Speaker 4: there is really just a very small constituency for the 781 00:40:14,520 --> 00:40:17,319 Speaker 4: thing that that that the Trump administration is doing now, 782 00:40:17,440 --> 00:40:20,520 Speaker 4: and honestly, sometimes I wonder if that constituency even includes 783 00:40:20,560 --> 00:40:22,360 Speaker 4: Donald Trump. You know, he's kind of all over the 784 00:40:22,400 --> 00:40:24,520 Speaker 4: place on this stuff, right, I mean, he's he sort 785 00:40:24,560 --> 00:40:26,279 Speaker 4: of says, oh, yeah, you know, we need the h 786 00:40:26,360 --> 00:40:29,239 Speaker 4: one B. You know, we we you know, people need jobs. 787 00:40:29,280 --> 00:40:31,240 Speaker 4: We don't have the talent in the United States. Meanwhile, 788 00:40:31,280 --> 00:40:34,000 Speaker 4: you have you know, JD. Vance out there and Stephen 789 00:40:34,040 --> 00:40:37,360 Speaker 4: Miller saying these, you know, kind of really hardline things 790 00:40:37,440 --> 00:40:39,680 Speaker 4: about how immigrants are the reason that you can't buy 791 00:40:39,680 --> 00:40:41,640 Speaker 4: a house, you know, or that they're the reason you 792 00:40:41,640 --> 00:40:43,840 Speaker 4: can't find but you know, find a job. And so 793 00:40:44,120 --> 00:40:46,279 Speaker 4: I think there's a lot of kind of there. It 794 00:40:46,280 --> 00:40:48,680 Speaker 4: feels a little schizophrenic the moves that we're seeing with 795 00:40:48,719 --> 00:40:51,320 Speaker 4: the rhetoric that we're seeing within the administration. But I 796 00:40:51,360 --> 00:40:54,200 Speaker 4: think that the relentless forward march of these you know, 797 00:40:54,360 --> 00:40:59,680 Speaker 4: really indiscriminate, quite violent, you know, frankly fascist operations of 798 00:40:59,760 --> 00:41:02,720 Speaker 4: I in the United States, and the kind of wanton 799 00:41:02,840 --> 00:41:05,799 Speaker 4: cruelty of it, I think is something that the overwhelming 800 00:41:05,800 --> 00:41:08,560 Speaker 4: majority of Americans just do not like. And a lot 801 00:41:08,600 --> 00:41:11,279 Speaker 4: of my reporting around the world about migration, whenever I 802 00:41:11,360 --> 00:41:14,200 Speaker 4: talk to people who are angry about immigrants. I would 803 00:41:14,280 --> 00:41:17,200 Speaker 4: ask them, would you rather be from a country that 804 00:41:17,280 --> 00:41:19,960 Speaker 4: people flee from or a country that people flee to? 805 00:41:20,320 --> 00:41:22,680 Speaker 4: And you know, of course everyone everyone wants to think 806 00:41:22,680 --> 00:41:25,280 Speaker 4: that their place is the greatest place in the world. 807 00:41:25,440 --> 00:41:28,600 Speaker 4: And I think for Americans it's even much deeper than that. 808 00:41:28,840 --> 00:41:33,239 Speaker 4: You know, the idea that the American brand as it were, 809 00:41:33,480 --> 00:41:37,320 Speaker 4: as a destination, as a repository for people's dreams would 810 00:41:37,320 --> 00:41:40,080 Speaker 4: be tarnished, I think is something that really gets to 811 00:41:40,120 --> 00:41:42,840 Speaker 4: the core of the American psyche, you know, and I 812 00:41:42,840 --> 00:41:45,480 Speaker 4: think people can be mad because they, you know, feel 813 00:41:45,480 --> 00:41:47,680 Speaker 4: like things are disorderly, or they think that, you know, 814 00:41:47,719 --> 00:41:49,480 Speaker 4: the border is a mess, or you know, they are 815 00:41:49,480 --> 00:41:51,719 Speaker 4: these bus loads of migrants coming from the border to 816 00:41:51,800 --> 00:41:54,200 Speaker 4: northern cities and you know they're they're sleeping on the 817 00:41:54,200 --> 00:41:57,240 Speaker 4: streets of Chicago or whatever. You can confront that disorder 818 00:41:57,239 --> 00:41:58,880 Speaker 4: and be like, something's got to be done about this, 819 00:41:58,960 --> 00:42:00,799 Speaker 4: But that doesn't mean that you signed up for the 820 00:42:00,800 --> 00:42:03,920 Speaker 4: agenda that this administration is putting out there. And so 821 00:42:04,000 --> 00:42:06,560 Speaker 4: I think there's just a huge disconnect between those things. 822 00:42:06,719 --> 00:42:09,480 Speaker 4: And you know, the reality is that you know, Trump 823 00:42:09,480 --> 00:42:11,480 Speaker 4: won the presidency by the skin of his teeth, and 824 00:42:11,520 --> 00:42:14,600 Speaker 4: he won it with the supportive people who wanted, as 825 00:42:14,640 --> 00:42:17,840 Speaker 4: they say in Congress, kind of common sense immigration reform. 826 00:42:18,120 --> 00:42:21,200 Speaker 4: You know, they did not want to, you know, start 827 00:42:21,480 --> 00:42:25,720 Speaker 4: subjecting Indian doctors, you know, who are frankly desperately needed, 828 00:42:25,800 --> 00:42:28,440 Speaker 4: particularly in rural areas of the United States. 829 00:42:28,320 --> 00:42:29,480 Speaker 1: Especially in Texas. 830 00:42:29,880 --> 00:42:32,400 Speaker 4: No totally to be subjected to one hundred thousand dollars 831 00:42:32,520 --> 00:42:34,400 Speaker 4: fee to get an H one B visa, which is 832 00:42:34,440 --> 00:42:37,239 Speaker 4: just a non starter, you know. But it's funny, right because, like, 833 00:42:37,440 --> 00:42:39,239 Speaker 4: you know, on the one hand, you have all this 834 00:42:39,360 --> 00:42:41,799 Speaker 4: rhetoric that you know, these people are you know, they 835 00:42:41,800 --> 00:42:43,799 Speaker 4: have lower IQ's than the US, they come from a 836 00:42:43,840 --> 00:42:46,279 Speaker 4: poor country and blah blah blah. But you know, if 837 00:42:46,320 --> 00:42:48,160 Speaker 4: that's the case, like why are you afraid of them 838 00:42:48,200 --> 00:42:49,040 Speaker 4: taking your jobs? 839 00:42:49,360 --> 00:42:49,560 Speaker 3: You know? 840 00:42:49,840 --> 00:42:52,600 Speaker 4: Like what does that say about you? 841 00:42:53,280 --> 00:42:55,840 Speaker 1: Lydia? Will you come back? And also can we do 842 00:42:55,920 --> 00:42:56,640 Speaker 1: more stuff together? 843 00:42:56,719 --> 00:42:57,960 Speaker 4: I love you anytime. 844 00:43:00,719 --> 00:43:06,279 Speaker 3: No moment, Rick Wilson, Mali Jong Fast. 845 00:43:06,239 --> 00:43:07,399 Speaker 1: What is your moment of fuck? 846 00:43:07,480 --> 00:43:10,360 Speaker 3: Ray my momonni fuckery this week is the social media 847 00:43:10,400 --> 00:43:12,799 Speaker 3: stuff that the government is now going to demand of 848 00:43:12,800 --> 00:43:15,880 Speaker 3: everyone who enters the country where they're now saying to 849 00:43:16,000 --> 00:43:18,839 Speaker 3: anybody who wants to come here on a tourist visa. 850 00:43:19,280 --> 00:43:20,640 Speaker 3: So if you want to come over here to go 851 00:43:20,680 --> 00:43:25,720 Speaker 3: to Disney World, now you have to provide the federal 852 00:43:25,719 --> 00:43:29,520 Speaker 3: government with five years of your social media history, all accounts, 853 00:43:29,920 --> 00:43:33,960 Speaker 3: all your email accounts, all your IP addresses. And I 854 00:43:33,960 --> 00:43:37,840 Speaker 3: find the whole thing just grotesque because we do monitor 855 00:43:37,880 --> 00:43:40,520 Speaker 3: people who are extremists around the world, but we do 856 00:43:40,560 --> 00:43:43,359 Speaker 3: it because we have a cause to So some guy 857 00:43:43,440 --> 00:43:46,360 Speaker 3: is like, yes, I'm going to America to commit jihad 858 00:43:46,400 --> 00:43:49,560 Speaker 3: and burn down a daycare center. We order that guy 859 00:43:49,960 --> 00:43:53,080 Speaker 3: because we already do those things. But this idea that 860 00:43:53,160 --> 00:43:55,880 Speaker 3: everybody who's coming here, the seventy five year old grandmother 861 00:43:55,960 --> 00:43:59,840 Speaker 3: with her grandchildren coming from France who comes to the US, 862 00:44:00,200 --> 00:44:03,319 Speaker 3: needs to turn over social media. This is feeding the 863 00:44:03,400 --> 00:44:07,319 Speaker 3: pal and teer machine. This is not about anything other 864 00:44:07,360 --> 00:44:10,399 Speaker 3: than that. This is about giving Alice carp and Peter 865 00:44:10,480 --> 00:44:13,600 Speaker 3: Thiel more of the data from people around the world. 866 00:44:13,880 --> 00:44:16,279 Speaker 3: And I find it to just be like, I find 867 00:44:16,280 --> 00:44:20,800 Speaker 3: it deeply offensive that we are suddenly going to say 868 00:44:21,239 --> 00:44:24,600 Speaker 3: that your private speech is going to be monitored and 869 00:44:24,719 --> 00:44:26,279 Speaker 3: sucked down. If you want to come to the US, 870 00:44:26,320 --> 00:44:29,480 Speaker 3: it's going to be terrible for business, terrible for tourism, 871 00:44:29,600 --> 00:44:32,000 Speaker 3: terrible for our reputation. So that's my moont. 872 00:44:31,760 --> 00:44:33,680 Speaker 4: Tofuckerat small government. 873 00:44:33,960 --> 00:44:37,399 Speaker 3: Very small government, the smalls small. Thank you, Rick, I'll 874 00:44:37,400 --> 00:44:38,280 Speaker 3: see you next time. 875 00:44:38,880 --> 00:44:43,360 Speaker 1: That's it for this episode of Fast Politics. Tune in 876 00:44:43,600 --> 00:44:49,040 Speaker 1: every Monday, Wednesday, Thursday and Saturday to hear the best 877 00:44:49,120 --> 00:44:53,399 Speaker 1: minds and politics make sense of all this chaos. If 878 00:44:53,440 --> 00:44:56,480 Speaker 1: you enjoy this podcast, please send it to a friend 879 00:44:56,920 --> 00:45:00,080 Speaker 1: and keep the conversation going. Thanks for listening and